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2021-12-29
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2021-12-28
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2021-12-27
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Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表:本周须知</blockquote>
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2021-12-25
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Will Apple or Microsoft hit $3 trillion next year? 10 tech predictions for 2022<blockquote>苹果或微软明年会达到3万亿美元吗?2022 年 10 项技术预测</blockquote>
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2021-12-25
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2021-12-24
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U.S. adds Merck pill as 2nd easy-to-use drug against COVID-19<blockquote>美国将默克药丸列为第二种易于使用的抗 COVID-19 药物</blockquote>
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2021-12-23
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2021-12-22
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3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果 2022 年股市崩盘,值得立即购买的 3 只股票</blockquote>
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2021-12-21
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2021-12-20
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2021-12-19
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2021-11-21
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Why Ford Is Terminating Its Joint EV Development Plan With Rivian?<blockquote>福特为何终止与Rivian的联合电动汽车开发计划?</blockquote>
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2021-11-11
$FRASERS PROPERTY LIMITED(TQ5.SI)$
up up up
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2021-11-10
$FRASERS PROPERTY LIMITED(TQ5.SI)$
going up
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2021-11-10
$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$
good uptrend
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2021-11-09
$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$
uptending blue chip
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2021-11-09
$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$
getting greedy
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2021-11-08
$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$
good uptrend
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2021-11-07
$FRASERS PROPERTY LIMITED(TQ5.SI)$
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2021-11-06
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buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696171479","repostId":"1127544468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698772198,"gmtCreate":1640567078221,"gmtModify":1640567189611,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698772198","repostId":"2194177239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2194177239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640559609,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2194177239?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表:本周须知</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500 is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周归来,进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表:本周须知</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表:本周须知</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周归来,进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","FCEL":"燃料电池能源","BK4096":"电气部件与设备","BK4541":"氢能源"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCEL":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698291004,"gmtCreate":1640398747594,"gmtModify":1640398753222,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698291004","repostId":"1195657371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195657371","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640394204,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1195657371?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-25 09:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Apple or Microsoft hit $3 trillion next year? 10 tech predictions for 2022<blockquote>苹果或微软明年会达到3万亿美元吗?2022 年 10 项技术预测</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195657371","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Wall Street has started its annual look-ahead predictions for next year, and Wedbush Securities is b","content":"<p><ul> <li>Wall Street has started its annual look-ahead predictions for next year, and Wedbush Securities is bullish on several themes, including continued growth from Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL)and other big tech companies.</li> <li>Analyst Dan Ives believes that some of the recent volatility the stock market has seen is no more than a \"painful digestion period [along with Omicron fears],\" as earnings estimates now factor in a hawkish Fed and some stretched valuations for tech stocks. However, Ives is bullish on tech stocks for next year.</li> <li>As part of his prediction list, Ives believes Apple (AAPL) will unveil its long-awaited and oft-speculated AR/VR headset Apple Glasses in the summer, which will \"result in another major growth catalyst for the stock\" as the world's most valuable company continues to monetize its user base.</li> <li>Ives also thinks that the broader NASDAQ(COMP.IND), represented by the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(NASDAQ:QQQ), is likely to hit 19,000 by the year-end, up from around its current level of 15,400, as the digital transformation between businesses and consumers continues. He adds that the underlying growth prospects for the broader tech sector are between two and three times the normalized or historical patterns.</li> <li>The metaverse, an idea that has been bandied about for nearly 30 years, seems poised to move from hype to reality, Ives suggests, as companies like Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) invest \"billions\" of dollars over the next year in this space, with \"significant\" amounts of merger activity likely to come.</li> <li>Ives also thinks that the cloud arms race will stay heated, as the entrants go after $1 trillion in spending over the next decade. He believes that more than 50% of workloads will be on the cloud by the end of 2022, up from 43% currently, largely benefiting Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOGL), followed by Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)and IBM(NYSE:IBM).</li> <li>Cybersecurity budgets appear poised to increase sharply next year, Ives predicts, rising 21% in 2022, or about 1% above a \"robust\" year in 2021. As such, he believes companies like Zscaler(NASDAQ:ZS), Tenable(NYSE:TEN), CyberArk(NASDAQ:CYBR), Varonis(NASDAQ:VRNS), Sailpoint(NYSE:SAIL), Fortinet(NASDAQ:FTNT)and Palo Alto Networks(NASDAQ:PANW).</li> <li>Despite what is likely to be a rising interest rate environment, tech companies will likely continue to spend and acquire in significant fashion next year, Ives believes. Cerence(NASDAQ:CRNC), Matterport(NASDAQ:MTTR), Varonis (VRNS), Rapid7(NASDAQ:RPD)and Sailpoint (SAIL) are the analyst's top five M&A candidates for next year.</li> <li>On the macro front, Ives thinks that the chip shortage, particularly out of Asia, will \"significantly moderate\" in the first half of the year. Apple (AAPL) and the chip companies - Ives did name any specific ones - are the \"best springboard bets to benefit from this key dynamic easing.\"</li> <li>Keeping in-line with broader ideas, Ives thinks that the regulatory environment in the U.S. and Europe will be a threat to the big-tech companies around anti-trust and monopoly concerns, but instead of structural changes, it is likely to largely wind up in the companies being fined, and potentially hampering their ability to buy or acquire other companies.</li> <li>Ives also thinks that Chinese tech companies will continue to be a \"very treacherous\" space for global investors, as the government continues to crack down on companies. As such, this could result in more dollars coming out of Chinese tech stocks and rotating into U.S. tech stocks.</li> <li>Lastly, Ives thinks Apple (AAPL) will reach a $3 trillion market cap next year, to be followed thereafter by Microsoft (MSFT).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街已开始对明年进行年度展望预测,韦德布什证券看好多个主题,包括苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)、微软(纳斯达克股票代码:MSFT)、Alphabet(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOGL)和其他大型科技公司的持续增长。</li><li>分析师丹·艾夫斯 (Dan Ives) 认为,股市最近出现的一些波动只不过是“痛苦的消化期(以及对奥密克戎的担忧)”,因为盈利预测现在考虑到了美联储的鹰派立场和科技股的一些估值过高。然而,艾夫斯看好明年的科技股。</li><li>作为他预测清单的一部分,艾夫斯认为苹果 (AAPL) 将在夏季推出期待已久且经常猜测的 AR/VR 头显苹果眼镜,这将“为该股带来另一个主要增长催化剂”,因为这家全球最有价值的公司继续将其用户群货币化。</li><li>Ives 还认为,随着企业和消费者之间的数字化转型,以 Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(纳斯达克股票代码:QQQ)为代表的更广泛的纳斯达克 (COMP.IND) 可能会在年底达到 19,000 股,高于目前的 15,400 股左右。他补充说,更广泛的科技行业的潜在增长前景是正常化或历史模式的两到三倍。</li><li>艾夫斯表示,随着 Meta Platforms(纳斯达克股票代码:FB)、苹果(AAPL)、谷歌(GOOGL)和微软(MSFT)等公司明年在这一领域投资“数十亿”美元,可能会出现“大量”合并活动。</li><li>艾夫斯还认为,云军备竞赛将保持激烈,因为参赛者将在未来十年内追求 1 万亿美元的支出。他认为,到 2022 年底,超过 50% 的工作负载将位于云端,高于目前的 43%,这主要使亚马逊(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)、微软(MSFT)和谷歌(GOOGL)受益,其次是甲骨文(纽约证券交易所股票代码:ORCL)和 IBM(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IBM)。</li><li>艾夫斯预测,明年网络安全预算似乎将大幅增加,2022 年将增长 21%,比 2021 年“强劲”的一年高出约 1%。因此,他认为 Zscaler(纳斯达克股票代码:ZS)、Tenable(纽约证券交易所股票代码:TEN)、CyberArk(纳斯达克股票代码:CYBR)、Varonis(纳斯达克股票代码:VRNS)、Sailpoint(纽约证券交易所股票代码:SAIL)、Fortinet(纳斯达克股票代码:FTNT)和 Palo Alto Networks(纳斯达克股票代码:PANW)。</li><li>艾夫斯认为,尽管利率环境可能会上升,但科技公司明年可能会继续大幅支出和收购。Cerence(纳斯达克股票代码:CRNC)、Matterport(纳斯达克股票代码:MTTR)、Varonis(VRNS)、Rapid7(纳斯达克股票代码:RPD)和Sailpoint(SAIL)是分析师明年的五大并购候选者。</li><li>在宏观方面,艾夫斯认为,芯片短缺,特别是亚洲以外的芯片短缺,将在上半年“显着缓和”。苹果 (AAPL) 和芯片公司(艾夫斯确实点名了任何具体的公司)是“从这一关键动态宽松政策中受益的最佳跳板赌注”。</li><li>与更广泛的想法保持一致,艾夫斯认为,美国和欧洲的监管环境将围绕反垄断和垄断问题对大型科技公司构成威胁,但这可能会在很大程度上导致公司被罚款,并可能阻碍他们收购或收购其他公司的能力。</li><li>艾夫斯还认为,随着政府继续打压公司,中国科技公司将继续成为全球投资者“非常危险”的空间。因此,这可能会导致更多美元流出中国科技股并流入美国科技股。</li><li>最后,艾夫斯认为苹果 (AAPL) 明年市值将达到 3 万亿美元,微软 (MSFT) 紧随其后。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Apple or Microsoft hit $3 trillion next year? 10 tech predictions for 2022<blockquote>苹果或微软明年会达到3万亿美元吗?2022 年 10 项技术预测</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Apple or Microsoft hit $3 trillion next year? 10 tech predictions for 2022<blockquote>苹果或微软明年会达到3万亿美元吗?2022 年 10 项技术预测</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-25 09:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul> <li>Wall Street has started its annual look-ahead predictions for next year, and Wedbush Securities is bullish on several themes, including continued growth from Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL)and other big tech companies.</li> <li>Analyst Dan Ives believes that some of the recent volatility the stock market has seen is no more than a \"painful digestion period [along with Omicron fears],\" as earnings estimates now factor in a hawkish Fed and some stretched valuations for tech stocks. However, Ives is bullish on tech stocks for next year.</li> <li>As part of his prediction list, Ives believes Apple (AAPL) will unveil its long-awaited and oft-speculated AR/VR headset Apple Glasses in the summer, which will \"result in another major growth catalyst for the stock\" as the world's most valuable company continues to monetize its user base.</li> <li>Ives also thinks that the broader NASDAQ(COMP.IND), represented by the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(NASDAQ:QQQ), is likely to hit 19,000 by the year-end, up from around its current level of 15,400, as the digital transformation between businesses and consumers continues. He adds that the underlying growth prospects for the broader tech sector are between two and three times the normalized or historical patterns.</li> <li>The metaverse, an idea that has been bandied about for nearly 30 years, seems poised to move from hype to reality, Ives suggests, as companies like Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) invest \"billions\" of dollars over the next year in this space, with \"significant\" amounts of merger activity likely to come.</li> <li>Ives also thinks that the cloud arms race will stay heated, as the entrants go after $1 trillion in spending over the next decade. He believes that more than 50% of workloads will be on the cloud by the end of 2022, up from 43% currently, largely benefiting Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOGL), followed by Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)and IBM(NYSE:IBM).</li> <li>Cybersecurity budgets appear poised to increase sharply next year, Ives predicts, rising 21% in 2022, or about 1% above a \"robust\" year in 2021. As such, he believes companies like Zscaler(NASDAQ:ZS), Tenable(NYSE:TEN), CyberArk(NASDAQ:CYBR), Varonis(NASDAQ:VRNS), Sailpoint(NYSE:SAIL), Fortinet(NASDAQ:FTNT)and Palo Alto Networks(NASDAQ:PANW).</li> <li>Despite what is likely to be a rising interest rate environment, tech companies will likely continue to spend and acquire in significant fashion next year, Ives believes. Cerence(NASDAQ:CRNC), Matterport(NASDAQ:MTTR), Varonis (VRNS), Rapid7(NASDAQ:RPD)and Sailpoint (SAIL) are the analyst's top five M&A candidates for next year.</li> <li>On the macro front, Ives thinks that the chip shortage, particularly out of Asia, will \"significantly moderate\" in the first half of the year. Apple (AAPL) and the chip companies - Ives did name any specific ones - are the \"best springboard bets to benefit from this key dynamic easing.\"</li> <li>Keeping in-line with broader ideas, Ives thinks that the regulatory environment in the U.S. and Europe will be a threat to the big-tech companies around anti-trust and monopoly concerns, but instead of structural changes, it is likely to largely wind up in the companies being fined, and potentially hampering their ability to buy or acquire other companies.</li> <li>Ives also thinks that Chinese tech companies will continue to be a \"very treacherous\" space for global investors, as the government continues to crack down on companies. As such, this could result in more dollars coming out of Chinese tech stocks and rotating into U.S. tech stocks.</li> <li>Lastly, Ives thinks Apple (AAPL) will reach a $3 trillion market cap next year, to be followed thereafter by Microsoft (MSFT).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街已开始对明年进行年度展望预测,韦德布什证券看好多个主题,包括苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)、微软(纳斯达克股票代码:MSFT)、Alphabet(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOGL)和其他大型科技公司的持续增长。</li><li>分析师丹·艾夫斯 (Dan Ives) 认为,股市最近出现的一些波动只不过是“痛苦的消化期(以及对奥密克戎的担忧)”,因为盈利预测现在考虑到了美联储的鹰派立场和科技股的一些估值过高。然而,艾夫斯看好明年的科技股。</li><li>作为他预测清单的一部分,艾夫斯认为苹果 (AAPL) 将在夏季推出期待已久且经常猜测的 AR/VR 头显苹果眼镜,这将“为该股带来另一个主要增长催化剂”,因为这家全球最有价值的公司继续将其用户群货币化。</li><li>Ives 还认为,随着企业和消费者之间的数字化转型,以 Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(纳斯达克股票代码:QQQ)为代表的更广泛的纳斯达克 (COMP.IND) 可能会在年底达到 19,000 股,高于目前的 15,400 股左右。他补充说,更广泛的科技行业的潜在增长前景是正常化或历史模式的两到三倍。</li><li>艾夫斯表示,随着 Meta Platforms(纳斯达克股票代码:FB)、苹果(AAPL)、谷歌(GOOGL)和微软(MSFT)等公司明年在这一领域投资“数十亿”美元,可能会出现“大量”合并活动。</li><li>艾夫斯还认为,云军备竞赛将保持激烈,因为参赛者将在未来十年内追求 1 万亿美元的支出。他认为,到 2022 年底,超过 50% 的工作负载将位于云端,高于目前的 43%,这主要使亚马逊(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)、微软(MSFT)和谷歌(GOOGL)受益,其次是甲骨文(纽约证券交易所股票代码:ORCL)和 IBM(纽约证券交易所股票代码:IBM)。</li><li>艾夫斯预测,明年网络安全预算似乎将大幅增加,2022 年将增长 21%,比 2021 年“强劲”的一年高出约 1%。因此,他认为 Zscaler(纳斯达克股票代码:ZS)、Tenable(纽约证券交易所股票代码:TEN)、CyberArk(纳斯达克股票代码:CYBR)、Varonis(纳斯达克股票代码:VRNS)、Sailpoint(纽约证券交易所股票代码:SAIL)、Fortinet(纳斯达克股票代码:FTNT)和 Palo Alto Networks(纳斯达克股票代码:PANW)。</li><li>艾夫斯认为,尽管利率环境可能会上升,但科技公司明年可能会继续大幅支出和收购。Cerence(纳斯达克股票代码:CRNC)、Matterport(纳斯达克股票代码:MTTR)、Varonis(VRNS)、Rapid7(纳斯达克股票代码:RPD)和Sailpoint(SAIL)是分析师明年的五大并购候选者。</li><li>在宏观方面,艾夫斯认为,芯片短缺,特别是亚洲以外的芯片短缺,将在上半年“显着缓和”。苹果 (AAPL) 和芯片公司(艾夫斯确实点名了任何具体的公司)是“从这一关键动态宽松政策中受益的最佳跳板赌注”。</li><li>与更广泛的想法保持一致,艾夫斯认为,美国和欧洲的监管环境将围绕反垄断和垄断问题对大型科技公司构成威胁,但这可能会在很大程度上导致公司被罚款,并可能阻碍他们收购或收购其他公司的能力。</li><li>艾夫斯还认为,随着政府继续打压公司,中国科技公司将继续成为全球投资者“非常危险”的空间。因此,这可能会导致更多美元流出中国科技股并流入美国科技股。</li><li>最后,艾夫斯认为苹果 (AAPL) 明年市值将达到 3 万亿美元,微软 (MSFT) 紧随其后。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3782833-will-apple-or-microsoft-hit-3-trillion-next-year-10-tech-predictions-for-2022\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3782833-will-apple-or-microsoft-hit-3-trillion-next-year-10-tech-predictions-for-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195657371","content_text":"Wall Street has started its annual look-ahead predictions for next year, and Wedbush Securities is bullish on several themes, including continued growth from Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL)and other big tech companies.\nAnalyst Dan Ives believes that some of the recent volatility the stock market has seen is no more than a \"painful digestion period [along with Omicron fears],\" as earnings estimates now factor in a hawkish Fed and some stretched valuations for tech stocks. However, Ives is bullish on tech stocks for next year.\nAs part of his prediction list, Ives believes Apple (AAPL) will unveil its long-awaited and oft-speculated AR/VR headset Apple Glasses in the summer, which will \"result in another major growth catalyst for the stock\" as the world's most valuable company continues to monetize its user base.\nIves also thinks that the broader NASDAQ(COMP.IND), represented by the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1(NASDAQ:QQQ), is likely to hit 19,000 by the year-end, up from around its current level of 15,400, as the digital transformation between businesses and consumers continues. He adds that the underlying growth prospects for the broader tech sector are between two and three times the normalized or historical patterns.\nThe metaverse, an idea that has been bandied about for nearly 30 years, seems poised to move from hype to reality, Ives suggests, as companies like Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) invest \"billions\" of dollars over the next year in this space, with \"significant\" amounts of merger activity likely to come.\nIves also thinks that the cloud arms race will stay heated, as the entrants go after $1 trillion in spending over the next decade. He believes that more than 50% of workloads will be on the cloud by the end of 2022, up from 43% currently, largely benefiting Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT) and Google (GOOGL), followed by Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)and IBM(NYSE:IBM).\nCybersecurity budgets appear poised to increase sharply next year, Ives predicts, rising 21% in 2022, or about 1% above a \"robust\" year in 2021. As such, he believes companies like Zscaler(NASDAQ:ZS), Tenable(NYSE:TEN), CyberArk(NASDAQ:CYBR), Varonis(NASDAQ:VRNS), Sailpoint(NYSE:SAIL), Fortinet(NASDAQ:FTNT)and Palo Alto Networks(NASDAQ:PANW).\nDespite what is likely to be a rising interest rate environment, tech companies will likely continue to spend and acquire in significant fashion next year, Ives believes. Cerence(NASDAQ:CRNC), Matterport(NASDAQ:MTTR), Varonis (VRNS), Rapid7(NASDAQ:RPD)and Sailpoint (SAIL) are the analyst's top five M&A candidates for next year.\nOn the macro front, Ives thinks that the chip shortage, particularly out of Asia, will \"significantly moderate\" in the first half of the year. Apple (AAPL) and the chip companies - Ives did name any specific ones - are the \"best springboard bets to benefit from this key dynamic easing.\"\nKeeping in-line with broader ideas, Ives thinks that the regulatory environment in the U.S. and Europe will be a threat to the big-tech companies around anti-trust and monopoly concerns, but instead of structural changes, it is likely to largely wind up in the companies being fined, and potentially hampering their ability to buy or acquire other companies.\nIves also thinks that Chinese tech companies will continue to be a \"very treacherous\" space for global investors, as the government continues to crack down on companies. As such, this could result in more dollars coming out of Chinese tech stocks and rotating into U.S. tech stocks.\nLastly, Ives thinks Apple (AAPL) will reach a $3 trillion market cap next year, to be followed thereafter by Microsoft (MSFT).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3587,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698293608,"gmtCreate":1640398677724,"gmtModify":1640398752115,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698293608","repostId":"2193917872","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698975309,"gmtCreate":1640298279560,"gmtModify":1640298280479,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698975309","repostId":"1192623075","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192623075","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640269891,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1192623075?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 22:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. adds Merck pill as 2nd easy-to-use drug against COVID-19<blockquote>美国将默克药丸列为第二种易于使用的抗 COVID-19 药物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192623075","media":"SeattleTimes","summary":"U.S. health regulators on Thursday authorized the second pill against COVID-19, providing another ea","content":"<p>U.S. health regulators on Thursday authorized the second pill against COVID-19, providing another easy-to-use medication to battle the rising tide of omicron infections.</p><p><blockquote>美国卫生监管机构周四批准了第二种针对 COVID-19 的药丸,为对抗奥密克戎感染的上升浪潮提供了另一种易于使用的药物。</blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration authorization of Merck’s molnupiravir comes one day after the agency cleared a competing drug from Pfizer. That pill, Paxlovid, is likely to become the first-choice treatment against the virus, thanks to its superior benefits and milder side effects.</p><p><blockquote>在美国食品和药物管理局批准默克公司的莫努匹拉韦的前一天,该机构批准了辉瑞公司的一种竞争药物。这种名为 Paxlovid 的药丸很可能成为对抗病毒的首选治疗方法,这要归功于其卓越的益处和较轻的副作用。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, Merck’s pill is expected to have a smaller role against the pandemic than predicted just a few weeks ago. Its ability to head off severe COVID-19 is much smaller than initially announced and the drug label will warn of serious safety issues, including the potential for birth defects.</p><p><blockquote>因此,默克公司的药丸预计在对抗大流行病方面的作用将小于几周前的预测。它阻止严重 COVID-19 的能力比最初宣布的要小得多,而且药物标签将警告严重的安全问题,包括潜在的出生缺陷。</blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration authorized Merck’s drug for adults with early symptoms of COVID-19 who face the highest risks of hospitalization, including older people and those with conditions like obesity and heart disease. The U.K. first authorized the pill in early November.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局批准默克公司的药物用于出现 COVID-19 早期症状、住院风险最高的成年人,包括老年人和患有肥胖症和心脏病等疾病的人。英国于 11 月初首次批准了这种药丸。</blockquote></p><p> Known as molnupiravir, the Merck drug will carry a warning against use during pregnancy. Women of childbearing age should use birth control during treatment and for a few days after while men should use birth control for at least three months after their final dose, the FDA said.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司的这种药物被称为molnupiravir,将带有怀孕期间禁止使用的警告。FDA表示,育龄妇女应在治疗期间和治疗后的几天内使用避孕措施,而男性应在最后一剂后至少三个月内使用避孕措施。</blockquote></p><p> The restrictions were expected after an FDA advisory panel only narrowly endorsed the drug last month, warning that its use would have to be strictly tailored to patients who can benefit the most.</p><p><blockquote>FDA 顾问小组上个月仅以微弱优势批准了该药物,并警告说,该药物的使用必须严格针对最能受益的患者,因此这些限制是意料之中的。</blockquote></p><p> The Pfizer pill works differently and doesn’t carry the same risks. Additionally, Pfizer’s drug was roughly three times more effective in testing, reducing hospitalization and death by nearly 90% among high-risk patients, compared with 30% for Merck’s.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司的药丸作用不同,风险也不同。此外,辉瑞公司的药物在检测中的有效性约为三倍,将高危患者的住院和死亡率降低了近 90%,而默克公司的住院和死亡率降低了 30%。</blockquote></p><p> Some experts question whether there will be much of a role for the Merck drug in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>一些专家质疑默克药物在美国是否会发挥很大作用。</blockquote></p><p> “To the extent that there’s an ample supply of Pfizer’s pill, I think it won’t be used,” said Dr. Gregory Poland of the Mayo Clinic, referring to the Merck drug. “There would be no reason, given it has less efficacy and a higher risk of side effects.”</p><p><blockquote>“梅奥诊所的格雷戈里-波兰(Gregory Poland)博士在谈到默克公司的药物时说:”只要辉瑞公司的药片供应充足,我认为它就不会被使用。“没有理由这样做,因为它的疗效较差,副作用风险较高。”</blockquote></p><p> For now, the FDA decision provides another potential option against the virus that has killed more than 800,000 Americans, even as health officials brace for record-setting cases, hospitalizations and deaths driven by the omicron variant. Antiviral pills, including Merck’s, are expected to be effective against omicron because they don’t target the spike protein where most of the variant’s worrisome mutations reside.</p><p><blockquote>目前,FDA 的决定为对抗这种已导致超过 80 万美国人死亡的病毒提供了另一个潜在选择,尽管卫生官员正在为奥密克戎变种导致的创纪录的病例、住院和死亡做好准备。包括默克公司在内的抗病毒药丸有望对奥密克戎病毒有效,因为它们不针对刺突蛋白,而刺突蛋白是该变种病毒大部分令人担忧的突变所在。</blockquote></p><p> The FDA based its decision on results showing nearly 7% of patients taking the drug ended up in the hospital and one died at the end of 30 days. That compared with 10% of patients hospitalized who were taking the placebo and nine deaths.</p><p><blockquote>FDA 的决定是基于结果显示,近 7% 服用该药物的患者最终住院,一名患者在 30 天后死亡。相比之下,10%的住院患者服用安慰剂,9人死亡。</blockquote></p><p> Federal officials have agreed to purchase enough of the drug to treat 3.1 million people.</p><p><blockquote>联邦官员已经同意购买足够的药物来治疗310万人。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. will pay about $700 for each course of Merck’s drug, which requires patients to take four pills twice a day for five days. A review by Harvard University and King’s College London estimated it costs about $18 to make each 40-pill course of treatment.</p><p><blockquote>美国将为默克公司的每个疗程支付约 700 美元,该疗程要求患者每天服用两次,每次四片,连续服用五天。哈佛大学和伦敦国王学院的一项审查估计,每个 40 粒疗程的治疗费用约为 18 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Merck’s drug inserts tiny errors into the coronavirus’ genetic code to slow its reproduction. That genetic effect has raised concerns that the drug could cause mutations in human fetuses and even spur more virulent strains of the virus. But FDA scientists said the variant risk is largely theoretical because people take the drug for such a short period of time.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司的药物在冠状病毒的遗传密码中插入微小错误,以减缓其繁殖速度。这种遗传效应引发了人们的担忧,即这种药物可能会导致人类胎儿发生突变,甚至刺激更具毒性的病毒株。但FDA科学家表示,变异风险在很大程度上是理论上的,因为人们服用这种药物的时间很短。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1640271591192","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. adds Merck pill as 2nd easy-to-use drug against COVID-19<blockquote>美国将默克药丸列为第二种易于使用的抗 COVID-19 药物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. adds Merck pill as 2nd easy-to-use drug against COVID-19<blockquote>美国将默克药丸列为第二种易于使用的抗 COVID-19 药物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">SeattleTimes</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 22:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. health regulators on Thursday authorized the second pill against COVID-19, providing another easy-to-use medication to battle the rising tide of omicron infections.</p><p><blockquote>美国卫生监管机构周四批准了第二种针对 COVID-19 的药丸,为对抗奥密克戎感染的上升浪潮提供了另一种易于使用的药物。</blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration authorization of Merck’s molnupiravir comes one day after the agency cleared a competing drug from Pfizer. That pill, Paxlovid, is likely to become the first-choice treatment against the virus, thanks to its superior benefits and milder side effects.</p><p><blockquote>在美国食品和药物管理局批准默克公司的莫努匹拉韦的前一天,该机构批准了辉瑞公司的一种竞争药物。这种名为 Paxlovid 的药丸很可能成为对抗病毒的首选治疗方法,这要归功于其卓越的益处和较轻的副作用。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, Merck’s pill is expected to have a smaller role against the pandemic than predicted just a few weeks ago. Its ability to head off severe COVID-19 is much smaller than initially announced and the drug label will warn of serious safety issues, including the potential for birth defects.</p><p><blockquote>因此,默克公司的药丸预计在对抗大流行病方面的作用将小于几周前的预测。它阻止严重 COVID-19 的能力比最初宣布的要小得多,而且药物标签将警告严重的安全问题,包括潜在的出生缺陷。</blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration authorized Merck’s drug for adults with early symptoms of COVID-19 who face the highest risks of hospitalization, including older people and those with conditions like obesity and heart disease. The U.K. first authorized the pill in early November.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局批准默克公司的药物用于出现 COVID-19 早期症状、住院风险最高的成年人,包括老年人和患有肥胖症和心脏病等疾病的人。英国于 11 月初首次批准了这种药丸。</blockquote></p><p> Known as molnupiravir, the Merck drug will carry a warning against use during pregnancy. Women of childbearing age should use birth control during treatment and for a few days after while men should use birth control for at least three months after their final dose, the FDA said.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司的这种药物被称为molnupiravir,将带有怀孕期间禁止使用的警告。FDA表示,育龄妇女应在治疗期间和治疗后的几天内使用避孕措施,而男性应在最后一剂后至少三个月内使用避孕措施。</blockquote></p><p> The restrictions were expected after an FDA advisory panel only narrowly endorsed the drug last month, warning that its use would have to be strictly tailored to patients who can benefit the most.</p><p><blockquote>FDA 顾问小组上个月仅以微弱优势批准了该药物,并警告说,该药物的使用必须严格针对最能受益的患者,因此这些限制是意料之中的。</blockquote></p><p> The Pfizer pill works differently and doesn’t carry the same risks. Additionally, Pfizer’s drug was roughly three times more effective in testing, reducing hospitalization and death by nearly 90% among high-risk patients, compared with 30% for Merck’s.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司的药丸作用不同,风险也不同。此外,辉瑞公司的药物在检测中的有效性约为三倍,将高危患者的住院和死亡率降低了近 90%,而默克公司的住院和死亡率降低了 30%。</blockquote></p><p> Some experts question whether there will be much of a role for the Merck drug in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>一些专家质疑默克药物在美国是否会发挥很大作用。</blockquote></p><p> “To the extent that there’s an ample supply of Pfizer’s pill, I think it won’t be used,” said Dr. Gregory Poland of the Mayo Clinic, referring to the Merck drug. “There would be no reason, given it has less efficacy and a higher risk of side effects.”</p><p><blockquote>“梅奥诊所的格雷戈里-波兰(Gregory Poland)博士在谈到默克公司的药物时说:”只要辉瑞公司的药片供应充足,我认为它就不会被使用。“没有理由这样做,因为它的疗效较差,副作用风险较高。”</blockquote></p><p> For now, the FDA decision provides another potential option against the virus that has killed more than 800,000 Americans, even as health officials brace for record-setting cases, hospitalizations and deaths driven by the omicron variant. Antiviral pills, including Merck’s, are expected to be effective against omicron because they don’t target the spike protein where most of the variant’s worrisome mutations reside.</p><p><blockquote>目前,FDA 的决定为对抗这种已导致超过 80 万美国人死亡的病毒提供了另一个潜在选择,尽管卫生官员正在为奥密克戎变种导致的创纪录的病例、住院和死亡做好准备。包括默克公司在内的抗病毒药丸有望对奥密克戎病毒有效,因为它们不针对刺突蛋白,而刺突蛋白是该变种病毒大部分令人担忧的突变所在。</blockquote></p><p> The FDA based its decision on results showing nearly 7% of patients taking the drug ended up in the hospital and one died at the end of 30 days. That compared with 10% of patients hospitalized who were taking the placebo and nine deaths.</p><p><blockquote>FDA 的决定是基于结果显示,近 7% 服用该药物的患者最终住院,一名患者在 30 天后死亡。相比之下,10%的住院患者服用安慰剂,9人死亡。</blockquote></p><p> Federal officials have agreed to purchase enough of the drug to treat 3.1 million people.</p><p><blockquote>联邦官员已经同意购买足够的药物来治疗310万人。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. will pay about $700 for each course of Merck’s drug, which requires patients to take four pills twice a day for five days. A review by Harvard University and King’s College London estimated it costs about $18 to make each 40-pill course of treatment.</p><p><blockquote>美国将为默克公司的每个疗程支付约 700 美元,该疗程要求患者每天服用两次,每次四片,连续服用五天。哈佛大学和伦敦国王学院的一项审查估计,每个 40 粒疗程的治疗费用约为 18 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Merck’s drug inserts tiny errors into the coronavirus’ genetic code to slow its reproduction. That genetic effect has raised concerns that the drug could cause mutations in human fetuses and even spur more virulent strains of the virus. But FDA scientists said the variant risk is largely theoretical because people take the drug for such a short period of time.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司的药物在冠状病毒的遗传密码中插入微小错误,以减缓其繁殖速度。这种遗传效应引发了人们的担忧,即这种药物可能会导致人类胎儿发生突变,甚至刺激更具毒性的病毒株。但FDA科学家表示,变异风险在很大程度上是理论上的,因为人们服用这种药物的时间很短。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.seattletimes.com/business/us-adds-merck-pill-as-2nd-easy-to-use-drug-against-covid-19/\">SeattleTimes</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","MRK":"默沙东"},"source_url":"https://www.seattletimes.com/business/us-adds-merck-pill-as-2nd-easy-to-use-drug-against-covid-19/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192623075","content_text":"U.S. health regulators on Thursday authorized the second pill against COVID-19, providing another easy-to-use medication to battle the rising tide of omicron infections.\nThe Food and Drug Administration authorization of Merck’s molnupiravir comes one day after the agency cleared a competing drug from Pfizer. That pill, Paxlovid, is likely to become the first-choice treatment against the virus, thanks to its superior benefits and milder side effects.\nAs a result, Merck’s pill is expected to have a smaller role against the pandemic than predicted just a few weeks ago. Its ability to head off severe COVID-19 is much smaller than initially announced and the drug label will warn of serious safety issues, including the potential for birth defects.\nThe Food and Drug Administration authorized Merck’s drug for adults with early symptoms of COVID-19 who face the highest risks of hospitalization, including older people and those with conditions like obesity and heart disease. The U.K. first authorized the pill in early November.\nKnown as molnupiravir, the Merck drug will carry a warning against use during pregnancy. Women of childbearing age should use birth control during treatment and for a few days after while men should use birth control for at least three months after their final dose, the FDA said.\nThe restrictions were expected after an FDA advisory panel only narrowly endorsed the drug last month, warning that its use would have to be strictly tailored to patients who can benefit the most.\nThe Pfizer pill works differently and doesn’t carry the same risks. Additionally, Pfizer’s drug was roughly three times more effective in testing, reducing hospitalization and death by nearly 90% among high-risk patients, compared with 30% for Merck’s.\nSome experts question whether there will be much of a role for the Merck drug in the U.S.\n“To the extent that there’s an ample supply of Pfizer’s pill, I think it won’t be used,” said Dr. Gregory Poland of the Mayo Clinic, referring to the Merck drug. “There would be no reason, given it has less efficacy and a higher risk of side effects.”\nFor now, the FDA decision provides another potential option against the virus that has killed more than 800,000 Americans, even as health officials brace for record-setting cases, hospitalizations and deaths driven by the omicron variant. Antiviral pills, including Merck’s, are expected to be effective against omicron because they don’t target the spike protein where most of the variant’s worrisome mutations reside.\nThe FDA based its decision on results showing nearly 7% of patients taking the drug ended up in the hospital and one died at the end of 30 days. That compared with 10% of patients hospitalized who were taking the placebo and nine deaths.\nFederal officials have agreed to purchase enough of the drug to treat 3.1 million people.\nThe U.S. will pay about $700 for each course of Merck’s drug, which requires patients to take four pills twice a day for five days. A review by Harvard University and King’s College London estimated it costs about $18 to make each 40-pill course of treatment.\nMerck’s drug inserts tiny errors into the coronavirus’ genetic code to slow its reproduction. That genetic effect has raised concerns that the drug could cause mutations in human fetuses and even spur more virulent strains of the virus. But FDA scientists said the variant risk is largely theoretical because people take the drug for such a short period of time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"MRK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691524772,"gmtCreate":1640222968407,"gmtModify":1640222968634,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691524772","repostId":"2193113147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691182029,"gmtCreate":1640149737038,"gmtModify":1640149737230,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691182029","repostId":"1157657338","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157657338","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640144039,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157657338?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 11:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果 2022 年股市崩盘,值得立即购买的 3 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157657338","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Each has an excellent future, and a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy them at lower prices.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Airbnb is arguably a better business now than before the pandemic.</li> <li>Apple's iPhone is capturing new customers for its ecosystem.</li> <li>Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster.</li> </ul> Stock market crashes are nearly impossible to predict with any precision. However, investors can prepare for a crash by setting aside extra cash in their portfolios in anticipation. That way, if there is a market crash, investors have cash on hand and are ready to deploy it in buying excellent stocks at lower prices.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>爱彼迎现在的生意可以说比疫情之前更好。</li><li>苹果的iPhone正在为其生态系统吸引新客户。</li><li>亚马逊利润更高的细分市场增长更快。</li></ul>股市崩盘几乎不可能准确预测。然而,投资者可以通过在投资组合中预留额外现金来为崩盘做好准备。这样,如果市场崩盘,投资者手头就有现金,并准备用它以较低的价格购买优质股票。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, if there is a stock market crash in 2022,<b>Airbnb</b>(NASDAQ:ABNB),<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL), and <b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) are three stocks you can buy in a heartbeat. Let's look closer at the case for why each stock deserves a spot in your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>在这方面,如果2022年出现股市崩盘,<b>爱彼迎</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:ABNB)<b>苹果</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL),以及<b>亚马逊</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)是您可以立即购买的三只股票。让我们仔细看看为什么每只股票都值得在您的投资组合中占有一席之地。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3131619f7941ecc473ad8787d0fa380d\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb</b></p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎</b></blockquote></p><p> The worldwide facilitator of travel, Airbnb is steadily recovering from the devastation caused by the coronavirus pandemic. After two years of growth, Airbnb's revenue decreased 30% to $3.4 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球旅行的促进者,爱彼迎正在从冠状病毒疫情造成的破坏中稳步恢复。经过两年的增长,Airbnb 的收入在 2020 年下降了 30%,至 34 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Thankfully, several effective vaccines have been developed against COVID-19, and that's made folks more willing to travel again in 2021. So sales are bouncing back at Airbnb. In its most recent fiscal quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue was up 36% over the comparable pre-pandemic quarter in 2019. Even more impressively, net income increased to $834 million in the third quarter, up from $267 million in Q3 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>值得庆幸的是,已经开发出了几种针对新冠肺炎的有效疫苗,这使得人们更愿意在2021年再次旅行。因此,爱彼迎的销售额正在反弹。在截至 9 月 30 日的最近一个财政季度中,收入比 2019 年大流行前的可比季度增长了 36%。更令人印象深刻的是,第三季度净利润从 2019 年第三季度的 2.67 亿美元增至 8.34 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is gaining traction in the lucrative travel and resort industry that could be worth over $1 trillion in sales annually. Folks can often find places to stay on Airbnb's platform that are better fitted to their needs compared to hotels, which are less customizable.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在利润丰厚的旅游和度假行业越来越受欢迎,年销售额可能超过 1 万亿美元。与不太可定制的酒店相比,人们通常可以在Airbnb的平台上找到更适合他们需求的住宿地点。</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb's stock is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 59 -- its lowest all year -- and a stock market crash could cause it to sell at an even lower price.</p><p><blockquote>Airbnb 的股票交易价格与自由现金流比为 59,为全年最低水平,股市崩盘可能会导致其以更低的价格出售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> Unlike Airbnb, Apple's business has been thriving since the pandemic's onset. The company's products are more valuable to people working, learning, and entertaining themselves at home.</p><p><blockquote>与爱彼迎不同,自疫情爆发以来,苹果的业务一直蓬勃发展。该公司的产品对在家工作、学习和娱乐的人来说更有价值。</blockquote></p><p> But that's not the only factor driving sales higher for Apple. The tech giant has done a masterful job updating legacy products like the iPhone in a fashion that keeps consumers interested. The most recent iPhone update has increased sales of the product to $192 billion in its latest fiscal year ended Sept. 25, up from $138 billion a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>但这并不是推动苹果销量增长的唯一因素。这家科技巨头在更新iPhone等传统产品方面做得非常出色,以保持消费者兴趣的方式。最新的 iPhone 更新将该产品在截至 9 月 25 日的最新财年的销售额从一年前的 1380 亿美元增加到 1920 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has proven this capability for years. In the past decade alone, its revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 12.9%. That's a difficult feat for a company the size of Apple with sales of $366 billion in its fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote>苹果多年来已经证明了这种能力。仅在过去十年中,其收入就以12.9%的复合年增长率增长。对于苹果这样规模、2021 财年销售额达 3660 亿美元的公司来说,这是一项艰巨的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, sales of its products are bringing customers into its ecosystem -- and once with Apple, consumers tend to stick around. Indeed, sales from its services segment totaled $54 billion in 2021, and those sales produce a higher profit margin than its products do.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,其产品的销售正在将客户带入其生态系统——一旦有了苹果,消费者往往会留下来。事实上,2021 年其服务部门的销售额总计 540 亿美元,这些销售额产生的利润率高于其产品。</blockquote></p><p> One of the only downsides to Apple's stock is its price. The company is approaching a $3 trillion market cap and is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 31 -- near the highs of the past decade. A stock market crash could alleviate some valuation concerns and allow you to buy Apple stock at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票唯一的缺点之一是其价格。该公司的市值接近 3 万亿美元,交易价格与自由现金流比为 31,接近过去十年的高点。股市崩盘可能会缓解一些估值担忧,并让您以较低的价格购买苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> Sales at Amazon, the titan of online retailers, have been surging throughout the pandemic. The company stepped up and delivered while hundreds of millions of folks were looking to avoid shopping in person for fear of contracting COVID-19. Indeed, from fiscal 2019 to 2020, Amazon's sales rose by more than $100 billion. The 37.6% increase in year-over-year sales drove operating profits from $14.5 billion to $22.9 billion. Amazon has gained millions of customers during the pandemic, and undoubtedly many of them will stick around long after.</p><p><blockquote>在线零售商巨头亚马逊的销售额在整个疫情期间一直在飙升。当数亿人因害怕感染 COVID-19 而避免亲自购物时,该公司挺身而出并交付了货物。事实上,从2019财年到2020财年,亚马逊的销售额增长了超过1000亿美元。销售额同比增长 37.6%,推动营业利润从 145 亿美元增至 229 亿美元。亚马逊在疫情期间获得了数百万客户,毫无疑问,他们中的许多人将在很长一段时间后留下来。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster than the company overall. In the most recent quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue from its Amazon Web Services segment (which provides cloud computing to businesses) rose 39% year over year to $16.1 billion while the category that includes advertising revenue jumped 49% to $8.1 billion. In fact, since Q2 2020, the ad revenue category has nearly doubled.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是,亚马逊利润更高的部门增长速度超过了公司整体增长速度。在截至9月30日的最近一个季度,亚马逊网络服务部门(为企业提供云计算)的收入同比增长39%,达到161亿美元,而包括广告收入在内的类别增长49%,达到81亿美元。事实上,自2020年Q2以来,广告收入类别几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is riding multiple tailwinds, including increased shopping online as well as greater advertising online. These trends could propel sales growth for several more years. Amazon's stock is not cheap, trading at a price-to-free-cash flow ratio of 239 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 66, but a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy it at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊正乘着多重顺风,包括增加在线购物以及增加在线广告。这些趋势可能会推动未来几年的销售增长。亚马逊的股票并不便宜,市盈率为239,市盈率为66,但股市崩盘可能会给投资者一个以较低价格买入的机会。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Airbnb, Apple, and Amazon are all excellent businesses with solid prospects over several years. If there's a stock market crash in 2022 that sends these stocks lower, investors should jump at the opportunity to buy them.</p><p><blockquote>Airbnb、苹果和亚马逊都是优秀的企业,在几年内前景光明。如果 2022 年股市崩盘导致这些股票下跌,投资者应该抓住机会买入它们。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果 2022 年股市崩盘,值得立即购买的 3 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Buy in a Heartbeat If There's a Stock Market Crash in 2022<blockquote>如果 2022 年股市崩盘,值得立即购买的 3 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-22 11:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Airbnb is arguably a better business now than before the pandemic.</li> <li>Apple's iPhone is capturing new customers for its ecosystem.</li> <li>Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster.</li> </ul> Stock market crashes are nearly impossible to predict with any precision. However, investors can prepare for a crash by setting aside extra cash in their portfolios in anticipation. That way, if there is a market crash, investors have cash on hand and are ready to deploy it in buying excellent stocks at lower prices.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>爱彼迎现在的生意可以说比疫情之前更好。</li><li>苹果的iPhone正在为其生态系统吸引新客户。</li><li>亚马逊利润更高的细分市场增长更快。</li></ul>股市崩盘几乎不可能准确预测。然而,投资者可以通过在投资组合中预留额外现金来为崩盘做好准备。这样,如果市场崩盘,投资者手头就有现金,并准备用它以较低的价格购买优质股票。</blockquote></p><p> In that regard, if there is a stock market crash in 2022,<b>Airbnb</b>(NASDAQ:ABNB),<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ:AAPL), and <b>Amazon</b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) are three stocks you can buy in a heartbeat. Let's look closer at the case for why each stock deserves a spot in your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>在这方面,如果2022年出现股市崩盘,<b>爱彼迎</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:ABNB)<b>苹果</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL),以及<b>亚马逊</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)是您可以立即购买的三只股票。让我们仔细看看为什么每只股票都值得在您的投资组合中占有一席之地。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3131619f7941ecc473ad8787d0fa380d\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Airbnb</b></p><p><blockquote><b>爱彼迎</b></blockquote></p><p> The worldwide facilitator of travel, Airbnb is steadily recovering from the devastation caused by the coronavirus pandemic. After two years of growth, Airbnb's revenue decreased 30% to $3.4 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球旅行的促进者,爱彼迎正在从冠状病毒疫情造成的破坏中稳步恢复。经过两年的增长,Airbnb 的收入在 2020 年下降了 30%,至 34 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Thankfully, several effective vaccines have been developed against COVID-19, and that's made folks more willing to travel again in 2021. So sales are bouncing back at Airbnb. In its most recent fiscal quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue was up 36% over the comparable pre-pandemic quarter in 2019. Even more impressively, net income increased to $834 million in the third quarter, up from $267 million in Q3 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>值得庆幸的是,已经开发出了几种针对新冠肺炎的有效疫苗,这使得人们更愿意在2021年再次旅行。因此,爱彼迎的销售额正在反弹。在截至 9 月 30 日的最近一个财政季度中,收入比 2019 年大流行前的可比季度增长了 36%。更令人印象深刻的是,第三季度净利润从 2019 年第三季度的 2.67 亿美元增至 8.34 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The company is gaining traction in the lucrative travel and resort industry that could be worth over $1 trillion in sales annually. Folks can often find places to stay on Airbnb's platform that are better fitted to their needs compared to hotels, which are less customizable.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在利润丰厚的旅游和度假行业越来越受欢迎,年销售额可能超过 1 万亿美元。与不太可定制的酒店相比,人们通常可以在Airbnb的平台上找到更适合他们需求的住宿地点。</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb's stock is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 59 -- its lowest all year -- and a stock market crash could cause it to sell at an even lower price.</p><p><blockquote>Airbnb 的股票交易价格与自由现金流比为 59,为全年最低水平,股市崩盘可能会导致其以更低的价格出售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> Unlike Airbnb, Apple's business has been thriving since the pandemic's onset. The company's products are more valuable to people working, learning, and entertaining themselves at home.</p><p><blockquote>与爱彼迎不同,自疫情爆发以来,苹果的业务一直蓬勃发展。该公司的产品对在家工作、学习和娱乐的人来说更有价值。</blockquote></p><p> But that's not the only factor driving sales higher for Apple. The tech giant has done a masterful job updating legacy products like the iPhone in a fashion that keeps consumers interested. The most recent iPhone update has increased sales of the product to $192 billion in its latest fiscal year ended Sept. 25, up from $138 billion a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>但这并不是推动苹果销量增长的唯一因素。这家科技巨头在更新iPhone等传统产品方面做得非常出色,以保持消费者兴趣的方式。最新的 iPhone 更新将该产品在截至 9 月 25 日的最新财年的销售额从一年前的 1380 亿美元增加到 1920 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has proven this capability for years. In the past decade alone, its revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 12.9%. That's a difficult feat for a company the size of Apple with sales of $366 billion in its fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote>苹果多年来已经证明了这种能力。仅在过去十年中,其收入就以12.9%的复合年增长率增长。对于苹果这样规模、2021 财年销售额达 3660 亿美元的公司来说,这是一项艰巨的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, sales of its products are bringing customers into its ecosystem -- and once with Apple, consumers tend to stick around. Indeed, sales from its services segment totaled $54 billion in 2021, and those sales produce a higher profit margin than its products do.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,其产品的销售正在将客户带入其生态系统——一旦有了苹果,消费者往往会留下来。事实上,2021 年其服务部门的销售额总计 540 亿美元,这些销售额产生的利润率高于其产品。</blockquote></p><p> One of the only downsides to Apple's stock is its price. The company is approaching a $3 trillion market cap and is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 31 -- near the highs of the past decade. A stock market crash could alleviate some valuation concerns and allow you to buy Apple stock at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票唯一的缺点之一是其价格。该公司的市值接近 3 万亿美元,交易价格与自由现金流比为 31,接近过去十年的高点。股市崩盘可能会缓解一些估值担忧,并让您以较低的价格购买苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> Sales at Amazon, the titan of online retailers, have been surging throughout the pandemic. The company stepped up and delivered while hundreds of millions of folks were looking to avoid shopping in person for fear of contracting COVID-19. Indeed, from fiscal 2019 to 2020, Amazon's sales rose by more than $100 billion. The 37.6% increase in year-over-year sales drove operating profits from $14.5 billion to $22.9 billion. Amazon has gained millions of customers during the pandemic, and undoubtedly many of them will stick around long after.</p><p><blockquote>在线零售商巨头亚马逊的销售额在整个疫情期间一直在飙升。当数亿人因害怕感染 COVID-19 而避免亲自购物时,该公司挺身而出并交付了货物。事实上,从2019财年到2020财年,亚马逊的销售额增长了超过1000亿美元。销售额同比增长 37.6%,推动营业利润从 145 亿美元增至 229 亿美元。亚马逊在疫情期间获得了数百万客户,毫无疑问,他们中的许多人将在很长一段时间后留下来。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster than the company overall. In the most recent quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue from its Amazon Web Services segment (which provides cloud computing to businesses) rose 39% year over year to $16.1 billion while the category that includes advertising revenue jumped 49% to $8.1 billion. In fact, since Q2 2020, the ad revenue category has nearly doubled.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是,亚马逊利润更高的部门增长速度超过了公司整体增长速度。在截至9月30日的最近一个季度,亚马逊网络服务部门(为企业提供云计算)的收入同比增长39%,达到161亿美元,而包括广告收入在内的类别增长49%,达到81亿美元。事实上,自2020年Q2以来,广告收入类别几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is riding multiple tailwinds, including increased shopping online as well as greater advertising online. These trends could propel sales growth for several more years. Amazon's stock is not cheap, trading at a price-to-free-cash flow ratio of 239 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 66, but a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy it at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊正乘着多重顺风,包括增加在线购物以及增加在线广告。这些趋势可能会推动未来几年的销售增长。亚马逊的股票并不便宜,市盈率为239,市盈率为66,但股市崩盘可能会给投资者一个以较低价格买入的机会。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Airbnb, Apple, and Amazon are all excellent businesses with solid prospects over several years. If there's a stock market crash in 2022 that sends these stocks lower, investors should jump at the opportunity to buy them.</p><p><blockquote>Airbnb、苹果和亚马逊都是优秀的企业,在几年内前景光明。如果 2022 年股市崩盘导致这些股票下跌,投资者应该抓住机会买入它们。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/3-stocks-to-buy-in-stockmarket-crash-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABNB":"爱彼迎","AMZN":"亚马逊","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/3-stocks-to-buy-in-stockmarket-crash-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157657338","content_text":"Key Points\n\nAirbnb is arguably a better business now than before the pandemic.\nApple's iPhone is capturing new customers for its ecosystem.\nAmazon's more profitable segments are growing faster.\n\nStock market crashes are nearly impossible to predict with any precision. However, investors can prepare for a crash by setting aside extra cash in their portfolios in anticipation. That way, if there is a market crash, investors have cash on hand and are ready to deploy it in buying excellent stocks at lower prices.\nIn that regard, if there is a stock market crash in 2022,Airbnb(NASDAQ:ABNB),Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), and Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN) are three stocks you can buy in a heartbeat. Let's look closer at the case for why each stock deserves a spot in your portfolio.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nAirbnb\nThe worldwide facilitator of travel, Airbnb is steadily recovering from the devastation caused by the coronavirus pandemic. After two years of growth, Airbnb's revenue decreased 30% to $3.4 billion in 2020.\nThankfully, several effective vaccines have been developed against COVID-19, and that's made folks more willing to travel again in 2021. So sales are bouncing back at Airbnb. In its most recent fiscal quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue was up 36% over the comparable pre-pandemic quarter in 2019. Even more impressively, net income increased to $834 million in the third quarter, up from $267 million in Q3 of 2019.\nThe company is gaining traction in the lucrative travel and resort industry that could be worth over $1 trillion in sales annually. Folks can often find places to stay on Airbnb's platform that are better fitted to their needs compared to hotels, which are less customizable.\nAirbnb's stock is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 59 -- its lowest all year -- and a stock market crash could cause it to sell at an even lower price.\nApple\nUnlike Airbnb, Apple's business has been thriving since the pandemic's onset. The company's products are more valuable to people working, learning, and entertaining themselves at home.\nBut that's not the only factor driving sales higher for Apple. The tech giant has done a masterful job updating legacy products like the iPhone in a fashion that keeps consumers interested. The most recent iPhone update has increased sales of the product to $192 billion in its latest fiscal year ended Sept. 25, up from $138 billion a year ago.\nApple has proven this capability for years. In the past decade alone, its revenue has grown at a compound annual rate of 12.9%. That's a difficult feat for a company the size of Apple with sales of $366 billion in its fiscal 2021.\nWhat's more, sales of its products are bringing customers into its ecosystem -- and once with Apple, consumers tend to stick around. Indeed, sales from its services segment totaled $54 billion in 2021, and those sales produce a higher profit margin than its products do.\nOne of the only downsides to Apple's stock is its price. The company is approaching a $3 trillion market cap and is trading at a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 31 -- near the highs of the past decade. A stock market crash could alleviate some valuation concerns and allow you to buy Apple stock at a lower price.\nAmazon\nSales at Amazon, the titan of online retailers, have been surging throughout the pandemic. The company stepped up and delivered while hundreds of millions of folks were looking to avoid shopping in person for fear of contracting COVID-19. Indeed, from fiscal 2019 to 2020, Amazon's sales rose by more than $100 billion. The 37.6% increase in year-over-year sales drove operating profits from $14.5 billion to $22.9 billion. Amazon has gained millions of customers during the pandemic, and undoubtedly many of them will stick around long after.\nInterestingly, Amazon's more profitable segments are growing faster than the company overall. In the most recent quarter ended Sept. 30, revenue from its Amazon Web Services segment (which provides cloud computing to businesses) rose 39% year over year to $16.1 billion while the category that includes advertising revenue jumped 49% to $8.1 billion. In fact, since Q2 2020, the ad revenue category has nearly doubled.\nAmazon is riding multiple tailwinds, including increased shopping online as well as greater advertising online. These trends could propel sales growth for several more years. Amazon's stock is not cheap, trading at a price-to-free-cash flow ratio of 239 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 66, but a stock market crash could give investors a chance to buy it at a lower price.\nAirbnb, Apple, and Amazon are all excellent businesses with solid prospects over several years. If there's a stock market crash in 2022 that sends these stocks lower, investors should jump at the opportunity to buy them.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"ABNB":0.9,"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693586593,"gmtCreate":1640050321421,"gmtModify":1640050324069,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693586593","repostId":"2193761136","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693921162,"gmtCreate":1639962885869,"gmtModify":1639962886111,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693921162","repostId":"1146401633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699449766,"gmtCreate":1639882243958,"gmtModify":1639882244159,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699449766","repostId":"2192903795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872808890,"gmtCreate":1637466565413,"gmtModify":1637466565516,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872808890","repostId":"1156888846","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156888846","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637465976,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1156888846?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-21 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Ford Is Terminating Its Joint EV Development Plan With Rivian?<blockquote>福特为何终止与Rivian的联合电动汽车开发计划?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156888846","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Ford Motor Company, which is one of the early backers of EV startup Rivian Automotive, Inc., is shel","content":"<p><div> Ford Motor Company, which is one of the early backers of EV startup Rivian Automotive, Inc., is shelving its plan to develop an EV with the latter altogether. What Happened:As Ford steps on the gas on...</p><p><blockquote><div>福特汽车公司是电动汽车初创公司Rivian汽车公司的早期支持者之一,该公司完全搁置了与后者共同开发电动汽车的计划。发生了什么:当福特踩油门时……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Ford Is Terminating Its Joint EV Development Plan With Rivian?<blockquote>福特为何终止与Rivian的联合电动汽车开发计划?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Ford Is Terminating Its Joint EV Development Plan With Rivian?<blockquote>福特为何终止与Rivian的联合电动汽车开发计划?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-21 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Ford Motor Company, which is one of the early backers of EV startup Rivian Automotive, Inc., is shelving its plan to develop an EV with the latter altogether. What Happened:As Ford steps on the gas on...</p><p><blockquote><div>福特汽车公司是电动汽车初创公司Rivian汽车公司的早期支持者之一,该公司完全搁置了与后者共同开发电动汽车的计划。发生了什么:当福特踩油门时……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156888846","content_text":"Ford Motor Company, which is one of the early backers of EV startup Rivian Automotive, Inc., is shelving its plan to develop an EV with the latter altogether.\nWhat Happened:As Ford steps on the gas on its EV transition, the Detroit-based automaker has decided to abandon it plans to jointly develop an EV with Rivian, CEO Jim Farley said in an interview with Automotive News.\nFarley said Ford expects to produce 600,000 vehicles per year by the end of 2023.\nWhen Ford initially invested $500 million in Rivian in 2019, it envisaged developing a Ford branded EV that will come with Rivian's skateboard powertrain. In early 2020, the companies said they are shelving the plans for a Lincoln-branded EV but would go ahead with an alternative vehicle based on Rivian technology.\nThe Ford CEO suggested in the interview that the company is now increasingly confident in competing in the EV space by itself. Another handicap that forced the going-solo decision was the complexities involved in integrating the hardware and software together.\nWhy It's Important:Rivian shares debuted on Wall Street on Nov. 10 following aninitial public offeringat a bumper valuation of over $100 billion. The company's strong debut and the subsequent run up in shares have raised eyebrows over its valuation which has taken it past the market capitalization of legacy U.S. automakers, including Ford.\nRivian's product pipeline consists of RIT, an EV pickup truck, which it began delivering to customers in September. As of Oct. 30, the company produced 180 R1Ts and delivered 156 R1Ts, with the bulk of them going to the company's employees.\nThe company noted that at the end of October, it had preorders of about 55,400 R1Ts and R1Ss. It expects to fill the preorder backlog by the end of 2023.\nFord, for its part, has doubled on itsEV strategyand invested big dollars into its transition toward EVs.\n\"We respect Rivian and have had extensive exploratory discussions with them, however, both sides have agreed not to pursue any kind of joint vehicle development or platform sharing,\" Ford said in an emailed statement to media.\nRivian, meanwhile, confirmed that it is a mutual decision to focus on each of their own projects and deliveries, given Ford has scaled its own EV strategy and demand for Rivian vehicles has grown.\n\"Our relationship with Ford is an important part of our journey, and Ford remains an investor and ally on our shared path to an electrified future\" a Rivian spokesperson said.\nRivian closed Friday's session up 4.23% at $128.60, while Ford closed down 0.87% at $19.39.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870472196,"gmtCreate":1636644455864,"gmtModify":1636644456232,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559187781517417","authorIdStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQ5.SI\">$FRASERS PROPERTY LIMITED(TQ5.SI)$</a>up up up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQ5.SI\">$FRASERS PROPERTY LIMITED(TQ5.SI)$</a>up up up","text":"$FRASERS PROPERTY LIMITED(TQ5.SI)$up up 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What Happened:As Ford steps on the gas on...</p><p><blockquote><div>福特汽车公司是电动汽车初创公司Rivian汽车公司的早期支持者之一,该公司完全搁置了与后者共同开发电动汽车的计划。发生了什么:当福特踩油门时……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Ford Is Terminating Its Joint EV Development Plan With Rivian?<blockquote>福特为何终止与Rivian的联合电动汽车开发计划?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Ford Is Terminating Its Joint EV Development Plan With Rivian?<blockquote>福特为何终止与Rivian的联合电动汽车开发计划?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-21 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Ford Motor Company, which is one of the early backers of EV startup Rivian Automotive, Inc., is shelving its plan to develop an EV with the latter altogether. What Happened:As Ford steps on the gas on...</p><p><blockquote><div>福特汽车公司是电动汽车初创公司Rivian汽车公司的早期支持者之一,该公司完全搁置了与后者共同开发电动汽车的计划。发生了什么:当福特踩油门时……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/11/24209309/why-ford-is-terminating-its-joint-ev-development-plan-with-rivian","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156888846","content_text":"Ford Motor Company, which is one of the early backers of EV startup Rivian Automotive, Inc., is shelving its plan to develop an EV with the latter altogether.\nWhat Happened:As Ford steps on the gas on its EV transition, the Detroit-based automaker has decided to abandon it plans to jointly develop an EV with Rivian, CEO Jim Farley said in an interview with Automotive News.\nFarley said Ford expects to produce 600,000 vehicles per year by the end of 2023.\nWhen Ford initially invested $500 million in Rivian in 2019, it envisaged developing a Ford branded EV that will come with Rivian's skateboard powertrain. In early 2020, the companies said they are shelving the plans for a Lincoln-branded EV but would go ahead with an alternative vehicle based on Rivian technology.\nThe Ford CEO suggested in the interview that the company is now increasingly confident in competing in the EV space by itself. Another handicap that forced the going-solo decision was the complexities involved in integrating the hardware and software together.\nWhy It's Important:Rivian shares debuted on Wall Street on Nov. 10 following aninitial public offeringat a bumper valuation of over $100 billion. The company's strong debut and the subsequent run up in shares have raised eyebrows over its valuation which has taken it past the market capitalization of legacy U.S. automakers, including Ford.\nRivian's product pipeline consists of RIT, an EV pickup truck, which it began delivering to customers in September. As of Oct. 30, the company produced 180 R1Ts and delivered 156 R1Ts, with the bulk of them going to the company's employees.\nThe company noted that at the end of October, it had preorders of about 55,400 R1Ts and R1Ss. It expects to fill the preorder backlog by the end of 2023.\nFord, for its part, has doubled on itsEV strategyand invested big dollars into its transition toward EVs.\n\"We respect Rivian and have had extensive exploratory discussions with them, however, both sides have agreed not to pursue any kind of joint vehicle development or platform sharing,\" Ford said in an emailed statement to media.\nRivian, meanwhile, confirmed that it is a mutual decision to focus on each of their own projects and deliveries, given Ford has scaled its own EV strategy and demand for Rivian vehicles has grown.\n\"Our relationship with Ford is an important part of our journey, and Ford remains an investor and ally on our shared path to an electrified future\" a Rivian spokesperson said.\nRivian closed Friday's session up 4.23% at $128.60, while Ford closed down 0.87% at $19.39.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817334680,"gmtCreate":1630905516940,"gmtModify":1631883638797,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559187781517417","idStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>getting greedy","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HST.SI\">$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$</a>getting greedy","text":"$Lion-OCBC Sec HSTECH S$(HST.SI)$getting 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buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896347496","repostId":"1142685473","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":698772198,"gmtCreate":1640567078221,"gmtModify":1640567189611,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559187781517417","idStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698772198","repostId":"2194177239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2194177239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640559609,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2194177239?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表:本周须知</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500 is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周归来,进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表:本周须知</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表:本周须知</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周归来,进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","FCEL":"燃料电池能源","BK4096":"电气部件与设备","BK4541":"氢能源"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCEL":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":836733701,"gmtCreate":1629521312803,"gmtModify":1631891962676,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559187781517417","idStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy buy ","listText":"Buy buy ","text":"Buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836733701","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中,芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要大。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%,而标准普尔 500 指数、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为 2% 或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股票值得买入?或者,这个历史上具有周期性的行业是否故技重施,陷入持续下跌趋势,让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表,但如果您喜欢持有股票多年,而不是租用几天,那么该集团值得购买。主要原因: “这次不一样”。</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>这些无疑是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了很大的变化,现在确实不同了——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险,那你就是个傻瓜。我会回顾一下这些。但首先,以下是该集团现在 “更安全 ”的三个主要原因--以及我在过去几天里与六位行业专家交谈过的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>“Impax Asset Management 的投资组合经理 David Winborne 说:”受产品周期的驱动,芯片行业的需求总是时好时坏。“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>电脑,然后是服务器,然后是电话。”但他表示,现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大,因此长期增长故事更可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益 “数字化 ”,终端市场需求从各个角度都更加多样化。把远程办公服务想象成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>看好该集团的 Gabelli Funds 投资组合经理兼技术分析师 Hendi Susanto 指出,网上购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G 手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>“Motley Fool 芯片行业分析师 John Rotonti 说:”现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。“这意味着所有东西都有更多的筹码。长期需求是存在的”。</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他没开玩笑。威廉·布莱尔分析师格雷格·斯科拉罗预测,到2030年,芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番,达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着,你听到的大范围供应短缺 “可能要到明年年底的某个时候才能得到解决”。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师 Vivek Arya。“这不仅是我们的观点,而且<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>大多数大客户都证实了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、玩家巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上下游,从设计到各类设备生产商再到制造,行业参与者已经整合成罗通蒂-评级 “赢得 ”的双头垄断或垄断。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中,你有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面,公司在极紫外光刻 (EUV) 等专业领域占据主导地位,例如 ASML。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好,赢得了他们的利基或双寡头地位。这使得投资者对它们感兴趣。Rotonti 表示,整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面的行为更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所改善</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为,加上成本削减,意味着现在的盈利能力比历史上高得多。“温伯恩说:”在过去的几年里,芯片制造的经济性有了很大的改善。现金流或 EBITDA 利润率现在通常超过 30%,而十年前则在 20% 左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere & Co. 的投资组合经理拉马尔·维莱尔 (Lamar Villere) 指出,尽管芯片股票的交易市盈率约为市盈率,但它们看起来很便宜,因为它们是更好的公司。“他们并没有以泡沫倍数进行交易”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近核实的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新管理层玩法</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Thrivent 高级股票研究分析师彼得·卡拉泽里斯 (Peter Karazeris) 有理由对该集团持谨慎态度(见下文),但他特别指出了两家公司的业绩可能会因为新管理层而得到提振:高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳定的盈利能力。高通最近受到德克萨斯州恶劣天气等一次性问题的打击,导致生产中断,但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">半导体</a>正在将手机以外的领域扩展到汽车、工业和物联网等新领域——联网设备领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris 还特别提到了 Nvidia, 由于其卓越的设计能力, Nvidia 从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得了持续提振。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计,当高通和英伟达等公司想要设计芯片时,他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">概要</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool 的 Rotonti 解释说,他们基于软件的设计工具可以帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图,他特别指出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上增长最快的公司,但他们的利润率很高”。他们也主宰了太空。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图应用到硅上,台积电和三星等公司转向了ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板印在硅片上,这一过程称为极紫外线光刻。“罗通蒂说:”其他人还没有想出怎么做。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,它在供应这样做的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供过于求</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多,这样它就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne 表示,希望到 2025 年生产其使用的芯片的 70%,高于目前的 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>结果是,政府为促进制造业提供了大量支持,因此会有更多支持。风险是未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的采购,导致未来的平静,这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润率趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计,这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair 的 Scolaro 指出,使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流,但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>干扰信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人 (PMI) 指数在 4 月份达到峰值,然后连续三个月放缓。与此同时,芯片销售持续增长。Thrivent 跟踪该指标的 Karazeris 指出,通常两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存积累,而库存积累不如真正的终端市场需求可持续。因此,他认为这种背离是芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器(DRAM)芯片定价的预测疲软。“卡拉泽里斯说:”这些通常是在周期的顶部而不是底部看到的东西。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但也有可能全球采购经理人指数的放缓更多的是芯片短缺的反映,而不是短缺并非真实存在的迹象(只是库存积压)。“Leuthold 经济学家兼策略师吉姆-保尔森(Jim Paulsen)说:”这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会翻盘消亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如,福特刚刚宣布不得不减产是因为芯片短缺,而不是潜在需求不足。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测,由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及对大件商品被压抑的需求等因素,体面的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的,持续的经济实力将支撑对所有使用芯片的产品的需求,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股的回调——长期关注这 6 家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中,芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要大。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares 半导体 ETF 较近期高点下跌超过 6%,而标准普尔 500 指数、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为 2% 或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股票值得买入?或者,这个历史上具有周期性的行业是否故技重施,陷入持续下跌趋势,让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表,但如果您喜欢持有股票多年,而不是租用几天,那么该集团值得购买。主要原因: “这次不一样”。</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>这些无疑是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了很大的变化,现在确实不同了——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险,那你就是个傻瓜。我会回顾一下这些。但首先,以下是该集团现在 “更安全 ”的三个主要原因--以及我在过去几天里与六位行业专家交谈过的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>“Impax Asset Management 的投资组合经理 David Winborne 说:”受产品周期的驱动,芯片行业的需求总是时好时坏。“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>电脑,然后是服务器,然后是电话。”但他表示,现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大,因此长期增长故事更可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益 “数字化 ”,终端市场需求从各个角度都更加多样化。把远程办公服务想象成<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>看好该集团的 Gabelli Funds 投资组合经理兼技术分析师 Hendi Susanto 指出,网上购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G 手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>“Motley Fool 芯片行业分析师 John Rotonti 说:”现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。“这意味着所有东西都有更多的筹码。长期需求是存在的”。</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他没开玩笑。威廉·布莱尔分析师格雷格·斯科拉罗预测,到2030年,芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番,达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着,你听到的大范围供应短缺 “可能要到明年年底的某个时候才能得到解决”。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师 Vivek Arya。“这不仅是我们的观点,而且<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>大多数大客户都证实了这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、玩家巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上下游,从设计到各类设备生产商再到制造,行业参与者已经整合成罗通蒂-评级 “赢得 ”的双头垄断或垄断。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中,你有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面,公司在极紫外光刻 (EUV) 等专业领域占据主导地位,例如 ASML。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好,赢得了他们的利基或双寡头地位。这使得投资者对它们感兴趣。Rotonti 表示,整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面的行为更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所改善</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为,加上成本削减,意味着现在的盈利能力比历史上高得多。“温伯恩说:”在过去的几年里,芯片制造的经济性有了很大的改善。现金流或 EBITDA 利润率现在通常超过 30%,而十年前则在 20% 左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere & Co. 的投资组合经理拉马尔·维莱尔 (Lamar Villere) 指出,尽管芯片股票的交易市盈率约为市盈率,但它们看起来很便宜,因为它们是更好的公司。“他们并没有以泡沫倍数进行交易”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近核实的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新管理层玩法</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Thrivent 高级股票研究分析师彼得·卡拉泽里斯 (Peter Karazeris) 有理由对该集团持谨慎态度(见下文),但他特别指出了两家公司的业绩可能会因为新管理层而得到提振:高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳定的盈利能力。高通最近受到德克萨斯州恶劣天气等一次性问题的打击,导致生产中断,但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">半导体</a>正在将手机以外的领域扩展到汽车、工业和物联网等新领域——联网设备领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris 还特别提到了 Nvidia, 由于其卓越的设计能力, Nvidia 从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得了持续提振。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计,当高通和英伟达等公司想要设计芯片时,他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">概要</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool 的 Rotonti 解释说,他们基于软件的设计工具可以帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图,他特别指出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上增长最快的公司,但他们的利润率很高”。他们也主宰了太空。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图应用到硅上,台积电和三星等公司转向了ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板印在硅片上,这一过程称为极紫外线光刻。“罗通蒂说:”其他人还没有想出怎么做。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,它在供应这样做的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供过于求</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多,这样它就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne 表示,希望到 2025 年生产其使用的芯片的 70%,高于目前的 5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>结果是,政府为促进制造业提供了大量支持,因此会有更多支持。风险是未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的采购,导致未来的平静,这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润率趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计,这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair 的 Scolaro 指出,使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流,但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>干扰信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人 (PMI) 指数在 4 月份达到峰值,然后连续三个月放缓。与此同时,芯片销售持续增长。Thrivent 跟踪该指标的 Karazeris 指出,通常两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存积累,而库存积累不如真正的终端市场需求可持续。因此,他认为这种背离是芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器(DRAM)芯片定价的预测疲软。“卡拉泽里斯说:”这些通常是在周期的顶部而不是底部看到的东西。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但也有可能全球采购经理人指数的放缓更多的是芯片短缺的反映,而不是短缺并非真实存在的迹象(只是库存积压)。“Leuthold 经济学家兼策略师吉姆-保尔森(Jim Paulsen)说:”这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会翻盘消亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如,福特刚刚宣布不得不减产是因为芯片短缺,而不是潜在需求不足。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测,由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及对大件商品被压抑的需求等因素,体面的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的,持续的经济实力将支撑对所有使用芯片的产品的需求,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SSNLF":"三星电子","TSM":"台积电","AAPL":"苹果","GOOG":"谷歌","AMZN":"亚马逊","ON":"安森美半导体","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","SNPS":"新思科技","QCOM":"高通","CDNS":"铿腾电子","NVDA":"英伟达","GOOGL":"谷歌A","ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOG":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"ON":0.9,"SOXX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890460386,"gmtCreate":1628128636945,"gmtModify":1631893701298,"author":{"id":"3559187781517417","authorId":"3559187781517417","name":"ClickLike","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31a83d87dc5a6faa4338cc140451880b","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559187781517417","idStr":"3559187781517417"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Up up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890460386","repostId":"2157483930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}