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Phoebella

Phoebella

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2021-04-22

Comment?

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2021-07-01

Hmm

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2021-04-10

Yes!!

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2021-05-27

Hi

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2021-02-26

Like

Wall Street Is Obsessed With an Apple Car. Why Tech Analysts Might Be Too Excited.<blockquote>华尔街痴迷于苹果汽车。为什么科技分析师可能过于兴奋。</blockquote>

2021-06-13

Hmm

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2021-06-01

Good

Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>

2021-05-17

Oh dear

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2021-04-08

Like

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2021-05-01

Nio nio nio

NIO rose more than 5%, after falling nearly 4% before<blockquote>蔚来涨超5%，此前跌近4%</blockquote>

2021-04-04

Like

How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大？</blockquote>

2021-04-03

Like

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2021-06-18

Sounds great

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2021-06-08

Up

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2021-03-12

I like

US Daylight Saving Time<blockquote>美国夏令时</blockquote>

2021-03-11

$Asensus Surgical, Inc.(ASXC)$TRXC was a nice ticker.. this is hard to remember..

2021-05-03

Ok

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2021-04-28

Like n comm

5 Small-Cap Stocks With 60% to 140% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只小盘股上涨60%至140%</blockquote>

2021-03-28

Let's go

Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉交付即将到来。它们比以往任何时候都重要。这是可以期待的。</blockquote>

2021-03-10

Finally

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Where?","listText":"High? Where?","text":"High? Where?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144108432","repostId":"1158673076","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1699,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158851065,"gmtCreate":1625145618557,"gmtModify":1633944313039,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559192645447375","authorIdStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158851065","repostId":"2148825736","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2710,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165888390,"gmtCreate":1624115973910,"gmtModify":1634010565828,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559192645447375","authorIdStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165888390","repostId":"1168762020","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1168762020","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623988654,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168762020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 11:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168762020","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithogra","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.</li>  <li>DUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.</li>  <li>ASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.</li>  <li>A true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.</li>  <li>Existing shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b5f81c309842f14fe1adffe3d6c9ca\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>MACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。</li><li>预计到2025年，DUV光刻将以8.4%的CAGR增长，而EUV光刻预计到2027年将以12%的CAGR增长。</li><li>ASML在EUV领域占据垄断地位，在DUV领域面临非常有限的竞争，这两个平台对半导体制造工艺绝对至关重要。</li><li>作为真正的创新者，ASML拥有出色的地位和增长前景，但股市早已认识到其潜力。</li><li>现有股东在享受这一旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，几乎没有安全边际，他们可能会通过平均成本法涉足水，以从推动ASML的强劲顺风中受益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>宏观照片/iStock来自Getty Images投资论文</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.</p><p><blockquote>ASML Holding(ASML)在其最先进的技术平台EUV光刻方面拥有无与伦比的市场地位，看不到竞争对手。同样，它在DUV内部面临的竞争非常有限，这两个平台对半导体制造都至关重要。半导体行业内家喻户晓的品牌属于制造商，但ASML等机械供应商通过广泛的技术知识和强大的工艺知识拥有非常强大的护城河，如果所有潜在竞争对手试图竞争，他们将落后数年。</blockquote></p><p> It's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.</p><p><blockquote>很难想象有比这更好的竞争形势了，尤其是在一个预计未来许多年增长将远高于总体GDP的行业运营时。然而，市场早已认识到ASML的突出潜力和潜力之旅，但它仍然可能低估了潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> I recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.</p><p><blockquote>我最近写了一篇关于如何不要拥有太多半导体敞口的文章。在分解了半导体制造的价值链后，我在评论区收到了许多关于ASML的问题，并决定进行跟进。我选择ASML是因为其独特的市场地位和潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Personally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我通过持有德州仪器(TXN)和博通公司(AVGO)的股票接触到了半导体价值链的制造水平，但进一步深入价值链，投资者可以被允许以更广泛的方式投资该行业，因为机械和软件供应商可以更广泛地接触大多数制造商，这使得它非常有趣，因为你可以采用“我真的不介意谁赢，只要他们在比赛”的口号。因此，价值链上游的潜在风险引起了极大的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来几年的市场和价值驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> For ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).</p><p><blockquote>对于ASML的追随者来说，这一点并不奇怪，但ASML在将推动其未来十年收入的产品中占据主导地位，即EUV（极紫外光刻）技术。我个人的看法是，在任何行业的任何地方都很难找到一家处于类似优势竞争地位的公司。ASML提供光刻设备，这是一种通过光源打印芯片特征的艺术，有多种光谱，其中最先进的是EUV，这是DUV（深紫外光刻）的下一代。对于DUV来说，尽管ASML拥有超过85%的巨大市场份额，但仍有竞争对手。DUV和EUV之间的区别在于，EUV的工作波长几乎比DUV小15倍（13.5 nm与193nm相比）。</blockquote></p><p> Actually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，5nm和即将到来的3nm等前沿芯片的半导体制造商非常依赖EUV机器。没有它，这根本不可能。对于那些能够制造这些机器的人来说，这听起来很划算，但只有一家公司能够做到这一点，那就是ASML。对于每一代新的EUV机器，其产量都会变得更好，吞吐量更高，停机问题也会减少，这意味着ASML实际上领先于任何试图接受挑战并挑战其主导地位的人。</blockquote></p><p> This is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个一切都与流程知识有关的行业。台积电(TSM)能够生产5纳米芯片，因为它能够生产7纳米芯片，它将能够生产3纳米芯片，因为它可以生产5纳米芯片，并且已经这样做了一百万次，这也是为什么它对英特尔公司如此有害。(INTC)不得不承认其在7纳米技术方面持续存在的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Quite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，如果你做不到5纳米，就没有3纳米，我在上一篇文章中也讨论过。ASML也是如此，因为如果竞争对手进入EUV领域，他们将落后ASML很多年，因为他们将面临十多年前困扰ASML的EUV早期的相同问题。我附上了他们最近一次投资者日的一些插图，这次投资者日发生在2018年11月，下一次投资者日将于2021年9月举行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edaa6b5a77f99726bbae61b032b9c208\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。6.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.</p><p><blockquote>上图清楚地说明了ASML在其EUV生命周期中获得的工艺知识。这也转化为每一代更好的EUV机器，其生产率的提高也证明了这一点。同样，考虑到竞争对手采用EUV技术需要多少时间和资金，我无法想象对一家公司来说还有比这更有利的竞争形势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85913766aea721e218e976e4f73349e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。16.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&amp;D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&amp;D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.</p><p><blockquote>半导体制造是一项残酷的业务，根据摩尔定律，大量的研发支出（ASML花费了60亿欧元的研发支出来发明EUV）推动芯片改进，这意味着ASML已经在研究下一代技术，称为高NA-EUV。高NA-EUV还有一段时间，下面的时间表略显过时，但其技术将显着改善EUV平台，并在本十年后为行业提供动力。开发技术、提高产量和减少停机时间需要时间，但EUV在市场扩张和利润率提高方面仍有大量机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7709f0f76b1619a31b32fc3330134005\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。21.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.</p><p><blockquote>ASML本身已经通过面向买方的附加产品和面向供应商的上游成本降低，在优化利润率方面制定了预期路径，为公司创造了一个最佳点，有效地努力实现与其更成熟的DUV平台相同的盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/809661531ad423f613fb44c26e0b3352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。25.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>如果这还不够好，那么再加上这样一个事实，即半导体行业总体预计至少在2028年之前将超过总体GDP，复合年增长率为8.6%。台积电、英特尔和三星电子公司（场外交易代码：SSNLF）最近的通讯显示了该行业的实力和增长潜力，他们预计未来十年的总资本支出将超过2000亿美元，其中很大一部分将在未来几年内实现。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中可以看出，ASML希望通过升级来增加客户价值，他们的DUV路线图可以作为一个例子，说明EUV的收入基础如何在未来几年扩大，就像DUV的情况一样。该公司已标记为安装基础管理。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ef7940a4b888c50159e5b9db4c0634\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，DUV产品和商机，第14页。10.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.</p><p><blockquote>当然，总有可能有一个强有力的竞争者进入市场，试图挑战ASML，但公司在该技术处于起步阶段时就试图进入该领域，但已经放弃了，这意味着主要威胁将是一种新的光刻技术的出现，对EUV的影响就像EUV对DUV所做的那样。可能当然，很可能，没那么多。为了强调这一点，我插入了ASML自己对光刻如何发挥作用的描述中的一段话。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   “  <i>Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.</i>”  <i>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</i>  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32572971943844c4e71ddfc77559d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\"><span>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</span></p><p><blockquote>“<i>光刻技术是制造更强大、更快、更便宜芯片的驱动力。随着半导体特征尺寸的缩小，芯片的制造变得越来越复杂，而以合适的成本大规模生产的必要性仍然存在。我们的整体光刻产品组合通过将光刻系统与计算建模以及计量和检测解决方案集成，有助于优化生产并实现可承受的收缩。光刻系统本质上是投影系统。光通过将被打印的图案的蓝图(称为“掩模”或“掩模”)投射。随着图案被编码在光中，系统的光学器件收缩并将图案聚焦到光敏硅晶片上。在打印图案之后，系统稍微移动晶片并在晶片上进行另一次复制。重复该过程，直到晶片被图案覆盖，完成晶片的一层芯片。为了制造整个微芯片，该过程一层又一层地重复，堆叠图案以创建集成电路(IC)。最简单的芯片大约有10层，而最复杂的芯片可以有超过150层。要打印的特征尺寸因层而异，这意味着不同类型的光刻系统用于不同的层——我们最新一代的EUV系统用于具有最小特征的最关键层，而ArF、KrF和i-line DUV系统用于具有较大特征的不太关键层。</i>”<i>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</i><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.</p><p><blockquote>我相信大多数投资者都熟悉确认偏差，如果他们不熟悉，他们应该拿本书自学。通读这一部分后，考虑到我对ASML的地位和竞争力的强烈支持，我作为作者很容易受到确认偏见的困扰。然而，我一直在努力找出可能严重影响ASML的情况，老实说，我找不到。当然，也存在与地缘政治紧张局势相关的风险，这在2016年的股价中也有所体现，目前整个行业正在发生的供应链中断的风险以及人才竞争。该公司自己在其2020年年度报告第21页中提到了这些问题，没有一个行业没有潜在风险。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum it all up:</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结一下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>ASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight</li>  <li>EUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade</li>  <li>The semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)</li>  <li>Strong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings</li>  <li>The path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips</li>  <li>ASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing</li> </ul> Sounds pretty good to me.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ASML开创了EUV光刻，看不到竞争对手</li><li>EUV将使摩尔定律得以延续，并将在本十年为ASML及其客户带来长期价值</li><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%，超过总体GDP，ASML是制造商（代工厂）的主要供应商</li><li>强劲的行业资本支出推动了对ASML产品的需求</li><li>在装机基础管理、利润率提高以及制造商对领先芯片的EUV机械的依赖方面扩大EUV业务的前进道路</li><li>ASML是领先芯片制造的关键参与者</li></ul>对我来说听起来不错。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Performance and Development</p><p><blockquote>财务表现及发展</blockquote></p><p> ASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，ASML自身表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong revenue growth</li>  <li>Strong margin expansion</li>  <li>Strong improvement in free cash flow</li>  <li>Impressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&amp;D spend and IP portfolio</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900753b1857ac9ad6fc705b9baad563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>Annual Report 2020, p 7.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入增长强劲</li><li>利润率强劲扩张</li><li>自由现金流强劲改善</li><li>令人印象深刻的运营改进通过增加研发支出和知识产权组合来加强其护城河</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2020年年度报告，第7页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.</p><p><blockquote>随后是2021年第一季度的强劲表现，营收和利润都令人垂涎。然而，对于2021年第二季度的业绩，他们预计收入扩张略低，为41亿欧元，毛利率为49%，仍高于长期平均水平，但更接近长期平均水平。然而，不可否认的是，该公司在当前环境下蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ea4dedde41a918bd9e1fd307a9531f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。14.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> An interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.</p><p><blockquote>一个有趣的细节是安装库管理中的开发，如本文前面所述。该公司正在兑现其承诺，该领域的强劲发展从2019年到2020年同比增长29%，远远超过18%的总增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6966dcaf747d226d5de580187d4d3ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。8.</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.</p><p><blockquote>然而，更有趣的问题是，市场估计是否低估了ASML的潜力。这是一个非常困难的问题，但如果我们看一看，我个人至少看到了这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Are Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?</p><p><blockquote>分析师的一致估计是低估了还是高估了ASML的潜力？</blockquote></p><p> ASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对ASML的报道很好，他们提供了到2028年的预测，但一旦我们超过2025年，报道范围就会减弱，这是最后一年有超过一名分析师报道。目前的估计显示，从2020年到2028年，收入CAGR发展为11.1%，但如果我们去掉2021年的强劲增长，CAGR为6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9adf4cebbce28dc7433186b5bd0827e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Author's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者自己的创作，来源寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Remember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，预计到2028年，整个行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。这些都是带有很大不确定性的估计，没有人能够可靠地预测未来。然而，值得注意的是，如果不考虑2020年至2021年的大幅增长，ASML的收入预期将低于整个行业。目前预计2026年至2028年的平均收入增长率为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Considering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:</p><p><blockquote>考虑一些支持ASML前景可能更加积极的论点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>General semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.</li>  <li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.</li>  <li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.</li>  <li>ASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.</li>  <li>ASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.</li>  <li>ASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.</li>  <li>As the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.</li> </ul> This is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用半导体行业CAGR 2020-2028年预测为8.6%。</li><li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025预测为8.4%，仍然是ASML最大的产品类别。</li><li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027年预测为12%。</li><li>ASML是通过技术进步解决芯片短缺的关键参与者，其机器定义了我们日常生活中使用的每一个电子设备的性能。</li><li>ASML在通过“安装基础管理”扩大其机械生态系统的计划方面取得了进展，使总目标市场增加了两位数以上的百分比，因为2018年的销售额占安装基础管理的20%，2025年的估计为50%。</li><li>ASML在DUV沉浸式细分市场占据主导地位，这是DUV利润率较高的部分，因为其在DUV的两个唯一竞争对手尼康和佳能缺乏手段和能力。</li><li>随着市场向EUV过渡，对DUV的需求将随之而来，因为芯片堆叠工艺通过其制造从这两种系统中受益。</li></ul>这还没有提到潜在的价格上涨可能会渗透到其客户身上，因为他们可能会争夺ASML的产能，因为ASML在DUV中占据85%的强大市场地位以及在EUV中的垄断地位，同时也在中期将高NA-EUV推向市场。这十年。如今，客户为EUV机器支付大约1.3-1.5亿美元，而DUV机器的价格约为1亿美元。ASML超额交付的最大障碍是其目前交付EUV系统的能力限制，每年交付EUV系统的能力限制在40到50个系统之间，随着多年来需求的增加，该公司当然会努力扩大这一能力限制。另一方面，随着ASML努力扩大产能，这也可能成为价格上涨的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> I will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>我不会试图构建一个更大胆的收入指引，因为这是一个廉价的机会，坦率地说，没有人有能力准确预测当前的预期是否成立，或者它们是否过于积极或消极。我只想强调，考虑到正在发生的一切以及ASML的市场地位，我认为该公司的表现比目前预期的更好并不是不合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.</p><p><blockquote>该股价距离52周高点仅一英寸，自2020年初以来一直在上涨，自2020年10月以来真正起飞，此后已翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/472c0e2f540c1d4ee2a7bbaec09379c0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.</p><p><blockquote>尽管每股收益和收入强劲改善，但所有其他参数都出现了爆炸式增长，市盈率也大幅扩大。股市早已认识到ASML的故事和潜力，华尔街分析师目前的目标是每股722美元。公平地说，如果分析师的预测是正确的，就没有安全边际。有趣的是，在提供价格目标的30名分析师中，非常看涨的比例自2016年以来从未如此之高，其中56%的分析师表示非常看涨。在相信此类言论时保持谨慎是一种心理锻炼，尤其是因为该股在过去几年中只知道一个方向——向上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，当考虑到五年的时间范围时，典型比率扩张的重要性是显而易见的。市盈率和市盈率均大幅上涨，分别为55和15.7。然而，与三年前相比，该公司的处境截然不同。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c691d4662a793b5de150add67a3a4e11\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Revenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长速度明显快于以前，毛利率和自由现金流也有所改善。由于这一积极的发展，ASML还通过2021年100亿欧元的股票回购计划向股东返还了大量资本，不幸的是，这仅相当于当前流通量减少了0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7341584d3ba7b1db51e1eef3c4bdaccd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.</p><p><blockquote>对ASML未来几年的预测也清楚地表明了人们对ASML未来的坚定信心，由于该公司强大的投资组合和市场主导地位，近年来该预测一直在稳步攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b262aeeb8d75114dbc3e45bf9464c830\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我相信目前的股东在持有现有股份方面做得很好，因为这家公司前景广阔。去年我一直在关注ASML，我非常难过地说，我从未抽出时间仔细研究过它，只是从远处看了看，并得出结论，该股可能会出现良好的回调在某一点上。我一点也不知道。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）的名言，“投资者为调整做准备或试图预测调整而损失的资金远远多于调整本身损失的资金”，对于像我这样没有及时采取行动的人来说也是如此。我仍然对ASML的前景和潜在旅程非常着迷，但以目前的价格，我仍然对前景和缺乏安全边际犹豫不决。</blockquote></p><p> There is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>ASML的估值有很大的增长潜力，如果要加上当前的水平，我会说美元成本平均法对于当前价格来说是一种谨慎的策略，同时保留备份的可能性如果我们在2021年底之前看到回调，卡车将满载。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.</p><p><blockquote>从下面可以看出，ASML每年经历一两次10%的挫折并不罕见。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad90b51964870f5475b596fe16f63317\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> ASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.</p><p><blockquote>ASML在其两个主要产品DUV和EUV光刻中占据主导地位。它的市场得到了令人难以置信的强劲推动力的支持，因为我们所有的小工具、电动汽车、5G、数据中心、云服务器等。严重依赖ASML提供的技术平台。一家真正的创新者，看不到真正的竞争，为预计到2028年复合年增长率为8.6%的行业提供机械和工具，其DUV和EUV平台的增长可能会更强劲，同时预计利润率也会扩大。</blockquote></p><p> There is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.</p><p><blockquote>ASML没什么不好说的，但不幸的是，股市早已认识到其惊人的故事和潜力。在如此强劲的前景下，现有股东在持有股票并享受未来的旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，随着市值的大幅扩大，似乎还有一点安全边际。最近，该股的交易价格距离52周高点仅一英寸。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）所说，“投资者准备调整或试图预测调整所损失的资金远远超过调整本身所损失的资金。”当我从远处看ASML很长一段时间时，我已经成为了这个谬论的受害者。尽管最近市值和市盈率有所扩大，但目前的估计可能低估了ASML的真正潜力，但任何延长到未来5-10年的预测都带有极大的不确定性和猜测。正如我所展示的，ASML的股价每年容易出现一到两次挫折，这使得平均成本法可以作为一种方法来获得该公司的风险敞口，并在此过程中慢慢建立头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASML: The Market Could Be Underestimating Its Potential<blockquote>ASML：市场可能低估了其潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 11:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.</li>  <li>DUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.</li>  <li>ASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.</li>  <li>A true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.</li>  <li>Existing shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b5f81c309842f14fe1adffe3d6c9ca\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>MACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。</li><li>预计到2025年，DUV光刻将以8.4%的CAGR增长，而EUV光刻预计到2027年将以12%的CAGR增长。</li><li>ASML在EUV领域占据垄断地位，在DUV领域面临非常有限的竞争，这两个平台对半导体制造工艺绝对至关重要。</li><li>作为真正的创新者，ASML拥有出色的地位和增长前景，但股市早已认识到其潜力。</li><li>现有股东在享受这一旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，几乎没有安全边际，他们可能会通过平均成本法涉足水，以从推动ASML的强劲顺风中受益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>宏观照片/iStock来自Getty Images投资论文</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.</p><p><blockquote>ASML Holding(ASML)在其最先进的技术平台EUV光刻方面拥有无与伦比的市场地位，看不到竞争对手。同样，它在DUV内部面临的竞争非常有限，这两个平台对半导体制造都至关重要。半导体行业内家喻户晓的品牌属于制造商，但ASML等机械供应商通过广泛的技术知识和强大的工艺知识拥有非常强大的护城河，如果所有潜在竞争对手试图竞争，他们将落后数年。</blockquote></p><p> It's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.</p><p><blockquote>很难想象有比这更好的竞争形势了，尤其是在一个预计未来许多年增长将远高于总体GDP的行业运营时。然而，市场早已认识到ASML的突出潜力和潜力之旅，但它仍然可能低估了潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> I recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.</p><p><blockquote>我最近写了一篇关于如何不要拥有太多半导体敞口的文章。在分解了半导体制造的价值链后，我在评论区收到了许多关于ASML的问题，并决定进行跟进。我选择ASML是因为其独特的市场地位和潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Personally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.</p><p><blockquote>就我个人而言，我通过持有德州仪器(TXN)和博通公司(AVGO)的股票接触到了半导体价值链的制造水平，但进一步深入价值链，投资者可以被允许以更广泛的方式投资该行业，因为机械和软件供应商可以更广泛地接触大多数制造商，这使得它非常有趣，因为你可以采用“我真的不介意谁赢，只要他们在比赛”的口号。因此，价值链上游的潜在风险引起了极大的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来几年的市场和价值驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> For ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).</p><p><blockquote>对于ASML的追随者来说，这一点并不奇怪，但ASML在将推动其未来十年收入的产品中占据主导地位，即EUV（极紫外光刻）技术。我个人的看法是，在任何行业的任何地方都很难找到一家处于类似优势竞争地位的公司。ASML提供光刻设备，这是一种通过光源打印芯片特征的艺术，有多种光谱，其中最先进的是EUV，这是DUV（深紫外光刻）的下一代。对于DUV来说，尽管ASML拥有超过85%的巨大市场份额，但仍有竞争对手。DUV和EUV之间的区别在于，EUV的工作波长几乎比DUV小15倍（13.5 nm与193nm相比）。</blockquote></p><p> Actually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，5nm和即将到来的3nm等前沿芯片的半导体制造商非常依赖EUV机器。没有它，这根本不可能。对于那些能够制造这些机器的人来说，这听起来很划算，但只有一家公司能够做到这一点，那就是ASML。对于每一代新的EUV机器，其产量都会变得更好，吞吐量更高，停机问题也会减少，这意味着ASML实际上领先于任何试图接受挑战并挑战其主导地位的人。</blockquote></p><p> This is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个一切都与流程知识有关的行业。台积电(TSM)能够生产5纳米芯片，因为它能够生产7纳米芯片，它将能够生产3纳米芯片，因为它可以生产5纳米芯片，并且已经这样做了一百万次，这也是为什么它对英特尔公司如此有害。(INTC)不得不承认其在7纳米技术方面持续存在的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Quite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.</p><p><blockquote>很简单，如果你做不到5纳米，就没有3纳米，我在上一篇文章中也讨论过。ASML也是如此，因为如果竞争对手进入EUV领域，他们将落后ASML很多年，因为他们将面临十多年前困扰ASML的EUV早期的相同问题。我附上了他们最近一次投资者日的一些插图，这次投资者日发生在2018年11月，下一次投资者日将于2021年9月举行。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edaa6b5a77f99726bbae61b032b9c208\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。6.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.</p><p><blockquote>上图清楚地说明了ASML在其EUV生命周期中获得的工艺知识。这也转化为每一代更好的EUV机器，其生产率的提高也证明了这一点。同样，考虑到竞争对手采用EUV技术需要多少时间和资金，我无法想象对一家公司来说还有比这更有利的竞争形势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85913766aea721e218e976e4f73349e5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。16.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Semiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&amp;D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&amp;D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.</p><p><blockquote>半导体制造是一项残酷的业务，根据摩尔定律，大量的研发支出（ASML花费了60亿欧元的研发支出来发明EUV）推动芯片改进，这意味着ASML已经在研究下一代技术，称为高NA-EUV。高NA-EUV还有一段时间，下面的时间表略显过时，但其技术将显着改善EUV平台，并在本十年后为行业提供动力。开发技术、提高产量和减少停机时间需要时间，但EUV在市场扩张和利润率提高方面仍有大量机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7709f0f76b1619a31b32fc3330134005\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。21.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.</p><p><blockquote>ASML本身已经通过面向买方的附加产品和面向供应商的上游成本降低，在优化利润率方面制定了预期路径，为公司创造了一个最佳点，有效地努力实现与其更成熟的DUV平台相同的盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/809661531ad423f613fb44c26e0b3352\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，EUV产品和商机，第14页。25.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>如果这还不够好，那么再加上这样一个事实，即半导体行业总体预计至少在2028年之前将超过总体GDP，复合年增长率为8.6%。台积电、英特尔和三星电子公司（场外交易代码：SSNLF）最近的通讯显示了该行业的实力和增长潜力，他们预计未来十年的总资本支出将超过2000亿美元，其中很大一部分将在未来几年内实现。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中可以看出，ASML希望通过升级来增加客户价值，他们的DUV路线图可以作为一个例子，说明EUV的收入基础如何在未来几年扩大，就像DUV的情况一样。该公司已标记为安装基础管理。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8ef7940a4b888c50159e5b9db4c0634\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\"><span>ASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2018年ASML投资者日，DUV产品和商机，第14页。10.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.</p><p><blockquote>当然，总有可能有一个强有力的竞争者进入市场，试图挑战ASML，但公司在该技术处于起步阶段时就试图进入该领域，但已经放弃了，这意味着主要威胁将是一种新的光刻技术的出现，对EUV的影响就像EUV对DUV所做的那样。可能当然，很可能，没那么多。为了强调这一点，我插入了ASML自己对光刻如何发挥作用的描述中的一段话。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   “  <i>Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.</i>”  <i>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</i>  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa32572971943844c4e71ddfc77559d6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"547\"><span>ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.</span></p><p><blockquote>“<i>光刻技术是制造更强大、更快、更便宜芯片的驱动力。随着半导体特征尺寸的缩小，芯片的制造变得越来越复杂，而以合适的成本大规模生产的必要性仍然存在。我们的整体光刻产品组合通过将光刻系统与计算建模以及计量和检测解决方案集成，有助于优化生产并实现可承受的收缩。光刻系统本质上是投影系统。光通过将被打印的图案的蓝图(称为“掩模”或“掩模”)投射。随着图案被编码在光中，系统的光学器件收缩并将图案聚焦到光敏硅晶片上。在打印图案之后，系统稍微移动晶片并在晶片上进行另一次复制。重复该过程，直到晶片被图案覆盖，完成晶片的一层芯片。为了制造整个微芯片，该过程一层又一层地重复，堆叠图案以创建集成电路(IC)。最简单的芯片大约有10层，而最复杂的芯片可以有超过150层。要打印的特征尺寸因层而异，这意味着不同类型的光刻系统用于不同的层——我们最新一代的EUV系统用于具有最小特征的最关键层，而ArF、KrF和i-line DUV系统用于具有较大特征的不太关键层。</i>”<i>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</i><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2020年年度报告，光刻的作用，第14页。12.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.</p><p><blockquote>我相信大多数投资者都熟悉确认偏差，如果他们不熟悉，他们应该拿本书自学。通读这一部分后，考虑到我对ASML的地位和竞争力的强烈支持，我作为作者很容易受到确认偏见的困扰。然而，我一直在努力找出可能严重影响ASML的情况，老实说，我找不到。当然，也存在与地缘政治紧张局势相关的风险，这在2016年的股价中也有所体现，目前整个行业正在发生的供应链中断的风险以及人才竞争。该公司自己在其2020年年度报告第21页中提到了这些问题，没有一个行业没有潜在风险。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum it all up:</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结一下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>ASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight</li>  <li>EUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade</li>  <li>The semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)</li>  <li>Strong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings</li>  <li>The path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips</li>  <li>ASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing</li> </ul> Sounds pretty good to me.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ASML开创了EUV光刻，看不到竞争对手</li><li>EUV将使摩尔定律得以延续，并将在本十年为ASML及其客户带来长期价值</li><li>预计到2028年，半导体行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%，超过总体GDP，ASML是制造商（代工厂）的主要供应商</li><li>强劲的行业资本支出推动了对ASML产品的需求</li><li>在装机基础管理、利润率提高以及制造商对领先芯片的EUV机械的依赖方面扩大EUV业务的前进道路</li><li>ASML是领先芯片制造的关键参与者</li></ul>对我来说听起来不错。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Performance and Development</p><p><blockquote>财务表现及发展</blockquote></p><p> ASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，ASML自身表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong revenue growth</li>  <li>Strong margin expansion</li>  <li>Strong improvement in free cash flow</li>  <li>Impressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&amp;D spend and IP portfolio</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7900753b1857ac9ad6fc705b9baad563\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"414\"><span>Annual Report 2020, p 7.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入增长强劲</li><li>利润率强劲扩张</li><li>自由现金流强劲改善</li><li>令人印象深刻的运营改进通过增加研发支出和知识产权组合来加强其护城河</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2020年年度报告，第7页。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.</p><p><blockquote>随后是2021年第一季度的强劲表现，营收和利润都令人垂涎。然而，对于2021年第二季度的业绩，他们预计收入扩张略低，为41亿欧元，毛利率为49%，仍高于长期平均水平，但更接近长期平均水平。然而，不可否认的是，该公司在当前环境下蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60ea4dedde41a918bd9e1fd307a9531f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"356\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。14.</span></p></blockquote></p><p> An interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.</p><p><blockquote>一个有趣的细节是安装库管理中的开发，如本文前面所述。该公司正在兑现其承诺，该领域的强劲发展从2019年到2020年同比增长29%，远远超过18%的总增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6966dcaf747d226d5de580187d4d3ad\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\"><span>ASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML 2021年第一季度，第14页。8.</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.</p><p><blockquote>然而，更有趣的问题是，市场估计是否低估了ASML的潜力。这是一个非常困难的问题，但如果我们看一看，我个人至少看到了这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Are Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?</p><p><blockquote>分析师的一致估计是低估了还是高估了ASML的潜力？</blockquote></p><p> ASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对ASML的报道很好，他们提供了到2028年的预测，但一旦我们超过2025年，报道范围就会减弱，这是最后一年有超过一名分析师报道。目前的估计显示，从2020年到2028年，收入CAGR发展为11.1%，但如果我们去掉2021年的强劲增长，CAGR为6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9adf4cebbce28dc7433186b5bd0827e8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Author's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者自己的创作，来源寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Remember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，预计到2028年，整个行业的复合年增长率将达到8.6%。这些都是带有很大不确定性的估计，没有人能够可靠地预测未来。然而，值得注意的是，如果不考虑2020年至2021年的大幅增长，ASML的收入预期将低于整个行业。目前预计2026年至2028年的平均收入增长率为3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Considering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:</p><p><blockquote>考虑一些支持ASML前景可能更加积极的论点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>General semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.</li>  <li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.</li>  <li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.</li>  <li>ASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.</li>  <li>ASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.</li>  <li>ASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.</li>  <li>As the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.</li> </ul> This is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通用半导体行业CAGR 2020-2028年预测为8.6%。</li><li>DUV CAGR 2020-2025预测为8.4%，仍然是ASML最大的产品类别。</li><li>EUV CAGR 2020-2027年预测为12%。</li><li>ASML是通过技术进步解决芯片短缺的关键参与者，其机器定义了我们日常生活中使用的每一个电子设备的性能。</li><li>ASML在通过“安装基础管理”扩大其机械生态系统的计划方面取得了进展，使总目标市场增加了两位数以上的百分比，因为2018年的销售额占安装基础管理的20%，2025年的估计为50%。</li><li>ASML在DUV沉浸式细分市场占据主导地位，这是DUV利润率较高的部分，因为其在DUV的两个唯一竞争对手尼康和佳能缺乏手段和能力。</li><li>随着市场向EUV过渡，对DUV的需求将随之而来，因为芯片堆叠工艺通过其制造从这两种系统中受益。</li></ul>这还没有提到潜在的价格上涨可能会渗透到其客户身上，因为他们可能会争夺ASML的产能，因为ASML在DUV中占据85%的强大市场地位以及在EUV中的垄断地位，同时也在中期将高NA-EUV推向市场。这十年。如今，客户为EUV机器支付大约1.3-1.5亿美元，而DUV机器的价格约为1亿美元。ASML超额交付的最大障碍是其目前交付EUV系统的能力限制，每年交付EUV系统的能力限制在40到50个系统之间，随着多年来需求的增加，该公司当然会努力扩大这一能力限制。另一方面，随着ASML努力扩大产能，这也可能成为价格上涨的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> I will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>我不会试图构建一个更大胆的收入指引，因为这是一个廉价的机会，坦率地说，没有人有能力准确预测当前的预期是否成立，或者它们是否过于积极或消极。我只想强调，考虑到正在发生的一切以及ASML的市场地位，我认为该公司的表现比目前预期的更好并不是不合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.</p><p><blockquote>该股价距离52周高点仅一英寸，自2020年初以来一直在上涨，自2020年10月以来真正起飞，此后已翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/472c0e2f540c1d4ee2a7bbaec09379c0\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"453\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Market cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.</p><p><blockquote>尽管每股收益和收入强劲改善，但所有其他参数都出现了爆炸式增长，市盈率也大幅扩大。股市早已认识到ASML的故事和潜力，华尔街分析师目前的目标是每股722美元。公平地说，如果分析师的预测是正确的，就没有安全边际。有趣的是，在提供价格目标的30名分析师中，非常看涨的比例自2016年以来从未如此之高，其中56%的分析师表示非常看涨。在相信此类言论时保持谨慎是一种心理锻炼，尤其是因为该股在过去几年中只知道一个方向——向上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.</p><p><blockquote>如下图所示，当考虑到五年的时间范围时，典型比率扩张的重要性是显而易见的。市盈率和市盈率均大幅上涨，分别为55和15.7。然而，与三年前相比，该公司的处境截然不同。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c691d4662a793b5de150add67a3a4e11\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Revenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长速度明显快于以前，毛利率和自由现金流也有所改善。由于这一积极的发展，ASML还通过2021年100亿欧元的股票回购计划向股东返还了大量资本，不幸的是，这仅相当于当前流通量减少了0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7341584d3ba7b1db51e1eef3c4bdaccd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.</p><p><blockquote>对ASML未来几年的预测也清楚地表明了人们对ASML未来的坚定信心，由于该公司强大的投资组合和市场主导地位，近年来该预测一直在稳步攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b262aeeb8d75114dbc3e45bf9464c830\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.</p><p><blockquote>综上所述，我相信目前的股东在持有现有股份方面做得很好，因为这家公司前景广阔。去年我一直在关注ASML，我非常难过地说，我从未抽出时间仔细研究过它，只是从远处看了看，并得出结论，该股可能会出现良好的回调在某一点上。我一点也不知道。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）的名言，“投资者为调整做准备或试图预测调整而损失的资金远远多于调整本身损失的资金”，对于像我这样没有及时采取行动的人来说也是如此。我仍然对ASML的前景和潜在旅程非常着迷，但以目前的价格，我仍然对前景和缺乏安全边际犹豫不决。</blockquote></p><p> There is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>ASML的估值有很大的增长潜力，如果要加上当前的水平，我会说美元成本平均法对于当前价格来说是一种谨慎的策略，同时保留备份的可能性如果我们在2021年底之前看到回调，卡车将满载。</blockquote></p><p> As can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.</p><p><blockquote>从下面可以看出，ASML每年经历一两次10%的挫折并不罕见。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad90b51964870f5475b596fe16f63317\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> ASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.</p><p><blockquote>ASML在其两个主要产品DUV和EUV光刻中占据主导地位。它的市场得到了令人难以置信的强劲推动力的支持，因为我们所有的小工具、电动汽车、5G、数据中心、云服务器等。严重依赖ASML提供的技术平台。一家真正的创新者，看不到真正的竞争，为预计到2028年复合年增长率为8.6%的行业提供机械和工具，其DUV和EUV平台的增长可能会更强劲，同时预计利润率也会扩大。</blockquote></p><p> There is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.</p><p><blockquote>ASML没什么不好说的，但不幸的是，股市早已认识到其惊人的故事和潜力。在如此强劲的前景下，现有股东在持有股票并享受未来的旅程方面做得很好，但对于潜在股东来说，随着市值的大幅扩大，似乎还有一点安全边际。最近，该股的交易价格距离52周高点仅一英寸。</blockquote></p><p> As Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. As I’ve shown, ASML’s share price is prone to setbacks once or twice a year allowing dollar-cost averaging to serve as a method to acquire exposure to the company slowly building a position along the way.</p><p><blockquote>正如彼得·林奇（Peter Lynch）所说，“投资者准备调整或试图预测调整所损失的资金远远超过调整本身所损失的资金。”当我从远处看ASML很长一段时间时，我已经成为了这个谬论的受害者。尽管最近市值和市盈率有所扩大，但目前的估计可能低估了ASML的真正潜力，但任何延长到未来5-10年的预测都带有极大的不确定性和猜测。正如我所展示的，ASML的股价每年容易出现一到两次挫折，这使得平均成本法可以作为一种方法来获得该公司的风险敞口，并在此过程中慢慢建立头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435422-asml-market-could-be-underestimating-its-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168762020","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe Semiconductor sector is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028.\nDUV lithography is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.4% through 2025 with EUV lithography forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 12% through 2027.\nASML holds a monopoly within EUV and faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms absolutely vital for the semiconductor manufacturing process.\nA true innovator, ASML commands an outstanding position and growth outlook but the stock market has long since recognized the potential.\nExisting shareholders do well for themselves in just enjoying the ride, but there is little margin of safety left for prospective shareholders who might dip their toes into the water through dollar-cost averaging to benefit from the strong tailwinds powering ASML.\n\nMACRO PHOTO/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment Thesis\nASML Holding (ASML) commands a market position like no one else with not a competitor in sight for its most advanced technological platform, EUV lithography. Similarly, it faces very limited competition within DUV, both platforms vital for semiconductor manufacturing. The household names within the semiconductor industry belong to the manufacturers, but the machinery providers, such as ASML, command very strong moats through extensive technological knowledge and strong process knowledge leaving all potential competitors years behind if they should ever try to compete.\nIt's hard to think of a better competitive situation, especially when operating in a sector forecasted to grow well above general GDP for many years to come. However, the market has long since recognized ASML's outstanding potential and potential journey, but still, it could be underestimating the potential.\nIntroduction\nI recently wrote an article concerning how youcan’t own too much semiconductor exposure. Having decomposed the value chain for semiconductor manufacturing, I received a number of questions concerning ASML in the comment sections and decided to conduct this follow-up. I’ve selected ASML due to its unique marketplace position and potential.\nPersonally I have exposure to the manufacturing level of the semiconductor value chain through shares in both Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) and Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), but venturing further back into the value chain, and investors can be allowed to invest in a broader manner into the industry, as the suppliers of machinery and software obtain a broader exposure to most of the manufacturers making it immensely interesting as you can adopt the mantra of “I don’t really mind who wins, as long as they are racing”. As such, potential exposure upstream in the value chain carries great interest.\nThe Marketplace and Value Drivers For Years To Come\nFor ASML followers it’s no surprise at this point, but ASML is dominant within the product offering that will drive its revenue for the coming decade, EUV (Extreme ultraviolet lithography) technology. My personal take is that it is hard to find a company in a similarly advantageous competitive position anywhere in any industry. ASML provides equipment for lithography, the art of printing the chip features via light sources, in several light spectrums with its most advanced being EUV which is the next-gen to DUV (deep ultraviolet lithography). For DUV there are competitors albeit ASML has a massive market share above 85%. The difference between DUV and EUV is that EUV operates at a light wavelength almost 15 times smaller than DUV (13.5nm compared to 193nm).\nActually, the semiconductor manufacturers for the leading edge chips such as 5nm and soon to be 3nm are deeply dependent on the EUV machinery. Without it, it simply wouldn’t be possible. That sounds like a pretty good bargain for those who can manufacture these machines, but there is only one company that is able to do it, and that is ASML. For every generation of new EUV machinery, its yield becomes better with higher throughput and reduced downtime issues, meaning that ASML is effectively lightyears ahead of anyone who would try to pick up the gauntlet and challenge their dominant position.\nThis is an industry where everything is about process knowledge. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is able to produce 5nm chips because it was able to produce 7nm, and it will be able to produce 3nm because it can produce 5nm and has done that a million times over which is also why it was so detrimental to Intel Corp (INTC) that it had to acknowledge its persistent issues with the 7nm technology.\nQuite simply, there is no 3nm if you can’t do the 5nm, as also discussed in my previous article. Same goes for ASML as a competitor would be years and years behind ASML if they entered the EUV space as they would struggle with the same issues that have plagued ASML in its early days of EUV more than a decade ago. I’ve included a number of illustrations from their most recent investor day which took place in November 2018, with the next one to take place in September 2021.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 6.\nThe picture above clearly illustrates the process knowledge having been picked up by ASML throughout its EUV lifetime. This has also translated into better EUV machinery for each new generation as also evident by its productivity improvements. Again, I can’t imagine a more favourable competitive situation for a company, given how much time and capital it would require for a competitor to adopt the EUV technology.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 16.\nSemiconductor manufacturing is a cutthroat business with heavy R&D spend (it took ASML €6 billion in R&D spend to invent EUV) driving chip improvements according to Moore’s law, meaning that ASML is already working on the next-gen technology, referred to as High NA-EUV. High NA-EUV is still some time away, with the timeline below being slightly outdated, but its technology will significantly improve the EUV platform and power the industry beyond this decade. It takes time to develop the technology, improve yield and reduce downtime, but there is still plenty of opportunities for EUV in terms of marketplace expansion and margin improvement.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 21.\nASML itself has laid out the expected path in terms of optimised margins through both add-ons facing the buyer side and upstream cost reductions facing their suppliers creating a sweet spot for the company effectively striving to achieve the same profitability profile as for its more mature DUV platform.\nASML Investor Day 2018, EUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 25.\nIf that wasn’t good enough, then add the fact that the semiconductor industry in general is expected to outpace general GDP for at least until 2028 with a CAGR of 8.6%. Recentcommunicationsby Taiwan Semiconductor, Intel and Samsung Electronics Company (OTC:SSNLF) shows the strength and growth potential for the sector with their combined CAPEX expectations going beyond $200 billion for the coming decade, with a significant chunk of that within the coming years.\nAs can be seen in the illustration above, ASML expects increased customer value through upgrades, with their roadmap for DUV serving as an example in terms of how the revenue base could expand over the coming years for EUV as is the case for DUV via what the company has labelled installed base management.\nASML Investor Day 2018, DUV Products and Business Opportunity, p. 10.\nThere is of course always the possibility of a serious contender entering the marketplace in order to try and challenge ASML, but companies have tried to enter the space when the technology was in its infancy having given up, meaning the prime threat would be the emergence of a new lithography technology arriving and doing to EUV what EUV did to DUV. Possible sure, likely, not so much. Just to hammer down the point, I’ve inserted a paragraph from ASML’s own description of how lithography plays its role.\n\n “\n Lithography is a driving force in the creation of more powerful, faster and cheaper chips. The manufacturing of chips becomes increasingly complex as semiconductor feature sizes shrink, while the imperative to mass produce at the right cost remains. Our holistic lithography product portfolio helps to optimize production and enable affordable shrink by integrating lithography systems with computational modeling, as well as metrology and inspection solutions. A lithography system is essentially a projection system. Light is projected through a blueprint of the pattern that will be printed (known as a ‘mask’ or ‘reticle’). With the pattern encoded in the light, the system’s optics shrink and focus the pattern onto a photosensitive silicon wafer. After the pattern is printed, the system moves the wafer slightly and makes another copy on the wafer. This process is repeated until the wafer is covered in patterns, completing one layer of the wafer’s chips. To make an entire microchip, this process is repeated layer after layer, stacking the patterns to create an integrated circuit (IC). The simplest chips have around 10 layers, while the most complex can have over 150 layers. The size of the features to be printed varies depending on the layer, which means that different types of lithography systems are used for different layers – our latest-generation EUV systems for the most critical layers with the smallest features to ArF, KrF, and i-line DUV systems for less critical layers with larger features.”\n ASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\n\nASML Annual Report 2020, The Role Of Lithography, p. 12.\nI believe most investors are familiar with confirmation bias, and if they aren’t, they should grab a book and educate themselves. Having read through this section, it can easily sound as if I as the author is suffering from confirmation bias given how strongly I’ve advocated for ASML’s position and competitive power. However, I’ve striven towards identifying situations that could severely impact ASML and being honest I can’t find it. There are of course the risks associated with geopolitical tension, which also showed itself in the stock price back in 2016, the risk of supply chain disruption as is currently transpiring across the industry and competition for talent. These are touched upon by the company itself in their annual report 2020 p. 21 and no industry comes without potential risks.\nSo, to sum it all up:\n\nASML has pioneered EUV lithography, with no competitors in sight\nEUV will enable the continuation of Moore’s Law and will drive long term value for ASML and its customers well into this decade\nThe semiconductor sector forecasted to grow at CAGR of 8.6% through 2028, outpacing general GDP with ASML being a key supplier to the manufacturers (foundries)\nStrong industry CAPEX driving demand for ASML offerings\nThe path forward for expanding EUV business in terms of installed base management, margins improvement and manufacturer dependency on EUV machinery for leading edge chips\nASML is a crucial player for leading edge chip manufacturing\n\nSounds pretty good to me.\nThe Financial Performance and Development\nASML is doing well for itself as evident by the illustration below.\n\nStrong revenue growth\nStrong margin expansion\nStrong improvement in free cash flow\nImpressive operational improvements strengthening its moat through increased R&D spend and IP portfolio\n\nAnnual Report 2020, p 7.\nThis was followed by a strong Q1-2021 performance with mouth-watering financials on both top and bottom line. However, for their Q2-2021 performance they are guiding for slightly lower revenue expansion at €4.1 billion with a gross margin of 49%, which is still above the long term average but closer to it. There is however no denying that the company is thriving in the current environment.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 14.\nAn interesting detail is the development within the installed base management as illustrated earlier in the article. The company is delivering on its promise with a strong development within this segment growing 29% YoY from 2019 to 2020, well beyond the total growth of 18%.\nASML 2021 First-Quarter, p. 8.\nThe more interesting question however is whether the market estimates are underestimating the potential for ASML. An immensely hard question, but if we give it a look, I personally at least see the possibility of that being the case.\nAre Analyst Consensus Estimates Under- or Over-Estimating ASML’s Potential?\nASML is well-covered by analysts offering estimates all the way through 2028, but with coverage waning once we go beyond 2025 which is the last year covered by more than one analyst. The current estimates show a revenue CAGR development of 11.1% from 2020 to 2028, but if we remove 2021, which shows stellar growth, the CAGR is 6.5%.\nAuthor's Own Creation, Source Seeking Alpha.\nRemember the sector as a whole is forecasted to exhibit growth at a CAGR of 8.6% through 2028. These are all estimates which carry great uncertainty with no one able to reliably predict the future. However, it is worth noticing that revenue estimates for ASML are below the sector as a whole if the massive jump from 2020 to 2021 is left out of the equation. Average revenue growth from 2026 to 2028 is currently estimated to be 3.5%.\nConsidering some of the arguments in favour of why ASML’s outlook could be even more positive:\n\nGeneral semiconductor industry CAGR 2020-2028 forecasted at 8.6%.\nDUV CAGR 2020-2025forecastedat 8.4%, it is still ASML’s largest product category.\nEUV CAGR 2020-2027forecastedat 12%.\nASML is a linchpin player to solve chip shortage through technology advancement and its machines define the performance of every electrical gadget we utilise in our daily lives.\nASML shows progress in its plan to widen the ecosystem for its machinery through \"Installed Base Management\" increasing the total addressable market by upwards of double digits percentage as 2018 sales were 20% installed base management and 2025 estimate is 50%.\nASML dominates the DUV immersion segment, the part of DUV with high margins as its two solecompetitorsin DUV, Nikon and Canon lack the means and capabilities.\nAs the market transitions to EUV, the demand for DUV willfollowas the chip stacking process benefits from both systems through its manufacturing.\n\nThis is without mentioning the potential price increases that could trickle down towards its customers as they could be fighting over ASML’s capacity due to its strong market position of 85% in DUV and monopoly within EUV while also bringing High NA-EUV to market by mid of this decade. Customers today pay roughly $130-150 million for EUV machines, while DUV machines come in at around $100 million. The largest hindrance to ASML overdelivering is its current capacity constraint in terms of ability to deliver EUV systems which is capped somewhere between 40 and 50 systems a year, with the company of course striving to expand that capacity constraint as demand builds up over the years. On the other hand, this could also be a driver for price increases as ASML strives to expand capacity.\nI will not try to construct an even bolder revenue guidance as it’s a cheap shot and frankly, no one has the capacity to accurately forecast if the current expectations will stand or whether they are too positive or negative. I just want to highlight that with everything going on and ASML’s market position in mind, I don’t consider it unreasonable that the company will do even better than currently anticipated.\nValuation\nThe stock price is an inch away from its 52-week high and has been on a tear since the beginning of 2020, really taking off since October 2020 from which it has doubled since.\nData by YCharts\nMarket cap has exploded with all other parameters left in its wake having seen a significant expansion in price-earnings ratio despite a strong improvement in EPS and revenue. The stock market has long since recognised the story and potential of ASML with the Wall Street analyst target currently at $722 per share. Fair to say, there is no margin of safety if the analysts are correct in the predictions. Interestingly, out of the 30 analysts offering a price target, the percentage who are very bullish hasn’t been higher since 2016 with 56% stating a very bullish opinion. There is a mental exercise in staying cautious in terms of believing in such statements, not least because the stock has only known one direction for the last couple of years – upwards.\nThe significance of the expansion in typical ratios is evident when considered over a five-year horizon as shown below. Both P/E and P/S have expanded massively standing at 55 and 15.7 respectively. However, the company is in a very different place compared to three years ago.\nData by YCharts\nRevenue is growing significantly faster than previously with gross margin and free cash flow also having improved. Due to this positive development, ASML is also returning plenty of capital to its shareholders with a share buyback program of €10 billion for 2021, which unfortunately only translates to a reduction of 0.5% of the current float.\nData by YCharts\nThe strong belief in ASML going forward is also clearly illustrated by the estimates for the coming years, which throughout the most recent years has been steadily climbing due to the company’s strong portfolio and market dominance.\nData by YCharts\nWith all that said, I believe that current shareholders do well for themselves in holding on to their existing shares as this company has a great outlook. I’ve had my eyes on ASML for the last year, and I’m extremely sad to say I never got around to looking into it properly, but only looked it at from afar and concluded that the stock might be due for a good pullback at one point. Little did I know.\nAs Peter Lynch famously said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves,” as would also be true for someone like me who didn’t act in time. I’m still massively fascinated by ASML’s outlook and potential journey, but at the current price, I remain hesitant about the prospects and the lack of margin of safety.\nThere is a lot of potential for ASML to grow into its valuation, and if one is to add that current levels, I’d say dollar-cost averaging is a prudent strategy for the current price, while reserving the possibility to back up the truck for a full load if we see a pullback before end of 2021.\nAs can be seen below, it is not uncommon for ASML to experience a 10% setback once or twice a year.\nData by YCharts\nConclusion\nASML is dominant within its two main offerings, the DUV and EUV lithography. Its market is backed by incredibly strong tailwinds as all our gadgets, electrical cars, 5G, datacentres, cloud servers, etc. are heavily reliant on the technology platform offered by ASML. A true innovator with no real competition in sight, feeding machinery and tools to an industry expected to grow at CAGR 8.6% through 2028 with potentially even stronger growth for both its DUV and EUV platforms while also expecting margin expansion.\nThere is little evil to be said about ASML, but unfortunately, the stock market has long since recognised its amazing story and potential. With such a strong outlook in sight, existing shareholders do well for themselves in holding onto their shares and just enjoy the journey ahead, but for the prospective shareholders, there appears to be a little margin of safety with the market cap having expanded significantly recently and the stock trading just an inch shy of its 52 week high.\nAs Peter Lynch said, “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The exact fallacy I’ve fallen victim to as I’ve looked at ASML from afar for quite a while. Despite the recent expansion in market cap and multiples, there could be made a case for current estimates underestimating ASML’s true potential, but any forecast extending 5-10 years into the future comes with extreme uncertainty and guesstimation. 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some more pls","listText":"Up some more pls","text":"Up some more 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19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138889344","media":"Zacks","summary":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarte","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>视频通信</b>定于6月1日公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计本季度非GAAP每股收益在95美分至97美分之间。总收入预计在9亿美元至9.05亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>过去30天，Zacks对收益的一致预期保持在每股97美分。该公司报告去年同期每股收益为20美分。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>收入的共识为9.052亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长175.8%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Zoom Video通信公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Zoom Video通信公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Zoom Video通信公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom的收益在过去四个季度都超过了Zacks的普遍预期，平均意外率为73.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看这个公告的进展如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p><blockquote><h3>值得关注的因素</h3>尽管开展了疫苗接种活动，但Zoom第一财季的收入预计仍将受益于冠状病毒引发的在家工作和在线学习浪潮。</blockquote></p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司的免费增值商业模式帮助其快速赢得客户，然后可以将这些客户转化为付费客户。2021财年第四季度，过去12个月的美元净增长率超过156%。预计这一势头将在即将报告的季度持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p><blockquote>此外，支持商务专业人士远程工作的Zoom For Home的可用性是一个关键的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>此外，这家Zacks排名第二（购买）的公司拥有强大的合作伙伴基础，其中包括<b>Atlassian</b>,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a></b>和Dropbox，预计将使该公司在第一财季赢得企业客户方面受益。你可以在这里看到今天咤克斯排名第一（强力买入）股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom Video继续面临来自以下公司的激烈竞争<b>思科</b>、微软和谷歌相遇。这可能会导致中小型企业客户的流失，从而可能会损害营收增长。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p><blockquote><h3>第一季度主要亮点</h3>在即将报告的季度中，Zoom宣布了一项名为Zoom Apps Fund的1亿美元风险基金，旨在刺激Zoom的Zoom应用、集成、开发者平台和硬件生态系统的增长。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在本季度，Zoom和一级方程式宣布，他们已在即将到来的2021年国际汽联一级方程式世界锦标赛赛季及以后建立了新的广泛的多年合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在2月份，Zoom宣布推出Zoom Rooms，这将帮助组织安全地重新进入办公室，并维持“无处不在的员工”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 19:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>视频通信</b>定于6月1日公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计本季度非GAAP每股收益在95美分至97美分之间。总收入预计在9亿美元至9.05亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>过去30天，Zacks对收益的一致预期保持在每股97美分。该公司报告去年同期每股收益为20美分。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>收入的共识为9.052亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长175.8%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Zoom Video通信公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Zoom Video通信公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Zoom Video通信公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom的收益在过去四个季度都超过了Zacks的普遍预期，平均意外率为73.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看这个公告的进展如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p><blockquote><h3>值得关注的因素</h3>尽管开展了疫苗接种活动，但Zoom第一财季的收入预计仍将受益于冠状病毒引发的在家工作和在线学习浪潮。</blockquote></p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司的免费增值商业模式帮助其快速赢得客户，然后可以将这些客户转化为付费客户。2021财年第四季度，过去12个月的美元净增长率超过156%。预计这一势头将在即将报告的季度持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p><blockquote>此外，支持商务专业人士远程工作的Zoom For Home的可用性是一个关键的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>此外，这家Zacks排名第二（购买）的公司拥有强大的合作伙伴基础，其中包括<b>Atlassian</b>,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a></b>和Dropbox，预计将使该公司在第一财季赢得企业客户方面受益。你可以在这里看到今天咤克斯排名第一（强力买入）股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom Video继续面临来自以下公司的激烈竞争<b>思科</b>、微软和谷歌相遇。这可能会导致中小型企业客户的流失，从而可能会损害营收增长。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p><blockquote><h3>第一季度主要亮点</h3>在即将报告的季度中，Zoom宣布了一项名为Zoom Apps Fund的1亿美元风险基金，旨在刺激Zoom的Zoom应用、集成、开发者平台和硬件生态系统的增长。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在本季度，Zoom和一级方程式宣布，他们已在即将到来的2021年国际汽联一级方程式世界锦标赛赛季及以后建立了新的广泛的多年合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在2月份，Zoom宣布推出Zoom Rooms，这将帮助组织安全地重新进入办公室，并维持“无处不在的员工”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138889344","content_text":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS SurpriseZoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. QuoteZoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.Factors to WatchZoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of Atlassian, ServiceNow and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of Cisco, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.Key Q1 HighlightsDuring the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137686913,"gmtCreate":1622343315932,"gmtModify":1634102192102,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559192645447375","authorIdStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137686913","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135983136,"gmtCreate":1622126053125,"gmtModify":1634183614998,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559192645447375","authorIdStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135983136","repostId":"1166192216","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136289364,"gmtCreate":1622020177458,"gmtModify":1634184602644,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559192645447375","authorIdStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136289364","repostId":"1120785755","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":373,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138511131,"gmtCreate":1621949594223,"gmtModify":1634185243404,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559192645447375","authorIdStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138511131","repostId":"1140046763","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140046763","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621944646,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140046763?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-25 20:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140046763","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures rose on Tuesday, buoyed by gains in mega-cap technology-related stocks as i","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures rose on Tuesday, buoyed by gains in mega-cap technology-related stocks as inflation worries ebbed and U.S. bond yields eased for the fourth straight day.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二上涨，因通胀担忧消退，美债收益率连续第四天回落，受大型科技股上涨提振。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 93 points, or 0.27%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 14.5 points, or 0.35% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 80.5 points, or 0.59%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:05，道指e-mini上涨93点，涨幅0.27%，标普500 e-mini上涨14.5点，涨幅0.35%，纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨80.5点，涨幅0.59%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cb3de938a9511fee104454b3e726612\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:05</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc added between 0.4% and 1% in premarket trading as the yield on 10-year bond slipped to a fresh two-week low on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>由于周二10年期债券收益率跌至两周新低，苹果、亚马逊、微软和Alphabet在盘前交易中股价上涨0.4%至1%。</blockquote></p><p>Higher yields pressure valuations for tech and other growth stocks, whose future cash flows are discounted at higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>较高的收益率给科技股和其他成长型股票的估值带来压力，这些股票的未来现金流以较高的利率贴现。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Moderna(MRNA)</b>-Moderna&nbsp;rose&nbsp;2.33%&nbsp;in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;its Covid-19 vaccine was 100% effective in a study of adolescents ages 12 to 17, making it the second shot behind&nbsp;Pfizer's to demonstrate high efficacy in younger age groups.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代（MRNA）</b>Moderna在盘前交易中上涨2.33%，此前其Covid-19疫苗在一项针对12至17岁青少年的研究中100%有效，使其成为继辉瑞之后第二款在年轻群体中证明高效的疫苗。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lordstown Motors(RIDE)</b> – Lordstown tumbled 13.7% in premarket trading after the electric vehicle startupsaid it needed to raise capitalto fund operations and that its production this year would be, at best, 50% of prior projections.</p><p><blockquote><b>洛兹敦汽车公司(RIDE)</b>-洛兹敦在盘前交易中下跌13.7%，此前这家电动汽车初创公司表示需要筹集资金以资助运营，并且今年的产量充其量是之前预测的50%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Canopy Growth(CGC) </b>– The cannabis producer’s shares rose 2.4% in the premarket after MKM Partners upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” MKM said sentiment surrounding the stock is so low that the current risk/reward profile is very favorable.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>–MKM Partners将该股评级从“中性”上调至“买入”后，该大麻生产商的股价在盘前上涨2.4%。MKM表示，围绕该股的情绪如此之低，以至于当前的风险/回报状况非常有利。</blockquote></p><p><b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b> – The restaurant chain’s stock rallied 5.2% in premarket trading after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to “buy” from “neutral.” Goldman believes a recent pullback presents a buying opportunity, given Shake Shack’s strong balance sheet and favorable long-term growth prospects. Additionally, Wedbush upgraded the stock to “outperform” from “neutral,” citing similar reasons.</p><p><blockquote><b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b>-高盛将其评级从“中性”上调至“买入”后，该连锁餐厅的股价在盘前交易中上涨5.2%。高盛认为，鉴于Shake Shack强劲的资产负债表和良好的长期增长前景，最近的回调提供了买入机会。此外，韦德布什以类似的理由将该股评级从“中性”上调至“跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p><b>AutoZone(AZO)</b> – The auto parts retailer reported quarterly profit of $26.48 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $20.14 a share. Revenue also came in above estimates. Comparable-store sales surged 28.9%, well above the consensus FactSet estimate of 17.1%. AutoZone’s gross margins dropped, however, due in part to an acceleration of the company’s commercial business. AutoZone added 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>AutoZone(AZO)</b>-这家汽车零部件零售商公布季度利润为每股26.48美元，超出市场普遍预期的每股20.14美元。收入也高于预期。同店销售额飙升28.9%，远高于FactSet普遍预期的17.1%。然而，AutoZone的毛利率下降，部分原因是该公司商业业务的加速。AutoZone在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Amazon(AMZN)</b> – Amazon could announcea deal to buy MGM Studiosas soon as this week, according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC. The projected price of up to $9 billion would make this Amazon’s largest acquisition since it bought Whole Foods in 2017 for $13.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊(AMZN)</b>-据一位接受CNBC采访的知情人士透露，亚马逊最早可能于本周宣布收购米高梅影业的交易。预计高达90亿美元的价格将成为亚马逊自2017年以137亿美元收购全食超市以来最大的一次收购。</blockquote></p><p><b>AstraZeneca(AZN)</b> – AstraZeneca’s $39 billion takeover of U.S. drugmakerAlexion Pharmaceuticals(ALXN) is the subject of a probe by British competition regulators, who want to determine if the deal will reduce competition in the U.K. and elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿斯利康(AZN)</b>-阿斯利康以390亿美元收购美国制药商Alexion Pharmaceuticals(ALXN)的交易是英国竞争监管机构调查的对象，他们希望确定该交易是否会减少英国和其他地方的竞争。</blockquote></p><p><b>United Airlines(UAL)</b> – United said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that ticketed yields have accelerated during the second quarter ahead of its prior projections. It now sees the key metric of revenue per available seat mile falling about 12% this quarter compared to its prior estimate of a 20% drop.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合航空(UAL)</b>-美联航在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，第二季度的门票收益率比之前的预测有所加速。目前，该公司预计本季度每可用座位英里收入的关键指标将下降约12%，而之前预计下降20%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Live Nation Entertainment(LYV)</b> – Live Nation President Joe Berchtold told CNBC’s “Closing Bell” that concert venue bookings are rebounding, and that it is expecting a better year in 2022 than it had in 2019. Shares added 1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>现场国家娱乐(LYV)</b>-Live Nation总裁Joe Berchtold在CNBC的“Closing Bell”节目中表示，音乐会场地预订量正在反弹，预计2022年的表现会比2019年更好。股价在盘前上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>IAC/Interactive(IAC) </b>– IAC shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading ahead of today’s spinoff of Vimeo to IAC shareholders. Vimeo will begin trading on the Nasdaq today, with the producer of video tools valued at roughly $10 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>IAC/Interactive（IAC）</b>-在今天将Vimeo分拆给IAC股东之前，IAC股价在盘前交易中上涨5.3%。Vimeo将于今天开始在纳斯达克交易，这家视频工具生产商的估值约为100亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>Petco(WOOF) </b>– The pet products retailer announced a secondary stock offering of 22 million shares, with the selling stockholder granting underwriters the option to purchase another 3.3 million shares within 30 days. Petco will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock fell 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Petco(WOOF)</b>-这家宠物产品零售商宣布二次发行2200万股股票，出售股东授予承销商在30天内再购买330万股的选择权。Petco不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。该股盘前下跌1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Alaska Air(ALK)</b> – Alaska Air boosted its cash flow outlook for the current quarter, saying it now expects positive cash flow of $550 million to $650 million compared to a prior projection of $450 million to $550 million. The airline cites improved travel demand as well as better-than-expected affinity card inflows. Alaska Air shares fell 2.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿拉斯加航空(ALK)</b>-阿拉斯加航空上调了本季度的现金流预期，表示目前预计正现金流为5.5亿至6.5亿美元，而之前的预测为4.5亿至5.5亿美元。该航空公司表示，旅行需求有所改善，亲和卡流入量好于预期。阿拉斯加航空股价在盘前交易中下跌2.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-25 20:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures rose on Tuesday, buoyed by gains in mega-cap technology-related stocks as inflation worries ebbed and U.S. bond yields eased for the fourth straight day.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二上涨，因通胀担忧消退，美债收益率连续第四天回落，受大型科技股上涨提振。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 93 points, or 0.27%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 14.5 points, or 0.35% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 80.5 points, or 0.59%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:05，道指e-mini上涨93点，涨幅0.27%，标普500 e-mini上涨14.5点，涨幅0.35%，纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨80.5点，涨幅0.59%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cb3de938a9511fee104454b3e726612\" tg-width=\"818\" tg-height=\"278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:05</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc added between 0.4% and 1% in premarket trading as the yield on 10-year bond slipped to a fresh two-week low on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>由于周二10年期债券收益率跌至两周新低，苹果、亚马逊、微软和Alphabet在盘前交易中股价上涨0.4%至1%。</blockquote></p><p>Higher yields pressure valuations for tech and other growth stocks, whose future cash flows are discounted at higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>较高的收益率给科技股和其他成长型股票的估值带来压力，这些股票的未来现金流以较高的利率贴现。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Moderna(MRNA)</b>-Moderna&nbsp;rose&nbsp;2.33%&nbsp;in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;its Covid-19 vaccine was 100% effective in a study of adolescents ages 12 to 17, making it the second shot behind&nbsp;Pfizer's to demonstrate high efficacy in younger age groups.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代（MRNA）</b>Moderna在盘前交易中上涨2.33%，此前其Covid-19疫苗在一项针对12至17岁青少年的研究中100%有效，使其成为继辉瑞之后第二款在年轻群体中证明高效的疫苗。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lordstown Motors(RIDE)</b> – Lordstown tumbled 13.7% in premarket trading after the electric vehicle startupsaid it needed to raise capitalto fund operations and that its production this year would be, at best, 50% of prior projections.</p><p><blockquote><b>洛兹敦汽车公司(RIDE)</b>-洛兹敦在盘前交易中下跌13.7%，此前这家电动汽车初创公司表示需要筹集资金以资助运营，并且今年的产量充其量是之前预测的50%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Canopy Growth(CGC) </b>– The cannabis producer’s shares rose 2.4% in the premarket after MKM Partners upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” MKM said sentiment surrounding the stock is so low that the current risk/reward profile is very favorable.</p><p><blockquote><b>冠层生长(CGC)</b>–MKM Partners将该股评级从“中性”上调至“买入”后，该大麻生产商的股价在盘前上涨2.4%。MKM表示，围绕该股的情绪如此之低，以至于当前的风险/回报状况非常有利。</blockquote></p><p><b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b> – The restaurant chain’s stock rallied 5.2% in premarket trading after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to “buy” from “neutral.” Goldman believes a recent pullback presents a buying opportunity, given Shake Shack’s strong balance sheet and favorable long-term growth prospects. Additionally, Wedbush upgraded the stock to “outperform” from “neutral,” citing similar reasons.</p><p><blockquote><b>Shake Shack(SHAK)</b>-高盛将其评级从“中性”上调至“买入”后，该连锁餐厅的股价在盘前交易中上涨5.2%。高盛认为，鉴于Shake Shack强劲的资产负债表和良好的长期增长前景，最近的回调提供了买入机会。此外，韦德布什以类似的理由将该股评级从“中性”上调至“跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p><b>AutoZone(AZO)</b> – The auto parts retailer reported quarterly profit of $26.48 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $20.14 a share. Revenue also came in above estimates. Comparable-store sales surged 28.9%, well above the consensus FactSet estimate of 17.1%. AutoZone’s gross margins dropped, however, due in part to an acceleration of the company’s commercial business. AutoZone added 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>AutoZone(AZO)</b>-这家汽车零部件零售商公布季度利润为每股26.48美元，超出市场普遍预期的每股20.14美元。收入也高于预期。同店销售额飙升28.9%，远高于FactSet普遍预期的17.1%。然而，AutoZone的毛利率下降，部分原因是该公司商业业务的加速。AutoZone在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Amazon(AMZN)</b> – Amazon could announcea deal to buy MGM Studiosas soon as this week, according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC. The projected price of up to $9 billion would make this Amazon’s largest acquisition since it bought Whole Foods in 2017 for $13.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊(AMZN)</b>-据一位接受CNBC采访的知情人士透露，亚马逊最早可能于本周宣布收购米高梅影业的交易。预计高达90亿美元的价格将成为亚马逊自2017年以137亿美元收购全食超市以来最大的一次收购。</blockquote></p><p><b>AstraZeneca(AZN)</b> – AstraZeneca’s $39 billion takeover of U.S. drugmakerAlexion Pharmaceuticals(ALXN) is the subject of a probe by British competition regulators, who want to determine if the deal will reduce competition in the U.K. and elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿斯利康(AZN)</b>-阿斯利康以390亿美元收购美国制药商Alexion Pharmaceuticals(ALXN)的交易是英国竞争监管机构调查的对象，他们希望确定该交易是否会减少英国和其他地方的竞争。</blockquote></p><p><b>United Airlines(UAL)</b> – United said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that ticketed yields have accelerated during the second quarter ahead of its prior projections. It now sees the key metric of revenue per available seat mile falling about 12% this quarter compared to its prior estimate of a 20% drop.</p><p><blockquote><b>联合航空(UAL)</b>-美联航在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，第二季度的门票收益率比之前的预测有所加速。目前，该公司预计本季度每可用座位英里收入的关键指标将下降约12%，而之前预计下降20%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Live Nation Entertainment(LYV)</b> – Live Nation President Joe Berchtold told CNBC’s “Closing Bell” that concert venue bookings are rebounding, and that it is expecting a better year in 2022 than it had in 2019. Shares added 1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>现场国家娱乐(LYV)</b>-Live Nation总裁Joe Berchtold在CNBC的“Closing Bell”节目中表示，音乐会场地预订量正在反弹，预计2022年的表现会比2019年更好。股价在盘前上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>IAC/Interactive(IAC) </b>– IAC shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading ahead of today’s spinoff of Vimeo to IAC shareholders. Vimeo will begin trading on the Nasdaq today, with the producer of video tools valued at roughly $10 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>IAC/Interactive（IAC）</b>-在今天将Vimeo分拆给IAC股东之前，IAC股价在盘前交易中上涨5.3%。Vimeo将于今天开始在纳斯达克交易，这家视频工具生产商的估值约为100亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>Petco(WOOF) </b>– The pet products retailer announced a secondary stock offering of 22 million shares, with the selling stockholder granting underwriters the option to purchase another 3.3 million shares within 30 days. Petco will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock fell 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Petco(WOOF)</b>-这家宠物产品零售商宣布二次发行2200万股股票，出售股东授予承销商在30天内再购买330万股的选择权。Petco不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。该股盘前下跌1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Alaska Air(ALK)</b> – Alaska Air boosted its cash flow outlook for the current quarter, saying it now expects positive cash flow of $550 million to $650 million compared to a prior projection of $450 million to $550 million. The airline cites improved travel demand as well as better-than-expected affinity card inflows. Alaska Air shares fell 2.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿拉斯加航空(ALK)</b>-阿拉斯加航空上调了本季度的现金流预期，表示目前预计正现金流为5.5亿至6.5亿美元，而之前的预测为4.5亿至5.5亿美元。该航空公司表示，旅行需求有所改善，亲和卡流入量好于预期。阿拉斯加航空股价在盘前交易中下跌2.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140046763","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures rose on Tuesday, buoyed by gains in mega-cap technology-related stocks as inflation worries ebbed and U.S. bond yields eased for the fourth straight day.At 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 93 points, or 0.27%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 14.5 points, or 0.35% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 80.5 points, or 0.59%.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp and Alphabet Inc added between 0.4% and 1% in premarket trading as the yield on 10-year bond slipped to a fresh two-week low on Tuesday.Higher yields pressure valuations for tech and other growth stocks, whose future cash flows are discounted at higher rates.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:Moderna(MRNA)-Moderna rose 2.33% in premarket trading after its Covid-19 vaccine was 100% effective in a study of adolescents ages 12 to 17, making it the second shot behind Pfizer's to demonstrate high efficacy in younger age groups.Lordstown Motors(RIDE) – Lordstown tumbled 13.7% in premarket trading after the electric vehicle startupsaid it needed to raise capitalto fund operations and that its production this year would be, at best, 50% of prior projections.Canopy Growth(CGC) – The cannabis producer’s shares rose 2.4% in the premarket after MKM Partners upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” MKM said sentiment surrounding the stock is so low that the current risk/reward profile is very favorable.Shake Shack(SHAK) – The restaurant chain’s stock rallied 5.2% in premarket trading after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to “buy” from “neutral.” Goldman believes a recent pullback presents a buying opportunity, given Shake Shack’s strong balance sheet and favorable long-term growth prospects. Additionally, Wedbush upgraded the stock to “outperform” from “neutral,” citing similar reasons.AutoZone(AZO) – The auto parts retailer reported quarterly profit of $26.48 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $20.14 a share. Revenue also came in above estimates. Comparable-store sales surged 28.9%, well above the consensus FactSet estimate of 17.1%. AutoZone’s gross margins dropped, however, due in part to an acceleration of the company’s commercial business. AutoZone added 1.1% in premarket trading.Amazon(AMZN) – Amazon could announcea deal to buy MGM Studiosas soon as this week, according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC. The projected price of up to $9 billion would make this Amazon’s largest acquisition since it bought Whole Foods in 2017 for $13.7 billion.AstraZeneca(AZN) – AstraZeneca’s $39 billion takeover of U.S. drugmakerAlexion Pharmaceuticals(ALXN) is the subject of a probe by British competition regulators, who want to determine if the deal will reduce competition in the U.K. and elsewhere.United Airlines(UAL) – United said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that ticketed yields have accelerated during the second quarter ahead of its prior projections. It now sees the key metric of revenue per available seat mile falling about 12% this quarter compared to its prior estimate of a 20% drop.Live Nation Entertainment(LYV) – Live Nation President Joe Berchtold told CNBC’s “Closing Bell” that concert venue bookings are rebounding, and that it is expecting a better year in 2022 than it had in 2019. Shares added 1% in premarket action.IAC/Interactive(IAC) – IAC shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading ahead of today’s spinoff of Vimeo to IAC shareholders. Vimeo will begin trading on the Nasdaq today, with the producer of video tools valued at roughly $10 billion.Petco(WOOF) – The pet products retailer announced a secondary stock offering of 22 million shares, with the selling stockholder granting underwriters the option to purchase another 3.3 million shares within 30 days. Petco will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock fell 1.1% in the premarket.Alaska Air(ALK) – Alaska Air boosted its cash flow outlook for the current quarter, saying it now expects positive cash flow of $550 million to $650 million compared to a prior projection of $450 million to $550 million. The airline cites improved travel demand as well as better-than-expected affinity card inflows. Alaska Air shares fell 2.8% in premarket 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18:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Is Obsessed With an Apple Car. Why Tech Analysts Might Be Too Excited.<blockquote>华尔街痴迷于苹果汽车。为什么科技分析师可能过于兴奋。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165777611","media":"Barrons","summary":"Implications of Apple’s entry into the car business continues to generate muchspeculationand manyana","content":"<p>Implications of Apple’s entry into the car business continues to generate muchspeculationand manyanalyst reportsfrom various stockbrokerage firms. Piper Sandler weighed into the debate Wednesday, saying an Apple car makes perfect sense. Investors, however, should remember that producing an automobile is very, very different from making a smartphone.</p><p><blockquote>苹果进入汽车行业的影响继续引发许多猜测和来自各股票经纪公司的许多分析师报告。派珀·桑德勒(Piper Sandler)周三参与了辩论，称苹果汽车非常有意义。然而，投资者应该记住，生产汽车与制造智能手机非常非常不同。</blockquote></p><p> Piper tech analystHarsh Kumarsays the timing is right for an&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;(ticker: AAPL) car. “The company can enter the market at a time of peak technology disruption while avoiding the risk of forming the market,” wrote the analyst in a Wednesday research report. Electric vehicles are proliferating, and autonomous driving technology is advancing. Cars will drive and feel different in the future—an Apple car would likely be an all-electric vehicle with self-driving options.</p><p><blockquote>Piper tech分析师Harsh Kumar表示，苹果（股票代码：AAPL）汽车的时机恰到好处。该分析师在周三的研究报告中写道：“该公司可以在技术颠覆高峰期进入市场，同时避免形成市场的风险。”电动汽车激增，自动驾驶技术进步。未来汽车的驾驶和感觉将会有所不同——苹果汽车很可能是一款具有自动驾驶选项的全电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has so far declined to comment about any car plans recently.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，苹果拒绝对最近的任何汽车计划发表评论。</blockquote></p><p> Kumar covers Apple and other technology stocks. His 23-page report dives deep into the auto business—for tech investors. Industry size and market segmentation between, say, luxury cars and economy sedans, covered in his report, are par for the course in auto research.</p><p><blockquote>Kumar涵盖了苹果和其他科技股。他长达23页的报告深入探讨了汽车行业——面向科技投资者。他的报告中涵盖的豪华汽车和经济型轿车之间的行业规模和市场细分在汽车研究中是正常的。</blockquote></p><p> He assumes Apple, down the road, will sell 100,000 cars in year one. That might be aggressive.NIO(NIO),Li Auto(LI), andXPeng(XPEV) are threeEV startupsthat have been in business for years. They managed to sell about 100,000 vehicles on a combined basis in 2020. Kumar thinks Apple can be delivering 1 million cars by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>他假设苹果未来第一年将售出10万辆汽车。这可能很激进。蔚来（蔚来）、理想汽车（LI）和小鹏汽车（XPEV）是三家已经经营多年的电动汽车初创公司。2020年，他们总共售出了约10万辆汽车。Kumar认为苹果到2030年可以交付100万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> For tech analysts at this point, the Apple car appears to be an exercise in fun with numbers. They are attracted to the huge market size: New car sales top $2.5 trillion annually. But auto analysts’ enthusiasm for an Apple vehicle is more tempered, and perhaps for good reason.</p><p><blockquote>对于目前的科技分析师来说，苹果汽车似乎是一次玩弄数字的练习。他们被巨大的市场规模所吸引：每年新车销售额超过2.5万亿美元。但汽车分析师对苹果汽车的热情更加温和，这或许是有充分理由的。</blockquote></p><p> One factor that might hamper Apple’s ambitions is that cars are, of course, significantly more expensive than phones, making the purchase decision very different. In addition, “the regulatory side of the auto business is brutal and takes years to get through,” Benchmark auto analystMike Wardtells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>可能阻碍苹果雄心的一个因素是，汽车当然比手机贵得多，这使得购买决定非常不同。此外，Benchmark汽车分析师迈克·沃德(Mike Wardt)表示，“汽车行业的监管非常残酷，需要数年时间才能通过”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p> Ward says he isn’t hearing Apple buzz in the auto industry. It’s “pretty tough to keep that quiet in the auto industry—thousands of suppliers, [government] approvals, the size of the factory needed, etc.” He isn’t saying it can’t happen, but it is harder than many investors might expect.</p><p><blockquote>沃德表示，他没有听到汽车行业的苹果热议。“在汽车行业保持这种安静是相当困难的——数以千计的供应商、[政府]批准、所需工厂的规模等等。”他并不是说这不可能发生，但这比许多投资者预期的要困难。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analystAdam Jonasalso covers cars mainly. He doesn’t appear certain an Apple car is on the way, but if one does show up, “don’t expect steering wheels.” That means full self-driving, which also means the Apple car is still years away.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师亚当·乔纳斯也主要研究汽车。他似乎不确定是否有一辆苹果汽车在路上，但如果确实出现，“不要指望方向盘。”这意味着完全自动驾驶，这也意味着苹果汽车还需要数年时间。</blockquote></p><p> He believes an Apple car can accelerate EV penetration. That could help existing auto makers with more progressive approaches to the EV market. But higher penetration isn’t a panacea for the car business. “At some point, today’s EV players must share the sandbox,” wrote the analyst in a recent report.</p><p><blockquote>他相信苹果汽车可以加速电动汽车的渗透。这可以帮助现有汽车制造商对电动汽车市场采取更先进的方法。但更高的渗透率并不是汽车行业的灵丹妙药。这位分析师在最近的一份报告中写道：“在某些时候，今天的电动汽车玩家必须共享沙盒。”</blockquote></p><p> That threat isn’t affecting his ratings on competitors yet. He rate Tesla stock Buy and callsGeneral Motors(GM) a top pick.</p><p><blockquote>这种威胁尚未影响他对竞争对手的评级。他将特斯拉股票评级为买入，并将通用汽车(GM)列为首选。</blockquote></p><p> J.P. Morgan‘s tech and car teams produced a joint report recently, and they don’t see an Apple car coming soon. They agreed if an Apple car is on the way, it will be delayed until full self-driving capability is more widely available.Robotaxi services, which can handle city driving, are planned in the next couple of years. But full self-driving capabilities are farther away—the cost of sensors needs to fall, and the software still needs to improve.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通的技术和汽车团队最近发布了一份联合报告，他们认为苹果汽车不会很快推出。他们一致认为，如果苹果汽车即将上市，它将被推迟，直到全自动驾驶功能更广泛可用。可以处理城市驾驶的机器人出租车服务计划在未来几年内推出。但全自动驾驶能力还很遥远——传感器的成本需要下降，软件仍需改进。</blockquote></p><p> The firm’s U.S. auto analystRyan Brinkmanadded that a new competitor the size and strength of Apple is a negative for existing auto makers, but, like Ward, he hasn’t heard about any collaboration in the auto-supply base.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的美国汽车分析师扬·布林克曼补充说，像苹果这样规模和实力的新竞争对手对现有汽车制造商来说是负面的，但和沃德一样，他没有听说汽车供应基地有任何合作。</blockquote></p><p> Another thing J.P. Morgan agrees on is outsourced manufacturing, meaning that Apple isn’t likely to assemble its car. That creates an opportunity for some existing car marker to build more volume. What company would win, however, isanyone’s guess.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通同意的另一件事是外包制造，这意味着苹果不太可能组装其汽车。这为一些现有的汽车标记创造了增加销量的机会。然而，谁也说不准哪家公司会赢。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analystDan Ives, who covers disruptive technology, which includes Apple and EV makerTesla(TSLA), is placing his bets onVolkswagen(VOW.Germany). “We assign a 85%-plus chance that Apple will announce an EV partnership/collaboration over the next 3 to 6 months,” wrote Ives in a recent report. “We continue to strongly believe that VW is a top candidate for an Apple EV partnership/JV given the company’s modular factory footprint as well as the keyQuantumScapeownership.”</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师Dan Ives研究颠覆性技术，包括苹果和电动汽车制造商特斯拉(TSLA)，他将赌注押在大众汽车(VOW.Germany)上。Ives在最近的一份报告中写道：“我们认为苹果将在未来3到6个月内宣布电动汽车合作伙伴关系/合作的可能性超过85%。”“鉴于大众汽车的模块化工厂足迹以及KeyQuantumScape所有权，我们仍然坚信大众汽车是苹果电动汽车合作伙伴/合资企业的首选候选者。”</blockquote></p><p> QuantumScape&nbsp;(QS) is&nbsp;pioneering&nbsp;solid-state lithium anode batteries that promise to improve electric-vehicle range and safety, while lowering costs and charge time.</p><p><blockquote>QuantumScape(QS)是固态锂阳极电池的先驱，有望提高电动汽车的续航里程和安全性，同时降低成本和充电时间。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple car hopes aren’t affecting investors much yet. Since new reports of a possible Apple car surfaced in December, GM and Tesla shares are up about 26% and 10%, respectively. TheS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average,for comparison, are up about 5% and 4%, respectively. Apple shares are down about 6%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果汽车的希望尚未对投资者产生太大影响。自去年12月有关可能推出苹果汽车的新报道浮出水面以来，通用汽车和特斯拉的股价分别上涨了约26%和10%。相比之下，标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别上涨约5%和4%。苹果股价下跌约6%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, it appears, have other more pressing issues on their minds.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎还有其他更紧迫的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Is Obsessed With an Apple Car. Why Tech Analysts Might Be Too Excited.<blockquote>华尔街痴迷于苹果汽车。为什么科技分析师可能过于兴奋。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Is Obsessed With an Apple Car. Why Tech Analysts Might Be Too Excited.<blockquote>华尔街痴迷于苹果汽车。为什么科技分析师可能过于兴奋。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-25 18:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Implications of Apple’s entry into the car business continues to generate muchspeculationand manyanalyst reportsfrom various stockbrokerage firms. Piper Sandler weighed into the debate Wednesday, saying an Apple car makes perfect sense. Investors, however, should remember that producing an automobile is very, very different from making a smartphone.</p><p><blockquote>苹果进入汽车行业的影响继续引发许多猜测和来自各股票经纪公司的许多分析师报告。派珀·桑德勒(Piper Sandler)周三参与了辩论，称苹果汽车非常有意义。然而，投资者应该记住，生产汽车与制造智能手机非常非常不同。</blockquote></p><p> Piper tech analystHarsh Kumarsays the timing is right for an&nbsp;Apple&nbsp;(ticker: AAPL) car. “The company can enter the market at a time of peak technology disruption while avoiding the risk of forming the market,” wrote the analyst in a Wednesday research report. Electric vehicles are proliferating, and autonomous driving technology is advancing. Cars will drive and feel different in the future—an Apple car would likely be an all-electric vehicle with self-driving options.</p><p><blockquote>Piper tech分析师Harsh Kumar表示，苹果（股票代码：AAPL）汽车的时机恰到好处。该分析师在周三的研究报告中写道：“该公司可以在技术颠覆高峰期进入市场，同时避免形成市场的风险。”电动汽车激增，自动驾驶技术进步。未来汽车的驾驶和感觉将会有所不同——苹果汽车很可能是一款具有自动驾驶选项的全电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Apple has so far declined to comment about any car plans recently.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，苹果拒绝对最近的任何汽车计划发表评论。</blockquote></p><p> Kumar covers Apple and other technology stocks. His 23-page report dives deep into the auto business—for tech investors. Industry size and market segmentation between, say, luxury cars and economy sedans, covered in his report, are par for the course in auto research.</p><p><blockquote>Kumar涵盖了苹果和其他科技股。他长达23页的报告深入探讨了汽车行业——面向科技投资者。他的报告中涵盖的豪华汽车和经济型轿车之间的行业规模和市场细分在汽车研究中是正常的。</blockquote></p><p> He assumes Apple, down the road, will sell 100,000 cars in year one. That might be aggressive.NIO(NIO),Li Auto(LI), andXPeng(XPEV) are threeEV startupsthat have been in business for years. They managed to sell about 100,000 vehicles on a combined basis in 2020. Kumar thinks Apple can be delivering 1 million cars by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>他假设苹果未来第一年将售出10万辆汽车。这可能很激进。蔚来（蔚来）、理想汽车（LI）和小鹏汽车（XPEV）是三家已经经营多年的电动汽车初创公司。2020年，他们总共售出了约10万辆汽车。Kumar认为苹果到2030年可以交付100万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> For tech analysts at this point, the Apple car appears to be an exercise in fun with numbers. They are attracted to the huge market size: New car sales top $2.5 trillion annually. But auto analysts’ enthusiasm for an Apple vehicle is more tempered, and perhaps for good reason.</p><p><blockquote>对于目前的科技分析师来说，苹果汽车似乎是一次玩弄数字的练习。他们被巨大的市场规模所吸引：每年新车销售额超过2.5万亿美元。但汽车分析师对苹果汽车的热情更加温和，这或许是有充分理由的。</blockquote></p><p> One factor that might hamper Apple’s ambitions is that cars are, of course, significantly more expensive than phones, making the purchase decision very different. In addition, “the regulatory side of the auto business is brutal and takes years to get through,” Benchmark auto analystMike Wardtells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>可能阻碍苹果雄心的一个因素是，汽车当然比手机贵得多，这使得购买决定非常不同。此外，Benchmark汽车分析师迈克·沃德(Mike Wardt)表示，“汽车行业的监管非常残酷，需要数年时间才能通过”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p> Ward says he isn’t hearing Apple buzz in the auto industry. It’s “pretty tough to keep that quiet in the auto industry—thousands of suppliers, [government] approvals, the size of the factory needed, etc.” He isn’t saying it can’t happen, but it is harder than many investors might expect.</p><p><blockquote>沃德表示，他没有听到汽车行业的苹果热议。“在汽车行业保持这种安静是相当困难的——数以千计的供应商、[政府]批准、所需工厂的规模等等。”他并不是说这不可能发生，但这比许多投资者预期的要困难。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analystAdam Jonasalso covers cars mainly. He doesn’t appear certain an Apple car is on the way, but if one does show up, “don’t expect steering wheels.” That means full self-driving, which also means the Apple car is still years away.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师亚当·乔纳斯也主要研究汽车。他似乎不确定是否有一辆苹果汽车在路上，但如果确实出现，“不要指望方向盘。”这意味着完全自动驾驶，这也意味着苹果汽车还需要数年时间。</blockquote></p><p> He believes an Apple car can accelerate EV penetration. That could help existing auto makers with more progressive approaches to the EV market. But higher penetration isn’t a panacea for the car business. “At some point, today’s EV players must share the sandbox,” wrote the analyst in a recent report.</p><p><blockquote>他相信苹果汽车可以加速电动汽车的渗透。这可以帮助现有汽车制造商对电动汽车市场采取更先进的方法。但更高的渗透率并不是汽车行业的灵丹妙药。这位分析师在最近的一份报告中写道：“在某些时候，今天的电动汽车玩家必须共享沙盒。”</blockquote></p><p> That threat isn’t affecting his ratings on competitors yet. He rate Tesla stock Buy and callsGeneral Motors(GM) a top pick.</p><p><blockquote>这种威胁尚未影响他对竞争对手的评级。他将特斯拉股票评级为买入，并将通用汽车(GM)列为首选。</blockquote></p><p> J.P. Morgan‘s tech and car teams produced a joint report recently, and they don’t see an Apple car coming soon. They agreed if an Apple car is on the way, it will be delayed until full self-driving capability is more widely available.Robotaxi services, which can handle city driving, are planned in the next couple of years. But full self-driving capabilities are farther away—the cost of sensors needs to fall, and the software still needs to improve.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通的技术和汽车团队最近发布了一份联合报告，他们认为苹果汽车不会很快推出。他们一致认为，如果苹果汽车即将上市，它将被推迟，直到全自动驾驶功能更广泛可用。可以处理城市驾驶的机器人出租车服务计划在未来几年内推出。但全自动驾驶能力还很遥远——传感器的成本需要下降，软件仍需改进。</blockquote></p><p> The firm’s U.S. auto analystRyan Brinkmanadded that a new competitor the size and strength of Apple is a negative for existing auto makers, but, like Ward, he hasn’t heard about any collaboration in the auto-supply base.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的美国汽车分析师扬·布林克曼补充说，像苹果这样规模和实力的新竞争对手对现有汽车制造商来说是负面的，但和沃德一样，他没有听说汽车供应基地有任何合作。</blockquote></p><p> Another thing J.P. Morgan agrees on is outsourced manufacturing, meaning that Apple isn’t likely to assemble its car. That creates an opportunity for some existing car marker to build more volume. What company would win, however, isanyone’s guess.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通同意的另一件事是外包制造，这意味着苹果不太可能组装其汽车。这为一些现有的汽车标记创造了增加销量的机会。然而，谁也说不准哪家公司会赢。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analystDan Ives, who covers disruptive technology, which includes Apple and EV makerTesla(TSLA), is placing his bets onVolkswagen(VOW.Germany). “We assign a 85%-plus chance that Apple will announce an EV partnership/collaboration over the next 3 to 6 months,” wrote Ives in a recent report. “We continue to strongly believe that VW is a top candidate for an Apple EV partnership/JV given the company’s modular factory footprint as well as the keyQuantumScapeownership.”</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师Dan Ives研究颠覆性技术，包括苹果和电动汽车制造商特斯拉(TSLA)，他将赌注押在大众汽车(VOW.Germany)上。Ives在最近的一份报告中写道：“我们认为苹果将在未来3到6个月内宣布电动汽车合作伙伴关系/合作的可能性超过85%。”“鉴于大众汽车的模块化工厂足迹以及KeyQuantumScape所有权，我们仍然坚信大众汽车是苹果电动汽车合作伙伴/合资企业的首选候选者。”</blockquote></p><p> QuantumScape&nbsp;(QS) is&nbsp;pioneering&nbsp;solid-state lithium anode batteries that promise to improve electric-vehicle range and safety, while lowering costs and charge time.</p><p><blockquote>QuantumScape(QS)是固态锂阳极电池的先驱，有望提高电动汽车的续航里程和安全性，同时降低成本和充电时间。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple car hopes aren’t affecting investors much yet. Since new reports of a possible Apple car surfaced in December, GM and Tesla shares are up about 26% and 10%, respectively. TheS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average,for comparison, are up about 5% and 4%, respectively. Apple shares are down about 6%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果汽车的希望尚未对投资者产生太大影响。自去年12月有关可能推出苹果汽车的新报道浮出水面以来，通用汽车和特斯拉的股价分别上涨了约26%和10%。相比之下，标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别上涨约5%和4%。苹果股价下跌约6%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, it appears, have other more pressing issues on their minds.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎还有其他更紧迫的问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/wall-street-apple-stock-ev-tech-car-51614187099?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/wall-street-apple-stock-ev-tech-car-51614187099?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165777611","content_text":"Implications of Apple’s entry into the car business continues to generate muchspeculationand manyanalyst reportsfrom various stockbrokerage firms. Piper Sandler weighed into the debate Wednesday, saying an Apple car makes perfect sense. Investors, however, should remember that producing an automobile is very, very different from making a smartphone.\nPiper tech analystHarsh Kumarsays the timing is right for an Apple (ticker: AAPL) car. “The company can enter the market at a time of peak technology disruption while avoiding the risk of forming the market,” wrote the analyst in a Wednesday research report. Electric vehicles are proliferating, and autonomous driving technology is advancing. Cars will drive and feel different in the future—an Apple car would likely be an all-electric vehicle with self-driving options.\nApple has so far declined to comment about any car plans recently.\nKumar covers Apple and other technology stocks. His 23-page report dives deep into the auto business—for tech investors. Industry size and market segmentation between, say, luxury cars and economy sedans, covered in his report, are par for the course in auto research.\nHe assumes Apple, down the road, will sell 100,000 cars in year one. That might be aggressive.NIO(NIO),Li Auto(LI), andXPeng(XPEV) are threeEV startupsthat have been in business for years. They managed to sell about 100,000 vehicles on a combined basis in 2020. Kumar thinks Apple can be delivering 1 million cars by 2030.\nFor tech analysts at this point, the Apple car appears to be an exercise in fun with numbers. They are attracted to the huge market size: New car sales top $2.5 trillion annually. But auto analysts’ enthusiasm for an Apple vehicle is more tempered, and perhaps for good reason.\nOne factor that might hamper Apple’s ambitions is that cars are, of course, significantly more expensive than phones, making the purchase decision very different. In addition, “the regulatory side of the auto business is brutal and takes years to get through,” Benchmark auto analystMike WardtellsBarron’s.\nWard says he isn’t hearing Apple buzz in the auto industry. It’s “pretty tough to keep that quiet in the auto industry—thousands of suppliers, [government] approvals, the size of the factory needed, etc.” He isn’t saying it can’t happen, but it is harder than many investors might expect.\nMorgan Stanley analystAdam Jonasalso covers cars mainly. He doesn’t appear certain an Apple car is on the way, but if one does show up, “don’t expect steering wheels.” That means full self-driving, which also means the Apple car is still years away.\nHe believes an Apple car can accelerate EV penetration. That could help existing auto makers with more progressive approaches to the EV market. But higher penetration isn’t a panacea for the car business. “At some point, today’s EV players must share the sandbox,” wrote the analyst in a recent report.\nThat threat isn’t affecting his ratings on competitors yet. He rate Tesla stock Buy and callsGeneral Motors(GM) a top pick.\nJ.P. Morgan‘s tech and car teams produced a joint report recently, and they don’t see an Apple car coming soon. They agreed if an Apple car is on the way, it will be delayed until full self-driving capability is more widely available.Robotaxi services, which can handle city driving, are planned in the next couple of years. But full self-driving capabilities are farther away—the cost of sensors needs to fall, and the software still needs to improve.\nThe firm’s U.S. auto analystRyan Brinkmanadded that a new competitor the size and strength of Apple is a negative for existing auto makers, but, like Ward, he hasn’t heard about any collaboration in the auto-supply base.\nAnother thing J.P. Morgan agrees on is outsourced manufacturing, meaning that Apple isn’t likely to assemble its car. That creates an opportunity for some existing car marker to build more volume. What company would win, however, isanyone’s guess.\nWedbush analystDan Ives, who covers disruptive technology, which includes Apple and EV makerTesla(TSLA), is placing his bets onVolkswagen(VOW.Germany). “We assign a 85%-plus chance that Apple will announce an EV partnership/collaboration over the next 3 to 6 months,” wrote Ives in a recent report. “We continue to strongly believe that VW is a top candidate for an Apple EV partnership/JV given the company’s modular factory footprint as well as the keyQuantumScapeownership.”\nQuantumScape (QS) is pioneering solid-state lithium anode batteries that promise to improve electric-vehicle range and safety, while lowering costs and charge time.\nApple car hopes aren’t affecting investors much yet. Since new reports of a possible Apple car surfaced in December, GM and Tesla shares are up about 26% and 10%, respectively. TheS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average,for comparison, are up about 5% and 4%, respectively. Apple shares are down about 6%.\nInvestors, it appears, have other more pressing issues on their minds.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182698166,"gmtCreate":1623566664255,"gmtModify":1634031573276,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182698166","repostId":"1148565686","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119252501,"gmtCreate":1622551768103,"gmtModify":1634100574039,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119252501","repostId":"2138889344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138889344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622546894,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2138889344?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138889344","media":"Zacks","summary":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarte","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>视频通信</b>定于6月1日公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计本季度非GAAP每股收益在95美分至97美分之间。总收入预计在9亿美元至9.05亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>过去30天，Zacks对收益的一致预期保持在每股97美分。该公司报告去年同期每股收益为20美分。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>收入的共识为9.052亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长175.8%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Zoom Video通信公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Zoom Video通信公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Zoom Video通信公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom的收益在过去四个季度都超过了Zacks的普遍预期，平均意外率为73.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看这个公告的进展如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p><blockquote><h3>值得关注的因素</h3>尽管开展了疫苗接种活动，但Zoom第一财季的收入预计仍将受益于冠状病毒引发的在家工作和在线学习浪潮。</blockquote></p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司的免费增值商业模式帮助其快速赢得客户，然后可以将这些客户转化为付费客户。2021财年第四季度，过去12个月的美元净增长率超过156%。预计这一势头将在即将报告的季度持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p><blockquote>此外，支持商务专业人士远程工作的Zoom For Home的可用性是一个关键的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>此外，这家Zacks排名第二（购买）的公司拥有强大的合作伙伴基础，其中包括<b>Atlassian</b>,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a></b>和Dropbox，预计将使该公司在第一财季赢得企业客户方面受益。你可以在这里看到今天咤克斯排名第一（强力买入）股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom Video继续面临来自以下公司的激烈竞争<b>思科</b>、微软和谷歌相遇。这可能会导致中小型企业客户的流失，从而可能会损害营收增长。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p><blockquote><h3>第一季度主要亮点</h3>在即将报告的季度中，Zoom宣布了一项名为Zoom Apps Fund的1亿美元风险基金，旨在刺激Zoom的Zoom应用、集成、开发者平台和硬件生态系统的增长。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在本季度，Zoom和一级方程式宣布，他们已在即将到来的2021年国际汽联一级方程式世界锦标赛赛季及以后建立了新的广泛的多年合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在2月份，Zoom宣布推出Zoom Rooms，这将帮助组织安全地重新进入办公室，并维持“无处不在的员工”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 19:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>视频通信</b>定于6月1日公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计本季度非GAAP每股收益在95美分至97美分之间。总收入预计在9亿美元至9.05亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>过去30天，Zacks对收益的一致预期保持在每股97美分。该公司报告去年同期每股收益为20美分。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>收入的共识为9.052亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长175.8%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Zoom Video通信公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Zoom Video通信公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Zoom Video通信公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom的收益在过去四个季度都超过了Zacks的普遍预期，平均意外率为73.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看这个公告的进展如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p><blockquote><h3>值得关注的因素</h3>尽管开展了疫苗接种活动，但Zoom第一财季的收入预计仍将受益于冠状病毒引发的在家工作和在线学习浪潮。</blockquote></p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司的免费增值商业模式帮助其快速赢得客户，然后可以将这些客户转化为付费客户。2021财年第四季度，过去12个月的美元净增长率超过156%。预计这一势头将在即将报告的季度持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p><blockquote>此外，支持商务专业人士远程工作的Zoom For Home的可用性是一个关键的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>此外，这家Zacks排名第二（购买）的公司拥有强大的合作伙伴基础，其中包括<b>Atlassian</b>,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a></b>和Dropbox，预计将使该公司在第一财季赢得企业客户方面受益。你可以在这里看到今天咤克斯排名第一（强力买入）股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom Video继续面临来自以下公司的激烈竞争<b>思科</b>、微软和谷歌相遇。这可能会导致中小型企业客户的流失，从而可能会损害营收增长。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p><blockquote><h3>第一季度主要亮点</h3>在即将报告的季度中，Zoom宣布了一项名为Zoom Apps Fund的1亿美元风险基金，旨在刺激Zoom的Zoom应用、集成、开发者平台和硬件生态系统的增长。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在本季度，Zoom和一级方程式宣布，他们已在即将到来的2021年国际汽联一级方程式世界锦标赛赛季及以后建立了新的广泛的多年合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在2月份，Zoom宣布推出Zoom Rooms，这将帮助组织安全地重新进入办公室，并维持“无处不在的员工”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138889344","content_text":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS SurpriseZoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. QuoteZoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.Factors to WatchZoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of Atlassian, ServiceNow and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of Cisco, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.Key Q1 HighlightsDuring the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195106433,"gmtCreate":1621260498622,"gmtModify":1634192956659,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh dear","listText":"Oh dear","text":"Oh dear","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195106433","repostId":"2136993456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341568195,"gmtCreate":1617841240217,"gmtModify":1634296238567,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341568195","repostId":"2125726223","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101030069,"gmtCreate":1619829344251,"gmtModify":1634209682062,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio nio nio","listText":"Nio nio nio","text":"Nio nio nio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101030069","repostId":"1142070002","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142070002","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619792975,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142070002?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-30 22:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO rose more than 5%, after falling nearly 4% before<blockquote>蔚来涨超5%，此前跌近4%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142070002","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"NIO Earnings Looked a Lot Like Ford’s. What to Know.Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO posted better than expected first quarter results. But the global automotive microchip shortage will hit production in the coming months.NIO  is a highly valued, high-growth stock. Now NIO bulls have to decide whether solid earnings will trump the growth hiccup or whether the chip shortage can hurt the company in the long run.NIO lost 23 cents a share on an adjusted, non-GAAP basis, from $1.2 billion in sales.","content":"<p>NIO rose more than 5%, after falling nearly 4% before.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来涨超5%，此前跌近4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80881ae9e6de48ac5e3733583db3ba9e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>NIO Earnings Looked a Lot Like Ford’s. What to Know.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的盈利看起来很像福特。知道什么。</b></blockquote></p><p>Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO posted better than expected first quarter results. But the global automotive microchip shortage will hit production in the coming months.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来公布的第一季度业绩好于预期。但全球汽车微芯片短缺将在未来几个月影响生产。</blockquote></p><p>NIO (ticker: NIO) is a highly valued, high-growth stock. Now NIO bulls have to decide whether solid earnings will trump the growth hiccup or whether the chip shortage can hurt the company in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）是一只高估值、高增长的股票。现在，看多蔚来的人必须决定稳健的盈利是否会战胜增长问题，或者芯片短缺是否会从长远来看损害该公司。</blockquote></p><p>NIO lost&nbsp;23 cents&nbsp;a share on an adjusted, non-GAAP basis, from $1.2 billion in sales. Wall Street was looking for a comparable 84 cent loss from $1.1 billion in sales. NIO’s corporate gross profit margin came in at 19.5%, about 3 percentage points better than analysts projected and up from negative 12% a year ago. First quarter results look solid.</p><p><blockquote>按调整后的非公认会计准则计算，蔚来的销售额为12亿美元，每股亏损23美分。华尔街预计11亿美元的销售额将损失84美分。蔚来的企业毛利率为19.5%，比分析师预期高出约3个百分点，高于一年前的负12%。第一季度业绩看起来很稳健。</blockquote></p><p>The stock isn’t moving though. NIO reported numbers at 5:30 p.m. eastern time and not a lot of stock is trading after hours. NIO shares closed down 5.3% in Thursday trading. TheS&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose about&nbsp; 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>但该股没有变动。蔚来于下午5:30公布了数据。东部时间，盘后交易的股票并不多。蔚来股价周四收盘下跌5.3%。标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p>“NIO started the year of 2021 with a new quarterly delivery record of 20,060 vehicles in the first quarter,” said CEO William Bin Li in the company’s news release. “The overall demand for our products continues to be quite strong, but the supply chain is still facing significant challenges due to the semiconductor shortage.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官William Bin Li在公司新闻稿中表示：“蔚来以第一季度20,060辆汽车的新季度交付记录开启了2021年。”“对我们产品的整体需求仍然相当强劲，但由于半导体短缺，供应链仍然面临重大挑战。”</blockquote></p><p>Management called the chip situation “very severe” on its conference call and projected 21,000 to 22,000 vehicle deliveries for the second quarter and sales of about $1.3 billion. The Street is projecting $1.2 billion in sales. But the unit delivery guidance is a little lower than Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu had expected.</p><p><blockquote>管理层称其电话会议上的芯片形势“非常严峻”，并预计第二季度汽车交付量为21,000至22,000辆，销售额约为13亿美元。华尔街预计销售额为12亿美元。但单位交付指引略低于德意志银行分析师Edison Yu的预期。</blockquote></p><p>For the full year, Yu is modeling 95,000 deliveries. With about 42,000 deliveries likely for the first half of 2021, the resolution of the global chip shortage will go a long way to deciding whether or not NIO can reach Yu’s number.</p><p><blockquote>Yu全年对95,000次交付进行了建模。2021年上半年的交付量可能约为42,000辆，全球芯片短缺的解决将在很大程度上决定蔚来能否达到俞的数字。</blockquote></p><p>Yu rates NIO shares Buy and has a $60 price target for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>Yu将蔚来股票评级为买入，并将该股目标价定为60美元。</blockquote></p><p>The overall quarter feels a little like&nbsp;Ford Motor‘s (F) quarter, which was&nbsp;reported Wednesday. Ford reported sales and earnings far better than Wall Street projected. Unit volumes were below the company’s internal projections, but improving vehicle mix boosted sales beyond Street projections. Ford prioritized making higher-end vehicles in the face of limited chip supply. Looking ahead, Ford said the impact of the chip shortage would be at the high end of the company’s initial $1 billion to $2.5 billion cost guidance.</p><p><blockquote>整个季度感觉有点像周三公布的福特汽车(F)季度。福特公布的销售额和盈利远好于华尔街的预期。销量低于公司内部预测，但车辆组合的改善推动了销量超出了街头预测。在芯片供应有限的情况下，福特优先生产高端汽车。展望未来，福特表示，芯片短缺的影响将处于该公司最初10亿至25亿美元成本指导的高端。</blockquote></p><p>Ford stock close down 9.4% Thursday, the day after the Wednesday evening report. The NIO second-quarter guidance isn’t as surprising as Ford’s. And NIO doesn’t have full-year guidance. But calling NIO’s stock price reaction is difficult.</p><p><blockquote>周三晚间报告发布后的第二天，福特股价周四收盘下跌9.4%。蔚来第二季度的指引并不像福特那样令人惊讶。蔚来也没有全年指引。但蔚来的股价反应很难预测。</blockquote></p><p>Ford trades for less than 7 times estimated 2022 earnings. NIO is expected to become profitable on a full-year basis in 2022. What’s more, NIO is worth about 50% more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>福特的市盈率不到2022年预期市盈率的7倍。蔚来预计将在2022年实现全年盈利。更重要的是，蔚来的价值比福特高出50%左右。</blockquote></p><p>NIO’s conference call wrapped up about 10 p.m. eastern time. After the chip shortage, analysts focused questions on EV competition in China and NIO’s production expansion. NIO is putting in place&nbsp;capacity to produce&nbsp;hundreds of thousands of vehicles in coming years.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的电话会议在东部时间晚上10点左右结束。芯片短缺后，分析师将问题集中在国内电动汽车竞争和蔚来的扩产上。蔚来正在建立未来几年生产数十万辆汽车的能力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO rose more than 5%, after falling nearly 4% before<blockquote>蔚来涨超5%，此前跌近4%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO rose more than 5%, after falling nearly 4% before<blockquote>蔚来涨超5%，此前跌近4%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-30 22:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NIO rose more than 5%, after falling nearly 4% before.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来涨超5%，此前跌近4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80881ae9e6de48ac5e3733583db3ba9e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>NIO Earnings Looked a Lot Like Ford’s. What to Know.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的盈利看起来很像福特。知道什么。</b></blockquote></p><p>Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO posted better than expected first quarter results. But the global automotive microchip shortage will hit production in the coming months.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商蔚来公布的第一季度业绩好于预期。但全球汽车微芯片短缺将在未来几个月影响生产。</blockquote></p><p>NIO (ticker: NIO) is a highly valued, high-growth stock. Now NIO bulls have to decide whether solid earnings will trump the growth hiccup or whether the chip shortage can hurt the company in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（股票代码：蔚来）是一只高估值、高增长的股票。现在，看多蔚来的人必须决定稳健的盈利是否会战胜增长问题，或者芯片短缺是否会从长远来看损害该公司。</blockquote></p><p>NIO lost&nbsp;23 cents&nbsp;a share on an adjusted, non-GAAP basis, from $1.2 billion in sales. Wall Street was looking for a comparable 84 cent loss from $1.1 billion in sales. NIO’s corporate gross profit margin came in at 19.5%, about 3 percentage points better than analysts projected and up from negative 12% a year ago. First quarter results look solid.</p><p><blockquote>按调整后的非公认会计准则计算，蔚来的销售额为12亿美元，每股亏损23美分。华尔街预计11亿美元的销售额将损失84美分。蔚来的企业毛利率为19.5%，比分析师预期高出约3个百分点，高于一年前的负12%。第一季度业绩看起来很稳健。</blockquote></p><p>The stock isn’t moving though. NIO reported numbers at 5:30 p.m. eastern time and not a lot of stock is trading after hours. NIO shares closed down 5.3% in Thursday trading. TheS&amp;P 500&nbsp;and&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose about&nbsp; 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>但该股没有变动。蔚来于下午5:30公布了数据。东部时间，盘后交易的股票并不多。蔚来股价周四收盘下跌5.3%。标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p>“NIO started the year of 2021 with a new quarterly delivery record of 20,060 vehicles in the first quarter,” said CEO William Bin Li in the company’s news release. “The overall demand for our products continues to be quite strong, but the supply chain is still facing significant challenges due to the semiconductor shortage.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官William Bin Li在公司新闻稿中表示：“蔚来以第一季度20,060辆汽车的新季度交付记录开启了2021年。”“对我们产品的整体需求仍然相当强劲，但由于半导体短缺，供应链仍然面临重大挑战。”</blockquote></p><p>Management called the chip situation “very severe” on its conference call and projected 21,000 to 22,000 vehicle deliveries for the second quarter and sales of about $1.3 billion. The Street is projecting $1.2 billion in sales. But the unit delivery guidance is a little lower than Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu had expected.</p><p><blockquote>管理层称其电话会议上的芯片形势“非常严峻”，并预计第二季度汽车交付量为21,000至22,000辆，销售额约为13亿美元。华尔街预计销售额为12亿美元。但单位交付指引略低于德意志银行分析师Edison Yu的预期。</blockquote></p><p>For the full year, Yu is modeling 95,000 deliveries. With about 42,000 deliveries likely for the first half of 2021, the resolution of the global chip shortage will go a long way to deciding whether or not NIO can reach Yu’s number.</p><p><blockquote>Yu全年对95,000次交付进行了建模。2021年上半年的交付量可能约为42,000辆，全球芯片短缺的解决将在很大程度上决定蔚来能否达到俞的数字。</blockquote></p><p>Yu rates NIO shares Buy and has a $60 price target for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>Yu将蔚来股票评级为买入，并将该股目标价定为60美元。</blockquote></p><p>The overall quarter feels a little like&nbsp;Ford Motor‘s (F) quarter, which was&nbsp;reported Wednesday. Ford reported sales and earnings far better than Wall Street projected. Unit volumes were below the company’s internal projections, but improving vehicle mix boosted sales beyond Street projections. Ford prioritized making higher-end vehicles in the face of limited chip supply. Looking ahead, Ford said the impact of the chip shortage would be at the high end of the company’s initial $1 billion to $2.5 billion cost guidance.</p><p><blockquote>整个季度感觉有点像周三公布的福特汽车(F)季度。福特公布的销售额和盈利远好于华尔街的预期。销量低于公司内部预测，但车辆组合的改善推动了销量超出了街头预测。在芯片供应有限的情况下，福特优先生产高端汽车。展望未来，福特表示，芯片短缺的影响将处于该公司最初10亿至25亿美元成本指导的高端。</blockquote></p><p>Ford stock close down 9.4% Thursday, the day after the Wednesday evening report. The NIO second-quarter guidance isn’t as surprising as Ford’s. And NIO doesn’t have full-year guidance. But calling NIO’s stock price reaction is difficult.</p><p><blockquote>周三晚间报告发布后的第二天，福特股价周四收盘下跌9.4%。蔚来第二季度的指引并不像福特那样令人惊讶。蔚来也没有全年指引。但蔚来的股价反应很难预测。</blockquote></p><p>Ford trades for less than 7 times estimated 2022 earnings. NIO is expected to become profitable on a full-year basis in 2022. What’s more, NIO is worth about 50% more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>福特的市盈率不到2022年预期市盈率的7倍。蔚来预计将在2022年实现全年盈利。更重要的是，蔚来的价值比福特高出50%左右。</blockquote></p><p>NIO’s conference call wrapped up about 10 p.m. eastern time. After the chip shortage, analysts focused questions on EV competition in China and NIO’s production expansion. NIO is putting in place&nbsp;capacity to produce&nbsp;hundreds of thousands of vehicles in coming years.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的电话会议在东部时间晚上10点左右结束。芯片短缺后，分析师将问题集中在国内电动汽车竞争和蔚来的扩产上。蔚来正在建立未来几年生产数十万辆汽车的能力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142070002","content_text":"NIO rose more than 5%, after falling nearly 4% before.NIO Earnings Looked a Lot Like Ford’s. What to Know.Chinese electric vehicle maker NIO posted better than expected first quarter results. But the global automotive microchip shortage will hit production in the coming months.NIO (ticker: NIO) is a highly valued, high-growth stock. Now NIO bulls have to decide whether solid earnings will trump the growth hiccup or whether the chip shortage can hurt the company in the long run.NIO lost 23 cents a share on an adjusted, non-GAAP basis, from $1.2 billion in sales. Wall Street was looking for a comparable 84 cent loss from $1.1 billion in sales. NIO’s corporate gross profit margin came in at 19.5%, about 3 percentage points better than analysts projected and up from negative 12% a year ago. First quarter results look solid.The stock isn’t moving though. NIO reported numbers at 5:30 p.m. eastern time and not a lot of stock is trading after hours. NIO shares closed down 5.3% in Thursday trading. TheS&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about  0.7%.“NIO started the year of 2021 with a new quarterly delivery record of 20,060 vehicles in the first quarter,” said CEO William Bin Li in the company’s news release. “The overall demand for our products continues to be quite strong, but the supply chain is still facing significant challenges due to the semiconductor shortage.”Management called the chip situation “very severe” on its conference call and projected 21,000 to 22,000 vehicle deliveries for the second quarter and sales of about $1.3 billion. The Street is projecting $1.2 billion in sales. But the unit delivery guidance is a little lower than Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu had expected.For the full year, Yu is modeling 95,000 deliveries. With about 42,000 deliveries likely for the first half of 2021, the resolution of the global chip shortage will go a long way to deciding whether or not NIO can reach Yu’s number.Yu rates NIO shares Buy and has a $60 price target for the stock.The overall quarter feels a little like Ford Motor‘s (F) quarter, which was reported Wednesday. Ford reported sales and earnings far better than Wall Street projected. Unit volumes were below the company’s internal projections, but improving vehicle mix boosted sales beyond Street projections. Ford prioritized making higher-end vehicles in the face of limited chip supply. Looking ahead, Ford said the impact of the chip shortage would be at the high end of the company’s initial $1 billion to $2.5 billion cost guidance.Ford stock close down 9.4% Thursday, the day after the Wednesday evening report. The NIO second-quarter guidance isn’t as surprising as Ford’s. And NIO doesn’t have full-year guidance. But calling NIO’s stock price reaction is difficult.Ford trades for less than 7 times estimated 2022 earnings. NIO is expected to become profitable on a full-year basis in 2022. What’s more, NIO is worth about 50% more than Ford.NIO’s conference call wrapped up about 10 p.m. eastern time. After the chip shortage, analysts focused questions on EV competition in China and NIO’s production expansion. NIO is putting in place capacity to produce hundreds of thousands of vehicles in coming years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349031833,"gmtCreate":1617503420322,"gmtModify":1634520758178,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/349031833","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191998262?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<p>  You may not like the answer.  For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p><p><blockquote>你可能不喜欢这个答案。在过去的一年里，投资者享受了有史以来最大的反弹之一。基准后<b>标普500</b>由于围绕冠状病毒大流行的前所未有的不确定性，(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)在短短几周内就损失了三分之一的价值，但随后反弹至较低点上涨了75%左右。你可以正确地说，耐心得到了回报。</blockquote></p><p> But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者——尤其是长期投资者——敏锐地意识到了另一个现实：股市崩盘或调整的倾向。现在情况可能看起来很好，但下一次大幅暴跌总是在等待。</blockquote></p><p> It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了一个问题：股市崩盘的可能性有多大？让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>平均每1.87年出现两位数的下降</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&amp;P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p><p><blockquote>首先，股市调整（即至少下跌10%）在标普500中很常见。根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据，自1950年初以来，标普500已经出现了38次回调。这意味着基准指数平均每1.87年下降两位数。由于距离市场触及熊市底部已经一年多了，平均水平肯定不会受到投资者的青睐。</blockquote></p><p> However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p><p><blockquote>然而，平均值不过如此...平均值。市场并不遵循平均水平，即使有些人根据历史上发生的事情进行投资。</blockquote></p><p> We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p><p><blockquote>我们可能会进入一个类似于1991年到1996年的时期，那里的修正为零。或者我们可以延续2010年初以来的主题，平均每19个月就会出现一次修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在熊市触底后的三年内，调整是历史性的</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&amp;P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得研究的有趣证据是标普500在触及熊市底部后修正的频率。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p><p><blockquote>自1960年初（为了简单起见，我随意选择了一年）以来，这个广受关注的指数已经经历了九次熊市，包括冠状病毒崩盘。在从之前八次熊市低点反弹的过程中，100%的情况下，三年内至少有一次两位数的百分比下跌。在过去八次熊市底部之后的三年内，总共发生了13次调整（即每次底部之后都有一次或两次）。</blockquote></p><p> Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，从熊市底部反弹很少是直线走高。然而，自2020年3月23日以来，上涨、上涨和离开几乎一直是投资者的主题。历史表明，未来两年内股市很有可能走低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当达到这个估值指标时，经常会发生崩溃</b></blockquote></p><p> But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p><p><blockquote>但最确凿的证据可能是标普500的席勒市盈率（P/E）。这是一个估值指标，考察过去10年经通胀调整后的平均收益。你可能也知道它是周期性调整市盈率，或CAPE。</blockquote></p><p> As of the close of business on March 30, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月30日收盘，标普500的席勒市盈率达到35.61。这是150年来平均水平16.8的两倍多。以持续的牛市走势为参数，这是其历史上第二高的读数。</blockquote></p><p> To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p><p><blockquote>在某种程度上，现在的股票估值应该高于历史水平是有道理的。这是因为利率接近历史低点，而且互联网接入有效地打破了华尔街和主街之间的障碍，这些障碍在过去可能会阻碍市盈率倍数。</blockquote></p><p> However, previous instances of the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，此前标普500席勒市盈率突破并维持在30水平的情况并没有得到很好的结局。在之前四次席勒市盈率超过并保持在30以上的情况下，基准指数下跌了20%至89%。尽管如今不太可能出现大萧条期间经历的89%的暴跌，但从历史上看，当估值延长时，就有可能出现大幅下跌，就像现在一样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将现金放在手边，以防机会来袭</b></blockquote></p><p> To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p><p><blockquote>回到手头的最初问题，数据非常清楚地表明，股市崩盘或调整的可能性已经大大增加。不可能准确预测崩盘何时可能发生，下跌将持续多长时间，或者下跌幅度有多大。但数据强烈表明下行趋势即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对一些投资者来说可能是一个令人失望的发现，但事实并非如此。崩盘和调整是投资周期的正常部分。更重要的是，它们为投资者提供了以折扣价购买伟大公司的机会。想想去年三月你可能会因为没有购买而自责的所有伟大公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&amp;P 500 been negative.</p><p><blockquote>对崩溃和修正感到兴奋的原因也可以在数据中找到。你看，自1950年初以来的38次标普500调整中，每一次最终都被牛市反弹抛到了后视镜中。此外，在过去的一个世纪里，标普500的20年滚动总回报率（包括股息）从未为负。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果您在调整期间需要进一步鼓励买入，请记住，标普500 38次两位数下跌中有24次是在104个或更短的日历日（3.5个月或更短）内触底的。崩溃和修正有时可能很剧烈，但往往会很快解决。这是你在机会来临时准备好现金的提示。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?<blockquote>股市崩盘的可能性有多大？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-02 20:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  You may not like the answer.  For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p><p><blockquote>你可能不喜欢这个答案。在过去的一年里，投资者享受了有史以来最大的反弹之一。基准后<b>标普500</b>由于围绕冠状病毒大流行的前所未有的不确定性，(SNPINDEX：^GSPC)在短短几周内就损失了三分之一的价值，但随后反弹至较低点上涨了75%左右。你可以正确地说，耐心得到了回报。</blockquote></p><p> But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者——尤其是长期投资者——敏锐地意识到了另一个现实：股市崩盘或调整的倾向。现在情况可能看起来很好，但下一次大幅暴跌总是在等待。</blockquote></p><p> It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了一个问题：股市崩盘的可能性有多大？让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p><p><blockquote><b>平均每1.87年出现两位数的下降</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&amp;P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p><p><blockquote>首先，股市调整（即至少下跌10%）在标普500中很常见。根据市场分析公司Yardeni Research的数据，自1950年初以来，标普500已经出现了38次回调。这意味着基准指数平均每1.87年下降两位数。由于距离市场触及熊市底部已经一年多了，平均水平肯定不会受到投资者的青睐。</blockquote></p><p> However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p><p><blockquote>然而，平均值不过如此...平均值。市场并不遵循平均水平，即使有些人根据历史上发生的事情进行投资。</blockquote></p><p> We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p><p><blockquote>我们可能会进入一个类似于1991年到1996年的时期，那里的修正为零。或者我们可以延续2010年初以来的主题，平均每19个月就会出现一次修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在熊市触底后的三年内，调整是历史性的</b></blockquote></p><p> Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&amp;P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得研究的有趣证据是标普500在触及熊市底部后修正的频率。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p><p><blockquote>自1960年初（为了简单起见，我随意选择了一年）以来，这个广受关注的指数已经经历了九次熊市，包括冠状病毒崩盘。在从之前八次熊市低点反弹的过程中，100%的情况下，三年内至少有一次两位数的百分比下跌。在过去八次熊市底部之后的三年内，总共发生了13次调整（即每次底部之后都有一次或两次）。</blockquote></p><p> Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，从熊市底部反弹很少是直线走高。然而，自2020年3月23日以来，上涨、上涨和离开几乎一直是投资者的主题。历史表明，未来两年内股市很有可能走低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p><p><blockquote><b>当达到这个估值指标时，经常会发生崩溃</b></blockquote></p><p> But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p><p><blockquote>但最确凿的证据可能是标普500的席勒市盈率（P/E）。这是一个估值指标，考察过去10年经通胀调整后的平均收益。你可能也知道它是周期性调整市盈率，或CAPE。</blockquote></p><p> As of the close of business on March 30, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月30日收盘，标普500的席勒市盈率达到35.61。这是150年来平均水平16.8的两倍多。以持续的牛市走势为参数，这是其历史上第二高的读数。</blockquote></p><p> To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p><p><blockquote>在某种程度上，现在的股票估值应该高于历史水平是有道理的。这是因为利率接近历史低点，而且互联网接入有效地打破了华尔街和主街之间的障碍，这些障碍在过去可能会阻碍市盈率倍数。</blockquote></p><p> However, previous instances of the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，此前标普500席勒市盈率突破并维持在30水平的情况并没有得到很好的结局。在之前四次席勒市盈率超过并保持在30以上的情况下，基准指数下跌了20%至89%。尽管如今不太可能出现大萧条期间经历的89%的暴跌，但从历史上看，当估值延长时，就有可能出现大幅下跌，就像现在一样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将现金放在手边，以防机会来袭</b></blockquote></p><p> To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p><p><blockquote>回到手头的最初问题，数据非常清楚地表明，股市崩盘或调整的可能性已经大大增加。不可能准确预测崩盘何时可能发生，下跌将持续多长时间，或者下跌幅度有多大。但数据强烈表明下行趋势即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这对一些投资者来说可能是一个令人失望的发现，但事实并非如此。崩盘和调整是投资周期的正常部分。更重要的是，它们为投资者提供了以折扣价购买伟大公司的机会。想想去年三月你可能会因为没有购买而自责的所有伟大公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&amp;P 500 been negative.</p><p><blockquote>对崩溃和修正感到兴奋的原因也可以在数据中找到。你看，自1950年初以来的38次标普500调整中，每一次最终都被牛市反弹抛到了后视镜中。此外，在过去的一个世纪里，标普500的20年滚动总回报率（包括股息）从未为负。</blockquote></p><p> If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果您在调整期间需要进一步鼓励买入，请记住，标普500 38次两位数下跌中有24次是在104个或更短的日历日（3.5个月或更短）内触底的。崩溃和修正有时可能很剧烈，但往往会很快解决。这是你在机会来临时准备好现金的提示。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340215074,"gmtCreate":1617416567598,"gmtModify":1634521056540,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340215074","repostId":"2124875875","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166176585,"gmtCreate":1623999344347,"gmtModify":1634024332031,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sounds great","listText":"Sounds great","text":"Sounds great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166176585","repostId":"2144742925","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117511235,"gmtCreate":1623150547227,"gmtModify":1634036436282,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117511235","repostId":"1154765176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":328179297,"gmtCreate":1615509122619,"gmtModify":1703490138584,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I like","listText":"I like","text":"I like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328179297","repostId":"1199156489","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199156489","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1615452861,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199156489?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-11 16:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Daylight Saving Time<blockquote>美国夏令时</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199156489","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving tim","content":"<p>From&nbsp;02:00&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;East&nbsp;time&nbsp;March&nbsp;14(this&nbsp;Sunday),the&nbsp;North America&nbsp;region&nbsp;entered&nbsp;daylight saving&nbsp;time,until&nbsp;02:00&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;East&nbsp;time&nbsp;ends&nbsp;on&nbsp;November&nbsp;7,2021.</p><p><blockquote>从美国东部时间3月14日（本周日）02：00开始，北美地区进入夏令时，直到美国东部时间2021年11月7日02：00结束。</blockquote></p><p>So,starting&nbsp;on&nbsp;Monday,March&nbsp;14,the&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;market&nbsp;will&nbsp;open&nbsp;and&nbsp;close&nbsp;one&nbsp;hour&nbsp;ahead&nbsp;of&nbsp;schedule&nbsp;during&nbsp;north&nbsp;american&nbsp;daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S.&nbsp;trading&nbsp;time&nbsp;will&nbsp;be&nbsp;changed&nbsp;to&nbsp;21:30&nbsp;beijing&nbsp;time&nbsp;to&nbsp;04:00&nbsp;a.m.the&nbsp;next&nbsp;day,pre-trade&nbsp;time&nbsp;will&nbsp;be&nbsp;16:00&nbsp;to&nbsp;21:30,after-trade&nbsp;time&nbsp;will&nbsp;be&nbsp;04:00&nbsp;to&nbsp;8:00.</p><p><blockquote>于是，从3月14日周一开始，美国市场将在北美夏令时期间提前一小时开盘和收盘，即美国交易时间改为北京时间21:30至次日凌晨04:00，交易前时间为16:00至21:30，交易后时间为04:00至8:00。</blockquote></p><p><b>What is daylight saving time?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是夏令时？</b></blockquote></p><p>The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.</p><p><blockquote>夏令时是在夏季将时钟拨快一小时的做法，这样白天会持续更长时间到晚上。北美和欧洲的大部分地区遵循这一习俗，而其他地方的大多数国家则不这样做。</blockquote></p><p>Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.</p><p><blockquote>夏威夷、美属萨摩亚、关岛、波多黎各、美属维尔京群岛和亚利桑那州大部分地区不实行夏令时。坚持现状是义不容辞的责任。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Daylight Saving Time<blockquote>美国夏令时</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Daylight Saving Time<blockquote>美国夏令时</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-11 16:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>From&nbsp;02:00&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;East&nbsp;time&nbsp;March&nbsp;14(this&nbsp;Sunday),the&nbsp;North America&nbsp;region&nbsp;entered&nbsp;daylight saving&nbsp;time,until&nbsp;02:00&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;East&nbsp;time&nbsp;ends&nbsp;on&nbsp;November&nbsp;7,2021.</p><p><blockquote>从美国东部时间3月14日（本周日）02：00开始，北美地区进入夏令时，直到美国东部时间2021年11月7日02：00结束。</blockquote></p><p>So,starting&nbsp;on&nbsp;Monday,March&nbsp;14,the&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;market&nbsp;will&nbsp;open&nbsp;and&nbsp;close&nbsp;one&nbsp;hour&nbsp;ahead&nbsp;of&nbsp;schedule&nbsp;during&nbsp;north&nbsp;american&nbsp;daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S.&nbsp;trading&nbsp;time&nbsp;will&nbsp;be&nbsp;changed&nbsp;to&nbsp;21:30&nbsp;beijing&nbsp;time&nbsp;to&nbsp;04:00&nbsp;a.m.the&nbsp;next&nbsp;day,pre-trade&nbsp;time&nbsp;will&nbsp;be&nbsp;16:00&nbsp;to&nbsp;21:30,after-trade&nbsp;time&nbsp;will&nbsp;be&nbsp;04:00&nbsp;to&nbsp;8:00.</p><p><blockquote>于是，从3月14日周一开始，美国市场将在北美夏令时期间提前一小时开盘和收盘，即美国交易时间改为北京时间21:30至次日凌晨04:00，交易前时间为16:00至21:30，交易后时间为04:00至8:00。</blockquote></p><p><b>What is daylight saving time?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是夏令时？</b></blockquote></p><p>The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.</p><p><blockquote>夏令时是在夏季将时钟拨快一小时的做法，这样白天会持续更长时间到晚上。北美和欧洲的大部分地区遵循这一习俗，而其他地方的大多数国家则不这样做。</blockquote></p><p>Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.</p><p><blockquote>夏威夷、美属萨摩亚、关岛、波多黎各、美属维尔京群岛和亚利桑那州大部分地区不实行夏令时。坚持现状是义不容辞的责任。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199156489","content_text":"From 02:00 U.S. East time March 14(this Sunday),the North America region entered daylight saving time,until 02:00 U.S. East time ends on November 7,2021.So,starting on Monday,March 14,the U.S. market will open and close one hour ahead of schedule during north american daylight saving time,i.e.,U.S. trading time will be changed to 21:30 beijing time to 04:00 a.m.the next day,pre-trade time will be 16:00 to 21:30,after-trade time will be 04:00 to 8:00.What is daylight saving time?The DST is the practice of moving clocks forward by one hour during summer months so that daylight lasts longer into evening. Most of North America and Europe follows the custom, while the majority of countries elsewhere do not.Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands and most of Arizona don’t observe daylight saving time. It’s incumbent to stick with the status quo.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321840316,"gmtCreate":1615424207635,"gmtModify":1703488835761,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASXC\">$Asensus Surgical, Inc.(ASXC)$</a>TRXC was a nice ticker.. this is hard to remember..&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASXC\">$Asensus Surgical, Inc.(ASXC)$</a>TRXC was a nice ticker.. this is hard to remember..&nbsp;","text":"$Asensus Surgical, Inc.(ASXC)$TRXC was a nice ticker.. this is hard to remember..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321840316","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108632887,"gmtCreate":1620017192649,"gmtModify":1634208483482,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108632887","repostId":"1184469535","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377716303,"gmtCreate":1619565412302,"gmtModify":1634211824002,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comm","listText":"Like n comm","text":"Like n comm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377716303","repostId":"1112397012","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112397012","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619521537,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112397012?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-27 19:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Small-Cap Stocks With 60% to 140% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只小盘股上涨60%至140%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112397012","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"For more than a year, investors have been spoiled by an epic rally on Wall Street. After losing 34% ","content":"<p>For more than a year, investors have been spoiled by an epic rally on Wall Street. After losing 34% of its value in a span of just 33 calendar days in the first quarter of 2020, the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>has roared back to gain 87% since hitting its bear-market bottom on March 23, 2020, through this past weekend.</p><p><blockquote>一年多来，投资者一直被华尔街史诗般的反弹宠坏了。在2020年第一季度短短33个日历日内损失了34%的价值后，该基准<b>标普500</b>自2020年3月23日触及熊市底部以来，截至上周末，股价已飙升87%。</blockquote></p><p>Though large-cap stocks (companies with market caps of at least $10 billion) have been the stars of this rally, it'ssmall-cap stocks($300 million to $2 billion market cap) that Wall Street believes are ready to shine. Small-caps are typically riskier in that their operating models aren't time-tested or proven. But they can usually deliver superior growth prospects compared to more mature companies.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大盘股（市值至少100亿美元的公司）一直是这次反弹的明星，但华尔街认为小盘股（市值3亿至20亿美元）已经准备好大放异彩。小盘股通常风险更大，因为它们的运营模式未经时间考验或验证。但与更成熟的公司相比，它们通常可以提供更好的增长前景。</blockquote></p><p>Based on the consensus one-year price targets of Wall Street analysts, the following five small-cap stocks all offer upside ranging from 60% to as much as 140%.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街分析师一致的一年目标价，以下五只小盘股均提供60%至高达140%的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e84aa34310d37f1ab30212f9dcf1bf0d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p>Vaxart: Implied upside of 140%</p><p><blockquote>Vaxart：隐含上涨140%</blockquote></p><p>There are close to 2,000 small-cap stocks and securities for investors to choose from. However, Wall Street professionals believe you'll have a hard time topping thepotential 140% return over the next yearfrom clinical-stage biotech stock<b>Vaxart</b>(NASDAQ:VXRT).</p><p><blockquote>有近2000只小盘股和证券可供投资者选择。然而，华尔街专业人士认为，明年临床阶段生物技术股票的潜在回报率将很难超过140%<b>Vaxart</b>（纳斯达克：VXRT）。</blockquote></p><p>The Vaxart rags-to-riches story will come down to how well the company's coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) treatment option, VXA-CoV2-1, fares in clinical studies. What makes this treatment so unique is that it's a tablet, rather than a shot, which could play a key role in overcoming vaccine resistance and administration. After all, you don't need trained medical personnel to administer to a tablet.</p><p><blockquote>Vaxart白手起家的故事将取决于该公司的冠状病毒疾病2019（COVID-19）治疗方案VXA-CoV2-1在临床研究中的表现。这种治疗方法的独特之处在于它是一种药片，而不是一种注射，可以在克服疫苗耐药性和给药方面发挥关键作用。毕竟，你不需要训练有素的医务人员来给药片服用。</blockquote></p><p>At the beginning of February, Vaxart announced a positive first step for VXA-CoV2-1 in a phase 1 trial. Preliminary data showed it had reached all of its primary and secondary safety and immunogenicity endpoints. Plus, there were early signs it could be effective against the original and variant strains of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>2月初，Vaxart宣布VXA-CoV2-1在1期试验中迈出了积极的第一步。初步数据显示，它已达到所有主要和次要安全性和免疫原性终点。此外，有早期迹象表明它可能对新冠肺炎的原始和变异毒株有效。</blockquote></p><p>It'sfar too early to tellif Vaxart's oral COVID-19 treatment will be a success in mid-or-late-stage trials, but it certainly offers game-changing potential if it is effective.</p><p><blockquote>现在判断Vaxart的口服COVID-19治疗是否会在中期或后期试验中取得成功还为时过早，但如果有效，它肯定会提供改变游戏规则的潜力。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c2902426a62a08435f7d40bec78432d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p>Harvest Health &amp; Recreation: Implied upside of 90%</p><p><blockquote>Harvest Health&amp;Recreation：隐含上涨90%</blockquote></p><p>With cannabis expected to be a major growth trend this decade, perhaps it's no surprise to find a lofty 12-month price target assigned to U.S. multistate operator (MSO)<b>Harvest Health &amp; Recreation</b>(OTC:HRVSF). If Wall Street's price target is accurate, Harvest Health could gain 90% over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>由于大麻预计将成为本十年的主要增长趋势，因此为美国多州运营商(MSO)设定较高的12个月价格目标也许并不奇怪<b>收获健康与娱乐</b>（场外交易代码：HRVSF）。如果华尔街的目标价准确，Harvest Health明年可能会上涨90%。</blockquote></p><p>Unlike most U.S. MSOs, Harvest Health was a bit too wide-eyed in 2019 and overextended itself. After terminating a handful of deals and raising capital, the company is nowon trackto potentially eke out a profit in 2021 on an estimated $380 million in full-year sales. For context, this represents implied sales growth of 64%.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数美国MSO不同，Harvest Health在2019年有点睁大了眼睛，过度扩张了自己。在终止了一些交易并筹集资金后，该公司现在有望在2021年实现盈利，预计全年销售额为3.8亿美元。就上下文而言，这意味着隐含销售额增长64%。</blockquote></p><p>Currently, the company has 37 operational retail locations in five states, with a core focus on four markets: Arizona, Florida, Maryland, and Pennsylvania. Florida is raking in big bucks despite only being legal for medical marijuana, while Pennsylvania is a limited license state, which should provide some degree of competitive protection for the company as it aims to gobble up share. But with15 stores open its home state of Arizona, the Grand Canyon State represents Harvest Health's greatest opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>目前，该公司在五个州拥有37个运营零售点，核心关注四个市场：亚利桑那州、佛罗里达州、马里兰州和宾夕法尼亚州。尽管医用大麻仅合法，但佛罗里达州仍赚了很多钱，而宾夕法尼亚州是一个有限许可州，这应该会为该公司提供一定程度的竞争保护，因为该公司的目标是吞噬份额。但随着15家商店在其家乡亚利桑那州开业，大峡谷州代表着Harvest Health最大的机会。</blockquote></p><p>Though it'll have to prove to investors that it's overcome its early operating missteps, Harvest Health looks to be on its way to \"going green\" in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Harvest Health必须向投资者证明它已经克服了早期的运营失误，但它看起来将在2021年“走向绿色”。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c13ce819ae0ba9b6755b8d61f6584bbc\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p>EverQuote: Implied upside of 83%</p><p><blockquote>EverQuote：隐含上涨83%</blockquote></p><p>Another small-cap stock with serious upside potential is online insurance marketplace provider<b>EverQuote</b>(NASDAQ:EVER). Based on a consensus price target of $61.58, EverQuote could gain up to 83% over the next year, if analysts are accurate.</p><p><blockquote>另一只具有巨大上涨潜力的小盘股是在线保险市场提供商<b>EverQuote</b>（纳斯达克：永远不会）。如果分析师准确的话，根据61.58美元的一致目标价，EverQuote明年的涨幅可能高达83%。</blockquote></p><p>Talking about anything having to do with insurance is usually enough to put people to sleep. EverQuote aims to change that with its online marketplace where consumers can quickly and easily get price policies from leading insurance providers. According to the company, 1 in 5 consumers ends up purchasing a policy on its platform, which demonstrates that its shoppers tend to be motivated. In other words, insurers are getting more bang for their advertising buck by entrusting EverQuote's marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>谈论任何与保险有关的事情通常足以让人昏昏欲睡。EverQuote旨在通过其在线市场改变这种状况，消费者可以快速轻松地从领先的保险提供商那里获得价格政策。据该公司称，五分之一的消费者最终会在其平台上购买保单，这表明其购物者往往有积极性。换句话说，保险公司通过委托EverQuote的市场获得了更大的广告收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>According to the company, digital insurance ad spending isexpected to grow by 16% annuallyover the next four years. By comparison, total ad and distribution spending for the insurance industry, including digital spending, is only forecast to grow by 4% annually through 2024. EverQuote is catering to the sweet spot of insurance industry growth.</p><p><blockquote>据该公司称，未来四年数字保险广告支出预计将每年增长16%。相比之下，保险业的广告和分销总支出（包括数字支出）预计到2024年每年仅增长4%。EverQuote正在迎合保险业增长的最佳点。</blockquote></p><p>It's also a company that'sbeen transitioning to new verticals. Even though auto insurance has always been its marketplace bread-and-butter, it's added home, renters, health, and life insurance options in recent years. These new verticals are growing at a much faster clip than traditional auto policies.</p><p><blockquote>它也是一家一直在向新的垂直行业转型的公司。尽管汽车保险一直是其市场的支柱，但近年来它增加了房屋、租房、健康和人寿保险选项。这些新的垂直行业的增长速度比传统的汽车政策快得多。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f46d76c781cc47d68033914c1c794a63\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p>Jushi Holdings: Implied upside of 60%</p><p><blockquote>巨石控股：隐含上涨空间60%</blockquote></p><p>Just in case you didn't catch the emphasis the first time around, Wall Street is really upbeat on most U.S.marijuana stocksover the next 12 months. Small-cap MSO<b>Jushi Holdings</b>(OTC:JUSHF)is no exception. If Jushi does hit Wall Street's price target, it'll be rewarding its shareholders with a gain of 60%.</p><p><blockquote>以防你第一次没有抓住重点，华尔街对未来12个月的大多数美国大麻股票非常乐观。小盘股MSO<b>巨石控股</b>（场外交易代码：JUSHF）也不例外。如果巨石确实达到华尔街的目标价，它将为股东带来60%的收益。</blockquote></p><p>Whereas Harvest Health is focusing on four markets, Jushi isprimarily honed in on three: Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Virginia. Though it has a presence in around a half-dozen states, this trio limits how it assigns retail licenses. Pennsylvania and Illinois have capped the number of allowed dispensaries, whereas Virginia assigns licenses by jurisdiction. The takeaway is that Jushi is going to have a solid opportunity to build up its business in these states while facing minimal competition.</p><p><blockquote>Harvest Health专注于四个市场，而巨石则主要专注于三个市场：宾夕法尼亚州、伊利诺伊州和弗吉尼亚州。尽管它在大约六个州都有业务，但这三个州限制了它分配零售许可证的方式。宾夕法尼亚州和伊利诺伊州限制了允许的药房数量，而弗吉尼亚州则按司法管辖区分配许可证。结论是，巨石将有一个坚实的机会在这些州建立业务，同时面临最小的竞争。</blockquote></p><p>This is a company that hasn't been afraid to put its capital to work, either. It's made a host of acquisitions since the year began, including expanding its retail or cultivation footprint in Massachusetts, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and California.</p><p><blockquote>这也是一家不害怕将资本投入使用的公司。自今年年初以来，该公司进行了一系列收购，包括扩大其在马萨诸塞州、俄亥俄州、宾夕法尼亚州和加利福尼亚州的零售或种植足迹。</blockquote></p><p>If you're looking for one more catalyst, consider that executives and insiders contributed approximately $45 million of the first $250 million in capital raised. When the interests of insiders and shareholders align, we often see good things happen.</p><p><blockquote>如果您正在寻找另一个催化剂，请考虑一下高管和内部人士在最初筹集的2.5亿美元资金中贡献了约4500万美元。当内部人士和股东的利益一致时，我们经常会看到好事发生。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9ff45f54cb49bde34240fc05af21a38\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p>Inovio Pharmaceuticals: Implied upside of 128%</p><p><blockquote>Inovio Pharmaceuticals：隐含上涨128%</blockquote></p><p>Finally, clinical-stagebiotech stock<b>Inovio Pharmaceuticals</b>(NASDAQ:INO)is believed to offer significant upside. Based on a 12-month price target of $15.63, Inovio's shares could more than double. But this one instance where I strongly disagree with Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>最后，临床阶段生物技术股票<b>Inovio制药公司</b>（纳斯达克：INO）被认为具有显着的上涨空间。根据15.63美元的12个月目标价计算，Inovio的股价可能会上涨一倍以上。但这是我强烈反对华尔街的一个例子。</blockquote></p><p>For much of the past year, Inovio has flown higher on the expectation that it would be among the frontrunners to develop a COVID-19 vaccine. But despite flying though phase 1 studies, Inovio encountered a partial clinical hold in phase 2/3 trials in the United States. This past week, the company announced that its phase 3 study for INO-4800 as a treatment for COVID-19 would take place outside the U.S., and that the U.S. Defense Department would cease funding the company's late-stage studies for INO-4800.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一年的大部分时间里，Inovio股价飙升，因为人们期望它将成为开发COVID-19疫苗的领跑者之一。但尽管通过了1期研究，Inovio在美国的2/3期试验中遇到了部分临床搁置。上周，该公司宣布INO-4800治疗新冠肺炎的3期研究将在美国境外进行，美国国防部将停止资助该公司INO-4800的后期研究。</blockquote></p><p>There are reallytwo issues at hand here. First, Inovio has fallen so far behind its peers due to the Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) partial clinical hold that it may not be able to carve out a meaningful percentage of global COVID-19 vaccine sales, even if INO-4800 is successful in clinical studies.</p><p><blockquote>这里实际上有两个问题。首先，由于美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)的部分临床搁置，Inovio已经远远落后于同行，即使INO-4800在临床研究中取得成功，它也可能无法在全球COVID-19疫苗销售中占据有意义的比例。</blockquote></p><p>Secondly, Inovio has nothing to show for itself after more than four decades. In spite of plenty of ongoing research, none of the company's experimental treatments have ever been approved by the FDA. That's a pretty glaring red flag.</p><p><blockquote>其次，四十多年后，Inovio没有什么可展示的。尽管有大量正在进行的研究，但该公司的实验性治疗方法从未获得FDA的批准。这是一个非常明显的危险信号。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Small-Cap Stocks With 60% to 140% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只小盘股上涨60%至140%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Small-Cap Stocks With 60% to 140% Upside, According to Wall Street<blockquote>华尔街称5只小盘股上涨60%至140%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-27 19:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>For more than a year, investors have been spoiled by an epic rally on Wall Street. After losing 34% of its value in a span of just 33 calendar days in the first quarter of 2020, the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>has roared back to gain 87% since hitting its bear-market bottom on March 23, 2020, through this past weekend.</p><p><blockquote>一年多来，投资者一直被华尔街史诗般的反弹宠坏了。在2020年第一季度短短33个日历日内损失了34%的价值后，该基准<b>标普500</b>自2020年3月23日触及熊市底部以来，截至上周末，股价已飙升87%。</blockquote></p><p>Though large-cap stocks (companies with market caps of at least $10 billion) have been the stars of this rally, it'ssmall-cap stocks($300 million to $2 billion market cap) that Wall Street believes are ready to shine. Small-caps are typically riskier in that their operating models aren't time-tested or proven. But they can usually deliver superior growth prospects compared to more mature companies.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大盘股（市值至少100亿美元的公司）一直是这次反弹的明星，但华尔街认为小盘股（市值3亿至20亿美元）已经准备好大放异彩。小盘股通常风险更大，因为它们的运营模式未经时间考验或验证。但与更成熟的公司相比，它们通常可以提供更好的增长前景。</blockquote></p><p>Based on the consensus one-year price targets of Wall Street analysts, the following five small-cap stocks all offer upside ranging from 60% to as much as 140%.</p><p><blockquote>根据华尔街分析师一致的一年目标价，以下五只小盘股均提供60%至高达140%的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e84aa34310d37f1ab30212f9dcf1bf0d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p>Vaxart: Implied upside of 140%</p><p><blockquote>Vaxart：隐含上涨140%</blockquote></p><p>There are close to 2,000 small-cap stocks and securities for investors to choose from. However, Wall Street professionals believe you'll have a hard time topping thepotential 140% return over the next yearfrom clinical-stage biotech stock<b>Vaxart</b>(NASDAQ:VXRT).</p><p><blockquote>有近2000只小盘股和证券可供投资者选择。然而，华尔街专业人士认为，明年临床阶段生物技术股票的潜在回报率将很难超过140%<b>Vaxart</b>（纳斯达克：VXRT）。</blockquote></p><p>The Vaxart rags-to-riches story will come down to how well the company's coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) treatment option, VXA-CoV2-1, fares in clinical studies. What makes this treatment so unique is that it's a tablet, rather than a shot, which could play a key role in overcoming vaccine resistance and administration. After all, you don't need trained medical personnel to administer to a tablet.</p><p><blockquote>Vaxart白手起家的故事将取决于该公司的冠状病毒疾病2019（COVID-19）治疗方案VXA-CoV2-1在临床研究中的表现。这种治疗方法的独特之处在于它是一种药片，而不是一种注射，可以在克服疫苗耐药性和给药方面发挥关键作用。毕竟，你不需要训练有素的医务人员来给药片服用。</blockquote></p><p>At the beginning of February, Vaxart announced a positive first step for VXA-CoV2-1 in a phase 1 trial. Preliminary data showed it had reached all of its primary and secondary safety and immunogenicity endpoints. Plus, there were early signs it could be effective against the original and variant strains of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>2月初，Vaxart宣布VXA-CoV2-1在1期试验中迈出了积极的第一步。初步数据显示，它已达到所有主要和次要安全性和免疫原性终点。此外，有早期迹象表明它可能对新冠肺炎的原始和变异毒株有效。</blockquote></p><p>It'sfar too early to tellif Vaxart's oral COVID-19 treatment will be a success in mid-or-late-stage trials, but it certainly offers game-changing potential if it is effective.</p><p><blockquote>现在判断Vaxart的口服COVID-19治疗是否会在中期或后期试验中取得成功还为时过早，但如果有效，它肯定会提供改变游戏规则的潜力。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c2902426a62a08435f7d40bec78432d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p>Harvest Health &amp; Recreation: Implied upside of 90%</p><p><blockquote>Harvest Health&amp;Recreation：隐含上涨90%</blockquote></p><p>With cannabis expected to be a major growth trend this decade, perhaps it's no surprise to find a lofty 12-month price target assigned to U.S. multistate operator (MSO)<b>Harvest Health &amp; Recreation</b>(OTC:HRVSF). If Wall Street's price target is accurate, Harvest Health could gain 90% over the next year.</p><p><blockquote>由于大麻预计将成为本十年的主要增长趋势，因此为美国多州运营商(MSO)设定较高的12个月价格目标也许并不奇怪<b>收获健康与娱乐</b>（场外交易代码：HRVSF）。如果华尔街的目标价准确，Harvest Health明年可能会上涨90%。</blockquote></p><p>Unlike most U.S. MSOs, Harvest Health was a bit too wide-eyed in 2019 and overextended itself. After terminating a handful of deals and raising capital, the company is nowon trackto potentially eke out a profit in 2021 on an estimated $380 million in full-year sales. For context, this represents implied sales growth of 64%.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数美国MSO不同，Harvest Health在2019年有点睁大了眼睛，过度扩张了自己。在终止了一些交易并筹集资金后，该公司现在有望在2021年实现盈利，预计全年销售额为3.8亿美元。就上下文而言，这意味着隐含销售额增长64%。</blockquote></p><p>Currently, the company has 37 operational retail locations in five states, with a core focus on four markets: Arizona, Florida, Maryland, and Pennsylvania. Florida is raking in big bucks despite only being legal for medical marijuana, while Pennsylvania is a limited license state, which should provide some degree of competitive protection for the company as it aims to gobble up share. But with15 stores open its home state of Arizona, the Grand Canyon State represents Harvest Health's greatest opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>目前，该公司在五个州拥有37个运营零售点，核心关注四个市场：亚利桑那州、佛罗里达州、马里兰州和宾夕法尼亚州。尽管医用大麻仅合法，但佛罗里达州仍赚了很多钱，而宾夕法尼亚州是一个有限许可州，这应该会为该公司提供一定程度的竞争保护，因为该公司的目标是吞噬份额。但随着15家商店在其家乡亚利桑那州开业，大峡谷州代表着Harvest Health最大的机会。</blockquote></p><p>Though it'll have to prove to investors that it's overcome its early operating missteps, Harvest Health looks to be on its way to \"going green\" in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Harvest Health必须向投资者证明它已经克服了早期的运营失误，但它看起来将在2021年“走向绿色”。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c13ce819ae0ba9b6755b8d61f6584bbc\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p>EverQuote: Implied upside of 83%</p><p><blockquote>EverQuote：隐含上涨83%</blockquote></p><p>Another small-cap stock with serious upside potential is online insurance marketplace provider<b>EverQuote</b>(NASDAQ:EVER). Based on a consensus price target of $61.58, EverQuote could gain up to 83% over the next year, if analysts are accurate.</p><p><blockquote>另一只具有巨大上涨潜力的小盘股是在线保险市场提供商<b>EverQuote</b>（纳斯达克：永远不会）。如果分析师准确的话，根据61.58美元的一致目标价，EverQuote明年的涨幅可能高达83%。</blockquote></p><p>Talking about anything having to do with insurance is usually enough to put people to sleep. EverQuote aims to change that with its online marketplace where consumers can quickly and easily get price policies from leading insurance providers. According to the company, 1 in 5 consumers ends up purchasing a policy on its platform, which demonstrates that its shoppers tend to be motivated. In other words, insurers are getting more bang for their advertising buck by entrusting EverQuote's marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>谈论任何与保险有关的事情通常足以让人昏昏欲睡。EverQuote旨在通过其在线市场改变这种状况，消费者可以快速轻松地从领先的保险提供商那里获得价格政策。据该公司称，五分之一的消费者最终会在其平台上购买保单，这表明其购物者往往有积极性。换句话说，保险公司通过委托EverQuote的市场获得了更大的广告收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>According to the company, digital insurance ad spending isexpected to grow by 16% annuallyover the next four years. By comparison, total ad and distribution spending for the insurance industry, including digital spending, is only forecast to grow by 4% annually through 2024. EverQuote is catering to the sweet spot of insurance industry growth.</p><p><blockquote>据该公司称，未来四年数字保险广告支出预计将每年增长16%。相比之下，保险业的广告和分销总支出（包括数字支出）预计到2024年每年仅增长4%。EverQuote正在迎合保险业增长的最佳点。</blockquote></p><p>It's also a company that'sbeen transitioning to new verticals. Even though auto insurance has always been its marketplace bread-and-butter, it's added home, renters, health, and life insurance options in recent years. These new verticals are growing at a much faster clip than traditional auto policies.</p><p><blockquote>它也是一家一直在向新的垂直行业转型的公司。尽管汽车保险一直是其市场的支柱，但近年来它增加了房屋、租房、健康和人寿保险选项。这些新的垂直行业的增长速度比传统的汽车政策快得多。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f46d76c781cc47d68033914c1c794a63\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p>Jushi Holdings: Implied upside of 60%</p><p><blockquote>巨石控股：隐含上涨空间60%</blockquote></p><p>Just in case you didn't catch the emphasis the first time around, Wall Street is really upbeat on most U.S.marijuana stocksover the next 12 months. Small-cap MSO<b>Jushi Holdings</b>(OTC:JUSHF)is no exception. If Jushi does hit Wall Street's price target, it'll be rewarding its shareholders with a gain of 60%.</p><p><blockquote>以防你第一次没有抓住重点，华尔街对未来12个月的大多数美国大麻股票非常乐观。小盘股MSO<b>巨石控股</b>（场外交易代码：JUSHF）也不例外。如果巨石确实达到华尔街的目标价，它将为股东带来60%的收益。</blockquote></p><p>Whereas Harvest Health is focusing on four markets, Jushi isprimarily honed in on three: Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Virginia. Though it has a presence in around a half-dozen states, this trio limits how it assigns retail licenses. Pennsylvania and Illinois have capped the number of allowed dispensaries, whereas Virginia assigns licenses by jurisdiction. The takeaway is that Jushi is going to have a solid opportunity to build up its business in these states while facing minimal competition.</p><p><blockquote>Harvest Health专注于四个市场，而巨石则主要专注于三个市场：宾夕法尼亚州、伊利诺伊州和弗吉尼亚州。尽管它在大约六个州都有业务，但这三个州限制了它分配零售许可证的方式。宾夕法尼亚州和伊利诺伊州限制了允许的药房数量，而弗吉尼亚州则按司法管辖区分配许可证。结论是，巨石将有一个坚实的机会在这些州建立业务，同时面临最小的竞争。</blockquote></p><p>This is a company that hasn't been afraid to put its capital to work, either. It's made a host of acquisitions since the year began, including expanding its retail or cultivation footprint in Massachusetts, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and California.</p><p><blockquote>这也是一家不害怕将资本投入使用的公司。自今年年初以来，该公司进行了一系列收购，包括扩大其在马萨诸塞州、俄亥俄州、宾夕法尼亚州和加利福尼亚州的零售或种植足迹。</blockquote></p><p>If you're looking for one more catalyst, consider that executives and insiders contributed approximately $45 million of the first $250 million in capital raised. When the interests of insiders and shareholders align, we often see good things happen.</p><p><blockquote>如果您正在寻找另一个催化剂，请考虑一下高管和内部人士在最初筹集的2.5亿美元资金中贡献了约4500万美元。当内部人士和股东的利益一致时，我们经常会看到好事发生。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9ff45f54cb49bde34240fc05af21a38\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</blockquote></p><p>Inovio Pharmaceuticals: Implied upside of 128%</p><p><blockquote>Inovio Pharmaceuticals：隐含上涨128%</blockquote></p><p>Finally, clinical-stagebiotech stock<b>Inovio Pharmaceuticals</b>(NASDAQ:INO)is believed to offer significant upside. Based on a 12-month price target of $15.63, Inovio's shares could more than double. But this one instance where I strongly disagree with Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>最后，临床阶段生物技术股票<b>Inovio制药公司</b>（纳斯达克：INO）被认为具有显着的上涨空间。根据15.63美元的12个月目标价计算，Inovio的股价可能会上涨一倍以上。但这是我强烈反对华尔街的一个例子。</blockquote></p><p>For much of the past year, Inovio has flown higher on the expectation that it would be among the frontrunners to develop a COVID-19 vaccine. But despite flying though phase 1 studies, Inovio encountered a partial clinical hold in phase 2/3 trials in the United States. This past week, the company announced that its phase 3 study for INO-4800 as a treatment for COVID-19 would take place outside the U.S., and that the U.S. Defense Department would cease funding the company's late-stage studies for INO-4800.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一年的大部分时间里，Inovio股价飙升，因为人们期望它将成为开发COVID-19疫苗的领跑者之一。但尽管通过了1期研究，Inovio在美国的2/3期试验中遇到了部分临床搁置。上周，该公司宣布INO-4800治疗新冠肺炎的3期研究将在美国境外进行，美国国防部将停止资助该公司INO-4800的后期研究。</blockquote></p><p>There are reallytwo issues at hand here. First, Inovio has fallen so far behind its peers due to the Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) partial clinical hold that it may not be able to carve out a meaningful percentage of global COVID-19 vaccine sales, even if INO-4800 is successful in clinical studies.</p><p><blockquote>这里实际上有两个问题。首先，由于美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)的部分临床搁置，Inovio已经远远落后于同行，即使INO-4800在临床研究中取得成功，它也可能无法在全球COVID-19疫苗销售中占据有意义的比例。</blockquote></p><p>Secondly, Inovio has nothing to show for itself after more than four decades. In spite of plenty of ongoing research, none of the company's experimental treatments have ever been approved by the FDA. That's a pretty glaring red flag.</p><p><blockquote>其次，四十多年后，Inovio没有什么可展示的。尽管有大量正在进行的研究，但该公司的实验性治疗方法从未获得FDA的批准。这是一个非常明显的危险信号。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/27/5-small-cap-stocks-60-to-140-upside-wall-street/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/27/5-small-cap-stocks-60-to-140-upside-wall-street/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112397012","content_text":"For more than a year, investors have been spoiled by an epic rally on Wall Street. After losing 34% of its value in a span of just 33 calendar days in the first quarter of 2020, the benchmarkS&P 500has roared back to gain 87% since hitting its bear-market bottom on March 23, 2020, through this past weekend.Though large-cap stocks (companies with market caps of at least $10 billion) have been the stars of this rally, it'ssmall-cap stocks($300 million to $2 billion market cap) that Wall Street believes are ready to shine. Small-caps are typically riskier in that their operating models aren't time-tested or proven. But they can usually deliver superior growth prospects compared to more mature companies.Based on the consensus one-year price targets of Wall Street analysts, the following five small-cap stocks all offer upside ranging from 60% to as much as 140%.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.Vaxart: Implied upside of 140%There are close to 2,000 small-cap stocks and securities for investors to choose from. However, Wall Street professionals believe you'll have a hard time topping thepotential 140% return over the next yearfrom clinical-stage biotech stockVaxart(NASDAQ:VXRT).The Vaxart rags-to-riches story will come down to how well the company's coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) treatment option, VXA-CoV2-1, fares in clinical studies. What makes this treatment so unique is that it's a tablet, rather than a shot, which could play a key role in overcoming vaccine resistance and administration. After all, you don't need trained medical personnel to administer to a tablet.At the beginning of February, Vaxart announced a positive first step for VXA-CoV2-1 in a phase 1 trial. Preliminary data showed it had reached all of its primary and secondary safety and immunogenicity endpoints. Plus, there were early signs it could be effective against the original and variant strains of COVID-19.It'sfar too early to tellif Vaxart's oral COVID-19 treatment will be a success in mid-or-late-stage trials, but it certainly offers game-changing potential if it is effective.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.Harvest Health & Recreation: Implied upside of 90%With cannabis expected to be a major growth trend this decade, perhaps it's no surprise to find a lofty 12-month price target assigned to U.S. multistate operator (MSO)Harvest Health & Recreation(OTC:HRVSF). If Wall Street's price target is accurate, Harvest Health could gain 90% over the next year.Unlike most U.S. MSOs, Harvest Health was a bit too wide-eyed in 2019 and overextended itself. After terminating a handful of deals and raising capital, the company is nowon trackto potentially eke out a profit in 2021 on an estimated $380 million in full-year sales. For context, this represents implied sales growth of 64%.Currently, the company has 37 operational retail locations in five states, with a core focus on four markets: Arizona, Florida, Maryland, and Pennsylvania. Florida is raking in big bucks despite only being legal for medical marijuana, while Pennsylvania is a limited license state, which should provide some degree of competitive protection for the company as it aims to gobble up share. But with15 stores open its home state of Arizona, the Grand Canyon State represents Harvest Health's greatest opportunity.Though it'll have to prove to investors that it's overcome its early operating missteps, Harvest Health looks to be on its way to \"going green\" in 2021.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.EverQuote: Implied upside of 83%Another small-cap stock with serious upside potential is online insurance marketplace providerEverQuote(NASDAQ:EVER). Based on a consensus price target of $61.58, EverQuote could gain up to 83% over the next year, if analysts are accurate.Talking about anything having to do with insurance is usually enough to put people to sleep. EverQuote aims to change that with its online marketplace where consumers can quickly and easily get price policies from leading insurance providers. According to the company, 1 in 5 consumers ends up purchasing a policy on its platform, which demonstrates that its shoppers tend to be motivated. In other words, insurers are getting more bang for their advertising buck by entrusting EverQuote's marketplace.According to the company, digital insurance ad spending isexpected to grow by 16% annuallyover the next four years. By comparison, total ad and distribution spending for the insurance industry, including digital spending, is only forecast to grow by 4% annually through 2024. EverQuote is catering to the sweet spot of insurance industry growth.It's also a company that'sbeen transitioning to new verticals. Even though auto insurance has always been its marketplace bread-and-butter, it's added home, renters, health, and life insurance options in recent years. These new verticals are growing at a much faster clip than traditional auto policies.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.Jushi Holdings: Implied upside of 60%Just in case you didn't catch the emphasis the first time around, Wall Street is really upbeat on most U.S.marijuana stocksover the next 12 months. Small-cap MSOJushi Holdings(OTC:JUSHF)is no exception. If Jushi does hit Wall Street's price target, it'll be rewarding its shareholders with a gain of 60%.Whereas Harvest Health is focusing on four markets, Jushi isprimarily honed in on three: Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Virginia. Though it has a presence in around a half-dozen states, this trio limits how it assigns retail licenses. Pennsylvania and Illinois have capped the number of allowed dispensaries, whereas Virginia assigns licenses by jurisdiction. The takeaway is that Jushi is going to have a solid opportunity to build up its business in these states while facing minimal competition.This is a company that hasn't been afraid to put its capital to work, either. It's made a host of acquisitions since the year began, including expanding its retail or cultivation footprint in Massachusetts, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and California.If you're looking for one more catalyst, consider that executives and insiders contributed approximately $45 million of the first $250 million in capital raised. When the interests of insiders and shareholders align, we often see good things happen.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.Inovio Pharmaceuticals: Implied upside of 128%Finally, clinical-stagebiotech stockInovio Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:INO)is believed to offer significant upside. Based on a 12-month price target of $15.63, Inovio's shares could more than double. But this one instance where I strongly disagree with Wall Street.For much of the past year, Inovio has flown higher on the expectation that it would be among the frontrunners to develop a COVID-19 vaccine. But despite flying though phase 1 studies, Inovio encountered a partial clinical hold in phase 2/3 trials in the United States. This past week, the company announced that its phase 3 study for INO-4800 as a treatment for COVID-19 would take place outside the U.S., and that the U.S. Defense Department would cease funding the company's late-stage studies for INO-4800.There are reallytwo issues at hand here. First, Inovio has fallen so far behind its peers due to the Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) partial clinical hold that it may not be able to carve out a meaningful percentage of global COVID-19 vaccine sales, even if INO-4800 is successful in clinical studies.Secondly, Inovio has nothing to show for itself after more than four decades. In spite of plenty of ongoing research, none of the company's experimental treatments have ever been approved by the FDA. That's a pretty glaring red flag.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352329327,"gmtCreate":1616896295669,"gmtModify":1634523633036,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go","listText":"Let's go","text":"Let's go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352329327","repostId":"1111192234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111192234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616772179,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1111192234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉交付即将到来。它们比以往任何时候都重要。这是可以期待的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111192234","media":"Barrons","summary":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla. Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors and Ford Motor have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and","content":"<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度再过几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商的更多交付数据即将发布。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更重要。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等估值高、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车(GM)和福特汽车(F)最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是2021年10亿美元利润的阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到了这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商一个通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不仁慈。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）将第一季度交付量指引从约20,250辆下调至约19,500辆，该公司股价在周五交易中下跌超过6%。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从3月29日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉，华尔街正在寻找3月份交付的约16.2万辆汽车。这低于峰值估计的约183,000辆。分析师似乎正在减少数量，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约18.1万辆汽车。分析师预计2021年全年汽车交付量将接近80万辆，同比增长约60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>RBC分析师Joe Spak预测第一季度交付量为17万辆，同比增长90%以上。他还预测，本季度特斯拉将在加州生产96,000辆汽车，在中国生产74,000辆汽车。斯帕克在周四的一份报告中写道：“共识[估计]看起来基本合理。”“我们确实在寻找最新消息，以了解semi短缺如何影响特斯拉——就像它对行业其他部门一样。”他认为，由于芯片的原因，预期存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标价为725美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。利率上升主要通过两种方式影响成长型股票。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在遥远的未来产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以用现金赚取更高的利率时，现金流的价值就会低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在2020年上涨超过740%后，今年迄今已下跌约10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌0.9%，至634.40美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉交付即将到来。它们比以往任何时候都重要。这是可以期待的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉交付即将到来。它们比以往任何时候都重要。这是可以期待的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 23:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度再过几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商的更多交付数据即将发布。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更重要。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等估值高、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车(GM)和福特汽车(F)最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是2021年10亿美元利润的阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到了这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商一个通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不仁慈。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）将第一季度交付量指引从约20,250辆下调至约19,500辆，该公司股价在周五交易中下跌超过6%。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从3月29日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉，华尔街正在寻找3月份交付的约16.2万辆汽车。这低于峰值估计的约183,000辆。分析师似乎正在减少数量，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约18.1万辆汽车。分析师预计2021年全年汽车交付量将接近80万辆，同比增长约60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>RBC分析师Joe Spak预测第一季度交付量为17万辆，同比增长90%以上。他还预测，本季度特斯拉将在加州生产96,000辆汽车，在中国生产74,000辆汽车。斯帕克在周四的一份报告中写道：“共识[估计]看起来基本合理。”“我们确实在寻找最新消息，以了解semi短缺如何影响特斯拉——就像它对行业其他部门一样。”他认为，由于芯片的原因，预期存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标价为725美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。利率上升主要通过两种方式影响成长型股票。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在遥远的未来产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以用现金赚取更高的利率时，现金流的价值就会低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在2020年上涨超过740%后，今年迄今已下跌约10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌0.9%，至634.40美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111192234","content_text":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.\nNumbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors(GM) and Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.\nEveryone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.\nSo far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.\nNIO shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker reduced guidance for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.\nFor Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.\nTesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.\nRBC analyst Joe Spak is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.\nSpak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.\nIn the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.\nTesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The S&P 500is up about 0.7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":323606154,"gmtCreate":1615335565078,"gmtModify":1703487460679,"author":{"id":"3559192645447375","authorId":"3559192645447375","name":"Phoebella","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c39afad3d430848c955620f39285f7b8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559192645447375","idStr":"3559192645447375"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally","listText":"Finally","text":"Finally","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323606154","repostId":"1118673419","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}