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百忍Byron

百忍Byron

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2021-10-06

Wow

Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>

2021-10-02

Yea

Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>

2021-10-01

Ok

Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>

2021-09-12

Ok

Tesla raises price for Performance Model Y in China to 387,900 yuan<blockquote>特斯拉将高性能Model Y在华售价提高到38.79万元</blockquote>

2021-08-27

Over

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-25

Wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-25

Alright

Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high<blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨 1.3% 创新高</blockquote>

2021-08-24

Like leh

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-23

Ok

The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>

2021-08-22

Yea

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-18

Yea

6 Positive Market Months In A Row... What Happens Next?<blockquote>市场连续6个月呈现积极态势……接下来会发生什么？</blockquote>

2021-08-14

As usual

Virgin Galactic falls as billionaire Branson sells stake worth $300 million<blockquote>亿万富翁布兰森出售价值 3 亿美元的股份，维珍银河股价下跌</blockquote>

2021-08-10

Wow

EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>

2021-08-02

Nice

NIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, and rose 1% in premarket trading<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年 7 月交付 7,931 辆汽车，盘前交易增长 1%</blockquote>

2021-07-31

Wow

AMD: Still Growing, Still Undervalued<blockquote>AMD：仍在增长，仍被低估</blockquote>

2021-07-26

Nice

Lockheed Martin Q1 EPS $6.56 Beats $6.30 Estimate, Sales $16.26B Miss $16.33B Estimate<blockquote>洛克希德·马丁公司第一季度每股收益 6.56 美元，超出预期 6.30 美元，销售额 16.26B 美元，低于预期 16.33B 美元</blockquote>

2021-07-25

Hoprfully it dips

What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时更多</blockquote>

2021-07-25

Nah

Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-07-22

Scary

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-20

Like

抱歉，原内容已删除

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633078771,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1199143925?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 16:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199143925","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro ide","content":"<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p><p><blockquote>为了找出华尔街认为可能在第四季度推动市场走高的股票，CNBC Pro 确定了至少 70% 的分析师表示应该买入的股票。然后，我们从该池中找到了按共识 12 个月价格目标上涨空间排名的前 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p><p><blockquote>看看 CNBC Pro 的榜单。潜在上涨空间名单中名列前茅的是新闻集团，它是《华尔街日报》出版商道琼斯的母公司。分析师平均预计该股未来 12 个月将上涨 37.4%。该股今年的表现也优于大盘，上涨了 33%，而标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>阿拉斯加航空集团是屏幕上最受欢迎的股票。93% 的分析师对该航空公司股票给予买入评级。分析师认为阿拉斯加航空明年可能上涨 27.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p><p><blockquote>发电公司 Generac 登上了 CNBC Pro 的屏幕，并在榜单中拥有今年迄今为止的最佳表现。截至周三收盘，该股已上涨近 80%。华尔街认为 Generac 还有更大的运行空间，共识潜在上涨空间为 25.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>其他登上 CNBC Pro 屏幕的公司包括通用汽车、T-Mobile 和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-01 16:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p><p><blockquote>为了找出华尔街认为可能在第四季度推动市场走高的股票，CNBC Pro 确定了至少 70% 的分析师表示应该买入的股票。然后，我们从该池中找到了按共识 12 个月价格目标上涨空间排名的前 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p><p><blockquote>看看 CNBC Pro 的榜单。潜在上涨空间名单中名列前茅的是新闻集团，它是《华尔街日报》出版商道琼斯的母公司。分析师平均预计该股未来 12 个月将上涨 37.4%。该股今年的表现也优于大盘，上涨了 33%，而标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>阿拉斯加航空集团是屏幕上最受欢迎的股票。93% 的分析师对该航空公司股票给予买入评级。分析师认为阿拉斯加航空明年可能上涨 27.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p><p><blockquote>发电公司 Generac 登上了 CNBC Pro 的屏幕，并在榜单中拥有今年迄今为止的最佳表现。截至周三收盘，该股已上涨近 80%。华尔街认为 Generac 还有更大的运行空间，共识潜在上涨空间为 25.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>其他登上 CNBC Pro 屏幕的公司包括通用汽车、T-Mobile 和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NWSA":"新闻集团","GM":"通用汽车","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199143925","content_text":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.\nTake a look at CNBC Pro’s list.Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&P 500′s 16% gain.\nAlaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.\nPower generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.\nOther names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TMUS":0.9,"NWSA":0.9,"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864472509,"gmtCreate":1633143233255,"gmtModify":1633143233356,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yea","listText":"Yea","text":"Yea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864472509","repostId":"1199143925","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199143925","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633078771,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1199143925?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 16:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199143925","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro ide","content":"<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p><p><blockquote>为了找出华尔街认为可能在第四季度推动市场走高的股票，CNBC Pro 确定了至少 70% 的分析师表示应该买入的股票。然后，我们从该池中找到了按共识 12 个月价格目标上涨空间排名的前 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p><p><blockquote>看看 CNBC Pro 的榜单。潜在上涨空间名单中名列前茅的是新闻集团，它是《华尔街日报》出版商道琼斯的母公司。分析师平均预计该股未来 12 个月将上涨 37.4%。该股今年的表现也优于大盘，上涨了 33%，而标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>阿拉斯加航空集团是屏幕上最受欢迎的股票。93% 的分析师对该航空公司股票给予买入评级。分析师认为阿拉斯加航空明年可能上涨 27.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p><p><blockquote>发电公司 Generac 登上了 CNBC Pro 的屏幕，并在榜单中拥有今年迄今为止的最佳表现。截至周三收盘，该股已上涨近 80%。华尔街认为 Generac 还有更大的运行空间，共识潜在上涨空间为 25.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>其他登上 CNBC Pro 屏幕的公司包括通用汽车、T-Mobile 和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-01 16:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p><p><blockquote>为了找出华尔街认为可能在第四季度推动市场走高的股票，CNBC Pro 确定了至少 70% 的分析师表示应该买入的股票。然后，我们从该池中找到了按共识 12 个月价格目标上涨空间排名的前 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p><p><blockquote>看看 CNBC Pro 的榜单。潜在上涨空间名单中名列前茅的是新闻集团，它是《华尔街日报》出版商道琼斯的母公司。分析师平均预计该股未来 12 个月将上涨 37.4%。该股今年的表现也优于大盘，上涨了 33%，而标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>阿拉斯加航空集团是屏幕上最受欢迎的股票。93% 的分析师对该航空公司股票给予买入评级。分析师认为阿拉斯加航空明年可能上涨 27.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p><p><blockquote>发电公司 Generac 登上了 CNBC Pro 的屏幕，并在榜单中拥有今年迄今为止的最佳表现。截至周三收盘，该股已上涨近 80%。华尔街认为 Generac 还有更大的运行空间，共识潜在上涨空间为 25.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>其他登上 CNBC Pro 屏幕的公司包括通用汽车、T-Mobile 和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NWSA":"新闻集团","GM":"通用汽车","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199143925","content_text":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.\nTake a look at CNBC Pro’s list.Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&P 500′s 16% gain.\nAlaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.\nPower generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.\nOther names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TMUS":0.9,"NWSA":0.9,"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2984,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864867358,"gmtCreate":1633090835046,"gmtModify":1633090835160,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864867358","repostId":"1199143925","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199143925","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633078771,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1199143925?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 16:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199143925","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro ide","content":"<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p><p><blockquote>为了找出华尔街认为可能在第四季度推动市场走高的股票，CNBC Pro 确定了至少 70% 的分析师表示应该买入的股票。然后，我们从该池中找到了按共识 12 个月价格目标上涨空间排名的前 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p><p><blockquote>看看 CNBC Pro 的榜单。潜在上涨空间名单中名列前茅的是新闻集团，它是《华尔街日报》出版商道琼斯的母公司。分析师平均预计该股未来 12 个月将上涨 37.4%。该股今年的表现也优于大盘，上涨了 33%，而标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>阿拉斯加航空集团是屏幕上最受欢迎的股票。93% 的分析师对该航空公司股票给予买入评级。分析师认为阿拉斯加航空明年可能上涨 27.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p><p><blockquote>发电公司 Generac 登上了 CNBC Pro 的屏幕，并在榜单中拥有今年迄今为止的最佳表现。截至周三收盘，该股已上涨近 80%。华尔街认为 Generac 还有更大的运行空间，共识潜在上涨空间为 25.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>其他登上 CNBC Pro 屏幕的公司包括通用汽车、T-Mobile 和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-01 16:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p><p><blockquote>为了找出华尔街认为可能在第四季度推动市场走高的股票，CNBC Pro 确定了至少 70% 的分析师表示应该买入的股票。然后，我们从该池中找到了按共识 12 个月价格目标上涨空间排名的前 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p><p><blockquote>看看 CNBC Pro 的榜单。潜在上涨空间名单中名列前茅的是新闻集团，它是《华尔街日报》出版商道琼斯的母公司。分析师平均预计该股未来 12 个月将上涨 37.4%。该股今年的表现也优于大盘，上涨了 33%，而标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>阿拉斯加航空集团是屏幕上最受欢迎的股票。93% 的分析师对该航空公司股票给予买入评级。分析师认为阿拉斯加航空明年可能上涨 27.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p><p><blockquote>发电公司 Generac 登上了 CNBC Pro 的屏幕，并在榜单中拥有今年迄今为止的最佳表现。截至周三收盘，该股已上涨近 80%。华尔街认为 Generac 还有更大的运行空间，共识潜在上涨空间为 25.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>其他登上 CNBC Pro 屏幕的公司包括通用汽车、T-Mobile 和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NWSA":"新闻集团","GM":"通用汽车","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199143925","content_text":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.\nTake a look at CNBC Pro’s list.Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&P 500′s 16% gain.\nAlaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.\nPower generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.\nOther names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TMUS":0.9,"NWSA":0.9,"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":888350599,"gmtCreate":1631442545511,"gmtModify":1631892025856,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888350599","repostId":"2166726753","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2166726753","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631326722,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2166726753?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-11 10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla raises price for Performance Model Y in China to 387,900 yuan<blockquote>特斯拉将高性能Model Y在华售价提高到38.79万元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2166726753","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla Inc says raises price for Performance Model&nbsp;Y in China by 10,000 yuan to 387,900 yuan - Tesla Weibo.","content":"<p>Tesla Inc says raises price for Performance Model&nbsp;Y in China by 10,000 yuan to 387,900 yuan - Tesla Weibo.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示将高性能Model Y在华售价上调1万元，至38.79万元——特斯拉微博。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/491c8dbad3baf69e3c07a30dbacd6b95\" tg-width=\"745\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla raises price for Performance Model Y in China to 387,900 yuan<blockquote>特斯拉将高性能Model Y在华售价提高到38.79万元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla raises price for Performance Model Y in China to 387,900 yuan<blockquote>特斯拉将高性能Model Y在华售价提高到38.79万元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-11 10:18</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla Inc says raises price for Performance Model&nbsp;Y in China by 10,000 yuan to 387,900 yuan - Tesla Weibo.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示将高性能Model Y在华售价上调1万元，至38.79万元——特斯拉微博。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/491c8dbad3baf69e3c07a30dbacd6b95\" tg-width=\"745\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2166726753","content_text":"Tesla Inc says raises price for Performance Model Y in China by 10,000 yuan to 387,900 yuan - Tesla Weibo.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819980772,"gmtCreate":1630027257196,"gmtModify":1704954794836,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Over","listText":"Over","text":"Over","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819980772","repostId":"2162507820","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2287,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837370813,"gmtCreate":1629859947132,"gmtModify":1631892025881,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837370813","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837347596,"gmtCreate":1629859906215,"gmtModify":1631892025893,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Alright","listText":"Alright","text":"Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837347596","repostId":"1118949007","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118949007","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629815206,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1118949007?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 22:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high<blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨 1.3% 创新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118949007","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high.\n\nBy and large, investors know Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) as the ","content":"<p>Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨1.3%，创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab79065de74f4b0228bb6a8dd5a1ec02\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> By and large, investors know Alphabet Inc. (<b>GOOGL</b>) as the parent company of the search engine that everybody and their uncle uses: Google. I am definitely bullish on GOOGL stock.</p><p><blockquote>总的来说，投资者了解Alphabet公司（<b>GOOGL</b>）作为每个人和他们叔叔使用的搜索引擎的母公司：谷歌。我绝对看好GOOGL股票。</blockquote></p><p> Amazingly, the Google search portal is so famous that in the popular lexicon, “Google” is both a noun and a verb.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，谷歌搜索门户网站如此有名，以至于在流行词典中，“谷歌 ”既是名词又是动词。</blockquote></p><p> It’s perfectly fine to invest in GOOGL stock because so many people use the company’s search engine. However, stock traders might also choose to look at other angles when considering an investment.</p><p><blockquote>投资GOOGL股票完全没问题，因为很多人都在使用该公司的搜索引擎。然而，股票交易者在考虑投资时也可能选择从其他角度来看。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ll see, the stock could actually be considered a bargain. Moreover, Google’s products give customers what they want: the latest in cutting-edge communications technology.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们将看到的，这只股票实际上可以被认为是一个便宜货。此外，谷歌的产品还能满足客户的需求：最新的尖端通信技术。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Quick Look at GOOGL Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>快速浏览GOOGL股票</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, it might seem ridiculous to say that GOOGL stock is cheap. After all, this is a stock that costs nearly $3,000 per share.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，说GOOGL股票便宜似乎很荒谬。毕竟，这是一只每股成本近 3,000 美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, GOOGL stock reached a new 52-week high of $2,817.49 on Monday. It has steadily gone up over the past year, with hardly any breaks or corrections.</p><p><blockquote>此外，GOOGL股价周一触及 2,817.49 美元的 52 周新高。在过去的一年里，它一直在稳步上升，几乎没有任何中断或修正。</blockquote></p><p> That should be fine for momentum-focused traders, but value-oriented investors might think that GOOGL stock is too expensive to buy now.</p><p><blockquote>这对于注重动量的交易者来说应该没问题，但价值导向的投资者可能会认为现在购买GOOGL股票太贵了。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, let’s consider a different angle. If the company’s earnings are robust, then the high price tag of the stock might be fully justified.</p><p><blockquote>然而，让我们考虑一个不同的角度。如果公司盈利强劲，那么该股的高价标签可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> As it turns out, Alphabet’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 30.5. That’s not too bad, especially for a technology stock in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，Alphabet过去 12 个月的市盈率为 30.5。这还不算太糟，尤其是对于 2021 年的科技股来说。</blockquote></p><p> So, just maybe, GOOGL stock is still a bargain after all.</p><p><blockquote>所以，也许，GOOGL股票毕竟仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Meet the New Google Meet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>认识新的Google Meet</b></blockquote></p><p> If you’re going to take away anything from this, it should be that there’s more to Google than its search engine.</p><p><blockquote>如果你想从中得到什么，那应该是谷歌不仅仅是它的搜索引擎。</blockquote></p><p> One example would be Google Meet, the company’s video-conferencing software.</p><p><blockquote>Google Meet 就是一个例子，该公司的视频会议软件。</blockquote></p><p> Without a doubt, Google would like to capture a bigger share of the visual-communication software market.<i>Fortune Business Insights</i>reported that this market was worth $5.77 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，谷歌希望在视觉传播软件市场占据更大的份额。<i>《财富》商业洞察</i>据报道，2020年该市场价值57.7亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, this market is projected to reach $6.28 billion in 2021, and $12.99 billion in 2028, thereby exhibiting a CAGR of 10.9% from 2021 to 2028.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该市场预计将在2021年达到62.8亿美元，在2028年达到129.9亿美元，从而从2021年到2028年表现出10.9%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> Google Meet’s new features should help the company take a bigger slice of this rich pie.</p><p><blockquote>Google Meet 的新功能将有助于该公司在这块丰厚的蛋糕中分得更大的一杯羹。</blockquote></p><p> The new features include the ability to add up to 25 co-hosts for meetings. Furthermore, hosts and co-hosts will be able to limit the number of users who can share screens, send messages, and mute others.</p><p><blockquote>新功能包括能够为会议添加多达25个共同主持人。此外，主机和共同主机将能够限制可以共享屏幕、发送消息和静音其他人的用户数量。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Affordable Smartphone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格实惠的智能手机</b></blockquote></p><p> Let’s face it: not everyone is ready to buy a $1,200 smartphone.</p><p><blockquote>让我们面对现实吧： 并不是每个人都准备好购买 1200 美元的智能手机。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, people want high quality. Now, with the launch of the Google Pixel 5a, shoppers don’t have to compromise quality or affordability.</p><p><blockquote>同时，人们想要高质量。现在，随着谷歌 Pixel 5a 的推出，购物者不必在质量或价格上做出妥协。</blockquote></p><p> Granted, Google already unveiled its Pixel 6 and Pixel Pro smartphones, but those are high-end and pricier. There’s a market for lower-priced smartphones, and Google is aggressively pursuing this market with the Pixel 5a.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，谷歌已经推出了Pixel 6和Pixel Pro智能手机，但这些都是高端的，价格也更高。低价智能手机有市场，谷歌正通过 Pixel 5a 积极开拓这一市场。</blockquote></p><p> We’re talking about a $449 price tag, which is less than half the price of the most expensive smartphones on the market today.</p><p><blockquote>我们说的是 449 美元的标价，不到当今市场上最昂贵智能手机价格的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the phone’s features include 5G functionality, a dual-camera system, and IP67 water and dust resistance.</p><p><blockquote>这款手机的一些功能包括 5G 功能、双摄像头系统以及 IP67 防水防尘。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street Weighs In</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街参与其中</b></blockquote></p><p> According to TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, GOOGL is a Strong Buy, based on 29 unanimous Buy ratings. The&nbsp;average Alphabet price target&nbsp;is $3,176.18, implying 13.4% upside potential.</p><p><blockquote>根据 TipRanks 的分析师评级共识，基于 29 个一致买入评级，GOOGL为强力买入。Alphabet平均目标价为 3,176.18 美元，意味着 13.4% 的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28be6712f40ae45fa1c1ca53a6200ce0\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"580\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> </p><p> <b>Takeaways</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> While GOOGL stock might seem expensive — and there’s no denying that it’s pricey — a valuation analysis reveals that it’s also a pretty good bargain.</p><p><blockquote>虽然GOOGL的股票看起来很贵--不可否认它很贵--但估值分析表明，它也很划算。</blockquote></p><p> Just as importantly, Alphabet shouldn’t be pigeonholed as just a search-engine provider.</p><p><blockquote>同样重要的是，Alphabet不应仅仅被归类为搜索引擎提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The company is expanding quickly into other value-added markets with intriguing products and services, which prospective investors should take into consideration.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在通过有趣的产品和服务迅速扩展到其他增值市场，潜在投资者应该考虑这一点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high<blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨 1.3% 创新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high<blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨 1.3% 创新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-24 22:26</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet股价上涨1.3%，创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab79065de74f4b0228bb6a8dd5a1ec02\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> By and large, investors know Alphabet Inc. (<b>GOOGL</b>) as the parent company of the search engine that everybody and their uncle uses: Google. I am definitely bullish on GOOGL stock.</p><p><blockquote>总的来说，投资者了解Alphabet公司（<b>GOOGL</b>）作为每个人和他们叔叔使用的搜索引擎的母公司：谷歌。我绝对看好GOOGL股票。</blockquote></p><p> Amazingly, the Google search portal is so famous that in the popular lexicon, “Google” is both a noun and a verb.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，谷歌搜索门户网站如此有名，以至于在流行词典中，“谷歌 ”既是名词又是动词。</blockquote></p><p> It’s perfectly fine to invest in GOOGL stock because so many people use the company’s search engine. However, stock traders might also choose to look at other angles when considering an investment.</p><p><blockquote>投资GOOGL股票完全没问题，因为很多人都在使用该公司的搜索引擎。然而，股票交易者在考虑投资时也可能选择从其他角度来看。</blockquote></p><p> As we’ll see, the stock could actually be considered a bargain. Moreover, Google’s products give customers what they want: the latest in cutting-edge communications technology.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们将看到的，这只股票实际上可以被认为是一个便宜货。此外，谷歌的产品还能满足客户的需求：最新的尖端通信技术。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Quick Look at GOOGL Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>快速浏览GOOGL股票</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, it might seem ridiculous to say that GOOGL stock is cheap. After all, this is a stock that costs nearly $3,000 per share.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，说GOOGL股票便宜似乎很荒谬。毕竟，这是一只每股成本近 3,000 美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, GOOGL stock reached a new 52-week high of $2,817.49 on Monday. It has steadily gone up over the past year, with hardly any breaks or corrections.</p><p><blockquote>此外，GOOGL股价周一触及 2,817.49 美元的 52 周新高。在过去的一年里，它一直在稳步上升，几乎没有任何中断或修正。</blockquote></p><p> That should be fine for momentum-focused traders, but value-oriented investors might think that GOOGL stock is too expensive to buy now.</p><p><blockquote>这对于注重动量的交易者来说应该没问题，但价值导向的投资者可能会认为现在购买GOOGL股票太贵了。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, let’s consider a different angle. If the company’s earnings are robust, then the high price tag of the stock might be fully justified.</p><p><blockquote>然而，让我们考虑一个不同的角度。如果公司盈利强劲，那么该股的高价标签可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> As it turns out, Alphabet’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 30.5. That’s not too bad, especially for a technology stock in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>事实证明，Alphabet过去 12 个月的市盈率为 30.5。这还不算太糟，尤其是对于 2021 年的科技股来说。</blockquote></p><p> So, just maybe, GOOGL stock is still a bargain after all.</p><p><blockquote>所以，也许，GOOGL股票毕竟仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Meet the New Google Meet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>认识新的Google Meet</b></blockquote></p><p> If you’re going to take away anything from this, it should be that there’s more to Google than its search engine.</p><p><blockquote>如果你想从中得到什么，那应该是谷歌不仅仅是它的搜索引擎。</blockquote></p><p> One example would be Google Meet, the company’s video-conferencing software.</p><p><blockquote>Google Meet 就是一个例子，该公司的视频会议软件。</blockquote></p><p> Without a doubt, Google would like to capture a bigger share of the visual-communication software market.<i>Fortune Business Insights</i>reported that this market was worth $5.77 billion in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，谷歌希望在视觉传播软件市场占据更大的份额。<i>《财富》商业洞察</i>据报道，2020年该市场价值57.7亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, this market is projected to reach $6.28 billion in 2021, and $12.99 billion in 2028, thereby exhibiting a CAGR of 10.9% from 2021 to 2028.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该市场预计将在2021年达到62.8亿美元，在2028年达到129.9亿美元，从而从2021年到2028年表现出10.9%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> Google Meet’s new features should help the company take a bigger slice of this rich pie.</p><p><blockquote>Google Meet 的新功能将有助于该公司在这块丰厚的蛋糕中分得更大的一杯羹。</blockquote></p><p> The new features include the ability to add up to 25 co-hosts for meetings. Furthermore, hosts and co-hosts will be able to limit the number of users who can share screens, send messages, and mute others.</p><p><blockquote>新功能包括能够为会议添加多达25个共同主持人。此外，主机和共同主机将能够限制可以共享屏幕、发送消息和静音其他人的用户数量。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Affordable Smartphone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格实惠的智能手机</b></blockquote></p><p> Let’s face it: not everyone is ready to buy a $1,200 smartphone.</p><p><blockquote>让我们面对现实吧： 并不是每个人都准备好购买 1200 美元的智能手机。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, people want high quality. Now, with the launch of the Google Pixel 5a, shoppers don’t have to compromise quality or affordability.</p><p><blockquote>同时，人们想要高质量。现在，随着谷歌 Pixel 5a 的推出，购物者不必在质量或价格上做出妥协。</blockquote></p><p> Granted, Google already unveiled its Pixel 6 and Pixel Pro smartphones, but those are high-end and pricier. There’s a market for lower-priced smartphones, and Google is aggressively pursuing this market with the Pixel 5a.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，谷歌已经推出了Pixel 6和Pixel Pro智能手机，但这些都是高端的，价格也更高。低价智能手机有市场，谷歌正通过 Pixel 5a 积极开拓这一市场。</blockquote></p><p> We’re talking about a $449 price tag, which is less than half the price of the most expensive smartphones on the market today.</p><p><blockquote>我们说的是 449 美元的标价，不到当今市场上最昂贵智能手机价格的一半。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the phone’s features include 5G functionality, a dual-camera system, and IP67 water and dust resistance.</p><p><blockquote>这款手机的一些功能包括 5G 功能、双摄像头系统以及 IP67 防水防尘。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wall Street Weighs In</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街参与其中</b></blockquote></p><p> According to TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, GOOGL is a Strong Buy, based on 29 unanimous Buy ratings. The&nbsp;average Alphabet price target&nbsp;is $3,176.18, implying 13.4% upside potential.</p><p><blockquote>根据 TipRanks 的分析师评级共识，基于 29 个一致买入评级，GOOGL为强力买入。Alphabet平均目标价为 3,176.18 美元，意味着 13.4% 的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28be6712f40ae45fa1c1ca53a6200ce0\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"580\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> </p><p> <b>Takeaways</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> While GOOGL stock might seem expensive — and there’s no denying that it’s pricey — a valuation analysis reveals that it’s also a pretty good bargain.</p><p><blockquote>虽然GOOGL的股票看起来很贵--不可否认它很贵--但估值分析表明，它也很划算。</blockquote></p><p> Just as importantly, Alphabet shouldn’t be pigeonholed as just a search-engine provider.</p><p><blockquote>同样重要的是，Alphabet不应仅仅被归类为搜索引擎提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The company is expanding quickly into other value-added markets with intriguing products and services, which prospective investors should take into consideration.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在通过有趣的产品和服务迅速扩展到其他增值市场，潜在投资者应该考虑这一点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118949007","content_text":"Alphabet shares rose 1.3% to a new high.\n\nBy and large, investors know Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) as the parent company of the search engine that everybody and their uncle uses: Google. I am definitely bullish on GOOGL stock.\nAmazingly, the Google search portal is so famous that in the popular lexicon, “Google” is both a noun and a verb.\nIt’s perfectly fine to invest in GOOGL stock because so many people use the company’s search engine. However, stock traders might also choose to look at other angles when considering an investment.\nAs we’ll see, the stock could actually be considered a bargain. Moreover, Google’s products give customers what they want: the latest in cutting-edge communications technology.\nA Quick Look at GOOGL Stock\nAt first glance, it might seem ridiculous to say that GOOGL stock is cheap. After all, this is a stock that costs nearly $3,000 per share.\nMoreover, GOOGL stock reached a new 52-week high of $2,817.49 on Monday. It has steadily gone up over the past year, with hardly any breaks or corrections.\nThat should be fine for momentum-focused traders, but value-oriented investors might think that GOOGL stock is too expensive to buy now.\nYet, let’s consider a different angle. If the company’s earnings are robust, then the high price tag of the stock might be fully justified.\nAs it turns out, Alphabet’s trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 30.5. That’s not too bad, especially for a technology stock in 2021.\nSo, just maybe, GOOGL stock is still a bargain after all.\nMeet the New Google Meet\nIf you’re going to take away anything from this, it should be that there’s more to Google than its search engine.\nOne example would be Google Meet, the company’s video-conferencing software.\nWithout a doubt, Google would like to capture a bigger share of the visual-communication software market.Fortune Business Insightsreported that this market was worth $5.77 billion in 2020.\nFurthermore, this market is projected to reach $6.28 billion in 2021, and $12.99 billion in 2028, thereby exhibiting a CAGR of 10.9% from 2021 to 2028.\nGoogle Meet’s new features should help the company take a bigger slice of this rich pie.\nThe new features include the ability to add up to 25 co-hosts for meetings. Furthermore, hosts and co-hosts will be able to limit the number of users who can share screens, send messages, and mute others.\nAn Affordable Smartphone\nLet’s face it: not everyone is ready to buy a $1,200 smartphone.\nAt the same time, people want high quality. Now, with the launch of the Google Pixel 5a, shoppers don’t have to compromise quality or affordability.\nGranted, Google already unveiled its Pixel 6 and Pixel Pro smartphones, but those are high-end and pricier. There’s a market for lower-priced smartphones, and Google is aggressively pursuing this market with the Pixel 5a.\nWe’re talking about a $449 price tag, which is less than half the price of the most expensive smartphones on the market today.\nSome of the phone’s features include 5G functionality, a dual-camera system, and IP67 water and dust resistance.\nWall Street Weighs In\nAccording to TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, GOOGL is a Strong Buy, based on 29 unanimous Buy ratings. The average Alphabet price target is $3,176.18, implying 13.4% upside potential.\n\n\n\nTakeaways\nWhile GOOGL stock might seem expensive — and there’s no denying that it’s pricey — a valuation analysis reveals that it’s also a pretty good bargain.\nJust as importantly, Alphabet shouldn’t be pigeonholed as just a search-engine provider.\nThe company is expanding quickly into other value-added markets with intriguing products and services, which prospective investors should take into consideration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOG":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2323,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834302891,"gmtCreate":1629770014013,"gmtModify":1631892025906,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like leh","listText":"Like leh","text":"Like leh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834302891","repostId":"2161777891","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835298463,"gmtCreate":1629718383652,"gmtModify":1631892025920,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835298463","repostId":"1111103954","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111103954","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629675616,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111103954?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111103954","media":"Barrons","summary":"Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.\nBack then, the worl","content":"<p>Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>半导体可能是新的石油——这可能会使 2020 年代成为新的 1970 年代。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.</p><p><blockquote>当时，世界依赖石油——供应的任何变化都会对需求产生巨大影响。当石油输出国组织在20世纪70年代对美国实施禁运时，原油价格从20世纪70年代初的每桶约3美元上涨到20世纪70年代末的每桶13美元。美国甚至在1974年发放了天然气配给券。</blockquote></p><p> The spike was good news for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil</a>, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.</p><p><blockquote>飙升对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>20 世纪 70 年代，该公司的回报率分别约为 100% 和 70%，但随着通货膨胀的肆虐，这对其他人来说都是痛苦的。过去十年，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别仅上涨了 17% 和 5%。</blockquote></p><p> If oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.</p><p><blockquote>如果说石油是 20 世纪 70 年代经济的必要组成部分，那么芯片在 2020 年代提供了同样的功能。从我们的电脑和手机到我们的汽车和电器，它们为一切提供动力。而且，众所周知，根据 Susquehanna Financial Group 的数据，目前存在短缺，交货时间已延长至 20 周以上。</blockquote></p><p> Roughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.</p><p><blockquote>世界上大约80%的芯片是在东北亚制造的。政界人士意识到这是一个多么大的问题，他们已经开始要求本地制造，乔·拜登总统今年早些时候提出了一项500亿美元的芯片研究计划。包括半导体在内的任何行业的回流都是一个长达数年的过程，需要数十亿美元的资本。会有赢家和输家。而且如果持续太久，就会过滤到各种商品的价格中。</blockquote></p><p> “Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>“TS Lombard 的罗里-格林（Rory Green）和史蒂文-布利茨（Steven Blitz）在 1 月份写道：”与需求快速增长相关的短缺可能会演变成通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>&nbsp;this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.</p><p><blockquote>全年，全球半导体短缺一直是汽车行业的一根刺。它应该会在2021年下半年自行解决。但宣布更多减产<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>过去一周表明，这个问题不会很快消失。事实上，加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克认为，短缺可能会持续数年。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.</p><p><blockquote>斯帕克说，部分问题是结构性的。电动汽车需要更多的计算能力，但汽车行业通常依赖于老一代芯片技术，而芯片制造商并不容易增加这些技术的产能。相反，他们更喜欢专注于消费电子行业更新、更高端的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> The result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：加油站没有排队，汽车经销商也有排队。新车和二手车库存低推高了价格，并导致通胀上升。2021年上半年二手车价格上涨约20%，新车价格上涨约3%。二手车价格上涨已开始放缓，但新车价格上涨正在加速，7月份同比上涨约7%。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>这对消费者不利，但汽车制造商将从中受益。受限的生产将导致持续的低库存和更高的价格。公司将减少汽车销量，但价格上涨抵消了这一影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>2021 年股价分别上涨 43% 和 17%，两者的交易价格仍约为 2022 年市盈率的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a>. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.</p><p><blockquote>这还只是汽车行业。芯片短缺持续的时间越长，各类产品的价格上涨幅度就越大。这将使芯片制造商受益，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>华尔街看到了后者的上行空间。大约三分之二的分析师报道了其购买的股票价格，平均目标价意味着约 33% 的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望 RadioShack 外面会排起长队，但预计芯片短缺的情况也会一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Chip Shortage Looks Like the Oil Shortage of the 1970s. What It Means for Stocks and the Economy.<blockquote>芯片短缺看起来就像20世纪70年代的石油短缺。这对股票和经济意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 07:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>半导体可能是新的石油——这可能会使 2020 年代成为新的 1970 年代。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.</p><p><blockquote>当时，世界依赖石油——供应的任何变化都会对需求产生巨大影响。当石油输出国组织在20世纪70年代对美国实施禁运时，原油价格从20世纪70年代初的每桶约3美元上涨到20世纪70年代末的每桶13美元。美国甚至在1974年发放了天然气配给券。</blockquote></p><p> The spike was good news for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon Mobil</a>, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.</p><p><blockquote>飙升对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">人字形</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">埃克森美孚</a>20 世纪 70 年代，该公司的回报率分别约为 100% 和 70%，但随着通货膨胀的肆虐，这对其他人来说都是痛苦的。过去十年，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数分别仅上涨了 17% 和 5%。</blockquote></p><p> If oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.</p><p><blockquote>如果说石油是 20 世纪 70 年代经济的必要组成部分，那么芯片在 2020 年代提供了同样的功能。从我们的电脑和手机到我们的汽车和电器，它们为一切提供动力。而且，众所周知，根据 Susquehanna Financial Group 的数据，目前存在短缺，交货时间已延长至 20 周以上。</blockquote></p><p> Roughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.</p><p><blockquote>世界上大约80%的芯片是在东北亚制造的。政界人士意识到这是一个多么大的问题，他们已经开始要求本地制造，乔·拜登总统今年早些时候提出了一项500亿美元的芯片研究计划。包括半导体在内的任何行业的回流都是一个长达数年的过程，需要数十亿美元的资本。会有赢家和输家。而且如果持续太久，就会过滤到各种商品的价格中。</blockquote></p><p> “Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.</p><p><blockquote>“TS Lombard 的罗里-格林（Rory Green）和史蒂文-布利茨（Steven Blitz）在 1 月份写道：”与需求快速增长相关的短缺可能会演变成通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>&nbsp;this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.</p><p><blockquote>全年，全球半导体短缺一直是汽车行业的一根刺。它应该会在2021年下半年自行解决。但宣布更多减产<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>过去一周表明，这个问题不会很快消失。事实上，加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克认为，短缺可能会持续数年。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.</p><p><blockquote>斯帕克说，部分问题是结构性的。电动汽车需要更多的计算能力，但汽车行业通常依赖于老一代芯片技术，而芯片制造商并不容易增加这些技术的产能。相反，他们更喜欢专注于消费电子行业更新、更高端的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> The result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：加油站没有排队，汽车经销商也有排队。新车和二手车库存低推高了价格，并导致通胀上升。2021年上半年二手车价格上涨约20%，新车价格上涨约3%。二手车价格上涨已开始放缓，但新车价格上涨正在加速，7月份同比上涨约7%。</blockquote></p><p> That’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">General Motors</a> shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>这对消费者不利，但汽车制造商将从中受益。受限的生产将导致持续的低库存和更高的价格。公司将减少汽车销量，但价格上涨抵消了这一影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>2021 年股价分别上涨 43% 和 17%，两者的交易价格仍约为 2022 年市盈率的七倍。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a>. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.</p><p><blockquote>这还只是汽车行业。芯片短缺持续的时间越长，各类产品的价格上涨幅度就越大。这将使芯片制造商受益，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>华尔街看到了后者的上行空间。大约三分之二的分析师报道了其购买的股票价格，平均目标价意味着约 33% 的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.</p><p><blockquote>不要指望 RadioShack 外面会排起长队，但预计芯片短缺的情况也会一样。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-stocks-economy-51629507891?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔","XOM":"埃克森美孚","TSM":"台积电","CVX":"雪佛龙","MU":"美光科技","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chip-shortage-stocks-economy-51629507891?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111103954","content_text":"Semiconductors might be the new oil—and that could make the 2020s the new 1970s.\nBack then, the world ran on oil—and any change in supply had a massive impact on demand. When OPEC embargoed the U.S. in the 1970s, the price of crude rose from about $3 a barrel at the beginning of the decade to $13 a barrel by its end. The U.S. even issued gas ration coupons in 1974.\nThe spike was good news for Chevron and Exxon Mobil, which returned roughly 100% and 70%, respectively, in the 1970s, but painful for everyone else, as inflation raged. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose just 17% and 5%, respectively, over the decade.\nIf oil was the necessary component for the 1970s economy, chips provide the same function in the 2020s. They power everything from our computers and phones to our cars and appliances. And, as everyone knows by now, there is a shortage, with delivery times growing to more than 20 weeks, per Susquehanna Financial Group data.\nRoughly 80% of all the chips in the world are made in Northeast Asia. Politicians realize how big a problem this is, and they have started to demand local manufacturing, with President Joe Biden introducing a plan for $50 billion in chip research earlier this year. Reshoring any industry, including semiconductors, is a yearslong process that requires billions in capital. There will be winners and losers. And if it goes on too long, it will filter into the prices of all kinds of goods.\n“Shortages related to rapid upswings in demand could become inflationary,” TS Lombard’s Rory Green and Steven Blitz wrote back in January, when the scarcity of chips—”a product more known for steadily declining prices”—was in its infancy.\nThe global semiconductor shortage has been a particular thorn in the side of the automotive industry all year. It was supposed to resolve itself by the second half of 2021. But more production cuts announced by Toyota this past week shows the problem isn’t going away soon. In fact, RBC analyst Joseph Spak argues the shortage could last for years.\nPart of the problem is structural, Spak says. Electric vehicles need more computing power, but the auto industry typically relies on older-generation chip technology, where capacity isn’t being as readily added by chip makers. Instead, they prefer to focus on newer, higher-end chips for the consumer electronics industry.\nThe result: Instead of lines at the gas stations, there are lines at the automotive dealerships. Low new- and used-car inventories have pushed up pricing and contributed to rising inflation. Used-car prices rose about 20% in the first half of 2021, while new-car prices rose about 3%. The rise in used-car prices has started to slow, but new-car price gains are accelerating, rising about 7% year over year in July.\nThat’s not good for consumers, but auto makers stand to benefit. Constrained production will lead to persistently low inventories and higher pricing. Companies will sell fewer cars, but that’s been offset by higher prices. Ford and General Motors shares are up 43% and 17%, respectively, in 2021, and both still trade for about seven times 2022 earnings.\nAnd that’s just the auto industry. The longer the chip shortage goes on, the more prices will rise in all types of products. That will benefit chip makers such as Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. Wall Street sees upside in the latter. Some two-thirds of analysts covering the stock rate it Buy, and the average price target implies about a 33% upside.\nDon’t expect long lines outside RadioShack, but expect the chip shortage to be felt just the same.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CVX":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"AMD":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"XOM":0.9,"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832808621,"gmtCreate":1629602677363,"gmtModify":1631892025930,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yea","listText":"Yea","text":"Yea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832808621","repostId":"2161745814","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831397711,"gmtCreate":1629286558233,"gmtModify":1631892025945,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yea","listText":"Yea","text":"Yea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831397711","repostId":"1119160710","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119160710","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629269542,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119160710?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 14:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 Positive Market Months In A Row... What Happens Next?<blockquote>市场连续6个月呈现积极态势……接下来会发生什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119160710","media":"zerohedge","summary":"In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the rarity of 6-positive market months in a row. To w","content":"<p>In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the rarity of&nbsp;<b><i>6-positive market months</i></b>&nbsp;in a row. To wit:</p><p><blockquote>在上周末的时事通讯中，我讨论了<b><i>6-积极的市场月份</i></b>连续。即：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“An additional ‘red flag’ is the S&amp;P 500 has had positive returns for 6-straight months.&nbsp;</i>   <i><b>As shown in the 10-year monthly chart below, such streaks are a rarity, and when they do occur, they are usually met by a month, or more, of negative returns.</b></i>   <i>“</i>  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acbb168618e329e81890ddb60b0ac278\" tg-width=\"991\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>(It is also worth noting that when the 12-Month RSI is this overbought, larger corrective processes have occurred.)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“另一个'危险信号'是标普500已连续 6 个月实现正回报。</i><i><b>如下图 10 年月度图表所示，此类连胜很少见，当它们确实发生时，通常会遇到一个月或更长时间的负回报。</b></i><i>“</i><i>（还值得注意的是，当 12 个月 RSI 如此超买时，已经发生了更大的修正过程。）</i></blockquote></p><p> As stated, I only went back 10-years in the chart above. Such generated several email questions asking about the number of historical occurrences over the long term.</p><p><blockquote>如前所述，我在上面的图表中只追溯到了10年前。这产生了几个电子邮件问题，询问长期历史事件的数量。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6-Positive Market Months – Long Term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6 个积极的市场月份 – 长期</b></blockquote></p><p> Using Dr. Robert Shiller’s long-term nominal stock market data, I calculated monthly positive returns and then highlighted periods of 6-positive market months or more.</p><p><blockquote>利用罗伯特-席勒博士的长期名义股市数据，我计算出了每月正回报率，然后突出显示了 6 个或更多正市场月的时期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38d632f054d0a5668489fe697ab20924\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"589\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There are several important takeaways from the chart above.</p><p><blockquote>从上面的图表中可以得出几个重要的结论。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b>All periods of consecutive performance eventually end.</b><i>(While such seems obvious, it is something investors tend to forget about during long bullish stretches.)</i></li>  <li><i>Given the extremely long-period of market history,&nbsp;</i><i><b>such long-stretches of bullish performance are somewhat rare.</b></i></li>  <li><i>Such periods of performance often, but not always,&nbsp;</i><i><b>precede fairly decent market corrections or bear markets.</b></i></li> </ol> The table below shows all periods where there were 2-months or more of consecutive positive returns.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>所有连续表现的时期最终都会结束。</b><i>（虽然这似乎是显而易见的，但投资者在长期看涨期间往往会忘记这一点。）</i></li><li><i>鉴于极长的市场历史，</i><i><b>如此长时间的看涨表现有些罕见。</b></i></li><li><i>这样的表演时段经常，但并不总是，</i><i><b>先于相当不错的市场调整或熊市。</b></i></li></ol>下表显示了连续两个月或更长时间正回报的所有时期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30818e20d84915a59e21dcb051181793\" tg-width=\"760\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">What the table shows is that nearly 40% of the time, a two-month stretch of positive performance is followed by at least one month of negative performance. Three consecutive positive months occur 23% of the time, and only 14% of occurrences stretch to 4-months.</p><p><blockquote>表格显示的是，近40%的情况下，两个月的积极表现之后至少有一个月的消极表现。23%的情况下出现连续三个月的阳性，只有14%的情况持续4个月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Since 1871, there have only been 12 occurrences of 6-month or greater stretches of positive returns before a negative month appeared.</b>In total there are just 40 occurrences, out of 245 periods of 2-months or more, the market ran 6-months or longer without a correction.</p><p><blockquote><b>自1871年以来，在出现负月份之前，只有12次出现6个月或更长时间的正回报。</b>总共只有40次发生，在245个2个月或以上的时期中，市场运行了6个月或更长时间没有修正。</blockquote></p><p> However, in every period, the run ended in at least a negative return month, but the vast majority ended with much deeper corrections.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在每个时期，运行都至少以负回报月份结束，但绝大多数以更深层次的调整结束。</blockquote></p><p> <b><u>This Time Is Different</u></b></p><p><blockquote><b><u>这次不一样</u></b></blockquote></p><p> At the current time, there is no concern about&nbsp;<i>“risk”</i>&nbsp;in the financial markets as the&nbsp;<i>“bullish bias”</i>&nbsp;remains unfettered. With the Fed still applying $120 billion a month in liquidity, investors learned the meaning of&nbsp;<i>“the beatings will continue until morale improves.”</i></p><p><blockquote>目前，没有人担心<i>“风险”</i>在金融市场上<i>“看涨偏见”</i>仍然不受约束。由于美联储每月仍注入 1200 亿美元的流动性，投资者明白了<i>“殴打将持续到士气好转为止。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It is certainly possible the market advance can continue unabated into one of the historically lengthier stretches. The only question is when will it end, and how big of a correction will it be?</p><p><blockquote>当然，市场上涨有可能在历史上最长的一段时间内继续有增无减。唯一的问题是它什么时候结束，会有多大的调整？</blockquote></p><p> <b>What will cause the correction is unknown?</b>The reason is that if the market becomes aware of an issue, participants&nbsp;<i>“price”</i>that&nbsp;<i>“risk”</i>&nbsp;into markets. Such is why, particularly when investors are aggressively positioned in the market when an unexpected, exogenous, event occurs prices decline rapidly as&nbsp;<i>“risk”</i>&nbsp;gets reduced.</p><p><blockquote><b>什么会导致修正不得而知？</b>原因是，如果市场意识到某个问题，参与者<i>“价格”</i>那个<i>“风险”</i>进入市场。这就是为什么，特别是当投资者在市场上积极定位时，当意外的外部事件发生时，价格迅速下跌<i>“风险”</i>减少。</blockquote></p><p> Such is why the market was holding up fairly well in the face of the “Pandemic” in February of 2020. However, what market participants were not prepared for, the “exogenous” event, was the complete&nbsp;<i>“shutdown”</i>&nbsp;of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么面对 2020 年 2 月的 “大流行病 ”，市场表现相当不错的原因。然而，市场参与者没有准备好的是，“外生”事件是完整的<i>“关闭”</i>经济的。</blockquote></p><p> So, whatever event causes a rush of investors to the “exits,” is not something we are currently discussing or worried about in the financial media.</p><p><blockquote>因此，无论什么事件导致投资者争相 “退出 ”，都不是我们目前在财经媒体上讨论或担心的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Size Of The Correction</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>校正大小</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <b>The magnitude of the correction is an easier question to answer.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>修正的幅度是一个更容易回答的问题。</b></blockquote></p><p> Currently, the market is extremely deviated above its 2-year (24-month) moving average. Such extreme deviations are a historical rarity and have often resulted in corrections of 20% or more.</p><p><blockquote>目前，市场严重偏离其2年（24个月）移动平均线。这种极端偏差在历史上是罕见的，并且经常导致 20% 或更多的修正。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef44d95d728249aa5724bf499da25ec3\" tg-width=\"967\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">As we showed in&nbsp;<i><b>“Past Performance Is No Guarantee,”</b></i></p><p><blockquote>正如我们在<i><b>“过去的表现并不能保证。”</b></i></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“This is also where investors should be paying attention to the ‘risk’ they are taking on. As shown, there are few points in history where the index, monthly, is this extended, deviated, and bullish.”</i>  There have only been 6-previous points in history where markets were simultaneously this extended, bullish, and overbought. Each of those periods marked more historical performance peaks – 1929, 1937, 1946, 1957, 1987, 1999.</p><p><blockquote><i>“这也是投资者应该注意他们所承担的'风险'的地方。如图所示，历史上很少有月度指数如此延长、偏离和看涨的时候。”</i>历史上只有 6 次市场同时如此延长、看涨和超买。这些时期都标志着更多的历史表现高峰——1929年、1937年、1946年、1957年、1987年、1999年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Importantly, the 72-month moving average has acted as long-term running support for the market going back to 1925. Violations of that moving average are rare and only occur during&nbsp;<i>“mean-reverting”</i>&nbsp;bear markets.&nbsp;<b>Currently, a correction to the 72-month moving average would require a 36.5% decline.</b></p><p><blockquote>重要的是，自 1925 年以来，72 个月移动平均线一直是市场的长期运行支撑。违反移动平均线是罕见的，只发生在<i>“均值恢复”</i>熊市。<b>目前，要修正72个月移动平均线，需要下跌36.5%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84ad29e35e9c52c09e6214c012a264a1\" tg-width=\"990\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Currently, such a correction seems unlikely given the current&nbsp;<i>“bullish sentiment.”</i>&nbsp;However, the same sentiment abounded in February 2020 just before the market tested that support.</p><p><blockquote>目前，鉴于目前的情况，这种修正似乎不太可能<i>“看涨情绪。”</i>然而，同样的情绪在2020年2月市场测试这一支撑之前比比皆是。</blockquote></p><p> Given the massive deviations from long-term means, our suspicion is that at some point we will likely again test that support in the future.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于与长期手段的巨大偏差，我们怀疑在未来的某个时候，我们可能会再次测试这种支撑。</blockquote></p><p> <b><u>Into The Belly Of The Beast</u></b></p><p><blockquote><b><u>进入野兽的肚子</u></b></blockquote></p><p> The market is currently priced for perfection. Investors continue to disregard warnings of slowing economic growth on hopes that monetary interventions will continue indefinitely. While such could indeed be the case, that does not preclude the market from having a correction or worse.</p><p><blockquote>市场目前定价完美。投资者继续无视经济增长放缓的警告，希望货币干预将无限期地持续下去。虽然情况确实可能如此，但这并不排除市场出现调整或更糟的可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Interest rates continue to decline sharply suggesting that economic growth is weakening rapidly. Such will lead to earnings disappointment in the months ahead at a time when valuations remain excessive on many levels.</p><p><blockquote>利率继续大幅下降，表明经济增长正在迅速减弱。在估值在许多层面上仍然过高的情况下，这将导致未来几个月的盈利令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> August and September historically sport weak performance for the market for a variety of reasons. However, given 6-positive market months already, the risk of a correction has risen markedly.</p><p><blockquote>由于各种原因，8月和9月市场历来表现疲软。然而，鉴于已经有6个月的积极市场，调整的风险已经显着上升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0ceb1f048ad067fd6355ec65f90b970\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>The first year of a new-President also sports weak performance during the August-September period.</b>With the “debt ceiling” approaching, the Fed potentially discussing<i>“tapering”</i>&nbsp;asset purchases, and the potential for disappointment in economic reports, there are plenty of things to<i>“spook”</i>&nbsp;markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>新总统上任的第一年在8月至9月期间也表现不佳。</b>随着“债务上限”的临近，美联储可能会讨论<i>“锥形”</i>资产购买以及经济报告可能令人失望，有很多事情需要解决<i>幽灵</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac42db5f35b7be8f0da998b203791bee\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The point is simply that the&nbsp;<i>“risk”</i>&nbsp;of a correction is now elevated.</p><p><blockquote>问题很简单，<i>“风险”</i>修正的程度现在提高了。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>What This Means And Doesn’t Mean</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>这意味着什么，不意味着什么</b></u></blockquote></p><p> Let me repeat the following just so there is no confusion.</p><p><blockquote>让我重复以下几点，以免混淆。</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“What this analysis DOES NOT mean is that you should ‘sell everything’ and ‘hide in cash.’”</b></i>  As always, long-term portfolio management is about managing&nbsp;<i>“risk”</i>&nbsp;by&nbsp;<i>“tweaking”</i>&nbsp;things over time.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“这种分析并不意味着你应该'卖掉一切'和'藏现金'。”</b></i>一如既往，长期投资组合管理就是管理<i>“风险”</i>通过<i>“调整”</i>随着时间的推移。</blockquote></p><p> If you have a&nbsp;<i>“so so”</i>&nbsp;hand at a poker table, you bet less or fold.</p><p><blockquote>如果你有一个<i>“一般般”</i>在扑克桌上，你下注少或弃牌。</blockquote></p><p> It doesn’t mean you get up and leave the table altogether.</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着你会起身离开餐桌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What this analysis does suppest is that we should use rallies to rebalance portfolios.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这一分析最能说明问题的是，我们应该利用反弹来重新平衡投资组合。</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Trim Winning Positions</i></b><i>&nbsp;back to their original portfolio weightings. (ie. Take profits)</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>修剪获胜位置</i></b><i>回到他们最初的投资组合权重。（即获利）</i></li></ol></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b><i>Sell Those Positions That Aren’t Working.</i></b><i>If they don’t rally with the market during a bounce, they will decline more when the market sells off again.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b><i>卖掉那些不起作用的职位。</i></b><i>如果它们在反弹期间不跟随市场反弹，那么当市场再次抛售时，它们就会进一步下跌。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b><i>Move Trailing Stop Losses Up</i></b><i>&nbsp;to new levels.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b><i>将追踪止损向上移动</i></b><i>达到新的水平。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b><i>Review Your Portfolio Allocation Relative To Your Risk Tolerance.</i></b><i>&nbsp;If you have an aggressive allocation to equities at this point of the market cycle, you may want to try and recall how you felt during 2008. Raise cash levels and increase fixed income accordingly to reduce relative market exposure.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b><i>相对于您的风险承受能力审查您的投资组合配置。</i></b><i>如果你在市场周期的这个阶段积极配置股票，你可能想试着回忆一下你在2008年的感受。提高现金水平并相应增加固定收入，以减少相对市场敞口。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ol> <b>Could I be wrong?</b>&nbsp;Absolutely.</p><p><blockquote><b>我错了吗？</b>绝对的。</blockquote></p><p> But what if the indicators are warning us of something more significant?</p><p><blockquote>但如果指标警告我们一些更重要的事情呢？</blockquote></p><p> What’s worse:</p><p><blockquote>更糟糕的是：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i>Missing out temporarily on the initial stages of a longer-term advance, or;</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i>暂时错过长期进展的初始阶段，或；</i></li></ol></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Spending time getting back to even, which is not the same as making money.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>花时间恢复收支平衡，这和赚钱是不一样的。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ol> As I noted recently in our blog on<b><i>&nbsp;trading rules:</i></b></p><p><blockquote>正如我最近在我们的博客中提到的<b><i>交易规则：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“</i>   <b><i>Opportunities are made up far easier than lost capital.”</i></b>   <b>&nbsp;–</b>   <i>Todd Harrison</i> </p><p><blockquote><i>“</i><b><i>弥补机会比弥补资本损失要容易得多。”</i></b><b> –</b><i>托德·哈里森</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 Positive Market Months In A Row... What Happens Next?<blockquote>市场连续6个月呈现积极态势……接下来会发生什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 Positive Market Months In A Row... What Happens Next?<blockquote>市场连续6个月呈现积极态势……接下来会发生什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-18 14:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the rarity of&nbsp;<b><i>6-positive market months</i></b>&nbsp;in a row. To wit:</p><p><blockquote>在上周末的时事通讯中，我讨论了<b><i>6-积极的市场月份</i></b>连续。即：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“An additional ‘red flag’ is the S&amp;P 500 has had positive returns for 6-straight months.&nbsp;</i>   <i><b>As shown in the 10-year monthly chart below, such streaks are a rarity, and when they do occur, they are usually met by a month, or more, of negative returns.</b></i>   <i>“</i>  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acbb168618e329e81890ddb60b0ac278\" tg-width=\"991\" tg-height=\"521\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>(It is also worth noting that when the 12-Month RSI is this overbought, larger corrective processes have occurred.)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“另一个'危险信号'是标普500已连续 6 个月实现正回报。</i><i><b>如下图 10 年月度图表所示，此类连胜很少见，当它们确实发生时，通常会遇到一个月或更长时间的负回报。</b></i><i>“</i><i>（还值得注意的是，当 12 个月 RSI 如此超买时，已经发生了更大的修正过程。）</i></blockquote></p><p> As stated, I only went back 10-years in the chart above. Such generated several email questions asking about the number of historical occurrences over the long term.</p><p><blockquote>如前所述，我在上面的图表中只追溯到了10年前。这产生了几个电子邮件问题，询问长期历史事件的数量。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6-Positive Market Months – Long Term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6 个积极的市场月份 – 长期</b></blockquote></p><p> Using Dr. Robert Shiller’s long-term nominal stock market data, I calculated monthly positive returns and then highlighted periods of 6-positive market months or more.</p><p><blockquote>利用罗伯特-席勒博士的长期名义股市数据，我计算出了每月正回报率，然后突出显示了 6 个或更多正市场月的时期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38d632f054d0a5668489fe697ab20924\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"589\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There are several important takeaways from the chart above.</p><p><blockquote>从上面的图表中可以得出几个重要的结论。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b>All periods of consecutive performance eventually end.</b><i>(While such seems obvious, it is something investors tend to forget about during long bullish stretches.)</i></li>  <li><i>Given the extremely long-period of market history,&nbsp;</i><i><b>such long-stretches of bullish performance are somewhat rare.</b></i></li>  <li><i>Such periods of performance often, but not always,&nbsp;</i><i><b>precede fairly decent market corrections or bear markets.</b></i></li> </ol> The table below shows all periods where there were 2-months or more of consecutive positive returns.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>所有连续表现的时期最终都会结束。</b><i>（虽然这似乎是显而易见的，但投资者在长期看涨期间往往会忘记这一点。）</i></li><li><i>鉴于极长的市场历史，</i><i><b>如此长时间的看涨表现有些罕见。</b></i></li><li><i>这样的表演时段经常，但并不总是，</i><i><b>先于相当不错的市场调整或熊市。</b></i></li></ol>下表显示了连续两个月或更长时间正回报的所有时期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30818e20d84915a59e21dcb051181793\" tg-width=\"760\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">What the table shows is that nearly 40% of the time, a two-month stretch of positive performance is followed by at least one month of negative performance. Three consecutive positive months occur 23% of the time, and only 14% of occurrences stretch to 4-months.</p><p><blockquote>表格显示的是，近40%的情况下，两个月的积极表现之后至少有一个月的消极表现。23%的情况下出现连续三个月的阳性，只有14%的情况持续4个月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Since 1871, there have only been 12 occurrences of 6-month or greater stretches of positive returns before a negative month appeared.</b>In total there are just 40 occurrences, out of 245 periods of 2-months or more, the market ran 6-months or longer without a correction.</p><p><blockquote><b>自1871年以来，在出现负月份之前，只有12次出现6个月或更长时间的正回报。</b>总共只有40次发生，在245个2个月或以上的时期中，市场运行了6个月或更长时间没有修正。</blockquote></p><p> However, in every period, the run ended in at least a negative return month, but the vast majority ended with much deeper corrections.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在每个时期，运行都至少以负回报月份结束，但绝大多数以更深层次的调整结束。</blockquote></p><p> <b><u>This Time Is Different</u></b></p><p><blockquote><b><u>这次不一样</u></b></blockquote></p><p> At the current time, there is no concern about&nbsp;<i>“risk”</i>&nbsp;in the financial markets as the&nbsp;<i>“bullish bias”</i>&nbsp;remains unfettered. With the Fed still applying $120 billion a month in liquidity, investors learned the meaning of&nbsp;<i>“the beatings will continue until morale improves.”</i></p><p><blockquote>目前，没有人担心<i>“风险”</i>在金融市场上<i>“看涨偏见”</i>仍然不受约束。由于美联储每月仍注入 1200 亿美元的流动性，投资者明白了<i>“殴打将持续到士气好转为止。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It is certainly possible the market advance can continue unabated into one of the historically lengthier stretches. The only question is when will it end, and how big of a correction will it be?</p><p><blockquote>当然，市场上涨有可能在历史上最长的一段时间内继续有增无减。唯一的问题是它什么时候结束，会有多大的调整？</blockquote></p><p> <b>What will cause the correction is unknown?</b>The reason is that if the market becomes aware of an issue, participants&nbsp;<i>“price”</i>that&nbsp;<i>“risk”</i>&nbsp;into markets. Such is why, particularly when investors are aggressively positioned in the market when an unexpected, exogenous, event occurs prices decline rapidly as&nbsp;<i>“risk”</i>&nbsp;gets reduced.</p><p><blockquote><b>什么会导致修正不得而知？</b>原因是，如果市场意识到某个问题，参与者<i>“价格”</i>那个<i>“风险”</i>进入市场。这就是为什么，特别是当投资者在市场上积极定位时，当意外的外部事件发生时，价格迅速下跌<i>“风险”</i>减少。</blockquote></p><p> Such is why the market was holding up fairly well in the face of the “Pandemic” in February of 2020. However, what market participants were not prepared for, the “exogenous” event, was the complete&nbsp;<i>“shutdown”</i>&nbsp;of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么面对 2020 年 2 月的 “大流行病 ”，市场表现相当不错的原因。然而，市场参与者没有准备好的是，“外生”事件是完整的<i>“关闭”</i>经济的。</blockquote></p><p> So, whatever event causes a rush of investors to the “exits,” is not something we are currently discussing or worried about in the financial media.</p><p><blockquote>因此，无论什么事件导致投资者争相 “退出 ”，都不是我们目前在财经媒体上讨论或担心的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>Size Of The Correction</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>校正大小</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <b>The magnitude of the correction is an easier question to answer.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>修正的幅度是一个更容易回答的问题。</b></blockquote></p><p> Currently, the market is extremely deviated above its 2-year (24-month) moving average. Such extreme deviations are a historical rarity and have often resulted in corrections of 20% or more.</p><p><blockquote>目前，市场严重偏离其2年（24个月）移动平均线。这种极端偏差在历史上是罕见的，并且经常导致 20% 或更多的修正。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef44d95d728249aa5724bf499da25ec3\" tg-width=\"967\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">As we showed in&nbsp;<i><b>“Past Performance Is No Guarantee,”</b></i></p><p><blockquote>正如我们在<i><b>“过去的表现并不能保证。”</b></i></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“This is also where investors should be paying attention to the ‘risk’ they are taking on. As shown, there are few points in history where the index, monthly, is this extended, deviated, and bullish.”</i>  There have only been 6-previous points in history where markets were simultaneously this extended, bullish, and overbought. Each of those periods marked more historical performance peaks – 1929, 1937, 1946, 1957, 1987, 1999.</p><p><blockquote><i>“这也是投资者应该注意他们所承担的'风险'的地方。如图所示，历史上很少有月度指数如此延长、偏离和看涨的时候。”</i>历史上只有 6 次市场同时如此延长、看涨和超买。这些时期都标志着更多的历史表现高峰——1929年、1937年、1946年、1957年、1987年、1999年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Importantly, the 72-month moving average has acted as long-term running support for the market going back to 1925. Violations of that moving average are rare and only occur during&nbsp;<i>“mean-reverting”</i>&nbsp;bear markets.&nbsp;<b>Currently, a correction to the 72-month moving average would require a 36.5% decline.</b></p><p><blockquote>重要的是，自 1925 年以来，72 个月移动平均线一直是市场的长期运行支撑。违反移动平均线是罕见的，只发生在<i>“均值恢复”</i>熊市。<b>目前，要修正72个月移动平均线，需要下跌36.5%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84ad29e35e9c52c09e6214c012a264a1\" tg-width=\"990\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Currently, such a correction seems unlikely given the current&nbsp;<i>“bullish sentiment.”</i>&nbsp;However, the same sentiment abounded in February 2020 just before the market tested that support.</p><p><blockquote>目前，鉴于目前的情况，这种修正似乎不太可能<i>“看涨情绪。”</i>然而，同样的情绪在2020年2月市场测试这一支撑之前比比皆是。</blockquote></p><p> Given the massive deviations from long-term means, our suspicion is that at some point we will likely again test that support in the future.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于与长期手段的巨大偏差，我们怀疑在未来的某个时候，我们可能会再次测试这种支撑。</blockquote></p><p> <b><u>Into The Belly Of The Beast</u></b></p><p><blockquote><b><u>进入野兽的肚子</u></b></blockquote></p><p> The market is currently priced for perfection. Investors continue to disregard warnings of slowing economic growth on hopes that monetary interventions will continue indefinitely. While such could indeed be the case, that does not preclude the market from having a correction or worse.</p><p><blockquote>市场目前定价完美。投资者继续无视经济增长放缓的警告，希望货币干预将无限期地持续下去。虽然情况确实可能如此，但这并不排除市场出现调整或更糟的可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Interest rates continue to decline sharply suggesting that economic growth is weakening rapidly. Such will lead to earnings disappointment in the months ahead at a time when valuations remain excessive on many levels.</p><p><blockquote>利率继续大幅下降，表明经济增长正在迅速减弱。在估值在许多层面上仍然过高的情况下，这将导致未来几个月的盈利令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> August and September historically sport weak performance for the market for a variety of reasons. However, given 6-positive market months already, the risk of a correction has risen markedly.</p><p><blockquote>由于各种原因，8月和9月市场历来表现疲软。然而，鉴于已经有6个月的积极市场，调整的风险已经显着上升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0ceb1f048ad067fd6355ec65f90b970\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>The first year of a new-President also sports weak performance during the August-September period.</b>With the “debt ceiling” approaching, the Fed potentially discussing<i>“tapering”</i>&nbsp;asset purchases, and the potential for disappointment in economic reports, there are plenty of things to<i>“spook”</i>&nbsp;markets.</p><p><blockquote><b>新总统上任的第一年在8月至9月期间也表现不佳。</b>随着“债务上限”的临近，美联储可能会讨论<i>“锥形”</i>资产购买以及经济报告可能令人失望，有很多事情需要解决<i>幽灵</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac42db5f35b7be8f0da998b203791bee\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The point is simply that the&nbsp;<i>“risk”</i>&nbsp;of a correction is now elevated.</p><p><blockquote>问题很简单，<i>“风险”</i>修正的程度现在提高了。</blockquote></p><p> <u><b>What This Means And Doesn’t Mean</b></u></p><p><blockquote><u><b>这意味着什么，不意味着什么</b></u></blockquote></p><p> Let me repeat the following just so there is no confusion.</p><p><blockquote>让我重复以下几点，以免混淆。</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“What this analysis DOES NOT mean is that you should ‘sell everything’ and ‘hide in cash.’”</b></i>  As always, long-term portfolio management is about managing&nbsp;<i>“risk”</i>&nbsp;by&nbsp;<i>“tweaking”</i>&nbsp;things over time.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“这种分析并不意味着你应该'卖掉一切'和'藏现金'。”</b></i>一如既往，长期投资组合管理就是管理<i>“风险”</i>通过<i>“调整”</i>随着时间的推移。</blockquote></p><p> If you have a&nbsp;<i>“so so”</i>&nbsp;hand at a poker table, you bet less or fold.</p><p><blockquote>如果你有一个<i>“一般般”</i>在扑克桌上，你下注少或弃牌。</blockquote></p><p> It doesn’t mean you get up and leave the table altogether.</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着你会起身离开餐桌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What this analysis does suppest is that we should use rallies to rebalance portfolios.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这一分析最能说明问题的是，我们应该利用反弹来重新平衡投资组合。</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Trim Winning Positions</i></b><i>&nbsp;back to their original portfolio weightings. (ie. Take profits)</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>修剪获胜位置</i></b><i>回到他们最初的投资组合权重。（即获利）</i></li></ol></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b><i>Sell Those Positions That Aren’t Working.</i></b><i>If they don’t rally with the market during a bounce, they will decline more when the market sells off again.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b><i>卖掉那些不起作用的职位。</i></b><i>如果它们在反弹期间不跟随市场反弹，那么当市场再次抛售时，它们就会进一步下跌。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b><i>Move Trailing Stop Losses Up</i></b><i>&nbsp;to new levels.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b><i>将追踪止损向上移动</i></b><i>达到新的水平。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b><i>Review Your Portfolio Allocation Relative To Your Risk Tolerance.</i></b><i>&nbsp;If you have an aggressive allocation to equities at this point of the market cycle, you may want to try and recall how you felt during 2008. Raise cash levels and increase fixed income accordingly to reduce relative market exposure.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b><i>相对于您的风险承受能力审查您的投资组合配置。</i></b><i>如果你在市场周期的这个阶段积极配置股票，你可能想试着回忆一下你在2008年的感受。提高现金水平并相应增加固定收入，以减少相对市场敞口。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ol> <b>Could I be wrong?</b>&nbsp;Absolutely.</p><p><blockquote><b>我错了吗？</b>绝对的。</blockquote></p><p> But what if the indicators are warning us of something more significant?</p><p><blockquote>但如果指标警告我们一些更重要的事情呢？</blockquote></p><p> What’s worse:</p><p><blockquote>更糟糕的是：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i>Missing out temporarily on the initial stages of a longer-term advance, or;</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i>暂时错过长期进展的初始阶段，或；</i></li></ol></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Spending time getting back to even, which is not the same as making money.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>花时间恢复收支平衡，这和赚钱是不一样的。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ol> As I noted recently in our blog on<b><i>&nbsp;trading rules:</i></b></p><p><blockquote>正如我最近在我们的博客中提到的<b><i>交易规则：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“</i>   <b><i>Opportunities are made up far easier than lost capital.”</i></b>   <b>&nbsp;–</b>   <i>Todd Harrison</i> </p><p><blockquote><i>“</i><b><i>弥补机会比弥补资本损失要容易得多。”</i></b><b> –</b><i>托德·哈里森</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/6-positive-market-months-row-what-happens-next\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/6-positive-market-months-row-what-happens-next","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119160710","content_text":"In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the rarity of 6-positive market months in a row. To wit:\n\n“An additional ‘red flag’ is the S&P 500 has had positive returns for 6-straight months. \nAs shown in the 10-year monthly chart below, such streaks are a rarity, and when they do occur, they are usually met by a month, or more, of negative returns.\n“\n\n(It is also worth noting that when the 12-Month RSI is this overbought, larger corrective processes have occurred.)\nAs stated, I only went back 10-years in the chart above. Such generated several email questions asking about the number of historical occurrences over the long term.\n6-Positive Market Months – Long Term\nUsing Dr. Robert Shiller’s long-term nominal stock market data, I calculated monthly positive returns and then highlighted periods of 6-positive market months or more.\nThere are several important takeaways from the chart above.\n\nAll periods of consecutive performance eventually end.(While such seems obvious, it is something investors tend to forget about during long bullish stretches.)\nGiven the extremely long-period of market history, such long-stretches of bullish performance are somewhat rare.\nSuch periods of performance often, but not always, precede fairly decent market corrections or bear markets.\n\nThe table below shows all periods where there were 2-months or more of consecutive positive returns.\nWhat the table shows is that nearly 40% of the time, a two-month stretch of positive performance is followed by at least one month of negative performance. Three consecutive positive months occur 23% of the time, and only 14% of occurrences stretch to 4-months.\nSince 1871, there have only been 12 occurrences of 6-month or greater stretches of positive returns before a negative month appeared.In total there are just 40 occurrences, out of 245 periods of 2-months or more, the market ran 6-months or longer without a correction.\nHowever, in every period, the run ended in at least a negative return month, but the vast majority ended with much deeper corrections.\nThis Time Is Different\nAt the current time, there is no concern about “risk” in the financial markets as the “bullish bias” remains unfettered. With the Fed still applying $120 billion a month in liquidity, investors learned the meaning of “the beatings will continue until morale improves.”\nIt is certainly possible the market advance can continue unabated into one of the historically lengthier stretches. The only question is when will it end, and how big of a correction will it be?\nWhat will cause the correction is unknown?The reason is that if the market becomes aware of an issue, participants “price”that “risk” into markets. Such is why, particularly when investors are aggressively positioned in the market when an unexpected, exogenous, event occurs prices decline rapidly as “risk” gets reduced.\nSuch is why the market was holding up fairly well in the face of the “Pandemic” in February of 2020. However, what market participants were not prepared for, the “exogenous” event, was the complete “shutdown” of the economy.\nSo, whatever event causes a rush of investors to the “exits,” is not something we are currently discussing or worried about in the financial media.\nSize Of The Correction\nThe magnitude of the correction is an easier question to answer.\nCurrently, the market is extremely deviated above its 2-year (24-month) moving average. Such extreme deviations are a historical rarity and have often resulted in corrections of 20% or more.\nAs we showed in “Past Performance Is No Guarantee,”\n\n“This is also where investors should be paying attention to the ‘risk’ they are taking on. As shown, there are few points in history where the index, monthly, is this extended, deviated, and bullish.”\n\nThere have only been 6-previous points in history where markets were simultaneously this extended, bullish, and overbought. Each of those periods marked more historical performance peaks – 1929, 1937, 1946, 1957, 1987, 1999.\nImportantly, the 72-month moving average has acted as long-term running support for the market going back to 1925. Violations of that moving average are rare and only occur during “mean-reverting” bear markets. Currently, a correction to the 72-month moving average would require a 36.5% decline.\nCurrently, such a correction seems unlikely given the current “bullish sentiment.” However, the same sentiment abounded in February 2020 just before the market tested that support.\nGiven the massive deviations from long-term means, our suspicion is that at some point we will likely again test that support in the future.\nInto The Belly Of The Beast\nThe market is currently priced for perfection. Investors continue to disregard warnings of slowing economic growth on hopes that monetary interventions will continue indefinitely. While such could indeed be the case, that does not preclude the market from having a correction or worse.\nInterest rates continue to decline sharply suggesting that economic growth is weakening rapidly. Such will lead to earnings disappointment in the months ahead at a time when valuations remain excessive on many levels.\nAugust and September historically sport weak performance for the market for a variety of reasons. However, given 6-positive market months already, the risk of a correction has risen markedly.\nThe first year of a new-President also sports weak performance during the August-September period.With the “debt ceiling” approaching, the Fed potentially discussing“tapering” asset purchases, and the potential for disappointment in economic reports, there are plenty of things to“spook” markets.\nThe point is simply that the “risk” of a correction is now elevated.\nWhat This Means And Doesn’t Mean\nLet me repeat the following just so there is no confusion.\n\n“What this analysis DOES NOT mean is that you should ‘sell everything’ and ‘hide in cash.’”\n\nAs always, long-term portfolio management is about managing “risk” by “tweaking” things over time.\nIf you have a “so so” hand at a poker table, you bet less or fold.\nIt doesn’t mean you get up and leave the table altogether.\nWhat this analysis does suppest is that we should use rallies to rebalance portfolios.\n\nTrim Winning Positions back to their original portfolio weightings. (ie. Take profits)\nSell Those Positions That Aren’t Working.If they don’t rally with the market during a bounce, they will decline more when the market sells off again.\nMove Trailing Stop Losses Up to new levels.\nReview Your Portfolio Allocation Relative To Your Risk Tolerance. If you have an aggressive allocation to equities at this point of the market cycle, you may want to try and recall how you felt during 2008. Raise cash levels and increase fixed income accordingly to reduce relative market exposure.\n\nCould I be wrong? Absolutely.\nBut what if the indicators are warning us of something more significant?\nWhat’s worse:\n\nMissing out temporarily on the initial stages of a longer-term advance, or;\nSpending time getting back to even, which is not the same as making money.\n\nAs I noted recently in our blog on trading rules:\n\n“\nOpportunities are made up far easier than lost capital.”\n –\nTodd Harrison","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897883535,"gmtCreate":1628905627327,"gmtModify":1631892025957,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"As usual","listText":"As usual","text":"As usual","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897883535","repostId":"1114512346","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114512346","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628862113,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1114512346?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-13 21:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Virgin Galactic falls as billionaire Branson sells stake worth $300 million<blockquote>亿万富翁布兰森出售价值 3 亿美元的股份，维珍银河股价下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114512346","media":"Reuters","summary":"Shares of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc fell more than 1% on Friday after its founder and British bil","content":"<p>Shares of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc fell more than 1% on Friday after its founder and British billionaire Richard Branson sold a portion of his stake for nearly $300 million.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河控股公司 (Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc) 创始人、英国亿万富翁理查德·布兰森 (Richard Branson) 以近 3 亿美元的价格出售了部分股份，该公司股价周五下跌超过 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Branson sold more than 10 million shares between Aug. 10 and 12, according to a regulatory filing&nbsp;from late Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>根据周四晚间提交的监管文件，布兰森在 8 月 10 日至 12 日期间出售了超过 1000 万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> The move comes a month after the space tourism company completed its first fully crewed test flight into space with Branson on board.</p><p><blockquote>一个月前，这家太空旅游公司完成了首次载人太空试飞，布兰森在船上。</blockquote></p><p> The latest share sale leaves Branson with about 46.3 million shares worth roughly $1.2 billion as of stock's last closing price. He had in April sold stock worth over $150 million.</p><p><blockquote>最新的股票出售使布兰森拥有约 4,630 万股股票，按股票最后收盘价计算，价值约 12 亿美元。他在4月份出售了价值超过1.5亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Branson's Virgin Investments is one of the biggest shareholders of the space tourism company and has a stake of about 22% as of June, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p><blockquote>根据路孚特的数据，布兰森的维珍投资公司是这家太空旅游公司的最大股东之一，截至 6 月份持有约 22% 的股份。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Virgin Galactic falls as billionaire Branson sells stake worth $300 million<blockquote>亿万富翁布兰森出售价值 3 亿美元的股份，维珍银河股价下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVirgin Galactic falls as billionaire Branson sells stake worth $300 million<blockquote>亿万富翁布兰森出售价值 3 亿美元的股份，维珍银河股价下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-13 21:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc fell more than 1% on Friday after its founder and British billionaire Richard Branson sold a portion of his stake for nearly $300 million.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河控股公司 (Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc) 创始人、英国亿万富翁理查德·布兰森 (Richard Branson) 以近 3 亿美元的价格出售了部分股份，该公司股价周五下跌超过 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Branson sold more than 10 million shares between Aug. 10 and 12, according to a regulatory filing&nbsp;from late Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>根据周四晚间提交的监管文件，布兰森在 8 月 10 日至 12 日期间出售了超过 1000 万股股票。</blockquote></p><p> The move comes a month after the space tourism company completed its first fully crewed test flight into space with Branson on board.</p><p><blockquote>一个月前，这家太空旅游公司完成了首次载人太空试飞，布兰森在船上。</blockquote></p><p> The latest share sale leaves Branson with about 46.3 million shares worth roughly $1.2 billion as of stock's last closing price. He had in April sold stock worth over $150 million.</p><p><blockquote>最新的股票出售使布兰森拥有约 4,630 万股股票，按股票最后收盘价计算，价值约 12 亿美元。他在4月份出售了价值超过1.5亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Branson's Virgin Investments is one of the biggest shareholders of the space tourism company and has a stake of about 22% as of June, according to Refinitiv data.</p><p><blockquote>根据路孚特的数据，布兰森的维珍投资公司是这家太空旅游公司的最大股东之一，截至 6 月份持有约 22% 的股份。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/virgin-galactic-falls-billionaire-branson-132508203.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/virgin-galactic-falls-billionaire-branson-132508203.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114512346","content_text":"Shares of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc fell more than 1% on Friday after its founder and British billionaire Richard Branson sold a portion of his stake for nearly $300 million.\nBranson sold more than 10 million shares between Aug. 10 and 12, according to a regulatory filing from late Thursday.\nThe move comes a month after the space tourism company completed its first fully crewed test flight into space with Branson on board.\nThe latest share sale leaves Branson with about 46.3 million shares worth roughly $1.2 billion as of stock's last closing price. He had in April sold stock worth over $150 million.\nBranson's Virgin Investments is one of the biggest shareholders of the space tourism company and has a stake of about 22% as of June, according to Refinitiv data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1049,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896600189,"gmtCreate":1628573313941,"gmtModify":1631892025971,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896600189","repostId":"1122174975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122174975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628257533,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122174975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 21:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122174975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 6)&nbsp;$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ fell 0.41%; $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ , $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ fell over 1%; $Li Auto(LI)$ fell 0.80%.","content":"<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> fell 0.41%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a> fell over 1%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a> fell 0.80%.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>下跌0.41%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌破1%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>下跌0.80%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc49234e47a8e48665d95c05d103786\" tg-width=\"345\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-06 21:45</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> fell 0.41%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a> fell over 1%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a> fell 0.80%.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>下跌0.41%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌破1%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>下跌0.80%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc49234e47a8e48665d95c05d103786\" tg-width=\"345\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122174975","content_text":"(Aug 6) Tesla Motors fell 0.41%; NIO Inc. , XPeng Inc. fell over 1%; Li Auto fell 0.80%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805762091,"gmtCreate":1627907856913,"gmtModify":1633755419629,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805762091","repostId":"1193646270","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193646270","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627891794,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193646270?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 16:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, and rose 1% in premarket trading<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年 7 月交付 7,931 辆汽车，盘前交易增长 1%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193646270","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":" $NIO Inc.$ delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, representing a strong 124.5% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,702 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,669 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,560 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. As of July 31, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 125,528 vehicles.","content":"<p>(August&nbsp;2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, representing a strong 124.5% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,702 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,669 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,560 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. As of July 31, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 125,528 vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>（8月2日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>2021年7月交付7,931辆汽车，同比强劲增长124.5%。交付的车辆包括 1702 辆 ES8（该公司的六座或七座旗舰高端智能电动 SUV）、3669 辆 ES6（该公司的五座高性能高端智能电动 SUV）和 2560 辆 EC6（该公司的五座高端智能电动轿跑车 SUV）。截至2021年7月31日，ES8、ES6和EC6的累计交付量达到125,528辆。</blockquote></p><p> NIO rose about 1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在盘前交易中上涨约1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29ee37756815b9785621385b00cfc549\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, and rose 1% in premarket trading<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年 7 月交付 7,931 辆汽车，盘前交易增长 1%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, and rose 1% in premarket trading<blockquote>蔚来 2021 年 7 月交付 7,931 辆汽车，盘前交易增长 1%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 16:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(August&nbsp;2)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, representing a strong 124.5% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,702 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,669 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,560 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. As of July 31, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 125,528 vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>（8月2日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>2021年7月交付7,931辆汽车，同比强劲增长124.5%。交付的车辆包括 1702 辆 ES8（该公司的六座或七座旗舰高端智能电动 SUV）、3669 辆 ES6（该公司的五座高性能高端智能电动 SUV）和 2560 辆 EC6（该公司的五座高端智能电动轿跑车 SUV）。截至2021年7月31日，ES8、ES6和EC6的累计交付量达到125,528辆。</blockquote></p><p> NIO rose about 1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在盘前交易中上涨约1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29ee37756815b9785621385b00cfc549\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193646270","content_text":"(August 2) NIO Inc. delivered 7,931 vehicles in July 2021, representing a strong 124.5% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,702 ES8s, the Company’s six-seater or seven-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 3,669 ES6s, the Company’s five-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,560 EC6s, the Company’s five-seater premium smart electric coupe SUV. As of July 31, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 125,528 vehicles.\nNIO rose about 1% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802023105,"gmtCreate":1627700280307,"gmtModify":1633756976574,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802023105","repostId":"1135561812","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135561812","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627637430,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1135561812?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-30 17:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD: Still Growing, Still Undervalued<blockquote>AMD：仍在增长，仍被低估</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135561812","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"AMD's margin gains are driven by growing strength in end markets.AMD raised its revenue guidance by $1.0B for FY 2021 and gross margins are edging closer to 50%.AMD's dollar sales growth is cheaper than Nvidia's and AMD might even grow faster.The most interesting revelation of AMD’s Q2’21 earnings, however, was the trend in gross margins. AMD's gross margin jumped 4 PP to 48%, 1 PP above guidance because of a better mix of higher-priced Ryzen processors  and Radeon graphic cards. The uptick in g","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>AMD's margin gains are driven by growing strength in end markets.</li>  <li>AMD raised its revenue guidance by $1.0B for FY 2021 and gross margins are edging closer to 50%.</li>  <li>The semiconductor firm could be a $6.0B free cash flow business next year, even if growth slows down.</li>  <li>AMD's dollar sales growth is cheaper than Nvidia's and AMD might even grow faster.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e6e179318de667e33987f1b4a2afb27\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Jay_Zynism/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>AMD 的利润率增长是由终端市场不断增长的实力推动的。</li><li>AMD 将 2021 财年的收入指引上调了 $1.0B，毛利率接近 50%。</li><li>即使增长放缓，这家半导体公司明年也可能成为价值 60 亿美元的自由现金流业务。</li><li>AMD 的美元销售额增长比 Nvidia 便宜，而且 AMD 甚至可能增长得更快。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Jay_Zynism/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD (AMD) made a splash yesterday after the semiconductor company reported growth and margins that were even better than what was expected. AMD’s revenue acceleration and strong gross margin expansion make a strong case for upside in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>AMD (AMD) 昨天引起了轰动，这家半导体公司公布的增长和利润率甚至好于预期。AMD 的收入加速增长和毛利率的强劲扩张为该股上涨提供了有力的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why AMD is worth $120</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么 AMD 值 120 美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Before I dive into AMD’s latestresults, let’s quickly recap what the firm’s guidance was for the last quarter. For Q2’21, AMD expected a minimum of $3.5B in revenues with “high case” guidance implying 7% revenue growth Q/Q and a gross margin of 47%.</p><p><blockquote>在深入探讨 AMD 的最新业绩之前，让我们快速回顾一下该公司上一季度的业绩指引。AMD 预计 21 年第二季度的收入至少为 35 亿美元，“高情况 ”指导意味着收入环比增长 7%，毛利率为 47%。</blockquote></p><p> I expected AMD’s revenues to hit the high end of guidance ($3.7B), to have a minimum free cash flow of $895M (8% Q/Q growth) and a free cash flow margin of 24%. Given the acceleration of sales in higher-priced Ryzen desktop and notebook processors and GPUs as well as higher average selling prices/ASPs driven by broad-based strength in end markets, I expected AMD to beat its own margin guidance and report a gross margin of 48% for Q2’21. I also predicted a refreshment of AMD’s gross margin guidance due to strength in CPU and GPU ASPs. I laid out my forecast for AMD’s Q2’21 earnings in detail inAMD: On The Road To $5 Billion In Annual Free Cash Flow.</p><p><blockquote>我预计 AMD 的收入将达到指导的上限（37 亿美元），最低自由现金流为 8.95 亿美元（环比增长 8%），自由现金流利润率为 24%。鉴于高价 Ryzen 台式机和笔记本电脑处理器和 GPU 的销售加速，以及终端市场广泛实力推动的平均售价/平均售价上涨，我预计 AMD 将超出自己的利润率指导，在 21 年第二季度的毛利率为 48%。我还预测，由于 CPU 和 GPU 平均售价的强劲，AMD 的毛利率指引将会更新。我在《AMD: 年自由现金流迈向 50 亿美元》一书中详细阐述了我对 AMD 21 年第二季度收益的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Turning to AMD’s actual results, the semiconductor firm proved once more that it is firing on all cylinders. AMD’s Q2’21 revenues were $3,850M, $150M above the high-end of guidance and up 12% Q/Q, with revenue momentum continuing in both Graphics/Computing and Enterprise markets. Graphics/Computing revenues increased 7% Q/Q to $2,250M because of higher client and graphic processor sales as well as strengthening ASPs. Enterprise, which has become the driver of AMD’s sales growth in recent quarters, saw Q2'21 revenues of $1.6B, up 19% Q/Q. Enterprise revenues continued to accelerate in Q2'21, after AMD recorded 5% Q/Q revenue growth in Q1'21.</p><p><blockquote>从 AMD 的实际业绩来看，这家半导体公司再次证明了它正在全力以赴。AMD 21 年第二季度收入为 38.5 亿美元，比高端指引高出 1.5 亿美元，环比增长 12%，图形/计算和企业市场的收入势头仍在继续。由于客户端和图形处理器销售额的增长以及平均售价的增强，图形/计算收入环比增长 7%，达到 22.5 亿美元。Enterprise 已成为 AMD 近几个季度销售增长的驱动力，21 年第二季度的收入为 16 亿美元，环比增长 19%。继 AMD 在 21 年第一季度实现 5% 的环比收入增长后，21 年第二季度企业收入继续加速增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ec3e9d1f0b7d59915f9db8790725803\" tg-width=\"1039\" tg-height=\"587\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source:AMD)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：AMD）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The most interesting revelation of AMD’s Q2’21 earnings, however, was the trend in gross margins. AMD's gross margin jumped 4 PP to 48%, 1 PP above guidance because of a better mix of higher-priced Ryzen processors (both mobile and desktop) and Radeon graphic cards. The uptick in gross margins in Q2’21 marked the third straight quarter of margin expansion for AMD and I don’t believe AMD has seen the end of this trend yet.</p><p><blockquote>不过，AMD 21 年第二季度财报中最有趣的发现是毛利率的趋势。AMD 的毛利率跃升 4 个百分点，达到 48%，比指导高出 1 个百分点，原因是价格较高的 Ryzen 处理器（移动和台式机）和 Radeon 显卡的更好组合。21 年第二季度毛利率的上升标志着 AMD 连续第三个季度利润率扩张，我认为 AMD 还没有看到这一趋势的终结。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dca6426ffa1332827a6774554d499c36\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"566\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source:AMD)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：AMD）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>转向现金流。</blockquote></p><p> AMD reported cash flow from operating activities of $952M and free cash flow of $888M, $7M short of my expectation, but still almost six times more than a year ago. As AMD continues to see strong revenue growth tailwinds in both Computing/Graphics and Enterprise end markets, I believe AMD could grow its free cash flow margin to 30% by the end of next year. AMD raised its revenue guidance for FY 2021 (discussed later) by $1.0B which means I am also refreshing my free cash flow expectations for this year and next year.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 报告的经营活动现金流为 9.52 亿美元，自由现金流为 8.88 亿美元，比我的预期少了 700 万美元，但仍几乎是一年前的六倍。随着 AMD 在计算/图形和企业终端市场继续看到强劲的收入增长，我相信到明年年底，AMD 的自由现金流利润率可能会增长到 30%。AMD 将 2021 财年的收入指引（稍后讨论）上调了 $1.0B，这意味着我也在更新今年和明年的自由现金流预期。</blockquote></p><p> AMD expects to have revenues of $15.6B this year. Assuming a stable free cash flow margin of 23-24%, AMD is looking at free cash flow of $3.6B to $3.7B. Revenue estimates for next year are not refreshed yet, but AMD should have revenues of at least $20B in FY 2022 (assuming 25% Y/Y growth), implying free cash flow of $4.6B to $4.8B next year… and these estimates do not account for the possibility that AMD’s 3rd-gen EPYC Milan-powered server processors and higher-priced GPUs improve AMD’s free cash flow margin. A 30% free cash flow margin next year implies a free cash flow of $6.0B.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 预计今年的收入为 15.6B 美元。假设自由现金流利润率稳定在 23-24%，AMD 预计自由现金流为 $3.6B 至 $3.7B。明年的收入预测尚未更新，但 AMD 在 2022 财年的收入至少应为 200 亿美元（假设同比增长 25%），这意味着明年的自由现金流将达到 46 亿至 48 亿美元.这些预测并没有考虑到 AMD 第三代 EPYC Milan 服务器处理器和价格更高的 GPU 可能会提高 AMD 的自由现金流利润率。明年 30% 的自由现金流利润率意味着自由现金流为 $6.0B。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ea23b7429f2edd8ce6dda945a88daa7\" tg-width=\"819\" tg-height=\"593\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> AMD is guiding for $4.1B in revenues +/- $100 million and the firm refreshed its FY 2021 revenue and gross margin guidance (as predicted). AMD now expects 60% revenue growth for FY 2021 (before 50%) and a gross margin of 48% (before 47%). Assuming 60% revenue growth, AMD is now looking at full year revenues of $15.6B (before $14.6B), so AMD's new guidance calls for $1.0B in additional revenues that were so far not priced into AMD’s market value.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>AMD 的收入指引为 4.1B 美元 +/- 1 亿美元，该公司更新了 2021 财年收入和毛利率指引（如预期）。AMD 目前预计 2021 财年收入增长 60%（之前为 50%），毛利率为 48%（之前为 47%）。假设收入增长 60%，AMD 目前的全年收入为 156 亿美元（之前为 146 亿美元），因此 AMD 的新指导评级为 10 亿美元的额外收入，而到目前为止，这些收入还没有计入 AMD 的市值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e5c3c579e4a6472ae2c495a325b9a2b\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"572\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source:AMD)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：AMD）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD’s higher gross margins and sales guidance create a potent force for the firm’s stock to revalue higher. Because of the recent dip in AMD’s shares and the addition of $1.0B in revenues, AMD’s dollar sales growth has become even cheaper after earnings. AMD’s dollar sales growth is valued lower than Nvidia’s and AMD is growing potentially at a faster rate: AMD's revenue guidance calls for 60% Y/Y growth and estimates for Nvidia imply \"only\" 49% Y/Y revenue growth for FY 2021. AMD has a market-capitalization-to-earnings ratio of 42.5 which is low for a firm that grows revenues 60% and that has a gross margin closing in on 50%.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 较高的毛利率和销售指引为该公司股票的估值创造了强大的动力。由于 AMD 股价最近下跌，以及 10 亿美元收入的增加，AMD 的美元销售额增长在财报公布后变得更加便宜。AMD 的美元销售额增长率低于 Nvidia，而且 AMD 的增长速度可能会更快： AMD 的收入指导评级为同比增长 60%，而对 Nvidia 的预测则意味着 2021 财年的收入 “仅 ”同比增长 49%。AMD 的市值与收益比为 42.5，对于一家收入增长 60%、毛利率接近 50% 的公司来说，这个比率很低。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/653c9dd9d37a4abd742703bd87dd3534\" tg-width=\"908\" tg-height=\"312\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Nvidia’s P-E ratio based on an FY 2022 EPS of $17.29 is 44.5. If AMD earnings growth (FY 2022 EPS of $2.71) was valued the same as Nvidia’s, AMD’s fair price would be $120 ($2.71 x 44.5 earnings multiplier factor), indicating 17% upside.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>根据 2022 财年每股收益 17.29 美元计算，英伟达的市盈率为 44.5。如果 AMD 的盈利增长（2022 财年每股收益为 2.71 美元）与 Nvidia 的估值相同，AMD 的公允价格将为 120 美元（2.71 美元 x 44.5 盈利乘数系数），表明上涨空间为 17%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Challenges to my price target</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我的价格目标面临的挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> The biggest opportunities and the biggest risks for AMD are tied to gross margins. AMD is having a year of strong revenue acceleration and margin growth, which is the chief reason why I believe AMD can revalue higher. But gross margins can't grow 3-4 PP every quarter. If AMD's gross margin expansion slows, or worse, gross margins drop back to 40%, decreasing stock returns for AMD are likely. A reversal in the gross margin trend would change my opinion on AMD and put my $120 stock price target in jeopardy.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 最大的机遇和最大的风险都与毛利率有关。AMD 今年的收入加速和利润率增长强劲，这也是我相信 AMD 可以进行更高估值的主要原因。但毛利率不可能每个季度增长 3-4 个百分点。如果 AMD 的毛利率扩张放缓，或者更糟的是，毛利率回落至 40%，AMD 的股票回报率可能会下降。毛利率趋势的逆转将改变我对 AMD 的看法，并使我 120 美元的股价目标处于危险之中。</blockquote></p><p> Softening ASPs for CPUs and graphic chips are likely going to be the canary in the coal mine and could indicate weakening end markets for AMD ahead of time. Softer end markets imply AMD's revenue growth will slow which could result in a lower earnings multiplier factor by which AMD's profits are valued. I don't believe AMD is overvalued based on earnings, but the market may disagree with my assessment at any time.</p><p><blockquote>CPU 和图形芯片的平均售价疲软可能会成为煤矿中的金丝雀，并可能预示着 AMD 的终端市场疲软。终端市场疲软意味着 AMD 的收入增长将放缓，这可能导致 AMD 利润估值的盈利乘数系数降低。我不认为AMD基于盈利被高估，但市场可能随时不同意我的评估。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD reported impressive revenue growth and gross margins for Q2. AMD's raised guidance and Q/Q revenue acceleration indicate that end markets for CPUs and GPUs are a lot stronger than expected. This could lead to another year of revenue acceleration and a continual expansion of AMD’s gross margin to 50%, supported by rising ASPs. AMD's risk profile is still heavily skewed to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 报告第二季度收入增长和毛利率令人印象深刻。AMD 上调的指引和环比收入加速表明 CPU 和 GPU 的终端市场比预期强劲得多。这可能会导致 AMD 的收入再次加速增长，并在平均售价上升的支撑下，继续扩大到 50%。AMD 的风险状况仍然严重偏向上行。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD: Still Growing, Still Undervalued<blockquote>AMD：仍在增长，仍被低估</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD: Still Growing, Still Undervalued<blockquote>AMD：仍在增长，仍被低估</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-30 17:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>AMD's margin gains are driven by growing strength in end markets.</li>  <li>AMD raised its revenue guidance by $1.0B for FY 2021 and gross margins are edging closer to 50%.</li>  <li>The semiconductor firm could be a $6.0B free cash flow business next year, even if growth slows down.</li>  <li>AMD's dollar sales growth is cheaper than Nvidia's and AMD might even grow faster.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e6e179318de667e33987f1b4a2afb27\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Jay_Zynism/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>AMD 的利润率增长是由终端市场不断增长的实力推动的。</li><li>AMD 将 2021 财年的收入指引上调了 $1.0B，毛利率接近 50%。</li><li>即使增长放缓，这家半导体公司明年也可能成为价值 60 亿美元的自由现金流业务。</li><li>AMD 的美元销售额增长比 Nvidia 便宜，而且 AMD 甚至可能增长得更快。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Jay_Zynism/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD (AMD) made a splash yesterday after the semiconductor company reported growth and margins that were even better than what was expected. AMD’s revenue acceleration and strong gross margin expansion make a strong case for upside in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>AMD (AMD) 昨天引起了轰动，这家半导体公司公布的增长和利润率甚至好于预期。AMD 的收入加速增长和毛利率的强劲扩张为该股上涨提供了有力的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why AMD is worth $120</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么 AMD 值 120 美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Before I dive into AMD’s latestresults, let’s quickly recap what the firm’s guidance was for the last quarter. For Q2’21, AMD expected a minimum of $3.5B in revenues with “high case” guidance implying 7% revenue growth Q/Q and a gross margin of 47%.</p><p><blockquote>在深入探讨 AMD 的最新业绩之前，让我们快速回顾一下该公司上一季度的业绩指引。AMD 预计 21 年第二季度的收入至少为 35 亿美元，“高情况 ”指导意味着收入环比增长 7%，毛利率为 47%。</blockquote></p><p> I expected AMD’s revenues to hit the high end of guidance ($3.7B), to have a minimum free cash flow of $895M (8% Q/Q growth) and a free cash flow margin of 24%. Given the acceleration of sales in higher-priced Ryzen desktop and notebook processors and GPUs as well as higher average selling prices/ASPs driven by broad-based strength in end markets, I expected AMD to beat its own margin guidance and report a gross margin of 48% for Q2’21. I also predicted a refreshment of AMD’s gross margin guidance due to strength in CPU and GPU ASPs. I laid out my forecast for AMD’s Q2’21 earnings in detail inAMD: On The Road To $5 Billion In Annual Free Cash Flow.</p><p><blockquote>我预计 AMD 的收入将达到指导的上限（37 亿美元），最低自由现金流为 8.95 亿美元（环比增长 8%），自由现金流利润率为 24%。鉴于高价 Ryzen 台式机和笔记本电脑处理器和 GPU 的销售加速，以及终端市场广泛实力推动的平均售价/平均售价上涨，我预计 AMD 将超出自己的利润率指导，在 21 年第二季度的毛利率为 48%。我还预测，由于 CPU 和 GPU 平均售价的强劲，AMD 的毛利率指引将会更新。我在《AMD: 年自由现金流迈向 50 亿美元》一书中详细阐述了我对 AMD 21 年第二季度收益的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Turning to AMD’s actual results, the semiconductor firm proved once more that it is firing on all cylinders. AMD’s Q2’21 revenues were $3,850M, $150M above the high-end of guidance and up 12% Q/Q, with revenue momentum continuing in both Graphics/Computing and Enterprise markets. Graphics/Computing revenues increased 7% Q/Q to $2,250M because of higher client and graphic processor sales as well as strengthening ASPs. Enterprise, which has become the driver of AMD’s sales growth in recent quarters, saw Q2'21 revenues of $1.6B, up 19% Q/Q. Enterprise revenues continued to accelerate in Q2'21, after AMD recorded 5% Q/Q revenue growth in Q1'21.</p><p><blockquote>从 AMD 的实际业绩来看，这家半导体公司再次证明了它正在全力以赴。AMD 21 年第二季度收入为 38.5 亿美元，比高端指引高出 1.5 亿美元，环比增长 12%，图形/计算和企业市场的收入势头仍在继续。由于客户端和图形处理器销售额的增长以及平均售价的增强，图形/计算收入环比增长 7%，达到 22.5 亿美元。Enterprise 已成为 AMD 近几个季度销售增长的驱动力，21 年第二季度的收入为 16 亿美元，环比增长 19%。继 AMD 在 21 年第一季度实现 5% 的环比收入增长后，21 年第二季度企业收入继续加速增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ec3e9d1f0b7d59915f9db8790725803\" tg-width=\"1039\" tg-height=\"587\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source:AMD)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：AMD）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The most interesting revelation of AMD’s Q2’21 earnings, however, was the trend in gross margins. AMD's gross margin jumped 4 PP to 48%, 1 PP above guidance because of a better mix of higher-priced Ryzen processors (both mobile and desktop) and Radeon graphic cards. The uptick in gross margins in Q2’21 marked the third straight quarter of margin expansion for AMD and I don’t believe AMD has seen the end of this trend yet.</p><p><blockquote>不过，AMD 21 年第二季度财报中最有趣的发现是毛利率的趋势。AMD 的毛利率跃升 4 个百分点，达到 48%，比指导高出 1 个百分点，原因是价格较高的 Ryzen 处理器（移动和台式机）和 Radeon 显卡的更好组合。21 年第二季度毛利率的上升标志着 AMD 连续第三个季度利润率扩张，我认为 AMD 还没有看到这一趋势的终结。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dca6426ffa1332827a6774554d499c36\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"566\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source:AMD)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：AMD）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>转向现金流。</blockquote></p><p> AMD reported cash flow from operating activities of $952M and free cash flow of $888M, $7M short of my expectation, but still almost six times more than a year ago. As AMD continues to see strong revenue growth tailwinds in both Computing/Graphics and Enterprise end markets, I believe AMD could grow its free cash flow margin to 30% by the end of next year. AMD raised its revenue guidance for FY 2021 (discussed later) by $1.0B which means I am also refreshing my free cash flow expectations for this year and next year.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 报告的经营活动现金流为 9.52 亿美元，自由现金流为 8.88 亿美元，比我的预期少了 700 万美元，但仍几乎是一年前的六倍。随着 AMD 在计算/图形和企业终端市场继续看到强劲的收入增长，我相信到明年年底，AMD 的自由现金流利润率可能会增长到 30%。AMD 将 2021 财年的收入指引（稍后讨论）上调了 $1.0B，这意味着我也在更新今年和明年的自由现金流预期。</blockquote></p><p> AMD expects to have revenues of $15.6B this year. Assuming a stable free cash flow margin of 23-24%, AMD is looking at free cash flow of $3.6B to $3.7B. Revenue estimates for next year are not refreshed yet, but AMD should have revenues of at least $20B in FY 2022 (assuming 25% Y/Y growth), implying free cash flow of $4.6B to $4.8B next year… and these estimates do not account for the possibility that AMD’s 3rd-gen EPYC Milan-powered server processors and higher-priced GPUs improve AMD’s free cash flow margin. A 30% free cash flow margin next year implies a free cash flow of $6.0B.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 预计今年的收入为 15.6B 美元。假设自由现金流利润率稳定在 23-24%，AMD 预计自由现金流为 $3.6B 至 $3.7B。明年的收入预测尚未更新，但 AMD 在 2022 财年的收入至少应为 200 亿美元（假设同比增长 25%），这意味着明年的自由现金流将达到 46 亿至 48 亿美元.这些预测并没有考虑到 AMD 第三代 EPYC Milan 服务器处理器和价格更高的 GPU 可能会提高 AMD 的自由现金流利润率。明年 30% 的自由现金流利润率意味着自由现金流为 $6.0B。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ea23b7429f2edd8ce6dda945a88daa7\" tg-width=\"819\" tg-height=\"593\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> AMD is guiding for $4.1B in revenues +/- $100 million and the firm refreshed its FY 2021 revenue and gross margin guidance (as predicted). AMD now expects 60% revenue growth for FY 2021 (before 50%) and a gross margin of 48% (before 47%). Assuming 60% revenue growth, AMD is now looking at full year revenues of $15.6B (before $14.6B), so AMD's new guidance calls for $1.0B in additional revenues that were so far not priced into AMD’s market value.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>AMD 的收入指引为 4.1B 美元 +/- 1 亿美元，该公司更新了 2021 财年收入和毛利率指引（如预期）。AMD 目前预计 2021 财年收入增长 60%（之前为 50%），毛利率为 48%（之前为 47%）。假设收入增长 60%，AMD 目前的全年收入为 156 亿美元（之前为 146 亿美元），因此 AMD 的新指导评级为 10 亿美元的额外收入，而到目前为止，这些收入还没有计入 AMD 的市值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e5c3c579e4a6472ae2c495a325b9a2b\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"572\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source:AMD)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：AMD）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD’s higher gross margins and sales guidance create a potent force for the firm’s stock to revalue higher. Because of the recent dip in AMD’s shares and the addition of $1.0B in revenues, AMD’s dollar sales growth has become even cheaper after earnings. AMD’s dollar sales growth is valued lower than Nvidia’s and AMD is growing potentially at a faster rate: AMD's revenue guidance calls for 60% Y/Y growth and estimates for Nvidia imply \"only\" 49% Y/Y revenue growth for FY 2021. AMD has a market-capitalization-to-earnings ratio of 42.5 which is low for a firm that grows revenues 60% and that has a gross margin closing in on 50%.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 较高的毛利率和销售指引为该公司股票的估值创造了强大的动力。由于 AMD 股价最近下跌，以及 10 亿美元收入的增加，AMD 的美元销售额增长在财报公布后变得更加便宜。AMD 的美元销售额增长率低于 Nvidia，而且 AMD 的增长速度可能会更快： AMD 的收入指导评级为同比增长 60%，而对 Nvidia 的预测则意味着 2021 财年的收入 “仅 ”同比增长 49%。AMD 的市值与收益比为 42.5，对于一家收入增长 60%、毛利率接近 50% 的公司来说，这个比率很低。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/653c9dd9d37a4abd742703bd87dd3534\" tg-width=\"908\" tg-height=\"312\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr></tr>  </tbody> </table> Nvidia’s P-E ratio based on an FY 2022 EPS of $17.29 is 44.5. If AMD earnings growth (FY 2022 EPS of $2.71) was valued the same as Nvidia’s, AMD’s fair price would be $120 ($2.71 x 44.5 earnings multiplier factor), indicating 17% upside.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr></tr></tbody></table>根据 2022 财年每股收益 17.29 美元计算，英伟达的市盈率为 44.5。如果 AMD 的盈利增长（2022 财年每股收益为 2.71 美元）与 Nvidia 的估值相同，AMD 的公允价格将为 120 美元（2.71 美元 x 44.5 盈利乘数系数），表明上涨空间为 17%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Challenges to my price target</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我的价格目标面临的挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> The biggest opportunities and the biggest risks for AMD are tied to gross margins. AMD is having a year of strong revenue acceleration and margin growth, which is the chief reason why I believe AMD can revalue higher. But gross margins can't grow 3-4 PP every quarter. If AMD's gross margin expansion slows, or worse, gross margins drop back to 40%, decreasing stock returns for AMD are likely. A reversal in the gross margin trend would change my opinion on AMD and put my $120 stock price target in jeopardy.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 最大的机遇和最大的风险都与毛利率有关。AMD 今年的收入加速和利润率增长强劲，这也是我相信 AMD 可以进行更高估值的主要原因。但毛利率不可能每个季度增长 3-4 个百分点。如果 AMD 的毛利率扩张放缓，或者更糟的是，毛利率回落至 40%，AMD 的股票回报率可能会下降。毛利率趋势的逆转将改变我对 AMD 的看法，并使我 120 美元的股价目标处于危险之中。</blockquote></p><p> Softening ASPs for CPUs and graphic chips are likely going to be the canary in the coal mine and could indicate weakening end markets for AMD ahead of time. Softer end markets imply AMD's revenue growth will slow which could result in a lower earnings multiplier factor by which AMD's profits are valued. I don't believe AMD is overvalued based on earnings, but the market may disagree with my assessment at any time.</p><p><blockquote>CPU 和图形芯片的平均售价疲软可能会成为煤矿中的金丝雀，并可能预示着 AMD 的终端市场疲软。终端市场疲软意味着 AMD 的收入增长将放缓，这可能导致 AMD 利润估值的盈利乘数系数降低。我不认为AMD基于盈利被高估，但市场可能随时不同意我的评估。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> AMD reported impressive revenue growth and gross margins for Q2. AMD's raised guidance and Q/Q revenue acceleration indicate that end markets for CPUs and GPUs are a lot stronger than expected. This could lead to another year of revenue acceleration and a continual expansion of AMD’s gross margin to 50%, supported by rising ASPs. AMD's risk profile is still heavily skewed to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 报告第二季度收入增长和毛利率令人印象深刻。AMD 上调的指引和环比收入加速表明 CPU 和 GPU 的终端市场比预期强劲得多。这可能会导致 AMD 的收入再次加速增长，并在平均售价上升的支撑下，继续扩大到 50%。AMD 的风险状况仍然严重偏向上行。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4442955-amd-still-growing-still-undervalued\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4442955-amd-still-growing-still-undervalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135561812","content_text":"Summary\n\nAMD's margin gains are driven by growing strength in end markets.\nAMD raised its revenue guidance by $1.0B for FY 2021 and gross margins are edging closer to 50%.\nThe semiconductor firm could be a $6.0B free cash flow business next year, even if growth slows down.\nAMD's dollar sales growth is cheaper than Nvidia's and AMD might even grow faster.\n\nJay_Zynism/iStock via Getty Images\nAMD (AMD) made a splash yesterday after the semiconductor company reported growth and margins that were even better than what was expected. AMD’s revenue acceleration and strong gross margin expansion make a strong case for upside in the stock.\nWhy AMD is worth $120\nBefore I dive into AMD’s latestresults, let’s quickly recap what the firm’s guidance was for the last quarter. For Q2’21, AMD expected a minimum of $3.5B in revenues with “high case” guidance implying 7% revenue growth Q/Q and a gross margin of 47%.\nI expected AMD’s revenues to hit the high end of guidance ($3.7B), to have a minimum free cash flow of $895M (8% Q/Q growth) and a free cash flow margin of 24%. Given the acceleration of sales in higher-priced Ryzen desktop and notebook processors and GPUs as well as higher average selling prices/ASPs driven by broad-based strength in end markets, I expected AMD to beat its own margin guidance and report a gross margin of 48% for Q2’21. I also predicted a refreshment of AMD’s gross margin guidance due to strength in CPU and GPU ASPs. I laid out my forecast for AMD’s Q2’21 earnings in detail inAMD: On The Road To $5 Billion In Annual Free Cash Flow.\nTurning to AMD’s actual results, the semiconductor firm proved once more that it is firing on all cylinders. AMD’s Q2’21 revenues were $3,850M, $150M above the high-end of guidance and up 12% Q/Q, with revenue momentum continuing in both Graphics/Computing and Enterprise markets. Graphics/Computing revenues increased 7% Q/Q to $2,250M because of higher client and graphic processor sales as well as strengthening ASPs. Enterprise, which has become the driver of AMD’s sales growth in recent quarters, saw Q2'21 revenues of $1.6B, up 19% Q/Q. Enterprise revenues continued to accelerate in Q2'21, after AMD recorded 5% Q/Q revenue growth in Q1'21.\n(Source:AMD)\nThe most interesting revelation of AMD’s Q2’21 earnings, however, was the trend in gross margins. AMD's gross margin jumped 4 PP to 48%, 1 PP above guidance because of a better mix of higher-priced Ryzen processors (both mobile and desktop) and Radeon graphic cards. The uptick in gross margins in Q2’21 marked the third straight quarter of margin expansion for AMD and I don’t believe AMD has seen the end of this trend yet.\n(Source:AMD)\nTurning to cash flow.\nAMD reported cash flow from operating activities of $952M and free cash flow of $888M, $7M short of my expectation, but still almost six times more than a year ago. As AMD continues to see strong revenue growth tailwinds in both Computing/Graphics and Enterprise end markets, I believe AMD could grow its free cash flow margin to 30% by the end of next year. AMD raised its revenue guidance for FY 2021 (discussed later) by $1.0B which means I am also refreshing my free cash flow expectations for this year and next year.\nAMD expects to have revenues of $15.6B this year. Assuming a stable free cash flow margin of 23-24%, AMD is looking at free cash flow of $3.6B to $3.7B. Revenue estimates for next year are not refreshed yet, but AMD should have revenues of at least $20B in FY 2022 (assuming 25% Y/Y growth), implying free cash flow of $4.6B to $4.8B next year… and these estimates do not account for the possibility that AMD’s 3rd-gen EPYC Milan-powered server processors and higher-priced GPUs improve AMD’s free cash flow margin. A 30% free cash flow margin next year implies a free cash flow of $6.0B.\n(Source: Author)\n\n\n\n\n\nAMD is guiding for $4.1B in revenues +/- $100 million and the firm refreshed its FY 2021 revenue and gross margin guidance (as predicted). AMD now expects 60% revenue growth for FY 2021 (before 50%) and a gross margin of 48% (before 47%). Assuming 60% revenue growth, AMD is now looking at full year revenues of $15.6B (before $14.6B), so AMD's new guidance calls for $1.0B in additional revenues that were so far not priced into AMD’s market value.\n(Source:AMD)\nAMD’s higher gross margins and sales guidance create a potent force for the firm’s stock to revalue higher. Because of the recent dip in AMD’s shares and the addition of $1.0B in revenues, AMD’s dollar sales growth has become even cheaper after earnings. AMD’s dollar sales growth is valued lower than Nvidia’s and AMD is growing potentially at a faster rate: AMD's revenue guidance calls for 60% Y/Y growth and estimates for Nvidia imply \"only\" 49% Y/Y revenue growth for FY 2021. AMD has a market-capitalization-to-earnings ratio of 42.5 which is low for a firm that grows revenues 60% and that has a gross margin closing in on 50%.\n(Source: Author)\n\n\n\n\n\nNvidia’s P-E ratio based on an FY 2022 EPS of $17.29 is 44.5. If AMD earnings growth (FY 2022 EPS of $2.71) was valued the same as Nvidia’s, AMD’s fair price would be $120 ($2.71 x 44.5 earnings multiplier factor), indicating 17% upside.\nChallenges to my price target\nThe biggest opportunities and the biggest risks for AMD are tied to gross margins. AMD is having a year of strong revenue acceleration and margin growth, which is the chief reason why I believe AMD can revalue higher. But gross margins can't grow 3-4 PP every quarter. If AMD's gross margin expansion slows, or worse, gross margins drop back to 40%, decreasing stock returns for AMD are likely. A reversal in the gross margin trend would change my opinion on AMD and put my $120 stock price target in jeopardy.\nSoftening ASPs for CPUs and graphic chips are likely going to be the canary in the coal mine and could indicate weakening end markets for AMD ahead of time. Softer end markets imply AMD's revenue growth will slow which could result in a lower earnings multiplier factor by which AMD's profits are valued. I don't believe AMD is overvalued based on earnings, but the market may disagree with my assessment at any time.\nFinal thoughts\nAMD reported impressive revenue growth and gross margins for Q2. AMD's raised guidance and Q/Q revenue acceleration indicate that end markets for CPUs and GPUs are a lot stronger than expected. This could lead to another year of revenue acceleration and a continual expansion of AMD’s gross margin to 50%, supported by rising ASPs. AMD's risk profile is still heavily skewed to the upside.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":780,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800500275,"gmtCreate":1627307226497,"gmtModify":1633766304287,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800500275","repostId":"2154570979","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2154570979","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1627299058,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2154570979?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 19:30","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Lockheed Martin Q1 EPS $6.56 Beats $6.30 Estimate, Sales $16.26B Miss $16.33B Estimate<blockquote>洛克希德·马丁公司第一季度每股收益 6.56 美元，超出预期 6.30 美元，销售额 16.26B 美元，低于预期 16.33B 美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2154570979","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) reported quarterly earnings of $6.56 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $6.30 by 4.13 percent. This is a 7.89 percent increase over earnings of $6.08 per share from the same","content":"<p><html><body>Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) reported quarterly earnings of $6.56 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $6.30 by 4.13 percent. This is a 7.89 percent increase over earnings of $6.08 per share from the same period last year.  The company reported quarterly sales of $16.26 billion which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $16.33 billion by 0.44 percent.  This is a 3.88 percent increase over sales of $15.65 billion the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>洛克希德·马丁公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：LMT）公布的季度收益为每股 6.56 美元，比分析师普遍预期的 6.30 美元高出 4.13%。这比去年同期每股收益 6.08 美元增长了 7.89%。该公司公布季度销售额为 162.6 亿美元，比分析师普遍预期的 163.3 亿美元低 0.44%。这比去年同期 156.5 亿美元的销售额增长了 3.88%。</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Lockheed Martin Q1 EPS $6.56 Beats $6.30 Estimate, Sales $16.26B Miss $16.33B Estimate<blockquote>洛克希德·马丁公司第一季度每股收益 6.56 美元，超出预期 6.30 美元，销售额 16.26B 美元，低于预期 16.33B 美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLockheed Martin Q1 EPS $6.56 Beats $6.30 Estimate, Sales $16.26B Miss $16.33B Estimate<blockquote>洛克希德·马丁公司第一季度每股收益 6.56 美元，超出预期 6.30 美元，销售额 16.26B 美元，低于预期 16.33B 美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-26 19:30</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) reported quarterly earnings of $6.56 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $6.30 by 4.13 percent. This is a 7.89 percent increase over earnings of $6.08 per share from the same period last year.  The company reported quarterly sales of $16.26 billion which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $16.33 billion by 0.44 percent.  This is a 3.88 percent increase over sales of $15.65 billion the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>洛克希德·马丁公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：LMT）公布的季度收益为每股 6.56 美元，比分析师普遍预期的 6.30 美元高出 4.13%。这比去年同期每股收益 6.08 美元增长了 7.89%。该公司公布季度销售额为 162.6 亿美元，比分析师普遍预期的 163.3 亿美元低 0.44%。这比去年同期 156.5 亿美元的销售额增长了 3.88%。</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LMT":"洛克希德马丁"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/07/22144945/lockheed-martin-q1-eps-6-56-beats-6-30-estimate-sales-16-26b-miss-16-33b-estimate","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2154570979","content_text":"Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) reported quarterly earnings of $6.56 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $6.30 by 4.13 percent. This is a 7.89 percent increase over earnings of $6.08 per share from the same period last year.  The company reported quarterly sales of $16.26 billion which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $16.33 billion by 0.44 percent.  This is a 3.88 percent increase over sales of $15.65 billion the same period last year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LMT":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177101887,"gmtCreate":1627184112449,"gmtModify":1633767357449,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hoprfully it dips","listText":"Hoprfully it dips","text":"Hoprfully it dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177101887","repostId":"2153938547","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153938547","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627085070,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2153938547?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时更多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153938547","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few mo","content":"<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果盈利预览：最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管们在周二下午讨论业绩时透露有关下一次 iPhone 发布的更多暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能会使苹果在六月季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这一流行病可能会给通常伴随苹果公司 6 月份季度电话会议的猜测游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常是第三财季收益中最重要的花絮，苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(苹果)$</a>定于周二下午发布报告，是该公司对 9 月份季度收入的展望和评论，这可以为该公司在下一次智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在财年的最后几天推出新产品线，而疲软的指引可能表明发布将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这次的问题是，苹果在疫情期间推迟了一年多才发布正式的展望，目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反，苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”，以提供一些迹象，表明其业绩如何与前几个季度相比，但众所周知，该公司对 iPhone 发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. 分析师 Brian White 写道：“我们预计 iPhone 13 的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的决定因素，因此我们预计该公司将提供更详细的方向性评论。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好，即将到来的发布引起了人们的极大兴趣。巴克莱银行分析师蒂姆·朗 (Tim Long) 写道：“iPhone 12 周期一直很强劲，但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战，2022 财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的 6 月份季度传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>由于消费者正在等待下一代 iPhone 的发布，但该公司仍有望在其智能手机业务方面实现大幅增长。该公司不仅受益于与疫情早期的轻松比较，而且还应该收获异常促销的无线行业的回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>FactSet 追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为 1.01 美元，高于去年同期的 65 美分。Estimize 从对冲基金、学者和其他人那里众包预测，平均预期每股收益为 1.16 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>FactSet 共识评级总收入为 732.6 亿美元，高于去年同期的 596.9 亿美元。在 Estimize 上，平均估计为 773.8 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面，FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元，iPad收入为71.7亿美元，Mac收入为78.6亿美元，服务收入为162.6亿美元，可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中有四份出现下跌，但随着道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 32%，该股在过去 12 个月中上涨了 60%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>在 FactSet 追踪的 44 位关注苹果股票的分析师中，33 位给予买入评级，9 位给予持有评级，2 位给予卖出评级，平均目标价为 157.88 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么要注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的 iPhone 业务有望创下至少三年来第二高的增长率，仅次于上一季度的增长率。FactSet 追踪的分析师预计 iPhone 收入将达到 342 亿美元，同比增长 29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大型 iPhone 促销活动，试图与竞争对手 AT&amp;T Inc. 的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon 首席财务官 Matthew Ellis 在公司财报看涨期权上表示：“整个季度的势头都在增强，我们选择促销活动的时机是为了充分利用经济复苏和客户活动的增加。”Verizon 约 20% 的消费者现在使用支持 5G 的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出，升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素，因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现，它们有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>他根据对去年补贴的分析写道：“如果基本型号是免费的，消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元来升级到高端型号。”</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师大卫·沃格特 (David Vogt) 也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观，他指出电信行业出现了积极的迹象，例如“积极的促销”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出，需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题，因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他领域，该公司的整体上涨空间被“限制”。苹果在其盈利看涨期权上解决了这些问题，预计 6 月份季度将产生 30 亿至 40 亿美元的负收入影响，预计主要影响 Mac 和 iPad 业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是，在回归家庭以外更正常的活动的情况下，这两个部分是如何更普遍地维持的。苹果的 Mac 和 iPad 是那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和上学的人的热门选择，但分析师将关注个人电脑繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA 分析师安吉洛·齐诺 (Angelo Zino) 写道：“虽然苹果将不得不在 [6 月季度] 以及此后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较，但我们看到这两个类别在短期内都会带来一些有利因素。”“随着全球经济全面重新开放，我们看到企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的彩色iMac系列和强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标，这两款产品都在春季推出，并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时更多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时更多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 08:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果盈利预览：最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管们在周二下午讨论业绩时透露有关下一次 iPhone 发布的更多暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能会使苹果在六月季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这一流行病可能会给通常伴随苹果公司 6 月份季度电话会议的猜测游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常是第三财季收益中最重要的花絮，苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(苹果)$</a>定于周二下午发布报告，是该公司对 9 月份季度收入的展望和评论，这可以为该公司在下一次智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在财年的最后几天推出新产品线，而疲软的指引可能表明发布将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这次的问题是，苹果在疫情期间推迟了一年多才发布正式的展望，目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反，苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”，以提供一些迹象，表明其业绩如何与前几个季度相比，但众所周知，该公司对 iPhone 发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. 分析师 Brian White 写道：“我们预计 iPhone 13 的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的决定因素，因此我们预计该公司将提供更详细的方向性评论。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好，即将到来的发布引起了人们的极大兴趣。巴克莱银行分析师蒂姆·朗 (Tim Long) 写道：“iPhone 12 周期一直很强劲，但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战，2022 财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的 6 月份季度传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>由于消费者正在等待下一代 iPhone 的发布，但该公司仍有望在其智能手机业务方面实现大幅增长。该公司不仅受益于与疫情早期的轻松比较，而且还应该收获异常促销的无线行业的回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>FactSet 追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为 1.01 美元，高于去年同期的 65 美分。Estimize 从对冲基金、学者和其他人那里众包预测，平均预期每股收益为 1.16 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>FactSet 共识评级总收入为 732.6 亿美元，高于去年同期的 596.9 亿美元。在 Estimize 上，平均估计为 773.8 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面，FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元，iPad收入为71.7亿美元，Mac收入为78.6亿美元，服务收入为162.6亿美元，可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中有四份出现下跌，但随着道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 32%，该股在过去 12 个月中上涨了 60%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>在 FactSet 追踪的 44 位关注苹果股票的分析师中，33 位给予买入评级，9 位给予持有评级，2 位给予卖出评级，平均目标价为 157.88 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么要注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的 iPhone 业务有望创下至少三年来第二高的增长率，仅次于上一季度的增长率。FactSet 追踪的分析师预计 iPhone 收入将达到 342 亿美元，同比增长 29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大型 iPhone 促销活动，试图与竞争对手 AT&amp;T Inc. 的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon 首席财务官 Matthew Ellis 在公司财报看涨期权上表示：“整个季度的势头都在增强，我们选择促销活动的时机是为了充分利用经济复苏和客户活动的增加。”Verizon 约 20% 的消费者现在使用支持 5G 的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出，升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素，因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现，它们有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>他根据对去年补贴的分析写道：“如果基本型号是免费的，消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元来升级到高端型号。”</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师大卫·沃格特 (David Vogt) 也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观，他指出电信行业出现了积极的迹象，例如“积极的促销”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出，需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题，因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他领域，该公司的整体上涨空间被“限制”。苹果在其盈利看涨期权上解决了这些问题，预计 6 月份季度将产生 30 亿至 40 亿美元的负收入影响，预计主要影响 Mac 和 iPad 业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是，在回归家庭以外更正常的活动的情况下，这两个部分是如何更普遍地维持的。苹果的 Mac 和 iPad 是那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和上学的人的热门选择，但分析师将关注个人电脑繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA 分析师安吉洛·齐诺 (Angelo Zino) 写道：“虽然苹果将不得不在 [6 月季度] 以及此后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较，但我们看到这两个类别在短期内都会带来一些有利因素。”“随着全球经济全面重新开放，我们看到企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的彩色iMac系列和强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标，这两款产品都在春季推出，并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153938547","content_text":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon\nHeavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.\nThe pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.\nTypically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple $(AAPL)$ is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.\nThe problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.\n\"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White.\nThe coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.\nThe June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower one, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.\nWhat to watch for\nEarnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.\nRevenue: The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.\nOn a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.\nStock movement: Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.\nOf the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.\nWhat else to watch for\nApple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.\nSome encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. $(VZ)$, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&T Inc. $(T)$\n\"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .\nRaymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.\n\"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.\nUBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.\nBut he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.\nAnother key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.\n\"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"\nThe coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177103524,"gmtCreate":1627184078668,"gmtModify":1633767358144,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nah","listText":"Nah","text":"Nah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177103524","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何，蔚来独特的卖点，以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一，通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品，吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而，这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点，该高点在 2021 年初触及，之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，这两者是相似的，但在其他方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y，而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是增压器网络，特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电，功率高达 250kW，具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程只需几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势，但应该注意的是，与蔚来的换电站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比，蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车，高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长，尽管略低于 100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这将是完全有意义的，但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此，特斯拉的增长预计将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元，年增长率为 54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家公司来说，保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元，比 2023 年预期再增长 80%，比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%，比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此，在 2021 年至 2025 年间，蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍，而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值（OTCPK：VWAGY）。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较，我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍，而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说，蔚来目前似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今，蔚来比特斯拉小得多，因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票价格被低估，这也是可能性之一，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时，确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车，到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%，那么到 2030 年（即 9 年后），它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长，每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过，例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言，看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶，因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌，处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这个水平，也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会更高，例如，如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元，就像特斯拉一样，但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况，到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反，投资者应该问问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险，值得一提的是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位，我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍，与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵，尽管当然，这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何，蔚来独特的卖点，以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一，通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品，吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而，这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点，该高点在 2021 年初触及，之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，这两者是相似的，但在其他方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y，而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是增压器网络，特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电，功率高达 250kW，具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程只需几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势，但应该注意的是，与蔚来的换电站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比，蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车，高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长，尽管略低于 100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这将是完全有意义的，但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此，特斯拉的增长预计将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元，年增长率为 54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家公司来说，保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元，比 2023 年预期再增长 80%，比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%，比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此，在 2021 年至 2025 年间，蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍，而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值（OTCPK：VWAGY）。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较，我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍，而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说，蔚来目前似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今，蔚来比特斯拉小得多，因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票价格被低估，这也是可能性之一，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时，确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车，到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%，那么到 2030 年（即 9 年后），它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长，每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过，例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言，看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶，因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌，处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这个水平，也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会更高，例如，如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元，就像特斯拉一样，但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况，到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反，投资者应该问问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险，值得一提的是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位，我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍，与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵，尽管当然，这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176770678,"gmtCreate":1626918190194,"gmtModify":1633769755051,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Scary&nbsp;","listText":"Scary&nbsp;","text":"Scary","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176770678","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171423217,"gmtCreate":1626757741639,"gmtModify":1633771295310,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561436465282078","authorIdStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171423217","repostId":"1116573791","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":888350599,"gmtCreate":1631442545511,"gmtModify":1631892025856,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561436465282078","idStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888350599","repostId":"2166726753","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2166726753","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631326722,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2166726753?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-11 10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla raises price for Performance Model Y in China to 387,900 yuan<blockquote>特斯拉将高性能Model Y在华售价提高到38.79万元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2166726753","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla Inc says raises price for Performance Model&nbsp;Y in China by 10,000 yuan to 387,900 yuan - Tesla Weibo.","content":"<p>Tesla Inc says raises price for Performance Model&nbsp;Y in China by 10,000 yuan to 387,900 yuan - Tesla Weibo.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示将高性能Model Y在华售价上调1万元，至38.79万元——特斯拉微博。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/491c8dbad3baf69e3c07a30dbacd6b95\" tg-width=\"745\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla raises price for Performance Model Y in China to 387,900 yuan<blockquote>特斯拉将高性能Model Y在华售价提高到38.79万元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla raises price for Performance Model Y in China to 387,900 yuan<blockquote>特斯拉将高性能Model Y在华售价提高到38.79万元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-11 10:18</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla Inc says raises price for Performance Model&nbsp;Y in China by 10,000 yuan to 387,900 yuan - Tesla Weibo.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示将高性能Model Y在华售价上调1万元，至38.79万元——特斯拉微博。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/491c8dbad3baf69e3c07a30dbacd6b95\" tg-width=\"745\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2166726753","content_text":"Tesla Inc says raises price for Performance Model Y in China by 10,000 yuan to 387,900 yuan - Tesla Weibo.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176770678,"gmtCreate":1626918190194,"gmtModify":1633769755051,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561436465282078","idStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Scary&nbsp;","listText":"Scary&nbsp;","text":"Scary","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176770678","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":864472509,"gmtCreate":1633143233255,"gmtModify":1633143233356,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561436465282078","idStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yea","listText":"Yea","text":"Yea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864472509","repostId":"1199143925","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199143925","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633078771,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1199143925?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 16:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199143925","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro ide","content":"<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p><p><blockquote>为了找出华尔街认为可能在第四季度推动市场走高的股票，CNBC Pro 确定了至少 70% 的分析师表示应该买入的股票。然后，我们从该池中找到了按共识 12 个月价格目标上涨空间排名的前 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p><p><blockquote>看看 CNBC Pro 的榜单。潜在上涨空间名单中名列前茅的是新闻集团，它是《华尔街日报》出版商道琼斯的母公司。分析师平均预计该股未来 12 个月将上涨 37.4%。该股今年的表现也优于大盘，上涨了 33%，而标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>阿拉斯加航空集团是屏幕上最受欢迎的股票。93% 的分析师对该航空公司股票给予买入评级。分析师认为阿拉斯加航空明年可能上涨 27.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p><p><blockquote>发电公司 Generac 登上了 CNBC Pro 的屏幕，并在榜单中拥有今年迄今为止的最佳表现。截至周三收盘，该股已上涨近 80%。华尔街认为 Generac 还有更大的运行空间，共识潜在上涨空间为 25.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>其他登上 CNBC Pro 屏幕的公司包括通用汽车、T-Mobile 和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-01 16:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p><p><blockquote>为了找出华尔街认为可能在第四季度推动市场走高的股票，CNBC Pro 确定了至少 70% 的分析师表示应该买入的股票。然后，我们从该池中找到了按共识 12 个月价格目标上涨空间排名的前 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p><p><blockquote>看看 CNBC Pro 的榜单。潜在上涨空间名单中名列前茅的是新闻集团，它是《华尔街日报》出版商道琼斯的母公司。分析师平均预计该股未来 12 个月将上涨 37.4%。该股今年的表现也优于大盘，上涨了 33%，而标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>阿拉斯加航空集团是屏幕上最受欢迎的股票。93% 的分析师对该航空公司股票给予买入评级。分析师认为阿拉斯加航空明年可能上涨 27.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p><p><blockquote>发电公司 Generac 登上了 CNBC Pro 的屏幕，并在榜单中拥有今年迄今为止的最佳表现。截至周三收盘，该股已上涨近 80%。华尔街认为 Generac 还有更大的运行空间，共识潜在上涨空间为 25.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>其他登上 CNBC Pro 屏幕的公司包括通用汽车、T-Mobile 和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NWSA":"新闻集团","GM":"通用汽车","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199143925","content_text":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.\nTake a look at CNBC Pro’s list.Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&P 500′s 16% gain.\nAlaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.\nPower generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.\nOther names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TMUS":0.9,"NWSA":0.9,"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2984,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":832808621,"gmtCreate":1629602677363,"gmtModify":1631892025930,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561436465282078","idStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yea","listText":"Yea","text":"Yea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832808621","repostId":"2161745814","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149728199,"gmtCreate":1625749860211,"gmtModify":1631888361184,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561436465282078","idStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Agree","listText":"Agree","text":"Agree","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149728199","repostId":"1140589344","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":864867358,"gmtCreate":1633090835046,"gmtModify":1633090835160,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561436465282078","idStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864867358","repostId":"1199143925","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1199143925","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633078771,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1199143925?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 16:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199143925","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro ide","content":"<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p><p><blockquote>为了找出华尔街认为可能在第四季度推动市场走高的股票，CNBC Pro 确定了至少 70% 的分析师表示应该买入的股票。然后，我们从该池中找到了按共识 12 个月价格目标上涨空间排名的前 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p><p><blockquote>看看 CNBC Pro 的榜单。潜在上涨空间名单中名列前茅的是新闻集团，它是《华尔街日报》出版商道琼斯的母公司。分析师平均预计该股未来 12 个月将上涨 37.4%。该股今年的表现也优于大盘，上涨了 33%，而标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>阿拉斯加航空集团是屏幕上最受欢迎的股票。93% 的分析师对该航空公司股票给予买入评级。分析师认为阿拉斯加航空明年可能上涨 27.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p><p><blockquote>发电公司 Generac 登上了 CNBC Pro 的屏幕，并在榜单中拥有今年迄今为止的最佳表现。截至周三收盘，该股已上涨近 80%。华尔街认为 Generac 还有更大的运行空间，共识潜在上涨空间为 25.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>其他登上 CNBC Pro 屏幕的公司包括通用汽车、T-Mobile 和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Top 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTop 10 stocks that Wall Street’s picks for Q4<blockquote>华尔街第四季度十大精选股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-01 16:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.</p><p><blockquote>为了找出华尔街认为可能在第四季度推动市场走高的股票，CNBC Pro 确定了至少 70% 的分析师表示应该买入的股票。然后，我们从该池中找到了按共识 12 个月价格目标上涨空间排名的前 10 只股票。</blockquote></p><p> Take a look at CNBC Pro’s list.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ae083b97e4feaf3496a1e1d77d78429\" tg-width=\"1360\" tg-height=\"1466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&amp;P 500′s 16% gain.</p><p><blockquote>看看 CNBC Pro 的榜单。潜在上涨空间名单中名列前茅的是新闻集团，它是《华尔街日报》出版商道琼斯的母公司。分析师平均预计该股未来 12 个月将上涨 37.4%。该股今年的表现也优于大盘，上涨了 33%，而标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> Alaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.</p><p><blockquote>阿拉斯加航空集团是屏幕上最受欢迎的股票。93% 的分析师对该航空公司股票给予买入评级。分析师认为阿拉斯加航空明年可能上涨 27.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Power generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.</p><p><blockquote>发电公司 Generac 登上了 CNBC Pro 的屏幕，并在榜单中拥有今年迄今为止的最佳表现。截至周三收盘，该股已上涨近 80%。华尔街认为 Generac 还有更大的运行空间，共识潜在上涨空间为 25.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Other names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>其他登上 CNBC Pro 屏幕的公司包括通用汽车、T-Mobile 和PayPal。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NWSA":"新闻集团","GM":"通用汽车","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199143925","content_text":"To find the names Wall Street thinks could take the market higher in th fourth quarter, CNBC Pro identified the stocks with at least 70% of analysts say to buy. We then found the top 10 stocks from that pool ranked by consensus 12-month price target upside.\nTake a look at CNBC Pro’s list.Topping the list for potential upside is News Corp, the parent company of The Wall Street Journal-publisher Dow Jones. Analysts on average see the stock rallying 37.4% in the next 12-months. The stock is also outperforming the market this year, rising 33% compared with the S&P 500′s 16% gain.\nAlaska Air Group is the most liked stock on the Street from the screen. The airline stock has a buy rating from 93% of analysts covering the name. Analysts think Alaska Air can rise 27.7% in the next year.\nPower generator company Generac makes CNBC Pro’s screen and has the best year-to-date performance out of the list. The stock has gained nearly 80% as of Wednesday’s close. Wall Street thinks Generac has more room to run with consensus potential upside of 25.4%.\nOther names to make CNBC Pro’s screen include General Motors, T-Mobile and PayPal.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TMUS":0.9,"NWSA":0.9,"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837370813,"gmtCreate":1629859947132,"gmtModify":1631892025881,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561436465282078","idStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837370813","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177103524,"gmtCreate":1627184078668,"gmtModify":1633767358144,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561436465282078","idStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nah","listText":"Nah","text":"Nah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177103524","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何，蔚来独特的卖点，以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一，通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品，吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而，这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点，该高点在 2021 年初触及，之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，这两者是相似的，但在其他方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y，而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是增压器网络，特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电，功率高达 250kW，具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程只需几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势，但应该注意的是，与蔚来的换电站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比，蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车，高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长，尽管略低于 100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这将是完全有意义的，但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此，特斯拉的增长预计将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元，年增长率为 54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家公司来说，保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元，比 2023 年预期再增长 80%，比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%，比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此，在 2021 年至 2025 年间，蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍，而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值（OTCPK：VWAGY）。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较，我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍，而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说，蔚来目前似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今，蔚来比特斯拉小得多，因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票价格被低估，这也是可能性之一，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时，确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车，到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%，那么到 2030 年（即 9 年后），它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长，每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过，例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言，看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶，因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌，处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这个水平，也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会更高，例如，如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元，就像特斯拉一样，但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况，到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反，投资者应该问问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险，值得一提的是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位，我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍，与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵，尽管当然，这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何，蔚来独特的卖点，以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一，通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品，吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而，这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点，该高点在 2021 年初触及，之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，这两者是相似的，但在其他方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y，而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是增压器网络，特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电，功率高达 250kW，具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程只需几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势，但应该注意的是，与蔚来的换电站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比，蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车，高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长，尽管略低于 100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这将是完全有意义的，但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此，特斯拉的增长预计将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元，年增长率为 54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家公司来说，保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元，比 2023 年预期再增长 80%，比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%，比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此，在 2021 年至 2025 年间，蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍，而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值（OTCPK：VWAGY）。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较，我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍，而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说，蔚来目前似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今，蔚来比特斯拉小得多，因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票价格被低估，这也是可能性之一，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时，确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车，到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%，那么到 2030 年（即 9 年后），它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长，每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过，例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言，看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶，因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌，处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这个水平，也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会更高，例如，如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元，就像特斯拉一样，但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况，到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反，投资者应该问问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险，值得一提的是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位，我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍，与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵，尽管当然，这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay，蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146120693,"gmtCreate":1626060211712,"gmtModify":1631884665235,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561436465282078","idStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"China rebound. US correction.&nbsp;","listText":"China rebound. US correction.&nbsp;","text":"China rebound. US correction.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146120693","repostId":"1172063633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":737,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148250431,"gmtCreate":1625981421823,"gmtModify":1633931121147,"author":{"id":"3561436465282078","authorId":"3561436465282078","name":"百忍Byron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f42d83174a08f936555b91b01acb3c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561436465282078","idStr":"3561436465282078"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Amazon!","listText":"Amazon!","text":"Amazon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148250431","repostId":"1177397700","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}