iamnickname的个人主页 - 老虎社区

iamnickname

iamnickname

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

4关注

1粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-06-17

I can’t wait for these people to eat their words and for people to wake up to how shitty and corrupted MSM really is once MOASS starts absolutely disgusting pigs

Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now

2021-06-02

what about the NFT prospects what about the e-sports branch? Motley fool man only fools would believe you

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-14

LOL this stock has nothing to do with fundamentals anymore it is all about the math DYDD guys don’t believe what you see on the news.

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3561453607729762","uuid":"3561453607729762","gmtCreate":1612083879186,"gmtModify":1618413912065,"name":"iamnickname","pinyin":"iamnickname","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8427d076988e90450fddb882a08fbbe5","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":1,"headSize":4,"tweetSize":3,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.93%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.07.30","exceedPercentage":"93.02%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.06.16","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":161725040,"gmtCreate":1623941299980,"gmtModify":1634025528276,"author":{"id":"3561453607729762","authorId":"3561453607729762","name":"iamnickname","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8427d076988e90450fddb882a08fbbe5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561453607729762","authorIdStr":"3561453607729762"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I can’t wait for these people to eat their words and for people to wake up to how shitty and corrupted MSM really is once MOASS starts absolutely disgusting pigs","listText":"I can’t wait for these people to eat their words and for people to wake up to how shitty and corrupted MSM really is once MOASS starts absolutely disgusting pigs","text":"I can’t wait for these people to eat their words and for people to wake up to how shitty and corrupted MSM really is once MOASS starts absolutely disgusting pigs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161725040","repostId":"1133173445","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1133173445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623899282,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133173445?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133173445","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of me","content":"<blockquote>\n Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Could insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.</p>\n<p>The substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.</p>\n<p>Critics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.</p>\n<p>That said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.</p>\n<p>But these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.</p>\n<p>Of course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.</p>\n<p>Such research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.</p>\n<p>Research on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 11:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1133173445","content_text":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.\nThe substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.\nCritics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.\nThat said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.\nBut these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.\nOf course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.\nSuch research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.\nResearch on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113725555,"gmtCreate":1622641662577,"gmtModify":1634099671762,"author":{"id":"3561453607729762","authorId":"3561453607729762","name":"iamnickname","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8427d076988e90450fddb882a08fbbe5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561453607729762","authorIdStr":"3561453607729762"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"what about the NFT prospects what about the e-sports branch? Motley fool man only fools would believe you","listText":"what about the NFT prospects what about the e-sports branch? Motley fool man only fools would believe you","text":"what about the NFT prospects what about the e-sports branch? Motley fool man only fools would believe you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113725555","repostId":"2140223411","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344506104,"gmtCreate":1618413092008,"gmtModify":1634293094429,"author":{"id":"3561453607729762","authorId":"3561453607729762","name":"iamnickname","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8427d076988e90450fddb882a08fbbe5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561453607729762","authorIdStr":"3561453607729762"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LOL this stock has nothing to do with fundamentals anymore it is all about the math DYDD guys don’t believe what you see on the news.&nbsp;","listText":"LOL this stock has nothing to do with fundamentals anymore it is all about the math DYDD guys don’t believe what you see on the news.&nbsp;","text":"LOL this stock has nothing to do with fundamentals anymore it is all about the math DYDD guys don’t believe what you see on the news.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344506104","repostId":"1190580837","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":161725040,"gmtCreate":1623941299980,"gmtModify":1634025528276,"author":{"id":"3561453607729762","authorId":"3561453607729762","name":"iamnickname","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8427d076988e90450fddb882a08fbbe5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561453607729762","authorIdStr":"3561453607729762"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I can’t wait for these people to eat their words and for people to wake up to how shitty and corrupted MSM really is once MOASS starts absolutely disgusting pigs","listText":"I can’t wait for these people to eat their words and for people to wake up to how shitty and corrupted MSM really is once MOASS starts absolutely disgusting pigs","text":"I can’t wait for these people to eat their words and for people to wake up to how shitty and corrupted MSM really is once MOASS starts absolutely disgusting pigs","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161725040","repostId":"1133173445","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1133173445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623899282,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133173445?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133173445","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of me","content":"<blockquote>\n Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Could insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.</p>\n<p>The substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.</p>\n<p>Critics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.</p>\n<p>That said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.</p>\n<p>But these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.</p>\n<p>Of course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.</p>\n<p>Such research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.</p>\n<p>Research on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.</p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 11:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1133173445","content_text":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.\nThe substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.\nCritics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.\nThat said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.\nBut these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.\nOf course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.\nSuch research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.\nResearch on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113725555,"gmtCreate":1622641662577,"gmtModify":1634099671762,"author":{"id":"3561453607729762","authorId":"3561453607729762","name":"iamnickname","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8427d076988e90450fddb882a08fbbe5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561453607729762","authorIdStr":"3561453607729762"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"what about the NFT prospects what about the e-sports branch? Motley fool man only fools would believe you","listText":"what about the NFT prospects what about the e-sports branch? Motley fool man only fools would believe you","text":"what about the NFT prospects what about the e-sports branch? Motley fool man only fools would believe you","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113725555","repostId":"2140223411","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344506104,"gmtCreate":1618413092008,"gmtModify":1634293094429,"author":{"id":"3561453607729762","authorId":"3561453607729762","name":"iamnickname","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8427d076988e90450fddb882a08fbbe5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561453607729762","authorIdStr":"3561453607729762"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LOL this stock has nothing to do with fundamentals anymore it is all about the math DYDD guys don’t believe what you see on the news.&nbsp;","listText":"LOL this stock has nothing to do with fundamentals anymore it is all about the math DYDD guys don’t believe what you see on the news.&nbsp;","text":"LOL this stock has nothing to do with fundamentals anymore it is all about the math DYDD guys don’t believe what you see on the news.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344506104","repostId":"1190580837","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1190580837","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618369183,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190580837?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-14 10:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop’s stock price is down 50% from the highs — and it’s still crazy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190580837","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Try justifying GameStop’s valuation\nAFP VIA GETTY IMAGES\nGameStop was not worth owning anywhere abov","content":"<p>Try justifying GameStop’s valuation</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1119aca9f23a3b0f456c433b85379801\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"895\"><span>AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES</span></p>\n<p>GameStop was not worth owning anywhere above $45 a share, given the company’s fundamentals, as explained when we closed our&nbsp;Focus List: Long positionin the stock&nbsp;in late January.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the stock&nbsp;went on to climb as high as $347, even higher intraday, before taking a roller coaster path back to around $185.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c80950e93ac1cd2d0dbc8566c969c599\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"582\"><span>SOURCES: NEW CONSTRUCTS LLC AND COMPANY FILINGS</span></p>\n<p>To give readers a sense of just how crazy overvalued the stock was at its peak, we do the math and show how the business would have to perform to justify a share price of $347.</p>\n<p>undefined&nbsp;<b>Crazy” at $347 explained: It implies more revenue than Macy’s</b></p>\n<p>To justify $347 a share, our reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model shows that GameStop must:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>improve its profit margin to 5.5% (10-year average from 2010-19 is 3.9% and the all-time high was 4.8% in 2008) and</li>\n</ul>\n<ul>\n <li>grow revenue by 17% compounded annually through 2030 (above the&nbsp;projected&nbsp;video&nbsp;game industry CAGR of 13% through 2027)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In this scenario, GameStop earns nearly $21 billion in revenue in 2030 or more than the trailing-12-months (TTM) revenue of Macy’s,AutoZone&nbsp;and Chewy.</p>\n<p><b>GameStop’s historical revenue vs. DCF implied revenue: Scenario 1</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e89fba2f9280e06a4e5c7885cb3b450d\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"609\"><span>SOURCES: NEW CONSTRUCTS LLC AND COMPANY FILINGS</span></p>\n<p>For reference, GameStop’s revenue fell by 3% compounded annually from 2009 to 2019.</p>\n<p><b>Still Crazy at $185</b></p>\n<p>For perspective on the current price, we run the same analysis to show what the company must do to justify $185 a share:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>immediately improve its profit margin to 4.8% (all-time high in 2008 compared with 0.7% in 2019) and</li>\n <li>grow revenue by 15% compounded annually through 2027 (above projected videogame industry CAGR of 13% through 2027)</li>\n</ul>\n<p>In this scenario, GameStop earns over $11 billion in revenue in 2027, which is 19% higher than GameStop’s record revenue of $9.6 billion in 2012 and the TTM revenue of Nordstrom,Advance Auto Parts&nbsp;and Chewy.</p>\n<p><b>GameStop’s historical revenue vs. DCF implied revenue: Scenario 2</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e19648dde2ad7aee4127bc22c9a9652e\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"609\"><span>SOURCES: NEW CONSTRUCTS LLC AND COMPANY FILINGS</span></p>\n<p><b>Sure, stock prices can be irrational</b></p>\n<p>We are not saying that fundamentals should be 100% of your investing process. We only aim to add insight into the fundamental risk of owning stocks at different prices.</p>\n<p>We’re not saying that you will not make lots of money trading stocks. You might. Our aim is to provide some fundamental perspective to inform and complement other investment strategies. &nbsp;In other words, if you have 10 great technical ideas, you might like to overweight those with the best fundamentals and underweight those with weaker fundamentals.</p>\n<p>With a better grasp on fundamentals, investors have a better sense of when to buy and sell – and – know how much risk they take when they own a stock at certain levels.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop’s stock price is down 50% from the highs — and it’s still crazy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop’s stock price is down 50% from the highs — and it’s still crazy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-14 10:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestops-stock-price-is-down-50-from-the-highs-and-its-still-crazy-11618353535?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Try justifying GameStop’s valuation\nAFP VIA GETTY IMAGES\nGameStop was not worth owning anywhere above $45 a share, given the company’s fundamentals, as explained when we closed our Focus List: Long ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestops-stock-price-is-down-50-from-the-highs-and-its-still-crazy-11618353535?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gamestops-stock-price-is-down-50-from-the-highs-and-its-still-crazy-11618353535?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190580837","content_text":"Try justifying GameStop’s valuation\nAFP VIA GETTY IMAGES\nGameStop was not worth owning anywhere above $45 a share, given the company’s fundamentals, as explained when we closed our Focus List: Long positionin the stock in late January.\nNevertheless, the stock went on to climb as high as $347, even higher intraday, before taking a roller coaster path back to around $185.\nSOURCES: NEW CONSTRUCTS LLC AND COMPANY FILINGS\nTo give readers a sense of just how crazy overvalued the stock was at its peak, we do the math and show how the business would have to perform to justify a share price of $347.\nundefined Crazy” at $347 explained: It implies more revenue than Macy’s\nTo justify $347 a share, our reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model shows that GameStop must:\n\nimprove its profit margin to 5.5% (10-year average from 2010-19 is 3.9% and the all-time high was 4.8% in 2008) and\n\n\ngrow revenue by 17% compounded annually through 2030 (above the projected video game industry CAGR of 13% through 2027)\n\nIn this scenario, GameStop earns nearly $21 billion in revenue in 2030 or more than the trailing-12-months (TTM) revenue of Macy’s,AutoZone and Chewy.\nGameStop’s historical revenue vs. DCF implied revenue: Scenario 1\nSOURCES: NEW CONSTRUCTS LLC AND COMPANY FILINGS\nFor reference, GameStop’s revenue fell by 3% compounded annually from 2009 to 2019.\nStill Crazy at $185\nFor perspective on the current price, we run the same analysis to show what the company must do to justify $185 a share:\n\nimmediately improve its profit margin to 4.8% (all-time high in 2008 compared with 0.7% in 2019) and\ngrow revenue by 15% compounded annually through 2027 (above projected videogame industry CAGR of 13% through 2027)\n\nIn this scenario, GameStop earns over $11 billion in revenue in 2027, which is 19% higher than GameStop’s record revenue of $9.6 billion in 2012 and the TTM revenue of Nordstrom,Advance Auto Parts and Chewy.\nGameStop’s historical revenue vs. DCF implied revenue: Scenario 2\nSOURCES: NEW CONSTRUCTS LLC AND COMPANY FILINGS\nSure, stock prices can be irrational\nWe are not saying that fundamentals should be 100% of your investing process. We only aim to add insight into the fundamental risk of owning stocks at different prices.\nWe’re not saying that you will not make lots of money trading stocks. You might. Our aim is to provide some fundamental perspective to inform and complement other investment strategies.  In other words, if you have 10 great technical ideas, you might like to overweight those with the best fundamentals and underweight those with weaker fundamentals.\nWith a better grasp on fundamentals, investors have a better sense of when to buy and sell – and – know how much risk they take when they own a stock at certain levels.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}