仓位一定要控制好的个人主页 - 老虎社区

仓位一定要控制好

仓位一定要控制好

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IP属地：浙江

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仓位一定要控制好

11-21 00:35

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 晚上如果大盘转跌那就有乐子看了[笑哭] [笑哭]

仓位一定要控制好

11-21 08:57

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 昨晚拼命逃串，记念一下

仓位一定要控制好

2021-09-27

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$难道开始回购了

仓位一定要控制好

2021-01-18

$腾讯控股(00700)$持有还是卖出？

仓位一定要控制好

2022-02-03

$特斯拉(TSLA)$APP不能设置预警了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]

仓位一定要控制好

2021-10-07

$老虎证券(TIGR)$希望晚上能够到11以上

仓位一定要控制好

2021-03-29

$美团-W(03690)$发一下转转运，哈哈哈

仓位一定要控制好

11-20

‌$美光科技(MU)$ ‌晚上美光走的好艰难，已经步入老年时代了？

仓位一定要控制好

07-30

$三生制药(01530)$ 征税200%，老特又开始折腾幺蛾子了

仓位一定要控制好

2024-07-19

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 长期看好AI，会SP115

仓位一定要控制好

2024-06-05

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 这个一块钱磨磨唧唧[捂脸]

仓位一定要控制好

2024-05-22

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 没有老马的tsla就不是tsla了，再说这个薪酬计划本质就是对赌协议，老马要么连工资都拿不到，要么盆满钵满，其三说老马不能专注于tsla，可人家就是NB啊，管的这么多家公司照样还是有声有色的

仓位一定要控制好

2021-06-17

太对了，如果真的要公平，请把北京上海这些地方特殊对待取消为第一步，再把教育评价体系调整为第二步，现在这种情况关人家培训机构什么事啊

如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样？

仓位一定要控制好

2022-08-16

$腾讯控股(00700)$南非大股东恶心操作，去抄底就是给它送钱

仓位一定要控制好

2022-03-16

$拼多多(PDD)$走了走了，太考验人了

仓位一定要控制好

2022-03-14

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$是不是回购了，一下子起量了

仓位一定要控制好

2021-09-17

$老虎证券(TIGR)$发生什么事情了，都在跑路的感觉[捂脸]

仓位一定要控制好

11-21 09:03

$晶泰控股(02228)$ 都跌成这个样子还发行股票？

仓位一定要控制好

2024-05-27

一切拿事实说话，达到了业绩就应该给，和他在特斯拉工作多久没有任何关系，这个世界上有几个人能够达到他这样的成就？为什么要用工作时长来衡量一个天才？

仓位一定要控制好

2022-05-16

$特斯拉(TSLA)$晚上破700的节奏？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 晚上如果大盘转跌那就有乐子看了[笑哭]&nbsp; [笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 晚上如果大盘转跌那就有乐子看了[笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/502323642748984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":502028904419720,"gmtCreate":1763583964261,"gmtModify":1763583966051,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"仓位一定要控制好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"‌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$ &nbsp;</a>‌晚上美光走的好艰难，已经步入老年时代了？","listText":"‌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$ &nbsp;</a>‌晚上美光走的好艰难，已经步入老年时代了？","text":"‌$美光科技(MU)$ ‌晚上美光走的好艰难，已经步入老年时代了？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/502028904419720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":499784013005160,"gmtCreate":1763043066942,"gmtModify":1763043069375,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"仓位一定要控制好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"二个都买","listText":"二个都买","text":"二个都买","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/499784013005160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":498661174387408,"gmtCreate":1762769054222,"gmtModify":1762769056345,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"仓位一定要控制好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02228\">$晶泰控股(02228)$</a> 这是被主力抛弃了吗？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02228\">$晶泰控股(02228)$</a> 这是被主力抛弃了吗？","text":"$晶泰控股(02228)$ 这是被主力抛弃了吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/498661174387408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":494826933440624,"gmtCreate":1761837800080,"gmtModify":1761837801844,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"仓位一定要控制好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> 如此密集的减持[笑哭]&nbsp; [笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> 如此密集的减持[笑哭]&nbsp; [笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 如此密集的减持[笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/494826933440624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4186663552253342","authorId":"4186663552253342","name":"風無心","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4186663552253342","authorIdStr":"4186663552253342"},"content":"是啊，我也觉得，这家伙最大的问题就是疯狂减持","text":"是啊，我也觉得，这家伙最大的问题就是疯狂减持","html":"是啊，我也觉得，这家伙最大的问题就是疯狂减持"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":491312804217392,"gmtCreate":1760970281458,"gmtModify":1760970283169,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"仓位一定要控制好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"‌<a 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成立于 2018 年，是一家领先的中文 Web3 媒体及数据服务商。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"链捕手","id":"1041503808","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f0784cc29a0d0070f6e968ef6ec7f5"},"pubTimestamp":1756011582,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2561372254?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-08-24 12:59","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"投资原则：拿得安稳比拿得对更重要","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2561372254","media":"链捕手","summary":" 知名投资者操作背后的深层逻辑，比数据本身更值得玩味。 ","content":"<html><body><p>最近各大公司都开始陆续发布自己的二季度财报，各个基金公司也开始发布自己的持仓数据。比起一些令人“意外”或者格外亮眼的财报以及数据，我觉得更有意思的是一些知名投资者只言片语的点睛评论。</p>\n<p>比如在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦公布的最新持仓中，再度减持了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>并加仓了一家此前不太为人所知的公司“联合医疗保险（UNH）”。</p>\n<p>很多财经文章就借此怀疑苹果是不是隐藏了什么风险？巴菲特是不是看到了苹果一些潜藏的问题？</p>\n<p>总之就是各种猜测苹果的基本面是不是出了什么问题，所以巴菲特才会卖出。</p>\n<p>看到这些文章，我的第一感觉就是不对劲，觉得他们的猜测有点离谱。</p>\n<p>其实如果我们仔细看巴菲特的持仓我们就会发现苹果依旧是他持仓最大的标的之一。如果巴菲特认为苹果的基本面出问题他会清仓或者至少较大规模地卖出，而不仅仅是减持。</p>\n<p>实际上这并不是巴菲特第一次减持苹果，去年就有过减持苹果的操作。</p>\n<p>那时，段永平对巴菲特的减持评价就很有意思，而且很有预判性。</p>\n<p>在去年8月4日的点评中，他写道：</p>\n<p>“我能理解老巴卖出苹果的原因，毕竟这不是他自己很舒服的领域，又因为一个更不太了解的原因而变得那么高，加上他心里有可能有很多备选，或者就是单纯觉得目前股市过高，存点现金等待机会啥的。如果苹果股价一直这么坚挺的话，老巴卖完了我也不例外的”</p>\n<p>总结一下，段永平认为巴菲特减持苹果的原因就就几点：</p>\n<p>- 价格过于高了</p>\n<p>- 苹果的价格如果继续坚挺，巴菲特还会继续减持</p>\n<p>- 卖掉为了买其它的备选公司或者单纯拿现金等机会</p>\n<p>现在回看段永平的这些评论，感觉段永平和巴菲特有点俞伯牙和钟子期那样的心有灵犀-----只有知己之间才能理解和看懂对方的操作和内心。</p>\n<p>我特别对段永平提到苹果不是巴菲特很舒服的领域而卖出很有感触。</p>\n<p>因为这让我想起了前段时间我彻底清仓<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>前的感觉---总是心神不宁、觉得这里不对劲，那里有问题。</p>\n<p>不是说特斯拉这个股票不好，而是觉得至少在当时特斯拉不是让我很舒服的公司。与其强拿着这样的公司还不如彻底放掉，再找更合适自己、拿着更舒服的标的。</p>\n<p>从去年开始，我形成了一个新习惯：每个季度当各大公司发布自己的财报、各大机构发布自己的仓位时，我都会有意看看财经媒体对这些财报和仓位的点评---不是为了跟随它们进行各种操作，而是想用这些实例来锻炼一下自己对他们操作的理解和判断，然后再把自己的判断和一些知名投资者的点评进行对比，看看观点的差异以及形成差异的原因。</p>\n<p>我发现这是个很好提高自己理解和认知的机会。</p>\n<p>其实上面那些段永平对巴菲特操作的点评在巴菲特股东大会实录里面都有过记载，我自己也读到过多次。</p>\n<p>但读到并不代表真的能够理解更不代表能够形成自己的观点和认知。真正要把它们变成自己的东西还需要在实践中反复锻炼和检验。</p>\n<p>而这些财报和点评就是最好的实操训练。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>投资原则：拿得安稳比拿得对更重要</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n投资原则：拿得安稳比拿得对更重要\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1041503808\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/64f0784cc29a0d0070f6e968ef6ec7f5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">链捕手 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-08-24 12:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p>最近各大公司都开始陆续发布自己的二季度财报，各个基金公司也开始发布自己的持仓数据。比起一些令人“意外”或者格外亮眼的财报以及数据，我觉得更有意思的是一些知名投资者只言片语的点睛评论。</p>\n<p>比如在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦公布的最新持仓中，再度减持了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>并加仓了一家此前不太为人所知的公司“联合医疗保险（UNH）”。</p>\n<p>很多财经文章就借此怀疑苹果是不是隐藏了什么风险？巴菲特是不是看到了苹果一些潜藏的问题？</p>\n<p>总之就是各种猜测苹果的基本面是不是出了什么问题，所以巴菲特才会卖出。</p>\n<p>看到这些文章，我的第一感觉就是不对劲，觉得他们的猜测有点离谱。</p>\n<p>其实如果我们仔细看巴菲特的持仓我们就会发现苹果依旧是他持仓最大的标的之一。如果巴菲特认为苹果的基本面出问题他会清仓或者至少较大规模地卖出，而不仅仅是减持。</p>\n<p>实际上这并不是巴菲特第一次减持苹果，去年就有过减持苹果的操作。</p>\n<p>那时，段永平对巴菲特的减持评价就很有意思，而且很有预判性。</p>\n<p>在去年8月4日的点评中，他写道：</p>\n<p>“我能理解老巴卖出苹果的原因，毕竟这不是他自己很舒服的领域，又因为一个更不太了解的原因而变得那么高，加上他心里有可能有很多备选，或者就是单纯觉得目前股市过高，存点现金等待机会啥的。如果苹果股价一直这么坚挺的话，老巴卖完了我也不例外的”</p>\n<p>总结一下，段永平认为巴菲特减持苹果的原因就就几点：</p>\n<p>- 价格过于高了</p>\n<p>- 苹果的价格如果继续坚挺，巴菲特还会继续减持</p>\n<p>- 卖掉为了买其它的备选公司或者单纯拿现金等机会</p>\n<p>现在回看段永平的这些评论，感觉段永平和巴菲特有点俞伯牙和钟子期那样的心有灵犀-----只有知己之间才能理解和看懂对方的操作和内心。</p>\n<p>我特别对段永平提到苹果不是巴菲特很舒服的领域而卖出很有感触。</p>\n<p>因为这让我想起了前段时间我彻底清仓<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>前的感觉---总是心神不宁、觉得这里不对劲，那里有问题。</p>\n<p>不是说特斯拉这个股票不好，而是觉得至少在当时特斯拉不是让我很舒服的公司。与其强拿着这样的公司还不如彻底放掉，再找更合适自己、拿着更舒服的标的。</p>\n<p>从去年开始，我形成了一个新习惯：每个季度当各大公司发布自己的财报、各大机构发布自己的仓位时，我都会有意看看财经媒体对这些财报和仓位的点评---不是为了跟随它们进行各种操作，而是想用这些实例来锻炼一下自己对他们操作的理解和判断，然后再把自己的判断和一些知名投资者的点评进行对比，看看观点的差异以及形成差异的原因。</p>\n<p>我发现这是个很好提高自己理解和认知的机会。</p>\n<p>其实上面那些段永平对巴菲特操作的点评在巴菲特股东大会实录里面都有过记载，我自己也读到过多次。</p>\n<p>但读到并不代表真的能够理解更不代表能够形成自己的观点和认知。真正要把它们变成自己的东西还需要在实践中反复锻炼和检验。</p>\n<p>而这些财报和点评就是最好的实操训练。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0203201768.USD":"AB SICAV I - ALL MARKET INCOME PORTFOLIO \"AX\" (USD) INC","LU1732799900.SGD":"JPMorgan Investment Funds - Global Income A (irc) SGD-H","LU0965508806.USD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (USD) 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SGD-H","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE0004091025.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES \"B\" (USD) ACC","AAPL":"苹果","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","LU1267930490.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"AS\" (SGD) INC A","IE00B7SZLL34.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD-H","TSYW.SI":"TESLA 3xLongSG261006","IE00B19Z9Z06.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc USD","UNH":"联合健康","SG9999014542.SGD":"United Income Focus Trust Acc SGD","LU0965509101.SGD":"AB LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU0861579265.USD":"联博低波幅策略股票基金A","LU2247934214.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS SUSTAINABLE FUTURE CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU1291159041.SGD":"CPR Invest - Global Silver Age A2 Acc SGD-H","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","IE000W1ABFV2.USD":"PIMCO BALANCED INCOME AND GROWTH \"R\" (USD) INC","LU2112291526.USD":"BGF WORLD HEALTHSCIENCE \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1035773651.USD":"AB SICAV I - GLOBAL VALUE PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (USD) INC","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0211326839.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0985320562.USD":"NORDEA 1 GLOBAL STARS EQUITY \"BP\" (USD) ACC","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930573.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"AA\" (SGD) ACC A"},"source_url":"https://www.chaincatcher.com/article/2199983","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2561372254","content_text":"最近各大公司都开始陆续发布自己的二季度财报，各个基金公司也开始发布自己的持仓数据。比起一些令人“意外”或者格外亮眼的财报以及数据，我觉得更有意思的是一些知名投资者只言片语的点睛评论。\n比如在伯克希尔哈撒韦公布的最新持仓中，再度减持了苹果并加仓了一家此前不太为人所知的公司“联合医疗保险（UNH）”。\n很多财经文章就借此怀疑苹果是不是隐藏了什么风险？巴菲特是不是看到了苹果一些潜藏的问题？\n总之就是各种猜测苹果的基本面是不是出了什么问题，所以巴菲特才会卖出。\n看到这些文章，我的第一感觉就是不对劲，觉得他们的猜测有点离谱。\n其实如果我们仔细看巴菲特的持仓我们就会发现苹果依旧是他持仓最大的标的之一。如果巴菲特认为苹果的基本面出问题他会清仓或者至少较大规模地卖出，而不仅仅是减持。\n实际上这并不是巴菲特第一次减持苹果，去年就有过减持苹果的操作。\n那时，段永平对巴菲特的减持评价就很有意思，而且很有预判性。\n在去年8月4日的点评中，他写道：\n“我能理解老巴卖出苹果的原因，毕竟这不是他自己很舒服的领域，又因为一个更不太了解的原因而变得那么高，加上他心里有可能有很多备选，或者就是单纯觉得目前股市过高，存点现金等待机会啥的。如果苹果股价一直这么坚挺的话，老巴卖完了我也不例外的”\n总结一下，段永平认为巴菲特减持苹果的原因就就几点：\n- 价格过于高了\n- 苹果的价格如果继续坚挺，巴菲特还会继续减持\n- 卖掉为了买其它的备选公司或者单纯拿现金等机会\n现在回看段永平的这些评论，感觉段永平和巴菲特有点俞伯牙和钟子期那样的心有灵犀-----只有知己之间才能理解和看懂对方的操作和内心。\n我特别对段永平提到苹果不是巴菲特很舒服的领域而卖出很有感触。\n因为这让我想起了前段时间我彻底清仓特斯拉前的感觉---总是心神不宁、觉得这里不对劲，那里有问题。\n不是说特斯拉这个股票不好，而是觉得至少在当时特斯拉不是让我很舒服的公司。与其强拿着这样的公司还不如彻底放掉，再找更合适自己、拿着更舒服的标的。\n从去年开始，我形成了一个新习惯：每个季度当各大公司发布自己的财报、各大机构发布自己的仓位时，我都会有意看看财经媒体对这些财报和仓位的点评---不是为了跟随它们进行各种操作，而是想用这些实例来锻炼一下自己对他们操作的理解和判断，然后再把自己的判断和一些知名投资者的点评进行对比，看看观点的差异以及形成差异的原因。\n我发现这是个很好提高自己理解和认知的机会。\n其实上面那些段永平对巴菲特操作的点评在巴菲特股东大会实录里面都有过记载，我自己也读到过多次。\n但读到并不代表真的能够理解更不代表能够形成自己的观点和认知。真正要把它们变成自己的东西还需要在实践中反复锻炼和检验。\n而这些财报和点评就是最好的实操训练。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"MACW.SI":0.6,"TSYW.SI":0.6,"UNH":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467592077746256,"gmtCreate":1755175399243,"gmtModify":1755175400967,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"仓位一定要控制好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不多啊","listText":"不多啊","text":"不多啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467592077746256","repostId":"1113870952","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1113870952","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1755174626,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113870952?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-08-14 20:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国7月PPI高于预期，美股期指下挫，大型科技股盘前股价跳水","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113870952","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"前值增长2.3%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美国7月PPI年率为3.3%，大幅超出市场预期的2.5%，为2月以来高位。</p><p>美国7月PPI月率录得0.9%，为2022年6月以来最大增幅，预期0.20%。</p><p>美国7月核心PPI年率 3.7%，预期2.9%，前值2.60%。</p><p>美国7月核心PPI月率 0.9%，预期0.20%，前值0.00%。</p><blockquote><p>报告显示，尽管今年上半年需求疲软，但企业正在调整商品和服务的定价，以帮助抵消与美国提高关税相关的成本。企业将多少关税成本转嫁给消费者，将成为影响未来利率走向的关键因素。</p></blockquote><p>美国至8月9日当周初请失业金人数 22.4万人，预期22.8万人，前值由22.6万人修正为22.7万人。</p><p>美国至8月2日当周续请失业金人数 195.3万人，预期196.4万人，前值由197.4万人修正为196.8万人。</p><blockquote><p>相对较低的初请数量表明，雇主并没有大规模裁员。此外，续请失业金人数降至195万人。过去几个月，这一数字一直徘徊在2021年以来的最高水平附近，这表明许多失业的美国人发现很难找到工作。</p></blockquote><p>数据公布后，<strong>利率期货交易员减少美联储降息押注。美股三大指数期货快速下挫，大型科技股盘前股价直线跳水。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a30a3ab03b470001a154a7126ff263e9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"416\" tg-height=\"530\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61d6328c4b8c8cb7199340ef975418f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1316\" tg-height=\"588\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a8858829205ca43952ad8849aa0ac26\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1380\" tg-height=\"579\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国7月PPI高于预期，美股期指下挫，大型科技股盘前股价跳水</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国7月PPI高于预期，美股期指下挫，大型科技股盘前股价跳水\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-08-14 20:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>美国7月PPI年率为3.3%，大幅超出市场预期的2.5%，为2月以来高位。</p><p>美国7月PPI月率录得0.9%，为2022年6月以来最大增幅，预期0.20%。</p><p>美国7月核心PPI年率 3.7%，预期2.9%，前值2.60%。</p><p>美国7月核心PPI月率 0.9%，预期0.20%，前值0.00%。</p><blockquote><p>报告显示，尽管今年上半年需求疲软，但企业正在调整商品和服务的定价，以帮助抵消与美国提高关税相关的成本。企业将多少关税成本转嫁给消费者，将成为影响未来利率走向的关键因素。</p></blockquote><p>美国至8月9日当周初请失业金人数 22.4万人，预期22.8万人，前值由22.6万人修正为22.7万人。</p><p>美国至8月2日当周续请失业金人数 195.3万人，预期196.4万人，前值由197.4万人修正为196.8万人。</p><blockquote><p>相对较低的初请数量表明，雇主并没有大规模裁员。此外，续请失业金人数降至195万人。过去几个月，这一数字一直徘徊在2021年以来的最高水平附近，这表明许多失业的美国人发现很难找到工作。</p></blockquote><p>数据公布后，<strong>利率期货交易员减少美联储降息押注。美股三大指数期货快速下挫，大型科技股盘前股价直线跳水。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a30a3ab03b470001a154a7126ff263e9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"416\" tg-height=\"530\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d61d6328c4b8c8cb7199340ef975418f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1316\" tg-height=\"588\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a8858829205ca43952ad8849aa0ac26\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1380\" tg-height=\"579\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f37897d88350d145d1bc063c27734fab","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113870952","content_text":"美国7月PPI年率为3.3%，大幅超出市场预期的2.5%，为2月以来高位。美国7月PPI月率录得0.9%，为2022年6月以来最大增幅，预期0.20%。美国7月核心PPI年率 3.7%，预期2.9%，前值2.60%。美国7月核心PPI月率 0.9%，预期0.20%，前值0.00%。报告显示，尽管今年上半年需求疲软，但企业正在调整商品和服务的定价，以帮助抵消与美国提高关税相关的成本。企业将多少关税成本转嫁给消费者，将成为影响未来利率走向的关键因素。美国至8月9日当周初请失业金人数 22.4万人，预期22.8万人，前值由22.6万人修正为22.7万人。美国至8月2日当周续请失业金人数 195.3万人，预期196.4万人，前值由197.4万人修正为196.8万人。相对较低的初请数量表明，雇主并没有大规模裁员。此外，续请失业金人数降至195万人。过去几个月，这一数字一直徘徊在2021年以来的最高水平附近，这表明许多失业的美国人发现很难找到工作。数据公布后，利率期货交易员减少美联储降息押注。美股三大指数期货快速下挫，大型科技股盘前股价直线跳水。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":1,"NQmain":1,"YMmain":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":466464487485480,"gmtCreate":1754907994377,"gmtModify":1754907995649,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"仓位一定要控制好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZIM\">$以星航运(ZIM)$&nbsp;</a> 难道停战了？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZIM\">$以星航运(ZIM)$&nbsp;</a> 难道停战了？","text":"$以星航运(ZIM)$ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 没有老马的tsla就不是tsla了，再说这个薪酬计划本质就是对赌协议，老马要么连工资都拿不到，要么盆满钵满，其三说老马不能专注于tsla，可人家就是NB啊，管的这么多家公司照样还是有声有色的","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 没有老马的tsla就不是tsla了，再说这个薪酬计划本质就是对赌协议，老马要么连工资都拿不到，要么盆满钵满，其三说老马不能专注于tsla，可人家就是NB啊，管的这么多家公司照样还是有声有色的","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 没有老马的tsla就不是tsla了，再说这个薪酬计划本质就是对赌协议，老马要么连工资都拿不到，要么盆满钵满，其三说老马不能专注于tsla，可人家就是NB啊，管的这么多家公司照样还是有声有色的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/308695827783712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":161369556,"gmtCreate":1623905511875,"gmtModify":1623905511875,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"仓位一定要控制好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"太对了，如果真的要公平，请把北京上海这些地方特殊对待取消为第一步，再把教育评价体系调整为第二步，现在这种情况关人家培训机构什么事啊","listText":"太对了，如果真的要公平，请把北京上海这些地方特殊对待取消为第一步，再把教育评价体系调整为第二步，现在这种情况关人家培训机构什么事啊","text":"太对了，如果真的要公平，请把北京上海这些地方特殊对待取消为第一步，再把教育评价体系调整为第二步，现在这种情况关人家培训机构什么事啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161369556","repostId":"1101656645","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101656645","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623902534,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101656645?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 12:02","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101656645","media":"古三古四","summary":"校外教育培训机构，本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。","content":"<p>教育界发生一件大事，教育培训监管司正式成立！</p>\n<p>最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的，大多是谣言。</p>\n<p>但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意，就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。</p>\n<p>各类传言下面，点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。</p>\n<p>太多家长痛恨补习班了，花钱，费力，全家无比痛苦。</p>\n<p>而家长们对教育的追求，也被评为内卷。</p>\n<p><b>中国的高考，打的是排名战，不是水平战。</b>能不能上好大学，与你的水平无关，只与你的排名相关。</p>\n<p>既然是排名赛，本质上就是竞争稀缺资源，那各家家长使出吃奶的劲，花大钱去校外辅导，目的只有一个，在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。</p>\n<p><b>校外教育培训机构，本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。</b></p>\n<p>校内教育，大家接受的东西都一样，那我如何实现弯道超车呢？咱换个战场比，比钱多少，比父母辅导能力，比管理孩子的能力。</p>\n<p>这个厮杀战，不是以班级为单位展开的，而是以省为单位展开的，即使你在班上第一名，也没用，你要拼的是全省第N名。</p>\n<p><b>而指挥这场战役的，是高考。</b></p>\n<p><b>一考定终身。</b></p>\n<p>在北京，有家长花数百万买学区房，有人上培训班年支出超过十万。</p>\n<p>十年前，学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。</p>\n<p>有人说，中国的家长疯了，为了孩子的教育，这么大的投资值得吗？</p>\n<p>值。非常值。</p>\n<p>如果你考进211，985，大部分家长的投入就基本回来了，因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学，年支出经费就八十亿，如果按学生数量算，人均一年十六万，但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地，因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。</p>\n<p>你进了好的大学，相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。</p>\n<p>如果读到博士，总补贴金额没有一百万，也有大几十万。</p>\n<p>这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢？海外留学，国内公务员，国内名企，一生下来，收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。</p>\n<p>这么大的产出，当然要拼。</p>\n<p>当然，教育这种东西，投资回报率是一种概率，读北大都可能读成废材，人不是工业品，偶然性因素很多。</p>\n<p>但人决策行动时，都需要面向不确定性，进好学校有好前途，这是大概率。</p>\n<p><b>既然概率高，就值得追求。</b></p>\n<p>那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗？</p>\n<p>有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面，从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里，下了课没作业，然后开心的玩耍，然后父母晚上不再痛苦，不再逼孩子写作业了，不再接送孩子上培训班了。</p>\n<p><b>这美好的一切真的会发生吗？</b></p>\n<p>假设有一天真发生了。</p>\n<p>张三他妈发现，张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏，看电视，她一下就欣喜若狂，什么是机会？对手放松，那就是我的机会。</p>\n<p>没有校外辅导班，好办，咱把老师请回家，一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点，每个老师两小时，小样，瞧我家张三，那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。</p>\n<p>张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。</p>\n<p>就你家有钱？你请的起，我就不能请？我能把985的位置让给你吗？不行。</p>\n<p>你天天晚上请，我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请，全排满。<b>我怎么可能竞争不过你？不就是比钱多吗？比房子大吗？老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。</b></p>\n<p>再过几天，全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了，由于需求旺盛，普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了，优秀的一小时涨到五百了。</p>\n<p>然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。</p>\n<p>原来可以上培训班，一个老师教二十个孩子，我一小时八十一百就行了，现在我得花五百一小时，咱家穷实在是花不起啊。</p>\n<p><b>取消培训班，意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式，这就造成了供给不足。</b></p>\n<p>这时，所有的在一二线城市的大学生们，将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师，哪怕挂科，也要疯狂，月入上万，谁不干？</p>\n<p>而三四线城市的家长将无计可施，就算出的起钱，但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。</p>\n<p>农村高中，就不要想了，集体躺平吧，除了个别天才，你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了，五百一小时，一晚上可能上千的收入，还呆在五线县城和农村做什么？</p>\n<p>这时，中产还有新招。培训老师太贵，<b>我就从需求方转为供给者。</b></p>\n<p>这什么意思呢？打个比方说，如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块，你去十公里外的公司上班要二百，那你会干什么？你会辞职去开滴滴，你会从消费者转变为供给者。</p>\n<p>中产家庭面对这种情况，会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职，在家成为专职老师，白天就自学课程，天天在网上听名师讲课，晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。</p>\n<p>相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。</p>\n<p>鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度，以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了，立马就变身职业家教了。</p>\n<p>而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败，知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教，而四五线小县城农村的学生，则集体躺平，真正实现素质教育，下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练，教不了，就只能骂了。</p>\n<p>取消培训班真就这么香吗？不见得喔。</p>","source":"lsy1623902592118","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 12:02 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA><strong>古三古四</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>教育界发生一件大事，教育培训监管司正式成立！\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的，大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意，就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面，点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了，花钱，费力，全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求，也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考，打的是排名战，不是水平战。能不能上好大学，与你的水平无关，只与你的排名相关。\n既然...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/428db54350354f66d13560331e078b53","relate_stocks":{"COE":"51TALK","GOTU":"高途","TAL":"好未来","YQ":"一起教育科技","ZME":"掌门教育","DAO":"有道","IH":"洪恩","01797":"东方甄选","EDU":"新东方","09901":"新东方-S"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101656645","content_text":"教育界发生一件大事，教育培训监管司正式成立！\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的，大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意，就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面，点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了，花钱，费力，全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求，也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考，打的是排名战，不是水平战。能不能上好大学，与你的水平无关，只与你的排名相关。\n既然是排名赛，本质上就是竞争稀缺资源，那各家家长使出吃奶的劲，花大钱去校外辅导，目的只有一个，在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。\n校外教育培训机构，本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。\n校内教育，大家接受的东西都一样，那我如何实现弯道超车呢？咱换个战场比，比钱多少，比父母辅导能力，比管理孩子的能力。\n这个厮杀战，不是以班级为单位展开的，而是以省为单位展开的，即使你在班上第一名，也没用，你要拼的是全省第N名。\n而指挥这场战役的，是高考。\n一考定终身。\n在北京，有家长花数百万买学区房，有人上培训班年支出超过十万。\n十年前，学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。\n有人说，中国的家长疯了，为了孩子的教育，这么大的投资值得吗？\n值。非常值。\n如果你考进211，985，大部分家长的投入就基本回来了，因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学，年支出经费就八十亿，如果按学生数量算，人均一年十六万，但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地，因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。\n你进了好的大学，相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。\n如果读到博士，总补贴金额没有一百万，也有大几十万。\n这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢？海外留学，国内公务员，国内名企，一生下来，收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。\n这么大的产出，当然要拼。\n当然，教育这种东西，投资回报率是一种概率，读北大都可能读成废材，人不是工业品，偶然性因素很多。\n但人决策行动时，都需要面向不确定性，进好学校有好前途，这是大概率。\n既然概率高，就值得追求。\n那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗？\n有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面，从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里，下了课没作业，然后开心的玩耍，然后父母晚上不再痛苦，不再逼孩子写作业了，不再接送孩子上培训班了。\n这美好的一切真的会发生吗？\n假设有一天真发生了。\n张三他妈发现，张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏，看电视，她一下就欣喜若狂，什么是机会？对手放松，那就是我的机会。\n没有校外辅导班，好办，咱把老师请回家，一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点，每个老师两小时，小样，瞧我家张三，那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。\n张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。\n就你家有钱？你请的起，我就不能请？我能把985的位置让给你吗？不行。\n你天天晚上请，我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请，全排满。我怎么可能竞争不过你？不就是比钱多吗？比房子大吗？老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。\n再过几天，全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了，由于需求旺盛，普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了，优秀的一小时涨到五百了。\n然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。\n原来可以上培训班，一个老师教二十个孩子，我一小时八十一百就行了，现在我得花五百一小时，咱家穷实在是花不起啊。\n取消培训班，意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式，这就造成了供给不足。\n这时，所有的在一二线城市的大学生们，将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师，哪怕挂科，也要疯狂，月入上万，谁不干？\n而三四线城市的家长将无计可施，就算出的起钱，但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。\n农村高中，就不要想了，集体躺平吧，除了个别天才，你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了，五百一小时，一晚上可能上千的收入，还呆在五线县城和农村做什么？\n这时，中产还有新招。培训老师太贵，我就从需求方转为供给者。\n这什么意思呢？打个比方说，如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块，你去十公里外的公司上班要二百，那你会干什么？你会辞职去开滴滴，你会从消费者转变为供给者。\n中产家庭面对这种情况，会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职，在家成为专职老师，白天就自学课程，天天在网上听名师讲课，晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。\n相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。\n鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度，以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了，立马就变身职业家教了。\n而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败，知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教，而四五线小县城农村的学生，则集体躺平，真正实现素质教育，下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练，教不了，就只能骂了。\n取消培训班真就这么香吗？不见得喔。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01797":0.9,"09901":0.9,"COE":0.9,"DAO":0.9,"EDU":0.9,"GOTU":0.9,"IH":0.9,"TAL":0.9,"YQ":0.9,"ZME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":684788829,"gmtCreate":1660612063064,"gmtModify":1660612063064,"author":{"id":"3561566184491118","authorId":"3561566184491118","name":"仓位一定要控制好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4293d8b89f1822a2b9f62cbab0a4f8cd","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561566184491118","authorIdStr":"3561566184491118"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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