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Ericson79
2021-08-10
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抱歉,原内容已删除
Ericson79
2021-09-02
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Ericson79
2021-07-24
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Ericson79
2021-08-20
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Toplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
Ericson79
2021-09-24
$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$
This stock is dying
Ericson79
2021-08-31
$Support.com(SPRT)$
Will it shoot up tonight?
Ericson79
2021-07-27
Welldone
Goldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services<blockquote>高盛因服务支出疲软而下调美国经济增长预测</blockquote>
Ericson79
2021-10-26
$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$
When it can up to to moon?
Ericson79
2021-09-29
$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$
Finally fly??
Ericson79
2021-09-13
$Support.com(SPRT)$
Tonight can fly ?
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巴菲特,你给我出来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602724339","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852622782,"gmtCreate":1635263537602,"gmtModify":1635263537671,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>When it can up to to moon?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>When it can up to to moon?","text":"$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$When it can up to to moon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852622782","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2017,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865047321,"gmtCreate":1632926709213,"gmtModify":1632926762493,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>Finally fly??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>Finally fly??","text":"$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$Finally fly??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865047321","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861873325,"gmtCreate":1632488126967,"gmtModify":1632718456087,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>This stock is dying ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>This stock is dying ","text":"$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$This stock is dying","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861873325","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":888406937,"gmtCreate":1631514421329,"gmtModify":1631884938649,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Tonight can fly ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Tonight can fly ?","text":"$Support.com(SPRT)$Tonight can fly 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10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场,该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<p> <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b> Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯-霍华德(Vance Howard)的 HCM 战术增长基金(Tactical Growwth Fund)会让你在谨慎的情况下进出股市。到目前为止,他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经取得了成效。</b>想象一下,当你坐下来享受生活时,你有一台赚钱机器在股市上收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>这是每个人的梦想,对吧?投资者万斯-霍华德认为他找到了答案。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>佐治亚州罗斯威尔的霍华德资本管理公司的霍华德和他的一小群计算机程序员。,有一个量化系统,发布巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据,他的 HCM 战术增长基金 HCMGX,+0.35% 在过去五年中以年化计算比其罗素 1000 基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出 8.5-10.4 个百分点。这不是一个小壮举,不仅仅是因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场根本不容易。他的 HCM 股息板块 PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) 和 HCM 收入 PlusHCMLX,+0.30% 基金表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点,我在下面详细介绍。(其中:潜在的长期表现不佳和定期税单。)但首先,我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么?</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化者从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节,但霍华德分享了很多细节,你会看到的。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于 “马感 ”的好建议--考虑到他对市场有着极具感染力的热情,以及他三十年的职业牧场主经验,这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12 只交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和 4 只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课:不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化注定了我们会失败。为了生存,我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪,以在可能很长一段时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场上,出于恐惧和贪婪的情绪行事总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出,顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样,我们也相信与人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马,那么如果你单独行动,就更有可能被捕食者叼走。这里的问题是成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——把我们愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人们会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入人群时,你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做好,你必须抵消这些趋势。“霍华德说:”个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是情绪化。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课:建立一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>要驱除情绪,要有一个系统。“霍华德说:”不要事后猜测。“这让你不会让大流行病或阿富汗把你吓出市场”。他评级了他的系统HCM-BuyLine。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——在市场上通常效果很好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先,霍华德没有使用标准普尔 500SPX(-0.03%)或道琼斯工业平均指数(-0.21%),而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时,他卖出35%。如果下跌 6.5%,他就再卖出 35%。他很少使用100%的现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果买盘是积极的,无论如何我们都会长期持有。“我们让数学来决定,就能把所有的情绪都排除在外”。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前,情况看涨。(更多内容见下文。)</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统也必须告诉你什么时候回来。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这就是大多数人搞砸的地方。“他们退出了市场,却不知道什么时候才能重新进来”。当他的自定义指数连续六个交易日交易高于其移动平均线时,HCM-BuyLine 会发出买入信号,然后继续交易高于这六天的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个能准确预测评级市场顶部或底部的系统。相反,买入线让霍华德在 85% 的时间里远离下跌市场,在 85% 的好时机里则保持下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果我们能坚持不懈地做到这一点,我们就能获得更高的回报,生活压力也会更小。“在糟糕的录音带中全神贯注并不好玩”。</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢,但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定会让他离开。他经常买入这些回调。快速回归是有意义的,因为底部的复苏往往会很快发生。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德说:”HCM-BuyLine 消除了整个过程中的所有情绪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课:不要与磁带对抗</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂-茨威格(Marty Zweig)经典著作《华尔街的胜利》(Winning on Wall Street)的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德同意道:”你必须站在市场的正确一边。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中进行多头交易,那将是痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”有时候,不赔钱才是你想要的。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样,不要因为市场创下新高--比如现在--就变得谨慎。你应该喜欢新高,因为这是市场力量可能会持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第4课:保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的,霍华德并不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥的工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说是令人耳目一新的,因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”你不必交易疯狂的东西。“你可以交易普通的 ETF,击败所有人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课:如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做多。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine 非常积极。我们百分之百同意,”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。这变得非常令人兴奋。我们认为市场不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有的现金都在观望。“如果科维德有任何缓解,我们可能会看到一场大反弹。我们最终可能会迎来一个伟大的秋季[赛季]。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德还使用动量指标来选择股票和 ETF。对于行业,他倾向于以下几种。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健,可通过 iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04% 和 ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12% ETF 进行交易。他越来越看好生物技术,他通过 iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB 投资生物技术,-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过 iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC 交易的非必需消费品, -0.30%, 以及通过 US Global JetsJETS 交易的航空公司, -1.17%.他还喜欢通过 Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%、iShares US TechnologyYYW,+0.50% 和 iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75% 进行科技投资。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他通过 Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07% 看好小盘股。以及通过 SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities CWB,+0.64% 和 iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37% 看好可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个股,他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果APL(+0.42%),以及亚马逊.comAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>还可以考虑霍华德的两只 ETF: HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%,HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌 1%-3% 时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的 HCM 战术增长基金自 2015 年推出以来,曾连续两年表现不佳,表现在 1.5% 至 8.8% 之间。随后,该基金强势回归,实现了上述非常积极的五年业绩。投资他的系统可能需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说,包括沃伦·巴菲特在内的每个经理都可能经历一段时间的表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”我们正处于胜算之中。“即使在赔率游戏中,你也可能有一两手烂牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率,战术增长每年为140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景里得到了很大的削减。因此,如果您购买霍华德的基金,您可能需要在税收保护账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场,该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场,该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-05 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b> Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯-霍华德(Vance Howard)的 HCM 战术增长基金(Tactical Growwth Fund)会让你在谨慎的情况下进出股市。到目前为止,他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经取得了成效。</b>想象一下,当你坐下来享受生活时,你有一台赚钱机器在股市上收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>这是每个人的梦想,对吧?投资者万斯-霍华德认为他找到了答案。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>佐治亚州罗斯威尔的霍华德资本管理公司的霍华德和他的一小群计算机程序员。,有一个量化系统,发布巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据,他的 HCM 战术增长基金 HCMGX,+0.35% 在过去五年中以年化计算比其罗素 1000 基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出 8.5-10.4 个百分点。这不是一个小壮举,不仅仅是因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场根本不容易。他的 HCM 股息板块 PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) 和 HCM 收入 PlusHCMLX,+0.30% 基金表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点,我在下面详细介绍。(其中:潜在的长期表现不佳和定期税单。)但首先,我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么?</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化者从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节,但霍华德分享了很多细节,你会看到的。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于 “马感 ”的好建议--考虑到他对市场有着极具感染力的热情,以及他三十年的职业牧场主经验,这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12 只交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和 4 只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课:不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化注定了我们会失败。为了生存,我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪,以在可能很长一段时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场上,出于恐惧和贪婪的情绪行事总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出,顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样,我们也相信与人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马,那么如果你单独行动,就更有可能被捕食者叼走。这里的问题是成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——把我们愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人们会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入人群时,你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做好,你必须抵消这些趋势。“霍华德说:”个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是情绪化。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课:建立一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>要驱除情绪,要有一个系统。“霍华德说:”不要事后猜测。“这让你不会让大流行病或阿富汗把你吓出市场”。他评级了他的系统HCM-BuyLine。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——在市场上通常效果很好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先,霍华德没有使用标准普尔 500SPX(-0.03%)或道琼斯工业平均指数(-0.21%),而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时,他卖出35%。如果下跌 6.5%,他就再卖出 35%。他很少使用100%的现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果买盘是积极的,无论如何我们都会长期持有。“我们让数学来决定,就能把所有的情绪都排除在外”。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前,情况看涨。(更多内容见下文。)</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统也必须告诉你什么时候回来。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这就是大多数人搞砸的地方。“他们退出了市场,却不知道什么时候才能重新进来”。当他的自定义指数连续六个交易日交易高于其移动平均线时,HCM-BuyLine 会发出买入信号,然后继续交易高于这六天的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个能准确预测评级市场顶部或底部的系统。相反,买入线让霍华德在 85% 的时间里远离下跌市场,在 85% 的好时机里则保持下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果我们能坚持不懈地做到这一点,我们就能获得更高的回报,生活压力也会更小。“在糟糕的录音带中全神贯注并不好玩”。</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢,但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定会让他离开。他经常买入这些回调。快速回归是有意义的,因为底部的复苏往往会很快发生。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德说:”HCM-BuyLine 消除了整个过程中的所有情绪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课:不要与磁带对抗</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂-茨威格(Marty Zweig)经典著作《华尔街的胜利》(Winning on Wall Street)的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德同意道:”你必须站在市场的正确一边。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中进行多头交易,那将是痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”有时候,不赔钱才是你想要的。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样,不要因为市场创下新高--比如现在--就变得谨慎。你应该喜欢新高,因为这是市场力量可能会持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第4课:保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的,霍华德并不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥的工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说是令人耳目一新的,因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”你不必交易疯狂的东西。“你可以交易普通的 ETF,击败所有人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课:如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做多。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine 非常积极。我们百分之百同意,”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。这变得非常令人兴奋。我们认为市场不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有的现金都在观望。“如果科维德有任何缓解,我们可能会看到一场大反弹。我们最终可能会迎来一个伟大的秋季[赛季]。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德还使用动量指标来选择股票和 ETF。对于行业,他倾向于以下几种。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健,可通过 iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04% 和 ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12% ETF 进行交易。他越来越看好生物技术,他通过 iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB 投资生物技术,-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过 iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC 交易的非必需消费品, -0.30%, 以及通过 US Global JetsJETS 交易的航空公司, -1.17%.他还喜欢通过 Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%、iShares US TechnologyYYW,+0.50% 和 iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75% 进行科技投资。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他通过 Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07% 看好小盘股。以及通过 SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities CWB,+0.64% 和 iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37% 看好可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个股,他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果APL(+0.42%),以及亚马逊.comAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>还可以考虑霍华德的两只 ETF: HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%,HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌 1%-3% 时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的 HCM 战术增长基金自 2015 年推出以来,曾连续两年表现不佳,表现在 1.5% 至 8.8% 之间。随后,该基金强势回归,实现了上述非常积极的五年业绩。投资他的系统可能需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说,包括沃伦·巴菲特在内的每个经理都可能经历一段时间的表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”我们正处于胜算之中。“即使在赔率游戏中,你也可能有一两手烂牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率,战术增长每年为140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景里得到了很大的削减。因此,如果您购买霍华德的基金,您可能需要在税收保护账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812206928,"gmtCreate":1630588432764,"gmtModify":1631890788760,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812206928","repostId":"2164471558","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2427,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812208422,"gmtCreate":1630588425966,"gmtModify":1631890788780,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812208422","repostId":"2164984716","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812624153,"gmtCreate":1630585569472,"gmtModify":1631885307675,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Tonight 🚀🚀🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Tonight 🚀🚀🚀","text":"$Support.com(SPRT)$Tonight 🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812624153","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816861392,"gmtCreate":1630487828916,"gmtModify":1631885307964,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Another fighting night ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Another fighting night ","text":"$Support.com(SPRT)$Another fighting night","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816861392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818686454,"gmtCreate":1630402963878,"gmtModify":1631885308066,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Will it shoot up tonight?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Will it shoot up tonight?","text":"$Support.com(SPRT)$Will it shoot up tonight?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818686454","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836116841,"gmtCreate":1629464378783,"gmtModify":1631890788767,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836116841","repostId":"1180862486","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180862486","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629460028,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1180862486?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 19:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180862486","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and t","content":"<p>(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.</p><p><blockquote>(8月20日)美国股指期货周五下跌,因对经济复苏放缓和货币刺激可能缩减的担忧损害了与经济相关的行业,并使道琼斯指数和标普500指数有望迎来自 6 月中旬以来最糟糕的一周。</blockquote></p><p> At 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 24 points, or 0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 07:52,道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 139 点,跌幅 0.40%,标普500电子迷你指数下跌 16.5 点,跌幅 0.37%,纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 24 点,跌幅 0.16%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1746670a754aa5714712ad089963b51\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> 1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.</p><p><blockquote>1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>– 这家重型设备制造商公布的季度收益为每股 5.32 美元,而市场普遍预期为 4.58 美元,其收入也超出了预期。Deere在盘前交易中上涨 1.1%,因为该公司还因农业设备需求强劲而上调了全年盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p> 2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a> – Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.</p><p><blockquote>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">脚部储物柜</a>– 运动鞋和服装制造商 Foot Locker 公布好于预期的第二季度业绩后,其股价在盘前飙升 6.2%。Foot Locker 调整后每股收益为 2.21 美元,而市场普遍预期为 1.01 美元,可比商店销售额增长了 6.9%。分析师此前预计薪酬销售额将略有下降。</blockquote></p><p> 3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">带扣</a>– 这家时尚配饰零售商的季度收益为每股 1.04 美元,超出预期 18 美分,收入高于预期,因为该公司受益于更多的现场购物。该股在盘前交易中上涨 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify Technology S.A.</a> – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify技术有限公司</a>– 这家音乐流媒体服务宣布,其董事会批准了 10 亿美元的股票回购。首席财务官保罗-沃格尔(Paul Vogel)表示,此举表明了公司对业务和长期增长机会的信心。Spotify 盘前上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> 5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a> – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>– 这家半导体制造设备制造商超出预期 13 美分,调整后季度利润为每股 1.90 美元,收入也超出了分析师的预期。它还给出了好于预期的前景,但应用材料公司股价在盘前交易中下跌 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> 6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">罗斯</a>– 这家折扣零售商公布的季度利润为每股 1.39 美元,超过了 98 美分的市场普遍预期,并且收入也好于预期。然而,其本季度和全年盈利前景低于分析师预测,该股在盘前交易中下跌 4%。</blockquote></p><p> 7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson & Johnson</a> – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.</p><p><blockquote>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a>– 首席执行官亚历克斯·戈尔斯基 (Alex Gorsky) 于 1 月 3 日宣布计划辞职,由公司资深人士华金·杜阿托 (Joaquin Duato) 接任,戈尔斯基 (Gorsky) 担任执行董事长。</blockquote></p><p> 8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">Lordstown Motors Corp.</a> – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.</p><p><blockquote>8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">洛兹敦汽车公司。</a>- 这家电动汽车制造商的股价在盘前上涨了 2.1%,收复了周四 9.5% 跌幅的一小部分,该跌幅曾使其股价跌至上市以来的最低点。这发生在仅持续10分钟的年度股东大会之后。</blockquote></p><p> 9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.</p><p><blockquote>9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a>– 该软件制造商宣布以 12.75 亿美元现金收购基于云的视频协作平台 Frame.io。此次收购将用于扩展 Adobe Create Cloud 软件套件的功能。</blockquote></p><p> 10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">佩特科健康和保健公司。</a>- Petco 在周四上涨 3.6% 的基础上,盘前上涨 2.1%,瑞士信贷将这家宠物用品零售商的股票评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”。瑞士信贷表示,在 Petco 发布乐观的财报后,它对该公司的业务前景更加乐观。</blockquote></p><p> 11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">Mosaic</a> – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.</p><p><blockquote>11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">马赛克</a>- 汇丰银行将化肥生产商的评级从 “持有”上调至 “买入”,原因是预计化肥价格上涨将带来好处。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>In FX,</b>the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.</p><p><blockquote><b>在外汇中,</b>由于风险基调仍然倾向于谨慎/避险,该指数继续在联邦公开市场委员会会议后的上行空间上延伸。隔夜,由于欧洲市场情绪受到早盘交易的影响,DXY 指数触及 93.500 点,随后最多升至 93.684 点。从技术角度来看,该指数在 93.900 点附近遇到阻力,该阻力在 2020 年第三季度和第四季度多次成为上限。除此之外,突破心理关口 94.000 可能会为 94.300(2020 年 11 月 4 日高点)、94.500 附近的阻力位打开大门,随后是 94.650 和 94.807 的 100 和 200 WMAs - 尽管这些距离还有一段距离。不利的一面是,昨天的低点为 93.214,心理低点为 93.000,而 21 日均线(92.674)和 50 日均线(92.377)则位于其下方。未来,国家方面的日历是空的,但价格走势可能会受到风险基调的影响。顺便提一下,美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月27日英国夏令时15:00/美国东部时间10:00在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上就经济前景发表讲话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品方面,</b>由于对新冠疫情的持续担忧以及市场的谨慎基调,WTI 和布伦特原油期货的基础再次走软。在前者中,隔夜会议延长了新西兰全国范围内的封锁,澳大利亚悉尼的限制措施也延长至9月底。除此之外,该综合体和整个市场的消息流一直很平静——在缺乏催化剂的情况下,情绪和三角洲的困境可能会占据主导地位。WTI回到63美元/桶(高点64.04美元/桶),布伦特回到66美元/桶(高点66.93美元/桶)。在其他地方,现货黄金和白银各不相同,但在更大的计划中保持持平,分别高于1775美元/盎司和23美元/盎司以上。与此同时,基本金属从昨天的剧烈抛售中略有反弹,但基准LME铜价在触及上限后仍低于9,000/吨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-20 19:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.</p><p><blockquote>(8月20日)美国股指期货周五下跌,因对经济复苏放缓和货币刺激可能缩减的担忧损害了与经济相关的行业,并使道琼斯指数和标普500指数有望迎来自 6 月中旬以来最糟糕的一周。</blockquote></p><p> At 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 24 points, or 0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 07:52,道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 139 点,跌幅 0.40%,标普500电子迷你指数下跌 16.5 点,跌幅 0.37%,纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 24 点,跌幅 0.16%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1746670a754aa5714712ad089963b51\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> 1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.</p><p><blockquote>1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>– 这家重型设备制造商公布的季度收益为每股 5.32 美元,而市场普遍预期为 4.58 美元,其收入也超出了预期。Deere在盘前交易中上涨 1.1%,因为该公司还因农业设备需求强劲而上调了全年盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p> 2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a> – Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.</p><p><blockquote>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">脚部储物柜</a>– 运动鞋和服装制造商 Foot Locker 公布好于预期的第二季度业绩后,其股价在盘前飙升 6.2%。Foot Locker 调整后每股收益为 2.21 美元,而市场普遍预期为 1.01 美元,可比商店销售额增长了 6.9%。分析师此前预计薪酬销售额将略有下降。</blockquote></p><p> 3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">带扣</a>– 这家时尚配饰零售商的季度收益为每股 1.04 美元,超出预期 18 美分,收入高于预期,因为该公司受益于更多的现场购物。该股在盘前交易中上涨 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify Technology S.A.</a> – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify技术有限公司</a>– 这家音乐流媒体服务宣布,其董事会批准了 10 亿美元的股票回购。首席财务官保罗-沃格尔(Paul Vogel)表示,此举表明了公司对业务和长期增长机会的信心。Spotify 盘前上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> 5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a> – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>– 这家半导体制造设备制造商超出预期 13 美分,调整后季度利润为每股 1.90 美元,收入也超出了分析师的预期。它还给出了好于预期的前景,但应用材料公司股价在盘前交易中下跌 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> 6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">罗斯</a>– 这家折扣零售商公布的季度利润为每股 1.39 美元,超过了 98 美分的市场普遍预期,并且收入也好于预期。然而,其本季度和全年盈利前景低于分析师预测,该股在盘前交易中下跌 4%。</blockquote></p><p> 7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson & Johnson</a> – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.</p><p><blockquote>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a>– 首席执行官亚历克斯·戈尔斯基 (Alex Gorsky) 于 1 月 3 日宣布计划辞职,由公司资深人士华金·杜阿托 (Joaquin Duato) 接任,戈尔斯基 (Gorsky) 担任执行董事长。</blockquote></p><p> 8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">Lordstown Motors Corp.</a> – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.</p><p><blockquote>8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">洛兹敦汽车公司。</a>- 这家电动汽车制造商的股价在盘前上涨了 2.1%,收复了周四 9.5% 跌幅的一小部分,该跌幅曾使其股价跌至上市以来的最低点。这发生在仅持续10分钟的年度股东大会之后。</blockquote></p><p> 9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.</p><p><blockquote>9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a>– 该软件制造商宣布以 12.75 亿美元现金收购基于云的视频协作平台 Frame.io。此次收购将用于扩展 Adobe Create Cloud 软件套件的功能。</blockquote></p><p> 10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">佩特科健康和保健公司。</a>- Petco 在周四上涨 3.6% 的基础上,盘前上涨 2.1%,瑞士信贷将这家宠物用品零售商的股票评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”。瑞士信贷表示,在 Petco 发布乐观的财报后,它对该公司的业务前景更加乐观。</blockquote></p><p> 11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">Mosaic</a> – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.</p><p><blockquote>11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">马赛克</a>- 汇丰银行将化肥生产商的评级从 “持有”上调至 “买入”,原因是预计化肥价格上涨将带来好处。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>In FX,</b>the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.</p><p><blockquote><b>在外汇中,</b>由于风险基调仍然倾向于谨慎/避险,该指数继续在联邦公开市场委员会会议后的上行空间上延伸。隔夜,由于欧洲市场情绪受到早盘交易的影响,DXY 指数触及 93.500 点,随后最多升至 93.684 点。从技术角度来看,该指数在 93.900 点附近遇到阻力,该阻力在 2020 年第三季度和第四季度多次成为上限。除此之外,突破心理关口 94.000 可能会为 94.300(2020 年 11 月 4 日高点)、94.500 附近的阻力位打开大门,随后是 94.650 和 94.807 的 100 和 200 WMAs - 尽管这些距离还有一段距离。不利的一面是,昨天的低点为 93.214,心理低点为 93.000,而 21 日均线(92.674)和 50 日均线(92.377)则位于其下方。未来,国家方面的日历是空的,但价格走势可能会受到风险基调的影响。顺便提一下,美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月27日英国夏令时15:00/美国东部时间10:00在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上就经济前景发表讲话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品方面,</b>由于对新冠疫情的持续担忧以及市场的谨慎基调,WTI 和布伦特原油期货的基础再次走软。在前者中,隔夜会议延长了新西兰全国范围内的封锁,澳大利亚悉尼的限制措施也延长至9月底。除此之外,该综合体和整个市场的消息流一直很平静——在缺乏催化剂的情况下,情绪和三角洲的困境可能会占据主导地位。WTI回到63美元/桶(高点64.04美元/桶),布伦特回到66美元/桶(高点66.93美元/桶)。在其他地方,现货黄金和白银各不相同,但在更大的计划中保持持平,分别高于1775美元/盎司和23美元/盎司以上。与此同时,基本金属从昨天的剧烈抛售中略有反弹,但基准LME铜价在触及上限后仍低于9,000/吨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180862486","content_text":"(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.\nAt 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 24 points, or 0.16%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\n1) John Deere – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.\n2) Foot Locker – Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.\n3) Buckle – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.\n4) Spotify Technology S.A. – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.\n5) Applied Materials – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.\n6) Ross – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.\n7) Johnson & Johnson – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.\n8) Lordstown Motors Corp. – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.\n9) Adobe – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.\n10) Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.\n11) Mosaic – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.\nIn FX,the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.\nIn commodities,WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896735910,"gmtCreate":1628604740230,"gmtModify":1631890788754,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896735910","repostId":"2158472798","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":685,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801032146,"gmtCreate":1627471705385,"gmtModify":1631890788788,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801032146","repostId":"2154405999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":834,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801032017,"gmtCreate":1627471675539,"gmtModify":1631883755221,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>今晚$125 ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$</a>今晚$125 ","text":"$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$今晚$125","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801032017","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809608365,"gmtCreate":1627362416057,"gmtModify":1631890788780,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562934339035282","authorIdStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Welldone ","listText":"Welldone ","text":"Welldone","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809608365","repostId":"1103996297","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103996297","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627357394,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1103996297?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services<blockquote>高盛因服务支出疲软而下调美国经济增长预测</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103996297","media":"CNN","summary":"New York Goldman Sachs slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.During the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.That's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said G","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(CNN Business)高盛(GS)下调了对美国下半年经济活动的预测,指出消费者服务支出低迷以及 Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株构成的威胁。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情和经济复苏初期,美国人在商品上花费了大量资金:二手车价格飙升,家具和其他家居用品的价格也飙升,以应对需求激增和材料短缺。</blockquote></p><p> But in normal times, consumers spend much more on services like concerts or dining out —and the big spending on goods that has defined the pandemic recovery so far isn't sustainable to keep the US economy growing.</p><p><blockquote>但在正常情况下,消费者在音乐会或外出就餐等服务上的支出要多得多——到目前为止,在商品上的巨额支出决定了疫情的复苏,对于保持美国经济增长来说是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> That's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker on Monday in a note to clients. But fears around the Delta variant are keeping services spending down.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家罗尼·沃克周一在给客户的一份报告中表示,这就是为什么人们花钱的方式需要轮换。但围绕德尔塔变异毒株的担忧正在降低服务支出。</blockquote></p><p> \"The services categories where spending remains depressed are generally either associated with high virus risk, such as live entertainment events, or connected to office-based work, such as ground transportation or dry cleaners,\" Walker wrote.</p><p><blockquote>沃克写道:“支出仍然低迷的服务类别通常要么与高病毒风险有关,例如现场娱乐活动,要么与办公室工作有关,例如地面交通或干洗店。”</blockquote></p><p> In response, Goldman slashed its gross domestic product growth forecast, the widest measure of economic activity, by one percentage point in both the third and fourth quarters.</p><p><blockquote>作为回应,高盛将第三和第四季度国内生产总值(衡量经济活动的最广泛指标)增长预测下调了一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Between July and September, the Wall Street bank expected 8.5% annualized growth, before dropping to 5% in the last three months of the year. For the full year, Goldman predicts 6.6% GDP growth.</p><p><blockquote>7 月至 9 月期间,这家华尔街银行预计年化增长率为 8.5%,但今年最后三个月降至 5%。高盛预测全年GDP增长6.6%。</blockquote></p><p> From 2022 on, the pace of expansion will slow further, trending back toward the 1.5% to 2% annualized growth what the nation typically saw before the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>从2022年开始,扩张步伐将进一步放缓,趋向于恢复到1.5%至2%的年化增长率,这是大流行之前美国通常看到的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though roughly half of Americans are fully vaccinated, cases are rising. In 48 states, the rate of new Covid-19 cases in the past week jumped by at least 10% compared to the previous week, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In 34 of those states, the rate of new cases increased by more than 50%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大约一半的美国人完全接种了疫苗,但病例仍在上升。根据约翰·霍普金斯大学的数据,在48个州,过去一周的新增新冠肺炎病例率比前一周增加了至少10%。在其中34个州,新病例率增加了50%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of infections through the variant is coming at an inopportune time: The economy is still not back to normal, and the resurgence of infections could keep people from fully participating in the economy.</p><p><blockquote>变异感染病例的增加来得不合时宜:经济仍未恢复正常,感染病例的死灰复燃可能会阻止人们充分参与经济。</blockquote></p><p> \"While most consumers appear to be comfortable returning to high-contact services, some are still hesitant,\" said Walker. \"They are likely to remain cautious for now as the spread of the Delta variant keeps Covid fears alive, delaying a full recovery.\"</p><p><blockquote>沃克说:“虽然大多数消费者似乎对重返高接触服务感到满意,但有些人仍然犹豫不决。”“他们目前可能会保持谨慎,因为德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延使人们对新冠病毒的担忧持续存在,从而推迟了全面复苏。”</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, Goldman's economists believe the Delta variant's impact on the economy will be somewhat limited: \"Appetite for new government-mandated restrictions appears low; early state-level evidence shows little impact on consumer spending so far; and the virus situation already appears to be improving in the United Kingdom and other countries where it spread earliest,\" Walker wrote.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,高盛经济学家认为,Delta 变种对经济的影响将有些有限:“对政府强制实施新限制的兴趣似乎很低;早期州级证据显示,到目前为止对消费者支出影响不大;沃克写道:“在英国和其他最早传播的国家,病毒情况似乎已经在改善。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services<blockquote>高盛因服务支出疲软而下调美国经济增长预测</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services<blockquote>高盛因服务支出疲软而下调美国经济增长预测</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 11:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(CNN Business)高盛(GS)下调了对美国下半年经济活动的预测,指出消费者服务支出低迷以及 Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株构成的威胁。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情和经济复苏初期,美国人在商品上花费了大量资金:二手车价格飙升,家具和其他家居用品的价格也飙升,以应对需求激增和材料短缺。</blockquote></p><p> But in normal times, consumers spend much more on services like concerts or dining out —and the big spending on goods that has defined the pandemic recovery so far isn't sustainable to keep the US economy growing.</p><p><blockquote>但在正常情况下,消费者在音乐会或外出就餐等服务上的支出要多得多——到目前为止,在商品上的巨额支出决定了疫情的复苏,对于保持美国经济增长来说是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> That's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker on Monday in a note to clients. But fears around the Delta variant are keeping services spending down.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家罗尼·沃克周一在给客户的一份报告中表示,这就是为什么人们花钱的方式需要轮换。但围绕德尔塔变异毒株的担忧正在降低服务支出。</blockquote></p><p> \"The services categories where spending remains depressed are generally either associated with high virus risk, such as live entertainment events, or connected to office-based work, such as ground transportation or dry cleaners,\" Walker wrote.</p><p><blockquote>沃克写道:“支出仍然低迷的服务类别通常要么与高病毒风险有关,例如现场娱乐活动,要么与办公室工作有关,例如地面交通或干洗店。”</blockquote></p><p> In response, Goldman slashed its gross domestic product growth forecast, the widest measure of economic activity, by one percentage point in both the third and fourth quarters.</p><p><blockquote>作为回应,高盛将第三和第四季度国内生产总值(衡量经济活动的最广泛指标)增长预测下调了一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Between July and September, the Wall Street bank expected 8.5% annualized growth, before dropping to 5% in the last three months of the year. For the full year, Goldman predicts 6.6% GDP growth.</p><p><blockquote>7 月至 9 月期间,这家华尔街银行预计年化增长率为 8.5%,但今年最后三个月降至 5%。高盛预测全年GDP增长6.6%。</blockquote></p><p> From 2022 on, the pace of expansion will slow further, trending back toward the 1.5% to 2% annualized growth what the nation typically saw before the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>从2022年开始,扩张步伐将进一步放缓,趋向于恢复到1.5%至2%的年化增长率,这是大流行之前美国通常看到的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though roughly half of Americans are fully vaccinated, cases are rising. In 48 states, the rate of new Covid-19 cases in the past week jumped by at least 10% compared to the previous week, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In 34 of those states, the rate of new cases increased by more than 50%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大约一半的美国人完全接种了疫苗,但病例仍在上升。根据约翰·霍普金斯大学的数据,在48个州,过去一周的新增新冠肺炎病例率比前一周增加了至少10%。在其中34个州,新病例率增加了50%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of infections through the variant is coming at an inopportune time: The economy is still not back to normal, and the resurgence of infections could keep people from fully participating in the economy.</p><p><blockquote>变异感染病例的增加来得不合时宜:经济仍未恢复正常,感染病例的死灰复燃可能会阻止人们充分参与经济。</blockquote></p><p> \"While most consumers appear to be comfortable returning to high-contact services, some are still hesitant,\" said Walker. \"They are likely to remain cautious for now as the spread of the Delta variant keeps Covid fears alive, delaying a full recovery.\"</p><p><blockquote>沃克说:“虽然大多数消费者似乎对重返高接触服务感到满意,但有些人仍然犹豫不决。”“他们目前可能会保持谨慎,因为德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延使人们对新冠病毒的担忧持续存在,从而推迟了全面复苏。”</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, Goldman's economists believe the Delta variant's impact on the economy will be somewhat limited: \"Appetite for new government-mandated restrictions appears low; early state-level evidence shows little impact on consumer spending so far; and the virus situation already appears to be improving in the United Kingdom and other countries where it spread earliest,\" Walker wrote.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,高盛经济学家认为,Delta 变种对经济的影响将有些有限:“对政府强制实施新限制的兴趣似乎很低;早期州级证据显示,到目前为止对消费者支出影响不大;沃克写道:“在英国和其他最早传播的国家,病毒情况似乎已经在改善。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/26/economy/goldman-sachs-services-economy-delta/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/26/economy/goldman-sachs-services-economy-delta/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103996297","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.\nDuring the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.\nBut in normal times, consumers spend much more on services like concerts or dining out —and the big spending on goods that has defined the pandemic recovery so far isn't sustainable to keep the US economy growing.\nThat's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker on Monday in a note to clients. But fears around the Delta variant are keeping services spending down.\n\"The services categories where spending remains depressed are generally either associated with high virus risk, such as live entertainment events, or connected to office-based work, such as ground transportation or dry cleaners,\" Walker wrote.\nIn response, Goldman slashed its gross domestic product growth forecast, the widest measure of economic activity, by one percentage point in both the third and fourth quarters.\nBetween July and September, the Wall Street bank expected 8.5% annualized growth, before dropping to 5% in the last three months of the year. For the full year, Goldman predicts 6.6% GDP growth.\nFrom 2022 on, the pace of expansion will slow further, trending back toward the 1.5% to 2% annualized growth what the nation typically saw before the pandemic.\nEven though roughly half of Americans are fully vaccinated, cases are rising. In 48 states, the rate of new Covid-19 cases in the past week jumped by at least 10% compared to the previous week, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In 34 of those states, the rate of new cases increased by more than 50%.\nThe rise of infections through the variant is coming at an inopportune time: The economy is still not back to normal, and the resurgence of infections could keep people from fully participating in the economy.\n\"While most consumers appear to be comfortable returning to high-contact services, some are still hesitant,\" said Walker. \"They are likely to remain cautious for now as the spread of the Delta variant keeps Covid fears alive, delaying a full recovery.\"\nAt the same time, Goldman's economists believe the Delta variant's impact on the economy will be somewhat limited: \"Appetite for new government-mandated restrictions appears low; early state-level evidence shows little impact on consumer spending so far; and the virus situation already appears to be improving in the United Kingdom and other countries where it spread earliest,\" Walker 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629460028,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1180862486?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 19:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180862486","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and t","content":"<p>(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.</p><p><blockquote>(8月20日)美国股指期货周五下跌,因对经济复苏放缓和货币刺激可能缩减的担忧损害了与经济相关的行业,并使道琼斯指数和标普500指数有望迎来自 6 月中旬以来最糟糕的一周。</blockquote></p><p> At 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 24 points, or 0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 07:52,道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 139 点,跌幅 0.40%,标普500电子迷你指数下跌 16.5 点,跌幅 0.37%,纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 24 点,跌幅 0.16%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1746670a754aa5714712ad089963b51\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> 1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.</p><p><blockquote>1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>– 这家重型设备制造商公布的季度收益为每股 5.32 美元,而市场普遍预期为 4.58 美元,其收入也超出了预期。Deere在盘前交易中上涨 1.1%,因为该公司还因农业设备需求强劲而上调了全年盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p> 2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a> – Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.</p><p><blockquote>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">脚部储物柜</a>– 运动鞋和服装制造商 Foot Locker 公布好于预期的第二季度业绩后,其股价在盘前飙升 6.2%。Foot Locker 调整后每股收益为 2.21 美元,而市场普遍预期为 1.01 美元,可比商店销售额增长了 6.9%。分析师此前预计薪酬销售额将略有下降。</blockquote></p><p> 3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">带扣</a>– 这家时尚配饰零售商的季度收益为每股 1.04 美元,超出预期 18 美分,收入高于预期,因为该公司受益于更多的现场购物。该股在盘前交易中上涨 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify Technology S.A.</a> – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify技术有限公司</a>– 这家音乐流媒体服务宣布,其董事会批准了 10 亿美元的股票回购。首席财务官保罗-沃格尔(Paul Vogel)表示,此举表明了公司对业务和长期增长机会的信心。Spotify 盘前上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> 5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a> – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>– 这家半导体制造设备制造商超出预期 13 美分,调整后季度利润为每股 1.90 美元,收入也超出了分析师的预期。它还给出了好于预期的前景,但应用材料公司股价在盘前交易中下跌 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> 6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">罗斯</a>– 这家折扣零售商公布的季度利润为每股 1.39 美元,超过了 98 美分的市场普遍预期,并且收入也好于预期。然而,其本季度和全年盈利前景低于分析师预测,该股在盘前交易中下跌 4%。</blockquote></p><p> 7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson & Johnson</a> – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.</p><p><blockquote>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a>– 首席执行官亚历克斯·戈尔斯基 (Alex Gorsky) 于 1 月 3 日宣布计划辞职,由公司资深人士华金·杜阿托 (Joaquin Duato) 接任,戈尔斯基 (Gorsky) 担任执行董事长。</blockquote></p><p> 8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">Lordstown Motors Corp.</a> – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.</p><p><blockquote>8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">洛兹敦汽车公司。</a>- 这家电动汽车制造商的股价在盘前上涨了 2.1%,收复了周四 9.5% 跌幅的一小部分,该跌幅曾使其股价跌至上市以来的最低点。这发生在仅持续10分钟的年度股东大会之后。</blockquote></p><p> 9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.</p><p><blockquote>9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a>– 该软件制造商宣布以 12.75 亿美元现金收购基于云的视频协作平台 Frame.io。此次收购将用于扩展 Adobe Create Cloud 软件套件的功能。</blockquote></p><p> 10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">佩特科健康和保健公司。</a>- Petco 在周四上涨 3.6% 的基础上,盘前上涨 2.1%,瑞士信贷将这家宠物用品零售商的股票评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”。瑞士信贷表示,在 Petco 发布乐观的财报后,它对该公司的业务前景更加乐观。</blockquote></p><p> 11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">Mosaic</a> – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.</p><p><blockquote>11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">马赛克</a>- 汇丰银行将化肥生产商的评级从 “持有”上调至 “买入”,原因是预计化肥价格上涨将带来好处。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>In FX,</b>the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.</p><p><blockquote><b>在外汇中,</b>由于风险基调仍然倾向于谨慎/避险,该指数继续在联邦公开市场委员会会议后的上行空间上延伸。隔夜,由于欧洲市场情绪受到早盘交易的影响,DXY 指数触及 93.500 点,随后最多升至 93.684 点。从技术角度来看,该指数在 93.900 点附近遇到阻力,该阻力在 2020 年第三季度和第四季度多次成为上限。除此之外,突破心理关口 94.000 可能会为 94.300(2020 年 11 月 4 日高点)、94.500 附近的阻力位打开大门,随后是 94.650 和 94.807 的 100 和 200 WMAs - 尽管这些距离还有一段距离。不利的一面是,昨天的低点为 93.214,心理低点为 93.000,而 21 日均线(92.674)和 50 日均线(92.377)则位于其下方。未来,国家方面的日历是空的,但价格走势可能会受到风险基调的影响。顺便提一下,美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月27日英国夏令时15:00/美国东部时间10:00在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上就经济前景发表讲话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品方面,</b>由于对新冠疫情的持续担忧以及市场的谨慎基调,WTI 和布伦特原油期货的基础再次走软。在前者中,隔夜会议延长了新西兰全国范围内的封锁,澳大利亚悉尼的限制措施也延长至9月底。除此之外,该综合体和整个市场的消息流一直很平静——在缺乏催化剂的情况下,情绪和三角洲的困境可能会占据主导地位。WTI回到63美元/桶(高点64.04美元/桶),布伦特回到66美元/桶(高点66.93美元/桶)。在其他地方,现货黄金和白银各不相同,但在更大的计划中保持持平,分别高于1775美元/盎司和23美元/盎司以上。与此同时,基本金属从昨天的剧烈抛售中略有反弹,但基准LME铜价在触及上限后仍低于9,000/吨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Opens Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-20 19:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.</p><p><blockquote>(8月20日)美国股指期货周五下跌,因对经济复苏放缓和货币刺激可能缩减的担忧损害了与经济相关的行业,并使道琼斯指数和标普500指数有望迎来自 6 月中旬以来最糟糕的一周。</blockquote></p><p> At 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 24 points, or 0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 07:52,道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 139 点,跌幅 0.40%,标普500电子迷你指数下跌 16.5 点,跌幅 0.37%,纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 24 点,跌幅 0.16%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1746670a754aa5714712ad089963b51\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前波动最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> 1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">John Deere</a> – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.</p><p><blockquote>1) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DE\">约翰·Deere</a>– 这家重型设备制造商公布的季度收益为每股 5.32 美元,而市场普遍预期为 4.58 美元,其收入也超出了预期。Deere在盘前交易中上涨 1.1%,因为该公司还因农业设备需求强劲而上调了全年盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p> 2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">Foot Locker</a> – Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.</p><p><blockquote>2) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FL\">脚部储物柜</a>– 运动鞋和服装制造商 Foot Locker 公布好于预期的第二季度业绩后,其股价在盘前飙升 6.2%。Foot Locker 调整后每股收益为 2.21 美元,而市场普遍预期为 1.01 美元,可比商店销售额增长了 6.9%。分析师此前预计薪酬销售额将略有下降。</blockquote></p><p> 3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">Buckle</a> – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>3) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BKE\">带扣</a>– 这家时尚配饰零售商的季度收益为每股 1.04 美元,超出预期 18 美分,收入高于预期,因为该公司受益于更多的现场购物。该股在盘前交易中上涨 4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify Technology S.A.</a> – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote>4) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPOT\">Spotify技术有限公司</a>– 这家音乐流媒体服务宣布,其董事会批准了 10 亿美元的股票回购。首席财务官保罗-沃格尔(Paul Vogel)表示,此举表明了公司对业务和长期增长机会的信心。Spotify 盘前上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> 5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">Applied Materials</a> – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>5) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>– 这家半导体制造设备制造商超出预期 13 美分,调整后季度利润为每股 1.90 美元,收入也超出了分析师的预期。它还给出了好于预期的前景,但应用材料公司股价在盘前交易中下跌 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p> 6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">Ross</a> – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote>6) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROST\">罗斯</a>– 这家折扣零售商公布的季度利润为每股 1.39 美元,超过了 98 美分的市场普遍预期,并且收入也好于预期。然而,其本季度和全年盈利前景低于分析师预测,该股在盘前交易中下跌 4%。</blockquote></p><p> 7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson & Johnson</a> – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.</p><p><blockquote>7) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">强生公司</a>– 首席执行官亚历克斯·戈尔斯基 (Alex Gorsky) 于 1 月 3 日宣布计划辞职,由公司资深人士华金·杜阿托 (Joaquin Duato) 接任,戈尔斯基 (Gorsky) 担任执行董事长。</blockquote></p><p> 8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">Lordstown Motors Corp.</a> – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.</p><p><blockquote>8) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIDE\">洛兹敦汽车公司。</a>- 这家电动汽车制造商的股价在盘前上涨了 2.1%,收复了周四 9.5% 跌幅的一小部分,该跌幅曾使其股价跌至上市以来的最低点。这发生在仅持续10分钟的年度股东大会之后。</blockquote></p><p> 9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.</p><p><blockquote>9) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a>– 该软件制造商宣布以 12.75 亿美元现金收购基于云的视频协作平台 Frame.io。此次收购将用于扩展 Adobe Create Cloud 软件套件的功能。</blockquote></p><p> 10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.</p><p><blockquote>10) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">佩特科健康和保健公司。</a>- Petco 在周四上涨 3.6% 的基础上,盘前上涨 2.1%,瑞士信贷将这家宠物用品零售商的股票评级从 “中性 ”上调至 “跑赢大盘”。瑞士信贷表示,在 Petco 发布乐观的财报后,它对该公司的业务前景更加乐观。</blockquote></p><p> 11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">Mosaic</a> – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.</p><p><blockquote>11) <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOS\">马赛克</a>- 汇丰银行将化肥生产商的评级从 “持有”上调至 “买入”,原因是预计化肥价格上涨将带来好处。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>In FX,</b>the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.</p><p><blockquote><b>在外汇中,</b>由于风险基调仍然倾向于谨慎/避险,该指数继续在联邦公开市场委员会会议后的上行空间上延伸。隔夜,由于欧洲市场情绪受到早盘交易的影响,DXY 指数触及 93.500 点,随后最多升至 93.684 点。从技术角度来看,该指数在 93.900 点附近遇到阻力,该阻力在 2020 年第三季度和第四季度多次成为上限。除此之外,突破心理关口 94.000 可能会为 94.300(2020 年 11 月 4 日高点)、94.500 附近的阻力位打开大门,随后是 94.650 和 94.807 的 100 和 200 WMAs - 尽管这些距离还有一段距离。不利的一面是,昨天的低点为 93.214,心理低点为 93.000,而 21 日均线(92.674)和 50 日均线(92.377)则位于其下方。未来,国家方面的日历是空的,但价格走势可能会受到风险基调的影响。顺便提一下,美联储主席鲍威尔将于8月27日英国夏令时15:00/美国东部时间10:00在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上就经济前景发表讲话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品方面,</b>由于对新冠疫情的持续担忧以及市场的谨慎基调,WTI 和布伦特原油期货的基础再次走软。在前者中,隔夜会议延长了新西兰全国范围内的封锁,澳大利亚悉尼的限制措施也延长至9月底。除此之外,该综合体和整个市场的消息流一直很平静——在缺乏催化剂的情况下,情绪和三角洲的困境可能会占据主导地位。WTI回到63美元/桶(高点64.04美元/桶),布伦特回到66美元/桶(高点66.93美元/桶)。在其他地方,现货黄金和白银各不相同,但在更大的计划中保持持平,分别高于1775美元/盎司和23美元/盎司以上。与此同时,基本金属从昨天的剧烈抛售中略有反弹,但基准LME铜价在触及上限后仍低于9,000/吨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180862486","content_text":"(Aug 20) U.S. stock index futures fell on Friday, as concerns over a slowing economic recovery and the possible tapering of monetary stimulus hurt economy-linked sectors and put the Dow and the S&P 500 on course for their worst week since mid-June.\nAt 07:52 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 139 points, or 0.40%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 16.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 24 points, or 0.16%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\n1) John Deere – The heavy equipment maker reported quarterly earnings of $5.32 per share, compared with a consensus estimate of $4.58, and its revenue beat forecasts as well. Deere was up 1.1% in premarket trading as it also raised its full-year earnings forecast on solid demand for farm equipment.\n2) Foot Locker – Foot Locker shares surged 6.2% in the premarket after the athletic footwear and apparel maker reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Foot Locker earned an adjusted $2.21 per share, compared with a $1.01 consensus estimate, and comparable stores sales rose 6.9%. Analysts had expected a slight decline in comp sales.\n3) Buckle – The fashion accessories retailer beat estimates by 18 cents with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, and revenue above estimates as the company benefited from more in-person shopping. The stock jumped 4.6% in premarket trading.\n4) Spotify Technology S.A. – The music streaming service announced that its board approved a $1 billion stock buyback. Chief Financial Officer Paul Vogel said the move demonstrates the company’s confidence in its business and long-term growth opportunities. Spotify added 1.1% in the premarket.\n5) Applied Materials – The maker of semiconductor manufacturing equipment beat estimates by 13 cents with an adjusted quarterly profit of $1.90 per share and revenue also topping analyst predictions. It also gave a better-than-expected outlook, but Applied Materials shares fell 1.3% in premarket trading.\n6) Ross – The discount retailer reported a quarterly profit of $1.39 per share, beating the 98 cent consensus estimate, and also reported better-than-expected revenue. However, its current-quarter and full-year earnings outlook fell short of analyst forecasts, and the stock slid 4% in premarket action.\n7) Johnson & Johnson – Chief Executive Officer Alex Gorsky announced plans to step aside on Jan. 3, with company veteran Joaquin Duato taking over and Gorsky assuming the role of executive chairman.\n8) Lordstown Motors Corp. – The electric vehicle maker’s shares rose 2.1% in the premarket, recovering a small part of the 9.5% Thursday drop that had sent the stock to its lowest since going public. That took place after the annual shareholder meeting that lasted only 10 minutes.\n9) Adobe – The software maker announced a deal to buy cloud-based video collaboration platform Frame.io for $1.275 billion in cash. The acquisition will be used to expand the capabilities of Adobe’s Create Cloud software suite.\n10) Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. – Petco added 2.1% in the premarket to Thursday’s 3.6% gain, with Credit Suisse upgrading the pet products retailer’s stock to “outperform” from “neutral”. Credit Suisse said it is more positive on the outlook for Petco’s business following the company’s upbeat earnings report.\n11) Mosaic – The fertilizer producer was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at HSBC, based on expected benefits from higher fertilizer prices.\nIn FX,the index continues to extend on the upside seen post-FOMC as the risk tone remains tilted towards caution/risk aversion. Overnight, the DXY found a floor at 93.500 before rising to 93.684 at best as sentiment in Europe is tainted in early trade. From a technical standpoint, the index eyes resistance around the 93.900 mark - which acted as a ceiling on several occasions during Q3 and Q4 2020. Above that, a breach of the psychological 94.000 mark could open the door to resistance around 94.300 (4th Nov 2020 high), 94.500 and thereafter the 100 and 200 WMAs at 94.650 and 94.807 - although these are still some way off. To the downside, yesterday’s low was at 93.214, the psychological 93.000, whilst the 21 DMA (92.674) and the 50 DMA (92.377) reside just below. Ahead, an empty state-side calendar but price action will likely be dictated by the risk tone. As a side note Fed Chair Powell is to speak on the economic outlook at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT.\nIn commodities,WTI and Brent front-month futures are once again on a softer footing amid the continuing COVID concerns coupled with the cautious tone around the market. On the former, the overnight session saw an extension of the Kiwi nationwide lockdown alongside Australia's Sydney's curbs extended until the end of September. Aside from that news flow has been quiet for the complex and the market in general - with sentiment and Delta woes likely to take precedence in the absence of catalysts. WTI makes its way back towards UD 63/bbl (vs high 64.04/bbl) and Brent towards USD 66/bbl (vs 66.93 high). Elsewhere, spot gold and silver vary but remain flat in the grander scheme above USD 1,775/oz and north of USD 23/oz respectively. Base metals meanwhile see a mild rebound from yesterday's violent selloff, but benchmark LME copper remains sub-9,000/t after finding a ceiling at the mark.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":978,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":861873325,"gmtCreate":1632488126967,"gmtModify":1632718456087,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562934339035282","idStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>This stock is dying ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>This stock is dying ","text":"$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$This stock is dying","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861873325","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":818686454,"gmtCreate":1630402963878,"gmtModify":1631885308066,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562934339035282","idStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Will it shoot up tonight?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Will it shoot up tonight?","text":"$Support.com(SPRT)$Will it shoot up tonight?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818686454","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809608365,"gmtCreate":1627362416057,"gmtModify":1631890788780,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562934339035282","idStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Welldone ","listText":"Welldone ","text":"Welldone","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809608365","repostId":"1103996297","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103996297","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627357394,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1103996297?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services<blockquote>高盛因服务支出疲软而下调美国经济增长预测</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103996297","media":"CNN","summary":"New York Goldman Sachs slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.During the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.That's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said G","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(CNN Business)高盛(GS)下调了对美国下半年经济活动的预测,指出消费者服务支出低迷以及 Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株构成的威胁。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情和经济复苏初期,美国人在商品上花费了大量资金:二手车价格飙升,家具和其他家居用品的价格也飙升,以应对需求激增和材料短缺。</blockquote></p><p> But in normal times, consumers spend much more on services like concerts or dining out —and the big spending on goods that has defined the pandemic recovery so far isn't sustainable to keep the US economy growing.</p><p><blockquote>但在正常情况下,消费者在音乐会或外出就餐等服务上的支出要多得多——到目前为止,在商品上的巨额支出决定了疫情的复苏,对于保持美国经济增长来说是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> That's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker on Monday in a note to clients. But fears around the Delta variant are keeping services spending down.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家罗尼·沃克周一在给客户的一份报告中表示,这就是为什么人们花钱的方式需要轮换。但围绕德尔塔变异毒株的担忧正在降低服务支出。</blockquote></p><p> \"The services categories where spending remains depressed are generally either associated with high virus risk, such as live entertainment events, or connected to office-based work, such as ground transportation or dry cleaners,\" Walker wrote.</p><p><blockquote>沃克写道:“支出仍然低迷的服务类别通常要么与高病毒风险有关,例如现场娱乐活动,要么与办公室工作有关,例如地面交通或干洗店。”</blockquote></p><p> In response, Goldman slashed its gross domestic product growth forecast, the widest measure of economic activity, by one percentage point in both the third and fourth quarters.</p><p><blockquote>作为回应,高盛将第三和第四季度国内生产总值(衡量经济活动的最广泛指标)增长预测下调了一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Between July and September, the Wall Street bank expected 8.5% annualized growth, before dropping to 5% in the last three months of the year. For the full year, Goldman predicts 6.6% GDP growth.</p><p><blockquote>7 月至 9 月期间,这家华尔街银行预计年化增长率为 8.5%,但今年最后三个月降至 5%。高盛预测全年GDP增长6.6%。</blockquote></p><p> From 2022 on, the pace of expansion will slow further, trending back toward the 1.5% to 2% annualized growth what the nation typically saw before the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>从2022年开始,扩张步伐将进一步放缓,趋向于恢复到1.5%至2%的年化增长率,这是大流行之前美国通常看到的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though roughly half of Americans are fully vaccinated, cases are rising. In 48 states, the rate of new Covid-19 cases in the past week jumped by at least 10% compared to the previous week, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In 34 of those states, the rate of new cases increased by more than 50%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大约一半的美国人完全接种了疫苗,但病例仍在上升。根据约翰·霍普金斯大学的数据,在48个州,过去一周的新增新冠肺炎病例率比前一周增加了至少10%。在其中34个州,新病例率增加了50%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of infections through the variant is coming at an inopportune time: The economy is still not back to normal, and the resurgence of infections could keep people from fully participating in the economy.</p><p><blockquote>变异感染病例的增加来得不合时宜:经济仍未恢复正常,感染病例的死灰复燃可能会阻止人们充分参与经济。</blockquote></p><p> \"While most consumers appear to be comfortable returning to high-contact services, some are still hesitant,\" said Walker. \"They are likely to remain cautious for now as the spread of the Delta variant keeps Covid fears alive, delaying a full recovery.\"</p><p><blockquote>沃克说:“虽然大多数消费者似乎对重返高接触服务感到满意,但有些人仍然犹豫不决。”“他们目前可能会保持谨慎,因为德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延使人们对新冠病毒的担忧持续存在,从而推迟了全面复苏。”</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, Goldman's economists believe the Delta variant's impact on the economy will be somewhat limited: \"Appetite for new government-mandated restrictions appears low; early state-level evidence shows little impact on consumer spending so far; and the virus situation already appears to be improving in the United Kingdom and other countries where it spread earliest,\" Walker wrote.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,高盛经济学家认为,Delta 变种对经济的影响将有些有限:“对政府强制实施新限制的兴趣似乎很低;早期州级证据显示,到目前为止对消费者支出影响不大;沃克写道:“在英国和其他最早传播的国家,病毒情况似乎已经在改善。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services<blockquote>高盛因服务支出疲软而下调美国经济增长预测</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs slashes US economic growth forecast over weaker spending on services<blockquote>高盛因服务支出疲软而下调美国经济增长预测</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 11:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(CNN Business)高盛(GS)下调了对美国下半年经济活动的预测,指出消费者服务支出低迷以及 Covid-19 德尔塔变异毒株构成的威胁。</blockquote></p><p> During the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情和经济复苏初期,美国人在商品上花费了大量资金:二手车价格飙升,家具和其他家居用品的价格也飙升,以应对需求激增和材料短缺。</blockquote></p><p> But in normal times, consumers spend much more on services like concerts or dining out —and the big spending on goods that has defined the pandemic recovery so far isn't sustainable to keep the US economy growing.</p><p><blockquote>但在正常情况下,消费者在音乐会或外出就餐等服务上的支出要多得多——到目前为止,在商品上的巨额支出决定了疫情的复苏,对于保持美国经济增长来说是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> That's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker on Monday in a note to clients. But fears around the Delta variant are keeping services spending down.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家罗尼·沃克周一在给客户的一份报告中表示,这就是为什么人们花钱的方式需要轮换。但围绕德尔塔变异毒株的担忧正在降低服务支出。</blockquote></p><p> \"The services categories where spending remains depressed are generally either associated with high virus risk, such as live entertainment events, or connected to office-based work, such as ground transportation or dry cleaners,\" Walker wrote.</p><p><blockquote>沃克写道:“支出仍然低迷的服务类别通常要么与高病毒风险有关,例如现场娱乐活动,要么与办公室工作有关,例如地面交通或干洗店。”</blockquote></p><p> In response, Goldman slashed its gross domestic product growth forecast, the widest measure of economic activity, by one percentage point in both the third and fourth quarters.</p><p><blockquote>作为回应,高盛将第三和第四季度国内生产总值(衡量经济活动的最广泛指标)增长预测下调了一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Between July and September, the Wall Street bank expected 8.5% annualized growth, before dropping to 5% in the last three months of the year. For the full year, Goldman predicts 6.6% GDP growth.</p><p><blockquote>7 月至 9 月期间,这家华尔街银行预计年化增长率为 8.5%,但今年最后三个月降至 5%。高盛预测全年GDP增长6.6%。</blockquote></p><p> From 2022 on, the pace of expansion will slow further, trending back toward the 1.5% to 2% annualized growth what the nation typically saw before the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>从2022年开始,扩张步伐将进一步放缓,趋向于恢复到1.5%至2%的年化增长率,这是大流行之前美国通常看到的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though roughly half of Americans are fully vaccinated, cases are rising. In 48 states, the rate of new Covid-19 cases in the past week jumped by at least 10% compared to the previous week, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In 34 of those states, the rate of new cases increased by more than 50%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大约一半的美国人完全接种了疫苗,但病例仍在上升。根据约翰·霍普金斯大学的数据,在48个州,过去一周的新增新冠肺炎病例率比前一周增加了至少10%。在其中34个州,新病例率增加了50%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The rise of infections through the variant is coming at an inopportune time: The economy is still not back to normal, and the resurgence of infections could keep people from fully participating in the economy.</p><p><blockquote>变异感染病例的增加来得不合时宜:经济仍未恢复正常,感染病例的死灰复燃可能会阻止人们充分参与经济。</blockquote></p><p> \"While most consumers appear to be comfortable returning to high-contact services, some are still hesitant,\" said Walker. \"They are likely to remain cautious for now as the spread of the Delta variant keeps Covid fears alive, delaying a full recovery.\"</p><p><blockquote>沃克说:“虽然大多数消费者似乎对重返高接触服务感到满意,但有些人仍然犹豫不决。”“他们目前可能会保持谨慎,因为德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延使人们对新冠病毒的担忧持续存在,从而推迟了全面复苏。”</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, Goldman's economists believe the Delta variant's impact on the economy will be somewhat limited: \"Appetite for new government-mandated restrictions appears low; early state-level evidence shows little impact on consumer spending so far; and the virus situation already appears to be improving in the United Kingdom and other countries where it spread earliest,\" Walker wrote.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,高盛经济学家认为,Delta 变种对经济的影响将有些有限:“对政府强制实施新限制的兴趣似乎很低;早期州级证据显示,到目前为止对消费者支出影响不大;沃克写道:“在英国和其他最早传播的国家,病毒情况似乎已经在改善。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/26/economy/goldman-sachs-services-economy-delta/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/26/economy/goldman-sachs-services-economy-delta/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103996297","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Goldman Sachs (GS) slashed its forecast for US economic activity in the second half of the year, pointing to sluggish consumer spending on services as well as the threats posed by the Covid-19 Delta variant.\nDuring the pandemic and the start of the recovery, Americans spent big on goods: Used car prices soared, as did prices for furniture and other household items, in response to surging demand and shortages of materials.\nBut in normal times, consumers spend much more on services like concerts or dining out —and the big spending on goods that has defined the pandemic recovery so far isn't sustainable to keep the US economy growing.\nThat's why rotation is necessary in how people spend their cash, said Goldman Sachs economist Ronnie Walker on Monday in a note to clients. But fears around the Delta variant are keeping services spending down.\n\"The services categories where spending remains depressed are generally either associated with high virus risk, such as live entertainment events, or connected to office-based work, such as ground transportation or dry cleaners,\" Walker wrote.\nIn response, Goldman slashed its gross domestic product growth forecast, the widest measure of economic activity, by one percentage point in both the third and fourth quarters.\nBetween July and September, the Wall Street bank expected 8.5% annualized growth, before dropping to 5% in the last three months of the year. For the full year, Goldman predicts 6.6% GDP growth.\nFrom 2022 on, the pace of expansion will slow further, trending back toward the 1.5% to 2% annualized growth what the nation typically saw before the pandemic.\nEven though roughly half of Americans are fully vaccinated, cases are rising. In 48 states, the rate of new Covid-19 cases in the past week jumped by at least 10% compared to the previous week, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. In 34 of those states, the rate of new cases increased by more than 50%.\nThe rise of infections through the variant is coming at an inopportune time: The economy is still not back to normal, and the resurgence of infections could keep people from fully participating in the economy.\n\"While most consumers appear to be comfortable returning to high-contact services, some are still hesitant,\" said Walker. \"They are likely to remain cautious for now as the spread of the Delta variant keeps Covid fears alive, delaying a full recovery.\"\nAt the same time, Goldman's economists believe the Delta variant's impact on the economy will be somewhat limited: \"Appetite for new government-mandated restrictions appears low; early state-level evidence shows little impact on consumer spending so far; and the virus situation already appears to be improving in the United Kingdom and other countries where it spread earliest,\" Walker wrote.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":852622782,"gmtCreate":1635263537602,"gmtModify":1635263537671,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562934339035282","idStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>When it can up to to moon?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>When it can up to to moon?","text":"$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$When it can up to to moon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852622782","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2017,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865047321,"gmtCreate":1632926709213,"gmtModify":1632926762493,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562934339035282","idStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>Finally fly??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GREE\">$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$</a>Finally fly??","text":"$Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc.(GREE)$Finally fly??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865047321","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":888406937,"gmtCreate":1631514421329,"gmtModify":1631884938649,"author":{"id":"3562934339035282","authorId":"3562934339035282","name":"Ericson79","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7097166908914c9e683fad3426eb99fd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562934339035282","idStr":"3562934339035282"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Tonight can fly ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPRT\">$Support.com(SPRT)$</a>Tonight can fly ?","text":"$Support.com(SPRT)$Tonight can fly ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888406937","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}