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Jjireh

Jjireh

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2022-01-10

‌[财迷] ‌

3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022年将赚取数十亿美元的3只COVID股票</blockquote>

2021-12-18

rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio

Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production<blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响2021年产量，早盘股价暴跌逾12%</blockquote>

2021-12-04

Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more

Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中上涨7%</blockquote>

2021-11-29

Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays

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2021-11-01

pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]

@小虎活动:A BIG BIG November for Tiger Brokers!!

2021-10-09

good stuff thanks

6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的6个原因以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的6只股票</blockquote>

2021-10-02

fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips

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2021-09-30

so fi is it, pun intended

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2021-09-27

right research will save one from more pain later

Opinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点：市场分析师对于股市下一步走势无法达成一致。因此，在买卖之前请仔细检查数据</blockquote>

2021-09-21

one of the best summary of key points in macd out there

Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote>

2021-09-17

agree absolutely

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2021-09-01

well wriiten

@Sorrie2u:market view end 21

2021-09-01

one to look out for

@ysyyay:$Amyris(AMRS)$nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!

2021-08-27

Big move

2021-08-08

good to know not all that glitters is Gold

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2021-07-23

Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ

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2021-06-01

check out absolute software also (abst)

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2021-05-27

[龇牙]

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2021-05-09

Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices

Forget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币——这只股票更值得买入</blockquote>

2021-04-28

good time to buy the dip [财迷] [财迷]

Pinterest shares sink as easing of pandemic restrictions weighs on user growth<blockquote>疫情限制放松拖累用户增长，Pinterest股价下跌</blockquote>

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href=\"\">[财迷]&nbsp;</a>‌","listText":"‌<a href=\"\">[财迷]&nbsp;</a>‌","text":"‌[财迷] ‌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694393868","repostId":"1134509683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134509683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641612579,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134509683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-08 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022年将赚取数十亿美元的3只COVID股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134509683","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These three COVID-19 stocks could rake in a tremendous amount of cash this year.","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>It&#39;s a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>这是新的一年，新冠肺炎仍然和我们在一起。去年，我们看到医疗保健领域多种新冠疫苗和治疗方法获得了紧急使用授权。制药公司将在2022年赚取数十亿美元。以下是三只应该蓬勃发展的股票。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy <b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in <b>Vir Biotechnology</b>(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）是一家价值3100亿美元的大型公司，预计其新冠疫苗和抗病毒药物的销售额将不会是10亿或100亿美元，而是超过500亿美元。斗志昂扬<b>Novavax</b>（纳斯达克：NVAX）终于在全球范围内推出了新冠疫苗。它将获得多少亿？我们有一个黑马候选人<b>维尔生物技术</b>（纳斯达克：维尔）。对于这家小型生物技术公司来说，它的一种药物很容易成为价值10亿美元的重磅炸弹。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488a166201699c1f3d6536aa3e640ecf\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>A safe harbor in stormy weather</b></p><p><blockquote><b>暴风雨天气中的避风港</b></blockquote></p><p><b>George Budwell(Pfizer):</b>Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote><b>乔治·巴德威尔（辉瑞）：</b>辉瑞是新冠肺炎制药产品无可争议的冠军。仅在2022年，华尔街预计这家制药巨头的新型冠状病毒疫苗Comirnaty和口服抗病毒药物Paxlovid的销售额就将达到550亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>What&#39;s more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，分析师开始接受Paxlovid可能在当前十年内成为该公司可持续收入来源的想法。当该药物上个月首次被美国食品和药物管理局根据紧急使用授权途径允许上市时，华尔街认为从商业角度来看，Paxlovid可能会在一年左右的时间内达到顶峰，然后随着疫情从视野中消失，销售额急剧下降。</blockquote></p><p>But less than three weeks out from the drug&#39;s initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.</p><p><blockquote>但距离该药物首次获得批准还不到三周，令人痛苦的是，很明显，Paxlovid可能需要作为未来几年COVID-19最坏结果的故障保险。毕竟，高传染性的奥密克戎变种肯定不会是该病毒的最后一次重大迭代。</blockquote></p><p>What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>这一切意味着，辉瑞应该是少数几家在新冠肺炎拥有可观、长期收入来源的大型制药商之一。反过来，在可预见的未来，辉瑞应该有充足的自由现金流来满足其慷慨的股东奖励计划以及雄心勃勃的业务发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>So, if you&#39;re looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果您正在寻找一只能够抵御极高通胀和利率上升双重阻力的股票，辉瑞可能值得一试。</blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax的收入预测：20亿至80亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company&#39;s stock price is down to $125 a share. That&#39;s where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰勒·卡迈克尔（Novavax）：</b>Novavax今年正处于伟大的边缘。该公司的股价跌至每股125美元。这就是它在2021年开始的地方，所以去年该股几乎遭受了洗盘。</blockquote></p><p>Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.</p><p><blockquote>早在2月份，当Novavax报告其新冠疫苗的积极3期数据时，股价就飙升至300美元以上。但后来这家小型生物技术公司遇到了制造问题。虽然许多人说它的疫苗是同类产品中最好的，但扩大约20亿剂疫苗的合同生产说起来容易做起来难。这些现实导致该股较高点下跌约60%。</blockquote></p><p>Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it&#39;s highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company&#39;s already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Novavax的收入已经达到了10亿美元大关，因此由于所有的预订，其疫苗甚至在获得批准之前就已经一鸣惊人。现在，全球各地的授权纷至沓来，Novavax很有可能在2022年运送大量疫苗。该公司已经实现了每月1亿剂的生产能力，即一年12亿剂。在第三季度收益看涨期权上，管理层预测到第四季度末将达到每月1.5亿剂（或每年18亿剂）的生产能力。该公司预计将继续扩大规模，并预测2022年将分发20亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that&#39;s over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>20亿剂疫苗，价格为16美元（曲速行动支付了16亿美元预购了1亿剂疫苗），我们粗略计算出收入为320亿美元。当然，Novavax将以较低的速度向发展中国家分发大量疫苗。尽管该公司对其价格保持沉默，但丹麦早在8月份就表示，根据欧盟(EU)协议，它为每剂疫苗支付了近21美元。欧盟已经订购了2亿剂，因此仅在欧洲的销售额就超过40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company&#39;s market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.</p><p><blockquote>分析师非常保守，对Novavax 2022年的预测在20亿至80亿美元之间。（该公司的市值为90亿美元。）虽然一路上可能会出现一些问题，但Novavax肯定会在2022年从其COVID-19疫苗中赚取数十亿美元。如果该公司确实像其所说的那样交付20亿剂疫苗，该股可能会有大幅上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><b>The antibody market all to itself</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体市场全靠自己</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Patrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):</b>The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from <b>Eli Lilly</b> (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from <b>Roche</b>and<b>Regeneron</b> are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b> and Vir Biotechnology&#39;s sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it&#39;s the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>Patrick Bafuma（Vir Biotechnology）：</b>奥密克戎变种目前猖獗，这一次，我们缺少一些治疗方法。以前青睐的单克隆抗体治疗来自<b>礼来公司</b>（bamlanivimab加etesevimab）以及来自<b>罗氏</b>和<b>再生</b>被认为对当前变体的活性显著降低。这样就只剩下一种对奥密克戎有效的输液了--<b>葛兰素史克</b>以及Vir Biotechnology的sotrovimab。这种单克隆抗体先前证明，在轻度至中度新冠肺炎和进展为重度疾病的高风险成人中，住院和死亡风险降低了79%。它是目前唯一一个对抗奥密克戎变种的人。</blockquote></p><p>Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly&#39;s antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.</p><p><blockquote>作为唯一的单克隆抗体将有其特权。2021年前9个月，REGEN-COV带来了35亿美元的产品净销售额，而礼来公司的抗体组合带来了11.7亿美元。美国政府已经签订了价值约10亿美元的sotrovimab合同。随着医院挤满了病人，任何有助于缓解系统压力的东西都可能受到高度追捧。</blockquote></p><p>And while Pfizer&#39;s Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who&#39;s who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid&#39;s possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然辉瑞的Paxlovid将极大地有利于减轻医疗保健系统的COVID-19负担，但这种口服药物具有显着且复杂的药物相互作用潜力。事实上，它的相互作用列表读起来就像是常用处方药的名人录。这包括流行的血液稀释剂，如波立维和Xarelto，常见的止痛药，如曲马多和羟考酮，抗焦虑药，如Klonopin和Xanax，以及抗胆固醇他汀类药物。随着美国国立卫生研究院发表声明，表达了对Paxlovid可能的药物相互作用的担忧，这为sotrovimab继续广泛使用留下了充足的空间。根据与GSK的协议，Vir获得了sotrovimab销售额的72.5%，这家价值44亿美元的生物技术公司目前看起来很划算。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022年将赚取数十亿美元的3只COVID股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022年将赚取数十亿美元的3只COVID股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-08 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>It&#39;s a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>这是新的一年，新冠肺炎仍然和我们在一起。去年，我们看到医疗保健领域多种新冠疫苗和治疗方法获得了紧急使用授权。制药公司将在2022年赚取数十亿美元。以下是三只应该蓬勃发展的股票。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy <b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in <b>Vir Biotechnology</b>(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）是一家价值3100亿美元的大型公司，预计其新冠疫苗和抗病毒药物的销售额将不会是10亿或100亿美元，而是超过500亿美元。斗志昂扬<b>Novavax</b>（纳斯达克：NVAX）终于在全球范围内推出了新冠疫苗。它将获得多少亿？我们有一个黑马候选人<b>维尔生物技术</b>（纳斯达克：维尔）。对于这家小型生物技术公司来说，它的一种药物很容易成为价值10亿美元的重磅炸弹。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488a166201699c1f3d6536aa3e640ecf\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>A safe harbor in stormy weather</b></p><p><blockquote><b>暴风雨天气中的避风港</b></blockquote></p><p><b>George Budwell(Pfizer):</b>Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote><b>乔治·巴德威尔（辉瑞）：</b>辉瑞是新冠肺炎制药产品无可争议的冠军。仅在2022年，华尔街预计这家制药巨头的新型冠状病毒疫苗Comirnaty和口服抗病毒药物Paxlovid的销售额就将达到550亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>What&#39;s more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，分析师开始接受Paxlovid可能在当前十年内成为该公司可持续收入来源的想法。当该药物上个月首次被美国食品和药物管理局根据紧急使用授权途径允许上市时，华尔街认为从商业角度来看，Paxlovid可能会在一年左右的时间内达到顶峰，然后随着疫情从视野中消失，销售额急剧下降。</blockquote></p><p>But less than three weeks out from the drug&#39;s initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.</p><p><blockquote>但距离该药物首次获得批准还不到三周，令人痛苦的是，很明显，Paxlovid可能需要作为未来几年COVID-19最坏结果的故障保险。毕竟，高传染性的奥密克戎变种肯定不会是该病毒的最后一次重大迭代。</blockquote></p><p>What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>这一切意味着，辉瑞应该是少数几家在新冠肺炎拥有可观、长期收入来源的大型制药商之一。反过来，在可预见的未来，辉瑞应该有充足的自由现金流来满足其慷慨的股东奖励计划以及雄心勃勃的业务发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>So, if you&#39;re looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果您正在寻找一只能够抵御极高通胀和利率上升双重阻力的股票，辉瑞可能值得一试。</blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax的收入预测：20亿至80亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company&#39;s stock price is down to $125 a share. That&#39;s where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰勒·卡迈克尔（Novavax）：</b>Novavax今年正处于伟大的边缘。该公司的股价跌至每股125美元。这就是它在2021年开始的地方，所以去年该股几乎遭受了洗盘。</blockquote></p><p>Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.</p><p><blockquote>早在2月份，当Novavax报告其新冠疫苗的积极3期数据时，股价就飙升至300美元以上。但后来这家小型生物技术公司遇到了制造问题。虽然许多人说它的疫苗是同类产品中最好的，但扩大约20亿剂疫苗的合同生产说起来容易做起来难。这些现实导致该股较高点下跌约60%。</blockquote></p><p>Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it&#39;s highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company&#39;s already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Novavax的收入已经达到了10亿美元大关，因此由于所有的预订，其疫苗甚至在获得批准之前就已经一鸣惊人。现在，全球各地的授权纷至沓来，Novavax很有可能在2022年运送大量疫苗。该公司已经实现了每月1亿剂的生产能力，即一年12亿剂。在第三季度收益看涨期权上，管理层预测到第四季度末将达到每月1.5亿剂（或每年18亿剂）的生产能力。该公司预计将继续扩大规模，并预测2022年将分发20亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that&#39;s over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>20亿剂疫苗，价格为16美元（曲速行动支付了16亿美元预购了1亿剂疫苗），我们粗略计算出收入为320亿美元。当然，Novavax将以较低的速度向发展中国家分发大量疫苗。尽管该公司对其价格保持沉默，但丹麦早在8月份就表示，根据欧盟(EU)协议，它为每剂疫苗支付了近21美元。欧盟已经订购了2亿剂，因此仅在欧洲的销售额就超过40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company&#39;s market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.</p><p><blockquote>分析师非常保守，对Novavax 2022年的预测在20亿至80亿美元之间。（该公司的市值为90亿美元。）虽然一路上可能会出现一些问题，但Novavax肯定会在2022年从其COVID-19疫苗中赚取数十亿美元。如果该公司确实像其所说的那样交付20亿剂疫苗，该股可能会有大幅上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><b>The antibody market all to itself</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体市场全靠自己</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Patrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):</b>The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from <b>Eli Lilly</b> (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from <b>Roche</b>and<b>Regeneron</b> are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b> and Vir Biotechnology&#39;s sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it&#39;s the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>Patrick Bafuma（Vir Biotechnology）：</b>奥密克戎变种目前猖獗，这一次，我们缺少一些治疗方法。以前青睐的单克隆抗体治疗来自<b>礼来公司</b>（bamlanivimab加etesevimab）以及来自<b>罗氏</b>和<b>再生</b>被认为对当前变体的活性显著降低。这样就只剩下一种对奥密克戎有效的输液了--<b>葛兰素史克</b>以及Vir Biotechnology的sotrovimab。这种单克隆抗体先前证明，在轻度至中度新冠肺炎和进展为重度疾病的高风险成人中，住院和死亡风险降低了79%。它是目前唯一一个对抗奥密克戎变种的人。</blockquote></p><p>Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly&#39;s antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.</p><p><blockquote>作为唯一的单克隆抗体将有其特权。2021年前9个月，REGEN-COV带来了35亿美元的产品净销售额，而礼来公司的抗体组合带来了11.7亿美元。美国政府已经签订了价值约10亿美元的sotrovimab合同。随着医院挤满了病人，任何有助于缓解系统压力的东西都可能受到高度追捧。</blockquote></p><p>And while Pfizer&#39;s Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who&#39;s who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid&#39;s possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然辉瑞的Paxlovid将极大地有利于减轻医疗保健系统的COVID-19负担，但这种口服药物具有显着且复杂的药物相互作用潜力。事实上，它的相互作用列表读起来就像是常用处方药的名人录。这包括流行的血液稀释剂，如波立维和Xarelto，常见的止痛药，如曲马多和羟考酮，抗焦虑药，如Klonopin和Xanax，以及抗胆固醇他汀类药物。随着美国国立卫生研究院发表声明，表达了对Paxlovid可能的药物相互作用的担忧，这为sotrovimab继续广泛使用留下了充足的空间。根据与GSK的协议，Vir获得了sotrovimab销售额的72.5%，这家价值44亿美元的生物技术公司目前看起来很划算。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/07/3-covid-stocks-that-will-make-billions-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","VIR":"Vir Biotechnology, Inc.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/07/3-covid-stocks-that-will-make-billions-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134509683","content_text":"It's a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.Pfizer(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in Vir Biotechnology(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.A safe harbor in stormy weatherGeorge Budwell(Pfizer):Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.What's more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.But less than three weeks out from the drug's initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.So, if you're looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billionTaylor Carmichael(Novavax):Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company's stock price is down to $125 a share. That's where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it's highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company's already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that's over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company's market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.The antibody market all to itselfPatrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from Eli Lilly (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from RocheandRegeneron are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--GlaxoSmithKline and Vir Biotechnology's sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it's the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly's antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.And while Pfizer's Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who's who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid's possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"VIR":0.9,"NVAX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699141525,"gmtCreate":1639759145176,"gmtModify":1639759145291,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","listText":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","text":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699141525","repostId":"1125012423","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125012423","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639751833,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125012423?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 22:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production<blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响2021年产量，早盘股价暴跌逾12%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125012423","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.It highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.Rivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.\"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC","content":"<p>Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2cd2f9985fc84125cde2f76f0e9f403\" tg-width=\"764\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It&nbsp;highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响2021年产量，该公司早盘股价下跌超过12%。它强调了在提高产量以对抗电动汽车领导者特斯拉公司时可能面临的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian还宣布计划建造一座耗资50亿美元的工厂以提高产能，同时指出尽管每周收到约2,000份预订订单，但仍面临生产挑战。</blockquote></p><p> \"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak said.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场分析师Joseph Spak表示：“我们不想过多解读近期问题……但这确实凸显了Rivian有很多事情要做的风险。”</blockquote></p><p> The company expects production to fall \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its 2021 target of 1,200 due to supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计，由于供应链限制，产量将比2021年1200辆的目标“少几百辆”。</blockquote></p><p> Increasing production of R1T truck, R1S SUV and Amazon's delivery vans within a few months would be akin to \"a really complex orchestra,\" Chief Executive Officer RJ Scaringe said.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官RJ Scaringe表示，在几个月内增加R1T卡车、R1S SUV和亚马逊送货车的产量将类似于“一个非常复杂的管弦乐队”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid 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tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production<blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响2021年产量，早盘股价暴跌逾12%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-17 22:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2cd2f9985fc84125cde2f76f0e9f403\" tg-width=\"764\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It&nbsp;highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响2021年产量，该公司早盘股价下跌超过12%。它强调了在提高产量以对抗电动汽车领导者特斯拉公司时可能面临的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian还宣布计划建造一座耗资50亿美元的工厂以提高产能，同时指出尽管每周收到约2,000份预订订单，但仍面临生产挑战。</blockquote></p><p> \"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak said.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场分析师Joseph Spak表示：“我们不想过多解读近期问题……但这确实凸显了Rivian有很多事情要做的风险。”</blockquote></p><p> The company expects production to fall \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its 2021 target of 1,200 due to supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计，由于供应链限制，产量将比2021年1200辆的目标“少几百辆”。</blockquote></p><p> Increasing production of R1T truck, R1S SUV and Amazon's delivery vans within a few months would be akin to \"a really complex orchestra,\" Chief Executive Officer RJ Scaringe said.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官RJ Scaringe表示，在几个月内增加R1T卡车、R1S SUV和亚马逊送货车的产量将类似于“一个非常复杂的管弦乐队”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125012423","content_text":"Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.It highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.\nRivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.\n\"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak said.\nThe company expects production to fall \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its 2021 target of 1,200 due to supply chain constraints.\nIncreasing production of R1T truck, R1S SUV and Amazon's delivery vans within a few months would be akin to \"a really complex orchestra,\" Chief Executive Officer RJ Scaringe said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608305378,"gmtCreate":1638613759772,"gmtModify":1638613759772,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more&nbsp;","listText":"Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more&nbsp;","text":"Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608305378","repostId":"1166348149","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1166348149","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638522212,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166348149?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 17:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中上涨7%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166348149","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading after plunging 20% on first day of trading.\n\nAfter comple","content":"<p>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;plunging&nbsp;20% on first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价在首日交易暴跌20%后，在盘前交易中上涨7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ecbac0018debb2d6e75a60d1c7f3d1\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> After completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings&nbsp;Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings Ltd.在完成了特殊目的收购公司迄今为止最富有的交易后。周四，即在美国交易的第一天，该股经历了最初的上涨，但随后暴跌至20%以上的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview&nbsp;on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于新加坡的公司开发了一款“超级应用”，在东南亚400多个城市提供叫车、送货和金融服务。Grab首席财务官Peter Oey周四在接受采访时表示，由于东南亚（尤其是越南）与COVID-19相关的停工，该公司在截至9月30日的第三季度经历了“最艰难的时期”。但他指出，尽管该公司正在关注新型冠状病毒变种奥密克戎的情况，但预计增长和复苏仍将持续。</blockquote></p><p> Backers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp.&nbsp;and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.</p><p><blockquote>Grab成立于2012年，其支持者包括滴滴出行、丰田汽车和软银集团的愿景基金。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中上涨7%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中上涨7%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-03 17:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;plunging&nbsp;20% on first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价在首日交易暴跌20%后，在盘前交易中上涨7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ecbac0018debb2d6e75a60d1c7f3d1\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> After completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings&nbsp;Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings Ltd.在完成了特殊目的收购公司迄今为止最富有的交易后。周四，即在美国交易的第一天，该股经历了最初的上涨，但随后暴跌至20%以上的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview&nbsp;on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于新加坡的公司开发了一款“超级应用”，在东南亚400多个城市提供叫车、送货和金融服务。Grab首席财务官Peter Oey周四在接受采访时表示，由于东南亚（尤其是越南）与COVID-19相关的停工，该公司在截至9月30日的第三季度经历了“最艰难的时期”。但他指出，尽管该公司正在关注新型冠状病毒变种奥密克戎的情况，但预计增长和复苏仍将持续。</blockquote></p><p> Backers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp.&nbsp;and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.</p><p><blockquote>Grab成立于2012年，其支持者包括滴滴出行、丰田汽车和软银集团的愿景基金。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166348149","content_text":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading after plunging 20% on first day of trading.\n\nAfter completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.\nThe Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.\nBackers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp. and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600692641,"gmtCreate":1638145033580,"gmtModify":1638145055151,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays","listText":"Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays","text":"Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600692641","repostId":"2186432895","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849460767,"gmtCreate":1635774051959,"gmtModify":1635774051959,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]","listText":"pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]","text":"pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849460767","repostId":"849165132","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":849165132,"gmtCreate":1635735786222,"gmtModify":1635940231850,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"A BIG BIG November for Tiger Brokers!!","htmlText":"The year has almost come to an end with only 2 months left, but not for Tiger Brokers. November will be a BIG BIG month for us as we kickstart the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)!How “Big” is the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)? Very big, let me show you the 4 “Big”s!Big Event - Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF) Tiger Brokers is proud to be the silver sponsor of Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF). What's so fun about this big event is that there will be back-to-back Tiger Live webinars from 8th to 12th November, 7pm every day, to cover various topics about investment!How can we forget about promotion ? The second big will be Big Promotion!Tiger Brokers is constantly challenging the limit, and we always rack our brains to give out better benefits to all traders.As part of the Tiger Fintech Fie","listText":"The year has almost come to an end with only 2 months left, but not for Tiger Brokers. November will be a BIG BIG month for us as we kickstart the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)!How “Big” is the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)? Very big, let me show you the 4 “Big”s!Big Event - Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF) Tiger Brokers is proud to be the silver sponsor of Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF). What's so fun about this big event is that there will be back-to-back Tiger Live webinars from 8th to 12th November, 7pm every day, to cover various topics about investment!How can we forget about promotion ? The second big will be Big Promotion!Tiger Brokers is constantly challenging the limit, and we always rack our brains to give out better benefits to all traders.As part of the Tiger Fintech Fie","text":"The year has almost come to an end with only 2 months left, but not for Tiger Brokers. November will be a BIG BIG month for us as we kickstart the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)!How “Big” is the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)? Very big, let me show you the 4 “Big”s!Big Event - Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF) Tiger Brokers is proud to be the silver sponsor of Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF). What's so fun about this big event is that there will be back-to-back Tiger Live webinars from 8th to 12th November, 7pm every day, to cover various topics about investment!How can we forget about promotion ? The second big will be Big Promotion!Tiger Brokers is constantly challenging the limit, and we always rack our brains to give out better benefits to all traders.As part of the Tiger Fintech Fie","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/712b61d31121272b969f444fb51bceac","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beadd3208c0954546bf3678c4e8cb539","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffd58e797fcaf5bd954117499cc47976","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849165132","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821177885,"gmtCreate":1633711749484,"gmtModify":1633711749621,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good stuff thanks","listText":"good stuff thanks","text":"good stuff thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821177885","repostId":"1133780035","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133780035","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633704297,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133780035?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 22:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的6个原因以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的6只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133780035","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a litt","content":"<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买给零售股带来了动力。</b>没有什么比十月的一点动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但是不要让他们的消极影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得考虑的行业之一的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详细信息和链接见下面的简历），以在市场上进行逆向“评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其负面，但本周下跌足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的逆向信号。（我就不指名道姓了。）而他们的消极在我的书里是看涨信号的事实，并不意味着我认为他们是密集的。只是高调的媒体评论员是共识海绵。这是一种职业危害——作为投资者，我们可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体发言人，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最疲软的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，这个惨淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的1月至5月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从10月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11月和12月可能会表现强劲。那是十月底完成的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，病例数和住院人数急剧下降。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季COVID流感季节。所以，今年期待同样的事情并不太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有已经接种疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.修正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>入夏以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动回调。罗素2000RUT,+0.14%8月份下跌超过10%，这是回调的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。嘉信理财首席投资策略师Liz Ann Sonders指出，截至10月初，90%或更多的标准普尔500SPX(-0.05%)和纳斯达克综合指数(-0.28%)股票已较2021年高点下跌至少10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当所有人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。大多数时候，市场有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这种方式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.家庭结构强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于放弃了父母的地下室——如果这种陈词滥调有任何真实性的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>事实是：他们正在进入婚姻和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，所以他们有足够的信心投入到住房所有权。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万个家庭组成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满这些新房子。这是一个内置的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者害怕，锁定和装载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源可以推动经济增长。一个是上面提到的家庭结构。另一个原因是公司库存水平较低——它们必须大量补货。但对我来说，最大的因素是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线是：消费者感到害怕。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情的继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数衡量，8月份消费者信心处于大流行开始以来的最低水平。9月份有所上升，但仍处于低位。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是6%-7%左右的长期平均水平的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要错误地认为这只是富人因为股市而变得更富。房价也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比为1985年以来最低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“消费者感到害怕，并且充满了未开发的购买力，”保尔森说。他表示：“这种悲观心态加上购买力过剩，从历史上看，市场出现了稳健的上涨，但很少出现下跌。”“这个比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我建议选择零售股。他们表现不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将Bath&amp;Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%视为一家拥有护城河且交易折扣的零售商。这家身体护理和家用香水零售商获得四星级评级，因为其股票交易价格远低于晨星公司对该名称79美元的“公允价值”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师Jaime Katz列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领导地位以及30%的平均投资资本回报率，远高于其8%的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX(+1.83%)的投资组合经理埃里克·马歇尔(Eric Marshall)看好服装零售商American Eagle OutfittersAEO(0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌了35%以上。该公司第二季度营收达到创纪录的11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的Aerie品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过2美元，这使得American Eagle股票的预期市盈率约为13倍，非常便宜。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一双热情的手。据晨星公司称，他的Hodges小型股基金今年上涨了31%，比小型混合基金和罗素2000指数基准高出12至18个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%，该公司销售运动和户外休闲用品。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的大流行销售帮助该公司降低了高债务水平。分析师担心大流行引发的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对亚马逊MAMZN(0.03%)和沃尔玛WMT(0.03%)的力量感到敬畏，但Motley Fool零售行业分析师Asit Sharma更青睐掌握“直接面向消费者”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合——包括在店内提货网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马说：“零售业常年受到负面评价，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在关闭所有实体店。”但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供出色的店内体验和独特的产品，这是这两家零售巨头无法真正提供的。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma引用了Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢该公司在面料方面投入自己的研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马还青睐Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮品”和户外设备。对于较大的股票名称，请考虑受欢迎的零售巨头TargetTGT，-0.24%，因其“一切都在一个屋檐下”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的6个原因以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的6只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的6个原因以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的6只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 22:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买给零售股带来了动力。</b>没有什么比十月的一点动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但是不要让他们的消极影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得考虑的行业之一的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详细信息和链接见下面的简历），以在市场上进行逆向“评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其负面，但本周下跌足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的逆向信号。（我就不指名道姓了。）而他们的消极在我的书里是看涨信号的事实，并不意味着我认为他们是密集的。只是高调的媒体评论员是共识海绵。这是一种职业危害——作为投资者，我们可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体发言人，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最疲软的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，这个惨淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的1月至5月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从10月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11月和12月可能会表现强劲。那是十月底完成的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，病例数和住院人数急剧下降。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季COVID流感季节。所以，今年期待同样的事情并不太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有已经接种疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.修正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>入夏以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动回调。罗素2000RUT,+0.14%8月份下跌超过10%，这是回调的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。嘉信理财首席投资策略师Liz Ann Sonders指出，截至10月初，90%或更多的标准普尔500SPX(-0.05%)和纳斯达克综合指数(-0.28%)股票已较2021年高点下跌至少10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当所有人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。大多数时候，市场有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这种方式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.家庭结构强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于放弃了父母的地下室——如果这种陈词滥调有任何真实性的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>事实是：他们正在进入婚姻和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，所以他们有足够的信心投入到住房所有权。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万个家庭组成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满这些新房子。这是一个内置的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者害怕，锁定和装载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源可以推动经济增长。一个是上面提到的家庭结构。另一个原因是公司库存水平较低——它们必须大量补货。但对我来说，最大的因素是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线是：消费者感到害怕。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情的继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数衡量，8月份消费者信心处于大流行开始以来的最低水平。9月份有所上升，但仍处于低位。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是6%-7%左右的长期平均水平的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要错误地认为这只是富人因为股市而变得更富。房价也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比为1985年以来最低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“消费者感到害怕，并且充满了未开发的购买力，”保尔森说。他表示：“这种悲观心态加上购买力过剩，从历史上看，市场出现了稳健的上涨，但很少出现下跌。”“这个比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我建议选择零售股。他们表现不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将Bath&amp;Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%视为一家拥有护城河且交易折扣的零售商。这家身体护理和家用香水零售商获得四星级评级，因为其股票交易价格远低于晨星公司对该名称79美元的“公允价值”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师Jaime Katz列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领导地位以及30%的平均投资资本回报率，远高于其8%的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX(+1.83%)的投资组合经理埃里克·马歇尔(Eric Marshall)看好服装零售商American Eagle OutfittersAEO(0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌了35%以上。该公司第二季度营收达到创纪录的11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的Aerie品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过2美元，这使得American Eagle股票的预期市盈率约为13倍，非常便宜。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一双热情的手。据晨星公司称，他的Hodges小型股基金今年上涨了31%，比小型混合基金和罗素2000指数基准高出12至18个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%，该公司销售运动和户外休闲用品。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的大流行销售帮助该公司降低了高债务水平。分析师担心大流行引发的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对亚马逊MAMZN(0.03%)和沃尔玛WMT(0.03%)的力量感到敬畏，但Motley Fool零售行业分析师Asit Sharma更青睐掌握“直接面向消费者”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合——包括在店内提货网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马说：“零售业常年受到负面评价，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在关闭所有实体店。”但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供出色的店内体验和独特的产品，这是这两家零售巨头无法真正提供的。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma引用了Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢该公司在面料方面投入自己的研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马还青睐Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮品”和户外设备。对于较大的股票名称，请考虑受欢迎的零售巨头TargetTGT，-0.24%，因其“一切都在一个屋檐下”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133780035","content_text":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.\nBut don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.\n1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough\nI regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.\nIt’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.\nPick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.\n2. Seasonality is in our favor\nThe worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.\n3. COVID is rolling over\nIt’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.\n4. A correction may have already happened\nSince the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.\nIn other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.\n5. There’s been strong household formation\nMillennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.\nWhat is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.\nThe upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.\n6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded\nThere are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.\nThe bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.\nNow a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.\nAt the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.\nDon’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.\n“Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”\nStocks to buy\nSince the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.\nMorningstar cites Bath & Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.\nAs for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.\nEric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.\nThe core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.\nMarshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.\nMarshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.\nWhile many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.\n“The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.\nHere, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.\nSharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864402808,"gmtCreate":1633136221066,"gmtModify":1633136221212,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","listText":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","text":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864402808","repostId":"2172295185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865403736,"gmtCreate":1633008615055,"gmtModify":1633008615214,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"so fi is it, pun intended","listText":"so fi is it, pun intended","text":"so fi is it, pun intended","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865403736","repostId":"2171937006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868724370,"gmtCreate":1632706931690,"gmtModify":1632798422865,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"right research will save one from more pain later","listText":"right research will save one from more pain later","text":"right research will save one from more pain later","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868724370","repostId":"1175726457","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175726457","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632626757,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175726457?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-26 11:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点：市场分析师对于股市下一步走势无法达成一致。因此，在买卖之前请仔细检查数据</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175726457","media":"Market Watch","summary":"It’s an urgent question, since the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for tw","content":"<p>It’s an urgent question, since the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个紧迫的问题，因为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>经济意外指数（CESI）在连续一年多上涨后，已经连续两个月为负。CESI衡量最新经济消息偏离华尔街共识的程度。因此，过去两个月CESI数据持续为负，这意味着总体而言，经济消息比预期的要糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Is it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?</p><p><blockquote>近期美国经济新闻发布明显逊于预期，对股票投资者来说是好消息还是坏消息？</blockquote></p><p> The latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团经济意外指数（CESI）的最新读数为负29.2。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>10天前，这个数字甚至更低，为负61.7。过去18年的平均值为4.6。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd20c01571a824c8113089a65b814bb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.</p><p><blockquote>我监督的顾问们对这些最新读数的含义没有达成共识。一些人认为这是好消息，反向理论认为，差于预期的消息构成了美国牛市可以攀登的“担忧之墙”。其他人则认为，你不能粉饰比预期更糟糕的经济消息。</blockquote></p><p> To help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&amp;P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助解决他们的分歧，我分析了2003年以来的每日CESI数据。具体来说，我测量了它与标普500 SPX的相关性，在随后的一个月、一个季度、六个月内+0.15%的回报率，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>年。我没有发现任何符合传统统计意义标准的东西。</blockquote></p><p> A summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&amp;P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.</p><p><blockquote>我的发现总结如下图所示。请注意，无论CESI是正还是负、趋势上升还是下降，标普500的平均回报几乎是相同的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65016b28c482526ac92a5d6035ba9ed9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> These findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”</p><p><blockquote>这些发现并不是对CESI本身的批评。花旗集团创建该指数是为了作为外汇交易者的有用工具。花旗集团表示，CESI“是独特专有设计的完美例子，对讨论它的人几乎没有影响……它不应该用于股票价格。”</blockquote></p><p> There’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.</p><p><blockquote>这里还有一个更广泛的教训需要我们学习：我们需要让我们的直觉接受经验现实的检验。当我们的预感看起来如此明显正确时，这一点尤其重要——就像经济消息是好于预期还是差于预期的情况一样。股市历史充满了必然会发生但却没有发生的预期。</blockquote></p><p> It can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.</p><p><blockquote>在庞大的数据库中翻阅一个模式是否真的存在可能是一件乏味的事情。但努力是值得的。虽然统计上的严谨并不能保证你会战胜市场，但如果你在统计上草率和不一致，你肯定会输给市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点：市场分析师对于股市下一步走势无法达成一致。因此，在买卖之前请仔细检查数据</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点：市场分析师对于股市下一步走势无法达成一致。因此，在买卖之前请仔细检查数据</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Watch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-26 11:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s an urgent question, since the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个紧迫的问题，因为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>经济意外指数（CESI）在连续一年多上涨后，已经连续两个月为负。CESI衡量最新经济消息偏离华尔街共识的程度。因此，过去两个月CESI数据持续为负，这意味着总体而言，经济消息比预期的要糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Is it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?</p><p><blockquote>近期美国经济新闻发布明显逊于预期，对股票投资者来说是好消息还是坏消息？</blockquote></p><p> The latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团经济意外指数（CESI）的最新读数为负29.2。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>10天前，这个数字甚至更低，为负61.7。过去18年的平均值为4.6。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd20c01571a824c8113089a65b814bb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.</p><p><blockquote>我监督的顾问们对这些最新读数的含义没有达成共识。一些人认为这是好消息，反向理论认为，差于预期的消息构成了美国牛市可以攀登的“担忧之墙”。其他人则认为，你不能粉饰比预期更糟糕的经济消息。</blockquote></p><p> To help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&amp;P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助解决他们的分歧，我分析了2003年以来的每日CESI数据。具体来说，我测量了它与标普500 SPX的相关性，在随后的一个月、一个季度、六个月内+0.15%的回报率，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>年。我没有发现任何符合传统统计意义标准的东西。</blockquote></p><p> A summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&amp;P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.</p><p><blockquote>我的发现总结如下图所示。请注意，无论CESI是正还是负、趋势上升还是下降，标普500的平均回报几乎是相同的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65016b28c482526ac92a5d6035ba9ed9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> These findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”</p><p><blockquote>这些发现并不是对CESI本身的批评。花旗集团创建该指数是为了作为外汇交易者的有用工具。花旗集团表示，CESI“是独特专有设计的完美例子，对讨论它的人几乎没有影响……它不应该用于股票价格。”</blockquote></p><p> There’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.</p><p><blockquote>这里还有一个更广泛的教训需要我们学习：我们需要让我们的直觉接受经验现实的检验。当我们的预感看起来如此明显正确时，这一点尤其重要——就像经济消息是好于预期还是差于预期的情况一样。股市历史充满了必然会发生但却没有发生的预期。</blockquote></p><p> It can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.</p><p><blockquote>在庞大的数据库中翻阅一个模式是否真的存在可能是一件乏味的事情。但努力是值得的。虽然统计上的严谨并不能保证你会战胜市场，但如果你在统计上草率和不一致，你肯定会输给市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/market-analysts-cant-agree-on-where-stocks-are-going-next-so-double-check-the-data-before-you-buy-or-sell-11632447577?mod=home-page\">Market Watch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/market-analysts-cant-agree-on-where-stocks-are-going-next-so-double-check-the-data-before-you-buy-or-sell-11632447577?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175726457","content_text":"It’s an urgent question, since the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.\nIs it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?\nThe latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. Just 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.\n\nThere is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.\nTo help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and one year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.\nA summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.\n\nThese findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”\nThere’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.\nIt can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860481872,"gmtCreate":1632198180996,"gmtModify":1632802115835,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","listText":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","text":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860481872","repostId":"1109188181","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109188181","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632123243,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109188181?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 15:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109188181","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.\n\nFor many stock traders, four l","content":"<p>  <b>MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.</b>  For many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.</p><p><blockquote><b>MACD和MACD直方图可以提振您的交易组合。</b>对于许多股票交易者来说，四个字母可以拼出输赢头寸的区别。MACD（移动平均线收敛发散）是交易者在分析中一贯使用的关键股市指标（与移动平均线和RSI一起）之一。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.</p><p><blockquote>让我们讨论一些使用这种功能强大且多功能的仪表的创造性方法。</blockquote></p><p> MACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.&nbsp; It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.</p><p><blockquote>MACD于20世纪70年代末推出，是一种趋势跟踪动量指标。它有助于确定趋势及其相关动量（即方向速度和持续时间）何时结束或开始，或者可能逆转方向。</blockquote></p><p> Be aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，MACD是一个“滞后”或“向后看”指标，这意味着它的信号会延迟，但不要让这阻止你。当MACD产生信号时，它通常是重要的，尤其是在周线图上使用时（相对于短线交易者喜欢的日线图）。事实上，MACD时间框架越长，结果就越有效，这也是像我这样的长期交易者更喜欢使用周线图的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> When you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.</p><p><blockquote>当你在图表上查看MACD时，你会看到两条线。黑线被称为“MACD线”。灰色(或红色)线被称为“信号线”记住：MACD线是领先线，而信号线是落后线。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).&nbsp; The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.</p><p><blockquote>此外，一条横穿图表的水平线称为“零线”（0线），零线的主要作用是提醒你标的价格行为的主要趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Four simple trading signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四个简单的交易信号</b></blockquote></p><p> At its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:</p><p><blockquote>在最基本的层面上，MACD会产生四个信号：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线越过零线时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线穿越九日信号线上方时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿零线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿九日信号线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> Note: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.</p><p><blockquote>注意：当MACD线和九天信号线都朝着同一个方向移动（上升趋势或下降趋势）时，这是一个更强、更重要的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，仅仅因为MACD产生买入或卖出信号并不意味着它是可操作的交易。与任何指标一样，也存在错误信号。此外，在投入真钱进行交易之前，您必须确认其他指标。将这些MACD买卖信号视为指导方针，而不是规则。</blockquote></p><p> Another limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.</p><p><blockquote>MACD的另一个局限性是，它在股市顶部或市场波动性较低时效果不佳。因此，如果您在当前市场上使用道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(-0.48%)或标准普尔500SPX(-0.91%)的MACD，则该信号就没有那么有用了。这就是为什么你应该在个股上使用MACD，直到主要市场指数的波动性恢复。</blockquote></p><p> What MACD says about Tesla now</p><p><blockquote>MACD现在对特斯拉有何看法</blockquote></p><p> For example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA，+0.33%的周线图显示其MACD位于零线上方，MACD线位于信号线上方。特斯拉也高于其移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Based on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy.&nbsp;If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.</p><p><blockquote>基于这一信息，特斯拉股票目前属于短期“强力”买入。如果特斯拉的MACD线跌破其信号线，而两条线都高于零线，则该股将属于“适度”买入。</blockquote></p><p> A few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.</p><p><blockquote>几年前，我与MACD的创始人杰拉尔德·阿佩尔（Gerald Appel）进行了交谈。他告诉我，他在20世纪70年代末通过在打孔机和电子表格中输入数字创造了MACD。个人电脑发明后，他能够使这个过程自动化。</blockquote></p><p> Appel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”</p><p><blockquote>Appel对MACD变得如此受欢迎表示惊讶。“它之所以有效，是因为它可以适应任何时间范围，”他说。“您可以通过使用基于月度数据的MACD模式来很好地了解市场的主要趋势。您也可以在五分钟图上使用它。”</blockquote></p><p> MACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”</p><p><blockquote>MACD在市场底部给出最精确的信号。阿佩尔说：“由于市场的行为方式，它在市场低点比在高点更准确。市场底部往往非常尖锐和明显，而顶部往往宽阔而缓慢。当越来越多的股票下跌时，市场平均线也有可能继续向上漂移。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔警告说，你必须根据其他指标确认MACD信号。“没有一个指标是绝对正确的，”他说。“你可能会看到市场上涨，而MACD转向下跌。也许你认为这是卖出信号。嗯，可能不是。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔补充说，他喜欢同时处理不同的MACD时间框架。例如，如果短期MACD与中期MACD一起出现，他就更有信心信号是有效的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The MACD-Histogram</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MACD直方图</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package.&nbsp;Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.</p><p><blockquote>MACD最强大（但经常被忽视）的补充之一是MACD直方图。该振荡器由托马斯·阿斯普雷于1986年开发，用于测量动量。这是一个独立的程序，应该可以在您的图表包中找到。使用此功能的交易者通常同时查看股票图表上的MACD和直方图。</blockquote></p><p> The histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.</p><p><blockquote>直方图是股票屏幕底部的一系列条形图。如果棒线移动到零线以上，这意味着标的股票（或指数）正在获得力量，即动量。如果棒线移动到零线以下，股票或指数正在失去力量。</blockquote></p><p> Many beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.</p><p><blockquote>许多新手交易者没有意识到动量总是先于价格变化。这就是MACD和MACD直方图如此有价值的原因。这两个指标都可以检测动能何时减弱。如果直方图柱移动到零线上方，这也可能是看涨的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Histogram signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>直方图信号</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>If the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.</li> </ol> <ol>  <li>As mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.</li> </ol> <b>Red flags</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果MACD直方图条变成较浅的颜色，这意味着动量正在减弱。这不是卖出信号；这仅仅意味着对该特定股票的热情正在减弱。</li></ol><ol><li>如前所述，如果直方图柱升至零线以上，则为买入信号。上升趋势可能正在形成。如果直方图柱跌破零线，则为卖出信号。下降趋势可能正在形成。</li></ol><b>危险信号</b></blockquote></p><p> If you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).</p><p><blockquote>如果你看到指数价格和股票价格走高，但MACD转低，这是一个危险信号。此外，如果您看到MACD直方图改变颜色并且棒线变短，则确认动量正在减弱（但请根据RSI或随机指标确认这一点）。</blockquote></p><p> If you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.</p><p><blockquote>如果您从未使用过MACD或MACD直方图，请尝试一下。对任何已经触底并正在走高的股票使用这些衡量标准。他们将帮助确认股票是否有腿，或者只是给交易者一个头假的。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Michael Sincere&nbsp;(michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Michael Sincere（michaelsincere.com）是《了解期权》和《了解股票》的作者。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSavvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 15:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.</b>  For many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.</p><p><blockquote><b>MACD和MACD直方图可以提振您的交易组合。</b>对于许多股票交易者来说，四个字母可以拼出输赢头寸的区别。MACD（移动平均线收敛发散）是交易者在分析中一贯使用的关键股市指标（与移动平均线和RSI一起）之一。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.</p><p><blockquote>让我们讨论一些使用这种功能强大且多功能的仪表的创造性方法。</blockquote></p><p> MACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.&nbsp; It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.</p><p><blockquote>MACD于20世纪70年代末推出，是一种趋势跟踪动量指标。它有助于确定趋势及其相关动量（即方向速度和持续时间）何时结束或开始，或者可能逆转方向。</blockquote></p><p> Be aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，MACD是一个“滞后”或“向后看”指标，这意味着它的信号会延迟，但不要让这阻止你。当MACD产生信号时，它通常是重要的，尤其是在周线图上使用时（相对于短线交易者喜欢的日线图）。事实上，MACD时间框架越长，结果就越有效，这也是像我这样的长期交易者更喜欢使用周线图的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> When you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.</p><p><blockquote>当你在图表上查看MACD时，你会看到两条线。黑线被称为“MACD线”。灰色(或红色)线被称为“信号线”记住：MACD线是领先线，而信号线是落后线。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).&nbsp; The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.</p><p><blockquote>此外，一条横穿图表的水平线称为“零线”（0线），零线的主要作用是提醒你标的价格行为的主要趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Four simple trading signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四个简单的交易信号</b></blockquote></p><p> At its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:</p><p><blockquote>在最基本的层面上，MACD会产生四个信号：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线越过零线时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线穿越九日信号线上方时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿零线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿九日信号线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> Note: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.</p><p><blockquote>注意：当MACD线和九天信号线都朝着同一个方向移动（上升趋势或下降趋势）时，这是一个更强、更重要的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，仅仅因为MACD产生买入或卖出信号并不意味着它是可操作的交易。与任何指标一样，也存在错误信号。此外，在投入真钱进行交易之前，您必须确认其他指标。将这些MACD买卖信号视为指导方针，而不是规则。</blockquote></p><p> Another limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.</p><p><blockquote>MACD的另一个局限性是，它在股市顶部或市场波动性较低时效果不佳。因此，如果您在当前市场上使用道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(-0.48%)或标准普尔500SPX(-0.91%)的MACD，则该信号就没有那么有用了。这就是为什么你应该在个股上使用MACD，直到主要市场指数的波动性恢复。</blockquote></p><p> What MACD says about Tesla now</p><p><blockquote>MACD现在对特斯拉有何看法</blockquote></p><p> For example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA，+0.33%的周线图显示其MACD位于零线上方，MACD线位于信号线上方。特斯拉也高于其移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Based on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy.&nbsp;If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.</p><p><blockquote>基于这一信息，特斯拉股票目前属于短期“强力”买入。如果特斯拉的MACD线跌破其信号线，而两条线都高于零线，则该股将属于“适度”买入。</blockquote></p><p> A few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.</p><p><blockquote>几年前，我与MACD的创始人杰拉尔德·阿佩尔（Gerald Appel）进行了交谈。他告诉我，他在20世纪70年代末通过在打孔机和电子表格中输入数字创造了MACD。个人电脑发明后，他能够使这个过程自动化。</blockquote></p><p> Appel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”</p><p><blockquote>Appel对MACD变得如此受欢迎表示惊讶。“它之所以有效，是因为它可以适应任何时间范围，”他说。“您可以通过使用基于月度数据的MACD模式来很好地了解市场的主要趋势。您也可以在五分钟图上使用它。”</blockquote></p><p> MACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”</p><p><blockquote>MACD在市场底部给出最精确的信号。阿佩尔说：“由于市场的行为方式，它在市场低点比在高点更准确。市场底部往往非常尖锐和明显，而顶部往往宽阔而缓慢。当越来越多的股票下跌时，市场平均线也有可能继续向上漂移。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔警告说，你必须根据其他指标确认MACD信号。“没有一个指标是绝对正确的，”他说。“你可能会看到市场上涨，而MACD转向下跌。也许你认为这是卖出信号。嗯，可能不是。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔补充说，他喜欢同时处理不同的MACD时间框架。例如，如果短期MACD与中期MACD一起出现，他就更有信心信号是有效的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The MACD-Histogram</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MACD直方图</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package.&nbsp;Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.</p><p><blockquote>MACD最强大（但经常被忽视）的补充之一是MACD直方图。该振荡器由托马斯·阿斯普雷于1986年开发，用于测量动量。这是一个独立的程序，应该可以在您的图表包中找到。使用此功能的交易者通常同时查看股票图表上的MACD和直方图。</blockquote></p><p> The histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.</p><p><blockquote>直方图是股票屏幕底部的一系列条形图。如果棒线移动到零线以上，这意味着标的股票（或指数）正在获得力量，即动量。如果棒线移动到零线以下，股票或指数正在失去力量。</blockquote></p><p> Many beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.</p><p><blockquote>许多新手交易者没有意识到动量总是先于价格变化。这就是MACD和MACD直方图如此有价值的原因。这两个指标都可以检测动能何时减弱。如果直方图柱移动到零线上方，这也可能是看涨的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Histogram signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>直方图信号</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>If the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.</li> </ol> <ol>  <li>As mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.</li> </ol> <b>Red flags</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果MACD直方图条变成较浅的颜色，这意味着动量正在减弱。这不是卖出信号；这仅仅意味着对该特定股票的热情正在减弱。</li></ol><ol><li>如前所述，如果直方图柱升至零线以上，则为买入信号。上升趋势可能正在形成。如果直方图柱跌破零线，则为卖出信号。下降趋势可能正在形成。</li></ol><b>危险信号</b></blockquote></p><p> If you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).</p><p><blockquote>如果你看到指数价格和股票价格走高，但MACD转低，这是一个危险信号。此外，如果您看到MACD直方图改变颜色并且棒线变短，则确认动量正在减弱（但请根据RSI或随机指标确认这一点）。</blockquote></p><p> If you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.</p><p><blockquote>如果您从未使用过MACD或MACD直方图，请尝试一下。对任何已经触底并正在走高的股票使用这些衡量标准。他们将帮助确认股票是否有腿，或者只是给交易者一个头假的。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Michael Sincere&nbsp;(michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Michael Sincere（michaelsincere.com）是《了解期权》和《了解股票》的作者。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/savvy-stock-traders-use-these-2-insider-tips-to-know-when-to-buy-and-sell-11631314697\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/savvy-stock-traders-use-these-2-insider-tips-to-know-when-to-buy-and-sell-11631314697","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109188181","content_text":"MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.\n\nFor many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.\nLet’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.\nMACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.  It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.\nBe aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.\nWhen you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.\nIn addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).  The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.\nFour simple trading signals\nAt its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:\nBuy:When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.\nBuy:When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.\nSell:When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.\nSell:When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.\nNote: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.\nKeep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.\nAnother limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.\nWhat MACD says about Tesla now\nFor example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.\nBased on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy. If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.\nA few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.\nAppel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”\nMACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”\nAppel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”\nAppel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.\nThe MACD-Histogram\nOne of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package. Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.\nThe histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.\nMany beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.\nHistogram signals\n\nIf the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.\n\n\nAs mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.\n\nRed flags\nIf you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).\nIf you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.\nMichael Sincere (michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885410445,"gmtCreate":1631810278387,"gmtModify":1631891049931,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"agree absolutely","listText":"agree absolutely","text":"agree absolutely","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885410445","repostId":"2167543250","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816322927,"gmtCreate":1630469600869,"gmtModify":1631891049938,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"well wriiten","listText":"well wriiten","text":"well wriiten","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816322927","repostId":"816398805","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":816398805,"gmtCreate":1630464975807,"gmtModify":1631883909539,"author":{"id":"3557997848207595","authorId":"3557997848207595","name":"Sorrie2u","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daee3c31c13830f17698139700d5c999","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557997848207595","idStr":"3557997848207595"},"themes":[],"title":"market view end 21","htmlText":"Delta variant has been wrecking the world and although reported financial figures are looking good but it was from a backdrop of last year's major covid downfall of the markets.&nbsp;Many downplay the inflation risk in coming year but on the ground, looking at companies procurement plans and material costs. Everything is on the rise where transportation/logistic costs are up by abt 30% and raw material costs up my a substantial amount too due to chip shortages etc.&nbsp;Even recycling companies are raising their prices for taking in scrap materials such as metals and electronic boards as well as computer chips. These recycling prices have rose abt 30-40% per kg.&nbsp;All these amounts to general inflation around the world but markets are making ATH still. IMO this is a dangerous time to be","listText":"Delta variant has been wrecking the world and although reported financial figures are looking good but it was from a backdrop of last year's major covid downfall of the markets.&nbsp;Many downplay the inflation risk in coming year but on the ground, looking at companies procurement plans and material costs. Everything is on the rise where transportation/logistic costs are up by abt 30% and raw material costs up my a substantial amount too due to chip shortages etc.&nbsp;Even recycling companies are raising their prices for taking in scrap materials such as metals and electronic boards as well as computer chips. These recycling prices have rose abt 30-40% per kg.&nbsp;All these amounts to general inflation around the world but markets are making ATH still. IMO this is a dangerous time to be","text":"Delta variant has been wrecking the world and although reported financial figures are looking good but it was from a backdrop of last year's major covid downfall of the markets. Many downplay the inflation risk in coming year but on the ground, looking at companies procurement plans and material costs. Everything is on the rise where transportation/logistic costs are up by abt 30% and raw material costs up my a substantial amount too due to chip shortages etc. Even recycling companies are raising their prices for taking in scrap materials such as metals and electronic boards as well as computer chips. These recycling prices have rose abt 30-40% per kg. All these amounts to general inflation around the world but markets are making ATH still. IMO this is a dangerous time to be","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816398805","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816329620,"gmtCreate":1630469077960,"gmtModify":1631883827024,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"one to look out for","listText":"one to look out for","text":"one to look out for","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816329620","repostId":"818770517","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":818770517,"gmtCreate":1630452890939,"gmtModify":1631885908575,"author":{"id":"4090668520010600","authorId":"4090668520010600","name":"ysyyay","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9c5878bbd3378af1641b8ed09c98217","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090668520010600","idStr":"4090668520010600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMRS\">$Amyris(AMRS)$</a>nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMRS\">$Amyris(AMRS)$</a>nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!","text":"$Amyris(AMRS)$nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98131c69a08d504eccb7b794ecfed616","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818770517","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819309418,"gmtCreate":1630031318334,"gmtModify":1704954883674,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Big move&nbsp;","listText":"Big move&nbsp;","text":"Big move","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1504298eab6b5830721b84cfaa52afd8","width":"1080","height":"3013"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819309418","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891743207,"gmtCreate":1628435294109,"gmtModify":1631891049945,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","listText":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","text":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891743207","repostId":"1143051031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175571964,"gmtCreate":1627044387658,"gmtModify":1631891049947,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","listText":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","text":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175571964","repostId":"2153092983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119322473,"gmtCreate":1622521638792,"gmtModify":1631891049955,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"check out absolute software also (abst)","listText":"check out absolute software also (abst)","text":"check out absolute software also (abst)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119322473","repostId":"1143634909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132796946,"gmtCreate":1622113290185,"gmtModify":1631891049954,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[龇牙]","listText":"[龇牙]","text":"[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132796946","repostId":"2138531112","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1775,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":190066327,"gmtCreate":1620554841069,"gmtModify":1631889063905,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices&nbsp;","listText":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices&nbsp;","text":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190066327","repostId":"1117194592","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117194592","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620443747,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117194592?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币——这只股票更值得买入</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117194592","media":"fool","summary":"It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of Dogecoin did so because they are hoping t","content":"<p>It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of&nbsp;<b>Dogecoin</b>&nbsp;did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定地说，许多买家<b>狗狗币</b>这样做是因为他们希望迷因加密货币能够“登上月球”。但仅仅因为埃隆·马斯克马克·库班(Elon MuskorMark Cuban)在推文中提到，就很难为一天交易过程中价值上涨或下跌26%的东西做出真正的投资案例。</blockquote></p><p>Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research provider<i>BloombergNEF</i>. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>寻求登月投资的投资者最好选择一家有望给现有行业带来根本性转变的公司。据行业研究提供商称，电动汽车(EV)销量预计将从2020年的170万辆跃升至2025年的850万辆，10年后将增至2600万辆<i>彭博新能源财经</i>.该公司预计未来10年电动汽车销量将再次增长一倍以上。</blockquote></p><p>Charging station network leader&nbsp;<b>ChargePoint Holdings</b>(NYSE:CHPT)&nbsp;is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.</p><p><blockquote>充电站网络领导者<b>ChargePoint控股</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHPT）已在该业务中成立，该公司的投资者可以驾驭电动汽车爆炸性增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p><b>De-SPAC results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特殊目的收购公司并购业绩</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint于3月1日通过特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并上市。但与电动汽车领域的一些特殊目的收购公司不同，该公司迄今为止已达到销售预期，并保持未来前景不变。这是因为它在上市之前就已经是一家成熟的企业，在北美和欧洲的网络上拥有4,000多个商业和车队客户，以及超过132,000个充电点。</blockquote></p><p>There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.</p><p><blockquote>这个领域现在和将来都会有很多竞争。但与其他国内外参与者相比，ChargePoint是最大的参与者之一。该行业几家公司的过去和预计未来收入如下所示。</blockquote></p><p><table><tbody><tr><th>Company</th><th>2021 Revenue Estimate (million)</th><th>2020 Revenue (million)</th></tr><tr><td>ChargePoint</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>Volta</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>Blink Charging</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDED</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><th>公司</th><th>2021年收入预测（百万）</th><th>2020年收入（百万）</th></tr><tr><td>充电点</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>沃尔特</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>闪烁充电</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>数据来源：公司财务。*未提供</blockquote></p><p><b>ChargePoint is the current favorite</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ChargePoint是当前的最爱</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint在北美已经遥遥领先，在使用240伏电源的2级充电网络中占有70%的份额。其全面的产品网络还包括2,000多个公共快速充电站。其产品套件可满足电动汽车车主、停车运营商和消费者以及企业和市政当局的需求。</blockquote></p><p>And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>作为基础设施计划的一部分，乔·拜登总统提议在美国安装50万个新充电站，这表明市场可以增长多大。他还打算让公交车队和政府车队电气化。虽然ChargePoint支持基础设施一揽子计划，并且几乎肯定会成为其通过的受益者，但该公司并不需要这种催化剂来使其充电网络快速增长。</blockquote></p><p><b>Investors should play the odds and think long-term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应把握机遇，着眼长远</b></blockquote></p><p>Betting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for&nbsp;<b>Blink Charging</b>(NASDAQ:BLNK).</p><p><blockquote>押注电动汽车行业不是短期策略。但如果到2040年全球汽车保有量实现超过5400万辆的指数增长，那么该行业目前的高估值最终可能是合理的。仅从2020年收入最高和最低的两家公司来看，ChargePoint的市销率约为50，但ChargePoint的市销率为250<b>闪烁充电</b>（纳斯达克：BLNK）。</blockquote></p><p>A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.</p><p><blockquote>当然，押注充电网络领域并不能保证成功。汽车制造商可能会尝试拥有类似于<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）的超级充电网络模型。但随着汽车制造商提高电动汽车产量，他们专注于自己最了解的领域（可能包括电池生产）似乎更有意义。</blockquote></p><p>For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>对于想要投机获取巨额收益的投资者来说，充电公司在快速增长的行业中拥有成熟的业务。随着埃隆·马斯克或其他人激发散户的兴趣，狗狗币持续上涨。但如果这是它上涨的唯一原因，它就不可能长期持续下去。像ChargePoint这样的充电公司应该更有可能提供长期收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币——这只股票更值得买入</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币——这只股票更值得买入</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of&nbsp;<b>Dogecoin</b>&nbsp;did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定地说，许多买家<b>狗狗币</b>这样做是因为他们希望迷因加密货币能够“登上月球”。但仅仅因为埃隆·马斯克马克·库班(Elon MuskorMark Cuban)在推文中提到，就很难为一天交易过程中价值上涨或下跌26%的东西做出真正的投资案例。</blockquote></p><p>Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research provider<i>BloombergNEF</i>. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>寻求登月投资的投资者最好选择一家有望给现有行业带来根本性转变的公司。据行业研究提供商称，电动汽车(EV)销量预计将从2020年的170万辆跃升至2025年的850万辆，10年后将增至2600万辆<i>彭博新能源财经</i>.该公司预计未来10年电动汽车销量将再次增长一倍以上。</blockquote></p><p>Charging station network leader&nbsp;<b>ChargePoint Holdings</b>(NYSE:CHPT)&nbsp;is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.</p><p><blockquote>充电站网络领导者<b>ChargePoint控股</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHPT）已在该业务中成立，该公司的投资者可以驾驭电动汽车爆炸性增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p><b>De-SPAC results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特殊目的收购公司并购业绩</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint于3月1日通过特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并上市。但与电动汽车领域的一些特殊目的收购公司不同，该公司迄今为止已达到销售预期，并保持未来前景不变。这是因为它在上市之前就已经是一家成熟的企业，在北美和欧洲的网络上拥有4,000多个商业和车队客户，以及超过132,000个充电点。</blockquote></p><p>There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.</p><p><blockquote>这个领域现在和将来都会有很多竞争。但与其他国内外参与者相比，ChargePoint是最大的参与者之一。该行业几家公司的过去和预计未来收入如下所示。</blockquote></p><p><table><tbody><tr><th>Company</th><th>2021 Revenue Estimate (million)</th><th>2020 Revenue (million)</th></tr><tr><td>ChargePoint</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>Volta</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>Blink Charging</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDED</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><th>公司</th><th>2021年收入预测（百万）</th><th>2020年收入（百万）</th></tr><tr><td>充电点</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>沃尔特</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>闪烁充电</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>数据来源：公司财务。*未提供</blockquote></p><p><b>ChargePoint is the current favorite</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ChargePoint是当前的最爱</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint在北美已经遥遥领先，在使用240伏电源的2级充电网络中占有70%的份额。其全面的产品网络还包括2,000多个公共快速充电站。其产品套件可满足电动汽车车主、停车运营商和消费者以及企业和市政当局的需求。</blockquote></p><p>And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>作为基础设施计划的一部分，乔·拜登总统提议在美国安装50万个新充电站，这表明市场可以增长多大。他还打算让公交车队和政府车队电气化。虽然ChargePoint支持基础设施一揽子计划，并且几乎肯定会成为其通过的受益者，但该公司并不需要这种催化剂来使其充电网络快速增长。</blockquote></p><p><b>Investors should play the odds and think long-term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应把握机遇，着眼长远</b></blockquote></p><p>Betting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for&nbsp;<b>Blink Charging</b>(NASDAQ:BLNK).</p><p><blockquote>押注电动汽车行业不是短期策略。但如果到2040年全球汽车保有量实现超过5400万辆的指数增长，那么该行业目前的高估值最终可能是合理的。仅从2020年收入最高和最低的两家公司来看，ChargePoint的市销率约为50，但ChargePoint的市销率为250<b>闪烁充电</b>（纳斯达克：BLNK）。</blockquote></p><p>A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.</p><p><blockquote>当然，押注充电网络领域并不能保证成功。汽车制造商可能会尝试拥有类似于<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）的超级充电网络模型。但随着汽车制造商提高电动汽车产量，他们专注于自己最了解的领域（可能包括电池生产）似乎更有意义。</blockquote></p><p>For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>对于想要投机获取巨额收益的投资者来说，充电公司在快速增长的行业中拥有成熟的业务。随着埃隆·马斯克或其他人激发散户的兴趣，狗狗币持续上涨。但如果这是它上涨的唯一原因，它就不可能长期持续下去。像ChargePoint这样的充电公司应该更有可能提供长期收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/07/forget-dogecoin-this-stock-is-a-better-buy/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CHPT":"ChargePoint Holdings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/07/forget-dogecoin-this-stock-is-a-better-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117194592","content_text":"It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of Dogecoin did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research providerBloombergNEF. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.Charging station network leader ChargePoint Holdings(NYSE:CHPT) is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.De-SPAC resultsChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.Company2021 Revenue Estimate (million)2020 Revenue (million)ChargePoint$200$146EVBox$145$84Volta$47$25EVgo$20$14Blink ChargingNP*$6.2DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDEDChargePoint is the current favoriteChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.Investors should play the odds and think long-termBetting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for Blink Charging(NASDAQ:BLNK).A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to Tesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CHPT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100337479,"gmtCreate":1619579730191,"gmtModify":1631891049962,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good time to buy the dip [财迷] [财迷]","listText":"good time to buy the dip [财迷] [财迷]","text":"good time to buy the dip [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100337479","repostId":"2130731473","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2130731473","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619566911,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2130731473?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 07:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pinterest shares sink as easing of pandemic restrictions weighs on user growth<blockquote>疫情限制放松拖累用户增长，Pinterest股价下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2130731473","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Pinterest Inc. on Tuesday reported 78% year-over-year revenue growth for the first quarter, but its ","content":"<p>Pinterest Inc. on Tuesday reported 78% year-over-year revenue growth for the first quarter, but its user growth fell short of analysts' expectations as COVID-19 pandemic restrictions eased.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest公司周二公布第一季度收入同比增长78%，但随着COVID-19大流行限制的放松，其用户增长低于分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The online-pinboard company said its global monthly active users rose 30% year over year to 478 million. Analysts had forecast that number to be slightly higher than 480 million.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线插板公司表示，其全球月活跃用户同比增长30%，达到4.78亿。分析师此前预测这一数字略高于4.8亿。</blockquote></p><p> \"Starting in mid-March, the easing of pandemic restrictions slowed U.S. MAU growth and lowered engagement year over year as people spent less time online,\" the company wrote in a letter to shareholders. \"In Q1, we saw good retention of the MAUs we gained during 2020, but we still don't know if or how long this retention will last.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司在致股东的信中写道：“从3月中旬开始，疫情限制的放松减缓了美国月活跃用户数的增长，并随着人们上网时间的减少，参与度同比下降。”“在第一季度，我们看到2020年获得的月活跃用户保持良好，但我们仍然不知道这种保持是否会持续或持续多久。”</blockquote></p><p> Pinterest&nbsp;shares fell 10.5% after hours, after rising more than 1% in the regular session to close at $77.58.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest股价盘后下跌10.5%，常规交易时段上涨逾1%，收于77.58美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/250886ffe9ed7924dc5d464864f72418\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company pointed to growth internationally, though.</p><p><blockquote>不过，该公司指出了国际增长。</blockquote></p><p> \"This quarter, we continued strong growth internationally, including our recent launch of advertising in Brazil, and made significant progress with shopping, making it easier for people to discover and buy products they find on Pinterest,\" Chief Executive Ben Silbermann said in a news release.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官本·西尔伯曼(Ben Silbermann)在一份报告中表示：“本季度，我们在国际上继续强劲增长，包括最近在巴西推出的广告，并在购物方面取得了重大进展，使人们更容易发现和购买他们在Pinterest上找到的产品。”新闻稿。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported a first-quarter loss of $21.7 million, or 3 cents a share, compared with a loss of $141.1 million, or 25 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings were $83.8 million, or 11 cents a share, adjusted for stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization and more. Revenue rose to $485.2 million from $271.9 million in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司报告第一季度亏损2170万美元，即每股亏损3美分，而去年同期亏损1.411亿美元，即每股亏损25美分。调整后收益为8380万美元，即每股11美分，根据股票薪酬、折旧和摊销等因素进行调整。收入从去年同期的2.719亿美元增至4.852亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast earnings of 6 cents a share on revenue of $471.7 million.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet调查的分析师此前预测每股收益为6美分，营收为4.717亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Pinterest are up more than 17% year to date, and more than 288% over the past 52 weeks. By comparison, the S&amp;P 500 Index has risen 12% so far this year, and is up 50% in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest股价今年迄今已上涨超过17%，过去52周内上涨超过288%。相比之下，标普500指数今年迄今上涨了12%，过去一年上涨了50%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pinterest shares sink as easing of pandemic restrictions weighs on user growth<blockquote>疫情限制放松拖累用户增长，Pinterest股价下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPinterest shares sink as easing of pandemic restrictions weighs on user growth<blockquote>疫情限制放松拖累用户增长，Pinterest股价下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-28 07:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Pinterest Inc. on Tuesday reported 78% year-over-year revenue growth for the first quarter, but its user growth fell short of analysts' expectations as COVID-19 pandemic restrictions eased.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest公司周二公布第一季度收入同比增长78%，但随着COVID-19大流行限制的放松，其用户增长低于分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The online-pinboard company said its global monthly active users rose 30% year over year to 478 million. Analysts had forecast that number to be slightly higher than 480 million.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线插板公司表示，其全球月活跃用户同比增长30%，达到4.78亿。分析师此前预测这一数字略高于4.8亿。</blockquote></p><p> \"Starting in mid-March, the easing of pandemic restrictions slowed U.S. MAU growth and lowered engagement year over year as people spent less time online,\" the company wrote in a letter to shareholders. \"In Q1, we saw good retention of the MAUs we gained during 2020, but we still don't know if or how long this retention will last.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司在致股东的信中写道：“从3月中旬开始，疫情限制的放松减缓了美国月活跃用户数的增长，并随着人们上网时间的减少，参与度同比下降。”“在第一季度，我们看到2020年获得的月活跃用户保持良好，但我们仍然不知道这种保持是否会持续或持续多久。”</blockquote></p><p> Pinterest&nbsp;shares fell 10.5% after hours, after rising more than 1% in the regular session to close at $77.58.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest股价盘后下跌10.5%，常规交易时段上涨逾1%，收于77.58美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/250886ffe9ed7924dc5d464864f72418\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company pointed to growth internationally, though.</p><p><blockquote>不过，该公司指出了国际增长。</blockquote></p><p> \"This quarter, we continued strong growth internationally, including our recent launch of advertising in Brazil, and made significant progress with shopping, making it easier for people to discover and buy products they find on Pinterest,\" Chief Executive Ben Silbermann said in a news release.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官本·西尔伯曼(Ben Silbermann)在一份报告中表示：“本季度，我们在国际上继续强劲增长，包括最近在巴西推出的广告，并在购物方面取得了重大进展，使人们更容易发现和购买他们在Pinterest上找到的产品。”新闻稿。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported a first-quarter loss of $21.7 million, or 3 cents a share, compared with a loss of $141.1 million, or 25 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings were $83.8 million, or 11 cents a share, adjusted for stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization and more. Revenue rose to $485.2 million from $271.9 million in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司报告第一季度亏损2170万美元，即每股亏损3美分，而去年同期亏损1.411亿美元，即每股亏损25美分。调整后收益为8380万美元，即每股11美分，根据股票薪酬、折旧和摊销等因素进行调整。收入从去年同期的2.719亿美元增至4.852亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast earnings of 6 cents a share on revenue of $471.7 million.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet调查的分析师此前预测每股收益为6美分，营收为4.717亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Pinterest are up more than 17% year to date, and more than 288% over the past 52 weeks. By comparison, the S&amp;P 500 Index has risen 12% so far this year, and is up 50% in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest股价今年迄今已上涨超过17%，过去52周内上涨超过288%。相比之下，标普500指数今年迄今上涨了12%，过去一年上涨了50%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2130731473","content_text":"Pinterest Inc. on Tuesday reported 78% year-over-year revenue growth for the first quarter, but its user growth fell short of analysts' expectations as COVID-19 pandemic restrictions eased.\nThe online-pinboard company said its global monthly active users rose 30% year over year to 478 million. Analysts had forecast that number to be slightly higher than 480 million.\n\"Starting in mid-March, the easing of pandemic restrictions slowed U.S. MAU growth and lowered engagement year over year as people spent less time online,\" the company wrote in a letter to shareholders. \"In Q1, we saw good retention of the MAUs we gained during 2020, but we still don't know if or how long this retention will last.\"\nPinterest shares fell 10.5% after hours, after rising more than 1% in the regular session to close at $77.58.\n\nThe company pointed to growth internationally, though.\n\"This quarter, we continued strong growth internationally, including our recent launch of advertising in Brazil, and made significant progress with shopping, making it easier for people to discover and buy products they find on Pinterest,\" Chief Executive Ben Silbermann said in a news release.\nThe company reported a first-quarter loss of $21.7 million, or 3 cents a share, compared with a loss of $141.1 million, or 25 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings were $83.8 million, or 11 cents a share, adjusted for stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization and more. Revenue rose to $485.2 million from $271.9 million in the year-ago quarter.\nAnalysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast earnings of 6 cents a share on revenue of $471.7 million.\nShares of Pinterest are up more than 17% year to date, and more than 288% over the past 52 weeks. By comparison, the S&P 500 Index has risen 12% so far this year, and is up 50% in the past year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":190066327,"gmtCreate":1620554841069,"gmtModify":1631889063905,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices&nbsp;","listText":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices&nbsp;","text":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190066327","repostId":"1117194592","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117194592","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620443747,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117194592?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币——这只股票更值得买入</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117194592","media":"fool","summary":"It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of Dogecoin did so because they are hoping t","content":"<p>It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of&nbsp;<b>Dogecoin</b>&nbsp;did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定地说，许多买家<b>狗狗币</b>这样做是因为他们希望迷因加密货币能够“登上月球”。但仅仅因为埃隆·马斯克马克·库班(Elon MuskorMark Cuban)在推文中提到，就很难为一天交易过程中价值上涨或下跌26%的东西做出真正的投资案例。</blockquote></p><p>Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research provider<i>BloombergNEF</i>. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>寻求登月投资的投资者最好选择一家有望给现有行业带来根本性转变的公司。据行业研究提供商称，电动汽车(EV)销量预计将从2020年的170万辆跃升至2025年的850万辆，10年后将增至2600万辆<i>彭博新能源财经</i>.该公司预计未来10年电动汽车销量将再次增长一倍以上。</blockquote></p><p>Charging station network leader&nbsp;<b>ChargePoint Holdings</b>(NYSE:CHPT)&nbsp;is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.</p><p><blockquote>充电站网络领导者<b>ChargePoint控股</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHPT）已在该业务中成立，该公司的投资者可以驾驭电动汽车爆炸性增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p><b>De-SPAC results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特殊目的收购公司并购业绩</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint于3月1日通过特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并上市。但与电动汽车领域的一些特殊目的收购公司不同，该公司迄今为止已达到销售预期，并保持未来前景不变。这是因为它在上市之前就已经是一家成熟的企业，在北美和欧洲的网络上拥有4,000多个商业和车队客户，以及超过132,000个充电点。</blockquote></p><p>There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.</p><p><blockquote>这个领域现在和将来都会有很多竞争。但与其他国内外参与者相比，ChargePoint是最大的参与者之一。该行业几家公司的过去和预计未来收入如下所示。</blockquote></p><p><table><tbody><tr><th>Company</th><th>2021 Revenue Estimate (million)</th><th>2020 Revenue (million)</th></tr><tr><td>ChargePoint</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>Volta</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>Blink Charging</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDED</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><th>公司</th><th>2021年收入预测（百万）</th><th>2020年收入（百万）</th></tr><tr><td>充电点</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>沃尔特</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>闪烁充电</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>数据来源：公司财务。*未提供</blockquote></p><p><b>ChargePoint is the current favorite</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ChargePoint是当前的最爱</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint在北美已经遥遥领先，在使用240伏电源的2级充电网络中占有70%的份额。其全面的产品网络还包括2,000多个公共快速充电站。其产品套件可满足电动汽车车主、停车运营商和消费者以及企业和市政当局的需求。</blockquote></p><p>And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>作为基础设施计划的一部分，乔·拜登总统提议在美国安装50万个新充电站，这表明市场可以增长多大。他还打算让公交车队和政府车队电气化。虽然ChargePoint支持基础设施一揽子计划，并且几乎肯定会成为其通过的受益者，但该公司并不需要这种催化剂来使其充电网络快速增长。</blockquote></p><p><b>Investors should play the odds and think long-term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应把握机遇，着眼长远</b></blockquote></p><p>Betting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for&nbsp;<b>Blink Charging</b>(NASDAQ:BLNK).</p><p><blockquote>押注电动汽车行业不是短期策略。但如果到2040年全球汽车保有量实现超过5400万辆的指数增长，那么该行业目前的高估值最终可能是合理的。仅从2020年收入最高和最低的两家公司来看，ChargePoint的市销率约为50，但ChargePoint的市销率为250<b>闪烁充电</b>（纳斯达克：BLNK）。</blockquote></p><p>A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.</p><p><blockquote>当然，押注充电网络领域并不能保证成功。汽车制造商可能会尝试拥有类似于<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）的超级充电网络模型。但随着汽车制造商提高电动汽车产量，他们专注于自己最了解的领域（可能包括电池生产）似乎更有意义。</blockquote></p><p>For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>对于想要投机获取巨额收益的投资者来说，充电公司在快速增长的行业中拥有成熟的业务。随着埃隆·马斯克或其他人激发散户的兴趣，狗狗币持续上涨。但如果这是它上涨的唯一原因，它就不可能长期持续下去。像ChargePoint这样的充电公司应该更有可能提供长期收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币——这只股票更值得买入</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币——这只股票更值得买入</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of&nbsp;<b>Dogecoin</b>&nbsp;did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定地说，许多买家<b>狗狗币</b>这样做是因为他们希望迷因加密货币能够“登上月球”。但仅仅因为埃隆·马斯克马克·库班(Elon MuskorMark Cuban)在推文中提到，就很难为一天交易过程中价值上涨或下跌26%的东西做出真正的投资案例。</blockquote></p><p>Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research provider<i>BloombergNEF</i>. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>寻求登月投资的投资者最好选择一家有望给现有行业带来根本性转变的公司。据行业研究提供商称，电动汽车(EV)销量预计将从2020年的170万辆跃升至2025年的850万辆，10年后将增至2600万辆<i>彭博新能源财经</i>.该公司预计未来10年电动汽车销量将再次增长一倍以上。</blockquote></p><p>Charging station network leader&nbsp;<b>ChargePoint Holdings</b>(NYSE:CHPT)&nbsp;is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.</p><p><blockquote>充电站网络领导者<b>ChargePoint控股</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHPT）已在该业务中成立，该公司的投资者可以驾驭电动汽车爆炸性增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p><b>De-SPAC results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特殊目的收购公司并购业绩</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint于3月1日通过特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并上市。但与电动汽车领域的一些特殊目的收购公司不同，该公司迄今为止已达到销售预期，并保持未来前景不变。这是因为它在上市之前就已经是一家成熟的企业，在北美和欧洲的网络上拥有4,000多个商业和车队客户，以及超过132,000个充电点。</blockquote></p><p>There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.</p><p><blockquote>这个领域现在和将来都会有很多竞争。但与其他国内外参与者相比，ChargePoint是最大的参与者之一。该行业几家公司的过去和预计未来收入如下所示。</blockquote></p><p><table><tbody><tr><th>Company</th><th>2021 Revenue Estimate (million)</th><th>2020 Revenue (million)</th></tr><tr><td>ChargePoint</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>Volta</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>Blink Charging</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDED</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><th>公司</th><th>2021年收入预测（百万）</th><th>2020年收入（百万）</th></tr><tr><td>充电点</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>沃尔特</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>闪烁充电</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>数据来源：公司财务。*未提供</blockquote></p><p><b>ChargePoint is the current favorite</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ChargePoint是当前的最爱</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint在北美已经遥遥领先，在使用240伏电源的2级充电网络中占有70%的份额。其全面的产品网络还包括2,000多个公共快速充电站。其产品套件可满足电动汽车车主、停车运营商和消费者以及企业和市政当局的需求。</blockquote></p><p>And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>作为基础设施计划的一部分，乔·拜登总统提议在美国安装50万个新充电站，这表明市场可以增长多大。他还打算让公交车队和政府车队电气化。虽然ChargePoint支持基础设施一揽子计划，并且几乎肯定会成为其通过的受益者，但该公司并不需要这种催化剂来使其充电网络快速增长。</blockquote></p><p><b>Investors should play the odds and think long-term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应把握机遇，着眼长远</b></blockquote></p><p>Betting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for&nbsp;<b>Blink Charging</b>(NASDAQ:BLNK).</p><p><blockquote>押注电动汽车行业不是短期策略。但如果到2040年全球汽车保有量实现超过5400万辆的指数增长，那么该行业目前的高估值最终可能是合理的。仅从2020年收入最高和最低的两家公司来看，ChargePoint的市销率约为50，但ChargePoint的市销率为250<b>闪烁充电</b>（纳斯达克：BLNK）。</blockquote></p><p>A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.</p><p><blockquote>当然，押注充电网络领域并不能保证成功。汽车制造商可能会尝试拥有类似于<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）的超级充电网络模型。但随着汽车制造商提高电动汽车产量，他们专注于自己最了解的领域（可能包括电池生产）似乎更有意义。</blockquote></p><p>For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>对于想要投机获取巨额收益的投资者来说，充电公司在快速增长的行业中拥有成熟的业务。随着埃隆·马斯克或其他人激发散户的兴趣，狗狗币持续上涨。但如果这是它上涨的唯一原因，它就不可能长期持续下去。像ChargePoint这样的充电公司应该更有可能提供长期收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/07/forget-dogecoin-this-stock-is-a-better-buy/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CHPT":"ChargePoint Holdings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/07/forget-dogecoin-this-stock-is-a-better-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117194592","content_text":"It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of Dogecoin did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research providerBloombergNEF. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.Charging station network leader ChargePoint Holdings(NYSE:CHPT) is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.De-SPAC resultsChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.Company2021 Revenue Estimate (million)2020 Revenue (million)ChargePoint$200$146EVBox$145$84Volta$47$25EVgo$20$14Blink ChargingNP*$6.2DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDEDChargePoint is the current favoriteChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.Investors should play the odds and think long-termBetting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for Blink Charging(NASDAQ:BLNK).A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to Tesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CHPT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":864402808,"gmtCreate":1633136221066,"gmtModify":1633136221212,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","listText":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","text":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864402808","repostId":"2172295185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699141525,"gmtCreate":1639759145176,"gmtModify":1639759145291,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","listText":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","text":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699141525","repostId":"1125012423","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125012423","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639751833,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125012423?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 22:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production<blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响2021年产量，早盘股价暴跌逾12%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125012423","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.It highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.Rivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.\"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC","content":"<p>Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2cd2f9985fc84125cde2f76f0e9f403\" tg-width=\"764\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It&nbsp;highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响2021年产量，该公司早盘股价下跌超过12%。它强调了在提高产量以对抗电动汽车领导者特斯拉公司时可能面临的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian还宣布计划建造一座耗资50亿美元的工厂以提高产能，同时指出尽管每周收到约2,000份预订订单，但仍面临生产挑战。</blockquote></p><p> \"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak said.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场分析师Joseph Spak表示：“我们不想过多解读近期问题……但这确实凸显了Rivian有很多事情要做的风险。”</blockquote></p><p> The company expects production to fall \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its 2021 target of 1,200 due to supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计，由于供应链限制，产量将比2021年1200辆的目标“少几百辆”。</blockquote></p><p> Increasing production of R1T truck, R1S SUV and Amazon's delivery vans within a few months would be akin to \"a really complex orchestra,\" Chief Executive Officer RJ Scaringe said.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官RJ Scaringe表示，在几个月内增加R1T卡车、R1S SUV和亚马逊送货车的产量将类似于“一个非常复杂的管弦乐队”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production<blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响2021年产量，早盘股价暴跌逾12%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ 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tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production<blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响2021年产量，早盘股价暴跌逾12%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-17 22:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2cd2f9985fc84125cde2f76f0e9f403\" tg-width=\"764\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It&nbsp;highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响2021年产量，该公司早盘股价下跌超过12%。它强调了在提高产量以对抗电动汽车领导者特斯拉公司时可能面临的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian还宣布计划建造一座耗资50亿美元的工厂以提高产能，同时指出尽管每周收到约2,000份预订订单，但仍面临生产挑战。</blockquote></p><p> \"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak said.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场分析师Joseph Spak表示：“我们不想过多解读近期问题……但这确实凸显了Rivian有很多事情要做的风险。”</blockquote></p><p> The company expects production to fall \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its 2021 target of 1,200 due to supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计，由于供应链限制，产量将比2021年1200辆的目标“少几百辆”。</blockquote></p><p> Increasing production of R1T truck, R1S SUV and Amazon's delivery vans within a few months would be akin to \"a really complex orchestra,\" Chief Executive Officer RJ Scaringe said.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官RJ Scaringe表示，在几个月内增加R1T卡车、R1S SUV和亚马逊送货车的产量将类似于“一个非常复杂的管弦乐队”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125012423","content_text":"Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.It highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.\nRivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.\n\"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak said.\nThe company expects production to fall \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its 2021 target of 1,200 due to supply chain constraints.\nIncreasing production of R1T truck, R1S SUV and Amazon's delivery vans within a few months would be akin to \"a really complex orchestra,\" Chief Executive Officer RJ Scaringe said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821177885,"gmtCreate":1633711749484,"gmtModify":1633711749621,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good stuff thanks","listText":"good stuff thanks","text":"good stuff thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821177885","repostId":"1133780035","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133780035","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633704297,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133780035?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 22:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的6个原因以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的6只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133780035","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a litt","content":"<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买给零售股带来了动力。</b>没有什么比十月的一点动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但是不要让他们的消极影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得考虑的行业之一的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详细信息和链接见下面的简历），以在市场上进行逆向“评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其负面，但本周下跌足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的逆向信号。（我就不指名道姓了。）而他们的消极在我的书里是看涨信号的事实，并不意味着我认为他们是密集的。只是高调的媒体评论员是共识海绵。这是一种职业危害——作为投资者，我们可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体发言人，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最疲软的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，这个惨淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的1月至5月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从10月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11月和12月可能会表现强劲。那是十月底完成的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，病例数和住院人数急剧下降。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季COVID流感季节。所以，今年期待同样的事情并不太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有已经接种疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.修正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>入夏以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动回调。罗素2000RUT,+0.14%8月份下跌超过10%，这是回调的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。嘉信理财首席投资策略师Liz Ann Sonders指出，截至10月初，90%或更多的标准普尔500SPX(-0.05%)和纳斯达克综合指数(-0.28%)股票已较2021年高点下跌至少10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当所有人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。大多数时候，市场有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这种方式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.家庭结构强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于放弃了父母的地下室——如果这种陈词滥调有任何真实性的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>事实是：他们正在进入婚姻和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，所以他们有足够的信心投入到住房所有权。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万个家庭组成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满这些新房子。这是一个内置的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者害怕，锁定和装载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源可以推动经济增长。一个是上面提到的家庭结构。另一个原因是公司库存水平较低——它们必须大量补货。但对我来说，最大的因素是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线是：消费者感到害怕。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情的继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数衡量，8月份消费者信心处于大流行开始以来的最低水平。9月份有所上升，但仍处于低位。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是6%-7%左右的长期平均水平的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要错误地认为这只是富人因为股市而变得更富。房价也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比为1985年以来最低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“消费者感到害怕，并且充满了未开发的购买力，”保尔森说。他表示：“这种悲观心态加上购买力过剩，从历史上看，市场出现了稳健的上涨，但很少出现下跌。”“这个比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我建议选择零售股。他们表现不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将Bath&amp;Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%视为一家拥有护城河且交易折扣的零售商。这家身体护理和家用香水零售商获得四星级评级，因为其股票交易价格远低于晨星公司对该名称79美元的“公允价值”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师Jaime Katz列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领导地位以及30%的平均投资资本回报率，远高于其8%的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX(+1.83%)的投资组合经理埃里克·马歇尔(Eric Marshall)看好服装零售商American Eagle OutfittersAEO(0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌了35%以上。该公司第二季度营收达到创纪录的11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的Aerie品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过2美元，这使得American Eagle股票的预期市盈率约为13倍，非常便宜。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一双热情的手。据晨星公司称，他的Hodges小型股基金今年上涨了31%，比小型混合基金和罗素2000指数基准高出12至18个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%，该公司销售运动和户外休闲用品。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的大流行销售帮助该公司降低了高债务水平。分析师担心大流行引发的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对亚马逊MAMZN(0.03%)和沃尔玛WMT(0.03%)的力量感到敬畏，但Motley Fool零售行业分析师Asit Sharma更青睐掌握“直接面向消费者”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合——包括在店内提货网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马说：“零售业常年受到负面评价，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在关闭所有实体店。”但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供出色的店内体验和独特的产品，这是这两家零售巨头无法真正提供的。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma引用了Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢该公司在面料方面投入自己的研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马还青睐Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮品”和户外设备。对于较大的股票名称，请考虑受欢迎的零售巨头TargetTGT，-0.24%，因其“一切都在一个屋檐下”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的6个原因以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的6只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的6个原因以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的6只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 22:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买给零售股带来了动力。</b>没有什么比十月的一点动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但是不要让他们的消极影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得考虑的行业之一的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详细信息和链接见下面的简历），以在市场上进行逆向“评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其负面，但本周下跌足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的逆向信号。（我就不指名道姓了。）而他们的消极在我的书里是看涨信号的事实，并不意味着我认为他们是密集的。只是高调的媒体评论员是共识海绵。这是一种职业危害——作为投资者，我们可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体发言人，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最疲软的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，这个惨淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的1月至5月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从10月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11月和12月可能会表现强劲。那是十月底完成的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，病例数和住院人数急剧下降。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季COVID流感季节。所以，今年期待同样的事情并不太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有已经接种疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.修正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>入夏以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动回调。罗素2000RUT,+0.14%8月份下跌超过10%，这是回调的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。嘉信理财首席投资策略师Liz Ann Sonders指出，截至10月初，90%或更多的标准普尔500SPX(-0.05%)和纳斯达克综合指数(-0.28%)股票已较2021年高点下跌至少10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当所有人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。大多数时候，市场有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这种方式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.家庭结构强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于放弃了父母的地下室——如果这种陈词滥调有任何真实性的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>事实是：他们正在进入婚姻和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，所以他们有足够的信心投入到住房所有权。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万个家庭组成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满这些新房子。这是一个内置的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者害怕，锁定和装载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源可以推动经济增长。一个是上面提到的家庭结构。另一个原因是公司库存水平较低——它们必须大量补货。但对我来说，最大的因素是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线是：消费者感到害怕。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情的继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数衡量，8月份消费者信心处于大流行开始以来的最低水平。9月份有所上升，但仍处于低位。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是6%-7%左右的长期平均水平的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要错误地认为这只是富人因为股市而变得更富。房价也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比为1985年以来最低。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“消费者感到害怕，并且充满了未开发的购买力，”保尔森说。他表示：“这种悲观心态加上购买力过剩，从历史上看，市场出现了稳健的上涨，但很少出现下跌。”“这个比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我建议选择零售股。他们表现不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将Bath&amp;Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%视为一家拥有护城河且交易折扣的零售商。这家身体护理和家用香水零售商获得四星级评级，因为其股票交易价格远低于晨星公司对该名称79美元的“公允价值”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师Jaime Katz列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领导地位以及30%的平均投资资本回报率，远高于其8%的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX(+1.83%)的投资组合经理埃里克·马歇尔(Eric Marshall)看好服装零售商American Eagle OutfittersAEO(0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌了35%以上。该公司第二季度营收达到创纪录的11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的Aerie品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过2美元，这使得American Eagle股票的预期市盈率约为13倍，非常便宜。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一双热情的手。据晨星公司称，他的Hodges小型股基金今年上涨了31%，比小型混合基金和罗素2000指数基准高出12至18个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%，该公司销售运动和户外休闲用品。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的大流行销售帮助该公司降低了高债务水平。分析师担心大流行引发的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对亚马逊MAMZN(0.03%)和沃尔玛WMT(0.03%)的力量感到敬畏，但Motley Fool零售行业分析师Asit Sharma更青睐掌握“直接面向消费者”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合——包括在店内提货网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马说：“零售业常年受到负面评价，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在关闭所有实体店。”但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供出色的店内体验和独特的产品，这是这两家零售巨头无法真正提供的。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma引用了Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢该公司在面料方面投入自己的研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>夏尔马还青睐Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮品”和户外设备。对于较大的股票名称，请考虑受欢迎的零售巨头TargetTGT，-0.24%，因其“一切都在一个屋檐下”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133780035","content_text":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.\nBut don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.\n1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough\nI regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.\nIt’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.\nPick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.\n2. Seasonality is in our favor\nThe worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.\n3. COVID is rolling over\nIt’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.\n4. A correction may have already happened\nSince the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.\nIn other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.\n5. There’s been strong household formation\nMillennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.\nWhat is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.\nThe upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.\n6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded\nThere are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.\nThe bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.\nNow a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.\nAt the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.\nDon’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.\n“Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”\nStocks to buy\nSince the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.\nMorningstar cites Bath & Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.\nAs for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.\nEric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.\nThe core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.\nMarshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.\nMarshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.\nWhile many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.\n“The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.\nHere, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.\nSharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2188,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":891743207,"gmtCreate":1628435294109,"gmtModify":1631891049945,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","listText":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","text":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891743207","repostId":"1143051031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175571964,"gmtCreate":1627044387658,"gmtModify":1631891049947,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","listText":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","text":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175571964","repostId":"2153092983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":865403736,"gmtCreate":1633008615055,"gmtModify":1633008615214,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"so fi is it, pun intended","listText":"so fi is it, pun intended","text":"so fi is it, pun intended","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865403736","repostId":"2171937006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":119322473,"gmtCreate":1622521638792,"gmtModify":1631891049955,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"check out absolute software also (abst)","listText":"check out absolute software also (abst)","text":"check out absolute software also (abst)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119322473","repostId":"1143634909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":868724370,"gmtCreate":1632706931690,"gmtModify":1632798422865,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"right research will save one from more pain later","listText":"right research will save one from more pain later","text":"right research will save one from more pain later","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868724370","repostId":"1175726457","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175726457","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632626757,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175726457?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-26 11:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点：市场分析师对于股市下一步走势无法达成一致。因此，在买卖之前请仔细检查数据</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175726457","media":"Market Watch","summary":"It’s an urgent question, since the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for tw","content":"<p>It’s an urgent question, since the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个紧迫的问题，因为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>经济意外指数（CESI）在连续一年多上涨后，已经连续两个月为负。CESI衡量最新经济消息偏离华尔街共识的程度。因此，过去两个月CESI数据持续为负，这意味着总体而言，经济消息比预期的要糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Is it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?</p><p><blockquote>近期美国经济新闻发布明显逊于预期，对股票投资者来说是好消息还是坏消息？</blockquote></p><p> The latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团经济意外指数（CESI）的最新读数为负29.2。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>10天前，这个数字甚至更低，为负61.7。过去18年的平均值为4.6。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd20c01571a824c8113089a65b814bb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.</p><p><blockquote>我监督的顾问们对这些最新读数的含义没有达成共识。一些人认为这是好消息，反向理论认为，差于预期的消息构成了美国牛市可以攀登的“担忧之墙”。其他人则认为，你不能粉饰比预期更糟糕的经济消息。</blockquote></p><p> To help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&amp;P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助解决他们的分歧，我分析了2003年以来的每日CESI数据。具体来说，我测量了它与标普500 SPX的相关性，在随后的一个月、一个季度、六个月内+0.15%的回报率，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>年。我没有发现任何符合传统统计意义标准的东西。</blockquote></p><p> A summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&amp;P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.</p><p><blockquote>我的发现总结如下图所示。请注意，无论CESI是正还是负、趋势上升还是下降，标普500的平均回报几乎是相同的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65016b28c482526ac92a5d6035ba9ed9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> These findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”</p><p><blockquote>这些发现并不是对CESI本身的批评。花旗集团创建该指数是为了作为外汇交易者的有用工具。花旗集团表示，CESI“是独特专有设计的完美例子，对讨论它的人几乎没有影响……它不应该用于股票价格。”</blockquote></p><p> There’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.</p><p><blockquote>这里还有一个更广泛的教训需要我们学习：我们需要让我们的直觉接受经验现实的检验。当我们的预感看起来如此明显正确时，这一点尤其重要——就像经济消息是好于预期还是差于预期的情况一样。股市历史充满了必然会发生但却没有发生的预期。</blockquote></p><p> It can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.</p><p><blockquote>在庞大的数据库中翻阅一个模式是否真的存在可能是一件乏味的事情。但努力是值得的。虽然统计上的严谨并不能保证你会战胜市场，但如果你在统计上草率和不一致，你肯定会输给市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点：市场分析师对于股市下一步走势无法达成一致。因此，在买卖之前请仔细检查数据</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点：市场分析师对于股市下一步走势无法达成一致。因此，在买卖之前请仔细检查数据</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Watch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-26 11:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s an urgent question, since the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个紧迫的问题，因为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>经济意外指数（CESI）在连续一年多上涨后，已经连续两个月为负。CESI衡量最新经济消息偏离华尔街共识的程度。因此，过去两个月CESI数据持续为负，这意味着总体而言，经济消息比预期的要糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Is it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?</p><p><blockquote>近期美国经济新闻发布明显逊于预期，对股票投资者来说是好消息还是坏消息？</blockquote></p><p> The latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团经济意外指数（CESI）的最新读数为负29.2。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>10天前，这个数字甚至更低，为负61.7。过去18年的平均值为4.6。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd20c01571a824c8113089a65b814bb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.</p><p><blockquote>我监督的顾问们对这些最新读数的含义没有达成共识。一些人认为这是好消息，反向理论认为，差于预期的消息构成了美国牛市可以攀登的“担忧之墙”。其他人则认为，你不能粉饰比预期更糟糕的经济消息。</blockquote></p><p> To help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&amp;P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助解决他们的分歧，我分析了2003年以来的每日CESI数据。具体来说，我测量了它与标普500 SPX的相关性，在随后的一个月、一个季度、六个月内+0.15%的回报率，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>年。我没有发现任何符合传统统计意义标准的东西。</blockquote></p><p> A summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&amp;P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.</p><p><blockquote>我的发现总结如下图所示。请注意，无论CESI是正还是负、趋势上升还是下降，标普500的平均回报几乎是相同的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65016b28c482526ac92a5d6035ba9ed9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> These findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”</p><p><blockquote>这些发现并不是对CESI本身的批评。花旗集团创建该指数是为了作为外汇交易者的有用工具。花旗集团表示，CESI“是独特专有设计的完美例子，对讨论它的人几乎没有影响……它不应该用于股票价格。”</blockquote></p><p> There’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.</p><p><blockquote>这里还有一个更广泛的教训需要我们学习：我们需要让我们的直觉接受经验现实的检验。当我们的预感看起来如此明显正确时，这一点尤其重要——就像经济消息是好于预期还是差于预期的情况一样。股市历史充满了必然会发生但却没有发生的预期。</blockquote></p><p> It can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.</p><p><blockquote>在庞大的数据库中翻阅一个模式是否真的存在可能是一件乏味的事情。但努力是值得的。虽然统计上的严谨并不能保证你会战胜市场，但如果你在统计上草率和不一致，你肯定会输给市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/market-analysts-cant-agree-on-where-stocks-are-going-next-so-double-check-the-data-before-you-buy-or-sell-11632447577?mod=home-page\">Market Watch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/market-analysts-cant-agree-on-where-stocks-are-going-next-so-double-check-the-data-before-you-buy-or-sell-11632447577?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175726457","content_text":"It’s an urgent question, since the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.\nIs it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?\nThe latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. Just 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.\n\nThere is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.\nTo help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and one year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.\nA summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.\n\nThese findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”\nThere’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.\nIt can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860481872,"gmtCreate":1632198180996,"gmtModify":1632802115835,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","listText":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","text":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860481872","repostId":"1109188181","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109188181","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632123243,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109188181?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 15:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109188181","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.\n\nFor many stock traders, four l","content":"<p>  <b>MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.</b>  For many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.</p><p><blockquote><b>MACD和MACD直方图可以提振您的交易组合。</b>对于许多股票交易者来说，四个字母可以拼出输赢头寸的区别。MACD（移动平均线收敛发散）是交易者在分析中一贯使用的关键股市指标（与移动平均线和RSI一起）之一。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.</p><p><blockquote>让我们讨论一些使用这种功能强大且多功能的仪表的创造性方法。</blockquote></p><p> MACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.&nbsp; It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.</p><p><blockquote>MACD于20世纪70年代末推出，是一种趋势跟踪动量指标。它有助于确定趋势及其相关动量（即方向速度和持续时间）何时结束或开始，或者可能逆转方向。</blockquote></p><p> Be aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，MACD是一个“滞后”或“向后看”指标，这意味着它的信号会延迟，但不要让这阻止你。当MACD产生信号时，它通常是重要的，尤其是在周线图上使用时（相对于短线交易者喜欢的日线图）。事实上，MACD时间框架越长，结果就越有效，这也是像我这样的长期交易者更喜欢使用周线图的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> When you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.</p><p><blockquote>当你在图表上查看MACD时，你会看到两条线。黑线被称为“MACD线”。灰色(或红色)线被称为“信号线”记住：MACD线是领先线，而信号线是落后线。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).&nbsp; The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.</p><p><blockquote>此外，一条横穿图表的水平线称为“零线”（0线），零线的主要作用是提醒你标的价格行为的主要趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Four simple trading signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四个简单的交易信号</b></blockquote></p><p> At its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:</p><p><blockquote>在最基本的层面上，MACD会产生四个信号：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线越过零线时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线穿越九日信号线上方时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿零线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿九日信号线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> Note: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.</p><p><blockquote>注意：当MACD线和九天信号线都朝着同一个方向移动（上升趋势或下降趋势）时，这是一个更强、更重要的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，仅仅因为MACD产生买入或卖出信号并不意味着它是可操作的交易。与任何指标一样，也存在错误信号。此外，在投入真钱进行交易之前，您必须确认其他指标。将这些MACD买卖信号视为指导方针，而不是规则。</blockquote></p><p> Another limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.</p><p><blockquote>MACD的另一个局限性是，它在股市顶部或市场波动性较低时效果不佳。因此，如果您在当前市场上使用道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(-0.48%)或标准普尔500SPX(-0.91%)的MACD，则该信号就没有那么有用了。这就是为什么你应该在个股上使用MACD，直到主要市场指数的波动性恢复。</blockquote></p><p> What MACD says about Tesla now</p><p><blockquote>MACD现在对特斯拉有何看法</blockquote></p><p> For example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA，+0.33%的周线图显示其MACD位于零线上方，MACD线位于信号线上方。特斯拉也高于其移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Based on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy.&nbsp;If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.</p><p><blockquote>基于这一信息，特斯拉股票目前属于短期“强力”买入。如果特斯拉的MACD线跌破其信号线，而两条线都高于零线，则该股将属于“适度”买入。</blockquote></p><p> A few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.</p><p><blockquote>几年前，我与MACD的创始人杰拉尔德·阿佩尔（Gerald Appel）进行了交谈。他告诉我，他在20世纪70年代末通过在打孔机和电子表格中输入数字创造了MACD。个人电脑发明后，他能够使这个过程自动化。</blockquote></p><p> Appel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”</p><p><blockquote>Appel对MACD变得如此受欢迎表示惊讶。“它之所以有效，是因为它可以适应任何时间范围，”他说。“您可以通过使用基于月度数据的MACD模式来很好地了解市场的主要趋势。您也可以在五分钟图上使用它。”</blockquote></p><p> MACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”</p><p><blockquote>MACD在市场底部给出最精确的信号。阿佩尔说：“由于市场的行为方式，它在市场低点比在高点更准确。市场底部往往非常尖锐和明显，而顶部往往宽阔而缓慢。当越来越多的股票下跌时，市场平均线也有可能继续向上漂移。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔警告说，你必须根据其他指标确认MACD信号。“没有一个指标是绝对正确的，”他说。“你可能会看到市场上涨，而MACD转向下跌。也许你认为这是卖出信号。嗯，可能不是。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔补充说，他喜欢同时处理不同的MACD时间框架。例如，如果短期MACD与中期MACD一起出现，他就更有信心信号是有效的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The MACD-Histogram</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MACD直方图</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package.&nbsp;Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.</p><p><blockquote>MACD最强大（但经常被忽视）的补充之一是MACD直方图。该振荡器由托马斯·阿斯普雷于1986年开发，用于测量动量。这是一个独立的程序，应该可以在您的图表包中找到。使用此功能的交易者通常同时查看股票图表上的MACD和直方图。</blockquote></p><p> The histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.</p><p><blockquote>直方图是股票屏幕底部的一系列条形图。如果棒线移动到零线以上，这意味着标的股票（或指数）正在获得力量，即动量。如果棒线移动到零线以下，股票或指数正在失去力量。</blockquote></p><p> Many beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.</p><p><blockquote>许多新手交易者没有意识到动量总是先于价格变化。这就是MACD和MACD直方图如此有价值的原因。这两个指标都可以检测动能何时减弱。如果直方图柱移动到零线上方，这也可能是看涨的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Histogram signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>直方图信号</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>If the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.</li> </ol> <ol>  <li>As mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.</li> </ol> <b>Red flags</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果MACD直方图条变成较浅的颜色，这意味着动量正在减弱。这不是卖出信号；这仅仅意味着对该特定股票的热情正在减弱。</li></ol><ol><li>如前所述，如果直方图柱升至零线以上，则为买入信号。上升趋势可能正在形成。如果直方图柱跌破零线，则为卖出信号。下降趋势可能正在形成。</li></ol><b>危险信号</b></blockquote></p><p> If you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).</p><p><blockquote>如果你看到指数价格和股票价格走高，但MACD转低，这是一个危险信号。此外，如果您看到MACD直方图改变颜色并且棒线变短，则确认动量正在减弱（但请根据RSI或随机指标确认这一点）。</blockquote></p><p> If you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.</p><p><blockquote>如果您从未使用过MACD或MACD直方图，请尝试一下。对任何已经触底并正在走高的股票使用这些衡量标准。他们将帮助确认股票是否有腿，或者只是给交易者一个头假的。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Michael Sincere&nbsp;(michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Michael Sincere（michaelsincere.com）是《了解期权》和《了解股票》的作者。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSavvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这2个内幕提示来了解何时买入和卖出</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 15:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.</b>  For many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.</p><p><blockquote><b>MACD和MACD直方图可以提振您的交易组合。</b>对于许多股票交易者来说，四个字母可以拼出输赢头寸的区别。MACD（移动平均线收敛发散）是交易者在分析中一贯使用的关键股市指标（与移动平均线和RSI一起）之一。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.</p><p><blockquote>让我们讨论一些使用这种功能强大且多功能的仪表的创造性方法。</blockquote></p><p> MACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.&nbsp; It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.</p><p><blockquote>MACD于20世纪70年代末推出，是一种趋势跟踪动量指标。它有助于确定趋势及其相关动量（即方向速度和持续时间）何时结束或开始，或者可能逆转方向。</blockquote></p><p> Be aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，MACD是一个“滞后”或“向后看”指标，这意味着它的信号会延迟，但不要让这阻止你。当MACD产生信号时，它通常是重要的，尤其是在周线图上使用时（相对于短线交易者喜欢的日线图）。事实上，MACD时间框架越长，结果就越有效，这也是像我这样的长期交易者更喜欢使用周线图的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> When you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.</p><p><blockquote>当你在图表上查看MACD时，你会看到两条线。黑线被称为“MACD线”。灰色(或红色)线被称为“信号线”记住：MACD线是领先线，而信号线是落后线。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).&nbsp; The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.</p><p><blockquote>此外，一条横穿图表的水平线称为“零线”（0线），零线的主要作用是提醒你标的价格行为的主要趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Four simple trading signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四个简单的交易信号</b></blockquote></p><p> At its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:</p><p><blockquote>在最基本的层面上，MACD会产生四个信号：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线越过零线时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当MACD线穿越九日信号线上方时，看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿零线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>销售：</b>当MACD线下穿九日信号线时，看跌。</blockquote></p><p> Note: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.</p><p><blockquote>注意：当MACD线和九天信号线都朝着同一个方向移动（上升趋势或下降趋势）时，这是一个更强、更重要的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，仅仅因为MACD产生买入或卖出信号并不意味着它是可操作的交易。与任何指标一样，也存在错误信号。此外，在投入真钱进行交易之前，您必须确认其他指标。将这些MACD买卖信号视为指导方针，而不是规则。</blockquote></p><p> Another limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.</p><p><blockquote>MACD的另一个局限性是，它在股市顶部或市场波动性较低时效果不佳。因此，如果您在当前市场上使用道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA(-0.48%)或标准普尔500SPX(-0.91%)的MACD，则该信号就没有那么有用了。这就是为什么你应该在个股上使用MACD，直到主要市场指数的波动性恢复。</blockquote></p><p> What MACD says about Tesla now</p><p><blockquote>MACD现在对特斯拉有何看法</blockquote></p><p> For example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>例如，特斯拉TSLA，+0.33%的周线图显示其MACD位于零线上方，MACD线位于信号线上方。特斯拉也高于其移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Based on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy.&nbsp;If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.</p><p><blockquote>基于这一信息，特斯拉股票目前属于短期“强力”买入。如果特斯拉的MACD线跌破其信号线，而两条线都高于零线，则该股将属于“适度”买入。</blockquote></p><p> A few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.</p><p><blockquote>几年前，我与MACD的创始人杰拉尔德·阿佩尔（Gerald Appel）进行了交谈。他告诉我，他在20世纪70年代末通过在打孔机和电子表格中输入数字创造了MACD。个人电脑发明后，他能够使这个过程自动化。</blockquote></p><p> Appel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”</p><p><blockquote>Appel对MACD变得如此受欢迎表示惊讶。“它之所以有效，是因为它可以适应任何时间范围，”他说。“您可以通过使用基于月度数据的MACD模式来很好地了解市场的主要趋势。您也可以在五分钟图上使用它。”</blockquote></p><p> MACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”</p><p><blockquote>MACD在市场底部给出最精确的信号。阿佩尔说：“由于市场的行为方式，它在市场低点比在高点更准确。市场底部往往非常尖锐和明显，而顶部往往宽阔而缓慢。当越来越多的股票下跌时，市场平均线也有可能继续向上漂移。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔警告说，你必须根据其他指标确认MACD信号。“没有一个指标是绝对正确的，”他说。“你可能会看到市场上涨，而MACD转向下跌。也许你认为这是卖出信号。嗯，可能不是。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔补充说，他喜欢同时处理不同的MACD时间框架。例如，如果短期MACD与中期MACD一起出现，他就更有信心信号是有效的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The MACD-Histogram</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MACD直方图</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package.&nbsp;Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.</p><p><blockquote>MACD最强大（但经常被忽视）的补充之一是MACD直方图。该振荡器由托马斯·阿斯普雷于1986年开发，用于测量动量。这是一个独立的程序，应该可以在您的图表包中找到。使用此功能的交易者通常同时查看股票图表上的MACD和直方图。</blockquote></p><p> The histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.</p><p><blockquote>直方图是股票屏幕底部的一系列条形图。如果棒线移动到零线以上，这意味着标的股票（或指数）正在获得力量，即动量。如果棒线移动到零线以下，股票或指数正在失去力量。</blockquote></p><p> Many beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.</p><p><blockquote>许多新手交易者没有意识到动量总是先于价格变化。这就是MACD和MACD直方图如此有价值的原因。这两个指标都可以检测动能何时减弱。如果直方图柱移动到零线上方，这也可能是看涨的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Histogram signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>直方图信号</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>If the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.</li> </ol> <ol>  <li>As mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.</li> </ol> <b>Red flags</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果MACD直方图条变成较浅的颜色，这意味着动量正在减弱。这不是卖出信号；这仅仅意味着对该特定股票的热情正在减弱。</li></ol><ol><li>如前所述，如果直方图柱升至零线以上，则为买入信号。上升趋势可能正在形成。如果直方图柱跌破零线，则为卖出信号。下降趋势可能正在形成。</li></ol><b>危险信号</b></blockquote></p><p> If you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).</p><p><blockquote>如果你看到指数价格和股票价格走高，但MACD转低，这是一个危险信号。此外，如果您看到MACD直方图改变颜色并且棒线变短，则确认动量正在减弱（但请根据RSI或随机指标确认这一点）。</blockquote></p><p> If you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.</p><p><blockquote>如果您从未使用过MACD或MACD直方图，请尝试一下。对任何已经触底并正在走高的股票使用这些衡量标准。他们将帮助确认股票是否有腿，或者只是给交易者一个头假的。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Michael Sincere&nbsp;(michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Michael Sincere（michaelsincere.com）是《了解期权》和《了解股票》的作者。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/savvy-stock-traders-use-these-2-insider-tips-to-know-when-to-buy-and-sell-11631314697\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/savvy-stock-traders-use-these-2-insider-tips-to-know-when-to-buy-and-sell-11631314697","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109188181","content_text":"MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.\n\nFor many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.\nLet’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.\nMACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.  It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.\nBe aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.\nWhen you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.\nIn addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).  The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.\nFour simple trading signals\nAt its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:\nBuy:When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.\nBuy:When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.\nSell:When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.\nSell:When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.\nNote: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.\nKeep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.\nAnother limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.\nWhat MACD says about Tesla now\nFor example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.\nBased on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy. If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.\nA few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.\nAppel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”\nMACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”\nAppel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”\nAppel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.\nThe MACD-Histogram\nOne of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package. Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.\nThe histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.\nMany beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.\nHistogram signals\n\nIf the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.\n\n\nAs mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.\n\nRed flags\nIf you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).\nIf you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.\nMichael Sincere (michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132796946,"gmtCreate":1622113290185,"gmtModify":1631891049954,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[龇牙]","listText":"[龇牙]","text":"[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132796946","repostId":"2138531112","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1775,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694393868,"gmtCreate":1641806052704,"gmtModify":1641806052913,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"‌<a href=\"\">[财迷]&nbsp;</a>‌","listText":"‌<a href=\"\">[财迷]&nbsp;</a>‌","text":"‌[财迷] ‌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694393868","repostId":"1134509683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134509683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641612579,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134509683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-08 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022年将赚取数十亿美元的3只COVID股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134509683","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These three COVID-19 stocks could rake in a tremendous amount of cash this year.","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>It&#39;s a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>这是新的一年，新冠肺炎仍然和我们在一起。去年，我们看到医疗保健领域多种新冠疫苗和治疗方法获得了紧急使用授权。制药公司将在2022年赚取数十亿美元。以下是三只应该蓬勃发展的股票。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy <b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in <b>Vir Biotechnology</b>(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）是一家价值3100亿美元的大型公司，预计其新冠疫苗和抗病毒药物的销售额将不会是10亿或100亿美元，而是超过500亿美元。斗志昂扬<b>Novavax</b>（纳斯达克：NVAX）终于在全球范围内推出了新冠疫苗。它将获得多少亿？我们有一个黑马候选人<b>维尔生物技术</b>（纳斯达克：维尔）。对于这家小型生物技术公司来说，它的一种药物很容易成为价值10亿美元的重磅炸弹。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488a166201699c1f3d6536aa3e640ecf\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>A safe harbor in stormy weather</b></p><p><blockquote><b>暴风雨天气中的避风港</b></blockquote></p><p><b>George Budwell(Pfizer):</b>Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote><b>乔治·巴德威尔（辉瑞）：</b>辉瑞是新冠肺炎制药产品无可争议的冠军。仅在2022年，华尔街预计这家制药巨头的新型冠状病毒疫苗Comirnaty和口服抗病毒药物Paxlovid的销售额就将达到550亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>What&#39;s more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，分析师开始接受Paxlovid可能在当前十年内成为该公司可持续收入来源的想法。当该药物上个月首次被美国食品和药物管理局根据紧急使用授权途径允许上市时，华尔街认为从商业角度来看，Paxlovid可能会在一年左右的时间内达到顶峰，然后随着疫情从视野中消失，销售额急剧下降。</blockquote></p><p>But less than three weeks out from the drug&#39;s initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.</p><p><blockquote>但距离该药物首次获得批准还不到三周，令人痛苦的是，很明显，Paxlovid可能需要作为未来几年COVID-19最坏结果的故障保险。毕竟，高传染性的奥密克戎变种肯定不会是该病毒的最后一次重大迭代。</blockquote></p><p>What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>这一切意味着，辉瑞应该是少数几家在新冠肺炎拥有可观、长期收入来源的大型制药商之一。反过来，在可预见的未来，辉瑞应该有充足的自由现金流来满足其慷慨的股东奖励计划以及雄心勃勃的业务发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>So, if you&#39;re looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果您正在寻找一只能够抵御极高通胀和利率上升双重阻力的股票，辉瑞可能值得一试。</blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax的收入预测：20亿至80亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company&#39;s stock price is down to $125 a share. That&#39;s where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰勒·卡迈克尔（Novavax）：</b>Novavax今年正处于伟大的边缘。该公司的股价跌至每股125美元。这就是它在2021年开始的地方，所以去年该股几乎遭受了洗盘。</blockquote></p><p>Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.</p><p><blockquote>早在2月份，当Novavax报告其新冠疫苗的积极3期数据时，股价就飙升至300美元以上。但后来这家小型生物技术公司遇到了制造问题。虽然许多人说它的疫苗是同类产品中最好的，但扩大约20亿剂疫苗的合同生产说起来容易做起来难。这些现实导致该股较高点下跌约60%。</blockquote></p><p>Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it&#39;s highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company&#39;s already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Novavax的收入已经达到了10亿美元大关，因此由于所有的预订，其疫苗甚至在获得批准之前就已经一鸣惊人。现在，全球各地的授权纷至沓来，Novavax很有可能在2022年运送大量疫苗。该公司已经实现了每月1亿剂的生产能力，即一年12亿剂。在第三季度收益看涨期权上，管理层预测到第四季度末将达到每月1.5亿剂（或每年18亿剂）的生产能力。该公司预计将继续扩大规模，并预测2022年将分发20亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that&#39;s over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>20亿剂疫苗，价格为16美元（曲速行动支付了16亿美元预购了1亿剂疫苗），我们粗略计算出收入为320亿美元。当然，Novavax将以较低的速度向发展中国家分发大量疫苗。尽管该公司对其价格保持沉默，但丹麦早在8月份就表示，根据欧盟(EU)协议，它为每剂疫苗支付了近21美元。欧盟已经订购了2亿剂，因此仅在欧洲的销售额就超过40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company&#39;s market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.</p><p><blockquote>分析师非常保守，对Novavax 2022年的预测在20亿至80亿美元之间。（该公司的市值为90亿美元。）虽然一路上可能会出现一些问题，但Novavax肯定会在2022年从其COVID-19疫苗中赚取数十亿美元。如果该公司确实像其所说的那样交付20亿剂疫苗，该股可能会有大幅上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><b>The antibody market all to itself</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体市场全靠自己</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Patrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):</b>The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from <b>Eli Lilly</b> (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from <b>Roche</b>and<b>Regeneron</b> are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b> and Vir Biotechnology&#39;s sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it&#39;s the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>Patrick Bafuma（Vir Biotechnology）：</b>奥密克戎变种目前猖獗，这一次，我们缺少一些治疗方法。以前青睐的单克隆抗体治疗来自<b>礼来公司</b>（bamlanivimab加etesevimab）以及来自<b>罗氏</b>和<b>再生</b>被认为对当前变体的活性显著降低。这样就只剩下一种对奥密克戎有效的输液了--<b>葛兰素史克</b>以及Vir Biotechnology的sotrovimab。这种单克隆抗体先前证明，在轻度至中度新冠肺炎和进展为重度疾病的高风险成人中，住院和死亡风险降低了79%。它是目前唯一一个对抗奥密克戎变种的人。</blockquote></p><p>Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly&#39;s antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.</p><p><blockquote>作为唯一的单克隆抗体将有其特权。2021年前9个月，REGEN-COV带来了35亿美元的产品净销售额，而礼来公司的抗体组合带来了11.7亿美元。美国政府已经签订了价值约10亿美元的sotrovimab合同。随着医院挤满了病人，任何有助于缓解系统压力的东西都可能受到高度追捧。</blockquote></p><p>And while Pfizer&#39;s Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who&#39;s who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid&#39;s possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然辉瑞的Paxlovid将极大地有利于减轻医疗保健系统的COVID-19负担，但这种口服药物具有显着且复杂的药物相互作用潜力。事实上，它的相互作用列表读起来就像是常用处方药的名人录。这包括流行的血液稀释剂，如波立维和Xarelto，常见的止痛药，如曲马多和羟考酮，抗焦虑药，如Klonopin和Xanax，以及抗胆固醇他汀类药物。随着美国国立卫生研究院发表声明，表达了对Paxlovid可能的药物相互作用的担忧，这为sotrovimab继续广泛使用留下了充足的空间。根据与GSK的协议，Vir获得了sotrovimab销售额的72.5%，这家价值44亿美元的生物技术公司目前看起来很划算。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022年将赚取数十亿美元的3只COVID股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022年将赚取数十亿美元的3只COVID股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-08 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>It&#39;s a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>这是新的一年，新冠肺炎仍然和我们在一起。去年，我们看到医疗保健领域多种新冠疫苗和治疗方法获得了紧急使用授权。制药公司将在2022年赚取数十亿美元。以下是三只应该蓬勃发展的股票。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy <b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in <b>Vir Biotechnology</b>(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）是一家价值3100亿美元的大型公司，预计其新冠疫苗和抗病毒药物的销售额将不会是10亿或100亿美元，而是超过500亿美元。斗志昂扬<b>Novavax</b>（纳斯达克：NVAX）终于在全球范围内推出了新冠疫苗。它将获得多少亿？我们有一个黑马候选人<b>维尔生物技术</b>（纳斯达克：维尔）。对于这家小型生物技术公司来说，它的一种药物很容易成为价值10亿美元的重磅炸弹。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488a166201699c1f3d6536aa3e640ecf\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>A safe harbor in stormy weather</b></p><p><blockquote><b>暴风雨天气中的避风港</b></blockquote></p><p><b>George Budwell(Pfizer):</b>Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote><b>乔治·巴德威尔（辉瑞）：</b>辉瑞是新冠肺炎制药产品无可争议的冠军。仅在2022年，华尔街预计这家制药巨头的新型冠状病毒疫苗Comirnaty和口服抗病毒药物Paxlovid的销售额就将达到550亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>What&#39;s more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，分析师开始接受Paxlovid可能在当前十年内成为该公司可持续收入来源的想法。当该药物上个月首次被美国食品和药物管理局根据紧急使用授权途径允许上市时，华尔街认为从商业角度来看，Paxlovid可能会在一年左右的时间内达到顶峰，然后随着疫情从视野中消失，销售额急剧下降。</blockquote></p><p>But less than three weeks out from the drug&#39;s initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.</p><p><blockquote>但距离该药物首次获得批准还不到三周，令人痛苦的是，很明显，Paxlovid可能需要作为未来几年COVID-19最坏结果的故障保险。毕竟，高传染性的奥密克戎变种肯定不会是该病毒的最后一次重大迭代。</blockquote></p><p>What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>这一切意味着，辉瑞应该是少数几家在新冠肺炎拥有可观、长期收入来源的大型制药商之一。反过来，在可预见的未来，辉瑞应该有充足的自由现金流来满足其慷慨的股东奖励计划以及雄心勃勃的业务发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>So, if you&#39;re looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果您正在寻找一只能够抵御极高通胀和利率上升双重阻力的股票，辉瑞可能值得一试。</blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax的收入预测：20亿至80亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company&#39;s stock price is down to $125 a share. That&#39;s where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰勒·卡迈克尔（Novavax）：</b>Novavax今年正处于伟大的边缘。该公司的股价跌至每股125美元。这就是它在2021年开始的地方，所以去年该股几乎遭受了洗盘。</blockquote></p><p>Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.</p><p><blockquote>早在2月份，当Novavax报告其新冠疫苗的积极3期数据时，股价就飙升至300美元以上。但后来这家小型生物技术公司遇到了制造问题。虽然许多人说它的疫苗是同类产品中最好的，但扩大约20亿剂疫苗的合同生产说起来容易做起来难。这些现实导致该股较高点下跌约60%。</blockquote></p><p>Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it&#39;s highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company&#39;s already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Novavax的收入已经达到了10亿美元大关，因此由于所有的预订，其疫苗甚至在获得批准之前就已经一鸣惊人。现在，全球各地的授权纷至沓来，Novavax很有可能在2022年运送大量疫苗。该公司已经实现了每月1亿剂的生产能力，即一年12亿剂。在第三季度收益看涨期权上，管理层预测到第四季度末将达到每月1.5亿剂（或每年18亿剂）的生产能力。该公司预计将继续扩大规模，并预测2022年将分发20亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that&#39;s over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>20亿剂疫苗，价格为16美元（曲速行动支付了16亿美元预购了1亿剂疫苗），我们粗略计算出收入为320亿美元。当然，Novavax将以较低的速度向发展中国家分发大量疫苗。尽管该公司对其价格保持沉默，但丹麦早在8月份就表示，根据欧盟(EU)协议，它为每剂疫苗支付了近21美元。欧盟已经订购了2亿剂，因此仅在欧洲的销售额就超过40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company&#39;s market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.</p><p><blockquote>分析师非常保守，对Novavax 2022年的预测在20亿至80亿美元之间。（该公司的市值为90亿美元。）虽然一路上可能会出现一些问题，但Novavax肯定会在2022年从其COVID-19疫苗中赚取数十亿美元。如果该公司确实像其所说的那样交付20亿剂疫苗，该股可能会有大幅上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><b>The antibody market all to itself</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体市场全靠自己</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Patrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):</b>The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from <b>Eli Lilly</b> (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from <b>Roche</b>and<b>Regeneron</b> are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b> and Vir Biotechnology&#39;s sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it&#39;s the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>Patrick Bafuma（Vir Biotechnology）：</b>奥密克戎变种目前猖獗，这一次，我们缺少一些治疗方法。以前青睐的单克隆抗体治疗来自<b>礼来公司</b>（bamlanivimab加etesevimab）以及来自<b>罗氏</b>和<b>再生</b>被认为对当前变体的活性显著降低。这样就只剩下一种对奥密克戎有效的输液了--<b>葛兰素史克</b>以及Vir Biotechnology的sotrovimab。这种单克隆抗体先前证明，在轻度至中度新冠肺炎和进展为重度疾病的高风险成人中，住院和死亡风险降低了79%。它是目前唯一一个对抗奥密克戎变种的人。</blockquote></p><p>Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly&#39;s antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.</p><p><blockquote>作为唯一的单克隆抗体将有其特权。2021年前9个月，REGEN-COV带来了35亿美元的产品净销售额，而礼来公司的抗体组合带来了11.7亿美元。美国政府已经签订了价值约10亿美元的sotrovimab合同。随着医院挤满了病人，任何有助于缓解系统压力的东西都可能受到高度追捧。</blockquote></p><p>And while Pfizer&#39;s Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who&#39;s who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid&#39;s possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然辉瑞的Paxlovid将极大地有利于减轻医疗保健系统的COVID-19负担，但这种口服药物具有显着且复杂的药物相互作用潜力。事实上，它的相互作用列表读起来就像是常用处方药的名人录。这包括流行的血液稀释剂，如波立维和Xarelto，常见的止痛药，如曲马多和羟考酮，抗焦虑药，如Klonopin和Xanax，以及抗胆固醇他汀类药物。随着美国国立卫生研究院发表声明，表达了对Paxlovid可能的药物相互作用的担忧，这为sotrovimab继续广泛使用留下了充足的空间。根据与GSK的协议，Vir获得了sotrovimab销售额的72.5%，这家价值44亿美元的生物技术公司目前看起来很划算。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/07/3-covid-stocks-that-will-make-billions-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","VIR":"Vir Biotechnology, Inc.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/07/3-covid-stocks-that-will-make-billions-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134509683","content_text":"It's a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.Pfizer(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in Vir Biotechnology(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.A safe harbor in stormy weatherGeorge Budwell(Pfizer):Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.What's more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.But less than three weeks out from the drug's initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.So, if you're looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billionTaylor Carmichael(Novavax):Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company's stock price is down to $125 a share. That's where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it's highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company's already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that's over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company's market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.The antibody market all to itselfPatrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from Eli Lilly (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from RocheandRegeneron are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--GlaxoSmithKline and Vir Biotechnology's sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it's the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly's antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.And while Pfizer's Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who's who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid's possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"VIR":0.9,"NVAX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600692641,"gmtCreate":1638145033580,"gmtModify":1638145055151,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays","listText":"Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays","text":"Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600692641","repostId":"2186432895","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":348778742,"gmtCreate":1617969358986,"gmtModify":1631891049962,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"rest in peace Prince Philip","listText":"rest in peace Prince Philip","text":"rest in peace Prince Philip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348778742","repostId":"1144618735","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":317,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":355573359,"gmtCreate":1617091516771,"gmtModify":1631892865120,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pinterest is overvalued too","listText":"Pinterest is overvalued too","text":"Pinterest is overvalued too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355573359","repostId":"2123607230","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2123607230","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1617070299,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2123607230?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-30 10:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beware The 11 Most Overvalued Stocks Now, Analysts Warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，现在要小心11只最被高估的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2123607230","media":"Investors","summary":"Analysts called the Tesla crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&P 500 companies.","content":"<p>Analysts called the <b>Tesla</b> crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&amp;P 500 companies.</p><p><blockquote>分析师称<b>特斯拉</b>视频流媒体股票的崩盘和大幅下跌。但他们的警告仍然被许多标普500公司忽视。</blockquote></p><p>Nearly a dozen S&amp;P 500 companies, including industrials <b>American Airlines</b> and <b>Snap-on</b> plus communications services <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">Lumen Technologies</a></b> are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.</p><p><blockquote>近十几家标普500公司，包括工业<b>美国航空公司</b>和<b>Snap-on</b>加上通信服务<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">流明技术</a></b>《投资者商业日报》对标准普尔全球市场情报和MarketSmith数据的分析表示，与分析师对这些股票的12个月目标价相比，这些股票的估值仍然被严重高估。</blockquote></p><p>By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&amp;P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.</p><p><blockquote>据分析师估计，所有这11只标普500股票都被高估了至少10%。这些警告是在大多数国家大幅上涨之际发出的。投资者纷纷涌入被认为受益于经济走强的股票。这11只股票今年平均上涨28.2%，而SPDR标普500 ETF信托仅上涨5.9%。更重要的是，到目前为止，11家公司中有8家在2021年上涨了20%或更多。</blockquote></p><p>Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，分析师在反弹期间不断发出降低目标价的警告，尤其是周期性股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Analysts Are Actually Bullish</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500分析师实际上看涨</b></blockquote></p><p>Analysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of <b>ViacomCBS</b> and <b>Discovery</b> before they sold off.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票估值过高发出警告。他们还对股票发出警告<b>ViacomCBS</b>和<b>发现</b>在他们卖掉之前。</blockquote></p><p>But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&amp;P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.</p><p><blockquote>但总体而言，分析师与往常一样大多看好标普500股票。分析师对标普500个股的12个月目标价较周五收盘价上涨6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.</p><p><blockquote>基本面支持看涨情绪。Factset盈利分析师约翰·巴特斯(John Butters)表示，今年已有60家公司告诉分析师，他们本季度的盈利将好于之前的预期。</blockquote></p><p>That's the highest number of S&amp;P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&amp;P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这是至少自2006年以来季度发布积极指引的标普500公司数量最多的一次。一年前同一季度，只有大约一半的公司如此乐观。这反过来意味着分析师现在认为标普500公司第一季度的利润将增长23.3%。截至2020年底，他们第一季度利润仅增长了15.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>But Analysts See Pockets Of Overvaluation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>但分析师认为部分地区估值过高</b></blockquote></p><p>American Airlines is the S&amp;P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.</p><p><blockquote>分析师认为美国航空的标普500股票远远超出了应有的水平。原因显而易见。</blockquote></p><p>Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.</p><p><blockquote>就在今年，该航空公司的股价飙升45.4%，至每股22.93美元。尽管由于疫情几乎关闭了航空旅行，该航空公司在2020年损失了约90亿美元，但新投资者还是涌入了该航空公司的股票。分析师认为某种程度上会卷土重来。美国航空预计2021年仅亏损约40亿美元，即每股7.61美元。但要到2022年才能实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?</p><p><blockquote>因此，分析师对美国航空的12个月目标价仅为每股15.47美元。如果这是正确的，这意味着该股被高估了33%。而且它也没有足够强大的基本面来支撑它。该公司的IBD综合评级仅为45。你知道在购买美国航空公司的股票之前要看什么吗？</blockquote></p><p>Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.</p><p><blockquote>同样在工业领域，分析师认为工具销售商Snap安也涨得太远了。今年股价上涨超过34%，至229.63点。</blockquote></p><p>Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.</p><p><blockquote>与美国不同，Snap安有基本面支持。</blockquote></p><p>It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.</p><p><blockquote>它的综合评分为88分。Snap-安预计2021年调整后每股利润将达到12.44美元，比2020年增长近7%。但分析师再次认为多头正在得意忘形。毕竟，2020年利润下降了5%。因此，分析师认为该公司12个月内每股价值仅为190.33美元，比目前的交易价格低16%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Watch Out For S&amp;P 500 Dividend Darlings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>留意标普500股息宠儿</b></blockquote></p><p>High dividend payers in the S&amp;P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的高股息支付者正在点燃市场。到目前为止，标普500中收益最高的八只股票都在2021年高居该指数榜首。其中包括语音和数据网络公司Lumen。</blockquote></p><p>Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&amp;P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Lumen以其高达7.4%的股息收益率而闻名。在标普500收益率仅为1.5%的世界里，这是可靠的。但今年它在投资者中更加出名，因为它的股价上涨了35%，达到13.16。这也不是一个非常积极的基本面故事。2020年每股利润增长26.5%。但预计2021年利润将下降6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.</p><p><blockquote>分析师只是认为这不值得投资者支付的费用。他们呼吁Lumen在12个月内的交易价格为每股10.78美元，比现在低18%。</blockquote></p><p>It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&amp;P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.</p><p><blockquote>不用说，分析师并不总是对的。他们经常是错的。但他们今年对标普500雄心勃勃的人的警告非常准确，至少值得一听。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Most Overvalued S&amp;P 500 Stocks: Analysts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最被高估的标普500股票：分析师</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><table><thead><tr><th>Company</th><th>Symbol</th><th>Target Price*</th><th>Stock YTD % Ch.</th><th>Implied Downside*</th><th>Sector</th><th>Composite Rating</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>American Airlines</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>Lumen Technologies</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>Communication Services</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>Nucor</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>Materials</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>Expeditors International of Washington</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>Franklin Resources</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>Genuine Parts</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>Whirlpool</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>Iron Mountain</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Real Estate</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>Unum</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A. O. Smith</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>Sources: IBD, S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target</h5></p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司</th><th>象征</th><th>目标价格*</th><th>股票年初至今%Ch。</th><th>隐含的负面影响*</th><th>部门</th><th>综合评级</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>美国航空公司</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>流明技术</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>通讯服务</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>纽科尔</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>材料</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>华盛顿国际快递公司</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>富兰克林资源公司</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>正品零件</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>漩涡</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>铁山</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>房地产</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>尤努姆</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A.O.史密斯</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>资料来源：IBD、标准普尔全球市场情报*——基于分析师12个月目标价</h5></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeware The 11 Most Overvalued Stocks Now, Analysts Warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，现在要小心11只最被高估的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-30 10:11</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Analysts called the <b>Tesla</b> crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&amp;P 500 companies.</p><p><blockquote>分析师称<b>特斯拉</b>视频流媒体股票的崩盘和大幅下跌。但他们的警告仍然被许多标普500公司忽视。</blockquote></p><p>Nearly a dozen S&amp;P 500 companies, including industrials <b>American Airlines</b> and <b>Snap-on</b> plus communications services <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">Lumen Technologies</a></b> are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.</p><p><blockquote>近十几家标普500公司，包括工业<b>美国航空公司</b>和<b>Snap-on</b>加上通信服务<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">流明技术</a></b>《投资者商业日报》对标准普尔全球市场情报和MarketSmith数据的分析表示，与分析师对这些股票的12个月目标价相比，这些股票的估值仍然被严重高估。</blockquote></p><p>By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&amp;P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.</p><p><blockquote>据分析师估计，所有这11只标普500股票都被高估了至少10%。这些警告是在大多数国家大幅上涨之际发出的。投资者纷纷涌入被认为受益于经济走强的股票。这11只股票今年平均上涨28.2%，而SPDR标普500 ETF信托仅上涨5.9%。更重要的是，到目前为止，11家公司中有8家在2021年上涨了20%或更多。</blockquote></p><p>Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，分析师在反弹期间不断发出降低目标价的警告，尤其是周期性股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>S&amp;P 500 Analysts Are Actually Bullish</b></p><p><blockquote><b>标普500分析师实际上看涨</b></blockquote></p><p>Analysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of <b>ViacomCBS</b> and <b>Discovery</b> before they sold off.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票估值过高发出警告。他们还对股票发出警告<b>ViacomCBS</b>和<b>发现</b>在他们卖掉之前。</blockquote></p><p>But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&amp;P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.</p><p><blockquote>但总体而言，分析师与往常一样大多看好标普500股票。分析师对标普500个股的12个月目标价较周五收盘价上涨6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.</p><p><blockquote>基本面支持看涨情绪。Factset盈利分析师约翰·巴特斯(John Butters)表示，今年已有60家公司告诉分析师，他们本季度的盈利将好于之前的预期。</blockquote></p><p>That's the highest number of S&amp;P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&amp;P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这是至少自2006年以来季度发布积极指引的标普500公司数量最多的一次。一年前同一季度，只有大约一半的公司如此乐观。这反过来意味着分析师现在认为标普500公司第一季度的利润将增长23.3%。截至2020年底，他们第一季度利润仅增长了15.8%。</blockquote></p><p><b>But Analysts See Pockets Of Overvaluation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>但分析师认为部分地区估值过高</b></blockquote></p><p>American Airlines is the S&amp;P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.</p><p><blockquote>分析师认为美国航空的标普500股票远远超出了应有的水平。原因显而易见。</blockquote></p><p>Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.</p><p><blockquote>就在今年，该航空公司的股价飙升45.4%，至每股22.93美元。尽管由于疫情几乎关闭了航空旅行，该航空公司在2020年损失了约90亿美元，但新投资者还是涌入了该航空公司的股票。分析师认为某种程度上会卷土重来。美国航空预计2021年仅亏损约40亿美元，即每股7.61美元。但要到2022年才能实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?</p><p><blockquote>因此，分析师对美国航空的12个月目标价仅为每股15.47美元。如果这是正确的，这意味着该股被高估了33%。而且它也没有足够强大的基本面来支撑它。该公司的IBD综合评级仅为45。你知道在购买美国航空公司的股票之前要看什么吗？</blockquote></p><p>Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.</p><p><blockquote>同样在工业领域，分析师认为工具销售商Snap安也涨得太远了。今年股价上涨超过34%，至229.63点。</blockquote></p><p>Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.</p><p><blockquote>与美国不同，Snap安有基本面支持。</blockquote></p><p>It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.</p><p><blockquote>它的综合评分为88分。Snap-安预计2021年调整后每股利润将达到12.44美元，比2020年增长近7%。但分析师再次认为多头正在得意忘形。毕竟，2020年利润下降了5%。因此，分析师认为该公司12个月内每股价值仅为190.33美元，比目前的交易价格低16%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Watch Out For S&amp;P 500 Dividend Darlings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>留意标普500股息宠儿</b></blockquote></p><p>High dividend payers in the S&amp;P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的高股息支付者正在点燃市场。到目前为止，标普500中收益最高的八只股票都在2021年高居该指数榜首。其中包括语音和数据网络公司Lumen。</blockquote></p><p>Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&amp;P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Lumen以其高达7.4%的股息收益率而闻名。在标普500收益率仅为1.5%的世界里，这是可靠的。但今年它在投资者中更加出名，因为它的股价上涨了35%，达到13.16。这也不是一个非常积极的基本面故事。2020年每股利润增长26.5%。但预计2021年利润将下降6.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.</p><p><blockquote>分析师只是认为这不值得投资者支付的费用。他们呼吁Lumen在12个月内的交易价格为每股10.78美元，比现在低18%。</blockquote></p><p>It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&amp;P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.</p><p><blockquote>不用说，分析师并不总是对的。他们经常是错的。但他们今年对标普500雄心勃勃的人的警告非常准确，至少值得一听。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Most Overvalued S&amp;P 500 Stocks: Analysts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最被高估的标普500股票：分析师</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><table><thead><tr><th>Company</th><th>Symbol</th><th>Target Price*</th><th>Stock YTD % Ch.</th><th>Implied Downside*</th><th>Sector</th><th>Composite Rating</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>American Airlines</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>Lumen Technologies</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>Communication Services</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>Nucor</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>Materials</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>Expeditors International of Washington</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>Franklin Resources</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>Genuine Parts</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>Whirlpool</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>Iron Mountain</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Real Estate</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>Unum</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>Financials</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A. O. Smith</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>Industrials</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>Sources: IBD, S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target</h5></p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司</th><th>象征</th><th>目标价格*</th><th>股票年初至今%Ch。</th><th>隐含的负面影响*</th><th>部门</th><th>综合评级</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>美国航空公司</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td><b>-32.5%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>流明技术</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td><b>-18.1%</b></td><td>通讯服务</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td><b>-17.1%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>纽科尔</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td><b>-16.3%</b></td><td>材料</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>华盛顿国际快递公司</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td><b>-15.0%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>富兰克林资源公司</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td><b>-13.4%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>正品零件</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td><b>-12.0%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>漩涡</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td><b>-11.9%</b></td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>铁山</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>房地产</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>尤努姆</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td><b>-10.8%</b></td><td>财务</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A.O.史密斯</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td><b>-10.6%</b></td><td>工业</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>资料来源：IBD、标准普尔全球市场情报*——基于分析师12个月目标价</h5></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa7c522340c9f1e78e78f0c1543440e","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2123607230","content_text":"Analysts called the Tesla crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&P 500 companies.Nearly a dozen S&P 500 companies, including industrials American Airlines and Snap-on plus communications services Lumen Technologies are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.S&P 500 Analysts Are Actually BullishAnalysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of ViacomCBS and Discovery before they sold off.But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.That's the highest number of S&P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.But Analysts See Pockets Of OvervaluationAmerican Airlines is the S&P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.Watch Out For S&P 500 Dividend DarlingsHigh dividend payers in the S&P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.The Most Overvalued S&P 500 Stocks: AnalystsCompanySymbolTarget Price*Stock YTD % Ch.Implied Downside*SectorComposite RatingAmerican Airlines15.4745.4%-32.5%Industrials45Lumen Technologies10.7835.0%-18.1%Communication Services61Snap-on190.3334.2%-17.1%Industrials88Nucor66.3849.1%-16.3%Materials97Expeditors International of Washington91.6413.3%-15.0%Industrials80Franklin Resources25.4717.6%-13.4%Financials79Genuine Parts104.3318.0%-12.0%Consumer Discretionary64Whirlpool196.4423.6%-11.9%Consumer Discretionary91Iron Mountain33.2526.5%-10.8%Real Estate70Unum24.7320.8%-10.8%Financials59A. O. Smith62.1126.8%-10.6%Industrials74Sources: IBD, S&P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SH":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"OEF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":608305378,"gmtCreate":1638613759772,"gmtModify":1638613759772,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more&nbsp;","listText":"Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more&nbsp;","text":"Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608305378","repostId":"1166348149","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1166348149","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638522212,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166348149?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 17:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中上涨7%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166348149","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading after plunging 20% on first day of trading.\n\nAfter comple","content":"<p>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;plunging&nbsp;20% on first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价在首日交易暴跌20%后，在盘前交易中上涨7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ecbac0018debb2d6e75a60d1c7f3d1\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> After completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings&nbsp;Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings Ltd.在完成了特殊目的收购公司迄今为止最富有的交易后。周四，即在美国交易的第一天，该股经历了最初的上涨，但随后暴跌至20%以上的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview&nbsp;on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于新加坡的公司开发了一款“超级应用”，在东南亚400多个城市提供叫车、送货和金融服务。Grab首席财务官Peter Oey周四在接受采访时表示，由于东南亚（尤其是越南）与COVID-19相关的停工，该公司在截至9月30日的第三季度经历了“最艰难的时期”。但他指出，尽管该公司正在关注新型冠状病毒变种奥密克戎的情况，但预计增长和复苏仍将持续。</blockquote></p><p> Backers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp.&nbsp;and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.</p><p><blockquote>Grab成立于2012年，其支持者包括滴滴出行、丰田汽车和软银集团的愿景基金。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中上涨7%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab股价在盘前交易中上涨7%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-03 17:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;plunging&nbsp;20% on first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab股价在首日交易暴跌20%后，在盘前交易中上涨7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ecbac0018debb2d6e75a60d1c7f3d1\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> After completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings&nbsp;Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.</p><p><blockquote>Grab Holdings Ltd.在完成了特殊目的收购公司迄今为止最富有的交易后。周四，即在美国交易的第一天，该股经历了最初的上涨，但随后暴跌至20%以上的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview&nbsp;on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于新加坡的公司开发了一款“超级应用”，在东南亚400多个城市提供叫车、送货和金融服务。Grab首席财务官Peter Oey周四在接受采访时表示，由于东南亚（尤其是越南）与COVID-19相关的停工，该公司在截至9月30日的第三季度经历了“最艰难的时期”。但他指出，尽管该公司正在关注新型冠状病毒变种奥密克戎的情况，但预计增长和复苏仍将持续。</blockquote></p><p> Backers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp.&nbsp;and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.</p><p><blockquote>Grab成立于2012年，其支持者包括滴滴出行、丰田汽车和软银集团的愿景基金。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166348149","content_text":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading after plunging 20% on first day of trading.\n\nAfter completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.\nThe Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.\nBackers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp. and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849460767,"gmtCreate":1635774051959,"gmtModify":1635774051959,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]","listText":"pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]","text":"pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849460767","repostId":"849165132","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":849165132,"gmtCreate":1635735786222,"gmtModify":1635940231850,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"A BIG BIG November for Tiger Brokers!!","htmlText":"The year has almost come to an end with only 2 months left, but not for Tiger Brokers. November will be a BIG BIG month for us as we kickstart the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)!How “Big” is the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)? Very big, let me show you the 4 “Big”s!Big Event - Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF) Tiger Brokers is proud to be the silver sponsor of Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF). What's so fun about this big event is that there will be back-to-back Tiger Live webinars from 8th to 12th November, 7pm every day, to cover various topics about investment!How can we forget about promotion ? The second big will be Big Promotion!Tiger Brokers is constantly challenging the limit, and we always rack our brains to give out better benefits to all traders.As part of the Tiger Fintech Fie","listText":"The year has almost come to an end with only 2 months left, but not for Tiger Brokers. November will be a BIG BIG month for us as we kickstart the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)!How “Big” is the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)? Very big, let me show you the 4 “Big”s!Big Event - Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF) Tiger Brokers is proud to be the silver sponsor of Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF). What's so fun about this big event is that there will be back-to-back Tiger Live webinars from 8th to 12th November, 7pm every day, to cover various topics about investment!How can we forget about promotion ? The second big will be Big Promotion!Tiger Brokers is constantly challenging the limit, and we always rack our brains to give out better benefits to all traders.As part of the Tiger Fintech Fie","text":"The year has almost come to an end with only 2 months left, but not for Tiger Brokers. November will be a BIG BIG month for us as we kickstart the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)!How “Big” is the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)? Very big, let me show you the 4 “Big”s!Big Event - Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF) Tiger Brokers is proud to be the silver sponsor of Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF). What's so fun about this big event is that there will be back-to-back Tiger Live webinars from 8th to 12th November, 7pm every day, to cover various topics about investment!How can we forget about promotion ? The second big will be Big Promotion!Tiger Brokers is constantly challenging the limit, and we always rack our brains to give out better benefits to all traders.As part of the Tiger Fintech Fie","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/712b61d31121272b969f444fb51bceac","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beadd3208c0954546bf3678c4e8cb539","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffd58e797fcaf5bd954117499cc47976","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849165132","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":885410445,"gmtCreate":1631810278387,"gmtModify":1631891049931,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"agree absolutely","listText":"agree absolutely","text":"agree absolutely","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885410445","repostId":"2167543250","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816322927,"gmtCreate":1630469600869,"gmtModify":1631891049938,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"well wriiten","listText":"well wriiten","text":"well wriiten","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816322927","repostId":"816398805","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":816398805,"gmtCreate":1630464975807,"gmtModify":1631883909539,"author":{"id":"3557997848207595","authorId":"3557997848207595","name":"Sorrie2u","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daee3c31c13830f17698139700d5c999","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557997848207595","idStr":"3557997848207595"},"themes":[],"title":"market view end 21","htmlText":"Delta variant has been wrecking the world and although reported financial figures are looking good but it was from a backdrop of last year's major covid downfall of the markets.&nbsp;Many downplay the inflation risk in coming year but on the ground, looking at companies procurement plans and material costs. Everything is on the rise where transportation/logistic costs are up by abt 30% and raw material costs up my a substantial amount too due to chip shortages etc.&nbsp;Even recycling companies are raising their prices for taking in scrap materials such as metals and electronic boards as well as computer chips. These recycling prices have rose abt 30-40% per kg.&nbsp;All these amounts to general inflation around the world but markets are making ATH still. IMO this is a dangerous time to be","listText":"Delta variant has been wrecking the world and although reported financial figures are looking good but it was from a backdrop of last year's major covid downfall of the markets.&nbsp;Many downplay the inflation risk in coming year but on the ground, looking at companies procurement plans and material costs. Everything is on the rise where transportation/logistic costs are up by abt 30% and raw material costs up my a substantial amount too due to chip shortages etc.&nbsp;Even recycling companies are raising their prices for taking in scrap materials such as metals and electronic boards as well as computer chips. These recycling prices have rose abt 30-40% per kg.&nbsp;All these amounts to general inflation around the world but markets are making ATH still. IMO this is a dangerous time to be","text":"Delta variant has been wrecking the world and although reported financial figures are looking good but it was from a backdrop of last year's major covid downfall of the markets. Many downplay the inflation risk in coming year but on the ground, looking at companies procurement plans and material costs. Everything is on the rise where transportation/logistic costs are up by abt 30% and raw material costs up my a substantial amount too due to chip shortages etc. Even recycling companies are raising their prices for taking in scrap materials such as metals and electronic boards as well as computer chips. These recycling prices have rose abt 30-40% per kg. All these amounts to general inflation around the world but markets are making ATH still. IMO this is a dangerous time to be","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816398805","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816329620,"gmtCreate":1630469077960,"gmtModify":1631883827024,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"one to look out for","listText":"one to look out for","text":"one to look out for","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816329620","repostId":"818770517","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":818770517,"gmtCreate":1630452890939,"gmtModify":1631885908575,"author":{"id":"4090668520010600","authorId":"4090668520010600","name":"ysyyay","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9c5878bbd3378af1641b8ed09c98217","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090668520010600","idStr":"4090668520010600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMRS\">$Amyris(AMRS)$</a>nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMRS\">$Amyris(AMRS)$</a>nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!","text":"$Amyris(AMRS)$nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98131c69a08d504eccb7b794ecfed616","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818770517","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}