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2021-11-03

$INTERNATIONAL CEMENT GROUPLTD.(KUO.SI)$Looks like it gonna tank? No?

2021-03-03

Comment and like pls

A Look Into Technology Sector Value Stocks<blockquote>科技板块价值股一览</blockquote>

2021-03-20

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Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望，让 SLR 救济到期：接下来会发生什么</blockquote>

2021-11-11

$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$Sell sell sell!!!!

2021-11-01

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Likely dead cat bounce?

2021-02-21

Reply me pls

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-22

Reply and like my comment please

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-13

Like& share & comment pls

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-28

Reply and like my post lei

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-30

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$$6 last call???

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Buy buy buy","text":"$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$Wah!!!!! Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875792257","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875911053,"gmtCreate":1637594067675,"gmtModify":1637594067767,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYRN\">$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$</a>Buy buy buy! Cheap","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYRN\">$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$</a>Buy buy buy! Cheap","text":"$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$Buy buy buy! Cheap","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875911053","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2959,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870550200,"gmtCreate":1636636994120,"gmtModify":1636636994392,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYRN\">$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$</a>Sell sell sell!!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYRN\">$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$</a>Sell sell sell!!!!","text":"$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$Sell sell sell!!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870550200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841680222,"gmtCreate":1635906575211,"gmtModify":1635907107754,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KUO.SI\">$INTERNATIONAL CEMENT GROUPLTD.(KUO.SI)$</a>Looks like it gonna tank? No?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KUO.SI\">$INTERNATIONAL CEMENT GROUPLTD.(KUO.SI)$</a>Looks like it gonna tank? No?","text":"$INTERNATIONAL CEMENT GROUPLTD.(KUO.SI)$Looks like it gonna tank? No?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841680222","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843097632,"gmtCreate":1635781093689,"gmtModify":1635782006318,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KUO.SI\">$INTERNATIONAL CEMENT GROUPLTD.(KUO.SI)$</a>Have a strong feeling that something is brewing. Shall wait for the news on complete acquisition.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KUO.SI\">$INTERNATIONAL CEMENT GROUPLTD.(KUO.SI)$</a>Have a strong feeling that something is brewing. Shall wait for the news on complete acquisition.&nbsp;","text":"$INTERNATIONAL CEMENT GROUPLTD.(KUO.SI)$Have a strong feeling that something is brewing. Shall wait for the news on complete acquisition.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843097632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843094377,"gmtCreate":1635781031791,"gmtModify":1635781031881,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Likely dead cat bounce?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Likely dead cat bounce?&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Likely dead cat bounce?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843094377","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857656110,"gmtCreate":1635523310459,"gmtModify":1635523310584,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>$6 last call???","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>$6 last call???","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$$6 last call???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857656110","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2919,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857608869,"gmtCreate":1635520214549,"gmtModify":1635520214632,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Big candle forming!!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Big candle forming!!!!","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Big candle 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5.70","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857833877","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":963,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857807497,"gmtCreate":1635516400480,"gmtModify":1635516400561,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Short short!?!?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>Short short!?!?","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Short short!?!?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857807497","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857804315,"gmtCreate":1635516343156,"gmtModify":1635516344562,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYRN\">$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$</a>Time to sell? :(","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYRN\">$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$</a>Time to sell? :(","text":"$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$Time to sell? :(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857804315","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":350676577,"gmtCreate":1616206350699,"gmtModify":1634526738548,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and share like and share","listText":"Like and share like and share","text":"Like and share like and share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350676577","repostId":"1199154789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199154789","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616164372,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1199154789?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望，让 SLR 救济到期：接下来会发生什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199154789","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio  exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on ","content":"<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如这里所讨论和深入讨论的那样，在伊丽莎白·沃伦和谢罗德·布朗等进步民主党人的政治压力下，美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率（SLR）豁免如期于3月31日到期，即规则变更一周年纪念日。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储银行监管机构今天宣布，2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率（SLR）临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于 COVID-19 事件，做出临时改变是为了让存款机构能够灵活地向家庭和企业提供信贷。纽约联储前大师佐尔坦-波萨尔（Zoltan Pozsar）（再次）正确预测了这一结果，他在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）之后表示，“事实上，美联储做出这一调整实际上是先发制人的--o/n RRP工具目前没有被使用，因此还没有能力限制，而回购和票据收益率还没有出现负值交易--<b>这表明美联储正在为终止 SLR 豁免“铺平道路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这对市场来说将是一个非常热门的问题，因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪，指出虽然 SLR 特殊待遇将于 3 月 31 日到期，但美联储正在“邀请公众对几项潜在的 SLR 修改发表评论”，此外，“<b>随着时间的推移，董事会可能需要解决 SLR 的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现可能制约经济增长和破坏金融稳定的压力</b>“——简而言之，如果收益率飙升，美联储将立即重新推出 SLR：</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布，银行控股公司补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外，董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动，确保SLR的任何变更不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解新冠肺炎疫情造成的国债市场压力，并促进对家庭和企业的贷款，董事会去年暂时修改了SLR，将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。此后，国债市场趋于稳定。<b>然而，由于最近央行储备供应和国债发行的增加，董事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现可能制约经济增长和破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保 SLR（作为额外资本要求于 2014 年设立）在储备较高的环境下仍然有效，董事会将很快就几项潜在的 SLR 修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和意见将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来确保国债市场弹性的工作进行持续讨论。尽管美联储提出了宽慰的要求，<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后，美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息，股市暴跌……</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升……</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是最容易受到SLR减免的银行（正如昨天在“面临摩根大通杠杆减免威胁”中所指出的）...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下，以下是您应该关心 SLR 决定的原因：首先，对于那些阅读我们有关该问题的入门读物的人来说，摩根大通的一些背景（具有讽刺意味的是，摩根大通是一家因美联储的决定而损失最大的银行）底线是，如果没有 SLR 救济，<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金（不一定是所有这些，也不是按顺序），就像美联储正在向市场注入数千亿美元的储备随着财政部耗尽其 TGA 账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着联邦储备银行持有的银行存款也将大幅增长。<b>监管救济的到期将使 8 个 GSIB 增加约 2.1 万亿美元的杠杆风险。此外，TGA 的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在 2021 年为系统增加约 2.35 万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然 3 月 31 日豁免到期不会对 GSIB 产生直接影响，但全年杠杆资产的持续增长将增加长期债务 (LTD) 和优先要求。在此，摩根大通持乐观态度并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的案例发行情况也是非常可控的，LTD 需要 350 亿美元来满足 TLAC 要求，而优先需要 150 亿至 200 亿美元才能将全行业 SLR 的比例维持在 5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大，以 6.2% 的 SLR 计算，增加杠杆风险的能力约为 7,650 亿美元。”高盛的做法更令人不安：该银行估计，在持续的量化宽松制度下，将出现约 2 万亿美元的储备能力缺口，主要以银行无法接受的存款形式作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分（高盛对 SLR 困境的全面理解要多得多）。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢？</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm在谈到这个话题时写道：<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表，但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免…….以下是几个场景及其对回购市场的影响</i>:</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经全价了。准备金的豁免继续，但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性增加。准备金和国库的豁免都结束了。同上。</b>换句话说，Skyrm持相对悲观的观点，警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。”此外，随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性可能会增加……</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了？那么，上周摩根大通为SLR布局了5种情景，其中两种情景预测SLR救济将在3月31日结束，具体如下：</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital &amp; de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.救助3月31日结束，银行全面募资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.救助3月31日结束，银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到佐尔坦，让我们回顾一下，回购大师还警告说，“结束准备金和国债在 SLR 计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金存款和准备金（而不是国债），以留出更多空间进行做市活动，<b>这些资金流动将进一步扩大 TGA 提款带来的货币资金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，佐尔坦预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现大范围的混乱，而是对单反相机已经产生的微不足道的影响（如果被淘汰，将会产生）提供了更温和的观点，正如他在周二的一份报告中所解释的那样。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定佐尔坦的良性观点是否正确？他在笔记的最后写道：“鉴于我们在 6 月底之前将 FRA-OIS 利差从零变为负的看涨期权是基于 SLR 延期结束，以及美联储将试图用价格而非数量来解决数量问题的假设，今天的调整意味着 FRA-OIS 不会一路跌至零或负区域”。</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>从这里开始，FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易强度，但以远低于零的利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险……虽然法案偶尔会陷入负值区域，但到目前为止，它们已经避免了NIRP的全面暴跌，这可能只是市场正在等待的积极迹象，以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* *&nbsp; *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，对于那些好奇会对市场产生什么直接影响的人来说，NatWest 策略师布莱克-格温（Blake Gwinn）写道，美联储宣布将让银行的监管豁免在本月底到期，“确实穿针引线，并 “缓解了对市场潜在长期影响的担忧”。<b>SLR“结束了它，但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”，承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题，以防止应变发展</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>“格温说：”我从来没有担心过银行会在一天之内抛售国债，或者在不续签的情况下提取回购或类似的事情。格温总结说，“我担心的是，从长远来看，”随着外汇储备的继续上升，SLR 是否会 “成为一种麻烦，拖累国债和利差”。<b>“真正面对这些恐惧，基本上是在说，‘别担心，我们会做到的’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，随着收益率在早期四巫交易中飙升至 HOD，市场似乎对美联储的任何行动都相当怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望，让 SLR 救济到期：接下来会发生什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-19 22:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如这里所讨论和深入讨论的那样，在伊丽莎白·沃伦和谢罗德·布朗等进步民主党人的政治压力下，美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率（SLR）豁免如期于3月31日到期，即规则变更一周年纪念日。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储银行监管机构今天宣布，2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率（SLR）临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于 COVID-19 事件，做出临时改变是为了让存款机构能够灵活地向家庭和企业提供信贷。纽约联储前大师佐尔坦-波萨尔（Zoltan Pozsar）（再次）正确预测了这一结果，他在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）之后表示，“事实上，美联储做出这一调整实际上是先发制人的--o/n RRP工具目前没有被使用，因此还没有能力限制，而回购和票据收益率还没有出现负值交易--<b>这表明美联储正在为终止 SLR 豁免“铺平道路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这对市场来说将是一个非常热门的问题，因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪，指出虽然 SLR 特殊待遇将于 3 月 31 日到期，但美联储正在“邀请公众对几项潜在的 SLR 修改发表评论”，此外，“<b>随着时间的推移，董事会可能需要解决 SLR 的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现可能制约经济增长和破坏金融稳定的压力</b>“——简而言之，如果收益率飙升，美联储将立即重新推出 SLR：</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布，银行控股公司补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外，董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动，确保SLR的任何变更不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解新冠肺炎疫情造成的国债市场压力，并促进对家庭和企业的贷款，董事会去年暂时修改了SLR，将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。此后，国债市场趋于稳定。<b>然而，由于最近央行储备供应和国债发行的增加，董事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现可能制约经济增长和破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保 SLR（作为额外资本要求于 2014 年设立）在储备较高的环境下仍然有效，董事会将很快就几项潜在的 SLR 修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和意见将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来确保国债市场弹性的工作进行持续讨论。尽管美联储提出了宽慰的要求，<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后，美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息，股市暴跌……</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升……</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是最容易受到SLR减免的银行（正如昨天在“面临摩根大通杠杆减免威胁”中所指出的）...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下，以下是您应该关心 SLR 决定的原因：首先，对于那些阅读我们有关该问题的入门读物的人来说，摩根大通的一些背景（具有讽刺意味的是，摩根大通是一家因美联储的决定而损失最大的银行）底线是，如果没有 SLR 救济，<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金（不一定是所有这些，也不是按顺序），就像美联储正在向市场注入数千亿美元的储备随着财政部耗尽其 TGA 账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着联邦储备银行持有的银行存款也将大幅增长。<b>监管救济的到期将使 8 个 GSIB 增加约 2.1 万亿美元的杠杆风险。此外，TGA 的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在 2021 年为系统增加约 2.35 万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然 3 月 31 日豁免到期不会对 GSIB 产生直接影响，但全年杠杆资产的持续增长将增加长期债务 (LTD) 和优先要求。在此，摩根大通持乐观态度并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的案例发行情况也是非常可控的，LTD 需要 350 亿美元来满足 TLAC 要求，而优先需要 150 亿至 200 亿美元才能将全行业 SLR 的比例维持在 5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大，以 6.2% 的 SLR 计算，增加杠杆风险的能力约为 7,650 亿美元。”高盛的做法更令人不安：该银行估计，在持续的量化宽松制度下，将出现约 2 万亿美元的储备能力缺口，主要以银行无法接受的存款形式作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分（高盛对 SLR 困境的全面理解要多得多）。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢？</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm在谈到这个话题时写道：<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表，但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免…….以下是几个场景及其对回购市场的影响</i>:</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经全价了。准备金的豁免继续，但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性增加。准备金和国库的豁免都结束了。同上。</b>换句话说，Skyrm持相对悲观的观点，警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。”此外，随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性可能会增加……</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了？那么，上周摩根大通为SLR布局了5种情景，其中两种情景预测SLR救济将在3月31日结束，具体如下：</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital &amp; de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.救助3月31日结束，银行全面募资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.救助3月31日结束，银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到佐尔坦，让我们回顾一下，回购大师还警告说，“结束准备金和国债在 SLR 计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金存款和准备金（而不是国债），以留出更多空间进行做市活动，<b>这些资金流动将进一步扩大 TGA 提款带来的货币资金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，佐尔坦预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现大范围的混乱，而是对单反相机已经产生的微不足道的影响（如果被淘汰，将会产生）提供了更温和的观点，正如他在周二的一份报告中所解释的那样。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定佐尔坦的良性观点是否正确？他在笔记的最后写道：“鉴于我们在 6 月底之前将 FRA-OIS 利差从零变为负的看涨期权是基于 SLR 延期结束，以及美联储将试图用价格而非数量来解决数量问题的假设，今天的调整意味着 FRA-OIS 不会一路跌至零或负区域”。</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>从这里开始，FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易强度，但以远低于零的利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险……虽然法案偶尔会陷入负值区域，但到目前为止，它们已经避免了NIRP的全面暴跌，这可能只是市场正在等待的积极迹象，以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* *&nbsp; *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，对于那些好奇会对市场产生什么直接影响的人来说，NatWest 策略师布莱克-格温（Blake Gwinn）写道，美联储宣布将让银行的监管豁免在本月底到期，“确实穿针引线，并 “缓解了对市场潜在长期影响的担忧”。<b>SLR“结束了它，但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”，承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题，以防止应变发展</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>“格温说：”我从来没有担心过银行会在一天之内抛售国债，或者在不续签的情况下提取回购或类似的事情。格温总结说，“我担心的是，从长远来看，”随着外汇储备的继续上升，SLR 是否会 “成为一种麻烦，拖累国债和利差”。<b>“真正面对这些恐惧，基本上是在说，‘别担心，我们会做到的’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，随着收益率在早期四巫交易中飙升至 HOD，市场似乎对美联储的任何行动都相当怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199154789","content_text":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption.\"Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...Bond yields spiked...... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")....... slumped.In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).So what happens next?Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market:The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates 4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever Impact on BanksRatesFront-End RatesGoing back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.\"More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.* *  *Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" asthe SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing.“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327588187,"gmtCreate":1616110338149,"gmtModify":1634527226104,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yoyoyo reply like","listText":"Yoyoyo reply like","text":"Yoyoyo reply like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327588187","repostId":"1133539686","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327845481,"gmtCreate":1616078023543,"gmtModify":1634527345791,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Reply n like!","listText":"Reply n like!","text":"Reply n like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327845481","repostId":"1163358852","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163358852","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616076828,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1163358852?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-18 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Wait for a Crash to Buy? These 3 Top Stocks Are Already Down More Than 40%<blockquote>为什么要等到崩盘才买？这三只龙头股已经下跌超过40%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163358852","media":"nasdaq","summary":"Investors love to be opportunistic. You can be sure the next time the market has a significant corre","content":"<p>Investors love to be opportunistic. You can be sure the next time the market has a significant correction -- or even an inevitable crash -- that battle-tested investors won't flinch at taking advantage of lower prices. What if I told you that a lot of promising growth stocks have<i>already</i>crashed?</p><p><blockquote>投资者喜欢投机取巧。你可以肯定，下次市场出现重大调整，甚至不可避免的崩盘时，久经考验的投资者不会退缩，利用较低的价格。如果我告诉你很多有前途的成长型股票都有<i>已经</i>坠毁了？</blockquote></p><p>Shares of<b>Fastly</b>(NYSE: FSLY),<b>fuboTV</b>(NYSE: FUBO), and<b>Palantir Technologies</b>(NYSE: PLTR)have all fallen at least 40% from their 52-week highs. These aren't perfect stocks, but they're definitely not broken. Let's see why I think these are three investments are ripe for the picking in today's market climate.</p><p><blockquote>股份<b>快速</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：FSLY），<b>富博电视台</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：FUBO），以及<b>帕兰蒂尔技术公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PLTR）均较 52 周高点下跌至少 40%。这些不是完美的股票，但它们绝对没有坏掉。让我们看看为什么我认为这三项投资在当今的市场环境下已经成熟。</blockquote></p><p><b>1. Fastly</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 快速</b></blockquote></p><p>This next-gen content delivery network was rocking until the clock ran out on TikTok last year. Caught on the losing end of a trade war dispute between the U.S. and China late last year, Fastlylost a top accountthat was generating more than 10% of its revenue through the first nine months of last year -- and growing quickly, to boot.</p><p><blockquote>这个下一代内容交付网络一直在摇摆，直到去年抖音的时钟耗尽。去年年底，由于中美贸易战争端的失败，Fastly 失去了一个顶级客户，该客户在去年前 9 个月的收入占其收入的 10% 以上，而且增长迅速。</blockquote></p><p>There is life after TikTok, even if Fastly stock has shed nearly 45% of its value since topping out in October. Growth will slow from last year's 45% burst, but Fastly's guidance calls for decent 29% to 32% top-line growth in 2021. A recent acquisition is helping pad revenue gains, and Fastly's deficit will widen as it invests in new growth initiatives. This is far from a perfect company right now, but there's a lot to like here. Its net retention rate and dollar-based net expansion rate are slipping, but still comfortably over 100%. Fastly is keeping its customers happy, and there's no reason why the market believes that this is a little more than half the company it was five months ago.</p><p><blockquote>TikTok 之后还有生命，尽管 Fastly 股价自 10 月份见顶以来已下跌近 45%。增长率将从去年的 45% 放缓，但 Fastly 的指导评级预计 2021 年营收增长率将达到 29% 至 32%。最近的一项收购有助于增加收入，随着 Fastly 投资新的增长计划，其赤字将会扩大。现在这远非一家完美的公司，但这里有很多值得喜欢的地方。其净保留率和以美元计算的净扩张率正在下滑，但仍轻松超过 100%。Fastly 正在让客户满意，市场没有理由认为这只是五个月前公司的一半多一点。</blockquote></p><p><b>2. fuboTV</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 富博电视台</b></blockquote></p><p>We're cutting the cord, and live-TV streaming services are there to fill the void that the leading streaming services can't provide when it comes to live network programming. No one is growing faster than fuboTV in this niche, and it's stepping on the accelerator. Pro forma revenue rose 71% in the third quarter, 98% in the fourth quarter, and fuboTV's guidance calls for growth of 98% to 102% for the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>我们正在切断联系，直播电视流媒体服务将填补领先流媒体服务在直播网络节目方面无法提供的空白。在这个领域，没有人比 fuboTV 的增长速度更快，而且它正在加速发展。第三季度预计收入增长 71%，第四季度增长 98%，fuboTV 本季度指导评级增长 98% 至 102%。</blockquote></p><p>There are just545,000 subscribersright now, but they're a loyal and engaged lot of sports fans. Average revenue per user is up to $69.19 a month -- up 17% over the past year -- and that includes an industry-leading $8.47 a month in ad revenue. Why is this stock trading 49% below its December all-time high?</p><p><blockquote>目前只有545,000名订户，但他们是忠实的体育迷。每个用户的平均收入高达每月69.19美元，比过去一年增长了17%，其中包括行业领先的每月8.47美元的广告收入。为什么这只股票的交易价格比 12 月份的历史高点低 49%？</blockquote></p><p>This isn't the only game to watch here. A pair of recent acquisitions will lead to a fantasy sports platform for members this summer and a more ambitious online sportsbook offering by the end of the year. If you think fuboTV's painting too rosy an outlook for 2021, keep in mind that it boosted its 2020 year-end guidance three times and it still found a way to come out on top.</p><p><blockquote>这不是这里唯一可以看的比赛。最近的两项收购将在今年夏天为会员推出一个梦幻体育平台，并在今年年底推出更雄心勃勃的在线体育博彩产品。如果您认为 fuboTV 对 2021 年的前景过于乐观，请记住，它将 2020 年年终指引提高了三倍，但仍然找到了脱颖而出的方法。</blockquote></p><p><b>3. Palantir</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 帕兰蒂尔</b></blockquote></p><p>Palantir and Fastly may initially seem to have been separated at birth. Both companies grew revenue by 40% in their latest quarter, off from a pace in the mid-40% range for all of 2020 (up 45% for Fastly versus 47% for Palantir). Both stocks were slammed on uninspiring guidance. Palantir istargeting 30% growthfor 2021, roughly the midpoint of Fastly's outlook. Wall Street can be a rough crowd when 30%-ish growth brings out the boo birds.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir和Fastly最初似乎在出生时就被分开了。两家公司最近一个季度的收入增长了 40%，低于 2020 年全年 40% 左右的增速（Fastly 增长了 45%，而 Palantir 增长了 47%）。两只股票都因缺乏令人鼓舞的指引而遭受重创。Palantir 的目标是 2021 年增长 30%，大致是 Fastly 前景的中点。当 30% 左右的增长带来嘘声时，华尔街可能会是一群粗暴的人群。</blockquote></p><p>Palantir's business model is naturally completely different than Fastly's. It's more ticktock than TikTok. Palantir's speciality is big-data business intelligence. It arms enterprises with actionable analysis from the data it collets. For better or worse more than half of Palantir's business comes from government contracts. It didn't generate a lot of buzz through its first few weeks of trading after last year'sIPO, but it certainly made up for lost time until peaking two months ago. It's been a 44% tumble from January's high. Palantir's valuation may have been overextended earlier this year, but this quality stock has gone from overbought to oversold in a hurry.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的商业模式自然与Fastly完全不同。比抖音还多。Palantir的专长是大数据商业智能。它从收集的数据中为企业提供可操作的分析。无论好坏，Palantir 一半以上的业务来自政府合同。在去年的sIPO之后，它在最初几周的交易中并没有引起太多的轰动，但它无疑弥补了两个月前达到顶峰之前失去的时间。较1月份的高点下跌了44%。今年早些时候，Palantir 的估值可能被夸大了，但这只优质股票很快就从超买变成了超卖。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Wait for a Crash to Buy? These 3 Top Stocks Are Already Down More Than 40%<blockquote>为什么要等到崩盘才买？这三只龙头股已经下跌超过40%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Wait for a Crash to Buy? These 3 Top Stocks Are Already Down More Than 40%<blockquote>为什么要等到崩盘才买？这三只龙头股已经下跌超过40%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">nasdaq</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-18 22:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors love to be opportunistic. You can be sure the next time the market has a significant correction -- or even an inevitable crash -- that battle-tested investors won't flinch at taking advantage of lower prices. What if I told you that a lot of promising growth stocks have<i>already</i>crashed?</p><p><blockquote>投资者喜欢投机取巧。你可以肯定，下次市场出现重大调整，甚至不可避免的崩盘时，久经考验的投资者不会退缩，利用较低的价格。如果我告诉你很多有前途的成长型股票都有<i>已经</i>坠毁了？</blockquote></p><p>Shares of<b>Fastly</b>(NYSE: FSLY),<b>fuboTV</b>(NYSE: FUBO), and<b>Palantir Technologies</b>(NYSE: PLTR)have all fallen at least 40% from their 52-week highs. These aren't perfect stocks, but they're definitely not broken. Let's see why I think these are three investments are ripe for the picking in today's market climate.</p><p><blockquote>股份<b>快速</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：FSLY），<b>富博电视台</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：FUBO），以及<b>帕兰蒂尔技术公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PLTR）均较 52 周高点下跌至少 40%。这些不是完美的股票，但它们绝对没有坏掉。让我们看看为什么我认为这三项投资在当今的市场环境下已经成熟。</blockquote></p><p><b>1. Fastly</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 快速</b></blockquote></p><p>This next-gen content delivery network was rocking until the clock ran out on TikTok last year. Caught on the losing end of a trade war dispute between the U.S. and China late last year, Fastlylost a top accountthat was generating more than 10% of its revenue through the first nine months of last year -- and growing quickly, to boot.</p><p><blockquote>这个下一代内容交付网络一直在摇摆，直到去年抖音的时钟耗尽。去年年底，由于中美贸易战争端的失败，Fastly 失去了一个顶级客户，该客户在去年前 9 个月的收入占其收入的 10% 以上，而且增长迅速。</blockquote></p><p>There is life after TikTok, even if Fastly stock has shed nearly 45% of its value since topping out in October. Growth will slow from last year's 45% burst, but Fastly's guidance calls for decent 29% to 32% top-line growth in 2021. A recent acquisition is helping pad revenue gains, and Fastly's deficit will widen as it invests in new growth initiatives. This is far from a perfect company right now, but there's a lot to like here. Its net retention rate and dollar-based net expansion rate are slipping, but still comfortably over 100%. Fastly is keeping its customers happy, and there's no reason why the market believes that this is a little more than half the company it was five months ago.</p><p><blockquote>TikTok 之后还有生命，尽管 Fastly 股价自 10 月份见顶以来已下跌近 45%。增长率将从去年的 45% 放缓，但 Fastly 的指导评级预计 2021 年营收增长率将达到 29% 至 32%。最近的一项收购有助于增加收入，随着 Fastly 投资新的增长计划，其赤字将会扩大。现在这远非一家完美的公司，但这里有很多值得喜欢的地方。其净保留率和以美元计算的净扩张率正在下滑，但仍轻松超过 100%。Fastly 正在让客户满意，市场没有理由认为这只是五个月前公司的一半多一点。</blockquote></p><p><b>2. fuboTV</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 富博电视台</b></blockquote></p><p>We're cutting the cord, and live-TV streaming services are there to fill the void that the leading streaming services can't provide when it comes to live network programming. No one is growing faster than fuboTV in this niche, and it's stepping on the accelerator. Pro forma revenue rose 71% in the third quarter, 98% in the fourth quarter, and fuboTV's guidance calls for growth of 98% to 102% for the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>我们正在切断联系，直播电视流媒体服务将填补领先流媒体服务在直播网络节目方面无法提供的空白。在这个领域，没有人比 fuboTV 的增长速度更快，而且它正在加速发展。第三季度预计收入增长 71%，第四季度增长 98%，fuboTV 本季度指导评级增长 98% 至 102%。</blockquote></p><p>There are just545,000 subscribersright now, but they're a loyal and engaged lot of sports fans. Average revenue per user is up to $69.19 a month -- up 17% over the past year -- and that includes an industry-leading $8.47 a month in ad revenue. Why is this stock trading 49% below its December all-time high?</p><p><blockquote>目前只有545,000名订户，但他们是忠实的体育迷。每个用户的平均收入高达每月69.19美元，比过去一年增长了17%，其中包括行业领先的每月8.47美元的广告收入。为什么这只股票的交易价格比 12 月份的历史高点低 49%？</blockquote></p><p>This isn't the only game to watch here. A pair of recent acquisitions will lead to a fantasy sports platform for members this summer and a more ambitious online sportsbook offering by the end of the year. If you think fuboTV's painting too rosy an outlook for 2021, keep in mind that it boosted its 2020 year-end guidance three times and it still found a way to come out on top.</p><p><blockquote>这不是这里唯一可以看的比赛。最近的两项收购将在今年夏天为会员推出一个梦幻体育平台，并在今年年底推出更雄心勃勃的在线体育博彩产品。如果您认为 fuboTV 对 2021 年的前景过于乐观，请记住，它将 2020 年年终指引提高了三倍，但仍然找到了脱颖而出的方法。</blockquote></p><p><b>3. Palantir</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 帕兰蒂尔</b></blockquote></p><p>Palantir and Fastly may initially seem to have been separated at birth. Both companies grew revenue by 40% in their latest quarter, off from a pace in the mid-40% range for all of 2020 (up 45% for Fastly versus 47% for Palantir). Both stocks were slammed on uninspiring guidance. Palantir istargeting 30% growthfor 2021, roughly the midpoint of Fastly's outlook. Wall Street can be a rough crowd when 30%-ish growth brings out the boo birds.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir和Fastly最初似乎在出生时就被分开了。两家公司最近一个季度的收入增长了 40%，低于 2020 年全年 40% 左右的增速（Fastly 增长了 45%，而 Palantir 增长了 47%）。两只股票都因缺乏令人鼓舞的指引而遭受重创。Palantir 的目标是 2021 年增长 30%，大致是 Fastly 前景的中点。当 30% 左右的增长带来嘘声时，华尔街可能会是一群粗暴的人群。</blockquote></p><p>Palantir's business model is naturally completely different than Fastly's. It's more ticktock than TikTok. Palantir's speciality is big-data business intelligence. It arms enterprises with actionable analysis from the data it collets. For better or worse more than half of Palantir's business comes from government contracts. It didn't generate a lot of buzz through its first few weeks of trading after last year'sIPO, but it certainly made up for lost time until peaking two months ago. It's been a 44% tumble from January's high. Palantir's valuation may have been overextended earlier this year, but this quality stock has gone from overbought to oversold in a hurry.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的商业模式自然与Fastly完全不同。比抖音还多。Palantir的专长是大数据商业智能。它从收集的数据中为企业提供可操作的分析。无论好坏，Palantir 一半以上的业务来自政府合同。在去年的sIPO之后，它在最初几周的交易中并没有引起太多的轰动，但它无疑弥补了两个月前达到顶峰之前失去的时间。较1月份的高点下跌了44%。今年早些时候，Palantir 的估值可能被夸大了，但这只优质股票很快就从超买变成了超卖。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/why-wait-for-a-crash-to-buy-these-3-top-stocks-are-already-down-more-than-40-2021-03-18\">nasdaq</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FSLY":"Fastly, Inc.","FUBO":"fuboTV Inc.","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/why-wait-for-a-crash-to-buy-these-3-top-stocks-are-already-down-more-than-40-2021-03-18","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163358852","content_text":"Investors love to be opportunistic. You can be sure the next time the market has a significant correction -- or even an inevitable crash -- that battle-tested investors won't flinch at taking advantage of lower prices. What if I told you that a lot of promising growth stocks havealreadycrashed?Shares ofFastly(NYSE: FSLY),fuboTV(NYSE: FUBO), andPalantir Technologies(NYSE: PLTR)have all fallen at least 40% from their 52-week highs. These aren't perfect stocks, but they're definitely not broken. Let's see why I think these are three investments are ripe for the picking in today's market climate.1. FastlyThis next-gen content delivery network was rocking until the clock ran out on TikTok last year. Caught on the losing end of a trade war dispute between the U.S. and China late last year, Fastlylost a top accountthat was generating more than 10% of its revenue through the first nine months of last year -- and growing quickly, to boot.There is life after TikTok, even if Fastly stock has shed nearly 45% of its value since topping out in October. Growth will slow from last year's 45% burst, but Fastly's guidance calls for decent 29% to 32% top-line growth in 2021. A recent acquisition is helping pad revenue gains, and Fastly's deficit will widen as it invests in new growth initiatives. This is far from a perfect company right now, but there's a lot to like here. Its net retention rate and dollar-based net expansion rate are slipping, but still comfortably over 100%. Fastly is keeping its customers happy, and there's no reason why the market believes that this is a little more than half the company it was five months ago.2. fuboTVWe're cutting the cord, and live-TV streaming services are there to fill the void that the leading streaming services can't provide when it comes to live network programming. No one is growing faster than fuboTV in this niche, and it's stepping on the accelerator. Pro forma revenue rose 71% in the third quarter, 98% in the fourth quarter, and fuboTV's guidance calls for growth of 98% to 102% for the current quarter.There are just545,000 subscribersright now, but they're a loyal and engaged lot of sports fans. Average revenue per user is up to $69.19 a month -- up 17% over the past year -- and that includes an industry-leading $8.47 a month in ad revenue. Why is this stock trading 49% below its December all-time high?This isn't the only game to watch here. A pair of recent acquisitions will lead to a fantasy sports platform for members this summer and a more ambitious online sportsbook offering by the end of the year. If you think fuboTV's painting too rosy an outlook for 2021, keep in mind that it boosted its 2020 year-end guidance three times and it still found a way to come out on top.3. PalantirPalantir and Fastly may initially seem to have been separated at birth. Both companies grew revenue by 40% in their latest quarter, off from a pace in the mid-40% range for all of 2020 (up 45% for Fastly versus 47% for Palantir). Both stocks were slammed on uninspiring guidance. Palantir istargeting 30% growthfor 2021, roughly the midpoint of Fastly's outlook. Wall Street can be a rough crowd when 30%-ish growth brings out the boo birds.Palantir's business model is naturally completely different than Fastly's. It's more ticktock than TikTok. Palantir's speciality is big-data business intelligence. It arms enterprises with actionable analysis from the data it collets. For better or worse more than half of Palantir's business comes from government contracts. It didn't generate a lot of buzz through its first few weeks of trading after last year'sIPO, but it certainly made up for lost time until peaking two months ago. It's been a 44% tumble from January's high. Palantir's valuation may have been overextended earlier this year, but this quality stock has gone from overbought to oversold in a hurry.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FSLY":0.9,"PLTR":0.9,"FUBO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326843262,"gmtCreate":1615619437356,"gmtModify":1703491692092,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like&amp; share &amp; comment pls","listText":"Like&amp; share &amp; comment pls","text":"Like& share & comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326843262","repostId":"1114441743","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":763,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326849344,"gmtCreate":1615619241788,"gmtModify":1703491690721,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Omg","listText":"Omg","text":"Omg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326849344","repostId":"2118630979","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321938206,"gmtCreate":1615388256305,"gmtModify":1703488348095,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hahaha","listText":"Hahaha","text":"Hahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321938206","repostId":"1151999522","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":893,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320628311,"gmtCreate":1615096256733,"gmtModify":1703484708623,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Omg!!! Help me like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Omg!!! Help me like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Omg!!! Help me like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320628311","repostId":"1196034072","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196034072","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614953178,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1196034072?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 22:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is The Nio Sell-Off Overdone?<blockquote>蔚来的抛售是否过度了？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196034072","media":"Benzinga","summary":"NIO Inc.  shares have been soundly thrashed in the tech sell-off, and thequarterlyreport released ea","content":"<p><div> NIO Inc.  shares have been soundly thrashed in the tech sell-off, and thequarterlyreport released earlier this week did little to assuage sentiment. The stock is now in bear market territory, having ...</p><p><blockquote><div>蔚来股价在科技股抛售中遭受重创，本周早些时候发布的季度报告并没有缓解市场情绪。该股现在处于熊市区域，有……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/03/20016348/is-the-nio-sell-off-overdone\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/03/20016348/is-the-nio-sell-off-overdone\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is The Nio Sell-Off Overdone?<blockquote>蔚来的抛售是否过度了？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs The Nio Sell-Off Overdone?<blockquote>蔚来的抛售是否过度了？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-05 22:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> NIO Inc.  shares have been soundly thrashed in the tech sell-off, and thequarterlyreport released earlier this week did little to assuage sentiment. The stock is now in bear market territory, having ...</p><p><blockquote><div>蔚来股价在科技股抛售中遭受重创，本周早些时候发布的季度报告并没有缓解市场情绪。该股现在处于熊市区域，有……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/03/20016348/is-the-nio-sell-off-overdone\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/03/20016348/is-the-nio-sell-off-overdone\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/03/20016348/is-the-nio-sell-off-overdone\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/03/20016348/is-the-nio-sell-off-overdone","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196034072","content_text":"NIO Inc.  shares have been soundly thrashed in the tech sell-off, and thequarterlyreport released earlier this week did little to assuage sentiment. The stock is now in bear market territory, having pulled back 35.7 % from the Feb. 10 high of $64.60.Is the sell-off in the shares justified? Did fundamentals flash the red light to investors, who were thronging to the stock in droves ahead of the current downturn?The 2020 Highs: The COVID-19 pandemic, which broke out at the end of 2019 and ravaged the global economies for much of 2020, proved a blessing for some companies that benefited from the adversity.Nio, a luxury EV maker, should have taken a big hit in the year, as cash-strapped users preferred to hold back on big-ticket buys. The company did have its momentum of despair in the first two months of 2020. Not bogged down by the adverse geopolitical milieu, the EV startup chose to be proactive instead. The company announced several innovative product andservice offerings.Deliveries continued to climb through the year, with Nio's charismatic CEO William Bin attributing the strength to the growing recognition of its premium brand, the competitive and compelling products and services, the expanding sales network, and most importantly, the support from its passionate and loyal user community.For 2020, Nio delivered 43,728 vehicles, an increase of 111% year-over-year.The company also managed to rein in costs, giving margins a lift. It also succeeded in mobilizing finances through a combination of equity, debt and strategic investments, removing a key existential risk it faced in 2019.Promptly the stock began discounting the fundamental improvement and closed out 2020 with a gain in excess of 1,100%. The strong rally stretched valuation to levels, with some skeptics beginning to question the irrational exuberance in the stock.Fundamentals, Stock Pause At Start of 2021: Nio had a strong start to the year, as it continued to clock record monthly deliveries in January. The stock raced to a record high of $66.99 on Jan. 11, as it reacted to the announcements the company made at the annual Nio Day held on Jan. 10.Thereafter, it has been a bumpy ride for the stock. Since the start of February, the stock has been caught in the vortex of the tech sell-off. Incidentally, market leader and EV pioneerTesla, Inc.TSLAwas not spared either. Since the all-time split-adjusted high of $900.40 hit in late January, Tesla shares have given back over 30%.Nio investors were pinning their hopes on a stellar fourth-quarter report to lift the stock from the depressed levels. It was not to be. The stock continued to bleed despite the EV maker reporting $1 billion revenues for the quarter and seeing an expansion in gross margins.Naysayers were quick to highlight the wider-than-expected loss and the month-over-month drop in deliveries.As outlined by Deutsche Bank Securities analyst Edison Yu, the underperformance on the bottom line had to do with forex losses, engendered by a weaker dollar.Although initially Nio did not explain away the February softness, it later clarified in a blog post the weeklong Lunar New Year holiday that fell in the month played spoilsport.\"The majority of the employees receive seven days off work as a public holiday to spend time with their families, though the celebrations can last for more than two weeks nationwide. Most of the factories were shut down for weeks, and many products that rely on shipping and manufacturing might have been delayed,\" Nio said in the post.Is Recovery In The Cards: The company has several catalysts ahead, including the launch of its first sedan, named ET7, and its plan to expand into Europe this year. The company is also making solid progress with respect to its advanced driver-assisted system, battery technology and battery swapping stations.With the increasing uptake of its battery-as-a-service offering and its recently announced autonomous driving-as-a-service, the company has laid the groundwork for recurrent revenue streams.This apart, the attractive market opportunity presented by the burgeoning EV market, both domestically and globally, will prove salubrious for the company. There is no denying the fact that EV manufacturing is turning out to be a crowded field. However, early entrants such as Nio are at an advantage, given their experiences in grinding it out in the early stages.Patient investors, who are willing to ride out the trying times, could be in for rich rewards when things settle down.Nio shares closed down 5.5% at $39.28, with the stock dropping below the $40 handle for the first time since mid-December.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":841680222,"gmtCreate":1635906575211,"gmtModify":1635907107754,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KUO.SI\">$INTERNATIONAL CEMENT GROUPLTD.(KUO.SI)$</a>Looks like it gonna tank? No?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KUO.SI\">$INTERNATIONAL CEMENT GROUPLTD.(KUO.SI)$</a>Looks like it gonna tank? No?","text":"$INTERNATIONAL CEMENT GROUPLTD.(KUO.SI)$Looks like it gonna tank? No?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841680222","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":365826505,"gmtCreate":1614729065607,"gmtModify":1703480336317,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment and like pls","listText":"Comment and like pls","text":"Comment and like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365826505","repostId":"2116999592","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2116999592","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1614697749,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2116999592?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-02 23:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"A Look Into Technology Sector Value Stocks<blockquote>科技板块价值股一览</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2116999592","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"The Meaning Behind Value Stocks\n\nA value stock is traditionally defined in terms of how investors in the marketplace are valuing that company&#39;s future growth prospects. Low P/E multiples are good base indicators that the company is undervalued and can most likely be labelled as a value stock.","content":"<p><b>The Meaning Behind Value Stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价值股背后的意义</b></blockquote></p><p>A value stock is traditionally defined in terms of how investors in the marketplace are valuing that company's future growth prospects. Low P/E multiples are good base indicators that the company is undervalued and can most likely be labelled as a value stock.</p><p><blockquote>价值股传统上是根据市场上投资者如何评估该公司未来的增长前景来定义的。低市盈率是该公司被低估的良好基础指标，很可能被贴上价值股的标签。</blockquote></p><p><b>Below is a list of notable value stocks in the technology sector:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是科技行业著名价值股列表：</b></blockquote></p><p><ol><li><b>China Index Holdings</b> (NASDAQ:CIH) - P/E: 4.82</li><li><b>Nortech Systems</b> (NASDAQ:NSYS) - P/E: 8.96</li><li><b>Synnex</b> (NYSE:SNX) - P/E: 9.26</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INPX\">Inpixon</a></b> (NASDAQ:INPX) - P/E: 0.08</li><li><b>Hamilton Beach Brands</b> (NYSE:HBB) - P/E: 8.75</li></ol>Most recently, China Index Holdings reported earnings per share at 0.12, whereas in Q2 earnings per share sat at 0.1. China Index Holdings does not have a dividend yield, which investors should be aware of when considering holding onto such a stock.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>中指控股</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CIH） - 市盈率：4.82</li><li><b>Nortech系统</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NSYS） - 市盈率：8.96</li><li><b>新耐克斯</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SNX） - 市盈率：9.26</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INPX\">因皮克森</a></b>（纳斯达克股票代码：INPX） - 市盈率：0.08</li><li><b>汉密尔顿海滩品牌</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：HBB） - 市盈率：8.75</li></ol>最近，中指控股公布的每股收益为 0.12，而第二季度每股收益为 0.1。中国指数控股没有股息收益率，投资者在考虑持有此类股票时应注意这一点。</blockquote></p><p>Nortech Systems saw a decrease in earnings per share from -0.05 in Q2 to -0.35 now. Nortech Systems does not have a dividend yield, which investors should be aware of when considering holding onto such a stock.</p><p><blockquote>Nortech Systems 的每股收益从第二季度的 -0.05 下降至现在的 -0.35。Nortech Systems 没有股息收益率，投资者在考虑持有此类股票时应注意这一点。</blockquote></p><p>Most recently, Synnex reported earnings per share at 5.21, whereas in Q3 earnings per share sat at 3.33. The company's most recent dividend yield sits at 0.92%, which has decreased by 0.34% from 1.26% last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>最近，Synnex 公布的每股收益为 5.21，而第三季度每股收益为 3.33。该公司最新股息率为0.92%，较上季度的1.26%下降了0.34%。</blockquote></p><p>Most recently, Inpixon reported earnings per share at -0.13, whereas in Q2 earnings per share sat at -0.21. Inpixon does not have a dividend yield, which investors should be aware of when considering holding onto such a stock.</p><p><blockquote>最近，Inpixon 公布的每股收益为 -0.13，而第二季度每股收益为 -0.21。Inpixon 没有股息收益率，投资者在考虑持有此类股票时应注意这一点。</blockquote></p><p>Hamilton Beach Brands's earnings per share for Q3 sits at -0.15, whereas in Q2, they were at 0.59. Most recently, the company reported a dividend yield of 2.13%, which has increased by 0.18% from last quarter's yield of 1.95%.</p><p><blockquote>Hamilton Beach Brands 第三季度每股收益为 -0.15，而第二季度为 0.59。最近，该公司公布的股息收益率为2.13%，较上一季度的1.95%收益率增长了0.18%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Significance:</b> A value stock may need some time to rebound from its undervalued position. The risk of investing in a value stock is that this emergence may never materialize.</p><p><blockquote><b>意义：</b>价值股可能需要一些时间才能从被低估的位置反弹。投资价值股的风险在于，这种出现可能永远不会实现。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A Look Into Technology Sector Value Stocks<blockquote>科技板块价值股一览</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA Look Into Technology Sector Value Stocks<blockquote>科技板块价值股一览</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-02 23:09</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The Meaning Behind Value Stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价值股背后的意义</b></blockquote></p><p>A value stock is traditionally defined in terms of how investors in the marketplace are valuing that company's future growth prospects. Low P/E multiples are good base indicators that the company is undervalued and can most likely be labelled as a value stock.</p><p><blockquote>价值股传统上是根据市场上投资者如何评估该公司未来的增长前景来定义的。低市盈率是该公司被低估的良好基础指标，很可能被贴上价值股的标签。</blockquote></p><p><b>Below is a list of notable value stocks in the technology sector:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是科技行业著名价值股列表：</b></blockquote></p><p><ol><li><b>China Index Holdings</b> (NASDAQ:CIH) - P/E: 4.82</li><li><b>Nortech Systems</b> (NASDAQ:NSYS) - P/E: 8.96</li><li><b>Synnex</b> (NYSE:SNX) - P/E: 9.26</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INPX\">Inpixon</a></b> (NASDAQ:INPX) - P/E: 0.08</li><li><b>Hamilton Beach Brands</b> (NYSE:HBB) - P/E: 8.75</li></ol>Most recently, China Index Holdings reported earnings per share at 0.12, whereas in Q2 earnings per share sat at 0.1. China Index Holdings does not have a dividend yield, which investors should be aware of when considering holding onto such a stock.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>中指控股</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CIH） - 市盈率：4.82</li><li><b>Nortech系统</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NSYS） - 市盈率：8.96</li><li><b>新耐克斯</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SNX） - 市盈率：9.26</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INPX\">因皮克森</a></b>（纳斯达克股票代码：INPX） - 市盈率：0.08</li><li><b>汉密尔顿海滩品牌</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：HBB） - 市盈率：8.75</li></ol>最近，中指控股公布的每股收益为 0.12，而第二季度每股收益为 0.1。中国指数控股没有股息收益率，投资者在考虑持有此类股票时应注意这一点。</blockquote></p><p>Nortech Systems saw a decrease in earnings per share from -0.05 in Q2 to -0.35 now. Nortech Systems does not have a dividend yield, which investors should be aware of when considering holding onto such a stock.</p><p><blockquote>Nortech Systems 的每股收益从第二季度的 -0.05 下降至现在的 -0.35。Nortech Systems 没有股息收益率，投资者在考虑持有此类股票时应注意这一点。</blockquote></p><p>Most recently, Synnex reported earnings per share at 5.21, whereas in Q3 earnings per share sat at 3.33. The company's most recent dividend yield sits at 0.92%, which has decreased by 0.34% from 1.26% last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>最近，Synnex 公布的每股收益为 5.21，而第三季度每股收益为 3.33。该公司最新股息率为0.92%，较上季度的1.26%下降了0.34%。</blockquote></p><p>Most recently, Inpixon reported earnings per share at -0.13, whereas in Q2 earnings per share sat at -0.21. Inpixon does not have a dividend yield, which investors should be aware of when considering holding onto such a stock.</p><p><blockquote>最近，Inpixon 公布的每股收益为 -0.13，而第二季度每股收益为 -0.21。Inpixon 没有股息收益率，投资者在考虑持有此类股票时应注意这一点。</blockquote></p><p>Hamilton Beach Brands's earnings per share for Q3 sits at -0.15, whereas in Q2, they were at 0.59. Most recently, the company reported a dividend yield of 2.13%, which has increased by 0.18% from last quarter's yield of 1.95%.</p><p><blockquote>Hamilton Beach Brands 第三季度每股收益为 -0.15，而第二季度为 0.59。最近，该公司公布的股息收益率为2.13%，较上一季度的1.95%收益率增长了0.18%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Significance:</b> A value stock may need some time to rebound from its undervalued position. The risk of investing in a value stock is that this emergence may never materialize.</p><p><blockquote><b>意义：</b>价值股可能需要一些时间才能从被低估的位置反弹。投资价值股的风险在于，这种出现可能永远不会实现。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NSYS":"Nortech Systems Incorporated","HBB":"Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company","SNX":"新聚思"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2116999592","content_text":"The Meaning Behind Value StocksA value stock is traditionally defined in terms of how investors in the marketplace are valuing that company's future growth prospects. Low P/E multiples are good base indicators that the company is undervalued and can most likely be labelled as a value stock.Below is a list of notable value stocks in the technology sector:China Index Holdings (NASDAQ:CIH) - P/E: 4.82Nortech Systems (NASDAQ:NSYS) - P/E: 8.96Synnex (NYSE:SNX) - P/E: 9.26Inpixon (NASDAQ:INPX) - P/E: 0.08Hamilton Beach Brands (NYSE:HBB) - P/E: 8.75Most recently, China Index Holdings reported earnings per share at 0.12, whereas in Q2 earnings per share sat at 0.1. China Index Holdings does not have a dividend yield, which investors should be aware of when considering holding onto such a stock.Nortech Systems saw a decrease in earnings per share from -0.05 in Q2 to -0.35 now. Nortech Systems does not have a dividend yield, which investors should be aware of when considering holding onto such a stock.Most recently, Synnex reported earnings per share at 5.21, whereas in Q3 earnings per share sat at 3.33. The company's most recent dividend yield sits at 0.92%, which has decreased by 0.34% from 1.26% last quarter.Most recently, Inpixon reported earnings per share at -0.13, whereas in Q2 earnings per share sat at -0.21. Inpixon does not have a dividend yield, which investors should be aware of when considering holding onto such a stock.Hamilton Beach Brands's earnings per share for Q3 sits at -0.15, whereas in Q2, they were at 0.59. Most recently, the company reported a dividend yield of 2.13%, which has increased by 0.18% from last quarter's yield of 1.95%.The Significance: A value stock may need some time to rebound from its undervalued position. The risk of investing in a value stock is that this emergence may never materialize.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNX":0.9,"HBB":0.9,"INPX":0.9,"CIH":0.9,"NSYS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350676577,"gmtCreate":1616206350699,"gmtModify":1634526738548,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and share like and share","listText":"Like and share like and share","text":"Like and share like and share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350676577","repostId":"1199154789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199154789","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616164372,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1199154789?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望，让 SLR 救济到期：接下来会发生什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199154789","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio  exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on ","content":"<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如这里所讨论和深入讨论的那样，在伊丽莎白·沃伦和谢罗德·布朗等进步民主党人的政治压力下，美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率（SLR）豁免如期于3月31日到期，即规则变更一周年纪念日。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储银行监管机构今天宣布，2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率（SLR）临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于 COVID-19 事件，做出临时改变是为了让存款机构能够灵活地向家庭和企业提供信贷。纽约联储前大师佐尔坦-波萨尔（Zoltan Pozsar）（再次）正确预测了这一结果，他在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）之后表示，“事实上，美联储做出这一调整实际上是先发制人的--o/n RRP工具目前没有被使用，因此还没有能力限制，而回购和票据收益率还没有出现负值交易--<b>这表明美联储正在为终止 SLR 豁免“铺平道路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这对市场来说将是一个非常热门的问题，因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪，指出虽然 SLR 特殊待遇将于 3 月 31 日到期，但美联储正在“邀请公众对几项潜在的 SLR 修改发表评论”，此外，“<b>随着时间的推移，董事会可能需要解决 SLR 的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现可能制约经济增长和破坏金融稳定的压力</b>“——简而言之，如果收益率飙升，美联储将立即重新推出 SLR：</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布，银行控股公司补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外，董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动，确保SLR的任何变更不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解新冠肺炎疫情造成的国债市场压力，并促进对家庭和企业的贷款，董事会去年暂时修改了SLR，将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。此后，国债市场趋于稳定。<b>然而，由于最近央行储备供应和国债发行的增加，董事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现可能制约经济增长和破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保 SLR（作为额外资本要求于 2014 年设立）在储备较高的环境下仍然有效，董事会将很快就几项潜在的 SLR 修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和意见将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来确保国债市场弹性的工作进行持续讨论。尽管美联储提出了宽慰的要求，<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后，美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息，股市暴跌……</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升……</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是最容易受到SLR减免的银行（正如昨天在“面临摩根大通杠杆减免威胁”中所指出的）...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下，以下是您应该关心 SLR 决定的原因：首先，对于那些阅读我们有关该问题的入门读物的人来说，摩根大通的一些背景（具有讽刺意味的是，摩根大通是一家因美联储的决定而损失最大的银行）底线是，如果没有 SLR 救济，<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金（不一定是所有这些，也不是按顺序），就像美联储正在向市场注入数千亿美元的储备随着财政部耗尽其 TGA 账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着联邦储备银行持有的银行存款也将大幅增长。<b>监管救济的到期将使 8 个 GSIB 增加约 2.1 万亿美元的杠杆风险。此外，TGA 的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在 2021 年为系统增加约 2.35 万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然 3 月 31 日豁免到期不会对 GSIB 产生直接影响，但全年杠杆资产的持续增长将增加长期债务 (LTD) 和优先要求。在此，摩根大通持乐观态度并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的案例发行情况也是非常可控的，LTD 需要 350 亿美元来满足 TLAC 要求，而优先需要 150 亿至 200 亿美元才能将全行业 SLR 的比例维持在 5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大，以 6.2% 的 SLR 计算，增加杠杆风险的能力约为 7,650 亿美元。”高盛的做法更令人不安：该银行估计，在持续的量化宽松制度下，将出现约 2 万亿美元的储备能力缺口，主要以银行无法接受的存款形式作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分（高盛对 SLR 困境的全面理解要多得多）。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢？</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm在谈到这个话题时写道：<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表，但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免…….以下是几个场景及其对回购市场的影响</i>:</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经全价了。准备金的豁免继续，但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性增加。准备金和国库的豁免都结束了。同上。</b>换句话说，Skyrm持相对悲观的观点，警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。”此外，随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性可能会增加……</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了？那么，上周摩根大通为SLR布局了5种情景，其中两种情景预测SLR救济将在3月31日结束，具体如下：</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital &amp; de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.救助3月31日结束，银行全面募资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.救助3月31日结束，银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到佐尔坦，让我们回顾一下，回购大师还警告说，“结束准备金和国债在 SLR 计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金存款和准备金（而不是国债），以留出更多空间进行做市活动，<b>这些资金流动将进一步扩大 TGA 提款带来的货币资金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，佐尔坦预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现大范围的混乱，而是对单反相机已经产生的微不足道的影响（如果被淘汰，将会产生）提供了更温和的观点，正如他在周二的一份报告中所解释的那样。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定佐尔坦的良性观点是否正确？他在笔记的最后写道：“鉴于我们在 6 月底之前将 FRA-OIS 利差从零变为负的看涨期权是基于 SLR 延期结束，以及美联储将试图用价格而非数量来解决数量问题的假设，今天的调整意味着 FRA-OIS 不会一路跌至零或负区域”。</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>从这里开始，FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易强度，但以远低于零的利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险……虽然法案偶尔会陷入负值区域，但到目前为止，它们已经避免了NIRP的全面暴跌，这可能只是市场正在等待的积极迹象，以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* *&nbsp; *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，对于那些好奇会对市场产生什么直接影响的人来说，NatWest 策略师布莱克-格温（Blake Gwinn）写道，美联储宣布将让银行的监管豁免在本月底到期，“确实穿针引线，并 “缓解了对市场潜在长期影响的担忧”。<b>SLR“结束了它，但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”，承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题，以防止应变发展</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>“格温说：”我从来没有担心过银行会在一天之内抛售国债，或者在不续签的情况下提取回购或类似的事情。格温总结说，“我担心的是，从长远来看，”随着外汇储备的继续上升，SLR 是否会 “成为一种麻烦，拖累国债和利差”。<b>“真正面对这些恐惧，基本上是在说，‘别担心，我们会做到的’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，随着收益率在早期四巫交易中飙升至 HOD，市场似乎对美联储的任何行动都相当怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望，让 SLR 救济到期：接下来会发生什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-19 22:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如这里所讨论和深入讨论的那样，在伊丽莎白·沃伦和谢罗德·布朗等进步民主党人的政治压力下，美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率（SLR）豁免如期于3月31日到期，即规则变更一周年纪念日。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储银行监管机构今天宣布，2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率（SLR）临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于 COVID-19 事件，做出临时改变是为了让存款机构能够灵活地向家庭和企业提供信贷。纽约联储前大师佐尔坦-波萨尔（Zoltan Pozsar）（再次）正确预测了这一结果，他在联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）之后表示，“事实上，美联储做出这一调整实际上是先发制人的--o/n RRP工具目前没有被使用，因此还没有能力限制，而回购和票据收益率还没有出现负值交易--<b>这表明美联储正在为终止 SLR 豁免“铺平道路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这对市场来说将是一个非常热门的问题，因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪，指出虽然 SLR 特殊待遇将于 3 月 31 日到期，但美联储正在“邀请公众对几项潜在的 SLR 修改发表评论”，此外，“<b>随着时间的推移，董事会可能需要解决 SLR 的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现可能制约经济增长和破坏金融稳定的压力</b>“——简而言之，如果收益率飙升，美联储将立即重新推出 SLR：</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布，银行控股公司补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外，董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动，确保SLR的任何变更不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解新冠肺炎疫情造成的国债市场压力，并促进对家庭和企业的贷款，董事会去年暂时修改了SLR，将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。此后，国债市场趋于稳定。<b>然而，由于最近央行储备供应和国债发行的增加，董事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现可能制约经济增长和破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保 SLR（作为额外资本要求于 2014 年设立）在储备较高的环境下仍然有效，董事会将很快就几项潜在的 SLR 修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和意见将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来确保国债市场弹性的工作进行持续讨论。尽管美联储提出了宽慰的要求，<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后，美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息，股市暴跌……</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升……</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是最容易受到SLR减免的银行（正如昨天在“面临摩根大通杠杆减免威胁”中所指出的）...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下，以下是您应该关心 SLR 决定的原因：首先，对于那些阅读我们有关该问题的入门读物的人来说，摩根大通的一些背景（具有讽刺意味的是，摩根大通是一家因美联储的决定而损失最大的银行）底线是，如果没有 SLR 救济，<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金（不一定是所有这些，也不是按顺序），就像美联储正在向市场注入数千亿美元的储备随着财政部耗尽其 TGA 账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着联邦储备银行持有的银行存款也将大幅增长。<b>监管救济的到期将使 8 个 GSIB 增加约 2.1 万亿美元的杠杆风险。此外，TGA 的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在 2021 年为系统增加约 2.35 万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然 3 月 31 日豁免到期不会对 GSIB 产生直接影响，但全年杠杆资产的持续增长将增加长期债务 (LTD) 和优先要求。在此，摩根大通持乐观态度并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的案例发行情况也是非常可控的，LTD 需要 350 亿美元来满足 TLAC 要求，而优先需要 150 亿至 200 亿美元才能将全行业 SLR 的比例维持在 5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大，以 6.2% 的 SLR 计算，增加杠杆风险的能力约为 7,650 亿美元。”高盛的做法更令人不安：该银行估计，在持续的量化宽松制度下，将出现约 2 万亿美元的储备能力缺口，主要以银行无法接受的存款形式作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分（高盛对 SLR 困境的全面理解要多得多）。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢？</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm在谈到这个话题时写道：<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表，但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免…….以下是几个场景及其对回购市场的影响</i>:</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经全价了。准备金的豁免继续，但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性增加。准备金和国库的豁免都结束了。同上。</b>换句话说，Skyrm持相对悲观的观点，警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。”此外，随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性可能会增加……</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了？那么，上周摩根大通为SLR布局了5种情景，其中两种情景预测SLR救济将在3月31日结束，具体如下：</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital &amp; de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.救助3月31日结束，银行全面募资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.救助3月31日结束，银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到佐尔坦，让我们回顾一下，回购大师还警告说，“结束准备金和国债在 SLR 计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金存款和准备金（而不是国债），以留出更多空间进行做市活动，<b>这些资金流动将进一步扩大 TGA 提款带来的货币资金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，佐尔坦预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现大范围的混乱，而是对单反相机已经产生的微不足道的影响（如果被淘汰，将会产生）提供了更温和的观点，正如他在周二的一份报告中所解释的那样。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定佐尔坦的良性观点是否正确？他在笔记的最后写道：“鉴于我们在 6 月底之前将 FRA-OIS 利差从零变为负的看涨期权是基于 SLR 延期结束，以及美联储将试图用价格而非数量来解决数量问题的假设，今天的调整意味着 FRA-OIS 不会一路跌至零或负区域”。</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>从这里开始，FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易强度，但以远低于零的利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险……虽然法案偶尔会陷入负值区域，但到目前为止，它们已经避免了NIRP的全面暴跌，这可能只是市场正在等待的积极迹象，以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* *&nbsp; *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，对于那些好奇会对市场产生什么直接影响的人来说，NatWest 策略师布莱克-格温（Blake Gwinn）写道，美联储宣布将让银行的监管豁免在本月底到期，“确实穿针引线，并 “缓解了对市场潜在长期影响的担忧”。<b>SLR“结束了它，但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”，承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题，以防止应变发展</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>“格温说：”我从来没有担心过银行会在一天之内抛售国债，或者在不续签的情况下提取回购或类似的事情。格温总结说，“我担心的是，从长远来看，”随着外汇储备的继续上升，SLR 是否会 “成为一种麻烦，拖累国债和利差”。<b>“真正面对这些恐惧，基本上是在说，‘别担心，我们会做到的’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，随着收益率在早期四巫交易中飙升至 HOD，市场似乎对美联储的任何行动都相当怀疑。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199154789","content_text":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption.\"Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...Bond yields spiked...... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")....... slumped.In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).So what happens next?Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market:The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates 4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever Impact on BanksRatesFront-End RatesGoing back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.\"More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.* *  *Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" asthe SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing.“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":870550200,"gmtCreate":1636636994120,"gmtModify":1636636994392,"author":{"id":"3564049549732787","authorId":"3564049549732787","name":"BnK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/876c107eda4b06e1ce38ffe04defc4e5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564049549732787","idStr":"3564049549732787"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYRN\">$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$</a>Sell sell sell!!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYRN\">$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$</a>Sell sell sell!!!!","text":"$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$Sell sell 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