投机倒把宗师的个人主页 - 老虎社区

投机倒把宗师

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投机倒把宗师

2021-02-25

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$搁这跑心电图呢

投机倒把宗师

2022-05-10

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$跌！我空的每一手单子，都是打向美帝的一颗子弹！

投机倒把宗师

2022-01-26

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$都在赌美联储继续放水啊

投机倒把宗师

2022-05-05

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$接着奏乐接着舞

投机倒把宗师

2022-05-19

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$心电图……

投机倒把宗师

2022-11-23

这做多信号也太明显了

WTI原油期货“跳水”，欧盟考虑对俄油限价每桶65至70美元

投机倒把宗师

2022-04-28

$道琼斯(.DJI)$空头加油！**美国！

投机倒把宗师

2023-03-23

$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$

投机倒把宗师

2023-02-28

说明高盛开始偷偷建仓了

高盛大砍Q2布油均价预测，三位数油价还能指望吗？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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14:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"高盛大砍Q2布油均价预测，三位数油价还能指望吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2314854341","media":"金十数据","summary":"高盛仍看好布油年底涨至每桶100美元，如果加上欧佩克“助攻”，油价涨势将更加可观。能源巨头也一致认为油价“破百”不是梦.....","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>鉴于原油价格一直在一个区间内震荡，一直看多大宗商品和石油的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>开始下调它的油价预期。</p><p>该投行<b>现在预计布油在第二季度的平均价格为每桶90美元，而之前的预期为每桶105美元，但仍认为年底布油年底前将涨至每桶100美元。</b></p><p>高盛策略师表示，中国燃料需求强劲回升，而其他产油国供应趋平，这将推动石油市场在今年下半年出现供应不足，导致欧佩克在6月会议上逆转其减产决定。</p><p>高盛策略师在一份标注日期为2月26日（周日）的报告中称，<b>假设欧佩克在下半年将日产量增加100万桶，预计油价将在12月前逐步升至每桶100美元。然而，如果欧佩克维持产量政策不变，那么布油可能会在12月达到每桶107美元，并在此后继续走高。</b></p><p>由欧佩克和俄罗斯等盟友组成的欧佩克+去年10月同意在2023年底前将石油日产量目标削减200万桶。本月早些时候，沙特能源部长阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼王子表示，目前的欧佩克+石油产量协议将被保持至今年年底。</p><p>并不是所有投行都像高盛一样对油价前景保持乐观。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>本月表示，除非重大地缘政治事件再次扰乱市场，否则布油价格预计不会在2023年达到每桶100美元。该投行指出，俄罗斯原油产量预计将在6月份恢复，而高油价将阻止美国回购原油以补充战略石油储备 （SPR）。</p><p>对于油价能否再度“破百”的争议，能源巨头的意见却稍显统一。</p><p>周一，全球最大的独立石油交易商维多集团（Vitol Group）首席执行官Russell Hardy在接受电视采访时表示，<b>今年下半年油价可能升至每桶90美元至100美元的区间，因其预计全球需求将在供应受限的情况下达到创纪录水平。</b>Hardy称，“这是一种真实存在的可能性。”</p><p>根据Hardy的说法，在柴油、石脑油和液化石油气（LPG）需求激增的推动下，2023年全球石油需求将比2022年增加220万桶/日，达到创纪录水平。他补充道：</p><blockquote>“相比之下，现实情况是供应方面没有太多增长空间，因此油价反弹的潜力肯定存在。”</blockquote><p>Hardy表示，由于脱碳浪潮加快，石油需求预计将在本世纪末达到峰值，但仍需要对石油供应进行投资。</p><p>美国最大的页岩生产商之一<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PXD\">先锋自然资源</a>公司也预计油价到今年年底将达到每桶100美元。先锋公司首席执行官斯科特·谢菲尔德本月早些时候表示：</p><blockquote>“随着中国需求的显著回升，布油价格“将在今年夏天突破每桶90美元，并在今年下半年的某个时候进一步涨至每桶100美元。”</blockquote></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛大砍Q2布油均价预测，三位数油价还能指望吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-28 14:19 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107438&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>鉴于原油价格一直在一个区间内震荡，一直看多大宗商品和石油的高盛开始下调它的油价预期。该投行现在预计布油在第二季度的平均价格为每桶90美元，而之前的预期为每桶105美元，但仍认为年底布油年底前将涨至每桶100美元。高盛策略师表示，中国燃料需求强劲回升，而其他产油国供应趋平，这将推动石油市场在今年下半年出现供应不足，导致欧佩克在6月会议上逆转其减产决定。高盛策略师在一份标注日期为2月26日（周日）的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107438&type=news&data_type=0\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daaedcaccaa2d56d7f72b7ce290f1d25","relate_stocks":{"USO":"美国原油ETF","GS":"高盛","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107438&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2314854341","content_text":"鉴于原油价格一直在一个区间内震荡，一直看多大宗商品和石油的高盛开始下调它的油价预期。该投行现在预计布油在第二季度的平均价格为每桶90美元，而之前的预期为每桶105美元，但仍认为年底布油年底前将涨至每桶100美元。高盛策略师表示，中国燃料需求强劲回升，而其他产油国供应趋平，这将推动石油市场在今年下半年出现供应不足，导致欧佩克在6月会议上逆转其减产决定。高盛策略师在一份标注日期为2月26日（周日）的报告中称，假设欧佩克在下半年将日产量增加100万桶，预计油价将在12月前逐步升至每桶100美元。然而，如果欧佩克维持产量政策不变，那么布油可能会在12月达到每桶107美元，并在此后继续走高。由欧佩克和俄罗斯等盟友组成的欧佩克+去年10月同意在2023年底前将石油日产量目标削减200万桶。本月早些时候，沙特能源部长阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼王子表示，目前的欧佩克+石油产量协议将被保持至今年年底。并不是所有投行都像高盛一样对油价前景保持乐观。摩根大通本月表示，除非重大地缘政治事件再次扰乱市场，否则布油价格预计不会在2023年达到每桶100美元。该投行指出，俄罗斯原油产量预计将在6月份恢复，而高油价将阻止美国回购原油以补充战略石油储备 （SPR）。对于油价能否再度“破百”的争议，能源巨头的意见却稍显统一。周一，全球最大的独立石油交易商维多集团（Vitol Group）首席执行官Russell Hardy在接受电视采访时表示，今年下半年油价可能升至每桶90美元至100美元的区间，因其预计全球需求将在供应受限的情况下达到创纪录水平。Hardy称，“这是一种真实存在的可能性。”根据Hardy的说法，在柴油、石脑油和液化石油气（LPG）需求激增的推动下，2023年全球石油需求将比2022年增加220万桶/日，达到创纪录水平。他补充道：“相比之下，现实情况是供应方面没有太多增长空间，因此油价反弹的潜力肯定存在。”Hardy表示，由于脱碳浪潮加快，石油需求预计将在本世纪末达到峰值，但仍需要对石油供应进行投资。美国最大的页岩生产商之一先锋自然资源公司也预计油价到今年年底将达到每桶100美元。先锋公司首席执行官斯科特·谢菲尔德本月早些时候表示：“随着中国需求的显著回升，布油价格“将在今年夏天突破每桶90美元，并在今年下半年的某个时候进一步涨至每桶100美元。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"USO":1,"GS":1,"UCO":1,"SCO":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":620272867,"gmtCreate":1669812014959,"gmtModify":1669812016908,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"高盛反着买，别墅靠大海。看来明年油价011美元了","listText":"高盛反着买，别墅靠大海。看来明年油价011美元了","text":"高盛反着买，别墅靠大海。看来明年油价011美元了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/620272867","repostId":"2287638668","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2287638668","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1669778508,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2287638668?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-30 11:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"高盛预测OPEC+减产可能性极高，明年油价将达110美元/桶","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2287638668","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，在通胀仍处高位、经济衰退担忧加剧以及市场正评估即将生效的西方对俄罗斯石油实施价格上限的影响之际，高盛预测OPEC+极有可能采取进一步措施来阻止油价下跌并试图平衡市场供需。高盛大宗商品全球主管 Jeff Currie 周二表示，多种因素导致该行近几个月下调了对油价的预测。不仅如此，OPEC+最近暗示可能实施更大幅度的减产以刺激原油价格回升。不过也有消息称，OPEC + 正讨论在 12 月 4 日每日增产 50 万桶原油的计划。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>智通财经APP获悉，在通胀仍处高位、经济衰退担忧加剧以及市场正评估即将生效的西方对俄罗斯石油实施价格上限的影响之际，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>预测OPEC+极有可能采取进一步措施来阻止油价下跌并试图平衡市场供需。据了解，OPEC+将于12月4日在奥地利维也纳召开会议，决定下一阶段的生产政策。</p><p>高盛大宗商品全球主管 Jeff Currie 周二表示，多种因素导致该行近几个月下调了对油价的预测。他点出两大因素，首先是美元，其次是俄罗斯原油。据悉，俄罗斯正努力在 12 月 5 日价格上限生效前将自己的原油推向市场。</p><p>Currie表示其对2023年的中期石油前景“非常乐观”，高盛将“坚持其立场”，对明年布伦特原油的预测为每桶110美元。截至发稿，布伦特原油涨1.25%，报84.94美元/桶。这意味着，和当前大约85美元每桶的价格相比，明年油价还有近30%的上涨空间。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32ad3497f18a34b8f155aa97e3bb8856\" tg-width=\"737\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>不过，Currie也承认，未来存在“很多不确定性”。布伦特原油期货价格在今年2月份东欧地缘冲突爆发后飙涨，并在3月至6月长时间维持在110美元上方，并多次达到120美元上方。随后价格开始逐步走低。</p><p>此外，Currie 也提到，OPEC + 需要讨论是否应对中国需求进一步疲软的情形，因此减产的可能性很大。此前，OPEC+在10月初同意，从11月开始，每天减产200万桶，当时这一举措招致美国的强烈不满，因为美国曾要求OPEC+维持产量甚至增产以缓解美国通胀，并帮助全球经济复苏。</p><p>不仅如此，OPEC+最近暗示可能实施更大幅度的减产以刺激原油价格回升。周一据报道称，在全球原油需求放缓的情况下，沙特和其他产油国考虑在即将召开的OPEC+会议上宣布新的减产措施。</p><p>不过也有消息称，OPEC + 正讨论在 12 月 4 日每日增产 50 万桶原油的计划。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高盛预测OPEC+减产可能性极高，明年油价将达110美元/桶</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛预测OPEC+减产可能性极高，明年油价将达110美元/桶\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-30 11:21 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/839391.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，在通胀仍处高位、经济衰退担忧加剧以及市场正评估即将生效的西方对俄罗斯石油实施价格上限的影响之际，高盛预测OPEC+极有可能采取进一步措施来阻止油价下跌并试图平衡市场供需。据了解，OPEC+将于12月4日在奥地利维也纳召开会议，决定下一阶段的生产政策。高盛大宗商品全球主管 Jeff Currie 周二表示，多种因素导致该行近几个月下调了对油价的预测。他点出两大因素，首先是美元，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/839391.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef375710aa7a4298de56c8827d8139df","relate_stocks":{"BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","GS":"高盛","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股","USO":"美国原油ETF","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/839391.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2287638668","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，在通胀仍处高位、经济衰退担忧加剧以及市场正评估即将生效的西方对俄罗斯石油实施价格上限的影响之际，高盛预测OPEC+极有可能采取进一步措施来阻止油价下跌并试图平衡市场供需。据了解，OPEC+将于12月4日在奥地利维也纳召开会议，决定下一阶段的生产政策。高盛大宗商品全球主管 Jeff Currie 周二表示，多种因素导致该行近几个月下调了对油价的预测。他点出两大因素，首先是美元，其次是俄罗斯原油。据悉，俄罗斯正努力在 12 月 5 日价格上限生效前将自己的原油推向市场。Currie表示其对2023年的中期石油前景“非常乐观”，高盛将“坚持其立场”，对明年布伦特原油的预测为每桶110美元。截至发稿，布伦特原油涨1.25%，报84.94美元/桶。这意味着，和当前大约85美元每桶的价格相比，明年油价还有近30%的上涨空间。不过，Currie也承认，未来存在“很多不确定性”。布伦特原油期货价格在今年2月份东欧地缘冲突爆发后飙涨，并在3月至6月长时间维持在110美元上方，并多次达到120美元上方。随后价格开始逐步走低。此外，Currie 也提到，OPEC + 需要讨论是否应对中国需求进一步疲软的情形，因此减产的可能性很大。此前，OPEC+在10月初同意，从11月开始，每天减产200万桶，当时这一举措招致美国的强烈不满，因为美国曾要求OPEC+维持产量甚至增产以缓解美国通胀，并帮助全球经济复苏。不仅如此，OPEC+最近暗示可能实施更大幅度的减产以刺激原油价格回升。周一据报道称，在全球原油需求放缓的情况下，沙特和其他产油国考虑在即将召开的OPEC+会议上宣布新的减产措施。不过也有消息称，OPEC + 正讨论在 12 月 4 日每日增产 50 万桶原油的计划。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SCO":1,"DWTIF":0.6,"UWTIF":1,"GS":1,"USO":1,"UCO":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4021,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":620017340,"gmtCreate":1669210223080,"gmtModify":1669210224732,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这做多信号也太明显了","listText":"这做多信号也太明显了","text":"这做多信号也太明显了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/620017340","repostId":"1155787295","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1155787295","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1669199863,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155787295?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-23 18:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"WTI原油期货“跳水”，欧盟考虑对俄油限价每桶65至70美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155787295","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"欧盟各国将于周三举行会议，目的是批准封顶机制和拟议的价格水平。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>据知情人士透露，欧盟正在与G7合作，讨论将俄罗斯原油价格限制在每桶65至70美元之间。欧盟各国将于周三举行会议，目的是批准封顶机制和拟议的价格水平。</p><p>知情人士说，欧盟和七国集团可能会在周三晚些时候宣布价格上限水平。该价格区间远高于俄罗斯的生产成本，因此该上限可能对交易的影响极小。但几名欧盟外交官说，提议的价格太高了。该上限需要得到所有成员国的支持才能通过。</p><p>这个由G7推动的上限计划有两个目的：保持俄罗斯石油的流动，以避免全球价格飙升，同时限制莫斯科的收入。</p><p>美、布两油持续走低，WTI原油下跌3.1%，现报78.44美元/桶；布伦特原油下跌3.32%，现报85.43美元/桶。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e85479c1084c99e8e15aa77d53f11af\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"833\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de9d244bddce5c6696b209bd516783dd\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"836\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WTI原油期货“跳水”，欧盟考虑对俄油限价每桶65至70美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWTI原油期货“跳水”，欧盟考虑对俄油限价每桶65至70美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-23 18:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>据知情人士透露，欧盟正在与G7合作，讨论将俄罗斯原油价格限制在每桶65至70美元之间。欧盟各国将于周三举行会议，目的是批准封顶机制和拟议的价格水平。</p><p>知情人士说，欧盟和七国集团可能会在周三晚些时候宣布价格上限水平。该价格区间远高于俄罗斯的生产成本，因此该上限可能对交易的影响极小。但几名欧盟外交官说，提议的价格太高了。该上限需要得到所有成员国的支持才能通过。</p><p>这个由G7推动的上限计划有两个目的：保持俄罗斯石油的流动，以避免全球价格飙升，同时限制莫斯科的收入。</p><p>美、布两油持续走低，WTI原油下跌3.1%，现报78.44美元/桶；布伦特原油下跌3.32%，现报85.43美元/桶。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e85479c1084c99e8e15aa77d53f11af\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"833\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de9d244bddce5c6696b209bd516783dd\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"836\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4e05ec77979a5299f730b563d0cf690","relate_stocks":{"USO":"美国原油ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155787295","content_text":"据知情人士透露，欧盟正在与G7合作，讨论将俄罗斯原油价格限制在每桶65至70美元之间。欧盟各国将于周三举行会议，目的是批准封顶机制和拟议的价格水平。知情人士说，欧盟和七国集团可能会在周三晚些时候宣布价格上限水平。该价格区间远高于俄罗斯的生产成本，因此该上限可能对交易的影响极小。但几名欧盟外交官说，提议的价格太高了。该上限需要得到所有成员国的支持才能通过。这个由G7推动的上限计划有两个目的：保持俄罗斯石油的流动，以避免全球价格飙升，同时限制莫斯科的收入。美、布两油持续走低，WTI原油下跌3.1%，现报78.44美元/桶；布伦特原油下跌3.32%，现报85.43美元/桶。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"USO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":683124838,"gmtCreate":1656076456428,"gmtModify":1704864062422,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好文章","listText":"好文章","text":"好文章","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683124838","repostId":"1104471087","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1104471087","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656075148,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104471087?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-24 20:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储加息恐止于今年，之后将是300个基点的降息？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104471087","media":"金十数据","summary":"美联储“鹰”不了太久，零利率与大印美钞的时代恐怕又要回来……在全球范围内，以美国为首的西方国家对俄罗斯的制裁造成了大宗商品和食品高通胀。在输入性通胀面前，美联储毫无招架之力，持续的大幅加息适得其反，市","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>美联储“鹰”不了太久，零利率与大印美钞的时代恐怕又要回来……</blockquote><p>在全球范围内，以美国为首的西方国家对俄罗斯的制裁造成了大宗商品和食品高通胀。在输入性通胀面前，美联储毫无招架之力，持续的大幅加息适得其反，市场对美国经济衰退的担忧逐渐升温。</p><p>金融博客零对冲认为，在一场毁灭性的衰退浪潮席卷整个美国之后不久，为了“救灾”，美联储将匆忙开启新一轮量化宽松。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/978b922973899fb0cbc8ee7c20ef19c9\" tg-width=\"1005\" tg-height=\"603\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>考虑到经济衰退已开始被市场定价，那么市场唯一的问题是，<b>美国经济衰退将于何时爆发？</b>对此，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>（DB）认为是2023年；野村证券最新（6月19日）预计，这个时间最早将是2022年下半年。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f628805dca60eb3c64f52fb4ca77e824\" tg-width=\"752\" tg-height=\"596\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>而金融博客零对冲甚至认为，<b>早在三个月前，美国经济可能就已经开始衰退了</b>。美联储再加息几次，就会在今年结束加息周期。</p><p>彭博分析师Edward Bolingbroke称，随着美国经济衰退的可能性接近100%，隔夜利率掉期市场的加息溢价正逐渐下滑，6月23日的交易日内出现了另一次大幅的政策重新定价。</p><p>如下图所示，交易员们<b>不再预计美联储在12月FOMC会议之后会继续加息</b>。相反，目前的欧洲美元利差显示，交易员预计明年会出现近50个基点的降息。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59f714d951141419b529444575ac205f\" tg-width=\"1006\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>具体而言，最新数据显示，市场预计美联储在12月会议前还将加息175个基点。这可以被解读为，<b>在美联储放慢加息脚步之前，还会再以75个基点的幅度加息一次</b>。目前，在今年7、9、11、12月的FOMC会议上，美联储可能的加息组合包括:</p><blockquote>1、75个基点+50个基点+25个基点+25个基点；</blockquote><blockquote>2、75个基点+50个基点+50个基点，在12月FOMC会议上暂停加息。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa45c20bb5a34070b91470a8b3a61386\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"846\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>经济衰退的可能性越高，美联储在7月和9月加息75个基点的可能性就越低。事实上，正如下图所示，7月和9月加息75个基点的可能性正在迅速下降（分别为68%和22%），而在12月和明年2月加息25个基点的可能性也大幅下滑。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2103374f78824fd2600a43cb4ebb0f87\" tg-width=\"1001\" tg-height=\"603\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>简而言之，市场正在对美联储在中期选举前结束加息周期进行定价。</p><p>结束加息之后会发生什么呢？零对冲认为，考虑到美国经济将受到重创，美联储将在2023年初（甚至2022年底）仓促降息，随之而来的就是量化宽松。尽管美联储还没有把这作为他们的基本方针，但他们正越来越近靠近这一方针。</p><p>在上周末发布的报告中，野村证券（Nomura）将2022年年底出现衰退作为基本预测情景，该行认为，随着衰退加剧，美联储认为失业率上升和整体需求减弱将压低通胀，并对此信心满满。野村补充称：</p><blockquote>“在年度通胀仍在上升的背景下，美联储可能在几个月的时间内，将联邦基金利率提升至在限制性水平（3%-3.5%）。我们预计美联储将提前开始降息，降息将始于2023年9月，而不是2024年初。理由是，更高的失业率和更弱的经济增长应该会增加美联储‘通胀将持续回到2%’的信心。”</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de71c40d45faa98bc550640fe3ef773f\" tg-width=\"736\" tg-height=\"536\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>因此，野村证券认为，美联储将从2023年9月份开始，在每次FOMC会议上降息25个基点，这终将导致2023年底联邦基金利率为2.875%，2024年底为0.875%<b>。这相当于在18个月左右的时间里，美联储将降息300个基点。</b></p><p>零对冲同意野村证券预测的宽松规模，但也认为野村证券低估了美联储即将进行降息的速度。依照历史经验，一旦美联储的加息周期达到顶峰，美联储的政策就会开始急速转向。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acd9045ca0ba0ca6ac49221de1b72202\" tg-width=\"697\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>零对冲认为，一旦美联储开启新一轮量化宽松，那必然是突飞猛进的：美联储将在几周内多次大幅降息，在极短的时间内将联邦基金利率推回到零。</p></body></html>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储加息恐止于今年，之后将是300个基点的降息？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储加息恐止于今年，之后将是300个基点的降息？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-24 20:52 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/96039><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美联储“鹰”不了太久，零利率与大印美钞的时代恐怕又要回来……在全球范围内，以美国为首的西方国家对俄罗斯的制裁造成了大宗商品和食品高通胀。在输入性通胀面前，美联储毫无招架之力，持续的大幅加息适得其反，市场对美国经济衰退的担忧逐渐升温。金融博客零对冲认为，在一场毁灭性的衰退浪潮席卷整个美国之后不久，为了“救灾”，美联储将匆忙开启新一轮量化宽松。考虑到经济衰退已开始被市场定价，那么市场唯一的问题是，美国...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/96039\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF博时",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".DJI":"道琼斯","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/96039","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104471087","content_text":"美联储“鹰”不了太久，零利率与大印美钞的时代恐怕又要回来……在全球范围内，以美国为首的西方国家对俄罗斯的制裁造成了大宗商品和食品高通胀。在输入性通胀面前，美联储毫无招架之力，持续的大幅加息适得其反，市场对美国经济衰退的担忧逐渐升温。金融博客零对冲认为，在一场毁灭性的衰退浪潮席卷整个美国之后不久，为了“救灾”，美联储将匆忙开启新一轮量化宽松。考虑到经济衰退已开始被市场定价，那么市场唯一的问题是，美国经济衰退将于何时爆发？对此，德意志银行（DB）认为是2023年；野村证券最新（6月19日）预计，这个时间最早将是2022年下半年。而金融博客零对冲甚至认为，早在三个月前，美国经济可能就已经开始衰退了。美联储再加息几次，就会在今年结束加息周期。彭博分析师Edward Bolingbroke称，随着美国经济衰退的可能性接近100%，隔夜利率掉期市场的加息溢价正逐渐下滑，6月23日的交易日内出现了另一次大幅的政策重新定价。如下图所示，交易员们不再预计美联储在12月FOMC会议之后会继续加息。相反，目前的欧洲美元利差显示，交易员预计明年会出现近50个基点的降息。具体而言，最新数据显示，市场预计美联储在12月会议前还将加息175个基点。这可以被解读为，在美联储放慢加息脚步之前，还会再以75个基点的幅度加息一次。目前，在今年7、9、11、12月的FOMC会议上，美联储可能的加息组合包括:1、75个基点+50个基点+25个基点+25个基点；2、75个基点+50个基点+50个基点，在12月FOMC会议上暂停加息。经济衰退的可能性越高，美联储在7月和9月加息75个基点的可能性就越低。事实上，正如下图所示，7月和9月加息75个基点的可能性正在迅速下降（分别为68%和22%），而在12月和明年2月加息25个基点的可能性也大幅下滑。简而言之，市场正在对美联储在中期选举前结束加息周期进行定价。结束加息之后会发生什么呢？零对冲认为，考虑到美国经济将受到重创，美联储将在2023年初（甚至2022年底）仓促降息，随之而来的就是量化宽松。尽管美联储还没有把这作为他们的基本方针，但他们正越来越近靠近这一方针。在上周末发布的报告中，野村证券（Nomura）将2022年年底出现衰退作为基本预测情景，该行认为，随着衰退加剧，美联储认为失业率上升和整体需求减弱将压低通胀，并对此信心满满。野村补充称：“在年度通胀仍在上升的背景下，美联储可能在几个月的时间内，将联邦基金利率提升至在限制性水平（3%-3.5%）。我们预计美联储将提前开始降息，降息将始于2023年9月，而不是2024年初。理由是，更高的失业率和更弱的经济增长应该会增加美联储‘通胀将持续回到2%’的信心。”因此，野村证券认为，美联储将从2023年9月份开始，在每次FOMC会议上降息25个基点，这终将导致2023年底联邦基金利率为2.875%，2024年底为0.875%。这相当于在18个月左右的时间里，美联储将降息300个基点。零对冲同意野村证券预测的宽松规模，但也认为野村证券低估了美联储即将进行降息的速度。依照历史经验，一旦美联储的加息周期达到顶峰，美联储的政策就会开始急速转向。零对冲认为，一旦美联储开启新一轮量化宽松，那必然是突飞猛进的：美联储将在几周内多次大幅降息，在极短的时间内将联邦基金利率推回到零。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"513500":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"DXD":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPXU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":615289572,"gmtCreate":1652970725497,"gmtModify":1652970725497,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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18:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"WTI原油期货“跳水”，欧盟考虑对俄油限价每桶65至70美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155787295","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"欧盟各国将于周三举行会议，目的是批准封顶机制和拟议的价格水平。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>据知情人士透露，欧盟正在与G7合作，讨论将俄罗斯原油价格限制在每桶65至70美元之间。欧盟各国将于周三举行会议，目的是批准封顶机制和拟议的价格水平。</p><p>知情人士说，欧盟和七国集团可能会在周三晚些时候宣布价格上限水平。该价格区间远高于俄罗斯的生产成本，因此该上限可能对交易的影响极小。但几名欧盟外交官说，提议的价格太高了。该上限需要得到所有成员国的支持才能通过。</p><p>这个由G7推动的上限计划有两个目的：保持俄罗斯石油的流动，以避免全球价格飙升，同时限制莫斯科的收入。</p><p>美、布两油持续走低，WTI原油下跌3.1%，现报78.44美元/桶；布伦特原油下跌3.32%，现报85.43美元/桶。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e85479c1084c99e8e15aa77d53f11af\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"833\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de9d244bddce5c6696b209bd516783dd\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"836\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WTI原油期货“跳水”，欧盟考虑对俄油限价每桶65至70美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWTI原油期货“跳水”，欧盟考虑对俄油限价每桶65至70美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-23 18:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>据知情人士透露，欧盟正在与G7合作，讨论将俄罗斯原油价格限制在每桶65至70美元之间。欧盟各国将于周三举行会议，目的是批准封顶机制和拟议的价格水平。</p><p>知情人士说，欧盟和七国集团可能会在周三晚些时候宣布价格上限水平。该价格区间远高于俄罗斯的生产成本，因此该上限可能对交易的影响极小。但几名欧盟外交官说，提议的价格太高了。该上限需要得到所有成员国的支持才能通过。</p><p>这个由G7推动的上限计划有两个目的：保持俄罗斯石油的流动，以避免全球价格飙升，同时限制莫斯科的收入。</p><p>美、布两油持续走低，WTI原油下跌3.1%，现报78.44美元/桶；布伦特原油下跌3.32%，现报85.43美元/桶。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e85479c1084c99e8e15aa77d53f11af\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"833\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de9d244bddce5c6696b209bd516783dd\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"836\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4e05ec77979a5299f730b563d0cf690","relate_stocks":{"USO":"美国原油ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155787295","content_text":"据知情人士透露，欧盟正在与G7合作，讨论将俄罗斯原油价格限制在每桶65至70美元之间。欧盟各国将于周三举行会议，目的是批准封顶机制和拟议的价格水平。知情人士说，欧盟和七国集团可能会在周三晚些时候宣布价格上限水平。该价格区间远高于俄罗斯的生产成本，因此该上限可能对交易的影响极小。但几名欧盟外交官说，提议的价格太高了。该上限需要得到所有成员国的支持才能通过。这个由G7推动的上限计划有两个目的：保持俄罗斯石油的流动，以避免全球价格飙升，同时限制莫斯科的收入。美、布两油持续走低，WTI原油下跌3.1%，现报78.44美元/桶；布伦特原油下跌3.32%，现报85.43美元/桶。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"USO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":618441601,"gmtCreate":1651157828656,"gmtModify":1651157828656,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>空头加油！**美国！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>空头加油！**美国！","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$空头加油！**美国！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618441601","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650762560,"gmtCreate":1679511387951,"gmtModify":1679511388783,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650762560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":624528162,"gmtCreate":1677580243257,"gmtModify":1677580246316,"author":{"id":"3564787797447809","authorId":"3564787797447809","name":"投机倒把宗师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564787797447809","authorIdStr":"3564787797447809"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说明高盛开始偷偷建仓了","listText":"说明高盛开始偷偷建仓了","text":"说明高盛开始偷偷建仓了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/624528162","repostId":"2314854341","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2314854341","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1677565149,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2314854341?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-28 14:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"高盛大砍Q2布油均价预测，三位数油价还能指望吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2314854341","media":"金十数据","summary":"高盛仍看好布油年底涨至每桶100美元，如果加上欧佩克“助攻”，油价涨势将更加可观。能源巨头也一致认为油价“破百”不是梦.....","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>鉴于原油价格一直在一个区间内震荡，一直看多大宗商品和石油的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>开始下调它的油价预期。</p><p>该投行<b>现在预计布油在第二季度的平均价格为每桶90美元，而之前的预期为每桶105美元，但仍认为年底布油年底前将涨至每桶100美元。</b></p><p>高盛策略师表示，中国燃料需求强劲回升，而其他产油国供应趋平，这将推动石油市场在今年下半年出现供应不足，导致欧佩克在6月会议上逆转其减产决定。</p><p>高盛策略师在一份标注日期为2月26日（周日）的报告中称，<b>假设欧佩克在下半年将日产量增加100万桶，预计油价将在12月前逐步升至每桶100美元。然而，如果欧佩克维持产量政策不变，那么布油可能会在12月达到每桶107美元，并在此后继续走高。</b></p><p>由欧佩克和俄罗斯等盟友组成的欧佩克+去年10月同意在2023年底前将石油日产量目标削减200万桶。本月早些时候，沙特能源部长阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼王子表示，目前的欧佩克+石油产量协议将被保持至今年年底。</p><p>并不是所有投行都像高盛一样对油价前景保持乐观。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>本月表示，除非重大地缘政治事件再次扰乱市场，否则布油价格预计不会在2023年达到每桶100美元。该投行指出，俄罗斯原油产量预计将在6月份恢复，而高油价将阻止美国回购原油以补充战略石油储备 （SPR）。</p><p>对于油价能否再度“破百”的争议，能源巨头的意见却稍显统一。</p><p>周一，全球最大的独立石油交易商维多集团（Vitol Group）首席执行官Russell Hardy在接受电视采访时表示，<b>今年下半年油价可能升至每桶90美元至100美元的区间，因其预计全球需求将在供应受限的情况下达到创纪录水平。</b>Hardy称，“这是一种真实存在的可能性。”</p><p>根据Hardy的说法，在柴油、石脑油和液化石油气（LPG）需求激增的推动下，2023年全球石油需求将比2022年增加220万桶/日，达到创纪录水平。他补充道：</p><blockquote>“相比之下，现实情况是供应方面没有太多增长空间，因此油价反弹的潜力肯定存在。”</blockquote><p>Hardy表示，由于脱碳浪潮加快，石油需求预计将在本世纪末达到峰值，但仍需要对石油供应进行投资。</p><p>美国最大的页岩生产商之一<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PXD\">先锋自然资源</a>公司也预计油价到今年年底将达到每桶100美元。先锋公司首席执行官斯科特·谢菲尔德本月早些时候表示：</p><blockquote>“随着中国需求的显著回升，布油价格“将在今年夏天突破每桶90美元，并在今年下半年的某个时候进一步涨至每桶100美元。”</blockquote></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛大砍Q2布油均价预测，三位数油价还能指望吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-28 14:19 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107438&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>鉴于原油价格一直在一个区间内震荡，一直看多大宗商品和石油的高盛开始下调它的油价预期。该投行现在预计布油在第二季度的平均价格为每桶90美元，而之前的预期为每桶105美元，但仍认为年底布油年底前将涨至每桶100美元。高盛策略师表示，中国燃料需求强劲回升，而其他产油国供应趋平，这将推动石油市场在今年下半年出现供应不足，导致欧佩克在6月会议上逆转其减产决定。高盛策略师在一份标注日期为2月26日（周日）的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107438&type=news&data_type=0\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daaedcaccaa2d56d7f72b7ce290f1d25","relate_stocks":{"USO":"美国原油ETF","GS":"高盛","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4570":"地缘局势概念股"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107438&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2314854341","content_text":"鉴于原油价格一直在一个区间内震荡，一直看多大宗商品和石油的高盛开始下调它的油价预期。该投行现在预计布油在第二季度的平均价格为每桶90美元，而之前的预期为每桶105美元，但仍认为年底布油年底前将涨至每桶100美元。高盛策略师表示，中国燃料需求强劲回升，而其他产油国供应趋平，这将推动石油市场在今年下半年出现供应不足，导致欧佩克在6月会议上逆转其减产决定。高盛策略师在一份标注日期为2月26日（周日）的报告中称，假设欧佩克在下半年将日产量增加100万桶，预计油价将在12月前逐步升至每桶100美元。然而，如果欧佩克维持产量政策不变，那么布油可能会在12月达到每桶107美元，并在此后继续走高。由欧佩克和俄罗斯等盟友组成的欧佩克+去年10月同意在2023年底前将石油日产量目标削减200万桶。本月早些时候，沙特能源部长阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼王子表示，目前的欧佩克+石油产量协议将被保持至今年年底。并不是所有投行都像高盛一样对油价前景保持乐观。摩根大通本月表示，除非重大地缘政治事件再次扰乱市场，否则布油价格预计不会在2023年达到每桶100美元。该投行指出，俄罗斯原油产量预计将在6月份恢复，而高油价将阻止美国回购原油以补充战略石油储备 （SPR）。对于油价能否再度“破百”的争议，能源巨头的意见却稍显统一。周一，全球最大的独立石油交易商维多集团（Vitol Group）首席执行官Russell Hardy在接受电视采访时表示，今年下半年油价可能升至每桶90美元至100美元的区间，因其预计全球需求将在供应受限的情况下达到创纪录水平。Hardy称，“这是一种真实存在的可能性。”根据Hardy的说法，在柴油、石脑油和液化石油气（LPG）需求激增的推动下，2023年全球石油需求将比2022年增加220万桶/日，达到创纪录水平。他补充道：“相比之下，现实情况是供应方面没有太多增长空间，因此油价反弹的潜力肯定存在。”Hardy表示，由于脱碳浪潮加快，石油需求预计将在本世纪末达到峰值，但仍需要对石油供应进行投资。美国最大的页岩生产商之一先锋自然资源公司也预计油价到今年年底将达到每桶100美元。先锋公司首席执行官斯科特·谢菲尔德本月早些时候表示：“随着中国需求的显著回升，布油价格“将在今年夏天突破每桶90美元，并在今年下半年的某个时候进一步涨至每桶100美元。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"USO":1,"GS":1,"UCO":1,"SCO":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}