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Poggki

Poggki

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2021-07-20

Gosh

Goldman Says "Don't Buy This Dip" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛说“不要在这个低点买入”，原因如下……</blockquote>

2021-07-12

Hmmmmm

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2021-07-08

Why....

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2021-06-17

Amazon gogogo

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2021-06-17

Shakes head

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2021-06-16

Steady

Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>

2021-06-15

What happened?

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2021-06-14

Gogogogo

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2021-06-14

PayPal ftw

PayPal: One Of The Best Plays On The Secular Growth Trend Of Digital Payments<blockquote>PayPal：数字支付长期增长趋势的最佳剧本之一</blockquote>

2021-06-14

What's roku

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2021-06-13

Gogogo

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2021-06-12

Tencent gogogo

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2021-06-10

Up up and away~~~

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2021-06-09

Hmmmmmm

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2021-06-07

Apple FTW

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2021-06-04

Gogogo

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2021-06-02

Hmmmmmm

SEC Says Musk Violated Tweet Settlement: Report<blockquote>美国证券交易委员会称马斯克违反了推特和解协议：报告</blockquote>

2021-06-01

Gogogogo

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2021-05-28

Boleh?

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2021-05-27

Not too sure about that

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21:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛说“不要在这个低点买入”，原因如下……</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188133258","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-we","content":"<p>At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高盛交易员约翰·弗拉德 (John Flood) 正确地表示，我们正在进入一年中最好的两周季节性时期，本月的前 18 天传统上是市场最强劲的时期……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7dc88222112e4655f492c56509f9d64\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.</p><p><blockquote>...随后，人们预测空头将不得不回补，而在此期间，我们看到 16 个交易日中有 13 个创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&amp;P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在过去三天里，当标准普尔指数加速下滑时，这一切都崩溃了，最终在周一以可怕的溃败达到高潮，当时收益率暴跌引发了人们对美国经济将直接陷入滞胀崩溃的恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> And yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"<b>don't buy this dip.</b>\" He explains why:</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着期货价格反弹，交易员们清楚地表现出想要抓住几个月来跌幅最快的一把刀的愿望，我们惊讶地读到，在7月上半月正确预测市场上涨的约翰·弗拉德现在已经完全改变了主意，并在隔夜发布的一份报告中写道：“<b>不要抄底。</b>他解释了原因：</blockquote></p><p>   I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).    <b>99% of S&amp;P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).</b>Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.    Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.  And here are the 10 key<i>bearish</i>developments Flood is monitoring:</p><p><blockquote>我一直是下跌的买家，但这种波动感觉不同，我正在为本周走弱做好准备。负面的Covid头条新闻正在加速。发行龙头完全打开，这篇文章越来越难从我的座位上放下（在上周与发行相关的一些不稳定的px行动之后）。<b>99% 的标准普尔 500 指数公司将进入下周的回购禁售期，供应端的数量流动仍然不对称（又名 CTA 卖家将赢得这场拉锯战）。</b>上周的收益很好，但没有得到回报（银行）……本周和下周是财报期最繁忙的两周。随着 FAAMG complex 背负着指数的重量，整体市场广度继续消散。对于零售界来说，七月并不是一个有趣的月份（潜在的零售竞标正在消退）。从1年的角度来看，HF长度最近有了很大的进步，但从3年的角度来看，无论是净资产还是总收入，都远高于第50个百分位（这里还有更多的木头要砍）。中美紧张局势加剧之际，机构界继续降低中国 ADR 后滴滴发展的风险。所有人都在关注 2021 年 10 年期国债收益率首次远低于 1.26 的 200dma。没有必要按下紧急按钮，但我计划在接下来的几个会议中耐心买票。以下是10把钥匙<i>看跌</i>正在监测的发展洪水：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1) 周末的新冠疫情头条新闻是我在 2021 年见过的最负面的。以下是让我印象深刻的5个……</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>U.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC</li>  <li>The CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG</li>  <li>CDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT</li>  <li>First Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)</li>  <li>The UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times</li> </ul> <b>2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上周美国感染人数激增 60% 以上，超过全球 16% 的增幅。前 FDA 局长斯科特·戈特利布 (Scott Gottlieb) 表示，三角洲病例可能被低估了。这位博士警告说，美国“大大低估了”新冠病毒在国内的传播水平。CNBC</li><li>美国疾病控制与预防中心警告称，在全国接种率较低的地区，病例、住院人数和死亡人数都在上升，可能会出现 “未接种疫苗者的大流行”。</li><li>疾病预防控制中心表示，随着新冠统计数据持续恶化，美国其他主要城市可能会效仿洛杉矶，重新实施口罩强制令。FT</li><li>就在奥运会预计开始前几天，首批东京奥运会运动员新冠病毒检测呈阳性（科科·高夫是退出的最引人注目的美国运动员）</li><li>英国表示，无论疫苗接种情况如何，来自法国的旅客都需要隔离10天，这一声明“让假期陷入混乱”。伦敦时报</li></ul><b>2）这是一个纸党，这个纸越来越难放置。上周，我们对美国的11笔注册交易进行了定价（名义价值30亿美元），本周已经在处理另外18笔交易（名义价值100亿美元）。这在七月下旬尤其值得注意。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3) 第二季度财报发布仅一周，但银行告诉我们预计会出现好转，但不要指望这些好转会得到回报。又名卖方估计仍然太低，仓位仍然拥挤。自摩根大通上周二上午公布大型科技银行收益（基本上全面跑赢）以来，银行指数已下跌 355 个基点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4）我们正处于企业回购禁售期，这将持续到21年7月23日…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aaf1e5d45694a097b50a91dbde1c820\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5）系统流程是不对称的……（又名CTA是上下磁带中的卖家）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bba4d70220e9707ea2844810c1a10b2\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6) 市场广度继续恶化（上个月为 100）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39de9052680301024db46173d0dce29f\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7) 又名，如果没有最近 FAAMG 的出色价格走势，市场将会遇到一些麻烦……</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ae0c7eead73ad8dc2ecc63bcbd9e27e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT</b></p><p><blockquote><b>8) 与中国的紧张局势升级，我们看到 ADR 继续去风险化： 白宫指责中国对微软的电子邮件系统进行了大规模黑客攻击，并将组建北约成员国联盟谴责北京的网络活动。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9）零售支持一直在减弱MTD....（GS高零售情绪篮子）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d1bdeccdbb13bda1edf2982fd29b9c\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"737\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>1</b><b>0) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1</b><b>0）1年回顾，基本的L/S定位已经显著进步…….3年回顾，仍然上升…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588f67823e6fabf1df2586491f930477\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛说“不要在这个低点买入”，原因如下……</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛说“不要在这个低点买入”，原因如下……</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 21:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高盛交易员约翰·弗拉德 (John Flood) 正确地表示，我们正在进入一年中最好的两周季节性时期，本月的前 18 天传统上是市场最强劲的时期……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7dc88222112e4655f492c56509f9d64\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.</p><p><blockquote>...随后，人们预测空头将不得不回补，而在此期间，我们看到 16 个交易日中有 13 个创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&amp;P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在过去三天里，当标准普尔指数加速下滑时，这一切都崩溃了，最终在周一以可怕的溃败达到高潮，当时收益率暴跌引发了人们对美国经济将直接陷入滞胀崩溃的恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> And yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"<b>don't buy this dip.</b>\" He explains why:</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着期货价格反弹，交易员们清楚地表现出想要抓住几个月来跌幅最快的一把刀的愿望，我们惊讶地读到，在7月上半月正确预测市场上涨的约翰·弗拉德现在已经完全改变了主意，并在隔夜发布的一份报告中写道：“<b>不要抄底。</b>他解释了原因：</blockquote></p><p>   I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).    <b>99% of S&amp;P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).</b>Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.    Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.  And here are the 10 key<i>bearish</i>developments Flood is monitoring:</p><p><blockquote>我一直是下跌的买家，但这种波动感觉不同，我正在为本周走弱做好准备。负面的Covid头条新闻正在加速。发行龙头完全打开，这篇文章越来越难从我的座位上放下（在上周与发行相关的一些不稳定的px行动之后）。<b>99% 的标准普尔 500 指数公司将进入下周的回购禁售期，供应端的数量流动仍然不对称（又名 CTA 卖家将赢得这场拉锯战）。</b>上周的收益很好，但没有得到回报（银行）……本周和下周是财报期最繁忙的两周。随着 FAAMG complex 背负着指数的重量，整体市场广度继续消散。对于零售界来说，七月并不是一个有趣的月份（潜在的零售竞标正在消退）。从1年的角度来看，HF长度最近有了很大的进步，但从3年的角度来看，无论是净资产还是总收入，都远高于第50个百分位（这里还有更多的木头要砍）。中美紧张局势加剧之际，机构界继续降低中国 ADR 后滴滴发展的风险。所有人都在关注 2021 年 10 年期国债收益率首次远低于 1.26 的 200dma。没有必要按下紧急按钮，但我计划在接下来的几个会议中耐心买票。以下是10把钥匙<i>看跌</i>正在监测的发展洪水：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1) 周末的新冠疫情头条新闻是我在 2021 年见过的最负面的。以下是让我印象深刻的5个……</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>U.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC</li>  <li>The CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG</li>  <li>CDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT</li>  <li>First Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)</li>  <li>The UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times</li> </ul> <b>2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上周美国感染人数激增 60% 以上，超过全球 16% 的增幅。前 FDA 局长斯科特·戈特利布 (Scott Gottlieb) 表示，三角洲病例可能被低估了。这位博士警告说，美国“大大低估了”新冠病毒在国内的传播水平。CNBC</li><li>美国疾病控制与预防中心警告称，在全国接种率较低的地区，病例、住院人数和死亡人数都在上升，可能会出现 “未接种疫苗者的大流行”。</li><li>疾病预防控制中心表示，随着新冠统计数据持续恶化，美国其他主要城市可能会效仿洛杉矶，重新实施口罩强制令。FT</li><li>就在奥运会预计开始前几天，首批东京奥运会运动员新冠病毒检测呈阳性（科科·高夫是退出的最引人注目的美国运动员）</li><li>英国表示，无论疫苗接种情况如何，来自法国的旅客都需要隔离10天，这一声明“让假期陷入混乱”。伦敦时报</li></ul><b>2）这是一个纸党，这个纸越来越难放置。上周，我们对美国的11笔注册交易进行了定价（名义价值30亿美元），本周已经在处理另外18笔交易（名义价值100亿美元）。这在七月下旬尤其值得注意。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3) 第二季度财报发布仅一周，但银行告诉我们预计会出现好转，但不要指望这些好转会得到回报。又名卖方估计仍然太低，仓位仍然拥挤。自摩根大通上周二上午公布大型科技银行收益（基本上全面跑赢）以来，银行指数已下跌 355 个基点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4）我们正处于企业回购禁售期，这将持续到21年7月23日…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aaf1e5d45694a097b50a91dbde1c820\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5）系统流程是不对称的……（又名CTA是上下磁带中的卖家）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bba4d70220e9707ea2844810c1a10b2\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6) 市场广度继续恶化（上个月为 100）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39de9052680301024db46173d0dce29f\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7) 又名，如果没有最近 FAAMG 的出色价格走势，市场将会遇到一些麻烦……</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ae0c7eead73ad8dc2ecc63bcbd9e27e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT</b></p><p><blockquote><b>8) 与中国的紧张局势升级，我们看到 ADR 继续去风险化： 白宫指责中国对微软的电子邮件系统进行了大规模黑客攻击，并将组建北约成员国联盟谴责北京的网络活动。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9）零售支持一直在减弱MTD....（GS高零售情绪篮子）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d1bdeccdbb13bda1edf2982fd29b9c\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"737\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>1</b><b>0) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1</b><b>0）1年回顾，基本的L/S定位已经显著进步…….3年回顾，仍然上升…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588f67823e6fabf1df2586491f930477\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188133258","content_text":"At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...\n\n... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.\nOf course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.\nAnd yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"don't buy this dip.\" He explains why:\n\n I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).\n\n\n99% of S&P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.\n\n\n Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.\n\nAnd here are the 10 keybearishdevelopments Flood is monitoring:\n1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...\n\nU.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC\nThe CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG\nCDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT\nFirst Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)\nThe UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times\n\n2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.\n3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.\n4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....\n5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....\n6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....\n7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...\n\n8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT\n9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....\n\n10) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146527086,"gmtCreate":1626092787145,"gmtModify":1631886954234,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmmmm","listText":"Hmmmmm","text":"Hmmmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146527086","repostId":"2150533205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149749193,"gmtCreate":1625750699712,"gmtModify":1631886954247,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Why....","listText":"Why....","text":"Why....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149749193","repostId":"2149425693","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2943,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163513855,"gmtCreate":1623888621777,"gmtModify":1631886954257,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Amazon gogogo","listText":"Amazon gogogo","text":"Amazon gogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163513855","repostId":"1148575865","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163519450,"gmtCreate":1623888599070,"gmtModify":1631886954271,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Shakes head","listText":"Shakes head","text":"Shakes head","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163519450","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169852237,"gmtCreate":1623829641729,"gmtModify":1631886954283,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Steady","listText":"Steady","text":"Steady","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169852237","repostId":"1105892749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105892749","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623809672,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105892749?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105892749","media":"Barrons","summary":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bu","content":"<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价（股票代码：TSLA）今年迄今已下跌约 15%，较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看，特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商：通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst&nbsp;Adam Jonas&nbsp;in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a&nbsp;highly concentrated&nbsp;time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师亚当-乔纳斯（Adam Jonas）在周一晚间的一份报告中写道：”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始，作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元，比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道：”即使是看涨者也应该承认，2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的，但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振，特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说：”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说，他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后，他预测从现在到本十年中期，特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计，特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck，但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst&nbsp;Jonathan Dorsheimer&nbsp;is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂：住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统，以客户为中心的连接性，将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合，”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his&nbsp;price target&nbsp;to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观，但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级，但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外，他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元，这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst&nbsp;Mark Delaney&nbsp;was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看，高盛分析师马克-德莱尼（Mark Delaney）上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻，但他指出，售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入，目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月，这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利，只要同时没有坏消息，这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3%&nbsp;to $599.36&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%，至 599.36 美元，本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价（股票代码：TSLA）今年迄今已下跌约 15%，较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看，特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商：通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst&nbsp;Adam Jonas&nbsp;in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a&nbsp;highly concentrated&nbsp;time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）分析师亚当-乔纳斯（Adam Jonas）在周一晚间的一份报告中写道：”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始，作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元，比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道：”即使是看涨者也应该承认，2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的，但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振，特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说：”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说，他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后，他预测从现在到本十年中期，特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计，特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck，但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst&nbsp;Jonathan Dorsheimer&nbsp;is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂：住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统，以客户为中心的连接性，将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合，”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his&nbsp;price target&nbsp;to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观，但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级，但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外，他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元，这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst&nbsp;Mark Delaney&nbsp;was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看，高盛分析师马克-德莱尼（Mark Delaney）上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻，但他指出，售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入，目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月，这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利，只要同时没有坏消息，这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3%&nbsp;to $599.36&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%，至 599.36 美元，本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105892749","content_text":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.\nTesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.\nThat performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.\nTesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.\n“The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.\nJonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.\nCanaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.\nDorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.\nLooking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.\nDelaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.\nNew production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.\nTesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2875,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184422340,"gmtCreate":1623722312080,"gmtModify":1631886954294,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"What happened?&nbsp;","listText":"What happened?&nbsp;","text":"What happened?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184422340","repostId":"1126626020","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185281533,"gmtCreate":1623653386122,"gmtModify":1631886954305,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gogogogo","listText":"Gogogogo","text":"Gogogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185281533","repostId":"1146430910","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185281834,"gmtCreate":1623653365928,"gmtModify":1631886033364,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"PayPal ftw","listText":"PayPal ftw","text":"PayPal ftw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185281834","repostId":"1141995531","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141995531","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623652578,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141995531?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 14:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal: One Of The Best Plays On The Secular Growth Trend Of Digital Payments<blockquote>PayPal：数字支付长期增长趋势的最佳剧本之一</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141995531","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPayPal is a leading fintech company that benefits immensely from the secular growth trend i","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal is a leading fintech company that benefits immensely from the secular growth trend in the digital payments industry.</li>  <li>Its growth history is impressive and momentum is not showing any sign of slowing down, making its 2025 targets quite achievable.</li>  <li>The premium valuation to Visa or Mastercard is justified and PayPal is now my largest holding in the digital payments theme.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4976c13e5ffab4c5035b08d60831ed\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>JasonDoiy/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal是一家领先的金融科技公司，从数字支付行业的长期增长趋势中受益匪浅。</li><li>其增长历史令人印象深刻，而且势头没有放缓的迹象，这使得其 2025 年的目标完全可以实现。</li><li>Visa 或万事达卡的溢价估值是合理的，PayPal现在是我在数字支付主题中最大的持股。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JasonDoiy/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>PayPal</b>(PYPL) is a compelling long-term play on the secular growth trend of digital payments as the company’s growth path is likely to remain quite strong over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote><b>PayPal</b>(PYPL) 是对数字支付长期增长趋势的一个引人注目的长期投资，因为该公司的增长路径在未来几年可能会保持相当强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Company Profile</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司简介</b></blockquote></p><p> PayPal Holdings Inc. is a leading fintech company that enables digital and mobile payments through its technology platform. Its major competitors are other payment technology companies, such as<b>Visa</b>(V),<b>Mastercard</b>(MA) or<b>Adyen</b>(OTCPK:ADYEY). It currently has a market capitalization of about $309 billion, a smaller value than MasterCard or Visa.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal控股公司是一家领先的金融科技公司，通过其技术平台实现数字和移动支付。其主要竞争对手是其他支付技术公司，例如<b>签证</b>（五），<b>万事达卡</b>（马）或<b>阿迪恩</b>（OTCPK：阿迪）。它目前的市值约为3090亿美元，低于万事达卡或维萨卡。</blockquote></p><p> PayPal’s core business is the offering of payment solutions to merchants and consumers, operating globally. At the end of 2020, it had about 377 million active accounts, of which some 348 million consumer accounts and 29 million merchant accounts, more than double the number of active accounts at the end of 2015.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal的核心业务是为商家和消费者提供支付解决方案，业务遍及全球。截至2020年底，它拥有约3.77亿个活跃账户，其中约3.48亿个消费者账户和2900万个商户账户，比2015年底活跃账户数量增加了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f478cd622b0c634fd146fdf46bf0ef\" tg-width=\"747\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>Source: PayPal.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：PayPal。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company’s revenue stream comes mainly from charging fees for some completed payment transactions, while generally it does not charge consumers to fund or withdraw money from their PayPal account. It also generates revenues from currency conversion and instant transfers from the PayPal or Venmo accounts to debit cards or bank accounts. For its merchant clients, it also offers access to certain credit products for small and medium-sized merchants, increasing its engagement its clients and providing finance for clients that possibly would not get loans from traditional banks or other lending providers.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的收入来源主要来自对一些已完成的支付交易收取费用，而一般来说，它不会向消费者收取从其PayPal账户中充值或取款的费用。它还从货币兑换和从PayPal或Venmo账户到借记卡或银行账户的即时转账中产生收入。对于其商户客户，它还为中小型商户提供某些信贷产品，增加其对客户的参与度，并为可能无法从传统银行或其他贷款提供商获得贷款的客户提供融资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Secular Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>长期增长</b></blockquote></p><p> As I’ve analyzed in a previous article on “Visa: Despite Earnings Dip, Secular Growth Prospects Remain Strong,” the global payments industry has a very good growth track record and future growth prospects are quite strong.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在之前一篇关于 “Visa： 尽管盈利下滑，但长期增长前景依然强劲 ”的文章中所分析的那样，全球支付行业有着非常好的增长记录，未来的增长前景也相当强劲。</blockquote></p><p> During the past few years, consumers and businesses have increasingly adopted new payment methods beyond cash and the rise of e-commerce has also been an important growth driver of digital payments across the globe. Revenues for the industry have grown roughly at 7% per year over recent years, to a total of just under $2 trillion in 2019, according to McKinsey data, and this growth is only expected to accelerate in the future as digital payments continue to increase their market share as a percentage of total banking revenues.</p><p><blockquote>在过去几年中，消费者和企业越来越多地采用现金以外的新支付方式，电子商务的兴起也是全球数字支付的重要增长动力。根据麦肯锡的数据，近年来，该行业的收入每年大约增长 7%，2019 年总收入略低于 2 万亿美元，随着数字支付继续增加其市场份额占银行总收入的百分比，预计未来这一增长只会加速。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27b37a2ed30f39bff844ae07aa49ac5\" tg-width=\"372\" tg-height=\"395\"><span>Source: McKinsey.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：麦肯锡。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This background has been very supportive for PayPal’s growth prospects, as one of the leading companies in this industry. Indeed, PayPal’s revenues have increased at a compounded annual growth rate [CAGR] of 20.8% during the past five years, a much higher growth rate than the global payments industry and also above its largest competitors like Visa and MasterCard.</p><p><blockquote>作为该行业的领先公司之一，这一背景非常有利于PayPal的增长前景。事实上，PayPal的收入在过去五年中以 20.8% 的复合年增长率 [CAGR] 增长，这一增长率远高于全球支付行业，也高于 Visa 和万事达卡等最大竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, while recently the growth path of digital payments has changed due to the coronavirus pandemic, that has affected negatively the growth of the global payments industry, PayPal has remained on a strong growth path because its business is clearly more exposed to digital transactions rather than physical payments. This means that the pandemic has barely impacted its business, while it has been a significant setback for other companies, such as&nbsp;<b>American Express</b>&nbsp;(AXP) or MasterCard that are more exposed to cross-border transactions.</p><p><blockquote>此外，尽管最近由于冠状病毒大流行，数字支付的增长路径发生了变化，这对全球支付行业的增长产生了负面影响，但PayPal仍保持强劲的增长路径，因为其业务显然更多地接触数字交易而不是实体支付。这意味着疫情对其业务几乎没有影响，而对其他公司来说却是一个重大挫折，例如<b>美国运通</b>（AXP）或万事达卡更容易接触跨境交易。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the Covid-19 seems to be positive for the long-term growth of the industry because digital payments became more adopted last year and people will likely use less cash for payment transactions in the future, accelerating even further the growth of digital payments across the world.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Covid-19似乎有利于该行业的长期增长，因为去年数字支付变得更加普遍，未来人们可能会使用更少的现金进行支付交易，从而进一步加速全球数字支付的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next few years, growth is expected to resume quite rapidly and should even be higher than in the recent past. According to Mordor Intelligence, the global digital payments industry is expected to have a revenue CAGR of 13.7% during 2021-26, which is almost double the growth in recent years. This clearly shows that digital payments is a secular growth industry, being a very good backdrop for the companies operating in this industry for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>未来几年，预计增长将迅速恢复，甚至应该高于最近的水平。根据Mordor Intelligence的数据，2021-26年期间，全球数字支付行业的收入CAGR预计为13.7%，几乎是近年来增长的两倍。这清楚地表明，数字支付是一个长期增长的行业，对于未来几年在该行业运营的公司来说是一个非常好的背景。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Taking this environment into account, PayPal is clearly in a very good position to maintain a solid growth path for many years to come, being potentially one of the major winners of the global shift to digital payments and e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这种环境，PayPal显然处于非常有利的地位，可以在未来许多年内保持稳定的增长道路，成为全球向数字支付和电子商务转变的潜在赢家之一。</blockquote></p><p> Taking this background into account, it is not surprising that PayPal has strong growth ambitions for the coming years, aiming to generate more than $50 billion in revenue by 2025 (more than double the 2020 revenues) both from growth of its existing business, higher customer engagement and new offerings that will increase PayPal’s total addressable market.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一背景，PayPal在未来几年有着强劲的增长雄心也就不足为奇了，目标是到 2025 年实现超过 500 亿美元的收入（是 2020 年收入的两倍多），这得益于现有业务的增长、更高的客户参与度以及将增加PayPal总潜在市场的新产品。</blockquote></p><p> PayPal expects to double the number of active accounts over the next five years and triple the volumes transacted, which seems to be achievable considering its growth history and the strong growth prospects of the global payments industry.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal预计未来五年内活跃账户数量将增加一倍，交易量将增加两倍，考虑到其增长历史和全球支付行业强劲的增长前景，这似乎是可以实现的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/828bae36490c031b69fcf87de3ef91a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\"><span>Source: PayPal.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：PayPal。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This means that $50 billion in revenue by 2025 represents CAGR of about 20% during 2020-25, showing that PayPal has very good growth prospects in coming years. Moreover, as the company expects to improve a little bit its business margins during this period, its earnings are expected to increase at CAGR of 22% over the next five years and generate more than $40 billion in free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着到2025年的500亿美元收入相当于2020-25年期间约20%的CAGR，表明PayPal在未来几年拥有非常好的增长前景。此外，由于该公司预计在此期间的业务利润率将略有提高，因此其盈利预计将在未来五年内以 22% 的复合年增长率增长，并产生超过 400 亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financial Overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务概览</b></blockquote></p><p> Regarding its financial performance, PayPal has a very good track record with revenues and earnings growing quite rapidly over the past few years. Indeed, from 201 to 2020, PayPal’s revenues increased at a CAGR of around 20% and its earnings increased at CAGR of 31%, a very impressive achievement and much better than established peers like Visa and MasterCard.</p><p><blockquote>关于其财务业绩，PayPal拥有非常好的记录，过去几年收入和盈利增长相当迅速。事实上，从 201 年到 2020 年，PayPal的收入复合年增长率约为 20%，盈利复合年增长率为 31%，这是一个非常令人印象深刻的成就，远胜于 Visa 和万事达卡等老牌同行。</blockquote></p><p> More recently, the company’s growth was not interrupted by the coronavirus as the secular growth trends of e-commerce and cash displacement accelerated with the pandemic, being a very strong tailwind for the company’s growth.</p><p><blockquote>最近，公司的增长并未因冠状病毒而中断，因为电子商务和现金转移的长期增长趋势随着大流行病而加速，为公司的增长提供了非常强劲的推动力。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, PayPal recorded record financial figures regarding its revenues, volumes, net new active accounts and earnings. Indeed, PayPal’s revenues increased by 20.8% YoY to $21.5 billion, a level that is very close to Visa’s annual revenues showing that PayPal has achieved a very large size despite being a much younger company. Beyond higher revenues, its business margins and free cash flow generation also improved, a very good performance compared to its peers that rely more on debit and credit card payments.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，PayPal在收入、销量、净新活跃账户和收益方面创下了创纪录的财务数据。事实上，PayPal的收入同比增长了 20.8%，达到 215 亿美元，这一水平非常接近 Visa 的年收入，这表明PayPal尽管是一家年轻得多的公司，但已经实现了非常大的规模。除了更高的收入外，其业务利润率和自由现金流产生也有所改善，与更多地依赖借记卡和信用卡支付的同行相比，这是一个非常好的表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6b1369e32917090ea7cdb92b9a2fe8a\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>Source: PayPal.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：PayPal。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This positive financial performance was justified by the shift to online shopping and transactions due to Covid-19, but also due to PayPal’s new offerings such as the option to buy and hold digital currencies during the last quarter of the year. Its net income amounted to $4.2 billion, an increase of 70% YoY, boosted by organic growth and gains on some investments and its free cash flow was about $5 billion, or 23% of revenue, which shows that PayPal has a very good cash flow generation capacity.</p><p><blockquote>这一积极的财务表现是合理的，因为 Covid-19 导致人们转向网上购物和交易，但也得益于PayPal在今年最后一个季度推出的新产品，如购买和持有数字货币的选择权。其净利润达到42亿美元，同比增长70%，这得益于有机增长和一些投资收益，其自由现金流约为50亿美元，占收入的23%，这表明PayPal拥有非常好的现金流产生能力。</blockquote></p><p> During thefirst quarter of 2021, PayPal has maintained an impressive operating momentum with volumes up by 50% YoY and revenue up by 31% YoY. Active accounts grew by 21% to 392 million, while it added 14.5 million net new accounts during the quarter. Its operating margin improved to 27.7% (non-GAAP) and non-GAAP EPS grew by 84% YoY and free cash flow amounted to $1.54 billion or 25% of its quarterly revenue.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度，PayPal保持了令人印象深刻的运营势头，销量同比增长50%，收入同比增长31%。活跃账户增长 21%，达到 3.92 亿个，而本季度净新增账户 1,450 万个。其营业利润率提高到 27.7%（非 GAAP），非 GAAP 每股收益同比增长 84%，自由现金流达到 15.4 亿美元，占季度收入的 25%。</blockquote></p><p> For the full year 2021, its guidance was revised upwards with Q1 earnings and PayPal now expects to grow revenues to about $25.7 billion, which represents annual growth of about 20% in constant currencies, EPS growth around 21% YoY and about $6 billion in free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>对于 2021 年全年，其指引随着第一季度收益而上调，PayPal目前预计收入将增长至约 257 亿美元，按固定汇率计算，年增长率约为 20%，每股收益同比增长约 21%，自由现金流约为 60 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This clearly shows that PayPal’s growth momentum is not showing any sign of slowdown over the coming quarters, boding quite well to reach its 2025 targets probably ahead of schedule if it continues to grow at this pace.</p><p><blockquote>这清楚地表明，PayPal的增长势头在未来几个季度没有放缓的迹象，如果继续以这种速度增长，很有可能提前实现 2025 年的目标。</blockquote></p><p> However, this is not currently expected from the sell-side, given that according toanalysts’ estimates, revenue growth is expected to be around 20-21% during the next 2-3 years and then slow down a little bit to less than 20% in 2024 and 2025. This is in-line with PayPal’s own targets, which means that there is some potential upside to estimates if it continues to execute well on its growth initiatives during the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>不过，目前卖方预计不会出现这种情况，因为根据分析师的估计，未来 2-3 年的收入增长率预计将在 20-21% 左右，然后在 2024 年和 2025 年略有放缓，低于 20%。这符合PayPal自己的目标，这意味着如果该公司在未来几年继续良好地执行其增长计划，那么预估就有一些潜在的上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ee830ca42c6ed20907df39e8c28786b\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>Source: SeekingAlpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SeekingAlpha。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Regarding its capital allocation, PayPal’s has used its cash flow generation capacity to finance several acquisitions and repurchase its own shares, while capex spending has been relatively limited as expected for a technology company that operates digitally. Going forward, this strategy is not expected to change much as PayPal should continue to invest in fintech innovation through PayPal Ventures, while share buybacks will be the main way to return capital to shareholders even though the company may decide to start distributing dividends in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>在资本分配方面，PayPal利用其现金流产生能力为多项收购提供资金，并回购了自己的股票，而资本支出相对有限，正如一家数字化运营的科技公司所预期的那样。展望未来，这一战略预计不会有太大变化，因为PayPal应继续通过PayPal风险投资公司投资金融科技创新，而股票回购将是向股东返还资本的主要方式，即使该公司可能决定在未来几年开始分配股息。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/530c58f1461ce1f7eefb7856a4ef2d05\" tg-width=\"563\" tg-height=\"318\"><span>Source: PayPal.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：PayPal。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> PayPal has a very good business and its growth prospects are very strong, both from industry tailwinds and its own growth initiatives. I think this is one of the best ways to play the secular growth trend of digital payments, as PayPal’s business model is completely focused on digital channels while its closest competitors Visa or Mastercard still rely significantly in physical transactions.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal的业务非常好，其增长前景非常强劲，无论是来自行业的顺风还是其自身的增长举措。我认为这是利用数字支付长期增长趋势的最佳方式之一，因为PayPal的商业模式完全专注于数字渠道，而其最接近的竞争对手 Visa 或万事达卡仍然严重依赖实体交易。</blockquote></p><p> This profile justifies PayPal’s premium valuation, considering that it is currentlytrading at about 57x forward earnings, while Visa and Mastercard are trading at between 42-47x earnings. Regarding my personal portfolio, I’ve recently rebalanced my positions and PayPal is now my largest holding on the digital payments theme, as I see this company as a very compelling long-term play in this industry.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到PayPal目前的远期市盈率约为 57 倍，而 Visa 和万事达卡的远期市盈率在 42-47 倍之间，这一概况证明了PayPal的溢价估值是合理的。关于我的个人投资组合，我最近重新平衡了我的仓位，PayPal现在是我在数字支付主题上的最大持股，因为我认为这家公司是该行业中非常引人注目的长期投资。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal: One Of The Best Plays On The Secular Growth Trend Of Digital Payments<blockquote>PayPal：数字支付长期增长趋势的最佳剧本之一</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal: One Of The Best Plays On The Secular Growth Trend Of Digital Payments<blockquote>PayPal：数字支付长期增长趋势的最佳剧本之一</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 14:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal is a leading fintech company that benefits immensely from the secular growth trend in the digital payments industry.</li>  <li>Its growth history is impressive and momentum is not showing any sign of slowing down, making its 2025 targets quite achievable.</li>  <li>The premium valuation to Visa or Mastercard is justified and PayPal is now my largest holding in the digital payments theme.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4976c13e5ffab4c5035b08d60831ed\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>JasonDoiy/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal是一家领先的金融科技公司，从数字支付行业的长期增长趋势中受益匪浅。</li><li>其增长历史令人印象深刻，而且势头没有放缓的迹象，这使得其 2025 年的目标完全可以实现。</li><li>Visa 或万事达卡的溢价估值是合理的，PayPal现在是我在数字支付主题中最大的持股。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>JasonDoiy/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>PayPal</b>(PYPL) is a compelling long-term play on the secular growth trend of digital payments as the company’s growth path is likely to remain quite strong over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote><b>PayPal</b>(PYPL) 是对数字支付长期增长趋势的一个引人注目的长期投资，因为该公司的增长路径在未来几年可能会保持相当强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Company Profile</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司简介</b></blockquote></p><p> PayPal Holdings Inc. is a leading fintech company that enables digital and mobile payments through its technology platform. Its major competitors are other payment technology companies, such as<b>Visa</b>(V),<b>Mastercard</b>(MA) or<b>Adyen</b>(OTCPK:ADYEY). It currently has a market capitalization of about $309 billion, a smaller value than MasterCard or Visa.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal控股公司是一家领先的金融科技公司，通过其技术平台实现数字和移动支付。其主要竞争对手是其他支付技术公司，例如<b>签证</b>（五），<b>万事达卡</b>（马）或<b>阿迪恩</b>（OTCPK：阿迪）。它目前的市值约为3090亿美元，低于万事达卡或维萨卡。</blockquote></p><p> PayPal’s core business is the offering of payment solutions to merchants and consumers, operating globally. At the end of 2020, it had about 377 million active accounts, of which some 348 million consumer accounts and 29 million merchant accounts, more than double the number of active accounts at the end of 2015.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal的核心业务是为商家和消费者提供支付解决方案，业务遍及全球。截至2020年底，它拥有约3.77亿个活跃账户，其中约3.48亿个消费者账户和2900万个商户账户，比2015年底活跃账户数量增加了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f478cd622b0c634fd146fdf46bf0ef\" tg-width=\"747\" tg-height=\"432\"><span>Source: PayPal.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：PayPal。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company’s revenue stream comes mainly from charging fees for some completed payment transactions, while generally it does not charge consumers to fund or withdraw money from their PayPal account. It also generates revenues from currency conversion and instant transfers from the PayPal or Venmo accounts to debit cards or bank accounts. For its merchant clients, it also offers access to certain credit products for small and medium-sized merchants, increasing its engagement its clients and providing finance for clients that possibly would not get loans from traditional banks or other lending providers.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的收入来源主要来自对一些已完成的支付交易收取费用，而一般来说，它不会向消费者收取从其PayPal账户中充值或取款的费用。它还从货币兑换和从PayPal或Venmo账户到借记卡或银行账户的即时转账中产生收入。对于其商户客户，它还为中小型商户提供某些信贷产品，增加其对客户的参与度，并为可能无法从传统银行或其他贷款提供商获得贷款的客户提供融资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Secular Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>长期增长</b></blockquote></p><p> As I’ve analyzed in a previous article on “Visa: Despite Earnings Dip, Secular Growth Prospects Remain Strong,” the global payments industry has a very good growth track record and future growth prospects are quite strong.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在之前一篇关于 “Visa： 尽管盈利下滑，但长期增长前景依然强劲 ”的文章中所分析的那样，全球支付行业有着非常好的增长记录，未来的增长前景也相当强劲。</blockquote></p><p> During the past few years, consumers and businesses have increasingly adopted new payment methods beyond cash and the rise of e-commerce has also been an important growth driver of digital payments across the globe. Revenues for the industry have grown roughly at 7% per year over recent years, to a total of just under $2 trillion in 2019, according to McKinsey data, and this growth is only expected to accelerate in the future as digital payments continue to increase their market share as a percentage of total banking revenues.</p><p><blockquote>在过去几年中，消费者和企业越来越多地采用现金以外的新支付方式，电子商务的兴起也是全球数字支付的重要增长动力。根据麦肯锡的数据，近年来，该行业的收入每年大约增长 7%，2019 年总收入略低于 2 万亿美元，随着数字支付继续增加其市场份额占银行总收入的百分比，预计未来这一增长只会加速。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27b37a2ed30f39bff844ae07aa49ac5\" tg-width=\"372\" tg-height=\"395\"><span>Source: McKinsey.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：麦肯锡。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This background has been very supportive for PayPal’s growth prospects, as one of the leading companies in this industry. Indeed, PayPal’s revenues have increased at a compounded annual growth rate [CAGR] of 20.8% during the past five years, a much higher growth rate than the global payments industry and also above its largest competitors like Visa and MasterCard.</p><p><blockquote>作为该行业的领先公司之一，这一背景非常有利于PayPal的增长前景。事实上，PayPal的收入在过去五年中以 20.8% 的复合年增长率 [CAGR] 增长，这一增长率远高于全球支付行业，也高于 Visa 和万事达卡等最大竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, while recently the growth path of digital payments has changed due to the coronavirus pandemic, that has affected negatively the growth of the global payments industry, PayPal has remained on a strong growth path because its business is clearly more exposed to digital transactions rather than physical payments. This means that the pandemic has barely impacted its business, while it has been a significant setback for other companies, such as&nbsp;<b>American Express</b>&nbsp;(AXP) or MasterCard that are more exposed to cross-border transactions.</p><p><blockquote>此外，尽管最近由于冠状病毒大流行，数字支付的增长路径发生了变化，这对全球支付行业的增长产生了负面影响，但PayPal仍保持强劲的增长路径，因为其业务显然更多地接触数字交易而不是实体支付。这意味着疫情对其业务几乎没有影响，而对其他公司来说却是一个重大挫折，例如<b>美国运通</b>（AXP）或万事达卡更容易接触跨境交易。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the Covid-19 seems to be positive for the long-term growth of the industry because digital payments became more adopted last year and people will likely use less cash for payment transactions in the future, accelerating even further the growth of digital payments across the world.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Covid-19似乎有利于该行业的长期增长，因为去年数字支付变得更加普遍，未来人们可能会使用更少的现金进行支付交易，从而进一步加速全球数字支付的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next few years, growth is expected to resume quite rapidly and should even be higher than in the recent past. According to Mordor Intelligence, the global digital payments industry is expected to have a revenue CAGR of 13.7% during 2021-26, which is almost double the growth in recent years. This clearly shows that digital payments is a secular growth industry, being a very good backdrop for the companies operating in this industry for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>未来几年，预计增长将迅速恢复，甚至应该高于最近的水平。根据Mordor Intelligence的数据，2021-26年期间，全球数字支付行业的收入CAGR预计为13.7%，几乎是近年来增长的两倍。这清楚地表明，数字支付是一个长期增长的行业，对于未来几年在该行业运营的公司来说是一个非常好的背景。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Taking this environment into account, PayPal is clearly in a very good position to maintain a solid growth path for many years to come, being potentially one of the major winners of the global shift to digital payments and e-commerce.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这种环境，PayPal显然处于非常有利的地位，可以在未来许多年内保持稳定的增长道路，成为全球向数字支付和电子商务转变的潜在赢家之一。</blockquote></p><p> Taking this background into account, it is not surprising that PayPal has strong growth ambitions for the coming years, aiming to generate more than $50 billion in revenue by 2025 (more than double the 2020 revenues) both from growth of its existing business, higher customer engagement and new offerings that will increase PayPal’s total addressable market.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一背景，PayPal在未来几年有着强劲的增长雄心也就不足为奇了，目标是到 2025 年实现超过 500 亿美元的收入（是 2020 年收入的两倍多），这得益于现有业务的增长、更高的客户参与度以及将增加PayPal总潜在市场的新产品。</blockquote></p><p> PayPal expects to double the number of active accounts over the next five years and triple the volumes transacted, which seems to be achievable considering its growth history and the strong growth prospects of the global payments industry.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal预计未来五年内活跃账户数量将增加一倍，交易量将增加两倍，考虑到其增长历史和全球支付行业强劲的增长前景，这似乎是可以实现的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/828bae36490c031b69fcf87de3ef91a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\"><span>Source: PayPal.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：PayPal。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This means that $50 billion in revenue by 2025 represents CAGR of about 20% during 2020-25, showing that PayPal has very good growth prospects in coming years. Moreover, as the company expects to improve a little bit its business margins during this period, its earnings are expected to increase at CAGR of 22% over the next five years and generate more than $40 billion in free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着到2025年的500亿美元收入相当于2020-25年期间约20%的CAGR，表明PayPal在未来几年拥有非常好的增长前景。此外，由于该公司预计在此期间的业务利润率将略有提高，因此其盈利预计将在未来五年内以 22% 的复合年增长率增长，并产生超过 400 亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financial Overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务概览</b></blockquote></p><p> Regarding its financial performance, PayPal has a very good track record with revenues and earnings growing quite rapidly over the past few years. Indeed, from 201 to 2020, PayPal’s revenues increased at a CAGR of around 20% and its earnings increased at CAGR of 31%, a very impressive achievement and much better than established peers like Visa and MasterCard.</p><p><blockquote>关于其财务业绩，PayPal拥有非常好的记录，过去几年收入和盈利增长相当迅速。事实上，从 201 年到 2020 年，PayPal的收入复合年增长率约为 20%，盈利复合年增长率为 31%，这是一个非常令人印象深刻的成就，远胜于 Visa 和万事达卡等老牌同行。</blockquote></p><p> More recently, the company’s growth was not interrupted by the coronavirus as the secular growth trends of e-commerce and cash displacement accelerated with the pandemic, being a very strong tailwind for the company’s growth.</p><p><blockquote>最近，公司的增长并未因冠状病毒而中断，因为电子商务和现金转移的长期增长趋势随着大流行病而加速，为公司的增长提供了非常强劲的推动力。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020, PayPal recorded record financial figures regarding its revenues, volumes, net new active accounts and earnings. Indeed, PayPal’s revenues increased by 20.8% YoY to $21.5 billion, a level that is very close to Visa’s annual revenues showing that PayPal has achieved a very large size despite being a much younger company. Beyond higher revenues, its business margins and free cash flow generation also improved, a very good performance compared to its peers that rely more on debit and credit card payments.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，PayPal在收入、销量、净新活跃账户和收益方面创下了创纪录的财务数据。事实上，PayPal的收入同比增长了 20.8%，达到 215 亿美元，这一水平非常接近 Visa 的年收入，这表明PayPal尽管是一家年轻得多的公司，但已经实现了非常大的规模。除了更高的收入外，其业务利润率和自由现金流产生也有所改善，与更多地依赖借记卡和信用卡支付的同行相比，这是一个非常好的表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6b1369e32917090ea7cdb92b9a2fe8a\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"359\"><span>Source: PayPal.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：PayPal。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This positive financial performance was justified by the shift to online shopping and transactions due to Covid-19, but also due to PayPal’s new offerings such as the option to buy and hold digital currencies during the last quarter of the year. Its net income amounted to $4.2 billion, an increase of 70% YoY, boosted by organic growth and gains on some investments and its free cash flow was about $5 billion, or 23% of revenue, which shows that PayPal has a very good cash flow generation capacity.</p><p><blockquote>这一积极的财务表现是合理的，因为 Covid-19 导致人们转向网上购物和交易，但也得益于PayPal在今年最后一个季度推出的新产品，如购买和持有数字货币的选择权。其净利润达到42亿美元，同比增长70%，这得益于有机增长和一些投资收益，其自由现金流约为50亿美元，占收入的23%，这表明PayPal拥有非常好的现金流产生能力。</blockquote></p><p> During thefirst quarter of 2021, PayPal has maintained an impressive operating momentum with volumes up by 50% YoY and revenue up by 31% YoY. Active accounts grew by 21% to 392 million, while it added 14.5 million net new accounts during the quarter. Its operating margin improved to 27.7% (non-GAAP) and non-GAAP EPS grew by 84% YoY and free cash flow amounted to $1.54 billion or 25% of its quarterly revenue.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度，PayPal保持了令人印象深刻的运营势头，销量同比增长50%，收入同比增长31%。活跃账户增长 21%，达到 3.92 亿个，而本季度净新增账户 1,450 万个。其营业利润率提高到 27.7%（非 GAAP），非 GAAP 每股收益同比增长 84%，自由现金流达到 15.4 亿美元，占季度收入的 25%。</blockquote></p><p> For the full year 2021, its guidance was revised upwards with Q1 earnings and PayPal now expects to grow revenues to about $25.7 billion, which represents annual growth of about 20% in constant currencies, EPS growth around 21% YoY and about $6 billion in free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>对于 2021 年全年，其指引随着第一季度收益而上调，PayPal目前预计收入将增长至约 257 亿美元，按固定汇率计算，年增长率约为 20%，每股收益同比增长约 21%，自由现金流约为 60 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This clearly shows that PayPal’s growth momentum is not showing any sign of slowdown over the coming quarters, boding quite well to reach its 2025 targets probably ahead of schedule if it continues to grow at this pace.</p><p><blockquote>这清楚地表明，PayPal的增长势头在未来几个季度没有放缓的迹象，如果继续以这种速度增长，很有可能提前实现 2025 年的目标。</blockquote></p><p> However, this is not currently expected from the sell-side, given that according toanalysts’ estimates, revenue growth is expected to be around 20-21% during the next 2-3 years and then slow down a little bit to less than 20% in 2024 and 2025. This is in-line with PayPal’s own targets, which means that there is some potential upside to estimates if it continues to execute well on its growth initiatives during the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>不过，目前卖方预计不会出现这种情况，因为根据分析师的估计，未来 2-3 年的收入增长率预计将在 20-21% 左右，然后在 2024 年和 2025 年略有放缓，低于 20%。这符合PayPal自己的目标，这意味着如果该公司在未来几年继续良好地执行其增长计划，那么预估就有一些潜在的上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ee830ca42c6ed20907df39e8c28786b\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>Source: SeekingAlpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SeekingAlpha。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Regarding its capital allocation, PayPal’s has used its cash flow generation capacity to finance several acquisitions and repurchase its own shares, while capex spending has been relatively limited as expected for a technology company that operates digitally. Going forward, this strategy is not expected to change much as PayPal should continue to invest in fintech innovation through PayPal Ventures, while share buybacks will be the main way to return capital to shareholders even though the company may decide to start distributing dividends in the coming years.</p><p><blockquote>在资本分配方面，PayPal利用其现金流产生能力为多项收购提供资金，并回购了自己的股票，而资本支出相对有限，正如一家数字化运营的科技公司所预期的那样。展望未来，这一战略预计不会有太大变化，因为PayPal应继续通过PayPal风险投资公司投资金融科技创新，而股票回购将是向股东返还资本的主要方式，即使该公司可能决定在未来几年开始分配股息。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/530c58f1461ce1f7eefb7856a4ef2d05\" tg-width=\"563\" tg-height=\"318\"><span>Source: PayPal.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：PayPal。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> PayPal has a very good business and its growth prospects are very strong, both from industry tailwinds and its own growth initiatives. I think this is one of the best ways to play the secular growth trend of digital payments, as PayPal’s business model is completely focused on digital channels while its closest competitors Visa or Mastercard still rely significantly in physical transactions.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal的业务非常好，其增长前景非常强劲，无论是来自行业的顺风还是其自身的增长举措。我认为这是利用数字支付长期增长趋势的最佳方式之一，因为PayPal的商业模式完全专注于数字渠道，而其最接近的竞争对手 Visa 或万事达卡仍然严重依赖实体交易。</blockquote></p><p> This profile justifies PayPal’s premium valuation, considering that it is currentlytrading at about 57x forward earnings, while Visa and Mastercard are trading at between 42-47x earnings. Regarding my personal portfolio, I’ve recently rebalanced my positions and PayPal is now my largest holding on the digital payments theme, as I see this company as a very compelling long-term play in this industry.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到PayPal目前的远期市盈率约为 57 倍，而 Visa 和万事达卡的远期市盈率在 42-47 倍之间，这一概况证明了PayPal的溢价估值是合理的。关于我的个人投资组合，我最近重新平衡了我的仓位，PayPal现在是我在数字支付主题上的最大持股，因为我认为这家公司是该行业中非常引人注目的长期投资。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434455-paypal-best-play-on-secular-growth-trend-of-digital-payments\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434455-paypal-best-play-on-secular-growth-trend-of-digital-payments","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141995531","content_text":"Summary\n\nPayPal is a leading fintech company that benefits immensely from the secular growth trend in the digital payments industry.\nIts growth history is impressive and momentum is not showing any sign of slowing down, making its 2025 targets quite achievable.\nThe premium valuation to Visa or Mastercard is justified and PayPal is now my largest holding in the digital payments theme.\n\nJasonDoiy/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nPayPal(PYPL) is a compelling long-term play on the secular growth trend of digital payments as the company’s growth path is likely to remain quite strong over the next few years.\nCompany Profile\nPayPal Holdings Inc. is a leading fintech company that enables digital and mobile payments through its technology platform. Its major competitors are other payment technology companies, such asVisa(V),Mastercard(MA) orAdyen(OTCPK:ADYEY). It currently has a market capitalization of about $309 billion, a smaller value than MasterCard or Visa.\nPayPal’s core business is the offering of payment solutions to merchants and consumers, operating globally. At the end of 2020, it had about 377 million active accounts, of which some 348 million consumer accounts and 29 million merchant accounts, more than double the number of active accounts at the end of 2015.\nSource: PayPal.\nThe company’s revenue stream comes mainly from charging fees for some completed payment transactions, while generally it does not charge consumers to fund or withdraw money from their PayPal account. It also generates revenues from currency conversion and instant transfers from the PayPal or Venmo accounts to debit cards or bank accounts. For its merchant clients, it also offers access to certain credit products for small and medium-sized merchants, increasing its engagement its clients and providing finance for clients that possibly would not get loans from traditional banks or other lending providers.\nSecular Growth\nAs I’ve analyzed in a previous article on “Visa: Despite Earnings Dip, Secular Growth Prospects Remain Strong,” the global payments industry has a very good growth track record and future growth prospects are quite strong.\nDuring the past few years, consumers and businesses have increasingly adopted new payment methods beyond cash and the rise of e-commerce has also been an important growth driver of digital payments across the globe. Revenues for the industry have grown roughly at 7% per year over recent years, to a total of just under $2 trillion in 2019, according to McKinsey data, and this growth is only expected to accelerate in the future as digital payments continue to increase their market share as a percentage of total banking revenues.\nSource: McKinsey.\nThis background has been very supportive for PayPal’s growth prospects, as one of the leading companies in this industry. Indeed, PayPal’s revenues have increased at a compounded annual growth rate [CAGR] of 20.8% during the past five years, a much higher growth rate than the global payments industry and also above its largest competitors like Visa and MasterCard.\nMoreover, while recently the growth path of digital payments has changed due to the coronavirus pandemic, that has affected negatively the growth of the global payments industry, PayPal has remained on a strong growth path because its business is clearly more exposed to digital transactions rather than physical payments. This means that the pandemic has barely impacted its business, while it has been a significant setback for other companies, such as American Express (AXP) or MasterCard that are more exposed to cross-border transactions.\nNevertheless, the Covid-19 seems to be positive for the long-term growth of the industry because digital payments became more adopted last year and people will likely use less cash for payment transactions in the future, accelerating even further the growth of digital payments across the world.\nOver the next few years, growth is expected to resume quite rapidly and should even be higher than in the recent past. According to Mordor Intelligence, the global digital payments industry is expected to have a revenue CAGR of 13.7% during 2021-26, which is almost double the growth in recent years. This clearly shows that digital payments is a secular growth industry, being a very good backdrop for the companies operating in this industry for years to come.\nTaking this environment into account, PayPal is clearly in a very good position to maintain a solid growth path for many years to come, being potentially one of the major winners of the global shift to digital payments and e-commerce.\nTaking this background into account, it is not surprising that PayPal has strong growth ambitions for the coming years, aiming to generate more than $50 billion in revenue by 2025 (more than double the 2020 revenues) both from growth of its existing business, higher customer engagement and new offerings that will increase PayPal’s total addressable market.\nPayPal expects to double the number of active accounts over the next five years and triple the volumes transacted, which seems to be achievable considering its growth history and the strong growth prospects of the global payments industry.\nSource: PayPal.\nThis means that $50 billion in revenue by 2025 represents CAGR of about 20% during 2020-25, showing that PayPal has very good growth prospects in coming years. Moreover, as the company expects to improve a little bit its business margins during this period, its earnings are expected to increase at CAGR of 22% over the next five years and generate more than $40 billion in free cash flow.\nFinancial Overview\nRegarding its financial performance, PayPal has a very good track record with revenues and earnings growing quite rapidly over the past few years. Indeed, from 201 to 2020, PayPal’s revenues increased at a CAGR of around 20% and its earnings increased at CAGR of 31%, a very impressive achievement and much better than established peers like Visa and MasterCard.\nMore recently, the company’s growth was not interrupted by the coronavirus as the secular growth trends of e-commerce and cash displacement accelerated with the pandemic, being a very strong tailwind for the company’s growth.\nIn 2020, PayPal recorded record financial figures regarding its revenues, volumes, net new active accounts and earnings. Indeed, PayPal’s revenues increased by 20.8% YoY to $21.5 billion, a level that is very close to Visa’s annual revenues showing that PayPal has achieved a very large size despite being a much younger company. Beyond higher revenues, its business margins and free cash flow generation also improved, a very good performance compared to its peers that rely more on debit and credit card payments.\nSource: PayPal.\nThis positive financial performance was justified by the shift to online shopping and transactions due to Covid-19, but also due to PayPal’s new offerings such as the option to buy and hold digital currencies during the last quarter of the year. Its net income amounted to $4.2 billion, an increase of 70% YoY, boosted by organic growth and gains on some investments and its free cash flow was about $5 billion, or 23% of revenue, which shows that PayPal has a very good cash flow generation capacity.\nDuring thefirst quarter of 2021, PayPal has maintained an impressive operating momentum with volumes up by 50% YoY and revenue up by 31% YoY. Active accounts grew by 21% to 392 million, while it added 14.5 million net new accounts during the quarter. Its operating margin improved to 27.7% (non-GAAP) and non-GAAP EPS grew by 84% YoY and free cash flow amounted to $1.54 billion or 25% of its quarterly revenue.\nFor the full year 2021, its guidance was revised upwards with Q1 earnings and PayPal now expects to grow revenues to about $25.7 billion, which represents annual growth of about 20% in constant currencies, EPS growth around 21% YoY and about $6 billion in free cash flow.\nThis clearly shows that PayPal’s growth momentum is not showing any sign of slowdown over the coming quarters, boding quite well to reach its 2025 targets probably ahead of schedule if it continues to grow at this pace.\nHowever, this is not currently expected from the sell-side, given that according toanalysts’ estimates, revenue growth is expected to be around 20-21% during the next 2-3 years and then slow down a little bit to less than 20% in 2024 and 2025. This is in-line with PayPal’s own targets, which means that there is some potential upside to estimates if it continues to execute well on its growth initiatives during the next few years.\nSource: SeekingAlpha.\nRegarding its capital allocation, PayPal’s has used its cash flow generation capacity to finance several acquisitions and repurchase its own shares, while capex spending has been relatively limited as expected for a technology company that operates digitally. Going forward, this strategy is not expected to change much as PayPal should continue to invest in fintech innovation through PayPal Ventures, while share buybacks will be the main way to return capital to shareholders even though the company may decide to start distributing dividends in the coming years.\nSource: PayPal.\nConclusion\nPayPal has a very good business and its growth prospects are very strong, both from industry tailwinds and its own growth initiatives. I think this is one of the best ways to play the secular growth trend of digital payments, as PayPal’s business model is completely focused on digital channels while its closest competitors Visa or Mastercard still rely significantly in physical transactions.\nThis profile justifies PayPal’s premium valuation, considering that it is currentlytrading at about 57x forward earnings, while Visa and Mastercard are trading at between 42-47x earnings. Regarding my personal portfolio, I’ve recently rebalanced my positions and PayPal is now my largest holding on the digital payments theme, as I see this company as a very compelling long-term play in this industry.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185281949,"gmtCreate":1623653347481,"gmtModify":1631886954318,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"What's roku","listText":"What's roku","text":"What's 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10:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SEC Says Musk Violated Tweet Settlement: Report<blockquote>美国证券交易委员会称马斯克违反了推特和解协议：报告</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163507655","media":"The Street","summary":"Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process ","content":"<p>Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process agreed on by company.</p><p><blockquote>证券公司告诉特斯拉，马斯克在 2019 年和 2020 年发布的推文没有经过公司同意的审批程序。</blockquote></p><p> SEC regulators claim Elon Musk violated a settlement that required his tweets about Tesla&nbsp;(<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;be preapproved by company lawyers according to a published report Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会监管机构声称，埃隆·马斯克违反了一项要求他发布有关特斯拉的推文的和解协议（<b>特斯拉</b>) - 根据周二发布的一份报告，获得公司律师的预先批准报告。</blockquote></p><p> Correspondence to Tesla in 2019 and 2020 from the SEC said Musk’s tweets about solar roof production and stock price hadn’t been reviewed by company lawyers as had been agreed in a $40 million settlement between the company and agency in 2018, The Wall Street Journal reported. Under that court-approved settlement, Musk and Tesla each paid $20 million to resolve regulatory charges arising from an earlier Musk tweet that the company was on the verge of being taken private.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道，美国证券交易委员会在2019年和2020年给特斯拉的信件中称，马斯克关于太阳能屋顶生产和股价的推文并未经过公司律师的审查，而该公司与该机构在2018年达成的4000万美元和解协议中约定的那样。根据法院批准的和解协议，马斯克和特斯拉各支付了 2000 万美元，以解决马斯克早些时候发布的一条推文称该公司即将被私有化而产生的监管指控。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla “has abdicated the duties required of it by the court’s order,” a senior SEC official in the agency’s San Francisco office wrote to the company in May of 2020, according to the report. The company had failed to enforce the agreed upon procedures “despite repeated violations by Mr. Musk,” the letter added.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，美国证券交易委员会旧金山办事处的一名高级官员于 2020 年 5 月致信该公司，特斯拉 “已经放弃了法院命令要求的职责”。信中补充说，“尽管马斯克先生一再违反规定”，但该公司未能执行商定的程序。</blockquote></p><p> Musk has displayed open contempt for the SEC even in the aftermath of the 2018 settlement, including an off-color tweet posted in July of 2020, after the latest letters to the company.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d667aecf277db30480faf29b4545862\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"186\">Shares of Tesla fell $1.42, or 0.23%, to $622.48 in after-hours trading, Tuesday. The stock edged lower in the regular session. For the year, Tesla stock is off about 14%.</p><p><blockquote>即使在 2018 年和解之后，马斯克也表现出对 SEC 的公开蔑视，包括在 2020 年 7 月向该公司发出最新信函后发布的一条不合时宜的推文。周二盘后交易中，特斯拉股价下跌 1.42 美元，跌幅 0.23%，至 622.48 美元。该股在常规交易时段小幅走低。今年，特斯拉股价下跌约 14%。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to Tesla, Musk has drawn attention in recent months for histweets about cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>除了特斯拉之外，马斯克最近几个月还因其有关加密货币（尤其是比特币和狗狗币）的推文而引起关注。</blockquote></p><p> Musk alsorecently appeared as the guest host on Saturday Night Live.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克最近还作为嘉宾主持人出现在《周六夜现场》中。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SEC Says Musk Violated Tweet Settlement: Report<blockquote>美国证券交易委员会称马斯克违反了推特和解协议：报告</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSEC Says Musk Violated Tweet Settlement: Report<blockquote>美国证券交易委员会称马斯克违反了推特和解协议：报告</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 10:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process agreed on by company.</p><p><blockquote>证券公司告诉特斯拉，马斯克在 2019 年和 2020 年发布的推文没有经过公司同意的审批程序。</blockquote></p><p> SEC regulators claim Elon Musk violated a settlement that required his tweets about Tesla&nbsp;(<b>TSLA</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;be preapproved by company lawyers according to a published report Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会监管机构声称，埃隆·马斯克违反了一项要求他发布有关特斯拉的推文的和解协议（<b>特斯拉</b>) - 根据周二发布的一份报告，获得公司律师的预先批准报告。</blockquote></p><p> Correspondence to Tesla in 2019 and 2020 from the SEC said Musk’s tweets about solar roof production and stock price hadn’t been reviewed by company lawyers as had been agreed in a $40 million settlement between the company and agency in 2018, The Wall Street Journal reported. Under that court-approved settlement, Musk and Tesla each paid $20 million to resolve regulatory charges arising from an earlier Musk tweet that the company was on the verge of being taken private.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道，美国证券交易委员会在2019年和2020年给特斯拉的信件中称，马斯克关于太阳能屋顶生产和股价的推文并未经过公司律师的审查，而该公司与该机构在2018年达成的4000万美元和解协议中约定的那样。根据法院批准的和解协议，马斯克和特斯拉各支付了 2000 万美元，以解决马斯克早些时候发布的一条推文称该公司即将被私有化而产生的监管指控。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla “has abdicated the duties required of it by the court’s order,” a senior SEC official in the agency’s San Francisco office wrote to the company in May of 2020, according to the report. The company had failed to enforce the agreed upon procedures “despite repeated violations by Mr. Musk,” the letter added.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，美国证券交易委员会旧金山办事处的一名高级官员于 2020 年 5 月致信该公司，特斯拉 “已经放弃了法院命令要求的职责”。信中补充说，“尽管马斯克先生一再违反规定”，但该公司未能执行商定的程序。</blockquote></p><p> Musk has displayed open contempt for the SEC even in the aftermath of the 2018 settlement, including an off-color tweet posted in July of 2020, after the latest letters to the company.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d667aecf277db30480faf29b4545862\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"186\">Shares of Tesla fell $1.42, or 0.23%, to $622.48 in after-hours trading, Tuesday. The stock edged lower in the regular session. For the year, Tesla stock is off about 14%.</p><p><blockquote>即使在 2018 年和解之后，马斯克也表现出对 SEC 的公开蔑视，包括在 2020 年 7 月向该公司发出最新信函后发布的一条不合时宜的推文。周二盘后交易中，特斯拉股价下跌 1.42 美元，跌幅 0.23%，至 622.48 美元。该股在常规交易时段小幅走低。今年，特斯拉股价下跌约 14%。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to Tesla, Musk has drawn attention in recent months for histweets about cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Dogecoin.</p><p><blockquote>除了特斯拉之外，马斯克最近几个月还因其有关加密货币（尤其是比特币和狗狗币）的推文而引起关注。</blockquote></p><p> Musk alsorecently appeared as the guest host on Saturday Night Live.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克最近还作为嘉宾主持人出现在《周六夜现场》中。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/markets/regulation/sec-says-musk-violated-tweet-settlement-report\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/markets/regulation/sec-says-musk-violated-tweet-settlement-report","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163507655","content_text":"Securities agency told Tesla that Musk tweets in 2019 and 2020 hadn’t gone through approval process agreed on by company.\nSEC regulators claim Elon Musk violated a settlement that required his tweets about Tesla (TSLA) -Get Report be preapproved by company lawyers according to a published report Tuesday.\nCorrespondence to Tesla in 2019 and 2020 from the SEC said Musk’s tweets about solar roof production and stock price hadn’t been reviewed by company lawyers as had been agreed in a $40 million settlement between the company and agency in 2018, The Wall Street Journal reported. Under that court-approved settlement, Musk and Tesla each paid $20 million to resolve regulatory charges arising from an earlier Musk tweet that the company was on the verge of being taken private.\nTesla “has abdicated the duties required of it by the court’s order,” a senior SEC official in the agency’s San Francisco office wrote to the company in May of 2020, according to the report. The company had failed to enforce the agreed upon procedures “despite repeated violations by Mr. Musk,” the letter added.\nMusk has displayed open contempt for the SEC even in the aftermath of the 2018 settlement, including an off-color tweet posted in July of 2020, after the latest letters to the company.Shares of Tesla fell $1.42, or 0.23%, to $622.48 in after-hours trading, Tuesday. The stock edged lower in the regular session. For the year, Tesla stock is off about 14%.\nIn addition to Tesla, Musk has drawn attention in recent months for histweets about cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Dogecoin.\nMusk alsorecently appeared as the guest host on Saturday Night Live.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1008,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119014670,"gmtCreate":1622508462490,"gmtModify":1634101016449,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gogogogo","listText":"Gogogogo","text":"Gogogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119014670","repostId":"2139456580","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":981,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135776046,"gmtCreate":1622189283485,"gmtModify":1634183011003,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Boleh?","listText":"Boleh?","text":"Boleh?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135776046","repostId":"1112383458","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132480835,"gmtCreate":1622106687127,"gmtModify":1634183795919,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Not too sure about that","listText":"Not too sure about that","text":"Not too sure about that","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132480835","repostId":"2138141441","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":352355820,"gmtCreate":1616898419860,"gmtModify":1634523620821,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gogogo!!!","listText":"Gogogo!!!","text":"Gogogo!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352355820","repostId":"1111192234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111192234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616772179,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111192234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111192234","media":"Barrons","summary":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla. Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors and Ford Motor have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and","content":"<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度还有几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商将提供更多交付数据。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更高。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等高估值、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车 (F) 最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是 2021 年数十亿美元的利润阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给予特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不乐观。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）股价在周五交易中下跌超过 6%，此前这家电动汽车制造商将第一季度交付量指引从约 20,250 辆下调至约 19,500 辆。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从 3 月 29 日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉来说，华尔街正在寻找 3 月份交付的约 162,000 辆汽车。这低于最高估计的约 18.3 万辆汽车。分析师似乎正在减少数字，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约 181,000 辆汽车。对于 2021 年全年，分析师预计将交付近 80 万辆汽车，同比增长约 60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师乔·斯帕克 (Joe Spak) 预测第一季度交付量为 170,000 辆，同比增长 90% 以上。他还预测，特斯拉本季度将在加州生产 96,000 辆汽车，在华生产 74,000 辆汽车。“Spak在周四的一份报告中写道：”共识[估计]看起来大多是合理的。“我们确实在寻找最新消息，看看半短缺对特斯拉的影响--就像对整个行业的影响一样。”他认为，由于芯片的影响，预测存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak 将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标股价为 725 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。增长率上升主要有两种方式。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在未来很长一段时间内产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以从现金中获得更高的利率时，这种现金流的价值就会降低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在 2020 年上涨超过 740% 后，今年迄今已下跌约 10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌 0.9%，至 634.40 美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 23:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度还有几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商将提供更多交付数据。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更高。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等高估值、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车 (F) 最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是 2021 年数十亿美元的利润阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给予特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不乐观。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）股价在周五交易中下跌超过 6%，此前这家电动汽车制造商将第一季度交付量指引从约 20,250 辆下调至约 19,500 辆。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从 3 月 29 日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉来说，华尔街正在寻找 3 月份交付的约 162,000 辆汽车。这低于最高估计的约 18.3 万辆汽车。分析师似乎正在减少数字，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约 181,000 辆汽车。对于 2021 年全年，分析师预计将交付近 80 万辆汽车，同比增长约 60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师乔·斯帕克 (Joe Spak) 预测第一季度交付量为 170,000 辆，同比增长 90% 以上。他还预测，特斯拉本季度将在加州生产 96,000 辆汽车，在华生产 74,000 辆汽车。“Spak在周四的一份报告中写道：”共识[估计]看起来大多是合理的。“我们确实在寻找最新消息，看看半短缺对特斯拉的影响--就像对整个行业的影响一样。”他认为，由于芯片的影响，预测存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak 将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标股价为 725 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。增长率上升主要有两种方式。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在未来很长一段时间内产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以从现金中获得更高的利率时，这种现金流的价值就会降低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在 2020 年上涨超过 740% 后，今年迄今已下跌约 10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌 0.9%，至 634.40 美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111192234","content_text":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.\nNumbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors(GM) and Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.\nEveryone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.\nSo far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.\nNIO shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker reduced guidance for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.\nFor Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.\nTesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.\nRBC analyst Joe Spak is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.\nSpak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.\nIn the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.\nTesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The S&P 500is up about 0.7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":345850844,"gmtCreate":1618302948388,"gmtModify":1634293856247,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I don't get it...","listText":"I don't get it...","text":"I don't get it...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/345850844","repostId":"1179249150","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179249150","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1618302145,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1179249150?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-13 16:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Blockchain stocks rose in Tuesday premarket trading<blockquote>区块链股票在周二盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179249150","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(April 13) Blockchain stocks rose in premarket trading. Bitcoin hit a record of $62,575 on Tuesday, ","content":"<p>(April 13)&nbsp;Blockchain stocks rose in premarket trading.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>（4月13日）区块链股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin hit a record of $62,575 on Tuesday, extending its 2021 rally to new heights.</p><p><blockquote>比特币周二触及创纪录的 62,575 美元，将 2021 年的涨势延续至新高。</blockquote></p><p>The world's biggest cryptocurrency has more than doubled in price this year amid growing mainstream acceptance as an investment and a means of payment, and as investors seek high-yielding assets amid low interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的主流接受作为一种投资和支付手段，以及投资者在低利率下寻求高收益资产，全球最大的加密货币今年的价格已经上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p>Major firms including BNY Mellon, Mastercard Inc&nbsp;and Tesla Inc are among those to have embraced or invested in cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>包括纽约梅隆银行、万事达卡公司和特斯拉公司在内的大公司都接受或投资了加密货币。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b5d8aeb1b469856de3a11e0ae1e424b\" tg-width=\"411\" tg-height=\"430\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c371325120c50fa37d3c3bf9cc0a99ab\" tg-width=\"722\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Blockchain stocks rose in Tuesday premarket trading<blockquote>区块链股票在周二盘前交易中上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBlockchain stocks rose in Tuesday premarket trading<blockquote>区块链股票在周二盘前交易中上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-13 16:22</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(April 13)&nbsp;Blockchain stocks rose in premarket trading.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>（4月13日）区块链股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin hit a record of $62,575 on Tuesday, extending its 2021 rally to new heights.</p><p><blockquote>比特币周二触及创纪录的 62,575 美元，将 2021 年的涨势延续至新高。</blockquote></p><p>The world's biggest cryptocurrency has more than doubled in price this year amid growing mainstream acceptance as an investment and a means of payment, and as investors seek high-yielding assets amid low interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的主流接受作为一种投资和支付手段，以及投资者在低利率下寻求高收益资产，全球最大的加密货币今年的价格已经上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p>Major firms including BNY Mellon, Mastercard Inc&nbsp;and Tesla Inc are among those to have embraced or invested in cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>包括纽约梅隆银行、万事达卡公司和特斯拉公司在内的大公司都接受或投资了加密货币。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b5d8aeb1b469856de3a11e0ae1e424b\" tg-width=\"411\" tg-height=\"430\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c371325120c50fa37d3c3bf9cc0a99ab\" tg-width=\"722\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NCTY":"第九城市","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","CAN":"嘉楠科技","MARA":"MARA Holdings","SOS":"SOS Limited"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179249150","content_text":"(April 13) Blockchain stocks rose in premarket trading. Bitcoin hit a record of $62,575 on Tuesday, extending its 2021 rally to new heights.The world's biggest cryptocurrency has more than doubled in price this year amid growing mainstream acceptance as an investment and a means of payment, and as investors seek high-yielding assets amid low interest rates.Major firms including BNY Mellon, Mastercard Inc and Tesla Inc are among those to have embraced or invested in cryptocurrencies.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CAN":0.9,"RIOT":0.9,"SOS":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"NCTY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340037543,"gmtCreate":1617321785582,"gmtModify":1634521469838,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Can't wait!","listText":"Can't wait!","text":"Can't wait!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340037543","repostId":"1103381745","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":380441194,"gmtCreate":1612579692418,"gmtModify":1703763809285,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380441194","repostId":"1161551882","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114327755,"gmtCreate":1623052933077,"gmtModify":1634095827478,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Apple FTW","listText":"Apple FTW","text":"Apple FTW","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114327755","repostId":"1184606456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1037,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342622371,"gmtCreate":1618213081193,"gmtModify":1634294396463,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh noooooooo","listText":"Oh noooooooo","text":"Oh noooooooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342622371","repostId":"1137529737","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137529737","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618184239,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137529737?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-12 07:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、比特币基地和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137529737","media":"Barrons","summary":"First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of ","content":"<p>First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed&nbsp;by Bank of&nbsp;America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度财报季将于本周拉开帷幕，一如既往地从美国几家最大银行的业绩开始。高盛集团、摩根大通和富国银行周三发布报告，随后美国银行和花旗集团周四发布报告，摩根士丹利周五发布报告。</blockquote></p><p>Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial&nbsp;supplier&nbsp;Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and&nbsp;UnitedHealth Group&nbsp;publish results on Thursday. And&nbsp;Kansas City Southern&nbsp;reports on Friday.&nbsp; A total of 22&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布报告的其他知名公司包括工业供应商 Fastenalon 周二。达美航空公司、百事公司和联合健康集团将于周四公布业绩。堪萨斯城南方报周五报道。本周共有 22 家标普500公司发布报告，下周将有 64 家。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac3c413681d3a9e134223c4d1a02d883\" tg-width=\"1410\" tg-height=\"586\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.</p><p><blockquote>对于经济数据来说，这也是繁忙的一周。周二，劳工统计局报告了3月份的消费者价格指数，全国独立企业联合会发布了3月份的小企业乐观指数。然后在周四，人口普查局报告了3月份的零售销售数据。周五，密歇根大学发布了 4 月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p>Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的住房市场数据包括全美住宅建筑商协会（National Association of Home Builders）周四公布的 NAHB/富国银行（Wells Fargo）4 月份住房市场指数和人口普查局（Census Bureau）周五公布的 3 月份新住宅建筑数据。</blockquote></p><p><b>Monday 4/12</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12月4日星期一</b></blockquote></p><p>Nvidia&nbsp;hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.</p><p><blockquote>Nvidia 将举办 2021 年投资者日及其 GPU 技术大会。英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋将发表主题演讲。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 4/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 4/13</b></blockquote></p><p>Fastenal reports quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Fastenal 报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了三月份的消费者价格指数。经济学家预测月度增长 0.4%，与 2 月份的数据一致。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨0.2%，此前2月份小幅上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业发布3月份小企业乐观指数。一致估计读数为 98，高于 2 月份的 95.8。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 4/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 4/14</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings season begins</b>&nbsp;in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.</p><p><blockquote><b>财报季开始</b>认真与一些最大的货币中心和投资银行进行报告。摩根大通、富国银行和高盛集团在开盘前发布第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>First Republic Bankreleases earnings.</p><p><blockquote>第一共和银行发布收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>Coinbase Global</b>&nbsp;is set to&nbsp;make its Wall Street debut&nbsp;on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地全球</b>将于周三通过在纳斯达克直接上市的方式在华尔街首次亮相。</blockquote></p><p><b>The BLS reports</b>&nbsp;export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告</b>3月份进出口价格数据。预计出口价格将环比上涨 1%，而进口价格将上涨 0.8%。相比之下，2 月份的涨幅分别为 1.6% 和 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次中的第二次发布褐皮书。这本褐皮书收集了12个联储辖区当前经济状况的轶事信息。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 4/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 4/15</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行、贝莱德、嘉信理财、花旗集团、达美航空、百事可乐、PPG Industries、Truist Financial、美国。Bancorp 和联合健康集团报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>住宅建筑商协会发布了4月份的NAHB/富国银行房地产市场指数。经济学家预测读数为84.5，高于3月份的数据。任何高于 50 的读数都表明房屋建筑商看好未来六个月的房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份零售销售数据。普遍的看涨期权是，消费者支出继 2 月份下降 3% 后，环比增长 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 4/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4/16星期五</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行、公民金融集团、堪萨斯城南方银行、摩根士丹利、PNC 金融服务集团和道富银行在评级举行会议讨论盈利。</blockquote></p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b>&nbsp;releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>密歇根大学</b>发布4月份消费者信心指数。预期读数是88。3 月份的数字为 84.9，是一年前以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的新屋开工年率为161万套，环比增长13%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、比特币基地和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、比特币基地和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-12 07:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed&nbsp;by Bank of&nbsp;America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度财报季将于本周拉开帷幕，一如既往地从美国几家最大银行的业绩开始。高盛集团、摩根大通和富国银行周三发布报告，随后美国银行和花旗集团周四发布报告，摩根士丹利周五发布报告。</blockquote></p><p>Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial&nbsp;supplier&nbsp;Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and&nbsp;UnitedHealth Group&nbsp;publish results on Thursday. And&nbsp;Kansas City Southern&nbsp;reports on Friday.&nbsp; A total of 22&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布报告的其他知名公司包括工业供应商 Fastenalon 周二。达美航空公司、百事公司和联合健康集团将于周四公布业绩。堪萨斯城南方报周五报道。本周共有 22 家标普500公司发布报告，下周将有 64 家。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac3c413681d3a9e134223c4d1a02d883\" tg-width=\"1410\" tg-height=\"586\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.</p><p><blockquote>对于经济数据来说，这也是繁忙的一周。周二，劳工统计局报告了3月份的消费者价格指数，全国独立企业联合会发布了3月份的小企业乐观指数。然后在周四，人口普查局报告了3月份的零售销售数据。周五，密歇根大学发布了 4 月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p>Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的住房市场数据包括全美住宅建筑商协会（National Association of Home Builders）周四公布的 NAHB/富国银行（Wells Fargo）4 月份住房市场指数和人口普查局（Census Bureau）周五公布的 3 月份新住宅建筑数据。</blockquote></p><p><b>Monday 4/12</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12月4日星期一</b></blockquote></p><p>Nvidia&nbsp;hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.</p><p><blockquote>Nvidia 将举办 2021 年投资者日及其 GPU 技术大会。英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋将发表主题演讲。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 4/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 4/13</b></blockquote></p><p>Fastenal reports quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Fastenal 报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了三月份的消费者价格指数。经济学家预测月度增长 0.4%，与 2 月份的数据一致。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨0.2%，此前2月份小幅上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业发布3月份小企业乐观指数。一致估计读数为 98，高于 2 月份的 95.8。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 4/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 4/14</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings season begins</b>&nbsp;in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.</p><p><blockquote><b>财报季开始</b>认真与一些最大的货币中心和投资银行进行报告。摩根大通、富国银行和高盛集团在开盘前发布第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>First Republic Bankreleases earnings.</p><p><blockquote>第一共和银行发布收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>Coinbase Global</b>&nbsp;is set to&nbsp;make its Wall Street debut&nbsp;on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地全球</b>将于周三通过在纳斯达克直接上市的方式在华尔街首次亮相。</blockquote></p><p><b>The BLS reports</b>&nbsp;export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告</b>3月份进出口价格数据。预计出口价格将环比上涨 1%，而进口价格将上涨 0.8%。相比之下，2 月份的涨幅分别为 1.6% 和 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次中的第二次发布褐皮书。这本褐皮书收集了12个联储辖区当前经济状况的轶事信息。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 4/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 4/15</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行、贝莱德、嘉信理财、花旗集团、达美航空、百事可乐、PPG Industries、Truist Financial、美国。Bancorp 和联合健康集团报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>住宅建筑商协会发布了4月份的NAHB/富国银行房地产市场指数。经济学家预测读数为84.5，高于3月份的数据。任何高于 50 的读数都表明房屋建筑商看好未来六个月的房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份零售销售数据。普遍的看涨期权是，消费者支出继 2 月份下降 3% 后，环比增长 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 4/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4/16星期五</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行、公民金融集团、堪萨斯城南方银行、摩根士丹利、PNC 金融服务集团和道富银行在评级举行会议讨论盈利。</blockquote></p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b>&nbsp;releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>密歇根大学</b>发布4月份消费者信心指数。预期读数是88。3 月份的数字为 84.9，是一年前以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的新屋开工年率为161万套，环比增长13%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","JPM":"摩根大通","MS":"摩根士丹利",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GS":"高盛","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","WFC":"富国银行",".DJI":"道琼斯","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137529737","content_text":"First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed by Bank of America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial supplier Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and UnitedHealth Group publish results on Thursday. And Kansas City Southern reports on Friday.  A total of 22 S&P 500 companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.Monday 4/12Nvidia hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.Tuesday 4/13Fastenal reports quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.Wednesday 4/14Earnings season begins in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.First Republic Bankreleases earnings.Coinbase Global is set to make its Wall Street debut on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.The BLS reports export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.Thursday 4/15Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.The National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.The Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.Friday 4/16Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and State Street hold conference calls to discuss earnings.The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"MS":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"GS":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":676,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178354468,"gmtCreate":1626789331554,"gmtModify":1631886954222,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gosh","listText":"Gosh","text":"Gosh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178354468","repostId":"1188133258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188133258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626787650,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1188133258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 21:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛说“不要在这个低点买入”，原因如下……</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188133258","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-we","content":"<p>At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高盛交易员约翰·弗拉德 (John Flood) 正确地表示，我们正在进入一年中最好的两周季节性时期，本月的前 18 天传统上是市场最强劲的时期……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7dc88222112e4655f492c56509f9d64\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.</p><p><blockquote>...随后，人们预测空头将不得不回补，而在此期间，我们看到 16 个交易日中有 13 个创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&amp;P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在过去三天里，当标准普尔指数加速下滑时，这一切都崩溃了，最终在周一以可怕的溃败达到高潮，当时收益率暴跌引发了人们对美国经济将直接陷入滞胀崩溃的恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> And yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"<b>don't buy this dip.</b>\" He explains why:</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着期货价格反弹，交易员们清楚地表现出想要抓住几个月来跌幅最快的一把刀的愿望，我们惊讶地读到，在7月上半月正确预测市场上涨的约翰·弗拉德现在已经完全改变了主意，并在隔夜发布的一份报告中写道：“<b>不要抄底。</b>他解释了原因：</blockquote></p><p>   I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).    <b>99% of S&amp;P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).</b>Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.    Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.  And here are the 10 key<i>bearish</i>developments Flood is monitoring:</p><p><blockquote>我一直是下跌的买家，但这种波动感觉不同，我正在为本周走弱做好准备。负面的Covid头条新闻正在加速。发行龙头完全打开，这篇文章越来越难从我的座位上放下（在上周与发行相关的一些不稳定的px行动之后）。<b>99% 的标准普尔 500 指数公司将进入下周的回购禁售期，供应端的数量流动仍然不对称（又名 CTA 卖家将赢得这场拉锯战）。</b>上周的收益很好，但没有得到回报（银行）……本周和下周是财报期最繁忙的两周。随着 FAAMG complex 背负着指数的重量，整体市场广度继续消散。对于零售界来说，七月并不是一个有趣的月份（潜在的零售竞标正在消退）。从1年的角度来看，HF长度最近有了很大的进步，但从3年的角度来看，无论是净资产还是总收入，都远高于第50个百分位（这里还有更多的木头要砍）。中美紧张局势加剧之际，机构界继续降低中国 ADR 后滴滴发展的风险。所有人都在关注 2021 年 10 年期国债收益率首次远低于 1.26 的 200dma。没有必要按下紧急按钮，但我计划在接下来的几个会议中耐心买票。以下是10把钥匙<i>看跌</i>正在监测的发展洪水：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1) 周末的新冠疫情头条新闻是我在 2021 年见过的最负面的。以下是让我印象深刻的5个……</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>U.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC</li>  <li>The CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG</li>  <li>CDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT</li>  <li>First Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)</li>  <li>The UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times</li> </ul> <b>2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上周美国感染人数激增 60% 以上，超过全球 16% 的增幅。前 FDA 局长斯科特·戈特利布 (Scott Gottlieb) 表示，三角洲病例可能被低估了。这位博士警告说，美国“大大低估了”新冠病毒在国内的传播水平。CNBC</li><li>美国疾病控制与预防中心警告称，在全国接种率较低的地区，病例、住院人数和死亡人数都在上升，可能会出现 “未接种疫苗者的大流行”。</li><li>疾病预防控制中心表示，随着新冠统计数据持续恶化，美国其他主要城市可能会效仿洛杉矶，重新实施口罩强制令。FT</li><li>就在奥运会预计开始前几天，首批东京奥运会运动员新冠病毒检测呈阳性（科科·高夫是退出的最引人注目的美国运动员）</li><li>英国表示，无论疫苗接种情况如何，来自法国的旅客都需要隔离10天，这一声明“让假期陷入混乱”。伦敦时报</li></ul><b>2）这是一个纸党，这个纸越来越难放置。上周，我们对美国的11笔注册交易进行了定价（名义价值30亿美元），本周已经在处理另外18笔交易（名义价值100亿美元）。这在七月下旬尤其值得注意。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3) 第二季度财报发布仅一周，但银行告诉我们预计会出现好转，但不要指望这些好转会得到回报。又名卖方估计仍然太低，仓位仍然拥挤。自摩根大通上周二上午公布大型科技银行收益（基本上全面跑赢）以来，银行指数已下跌 355 个基点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4）我们正处于企业回购禁售期，这将持续到21年7月23日…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aaf1e5d45694a097b50a91dbde1c820\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5）系统流程是不对称的……（又名CTA是上下磁带中的卖家）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bba4d70220e9707ea2844810c1a10b2\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6) 市场广度继续恶化（上个月为 100）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39de9052680301024db46173d0dce29f\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7) 又名，如果没有最近 FAAMG 的出色价格走势，市场将会遇到一些麻烦……</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ae0c7eead73ad8dc2ecc63bcbd9e27e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT</b></p><p><blockquote><b>8) 与中国的紧张局势升级，我们看到 ADR 继续去风险化： 白宫指责中国对微软的电子邮件系统进行了大规模黑客攻击，并将组建北约成员国联盟谴责北京的网络活动。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9）零售支持一直在减弱MTD....（GS高零售情绪篮子）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d1bdeccdbb13bda1edf2982fd29b9c\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"737\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>1</b><b>0) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1</b><b>0）1年回顾，基本的L/S定位已经显著进步…….3年回顾，仍然上升…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588f67823e6fabf1df2586491f930477\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛说“不要在这个低点买入”，原因如下……</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Says \"Don't Buy This Dip\" And Here's Why...<blockquote>高盛说“不要在这个低点买入”，原因如下……</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-20 21:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高盛交易员约翰·弗拉德 (John Flood) 正确地表示，我们正在进入一年中最好的两周季节性时期，本月的前 18 天传统上是市场最强劲的时期……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7dc88222112e4655f492c56509f9d64\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.</p><p><blockquote>...随后，人们预测空头将不得不回补，而在此期间，我们看到 16 个交易日中有 13 个创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&amp;P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在过去三天里，当标准普尔指数加速下滑时，这一切都崩溃了，最终在周一以可怕的溃败达到高潮，当时收益率暴跌引发了人们对美国经济将直接陷入滞胀崩溃的恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> And yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"<b>don't buy this dip.</b>\" He explains why:</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着期货价格反弹，交易员们清楚地表现出想要抓住几个月来跌幅最快的一把刀的愿望，我们惊讶地读到，在7月上半月正确预测市场上涨的约翰·弗拉德现在已经完全改变了主意，并在隔夜发布的一份报告中写道：“<b>不要抄底。</b>他解释了原因：</blockquote></p><p>   I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).    <b>99% of S&amp;P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).</b>Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.    Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.  And here are the 10 key<i>bearish</i>developments Flood is monitoring:</p><p><blockquote>我一直是下跌的买家，但这种波动感觉不同，我正在为本周走弱做好准备。负面的Covid头条新闻正在加速。发行龙头完全打开，这篇文章越来越难从我的座位上放下（在上周与发行相关的一些不稳定的px行动之后）。<b>99% 的标准普尔 500 指数公司将进入下周的回购禁售期，供应端的数量流动仍然不对称（又名 CTA 卖家将赢得这场拉锯战）。</b>上周的收益很好，但没有得到回报（银行）……本周和下周是财报期最繁忙的两周。随着 FAAMG complex 背负着指数的重量，整体市场广度继续消散。对于零售界来说，七月并不是一个有趣的月份（潜在的零售竞标正在消退）。从1年的角度来看，HF长度最近有了很大的进步，但从3年的角度来看，无论是净资产还是总收入，都远高于第50个百分位（这里还有更多的木头要砍）。中美紧张局势加剧之际，机构界继续降低中国 ADR 后滴滴发展的风险。所有人都在关注 2021 年 10 年期国债收益率首次远低于 1.26 的 200dma。没有必要按下紧急按钮，但我计划在接下来的几个会议中耐心买票。以下是10把钥匙<i>看跌</i>正在监测的发展洪水：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1) 周末的新冠疫情头条新闻是我在 2021 年见过的最负面的。以下是让我印象深刻的5个……</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>U.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC</li>  <li>The CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG</li>  <li>CDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT</li>  <li>First Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)</li>  <li>The UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times</li> </ul> <b>2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>上周美国感染人数激增 60% 以上，超过全球 16% 的增幅。前 FDA 局长斯科特·戈特利布 (Scott Gottlieb) 表示，三角洲病例可能被低估了。这位博士警告说，美国“大大低估了”新冠病毒在国内的传播水平。CNBC</li><li>美国疾病控制与预防中心警告称，在全国接种率较低的地区，病例、住院人数和死亡人数都在上升，可能会出现 “未接种疫苗者的大流行”。</li><li>疾病预防控制中心表示，随着新冠统计数据持续恶化，美国其他主要城市可能会效仿洛杉矶，重新实施口罩强制令。FT</li><li>就在奥运会预计开始前几天，首批东京奥运会运动员新冠病毒检测呈阳性（科科·高夫是退出的最引人注目的美国运动员）</li><li>英国表示，无论疫苗接种情况如何，来自法国的旅客都需要隔离10天，这一声明“让假期陷入混乱”。伦敦时报</li></ul><b>2）这是一个纸党，这个纸越来越难放置。上周，我们对美国的11笔注册交易进行了定价（名义价值30亿美元），本周已经在处理另外18笔交易（名义价值100亿美元）。这在七月下旬尤其值得注意。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3) 第二季度财报发布仅一周，但银行告诉我们预计会出现好转，但不要指望这些好转会得到回报。又名卖方估计仍然太低，仓位仍然拥挤。自摩根大通上周二上午公布大型科技银行收益（基本上全面跑赢）以来，银行指数已下跌 355 个基点。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4）我们正处于企业回购禁售期，这将持续到21年7月23日…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aaf1e5d45694a097b50a91dbde1c820\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5）系统流程是不对称的……（又名CTA是上下磁带中的卖家）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bba4d70220e9707ea2844810c1a10b2\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"381\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6) 市场广度继续恶化（上个月为 100）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39de9052680301024db46173d0dce29f\" tg-width=\"507\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7) 又名，如果没有最近 FAAMG 的出色价格走势，市场将会遇到一些麻烦……</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ae0c7eead73ad8dc2ecc63bcbd9e27e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT</b></p><p><blockquote><b>8) 与中国的紧张局势升级，我们看到 ADR 继续去风险化： 白宫指责中国对微软的电子邮件系统进行了大规模黑客攻击，并将组建北约成员国联盟谴责北京的网络活动。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9）零售支持一直在减弱MTD....（GS高零售情绪篮子）....</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91d1bdeccdbb13bda1edf2982fd29b9c\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"737\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>1</b><b>0) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1</b><b>0）1年回顾，基本的L/S定位已经显著进步…….3年回顾，仍然上升…….</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/588f67823e6fabf1df2586491f930477\" tg-width=\"912\" tg-height=\"105\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-dont-buy-dip-and-heres-why?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188133258","content_text":"At the start of the month,Goldman trader John Flood correctly saidthat we are entering the best 2-week seasonal period of the year, with the first 18 days of the month traditionally the strongest period for markets...\n\n... and followed up with apredictionthat shorts will have to cover, which they did during a period in which we saw 13 out of 16 trading days hit new all time highs.\nOf course, it all came crashing down in the last 3 days when the S&P slide accelerated, culminating with a scary rout on Monday when tumbling yields sparked a panic that the US economy is headed straight into a stagflationary crash.\nAnd yet, with futures rebounding and traders clearly showing a desire to catch what has been the fastest falling knife in months, we were surprised to read that the same John Flood who correctly predicted the market ramp in the first half of July, has now flipped completely and in a note published overnight writes \"don't buy this dip.\" He explains why:\n\n I am a consistent buyer of dips but this wobble feels different and I am bracing for a weaker tape this week. Negative Covid headlines are picking up in velocity. Issuance spigots are fully turned on and this paper is getting harder to place from my seat (after some choppy px action related to issuance last week).\n\n\n99% of S&P500 companies are in buyback blackout period into next week and quant flows remain asymmetric on the supply side (AKA CTA sellers will win this tug of war).Earnings last week were great but were not rewarded (banks)...this week and next are the 2 busiest weeks of the earnings period.\n\n\n Overall market breadth continues to dissipate with FAAMG complex carrying the weight of the indices on its back. July has not been a fun month for the retail community (underlying retail bid is fading). HF length has recently come in significantly on a 1 year look back but on a 3 year basis is well above 50th percentile for both nets and grosses (still more wood to chop here). Institutional community continues to cut risk in China ADR’s post DIDI development while U.S. / China tensions rise. All eyes remain 10yr yields well below 200dma of 1.26 for first time in 2021. No need to hit the panic button but I plan on being patient with buy tickets over the next several sessions.\n\nAnd here are the 10 keybearishdevelopments Flood is monitoring:\n1) Covid headlines over the weekend were the most negative that I have seen in 2021. Here are the 5 that stood out to me...\n\nU.S. infections surged more than 60% last week, topping a 16% global increase. Delta cases may be undercounted, former FDA chief Scott Gottlieb said. The Dr. warned that the US is “vastly underestimating” the level of COVID delta spread domestically.CNBC\nThe CDC warns of a “pandemic of the unvaccinated” as cases, hospitalizations, and fatalities rise in those parts of the country with low inoculation rates.BBG\nCDC says other major US cities will probably follow LA and reimpose mask mandates as COVID statistics continue to deteriorate.FT\nFirst Olympic athletes in Tokyo test positive for COVID, just days before the games are expected to commence (Coco Gauff the highest profile U.S. athlete to withdraw)\nThe UK said travelers from France will need to quarantine for 10 days regardless of vaccination status, an announcement that “leaves holidays in disarray”.London Times\n\n2) It has been a paper party and this paper is getting harder to place. Last week we priced 11 registered deals in the U.S. ($3b notional) and this week already working on another 18 ($10b). This is especially noteworthy while in the depths of July.\n3) Only 1 week into 2Q earnings but banks telling us to expect beats but NOT TO expect these beats to be rewarded. AKA sell sides estimates are still too low and positioning remains crowded. Since JPM kicked of megacap tech bank earnings last Tuesday morning (essentially beats across the board) bank index has shed 355bps.\n4) We are in depths of corporate buyback blackout period and this will run through 7/23/21....\n5) Systematic flows are asymmetric...(AKA CTAs are sellers in a up and down tape)....\n6) Market breadth continues to deteriorate (was at ATH of 100 last month)....\n7) AKA without recent stellar price action on FAAMG the market would be in some trouble...\n\n8) Tensions with China escalating and we see continued derisking in ADRs: The White House is accusing China of perpetrating a massive hack of Microsoft’s email systems and will form a coalition of NATO members to condemn Beijing’s cyber activities.NYT\n9) Retail support has been waning MTD....(GS HIGH RETAIL SENTIMENT BASKET)....\n\n10) On 1 year look back Fundamental L/S positioning has come in significantly....on a 3yr look back still elevated....","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146527086,"gmtCreate":1626092787145,"gmtModify":1631886954234,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmmmm","listText":"Hmmmmm","text":"Hmmmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146527086","repostId":"2150533205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132480835,"gmtCreate":1622106687127,"gmtModify":1634183795919,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Not too sure about that","listText":"Not too sure about that","text":"Not too sure about that","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132480835","repostId":"2138141441","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192106209,"gmtCreate":1621155840701,"gmtModify":1631885081186,"author":{"id":"3564876523975472","authorId":"3564876523975472","name":"Poggki","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96397c64f0a59449e5573036608f7d30","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564876523975472","authorIdStr":"3564876523975472"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Disney gogogogoooo","listText":"Disney gogogogoooo","text":"Disney gogogogoooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192106209","repostId":"1173244066","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173244066","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621004086,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173244066?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 22:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Disney, Airbnb and DoorDash results reveal about the post-pandemic economy<blockquote>迪士尼、爱彼迎和 DoorDash 的业绩揭示了大流行后的经济</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173244066","media":"CNN","summary":"London (CNN Business)Companies are gearing up for an era in which Covid-19 isn't the primary driver ","content":"<p>London (CNN Business)Companies are gearing up for an era in which Covid-19 isn't the primary driver of how people spend their money.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（CNN Business）公司正在为一个时代做准备，在这个时代，Covid-19 不再是人们花钱的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The big question: As the coronavirus situation improves in countries like the United States, which trends from the past 14 months will have staying power, and which will be resigned to the pandemic past?</p><p><blockquote>最大的问题是：随着冠状病毒情况在美国等国家的改善，过去14个月的哪些趋势将具有持久力，哪些将屈服于疫情的过去？</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb, DoorDash and Disney (DIS), which reported results after US markets closed on Thursday, provide some idea.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎、DoorDash 和迪士尼 (DIS) 在美国市场周四收盘后公布了业绩，提供了一些思路。</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb: The company said interest in travel is surging again as vaccines become more widely available, pointing to a sharp increase in bookings in the United Kingdom immediately after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced plans in February to gradually exit lockdown. For US customers aged 60 and above, searches on Airbnb for summer travel rose by more than 60% between February and March.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎：该公司表示，随着疫苗变得更加广泛，人们对旅行的兴趣再次激增，这表明在英国首相鲍里斯·约翰逊 (Boris Johnson) 2 月份宣布逐步解除封锁的计划后，英国的预订量立即大幅增加。对于60岁及以上的美国客户来说，2月至3月期间，爱彼迎上夏季旅游的搜索量增长了60%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also ready for more customers to use Airbnb for longer-term stays as they take advantage of greater acceptance of remote work. It said that nearly a quarter of stays last quarter were for 28 days or more, up 14% from 2019. Shares are down slightly in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还准备让更多的客户使用爱彼迎进行长期停留，因为他们利用了对远程工作的更大接受度。该公司表示，上季度近四分之一的住宿时间为 28 天或以上，比 2019 年增长了 14%。股价在盘前交易中小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> DoorDash: People are still ordering lots of food delivery even as restaurants open back up for traditional dining. DoorDash reported a 198% jump in revenue last quarter to $1.1 billion even as it dealt with a shortage of workers, and increased its full-year outlook.</p><p><blockquote>DoorDash：尽管餐馆重新开放传统餐饮，但人们仍然订购大量外卖。DoorDash 报告称，尽管面临工人短缺的问题，上季度收入仍增长了 198%，达到 11 亿美元，并上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"As markets continued reopening and in-store dining increased across the US, the impact to our order volume was smaller than we expected, which contributed to strong performance in the quarter,\" the company said, though it cautioned that may have been partially attributable to stimulus checks. Shares are up almost 9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示：“随着市场继续重新开放以及美国各地店内就餐的增加，对我们订单量的影响小于我们的预期，这促成了本季度的强劲业绩。”不过该公司警告称，这可能部分归因于刺激检查。股价在盘前交易中上涨近 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Disney: Streaming has carried Disney through the pandemic, with Disney+ growing to more than 100 million subscribers. Yet the biggest star in Disney's media universe appears to be shining a little less bright, sending shares down 4%.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼：流媒体带领迪士尼穿越了疫情，迪士尼+的订阅用户已超过1亿。然而，这位迪士尼媒体界最大的明星似乎没有那么耀眼，导致股价下跌 4%。</blockquote></p><p> The company said Thursday that Disney+ now has 103.6 million subscribers, below the 110 million Wall Street was expecting. That's forced investors to wonder: Is that because people are getting vaccinated and stepping away from streaming? Netflix also reported sluggish subscription growth last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司周四表示，Disney+ 目前拥有 1.036 亿用户，低于华尔街预期的 1.1 亿用户。这迫使投资者怀疑：这是因为人们正在接种疫苗并远离流媒体吗？Netflix 上季度还报告订阅增长缓慢。</blockquote></p><p> Down but not out: Disney said it remains on track to reach its long-term subscriber goals despite the apparent slowdown. It's betting that as the pandemic eases, it will be able to produce more movies and shows, helping to bring in new customers.</p><p><blockquote>下降但并未出局：迪士尼表示，尽管增长明显放缓，但仍有望实现其长期用户目标。它打赌，随着疫情的缓解，它将能够制作更多的电影和节目，帮助吸引新客户。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it's right will become clearer in the months ahead, which will pose the true test of whether people actually ditch their sweatpants, get out of the house and shake up the economy once again.</p><p><blockquote>这是否正确将在未来几个月变得更加清晰，这将真正考验人们是否真的扔掉运动裤，走出家门，再次撼动经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It could get easier to get a credit card without a credit score</b></p><p><blockquote><b>无需信用评分即可获得信用卡可能会变得更容易</b></blockquote></p><p> For years, if you didn't have a credit score it was extremely difficult to get a credit card or certain types of loans. But a new plan among some of the nation's largest banks may help Americans without traditional credit histories get approved.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，如果你没有信用评分，就很难获得信用卡或某些类型的贷款。但美国一些最大银行的一项新计划可能会帮助没有传统信用记录的美国人获得批准。</blockquote></p><p> Ten banks — including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC) and U.S. Bancorp (USB) — have tentatively agreed to a plan to share data like bank account deposits and bill payment activity to help qualify borrowers without traditional credit histories, according to the Wall Street Journal.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道，包括摩根大通 (JPM)、富国银行 (WFC) 和合众银行 (USB) 在内的十家银行已初步同意一项共享银行账户存款和账单支付活动等数据的计划，以帮助确定没有传统信用记录的借款人的资格。</blockquote></p><p> The push for financial institutions to come to a data sharing agreement came from a program run by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The OCC has confirmed there is a plan, but the details of the agreement among the banks still need to be worked out.</p><p><blockquote>推动金融机构达成数据共享协议的动力来自货币监理署开展的一项计划。OCC已经确认有一个计划，但银行之间协议的细节仍需制定。</blockquote></p><p> Should the proposed arrangement go through, it would mean that if you don't have a credit score but you have a bank account at Wells Fargo, for example, you can use that financial history to help you get a credit card with another bank, like JPMorgan Chase.</p><p><blockquote>如果提议的安排获得通过，这将意味着，例如，如果您没有信用评分，但您在富国银行拥有银行账户，您可以使用该财务历史来帮助您获得另一家银行的信用卡，例如摩根大通。</blockquote></p><p> \"This will give millions of Americans the opportunity to access credit that's essential to building wealth — buying a home, starting a business, or financing education,\" Trish Wexler, a spokesperson for JPMorgan Chase, told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发言人特里什·韦克斯勒 (Trish Wexler) 告诉 CNN 商业频道：“这将使数百万美国人有机会获得积累财富所必需的信贷——买房、创业或资助教育。”</blockquote></p><p> The backstory: There are currently 53 million people without a credit score, according to the Fair Isaac Corporation, the creator of FICO credit scores. These consumers, who are disproportionately lower income and people of color, face higher borrowing costs because they're forced to turn to products like payday loans.</p><p><blockquote>背景故事：根据 FICO 信用评分的创建者 Fair Isaac Corporation 的数据，目前有 5300 万人没有信用评分。这些低收入和有色人种的消费者面临着更高的借贷成本，因为他们被迫转向发薪日贷款等产品。</blockquote></p><p> Banks and lenders refer to those without credit history as \"credit invisible.\" This group can include young people or recent immigrants, as well as people who haven't used credit in a long time or who have lost their access due to financial difficulties.</p><p><blockquote>银行和贷方将那些没有信用记录的人称为“隐形信用”。这个群体可能包括年轻人或新移民，以及很长时间没有使用信贷或由于经济困难而失去使用信贷的人。</blockquote></p><p> The business angle: Big banks may also be eager to revise their policies as online upstarts chip away at demand for their products.</p><p><blockquote>商业角度：随着在线新贵根据需求抢购其产品，大银行可能也渴望修改其政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Some of this cooperation among the biggest banks may be a bit of reaction to smaller banks and fintech companies infringing on their space,\" said Matt Schulz, chief industry analyst at LendingTree.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree 首席行业分析师马特·舒尔茨 (Matt Schulz) 表示：“最大银行之间的一些合作可能是对小型银行和金融科技公司侵犯其领域的一种反应。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Target will temporarily stop selling trading cards amid frenzy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>塔吉特将在狂热中暂时停止销售交易卡</b></blockquote></p><p> Target (TGT) has announced that it will stop selling trading cards in its stores following a violent dispute at one of its locations — a sign of just how overheated the market for collectibles has become.</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特 (TGT) 宣布，在其一家门店发生暴力纠纷后，将停止在其商店销售交易卡——这表明收藏品市场已经变得多么过热。</blockquote></p><p> The details: Last week, a Target in Wisconsin was locked down after a man was physically assaulted by four others over sports trading cards.</p><p><blockquote>细节：上周，威斯康星州的一个目标在一名男子因体育交易卡被另外四人殴打后被锁定。</blockquote></p><p> \"The safety of our guests and our team is our top priority,\" Target said in a statement. \"Out of an abundance of caution, we've decided to temporarily suspend the sale of MLB, NFL, NBA and Pokémon trading cards within our stores, effective [Friday].\"</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特在一份声明中表示：“客人和团队的安全是我们的首要任务。”“出于谨慎，我们决定暂时停止在我们的商店内销售 MLB、NFL、NBA 和神奇宝贝交易卡，自 [周五] 起生效。”</blockquote></p><p> The cards will still be available online, the company said.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，这些卡仍将在网上提供。</blockquote></p><p> Remember: The value of trading cards has skyrocketed in recent months during the Covid-19 pandemic. That's grabbed interest from both amateur and professional investors looking to cash in on spectacular returns.</p><p><blockquote>请记住：在 Covid-19 大流行期间，最近几个月交易卡的价值飙升。这引起了业余和专业投资者的兴趣，他们希望从惊人的回报中获利。</blockquote></p><p> Target previously was limiting card purchases to just one item a day, saying that guests were lining up overnight to get their hands on hot items, per CNN affiliate WISN.</p><p><blockquote>据美国有线电视新闻网 (CNN) 附属机构 WISN 报道，塔吉特此前将卡购买限制为每天只能购买一件商品，称客人整夜排队购买热门商品。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart (WMT), for its part, said it will keep selling cards in stores for now.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛 (WMT) 则表示，目前将继续在商店销售贺卡。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are determining what, if any, changes are needed to meet customer demand while ensuring a safe and enjoyable shopping experience,\" a spokesperson said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>一位发言人在一份声明中表示：“我们正在确定需要做出哪些改变（如果有的话）来满足客户需求，同时确保安全愉快的购物体验。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Up next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个</b></blockquote></p><p> Data on US retail sales, import and export prices and industrial production arrives at 8:30 a.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>美国零售销售、进出口价格和工业生产数据将于美国东部时间上午 8:30 公布。</blockquote></p><p> Coming next week: Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) report earnings as the housing market booms.</p><p><blockquote>下周：随着房地产市场繁荣，家得宝 (HD) 和劳氏 (LOW) 公布收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Disney, Airbnb and DoorDash results reveal about the post-pandemic economy<blockquote>迪士尼、爱彼迎和 DoorDash 的业绩揭示了大流行后的经济</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-14 22:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>London (CNN Business)Companies are gearing up for an era in which Covid-19 isn't the primary driver of how people spend their money.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦（CNN Business）公司正在为一个时代做准备，在这个时代，Covid-19 不再是人们花钱的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The big question: As the coronavirus situation improves in countries like the United States, which trends from the past 14 months will have staying power, and which will be resigned to the pandemic past?</p><p><blockquote>最大的问题是：随着冠状病毒情况在美国等国家的改善，过去14个月的哪些趋势将具有持久力，哪些将屈服于疫情的过去？</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb, DoorDash and Disney (DIS), which reported results after US markets closed on Thursday, provide some idea.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎、DoorDash 和迪士尼 (DIS) 在美国市场周四收盘后公布了业绩，提供了一些思路。</blockquote></p><p> Airbnb: The company said interest in travel is surging again as vaccines become more widely available, pointing to a sharp increase in bookings in the United Kingdom immediately after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced plans in February to gradually exit lockdown. For US customers aged 60 and above, searches on Airbnb for summer travel rose by more than 60% between February and March.</p><p><blockquote>爱彼迎：该公司表示，随着疫苗变得更加广泛，人们对旅行的兴趣再次激增，这表明在英国首相鲍里斯·约翰逊 (Boris Johnson) 2 月份宣布逐步解除封锁的计划后，英国的预订量立即大幅增加。对于60岁及以上的美国客户来说，2月至3月期间，爱彼迎上夏季旅游的搜索量增长了60%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also ready for more customers to use Airbnb for longer-term stays as they take advantage of greater acceptance of remote work. It said that nearly a quarter of stays last quarter were for 28 days or more, up 14% from 2019. Shares are down slightly in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还准备让更多的客户使用爱彼迎进行长期停留，因为他们利用了对远程工作的更大接受度。该公司表示，上季度近四分之一的住宿时间为 28 天或以上，比 2019 年增长了 14%。股价在盘前交易中小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> DoorDash: People are still ordering lots of food delivery even as restaurants open back up for traditional dining. DoorDash reported a 198% jump in revenue last quarter to $1.1 billion even as it dealt with a shortage of workers, and increased its full-year outlook.</p><p><blockquote>DoorDash：尽管餐馆重新开放传统餐饮，但人们仍然订购大量外卖。DoorDash 报告称，尽管面临工人短缺的问题，上季度收入仍增长了 198%，达到 11 亿美元，并上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"As markets continued reopening and in-store dining increased across the US, the impact to our order volume was smaller than we expected, which contributed to strong performance in the quarter,\" the company said, though it cautioned that may have been partially attributable to stimulus checks. Shares are up almost 9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示：“随着市场继续重新开放以及美国各地店内就餐的增加，对我们订单量的影响小于我们的预期，这促成了本季度的强劲业绩。”不过该公司警告称，这可能部分归因于刺激检查。股价在盘前交易中上涨近 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Disney: Streaming has carried Disney through the pandemic, with Disney+ growing to more than 100 million subscribers. Yet the biggest star in Disney's media universe appears to be shining a little less bright, sending shares down 4%.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼：流媒体带领迪士尼穿越了疫情，迪士尼+的订阅用户已超过1亿。然而，这位迪士尼媒体界最大的明星似乎没有那么耀眼，导致股价下跌 4%。</blockquote></p><p> The company said Thursday that Disney+ now has 103.6 million subscribers, below the 110 million Wall Street was expecting. That's forced investors to wonder: Is that because people are getting vaccinated and stepping away from streaming? Netflix also reported sluggish subscription growth last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司周四表示，Disney+ 目前拥有 1.036 亿用户，低于华尔街预期的 1.1 亿用户。这迫使投资者怀疑：这是因为人们正在接种疫苗并远离流媒体吗？Netflix 上季度还报告订阅增长缓慢。</blockquote></p><p> Down but not out: Disney said it remains on track to reach its long-term subscriber goals despite the apparent slowdown. It's betting that as the pandemic eases, it will be able to produce more movies and shows, helping to bring in new customers.</p><p><blockquote>下降但并未出局：迪士尼表示，尽管增长明显放缓，但仍有望实现其长期用户目标。它打赌，随着疫情的缓解，它将能够制作更多的电影和节目，帮助吸引新客户。</blockquote></p><p> Whether it's right will become clearer in the months ahead, which will pose the true test of whether people actually ditch their sweatpants, get out of the house and shake up the economy once again.</p><p><blockquote>这是否正确将在未来几个月变得更加清晰，这将真正考验人们是否真的扔掉运动裤，走出家门，再次撼动经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It could get easier to get a credit card without a credit score</b></p><p><blockquote><b>无需信用评分即可获得信用卡可能会变得更容易</b></blockquote></p><p> For years, if you didn't have a credit score it was extremely difficult to get a credit card or certain types of loans. But a new plan among some of the nation's largest banks may help Americans without traditional credit histories get approved.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，如果你没有信用评分，就很难获得信用卡或某些类型的贷款。但美国一些最大银行的一项新计划可能会帮助没有传统信用记录的美国人获得批准。</blockquote></p><p> Ten banks — including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC) and U.S. Bancorp (USB) — have tentatively agreed to a plan to share data like bank account deposits and bill payment activity to help qualify borrowers without traditional credit histories, according to the Wall Street Journal.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道，包括摩根大通 (JPM)、富国银行 (WFC) 和合众银行 (USB) 在内的十家银行已初步同意一项共享银行账户存款和账单支付活动等数据的计划，以帮助确定没有传统信用记录的借款人的资格。</blockquote></p><p> The push for financial institutions to come to a data sharing agreement came from a program run by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The OCC has confirmed there is a plan, but the details of the agreement among the banks still need to be worked out.</p><p><blockquote>推动金融机构达成数据共享协议的动力来自货币监理署开展的一项计划。OCC已经确认有一个计划，但银行之间协议的细节仍需制定。</blockquote></p><p> Should the proposed arrangement go through, it would mean that if you don't have a credit score but you have a bank account at Wells Fargo, for example, you can use that financial history to help you get a credit card with another bank, like JPMorgan Chase.</p><p><blockquote>如果提议的安排获得通过，这将意味着，例如，如果您没有信用评分，但您在富国银行拥有银行账户，您可以使用该财务历史来帮助您获得另一家银行的信用卡，例如摩根大通。</blockquote></p><p> \"This will give millions of Americans the opportunity to access credit that's essential to building wealth — buying a home, starting a business, or financing education,\" Trish Wexler, a spokesperson for JPMorgan Chase, told CNN Business.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发言人特里什·韦克斯勒 (Trish Wexler) 告诉 CNN 商业频道：“这将使数百万美国人有机会获得积累财富所必需的信贷——买房、创业或资助教育。”</blockquote></p><p> The backstory: There are currently 53 million people without a credit score, according to the Fair Isaac Corporation, the creator of FICO credit scores. These consumers, who are disproportionately lower income and people of color, face higher borrowing costs because they're forced to turn to products like payday loans.</p><p><blockquote>背景故事：根据 FICO 信用评分的创建者 Fair Isaac Corporation 的数据，目前有 5300 万人没有信用评分。这些低收入和有色人种的消费者面临着更高的借贷成本，因为他们被迫转向发薪日贷款等产品。</blockquote></p><p> Banks and lenders refer to those without credit history as \"credit invisible.\" This group can include young people or recent immigrants, as well as people who haven't used credit in a long time or who have lost their access due to financial difficulties.</p><p><blockquote>银行和贷方将那些没有信用记录的人称为“隐形信用”。这个群体可能包括年轻人或新移民，以及很长时间没有使用信贷或由于经济困难而失去使用信贷的人。</blockquote></p><p> The business angle: Big banks may also be eager to revise their policies as online upstarts chip away at demand for their products.</p><p><blockquote>商业角度：随着在线新贵根据需求抢购其产品，大银行可能也渴望修改其政策。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Some of this cooperation among the biggest banks may be a bit of reaction to smaller banks and fintech companies infringing on their space,\" said Matt Schulz, chief industry analyst at LendingTree.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree 首席行业分析师马特·舒尔茨 (Matt Schulz) 表示：“最大银行之间的一些合作可能是对小型银行和金融科技公司侵犯其领域的一种反应。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Target will temporarily stop selling trading cards amid frenzy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>塔吉特将在狂热中暂时停止销售交易卡</b></blockquote></p><p> Target (TGT) has announced that it will stop selling trading cards in its stores following a violent dispute at one of its locations — a sign of just how overheated the market for collectibles has become.</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特 (TGT) 宣布，在其一家门店发生暴力纠纷后，将停止在其商店销售交易卡——这表明收藏品市场已经变得多么过热。</blockquote></p><p> The details: Last week, a Target in Wisconsin was locked down after a man was physically assaulted by four others over sports trading cards.</p><p><blockquote>细节：上周，威斯康星州的一个目标在一名男子因体育交易卡被另外四人殴打后被锁定。</blockquote></p><p> \"The safety of our guests and our team is our top priority,\" Target said in a statement. \"Out of an abundance of caution, we've decided to temporarily suspend the sale of MLB, NFL, NBA and Pokémon trading cards within our stores, effective [Friday].\"</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特在一份声明中表示：“客人和团队的安全是我们的首要任务。”“出于谨慎，我们决定暂时停止在我们的商店内销售 MLB、NFL、NBA 和神奇宝贝交易卡，自 [周五] 起生效。”</blockquote></p><p> The cards will still be available online, the company said.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，这些卡仍将在网上提供。</blockquote></p><p> Remember: The value of trading cards has skyrocketed in recent months during the Covid-19 pandemic. That's grabbed interest from both amateur and professional investors looking to cash in on spectacular returns.</p><p><blockquote>请记住：在 Covid-19 大流行期间，最近几个月交易卡的价值飙升。这引起了业余和专业投资者的兴趣，他们希望从惊人的回报中获利。</blockquote></p><p> Target previously was limiting card purchases to just one item a day, saying that guests were lining up overnight to get their hands on hot items, per CNN affiliate WISN.</p><p><blockquote>据美国有线电视新闻网 (CNN) 附属机构 WISN 报道，塔吉特此前将卡购买限制为每天只能购买一件商品，称客人整夜排队购买热门商品。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart (WMT), for its part, said it will keep selling cards in stores for now.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛 (WMT) 则表示，目前将继续在商店销售贺卡。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are determining what, if any, changes are needed to meet customer demand while ensuring a safe and enjoyable shopping experience,\" a spokesperson said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>一位发言人在一份声明中表示：“我们正在确定需要做出哪些改变（如果有的话）来满足客户需求，同时确保安全愉快的购物体验。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Up next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个</b></blockquote></p><p> Data on US retail sales, import and export prices and industrial production arrives at 8:30 a.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>美国零售销售、进出口价格和工业生产数据将于美国东部时间上午 8:30 公布。</blockquote></p><p> Coming next week: Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) report earnings as the housing market booms.</p><p><blockquote>下周：随着房地产市场繁荣，家得宝 (HD) 和劳氏 (LOW) 公布收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/14/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ABNB":"爱彼迎","DIS":"迪士尼","DASH":"DoorDash, Inc."},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/14/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173244066","content_text":"London (CNN Business)Companies are gearing up for an era in which Covid-19 isn't the primary driver of how people spend their money.\nThe big question: As the coronavirus situation improves in countries like the United States, which trends from the past 14 months will have staying power, and which will be resigned to the pandemic past?\nAirbnb, DoorDash and Disney (DIS), which reported results after US markets closed on Thursday, provide some idea.\nAirbnb: The company said interest in travel is surging again as vaccines become more widely available, pointing to a sharp increase in bookings in the United Kingdom immediately after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced plans in February to gradually exit lockdown. For US customers aged 60 and above, searches on Airbnb for summer travel rose by more than 60% between February and March.\nThe company is also ready for more customers to use Airbnb for longer-term stays as they take advantage of greater acceptance of remote work. It said that nearly a quarter of stays last quarter were for 28 days or more, up 14% from 2019. Shares are down slightly in premarket trading.\nDoorDash: People are still ordering lots of food delivery even as restaurants open back up for traditional dining. DoorDash reported a 198% jump in revenue last quarter to $1.1 billion even as it dealt with a shortage of workers, and increased its full-year outlook.\n\"As markets continued reopening and in-store dining increased across the US, the impact to our order volume was smaller than we expected, which contributed to strong performance in the quarter,\" the company said, though it cautioned that may have been partially attributable to stimulus checks. Shares are up almost 9% in premarket trading.\nDisney: Streaming has carried Disney through the pandemic, with Disney+ growing to more than 100 million subscribers. Yet the biggest star in Disney's media universe appears to be shining a little less bright, sending shares down 4%.\nThe company said Thursday that Disney+ now has 103.6 million subscribers, below the 110 million Wall Street was expecting. That's forced investors to wonder: Is that because people are getting vaccinated and stepping away from streaming? Netflix also reported sluggish subscription growth last quarter.\nDown but not out: Disney said it remains on track to reach its long-term subscriber goals despite the apparent slowdown. It's betting that as the pandemic eases, it will be able to produce more movies and shows, helping to bring in new customers.\nWhether it's right will become clearer in the months ahead, which will pose the true test of whether people actually ditch their sweatpants, get out of the house and shake up the economy once again.\nIt could get easier to get a credit card without a credit score\nFor years, if you didn't have a credit score it was extremely difficult to get a credit card or certain types of loans. But a new plan among some of the nation's largest banks may help Americans without traditional credit histories get approved.\nTen banks — including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC) and U.S. Bancorp (USB) — have tentatively agreed to a plan to share data like bank account deposits and bill payment activity to help qualify borrowers without traditional credit histories, according to the Wall Street Journal.\nThe push for financial institutions to come to a data sharing agreement came from a program run by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The OCC has confirmed there is a plan, but the details of the agreement among the banks still need to be worked out.\nShould the proposed arrangement go through, it would mean that if you don't have a credit score but you have a bank account at Wells Fargo, for example, you can use that financial history to help you get a credit card with another bank, like JPMorgan Chase.\n\"This will give millions of Americans the opportunity to access credit that's essential to building wealth — buying a home, starting a business, or financing education,\" Trish Wexler, a spokesperson for JPMorgan Chase, told CNN Business.\nThe backstory: There are currently 53 million people without a credit score, according to the Fair Isaac Corporation, the creator of FICO credit scores. These consumers, who are disproportionately lower income and people of color, face higher borrowing costs because they're forced to turn to products like payday loans.\nBanks and lenders refer to those without credit history as \"credit invisible.\" This group can include young people or recent immigrants, as well as people who haven't used credit in a long time or who have lost their access due to financial difficulties.\nThe business angle: Big banks may also be eager to revise their policies as online upstarts chip away at demand for their products.\n\"Some of this cooperation among the biggest banks may be a bit of reaction to smaller banks and fintech companies infringing on their space,\" said Matt Schulz, chief industry analyst at LendingTree.\nTarget will temporarily stop selling trading cards amid frenzy\nTarget (TGT) has announced that it will stop selling trading cards in its stores following a violent dispute at one of its locations — a sign of just how overheated the market for collectibles has become.\nThe details: Last week, a Target in Wisconsin was locked down after a man was physically assaulted by four others over sports trading cards.\n\"The safety of our guests and our team is our top priority,\" Target said in a statement. \"Out of an abundance of caution, we've decided to temporarily suspend the sale of MLB, NFL, NBA and Pokémon trading cards within our stores, effective [Friday].\"\nThe cards will still be available online, the company said.\nRemember: The value of trading cards has skyrocketed in recent months during the Covid-19 pandemic. That's grabbed interest from both amateur and professional investors looking to cash in on spectacular returns.\nTarget previously was limiting card purchases to just one item a day, saying that guests were lining up overnight to get their hands on hot items, per CNN affiliate WISN.\nWalmart (WMT), for its part, said it will keep selling cards in stores for now.\n\"We are determining what, if any, changes are needed to meet customer demand while ensuring a safe and enjoyable shopping experience,\" a spokesperson said in a statement.\nUp next\nData on US retail sales, import and export prices and industrial production arrives at 8:30 a.m. ET.\nComing next week: Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW) report earnings as the housing market booms.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ABNB":0.9,"DASH":0.9,"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}