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QqxD

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2021-07-24

Tsla tsla ftw.

Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>

2021-06-24

Like this news very much.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-23

Oh no... like and comment.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-20

Tsla go go go.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-22

Yes, SQ is for long term. Like and comment.

Is Square the Long-Term Stock for You?<blockquote>Square是您的长期股票吗？</blockquote>

2021-06-02

Everything go go go.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-16

Very good news, keep going up! Like and comment.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-01

Looking good for the future!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-31

Oh noooo

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-18

Buy baba! Like and comment.

Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>

2021-06-05

Nio is good too

Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'<blockquote>蔚来股价能达到100美元吗？我们认为这是“何时”的问题，而不是“如果”的问题</blockquote>

2021-05-17

Time to buy more. Like and comment.

Elon Musk said,To clarify speculation, Tesla has not sold any Bitcoin.<blockquote>Elon Musk表示，澄清猜测，特斯拉没有出售任何比特币。</blockquote>

2021-05-09

Oh no. SNDL please grow back.

The Week In Cannabis: The New Tilray, Jazz-GW Pharma, Earnings, M&A, And More<blockquote>大麻一周：新Tilray、Jazz-GW Pharma、收益、并购等</blockquote>

2021-04-13

Sounds like a good news. Like and comment.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-06

The time is now and the future is tsla. Like and comment, please.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-05

Booo. Like and comment.

Yellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat<blockquote>耶伦表示，利率可能必须有所上升，以确保经济不会过热</blockquote>

2021-04-28

Wooo. Google go go go. Like and comment.

Google Shares Rise On Revenue And Earnings Beat, $50B Buyback<blockquote>谷歌股价因收入和盈利超出预期以及500亿美元回购而上涨</blockquote>

2021-04-15

So expensive. Like and comment.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-14

Good news.

Why Tesla Stock Just Gave Back Half of Yesterday's Gains<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价刚刚回吐了昨天一半的涨幅</blockquote>

2021-06-01

Good good.

Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的11家IPO</blockquote>

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happened?","listText":"What happened?","text":"What happened?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891089916","repostId":"1122174975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122174975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628257533,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122174975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 21:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122174975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Aug 6)&nbsp;$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ fell 0.41%; $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ , $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ fell over 1%; $Li Auto(LI)$ fell 0.80%.","content":"<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> fell 0.41%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a> fell over 1%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a> fell 0.80%.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌0.41%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌超1%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>下跌0.80%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc49234e47a8e48665d95c05d103786\" tg-width=\"345\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-06 21:45</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Aug 6)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a> fell 0.41%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a> , <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Inc.</a> fell over 1%; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a> fell 0.80%.</p><p><blockquote>（8月6日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>跌0.41%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌超1%；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>下跌0.80%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc49234e47a8e48665d95c05d103786\" tg-width=\"345\" tg-height=\"209\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122174975","content_text":"(Aug 6) Tesla Motors fell 0.41%; NIO Inc. , XPeng Inc. fell over 1%; Li Auto fell 0.80%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893855284,"gmtCreate":1628256936748,"gmtModify":1631888695970,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why and how come?&nbsp;","listText":"Why and how come?&nbsp;","text":"Why and how come?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893855284","repostId":"893838865","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":893838865,"gmtCreate":1628253683753,"gmtModify":1628321400314,"author":{"id":"3514329116425907","authorId":"3514329116425907","name":"小虎AV","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/162e12f8dcec770ec19f66f2abb0d5db","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3514329116425907","idStr":"3514329116425907"},"themes":[],"title":"特斯拉遭排挤？拜登没邀请马斯克参加电动车活动","htmlText":"\n \n \n  美国交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格(Pete Buttigieg)周四表示，他不知道在乔·拜登(Joe Biden)总统采取支持清洁汽车和卡车的新措施时，埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的特斯拉(Tesla)为什么不会出现在白宫。特斯拉是电动汽车领域迄今为止最知名的品牌。 布蒂吉格在接受美国全国广播公司财经频道(CNBC)“Squawk Box”节目采访时被问及为什么特斯拉没有参加此次活动时表示:“我不确定。”拜登预计将签署一项行政命令，设定一个国家目标，到2030年，所有新车和卡车中有一半是电动的或零排放的。 其他美国汽车巨头福特和通用，以及斯特兰提斯(原名菲亚特克莱斯勒)和美国汽车工人联合会，将在美国东部时间下午3点的活动中与拜登并肩站在一起。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$福特汽车(F)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">$通用汽车(GM)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0QXR.UK\">$菲亚特克莱斯勒汽车公司(0QXR.UK)$</a> 但特斯拉——该公司没有工会组织，并一直抵制组织努力——从未从支持工会的拜登白宫听到过此事。 这是马斯克自己说的，他在推特上说，“是的，特斯拉没有被邀请似乎很奇怪。”当被问及这条推文时，布蒂吉格表示，他没有看到这条推文，然后迅速将注意力从特斯拉转移开。 布蒂吉格说:“我们对确保美国人未来能够驾驶电动汽车的势头感到兴奋。”“顺便说一下，我们也在朝着整个市场的未来发展。我不想让人们认为这只是一种奢侈的东西，或者这只是你用来在城市里飞驰的汽车，”印第安纳州南本德市的前市长说。 一名白宫官员在被问及特斯拉缺席的原因时对CNBC表示，“我们当然欢迎所有认识到电动未来潜力并支持有助于实现拜登总统目标的汽车制造商的努力。”“我们很高兴\n \n","listText":"美国交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格(Pete Buttigieg)周四表示，他不知道在乔·拜登(Joe Biden)总统采取支持清洁汽车和卡车的新措施时，埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的特斯拉(Tesla)为什么不会出现在白宫。特斯拉是电动汽车领域迄今为止最知名的品牌。 布蒂吉格在接受美国全国广播公司财经频道(CNBC)“Squawk Box”节目采访时被问及为什么特斯拉没有参加此次活动时表示:“我不确定。”拜登预计将签署一项行政命令，设定一个国家目标，到2030年，所有新车和卡车中有一半是电动的或零排放的。 其他美国汽车巨头福特和通用，以及斯特兰提斯(原名菲亚特克莱斯勒)和美国汽车工人联合会，将在美国东部时间下午3点的活动中与拜登并肩站在一起。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">$福特汽车(F)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">$通用汽车(GM)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0QXR.UK\">$菲亚特克莱斯勒汽车公司(0QXR.UK)$</a> 但特斯拉——该公司没有工会组织，并一直抵制组织努力——从未从支持工会的拜登白宫听到过此事。 这是马斯克自己说的，他在推特上说，“是的，特斯拉没有被邀请似乎很奇怪。”当被问及这条推文时，布蒂吉格表示，他没有看到这条推文，然后迅速将注意力从特斯拉转移开。 布蒂吉格说:“我们对确保美国人未来能够驾驶电动汽车的势头感到兴奋。”“顺便说一下，我们也在朝着整个市场的未来发展。我不想让人们认为这只是一种奢侈的东西，或者这只是你用来在城市里飞驰的汽车，”印第安纳州南本德市的前市长说。 一名白宫官员在被问及特斯拉缺席的原因时对CNBC表示，“我们当然欢迎所有认识到电动未来潜力并支持有助于实现拜登总统目标的汽车制造商的努力。”“我们很高兴","text":"美国交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格(Pete Buttigieg)周四表示，他不知道在乔·拜登(Joe Biden)总统采取支持清洁汽车和卡车的新措施时，埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的特斯拉(Tesla)为什么不会出现在白宫。特斯拉是电动汽车领域迄今为止最知名的品牌。 布蒂吉格在接受美国全国广播公司财经频道(CNBC)“Squawk Box”节目采访时被问及为什么特斯拉没有参加此次活动时表示:“我不确定。”拜登预计将签署一项行政命令，设定一个国家目标，到2030年，所有新车和卡车中有一半是电动的或零排放的。 其他美国汽车巨头福特和通用，以及斯特兰提斯(原名菲亚特克莱斯勒)和美国汽车工人联合会，将在美国东部时间下午3点的活动中与拜登并肩站在一起。$福特汽车(F)$ $通用汽车(GM)$ $菲亚特克莱斯勒汽车公司(0QXR.UK)$ 但特斯拉——该公司没有工会组织，并一直抵制组织努力——从未从支持工会的拜登白宫听到过此事。 这是马斯克自己说的，他在推特上说，“是的，特斯拉没有被邀请似乎很奇怪。”当被问及这条推文时，布蒂吉格表示，他没有看到这条推文，然后迅速将注意力从特斯拉转移开。 布蒂吉格说:“我们对确保美国人未来能够驾驶电动汽车的势头感到兴奋。”“顺便说一下，我们也在朝着整个市场的未来发展。我不想让人们认为这只是一种奢侈的东西，或者这只是你用来在城市里飞驰的汽车，”印第安纳州南本德市的前市长说。 一名白宫官员在被问及特斯拉缺席的原因时对CNBC表示，“我们当然欢迎所有认识到电动未来潜力并支持有助于实现拜登总统目标的汽车制造商的努力。”“我们很高兴","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb4e85c96ec4e76472932947d1fc3ef5","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893838865","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"01b4aab7b4a84966bfa60172b47796b0","tweetId":"893838865","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/61c035f23701925922047121510/U1AGjBTNnicA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb4e85c96ec4e76472932947d1fc3ef5"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802136401,"gmtCreate":1627730150603,"gmtModify":1631888695982,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh noooo","listText":"Oh noooo","text":"Oh noooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802136401","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174500970,"gmtCreate":1627106925090,"gmtModify":1631888695998,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tsla tsla ftw.","listText":"Tsla tsla ftw.","text":"Tsla tsla ftw.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174500970","repostId":"1191636755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191636755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627084309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191636755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191636755","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likel","content":"<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将公布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于这家世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破传统的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克来说，有很多活动部件，甚至比平时还要多。然而，弄清楚股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不那么困难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于7月26日星期一收盘后发布报告。FactSet的数据显示，华尔街预计特斯拉的销售额为115亿美元，每股收益约为94美分。对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说，超出分析师预期非常重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素将影响底线收益——全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者将希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论它如何发生。这可能会使股价突破近期区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布2020年第三季度营业利润超过8亿美元，该股在随后的三个月内上涨了一倍多，达到860美元左右。但由于随后几个季度营业利润增长基本暂停，股价最近已从约860美元跌至约640美元。利润停滞也意味着股票停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计为8.35亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉单季度交付量首次超过20万辆。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>在盈利被消化后，多头和空头之间应该会对盈利质量争论不休。例如，特斯拉创造销售的一种方式是出售监管信用——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来赚取监管信用。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为5.18亿美元，这帮助特斯拉超出了盈利预期。关于什么是“正常”的信贷销售金额以及这些销售何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将销售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉第一季度比特币持有量小幅增长，但该加密货币的价格自4月份的峰值以来已下跌约一半。这意味着有可能会有一点损失。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉的新德国工厂和德克萨斯奥斯丁工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯丁工厂将生产特斯拉的Cybertruck。人们还可能会对特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步产生疑问——该公司最近开始以订阅形式销售其驾驶辅助软件——以及该公司可以从其充电网络中赚多少钱。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该出现在定于下午5:30举行的财报电话会议上。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约9%，落后于标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别17%和15%的涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，在过去12个月内上涨了约112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 07:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将公布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于这家世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破传统的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克来说，有很多活动部件，甚至比平时还要多。然而，弄清楚股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不那么困难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于7月26日星期一收盘后发布报告。FactSet的数据显示，华尔街预计特斯拉的销售额为115亿美元，每股收益约为94美分。对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说，超出分析师预期非常重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素将影响底线收益——全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者将希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论它如何发生。这可能会使股价突破近期区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布2020年第三季度营业利润超过8亿美元，该股在随后的三个月内上涨了一倍多，达到860美元左右。但由于随后几个季度营业利润增长基本暂停，股价最近已从约860美元跌至约640美元。利润停滞也意味着股票停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计为8.35亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉单季度交付量首次超过20万辆。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>在盈利被消化后，多头和空头之间应该会对盈利质量争论不休。例如，特斯拉创造销售的一种方式是出售监管信用——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来赚取监管信用。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为5.18亿美元，这帮助特斯拉超出了盈利预期。关于什么是“正常”的信贷销售金额以及这些销售何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将销售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉第一季度比特币持有量小幅增长，但该加密货币的价格自4月份的峰值以来已下跌约一半。这意味着有可能会有一点损失。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉的新德国工厂和德克萨斯奥斯丁工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯丁工厂将生产特斯拉的Cybertruck。人们还可能会对特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步产生疑问——该公司最近开始以订阅形式销售其驾驶辅助软件——以及该公司可以从其充电网络中赚多少钱。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该出现在定于下午5:30举行的财报电话会议上。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约9%，落后于标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别17%和15%的涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，在过去12个月内上涨了约112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191636755","content_text":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.\nThe EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.\nThere are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global semiconductor shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.\n\nTesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.\nThe good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered more than 200,000 vehicles in a single quarter.\nAfter earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla beat earnings estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.\nThere is also the issue of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.\nInvestors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its charging network to other EVs down the road.\nAll those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174217875,"gmtCreate":1627101083297,"gmtModify":1631888696011,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be careful.","listText":"Be careful.","text":"Be careful.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174217875","repostId":"174160587","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":174160587,"gmtCreate":1627086350149,"gmtModify":1627097463455,"author":{"id":"3435549005896431","authorId":"3435549005896431","name":"潜伏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5ae5adc2aaca55f60bd0d6080caace6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3435549005896431","idStr":"3435549005896431"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">$好未来(TAL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">$新东方(EDU)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TNXP\">$Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Co(TNXP)$</a>果然，人生处处有惊吓。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">$好未来(TAL)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">$新东方(EDU)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TNXP\">$Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Co(TNXP)$</a>果然，人生处处有惊吓。","text":"$好未来(TAL)$$新东方(EDU)$$Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Co(TNXP)$果然，人生处处有惊吓。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174160587","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1790,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171769808,"gmtCreate":1626765305304,"gmtModify":1631888696028,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tsla go go go.","listText":"Tsla go go go.","text":"Tsla go go go.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171769808","repostId":"1120865210","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147221011,"gmtCreate":1626360277033,"gmtModify":1631888696041,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147221011","repostId":"147678273","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":147678273,"gmtCreate":1626357820492,"gmtModify":1633927540823,"author":{"id":"3571397064539484","authorId":"3571397064539484","name":"Heibi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4b0cb7e69d4c38018b1a3a840f08834","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571397064539484","idStr":"3571397064539484"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Before i go sleep lol. Btw I am not a GOD haha. 从前神也是人，只是他做了平凡人不能做的事。那就是💎👐","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Before i go sleep lol. Btw I am not a GOD haha. 从前神也是人，只是他做了平凡人不能做的事。那就是💎👐","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Before i go sleep lol. Btw I am not a GOD haha. 从前神也是人，只是他做了平凡人不能做的事。那就是💎👐","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f6c3ce6283c9fc7f7e68f8bc6db5f8","width":"1284","height":"2778"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147678273","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147223135,"gmtCreate":1626360243027,"gmtModify":1631888696057,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio ftw","listText":"Nio ftw","text":"Nio ftw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147223135","repostId":"1105855063","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145629036,"gmtCreate":1626221986125,"gmtModify":1631888696068,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news.&nbsp;","listText":"Good news.&nbsp;","text":"Good news.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145629036","repostId":"1120920517","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120920517","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626221377,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120920517?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 08:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla Stock Just Gave Back Half of Yesterday's Gains<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价刚刚回吐了昨天一半的涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120920517","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nAfterracing upwardby more than 4% in Monday trading,Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)give back half o","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Afterracing upwardby more than 4% in Monday trading,<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)give back half of its stock price gains Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在周一交易中上涨超过4%后，<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）周二回吐了一半股价涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> As of 2:52 p.m. EDT, shares of theelectric carmanufacturer were down by 2.5% from Monday's close.</p><p><blockquote>截至下午2:52美国东部时间，这家电动汽车制造商的股价较周一收盘价下跌2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> So what was troubling Tesla on Tuesday? Well, for one thing, there's theongoing trialquestioning the propriety of its $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity in 2016. Plaintiffs in the case allege that CEO Elon Musk put his own financial interests ahead of those of Tesla's shareholders. That's obviously not a good look for the company.</p><p><blockquote>那么周二是什么困扰着特斯拉呢？一方面，正在进行的审判质疑其2016年以26亿美元收购SolarCity的适当性。该案原告称，首席执行官Elon Musk将自己的财务利益置于特斯拉股东的利益之上。这对公司来说显然不是一个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Wall Street is still digesting the import of recent pricing moves, and of Tesla's weekend rollout of \"FSD v.9.0 Beta,\" the latest iteration of the software that's supposed to help make Tesla cars autonomous and usher in an age of robo-taxis.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，华尔街仍在消化最近定价变动的影响，以及特斯拉周末推出的“FSD v.9.0 Beta”，这是该软件的最新版本，旨在帮助特斯拉汽车实现自动驾驶并迎来机器人时代。出租车。</blockquote></p><p> In a note it put out Tuesday morning, Goldman Sachs asserted that increased sales and higher prices on Teslas sold will help the company earn an above-consensus $5 a share in 2021. On the other hand, notesTheFly.com, Goldman does worry thatchip shortagesin theautomotive industrycould curtail Tesla's production numbers this quarter. If Tesla isn't able to sell as many higher-priced Model S and Model X cars as Wall Street expects, that could weigh on profits.</p><p><blockquote>高盛在周二上午发布的一份报告中声称，特斯拉销量的增加和售价的上涨将有助于该公司在2021年每股收益高于市场预期的5美元。另一方面，据TheFly.com报道，高盛确实担心汽车行业的芯片短缺可能会减少特斯拉本季度的产量。如果特斯拉不能像华尔街预期的那样销售更多价格较高的Model S和Model X汽车，这可能会影响利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Rumors of a price hike on the FSD feature (which some speculate could rise from $10,000 currently to $14,000) could help boost Tesla's profits, of course. On the other hand, in a note released Monday, analysts at Citigroup warned that as far as autonomous driving goes, the new FSD software \"doesn't appear very different than\" the software that preceded it, and certainly falls short of the level of independence that would permit transforming Teslas into robo-taxis, as Musk has predicted.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有关FSD功能涨价的传言（一些人猜测可能会从目前的10,000美元上涨到14,000美元）可能有助于提高特斯拉的利润。另一方面，花旗集团分析师在周一发布的一份报告中警告称，就自动驾驶而言，新的FSD软件“似乎与之前的软件没有太大不同”，而且肯定没有达到自动驾驶的水平。正如马斯克所预测的那样，独立将允许特斯拉转变为机器人出租车。</blockquote></p><p> In short, even with share prices down 24% from their highs earlier this year, Citi sees Tesla stock as overpriced. Unlike Goldman Sachs, which thinks Tesla is a \"buy,\" Citi still argues it's a \"sell\" -- and worthno more than $175 a share.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，尽管股价较今年早些时候的高点下跌了24%，但花旗认为特斯拉股票定价过高。与高盛认为特斯拉是“买入”不同，花旗仍然认为它是“卖出”——每股价值不超过175美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla Stock Just Gave Back Half of Yesterday's Gains<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价刚刚回吐了昨天一半的涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla Stock Just Gave Back Half of Yesterday's Gains<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价刚刚回吐了昨天一半的涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-14 08:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Afterracing upwardby more than 4% in Monday trading,<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)give back half of its stock price gains Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在周一交易中上涨超过4%后，<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）周二回吐了一半股价涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> As of 2:52 p.m. EDT, shares of theelectric carmanufacturer were down by 2.5% from Monday's close.</p><p><blockquote>截至下午2:52美国东部时间，这家电动汽车制造商的股价较周一收盘价下跌2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> So what was troubling Tesla on Tuesday? Well, for one thing, there's theongoing trialquestioning the propriety of its $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity in 2016. Plaintiffs in the case allege that CEO Elon Musk put his own financial interests ahead of those of Tesla's shareholders. That's obviously not a good look for the company.</p><p><blockquote>那么周二是什么困扰着特斯拉呢？一方面，正在进行的审判质疑其2016年以26亿美元收购SolarCity的适当性。该案原告称，首席执行官Elon Musk将自己的财务利益置于特斯拉股东的利益之上。这对公司来说显然不是一个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Wall Street is still digesting the import of recent pricing moves, and of Tesla's weekend rollout of \"FSD v.9.0 Beta,\" the latest iteration of the software that's supposed to help make Tesla cars autonomous and usher in an age of robo-taxis.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，华尔街仍在消化最近定价变动的影响，以及特斯拉周末推出的“FSD v.9.0 Beta”，这是该软件的最新版本，旨在帮助特斯拉汽车实现自动驾驶并迎来机器人时代。出租车。</blockquote></p><p> In a note it put out Tuesday morning, Goldman Sachs asserted that increased sales and higher prices on Teslas sold will help the company earn an above-consensus $5 a share in 2021. On the other hand, notesTheFly.com, Goldman does worry thatchip shortagesin theautomotive industrycould curtail Tesla's production numbers this quarter. If Tesla isn't able to sell as many higher-priced Model S and Model X cars as Wall Street expects, that could weigh on profits.</p><p><blockquote>高盛在周二上午发布的一份报告中声称，特斯拉销量的增加和售价的上涨将有助于该公司在2021年每股收益高于市场预期的5美元。另一方面，据TheFly.com报道，高盛确实担心汽车行业的芯片短缺可能会减少特斯拉本季度的产量。如果特斯拉不能像华尔街预期的那样销售更多价格较高的Model S和Model X汽车，这可能会影响利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Rumors of a price hike on the FSD feature (which some speculate could rise from $10,000 currently to $14,000) could help boost Tesla's profits, of course. On the other hand, in a note released Monday, analysts at Citigroup warned that as far as autonomous driving goes, the new FSD software \"doesn't appear very different than\" the software that preceded it, and certainly falls short of the level of independence that would permit transforming Teslas into robo-taxis, as Musk has predicted.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有关FSD功能涨价的传言（一些人猜测可能会从目前的10,000美元上涨到14,000美元）可能有助于提高特斯拉的利润。另一方面，花旗集团分析师在周一发布的一份报告中警告称，就自动驾驶而言，新的FSD软件“似乎与之前的软件没有太大不同”，而且肯定没有达到自动驾驶的水平。正如马斯克所预测的那样，独立将允许特斯拉转变为机器人出租车。</blockquote></p><p> In short, even with share prices down 24% from their highs earlier this year, Citi sees Tesla stock as overpriced. Unlike Goldman Sachs, which thinks Tesla is a \"buy,\" Citi still argues it's a \"sell\" -- and worthno more than $175 a share.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，尽管股价较今年早些时候的高点下跌了24%，但花旗认为特斯拉股票定价过高。与高盛认为特斯拉是“买入”不同，花旗仍然认为它是“卖出”——每股价值不超过175美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/13/why-tesla-stock-just-gave-back-half-its-gains/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/13/why-tesla-stock-just-gave-back-half-its-gains/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120920517","content_text":"What happened\nAfterracing upwardby more than 4% in Monday trading,Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)give back half of its stock price gains Tuesday.\nAs of 2:52 p.m. EDT, shares of theelectric carmanufacturer were down by 2.5% from Monday's close.\nSo what\nSo what was troubling Tesla on Tuesday? Well, for one thing, there's theongoing trialquestioning the propriety of its $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity in 2016. Plaintiffs in the case allege that CEO Elon Musk put his own financial interests ahead of those of Tesla's shareholders. That's obviously not a good look for the company.\nMeanwhile, Wall Street is still digesting the import of recent pricing moves, and of Tesla's weekend rollout of \"FSD v.9.0 Beta,\" the latest iteration of the software that's supposed to help make Tesla cars autonomous and usher in an age of robo-taxis.\nIn a note it put out Tuesday morning, Goldman Sachs asserted that increased sales and higher prices on Teslas sold will help the company earn an above-consensus $5 a share in 2021. On the other hand, notesTheFly.com, Goldman does worry thatchip shortagesin theautomotive industrycould curtail Tesla's production numbers this quarter. If Tesla isn't able to sell as many higher-priced Model S and Model X cars as Wall Street expects, that could weigh on profits.\nNow what\nRumors of a price hike on the FSD feature (which some speculate could rise from $10,000 currently to $14,000) could help boost Tesla's profits, of course. On the other hand, in a note released Monday, analysts at Citigroup warned that as far as autonomous driving goes, the new FSD software \"doesn't appear very different than\" the software that preceded it, and certainly falls short of the level of independence that would permit transforming Teslas into robo-taxis, as Musk has predicted.\nIn short, even with share prices down 24% from their highs earlier this year, Citi sees Tesla stock as overpriced. Unlike Goldman Sachs, which thinks Tesla is a \"buy,\" Citi still argues it's a \"sell\" -- and worthno more than $175 a share.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151782411,"gmtCreate":1625107189333,"gmtModify":1631888696084,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice nice.&nbsp;","listText":"Nice nice.&nbsp;","text":"Nice nice.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151782411","repostId":"2147819091","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122811861,"gmtCreate":1624610122153,"gmtModify":1633950569199,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very good news","listText":"Very good news","text":"Very good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122811861","repostId":"1108214079","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108214079","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624607367,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108214079?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 15:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"All 23 US Banks Easily Pass Fed's Stress Test, Setting Stage For Billions In Buybacks<blockquote>所有23家美国银行轻松通过美联储压力测试，为数十亿美元的回购奠定基础</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108214079","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As wepreviewed earlier, today the Fed would release the latest bank Stress Test results, and as we a","content":"<p>As wepreviewed earlier, today the Fed would release the latest bank Stress Test results, and as we also cynically expected, every bank would pass and sure enough moments ago theFederal Reserve announced that all banks easily clearedtheir annual bill of health, acing their annual stress test which found that banks could suffer almost $500 billion in losses and still comfortably meet capital requirements, setting the scene for hundreds of billions in stock buybacks and dividends.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们之前预览的那样，今天美联储将发布最新的银行压力测试结果，正如我们也愤世嫉俗地预期的那样，每家银行都会通过，果然，不久前美联储宣布所有银行都轻松通过了年度健康证明，在年度压力测试中名列前茅该测试发现，银行可能遭受近5000亿美元的损失，但仍能轻松满足资本要求，为数千亿美元的股票回购和股息奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> The \"test\" showed the country’s biggest banks could withstand $474 billion in losses from loans and other positions, and still emerge with more than double the required high-quality common equity tier one, or CET1, capital relative to their risk-weighted assets.</p><p><blockquote>该“测试”显示，美国最大的银行可以承受4740亿美元的贷款和其他头寸损失，并且相对于其风险加权资产，其所需的高质量普通股一级（CET1）资本仍是其两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> In a statement published by the Federal Reserve Board, the Fed said that the results of the annual bank stress test showed that large banks \"continue to have strong capital levels and could continue lending to households and businesses during a severe recession.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储在美国联邦储备委员会发布的声明中表示，年度银行压力测试结果显示，大型银行“继续拥有强劲的资本水平，在严重衰退期间可以继续向家庭和企业放贷”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Over the past year, the Federal Reserve has run three stress tests with several different hypothetical recessions and all have confirmed that the banking system is strongly positioned to support the ongoing recovery,\" said Vice Chair for Supervision Randal K. Quarles.</p><p><blockquote>监管副主席兰德尔·K·夸尔斯(Randal K.Quarles)表示：“过去一年，美联储针对几种不同的假设衰退进行了三次压力测试，所有测试都证实银行体系有能力支持持续的复苏。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>All 23 large banks tested remained well above their risk-based minimum capital requirements,</b>and as laid out previously by the Board, the additional restrictions put in place during the COVID event will end. As a result, all large banks will be subject to the normal restrictions of the Board's stress capital buffer, or SCB, framework.</p><p><blockquote><b>所有23家接受测试的大型银行仍远高于其基于风险的最低资本要求，</b>正如董事会之前所规定的，COVID事件期间实施的额外限制将会结束。因此，所有大型银行都将受到董事会压力资本缓冲（SCB）框架的正常限制。</blockquote></p><p> The SCB framework was finalized last year and maintains strong capital requirements in the aggregate for large banks with an increase in requirements for the largest and most complex banks. It sets capital requirements via the stress tests, and as a result, banks are required to hold enough capital to survive a severe recession. If a bank does not stay above its capital requirements, which include the SCB, it is subject to automatic restrictions on capital distributions and discretionary bonus payments.</p><p><blockquote>SCB框架于去年最终确定，总体上对大型银行保持强劲的资本要求，并提高了对最大和最复杂银行的要求。它通过压力测试设定资本要求，因此，银行被要求持有足够的资本来度过严重的衰退。如果一家银行（包括渣打银行）没有超过其资本要求，它将受到资本分配和酌情奖金支付的自动限制。</blockquote></p><p> Naturally this is great news,<b>and it means that banks no longer need the Fed's $120BN in monthly QE right?</b></p><p><blockquote>这自然是个好消息，<b>这意味着银行不再需要美联储每月1200亿美元的量化宽松，对吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Joking aside, having aced their tests the six largest US banks - a group that also includes Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs - will now pay out approximately $142 billion in capital to shareholders, paving the way for them to double total shareholder payouts in the next four quarters, according to data compiled by Bloomberg based on estimates provided by analysts at Barclays Plc.</p><p><blockquote>玩笑归玩笑，美国六大银行（还包括花旗集团、富国银行、摩根士丹利和高盛）在通过测试后，现在将向股东支付约1,420亿美元的资本，为它们将股东总额翻一番铺平道路根据彭博社根据巴克莱银行分析师提供的估计编制的数据，未来四个季度的股东派息。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c0f4f744baea705298a632057a1089d\" tg-width=\"642\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> For those wondering just what the Fed \"tested\" for,this year's hypothetical scenarioincludes a \"severe\" global recession with substantial stress in commercial real estate and corporate debt markets:</p><p><blockquote>对于那些想知道美联储“测试”了什么的人来说，今年的假设情景包括“严重”的全球衰退，商业房地产和公司债务市场面临巨大压力：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The unemployment rate rises by 4 percentage points to a peak of 10-3/4 percent.</li>  <li>Gross domestic product falls 4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 through the third quarter of 2022.</li>  <li>And asset prices decline sharply, with a 55 percent decline in equity prices (unclear how many trillions the Fed would have to inject in this scenario to stabilize stonks).</li> </ul> Under that scenario, the Fed calculated that<b>the 23 large banks would collectively lose more than $470 billion, with nearly $160 billion losses from commercial real estate and corporate loans.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>失业率上升4个百分点，达到10-3/4%的峰值。</li><li>从2020年第四季度到2022年第三季度，国内生产总值下降4%。</li><li>资产价格大幅下跌，股票价格下跌55%（不清楚在这种情况下美联储需要注入多少万亿美元来稳定stonks）。</li></ul>在这种情况下，美联储计算出<b>这23家大型银行总共将损失超过4700亿美元，其中商业房地产和企业贷款损失近1600亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p> Of banks headquartered in the US, investment banking groups Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley suffered the biggest hits to their capital ratios in the stress tests, with declines of 5.9 and 4.7 percentage points, respectively. This compared to an average decline of 2.4% points for the 23 banks that underwent the tests, which included the American subsidiaries of foreign banks with significant US operations.</p><p><blockquote>在总部位于美国的银行中，投资银行集团高盛和摩根士丹利的资本比率在压力测试中受到的打击最大，分别下降了5.9和4.7个百分点。相比之下，接受测试的23家银行平均下降了2.4%，其中包括在美国开展大量业务的外国银行的美国子公司。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cf2f5302333e2e68ae4bf1a48962627\" tg-width=\"819\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Even in a worst case scenario capital ratios would decline to only 10.6%, still more than double their minimum requirements.</p><p><blockquote>即使在最坏的情况下，资本比率也会降至仅10.6%，仍是最低要求的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Consumer debt accounted for a smaller portion of overall losses than previous years since most retail customers spent the past year paying down credit cards and other loans during the Covid-19 pandemic. But an increase in expected losses in commercial and industrial loans more than offset that decline. Nearly $160bn of the losses came from commercial real estate and corporate loans.</p><p><blockquote>与前几年相比，消费者债务在总体损失中所占的比例较小，因为大多数零售客户在过去一年中都在偿还信用卡和其他贷款。但商业和工业贷款预期损失的增加足以抵消这一下降。其中近1600亿美元的损失来自商业房地产和企业贷款。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/602b5d94c01e097ef93f83f6b70ade10\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> A summary of how the various bank capital ratios would be impact under the Fed's stress scenarios is shown below.</p><p><blockquote>下面总结了在美联储的压力情景下各种银行资本比率将受到的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8a6aa543d4ad0e3d044e4397a77ad2c\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"961\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Fed also said that, as expected, it would lift pandemic restrictions on bank share buybacks and dividends on June 30th after banks clear stress tests.</p><p><blockquote>美联储还表示，正如预期的那样，在银行通过压力测试后，将于6月30日取消对银行股票回购和股息的疫情限制。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is on Monday, June 28: the Fed expects banks to wait until then to analyze the results of the stress tests before announcing any plans for new shareholder payouts, according to senior Fed officials. Then, after the market close, banks can unveil their capital distribution plans. From the tests, the Fed will also prescribe for each bank how much CET1 capital in excess of regulatory minimums they need to keep through a so-called stress capital buffer. The CET1 ratio measured against risk-weighted assets is a crucial benchmark of financial stability.</p><p><blockquote>下一步是6月28日周一：美联储高级官员表示，美联储预计银行将等到那时分析压力测试的结果，然后再宣布任何新的股东派息计划。然后，收盘后，银行可以公布资本分配计划。根据测试，美联储还将为每家银行规定超过监管最低限额的CET1资本需要多少，以通过所谓的压力资本缓冲来维持。以风险加权资产衡量的CET1比率是金融稳定的重要基准。</blockquote></p><p> Barclays analysts estimate the median bank out of the 20 relevant institutions it covers will return over 100 per cent of its earnings to shareholders over the next year, with capital returned to investors approaching $200bn.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师估计，在其覆盖的20家相关机构中，中位数银行明年将向股东返还超过100%的收益，返还给投资者的资本接近2000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In immediate response, the market - which knew the outcome of the test well in advance - bid up bank stocks which rose in postmarket trading, with Bank of America leading the rally among big banks, rising 1.6%; Morgan Stanley +1%, Citigroup +0.9% and Wells Fargo +0.8%, JPMorgan +0.7%, Goldman Sachs +0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>市场立即做出反应，提前知道测试结果的银行股在盘后交易中上涨，其中美国银行在大银行中领涨，上涨1.6%；摩根士丹利+1%，花旗集团+0.9%，富国银行+0.8%，摩根大通+0.7%，高盛+0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1c7c394ce7aae8679dfe85b5e987060\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a670e03c93a58825a2398a12f3756c6b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> And while all of the above was exactly as expected, overnight Credit Suisse repo guru Zoltan Poszar warned of a potentially troubling twist.</p><p><blockquote>尽管上述所有情况完全符合预期，但隔夜瑞士信贷回购大师Zoltan Poszar警告称，可能会出现令人不安的转折。</blockquote></p><p> In his latest Global Money Dispatch, Pozsar notes that among other things, today's stress test results will determine the stress capital buffers (SCB) large banks will have to hold in 2022, which will affect their CET1 minimums. Naturally,<b>lower SCBs allow the largest U.S. banks to run with higher G-SIB surcharges, and this trade-off is particularly important for J.P. Morgan.</b>According to Pozsar,&nbsp; the bank will be more willing to let its G-SIB surcharge climb to 5% this year from 4% last year if its SCB comes in around 2.5%, down from 3.3% currently. As a result, today's release may have \"<i>a big impact on the pricing of the year-end turn in FX swaps: if J.P. Morgan’s SCB drops a lot, year-end premia might shrink a lot from here.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>Pozsar在最新的Global Money Dispatch中指出，除其他外，今天的压力测试结果将决定大型银行在2022年必须持有的压力资本缓冲(SCB)，这将影响其CET1最低水平。自然，<b>较低的SCB允许美国最大的银行以较高的G-SIB附加费运营，这种权衡对摩根大通尤为重要。</b>Pozsar表示，如果SCB附加费从目前的3.3%降至2.5%左右，该银行今年将更愿意让G-SIB附加费从去年的4%攀升至5%。因此，今天的发布可能会有“<i>对外汇掉期年终转向定价的重大影响：如果摩根大通的SCB大幅下跌，年终溢价可能会大幅缩水。”</i></blockquote></p><p> There's more: looking ahead to the June 30 expiration of stock buyback limitations, the Hungarian repo guru writes that<b>the upcoming wave of buybacks \"destroy balance sheet capacity in the banking system\" as banks that return capital to shareholders have less capital to leverage up.</b></p><p><blockquote>还有更多：展望6月30日股票回购限制到期，匈牙利回购大师写道<b>即将到来的回购浪潮“破坏了银行体系的资产负债表能力”，因为向股东返还资本的银行可利用的资本较少。</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's the math:<i>with a 5% Supplemental Liquidity Ratio minimum at the holdco level,</i><i><b>banks run 20-times leverage, which means that $10 billion in stock buybacks means $200 billion less of banks’ demand for reserves, Treasuries, MBS, and deposits.</b></i></p><p><blockquote>下面是数学：<i>控股公司层面的补充流动性比率最低为5%，</i><i><b>银行的杠杆率是20倍，这意味着100亿美元的股票回购意味着银行对准备金、国债、MBS和存款的需求减少2000亿美元。</b></i></blockquote></p><p> This means that as banks rush to handout cash to shareholders, they will be forced to park even more reserves elsewhere... like for example the Fed's reverse repo facility. This “push” by banks to shed capacity and potentially some deposits will meet the “sucking sound” of the RRP facility in coming weeks. It comes as usage of the Fed's reverse repo facility has been rising by tens of billions daily and on Wednesday just hit a record $813.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着，随着银行急于向股东发放现金，它们将被迫将更多准备金存放在其他地方……例如美联储的逆回购工具。未来几周，银行“推动”去产能和潜在的一些存款将受到RRP设施的“吮吸声”。与此同时，美联储逆回购工具的使用量每天增加数百亿美元，周三刚刚达到创纪录的8136亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/391bdb2316b81ed40abaf3e0280d35a1\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"628\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Now imagine what will happen to the RRP facility if banks indeed proceed to repurchase $142BN in stock; applying Pozsar's 20x leverage multiple, this means that bank balance sheets will shrink by just under $3 trillion, including trillions in reserves which will have to be parked at the Fed, which also means that in the coming weeks usage on the Fed's reserve facility is set to explode to unprecedented levels. This in turn will only accelerate the next funding crisis (now that the banking system has shifted from being asset constrained (deposits flooding in, but nowhere to lend them but to the Fed), to being liability constrained (deposits slipping away and nowhere to replace them but in the money market) thanks to the Fed's IOER/RRP rate hike), as we described in \"Powell Just Launched $2 Trillion In \"Heat-Seeking Missiles\": Zoltan Explains How The Fed Started The Next Repo Crisis.\"</p><p><blockquote>现在想象一下，如果银行真的着手回购1420亿美元的股票，RRP工具会发生什么；应用Pozsar的20倍杠杆倍数，这意味着银行资产负债表将缩水近3万亿美元，其中包括必须存放在美联储的数万亿美元准备金，这也意味着未来几周美联储准备金设施的使用量将达到前所未有的水平。这反过来只会加速下一场融资危机（现在银行体系已经从资产受限（存款涌入，但除了美联储无处可贷）转向负债受限（存款溜走，无处可替代，但在货币市场上得益于美联储的IOER/RRP加息）），正如我们在《鲍威尔刚刚发射了2万亿美元的“热寻导弹”：Zoltan解释美联储如何启动下一场回购危机》中所描述的那样。</blockquote></p><p> One final technical consideration from Zoltan is that the flattening of the yield curve in recent days hit bank stocks,<b>so banks may start buybacks on July 1st, which means banks might choose to stay liquid around quarter-end.</b>This will be an extra factor to consider in pricing the June quarter-end turn.</p><p><blockquote>Zoltan的最后一个技术考虑是，最近几天收益率曲线的平坦化打击了银行股，<b>因此，银行可能会在7月1日开始回购，这意味着银行可能会选择在季度末左右保持流动性。</b>这将是六月季度末定价时需要考虑的一个额外因素。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As Pozsar concludes,<b>\"ample liquidity is ample only if banks are willing to trade it, and trading liquidity means giving it up, which large banks might not want to do when the “pull” of the o/n RRP facility can complicate re-starting buybacks as early as July 1st.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote>Pozsar总结道，<b>“充足的流动性只有在银行愿意交易的情况下才是充足的，而交易流动性意味着放弃流动性，当o/n RRP工具的“拉动”可能会使最早于7月1日重新启动回购变得复杂时，大型银行可能不想这样做。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>All 23 US Banks Easily Pass Fed's Stress Test, Setting Stage For Billions In Buybacks<blockquote>所有23家美国银行轻松通过美联储压力测试，为数十亿美元的回购奠定基础</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAll 23 US Banks Easily Pass Fed's Stress Test, Setting Stage For Billions In Buybacks<blockquote>所有23家美国银行轻松通过美联储压力测试，为数十亿美元的回购奠定基础</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-25 15:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As wepreviewed earlier, today the Fed would release the latest bank Stress Test results, and as we also cynically expected, every bank would pass and sure enough moments ago theFederal Reserve announced that all banks easily clearedtheir annual bill of health, acing their annual stress test which found that banks could suffer almost $500 billion in losses and still comfortably meet capital requirements, setting the scene for hundreds of billions in stock buybacks and dividends.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们之前预览的那样，今天美联储将发布最新的银行压力测试结果，正如我们也愤世嫉俗地预期的那样，每家银行都会通过，果然，不久前美联储宣布所有银行都轻松通过了年度健康证明，在年度压力测试中名列前茅该测试发现，银行可能遭受近5000亿美元的损失，但仍能轻松满足资本要求，为数千亿美元的股票回购和股息奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> The \"test\" showed the country’s biggest banks could withstand $474 billion in losses from loans and other positions, and still emerge with more than double the required high-quality common equity tier one, or CET1, capital relative to their risk-weighted assets.</p><p><blockquote>该“测试”显示，美国最大的银行可以承受4740亿美元的贷款和其他头寸损失，并且相对于其风险加权资产，其所需的高质量普通股一级（CET1）资本仍是其两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> In a statement published by the Federal Reserve Board, the Fed said that the results of the annual bank stress test showed that large banks \"continue to have strong capital levels and could continue lending to households and businesses during a severe recession.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储在美国联邦储备委员会发布的声明中表示，年度银行压力测试结果显示，大型银行“继续拥有强劲的资本水平，在严重衰退期间可以继续向家庭和企业放贷”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Over the past year, the Federal Reserve has run three stress tests with several different hypothetical recessions and all have confirmed that the banking system is strongly positioned to support the ongoing recovery,\" said Vice Chair for Supervision Randal K. Quarles.</p><p><blockquote>监管副主席兰德尔·K·夸尔斯(Randal K.Quarles)表示：“过去一年，美联储针对几种不同的假设衰退进行了三次压力测试，所有测试都证实银行体系有能力支持持续的复苏。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>All 23 large banks tested remained well above their risk-based minimum capital requirements,</b>and as laid out previously by the Board, the additional restrictions put in place during the COVID event will end. As a result, all large banks will be subject to the normal restrictions of the Board's stress capital buffer, or SCB, framework.</p><p><blockquote><b>所有23家接受测试的大型银行仍远高于其基于风险的最低资本要求，</b>正如董事会之前所规定的，COVID事件期间实施的额外限制将会结束。因此，所有大型银行都将受到董事会压力资本缓冲（SCB）框架的正常限制。</blockquote></p><p> The SCB framework was finalized last year and maintains strong capital requirements in the aggregate for large banks with an increase in requirements for the largest and most complex banks. It sets capital requirements via the stress tests, and as a result, banks are required to hold enough capital to survive a severe recession. If a bank does not stay above its capital requirements, which include the SCB, it is subject to automatic restrictions on capital distributions and discretionary bonus payments.</p><p><blockquote>SCB框架于去年最终确定，总体上对大型银行保持强劲的资本要求，并提高了对最大和最复杂银行的要求。它通过压力测试设定资本要求，因此，银行被要求持有足够的资本来度过严重的衰退。如果一家银行（包括渣打银行）没有超过其资本要求，它将受到资本分配和酌情奖金支付的自动限制。</blockquote></p><p> Naturally this is great news,<b>and it means that banks no longer need the Fed's $120BN in monthly QE right?</b></p><p><blockquote>这自然是个好消息，<b>这意味着银行不再需要美联储每月1200亿美元的量化宽松，对吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Joking aside, having aced their tests the six largest US banks - a group that also includes Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs - will now pay out approximately $142 billion in capital to shareholders, paving the way for them to double total shareholder payouts in the next four quarters, according to data compiled by Bloomberg based on estimates provided by analysts at Barclays Plc.</p><p><blockquote>玩笑归玩笑，美国六大银行（还包括花旗集团、富国银行、摩根士丹利和高盛）在通过测试后，现在将向股东支付约1,420亿美元的资本，为它们将股东总额翻一番铺平道路根据彭博社根据巴克莱银行分析师提供的估计编制的数据，未来四个季度的股东派息。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c0f4f744baea705298a632057a1089d\" tg-width=\"642\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> For those wondering just what the Fed \"tested\" for,this year's hypothetical scenarioincludes a \"severe\" global recession with substantial stress in commercial real estate and corporate debt markets:</p><p><blockquote>对于那些想知道美联储“测试”了什么的人来说，今年的假设情景包括“严重”的全球衰退，商业房地产和公司债务市场面临巨大压力：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The unemployment rate rises by 4 percentage points to a peak of 10-3/4 percent.</li>  <li>Gross domestic product falls 4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 through the third quarter of 2022.</li>  <li>And asset prices decline sharply, with a 55 percent decline in equity prices (unclear how many trillions the Fed would have to inject in this scenario to stabilize stonks).</li> </ul> Under that scenario, the Fed calculated that<b>the 23 large banks would collectively lose more than $470 billion, with nearly $160 billion losses from commercial real estate and corporate loans.</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>失业率上升4个百分点，达到10-3/4%的峰值。</li><li>从2020年第四季度到2022年第三季度，国内生产总值下降4%。</li><li>资产价格大幅下跌，股票价格下跌55%（不清楚在这种情况下美联储需要注入多少万亿美元来稳定stonks）。</li></ul>在这种情况下，美联储计算出<b>这23家大型银行总共将损失超过4700亿美元，其中商业房地产和企业贷款损失近1600亿美元。</b></blockquote></p><p> Of banks headquartered in the US, investment banking groups Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley suffered the biggest hits to their capital ratios in the stress tests, with declines of 5.9 and 4.7 percentage points, respectively. This compared to an average decline of 2.4% points for the 23 banks that underwent the tests, which included the American subsidiaries of foreign banks with significant US operations.</p><p><blockquote>在总部位于美国的银行中，投资银行集团高盛和摩根士丹利的资本比率在压力测试中受到的打击最大，分别下降了5.9和4.7个百分点。相比之下，接受测试的23家银行平均下降了2.4%，其中包括在美国开展大量业务的外国银行的美国子公司。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cf2f5302333e2e68ae4bf1a48962627\" tg-width=\"819\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Even in a worst case scenario capital ratios would decline to only 10.6%, still more than double their minimum requirements.</p><p><blockquote>即使在最坏的情况下，资本比率也会降至仅10.6%，仍是最低要求的两倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Consumer debt accounted for a smaller portion of overall losses than previous years since most retail customers spent the past year paying down credit cards and other loans during the Covid-19 pandemic. But an increase in expected losses in commercial and industrial loans more than offset that decline. Nearly $160bn of the losses came from commercial real estate and corporate loans.</p><p><blockquote>与前几年相比，消费者债务在总体损失中所占的比例较小，因为大多数零售客户在过去一年中都在偿还信用卡和其他贷款。但商业和工业贷款预期损失的增加足以抵消这一下降。其中近1600亿美元的损失来自商业房地产和企业贷款。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/602b5d94c01e097ef93f83f6b70ade10\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> A summary of how the various bank capital ratios would be impact under the Fed's stress scenarios is shown below.</p><p><blockquote>下面总结了在美联储的压力情景下各种银行资本比率将受到的影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8a6aa543d4ad0e3d044e4397a77ad2c\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"961\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Fed also said that, as expected, it would lift pandemic restrictions on bank share buybacks and dividends on June 30th after banks clear stress tests.</p><p><blockquote>美联储还表示，正如预期的那样，在银行通过压力测试后，将于6月30日取消对银行股票回购和股息的疫情限制。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is on Monday, June 28: the Fed expects banks to wait until then to analyze the results of the stress tests before announcing any plans for new shareholder payouts, according to senior Fed officials. Then, after the market close, banks can unveil their capital distribution plans. From the tests, the Fed will also prescribe for each bank how much CET1 capital in excess of regulatory minimums they need to keep through a so-called stress capital buffer. The CET1 ratio measured against risk-weighted assets is a crucial benchmark of financial stability.</p><p><blockquote>下一步是6月28日周一：美联储高级官员表示，美联储预计银行将等到那时分析压力测试的结果，然后再宣布任何新的股东派息计划。然后，收盘后，银行可以公布资本分配计划。根据测试，美联储还将为每家银行规定超过监管最低限额的CET1资本需要多少，以通过所谓的压力资本缓冲来维持。以风险加权资产衡量的CET1比率是金融稳定的重要基准。</blockquote></p><p> Barclays analysts estimate the median bank out of the 20 relevant institutions it covers will return over 100 per cent of its earnings to shareholders over the next year, with capital returned to investors approaching $200bn.</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师估计，在其覆盖的20家相关机构中，中位数银行明年将向股东返还超过100%的收益，返还给投资者的资本接近2000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In immediate response, the market - which knew the outcome of the test well in advance - bid up bank stocks which rose in postmarket trading, with Bank of America leading the rally among big banks, rising 1.6%; Morgan Stanley +1%, Citigroup +0.9% and Wells Fargo +0.8%, JPMorgan +0.7%, Goldman Sachs +0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>市场立即做出反应，提前知道测试结果的银行股在盘后交易中上涨，其中美国银行在大银行中领涨，上涨1.6%；摩根士丹利+1%，花旗集团+0.9%，富国银行+0.8%，摩根大通+0.7%，高盛+0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1c7c394ce7aae8679dfe85b5e987060\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"335\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a670e03c93a58825a2398a12f3756c6b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> And while all of the above was exactly as expected, overnight Credit Suisse repo guru Zoltan Poszar warned of a potentially troubling twist.</p><p><blockquote>尽管上述所有情况完全符合预期，但隔夜瑞士信贷回购大师Zoltan Poszar警告称，可能会出现令人不安的转折。</blockquote></p><p> In his latest Global Money Dispatch, Pozsar notes that among other things, today's stress test results will determine the stress capital buffers (SCB) large banks will have to hold in 2022, which will affect their CET1 minimums. Naturally,<b>lower SCBs allow the largest U.S. banks to run with higher G-SIB surcharges, and this trade-off is particularly important for J.P. Morgan.</b>According to Pozsar,&nbsp; the bank will be more willing to let its G-SIB surcharge climb to 5% this year from 4% last year if its SCB comes in around 2.5%, down from 3.3% currently. As a result, today's release may have \"<i>a big impact on the pricing of the year-end turn in FX swaps: if J.P. Morgan’s SCB drops a lot, year-end premia might shrink a lot from here.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>Pozsar在最新的Global Money Dispatch中指出，除其他外，今天的压力测试结果将决定大型银行在2022年必须持有的压力资本缓冲(SCB)，这将影响其CET1最低水平。自然，<b>较低的SCB允许美国最大的银行以较高的G-SIB附加费运营，这种权衡对摩根大通尤为重要。</b>Pozsar表示，如果SCB附加费从目前的3.3%降至2.5%左右，该银行今年将更愿意让G-SIB附加费从去年的4%攀升至5%。因此，今天的发布可能会有“<i>对外汇掉期年终转向定价的重大影响：如果摩根大通的SCB大幅下跌，年终溢价可能会大幅缩水。”</i></blockquote></p><p> There's more: looking ahead to the June 30 expiration of stock buyback limitations, the Hungarian repo guru writes that<b>the upcoming wave of buybacks \"destroy balance sheet capacity in the banking system\" as banks that return capital to shareholders have less capital to leverage up.</b></p><p><blockquote>还有更多：展望6月30日股票回购限制到期，匈牙利回购大师写道<b>即将到来的回购浪潮“破坏了银行体系的资产负债表能力”，因为向股东返还资本的银行可利用的资本较少。</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's the math:<i>with a 5% Supplemental Liquidity Ratio minimum at the holdco level,</i><i><b>banks run 20-times leverage, which means that $10 billion in stock buybacks means $200 billion less of banks’ demand for reserves, Treasuries, MBS, and deposits.</b></i></p><p><blockquote>下面是数学：<i>控股公司层面的补充流动性比率最低为5%，</i><i><b>银行的杠杆率是20倍，这意味着100亿美元的股票回购意味着银行对准备金、国债、MBS和存款的需求减少2000亿美元。</b></i></blockquote></p><p> This means that as banks rush to handout cash to shareholders, they will be forced to park even more reserves elsewhere... like for example the Fed's reverse repo facility. This “push” by banks to shed capacity and potentially some deposits will meet the “sucking sound” of the RRP facility in coming weeks. It comes as usage of the Fed's reverse repo facility has been rising by tens of billions daily and on Wednesday just hit a record $813.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着，随着银行急于向股东发放现金，它们将被迫将更多准备金存放在其他地方……例如美联储的逆回购工具。未来几周，银行“推动”去产能和潜在的一些存款将受到RRP设施的“吮吸声”。与此同时，美联储逆回购工具的使用量每天增加数百亿美元，周三刚刚达到创纪录的8136亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/391bdb2316b81ed40abaf3e0280d35a1\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"628\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Now imagine what will happen to the RRP facility if banks indeed proceed to repurchase $142BN in stock; applying Pozsar's 20x leverage multiple, this means that bank balance sheets will shrink by just under $3 trillion, including trillions in reserves which will have to be parked at the Fed, which also means that in the coming weeks usage on the Fed's reserve facility is set to explode to unprecedented levels. This in turn will only accelerate the next funding crisis (now that the banking system has shifted from being asset constrained (deposits flooding in, but nowhere to lend them but to the Fed), to being liability constrained (deposits slipping away and nowhere to replace them but in the money market) thanks to the Fed's IOER/RRP rate hike), as we described in \"Powell Just Launched $2 Trillion In \"Heat-Seeking Missiles\": Zoltan Explains How The Fed Started The Next Repo Crisis.\"</p><p><blockquote>现在想象一下，如果银行真的着手回购1420亿美元的股票，RRP工具会发生什么；应用Pozsar的20倍杠杆倍数，这意味着银行资产负债表将缩水近3万亿美元，其中包括必须存放在美联储的数万亿美元准备金，这也意味着未来几周美联储准备金设施的使用量将达到前所未有的水平。这反过来只会加速下一场融资危机（现在银行体系已经从资产受限（存款涌入，但除了美联储无处可贷）转向负债受限（存款溜走，无处可替代，但在货币市场上得益于美联储的IOER/RRP加息）），正如我们在《鲍威尔刚刚发射了2万亿美元的“热寻导弹”：Zoltan解释美联储如何启动下一场回购危机》中所描述的那样。</blockquote></p><p> One final technical consideration from Zoltan is that the flattening of the yield curve in recent days hit bank stocks,<b>so banks may start buybacks on July 1st, which means banks might choose to stay liquid around quarter-end.</b>This will be an extra factor to consider in pricing the June quarter-end turn.</p><p><blockquote>Zoltan的最后一个技术考虑是，最近几天收益率曲线的平坦化打击了银行股，<b>因此，银行可能会在7月1日开始回购，这意味着银行可能会选择在季度末左右保持流动性。</b>这将是六月季度末定价时需要考虑的一个额外因素。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> As Pozsar concludes,<b>\"ample liquidity is ample only if banks are willing to trade it, and trading liquidity means giving it up, which large banks might not want to do when the “pull” of the o/n RRP facility can complicate re-starting buybacks as early as July 1st.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote>Pozsar总结道，<b>“充足的流动性只有在银行愿意交易的情况下才是充足的，而交易流动性意味着放弃流动性，当o/n RRP工具的“拉动”可能会使最早于7月1日重新启动回购变得复杂时，大型银行可能不想这样做。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/all-23-us-banks-easily-pass-feds-stress-test-setting-stage-billions-buybacks\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行","GS":"高盛","JPM":"摩根大通","BAC":"美国银行","C":"花旗","MS":"摩根士丹利","KBE":"银行指数ETF-SPDR KBW"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/all-23-us-banks-easily-pass-feds-stress-test-setting-stage-billions-buybacks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108214079","content_text":"As wepreviewed earlier, today the Fed would release the latest bank Stress Test results, and as we also cynically expected, every bank would pass and sure enough moments ago theFederal Reserve announced that all banks easily clearedtheir annual bill of health, acing their annual stress test which found that banks could suffer almost $500 billion in losses and still comfortably meet capital requirements, setting the scene for hundreds of billions in stock buybacks and dividends.\nThe \"test\" showed the country’s biggest banks could withstand $474 billion in losses from loans and other positions, and still emerge with more than double the required high-quality common equity tier one, or CET1, capital relative to their risk-weighted assets.\nIn a statement published by the Federal Reserve Board, the Fed said that the results of the annual bank stress test showed that large banks \"continue to have strong capital levels and could continue lending to households and businesses during a severe recession.\"\n\"Over the past year, the Federal Reserve has run three stress tests with several different hypothetical recessions and all have confirmed that the banking system is strongly positioned to support the ongoing recovery,\" said Vice Chair for Supervision Randal K. Quarles.\nAll 23 large banks tested remained well above their risk-based minimum capital requirements,and as laid out previously by the Board, the additional restrictions put in place during the COVID event will end. As a result, all large banks will be subject to the normal restrictions of the Board's stress capital buffer, or SCB, framework.\nThe SCB framework was finalized last year and maintains strong capital requirements in the aggregate for large banks with an increase in requirements for the largest and most complex banks. It sets capital requirements via the stress tests, and as a result, banks are required to hold enough capital to survive a severe recession. If a bank does not stay above its capital requirements, which include the SCB, it is subject to automatic restrictions on capital distributions and discretionary bonus payments.\nNaturally this is great news,and it means that banks no longer need the Fed's $120BN in monthly QE right?\nJoking aside, having aced their tests the six largest US banks - a group that also includes Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs - will now pay out approximately $142 billion in capital to shareholders, paving the way for them to double total shareholder payouts in the next four quarters, according to data compiled by Bloomberg based on estimates provided by analysts at Barclays Plc.\n\nFor those wondering just what the Fed \"tested\" for,this year's hypothetical scenarioincludes a \"severe\" global recession with substantial stress in commercial real estate and corporate debt markets:\n\nThe unemployment rate rises by 4 percentage points to a peak of 10-3/4 percent.\nGross domestic product falls 4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 through the third quarter of 2022.\nAnd asset prices decline sharply, with a 55 percent decline in equity prices (unclear how many trillions the Fed would have to inject in this scenario to stabilize stonks).\n\nUnder that scenario, the Fed calculated thatthe 23 large banks would collectively lose more than $470 billion, with nearly $160 billion losses from commercial real estate and corporate loans.\nOf banks headquartered in the US, investment banking groups Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley suffered the biggest hits to their capital ratios in the stress tests, with declines of 5.9 and 4.7 percentage points, respectively. This compared to an average decline of 2.4% points for the 23 banks that underwent the tests, which included the American subsidiaries of foreign banks with significant US operations.\n\nEven in a worst case scenario capital ratios would decline to only 10.6%, still more than double their minimum requirements.\nConsumer debt accounted for a smaller portion of overall losses than previous years since most retail customers spent the past year paying down credit cards and other loans during the Covid-19 pandemic. But an increase in expected losses in commercial and industrial loans more than offset that decline. Nearly $160bn of the losses came from commercial real estate and corporate loans.\n\nA summary of how the various bank capital ratios would be impact under the Fed's stress scenarios is shown below.\n\nThe Fed also said that, as expected, it would lift pandemic restrictions on bank share buybacks and dividends on June 30th after banks clear stress tests.\nThe next step is on Monday, June 28: the Fed expects banks to wait until then to analyze the results of the stress tests before announcing any plans for new shareholder payouts, according to senior Fed officials. Then, after the market close, banks can unveil their capital distribution plans. From the tests, the Fed will also prescribe for each bank how much CET1 capital in excess of regulatory minimums they need to keep through a so-called stress capital buffer. The CET1 ratio measured against risk-weighted assets is a crucial benchmark of financial stability.\nBarclays analysts estimate the median bank out of the 20 relevant institutions it covers will return over 100 per cent of its earnings to shareholders over the next year, with capital returned to investors approaching $200bn.\nIn immediate response, the market - which knew the outcome of the test well in advance - bid up bank stocks which rose in postmarket trading, with Bank of America leading the rally among big banks, rising 1.6%; Morgan Stanley +1%, Citigroup +0.9% and Wells Fargo +0.8%, JPMorgan +0.7%, Goldman Sachs +0.6%.\n\n* * *\nAnd while all of the above was exactly as expected, overnight Credit Suisse repo guru Zoltan Poszar warned of a potentially troubling twist.\nIn his latest Global Money Dispatch, Pozsar notes that among other things, today's stress test results will determine the stress capital buffers (SCB) large banks will have to hold in 2022, which will affect their CET1 minimums. Naturally,lower SCBs allow the largest U.S. banks to run with higher G-SIB surcharges, and this trade-off is particularly important for J.P. Morgan.According to Pozsar,  the bank will be more willing to let its G-SIB surcharge climb to 5% this year from 4% last year if its SCB comes in around 2.5%, down from 3.3% currently. As a result, today's release may have \"a big impact on the pricing of the year-end turn in FX swaps: if J.P. Morgan’s SCB drops a lot, year-end premia might shrink a lot from here.\"\nThere's more: looking ahead to the June 30 expiration of stock buyback limitations, the Hungarian repo guru writes thatthe upcoming wave of buybacks \"destroy balance sheet capacity in the banking system\" as banks that return capital to shareholders have less capital to leverage up.\nHere's the math:with a 5% Supplemental Liquidity Ratio minimum at the holdco level,banks run 20-times leverage, which means that $10 billion in stock buybacks means $200 billion less of banks’ demand for reserves, Treasuries, MBS, and deposits.\nThis means that as banks rush to handout cash to shareholders, they will be forced to park even more reserves elsewhere... like for example the Fed's reverse repo facility. This “push” by banks to shed capacity and potentially some deposits will meet the “sucking sound” of the RRP facility in coming weeks. It comes as usage of the Fed's reverse repo facility has been rising by tens of billions daily and on Wednesday just hit a record $813.6 billion.\n\nNow imagine what will happen to the RRP facility if banks indeed proceed to repurchase $142BN in stock; applying Pozsar's 20x leverage multiple, this means that bank balance sheets will shrink by just under $3 trillion, including trillions in reserves which will have to be parked at the Fed, which also means that in the coming weeks usage on the Fed's reserve facility is set to explode to unprecedented levels. This in turn will only accelerate the next funding crisis (now that the banking system has shifted from being asset constrained (deposits flooding in, but nowhere to lend them but to the Fed), to being liability constrained (deposits slipping away and nowhere to replace them but in the money market) thanks to the Fed's IOER/RRP rate hike), as we described in \"Powell Just Launched $2 Trillion In \"Heat-Seeking Missiles\": Zoltan Explains How The Fed Started The Next Repo Crisis.\"\nOne final technical consideration from Zoltan is that the flattening of the yield curve in recent days hit bank stocks,so banks may start buybacks on July 1st, which means banks might choose to stay liquid around quarter-end.This will be an extra factor to consider in pricing the June quarter-end turn.\nAs Pozsar concludes,\"ample liquidity is ample only if banks are willing to trade it, and trading liquidity means giving it up, which large banks might not want to do when the “pull” of the o/n RRP facility can complicate re-starting buybacks as early as July 1st.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"C":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"KBE":0.9,"MS":0.9,"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128963225,"gmtCreate":1624498348267,"gmtModify":1634005248345,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like this news very much.&nbsp;","listText":"Like this news very much.&nbsp;","text":"Like this news very much.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128963225","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129151175,"gmtCreate":1624366463597,"gmtModify":1634007230766,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks good.","listText":"Looks good.","text":"Looks good.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129151175","repostId":"1110726798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110726798","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624362092,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110726798?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 19:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110726798","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.\nTorchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.\nGameStop Jumps ","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.</li>  <li>Torchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.</li>  <li>GameStop Jumps After Raising More Than $1 Billion in New Shares.</li>  <li>GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June 22)&nbsp;Stock futures rose Tuesday morning to build on gains from a day earlier, with equities recovering from concerns over the path forward for monetary policy last week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货上涨，延续了早些时候的涨幅。</li><li>Torchlight Energy价格盘前上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站在新股融资超过10亿美元后股价上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站、MicroVision、Sanderson Farms等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月22日）股指期货周二上午上涨，延续前一天的涨幅，股市从上周对货币政策前进方向的担忧中恢复过来。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:47&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.07%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.75 points, or 0.14%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 39.25 points, or 0.28%.</p><p><blockquote>早上7点47分。美国东部时间，道指e-minis上涨23点，涨幅0.07%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.75点，涨幅0.14%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨39.25点，涨幅0.28%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/127a76b6bde89676371162b1b268b550\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：游戏驿站、MicroVision、桑德森农场等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;GameStop(GME)</b> – The videogame retailer's stock jumped 6.8% in the premarket after it had announced it had completed a previously announced sale of 5 million common shares, raising $1.126 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）游戏驿站（GME）</b>–这家视频游戏零售商宣布已完成之前宣布的500万股普通股出售，筹集11.26亿美元，该公司股价在盘前上涨6.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;MicroVision(MVIS)</b> – MicroVision shares slid 10.8% in the premarket after the laser technology company said it would sell up to $140 million of stock \"from time to time\" and use the funds for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）微视（MVIS）</b>–MicroVision股价盘前下跌10.8%，此前这家激光技术公司表示将“不时”出售最多1.4亿美元的股票，并将资金用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sanderson Farms(SAFM) </b>– Sanderson Farms is exploring a possible sale, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The paper said the poultry producer has already drawn interest from suitors such as agricultural investment firm Continental Grain. The stock surged 10% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）桑德森农场（SAFM）</b>-据接受《华尔街日报》采访的知情人士透露，桑德森农场正在探索可能的出售。该报称，这家家禽生产商已经引起了农业投资公司Continental Grain等追求者的兴趣。该股在盘前上涨10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)</b> – Torchlight shares gained another 4.9% in premarket trading after a 58% surge in Monday's trading. The oil and gas producer is among the stocks getting increased social media attention on sites like Reddit and Stocktwits.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)火炬之光能源(TRCH)</b>-Torchlight股价在周一交易中飙升58%后，在盘前交易中又上涨4.9%。这家石油和天然气生产商是Reddit和Stocktwits等网站上社交媒体关注度越来越高的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Alphabet(GOOGL) </b>– The European Unionhas opened a formal antitrust probeof Google's digital ad practices. Part of the investigation will cover some of the same areas involved in a case filed by several U.S. states against the Alphabet operation last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）Alphabet（GOOGL）</b>-欧盟对谷歌的数字广告行为展开了正式的反垄断调查。部分调查将涵盖去年美国几个州针对Alphabet行动提起的案件所涉及的一些相同领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Korn Ferry(KFY)</b> – The consulting firm reported quarterly earnings of $1.21 per share, beating the consensus estimate of 98 cents a share. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well, boosted by its services that help businesses with organizational issues.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）光辉国际（KFY）</b>–该咨询公司报告季度收益为每股1.21美元，超出普遍预期的每股98美分。得益于帮助企业解决组织问题的服务，收入也超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Plug Power(PLUG)</b> – The alternative energy provider lost 12 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 8 cents a share loss analysts were expecting. Revenue also came in below estimates. The company said it was hurt by short-term issues – such as hydrogen shortages and the Texas freeze – which are abating in the current quarter. Plug Power shares gained 1.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）普拉格能源（插头）</b>–这家替代能源提供商最近一个季度每股亏损12美分，高于分析师预期的每股8美分。收入也低于预期。该公司表示，它受到了短期问题的损害，例如氢气短缺和德克萨斯州冰冻，这些问题在本季度正在缓解。普拉格能源股价在盘前交易中上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Boeing(BA)</b> – Boeing announced the departure of lobbyist and political strategist Tim Keating. No reason was given for Keating’s departure, though the company said a search is underway for a permanent replacement. Keating was a key figure helping Boeing navigate the crisis that followed two fatal crashes of the company’s 737 Max jet.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）波音（BA）</b>——波音宣布说客、政治战略家蒂姆·基廷离职。基廷没有给出离职的原因，但该公司表示正在寻找永久替代者。基廷是帮助波音公司度过该公司737 Max喷气式飞机发生两起致命坠机事件后危机的关键人物。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Delta Air Lines(DAL) </b>– Delta plans to hire 1,000 more pilots by next summer, according to an internal company memo. The move comes amid a rebound in travel, with Delta saying the leisure travel is already back to pre-pandemic levels and business travel is picking up as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)达美航空(DAL)</b>-根据公司内部备忘录，达美航空计划在明年夏天之前再雇佣1,000名飞行员。此举正值旅游业反弹之际，达美航空表示，休闲旅行已经恢复到大流行前的水平，商务旅行也在回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Lordstown Motors(RIDE)</b> – Lordstown remains on watch today following a 5.5% Monday drop. The electric vehicle maker’s executive chairman Angela Strand said the company is “evaluating strategic partners” as part of its search for new funding.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)洛兹敦汽车公司(RIDE)</b>-继周一下跌5.5%后，洛兹敦今天仍受到关注。这家电动汽车制造商的执行主席安吉拉·斯特兰德表示，该公司正在“评估战略合作伙伴”，作为寻找新资金的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Exxon Mobil is denying a Bloomberg report that it plans to cut 5% to 10% of its office workforce annually over the next three to five years. Exxon told CNBC it is merely going through its annual employee assessments, which are unrelated to workforce reductions.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>-埃克森美孚否认了彭博社的一份报告，该报告称该公司计划在未来三到五年内每年裁员5%到10%。埃克森美孚告诉CNBC，它只是在进行年度员工评估，这与裁员无关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;CrowdStrike(CRWD) </b>– CrowdStrike was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which points to the cybersecurity company’s potential to increase profit margins and its ability to acquire new customers. CrowdStrike gained 2.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)CrowdStrike(CRWD)</b>–Stifel Financial将CrowdStrike的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，这表明这家网络安全公司具有提高利润率的潜力及其获取新客户的能力。CrowdStrike盘前上涨2.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-22 19:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.</li>  <li>Torchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.</li>  <li>GameStop Jumps After Raising More Than $1 Billion in New Shares.</li>  <li>GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June 22)&nbsp;Stock futures rose Tuesday morning to build on gains from a day earlier, with equities recovering from concerns over the path forward for monetary policy last week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货上涨，延续了早些时候的涨幅。</li><li>Torchlight Energy价格盘前上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站在新股融资超过10亿美元后股价上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站、MicroVision、Sanderson Farms等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月22日）股指期货周二上午上涨，延续前一天的涨幅，股市从上周对货币政策前进方向的担忧中恢复过来。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:47&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.07%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.75 points, or 0.14%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 39.25 points, or 0.28%.</p><p><blockquote>早上7点47分。美国东部时间，道指e-minis上涨23点，涨幅0.07%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.75点，涨幅0.14%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨39.25点，涨幅0.28%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/127a76b6bde89676371162b1b268b550\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：游戏驿站、MicroVision、桑德森农场等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;GameStop(GME)</b> – The videogame retailer's stock jumped 6.8% in the premarket after it had announced it had completed a previously announced sale of 5 million common shares, raising $1.126 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）游戏驿站（GME）</b>–这家视频游戏零售商宣布已完成之前宣布的500万股普通股出售，筹集11.26亿美元，该公司股价在盘前上涨6.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;MicroVision(MVIS)</b> – MicroVision shares slid 10.8% in the premarket after the laser technology company said it would sell up to $140 million of stock \"from time to time\" and use the funds for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）微视（MVIS）</b>–MicroVision股价盘前下跌10.8%，此前这家激光技术公司表示将“不时”出售最多1.4亿美元的股票，并将资金用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sanderson Farms(SAFM) </b>– Sanderson Farms is exploring a possible sale, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The paper said the poultry producer has already drawn interest from suitors such as agricultural investment firm Continental Grain. The stock surged 10% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）桑德森农场（SAFM）</b>-据接受《华尔街日报》采访的知情人士透露，桑德森农场正在探索可能的出售。该报称，这家家禽生产商已经引起了农业投资公司Continental Grain等追求者的兴趣。该股在盘前上涨10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)</b> – Torchlight shares gained another 4.9% in premarket trading after a 58% surge in Monday's trading. The oil and gas producer is among the stocks getting increased social media attention on sites like Reddit and Stocktwits.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)火炬之光能源(TRCH)</b>-Torchlight股价在周一交易中飙升58%后，在盘前交易中又上涨4.9%。这家石油和天然气生产商是Reddit和Stocktwits等网站上社交媒体关注度越来越高的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Alphabet(GOOGL) </b>– The European Unionhas opened a formal antitrust probeof Google's digital ad practices. Part of the investigation will cover some of the same areas involved in a case filed by several U.S. states against the Alphabet operation last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）Alphabet（GOOGL）</b>-欧盟对谷歌的数字广告行为展开了正式的反垄断调查。部分调查将涵盖去年美国几个州针对Alphabet行动提起的案件所涉及的一些相同领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Korn Ferry(KFY)</b> – The consulting firm reported quarterly earnings of $1.21 per share, beating the consensus estimate of 98 cents a share. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well, boosted by its services that help businesses with organizational issues.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）光辉国际（KFY）</b>–该咨询公司报告季度收益为每股1.21美元，超出普遍预期的每股98美分。得益于帮助企业解决组织问题的服务，收入也超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Plug Power(PLUG)</b> – The alternative energy provider lost 12 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 8 cents a share loss analysts were expecting. Revenue also came in below estimates. The company said it was hurt by short-term issues – such as hydrogen shortages and the Texas freeze – which are abating in the current quarter. Plug Power shares gained 1.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）普拉格能源（插头）</b>–这家替代能源提供商最近一个季度每股亏损12美分，高于分析师预期的每股8美分。收入也低于预期。该公司表示，它受到了短期问题的损害，例如氢气短缺和德克萨斯州冰冻，这些问题在本季度正在缓解。普拉格能源股价在盘前交易中上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Boeing(BA)</b> – Boeing announced the departure of lobbyist and political strategist Tim Keating. No reason was given for Keating’s departure, though the company said a search is underway for a permanent replacement. Keating was a key figure helping Boeing navigate the crisis that followed two fatal crashes of the company’s 737 Max jet.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）波音（BA）</b>——波音宣布说客、政治战略家蒂姆·基廷离职。基廷没有给出离职的原因，但该公司表示正在寻找永久替代者。基廷是帮助波音公司度过该公司737 Max喷气式飞机发生两起致命坠机事件后危机的关键人物。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Delta Air Lines(DAL) </b>– Delta plans to hire 1,000 more pilots by next summer, according to an internal company memo. The move comes amid a rebound in travel, with Delta saying the leisure travel is already back to pre-pandemic levels and business travel is picking up as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)达美航空(DAL)</b>-根据公司内部备忘录，达美航空计划在明年夏天之前再雇佣1,000名飞行员。此举正值旅游业反弹之际，达美航空表示，休闲旅行已经恢复到大流行前的水平，商务旅行也在回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Lordstown Motors(RIDE)</b> – Lordstown remains on watch today following a 5.5% Monday drop. The electric vehicle maker’s executive chairman Angela Strand said the company is “evaluating strategic partners” as part of its search for new funding.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)洛兹敦汽车公司(RIDE)</b>-继周一下跌5.5%后，洛兹敦今天仍受到关注。这家电动汽车制造商的执行主席安吉拉·斯特兰德表示，该公司正在“评估战略合作伙伴”，作为寻找新资金的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Exxon Mobil is denying a Bloomberg report that it plans to cut 5% to 10% of its office workforce annually over the next three to five years. Exxon told CNBC it is merely going through its annual employee assessments, which are unrelated to workforce reductions.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>-埃克森美孚否认了彭博社的一份报告，该报告称该公司计划在未来三到五年内每年裁员5%到10%。埃克森美孚告诉CNBC，它只是在进行年度员工评估，这与裁员无关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;CrowdStrike(CRWD) </b>– CrowdStrike was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which points to the cybersecurity company’s potential to increase profit margins and its ability to acquire new customers. CrowdStrike gained 2.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)CrowdStrike(CRWD)</b>–Stifel Financial将CrowdStrike的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，这表明这家网络安全公司具有提高利润率的潜力及其获取新客户的能力。CrowdStrike盘前上涨2.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110726798","content_text":"Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.\nTorchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.\nGameStop Jumps After Raising More Than $1 Billion in New Shares.\nGameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms & more made the biggest moves in the premarket.\n\n(June 22) Stock futures rose Tuesday morning to build on gains from a day earlier, with equities recovering from concerns over the path forward for monetary policy last week.\nAt 7:47 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.07%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 5.75 points, or 0.14%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 39.25 points, or 0.28%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms & more\n1) GameStop(GME) – The videogame retailer's stock jumped 6.8% in the premarket after it had announced it had completed a previously announced sale of 5 million common shares, raising $1.126 billion.\n2) MicroVision(MVIS) – MicroVision shares slid 10.8% in the premarket after the laser technology company said it would sell up to $140 million of stock \"from time to time\" and use the funds for general corporate purposes.\n3) Sanderson Farms(SAFM) – Sanderson Farms is exploring a possible sale, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The paper said the poultry producer has already drawn interest from suitors such as agricultural investment firm Continental Grain. The stock surged 10% in premarket action.\n4) Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH) – Torchlight shares gained another 4.9% in premarket trading after a 58% surge in Monday's trading. The oil and gas producer is among the stocks getting increased social media attention on sites like Reddit and Stocktwits.\n5) Alphabet(GOOGL) – The European Unionhas opened a formal antitrust probeof Google's digital ad practices. Part of the investigation will cover some of the same areas involved in a case filed by several U.S. states against the Alphabet operation last year.\n6) Korn Ferry(KFY) – The consulting firm reported quarterly earnings of $1.21 per share, beating the consensus estimate of 98 cents a share. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well, boosted by its services that help businesses with organizational issues.\n7) Plug Power(PLUG) – The alternative energy provider lost 12 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 8 cents a share loss analysts were expecting. Revenue also came in below estimates. The company said it was hurt by short-term issues – such as hydrogen shortages and the Texas freeze – which are abating in the current quarter. Plug Power shares gained 1.4% in premarket trading.\n8) Boeing(BA) – Boeing announced the departure of lobbyist and political strategist Tim Keating. No reason was given for Keating’s departure, though the company said a search is underway for a permanent replacement. Keating was a key figure helping Boeing navigate the crisis that followed two fatal crashes of the company’s 737 Max jet.\n9) Delta Air Lines(DAL) – Delta plans to hire 1,000 more pilots by next summer, according to an internal company memo. The move comes amid a rebound in travel, with Delta saying the leisure travel is already back to pre-pandemic levels and business travel is picking up as well.\n10) Lordstown Motors(RIDE) – Lordstown remains on watch today following a 5.5% Monday drop. The electric vehicle maker’s executive chairman Angela Strand said the company is “evaluating strategic partners” as part of its search for new funding.\n11) Exxon Mobil(XOM) – Exxon Mobil is denying a Bloomberg report that it plans to cut 5% to 10% of its office workforce annually over the next three to five years. Exxon told CNBC it is merely going through its annual employee assessments, which are unrelated to workforce reductions.\n12) CrowdStrike(CRWD) – CrowdStrike was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which points to the cybersecurity company’s potential to increase profit margins and its ability to acquire new customers. CrowdStrike gained 2.8% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129153722,"gmtCreate":1624366442766,"gmtModify":1634007230988,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hopefully it will go all time high.","listText":"Hopefully it will go all time high.","text":"Hopefully it will go all time high.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129153722","repostId":"129167338","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":129167338,"gmtCreate":1624365759324,"gmtModify":1624365759324,"author":{"id":"3432276741707889","authorId":"3432276741707889","name":"斗战胜佛巴菲特","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/640a5089fbb2259ce7da62d8c047b9bc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3432276741707889","idStr":"3432276741707889"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>今晚能嗨一下吗？都阴跌好多天了！哎<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>今晚能嗨一下吗？都阴跌好多天了！哎<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>","text":"$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$今晚能嗨一下吗？都阴跌好多天了！哎$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$道琼斯(.DJI)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4907a156d6fc3ad730922d5b288ff066","width":"4032","height":"3024"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129167338","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166378404,"gmtCreate":1623994156108,"gmtModify":1634024407199,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy baba! Like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Buy baba! Like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Buy baba! Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166378404","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，当时BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，当时BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182380964,"gmtCreate":1623553867358,"gmtModify":1634031812236,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All the way up.","listText":"All the way up.","text":"All the way up.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182380964","repostId":"1185020128","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185020128","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623537503,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185020128?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-13 06:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meme Stock Soars 1,000% To Lead These Two Top Small Cap Stock Plays<blockquote>Meme股票飙升1,000%，领跑这两只顶级小盘股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185020128","media":"investors","summary":"GameStop may be the top holding in SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value, but that's not the only reason the ","content":"<p>GameStop may be the top holding in SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value, but that's not the only reason the ETF is beating its growth-stock counterpart.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站可能是SPDR S&amp;P 600小型股价值中最大的持股，但这并不是该ETF击败成长型股票的唯一原因。</blockquote></p><p> The $4.2 billion value fund tracks the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Value Index (SLYV), composed of stocks with the strongest value traits based on book value to price ratio, earnings to price ratio, and sales to price ratio. SLYV rallied 32% this year through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>这只价值42亿美元的价值基金追踪S&amp;P SmallCap 600价值指数(SLYV)，该指数由根据账面价值与价格比率、市盈率和销售价格比率具有最强价值特征的股票组成。截至周四收盘，SLYV今年上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> That more than doubles the return of its growth stock counterpart, SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth (SLYG), which is up 15%. The index SLYG tracks includes stocks with the strongest growth traits based on sales growth, earnings change to price and momentum.</p><p><blockquote>这是成长型股票SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth(SLYG)回报率的两倍多，后者上涨了15%。SLYG跟踪的指数包括基于销售增长、盈利价格变化和动量的增长特征最强的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Back to SLYV, financials accounted for the biggest sector weight at 24% of assets. Industrials weighed in at about 17%, consumer discretionary 15% and real estate 10%. Information technology was next at 8% and materials, energy and health care, 6% each.&nbsp;Smaller positions in consumer staples, utilities and communication services made up the rest.</p><p><blockquote>回到SLYV，金融业占资产比重最大，占资产的24%。工业股约占17%，非必需消费品股15%，房地产股10%。其次是信息技术，占8%，材料、能源和医疗保健，各占6%。消费品、公用事业和通信服务的较小头寸占其余部分。</blockquote></p><p> SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value is in IBD's ETF Leaders, but SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth is not.</p><p><blockquote>SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value位居IBD ETF领先者之列，但SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth则不然。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GameStop Stock Leads</b></p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站股票领先</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>GameStop</b>(GME),<b>Macy's</b>(M),<b>PDC Energy</b>(PDCE),<b>Resideo Technologies</b>(REZI) and<b>BankUnited</b>(BKU) were the top five holdings as of Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站</b>（GME），<b>梅西百货</b>(M)，<b>PDC能源</b>（PDCE），<b>Resideo技术</b>（雷齐）和<b>联合银行</b>(BKU)是截至周三的前五大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pacific Premier Bancorp</b>(PPBI),<b>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond</b>(BBBY),<b>Ameris Bancorp</b>(ABCB),<b>First Hawaiian</b>(FHB) and<b>Insight Enterprises</b>(NSIT) rounded out the top 10.</p><p><blockquote><b>太平洋卓越银行</b>（PPBI），<b>贝德柏士比昂公司</b>（BBBY），<b>美国银行</b>（ABCB），<b>第一夏威夷人</b>（FHB）和<b>洞察企业</b>(NSIT)跻身前十名。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop has undergone wide swings this year. It rocketed about 2,500% early this year amid theshort-squeeze rallyfueled by the Reddit/WallStreetBets crowd.GME stockthen crashed 92% from a Jan. 28 high to its mid-February low. That was followed by an 805% surge the next three weeks, and a 66% drop over the next two weeks.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站今年经历了大幅波动。今年早些时候，在Reddit/WallStreetBets人群推动的空头挤压反弹中，该股飙升了约2,500%。GME股票随后从1月28日的高点暴跌92%至2月中旬的低点。随后在接下来的三周内飙升805%，在接下来的两周内下跌66%。</blockquote></p><p> Action had been relatively subdued since, until Thursday's 27% dive. Even after that, GameStop stock was up 1,070% year to date through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>此后，股价一直相对低迷，直到周四暴跌27%。即便如此，截至周四收盘，游戏驿站股价今年迄今仍上涨了1,070%。</blockquote></p><p> Could GME be inflating SLYV's performance? Certainly, given its quadruple-digit gain. But a look at SLYG's portfolio is interesting. GameStop stock is also the top holding in the growth stock ETF, though the rest of the top 10 differ vastly.</p><p><blockquote>GME会夸大SLYV的业绩吗？当然，考虑到其四位数的增益。但看看SLYG的投资组合很有趣。游戏驿站股票也是成长型股票ETF中持股最多的股票，尽管前10名中的其他股票差异很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Second Meme Stock In Top 10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前十名中的第二只模因股票</b></blockquote></p><p> PDC Energy, up 130%, saw the next biggest gain in the top 10. The Colorado-based oil and gas explorer has a 97Relative Strength Rating, which mean it's in the top 3% of all stocks. Its relative strength line is at a 52-week high, a bullish sign.</p><p><blockquote>PDC Energy上涨130%，在前十名中涨幅第二大。这家总部位于科罗拉多州的石油和天然气勘探公司的相对强度评级为97，这意味着它在所有股票中排名前3%。其相对强弱线位于52周高点，这是一个看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> Bed Bath &amp; Beyond, another meme stock, is up 78% this year. Shares surged more than 200% in January, amid a spate of wild double-digit swings. BBBY stock then gave back the bulk of its gains.</p><p><blockquote>另一只模因股票Bed Bath&amp;Beyond今年上涨了78%。在一系列两位数的剧烈波动中，股价在1月份飙升了200%以上。BBBY股票随后回吐了大部分涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> But the home goods retailer appears to be back on the radar of the WallStreetBets discussion group. On June 2, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond soared 62% before diving 28% the next session.</p><p><blockquote>但这家家居用品零售商似乎又重新受到了WallStreetBets讨论组的关注。6月2日，Bed Bath&amp;Beyond股价飙升62%，随后第二个交易日暴跌28%。</blockquote></p><p> The rest of the top 10 stocks have also outperformed the broader market. Macy's is up 68% year to date, while Resideo, Pacific Premier and Ameris have risen more than 40% each. The lowest gainer, bank holding company First Hawaiian, has advanced 20%. The S&amp;P 500 held a 13% gain through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>其余前10只股票的表现也优于大盘。梅西百货今年迄今上涨了68%，而Resideo、Pacific Premier和Ameris的涨幅均超过40%。涨幅最低的银行控股公司First Hawaiian上涨了20%。截至周四收盘，标普500上涨了13%。</blockquote></p><p> SLYV remains in potential buy range from an 87.29entryof acup with handle, according toMarketSmithchart analysis.&nbsp;SLYV and SLYG charge a 0.15% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>根据MarketSmithChart分析，SLYV仍处于带手柄acup的87.29入场点的潜在买入范围内。SLYV和SLYG收取0.15%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meme Stock Soars 1,000% To Lead These Two Top Small Cap Stock Plays<blockquote>Meme股票飙升1,000%，领跑这两只顶级小盘股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeme Stock Soars 1,000% To Lead These Two Top Small Cap Stock Plays<blockquote>Meme股票飙升1,000%，领跑这两只顶级小盘股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-13 06:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>GameStop may be the top holding in SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value, but that's not the only reason the ETF is beating its growth-stock counterpart.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站可能是SPDR S&amp;P 600小型股价值中最大的持股，但这并不是该ETF击败成长型股票的唯一原因。</blockquote></p><p> The $4.2 billion value fund tracks the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Value Index (SLYV), composed of stocks with the strongest value traits based on book value to price ratio, earnings to price ratio, and sales to price ratio. SLYV rallied 32% this year through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>这只价值42亿美元的价值基金追踪S&amp;P SmallCap 600价值指数(SLYV)，该指数由根据账面价值与价格比率、市盈率和销售价格比率具有最强价值特征的股票组成。截至周四收盘，SLYV今年上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> That more than doubles the return of its growth stock counterpart, SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth (SLYG), which is up 15%. The index SLYG tracks includes stocks with the strongest growth traits based on sales growth, earnings change to price and momentum.</p><p><blockquote>这是成长型股票SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth(SLYG)回报率的两倍多，后者上涨了15%。SLYG跟踪的指数包括基于销售增长、盈利价格变化和动量的增长特征最强的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Back to SLYV, financials accounted for the biggest sector weight at 24% of assets. Industrials weighed in at about 17%, consumer discretionary 15% and real estate 10%. Information technology was next at 8% and materials, energy and health care, 6% each.&nbsp;Smaller positions in consumer staples, utilities and communication services made up the rest.</p><p><blockquote>回到SLYV，金融业占资产比重最大，占资产的24%。工业股约占17%，非必需消费品股15%，房地产股10%。其次是信息技术，占8%，材料、能源和医疗保健，各占6%。消费品、公用事业和通信服务的较小头寸占其余部分。</blockquote></p><p> SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value is in IBD's ETF Leaders, but SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth is not.</p><p><blockquote>SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Value位居IBD ETF领先者之列，但SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Growth则不然。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GameStop Stock Leads</b></p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站股票领先</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>GameStop</b>(GME),<b>Macy's</b>(M),<b>PDC Energy</b>(PDCE),<b>Resideo Technologies</b>(REZI) and<b>BankUnited</b>(BKU) were the top five holdings as of Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站</b>（GME），<b>梅西百货</b>(M)，<b>PDC能源</b>（PDCE），<b>Resideo技术</b>（雷齐）和<b>联合银行</b>(BKU)是截至周三的前五大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pacific Premier Bancorp</b>(PPBI),<b>Bed Bath &amp; Beyond</b>(BBBY),<b>Ameris Bancorp</b>(ABCB),<b>First Hawaiian</b>(FHB) and<b>Insight Enterprises</b>(NSIT) rounded out the top 10.</p><p><blockquote><b>太平洋卓越银行</b>（PPBI），<b>贝德柏士比昂公司</b>（BBBY），<b>美国银行</b>（ABCB），<b>第一夏威夷人</b>（FHB）和<b>洞察企业</b>(NSIT)跻身前十名。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop has undergone wide swings this year. It rocketed about 2,500% early this year amid theshort-squeeze rallyfueled by the Reddit/WallStreetBets crowd.GME stockthen crashed 92% from a Jan. 28 high to its mid-February low. That was followed by an 805% surge the next three weeks, and a 66% drop over the next two weeks.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站今年经历了大幅波动。今年早些时候，在Reddit/WallStreetBets人群推动的空头挤压反弹中，该股飙升了约2,500%。GME股票随后从1月28日的高点暴跌92%至2月中旬的低点。随后在接下来的三周内飙升805%，在接下来的两周内下跌66%。</blockquote></p><p> Action had been relatively subdued since, until Thursday's 27% dive. Even after that, GameStop stock was up 1,070% year to date through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>此后，股价一直相对低迷，直到周四暴跌27%。即便如此，截至周四收盘，游戏驿站股价今年迄今仍上涨了1,070%。</blockquote></p><p> Could GME be inflating SLYV's performance? Certainly, given its quadruple-digit gain. But a look at SLYG's portfolio is interesting. GameStop stock is also the top holding in the growth stock ETF, though the rest of the top 10 differ vastly.</p><p><blockquote>GME会夸大SLYV的业绩吗？当然，考虑到其四位数的增益。但看看SLYG的投资组合很有趣。游戏驿站股票也是成长型股票ETF中持股最多的股票，尽管前10名中的其他股票差异很大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Second Meme Stock In Top 10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前十名中的第二只模因股票</b></blockquote></p><p> PDC Energy, up 130%, saw the next biggest gain in the top 10. The Colorado-based oil and gas explorer has a 97Relative Strength Rating, which mean it's in the top 3% of all stocks. Its relative strength line is at a 52-week high, a bullish sign.</p><p><blockquote>PDC Energy上涨130%，在前十名中涨幅第二大。这家总部位于科罗拉多州的石油和天然气勘探公司的相对强度评级为97，这意味着它在所有股票中排名前3%。其相对强弱线位于52周高点，这是一个看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> Bed Bath &amp; Beyond, another meme stock, is up 78% this year. Shares surged more than 200% in January, amid a spate of wild double-digit swings. BBBY stock then gave back the bulk of its gains.</p><p><blockquote>另一只模因股票Bed Bath&amp;Beyond今年上涨了78%。在一系列两位数的剧烈波动中，股价在1月份飙升了200%以上。BBBY股票随后回吐了大部分涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> But the home goods retailer appears to be back on the radar of the WallStreetBets discussion group. On June 2, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond soared 62% before diving 28% the next session.</p><p><blockquote>但这家家居用品零售商似乎又重新受到了WallStreetBets讨论组的关注。6月2日，Bed Bath&amp;Beyond股价飙升62%，随后第二个交易日暴跌28%。</blockquote></p><p> The rest of the top 10 stocks have also outperformed the broader market. Macy's is up 68% year to date, while Resideo, Pacific Premier and Ameris have risen more than 40% each. The lowest gainer, bank holding company First Hawaiian, has advanced 20%. The S&amp;P 500 held a 13% gain through Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>其余前10只股票的表现也优于大盘。梅西百货今年迄今上涨了68%，而Resideo、Pacific Premier和Ameris的涨幅均超过40%。涨幅最低的银行控股公司First Hawaiian上涨了20%。截至周四收盘，标普500上涨了13%。</blockquote></p><p> SLYV remains in potential buy range from an 87.29entryof acup with handle, according toMarketSmithchart analysis.&nbsp;SLYV and SLYG charge a 0.15% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>根据MarketSmithChart分析，SLYV仍处于带手柄acup的87.29入场点的潜在买入范围内。SLYV和SLYG收取0.15%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/etf-leaders/gamestop-stock-soars-1000-percent-lead-two-top-small-cap-stock-plays/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PDCE":"PDC Energy","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/etf-leaders/gamestop-stock-soars-1000-percent-lead-two-top-small-cap-stock-plays/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185020128","content_text":"GameStop may be the top holding in SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value, but that's not the only reason the ETF is beating its growth-stock counterpart.\nThe $4.2 billion value fund tracks the S&P SmallCap 600 Value Index (SLYV), composed of stocks with the strongest value traits based on book value to price ratio, earnings to price ratio, and sales to price ratio. SLYV rallied 32% this year through Thursday's close.\nThat more than doubles the return of its growth stock counterpart, SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Growth (SLYG), which is up 15%. The index SLYG tracks includes stocks with the strongest growth traits based on sales growth, earnings change to price and momentum.\nBack to SLYV, financials accounted for the biggest sector weight at 24% of assets. Industrials weighed in at about 17%, consumer discretionary 15% and real estate 10%. Information technology was next at 8% and materials, energy and health care, 6% each. Smaller positions in consumer staples, utilities and communication services made up the rest.\nSPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value is in IBD's ETF Leaders, but SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Growth is not.\nGameStop Stock Leads\nGameStop(GME),Macy's(M),PDC Energy(PDCE),Resideo Technologies(REZI) andBankUnited(BKU) were the top five holdings as of Wednesday.\nPacific Premier Bancorp(PPBI),Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY),Ameris Bancorp(ABCB),First Hawaiian(FHB) andInsight Enterprises(NSIT) rounded out the top 10.\nGameStop has undergone wide swings this year. It rocketed about 2,500% early this year amid theshort-squeeze rallyfueled by the Reddit/WallStreetBets crowd.GME stockthen crashed 92% from a Jan. 28 high to its mid-February low. That was followed by an 805% surge the next three weeks, and a 66% drop over the next two weeks.\nAction had been relatively subdued since, until Thursday's 27% dive. Even after that, GameStop stock was up 1,070% year to date through Thursday's close.\nCould GME be inflating SLYV's performance? Certainly, given its quadruple-digit gain. But a look at SLYG's portfolio is interesting. GameStop stock is also the top holding in the growth stock ETF, though the rest of the top 10 differ vastly.\nSecond Meme Stock In Top 10\nPDC Energy, up 130%, saw the next biggest gain in the top 10. The Colorado-based oil and gas explorer has a 97Relative Strength Rating, which mean it's in the top 3% of all stocks. Its relative strength line is at a 52-week high, a bullish sign.\nBed Bath & Beyond, another meme stock, is up 78% this year. Shares surged more than 200% in January, amid a spate of wild double-digit swings. BBBY stock then gave back the bulk of its gains.\nBut the home goods retailer appears to be back on the radar of the WallStreetBets discussion group. On June 2, Bed Bath & Beyond soared 62% before diving 28% the next session.\nThe rest of the top 10 stocks have also outperformed the broader market. Macy's is up 68% year to date, while Resideo, Pacific Premier and Ameris have risen more than 40% each. The lowest gainer, bank holding company First Hawaiian, has advanced 20%. The S&P 500 held a 13% gain through Thursday's close.\nSLYV remains in potential buy range from an 87.29entryof acup with handle, according toMarketSmithchart analysis. SLYV and SLYG charge a 0.15% expense ratio.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PDCE":0.9,"BBBY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183022605,"gmtCreate":1623295230207,"gmtModify":1634034851579,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay noted.&nbsp;","listText":"Okay noted.&nbsp;","text":"Okay noted.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183022605","repostId":"1117452441","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":625,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180893349,"gmtCreate":1623197309381,"gmtModify":1634035986427,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow. Increase by a lot","listText":"Wow. Increase by a lot","text":"Wow. Increase by a lot","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180893349","repostId":"1145012700","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114947717,"gmtCreate":1623046184539,"gmtModify":1634095882919,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmm....","listText":"Hmmm....","text":"Hmmm....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114947717","repostId":"1121041561","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115307921,"gmtCreate":1622949329463,"gmtModify":1634096678976,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564912067242251","idStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sndl go go go.","listText":"Sndl go go go.","text":"Sndl go go go.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115307921","repostId":"1128534499","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":936,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":174500970,"gmtCreate":1627106925090,"gmtModify":1631888695998,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tsla tsla ftw.","listText":"Tsla tsla ftw.","text":"Tsla tsla ftw.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174500970","repostId":"1191636755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191636755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627084309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191636755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 07:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191636755","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likel","content":"<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将公布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于这家世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破传统的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克来说，有很多活动部件，甚至比平时还要多。然而，弄清楚股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不那么困难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于7月26日星期一收盘后发布报告。FactSet的数据显示，华尔街预计特斯拉的销售额为115亿美元，每股收益约为94美分。对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说，超出分析师预期非常重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素将影响底线收益——全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者将希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论它如何发生。这可能会使股价突破近期区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布2020年第三季度营业利润超过8亿美元，该股在随后的三个月内上涨了一倍多，达到860美元左右。但由于随后几个季度营业利润增长基本暂停，股价最近已从约860美元跌至约640美元。利润停滞也意味着股票停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计为8.35亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉单季度交付量首次超过20万辆。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>在盈利被消化后，多头和空头之间应该会对盈利质量争论不休。例如，特斯拉创造销售的一种方式是出售监管信用——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来赚取监管信用。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为5.18亿美元，这帮助特斯拉超出了盈利预期。关于什么是“正常”的信贷销售金额以及这些销售何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将销售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉第一季度比特币持有量小幅增长，但该加密货币的价格自4月份的峰值以来已下跌约一半。这意味着有可能会有一点损失。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉的新德国工厂和德克萨斯奥斯丁工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯丁工厂将生产特斯拉的Cybertruck。人们还可能会对特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步产生疑问——该公司最近开始以订阅形式销售其驾驶辅助软件——以及该公司可以从其充电网络中赚多少钱。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该出现在定于下午5:30举行的财报电话会议上。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约9%，落后于标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别17%和15%的涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，在过去12个月内上涨了约112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Earnings Are Coming. Here’s the One Number That Matters.<blockquote>特斯拉财报即将发布。这是一个重要的数字。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 07:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度财报即将公布，投资者应该为一份可能非常复杂的报告做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.</p><p><blockquote>对于这家世界上最有价值的汽车公司及其打破传统的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克来说，有很多活动部件，甚至比平时还要多。然而，弄清楚股票是上涨还是下跌应该并不那么困难。</blockquote></p><p> The EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for&nbsp;Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.</p><p><blockquote>这家电动汽车先驱将于7月26日星期一收盘后发布报告。FactSet的数据显示，华尔街预计特斯拉的销售额为115亿美元，每股收益约为94美分。对于任何股票在财报后交易中保持稳定来说，超出分析师预期非常重要，几乎是必需的。特斯拉也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> There are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global&nbsp;semiconductor&nbsp;shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.</p><p><blockquote>有很多因素将影响底线收益——全球半导体短缺、汽车定价、汽车毛利率以及特斯拉电池存储业务的盈利水平。然而，最终，投资者将希望看到营业利润创纪录——无论它如何发生。这可能会使股价突破近期区间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb9cfd5cbe6d36d06167f82af45447d1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"580\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉公布2020年第三季度营业利润超过8亿美元，该股在随后的三个月内上涨了一倍多，达到860美元左右。但由于随后几个季度营业利润增长基本暂停，股价最近已从约860美元跌至约640美元。利润停滞也意味着股票停滞。</blockquote></p><p> The good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered&nbsp;more than 200,000&nbsp;vehicles in a single quarter.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉多头来说，好消息是华尔街预计将创下新纪录：在强劲交付的推动下，第二季度营业利润预计为8.35亿美元。2021年第二季度是特斯拉单季度交付量首次超过20万辆。</blockquote></p><p> After earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla&nbsp;beat earnings&nbsp;estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>在盈利被消化后，多头和空头之间应该会对盈利质量争论不休。例如，特斯拉创造销售的一种方式是出售监管信用——它通过生产超过其公平份额的电动汽车来赚取监管信用。该公司第一季度信贷销售额为5.18亿美元，这帮助特斯拉超出了盈利预期。关于什么是“正常”的信贷销售金额以及这些销售何时会枯竭，一直存在争议。最终，多头和空头都预计其他汽车制造商将销售自己的电动汽车，从而切断特斯拉的收入来源。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the issue&nbsp;of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.</p><p><blockquote>还有比特币的问题。特斯拉第一季度比特币持有量小幅增长，但该加密货币的价格自4月份的峰值以来已下跌约一半。这意味着有可能会有一点损失。投资者的反应谁也说不准，但不要指望特斯拉会抛售其比特币头寸。马斯克继续表示，当比特币矿业使用更可持续的电力时，他的公司将以加密货币进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s&nbsp;Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software&nbsp;as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its&nbsp;charging network&nbsp;to other EVs down the road.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还想知道特斯拉的新德国工厂和德克萨斯奥斯丁工厂何时开始交付汽车。奥斯丁工厂将生产特斯拉的Cybertruck。人们还可能会对特斯拉驾驶辅助功能的进步产生疑问——该公司最近开始以订阅形式销售其驾驶辅助软件——以及该公司可以从其充电网络中赚多少钱。马斯克本周在推特上表示，特斯拉将向其他电动汽车开放其充电网络。</blockquote></p><p> All those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&amp;P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些话题以及更多话题都应该出现在定于下午5:30举行的财报电话会议上。美国东部时间周一。今年迄今为止，特斯拉股价已下跌约9%，落后于标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别17%和15%的涨幅。尽管如此，特斯拉股价仍表现强劲，在过去12个月内上涨了约112%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-earnings-preview-51627061822?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191636755","content_text":"Tesla’s second-quarter earnings are just around the corner, and investors should gear up for a likely very complicated report.\nThere are a lot of moving parts, even more than usual for the world’s most valuable car company and its iconoclast CEO Elon Musk. Figuring out if the stock will go up or down, however, shouldn’t be all that difficult.\nThe EV pioneer will report after the close of trading on Monday,July 26. Wall Street is looking for Tesla to report about 94 cents in per-share earnings from $11.5 billion in sales, according to FactSet. Beating analyst estimates is important, almost required, for any stock to remain stable in post-earnings trading. That’s true for Tesla as well.\nThere are plenty of factors that will contribute to bottom-line earnings—the global semiconductor shortage,vehicle pricing, vehicle gross profit margins, and the level of profitability in Tesla’s battery storage business. In the end, however, investors will want to see a record in operating profits—no matter how it happens. That’s what could break shares out of their recent range.\n\nTesla reported more than $800 million in operating profits in the 2020 third quarter, and the stock more than doubled to around $860 in the three-month span that followed. But since operating profit growth largely paused in the subsequent quarters, shares have traded down from roughly $860 to around $640 recently. Profit stagnation has meant stock stagnation, too.\nThe good news for Tesla bulls is Wall Street is projecting a fresh record: Operating profit is expected to be $835 million for the second quarter, driven by strong deliveries. The 2021 second quarter marked the first time Tesla delivered more than 200,000 vehicles in a single quarter.\nAfter earnings are digested, there should be endless arguments among bulls and bears about the quality of earnings. For instance, one way Tesla generates sales is by selling regulatory credits—which it earns by producing more than its fair share of electric vehicles. The company generated $518 million in first-quarter credit sales, which helped Tesla beat earnings estimates. There is always debate about what is the “normal” amount of credit sales and when will those sales dry up. Eventually, both the bulls and bears expect other auto makers to sell their own EVs, cutting off that source of revenue for Tesla.\nThere is also the issue of Bitcoin. Tesla recognized a small gain on its Bitcoin holdings in the first quarter, but the cryptocurrency’s prices have fallen by roughly half since their April peak. That means there is a chance of a small loss. How investors react is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect Tesla to sell out of its Bitcoin position. Musk continues to indicate his company will transact in the cryptocurrency when Bitcoin mining uses more sustainable power.\nInvestors will also want to know when Tesla’s new Germany plant and Austin, Texas facility will start delivering cars. The Austin plant will build Tesla’s Cybertruck. There will also likely be questions about advances in Tesla’s driver-assistance functions—the company recently started selling its driver-assistance software as a subscription—and how much money the company could make from its charging network. Musk tweeted this week Tesla would open its charging network to other EVs down the road.\nAll those topics and more should come up on the earningsconference callscheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday. Year to date, Tesla stock is down roughly 9%, trailing behind comparable 17% and 15% respective gains of theS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Average.Still, Tesla shares have had a strong run, up about 112% over the past 12 months.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128963225,"gmtCreate":1624498348267,"gmtModify":1634005248345,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like this news very much.&nbsp;","listText":"Like this news very much.&nbsp;","text":"Like this news very much.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128963225","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376520229,"gmtCreate":1619137657761,"gmtModify":1634288304178,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no... like and comment.","listText":"Oh no... like and comment.","text":"Oh no... like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376520229","repostId":"2129336573","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171769808,"gmtCreate":1626765305304,"gmtModify":1631888696028,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tsla go go go.","listText":"Tsla go go go.","text":"Tsla go go go.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171769808","repostId":"1120865210","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":378268826,"gmtCreate":1619046411565,"gmtModify":1634289056936,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes, SQ is for long term. Like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Yes, SQ is for long term. Like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Yes, SQ is for long term. Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378268826","repostId":"1182476779","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182476779","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619019304,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1182476779?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-21 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Square the Long-Term Stock for You?<blockquote>Square是您的长期股票吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182476779","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The digital payments company is just getting started.\nSquare (NYSE:SQ) came back from an underwhelmi","content":"<p>The digital payments company is just getting started.</p><p><blockquote>这家数字支付公司才刚刚起步。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Square</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:SQ)&nbsp;came back from an underwhelming first half of 2020 with big increases in revenue and gross payment volume in the fourth quarter. But the bigger story is that the&nbsp;fintech company's long-term potential became more apparent as the year went on, and the market rewarded shareholders with roughly 350% gains over the course of the year. ARK Invest chief Cathie Wood, whose investment decisions are watched by growth investors everywhere, has made Square&nbsp;one of her largest holdings. Is it the right long-term stock for you?</p><p><blockquote><b>平方</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SQ）从2020年上半年的低迷中恢复过来，第四季度的收入和支付总额大幅增长。但更重要的是，随着时间的推移，这家金融科技公司的长期潜力变得更加明显，市场在这一年中为股东带来了约350%的收益。ARK Invest首席执行官凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)的投资决策受到各地成长型投资者的关注，她已将Square作为她最大的持股之一。这是适合您的长期股票吗？</blockquote></p><p> <b>The cashless society is coming</b></p><p><blockquote><b>无现金社会即将来临</b></blockquote></p><p> Square operates two ecosystems: one for sellers, which caters to the small and medium-sized business clients that use its fintech solutions, and Cash App, which individuals use to send payments and related functions. In many ways, it's similar to fintech leader&nbsp;<b>PayPal</b>, which offers similar products and services.</p><p><blockquote>Square运营着两个生态系统：一个面向卖家，迎合使用其金融科技解决方案的中小型企业客户；另一个面向Cash App，个人用于发送付款和相关功能。在很多方面，它类似于金融科技领导者<b>PayPal</b>，提供类似的产品和服务。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eec52b2852a019a71e28772d69a6c0bc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1488\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: SQUARE.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：SQUARE。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As would be expected, the seller division was mixed during the pandemic. Physical small businesses suffered during lockdowns, but many with digital capabilities flourished. Square sees a $100 billion addressable market, of which it has less than 3%.</p><p><blockquote>正如预期的那样，大流行期间卖方部门喜忧参半。实体小企业在封锁期间遭受了损失，但许多拥有数字能力的小企业蓬勃发展。Square看到了1000亿美元的潜在市场，但其所占份额不到3%。</blockquote></p><p> Cash App, though, was a high performer during the pandemic as people stayed home and relied on mobile wallets to send and receive money. The company also expanded features for Cash App, such as stock and&nbsp;<b>Bitcoin</b>&nbsp;trading, as well as Cash Card and a rewards program. More than a million Cash App users bought Bitcoin for the first time in Q4, and the cryptocurrency was traded two and a half times more than in Q4 2019. Square itself bought $230 million of Bitcoin recently as it steers itself toward an expanded digital payment ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>不过，Cash App在疫情期间表现出色，因为人们呆在家里，依靠移动钱包收发钱。该公司还扩展了Cash App的功能，例如股票和<b>比特币</b>交易，以及现金卡和奖励计划。超过100万Cash App用户在第四季度首次购买了比特币，该加密货币的交易量是2019年第四季度的两倍半。Square最近斥资2.3亿美元收购了比特币，以扩大数字支付生态系统。</blockquote></p><p> CashApp users increased 50% over the prior year in the fourth quarter to 36 million, and Cash App revenue increased more than 500%. A little bit of context is necessary here: Square records Bitcoin volume as revenue, and Bitcoin accounted for 80% of Cash App revenue in the fourth quarter and more than half of total revenue. Without Bitcoin, though, Cash App still grew 137%.</p><p><blockquote>第四季度CashApp用户同比增长50%，达到3600万，Cash App收入增长超过500%。这里需要一点背景知识：Square将比特币销量记录为收入，比特币占第四季度Cash App收入的80%，占总收入的一半以上。不过，没有比特币，Cash App仍增长了137%。</blockquote></p><p> According to a McKinsey survey, digital penetration reached 78% in 2020, and that includes 93% for ages 13-34. People using more than one type of digital payment increased to 58%. More than half of survey respondents said they shifted to online shopping during the pandemic, and more than a third said they would increase that. The pandemic accelerated what was already a shift to digital payments, and that's good news for Square.</p><p><blockquote>根据麦肯锡的一项调查，数字渗透率在2020年达到78%，其中13-34岁的人达到93%。使用一种以上数字支付方式的人增加到58%。超过一半的受访者表示，他们在疫情期间转向了网上购物，超过三分之一的受访者表示他们将增加网上购物。疫情加速了向数字支付的转变，这对Square来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The power of the mobile wallet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>移动钱包的强大功能</b></blockquote></p><p> Square is poised to benefit from the move to digital wallets, and that means increased revenue from a growing and engaged user base. A Cash App account is simpler to use than a bank account, and the \"ecosystem\" aspect of Cash App as a peer-to-peer payments account and trading account is a very attractive feature. As we become more cashless, Square's investments in its platform are likely to yield more customers, higher engagement, and increased revenue.</p><p><blockquote>Square有望从向数字钱包的转变中受益，这意味着来自不断增长和参与的用户群的收入增加。Cash App账户比银行账户更容易使用，Cash App作为点对点支付账户和交易账户的“生态系统”方面是一个非常有吸引力的功能。随着我们变得更加无现金化，Square对其平台的投资可能会带来更多客户、更高的参与度和更多的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Cash App is also becoming more profitable, with gross profit per user up 70% year over year in Q4. Square became profitable for the first time in 2018, and it's been posting more consistent profits over the past two years. Q4 earnings of $294 million were a 24% decrease year over year, but as the seller business gets back up to speed, that should increase.</p><p><blockquote>Cash App的利润也越来越高，第四季度每用户毛利润同比增长70%。Square于2018年首次实现盈利，并且在过去两年中利润更加稳定。第四季度盈利为2.94亿美元，同比下降24%，但随着卖家业务恢复正常，这一数字应该会增加。</blockquote></p><p> Square sees a more than $60 billion addressable market for Cash App, of which it has less than 2%. In the near term, it's planning to gain market share by expanding the Cash App product line and improving customer service. But it has strong tailwinds that will continue to accelerate digital payment adoption as we move away from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>Square认为Cash App的潜在市场价值超过600亿美元，但其所占份额不到2%。短期内，它计划通过扩大Cash App产品线和改善客户服务来获得市场份额。但随着我们远离疫情，它有强大的推动力，将继续加速数字支付的采用。</blockquote></p><p> If you're looking for a growth stock that offers potential in the short and long term, Square is a candidate for you. Square stock has gained more than 1,500% over the past five years, but there is much more opportunity ahead, and the company is making moves to harness its potential.</p><p><blockquote>如果您正在寻找一只具有短期和长期潜力的成长型股票，Square是您的候选者。Square股价在过去五年中上涨了1,500%以上，但未来还有更多机会，该公司正在采取措施利用其潜力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Square the Long-Term Stock for You?<blockquote>Square是您的长期股票吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Square the Long-Term Stock for You?<blockquote>Square是您的长期股票吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-21 23:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The digital payments company is just getting started.</p><p><blockquote>这家数字支付公司才刚刚起步。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Square</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:SQ)&nbsp;came back from an underwhelming first half of 2020 with big increases in revenue and gross payment volume in the fourth quarter. But the bigger story is that the&nbsp;fintech company's long-term potential became more apparent as the year went on, and the market rewarded shareholders with roughly 350% gains over the course of the year. ARK Invest chief Cathie Wood, whose investment decisions are watched by growth investors everywhere, has made Square&nbsp;one of her largest holdings. Is it the right long-term stock for you?</p><p><blockquote><b>平方</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SQ）从2020年上半年的低迷中恢复过来，第四季度的收入和支付总额大幅增长。但更重要的是，随着时间的推移，这家金融科技公司的长期潜力变得更加明显，市场在这一年中为股东带来了约350%的收益。ARK Invest首席执行官凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)的投资决策受到各地成长型投资者的关注，她已将Square作为她最大的持股之一。这是适合您的长期股票吗？</blockquote></p><p> <b>The cashless society is coming</b></p><p><blockquote><b>无现金社会即将来临</b></blockquote></p><p> Square operates two ecosystems: one for sellers, which caters to the small and medium-sized business clients that use its fintech solutions, and Cash App, which individuals use to send payments and related functions. In many ways, it's similar to fintech leader&nbsp;<b>PayPal</b>, which offers similar products and services.</p><p><blockquote>Square运营着两个生态系统：一个面向卖家，迎合使用其金融科技解决方案的中小型企业客户；另一个面向Cash App，个人用于发送付款和相关功能。在很多方面，它类似于金融科技领导者<b>PayPal</b>，提供类似的产品和服务。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eec52b2852a019a71e28772d69a6c0bc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1488\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: SQUARE.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：SQUARE。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As would be expected, the seller division was mixed during the pandemic. Physical small businesses suffered during lockdowns, but many with digital capabilities flourished. Square sees a $100 billion addressable market, of which it has less than 3%.</p><p><blockquote>正如预期的那样，大流行期间卖方部门喜忧参半。实体小企业在封锁期间遭受了损失，但许多拥有数字能力的小企业蓬勃发展。Square看到了1000亿美元的潜在市场，但其所占份额不到3%。</blockquote></p><p> Cash App, though, was a high performer during the pandemic as people stayed home and relied on mobile wallets to send and receive money. The company also expanded features for Cash App, such as stock and&nbsp;<b>Bitcoin</b>&nbsp;trading, as well as Cash Card and a rewards program. More than a million Cash App users bought Bitcoin for the first time in Q4, and the cryptocurrency was traded two and a half times more than in Q4 2019. Square itself bought $230 million of Bitcoin recently as it steers itself toward an expanded digital payment ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>不过，Cash App在疫情期间表现出色，因为人们呆在家里，依靠移动钱包收发钱。该公司还扩展了Cash App的功能，例如股票和<b>比特币</b>交易，以及现金卡和奖励计划。超过100万Cash App用户在第四季度首次购买了比特币，该加密货币的交易量是2019年第四季度的两倍半。Square最近斥资2.3亿美元收购了比特币，以扩大数字支付生态系统。</blockquote></p><p> CashApp users increased 50% over the prior year in the fourth quarter to 36 million, and Cash App revenue increased more than 500%. A little bit of context is necessary here: Square records Bitcoin volume as revenue, and Bitcoin accounted for 80% of Cash App revenue in the fourth quarter and more than half of total revenue. Without Bitcoin, though, Cash App still grew 137%.</p><p><blockquote>第四季度CashApp用户同比增长50%，达到3600万，Cash App收入增长超过500%。这里需要一点背景知识：Square将比特币销量记录为收入，比特币占第四季度Cash App收入的80%，占总收入的一半以上。不过，没有比特币，Cash App仍增长了137%。</blockquote></p><p> According to a McKinsey survey, digital penetration reached 78% in 2020, and that includes 93% for ages 13-34. People using more than one type of digital payment increased to 58%. More than half of survey respondents said they shifted to online shopping during the pandemic, and more than a third said they would increase that. The pandemic accelerated what was already a shift to digital payments, and that's good news for Square.</p><p><blockquote>根据麦肯锡的一项调查，数字渗透率在2020年达到78%，其中13-34岁的人达到93%。使用一种以上数字支付方式的人增加到58%。超过一半的受访者表示，他们在疫情期间转向了网上购物，超过三分之一的受访者表示他们将增加网上购物。疫情加速了向数字支付的转变，这对Square来说是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The power of the mobile wallet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>移动钱包的强大功能</b></blockquote></p><p> Square is poised to benefit from the move to digital wallets, and that means increased revenue from a growing and engaged user base. A Cash App account is simpler to use than a bank account, and the \"ecosystem\" aspect of Cash App as a peer-to-peer payments account and trading account is a very attractive feature. As we become more cashless, Square's investments in its platform are likely to yield more customers, higher engagement, and increased revenue.</p><p><blockquote>Square有望从向数字钱包的转变中受益，这意味着来自不断增长和参与的用户群的收入增加。Cash App账户比银行账户更容易使用，Cash App作为点对点支付账户和交易账户的“生态系统”方面是一个非常有吸引力的功能。随着我们变得更加无现金化，Square对其平台的投资可能会带来更多客户、更高的参与度和更多的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Cash App is also becoming more profitable, with gross profit per user up 70% year over year in Q4. Square became profitable for the first time in 2018, and it's been posting more consistent profits over the past two years. Q4 earnings of $294 million were a 24% decrease year over year, but as the seller business gets back up to speed, that should increase.</p><p><blockquote>Cash App的利润也越来越高，第四季度每用户毛利润同比增长70%。Square于2018年首次实现盈利，并且在过去两年中利润更加稳定。第四季度盈利为2.94亿美元，同比下降24%，但随着卖家业务恢复正常，这一数字应该会增加。</blockquote></p><p> Square sees a more than $60 billion addressable market for Cash App, of which it has less than 2%. In the near term, it's planning to gain market share by expanding the Cash App product line and improving customer service. But it has strong tailwinds that will continue to accelerate digital payment adoption as we move away from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>Square认为Cash App的潜在市场价值超过600亿美元，但其所占份额不到2%。短期内，它计划通过扩大Cash App产品线和改善客户服务来获得市场份额。但随着我们远离疫情，它有强大的推动力，将继续加速数字支付的采用。</blockquote></p><p> If you're looking for a growth stock that offers potential in the short and long term, Square is a candidate for you. Square stock has gained more than 1,500% over the past five years, but there is much more opportunity ahead, and the company is making moves to harness its potential.</p><p><blockquote>如果您正在寻找一只具有短期和长期潜力的成长型股票，Square是您的候选者。Square股价在过去五年中上涨了1,500%以上，但未来还有更多机会，该公司正在采取措施利用其潜力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/21/is-square-the-long-term-stock-for-you/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/21/is-square-the-long-term-stock-for-you/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182476779","content_text":"The digital payments company is just getting started.\nSquare (NYSE:SQ) came back from an underwhelming first half of 2020 with big increases in revenue and gross payment volume in the fourth quarter. But the bigger story is that the fintech company's long-term potential became more apparent as the year went on, and the market rewarded shareholders with roughly 350% gains over the course of the year. ARK Invest chief Cathie Wood, whose investment decisions are watched by growth investors everywhere, has made Square one of her largest holdings. Is it the right long-term stock for you?\nThe cashless society is coming\nSquare operates two ecosystems: one for sellers, which caters to the small and medium-sized business clients that use its fintech solutions, and Cash App, which individuals use to send payments and related functions. In many ways, it's similar to fintech leader PayPal, which offers similar products and services.\nIMAGE SOURCE: SQUARE.\nAs would be expected, the seller division was mixed during the pandemic. Physical small businesses suffered during lockdowns, but many with digital capabilities flourished. Square sees a $100 billion addressable market, of which it has less than 3%.\nCash App, though, was a high performer during the pandemic as people stayed home and relied on mobile wallets to send and receive money. The company also expanded features for Cash App, such as stock and Bitcoin trading, as well as Cash Card and a rewards program. More than a million Cash App users bought Bitcoin for the first time in Q4, and the cryptocurrency was traded two and a half times more than in Q4 2019. Square itself bought $230 million of Bitcoin recently as it steers itself toward an expanded digital payment ecosystem.\nCashApp users increased 50% over the prior year in the fourth quarter to 36 million, and Cash App revenue increased more than 500%. A little bit of context is necessary here: Square records Bitcoin volume as revenue, and Bitcoin accounted for 80% of Cash App revenue in the fourth quarter and more than half of total revenue. Without Bitcoin, though, Cash App still grew 137%.\nAccording to a McKinsey survey, digital penetration reached 78% in 2020, and that includes 93% for ages 13-34. People using more than one type of digital payment increased to 58%. More than half of survey respondents said they shifted to online shopping during the pandemic, and more than a third said they would increase that. The pandemic accelerated what was already a shift to digital payments, and that's good news for Square.\nThe power of the mobile wallet\nSquare is poised to benefit from the move to digital wallets, and that means increased revenue from a growing and engaged user base. A Cash App account is simpler to use than a bank account, and the \"ecosystem\" aspect of Cash App as a peer-to-peer payments account and trading account is a very attractive feature. As we become more cashless, Square's investments in its platform are likely to yield more customers, higher engagement, and increased revenue.\nCash App is also becoming more profitable, with gross profit per user up 70% year over year in Q4. Square became profitable for the first time in 2018, and it's been posting more consistent profits over the past two years. Q4 earnings of $294 million were a 24% decrease year over year, but as the seller business gets back up to speed, that should increase.\nSquare sees a more than $60 billion addressable market for Cash App, of which it has less than 2%. In the near term, it's planning to gain market share by expanding the Cash App product line and improving customer service. But it has strong tailwinds that will continue to accelerate digital payment adoption as we move away from the pandemic.\nIf you're looking for a growth stock that offers potential in the short and long term, Square is a candidate for you. Square stock has gained more than 1,500% over the past five years, but there is much more opportunity ahead, and the company is making moves to harness its potential.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113416833,"gmtCreate":1622632934322,"gmtModify":1634099757402,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everything go go go.","listText":"Everything go go go.","text":"Everything go go go.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113416833","repostId":"2140617694","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370083279,"gmtCreate":1618536327191,"gmtModify":1634292256733,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very good news, keep going up! Like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Very good news, keep going up! Like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Very good news, keep going up! Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370083279","repostId":"1184470866","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357390407,"gmtCreate":1617236501309,"gmtModify":1634521915104,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looking good for the future!","listText":"Looking good for the future!","text":"Looking good for the future!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357390407","repostId":"1196818239","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802136401,"gmtCreate":1627730150603,"gmtModify":1631888695982,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh noooo","listText":"Oh noooo","text":"Oh noooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802136401","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166378404,"gmtCreate":1623994156108,"gmtModify":1634024407199,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy baba! Like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Buy baba! Like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Buy baba! Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166378404","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，当时BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨，并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力，让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月，股价低迷，较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间，当时BABA下跌了约40%，但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像2018年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元，复合年增长率为23.8%，增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元，过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小，但在过去10年中，其复合年增长率仍为30.42%，这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为12.4%，从2021年的13.8 T元（相当于2.16 T美元）增长到2024年的19.6 T元（相当于3.06 T美元），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时，我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%，明显低于中国的12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元，是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务（息税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力，这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性，可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&amp;A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略，拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC，而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比，拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC，其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹（它已经拥有）来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小，但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头：PDD在旁人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到，拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长，尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是，拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它，以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：中国信通技术；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管处于领先地位，阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元，这将代表CAGR 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤其明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元，这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源：CnTechPost；Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG）GCP的领先优势，我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额一直在大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润（21财年息税前利润率：-15%，20财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利（20财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模，预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围（3年平均值为33.54倍）时，阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估，因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而，由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况，我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司，这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元，位于该范围的中点，基于当前210美元的股价，这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间，其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。这里关键的是，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力，而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻，那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩，展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营，预计将推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112554345,"gmtCreate":1622891591787,"gmtModify":1634097033565,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio is good too","listText":"Nio is good too","text":"Nio is good too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112554345","repostId":"1148130971","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148130971","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622866524,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148130971?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 12:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'<blockquote>蔚来股价能达到100美元吗？我们认为这是“何时”的问题，而不是“如果”的问题</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148130971","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fas","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.</li>  <li>The company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.</li>  <li>We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b31b2f189fa181e941126674e0b4c0b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来的股价在过去一年飙升了816%以上，在3月初的成长股抛售之前，在2月初达到了近62美元的峰值。</li><li>该公司的创新方法和海外扩张战略，加上全球电气化和自动化市场情绪日益高涨，预计将提振该公司的估值。</li><li>我们相信，随着自动驾驶成为现实，全球电动汽车销量持续增长，蔚来股价到2025年将飙升至160美元以上。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Drew Angerer/Getty Images新闻来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a&nbsp;price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).</p><p><blockquote>尽管蔚来（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）是一个中国本土电动汽车（“EV”）品牌，最近才开始向欧洲进行海外扩张，但近年来已经在电动汽车行业狂热投资者中获得了国际关注。距离蔚来于2018年中期首次交付仅过去了短短三年，但许多人已经想知道其股价是否能达到与行业领导者特斯拉（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）类似的高度。尽管考虑到特斯拉目前的股价超过每股600美元，市值超过6000亿美元，这有点牵强，但我们确实相信蔚来有潜力在2025年之前突破每股100美元。就连华尔街分析师也对该公司的未来保持乐观，他们将目标价定为接近60美元，根据上次交易股价42.34美元（6月1日）计算，该目标价有超过35%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来成立于2014年，迄今在华销售和交付汽车已超过10万辆。该公司拥有一支由五款零排放、全电池驱动的车型组成的车队，从跑车到豪华轿车和全尺寸SUV。除了汽车之外，蔚来还因其在创新技术方面取得的重大进展而闻名，包括最先进的电池解决方案、人工智能和自动驾驶。该公司最近还将他们的全球扩张计划变成了现实，第一家海外蔚来商店将于2021年第三季度在挪威奥斯陆开业。我们认为，股价达到100美元不再是“如果”的问题，而是“何时”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Trailblazer in Innovative Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>创新技术的开拓者</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16d9fd877602d5604bc3a69593badfdf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>Source:ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the&nbsp;181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles&nbsp;currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are&nbsp;more than 226 battery swapping stations&nbsp;across China, with more on the way following a recent&nbsp;strategic partnership agreement&nbsp;between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来一直表现出令人不安的创新者的特征。该品牌因其在电池交换技术“Power Swap”方面的突破而广为人知，该技术为蔚来车主提供了一种快速便捷的解决方案，以解决电动汽车行驶里程通常有限的问题。与加油站类似，换电是一个电池交换站，可以在三分钟内将没电的电池换成充满电的电池；充满电的电池使蔚来汽车能够行驶435英里，是目前市场上电动汽车平均行驶里程181英里的两倍多。蔚来车主可以选择订阅“电池即服务”（“BaaS”）套餐，这是一项按月订阅的服务，为蔚来车主根据个人需求提供电池升级的灵活选择。该公司目前提供标准75 kWh电池，充满电后续航里程可达310英里，增强型100 kWh电池，充满电后续航里程可达435英里；两者都可供蔚来车主在BaaS下按月选择。迄今为止，全国已有超过226个电池交换站，继蔚来与中石化最近达成战略合作协议后，更多的电池交换站正在建设中。蔚来的车辆还与当地竞争对手小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XPEV）在中国164个城市提供的1,140个汽车充电站兼容，这进一步增强了其为蔚来车主提供的现有充电基础设施网络。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of&nbsp;EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s&nbsp;NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.</p><p><blockquote>除了长期维持蔚来电动汽车所需的发达基础设施网络外，该公司还一直在努力完善其自动驾驶和人工智能技术，以在更广泛的电动汽车和技术领域保持竞争力。自2016年以来，蔚来一直在对其自动驾驶系统进行测试，并于2018年在北京的公共道路上进行了首次测试。该公司对未来客运的承诺也通过EVE的开发得到了证明，EVE是该品牌的自动驾驶概念车，由蔚来的NOMI AI（世界上第一个车载人工智能）提供豪华、舒适和安全的体验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> To further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently&nbsp;partnered with Mobileye&nbsp;– an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.</p><p><blockquote>为了进一步推动自动驾驶技术的进步，蔚来最近与Mobileye合作，Mobileye是一家英特尔旗下（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）公司，以开发“EyeQ芯片”而闻名，目前已被超过27家汽车制造商用于其辅助驾驶技术——开发和商业化不需要人机交互的驾驶自动化（即“4级”自动驾驶）。他们的合作预计将加速蔚来推出“自动驾驶即服务”（“ADaaS”）套餐，这是他们的自动驾驶技术“蔚来自动驾驶”（“NAD”）的每月订阅。然而，与特斯拉的“全自动驾驶”套件类似，预计将于2022年推出的NAD技术尚未使蔚来汽车能够在没有人工干预的情况下驾驶，但它确实使蔚来在通往4级自动驾驶的竞赛中与行业领导者特斯拉相提并论。蔚来车主将可以选择订阅ADaaS，每月订阅费为人民币680元。如今上路的蔚来汽车超过10.2万辆，新的订阅套餐预计将产生8.4亿元人民币（1.32亿美元）的年销售额增量；假设大多数现有蔚来车主注册的平均车辆寿命为12年，该服务推出后的额外收入流价值约为100亿元人民币（16亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> NIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an&nbsp;estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在自动驾驶技术方面的不断发展预计将在不久的将来使公司及其股东受益匪浅。到2025年，全球自动驾驶汽车市场将成为增长最快、需求最大的细分市场之一，估计价值为1.6万亿美元。该市场6%的份额将为蔚来现有670亿美元的市值增加至少1000亿美元的估值，使其每股价值超过100美元。考虑到蔚来是目前极少数在自动驾驶领域取得切实成果的全电动汽车制造商之一，并且正在积极增长其海外销量，我们有信心该公司有能力占据上述市场6%以上的份额，并轻松实现到2025年每股股价超过100美元。结合全球消费者偏好向电气化和自动化的转变，我们预计到2025财年汽车销量约为30万辆，总收入约为1400亿元人民币（220亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6c800a04e6df92802f6893d214eecdd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部预测（蔚来_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Global Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全球扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537449f8f7ee9c736b48c1776cbb7259\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\"><span>Source: ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first&nbsp;overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway&nbsp;in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the&nbsp;ES8, which currently retails at a&nbsp;starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the&nbsp;ET7, to follow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>推动蔚来股价突破100美元的另一个催化剂是他们正在进行的海外扩张努力。蔚来一直公开表示其全球扩张的意图，特别是在美国和欧洲，作为其成为行业领导者计划的一部分。蔚来将于9月在挪威奥斯陆开设首个海外销售及服务中心。该品牌在挪威的足迹将于2022年进一步扩大，将在Bergen、Stavanger、Trondheim和Kristiansand开设四家蔚来商店。除了直销和服务中心外，蔚来还将在欧洲推出完整的充电地图，首先是在挪威的四个蔚来换电站，为新蔚来车主提供该品牌赖以成功的便利和续航里程。蔚来的旗舰SUV ES 8目前零售价约为67,000美元，将是首款引入欧洲市场的车型，该品牌最新的全尺寸轿车ET 7将于2022年紧随其后。</blockquote></p><p> With a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.</p><p><blockquote>凭借在中国豪华电动汽车市场的良好销售记录，以及与全球公认的特斯拉相当的规格，蔚来没有理由不在海外取得成功。正如前面提到的，蔚来的车辆充满电后的行驶里程可达435英里，这使得它成为潜在的欧美车主的理想选择，他们正在寻找一个可靠的伴侣来陪伴他们进行日常通勤和长途旅行。蔚来的外观和内饰设计也是现代、豪华的，可与欧洲和北美人口的首选相媲美。结合多样化的产品线和价格范围，蔚来有能力满足全球范围内对电动汽车不断增长的需求。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO’s Historical Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的历史表现</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Just a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a&nbsp;capital injection of RMB 7 billion&nbsp;(approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its&nbsp;IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.</p><p><blockquote>就在一年多前，尽管汽车销量持续增长，但由于流动性问题，蔚来股价跌至2美元以下的历史低点。2020年年中，中国合肥市政府向蔚来注资70亿元人民币（约合10亿美元）。该安排导致创建了“蔚来中国”，作为持有蔚来所有核心业务和资产的运营实体；蔚来目前持有蔚来90.36%的所有权权益，而“合肥战略投资者”联合体持有馀下9.64%。这种合作关系成为了公司的生命线；额外资本为公司的运营和汽车销售带来了显着改善，这反映在其强劲的财务业绩和2020年夏季股价的上涨趋势上。截至2020年第二季度末，蔚来总收入环比增长171%，股价平均反弹近20%。该公司股价在2020年第三季度上涨了两倍多，平均为15.40美元，并继续攀升至第四季度平均38.70美元。截至2021年3月31日的最新季度末，蔚来的平均股价为50.97美元，并在2月份达到近62美元的峰值，是2018年IPO价格的10倍多。该公司目前的市值超过670亿美元，超过了其在纽约证券交易所上市时仅10亿美元的市值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75a1d7edb18c1762028ba54f617e1982\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>Source: Author, with data from ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the&nbsp;growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the&nbsp;recently renewed manufacturing agreement&nbsp;with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.</p><p><blockquote>自今年早些时候股价在2月底成长型股票遭到抛售之前见顶以来，蔚来的基本面也只显示出稳步改善。2021年的交付量继续呈指数级增长，第一季度交付量超过20,000辆，几乎占2020年总交付量的50%。该公司继续展现出乐观的前景，4月份交付了超过7,100辆汽车，同比增长超过125%。得益于更高的交付量和有效的成本管理措施，蔚来在2021年第一季度的经营活动中也保持了正现金流，这些措施将其毛利率提高至19.5%，与特斯拉等行业领导者的毛利率相当。第一季度毛利率为21%。如上所述，我们预计到2025财年汽车销量将接近30万辆，这意味着总收入约为1400亿元人民币（220亿美元）（每股18.60美元）。我们最近与合资企业“江淮汽车集团”（“江淮汽车”）续签的制造协议进一步证实了我们对2025财年的汽车销售预测，该协议将目前100,000辆的年产能提高到240,000辆；正在建设中的“NeoPark”亦预期将新增100万台的年产能，这进一步支持了我们对蔚来继续致力于发展其业务的积极展望。考虑到行业同行特斯拉目前的市盈率为16.43倍，年收入约为420亿美元（第一季度收入年化为103.89亿美元），将相同比例应用于蔚来预测的2025财年总收入预计将产生市盈率8.7倍，股价超过160美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO vs. LI and XPEV</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来vs.LI和XPEV</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8fa939f92be448d1f427a6ac4bfb25\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Finviz</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Finviz</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>我们还将蔚来目前的市盈率与其国内同行进行了比较，以衡量蔚来股价突破100美元的时间表。蔚来目前的市盈率约为14.88倍，而国内行业同行理想汽车（纳斯达克：LI）和XPEV目前的市盈率分别为14.46倍和21.31倍。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Considering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到蔚来的技术、收入、全球足迹和现金流都强于LI和XPEV，前者的市盈率应该远高于后两者。即使蔚来的市盈率达到18.1倍（XPEV的中点），也将推动该公司当前股价上涨至51.50美元，基于上次交易股价42.34美元（6月1日），这意味着22%的上涨潜力。根据我们对蔚来2025财年收入1400亿元人民币（220亿美元）或每股18.60美元的预测，即使是18.1倍的一半也足以使蔚来的股价在2025年突破160美元；我们认为，蔚来的交易倍数是可以实现的，因为届时从运营中获得的现金和技术进步将使其走上电动汽车行业持续长期增长的轨道，预计这种增长将持续到2030年及以后，届时该品牌的4级自动驾驶技术开发完成并商业化。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Risks and Challenges</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务风险及挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned in one of my&nbsp;previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s&nbsp;denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在之前关于蔚来的一篇文章中提到的，《外国公司问责法》（“HFCA法案”）仍然是公司股价面临的最重大威胁之一。目前，中国的公共会计师事务所不符合SEC要求的PCAOB检查规则，2020年12月HFCA法案的颁布要求这些公共会计师事务所在颁布之日起三年内遵守PCAOB的检查要求；否则，上述事务所审计的所有上市公司都将面临退市风险。蔚来目前由普华永道中天会计师事务所（LLP）进行审计，该事务所被列入PCAOB的拒绝访问名单。如果中国当局和PCAOB不能很快就进行检查达成协议，从纽约证券交易所退市的潜在威胁可能会成为投资者的威慑因素，并最终导致蔚来股价长期下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Another imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来业务面临的另一个迫在眉睫的挑战是持续的全球芯片供应短缺。随着汽车行业越来越依赖芯片来管理车辆的每一项功能，汽车制造商的需求和芯片制造商的供应之间的差距越来越大。蔚来也不例外地受到持续的芯片供应危机的影响——2021年3月，蔚来停止了江淮蔚来制造工厂的生产活动五个工作日，以调整生产水平。然而，该公司继续有效地应对这种情况，交付量逐月增加就证明了这一点；在蔚来4月份最新的交付更新新闻稿中，该公司继续满足市场需求，交付了超过7,100辆汽车，同比增长125%。</blockquote></p><p> Competition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>近年来，电动汽车行业的竞争也愈演愈烈。在过去十年中，由于对气候变化的日益担忧以及传统汽油燃料汽车和电动汽车之间的价格平价，消费者对电动汽车的态度发生了巨大变化。随着第三方原始设备制造商更容易获得汽车电池解决方案，新兴电动汽车制造商的进入门槛也大幅降低；随着初始投资变得比2003年特斯拉更加合理，新进入者现在更热衷于参与不断增长的电动汽车行业的盈利机会，当时电动汽车对许多人来说仍然只是一个概念。除了新进入者之外，福特（纽约证券交易所股票代码：F）等传统汽油燃料汽车制造商也开始将全电池驱动的汽车纳入其车队，以满足不断变化的消费者需求并保持在汽车行业内的竞争力。然而，我们相信蔚来拥有在新的竞争格局中长期保持成功所需的品牌、客户体验、生产战略、人才和商业模式（此处进一步分析）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来已经在中国国内市场建立了强大的品牌影响力，中国国内市场是目前增长最快的电动汽车市场之一，2020年占全球电动汽车销量的40%以上。结合其生产优质电动汽车、建设创新充电基础设施、在自动驾驶技术开发方面取得突破性进展以及执行海外扩张战略的能力，蔚来正在有效缩小与特斯拉在全球电动汽车领域的差距。我们相信，由于汽车行业对电气化和自动化的需求不断增长，未来五年将是电动汽车和科技公司的转型时代，蔚来已经证明在这方面表现出色。其持续成就的价值将很快反映在其股价中，对于那些希望从即将到来的绿色转型和自动化时代中获利的人来说，这使其成为值得选择的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'<blockquote>蔚来股价能达到100美元吗？我们认为这是“何时”的问题，而不是“如果”的问题</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan NIO Stock Reach $100? We Think It's A Matter Of 'When' Not 'If'<blockquote>蔚来股价能达到100美元吗？我们认为这是“何时”的问题，而不是“如果”的问题</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-05 12:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.</li>  <li>The company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.</li>  <li>We believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b31b2f189fa181e941126674e0b4c0b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来的股价在过去一年飙升了816%以上，在3月初的成长股抛售之前，在2月初达到了近62美元的峰值。</li><li>该公司的创新方法和海外扩张战略，加上全球电气化和自动化市场情绪日益高涨，预计将提振该公司的估值。</li><li>我们相信，随着自动驾驶成为现实，全球电动汽车销量持续增长，蔚来股价到2025年将飙升至160美元以上。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Drew Angerer/Getty Images新闻来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a&nbsp;price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).</p><p><blockquote>尽管蔚来（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）是一个中国本土电动汽车（“EV”）品牌，最近才开始向欧洲进行海外扩张，但近年来已经在电动汽车行业狂热投资者中获得了国际关注。距离蔚来于2018年中期首次交付仅过去了短短三年，但许多人已经想知道其股价是否能达到与行业领导者特斯拉（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）类似的高度。尽管考虑到特斯拉目前的股价超过每股600美元，市值超过6000亿美元，这有点牵强，但我们确实相信蔚来有潜力在2025年之前突破每股100美元。就连华尔街分析师也对该公司的未来保持乐观，他们将目标价定为接近60美元，根据上次交易股价42.34美元（6月1日）计算，该目标价有超过35%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Founded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来成立于2014年，迄今在华销售和交付汽车已超过10万辆。该公司拥有一支由五款零排放、全电池驱动的车型组成的车队，从跑车到豪华轿车和全尺寸SUV。除了汽车之外，蔚来还因其在创新技术方面取得的重大进展而闻名，包括最先进的电池解决方案、人工智能和自动驾驶。该公司最近还将他们的全球扩张计划变成了现实，第一家海外蔚来商店将于2021年第三季度在挪威奥斯陆开业。我们认为，股价达到100美元不再是“如果”的问题，而是“何时”的问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Trailblazer in Innovative Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>创新技术的开拓者</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16d9fd877602d5604bc3a69593badfdf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>Source:ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the&nbsp;181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles&nbsp;currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are&nbsp;more than 226 battery swapping stations&nbsp;across China, with more on the way following a recent&nbsp;strategic partnership agreement&nbsp;between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来一直表现出令人不安的创新者的特征。该品牌因其在电池交换技术“Power Swap”方面的突破而广为人知，该技术为蔚来车主提供了一种快速便捷的解决方案，以解决电动汽车行驶里程通常有限的问题。与加油站类似，换电是一个电池交换站，可以在三分钟内将没电的电池换成充满电的电池；充满电的电池使蔚来汽车能够行驶435英里，是目前市场上电动汽车平均行驶里程181英里的两倍多。蔚来车主可以选择订阅“电池即服务”（“BaaS”）套餐，这是一项按月订阅的服务，为蔚来车主根据个人需求提供电池升级的灵活选择。该公司目前提供标准75 kWh电池，充满电后续航里程可达310英里，增强型100 kWh电池，充满电后续航里程可达435英里；两者都可供蔚来车主在BaaS下按月选择。迄今为止，全国已有超过226个电池交换站，继蔚来与中石化最近达成战略合作协议后，更多的电池交换站正在建设中。蔚来的车辆还与当地竞争对手小鹏汽车（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XPEV）在中国164个城市提供的1,140个汽车充电站兼容，这进一步增强了其为蔚来车主提供的现有充电基础设施网络。</blockquote></p><p> In addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of&nbsp;EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s&nbsp;NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.</p><p><blockquote>除了长期维持蔚来电动汽车所需的发达基础设施网络外，该公司还一直在努力完善其自动驾驶和人工智能技术，以在更广泛的电动汽车和技术领域保持竞争力。自2016年以来，蔚来一直在对其自动驾驶系统进行测试，并于2018年在北京的公共道路上进行了首次测试。该公司对未来客运的承诺也通过EVE的开发得到了证明，EVE是该品牌的自动驾驶概念车，由蔚来的NOMI AI（世界上第一个车载人工智能）提供豪华、舒适和安全的体验。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> To further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently&nbsp;partnered with Mobileye&nbsp;– an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.</p><p><blockquote>为了进一步推动自动驾驶技术的进步，蔚来最近与Mobileye合作，Mobileye是一家英特尔旗下（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）公司，以开发“EyeQ芯片”而闻名，目前已被超过27家汽车制造商用于其辅助驾驶技术——开发和商业化不需要人机交互的驾驶自动化（即“4级”自动驾驶）。他们的合作预计将加速蔚来推出“自动驾驶即服务”（“ADaaS”）套餐，这是他们的自动驾驶技术“蔚来自动驾驶”（“NAD”）的每月订阅。然而，与特斯拉的“全自动驾驶”套件类似，预计将于2022年推出的NAD技术尚未使蔚来汽车能够在没有人工干预的情况下驾驶，但它确实使蔚来在通往4级自动驾驶的竞赛中与行业领导者特斯拉相提并论。蔚来车主将可以选择订阅ADaaS，每月订阅费为人民币680元。如今上路的蔚来汽车超过10.2万辆，新的订阅套餐预计将产生8.4亿元人民币（1.32亿美元）的年销售额增量；假设大多数现有蔚来车主注册的平均车辆寿命为12年，该服务推出后的额外收入流价值约为100亿元人民币（16亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> NIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an&nbsp;estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在自动驾驶技术方面的不断发展预计将在不久的将来使公司及其股东受益匪浅。到2025年，全球自动驾驶汽车市场将成为增长最快、需求最大的细分市场之一，估计价值为1.6万亿美元。该市场6%的份额将为蔚来现有670亿美元的市值增加至少1000亿美元的估值，使其每股价值超过100美元。考虑到蔚来是目前极少数在自动驾驶领域取得切实成果的全电动汽车制造商之一，并且正在积极增长其海外销量，我们有信心该公司有能力占据上述市场6%以上的份额，并轻松实现到2025年每股股价超过100美元。结合全球消费者偏好向电气化和自动化的转变，我们预计到2025财年汽车销量约为30万辆，总收入约为1400亿元人民币（220亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6c800a04e6df92802f6893d214eecdd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"213\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部预测（蔚来_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Global Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全球扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/537449f8f7ee9c736b48c1776cbb7259\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"249\"><span>Source: ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first&nbsp;overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway&nbsp;in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the&nbsp;ES8, which currently retails at a&nbsp;starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the&nbsp;ET7, to follow in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>推动蔚来股价突破100美元的另一个催化剂是他们正在进行的海外扩张努力。蔚来一直公开表示其全球扩张的意图，特别是在美国和欧洲，作为其成为行业领导者计划的一部分。蔚来将于9月在挪威奥斯陆开设首个海外销售及服务中心。该品牌在挪威的足迹将于2022年进一步扩大，将在Bergen、Stavanger、Trondheim和Kristiansand开设四家蔚来商店。除了直销和服务中心外，蔚来还将在欧洲推出完整的充电地图，首先是在挪威的四个蔚来换电站，为新蔚来车主提供该品牌赖以成功的便利和续航里程。蔚来的旗舰SUV ES 8目前零售价约为67,000美元，将是首款引入欧洲市场的车型，该品牌最新的全尺寸轿车ET 7将于2022年紧随其后。</blockquote></p><p> With a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.</p><p><blockquote>凭借在中国豪华电动汽车市场的良好销售记录，以及与全球公认的特斯拉相当的规格，蔚来没有理由不在海外取得成功。正如前面提到的，蔚来的车辆充满电后的行驶里程可达435英里，这使得它成为潜在的欧美车主的理想选择，他们正在寻找一个可靠的伴侣来陪伴他们进行日常通勤和长途旅行。蔚来的外观和内饰设计也是现代、豪华的，可与欧洲和北美人口的首选相媲美。结合多样化的产品线和价格范围，蔚来有能力满足全球范围内对电动汽车不断增长的需求。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO’s Historical Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来的历史表现</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Just a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a&nbsp;capital injection of RMB 7 billion&nbsp;(approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its&nbsp;IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.</p><p><blockquote>就在一年多前，尽管汽车销量持续增长，但由于流动性问题，蔚来股价跌至2美元以下的历史低点。2020年年中，中国合肥市政府向蔚来注资70亿元人民币（约合10亿美元）。该安排导致创建了“蔚来中国”，作为持有蔚来所有核心业务和资产的运营实体；蔚来目前持有蔚来90.36%的所有权权益，而“合肥战略投资者”联合体持有馀下9.64%。这种合作关系成为了公司的生命线；额外资本为公司的运营和汽车销售带来了显着改善，这反映在其强劲的财务业绩和2020年夏季股价的上涨趋势上。截至2020年第二季度末，蔚来总收入环比增长171%，股价平均反弹近20%。该公司股价在2020年第三季度上涨了两倍多，平均为15.40美元，并继续攀升至第四季度平均38.70美元。截至2021年3月31日的最新季度末，蔚来的平均股价为50.97美元，并在2月份达到近62美元的峰值，是2018年IPO价格的10倍多。该公司目前的市值超过670亿美元，超过了其在纽约证券交易所上市时仅10亿美元的市值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75a1d7edb18c1762028ba54f617e1982\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"250\"><span>Source: Author, with data from ir.nio.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自ir.nio.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the&nbsp;growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the&nbsp;recently renewed manufacturing agreement&nbsp;with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.</p><p><blockquote>自今年早些时候股价在2月底成长型股票遭到抛售之前见顶以来，蔚来的基本面也只显示出稳步改善。2021年的交付量继续呈指数级增长，第一季度交付量超过20,000辆，几乎占2020年总交付量的50%。该公司继续展现出乐观的前景，4月份交付了超过7,100辆汽车，同比增长超过125%。得益于更高的交付量和有效的成本管理措施，蔚来在2021年第一季度的经营活动中也保持了正现金流，这些措施将其毛利率提高至19.5%，与特斯拉等行业领导者的毛利率相当。第一季度毛利率为21%。如上所述，我们预计到2025财年汽车销量将接近30万辆，这意味着总收入约为1400亿元人民币（220亿美元）（每股18.60美元）。我们最近与合资企业“江淮汽车集团”（“江淮汽车”）续签的制造协议进一步证实了我们对2025财年的汽车销售预测，该协议将目前100,000辆的年产能提高到240,000辆；正在建设中的“NeoPark”亦预期将新增100万台的年产能，这进一步支持了我们对蔚来继续致力于发展其业务的积极展望。考虑到行业同行特斯拉目前的市盈率为16.43倍，年收入约为420亿美元（第一季度收入年化为103.89亿美元），将相同比例应用于蔚来预测的2025财年总收入预计将产生市盈率8.7倍，股价超过160美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO vs. LI and XPEV</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来vs.LI和XPEV</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af8fa939f92be448d1f427a6ac4bfb25\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Finviz</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Finviz</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>我们还将蔚来目前的市盈率与其国内同行进行了比较，以衡量蔚来股价突破100美元的时间表。蔚来目前的市盈率约为14.88倍，而国内行业同行理想汽车（纳斯达克：LI）和XPEV目前的市盈率分别为14.46倍和21.31倍。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Considering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到蔚来的技术、收入、全球足迹和现金流都强于LI和XPEV，前者的市盈率应该远高于后两者。即使蔚来的市盈率达到18.1倍（XPEV的中点），也将推动该公司当前股价上涨至51.50美元，基于上次交易股价42.34美元（6月1日），这意味着22%的上涨潜力。根据我们对蔚来2025财年收入1400亿元人民币（220亿美元）或每股18.60美元的预测，即使是18.1倍的一半也足以使蔚来的股价在2025年突破160美元；我们认为，蔚来的交易倍数是可以实现的，因为届时从运营中获得的现金和技术进步将使其走上电动汽车行业持续长期增长的轨道，预计这种增长将持续到2030年及以后，届时该品牌的4级自动驾驶技术开发完成并商业化。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Risks and Challenges</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务风险及挑战</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned in one of my&nbsp;previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s&nbsp;denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.</p><p><blockquote>正如我在之前关于蔚来的一篇文章中提到的，《外国公司问责法》（“HFCA法案”）仍然是公司股价面临的最重大威胁之一。目前，中国的公共会计师事务所不符合SEC要求的PCAOB检查规则，2020年12月HFCA法案的颁布要求这些公共会计师事务所在颁布之日起三年内遵守PCAOB的检查要求；否则，上述事务所审计的所有上市公司都将面临退市风险。蔚来目前由普华永道中天会计师事务所（LLP）进行审计，该事务所被列入PCAOB的拒绝访问名单。如果中国当局和PCAOB不能很快就进行检查达成协议，从纽约证券交易所退市的潜在威胁可能会成为投资者的威慑因素，并最终导致蔚来股价长期下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Another imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来业务面临的另一个迫在眉睫的挑战是持续的全球芯片供应短缺。随着汽车行业越来越依赖芯片来管理车辆的每一项功能，汽车制造商的需求和芯片制造商的供应之间的差距越来越大。蔚来也不例外地受到持续的芯片供应危机的影响——2021年3月，蔚来停止了江淮蔚来制造工厂的生产活动五个工作日，以调整生产水平。然而，该公司继续有效地应对这种情况，交付量逐月增加就证明了这一点；在蔚来4月份最新的交付更新新闻稿中，该公司继续满足市场需求，交付了超过7,100辆汽车，同比增长125%。</blockquote></p><p> Competition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>近年来，电动汽车行业的竞争也愈演愈烈。在过去十年中，由于对气候变化的日益担忧以及传统汽油燃料汽车和电动汽车之间的价格平价，消费者对电动汽车的态度发生了巨大变化。随着第三方原始设备制造商更容易获得汽车电池解决方案，新兴电动汽车制造商的进入门槛也大幅降低；随着初始投资变得比2003年特斯拉更加合理，新进入者现在更热衷于参与不断增长的电动汽车行业的盈利机会，当时电动汽车对许多人来说仍然只是一个概念。除了新进入者之外，福特（纽约证券交易所股票代码：F）等传统汽油燃料汽车制造商也开始将全电池驱动的汽车纳入其车队，以满足不断变化的消费者需求并保持在汽车行业内的竞争力。然而，我们相信蔚来拥有在新的竞争格局中长期保持成功所需的品牌、客户体验、生产战略、人才和商业模式（此处进一步分析）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来已经在中国国内市场建立了强大的品牌影响力，中国国内市场是目前增长最快的电动汽车市场之一，2020年占全球电动汽车销量的40%以上。结合其生产优质电动汽车、建设创新充电基础设施、在自动驾驶技术开发方面取得突破性进展以及执行海外扩张战略的能力，蔚来正在有效缩小与特斯拉在全球电动汽车领域的差距。我们相信，由于汽车行业对电气化和自动化的需求不断增长，未来五年将是电动汽车和科技公司的转型时代，蔚来已经证明在这方面表现出色。其持续成就的价值将很快反映在其股价中，对于那些希望从即将到来的绿色转型和自动化时代中获利的人来说，这使其成为值得选择的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432901-nio-stock-reach-100","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148130971","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO's share price has soared by more than 816% in the past year, peaking at almost $62 in early February before the growth stock sell-off in early March.\nThe company's innovative approach and overseas expansion strategy, combined with the growing market sentiment on global electrification and automation are expected to boost the company's valuation.\nWe believe NIO's share price will soar beyond $160 by 2025 as global EV sales continue to ramp up with autonomous driving becoming a reality.\n\nPhoto by Drew Angerer/Getty Images News via Getty Images\nDespite it being a local Chinese electric vehicle (“EV”) brand that has only recently started its overseas expansion into Europe, NIO(NYSE:NIO)has already garnered significant international attention amidst avid investors within the EV sector in recent years. It has only been three short years since NIO made its first deliveries in mid-2018, yet many are already wondering whether its share price can reach similar heights as an industry leader, Tesla’s(NASDAQ:TSLA). Albeit a little farfetched given Tesla is currently trading at more than $600 per share with a market cap of more than $600 billion, we do believe NIO has promising potential to break $100 per share before 2025. Even Wall Street Analysts remain optimistic about the company’s future by assigning a price target of close to $60, which represents upward potential of more than 35% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st).\nFounded in 2014, NIO has sold and delivered more than 100,000 vehicles in China to date. The company boasts a fleet of five emission-free, fully battery-powered models, ranging from sports cars to luxury sedans and full-size SUVs. In addition to their vehicles, NIO is also known for their significant progress achieved in innovative technology, including state-of-the-art battery solutions, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving. The company has also recently turned their global expansion plans into reality, with the first overseas NIO store to open in Oslo, Norway in Q3 2021. We believe that reaching a share price of $100 is no longer a question of “if”, but instead, “when”.\nA Trailblazer in Innovative Technology\nSource:ir.nio.com\nNIO has continuously exhibited characteristics of an unsettling innovator. The brand is widely known for their breakthrough in battery swapping technology, “Power Swap”, which provides NIO owners with a fast and convenient solution to concerns over the typically limited travel range of EVs. Similar to a gas station, Power Swap is a battery swapping station that can swap a dead battery out for a fully charged one in under three minutes; a fully charged battery enables a NIO vehicle to travel up to 435 miles, which is more than double of the 181-mile average travel range of electric vehicles currently available on the market. NIO owners have the option to subscribe to the“Battery as a Service” (“BaaS”)package, which is a monthly subscription service that provides NIO owners with flexible options for battery upgrades based on personal needs. The company currently offers a standard 75 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 310 miles on a full charge, and an enhanced 100 kWh battery which enables a travel range of up to 435 miles on a full charge; both are available for NIO owners to choose from on a month-to-month basis under BaaS. To date, there are more than 226 battery swapping stations across China, with more on the way following a recent strategic partnership agreement between NIO and Sinopec. NIO’s vehicles are also compatible with local competitor XPeng’s(NYSE:XPEV)1,140 vehicle charging stations available across 164 cities in China, which further enhances its existing network of charging infrastructure in place for NIO owners.\nIn addition to the developed network of infrastructure needed to sustain NIO EVs in the long run, the company has also been working diligently on perfecting their autonomous driving and AI technology in order to remain competitive in the broader EV and tech space. NIO has already been performing testing on its autonomous driving systems since 2016, with their first testing on public roads in Beijing performed in 2018. The company’s commitment to the future of passenger transportation is also proven through their development of EVE, the brand’s concept car for autonomous driving which encompasses a luxurious, comfortable and safe experience powered by NIO’s NOMI AI, the world’s first in-vehicle artificial intelligence.\nTo further enhance their progress in autonomous driving technology, NIO has recently partnered with Mobileye – an Intel-owned(NASDAQ:INTC)company known for developing the “EyeQ chip” currently used by more than 27 car manufacturers for their assisted-driving technologies – to develop and commercialize driving automation that does not require human interaction (i.e. “level 4” autonomous driving). Their collaboration is expected to accelerate NIO’s launch of the “Autonomous Driving as a Service” (“ADaaS”) package, which is a monthly subscription for their autonomous driving technology, “NIO Autonomous Driving” (“NAD”). However, similar to Tesla’s “Full Self-Driving” package, the NAD technology that is expected to launch in 2022 does not yet make NIO vehicles capable of driving without human intervention, but it does catapult NIO to a comparable spot with industry leader Tesla in the race towards level 4 autonomous driving. NIO owners will have the option to subscribe to ADaaS for a monthly subscription fee of RMB 680. With more than 102,000 NIO vehicles on the road today, the new subscription package is expected to generate incremental annual sales of RMB 840 million ($132 million); the additional revenue stream is valued at approximately RMB 10 billion ($1.6 billion) upon the service’s inception, assuming an average vehicle life of 12 years with most existing NIO owners signing up.\nNIO’s continuous developments in autonomous driving technology are expected to benefit the company and its shareholders greatly in the near future. By 2025, the global autonomous cars market will become one of the fastest growing and most highly demanded segments with an estimated value of $1.6 trillion. A 6% share of this market would add a valuation of at least $100 billion to NIO’s existing $67 billion market cap, boosting its per unit share value to more than $100. Considering NIO is currently one of the very few fully electric automakers to have achieved tangible results within the autonomous driving scene, and is actively growing its overseas sales, we are confident that the company is capable of capturing more than 6% of the said market share, and achieve a per unit share price of more than $100 by 2025 with ease. Combined with the global shift in consumer preference towards electrification and automation, we are projecting vehicle sales of approximately 300,000 units by FY 2025, which will yield total revenues of approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion).\nSource: Author, with data from our internal forecasts (NIO_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf).\nGlobal Expansion\nSource: ir.nio.com\nAnother catalyst that will propel NIO’s share price beyond $100 is their ongoing overseas expansion efforts. NIO has been transparent about their intentions to expand globally, especially in the U.S. and Europe, as part of their plans in becoming an industry leader. NIO will be opening its first overseas sales and service centre in Oslo, Norway in September. The brand’s footprint in Norway will further expand in 2022 with four more NIO stores to open in Bergen, Stavanger, Trondheim and Kristiansand. In addition to its direct sales and service centres, NIO will also be introducing a full charging map for Europe, starting with four NIO Power Swap stations in Norway to provide new NIO owners with the convenience and range that the brand builds its success on. NIO’s flagship SUV, the ES8, which currently retails at a starting price of approximately US$67,000, will be the first model introduced in the European market, with the brand’s newest full-size sedan, the ET7, to follow in 2022.\nWith a proven sales track record in China’s luxury EV market, and specs comparable to the globally recognized Tesla, there is no reason for NIO to not succeed overseas. As mentioned in earlier sections, NIO’s vehicles have a driving range of up to 435 miles on a full charge, making it a desirable choice for potential European and American car owners looking for a reliable companion to accompany them on daily commutes to long road trips. The NIO exterior and interior designs are also modern, luxurious, and comparable to those preferred by the European and North American population. Combined with a diverse product line and price range, NIO is equipped to take on the increasing demands for EVs on a global scale.\nNIO’s Historical Performance\nJust a little more than a year ago, NIO’s share price hit an all-time low at under $2 amidst liquidity troubles despite continued vehicle sales. In mid-2020, the municipal government of Hefei, China came to NIO’s rescue with a capital injection of RMB 7 billion (approximately $1 billion). The arrangement resulted in the creation of “NIO China”, which serves as the operating entity that holds all of NIO’s core businesses and assets; NIO currently holds a 90.36% ownership interest in NIO China, while the “Hefei Strategic Investors” consortium holds the remainder 9.64%. The partnership became the company’s lifeline; the additional capital brought forth significant improvements to the company’s operations and vehicle sales, which were reflected in their strong financial performance and upward trend in share price in the summer of 2020. By the end of 2020’s second quarter, NIO’s share price rebounded by almost 20% on average after posting a 171% quarter-over-quarter increase in total revenues. The company’s share price more than tripled in 2020’s third quarter, averaging $15.40, and continued to climb towards its fourth quarter average of $38.70. By the end of the latest quarter ended March 31st, 2021, NIO’s share price averaged $50.97, and peaked at almost $62 in February which is more than 10x its IPO price in 2018. The company holds a market cap of more than $67 billion today, outgrowing its mere $1 billion market cap when it made its debut on the NYSE.\nSource: Author, with data from ir.nio.com\nNIO’s fundamentals have also shown nothing but steady improvements since its share price peaked earlier this year before the growth stock sell-off in late February. Deliveries in 2021 have continued to accelerate exponentially, with first quarter deliveries of more than 20,000 vehicles, representing almost 50% of total deliveries made in 2020. The company continues to exhibit a promising outlook with more than 7,100 vehicles delivered in April, representing an increase of more than 125% year-over-year. NIO has also maintained positive cash flows from operating activities for the first quarter of 2021, thanks to the higher deliveries and effective cost-management measures which have amped up their gross profit margin to 19.5%, comparable with industry leaders like Tesla whose first quarter gross margins were 21%. As aforementioned, we are forecasting vehicle sales of close to 300,000 units by FY 2025, which translates to approximately RMB 140 billion ($22 billion) in total revenues ($18.60 per share). Our vehicle sales forecast for FY 2025 is further corroborated by the recently renewed manufacturing agreement with joint venturer “Jianghuai Automobile Group” (“JAC”), which increases the current annual production capacity of 100,000 units to 240,000 units; the ongoing construction of “NeoPark” in Hefei, China is also expected to add annual production capacity of 1 million units, which further supports our positive outlook on NIO’s continued commitment to grow its business. Considering industry peer Tesla’s current P/S ratio of 16.43x with approximately $42 billion in annual revenues (annualization of $10.389 billion in first quarter revenues), the same proportion applied to NIO’s forecasted FY 2025 total revenues is expected to yield a P/S ratio of 8.7x, resulting in a share price of more than $160.\nNIO vs. LI and XPEV\nSource: Finviz\nWe have also compared NIO’s current P/S ratio to its domestic peers to gauge the timeline in which NIO’s share price will exceed $100. NIO currently trades at a P/S ratio of approximately 14.88x, while domestic industry peers, Li Auto(NASDAQ:LI)and XPEV, currently trade at a P/S ratio of 14.46x and 21.31x, respectively.\nConsidering NIO’s technology, revenues, global footprint, and cash flows are stronger than LI’s and XPEV’s, the former deserves to be traded at a much higher multiple than the latter two. Even if NIO reaches a P/S ratio of 18.1x (mid-point to XPEV's), it will drive the company’s current share price up to $51.50, which represents an upside potential of 22% based on the last traded share price of $42.34 (June 1st). And based on our forecasted revenues for FY 2025 for NIO of RMB 140 billion ($22 billion), or $18.60 per share, even a multiple half of the 18.1x would be more than sufficient to bring NIO's share price beyond $160 by 2025; we believe the trading multiple is achievable for NIO given the cash from operations and technological advancements achieved by then would place them on a trajectory of continued long-term growth within the EV industry, which is expected to continue into 2030 and beyond when the brand's level 4 autonomous driving technology development is complete and commercialized.\nBusiness Risks and Challenges\nAs mentioned in one of my previous articles on NIO, the “Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act” (“HFCA Act”) remains one of the most significant impending threats to the company’s share price. Currently, public accounting firms in China are non-compliant with PCAOB inspection rules required by the SEC, and the enactment of the HFCA Act in December 2020 requires that these public accounting firms comply with PCAOB inspection requests within three years of the enactment date; otherwise, all public companies audited by said firms will be subject to risks of de-listing. NIO is currently audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP, which is on PCAOB’s denied-access list. The potential threat of being delisted from the NYSE could be a deterrence factor to investors and ultimately hemorrhage NIO’s share price in the long run if Chinese authorities and the PCAOB cannot reach an agreement on conducting inspections soon.\nAnother imminent challenge to NIO’s business is the ongoing global chip supply shortage. As the automotive industry becomes more dependent on chips to manage every function of their vehicles, the gap between automaker demands and chip manufacturer supplies is widened. NIO was no exception to the impacts of the ongoing chip supply crisis – in March 2021, NIO halted their production activity at the JAC-NIO manufacturing plant for five working days in order to adjust their production levels. However, the company continues to effectively navigate through the situation as proven through their increasing number of deliveries month-over-month; in NIO’s latest delivery update press release for April, the company has continued to keep up with market demand with more than 7,100 vehicle deliveries made, representing a 125% year-over-year growth.\nCompetition within the EV sector has also ramped up in recent years. Consumer attitude towards EVs has changed drastically in the past decade due to rising concerns over climate change met with price parity between traditional petrol-fueled vehicles and EVs. The entry barrier for emerging EV makers has also lowered significantly as car battery solutions become more accessible through third-party OEMs; new entrants are now keener on participating in the profitable opportunity within the growing EV sector as initial investments become more reasonable than it was for Tesla in 2003 when EVs were still just a concept to many. In addition to new entrants, traditional petrol-fueled automakers like Ford(NYSE:F)have also started to incorporate fully battery-powered vehicles into their fleet in order to meet evolving consumer demands and remain competitive within the automotive industry. However, we believe NIO possesses the brand, customer experience, production strategy, talent and business model (further analyzedhere) needed to remain successful within the new competitive landscape in the long run.\nConclusion\nNIO has already established a strong brand presence within the domestic Chinese market, which is currently one of the fastest growing EV markets, representing more than 40% of global EV sales in 2020. Combined with their proven ability to produce quality EVs, construct innovative charging infrastructure, achieve breakthrough progress in the development of autonomous driving technology, and execute their overseas expansion strategy, NIO is effectively narrowing the gap between them and Tesla within the EV sector on a global scale. We are confident that the next five years will be a transformational era for the EV and tech company due to increasing demands for electrification and automation within the automotive industry, which NIO has already proven to excel in. The value of its continued achievements will be reflected in its share price in no time, making them a worthy stock pick for those looking to profit off of the impending age of green transition and automation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192759738,"gmtCreate":1621232950424,"gmtModify":1631885487145,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to buy more. Like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Time to buy more. Like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Time to buy more. Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192759738","repostId":"1193810245","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193810245","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621231602,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193810245?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-17 14:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Elon Musk said,To clarify speculation, Tesla has not sold any Bitcoin.<blockquote>Elon Musk表示，澄清猜测，特斯拉没有出售任何比特币。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193810245","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Elon Musk said,To clarify speculation, Tesla has not sold any Bitcoin.Bitcoin price bounced back to ","content":"<p>Elon Musk&nbsp;said,To clarify speculation, Tesla has not sold any Bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>Elon Musk表示，澄清猜测，特斯拉没有出售任何比特币。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b281e26b49ccf140e26d7c8fad90414\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"185\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin price&nbsp;bounced back to $45,000.</p><p><blockquote>比特币价格反弹至45,000美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Elon Musk said,To clarify speculation, Tesla has not sold any Bitcoin.<blockquote>Elon Musk表示，澄清猜测，特斯拉没有出售任何比特币。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nElon Musk said,To clarify speculation, Tesla has not sold any Bitcoin.<blockquote>Elon Musk表示，澄清猜测，特斯拉没有出售任何比特币。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-17 14:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Elon Musk&nbsp;said,To clarify speculation, Tesla has not sold any Bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>Elon Musk表示，澄清猜测，特斯拉没有出售任何比特币。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b281e26b49ccf140e26d7c8fad90414\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"185\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin price&nbsp;bounced back to $45,000.</p><p><blockquote>比特币价格反弹至45,000美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193810245","content_text":"Elon Musk said,To clarify speculation, Tesla has not sold any Bitcoin.Bitcoin price bounced back to $45,000.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190061415,"gmtCreate":1620554439537,"gmtModify":1634198057782,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no. SNDL please grow back.","listText":"Oh no. SNDL please grow back.","text":"Oh no. SNDL please grow back.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190061415","repostId":"1147179681","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147179681","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620458192,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147179681?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 15:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Week In Cannabis: The New Tilray, Jazz-GW Pharma, Earnings, M&A, And More<blockquote>大麻一周：新Tilray、Jazz-GW Pharma、收益、并购等</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147179681","media":"Benzinga","summary":"This was an eventful week for the cannabis industry.On Monday,Tilray, Inc.(NASDAQ:TLRY) and Aphria, ","content":"<p><div> This was an eventful week for the cannabis industry.On Monday,Tilray, Inc.(NASDAQ:TLRY) and Aphria, Inc.(NASDAQ:APHA) closed their merger after months of negotiations, creating a company with a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>对于大麻行业来说，这是多事的一周。周一，经过数月的谈判，Tilray，Inc.（纳斯达克：TLRY）和Aphria，Inc.（纳斯达克：APHA）完成了合并，创建了一家拥有...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Week In Cannabis: The New Tilray, Jazz-GW Pharma, Earnings, M&A, And More<blockquote>大麻一周：新Tilray、Jazz-GW Pharma、收益、并购等</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Week In Cannabis: The New Tilray, Jazz-GW Pharma, Earnings, M&A, And More<blockquote>大麻一周：新Tilray、Jazz-GW Pharma、收益、并购等</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 15:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> This was an eventful week for the cannabis industry.On Monday,Tilray, Inc.(NASDAQ:TLRY) and Aphria, Inc.(NASDAQ:APHA) closed their merger after months of negotiations, creating a company with a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>对于大麻行业来说，这是多事的一周。周一，经过数月的谈判，Tilray，Inc.（纳斯达克：TLRY）和Aphria，Inc.（纳斯达克：APHA）完成了合并，创建了一家拥有...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CNBS":"Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF","MSRT":"MassRoots, Inc.","APHA":"Aphria Inc.","CNTMF":"FLUENT CORP","NGD":"New Gold","THCX":"Innovation Shares Cannabis ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","TCNNF":"Trulieve Cannabis Corporation","JUSHF":"Jushi Holdings Inc.","GTBIF":"Green Thumb Industries Inc.","YOLO":"AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF","MSOS":"AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF","JAZZ":"爵士制药","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","GWPH":"GW Pharmaceuticals plc","CNBX":"CNBX Pharmaceuticals Inc.","SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","MJ":"Amplify Alternative Harvest ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/21/05/21021448/the-week-in-cannabis-the-new-tilray-jazz-gw-pharma-earnings-m-a-and-more","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147179681","content_text":"This was an eventful week for the cannabis industry.On Monday,Tilray, Inc.(NASDAQ:TLRY) and Aphria, Inc.(NASDAQ:APHA) closed their merger after months of negotiations, creating a company with a combined market cap of $3.3 billion.Following the merger, Jefferies upgraded the rating for Tilray from Underperform to Buy, while raising the price target from $4.77 to $23.Jazz Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:JAZZ) finalized its acquisition of GW Pharmaceuticals plc.(NASDAQ:GWPH), the producer of the FDA‑approved prescription cannabidiol drug Epidiolex, for $7.2 billion or $6.7 billion net of GW Pharma's cash.Meanwhile,Ascend Wellness Holdings(CSE:AAWH) started trading on the Canadian Securities exchange following a raise of approximately $80 million through an initial public offering of roughly 10 million shares of its Class A common stock at $8 per share.After two weeks of consolidating below resistance at the $1 level, shares of Reddit favorite Sundial Growers Inc. have resumed their downtrend.Credit Suisse Group AG(NYSE:CS) reportedly stopped handling transactions in shares of cannabis companies with U.S. operations and plans to refrain from holding cannabis stocks on behalf of its clients.The Swiss-based lender, which declined to give a statement, was among a handful of banks willing to buy and sell marijuana-related stocks and hold the shares as a custodian for clients in the United States. While it's not yet clear what impact this decision will have, Reuters reported the move has affected the sale of marijuana stocks in recent weeks.In fact, all major ETFs were down. Over the five trading days of this week:TheETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF(NYSE:MJ): lost 0.2%.The$AdvisorShares Pure Cannabis ETF(YOLO)$(NYSE:YOLO): tumbled 1.8%.TheAdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF(NYSE:MSOS): shed 0.2% of its value.TheCannabis ETF(NYSE:THCX): dropped 3.4%.TheAmplify Seymour Cannabis ETF(NYSE:CNBS): was down 3.5%.TheSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(NYSE:SPY) closed the week up 1.21%.Policy, Science And DataIn New York, people gathered to celebrate cannabis legalization.“Last weekend's annual New York City cannabis parade brought out a who's who in politicians jockeying for position to be the one who wasalwayssupportive of legalizing cannabis. Ah-hem. Water under the bridge shall we say,” commented Debra Borchardt, CEO ofGreen Market Report. “With adult use cannabis sales likely to be legal by next year's parade, the people who attended were clearly in a celebratory mood. The New York market is expected to be the largest in the country and there were many small businesses working the crowd. There should be a Tinder app for social equity applicants to hook up with investors as there was a lot of talk about social equity applicants, but most have no money or very little.”In ColoradoGov. Jared Polis signed a bill that would expand access to medical cannabis for school children in need by removing obstacles to its administration.Financings And M&AJushi Holdings Inc.(CSE:JUSH) (OTC:JUSHF) finalized its purchase of a 93,000 sq. ft. facility operated by its subsidiary,Dalitso LLC, for around $22 million. The deal also includes nearly nine acres of surrounding land in Prince William County, Virginia.High Tide Inc.(TSXV:HITI) (OTCQB:HITIF) (FRA: 2LY) will acquire 80% ofFab Nutrition, LLC. (operating as FABCBD) for $20.64 million in stock and cash.MassRoots, Inc.(OTC:MSRT) is looking to acquireEmpire Services, Inc. for $14 million in a primarily stock-based transaction.Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (CSE:TRUL) (OTCQX:TCNNF) purchased West Virginia-basedMountaineer Holding LLCfor $6 million.Cansortium Inc.(CSE:TIUM), (OTCQB:CNTMF), doing business under the Fluent brand, exercised its right to regain up to the maximum of $5 million of convertible promissory notes, originally issued in the amount of $10 million in 2019.Green Thumb Industries Inc.(CSE:GTII) (OTCQX:GTBIF) will reach the Virginia market via its acquisition ofDharma Pharmaceuticals LLC.Earnings ReportsKiaro Holdings Corp.(TSXV:KO) reported record revenues of CA$17.1 million in 2021, representing a year-over-year increase of 230%. Same-store sales spiked 58% over the same period.Cansortium Inc.(CSE:TIUM) (OTCQB:CNTMF), which operates under the Fluent brand, announced its fourth-quarter and full-year 2020 financial results, with consolidated revenue of $14.7 million for the three months ending Dec. 31, up 54% year-over-year.Scotts Miracle-Gro (NYSE:SMG) reported that company-wide sales grew by 32% year-over-year reaching $1.83 billion in the second quarter. For the first half of fiscal 2021, the company reported sales of $2.58 billion, up by 47% from $1.75 billion in sales posted a year ago.Sales for the cannabis-focused Hawthorne segment climbed up to $363.8 million, representing a 66% year-over-year increase.Lowell Farms Inc.(CSE:LOWL) (OTCQX:LOWLF) generated $11 million in revenue during the first quarter of the 2021 fiscal year, representing an increase of 17% year-over-year.Cannabis REITInnovative Industrial Properties, Inc.(NYSE:IIPR) announced its total revenue increased by 103% year-over-year to $42.9 million in the first quarter of 2021. Net income for the same period was roughly $25.6 million, or $1.05 per diluted share, representing an annual growth of 122%.POSaBIT Systems Corporation(CSE:PBIT) (OTCQX:POSAF) reported its total revenue increased by 327% year-over-year, hitting roughly $3.06 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Total revenue amounted to $7.82 million in 2020, representing an annual increase of 127%.Cronos Group Inc (NASDAQ: CRON) reported a Q1 adjusted EBITDA loss of $37.07 million, marginally up from $37.05 million reported a year ago. This slight increase in losses was primarily driven by the rise in sales and marketing costs due to brand development in the U.S. segment and an increase in R&D costs.Hemp cultivation and processing brandHempFlaxposted its full-year 2020 earnings report, with revenues of €14.5 million ($17.4 million), up 43% from 2019's $10.1 million. EBITDA increased 63% from 2019, totaling €1.8 million, marking the company's second profitable year. EBITDA margins increased to 12.7% from the previous year's 11.1%.Planet 13 Holdings Inc.(CSE:PLTH) (OTCQX:PLNHF) generated record sales in April of $10.7 million — almost as much as last year’s total second-quarter revenue of $10.8 million.Other NewsCanadian hospital Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre and Avicana Inc(OTC:AVCNF) announced a partnership to provide medical cannabis products on-site through the Odette Cancer Centre Pharmacy.Orchid Ventures Inc(OTC:ORVRD) entered an exclusive licensing agreement with Gold Flora. Per the agreement, Gold Flora will be assuming all production, sales, and distribution of Orchid Essentials products throughout the state of California, and purchasing all hardware, packaging, and terpenes through PurTecDelivery Systems, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Orchid Ventures.“As one of the highest growth operators in the state, we are confident that Gold Flora's leadership and quality of their operations will accelerate Orchid's growth potential, further establishing the brand as a leader in the largest recreational cannabis market in the world, California,” Corey Mangold, CEO and chairman of Orchid Ventures, told Benzinga.Applied DNA Sciences, Inc.(NASDAQ:APDN) signed a new contract with the Defense Logistics Agency’s (DLA) Land and Maritime’s Product Test Center (PTC) with a maximal value of $1.04 million.MedMen Enterprises Inc(CSE:MMEN) (OTC:MMNFF) announced the opening of its first Miami Beach, Florida location.Tamerlane Tradinglaunched an online quality-verified marketplace for wholesale and bulk cannabis, calling the move the first and only cannabis marketplace of its kind in the world.“Our overall goal with the new online marketplace is to establish trust and transparency in the cannabis industry. By including quality verification and grading of cannabis product, wholesale buyers and suppliers will benefit,” said Jhavid Mohseni, CEO of Tamerlane Trading.Acreage Holdings, Inc.(CSE:ACRG) (OTC:ACRGF) andMedterra CBD, LLCare joining forces to develop a CBD-based collection of products.Sitka Hash Househas launched its handmade hashish-based products into the California market with manufacturing partner, Garden Society. Founded in 2012, Sitka claims 9 out of the top 10 hashish SKUs in Washington state.Sitka CEO Jeff Graham told Benzinga, “Interstate expansion offers us the opportunity to provide our original cannabis concentrates to new audiences. We are proud to enter California with the Garden Society as our manufacturer and HERBL as our distributor.”The Aster Farms team tracked their energy consumption, CO2e emissions, water use, solid waste as well as their hiring practices over the last year. The company now released its first annual Sustainability Report.“Sustainability is part of our company's DNA,” shared Aster Farms CEO and co-founder Julia Jacbonson. “From regenerative agriculture and recyclable packaging to inclusive hiring practices, we understand that sustainable farming is only part of the story.”“The cannabis industry is in a unique position to change the paradigm of what a successful company looks and feels like and what is considered most important,” she added.Newly released podcastHighly Unlikely,hosted by standup comedianAlex Gettlinand produced by Wikileaf, dives into the absurdity of the world we live in. Each episode features famed comedian guests losing their minds over some very real and strange facts while trying various new cannabis products.Canadian licensed cannabis producers and global markets will have access to time-tested, feminized, organic-certified cannabis seeds. This is thanks to a new partnership betweenHumboldt Seed CompanyandNymera,which will allow not only the production and sale of the seeds in Canada, but also the export of these genetics to other countries with legal cannabis markets around the world.This is the first time a cannabis seed is certified as organic.Calyxtannounced advancements in technology that will make it easier for scientists to bring advanced breeding into hemp. The company, an expert at improving crops like soybeans and wheat to produce more heart-healthy oil or higher fiber, announced its scientists have transformed hemp – an important step as the company can now engineer the hemp genome, unlocking capabilities to selectively breed and deliver improvements in hemp traits through advanced plant breeding like gene editing or even GM level engineering.“We were able to change the plants DNA and regenerate plants through tissue culture, thus accomplishing something that has been fairly elusive in hemp to date,\" said Travis Frey, Ph.D., chief technology officer of Calyxt. “By modernizing the hemp crop, we can now deliver traits that benefits both growers and consumers who are increasingly looking for plant-based and sustainable foods, materials, cosmeceuticals, nutraceuticals and more.\"Zelira Therapeutics Ltd(ASX:ZLD) (OTCQB:ZLDAF) launched its HOPE line of cannabis products in Washington DC. The product line, especially formulated for autism spectrum disorder (ASD) patients of all ages, is also available in Pennsylvania, Louisiana and Australia.“Since we first launched HOPE in the US, our long-term goal has been to make it accessible to ASD patients everywhere, and Washington DC's reciprocity allows us to take a huge step in that direction here in the US,” Dr. Oludare Odumosu, CEO of Zelira Therapeutics, told Benzinga. “The nation's capital is one of the most popular travel destinations, so we are thrilled to be able to offer HOPE there as a treatment option for ASD patients from around the country who travel to DC.”Cannabics Pharmaceuticals Inc.(OTCQB:CNBX), received a “Notice of Allowance” from the Mexican Patent and Trademark Office (IMPI) for a patent on a “System and method for high throughput screening of cancer cells.”Executive MovesCBD products distributor,Khode LLC., announced Tuesday it formed its first board of directors consisting of music artists, executives and CBD industry veterans, including Grammy award-winning artists and entrepreneurDJ Khaled, music executiveLenny S, CEO ofEndexx Corporation(OTC:EDXC)Todd Davis, andStephen HerronandRon CottingofCBD Unlimited, Inc.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CS":0.9,"GTBIF":0.9,"YOLO":0.9,"TLRY":0.9,"CNBX":0.9,"MJ":0.9,"MSOS":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"JAZZ":0.9,"TCNNF":0.9,"APHA":0.9,"GWPH":0.9,"HITIF":0.9,"SNDL":0.9,"CNBS":0.9,"CNTMF":0.9,"NGD":0.9,"MSRT":0.9,"THCX":0.9,"JUSHF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":489,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":345048754,"gmtCreate":1618269190378,"gmtModify":1634294107422,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sounds like a good news. Like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Sounds like a good news. Like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Sounds like a good news. Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/345048754","repostId":"1100963293","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343042510,"gmtCreate":1617666495630,"gmtModify":1634297279212,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The time is now and the future is tsla. Like and comment, please.&nbsp;","listText":"The time is now and the future is tsla. Like and comment, please.&nbsp;","text":"The time is now and the future is tsla. Like and comment, please.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343042510","repostId":"1123709980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102020258,"gmtCreate":1620169500274,"gmtModify":1634207367226,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Booo. Like and comment.","listText":"Booo. Like and comment.","text":"Booo. Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102020258","repostId":"1140575890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140575890","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620141444,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140575890?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 23:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Yellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat<blockquote>耶伦表示，利率可能必须有所上升，以确保经济不会过热</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140575890","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(May 4) Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to kee","content":"<p>(May 4)&nbsp;Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to keep a lid on the burgeoning growth of the U.S. economy brought on by trillions in government stimulus spending.</p><p><blockquote>（5月4日）美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦（Janet Yellen）周二承认，利率可能必须上升，以抑制数万亿政府刺激支出带来的美国经济快速增长。</blockquote></p><p>\"It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat,\" Yellen said during a economic seminar presented by Th Atlantic. \"Even though additional spending is relatively small to the size of the economy, it could causae some very modest increases in interest rates.\"</p><p><blockquote>耶伦在Th Atlantic举办的经济研讨会上表示：“利率可能必须有所上升，以确保我们的经济不会过热。”“尽管额外支出相对于经济规模来说相对较小，但它可能会导致利率出现一些非常温和的上涨。”</blockquote></p><p>\"But these are investments our economy needs to be competitive and productive,\" she added.</p><p><blockquote>“但这些都是我们的经济保持竞争力和生产力所需的投资，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p>Nasdaq fell&nbsp;over 2%&nbsp;for&nbsp;now.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克目前跌幅超过2%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de3525661b3a7db28a0797ab745db67b\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec61efef423e545861c0ca0126af9332\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Yellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat<blockquote>耶伦表示，利率可能必须有所上升，以确保经济不会过热</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYellen says interest rates may have to rise somewhat to make sure economy doesn't overheat<blockquote>耶伦表示，利率可能必须有所上升，以确保经济不会过热</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-04 23:17</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May 4)&nbsp;Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to keep a lid on the burgeoning growth of the U.S. economy brought on by trillions in government stimulus spending.</p><p><blockquote>（5月4日）美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦（Janet Yellen）周二承认，利率可能必须上升，以抑制数万亿政府刺激支出带来的美国经济快速增长。</blockquote></p><p>\"It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat,\" Yellen said during a economic seminar presented by Th Atlantic. \"Even though additional spending is relatively small to the size of the economy, it could causae some very modest increases in interest rates.\"</p><p><blockquote>耶伦在Th Atlantic举办的经济研讨会上表示：“利率可能必须有所上升，以确保我们的经济不会过热。”“尽管额外支出相对于经济规模来说相对较小，但它可能会导致利率出现一些非常温和的上涨。”</blockquote></p><p>\"But these are investments our economy needs to be competitive and productive,\" she added.</p><p><blockquote>“但这些都是我们的经济保持竞争力和生产力所需的投资，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p>Nasdaq fell&nbsp;over 2%&nbsp;for&nbsp;now.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克目前跌幅超过2%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de3525661b3a7db28a0797ab745db67b\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"479\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec61efef423e545861c0ca0126af9332\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140575890","content_text":"(May 4) Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen conceded Tuesday that interest rates may have to rise to keep a lid on the burgeoning growth of the U.S. economy brought on by trillions in government stimulus spending.\"It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat,\" Yellen said during a economic seminar presented by Th Atlantic. \"Even though additional spending is relatively small to the size of the economy, it could causae some very modest increases in interest rates.\"\"But these are investments our economy needs to be competitive and productive,\" she added.Nasdaq fell over 2% for now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100999876,"gmtCreate":1619572512495,"gmtModify":1631884521059,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wooo. Google go go go. Like and comment.","listText":"Wooo. Google go go go. Like and comment.","text":"Wooo. Google go go go. Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100999876","repostId":"2130373930","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2130373930","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619556617,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2130373930?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 04:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google Shares Rise On Revenue And Earnings Beat, $50B Buyback<blockquote>谷歌股价因收入和盈利超出预期以及500亿美元回购而上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2130373930","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Google parent company Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG)(NASDAQ: GOOGL) reported first-quarter earnings Tuesday afternoon.","content":"<p>Google parent company <b>Alphabet Inc </b>(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL) reported first-quarter earnings&nbsp;Tuesday afternoon.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌母公司<b>Alphabet公司</b>（纳斯达克：GOOG）（纳斯达克：GOOGL）周二下午公布了第一季度财报。</blockquote></p><p><b>First Quarter Earnings: </b>Alphabet reported revenue of $55.3 billion in the first quarter, beating&nbsp;estimates of $51.7 billion. The total was up 32% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益：</b>Alphabet公布第一季度营收为553亿美元，超出预期的517亿美元。总数同比增长32%。</blockquote></p><p>Earnings per share&nbsp;of $26.29 beat&nbsp;estimates of $15.88. The company reported net income of $17.9 billion, more than doubling last year’s first-quarter total of $6.8 billion.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04c18e5c94d3b6d4047c6f7b1f4540eb\" tg-width=\"1602\" tg-height=\"670\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Total advertising revenue was $44.7 billion in the first quarter, up from the comparable $33.8 billion in the last fiscal year. The company reported search revenue of $31.9 billion, YouTube revenue of $6&nbsp;billion and Google network revenue of $6.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>每股收益为26.29美元，超出预期的15.88美元。该公司公布的净利润为179亿美元，是去年第一季度68亿美元总额的两倍多。第一季度广告总收入为447亿美元，高于上一财年的338亿美元。该公司公布的搜索收入为319亿美元，YouTube收入为60亿美元，谷歌网络收入为68亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Google's Cloud revenue improved 46% to $4 billion, though the division lags behind rivals Amazon.com Inc.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌的云收入增长了46%，达到40亿美元，尽管该部门落后于竞争对手亚马逊公司。</blockquote></p><p>The company’s other segment revenue was $6.5 billion and Google Cloud revenue was $4&nbsp;billion in the first quarter.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ed7cd2419e150521d3b20d080a0ba44\" tg-width=\"1614\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google and Alphabet, said: “Over the last year, people have turned to Google Search andmany online services to stay informed, connected and entertained. We’ve continued our focus on delivering trustedservices to help people around the world. Our Cloud services are helping businesses, big and small, acceleratetheir digital transformations.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司第一季度的其他部门收入为65亿美元，谷歌云收入为40亿美元。谷歌和Alphabet首席执行官桑达尔·皮查伊(Sundar Pichai)表示：“去年，人们转向谷歌搜索和许多在线服务来保持信息、联系和娱乐。我们继续专注于提供值得信赖的服务来帮助世界各地的人们。我们的云服务正在帮助大大小小的企业加速数字化转型。”</blockquote></p><p>Ruth Porat, CFO of Google and Alphabet, said: “Total revenues of $55.3 billion in the first quarter reflect elevatedconsumer activity online and broad based growth in advertiser revenue. We’re very pleased with the ongoing&nbsp;momentum in Google Cloud, with revenues of $4.0 billion in the quarter reflecting strength and opportunity in bothGCP and Workspace.”&nbsp;<b>Share Buyback Announced:</b> Along with its first-quarter earnings, Alphabet reported a $50-billion share buyback was authorized by the company. The share repurchases will be executed “from time to time.\"</p><p><blockquote>谷歌和Alphabet首席财务官露丝·波拉特(Ruth Porat)表示：“第一季度总收入为553亿美元，反映了在线消费者活动的增加和广告商收入的广泛增长。我们对谷歌云的持续势头感到非常满意，收入为本季度40亿美元反映了GCP和Workspace的实力和机遇。”<b>宣布回购股票：</b>除了第一季度财报外，Alphabet还报告称，该公司已授权进行500亿美元的股票回购。股份回购将“不时”执行。</blockquote></p><p><b>Price Action: </b>Shares of GOOG are up 4% to $2,410 in after-hours Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>周二盘后，GOOG股价上涨4%，至2,410美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cf14e52744d9520c6eea9cf5fd08aa1\" tg-width=\"1484\" tg-height=\"974\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google Shares Rise On Revenue And Earnings Beat, $50B Buyback<blockquote>谷歌股价因收入和盈利超出预期以及500亿美元回购而上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle Shares Rise On Revenue And Earnings Beat, $50B Buyback<blockquote>谷歌股价因收入和盈利超出预期以及500亿美元回购而上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-28 04:50</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Google parent company <b>Alphabet Inc </b>(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL) reported first-quarter earnings&nbsp;Tuesday afternoon.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌母公司<b>Alphabet公司</b>（纳斯达克：GOOG）（纳斯达克：GOOGL）周二下午公布了第一季度财报。</blockquote></p><p><b>First Quarter Earnings: </b>Alphabet reported revenue of $55.3 billion in the first quarter, beating&nbsp;estimates of $51.7 billion. The total was up 32% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益：</b>Alphabet公布第一季度营收为553亿美元，超出预期的517亿美元。总数同比增长32%。</blockquote></p><p>Earnings per share&nbsp;of $26.29 beat&nbsp;estimates of $15.88. The company reported net income of $17.9 billion, more than doubling last year’s first-quarter total of $6.8 billion.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04c18e5c94d3b6d4047c6f7b1f4540eb\" tg-width=\"1602\" tg-height=\"670\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Total advertising revenue was $44.7 billion in the first quarter, up from the comparable $33.8 billion in the last fiscal year. The company reported search revenue of $31.9 billion, YouTube revenue of $6&nbsp;billion and Google network revenue of $6.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>每股收益为26.29美元，超出预期的15.88美元。该公司公布的净利润为179亿美元，是去年第一季度68亿美元总额的两倍多。第一季度广告总收入为447亿美元，高于上一财年的338亿美元。该公司公布的搜索收入为319亿美元，YouTube收入为60亿美元，谷歌网络收入为68亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Google's Cloud revenue improved 46% to $4 billion, though the division lags behind rivals Amazon.com Inc.</p><p><blockquote>谷歌的云收入增长了46%，达到40亿美元，尽管该部门落后于竞争对手亚马逊公司。</blockquote></p><p>The company’s other segment revenue was $6.5 billion and Google Cloud revenue was $4&nbsp;billion in the first quarter.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ed7cd2419e150521d3b20d080a0ba44\" tg-width=\"1614\" tg-height=\"742\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google and Alphabet, said: “Over the last year, people have turned to Google Search andmany online services to stay informed, connected and entertained. We’ve continued our focus on delivering trustedservices to help people around the world. Our Cloud services are helping businesses, big and small, acceleratetheir digital transformations.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司第一季度的其他部门收入为65亿美元，谷歌云收入为40亿美元。谷歌和Alphabet首席执行官桑达尔·皮查伊(Sundar Pichai)表示：“去年，人们转向谷歌搜索和许多在线服务来保持信息、联系和娱乐。我们继续专注于提供值得信赖的服务来帮助世界各地的人们。我们的云服务正在帮助大大小小的企业加速数字化转型。”</blockquote></p><p>Ruth Porat, CFO of Google and Alphabet, said: “Total revenues of $55.3 billion in the first quarter reflect elevatedconsumer activity online and broad based growth in advertiser revenue. We’re very pleased with the ongoing&nbsp;momentum in Google Cloud, with revenues of $4.0 billion in the quarter reflecting strength and opportunity in bothGCP and Workspace.”&nbsp;<b>Share Buyback Announced:</b> Along with its first-quarter earnings, Alphabet reported a $50-billion share buyback was authorized by the company. The share repurchases will be executed “from time to time.\"</p><p><blockquote>谷歌和Alphabet首席财务官露丝·波拉特(Ruth Porat)表示：“第一季度总收入为553亿美元，反映了在线消费者活动的增加和广告商收入的广泛增长。我们对谷歌云的持续势头感到非常满意，收入为本季度40亿美元反映了GCP和Workspace的实力和机遇。”<b>宣布回购股票：</b>除了第一季度财报外，Alphabet还报告称，该公司已授权进行500亿美元的股票回购。股份回购将“不时”执行。</blockquote></p><p><b>Price Action: </b>Shares of GOOG are up 4% to $2,410 in after-hours Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>周二盘后，GOOG股价上涨4%，至2,410美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cf14e52744d9520c6eea9cf5fd08aa1\" tg-width=\"1484\" tg-height=\"974\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2130373930","content_text":"Google parent company Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL) reported first-quarter earnings Tuesday afternoon.First Quarter Earnings: Alphabet reported revenue of $55.3 billion in the first quarter, beating estimates of $51.7 billion. The total was up 32% year-over-year.Earnings per share of $26.29 beat estimates of $15.88. The company reported net income of $17.9 billion, more than doubling last year’s first-quarter total of $6.8 billion.Total advertising revenue was $44.7 billion in the first quarter, up from the comparable $33.8 billion in the last fiscal year. The company reported search revenue of $31.9 billion, YouTube revenue of $6 billion and Google network revenue of $6.8 billion.Google's Cloud revenue improved 46% to $4 billion, though the division lags behind rivals Amazon.com Inc.The company’s other segment revenue was $6.5 billion and Google Cloud revenue was $4 billion in the first quarter.Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google and Alphabet, said: “Over the last year, people have turned to Google Search andmany online services to stay informed, connected and entertained. We’ve continued our focus on delivering trustedservices to help people around the world. Our Cloud services are helping businesses, big and small, acceleratetheir digital transformations.\"Ruth Porat, CFO of Google and Alphabet, said: “Total revenues of $55.3 billion in the first quarter reflect elevatedconsumer activity online and broad based growth in advertiser revenue. We’re very pleased with the ongoing momentum in Google Cloud, with revenues of $4.0 billion in the quarter reflecting strength and opportunity in bothGCP and Workspace.” Share Buyback Announced: Along with its first-quarter earnings, Alphabet reported a $50-billion share buyback was authorized by the company. The share repurchases will be executed “from time to time.\"Price Action: Shares of GOOG are up 4% to $2,410 in after-hours Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347957843,"gmtCreate":1618459530582,"gmtModify":1634292793264,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So expensive. Like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"So expensive. Like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"So expensive. Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347957843","repostId":"2127076082","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145629036,"gmtCreate":1626221986125,"gmtModify":1631888696068,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news.&nbsp;","listText":"Good news.&nbsp;","text":"Good news.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145629036","repostId":"1120920517","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120920517","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626221377,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120920517?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 08:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla Stock Just Gave Back Half of Yesterday's Gains<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价刚刚回吐了昨天一半的涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120920517","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nAfterracing upwardby more than 4% in Monday trading,Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)give back half o","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Afterracing upwardby more than 4% in Monday trading,<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)give back half of its stock price gains Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在周一交易中上涨超过4%后，<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）周二回吐了一半股价涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> As of 2:52 p.m. EDT, shares of theelectric carmanufacturer were down by 2.5% from Monday's close.</p><p><blockquote>截至下午2:52美国东部时间，这家电动汽车制造商的股价较周一收盘价下跌2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> So what was troubling Tesla on Tuesday? Well, for one thing, there's theongoing trialquestioning the propriety of its $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity in 2016. Plaintiffs in the case allege that CEO Elon Musk put his own financial interests ahead of those of Tesla's shareholders. That's obviously not a good look for the company.</p><p><blockquote>那么周二是什么困扰着特斯拉呢？一方面，正在进行的审判质疑其2016年以26亿美元收购SolarCity的适当性。该案原告称，首席执行官Elon Musk将自己的财务利益置于特斯拉股东的利益之上。这对公司来说显然不是一个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Wall Street is still digesting the import of recent pricing moves, and of Tesla's weekend rollout of \"FSD v.9.0 Beta,\" the latest iteration of the software that's supposed to help make Tesla cars autonomous and usher in an age of robo-taxis.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，华尔街仍在消化最近定价变动的影响，以及特斯拉周末推出的“FSD v.9.0 Beta”，这是该软件的最新版本，旨在帮助特斯拉汽车实现自动驾驶并迎来机器人时代。出租车。</blockquote></p><p> In a note it put out Tuesday morning, Goldman Sachs asserted that increased sales and higher prices on Teslas sold will help the company earn an above-consensus $5 a share in 2021. On the other hand, notesTheFly.com, Goldman does worry thatchip shortagesin theautomotive industrycould curtail Tesla's production numbers this quarter. If Tesla isn't able to sell as many higher-priced Model S and Model X cars as Wall Street expects, that could weigh on profits.</p><p><blockquote>高盛在周二上午发布的一份报告中声称，特斯拉销量的增加和售价的上涨将有助于该公司在2021年每股收益高于市场预期的5美元。另一方面，据TheFly.com报道，高盛确实担心汽车行业的芯片短缺可能会减少特斯拉本季度的产量。如果特斯拉不能像华尔街预期的那样销售更多价格较高的Model S和Model X汽车，这可能会影响利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Rumors of a price hike on the FSD feature (which some speculate could rise from $10,000 currently to $14,000) could help boost Tesla's profits, of course. On the other hand, in a note released Monday, analysts at Citigroup warned that as far as autonomous driving goes, the new FSD software \"doesn't appear very different than\" the software that preceded it, and certainly falls short of the level of independence that would permit transforming Teslas into robo-taxis, as Musk has predicted.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有关FSD功能涨价的传言（一些人猜测可能会从目前的10,000美元上涨到14,000美元）可能有助于提高特斯拉的利润。另一方面，花旗集团分析师在周一发布的一份报告中警告称，就自动驾驶而言，新的FSD软件“似乎与之前的软件没有太大不同”，而且肯定没有达到自动驾驶的水平。正如马斯克所预测的那样，独立将允许特斯拉转变为机器人出租车。</blockquote></p><p> In short, even with share prices down 24% from their highs earlier this year, Citi sees Tesla stock as overpriced. Unlike Goldman Sachs, which thinks Tesla is a \"buy,\" Citi still argues it's a \"sell\" -- and worthno more than $175 a share.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，尽管股价较今年早些时候的高点下跌了24%，但花旗认为特斯拉股票定价过高。与高盛认为特斯拉是“买入”不同，花旗仍然认为它是“卖出”——每股价值不超过175美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla Stock Just Gave Back Half of Yesterday's Gains<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价刚刚回吐了昨天一半的涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla Stock Just Gave Back Half of Yesterday's Gains<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价刚刚回吐了昨天一半的涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-14 08:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Afterracing upwardby more than 4% in Monday trading,<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)give back half of its stock price gains Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在周一交易中上涨超过4%后，<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）周二回吐了一半股价涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> As of 2:52 p.m. EDT, shares of theelectric carmanufacturer were down by 2.5% from Monday's close.</p><p><blockquote>截至下午2:52美国东部时间，这家电动汽车制造商的股价较周一收盘价下跌2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> So what was troubling Tesla on Tuesday? Well, for one thing, there's theongoing trialquestioning the propriety of its $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity in 2016. Plaintiffs in the case allege that CEO Elon Musk put his own financial interests ahead of those of Tesla's shareholders. That's obviously not a good look for the company.</p><p><blockquote>那么周二是什么困扰着特斯拉呢？一方面，正在进行的审判质疑其2016年以26亿美元收购SolarCity的适当性。该案原告称，首席执行官Elon Musk将自己的财务利益置于特斯拉股东的利益之上。这对公司来说显然不是一个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Wall Street is still digesting the import of recent pricing moves, and of Tesla's weekend rollout of \"FSD v.9.0 Beta,\" the latest iteration of the software that's supposed to help make Tesla cars autonomous and usher in an age of robo-taxis.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，华尔街仍在消化最近定价变动的影响，以及特斯拉周末推出的“FSD v.9.0 Beta”，这是该软件的最新版本，旨在帮助特斯拉汽车实现自动驾驶并迎来机器人时代。出租车。</blockquote></p><p> In a note it put out Tuesday morning, Goldman Sachs asserted that increased sales and higher prices on Teslas sold will help the company earn an above-consensus $5 a share in 2021. On the other hand, notesTheFly.com, Goldman does worry thatchip shortagesin theautomotive industrycould curtail Tesla's production numbers this quarter. If Tesla isn't able to sell as many higher-priced Model S and Model X cars as Wall Street expects, that could weigh on profits.</p><p><blockquote>高盛在周二上午发布的一份报告中声称，特斯拉销量的增加和售价的上涨将有助于该公司在2021年每股收益高于市场预期的5美元。另一方面，据TheFly.com报道，高盛确实担心汽车行业的芯片短缺可能会减少特斯拉本季度的产量。如果特斯拉不能像华尔街预期的那样销售更多价格较高的Model S和Model X汽车，这可能会影响利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Rumors of a price hike on the FSD feature (which some speculate could rise from $10,000 currently to $14,000) could help boost Tesla's profits, of course. On the other hand, in a note released Monday, analysts at Citigroup warned that as far as autonomous driving goes, the new FSD software \"doesn't appear very different than\" the software that preceded it, and certainly falls short of the level of independence that would permit transforming Teslas into robo-taxis, as Musk has predicted.</p><p><blockquote>当然，有关FSD功能涨价的传言（一些人猜测可能会从目前的10,000美元上涨到14,000美元）可能有助于提高特斯拉的利润。另一方面，花旗集团分析师在周一发布的一份报告中警告称，就自动驾驶而言，新的FSD软件“似乎与之前的软件没有太大不同”，而且肯定没有达到自动驾驶的水平。正如马斯克所预测的那样，独立将允许特斯拉转变为机器人出租车。</blockquote></p><p> In short, even with share prices down 24% from their highs earlier this year, Citi sees Tesla stock as overpriced. Unlike Goldman Sachs, which thinks Tesla is a \"buy,\" Citi still argues it's a \"sell\" -- and worthno more than $175 a share.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，尽管股价较今年早些时候的高点下跌了24%，但花旗认为特斯拉股票定价过高。与高盛认为特斯拉是“买入”不同，花旗仍然认为它是“卖出”——每股价值不超过175美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/13/why-tesla-stock-just-gave-back-half-its-gains/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/13/why-tesla-stock-just-gave-back-half-its-gains/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120920517","content_text":"What happened\nAfterracing upwardby more than 4% in Monday trading,Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)give back half of its stock price gains Tuesday.\nAs of 2:52 p.m. EDT, shares of theelectric carmanufacturer were down by 2.5% from Monday's close.\nSo what\nSo what was troubling Tesla on Tuesday? Well, for one thing, there's theongoing trialquestioning the propriety of its $2.6 billion acquisition of SolarCity in 2016. Plaintiffs in the case allege that CEO Elon Musk put his own financial interests ahead of those of Tesla's shareholders. That's obviously not a good look for the company.\nMeanwhile, Wall Street is still digesting the import of recent pricing moves, and of Tesla's weekend rollout of \"FSD v.9.0 Beta,\" the latest iteration of the software that's supposed to help make Tesla cars autonomous and usher in an age of robo-taxis.\nIn a note it put out Tuesday morning, Goldman Sachs asserted that increased sales and higher prices on Teslas sold will help the company earn an above-consensus $5 a share in 2021. On the other hand, notesTheFly.com, Goldman does worry thatchip shortagesin theautomotive industrycould curtail Tesla's production numbers this quarter. If Tesla isn't able to sell as many higher-priced Model S and Model X cars as Wall Street expects, that could weigh on profits.\nNow what\nRumors of a price hike on the FSD feature (which some speculate could rise from $10,000 currently to $14,000) could help boost Tesla's profits, of course. On the other hand, in a note released Monday, analysts at Citigroup warned that as far as autonomous driving goes, the new FSD software \"doesn't appear very different than\" the software that preceded it, and certainly falls short of the level of independence that would permit transforming Teslas into robo-taxis, as Musk has predicted.\nIn short, even with share prices down 24% from their highs earlier this year, Citi sees Tesla stock as overpriced. Unlike Goldman Sachs, which thinks Tesla is a \"buy,\" Citi still argues it's a \"sell\" -- and worthno more than $175 a share.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119925883,"gmtCreate":1622514605742,"gmtModify":1634100917658,"author":{"id":"3564912067242251","authorId":"3564912067242251","name":"QqxD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5abc91d99d7668782b486d8bddba84d","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564912067242251","authorIdStr":"3564912067242251"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good good.","listText":"Good good.","text":"Good good.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119925883","repostId":"1105273964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105273964","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622511256,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105273964?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 09:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的11家IPO</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105273964","media":"Barron's","summary":"The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac, which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its ","content":"<p>The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股市场最近为那些能够在公司上市前获得股票的投资者带来了一些巨大的首日收益。</blockquote></p><p>But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.<i>Barron’s</i>looked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能得到这些类型的机会。大多数散户投资者必须等到公司开始公开交易才能购买股票。<i>巴伦周刊</i>研究了过去12个月内上市的企业，发现了一些表现强劲的企业。</blockquote></p><p>First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们搜索通过传统首次公开募股上市的公司：这意味着我们过滤掉了与特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并的企业。然后，我们搜索了在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的公司。我们还关注市值至少为10亿美元的实体。我们将搜索范围缩小到股票发行价总回报最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p>That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .</p><p><blockquote>我们只剩下11个名字了。首先是CureVac（股票代码：CVAC），这是银幕上表现最好的IPO，总回报率为596.75%。CureVac专注于信使RNA或mRNA技术，该技术是几个领先的新冠肺炎疫苗项目的基础。这家德国生物技术公司于8月份以每股16美元的价格上市，首日飙升249%，收于55.90美元。一月份，CureVac与Bayerto达成协议，加速其Covid-19候选疫苗的开发和供应。该公司基于mRNA的新冠疫苗目前正在进行临床试验，预计今年夏天将获得2b/3期数据。自首次公开募股以来，该股几乎翻了一番，周五收于111.48美元。</blockquote></p><p>Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的表现不一定取决于第一天交易的成功。上榜的公司中有四家交易失败，这意味着它们的股价在交易首日就跌破了IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.</p><p><blockquote>典型的例子：以星综合航运(ZIM)。这家轻资产航运公司于1月份上市，发行价为15美元，但当天收盘价为11.50美元。然而，到5月19日，以星公布第一季度盈利5.896亿美元（即每股5.35美元）后，其股价已上涨295%。该公司还宣布派发每股2美元的特别现金股息。FactSet的数据显示，以星是过去12个月中表现第二好的IPO，总回报率为209.33%。周五收于46.40美元。</blockquote></p><p>Another example isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading<b>.</b>Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.</p><p><blockquote>另一个例子是Academy Sports&amp;Outdoors(ASO)：该公司于10月份上市，发行价为13美元，公开交易首日收盘价为12.99美元<b>.</b>Academy上市时实现盈利，这在IPO市场上是罕见的。今年3月，该公司报告称，截至1月30日的第四财季净利润飙升416%，达到9150万美元，即每股97美分。自IPO以来，其股价已上涨近两倍，周五交易价格为36.53美元。FactSet表示，Academy Sports排名第三，发行价总回报率为181%。</blockquote></p><p>Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dedc209ede147958c015d3a586bb587\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"606\">Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>强劲上涨者这些公司均于去年上市，与IPO价格相比，总回报率较高。这一类别的还有Corsair Gaming(CRSR)，一家为游戏玩家生产高性能装备的加州公司，以及总部位于迪拜的Yalla Group(YALA)，该公司生产一款在中东和北非使用的名为Yalla的语音聊天应用程序。在9月份IPO表现不佳后，这两只股票均强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p>Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.</p><p><blockquote>一些上榜公司在首次亮相时股价飙升，但此后股价出现回落。尽管如此，这些公司仍在产生收益。</blockquote></p><p>ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce&nbsp;went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.</p><p><blockquote>考虑一下BigCommerce（BIGC），它提供了一个云电子商务平台，被SkullCandy、Savannah Bee Co和Cleveland Cavaliers等客户使用。BigCommerce于8月上市，发行价为24美元，当天股价飙升201%，收于72.27美元。自IPO以来，由于更广泛的科技股抛售，该股股价已下跌近25%。</blockquote></p><p>The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司报告了一些积极的进展，例如2月份的一项交易，该交易将使BigCommerce客户能够直接在沃尔玛市场上销售。它还公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩。根据FactSet的数据，BigCommerce的总回报率接近127%。</blockquote></p><p>Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司的股价自上市以来也出现了上涨。Dream Finders Homes(DFH)在高增长市场设计、建造和销售房屋，在1月份以每股13美元的价格首次上市时已经实现盈利。首日股价飙升61%，至20.95美元。3月份房价以2005年以来最快的速度增长，这对房地产股有所帮助。Dream Finders股价自IPO以来已上涨近52%，周五交易价格为31.77美元。Dream Finders的总发行价回报率为144.38%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的11家IPO</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Are the 11 Best Performing IPOs of the Year<blockquote>以下是今年表现最好的11家IPO</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 09:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股市场最近为那些能够在公司上市前获得股票的投资者带来了一些巨大的首日收益。</blockquote></p><p>But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.<i>Barron’s</i>looked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能得到这些类型的机会。大多数散户投资者必须等到公司开始公开交易才能购买股票。<i>巴伦周刊</i>研究了过去12个月内上市的企业，发现了一些表现强劲的企业。</blockquote></p><p>First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们搜索通过传统首次公开募股上市的公司：这意味着我们过滤掉了与特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并的企业。然后，我们搜索了在纽约证券交易所或纳斯达克上市的公司。我们还关注市值至少为10亿美元的实体。我们将搜索范围缩小到股票发行价总回报最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p>That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .</p><p><blockquote>我们只剩下11个名字了。首先是CureVac（股票代码：CVAC），这是银幕上表现最好的IPO，总回报率为596.75%。CureVac专注于信使RNA或mRNA技术，该技术是几个领先的新冠肺炎疫苗项目的基础。这家德国生物技术公司于8月份以每股16美元的价格上市，首日飙升249%，收于55.90美元。一月份，CureVac与Bayerto达成协议，加速其Covid-19候选疫苗的开发和供应。该公司基于mRNA的新冠疫苗目前正在进行临床试验，预计今年夏天将获得2b/3期数据。自首次公开募股以来，该股几乎翻了一番，周五收于111.48美元。</blockquote></p><p>Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的表现不一定取决于第一天交易的成功。上榜的公司中有四家交易失败，这意味着它们的股价在交易首日就跌破了IPO价格。</blockquote></p><p>Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.</p><p><blockquote>典型的例子：以星综合航运(ZIM)。这家轻资产航运公司于1月份上市，发行价为15美元，但当天收盘价为11.50美元。然而，到5月19日，以星公布第一季度盈利5.896亿美元（即每股5.35美元）后，其股价已上涨295%。该公司还宣布派发每股2美元的特别现金股息。FactSet的数据显示，以星是过去12个月中表现第二好的IPO，总回报率为209.33%。周五收于46.40美元。</blockquote></p><p>Another example isAcademy Sports &amp; Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading<b>.</b>Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.</p><p><blockquote>另一个例子是Academy Sports&amp;Outdoors(ASO)：该公司于10月份上市，发行价为13美元，公开交易首日收盘价为12.99美元<b>.</b>Academy上市时实现盈利，这在IPO市场上是罕见的。今年3月，该公司报告称，截至1月30日的第四财季净利润飙升416%，达到9150万美元，即每股97美分。自IPO以来，其股价已上涨近两倍，周五交易价格为36.53美元。FactSet表示，Academy Sports排名第三，发行价总回报率为181%。</blockquote></p><p>Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dedc209ede147958c015d3a586bb587\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"606\">Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>强劲上涨者这些公司均于去年上市，与IPO价格相比，总回报率较高。这一类别的还有Corsair Gaming(CRSR)，一家为游戏玩家生产高性能装备的加州公司，以及总部位于迪拜的Yalla Group(YALA)，该公司生产一款在中东和北非使用的名为Yalla的语音聊天应用程序。在9月份IPO表现不佳后，这两只股票均强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p>Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.</p><p><blockquote>一些上榜公司在首次亮相时股价飙升，但此后股价出现回落。尽管如此，这些公司仍在产生收益。</blockquote></p><p>ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce&nbsp;went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.</p><p><blockquote>考虑一下BigCommerce（BIGC），它提供了一个云电子商务平台，被SkullCandy、Savannah Bee Co和Cleveland Cavaliers等客户使用。BigCommerce于8月上市，发行价为24美元，当天股价飙升201%，收于72.27美元。自IPO以来，由于更广泛的科技股抛售，该股股价已下跌近25%。</blockquote></p><p>The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司报告了一些积极的进展，例如2月份的一项交易，该交易将使BigCommerce客户能够直接在沃尔玛市场上销售。它还公布了好于预期的第四季度业绩。根据FactSet的数据，BigCommerce的总回报率接近127%。</blockquote></p><p>Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司的股价自上市以来也出现了上涨。Dream Finders Homes(DFH)在高增长市场设计、建造和销售房屋，在1月份以每股13美元的价格首次上市时已经实现盈利。首日股价飙升61%，至20.95美元。3月份房价以2005年以来最快的速度增长，这对房地产股有所帮助。Dream Finders股价自IPO以来已上涨近52%，周五交易价格为31.77美元。Dream Finders的总发行价回报率为144.38%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-11-best-performing-ipos-of-the-year-51622472529?mod=hp_DAY_0\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-11-best-performing-ipos-of-the-year-51622472529?mod=hp_DAY_0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105273964","content_text":"The market for initial public offerings has recently delivered some great first-day gains for investors who were able to get shares before the companies went public.But not everyone receives these types of opportunities. Most retail investors have to wait until companies start publicly trading to buy stock.Barron’slooked at businesses that have gone public in the past 12 months to find some strong performers.First, we searched for companies that listed via a traditional initial public offering: This meant we filtered out businesses that merged withspecial purpose acquisition companies, or SPACs. Then, we searched for companies that went public on either the New York Stock Exchange or the Nasdaq. We also focused on entities that had at least a $1 billion market capitalization. We narrowed our search to companies with the highesttotal returns from their stock offering prices..That left us with 11 names. First up:CureVac(ticker: CVAC), which was the screen’s best-performing IPO and had a total return of 596.75%. CureVac specializes in the messenger RNA, or mRNA, technology that is the basis of several leading Covid-19 vaccine programs. The German biotech company went public inAugust at $16 a shareand soared 249% in its first day, with the stock closing at $55.90. In January, CureVacstruck a deal with Bayerto accelerate the development and supply of its Covid-19 vaccine candidate. The company’s mRNA-based Covid-19 vaccine is now in clinical trials, and Phase2b/3 data is expected this summer. Since its IPO, the stock has nearly doubled, closingFriday at $111.48 .Strong performances need not be dictated by success on the first day of trading. Four of the companies that made our list were busted deals—meaning that their shares fell below their IPO prices on the first day of trading.Case in point:ZIM Integrated Shipping(ZIM). The asset-light shipping company went public in January with a $15 offering price,but closed that day at $11.50. Yet by May 19, ZIM’s stockhad gained 295%after itreported first-quarter earnings of $589.6 million, or $5.35 a share. The companyalso declared a special cash dividend of $2 a share. ZIM is the second-best-performing IPO in the past 12 months, based on a total return of 209.33%, according to FactSet. It closed on Friday at $46.40.Another example isAcademy Sports & Outdoors(ASO): The companywent public in Octoberwith a $13 offering price, with the stock closing at $12.99 during its first day of public trading.Academy was profitable when it went public, a rarity in the IPO market. InMarch, the company reported that its net incomesoared 416%, to $91.5 million, or 97 cents a share, for its fourth fiscal quarter ended Jan. 30. Its shares have nearly tripled since the IPO, and were trading at $36.53 on Friday. Academy Sports ranks third with a total return from the offering price of 181%, FactSet said.Strong GainersThese companies all went public in the last year and produced high total returns compared to their IPO prices.Rounding out this category areCorsair Gaming(CRSR), a California companythat makes performance gear for gamers, and the Dubai-basedYalla Group(YALA), whichmakes a voice-chat app usedin the Middle East and North Africa called Yalla. Both stocks have rebounded strongly after less-than-stellar September IPOs.Some companies that made our list soared during their debuts, but have since seen their shares retreat. Still, these companies are producing gains.ConsiderBigCommerce(BIGC), which provides a cloud e-commerce platform that is used by such customers as SkullCandy, Savannah Bee Co, and the Cleveland Cavaliers.BigCommerce went public in Augustwith a $24 offering price—and the stock soared 201% that day,closing at $72.27. Since the IPO, the shares have fallen nearly 25%, amid a broader technology selloff.The company, however, has reported some positive developments, like a deal in February that wouldgive BigCommerce customersthe ability to sell directly on Walmart Marketplace. It also reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. BigCommerce has produced a total return of nearly 127%, according to FactSet.Other companies have seen their shares jump since going public.Dream Finders Homes (DFH), which designs, builds, and sells homes in high-growth markets, was already profitable when it made its trading debut in January at $13 a share. Shares soared 61%, $20.95 on its first day.Prices for houses in Marchgrew at the fastest rate since 2005, which has helped real estate stocks. Dream Finders stock has gained nearly 52% since its IPO, trading Friday at $31.77. Dream Finders notched a total return from offering price of 144.38%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BOTB.UK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}