nsk的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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2021-09-11

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$PLTR

2021-08-17

Okayyyyyy

@nsk:$Apple(AAPL)$AAPL

2021-11-15

Okay

@nsk:$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$PLTR

2021-08-07

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$pltr.....

2021-07-29

//@nsk: Alright

GameStop? AMC? 'Diamond Hand' Meme Trading Always Disintegrates<blockquote>游戏驿站？AMC？“钻石手”模因交易总是瓦解</blockquote>

2021-09-02

Serious

Bear Attack: Could Apple Stock Really Drop 40%?<blockquote>空头攻击：苹果股价真的会下跌40%吗？</blockquote>

2021-07-21

Okay

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-06

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$PLTR......

2021-08-17

$Apple(AAPL)$AAPL

2021-07-24

$Apple(AAPL)$AAPL

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而众所周知，巴菲特和微软创始人比尔·盖茨是多年老友，巴菲特在股东信中写过：盖茨曾要亲自教他怎么用电脑。盖茨也表示过，从他俩第一次见面，他就被巴菲特的思考方式折服了。同时，动视暴雪所在的游戏行业也并非巴菲特，或者伯克希尔擅长的投资领域。虽然有可能是伯克希尔的投资经理巧合为之，但在这种情况下，吃瓜群众很难不怀疑，这背后是否有点小猫腻。 上一次巴菲特和盖茨在媒体“同框”还是去年六月，巴菲特表示将辞去比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会的受托人职务。 伯克希尔建仓的另一家公司，是巴西最大数字银行Nu。该公司于2021年12月9日在纽交所挂牌，截至2021年3月，其银行服务Nubank客户总数已经升至4810万。美股之家的Nu融资历史显示，在2014-2021年IPO之前的7年间，公司陆续获得了红杉资本，老虎环球，高盛以及腾讯的投资。而伯克希尔则参加了公司上市前的G轮融资。不过，Nu上市之前提交的财报显示，2018-2020年间，公司亏损持续扩大。上一家伯克希尔参与IPO的亏损公司，是云计算公司Snowflake。伯克希尔在Snowflake上尝到了甜头后，又参股Nu，是否是巴老“能力圈”再次扩大的标志？ 图源：价值大师中文站 不过，投资Nu的还有腾讯，这引发了诸多关","text":"价值大师中文站近期更新了巴菲特旗下伯克希尔的13F美股持仓报告。报告显示，伯克希尔新建仓了两家公司，动视暴雪和Nu，其中，动视暴雪的加仓时机太过巧合，让人不禁怀疑有“黑幕”存在。 图源wiki 1月18日，微软宣布将以每股95美元的价格收购动视暴雪。消息公开后，动视暴雪的股价从约65美元/股飙涨到近80美元/股。 而当地时间2月14日，伯克希尔提交的13F持仓报告中赫然显示：四季度新建仓1466万股动视暴雪，按当时的价格算，这些股票的市价略低于10亿美元。价值大师中文站估计，该笔交易的回报率达到了19.9%。 图源：价值大师中文站 而众所周知，巴菲特和微软创始人比尔·盖茨是多年老友，巴菲特在股东信中写过：盖茨曾要亲自教他怎么用电脑。盖茨也表示过，从他俩第一次见面，他就被巴菲特的思考方式折服了。同时，动视暴雪所在的游戏行业也并非巴菲特，或者伯克希尔擅长的投资领域。虽然有可能是伯克希尔的投资经理巧合为之，但在这种情况下，吃瓜群众很难不怀疑，这背后是否有点小猫腻。 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新品发布会[哟哟]$苹果(AAPL)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23887acef5e47eb2ad53a56de39db93d","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633507394","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"3b05105f732d4c42921988801e26b234","tweetId":"633507394","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/91870919387702295717076391/F4v41Za7IlQA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23887acef5e47eb2ad53a56de39db93d"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633258759,"gmtCreate":1644164442324,"gmtModify":1644164442801,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566130979400930","idStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633258759","repostId":"633218906","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":633218906,"gmtCreate":1644115421240,"gmtModify":1744960786525,"author":{"id":"3555926517215344","authorId":"3555926517215344","name":"走马财经","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/405de4c75e3b97b2d778531943cbe586","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555926517215344","idStr":"3555926517215344"},"themes":[],"title":"Meta一夜暴跌1.5万亿 华尔街实在太冷血","htmlText":"北京时间2月3日凌晨，美股收盘后，全球社交网络巨头Meta（原Facebook）发布了改名后的第一份财报，对于大洋彼岸正在过春节的中国Meta投资者而言，这是噩梦般的鬼故事：股价盘前暴跌超24%，最终在2月4日收盘大跌26.39%，一夜暴跌2371亿美元，差不多是1.5万亿元。这份财报的业绩表现很差吗？其实也还好。来自Tik Tok（抖音国际版）的竞争真的有那么可怕吗？其实也还好。Reality Labs（虚拟现实实验室）的亏损真的有那么不可接受吗？其实也还好。用户数（日活和月活）表现很差吗？其实也还好。重点是，Tik Tok的竞争一直存在，非一日之功，Reality Labs的亏损早在三季度就提醒过，2021年预亏100亿美元以上，可能唯一稍微意外一点的是四季度的用户增长低于预期，以及明年Q1的展望略低。就2021年Q4的表现和2022年Q1的展望来说，Meta股价确实应该大跌，尤其与绩优生Google和Amazon相比，但是作为一个市值近1万亿美元的巨无霸公司来说，这样一份财报，股价暴跌超过四分之一，我只能说华尔街实在是太冷血。中规中矩的业绩数据四季度营收336.71亿美元，同比增长19.9%，环比增长16.1%，考虑到Meta体量已经不小，这个增长还是很稳健的，2021年全年营收1179.29亿美元，同比增速为37%，Q4增速大幅下滑，主要受2020年Q1-Q3基数较低而Q4较高的影响。（图1，Meta最近9个季度营收及各地区营收）分地区看，北美地区季度营收158.26亿美元，环比增速16.26%，高于同比15.23%的增速；欧洲地区83.57亿美元，环比增速20.16%，也高于同比19.19%的同比增速；亚太地区62.44亿美元，环比增速14.34%，远低于30.27%的同比增速；中东非洲拉美等其他地区32.44亿美元，环比增速8.82%，亦远低于28.02%的同比","listText":"北京时间2月3日凌晨，美股收盘后，全球社交网络巨头Meta（原Facebook）发布了改名后的第一份财报，对于大洋彼岸正在过春节的中国Meta投资者而言，这是噩梦般的鬼故事：股价盘前暴跌超24%，最终在2月4日收盘大跌26.39%，一夜暴跌2371亿美元，差不多是1.5万亿元。这份财报的业绩表现很差吗？其实也还好。来自Tik Tok（抖音国际版）的竞争真的有那么可怕吗？其实也还好。Reality Labs（虚拟现实实验室）的亏损真的有那么不可接受吗？其实也还好。用户数（日活和月活）表现很差吗？其实也还好。重点是，Tik Tok的竞争一直存在，非一日之功，Reality Labs的亏损早在三季度就提醒过，2021年预亏100亿美元以上，可能唯一稍微意外一点的是四季度的用户增长低于预期，以及明年Q1的展望略低。就2021年Q4的表现和2022年Q1的展望来说，Meta股价确实应该大跌，尤其与绩优生Google和Amazon相比，但是作为一个市值近1万亿美元的巨无霸公司来说，这样一份财报，股价暴跌超过四分之一，我只能说华尔街实在是太冷血。中规中矩的业绩数据四季度营收336.71亿美元，同比增长19.9%，环比增长16.1%，考虑到Meta体量已经不小，这个增长还是很稳健的，2021年全年营收1179.29亿美元，同比增速为37%，Q4增速大幅下滑，主要受2020年Q1-Q3基数较低而Q4较高的影响。（图1，Meta最近9个季度营收及各地区营收）分地区看，北美地区季度营收158.26亿美元，环比增速16.26%，高于同比15.23%的增速；欧洲地区83.57亿美元，环比增速20.16%，也高于同比19.19%的同比增速；亚太地区62.44亿美元，环比增速14.34%，远低于30.27%的同比增速；中东非洲拉美等其他地区32.44亿美元，环比增速8.82%，亦远低于28.02%的同比","text":"北京时间2月3日凌晨，美股收盘后，全球社交网络巨头Meta（原Facebook）发布了改名后的第一份财报，对于大洋彼岸正在过春节的中国Meta投资者而言，这是噩梦般的鬼故事：股价盘前暴跌超24%，最终在2月4日收盘大跌26.39%，一夜暴跌2371亿美元，差不多是1.5万亿元。这份财报的业绩表现很差吗？其实也还好。来自Tik Tok（抖音国际版）的竞争真的有那么可怕吗？其实也还好。Reality Labs（虚拟现实实验室）的亏损真的有那么不可接受吗？其实也还好。用户数（日活和月活）表现很差吗？其实也还好。重点是，Tik Tok的竞争一直存在，非一日之功，Reality Labs的亏损早在三季度就提醒过，2021年预亏100亿美元以上，可能唯一稍微意外一点的是四季度的用户增长低于预期，以及明年Q1的展望略低。就2021年Q4的表现和2022年Q1的展望来说，Meta股价确实应该大跌，尤其与绩优生Google和Amazon相比，但是作为一个市值近1万亿美元的巨无霸公司来说，这样一份财报，股价暴跌超过四分之一，我只能说华尔街实在是太冷血。中规中矩的业绩数据四季度营收336.71亿美元，同比增长19.9%，环比增长16.1%，考虑到Meta体量已经不小，这个增长还是很稳健的，2021年全年营收1179.29亿美元，同比增速为37%，Q4增速大幅下滑，主要受2020年Q1-Q3基数较低而Q4较高的影响。（图1，Meta最近9个季度营收及各地区营收）分地区看，北美地区季度营收158.26亿美元，环比增速16.26%，高于同比15.23%的增速；欧洲地区83.57亿美元，环比增速20.16%，也高于同比19.19%的同比增速；亚太地区62.44亿美元，环比增速14.34%，远低于30.27%的同比增速；中东非洲拉美等其他地区32.44亿美元，环比增速8.82%，亦远低于28.02%的同比","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ed94992fe14feba032264a07fb91d9f","width":"632","height":"304"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87e56c397cae627afd3a484544e7420","width":"632","height":"314"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9414442bc4d1d0180ab22904049d9191","width":"632","height":"181"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633218906","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633165058,"gmtCreate":1643869371576,"gmtModify":1643869372088,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566130979400930","idStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633165058","repostId":"1148099483","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148099483","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1643845161,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148099483?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-03 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You Invested $1,000 In Google Stock After Last Stock Split, Here's How Much You'd Have Now<blockquote>如果您在上次股票分割后投资1,000美元购买Google股票，以下是您现在拥有的金额</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148099483","media":"Benzinga","summary":"A leading technology company is making headlines Wednesday after announcing quarterly earnings and a","content":"<p><div> A leading technology company is making headlines Wednesday after announcing quarterly earnings and announcing a stock split. Here’s how its last stock split paid off for investors.Alphabet announced ...</p><p><blockquote><div>周三，一家领先的科技公司在公布季度收益和股票分割后成为头条新闻。以下是其上次股票分割为投资者带来的回报。Alphabet宣布……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/02/25372028/if-you-invested-1-000-in-google-stock-after-last-stock-split-heres-how-much-youd-have-now\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/02/25372028/if-you-invested-1-000-in-google-stock-after-last-stock-split-heres-how-much-youd-have-now\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You Invested $1,000 In Google Stock After Last Stock Split, Here's How Much You'd Have Now<blockquote>如果您在上次股票分割后投资1,000美元购买Google股票，以下是您现在拥有的金额</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You Invested $1,000 In Google Stock After Last Stock Split, Here's How Much You'd Have Now<blockquote>如果您在上次股票分割后投资1,000美元购买Google股票，以下是您现在拥有的金额</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-02-03 07:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> A leading technology company is making headlines Wednesday after announcing quarterly earnings and announcing a stock split. Here’s how its last stock split paid off for investors.Alphabet announced ...</p><p><blockquote><div>周三，一家领先的科技公司在公布季度收益和股票分割后成为头条新闻。以下是其上次股票分割为投资者带来的回报。Alphabet宣布……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/02/25372028/if-you-invested-1-000-in-google-stock-after-last-stock-split-heres-how-much-youd-have-now\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/02/25372028/if-you-invested-1-000-in-google-stock-after-last-stock-split-heres-how-much-youd-have-now\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/02/25372028/if-you-invested-1-000-in-google-stock-after-last-stock-split-heres-how-much-youd-have-now\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/02/25372028/if-you-invested-1-000-in-google-stock-after-last-stock-split-heres-how-much-youd-have-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148099483","content_text":"A leading technology company is making headlines Wednesday after announcing quarterly earnings and announcing a stock split. Here’s how its last stock split paid off for investors.Alphabet announced fourth-quarter revenue of $75.3 billion, up 32% year-over-year. The total came in ahead of a consensus estimate of $72.1 billion. The company also beat estimates for quarterly earnings per share with a total of $30.69 EPS. Search revenue hit $43.3 billion in the fourth quarter along with YouTube advertising revenue, which hit $8.6 billion.The strong results from Alphabet led to shares to go higher in the after-hours trading session Tuesday.Another reason for investor excitement was likely the announcement by the company of a stock split.Alphabet announced it would do a 20-for-1 stock split, paid out as a one-time special stock dividend for Class A, Class B and Class C shares of the company.If the stock split is approved, it will be effective with a record date of close of business on July 1, 2022. The dividend will be payable at the close of business on July 15, 2022.The 2014 Stock Split: The lastsplitdone by Alphabet was back in 2014 and is noted as one of the most controversial stock splits of the time.Alphabet announced a stock split in 2012, but instead of a traditional stock split that awards additional shares of the same stock, the split was set to create a new class of shares.The new class of shares (Class C) came with no voting power, something that led to a lawsuit by shareholders. The lawsuit was settled in 2013 with provisions put in place to reward shareholders if the gap between the value of Class A and Class C shares became too large.On March 27, 2014, Alphabet split its shares with every shareholder getting a share of Class C for each Class A share they owned.Share Performance: Shares of GOOG (Class C) traded at a price of $566.44 on March 27, 2014, after the split took place.A $1,000 investment at the time of the split could have purchased 1.77 shares of GOOG. The $1,000 investment would be worth $5,196.10 today based on a price of $2,935.65 at the time of writing.Investors who bought shares of GOOG at the time of the last Google stock split have enjoyed a return of 420%, or around 52.5% annually for the past eight years.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633006274,"gmtCreate":1643518497136,"gmtModify":1643518497657,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566130979400930","idStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633006274","repostId":"697815514","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":697815514,"gmtCreate":1642400304357,"gmtModify":1642423724583,"author":{"id":"4092209177497620","authorId":"4092209177497620","name":"美股研习社","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/504f9801d521d1863fa1d263ff8ea79d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4092209177497620","idStr":"4092209177497620"},"themes":[],"title":"美股掘金 | 议员股神佩洛西的财富密码","htmlText":"摘要：或许议员比机构持仓更有指导意义 作者：美股研习社 刚过去的21年无疑是资本市场极不寻常的一年：通胀爆表，成长股腰斩式杀估值，中概寒冬，美联储年末转鹰...投资者们面临了比往常更多的挑战。而迈入22年，美股一直处在大幅震荡中，焦虑的市场仿佛找不到方向。 那么今年到底应该买什么呢？或许这个问题可以从一个特殊的群体中找到些蛛丝马迹，比如女议员“股神”佩洛西。在说佩洛西之前，我们不妨先来对比看看20年一战封神的另一位女股神Cathie Wood，Ark基金的掌门人“木头姐”。 01 木头姐的韭菜之路？ 20年木头姐因为旗舰基金Arkk重仓特斯拉走上神坛，被誉为“牛市女王”，受到一众散户追捧。而且她的每日操作公开透明，所以也方便追踪和抄作业。然而时间进入21年，如上图可见Arkk的表现可谓是江河日下，近一年回报率为触目惊心的-44.7%。 如果说是熊市，也许情有可原，然而同期标普500的表现却是+24.5——一来一回是高达近70个点的差距，如果去年选择长持Arkk的朋友可想而知...这也就是越来越多网友怒称其是“大韭菜”的原因，以至于甚至有专门做空Ark的SARK基金横空出世——如下图，SARK 11月成立以来回报率尽然高达约50%。 SARK成立以来走势 进一步来看，木头姐去年除了特斯拉，基本没有任何可圈可点的地方。而且去年Q4，她还在连续卖出特斯拉，不断加仓她认为的未来有颠覆式创新能力的公司，比如Teladoc Health，Roku、Zoom等等。 也许这些木头姐的心水股在5年乃至更久的时间也会有不错的回报，但目前仍然没有看到困境反转的点。比如Arkk目前第四重仓的Roku（持仓占比5.91%，相较21Q3仍有上升），股价自高点已下跌近70%，而关键基本面数据仍没有向好的趋势—— 从最近季度21Q3的财报数据来看，Roku的营收同比增长51%，和华尔街预期基本in lin","listText":"摘要：或许议员比机构持仓更有指导意义 作者：美股研习社 刚过去的21年无疑是资本市场极不寻常的一年：通胀爆表，成长股腰斩式杀估值，中概寒冬，美联储年末转鹰...投资者们面临了比往常更多的挑战。而迈入22年，美股一直处在大幅震荡中，焦虑的市场仿佛找不到方向。 那么今年到底应该买什么呢？或许这个问题可以从一个特殊的群体中找到些蛛丝马迹，比如女议员“股神”佩洛西。在说佩洛西之前，我们不妨先来对比看看20年一战封神的另一位女股神Cathie Wood，Ark基金的掌门人“木头姐”。 01 木头姐的韭菜之路？ 20年木头姐因为旗舰基金Arkk重仓特斯拉走上神坛，被誉为“牛市女王”，受到一众散户追捧。而且她的每日操作公开透明，所以也方便追踪和抄作业。然而时间进入21年，如上图可见Arkk的表现可谓是江河日下，近一年回报率为触目惊心的-44.7%。 如果说是熊市，也许情有可原，然而同期标普500的表现却是+24.5——一来一回是高达近70个点的差距，如果去年选择长持Arkk的朋友可想而知...这也就是越来越多网友怒称其是“大韭菜”的原因，以至于甚至有专门做空Ark的SARK基金横空出世——如下图，SARK 11月成立以来回报率尽然高达约50%。 SARK成立以来走势 进一步来看，木头姐去年除了特斯拉，基本没有任何可圈可点的地方。而且去年Q4，她还在连续卖出特斯拉，不断加仓她认为的未来有颠覆式创新能力的公司，比如Teladoc Health，Roku、Zoom等等。 也许这些木头姐的心水股在5年乃至更久的时间也会有不错的回报，但目前仍然没有看到困境反转的点。比如Arkk目前第四重仓的Roku（持仓占比5.91%，相较21Q3仍有上升），股价自高点已下跌近70%，而关键基本面数据仍没有向好的趋势—— 从最近季度21Q3的财报数据来看，Roku的营收同比增长51%，和华尔街预期基本in lin","text":"摘要：或许议员比机构持仓更有指导意义 作者：美股研习社 刚过去的21年无疑是资本市场极不寻常的一年：通胀爆表，成长股腰斩式杀估值，中概寒冬，美联储年末转鹰...投资者们面临了比往常更多的挑战。而迈入22年，美股一直处在大幅震荡中，焦虑的市场仿佛找不到方向。 那么今年到底应该买什么呢？或许这个问题可以从一个特殊的群体中找到些蛛丝马迹，比如女议员“股神”佩洛西。在说佩洛西之前，我们不妨先来对比看看20年一战封神的另一位女股神Cathie Wood，Ark基金的掌门人“木头姐”。 01 木头姐的韭菜之路？ 20年木头姐因为旗舰基金Arkk重仓特斯拉走上神坛，被誉为“牛市女王”，受到一众散户追捧。而且她的每日操作公开透明，所以也方便追踪和抄作业。然而时间进入21年，如上图可见Arkk的表现可谓是江河日下，近一年回报率为触目惊心的-44.7%。 如果说是熊市，也许情有可原，然而同期标普500的表现却是+24.5——一来一回是高达近70个点的差距，如果去年选择长持Arkk的朋友可想而知...这也就是越来越多网友怒称其是“大韭菜”的原因，以至于甚至有专门做空Ark的SARK基金横空出世——如下图，SARK 11月成立以来回报率尽然高达约50%。 SARK成立以来走势 进一步来看，木头姐去年除了特斯拉，基本没有任何可圈可点的地方。而且去年Q4，她还在连续卖出特斯拉，不断加仓她认为的未来有颠覆式创新能力的公司，比如Teladoc Health，Roku、Zoom等等。 也许这些木头姐的心水股在5年乃至更久的时间也会有不错的回报，但目前仍然没有看到困境反转的点。比如Arkk目前第四重仓的Roku（持仓占比5.91%，相较21Q3仍有上升），股价自高点已下跌近70%，而关键基本面数据仍没有向好的趋势—— 从最近季度21Q3的财报数据来看，Roku的营收同比增长51%，和华尔街预期基本in lin","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e80e51e3ba1c44d347259ffdcf9a90c6","width":"589","height":"297"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697815514","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630246002,"gmtCreate":1642940175459,"gmtModify":1642940175962,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566130979400930","idStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630246002","repostId":"630976407","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":630976407,"gmtCreate":1642683848696,"gmtModify":1642731960724,"author":{"id":"3545283030659470","authorId":"3545283030659470","name":"亿航智能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef016490dead4163e0a7206e661ce008","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3545283030659470","idStr":"3545283030659470"},"themes":[],"title":"亿航智能获得日本50架EH216预售订单","htmlText":"中国广州，2022年1月20日——全球领先的智能自动驾驶飞行器科技企业<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EH\">$亿航智能(EH)$</a>&nbsp;控股有限公司（Nasdaq: EH）（下文简称“亿航智能”或“公司”）今天宣布日本领先的空中交通数字平台公司AirX株式会社（下文简称“AirX”）订购了50架EH216系列自动驾驶飞行器。这是亿航智能迄今在日本获得的最大一笔预售订单。图：亿航智能与AirX预售协议签约仪式此次签约订单体现出亿航智能领先的自动驾驶飞行器在业界的认可度不断提高。AirX订购的EH216自动驾驶飞行器，计划应用于日本的城市空中交通项目，并有望为2025年大阪·关西世界博览会提供空中的士服务。作为日本领先的直升机服务平台提供商，AirX开发运营的航班预订平台已经覆盖了100多条直升机观光航线，以及私人直升机包机服务。每年，AirX平台在日本各地提供的直升机观光航班预订量达2,000多架次，私人直升机包机航班超过200架次。自成立以来，AirX已累计服务超过15,000名包机客户。 AirX创始人兼CEO手冢究表示：“低空出行以及低空旅游市场前景广阔。EH216具有自动驾驶、集群调度的优势，能够为客户提供高性价比的空中游览服务，这也是AirX在全球eVTOL（电动垂直起降）飞行器行业中选择亿航智能作为合作伙伴的原因。我们期待未来通过EH216，为消费者提供更加安全、便捷的出行选择。” 亿航智能创始人、董事长兼首席执行官胡华智表示：“与AirX的合作是亿航智能进一步探索和发展日本城市空中交通市场的重要里程碑。我们非常高兴地看到，越来越多的航空运输合作伙伴正在致力于将亿航智能安全、自动、环保的城市空中交通解决方案惠及普通大众。” 关于亿航智能亿航智能（Nasdaq: EH）是一家全球领先的智能自","listText":"中国广州，2022年1月20日——全球领先的智能自动驾驶飞行器科技企业<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EH\">$亿航智能(EH)$</a>&nbsp;控股有限公司（Nasdaq: EH）（下文简称“亿航智能”或“公司”）今天宣布日本领先的空中交通数字平台公司AirX株式会社（下文简称“AirX”）订购了50架EH216系列自动驾驶飞行器。这是亿航智能迄今在日本获得的最大一笔预售订单。图：亿航智能与AirX预售协议签约仪式此次签约订单体现出亿航智能领先的自动驾驶飞行器在业界的认可度不断提高。AirX订购的EH216自动驾驶飞行器，计划应用于日本的城市空中交通项目，并有望为2025年大阪·关西世界博览会提供空中的士服务。作为日本领先的直升机服务平台提供商，AirX开发运营的航班预订平台已经覆盖了100多条直升机观光航线，以及私人直升机包机服务。每年，AirX平台在日本各地提供的直升机观光航班预订量达2,000多架次，私人直升机包机航班超过200架次。自成立以来，AirX已累计服务超过15,000名包机客户。 AirX创始人兼CEO手冢究表示：“低空出行以及低空旅游市场前景广阔。EH216具有自动驾驶、集群调度的优势，能够为客户提供高性价比的空中游览服务，这也是AirX在全球eVTOL（电动垂直起降）飞行器行业中选择亿航智能作为合作伙伴的原因。我们期待未来通过EH216，为消费者提供更加安全、便捷的出行选择。” 亿航智能创始人、董事长兼首席执行官胡华智表示：“与AirX的合作是亿航智能进一步探索和发展日本城市空中交通市场的重要里程碑。我们非常高兴地看到，越来越多的航空运输合作伙伴正在致力于将亿航智能安全、自动、环保的城市空中交通解决方案惠及普通大众。” 关于亿航智能亿航智能（Nasdaq: EH）是一家全球领先的智能自","text":"中国广州，2022年1月20日——全球领先的智能自动驾驶飞行器科技企业$亿航智能(EH)$ 控股有限公司（Nasdaq: EH）（下文简称“亿航智能”或“公司”）今天宣布日本领先的空中交通数字平台公司AirX株式会社（下文简称“AirX”）订购了50架EH216系列自动驾驶飞行器。这是亿航智能迄今在日本获得的最大一笔预售订单。图：亿航智能与AirX预售协议签约仪式此次签约订单体现出亿航智能领先的自动驾驶飞行器在业界的认可度不断提高。AirX订购的EH216自动驾驶飞行器，计划应用于日本的城市空中交通项目，并有望为2025年大阪·关西世界博览会提供空中的士服务。作为日本领先的直升机服务平台提供商，AirX开发运营的航班预订平台已经覆盖了100多条直升机观光航线，以及私人直升机包机服务。每年，AirX平台在日本各地提供的直升机观光航班预订量达2,000多架次，私人直升机包机航班超过200架次。自成立以来，AirX已累计服务超过15,000名包机客户。 AirX创始人兼CEO手冢究表示：“低空出行以及低空旅游市场前景广阔。EH216具有自动驾驶、集群调度的优势，能够为客户提供高性价比的空中游览服务，这也是AirX在全球eVTOL（电动垂直起降）飞行器行业中选择亿航智能作为合作伙伴的原因。我们期待未来通过EH216，为消费者提供更加安全、便捷的出行选择。” 亿航智能创始人、董事长兼首席执行官胡华智表示：“与AirX的合作是亿航智能进一步探索和发展日本城市空中交通市场的重要里程碑。我们非常高兴地看到，越来越多的航空运输合作伙伴正在致力于将亿航智能安全、自动、环保的城市空中交通解决方案惠及普通大众。” 关于亿航智能亿航智能（Nasdaq: EH）是一家全球领先的智能自","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5086aa281e4b1206a4e7fb683f41213","width":"632","height":"375"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630976407","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630248735,"gmtCreate":1642940167603,"gmtModify":1642940168060,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566130979400930","idStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630248735","repostId":"697175245","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":697175245,"gmtCreate":1642387332128,"gmtModify":1642400481117,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667596890271","idStr":"3527667596890271"},"themes":[],"title":"🚀【1月17日】看本周关键事件，聊聊交易计划","htmlText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。  港股市场 1月17日，恒生指数开盘上涨6.97点，涨幅0.03%，报24390.29点；国企指数开盘下跌22.02点，跌幅0.26%，报8532.77点；红筹指数开盘上涨2.82点，涨幅0.07%，报4098.05点； 恒生科技指数开跌0.29%，大型科技股多数下跌，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a> 小幅高开，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 走低； 港股博彩股集体上扬，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01928\">$金沙中国有限公司(01928)$</a> 涨近15%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01128\">$永利澳门(01128)$</a> 涨14.5%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00027\">$银河娱乐(00027)$</a> 涨10.58%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02282\">$美高梅中国(02282)$</a> 涨9","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。  港股市场 1月17日，恒生指数开盘上涨6.97点，涨幅0.03%，报24390.29点；国企指数开盘下跌22.02点，跌幅0.26%，报8532.77点；红筹指数开盘上涨2.82点，涨幅0.07%，报4098.05点； 恒生科技指数开跌0.29%，大型科技股多数下跌，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a> 小幅高开，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 走低； 港股博彩股集体上扬，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01928\">$金沙中国有限公司(01928)$</a> 涨近15%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01128\">$永利澳门(01128)$</a> 涨14.5%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00027\">$银河娱乐(00027)$</a> 涨10.58%，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02282\">$美高梅中国(02282)$</a> 涨9","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 1月17日，恒生指数开盘上涨6.97点，涨幅0.03%，报24390.29点；国企指数开盘下跌22.02点，跌幅0.26%，报8532.77点；红筹指数开盘上涨2.82点，涨幅0.07%，报4098.05点； 恒生科技指数开跌0.29%，大型科技股多数下跌，$网易-S(09999)$ 小幅高开，$京东集团-SW(09618)$ 、$美团-W(03690)$ 、$小米集团-W(01810)$ 走低； 港股博彩股集体上扬，$金沙中国有限公司(01928)$ 涨近15%，$永利澳门(01128)$ 涨14.5%，$银河娱乐(00027)$ 涨10.58%，$美高梅中国(02282)$ 涨9","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c224c9889536a14f83eca563ae0bb07","width":"666","height":"284"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697175245","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1005,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630248477,"gmtCreate":1642940159105,"gmtModify":1642940159647,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566130979400930","idStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630248477","repostId":"697815514","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":697815514,"gmtCreate":1642400304357,"gmtModify":1642423724583,"author":{"id":"4092209177497620","authorId":"4092209177497620","name":"美股研习社","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/504f9801d521d1863fa1d263ff8ea79d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4092209177497620","idStr":"4092209177497620"},"themes":[],"title":"美股掘金 | 议员股神佩洛西的财富密码","htmlText":"摘要：或许议员比机构持仓更有指导意义 作者：美股研习社 刚过去的21年无疑是资本市场极不寻常的一年：通胀爆表，成长股腰斩式杀估值，中概寒冬，美联储年末转鹰...投资者们面临了比往常更多的挑战。而迈入22年，美股一直处在大幅震荡中，焦虑的市场仿佛找不到方向。 那么今年到底应该买什么呢？或许这个问题可以从一个特殊的群体中找到些蛛丝马迹，比如女议员“股神”佩洛西。在说佩洛西之前，我们不妨先来对比看看20年一战封神的另一位女股神Cathie Wood，Ark基金的掌门人“木头姐”。 01 木头姐的韭菜之路？ 20年木头姐因为旗舰基金Arkk重仓特斯拉走上神坛，被誉为“牛市女王”，受到一众散户追捧。而且她的每日操作公开透明，所以也方便追踪和抄作业。然而时间进入21年，如上图可见Arkk的表现可谓是江河日下，近一年回报率为触目惊心的-44.7%。 如果说是熊市，也许情有可原，然而同期标普500的表现却是+24.5——一来一回是高达近70个点的差距，如果去年选择长持Arkk的朋友可想而知...这也就是越来越多网友怒称其是“大韭菜”的原因，以至于甚至有专门做空Ark的SARK基金横空出世——如下图，SARK 11月成立以来回报率尽然高达约50%。 SARK成立以来走势 进一步来看，木头姐去年除了特斯拉，基本没有任何可圈可点的地方。而且去年Q4，她还在连续卖出特斯拉，不断加仓她认为的未来有颠覆式创新能力的公司，比如Teladoc Health，Roku、Zoom等等。 也许这些木头姐的心水股在5年乃至更久的时间也会有不错的回报，但目前仍然没有看到困境反转的点。比如Arkk目前第四重仓的Roku（持仓占比5.91%，相较21Q3仍有上升），股价自高点已下跌近70%，而关键基本面数据仍没有向好的趋势—— 从最近季度21Q3的财报数据来看，Roku的营收同比增长51%，和华尔街预期基本in lin","listText":"摘要：或许议员比机构持仓更有指导意义 作者：美股研习社 刚过去的21年无疑是资本市场极不寻常的一年：通胀爆表，成长股腰斩式杀估值，中概寒冬，美联储年末转鹰...投资者们面临了比往常更多的挑战。而迈入22年，美股一直处在大幅震荡中，焦虑的市场仿佛找不到方向。 那么今年到底应该买什么呢？或许这个问题可以从一个特殊的群体中找到些蛛丝马迹，比如女议员“股神”佩洛西。在说佩洛西之前，我们不妨先来对比看看20年一战封神的另一位女股神Cathie Wood，Ark基金的掌门人“木头姐”。 01 木头姐的韭菜之路？ 20年木头姐因为旗舰基金Arkk重仓特斯拉走上神坛，被誉为“牛市女王”，受到一众散户追捧。而且她的每日操作公开透明，所以也方便追踪和抄作业。然而时间进入21年，如上图可见Arkk的表现可谓是江河日下，近一年回报率为触目惊心的-44.7%。 如果说是熊市，也许情有可原，然而同期标普500的表现却是+24.5——一来一回是高达近70个点的差距，如果去年选择长持Arkk的朋友可想而知...这也就是越来越多网友怒称其是“大韭菜”的原因，以至于甚至有专门做空Ark的SARK基金横空出世——如下图，SARK 11月成立以来回报率尽然高达约50%。 SARK成立以来走势 进一步来看，木头姐去年除了特斯拉，基本没有任何可圈可点的地方。而且去年Q4，她还在连续卖出特斯拉，不断加仓她认为的未来有颠覆式创新能力的公司，比如Teladoc Health，Roku、Zoom等等。 也许这些木头姐的心水股在5年乃至更久的时间也会有不错的回报，但目前仍然没有看到困境反转的点。比如Arkk目前第四重仓的Roku（持仓占比5.91%，相较21Q3仍有上升），股价自高点已下跌近70%，而关键基本面数据仍没有向好的趋势—— 从最近季度21Q3的财报数据来看，Roku的营收同比增长51%，和华尔街预期基本in lin","text":"摘要：或许议员比机构持仓更有指导意义 作者：美股研习社 刚过去的21年无疑是资本市场极不寻常的一年：通胀爆表，成长股腰斩式杀估值，中概寒冬，美联储年末转鹰...投资者们面临了比往常更多的挑战。而迈入22年，美股一直处在大幅震荡中，焦虑的市场仿佛找不到方向。 那么今年到底应该买什么呢？或许这个问题可以从一个特殊的群体中找到些蛛丝马迹，比如女议员“股神”佩洛西。在说佩洛西之前，我们不妨先来对比看看20年一战封神的另一位女股神Cathie Wood，Ark基金的掌门人“木头姐”。 01 木头姐的韭菜之路？ 20年木头姐因为旗舰基金Arkk重仓特斯拉走上神坛，被誉为“牛市女王”，受到一众散户追捧。而且她的每日操作公开透明，所以也方便追踪和抄作业。然而时间进入21年，如上图可见Arkk的表现可谓是江河日下，近一年回报率为触目惊心的-44.7%。 如果说是熊市，也许情有可原，然而同期标普500的表现却是+24.5——一来一回是高达近70个点的差距，如果去年选择长持Arkk的朋友可想而知...这也就是越来越多网友怒称其是“大韭菜”的原因，以至于甚至有专门做空Ark的SARK基金横空出世——如下图，SARK 11月成立以来回报率尽然高达约50%。 SARK成立以来走势 进一步来看，木头姐去年除了特斯拉，基本没有任何可圈可点的地方。而且去年Q4，她还在连续卖出特斯拉，不断加仓她认为的未来有颠覆式创新能力的公司，比如Teladoc Health，Roku、Zoom等等。 也许这些木头姐的心水股在5年乃至更久的时间也会有不错的回报，但目前仍然没有看到困境反转的点。比如Arkk目前第四重仓的Roku（持仓占比5.91%，相较21Q3仍有上升），股价自高点已下跌近70%，而关键基本面数据仍没有向好的趋势—— 从最近季度21Q3的财报数据来看，Roku的营收同比增长51%，和华尔街预期基本in lin","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e80e51e3ba1c44d347259ffdcf9a90c6","width":"589","height":"297"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697815514","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630248594,"gmtCreate":1642940150344,"gmtModify":1642940150863,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566130979400930","idStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630248594","repostId":"697422155","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":697422155,"gmtCreate":1642567058619,"gmtModify":1642589799449,"author":{"id":"3527667591235607","authorId":"3527667591235607","name":"OptionPlus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8009c23927adcf8b5e1e1d101178392","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667591235607","idStr":"3527667591235607"},"themes":[],"title":"年度捡钱机会来了！最适合ATVI的期权操作！","htmlText":"“上帝给暴雪关上了一个door，就会给他开一扇Windows”。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 在毫无征兆的情况下，宣布将以每股95美元的价格全现金<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$动视暴雪(ATVI)$</a> ，交易总价值687亿美元，较ATVI的前天收盘溢价45%。全球游戏玩家和股民炸开了锅。 这不仅是迄今为止全球游戏行业内规模最大的收购案，也是微软自1975年成立以来所进行的最大一笔收购。交易完成后，微软将获得动视暴雪和子公司King旗下所有工作室的运营管理权，暴雪旗下的游戏我就不细数了，80年代的回忆杀。全现金、明年完成！微软和暴雪的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16425609441647&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">电话会</a>中显示双方都认为这个收购是完美的！说明交易成功性非常高，这对近期深陷丑闻漩涡暴雪来说无疑是迎来了一次涅槃重生的机会。而这笔交易的完成，也意味着微软将超过任天堂成为全球收入第三高的游戏公司，仅次于腾讯和索尼。微软CEO纳德拉表示，这笔交易将对微软下一步开发元宇宙发挥关键作用，这些游戏IP将是元宇宙的入口。 关于收购的分析今天已经很多，推荐大家看今天电话会的文字稿，非常具有前瞻指导。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/697415374\" target=\"_blank\">微软687亿美元并购动视暴雪会议纪要完整版</a>","listText":"“上帝给暴雪关上了一个door，就会给他开一扇Windows”。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 在毫无征兆的情况下，宣布将以每股95美元的价格全现金<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">$动视暴雪(ATVI)$</a> ，交易总价值687亿美元，较ATVI的前天收盘溢价45%。全球游戏玩家和股民炸开了锅。 这不仅是迄今为止全球游戏行业内规模最大的收购案，也是微软自1975年成立以来所进行的最大一笔收购。交易完成后，微软将获得动视暴雪和子公司King旗下所有工作室的运营管理权，暴雪旗下的游戏我就不细数了，80年代的回忆杀。全现金、明年完成！微软和暴雪的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata={&quot;liveId&quot;:&quot;16425609441647&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\">电话会</a>中显示双方都认为这个收购是完美的！说明交易成功性非常高，这对近期深陷丑闻漩涡暴雪来说无疑是迎来了一次涅槃重生的机会。而这笔交易的完成，也意味着微软将超过任天堂成为全球收入第三高的游戏公司，仅次于腾讯和索尼。微软CEO纳德拉表示，这笔交易将对微软下一步开发元宇宙发挥关键作用，这些游戏IP将是元宇宙的入口。 关于收购的分析今天已经很多，推荐大家看今天电话会的文字稿，非常具有前瞻指导。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/697415374\" target=\"_blank\">微软687亿美元并购动视暴雪会议纪要完整版</a>","text":"“上帝给暴雪关上了一个door，就会给他开一扇Windows”。 $微软(MSFT)$ 在毫无征兆的情况下，宣布将以每股95美元的价格全现金$动视暴雪(ATVI)$ ，交易总价值687亿美元，较ATVI的前天收盘溢价45%。全球游戏玩家和股民炸开了锅。 这不仅是迄今为止全球游戏行业内规模最大的收购案，也是微软自1975年成立以来所进行的最大一笔收购。交易完成后，微软将获得动视暴雪和子公司King旗下所有工作室的运营管理权，暴雪旗下的游戏我就不细数了，80年代的回忆杀。全现金、明年完成！微软和暴雪的电话会中显示双方都认为这个收购是完美的！说明交易成功性非常高，这对近期深陷丑闻漩涡暴雪来说无疑是迎来了一次涅槃重生的机会。而这笔交易的完成，也意味着微软将超过任天堂成为全球收入第三高的游戏公司，仅次于腾讯和索尼。微软CEO纳德拉表示，这笔交易将对微软下一步开发元宇宙发挥关键作用，这些游戏IP将是元宇宙的入口。 关于收购的分析今天已经很多，推荐大家看今天电话会的文字稿，非常具有前瞻指导。 微软687亿美元并购动视暴雪会议纪要完整版","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd4d2f45c217529a7e6c7582585fd3ee","width":"890","height":"894"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96914bbe34bd1729e28e4b2efe18e428","width":"902","height":"922"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bdd90625e539365f110b177070842bf","width":"1272","height":"372"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697422155","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697245790,"gmtCreate":1642501924062,"gmtModify":1642502483194,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566130979400930","idStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697245790","repostId":"694951908","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":694951908,"gmtCreate":1641793721698,"gmtModify":1744960780030,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3502767768442965","idStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"“女巴菲特”彻底栽了，木头姐一年回撤40%！仍然再加仓！","htmlText":"木头姐，真名凯瑟琳·伍德（Cathie Wood），在58岁时创立了方舟投资（ARK Investment），专注于“破坏性创新”，风格侧重极致成长，长期重仓科技股。 在2020年，Cathie&nbsp;Wood因持续重金押注特斯拉而一战成名，ARK旗下多达5只ETF平均回报率超过了140%！由此，被称为“女版巴菲特”。 然而，在2021年，Cathie&nbsp;Wood&nbsp;失败了。 这一年中，ARKK持仓的股票中，超8成股票近一年回撤超过40%，其中第二大重仓股回撤超过70%！ 随着今年美国加息临近，对科技股的承压越来越大。而Wood正式专注于投资“颠覆式创新”科技企业，所以，2022年才刚开始，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$</a> 就暴跌了10.75%: 据CNBC统计，ARKK持有的43只股票中，有36只较近一年高点下跌了40%以上，目前十大重仓股如下： <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>/ <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a> /<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">$Roku Inc(ROKU)$</a> /<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a> /","listText":"木头姐，真名凯瑟琳·伍德（Cathie Wood），在58岁时创立了方舟投资（ARK Investment），专注于“破坏性创新”，风格侧重极致成长，长期重仓科技股。 在2020年，Cathie&nbsp;Wood因持续重金押注特斯拉而一战成名，ARK旗下多达5只ETF平均回报率超过了140%！由此，被称为“女版巴菲特”。 然而，在2021年，Cathie&nbsp;Wood&nbsp;失败了。 这一年中，ARKK持仓的股票中，超8成股票近一年回撤超过40%，其中第二大重仓股回撤超过70%！ 随着今年美国加息临近，对科技股的承压越来越大。而Wood正式专注于投资“颠覆式创新”科技企业，所以，2022年才刚开始，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$</a> 就暴跌了10.75%: 据CNBC统计，ARKK持有的43只股票中，有36只较近一年高点下跌了40%以上，目前十大重仓股如下： <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>/ <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a> /<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROKU\">$Roku Inc(ROKU)$</a> /<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDOC\">$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$</a> /","text":"木头姐，真名凯瑟琳·伍德（Cathie Wood），在58岁时创立了方舟投资（ARK Investment），专注于“破坏性创新”，风格侧重极致成长，长期重仓科技股。 在2020年，Cathie Wood因持续重金押注特斯拉而一战成名，ARK旗下多达5只ETF平均回报率超过了140%！由此，被称为“女版巴菲特”。 然而，在2021年，Cathie Wood 失败了。 这一年中，ARKK持仓的股票中，超8成股票近一年回撤超过40%，其中第二大重仓股回撤超过70%！ 随着今年美国加息临近，对科技股的承压越来越大。而Wood正式专注于投资“颠覆式创新”科技企业，所以，2022年才刚开始，$ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ 就暴跌了10.75%: 据CNBC统计，ARKK持有的43只股票中，有36只较近一年高点下跌了40%以上，目前十大重仓股如下： $特斯拉(TSLA)$/ $Zoom(ZM)$ /$Roku Inc(ROKU)$ /$Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$ /","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17484061ae2bbb6fd04a8e2c1351b32a","width":"554","height":"768"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dc9f966dc410691ecee378c5f2b37cd","width":"600","height":"333"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bda339a03252c66e3ce4aa0f8575092e","width":"840","height":"470"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694951908","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697245494,"gmtCreate":1642501911625,"gmtModify":1642502482747,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566130979400930","idStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697245494","repostId":"697977771","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":697977771,"gmtCreate":1642249850069,"gmtModify":1744960781423,"author":{"id":"35433028694349","authorId":"35433028694349","name":"老虎专刊","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e0b93d50cf0df54ce7b1b746f78db36c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"35433028694349","idStr":"35433028694349"},"themes":[],"title":"【老虎周刊】老虎社区一周十大精华文章","htmlText":"嗨，虎友们好~这里是老虎社区每周更新的栏目“老虎周刊”。 “老虎周刊”精选老虎社区虎友们一周精华写作，希望对您的投资有所助力。 最好发现认识志同道合的虎友，一起投资一起成长。感谢虎友们支持，祝您投资顺利！ 下面进入一周榜单： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/694318772\" target=\"_blank\">你别过来啊，再过来我要通胀了</a> 发布者：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/115535245075020\">@陈达美股投资</a> 有一个问题一直萦绕心间。达某与木头姐、甚至美联储（大多数官员）一样，都主观认为美国通胀是短期的，是稍纵即逝的；既然如此，继续持有成长股就不必过于慌张，理由之前说过，这里不再长篇累牍。但百密怕疏，有一个关键的问题还要考虑。这个问题是： WHAT IF 这帮人 ARE DEAD WRONG? <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/694422069\" target=\"_blank\">台积电财报解读+估值测算| 为什么一年横盘我还持续重点推荐？</a> 发布者：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3545995761422355\">@不二说价值</a> 台积电作为这一季财报第一个重磅财报，应该说整个市场都还挺满意的。 今天借这个财报，再分析一下台积电的未来走势。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/694088320\" target=\"_blank\">B 站通过止不住的股价下跌破圈了？</a> 发布者：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3451627561239325\">@JohnnyB&lt;/</a>","listText":"嗨，虎友们好~这里是老虎社区每周更新的栏目“老虎周刊”。 “老虎周刊”精选老虎社区虎友们一周精华写作，希望对您的投资有所助力。 最好发现认识志同道合的虎友，一起投资一起成长。感谢虎友们支持，祝您投资顺利！ 下面进入一周榜单： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/694318772\" target=\"_blank\">你别过来啊，再过来我要通胀了</a> 发布者：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/115535245075020\">@陈达美股投资</a> 有一个问题一直萦绕心间。达某与木头姐、甚至美联储（大多数官员）一样，都主观认为美国通胀是短期的，是稍纵即逝的；既然如此，继续持有成长股就不必过于慌张，理由之前说过，这里不再长篇累牍。但百密怕疏，有一个关键的问题还要考虑。这个问题是： WHAT IF 这帮人 ARE DEAD WRONG? <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/694422069\" target=\"_blank\">台积电财报解读+估值测算| 为什么一年横盘我还持续重点推荐？</a> 发布者：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3545995761422355\">@不二说价值</a> 台积电作为这一季财报第一个重磅财报，应该说整个市场都还挺满意的。 今天借这个财报，再分析一下台积电的未来走势。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/694088320\" target=\"_blank\">B 站通过止不住的股价下跌破圈了？</a> 发布者：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3451627561239325\">@JohnnyB&lt;/</a>","text":"嗨，虎友们好~这里是老虎社区每周更新的栏目“老虎周刊”。 “老虎周刊”精选老虎社区虎友们一周精华写作，希望对您的投资有所助力。 最好发现认识志同道合的虎友，一起投资一起成长。感谢虎友们支持，祝您投资顺利！ 下面进入一周榜单： 你别过来啊，再过来我要通胀了 发布者：@陈达美股投资 有一个问题一直萦绕心间。达某与木头姐、甚至美联储（大多数官员）一样，都主观认为美国通胀是短期的，是稍纵即逝的；既然如此，继续持有成长股就不必过于慌张，理由之前说过，这里不再长篇累牍。但百密怕疏，有一个关键的问题还要考虑。这个问题是： WHAT IF 这帮人 ARE DEAD WRONG? 台积电财报解读+估值测算| 为什么一年横盘我还持续重点推荐？ 发布者：@不二说价值 台积电作为这一季财报第一个重磅财报，应该说整个市场都还挺满意的。 今天借这个财报，再分析一下台积电的未来走势。 B 站通过止不住的股价下跌破圈了？ 发布者：@JohnnyB</","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3bcd004ee7a4ce43ab2cadcf0104bca","width":"800","height":"370"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5457b06965fd57dda60edd5153d8f8a","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46a33b1633bb11b21ba8c5f3fa454ff3","width":"722","height":"420"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697977771","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":881526628,"gmtCreate":1631367299764,"gmtModify":1631883805764,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566130979400930","authorIdStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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Alright","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3566130979400930\">@nsk</a>: Alright","text":"//@nsk: Alright","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808344223","repostId":"1117337273","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117337273","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626356441,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117337273?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 21:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop? AMC? 'Diamond Hand' Meme Trading Always Disintegrates<blockquote>游戏驿站？AMC？“钻石手”模因交易总是瓦解</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117337273","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Much was made of the WallStreetBets meme trading movement, where a group of social media traders ban","content":"<p>Much was made of the WallStreetBets meme trading movement, where a group of social media traders banded together in a \"Kum Ba Yah\" moment to take down the dark lords lurking inside giant hedge fund firms.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets模因交易运动引起了很多关注，一群社交媒体交易员在“Kum Ba Yah”时刻联合起来，打倒潜伏在大型对冲基金公司内部的黑魔王。</blockquote></p><p> The mass media latched on to the movement, portraying the Reddit traders as the Robinhoods of finance, metaphorically slinging well-aimed arrows through Wall Street’s concrete canyons, striking down the hedge fund short specialists in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大众媒体抓住了这场运动，将Reddit交易员描绘成金融界的罗宾汉，隐喻性地在华尔街的混凝土峡谷中射出瞄准良好的箭，在此过程中击倒了对冲基金的空头专家。</blockquote></p><p> It’s a nice story and one that’s tailor-made for today’s 240 character-driven social media movement. The fact is, as James “Rev Shark” DePorre notes in Real Money, the meme trading movement is hardly new and not nearly as efficient as the mass media has led average investors to believe.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很好的故事，是为今天240个角色驱动的社交媒体运动量身定制的。事实是，正如James“Rev Shark”DePorre在《Real Money》中指出的那样，模因交易运动并不新鲜，也不像大众媒体让普通投资者相信的那样有效。</blockquote></p><p> \"The business media likes to portray meme trading as something new, but this sort of trading has been part of markets from their very beginning hundreds of years ago. There will also be groups that question the conventional wisdom of the professionals that control the market. It is no surprise at all that there are small traders with limited capital who have no interest in the idea that they should hold a diversified portfolio of stocks for the long term.\"</p><p><blockquote>“商业媒体喜欢将迷因交易描绘成一种新事物，但这种交易从数百年前一开始就是市场的一部分。也会有一些团体质疑控制市场的专业人士的传统智慧。毫不奇怪，有些资金有限的小交易者对他们应该长期持有多元化股票组合的想法不感兴趣。”</blockquote></p><p> The recent surge in social media trading was caused by a perfect storm of circumstances, according to DePorre. \"The pandemic created a combination of more free time, a need for entertainment, free cash payment, and better social networking. Trading hot stocks was a great way to spend some time, and brokers like Robinhood made it extremely easy to trade small accounts money,\" noting there aren't even commissions or transaction costs to create friction and slow things down.</p><p><blockquote>DePorre表示，最近社交媒体交易的激增是由一场完美风暴造成的。“这场大流行创造了更多的空闲时间、娱乐需求、免费现金支付和更好的社交网络。交易热门股票是消磨时间的好方法，像Robinhood这样的经纪商让交易小额账户变得极其容易钱，”并指出甚至没有佣金或交易成本来制造摩擦和减慢速度。</blockquote></p><p> While thememe investors were able to change the arc of stockslike GameStop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>)&nbsp;(down 21% in the past month) and AMC Enternatinment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>)&nbsp;(down 30% in the past month), they haven’t had much luck elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote>虽然主题投资者能够改变游戏驿站等股票的走势（<b>GME</b>）（过去一个月下跌21%）和AMC Enternatinment（<b>AMC</b>）（过去一个月下跌30%），他们在其他地方运气不佳。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, the now-deflating meme investing movement is both understandable and predictable, DePorre writes -- it’s a product of the time, especially with the persuasion power of social media to drive the “meme themes,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>DePorre写道，事实上，目前正在萎缩的模因投资运动既是可以理解的，也是可以预测的——这是时代的产物，尤其是社交媒体的说服力推动了“模因主题”，他说。</blockquote></p><p> \"Social media is going to exist in various forms as long as there are markets. This is not some new idea that is going to create a steady flow of easy profits. It is a cutthroat business, and if you want to make money trading these stocks you must recognize that other traders are your competitors and not your friends,\" he writes.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“只要有市场，社交媒体就会以各种形式存在。这并不是什么能创造源源不断的轻松利润的新想法。这是一个残酷的行业，如果你想通过交易这些股票赚钱，你必须认识到其他交易者是你的竞争对手，而不是你的朋友。”</blockquote></p><p> DePorre advises smart investors not to fall for the meme trading grift. He also offers some “red flags” for investors to watch out for as they engage in social media trading channels, including folks bragging about their success and the higher levels of volatility.</p><p><blockquote>DePorre建议聪明的投资者不要陷入迷因交易骗局。他还为投资者在参与社交媒体交易渠道时提供了一些需要注意的“危险信号”，包括那些吹嘘自己成功和较高波动性的人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop? AMC? 'Diamond Hand' Meme Trading Always Disintegrates<blockquote>游戏驿站？AMC？“钻石手”模因交易总是瓦解</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop? AMC? 'Diamond Hand' Meme Trading Always Disintegrates<blockquote>游戏驿站？AMC？“钻石手”模因交易总是瓦解</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 21:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Much was made of the WallStreetBets meme trading movement, where a group of social media traders banded together in a \"Kum Ba Yah\" moment to take down the dark lords lurking inside giant hedge fund firms.</p><p><blockquote>WallStreetBets模因交易运动引起了很多关注，一群社交媒体交易员在“Kum Ba Yah”时刻联合起来，打倒潜伏在大型对冲基金公司内部的黑魔王。</blockquote></p><p> The mass media latched on to the movement, portraying the Reddit traders as the Robinhoods of finance, metaphorically slinging well-aimed arrows through Wall Street’s concrete canyons, striking down the hedge fund short specialists in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大众媒体抓住了这场运动，将Reddit交易员描绘成金融界的罗宾汉，隐喻性地在华尔街的混凝土峡谷中射出瞄准良好的箭，在此过程中击倒了对冲基金的空头专家。</blockquote></p><p> It’s a nice story and one that’s tailor-made for today’s 240 character-driven social media movement. The fact is, as James “Rev Shark” DePorre notes in Real Money, the meme trading movement is hardly new and not nearly as efficient as the mass media has led average investors to believe.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很好的故事，是为今天240个角色驱动的社交媒体运动量身定制的。事实是，正如James“Rev Shark”DePorre在《Real Money》中指出的那样，模因交易运动并不新鲜，也不像大众媒体让普通投资者相信的那样有效。</blockquote></p><p> \"The business media likes to portray meme trading as something new, but this sort of trading has been part of markets from their very beginning hundreds of years ago. There will also be groups that question the conventional wisdom of the professionals that control the market. It is no surprise at all that there are small traders with limited capital who have no interest in the idea that they should hold a diversified portfolio of stocks for the long term.\"</p><p><blockquote>“商业媒体喜欢将迷因交易描绘成一种新事物，但这种交易从数百年前一开始就是市场的一部分。也会有一些团体质疑控制市场的专业人士的传统智慧。毫不奇怪，有些资金有限的小交易者对他们应该长期持有多元化股票组合的想法不感兴趣。”</blockquote></p><p> The recent surge in social media trading was caused by a perfect storm of circumstances, according to DePorre. \"The pandemic created a combination of more free time, a need for entertainment, free cash payment, and better social networking. Trading hot stocks was a great way to spend some time, and brokers like Robinhood made it extremely easy to trade small accounts money,\" noting there aren't even commissions or transaction costs to create friction and slow things down.</p><p><blockquote>DePorre表示，最近社交媒体交易的激增是由一场完美风暴造成的。“这场大流行创造了更多的空闲时间、娱乐需求、免费现金支付和更好的社交网络。交易热门股票是消磨时间的好方法，像Robinhood这样的经纪商让交易小额账户变得极其容易钱，”并指出甚至没有佣金或交易成本来制造摩擦和减慢速度。</blockquote></p><p> While thememe investors were able to change the arc of stockslike GameStop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>)&nbsp;(down 21% in the past month) and AMC Enternatinment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>)&nbsp;(down 30% in the past month), they haven’t had much luck elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote>虽然主题投资者能够改变游戏驿站等股票的走势（<b>GME</b>）（过去一个月下跌21%）和AMC Enternatinment（<b>AMC</b>）（过去一个月下跌30%），他们在其他地方运气不佳。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, the now-deflating meme investing movement is both understandable and predictable, DePorre writes -- it’s a product of the time, especially with the persuasion power of social media to drive the “meme themes,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>DePorre写道，事实上，目前正在萎缩的模因投资运动既是可以理解的，也是可以预测的——这是时代的产物，尤其是社交媒体的说服力推动了“模因主题”，他说。</blockquote></p><p> \"Social media is going to exist in various forms as long as there are markets. This is not some new idea that is going to create a steady flow of easy profits. It is a cutthroat business, and if you want to make money trading these stocks you must recognize that other traders are your competitors and not your friends,\" he writes.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“只要有市场，社交媒体就会以各种形式存在。这并不是什么能创造源源不断的轻松利润的新想法。这是一个残酷的行业，如果你想通过交易这些股票赚钱，你必须认识到其他交易者是你的竞争对手，而不是你的朋友。”</blockquote></p><p> DePorre advises smart investors not to fall for the meme trading grift. He also offers some “red flags” for investors to watch out for as they engage in social media trading channels, including folks bragging about their success and the higher levels of volatility.</p><p><blockquote>DePorre建议聪明的投资者不要陷入迷因交易骗局。他还为投资者在参与社交媒体交易渠道时提供了一些需要注意的“危险信号”，包括那些吹嘘自己成功和较高波动性的人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/deporre-meme-trading-always-disintegrates\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/deporre-meme-trading-always-disintegrates","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117337273","content_text":"Much was made of the WallStreetBets meme trading movement, where a group of social media traders banded together in a \"Kum Ba Yah\" moment to take down the dark lords lurking inside giant hedge fund firms.\nThe mass media latched on to the movement, portraying the Reddit traders as the Robinhoods of finance, metaphorically slinging well-aimed arrows through Wall Street’s concrete canyons, striking down the hedge fund short specialists in the process.\nIt’s a nice story and one that’s tailor-made for today’s 240 character-driven social media movement. The fact is, as James “Rev Shark” DePorre notes in Real Money, the meme trading movement is hardly new and not nearly as efficient as the mass media has led average investors to believe.\n\"The business media likes to portray meme trading as something new, but this sort of trading has been part of markets from their very beginning hundreds of years ago. There will also be groups that question the conventional wisdom of the professionals that control the market. It is no surprise at all that there are small traders with limited capital who have no interest in the idea that they should hold a diversified portfolio of stocks for the long term.\"\nThe recent surge in social media trading was caused by a perfect storm of circumstances, according to DePorre. \"The pandemic created a combination of more free time, a need for entertainment, free cash payment, and better social networking. Trading hot stocks was a great way to spend some time, and brokers like Robinhood made it extremely easy to trade small accounts money,\" noting there aren't even commissions or transaction costs to create friction and slow things down.\nWhile thememe investors were able to change the arc of stockslike GameStop (GME) (down 21% in the past month) and AMC Enternatinment (AMC) (down 30% in the past month), they haven’t had much luck elsewhere.\nIn fact, the now-deflating meme investing movement is both understandable and predictable, DePorre writes -- it’s a product of the time, especially with the persuasion power of social media to drive the “meme themes,” he says.\n\"Social media is going to exist in various forms as long as there are markets. This is not some new idea that is going to create a steady flow of easy profits. It is a cutthroat business, and if you want to make money trading these stocks you must recognize that other traders are your competitors and not your friends,\" he writes.\nDePorre advises smart investors not to fall for the meme trading grift. He also offers some “red flags” for investors to watch out for as they engage in social media trading channels, including folks bragging about their success and the higher levels of volatility.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812240767,"gmtCreate":1630591946959,"gmtModify":1631891362254,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566130979400930","authorIdStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Serious","listText":"Serious","text":"Serious","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812240767","repostId":"1131318558","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131318558","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630591645,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131318558?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-02 22:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bear Attack: Could Apple Stock Really Drop 40%?<blockquote>空头攻击：苹果股价真的会下跌40%吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131318558","media":"Thestreet","summary":"One of two Wall Street analysts that had a sell rating on Apple stock threw in the towel. The other still thinks that AAPL shares could drop 40%. Is the sizable downside risk realistic?On the first day of September, one of the rare Wall Street bears on Apple stock  finally gave in and dropped his sell rating. The last remaining one still sees shares dropping to a price target of $90, representing risk of loss of around 40%.Could New Street’s Pierre Ferragu, the last remaining Apple bear on Wall ","content":"<p>One of two Wall Street analysts that had a sell rating on Apple stock threw in the towel. The other still thinks that AAPL shares could drop 40%. Is the sizable downside risk realistic?</p><p><blockquote>对苹果股票给予卖出评级的两位华尔街分析师之一认输了。另一位仍然认为AAPL股价可能会下跌40%。巨大的下行风险现实吗？</blockquote></p><p> On the first day of September, one of the rare Wall Street bears on Apple stock&nbsp;(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;finally gave in and dropped his sell rating. The last remaining one still&nbsp;sees&nbsp;shares dropping to a price target of $90, representing risk of loss of around 40%.</p><p><blockquote>九月的第一天，华尔街罕见的看空苹果股票之一（<b>AAPL</b>）最终让步，下调了卖出评级。剩下的最后一位仍将股价跌至90美元的目标价，损失风险约为40%。</blockquote></p><p> Could New Street’s Pierre Ferragu, the last remaining Apple bear on Wall Street, be right about his downside call? The Apple Maven looks a bit closer at the argument.</p><p><blockquote>New Street的Pierre Ferragu是华尔街最后一位看空苹果的人，他对看涨期权下行的看法可能是正确的吗？这位苹果专家更仔细地观察了这场争论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why bearish on Apple?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么看空苹果？</b></blockquote></p><p> The core of Pierre’s bearish argument&nbsp;seems to be the iPhone. The analyst has called the upcoming device launch a “12S cycle”, arguing that the best of Apple’s iPhone upgrade wave,the so-called 5G super cycle, has been left in the rearview mirror.</p><p><blockquote>Pierre看空论点的核心似乎是iPhone。这位分析师将即将推出的设备称为“12S周期”，认为苹果iPhone升级浪潮中最好的部分，即所谓的5G超级周期，已经成为过去。</blockquote></p><p> New Street subscribes to the view that the strong iPhone 12 cycle has pulled forward smartphone sales, leaving a gap in demand going forward. Interestingly, this is exactly the&nbsp;opposite opinion of bullish Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, who said the following during an interview with the Apple Maven:</p><p><blockquote>New Street赞同这样的观点，即强劲的iPhone 12周期拉动了智能手机销量，导致未来需求出现缺口。有趣的是，这与看涨的Wedbush分析师Dan Ives的观点完全相反，Dan Ives在接受《苹果专家》采访时表示：</blockquote></p><p>   “What the Street underestimates is how massive and elongated this super cycle is. […] 5G does not get fully embraced for the next two or three years, until the networks are built out. In China [where the 5G infrastructure is further ahead], the iPhone 12, especially the larger Pro versions, really sold extremely well.”  Still on the iPhone, Mr. Ferragu laid out his expectations for 2022 back in April (I am unaware of revisions since then). He believes that iPhone shipments will reach 190 million units, suggesting segment revenues of around $150 billion – a modest annual increase of 5% from COVID-19 levels.</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街低估了这个超级周期的规模和长度。[……]在网络建成之前，5G在未来两三年内不会被完全接受。在中国（5G基础设施更加领先），iPhone 12，尤其是较大的Pro版本，确实卖得非常好。”Ferragu先生仍然在iPhone上，早在4月份就提出了他对2022年的预期（我不知道此后有任何修改）。他认为iPhone出货量将达到1.9亿部，这意味着该部门的收入约为1500亿美元——比COVID-19水平每年小幅增长5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Could AAPL sink 40%?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL会下跌40%吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let’s put pen to paper. For Apple stock to be valued at $90 apiece, one of two things would need to happen: either financial performance would need to lag consensus expectations, or valuations would need to contract (or a combination of both).</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们动笔。苹果股票的估值要达到每股90美元，需要发生两件事之一：要么财务业绩需要落后于普遍预期，要么估值需要收缩（或两者兼而有之）。</blockquote></p><p> On results,Wall Street currently sees&nbsp;fiscal 2022 EPS landing at $5.63, roughly flat against a 2021 that has been impressive so far. For AAPL to drop 40% in price, therefore, next-year earnings would need to miss consensus substantially, by at least a couple of dollars. I find this highly unlikely.</p><p><blockquote>从业绩来看，华尔街目前预计2022财年每股收益将达到5.63美元，与迄今为止令人印象深刻的2021财年基本持平。因此，苹果公司要想股价下跌40%，明年的盈利就需要大幅低于市场预期，至少下降几美元。我觉得这不太可能。</blockquote></p><p> On valuations, AAPL currently trades at a fiscal 2021 earnings multiple of 27 times. Assuming consensus-matching results in the future, this multiple would need to drop to about 16 times for AAPL shares to sink to $90. The stock’s forward P/E has not been this low in years.</p><p><blockquote>从估值来看，AAPL目前的2021财年市盈率为27倍。假设未来的结果与共识匹配，这一市盈率需要降至16倍左右，AAPL股价才能跌至90美元。该股的预期市盈率多年来从未如此低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> I find it very improbable, if not virtually impossible, for Apple to ever be valued at $90 per share again. It is much more reasonable, in my opinion, that New Street’s current price target on the stock is simply stale, following AAPL’s 25% rally in the past six months.</p><p><blockquote>我发现苹果的估值即使不是几乎不可能，也不太可能再次达到每股90美元。在我看来，更合理的是，在AAPL在过去六个月内上涨了25%之后，New Street目前的股价目标已经过时了。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I would not be surprised to see Wall Street’s last AAPL bear eventually (soon?) give in on his downside convictions, at least in what pertains to his current price target.</p><p><blockquote>因此，看到华尔街最后一次看空苹果公司最终（很快？）屈服于他的下行信念，至少在与他当前的价格目标相关的方面，我不会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bear Attack: Could Apple Stock Really Drop 40%?<blockquote>空头攻击：苹果股价真的会下跌40%吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBear Attack: Could Apple Stock Really Drop 40%?<blockquote>空头攻击：苹果股价真的会下跌40%吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-02 22:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One of two Wall Street analysts that had a sell rating on Apple stock threw in the towel. The other still thinks that AAPL shares could drop 40%. Is the sizable downside risk realistic?</p><p><blockquote>对苹果股票给予卖出评级的两位华尔街分析师之一认输了。另一位仍然认为AAPL股价可能会下跌40%。巨大的下行风险现实吗？</blockquote></p><p> On the first day of September, one of the rare Wall Street bears on Apple stock&nbsp;(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;finally gave in and dropped his sell rating. The last remaining one still&nbsp;sees&nbsp;shares dropping to a price target of $90, representing risk of loss of around 40%.</p><p><blockquote>九月的第一天，华尔街罕见的看空苹果股票之一（<b>AAPL</b>）最终让步，下调了卖出评级。剩下的最后一位仍将股价跌至90美元的目标价，损失风险约为40%。</blockquote></p><p> Could New Street’s Pierre Ferragu, the last remaining Apple bear on Wall Street, be right about his downside call? The Apple Maven looks a bit closer at the argument.</p><p><blockquote>New Street的Pierre Ferragu是华尔街最后一位看空苹果的人，他对看涨期权下行的看法可能是正确的吗？这位苹果专家更仔细地观察了这场争论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why bearish on Apple?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么看空苹果？</b></blockquote></p><p> The core of Pierre’s bearish argument&nbsp;seems to be the iPhone. The analyst has called the upcoming device launch a “12S cycle”, arguing that the best of Apple’s iPhone upgrade wave,the so-called 5G super cycle, has been left in the rearview mirror.</p><p><blockquote>Pierre看空论点的核心似乎是iPhone。这位分析师将即将推出的设备称为“12S周期”，认为苹果iPhone升级浪潮中最好的部分，即所谓的5G超级周期，已经成为过去。</blockquote></p><p> New Street subscribes to the view that the strong iPhone 12 cycle has pulled forward smartphone sales, leaving a gap in demand going forward. Interestingly, this is exactly the&nbsp;opposite opinion of bullish Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, who said the following during an interview with the Apple Maven:</p><p><blockquote>New Street赞同这样的观点，即强劲的iPhone 12周期拉动了智能手机销量，导致未来需求出现缺口。有趣的是，这与看涨的Wedbush分析师Dan Ives的观点完全相反，Dan Ives在接受《苹果专家》采访时表示：</blockquote></p><p>   “What the Street underestimates is how massive and elongated this super cycle is. […] 5G does not get fully embraced for the next two or three years, until the networks are built out. In China [where the 5G infrastructure is further ahead], the iPhone 12, especially the larger Pro versions, really sold extremely well.”  Still on the iPhone, Mr. Ferragu laid out his expectations for 2022 back in April (I am unaware of revisions since then). He believes that iPhone shipments will reach 190 million units, suggesting segment revenues of around $150 billion – a modest annual increase of 5% from COVID-19 levels.</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街低估了这个超级周期的规模和长度。[……]在网络建成之前，5G在未来两三年内不会被完全接受。在中国（5G基础设施更加领先），iPhone 12，尤其是较大的Pro版本，确实卖得非常好。”Ferragu先生仍然在iPhone上，早在4月份就提出了他对2022年的预期（我不知道此后有任何修改）。他认为iPhone出货量将达到1.9亿部，这意味着该部门的收入约为1500亿美元——比COVID-19水平每年小幅增长5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Could AAPL sink 40%?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL会下跌40%吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let’s put pen to paper. For Apple stock to be valued at $90 apiece, one of two things would need to happen: either financial performance would need to lag consensus expectations, or valuations would need to contract (or a combination of both).</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们动笔。苹果股票的估值要达到每股90美元，需要发生两件事之一：要么财务业绩需要落后于普遍预期，要么估值需要收缩（或两者兼而有之）。</blockquote></p><p> On results,Wall Street currently sees&nbsp;fiscal 2022 EPS landing at $5.63, roughly flat against a 2021 that has been impressive so far. For AAPL to drop 40% in price, therefore, next-year earnings would need to miss consensus substantially, by at least a couple of dollars. I find this highly unlikely.</p><p><blockquote>从业绩来看，华尔街目前预计2022财年每股收益将达到5.63美元，与迄今为止令人印象深刻的2021财年基本持平。因此，苹果公司要想股价下跌40%，明年的盈利就需要大幅低于市场预期，至少下降几美元。我觉得这不太可能。</blockquote></p><p> On valuations, AAPL currently trades at a fiscal 2021 earnings multiple of 27 times. Assuming consensus-matching results in the future, this multiple would need to drop to about 16 times for AAPL shares to sink to $90. The stock’s forward P/E has not been this low in years.</p><p><blockquote>从估值来看，AAPL目前的2021财年市盈率为27倍。假设未来的结果与共识匹配，这一市盈率需要降至16倍左右，AAPL股价才能跌至90美元。该股的预期市盈率多年来从未如此低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Apple Maven’s take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果专家的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> I find it very improbable, if not virtually impossible, for Apple to ever be valued at $90 per share again. It is much more reasonable, in my opinion, that New Street’s current price target on the stock is simply stale, following AAPL’s 25% rally in the past six months.</p><p><blockquote>我发现苹果的估值即使不是几乎不可能，也不太可能再次达到每股90美元。在我看来，更合理的是，在AAPL在过去六个月内上涨了25%之后，New Street目前的股价目标已经过时了。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I would not be surprised to see Wall Street’s last AAPL bear eventually (soon?) give in on his downside convictions, at least in what pertains to his current price target.</p><p><blockquote>因此，看到华尔街最后一次看空苹果公司最终（很快？）屈服于他的下行信念，至少在与他当前的价格目标相关的方面，我不会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/bear-attack-could-apple-stock-really-drop-40\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/bear-attack-could-apple-stock-really-drop-40","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131318558","content_text":"One of two Wall Street analysts that had a sell rating on Apple stock threw in the towel. The other still thinks that AAPL shares could drop 40%. Is the sizable downside risk realistic?\nOn the first day of September, one of the rare Wall Street bears on Apple stock (AAPL) finally gave in and dropped his sell rating. The last remaining one still sees shares dropping to a price target of $90, representing risk of loss of around 40%.\nCould New Street’s Pierre Ferragu, the last remaining Apple bear on Wall Street, be right about his downside call? The Apple Maven looks a bit closer at the argument.\nWhy bearish on Apple?\nThe core of Pierre’s bearish argument seems to be the iPhone. The analyst has called the upcoming device launch a “12S cycle”, arguing that the best of Apple’s iPhone upgrade wave,the so-called 5G super cycle, has been left in the rearview mirror.\nNew Street subscribes to the view that the strong iPhone 12 cycle has pulled forward smartphone sales, leaving a gap in demand going forward. Interestingly, this is exactly the opposite opinion of bullish Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, who said the following during an interview with the Apple Maven:\n\n “What the Street underestimates is how massive and elongated this super cycle is. […] 5G does not get fully embraced for the next two or three years, until the networks are built out. In China [where the 5G infrastructure is further ahead], the iPhone 12, especially the larger Pro versions, really sold extremely well.”\n\nStill on the iPhone, Mr. Ferragu laid out his expectations for 2022 back in April (I am unaware of revisions since then). He believes that iPhone shipments will reach 190 million units, suggesting segment revenues of around $150 billion – a modest annual increase of 5% from COVID-19 levels.\nCould AAPL sink 40%?\nNow, let’s put pen to paper. For Apple stock to be valued at $90 apiece, one of two things would need to happen: either financial performance would need to lag consensus expectations, or valuations would need to contract (or a combination of both).\nOn results,Wall Street currently sees fiscal 2022 EPS landing at $5.63, roughly flat against a 2021 that has been impressive so far. For AAPL to drop 40% in price, therefore, next-year earnings would need to miss consensus substantially, by at least a couple of dollars. I find this highly unlikely.\nOn valuations, AAPL currently trades at a fiscal 2021 earnings multiple of 27 times. Assuming consensus-matching results in the future, this multiple would need to drop to about 16 times for AAPL shares to sink to $90. The stock’s forward P/E has not been this low in years.\nThe Apple Maven’s take\nI find it very improbable, if not virtually impossible, for Apple to ever be valued at $90 per share again. It is much more reasonable, in my opinion, that New Street’s current price target on the stock is simply stale, following AAPL’s 25% rally in the past six months.\nTherefore, I would not be surprised to see Wall Street’s last AAPL bear eventually (soon?) give in on his downside convictions, at least in what pertains to his current price target.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":774,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178879147,"gmtCreate":1626802455389,"gmtModify":1631891362281,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566130979400930","authorIdStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178879147","repostId":"2152657163","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817051410,"gmtCreate":1630892745230,"gmtModify":1631883908899,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566130979400930","authorIdStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>PLTR......","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>PLTR......","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$PLTR......","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b8eafc6d9b39eeb4df63348c86fdb77","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817051410","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839757561,"gmtCreate":1629184778953,"gmtModify":1631891362265,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566130979400930","authorIdStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>AAPL","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>AAPL","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$AAPL","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dc64008a7d14b68dac842944a19e6a2","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839757561","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174702779,"gmtCreate":1627135292891,"gmtModify":1631891362275,"author":{"id":"3566130979400930","authorId":"3566130979400930","name":"nsk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca5161a1cfd9f69617bbe604d09aa849","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566130979400930","authorIdStr":"3566130979400930"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>AAPL","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>AAPL","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$AAPL","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab38b31c2c44a50577d3f656469795ec","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174702779","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}