Llwwhh的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Llwwhh

Llwwhh

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2021-05-01

GEVO looks goood

2021-03-14

Oh man

Tesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.<blockquote>特斯拉股价下跌。你可以责怪乔·拜登。</blockquote>

2021-06-28

Wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-26

Stuck with this

2021-05-27

$Bionano Genomics(BNGO)$Play long game

2021-05-10

Like and comment

5 Unbeatable Stocks to Buy for a Biden Bull Market<blockquote>拜登牛市值得买入的5只无与伦比的股票</blockquote>

2021-04-03

Coins pls

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-28

Nio

Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>

2021-06-27

Too the moon

2021-06-21

Bullish

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1635924716,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131289216?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-03 15:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For November 3, 2021<blockquote>2021年11月3日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131289216","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Wall Street expects CVS Health Corp to report quarterly earnings at $1.77 per share on revenue of $7","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Wall Street expects&nbsp;<b>CVS Health Corp</b>&nbsp;to report quarterly earnings at $1.77 per share on revenue of $70.49 billion before the opening bell. CVS Health shares rose 0.6% to close at $91.15 on Tuesday.</li>  <li><b>Amgen, Inc.</b>&nbsp;reported upbeat results for the third. The company said it expects FY21 adjusted earnings of $16.50 to $17.10 per share and sales of $25.8 billion to $26.2 billion. Amgen shares fell 1.5% to $211.00 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>Analysts are expecting&nbsp;<b>QUALCOMM, Inc.</b>&nbsp;to have earned $2.26 per share on revenue of $8.86 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. QUALCOMM shares rose 0.1% to $135.30 in after-hours trading.</li>  <li><b>Mondelez International, Inc.</b>&nbsp;reported better-than-expected results for its third quarter and raised its annual sales guidance. Mondelez shares gained 2.4% to $62.80 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>Analysts expect&nbsp;<b>Humana Inc</b>&nbsp;to post quarterly earnings at $4.66 per share on revenue of $20.91 billion before the opening bell. Humana shares rose 0.4% to $458.99 in after-hours trading.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街预计<b>CVS健康公司</b>开盘前公布季度收益为每股1.77美元，营收为704.9亿美元。CVS Health股价周二上涨0.6%，收于91.15美元。</li><li><b>安进公司。</b>第三季度报告了乐观的业绩。该公司表示，预计2021财年调整后每股收益为16.50美元至17.10美元，销售额为258亿美元至262亿美元。安进股价在盘后交易时段下跌1.5%，至211.00美元。</li><li>分析师预计<b>高通公司。</b>最近一个季度的营收为88.6亿美元，每股收益为2.26美元。该公司将在收盘后发布财报。高通股价在盘后交易中上涨0.1%，至135.30美元。</li><li><b>亿滋国际公司。</b>第三季度业绩好于预期，并上调了年度销售指引。亿滋股价在盘后交易时段上涨2.4%，至62.80美元。</li><li>分析师预计<b>Humana公司</b>开盘前公布季度收益为每股4.66美元，营收为209.1亿美元。Humana股价在盘后交易中上涨0.4%，至458.99美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For November 3, 2021<blockquote>2021年11月3日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For November 3, 2021<blockquote>2021年11月3日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-03 15:31</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Wall Street expects&nbsp;<b>CVS Health Corp</b>&nbsp;to report quarterly earnings at $1.77 per share on revenue of $70.49 billion before the opening bell. CVS Health shares rose 0.6% to close at $91.15 on Tuesday.</li>  <li><b>Amgen, Inc.</b>&nbsp;reported upbeat results for the third. The company said it expects FY21 adjusted earnings of $16.50 to $17.10 per share and sales of $25.8 billion to $26.2 billion. Amgen shares fell 1.5% to $211.00 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>Analysts are expecting&nbsp;<b>QUALCOMM, Inc.</b>&nbsp;to have earned $2.26 per share on revenue of $8.86 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. QUALCOMM shares rose 0.1% to $135.30 in after-hours trading.</li>  <li><b>Mondelez International, Inc.</b>&nbsp;reported better-than-expected results for its third quarter and raised its annual sales guidance. Mondelez shares gained 2.4% to $62.80 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>Analysts expect&nbsp;<b>Humana Inc</b>&nbsp;to post quarterly earnings at $4.66 per share on revenue of $20.91 billion before the opening bell. Humana shares rose 0.4% to $458.99 in after-hours trading.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>华尔街预计<b>CVS健康公司</b>开盘前公布季度收益为每股1.77美元，营收为704.9亿美元。CVS Health股价周二上涨0.6%，收于91.15美元。</li><li><b>安进公司。</b>第三季度报告了乐观的业绩。该公司表示，预计2021财年调整后每股收益为16.50美元至17.10美元，销售额为258亿美元至262亿美元。安进股价在盘后交易时段下跌1.5%，至211.00美元。</li><li>分析师预计<b>高通公司。</b>最近一个季度的营收为88.6亿美元，每股收益为2.26美元。该公司将在收盘后发布财报。高通股价在盘后交易中上涨0.1%，至135.30美元。</li><li><b>亿滋国际公司。</b>第三季度业绩好于预期，并上调了年度销售指引。亿滋股价在盘后交易时段上涨2.4%，至62.80美元。</li><li>分析师预计<b>Humana公司</b>开盘前公布季度收益为每股4.66美元，营收为209.1亿美元。Humana股价在盘后交易中上涨0.4%，至458.99美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MDLZ":"亿滋","QCOM":"高通","HUM":"哈门那","CVS":"西维斯健康","AMGN":"安进"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131289216","content_text":"Wall Street expects CVS Health Corp to report quarterly earnings at $1.77 per share on revenue of $70.49 billion before the opening bell. CVS Health shares rose 0.6% to close at $91.15 on Tuesday.\nAmgen, Inc. reported upbeat results for the third. The company said it expects FY21 adjusted earnings of $16.50 to $17.10 per share and sales of $25.8 billion to $26.2 billion. Amgen shares fell 1.5% to $211.00 in the after-hours trading session.\nAnalysts are expecting QUALCOMM, Inc. to have earned $2.26 per share on revenue of $8.86 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. QUALCOMM shares rose 0.1% to $135.30 in after-hours trading.\nMondelez International, Inc. reported better-than-expected results for its third quarter and raised its annual sales guidance. Mondelez shares gained 2.4% to $62.80 in the after-hours trading session.\nAnalysts expect Humana Inc to post quarterly earnings at $4.66 per share on revenue of $20.91 billion before the opening bell. 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All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":127480579,"gmtCreate":1624863196092,"gmtModify":1633947800787,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566354699453607","idStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio","listText":"Nio","text":"Nio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127480579","repostId":"1137119316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137119316","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624754401,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137119316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137119316","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.With Ford  launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO  will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>  <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>  <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在加深对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解，同时突出市场地位和机会的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多，高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特（F）在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势，中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）未来将面临多一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值，哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易？我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来，并在最后做出最终裁决。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特vs蔚来：全球电动车市场争夺战升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别，但两家公司将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场上展开正面交锋。福特的车队尚未专注于电动汽车，但这种情况将会改变：感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温，福特表示正在加速其电气化计划，到2025年投资300B美元用于其电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求对零排放汽车投资220亿美元。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标：未来十年内其全球销量的40%将是电动汽车，皮卡销量的33%将是电动汽车。如今，电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机，它将在2040年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，全球电动汽车销量为320万辆，市场份额仅为4.2%。然而，2020年，中国购买了全球41%的电动汽车。中国买家去年购买了130万辆电动汽车，随着北京寻求提高电动汽车的采用率，销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲，占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是世界上插电式电动汽车的第三大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：维基百科）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场，尽管欧洲正在迅速赶上，部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用，以及对全欧洲充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来即将进入欧洲市场，以期在竞争准备就绪之前扩大在全球第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>北京是蔚来汽车行业电气化背后的驱动力：政府希望到2025年电动汽车在新车销售中的份额达到20%，这将推动电动汽车在国内市场的渗透率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策，这些市场有望出现全球最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模，中国不仅是最大的市场，而且预计到2030年，中国的电动汽车销量将超过世界上所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：麦肯锡）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长以及更有利的监管框架，因此中国的赢家将是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有一个世纪的制造经验。但到目前为止，福特的产品线中只有一款全电动汽车可以与蔚来相媲美：野马Mach-E SUV。2022年，福特将开始销售全电动F-150 Lightening，该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录，包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来仅专注于生产电动汽车，并且占据了非常小且明确的利基市场，因此这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验，可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商所希望的更快的速度提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国成为特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手，而且在国外也成为蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划，它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议在其车队电气化上投入300B美元，这将加速其转型，并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>赢家：福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化和BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在一个竞争只会随着时间的推移而变得更加激烈的市场中的重要性，这就是为什么两家公司都在一个可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场主导地位的相关领域：电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司SK Innovation组建一家合资企业，以确保牵引电池单元和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加速电池交付，每年将生产约60 GWh，足以满足福特到2030年预计年度能源需求的25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术，并成立了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特的不同之处在于，蔚来的电池投资策略围绕电池订阅模式，也称为“电池即服务”，这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了强大的长期收入机会。在这种“BaaS”模式下，购买蔚来电动汽车的用户可以获得7万元人民币的初始折扣，相当于1.08万美元，并且可以签约包月租用可充电的70 kWh电池。然后可以在蔚来的一个电池交换站更换电池，该站遍布中国大多数大城市。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币，相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处：由于预付折扣，从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠，订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和更好的性能随着时间的推移。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入来源。“BaaS”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/更换站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户与蔚来绑定在一起，有可能增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来准备从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益，因为它们增加了资本配置。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池，性能将会提高，成本将会下降，这将推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车与内燃机乘用车相比更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建其商业模式的一部分，蔚来可能比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德(Schroders)提供的信息，自2014年以来，电动汽车的电池成本已下降70%，并且在本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS”模式非常天才，从长远来看，它可能会发展成为蔚来每年5亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资，但这一类别的赢家是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特5月份销量同比增长4.1%，但电动汽车销量（包括混合动力汽车）同比飙升184%，福特5月份售出创纪录的10,364辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified销量和Explorer Hybrid销量同比增长125%和132%，显示出强劲的客户接受度。蔚来上个月交付了6,711辆汽车，其中包括3,017辆ES6、1,412辆ES8和2,282辆EC6。5月份总交付量同比增长率为95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销售额是蔚来的54倍，这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和价值重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来的估值差异就像白天和黑夜的区别。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别出现爆炸性增长，但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商，预计企业销量将实现中低位数增长。预计到2025财年（基准年：2020财年），福特的收入将增长33%，蔚来的收入将增长808%！</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些销量增长的差异，蔚来与福特完全相反，至少就估值而言。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近100%，由于蔚来只经营电动汽车，蔚来的市值与销售额比率远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来风险更大……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业，但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。蔚来的全球总销量增长潜力更大，因为与福特相比，它的收入基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如，对于蔚来来说，由于生产缺陷而导致的召回将是一个比福特更大的挑战，福特可以依赖全球服务和分销网络。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险，因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓将对财务状况造成更大的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终审判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更“性感”的汽车制造商。中欧的强劲采用和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩，这是天才之举。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价，但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展，随着汽车制造商对其车队进行电气化，电动汽车销量的比例将会增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大，但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低，福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，请购买蔚来。如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力并且不喜欢太多风险，请购买福特。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>  <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>  <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在加深对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解，同时突出市场地位和机会的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多，高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特（F）在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势，中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）未来将面临多一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值，哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易？我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来，并在最后做出最终裁决。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特vs蔚来：全球电动车市场争夺战升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别，但两家公司将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场上展开正面交锋。福特的车队尚未专注于电动汽车，但这种情况将会改变：感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温，福特表示正在加速其电气化计划，到2025年投资300B美元用于其电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求对零排放汽车投资220亿美元。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标：未来十年内其全球销量的40%将是电动汽车，皮卡销量的33%将是电动汽车。如今，电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机，它将在2040年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，全球电动汽车销量为320万辆，市场份额仅为4.2%。然而，2020年，中国购买了全球41%的电动汽车。中国买家去年购买了130万辆电动汽车，随着北京寻求提高电动汽车的采用率，销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲，占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是世界上插电式电动汽车的第三大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：维基百科）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场，尽管欧洲正在迅速赶上，部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用，以及对全欧洲充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来即将进入欧洲市场，以期在竞争准备就绪之前扩大在全球第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>北京是蔚来汽车行业电气化背后的驱动力：政府希望到2025年电动汽车在新车销售中的份额达到20%，这将推动电动汽车在国内市场的渗透率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策，这些市场有望出现全球最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模，中国不仅是最大的市场，而且预计到2030年，中国的电动汽车销量将超过世界上所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：麦肯锡）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长以及更有利的监管框架，因此中国的赢家将是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有一个世纪的制造经验。但到目前为止，福特的产品线中只有一款全电动汽车可以与蔚来相媲美：野马Mach-E SUV。2022年，福特将开始销售全电动F-150 Lightening，该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录，包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来仅专注于生产电动汽车，并且占据了非常小且明确的利基市场，因此这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验，可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商所希望的更快的速度提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国成为特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手，而且在国外也成为蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划，它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议在其车队电气化上投入300B美元，这将加速其转型，并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>赢家：福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化和BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在一个竞争只会随着时间的推移而变得更加激烈的市场中的重要性，这就是为什么两家公司都在一个可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场主导地位的相关领域：电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司SK Innovation组建一家合资企业，以确保牵引电池单元和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加速电池交付，每年将生产约60 GWh，足以满足福特到2030年预计年度能源需求的25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术，并成立了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特的不同之处在于，蔚来的电池投资策略围绕电池订阅模式，也称为“电池即服务”，这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了强大的长期收入机会。在这种“BaaS”模式下，购买蔚来电动汽车的用户可以获得7万元人民币的初始折扣，相当于1.08万美元，并且可以签约包月租用可充电的70 kWh电池。然后可以在蔚来的一个电池交换站更换电池，该站遍布中国大多数大城市。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币，相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处：由于预付折扣，从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠，订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和更好的性能随着时间的推移。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入来源。“BaaS”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/更换站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户与蔚来绑定在一起，有可能增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来准备从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益，因为它们增加了资本配置。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池，性能将会提高，成本将会下降，这将推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车与内燃机乘用车相比更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建其商业模式的一部分，蔚来可能比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德(Schroders)提供的信息，自2014年以来，电动汽车的电池成本已下降70%，并且在本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS”模式非常天才，从长远来看，它可能会发展成为蔚来每年5亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资，但这一类别的赢家是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特5月份销量同比增长4.1%，但电动汽车销量（包括混合动力汽车）同比飙升184%，福特5月份售出创纪录的10,364辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified销量和Explorer Hybrid销量同比增长125%和132%，显示出强劲的客户接受度。蔚来上个月交付了6,711辆汽车，其中包括3,017辆ES6、1,412辆ES8和2,282辆EC6。5月份总交付量同比增长率为95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销售额是蔚来的54倍，这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和价值重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来的估值差异就像白天和黑夜的区别。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别出现爆炸性增长，但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商，预计企业销量将实现中低位数增长。预计到2025财年（基准年：2020财年），福特的收入将增长33%，蔚来的收入将增长808%！</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些销量增长的差异，蔚来与福特完全相反，至少就估值而言。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近100%，由于蔚来只经营电动汽车，蔚来的市值与销售额比率远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来风险更大……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业，但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。蔚来的全球总销量增长潜力更大，因为与福特相比，它的收入基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如，对于蔚来来说，由于生产缺陷而导致的召回将是一个比福特更大的挑战，福特可以依赖全球服务和分销网络。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险，因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓将对财务状况造成更大的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终审判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更“性感”的汽车制造商。中欧的强劲采用和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩，这是天才之举。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价，但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展，随着汽车制造商对其车队进行电气化，电动汽车销量的比例将会增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大，但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低，福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，请购买蔚来。如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力并且不喜欢太多风险，请购买福特。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137119316","content_text":"Summary\n\nI am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.\nThe comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.\nNIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nWith Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.\nFord vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up\nAlthough there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.\nMarket opportunity\nIn 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.\n(Source: Wikipedia)\nChina, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.\nBeijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.\n(Source:Schroders)\nTurning to growth projections.\nWith more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.\n(Source:McKinsey)\nSince China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.\nScale and manufacturing competence\nFord has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.\nSince NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.\nWinner here: Ford.\nDifferentiation and BaaS revenue model\nBoth Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.\nFord is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.\nThe difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.\nThe BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.\nFord and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.\nBattery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.\n(Source: Schroders)\nThe “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.\nSales growth and valuation\nFord’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.\nFord's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.\nData by YCharts\nThe difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!\nDue to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has larger risks...\nNIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.\nFinal verdict\nNIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.\nFord’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.\nIf you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127480112,"gmtCreate":1624863148736,"gmtModify":1633947801132,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566354699453607","idStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127480112","repostId":"2146090006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124347280,"gmtCreate":1624749864240,"gmtModify":1633949186621,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566354699453607","idStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too 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game","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52e4bff3412353809e657f68daf0df30","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132201636","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":563,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138678529,"gmtCreate":1621938638361,"gmtModify":1631889103394,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566354699453607","idStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Future tesla?","listText":"Future tesla?","text":"Future 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Or never&nbsp;","listText":"Now ? Or never&nbsp;","text":"Now ? Or never","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9941b78171b3d7d24573e71d6ad68ff3","width":"1125","height":"2605"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192159557","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190479716,"gmtCreate":1620648844335,"gmtModify":1634197440670,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566354699453607","idStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190479716","repostId":"1171756066","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171756066","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620614586,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171756066?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-10 10:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Unbeatable Stocks to Buy for a Biden Bull Market<blockquote>拜登牛市值得买入的5只无与伦比的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171756066","media":"fool","summary":"When President Joe Biden took office on Jan. 20, 2021, he inherited one of the worst economic catastrophes in decades. The coronavirus disease 2019  pandemic wreaked havoc on the U.S. and global economy, and it briefly sent the U.S. stock market into a tailspin.However, a perfect storm could be brewing for equities under the Biden administration. The Federal Reserve has pledged to hold firm on historically low lending rates, while the White House is calling for trillions of dollars in additional","content":"<p>When President Joe Biden took office on Jan. 20, 2021, he inherited one of the worst economic catastrophes in decades. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic wreaked havoc on the U.S. and global economy, and it briefly sent the U.S. stock market into a tailspin.</p><p><blockquote>当乔·拜登总统于2021年1月20日就职时，他继承了几十年来最严重的经济灾难之一。2019年冠状病毒病（COVID-19）大流行对美国和全球经济造成了严重破坏，并一度导致美国股市陷入混乱。</blockquote></p><p> However, a perfect storm could be brewing for equities under the Biden administration. The Federal Reserve has pledged to hold firm on historically low lending rates, while the White House is calling for trillions of dollars in additional spending. This abundant access to cheap capital is the perfect recipe for stocks to thrive in a rebounding economy.</p><p><blockquote>然而，拜登政府领导下的股市可能正在酝酿一场完美风暴。美联储承诺维持历史低位的贷款利率，而白宫则呼吁增加数万亿美元的支出。这种获得廉价资本的丰富渠道是股市在经济反弹中蓬勃发展的完美秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a Biden bull market does take shape, the following five unbeatable stocks would be the perfect companies to own.</p><p><blockquote>如果拜登牛市确实形成，以下五只无与伦比的股票将是值得拥有的完美公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet</b></blockquote></p><p> Few stocks are more synonymous with the word \"unbeatable\" than&nbsp;<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming platform YouTube.</p><p><blockquote>很少有股票比这更能成为“无与伦比”这个词的代名词<b>Alphabet</b>（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG），互联网搜索引擎谷歌和流媒体平台YouTube的母公司。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet operates what might as well be a monopoly in internet search. According to GlobalStats, Google has consistently maintainedglobal search engine market share of 91% to 93%for at least the past two years. Its next-closest competitor,<b>Microsoft</b>'s Bing, hardly registered with a 2.29% share of the search engine market in April 2021. Being such a dominant force in search means advertisers will pay up for prime placement. It also suggests that the company's traffic acquisition costs should decline over time. As the U.S. and global economy improve, ad spending should really pick up.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet垄断了互联网搜索。根据GlobalStats的数据，至少在过去两年里，谷歌一直保持着91%至93%的全球搜索引擎市场份额。其第二接近的竞争对手，<b>微软</b>Bing在2021年4月几乎没有注册，在搜索引擎市场的份额为2.29%。成为搜索领域的主导力量意味着广告商将为黄金位置付费。这也表明公司的流量获取成本应该会随着时间的推移而下降。随着美国和全球经济的改善，广告支出应该会真正回升。</blockquote></p><p> But Alphabetis about more than just internet search. Ad revenue generated from YouTube -- one of the three most-visited social sites on the planet -- jumped 49% in the first quarter to $6 billion. Meanwhile, revenue from cloud infrastructure segment Google Cloud rose 46% to $4 billion. These once small ancillary operations are now on track to contribute $40 billion in sales to Alphabet on an annual run-rate basis.</p><p><blockquote>但是Alphabetis不仅仅是互联网搜索。YouTube是全球访问量最大的三个社交网站之一，第一季度的广告收入增长了49%，达到60亿美元。与此同时，云基础设施部门谷歌云的收入增长了46%，达到40亿美元。这些曾经规模较小的辅助业务现在有望为Alphabet贡献400亿美元的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite its $1.6 trillion price tag, Alphabet is still a bargain.</p><p><blockquote>尽管标价1.6万亿美元，Alphabet仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AstraZeneca</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿斯利康</b></blockquote></p><p> For two decades,pharmaceutical stock&nbsp;<b>AstraZeneca</b>(NASDAQ:AZN)was a largely forgettable drug developer that struggled with competition and the patent cliff. Today, it's reinvented itself into a bona fide growth stock with a bright future.</p><p><blockquote>二十年来，医药股<b>阿斯利康</b>（纳斯达克：AZN）是一家在很大程度上被遗忘的药物开发商，在竞争和专利悬崖中苦苦挣扎。如今，它已将自己重塑为一只真正的成长型股票，拥有光明的未来。</blockquote></p><p> The primary growth driver for AstraZenecais the company's oncology segment. In the first quarter alone, constant currency sales jumped 16% to $3.02 billion. The company's blockbuster trio of Tagrisso, Imfinzi, and Lynparza led the way with respective constant-currency sales growth of 13%, 17%, and 33%. Diabetes blockbuster drug Farxiga also deserves a mention with its 50% constant-currency sales growth in Q1 2021. The company's brand-name treatments are on fire, and it's led to sustainable double-digit topline growth.</p><p><blockquote>阿斯利康的主要增长动力是该公司的肿瘤部门。仅在第一季度，按固定汇率计算的销售额就跃升16%，达到30.2亿美元。该公司的重磅三巨头Tagrisso、Imfinzi和Lynparza以13%、17%和33%的固定汇率销售额增长领先。糖尿病重磅药物Farxiga也值得一提，其2021年第一季度的固定汇率销售额增长了50%。该公司的品牌疗法火了，并带来了可持续的两位数营收增长。</blockquote></p><p> Equally exciting is AstraZeneca's pending acquisition of<b>Alexion Pharmaceuticals</b>(NASDAQ:ALXN). Alexion is a developer of ultra-rare therapeutics. Though it's risky developing treatments for such a small group of patients, success is usually met with no competition and little or no pushback from health insurers on high list prices.</p><p><blockquote>同样令人兴奋的是阿斯利康即将收购的<b>Alexion制药公司</b>（纳斯达克：ALXN）。Alexion是一家超罕见疗法的开发商。尽管为如此小的患者群体开发治疗方法存在风险，但成功通常不会遇到竞争，也很少或没有来自健康保险公司对高标价的抵制。</blockquote></p><p> The best part about the Alexion deal is the companydeveloped a replacement for its top-selling drug, Soliris. The next-generation therapy, known as Ultomiris, is administered less frequently, which is a positive for patients. Eventually, Ultomiris will gobble up Soliris' sales and lock-up Alexion's/AstraZeneca's cash flow for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>Alexion交易最好的部分是该公司开发了其最畅销药物Soliris的替代品。下一代疗法Ultomiris的使用频率较低，这对患者来说是积极的。最终，Ultomiris将吞噬Soliris的销售额，并在未来很长一段时间内锁定Alexion/阿斯利康的现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Mastercard</b></p><p><blockquote><b>万事达卡</b></blockquote></p><p> Another unbeatable stock that can deliver superior returns with Biden in the White House is payment facilitator<b>Mastercard</b>(NYSE:MA).</p><p><blockquote>拜登入主白宫后，另一只可以带来丰厚回报的无与伦比的股票是支付服务商<b>万事达卡</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：MA）。</blockquote></p><p> Like mostfinancial stocks, Mastercard is cyclical. This means it struggles when the U.S. and global economy contract or enter a recession and it thrives when the economy is running on all cylinders. That's because it relies on merchant fees via payments to drive its top and bottom line. But the thing to understand about cyclical companies like Mastercard is that time is on their side. Whereas recessions often last for a few quarters, periods of expansion usually last many years. Considering how much money the Biden administration is attempting to pump into the U.S. economy, Mastercard should have a field day.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数金融股一样，万事达卡也具有周期性。这意味着当美国和全球经济收缩或进入衰退时，它会陷入困境，而当经济全速运转时，它会蓬勃发展。这是因为它依靠通过支付收取的商家费用来推动其营收和利润。但对于像万事达卡这样的周期性公司，需要了解的是，时间站在他们一边。衰退通常会持续几个季度，而扩张期通常会持续很多年。考虑到拜登政府试图向美国经济注入多少资金，万事达卡应该会大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> Something else to consider is that Mastercardhas chosen not to be a lender. Although some of its peers do act as both processors and lenders (via credit cards), and are therefore able to double-dip during economic expansions, Mastercard's avoidance of lending is actually a smart move. When recessions inevitably strike and credit delinquencies rise, Mastercard doesn't have set aside cash. This is why it rebounds much quicker than its peers during the early stages of a recovery.</p><p><blockquote>另一件需要考虑的事情是万事达卡选择不成为贷方。尽管它的一些同行确实既充当处理者又充当贷方（通过信用卡），因此能够在经济扩张期间二次探底，但万事达卡避免贷款实际上是明智之举。当经济衰退不可避免地袭来且信用拖欠率上升时，万事达卡没有留出现金。这就是为什么它在复苏的早期阶段比同行反弹得更快。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The math here is simple: As the economy picks up steam, consumers and businesses are going to spend, spend, and spend some more. That's music to the ears of all Mastercard shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>这里的数学很简单：随着经济加速发展，消费者和企业将会消费、消费、再消费。这对所有万事达卡股东来说都是美妙的音乐。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Annaly Capital Management</b></p><p><blockquote><b>安娜利资本管理公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Don't worry, I haven't forgotten about you dividend income-seekers out there. If a Biden bull market takes shape, mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT)<b>Annaly Capital Management</b>(NYSE:NLY)could be a smart place to put your money to work.</p><p><blockquote>别担心，我没有忘记你们这些寻求股息收入的人。如果拜登牛市形成，抵押房地产投资信托基金（REIT）<b>安娜利资本管理公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：NLY）可能是一个让你的钱发挥作用的明智地方。</blockquote></p><p> Without getting overly technical, mortgage REITs like Annaly borrow money at short-term lending rates and use it to purchase securities with higher long-term yields. In Annaly's case, we're primarily talking about mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The difference between the long-term yield received and the short-term borrowing rate is known as net interest margin (NIM). The wider the NIM, the more profitable Annaly is, and the bigger the dividend payout it can provide to shareholders. Right now, Annaly Capital isyielding a jaw-dropping 9.7%.</p><p><blockquote>像Annaly这样的抵押房地产投资信托基金在没有过于技术性的情况下，以短期贷款利率借钱，并用它来购买长期收益率更高的证券。在Annaly的案例中，我们主要谈论的是抵押贷款支持证券(MBS)。收到的长期收益率和短期借款利率之间的差额称为净息差（NIM）。NIM越宽，Annaly的利润就越高，可以向股东提供的股息支付也就越大。目前，Annaly Capital的收益率高达令人瞠目结舌的9.7%。</blockquote></p><p> What makes Annaly such a perfect stock to buy is thatwe're witnessing the yield curve steepen. When the U.S. economy is rebounding from a recession, it's normal for long-term yields to rise and for short-term yields to fall or flatten out. When this happens, Annaly usually experiences a widening of its NIM.</p><p><blockquote>Annaly之所以成为如此完美的买入股票，是因为我们正在目睹收益率曲线变陡。当美国经济从衰退中反弹时，长期收益率上升、短期收益率下降或持平是正常的。当这种情况发生时，Annaly通常会经历净息差的扩大。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, Annaly almost exclusively buys agency securities. This is a fancy way of saying that the MBSs it's purchasing are backed by the federal government in the event of a default. This protection is what allows the company to utilize leverage to its advantage, thereby pumping up its profits.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Annaly几乎只购买代理证券。这是一种奇特的说法，即如果发生违约，它购买的MBS将得到联邦政府的支持。这种保护使公司能够利用杠杆发挥优势，从而提高利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trupanion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特鲁帕尼翁</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, companion animal health insurance company&nbsp;<b>Trupanion</b>(NASDAQ:TRUP)has all the look of an unbeatable stock to buy in a Biden bull market.</p><p><blockquote>最后，伴侣动物健康保险公司<b>特鲁帕尼翁</b>（纳斯达克：TRUP）看起来像是在拜登牛市中值得购买的无与伦比的股票。</blockquote></p><p> The pet industry may not offer flashy growth prospects like cybersecurity or cannabis, but it's arguably themost consistent growth opportunity. It's been more than a quarter of a century since year-over-year U.S. pet expenditures declined. Further, the American Pet Products Association notes that the percentage of American household owning a pet has increased from 56% in 1988 to 67% by 2019-2020. If we've learned anything about pet owners, it's that they're willing to spend big bucks to ensure the well-being of their four-legged family members.</p><p><blockquote>宠物行业可能不会像网络安全或大麻那样提供华丽的增长前景，但它可以说是最持续的增长机会。美国宠物支出同比下降已经超过四分之一个世纪了。此外，美国宠物产品协会指出，美国家庭拥有宠物的比例从1988年的56%增加到2019-2020年的67%。如果说我们对宠物主人有什么了解的话，那就是他们愿意花大价钱来确保他们四条腿的家庭成员的健康。</blockquote></p><p> Trupanion, which recently lifted the hood on its first-quarter operating results, isclosing in on 1 million total enrolled pets(943,854 at the end of Q1 2021). Amazingly, this only represents a little over 1% penetration of the U.S. market. In the U.K., about 1 in 4 pet owners purchases insurance for their cat or dog. If Trupanion can achieve a similar penetration rate, its addressable market would be more than $32 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Trupanion最近公布了第一季度的运营业绩，注册宠物总数接近100万只（2021年第一季度末为943,854只）。令人惊讶的是，这仅代表美国市场1%多一点的渗透率。在英国，大约四分之一的宠物主人为他们的猫或狗购买保险。如果Trupanion能够达到类似的渗透率，其潜在市场将超过320亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a company that's spent two decades building up rapport with veterinarians and their staff at the clinical level. It's also the only major companion animal health insurance provider with software capable of handling payment to veterinarians at the time of checkout.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家花了二十年时间在临床层面与兽医及其员工建立融洽关系的公司。它也是唯一一家拥有能够在结账时处理向兽医付款的软件的主要伴侣动物健康保险提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The sky is the limit for Trupanion.</p><p><blockquote>天空是Trupanion的极限。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Unbeatable Stocks to Buy for a Biden Bull Market<blockquote>拜登牛市值得买入的5只无与伦比的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Unbeatable Stocks to Buy for a Biden Bull Market<blockquote>拜登牛市值得买入的5只无与伦比的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-10 10:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When President Joe Biden took office on Jan. 20, 2021, he inherited one of the worst economic catastrophes in decades. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic wreaked havoc on the U.S. and global economy, and it briefly sent the U.S. stock market into a tailspin.</p><p><blockquote>当乔·拜登总统于2021年1月20日就职时，他继承了几十年来最严重的经济灾难之一。2019年冠状病毒病（COVID-19）大流行对美国和全球经济造成了严重破坏，并一度导致美国股市陷入混乱。</blockquote></p><p> However, a perfect storm could be brewing for equities under the Biden administration. The Federal Reserve has pledged to hold firm on historically low lending rates, while the White House is calling for trillions of dollars in additional spending. This abundant access to cheap capital is the perfect recipe for stocks to thrive in a rebounding economy.</p><p><blockquote>然而，拜登政府领导下的股市可能正在酝酿一场完美风暴。美联储承诺维持历史低位的贷款利率，而白宫则呼吁增加数万亿美元的支出。这种获得廉价资本的丰富渠道是股市在经济反弹中蓬勃发展的完美秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a Biden bull market does take shape, the following five unbeatable stocks would be the perfect companies to own.</p><p><blockquote>如果拜登牛市确实形成，以下五只无与伦比的股票将是值得拥有的完美公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet</b></blockquote></p><p> Few stocks are more synonymous with the word \"unbeatable\" than&nbsp;<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming platform YouTube.</p><p><blockquote>很少有股票比这更能成为“无与伦比”这个词的代名词<b>Alphabet</b>（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG），互联网搜索引擎谷歌和流媒体平台YouTube的母公司。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet operates what might as well be a monopoly in internet search. According to GlobalStats, Google has consistently maintainedglobal search engine market share of 91% to 93%for at least the past two years. Its next-closest competitor,<b>Microsoft</b>'s Bing, hardly registered with a 2.29% share of the search engine market in April 2021. Being such a dominant force in search means advertisers will pay up for prime placement. It also suggests that the company's traffic acquisition costs should decline over time. As the U.S. and global economy improve, ad spending should really pick up.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet垄断了互联网搜索。根据GlobalStats的数据，至少在过去两年里，谷歌一直保持着91%至93%的全球搜索引擎市场份额。其第二接近的竞争对手，<b>微软</b>Bing在2021年4月几乎没有注册，在搜索引擎市场的份额为2.29%。成为搜索领域的主导力量意味着广告商将为黄金位置付费。这也表明公司的流量获取成本应该会随着时间的推移而下降。随着美国和全球经济的改善，广告支出应该会真正回升。</blockquote></p><p> But Alphabetis about more than just internet search. Ad revenue generated from YouTube -- one of the three most-visited social sites on the planet -- jumped 49% in the first quarter to $6 billion. Meanwhile, revenue from cloud infrastructure segment Google Cloud rose 46% to $4 billion. These once small ancillary operations are now on track to contribute $40 billion in sales to Alphabet on an annual run-rate basis.</p><p><blockquote>但是Alphabetis不仅仅是互联网搜索。YouTube是全球访问量最大的三个社交网站之一，第一季度的广告收入增长了49%，达到60亿美元。与此同时，云基础设施部门谷歌云的收入增长了46%，达到40亿美元。这些曾经规模较小的辅助业务现在有望为Alphabet贡献400亿美元的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite its $1.6 trillion price tag, Alphabet is still a bargain.</p><p><blockquote>尽管标价1.6万亿美元，Alphabet仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AstraZeneca</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿斯利康</b></blockquote></p><p> For two decades,pharmaceutical stock&nbsp;<b>AstraZeneca</b>(NASDAQ:AZN)was a largely forgettable drug developer that struggled with competition and the patent cliff. Today, it's reinvented itself into a bona fide growth stock with a bright future.</p><p><blockquote>二十年来，医药股<b>阿斯利康</b>（纳斯达克：AZN）是一家在很大程度上被遗忘的药物开发商，在竞争和专利悬崖中苦苦挣扎。如今，它已将自己重塑为一只真正的成长型股票，拥有光明的未来。</blockquote></p><p> The primary growth driver for AstraZenecais the company's oncology segment. In the first quarter alone, constant currency sales jumped 16% to $3.02 billion. The company's blockbuster trio of Tagrisso, Imfinzi, and Lynparza led the way with respective constant-currency sales growth of 13%, 17%, and 33%. Diabetes blockbuster drug Farxiga also deserves a mention with its 50% constant-currency sales growth in Q1 2021. The company's brand-name treatments are on fire, and it's led to sustainable double-digit topline growth.</p><p><blockquote>阿斯利康的主要增长动力是该公司的肿瘤部门。仅在第一季度，按固定汇率计算的销售额就跃升16%，达到30.2亿美元。该公司的重磅三巨头Tagrisso、Imfinzi和Lynparza以13%、17%和33%的固定汇率销售额增长领先。糖尿病重磅药物Farxiga也值得一提，其2021年第一季度的固定汇率销售额增长了50%。该公司的品牌疗法火了，并带来了可持续的两位数营收增长。</blockquote></p><p> Equally exciting is AstraZeneca's pending acquisition of<b>Alexion Pharmaceuticals</b>(NASDAQ:ALXN). Alexion is a developer of ultra-rare therapeutics. Though it's risky developing treatments for such a small group of patients, success is usually met with no competition and little or no pushback from health insurers on high list prices.</p><p><blockquote>同样令人兴奋的是阿斯利康即将收购的<b>Alexion制药公司</b>（纳斯达克：ALXN）。Alexion是一家超罕见疗法的开发商。尽管为如此小的患者群体开发治疗方法存在风险，但成功通常不会遇到竞争，也很少或没有来自健康保险公司对高标价的抵制。</blockquote></p><p> The best part about the Alexion deal is the companydeveloped a replacement for its top-selling drug, Soliris. The next-generation therapy, known as Ultomiris, is administered less frequently, which is a positive for patients. Eventually, Ultomiris will gobble up Soliris' sales and lock-up Alexion's/AstraZeneca's cash flow for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>Alexion交易最好的部分是该公司开发了其最畅销药物Soliris的替代品。下一代疗法Ultomiris的使用频率较低，这对患者来说是积极的。最终，Ultomiris将吞噬Soliris的销售额，并在未来很长一段时间内锁定Alexion/阿斯利康的现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Mastercard</b></p><p><blockquote><b>万事达卡</b></blockquote></p><p> Another unbeatable stock that can deliver superior returns with Biden in the White House is payment facilitator<b>Mastercard</b>(NYSE:MA).</p><p><blockquote>拜登入主白宫后，另一只可以带来丰厚回报的无与伦比的股票是支付服务商<b>万事达卡</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：MA）。</blockquote></p><p> Like mostfinancial stocks, Mastercard is cyclical. This means it struggles when the U.S. and global economy contract or enter a recession and it thrives when the economy is running on all cylinders. That's because it relies on merchant fees via payments to drive its top and bottom line. But the thing to understand about cyclical companies like Mastercard is that time is on their side. Whereas recessions often last for a few quarters, periods of expansion usually last many years. Considering how much money the Biden administration is attempting to pump into the U.S. economy, Mastercard should have a field day.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数金融股一样，万事达卡也具有周期性。这意味着当美国和全球经济收缩或进入衰退时，它会陷入困境，而当经济全速运转时，它会蓬勃发展。这是因为它依靠通过支付收取的商家费用来推动其营收和利润。但对于像万事达卡这样的周期性公司，需要了解的是，时间站在他们一边。衰退通常会持续几个季度，而扩张期通常会持续很多年。考虑到拜登政府试图向美国经济注入多少资金，万事达卡应该会大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> Something else to consider is that Mastercardhas chosen not to be a lender. Although some of its peers do act as both processors and lenders (via credit cards), and are therefore able to double-dip during economic expansions, Mastercard's avoidance of lending is actually a smart move. When recessions inevitably strike and credit delinquencies rise, Mastercard doesn't have set aside cash. This is why it rebounds much quicker than its peers during the early stages of a recovery.</p><p><blockquote>另一件需要考虑的事情是万事达卡选择不成为贷方。尽管它的一些同行确实既充当处理者又充当贷方（通过信用卡），因此能够在经济扩张期间二次探底，但万事达卡避免贷款实际上是明智之举。当经济衰退不可避免地袭来且信用拖欠率上升时，万事达卡没有留出现金。这就是为什么它在复苏的早期阶段比同行反弹得更快。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The math here is simple: As the economy picks up steam, consumers and businesses are going to spend, spend, and spend some more. That's music to the ears of all Mastercard shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>这里的数学很简单：随着经济加速发展，消费者和企业将会消费、消费、再消费。这对所有万事达卡股东来说都是美妙的音乐。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Annaly Capital Management</b></p><p><blockquote><b>安娜利资本管理公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Don't worry, I haven't forgotten about you dividend income-seekers out there. If a Biden bull market takes shape, mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT)<b>Annaly Capital Management</b>(NYSE:NLY)could be a smart place to put your money to work.</p><p><blockquote>别担心，我没有忘记你们这些寻求股息收入的人。如果拜登牛市形成，抵押房地产投资信托基金（REIT）<b>安娜利资本管理公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：NLY）可能是一个让你的钱发挥作用的明智地方。</blockquote></p><p> Without getting overly technical, mortgage REITs like Annaly borrow money at short-term lending rates and use it to purchase securities with higher long-term yields. In Annaly's case, we're primarily talking about mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The difference between the long-term yield received and the short-term borrowing rate is known as net interest margin (NIM). The wider the NIM, the more profitable Annaly is, and the bigger the dividend payout it can provide to shareholders. Right now, Annaly Capital isyielding a jaw-dropping 9.7%.</p><p><blockquote>像Annaly这样的抵押房地产投资信托基金在没有过于技术性的情况下，以短期贷款利率借钱，并用它来购买长期收益率更高的证券。在Annaly的案例中，我们主要谈论的是抵押贷款支持证券(MBS)。收到的长期收益率和短期借款利率之间的差额称为净息差（NIM）。NIM越宽，Annaly的利润就越高，可以向股东提供的股息支付也就越大。目前，Annaly Capital的收益率高达令人瞠目结舌的9.7%。</blockquote></p><p> What makes Annaly such a perfect stock to buy is thatwe're witnessing the yield curve steepen. When the U.S. economy is rebounding from a recession, it's normal for long-term yields to rise and for short-term yields to fall or flatten out. When this happens, Annaly usually experiences a widening of its NIM.</p><p><blockquote>Annaly之所以成为如此完美的买入股票，是因为我们正在目睹收益率曲线变陡。当美国经济从衰退中反弹时，长期收益率上升、短期收益率下降或持平是正常的。当这种情况发生时，Annaly通常会经历净息差的扩大。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, Annaly almost exclusively buys agency securities. This is a fancy way of saying that the MBSs it's purchasing are backed by the federal government in the event of a default. This protection is what allows the company to utilize leverage to its advantage, thereby pumping up its profits.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Annaly几乎只购买代理证券。这是一种奇特的说法，即如果发生违约，它购买的MBS将得到联邦政府的支持。这种保护使公司能够利用杠杆发挥优势，从而提高利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trupanion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特鲁帕尼翁</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, companion animal health insurance company&nbsp;<b>Trupanion</b>(NASDAQ:TRUP)has all the look of an unbeatable stock to buy in a Biden bull market.</p><p><blockquote>最后，伴侣动物健康保险公司<b>特鲁帕尼翁</b>（纳斯达克：TRUP）看起来像是在拜登牛市中值得购买的无与伦比的股票。</blockquote></p><p> The pet industry may not offer flashy growth prospects like cybersecurity or cannabis, but it's arguably themost consistent growth opportunity. It's been more than a quarter of a century since year-over-year U.S. pet expenditures declined. Further, the American Pet Products Association notes that the percentage of American household owning a pet has increased from 56% in 1988 to 67% by 2019-2020. If we've learned anything about pet owners, it's that they're willing to spend big bucks to ensure the well-being of their four-legged family members.</p><p><blockquote>宠物行业可能不会像网络安全或大麻那样提供华丽的增长前景，但它可以说是最持续的增长机会。美国宠物支出同比下降已经超过四分之一个世纪了。此外，美国宠物产品协会指出，美国家庭拥有宠物的比例从1988年的56%增加到2019-2020年的67%。如果说我们对宠物主人有什么了解的话，那就是他们愿意花大价钱来确保他们四条腿的家庭成员的健康。</blockquote></p><p> Trupanion, which recently lifted the hood on its first-quarter operating results, isclosing in on 1 million total enrolled pets(943,854 at the end of Q1 2021). Amazingly, this only represents a little over 1% penetration of the U.S. market. In the U.K., about 1 in 4 pet owners purchases insurance for their cat or dog. If Trupanion can achieve a similar penetration rate, its addressable market would be more than $32 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Trupanion最近公布了第一季度的运营业绩，注册宠物总数接近100万只（2021年第一季度末为943,854只）。令人惊讶的是，这仅代表美国市场1%多一点的渗透率。在英国，大约四分之一的宠物主人为他们的猫或狗购买保险。如果Trupanion能够达到类似的渗透率，其潜在市场将超过320亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a company that's spent two decades building up rapport with veterinarians and their staff at the clinical level. It's also the only major companion animal health insurance provider with software capable of handling payment to veterinarians at the time of checkout.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家花了二十年时间在临床层面与兽医及其员工建立融洽关系的公司。它也是唯一一家拥有能够在结账时处理向兽医付款的软件的主要伴侣动物健康保险提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The sky is the limit for Trupanion.</p><p><blockquote>天空是Trupanion的极限。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/09/5-unbeatable-stocks-to-buy-for-a-biden-bull-market/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NLY":"Annaly Capital Management","AZN":"阿斯利康","GOOGL":"谷歌A","MA":"万事达","TRUP":"Trupanion"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/09/5-unbeatable-stocks-to-buy-for-a-biden-bull-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171756066","content_text":"When President Joe Biden took office on Jan. 20, 2021, he inherited one of the worst economic catastrophes in decades. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic wreaked havoc on the U.S. and global economy, and it briefly sent the U.S. stock market into a tailspin.\nHowever, a perfect storm could be brewing for equities under the Biden administration. The Federal Reserve has pledged to hold firm on historically low lending rates, while the White House is calling for trillions of dollars in additional spending. This abundant access to cheap capital is the perfect recipe for stocks to thrive in a rebounding economy.\nIf a Biden bull market does take shape, the following five unbeatable stocks would be the perfect companies to own.\nAlphabet\nFew stocks are more synonymous with the word \"unbeatable\" than Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming platform YouTube.\nAlphabet operates what might as well be a monopoly in internet search. According to GlobalStats, Google has consistently maintainedglobal search engine market share of 91% to 93%for at least the past two years. Its next-closest competitor,Microsoft's Bing, hardly registered with a 2.29% share of the search engine market in April 2021. Being such a dominant force in search means advertisers will pay up for prime placement. It also suggests that the company's traffic acquisition costs should decline over time. As the U.S. and global economy improve, ad spending should really pick up.\nBut Alphabetis about more than just internet search. Ad revenue generated from YouTube -- one of the three most-visited social sites on the planet -- jumped 49% in the first quarter to $6 billion. Meanwhile, revenue from cloud infrastructure segment Google Cloud rose 46% to $4 billion. These once small ancillary operations are now on track to contribute $40 billion in sales to Alphabet on an annual run-rate basis.\nDespite its $1.6 trillion price tag, Alphabet is still a bargain.\nAstraZeneca\nFor two decades,pharmaceutical stock AstraZeneca(NASDAQ:AZN)was a largely forgettable drug developer that struggled with competition and the patent cliff. Today, it's reinvented itself into a bona fide growth stock with a bright future.\nThe primary growth driver for AstraZenecais the company's oncology segment. In the first quarter alone, constant currency sales jumped 16% to $3.02 billion. The company's blockbuster trio of Tagrisso, Imfinzi, and Lynparza led the way with respective constant-currency sales growth of 13%, 17%, and 33%. Diabetes blockbuster drug Farxiga also deserves a mention with its 50% constant-currency sales growth in Q1 2021. The company's brand-name treatments are on fire, and it's led to sustainable double-digit topline growth.\nEqually exciting is AstraZeneca's pending acquisition ofAlexion Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:ALXN). Alexion is a developer of ultra-rare therapeutics. Though it's risky developing treatments for such a small group of patients, success is usually met with no competition and little or no pushback from health insurers on high list prices.\nThe best part about the Alexion deal is the companydeveloped a replacement for its top-selling drug, Soliris. The next-generation therapy, known as Ultomiris, is administered less frequently, which is a positive for patients. Eventually, Ultomiris will gobble up Soliris' sales and lock-up Alexion's/AstraZeneca's cash flow for a long time to come.\nMastercard\nAnother unbeatable stock that can deliver superior returns with Biden in the White House is payment facilitatorMastercard(NYSE:MA).\nLike mostfinancial stocks, Mastercard is cyclical. This means it struggles when the U.S. and global economy contract or enter a recession and it thrives when the economy is running on all cylinders. That's because it relies on merchant fees via payments to drive its top and bottom line. But the thing to understand about cyclical companies like Mastercard is that time is on their side. Whereas recessions often last for a few quarters, periods of expansion usually last many years. Considering how much money the Biden administration is attempting to pump into the U.S. economy, Mastercard should have a field day.\nSomething else to consider is that Mastercardhas chosen not to be a lender. Although some of its peers do act as both processors and lenders (via credit cards), and are therefore able to double-dip during economic expansions, Mastercard's avoidance of lending is actually a smart move. When recessions inevitably strike and credit delinquencies rise, Mastercard doesn't have set aside cash. This is why it rebounds much quicker than its peers during the early stages of a recovery.\nThe math here is simple: As the economy picks up steam, consumers and businesses are going to spend, spend, and spend some more. That's music to the ears of all Mastercard shareholders.\nAnnaly Capital Management\nDon't worry, I haven't forgotten about you dividend income-seekers out there. If a Biden bull market takes shape, mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT)Annaly Capital Management(NYSE:NLY)could be a smart place to put your money to work.\nWithout getting overly technical, mortgage REITs like Annaly borrow money at short-term lending rates and use it to purchase securities with higher long-term yields. In Annaly's case, we're primarily talking about mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The difference between the long-term yield received and the short-term borrowing rate is known as net interest margin (NIM). The wider the NIM, the more profitable Annaly is, and the bigger the dividend payout it can provide to shareholders. Right now, Annaly Capital isyielding a jaw-dropping 9.7%.\nWhat makes Annaly such a perfect stock to buy is thatwe're witnessing the yield curve steepen. When the U.S. economy is rebounding from a recession, it's normal for long-term yields to rise and for short-term yields to fall or flatten out. When this happens, Annaly usually experiences a widening of its NIM.\nAdditionally, Annaly almost exclusively buys agency securities. This is a fancy way of saying that the MBSs it's purchasing are backed by the federal government in the event of a default. This protection is what allows the company to utilize leverage to its advantage, thereby pumping up its profits.\nTrupanion\nLastly, companion animal health insurance company Trupanion(NASDAQ:TRUP)has all the look of an unbeatable stock to buy in a Biden bull market.\nThe pet industry may not offer flashy growth prospects like cybersecurity or cannabis, but it's arguably themost consistent growth opportunity. It's been more than a quarter of a century since year-over-year U.S. pet expenditures declined. Further, the American Pet Products Association notes that the percentage of American household owning a pet has increased from 56% in 1988 to 67% by 2019-2020. If we've learned anything about pet owners, it's that they're willing to spend big bucks to ensure the well-being of their four-legged family members.\nTrupanion, which recently lifted the hood on its first-quarter operating results, isclosing in on 1 million total enrolled pets(943,854 at the end of Q1 2021). Amazingly, this only represents a little over 1% penetration of the U.S. market. In the U.K., about 1 in 4 pet owners purchases insurance for their cat or dog. If Trupanion can achieve a similar penetration rate, its addressable market would be more than $32 billion.\nThis is a company that's spent two decades building up rapport with veterinarians and their staff at the clinical level. It's also the only major companion animal health insurance provider with software capable of handling payment to veterinarians at the time of checkout.\nThe sky is the limit for Trupanion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MA":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"TRUP":0.9,"NLY":0.9,"AZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190447923,"gmtCreate":1620648534462,"gmtModify":1634197442634,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566354699453607","idStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It was good now trash?","listText":"It was good now trash?","text":"It was good now trash?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190447923","repostId":"1106333988","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1106333988","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620617869,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106333988?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-10 11:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bearish Bets: 2 Tech Stocks You Should Consider Shorting This Week<blockquote>看跌押注：本周您应该考虑做空的2只科技股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106333988","media":"realmoney","summary":"Each weekTrifecta Stocksidentifies names that look bearish and may present interesting investing opp","content":"<p>Each weekTrifecta Stocksidentifies names that look bearish and may present interesting investing opportunities on the short side.</p><p><blockquote>每周Trifecta Stocks都会识别看起来看跌并可能提供有趣的空头投资机会的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Using technical analysis of the charts of those stocks, and, when appropriate, recent actions and grades from TheStreet'sQuant Ratings, we zero in on five names.</p><p><blockquote>通过对这些股票图表的技术分析，以及在适当的时候，根据华尔街量化评级的最近行动和评级，我们将重点放在五只股票上。</blockquote></p><p> While we will not be weighing in with fundamental analysis, we hope this piece will give investors interested in stocks on the way down a good starting point to do further homework on the names.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不会进行基本面分析，但我们希望这篇文章能为对下跌股票感兴趣的投资者提供一个良好的起点，让他们对这些股票做进一步的功课。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alteryx</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Alteryx</b></blockquote></p><p> Alteryx Inc. (AYX) &nbsp;recently was downgraded to<b>Sell</b>with a D+ rating by TheStreet's<b>Quant Ratings.</b></p><p><blockquote>Alteryx Inc.(AYX)最近被降级为<b>出售</b>获得TheStreet的D+评级<b>量化评级。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7afc1fc2f19b5149d4cb10eea02cc5d7\" tg-width=\"986\" tg-height=\"889\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This provider of analytics platforms has fallen hard since peaking in early February. Rough earnings stoked the selling and it has been straight down ever since. The channel is not symmetrical, but we can see a series of lower highs and lower lows.</p><p><blockquote>这家分析平台提供商自二月初达到峰值以来已大幅下滑。粗略的盈利引发了抛售，此后股价一直直线下跌。通道并不对称，但我们可以看到一系列较低的高点和较低的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Money flow is poor and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) cannot seem to get going. This tells us Alteryx is relatively poor versus the rest of the market. Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is on a sell signal and the cloud is deep red.</p><p><blockquote>资金流动不畅，相对强弱指数（RSI）似乎无法启动。这告诉我们Alteryx与市场其他产品相比相对较差。移动平均线收敛背离（MACD）处于卖出信号，云呈深红色。</blockquote></p><p> If short, target a move to $65 or so but put in a stop at $83.</p><p><blockquote>如果做空，目标价为65美元左右，但止损价为83美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinterest</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Pinterest</b></blockquote></p><p> Pinterest Inc.&nbsp; (PINS) &nbsp;recently was downgraded to<b>Sell</b>with a D+ rating by TheStreet's<b>Quant Ratings.</b></p><p><blockquote>Pinterest公司（PINS）最近被降级为<b>出售</b>获得TheStreet的D+评级<b>量化评级。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1e181ed1151d1395ae59a7035382df\" tg-width=\"999\" tg-height=\"891\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company behind the popular app of the same name has been beaten like a piñata lately, with a gap lower on earnings and not much energy from the dip buyers. The stock continues to be distributed with high volume and a MACD sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>流行的同名应用程序背后的公司最近像皮纳塔一样被击败，盈利差距较小，而且逢低买家也没有太多精力。该股继续以高成交量和MACD卖出信号分布。</blockquote></p><p> The cloud just turned red and the 200-day moving average is not far below here. A gap is still open in the $40s and that could be the place to target if short.</p><p><blockquote>云刚刚变红，200日均线就在这里下方不远。40美元左右的缺口仍然存在，如果做空，这可能是目标。</blockquote></p><p> Put in a stop at $75 just in case.</p><p><blockquote>以防万一，在75美元止损。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619508253632","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bearish Bets: 2 Tech Stocks You Should Consider Shorting This Week<blockquote>看跌押注：本周您应该考虑做空的2只科技股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBearish Bets: 2 Tech Stocks You Should Consider Shorting This Week<blockquote>看跌押注：本周您应该考虑做空的2只科技股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">realmoney</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-10 11:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Each weekTrifecta Stocksidentifies names that look bearish and may present interesting investing opportunities on the short side.</p><p><blockquote>每周Trifecta Stocks都会识别看起来看跌并可能提供有趣的空头投资机会的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Using technical analysis of the charts of those stocks, and, when appropriate, recent actions and grades from TheStreet'sQuant Ratings, we zero in on five names.</p><p><blockquote>通过对这些股票图表的技术分析，以及在适当的时候，根据华尔街量化评级的最近行动和评级，我们将重点放在五只股票上。</blockquote></p><p> While we will not be weighing in with fundamental analysis, we hope this piece will give investors interested in stocks on the way down a good starting point to do further homework on the names.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不会进行基本面分析，但我们希望这篇文章能为对下跌股票感兴趣的投资者提供一个良好的起点，让他们对这些股票做进一步的功课。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alteryx</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Alteryx</b></blockquote></p><p> Alteryx Inc. (AYX) &nbsp;recently was downgraded to<b>Sell</b>with a D+ rating by TheStreet's<b>Quant Ratings.</b></p><p><blockquote>Alteryx Inc.(AYX)最近被降级为<b>出售</b>获得TheStreet的D+评级<b>量化评级。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7afc1fc2f19b5149d4cb10eea02cc5d7\" tg-width=\"986\" tg-height=\"889\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This provider of analytics platforms has fallen hard since peaking in early February. Rough earnings stoked the selling and it has been straight down ever since. The channel is not symmetrical, but we can see a series of lower highs and lower lows.</p><p><blockquote>这家分析平台提供商自二月初达到峰值以来已大幅下滑。粗略的盈利引发了抛售，此后股价一直直线下跌。通道并不对称，但我们可以看到一系列较低的高点和较低的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Money flow is poor and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) cannot seem to get going. This tells us Alteryx is relatively poor versus the rest of the market. Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is on a sell signal and the cloud is deep red.</p><p><blockquote>资金流动不畅，相对强弱指数（RSI）似乎无法启动。这告诉我们Alteryx与市场其他产品相比相对较差。移动平均线收敛背离（MACD）处于卖出信号，云呈深红色。</blockquote></p><p> If short, target a move to $65 or so but put in a stop at $83.</p><p><blockquote>如果做空，目标价为65美元左右，但止损价为83美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pinterest</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Pinterest</b></blockquote></p><p> Pinterest Inc.&nbsp; (PINS) &nbsp;recently was downgraded to<b>Sell</b>with a D+ rating by TheStreet's<b>Quant Ratings.</b></p><p><blockquote>Pinterest公司（PINS）最近被降级为<b>出售</b>获得TheStreet的D+评级<b>量化评级。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b1e181ed1151d1395ae59a7035382df\" tg-width=\"999\" tg-height=\"891\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company behind the popular app of the same name has been beaten like a piñata lately, with a gap lower on earnings and not much energy from the dip buyers. The stock continues to be distributed with high volume and a MACD sell signal.</p><p><blockquote>流行的同名应用程序背后的公司最近像皮纳塔一样被击败，盈利差距较小，而且逢低买家也没有太多精力。该股继续以高成交量和MACD卖出信号分布。</blockquote></p><p> The cloud just turned red and the 200-day moving average is not far below here. A gap is still open in the $40s and that could be the place to target if short.</p><p><blockquote>云刚刚变红，200日均线就在这里下方不远。40美元左右的缺口仍然存在，如果做空，这可能是目标。</blockquote></p><p> Put in a stop at $75 just in case.</p><p><blockquote>以防万一，在75美元止损。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/bearish-bets-2-tech-stocks-you-should-consider-shorting-this-week-15648580\">realmoney</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AYX":"Alteryx Inc.","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc."},"source_url":"https://realmoney.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/bearish-bets-2-tech-stocks-you-should-consider-shorting-this-week-15648580","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106333988","content_text":"Each weekTrifecta Stocksidentifies names that look bearish and may present interesting investing opportunities on the short side.\nUsing technical analysis of the charts of those stocks, and, when appropriate, recent actions and grades from TheStreet'sQuant Ratings, we zero in on five names.\nWhile we will not be weighing in with fundamental analysis, we hope this piece will give investors interested in stocks on the way down a good starting point to do further homework on the names.\nAlteryx\nAlteryx Inc. (AYX)  recently was downgraded toSellwith a D+ rating by TheStreet'sQuant Ratings.\n\nThis provider of analytics platforms has fallen hard since peaking in early February. Rough earnings stoked the selling and it has been straight down ever since. The channel is not symmetrical, but we can see a series of lower highs and lower lows.\nMoney flow is poor and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) cannot seem to get going. This tells us Alteryx is relatively poor versus the rest of the market. Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is on a sell signal and the cloud is deep red.\nIf short, target a move to $65 or so but put in a stop at $83.\nPinterest\nPinterest Inc.  (PINS)  recently was downgraded toSellwith a D+ rating by TheStreet'sQuant Ratings.\n\nThe company behind the popular app of the same name has been beaten like a piñata lately, with a gap lower on earnings and not much energy from the dip buyers. The stock continues to be distributed with high volume and a MACD sell signal.\nThe cloud just turned red and the 200-day moving average is not far below here. A gap is still open in the $40s and that could be the place to target if short.\nPut in a stop at $75 just in case.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AYX":0.9,"PINS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190088806,"gmtCreate":1620553191105,"gmtModify":1634198065249,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566354699453607","idStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Software is the best&nbsp;","listText":"Software is the best&nbsp;","text":"Software is the best","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b8fd859467b6a79bbce92a9ddd3531","width":"1125","height":"2605"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190088806","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190088921,"gmtCreate":1620553139063,"gmtModify":1634198065487,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566354699453607","idStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Coins","listText":"Coins","text":"Coins","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190088921","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":594,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104536972,"gmtCreate":1620397157696,"gmtModify":1634205521535,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566354699453607","idStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Red is my new colour","listText":"Red is my new colour","text":"Red is my new colour","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104536972","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":101038488,"gmtCreate":1619829632244,"gmtModify":1631884126802,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566354699453607","authorIdStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GEVO looks goood","listText":"GEVO looks goood","text":"GEVO looks goood","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101038488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326248628,"gmtCreate":1615679510064,"gmtModify":1703491972566,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566354699453607","authorIdStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh man","listText":"Oh man","text":"Oh man","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326248628","repostId":"1100128328","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100128328","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615563404,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100128328?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-12 23:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.<blockquote>特斯拉股价下跌。你可以责怪乔·拜登。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100128328","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock inTesla is lower after CNBC reported that the electric-vehicle company had a firein its Fremon","content":"<p>Stock inTesla&nbsp;is lower after CNBC reported that the&nbsp;electric-vehicle&nbsp;company&nbsp;had a firein its Fremont, Calif. plant, but the blaze probably isn’t the reason for the dip.</p><p><blockquote>CNBC报道电动汽车公司特斯拉在加利福尼亚州弗里蒙特发生火灾后，该公司股价走低。植物，但大火可能不是下降的原因。</blockquote></p><p>Fires are just a normal, albeit unfortunate, operating problem for any manufacturer. Tesla (ticker: TSLA) didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment about the fire or the damage it may have caused.</p><p><blockquote>对于任何制造商来说，火灾只是一个正常但不幸的操作问题。特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）没有立即回应有关火灾或火灾可能造成的损失的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p>President Joe Biden is probably responsible for the share-price decline, which left the stock about 2.7% lower in premarket trading, at about $680. It has beena wild weekfor Tesla stockholders. Shares started off the week at about $675,traded above $700and fell to about $560 before bounding back, up 4.7% Thursday, to just under $700.</p><p><blockquote>总统乔·拜登可能对股价下跌负有责任，该股在盘前交易中下跌约2.7%，至约680美元。对于特斯拉股东来说，这是疯狂的一周。本周初股价约为675美元，交易价格高于700美元，跌至约560美元，然后反弹，周四上涨4.7%，至略低于700美元。</blockquote></p><p>Nothing Tesla has done appears to be the reason for the recent volatility. It’s all about interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉所做的一切似乎都不是最近波动的原因。一切都与利率有关。</blockquote></p><p>That is where the president comes into the picture. Thursday evening, he addressed the nation, focusing on putting Covid-19 in the rearview mirror a year after the World Health Organization declared that a pandemic had begun.</p><p><blockquote>这就是总统发挥作用的地方。周四晚上，他向全国发表讲话，重点是在世界卫生组织宣布疫情已经开始一年后，将新冠肺炎(Covid-19)抛在脑后。</blockquote></p><p>“All adult Americans will be eligible to get a vaccine no later than May 1,” said the president, adding the federal government is setting up hundreds of vaccination sites and procuring millions more vaccine doses.</p><p><blockquote>总统说：“所有成年美国人都有资格在5月1日之前接种疫苗。”他补充说，联邦政府正在建立数百个疫苗接种点，并采购数百万剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>It’s good news, but the market is selling off Friday morning. For stocks, the speech represents almost too much of a good thing. The economy is reopening and, as a result,bond yields are rising, putting pressure on high-growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>这是个好消息，但周五早上市场正在抛售。对于股票来说，这次讲话几乎代表了太多的好事。经济正在重新开放，因此债券收益率正在上升，给高增长股票带来压力。</blockquote></p><p>Futures on the&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;Index, home to many highflying tech stocks, are down 1.6%.Dow Jones Industrial Averagefutures, on the other hand, are flat.</p><p><blockquote>拥有许多飙升的科技股的纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌1.6%。另一方面，道琼斯工业平均指数期货持平。</blockquote></p><p>Higher yields hurt richly valued, fast-growing companies more than others for a couple of reasons. One, they makes funding growth more expensive. Two, high- growth companies are expected generate most of their cash far in the future. That cash is a little less valuable in present terms when rates are high, compared with when rates are low. In a higher-rate environment, investors have more options to earn interest today, which puts pressure on high-growth stocks’ valuations.</p><p><blockquote>较高的收益率对估值高、快速增长的公司的伤害比其他公司更大，原因有几个。第一，它们使融资增长更加昂贵。第二，高增长公司预计将在未来产生大部分现金。与利率低时相比，利率高时现金的价值较低。在利率较高的环境下，投资者如今有更多赚取利息的选择，这给高增长股票的估值带来压力。</blockquote></p><p>A Friday dip, however,doesn’t mean the end&nbsp;of the bull market in Tesla, EV stocks or the Nasdaq. Getting the economy back on its feet is a good thing. Investors just need a chance to adjust to the changing landscape.</p><p><blockquote>然而，周五的下跌并不意味着特斯拉、电动汽车股票或纳斯达克牛市的结束。让经济重新站稳脚跟是件好事。投资者只是需要一个机会来适应不断变化的形势。</blockquote></p><p>“There’s a good chance you, your families and friends will be able to get together in your backyard or in your neighborhood and have a cookout …and celebrate Independence Day,” Biden said. That is great news.</p><p><blockquote>拜登说：“你、你的家人和朋友很有可能能够在你的后院或附近聚会，野餐……庆祝独立日。”这是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.<blockquote>特斯拉股价下跌。你可以责怪乔·拜登。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.<blockquote>特斯拉股价下跌。你可以责怪乔·拜登。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-12 23:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock inTesla&nbsp;is lower after CNBC reported that the&nbsp;electric-vehicle&nbsp;company&nbsp;had a firein its Fremont, Calif. plant, but the blaze probably isn’t the reason for the dip.</p><p><blockquote>CNBC报道电动汽车公司特斯拉在加利福尼亚州弗里蒙特发生火灾后，该公司股价走低。植物，但大火可能不是下降的原因。</blockquote></p><p>Fires are just a normal, albeit unfortunate, operating problem for any manufacturer. Tesla (ticker: TSLA) didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment about the fire or the damage it may have caused.</p><p><blockquote>对于任何制造商来说，火灾只是一个正常但不幸的操作问题。特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）没有立即回应有关火灾或火灾可能造成的损失的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p>President Joe Biden is probably responsible for the share-price decline, which left the stock about 2.7% lower in premarket trading, at about $680. It has beena wild weekfor Tesla stockholders. Shares started off the week at about $675,traded above $700and fell to about $560 before bounding back, up 4.7% Thursday, to just under $700.</p><p><blockquote>总统乔·拜登可能对股价下跌负有责任，该股在盘前交易中下跌约2.7%，至约680美元。对于特斯拉股东来说，这是疯狂的一周。本周初股价约为675美元，交易价格高于700美元，跌至约560美元，然后反弹，周四上涨4.7%，至略低于700美元。</blockquote></p><p>Nothing Tesla has done appears to be the reason for the recent volatility. It’s all about interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉所做的一切似乎都不是最近波动的原因。一切都与利率有关。</blockquote></p><p>That is where the president comes into the picture. Thursday evening, he addressed the nation, focusing on putting Covid-19 in the rearview mirror a year after the World Health Organization declared that a pandemic had begun.</p><p><blockquote>这就是总统发挥作用的地方。周四晚上，他向全国发表讲话，重点是在世界卫生组织宣布疫情已经开始一年后，将新冠肺炎(Covid-19)抛在脑后。</blockquote></p><p>“All adult Americans will be eligible to get a vaccine no later than May 1,” said the president, adding the federal government is setting up hundreds of vaccination sites and procuring millions more vaccine doses.</p><p><blockquote>总统说：“所有成年美国人都有资格在5月1日之前接种疫苗。”他补充说，联邦政府正在建立数百个疫苗接种点，并采购数百万剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>It’s good news, but the market is selling off Friday morning. For stocks, the speech represents almost too much of a good thing. The economy is reopening and, as a result,bond yields are rising, putting pressure on high-growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>这是个好消息，但周五早上市场正在抛售。对于股票来说，这次讲话几乎代表了太多的好事。经济正在重新开放，因此债券收益率正在上升，给高增长股票带来压力。</blockquote></p><p>Futures on the&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;Index, home to many highflying tech stocks, are down 1.6%.Dow Jones Industrial Averagefutures, on the other hand, are flat.</p><p><blockquote>拥有许多飙升的科技股的纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌1.6%。另一方面，道琼斯工业平均指数期货持平。</blockquote></p><p>Higher yields hurt richly valued, fast-growing companies more than others for a couple of reasons. One, they makes funding growth more expensive. Two, high- growth companies are expected generate most of their cash far in the future. That cash is a little less valuable in present terms when rates are high, compared with when rates are low. In a higher-rate environment, investors have more options to earn interest today, which puts pressure on high-growth stocks’ valuations.</p><p><blockquote>较高的收益率对估值高、快速增长的公司的伤害比其他公司更大，原因有几个。第一，它们使融资增长更加昂贵。第二，高增长公司预计将在未来产生大部分现金。与利率低时相比，利率高时现金的价值较低。在利率较高的环境下，投资者如今有更多赚取利息的选择，这给高增长股票的估值带来压力。</blockquote></p><p>A Friday dip, however,doesn’t mean the end&nbsp;of the bull market in Tesla, EV stocks or the Nasdaq. Getting the economy back on its feet is a good thing. Investors just need a chance to adjust to the changing landscape.</p><p><blockquote>然而，周五的下跌并不意味着特斯拉、电动汽车股票或纳斯达克牛市的结束。让经济重新站稳脚跟是件好事。投资者只是需要一个机会来适应不断变化的形势。</blockquote></p><p>“There’s a good chance you, your families and friends will be able to get together in your backyard or in your neighborhood and have a cookout …and celebrate Independence Day,” Biden said. That is great news.</p><p><blockquote>拜登说：“你、你的家人和朋友很有可能能够在你的后院或附近聚会，野餐……庆祝独立日。”这是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-is-down-you-could-blame-joe-biden-51615557806?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-is-down-you-could-blame-joe-biden-51615557806?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100128328","content_text":"Stock inTesla is lower after CNBC reported that the electric-vehicle company had a firein its Fremont, Calif. plant, but the blaze probably isn’t the reason for the dip.Fires are just a normal, albeit unfortunate, operating problem for any manufacturer. Tesla (ticker: TSLA) didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment about the fire or the damage it may have caused.President Joe Biden is probably responsible for the share-price decline, which left the stock about 2.7% lower in premarket trading, at about $680. It has beena wild weekfor Tesla stockholders. Shares started off the week at about $675,traded above $700and fell to about $560 before bounding back, up 4.7% Thursday, to just under $700.Nothing Tesla has done appears to be the reason for the recent volatility. It’s all about interest rates.That is where the president comes into the picture. Thursday evening, he addressed the nation, focusing on putting Covid-19 in the rearview mirror a year after the World Health Organization declared that a pandemic had begun.“All adult Americans will be eligible to get a vaccine no later than May 1,” said the president, adding the federal government is setting up hundreds of vaccination sites and procuring millions more vaccine doses.It’s good news, but the market is selling off Friday morning. For stocks, the speech represents almost too much of a good thing. The economy is reopening and, as a result,bond yields are rising, putting pressure on high-growth stocks.Futures on the Nasdaq Composite Index, home to many highflying tech stocks, are down 1.6%.Dow Jones Industrial Averagefutures, on the other hand, are flat.Higher yields hurt richly valued, fast-growing companies more than others for a couple of reasons. One, they makes funding growth more expensive. Two, high- growth companies are expected generate most of their cash far in the future. That cash is a little less valuable in present terms when rates are high, compared with when rates are low. In a higher-rate environment, investors have more options to earn interest today, which puts pressure on high-growth stocks’ valuations.A Friday dip, however,doesn’t mean the end of the bull market in Tesla, EV stocks or the Nasdaq. Getting the economy back on its feet is a good thing. Investors just need a chance to adjust to the changing landscape.“There’s a good chance you, your families and friends will be able to get together in your backyard or in your neighborhood and have a cookout …and celebrate Independence Day,” Biden said. That is great news.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127480112,"gmtCreate":1624863148736,"gmtModify":1633947801132,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566354699453607","authorIdStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127480112","repostId":"2146090006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125343381,"gmtCreate":1624660673543,"gmtModify":1633950059552,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566354699453607","authorIdStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stuck with this&nbsp;","listText":"Stuck with this&nbsp;","text":"Stuck with this","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33329919565e24cea00d1925d984567f","width":"1125","height":"2875"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125343381","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132201636,"gmtCreate":1622088996725,"gmtModify":1631887792385,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566354699453607","authorIdStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNGO\">$Bionano Genomics(BNGO)$</a>Play long game&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNGO\">$Bionano Genomics(BNGO)$</a>Play long game&nbsp;","text":"$Bionano Genomics(BNGO)$Play long game","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52e4bff3412353809e657f68daf0df30","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132201636","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":563,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190479716,"gmtCreate":1620648844335,"gmtModify":1634197440670,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566354699453607","authorIdStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190479716","repostId":"1171756066","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171756066","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620614586,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171756066?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-10 10:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Unbeatable Stocks to Buy for a Biden Bull Market<blockquote>拜登牛市值得买入的5只无与伦比的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171756066","media":"fool","summary":"When President Joe Biden took office on Jan. 20, 2021, he inherited one of the worst economic catastrophes in decades. The coronavirus disease 2019  pandemic wreaked havoc on the U.S. and global economy, and it briefly sent the U.S. stock market into a tailspin.However, a perfect storm could be brewing for equities under the Biden administration. The Federal Reserve has pledged to hold firm on historically low lending rates, while the White House is calling for trillions of dollars in additional","content":"<p>When President Joe Biden took office on Jan. 20, 2021, he inherited one of the worst economic catastrophes in decades. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic wreaked havoc on the U.S. and global economy, and it briefly sent the U.S. stock market into a tailspin.</p><p><blockquote>当乔·拜登总统于2021年1月20日就职时，他继承了几十年来最严重的经济灾难之一。2019年冠状病毒病（COVID-19）大流行对美国和全球经济造成了严重破坏，并一度导致美国股市陷入混乱。</blockquote></p><p> However, a perfect storm could be brewing for equities under the Biden administration. The Federal Reserve has pledged to hold firm on historically low lending rates, while the White House is calling for trillions of dollars in additional spending. This abundant access to cheap capital is the perfect recipe for stocks to thrive in a rebounding economy.</p><p><blockquote>然而，拜登政府领导下的股市可能正在酝酿一场完美风暴。美联储承诺维持历史低位的贷款利率，而白宫则呼吁增加数万亿美元的支出。这种获得廉价资本的丰富渠道是股市在经济反弹中蓬勃发展的完美秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a Biden bull market does take shape, the following five unbeatable stocks would be the perfect companies to own.</p><p><blockquote>如果拜登牛市确实形成，以下五只无与伦比的股票将是值得拥有的完美公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet</b></blockquote></p><p> Few stocks are more synonymous with the word \"unbeatable\" than&nbsp;<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming platform YouTube.</p><p><blockquote>很少有股票比这更能成为“无与伦比”这个词的代名词<b>Alphabet</b>（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG），互联网搜索引擎谷歌和流媒体平台YouTube的母公司。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet operates what might as well be a monopoly in internet search. According to GlobalStats, Google has consistently maintainedglobal search engine market share of 91% to 93%for at least the past two years. Its next-closest competitor,<b>Microsoft</b>'s Bing, hardly registered with a 2.29% share of the search engine market in April 2021. Being such a dominant force in search means advertisers will pay up for prime placement. It also suggests that the company's traffic acquisition costs should decline over time. As the U.S. and global economy improve, ad spending should really pick up.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet垄断了互联网搜索。根据GlobalStats的数据，至少在过去两年里，谷歌一直保持着91%至93%的全球搜索引擎市场份额。其第二接近的竞争对手，<b>微软</b>Bing在2021年4月几乎没有注册，在搜索引擎市场的份额为2.29%。成为搜索领域的主导力量意味着广告商将为黄金位置付费。这也表明公司的流量获取成本应该会随着时间的推移而下降。随着美国和全球经济的改善，广告支出应该会真正回升。</blockquote></p><p> But Alphabetis about more than just internet search. Ad revenue generated from YouTube -- one of the three most-visited social sites on the planet -- jumped 49% in the first quarter to $6 billion. Meanwhile, revenue from cloud infrastructure segment Google Cloud rose 46% to $4 billion. These once small ancillary operations are now on track to contribute $40 billion in sales to Alphabet on an annual run-rate basis.</p><p><blockquote>但是Alphabetis不仅仅是互联网搜索。YouTube是全球访问量最大的三个社交网站之一，第一季度的广告收入增长了49%，达到60亿美元。与此同时，云基础设施部门谷歌云的收入增长了46%，达到40亿美元。这些曾经规模较小的辅助业务现在有望为Alphabet贡献400亿美元的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite its $1.6 trillion price tag, Alphabet is still a bargain.</p><p><blockquote>尽管标价1.6万亿美元，Alphabet仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AstraZeneca</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿斯利康</b></blockquote></p><p> For two decades,pharmaceutical stock&nbsp;<b>AstraZeneca</b>(NASDAQ:AZN)was a largely forgettable drug developer that struggled with competition and the patent cliff. Today, it's reinvented itself into a bona fide growth stock with a bright future.</p><p><blockquote>二十年来，医药股<b>阿斯利康</b>（纳斯达克：AZN）是一家在很大程度上被遗忘的药物开发商，在竞争和专利悬崖中苦苦挣扎。如今，它已将自己重塑为一只真正的成长型股票，拥有光明的未来。</blockquote></p><p> The primary growth driver for AstraZenecais the company's oncology segment. In the first quarter alone, constant currency sales jumped 16% to $3.02 billion. The company's blockbuster trio of Tagrisso, Imfinzi, and Lynparza led the way with respective constant-currency sales growth of 13%, 17%, and 33%. Diabetes blockbuster drug Farxiga also deserves a mention with its 50% constant-currency sales growth in Q1 2021. The company's brand-name treatments are on fire, and it's led to sustainable double-digit topline growth.</p><p><blockquote>阿斯利康的主要增长动力是该公司的肿瘤部门。仅在第一季度，按固定汇率计算的销售额就跃升16%，达到30.2亿美元。该公司的重磅三巨头Tagrisso、Imfinzi和Lynparza以13%、17%和33%的固定汇率销售额增长领先。糖尿病重磅药物Farxiga也值得一提，其2021年第一季度的固定汇率销售额增长了50%。该公司的品牌疗法火了，并带来了可持续的两位数营收增长。</blockquote></p><p> Equally exciting is AstraZeneca's pending acquisition of<b>Alexion Pharmaceuticals</b>(NASDAQ:ALXN). Alexion is a developer of ultra-rare therapeutics. Though it's risky developing treatments for such a small group of patients, success is usually met with no competition and little or no pushback from health insurers on high list prices.</p><p><blockquote>同样令人兴奋的是阿斯利康即将收购的<b>Alexion制药公司</b>（纳斯达克：ALXN）。Alexion是一家超罕见疗法的开发商。尽管为如此小的患者群体开发治疗方法存在风险，但成功通常不会遇到竞争，也很少或没有来自健康保险公司对高标价的抵制。</blockquote></p><p> The best part about the Alexion deal is the companydeveloped a replacement for its top-selling drug, Soliris. The next-generation therapy, known as Ultomiris, is administered less frequently, which is a positive for patients. Eventually, Ultomiris will gobble up Soliris' sales and lock-up Alexion's/AstraZeneca's cash flow for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>Alexion交易最好的部分是该公司开发了其最畅销药物Soliris的替代品。下一代疗法Ultomiris的使用频率较低，这对患者来说是积极的。最终，Ultomiris将吞噬Soliris的销售额，并在未来很长一段时间内锁定Alexion/阿斯利康的现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Mastercard</b></p><p><blockquote><b>万事达卡</b></blockquote></p><p> Another unbeatable stock that can deliver superior returns with Biden in the White House is payment facilitator<b>Mastercard</b>(NYSE:MA).</p><p><blockquote>拜登入主白宫后，另一只可以带来丰厚回报的无与伦比的股票是支付服务商<b>万事达卡</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：MA）。</blockquote></p><p> Like mostfinancial stocks, Mastercard is cyclical. This means it struggles when the U.S. and global economy contract or enter a recession and it thrives when the economy is running on all cylinders. That's because it relies on merchant fees via payments to drive its top and bottom line. But the thing to understand about cyclical companies like Mastercard is that time is on their side. Whereas recessions often last for a few quarters, periods of expansion usually last many years. Considering how much money the Biden administration is attempting to pump into the U.S. economy, Mastercard should have a field day.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数金融股一样，万事达卡也具有周期性。这意味着当美国和全球经济收缩或进入衰退时，它会陷入困境，而当经济全速运转时，它会蓬勃发展。这是因为它依靠通过支付收取的商家费用来推动其营收和利润。但对于像万事达卡这样的周期性公司，需要了解的是，时间站在他们一边。衰退通常会持续几个季度，而扩张期通常会持续很多年。考虑到拜登政府试图向美国经济注入多少资金，万事达卡应该会大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> Something else to consider is that Mastercardhas chosen not to be a lender. Although some of its peers do act as both processors and lenders (via credit cards), and are therefore able to double-dip during economic expansions, Mastercard's avoidance of lending is actually a smart move. When recessions inevitably strike and credit delinquencies rise, Mastercard doesn't have set aside cash. This is why it rebounds much quicker than its peers during the early stages of a recovery.</p><p><blockquote>另一件需要考虑的事情是万事达卡选择不成为贷方。尽管它的一些同行确实既充当处理者又充当贷方（通过信用卡），因此能够在经济扩张期间二次探底，但万事达卡避免贷款实际上是明智之举。当经济衰退不可避免地袭来且信用拖欠率上升时，万事达卡没有留出现金。这就是为什么它在复苏的早期阶段比同行反弹得更快。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The math here is simple: As the economy picks up steam, consumers and businesses are going to spend, spend, and spend some more. That's music to the ears of all Mastercard shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>这里的数学很简单：随着经济加速发展，消费者和企业将会消费、消费、再消费。这对所有万事达卡股东来说都是美妙的音乐。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Annaly Capital Management</b></p><p><blockquote><b>安娜利资本管理公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Don't worry, I haven't forgotten about you dividend income-seekers out there. If a Biden bull market takes shape, mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT)<b>Annaly Capital Management</b>(NYSE:NLY)could be a smart place to put your money to work.</p><p><blockquote>别担心，我没有忘记你们这些寻求股息收入的人。如果拜登牛市形成，抵押房地产投资信托基金（REIT）<b>安娜利资本管理公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：NLY）可能是一个让你的钱发挥作用的明智地方。</blockquote></p><p> Without getting overly technical, mortgage REITs like Annaly borrow money at short-term lending rates and use it to purchase securities with higher long-term yields. In Annaly's case, we're primarily talking about mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The difference between the long-term yield received and the short-term borrowing rate is known as net interest margin (NIM). The wider the NIM, the more profitable Annaly is, and the bigger the dividend payout it can provide to shareholders. Right now, Annaly Capital isyielding a jaw-dropping 9.7%.</p><p><blockquote>像Annaly这样的抵押房地产投资信托基金在没有过于技术性的情况下，以短期贷款利率借钱，并用它来购买长期收益率更高的证券。在Annaly的案例中，我们主要谈论的是抵押贷款支持证券(MBS)。收到的长期收益率和短期借款利率之间的差额称为净息差（NIM）。NIM越宽，Annaly的利润就越高，可以向股东提供的股息支付也就越大。目前，Annaly Capital的收益率高达令人瞠目结舌的9.7%。</blockquote></p><p> What makes Annaly such a perfect stock to buy is thatwe're witnessing the yield curve steepen. When the U.S. economy is rebounding from a recession, it's normal for long-term yields to rise and for short-term yields to fall or flatten out. When this happens, Annaly usually experiences a widening of its NIM.</p><p><blockquote>Annaly之所以成为如此完美的买入股票，是因为我们正在目睹收益率曲线变陡。当美国经济从衰退中反弹时，长期收益率上升、短期收益率下降或持平是正常的。当这种情况发生时，Annaly通常会经历净息差的扩大。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, Annaly almost exclusively buys agency securities. This is a fancy way of saying that the MBSs it's purchasing are backed by the federal government in the event of a default. This protection is what allows the company to utilize leverage to its advantage, thereby pumping up its profits.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Annaly几乎只购买代理证券。这是一种奇特的说法，即如果发生违约，它购买的MBS将得到联邦政府的支持。这种保护使公司能够利用杠杆发挥优势，从而提高利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trupanion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特鲁帕尼翁</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, companion animal health insurance company&nbsp;<b>Trupanion</b>(NASDAQ:TRUP)has all the look of an unbeatable stock to buy in a Biden bull market.</p><p><blockquote>最后，伴侣动物健康保险公司<b>特鲁帕尼翁</b>（纳斯达克：TRUP）看起来像是在拜登牛市中值得购买的无与伦比的股票。</blockquote></p><p> The pet industry may not offer flashy growth prospects like cybersecurity or cannabis, but it's arguably themost consistent growth opportunity. It's been more than a quarter of a century since year-over-year U.S. pet expenditures declined. Further, the American Pet Products Association notes that the percentage of American household owning a pet has increased from 56% in 1988 to 67% by 2019-2020. If we've learned anything about pet owners, it's that they're willing to spend big bucks to ensure the well-being of their four-legged family members.</p><p><blockquote>宠物行业可能不会像网络安全或大麻那样提供华丽的增长前景，但它可以说是最持续的增长机会。美国宠物支出同比下降已经超过四分之一个世纪了。此外，美国宠物产品协会指出，美国家庭拥有宠物的比例从1988年的56%增加到2019-2020年的67%。如果说我们对宠物主人有什么了解的话，那就是他们愿意花大价钱来确保他们四条腿的家庭成员的健康。</blockquote></p><p> Trupanion, which recently lifted the hood on its first-quarter operating results, isclosing in on 1 million total enrolled pets(943,854 at the end of Q1 2021). Amazingly, this only represents a little over 1% penetration of the U.S. market. In the U.K., about 1 in 4 pet owners purchases insurance for their cat or dog. If Trupanion can achieve a similar penetration rate, its addressable market would be more than $32 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Trupanion最近公布了第一季度的运营业绩，注册宠物总数接近100万只（2021年第一季度末为943,854只）。令人惊讶的是，这仅代表美国市场1%多一点的渗透率。在英国，大约四分之一的宠物主人为他们的猫或狗购买保险。如果Trupanion能够达到类似的渗透率，其潜在市场将超过320亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a company that's spent two decades building up rapport with veterinarians and their staff at the clinical level. It's also the only major companion animal health insurance provider with software capable of handling payment to veterinarians at the time of checkout.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家花了二十年时间在临床层面与兽医及其员工建立融洽关系的公司。它也是唯一一家拥有能够在结账时处理向兽医付款的软件的主要伴侣动物健康保险提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The sky is the limit for Trupanion.</p><p><blockquote>天空是Trupanion的极限。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Unbeatable Stocks to Buy for a Biden Bull Market<blockquote>拜登牛市值得买入的5只无与伦比的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Unbeatable Stocks to Buy for a Biden Bull Market<blockquote>拜登牛市值得买入的5只无与伦比的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-10 10:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>When President Joe Biden took office on Jan. 20, 2021, he inherited one of the worst economic catastrophes in decades. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic wreaked havoc on the U.S. and global economy, and it briefly sent the U.S. stock market into a tailspin.</p><p><blockquote>当乔·拜登总统于2021年1月20日就职时，他继承了几十年来最严重的经济灾难之一。2019年冠状病毒病（COVID-19）大流行对美国和全球经济造成了严重破坏，并一度导致美国股市陷入混乱。</blockquote></p><p> However, a perfect storm could be brewing for equities under the Biden administration. The Federal Reserve has pledged to hold firm on historically low lending rates, while the White House is calling for trillions of dollars in additional spending. This abundant access to cheap capital is the perfect recipe for stocks to thrive in a rebounding economy.</p><p><blockquote>然而，拜登政府领导下的股市可能正在酝酿一场完美风暴。美联储承诺维持历史低位的贷款利率，而白宫则呼吁增加数万亿美元的支出。这种获得廉价资本的丰富渠道是股市在经济反弹中蓬勃发展的完美秘诀。</blockquote></p><p> If a Biden bull market does take shape, the following five unbeatable stocks would be the perfect companies to own.</p><p><blockquote>如果拜登牛市确实形成，以下五只无与伦比的股票将是值得拥有的完美公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet</b></blockquote></p><p> Few stocks are more synonymous with the word \"unbeatable\" than&nbsp;<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming platform YouTube.</p><p><blockquote>很少有股票比这更能成为“无与伦比”这个词的代名词<b>Alphabet</b>（纳斯达克：GOOGL）（纳斯达克：GOOG），互联网搜索引擎谷歌和流媒体平台YouTube的母公司。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet operates what might as well be a monopoly in internet search. According to GlobalStats, Google has consistently maintainedglobal search engine market share of 91% to 93%for at least the past two years. Its next-closest competitor,<b>Microsoft</b>'s Bing, hardly registered with a 2.29% share of the search engine market in April 2021. Being such a dominant force in search means advertisers will pay up for prime placement. It also suggests that the company's traffic acquisition costs should decline over time. As the U.S. and global economy improve, ad spending should really pick up.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet垄断了互联网搜索。根据GlobalStats的数据，至少在过去两年里，谷歌一直保持着91%至93%的全球搜索引擎市场份额。其第二接近的竞争对手，<b>微软</b>Bing在2021年4月几乎没有注册，在搜索引擎市场的份额为2.29%。成为搜索领域的主导力量意味着广告商将为黄金位置付费。这也表明公司的流量获取成本应该会随着时间的推移而下降。随着美国和全球经济的改善，广告支出应该会真正回升。</blockquote></p><p> But Alphabetis about more than just internet search. Ad revenue generated from YouTube -- one of the three most-visited social sites on the planet -- jumped 49% in the first quarter to $6 billion. Meanwhile, revenue from cloud infrastructure segment Google Cloud rose 46% to $4 billion. These once small ancillary operations are now on track to contribute $40 billion in sales to Alphabet on an annual run-rate basis.</p><p><blockquote>但是Alphabetis不仅仅是互联网搜索。YouTube是全球访问量最大的三个社交网站之一，第一季度的广告收入增长了49%，达到60亿美元。与此同时，云基础设施部门谷歌云的收入增长了46%，达到40亿美元。这些曾经规模较小的辅助业务现在有望为Alphabet贡献400亿美元的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite its $1.6 trillion price tag, Alphabet is still a bargain.</p><p><blockquote>尽管标价1.6万亿美元，Alphabet仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AstraZeneca</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿斯利康</b></blockquote></p><p> For two decades,pharmaceutical stock&nbsp;<b>AstraZeneca</b>(NASDAQ:AZN)was a largely forgettable drug developer that struggled with competition and the patent cliff. Today, it's reinvented itself into a bona fide growth stock with a bright future.</p><p><blockquote>二十年来，医药股<b>阿斯利康</b>（纳斯达克：AZN）是一家在很大程度上被遗忘的药物开发商，在竞争和专利悬崖中苦苦挣扎。如今，它已将自己重塑为一只真正的成长型股票，拥有光明的未来。</blockquote></p><p> The primary growth driver for AstraZenecais the company's oncology segment. In the first quarter alone, constant currency sales jumped 16% to $3.02 billion. The company's blockbuster trio of Tagrisso, Imfinzi, and Lynparza led the way with respective constant-currency sales growth of 13%, 17%, and 33%. Diabetes blockbuster drug Farxiga also deserves a mention with its 50% constant-currency sales growth in Q1 2021. The company's brand-name treatments are on fire, and it's led to sustainable double-digit topline growth.</p><p><blockquote>阿斯利康的主要增长动力是该公司的肿瘤部门。仅在第一季度，按固定汇率计算的销售额就跃升16%，达到30.2亿美元。该公司的重磅三巨头Tagrisso、Imfinzi和Lynparza以13%、17%和33%的固定汇率销售额增长领先。糖尿病重磅药物Farxiga也值得一提，其2021年第一季度的固定汇率销售额增长了50%。该公司的品牌疗法火了，并带来了可持续的两位数营收增长。</blockquote></p><p> Equally exciting is AstraZeneca's pending acquisition of<b>Alexion Pharmaceuticals</b>(NASDAQ:ALXN). Alexion is a developer of ultra-rare therapeutics. Though it's risky developing treatments for such a small group of patients, success is usually met with no competition and little or no pushback from health insurers on high list prices.</p><p><blockquote>同样令人兴奋的是阿斯利康即将收购的<b>Alexion制药公司</b>（纳斯达克：ALXN）。Alexion是一家超罕见疗法的开发商。尽管为如此小的患者群体开发治疗方法存在风险，但成功通常不会遇到竞争，也很少或没有来自健康保险公司对高标价的抵制。</blockquote></p><p> The best part about the Alexion deal is the companydeveloped a replacement for its top-selling drug, Soliris. The next-generation therapy, known as Ultomiris, is administered less frequently, which is a positive for patients. Eventually, Ultomiris will gobble up Soliris' sales and lock-up Alexion's/AstraZeneca's cash flow for a long time to come.</p><p><blockquote>Alexion交易最好的部分是该公司开发了其最畅销药物Soliris的替代品。下一代疗法Ultomiris的使用频率较低，这对患者来说是积极的。最终，Ultomiris将吞噬Soliris的销售额，并在未来很长一段时间内锁定Alexion/阿斯利康的现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Mastercard</b></p><p><blockquote><b>万事达卡</b></blockquote></p><p> Another unbeatable stock that can deliver superior returns with Biden in the White House is payment facilitator<b>Mastercard</b>(NYSE:MA).</p><p><blockquote>拜登入主白宫后，另一只可以带来丰厚回报的无与伦比的股票是支付服务商<b>万事达卡</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：MA）。</blockquote></p><p> Like mostfinancial stocks, Mastercard is cyclical. This means it struggles when the U.S. and global economy contract or enter a recession and it thrives when the economy is running on all cylinders. That's because it relies on merchant fees via payments to drive its top and bottom line. But the thing to understand about cyclical companies like Mastercard is that time is on their side. Whereas recessions often last for a few quarters, periods of expansion usually last many years. Considering how much money the Biden administration is attempting to pump into the U.S. economy, Mastercard should have a field day.</p><p><blockquote>与大多数金融股一样，万事达卡也具有周期性。这意味着当美国和全球经济收缩或进入衰退时，它会陷入困境，而当经济全速运转时，它会蓬勃发展。这是因为它依靠通过支付收取的商家费用来推动其营收和利润。但对于像万事达卡这样的周期性公司，需要了解的是，时间站在他们一边。衰退通常会持续几个季度，而扩张期通常会持续很多年。考虑到拜登政府试图向美国经济注入多少资金，万事达卡应该会大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> Something else to consider is that Mastercardhas chosen not to be a lender. Although some of its peers do act as both processors and lenders (via credit cards), and are therefore able to double-dip during economic expansions, Mastercard's avoidance of lending is actually a smart move. When recessions inevitably strike and credit delinquencies rise, Mastercard doesn't have set aside cash. This is why it rebounds much quicker than its peers during the early stages of a recovery.</p><p><blockquote>另一件需要考虑的事情是万事达卡选择不成为贷方。尽管它的一些同行确实既充当处理者又充当贷方（通过信用卡），因此能够在经济扩张期间二次探底，但万事达卡避免贷款实际上是明智之举。当经济衰退不可避免地袭来且信用拖欠率上升时，万事达卡没有留出现金。这就是为什么它在复苏的早期阶段比同行反弹得更快。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The math here is simple: As the economy picks up steam, consumers and businesses are going to spend, spend, and spend some more. That's music to the ears of all Mastercard shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>这里的数学很简单：随着经济加速发展，消费者和企业将会消费、消费、再消费。这对所有万事达卡股东来说都是美妙的音乐。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Annaly Capital Management</b></p><p><blockquote><b>安娜利资本管理公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Don't worry, I haven't forgotten about you dividend income-seekers out there. If a Biden bull market takes shape, mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT)<b>Annaly Capital Management</b>(NYSE:NLY)could be a smart place to put your money to work.</p><p><blockquote>别担心，我没有忘记你们这些寻求股息收入的人。如果拜登牛市形成，抵押房地产投资信托基金（REIT）<b>安娜利资本管理公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：NLY）可能是一个让你的钱发挥作用的明智地方。</blockquote></p><p> Without getting overly technical, mortgage REITs like Annaly borrow money at short-term lending rates and use it to purchase securities with higher long-term yields. In Annaly's case, we're primarily talking about mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The difference between the long-term yield received and the short-term borrowing rate is known as net interest margin (NIM). The wider the NIM, the more profitable Annaly is, and the bigger the dividend payout it can provide to shareholders. Right now, Annaly Capital isyielding a jaw-dropping 9.7%.</p><p><blockquote>像Annaly这样的抵押房地产投资信托基金在没有过于技术性的情况下，以短期贷款利率借钱，并用它来购买长期收益率更高的证券。在Annaly的案例中，我们主要谈论的是抵押贷款支持证券(MBS)。收到的长期收益率和短期借款利率之间的差额称为净息差（NIM）。NIM越宽，Annaly的利润就越高，可以向股东提供的股息支付也就越大。目前，Annaly Capital的收益率高达令人瞠目结舌的9.7%。</blockquote></p><p> What makes Annaly such a perfect stock to buy is thatwe're witnessing the yield curve steepen. When the U.S. economy is rebounding from a recession, it's normal for long-term yields to rise and for short-term yields to fall or flatten out. When this happens, Annaly usually experiences a widening of its NIM.</p><p><blockquote>Annaly之所以成为如此完美的买入股票，是因为我们正在目睹收益率曲线变陡。当美国经济从衰退中反弹时，长期收益率上升、短期收益率下降或持平是正常的。当这种情况发生时，Annaly通常会经历净息差的扩大。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, Annaly almost exclusively buys agency securities. This is a fancy way of saying that the MBSs it's purchasing are backed by the federal government in the event of a default. This protection is what allows the company to utilize leverage to its advantage, thereby pumping up its profits.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Annaly几乎只购买代理证券。这是一种奇特的说法，即如果发生违约，它购买的MBS将得到联邦政府的支持。这种保护使公司能够利用杠杆发挥优势，从而提高利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trupanion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>特鲁帕尼翁</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, companion animal health insurance company&nbsp;<b>Trupanion</b>(NASDAQ:TRUP)has all the look of an unbeatable stock to buy in a Biden bull market.</p><p><blockquote>最后，伴侣动物健康保险公司<b>特鲁帕尼翁</b>（纳斯达克：TRUP）看起来像是在拜登牛市中值得购买的无与伦比的股票。</blockquote></p><p> The pet industry may not offer flashy growth prospects like cybersecurity or cannabis, but it's arguably themost consistent growth opportunity. It's been more than a quarter of a century since year-over-year U.S. pet expenditures declined. Further, the American Pet Products Association notes that the percentage of American household owning a pet has increased from 56% in 1988 to 67% by 2019-2020. If we've learned anything about pet owners, it's that they're willing to spend big bucks to ensure the well-being of their four-legged family members.</p><p><blockquote>宠物行业可能不会像网络安全或大麻那样提供华丽的增长前景，但它可以说是最持续的增长机会。美国宠物支出同比下降已经超过四分之一个世纪了。此外，美国宠物产品协会指出，美国家庭拥有宠物的比例从1988年的56%增加到2019-2020年的67%。如果说我们对宠物主人有什么了解的话，那就是他们愿意花大价钱来确保他们四条腿的家庭成员的健康。</blockquote></p><p> Trupanion, which recently lifted the hood on its first-quarter operating results, isclosing in on 1 million total enrolled pets(943,854 at the end of Q1 2021). Amazingly, this only represents a little over 1% penetration of the U.S. market. In the U.K., about 1 in 4 pet owners purchases insurance for their cat or dog. If Trupanion can achieve a similar penetration rate, its addressable market would be more than $32 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Trupanion最近公布了第一季度的运营业绩，注册宠物总数接近100万只（2021年第一季度末为943,854只）。令人惊讶的是，这仅代表美国市场1%多一点的渗透率。在英国，大约四分之一的宠物主人为他们的猫或狗购买保险。如果Trupanion能够达到类似的渗透率，其潜在市场将超过320亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is a company that's spent two decades building up rapport with veterinarians and their staff at the clinical level. It's also the only major companion animal health insurance provider with software capable of handling payment to veterinarians at the time of checkout.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家花了二十年时间在临床层面与兽医及其员工建立融洽关系的公司。它也是唯一一家拥有能够在结账时处理向兽医付款的软件的主要伴侣动物健康保险提供商。</blockquote></p><p> The sky is the limit for Trupanion.</p><p><blockquote>天空是Trupanion的极限。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/09/5-unbeatable-stocks-to-buy-for-a-biden-bull-market/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NLY":"Annaly Capital Management","AZN":"阿斯利康","GOOGL":"谷歌A","MA":"万事达","TRUP":"Trupanion"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/09/5-unbeatable-stocks-to-buy-for-a-biden-bull-market/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171756066","content_text":"When President Joe Biden took office on Jan. 20, 2021, he inherited one of the worst economic catastrophes in decades. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic wreaked havoc on the U.S. and global economy, and it briefly sent the U.S. stock market into a tailspin.\nHowever, a perfect storm could be brewing for equities under the Biden administration. The Federal Reserve has pledged to hold firm on historically low lending rates, while the White House is calling for trillions of dollars in additional spending. This abundant access to cheap capital is the perfect recipe for stocks to thrive in a rebounding economy.\nIf a Biden bull market does take shape, the following five unbeatable stocks would be the perfect companies to own.\nAlphabet\nFew stocks are more synonymous with the word \"unbeatable\" than Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG), the parent company of internet search engine Google and streaming platform YouTube.\nAlphabet operates what might as well be a monopoly in internet search. According to GlobalStats, Google has consistently maintainedglobal search engine market share of 91% to 93%for at least the past two years. Its next-closest competitor,Microsoft's Bing, hardly registered with a 2.29% share of the search engine market in April 2021. Being such a dominant force in search means advertisers will pay up for prime placement. It also suggests that the company's traffic acquisition costs should decline over time. As the U.S. and global economy improve, ad spending should really pick up.\nBut Alphabetis about more than just internet search. Ad revenue generated from YouTube -- one of the three most-visited social sites on the planet -- jumped 49% in the first quarter to $6 billion. Meanwhile, revenue from cloud infrastructure segment Google Cloud rose 46% to $4 billion. These once small ancillary operations are now on track to contribute $40 billion in sales to Alphabet on an annual run-rate basis.\nDespite its $1.6 trillion price tag, Alphabet is still a bargain.\nAstraZeneca\nFor two decades,pharmaceutical stock AstraZeneca(NASDAQ:AZN)was a largely forgettable drug developer that struggled with competition and the patent cliff. Today, it's reinvented itself into a bona fide growth stock with a bright future.\nThe primary growth driver for AstraZenecais the company's oncology segment. In the first quarter alone, constant currency sales jumped 16% to $3.02 billion. The company's blockbuster trio of Tagrisso, Imfinzi, and Lynparza led the way with respective constant-currency sales growth of 13%, 17%, and 33%. Diabetes blockbuster drug Farxiga also deserves a mention with its 50% constant-currency sales growth in Q1 2021. The company's brand-name treatments are on fire, and it's led to sustainable double-digit topline growth.\nEqually exciting is AstraZeneca's pending acquisition ofAlexion Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:ALXN). Alexion is a developer of ultra-rare therapeutics. Though it's risky developing treatments for such a small group of patients, success is usually met with no competition and little or no pushback from health insurers on high list prices.\nThe best part about the Alexion deal is the companydeveloped a replacement for its top-selling drug, Soliris. The next-generation therapy, known as Ultomiris, is administered less frequently, which is a positive for patients. Eventually, Ultomiris will gobble up Soliris' sales and lock-up Alexion's/AstraZeneca's cash flow for a long time to come.\nMastercard\nAnother unbeatable stock that can deliver superior returns with Biden in the White House is payment facilitatorMastercard(NYSE:MA).\nLike mostfinancial stocks, Mastercard is cyclical. This means it struggles when the U.S. and global economy contract or enter a recession and it thrives when the economy is running on all cylinders. That's because it relies on merchant fees via payments to drive its top and bottom line. But the thing to understand about cyclical companies like Mastercard is that time is on their side. Whereas recessions often last for a few quarters, periods of expansion usually last many years. Considering how much money the Biden administration is attempting to pump into the U.S. economy, Mastercard should have a field day.\nSomething else to consider is that Mastercardhas chosen not to be a lender. Although some of its peers do act as both processors and lenders (via credit cards), and are therefore able to double-dip during economic expansions, Mastercard's avoidance of lending is actually a smart move. When recessions inevitably strike and credit delinquencies rise, Mastercard doesn't have set aside cash. This is why it rebounds much quicker than its peers during the early stages of a recovery.\nThe math here is simple: As the economy picks up steam, consumers and businesses are going to spend, spend, and spend some more. That's music to the ears of all Mastercard shareholders.\nAnnaly Capital Management\nDon't worry, I haven't forgotten about you dividend income-seekers out there. If a Biden bull market takes shape, mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT)Annaly Capital Management(NYSE:NLY)could be a smart place to put your money to work.\nWithout getting overly technical, mortgage REITs like Annaly borrow money at short-term lending rates and use it to purchase securities with higher long-term yields. In Annaly's case, we're primarily talking about mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The difference between the long-term yield received and the short-term borrowing rate is known as net interest margin (NIM). The wider the NIM, the more profitable Annaly is, and the bigger the dividend payout it can provide to shareholders. Right now, Annaly Capital isyielding a jaw-dropping 9.7%.\nWhat makes Annaly such a perfect stock to buy is thatwe're witnessing the yield curve steepen. When the U.S. economy is rebounding from a recession, it's normal for long-term yields to rise and for short-term yields to fall or flatten out. When this happens, Annaly usually experiences a widening of its NIM.\nAdditionally, Annaly almost exclusively buys agency securities. This is a fancy way of saying that the MBSs it's purchasing are backed by the federal government in the event of a default. This protection is what allows the company to utilize leverage to its advantage, thereby pumping up its profits.\nTrupanion\nLastly, companion animal health insurance company Trupanion(NASDAQ:TRUP)has all the look of an unbeatable stock to buy in a Biden bull market.\nThe pet industry may not offer flashy growth prospects like cybersecurity or cannabis, but it's arguably themost consistent growth opportunity. It's been more than a quarter of a century since year-over-year U.S. pet expenditures declined. Further, the American Pet Products Association notes that the percentage of American household owning a pet has increased from 56% in 1988 to 67% by 2019-2020. If we've learned anything about pet owners, it's that they're willing to spend big bucks to ensure the well-being of their four-legged family members.\nTrupanion, which recently lifted the hood on its first-quarter operating results, isclosing in on 1 million total enrolled pets(943,854 at the end of Q1 2021). Amazingly, this only represents a little over 1% penetration of the U.S. market. In the U.K., about 1 in 4 pet owners purchases insurance for their cat or dog. If Trupanion can achieve a similar penetration rate, its addressable market would be more than $32 billion.\nThis is a company that's spent two decades building up rapport with veterinarians and their staff at the clinical level. It's also the only major companion animal health insurance provider with software capable of handling payment to veterinarians at the time of checkout.\nThe sky is the limit for Trupanion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MA":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"TRUP":0.9,"NLY":0.9,"AZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340679302,"gmtCreate":1617412092906,"gmtModify":1634521093309,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566354699453607","authorIdStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Coins pls","listText":"Coins pls","text":"Coins pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340679302","repostId":"1112964874","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127480579,"gmtCreate":1624863196092,"gmtModify":1633947800787,"author":{"id":"3566354699453607","authorId":"3566354699453607","name":"Llwwhh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d3d8d4d183bc10e20b0e10d8861ab03","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566354699453607","authorIdStr":"3566354699453607"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio","listText":"Nio","text":"Nio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127480579","repostId":"1137119316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137119316","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624754401,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137119316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137119316","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.With Ford  launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO  will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>  <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>  <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在加深对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解，同时突出市场地位和机会的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多，高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特（F）在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势，中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）未来将面临多一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值，哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易？我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来，并在最后做出最终裁决。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特vs蔚来：全球电动车市场争夺战升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别，但两家公司将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场上展开正面交锋。福特的车队尚未专注于电动汽车，但这种情况将会改变：感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温，福特表示正在加速其电气化计划，到2025年投资300B美元用于其电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求对零排放汽车投资220亿美元。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标：未来十年内其全球销量的40%将是电动汽车，皮卡销量的33%将是电动汽车。如今，电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机，它将在2040年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，全球电动汽车销量为320万辆，市场份额仅为4.2%。然而，2020年，中国购买了全球41%的电动汽车。中国买家去年购买了130万辆电动汽车，随着北京寻求提高电动汽车的采用率，销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲，占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是世界上插电式电动汽车的第三大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：维基百科）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场，尽管欧洲正在迅速赶上，部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用，以及对全欧洲充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来即将进入欧洲市场，以期在竞争准备就绪之前扩大在全球第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>北京是蔚来汽车行业电气化背后的驱动力：政府希望到2025年电动汽车在新车销售中的份额达到20%，这将推动电动汽车在国内市场的渗透率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策，这些市场有望出现全球最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模，中国不仅是最大的市场，而且预计到2030年，中国的电动汽车销量将超过世界上所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：麦肯锡）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长以及更有利的监管框架，因此中国的赢家将是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有一个世纪的制造经验。但到目前为止，福特的产品线中只有一款全电动汽车可以与蔚来相媲美：野马Mach-E SUV。2022年，福特将开始销售全电动F-150 Lightening，该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录，包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来仅专注于生产电动汽车，并且占据了非常小且明确的利基市场，因此这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验，可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商所希望的更快的速度提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国成为特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手，而且在国外也成为蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划，它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议在其车队电气化上投入300B美元，这将加速其转型，并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>赢家：福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化和BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在一个竞争只会随着时间的推移而变得更加激烈的市场中的重要性，这就是为什么两家公司都在一个可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场主导地位的相关领域：电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司SK Innovation组建一家合资企业，以确保牵引电池单元和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加速电池交付，每年将生产约60 GWh，足以满足福特到2030年预计年度能源需求的25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术，并成立了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特的不同之处在于，蔚来的电池投资策略围绕电池订阅模式，也称为“电池即服务”，这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了强大的长期收入机会。在这种“BaaS”模式下，购买蔚来电动汽车的用户可以获得7万元人民币的初始折扣，相当于1.08万美元，并且可以签约包月租用可充电的70 kWh电池。然后可以在蔚来的一个电池交换站更换电池，该站遍布中国大多数大城市。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币，相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处：由于预付折扣，从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠，订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和更好的性能随着时间的推移。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入来源。“BaaS”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/更换站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户与蔚来绑定在一起，有可能增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来准备从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益，因为它们增加了资本配置。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池，性能将会提高，成本将会下降，这将推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车与内燃机乘用车相比更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建其商业模式的一部分，蔚来可能比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德(Schroders)提供的信息，自2014年以来，电动汽车的电池成本已下降70%，并且在本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS”模式非常天才，从长远来看，它可能会发展成为蔚来每年5亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资，但这一类别的赢家是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特5月份销量同比增长4.1%，但电动汽车销量（包括混合动力汽车）同比飙升184%，福特5月份售出创纪录的10,364辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified销量和Explorer Hybrid销量同比增长125%和132%，显示出强劲的客户接受度。蔚来上个月交付了6,711辆汽车，其中包括3,017辆ES6、1,412辆ES8和2,282辆EC6。5月份总交付量同比增长率为95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销售额是蔚来的54倍，这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和价值重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来的估值差异就像白天和黑夜的区别。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别出现爆炸性增长，但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商，预计企业销量将实现中低位数增长。预计到2025财年（基准年：2020财年），福特的收入将增长33%，蔚来的收入将增长808%！</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些销量增长的差异，蔚来与福特完全相反，至少就估值而言。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近100%，由于蔚来只经营电动汽车，蔚来的市值与销售额比率远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来风险更大……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业，但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。蔚来的全球总销量增长潜力更大，因为与福特相比，它的收入基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如，对于蔚来来说，由于生产缺陷而导致的召回将是一个比福特更大的挑战，福特可以依赖全球服务和分销网络。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险，因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓将对财务状况造成更大的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终审判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更“性感”的汽车制造商。中欧的强劲采用和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩，这是天才之举。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价，但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展，随着汽车制造商对其车队进行电气化，电动汽车销量的比例将会增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大，但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低，福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，请购买蔚来。如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力并且不喜欢太多风险，请购买福特。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来？最终判决</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li>  <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li>  <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在加深对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解，同时突出市场地位和机会的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多，高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特（F）在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势，中国电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）未来将面临多一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值，哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易？我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来，并在最后做出最终裁决。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特vs蔚来：全球电动车市场争夺战升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing&nbsp;$30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别，但两家公司将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场上展开正面交锋。福特的车队尚未专注于电动汽车，但这种情况将会改变：感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温，福特表示正在加速其电气化计划，到2025年投资300B美元用于其电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求对零排放汽车投资220亿美元。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标：未来十年内其全球销量的40%将是电动汽车，皮卡销量的33%将是电动汽车。如今，电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机，它将在2040年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，全球电动汽车销量为320万辆，市场份额仅为4.2%。然而，2020年，中国购买了全球41%的电动汽车。中国买家去年购买了130万辆电动汽车，随着北京寻求提高电动汽车的采用率，销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲，占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是世界上插电式电动汽车的第三大市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：维基百科）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is&nbsp;on the cusp of entering the European market&nbsp;in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场，尽管欧洲正在迅速赶上，部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用，以及对全欧洲充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来即将进入欧洲市场，以期在竞争准备就绪之前扩大在全球第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a&nbsp;twenty percent share&nbsp;of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>北京是蔚来汽车行业电气化背后的驱动力：政府希望到2025年电动汽车在新车销售中的份额达到20%，这将推动电动汽车在国内市场的渗透率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策，这些市场有望出现全球最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模，中国不仅是最大的市场，而且预计到2030年，中国的电动汽车销量将超过世界上所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：麦肯锡）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长以及更有利的监管框架，因此中国的赢家将是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有一个世纪的制造经验。但到目前为止，福特的产品线中只有一款全电动汽车可以与蔚来相媲美：野马Mach-E SUV。2022年，福特将开始销售全电动F-150 Lightening，该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录，包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来仅专注于生产电动汽车，并且占据了非常小且明确的利基市场，因此这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验，可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商所希望的更快的速度提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国成为特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手，而且在国外也成为蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划，它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议在其车队电气化上投入300B美元，这将加速其转型，并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>赢家：福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化和BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在一个竞争只会随着时间的推移而变得更加激烈的市场中的重要性，这就是为什么两家公司都在一个可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场主导地位的相关领域：电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is&nbsp;forming a joint venture&nbsp;with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has&nbsp;formed its own joint venture&nbsp;to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司SK Innovation组建一家合资企业，以确保牵引电池单元和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加速电池交付，每年将生产约60 GWh，足以满足福特到2030年预计年度能源需求的25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术，并成立了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特的不同之处在于，蔚来的电池投资策略围绕电池订阅模式，也称为“电池即服务”，这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了强大的长期收入机会。在这种“BaaS”模式下，购买蔚来电动汽车的用户可以获得7万元人民币的初始折扣，相当于1.08万美元，并且可以签约包月租用可充电的70 kWh电池。然后可以在蔚来的一个电池交换站更换电池，该站遍布中国大多数大城市。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币，相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处：由于预付折扣，从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠，订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和更好的性能随着时间的推移。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入来源。“BaaS”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/更换站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户与蔚来绑定在一起，有可能增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来准备从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益，因为它们增加了资本配置。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池，性能将会提高，成本将会下降，这将推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车与内燃机乘用车相比更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建其商业模式的一部分，蔚来可能比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德(Schroders)提供的信息，自2014年以来，电动汽车的电池成本已下降70%，并且在本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：施罗德）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS”模式非常天才，从长远来看，它可能会发展成为蔚来每年5亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资，但这一类别的赢家是：蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特5月份销量同比增长4.1%，但电动汽车销量（包括混合动力汽车）同比飙升184%，福特5月份售出创纪录的10,364辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified销量和Explorer Hybrid销量同比增长125%和132%，显示出强劲的客户接受度。蔚来上个月交付了6,711辆汽车，其中包括3,017辆ES6、1,412辆ES8和2,282辆EC6。5月份总交付量同比增长率为95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销售额是蔚来的54倍，这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和价值重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来的估值差异就像白天和黑夜的区别。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别出现爆炸性增长，但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商，预计企业销量将实现中低位数增长。预计到2025财年（基准年：2020财年），福特的收入将增长33%，蔚来的收入将增长808%！</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于这些销量增长的差异，蔚来与福特完全相反，至少就估值而言。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近100%，由于蔚来只经营电动汽车，蔚来的市值与销售额比率远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：作者）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来风险更大……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业，但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。蔚来的全球总销量增长潜力更大，因为与福特相比，它的收入基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如，对于蔚来来说，由于生产缺陷而导致的召回将是一个比福特更大的挑战，福特可以依赖全球服务和分销网络。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险，因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓将对财务状况造成更大的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终审判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更“性感”的汽车制造商。中欧的强劲采用和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩，这是天才之举。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价，但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展，随着汽车制造商对其车队进行电气化，电动汽车销量的比例将会增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大，但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低，福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力，请购买蔚来。如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力并且不喜欢太多风险，请购买福特。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137119316","content_text":"Summary\n\nI am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.\nThe comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.\nNIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nWith Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.\nFord vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up\nAlthough there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.\nMarket opportunity\nIn 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.\n(Source: Wikipedia)\nChina, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.\nBeijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.\n(Source:Schroders)\nTurning to growth projections.\nWith more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.\n(Source:McKinsey)\nSince China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.\nScale and manufacturing competence\nFord has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.\nSince NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.\nWinner here: Ford.\nDifferentiation and BaaS revenue model\nBoth Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.\nFord is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.\nThe difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.\nThe BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.\nFord and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.\nBattery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.\n(Source: Schroders)\nThe “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.\nSales growth and valuation\nFord’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.\nFord's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.\nData by YCharts\nThe difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!\nDue to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has larger risks...\nNIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.\nFinal verdict\nNIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.\nFord’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.\nIf you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. 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