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TeenPopZ

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2021-01-27

Fly to the moon

Apple Stock Could Surge 62% to $225, According to This Analyst<blockquote>这位分析师表示，苹果股价可能飙升 62% 至 225 美元</blockquote>

2021-02-08

Wow

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2021-04-21

Ok

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2021-03-28

Like me pls pls

Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>

2021-10-21

Ok

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2021-07-13

I’m sure by 100 end of year

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2021-07-09

Like lo

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2021-06-29

Ok

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2021-06-26

Ok

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2021-06-17

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

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go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864462659","repostId":"2172618951","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":948,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864382278,"gmtCreate":1633057860016,"gmtModify":1633057862757,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566966810662099","authorIdStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Go nio","listText":"Go nio","text":"Go nio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864382278","repostId":"1155834484","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155834484","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633047614,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1155834484?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 08:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Snowflake Stock A Buy? Data Analytics Specialist Rides Cloud Computing Wave<blockquote>雪花股票值得买入吗？数据分析专家乘着云计算浪潮</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155834484","media":"investors","summary":"Think of Snowflake stock as a proxy on the torrid growth of cloud computing giantsAmazon.com(AMZN),M","content":"<p>Think of Snowflake stock as a proxy on the torrid growth of cloud computing giants<b>Amazon.com</b>(AMZN),<b>Microsoft</b>(MSFT) and<b>Alphabet</b>'s (GOOGL) Google.</p><p><blockquote>将雪花股票视为云计算巨头快速增长的代表<b>亚马逊</b>（亚马逊），<b>微软</b>（MSFT）和<b>Alphabet</b>（GOOGL）谷歌。</blockquote></p><p> Many companies are turning to cloud computing services as part of \"digital transformation\" projects that aim to gain business insights from crunching massive volumes of data. The cloud computing titans offer their own data analytics and management tools.</p><p><blockquote>许多公司正在转向云计算服务，作为“数字化转型”项目的一部分，这些项目旨在从处理大量数据中获得业务洞察力。云计算巨头提供自己的数据分析和管理工具。</blockquote></p><p> In a \"coopetition\" model, thecloud giantsgive their customers a green light to buy<b>Snowflake</b>'s (SNOW) software. The reason is Snowflake's tools are better at some key tasks, such as letting companies compile, view, analyze and share massive amounts of data in an easy way.</p><p><blockquote>在“合作竞争”模式下，云巨头为客户购买开绿灯<b>雪花</b>的（雪）软件。原因是Snowflake的工具在一些关键任务上表现更好，比如让公司以简单的方式编译、查看、分析和共享海量数据。</blockquote></p><p> Nearly two-fifths of Fortune 500 companies use Snowflake's software in the cloud as they move away from on-premise data warehousing products from<b>Teradata</b>(TDC),<b>Oracle</b>(ORCL) and<b>IBM</b>(IBM).</p><p><blockquote>近五分之二的财富 500 强公司在云中使用 Snowflake 软件，因为它们正在逐步淘汰本地数据仓库产品。<b>特拉达塔</b>（贸发局），<b>甲骨文</b>（ORCL）和<b>IBM</b>（IBM）。</blockquote></p><p> One Snowflake customer is pharma giant<b>Pfizer</b>(PFE). Pfizer uses Snowflake tools to forecast product sales and to gain insights into thedistribution of the Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>雪花客户之一是制药巨头<b>辉瑞</b>（PFE）。辉瑞使用雪花工具来预测产品销售，并深入了解新冠肺炎疫苗的分销情况。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake Stock: Competition Increasing From Google Cloud?</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票：来自谷歌云的竞争加剧？</blockquote></p><p> Stellar customer growth enabled SNOW stock to pull off the largest initial public offering ever by a software company in September 2020. The IPO raised $3.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的客户增长使 SNOW stock 于 2020 年 9 月完成了软件公司有史以来规模最大的首次公开募股。IPO筹集了34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But is Snowflake a buy right now? After a tough start to 2021, software growth stocks have rebounded. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rose 5% in August, 3.4% in July and 8.7% in June.</p><p><blockquote>但是雪花现在值得购买吗？在经历了 2021 年的艰难开局后，软件成长型股票已经反弹。iShares 扩展科技软件行业 ETF 8 月份上涨 5%，7 月份上涨 3.4%，6 月份上涨 8.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock has out-performed the software sector since mid-May. It's up 13% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>自五月中旬以来，雪花股票的表现一直优于软件板块。2021年增长13%。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock hit an all-time high of 429 in early December last year. But SNOW stock swooned in late 2020 amid analyst concerns over its lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>去年 12 月初，雪花股票创下 429 点的历史新高。但由于分析师对其高估值的担忧，SNOW 股票在 2020 年底暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> At a June 10 analyst day, Snowflake laid out a path to $10 billion in product revenue by fiscal 2029, which coincides with calendar 2028. The $10 billion revenue target would result in a compound annual growth rate of 44%.</p><p><blockquote>在 6 月 10 日的分析师日上，Snowflake 制定了到 2029 财年实现 100 亿美元产品收入的路径，该财年与 2028 财年相吻合。100亿美元的收入目标将带来44%的复合年增长率。</blockquote></p><p> The company said it expects to increase the number of customers with over $1 million in product revenue. Snowflake also guided to long-term operating margin of 10%-plus, lower than some analysts expected.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，预计产品收入将超过 100 万美元，从而增加客户数量。Snowflake 还预计长期营业利润率将超过 10%，低于一些分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Possible Threat From Amazon</p><p><blockquote>来自亚马逊的可能威胁</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake in July announced support for digital advertising standard Unified ID 2.0. Advertising is one of Snowflake's largest verticals with customers representing a large percentage of players in the space, noted a RBC Capital report. The move comes as Googlephases out internet cookies for targeted advertising.</p><p><blockquote>雪花在7月份宣布支持数字广告标准统一ID 2.0。加拿大皇家银行资本的一份报告指出，广告是雪花最大的垂直行业之一，客户在该领域占据了很大一部分。此举正值谷歌逐步淘汰用于定向广告的互联网cookies之际。</blockquote></p><p> Whether Amazon Web Services ratchets up competition remains a concern for SNOW stock. Plus, competition with privately held Databricks is heating up. A February funding roundvalued Databricks at $28 billion.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊网络服务是否会加剧竞争仍然是 SNOW stock 关注的问题。此外，与私人持有的数据块的竞争正在白热化。2 月份的一笔融资使 Databricks 的估值达到 280 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Databricks, which usesartificial intelligence, is expected to launch its own IPO.<b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b>(HPE), with its GreenLake platform, is another rival.</p><p><blockquote>使用人工智能的Databricks预计将启动自己的IPO。<b>慧与</b>拥有 GreenLake 平台的 (HPE) 是另一个竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock bulls point to its seasoned management team as a strength no matter what unfolds.</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票的多头指出，无论发生什么，其经验丰富的管理团队都是一种优势。</blockquote></p><p> Two former Oracle engineers — Benoit Dageville and Thierry Cruanes — along with Marcin Zukowski, former chief executive of startup Vectorwise, started Snowflake in 2012. The company holds patents in database architecture, data warehouses and other areas.</p><p><blockquote>两名前甲骨文工程师——Benoit Dageville和Thierry Cruanes——以及初创公司Vectorwise的前首席执行官Marcin Zukowski于2012年创办了Snowflake。公司拥有数据库架构、数据仓库等领域的专利。</blockquote></p><p> SNOW Stock: ServiceNow Veterans Lead Company</p><p><blockquote>SNOW Stock：ServiceNow Veterans 牵头公司</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake brought inFrank Slootman as chief executive&nbsp;in May 2019. Slootman had stepped down as CEO of ServiceNow in early 2017. Former ServiceNow Chief Financial Officer Mike Scarpelli in 2019 also joined Snowflake in the same CFO position.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 于 2019 年 5 月任命 inFrank Slootman 为首席执行官。Slootman 已于 2017 年初辞去 ServiceNow 首席执行官一职。ServiceNow 前首席财务官 Mike Scarpelli 也于 2019 年加入 Snowflake，担任首席财务官一职。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike legacy, on-premise data management systems, Snowflake's platform was built from the ground up for cloud computing. It provides 100% of its software over the internet.</p><p><blockquote>与传统的本地数据管理系统不同，Snowflake的平台是为云计算从头开始构建的。它通过互联网提供100%的软件。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake customers can share data with their partners across multiple online storage systems using the company's data warehouse. Snowflake also enables easily searchable data to be shared among applications.</p><p><blockquote>雪花客户可以使用公司的数据仓库，通过多个在线存储系统与合作伙伴共享数据。Snowflake还支持在应用程序之间共享易于搜索的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's data analytics tools became available on Amazon Web Services in 2015, Microsoft's Azure in 2018 and on Google's cloud platform in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>雪花的数据分析工具于2015年在亚马逊网络服务上可用，2018年在微软的Azure上可用，2020年在谷歌云平台上可用。</blockquote></p><p> In June, Snowflake partnered with<b>C3.ai</b>(AI). The two companies will cooperate in offering artificial intelligence tools to companies.</p><p><blockquote>6月，雪花与<b>C3.艾</b>（人工智能）。两家公司将合作向企业提供人工智能工具。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon Web Services A 'Frenemy'</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊网络服务是“敌友”</blockquote></p><p> \"While Snowflake is multi-cloud, it derives some 85% of its revenues from data analytics jobs deployed on Amazon Web Services, which is also Snowflake's biggest rival with AWS Redshift,\" UBS analyst Karl Keirstead said in a recent note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师 Karl Keirstead 在最近给客户的一份报告中表示：“虽然 Snowflake 是多云的，但其约 85% 的收入来自部署在亚马逊网络服务上的数据分析工作，亚马逊网络服务也是 Snowflake 与 AWS Redshift 的最大竞争对手。”</blockquote></p><p> \"This 'frenemy' relationship is critical to Snowflake's success,\" Keirstead went on to say. \"AWS benefits far more from Snowflake spending on compute and storage infrastructure resources than they lose in the form of foregone AWS Redshift revenues. Snowflake represents a dream customer and partner for AWS and Microsoft Azure.\"</p><p><blockquote>“这种‘敌友’关系对于雪花的成功至关重要，”基尔斯特德继续说道。“AWS 从 Snowflake 在计算和存储基础设施资源上的支出中获得的好处远远大于他们因放弃的 AWS 红移收入而损失的好处。Snowflake 代表了 AWS 和微软 Azure 的梦想客户和合作伙伴。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Snowflake has focused on six core markets, including financial services, health care and life sciences, retail and consumer packaged goods, advertising media and entertainment, technology, and the government sector.</p><p><blockquote>雪花专注于六个核心市场，包括金融服务、医疗保健和生命科学、零售和消费品包装、广告媒体和娱乐、技术以及政府部门。</blockquote></p><p> When Snowflake went public in September it used a dual-class share structure that gave its CEO and insiderssuper-voting rights. However, Snowflake eliminated the dual-class structure in March.</p><p><blockquote>当 Snowflake 在 9 月份上市时，它采用了双重股权结构，赋予其首席执行官和内部人士超级投票权。然而，雪花在3月份取消了双级结构。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake had been based in San Mateo, Calif. Amid the shift to remote work spurred by the coronavirus emergency, Snowflake in May said it no longer has a corporate headquarters. It designated Bozeman, Mont., as its principal executive office. Slootman and Scarpelli are based in Bozeman.</p><p><blockquote>雪花公司总部设在加利福尼亚州的圣马特奥。在冠状病毒紧急情况下向远程工作的转变中，雪花在5月份表示，它不再有公司总部。它指定蒙大拿州波兹曼。，作为其主要执行办公室。斯洛特曼和斯卡佩利的总部设在波兹曼。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake Stock Fundamental Analysis</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票基本面分析</blockquote></p><p> Software stocks typically trade as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. Software-as-a-service, or SaaS, companies, such as<b>Salesforce.com</b>(CRM), typically provide the highest revenue growth. Salesforce is a key marketing partner of SNOW stock.</p><p><blockquote>软件股通常以前瞻性收入增长的倍数进行交易。软件即服务（SaaS）公司，例如<b>销售力量网站</b>（CRM），通常提供最高的收入增长。Salesforce 是 SNOW stock 的主要营销合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake also partners with consulting firms such as Deloitte and information technology firms such as privately held Informatica.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake还与德勤等咨询公司和私人控股的Informatica等信息技术公司合作。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake is not an SaaS company, however. Instead, it uses a consumption-based business model based on how much data its customers crunch and store.</p><p><blockquote>然而，雪花不是一家SaaS公司。相反，它使用基于消费的商业模式，基于客户处理和存储的数据量。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's revenue growth stands out. But there's less transparency and predictability than with subscription-based, recurring-revenue SaaS business models, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>雪花的收入增长脱颖而出。但分析师表示，与基于订阅的经常性收入 SaaS 商业模式相比，透明度和可预测性较低。</blockquote></p><p> \"SNOW has a consumption model, whereby customers contract for a certain amount of compute and storage capacity,\" Mizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz said in a note. \"The company only records revenue, however, as that capacity is used, so there can be a lag of several months or more before revenue recognition begins.\"</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗证券分析师格雷格·莫斯科维茨在一份报告中表示：“SNOW 有一个消费模式，客户通过该模式签订一定数量的计算和存储容量合同。”“然而，该公司仅在产能被使用时才记录收入，因此在收入确认开始之前可能会有几个月或更长时间的滞后。”</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake is nearing an annual revenue run-rate of $1 billion. That's a big milestone for software growth companies. But SNOW stock is unprofitable on the two most common accounting standards.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 的年收入已接近 10 亿美元。这对于软件成长型公司来说是一个重要的里程碑。但根据两种最常见的会计准则，SNOW stock 是无利可图的。</blockquote></p><p> Many software companies are unprofitable using GAAP earnings, or generally accepted accounting principles, which includes stock-based compensation. But they're profitable on a non-GAAP or \"adjusted\" earnings basis.</p><p><blockquote>许多软件公司使用 GAAP 收益或普遍接受的会计原则（包括基于股票的薪酬）是无利可图的。但它们在非 GAAP 或“调整后”收益基础上是盈利的。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake Stock Gains Traction In Large Deals</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票在大宗交易中获得吸引力</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's July quarter decelerated from the previous quarter but topped analyst estimates as it gained traction with large deals in the financial services and healthcare markets.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 7 月份季度的业绩比上一季度有所放缓，但由于金融服务和医疗保健市场的大宗交易获得了牵引力，超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake said July-quarter revenue jumped 104% to $272.2 million from a year earlier. Analysts had estimated Snowflake revenue of $256.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 表示，7 月份季度收入同比增长 104%，达到 2.722 亿美元。分析师预计 Snowflake 的收入为 2.565 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake sales soared 110% in the April quarter and 117% in the January quarter.</p><p><blockquote>雪花销售额在 4 月份季度飙升 110%，在 1 月份季度飙升 117%。</blockquote></p><p> The provider of cloud-based data analytics software said product revenue rose 103% to $254.6 million vs. estimates of $240 million.</p><p><blockquote>这家基于云的数据分析软件提供商表示，产品收入增长了103%，达到2.546亿美元，而预期为2.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Snowflake said it now has 116 customers with \"trailing 12-month product revenue greater than $1 million,\" up from 104 such customers as of April 30.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Snowflake 表示，目前有 116 名客户“过去 12 个月的产品收入超过 100 万美元”，而截至 4 月 30 日，此类客户为 104 名。</blockquote></p><p> \"SNOW stock ended the quarter with 12 net new $1 million-plus customers (vs. 27 last quarter, 8 a year ago), bringing total $1 million-plus customers to 116,\" said Cowen analyst J. Derrick Wood in a report. \"Management cited strength come from rising deal sizes, strong competitive win rates, high sales productivity levels and balanced demand across geographies, customer segments and verticals. SNOW's recent vertically-focused, go-to-market initiatives are resonating particularly well in financial services and healthcare.\"</p><p><blockquote>Cowen 分析师 J. Derrick Wood 在一份报告中表示：“本季度末，SNOW stock 净增 12 个 100 万美元以上的新客户（上季度为 27 个，去年同期为 8 个），使 100 万美元以上的客户总数达到 116 个。”“管理层认为，优势来自不断增长的交易规模、强劲的竞争胜率、高销售生产力水平以及跨地域、客户群和垂直领域的平衡需求。SNOW 最近专注于垂直领域的市场推广计划在金融服务和医疗保健领域引起了特别好的共鸣。”</blockquote></p><p> For the October quarter, Snowflake forecast product revenue in a range of $280 million to $285 million, above estimates of $270.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于 10 月份季度，Snowflake 预计产品收入将在 2.8 亿至 2.85 亿美元之间，高于 2.705 亿美元的预期。</blockquote></p><p> SNOW Stock Technical Analysis</p><p><blockquote>雪股技术分析</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock went public on Sept. 16, 2020, at 120 a share. At the time, software growth stocks were hot as investors sought recurring revenue amid the coronavirus emergency.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 股票于 2020 年 9 月 16 日上市，每股价格为 120 美元。当时，由于投资者在冠状病毒紧急情况下寻求经常性收入，软件成长型股票炙手可热。</blockquote></p><p> SNOW stock popped as high as 319 on the first day of trading and closed 111.6% above the IPO price at 253.93. Shares pulled back as analysts debated Snowflake's valuation.</p><p><blockquote>SNOW 股票首日交易高达 319 点，收盘价较 IPO 价格上涨 111.6%，报 253.93 点。由于分析师对 Snowflake 的估值展开辩论，股价回落。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock forged acup-with-handle baseover the next two months. The new base created an entry point of 301. SNOW stock blew past the buy point, hitting an all-time high of 429 on Dec. 8.</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票在接下来的两个月里锻造了带手柄的针尖底座。新基地创建了301的入口点。SNOW 股价突破买入点，12 月 8 日创下 429 点的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock swooned in late 2020 amid questions over its valuation even as the IBD Computer-Software Enterprise group stayed resilient. The Computer-Software Enterprise group did not break down until mid-February amid a market rotation to value.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 IBD 计算机软件企业集团保持弹性，但由于对其估值的质疑，Snowflake 股票在 2020 年底暴跌。这家计算机软件企业集团直到二月中旬才在市场价值轮动中倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock hit a 12-month low of 184.71 on May 13.</p><p><blockquote>5月13日，Snowflake股价触及184.71点的12个月低点。</blockquote></p><p> Is Snowflake Stock A Buy Right Now?</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票现在值得买入吗？</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock still trades at a substantial premium as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. SNOW stock holds anIBD Composite Ratingof&nbsp; 53 out of a best possible 99, according toIBD Stock Checkup.</p><p><blockquote>由于前瞻性收入增长的倍数，Snowflake 股票的交易价格仍然大幅溢价。根据 IBD 股票检查，SNOW 股票的 IBD 综合评级为 53 分（满分 99 分）。</blockquote></p><p> IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.</p><p><blockquote>IBD的综合评级将五个独立的专有评级合并为一个易于使用的评级。最好的成长型股票的综合评级为 90 或更高。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One bright spot is that Snowflake stock owns an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of B, according toIBD MarketSmithanalysis. That rating analyzes price and volume changes in a stock over the past 13 weeks of trading.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD MarketSmithanalysis 的数据，一个亮点是雪花股票的累积/分配评级为 B。该评级分析股票在过去 13 周交易中的价格和成交量变化。</blockquote></p><p> The rating, on an A+ to E scale, measures institutional buying and selling in a stock. A+ signifies heavy institutional buying; E means heavy selling. Think of the C grade as neutral.</p><p><blockquote>该评级范围为 A+ 至 E，衡量机构对股票的买卖情况。A+表示机构大量买入；E意味着大量抛售。把C级想象成中性。</blockquote></p><p> SNOW stock has yet toform a basewith a proper entry point. Snowflake stock has clawed above its 50-day moving average. If it holds above the 50-day line that could kick-start the right side of a deep base.</p><p><blockquote>雪股尚未形成一个具有适当切入点的基础。Snowflake 股票已突破 50 天移动平均线。如果它保持在 50 日线上方，可能会启动深底的右侧。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Snowflake Stock A Buy? Data Analytics Specialist Rides Cloud Computing Wave<blockquote>雪花股票值得买入吗？数据分析专家乘着云计算浪潮</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Snowflake Stock A Buy? Data Analytics Specialist Rides Cloud Computing Wave<blockquote>雪花股票值得买入吗？数据分析专家乘着云计算浪潮</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-01 08:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Think of Snowflake stock as a proxy on the torrid growth of cloud computing giants<b>Amazon.com</b>(AMZN),<b>Microsoft</b>(MSFT) and<b>Alphabet</b>'s (GOOGL) Google.</p><p><blockquote>将雪花股票视为云计算巨头快速增长的代表<b>亚马逊</b>（亚马逊），<b>微软</b>（MSFT）和<b>Alphabet</b>（GOOGL）谷歌。</blockquote></p><p> Many companies are turning to cloud computing services as part of \"digital transformation\" projects that aim to gain business insights from crunching massive volumes of data. The cloud computing titans offer their own data analytics and management tools.</p><p><blockquote>许多公司正在转向云计算服务，作为“数字化转型”项目的一部分，这些项目旨在从处理大量数据中获得业务洞察力。云计算巨头提供自己的数据分析和管理工具。</blockquote></p><p> In a \"coopetition\" model, thecloud giantsgive their customers a green light to buy<b>Snowflake</b>'s (SNOW) software. The reason is Snowflake's tools are better at some key tasks, such as letting companies compile, view, analyze and share massive amounts of data in an easy way.</p><p><blockquote>在“合作竞争”模式下，云巨头为客户购买开绿灯<b>雪花</b>的（雪）软件。原因是Snowflake的工具在一些关键任务上表现更好，比如让公司以简单的方式编译、查看、分析和共享海量数据。</blockquote></p><p> Nearly two-fifths of Fortune 500 companies use Snowflake's software in the cloud as they move away from on-premise data warehousing products from<b>Teradata</b>(TDC),<b>Oracle</b>(ORCL) and<b>IBM</b>(IBM).</p><p><blockquote>近五分之二的财富 500 强公司在云中使用 Snowflake 软件，因为它们正在逐步淘汰本地数据仓库产品。<b>特拉达塔</b>（贸发局），<b>甲骨文</b>（ORCL）和<b>IBM</b>（IBM）。</blockquote></p><p> One Snowflake customer is pharma giant<b>Pfizer</b>(PFE). Pfizer uses Snowflake tools to forecast product sales and to gain insights into thedistribution of the Covid-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>雪花客户之一是制药巨头<b>辉瑞</b>（PFE）。辉瑞使用雪花工具来预测产品销售，并深入了解新冠肺炎疫苗的分销情况。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake Stock: Competition Increasing From Google Cloud?</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票：来自谷歌云的竞争加剧？</blockquote></p><p> Stellar customer growth enabled SNOW stock to pull off the largest initial public offering ever by a software company in September 2020. The IPO raised $3.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的客户增长使 SNOW stock 于 2020 年 9 月完成了软件公司有史以来规模最大的首次公开募股。IPO筹集了34亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But is Snowflake a buy right now? After a tough start to 2021, software growth stocks have rebounded. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rose 5% in August, 3.4% in July and 8.7% in June.</p><p><blockquote>但是雪花现在值得购买吗？在经历了 2021 年的艰难开局后，软件成长型股票已经反弹。iShares 扩展科技软件行业 ETF 8 月份上涨 5%，7 月份上涨 3.4%，6 月份上涨 8.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock has out-performed the software sector since mid-May. It's up 13% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>自五月中旬以来，雪花股票的表现一直优于软件板块。2021年增长13%。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock hit an all-time high of 429 in early December last year. But SNOW stock swooned in late 2020 amid analyst concerns over its lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>去年 12 月初，雪花股票创下 429 点的历史新高。但由于分析师对其高估值的担忧，SNOW 股票在 2020 年底暴跌。</blockquote></p><p> At a June 10 analyst day, Snowflake laid out a path to $10 billion in product revenue by fiscal 2029, which coincides with calendar 2028. The $10 billion revenue target would result in a compound annual growth rate of 44%.</p><p><blockquote>在 6 月 10 日的分析师日上，Snowflake 制定了到 2029 财年实现 100 亿美元产品收入的路径，该财年与 2028 财年相吻合。100亿美元的收入目标将带来44%的复合年增长率。</blockquote></p><p> The company said it expects to increase the number of customers with over $1 million in product revenue. Snowflake also guided to long-term operating margin of 10%-plus, lower than some analysts expected.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示，预计产品收入将超过 100 万美元，从而增加客户数量。Snowflake 还预计长期营业利润率将超过 10%，低于一些分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Possible Threat From Amazon</p><p><blockquote>来自亚马逊的可能威胁</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake in July announced support for digital advertising standard Unified ID 2.0. Advertising is one of Snowflake's largest verticals with customers representing a large percentage of players in the space, noted a RBC Capital report. The move comes as Googlephases out internet cookies for targeted advertising.</p><p><blockquote>雪花在7月份宣布支持数字广告标准统一ID 2.0。加拿大皇家银行资本的一份报告指出，广告是雪花最大的垂直行业之一，客户在该领域占据了很大一部分。此举正值谷歌逐步淘汰用于定向广告的互联网cookies之际。</blockquote></p><p> Whether Amazon Web Services ratchets up competition remains a concern for SNOW stock. Plus, competition with privately held Databricks is heating up. A February funding roundvalued Databricks at $28 billion.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊网络服务是否会加剧竞争仍然是 SNOW stock 关注的问题。此外，与私人持有的数据块的竞争正在白热化。2 月份的一笔融资使 Databricks 的估值达到 280 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Databricks, which usesartificial intelligence, is expected to launch its own IPO.<b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b>(HPE), with its GreenLake platform, is another rival.</p><p><blockquote>使用人工智能的Databricks预计将启动自己的IPO。<b>慧与</b>拥有 GreenLake 平台的 (HPE) 是另一个竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock bulls point to its seasoned management team as a strength no matter what unfolds.</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票的多头指出，无论发生什么，其经验丰富的管理团队都是一种优势。</blockquote></p><p> Two former Oracle engineers — Benoit Dageville and Thierry Cruanes — along with Marcin Zukowski, former chief executive of startup Vectorwise, started Snowflake in 2012. The company holds patents in database architecture, data warehouses and other areas.</p><p><blockquote>两名前甲骨文工程师——Benoit Dageville和Thierry Cruanes——以及初创公司Vectorwise的前首席执行官Marcin Zukowski于2012年创办了Snowflake。公司拥有数据库架构、数据仓库等领域的专利。</blockquote></p><p> SNOW Stock: ServiceNow Veterans Lead Company</p><p><blockquote>SNOW Stock：ServiceNow Veterans 牵头公司</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake brought inFrank Slootman as chief executive&nbsp;in May 2019. Slootman had stepped down as CEO of ServiceNow in early 2017. Former ServiceNow Chief Financial Officer Mike Scarpelli in 2019 also joined Snowflake in the same CFO position.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 于 2019 年 5 月任命 inFrank Slootman 为首席执行官。Slootman 已于 2017 年初辞去 ServiceNow 首席执行官一职。ServiceNow 前首席财务官 Mike Scarpelli 也于 2019 年加入 Snowflake，担任首席财务官一职。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike legacy, on-premise data management systems, Snowflake's platform was built from the ground up for cloud computing. It provides 100% of its software over the internet.</p><p><blockquote>与传统的本地数据管理系统不同，Snowflake的平台是为云计算从头开始构建的。它通过互联网提供100%的软件。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake customers can share data with their partners across multiple online storage systems using the company's data warehouse. Snowflake also enables easily searchable data to be shared among applications.</p><p><blockquote>雪花客户可以使用公司的数据仓库，通过多个在线存储系统与合作伙伴共享数据。Snowflake还支持在应用程序之间共享易于搜索的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's data analytics tools became available on Amazon Web Services in 2015, Microsoft's Azure in 2018 and on Google's cloud platform in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>雪花的数据分析工具于2015年在亚马逊网络服务上可用，2018年在微软的Azure上可用，2020年在谷歌云平台上可用。</blockquote></p><p> In June, Snowflake partnered with<b>C3.ai</b>(AI). The two companies will cooperate in offering artificial intelligence tools to companies.</p><p><blockquote>6月，雪花与<b>C3.艾</b>（人工智能）。两家公司将合作向企业提供人工智能工具。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon Web Services A 'Frenemy'</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊网络服务是“敌友”</blockquote></p><p> \"While Snowflake is multi-cloud, it derives some 85% of its revenues from data analytics jobs deployed on Amazon Web Services, which is also Snowflake's biggest rival with AWS Redshift,\" UBS analyst Karl Keirstead said in a recent note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师 Karl Keirstead 在最近给客户的一份报告中表示：“虽然 Snowflake 是多云的，但其约 85% 的收入来自部署在亚马逊网络服务上的数据分析工作，亚马逊网络服务也是 Snowflake 与 AWS Redshift 的最大竞争对手。”</blockquote></p><p> \"This 'frenemy' relationship is critical to Snowflake's success,\" Keirstead went on to say. \"AWS benefits far more from Snowflake spending on compute and storage infrastructure resources than they lose in the form of foregone AWS Redshift revenues. Snowflake represents a dream customer and partner for AWS and Microsoft Azure.\"</p><p><blockquote>“这种‘敌友’关系对于雪花的成功至关重要，”基尔斯特德继续说道。“AWS 从 Snowflake 在计算和存储基础设施资源上的支出中获得的好处远远大于他们因放弃的 AWS 红移收入而损失的好处。Snowflake 代表了 AWS 和微软 Azure 的梦想客户和合作伙伴。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Snowflake has focused on six core markets, including financial services, health care and life sciences, retail and consumer packaged goods, advertising media and entertainment, technology, and the government sector.</p><p><blockquote>雪花专注于六个核心市场，包括金融服务、医疗保健和生命科学、零售和消费品包装、广告媒体和娱乐、技术以及政府部门。</blockquote></p><p> When Snowflake went public in September it used a dual-class share structure that gave its CEO and insiderssuper-voting rights. However, Snowflake eliminated the dual-class structure in March.</p><p><blockquote>当 Snowflake 在 9 月份上市时，它采用了双重股权结构，赋予其首席执行官和内部人士超级投票权。然而，雪花在3月份取消了双级结构。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake had been based in San Mateo, Calif. Amid the shift to remote work spurred by the coronavirus emergency, Snowflake in May said it no longer has a corporate headquarters. It designated Bozeman, Mont., as its principal executive office. Slootman and Scarpelli are based in Bozeman.</p><p><blockquote>雪花公司总部设在加利福尼亚州的圣马特奥。在冠状病毒紧急情况下向远程工作的转变中，雪花在5月份表示，它不再有公司总部。它指定蒙大拿州波兹曼。，作为其主要执行办公室。斯洛特曼和斯卡佩利的总部设在波兹曼。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake Stock Fundamental Analysis</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票基本面分析</blockquote></p><p> Software stocks typically trade as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. Software-as-a-service, or SaaS, companies, such as<b>Salesforce.com</b>(CRM), typically provide the highest revenue growth. Salesforce is a key marketing partner of SNOW stock.</p><p><blockquote>软件股通常以前瞻性收入增长的倍数进行交易。软件即服务（SaaS）公司，例如<b>销售力量网站</b>（CRM），通常提供最高的收入增长。Salesforce 是 SNOW stock 的主要营销合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake also partners with consulting firms such as Deloitte and information technology firms such as privately held Informatica.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake还与德勤等咨询公司和私人控股的Informatica等信息技术公司合作。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake is not an SaaS company, however. Instead, it uses a consumption-based business model based on how much data its customers crunch and store.</p><p><blockquote>然而，雪花不是一家SaaS公司。相反，它使用基于消费的商业模式，基于客户处理和存储的数据量。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's revenue growth stands out. But there's less transparency and predictability than with subscription-based, recurring-revenue SaaS business models, analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>雪花的收入增长脱颖而出。但分析师表示，与基于订阅的经常性收入 SaaS 商业模式相比，透明度和可预测性较低。</blockquote></p><p> \"SNOW has a consumption model, whereby customers contract for a certain amount of compute and storage capacity,\" Mizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz said in a note. \"The company only records revenue, however, as that capacity is used, so there can be a lag of several months or more before revenue recognition begins.\"</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗证券分析师格雷格·莫斯科维茨在一份报告中表示：“SNOW 有一个消费模式，客户通过该模式签订一定数量的计算和存储容量合同。”“然而，该公司仅在产能被使用时才记录收入，因此在收入确认开始之前可能会有几个月或更长时间的滞后。”</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake is nearing an annual revenue run-rate of $1 billion. That's a big milestone for software growth companies. But SNOW stock is unprofitable on the two most common accounting standards.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 的年收入已接近 10 亿美元。这对于软件成长型公司来说是一个重要的里程碑。但根据两种最常见的会计准则，SNOW stock 是无利可图的。</blockquote></p><p> Many software companies are unprofitable using GAAP earnings, or generally accepted accounting principles, which includes stock-based compensation. But they're profitable on a non-GAAP or \"adjusted\" earnings basis.</p><p><blockquote>许多软件公司使用 GAAP 收益或普遍接受的会计原则（包括基于股票的薪酬）是无利可图的。但它们在非 GAAP 或“调整后”收益基础上是盈利的。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake Stock Gains Traction In Large Deals</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票在大宗交易中获得吸引力</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's July quarter decelerated from the previous quarter but topped analyst estimates as it gained traction with large deals in the financial services and healthcare markets.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 7 月份季度的业绩比上一季度有所放缓，但由于金融服务和医疗保健市场的大宗交易获得了牵引力，超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake said July-quarter revenue jumped 104% to $272.2 million from a year earlier. Analysts had estimated Snowflake revenue of $256.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 表示，7 月份季度收入同比增长 104%，达到 2.722 亿美元。分析师预计 Snowflake 的收入为 2.565 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake sales soared 110% in the April quarter and 117% in the January quarter.</p><p><blockquote>雪花销售额在 4 月份季度飙升 110%，在 1 月份季度飙升 117%。</blockquote></p><p> The provider of cloud-based data analytics software said product revenue rose 103% to $254.6 million vs. estimates of $240 million.</p><p><blockquote>这家基于云的数据分析软件提供商表示，产品收入增长了103%，达到2.546亿美元，而预期为2.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Snowflake said it now has 116 customers with \"trailing 12-month product revenue greater than $1 million,\" up from 104 such customers as of April 30.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Snowflake 表示，目前有 116 名客户“过去 12 个月的产品收入超过 100 万美元”，而截至 4 月 30 日，此类客户为 104 名。</blockquote></p><p> \"SNOW stock ended the quarter with 12 net new $1 million-plus customers (vs. 27 last quarter, 8 a year ago), bringing total $1 million-plus customers to 116,\" said Cowen analyst J. Derrick Wood in a report. \"Management cited strength come from rising deal sizes, strong competitive win rates, high sales productivity levels and balanced demand across geographies, customer segments and verticals. SNOW's recent vertically-focused, go-to-market initiatives are resonating particularly well in financial services and healthcare.\"</p><p><blockquote>Cowen 分析师 J. Derrick Wood 在一份报告中表示：“本季度末，SNOW stock 净增 12 个 100 万美元以上的新客户（上季度为 27 个，去年同期为 8 个），使 100 万美元以上的客户总数达到 116 个。”“管理层认为，优势来自不断增长的交易规模、强劲的竞争胜率、高销售生产力水平以及跨地域、客户群和垂直领域的平衡需求。SNOW 最近专注于垂直领域的市场推广计划在金融服务和医疗保健领域引起了特别好的共鸣。”</blockquote></p><p> For the October quarter, Snowflake forecast product revenue in a range of $280 million to $285 million, above estimates of $270.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于 10 月份季度，Snowflake 预计产品收入将在 2.8 亿至 2.85 亿美元之间，高于 2.705 亿美元的预期。</blockquote></p><p> SNOW Stock Technical Analysis</p><p><blockquote>雪股技术分析</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock went public on Sept. 16, 2020, at 120 a share. At the time, software growth stocks were hot as investors sought recurring revenue amid the coronavirus emergency.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 股票于 2020 年 9 月 16 日上市，每股价格为 120 美元。当时，由于投资者在冠状病毒紧急情况下寻求经常性收入，软件成长型股票炙手可热。</blockquote></p><p> SNOW stock popped as high as 319 on the first day of trading and closed 111.6% above the IPO price at 253.93. Shares pulled back as analysts debated Snowflake's valuation.</p><p><blockquote>SNOW 股票首日交易高达 319 点，收盘价较 IPO 价格上涨 111.6%，报 253.93 点。由于分析师对 Snowflake 的估值展开辩论，股价回落。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock forged acup-with-handle baseover the next two months. The new base created an entry point of 301. SNOW stock blew past the buy point, hitting an all-time high of 429 on Dec. 8.</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票在接下来的两个月里锻造了带手柄的针尖底座。新基地创建了301的入口点。SNOW 股价突破买入点，12 月 8 日创下 429 点的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock swooned in late 2020 amid questions over its valuation even as the IBD Computer-Software Enterprise group stayed resilient. The Computer-Software Enterprise group did not break down until mid-February amid a market rotation to value.</p><p><blockquote>尽管 IBD 计算机软件企业集团保持弹性，但由于对其估值的质疑，Snowflake 股票在 2020 年底暴跌。这家计算机软件企业集团直到二月中旬才在市场价值轮动中倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock hit a 12-month low of 184.71 on May 13.</p><p><blockquote>5月13日，Snowflake股价触及184.71点的12个月低点。</blockquote></p><p> Is Snowflake Stock A Buy Right Now?</p><p><blockquote>雪花股票现在值得买入吗？</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake stock still trades at a substantial premium as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. SNOW stock holds anIBD Composite Ratingof&nbsp; 53 out of a best possible 99, according toIBD Stock Checkup.</p><p><blockquote>由于前瞻性收入增长的倍数，Snowflake 股票的交易价格仍然大幅溢价。根据 IBD 股票检查，SNOW 股票的 IBD 综合评级为 53 分（满分 99 分）。</blockquote></p><p> IBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.</p><p><blockquote>IBD的综合评级将五个独立的专有评级合并为一个易于使用的评级。最好的成长型股票的综合评级为 90 或更高。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One bright spot is that Snowflake stock owns an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of B, according toIBD MarketSmithanalysis. That rating analyzes price and volume changes in a stock over the past 13 weeks of trading.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBD MarketSmithanalysis 的数据，一个亮点是雪花股票的累积/分配评级为 B。该评级分析股票在过去 13 周交易中的价格和成交量变化。</blockquote></p><p> The rating, on an A+ to E scale, measures institutional buying and selling in a stock. A+ signifies heavy institutional buying; E means heavy selling. Think of the C grade as neutral.</p><p><blockquote>该评级范围为 A+ 至 E，衡量机构对股票的买卖情况。A+表示机构大量买入；E意味着大量抛售。把C级想象成中性。</blockquote></p><p> SNOW stock has yet toform a basewith a proper entry point. Snowflake stock has clawed above its 50-day moving average. If it holds above the 50-day line that could kick-start the right side of a deep base.</p><p><blockquote>雪股尚未形成一个具有适当切入点的基础。Snowflake 股票已突破 50 天移动平均线。如果它保持在 50 日线上方，可能会启动深底的右侧。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investors.com/news/technology/snowflake-snow-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNOW":"Snowflake"},"source_url":"https://investors.com/news/technology/snowflake-snow-stock-buy-now/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155834484","content_text":"Think of Snowflake stock as a proxy on the torrid growth of cloud computing giantsAmazon.com(AMZN),Microsoft(MSFT) andAlphabet's (GOOGL) Google.\nMany companies are turning to cloud computing services as part of \"digital transformation\" projects that aim to gain business insights from crunching massive volumes of data. The cloud computing titans offer their own data analytics and management tools.\nIn a \"coopetition\" model, thecloud giantsgive their customers a green light to buySnowflake's (SNOW) software. The reason is Snowflake's tools are better at some key tasks, such as letting companies compile, view, analyze and share massive amounts of data in an easy way.\nNearly two-fifths of Fortune 500 companies use Snowflake's software in the cloud as they move away from on-premise data warehousing products fromTeradata(TDC),Oracle(ORCL) andIBM(IBM).\nOne Snowflake customer is pharma giantPfizer(PFE). Pfizer uses Snowflake tools to forecast product sales and to gain insights into thedistribution of the Covid-19 vaccine.\nSnowflake Stock: Competition Increasing From Google Cloud?\nStellar customer growth enabled SNOW stock to pull off the largest initial public offering ever by a software company in September 2020. The IPO raised $3.4 billion.\nBut is Snowflake a buy right now? After a tough start to 2021, software growth stocks have rebounded. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rose 5% in August, 3.4% in July and 8.7% in June.\nSnowflake stock has out-performed the software sector since mid-May. It's up 13% in 2021.\nSnowflake stock hit an all-time high of 429 in early December last year. But SNOW stock swooned in late 2020 amid analyst concerns over its lofty valuation.\nAt a June 10 analyst day, Snowflake laid out a path to $10 billion in product revenue by fiscal 2029, which coincides with calendar 2028. The $10 billion revenue target would result in a compound annual growth rate of 44%.\nThe company said it expects to increase the number of customers with over $1 million in product revenue. Snowflake also guided to long-term operating margin of 10%-plus, lower than some analysts expected.\nPossible Threat From Amazon\nSnowflake in July announced support for digital advertising standard Unified ID 2.0. Advertising is one of Snowflake's largest verticals with customers representing a large percentage of players in the space, noted a RBC Capital report. The move comes as Googlephases out internet cookies for targeted advertising.\nWhether Amazon Web Services ratchets up competition remains a concern for SNOW stock. Plus, competition with privately held Databricks is heating up. A February funding roundvalued Databricks at $28 billion.\nDatabricks, which usesartificial intelligence, is expected to launch its own IPO.Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE), with its GreenLake platform, is another rival.\nSnowflake stock bulls point to its seasoned management team as a strength no matter what unfolds.\nTwo former Oracle engineers — Benoit Dageville and Thierry Cruanes — along with Marcin Zukowski, former chief executive of startup Vectorwise, started Snowflake in 2012. The company holds patents in database architecture, data warehouses and other areas.\nSNOW Stock: ServiceNow Veterans Lead Company\nSnowflake brought inFrank Slootman as chief executive in May 2019. Slootman had stepped down as CEO of ServiceNow in early 2017. Former ServiceNow Chief Financial Officer Mike Scarpelli in 2019 also joined Snowflake in the same CFO position.\nUnlike legacy, on-premise data management systems, Snowflake's platform was built from the ground up for cloud computing. It provides 100% of its software over the internet.\nSnowflake customers can share data with their partners across multiple online storage systems using the company's data warehouse. Snowflake also enables easily searchable data to be shared among applications.\nSnowflake's data analytics tools became available on Amazon Web Services in 2015, Microsoft's Azure in 2018 and on Google's cloud platform in 2020.\nIn June, Snowflake partnered withC3.ai(AI). The two companies will cooperate in offering artificial intelligence tools to companies.\nAmazon Web Services A 'Frenemy'\n\"While Snowflake is multi-cloud, it derives some 85% of its revenues from data analytics jobs deployed on Amazon Web Services, which is also Snowflake's biggest rival with AWS Redshift,\" UBS analyst Karl Keirstead said in a recent note to clients.\n\"This 'frenemy' relationship is critical to Snowflake's success,\" Keirstead went on to say. \"AWS benefits far more from Snowflake spending on compute and storage infrastructure resources than they lose in the form of foregone AWS Redshift revenues. Snowflake represents a dream customer and partner for AWS and Microsoft Azure.\"\nSnowflake has focused on six core markets, including financial services, health care and life sciences, retail and consumer packaged goods, advertising media and entertainment, technology, and the government sector.\nWhen Snowflake went public in September it used a dual-class share structure that gave its CEO and insiderssuper-voting rights. However, Snowflake eliminated the dual-class structure in March.\nSnowflake had been based in San Mateo, Calif. Amid the shift to remote work spurred by the coronavirus emergency, Snowflake in May said it no longer has a corporate headquarters. It designated Bozeman, Mont., as its principal executive office. Slootman and Scarpelli are based in Bozeman.\nSnowflake Stock Fundamental Analysis\nSoftware stocks typically trade as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. Software-as-a-service, or SaaS, companies, such asSalesforce.com(CRM), typically provide the highest revenue growth. Salesforce is a key marketing partner of SNOW stock.\nSnowflake also partners with consulting firms such as Deloitte and information technology firms such as privately held Informatica.\nSnowflake is not an SaaS company, however. Instead, it uses a consumption-based business model based on how much data its customers crunch and store.\nSnowflake's revenue growth stands out. But there's less transparency and predictability than with subscription-based, recurring-revenue SaaS business models, analysts say.\n\"SNOW has a consumption model, whereby customers contract for a certain amount of compute and storage capacity,\" Mizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz said in a note. \"The company only records revenue, however, as that capacity is used, so there can be a lag of several months or more before revenue recognition begins.\"\nSnowflake is nearing an annual revenue run-rate of $1 billion. That's a big milestone for software growth companies. But SNOW stock is unprofitable on the two most common accounting standards.\nMany software companies are unprofitable using GAAP earnings, or generally accepted accounting principles, which includes stock-based compensation. But they're profitable on a non-GAAP or \"adjusted\" earnings basis.\nSnowflake Stock Gains Traction In Large Deals\nSnowflake's July quarter decelerated from the previous quarter but topped analyst estimates as it gained traction with large deals in the financial services and healthcare markets.\nSnowflake said July-quarter revenue jumped 104% to $272.2 million from a year earlier. Analysts had estimated Snowflake revenue of $256.5 million.\nSnowflake sales soared 110% in the April quarter and 117% in the January quarter.\nThe provider of cloud-based data analytics software said product revenue rose 103% to $254.6 million vs. estimates of $240 million.\nIn addition, Snowflake said it now has 116 customers with \"trailing 12-month product revenue greater than $1 million,\" up from 104 such customers as of April 30.\n\"SNOW stock ended the quarter with 12 net new $1 million-plus customers (vs. 27 last quarter, 8 a year ago), bringing total $1 million-plus customers to 116,\" said Cowen analyst J. Derrick Wood in a report. \"Management cited strength come from rising deal sizes, strong competitive win rates, high sales productivity levels and balanced demand across geographies, customer segments and verticals. SNOW's recent vertically-focused, go-to-market initiatives are resonating particularly well in financial services and healthcare.\"\nFor the October quarter, Snowflake forecast product revenue in a range of $280 million to $285 million, above estimates of $270.5 million.\nSNOW Stock Technical Analysis\nSnowflake stock went public on Sept. 16, 2020, at 120 a share. At the time, software growth stocks were hot as investors sought recurring revenue amid the coronavirus emergency.\nSNOW stock popped as high as 319 on the first day of trading and closed 111.6% above the IPO price at 253.93. Shares pulled back as analysts debated Snowflake's valuation.\nSnowflake stock forged acup-with-handle baseover the next two months. The new base created an entry point of 301. SNOW stock blew past the buy point, hitting an all-time high of 429 on Dec. 8.\nSnowflake stock swooned in late 2020 amid questions over its valuation even as the IBD Computer-Software Enterprise group stayed resilient. The Computer-Software Enterprise group did not break down until mid-February amid a market rotation to value.\nSnowflake stock hit a 12-month low of 184.71 on May 13.\nIs Snowflake Stock A Buy Right Now?\nSnowflake stock still trades at a substantial premium as a multiple of forward-looking revenue growth. SNOW stock holds anIBD Composite Ratingof  53 out of a best possible 99, according toIBD Stock Checkup.\nIBD's Composite Rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one easy-to-use rating. The best growth stocks have a Composite Rating of 90 or better.\nOne bright spot is that Snowflake stock owns an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of B, according toIBD MarketSmithanalysis. That rating analyzes price and volume changes in a stock over the past 13 weeks of trading.\nThe rating, on an A+ to E scale, measures institutional buying and selling in a stock. A+ signifies heavy institutional buying; E means heavy selling. Think of the C grade as neutral.\nSNOW stock has yet toform a basewith a proper entry point. Snowflake stock has clawed above its 50-day moving average. If it holds above the 50-day line that could kick-start the right side of a deep base.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNOW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":836,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862567607,"gmtCreate":1632892103113,"gmtModify":1632892163546,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566966810662099","authorIdStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok go nio","listText":"Ok go nio","text":"Ok go nio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862567607","repostId":"1198528044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198528044","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632882697,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1198528044?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198528044","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protect","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</li><li>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</li><li>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满 “这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从同事那里得到的问题<i>减少垃圾投资。</i>这是一个很好的问题，因为投资者认为<i>“无风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个定义，准确地定义什么是熔化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>“融化是指资产或资产类别的投资业绩持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至、</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本性改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期的顶峰附近，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所吸引。这种繁荣滋生了 “合理化”，即 “这次不同 ”。那么，你如何知道目前的市场是否繁荣呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种市场活动表明市场已经回到了'热情'阶段。其特点是：'</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>轻松信贷（太容易，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行的热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>高风险股票跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>拉伸估值</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象一些事情往往比解释它更容易。<b>自 1900 年以来，只有两个之前的市场时期符合融化的条件：1920-1929 年和 1995-2000 年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前较 2020 年 3 月低点的进步进行比较。同样，我们看到价格也出现了非常相似的大幅上涨，同时估值也飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来的盈利能够大幅增长，以证明当前的价格是合理的。然而，付出高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值的衡量标准略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的偏差。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化，”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势迅速偏离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场问题<i>“融化”</i>不是熔化本身，而是随之而来的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在融化过程中，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度使用杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，而基本面则让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化是关于<i>心理学。</i><b>从历史上看，无论什么催化剂引发了人们对风险的漠视，价格和估值的相应飙升都很容易见证。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。以前的<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进步相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于当前的扩展只与历史上几个罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>流行的心理总是 “这次不一样”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被放弃，以换取势头和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似 “输不起 ”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，也是不可避免的，“融化 ”以最坏的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场处于<i>“融化，</i>“事件的持续时间不得而知。因此，投资者需要一个策略来参与预先，并减轻最终的损失<i>“融化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如前所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理的一个功能，它们可能会持续更长时间，比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么 “<i>结束”</i>融化是一种意想不到的外部事件，它会将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是退出潮发生的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场发展。但是，当然，困难的部分是当调整不可避免地发生时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我概述了我们采用的流程。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（在市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>抵御市场大幅下跌。（不相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>卖出落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某种方法在市场融化时不起作用，那么在普遍下跌时很可能也不起作用。最好尽早消除风险）。</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并根据目标权重重新平衡投资组合。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没写，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，变现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间大幅筹集现金。良好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当销售开始时，水平被触发，风险敞口减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTechnically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 10:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</li><li>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</li><li>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满 “这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从同事那里得到的问题<i>减少垃圾投资。</i>这是一个很好的问题，因为投资者认为<i>“无风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个定义，准确地定义什么是熔化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>“融化是指资产或资产类别的投资业绩持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至、</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本性改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期的顶峰附近，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所吸引。这种繁荣滋生了 “合理化”，即 “这次不同 ”。那么，你如何知道目前的市场是否繁荣呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种市场活动表明市场已经回到了'热情'阶段。其特点是：'</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>轻松信贷（太容易，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行的热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>高风险股票跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>拉伸估值</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们可以免受下跌的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象一些事情往往比解释它更容易。<b>自 1900 年以来，只有两个之前的市场时期符合融化的条件：1920-1929 年和 1995-2000 年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>一如既往，投资公众相信未来的收益将证明熔化期间价格上涨是合理的。只是从来没有那样的结果。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前较 2020 年 3 月低点的进步进行比较。同样，我们看到价格也出现了非常相似的大幅上涨，同时估值也飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来的盈利能够大幅增长，以证明当前的价格是合理的。然而，付出高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值的衡量标准略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的偏差。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化，”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势迅速偏离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场问题<i>“融化”</i>不是熔化本身，而是随之而来的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在融化过程中，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度使用杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，而基本面则让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化是关于<i>心理学。</i><b>从历史上看，无论什么催化剂引发了人们对风险的漠视，价格和估值的相应飙升都很容易见证。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。以前的<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进步相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于当前的扩展只与历史上几个罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>流行的心理总是 “这次不一样”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被放弃，以换取势头和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似 “输不起 ”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，也是不可避免的，“融化 ”以最坏的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场处于<i>“融化，</i>“事件的持续时间不得而知。因此，投资者需要一个策略来参与预先，并减轻最终的损失<i>“融化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如前所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理的一个功能，它们可能会持续更长时间，比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么 “<i>结束”</i>融化是一种意想不到的外部事件，它会将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是退出潮发生的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场发展。但是，当然，困难的部分是当调整不可避免地发生时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我概述了我们采用的流程。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（在市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>抵御市场大幅下跌。（不相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>卖出落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>(如果某种方法在市场融化时不起作用，那么在普遍下跌时很可能也不起作用。最好尽早消除风险）。</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并根据目标权重重新平衡投资组合。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没写，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，变现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间大幅筹集现金。良好的投资组合管理策略将自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当销售开始时，水平被触发，风险敞口减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然在融化过程中利用融化的机会至关重要，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198528044","content_text":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nAs is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.\n\nIs the“market melting-up?”Such was the question I received from my colleague atCut The Crap Investing.It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a“no risk”market.\nOf course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.\n\n“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly\nby a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,\nrather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“–\n Investopedia\n\nCurrently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.As noted previously:\n\n“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”\n\n\n‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’\n\n\nHigh optimism\nEasy credit (too easy, with loose terms)\nA rush of initial and secondary offerings\nRisky stocks outperforming\nStretched valuations\n\n\nHowever, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nA Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up\nIt is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.\n\nHowever, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\n\nWe can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.\n\nThe following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market“melt-up,”there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.\n\nThe problem with market“melt-ups”is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.\nMelting-Up Leads To Melting-Down\nA market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why“this time is different.”They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.\nMarket melt-ups are all about“psychology.”Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous‘melt-up”periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.\n\nGiven that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.\n\nMelt-ups can longer than logic would predict.\nThe prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”\nValuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.\nInvestors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.\nLastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.\n\nIt is essential to recognize the markets are in a“melt-up,” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual“melting-down.”\nSurviving The Melt-Up\nAs noted, none of this means the next“bear market”is lurking.Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “end”a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.\nAs such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.\nAs portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.\n\nTighten up stop-loss levelsto current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)\nHedge portfoliosagainst major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)\nTake profitsin positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)\nSell laggardsand losers.(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)\nRaise cashand rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)\n\nNotice, nothing in there says,“sell everything and go to cash.”\nThere will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that“stop-loss”levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent“this time is different.”\nIt likely isn’t.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866553224,"gmtCreate":1632792332568,"gmtModify":1632797577200,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566966810662099","authorIdStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO 20220121 35.0 CALL(NIO)$</a>Let’s go NIO","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO 20220121 35.0 CALL(NIO)$</a>Let’s go NIO","text":"$NIO 20220121 35.0 CALL(NIO)$Let’s go NIO","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a5f08a4110bfaccc8c4b900057c1fa2","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866553224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866559938,"gmtCreate":1632792279324,"gmtModify":1632797577432,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566966810662099","authorIdStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866559938","repostId":"1154590665","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154590665","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632790801,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154590665?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-28 09:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Despite Record Cargo Backlogs, Ports Of L.A. And Long Beach Still Don't Operate Around The Clock<blockquote>尽管货物积压创历史新高，洛杉矶和长滩的港口仍然无法全天候运营</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154590665","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Some of the busiest U.S. ports, including many in California, are still struggling with how to deal ","content":"<p>Some of the busiest U.S. ports, including many in California, are still struggling with how to deal with significant cargo backlogs.</p><p><blockquote>美国一些最繁忙的港口，包括加利福尼亚州的许多港口，仍在努力应对大量积压的货物。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the backlog, the busiest U.S. port still shuts down for hours on most days and is closed on Sundays,the Wall Street Journal reports. \"Tens of thousands\" of containers remain stuck at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. More than 60 ships are lined up to dock, the report says.</p><p><blockquote>然而，据《华尔街日报》报道，尽管积压，美国最繁忙的港口在大多数日子里仍然关闭数小时，周日也关闭。“数以万计”的集装箱仍然滞留在洛杉矶和长滩的港口。报告称，有 60 多艘船只排队停靠。</blockquote></p><p> More than 25% of all American imports pass through one of the two ports. LA and Long Beach collectively manage 13 private container terminals. Long Beach officials finally said last week they would try operating 24 hours a day between Monday and Thursday. LA says it's going to keep existing hours and wait for the rest of the supply chain to extend their hours first.</p><p><blockquote>超过25%的美国进口商品通过这两个港口之一。洛杉矶和长滩共同管理着13个私人集装箱码头。长滩官员上周终于表示，他们将尝试在周一至周四之间每天 24 小时运营。洛杉矶表示将保留现有的工作时间，并等待供应链的其他部分首先延长工作时间。</blockquote></p><p> Gene Seroka, executive director of the larger Port of Los Angeles, said: “It has been nearly impossible to get everyone on the same page towards 24/7 operations.”</p><p><blockquote>洛杉矶大港执行董事吉恩-塞罗卡（Gene Seroka）说： “几乎不可能让每个人都对 24/7 运营达成一致”。</blockquote></p><p> Ports in places like Asia and Europe, for contrast, have operated around the clock \"for years\", the report notes.</p><p><blockquote>报告指出，相比之下，亚洲和欧洲等地的港口“多年来”一直全天候运营。</blockquote></p><p> Uffe Ostergaard, president of the North America region for German boxship operator Hapag-Lloyd AG said: “With the current work schedule you have two big ports operating at 60%-70% of their capacity. That’s a huge operational disadvantage.”</p><p><blockquote>德国集装箱船运营商赫伯罗特股份公司（Hapag-Lloyd AG）北美地区总裁乌菲-奥斯特加德（Uffe Ostergaard）说： “按照目前的工作计划，两个大型港口的运营能力只有 60%-70%。这是一个巨大的运营劣势”。</blockquote></p><p> As the shortage continues, all members of the supply chain including truckers, warehouse operators and railways, are blaming each other for the shortages of products. All parts of the supply chain are also struggling with a shortage of labor.</p><p><blockquote>随着短缺的持续，包括卡车司机、仓库运营商和铁路在内的供应链所有成员都在互相指责产品短缺。供应链的各个环节也在与劳动力短缺作斗争。</blockquote></p><p> A longshore shift at either of the two ports used to be either 8AM to 4PM or 6PM to 3AM. Overnight shifts of 5 hours were \"rarely used\" because they are up to 50% more expensive, the report says.</p><p><blockquote>这两个港口中的任何一个的码头班次过去都是上午8点到下午4点或下午6点到凌晨3点。报告称，5 小时的夜班“很少使用”，因为它们的成本高达 50%。</blockquote></p><p> The International Longshore and Warehouse Union says their members will work a third shift, but only after the pileup of containers is fetched out of the port so there is space.</p><p><blockquote>国际码头和仓库联盟表示，他们的成员将上第三班，但前提是堆积的集装箱被运出港口，以便有空间。</blockquote></p><p> Frank Ponce De Leon, a coast committeeman at the ILWU, said: “Congestion won’t be fixed until everyone steps up and does their part. The terminal operators have been underutilizing their option to hire us for the third shift.</p><p><blockquote>ILWU 海岸委员会成员弗兰克-庞塞-德莱昂（Frank Ponce De Leon）说： “除非每个人都站出来尽自己的一份力，否则拥堵问题不会得到解决。码头运营商没有充分利用他们雇佣我们上第三班的选择权。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, elsewhere in the supply chian, Federal safety regulations prevent commercial truck drivers to 11 hours of driving in a 14 hour workday. Port truckers like to start early in the morning so they can maximize the number of loads they can transport in a day.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，在供应链的其他地方，联邦安全法规禁止商业卡车司机在14小时的工作日中驾驶11小时。港口卡车司机喜欢一大早出发，这样他们就可以最大限度地增加一天内可以运输的货物数量。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65d90e5ff24743575095fb2c886f30b9\" tg-width=\"293\" tg-height=\"469\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Tom Boyle, chief executive of Quik Pick Express LLC, a trucking and warehousing provider, told the Journal: “The biggest issue it probably comes down to is labor.”</p><p><blockquote>卡车运输和仓储提供商 Quik Pick Express LLC 的首席执行官汤姆-博伊尔（Tom Boyle）告诉《华尔街日报》： “最大的问题可能是劳动力”。</blockquote></p><p> Rail operator Union Pacific says it sees most delays when it picks up cargo from ports and hands it to trucks at destinations.</p><p><blockquote>铁路运营商联合太平洋公司表示，当它从港口提取货物并将其交给目的地的卡车时，延误最多。</blockquote></p><p> Wim Lagaay, chief executive of APM Terminals North America, who operates at the port of LA, said: “If you work a gate 24/7 it will improve your velocity. Up to 30% of overall truck appointments are not met because there are not enough trucks, drivers or chassis.”</p><p><blockquote>在洛杉矶港运营的 APM Terminals North America 公司首席执行官 Wim Lagaay 说： “如果你能 24/7 全天候运行闸机，就能提高你的速度。由于卡车、司机或底盘不足，多达 30% 的卡车预约无法完成”。</blockquote></p><p> Matt Schrap, chief executive of the Harbor Trucking Association, added: “There is too much congestion from empty containers on terminals. The shipping lines aren’t moving the boxes out, which is preventing us from returning empties that we are storing in our yards.\"</p><p><blockquote>港口卡车运输协会（Harbor Trucking Association）首席执行官马特-施拉普（Matt Schrap）补充说： “码头上的空集装箱造成了太多拥堵。航运公司没有把箱子搬出去，这阻碍了我们归还存放在堆场的空集装箱”。</blockquote></p><p> Mario Cordero, executive director at the Port of Long Beach concluded: “It’s impossible to effectively move such volumes if we don’t move to 24/7 operations across the supply chain. They do it in other parts of the world.”</p><p><blockquote>长滩港执行董事马里奥-科尔德罗（Mario Cordero）总结道： “如果我们不转向整个供应链的 24/7 运营，就不可能有效地转移如此多的货运量。他们在世界其他地区就是这样做的”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Despite Record Cargo Backlogs, Ports Of L.A. And Long Beach Still Don't Operate Around The Clock<blockquote>尽管货物积压创历史新高，洛杉矶和长滩的港口仍然无法全天候运营</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDespite Record Cargo Backlogs, Ports Of L.A. And Long Beach Still Don't Operate Around The Clock<blockquote>尽管货物积压创历史新高，洛杉矶和长滩的港口仍然无法全天候运营</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-28 09:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some of the busiest U.S. ports, including many in California, are still struggling with how to deal with significant cargo backlogs.</p><p><blockquote>美国一些最繁忙的港口，包括加利福尼亚州的许多港口，仍在努力应对大量积压的货物。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the backlog, the busiest U.S. port still shuts down for hours on most days and is closed on Sundays,the Wall Street Journal reports. \"Tens of thousands\" of containers remain stuck at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. More than 60 ships are lined up to dock, the report says.</p><p><blockquote>然而，据《华尔街日报》报道，尽管积压，美国最繁忙的港口在大多数日子里仍然关闭数小时，周日也关闭。“数以万计”的集装箱仍然滞留在洛杉矶和长滩的港口。报告称，有 60 多艘船只排队停靠。</blockquote></p><p> More than 25% of all American imports pass through one of the two ports. LA and Long Beach collectively manage 13 private container terminals. Long Beach officials finally said last week they would try operating 24 hours a day between Monday and Thursday. LA says it's going to keep existing hours and wait for the rest of the supply chain to extend their hours first.</p><p><blockquote>超过25%的美国进口商品通过这两个港口之一。洛杉矶和长滩共同管理着13个私人集装箱码头。长滩官员上周终于表示，他们将尝试在周一至周四之间每天 24 小时运营。洛杉矶表示将保留现有的工作时间，并等待供应链的其他部分首先延长工作时间。</blockquote></p><p> Gene Seroka, executive director of the larger Port of Los Angeles, said: “It has been nearly impossible to get everyone on the same page towards 24/7 operations.”</p><p><blockquote>洛杉矶大港执行董事吉恩-塞罗卡（Gene Seroka）说： “几乎不可能让每个人都对 24/7 运营达成一致”。</blockquote></p><p> Ports in places like Asia and Europe, for contrast, have operated around the clock \"for years\", the report notes.</p><p><blockquote>报告指出，相比之下，亚洲和欧洲等地的港口“多年来”一直全天候运营。</blockquote></p><p> Uffe Ostergaard, president of the North America region for German boxship operator Hapag-Lloyd AG said: “With the current work schedule you have two big ports operating at 60%-70% of their capacity. That’s a huge operational disadvantage.”</p><p><blockquote>德国集装箱船运营商赫伯罗特股份公司（Hapag-Lloyd AG）北美地区总裁乌菲-奥斯特加德（Uffe Ostergaard）说： “按照目前的工作计划，两个大型港口的运营能力只有 60%-70%。这是一个巨大的运营劣势”。</blockquote></p><p> As the shortage continues, all members of the supply chain including truckers, warehouse operators and railways, are blaming each other for the shortages of products. All parts of the supply chain are also struggling with a shortage of labor.</p><p><blockquote>随着短缺的持续，包括卡车司机、仓库运营商和铁路在内的供应链所有成员都在互相指责产品短缺。供应链的各个环节也在与劳动力短缺作斗争。</blockquote></p><p> A longshore shift at either of the two ports used to be either 8AM to 4PM or 6PM to 3AM. Overnight shifts of 5 hours were \"rarely used\" because they are up to 50% more expensive, the report says.</p><p><blockquote>这两个港口中的任何一个的码头班次过去都是上午8点到下午4点或下午6点到凌晨3点。报告称，5 小时的夜班“很少使用”，因为它们的成本高达 50%。</blockquote></p><p> The International Longshore and Warehouse Union says their members will work a third shift, but only after the pileup of containers is fetched out of the port so there is space.</p><p><blockquote>国际码头和仓库联盟表示，他们的成员将上第三班，但前提是堆积的集装箱被运出港口，以便有空间。</blockquote></p><p> Frank Ponce De Leon, a coast committeeman at the ILWU, said: “Congestion won’t be fixed until everyone steps up and does their part. The terminal operators have been underutilizing their option to hire us for the third shift.</p><p><blockquote>ILWU 海岸委员会成员弗兰克-庞塞-德莱昂（Frank Ponce De Leon）说： “除非每个人都站出来尽自己的一份力，否则拥堵问题不会得到解决。码头运营商没有充分利用他们雇佣我们上第三班的选择权。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, elsewhere in the supply chian, Federal safety regulations prevent commercial truck drivers to 11 hours of driving in a 14 hour workday. Port truckers like to start early in the morning so they can maximize the number of loads they can transport in a day.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，在供应链的其他地方，联邦安全法规禁止商业卡车司机在14小时的工作日中驾驶11小时。港口卡车司机喜欢一大早出发，这样他们就可以最大限度地增加一天内可以运输的货物数量。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65d90e5ff24743575095fb2c886f30b9\" tg-width=\"293\" tg-height=\"469\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Tom Boyle, chief executive of Quik Pick Express LLC, a trucking and warehousing provider, told the Journal: “The biggest issue it probably comes down to is labor.”</p><p><blockquote>卡车运输和仓储提供商 Quik Pick Express LLC 的首席执行官汤姆-博伊尔（Tom Boyle）告诉《华尔街日报》： “最大的问题可能是劳动力”。</blockquote></p><p> Rail operator Union Pacific says it sees most delays when it picks up cargo from ports and hands it to trucks at destinations.</p><p><blockquote>铁路运营商联合太平洋公司表示，当它从港口提取货物并将其交给目的地的卡车时，延误最多。</blockquote></p><p> Wim Lagaay, chief executive of APM Terminals North America, who operates at the port of LA, said: “If you work a gate 24/7 it will improve your velocity. Up to 30% of overall truck appointments are not met because there are not enough trucks, drivers or chassis.”</p><p><blockquote>在洛杉矶港运营的 APM Terminals North America 公司首席执行官 Wim Lagaay 说： “如果你能 24/7 全天候运行闸机，就能提高你的速度。由于卡车、司机或底盘不足，多达 30% 的卡车预约无法完成”。</blockquote></p><p> Matt Schrap, chief executive of the Harbor Trucking Association, added: “There is too much congestion from empty containers on terminals. The shipping lines aren’t moving the boxes out, which is preventing us from returning empties that we are storing in our yards.\"</p><p><blockquote>港口卡车运输协会（Harbor Trucking Association）首席执行官马特-施拉普（Matt Schrap）补充说： “码头上的空集装箱造成了太多拥堵。航运公司没有把箱子搬出去，这阻碍了我们归还存放在堆场的空集装箱”。</blockquote></p><p> Mario Cordero, executive director at the Port of Long Beach concluded: “It’s impossible to effectively move such volumes if we don’t move to 24/7 operations across the supply chain. They do it in other parts of the world.”</p><p><blockquote>长滩港执行董事马里奥-科尔德罗（Mario Cordero）总结道： “如果我们不转向整个供应链的 24/7 运营，就不可能有效地转移如此多的货运量。他们在世界其他地区就是这样做的”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/despite-record-cargo-backlogs-ports-la-and-long-beach-still-dont-operate-around-clock?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/despite-record-cargo-backlogs-ports-la-and-long-beach-still-dont-operate-around-clock?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154590665","content_text":"Some of the busiest U.S. ports, including many in California, are still struggling with how to deal with significant cargo backlogs.\nYet, despite the backlog, the busiest U.S. port still shuts down for hours on most days and is closed on Sundays,the Wall Street Journal reports. \"Tens of thousands\" of containers remain stuck at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. More than 60 ships are lined up to dock, the report says.\nMore than 25% of all American imports pass through one of the two ports. LA and Long Beach collectively manage 13 private container terminals. Long Beach officials finally said last week they would try operating 24 hours a day between Monday and Thursday. LA says it's going to keep existing hours and wait for the rest of the supply chain to extend their hours first.\nGene Seroka, executive director of the larger Port of Los Angeles, said: “It has been nearly impossible to get everyone on the same page towards 24/7 operations.”\nPorts in places like Asia and Europe, for contrast, have operated around the clock \"for years\", the report notes.\nUffe Ostergaard, president of the North America region for German boxship operator Hapag-Lloyd AG said: “With the current work schedule you have two big ports operating at 60%-70% of their capacity. That’s a huge operational disadvantage.”\nAs the shortage continues, all members of the supply chain including truckers, warehouse operators and railways, are blaming each other for the shortages of products. All parts of the supply chain are also struggling with a shortage of labor.\nA longshore shift at either of the two ports used to be either 8AM to 4PM or 6PM to 3AM. Overnight shifts of 5 hours were \"rarely used\" because they are up to 50% more expensive, the report says.\nThe International Longshore and Warehouse Union says their members will work a third shift, but only after the pileup of containers is fetched out of the port so there is space.\nFrank Ponce De Leon, a coast committeeman at the ILWU, said: “Congestion won’t be fixed until everyone steps up and does their part. The terminal operators have been underutilizing their option to hire us for the third shift.\nMeanwhile, elsewhere in the supply chian, Federal safety regulations prevent commercial truck drivers to 11 hours of driving in a 14 hour workday. Port truckers like to start early in the morning so they can maximize the number of loads they can transport in a day.\nTom Boyle, chief executive of Quik Pick Express LLC, a trucking and warehousing provider, told the Journal: “The biggest issue it probably comes down to is labor.”\nRail operator Union Pacific says it sees most delays when it picks up cargo from ports and hands it to trucks at destinations.\nWim Lagaay, chief executive of APM Terminals North America, who operates at the port of LA, said: “If you work a gate 24/7 it will improve your velocity. Up to 30% of overall truck appointments are not met because there are not enough trucks, drivers or chassis.”\nMatt Schrap, chief executive of the Harbor Trucking Association, added: “There is too much congestion from empty containers on terminals. The shipping lines aren’t moving the boxes out, which is preventing us from returning empties that we are storing in our yards.\"\nMario Cordero, executive director at the Port of Long Beach concluded: “It’s impossible to effectively move such volumes if we don’t move to 24/7 operations across the supply chain. They do it in other parts of the world.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868877277,"gmtCreate":1632634097899,"gmtModify":1632648070626,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566966810662099","authorIdStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868877277","repostId":"2170865614","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861760072,"gmtCreate":1632538880296,"gmtModify":1632799258804,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566966810662099","authorIdStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>go NIO","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>go NIO","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$go NIO","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8f430757447c0f9f8b9a68b5d087a23","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861760072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861787696,"gmtCreate":1632538838515,"gmtModify":1632799259291,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566966810662099","authorIdStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861787696","repostId":"1117076176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861076663,"gmtCreate":1632445729152,"gmtModify":1632724081570,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566966810662099","authorIdStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861076663","repostId":"2169240695","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":845,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861078153,"gmtCreate":1632445690472,"gmtModify":1632724102588,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566966810662099","authorIdStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO 20220121 35.0 CALL(NIO)$</a>Go Nio!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO 20220121 35.0 CALL(NIO)$</a>Go Nio!","text":"$NIO 20220121 35.0 CALL(NIO)$Go Nio!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10ac7d85866da7f7eea80de38a476f23","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861078153","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1331,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":313663285,"gmtCreate":1611709623147,"gmtModify":1703752513830,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566966810662099","idStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Fly to the moon","listText":"Fly to the moon","text":"Fly to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313663285","repostId":"1141309013","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141309013","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1611655201,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141309013?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-26 18:00","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Could Surge 62% to $225, According to This Analyst<blockquote>这位分析师表示，苹果股价可能飙升 62% 至 225 美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141309013","media":"nasdaq","summary":"Shares ofApple(NASDAQ: AAPL)have already climbed 79% over the past year, but will surge to new all-t","content":"<p>Shares of<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ: AAPL)have already climbed 79% over the past year, but will surge to new all-time highs in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>股份<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）过去一年已经上涨了 79%，但将在 2021 年飙升至历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>That's according to Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives. Today, Ives raised his price target on Apple's stock to $175 from $160, but also laid out a bull case for why the stock could climb to as high as $225. His new base target represents potential gains for investors of roughly 26% over the stock's closing price of about $139 on Friday. It's his compelling argument for the bull case, however, that should have investors more excited.</p><p><blockquote>这是韦德布什分析师丹尼尔·艾夫斯的说法。今天，艾夫斯将苹果股票的目标价从 160 美元上调至 175 美元，但也阐述了该股为何可能攀升至 225 美元的看涨理由。他的新基本目标代表着投资者比该股周五约 139 美元的收盘价可能上涨约 26%。然而，这是他对牛市的令人信服的论点，这应该会让投资者更加兴奋。</blockquote></p><p>Ives cited the potential for \"eye-popping\" iPhone sales, saying that checks of Apple's supply chain in Asia showed strong demand for the device. The analyst now believes Apple could have sold as many as 90 million iPhones during the December quarter, roughly 35% over the analyst's already robust forecast. Ives sees this upward trend continuing over the March and June quarters.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯引用了“令人瞠目结舌”的 iPhone 销售潜力，称对苹果在亚洲供应链的检查显示，对该设备的需求强劲。该分析师现在认为，苹果在 12 月份季度可能售出多达 9000 万部 iPhone，比分析师本已强劲的预测高出约 35%。艾夫斯认为这种上升趋势将在三月和六月季度持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>\"We believe based on the current trajectory and in a bull case Cupertino has potential to sell north of 240 million units (~250 million could be in the cards -- an eye-popping figure)\" Ives wrote in a note to clients, \"which would easily eclipse the previous Apple record of 231 million units sold in [fiscal year 2015].\"</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯在给客户的一份报告中写道：“我们相信，根据目前的发展轨迹，在牛市的情况下，库比蒂诺有潜力销量超过 2.4 亿辆（可能会达到约 2.5 亿辆——这是一个令人瞠目结舌的数字），”这将很容易超越苹果此前创下的 [2015 财年] 销量 2.31 亿辆的纪录。”</blockquote></p><p>Will Apple stock hit $225?</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票会触及 225 美元吗？</blockquote></p><p>There have long been prognostications of a supercycle for the iPhone maker. It has an installed base of more than 1.4 billion active devices, with the iPhone accounting for an estimated 950 million of those.</p><p><blockquote>长期以来，人们一直预测这家 iPhone 制造商将迎来超级周期。它拥有超过14亿台活跃设备的安装基础，其中iPhone约占9.5亿台。</blockquote></p><p>The current thinking suggests that as many as 350 million iPhone buyers could upgrade their device this year. To put that number in context, Apple sold roughly 185 million iPhones in 2019. Given the demand for a 5G-enabled iPhone, and the number of devices due for an upgrade, it's certainly possible Apple could sell 89% more iPhones in 2021 -- but that's certainly a high bar.</p><p><blockquote>目前的想法表明，今年多达3.5亿iPhone购买者可能会升级他们的设备。结合这个数字来看，苹果在 2019 年售出了大约 1.85 亿部 iPhone。考虑到对支持5G的iPhone的需求，以及需要升级的设备数量，苹果肯定有可能在2021年多销售89%的iPhone，但这肯定是一个很高的门槛。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Could Surge 62% to $225, According to This Analyst<blockquote>这位分析师表示，苹果股价可能飙升 62% 至 225 美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Could Surge 62% to $225, According to This Analyst<blockquote>这位分析师表示，苹果股价可能飙升 62% 至 225 美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">nasdaq</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-01-26 18:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shares of<b>Apple</b>(NASDAQ: AAPL)have already climbed 79% over the past year, but will surge to new all-time highs in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>股份<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）过去一年已经上涨了 79%，但将在 2021 年飙升至历史新高。</blockquote></p><p>That's according to Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives. Today, Ives raised his price target on Apple's stock to $175 from $160, but also laid out a bull case for why the stock could climb to as high as $225. His new base target represents potential gains for investors of roughly 26% over the stock's closing price of about $139 on Friday. It's his compelling argument for the bull case, however, that should have investors more excited.</p><p><blockquote>这是韦德布什分析师丹尼尔·艾夫斯的说法。今天，艾夫斯将苹果股票的目标价从 160 美元上调至 175 美元，但也阐述了该股为何可能攀升至 225 美元的看涨理由。他的新基本目标代表着投资者比该股周五约 139 美元的收盘价可能上涨约 26%。然而，这是他对牛市的令人信服的论点，这应该会让投资者更加兴奋。</blockquote></p><p>Ives cited the potential for \"eye-popping\" iPhone sales, saying that checks of Apple's supply chain in Asia showed strong demand for the device. The analyst now believes Apple could have sold as many as 90 million iPhones during the December quarter, roughly 35% over the analyst's already robust forecast. Ives sees this upward trend continuing over the March and June quarters.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯引用了“令人瞠目结舌”的 iPhone 销售潜力，称对苹果在亚洲供应链的检查显示，对该设备的需求强劲。该分析师现在认为，苹果在 12 月份季度可能售出多达 9000 万部 iPhone，比分析师本已强劲的预测高出约 35%。艾夫斯认为这种上升趋势将在三月和六月季度持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>\"We believe based on the current trajectory and in a bull case Cupertino has potential to sell north of 240 million units (~250 million could be in the cards -- an eye-popping figure)\" Ives wrote in a note to clients, \"which would easily eclipse the previous Apple record of 231 million units sold in [fiscal year 2015].\"</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯在给客户的一份报告中写道：“我们相信，根据目前的发展轨迹，在牛市的情况下，库比蒂诺有潜力销量超过 2.4 亿辆（可能会达到约 2.5 亿辆——这是一个令人瞠目结舌的数字），”这将很容易超越苹果此前创下的 [2015 财年] 销量 2.31 亿辆的纪录。”</blockquote></p><p>Will Apple stock hit $225?</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票会触及 225 美元吗？</blockquote></p><p>There have long been prognostications of a supercycle for the iPhone maker. It has an installed base of more than 1.4 billion active devices, with the iPhone accounting for an estimated 950 million of those.</p><p><blockquote>长期以来，人们一直预测这家 iPhone 制造商将迎来超级周期。它拥有超过14亿台活跃设备的安装基础，其中iPhone约占9.5亿台。</blockquote></p><p>The current thinking suggests that as many as 350 million iPhone buyers could upgrade their device this year. To put that number in context, Apple sold roughly 185 million iPhones in 2019. Given the demand for a 5G-enabled iPhone, and the number of devices due for an upgrade, it's certainly possible Apple could sell 89% more iPhones in 2021 -- but that's certainly a high bar.</p><p><blockquote>目前的想法表明，今年多达3.5亿iPhone购买者可能会升级他们的设备。结合这个数字来看，苹果在 2019 年售出了大约 1.85 亿部 iPhone。考虑到对支持5G的iPhone的需求，以及需要升级的设备数量，苹果肯定有可能在2021年多销售89%的iPhone，但这肯定是一个很高的门槛。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/apple-stock-could-surge-62-to-%24225-according-to-this-analyst-2021-01-25\">nasdaq</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/apple-stock-could-surge-62-to-%24225-according-to-this-analyst-2021-01-25","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141309013","content_text":"Shares ofApple(NASDAQ: AAPL)have already climbed 79% over the past year, but will surge to new all-time highs in 2021.That's according to Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives. Today, Ives raised his price target on Apple's stock to $175 from $160, but also laid out a bull case for why the stock could climb to as high as $225. His new base target represents potential gains for investors of roughly 26% over the stock's closing price of about $139 on Friday. It's his compelling argument for the bull case, however, that should have investors more excited.Ives cited the potential for \"eye-popping\" iPhone sales, saying that checks of Apple's supply chain in Asia showed strong demand for the device. The analyst now believes Apple could have sold as many as 90 million iPhones during the December quarter, roughly 35% over the analyst's already robust forecast. Ives sees this upward trend continuing over the March and June quarters.\"We believe based on the current trajectory and in a bull case Cupertino has potential to sell north of 240 million units (~250 million could be in the cards -- an eye-popping figure)\" Ives wrote in a note to clients, \"which would easily eclipse the previous Apple record of 231 million units sold in [fiscal year 2015].\"Will Apple stock hit $225?There have long been prognostications of a supercycle for the iPhone maker. It has an installed base of more than 1.4 billion active devices, with the iPhone accounting for an estimated 950 million of those.The current thinking suggests that as many as 350 million iPhone buyers could upgrade their device this year. To put that number in context, Apple sold roughly 185 million iPhones in 2019. Given the demand for a 5G-enabled iPhone, and the number of devices due for an upgrade, it's certainly possible Apple could sell 89% more iPhones in 2021 -- but that's certainly a high bar.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":389851398,"gmtCreate":1612753659314,"gmtModify":1703764625341,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566966810662099","idStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389851398","repostId":"1136129943","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371440619,"gmtCreate":1618967736431,"gmtModify":1634289549507,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566966810662099","idStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371440619","repostId":"1193736432","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":719,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352600594,"gmtCreate":1616940542518,"gmtModify":1634523468025,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566966810662099","idStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like me pls pls","listText":"Like me pls pls","text":"Like me pls pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352600594","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":853162581,"gmtCreate":1634780705489,"gmtModify":1634780706026,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566966810662099","idStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853162581","repostId":"2177314294","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":142151673,"gmtCreate":1626137948492,"gmtModify":1633929789928,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566966810662099","idStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I’m sure by 100 end of year&nbsp;","listText":"I’m sure by 100 end of year&nbsp;","text":"I’m sure by 100 end of year","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142151673","repostId":"1105703285","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143201295,"gmtCreate":1625794461717,"gmtModify":1633937267489,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566966810662099","idStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like lo","listText":"Like lo","text":"Like lo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143201295","repostId":"2150032590","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150451268,"gmtCreate":1624925486754,"gmtModify":1633946998839,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566966810662099","idStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150451268","repostId":"2147837316","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125851152,"gmtCreate":1624668743276,"gmtModify":1633949888942,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566966810662099","idStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125851152","repostId":"2146026425","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161992808,"gmtCreate":1623899375904,"gmtModify":1634026144604,"author":{"id":"3566966810662099","authorId":"3566966810662099","name":"TeenPopZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1bdc62c66e3417a063fc38a4171048","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3566966810662099","idStr":"3566966810662099"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161992808","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}