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0勋章

2021-12-20

good article

@Buy_Sell:🔥【12月17日】大型科技股全线下挫！今天什么值得买？

2021-12-20

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@观水之澜:优信，我唯一的价值投资！

2021-09-14

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>

2021-08-31

good post

@价值投资为王:高瓴美股持仓大转舵：押注后疫情时代！

2021-08-30

good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-25

nice

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-24

good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-26

Very good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-26

Wow awesome

GameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站：游戏远未结束</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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涨近1","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43640df14a4231359701d7899e7dec45","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690788585","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2986,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693663712,"gmtCreate":1640014071055,"gmtModify":1640014071176,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share 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其实我一直认为，对于小散而言，价值投资是一项风险极大的事情。毕竟拿出3~5年去相信一家公司未来有5~10倍的增长，与赌无异。特别是在经历了二手车电商跌宕起伏的5年后，我清楚地看到：在许多时候，连董事长都不知道自己这家创业公司能否活过明天。既然这样，那我凭什么敢于持有优信的长期看涨期权呢？理由也许只有一个，我深度参与了二手车电商5年来的探索之路。以下我从“道”和“术”两个方面，来讲讲我看好优信的理由，仅供大家批评指正。 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位 二、“术”：从优信合肥大卖场，看优信的执行力 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位你可能听说过瓜子、优信、人人车这些二手车电商，但你也许并不知道，他们在商业模式上有多么地不同。这种不同不仅仅是同一时期一家公司与另一家公司的不同，而且在不同时期，一家公司自己的商业模式也会发生天翻地覆的变化。见过了这些千差万别的商业模式，我逐渐发现，其实背后只有两种“定位”，即一家二手车企业，在一次二手车交易过程中扮演什么样的角色。一种叫“经纪人”，一种叫“经销商”。1.1、经纪人如果一家二手车企业决定在二手车交易中扮演经纪人的角色，那么它的核心价值主张就是帮助买家看清卖家的车况。在这样的价值主张下，这家二手车企业应该核心打造的能","listText":"大家好，我是观澜。今日<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">$优信(UXIN)$</a>&nbsp;发布财报，Q2总收入3.46亿元人民币，同比上涨352.7%。喜讯传来，优先股价盘前一度涨至2.18刀，涨幅高达到29.76%。作为有5年二手车电商从业经验的我，其实对此结果并不感到意外，即便相对其竞争对手瓜子而言，优信显得那么地默默无声。 优信，我唯一的价值投资！目前持有截止至2023年1月20日到期，行权价为5.00刀的大额看涨期权。 其实我一直认为，对于小散而言，价值投资是一项风险极大的事情。毕竟拿出3~5年去相信一家公司未来有5~10倍的增长，与赌无异。特别是在经历了二手车电商跌宕起伏的5年后，我清楚地看到：在许多时候，连董事长都不知道自己这家创业公司能否活过明天。既然这样，那我凭什么敢于持有优信的长期看涨期权呢？理由也许只有一个，我深度参与了二手车电商5年来的探索之路。以下我从“道”和“术”两个方面，来讲讲我看好优信的理由，仅供大家批评指正。 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位 二、“术”：从优信合肥大卖场，看优信的执行力 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位你可能听说过瓜子、优信、人人车这些二手车电商，但你也许并不知道，他们在商业模式上有多么地不同。这种不同不仅仅是同一时期一家公司与另一家公司的不同，而且在不同时期，一家公司自己的商业模式也会发生天翻地覆的变化。见过了这些千差万别的商业模式，我逐渐发现，其实背后只有两种“定位”，即一家二手车企业，在一次二手车交易过程中扮演什么样的角色。一种叫“经纪人”，一种叫“经销商”。1.1、经纪人如果一家二手车企业决定在二手车交易中扮演经纪人的角色，那么它的核心价值主张就是帮助买家看清卖家的车况。在这样的价值主张下，这家二手车企业应该核心打造的能","text":"大家好，我是观澜。今日$优信(UXIN)$ 发布财报，Q2总收入3.46亿元人民币，同比上涨352.7%。喜讯传来，优先股价盘前一度涨至2.18刀，涨幅高达到29.76%。作为有5年二手车电商从业经验的我，其实对此结果并不感到意外，即便相对其竞争对手瓜子而言，优信显得那么地默默无声。 优信，我唯一的价值投资！目前持有截止至2023年1月20日到期，行权价为5.00刀的大额看涨期权。 其实我一直认为，对于小散而言，价值投资是一项风险极大的事情。毕竟拿出3~5年去相信一家公司未来有5~10倍的增长，与赌无异。特别是在经历了二手车电商跌宕起伏的5年后，我清楚地看到：在许多时候，连董事长都不知道自己这家创业公司能否活过明天。既然这样，那我凭什么敢于持有优信的长期看涨期权呢？理由也许只有一个，我深度参与了二手车电商5年来的探索之路。以下我从“道”和“术”两个方面，来讲讲我看好优信的理由，仅供大家批评指正。 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位 二、“术”：从优信合肥大卖场，看优信的执行力 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位你可能听说过瓜子、优信、人人车这些二手车电商，但你也许并不知道，他们在商业模式上有多么地不同。这种不同不仅仅是同一时期一家公司与另一家公司的不同，而且在不同时期，一家公司自己的商业模式也会发生天翻地覆的变化。见过了这些千差万别的商业模式，我逐渐发现，其实背后只有两种“定位”，即一家二手车企业，在一次二手车交易过程中扮演什么样的角色。一种叫“经纪人”，一种叫“经销商”。1.1、经纪人如果一家二手车企业决定在二手车交易中扮演经纪人的角色，那么它的核心价值主张就是帮助买家看清卖家的车况。在这样的价值主张下，这家二手车企业应该核心打造的能","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5db03973b2e25dfa1b231837e897918","width":"688","height":"516"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad87e5a79e3c91cf7e50e1616eb92da5","width":"688","height":"918"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c62d1f0fb362c090cb78fbce3af6f1fb","width":"688","height":"918"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607447061","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886218157,"gmtCreate":1631593914379,"gmtModify":1631891687968,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886218157","repostId":"1178276551","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178276551","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631574947,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178276551?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178276551","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investo","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月1日电——标普500周一收高，结束五连跌，因投资者关注潜在的公司税上调和即将公布的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数也上涨，但纳斯达克综合指数收低。</blockquote></p><p> Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>投资者更青睐价值而非增长，股市将从经济复苏中受益最多，涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young表示：“本月可能不会有太多积极的惊喜。”“我们正在经历另一个波动时期，我认为随着10年期债券利率在年底前慢慢走高，轮动可能会回到周期性和重新开放的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者关注美国总统拜登的3.5万亿美元预算方案可能获得通过，预计其中包括拟议将企业税率从21%上调至26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&amp;P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师预计，企业税率将提高至25%，外国收入税率拟议上调的约一半将获得通过，他们估计这将使标普500 2022年的盈利减少5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周二发布消费者价格指数数据，这可能会进一步揭示当前的通胀浪潮，以及它是否像美联储坚称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p><p><blockquote>杨补充道：“我认为通胀率不会回落到大流行前的2%以下。”“即使其中一些过渡力量减弱，我们仍将保持比以前更高的速度。”</blockquote></p><p> Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他关键指标包括零售销售和消费者信心，这可能表明经济重新参与推动的需求繁荣在多大程度上受到了高度传染性的COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的抑制。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&amp;P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨261.91点，涨幅0.76%，至34,869.63点；标普500上涨10.15点，涨幅0.23%，至4,468.73点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌9.91点，涨幅0.07%，至15,105.58点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 11个主要板块中，医疗保健板块跌幅最大，而受原油价格上涨提振的能源板块涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p><p><blockquote>在专家表示不广泛需要新冠加强注射后，疫苗制造商Moderna和辉瑞公司的股价分别下跌6.6%和2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase Global Inc宣布计划通过发债筹集约15亿美元，旨在为产品开发和潜在收购提供资金。加密货币交易所股价下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com Inc下跌1.2%，竞争对手Freshworks Inc的监管文件显示，这家业务参与和客户参与软件公司的目标是在美国首次亮相时估值接近90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.60比1；在纳斯达克，1.02比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下12个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得53个新高和71个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为103亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为92.9亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-14 07:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月1日电——标普500周一收高，结束五连跌，因投资者关注潜在的公司税上调和即将公布的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数也上涨，但纳斯达克综合指数收低。</blockquote></p><p> Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>投资者更青睐价值而非增长，股市将从经济复苏中受益最多，涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young表示：“本月可能不会有太多积极的惊喜。”“我们正在经历另一个波动时期，我认为随着10年期债券利率在年底前慢慢走高，轮动可能会回到周期性和重新开放的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者关注美国总统拜登的3.5万亿美元预算方案可能获得通过，预计其中包括拟议将企业税率从21%上调至26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&amp;P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师预计，企业税率将提高至25%，外国收入税率拟议上调的约一半将获得通过，他们估计这将使标普500 2022年的盈利减少5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周二发布消费者价格指数数据，这可能会进一步揭示当前的通胀浪潮，以及它是否像美联储坚称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p><p><blockquote>杨补充道：“我认为通胀率不会回落到大流行前的2%以下。”“即使其中一些过渡力量减弱，我们仍将保持比以前更高的速度。”</blockquote></p><p> Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他关键指标包括零售销售和消费者信心，这可能表明经济重新参与推动的需求繁荣在多大程度上受到了高度传染性的COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的抑制。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&amp;P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨261.91点，涨幅0.76%，至34,869.63点；标普500上涨10.15点，涨幅0.23%，至4,468.73点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌9.91点，涨幅0.07%，至15,105.58点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 11个主要板块中，医疗保健板块跌幅最大，而受原油价格上涨提振的能源板块涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p><p><blockquote>在专家表示不广泛需要新冠加强注射后，疫苗制造商Moderna和辉瑞公司的股价分别下跌6.6%和2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase Global Inc宣布计划通过发债筹集约15亿美元，旨在为产品开发和潜在收购提供资金。加密货币交易所股价下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com Inc下跌1.2%，竞争对手Freshworks Inc的监管文件显示，这家业务参与和客户参与软件公司的目标是在美国首次亮相时估值接近90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.60比1；在纳斯达克，1.02比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下12个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得53个新高和71个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为103亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为92.9亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178276551","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.\nInvestors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.\n“There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”\nMarket participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.\nGoldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.\nThe Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.\n“I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”\nOther key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.\nShares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.\nCoinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.\nSalesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818377852,"gmtCreate":1630380361176,"gmtModify":1704959430130,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good post","listText":"good post","text":"good post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818377852","repostId":"833034285","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":833034285,"gmtCreate":1629188602747,"gmtModify":1629199800192,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"21347731130544","idStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"高瓴美股持仓大转舵：押注后疫情时代！","htmlText":"8月17日，高瓴资本在美国证券交易委员会（SEC）网站公布了2021年二季度美股13F持仓数据。截止二季度末，高瓴共持有89家美股，持仓市值近97亿美元，约630亿人民币，生物医药、中概股依然是高瓴最爱，但细数持仓变化，高瓴或正在押注后疫情时代的到来！先来看高瓴十大持仓股：目前，高瓴第一大持仓股依然是最爱的百济神州。百济神州是国内创新药巨头，年研发投入在12.9亿美元，约84亿人民币，高于国内创新药一哥恒瑞医药的50亿人民币，是国内少数孤注一掷搞研发的医药巨头。百济神州的壮大离不开高瓴的支持，自2014年A轮融资以来，百济神州每次重大融资都有高瓴身影，2020年7月，百济神州宣布定增，募资20.8亿美元，创下全球生物科技公司新增发行规模最大的一笔股权融资！其中，高瓴大手笔认购不低于10亿美元。百济神州可以说是高瓴的最爱了。在十大持仓股中，拼多多、ZOOM和京东遭遇密集减持，尤其是减仓拼多多332万股。拼多多和京东都是国内电商平台，而ZOOM主营线上会议，虽然与电商不相关，但其实这3支个股都有同样的概念，即疫情受益股。爆发于2020年初的全球疫情，线下消费受阻，电商成为支撑消费者的重心，线上会议更是迎来春天，ZOOM在全球一炮而红，股价在2020年暴涨396%，成为最火疫情受益股。一面减仓疫情受益股，高瓴一方面忙着加仓疫后概念股爱彼迎。爱彼迎是全球线上民宿平台，从行业上归属于旅游概念股，众所周知，新冠疫情重挫全球旅游行业，爱彼迎自然也无法置身事外。2020年，爱彼迎营收34亿美元，较2019年下降近30%。随着疫苗接种的推进，2021年，全球消费者旅游意愿有所提升，从财报上看，2021年上半年，爱彼迎营收22亿美元，较2020年同期大增89%！除了拼多多、京东和ZOOM之外，高瓴还减持了137万股优步、275万股万国数据等个股。比较意外的是，高瓴加仓了唯品会和阿里巴巴，分别持","listText":"8月17日，高瓴资本在美国证券交易委员会（SEC）网站公布了2021年二季度美股13F持仓数据。截止二季度末，高瓴共持有89家美股，持仓市值近97亿美元，约630亿人民币，生物医药、中概股依然是高瓴最爱，但细数持仓变化，高瓴或正在押注后疫情时代的到来！先来看高瓴十大持仓股：目前，高瓴第一大持仓股依然是最爱的百济神州。百济神州是国内创新药巨头，年研发投入在12.9亿美元，约84亿人民币，高于国内创新药一哥恒瑞医药的50亿人民币，是国内少数孤注一掷搞研发的医药巨头。百济神州的壮大离不开高瓴的支持，自2014年A轮融资以来，百济神州每次重大融资都有高瓴身影，2020年7月，百济神州宣布定增，募资20.8亿美元，创下全球生物科技公司新增发行规模最大的一笔股权融资！其中，高瓴大手笔认购不低于10亿美元。百济神州可以说是高瓴的最爱了。在十大持仓股中，拼多多、ZOOM和京东遭遇密集减持，尤其是减仓拼多多332万股。拼多多和京东都是国内电商平台，而ZOOM主营线上会议，虽然与电商不相关，但其实这3支个股都有同样的概念，即疫情受益股。爆发于2020年初的全球疫情，线下消费受阻，电商成为支撑消费者的重心，线上会议更是迎来春天，ZOOM在全球一炮而红，股价在2020年暴涨396%，成为最火疫情受益股。一面减仓疫情受益股，高瓴一方面忙着加仓疫后概念股爱彼迎。爱彼迎是全球线上民宿平台，从行业上归属于旅游概念股，众所周知，新冠疫情重挫全球旅游行业，爱彼迎自然也无法置身事外。2020年，爱彼迎营收34亿美元，较2019年下降近30%。随着疫苗接种的推进，2021年，全球消费者旅游意愿有所提升，从财报上看，2021年上半年，爱彼迎营收22亿美元，较2020年同期大增89%！除了拼多多、京东和ZOOM之外，高瓴还减持了137万股优步、275万股万国数据等个股。比较意外的是，高瓴加仓了唯品会和阿里巴巴，分别持","text":"8月17日，高瓴资本在美国证券交易委员会（SEC）网站公布了2021年二季度美股13F持仓数据。截止二季度末，高瓴共持有89家美股，持仓市值近97亿美元，约630亿人民币，生物医药、中概股依然是高瓴最爱，但细数持仓变化，高瓴或正在押注后疫情时代的到来！先来看高瓴十大持仓股：目前，高瓴第一大持仓股依然是最爱的百济神州。百济神州是国内创新药巨头，年研发投入在12.9亿美元，约84亿人民币，高于国内创新药一哥恒瑞医药的50亿人民币，是国内少数孤注一掷搞研发的医药巨头。百济神州的壮大离不开高瓴的支持，自2014年A轮融资以来，百济神州每次重大融资都有高瓴身影，2020年7月，百济神州宣布定增，募资20.8亿美元，创下全球生物科技公司新增发行规模最大的一笔股权融资！其中，高瓴大手笔认购不低于10亿美元。百济神州可以说是高瓴的最爱了。在十大持仓股中，拼多多、ZOOM和京东遭遇密集减持，尤其是减仓拼多多332万股。拼多多和京东都是国内电商平台，而ZOOM主营线上会议，虽然与电商不相关，但其实这3支个股都有同样的概念，即疫情受益股。爆发于2020年初的全球疫情，线下消费受阻，电商成为支撑消费者的重心，线上会议更是迎来春天，ZOOM在全球一炮而红，股价在2020年暴涨396%，成为最火疫情受益股。一面减仓疫情受益股，高瓴一方面忙着加仓疫后概念股爱彼迎。爱彼迎是全球线上民宿平台，从行业上归属于旅游概念股，众所周知，新冠疫情重挫全球旅游行业，爱彼迎自然也无法置身事外。2020年，爱彼迎营收34亿美元，较2019年下降近30%。随着疫苗接种的推进，2021年，全球消费者旅游意愿有所提升，从财报上看，2021年上半年，爱彼迎营收22亿美元，较2020年同期大增89%！除了拼多多、京东和ZOOM之外，高瓴还减持了137万股优步、275万股万国数据等个股。比较意外的是，高瓴加仓了唯品会和阿里巴巴，分别持","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90712603f079808383bf5ca584d59477","width":"688","height":"402"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833034285","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811381072,"gmtCreate":1630289559796,"gmtModify":1704957872927,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/811381072","repostId":"2163776380","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837953786,"gmtCreate":1629853942745,"gmtModify":1631891688014,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837953786","repostId":"1169012297","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834930693,"gmtCreate":1629765706512,"gmtModify":1631891688021,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834930693","repostId":"2161256770","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1746,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800840519,"gmtCreate":1627293226331,"gmtModify":1631891688034,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very good","listText":"Very good","text":"Very good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800840519","repostId":"2154931205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3068,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177501596,"gmtCreate":1627232985615,"gmtModify":1631891688048,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow awesome","listText":"Wow awesome","text":"Wow awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177501596","repostId":"1107345366","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107345366","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627176839,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107345366?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 09:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站：游戏远未结束</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107345366","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce pla","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>GameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.</li>  <li>We think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.</li>  <li>In addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.</li>  <li>While we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.</li> </ul> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>游戏驿站已经对自己进行了改造，逐步成为主要的电子商务参与者。</li><li>我们认为，如果管理团队能够成功执行新的电子商务转型，该公司可能正处于拐点。</li><li>此外，鉴于Reddit社区不断增长的用户群及其对投资者决策过程的影响力，我们敦促看空者特别关注Reddit社区。</li><li>虽然我们在游戏驿站没有职位，但我们认为公司的游戏还没有结束。</li></ul><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> The speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(GME)上次在1月份迅速上涨至每股480美元的极高水平，背后的投机热情已显着消退，该股上次交易价格为178美元，较1月份狂热期间达到的ATH下跌了63%。</blockquote></p><p> While we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们在很大程度上同意华尔街的估值意见，即这只股票似乎被严重高估（华尔街的平均目标价为37.5美元），但我们也想强调的是，我们认为我们目前没有一个估值模型可以全面纳入推动公司股价的潜在因素，因此不会大胆地向对meme股票感兴趣的投资者宣称远离GME。</blockquote></p><p> We thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:</p><p><blockquote>我们认为Marketer在6月份最近的这篇文章中描述了他们认为哪些因素可能推动了GME等Reddit论坛上meme股票背后的潜在需求：</blockquote></p><p>   Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.  We think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.</p><p><blockquote>惩罚卖空者。Clover Health(CLOV)卖空者认为该股被高估，按市值计算损失了4.38亿美元。游戏驿站卖空者损失超过50亿美元。“为了迷因”迷惑市场——也就是说，这很有趣。r/WallStreetBets上的Reddit帖子强调了会员如何为了杜平金融机构的快乐而做出看似非理性的投资决策。人为抬高的股价可以为少数早期投资的幸运儿带来利润最大化。我们认为，接受过基本面分析教育的投资者永远无法开发出能够充分考虑上述因素的模型，因为这些投资者认为股票的长期价值是由其基础业务的长期实力和竞争护城河驱动的，但不是Redditors在分析股票时采用的“可笑”方法。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我们将更深入地探讨支撑GME业务的关键基本面驱动因素，以及我们认为Reddit社区对GME等meme股票的参与和影响力将如何继续扰乱该公司未来的估值前景。</blockquote></p><p> What Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?</p><p><blockquote>自一月狂热以来，游戏驿站发生了什么变化？</blockquote></p><p> GME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"</p><p><blockquote>GME最近任命了两位来自亚马逊(AMZN)的关键资深高管：Matt Furlong和Mike Recupero分别担任首席执行官和首席财务官，这是董事长Ryan Cohen对GME商业模式进行战略改革的一部分，旨在成为主要的“电子商务巨头”。</blockquote></p><p> While the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到目前为止，新管理层的指导可能很少，但该团队肯定已经迅速开始工作，为逐步将GME转变为主要的电子商务参与者奠定必要的基础，因为他们已经开始扩大其履行中心，最近在内华达州里诺和宾夕法尼亚州约克新建了两个设施，使公司的总产能超过120万平方英尺。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>瑞安·科恩还明确表示，该公司不会向竞争对手详细说明其改革计划的复杂细节，而是呼吁投资者根据团队的行动来评判他们，正如他强调的那样：</blockquote></p><p>   You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.  However, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”</p><p><blockquote>你不会发现我们在谈论一场大游戏，做出一堆崇高的承诺，或者向竞争对手传达我们的战略...我们面前有很多工作要做。展望未来，我们希望你根据我们的行动而不是我们的言辞来判断游戏驿站。然而，华尔街几乎不相信瑞安·科恩或该公司的战略，正如Wedbush Securities最近所说：“我认为他逃脱了。我认为他的自我妨碍了，现在他要向所有人证明他知道自己在做什么。如果有一个策略，令人震惊的是他没有告诉我们。我们五个月前就应该听说这件事了。这是什么秘密？”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213a840d218039b67bebc984532ecf5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Quarterly revenues. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>季度收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46f7322b39c6468f6929c1fd414921b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM revenue. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以观察到，该公司似乎已经能够在21年第4季度和22年第1季度阻止其收入下降的趋势（GME对其财年的定义与CY不同），这发生在新管理层上任之前很久。该公司21年第4季度的收入为$2.12 B，是过去3年中表现强劲的季度，而22年第1季度的收入同比增长25%。因此，当我们在LTM的基础上规划它时，我们认为地平线上有希望，也许新的管理团队在公司寻求成为重要的电子商务竞争对手的过程中可能会有一个令人鼓舞的开始。我们认为投资者应继续密切关注这一领域，特别是该公司履行中心的建设，这对于其电子商务雄心至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> LTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><blockquote>LTM息税前利润率趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</blockquote></p><p> While the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然该公司的息税前利润率趋势无疑是一个主要问题，但我们认为这肯定是一个值得关注的领域，因为我们再次观察到LTM趋势有所改善，因为该公司在第一季度公布的LTM息税前利润率为-3.5%'22，而21年第4季度的LTM息税前利润率为-4.9%。虽然我们认为该公司尚未走出困境，但我们认为该公司可能已经停止了腐烂，至少目前是这样。</blockquote></p><p> Debt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>负债权益比率。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eaacbe2d43de887038c30e9ab4bcfa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM杠杆自由现金流保证金。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还巧妙地利用其股价完成了两次股票发行，以支撑其资产负债表。因此，该公司的债务股本比率大幅提高至5.5%，债务余额仅为4810万美元，而现金和ST投资余额为6.947亿美元（截至21年5月1日，在两次股票发行之前，共筹集了16.77亿美元，在削减债务之前）。此外，该公司也从未真正流失现金，因为其杠杆自由现金流利润率趋势一直相对健康，同时最近一个季度还将LTM杠杆自由现金流利润率提高至1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为，如果管理层能够成功执行向前迈进，GME看起来完全有能力利用其战略改革，转向新的电子商务支点。虽然我们目前不太确定GME未来的路线图，但Reddit社区似乎已准备好继续支持这家公司，因为我们将详细介绍Reddit社区将如何继续成为一支非常重要的力量。为了提振公司股价，就连Ryan Cohen也特意向Reddit社区表示特别敬意：</blockquote></p><p>   We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.  <b>The Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020</b></p><p><blockquote>我们很幸运有这样一群特殊的投资者持有公司股票，你们激励我们每天想得更大、更努力、工作时间更长。<b>2020年Reddit社区增长25.9%</b></blockquote></p><p> US social network user growth, by platform 2020 &amp; 2021. Source:eMarketer</p><p><blockquote>2020年和2021年美国社交网络用户增长（按平台划分）。资料来源：eMarketer</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够观察到，Reddit在2020年实现了非常显着的增长，其平台上的用户同比增长了25.9%，Marketer还预计Reddit社区在2021年将增长14.4%，达到4330万用户。我们认为，Reddit的日益普及将继续维持投资者对GME等模因股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f886ecf993efe35532771c132d94a6a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Population distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2019年美国按世代划分的人口分布。数据来源：美国人口普查局</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，Reddit无疑受益于支撑数字化的长期驱动因素，这也导致了Robinhood(HOOD)等交易平台的显着增长和受欢迎程度，该平台2020年的平均年龄为31岁。根据2019年的人口普查，这使得Robinhood用户的平均年龄正好在千禧一代的年龄组内，他们出生于1981年至1996年之间（25至40岁），占美国人口的21.97%。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，我们还可以观察到，千禧一代投资者对的股票不是典型投资者预期持有的“安全稳定”股票感兴趣（如果我可以这么说的话）。正如我们从上面可以观察到的那样，我们认为估值并不是这些投资者最重要的考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> According to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>根据Apex Clearing的一份报告，特斯拉(TSLA)在21年第一季度成为千禧一代投资组合中最大的持股，占28.3%的份额，我们认为投资者通常不会说这只股票便宜。虽然AAPL以14.5%的份额位居第二，但GME也以5.2%的份额跻身前四，这支持了我们的观点，即千禧一代投资者的动机是由基本面和估值以外的因素驱动的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Among the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在千禧一代投资组合中的持股中，我们可以观察到许多其他例子来证实这些投资者对优质股票的兴趣，例如英伟达(NVDA)，另一只模因股票，如AMC院线(AMC)、Churchill Capital Corp(CCIV)，其第三大持股；蔚来（蔚来）、Palantir（PLTR），甚至Square（SQ），我们认为投资者通常不会将这些股票视为价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为普通投资者群体需要明白，有一个庞大且不断增长的投资者基础，他们对基本面和估值的理解和预期肯定与我们典型的估值模型所能解释的有很大不同。</blockquote></p><p> We think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为市场肯定比我们所知道的更大、更复杂，而且不可能使用相同的基本面分析和估值方法来评估像GME这样的模因股票并说它们被高估，这是一个我们诚实地认为的过程在模因股票投资领域毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Analyzing the Reddit Opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析Reddit观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Individual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick</p><p><blockquote>截至2月21日，美国、英国和加拿大游戏驿站轧空后个人投资者在Reddit上的看法（按年龄）。数据来源：Brunswick</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>根据Brunswick的一项调查，我们可以观察到Reddit论坛作为投资者投资工具的重要性，尤其是在18-29岁年龄段的年轻投资者中。大约14%的投资者“信任Reddit作为媒体替代品”，在年轻投资者中，这一比例甚至飙升至31%。此外，很大一部分（25%）的年轻投资者也参与了GME机会，而其中20%的人认为GME事件“代表了市场力量的根本性转变”。虽然这些观点可能属于少数投资者，但我们认为投资者的比例肯定足够大，足以引起一般投资界的关注，因此我们认为Reddit论坛的力量肯定是一股不可忽视的力量。前进。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3108c1a56bc4c6221a4d8297e018d3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Share of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大使用Reddit调查问题的机构投资者比例。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72f250f4fe70ca9af575b6828bace0d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Average trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大机构投资者对Reddit的平均信任评分。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.</p><p><blockquote>我们甚至可以观察到Reddit在机构投资者中的影响力越来越大，因为27%的人使用Reddit来“调查问题”，这比前几年明显增加，尽管他们对该平台的信任度从2019年的平均分3.5分明显下降到2021年的2.0分。我们认为这表明机构投资者认为Reddit在一般投资界决策过程中的影响力越来越大，但与之前展示的个人投资者相比，他们不相信这些论坛上发生的事情对他们“发达”的过程有足够的意义。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87f8665c27d127566189bd21a035158\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构投资者对Reddit wallstreetbets社区成员的态度。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.</p><p><blockquote>虽然48%的机构投资者认为Reddit用户“可能有短期影响力，但他们无法维持这种影响力”，但27%的人对Reddit在投资者群体中的影响力产生了一些好奇心，13%的人对Reddit用户能够聚集一支军队来击败华尔街一些最聪明的人的方式产生了某种形式的尊重。因此，我们毫不惊讶地发现，这些机构投资者中有20%对他们认为的Redditors的“市场操纵”感到沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Ownership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>所有权细分。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1dd4930d00083121d28ea6d57285bc5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构所有权变更。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，我们认为像GME这样的模因股票将继续在Reddit论坛中占据显着地位，并仍然是他们对抗华尔街的“旗舰”股票之一。散户投资者目前持有GME股票的最大份额，占总持股量的45.1%。有趣的是，仍有相当大比例（36.4%）的机构投资者仍然持有GME，其中包括GME最大股东：贝莱德，拥有GME 12.36%的股票。尽管GME在21年第二季度见证了19.3亿美元的机构资本大幅流出，但股价仍远高于2021年第一个交易日17.25美元的收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a708e62291662e5d4e2bce79492dc93a\" tg-width=\"1244\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Percentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>随着时间的推移，流通量短缺的百分比。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，尽管空头流通量百分比已从1月份的41.96%大幅下降至6月底的“仅”14.18%，这是2021年有记录的两周最低水平，但价格仍继续维持。</blockquote></p><p> Other than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.</p><p><blockquote>除了持有GME的45.1%散户投资者外，该股还得到瑞安·科恩12.13%股份的支持，这使他成为GME股票的第二大股东，仅次于贝莱德，尽管他最后一批股票的购买价格12月20日的127.4万股约为14.24美元，如果我们考虑到GME最后收盘价178.85美元，这无疑给了他巨大的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5e54ac5cfe6504ec07c334a8c52668\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ever since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>自从我们在今年年初目睹的狂热以来，GME已经稳定下来，似乎已经形成了上升趋势偏差，其支撑位在之前的130美元至160美元价格水平之间吸引了强烈的购买兴趣。根据我们的价格走势分析，我们预计买家将继续强烈捍卫这一水平。对于热衷于持有GME头寸的投资者，我们认为他们可能会考虑在我们强调的买入范围内入场。</blockquote></p><p> While we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:</p><p><blockquote>阿斯滕汉姆资产管理公司表示，虽然我们相信游戏驿站的价格波动可能会继续下去，但我们认为该股在散户群体中引起了令人难以置信的巨大购买兴趣，这动摇了机构投资者的基础：</blockquote></p><p>   \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”  In GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.</p><p><blockquote>“在当前环境下，如果你不衡量和管理你对拥挤和散户兴趣的空头敞口，那你就是疏忽了，”我们认为一家价值数十亿美元的美国对冲基金也简洁地总结了这一点。Reddit社区的影响力：“[我们]绝对在关注WSB等论坛，我们正在非常密切地关注这一点。”在游戏驿站，我们认为游戏肯定远未结束。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站：游戏远未结束</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 09:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>GameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.</li>  <li>We think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.</li>  <li>In addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.</li>  <li>While we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.</li> </ul> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>游戏驿站已经对自己进行了改造，逐步成为主要的电子商务参与者。</li><li>我们认为，如果管理团队能够成功执行新的电子商务转型，该公司可能正处于拐点。</li><li>此外，鉴于Reddit社区不断增长的用户群及其对投资者决策过程的影响力，我们敦促看空者特别关注Reddit社区。</li><li>虽然我们在游戏驿站没有职位，但我们认为公司的游戏还没有结束。</li></ul><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> The speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(GME)上次在1月份迅速上涨至每股480美元的极高水平，背后的投机热情已显着消退，该股上次交易价格为178美元，较1月份狂热期间达到的ATH下跌了63%。</blockquote></p><p> While we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们在很大程度上同意华尔街的估值意见，即这只股票似乎被严重高估（华尔街的平均目标价为37.5美元），但我们也想强调的是，我们认为我们目前没有一个估值模型可以全面纳入推动公司股价的潜在因素，因此不会大胆地向对meme股票感兴趣的投资者宣称远离GME。</blockquote></p><p> We thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:</p><p><blockquote>我们认为Marketer在6月份最近的这篇文章中描述了他们认为哪些因素可能推动了GME等Reddit论坛上meme股票背后的潜在需求：</blockquote></p><p>   Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.  We think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.</p><p><blockquote>惩罚卖空者。Clover Health(CLOV)卖空者认为该股被高估，按市值计算损失了4.38亿美元。游戏驿站卖空者损失超过50亿美元。“为了迷因”迷惑市场——也就是说，这很有趣。r/WallStreetBets上的Reddit帖子强调了会员如何为了杜平金融机构的快乐而做出看似非理性的投资决策。人为抬高的股价可以为少数早期投资的幸运儿带来利润最大化。我们认为，接受过基本面分析教育的投资者永远无法开发出能够充分考虑上述因素的模型，因为这些投资者认为股票的长期价值是由其基础业务的长期实力和竞争护城河驱动的，但不是Redditors在分析股票时采用的“可笑”方法。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我们将更深入地探讨支撑GME业务的关键基本面驱动因素，以及我们认为Reddit社区对GME等meme股票的参与和影响力将如何继续扰乱该公司未来的估值前景。</blockquote></p><p> What Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?</p><p><blockquote>自一月狂热以来，游戏驿站发生了什么变化？</blockquote></p><p> GME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"</p><p><blockquote>GME最近任命了两位来自亚马逊(AMZN)的关键资深高管：Matt Furlong和Mike Recupero分别担任首席执行官和首席财务官，这是董事长Ryan Cohen对GME商业模式进行战略改革的一部分，旨在成为主要的“电子商务巨头”。</blockquote></p><p> While the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到目前为止，新管理层的指导可能很少，但该团队肯定已经迅速开始工作，为逐步将GME转变为主要的电子商务参与者奠定必要的基础，因为他们已经开始扩大其履行中心，最近在内华达州里诺和宾夕法尼亚州约克新建了两个设施，使公司的总产能超过120万平方英尺。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>瑞安·科恩还明确表示，该公司不会向竞争对手详细说明其改革计划的复杂细节，而是呼吁投资者根据团队的行动来评判他们，正如他强调的那样：</blockquote></p><p>   You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.  However, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”</p><p><blockquote>你不会发现我们在谈论一场大游戏，做出一堆崇高的承诺，或者向竞争对手传达我们的战略...我们面前有很多工作要做。展望未来，我们希望你根据我们的行动而不是我们的言辞来判断游戏驿站。然而，华尔街几乎不相信瑞安·科恩或该公司的战略，正如Wedbush Securities最近所说：“我认为他逃脱了。我认为他的自我妨碍了，现在他要向所有人证明他知道自己在做什么。如果有一个策略，令人震惊的是他没有告诉我们。我们五个月前就应该听说这件事了。这是什么秘密？”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213a840d218039b67bebc984532ecf5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Quarterly revenues. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>季度收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46f7322b39c6468f6929c1fd414921b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM revenue. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以观察到，该公司似乎已经能够在21年第4季度和22年第1季度阻止其收入下降的趋势（GME对其财年的定义与CY不同），这发生在新管理层上任之前很久。该公司21年第4季度的收入为$2.12 B，是过去3年中表现强劲的季度，而22年第1季度的收入同比增长25%。因此，当我们在LTM的基础上规划它时，我们认为地平线上有希望，也许新的管理团队在公司寻求成为重要的电子商务竞争对手的过程中可能会有一个令人鼓舞的开始。我们认为投资者应继续密切关注这一领域，特别是该公司履行中心的建设，这对于其电子商务雄心至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> LTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><blockquote>LTM息税前利润率趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</blockquote></p><p> While the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然该公司的息税前利润率趋势无疑是一个主要问题，但我们认为这肯定是一个值得关注的领域，因为我们再次观察到LTM趋势有所改善，因为该公司在第一季度公布的LTM息税前利润率为-3.5%'22，而21年第4季度的LTM息税前利润率为-4.9%。虽然我们认为该公司尚未走出困境，但我们认为该公司可能已经停止了腐烂，至少目前是这样。</blockquote></p><p> Debt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>负债权益比率。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eaacbe2d43de887038c30e9ab4bcfa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM杠杆自由现金流保证金。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还巧妙地利用其股价完成了两次股票发行，以支撑其资产负债表。因此，该公司的债务股本比率大幅提高至5.5%，债务余额仅为4810万美元，而现金和ST投资余额为6.947亿美元（截至21年5月1日，在两次股票发行之前，共筹集了16.77亿美元，在削减债务之前）。此外，该公司也从未真正流失现金，因为其杠杆自由现金流利润率趋势一直相对健康，同时最近一个季度还将LTM杠杆自由现金流利润率提高至1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为，如果管理层能够成功执行向前迈进，GME看起来完全有能力利用其战略改革，转向新的电子商务支点。虽然我们目前不太确定GME未来的路线图，但Reddit社区似乎已准备好继续支持这家公司，因为我们将详细介绍Reddit社区将如何继续成为一支非常重要的力量。为了提振公司股价，就连Ryan Cohen也特意向Reddit社区表示特别敬意：</blockquote></p><p>   We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.  <b>The Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020</b></p><p><blockquote>我们很幸运有这样一群特殊的投资者持有公司股票，你们激励我们每天想得更大、更努力、工作时间更长。<b>2020年Reddit社区增长25.9%</b></blockquote></p><p> US social network user growth, by platform 2020 &amp; 2021. Source:eMarketer</p><p><blockquote>2020年和2021年美国社交网络用户增长（按平台划分）。资料来源：eMarketer</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够观察到，Reddit在2020年实现了非常显着的增长，其平台上的用户同比增长了25.9%，Marketer还预计Reddit社区在2021年将增长14.4%，达到4330万用户。我们认为，Reddit的日益普及将继续维持投资者对GME等模因股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f886ecf993efe35532771c132d94a6a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Population distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2019年美国按世代划分的人口分布。数据来源：美国人口普查局</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，Reddit无疑受益于支撑数字化的长期驱动因素，这也导致了Robinhood(HOOD)等交易平台的显着增长和受欢迎程度，该平台2020年的平均年龄为31岁。根据2019年的人口普查，这使得Robinhood用户的平均年龄正好在千禧一代的年龄组内，他们出生于1981年至1996年之间（25至40岁），占美国人口的21.97%。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，我们还可以观察到，千禧一代投资者对的股票不是典型投资者预期持有的“安全稳定”股票感兴趣（如果我可以这么说的话）。正如我们从上面可以观察到的那样，我们认为估值并不是这些投资者最重要的考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> According to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>根据Apex Clearing的一份报告，特斯拉(TSLA)在21年第一季度成为千禧一代投资组合中最大的持股，占28.3%的份额，我们认为投资者通常不会说这只股票便宜。虽然AAPL以14.5%的份额位居第二，但GME也以5.2%的份额跻身前四，这支持了我们的观点，即千禧一代投资者的动机是由基本面和估值以外的因素驱动的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Among the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在千禧一代投资组合中的持股中，我们可以观察到许多其他例子来证实这些投资者对优质股票的兴趣，例如英伟达(NVDA)，另一只模因股票，如AMC院线(AMC)、Churchill Capital Corp(CCIV)，其第三大持股；蔚来（蔚来）、Palantir（PLTR），甚至Square（SQ），我们认为投资者通常不会将这些股票视为价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为普通投资者群体需要明白，有一个庞大且不断增长的投资者基础，他们对基本面和估值的理解和预期肯定与我们典型的估值模型所能解释的有很大不同。</blockquote></p><p> We think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为市场肯定比我们所知道的更大、更复杂，而且不可能使用相同的基本面分析和估值方法来评估像GME这样的模因股票并说它们被高估，这是一个我们诚实地认为的过程在模因股票投资领域毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Analyzing the Reddit Opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析Reddit观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Individual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick</p><p><blockquote>截至2月21日，美国、英国和加拿大游戏驿站轧空后个人投资者在Reddit上的看法（按年龄）。数据来源：Brunswick</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>根据Brunswick的一项调查，我们可以观察到Reddit论坛作为投资者投资工具的重要性，尤其是在18-29岁年龄段的年轻投资者中。大约14%的投资者“信任Reddit作为媒体替代品”，在年轻投资者中，这一比例甚至飙升至31%。此外，很大一部分（25%）的年轻投资者也参与了GME机会，而其中20%的人认为GME事件“代表了市场力量的根本性转变”。虽然这些观点可能属于少数投资者，但我们认为投资者的比例肯定足够大，足以引起一般投资界的关注，因此我们认为Reddit论坛的力量肯定是一股不可忽视的力量。前进。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3108c1a56bc4c6221a4d8297e018d3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Share of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大使用Reddit调查问题的机构投资者比例。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72f250f4fe70ca9af575b6828bace0d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Average trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大机构投资者对Reddit的平均信任评分。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.</p><p><blockquote>我们甚至可以观察到Reddit在机构投资者中的影响力越来越大，因为27%的人使用Reddit来“调查问题”，这比前几年明显增加，尽管他们对该平台的信任度从2019年的平均分3.5分明显下降到2021年的2.0分。我们认为这表明机构投资者认为Reddit在一般投资界决策过程中的影响力越来越大，但与之前展示的个人投资者相比，他们不相信这些论坛上发生的事情对他们“发达”的过程有足够的意义。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87f8665c27d127566189bd21a035158\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构投资者对Reddit wallstreetbets社区成员的态度。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.</p><p><blockquote>虽然48%的机构投资者认为Reddit用户“可能有短期影响力，但他们无法维持这种影响力”，但27%的人对Reddit在投资者群体中的影响力产生了一些好奇心，13%的人对Reddit用户能够聚集一支军队来击败华尔街一些最聪明的人的方式产生了某种形式的尊重。因此，我们毫不惊讶地发现，这些机构投资者中有20%对他们认为的Redditors的“市场操纵”感到沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Ownership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>所有权细分。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1dd4930d00083121d28ea6d57285bc5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构所有权变更。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，我们认为像GME这样的模因股票将继续在Reddit论坛中占据显着地位，并仍然是他们对抗华尔街的“旗舰”股票之一。散户投资者目前持有GME股票的最大份额，占总持股量的45.1%。有趣的是，仍有相当大比例（36.4%）的机构投资者仍然持有GME，其中包括GME最大股东：贝莱德，拥有GME 12.36%的股票。尽管GME在21年第二季度见证了19.3亿美元的机构资本大幅流出，但股价仍远高于2021年第一个交易日17.25美元的收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a708e62291662e5d4e2bce79492dc93a\" tg-width=\"1244\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Percentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>随着时间的推移，流通量短缺的百分比。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，尽管空头流通量百分比已从1月份的41.96%大幅下降至6月底的“仅”14.18%，这是2021年有记录的两周最低水平，但价格仍继续维持。</blockquote></p><p> Other than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.</p><p><blockquote>除了持有GME的45.1%散户投资者外，该股还得到瑞安·科恩12.13%股份的支持，这使他成为GME股票的第二大股东，仅次于贝莱德，尽管他最后一批股票的购买价格12月20日的127.4万股约为14.24美元，如果我们考虑到GME最后收盘价178.85美元，这无疑给了他巨大的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5e54ac5cfe6504ec07c334a8c52668\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ever since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>自从我们在今年年初目睹的狂热以来，GME已经稳定下来，似乎已经形成了上升趋势偏差，其支撑位在之前的130美元至160美元价格水平之间吸引了强烈的购买兴趣。根据我们的价格走势分析，我们预计买家将继续强烈捍卫这一水平。对于热衷于持有GME头寸的投资者，我们认为他们可能会考虑在我们强调的买入范围内入场。</blockquote></p><p> While we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:</p><p><blockquote>阿斯滕汉姆资产管理公司表示，虽然我们相信游戏驿站的价格波动可能会继续下去，但我们认为该股在散户群体中引起了令人难以置信的巨大购买兴趣，这动摇了机构投资者的基础：</blockquote></p><p>   \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”  In GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.</p><p><blockquote>“在当前环境下，如果你不衡量和管理你对拥挤和散户兴趣的空头敞口，那你就是疏忽了，”我们认为一家价值数十亿美元的美国对冲基金也简洁地总结了这一点。Reddit社区的影响力：“[我们]绝对在关注WSB等论坛，我们正在非常密切地关注这一点。”在游戏驿站，我们认为游戏肯定远未结束。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441170-gamestop-the-game-is-far-from-over\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441170-gamestop-the-game-is-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107345366","content_text":"Summary\n\nGameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.\nWe think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.\nIn addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.\nWhile we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nThe speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.\nWhile we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.\nWe thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:\n\n Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.\n\nWe think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.\nIn this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.\nWhat Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?\nGME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"\nWhile the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.\nRyan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:\n\n You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.\n\nHowever, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”\nQuarterly revenues. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nLTM revenue. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.\nLTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhile the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.\nDebt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St\nLTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nThe company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.\nTherefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:\n\n We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.\n\nThe Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020\nUS social network user growth, by platform 2020 & 2021. Source:eMarketer\nInvestors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.\nPopulation distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau\nWe believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.\nImportantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.\nAccording to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.\nAmong the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.\nTherefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.\nWe think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.\nAnalyzing the Reddit Opinion\nIndividual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick\nAccording to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.\nShare of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick\nAverage trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick\nWe could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.\nInstitutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick\nWhile 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.\nLooking Ahead\nOwnership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St\nInstitutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat\nMoving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.\nPercentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat\nImportantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.\nOther than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.\nPrice Action and Trend Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nEver since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.\nWhile we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:\n\n \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”\n\nIn GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":886218157,"gmtCreate":1631593914379,"gmtModify":1631891687968,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886218157","repostId":"1178276551","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178276551","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631574947,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178276551?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178276551","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investo","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月1日电——标普500周一收高，结束五连跌，因投资者关注潜在的公司税上调和即将公布的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数也上涨，但纳斯达克综合指数收低。</blockquote></p><p> Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>投资者更青睐价值而非增长，股市将从经济复苏中受益最多，涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young表示：“本月可能不会有太多积极的惊喜。”“我们正在经历另一个波动时期，我认为随着10年期债券利率在年底前慢慢走高，轮动可能会回到周期性和重新开放的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者关注美国总统拜登的3.5万亿美元预算方案可能获得通过，预计其中包括拟议将企业税率从21%上调至26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&amp;P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师预计，企业税率将提高至25%，外国收入税率拟议上调的约一半将获得通过，他们估计这将使标普500 2022年的盈利减少5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周二发布消费者价格指数数据，这可能会进一步揭示当前的通胀浪潮，以及它是否像美联储坚称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p><p><blockquote>杨补充道：“我认为通胀率不会回落到大流行前的2%以下。”“即使其中一些过渡力量减弱，我们仍将保持比以前更高的速度。”</blockquote></p><p> Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他关键指标包括零售销售和消费者信心，这可能表明经济重新参与推动的需求繁荣在多大程度上受到了高度传染性的COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的抑制。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&amp;P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨261.91点，涨幅0.76%，至34,869.63点；标普500上涨10.15点，涨幅0.23%，至4,468.73点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌9.91点，涨幅0.07%，至15,105.58点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 11个主要板块中，医疗保健板块跌幅最大，而受原油价格上涨提振的能源板块涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p><p><blockquote>在专家表示不广泛需要新冠加强注射后，疫苗制造商Moderna和辉瑞公司的股价分别下跌6.6%和2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase Global Inc宣布计划通过发债筹集约15亿美元，旨在为产品开发和潜在收购提供资金。加密货币交易所股价下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com Inc下跌1.2%，竞争对手Freshworks Inc的监管文件显示，这家业务参与和客户参与软件公司的目标是在美国首次亮相时估值接近90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.60比1；在纳斯达克，1.02比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下12个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得53个新高和71个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为103亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为92.9亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-14 07:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月1日电——标普500周一收高，结束五连跌，因投资者关注潜在的公司税上调和即将公布的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数也上涨，但纳斯达克综合指数收低。</blockquote></p><p> Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>投资者更青睐价值而非增长，股市将从经济复苏中受益最多，涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young表示：“本月可能不会有太多积极的惊喜。”“我们正在经历另一个波动时期，我认为随着10年期债券利率在年底前慢慢走高，轮动可能会回到周期性和重新开放的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者关注美国总统拜登的3.5万亿美元预算方案可能获得通过，预计其中包括拟议将企业税率从21%上调至26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&amp;P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师预计，企业税率将提高至25%，外国收入税率拟议上调的约一半将获得通过，他们估计这将使标普500 2022年的盈利减少5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周二发布消费者价格指数数据，这可能会进一步揭示当前的通胀浪潮，以及它是否像美联储坚称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p><p><blockquote>杨补充道：“我认为通胀率不会回落到大流行前的2%以下。”“即使其中一些过渡力量减弱，我们仍将保持比以前更高的速度。”</blockquote></p><p> Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他关键指标包括零售销售和消费者信心，这可能表明经济重新参与推动的需求繁荣在多大程度上受到了高度传染性的COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的抑制。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&amp;P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨261.91点，涨幅0.76%，至34,869.63点；标普500上涨10.15点，涨幅0.23%，至4,468.73点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌9.91点，涨幅0.07%，至15,105.58点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 11个主要板块中，医疗保健板块跌幅最大，而受原油价格上涨提振的能源板块涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p><p><blockquote>在专家表示不广泛需要新冠加强注射后，疫苗制造商Moderna和辉瑞公司的股价分别下跌6.6%和2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase Global Inc宣布计划通过发债筹集约15亿美元，旨在为产品开发和潜在收购提供资金。加密货币交易所股价下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com Inc下跌1.2%，竞争对手Freshworks Inc的监管文件显示，这家业务参与和客户参与软件公司的目标是在美国首次亮相时估值接近90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.60比1；在纳斯达克，1.02比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下12个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得53个新高和71个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为103亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为92.9亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178276551","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.\nInvestors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.\n“There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”\nMarket participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.\nGoldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.\nThe Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.\n“I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”\nOther key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.\nShares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.\nCoinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.\nSalesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811381072,"gmtCreate":1630289559796,"gmtModify":1704957872927,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/811381072","repostId":"2163776380","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834930693,"gmtCreate":1629765706512,"gmtModify":1631891688021,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834930693","repostId":"2161256770","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1746,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177501596,"gmtCreate":1627232985615,"gmtModify":1631891688048,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow awesome","listText":"Wow awesome","text":"Wow awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177501596","repostId":"1107345366","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107345366","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627176839,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107345366?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 09:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站：游戏远未结束</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107345366","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce pla","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>GameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.</li>  <li>We think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.</li>  <li>In addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.</li>  <li>While we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.</li> </ul> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>游戏驿站已经对自己进行了改造，逐步成为主要的电子商务参与者。</li><li>我们认为，如果管理团队能够成功执行新的电子商务转型，该公司可能正处于拐点。</li><li>此外，鉴于Reddit社区不断增长的用户群及其对投资者决策过程的影响力，我们敦促看空者特别关注Reddit社区。</li><li>虽然我们在游戏驿站没有职位，但我们认为公司的游戏还没有结束。</li></ul><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> The speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(GME)上次在1月份迅速上涨至每股480美元的极高水平，背后的投机热情已显着消退，该股上次交易价格为178美元，较1月份狂热期间达到的ATH下跌了63%。</blockquote></p><p> While we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们在很大程度上同意华尔街的估值意见，即这只股票似乎被严重高估（华尔街的平均目标价为37.5美元），但我们也想强调的是，我们认为我们目前没有一个估值模型可以全面纳入推动公司股价的潜在因素，因此不会大胆地向对meme股票感兴趣的投资者宣称远离GME。</blockquote></p><p> We thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:</p><p><blockquote>我们认为Marketer在6月份最近的这篇文章中描述了他们认为哪些因素可能推动了GME等Reddit论坛上meme股票背后的潜在需求：</blockquote></p><p>   Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.  We think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.</p><p><blockquote>惩罚卖空者。Clover Health(CLOV)卖空者认为该股被高估，按市值计算损失了4.38亿美元。游戏驿站卖空者损失超过50亿美元。“为了迷因”迷惑市场——也就是说，这很有趣。r/WallStreetBets上的Reddit帖子强调了会员如何为了杜平金融机构的快乐而做出看似非理性的投资决策。人为抬高的股价可以为少数早期投资的幸运儿带来利润最大化。我们认为，接受过基本面分析教育的投资者永远无法开发出能够充分考虑上述因素的模型，因为这些投资者认为股票的长期价值是由其基础业务的长期实力和竞争护城河驱动的，但不是Redditors在分析股票时采用的“可笑”方法。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我们将更深入地探讨支撑GME业务的关键基本面驱动因素，以及我们认为Reddit社区对GME等meme股票的参与和影响力将如何继续扰乱该公司未来的估值前景。</blockquote></p><p> What Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?</p><p><blockquote>自一月狂热以来，游戏驿站发生了什么变化？</blockquote></p><p> GME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"</p><p><blockquote>GME最近任命了两位来自亚马逊(AMZN)的关键资深高管：Matt Furlong和Mike Recupero分别担任首席执行官和首席财务官，这是董事长Ryan Cohen对GME商业模式进行战略改革的一部分，旨在成为主要的“电子商务巨头”。</blockquote></p><p> While the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到目前为止，新管理层的指导可能很少，但该团队肯定已经迅速开始工作，为逐步将GME转变为主要的电子商务参与者奠定必要的基础，因为他们已经开始扩大其履行中心，最近在内华达州里诺和宾夕法尼亚州约克新建了两个设施，使公司的总产能超过120万平方英尺。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>瑞安·科恩还明确表示，该公司不会向竞争对手详细说明其改革计划的复杂细节，而是呼吁投资者根据团队的行动来评判他们，正如他强调的那样：</blockquote></p><p>   You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.  However, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”</p><p><blockquote>你不会发现我们在谈论一场大游戏，做出一堆崇高的承诺，或者向竞争对手传达我们的战略...我们面前有很多工作要做。展望未来，我们希望你根据我们的行动而不是我们的言辞来判断游戏驿站。然而，华尔街几乎不相信瑞安·科恩或该公司的战略，正如Wedbush Securities最近所说：“我认为他逃脱了。我认为他的自我妨碍了，现在他要向所有人证明他知道自己在做什么。如果有一个策略，令人震惊的是他没有告诉我们。我们五个月前就应该听说这件事了。这是什么秘密？”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213a840d218039b67bebc984532ecf5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Quarterly revenues. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>季度收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46f7322b39c6468f6929c1fd414921b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM revenue. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以观察到，该公司似乎已经能够在21年第4季度和22年第1季度阻止其收入下降的趋势（GME对其财年的定义与CY不同），这发生在新管理层上任之前很久。该公司21年第4季度的收入为$2.12 B，是过去3年中表现强劲的季度，而22年第1季度的收入同比增长25%。因此，当我们在LTM的基础上规划它时，我们认为地平线上有希望，也许新的管理团队在公司寻求成为重要的电子商务竞争对手的过程中可能会有一个令人鼓舞的开始。我们认为投资者应继续密切关注这一领域，特别是该公司履行中心的建设，这对于其电子商务雄心至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> LTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><blockquote>LTM息税前利润率趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</blockquote></p><p> While the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然该公司的息税前利润率趋势无疑是一个主要问题，但我们认为这肯定是一个值得关注的领域，因为我们再次观察到LTM趋势有所改善，因为该公司在第一季度公布的LTM息税前利润率为-3.5%'22，而21年第4季度的LTM息税前利润率为-4.9%。虽然我们认为该公司尚未走出困境，但我们认为该公司可能已经停止了腐烂，至少目前是这样。</blockquote></p><p> Debt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>负债权益比率。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eaacbe2d43de887038c30e9ab4bcfa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM杠杆自由现金流保证金。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还巧妙地利用其股价完成了两次股票发行，以支撑其资产负债表。因此，该公司的债务股本比率大幅提高至5.5%，债务余额仅为4810万美元，而现金和ST投资余额为6.947亿美元（截至21年5月1日，在两次股票发行之前，共筹集了16.77亿美元，在削减债务之前）。此外，该公司也从未真正流失现金，因为其杠杆自由现金流利润率趋势一直相对健康，同时最近一个季度还将LTM杠杆自由现金流利润率提高至1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为，如果管理层能够成功执行向前迈进，GME看起来完全有能力利用其战略改革，转向新的电子商务支点。虽然我们目前不太确定GME未来的路线图，但Reddit社区似乎已准备好继续支持这家公司，因为我们将详细介绍Reddit社区将如何继续成为一支非常重要的力量。为了提振公司股价，就连Ryan Cohen也特意向Reddit社区表示特别敬意：</blockquote></p><p>   We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.  <b>The Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020</b></p><p><blockquote>我们很幸运有这样一群特殊的投资者持有公司股票，你们激励我们每天想得更大、更努力、工作时间更长。<b>2020年Reddit社区增长25.9%</b></blockquote></p><p> US social network user growth, by platform 2020 &amp; 2021. Source:eMarketer</p><p><blockquote>2020年和2021年美国社交网络用户增长（按平台划分）。资料来源：eMarketer</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够观察到，Reddit在2020年实现了非常显着的增长，其平台上的用户同比增长了25.9%，Marketer还预计Reddit社区在2021年将增长14.4%，达到4330万用户。我们认为，Reddit的日益普及将继续维持投资者对GME等模因股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f886ecf993efe35532771c132d94a6a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Population distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2019年美国按世代划分的人口分布。数据来源：美国人口普查局</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，Reddit无疑受益于支撑数字化的长期驱动因素，这也导致了Robinhood(HOOD)等交易平台的显着增长和受欢迎程度，该平台2020年的平均年龄为31岁。根据2019年的人口普查，这使得Robinhood用户的平均年龄正好在千禧一代的年龄组内，他们出生于1981年至1996年之间（25至40岁），占美国人口的21.97%。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，我们还可以观察到，千禧一代投资者对的股票不是典型投资者预期持有的“安全稳定”股票感兴趣（如果我可以这么说的话）。正如我们从上面可以观察到的那样，我们认为估值并不是这些投资者最重要的考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> According to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>根据Apex Clearing的一份报告，特斯拉(TSLA)在21年第一季度成为千禧一代投资组合中最大的持股，占28.3%的份额，我们认为投资者通常不会说这只股票便宜。虽然AAPL以14.5%的份额位居第二，但GME也以5.2%的份额跻身前四，这支持了我们的观点，即千禧一代投资者的动机是由基本面和估值以外的因素驱动的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Among the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在千禧一代投资组合中的持股中，我们可以观察到许多其他例子来证实这些投资者对优质股票的兴趣，例如英伟达(NVDA)，另一只模因股票，如AMC院线(AMC)、Churchill Capital Corp(CCIV)，其第三大持股；蔚来（蔚来）、Palantir（PLTR），甚至Square（SQ），我们认为投资者通常不会将这些股票视为价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为普通投资者群体需要明白，有一个庞大且不断增长的投资者基础，他们对基本面和估值的理解和预期肯定与我们典型的估值模型所能解释的有很大不同。</blockquote></p><p> We think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为市场肯定比我们所知道的更大、更复杂，而且不可能使用相同的基本面分析和估值方法来评估像GME这样的模因股票并说它们被高估，这是一个我们诚实地认为的过程在模因股票投资领域毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Analyzing the Reddit Opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析Reddit观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Individual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick</p><p><blockquote>截至2月21日，美国、英国和加拿大游戏驿站轧空后个人投资者在Reddit上的看法（按年龄）。数据来源：Brunswick</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>根据Brunswick的一项调查，我们可以观察到Reddit论坛作为投资者投资工具的重要性，尤其是在18-29岁年龄段的年轻投资者中。大约14%的投资者“信任Reddit作为媒体替代品”，在年轻投资者中，这一比例甚至飙升至31%。此外，很大一部分（25%）的年轻投资者也参与了GME机会，而其中20%的人认为GME事件“代表了市场力量的根本性转变”。虽然这些观点可能属于少数投资者，但我们认为投资者的比例肯定足够大，足以引起一般投资界的关注，因此我们认为Reddit论坛的力量肯定是一股不可忽视的力量。前进。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3108c1a56bc4c6221a4d8297e018d3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Share of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大使用Reddit调查问题的机构投资者比例。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72f250f4fe70ca9af575b6828bace0d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Average trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大机构投资者对Reddit的平均信任评分。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.</p><p><blockquote>我们甚至可以观察到Reddit在机构投资者中的影响力越来越大，因为27%的人使用Reddit来“调查问题”，这比前几年明显增加，尽管他们对该平台的信任度从2019年的平均分3.5分明显下降到2021年的2.0分。我们认为这表明机构投资者认为Reddit在一般投资界决策过程中的影响力越来越大，但与之前展示的个人投资者相比，他们不相信这些论坛上发生的事情对他们“发达”的过程有足够的意义。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87f8665c27d127566189bd21a035158\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构投资者对Reddit wallstreetbets社区成员的态度。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.</p><p><blockquote>虽然48%的机构投资者认为Reddit用户“可能有短期影响力，但他们无法维持这种影响力”，但27%的人对Reddit在投资者群体中的影响力产生了一些好奇心，13%的人对Reddit用户能够聚集一支军队来击败华尔街一些最聪明的人的方式产生了某种形式的尊重。因此，我们毫不惊讶地发现，这些机构投资者中有20%对他们认为的Redditors的“市场操纵”感到沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Ownership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>所有权细分。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1dd4930d00083121d28ea6d57285bc5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构所有权变更。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，我们认为像GME这样的模因股票将继续在Reddit论坛中占据显着地位，并仍然是他们对抗华尔街的“旗舰”股票之一。散户投资者目前持有GME股票的最大份额，占总持股量的45.1%。有趣的是，仍有相当大比例（36.4%）的机构投资者仍然持有GME，其中包括GME最大股东：贝莱德，拥有GME 12.36%的股票。尽管GME在21年第二季度见证了19.3亿美元的机构资本大幅流出，但股价仍远高于2021年第一个交易日17.25美元的收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a708e62291662e5d4e2bce79492dc93a\" tg-width=\"1244\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Percentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>随着时间的推移，流通量短缺的百分比。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，尽管空头流通量百分比已从1月份的41.96%大幅下降至6月底的“仅”14.18%，这是2021年有记录的两周最低水平，但价格仍继续维持。</blockquote></p><p> Other than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.</p><p><blockquote>除了持有GME的45.1%散户投资者外，该股还得到瑞安·科恩12.13%股份的支持，这使他成为GME股票的第二大股东，仅次于贝莱德，尽管他最后一批股票的购买价格12月20日的127.4万股约为14.24美元，如果我们考虑到GME最后收盘价178.85美元，这无疑给了他巨大的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5e54ac5cfe6504ec07c334a8c52668\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ever since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>自从我们在今年年初目睹的狂热以来，GME已经稳定下来，似乎已经形成了上升趋势偏差，其支撑位在之前的130美元至160美元价格水平之间吸引了强烈的购买兴趣。根据我们的价格走势分析，我们预计买家将继续强烈捍卫这一水平。对于热衷于持有GME头寸的投资者，我们认为他们可能会考虑在我们强调的买入范围内入场。</blockquote></p><p> While we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:</p><p><blockquote>阿斯滕汉姆资产管理公司表示，虽然我们相信游戏驿站的价格波动可能会继续下去，但我们认为该股在散户群体中引起了令人难以置信的巨大购买兴趣，这动摇了机构投资者的基础：</blockquote></p><p>   \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”  In GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.</p><p><blockquote>“在当前环境下，如果你不衡量和管理你对拥挤和散户兴趣的空头敞口，那你就是疏忽了，”我们认为一家价值数十亿美元的美国对冲基金也简洁地总结了这一点。Reddit社区的影响力：“[我们]绝对在关注WSB等论坛，我们正在非常密切地关注这一点。”在游戏驿站，我们认为游戏肯定远未结束。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop: The Game Is Far From Over<blockquote>游戏驿站：游戏远未结束</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-25 09:33</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>GameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.</li>  <li>We think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.</li>  <li>In addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.</li>  <li>While we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.</li> </ul> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>游戏驿站已经对自己进行了改造，逐步成为主要的电子商务参与者。</li><li>我们认为，如果管理团队能够成功执行新的电子商务转型，该公司可能正处于拐点。</li><li>此外，鉴于Reddit社区不断增长的用户群及其对投资者决策过程的影响力，我们敦促看空者特别关注Reddit社区。</li><li>虽然我们在游戏驿站没有职位，但我们认为公司的游戏还没有结束。</li></ul><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> The speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站(GME)上次在1月份迅速上涨至每股480美元的极高水平，背后的投机热情已显着消退，该股上次交易价格为178美元，较1月份狂热期间达到的ATH下跌了63%。</blockquote></p><p> While we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们在很大程度上同意华尔街的估值意见，即这只股票似乎被严重高估（华尔街的平均目标价为37.5美元），但我们也想强调的是，我们认为我们目前没有一个估值模型可以全面纳入推动公司股价的潜在因素，因此不会大胆地向对meme股票感兴趣的投资者宣称远离GME。</blockquote></p><p> We thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:</p><p><blockquote>我们认为Marketer在6月份最近的这篇文章中描述了他们认为哪些因素可能推动了GME等Reddit论坛上meme股票背后的潜在需求：</blockquote></p><p>   Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.  We think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.</p><p><blockquote>惩罚卖空者。Clover Health(CLOV)卖空者认为该股被高估，按市值计算损失了4.38亿美元。游戏驿站卖空者损失超过50亿美元。“为了迷因”迷惑市场——也就是说，这很有趣。r/WallStreetBets上的Reddit帖子强调了会员如何为了杜平金融机构的快乐而做出看似非理性的投资决策。人为抬高的股价可以为少数早期投资的幸运儿带来利润最大化。我们认为，接受过基本面分析教育的投资者永远无法开发出能够充分考虑上述因素的模型，因为这些投资者认为股票的长期价值是由其基础业务的长期实力和竞争护城河驱动的，但不是Redditors在分析股票时采用的“可笑”方法。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我们将更深入地探讨支撑GME业务的关键基本面驱动因素，以及我们认为Reddit社区对GME等meme股票的参与和影响力将如何继续扰乱该公司未来的估值前景。</blockquote></p><p> What Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?</p><p><blockquote>自一月狂热以来，游戏驿站发生了什么变化？</blockquote></p><p> GME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"</p><p><blockquote>GME最近任命了两位来自亚马逊(AMZN)的关键资深高管：Matt Furlong和Mike Recupero分别担任首席执行官和首席财务官，这是董事长Ryan Cohen对GME商业模式进行战略改革的一部分，旨在成为主要的“电子商务巨头”。</blockquote></p><p> While the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.</p><p><blockquote>虽然到目前为止，新管理层的指导可能很少，但该团队肯定已经迅速开始工作，为逐步将GME转变为主要的电子商务参与者奠定必要的基础，因为他们已经开始扩大其履行中心，最近在内华达州里诺和宾夕法尼亚州约克新建了两个设施，使公司的总产能超过120万平方英尺。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>瑞安·科恩还明确表示，该公司不会向竞争对手详细说明其改革计划的复杂细节，而是呼吁投资者根据团队的行动来评判他们，正如他强调的那样：</blockquote></p><p>   You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.  However, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”</p><p><blockquote>你不会发现我们在谈论一场大游戏，做出一堆崇高的承诺，或者向竞争对手传达我们的战略...我们面前有很多工作要做。展望未来，我们希望你根据我们的行动而不是我们的言辞来判断游戏驿站。然而，华尔街几乎不相信瑞安·科恩或该公司的战略，正如Wedbush Securities最近所说：“我认为他逃脱了。我认为他的自我妨碍了，现在他要向所有人证明他知道自己在做什么。如果有一个策略，令人震惊的是他没有告诉我们。我们五个月前就应该听说这件事了。这是什么秘密？”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/213a840d218039b67bebc984532ecf5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Quarterly revenues. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>季度收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46f7322b39c6468f6929c1fd414921b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"354\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM revenue. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM收入。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以观察到，该公司似乎已经能够在21年第4季度和22年第1季度阻止其收入下降的趋势（GME对其财年的定义与CY不同），这发生在新管理层上任之前很久。该公司21年第4季度的收入为$2.12 B，是过去3年中表现强劲的季度，而22年第1季度的收入同比增长25%。因此，当我们在LTM的基础上规划它时，我们认为地平线上有希望，也许新的管理团队在公司寻求成为重要的电子商务竞争对手的过程中可能会有一个令人鼓舞的开始。我们认为投资者应继续密切关注这一领域，特别是该公司履行中心的建设，这对于其电子商务雄心至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> LTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</p><p><blockquote>LTM息税前利润率趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</blockquote></p><p> While the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然该公司的息税前利润率趋势无疑是一个主要问题，但我们认为这肯定是一个值得关注的领域，因为我们再次观察到LTM趋势有所改善，因为该公司在第一季度公布的LTM息税前利润率为-3.5%'22，而21年第4季度的LTM息税前利润率为-4.9%。虽然我们认为该公司尚未走出困境，但我们认为该公司可能已经停止了腐烂，至少目前是这样。</blockquote></p><p> Debt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>负债权益比率。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8eaacbe2d43de887038c30e9ab4bcfa2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>LTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>LTM杠杆自由现金流保证金。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还巧妙地利用其股价完成了两次股票发行，以支撑其资产负债表。因此，该公司的债务股本比率大幅提高至5.5%，债务余额仅为4810万美元，而现金和ST投资余额为6.947亿美元（截至21年5月1日，在两次股票发行之前，共筹集了16.77亿美元，在削减债务之前）。此外，该公司也从未真正流失现金，因为其杠杆自由现金流利润率趋势一直相对健康，同时最近一个季度还将LTM杠杆自由现金流利润率提高至1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为，如果管理层能够成功执行向前迈进，GME看起来完全有能力利用其战略改革，转向新的电子商务支点。虽然我们目前不太确定GME未来的路线图，但Reddit社区似乎已准备好继续支持这家公司，因为我们将详细介绍Reddit社区将如何继续成为一支非常重要的力量。为了提振公司股价，就连Ryan Cohen也特意向Reddit社区表示特别敬意：</blockquote></p><p>   We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.  <b>The Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020</b></p><p><blockquote>我们很幸运有这样一群特殊的投资者持有公司股票，你们激励我们每天想得更大、更努力、工作时间更长。<b>2020年Reddit社区增长25.9%</b></blockquote></p><p> US social network user growth, by platform 2020 &amp; 2021. Source:eMarketer</p><p><blockquote>2020年和2021年美国社交网络用户增长（按平台划分）。资料来源：eMarketer</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够观察到，Reddit在2020年实现了非常显着的增长，其平台上的用户同比增长了25.9%，Marketer还预计Reddit社区在2021年将增长14.4%，达到4330万用户。我们认为，Reddit的日益普及将继续维持投资者对GME等模因股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f886ecf993efe35532771c132d94a6a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Population distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>2019年美国按世代划分的人口分布。数据来源：美国人口普查局</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，Reddit无疑受益于支撑数字化的长期驱动因素，这也导致了Robinhood(HOOD)等交易平台的显着增长和受欢迎程度，该平台2020年的平均年龄为31岁。根据2019年的人口普查，这使得Robinhood用户的平均年龄正好在千禧一代的年龄组内，他们出生于1981年至1996年之间（25至40岁），占美国人口的21.97%。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，我们还可以观察到，千禧一代投资者对的股票不是典型投资者预期持有的“安全稳定”股票感兴趣（如果我可以这么说的话）。正如我们从上面可以观察到的那样，我们认为估值并不是这些投资者最重要的考虑因素。</blockquote></p><p> According to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>根据Apex Clearing的一份报告，特斯拉(TSLA)在21年第一季度成为千禧一代投资组合中最大的持股，占28.3%的份额，我们认为投资者通常不会说这只股票便宜。虽然AAPL以14.5%的份额位居第二，但GME也以5.2%的份额跻身前四，这支持了我们的观点，即千禧一代投资者的动机是由基本面和估值以外的因素驱动的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Among the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>在千禧一代投资组合中的持股中，我们可以观察到许多其他例子来证实这些投资者对优质股票的兴趣，例如英伟达(NVDA)，另一只模因股票，如AMC院线(AMC)、Churchill Capital Corp(CCIV)，其第三大持股；蔚来（蔚来）、Palantir（PLTR），甚至Square（SQ），我们认为投资者通常不会将这些股票视为价值股。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为普通投资者群体需要明白，有一个庞大且不断增长的投资者基础，他们对基本面和估值的理解和预期肯定与我们典型的估值模型所能解释的有很大不同。</blockquote></p><p> We think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为市场肯定比我们所知道的更大、更复杂，而且不可能使用相同的基本面分析和估值方法来评估像GME这样的模因股票并说它们被高估，这是一个我们诚实地认为的过程在模因股票投资领域毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Analyzing the Reddit Opinion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析Reddit观点</b></blockquote></p><p> Individual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick</p><p><blockquote>截至2月21日，美国、英国和加拿大游戏驿站轧空后个人投资者在Reddit上的看法（按年龄）。数据来源：Brunswick</blockquote></p><p> According to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.</p><p><blockquote>根据Brunswick的一项调查，我们可以观察到Reddit论坛作为投资者投资工具的重要性，尤其是在18-29岁年龄段的年轻投资者中。大约14%的投资者“信任Reddit作为媒体替代品”，在年轻投资者中，这一比例甚至飙升至31%。此外，很大一部分（25%）的年轻投资者也参与了GME机会，而其中20%的人认为GME事件“代表了市场力量的根本性转变”。虽然这些观点可能属于少数投资者，但我们认为投资者的比例肯定足够大，足以引起一般投资界的关注，因此我们认为Reddit论坛的力量肯定是一股不可忽视的力量。前进。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa3108c1a56bc4c6221a4d8297e018d3\" tg-width=\"826\" tg-height=\"511\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Share of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大使用Reddit调查问题的机构投资者比例。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e72f250f4fe70ca9af575b6828bace0d\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Average trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国、英国和加拿大机构投资者对Reddit的平均信任评分。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.</p><p><blockquote>我们甚至可以观察到Reddit在机构投资者中的影响力越来越大，因为27%的人使用Reddit来“调查问题”，这比前几年明显增加，尽管他们对该平台的信任度从2019年的平均分3.5分明显下降到2021年的2.0分。我们认为这表明机构投资者认为Reddit在一般投资界决策过程中的影响力越来越大，但与之前展示的个人投资者相比，他们不相信这些论坛上发生的事情对他们“发达”的过程有足够的意义。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a87f8665c27d127566189bd21a035158\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"591\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构投资者对Reddit wallstreetbets社区成员的态度。数据来源：Brunswick</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.</p><p><blockquote>虽然48%的机构投资者认为Reddit用户“可能有短期影响力，但他们无法维持这种影响力”，但27%的人对Reddit在投资者群体中的影响力产生了一些好奇心，13%的人对Reddit用户能够聚集一支军队来击败华尔街一些最聪明的人的方式产生了某种形式的尊重。因此，我们毫不惊讶地发现，这些机构投资者中有20%对他们认为的Redditors的“市场操纵”感到沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> Ownership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St</p><p><blockquote>所有权细分。资料来源：简单华尔街</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1dd4930d00083121d28ea6d57285bc5\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Institutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>机构所有权变更。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，我们认为像GME这样的模因股票将继续在Reddit论坛中占据显着地位，并仍然是他们对抗华尔街的“旗舰”股票之一。散户投资者目前持有GME股票的最大份额，占总持股量的45.1%。有趣的是，仍有相当大比例（36.4%）的机构投资者仍然持有GME，其中包括GME最大股东：贝莱德，拥有GME 12.36%的股票。尽管GME在21年第二季度见证了19.3亿美元的机构资本大幅流出，但股价仍远高于2021年第一个交易日17.25美元的收盘价。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a708e62291662e5d4e2bce79492dc93a\" tg-width=\"1244\" tg-height=\"656\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Percentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>随着时间的推移，流通量短缺的百分比。资料来源：Marketbeat</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，尽管空头流通量百分比已从1月份的41.96%大幅下降至6月底的“仅”14.18%，这是2021年有记录的两周最低水平，但价格仍继续维持。</blockquote></p><p> Other than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.</p><p><blockquote>除了持有GME的45.1%散户投资者外，该股还得到瑞安·科恩12.13%股份的支持，这使他成为GME股票的第二大股东，仅次于贝莱德，尽管他最后一批股票的购买价格12月20日的127.4万股约为14.24美元，如果我们考虑到GME最后收盘价178.85美元，这无疑给了他巨大的安全边际。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5e54ac5cfe6504ec07c334a8c52668\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"786\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Ever since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.</p><p><blockquote>自从我们在今年年初目睹的狂热以来，GME已经稳定下来，似乎已经形成了上升趋势偏差，其支撑位在之前的130美元至160美元价格水平之间吸引了强烈的购买兴趣。根据我们的价格走势分析，我们预计买家将继续强烈捍卫这一水平。对于热衷于持有GME头寸的投资者，我们认为他们可能会考虑在我们强调的买入范围内入场。</blockquote></p><p> While we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:</p><p><blockquote>阿斯滕汉姆资产管理公司表示，虽然我们相信游戏驿站的价格波动可能会继续下去，但我们认为该股在散户群体中引起了令人难以置信的巨大购买兴趣，这动摇了机构投资者的基础：</blockquote></p><p>   \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”  In GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.</p><p><blockquote>“在当前环境下，如果你不衡量和管理你对拥挤和散户兴趣的空头敞口，那你就是疏忽了，”我们认为一家价值数十亿美元的美国对冲基金也简洁地总结了这一点。Reddit社区的影响力：“[我们]绝对在关注WSB等论坛，我们正在非常密切地关注这一点。”在游戏驿站，我们认为游戏肯定远未结束。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441170-gamestop-the-game-is-far-from-over\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4441170-gamestop-the-game-is-far-from-over","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107345366","content_text":"Summary\n\nGameStop has revamped itself to progressively move towards to become a major e-commerce player.\nWe think the company may possibly be at an inflection point, if the management team is able to successfully execute its new e-commerce pivot.\nIn addition, we exhort the bears to pay special attention to the Reddit community, given its growing user base and influence in their investors' decision-making process.\nWhile we don't have a position in GameStop, we don't think the game is over for the company.\n\nInvestment Thesis\nThe speculation fervor behind GameStop’s (GME) meteoric rise to the stratospheric levels of $480 per share last seen in Jan has subsided significantly, as the stock last traded at the $178 price level, a 63% decline from the ATH reached during the January mania.\nWhile we agree to a large extent with the Street’s valuation opinion, that this stock seems to be significantly overvalued (The Street’s mean target price is $37.5), we would also like to highlight that we don’t think we presently have a valuation model that can comprehensively incorporate the underlying factors driving the company’s stock price, and therefore would not boldly proclaim to investors who have an interest in meme stocks, to stay away from GME.\nWe thinkeMarketerdelineated in this recent piece in June, what factors they thought could have driven the underlying demand behind meme stocks in Reddit forums like GME:\n\n Punishing short sellers. Clover Health (CLOV) short-sellers, who believed the stock was overvalued, were down $438 million in mark-to-market losses. GameStop short sellers lost over $5 billion.Perplexing the markets “for the memes”—i.e., it’s just funny. Reddit posts on r/WallStreetBets highlight how members make seemingly irrational investment decisions for the joy of duping financial institutions.Pump and dump. The artificially inflated share prices can maximize profit for the lucky few who invest early.\n\nWe think investors who have been schooled in fundamental analysis would never be able to develop models that could fully factor in the above, as these investors think the long term value of stocks are driven by the long term strength and the competitive moat of their underlying businesses, but not with the \"ludicrous\" methods adopted by the Redditors in the way they analyze stocks.\nIn this article, we dive deeper to look at the key fundamental drivers underpinning GME's business, and how we think the Reddit community's participation and influence in meme stocks like GME would continue to disrupt the valuation outlook for the company moving forward.\nWhat Has Changed for GameStop since the January Mania?\nGME recently appointed2 key veteranexecutives from Amazon (AMZN): Matt Furlong and Mike Recupero as its CEO and CFO, respectively, as part of Chairman Ryan Cohen's strategic revamp of GME's business model to pivot towards becoming a major \"e-commerce powerhouse.\"\nWhile the guidance from the new management may have been sparse so far, the team has certainly gotten down to work quickly, to put in place the necessary building blocks to gradually move GME into a major e-commerce player, as they have started to expand itsfulfillment centers, with two new recent facilities in Reno, Nevada and York, Pennsylvania, that have given the company a total capacity of more than 1.2M square feet.\nRyan Cohen has also made it clear that the company wouldn't be specifying intricate details on its overhaul plans to its competitors, but instead appealing to investors to judge the team on their actions, as he emphasized:\n\n You won’t find ustalking a big game, making a bunch of lofty promises or telegraphing our strategy to the competition...We have a lot of work in front of us. Moving forward, we want you to judge GameStop based on our actions -- not our words.\n\nHowever, the Street was hardly convinced with Ryan Cohen or the company’s strategy, asWedbush Securitiesarticulated recently: “I think it got away from him. I think his ego’s gotten in the way and now he's going to prove [to] everybody [that he] knows what he's doing. If there [was] a strategy, it's shocking that he hasn't told us. We were supposed to hear about this five months ago. What is such a secret?”\nQuarterly revenues. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nLTM revenue. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe that the company seems to have been able to arrest the declining trend in its revenue in Q4'21 and Q1'22 (GME defines its FY differently from its CY), which took place well before the new management was in place. The company's Q4'21 revenue of $2.12B was its strong quarter over the last 3 years, while Q1'22's revenue grew 25% YoY. Therefore, when we plotted it over an LTM basis, we think that there's hope over the horizon, that perhaps the new management team may have an encouraging start, in the company's quest to become an important e-commerce competitor. We think investors should continue monitoring this space closely, especially on the build-up of the company's fulfillment centers, which is highly integral towards its e-commerce ambitions.\nLTM EBIT margins trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhile the company's EBIT margin trend has certainly been of major concern, we think this is an area certainly worth watching, as yet again we observed an improvement in the LTM trend, as the company posted an LTM EBIT margin of -3.5% in Q1'22, as compared to its LTM EBIT margin of -4.9% in Q4'21. While we don't think the company is out of the woods yet, but we think the company may have stopped the rot, at least for now.\nDebt to Equity Ratio. Source:Simply Wall St\nLTM Levered FCF margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nThe company has also astutely capitalized on its share price to completetwo equity offeringsto buttress its balance sheet. As a result, the company's debt to equity ratio has improved significantly to 5.5%, with a debt balance of just $48.1M, while having a cash and ST investments balance of $694.7M (as of 1 May 21, before both equity offerings which raised a total of $1.677B, and before paring down of debt). In addition, the company has also never really been bleeding cash, as its levered FCF margins trend has always been relatively healthy while having also improved its LTM levered FCF margin at the recent quarter to 1.6%.\nTherefore, we think GME looks well-positioned to take advantage of its strategic overhaul towards its new e-commerce pivot if the management can successfully execute moving forward. While we are not too sure at this point on the roadmap ahead for GME, the Reddit community seems to be ready to continue supporting this company, as we shall go into detail how the Reddit community would continue to be a highly important force to be reckoned with, in their quest to bolster the stock price of the company, such that even Ryan Cohen made it a point to pay a special tribute to the Reddit community:\n\n We’re fortunateto have such a special group of investors holding the company’s shares, you guys inspire us to think bigger, fight harder and work longer each day.\n\nThe Reddit Community Grew by 25.9% in 2020\nUS social network user growth, by platform 2020 & 2021. Source:eMarketer\nInvestors should be able to observe that Reddit posted highly remarkable growth in 2020, as users on its platform grew by 25.9% YoY, andeMarketeralso expects the Reddit community to grow by 14.4% in 2021, to reach 43.3M users. We think the increasing popularity towards the adoption of Reddit would continue to sustain investors' interest in meme stocks like GME, moving forward.\nPopulation distribution in the US in 2019, by generation. Data source: US Census Bureau\nWe believe that Reddit has certainly benefited from the secular drivers underpinning digitization, which has also led to significant growth and popularity in trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), where theaverage agein 2020 is 31 years old. This puts the average age of Robinhood users right within the age group of the Millennials, who were born between 1981 and 1996 (25 to 40 years old), and accounted for 21.97% of the US population, based on the 2019 census.\nImportantly, we could also observe that Millennial investors are interested in stocks that are not the “safe and steady” stocks that a typical investor is expected to hold if I could put it that way. We don’t think valuations form the most important considerations to these investors as we could observe from the above.\nAccording to a report byApex Clearing, Tesla (TSLA) formed the largest holdings of their Millennials portfolio in Q1’21, with a 28.3% share, a stock that we think investors would not typically say it’s cheap. While AAPL was the second-largest holding with a 14.5% share, GME also rounded up the top 4 with a 5.2% share, lending support to our opinion that Millennial investors’ motivations are driven by factors beyond just fundamentals and valuations.\nAmong the holdings in the Millennials portfolio, we could observe many other examples that corroborate these investors' interests in premium stocks, like Nvidia (NVDA), another meme stock like AMC Entertainment (AMC), Churchill Capital Corp (CCIV), its third-largest holding; Nio (NIO), Palantir (PLTR), and even Square (SQ), stocks we think investors would not typically ascribe as value stocks.\nTherefore, we think the general investor community needs to understand that there’s a huge and growing base of investors whose understanding and expectations of fundamentals and valuations are certainly quite different from what our typical valuation models could account for.\nWe think the market is definitely bigger and much more complex than what we know, and it’s just not possible to use the same fundamental analysis and valuation methods to value meme stocks like GME and say that they are way overvalued, a process that we honestly think is quite meaningless in the world of meme stocks investment.\nAnalyzing the Reddit Opinion\nIndividual investors’ opinion on Reddit after GameStop short squeeze in the US, UK, and Canada as of Feb 21, by age. Data source:Brunswick\nAccording to a survey by Brunswick, we could observe the importance of the Reddit forums as an investment tool for investors, especially among the younger investors within the age group of 18-29 years old. About 14% of all investors “trust Reddit as a media alternative,” and the share even shot up to 31% among the younger investors. In addition, a good proportion (25%) of the younger investors also took part in the GME opportunities, while 20% of them think that the GME events “represent a fundamental shift of power in the market.” While these opinions may belong within the minority of investors, we think the proportion of investors is certainly large enough to raise the eyebrows of the general investment community, and therefore we think the power of the Reddit forums is certainly a force to be reckoned with moving ahead.\nShare of institutional investors using Reddit to investigate an issue in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick\nAverage trust score assigned by institutional investors to Reddit in the US, UK, and Canada. Data source: Brunswick\nWe could observe Reddit’s increasing influence even among institutional investors, as 27% of them used Reddit to “investigate an issue”, which increased discernibly from the previous years, even though their trust in the platform dropped markedly from an average score of 3.5 in 2019 to 2.0 in 2021. We think this shows that institutional investors consider Reddit’s increasing influence in the general investment community’s decision-making process, but they don’t trust those things going on in those forums as meaningful enough for their \"well-developed\" processes, as compared to individual investors shown earlier.\nInstitutional investors' attitude towards members of the Reddit wallstreetbets community. Data source: Brunswick\nWhile 48% of institutional investors think that the Redditors “might have a short term influence, but they won’t be able to sustain it,” 27% developed some curiosity regarding Reddit influence among the investors’ community, and 13% of them developed some form of respect for the way the Redditors were able to amass an army to outgun some of Wall Street’s brightest minds. We were therefore not surprised to find that 20% of these institutional investors were frustrated with what they considered as “market manipulation” by the Redditors.\nLooking Ahead\nOwnership breakdown. Source:Simply Wall St\nInstitutional ownership changes. Source:Marketbeat\nMoving forward, we think meme stocks like GME would continue to feature prominently within the Reddit forums and remain one of their “flagship” stocks in their fight against the Street. Retail investors now hold the largest share of ownership of GME stock, accounting for 45.1% of total ownership. Interestingly, there’s still a sizable proportion (36.4%) of institutional investors that remain vested in GME, which includes GME’s largest shareholder: Blackrock, which owns 12.36% of GME stock. While GME witnessed a significant outflow of $1.93B of institutional capital in Q2’21, the stock price remained well above the closing price of $17.25, on the first trading day of 2021.\nPercentage of float shorted over time. Source:Marketbeat\nImportantly, the price continues to be sustained even though the short percentage of float has dropped significantly from 41.96% in Jan, to “just” 14.18% at the end of June, its lowest recorded two-week period in 2021.\nOther than the 45.1% of retail investors who are vested in GME, the stock is also supported by Ryan Cohen’s 12.13% share, which makes him the second-largest shareholder of GME stock, behind Blackrock, even though the purchase price for his last batch of 1.274M shares in Dec 20 is about $14.24, which certainly gives him a huge margin of safety if we consider GME’s last closing price of $178.85.\nPrice Action and Trend Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nEver since the mania we witnessed at the start of the year, GME has settled down and seems to have developed an uptrend bias, with a support level that has attracted strong buying interest between the $130 and $160 price level previously. It is a level that we expect the buyers to continue defending strongly, based on our price action analysis. For investors who are keen to take a position in GME, we think they may consider an entry within that buy range that we highlighted.\nWhile we are convinced that the volatility in GameStop’s price is likely to continue moving ahead, we think the stock has incredibly found huge buying interest among the retail community that has shaken the foundations of the institutional investors, asStenham Asset Managementarticulated:\n\n \"In the current environment, you are being negligent if you don’t measure and manage your exposure on the short side to both crowding and retail interest,\" and we think one of the multibillion-dollar US hedge fund also succinctly summed up the rising influence of the Reddit community: “[We] are absolutely looking at forums such as WSB, we are monitoring that extremely closely.”\n\nIn GameStop, we think the game is certainly far from being over.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800840519,"gmtCreate":1627293226331,"gmtModify":1631891688034,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very good","listText":"Very good","text":"Very good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800840519","repostId":"2154931205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3068,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837953786,"gmtCreate":1629853942745,"gmtModify":1631891688014,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837953786","repostId":"1169012297","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169012297","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629852614,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169012297?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-25 08:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nordstrom Swings to Profit as Revenue Doubles<blockquote>Nordstrom收入翻倍扭亏为盈</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169012297","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Nordstrom (JWN), the Seattle luxury retailer, reported that it swung to a fiscal-second-quarter prof","content":"<p>Nordstrom&nbsp;(<b>JWN</b>), the Seattle luxury retailer, reported that it swung to a fiscal-second-quarter profit from a year-earlier loss as revenue doubled.</p><p><blockquote>诺德斯特龙（<b>JWN</b>西雅图奢侈品零售商）报告称，随着收入翻倍，该公司第二财季从上年同期的亏损转为盈利。</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter ended July 31, net income was 49 cents a share compared with a loss of $1.62 a share in the year-earlier quarter.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月31日的季度，每股净利润为49美分，而去年同期每股亏损1.62美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue reached $3.66 billion from $1.86 billion.</p><p><blockquote>营收从18.6亿美元达到36.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> A survey of analysts by FactSet produced consensus estimates of GAAP earnings of 28 cents a share on revenue of $3.34 billion.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet对分析师的一项调查显示，普遍预期GAAP每股收益为28美分，营收为33.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Nordstrom shares were lower in after-hours trading. The stock fell $3.06, or 8%, to $34.75 in recent action.&nbsp;Shares closed regular Tuesday trading up 3% at $37.81.</p><p><blockquote>诺德斯特龙股价在盘后交易中走低。在最近的行动中，该股下跌了3.06美元，跌幅8%，至34.75美元。该股周二收盘上涨3%，至37.81美元。</blockquote></p><p> For the full year Nordstrom raised its revenue outlook, to an expected increase of 35% from its previous estimate of 25%.</p><p><blockquote>Nordstrom将全年收入预期从之前预期的25%上调至35%。</blockquote></p><p> “As consumers refreshed their wardrobes, the company’s core categories of shoes, apparel and accessories” saw the biggest improvement in sales trends relative to Q1 2021, Nordstrom said&nbsp;in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>Nordstrom在一份声明中表示，“随着消费者更新衣柜，该公司的核心类别鞋类、服装和配饰”的销售趋势相对于2021年第一季度出现了最大改善。</blockquote></p><p> “In addition, sales in active, home and designer categories continued to grow versus 2019,” the year before the pandemic hammered the entire retail industry.</p><p><blockquote>“此外，与2019年（疫情重创整个零售业的前一年）相比，活跃类、家居类和设计师类的销售额继续增长。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Traffic and sales trends were strong across both digital and stores as customers responded positively to expanded selection, better in-stock rates on top-selling items and enhanced capabilities including convenient pickup options at Nordstrom and Nordstrom Rack stores,\" the company added.</p><p><blockquote>该公司补充道：“数字和商店的客流量和销售趋势都很强劲，因为客户对扩大选择、提高最畅销商品的库存率以及增强的功能（包括Nordstrom和Nordstrom Rack商店的便捷提货选项）做出了积极反应。”</blockquote></p><p> Most recently, Nordstrom said that it acquired a minority interest in four Asos brands: Topshop, Topman and Miss Selfridge and Hitt. Terms weren't disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>最近，Nordstrom表示收购了四个Asos品牌的少数股权：Topshop、Topman、Miss Selfridge和Hitt。条款没有披露。</blockquote></p><p> Asos, London, calls itself an \"online retailer for fashion loving 20-somethings\" worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>评级伦敦Asos本身是全球“热爱时尚的20多岁年轻人的在线零售商”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nordstrom Swings to Profit as Revenue Doubles<blockquote>Nordstrom收入翻倍扭亏为盈</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNordstrom Swings to Profit as Revenue Doubles<blockquote>Nordstrom收入翻倍扭亏为盈</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-25 08:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nordstrom&nbsp;(<b>JWN</b>), the Seattle luxury retailer, reported that it swung to a fiscal-second-quarter profit from a year-earlier loss as revenue doubled.</p><p><blockquote>诺德斯特龙（<b>JWN</b>西雅图奢侈品零售商）报告称，随着收入翻倍，该公司第二财季从上年同期的亏损转为盈利。</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter ended July 31, net income was 49 cents a share compared with a loss of $1.62 a share in the year-earlier quarter.</p><p><blockquote>截至7月31日的季度，每股净利润为49美分，而去年同期每股亏损1.62美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue reached $3.66 billion from $1.86 billion.</p><p><blockquote>营收从18.6亿美元达到36.6亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> A survey of analysts by FactSet produced consensus estimates of GAAP earnings of 28 cents a share on revenue of $3.34 billion.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet对分析师的一项调查显示，普遍预期GAAP每股收益为28美分，营收为33.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Nordstrom shares were lower in after-hours trading. The stock fell $3.06, or 8%, to $34.75 in recent action.&nbsp;Shares closed regular Tuesday trading up 3% at $37.81.</p><p><blockquote>诺德斯特龙股价在盘后交易中走低。在最近的行动中，该股下跌了3.06美元，跌幅8%，至34.75美元。该股周二收盘上涨3%，至37.81美元。</blockquote></p><p> For the full year Nordstrom raised its revenue outlook, to an expected increase of 35% from its previous estimate of 25%.</p><p><blockquote>Nordstrom将全年收入预期从之前预期的25%上调至35%。</blockquote></p><p> “As consumers refreshed their wardrobes, the company’s core categories of shoes, apparel and accessories” saw the biggest improvement in sales trends relative to Q1 2021, Nordstrom said&nbsp;in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>Nordstrom在一份声明中表示，“随着消费者更新衣柜，该公司的核心类别鞋类、服装和配饰”的销售趋势相对于2021年第一季度出现了最大改善。</blockquote></p><p> “In addition, sales in active, home and designer categories continued to grow versus 2019,” the year before the pandemic hammered the entire retail industry.</p><p><blockquote>“此外，与2019年（疫情重创整个零售业的前一年）相比，活跃类、家居类和设计师类的销售额继续增长。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Traffic and sales trends were strong across both digital and stores as customers responded positively to expanded selection, better in-stock rates on top-selling items and enhanced capabilities including convenient pickup options at Nordstrom and Nordstrom Rack stores,\" the company added.</p><p><blockquote>该公司补充道：“数字和商店的客流量和销售趋势都很强劲，因为客户对扩大选择、提高最畅销商品的库存率以及增强的功能（包括Nordstrom和Nordstrom Rack商店的便捷提货选项）做出了积极反应。”</blockquote></p><p> Most recently, Nordstrom said that it acquired a minority interest in four Asos brands: Topshop, Topman and Miss Selfridge and Hitt. Terms weren't disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>最近，Nordstrom表示收购了四个Asos品牌的少数股权：Topshop、Topman、Miss Selfridge和Hitt。条款没有披露。</blockquote></p><p> Asos, London, calls itself an \"online retailer for fashion loving 20-somethings\" worldwide.</p><p><blockquote>评级伦敦Asos本身是全球“热爱时尚的20多岁年轻人的在线零售商”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nordstrom-swings-to-q2-profit-on-doubled-revenue\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JWN":"诺德斯特龙"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/nordstrom-swings-to-q2-profit-on-doubled-revenue","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169012297","content_text":"Nordstrom (JWN), the Seattle luxury retailer, reported that it swung to a fiscal-second-quarter profit from a year-earlier loss as revenue doubled.\nFor the quarter ended July 31, net income was 49 cents a share compared with a loss of $1.62 a share in the year-earlier quarter.\nRevenue reached $3.66 billion from $1.86 billion.\nA survey of analysts by FactSet produced consensus estimates of GAAP earnings of 28 cents a share on revenue of $3.34 billion.\nNordstrom shares were lower in after-hours trading. The stock fell $3.06, or 8%, to $34.75 in recent action. Shares closed regular Tuesday trading up 3% at $37.81.\nFor the full year Nordstrom raised its revenue outlook, to an expected increase of 35% from its previous estimate of 25%.\n“As consumers refreshed their wardrobes, the company’s core categories of shoes, apparel and accessories” saw the biggest improvement in sales trends relative to Q1 2021, Nordstrom said in a statement.\n“In addition, sales in active, home and designer categories continued to grow versus 2019,” the year before the pandemic hammered the entire retail industry.\n\"Traffic and sales trends were strong across both digital and stores as customers responded positively to expanded selection, better in-stock rates on top-selling items and enhanced capabilities including convenient pickup options at Nordstrom and Nordstrom Rack stores,\" the company added.\nMost recently, Nordstrom said that it acquired a minority interest in four Asos brands: Topshop, Topman and Miss Selfridge and Hitt. Terms weren't disclosed.\nAsos, London, calls itself an \"online retailer for fashion loving 20-somethings\" worldwide.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JWN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":693661613,"gmtCreate":1640014121057,"gmtModify":1640014121173,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good article","listText":"good article","text":"good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693661613","repostId":"690788585","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":690788585,"gmtCreate":1639709102331,"gmtModify":1744960772263,"author":{"id":"3527667596890271","authorId":"3527667596890271","name":"Buy_Sell","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5f0ed79a338c758a22e0b4ea13bf9d2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667596890271","idStr":"3527667596890271"},"themes":[],"title":"🔥【12月17日】大型科技股全线下挫！今天什么值得买？","htmlText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 12月17日讯，港股三大指数低开，恒指跌0.05%，国指跌0.41%，恒生科技指数跌0.8%。 盘面上，隔夜美股科技股重挫，港股大型科技股集体低开，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a> 跌超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 跌超1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 等皆有跌幅；保险股、乳制品股、光伏股、体育用品股普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06186\">$中国飞鹤(06186)$</a> 大跌近10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00968\">$信义光能(00968)$</a> 跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">$中国平安(02318)$</a> 跌超3%，近期强势的电力股多数低开，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00916\">$龙源电力(00916)$</a> 跌超2%；另一方面，生物技术股再度集体反弹，美国商务部制裁名单不涉及医药公司；医药股走高，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09688\">$再鼎医药-SB(09688)$</a> 涨近1","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 12月17日讯，港股三大指数低开，恒指跌0.05%，国指跌0.41%，恒生科技指数跌0.8%。 盘面上，隔夜美股科技股重挫，港股大型科技股集体低开，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09999\">$网易-S(09999)$</a> 跌超2%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> 跌超1%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">$百度集团-SW(09888)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 等皆有跌幅；保险股、乳制品股、光伏股、体育用品股普跌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06186\">$中国飞鹤(06186)$</a> 大跌近10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00968\">$信义光能(00968)$</a> 跌超4%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02318\">$中国平安(02318)$</a> 跌超3%，近期强势的电力股多数低开，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00916\">$龙源电力(00916)$</a> 跌超2%；另一方面，生物技术股再度集体反弹，美国商务部制裁名单不涉及医药公司；医药股走高，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09688\">$再鼎医药-SB(09688)$</a> 涨近1","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 12月17日讯，港股三大指数低开，恒指跌0.05%，国指跌0.41%，恒生科技指数跌0.8%。 盘面上，隔夜美股科技股重挫，港股大型科技股集体低开，$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$ 、$网易-S(09999)$ 跌超2%，$腾讯控股(00700)$ 跌超1%，$百度集团-SW(09888)$ 、$京东集团-SW(09618)$ 等皆有跌幅；保险股、乳制品股、光伏股、体育用品股普跌，$中国飞鹤(06186)$ 大跌近10%，$信义光能(00968)$ 跌超4%，$中国平安(02318)$ 跌超3%，近期强势的电力股多数低开，$龙源电力(00916)$ 跌超2%；另一方面，生物技术股再度集体反弹，美国商务部制裁名单不涉及医药公司；医药股走高，$再鼎医药-SB(09688)$ 涨近1","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43640df14a4231359701d7899e7dec45","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690788585","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2986,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693663712,"gmtCreate":1640014071055,"gmtModify":1640014071176,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693663712","repostId":"607447061","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":607447061,"gmtCreate":1639581852882,"gmtModify":1639582180983,"author":{"id":"3456837198498359","authorId":"3456837198498359","name":"观水之澜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4075d1e45e96ce0d10e12fcf93244852","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456837198498359","idStr":"3456837198498359"},"themes":[],"title":"优信，我唯一的价值投资！","htmlText":"大家好，我是观澜。今日<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">$优信(UXIN)$</a>&nbsp;发布财报，Q2总收入3.46亿元人民币，同比上涨352.7%。喜讯传来，优先股价盘前一度涨至2.18刀，涨幅高达到29.76%。作为有5年二手车电商从业经验的我，其实对此结果并不感到意外，即便相对其竞争对手瓜子而言，优信显得那么地默默无声。 优信，我唯一的价值投资！目前持有截止至2023年1月20日到期，行权价为5.00刀的大额看涨期权。 其实我一直认为，对于小散而言，价值投资是一项风险极大的事情。毕竟拿出3~5年去相信一家公司未来有5~10倍的增长，与赌无异。特别是在经历了二手车电商跌宕起伏的5年后，我清楚地看到：在许多时候，连董事长都不知道自己这家创业公司能否活过明天。既然这样，那我凭什么敢于持有优信的长期看涨期权呢？理由也许只有一个，我深度参与了二手车电商5年来的探索之路。以下我从“道”和“术”两个方面，来讲讲我看好优信的理由，仅供大家批评指正。 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位 二、“术”：从优信合肥大卖场，看优信的执行力 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位你可能听说过瓜子、优信、人人车这些二手车电商，但你也许并不知道，他们在商业模式上有多么地不同。这种不同不仅仅是同一时期一家公司与另一家公司的不同，而且在不同时期，一家公司自己的商业模式也会发生天翻地覆的变化。见过了这些千差万别的商业模式，我逐渐发现，其实背后只有两种“定位”，即一家二手车企业，在一次二手车交易过程中扮演什么样的角色。一种叫“经纪人”，一种叫“经销商”。1.1、经纪人如果一家二手车企业决定在二手车交易中扮演经纪人的角色，那么它的核心价值主张就是帮助买家看清卖家的车况。在这样的价值主张下，这家二手车企业应该核心打造的能","listText":"大家好，我是观澜。今日<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">$优信(UXIN)$</a>&nbsp;发布财报，Q2总收入3.46亿元人民币，同比上涨352.7%。喜讯传来，优先股价盘前一度涨至2.18刀，涨幅高达到29.76%。作为有5年二手车电商从业经验的我，其实对此结果并不感到意外，即便相对其竞争对手瓜子而言，优信显得那么地默默无声。 优信，我唯一的价值投资！目前持有截止至2023年1月20日到期，行权价为5.00刀的大额看涨期权。 其实我一直认为，对于小散而言，价值投资是一项风险极大的事情。毕竟拿出3~5年去相信一家公司未来有5~10倍的增长，与赌无异。特别是在经历了二手车电商跌宕起伏的5年后，我清楚地看到：在许多时候，连董事长都不知道自己这家创业公司能否活过明天。既然这样，那我凭什么敢于持有优信的长期看涨期权呢？理由也许只有一个，我深度参与了二手车电商5年来的探索之路。以下我从“道”和“术”两个方面，来讲讲我看好优信的理由，仅供大家批评指正。 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位 二、“术”：从优信合肥大卖场，看优信的执行力 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位你可能听说过瓜子、优信、人人车这些二手车电商，但你也许并不知道，他们在商业模式上有多么地不同。这种不同不仅仅是同一时期一家公司与另一家公司的不同，而且在不同时期，一家公司自己的商业模式也会发生天翻地覆的变化。见过了这些千差万别的商业模式，我逐渐发现，其实背后只有两种“定位”，即一家二手车企业，在一次二手车交易过程中扮演什么样的角色。一种叫“经纪人”，一种叫“经销商”。1.1、经纪人如果一家二手车企业决定在二手车交易中扮演经纪人的角色，那么它的核心价值主张就是帮助买家看清卖家的车况。在这样的价值主张下，这家二手车企业应该核心打造的能","text":"大家好，我是观澜。今日$优信(UXIN)$ 发布财报，Q2总收入3.46亿元人民币，同比上涨352.7%。喜讯传来，优先股价盘前一度涨至2.18刀，涨幅高达到29.76%。作为有5年二手车电商从业经验的我，其实对此结果并不感到意外，即便相对其竞争对手瓜子而言，优信显得那么地默默无声。 优信，我唯一的价值投资！目前持有截止至2023年1月20日到期，行权价为5.00刀的大额看涨期权。 其实我一直认为，对于小散而言，价值投资是一项风险极大的事情。毕竟拿出3~5年去相信一家公司未来有5~10倍的增长，与赌无异。特别是在经历了二手车电商跌宕起伏的5年后，我清楚地看到：在许多时候，连董事长都不知道自己这家创业公司能否活过明天。既然这样，那我凭什么敢于持有优信的长期看涨期权呢？理由也许只有一个，我深度参与了二手车电商5年来的探索之路。以下我从“道”和“术”两个方面，来讲讲我看好优信的理由，仅供大家批评指正。 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位 二、“术”：从优信合肥大卖场，看优信的执行力 一、“道”：比商业模式更底层的是自己的定位你可能听说过瓜子、优信、人人车这些二手车电商，但你也许并不知道，他们在商业模式上有多么地不同。这种不同不仅仅是同一时期一家公司与另一家公司的不同，而且在不同时期，一家公司自己的商业模式也会发生天翻地覆的变化。见过了这些千差万别的商业模式，我逐渐发现，其实背后只有两种“定位”，即一家二手车企业，在一次二手车交易过程中扮演什么样的角色。一种叫“经纪人”，一种叫“经销商”。1.1、经纪人如果一家二手车企业决定在二手车交易中扮演经纪人的角色，那么它的核心价值主张就是帮助买家看清卖家的车况。在这样的价值主张下，这家二手车企业应该核心打造的能","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5db03973b2e25dfa1b231837e897918","width":"688","height":"516"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad87e5a79e3c91cf7e50e1616eb92da5","width":"688","height":"918"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c62d1f0fb362c090cb78fbce3af6f1fb","width":"688","height":"918"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607447061","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":9,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":818377852,"gmtCreate":1630380361176,"gmtModify":1704959430130,"author":{"id":"3567937997012765","authorId":"3567937997012765","name":"乐菠萝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/812393b7746e3973ab8556cd3e531ce9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567937997012765","idStr":"3567937997012765"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good post","listText":"good post","text":"good post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818377852","repostId":"833034285","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":833034285,"gmtCreate":1629188602747,"gmtModify":1629199800192,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"21347731130544","idStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"高瓴美股持仓大转舵：押注后疫情时代！","htmlText":"8月17日，高瓴资本在美国证券交易委员会（SEC）网站公布了2021年二季度美股13F持仓数据。截止二季度末，高瓴共持有89家美股，持仓市值近97亿美元，约630亿人民币，生物医药、中概股依然是高瓴最爱，但细数持仓变化，高瓴或正在押注后疫情时代的到来！先来看高瓴十大持仓股：目前，高瓴第一大持仓股依然是最爱的百济神州。百济神州是国内创新药巨头，年研发投入在12.9亿美元，约84亿人民币，高于国内创新药一哥恒瑞医药的50亿人民币，是国内少数孤注一掷搞研发的医药巨头。百济神州的壮大离不开高瓴的支持，自2014年A轮融资以来，百济神州每次重大融资都有高瓴身影，2020年7月，百济神州宣布定增，募资20.8亿美元，创下全球生物科技公司新增发行规模最大的一笔股权融资！其中，高瓴大手笔认购不低于10亿美元。百济神州可以说是高瓴的最爱了。在十大持仓股中，拼多多、ZOOM和京东遭遇密集减持，尤其是减仓拼多多332万股。拼多多和京东都是国内电商平台，而ZOOM主营线上会议，虽然与电商不相关，但其实这3支个股都有同样的概念，即疫情受益股。爆发于2020年初的全球疫情，线下消费受阻，电商成为支撑消费者的重心，线上会议更是迎来春天，ZOOM在全球一炮而红，股价在2020年暴涨396%，成为最火疫情受益股。一面减仓疫情受益股，高瓴一方面忙着加仓疫后概念股爱彼迎。爱彼迎是全球线上民宿平台，从行业上归属于旅游概念股，众所周知，新冠疫情重挫全球旅游行业，爱彼迎自然也无法置身事外。2020年，爱彼迎营收34亿美元，较2019年下降近30%。随着疫苗接种的推进，2021年，全球消费者旅游意愿有所提升，从财报上看，2021年上半年，爱彼迎营收22亿美元，较2020年同期大增89%！除了拼多多、京东和ZOOM之外，高瓴还减持了137万股优步、275万股万国数据等个股。比较意外的是，高瓴加仓了唯品会和阿里巴巴，分别持","listText":"8月17日，高瓴资本在美国证券交易委员会（SEC）网站公布了2021年二季度美股13F持仓数据。截止二季度末，高瓴共持有89家美股，持仓市值近97亿美元，约630亿人民币，生物医药、中概股依然是高瓴最爱，但细数持仓变化，高瓴或正在押注后疫情时代的到来！先来看高瓴十大持仓股：目前，高瓴第一大持仓股依然是最爱的百济神州。百济神州是国内创新药巨头，年研发投入在12.9亿美元，约84亿人民币，高于国内创新药一哥恒瑞医药的50亿人民币，是国内少数孤注一掷搞研发的医药巨头。百济神州的壮大离不开高瓴的支持，自2014年A轮融资以来，百济神州每次重大融资都有高瓴身影，2020年7月，百济神州宣布定增，募资20.8亿美元，创下全球生物科技公司新增发行规模最大的一笔股权融资！其中，高瓴大手笔认购不低于10亿美元。百济神州可以说是高瓴的最爱了。在十大持仓股中，拼多多、ZOOM和京东遭遇密集减持，尤其是减仓拼多多332万股。拼多多和京东都是国内电商平台，而ZOOM主营线上会议，虽然与电商不相关，但其实这3支个股都有同样的概念，即疫情受益股。爆发于2020年初的全球疫情，线下消费受阻，电商成为支撑消费者的重心，线上会议更是迎来春天，ZOOM在全球一炮而红，股价在2020年暴涨396%，成为最火疫情受益股。一面减仓疫情受益股，高瓴一方面忙着加仓疫后概念股爱彼迎。爱彼迎是全球线上民宿平台，从行业上归属于旅游概念股，众所周知，新冠疫情重挫全球旅游行业，爱彼迎自然也无法置身事外。2020年，爱彼迎营收34亿美元，较2019年下降近30%。随着疫苗接种的推进，2021年，全球消费者旅游意愿有所提升，从财报上看，2021年上半年，爱彼迎营收22亿美元，较2020年同期大增89%！除了拼多多、京东和ZOOM之外，高瓴还减持了137万股优步、275万股万国数据等个股。比较意外的是，高瓴加仓了唯品会和阿里巴巴，分别持","text":"8月17日，高瓴资本在美国证券交易委员会（SEC）网站公布了2021年二季度美股13F持仓数据。截止二季度末，高瓴共持有89家美股，持仓市值近97亿美元，约630亿人民币，生物医药、中概股依然是高瓴最爱，但细数持仓变化，高瓴或正在押注后疫情时代的到来！先来看高瓴十大持仓股：目前，高瓴第一大持仓股依然是最爱的百济神州。百济神州是国内创新药巨头，年研发投入在12.9亿美元，约84亿人民币，高于国内创新药一哥恒瑞医药的50亿人民币，是国内少数孤注一掷搞研发的医药巨头。百济神州的壮大离不开高瓴的支持，自2014年A轮融资以来，百济神州每次重大融资都有高瓴身影，2020年7月，百济神州宣布定增，募资20.8亿美元，创下全球生物科技公司新增发行规模最大的一笔股权融资！其中，高瓴大手笔认购不低于10亿美元。百济神州可以说是高瓴的最爱了。在十大持仓股中，拼多多、ZOOM和京东遭遇密集减持，尤其是减仓拼多多332万股。拼多多和京东都是国内电商平台，而ZOOM主营线上会议，虽然与电商不相关，但其实这3支个股都有同样的概念，即疫情受益股。爆发于2020年初的全球疫情，线下消费受阻，电商成为支撑消费者的重心，线上会议更是迎来春天，ZOOM在全球一炮而红，股价在2020年暴涨396%，成为最火疫情受益股。一面减仓疫情受益股，高瓴一方面忙着加仓疫后概念股爱彼迎。爱彼迎是全球线上民宿平台，从行业上归属于旅游概念股，众所周知，新冠疫情重挫全球旅游行业，爱彼迎自然也无法置身事外。2020年，爱彼迎营收34亿美元，较2019年下降近30%。随着疫苗接种的推进，2021年，全球消费者旅游意愿有所提升，从财报上看，2021年上半年，爱彼迎营收22亿美元，较2020年同期大增89%！除了拼多多、京东和ZOOM之外，高瓴还减持了137万股优步、275万股万国数据等个股。比较意外的是，高瓴加仓了唯品会和阿里巴巴，分别持","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90712603f079808383bf5ca584d59477","width":"688","height":"402"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833034285","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}