PEHPEH的个人主页 - 老虎社区

PEHPEH

PEHPEH

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2021-08-30

$Bank Of Montreal(FNGU)$Need to have more patience...

2021-06-17

Nope

Gold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储转向更加鹰派后金价跌破 1,800 美元</blockquote>

2021-06-16

👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-13

Watch out!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-11

Commodity supercycle? Really?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-10

[惊讶]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-09

🤔

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-08

Lol

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-07

Hmmm...

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-05

[可爱]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-04

What do you think?

Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-06-02

Nice!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-01

Focus on the long term growth potential

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-30

When can we travel again :(

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-29

👍🏻

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-28

Drama drama

2021-05-21

AAPL!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-20

Stop gambling

Forget the crypto chaos. Look at this underappreciated sector for stock-market gains, says strategist.<blockquote>忘记加密混乱吧。策略师表示，关注这个被低估的行业，寻找股市上涨的机会。</blockquote>

2021-05-18

Keep going!

EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again.<blockquote>电动汽车股再次火爆。</blockquote>

2021-05-17

Buy?

Is Disney Stock Still a Buy After Missing Subscriber Estimates?<blockquote>在未达到订户预期后，迪士尼股票仍然值得买入吗？</blockquote>

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21:27","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Gold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储转向更加鹰派后金价跌破 1,800 美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198341576","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace o","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation. The...</p><p><blockquote><div>（彭博社）——由于对劳动力市场的乐观情绪和对通胀的担忧加剧，美联储加快了预期的政策紧缩步伐，金价跌破每盎司 1,800 美元。这个……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储转向更加鹰派后金价跌破 1,800 美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储转向更加鹰派后金价跌破 1,800 美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 21:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation. The...</p><p><blockquote><div>（彭博社）——由于对劳动力市场的乐观情绪和对通胀的担忧加剧，美联储加快了预期的政策紧缩步伐，金价跌破每盎司 1,800 美元。这个……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198341576","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.\nThe metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.\nThe central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.\n“We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”\nSpot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.\nBullion fell as investors weigh the outcome of the Fed’s two-day gathering. Despite the hawkish pivot, Powell said the interest-rate forecasts “should be taken with a big grain of salt,” and cautioned that discussions about raising rates would be “highly premature.” The central bank also upped its inflation forecasts, though Powell continued to insist price pressures would prove transitory.\n“Once again the million dollar question is whether inflation will be a passing phenomenon or longer lasting?” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S, said in a note. “For now the market trusts the judgement of the Federal Reserve and until data potentially proves them wrong, gold and with that also silver may face another challenging period.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169461585,"gmtCreate":1623847803447,"gmtModify":1631888190261,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169461585","repostId":"1129059158","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182297900,"gmtCreate":1623575221400,"gmtModify":1631888190273,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Watch out!","listText":"Watch out!","text":"Watch out!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182297900","repostId":"2142378818","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188938376,"gmtCreate":1623419007995,"gmtModify":1631888190287,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Commodity supercycle? Really?","listText":"Commodity supercycle? Really?","text":"Commodity supercycle? Really?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188938376","repostId":"1196090491","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183635908,"gmtCreate":1623327514404,"gmtModify":1631888190299,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[惊讶]&nbsp;","listText":"[惊讶]&nbsp;","text":"[惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183635908","repostId":"1128810191","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3899,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":189190955,"gmtCreate":1623247175677,"gmtModify":1631888190313,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"🤔&nbsp;","listText":"🤔&nbsp;","text":"🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189190955","repostId":"2142600282","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117418590,"gmtCreate":1623156764510,"gmtModify":1631888190323,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117418590","repostId":"1189074704","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3534,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114850522,"gmtCreate":1623067596366,"gmtModify":1631888190340,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm...","listText":"Hmmm...","text":"Hmmm...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114850522","repostId":"2141286115","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112486810,"gmtCreate":1622902736030,"gmtModify":1634096983737,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[可爱]&nbsp;","listText":"[可爱]&nbsp;","text":"[可爱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112486810","repostId":"1158897173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3002,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":116504587,"gmtCreate":1622809372249,"gmtModify":1634097816610,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"What do you think?","listText":"What do you think?","text":"What do you think?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116504587","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113479985,"gmtCreate":1622637139647,"gmtModify":1634099721700,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice!","listText":"Nice!","text":"Nice!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113479985","repostId":"2140495292","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119671579,"gmtCreate":1622545990491,"gmtModify":1634100636008,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Focus on the long term growth potential","listText":"Focus on the long term growth potential","text":"Focus on the long term growth potential","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119671579","repostId":"1156290775","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1167,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137400849,"gmtCreate":1622371632881,"gmtModify":1634101978125,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"When can we travel again :(","listText":"When can we travel again :(","text":"When can we travel again :(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137400849","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":872,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137303035,"gmtCreate":1622293418027,"gmtModify":1634102475275,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍🏻&nbsp;","listText":"👍🏻&nbsp;","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137303035","repostId":"2138488613","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1207,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134387565,"gmtCreate":1622208575657,"gmtModify":1634182849467,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Drama drama","listText":"Drama drama","text":"Drama drama","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff813dc8a9459484cafdb977a08ee42","width":"1125","height":"3437"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134387565","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139114293,"gmtCreate":1621600314912,"gmtModify":1634187759136,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"AAPL!","listText":"AAPL!","text":"AAPL!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139114293","repostId":"1159725394","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130373163,"gmtCreate":1621516452452,"gmtModify":1634188509096,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Stop gambling&nbsp;","listText":"Stop gambling&nbsp;","text":"Stop gambling","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130373163","repostId":"2136921902","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136921902","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1621514880,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2136921902?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 20:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget the crypto chaos. Look at this underappreciated sector for stock-market gains, says strategist.<blockquote>忘记加密混乱吧。策略师表示，关注这个被低估的行业，寻找股市上涨的机会。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136921902","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The cryptocurrency chaos continued on Thursday, as investor sentiment on stocks exhibited similar ji","content":"<p>The cryptocurrency chaos continued on Thursday, as investor sentiment on stocks exhibited similar jitters. Equities are set to extend declines as crypto markets remain volatile and depressed.</p><p><blockquote>周四，加密货币混乱仍在继续，投资者对股票的情绪也表现出类似的不安。由于加密货币市场仍然波动和低迷，股市将继续下跌。</blockquote></p><p> But let's block out the noise over bitcoin, Elon Musk's tweets, and concerns about inflation and technology-stock valuations.</p><p><blockquote>但让我们屏蔽有关比特币、埃隆·马斯克的推文以及对通胀和科技股估值的担忧的噪音。</blockquote></p><p> Our call of the day, from strategist Jesse Felder of the Felder Report financial blog , urged investors to look to an underappreciated sector for stock-market gains: energy.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德报告金融博客策略师杰西·费尔德 (Jesse Felder) 的今日看涨期权敦促投资者关注一个被低估的行业，以获得股市上涨：能源。</blockquote></p><p> One of Felder's mantras is to look for investing opportunities outside of major indexes. The rise of passive investing, with massive funds passively tracking stock market indexes, makes these opportunities more prevalent and attractive, he said.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德的口头禅之一是在主要指数之外寻找投资机会。他说，被动投资的兴起，大量资金被动跟踪股票市场指数，使得这些机会更加普遍和有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> According to Felder, passive investing has recently become less popular, as investors increasingly embrace variations of ESG: environmental, social, and governance investing, which measures social and environmental impact. That includes the more speculative side of the trend, like green energy stocks Ørsted and Plug Power <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$(PLUG)$</a>, and electric-vehicle companies like Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> and NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示，随着投资者越来越多地接受 ESG 的变体：环境、社会和治理投资，衡量社会和环境影响，被动投资最近变得不那么受欢迎。这包括趋势中更具投机性的一面，例如绿色能源股票Ørsted和普拉格能源<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$(插头)$</a>以及特斯拉等电动汽车公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(特斯拉)$</a>和蔚来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(蔚来)$</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Felder said this has resulted in portfolios that are more concentrated in popular sectors such as tech, and underweight in the traditional energy sector.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示，这导致投资组合更加集中在科技等热门行业，而跑输大盘则集中在传统能源行业。</blockquote></p><p> \"In this way, ESG has merely served to magnify the momentum that passive index funds create when they allocate more new money to stocks and sectors with rising values, like tech and communications services,\" Felder said, with funds allocating less new money to sectors with falling values, like energy.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示：“通过这种方式，ESG 只是放大了被动指数基金在将更多新资金分配给价值上涨的股票和行业（例如科技和通信服务）时创造的势头。”基金将更少的新资金分配给价值下跌的行业，例如能源。</blockquote></p><p> \"As a result, opportunities that run counter to these trends have become even more attractive than they otherwise would have,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>“因此，与这些趋势背道而驰的机会变得比其他情况下更具吸引力，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> The momentum is now shifting. Energy has begun to outperform the rest of the stock market, including tech, and \"many may be asking themselves whether this trend is sustainable.\" Felder thinks it is.</p><p><blockquote>现在势头正在转变。能源股的表现已开始优于包括科技股在内的其他股市，“许多人可能会问自己这种趋势是否可持续。”费尔德认为是。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca60c8ba87702d88f1e7cd965b99671\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"912\"><span>CHART VIA THE FELDER REPORT BLOG.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表通过费尔德报告博客。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Felder pointed to the chart, above, which shows historical weightings within the S&amp;P 500 index. Energy has a smaller portion that it did two decades ago, at the beginning of its last major bull market. Tech and communications-services stocks are slightly below all-time highs notched at the peak of the dot-com bubble.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德指着上面的图表，该图表显示了标普500指数中的历史权重。能源的份额比二十年前（上一次大牛市开始时）要小。科技和通信服务股略低于互联网泡沫顶峰时的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> \"For my money, those alligator jaws look more likely to snap shut than to open even wider,\" Felder said.</p><p><blockquote>“在我看来，这些鳄鱼下巴看起来更有可能snap闭合，而不是张得更大，”费尔德说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget the crypto chaos. Look at this underappreciated sector for stock-market gains, says strategist.<blockquote>忘记加密混乱吧。策略师表示，关注这个被低估的行业，寻找股市上涨的机会。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget the crypto chaos. Look at this underappreciated sector for stock-market gains, says strategist.<blockquote>忘记加密混乱吧。策略师表示，关注这个被低估的行业，寻找股市上涨的机会。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-20 20:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The cryptocurrency chaos continued on Thursday, as investor sentiment on stocks exhibited similar jitters. Equities are set to extend declines as crypto markets remain volatile and depressed.</p><p><blockquote>周四，加密货币混乱仍在继续，投资者对股票的情绪也表现出类似的不安。由于加密货币市场仍然波动和低迷，股市将继续下跌。</blockquote></p><p> But let's block out the noise over bitcoin, Elon Musk's tweets, and concerns about inflation and technology-stock valuations.</p><p><blockquote>但让我们屏蔽有关比特币、埃隆·马斯克的推文以及对通胀和科技股估值的担忧的噪音。</blockquote></p><p> Our call of the day, from strategist Jesse Felder of the Felder Report financial blog , urged investors to look to an underappreciated sector for stock-market gains: energy.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德报告金融博客策略师杰西·费尔德 (Jesse Felder) 的今日看涨期权敦促投资者关注一个被低估的行业，以获得股市上涨：能源。</blockquote></p><p> One of Felder's mantras is to look for investing opportunities outside of major indexes. The rise of passive investing, with massive funds passively tracking stock market indexes, makes these opportunities more prevalent and attractive, he said.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德的口头禅之一是在主要指数之外寻找投资机会。他说，被动投资的兴起，大量资金被动跟踪股票市场指数，使得这些机会更加普遍和有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> According to Felder, passive investing has recently become less popular, as investors increasingly embrace variations of ESG: environmental, social, and governance investing, which measures social and environmental impact. That includes the more speculative side of the trend, like green energy stocks Ørsted and Plug Power <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$(PLUG)$</a>, and electric-vehicle companies like Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> and NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示，随着投资者越来越多地接受 ESG 的变体：环境、社会和治理投资，衡量社会和环境影响，被动投资最近变得不那么受欢迎。这包括趋势中更具投机性的一面，例如绿色能源股票Ørsted和普拉格能源<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$(插头)$</a>以及特斯拉等电动汽车公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(特斯拉)$</a>和蔚来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(蔚来)$</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Felder said this has resulted in portfolios that are more concentrated in popular sectors such as tech, and underweight in the traditional energy sector.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示，这导致投资组合更加集中在科技等热门行业，而跑输大盘则集中在传统能源行业。</blockquote></p><p> \"In this way, ESG has merely served to magnify the momentum that passive index funds create when they allocate more new money to stocks and sectors with rising values, like tech and communications services,\" Felder said, with funds allocating less new money to sectors with falling values, like energy.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示：“通过这种方式，ESG 只是放大了被动指数基金在将更多新资金分配给价值上涨的股票和行业（例如科技和通信服务）时创造的势头。”基金将更少的新资金分配给价值下跌的行业，例如能源。</blockquote></p><p> \"As a result, opportunities that run counter to these trends have become even more attractive than they otherwise would have,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>“因此，与这些趋势背道而驰的机会变得比其他情况下更具吸引力，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> The momentum is now shifting. Energy has begun to outperform the rest of the stock market, including tech, and \"many may be asking themselves whether this trend is sustainable.\" Felder thinks it is.</p><p><blockquote>现在势头正在转变。能源股的表现已开始优于包括科技股在内的其他股市，“许多人可能会问自己这种趋势是否可持续。”费尔德认为是。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca60c8ba87702d88f1e7cd965b99671\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"912\"><span>CHART VIA THE FELDER REPORT BLOG.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表通过费尔德报告博客。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Felder pointed to the chart, above, which shows historical weightings within the S&amp;P 500 index. Energy has a smaller portion that it did two decades ago, at the beginning of its last major bull market. Tech and communications-services stocks are slightly below all-time highs notched at the peak of the dot-com bubble.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德指着上面的图表，该图表显示了标普500指数中的历史权重。能源的份额比二十年前（上一次大牛市开始时）要小。科技和通信服务股略低于互联网泡沫顶峰时的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> \"For my money, those alligator jaws look more likely to snap shut than to open even wider,\" Felder said.</p><p><blockquote>“在我看来，这些鳄鱼下巴看起来更有可能snap闭合，而不是张得更大，”费尔德说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/forget-the-crypto-chaos-look-at-this-underappreciated-sector-for-stock-market-gains-says-strategist-11621509767?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/forget-the-crypto-chaos-look-at-this-underappreciated-sector-for-stock-market-gains-says-strategist-11621509767?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136921902","content_text":"The cryptocurrency chaos continued on Thursday, as investor sentiment on stocks exhibited similar jitters. Equities are set to extend declines as crypto markets remain volatile and depressed.\nBut let's block out the noise over bitcoin, Elon Musk's tweets, and concerns about inflation and technology-stock valuations.\nOur call of the day, from strategist Jesse Felder of the Felder Report financial blog , urged investors to look to an underappreciated sector for stock-market gains: energy.\nOne of Felder's mantras is to look for investing opportunities outside of major indexes. The rise of passive investing, with massive funds passively tracking stock market indexes, makes these opportunities more prevalent and attractive, he said.\nAccording to Felder, passive investing has recently become less popular, as investors increasingly embrace variations of ESG: environmental, social, and governance investing, which measures social and environmental impact. That includes the more speculative side of the trend, like green energy stocks Ørsted and Plug Power $(PLUG)$, and electric-vehicle companies like Tesla $(TSLA)$ and NIO $(NIO)$.\nFelder said this has resulted in portfolios that are more concentrated in popular sectors such as tech, and underweight in the traditional energy sector.\n\"In this way, ESG has merely served to magnify the momentum that passive index funds create when they allocate more new money to stocks and sectors with rising values, like tech and communications services,\" Felder said, with funds allocating less new money to sectors with falling values, like energy.\n\"As a result, opportunities that run counter to these trends have become even more attractive than they otherwise would have,\" he said.\nThe momentum is now shifting. Energy has begun to outperform the rest of the stock market, including tech, and \"many may be asking themselves whether this trend is sustainable.\" Felder thinks it is.\nCHART VIA THE FELDER REPORT BLOG.\nFelder pointed to the chart, above, which shows historical weightings within the S&P 500 index. Energy has a smaller portion that it did two decades ago, at the beginning of its last major bull market. Tech and communications-services stocks are slightly below all-time highs notched at the peak of the dot-com bubble.\n\"For my money, those alligator jaws look more likely to snap shut than to open even wider,\" Felder said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194155805,"gmtCreate":1621349279907,"gmtModify":1634192223797,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Keep going!","listText":"Keep going!","text":"Keep going!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194155805","repostId":"1118874404","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118874404","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621348771,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1118874404?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 22:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again.<blockquote>电动汽车股再次火爆。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118874404","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again on Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Mo","content":"<p>EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Motors rose 3%,Tesla rose 2%,Nio rose 1%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周二再次火爆。菲斯克上涨9%，小牛上涨7%，理想汽车上涨5%，小鹏汽车上涨3%，特斯拉上涨2%，蔚来汽车上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c154e9ee88b69416f48d71722ce1901\" tg-width=\"374\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again.<blockquote>电动汽车股再次火爆。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks are blazing hot, once again.<blockquote>电动汽车股再次火爆。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-18 22:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Motors rose 3%,Tesla rose 2%,Nio rose 1%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周二再次火爆。菲斯克上涨9%，小牛上涨7%，理想汽车上涨5%，小鹏汽车上涨3%，特斯拉上涨2%，蔚来汽车上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c154e9ee88b69416f48d71722ce1901\" tg-width=\"374\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIU":"小牛电动","FSR":"菲斯克","XPEV":"小鹏集团","NIO":"蔚来","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118874404","content_text":"EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again on Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Motors rose 3%,Tesla rose 2%,Nio rose 1%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FSR":0.9,"NIU":0.9,"LI":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1215,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195803114,"gmtCreate":1621266651738,"gmtModify":1634192898481,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy?","listText":"Buy?","text":"Buy?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195803114","repostId":"1121366045","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121366045","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621265461,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1121366045?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-17 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Disney Stock Still a Buy After Missing Subscriber Estimates?<blockquote>在未达到订户预期后，迪士尼股票仍然值得买入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121366045","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Disney+ fell well short of analyst estimates for subscriber additions in the last quarter.\nWalt Disn","content":"<p>Disney+ fell well short of analyst estimates for subscriber additions in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Disney+ 上季度的用户数量远低于分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Walt Disney</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:DIS)&nbsp;ended the fiscal second quarter with 103.6 million subscribers on its Disney+ streaming service.&nbsp;While that's more than double the total reported in the year-ago quarter, analysts expected Disney+ to finish the quarter with 109 million subscribers.</p><p><blockquote><b>华特·迪士尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）第二财季末，其 Disney+ 流媒体服务拥有 1.036 亿用户。虽然这一数字是去年同期报告总数的两倍多，但分析师预计 Disney+ 本季度将拥有 1.09 亿用户。</blockquote></p><p> The stock initially sold off sharply after the&nbsp;earnings report&nbsp;and is currently down 4.3% year to date.&nbsp;Investors are probably wondering if the House of Mouse is still a good investment.</p><p><blockquote>该股最初在财报发布后大幅抛售，目前今年迄今已下跌 4.3%。投资者可能想知道《老鼠之家》是否仍然是一项不错的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Here are four important points from the earnings call that suggest Disney is doing fine and could make the sell-off a good buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>以下是收益看涨期权中的四个要点，表明迪士尼表现良好，可能会使此次抛售成为一个很好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00b2ef9a9954376983ea5e8c5eef5678\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1125\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: WALT DISNEY.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：华特·迪士尼。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Disney+ is still on track to reach 230 million subscribers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. Disney+仍有望达到2.3亿用户</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney was already doomed to disappoint investors after&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NFLX)&nbsp;missed its own guidance for subscribers in the March-ending quarter.&nbsp;There was a strong pull-forward of signups for streaming services during the pandemic that may take a quarter or two to shake out.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼注定会让投资者失望<b>网飞</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）在截至 3 月份的季度未能达到自己的用户数量指导。在大流行病期间，流媒体服务的注册人数大幅增加，可能需要一两个季度的时间才能摆脱这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, there were plenty of details in the earnings report that suggest Disney+ is still on track to hit its long-term subscriber target. For example, CFO Christine McCarthy said that Disney \"added subs at a faster pace in the last month of the second quarter than we did in the first two months.\"&nbsp;And this was despite the first price increase for Disney+ since launch.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，收益报告中有大量细节表明 Disney+ 仍有望实现其长期订户目标。例如，首席财务官克里斯汀·麦卡锡 (Christine McCarthy) 表示，迪士尼“第二季度最后一个月增加潜艇的速度比前两个月更快。”尽管 Disney+ 自推出以来首次涨价。</blockquote></p><p> Looking beyond the near term, CEO Bob Chapek said: \"We are on track to achieve our guidance of 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024.\"</p><p><blockquote>展望近期，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克 (Bob Chapek) 表示：“我们有望在 2024 财年末实现 2.3 亿至 2.6 亿订户的目标。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Churn levels remaining low despite price increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 尽管价格上涨，流失率仍然很低</b></blockquote></p><p> Even after implementing the price increases last quarter, Chapek said that \"we've not observed any significantly higher churn rate since the price increase in [the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region].\"</p><p><blockquote>查佩克表示，即使在上季度实施价格上涨后，“自[欧洲、中东和非洲地区]价格上涨以来，我们也没有观察到任何显着上升的流失率。”</blockquote></p><p> Disney expects subscriber growth to be stronger once content production resumes at full strength. Chapek said, \"the anticipation for Marvel's newest series,<i>Loki</i>, which debuts on June 9 has been through the roof.\"</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼预计，一旦内容制作全面恢复，用户增长将会更加强劲。查佩克说：“对漫威最新系列的期待，<i>洛基</i>该片将于 6 月 9 日首映，票房大卖。”</blockquote></p><p> Remember that Disney has gained more than 100 million subs without tapping the&nbsp;deep pipeline of content&nbsp;from&nbsp;<i>Star Wars</i>&nbsp;and Marvel that management unveiled at its December investor day presentation.&nbsp;As the company adds more content from these powerhouse franchises, subscriber numbers should add up.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，迪士尼在没有挖掘深层内容管道的情况下已经获得了超过 1 亿订阅者<i>星球大战</i>令人惊叹的是，管理层在 12 月投资者日发布会上公布了这一消息。随着该公司从这些强大的特许经营权中添加更多内容，订户数量应该会增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Disney+ has yet to benefit from recent price increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. Disney+尚未从近期的涨价中受益</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney's average revenue per user (ARPU) fell 29% to $3.99 during the quarter.&nbsp;That is certainly a stark contrast compared to Netflix's 6% year-over-year increase in the last quarter. But there's more to the story here.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼本季度的每用户平均收入（ARPU）下降了29%，至3.99美元。这与网飞上一季度6%的同比增长相比，无疑是一个鲜明的对比。但是这里的故事还有更多。</blockquote></p><p> The decline in ARPU was due to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar in India, which produces a lower revenue per user than Disney+ in other markets.&nbsp;Excluding Hotstar, Disney+ ARPU would have been virtually unchanged at $5.61.</p><p><blockquote>ARPU的下降是由于Disney+Hotstar在印度的推出，它的每用户收入低于Disney+在其他市场。不包括Hotstar，Disney+的ARPU将几乎保持在5.61美元不变。</blockquote></p><p> \"As we move through the remainder of the year, we should start to see the benefit on Disney+ ARPU from price increases we've taken around the world,\" McCarthy said.</p><p><blockquote>麦卡锡说：“随着今年剩余时间的推进，我们应该开始看到迪士尼+ ARPU 从全球价格上涨中获得的好处。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Per capita spending is up at theme parks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 主题公园人均支出上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, theme parks are still an important piece of Disney's business, generating $26 billion in revenue in fiscal 2019.&nbsp;Revenue from Disney parks, experiences, and products dropped 44% year over year in the quarter.&nbsp;But that's an improvement from the previous quarter's 53% decline.</p><p><blockquote>当然，主题公园仍然是迪士尼业务的重要组成部分，在2019财年创造了260亿美元的收入。本季度迪士尼乐园、体验和产品的收入同比下降了44%。但这比上一季度53%的下降有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> Management offered more good news on the earnings call. \"At Walt Disney World, attendance trends continued to steadily improve throughout the second quarter, and guest spending per capita again grew by double digits versus the prior year,\" McCarthy said.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在盈利看涨期权上提供了更多好消息。“在华特迪士尼世界，整个第二季度的游客趋势继续稳步改善，人均游客支出与上一年相比再次实现两位数增长，”麦卡锡说。</blockquote></p><p> Disneyland Resort opened on April 30, and management is \"very encouraged\" by the guest response so far.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼乐园度假区于4月30日开业，到目前为止，游客的反应让管理层“非常鼓舞”。</blockquote></p><p> It's tough to say where the stock will go in the near term, but Disney's franchises are some of the most valuable in the&nbsp;entertainment industry. I think it's a safe bet that once Disney unloads more content from its top brands on Disney+, and the rest of the business fully recovers from the pandemic, the stock price will likely trade higher than it does now. So, yes, I view the sell-off as a good buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>很难说该股短期内会走向何方，但迪士尼的特许经营权是娱乐业中最有价值的特许经营权之一。我认为可以肯定的是，一旦迪士尼在 Disney+ 上卸载更多顶级品牌的内容，并且其余业务从疫情中完全恢复，股价可能会比现在更高。所以，是的，我认为抛售是一个很好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Disney Stock Still a Buy After Missing Subscriber Estimates?<blockquote>在未达到订户预期后，迪士尼股票仍然值得买入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Disney Stock Still a Buy After Missing Subscriber Estimates?<blockquote>在未达到订户预期后，迪士尼股票仍然值得买入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-17 23:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Disney+ fell well short of analyst estimates for subscriber additions in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Disney+ 上季度的用户数量远低于分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Walt Disney</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:DIS)&nbsp;ended the fiscal second quarter with 103.6 million subscribers on its Disney+ streaming service.&nbsp;While that's more than double the total reported in the year-ago quarter, analysts expected Disney+ to finish the quarter with 109 million subscribers.</p><p><blockquote><b>华特·迪士尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）第二财季末，其 Disney+ 流媒体服务拥有 1.036 亿用户。虽然这一数字是去年同期报告总数的两倍多，但分析师预计 Disney+ 本季度将拥有 1.09 亿用户。</blockquote></p><p> The stock initially sold off sharply after the&nbsp;earnings report&nbsp;and is currently down 4.3% year to date.&nbsp;Investors are probably wondering if the House of Mouse is still a good investment.</p><p><blockquote>该股最初在财报发布后大幅抛售，目前今年迄今已下跌 4.3%。投资者可能想知道《老鼠之家》是否仍然是一项不错的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Here are four important points from the earnings call that suggest Disney is doing fine and could make the sell-off a good buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>以下是收益看涨期权中的四个要点，表明迪士尼表现良好，可能会使此次抛售成为一个很好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00b2ef9a9954376983ea5e8c5eef5678\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1125\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: WALT DISNEY.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：华特·迪士尼。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Disney+ is still on track to reach 230 million subscribers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. Disney+仍有望达到2.3亿用户</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney was already doomed to disappoint investors after&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NFLX)&nbsp;missed its own guidance for subscribers in the March-ending quarter.&nbsp;There was a strong pull-forward of signups for streaming services during the pandemic that may take a quarter or two to shake out.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼注定会让投资者失望<b>网飞</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）在截至 3 月份的季度未能达到自己的用户数量指导。在大流行病期间，流媒体服务的注册人数大幅增加，可能需要一两个季度的时间才能摆脱这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, there were plenty of details in the earnings report that suggest Disney+ is still on track to hit its long-term subscriber target. For example, CFO Christine McCarthy said that Disney \"added subs at a faster pace in the last month of the second quarter than we did in the first two months.\"&nbsp;And this was despite the first price increase for Disney+ since launch.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，收益报告中有大量细节表明 Disney+ 仍有望实现其长期订户目标。例如，首席财务官克里斯汀·麦卡锡 (Christine McCarthy) 表示，迪士尼“第二季度最后一个月增加潜艇的速度比前两个月更快。”尽管 Disney+ 自推出以来首次涨价。</blockquote></p><p> Looking beyond the near term, CEO Bob Chapek said: \"We are on track to achieve our guidance of 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024.\"</p><p><blockquote>展望近期，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克 (Bob Chapek) 表示：“我们有望在 2024 财年末实现 2.3 亿至 2.6 亿订户的目标。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Churn levels remaining low despite price increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 尽管价格上涨，流失率仍然很低</b></blockquote></p><p> Even after implementing the price increases last quarter, Chapek said that \"we've not observed any significantly higher churn rate since the price increase in [the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region].\"</p><p><blockquote>查佩克表示，即使在上季度实施价格上涨后，“自[欧洲、中东和非洲地区]价格上涨以来，我们也没有观察到任何显着上升的流失率。”</blockquote></p><p> Disney expects subscriber growth to be stronger once content production resumes at full strength. Chapek said, \"the anticipation for Marvel's newest series,<i>Loki</i>, which debuts on June 9 has been through the roof.\"</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼预计，一旦内容制作全面恢复，用户增长将会更加强劲。查佩克说：“对漫威最新系列的期待，<i>洛基</i>该片将于 6 月 9 日首映，票房大卖。”</blockquote></p><p> Remember that Disney has gained more than 100 million subs without tapping the&nbsp;deep pipeline of content&nbsp;from&nbsp;<i>Star Wars</i>&nbsp;and Marvel that management unveiled at its December investor day presentation.&nbsp;As the company adds more content from these powerhouse franchises, subscriber numbers should add up.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，迪士尼在没有挖掘深层内容管道的情况下已经获得了超过 1 亿订阅者<i>星球大战</i>令人惊叹的是，管理层在 12 月投资者日发布会上公布了这一消息。随着该公司从这些强大的特许经营权中添加更多内容，订户数量应该会增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Disney+ has yet to benefit from recent price increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. Disney+尚未从近期的涨价中受益</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney's average revenue per user (ARPU) fell 29% to $3.99 during the quarter.&nbsp;That is certainly a stark contrast compared to Netflix's 6% year-over-year increase in the last quarter. But there's more to the story here.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼本季度的每用户平均收入（ARPU）下降了29%，至3.99美元。这与网飞上一季度6%的同比增长相比，无疑是一个鲜明的对比。但是这里的故事还有更多。</blockquote></p><p> The decline in ARPU was due to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar in India, which produces a lower revenue per user than Disney+ in other markets.&nbsp;Excluding Hotstar, Disney+ ARPU would have been virtually unchanged at $5.61.</p><p><blockquote>ARPU的下降是由于Disney+Hotstar在印度的推出，它的每用户收入低于Disney+在其他市场。不包括Hotstar，Disney+的ARPU将几乎保持在5.61美元不变。</blockquote></p><p> \"As we move through the remainder of the year, we should start to see the benefit on Disney+ ARPU from price increases we've taken around the world,\" McCarthy said.</p><p><blockquote>麦卡锡说：“随着今年剩余时间的推进，我们应该开始看到迪士尼+ ARPU 从全球价格上涨中获得的好处。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Per capita spending is up at theme parks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 主题公园人均支出上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, theme parks are still an important piece of Disney's business, generating $26 billion in revenue in fiscal 2019.&nbsp;Revenue from Disney parks, experiences, and products dropped 44% year over year in the quarter.&nbsp;But that's an improvement from the previous quarter's 53% decline.</p><p><blockquote>当然，主题公园仍然是迪士尼业务的重要组成部分，在2019财年创造了260亿美元的收入。本季度迪士尼乐园、体验和产品的收入同比下降了44%。但这比上一季度53%的下降有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> Management offered more good news on the earnings call. \"At Walt Disney World, attendance trends continued to steadily improve throughout the second quarter, and guest spending per capita again grew by double digits versus the prior year,\" McCarthy said.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在盈利看涨期权上提供了更多好消息。“在华特迪士尼世界，整个第二季度的游客趋势继续稳步改善，人均游客支出与上一年相比再次实现两位数增长，”麦卡锡说。</blockquote></p><p> Disneyland Resort opened on April 30, and management is \"very encouraged\" by the guest response so far.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼乐园度假区于4月30日开业，到目前为止，游客的反应让管理层“非常鼓舞”。</blockquote></p><p> It's tough to say where the stock will go in the near term, but Disney's franchises are some of the most valuable in the&nbsp;entertainment industry. I think it's a safe bet that once Disney unloads more content from its top brands on Disney+, and the rest of the business fully recovers from the pandemic, the stock price will likely trade higher than it does now. So, yes, I view the sell-off as a good buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>很难说该股短期内会走向何方，但迪士尼的特许经营权是娱乐业中最有价值的特许经营权之一。我认为可以肯定的是，一旦迪士尼在 Disney+ 上卸载更多顶级品牌的内容，并且其余业务从疫情中完全恢复，股价可能会比现在更高。所以，是的，我认为抛售是一个很好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/17/is-disney-stock-still-a-buy-after-missing-subscrib/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/17/is-disney-stock-still-a-buy-after-missing-subscrib/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121366045","content_text":"Disney+ fell well short of analyst estimates for subscriber additions in the last quarter.\nWalt Disney (NYSE:DIS) ended the fiscal second quarter with 103.6 million subscribers on its Disney+ streaming service. While that's more than double the total reported in the year-ago quarter, analysts expected Disney+ to finish the quarter with 109 million subscribers.\nThe stock initially sold off sharply after the earnings report and is currently down 4.3% year to date. Investors are probably wondering if the House of Mouse is still a good investment.\nHere are four important points from the earnings call that suggest Disney is doing fine and could make the sell-off a good buying opportunity.\nIMAGE SOURCE: WALT DISNEY.\n1. Disney+ is still on track to reach 230 million subscribers\nDisney was already doomed to disappoint investors after Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) missed its own guidance for subscribers in the March-ending quarter. There was a strong pull-forward of signups for streaming services during the pandemic that may take a quarter or two to shake out.\nNonetheless, there were plenty of details in the earnings report that suggest Disney+ is still on track to hit its long-term subscriber target. For example, CFO Christine McCarthy said that Disney \"added subs at a faster pace in the last month of the second quarter than we did in the first two months.\" And this was despite the first price increase for Disney+ since launch.\nLooking beyond the near term, CEO Bob Chapek said: \"We are on track to achieve our guidance of 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024.\"\n2. Churn levels remaining low despite price increases\nEven after implementing the price increases last quarter, Chapek said that \"we've not observed any significantly higher churn rate since the price increase in [the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region].\"\nDisney expects subscriber growth to be stronger once content production resumes at full strength. Chapek said, \"the anticipation for Marvel's newest series,Loki, which debuts on June 9 has been through the roof.\"\nRemember that Disney has gained more than 100 million subs without tapping the deep pipeline of content from Star Wars and Marvel that management unveiled at its December investor day presentation. As the company adds more content from these powerhouse franchises, subscriber numbers should add up.\n3. Disney+ has yet to benefit from recent price increases\nDisney's average revenue per user (ARPU) fell 29% to $3.99 during the quarter. That is certainly a stark contrast compared to Netflix's 6% year-over-year increase in the last quarter. But there's more to the story here.\nThe decline in ARPU was due to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar in India, which produces a lower revenue per user than Disney+ in other markets. Excluding Hotstar, Disney+ ARPU would have been virtually unchanged at $5.61.\n\"As we move through the remainder of the year, we should start to see the benefit on Disney+ ARPU from price increases we've taken around the world,\" McCarthy said.\n4. Per capita spending is up at theme parks\nOf course, theme parks are still an important piece of Disney's business, generating $26 billion in revenue in fiscal 2019. Revenue from Disney parks, experiences, and products dropped 44% year over year in the quarter. But that's an improvement from the previous quarter's 53% decline.\nManagement offered more good news on the earnings call. \"At Walt Disney World, attendance trends continued to steadily improve throughout the second quarter, and guest spending per capita again grew by double digits versus the prior year,\" McCarthy said.\nDisneyland Resort opened on April 30, and management is \"very encouraged\" by the guest response so far.\nIt's tough to say where the stock will go in the near term, but Disney's franchises are some of the most valuable in the entertainment industry. I think it's a safe bet that once Disney unloads more content from its top brands on Disney+, and the rest of the business fully recovers from the pandemic, the stock price will likely trade higher than it does now. So, yes, I view the sell-off as a good buying opportunity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":321784568,"gmtCreate":1615471004254,"gmtModify":1703489516185,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Time to charge again, let’s go!","listText":"Time to charge again, let’s go!","text":"Time to charge again, let’s go!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321784568","repostId":"1115960803","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346967898,"gmtCreate":1617981214114,"gmtModify":1634295380482,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Did I sell it off too early?","listText":"Did I sell it off too early?","text":"Did I sell it off too early?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346967898","repostId":"1104081344","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343251256,"gmtCreate":1617720243275,"gmtModify":1634296913887,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Go TSLA!","listText":"Go TSLA!","text":"Go TSLA!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343251256","repostId":"2125902437","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353483968,"gmtCreate":1616512665754,"gmtModify":1634525405604,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"It’s getting tougher&nbsp;","listText":"It’s getting tougher&nbsp;","text":"It’s getting tougher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353483968","repostId":"1125171845","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347856718,"gmtCreate":1618488243534,"gmtModify":1634292614929,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Another vaccine 💉&nbsp;","listText":"Another vaccine 💉&nbsp;","text":"Another vaccine 💉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347856718","repostId":"2127001678","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190932090,"gmtCreate":1620567654610,"gmtModify":1634197999988,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh no&nbsp;","listText":"Oh no&nbsp;","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190932090","repostId":"2133837186","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341800819,"gmtCreate":1617799411231,"gmtModify":1634296454194,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"It’s about time","listText":"It’s about time","text":"It’s about time","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341800819","repostId":"2125742124","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":783,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366360612,"gmtCreate":1614395882036,"gmtModify":1703477261394,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366360612","repostId":"1150278371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150278371","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614332308,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1150278371?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-26 17:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why NVIDIA Shares Stumbled, After an Impressive Earnings Report<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价在令人印象深刻的收益报告后下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150278371","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The soaring stock was arguably due for a correction, and some investors worry that the end of this c","content":"<p>The soaring stock was arguably due for a correction, and some investors worry that the end of this cryptocurrency boom could hurt NVIDIA's business.</p><p><blockquote>股价飙升可以说是由于回调，一些投资者担心加密货币繁荣的结束可能会损害英伟达的业务。</blockquote></p><p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p>Semiconductor developer&nbsp;<b>NVIDIA</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NVDA)&nbsp;posted strong fourth-quarter results last night with a side of optimistic guidance for the next reporting period. The stock fell as much as 8.2% on Thursday anyhow, because sometimes even an analyst-stumping report isn't quite enough to support a&nbsp;skyrocketing stock&nbsp;like NVIDIA's.</p><p><blockquote>半导体显影剂<b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NVDA）昨晚公布了强劲的第四季度业绩，并对下一个报告期给出了乐观的指引。无论如何，该股周四下跌了 8.2%，因为有时即使是难倒分析师的报告也不足以支撑英伟达这样飙升的股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p>In the fourth quarter of 2020, NVIDIA's top-line revenue rose 62% year over year to $5 billion. Adjusted earnings climbed 64% higher, landing at $3.10 per diluted share. Your average analyst would have settled for earnings near $2.81 per share on sales in the neighborhood of $4.82 billion. The stellar results were driven by high demand for NVIDIA's data center processors and gaming products.</p><p><blockquote>2020年第四季度，英伟达的营收同比增长62%，达到50亿美元。调整后收益攀升 64%，稀释后每股收益达到 3.10 美元。普通分析师会满足于每股收益接近 2.81 美元，销售额约为 48.2 亿美元。出色的业绩是由对英伟达数据中心处理器和游戏产品的高需求推动的。</blockquote></p><p>Heading into the report, NVIDIA's shares had gained 112% in 52 weeks. The stock traded at a nosebleed-inducing 95 times trailing earnings and 86 times&nbsp;free cash flow, setting the stage for a significant price cut despite a strong earnings report. Today, you can pick up NVIDIA's shares for the somewhat less exorbitant valuation ratios of 93 times adjusted earnings or 71 times free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>报告发布前，英伟达的股价在 52 周内上涨了 112%。尽管财报强劲，但该股的交易价格为追踪市盈率的 95 倍和自由现金流的 86 倍，这为大幅降价奠定了基础。如今，您可以以调整后市盈率 93 倍或自由现金流 71 倍的略微不那么过高的估值比率购买 NVIDIA 的股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p>Some investors also worry about artificial growth stemming from rising cryptocurrency prices. Specifically, NVIDIA's graphics processors are very efficient at mining&nbsp;<b>Ethereum</b>(CRYPTO:ETH)&nbsp;tokens and the smart-contract cryptocurrency has seen prices skyrocket 568% over the last year. If Ethereum miners are buying tons of NVIDIA's graphics cards, that leaves fewer units on store shelves for actual gamers. All of this is happening during a marketwide&nbsp;shortage of semiconductor manufacturing capacity, limiting the processor supplies even further. All of this sounds like good news for NVIDIA, but the idea is that it also exposes the company to significant market risks if Ethereum prices crash again, killing the demand for token-mining hardware.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者还担心加密货币价格上涨带来的人为增长。具体来说，NVIDIA 的图形处理器在挖掘方面非常高效<b>以太币</b>（CRYPTO:ETH）代币和智能合约加密货币的价格在去年飙升了 568%。如果以太币矿工购买大量英伟达显卡，那么商店货架上留给真正游戏玩家的显卡就会减少。所有这一切都发生在半导体制造产能全市场短缺的情况下，进一步限制了处理器供应。所有这些听起来对英伟达来说都是个好消息，但这个想法是，如果以太币价格再次暴跌，扼杀了对代币挖矿硬件的需求，这也会使该公司面临巨大的市场风险。</blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA's management has acknowledged this concern and&nbsp;taken steps to limit the Ethereum-mining appeal of its gaming hardware. Furthermore, CEO Jensen Huang argues that the cryptocurrency mining market is a fairly small part of his company's end-user market. Hyper-specialized application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) play a much larger role in the crypto-mining sector.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达管理层已经承认了这一担忧，并采取措施限制其游戏硬件的以太币挖掘吸引力。此外，首席执行官黄仁勋认为，加密货币挖矿市场是他公司最终用户市场的一小部分。超专业化专用集成电路（ASIC）在密码挖掘领域发挥着更大的作用。</blockquote></p><p>\"I think that this is going to be a part of our business. It won't grow extremely large no matter what happens and the reason for that is because when it starts to grow large, more ASICs come to the market, which kinds of mutes it,\" Huang said on the fourth-quarter earnings call. \"When the market becomes smaller, it's harder for ASICs to sustain the R&amp;D and so the spot miners, industrial miners come back and then we'll create [cryptocurrency mining processors]. And so we expect it to be a small part of our business as we go forward. \"</p><p><blockquote>“我认为这将成为我们业务的一部分。无论发生什么，它都不会增长得非常大，原因是当它开始增长时，更多的 ASICs 进入市场，这在某种程度上抑制了它，”黄在第四季度财报看涨期权上说道。“当市场变得更小时，ASICs 就更难维持研发，因此现货矿工、工业矿工会回来，然后我们会创建[加密货币挖矿处理器]。因此，随着我们的发展，我们预计它将成为我们业务的一小部分。”</blockquote></p><p>The company can't track how people end up using the chips it sells, but Huang estimates that roughly $200 million of this quarter's gaming product sales came from mining enthusiasts. That's just 8% of a $2.5 billion top-line haul.</p><p><blockquote>该公司无法追踪人们最终如何使用其销售的芯片，但黄估计本季度游戏产品销售额中约有 2 亿美元来自采矿爱好者。这只是 25 亿美元营收的 8%。</blockquote></p><p>All of this is to say that NVIDIA's post-earnings correction may have been amplified by the Ethereum mining risk, and that particular threat doesn't look all that menacing. Therefore, you could make a case that NVIDIA's shares are selling at a discount today -- despite the sky-high valuation ratios.</p><p><blockquote>所有这一切都表明，英伟达的财报后调整可能会因以太币矿业风险而放大，而这种特殊的威胁看起来并不那么具有威胁性。因此，你可以证明英伟达的股票今天正在打折出售——尽管估值比率极高。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why NVIDIA Shares Stumbled, After an Impressive Earnings Report<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价在令人印象深刻的收益报告后下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy NVIDIA Shares Stumbled, After an Impressive Earnings Report<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价在令人印象深刻的收益报告后下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-26 17:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The soaring stock was arguably due for a correction, and some investors worry that the end of this cryptocurrency boom could hurt NVIDIA's business.</p><p><blockquote>股价飙升可以说是由于回调，一些投资者担心加密货币繁荣的结束可能会损害英伟达的业务。</blockquote></p><p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p>Semiconductor developer&nbsp;<b>NVIDIA</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NVDA)&nbsp;posted strong fourth-quarter results last night with a side of optimistic guidance for the next reporting period. The stock fell as much as 8.2% on Thursday anyhow, because sometimes even an analyst-stumping report isn't quite enough to support a&nbsp;skyrocketing stock&nbsp;like NVIDIA's.</p><p><blockquote>半导体显影剂<b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NVDA）昨晚公布了强劲的第四季度业绩，并对下一个报告期给出了乐观的指引。无论如何，该股周四下跌了 8.2%，因为有时即使是难倒分析师的报告也不足以支撑英伟达这样飙升的股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p>In the fourth quarter of 2020, NVIDIA's top-line revenue rose 62% year over year to $5 billion. Adjusted earnings climbed 64% higher, landing at $3.10 per diluted share. Your average analyst would have settled for earnings near $2.81 per share on sales in the neighborhood of $4.82 billion. The stellar results were driven by high demand for NVIDIA's data center processors and gaming products.</p><p><blockquote>2020年第四季度，英伟达的营收同比增长62%，达到50亿美元。调整后收益攀升 64%，稀释后每股收益达到 3.10 美元。普通分析师会满足于每股收益接近 2.81 美元，销售额约为 48.2 亿美元。出色的业绩是由对英伟达数据中心处理器和游戏产品的高需求推动的。</blockquote></p><p>Heading into the report, NVIDIA's shares had gained 112% in 52 weeks. The stock traded at a nosebleed-inducing 95 times trailing earnings and 86 times&nbsp;free cash flow, setting the stage for a significant price cut despite a strong earnings report. Today, you can pick up NVIDIA's shares for the somewhat less exorbitant valuation ratios of 93 times adjusted earnings or 71 times free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>报告发布前，英伟达的股价在 52 周内上涨了 112%。尽管财报强劲，但该股的交易价格为追踪市盈率的 95 倍和自由现金流的 86 倍，这为大幅降价奠定了基础。如今，您可以以调整后市盈率 93 倍或自由现金流 71 倍的略微不那么过高的估值比率购买 NVIDIA 的股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p>Some investors also worry about artificial growth stemming from rising cryptocurrency prices. Specifically, NVIDIA's graphics processors are very efficient at mining&nbsp;<b>Ethereum</b>(CRYPTO:ETH)&nbsp;tokens and the smart-contract cryptocurrency has seen prices skyrocket 568% over the last year. If Ethereum miners are buying tons of NVIDIA's graphics cards, that leaves fewer units on store shelves for actual gamers. All of this is happening during a marketwide&nbsp;shortage of semiconductor manufacturing capacity, limiting the processor supplies even further. All of this sounds like good news for NVIDIA, but the idea is that it also exposes the company to significant market risks if Ethereum prices crash again, killing the demand for token-mining hardware.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者还担心加密货币价格上涨带来的人为增长。具体来说，NVIDIA 的图形处理器在挖掘方面非常高效<b>以太币</b>（CRYPTO:ETH）代币和智能合约加密货币的价格在去年飙升了 568%。如果以太币矿工购买大量英伟达显卡，那么商店货架上留给真正游戏玩家的显卡就会减少。所有这一切都发生在半导体制造产能全市场短缺的情况下，进一步限制了处理器供应。所有这些听起来对英伟达来说都是个好消息，但这个想法是，如果以太币价格再次暴跌，扼杀了对代币挖矿硬件的需求，这也会使该公司面临巨大的市场风险。</blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA's management has acknowledged this concern and&nbsp;taken steps to limit the Ethereum-mining appeal of its gaming hardware. Furthermore, CEO Jensen Huang argues that the cryptocurrency mining market is a fairly small part of his company's end-user market. Hyper-specialized application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) play a much larger role in the crypto-mining sector.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达管理层已经承认了这一担忧，并采取措施限制其游戏硬件的以太币挖掘吸引力。此外，首席执行官黄仁勋认为，加密货币挖矿市场是他公司最终用户市场的一小部分。超专业化专用集成电路（ASIC）在密码挖掘领域发挥着更大的作用。</blockquote></p><p>\"I think that this is going to be a part of our business. It won't grow extremely large no matter what happens and the reason for that is because when it starts to grow large, more ASICs come to the market, which kinds of mutes it,\" Huang said on the fourth-quarter earnings call. \"When the market becomes smaller, it's harder for ASICs to sustain the R&amp;D and so the spot miners, industrial miners come back and then we'll create [cryptocurrency mining processors]. And so we expect it to be a small part of our business as we go forward. \"</p><p><blockquote>“我认为这将成为我们业务的一部分。无论发生什么，它都不会增长得非常大，原因是当它开始增长时，更多的 ASICs 进入市场，这在某种程度上抑制了它，”黄在第四季度财报看涨期权上说道。“当市场变得更小时，ASICs 就更难维持研发，因此现货矿工、工业矿工会回来，然后我们会创建[加密货币挖矿处理器]。因此，随着我们的发展，我们预计它将成为我们业务的一小部分。”</blockquote></p><p>The company can't track how people end up using the chips it sells, but Huang estimates that roughly $200 million of this quarter's gaming product sales came from mining enthusiasts. That's just 8% of a $2.5 billion top-line haul.</p><p><blockquote>该公司无法追踪人们最终如何使用其销售的芯片，但黄估计本季度游戏产品销售额中约有 2 亿美元来自采矿爱好者。这只是 25 亿美元营收的 8%。</blockquote></p><p>All of this is to say that NVIDIA's post-earnings correction may have been amplified by the Ethereum mining risk, and that particular threat doesn't look all that menacing. Therefore, you could make a case that NVIDIA's shares are selling at a discount today -- despite the sky-high valuation ratios.</p><p><blockquote>所有这一切都表明，英伟达的财报后调整可能会因以太币矿业风险而放大，而这种特殊的威胁看起来并不那么具有威胁性。因此，你可以证明英伟达的股票今天正在打折出售——尽管估值比率极高。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/25/why-nvidia-shares-stumbled-today-after-an-impressi/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/25/why-nvidia-shares-stumbled-today-after-an-impressi/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150278371","content_text":"The soaring stock was arguably due for a correction, and some investors worry that the end of this cryptocurrency boom could hurt NVIDIA's business.What happenedSemiconductor developer NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) posted strong fourth-quarter results last night with a side of optimistic guidance for the next reporting period. The stock fell as much as 8.2% on Thursday anyhow, because sometimes even an analyst-stumping report isn't quite enough to support a skyrocketing stock like NVIDIA's.So whatIn the fourth quarter of 2020, NVIDIA's top-line revenue rose 62% year over year to $5 billion. Adjusted earnings climbed 64% higher, landing at $3.10 per diluted share. Your average analyst would have settled for earnings near $2.81 per share on sales in the neighborhood of $4.82 billion. The stellar results were driven by high demand for NVIDIA's data center processors and gaming products.Heading into the report, NVIDIA's shares had gained 112% in 52 weeks. The stock traded at a nosebleed-inducing 95 times trailing earnings and 86 times free cash flow, setting the stage for a significant price cut despite a strong earnings report. Today, you can pick up NVIDIA's shares for the somewhat less exorbitant valuation ratios of 93 times adjusted earnings or 71 times free cash flow.Now whatSome investors also worry about artificial growth stemming from rising cryptocurrency prices. Specifically, NVIDIA's graphics processors are very efficient at mining Ethereum(CRYPTO:ETH) tokens and the smart-contract cryptocurrency has seen prices skyrocket 568% over the last year. If Ethereum miners are buying tons of NVIDIA's graphics cards, that leaves fewer units on store shelves for actual gamers. All of this is happening during a marketwide shortage of semiconductor manufacturing capacity, limiting the processor supplies even further. All of this sounds like good news for NVIDIA, but the idea is that it also exposes the company to significant market risks if Ethereum prices crash again, killing the demand for token-mining hardware.NVIDIA's management has acknowledged this concern and taken steps to limit the Ethereum-mining appeal of its gaming hardware. Furthermore, CEO Jensen Huang argues that the cryptocurrency mining market is a fairly small part of his company's end-user market. Hyper-specialized application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) play a much larger role in the crypto-mining sector.\"I think that this is going to be a part of our business. It won't grow extremely large no matter what happens and the reason for that is because when it starts to grow large, more ASICs come to the market, which kinds of mutes it,\" Huang said on the fourth-quarter earnings call. \"When the market becomes smaller, it's harder for ASICs to sustain the R&D and so the spot miners, industrial miners come back and then we'll create [cryptocurrency mining processors]. And so we expect it to be a small part of our business as we go forward. \"The company can't track how people end up using the chips it sells, but Huang estimates that roughly $200 million of this quarter's gaming product sales came from mining enthusiasts. That's just 8% of a $2.5 billion top-line haul.All of this is to say that NVIDIA's post-earnings correction may have been amplified by the Ethereum mining risk, and that particular threat doesn't look all that menacing. Therefore, you could make a case that NVIDIA's shares are selling at a discount today -- despite the sky-high valuation ratios.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161542243,"gmtCreate":1623936762982,"gmtModify":1631888190245,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nope","listText":"Nope","text":"Nope","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161542243","repostId":"1198341576","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198341576","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623936474,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1198341576?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 21:27","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Gold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储转向更加鹰派后金价跌破 1,800 美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198341576","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace o","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation. The...</p><p><blockquote><div>（彭博社）——由于对劳动力市场的乐观情绪和对通胀的担忧加剧，美联储加快了预期的政策紧缩步伐，金价跌破每盎司 1,800 美元。这个……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储转向更加鹰派后金价跌破 1,800 美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储转向更加鹰派后金价跌破 1,800 美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 21:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation. The...</p><p><blockquote><div>（彭博社）——由于对劳动力市场的乐观情绪和对通胀的担忧加剧，美联储加快了预期的政策紧缩步伐，金价跌破每盎司 1,800 美元。这个……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198341576","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.\nThe metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.\nThe central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.\n“We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”\nSpot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.\nBullion fell as investors weigh the outcome of the Fed’s two-day gathering. Despite the hawkish pivot, Powell said the interest-rate forecasts “should be taken with a big grain of salt,” and cautioned that discussions about raising rates would be “highly premature.” The central bank also upped its inflation forecasts, though Powell continued to insist price pressures would prove transitory.\n“Once again the million dollar question is whether inflation will be a passing phenomenon or longer lasting?” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S, said in a note. “For now the market trusts the judgement of the Federal Reserve and until data potentially proves them wrong, gold and with that also silver may face another challenging period.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169461585,"gmtCreate":1623847803447,"gmtModify":1631888190261,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568799656541576","idStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169461585","repostId":"1129059158","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}