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MMSimona

MMSimona

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10-21

卖155call 风险很大

期权聚焦 | SpaceX惊现124.5万美元双卖跨式收租大单，叠加偏空防御仓位，机构押注145-155区间震荡？

03-24

$微软(MSFT)$ 微软亏了，昨天还是short太少了😪

03-06

$2倍做多APP ETF-Tradr(APPX)$ 最近大跌反倒是机会，这两周周运气好，买啥啥涨。

03-06

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 最近运气好😝跌到跌不下去的时候买了

03-06

Replying to @effortless:有一些股票是机会//@effortless:目前最合适获利了结

03-06

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 小额加一点仓吧

03-03

$微软(MSFT)$ 上周开始买微软

02-13

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 跌得跌不下去了

02-06

$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ 就今天比其他硬一点，前期跌太多了，接下去是不是有涨的空间了

02-03

Replying to @射手座1983:现在还愁吗？//@射手座1983:我最高点进去了。发愁啊

01-31

$闪迪(SNDK)$ 就是这么洗盘

2025-11-25

$博通(AVGO)$ 这么疯狂

2025-11-14

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 拉起来到410

2025-01-28

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 就这一天期权爆仓4M，懵逼了

2025-01-22

Replying to @hhhhhhzz:会玩死的//@hhhhhhzz:直接打穿… 这么玩真不是在找死吗

2024-11-06

两倍做多

2024-10-17

有人空了10万股140

2024-08-22

Replying to @拉布拉多来富1:谁发的帖子啊？//@拉布拉多来富1:你想多了吧纳指本周要跌千点己发帖子了。英伟达会爆跌十个点起。

2024-07-23

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 今天过125

2024-06-26

Replying to @小岛大浪:周三股东大会//@小岛大浪:英伟达最近应该不会涨。没有新的增长点

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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风险很大","listText":"卖155call 风险很大","text":"卖155call 风险很大","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/620642290369168","repostId":"1176295918","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1176295918","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"值得关注的热点期权指标","home_visible":1,"media_name":"期权女巫","id":"1006589184","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89"},"pubTimestamp":1792544441,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1176295918?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-10-21 09:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"期权聚焦 | SpaceX惊现124.5万美元双卖跨式收租大单，叠加偏空防御仓位，机构押注145-155区间震荡？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176295918","media":"期权女巫","summary":"SpaceX收报147.79美元，跌0.11%。今日SPCX期权市场出现一笔规模达124.50万美元的双卖跨式大单，同时伴随偏空防御型仓位，资金面整体偏向谨慎，机构似乎在押注145至155美元区间震荡。Call/Put成交量比为1.18。大单交易一笔规模达68.04万美元净支出的牛市看涨价差，体现出较明确的中长期偏多押注。两条腿均为虚值，且当前股价位于145与155之间，显示交易者判断标的在短期内大概率维持区间震荡，只要到期前价格不明显跌破145或突破155，就有望保留大部分权利金收入。","content":"<p><p><strong>SpaceX收报147.79美元，跌0.11%。</strong>今日SPCX期权市场出现一笔规模达124.50万美元的双卖跨式大单，同时伴随偏空防御型仓位，资金面整体偏向谨慎，机构似乎在押注145至155美元区间震荡。</p><h3>期权指标分析</h3><p>SPCX当前隐含波动率为61.87%，IV百分位为76.30%，处于偏高区间，说明其期权隐含波动率相对历史水平已明显抬升，整体定价偏贵；同时IV/HV比率为1.20，也表明隐含波动率高于历史波动率，市场对未来波动的预期更强。Call/Put成交量比为1.18。</p><h3>大单交易</h3><p>一笔规模达68.04万美元净支出的牛市看涨价差，体现出较明确的中长期偏多押注。该组合由买入2026-11-20到期的145.0 CALL与卖出同到期日的170.0 CALL构成，前者在当前股价147.79附近已属实值，后者则为虚值，说明资金希望在控制成本的同时锁定上方有限收益空间。这类结构通常用于在看好后市上涨的前提下，以低于单独买入看涨期权的成本参与行情，反映出交易者对SPCX未来一年仍有温和上行预期，但并非激进押注大幅飙升。</p><p>一笔规模达124.50万美元净收款的CALL+PUT两腿组合，本质上是同时卖出2026-10-30到期的145.0 PUT与155.0 CALL，属于典型的短跨式波动率卖出策略，策略意图更偏向收租。两条腿均为虚值，且当前股价位于145与155之间，显示交易者判断标的在短期内大概率维持区间震荡，只要到期前价格不明显跌破145或突破155，就有望保留大部分权利金收入。不过这类策略虽然能一次性收取较高权利金，但也意味着对突破区间的风险暴露较大，体现的是对短线波动收敛而非单边趋势的押注。</p><p>从全量大单来看，SPCX期权资金面整体呈现偏空基调。尽管场内存在牛市看涨价差、卖出虚值认沽等偏多仓位，说明部分资金仍在押注下方支撑和中长期温和上行，但更大规模的看空力量主要集中在保护性买入PUT、卖出CALL以及偏防御型仓位上，显示机构对后市上行空间相对谨慎。综合判断，当前大单交易传递出的市场情绪以偏空为主，同时夹杂一定区间震荡与逢低承接预期，整体更像是防守思维占优下的谨慎交易结构。</p><h3>策略参考</h3><p>卖方若想降低被行权概率，可优先考虑卖出150.0 PUT或160.0 CALL等更外侧的虚值合约；若不愿承担过多保证金，则可采用160.0/165.0 CALL或140.0/135.0 PUT的价差策略，以控制风险。</p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权聚焦 | SpaceX惊现124.5万美元双卖跨式收租大单，叠加偏空防御仓位，机构押注145-155区间震荡？</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权聚焦 | SpaceX惊现124.5万美元双卖跨式收租大单，叠加偏空防御仓位，机构押注145-155区间震荡？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1006589184\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">期权女巫 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-10-21 09:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p><strong>SpaceX收报147.79美元，跌0.11%。</strong>今日SPCX期权市场出现一笔规模达124.50万美元的双卖跨式大单，同时伴随偏空防御型仓位，资金面整体偏向谨慎，机构似乎在押注145至155美元区间震荡。</p><h3>期权指标分析</h3><p>SPCX当前隐含波动率为61.87%，IV百分位为76.30%，处于偏高区间，说明其期权隐含波动率相对历史水平已明显抬升，整体定价偏贵；同时IV/HV比率为1.20，也表明隐含波动率高于历史波动率，市场对未来波动的预期更强。Call/Put成交量比为1.18。</p><h3>大单交易</h3><p>一笔规模达68.04万美元净支出的牛市看涨价差，体现出较明确的中长期偏多押注。该组合由买入2026-11-20到期的145.0 CALL与卖出同到期日的170.0 CALL构成，前者在当前股价147.79附近已属实值，后者则为虚值，说明资金希望在控制成本的同时锁定上方有限收益空间。这类结构通常用于在看好后市上涨的前提下，以低于单独买入看涨期权的成本参与行情，反映出交易者对SPCX未来一年仍有温和上行预期，但并非激进押注大幅飙升。</p><p>一笔规模达124.50万美元净收款的CALL+PUT两腿组合，本质上是同时卖出2026-10-30到期的145.0 PUT与155.0 CALL，属于典型的短跨式波动率卖出策略，策略意图更偏向收租。两条腿均为虚值，且当前股价位于145与155之间，显示交易者判断标的在短期内大概率维持区间震荡，只要到期前价格不明显跌破145或突破155，就有望保留大部分权利金收入。不过这类策略虽然能一次性收取较高权利金，但也意味着对突破区间的风险暴露较大，体现的是对短线波动收敛而非单边趋势的押注。</p><p>从全量大单来看，SPCX期权资金面整体呈现偏空基调。尽管场内存在牛市看涨价差、卖出虚值认沽等偏多仓位，说明部分资金仍在押注下方支撑和中长期温和上行，但更大规模的看空力量主要集中在保护性买入PUT、卖出CALL以及偏防御型仓位上，显示机构对后市上行空间相对谨慎。综合判断，当前大单交易传递出的市场情绪以偏空为主，同时夹杂一定区间震荡与逢低承接预期，整体更像是防守思维占优下的谨慎交易结构。</p><h3>策略参考</h3><p>卖方若想降低被行权概率，可优先考虑卖出150.0 PUT或160.0 CALL等更外侧的虚值合约；若不愿承担过多保证金，则可采用160.0/165.0 CALL或140.0/135.0 PUT的价差策略，以控制风险。</p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCX":"SPAC and New Issue ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176295918","content_text":"SpaceX收报147.79美元，跌0.11%。今日SPCX期权市场出现一笔规模达124.50万美元的双卖跨式大单，同时伴随偏空防御型仓位，资金面整体偏向谨慎，机构似乎在押注145至155美元区间震荡。期权指标分析SPCX当前隐含波动率为61.87%，IV百分位为76.30%，处于偏高区间，说明其期权隐含波动率相对历史水平已明显抬升，整体定价偏贵；同时IV/HV比率为1.20，也表明隐含波动率高于历史波动率，市场对未来波动的预期更强。Call/Put成交量比为1.18。大单交易一笔规模达68.04万美元净支出的牛市看涨价差，体现出较明确的中长期偏多押注。该组合由买入2026-11-20到期的145.0 CALL与卖出同到期日的170.0 CALL构成，前者在当前股价147.79附近已属实值，后者则为虚值，说明资金希望在控制成本的同时锁定上方有限收益空间。这类结构通常用于在看好后市上涨的前提下，以低于单独买入看涨期权的成本参与行情，反映出交易者对SPCX未来一年仍有温和上行预期，但并非激进押注大幅飙升。一笔规模达124.50万美元净收款的CALL+PUT两腿组合，本质上是同时卖出2026-10-30到期的145.0 PUT与155.0 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