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2021-09-25

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$wow

2021-09-22

Wow$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$

2021-09-01

🙃🙃🙃

2021-08-19

🙃🙃🙃

恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元同比增长0.21%

2021-08-18

😁😁😁

港股异动 | 江南布衣(3306.HK)升超9% 股价有望挑战历史高位

2021-08-17

🙃🙃🙃

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-17

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大行评级丨招银国际：监管风险未除，腾讯(0700.HK)股价低位料约于402港元

2021-08-17

😁😁😁👍👍👍

江南布衣(03306.HK)8月31日举行董事会会议审批中期业绩

2021-08-11

...

@石头:2021Q2财报 | 英特尔老了吗，股价还能翻盘吗？

2021-08-10

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@美股指南针:不到一年将本金翻8倍，我是如何做到的

2021-08-10

...

@美股指南针:不到一年将本金翻8倍，我是如何做到的

2021-07-24

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-16

Wow

缺“芯”的拐点要来了？

2021-07-16

Wow

缺“芯”的拐点要来了？

2021-07-15

Wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-14

Wow

医脉通一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手

2021-07-13

Wow

美联储七月会议如何表态？关注今晚CPI

2021-07-13

Wow

百事可乐Q2财报超预期，盘前涨近2%

2021-07-11

Wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-10

Wow

抱歉，原内容已删除

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17:23","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元 同比增长0.21%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160763716","media":"新浪财经","summary":"投资研报\n【主力资金】总龙头霸气打出8+1板！重磅利好盘后来袭，这类个股值得关注（附受益股）\n牛市旗手爆发涨停潮：财富管理赛道三大投资机遇受益股曝光！3股上涨目标价明确（名单）\n揭秘：1个月暴涨60%！为什么东方证券能成为龙一？\n【机构调研】袁芳、杨瑨、归凯等大佬齐出手调研1股！这一类股投资机会值得重视（受益股）\n　　8月19日消息，恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元，同比增长0.21%。\n \n\n股民福利！金牛、茅台、手机……任务“豪”礼，等你来拿>>\n\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑：张熠","content":"<html><body><div>\n<blockquote>\n<p>投资研报</p>\n<p>【主力资金】总龙头霸气打出8+1板！重磅利好盘后来袭，这类个股值得关注（附受益股）</p>\n<p>牛市旗手爆发涨停潮：财富管理赛道三大投资机遇受益股曝光！3股上涨目标价明确（名单）</p>\n<p>揭秘：1个月暴涨60%！为什么<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600958\">东方证券</a>能成为龙一？</p>\n<p>【机构调研】袁芳、杨瑨、归凯等大佬齐出手调研1股！这一类股投资机会值得重视（受益股）</p>\n</blockquote><p>　　8月19日消息，<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600276\">恒瑞医药</a></span><span></span>：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元，同比增长0.21%。</p>\n<div> </div>\n<div>\n<span>股民福利！金牛、茅台、手机……任务“豪”礼，等你来拿&gt;&gt;</span>\n<img src=\"\"/>\n</div>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读，尽在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>财经APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>责任编辑：张熠 </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元 同比增长0.21%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元 同比增长0.21%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-19 17:23 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/s/2021-08-19/doc-ikqcfncc3815076.shtml><strong>新浪财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>投资研报\n【主力资金】总龙头霸气打出8+1板！重磅利好盘后来袭，这类个股值得关注（附受益股）\n牛市旗手爆发涨停潮：财富管理赛道三大投资机遇受益股曝光！3股上涨目标价明确（名单）\n揭秘：1个月暴涨60%！为什么东方证券能成为龙一？\n【机构调研】袁芳、杨瑨、归凯等大佬齐出手调研1股！这一类股投资机会值得重视（受益股）\n　　8月19日消息，恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元，同比增长0.21%。\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/s/2021-08-19/doc-ikqcfncc3815076.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{"600276":"恒瑞医药"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/s/2021-08-19/doc-ikqcfncc3815076.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2160763716","content_text":"投资研报\n【主力资金】总龙头霸气打出8+1板！重磅利好盘后来袭，这类个股值得关注（附受益股）\n牛市旗手爆发涨停潮：财富管理赛道三大投资机遇受益股曝光！3股上涨目标价明确（名单）\n揭秘：1个月暴涨60%！为什么东方证券能成为龙一？\n【机构调研】袁芳、杨瑨、归凯等大佬齐出手调研1股！这一类股投资机会值得重视（受益股）\n　　8月19日消息，恒瑞医药：上半年实现净利润26.68亿元，同比增长0.21%。\n \n\n股民福利！金牛、茅台、手机……任务“豪”礼，等你来拿>>\n\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP\n\n责任编辑：张熠","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"600276":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2084,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831926848,"gmtCreate":1629281413884,"gmtModify":1631890211791,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😁😁😁","listText":"😁😁😁","text":"😁😁😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831926848","repostId":"2160787920","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2160787920","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629270616,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2160787920?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 15:10","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"港股异动 | 江南布衣(3306.HK)升超9% 股价有望挑战历史高位","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160787920","media":"格隆汇","summary":"格隆汇8月18日丨江南布衣(3306.HK)大涨超9%，报18.5港元，成交额为2045万港元，总市值96亿港元。江南布衣将于8月31日举行董事会会议审批业绩。此前发盈喜称，预计截至今年6月30日止年度净利润较上年度净利润增加超过80%。花旗研报指，江南布衣复苏步伐理想，公司对品牌及会员制度持续投入，预期6月底止全财年收入将按年升30%。因发布盈喜影响，此前股价4日累计大涨50%并创下历史新高价，市值一度冲上百亿港元，近期股价高位震荡徘徊有望伺机再冲高价。","content":"<html><body><p>格隆汇8月18日丨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03306\">江南布衣</a>(3306.HK)大涨超9%，报18.5港元，成交额为2045万港元，总市值96亿港元。</p><div><br/></div><div><br/></div><div>江南布衣将于8月31日举行董事会会议审批业绩。此前发盈喜称，预计截至今年6月30日止年度净利润较上年度净利润增加超过80%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>研报指，江南布衣复苏步伐理想，公司对品牌及会员制度持续投入，预期6月底止全财年收入将按年升30%。</div><div><br/></div><div>因发布盈喜影响，此前股价4日累计大涨50%并创下历史新高价，市值一度冲上百亿港元，近期股价高位震荡徘徊有望伺机再冲高价。<p><img src=\"https://img3.gelonghui.com/ad0eb-77d70b28-fc44-471b-813f-28c9de154003.png\"/></p></div></body></html>","source":"stock_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>港股异动 | 江南布衣(3306.HK)升超9% 股价有望挑战历史高位</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n港股异动 | 江南布衣(3306.HK)升超9% 股价有望挑战历史高位\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-18 15:10 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=601533><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格隆汇8月18日丨江南布衣(3306.HK)大涨超9%，报18.5港元，成交额为2045万港元，总市值96亿港元。江南布衣将于8月31日举行董事会会议审批业绩。此前发盈喜称，预计截至今年6月30日止年度净利润较上年度净利润增加超过80%。花旗研报指，江南布衣复苏步伐理想，公司对品牌及会员制度持续投入，预期6月底止全财年收入将按年升30%。因发布盈喜影响，此前股价4日累计大涨50%并创下历史新高价，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=601533\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/753c9aba3202037bc97463c545d5d015","relate_stocks":{"03306":"江南布衣"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=601533","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160787920","content_text":"格隆汇8月18日丨江南布衣(3306.HK)大涨超9%，报18.5港元，成交额为2045万港元，总市值96亿港元。江南布衣将于8月31日举行董事会会议审批业绩。此前发盈喜称，预计截至今年6月30日止年度净利润较上年度净利润增加超过80%。花旗研报指，江南布衣复苏步伐理想，公司对品牌及会员制度持续投入，预期6月底止全财年收入将按年升30%。因发布盈喜影响，此前股价4日累计大涨50%并创下历史新高价，市值一度冲上百亿港元，近期股价高位震荡徘徊有望伺机再冲高价。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"03306":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833901749,"gmtCreate":1629193706981,"gmtModify":1631890211801,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙃🙃🙃","listText":"🙃🙃🙃","text":"🙃🙃🙃","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833901749","repostId":"1110577100","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833072960,"gmtCreate":1629193163150,"gmtModify":1631890211816,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙃🙃🙃","listText":"🙃🙃🙃","text":"🙃🙃🙃","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833072960","repostId":"2160018277","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2160018277","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629187491,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2160018277?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-17 16:04","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"大行评级丨招银国际：监管风险未除，腾讯(0700.HK)股价低位料约于402港元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160018277","media":"格隆汇","summary":"格隆汇8月17日丨腾讯 将于明天公布中期业绩，招银国际发研报称，：估计第二季收入/盈利同比增18%/8%，较市场预期略低2%/1%，其中增值服务/广告/其他收入料同比升11%/21%/32%，相信游戏增长放缓和利润率下跌已被市场充份预期，目前忧虑集中于监管的不明朗，包括防止未成年人沉迷网络游戏、税率改变和反垄断。短期内监管风险令行业气氛疲弱，或将令股价受压。若以过往估值低位24倍预测市盈率推算，腾讯的股价低位料约于402港元。","content":"<html><body><p>格隆汇8月17日丨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>(0700.HK)将于明天公布中期业绩，招银国际发研报称，：估计第二季收入/盈利同比增18%/8%，较市场预期略低2%/1%，其中增值服务/广告/其他收入料同比升11%/21%/32%，相信游戏增长放缓和利润率下跌已被市场充份预期，目前忧虑集中于监管的不明朗，包括防止未成年人沉迷网络游戏、税率改变和反垄断。短期内监管风险令行业气氛疲弱，或将令股价受压。若以过往估值低位24倍预测市盈率推算，腾讯的股价低位料约于402港元。下调21-23年盈利预测8%-11%，以反映投资增加和税率可能上调，目标价下调至640港元，维持“买入”评级，仍看好其长线增长前景和盈利能见度。注：腾讯现跌超4%报435.4港元，市值4.17万亿港元。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大行评级丨招银国际：监管风险未除，腾讯(0700.HK)股价低位料约于402港元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大行评级丨招银国际：监管风险未除，腾讯(0700.HK)股价低位料约于402港元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-17 16:04 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600827><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格隆汇8月17日丨腾讯(0700.HK)将于明天公布中期业绩，招银国际发研报称，：估计第二季收入/盈利同比增18%/8%，较市场预期略低2%/1%，其中增值服务/广告/其他收入料同比升11%/21%/32%，相信游戏增长放缓和利润率下跌已被市场充份预期，目前忧虑集中于监管的不明朗，包括防止未成年人沉迷网络游戏、税率改变和反垄断。短期内监管风险令行业气氛疲弱，或将令股价受压。若以过往估值低位24倍...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600827\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed7ef7d1b9da30ca68a0ddeac63f4a0e","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600827","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160018277","content_text":"格隆汇8月17日丨腾讯(0700.HK)将于明天公布中期业绩，招银国际发研报称，：估计第二季收入/盈利同比增18%/8%，较市场预期略低2%/1%，其中增值服务/广告/其他收入料同比升11%/21%/32%，相信游戏增长放缓和利润率下跌已被市场充份预期，目前忧虑集中于监管的不明朗，包括防止未成年人沉迷网络游戏、税率改变和反垄断。短期内监管风险令行业气氛疲弱，或将令股价受压。若以过往估值低位24倍预测市盈率推算，腾讯的股价低位料约于402港元。下调21-23年盈利预测8%-11%，以反映投资增加和税率可能上调，目标价下调至640港元，维持“买入”评级，仍看好其长线增长前景和盈利能见度。注：腾讯现跌超4%报435.4港元，市值4.17万亿港元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00700":1,"TCEHY":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833076645,"gmtCreate":1629193132787,"gmtModify":1631890211840,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😁😁😁👍👍👍","listText":"😁😁😁👍👍👍","text":"😁😁😁👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833076645","repostId":"2160527000","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2160527000","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629190252,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2160527000?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-17 16:50","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"江南布衣(03306.HK)8月31日举行董事会会议审批中期业绩","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160527000","media":"格隆汇","summary":"格隆汇8月17日丨江南布衣(03306.HK)宣布，公司将于2021年8月31日（星期二）举行董事会会议，藉以（其中包括）考虑及批准公司及其附属公司截至2021年6月30日止年度的全年业绩及其发布，并考虑派发末期股息和特别股息。","content":"<html><body><p>格隆汇8月17日丨<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03306\">江南布衣</a>(03306.HK)宣布，公司将于2021年8月31日（星期二）举行董事会会议，藉以（其中包括）考虑及批准公司及其附属公司截至2021年6月30日止年度的全年业绩及其发布，并考虑派发末期股息和特别股息。</span></p></body></html>","source":"stock_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>江南布衣(03306.HK)8月31日举行董事会会议审批中期业绩</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n江南布衣(03306.HK)8月31日举行董事会会议审批中期业绩\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-17 16:50 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600927><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格隆汇8月17日丨江南布衣(03306.HK)宣布，公司将于2021年8月31日（星期二）举行董事会会议，藉以（其中包括）考虑及批准公司及其附属公司截至2021年6月30日止年度的全年业绩及其发布，并考虑派发末期股息和特别股息。</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600927\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8906c2117cf409a3cc5087f96741bce","relate_stocks":{"03306":"江南布衣"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/news/detail.html?id=600927","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160527000","content_text":"格隆汇8月17日丨江南布衣(03306.HK)宣布，公司将于2021年8月31日（星期二）举行董事会会议，藉以（其中包括）考虑及批准公司及其附属公司截至2021年6月30日止年度的全年业绩及其发布，并考虑派发末期股息和特别股息。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"03306":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892208557,"gmtCreate":1628660587479,"gmtModify":1631890211853,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"...","listText":"...","text":"...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892208557","repostId":"896638890","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":896638890,"gmtCreate":1628575784410,"gmtModify":1628582034591,"author":{"id":"3516096698306373","authorId":"3516096698306373","name":"石头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8477922e6df4928f290cca5cd50ce873","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516096698306373","authorIdStr":"3516096698306373"},"themes":[],"title":"2021Q2财报 | 英特尔老了吗，股价还能翻盘吗？","htmlText":"起初我并没准备写<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>&nbsp;公司的财报解读，原因有2点；1是这是一家巨头公司，分析起来非常耗时耗精力，2是因为这种公司有不少机构或者专业投资人会进行分析并发布财报解读的，他们发布的资讯足够详细，足够说明问题。但自从英特尔在7月23日发布财报后，我发现了个问题——绝大多数的分析都在唱空英特尔，不少报告都用英特尔对比<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>&nbsp;、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>&nbsp;、甚至<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a>&nbsp;，而且得出结论，是因为英特尔老了，没什么潜力，因此股价出现了下跌。那么真的是这样吗？还是有什么其他问题引起的因特尔股价下跌呢？在开始之前，我们简单的梳理下英特尔、英伟达、AMD和台积电这几家公司的关系。评估英特尔到底是跟其自身比较，还是要找对标公司呢？简单来说，在之前如果装一台电脑的话，CPU是英特尔，显卡是英伟达，要是预算不够多，咱们就AMD和ATI，代工就是台积电，后面随着时间演变，AMD和ATI合并成为了AMD，但是在显卡和CPU的争端上AMD也越来越中流化，这三家公司曾经三分天下，大家互为竞争，又各守一方，具体的三方大战，错综复杂，谁都想把对方弄死，但是又弄不死，三方僵持很长时间都未能一决生死。台积电呢，就在后面代工，就好像如今的某个国家，你们打你们的，你们谁要武器，我就卖给谁，故事的精彩程度不比","listText":"起初我并没准备写<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>&nbsp;公司的财报解读，原因有2点；1是这是一家巨头公司，分析起来非常耗时耗精力，2是因为这种公司有不少机构或者专业投资人会进行分析并发布财报解读的，他们发布的资讯足够详细，足够说明问题。但自从英特尔在7月23日发布财报后，我发现了个问题——绝大多数的分析都在唱空英特尔，不少报告都用英特尔对比<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>&nbsp;、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>&nbsp;、甚至<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a>&nbsp;，而且得出结论，是因为英特尔老了，没什么潜力，因此股价出现了下跌。那么真的是这样吗？还是有什么其他问题引起的因特尔股价下跌呢？在开始之前，我们简单的梳理下英特尔、英伟达、AMD和台积电这几家公司的关系。评估英特尔到底是跟其自身比较，还是要找对标公司呢？简单来说，在之前如果装一台电脑的话，CPU是英特尔，显卡是英伟达，要是预算不够多，咱们就AMD和ATI，代工就是台积电，后面随着时间演变，AMD和ATI合并成为了AMD，但是在显卡和CPU的争端上AMD也越来越中流化，这三家公司曾经三分天下，大家互为竞争，又各守一方，具体的三方大战，错综复杂，谁都想把对方弄死，但是又弄不死，三方僵持很长时间都未能一决生死。台积电呢，就在后面代工，就好像如今的某个国家，你们打你们的，你们谁要武器，我就卖给谁，故事的精彩程度不比","text":"起初我并没准备写$英特尔(INTC)$ 公司的财报解读，原因有2点；1是这是一家巨头公司，分析起来非常耗时耗精力，2是因为这种公司有不少机构或者专业投资人会进行分析并发布财报解读的，他们发布的资讯足够详细，足够说明问题。但自从英特尔在7月23日发布财报后，我发现了个问题——绝大多数的分析都在唱空英特尔，不少报告都用英特尔对比$AMD(AMD)$ 、$英伟达(NVDA)$ 、甚至$台积电(TSM)$ ，而且得出结论，是因为英特尔老了，没什么潜力，因此股价出现了下跌。那么真的是这样吗？还是有什么其他问题引起的因特尔股价下跌呢？在开始之前，我们简单的梳理下英特尔、英伟达、AMD和台积电这几家公司的关系。评估英特尔到底是跟其自身比较，还是要找对标公司呢？简单来说，在之前如果装一台电脑的话，CPU是英特尔，显卡是英伟达，要是预算不够多，咱们就AMD和ATI，代工就是台积电，后面随着时间演变，AMD和ATI合并成为了AMD，但是在显卡和CPU的争端上AMD也越来越中流化，这三家公司曾经三分天下，大家互为竞争，又各守一方，具体的三方大战，错综复杂，谁都想把对方弄死，但是又弄不死，三方僵持很长时间都未能一决生死。台积电呢，就在后面代工，就好像如今的某个国家，你们打你们的，你们谁要武器，我就卖给谁，故事的精彩程度不比","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61f1d3f438289a624865b5502a50db9b","width":"688","height":"504"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21ee1f3bdb55818a218df7d0520f73e0","width":"636","height":"354"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4d07a0f34c0185bb8bd3b57414e27d3","width":"688","height":"255"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896638890","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":20,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898771353,"gmtCreate":1628525119372,"gmtModify":1631890211866,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898771353","repostId":"805151775","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":805151775,"gmtCreate":1627866792297,"gmtModify":1627959624728,"author":{"id":"3521199454361115","authorId":"3521199454361115","name":"美股指南针","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccd1af51d377a6091f715591c5b1088d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521199454361115","authorIdStr":"3521199454361115"},"themes":[],"title":"不到一年将本金翻8倍，我是如何做到的","htmlText":"大学开始到毕业期间1年有余在模拟盘操作到后面用自己攒的小金库实盘操作，在18年bilibili上市10块all in bilibili 赚到第一桶金至今我陆陆续续炒股已有4年。疫情股市崩盘促使我回到股市抄底，当时的目标很明确，捡石油，捡航空！当时沙特打价格战，石油暴跌濒临破产夕阳行业，但是石油毕竟还是有需求的，当时没有可以全面替代石油的。奔着这个逻辑我接了濒临破产的石油行业的飞刀，逢低加仓坚持拿了几个月nbr反向拆股50合1， 我在45的价位清仓了。航空行业的佼佼者达美有雄厚的资金储备加上他们的扩展业务（我是他们的忠实顾客），我当时认为疫情过后人们出门旅游的需求会有一个爆发的阶段。加上在没有任何收入来源的情况下，航空的飞机和其扩展的业务还能值点钱。于是在黄金坑20块附近开始建仓，加仓达美航空，共买了1w美金。随后在33块清仓。在石油和航空之后我开始寻找下一个目标，当时国家在宣传环保。我发现了新能源赛道的nio，符合国家的规划，去调查了一番nio的情况，对比它和当初的ofo小黄车的迅速发展到消失的区别，最终促使我买入的理由是创始人，政策的方向，加上和zf的对赌协议。（图片太多了，我就随便挑了几个）我从11块开始买入nio的正股，随后发现了nio的上升趋势的走势规律，我开始每次突破新高后清仓，回落时逢低建仓期权和正股 当时几乎每次操作都是满仓。nio涨到57的时候我已经赚了20多w美金。11月回调的时候我在黄金坑40附近再次握着nio的期权看好1月份的nio day大日子，这是因为近一年来nio被资本看好，赛道明朗 销量明显增长。我买到了1月底的看涨期权，在64附近开盘清仓。收益扩大至30w美金。最后一次操作nio因为这时的nio走势很像茶杯柄，于是我在54附近开始建仓nio的看涨70的期权，但是当时没有注意大环境的趋势赶上了科技股泡沫破灭 nio并没有突破茶杯柄的走势，跌破支","listText":"大学开始到毕业期间1年有余在模拟盘操作到后面用自己攒的小金库实盘操作，在18年bilibili上市10块all in bilibili 赚到第一桶金至今我陆陆续续炒股已有4年。疫情股市崩盘促使我回到股市抄底，当时的目标很明确，捡石油，捡航空！当时沙特打价格战，石油暴跌濒临破产夕阳行业，但是石油毕竟还是有需求的，当时没有可以全面替代石油的。奔着这个逻辑我接了濒临破产的石油行业的飞刀，逢低加仓坚持拿了几个月nbr反向拆股50合1， 我在45的价位清仓了。航空行业的佼佼者达美有雄厚的资金储备加上他们的扩展业务（我是他们的忠实顾客），我当时认为疫情过后人们出门旅游的需求会有一个爆发的阶段。加上在没有任何收入来源的情况下，航空的飞机和其扩展的业务还能值点钱。于是在黄金坑20块附近开始建仓，加仓达美航空，共买了1w美金。随后在33块清仓。在石油和航空之后我开始寻找下一个目标，当时国家在宣传环保。我发现了新能源赛道的nio，符合国家的规划，去调查了一番nio的情况，对比它和当初的ofo小黄车的迅速发展到消失的区别，最终促使我买入的理由是创始人，政策的方向，加上和zf的对赌协议。（图片太多了，我就随便挑了几个）我从11块开始买入nio的正股，随后发现了nio的上升趋势的走势规律，我开始每次突破新高后清仓，回落时逢低建仓期权和正股 当时几乎每次操作都是满仓。nio涨到57的时候我已经赚了20多w美金。11月回调的时候我在黄金坑40附近再次握着nio的期权看好1月份的nio day大日子，这是因为近一年来nio被资本看好，赛道明朗 销量明显增长。我买到了1月底的看涨期权，在64附近开盘清仓。收益扩大至30w美金。最后一次操作nio因为这时的nio走势很像茶杯柄，于是我在54附近开始建仓nio的看涨70的期权，但是当时没有注意大环境的趋势赶上了科技股泡沫破灭 nio并没有突破茶杯柄的走势，跌破支","text":"大学开始到毕业期间1年有余在模拟盘操作到后面用自己攒的小金库实盘操作，在18年bilibili上市10块all in bilibili 赚到第一桶金至今我陆陆续续炒股已有4年。疫情股市崩盘促使我回到股市抄底，当时的目标很明确，捡石油，捡航空！当时沙特打价格战，石油暴跌濒临破产夕阳行业，但是石油毕竟还是有需求的，当时没有可以全面替代石油的。奔着这个逻辑我接了濒临破产的石油行业的飞刀，逢低加仓坚持拿了几个月nbr反向拆股50合1， 我在45的价位清仓了。航空行业的佼佼者达美有雄厚的资金储备加上他们的扩展业务（我是他们的忠实顾客），我当时认为疫情过后人们出门旅游的需求会有一个爆发的阶段。加上在没有任何收入来源的情况下，航空的飞机和其扩展的业务还能值点钱。于是在黄金坑20块附近开始建仓，加仓达美航空，共买了1w美金。随后在33块清仓。在石油和航空之后我开始寻找下一个目标，当时国家在宣传环保。我发现了新能源赛道的nio，符合国家的规划，去调查了一番nio的情况，对比它和当初的ofo小黄车的迅速发展到消失的区别，最终促使我买入的理由是创始人，政策的方向，加上和zf的对赌协议。（图片太多了，我就随便挑了几个）我从11块开始买入nio的正股，随后发现了nio的上升趋势的走势规律，我开始每次突破新高后清仓，回落时逢低建仓期权和正股 当时几乎每次操作都是满仓。nio涨到57的时候我已经赚了20多w美金。11月回调的时候我在黄金坑40附近再次握着nio的期权看好1月份的nio day大日子，这是因为近一年来nio被资本看好，赛道明朗 销量明显增长。我买到了1月底的看涨期权，在64附近开盘清仓。收益扩大至30w美金。最后一次操作nio因为这时的nio走势很像茶杯柄，于是我在54附近开始建仓nio的看涨70的期权，但是当时没有注意大环境的趋势赶上了科技股泡沫破灭 nio并没有突破茶杯柄的走势，跌破支","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c54dddcb485e0e85571fa71af686d9d5","width":"688","height":"405"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e10f949d91cb08c5dd152794b49fb661","width":"688","height":"397"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f17623c99c383857433f34d5b5d946eb","width":"688","height":"402"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805151775","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":23,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":898771020,"gmtCreate":1628525110660,"gmtModify":1631890211886,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"...","listText":"...","text":"...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898771020","repostId":"805151775","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":805151775,"gmtCreate":1627866792297,"gmtModify":1627959624728,"author":{"id":"3521199454361115","authorId":"3521199454361115","name":"美股指南针","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccd1af51d377a6091f715591c5b1088d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3521199454361115","authorIdStr":"3521199454361115"},"themes":[],"title":"不到一年将本金翻8倍，我是如何做到的","htmlText":"大学开始到毕业期间1年有余在模拟盘操作到后面用自己攒的小金库实盘操作，在18年bilibili上市10块all in bilibili 赚到第一桶金至今我陆陆续续炒股已有4年。疫情股市崩盘促使我回到股市抄底，当时的目标很明确，捡石油，捡航空！当时沙特打价格战，石油暴跌濒临破产夕阳行业，但是石油毕竟还是有需求的，当时没有可以全面替代石油的。奔着这个逻辑我接了濒临破产的石油行业的飞刀，逢低加仓坚持拿了几个月nbr反向拆股50合1， 我在45的价位清仓了。航空行业的佼佼者达美有雄厚的资金储备加上他们的扩展业务（我是他们的忠实顾客），我当时认为疫情过后人们出门旅游的需求会有一个爆发的阶段。加上在没有任何收入来源的情况下，航空的飞机和其扩展的业务还能值点钱。于是在黄金坑20块附近开始建仓，加仓达美航空，共买了1w美金。随后在33块清仓。在石油和航空之后我开始寻找下一个目标，当时国家在宣传环保。我发现了新能源赛道的nio，符合国家的规划，去调查了一番nio的情况，对比它和当初的ofo小黄车的迅速发展到消失的区别，最终促使我买入的理由是创始人，政策的方向，加上和zf的对赌协议。（图片太多了，我就随便挑了几个）我从11块开始买入nio的正股，随后发现了nio的上升趋势的走势规律，我开始每次突破新高后清仓，回落时逢低建仓期权和正股 当时几乎每次操作都是满仓。nio涨到57的时候我已经赚了20多w美金。11月回调的时候我在黄金坑40附近再次握着nio的期权看好1月份的nio day大日子，这是因为近一年来nio被资本看好，赛道明朗 销量明显增长。我买到了1月底的看涨期权，在64附近开盘清仓。收益扩大至30w美金。最后一次操作nio因为这时的nio走势很像茶杯柄，于是我在54附近开始建仓nio的看涨70的期权，但是当时没有注意大环境的趋势赶上了科技股泡沫破灭 nio并没有突破茶杯柄的走势，跌破支","listText":"大学开始到毕业期间1年有余在模拟盘操作到后面用自己攒的小金库实盘操作，在18年bilibili上市10块all in bilibili 赚到第一桶金至今我陆陆续续炒股已有4年。疫情股市崩盘促使我回到股市抄底，当时的目标很明确，捡石油，捡航空！当时沙特打价格战，石油暴跌濒临破产夕阳行业，但是石油毕竟还是有需求的，当时没有可以全面替代石油的。奔着这个逻辑我接了濒临破产的石油行业的飞刀，逢低加仓坚持拿了几个月nbr反向拆股50合1， 我在45的价位清仓了。航空行业的佼佼者达美有雄厚的资金储备加上他们的扩展业务（我是他们的忠实顾客），我当时认为疫情过后人们出门旅游的需求会有一个爆发的阶段。加上在没有任何收入来源的情况下，航空的飞机和其扩展的业务还能值点钱。于是在黄金坑20块附近开始建仓，加仓达美航空，共买了1w美金。随后在33块清仓。在石油和航空之后我开始寻找下一个目标，当时国家在宣传环保。我发现了新能源赛道的nio，符合国家的规划，去调查了一番nio的情况，对比它和当初的ofo小黄车的迅速发展到消失的区别，最终促使我买入的理由是创始人，政策的方向，加上和zf的对赌协议。（图片太多了，我就随便挑了几个）我从11块开始买入nio的正股，随后发现了nio的上升趋势的走势规律，我开始每次突破新高后清仓，回落时逢低建仓期权和正股 当时几乎每次操作都是满仓。nio涨到57的时候我已经赚了20多w美金。11月回调的时候我在黄金坑40附近再次握着nio的期权看好1月份的nio day大日子，这是因为近一年来nio被资本看好，赛道明朗 销量明显增长。我买到了1月底的看涨期权，在64附近开盘清仓。收益扩大至30w美金。最后一次操作nio因为这时的nio走势很像茶杯柄，于是我在54附近开始建仓nio的看涨70的期权，但是当时没有注意大环境的趋势赶上了科技股泡沫破灭 nio并没有突破茶杯柄的走势，跌破支","text":"大学开始到毕业期间1年有余在模拟盘操作到后面用自己攒的小金库实盘操作，在18年bilibili上市10块all in bilibili 赚到第一桶金至今我陆陆续续炒股已有4年。疫情股市崩盘促使我回到股市抄底，当时的目标很明确，捡石油，捡航空！当时沙特打价格战，石油暴跌濒临破产夕阳行业，但是石油毕竟还是有需求的，当时没有可以全面替代石油的。奔着这个逻辑我接了濒临破产的石油行业的飞刀，逢低加仓坚持拿了几个月nbr反向拆股50合1， 我在45的价位清仓了。航空行业的佼佼者达美有雄厚的资金储备加上他们的扩展业务（我是他们的忠实顾客），我当时认为疫情过后人们出门旅游的需求会有一个爆发的阶段。加上在没有任何收入来源的情况下，航空的飞机和其扩展的业务还能值点钱。于是在黄金坑20块附近开始建仓，加仓达美航空，共买了1w美金。随后在33块清仓。在石油和航空之后我开始寻找下一个目标，当时国家在宣传环保。我发现了新能源赛道的nio，符合国家的规划，去调查了一番nio的情况，对比它和当初的ofo小黄车的迅速发展到消失的区别，最终促使我买入的理由是创始人，政策的方向，加上和zf的对赌协议。（图片太多了，我就随便挑了几个）我从11块开始买入nio的正股，随后发现了nio的上升趋势的走势规律，我开始每次突破新高后清仓，回落时逢低建仓期权和正股 当时几乎每次操作都是满仓。nio涨到57的时候我已经赚了20多w美金。11月回调的时候我在黄金坑40附近再次握着nio的期权看好1月份的nio day大日子，这是因为近一年来nio被资本看好，赛道明朗 销量明显增长。我买到了1月底的看涨期权，在64附近开盘清仓。收益扩大至30w美金。最后一次操作nio因为这时的nio走势很像茶杯柄，于是我在54附近开始建仓nio的看涨70的期权，但是当时没有注意大环境的趋势赶上了科技股泡沫破灭 nio并没有突破茶杯柄的走势，跌破支","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c54dddcb485e0e85571fa71af686d9d5","width":"688","height":"405"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e10f949d91cb08c5dd152794b49fb661","width":"688","height":"397"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f17623c99c383857433f34d5b5d946eb","width":"688","height":"402"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805151775","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":23,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174402739,"gmtCreate":1627119420721,"gmtModify":1631890211894,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🙃🙃🙃","listText":"🙃🙃🙃","text":"🙃🙃🙃","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174402739","repostId":"1170350340","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170198995,"gmtCreate":1626410014717,"gmtModify":1633926987579,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170198995","repostId":"2151261135","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2151261135","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1626409687,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2151261135?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 12:28","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"缺“芯”的拐点要来了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151261135","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气","content":"<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。</p>\n<p><b>华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？</b></p>\n<h2>一、从供需错配到再平衡</h2>\n<p><b>1、为什么缺芯？</b></p>\n<p>缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。</p>\n<p>国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。<b>这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，</b>而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b0897af5cb718219f5e303f10173b62\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>2、2022年缺芯将缓解?</b></p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。</b>也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。</p>\n<p>从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">联电</a>、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMI\">中芯国际</a>等晶圆代工厂，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。</p>\n<p><b>3、产业链延续涨价？</b></p>\n<p><b>因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。</b>而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，<b>消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。</b></p>\n<p>台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，<b>且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。</b></p>\n<h2>二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇</h2>\n<p>世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。</p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。</b></p>\n<p><b>全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？</b>今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，<b>分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。</b></p>\n<p>从SEMI给出的数据来看，<b>中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，</b>其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。<b>考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/228b84b60813b81b51450594568779e2\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。</p>\n<p><b>1、晶圆厂格局</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688981\">中芯国际</a>的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）</p>\n<p>行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。<b>国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01347\">华虹半导体</a>和中芯国际。</b></p>\n<p><b>2、设备厂格局</b></p>\n<p>从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，<b>前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。</b>前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。</p>\n<p>在国内的公司中，<b>刻蚀机设备</b>主要是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002371\">北方华创</a>和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688012\">中微公司</a>的优势在于长介质刻蚀。</p>\n<p><b>沉积设备：</b>主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。</p>\n<p><b>光刻设备：</b>上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。</p>\n<p><b>3、封测厂格局</b></p>\n<p>全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600584\">长电科技</a>约一成以上，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002156\">通富微电</a>位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>。</p>\n<p><b>4、光刻胶格局</b></p>\n<p>半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。<b>就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。</b></p>\n<p>光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，<b>今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。</b></p>\n<p>ArF线：北京科华（现被<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603650\">彤程新材</a>收购）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300655\">晶瑞股份</a>正在研发中；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300346\">南大光电</a>通过客户认证。</p>\n<p>KrF线：北京科华、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300236\">上海新阳</a>已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。</p>\n<p>g线/i线：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300576\">容大感光</a>产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。</p>\n<h2>三、产能过剩后的危机</h2>\n<p>随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。<b>观测这一重要转折点要看什么？</b>通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到<b>资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。</b></p>\n<p>从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。</p>\n<p><b>通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f918d3c3c08f3fdc0888508005f63b8d\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>危机来临了吗？</b></p>\n<p>根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。<b>总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。</b></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>缺“芯”的拐点要来了？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n缺“芯”的拐点要来了？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 12:28 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{"00981":"中芯国际","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151261135","content_text":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。\n国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。\n\n2、2022年缺芯将缓解?\nGartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。\n从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括联电、格芯、中芯国际等晶圆代工厂，而台积电的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。\n3、产业链延续涨价？\n因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。\n台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。\n二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇\n世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。\nGartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。\n全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。\n从SEMI给出的数据来看，中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。\n\n那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。\n1、晶圆厂格局\n三星是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。中芯国际的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）\n行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、中芯国际和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、华虹半导体和中芯国际。\n2、设备厂格局\n从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、应用材料、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。\n在国内的公司中，刻蚀机设备主要是北方华创和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而中微公司的优势在于长介质刻蚀。\n沉积设备：主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。\n光刻设备：上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。\n3、封测厂格局\n全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和长电科技约一成以上，通富微电位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠AMD。\n4、光刻胶格局\n半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。\n光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。\nArF线：北京科华（现被彤程新材收购）、晶瑞股份正在研发中；南大光电通过客户认证。\nKrF线：北京科华、上海新阳已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。\ng线/i线：容大感光产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。\n三、产能过剩后的危机\n随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。观测这一重要转折点要看什么？通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。\n从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。\n通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。\n\n危机来临了吗？\n根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，英特尔资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9,"00981":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170193924,"gmtCreate":1626409839768,"gmtModify":1633926989460,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170193924","repostId":"2151261135","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2151261135","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1626409687,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2151261135?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 12:28","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"缺“芯”的拐点要来了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2151261135","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气","content":"<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。</p>\n<p><b>华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？</b></p>\n<h2>一、从供需错配到再平衡</h2>\n<p><b>1、为什么缺芯？</b></p>\n<p>缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。</p>\n<p>国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。<b>这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，</b>而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b0897af5cb718219f5e303f10173b62\" tg-width=\"376\" tg-height=\"193\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>2、2022年缺芯将缓解?</b></p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。</b>也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。</p>\n<p>从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">联电</a>、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMI\">中芯国际</a>等晶圆代工厂，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。</p>\n<p><b>3、产业链延续涨价？</b></p>\n<p><b>因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。</b>而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，<b>消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。</b></p>\n<p>台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，<b>且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。</b></p>\n<h2>二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇</h2>\n<p>世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。</p>\n<p><b>Gartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。</b></p>\n<p><b>全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？</b>今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，<b>分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。</b></p>\n<p>从SEMI给出的数据来看，<b>中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，</b>其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。<b>考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/228b84b60813b81b51450594568779e2\" tg-width=\"724\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。</p>\n<p><b>1、晶圆厂格局</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688981\">中芯国际</a>的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）</p>\n<p>行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。<b>国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01347\">华虹半导体</a>和中芯国际。</b></p>\n<p><b>2、设备厂格局</b></p>\n<p>从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，<b>前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。</b>前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。</p>\n<p>在国内的公司中，<b>刻蚀机设备</b>主要是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002371\">北方华创</a>和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688012\">中微公司</a>的优势在于长介质刻蚀。</p>\n<p><b>沉积设备：</b>主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。</p>\n<p><b>光刻设备：</b>上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。</p>\n<p><b>3、封测厂格局</b></p>\n<p>全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600584\">长电科技</a>约一成以上，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002156\">通富微电</a>位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>。</p>\n<p><b>4、光刻胶格局</b></p>\n<p>半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。<b>就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。</b></p>\n<p>光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，<b>今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。</b></p>\n<p>ArF线：北京科华（现被<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603650\">彤程新材</a>收购）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300655\">晶瑞股份</a>正在研发中；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300346\">南大光电</a>通过客户认证。</p>\n<p>KrF线：北京科华、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300236\">上海新阳</a>已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。</p>\n<p>g线/i线：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300576\">容大感光</a>产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。</p>\n<h2>三、产能过剩后的危机</h2>\n<p>随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。<b>观测这一重要转折点要看什么？</b>通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到<b>资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。</b></p>\n<p>从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。</p>\n<p><b>通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f918d3c3c08f3fdc0888508005f63b8d\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>危机来临了吗？</b></p>\n<p>根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。<b>总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。</b></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>缺“芯”的拐点要来了？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n缺“芯”的拐点要来了？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 12:28 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e38a3a3c63bd5a9d8d8ca2d384d1c5","relate_stocks":{"00981":"中芯国际","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3635357","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2151261135","content_text":"销量暴涨的新能源车因为缺芯几乎要面临停工停产的危机，最近屡屡传出汽车厂商都有自己建设晶圆厂了念头了，全球的分析师都在关注半导体供需平衡与库存修正将在何时发生，更有一个指标历史上7次准确预言了半导体景气度的拐点。\n华尔街见闻·见智研究所通过分析半导体的周期来解答以下问题：缺芯何时缓解？当下是国产替代的机遇？预示危机的指标又是什么？\n一、从供需错配到再平衡\n1、为什么缺芯？\n缺芯缺产能的底层逻辑就是芯片的供给小于需求。从2021年开始全球半导体的供给进入瓶颈期，而伴随着下游需求的爆发式增长，导致半导体行业出现严重缺货的现象。\n国际半导体产业协会SEMI预测，今年是由于云端服务器笔记本电脑、游戏及医疗科技需求成长，5G、物联网汽车及人工智能快速发展，带动了产业的景气度。这其中新能源车和物联网市场是两个增长最快速的变量，新能源车行业五年的复合增速高达41.53%，而手机和电脑依旧是半导体需求端体量最大的，但预期近五年增速较新兴行业低很多。\n\n2、2022年缺芯将缓解?\nGartner预测：全球半导体供应短缺将持续整个2021年，并在2022年第二季度恢复至正常水平，而基板产能限制可能会延长到2022年第四季度。也就是说在此之前，半导体还会伴随着长时间的芯片短缺，涨价函依旧会接踵而至。\n从半导体的供需周期来看，在2021年下半年伴随着晶圆厂的设备安装，龙头厂商预期最快2022年开始才能够释放出新产能，这其中包括联电、格芯、中芯国际等晶圆代工厂，而台积电的大批量产能预期在2023年后才能逐步落地，所以半导体行业还需要一个较长的时间周期才重新达到供需平衡。\n3、产业链延续涨价？\n因为供需的错配，产能的紧缺以及扩产带来的成本增加都会相继增加产品的溢价。而涨价直接的好处是给了厂商定价权，出厂价格高了，企业的盈利能力会很大程度提高。但是有一点不能忽略：厂商处于产业链什么位置很关键。如果是处于生产加工的下游，那么原材料成本的提价也要考虑进去。在21年全球大多数晶圆厂、材料以及封测都相继提高了两成左右的价格，龙头厂的订单都排至了2022年。从今年6月份开始10多家厂商陆续发布下半年涨价函，消息指出预计涨价将持续到2022年。\n台媒《经济日报》6月24日报道称，IC设计业者透露，明年初晶圆代工价格已经敲定，不仅联电8英寸和12英寸的晶圆代工价格续涨，晶圆代工龙头台积电也涨价，部分8英寸和12英寸制程价格上涨一到两成，且12英寸制程涨幅高于8英寸。\n二、全球扩张下的国产替代机遇\n世界半导体贸易统计组织（WSTS）预测，2021年全球半导体市场增速将达19.7%， 2022年半导体市场将增长8.8%，连续两年创历史新高。\nGartner预测：中国半导体企业到2025年市场的市场份额将从当下的15%提升至30%，近五年中国半导体将会快速渗透。\n全球晶圆厂最新扩建计划，中国是首位？今年6月份国际半导体产业协会SEMI发布报告称2021-2022年全球半导体制造商新增29座晶圆厂，分别于2021年建设19座，2022年再增加10座。\n从SEMI给出的数据来看，中国大陆和台湾地区两年间增加的晶圆厂数量是全球首位，共计16座，其次是美国4座，欧洲和中东一共增加3座，日本和韩国各两座。全部投产后，每月可生产260万片等效200mm晶圆。考虑到新增的晶圆厂建设周期较长，预计从2023年开始新增晶圆厂开始大幅采购半导体设备。\n\n那么国内半导体行业有存在怎样的机遇呢？华尔街见闻·见智研究所对四大行业的格局进行了分析。\n1、晶圆厂格局\n三星是全球市占率最大的晶圆厂，达到14.7%，折算约310万片/月的产能；其次是台积电市占率为13.1%，约270万片/月产能。美光和SK海力士位居第三、第四，市占率在9%左右，每家产能约为190万片/月。中芯国际的产能约为54万片/月，在全球排名前十二。（产能按8英寸折算）\n行业内5家最大的纯晶圆代工厂——台积电、联电、格芯、中芯国际和力晶（包括Nexchip）约占全球晶圆代工厂总产能的24％，行业集中度非常高。国内晶圆厂预计21年新增的产能75万片/月（按 8 英寸折算），其中新增产能的前三位分别是长江存储、华虹半导体和中芯国际。\n2、设备厂格局\n从设备类型的市场占比情况来看，前道晶圆制造设备占主要比重，高达80%，这其中主要包括刻蚀机、薄膜沉积设备和光刻机；其次封装和测试设备的占比比较小，分别为10%和8%。前道晶圆设备龙头包括泛林半导体、TEL、应用材料、ASML几乎是垄断了全球九成的份额。\n在国内的公司中，刻蚀机设备主要是北方华创和中微半导体。两个公司目前是差异化的布局，不存在直接竞争关系。北方华创的优势在于长硅刻蚀和金属刻蚀，而中微公司的优势在于长介质刻蚀。\n沉积设备：主要是北方华创和沈阳拓荆，两者在ALD和PVD方面存在一定程度的竞争，而在化学气相沉积方面只有沈阳拓荆在做，在今年7月12日沈阳拓荆在科创板IPO申请也已经获受理了。\n光刻设备：上海微电子已经突破了光刻机90/65的技术节点；沈阳芯源突破涂胶显影机90/65的技术节点。\n3、封测厂格局\n全球封测市场中CR3占比约六成，集中度很高，日月光占比就达到三成以上，其次是安靠和长电科技约一成以上，通富微电位居第五，市占率约4.4%。长电科技背靠中芯国际，通富微电背靠AMD。\n4、光刻胶格局\n半导体光刻胶主要分为四种类型，g线、i线、KrF线和ArF线。就占比情况来看ArF线占比最大，约四成，其次是KrF线两成，g线和i线共计两成。\n光刻胶九成份额被外国龙头垄断，今年由于日本信越化学的KrF光刻胶无限期断供，给国内公司很大的发展机遇，哪些厂商率先进入晶圆代工厂的生产线中，未来成长空间会非常大。\nArF线：北京科华（现被彤程新材收购）、晶瑞股份正在研发中；南大光电通过客户认证。\nKrF线：北京科华、上海新阳已经实现量产，晶瑞股份已完成测试。\ng线/i线：容大感光产能扩建中，北京科华可供应。\n三、产能过剩后的危机\n随着未来五年内半导体产能的大量投放，而需求增速的逐渐放缓，伴随而来的是半导体产能过剩，高库存的情况，必然会导致半导体市场价格的下跌。观测这一重要转折点要看什么？通过复盘半导体的历史周期，华尔街见闻·见智研究所观察到资本开支可作为预测拐点的领先指标。\n从历史规律来看，在资本开支大幅增长的一到两年后将会伴随半导体市场的大幅下跌。如1984年全球半导体行业资本开支增长106%，而后的第二年半导体市场下跌了17%。此后的四个周期也是出现相同的规律。直到2008年的下跌是由金融危机导致的，而后2010年资本开支出现大幅回升，达到107%，第二年半导体市场同样出现了暴跌。\n通过复盘历史得到非常重要的指标，那就是资本开始危险临界线。当资本开支增长超过40%的时候，通常预测未来会出现产能过剩和半导体增速下跌的情况。\n\n危机来临了吗？\n根据IC Insights的预测来看，2021年半导体资本开支的增速预计在16%-23%之间。总体上看半导体市场还处于景气周期中，目前没有达到产能过剩的临界点。但需要特别注意的是，台积电21年的资本开支增速同比达到74%，英特尔资本开支同比增速达到37%，已经达到高水位线，而三星的资本开支几乎与去年齐平。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9,"00981":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147392987,"gmtCreate":1626332933349,"gmtModify":1633927775238,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147392987","repostId":"1188379078","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145459404,"gmtCreate":1626239860508,"gmtModify":1633928707283,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145459404","repostId":"1126251044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126251044","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626218657,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126251044?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 07:24","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"医脉通一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126251044","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月14日，医脉通发布公告，公司全球发售约1.55亿股股份，其中香港发售股份7754.8万股，国际发售股份7754.8万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份27.20港元，每手买卖单位","content":"<p>7月14日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02192\">医脉通</a>发布公告，公司全球发售约1.55亿股股份，其中香港发售股份7754.8万股，国际发售股份7754.8万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份27.20港元，每手买卖单位500股；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">海通国际</a>为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月15日于联交所主板挂牌上市。</p>\n<p><b>老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa9b3e669a6b601bd6f663db62eb0518\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\"></p>\n<p><b>分配结果：</b></p>\n<p>甲组每手500股，一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手。</p>\n<p>乙组头为20万股（400手），获配1000股（2手）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836a351342d5d77d292efd488168758f\" tg-width=\"863\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21001441e923fa8b5c5f3e75ed77dcb8\" tg-width=\"873\" tg-height=\"538\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4701c7bcc7cc26514d87a7f555b281bc\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>国际发售初步提呈发售的发售股份获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售初步可供认购发售股份总数约31.2倍。根据香港公开发售初步提呈发售的香港公开发售股份获大幅超额认购。公司合共接获626,195份有效申请，认购合共91.88亿股香港公开发售股份，相当于香港公开发售初步可供认购香港公开发售股份总数约592.41倍。</p>\n<p>根据发售价每股27.20港元及基石投资协议，基石投资者认购合共6278.45万股发售股份，相当于全球发售完成后已发行股本约9.10%(假设并无行使超额配股权且并无计及可能因根据购股权计划已授出或将授出的购股权获行使而发行的任何股份)；及全球发售的发售股份数目约40.48%(假设并无行使超额配股权)。</p>\n<p>按发售价每股发售股份27.20港元计算，公司估计自全球发售收取所得款项净额约40.01亿港元。其中，所得款项净额约40%拟用于在未来三至五年内扩展业务；约30%拟用于在未来三至五年内投资技术及提高研发能力；约20%拟用于精心挑选战略投资或收购机会；及约10%拟用作一般补充营运资金及其他一般企业用途。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>医脉通一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n医脉通一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-14 07:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>7月14日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02192\">医脉通</a>发布公告，公司全球发售约1.55亿股股份，其中香港发售股份7754.8万股，国际发售股份7754.8万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份27.20港元，每手买卖单位500股；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">海通国际</a>为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月15日于联交所主板挂牌上市。</p>\n<p><b>老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa9b3e669a6b601bd6f663db62eb0518\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\"></p>\n<p><b>分配结果：</b></p>\n<p>甲组每手500股，一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手。</p>\n<p>乙组头为20万股（400手），获配1000股（2手）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836a351342d5d77d292efd488168758f\" tg-width=\"863\" tg-height=\"585\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21001441e923fa8b5c5f3e75ed77dcb8\" tg-width=\"873\" tg-height=\"538\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4701c7bcc7cc26514d87a7f555b281bc\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>国际发售初步提呈发售的发售股份获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售初步可供认购发售股份总数约31.2倍。根据香港公开发售初步提呈发售的香港公开发售股份获大幅超额认购。公司合共接获626,195份有效申请，认购合共91.88亿股香港公开发售股份，相当于香港公开发售初步可供认购香港公开发售股份总数约592.41倍。</p>\n<p>根据发售价每股27.20港元及基石投资协议，基石投资者认购合共6278.45万股发售股份，相当于全球发售完成后已发行股本约9.10%(假设并无行使超额配股权且并无计及可能因根据购股权计划已授出或将授出的购股权获行使而发行的任何股份)；及全球发售的发售股份数目约40.48%(假设并无行使超额配股权)。</p>\n<p>按发售价每股发售股份27.20港元计算，公司估计自全球发售收取所得款项净额约40.01亿港元。其中，所得款项净额约40%拟用于在未来三至五年内扩展业务；约30%拟用于在未来三至五年内投资技术及提高研发能力；约20%拟用于精心挑选战略投资或收购机会；及约10%拟用作一般补充营运资金及其他一般企业用途。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b69e234a63c2c0a69ccede7b0faaa18","relate_stocks":{"02192":"医脉通"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126251044","content_text":"7月14日，医脉通发布公告，公司全球发售约1.55亿股股份，其中香港发售股份7754.8万股，国际发售股份7754.8万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份27.20港元，每手买卖单位500股；高盛及海通国际为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月15日于联交所主板挂牌上市。\n老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：\n\n分配结果：\n甲组每手500股，一手中签率5%，认购90手稳中一手。\n乙组头为20万股（400手），获配1000股（2手）。\n\n国际发售初步提呈发售的发售股份获大幅超额认购，相当于国际发售初步可供认购发售股份总数约31.2倍。根据香港公开发售初步提呈发售的香港公开发售股份获大幅超额认购。公司合共接获626,195份有效申请，认购合共91.88亿股香港公开发售股份，相当于香港公开发售初步可供认购香港公开发售股份总数约592.41倍。\n根据发售价每股27.20港元及基石投资协议，基石投资者认购合共6278.45万股发售股份，相当于全球发售完成后已发行股本约9.10%(假设并无行使超额配股权且并无计及可能因根据购股权计划已授出或将授出的购股权获行使而发行的任何股份)；及全球发售的发售股份数目约40.48%(假设并无行使超额配股权)。\n按发售价每股发售股份27.20港元计算，公司估计自全球发售收取所得款项净额约40.01亿港元。其中，所得款项净额约40%拟用于在未来三至五年内扩展业务；约30%拟用于在未来三至五年内投资技术及提高研发能力；约20%拟用于精心挑选战略投资或收购机会；及约10%拟用作一般补充营运资金及其他一般企业用途。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02192":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142470589,"gmtCreate":1626172402441,"gmtModify":1633929431875,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142470589","repostId":"1126789765","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126789765","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1626133747,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126789765?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 07:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储七月会议如何表态？关注今晚CPI","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126789765","media":"Wind万得","summary":"今晚美国公布的CPI数据至关重要，这个数据在一定程度上将显示近期的价格大幅上涨是一个暂时现象，还是通胀压力会更持久。如果今晚通胀超市场预期，那么美联储提前收紧预期可能又会卷土重来；反之市场对美联储收紧的恐慌会继续减弱。市场预计6月份CPI环比增幅将从5月份的0.6%和4月份的0.8%降至0.5%，并预计CPI年率将从5月份的5%降至4.9%。美联储的通胀目标是基于美国商务部的个人消费支出价格指数，该指数往往略低于CPI。","content":"<p>今晚美国公布的CPI数据至关重要，这个数据在一定程度上将显示近期的价格大幅上涨是一个暂时现象，还是通胀压力会更持久。如果今晚通胀超市场预期，那么美联储提前收紧预期可能又会卷土重来；反之市场对美联储收紧的恐慌会继续减弱。</p>\n<p>在过去的六个月里，美国消费者价格指数(CPI)几乎翻了三倍，从一月份的1.7%上升到五月份的5%。核心通胀从1.4%上升到3.8%。市场预计6月份CPI环比增幅将从5月份的0.6%和4月份的0.8%降至0.5%，并预计CPI年率将从5月份的5%降至4.9%。</p>\n<p>过去几个月，美联储成功地降低了市场对通胀的敏感性。这一努力始于去年9月美联储对未来政策引导采用了平均通胀率，并坚持认为当前的飙升是暂时的。但是有一个重要且尚未解决的问题是，疫情导致的经济问题造成会造成多少通胀?这个问题的答案在第四季度基数效应完全消失之前也许很难判断。</p>\n<p>市场一些经济学家认为疫情后强劲的经济复苏将在一段时间内推动物价快速上涨。他们认为，市场应该做好准备，迎接几十年来最高的通胀水平。如果经济学家的预测是正确的，美联储官员可能不得不提前或超过他们预期的上调利率，以控制通胀。</p>\n<p>一些调查显示经济学家认为从2021年到2023年通胀平均年增长率为2.58%，这个水平将达到1993年的水平。\"我们现在正处于一个过渡阶段，\" Naroff Economics LLC首席经济学家Joel Naroff说，\"我们正过渡到通胀率和利率高于过去20年的时期。\"</p>\n<p>Grant Thornton首席经济学家黛安•斯旺克(Diane Swonk)表示:“预计通胀飙升的时间会比美联储此前预计的更长。”“美联储现在可能会在2023年上半年加息，尽管一些美联储官员会尽快采取行动。”</p>\n<p>一些分析师也担心美联储的行动可能过于缓慢。American Chemistry Council首席经济学家凯文•斯威夫特(KevinSwift)表示:“危险在于，货币当局跟不上形势。”“我并不是说恶性通货膨胀即将到来，只是说去年发生了很多事情，整体价格的增长趋势比过去5年或10年更快。”</p>\n<p>随着经济复苏的加快，上次公布的美国5月份消费者价格指数继续快速上涨，较上年同期飙升5%，创下近13年来的最高年通胀率，也反映出需求激增以及劳动力和材料短缺。</p>\n<p>价格上涨反映出，随着广泛接种疫苗、放宽商业限制、数万亿美元的联邦大流行救援计划和充足的家庭储蓄推动了强劲的消费者需求。经季节性因素调整后，美国第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)按年率计算增长6.4%。经济学家预计，第二季度美国经济折合成年率将增长8.1%，这将是上世纪80年代初以来经济增长最好的一年。</p>\n<p>政策制定者也非常关注最近的通胀数据。在疫情最严重时期的一年里，价格压力非常疲弱。随着美联储和其它一些政策制定者继续采取财政和货币政策措施支持经济后，通胀上升是否只是暂时的，是美国经济和金融市场的一个关键问题。</p>\n<p>美联储预计目前还是预计今年通货膨胀率将暂时上升。通货膨胀率的持续大幅上升可能迫使央行提前收紧其宽松货币政策，或者晚些时候采取更激进的应对措施，以实现2%的平均通货膨胀目标。</p>\n<p>美联储的通胀目标是基于美国商务部的个人消费支出价格指数，该指数往往略低于CPI。美联储曾表示，在个人消费支出(PCE)通胀率达到平均2%并实现充分就业之前，它将把利率维持在接近于零的水平。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储七月会议如何表态？关注今晚CPI</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储七月会议如何表态？关注今晚CPI\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-13 07:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>今晚美国公布的CPI数据至关重要，这个数据在一定程度上将显示近期的价格大幅上涨是一个暂时现象，还是通胀压力会更持久。如果今晚通胀超市场预期，那么美联储提前收紧预期可能又会卷土重来；反之市场对美联储收紧的恐慌会继续减弱。</p>\n<p>在过去的六个月里，美国消费者价格指数(CPI)几乎翻了三倍，从一月份的1.7%上升到五月份的5%。核心通胀从1.4%上升到3.8%。市场预计6月份CPI环比增幅将从5月份的0.6%和4月份的0.8%降至0.5%，并预计CPI年率将从5月份的5%降至4.9%。</p>\n<p>过去几个月，美联储成功地降低了市场对通胀的敏感性。这一努力始于去年9月美联储对未来政策引导采用了平均通胀率，并坚持认为当前的飙升是暂时的。但是有一个重要且尚未解决的问题是，疫情导致的经济问题造成会造成多少通胀?这个问题的答案在第四季度基数效应完全消失之前也许很难判断。</p>\n<p>市场一些经济学家认为疫情后强劲的经济复苏将在一段时间内推动物价快速上涨。他们认为，市场应该做好准备，迎接几十年来最高的通胀水平。如果经济学家的预测是正确的，美联储官员可能不得不提前或超过他们预期的上调利率，以控制通胀。</p>\n<p>一些调查显示经济学家认为从2021年到2023年通胀平均年增长率为2.58%，这个水平将达到1993年的水平。\"我们现在正处于一个过渡阶段，\" Naroff Economics LLC首席经济学家Joel Naroff说，\"我们正过渡到通胀率和利率高于过去20年的时期。\"</p>\n<p>Grant Thornton首席经济学家黛安•斯旺克(Diane Swonk)表示:“预计通胀飙升的时间会比美联储此前预计的更长。”“美联储现在可能会在2023年上半年加息，尽管一些美联储官员会尽快采取行动。”</p>\n<p>一些分析师也担心美联储的行动可能过于缓慢。American Chemistry Council首席经济学家凯文•斯威夫特(KevinSwift)表示:“危险在于，货币当局跟不上形势。”“我并不是说恶性通货膨胀即将到来，只是说去年发生了很多事情，整体价格的增长趋势比过去5年或10年更快。”</p>\n<p>随着经济复苏的加快，上次公布的美国5月份消费者价格指数继续快速上涨，较上年同期飙升5%，创下近13年来的最高年通胀率，也反映出需求激增以及劳动力和材料短缺。</p>\n<p>价格上涨反映出，随着广泛接种疫苗、放宽商业限制、数万亿美元的联邦大流行救援计划和充足的家庭储蓄推动了强劲的消费者需求。经季节性因素调整后，美国第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)按年率计算增长6.4%。经济学家预计，第二季度美国经济折合成年率将增长8.1%，这将是上世纪80年代初以来经济增长最好的一年。</p>\n<p>政策制定者也非常关注最近的通胀数据。在疫情最严重时期的一年里，价格压力非常疲弱。随着美联储和其它一些政策制定者继续采取财政和货币政策措施支持经济后，通胀上升是否只是暂时的，是美国经济和金融市场的一个关键问题。</p>\n<p>美联储预计目前还是预计今年通货膨胀率将暂时上升。通货膨胀率的持续大幅上升可能迫使央行提前收紧其宽松货币政策，或者晚些时候采取更激进的应对措施，以实现2%的平均通货膨胀目标。</p>\n<p>美联储的通胀目标是基于美国商务部的个人消费支出价格指数，该指数往往略低于CPI。美联储曾表示，在个人消费支出(PCE)通胀率达到平均2%并实现充分就业之前，它将把利率维持在接近于零的水平。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF博时","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126789765","content_text":"今晚美国公布的CPI数据至关重要，这个数据在一定程度上将显示近期的价格大幅上涨是一个暂时现象，还是通胀压力会更持久。如果今晚通胀超市场预期，那么美联储提前收紧预期可能又会卷土重来；反之市场对美联储收紧的恐慌会继续减弱。\n在过去的六个月里，美国消费者价格指数(CPI)几乎翻了三倍，从一月份的1.7%上升到五月份的5%。核心通胀从1.4%上升到3.8%。市场预计6月份CPI环比增幅将从5月份的0.6%和4月份的0.8%降至0.5%，并预计CPI年率将从5月份的5%降至4.9%。\n过去几个月，美联储成功地降低了市场对通胀的敏感性。这一努力始于去年9月美联储对未来政策引导采用了平均通胀率，并坚持认为当前的飙升是暂时的。但是有一个重要且尚未解决的问题是，疫情导致的经济问题造成会造成多少通胀?这个问题的答案在第四季度基数效应完全消失之前也许很难判断。\n市场一些经济学家认为疫情后强劲的经济复苏将在一段时间内推动物价快速上涨。他们认为，市场应该做好准备，迎接几十年来最高的通胀水平。如果经济学家的预测是正确的，美联储官员可能不得不提前或超过他们预期的上调利率，以控制通胀。\n一些调查显示经济学家认为从2021年到2023年通胀平均年增长率为2.58%，这个水平将达到1993年的水平。\"我们现在正处于一个过渡阶段，\" Naroff Economics LLC首席经济学家Joel Naroff说，\"我们正过渡到通胀率和利率高于过去20年的时期。\"\nGrant Thornton首席经济学家黛安•斯旺克(Diane Swonk)表示:“预计通胀飙升的时间会比美联储此前预计的更长。”“美联储现在可能会在2023年上半年加息，尽管一些美联储官员会尽快采取行动。”\n一些分析师也担心美联储的行动可能过于缓慢。American Chemistry Council首席经济学家凯文•斯威夫特(KevinSwift)表示:“危险在于，货币当局跟不上形势。”“我并不是说恶性通货膨胀即将到来，只是说去年发生了很多事情，整体价格的增长趋势比过去5年或10年更快。”\n随着经济复苏的加快，上次公布的美国5月份消费者价格指数继续快速上涨，较上年同期飙升5%，创下近13年来的最高年通胀率，也反映出需求激增以及劳动力和材料短缺。\n价格上涨反映出，随着广泛接种疫苗、放宽商业限制、数万亿美元的联邦大流行救援计划和充足的家庭储蓄推动了强劲的消费者需求。经季节性因素调整后，美国第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)按年率计算增长6.4%。经济学家预计，第二季度美国经济折合成年率将增长8.1%，这将是上世纪80年代初以来经济增长最好的一年。\n政策制定者也非常关注最近的通胀数据。在疫情最严重时期的一年里，价格压力非常疲弱。随着美联储和其它一些政策制定者继续采取财政和货币政策措施支持经济后，通胀上升是否只是暂时的，是美国经济和金融市场的一个关键问题。\n美联储预计目前还是预计今年通货膨胀率将暂时上升。通货膨胀率的持续大幅上升可能迫使央行提前收紧其宽松货币政策，或者晚些时候采取更激进的应对措施，以实现2%的平均通货膨胀目标。\n美联储的通胀目标是基于美国商务部的个人消费支出价格指数，该指数往往略低于CPI。美联储曾表示，在个人消费支出(PCE)通胀率达到平均2%并实现充分就业之前，它将把利率维持在接近于零的水平。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"513500":0.9,"QID":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"SH":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"ESmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142447669,"gmtCreate":1626172312951,"gmtModify":1633929432712,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142447669","repostId":"1129606632","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129606632","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626170852,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129606632?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 18:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"百事可乐Q2财报超预期，盘前涨近2%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129606632","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月13日美股盘前，百事可乐公布2021年第二季度财报。财报显示，百事可乐Q2营收192.2亿美元，市场预期179.59亿美元，去年同期159.45亿美元；净利润23.58亿美元，市场预期21.12亿","content":"<p>7月13日美股盘前，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PEP\">百事可乐</a>公布2021年第二季度财报。财报显示，百事可乐Q2营收192.2亿美元，市场预期179.59亿美元，去年同期159.45亿美元；净利润23.58亿美元，市场预期21.12亿美元，去年同期16.46亿美元；每股盈利1.7美元，市场预期1.52美元，去年同期1.18美元；预计2021财年有机营收将增长6%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01ce274cdc1fe7015a8e11ef8d4d2fc3\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"380\"></p>\n<p>财报公布后，百事可乐盘前涨近2%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cae80f9ef9b26887ae4d099f25d7f501\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>百事可乐Q2财报超预期，盘前涨近2%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n百事可乐Q2财报超预期，盘前涨近2%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-13 18:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>7月13日美股盘前，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PEP\">百事可乐</a>公布2021年第二季度财报。财报显示，百事可乐Q2营收192.2亿美元，市场预期179.59亿美元，去年同期159.45亿美元；净利润23.58亿美元，市场预期21.12亿美元，去年同期16.46亿美元；每股盈利1.7美元，市场预期1.52美元，去年同期1.18美元；预计2021财年有机营收将增长6%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01ce274cdc1fe7015a8e11ef8d4d2fc3\" tg-width=\"896\" tg-height=\"380\"></p>\n<p>财报公布后，百事可乐盘前涨近2%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cae80f9ef9b26887ae4d099f25d7f501\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da6f1eec5f0f1446b3ce577db826367e","relate_stocks":{"PEP":"百事可乐"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129606632","content_text":"7月13日美股盘前，百事可乐公布2021年第二季度财报。财报显示，百事可乐Q2营收192.2亿美元，市场预期179.59亿美元，去年同期159.45亿美元；净利润23.58亿美元，市场预期21.12亿美元，去年同期16.46亿美元；每股盈利1.7美元，市场预期1.52美元，去年同期1.18美元；预计2021财年有机营收将增长6%。\n\n财报公布后，百事可乐盘前涨近2%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PEP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148460023,"gmtCreate":1626006077162,"gmtModify":1633930967906,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148460023","repostId":"1155854665","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":740,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148931389,"gmtCreate":1625912209441,"gmtModify":1633936150180,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569299384564621","authorIdStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148931389","repostId":"1124741749","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":802,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":159714839,"gmtCreate":1624979993021,"gmtModify":1633946208228,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569299384564621","idStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159714839","repostId":"2147343850","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140153677,"gmtCreate":1625640217999,"gmtModify":1633938803249,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569299384564621","idStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140153677","repostId":"1120175170","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152597418,"gmtCreate":1625307934234,"gmtModify":1633941564208,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569299384564621","idStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152597418","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188153141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧，其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman)，她甚至表示，她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情，”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了，不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年，”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标，以他的名字命名，已经亮起红灯足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是，它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面，”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样，你的美元现在将走得更远，为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入，但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费购买东西，”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份，否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始，你拥有的钱就越多，”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该很高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多，20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否即将来临，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择Roth账户，无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面，传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税，因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导，与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向，以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时，你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上，计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧，其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman)，她甚至表示，她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来，Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情，”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了，不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年，”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标，以他的名字命名，已经亮起红灯足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是，它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面，”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样，你的美元现在将走得更远，为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入，但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费购买东西，”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份，否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始，你拥有的钱就越多，”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该很高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多，20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否即将来临，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择Roth账户，无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面，传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税，因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导，与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向，以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时，你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上，计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127433409,"gmtCreate":1624861789101,"gmtModify":1633947813463,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569299384564621","idStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷] [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127433409","repostId":"2146007118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":156344606,"gmtCreate":1625198747705,"gmtModify":1633942619626,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569299384564621","idStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow..........","listText":"Wow..........","text":"Wow..........","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156344606","repostId":"2148873174","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158082919,"gmtCreate":1625113825931,"gmtModify":1633944628408,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569299384564621","idStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158082919","repostId":"1178516480","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178516480","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625094708,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178516480?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 07:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain<blockquote>标普500连续第五次创下收盘新高，连续第五个季度上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178516480","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as inves","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-标普500周三连续第五次创下收盘新高，投资者在本月和本季度结束时基本上摆脱了积极的经济数据，并期待周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> In the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.</p><p><blockquote>在2021年上半年的最后一个交易日，股指低迷且区间震荡，蓝筹股道指上涨，而纳斯达克则小幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> All three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&amp;P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&amp;P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.</p><p><blockquote>三大指数均连续第五个季度上涨，标准普尔指数上涨8.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨9.5%，道指上涨4.6%。标普500上半年表现为1998年以来第二好，上涨14.5%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&amp;P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个不错的季度，”康涅狄格州费尔菲尔德Dakota Wealth的高级投资组合经理罗伯特·帕夫利克(Robert Pavlik)表示。“截至昨晚收盘，标普今年迄今已上涨超过14%，超过道指和纳斯达克。这表明股市正在出现广泛反弹。”</blockquote></p><p> For the month, the bellwether S&amp;P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.</p><p><blockquote>本月，领头羊标普500连续第五次上涨，而道琼斯指数结束了四个月的连涨，小幅收低。纳斯达克在6月份也取得了进展。</blockquote></p><p> This month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>本月，投资者的兴趣从对经济敏感的周期性股票转向成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> “Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”</p><p><blockquote>“今年迄今为止的领先行业正如你所预期的那样，”帕夫利克补充道。“能源、金融和工业，这表明经济环境正处于周期的早期阶段。”</blockquote></p><p> “(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.</p><p><blockquote>帕夫利克补充道：“在人们开始接受（美联储主席杰罗姆）鲍威尔关注暂时性通胀的言论后，（投资者）开始转向增长（股票）。”</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”</p><p><blockquote>“一些重新开放的交易已经持续了一段时间，这正在引导人们恢复增长。”</blockquote></p><p> (Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )</p><p><blockquote>（图：6月份成长股跑赢价值股，年初至今差距缩小，）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b82b4dfdc765d913811f9d8572e60f6\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Inverness Counsel首席投资策略师蒂姆·格里斯基(Tim Ghriskey)表示：“整体股市继续上涨，在相当长一段时间内持续上涨。”“虽然按照历史标准来看估值肯定很高，但受益于经济复苏，估值一直处于相当稳定的水平。”</blockquote></p><p> The private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>根据薪资处理机构ADP的数据，私营部门6月份增加了692,000个就业岗位，轻松超出预期。这一数字比经济学家在劳工部周五发布的更全面的就业报告中预测的私人就业人数高出92,000人。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&amp;P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨210.22点，涨幅0.61%，至34,502.51点；标普500上涨5.7点，涨幅0.13%，至4,297.5点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌24.38点，涨幅0.17%，至14,503.95点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.</p><p><blockquote>在标准普尔11个主要板块中，有6个板块收高，其中能源板块涨幅最大。房地产是当天最大的输家。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.</p><p><blockquote>德国国防部宣布将购买该飞机制造商的五架P-8A海上控制飞机，波音公司股价上涨1.6%，此前联合航空公布了有史以来最大的新飞机订单。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛周二宣布将开始销售仅限处方的胰岛素类似物，股价上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技在季度财报发布前上涨2.5%，但在芯片制造商公布季度业绩后，盘后交易中相对没有变化。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.35比1；在纳斯达克，1.19比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下20个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得70个新高和36个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为108.5亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110.5亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain<blockquote>标普500连续第五次创下收盘新高，连续第五个季度上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 notches fifth straight record closing high, fifth straight quarterly gain<blockquote>标普500连续第五次创下收盘新高，连续第五个季度上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 07:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-标普500周三连续第五次创下收盘新高，投资者在本月和本季度结束时基本上摆脱了积极的经济数据，并期待周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> In the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.</p><p><blockquote>在2021年上半年的最后一个交易日，股指低迷且区间震荡，蓝筹股道指上涨，而纳斯达克则小幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> All three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&amp;P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&amp;P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.</p><p><blockquote>三大指数均连续第五个季度上涨，标准普尔指数上涨8.2%，纳斯达克指数上涨9.5%，道指上涨4.6%。标普500上半年表现为1998年以来第二好，上涨14.5%。</blockquote></p><p> “It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&amp;P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个不错的季度，”康涅狄格州费尔菲尔德Dakota Wealth的高级投资组合经理罗伯特·帕夫利克(Robert Pavlik)表示。“截至昨晚收盘，标普今年迄今已上涨超过14%，超过道指和纳斯达克。这表明股市正在出现广泛反弹。”</blockquote></p><p> For the month, the bellwether S&amp;P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.</p><p><blockquote>本月，领头羊标普500连续第五次上涨，而道琼斯指数结束了四个月的连涨，小幅收低。纳斯达克在6月份也取得了进展。</blockquote></p><p> This month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>本月，投资者的兴趣从对经济敏感的周期性股票转向成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> “Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”</p><p><blockquote>“今年迄今为止的领先行业正如你所预期的那样，”帕夫利克补充道。“能源、金融和工业，这表明经济环境正处于周期的早期阶段。”</blockquote></p><p> “(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.</p><p><blockquote>帕夫利克补充道：“在人们开始接受（美联储主席杰罗姆）鲍威尔关注暂时性通胀的言论后，（投资者）开始转向增长（股票）。”</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”</p><p><blockquote>“一些重新开放的交易已经持续了一段时间，这正在引导人们恢复增长。”</blockquote></p><p> (Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )</p><p><blockquote>（图：6月份成长股跑赢价值股，年初至今差距缩小，）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b82b4dfdc765d913811f9d8572e60f6\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"723\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Inverness Counsel首席投资策略师蒂姆·格里斯基(Tim Ghriskey)表示：“整体股市继续上涨，在相当长一段时间内持续上涨。”“虽然按照历史标准来看估值肯定很高，但受益于经济复苏，估值一直处于相当稳定的水平。”</blockquote></p><p> The private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>根据薪资处理机构ADP的数据，私营部门6月份增加了692,000个就业岗位，轻松超出预期。这一数字比经济学家在劳工部周五发布的更全面的就业报告中预测的私人就业人数高出92,000人。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&amp;P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨210.22点，涨幅0.61%，至34,502.51点；标普500上涨5.7点，涨幅0.13%，至4,297.5点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌24.38点，涨幅0.17%，至14,503.95点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.</p><p><blockquote>在标准普尔11个主要板块中，有6个板块收高，其中能源板块涨幅最大。房地产是当天最大的输家。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.</p><p><blockquote>德国国防部宣布将购买该飞机制造商的五架P-8A海上控制飞机，波音公司股价上涨1.6%，此前联合航空公布了有史以来最大的新飞机订单。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛周二宣布将开始销售仅限处方的胰岛素类似物，股价上涨2.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技在季度财报发布前上涨2.5%，但在芯片制造商公布季度业绩后，盘后交易中相对没有变化。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.35比1；在纳斯达克，1.19比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下20个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得70个新高和36个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为108.5亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110.5亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-notches-fifth-straight-record-closing-high-fifth-straight-quarterly-gain-idUSKCN2E619R\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/sp-500-notches-fifth-straight-record-closing-high-fifth-straight-quarterly-gain-idUSKCN2E619R","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178516480","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 nabbed its fifth straight record closing high on Wednesday as investors ended the month and the quarter by largely shrugging off positive economic data and looking toward Friday’s highly anticipated employment report.\nIn the last session of 2021’s first half, the indexes were languid and range-bound, with the blue-chip Dow posting gains, while the Nasdaq edged lower.\nAll three indexes posted their fifth consecutive quarterly gains, with the S&P rising 8.2%, the Nasdaq advancing 9.5% and the Dow rising 4.6%. The S&P 500 registered its second-best first-half performance since 1998, rising 14.5%.\n“It’s been a good quarter,” said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut. “As of last night’s close, the S&P has gained more than 14% year-to-date, topping the Dow and the Nasdaq. That indicates that the stock market is having a broad rally.”\nFor the month, the bellwether S&P 500 notched its fifth consecutive advance, while the Dow snapped its four-month winning streak to end slightly lower. The Nasdaq also gained ground in June.\nThis month, investor appetite shifted away from economically sensitive cyclicals in favor of growth stocks.\n“Leading sectors year-to-date are what you’d expect,” Pavlik added. “Energy, financials and industrials, and that speaks to an economic environment that’s in the early stages of a cycle.”\n“(Investors) started the switch back to growth (stocks) after people started to buy in to (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell’s comments that focus on transitory inflation,” Pavlik added.\n“Some of the reopening trades have gotten a bit long in the tooth and that’s leading people back to growth.”\n(Graphic: Growths stocks outperform value in June, narrow YTD gap, )\n“The overall stock market continues to be on a tear, with very consistent gains for quite some time,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “Valuations, while certainly high by historical standards, have been at a fairly consistent level, benefiting from the economic recovery.”\nThe private sector added 692,000 jobs in June, breezing past expectations, according to payroll processor ADP. The number is 92,000 higher than the private payroll adds economists predict from the Labor Department’s more comprehensive employment report due on Friday.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.22 points, or 0.61%, to 34,502.51, the S&P 500 gained 5.7 points, or 0.13%, to 4,297.5 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 24.38 points, or 0.17%, to 14,503.95.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P, six ended the session higher, with energy enjoying the biggest percentage gain. Real estate was the day’s biggest loser.\nBoeing Co gained 1.6% after Germany’s defense ministry announced it would buy five of the planemaker’s P-8A maritime control aircraft, coming on the heels of United Airlines unveiling its largest-ever order for new planes.\nWalmart jumped 2.7% after announcing on Tuesday that it would start selling a prescription-only insulin analog.\nMicron Technology advanced 2.5% ahead of its quarterly earnings release, but was relatively unchanged in after-hours trading following the chipmaker’s quarterly results.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.19-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 36 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.85 billion shares, compared with the 11.05 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869599925,"gmtCreate":1632300000067,"gmtModify":1632801405874,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569299384564621","idStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>","listText":"Wow<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>","text":"Wow$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869599925","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2157,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147392987,"gmtCreate":1626332933349,"gmtModify":1633927775238,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569299384564621","idStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147392987","repostId":"1188379078","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158277023,"gmtCreate":1625153287062,"gmtModify":1633944173907,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569299384564621","idStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158277023","repostId":"1199212665","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199212665","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625146084,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199212665?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 21:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Expensive Tech Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Crash<blockquote>下一次市场崩盘时值得买入的3只昂贵科技股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199212665","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Get ready to buy Snowflake and two other hot tech stocks if this frothy market collapses.","content":"<p>Many high-growth tech stocks have seen price pullbacks over the past few months, due to concerns about higher bond yields, inflation, and decelerating growth for companies that benefited from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心债券收益率上升、通货膨胀以及受益于疫情的公司增长放缓，许多高增长科技股在过去几个月出现了价格回调。</blockquote></p><p> That sell-off created some buying opportunities -- but some of the sector's pricier names merely pulled back slightly, held onto their gains, or even rallied. That relative strength is admirable, but it's a bit frustrating for investors who don't want to pay the wrong price for the right company.</p><p><blockquote>这次抛售创造了一些买入机会，但该行业一些价格较高的股票只是小幅回调，保持涨幅，甚至上涨。这种相对实力令人钦佩，但对于那些不想为合适的公司支付错误价格的投资者来说，这有点令人沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> That's why I'm making a shopping list of expensive tech stocks which I'd eagerly buy during the next market crash. Let's take a look at three of those companies:<b>Snowflake</b>(NYSE:SNOW),<b>Twilio</b>(NYSE:TWLO), and&nbsp;<b>CrowdStrike</b>(NASDAQ:CRWD).</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我列出了一份昂贵科技股的购物清单，这些股票是我在下一次市场崩盘时急切购买的。让我们来看看其中三家公司：<b>雪花</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SNOW），<b>Twilio</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：TWLO），以及<b>CrowdStrike</b>（纳斯达克：CRWD）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fde232ce39d9cd52a01fd6ec018cae53\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Snowflake</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.雪花</b></blockquote></p><p> Snowflake was one of the hottest tech IPOs of 2020, thanks to its jaw-dropping growth rates and big investments from&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>salesforce.com</b>.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake是2020年最热门的科技IPO之一，这要归功于其令人瞠目结舌的增长率和来自<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>和<b>salesforce.com</b>.</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake'scloud-baseddata warehouse pulls all of a company's data onto a single platform, where it can then be fed into third-party data visualization apps. Its service breaks down the silos between different departments and computing platforms, which makes it easier for large companies to make data-driven decisions.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake基于云的数据仓库将公司的所有数据拉到一个平台上，然后可以将其输入第三方数据可视化应用程序。它的服务打破了不同部门和计算平台之间的孤岛，使大公司更容易做出数据驱动的决策。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's number of customers jumped 73% to 4,139 in fiscal 2021 (which ended this January), including 186 of the Fortune 500 companies. Its revenue surged 124% to $592 million, as its net retention rate -- which gauges its year-over-year revenue growth per existing customer -- hit 165%.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的客户数量在2021财年（截至今年1月）跃升73%至4,139家，其中包括186家财富500强公司。其收入飙升124%，达到5.92亿美元，净保留率（衡量每个现有客户的收入同比增长）达到165%。</blockquote></p><p> That growth continued in the first quarter of 2022. Its revenue rose 110% year over year to $228.9 million, its number of customers increased 67% to 4,532, and it achieved a net retention rate of 168%.</p><p><blockquote>这种增长在2022年第一季度仍在继续。其收入同比增长110%至2.289亿美元，客户数量增长67%至4,532人，净保留率达到168%。</blockquote></p><p> But Snowflake isn't profitable yet. ItsGAAPnet loss widened from $348.5 million in fiscal 2020 to $539.1 million in fiscal 2021, and<i>more than doubled</i>from $93.6 million to $203.2 million in the first quarter of 2022. It's also unprofitable on a non-GAAP basis, which excludes its stock-based compensation expenses.</p><p><blockquote>但Snowflake尚未盈利。其GAAP净亏损从2020财年的3.485亿美元扩大至2021财年的5.391亿美元，并且<i>翻了一倍多</i>2022年第一季度从9360万美元增至2.032亿美元。在非公认会计准则的基础上，它也是无利可图的，这不包括其股票薪酬费用。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect Snowflake's revenue to rise 88% this year, with a narrower loss. However, its stock still trades at 65 times this year's sales -- which indicates there's still far too much growth baked into the stock. But if Snowflake gets cut in half in a crash, I'd considerstarting a big position.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计Snowflake今年的收入将增长88%，亏损将收窄。然而，其股价仍是今年销售额的65倍，这表明该股仍有太多增长。但如果雪花在崩盘中被切成两半，我会考虑建立一个大头寸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Twilio</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.Twilio</b></blockquote></p><p> Twilio's cloud platform processes text messages, calls, and videos within apps. For example, it helps&nbsp;<b>Lyft</b>'s passengers contact their drivers, and&nbsp;<b>Airbnb</b>'s guests reach their hosts.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio的云平台在应用程序中处理短信、评级和视频。例如，它有助于<b>Lyft</b>的乘客联系他们的司机，并且<b>爱彼迎</b>的客人到达他们的主人。</blockquote></p><p> In the past, developers built those tools from scratch, which was generally time-consuming, buggy, and difficult to scale. However, developers can now outsource those features to Twilio's cloud service by simply adding a few lines of code to their apps.</p><p><blockquote>过去，开发人员从头开始构建这些工具，这通常很耗时、有缺陷且难以扩展。然而，开发人员现在只需在他们的应用程序中添加几行代码，就可以将这些功能外包给Twilio的云服务。</blockquote></p><p> Twilio's revenue rose 55% to $1.76 billion in 2020. Its net expansion rate, which is comparable to Snowflake's net retention rate, reached 137%. In the first quarter of 2021, its revenue jumped 62% year over year to $590 million as it integrated its recent purchase of the customer data firm Segment.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，Twilio的收入增长了55%，达到17.6亿美元。其净扩张率与Snowflake的净留存率相当，达到了137%。2021年第一季度，由于整合了最近收购的客户数据公司部门，其收入同比增长62%至5.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Twilio remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, but its non-GAAP net income rose 62% to $35.9 million in 2020. In the first quarter of 2021, its non-GAAP net income rose another 15% to $9.6 million.</p><p><blockquote>按GAAP计算，Twilio仍未盈利，但其非GAAP净利润在2020年增长了62%，达到3590万美元。2021年第一季度，其非GAAP净利润再增长15%至960万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect its revenue to rise 44% this year, but for its non-GAAP earnings to dip into the red again amid higher investments and rising A2P (application-to-person) fees, which are now charged by carriers whenever an app accesses an SMS network.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计其今年收入将增长44%，但由于投资增加和A2P（应用到个人）费用上涨，其非GAAP收益将再次出现亏损，现在每当应用程序访问短信网络时，运营商都会收取这些费用。</blockquote></p><p> That near-term outlook doesn't look great for a stock that trades at nearly 30 times this year's sales. However, I still think Twilio has great growth potential, and I'd definitely buy its stock at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>对于一只交易价格是今年销售额近30倍的股票来说，近期前景看起来并不乐观。不过，我仍然认为Twilio具有巨大的增长潜力，我肯定会以较低的价格购买其股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. CrowdStrike</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.CrowdStrike</b></blockquote></p><p> CrowdStrike is a cybersecurity company that differs from its industry peers in one major way. Most cybersecurity companies install on-site appliances to support their services, which can be expensive to maintain and difficult to scale as an organization expands. CrowdStrike eliminates those appliances by offering its end-to-end security platform as a cloud-based service.</p><p><blockquote>CrowdStrike是一家网络安全公司，在一个主要方面不同于行业同行。大多数网络安全公司安装现场设备来支持其服务，这些设备的维护成本可能很高，并且随着组织的扩展难以扩展。CrowdStrike通过提供端到端安全平台作为基于云的服务来消除这些设备。</blockquote></p><p> CrowdStrike's growth clearly reflects its disruptive potential. Its revenue rose 82% to $874.4 million in fiscal 2021 (which ended this January), its number of subscription customers increased 82% to 9,896, and its net retention rate stayed above 120%.</p><p><blockquote>CrowdStrike的增长清楚地反映了其颠覆性的潜力。其2021财年（截至今年1月）收入增长82%至8.744亿美元，订阅客户数量增长82%至9,896人，净留存率保持在120%以上。</blockquote></p><p> In the first quarter of fiscal 2022, its revenue rose 70% year over year to $302.8 million, its subscriber base expanded 82% year over year to 11,420, and it kept its retention rate above 120%.</p><p><blockquote>2022财年第一季度，其收入同比增长70%至3.028亿美元，用户群同比增长82%至11,420人，留存率保持在120%以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> CrowdStrike also turned profitable on a non-GAAP basis in 2021, with a net profit of $62.6 million. Its non-GAAP net income rose more than fivefold year over year to $23.3 million in the first quarter of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>CrowdStrike也在2021年实现了非GAAP盈利，净利润为6260万美元。2022年第一季度，其非GAAP净利润同比增长五倍多，达到2330万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Those&nbsp;numbers are impressive, but CrowdStrike still trades at about 350 times forward earnings and more than 40 times this year's sales. Therefore, this is another stock I won't buy unless the market crashes.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字令人印象深刻，但CrowdStrike的市盈率仍约为350倍，是今年销售额的40多倍。因此，这是另一只我不会买的股票，除非市场崩盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Expensive Tech Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Crash<blockquote>下一次市场崩盘时值得买入的3只昂贵科技股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Expensive Tech Stocks to Buy in the Next Market Crash<blockquote>下一次市场崩盘时值得买入的3只昂贵科技股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 21:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Many high-growth tech stocks have seen price pullbacks over the past few months, due to concerns about higher bond yields, inflation, and decelerating growth for companies that benefited from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心债券收益率上升、通货膨胀以及受益于疫情的公司增长放缓，许多高增长科技股在过去几个月出现了价格回调。</blockquote></p><p> That sell-off created some buying opportunities -- but some of the sector's pricier names merely pulled back slightly, held onto their gains, or even rallied. That relative strength is admirable, but it's a bit frustrating for investors who don't want to pay the wrong price for the right company.</p><p><blockquote>这次抛售创造了一些买入机会，但该行业一些价格较高的股票只是小幅回调，保持涨幅，甚至上涨。这种相对实力令人钦佩，但对于那些不想为合适的公司支付错误价格的投资者来说，这有点令人沮丧。</blockquote></p><p> That's why I'm making a shopping list of expensive tech stocks which I'd eagerly buy during the next market crash. Let's take a look at three of those companies:<b>Snowflake</b>(NYSE:SNOW),<b>Twilio</b>(NYSE:TWLO), and&nbsp;<b>CrowdStrike</b>(NASDAQ:CRWD).</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我列出了一份昂贵科技股的购物清单，这些股票是我在下一次市场崩盘时急切购买的。让我们来看看其中三家公司：<b>雪花</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SNOW），<b>Twilio</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：TWLO），以及<b>CrowdStrike</b>（纳斯达克：CRWD）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fde232ce39d9cd52a01fd6ec018cae53\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Snowflake</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.雪花</b></blockquote></p><p> Snowflake was one of the hottest tech IPOs of 2020, thanks to its jaw-dropping growth rates and big investments from&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>salesforce.com</b>.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake是2020年最热门的科技IPO之一，这要归功于其令人瞠目结舌的增长率和来自<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>和<b>salesforce.com</b>.</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake'scloud-baseddata warehouse pulls all of a company's data onto a single platform, where it can then be fed into third-party data visualization apps. Its service breaks down the silos between different departments and computing platforms, which makes it easier for large companies to make data-driven decisions.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake基于云的数据仓库将公司的所有数据拉到一个平台上，然后可以将其输入第三方数据可视化应用程序。它的服务打破了不同部门和计算平台之间的孤岛，使大公司更容易做出数据驱动的决策。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake's number of customers jumped 73% to 4,139 in fiscal 2021 (which ended this January), including 186 of the Fortune 500 companies. Its revenue surged 124% to $592 million, as its net retention rate -- which gauges its year-over-year revenue growth per existing customer -- hit 165%.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake的客户数量在2021财年（截至今年1月）跃升73%至4,139家，其中包括186家财富500强公司。其收入飙升124%，达到5.92亿美元，净保留率（衡量每个现有客户的收入同比增长）达到165%。</blockquote></p><p> That growth continued in the first quarter of 2022. Its revenue rose 110% year over year to $228.9 million, its number of customers increased 67% to 4,532, and it achieved a net retention rate of 168%.</p><p><blockquote>这种增长在2022年第一季度仍在继续。其收入同比增长110%至2.289亿美元，客户数量增长67%至4,532人，净保留率达到168%。</blockquote></p><p> But Snowflake isn't profitable yet. ItsGAAPnet loss widened from $348.5 million in fiscal 2020 to $539.1 million in fiscal 2021, and<i>more than doubled</i>from $93.6 million to $203.2 million in the first quarter of 2022. It's also unprofitable on a non-GAAP basis, which excludes its stock-based compensation expenses.</p><p><blockquote>但Snowflake尚未盈利。其GAAP净亏损从2020财年的3.485亿美元扩大至2021财年的5.391亿美元，并且<i>翻了一倍多</i>2022年第一季度从9360万美元增至2.032亿美元。在非公认会计准则的基础上，它也是无利可图的，这不包括其股票薪酬费用。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect Snowflake's revenue to rise 88% this year, with a narrower loss. However, its stock still trades at 65 times this year's sales -- which indicates there's still far too much growth baked into the stock. But if Snowflake gets cut in half in a crash, I'd considerstarting a big position.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计Snowflake今年的收入将增长88%，亏损将收窄。然而，其股价仍是今年销售额的65倍，这表明该股仍有太多增长。但如果雪花在崩盘中被切成两半，我会考虑建立一个大头寸。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Twilio</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.Twilio</b></blockquote></p><p> Twilio's cloud platform processes text messages, calls, and videos within apps. For example, it helps&nbsp;<b>Lyft</b>'s passengers contact their drivers, and&nbsp;<b>Airbnb</b>'s guests reach their hosts.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio的云平台在应用程序中处理短信、评级和视频。例如，它有助于<b>Lyft</b>的乘客联系他们的司机，并且<b>爱彼迎</b>的客人到达他们的主人。</blockquote></p><p> In the past, developers built those tools from scratch, which was generally time-consuming, buggy, and difficult to scale. However, developers can now outsource those features to Twilio's cloud service by simply adding a few lines of code to their apps.</p><p><blockquote>过去，开发人员从头开始构建这些工具，这通常很耗时、有缺陷且难以扩展。然而，开发人员现在只需在他们的应用程序中添加几行代码，就可以将这些功能外包给Twilio的云服务。</blockquote></p><p> Twilio's revenue rose 55% to $1.76 billion in 2020. Its net expansion rate, which is comparable to Snowflake's net retention rate, reached 137%. In the first quarter of 2021, its revenue jumped 62% year over year to $590 million as it integrated its recent purchase of the customer data firm Segment.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，Twilio的收入增长了55%，达到17.6亿美元。其净扩张率与Snowflake的净留存率相当，达到了137%。2021年第一季度，由于整合了最近收购的客户数据公司部门，其收入同比增长62%至5.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Twilio remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, but its non-GAAP net income rose 62% to $35.9 million in 2020. In the first quarter of 2021, its non-GAAP net income rose another 15% to $9.6 million.</p><p><blockquote>按GAAP计算，Twilio仍未盈利，但其非GAAP净利润在2020年增长了62%，达到3590万美元。2021年第一季度，其非GAAP净利润再增长15%至960万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect its revenue to rise 44% this year, but for its non-GAAP earnings to dip into the red again amid higher investments and rising A2P (application-to-person) fees, which are now charged by carriers whenever an app accesses an SMS network.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计其今年收入将增长44%，但由于投资增加和A2P（应用到个人）费用上涨，其非GAAP收益将再次出现亏损，现在每当应用程序访问短信网络时，运营商都会收取这些费用。</blockquote></p><p> That near-term outlook doesn't look great for a stock that trades at nearly 30 times this year's sales. However, I still think Twilio has great growth potential, and I'd definitely buy its stock at a lower price.</p><p><blockquote>对于一只交易价格是今年销售额近30倍的股票来说，近期前景看起来并不乐观。不过，我仍然认为Twilio具有巨大的增长潜力，我肯定会以较低的价格购买其股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. CrowdStrike</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.CrowdStrike</b></blockquote></p><p> CrowdStrike is a cybersecurity company that differs from its industry peers in one major way. Most cybersecurity companies install on-site appliances to support their services, which can be expensive to maintain and difficult to scale as an organization expands. CrowdStrike eliminates those appliances by offering its end-to-end security platform as a cloud-based service.</p><p><blockquote>CrowdStrike是一家网络安全公司，在一个主要方面不同于行业同行。大多数网络安全公司安装现场设备来支持其服务，这些设备的维护成本可能很高，并且随着组织的扩展难以扩展。CrowdStrike通过提供端到端安全平台作为基于云的服务来消除这些设备。</blockquote></p><p> CrowdStrike's growth clearly reflects its disruptive potential. Its revenue rose 82% to $874.4 million in fiscal 2021 (which ended this January), its number of subscription customers increased 82% to 9,896, and its net retention rate stayed above 120%.</p><p><blockquote>CrowdStrike的增长清楚地反映了其颠覆性的潜力。其2021财年（截至今年1月）收入增长82%至8.744亿美元，订阅客户数量增长82%至9,896人，净留存率保持在120%以上。</blockquote></p><p> In the first quarter of fiscal 2022, its revenue rose 70% year over year to $302.8 million, its subscriber base expanded 82% year over year to 11,420, and it kept its retention rate above 120%.</p><p><blockquote>2022财年第一季度，其收入同比增长70%至3.028亿美元，用户群同比增长82%至11,420人，留存率保持在120%以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> CrowdStrike also turned profitable on a non-GAAP basis in 2021, with a net profit of $62.6 million. Its non-GAAP net income rose more than fivefold year over year to $23.3 million in the first quarter of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>CrowdStrike也在2021年实现了非GAAP盈利，净利润为6260万美元。2022年第一季度，其非GAAP净利润同比增长五倍多，达到2330万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Those&nbsp;numbers are impressive, but CrowdStrike still trades at about 350 times forward earnings and more than 40 times this year's sales. Therefore, this is another stock I won't buy unless the market crashes.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字令人印象深刻，但CrowdStrike的市盈率仍约为350倍，是今年销售额的40多倍。因此，这是另一只我不会买的股票，除非市场崩盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/01/expensive-tech-stocks-to-buy-in-next-market-crash/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWLO":"Twilio Inc","SNOW":"Snowflake","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/01/expensive-tech-stocks-to-buy-in-next-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199212665","content_text":"Many high-growth tech stocks have seen price pullbacks over the past few months, due to concerns about higher bond yields, inflation, and decelerating growth for companies that benefited from the pandemic.\nThat sell-off created some buying opportunities -- but some of the sector's pricier names merely pulled back slightly, held onto their gains, or even rallied. That relative strength is admirable, but it's a bit frustrating for investors who don't want to pay the wrong price for the right company.\nThat's why I'm making a shopping list of expensive tech stocks which I'd eagerly buy during the next market crash. Let's take a look at three of those companies:Snowflake(NYSE:SNOW),Twilio(NYSE:TWLO), and CrowdStrike(NASDAQ:CRWD).\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\n1. Snowflake\nSnowflake was one of the hottest tech IPOs of 2020, thanks to its jaw-dropping growth rates and big investments from Berkshire Hathaway and salesforce.com.\nSnowflake'scloud-baseddata warehouse pulls all of a company's data onto a single platform, where it can then be fed into third-party data visualization apps. Its service breaks down the silos between different departments and computing platforms, which makes it easier for large companies to make data-driven decisions.\nSnowflake's number of customers jumped 73% to 4,139 in fiscal 2021 (which ended this January), including 186 of the Fortune 500 companies. Its revenue surged 124% to $592 million, as its net retention rate -- which gauges its year-over-year revenue growth per existing customer -- hit 165%.\nThat growth continued in the first quarter of 2022. Its revenue rose 110% year over year to $228.9 million, its number of customers increased 67% to 4,532, and it achieved a net retention rate of 168%.\nBut Snowflake isn't profitable yet. ItsGAAPnet loss widened from $348.5 million in fiscal 2020 to $539.1 million in fiscal 2021, andmore than doubledfrom $93.6 million to $203.2 million in the first quarter of 2022. It's also unprofitable on a non-GAAP basis, which excludes its stock-based compensation expenses.\nAnalysts expect Snowflake's revenue to rise 88% this year, with a narrower loss. However, its stock still trades at 65 times this year's sales -- which indicates there's still far too much growth baked into the stock. But if Snowflake gets cut in half in a crash, I'd considerstarting a big position.\n2. Twilio\nTwilio's cloud platform processes text messages, calls, and videos within apps. For example, it helps Lyft's passengers contact their drivers, and Airbnb's guests reach their hosts.\nIn the past, developers built those tools from scratch, which was generally time-consuming, buggy, and difficult to scale. However, developers can now outsource those features to Twilio's cloud service by simply adding a few lines of code to their apps.\nTwilio's revenue rose 55% to $1.76 billion in 2020. Its net expansion rate, which is comparable to Snowflake's net retention rate, reached 137%. In the first quarter of 2021, its revenue jumped 62% year over year to $590 million as it integrated its recent purchase of the customer data firm Segment.\nTwilio remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, but its non-GAAP net income rose 62% to $35.9 million in 2020. In the first quarter of 2021, its non-GAAP net income rose another 15% to $9.6 million.\nAnalysts expect its revenue to rise 44% this year, but for its non-GAAP earnings to dip into the red again amid higher investments and rising A2P (application-to-person) fees, which are now charged by carriers whenever an app accesses an SMS network.\nThat near-term outlook doesn't look great for a stock that trades at nearly 30 times this year's sales. However, I still think Twilio has great growth potential, and I'd definitely buy its stock at a lower price.\n3. CrowdStrike\nCrowdStrike is a cybersecurity company that differs from its industry peers in one major way. Most cybersecurity companies install on-site appliances to support their services, which can be expensive to maintain and difficult to scale as an organization expands. CrowdStrike eliminates those appliances by offering its end-to-end security platform as a cloud-based service.\nCrowdStrike's growth clearly reflects its disruptive potential. Its revenue rose 82% to $874.4 million in fiscal 2021 (which ended this January), its number of subscription customers increased 82% to 9,896, and its net retention rate stayed above 120%.\nIn the first quarter of fiscal 2022, its revenue rose 70% year over year to $302.8 million, its subscriber base expanded 82% year over year to 11,420, and it kept its retention rate above 120%.\nCrowdStrike also turned profitable on a non-GAAP basis in 2021, with a net profit of $62.6 million. Its non-GAAP net income rose more than fivefold year over year to $23.3 million in the first quarter of 2022.\nThose numbers are impressive, but CrowdStrike still trades at about 350 times forward earnings and more than 40 times this year's sales. Therefore, this is another stock I won't buy unless the market crashes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNOW":0.9,"CRWD":0.9,"TWLO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158139633,"gmtCreate":1625134801522,"gmtModify":1633944424248,"author":{"id":"3569299384564621","authorId":"3569299384564621","name":"jamiengan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/889f4395dbbcc2004e91811498c78b43","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569299384564621","idStr":"3569299384564621"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes........","listText":"Yes........","text":"Yes........","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158139633","repostId":"1106223449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106223449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625122086,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106223449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106223449","media":"Barrons","summary":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 5","content":"<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106223449","content_text":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.\nWith June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.\nThe market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.\nThe combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.\nFor those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.\nSince 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.\nEven the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.\nThe one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.\nStill, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.\nThat 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.\nFor now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}