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2021-07-21

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Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场剧烈逆转背后：创纪录的高偏差</blockquote>

2021-07-21

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2021-07-19

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Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>

2021-07-18

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2021-07-18

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2021-07-18

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2021-07-17

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2021-07-17

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2021-07-16

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2021-07-14

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Why US Economic Conditions Are 'Just Right' For The Stock Market Rally To Continue<blockquote>为什么美国经济状况“刚刚好”股市继续上涨</blockquote>

2021-07-14

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2021-07-13

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2021-07-12

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2021-07-11

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PepsiCo Reports Earnings Next Week. Buy the Stock Now, Analyst Says.<blockquote>百事公司下周公布财报。分析师表示，现在就购买股票。</blockquote>

2021-07-10

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2021-07-10

Wow !

US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：房地产、大流行后的戏剧等 IPO 周第 9 周</blockquote>

2021-07-08

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2021-07-08

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2021-07-08

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2021-07-07

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here :)","listText":"Comment here :)","text":"Comment here :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176697442","repostId":"1144363960","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144363960","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626877711,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1144363960?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场剧烈逆转背后：创纪录的高偏差</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144363960","media":"zerohedge","summary":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was t","content":"<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p><p><blockquote>6 月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当 VIX 指数触及 2021 年新低时，我们警告说，倾斜指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权相对于实值期权来说异常昂贵，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的 VIX 指数。正如我们进一步补充的，将看跌期权价格与实值期权价格进行比较的高偏差已达到历史新高，<b>并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明一方面交易者似乎很自满，但他们从未像现在这样紧张，因为即使是市场的轻微波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，<b>\"</b><b><u>面对全面的市场崩盘，它们也从未像现在这样受到保护</u></b><b>.\"</b></blockquote></p><p> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p><p><blockquote>如此迅速地进入了上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管是短暂的）气穴（几乎不是全面崩盘），股市在几个月来跌幅最大……只是在那之后突然飙升。回想起来，交易员之所以有创纪录的高偏差，是因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并在今天继续，但交易员已经完全对冲并准备突袭。</blockquote></p><p> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛衍生品策略师洛基-菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）在一个月前首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含和实际波动性，VIX 指数在周一（7 月 19 日）白天短暂触及 25...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p><p><blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高： 三周 SPX 已实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今的已实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使 VIX 指数回到了 20 点以下。更重要的是，<b>为了回应创纪录的下行倾斜正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，倾斜现在已经走得更高——至少对于标普500来说是这样。</b></blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p><p><blockquote>Fishman 的更多观察结果： “虽然周二 SPX 的大幅波动和隐含交易量的下降降低了交易量风险溢价，但相对于最近实现的交易量，VIX 指数仍然很高”。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自 11 月以来，SPX 的一个月实现交易量从未达到当前 VIX 水平 (19.7)，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，<b>这也意味着交易员正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，鉴于最近快速抛售之后很快就会出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续增长的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续偏高。</blockquote></p><p>   SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers  <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,  <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.  Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p><p><blockquote>SPX 指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由于缺乏下行卖家造成的<b>和对冲需求一样多。</b>VIX 对周一的抛售反应强烈，VIX 盘中一度上涨超过 6 点、<b>证明了高度倾斜是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上是如此…….</b>在更持久的抛售中，很难维持 skew 所表明的隐含波动水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，就有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌<i><b>也</b></i>快速），这使得 SPX 潜在回报可能出现近期不对称，这与期权市场所暗示的相反。</blockquote></p><p> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p><p><blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售 9 月 17 日 3800 行使价看跌期权 (12.1% OTM)，以零净溢价为 2x 4550 行使价 (5.2% OTM) 评级提供资金。如果SPX在到期时收盘低于下行震荡，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Behind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场剧烈逆转背后：创纪录的高偏差</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBehind The Market's Furious Reversal: Record High Skew<blockquote>市场剧烈逆转背后：创纪录的高偏差</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-21 22:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the end of June, when the S&amp;P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high,&nbsp;<b>and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.</b></p><p><blockquote>6 月底，当标准普尔指数日复一日地创下历史新高，当 VIX 指数触及 2021 年新低时，我们警告说，倾斜指数刚刚创下历史新高——这意味着看跌期权相对于实值期权来说异常昂贵，有助于支撑以看跌期权为主的 VIX 指数。正如我们进一步补充的，将看跌期权价格与实值期权价格进行比较的高偏差已达到历史新高，<b>并反映了投资者的看法，即如果市场抛售，高波动性将会回归。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b30d4664cf3c973cc1a86d743bcae379\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"464\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Commenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,<b>\"</b><b><u>they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash</u></b><b>.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>在评论这一不寻常的举动时，我们说，这表明一方面交易者似乎很自满，但他们从未像现在这样紧张，因为即使是市场的轻微波动也可能引发崩盘。推而广之，<b>\"</b><b><u>面对全面的市场崩盘，它们也从未像现在这样受到保护</u></b><b>.\"</b></blockquote></p><p> So fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.</p><p><blockquote>如此迅速地进入了上周晚些时候和周一市场经历的剧烈（尽管是短暂的）气穴（几乎不是全面崩盘），股市在几个月来跌幅最大……只是在那之后突然飙升。回想起来，交易员之所以有创纪录的高偏差，是因为尽管风险在周二急剧逆转并在今天继续，但交易员已经完全对冲并准备突袭。</blockquote></p><p> So following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...</p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛衍生品策略师洛基-菲什曼（Rocky Fishman）在一个月前首次注意到创纪录的高位偏差时写道，本周的波动性推高了股票隐含和实际波动性，VIX 指数在周一（7 月 19 日）白天短暂触及 25...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c28ca21fe15a17f5b7fa1e3236e5ad\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"375\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,<b>in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&amp;P 500.</b></p><p><blockquote>...即使从绝对值来看，成交量并不高： 三周 SPX 已实现成交量（12.1%）仍低于年初至今的已实现成交量（13.4%），周二的反弹使 VIX 指数回到了 20 点以下。更重要的是，<b>为了回应创纪录的下行倾斜正确地暗示抛售将带来更高的波动性，倾斜现在已经走得更高——至少对于标普500来说是这样。</b></blockquote></p><p> Some more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"</p><p><blockquote>Fishman 的更多观察结果： “虽然周二 SPX 的大幅波动和隐含交易量的下降降低了交易量风险溢价，但相对于最近实现的交易量，VIX 指数仍然很高”。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,<b>which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in</b>.</p><p><blockquote>此外，自 11 月以来，SPX 的一个月实现交易量从未达到当前 VIX 水平 (19.7)，这表明期权仍然持续昂贵，<b>这也意味着交易员正在对冲大幅上涨和下跌，随着对冲兑现，任何抛售都可能转瞬即逝</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e0c79da541efcfb85fe1e04e29088\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> That said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，鉴于最近快速抛售之后很快就会出现低波动性的先例，高盛预计波动性将在短期内消退，第四季度持续增长的可能性更大，而造成这种情况的一个重要原因是指数持续偏高。</blockquote></p><p>   SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers  <b>as much as demand for hedging.</b>The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,  <b>proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....</b>on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.  Meanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plunge<i><b>too</b></i>fast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.</p><p><blockquote>SPX 指数偏差继续处于接近创纪录水平，我们认为这是由于缺乏下行卖家造成的<b>和对冲需求一样多。</b>VIX 对周一的抛售反应强烈，VIX 盘中一度上涨超过 6 点、<b>证明了高度倾斜是合理的——至少在非常局部的层面上是如此…….</b>在更持久的抛售中，很难维持 skew 所表明的隐含波动水平。与此同时，从跨资产的角度来看，菲什曼补充说，如果利率保持在如此低的水平，就有可能成为股市进一步上涨的催化剂（除非利率暴跌<i><b>也</b></i>快速），这使得 SPX 潜在回报可能出现近期不对称，这与期权市场所暗示的相反。</blockquote></p><p> So how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.</p><p><blockquote>那么，如何交易持续粘性的创纪录高偏差呢？高盛仍然喜欢杠杆风险逆转作为利用这种动态的一种方式：出售 9 月 17 日 3800 行使价看跌期权 (12.1% OTM)，以零净溢价为 2x 4550 行使价 (5.2% OTM) 评级提供资金。如果SPX在到期时收盘低于下行震荡，该交易将遭受美元对美元的损失。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/behind-markets-furious-reversal-record-high-skew?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144363960","content_text":"At the end of June, when the S&P was making new all time highs day after day, and when the VIX was touching fresh 2021 lows, we cautioned that the skew index just hit a new all time high - meaning that put options have been unusually expensive relative to at-the-money options, helping support the put-heavy VIX index. As we further added, high skew, which compares put option prices with at-the-money option prices, has reached new all-time high, and reflected investor perception that high volatility would return should markets sell off.\nCommenting on this unusual move, we said that it shows that while on one hand traders seem complacent, they have never been more nervous that even a modest wobble in the market could start a crash. By extension,\"they have also never been more protected against a full-blown market crash.\"\nSo fast forward to the violent, if brief, air pocket (and hardly a full-blown crash) the market experienced late last week and on Monday, which saw stocks tumble the most in months... only to soar right after. In retrospect, traders have the record high skew to thank for that because while risk reversed sharply on Tuesday and continuing today, traders were fully hedged and ready to pounce.\nSo following up on his observations from a month ago, when he first noted the record high skew, Goldman's derivatives strategist Rocky Fishman wrote that this week’s volatility pushed equity implied and realized volatility higher, with the VIX briefly hitting 25 during the day on Monday (19-Jul)...\n... even if in absolute terms vol is not high: three-week SPX realized vol (12.1%) is still below year-to-date realized vol (13.4%),and Tuesday’s rally brought the VIX back under 20. More importantly,in response to record downside skew correctly implying that a sell-off would bring much higher volatility, skew has now moved even higher - at least for the S&P 500.\nSome more observations from Fishman: \"although Tuesday’s large SPX move and drop in implied vol has reduced vol risk premium, the VIX remains high relative to recent realized vol.\"\nFurthermore, the SPX has not had one-month realized vol as high as the current VIX level (19.7) since November - indicating that options continue to be persistently expensive,which also means that traders are hedging to outsized moves both higher and lower and any selloffs are likely to be fleeting as hedges are cashed in.\n\nThat said, given the recent precedent for quick sell-offs to be followed quickly by low volatility, Goldman expects volatility to subside in the near term with more likelihood of a sustained increase in Q4, and a big reason for this is the persistently high index skew.\n\n SPX index skew continues to be at near-record levels, which we see as driven by a lack of downside sellers\n as much as demand for hedging.The strong reaction of the VIX to Monday’s sell-off, with the VIX up over six points at one point intraday,\n proved that high skew was justified - at least on a very local level....on a more persistent sell-off, it would be difficult to sustain the level of implied volatility that skew would indicate.\n\nMeanwhile, from a cross-asset standpoint, Fishman adds that if interest rates staying this low has the potential to be a catalyst for further equity upside (unless they plungetoofast), leaving the potential for near-term asymmetry in SPX potential returns that is the opposite of what option markets are implying.\nSo how does one trade the persistently sticky record high skew? Goldman continues to like levered risk reversals as a way to take advantage of this dynamic: Sell a 17-Sep 3800-strike put (12.1% OTM) to fund 2x 4550-strike (5.2% OTM) calls for zero net premium. The trade would be subject to dollar-for-dollar losses shouldthe SPX close below the downside strike at expiration.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176694516,"gmtCreate":1626878784535,"gmtModify":1633770147034,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment :)&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176694516","repostId":"1107219983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171335482,"gmtCreate":1626705807046,"gmtModify":1633924763255,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ooo","listText":"Ooo","text":"Ooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171335482","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为本轮经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到了市场的激烈争论。每一个都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情创造了有记录以来产出最急剧下降的一次。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种剧烈的下跌和上涨从来不允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场上的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得平滑和打磨。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机告终。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言表的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么要使用 “周期 ”这个词。经济和市场倾向于遵循周期性模式，这种模式往往会出现在市场表现中。我们关心的是这些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的经济衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等后期周期条件？确实如此。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否与市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏相匹配？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是通常的早期周期赢家吗，比如小盘股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者像这些事情实际上一样正常。如果到目前为止已经出现了很多“正常”的循环行为，它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏进展，这些模式应该会改变。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊 (Michael Wilson) 指出的那样，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅 16 个月。我们看到当前情况与 2004 年上半年有许多相似之处，上半年是继大规模通货膨胀反弹之后的中期周期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（参见2021年7月11日的增长恐慌周年纪念日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为总能找到适合自己特定周期观点的指标，所以我们一直都喜欢复合指标。这就是我们的 “周期模型”，它结合了宏观经济、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十项美国指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在 2019 年 6 月进入周期后期 “低迷 ”和 2020 年 4 月进入周期早期 “修复 ”之后，该指数一路飙升。<b>它的崛起如此之快，以至于刚刚度过了下一阶段（'复苏'），直接进入了'扩张'。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>不寻常的论文。“扩展 ”意味着捕捉 “比正常情况更好，并且正在改善 ”的条件、<b>自1980年以来，“经济衰退”结束后平均需要35个月才能到达那里</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这就是我们的论点，也体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，相对于其他风险资产，信贷越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次经济衰退提前，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多供应</b>.在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY信贷N1200万超额回报率分别比平均水平差29bp和161bp。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现更加喜忧参半</b>投资者应尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信贷策略师喜欢持有 CDX HY 0-15%，并用 CDX IG 付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合的更大平衡</b>我们喜欢美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为它有几个有利的因素：质量、低估值、高套利和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往表现优于“周期中期”，我们认为它们可以再次做到这一点。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉的收益率比平均水平低97个基点</b>. Guneet Dhingra 和我们的美国利率策略团队已将跑输大盘美国 10 年期国债移至我们的全球资产配置中，我们反过来又将跑输大盘国债移回。</li></ul>这个周期是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：这个周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为本轮经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到了市场的激烈争论。每一个都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情创造了有记录以来产出最急剧下降的一次。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种剧烈的下跌和上涨从来不允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场上的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得平滑和打磨。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机告终。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言表的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么要使用 “周期 ”这个词。经济和市场倾向于遵循周期性模式，这种模式往往会出现在市场表现中。我们关心的是这些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的经济衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等后期周期条件？确实如此。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否与市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏相匹配？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是通常的早期周期赢家吗，比如小盘股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者像这些事情实际上一样正常。如果到目前为止已经出现了很多“正常”的循环行为，它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏进展，这些模式应该会改变。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊 (Michael Wilson) 指出的那样，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅 16 个月。我们看到当前情况与 2004 年上半年有许多相似之处，上半年是继大规模通货膨胀反弹之后的中期周期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（参见2021年7月11日的增长恐慌周年纪念日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为总能找到适合自己特定周期观点的指标，所以我们一直都喜欢复合指标。这就是我们的 “周期模型”，它结合了宏观经济、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十项美国指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在 2019 年 6 月进入周期后期 “低迷 ”和 2020 年 4 月进入周期早期 “修复 ”之后，该指数一路飙升。<b>它的崛起如此之快，以至于刚刚度过了下一阶段（'复苏'），直接进入了'扩张'。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>不寻常的论文。“扩展 ”意味着捕捉 “比正常情况更好，并且正在改善 ”的条件、<b>自1980年以来，“经济衰退”结束后平均需要35个月才能到达那里</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这就是我们的论点，也体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，相对于其他风险资产，信贷越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次经济衰退提前，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多供应</b>.在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY信贷N1200万超额回报率分别比平均水平差29bp和161bp。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现更加喜忧参半</b>投资者应尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信贷策略师喜欢持有 CDX HY 0-15%，并用 CDX IG 付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合的更大平衡</b>我们喜欢美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为它有几个有利的因素：质量、低估值、高套利和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往表现优于“周期中期”，我们认为它们可以再次做到这一点。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们的周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉的收益率比平均水平低97个基点</b>. Guneet Dhingra 和我们的美国利率策略团队已将跑输大盘美国 10 年期国债移至我们的全球资产配置中，我们反过来又将跑输大盘国债移回。</li></ul>这个周期是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173347989,"gmtCreate":1626622847641,"gmtModify":1633925437471,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like this comment :)&nbsp;","listText":"Like this comment :)&nbsp;","text":"Like this comment 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:)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145435466","repostId":"1112852623","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112852623","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626235498,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112852623?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-14 12:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why US Economic Conditions Are 'Just Right' For The Stock Market Rally To Continue<blockquote>为什么美国经济状况“刚刚好”股市继续上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112852623","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"In the second quarter, two of the biggest fears among investors were that wage growth and inflation ","content":"<p>In the second quarter, two of the biggest fears among investors were that wage growth and inflation would run too hot.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，投资者最大的两个担忧是工资增长和通胀过热。</blockquote></p><p> Heading into the third quarter, inflation remains well above historical norms, but there’s also a growing concern that GDP growth could disappoint and corporate earnings and guidance will start showing signs of peaking.</p><p><blockquote>进入第三季度，通胀率仍远高于历史正常水平，但人们也越来越担心国内生产总值增长可能令人失望，企业盈利和指引将开始出现见顶迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Economic Sweet Spot:</b>On Tuesday, the Labor Department reported the consumer price index increased 5.4% in the month of June, its largest gain in nearly 13 years. However, the Federal Reserve has said elevated inflation levels will be “transitory” as the economy reopens to full capacity following the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济甜蜜点：</b>周二，美国劳工部报告称，6月份消费者价格指数上涨5.4%，创近13年来最大涨幅。不过，美联储表示，随着大流行病过后经济重新满负荷运转，通胀水平的上升将是 “暂时的”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America analyst Jared Woodard believes the U.S. economy is in a sweet spot of bullish equity market momentum, rising employment, and a favorable credit market that will keep stocks rising in the second half of the year.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行分析师贾里德·伍达德 (Jared Woodard) 认为，美国经济正处于股市看涨势头、就业增长和有利的信贷市场的最佳状态，这将使股市在下半年继续上涨。</b></blockquote></p><p> “We see ‘just right’ conditions for equities &amp; credit given consumer strength, credit market dry powder, and easy policy,” Woodard wrote in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“伍达德在一份报告中写道：”鉴于消费者的强劲、信贷市场的干粉和宽松的政策，我们认为股票和信贷的条件'恰到好处'。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bullish Catalysts:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>看涨催化剂：</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. banks have massive balance sheets, which was recently confirmed by the annual stress tests. Woodard said that dry powder can help facilitate productivity growth once the new capex cycle begins in the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行拥有庞大的资产负债表，最近的年度压力测试证实了这一点。伍达德表示，一旦下半年新的资本支出周期开始，干粉可以帮助促进生产率增长。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, Woodard said the outlook for central bank and political policies is favorable heading into the second half of the year. The infrastructure spending bill is likely already priced into the market at this point, and it’s not too large to contribute to excess stimulus hyperinflation concerns. In addition, the Fed isn't expected to raise interest rates until 2023, so fears over rising rates will likely not hold back stock prices in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>最后，伍达德表示，进入下半年，央行和政治政策的前景是有利的。基础设施支出法案很可能已经在市场上定价，而且规模还不至于太大，不足以引发对过度刺激恶性通货膨胀的担忧。此外，美联储预计要到 2023 年才会加息，因此对加息的担忧在短期内可能不会抑制股价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>The<b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</b>(NYSE:SPY) has generated a 99.8% total return since the market hit its pandemic bottom on March 23, 2020. The stock market is clearly pricing in some extremely high recovery expectations, but given more than $6 trillion in stimulus measures, extremely easy year-over-year comps and no major obstacles on the horizon, the S&amp;P 500 appears well-positioned to continue its bullish momentum in the third quarter and beyond.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga 的观点：</b>这个<b>SPDR标普500 ETF信托</b>自 2020 年 3 月 23 日市场触及大流行底部以来，（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SPY）已产生 99.8% 的总回报率。股市显然对一些极高的复苏预期进行了定价，但考虑到超过 6 万亿美元的刺激措施、极其轻松的同比竞争以及地平线上没有重大障碍，标普500似乎处于有利地位，可以在第三季度及以后继续保持看涨势头。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why US Economic Conditions Are 'Just Right' For The Stock Market Rally To Continue<blockquote>为什么美国经济状况“刚刚好”股市继续上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy US Economic Conditions Are 'Just Right' For The Stock Market Rally To Continue<blockquote>为什么美国经济状况“刚刚好”股市继续上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-14 12:04</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In the second quarter, two of the biggest fears among investors were that wage growth and inflation would run too hot.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，投资者最大的两个担忧是工资增长和通胀过热。</blockquote></p><p> Heading into the third quarter, inflation remains well above historical norms, but there’s also a growing concern that GDP growth could disappoint and corporate earnings and guidance will start showing signs of peaking.</p><p><blockquote>进入第三季度，通胀率仍远高于历史正常水平，但人们也越来越担心国内生产总值增长可能令人失望，企业盈利和指引将开始出现见顶迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Economic Sweet Spot:</b>On Tuesday, the Labor Department reported the consumer price index increased 5.4% in the month of June, its largest gain in nearly 13 years. However, the Federal Reserve has said elevated inflation levels will be “transitory” as the economy reopens to full capacity following the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济甜蜜点：</b>周二，美国劳工部报告称，6月份消费者价格指数上涨5.4%，创近13年来最大涨幅。不过，美联储表示，随着大流行病过后经济重新满负荷运转，通胀水平的上升将是 “暂时的”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America analyst Jared Woodard believes the U.S. economy is in a sweet spot of bullish equity market momentum, rising employment, and a favorable credit market that will keep stocks rising in the second half of the year.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行分析师贾里德·伍达德 (Jared Woodard) 认为，美国经济正处于股市看涨势头、就业增长和有利的信贷市场的最佳状态，这将使股市在下半年继续上涨。</b></blockquote></p><p> “We see ‘just right’ conditions for equities &amp; credit given consumer strength, credit market dry powder, and easy policy,” Woodard wrote in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“伍达德在一份报告中写道：”鉴于消费者的强劲、信贷市场的干粉和宽松的政策，我们认为股票和信贷的条件'恰到好处'。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bullish Catalysts:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>看涨催化剂：</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. banks have massive balance sheets, which was recently confirmed by the annual stress tests. Woodard said that dry powder can help facilitate productivity growth once the new capex cycle begins in the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行拥有庞大的资产负债表，最近的年度压力测试证实了这一点。伍达德表示，一旦下半年新的资本支出周期开始，干粉可以帮助促进生产率增长。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, Woodard said the outlook for central bank and political policies is favorable heading into the second half of the year. The infrastructure spending bill is likely already priced into the market at this point, and it’s not too large to contribute to excess stimulus hyperinflation concerns. In addition, the Fed isn't expected to raise interest rates until 2023, so fears over rising rates will likely not hold back stock prices in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>最后，伍达德表示，进入下半年，央行和政治政策的前景是有利的。基础设施支出法案很可能已经在市场上定价，而且规模还不至于太大，不足以引发对过度刺激恶性通货膨胀的担忧。此外，美联储预计要到 2023 年才会加息，因此对加息的担忧在短期内可能不会抑制股价。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>The<b>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</b>(NYSE:SPY) has generated a 99.8% total return since the market hit its pandemic bottom on March 23, 2020. The stock market is clearly pricing in some extremely high recovery expectations, but given more than $6 trillion in stimulus measures, extremely easy year-over-year comps and no major obstacles on the horizon, the S&amp;P 500 appears well-positioned to continue its bullish momentum in the third quarter and beyond.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga 的观点：</b>这个<b>SPDR标普500 ETF信托</b>自 2020 年 3 月 23 日市场触及大流行底部以来，（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SPY）已产生 99.8% 的总回报率。股市显然对一些极高的复苏预期进行了定价，但考虑到超过 6 万亿美元的刺激措施、极其轻松的同比竞争以及地平线上没有重大障碍，标普500似乎处于有利地位，可以在第三季度及以后继续保持看涨势头。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112852623","content_text":"In the second quarter, two of the biggest fears among investors were that wage growth and inflation would run too hot.\nHeading into the third quarter, inflation remains well above historical norms, but there’s also a growing concern that GDP growth could disappoint and corporate earnings and guidance will start showing signs of peaking.\nEconomic Sweet Spot:On Tuesday, the Labor Department reported the consumer price index increased 5.4% in the month of June, its largest gain in nearly 13 years. However, the Federal Reserve has said elevated inflation levels will be “transitory” as the economy reopens to full capacity following the pandemic.\nBank of America analyst Jared Woodard believes the U.S. economy is in a sweet spot of bullish equity market momentum, rising employment, and a favorable credit market that will keep stocks rising in the second half of the year.\n“We see ‘just right’ conditions for equities & credit given consumer strength, credit market dry powder, and easy policy,” Woodard wrote in a note.\nBullish Catalysts:\nU.S. banks have massive balance sheets, which was recently confirmed by the annual stress tests. Woodard said that dry powder can help facilitate productivity growth once the new capex cycle begins in the second half of the year.\nFinally, Woodard said the outlook for central bank and political policies is favorable heading into the second half of the year. The infrastructure spending bill is likely already priced into the market at this point, and it’s not too large to contribute to excess stimulus hyperinflation concerns. In addition, the Fed isn't expected to raise interest rates until 2023, so fears over rising rates will likely not hold back stock prices in the near term.\nBenzinga’s Take:TheSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(NYSE:SPY) has generated a 99.8% total return since the market hit its pandemic bottom on March 23, 2020. The stock market is clearly pricing in some extremely high recovery expectations, but given more than $6 trillion in stimulus measures, extremely easy year-over-year comps and no major obstacles on the horizon, the S&P 500 appears well-positioned to continue its bullish momentum in the third quarter and beyond.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145435623,"gmtCreate":1626236165962,"gmtModify":1633928741237,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment pls :)&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment pls :)&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment pls :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145435623","repostId":"2151560584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142519831,"gmtCreate":1626160455423,"gmtModify":1633929523559,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment thank you :)&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment thank you :)&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment thank you :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142519831","repostId":"1101566017","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146916790,"gmtCreate":1626049088210,"gmtModify":1633930722584,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like this comment thanks!&nbsp;","listText":"Like this comment thanks!&nbsp;","text":"Like this comment thanks!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146916790","repostId":"1114863871","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":968,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148287411,"gmtCreate":1625979295933,"gmtModify":1633931139743,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148287411","repostId":"1106289851","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106289851","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625972710,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1106289851?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 11:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PepsiCo Reports Earnings Next Week. Buy the Stock Now, Analyst Says.<blockquote>百事公司下周公布财报。分析师表示，现在就购买股票。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106289851","media":"Barrons","summary":"A PepsiCo bull is getting out ahead of the beverage and snack giant’s second-quarter report Tuesday:","content":"<p>A PepsiCo bull is getting out ahead of the beverage and snack giant’s second-quarter report Tuesday: She’s making a buy recommendation now.</p><p><blockquote>在这家饮料和零食巨头周二发布第二季度报告之前，百事可乐的多头出现了： 她现在给出买入建议。</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, Cowen &amp; Co. analyst Vivien Azer reiterated an Outperform rating and $165 price target on PepsiCo (ticker: PEP). She’s modeling for the company to earn $1.51 a share, 2 cents below the average analyst estimate—although she notes that figure could be conservative—and organic revenue growth of 8.6%.</p><p><blockquote>周五，Cowen &amp; Co. 分析师 Vivien Azer 重申了百事可乐（股票代码：PEP）跑赢大盘的评级和 165 美元的目标价。她预测公司每股收益为 1.51 美元，比分析师的平均预期低 2 美分--尽管她指出这个数字可能比较保守--有机收入增长率为 8.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Azer expects Frito Lay North America’s organic revenue growth to be 4%, and notes the division is holding up well despite difficult year-over-year comparisons when more consumers were snacking at home during Covid-19 restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>Azer 预计 Frito Lay 北美的有机收入增长率为 4%，并指出，尽管在 Covid-19 限制期间，越来越多的消费者在家吃零食，但该部门的表现依然良好。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst believes Pepsi’s North American beverage business, by contrast, will see its easiest comparison of the year in the second quarter, and points out that recent data shows it may be pulling ahead of Coca-Cola (KO) in terms of sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师认为，相比之下，百事可乐的北美饮料业务将在第二季度迎来全年最容易的比较，并指出最近的数据显示，百事可乐的北美饮料业务在销售增长方面可能领先于可口可乐（KO）。</blockquote></p><p> Also, overall Covid-related costs should be down because of a strong vaccine rollout in the U.S., which accounts for nearly two-thirds of Pepsi’s profits. Still, Azer wrote, the lingering pandemic threat in Latin America could be a headwind in that region.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于美国疫苗的强劲推广，与 Covid 相关的总体成本应该会下降，美国占百事可乐利润的近三分之二。尽管如此，阿泽尔写道，拉丁美洲挥之不去的疫情威胁可能会成为该地区的阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Other analysts have been&nbsp;optimistic about Pepsi’s earnings&nbsp;as well. A little over half of the 23 tracked by FactSet rate it at Buy or the equivalent, with 43% on the sidelines and one bearish call. The average analyst price target is $156.02.</p><p><blockquote>其他分析师也对百事可乐的盈利持乐观态度。FactSet 追踪的 23 家公司中有一半多一点将其评级为买入或同等评级，其中 43% 持观望态度，1 家看跌看涨期权。分析师平均目标价为 156.02 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Consensus calls for Pepsi to earn $1.53 a share on revenue of $17.97 billion. That’s up from EPS of $1.21 and revenue of $14.82 billion in the&nbsp;previous quarter, reported in April. Pepsi’s EPS hasn’t missed quarterly expectations in the past five years.</p><p><blockquote>百事可乐的评级共识为每股 1.53 美元，营收为 179.7 亿美元。这比 4 月份公布的上一季度每股收益 1.21 美元和营收 148.2 亿美元有所增长。在过去五年中，百事可乐的每股收益从未低于季度预期。</blockquote></p><p> Pepsi will host a conference call at 8:15 a.m. Eastern time Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>百事可乐将于上午8:15举办电话会议东部时间周二。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PepsiCo Reports Earnings Next Week. Buy the Stock Now, Analyst Says.<blockquote>百事公司下周公布财报。分析师表示，现在就购买股票。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPepsiCo Reports Earnings Next Week. Buy the Stock Now, Analyst Says.<blockquote>百事公司下周公布财报。分析师表示，现在就购买股票。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 11:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A PepsiCo bull is getting out ahead of the beverage and snack giant’s second-quarter report Tuesday: She’s making a buy recommendation now.</p><p><blockquote>在这家饮料和零食巨头周二发布第二季度报告之前，百事可乐的多头出现了： 她现在给出买入建议。</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, Cowen &amp; Co. analyst Vivien Azer reiterated an Outperform rating and $165 price target on PepsiCo (ticker: PEP). She’s modeling for the company to earn $1.51 a share, 2 cents below the average analyst estimate—although she notes that figure could be conservative—and organic revenue growth of 8.6%.</p><p><blockquote>周五，Cowen &amp; Co. 分析师 Vivien Azer 重申了百事可乐（股票代码：PEP）跑赢大盘的评级和 165 美元的目标价。她预测公司每股收益为 1.51 美元，比分析师的平均预期低 2 美分--尽管她指出这个数字可能比较保守--有机收入增长率为 8.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Azer expects Frito Lay North America’s organic revenue growth to be 4%, and notes the division is holding up well despite difficult year-over-year comparisons when more consumers were snacking at home during Covid-19 restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>Azer 预计 Frito Lay 北美的有机收入增长率为 4%，并指出，尽管在 Covid-19 限制期间，越来越多的消费者在家吃零食，但该部门的表现依然良好。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst believes Pepsi’s North American beverage business, by contrast, will see its easiest comparison of the year in the second quarter, and points out that recent data shows it may be pulling ahead of Coca-Cola (KO) in terms of sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师认为，相比之下，百事可乐的北美饮料业务将在第二季度迎来全年最容易的比较，并指出最近的数据显示，百事可乐的北美饮料业务在销售增长方面可能领先于可口可乐（KO）。</blockquote></p><p> Also, overall Covid-related costs should be down because of a strong vaccine rollout in the U.S., which accounts for nearly two-thirds of Pepsi’s profits. Still, Azer wrote, the lingering pandemic threat in Latin America could be a headwind in that region.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于美国疫苗的强劲推广，与 Covid 相关的总体成本应该会下降，美国占百事可乐利润的近三分之二。尽管如此，阿泽尔写道，拉丁美洲挥之不去的疫情威胁可能会成为该地区的阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Other analysts have been&nbsp;optimistic about Pepsi’s earnings&nbsp;as well. A little over half of the 23 tracked by FactSet rate it at Buy or the equivalent, with 43% on the sidelines and one bearish call. The average analyst price target is $156.02.</p><p><blockquote>其他分析师也对百事可乐的盈利持乐观态度。FactSet 追踪的 23 家公司中有一半多一点将其评级为买入或同等评级，其中 43% 持观望态度，1 家看跌看涨期权。分析师平均目标价为 156.02 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Consensus calls for Pepsi to earn $1.53 a share on revenue of $17.97 billion. That’s up from EPS of $1.21 and revenue of $14.82 billion in the&nbsp;previous quarter, reported in April. Pepsi’s EPS hasn’t missed quarterly expectations in the past five years.</p><p><blockquote>百事可乐的评级共识为每股 1.53 美元，营收为 179.7 亿美元。这比 4 月份公布的上一季度每股收益 1.21 美元和营收 148.2 亿美元有所增长。在过去五年中，百事可乐的每股收益从未低于季度预期。</blockquote></p><p> Pepsi will host a conference call at 8:15 a.m. Eastern time Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>百事可乐将于上午8:15举办电话会议东部时间周二。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/pepsico-reports-earnings-next-week-buy-the-stock-now-analyst-says-51625863176?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PEP":"百事可乐"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/pepsico-reports-earnings-next-week-buy-the-stock-now-analyst-says-51625863176?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106289851","content_text":"A PepsiCo bull is getting out ahead of the beverage and snack giant’s second-quarter report Tuesday: She’s making a buy recommendation now.\nOn Friday, Cowen & Co. analyst Vivien Azer reiterated an Outperform rating and $165 price target on PepsiCo (ticker: PEP). She’s modeling for the company to earn $1.51 a share, 2 cents below the average analyst estimate—although she notes that figure could be conservative—and organic revenue growth of 8.6%.\nAzer expects Frito Lay North America’s organic revenue growth to be 4%, and notes the division is holding up well despite difficult year-over-year comparisons when more consumers were snacking at home during Covid-19 restrictions.\nThe analyst believes Pepsi’s North American beverage business, by contrast, will see its easiest comparison of the year in the second quarter, and points out that recent data shows it may be pulling ahead of Coca-Cola (KO) in terms of sales growth.\nAlso, overall Covid-related costs should be down because of a strong vaccine rollout in the U.S., which accounts for nearly two-thirds of Pepsi’s profits. Still, Azer wrote, the lingering pandemic threat in Latin America could be a headwind in that region.\nOther analysts have been optimistic about Pepsi’s earnings as well. A little over half of the 23 tracked by FactSet rate it at Buy or the equivalent, with 43% on the sidelines and one bearish call. The average analyst price target is $156.02.\nConsensus calls for Pepsi to earn $1.53 a share on revenue of $17.97 billion. That’s up from EPS of $1.21 and revenue of $14.82 billion in the previous quarter, reported in April. Pepsi’s EPS hasn’t missed quarterly expectations in the past five years.\nPepsi will host a conference call at 8:15 a.m. Eastern time Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PEP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1050,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141485448,"gmtCreate":1625885547984,"gmtModify":1633936387485,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141485448","repostId":"1134141249","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141485183,"gmtCreate":1625885504142,"gmtModify":1633936387834,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow !&nbsp;","listText":"Wow !&nbsp;","text":"Wow !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141485183","repostId":"1195812364","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195812364","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625875523,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1195812364?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：房地产、大流行后的戏剧等 IPO 周第 9 周</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195812364","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"Italian drug container supplier Stevanato Group plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.Shopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on l","content":"<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在度过了缓慢的假期周之后，未来一周将有 9 笔 IPO 筹集超过 30 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Italian drug container supplier&nbsp;<b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p><p><blockquote>意大利药品容器供应商<b>斯特瓦纳托集团</b>(STVN) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 9 亿美元。这家盈利的公司由其创始家族控制，为 700 多家客户提供玻璃小瓶、注射器和其他医疗级容器，其中包括 41 家排名前 50 的制药公司。</blockquote></p><p> Shopping center REIT&nbsp;<b>Phillips Edison &amp; Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p><p><blockquote>购物中心产业信讬基金<b>菲利普斯爱迪生公司</b>(PECO) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 5.02 亿美元。该房地产投资信托基金拥有美国 300 家购物中心的股权，专注于 Kroger 和 Public 等杂货商经营的地点。它的目标是中点年化收益率为 3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>以会员专属豪华酒店品牌Soho House而闻名，<b>会员资格集体组</b>(MCG) 计划以 32 亿美元的市值筹集 450 美元。该公司拥有庞大而忠诚的会员基础，尽管它没有盈利记录，并且在2021年第一季度的收入下降了近一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise&nbsp;<b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p><p><blockquote>马克·沃尔伯格支持的健身特许经营权<b>F45训练</b>(FXLV) 计划以 15 亿美元的市值筹集 3.25 亿美元。F45专注于45分钟的锻炼，在全球拥有1500多个工作室。该公司在过去 12 个月中实现了 37% 的 EBITDA，尽管该公司预期的大流行后增长尚未在数据中体现出来。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage software provider&nbsp;<b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&amp;D and S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>抵押软件提供商<b>混合实验室</b>(BLND) 计划以 45 亿美元的市值筹集 3.4 亿美元。Blend Labs为金融服务公司提供了一个数字平台，改善了消费者申请抵押贷款和贷款时的体验。尽管2020年收入翻了一番，但由于R&amp;D和S&amp;M支出，核心软件业务高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><b>桥梁投资集团</b>(BRDG) 计划以 18 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。这位投资经理专门从事多个行业的房地产股权和债务。截至2021年3月31日，Bridge Investment Group拥有约260亿美元的资产管理规模，拥有25种投资工具的6,500多名个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Ocular medical device provider&nbsp;<b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>眼科医疗器械供应商<b>视觉科学</b>(SGHT) 计划以 10 亿美元的市值筹集 1.5 亿美元。该公司开发和销售医疗和外科设备，为眼部疾病提供新的治疗选择。在疫情推迟了2020年的选择性程序后，这家高度无利可图的公司在2021年第一季度显示出重新加速增长的迹象（+32%）。</blockquote></p><p> Pregnancy diagnostics company&nbsp;<b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p><p><blockquote>妊娠诊断公司<b>血清预后</b>（SERA）计划以5.64亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。该公司利用其蛋白质组学和生物信息学平台开发生物标志物测试，旨在改善妊娠结局。Sera Prognostics 的唯一商业产品 PreTRM 测试可以预测早产的风险，但尚未产生有意义的收入。</blockquote></p><p> A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech&nbsp;<b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p><p><blockquote>上周的延迟，早期肾病生物技术<b>Unicycive 疗法</b>(UNCY) 计划以 7900 万美元的市值筹集 2500 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至21年7月8日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌0.8%，而标普500上涨15.0%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 5.2%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 7.3%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Smoore International 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：房地产、大流行后的戏剧等 IPO 周第 9 周</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Real estate, post-pandemic plays and more in an 9 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：房地产、大流行后的戏剧等 IPO 周第 9 周</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 08:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在度过了缓慢的假期周之后，未来一周将有 9 笔 IPO 筹集超过 30 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Italian drug container supplier&nbsp;<b>Stevanato Group</b>(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.</p><p><blockquote>意大利药品容器供应商<b>斯特瓦纳托集团</b>(STVN) 计划以 68 亿美元的市值筹集 9 亿美元。这家盈利的公司由其创始家族控制，为 700 多家客户提供玻璃小瓶、注射器和其他医疗级容器，其中包括 41 家排名前 50 的制药公司。</blockquote></p><p> Shopping center REIT&nbsp;<b>Phillips Edison &amp; Company</b>(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.</p><p><blockquote>购物中心产业信讬基金<b>菲利普斯爱迪生公司</b>(PECO) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 5.02 亿美元。该房地产投资信托基金拥有美国 300 家购物中心的股权，专注于 Kroger 和 Public 等杂货商经营的地点。它的目标是中点年化收益率为 3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Known for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,<b>Membership Collective Group</b>(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.</p><p><blockquote>以会员专属豪华酒店品牌Soho House而闻名，<b>会员资格集体组</b>(MCG) 计划以 32 亿美元的市值筹集 450 美元。该公司拥有庞大而忠诚的会员基础，尽管它没有盈利记录，并且在2021年第一季度的收入下降了近一半。</blockquote></p><p> Mark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise&nbsp;<b>F45 Training</b>(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.</p><p><blockquote>马克·沃尔伯格支持的健身特许经营权<b>F45训练</b>(FXLV) 计划以 15 亿美元的市值筹集 3.25 亿美元。F45专注于45分钟的锻炼，在全球拥有1500多个工作室。该公司在过去 12 个月中实现了 37% 的 EBITDA，尽管该公司预期的大流行后增长尚未在数据中体现出来。</blockquote></p><p> Mortgage software provider&nbsp;<b>Blend Labs</b>(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&amp;D and S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>抵押软件提供商<b>混合实验室</b>(BLND) 计划以 45 亿美元的市值筹集 3.4 亿美元。Blend Labs为金融服务公司提供了一个数字平台，改善了消费者申请抵押贷款和贷款时的体验。尽管2020年收入翻了一番，但由于R&amp;D和S&amp;M支出，核心软件业务高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bridge Investment Group</b>(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.</p><p><blockquote><b>桥梁投资集团</b>(BRDG) 计划以 18 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。这位投资经理专门从事多个行业的房地产股权和债务。截至2021年3月31日，Bridge Investment Group拥有约260亿美元的资产管理规模，拥有25种投资工具的6,500多名个人投资者。</blockquote></p><p> Ocular medical device provider&nbsp;<b>Sight Sciences</b>(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>眼科医疗器械供应商<b>视觉科学</b>(SGHT) 计划以 10 亿美元的市值筹集 1.5 亿美元。该公司开发和销售医疗和外科设备，为眼部疾病提供新的治疗选择。在疫情推迟了2020年的选择性程序后，这家高度无利可图的公司在2021年第一季度显示出重新加速增长的迹象（+32%）。</blockquote></p><p> Pregnancy diagnostics company&nbsp;<b>Sera Prognostics</b>(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.</p><p><blockquote>妊娠诊断公司<b>血清预后</b>（SERA）计划以5.64亿美元的市值筹集7500万美元。该公司利用其蛋白质组学和生物信息学平台开发生物标志物测试，旨在改善妊娠结局。Sera Prognostics 的唯一商业产品 PreTRM 测试可以预测早产的风险，但尚未产生有意义的收入。</blockquote></p><p> A hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech&nbsp;<b>Unicycive Therapeutics</b>(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.</p><p><blockquote>上周的延迟，早期肾病生物技术<b>Unicycive 疗法</b>(UNCY) 计划以 7900 万美元的市值筹集 2500 万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad3dc9b07583a28aad047e44802c899e\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"732\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至21年7月8日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今下跌0.8%，而标普500上涨15.0%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 5.2%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 7.3%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Smoore International 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PECO":"Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.","FXLV":"F45 Training Holdings Inc.","STVN":"Stevanato Group S.p.A.","BLND":"Blend Labs, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SGHT":"Sight Sciences, Inc.","SERA":"Sera Prognostics, Inc.","BRDG":"Bridge Investment Group Holdings Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/83879/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Real-estate-post-pandemic-plays-and-more-in-an-9-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195812364","content_text":"After a slow holiday week, nine IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nItalian drug container supplier Stevanato Group(STVN) plans to raise $900 million at a $6.8 billion market cap. Controlled by its founding family, the profitable company supplies glass vials, syringes, and other medical-grade containers to more than 700 customers, including 41 of the top 50 pharmaceutical companies.\nShopping center REIT Phillips Edison & Company(PECO) plans to raise $502 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. This REIT owns equity interests in 300 shopping centers across the US, focusing on locations that are anchored by grocers like Kroger and Public. It targets a 3.5% annualized yield at the midpoint.\nKnown for its member-only luxury hotel brand Soho House,Membership Collective Group(MCG) plans to raise $450 at a $3.2 billion market cap. The company boasts a large and loyal member base, though it has no track record of profitability and saw revenue fall by almost half in the 1Q21.\nMark Wahlberg-backed fitness franchise F45 Training(FXLV) plans to raise $325 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Specializing in 45-minute workouts, F45 has over 1,500 studios worldwide. The company managed a 37% EBITDA in the trailing 12 months, though the company’s expected post-pandemic growth has yet to show through in the numbers.\nMortgage software provider Blend Labs(BLND) plans to raise $340 million at a $4.5 billion market cap. Blend Labs provides a digital platform to financial services firms that improves the consumer experience when applying for mortgages and loans. Despite doubling revenue in 2020, the core software business is highly unprofitable due to R&D and S&M spend.\nBridge Investment Group(BRDG) plans to raise $300 million at a $1.8 billion market cap. This investment manager specializes in real estate equity and debt across multiple sectors. As of 3/31/2021, Bridge Investment Group has approximately $26 billion of AUM with more than 6,500 individual investors across 25 investment vehicles.\nOcular medical device provider Sight Sciences(SGHT) plans to raise $150 million at a $1 billion market cap. The company develops and sells medical and surgical devices that present new treatment options for eye diseases. The highly unprofitable company showed signs of re-accelerating growth in the 1Q21 (+32%) after the pandemic delayed elective procedures in 2020.\nPregnancy diagnostics company Sera Prognostics(SERA) plans to raise $75 million at a $564 million market cap. The company uses its proteomics and bioinformatics platform to develop biomarker tests aimed at improving pregnancy outcomes. Sera Prognostics’ sole commercial product, the PreTRM test, predicts the risk of a premature delivery, though it has yet to generate meaningful revenue.\nA hold-over from last week, early-stage kidney disease biotech Unicycive Therapeutics(UNCY) plans to raise $25 million at a $79 million market cap.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/8/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 0.8% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 15.0%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 5.2% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 7.3%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FXLV":0.9,"STVN":0.9,"MCG":0.9,"BRDG":0.9,"PECO":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SGHT":0.9,"BLND":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SERA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149130813,"gmtCreate":1625708236232,"gmtModify":1633938148003,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like this comment pls :)&nbsp;","listText":"Like this comment pls :)&nbsp;","text":"Like this comment pls :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149130813","repostId":"2149319224","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149130033,"gmtCreate":1625708225822,"gmtModify":1633938148445,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like this comment pls :)&nbsp;","listText":"Like this comment pls :)&nbsp;","text":"Like this comment pls :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149130033","repostId":"1171156230","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149194339,"gmtCreate":1625708149621,"gmtModify":1633938150275,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment pls :)&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment pls :)&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment pls :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149194339","repostId":"1176865752","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":963,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140971262,"gmtCreate":1625626299156,"gmtModify":1633938925918,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570069153864313","idStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like this comment :)&nbsp;","listText":"Like this comment :)&nbsp;","text":"Like this comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140971262","repostId":"1118965242","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":830,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":189562477,"gmtCreate":1623282231599,"gmtModify":1634035082966,"author":{"id":"3570069153864313","authorId":"3570069153864313","name":"Racheltestin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83746feea9af3c17ae42ff00d7ca9254","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570069153864313","authorIdStr":"3570069153864313"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment pls&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189562477","repostId":"1142408805","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142408805","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623280126,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142408805?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142408805","media":"reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants a","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售业 “梗股 ”热潮有增无减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转了早些时候的涨幅，但在缺乏任何明确的市场催化剂的情况下仍处于区间区间。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>“印第安纳州哈蒙德市地平线投资服务公司（Horizon Investment Services）首席执行官查克-卡尔森（Chuck Carlson）说：”新闻方面有一个平静期。“我们正经历财报期，人们都在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场喜忧参半，主要股指的表现并不理想。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的模因股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical 飙升 388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit chatter 还帮助监狱运营商 GEO Group 和 World Wrestling Entertainment 的股价分别上涨了 38.4% 和 10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath &amp; Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Vanda Research 的数据，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地确定下一个游戏驿站公司（引发这一现象的股票），零售量已恢复到 1 月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔森补充说：”这感觉就像另类股票市场。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时机进场，你就能取得成功，但随着时间的推移，很难取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该过多地了解大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在财报公布前任命 Matt Furlong 为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损每股 1.01 美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>受益于基础设施交易的工业股下跌了 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在芯片供应持续干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现在提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城东南半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部（Labor Department）将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在经济复苏的供需失衡情况下对通胀做出另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否像美联储所说的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌152.68点，跌幅0.44%，至34,447.14点；标普500下跌 7.71 点，跌幅 0.18%，报 4,219.55 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 13.16 点，跌幅 0.09%，至 13,911.75 点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，医疗保健行业涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准国债收益率自 5 月份以来首次跌破 1.5%，给对利率敏感的金融股带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预测，导致其股价下跌 6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司（Merck &amp; Co）宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约 12 亿美元的价格购买约 170 万个疗程的 COVID-19 实验性治疗药物 molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.12 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.13 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 38 个 52 周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 115.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 107.4 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美国股市在通胀报告发布前收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社） - 华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售业 “梗股 ”热潮有增无减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转了早些时候的涨幅，但在缺乏任何明确的市场催化剂的情况下仍处于区间区间。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>“印第安纳州哈蒙德市地平线投资服务公司（Horizon Investment Services）首席执行官查克-卡尔森（Chuck Carlson）说：”新闻方面有一个平静期。“我们正经历财报期，人们都在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场喜忧参半，主要股指的表现并不理想。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的模因股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical 飙升 388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit chatter 还帮助监狱运营商 GEO Group 和 World Wrestling Entertainment 的股价分别上涨了 38.4% 和 10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath &amp; Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Vanda Research 的数据，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地确定下一个游戏驿站公司（引发这一现象的股票），零售量已恢复到 1 月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“卡尔森补充说：”这感觉就像另类股票市场。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时机进场，你就能取得成功，但随着时间的推移，很难取得成功。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该过多地了解大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在财报公布前任命 Matt Furlong 为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损每股 1.01 美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>受益于基础设施交易的工业股下跌了 1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在芯片供应持续干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现在提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城东南半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部（Labor Department）将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在经济复苏的供需失衡情况下对通胀做出另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否像美联储所说的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌152.68点，跌幅0.44%，至34,447.14点；标普500下跌 7.71 点，跌幅 0.18%，报 4,219.55 点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌 13.16 点，跌幅 0.09%，至 13,911.75 点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要行业中，医疗保健行业涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准国债收益率自 5 月份以来首次跌破 1.5%，给对利率敏感的金融股带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预测，导致其股价下跌 6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司（Merck &amp; Co）宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约 12 亿美元的价格购买约 170 万个疗程的 COVID-19 实验性治疗药物 molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.12 比 1；在纳斯达克，1.13 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 38 个 52 周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数创下126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 115.3 亿股，而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 107.4 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AEMD":"Aethlon Medical Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142408805","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.\nThe retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.\n“There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”\nHeavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.\nReddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.\nHowever, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath & Beyond closed lower.\nRetail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.\n“It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”\n“I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”\nGameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.\nU.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.\nIndustrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.\nWashington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.\nEven so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.\nThe Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare gained the most.\nBenchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.\nCampbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.\nDrugmaker Merck & Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading 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