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2021-03-26

$17 Education & Technology Group Inc.(YQ)$今晚会再被教育吗？

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2021-09-12

[Observation]

US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：秋季 IPO 市场以第 10 周 IPO 拉开帷幕</blockquote>

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2021-08-09

[Spurting] [Spurting]

抱歉，原内容已删除

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2021-05-03

[Observation] [Observation]

Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司、通用汽车等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>

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2021-08-17

[Observation] [Observation]

Roblox bookings miss Wall St target as easing curbs hurt online games<blockquote>由于放松限制措施损害了在线游戏，Roblox 的预订未能实现华尔街目标</blockquote>

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2021-10-26

☺️☺️

AMD earnings look to again succeed where Intel disappointed<blockquote>AMD 盈利有望再次取得成功，英特尔令人失望</blockquote>

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2021-08-01

[Observation]

抱歉，原内容已删除

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2021-06-21

[Observation]

抱歉，原内容已删除

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2021-09-04

[Observation] [Observation]

2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的 2 个充分理由</blockquote>

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2021-08-14

[Observation] [Observation]

Tesla Inc Says Technoking Of Tesla And CEO, Elon Musk's 2020 Total Compensation Was Nil Versus $23,760 In 2019 - SEC Filing<blockquote>特斯拉公司称特斯拉兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 2020 年的总薪酬为零，而 2019 年为 23,760 美元 - SEC 文件</blockquote>

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[Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601353045","repostId":"1101828151","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101828151","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638493297,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1101828151?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 09:01","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.<blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市，在香港上市。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101828151","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.\nDiDi Global Inc. 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(NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders.</p><p><blockquote>全球领先的出行技术平台滴滴全球有限公司（纽约证券交易所代码：DIDI）今天宣布，其董事会（“董事会”）已授权并支持公司采取必要程序并提交相关申请，将公司的美国存托凭证从纽约证券交易所退市，同时确保美国存托凭证持有人选举时，美国存托凭证可在另一家国际认可的证券交易所转换为公司可自由交易的股份。</blockquote></p><p> The Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vote on the above matter at an appropriate time in the future, following necessary procedures. The Board has also authorized the Company to pursue a listing of its class A ordinary shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><blockquote>公司将在未来适当的时候，按照必要的程序，组织股东大会对上述事项进行表决。董事会亦已授权本公司寻求将其A类普通股于香港联交所主板上市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101828151","content_text":"DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.\nDiDi Global Inc. (NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders.\nThe Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vote on the above matter at an appropriate time in the future, following necessary procedures. The Board has also authorized the Company to pursue a listing of its class A ordinary shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600073064,"gmtCreate":1638023633962,"gmtModify":1638023634091,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Observation]&nbsp;","listText":"[Observation]&nbsp;","text":"[Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600073064","repostId":"877237704","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":877237704,"gmtCreate":1637934691594,"gmtModify":1638108006143,"author":{"id":"3474273072027739","authorId":"3474273072027739","name":"卡尔洋","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5bb61521c38f41b9c93c2497a4237ef","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3474273072027739","idStr":"3474273072027739"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Roundhill Ball Metaverse ETF(META)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>病毒新变种利好元宇宙，META买买买","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Roundhill Ball Metaverse ETF(META)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>病毒新变种利好元宇宙，META买买买","text":"$Roundhill Ball Metaverse ETF(META)$$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$特斯拉(TSLA)$病毒新变种利好元宇宙，META买买买","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877237704","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854740197,"gmtCreate":1635487317883,"gmtModify":1635487318256,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","listText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","text":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854740197","repostId":"1122237204","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122237204","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635476471,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122237204?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 11:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel, Nvidia, Or AMD: Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>英特尔、英伟达还是 AMD：哪只芯片股票更值得购买？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122237204","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIntel reported a set of earnings that was pretty decent. However, the market was confused w","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Intel reported a set of earnings that was pretty decent. However, the market was confused with its ambitious growth plans.</li>  <li>Advanced Micro Devices continues its run of phenomenal results in FY21. Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. is making the most out of Intel's stumbles.</li>  <li>Nvidia will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company's growth momentum is expected to continue slowing down.</li>  <li>We discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c8b907cc53a6667f686b7acaf873b0a\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>英特尔公布的收益相当不错。然而，市场对其雄心勃勃的增长计划感到困惑。</li><li>Advanced Micro Devices 在 2021 财年继续取得惊人的业绩。Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士正在充分利用英特尔的失误。</li><li>英伟达将于11月17日发布第三季度成绩单。公司增长势头预计将继续放缓。</li><li>我们讨论现在哪种半导体股票更值得购买。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) issued a fantastic FQ3 report card recently. The company also handily beat consensus estimates and reaffirmed AMD's position as one of the leading semiconductor companies.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) 最近发布了一份精彩的第三季度成绩单。该公司还轻松超出了市场普遍预期，并重申了 AMD 作为领先半导体公司之一的地位。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company made gains while Intel (INTC) reported a set of results that we thought were actually pretty fine. There were some concerns over underwhelming data center performance, but it was expected. However, the market didn't like what Pat Gelsinger &amp; Co. telegraphed and thrashed the stock after earnings. Intel communicated what it would cost on its quest to retake its process node leadership. However, it seems that investors weren't sure about the company's ambitious plans. Coupled with weakened profitability and free cash flow prospects, some value-oriented investors seemed to have headed for the exit.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司实现了上涨，而英特尔 (INTC) 报告了一系列我们认为实际上相当不错的业绩。人们对数据中心性能不佳表示担忧，但这是意料之中的。然而，市场并不喜欢 Pat Gelsinger &amp; Co. 在财报公布后发出的电报和对该股的猛烈抨击。英特尔传达了其寻求重新夺回工艺节点领导地位的成本。然而，投资者似乎并不确定该公司雄心勃勃的计划。再加上盈利能力减弱和自由现金流前景，一些价值导向的投资者似乎已经走向退出。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia (NVDA) will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company had previously guided for a strong quarter. Jensen Huang &amp; Co. see \"sequential growth&nbsp;driven largely by accelerating demand in data center.\" The company also expects growth in each of its three markets, particularly in gaming. Investors' expectations are also high given AMD's robust performance. Hence, investors have eagerly anticipated NVDA's earnings release as NVDA stock pushed through a new all-time high (ATH) this week.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达 (NVDA) 将于 11 月 17 日发布第三季度成绩单。该公司此前曾预测本季度表现强劲。黄仁勋公司认为“主要由数据中心需求加速推动的连续增长”。该公司还预计其三个市场都将实现增长，尤其是游戏市场。鉴于 AMD 的强劲表现，投资者的期望也很高。因此，随着 NVDA 股价本周创下历史新高 (ATH)，投资者热切期待 NVDA 的财报发布。</blockquote></p><p> We will discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now between them.</p><p><blockquote>我们将讨论现在哪只半导体股票更值得购买。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INTC, NVDA, AMD Stock YTD Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>INTC、NVDA、AMD 股票年初至今表现</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc276e3bd3b1b72a0413e8be2d14ebe3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC, NVDA, AMD stock YTD performance (as of 27 October 21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC、NVDA、AMD股票年初至今表现（截至21年10月27日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NVDA stock continues to enjoy a phenomenal year so far. The stock made a new ATH this week, as YTD returns surged to 87.3%. Bearish investors in NVDA can say all they want, but we have never adopted a bearish NVDA stock thesis. It just doesn't make sense. The stock has the best possible A+ in Seeking Alpha's momentum grade for the whole year. Hence, we really couldn't understand those bearish theses. AMD stock is in second place with a 33.3% YTD gain. It seems like the stock has lagged far behind NVDA stock's incredible performance. However, investors should consider the fact that AMD stock spent most of H1'21 in the red. Therefore, its huge momentum surge in H2'21 has been really impressive. Consequently, the stock's momentum is also given an A grade in Seeking Alpha.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，NVDA 股票继续享受非凡的一年。该股本周创下新高，年初至今回报率飙升至 87.3%。看跌 NVDA 的投资者可以畅所欲言，但我们从未采用看跌 NVDA 股票的论点。这根本说不通。该股在寻求 Alpha 全年动量评级方面拥有最好的 A+。因此，我们真的无法理解那些看跌的论点。AMD 股票位居第二，年初至今涨幅为 33.3%。该股似乎远远落后于 NVDA 股票令人难以置信的表现。然而，投资者应该考虑到 AMD 股票在 2021 年上半年的大部分时间里都处于亏损状态。因此，其在 H2'21 的巨大势头激增确实令人印象深刻。因此，该股的势头在 Seeking Alpha 中也被评为 A 级。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, the perennial underperformer INTC stock continues to underperform. The stock started very brightly as it raced to a 40% YTD gain. However, its momentum has completely fizzled out. Currently, its YTD decline of 3.9% looks abysmal when compared to AMD stock and NVDA stock. In addition, Seeking Alpha also assigned it with a D+ rating in momentum.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，长期表现不佳的 INTC 股票继续表现不佳。该股开局非常光明，年初至今上涨了 40%。然而，它的势头已经完全消失了。目前，与 AMD 股票和 NVDA 股票相比，其年初至今 3.9% 的跌幅看起来很糟糕。此外，Seeking Alpha 还在 momentum 上给予其 D+ 评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel FQ3 Report Card Is Telling Of Its Weakening Leadership</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔第三季度成绩单显示其领导地位正在减弱</b></blockquote></p><p> There's little doubt that AMD has made the most of its recent dominance over Intel. However, what's more concerning to Intel investors, and likewise encouraging to AMD investors, is the clarity provided by their respective CEOs.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，AMD 充分利用了其最近对英特尔的统治地位。然而，更令英特尔投资者担忧、同样令 AMD 投资者感到鼓舞的是他们各自首席执行官提供的清晰度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f910460f850f7c0c3bd3508e0812fa7b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Intel LTM revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>按部门划分的英特尔 LTM 收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel reported another underwhelming quarter, but we don't think it was unexpected. Sure, the company's data center business (DCG) continues to disappoint compared to NVDA and AMD. However, INTC investors shouldn't be surprised.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔公布的季度业绩又令人失望，但我们认为这并不出乎意料。当然，与 NVDA 和 AMD 相比，该公司的数据中心业务 (DCG) 仍然令人失望。然而，INTC 投资者不应感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> DCG quarterly revenue YoY growth came in at 10% in FQ3. However, DCG revenue has been on a declining trend on a last-twelve-months (LTM) basis since FQ2'20.In a recent AMD article, we mentioned that Omdia estimated that AMD's data center share crossed 15% in Q2'21 for the first time in history. In retrospect, Intel had almost complete dominance in this segment just four years ago. It clearly shows how the critical stumbles from its former management have derailed its previously \"unassailable\" leadership. Now, Gelsinger &amp; Co. are left with the unenviable task of trying to overturn Intel's sinking fortunes. With AMD having assumed the technological leadership at the expense of Intel, it certainly looks like an \"easy bet\" which the company will likely continue to outperform.</p><p><blockquote>DCG 第三季度季度收入同比增长 10%。然而，自 2020 年第二季度以来，DCG 的收入在过去 12 个月 (LTM) 的基础上一直呈下降趋势。在AMD最近的一篇文章中，我们提到Omdia估计AMD的数据中心份额在Q2’21历史上首次超过15%。回想起来，就在四年前，英特尔在这一领域几乎完全占据主导地位。它清楚地表明，前任管理层的严重失误是如何破坏了其之前“无懈可击”的领导力的。现在，基辛格公司面临着一项艰巨的任务，那就是试图扭转英特尔日益衰落的命运。随着 AMD 以英特尔为代价占据技术领先地位，这看起来肯定是一个“轻松的赌注”，该公司可能会继续跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's client computing group's (CCG) performance was underwhelming in FQ3. Its revenue fell by 1.9% YoY and 4.4% QoQ, respectively. Notably, it came at a time when 2021 saw a strong resurgence in PC sales.In a recent Apple(AAPL) article, we mentioned that Apple's Mac segment had performed very well in 2021. In just the first three FQs, Mac has exceeded its revenue on a per FY basis over the last three years. Its resurgence is also in line with the trend observed in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔客户端计算集团 (CCG) 在第三季度的表现令人失望。其收入同比分别下降1.9%和4.4%。值得注意的是，它发生在2021年个人电脑销售强劲复苏之际。在苹果（AAPL）最近的一篇文章中，我们提到苹果的Mac部门在2021年表现非常好。仅在前三个 FQ 中，Mac 就超过了过去三年的每个财年的收入。它的复苏也符合业内观察到的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Counterpoint Research noted that \"global PC shipments marked their sixth consecutive YoY growth in Q3 2021&nbsp;at 84.2 million units. This came despite the ongoing component shortages and other supply constraints.\" Despite that, the firm also emphasized that \"the 9.3% YoY growth during [Q3] implied decelerating PC shipment momentum after four consecutive quarters of double-digit YoY growth since Q3 2020.\"</p><p><blockquote>Counterpoint Research 指出，“2021 年第三季度，全球个人电脑出货量连续第六年同比增长，达到 8420 万台。尽管零部件短缺和其他供应限制持续存在，但情况依然如此。”尽管如此，该公司还强调，“[第三季度]9.3% 的同比增长意味着自 2020 年第三季度以来连续四个季度实现两位数同比增长后，个人电脑出货量势头正在放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> Notwithstanding, Mac seems to have picked up strongly in CQ3. IDC reported that&nbsp;Apple's YoY shipment growth in CQ2&nbsp;was 9.4%. Moreover, Counterpoint research pointed out that Mac YoY shipment growth accelerated to 10.6% in CQ3. Hence, it's interesting to note that Mac grew even faster than the industry average in CQ3. As a result, Mac's global market share grew to 8.7%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Mac 似乎在第三季度表现强劲。IDC报告称，苹果第二季度出货量同比增长9.4%。此外，Counterpoint research 指出，第三季度 Mac 出货量同比增长加速至 10.6%。因此，有趣的是，Mac在第三季度的增长速度甚至超过了行业平均水平。因此，Mac的全球市场份额增长到8.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, it seems like Apple has been doing very well since it decoupled from Intel's chips. Even though Gelsinger remains optimistic about winning back Apple's business through \"better products\" in the future, the divorce looks to be \"finalized\" for now. But investors in semiconductor companies should remember that never say never when it comes to technological leadership. Intel is still a highly profitable company and therefore has the wherewithal and conviction to compete. Whether it can overturn AMD's and NVDA's leadership remains to be seen. But never write the company off so early on.</p><p><blockquote>因此，苹果自从与英特尔芯片脱钩以来，似乎一直做得很好。尽管基辛格对未来通过“更好的产品”赢回苹果的业务仍然持乐观态度，但离婚目前看来已经“敲定”。但半导体公司的投资者应该记住，当涉及到技术领先地位时，永远不要说永远。英特尔仍然是一家高利润的公司，因此有足够的资金和信念去竞争。它能否推翻AMD和NVDA的领导地位还有待观察。但千万不要这么早就注销公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c622b359fd3a73cac53c0e4410177c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC and AMD LTM gross margins. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC 和 AMD LTM 毛利率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Pat Gelsinger has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to assume technological leadership. It's mainly predicated on its \"five process nodes in four years\" quest to assume foundry leadership from Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM). In addition, the company is also willing to \"reset\" its gross margins to compete with AMD and NVDA at the same time. Outgoing CFO George Davis emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格 (Pat Gelsinger) 宣布了一项雄心勃勃的计划，以占据技术领先地位。它主要基于其“四年内五个工艺节点”的追求，以从台积电 (TSM) 手中夺取代工领导权。此外，该公司还愿意“重置”毛利率，以同时与AMD和NVDA竞争。即将离任的首席财务官乔治·戴维斯强调：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>We expect to see our revenue growth accelerate to a 10% to 12% CAGR over the next 4 to 5 years</i>. For gross margin, with the impact of our investment in capacity and the acceleration of our process technology,   <i>we expect gross margins between 51% and 53% over the next 2 to 3 years</i>before moving upward. (from Intel Q3 earnings call)  We find it interesting. Yes, the investments for process leadership and capacity expansion will affect its profitability. But Intel recognizes that it's at least a five-year process. At this time, is the company going to let Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. take all the glory while Intel works out its troubles? Obviously not. Pat recognizes that he needs a stop-gap solution. Short of saying \"we are cutting prices now\" to compete with AMD, this is as close as it gets.</p><p><blockquote><i>我们预计未来 4 至 5 年内收入增长将加速至 10% 至 12% 的复合年增长率</i>.就毛利率而言，随着我们对产能的投资和我们工艺技术的加速，<i>我们预计未来 2 至 3 年毛利率将在 51% 至 53% 之间</i>在向上移动之前。（摘自英特尔第三季度财报看涨期权）我们觉得这很有趣。是的，流程领导和产能扩张的投资将影响其盈利能力。但英特尔认识到这至少是一个五年的过程。此时，该公司是否要让 Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士承担所有荣耀，而英特尔则解决其问题？显然不是。帕特认识到他需要一个权宜之计的解决方案。除了说“我们现在正在降价”来与AMD竞争之外，这是最接近的了。</blockquote></p><p> We also highlighted in our previous AMD article (published on 20 September) that \"Intel is recently reported to be ready to lower the prices for its data center chips. The move was deemed necessary \"to lure back data center operators&nbsp;that have switched to rival Advanced Micro Devices.\" Otherwise, how can Gelsinger &amp; Co. be so confident in stopping the rot from AMD's continued success? Intel has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to increase revenue by a CAGR of 10% to 12% over the next four to five years. Intel is trying to transform itself back into a growth company. If you want to grow and don't have technological leadership, you must give up some profits. That makes absolute sense.</p><p><blockquote>我们还在之前的AMD文章（发表于9月20日）中强调，“最近有报道称，英特尔准备降低其数据中心芯片的价格。此举被认为是必要的”，以吸引已经转向竞争对手先进微设备的数据中心运营商回来。”否则，基辛格公司怎么能如此有信心阻止 AMD 的持续成功？英特尔宣布了一项雄心勃勃的计划，即在未来四到五年内将收入复合年增长率提高 10% 到 12%。英特尔正试图将自己转变为一家成长型公司。如果你想成长，又没有技术领先，就必须放弃一些利润。这绝对有道理。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The good thing is, Intel is already a highly profitable company. Its gross margins had declined markedly from the days when it posted margins north of 60%. However, its LTM margin of 56.3% is still significantly higher than AMD's 46.8%. Therefore, Intel's plans are credible. The company will now go head-on to compete with AMD in pricing while investing in assuming foundry leadership. Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co., you have been cautioned.</p><p><blockquote>好的一面是，英特尔已经是一家高利润的公司。自利润率超过 60% 时以来，其毛利率明显下降。不过，其56.3%的LTM利润率仍明显高于AMD的46.8%。因此，英特尔的计划是可信的。该公司现在将在定价方面与 AMD 正面竞争，同时投资占据代工领先地位。苏丽莎博士，你已经被警告过了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Continues Its Gangbusters Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD 继续强劲增长</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fb460f1a24eeac1ff3e46cc0ebd78f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD quarterly revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 按细分市场划分的季度收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5df5298fbc9733b0c0a8b1110c401ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD revenue segments YoY growth. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 收入部门同比增长。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There's little doubt that Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. have made the most of Intel's absolute mess. The company has been firing on all cylinders as it outperformed estimates easily. It continues to report tremendous strength in all its segments. FQ3 saw Advanced Micro Devices report 43.9% YoY growth in revenue for its computing and graphics business. Moreover, its enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom (EESC) segment continues its phenomenal run as AMD posted YoY revenue growth of 68.9%. Therefore, AMD has certainly made the most of Intel's losses in data center. Moreover, its computing and graphics growth has also been fantastic. AMD has undoubtedly grown much faster than the market.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士充分利用了英特尔的绝对混乱。该公司一直在全力以赴，因为它的表现轻松超出了预期。它在所有细分市场继续表现出巨大的实力。第三季度，Advanced Micro Devices 的计算和图形业务收入同比增长 43.9%。此外，随着 AMD 的收入同比增长 68.9%，其企业、嵌入式和半定制 (EESC) 部门继续保持惊人的表现。因此，AMD无疑将英特尔在数据中心的损失发挥到了最大。此外，其计算和图形增长也非常惊人。AMD的增长速度无疑比市场快得多。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, AMD continues to expect strong sequential growth into FQ4. AMD emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，AMD 继续预计第四季度将实现强劲的环比增长。AMD强调：</blockquote></p><p>   We expect revenue to be approximately $4.5 billion, plus or minus $100 million, an increase of approximately   <i>39% year-over-year and approximately 4% sequentially</i>. The year-over-year increase is expected to be driven by growth across all businesses. The quarter-over-quarter increase is expected to be driven by higher server and semi-custom sales. For the full year 2021,   <i>we now expect revenue to increase approximately 65% over 2020, driven by growth across all businesses</i>, up from the prior guidance of 60%. (from AMD FQ3 earnings call)  For a company that tells you that it expects a 65% YoY growth over FY20, it's clear it has achieved phenomenal results. Therefore, the market should reward AMD investors. AMD stock has clearly been outperforming the market after its early-year stumbles.</p><p><blockquote>我们预计收入约为 45 亿美元，上下浮动 1 亿美元，增长约<i>同比增长 39%，环比增长约 4%</i>预计同比增长将受到所有业务增长的推动。预计环比增长是由服务器和半定制销售的增长推动的。2021年全年，<i>我们现在预计，在所有业务增长的推动下，2020 年收入将增长约 65%</i>高于之前 60% 的指导值。（摘自 AMD 第三季度财报看涨期权）对于一家告诉您预计 2020 财年同比增长 65% 的公司来说，很明显它已经取得了惊人的业绩。因此，市场应该奖励AMD投资者。在经历了年初的挫折之后，AMD 股票的表现显然优于市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af9edf4c4d4b8055eee2f32456b6589d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD est. revenue and EBITDA mean consensus. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD是。收入和 EBITDA 意味着共识。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, we think investors need to consider how AMD will likely perform moving forward. Following its outstanding FQ3 report card, consensus estimates have also been revised upwards. AMD is estimated to post a revenue CAGR of 30.2% and an EBITDA CAGR of 50.4%. Compared to the company's FY21 revenue YoY growth guidance of 65%, it's a marked deceleration.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为投资者需要考虑 AMD 未来的表现。继出色的第三季度成绩单之后，市场普遍预期也被上调。AMD 预计收入复合年增长率为 30.2%，EBITDA 复合年增长率为 50.4%。与该公司 2021 财年 65% 的收入同比增长指引相比，这是一个明显的放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/970fd9b4cebec404a6c9bcc8c5b18140\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD LTM revenue and EBITDA. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD LTM 收入和 EBITDA。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, AMD has also grown its LTM revenue and EBITDA by a CAGR of 31.2% and 160% over the last four years, respectively. Therefore, AMD is unlikely to post such monstrous growth moving forward. As a result, investors need to taper their expectations when considering buying its stock. They can't be expecting AMD to continue growing at such phenomenal growth rates incessantly. We know it sounds good, but it's simply not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，AMD 的 LTM 收入和 EBITDA 在过去四年中的复合年增长率分别为 31.2% 和 160%。因此，AMD 不太可能实现如此巨大的增长。因此，投资者在考虑购买其股票时需要降低预期。他们不能指望 AMD 继续以如此惊人的增长率不断增长。我们知道这听起来不错，但它根本不可持续。</blockquote></p><p> We can also observe from its FQ3 performance. Its segments' YoY growth was the slowest in FQ3'21 compared to the previous two quarters. So it's not slow per se, but the growth seems to be decelerating. Therefore, AMD investors, you have been reminded.</p><p><blockquote>我们也可以从其第三季度的表现中观察到。与前两个季度相比，2021 年第三季度其各部门的同比增长最慢。所以它本身并不慢，但增长似乎正在减速。因此，AMD的投资者们，你们已经被提醒了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia Is Expected To Post Slower Much Growth Than Before</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预计英伟达的增长将比以前慢得多</b></blockquote></p><p> Jensen Huang &amp; Co. will release its FQ3'22 report card on 17 November. Its earnings conferences have often been highly anticipated events in the past. Its investors, PC geeks, and gamers love NVDA.</p><p><blockquote>黄仁勋公司将于 11 月 17 日发布 22 财年第三季度成绩单。过去，其财报会议往往是备受期待的活动。它的投资者、PC极客和游戏玩家都喜欢NVDA。</blockquote></p><p> The company guided for $6.8B in FQ3 revenue on its previous earnings call. Consensus estimates are also in line with the company's guidance. However,in our previous Nvidia article, we highlighted that the company's revenue growth seems to be decelerating across its main segments.</p><p><blockquote>根据之前的盈利看涨期权，该公司预计第三季度收入为 $6.8B。共识估计也符合公司的指引。然而，在我们之前的 Nvidia 文章中，我们强调该公司主要细分市场的收入增长似乎正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Datacenter growth fell to 35% YoY in FQ2'22. Moreover, Gaming has also demonstrated signs of deceleration. Its growth in FQ2 also slowed to 85% YoY. As a result, the company's overall revenue growth slowed to 68.3% YoY in FQ2.</p><p><blockquote>2022 年第二季度数据中心同比增长降至 35%。而且，游戏也出现了放缓的迹象。第二季度的同比增长也放缓至 85%。受此影响，该公司第二季度整体收入同比增速放缓至68.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfa0d4e579274e870b43dadcb6aa0be7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA actual and est. quarterly revenue YoY growth. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA实际和预计。季度收入同比增长。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notably, even with the recently revised estimates, Nvidia is expected to post slower YoY growth in FQ3'22 and beyond. In fact, the deceleration looks alarming. Investors might have to taper their expectations of NVDA's gangbusters growth momentum moving forward. Nothing goes up in one straight line forever. Moving forward, revenue comps will get increasingly harder for Jensen Huang &amp; Co. to beat.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，即使最近修订了预期，英伟达预计在 2022 年第三季度及以后的同比增长仍将放缓。事实上，减速看起来令人担忧。投资者可能不得不降低对 NVDA 未来强劲增长势头的预期。没有什么是永远沿一条直线上升的。展望未来，黄仁勋公司将越来越难以击败收入竞争。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0873d94239c63b839b483644a71fe429\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA earnings beats/misses. Source: Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA 盈利超出/超出预期。资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notwithstanding, we recognize that NVDA might also be sandbagging expectations in its guidance. We noted that NVDA has only missed one quarterly estimate in the last four years. It's an almost flawless performance. Notably, while NVDA has consistently outperformed its guidance, those beats were not incredibly massive. What we meant is investors should not totally disregard the consensus estimates as out of line. They have been pretty accurate over time. So while NVDA might have sandbagged its previous guidance to overdeliver potentially, they had not overdone it.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们认识到 NVDA 也可能在其指导中淡化预期。我们注意到，NVDA 在过去四年中仅未达到一个季度预期。这是一场几乎完美无瑕的表演。值得注意的是，尽管 NVDA 的表现一直优于其指引，但这些节拍并不是令人难以置信的巨大。我们的意思是，投资者不应该完全忽视普遍的估计，认为这是不合时宜的。随着时间的推移，它们变得相当准确。因此，尽管 NVDA 可能会将之前的指导视为可能超额交割，但他们并没有超额交割。</blockquote></p><p> We understand that some NVDA investors are anticipating its TAM expansion into its software stack, omniverse applications, and cloud-gaming expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们了解到，一些 NVDA 投资者预计其 TAM 扩展到其软件堆栈、omniverse 应用程序和云游戏扩展。</blockquote></p><p> We recognize the incredible efforts invested by NVDA to transform itself into an AI company that has a huge GPU dominance. Coupled with its DPU and CPU forays, the hardware strategy looks very impressive. Moreover, Nvidia's AI Enterprise now offers its complete AI enterprise software suite to its customers. With the number of developers on its platform currently, we think its leadership is secure. The ecosystem will get even stronger over time as more developers come on board. If the company could pull through its Arm acquisition, we think there's no way that Intel or AMD could catch up.</p><p><blockquote>我们认识到 NVDA 为将自己转变为一家拥有巨大 GPU 主导地位的人工智能公司所付出的令人难以置信的努力。加上其DPU和CPU的突破，硬件战略看起来非常令人印象深刻。此外，Nvidia 的 AI Enterprise 现在向客户提供完整的 AI Enterprise 软件套件。鉴于目前其平台上的开发者数量，我们认为其领导地位是安全的。随着越来越多的开发者加入，这个生态系统会变得更加强大。如果该公司能够完成对 Arm 的收购，我们认为英特尔或 AMD 不可能赶上。</blockquote></p><p> The main problem is that Nvidia couldn't/is not willing to put a timeline to<i>when they would derive meaningful revenues from its software stack.</i>Nvidia could only add recently: \"But as [we] said, what [we] quoted to you for both NVIDIA enterprise as well as for Omniverse enterprise as being multibillion-dollar opportunities, we see these as very real opportunities, right?\"</p><p><blockquote>主要问题是Nvidia不能/不愿意为<i>当他们从其软件堆栈中获得有意义的收入时。</i>Nvidia 最近只能补充道：“但正如 [我们] 所说，[我们] 向您引用的 Nvidia enterprise 和 Omniverse enterprise 的价值数十亿美元的机会，我们认为这些是非常真实的机会，对吗？”</blockquote></p><p> <b>So, Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么，哪只芯片股票更值得购买呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97466fa7c05502ccb3d3fb348c1fbedd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58c3575f8db9aafef9a106f36114a1b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock currently trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 29.7x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean read 30.8x. Therefore, investors can argue that AMD might seem fairly valued right now. In contrast, NVDA stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 53.5x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean is 41.6x. Thus, the stock is trading at about 28.6% above its 3Y mean. Hence, we think NVDA stock looks overvalued right now. Coupled with potentially slower revenue growth moving forward, a poor quarter might induce potential value compressions. Otherwise, a potential overcapacity problem in 2023 might also hit NVDA stock hard due to its rich valuation.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股票目前的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 29.7 倍。其 3 年 NTM EBITDA 平均值为 30.8 倍。因此，投资者可以认为 AMD 目前的估值可能相当合理。相比之下，NVDA 股票的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 53.5 倍。其 3 年 NTM EBITDA 均值为 41.6 倍。因此，该股的交易价格比 3 年平均水平高出约 28.6%。因此，我们认为 NVDA 股票目前看起来被高估了。再加上未来收入增长可能放缓，糟糕的季度可能会导致潜在的价值压缩。否则，由于估值过高，2023年潜在的产能过剩问题也可能对NVDA股票造成沉重打击。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/467ed7eaf7cb4b7aed414494c2110be8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55716ccea92c6410434d2f1ab7d3ef15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"265\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC stock LTM dividend yield. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC股票LTM股息收益率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> INTC stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 6.7x. It's markedly below its 3Y mean of 7.6x. Therefore, INTC is clearly a value play and not a growth play. It has also provided a respectable dividend yield for its investors over the years. As a result of its recent post-FQ3 sell-off, the annualized yield has recovered to 2.8%. INTC investors have been very comfortable sitting on its robust profitability and its solid dividend yields over the years. These value and dividend income investors don't invest in INTC stock for growth. They invest in it for its value and its dividends.</p><p><blockquote>INTC 股票的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 6.7 倍。这明显低于 3 年平均值 7.6 倍。因此，INTC显然是一个价值游戏，而不是一个增长游戏。多年来，它还为投资者提供了可观的股息收益率。由于最近第三季度后的抛售，年化收益率已恢复至 2.8%。多年来，INTC 投资者对其强劲的盈利能力和稳定的股息收益率感到非常满意。这些价值和股息收入投资者投资 INTC 股票并不是为了增长。他们投资它是为了它的价值和股息。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Pat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plans have thrown them a curveball that they didn't expect. When Intel communicated that these plans would have a discernible impact on its profitability, they feared for their dividends. Perhaps, Gelsinger is banking on a turnover of its investor base. The company could potentially be a huge winner if it succeeds on its growth roadmap. Given that the expectations are so low now, it doesn't even have to be immensely successful for the stock to be re-rated upwards. The huge difference in the growth premium between INTC and its faster growth peers is eye-catching. We think investors who have patience and are willing to ride out the short-term volatility might find INTC stock attractively valued right now. Coupled with a 2.8% dividend yield, it adds more gloss to its premise. Adding on a potential growth re-rating, the stock certainly looks attractive.</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格雄心勃勃的增长计划给了他们一个意想不到的曲线球。当英特尔宣布这些计划将对其盈利能力产生明显影响时，他们担心自己的股息。也许，基辛格寄希望于其投资者基础的更替。如果该公司在其增长路线图上取得成功，它可能会成为一个巨大的赢家。鉴于现在的预期如此之低，该股甚至不需要取得巨大成功就能被重新上调评级。INTC 与其增长更快的同行之间增长溢价的巨大差异引人注目。我们认为，有耐心并愿意度过短期波动的投资者可能会发现 INTC 股票现在的估值很有吸引力。再加上 2.8% 的股息收益率，它为其前提增添了更多光彩。再加上潜在的增长重新评级，该股看起来确实很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Despite that, INTC's long-term momentum has remained weak. The stock's long-term price action has also been much weaker than AMD stock. We recall that Buffett emphasized that he has no qualms about paying a fair price for a fantastic company.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，INTC的长期势头仍然疲软。该股的长期价格走势也远弱于 AMD 股票。我们记得巴菲特强调，他毫不犹豫地为一家出色的公司支付合理的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think&nbsp;<i>AMD stock represents our preferred Buy</i>&nbsp;for now.<i>INTC stock is also a Buy</i>&nbsp;for dividend and value investors. At the same time, we&nbsp;<i>retain our Neutral rating on NVDA</i>.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为<i>AMD 股票是我们的首选买入</i>暂时。<i>INTC 股票也值得买入</i>对于股息和价值投资者。同时，我们<i>维持对 NVDA 的中性评级</i>.</blockquote></p><p> This article was written by&nbsp;JR Research.</p><p><blockquote>本文由JR Research撰写。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel, Nvidia, Or AMD: Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>英特尔、英伟达还是 AMD：哪只芯片股票更值得购买？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel, Nvidia, Or AMD: Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>英特尔、英伟达还是 AMD：哪只芯片股票更值得购买？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-29 11:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Intel reported a set of earnings that was pretty decent. However, the market was confused with its ambitious growth plans.</li>  <li>Advanced Micro Devices continues its run of phenomenal results in FY21. Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. is making the most out of Intel's stumbles.</li>  <li>Nvidia will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company's growth momentum is expected to continue slowing down.</li>  <li>We discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c8b907cc53a6667f686b7acaf873b0a\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>英特尔公布的收益相当不错。然而，市场对其雄心勃勃的增长计划感到困惑。</li><li>Advanced Micro Devices 在 2021 财年继续取得惊人的业绩。Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士正在充分利用英特尔的失误。</li><li>英伟达将于11月17日发布第三季度成绩单。公司增长势头预计将继续放缓。</li><li>我们讨论现在哪种半导体股票更值得购买。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) issued a fantastic FQ3 report card recently. The company also handily beat consensus estimates and reaffirmed AMD's position as one of the leading semiconductor companies.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) 最近发布了一份精彩的第三季度成绩单。该公司还轻松超出了市场普遍预期，并重申了 AMD 作为领先半导体公司之一的地位。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company made gains while Intel (INTC) reported a set of results that we thought were actually pretty fine. There were some concerns over underwhelming data center performance, but it was expected. However, the market didn't like what Pat Gelsinger &amp; Co. telegraphed and thrashed the stock after earnings. Intel communicated what it would cost on its quest to retake its process node leadership. However, it seems that investors weren't sure about the company's ambitious plans. Coupled with weakened profitability and free cash flow prospects, some value-oriented investors seemed to have headed for the exit.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司实现了上涨，而英特尔 (INTC) 报告了一系列我们认为实际上相当不错的业绩。人们对数据中心性能不佳表示担忧，但这是意料之中的。然而，市场并不喜欢 Pat Gelsinger &amp; Co. 在财报公布后发出的电报和对该股的猛烈抨击。英特尔传达了其寻求重新夺回工艺节点领导地位的成本。然而，投资者似乎并不确定该公司雄心勃勃的计划。再加上盈利能力减弱和自由现金流前景，一些价值导向的投资者似乎已经走向退出。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia (NVDA) will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company had previously guided for a strong quarter. Jensen Huang &amp; Co. see \"sequential growth&nbsp;driven largely by accelerating demand in data center.\" The company also expects growth in each of its three markets, particularly in gaming. Investors' expectations are also high given AMD's robust performance. Hence, investors have eagerly anticipated NVDA's earnings release as NVDA stock pushed through a new all-time high (ATH) this week.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达 (NVDA) 将于 11 月 17 日发布第三季度成绩单。该公司此前曾预测本季度表现强劲。黄仁勋公司认为“主要由数据中心需求加速推动的连续增长”。该公司还预计其三个市场都将实现增长，尤其是游戏市场。鉴于 AMD 的强劲表现，投资者的期望也很高。因此，随着 NVDA 股价本周创下历史新高 (ATH)，投资者热切期待 NVDA 的财报发布。</blockquote></p><p> We will discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now between them.</p><p><blockquote>我们将讨论现在哪只半导体股票更值得购买。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INTC, NVDA, AMD Stock YTD Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>INTC、NVDA、AMD 股票年初至今表现</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc276e3bd3b1b72a0413e8be2d14ebe3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC, NVDA, AMD stock YTD performance (as of 27 October 21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC、NVDA、AMD股票年初至今表现（截至21年10月27日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NVDA stock continues to enjoy a phenomenal year so far. The stock made a new ATH this week, as YTD returns surged to 87.3%. Bearish investors in NVDA can say all they want, but we have never adopted a bearish NVDA stock thesis. It just doesn't make sense. The stock has the best possible A+ in Seeking Alpha's momentum grade for the whole year. Hence, we really couldn't understand those bearish theses. AMD stock is in second place with a 33.3% YTD gain. It seems like the stock has lagged far behind NVDA stock's incredible performance. However, investors should consider the fact that AMD stock spent most of H1'21 in the red. Therefore, its huge momentum surge in H2'21 has been really impressive. Consequently, the stock's momentum is also given an A grade in Seeking Alpha.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，NVDA 股票继续享受非凡的一年。该股本周创下新高，年初至今回报率飙升至 87.3%。看跌 NVDA 的投资者可以畅所欲言，但我们从未采用看跌 NVDA 股票的论点。这根本说不通。该股在寻求 Alpha 全年动量评级方面拥有最好的 A+。因此，我们真的无法理解那些看跌的论点。AMD 股票位居第二，年初至今涨幅为 33.3%。该股似乎远远落后于 NVDA 股票令人难以置信的表现。然而，投资者应该考虑到 AMD 股票在 2021 年上半年的大部分时间里都处于亏损状态。因此，其在 H2'21 的巨大势头激增确实令人印象深刻。因此，该股的势头在 Seeking Alpha 中也被评为 A 级。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, the perennial underperformer INTC stock continues to underperform. The stock started very brightly as it raced to a 40% YTD gain. However, its momentum has completely fizzled out. Currently, its YTD decline of 3.9% looks abysmal when compared to AMD stock and NVDA stock. In addition, Seeking Alpha also assigned it with a D+ rating in momentum.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，长期表现不佳的 INTC 股票继续表现不佳。该股开局非常光明，年初至今上涨了 40%。然而，它的势头已经完全消失了。目前，与 AMD 股票和 NVDA 股票相比，其年初至今 3.9% 的跌幅看起来很糟糕。此外，Seeking Alpha 还在 momentum 上给予其 D+ 评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel FQ3 Report Card Is Telling Of Its Weakening Leadership</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔第三季度成绩单显示其领导地位正在减弱</b></blockquote></p><p> There's little doubt that AMD has made the most of its recent dominance over Intel. However, what's more concerning to Intel investors, and likewise encouraging to AMD investors, is the clarity provided by their respective CEOs.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，AMD 充分利用了其最近对英特尔的统治地位。然而，更令英特尔投资者担忧、同样令 AMD 投资者感到鼓舞的是他们各自首席执行官提供的清晰度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f910460f850f7c0c3bd3508e0812fa7b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Intel LTM revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>按部门划分的英特尔 LTM 收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel reported another underwhelming quarter, but we don't think it was unexpected. Sure, the company's data center business (DCG) continues to disappoint compared to NVDA and AMD. However, INTC investors shouldn't be surprised.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔公布的季度业绩又令人失望，但我们认为这并不出乎意料。当然，与 NVDA 和 AMD 相比，该公司的数据中心业务 (DCG) 仍然令人失望。然而，INTC 投资者不应感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> DCG quarterly revenue YoY growth came in at 10% in FQ3. However, DCG revenue has been on a declining trend on a last-twelve-months (LTM) basis since FQ2'20.In a recent AMD article, we mentioned that Omdia estimated that AMD's data center share crossed 15% in Q2'21 for the first time in history. In retrospect, Intel had almost complete dominance in this segment just four years ago. It clearly shows how the critical stumbles from its former management have derailed its previously \"unassailable\" leadership. Now, Gelsinger &amp; Co. are left with the unenviable task of trying to overturn Intel's sinking fortunes. With AMD having assumed the technological leadership at the expense of Intel, it certainly looks like an \"easy bet\" which the company will likely continue to outperform.</p><p><blockquote>DCG 第三季度季度收入同比增长 10%。然而，自 2020 年第二季度以来，DCG 的收入在过去 12 个月 (LTM) 的基础上一直呈下降趋势。在AMD最近的一篇文章中，我们提到Omdia估计AMD的数据中心份额在Q2’21历史上首次超过15%。回想起来，就在四年前，英特尔在这一领域几乎完全占据主导地位。它清楚地表明，前任管理层的严重失误是如何破坏了其之前“无懈可击”的领导力的。现在，基辛格公司面临着一项艰巨的任务，那就是试图扭转英特尔日益衰落的命运。随着 AMD 以英特尔为代价占据技术领先地位，这看起来肯定是一个“轻松的赌注”，该公司可能会继续跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's client computing group's (CCG) performance was underwhelming in FQ3. Its revenue fell by 1.9% YoY and 4.4% QoQ, respectively. Notably, it came at a time when 2021 saw a strong resurgence in PC sales.In a recent Apple(AAPL) article, we mentioned that Apple's Mac segment had performed very well in 2021. In just the first three FQs, Mac has exceeded its revenue on a per FY basis over the last three years. Its resurgence is also in line with the trend observed in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔客户端计算集团 (CCG) 在第三季度的表现令人失望。其收入同比分别下降1.9%和4.4%。值得注意的是，它发生在2021年个人电脑销售强劲复苏之际。在苹果（AAPL）最近的一篇文章中，我们提到苹果的Mac部门在2021年表现非常好。仅在前三个 FQ 中，Mac 就超过了过去三年的每个财年的收入。它的复苏也符合业内观察到的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Counterpoint Research noted that \"global PC shipments marked their sixth consecutive YoY growth in Q3 2021&nbsp;at 84.2 million units. This came despite the ongoing component shortages and other supply constraints.\" Despite that, the firm also emphasized that \"the 9.3% YoY growth during [Q3] implied decelerating PC shipment momentum after four consecutive quarters of double-digit YoY growth since Q3 2020.\"</p><p><blockquote>Counterpoint Research 指出，“2021 年第三季度，全球个人电脑出货量连续第六年同比增长，达到 8420 万台。尽管零部件短缺和其他供应限制持续存在，但情况依然如此。”尽管如此，该公司还强调，“[第三季度]9.3% 的同比增长意味着自 2020 年第三季度以来连续四个季度实现两位数同比增长后，个人电脑出货量势头正在放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> Notwithstanding, Mac seems to have picked up strongly in CQ3. IDC reported that&nbsp;Apple's YoY shipment growth in CQ2&nbsp;was 9.4%. Moreover, Counterpoint research pointed out that Mac YoY shipment growth accelerated to 10.6% in CQ3. Hence, it's interesting to note that Mac grew even faster than the industry average in CQ3. As a result, Mac's global market share grew to 8.7%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Mac 似乎在第三季度表现强劲。IDC报告称，苹果第二季度出货量同比增长9.4%。此外，Counterpoint research 指出，第三季度 Mac 出货量同比增长加速至 10.6%。因此，有趣的是，Mac在第三季度的增长速度甚至超过了行业平均水平。因此，Mac的全球市场份额增长到8.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, it seems like Apple has been doing very well since it decoupled from Intel's chips. Even though Gelsinger remains optimistic about winning back Apple's business through \"better products\" in the future, the divorce looks to be \"finalized\" for now. But investors in semiconductor companies should remember that never say never when it comes to technological leadership. Intel is still a highly profitable company and therefore has the wherewithal and conviction to compete. Whether it can overturn AMD's and NVDA's leadership remains to be seen. But never write the company off so early on.</p><p><blockquote>因此，苹果自从与英特尔芯片脱钩以来，似乎一直做得很好。尽管基辛格对未来通过“更好的产品”赢回苹果的业务仍然持乐观态度，但离婚目前看来已经“敲定”。但半导体公司的投资者应该记住，当涉及到技术领先地位时，永远不要说永远。英特尔仍然是一家高利润的公司，因此有足够的资金和信念去竞争。它能否推翻AMD和NVDA的领导地位还有待观察。但千万不要这么早就注销公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c622b359fd3a73cac53c0e4410177c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC and AMD LTM gross margins. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC 和 AMD LTM 毛利率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Pat Gelsinger has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to assume technological leadership. It's mainly predicated on its \"five process nodes in four years\" quest to assume foundry leadership from Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM). In addition, the company is also willing to \"reset\" its gross margins to compete with AMD and NVDA at the same time. Outgoing CFO George Davis emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格 (Pat Gelsinger) 宣布了一项雄心勃勃的计划，以占据技术领先地位。它主要基于其“四年内五个工艺节点”的追求，以从台积电 (TSM) 手中夺取代工领导权。此外，该公司还愿意“重置”毛利率，以同时与AMD和NVDA竞争。即将离任的首席财务官乔治·戴维斯强调：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>We expect to see our revenue growth accelerate to a 10% to 12% CAGR over the next 4 to 5 years</i>. For gross margin, with the impact of our investment in capacity and the acceleration of our process technology,   <i>we expect gross margins between 51% and 53% over the next 2 to 3 years</i>before moving upward. (from Intel Q3 earnings call)  We find it interesting. Yes, the investments for process leadership and capacity expansion will affect its profitability. But Intel recognizes that it's at least a five-year process. At this time, is the company going to let Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. take all the glory while Intel works out its troubles? Obviously not. Pat recognizes that he needs a stop-gap solution. Short of saying \"we are cutting prices now\" to compete with AMD, this is as close as it gets.</p><p><blockquote><i>我们预计未来 4 至 5 年内收入增长将加速至 10% 至 12% 的复合年增长率</i>.就毛利率而言，随着我们对产能的投资和我们工艺技术的加速，<i>我们预计未来 2 至 3 年毛利率将在 51% 至 53% 之间</i>在向上移动之前。（摘自英特尔第三季度财报看涨期权）我们觉得这很有趣。是的，流程领导和产能扩张的投资将影响其盈利能力。但英特尔认识到这至少是一个五年的过程。此时，该公司是否要让 Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士承担所有荣耀，而英特尔则解决其问题？显然不是。帕特认识到他需要一个权宜之计的解决方案。除了说“我们现在正在降价”来与AMD竞争之外，这是最接近的了。</blockquote></p><p> We also highlighted in our previous AMD article (published on 20 September) that \"Intel is recently reported to be ready to lower the prices for its data center chips. The move was deemed necessary \"to lure back data center operators&nbsp;that have switched to rival Advanced Micro Devices.\" Otherwise, how can Gelsinger &amp; Co. be so confident in stopping the rot from AMD's continued success? Intel has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to increase revenue by a CAGR of 10% to 12% over the next four to five years. Intel is trying to transform itself back into a growth company. If you want to grow and don't have technological leadership, you must give up some profits. That makes absolute sense.</p><p><blockquote>我们还在之前的AMD文章（发表于9月20日）中强调，“最近有报道称，英特尔准备降低其数据中心芯片的价格。此举被认为是必要的”，以吸引已经转向竞争对手先进微设备的数据中心运营商回来。”否则，基辛格公司怎么能如此有信心阻止 AMD 的持续成功？英特尔宣布了一项雄心勃勃的计划，即在未来四到五年内将收入复合年增长率提高 10% 到 12%。英特尔正试图将自己转变为一家成长型公司。如果你想成长，又没有技术领先，就必须放弃一些利润。这绝对有道理。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The good thing is, Intel is already a highly profitable company. Its gross margins had declined markedly from the days when it posted margins north of 60%. However, its LTM margin of 56.3% is still significantly higher than AMD's 46.8%. Therefore, Intel's plans are credible. The company will now go head-on to compete with AMD in pricing while investing in assuming foundry leadership. Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co., you have been cautioned.</p><p><blockquote>好的一面是，英特尔已经是一家高利润的公司。自利润率超过 60% 时以来，其毛利率明显下降。不过，其56.3%的LTM利润率仍明显高于AMD的46.8%。因此，英特尔的计划是可信的。该公司现在将在定价方面与 AMD 正面竞争，同时投资占据代工领先地位。苏丽莎博士，你已经被警告过了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Continues Its Gangbusters Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD 继续强劲增长</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fb460f1a24eeac1ff3e46cc0ebd78f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD quarterly revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 按细分市场划分的季度收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5df5298fbc9733b0c0a8b1110c401ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD revenue segments YoY growth. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 收入部门同比增长。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There's little doubt that Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. have made the most of Intel's absolute mess. The company has been firing on all cylinders as it outperformed estimates easily. It continues to report tremendous strength in all its segments. FQ3 saw Advanced Micro Devices report 43.9% YoY growth in revenue for its computing and graphics business. Moreover, its enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom (EESC) segment continues its phenomenal run as AMD posted YoY revenue growth of 68.9%. Therefore, AMD has certainly made the most of Intel's losses in data center. Moreover, its computing and graphics growth has also been fantastic. AMD has undoubtedly grown much faster than the market.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士充分利用了英特尔的绝对混乱。该公司一直在全力以赴，因为它的表现轻松超出了预期。它在所有细分市场继续表现出巨大的实力。第三季度，Advanced Micro Devices 的计算和图形业务收入同比增长 43.9%。此外，随着 AMD 的收入同比增长 68.9%，其企业、嵌入式和半定制 (EESC) 部门继续保持惊人的表现。因此，AMD无疑将英特尔在数据中心的损失发挥到了最大。此外，其计算和图形增长也非常惊人。AMD的增长速度无疑比市场快得多。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, AMD continues to expect strong sequential growth into FQ4. AMD emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，AMD 继续预计第四季度将实现强劲的环比增长。AMD强调：</blockquote></p><p>   We expect revenue to be approximately $4.5 billion, plus or minus $100 million, an increase of approximately   <i>39% year-over-year and approximately 4% sequentially</i>. The year-over-year increase is expected to be driven by growth across all businesses. The quarter-over-quarter increase is expected to be driven by higher server and semi-custom sales. For the full year 2021,   <i>we now expect revenue to increase approximately 65% over 2020, driven by growth across all businesses</i>, up from the prior guidance of 60%. (from AMD FQ3 earnings call)  For a company that tells you that it expects a 65% YoY growth over FY20, it's clear it has achieved phenomenal results. Therefore, the market should reward AMD investors. AMD stock has clearly been outperforming the market after its early-year stumbles.</p><p><blockquote>我们预计收入约为 45 亿美元，上下浮动 1 亿美元，增长约<i>同比增长 39%，环比增长约 4%</i>预计同比增长将受到所有业务增长的推动。预计环比增长是由服务器和半定制销售的增长推动的。2021年全年，<i>我们现在预计，在所有业务增长的推动下，2020 年收入将增长约 65%</i>高于之前 60% 的指导值。（摘自 AMD 第三季度财报看涨期权）对于一家告诉您预计 2020 财年同比增长 65% 的公司来说，很明显它已经取得了惊人的业绩。因此，市场应该奖励AMD投资者。在经历了年初的挫折之后，AMD 股票的表现显然优于市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af9edf4c4d4b8055eee2f32456b6589d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD est. revenue and EBITDA mean consensus. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD是。收入和 EBITDA 意味着共识。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, we think investors need to consider how AMD will likely perform moving forward. Following its outstanding FQ3 report card, consensus estimates have also been revised upwards. AMD is estimated to post a revenue CAGR of 30.2% and an EBITDA CAGR of 50.4%. Compared to the company's FY21 revenue YoY growth guidance of 65%, it's a marked deceleration.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为投资者需要考虑 AMD 未来的表现。继出色的第三季度成绩单之后，市场普遍预期也被上调。AMD 预计收入复合年增长率为 30.2%，EBITDA 复合年增长率为 50.4%。与该公司 2021 财年 65% 的收入同比增长指引相比，这是一个明显的放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/970fd9b4cebec404a6c9bcc8c5b18140\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD LTM revenue and EBITDA. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD LTM 收入和 EBITDA。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, AMD has also grown its LTM revenue and EBITDA by a CAGR of 31.2% and 160% over the last four years, respectively. Therefore, AMD is unlikely to post such monstrous growth moving forward. As a result, investors need to taper their expectations when considering buying its stock. They can't be expecting AMD to continue growing at such phenomenal growth rates incessantly. We know it sounds good, but it's simply not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，AMD 的 LTM 收入和 EBITDA 在过去四年中的复合年增长率分别为 31.2% 和 160%。因此，AMD 不太可能实现如此巨大的增长。因此，投资者在考虑购买其股票时需要降低预期。他们不能指望 AMD 继续以如此惊人的增长率不断增长。我们知道这听起来不错，但它根本不可持续。</blockquote></p><p> We can also observe from its FQ3 performance. Its segments' YoY growth was the slowest in FQ3'21 compared to the previous two quarters. So it's not slow per se, but the growth seems to be decelerating. Therefore, AMD investors, you have been reminded.</p><p><blockquote>我们也可以从其第三季度的表现中观察到。与前两个季度相比，2021 年第三季度其各部门的同比增长最慢。所以它本身并不慢，但增长似乎正在减速。因此，AMD的投资者们，你们已经被提醒了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia Is Expected To Post Slower Much Growth Than Before</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预计英伟达的增长将比以前慢得多</b></blockquote></p><p> Jensen Huang &amp; Co. will release its FQ3'22 report card on 17 November. Its earnings conferences have often been highly anticipated events in the past. Its investors, PC geeks, and gamers love NVDA.</p><p><blockquote>黄仁勋公司将于 11 月 17 日发布 22 财年第三季度成绩单。过去，其财报会议往往是备受期待的活动。它的投资者、PC极客和游戏玩家都喜欢NVDA。</blockquote></p><p> The company guided for $6.8B in FQ3 revenue on its previous earnings call. Consensus estimates are also in line with the company's guidance. However,in our previous Nvidia article, we highlighted that the company's revenue growth seems to be decelerating across its main segments.</p><p><blockquote>根据之前的盈利看涨期权，该公司预计第三季度收入为 $6.8B。共识估计也符合公司的指引。然而，在我们之前的 Nvidia 文章中，我们强调该公司主要细分市场的收入增长似乎正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Datacenter growth fell to 35% YoY in FQ2'22. Moreover, Gaming has also demonstrated signs of deceleration. Its growth in FQ2 also slowed to 85% YoY. As a result, the company's overall revenue growth slowed to 68.3% YoY in FQ2.</p><p><blockquote>2022 年第二季度数据中心同比增长降至 35%。而且，游戏也出现了放缓的迹象。第二季度的同比增长也放缓至 85%。受此影响，该公司第二季度整体收入同比增速放缓至68.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfa0d4e579274e870b43dadcb6aa0be7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA actual and est. quarterly revenue YoY growth. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA实际和预计。季度收入同比增长。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notably, even with the recently revised estimates, Nvidia is expected to post slower YoY growth in FQ3'22 and beyond. In fact, the deceleration looks alarming. Investors might have to taper their expectations of NVDA's gangbusters growth momentum moving forward. Nothing goes up in one straight line forever. Moving forward, revenue comps will get increasingly harder for Jensen Huang &amp; Co. to beat.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，即使最近修订了预期，英伟达预计在 2022 年第三季度及以后的同比增长仍将放缓。事实上，减速看起来令人担忧。投资者可能不得不降低对 NVDA 未来强劲增长势头的预期。没有什么是永远沿一条直线上升的。展望未来，黄仁勋公司将越来越难以击败收入竞争。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0873d94239c63b839b483644a71fe429\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA earnings beats/misses. Source: Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA 盈利超出/超出预期。资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notwithstanding, we recognize that NVDA might also be sandbagging expectations in its guidance. We noted that NVDA has only missed one quarterly estimate in the last four years. It's an almost flawless performance. Notably, while NVDA has consistently outperformed its guidance, those beats were not incredibly massive. What we meant is investors should not totally disregard the consensus estimates as out of line. They have been pretty accurate over time. So while NVDA might have sandbagged its previous guidance to overdeliver potentially, they had not overdone it.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们认识到 NVDA 也可能在其指导中淡化预期。我们注意到，NVDA 在过去四年中仅未达到一个季度预期。这是一场几乎完美无瑕的表演。值得注意的是，尽管 NVDA 的表现一直优于其指引，但这些节拍并不是令人难以置信的巨大。我们的意思是，投资者不应该完全忽视普遍的估计，认为这是不合时宜的。随着时间的推移，它们变得相当准确。因此，尽管 NVDA 可能会将之前的指导视为可能超额交割，但他们并没有超额交割。</blockquote></p><p> We understand that some NVDA investors are anticipating its TAM expansion into its software stack, omniverse applications, and cloud-gaming expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们了解到，一些 NVDA 投资者预计其 TAM 扩展到其软件堆栈、omniverse 应用程序和云游戏扩展。</blockquote></p><p> We recognize the incredible efforts invested by NVDA to transform itself into an AI company that has a huge GPU dominance. Coupled with its DPU and CPU forays, the hardware strategy looks very impressive. Moreover, Nvidia's AI Enterprise now offers its complete AI enterprise software suite to its customers. With the number of developers on its platform currently, we think its leadership is secure. The ecosystem will get even stronger over time as more developers come on board. If the company could pull through its Arm acquisition, we think there's no way that Intel or AMD could catch up.</p><p><blockquote>我们认识到 NVDA 为将自己转变为一家拥有巨大 GPU 主导地位的人工智能公司所付出的令人难以置信的努力。加上其DPU和CPU的突破，硬件战略看起来非常令人印象深刻。此外，Nvidia 的 AI Enterprise 现在向客户提供完整的 AI Enterprise 软件套件。鉴于目前其平台上的开发者数量，我们认为其领导地位是安全的。随着越来越多的开发者加入，这个生态系统会变得更加强大。如果该公司能够完成对 Arm 的收购，我们认为英特尔或 AMD 不可能赶上。</blockquote></p><p> The main problem is that Nvidia couldn't/is not willing to put a timeline to<i>when they would derive meaningful revenues from its software stack.</i>Nvidia could only add recently: \"But as [we] said, what [we] quoted to you for both NVIDIA enterprise as well as for Omniverse enterprise as being multibillion-dollar opportunities, we see these as very real opportunities, right?\"</p><p><blockquote>主要问题是Nvidia不能/不愿意为<i>当他们从其软件堆栈中获得有意义的收入时。</i>Nvidia 最近只能补充道：“但正如 [我们] 所说，[我们] 向您引用的 Nvidia enterprise 和 Omniverse enterprise 的价值数十亿美元的机会，我们认为这些是非常真实的机会，对吗？”</blockquote></p><p> <b>So, Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么，哪只芯片股票更值得购买呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97466fa7c05502ccb3d3fb348c1fbedd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58c3575f8db9aafef9a106f36114a1b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock currently trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 29.7x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean read 30.8x. Therefore, investors can argue that AMD might seem fairly valued right now. In contrast, NVDA stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 53.5x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean is 41.6x. Thus, the stock is trading at about 28.6% above its 3Y mean. Hence, we think NVDA stock looks overvalued right now. Coupled with potentially slower revenue growth moving forward, a poor quarter might induce potential value compressions. Otherwise, a potential overcapacity problem in 2023 might also hit NVDA stock hard due to its rich valuation.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股票目前的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 29.7 倍。其 3 年 NTM EBITDA 平均值为 30.8 倍。因此，投资者可以认为 AMD 目前的估值可能相当合理。相比之下，NVDA 股票的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 53.5 倍。其 3 年 NTM EBITDA 均值为 41.6 倍。因此，该股的交易价格比 3 年平均水平高出约 28.6%。因此，我们认为 NVDA 股票目前看起来被高估了。再加上未来收入增长可能放缓，糟糕的季度可能会导致潜在的价值压缩。否则，由于估值过高，2023年潜在的产能过剩问题也可能对NVDA股票造成沉重打击。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/467ed7eaf7cb4b7aed414494c2110be8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55716ccea92c6410434d2f1ab7d3ef15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"265\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC stock LTM dividend yield. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC股票LTM股息收益率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> INTC stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 6.7x. It's markedly below its 3Y mean of 7.6x. Therefore, INTC is clearly a value play and not a growth play. It has also provided a respectable dividend yield for its investors over the years. As a result of its recent post-FQ3 sell-off, the annualized yield has recovered to 2.8%. INTC investors have been very comfortable sitting on its robust profitability and its solid dividend yields over the years. These value and dividend income investors don't invest in INTC stock for growth. They invest in it for its value and its dividends.</p><p><blockquote>INTC 股票的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 6.7 倍。这明显低于 3 年平均值 7.6 倍。因此，INTC显然是一个价值游戏，而不是一个增长游戏。多年来，它还为投资者提供了可观的股息收益率。由于最近第三季度后的抛售，年化收益率已恢复至 2.8%。多年来，INTC 投资者对其强劲的盈利能力和稳定的股息收益率感到非常满意。这些价值和股息收入投资者投资 INTC 股票并不是为了增长。他们投资它是为了它的价值和股息。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Pat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plans have thrown them a curveball that they didn't expect. When Intel communicated that these plans would have a discernible impact on its profitability, they feared for their dividends. Perhaps, Gelsinger is banking on a turnover of its investor base. The company could potentially be a huge winner if it succeeds on its growth roadmap. Given that the expectations are so low now, it doesn't even have to be immensely successful for the stock to be re-rated upwards. The huge difference in the growth premium between INTC and its faster growth peers is eye-catching. We think investors who have patience and are willing to ride out the short-term volatility might find INTC stock attractively valued right now. Coupled with a 2.8% dividend yield, it adds more gloss to its premise. Adding on a potential growth re-rating, the stock certainly looks attractive.</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格雄心勃勃的增长计划给了他们一个意想不到的曲线球。当英特尔宣布这些计划将对其盈利能力产生明显影响时，他们担心自己的股息。也许，基辛格寄希望于其投资者基础的更替。如果该公司在其增长路线图上取得成功，它可能会成为一个巨大的赢家。鉴于现在的预期如此之低，该股甚至不需要取得巨大成功就能被重新上调评级。INTC 与其增长更快的同行之间增长溢价的巨大差异引人注目。我们认为，有耐心并愿意度过短期波动的投资者可能会发现 INTC 股票现在的估值很有吸引力。再加上 2.8% 的股息收益率，它为其前提增添了更多光彩。再加上潜在的增长重新评级，该股看起来确实很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Despite that, INTC's long-term momentum has remained weak. The stock's long-term price action has also been much weaker than AMD stock. We recall that Buffett emphasized that he has no qualms about paying a fair price for a fantastic company.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，INTC的长期势头仍然疲软。该股的长期价格走势也远弱于 AMD 股票。我们记得巴菲特强调，他毫不犹豫地为一家出色的公司支付合理的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think&nbsp;<i>AMD stock represents our preferred Buy</i>&nbsp;for now.<i>INTC stock is also a Buy</i>&nbsp;for dividend and value investors. At the same time, we&nbsp;<i>retain our Neutral rating on NVDA</i>.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为<i>AMD 股票是我们的首选买入</i>暂时。<i>INTC 股票也值得买入</i>对于股息和价值投资者。同时，我们<i>维持对 NVDA 的中性评级</i>.</blockquote></p><p> This article was written by&nbsp;JR Research.</p><p><blockquote>本文由JR Research撰写。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4463134-intel-nvidia-amd-chip-stock-better-buy\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","INTC":"英特尔","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4463134-intel-nvidia-amd-chip-stock-better-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122237204","content_text":"Summary\n\nIntel reported a set of earnings that was pretty decent. However, the market was confused with its ambitious growth plans.\nAdvanced Micro Devices continues its run of phenomenal results in FY21. Dr. Lisa Su & Co. is making the most out of Intel's stumbles.\nNvidia will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company's growth momentum is expected to continue slowing down.\nWe discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now.\n\nSundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) issued a fantastic FQ3 report card recently. The company also handily beat consensus estimates and reaffirmed AMD's position as one of the leading semiconductor companies.\nNotably, the company made gains while Intel (INTC) reported a set of results that we thought were actually pretty fine. There were some concerns over underwhelming data center performance, but it was expected. However, the market didn't like what Pat Gelsinger & Co. telegraphed and thrashed the stock after earnings. Intel communicated what it would cost on its quest to retake its process node leadership. However, it seems that investors weren't sure about the company's ambitious plans. Coupled with weakened profitability and free cash flow prospects, some value-oriented investors seemed to have headed for the exit.\nNvidia (NVDA) will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company had previously guided for a strong quarter. Jensen Huang & Co. see \"sequential growth driven largely by accelerating demand in data center.\" The company also expects growth in each of its three markets, particularly in gaming. Investors' expectations are also high given AMD's robust performance. Hence, investors have eagerly anticipated NVDA's earnings release as NVDA stock pushed through a new all-time high (ATH) this week.\nWe will discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now between them.\nINTC, NVDA, AMD Stock YTD Performance\nINTC, NVDA, AMD stock YTD performance (as of 27 October 21).\nNVDA stock continues to enjoy a phenomenal year so far. The stock made a new ATH this week, as YTD returns surged to 87.3%. Bearish investors in NVDA can say all they want, but we have never adopted a bearish NVDA stock thesis. It just doesn't make sense. The stock has the best possible A+ in Seeking Alpha's momentum grade for the whole year. Hence, we really couldn't understand those bearish theses. AMD stock is in second place with a 33.3% YTD gain. It seems like the stock has lagged far behind NVDA stock's incredible performance. However, investors should consider the fact that AMD stock spent most of H1'21 in the red. Therefore, its huge momentum surge in H2'21 has been really impressive. Consequently, the stock's momentum is also given an A grade in Seeking Alpha.\nIn contrast, the perennial underperformer INTC stock continues to underperform. The stock started very brightly as it raced to a 40% YTD gain. However, its momentum has completely fizzled out. Currently, its YTD decline of 3.9% looks abysmal when compared to AMD stock and NVDA stock. In addition, Seeking Alpha also assigned it with a D+ rating in momentum.\nIntel FQ3 Report Card Is Telling Of Its Weakening Leadership\nThere's little doubt that AMD has made the most of its recent dominance over Intel. However, what's more concerning to Intel investors, and likewise encouraging to AMD investors, is the clarity provided by their respective CEOs.\nIntel LTM revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings\nIntel reported another underwhelming quarter, but we don't think it was unexpected. Sure, the company's data center business (DCG) continues to disappoint compared to NVDA and AMD. However, INTC investors shouldn't be surprised.\nDCG quarterly revenue YoY growth came in at 10% in FQ3. However, DCG revenue has been on a declining trend on a last-twelve-months (LTM) basis since FQ2'20.In a recent AMD article, we mentioned that Omdia estimated that AMD's data center share crossed 15% in Q2'21 for the first time in history. In retrospect, Intel had almost complete dominance in this segment just four years ago. It clearly shows how the critical stumbles from its former management have derailed its previously \"unassailable\" leadership. Now, Gelsinger & Co. are left with the unenviable task of trying to overturn Intel's sinking fortunes. With AMD having assumed the technological leadership at the expense of Intel, it certainly looks like an \"easy bet\" which the company will likely continue to outperform.\nIntel's client computing group's (CCG) performance was underwhelming in FQ3. Its revenue fell by 1.9% YoY and 4.4% QoQ, respectively. Notably, it came at a time when 2021 saw a strong resurgence in PC sales.In a recent Apple(AAPL) article, we mentioned that Apple's Mac segment had performed very well in 2021. In just the first three FQs, Mac has exceeded its revenue on a per FY basis over the last three years. Its resurgence is also in line with the trend observed in the industry.\nCounterpoint Research noted that \"global PC shipments marked their sixth consecutive YoY growth in Q3 2021 at 84.2 million units. This came despite the ongoing component shortages and other supply constraints.\" Despite that, the firm also emphasized that \"the 9.3% YoY growth during [Q3] implied decelerating PC shipment momentum after four consecutive quarters of double-digit YoY growth since Q3 2020.\"\nNotwithstanding, Mac seems to have picked up strongly in CQ3. IDC reported that Apple's YoY shipment growth in CQ2 was 9.4%. Moreover, Counterpoint research pointed out that Mac YoY shipment growth accelerated to 10.6% in CQ3. Hence, it's interesting to note that Mac grew even faster than the industry average in CQ3. As a result, Mac's global market share grew to 8.7%.\nTherefore, it seems like Apple has been doing very well since it decoupled from Intel's chips. Even though Gelsinger remains optimistic about winning back Apple's business through \"better products\" in the future, the divorce looks to be \"finalized\" for now. But investors in semiconductor companies should remember that never say never when it comes to technological leadership. Intel is still a highly profitable company and therefore has the wherewithal and conviction to compete. Whether it can overturn AMD's and NVDA's leadership remains to be seen. But never write the company off so early on.\nINTC and AMD LTM gross margins. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nPat Gelsinger has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to assume technological leadership. It's mainly predicated on its \"five process nodes in four years\" quest to assume foundry leadership from Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM). In addition, the company is also willing to \"reset\" its gross margins to compete with AMD and NVDA at the same time. Outgoing CFO George Davis emphasized:\n\nWe expect to see our revenue growth accelerate to a 10% to 12% CAGR over the next 4 to 5 years. For gross margin, with the impact of our investment in capacity and the acceleration of our process technology, \n we expect gross margins between 51% and 53% over the next 2 to 3 yearsbefore moving upward. (from Intel Q3 earnings call)\n\nWe find it interesting. Yes, the investments for process leadership and capacity expansion will affect its profitability. But Intel recognizes that it's at least a five-year process. At this time, is the company going to let Dr. Lisa Su & Co. take all the glory while Intel works out its troubles? Obviously not. Pat recognizes that he needs a stop-gap solution. Short of saying \"we are cutting prices now\" to compete with AMD, this is as close as it gets.\nWe also highlighted in our previous AMD article (published on 20 September) that \"Intel is recently reported to be ready to lower the prices for its data center chips. The move was deemed necessary \"to lure back data center operators that have switched to rival Advanced Micro Devices.\" Otherwise, how can Gelsinger & Co. be so confident in stopping the rot from AMD's continued success? Intel has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to increase revenue by a CAGR of 10% to 12% over the next four to five years. Intel is trying to transform itself back into a growth company. If you want to grow and don't have technological leadership, you must give up some profits. That makes absolute sense.\nThe good thing is, Intel is already a highly profitable company. Its gross margins had declined markedly from the days when it posted margins north of 60%. However, its LTM margin of 56.3% is still significantly higher than AMD's 46.8%. Therefore, Intel's plans are credible. The company will now go head-on to compete with AMD in pricing while investing in assuming foundry leadership. Dr. Lisa Su & Co., you have been cautioned.\nAMD Continues Its Gangbusters Growth\nAMD quarterly revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings\nAMD revenue segments YoY growth. Data source: Company filings\nThere's little doubt that Dr. Lisa Su & Co. have made the most of Intel's absolute mess. The company has been firing on all cylinders as it outperformed estimates easily. It continues to report tremendous strength in all its segments. FQ3 saw Advanced Micro Devices report 43.9% YoY growth in revenue for its computing and graphics business. Moreover, its enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom (EESC) segment continues its phenomenal run as AMD posted YoY revenue growth of 68.9%. Therefore, AMD has certainly made the most of Intel's losses in data center. Moreover, its computing and graphics growth has also been fantastic. AMD has undoubtedly grown much faster than the market.\nIn fact, AMD continues to expect strong sequential growth into FQ4. AMD emphasized:\n\n We expect revenue to be approximately $4.5 billion, plus or minus $100 million, an increase of approximately \n 39% year-over-year and approximately 4% sequentially. The year-over-year increase is expected to be driven by growth across all businesses. The quarter-over-quarter increase is expected to be driven by higher server and semi-custom sales. For the full year 2021, \n we now expect revenue to increase approximately 65% over 2020, driven by growth across all businesses, up from the prior guidance of 60%. (from AMD FQ3 earnings call)\n\nFor a company that tells you that it expects a 65% YoY growth over FY20, it's clear it has achieved phenomenal results. Therefore, the market should reward AMD investors. AMD stock has clearly been outperforming the market after its early-year stumbles.\nAMD est. revenue and EBITDA mean consensus. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nHowever, we think investors need to consider how AMD will likely perform moving forward. Following its outstanding FQ3 report card, consensus estimates have also been revised upwards. AMD is estimated to post a revenue CAGR of 30.2% and an EBITDA CAGR of 50.4%. Compared to the company's FY21 revenue YoY growth guidance of 65%, it's a marked deceleration.\nAMD LTM revenue and EBITDA. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nImportantly, AMD has also grown its LTM revenue and EBITDA by a CAGR of 31.2% and 160% over the last four years, respectively. Therefore, AMD is unlikely to post such monstrous growth moving forward. As a result, investors need to taper their expectations when considering buying its stock. They can't be expecting AMD to continue growing at such phenomenal growth rates incessantly. We know it sounds good, but it's simply not sustainable.\nWe can also observe from its FQ3 performance. Its segments' YoY growth was the slowest in FQ3'21 compared to the previous two quarters. So it's not slow per se, but the growth seems to be decelerating. Therefore, AMD investors, you have been reminded.\nNvidia Is Expected To Post Slower Much Growth Than Before\nJensen Huang & Co. will release its FQ3'22 report card on 17 November. Its earnings conferences have often been highly anticipated events in the past. Its investors, PC geeks, and gamers love NVDA.\nThe company guided for $6.8B in FQ3 revenue on its previous earnings call. Consensus estimates are also in line with the company's guidance. However,in our previous Nvidia article, we highlighted that the company's revenue growth seems to be decelerating across its main segments.\nDatacenter growth fell to 35% YoY in FQ2'22. Moreover, Gaming has also demonstrated signs of deceleration. Its growth in FQ2 also slowed to 85% YoY. As a result, the company's overall revenue growth slowed to 68.3% YoY in FQ2.\nNVDA actual and est. quarterly revenue YoY growth. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nNotably, even with the recently revised estimates, Nvidia is expected to post slower YoY growth in FQ3'22 and beyond. In fact, the deceleration looks alarming. Investors might have to taper their expectations of NVDA's gangbusters growth momentum moving forward. Nothing goes up in one straight line forever. Moving forward, revenue comps will get increasingly harder for Jensen Huang & Co. to beat.\nNVDA earnings beats/misses. Source: Seeking Alpha Premium\nNotwithstanding, we recognize that NVDA might also be sandbagging expectations in its guidance. We noted that NVDA has only missed one quarterly estimate in the last four years. It's an almost flawless performance. Notably, while NVDA has consistently outperformed its guidance, those beats were not incredibly massive. What we meant is investors should not totally disregard the consensus estimates as out of line. They have been pretty accurate over time. So while NVDA might have sandbagged its previous guidance to overdeliver potentially, they had not overdone it.\nWe understand that some NVDA investors are anticipating its TAM expansion into its software stack, omniverse applications, and cloud-gaming expansion.\nWe recognize the incredible efforts invested by NVDA to transform itself into an AI company that has a huge GPU dominance. Coupled with its DPU and CPU forays, the hardware strategy looks very impressive. Moreover, Nvidia's AI Enterprise now offers its complete AI enterprise software suite to its customers. With the number of developers on its platform currently, we think its leadership is secure. The ecosystem will get even stronger over time as more developers come on board. If the company could pull through its Arm acquisition, we think there's no way that Intel or AMD could catch up.\nThe main problem is that Nvidia couldn't/is not willing to put a timeline towhen they would derive meaningful revenues from its software stack.Nvidia could only add recently: \"But as [we] said, what [we] quoted to you for both NVIDIA enterprise as well as for Omniverse enterprise as being multibillion-dollar opportunities, we see these as very real opportunities, right?\"\nSo, Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?\nAMD stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.\nNVDA stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.\nAMD stock currently trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 29.7x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean read 30.8x. Therefore, investors can argue that AMD might seem fairly valued right now. In contrast, NVDA stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 53.5x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean is 41.6x. Thus, the stock is trading at about 28.6% above its 3Y mean. Hence, we think NVDA stock looks overvalued right now. Coupled with potentially slower revenue growth moving forward, a poor quarter might induce potential value compressions. Otherwise, a potential overcapacity problem in 2023 might also hit NVDA stock hard due to its rich valuation.\nINTC stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.\nINTC stock LTM dividend yield. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nINTC stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 6.7x. It's markedly below its 3Y mean of 7.6x. Therefore, INTC is clearly a value play and not a growth play. It has also provided a respectable dividend yield for its investors over the years. As a result of its recent post-FQ3 sell-off, the annualized yield has recovered to 2.8%. INTC investors have been very comfortable sitting on its robust profitability and its solid dividend yields over the years. These value and dividend income investors don't invest in INTC stock for growth. They invest in it for its value and its dividends.\nPat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plans have thrown them a curveball that they didn't expect. When Intel communicated that these plans would have a discernible impact on its profitability, they feared for their dividends. Perhaps, Gelsinger is banking on a turnover of its investor base. The company could potentially be a huge winner if it succeeds on its growth roadmap. Given that the expectations are so low now, it doesn't even have to be immensely successful for the stock to be re-rated upwards. The huge difference in the growth premium between INTC and its faster growth peers is eye-catching. We think investors who have patience and are willing to ride out the short-term volatility might find INTC stock attractively valued right now. Coupled with a 2.8% dividend yield, it adds more gloss to its premise. Adding on a potential growth re-rating, the stock certainly looks attractive.\nDespite that, INTC's long-term momentum has remained weak. The stock's long-term price action has also been much weaker than AMD stock. We recall that Buffett emphasized that he has no qualms about paying a fair price for a fantastic company.\nTherefore, we think AMD stock represents our preferred Buy for now.INTC stock is also a Buy for dividend and value investors. At the same time, we retain our Neutral rating on NVDA.\nThis article was written by JR Research.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854740913,"gmtCreate":1635487310627,"gmtModify":1635487310975,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Observation]&nbsp;","listText":"[Observation]&nbsp;","text":"[Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854740913","repostId":"1122237204","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122237204","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635476471,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122237204?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 11:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel, Nvidia, Or AMD: Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>英特尔、英伟达还是 AMD：哪只芯片股票更值得购买？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122237204","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIntel reported a set of earnings that was pretty decent. However, the market was confused w","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Intel reported a set of earnings that was pretty decent. However, the market was confused with its ambitious growth plans.</li>  <li>Advanced Micro Devices continues its run of phenomenal results in FY21. Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. is making the most out of Intel's stumbles.</li>  <li>Nvidia will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company's growth momentum is expected to continue slowing down.</li>  <li>We discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c8b907cc53a6667f686b7acaf873b0a\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>英特尔公布的收益相当不错。然而，市场对其雄心勃勃的增长计划感到困惑。</li><li>Advanced Micro Devices 在 2021 财年继续取得惊人的业绩。Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士正在充分利用英特尔的失误。</li><li>英伟达将于11月17日发布第三季度成绩单。公司增长势头预计将继续放缓。</li><li>我们讨论现在哪种半导体股票更值得购买。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) issued a fantastic FQ3 report card recently. The company also handily beat consensus estimates and reaffirmed AMD's position as one of the leading semiconductor companies.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) 最近发布了一份精彩的第三季度成绩单。该公司还轻松超出了市场普遍预期，并重申了 AMD 作为领先半导体公司之一的地位。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company made gains while Intel (INTC) reported a set of results that we thought were actually pretty fine. There were some concerns over underwhelming data center performance, but it was expected. However, the market didn't like what Pat Gelsinger &amp; Co. telegraphed and thrashed the stock after earnings. Intel communicated what it would cost on its quest to retake its process node leadership. However, it seems that investors weren't sure about the company's ambitious plans. Coupled with weakened profitability and free cash flow prospects, some value-oriented investors seemed to have headed for the exit.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司实现了上涨，而英特尔 (INTC) 报告了一系列我们认为实际上相当不错的业绩。人们对数据中心性能不佳表示担忧，但这是意料之中的。然而，市场并不喜欢 Pat Gelsinger &amp; Co. 在财报公布后发出的电报和对该股的猛烈抨击。英特尔传达了其寻求重新夺回工艺节点领导地位的成本。然而，投资者似乎并不确定该公司雄心勃勃的计划。再加上盈利能力减弱和自由现金流前景，一些价值导向的投资者似乎已经走向退出。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia (NVDA) will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company had previously guided for a strong quarter. Jensen Huang &amp; Co. see \"sequential growth&nbsp;driven largely by accelerating demand in data center.\" The company also expects growth in each of its three markets, particularly in gaming. Investors' expectations are also high given AMD's robust performance. Hence, investors have eagerly anticipated NVDA's earnings release as NVDA stock pushed through a new all-time high (ATH) this week.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达 (NVDA) 将于 11 月 17 日发布第三季度成绩单。该公司此前曾预测本季度表现强劲。黄仁勋公司认为“主要由数据中心需求加速推动的连续增长”。该公司还预计其三个市场都将实现增长，尤其是游戏市场。鉴于 AMD 的强劲表现，投资者的期望也很高。因此，随着 NVDA 股价本周创下历史新高 (ATH)，投资者热切期待 NVDA 的财报发布。</blockquote></p><p> We will discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now between them.</p><p><blockquote>我们将讨论现在哪只半导体股票更值得购买。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INTC, NVDA, AMD Stock YTD Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>INTC、NVDA、AMD 股票年初至今表现</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc276e3bd3b1b72a0413e8be2d14ebe3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC, NVDA, AMD stock YTD performance (as of 27 October 21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC、NVDA、AMD股票年初至今表现（截至21年10月27日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NVDA stock continues to enjoy a phenomenal year so far. The stock made a new ATH this week, as YTD returns surged to 87.3%. Bearish investors in NVDA can say all they want, but we have never adopted a bearish NVDA stock thesis. It just doesn't make sense. The stock has the best possible A+ in Seeking Alpha's momentum grade for the whole year. Hence, we really couldn't understand those bearish theses. AMD stock is in second place with a 33.3% YTD gain. It seems like the stock has lagged far behind NVDA stock's incredible performance. However, investors should consider the fact that AMD stock spent most of H1'21 in the red. Therefore, its huge momentum surge in H2'21 has been really impressive. Consequently, the stock's momentum is also given an A grade in Seeking Alpha.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，NVDA 股票继续享受非凡的一年。该股本周创下新高，年初至今回报率飙升至 87.3%。看跌 NVDA 的投资者可以畅所欲言，但我们从未采用看跌 NVDA 股票的论点。这根本说不通。该股在寻求 Alpha 全年动量评级方面拥有最好的 A+。因此，我们真的无法理解那些看跌的论点。AMD 股票位居第二，年初至今涨幅为 33.3%。该股似乎远远落后于 NVDA 股票令人难以置信的表现。然而，投资者应该考虑到 AMD 股票在 2021 年上半年的大部分时间里都处于亏损状态。因此，其在 H2'21 的巨大势头激增确实令人印象深刻。因此，该股的势头在 Seeking Alpha 中也被评为 A 级。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, the perennial underperformer INTC stock continues to underperform. The stock started very brightly as it raced to a 40% YTD gain. However, its momentum has completely fizzled out. Currently, its YTD decline of 3.9% looks abysmal when compared to AMD stock and NVDA stock. In addition, Seeking Alpha also assigned it with a D+ rating in momentum.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，长期表现不佳的 INTC 股票继续表现不佳。该股开局非常光明，年初至今上涨了 40%。然而，它的势头已经完全消失了。目前，与 AMD 股票和 NVDA 股票相比，其年初至今 3.9% 的跌幅看起来很糟糕。此外，Seeking Alpha 还在 momentum 上给予其 D+ 评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel FQ3 Report Card Is Telling Of Its Weakening Leadership</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔第三季度成绩单显示其领导地位正在减弱</b></blockquote></p><p> There's little doubt that AMD has made the most of its recent dominance over Intel. However, what's more concerning to Intel investors, and likewise encouraging to AMD investors, is the clarity provided by their respective CEOs.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，AMD 充分利用了其最近对英特尔的统治地位。然而，更令英特尔投资者担忧、同样令 AMD 投资者感到鼓舞的是他们各自首席执行官提供的清晰度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f910460f850f7c0c3bd3508e0812fa7b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Intel LTM revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>按部门划分的英特尔 LTM 收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel reported another underwhelming quarter, but we don't think it was unexpected. Sure, the company's data center business (DCG) continues to disappoint compared to NVDA and AMD. However, INTC investors shouldn't be surprised.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔公布的季度业绩又令人失望，但我们认为这并不出乎意料。当然，与 NVDA 和 AMD 相比，该公司的数据中心业务 (DCG) 仍然令人失望。然而，INTC 投资者不应感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> DCG quarterly revenue YoY growth came in at 10% in FQ3. However, DCG revenue has been on a declining trend on a last-twelve-months (LTM) basis since FQ2'20.In a recent AMD article, we mentioned that Omdia estimated that AMD's data center share crossed 15% in Q2'21 for the first time in history. In retrospect, Intel had almost complete dominance in this segment just four years ago. It clearly shows how the critical stumbles from its former management have derailed its previously \"unassailable\" leadership. Now, Gelsinger &amp; Co. are left with the unenviable task of trying to overturn Intel's sinking fortunes. With AMD having assumed the technological leadership at the expense of Intel, it certainly looks like an \"easy bet\" which the company will likely continue to outperform.</p><p><blockquote>DCG 第三季度季度收入同比增长 10%。然而，自 2020 年第二季度以来，DCG 的收入在过去 12 个月 (LTM) 的基础上一直呈下降趋势。在AMD最近的一篇文章中，我们提到Omdia估计AMD的数据中心份额在Q2’21历史上首次超过15%。回想起来，就在四年前，英特尔在这一领域几乎完全占据主导地位。它清楚地表明，前任管理层的严重失误是如何破坏了其之前“无懈可击”的领导力的。现在，基辛格公司面临着一项艰巨的任务，那就是试图扭转英特尔日益衰落的命运。随着 AMD 以英特尔为代价占据技术领先地位，这看起来肯定是一个“轻松的赌注”，该公司可能会继续跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's client computing group's (CCG) performance was underwhelming in FQ3. Its revenue fell by 1.9% YoY and 4.4% QoQ, respectively. Notably, it came at a time when 2021 saw a strong resurgence in PC sales.In a recent Apple(AAPL) article, we mentioned that Apple's Mac segment had performed very well in 2021. In just the first three FQs, Mac has exceeded its revenue on a per FY basis over the last three years. Its resurgence is also in line with the trend observed in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔客户端计算集团 (CCG) 在第三季度的表现令人失望。其收入同比分别下降1.9%和4.4%。值得注意的是，它发生在2021年个人电脑销售强劲复苏之际。在苹果（AAPL）最近的一篇文章中，我们提到苹果的Mac部门在2021年表现非常好。仅在前三个 FQ 中，Mac 就超过了过去三年的每个财年的收入。它的复苏也符合业内观察到的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Counterpoint Research noted that \"global PC shipments marked their sixth consecutive YoY growth in Q3 2021&nbsp;at 84.2 million units. This came despite the ongoing component shortages and other supply constraints.\" Despite that, the firm also emphasized that \"the 9.3% YoY growth during [Q3] implied decelerating PC shipment momentum after four consecutive quarters of double-digit YoY growth since Q3 2020.\"</p><p><blockquote>Counterpoint Research 指出，“2021 年第三季度，全球个人电脑出货量连续第六年同比增长，达到 8420 万台。尽管零部件短缺和其他供应限制持续存在，但情况依然如此。”尽管如此，该公司还强调，“[第三季度]9.3% 的同比增长意味着自 2020 年第三季度以来连续四个季度实现两位数同比增长后，个人电脑出货量势头正在放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> Notwithstanding, Mac seems to have picked up strongly in CQ3. IDC reported that&nbsp;Apple's YoY shipment growth in CQ2&nbsp;was 9.4%. Moreover, Counterpoint research pointed out that Mac YoY shipment growth accelerated to 10.6% in CQ3. Hence, it's interesting to note that Mac grew even faster than the industry average in CQ3. As a result, Mac's global market share grew to 8.7%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Mac 似乎在第三季度表现强劲。IDC报告称，苹果第二季度出货量同比增长9.4%。此外，Counterpoint research 指出，第三季度 Mac 出货量同比增长加速至 10.6%。因此，有趣的是，Mac在第三季度的增长速度甚至超过了行业平均水平。因此，Mac的全球市场份额增长到8.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, it seems like Apple has been doing very well since it decoupled from Intel's chips. Even though Gelsinger remains optimistic about winning back Apple's business through \"better products\" in the future, the divorce looks to be \"finalized\" for now. But investors in semiconductor companies should remember that never say never when it comes to technological leadership. Intel is still a highly profitable company and therefore has the wherewithal and conviction to compete. Whether it can overturn AMD's and NVDA's leadership remains to be seen. But never write the company off so early on.</p><p><blockquote>因此，苹果自从与英特尔芯片脱钩以来，似乎一直做得很好。尽管基辛格对未来通过“更好的产品”赢回苹果的业务仍然持乐观态度，但离婚目前看来已经“敲定”。但半导体公司的投资者应该记住，当涉及到技术领先地位时，永远不要说永远。英特尔仍然是一家高利润的公司，因此有足够的资金和信念去竞争。它能否推翻AMD和NVDA的领导地位还有待观察。但千万不要这么早就注销公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c622b359fd3a73cac53c0e4410177c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC and AMD LTM gross margins. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC 和 AMD LTM 毛利率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Pat Gelsinger has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to assume technological leadership. It's mainly predicated on its \"five process nodes in four years\" quest to assume foundry leadership from Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM). In addition, the company is also willing to \"reset\" its gross margins to compete with AMD and NVDA at the same time. Outgoing CFO George Davis emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格 (Pat Gelsinger) 宣布了一项雄心勃勃的计划，以占据技术领先地位。它主要基于其“四年内五个工艺节点”的追求，以从台积电 (TSM) 手中夺取代工领导权。此外，该公司还愿意“重置”毛利率，以同时与AMD和NVDA竞争。即将离任的首席财务官乔治·戴维斯强调：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>We expect to see our revenue growth accelerate to a 10% to 12% CAGR over the next 4 to 5 years</i>. For gross margin, with the impact of our investment in capacity and the acceleration of our process technology,   <i>we expect gross margins between 51% and 53% over the next 2 to 3 years</i>before moving upward. (from Intel Q3 earnings call)  We find it interesting. Yes, the investments for process leadership and capacity expansion will affect its profitability. But Intel recognizes that it's at least a five-year process. At this time, is the company going to let Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. take all the glory while Intel works out its troubles? Obviously not. Pat recognizes that he needs a stop-gap solution. Short of saying \"we are cutting prices now\" to compete with AMD, this is as close as it gets.</p><p><blockquote><i>我们预计未来 4 至 5 年内收入增长将加速至 10% 至 12% 的复合年增长率</i>.就毛利率而言，随着我们对产能的投资和我们工艺技术的加速，<i>我们预计未来 2 至 3 年毛利率将在 51% 至 53% 之间</i>在向上移动之前。（摘自英特尔第三季度财报看涨期权）我们觉得这很有趣。是的，流程领导和产能扩张的投资将影响其盈利能力。但英特尔认识到这至少是一个五年的过程。此时，该公司是否要让 Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士承担所有荣耀，而英特尔则解决其问题？显然不是。帕特认识到他需要一个权宜之计的解决方案。除了说“我们现在正在降价”来与AMD竞争之外，这是最接近的了。</blockquote></p><p> We also highlighted in our previous AMD article (published on 20 September) that \"Intel is recently reported to be ready to lower the prices for its data center chips. The move was deemed necessary \"to lure back data center operators&nbsp;that have switched to rival Advanced Micro Devices.\" Otherwise, how can Gelsinger &amp; Co. be so confident in stopping the rot from AMD's continued success? Intel has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to increase revenue by a CAGR of 10% to 12% over the next four to five years. Intel is trying to transform itself back into a growth company. If you want to grow and don't have technological leadership, you must give up some profits. That makes absolute sense.</p><p><blockquote>我们还在之前的AMD文章（发表于9月20日）中强调，“最近有报道称，英特尔准备降低其数据中心芯片的价格。此举被认为是必要的”，以吸引已经转向竞争对手先进微设备的数据中心运营商回来。”否则，基辛格公司怎么能如此有信心阻止 AMD 的持续成功？英特尔宣布了一项雄心勃勃的计划，即在未来四到五年内将收入复合年增长率提高 10% 到 12%。英特尔正试图将自己转变为一家成长型公司。如果你想成长，又没有技术领先，就必须放弃一些利润。这绝对有道理。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The good thing is, Intel is already a highly profitable company. Its gross margins had declined markedly from the days when it posted margins north of 60%. However, its LTM margin of 56.3% is still significantly higher than AMD's 46.8%. Therefore, Intel's plans are credible. The company will now go head-on to compete with AMD in pricing while investing in assuming foundry leadership. Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co., you have been cautioned.</p><p><blockquote>好的一面是，英特尔已经是一家高利润的公司。自利润率超过 60% 时以来，其毛利率明显下降。不过，其56.3%的LTM利润率仍明显高于AMD的46.8%。因此，英特尔的计划是可信的。该公司现在将在定价方面与 AMD 正面竞争，同时投资占据代工领先地位。苏丽莎博士，你已经被警告过了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Continues Its Gangbusters Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD 继续强劲增长</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fb460f1a24eeac1ff3e46cc0ebd78f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD quarterly revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 按细分市场划分的季度收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5df5298fbc9733b0c0a8b1110c401ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD revenue segments YoY growth. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 收入部门同比增长。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There's little doubt that Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. have made the most of Intel's absolute mess. The company has been firing on all cylinders as it outperformed estimates easily. It continues to report tremendous strength in all its segments. FQ3 saw Advanced Micro Devices report 43.9% YoY growth in revenue for its computing and graphics business. Moreover, its enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom (EESC) segment continues its phenomenal run as AMD posted YoY revenue growth of 68.9%. Therefore, AMD has certainly made the most of Intel's losses in data center. Moreover, its computing and graphics growth has also been fantastic. AMD has undoubtedly grown much faster than the market.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士充分利用了英特尔的绝对混乱。该公司一直在全力以赴，因为它的表现轻松超出了预期。它在所有细分市场继续表现出巨大的实力。第三季度，Advanced Micro Devices 的计算和图形业务收入同比增长 43.9%。此外，随着 AMD 的收入同比增长 68.9%，其企业、嵌入式和半定制 (EESC) 部门继续保持惊人的表现。因此，AMD无疑将英特尔在数据中心的损失发挥到了最大。此外，其计算和图形增长也非常惊人。AMD的增长速度无疑比市场快得多。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, AMD continues to expect strong sequential growth into FQ4. AMD emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，AMD 继续预计第四季度将实现强劲的环比增长。AMD强调：</blockquote></p><p>   We expect revenue to be approximately $4.5 billion, plus or minus $100 million, an increase of approximately   <i>39% year-over-year and approximately 4% sequentially</i>. The year-over-year increase is expected to be driven by growth across all businesses. The quarter-over-quarter increase is expected to be driven by higher server and semi-custom sales. For the full year 2021,   <i>we now expect revenue to increase approximately 65% over 2020, driven by growth across all businesses</i>, up from the prior guidance of 60%. (from AMD FQ3 earnings call)  For a company that tells you that it expects a 65% YoY growth over FY20, it's clear it has achieved phenomenal results. Therefore, the market should reward AMD investors. AMD stock has clearly been outperforming the market after its early-year stumbles.</p><p><blockquote>我们预计收入约为 45 亿美元，上下浮动 1 亿美元，增长约<i>同比增长 39%，环比增长约 4%</i>预计同比增长将受到所有业务增长的推动。预计环比增长是由服务器和半定制销售的增长推动的。2021年全年，<i>我们现在预计，在所有业务增长的推动下，2020 年收入将增长约 65%</i>高于之前 60% 的指导值。（摘自 AMD 第三季度财报看涨期权）对于一家告诉您预计 2020 财年同比增长 65% 的公司来说，很明显它已经取得了惊人的业绩。因此，市场应该奖励AMD投资者。在经历了年初的挫折之后，AMD 股票的表现显然优于市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af9edf4c4d4b8055eee2f32456b6589d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD est. revenue and EBITDA mean consensus. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD是。收入和 EBITDA 意味着共识。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, we think investors need to consider how AMD will likely perform moving forward. Following its outstanding FQ3 report card, consensus estimates have also been revised upwards. AMD is estimated to post a revenue CAGR of 30.2% and an EBITDA CAGR of 50.4%. Compared to the company's FY21 revenue YoY growth guidance of 65%, it's a marked deceleration.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为投资者需要考虑 AMD 未来的表现。继出色的第三季度成绩单之后，市场普遍预期也被上调。AMD 预计收入复合年增长率为 30.2%，EBITDA 复合年增长率为 50.4%。与该公司 2021 财年 65% 的收入同比增长指引相比，这是一个明显的放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/970fd9b4cebec404a6c9bcc8c5b18140\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD LTM revenue and EBITDA. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD LTM 收入和 EBITDA。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, AMD has also grown its LTM revenue and EBITDA by a CAGR of 31.2% and 160% over the last four years, respectively. Therefore, AMD is unlikely to post such monstrous growth moving forward. As a result, investors need to taper their expectations when considering buying its stock. They can't be expecting AMD to continue growing at such phenomenal growth rates incessantly. We know it sounds good, but it's simply not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，AMD 的 LTM 收入和 EBITDA 在过去四年中的复合年增长率分别为 31.2% 和 160%。因此，AMD 不太可能实现如此巨大的增长。因此，投资者在考虑购买其股票时需要降低预期。他们不能指望 AMD 继续以如此惊人的增长率不断增长。我们知道这听起来不错，但它根本不可持续。</blockquote></p><p> We can also observe from its FQ3 performance. Its segments' YoY growth was the slowest in FQ3'21 compared to the previous two quarters. So it's not slow per se, but the growth seems to be decelerating. Therefore, AMD investors, you have been reminded.</p><p><blockquote>我们也可以从其第三季度的表现中观察到。与前两个季度相比，2021 年第三季度其各部门的同比增长最慢。所以它本身并不慢，但增长似乎正在减速。因此，AMD的投资者们，你们已经被提醒了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia Is Expected To Post Slower Much Growth Than Before</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预计英伟达的增长将比以前慢得多</b></blockquote></p><p> Jensen Huang &amp; Co. will release its FQ3'22 report card on 17 November. Its earnings conferences have often been highly anticipated events in the past. Its investors, PC geeks, and gamers love NVDA.</p><p><blockquote>黄仁勋公司将于 11 月 17 日发布 22 财年第三季度成绩单。过去，其财报会议往往是备受期待的活动。它的投资者、PC极客和游戏玩家都喜欢NVDA。</blockquote></p><p> The company guided for $6.8B in FQ3 revenue on its previous earnings call. Consensus estimates are also in line with the company's guidance. However,in our previous Nvidia article, we highlighted that the company's revenue growth seems to be decelerating across its main segments.</p><p><blockquote>根据之前的盈利看涨期权，该公司预计第三季度收入为 $6.8B。共识估计也符合公司的指引。然而，在我们之前的 Nvidia 文章中，我们强调该公司主要细分市场的收入增长似乎正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Datacenter growth fell to 35% YoY in FQ2'22. Moreover, Gaming has also demonstrated signs of deceleration. Its growth in FQ2 also slowed to 85% YoY. As a result, the company's overall revenue growth slowed to 68.3% YoY in FQ2.</p><p><blockquote>2022 年第二季度数据中心同比增长降至 35%。而且，游戏也出现了放缓的迹象。第二季度的同比增长也放缓至 85%。受此影响，该公司第二季度整体收入同比增速放缓至68.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfa0d4e579274e870b43dadcb6aa0be7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA actual and est. quarterly revenue YoY growth. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA实际和预计。季度收入同比增长。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notably, even with the recently revised estimates, Nvidia is expected to post slower YoY growth in FQ3'22 and beyond. In fact, the deceleration looks alarming. Investors might have to taper their expectations of NVDA's gangbusters growth momentum moving forward. Nothing goes up in one straight line forever. Moving forward, revenue comps will get increasingly harder for Jensen Huang &amp; Co. to beat.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，即使最近修订了预期，英伟达预计在 2022 年第三季度及以后的同比增长仍将放缓。事实上，减速看起来令人担忧。投资者可能不得不降低对 NVDA 未来强劲增长势头的预期。没有什么是永远沿一条直线上升的。展望未来，黄仁勋公司将越来越难以击败收入竞争。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0873d94239c63b839b483644a71fe429\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA earnings beats/misses. Source: Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA 盈利超出/超出预期。资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notwithstanding, we recognize that NVDA might also be sandbagging expectations in its guidance. We noted that NVDA has only missed one quarterly estimate in the last four years. It's an almost flawless performance. Notably, while NVDA has consistently outperformed its guidance, those beats were not incredibly massive. What we meant is investors should not totally disregard the consensus estimates as out of line. They have been pretty accurate over time. So while NVDA might have sandbagged its previous guidance to overdeliver potentially, they had not overdone it.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们认识到 NVDA 也可能在其指导中淡化预期。我们注意到，NVDA 在过去四年中仅未达到一个季度预期。这是一场几乎完美无瑕的表演。值得注意的是，尽管 NVDA 的表现一直优于其指引，但这些节拍并不是令人难以置信的巨大。我们的意思是，投资者不应该完全忽视普遍的估计，认为这是不合时宜的。随着时间的推移，它们变得相当准确。因此，尽管 NVDA 可能会将之前的指导视为可能超额交割，但他们并没有超额交割。</blockquote></p><p> We understand that some NVDA investors are anticipating its TAM expansion into its software stack, omniverse applications, and cloud-gaming expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们了解到，一些 NVDA 投资者预计其 TAM 扩展到其软件堆栈、omniverse 应用程序和云游戏扩展。</blockquote></p><p> We recognize the incredible efforts invested by NVDA to transform itself into an AI company that has a huge GPU dominance. Coupled with its DPU and CPU forays, the hardware strategy looks very impressive. Moreover, Nvidia's AI Enterprise now offers its complete AI enterprise software suite to its customers. With the number of developers on its platform currently, we think its leadership is secure. The ecosystem will get even stronger over time as more developers come on board. If the company could pull through its Arm acquisition, we think there's no way that Intel or AMD could catch up.</p><p><blockquote>我们认识到 NVDA 为将自己转变为一家拥有巨大 GPU 主导地位的人工智能公司所付出的令人难以置信的努力。加上其DPU和CPU的突破，硬件战略看起来非常令人印象深刻。此外，Nvidia 的 AI Enterprise 现在向客户提供完整的 AI Enterprise 软件套件。鉴于目前其平台上的开发者数量，我们认为其领导地位是安全的。随着越来越多的开发者加入，这个生态系统会变得更加强大。如果该公司能够完成对 Arm 的收购，我们认为英特尔或 AMD 不可能赶上。</blockquote></p><p> The main problem is that Nvidia couldn't/is not willing to put a timeline to<i>when they would derive meaningful revenues from its software stack.</i>Nvidia could only add recently: \"But as [we] said, what [we] quoted to you for both NVIDIA enterprise as well as for Omniverse enterprise as being multibillion-dollar opportunities, we see these as very real opportunities, right?\"</p><p><blockquote>主要问题是Nvidia不能/不愿意为<i>当他们从其软件堆栈中获得有意义的收入时。</i>Nvidia 最近只能补充道：“但正如 [我们] 所说，[我们] 向您引用的 Nvidia enterprise 和 Omniverse enterprise 的价值数十亿美元的机会，我们认为这些是非常真实的机会，对吗？”</blockquote></p><p> <b>So, Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么，哪只芯片股票更值得购买呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97466fa7c05502ccb3d3fb348c1fbedd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58c3575f8db9aafef9a106f36114a1b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock currently trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 29.7x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean read 30.8x. Therefore, investors can argue that AMD might seem fairly valued right now. In contrast, NVDA stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 53.5x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean is 41.6x. Thus, the stock is trading at about 28.6% above its 3Y mean. Hence, we think NVDA stock looks overvalued right now. Coupled with potentially slower revenue growth moving forward, a poor quarter might induce potential value compressions. Otherwise, a potential overcapacity problem in 2023 might also hit NVDA stock hard due to its rich valuation.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股票目前的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 29.7 倍。其 3 年 NTM EBITDA 平均值为 30.8 倍。因此，投资者可以认为 AMD 目前的估值可能相当合理。相比之下，NVDA 股票的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 53.5 倍。其 3 年 NTM EBITDA 均值为 41.6 倍。因此，该股的交易价格比 3 年平均水平高出约 28.6%。因此，我们认为 NVDA 股票目前看起来被高估了。再加上未来收入增长可能放缓，糟糕的季度可能会导致潜在的价值压缩。否则，由于估值过高，2023年潜在的产能过剩问题也可能对NVDA股票造成沉重打击。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/467ed7eaf7cb4b7aed414494c2110be8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55716ccea92c6410434d2f1ab7d3ef15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"265\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC stock LTM dividend yield. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC股票LTM股息收益率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> INTC stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 6.7x. It's markedly below its 3Y mean of 7.6x. Therefore, INTC is clearly a value play and not a growth play. It has also provided a respectable dividend yield for its investors over the years. As a result of its recent post-FQ3 sell-off, the annualized yield has recovered to 2.8%. INTC investors have been very comfortable sitting on its robust profitability and its solid dividend yields over the years. These value and dividend income investors don't invest in INTC stock for growth. They invest in it for its value and its dividends.</p><p><blockquote>INTC 股票的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 6.7 倍。这明显低于 3 年平均值 7.6 倍。因此，INTC显然是一个价值游戏，而不是一个增长游戏。多年来，它还为投资者提供了可观的股息收益率。由于最近第三季度后的抛售，年化收益率已恢复至 2.8%。多年来，INTC 投资者对其强劲的盈利能力和稳定的股息收益率感到非常满意。这些价值和股息收入投资者投资 INTC 股票并不是为了增长。他们投资它是为了它的价值和股息。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Pat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plans have thrown them a curveball that they didn't expect. When Intel communicated that these plans would have a discernible impact on its profitability, they feared for their dividends. Perhaps, Gelsinger is banking on a turnover of its investor base. The company could potentially be a huge winner if it succeeds on its growth roadmap. Given that the expectations are so low now, it doesn't even have to be immensely successful for the stock to be re-rated upwards. The huge difference in the growth premium between INTC and its faster growth peers is eye-catching. We think investors who have patience and are willing to ride out the short-term volatility might find INTC stock attractively valued right now. Coupled with a 2.8% dividend yield, it adds more gloss to its premise. Adding on a potential growth re-rating, the stock certainly looks attractive.</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格雄心勃勃的增长计划给了他们一个意想不到的曲线球。当英特尔宣布这些计划将对其盈利能力产生明显影响时，他们担心自己的股息。也许，基辛格寄希望于其投资者基础的更替。如果该公司在其增长路线图上取得成功，它可能会成为一个巨大的赢家。鉴于现在的预期如此之低，该股甚至不需要取得巨大成功就能被重新上调评级。INTC 与其增长更快的同行之间增长溢价的巨大差异引人注目。我们认为，有耐心并愿意度过短期波动的投资者可能会发现 INTC 股票现在的估值很有吸引力。再加上 2.8% 的股息收益率，它为其前提增添了更多光彩。再加上潜在的增长重新评级，该股看起来确实很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Despite that, INTC's long-term momentum has remained weak. The stock's long-term price action has also been much weaker than AMD stock. We recall that Buffett emphasized that he has no qualms about paying a fair price for a fantastic company.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，INTC的长期势头仍然疲软。该股的长期价格走势也远弱于 AMD 股票。我们记得巴菲特强调，他毫不犹豫地为一家出色的公司支付合理的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think&nbsp;<i>AMD stock represents our preferred Buy</i>&nbsp;for now.<i>INTC stock is also a Buy</i>&nbsp;for dividend and value investors. At the same time, we&nbsp;<i>retain our Neutral rating on NVDA</i>.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为<i>AMD 股票是我们的首选买入</i>暂时。<i>INTC 股票也值得买入</i>对于股息和价值投资者。同时，我们<i>维持对 NVDA 的中性评级</i>.</blockquote></p><p> This article was written by&nbsp;JR Research.</p><p><blockquote>本文由JR Research撰写。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel, Nvidia, Or AMD: Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>英特尔、英伟达还是 AMD：哪只芯片股票更值得购买？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel, Nvidia, Or AMD: Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>英特尔、英伟达还是 AMD：哪只芯片股票更值得购买？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-29 11:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Intel reported a set of earnings that was pretty decent. However, the market was confused with its ambitious growth plans.</li>  <li>Advanced Micro Devices continues its run of phenomenal results in FY21. Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. is making the most out of Intel's stumbles.</li>  <li>Nvidia will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company's growth momentum is expected to continue slowing down.</li>  <li>We discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c8b907cc53a6667f686b7acaf873b0a\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>英特尔公布的收益相当不错。然而，市场对其雄心勃勃的增长计划感到困惑。</li><li>Advanced Micro Devices 在 2021 财年继续取得惊人的业绩。Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士正在充分利用英特尔的失误。</li><li>英伟达将于11月17日发布第三季度成绩单。公司增长势头预计将继续放缓。</li><li>我们讨论现在哪种半导体股票更值得购买。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) issued a fantastic FQ3 report card recently. The company also handily beat consensus estimates and reaffirmed AMD's position as one of the leading semiconductor companies.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) 最近发布了一份精彩的第三季度成绩单。该公司还轻松超出了市场普遍预期，并重申了 AMD 作为领先半导体公司之一的地位。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company made gains while Intel (INTC) reported a set of results that we thought were actually pretty fine. There were some concerns over underwhelming data center performance, but it was expected. However, the market didn't like what Pat Gelsinger &amp; Co. telegraphed and thrashed the stock after earnings. Intel communicated what it would cost on its quest to retake its process node leadership. However, it seems that investors weren't sure about the company's ambitious plans. Coupled with weakened profitability and free cash flow prospects, some value-oriented investors seemed to have headed for the exit.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司实现了上涨，而英特尔 (INTC) 报告了一系列我们认为实际上相当不错的业绩。人们对数据中心性能不佳表示担忧，但这是意料之中的。然而，市场并不喜欢 Pat Gelsinger &amp; Co. 在财报公布后发出的电报和对该股的猛烈抨击。英特尔传达了其寻求重新夺回工艺节点领导地位的成本。然而，投资者似乎并不确定该公司雄心勃勃的计划。再加上盈利能力减弱和自由现金流前景，一些价值导向的投资者似乎已经走向退出。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia (NVDA) will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company had previously guided for a strong quarter. Jensen Huang &amp; Co. see \"sequential growth&nbsp;driven largely by accelerating demand in data center.\" The company also expects growth in each of its three markets, particularly in gaming. Investors' expectations are also high given AMD's robust performance. Hence, investors have eagerly anticipated NVDA's earnings release as NVDA stock pushed through a new all-time high (ATH) this week.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达 (NVDA) 将于 11 月 17 日发布第三季度成绩单。该公司此前曾预测本季度表现强劲。黄仁勋公司认为“主要由数据中心需求加速推动的连续增长”。该公司还预计其三个市场都将实现增长，尤其是游戏市场。鉴于 AMD 的强劲表现，投资者的期望也很高。因此，随着 NVDA 股价本周创下历史新高 (ATH)，投资者热切期待 NVDA 的财报发布。</blockquote></p><p> We will discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now between them.</p><p><blockquote>我们将讨论现在哪只半导体股票更值得购买。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INTC, NVDA, AMD Stock YTD Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>INTC、NVDA、AMD 股票年初至今表现</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc276e3bd3b1b72a0413e8be2d14ebe3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC, NVDA, AMD stock YTD performance (as of 27 October 21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC、NVDA、AMD股票年初至今表现（截至21年10月27日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NVDA stock continues to enjoy a phenomenal year so far. The stock made a new ATH this week, as YTD returns surged to 87.3%. Bearish investors in NVDA can say all they want, but we have never adopted a bearish NVDA stock thesis. It just doesn't make sense. The stock has the best possible A+ in Seeking Alpha's momentum grade for the whole year. Hence, we really couldn't understand those bearish theses. AMD stock is in second place with a 33.3% YTD gain. It seems like the stock has lagged far behind NVDA stock's incredible performance. However, investors should consider the fact that AMD stock spent most of H1'21 in the red. Therefore, its huge momentum surge in H2'21 has been really impressive. Consequently, the stock's momentum is also given an A grade in Seeking Alpha.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，NVDA 股票继续享受非凡的一年。该股本周创下新高，年初至今回报率飙升至 87.3%。看跌 NVDA 的投资者可以畅所欲言，但我们从未采用看跌 NVDA 股票的论点。这根本说不通。该股在寻求 Alpha 全年动量评级方面拥有最好的 A+。因此，我们真的无法理解那些看跌的论点。AMD 股票位居第二，年初至今涨幅为 33.3%。该股似乎远远落后于 NVDA 股票令人难以置信的表现。然而，投资者应该考虑到 AMD 股票在 2021 年上半年的大部分时间里都处于亏损状态。因此，其在 H2'21 的巨大势头激增确实令人印象深刻。因此，该股的势头在 Seeking Alpha 中也被评为 A 级。</blockquote></p><p> In contrast, the perennial underperformer INTC stock continues to underperform. The stock started very brightly as it raced to a 40% YTD gain. However, its momentum has completely fizzled out. Currently, its YTD decline of 3.9% looks abysmal when compared to AMD stock and NVDA stock. In addition, Seeking Alpha also assigned it with a D+ rating in momentum.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，长期表现不佳的 INTC 股票继续表现不佳。该股开局非常光明，年初至今上涨了 40%。然而，它的势头已经完全消失了。目前，与 AMD 股票和 NVDA 股票相比，其年初至今 3.9% 的跌幅看起来很糟糕。此外，Seeking Alpha 还在 momentum 上给予其 D+ 评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Intel FQ3 Report Card Is Telling Of Its Weakening Leadership</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔第三季度成绩单显示其领导地位正在减弱</b></blockquote></p><p> There's little doubt that AMD has made the most of its recent dominance over Intel. However, what's more concerning to Intel investors, and likewise encouraging to AMD investors, is the clarity provided by their respective CEOs.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，AMD 充分利用了其最近对英特尔的统治地位。然而，更令英特尔投资者担忧、同样令 AMD 投资者感到鼓舞的是他们各自首席执行官提供的清晰度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f910460f850f7c0c3bd3508e0812fa7b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Intel LTM revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>按部门划分的英特尔 LTM 收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel reported another underwhelming quarter, but we don't think it was unexpected. Sure, the company's data center business (DCG) continues to disappoint compared to NVDA and AMD. However, INTC investors shouldn't be surprised.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔公布的季度业绩又令人失望，但我们认为这并不出乎意料。当然，与 NVDA 和 AMD 相比，该公司的数据中心业务 (DCG) 仍然令人失望。然而，INTC 投资者不应感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> DCG quarterly revenue YoY growth came in at 10% in FQ3. However, DCG revenue has been on a declining trend on a last-twelve-months (LTM) basis since FQ2'20.In a recent AMD article, we mentioned that Omdia estimated that AMD's data center share crossed 15% in Q2'21 for the first time in history. In retrospect, Intel had almost complete dominance in this segment just four years ago. It clearly shows how the critical stumbles from its former management have derailed its previously \"unassailable\" leadership. Now, Gelsinger &amp; Co. are left with the unenviable task of trying to overturn Intel's sinking fortunes. With AMD having assumed the technological leadership at the expense of Intel, it certainly looks like an \"easy bet\" which the company will likely continue to outperform.</p><p><blockquote>DCG 第三季度季度收入同比增长 10%。然而，自 2020 年第二季度以来，DCG 的收入在过去 12 个月 (LTM) 的基础上一直呈下降趋势。在AMD最近的一篇文章中，我们提到Omdia估计AMD的数据中心份额在Q2’21历史上首次超过15%。回想起来，就在四年前，英特尔在这一领域几乎完全占据主导地位。它清楚地表明，前任管理层的严重失误是如何破坏了其之前“无懈可击”的领导力的。现在，基辛格公司面临着一项艰巨的任务，那就是试图扭转英特尔日益衰落的命运。随着 AMD 以英特尔为代价占据技术领先地位，这看起来肯定是一个“轻松的赌注”，该公司可能会继续跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's client computing group's (CCG) performance was underwhelming in FQ3. Its revenue fell by 1.9% YoY and 4.4% QoQ, respectively. Notably, it came at a time when 2021 saw a strong resurgence in PC sales.In a recent Apple(AAPL) article, we mentioned that Apple's Mac segment had performed very well in 2021. In just the first three FQs, Mac has exceeded its revenue on a per FY basis over the last three years. Its resurgence is also in line with the trend observed in the industry.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔客户端计算集团 (CCG) 在第三季度的表现令人失望。其收入同比分别下降1.9%和4.4%。值得注意的是，它发生在2021年个人电脑销售强劲复苏之际。在苹果（AAPL）最近的一篇文章中，我们提到苹果的Mac部门在2021年表现非常好。仅在前三个 FQ 中，Mac 就超过了过去三年的每个财年的收入。它的复苏也符合业内观察到的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Counterpoint Research noted that \"global PC shipments marked their sixth consecutive YoY growth in Q3 2021&nbsp;at 84.2 million units. This came despite the ongoing component shortages and other supply constraints.\" Despite that, the firm also emphasized that \"the 9.3% YoY growth during [Q3] implied decelerating PC shipment momentum after four consecutive quarters of double-digit YoY growth since Q3 2020.\"</p><p><blockquote>Counterpoint Research 指出，“2021 年第三季度，全球个人电脑出货量连续第六年同比增长，达到 8420 万台。尽管零部件短缺和其他供应限制持续存在，但情况依然如此。”尽管如此，该公司还强调，“[第三季度]9.3% 的同比增长意味着自 2020 年第三季度以来连续四个季度实现两位数同比增长后，个人电脑出货量势头正在放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> Notwithstanding, Mac seems to have picked up strongly in CQ3. IDC reported that&nbsp;Apple's YoY shipment growth in CQ2&nbsp;was 9.4%. Moreover, Counterpoint research pointed out that Mac YoY shipment growth accelerated to 10.6% in CQ3. Hence, it's interesting to note that Mac grew even faster than the industry average in CQ3. As a result, Mac's global market share grew to 8.7%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Mac 似乎在第三季度表现强劲。IDC报告称，苹果第二季度出货量同比增长9.4%。此外，Counterpoint research 指出，第三季度 Mac 出货量同比增长加速至 10.6%。因此，有趣的是，Mac在第三季度的增长速度甚至超过了行业平均水平。因此，Mac的全球市场份额增长到8.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, it seems like Apple has been doing very well since it decoupled from Intel's chips. Even though Gelsinger remains optimistic about winning back Apple's business through \"better products\" in the future, the divorce looks to be \"finalized\" for now. But investors in semiconductor companies should remember that never say never when it comes to technological leadership. Intel is still a highly profitable company and therefore has the wherewithal and conviction to compete. Whether it can overturn AMD's and NVDA's leadership remains to be seen. But never write the company off so early on.</p><p><blockquote>因此，苹果自从与英特尔芯片脱钩以来，似乎一直做得很好。尽管基辛格对未来通过“更好的产品”赢回苹果的业务仍然持乐观态度，但离婚目前看来已经“敲定”。但半导体公司的投资者应该记住，当涉及到技术领先地位时，永远不要说永远。英特尔仍然是一家高利润的公司，因此有足够的资金和信念去竞争。它能否推翻AMD和NVDA的领导地位还有待观察。但千万不要这么早就注销公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c622b359fd3a73cac53c0e4410177c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC and AMD LTM gross margins. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC 和 AMD LTM 毛利率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Pat Gelsinger has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to assume technological leadership. It's mainly predicated on its \"five process nodes in four years\" quest to assume foundry leadership from Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM). In addition, the company is also willing to \"reset\" its gross margins to compete with AMD and NVDA at the same time. Outgoing CFO George Davis emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格 (Pat Gelsinger) 宣布了一项雄心勃勃的计划，以占据技术领先地位。它主要基于其“四年内五个工艺节点”的追求，以从台积电 (TSM) 手中夺取代工领导权。此外，该公司还愿意“重置”毛利率，以同时与AMD和NVDA竞争。即将离任的首席财务官乔治·戴维斯强调：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>We expect to see our revenue growth accelerate to a 10% to 12% CAGR over the next 4 to 5 years</i>. For gross margin, with the impact of our investment in capacity and the acceleration of our process technology,   <i>we expect gross margins between 51% and 53% over the next 2 to 3 years</i>before moving upward. (from Intel Q3 earnings call)  We find it interesting. Yes, the investments for process leadership and capacity expansion will affect its profitability. But Intel recognizes that it's at least a five-year process. At this time, is the company going to let Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. take all the glory while Intel works out its troubles? Obviously not. Pat recognizes that he needs a stop-gap solution. Short of saying \"we are cutting prices now\" to compete with AMD, this is as close as it gets.</p><p><blockquote><i>我们预计未来 4 至 5 年内收入增长将加速至 10% 至 12% 的复合年增长率</i>.就毛利率而言，随着我们对产能的投资和我们工艺技术的加速，<i>我们预计未来 2 至 3 年毛利率将在 51% 至 53% 之间</i>在向上移动之前。（摘自英特尔第三季度财报看涨期权）我们觉得这很有趣。是的，流程领导和产能扩张的投资将影响其盈利能力。但英特尔认识到这至少是一个五年的过程。此时，该公司是否要让 Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士承担所有荣耀，而英特尔则解决其问题？显然不是。帕特认识到他需要一个权宜之计的解决方案。除了说“我们现在正在降价”来与AMD竞争之外，这是最接近的了。</blockquote></p><p> We also highlighted in our previous AMD article (published on 20 September) that \"Intel is recently reported to be ready to lower the prices for its data center chips. The move was deemed necessary \"to lure back data center operators&nbsp;that have switched to rival Advanced Micro Devices.\" Otherwise, how can Gelsinger &amp; Co. be so confident in stopping the rot from AMD's continued success? Intel has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to increase revenue by a CAGR of 10% to 12% over the next four to five years. Intel is trying to transform itself back into a growth company. If you want to grow and don't have technological leadership, you must give up some profits. That makes absolute sense.</p><p><blockquote>我们还在之前的AMD文章（发表于9月20日）中强调，“最近有报道称，英特尔准备降低其数据中心芯片的价格。此举被认为是必要的”，以吸引已经转向竞争对手先进微设备的数据中心运营商回来。”否则，基辛格公司怎么能如此有信心阻止 AMD 的持续成功？英特尔宣布了一项雄心勃勃的计划，即在未来四到五年内将收入复合年增长率提高 10% 到 12%。英特尔正试图将自己转变为一家成长型公司。如果你想成长，又没有技术领先，就必须放弃一些利润。这绝对有道理。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The good thing is, Intel is already a highly profitable company. Its gross margins had declined markedly from the days when it posted margins north of 60%. However, its LTM margin of 56.3% is still significantly higher than AMD's 46.8%. Therefore, Intel's plans are credible. The company will now go head-on to compete with AMD in pricing while investing in assuming foundry leadership. Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co., you have been cautioned.</p><p><blockquote>好的一面是，英特尔已经是一家高利润的公司。自利润率超过 60% 时以来，其毛利率明显下降。不过，其56.3%的LTM利润率仍明显高于AMD的46.8%。因此，英特尔的计划是可信的。该公司现在将在定价方面与 AMD 正面竞争，同时投资占据代工领先地位。苏丽莎博士，你已经被警告过了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMD Continues Its Gangbusters Growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD 继续强劲增长</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fb460f1a24eeac1ff3e46cc0ebd78f3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD quarterly revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 按细分市场划分的季度收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5df5298fbc9733b0c0a8b1110c401ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD revenue segments YoY growth. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 收入部门同比增长。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There's little doubt that Dr. Lisa Su &amp; Co. have made the most of Intel's absolute mess. The company has been firing on all cylinders as it outperformed estimates easily. It continues to report tremendous strength in all its segments. FQ3 saw Advanced Micro Devices report 43.9% YoY growth in revenue for its computing and graphics business. Moreover, its enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom (EESC) segment continues its phenomenal run as AMD posted YoY revenue growth of 68.9%. Therefore, AMD has certainly made the most of Intel's losses in data center. Moreover, its computing and graphics growth has also been fantastic. AMD has undoubtedly grown much faster than the market.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，Lisa Su &amp; Co. 博士充分利用了英特尔的绝对混乱。该公司一直在全力以赴，因为它的表现轻松超出了预期。它在所有细分市场继续表现出巨大的实力。第三季度，Advanced Micro Devices 的计算和图形业务收入同比增长 43.9%。此外，随着 AMD 的收入同比增长 68.9%，其企业、嵌入式和半定制 (EESC) 部门继续保持惊人的表现。因此，AMD无疑将英特尔在数据中心的损失发挥到了最大。此外，其计算和图形增长也非常惊人。AMD的增长速度无疑比市场快得多。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, AMD continues to expect strong sequential growth into FQ4. AMD emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，AMD 继续预计第四季度将实现强劲的环比增长。AMD强调：</blockquote></p><p>   We expect revenue to be approximately $4.5 billion, plus or minus $100 million, an increase of approximately   <i>39% year-over-year and approximately 4% sequentially</i>. The year-over-year increase is expected to be driven by growth across all businesses. The quarter-over-quarter increase is expected to be driven by higher server and semi-custom sales. For the full year 2021,   <i>we now expect revenue to increase approximately 65% over 2020, driven by growth across all businesses</i>, up from the prior guidance of 60%. (from AMD FQ3 earnings call)  For a company that tells you that it expects a 65% YoY growth over FY20, it's clear it has achieved phenomenal results. Therefore, the market should reward AMD investors. AMD stock has clearly been outperforming the market after its early-year stumbles.</p><p><blockquote>我们预计收入约为 45 亿美元，上下浮动 1 亿美元，增长约<i>同比增长 39%，环比增长约 4%</i>预计同比增长将受到所有业务增长的推动。预计环比增长是由服务器和半定制销售的增长推动的。2021年全年，<i>我们现在预计，在所有业务增长的推动下，2020 年收入将增长约 65%</i>高于之前 60% 的指导值。（摘自 AMD 第三季度财报看涨期权）对于一家告诉您预计 2020 财年同比增长 65% 的公司来说，很明显它已经取得了惊人的业绩。因此，市场应该奖励AMD投资者。在经历了年初的挫折之后，AMD 股票的表现显然优于市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af9edf4c4d4b8055eee2f32456b6589d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"395\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD est. revenue and EBITDA mean consensus. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD是。收入和 EBITDA 意味着共识。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, we think investors need to consider how AMD will likely perform moving forward. Following its outstanding FQ3 report card, consensus estimates have also been revised upwards. AMD is estimated to post a revenue CAGR of 30.2% and an EBITDA CAGR of 50.4%. Compared to the company's FY21 revenue YoY growth guidance of 65%, it's a marked deceleration.</p><p><blockquote>然而，我们认为投资者需要考虑 AMD 未来的表现。继出色的第三季度成绩单之后，市场普遍预期也被上调。AMD 预计收入复合年增长率为 30.2%，EBITDA 复合年增长率为 50.4%。与该公司 2021 财年 65% 的收入同比增长指引相比，这是一个明显的放缓。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/970fd9b4cebec404a6c9bcc8c5b18140\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD LTM revenue and EBITDA. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD LTM 收入和 EBITDA。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, AMD has also grown its LTM revenue and EBITDA by a CAGR of 31.2% and 160% over the last four years, respectively. Therefore, AMD is unlikely to post such monstrous growth moving forward. As a result, investors need to taper their expectations when considering buying its stock. They can't be expecting AMD to continue growing at such phenomenal growth rates incessantly. We know it sounds good, but it's simply not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是，AMD 的 LTM 收入和 EBITDA 在过去四年中的复合年增长率分别为 31.2% 和 160%。因此，AMD 不太可能实现如此巨大的增长。因此，投资者在考虑购买其股票时需要降低预期。他们不能指望 AMD 继续以如此惊人的增长率不断增长。我们知道这听起来不错，但它根本不可持续。</blockquote></p><p> We can also observe from its FQ3 performance. Its segments' YoY growth was the slowest in FQ3'21 compared to the previous two quarters. So it's not slow per se, but the growth seems to be decelerating. Therefore, AMD investors, you have been reminded.</p><p><blockquote>我们也可以从其第三季度的表现中观察到。与前两个季度相比，2021 年第三季度其各部门的同比增长最慢。所以它本身并不慢，但增长似乎正在减速。因此，AMD的投资者们，你们已经被提醒了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia Is Expected To Post Slower Much Growth Than Before</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预计英伟达的增长将比以前慢得多</b></blockquote></p><p> Jensen Huang &amp; Co. will release its FQ3'22 report card on 17 November. Its earnings conferences have often been highly anticipated events in the past. Its investors, PC geeks, and gamers love NVDA.</p><p><blockquote>黄仁勋公司将于 11 月 17 日发布 22 财年第三季度成绩单。过去，其财报会议往往是备受期待的活动。它的投资者、PC极客和游戏玩家都喜欢NVDA。</blockquote></p><p> The company guided for $6.8B in FQ3 revenue on its previous earnings call. Consensus estimates are also in line with the company's guidance. However,in our previous Nvidia article, we highlighted that the company's revenue growth seems to be decelerating across its main segments.</p><p><blockquote>根据之前的盈利看涨期权，该公司预计第三季度收入为 $6.8B。共识估计也符合公司的指引。然而，在我们之前的 Nvidia 文章中，我们强调该公司主要细分市场的收入增长似乎正在放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Datacenter growth fell to 35% YoY in FQ2'22. Moreover, Gaming has also demonstrated signs of deceleration. Its growth in FQ2 also slowed to 85% YoY. As a result, the company's overall revenue growth slowed to 68.3% YoY in FQ2.</p><p><blockquote>2022 年第二季度数据中心同比增长降至 35%。而且，游戏也出现了放缓的迹象。第二季度的同比增长也放缓至 85%。受此影响，该公司第二季度整体收入同比增速放缓至68.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfa0d4e579274e870b43dadcb6aa0be7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA actual and est. quarterly revenue YoY growth. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA实际和预计。季度收入同比增长。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notably, even with the recently revised estimates, Nvidia is expected to post slower YoY growth in FQ3'22 and beyond. In fact, the deceleration looks alarming. Investors might have to taper their expectations of NVDA's gangbusters growth momentum moving forward. Nothing goes up in one straight line forever. Moving forward, revenue comps will get increasingly harder for Jensen Huang &amp; Co. to beat.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，即使最近修订了预期，英伟达预计在 2022 年第三季度及以后的同比增长仍将放缓。事实上，减速看起来令人担忧。投资者可能不得不降低对 NVDA 未来强劲增长势头的预期。没有什么是永远沿一条直线上升的。展望未来，黄仁勋公司将越来越难以击败收入竞争。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0873d94239c63b839b483644a71fe429\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA earnings beats/misses. Source: Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA 盈利超出/超出预期。资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notwithstanding, we recognize that NVDA might also be sandbagging expectations in its guidance. We noted that NVDA has only missed one quarterly estimate in the last four years. It's an almost flawless performance. Notably, while NVDA has consistently outperformed its guidance, those beats were not incredibly massive. What we meant is investors should not totally disregard the consensus estimates as out of line. They have been pretty accurate over time. So while NVDA might have sandbagged its previous guidance to overdeliver potentially, they had not overdone it.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们认识到 NVDA 也可能在其指导中淡化预期。我们注意到，NVDA 在过去四年中仅未达到一个季度预期。这是一场几乎完美无瑕的表演。值得注意的是，尽管 NVDA 的表现一直优于其指引，但这些节拍并不是令人难以置信的巨大。我们的意思是，投资者不应该完全忽视普遍的估计，认为这是不合时宜的。随着时间的推移，它们变得相当准确。因此，尽管 NVDA 可能会将之前的指导视为可能超额交割，但他们并没有超额交割。</blockquote></p><p> We understand that some NVDA investors are anticipating its TAM expansion into its software stack, omniverse applications, and cloud-gaming expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们了解到，一些 NVDA 投资者预计其 TAM 扩展到其软件堆栈、omniverse 应用程序和云游戏扩展。</blockquote></p><p> We recognize the incredible efforts invested by NVDA to transform itself into an AI company that has a huge GPU dominance. Coupled with its DPU and CPU forays, the hardware strategy looks very impressive. Moreover, Nvidia's AI Enterprise now offers its complete AI enterprise software suite to its customers. With the number of developers on its platform currently, we think its leadership is secure. The ecosystem will get even stronger over time as more developers come on board. If the company could pull through its Arm acquisition, we think there's no way that Intel or AMD could catch up.</p><p><blockquote>我们认识到 NVDA 为将自己转变为一家拥有巨大 GPU 主导地位的人工智能公司所付出的令人难以置信的努力。加上其DPU和CPU的突破，硬件战略看起来非常令人印象深刻。此外，Nvidia 的 AI Enterprise 现在向客户提供完整的 AI Enterprise 软件套件。鉴于目前其平台上的开发者数量，我们认为其领导地位是安全的。随着越来越多的开发者加入，这个生态系统会变得更加强大。如果该公司能够完成对 Arm 的收购，我们认为英特尔或 AMD 不可能赶上。</blockquote></p><p> The main problem is that Nvidia couldn't/is not willing to put a timeline to<i>when they would derive meaningful revenues from its software stack.</i>Nvidia could only add recently: \"But as [we] said, what [we] quoted to you for both NVIDIA enterprise as well as for Omniverse enterprise as being multibillion-dollar opportunities, we see these as very real opportunities, right?\"</p><p><blockquote>主要问题是Nvidia不能/不愿意为<i>当他们从其软件堆栈中获得有意义的收入时。</i>Nvidia 最近只能补充道：“但正如 [我们] 所说，[我们] 向您引用的 Nvidia enterprise 和 Omniverse enterprise 的价值数十亿美元的机会，我们认为这些是非常真实的机会，对吗？”</blockquote></p><p> <b>So, Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么，哪只芯片股票更值得购买呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97466fa7c05502ccb3d3fb348c1fbedd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>AMD stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AMD 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58c3575f8db9aafef9a106f36114a1b7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NVDA stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NVDA 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD stock currently trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 29.7x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean read 30.8x. Therefore, investors can argue that AMD might seem fairly valued right now. In contrast, NVDA stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 53.5x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean is 41.6x. Thus, the stock is trading at about 28.6% above its 3Y mean. Hence, we think NVDA stock looks overvalued right now. Coupled with potentially slower revenue growth moving forward, a poor quarter might induce potential value compressions. Otherwise, a potential overcapacity problem in 2023 might also hit NVDA stock hard due to its rich valuation.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股票目前的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 29.7 倍。其 3 年 NTM EBITDA 平均值为 30.8 倍。因此，投资者可以认为 AMD 目前的估值可能相当合理。相比之下，NVDA 股票的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 53.5 倍。其 3 年 NTM EBITDA 均值为 41.6 倍。因此，该股的交易价格比 3 年平均水平高出约 28.6%。因此，我们认为 NVDA 股票目前看起来被高估了。再加上未来收入增长可能放缓，糟糕的季度可能会导致潜在的价值压缩。否则，由于估值过高，2023年潜在的产能过剩问题也可能对NVDA股票造成沉重打击。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/467ed7eaf7cb4b7aed414494c2110be8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC 股票 EV/NTM EBITDA 3 年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55716ccea92c6410434d2f1ab7d3ef15\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"265\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>INTC stock LTM dividend yield. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>INTC股票LTM股息收益率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> INTC stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 6.7x. It's markedly below its 3Y mean of 7.6x. Therefore, INTC is clearly a value play and not a growth play. It has also provided a respectable dividend yield for its investors over the years. As a result of its recent post-FQ3 sell-off, the annualized yield has recovered to 2.8%. INTC investors have been very comfortable sitting on its robust profitability and its solid dividend yields over the years. These value and dividend income investors don't invest in INTC stock for growth. They invest in it for its value and its dividends.</p><p><blockquote>INTC 股票的 EV/NTM EBITDA 为 6.7 倍。这明显低于 3 年平均值 7.6 倍。因此，INTC显然是一个价值游戏，而不是一个增长游戏。多年来，它还为投资者提供了可观的股息收益率。由于最近第三季度后的抛售，年化收益率已恢复至 2.8%。多年来，INTC 投资者对其强劲的盈利能力和稳定的股息收益率感到非常满意。这些价值和股息收入投资者投资 INTC 股票并不是为了增长。他们投资它是为了它的价值和股息。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Pat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plans have thrown them a curveball that they didn't expect. When Intel communicated that these plans would have a discernible impact on its profitability, they feared for their dividends. Perhaps, Gelsinger is banking on a turnover of its investor base. The company could potentially be a huge winner if it succeeds on its growth roadmap. Given that the expectations are so low now, it doesn't even have to be immensely successful for the stock to be re-rated upwards. The huge difference in the growth premium between INTC and its faster growth peers is eye-catching. We think investors who have patience and are willing to ride out the short-term volatility might find INTC stock attractively valued right now. Coupled with a 2.8% dividend yield, it adds more gloss to its premise. Adding on a potential growth re-rating, the stock certainly looks attractive.</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格雄心勃勃的增长计划给了他们一个意想不到的曲线球。当英特尔宣布这些计划将对其盈利能力产生明显影响时，他们担心自己的股息。也许，基辛格寄希望于其投资者基础的更替。如果该公司在其增长路线图上取得成功，它可能会成为一个巨大的赢家。鉴于现在的预期如此之低，该股甚至不需要取得巨大成功就能被重新上调评级。INTC 与其增长更快的同行之间增长溢价的巨大差异引人注目。我们认为，有耐心并愿意度过短期波动的投资者可能会发现 INTC 股票现在的估值很有吸引力。再加上 2.8% 的股息收益率，它为其前提增添了更多光彩。再加上潜在的增长重新评级，该股看起来确实很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Despite that, INTC's long-term momentum has remained weak. The stock's long-term price action has also been much weaker than AMD stock. We recall that Buffett emphasized that he has no qualms about paying a fair price for a fantastic company.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，INTC的长期势头仍然疲软。该股的长期价格走势也远弱于 AMD 股票。我们记得巴菲特强调，他毫不犹豫地为一家出色的公司支付合理的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, we think&nbsp;<i>AMD stock represents our preferred Buy</i>&nbsp;for now.<i>INTC stock is also a Buy</i>&nbsp;for dividend and value investors. At the same time, we&nbsp;<i>retain our Neutral rating on NVDA</i>.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们认为<i>AMD 股票是我们的首选买入</i>暂时。<i>INTC 股票也值得买入</i>对于股息和价值投资者。同时，我们<i>维持对 NVDA 的中性评级</i>.</blockquote></p><p> This article was written by&nbsp;JR Research.</p><p><blockquote>本文由JR Research撰写。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4463134-intel-nvidia-amd-chip-stock-better-buy\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达","INTC":"英特尔","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4463134-intel-nvidia-amd-chip-stock-better-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122237204","content_text":"Summary\n\nIntel reported a set of earnings that was pretty decent. However, the market was confused with its ambitious growth plans.\nAdvanced Micro Devices continues its run of phenomenal results in FY21. Dr. Lisa Su & Co. is making the most out of Intel's stumbles.\nNvidia will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company's growth momentum is expected to continue slowing down.\nWe discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now.\n\nSundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) issued a fantastic FQ3 report card recently. The company also handily beat consensus estimates and reaffirmed AMD's position as one of the leading semiconductor companies.\nNotably, the company made gains while Intel (INTC) reported a set of results that we thought were actually pretty fine. There were some concerns over underwhelming data center performance, but it was expected. However, the market didn't like what Pat Gelsinger & Co. telegraphed and thrashed the stock after earnings. Intel communicated what it would cost on its quest to retake its process node leadership. However, it seems that investors weren't sure about the company's ambitious plans. Coupled with weakened profitability and free cash flow prospects, some value-oriented investors seemed to have headed for the exit.\nNvidia (NVDA) will issue its FQ3 report card on 17 November. The company had previously guided for a strong quarter. Jensen Huang & Co. see \"sequential growth driven largely by accelerating demand in data center.\" The company also expects growth in each of its three markets, particularly in gaming. Investors' expectations are also high given AMD's robust performance. Hence, investors have eagerly anticipated NVDA's earnings release as NVDA stock pushed through a new all-time high (ATH) this week.\nWe will discuss which semiconductor stock is the better buy now between them.\nINTC, NVDA, AMD Stock YTD Performance\nINTC, NVDA, AMD stock YTD performance (as of 27 October 21).\nNVDA stock continues to enjoy a phenomenal year so far. The stock made a new ATH this week, as YTD returns surged to 87.3%. Bearish investors in NVDA can say all they want, but we have never adopted a bearish NVDA stock thesis. It just doesn't make sense. The stock has the best possible A+ in Seeking Alpha's momentum grade for the whole year. Hence, we really couldn't understand those bearish theses. AMD stock is in second place with a 33.3% YTD gain. It seems like the stock has lagged far behind NVDA stock's incredible performance. However, investors should consider the fact that AMD stock spent most of H1'21 in the red. Therefore, its huge momentum surge in H2'21 has been really impressive. Consequently, the stock's momentum is also given an A grade in Seeking Alpha.\nIn contrast, the perennial underperformer INTC stock continues to underperform. The stock started very brightly as it raced to a 40% YTD gain. However, its momentum has completely fizzled out. Currently, its YTD decline of 3.9% looks abysmal when compared to AMD stock and NVDA stock. In addition, Seeking Alpha also assigned it with a D+ rating in momentum.\nIntel FQ3 Report Card Is Telling Of Its Weakening Leadership\nThere's little doubt that AMD has made the most of its recent dominance over Intel. However, what's more concerning to Intel investors, and likewise encouraging to AMD investors, is the clarity provided by their respective CEOs.\nIntel LTM revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings\nIntel reported another underwhelming quarter, but we don't think it was unexpected. Sure, the company's data center business (DCG) continues to disappoint compared to NVDA and AMD. However, INTC investors shouldn't be surprised.\nDCG quarterly revenue YoY growth came in at 10% in FQ3. However, DCG revenue has been on a declining trend on a last-twelve-months (LTM) basis since FQ2'20.In a recent AMD article, we mentioned that Omdia estimated that AMD's data center share crossed 15% in Q2'21 for the first time in history. In retrospect, Intel had almost complete dominance in this segment just four years ago. It clearly shows how the critical stumbles from its former management have derailed its previously \"unassailable\" leadership. Now, Gelsinger & Co. are left with the unenviable task of trying to overturn Intel's sinking fortunes. With AMD having assumed the technological leadership at the expense of Intel, it certainly looks like an \"easy bet\" which the company will likely continue to outperform.\nIntel's client computing group's (CCG) performance was underwhelming in FQ3. Its revenue fell by 1.9% YoY and 4.4% QoQ, respectively. Notably, it came at a time when 2021 saw a strong resurgence in PC sales.In a recent Apple(AAPL) article, we mentioned that Apple's Mac segment had performed very well in 2021. In just the first three FQs, Mac has exceeded its revenue on a per FY basis over the last three years. Its resurgence is also in line with the trend observed in the industry.\nCounterpoint Research noted that \"global PC shipments marked their sixth consecutive YoY growth in Q3 2021 at 84.2 million units. This came despite the ongoing component shortages and other supply constraints.\" Despite that, the firm also emphasized that \"the 9.3% YoY growth during [Q3] implied decelerating PC shipment momentum after four consecutive quarters of double-digit YoY growth since Q3 2020.\"\nNotwithstanding, Mac seems to have picked up strongly in CQ3. IDC reported that Apple's YoY shipment growth in CQ2 was 9.4%. Moreover, Counterpoint research pointed out that Mac YoY shipment growth accelerated to 10.6% in CQ3. Hence, it's interesting to note that Mac grew even faster than the industry average in CQ3. As a result, Mac's global market share grew to 8.7%.\nTherefore, it seems like Apple has been doing very well since it decoupled from Intel's chips. Even though Gelsinger remains optimistic about winning back Apple's business through \"better products\" in the future, the divorce looks to be \"finalized\" for now. But investors in semiconductor companies should remember that never say never when it comes to technological leadership. Intel is still a highly profitable company and therefore has the wherewithal and conviction to compete. Whether it can overturn AMD's and NVDA's leadership remains to be seen. But never write the company off so early on.\nINTC and AMD LTM gross margins. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nPat Gelsinger has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to assume technological leadership. It's mainly predicated on its \"five process nodes in four years\" quest to assume foundry leadership from Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM). In addition, the company is also willing to \"reset\" its gross margins to compete with AMD and NVDA at the same time. Outgoing CFO George Davis emphasized:\n\nWe expect to see our revenue growth accelerate to a 10% to 12% CAGR over the next 4 to 5 years. For gross margin, with the impact of our investment in capacity and the acceleration of our process technology, \n we expect gross margins between 51% and 53% over the next 2 to 3 yearsbefore moving upward. (from Intel Q3 earnings call)\n\nWe find it interesting. Yes, the investments for process leadership and capacity expansion will affect its profitability. But Intel recognizes that it's at least a five-year process. At this time, is the company going to let Dr. Lisa Su & Co. take all the glory while Intel works out its troubles? Obviously not. Pat recognizes that he needs a stop-gap solution. Short of saying \"we are cutting prices now\" to compete with AMD, this is as close as it gets.\nWe also highlighted in our previous AMD article (published on 20 September) that \"Intel is recently reported to be ready to lower the prices for its data center chips. The move was deemed necessary \"to lure back data center operators that have switched to rival Advanced Micro Devices.\" Otherwise, how can Gelsinger & Co. be so confident in stopping the rot from AMD's continued success? Intel has telegraphed a highly ambitious plan to increase revenue by a CAGR of 10% to 12% over the next four to five years. Intel is trying to transform itself back into a growth company. If you want to grow and don't have technological leadership, you must give up some profits. That makes absolute sense.\nThe good thing is, Intel is already a highly profitable company. Its gross margins had declined markedly from the days when it posted margins north of 60%. However, its LTM margin of 56.3% is still significantly higher than AMD's 46.8%. Therefore, Intel's plans are credible. The company will now go head-on to compete with AMD in pricing while investing in assuming foundry leadership. Dr. Lisa Su & Co., you have been cautioned.\nAMD Continues Its Gangbusters Growth\nAMD quarterly revenue by segment. Data source: Company filings\nAMD revenue segments YoY growth. Data source: Company filings\nThere's little doubt that Dr. Lisa Su & Co. have made the most of Intel's absolute mess. The company has been firing on all cylinders as it outperformed estimates easily. It continues to report tremendous strength in all its segments. FQ3 saw Advanced Micro Devices report 43.9% YoY growth in revenue for its computing and graphics business. Moreover, its enterprise, embedded, and semi-custom (EESC) segment continues its phenomenal run as AMD posted YoY revenue growth of 68.9%. Therefore, AMD has certainly made the most of Intel's losses in data center. Moreover, its computing and graphics growth has also been fantastic. AMD has undoubtedly grown much faster than the market.\nIn fact, AMD continues to expect strong sequential growth into FQ4. AMD emphasized:\n\n We expect revenue to be approximately $4.5 billion, plus or minus $100 million, an increase of approximately \n 39% year-over-year and approximately 4% sequentially. The year-over-year increase is expected to be driven by growth across all businesses. The quarter-over-quarter increase is expected to be driven by higher server and semi-custom sales. For the full year 2021, \n we now expect revenue to increase approximately 65% over 2020, driven by growth across all businesses, up from the prior guidance of 60%. (from AMD FQ3 earnings call)\n\nFor a company that tells you that it expects a 65% YoY growth over FY20, it's clear it has achieved phenomenal results. Therefore, the market should reward AMD investors. AMD stock has clearly been outperforming the market after its early-year stumbles.\nAMD est. revenue and EBITDA mean consensus. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nHowever, we think investors need to consider how AMD will likely perform moving forward. Following its outstanding FQ3 report card, consensus estimates have also been revised upwards. AMD is estimated to post a revenue CAGR of 30.2% and an EBITDA CAGR of 50.4%. Compared to the company's FY21 revenue YoY growth guidance of 65%, it's a marked deceleration.\nAMD LTM revenue and EBITDA. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nImportantly, AMD has also grown its LTM revenue and EBITDA by a CAGR of 31.2% and 160% over the last four years, respectively. Therefore, AMD is unlikely to post such monstrous growth moving forward. As a result, investors need to taper their expectations when considering buying its stock. They can't be expecting AMD to continue growing at such phenomenal growth rates incessantly. We know it sounds good, but it's simply not sustainable.\nWe can also observe from its FQ3 performance. Its segments' YoY growth was the slowest in FQ3'21 compared to the previous two quarters. So it's not slow per se, but the growth seems to be decelerating. Therefore, AMD investors, you have been reminded.\nNvidia Is Expected To Post Slower Much Growth Than Before\nJensen Huang & Co. will release its FQ3'22 report card on 17 November. Its earnings conferences have often been highly anticipated events in the past. Its investors, PC geeks, and gamers love NVDA.\nThe company guided for $6.8B in FQ3 revenue on its previous earnings call. Consensus estimates are also in line with the company's guidance. However,in our previous Nvidia article, we highlighted that the company's revenue growth seems to be decelerating across its main segments.\nDatacenter growth fell to 35% YoY in FQ2'22. Moreover, Gaming has also demonstrated signs of deceleration. Its growth in FQ2 also slowed to 85% YoY. As a result, the company's overall revenue growth slowed to 68.3% YoY in FQ2.\nNVDA actual and est. quarterly revenue YoY growth. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nNotably, even with the recently revised estimates, Nvidia is expected to post slower YoY growth in FQ3'22 and beyond. In fact, the deceleration looks alarming. Investors might have to taper their expectations of NVDA's gangbusters growth momentum moving forward. Nothing goes up in one straight line forever. Moving forward, revenue comps will get increasingly harder for Jensen Huang & Co. to beat.\nNVDA earnings beats/misses. Source: Seeking Alpha Premium\nNotwithstanding, we recognize that NVDA might also be sandbagging expectations in its guidance. We noted that NVDA has only missed one quarterly estimate in the last four years. It's an almost flawless performance. Notably, while NVDA has consistently outperformed its guidance, those beats were not incredibly massive. What we meant is investors should not totally disregard the consensus estimates as out of line. They have been pretty accurate over time. So while NVDA might have sandbagged its previous guidance to overdeliver potentially, they had not overdone it.\nWe understand that some NVDA investors are anticipating its TAM expansion into its software stack, omniverse applications, and cloud-gaming expansion.\nWe recognize the incredible efforts invested by NVDA to transform itself into an AI company that has a huge GPU dominance. Coupled with its DPU and CPU forays, the hardware strategy looks very impressive. Moreover, Nvidia's AI Enterprise now offers its complete AI enterprise software suite to its customers. With the number of developers on its platform currently, we think its leadership is secure. The ecosystem will get even stronger over time as more developers come on board. If the company could pull through its Arm acquisition, we think there's no way that Intel or AMD could catch up.\nThe main problem is that Nvidia couldn't/is not willing to put a timeline towhen they would derive meaningful revenues from its software stack.Nvidia could only add recently: \"But as [we] said, what [we] quoted to you for both NVIDIA enterprise as well as for Omniverse enterprise as being multibillion-dollar opportunities, we see these as very real opportunities, right?\"\nSo, Which Chip Stock Is The Better Buy?\nAMD stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.\nNVDA stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.\nAMD stock currently trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 29.7x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean read 30.8x. Therefore, investors can argue that AMD might seem fairly valued right now. In contrast, NVDA stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 53.5x. Its 3Y NTM EBITDA mean is 41.6x. Thus, the stock is trading at about 28.6% above its 3Y mean. Hence, we think NVDA stock looks overvalued right now. Coupled with potentially slower revenue growth moving forward, a poor quarter might induce potential value compressions. Otherwise, a potential overcapacity problem in 2023 might also hit NVDA stock hard due to its rich valuation.\nINTC stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.\nINTC stock LTM dividend yield. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nINTC stock trades at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 6.7x. It's markedly below its 3Y mean of 7.6x. Therefore, INTC is clearly a value play and not a growth play. It has also provided a respectable dividend yield for its investors over the years. As a result of its recent post-FQ3 sell-off, the annualized yield has recovered to 2.8%. INTC investors have been very comfortable sitting on its robust profitability and its solid dividend yields over the years. These value and dividend income investors don't invest in INTC stock for growth. They invest in it for its value and its dividends.\nPat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plans have thrown them a curveball that they didn't expect. When Intel communicated that these plans would have a discernible impact on its profitability, they feared for their dividends. Perhaps, Gelsinger is banking on a turnover of its investor base. The company could potentially be a huge winner if it succeeds on its growth roadmap. Given that the expectations are so low now, it doesn't even have to be immensely successful for the stock to be re-rated upwards. The huge difference in the growth premium between INTC and its faster growth peers is eye-catching. We think investors who have patience and are willing to ride out the short-term volatility might find INTC stock attractively valued right now. Coupled with a 2.8% dividend yield, it adds more gloss to its premise. Adding on a potential growth re-rating, the stock certainly looks attractive.\nDespite that, INTC's long-term momentum has remained weak. The stock's long-term price action has also been much weaker than AMD stock. We recall that Buffett emphasized that he has no qualms about paying a fair price for a fantastic company.\nTherefore, we think AMD stock represents our preferred Buy for now.INTC stock is also a Buy for dividend and value investors. At the same time, we retain our Neutral rating on NVDA.\nThis article was written by JR Research.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852910865,"gmtCreate":1635233687883,"gmtModify":1635233712056,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"☺️☺️","listText":"☺️☺️","text":"☺️☺️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852910865","repostId":"2177412181","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2177412181","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1635219132,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2177412181?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-26 11:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD earnings look to again succeed where Intel disappointed<blockquote>AMD 盈利有望再次取得成功，英特尔令人失望</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2177412181","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analy","content":"<p>AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analysts now point to AMD's growing margins as Intel's are projected to shrink</p><p><blockquote>AMD 盈利预览：在英特尔连续两个季度下滑的情况下显示数据中心增长后，分析师现在指出 AMD 的利润率正在增长，因为英特尔的利润率预计将萎缩</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30ec3c9220844c561016f0de86f86f52\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s growing series of Epyc server chips has been the talk of Wall Street in recent quarters, but that may switch to gross margins in this quarter’s earnings report.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 最近几个季度，华尔街一直在谈论不断增长的 Epyc 服务器芯片系列，但这可能会转向本季度财报中的毛利率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices Inc. is set to follow yet another rough earnings report from Intel Corp., and once again could show gains in an area that caused pain for its larger rival.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 将继英特尔公司 (Intel Corp.) 发布另一份糟糕的收益报告之后，该公司可能会再次在一个给其更大的竞争对手带来痛苦的领域取得进展。</blockquote></p><p> AMD&nbsp;is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday after the close of markets, after Intel&nbsp;reported an earnings beat Thursday that hardly mattered as revenue came in light. More important to analysts was Intel's forecast for declining margins over the next few years as its chief executive doubles down on new manufacturing capacity to try to retake its former glory as the undisputed chip leader.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 定于周二收盘后公布第三季度收益，此前英特尔周四公布的收益超出预期，但随着收入的浮出水面，这几乎无关紧要。对分析师来说，更重要的是英特尔预测未来几年利润率将下降，因为其首席执行官加倍投资新的产能，试图重夺其作为无可争议的芯片领导者的昔日荣耀。</blockquote></p><p> That led to downgrades on Friday and Intel's worst one-day performance since the chip leader said it was going to delay its next generation of chips, an announcement that had fired up even more investor support for AMD back then.</p><p><blockquote>这导致了周五的评级下调，以及自这家芯片领导者表示将推迟下一代芯片以来英特尔最糟糕的单日表现，这一声明当时激发了投资者对 AMD 的更多支持。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, who has a market perform rating on AMD and a $110 price target, said AMD will continue to benefit from Intel's transition, and called attention to an AMD metric that was one of enormous concern during Intel's call: Gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>Bernstein 分析师 Stacy Rasgon 对 AMD 给予市场表现评级，目标价为 110 美元，他表示 AMD 将继续受益于英特尔的转型，并呼吁人们关注英特尔看涨期权期间备受关注的 AMD 指标之一：毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe Street gross margin estimates appear unaggressive going forward (which is not something we have typically said for AMD), and the company is now (for the first time ever) starting to return cash,\" Rasgon said.</p><p><blockquote>拉斯贡表示：“我们认为，未来华尔街毛利率估计似乎并不激进（这不是我们通常对 AMD 所说的话），而且该公司现在（有史以来第一次）开始返还现金。”</blockquote></p><p> That underscores another show of how Intel and AMD are transitioning with respect to one another: Analysts on the Intel call were very concerned that Intel's margins were falling despite company assurances they would stay just above 50% for the next few years. Meanwhile, AMD gross margins have been rising, and are likely to break above 50%, if not in this earnings report, then sometime soon. Three months ago, AMD reported gross margins of 48%, up from 44% in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>这再次表明英特尔和 AMD 正在相互转型：英特尔看涨期权上的分析师非常担心英特尔的利润率正在下降，尽管该公司保证未来几年利润率将保持在 50% 以上。与此同时，AMD 的毛利率一直在上升，并且可能会突破 50% 以上，如果不是在这份收益报告中，那么很快就会突破 50%。三个月前，AMD 公布的毛利率为 48%，高于上一年的 44%。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD is referred to as Intel's \"smaller rival,\" that gap has been steadily closing for a while now. At Friday's close, AMD had a market cap of $145.34 billion, or nearly 73% of Intel's $200.66 billion. Just this past summer, AMD's $111.5 billion valuation was a little more than half Intel's $219.5 billion cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AMD被称为英特尔的“较小的竞争对手”，但这一差距已经稳步缩小了一段时间。截至周五收盘，AMD 的市值为 1453.4 亿美元，接近英特尔 2006.6 亿美元市值的 73%。就在去年夏天，AMD 的估值为 1115 亿美元，略高于英特尔 2195 亿美元上限的一半。</blockquote></p><p> One other are to look at will be data-center sales, as finally swung to a gain in that important segment in the quarter. Over the past two quarters, Intel has posted significant year-over-year declines in the increasingly important category, while AMD has more than doubled its sales. That raises the question whether Intel clawed back some market share, or whether data-center sales were just generally better all around, which AMD's report could answer.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得关注的领域是数据中心销售，该领域终于在本季度实现了这一重要领域的增长。在过去的两个季度里，英特尔在这个日益重要的类别中的销售额同比大幅下降，而 AMD 的销售额则增长了一倍多。这就提出了一个问题：英特尔是否夺回了一些市场份额，或者数据中心的销售是否只是普遍更好，AMD 的报告可以回答这个问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings: </b>Of the 34 analysts surveyed by FactSet, AMD on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of 66 cents a share, up from 41 cents a share reported in the year-ago period. Estimize, a software platform that crowdsources estimates from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of 72 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>在 FactSet 调查的 34 名分析师中，AMD 预计调整后每股收益平均为 66 美分，高于去年同期的每股 41 美分。Estimize 是一个软件平台，它从对冲基金高管、经纪公司、买方分析师和其他人那里众包评级估算，每股收益为 72 美分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue:</b> Of the 32 analysts polled by FactSet, AMD, on average, is expected to post revenue of $4.11 billion, up from the $2.8 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. AMD had forecast $4 billion to $4.2 billion. Estimize expects revenue of $4.22 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>在 FactSet 调查的 32 名分析师中，AMD 预计平均营收为 41.1 亿美元，高于去年同期报告的 28 亿美元。AMD 曾预测 40 亿至 42 亿美元。Estimize 预计收入为 42.2 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement:</b> While AMD earnings and sales have both topped Wall Street estimates over the past five quarterly reports, but shares only gained the next day twice, about three months ago and when the stock popped nearly 13% five quarters ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>尽管 AMD 在过去五个季度报告中的盈利和销售额均超出了华尔街的预期，但其股价仅在第二天上涨了两次，一次是在大约三个月前，另一次是在五个季度前，当时该股飙升了近 13%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares rose 9.6% in the third quarter. In contrast, the PHLX Semiconductor Index declined 2.6%, the S&amp;P 500 index rose 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.4%. On Friday, the day after Intel's report, AMD shares closed at a record high of $119.82.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股价第三季度上涨 9.6%。相比之下，PHLX半导体指数下跌2.6%，标普500指数上涨0.2%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.4%。周五，即英特尔发布报告的第二天，AMD 股价收于 119.82 美元的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What analysts are saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Cowen analyst Matthew Ramsay, who has an outperform rating and a $120 price target on AMD, said he's \"lookin' for more of the same.\"</p><p><blockquote>Cowen 分析师马修·拉姆齐 (Matthew Ramsay) 对 AMD 给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为 120 美元，他表示“正在寻找更多类似的评级”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We continue to monitor the PC market for signs of demand slowing or supply improving,\" Ramsay said. \"Near-term, we see resilient demand outside Chromebooks, but prefer a prudent/agnostic view on 2022 like AMD took on its last call.\"</p><p><blockquote>拉姆齐表示：“我们将继续监测个人电脑市场是否有需求放缓或供应改善的迹象。”“短期内，我们看到 Chromebook 以外的需求有弹性，但更倾向于对 2022 年持谨慎/不可知论的态度，就像 AMD 进行最后一次看涨期权一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Earlier in the month, research firms released data showing that pandemic-fueled growth in PC shipments had slowed considerably as the world not only wrestles with a chip shortage but overall supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，研究公司发布的数据显示，由于全球不仅面临芯片短缺，而且面临整体供应链问题，疫情推动的个人电脑出货量增长已大幅放缓。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On data-center sales, Ramsay is even more optimistic estimating that segment will account for more than 25% of sales compared with less than 20% a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>在数据中心销售方面，Ramsay 更加乐观，估计该部门将占销售额的 25% 以上，而一年前这一比例还不到 20%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe datacenter passing a quarter of AMD's business could draw investor attention,\" Ramsay said. \"We remind investors that the most important business for AMD remains datacenter, which we estimate doubled in 2020, with CEO Lisa Su noting she sees the business momentum accelerating in 2021.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们相信数据中心超过 AMD 四分之一的业务可能会吸引投资者的注意力，”拉姆齐说。“我们提醒投资者，AMD 最重要的业务仍然是数据中心，我们预计该业务在 2020 年将翻一番，首席执行官 Lisa Su 指出，她预计 2021 年业务势头将加速。”</blockquote></p><p> Susquehanna Financial analyst Christopher Rolland, who has a positive rating and a $130 price target on AMD, said he expects another solid quarter driven by enterprise and server sales, but that \"given the slowing PC market, we do not expect mgmt to raise their FY top-line guidance as they have done in numerous updates over the last year.\"</p><p><blockquote>萨斯奎哈纳金融分析师克里斯托弗·罗兰 (Christopher Rolland) 对 AMD 给予正面评级，目标价为 130 美元，他表示，在企业和服务器销售的推动下，他预计本季度将再次表现强劲，但“鉴于 PC 市场放缓，我们预计管理层不会提高他们的财年营收指引，就像他们在去年的多次更新中所做的那样。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, Rolland expects AMD to report share gains from Intel in both desktop and laptop PCs as well as enterprise and gaming PCs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，罗兰预计 AMD 在台式机和笔记本电脑以及企业和游戏电脑方面的份额将超过英特尔。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 39 analysts who cover AMD, 23 have buy or overweight ratings, and 16 have hold ratings, with an average price target of $117.55.</p><p><blockquote>在研究 AMD 的 39 位分析师中，23 位给予买入或跑赢大盘评级，16 位给予持有评级，平均目标价为 117.55 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD earnings look to again succeed where Intel disappointed<blockquote>AMD 盈利有望再次取得成功，英特尔令人失望</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-26 11:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analysts now point to AMD's growing margins as Intel's are projected to shrink</p><p><blockquote>AMD 盈利预览：在英特尔连续两个季度下滑的情况下显示数据中心增长后，分析师现在指出 AMD 的利润率正在增长，因为英特尔的利润率预计将萎缩</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30ec3c9220844c561016f0de86f86f52\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s growing series of Epyc server chips has been the talk of Wall Street in recent quarters, but that may switch to gross margins in this quarter’s earnings report.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 最近几个季度，华尔街一直在谈论不断增长的 Epyc 服务器芯片系列，但这可能会转向本季度财报中的毛利率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices Inc. is set to follow yet another rough earnings report from Intel Corp., and once again could show gains in an area that caused pain for its larger rival.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 将继英特尔公司 (Intel Corp.) 发布另一份糟糕的收益报告之后，该公司可能会再次在一个给其更大的竞争对手带来痛苦的领域取得进展。</blockquote></p><p> AMD&nbsp;is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday after the close of markets, after Intel&nbsp;reported an earnings beat Thursday that hardly mattered as revenue came in light. More important to analysts was Intel's forecast for declining margins over the next few years as its chief executive doubles down on new manufacturing capacity to try to retake its former glory as the undisputed chip leader.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 定于周二收盘后公布第三季度收益，此前英特尔周四公布的收益超出预期，但随着收入的浮出水面，这几乎无关紧要。对分析师来说，更重要的是英特尔预测未来几年利润率将下降，因为其首席执行官加倍投资新的产能，试图重夺其作为无可争议的芯片领导者的昔日荣耀。</blockquote></p><p> That led to downgrades on Friday and Intel's worst one-day performance since the chip leader said it was going to delay its next generation of chips, an announcement that had fired up even more investor support for AMD back then.</p><p><blockquote>这导致了周五的评级下调，以及自这家芯片领导者表示将推迟下一代芯片以来英特尔最糟糕的单日表现，这一声明当时激发了投资者对 AMD 的更多支持。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, who has a market perform rating on AMD and a $110 price target, said AMD will continue to benefit from Intel's transition, and called attention to an AMD metric that was one of enormous concern during Intel's call: Gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>Bernstein 分析师 Stacy Rasgon 对 AMD 给予市场表现评级，目标价为 110 美元，他表示 AMD 将继续受益于英特尔的转型，并呼吁人们关注英特尔看涨期权期间备受关注的 AMD 指标之一：毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe Street gross margin estimates appear unaggressive going forward (which is not something we have typically said for AMD), and the company is now (for the first time ever) starting to return cash,\" Rasgon said.</p><p><blockquote>拉斯贡表示：“我们认为，未来华尔街毛利率估计似乎并不激进（这不是我们通常对 AMD 所说的话），而且该公司现在（有史以来第一次）开始返还现金。”</blockquote></p><p> That underscores another show of how Intel and AMD are transitioning with respect to one another: Analysts on the Intel call were very concerned that Intel's margins were falling despite company assurances they would stay just above 50% for the next few years. Meanwhile, AMD gross margins have been rising, and are likely to break above 50%, if not in this earnings report, then sometime soon. Three months ago, AMD reported gross margins of 48%, up from 44% in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>这再次表明英特尔和 AMD 正在相互转型：英特尔看涨期权上的分析师非常担心英特尔的利润率正在下降，尽管该公司保证未来几年利润率将保持在 50% 以上。与此同时，AMD 的毛利率一直在上升，并且可能会突破 50% 以上，如果不是在这份收益报告中，那么很快就会突破 50%。三个月前，AMD 公布的毛利率为 48%，高于上一年的 44%。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD is referred to as Intel's \"smaller rival,\" that gap has been steadily closing for a while now. At Friday's close, AMD had a market cap of $145.34 billion, or nearly 73% of Intel's $200.66 billion. Just this past summer, AMD's $111.5 billion valuation was a little more than half Intel's $219.5 billion cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AMD被称为英特尔的“较小的竞争对手”，但这一差距已经稳步缩小了一段时间。截至周五收盘，AMD 的市值为 1453.4 亿美元，接近英特尔 2006.6 亿美元市值的 73%。就在去年夏天，AMD 的估值为 1115 亿美元，略高于英特尔 2195 亿美元上限的一半。</blockquote></p><p> One other are to look at will be data-center sales, as finally swung to a gain in that important segment in the quarter. Over the past two quarters, Intel has posted significant year-over-year declines in the increasingly important category, while AMD has more than doubled its sales. That raises the question whether Intel clawed back some market share, or whether data-center sales were just generally better all around, which AMD's report could answer.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得关注的领域是数据中心销售，该领域终于在本季度实现了这一重要领域的增长。在过去的两个季度里，英特尔在这个日益重要的类别中的销售额同比大幅下降，而 AMD 的销售额则增长了一倍多。这就提出了一个问题：英特尔是否夺回了一些市场份额，或者数据中心的销售是否只是普遍更好，AMD 的报告可以回答这个问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings: </b>Of the 34 analysts surveyed by FactSet, AMD on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of 66 cents a share, up from 41 cents a share reported in the year-ago period. Estimize, a software platform that crowdsources estimates from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of 72 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>在 FactSet 调查的 34 名分析师中，AMD 预计调整后每股收益平均为 66 美分，高于去年同期的每股 41 美分。Estimize 是一个软件平台，它从对冲基金高管、经纪公司、买方分析师和其他人那里众包评级估算，每股收益为 72 美分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue:</b> Of the 32 analysts polled by FactSet, AMD, on average, is expected to post revenue of $4.11 billion, up from the $2.8 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. AMD had forecast $4 billion to $4.2 billion. Estimize expects revenue of $4.22 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>在 FactSet 调查的 32 名分析师中，AMD 预计平均营收为 41.1 亿美元，高于去年同期报告的 28 亿美元。AMD 曾预测 40 亿至 42 亿美元。Estimize 预计收入为 42.2 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement:</b> While AMD earnings and sales have both topped Wall Street estimates over the past five quarterly reports, but shares only gained the next day twice, about three months ago and when the stock popped nearly 13% five quarters ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>尽管 AMD 在过去五个季度报告中的盈利和销售额均超出了华尔街的预期，但其股价仅在第二天上涨了两次，一次是在大约三个月前，另一次是在五个季度前，当时该股飙升了近 13%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares rose 9.6% in the third quarter. In contrast, the PHLX Semiconductor Index declined 2.6%, the S&amp;P 500 index rose 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.4%. On Friday, the day after Intel's report, AMD shares closed at a record high of $119.82.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股价第三季度上涨 9.6%。相比之下，PHLX半导体指数下跌2.6%，标普500指数上涨0.2%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.4%。周五，即英特尔发布报告的第二天，AMD 股价收于 119.82 美元的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What analysts are saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Cowen analyst Matthew Ramsay, who has an outperform rating and a $120 price target on AMD, said he's \"lookin' for more of the same.\"</p><p><blockquote>Cowen 分析师马修·拉姆齐 (Matthew Ramsay) 对 AMD 给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为 120 美元，他表示“正在寻找更多类似的评级”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We continue to monitor the PC market for signs of demand slowing or supply improving,\" Ramsay said. \"Near-term, we see resilient demand outside Chromebooks, but prefer a prudent/agnostic view on 2022 like AMD took on its last call.\"</p><p><blockquote>拉姆齐表示：“我们将继续监测个人电脑市场是否有需求放缓或供应改善的迹象。”“短期内，我们看到 Chromebook 以外的需求有弹性，但更倾向于对 2022 年持谨慎/不可知论的态度，就像 AMD 进行最后一次看涨期权一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Earlier in the month, research firms released data showing that pandemic-fueled growth in PC shipments had slowed considerably as the world not only wrestles with a chip shortage but overall supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，研究公司发布的数据显示，由于全球不仅面临芯片短缺，而且面临整体供应链问题，疫情推动的个人电脑出货量增长已大幅放缓。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On data-center sales, Ramsay is even more optimistic estimating that segment will account for more than 25% of sales compared with less than 20% a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>在数据中心销售方面，Ramsay 更加乐观，估计该部门将占销售额的 25% 以上，而一年前这一比例还不到 20%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe datacenter passing a quarter of AMD's business could draw investor attention,\" Ramsay said. \"We remind investors that the most important business for AMD remains datacenter, which we estimate doubled in 2020, with CEO Lisa Su noting she sees the business momentum accelerating in 2021.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们相信数据中心超过 AMD 四分之一的业务可能会吸引投资者的注意力，”拉姆齐说。“我们提醒投资者，AMD 最重要的业务仍然是数据中心，我们预计该业务在 2020 年将翻一番，首席执行官 Lisa Su 指出，她预计 2021 年业务势头将加速。”</blockquote></p><p> Susquehanna Financial analyst Christopher Rolland, who has a positive rating and a $130 price target on AMD, said he expects another solid quarter driven by enterprise and server sales, but that \"given the slowing PC market, we do not expect mgmt to raise their FY top-line guidance as they have done in numerous updates over the last year.\"</p><p><blockquote>萨斯奎哈纳金融分析师克里斯托弗·罗兰 (Christopher Rolland) 对 AMD 给予正面评级，目标价为 130 美元，他表示，在企业和服务器销售的推动下，他预计本季度将再次表现强劲，但“鉴于 PC 市场放缓，我们预计管理层不会提高他们的财年营收指引，就像他们在去年的多次更新中所做的那样。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, Rolland expects AMD to report share gains from Intel in both desktop and laptop PCs as well as enterprise and gaming PCs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，罗兰预计 AMD 在台式机和笔记本电脑以及企业和游戏电脑方面的份额将超过英特尔。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 39 analysts who cover AMD, 23 have buy or overweight ratings, and 16 have hold ratings, with an average price target of $117.55.</p><p><blockquote>在研究 AMD 的 39 位分析师中，23 位给予买入或跑赢大盘评级，16 位给予持有评级，平均目标价为 117.55 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amd-earnings-look-to-again-succeed-where-intel-disappointed-11634942264?mod=mw_quote_news\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amd-earnings-look-to-again-succeed-where-intel-disappointed-11634942264?mod=mw_quote_news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2177412181","content_text":"AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analysts now point to AMD's growing margins as Intel's are projected to shrink\nAdvanced Micro Devices Inc.’s growing series of Epyc server chips has been the talk of Wall Street in recent quarters, but that may switch to gross margins in this quarter’s earnings report.\nAdvanced Micro Devices Inc. is set to follow yet another rough earnings report from Intel Corp., and once again could show gains in an area that caused pain for its larger rival.\nAMD is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday after the close of markets, after Intel reported an earnings beat Thursday that hardly mattered as revenue came in light. More important to analysts was Intel's forecast for declining margins over the next few years as its chief executive doubles down on new manufacturing capacity to try to retake its former glory as the undisputed chip leader.\nThat led to downgrades on Friday and Intel's worst one-day performance since the chip leader said it was going to delay its next generation of chips, an announcement that had fired up even more investor support for AMD back then.\nBernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, who has a market perform rating on AMD and a $110 price target, said AMD will continue to benefit from Intel's transition, and called attention to an AMD metric that was one of enormous concern during Intel's call: Gross margins.\n\"We believe Street gross margin estimates appear unaggressive going forward (which is not something we have typically said for AMD), and the company is now (for the first time ever) starting to return cash,\" Rasgon said.\nThat underscores another show of how Intel and AMD are transitioning with respect to one another: Analysts on the Intel call were very concerned that Intel's margins were falling despite company assurances they would stay just above 50% for the next few years. Meanwhile, AMD gross margins have been rising, and are likely to break above 50%, if not in this earnings report, then sometime soon. Three months ago, AMD reported gross margins of 48%, up from 44% in the previous year.\nWhile AMD is referred to as Intel's \"smaller rival,\" that gap has been steadily closing for a while now. At Friday's close, AMD had a market cap of $145.34 billion, or nearly 73% of Intel's $200.66 billion. Just this past summer, AMD's $111.5 billion valuation was a little more than half Intel's $219.5 billion cap.\nOne other are to look at will be data-center sales, as finally swung to a gain in that important segment in the quarter. Over the past two quarters, Intel has posted significant year-over-year declines in the increasingly important category, while AMD has more than doubled its sales. That raises the question whether Intel clawed back some market share, or whether data-center sales were just generally better all around, which AMD's report could answer.\nWhat to expect\nEarnings: Of the 34 analysts surveyed by FactSet, AMD on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of 66 cents a share, up from 41 cents a share reported in the year-ago period. Estimize, a software platform that crowdsources estimates from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of 72 cents a share.\nRevenue: Of the 32 analysts polled by FactSet, AMD, on average, is expected to post revenue of $4.11 billion, up from the $2.8 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. AMD had forecast $4 billion to $4.2 billion. Estimize expects revenue of $4.22 billion.\nStock movement: While AMD earnings and sales have both topped Wall Street estimates over the past five quarterly reports, but shares only gained the next day twice, about three months ago and when the stock popped nearly 13% five quarters ago.\nAMD shares rose 9.6% in the third quarter. In contrast, the PHLX Semiconductor Index declined 2.6%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.4%. On Friday, the day after Intel's report, AMD shares closed at a record high of $119.82.\nWhat analysts are saying\nCowen analyst Matthew Ramsay, who has an outperform rating and a $120 price target on AMD, said he's \"lookin' for more of the same.\"\n\"We continue to monitor the PC market for signs of demand slowing or supply improving,\" Ramsay said. \"Near-term, we see resilient demand outside Chromebooks, but prefer a prudent/agnostic view on 2022 like AMD took on its last call.\"\nEarlier in the month, research firms released data showing that pandemic-fueled growth in PC shipments had slowed considerably as the world not only wrestles with a chip shortage but overall supply-chain issues.\nOn data-center sales, Ramsay is even more optimistic estimating that segment will account for more than 25% of sales compared with less than 20% a year ago.\n\"We believe datacenter passing a quarter of AMD's business could draw investor attention,\" Ramsay said. \"We remind investors that the most important business for AMD remains datacenter, which we estimate doubled in 2020, with CEO Lisa Su noting she sees the business momentum accelerating in 2021.\"\nSusquehanna Financial analyst Christopher Rolland, who has a positive rating and a $130 price target on AMD, said he expects another solid quarter driven by enterprise and server sales, but that \"given the slowing PC market, we do not expect mgmt to raise their FY top-line guidance as they have done in numerous updates over the last year.\"\nStill, Rolland expects AMD to report share gains from Intel in both desktop and laptop PCs as well as enterprise and gaming PCs.\nOf the 39 analysts who cover AMD, 23 have buy or overweight ratings, and 16 have hold ratings, with an average price target of $117.55.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3738,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853667273,"gmtCreate":1634802938689,"gmtModify":1634803352921,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察] [暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853667273","repostId":"2177455500","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2177455500","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634792407,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2177455500?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-21 13:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"摩根大通:将福特汽车(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2177455500","media":"智通财经","summary":"【摩根大通：将福特汽车(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元】摩根大通：将福特汽车(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元。","content":"<html><body><article><p>【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>：将<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特汽车</a>(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元】摩根大通：将福特汽车(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>摩根大通:将福特汽车(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n摩根大通:将福特汽车(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-21 13:00 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202110211303437c4a108c&s=b><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【摩根大通：将福特汽车(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元】摩根大通：将福特汽车(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元。</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202110211303437c4a108c&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ecccb954c9a03cd26d576ebec5c96d6","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202110211303437c4a108c&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2177455500","content_text":"【摩根大通：将福特汽车(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元】摩根大通：将福特汽车(F.US)目标价从18美元上调至20美元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853858611,"gmtCreate":1634791569781,"gmtModify":1634791570146,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察] [暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853858611","repostId":"1161508302","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161508302","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业，总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1634780797,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1161508302?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-21 09:46","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"双十一预售已开启！龙头公司股价提前预热","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161508302","media":"Wind万得","summary":"一年一度的购物狂欢季即将开启，消费者的狂欢同时也是资本市场的盛宴。受利好消息影响，京东集团港股价格创半年多新高，阿里巴巴股价自前期底部反弹超过30%。\n据媒体消息，京东11.11将于10月20日晚8点","content":"<p>一年一度的购物狂欢季即将开启，消费者的狂欢同时也是资本市场的盛宴。<b>受利好消息影响，京东集团港股价格创半年多新高，阿里巴巴股价自前期底部反弹超过30%。</b></p>\n<p>据媒体消息，京东11.11将于10月20日晚8点正式开启预售。10月20日晚8点至31日晚8点前为京东11.11预售期，消费者可以先付定金锁定好物，享定金膨胀不止10倍等优惠活动。10月31日晚8点起，消费者每天均可领取“每满200减30”的头号京贴，享受全品类跨店满减，同时头号京贴也可以在支付尾款时与定金膨胀优惠叠加使用。从10月31日开始，每晚8点，准时下起现金红包雨。</p>\n<p>受利好消息影响，近期京东港股价格持续拉升，截至10月20日收盘，上涨2.54%，报331.20港元/股，创半年多以来新高。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92b761d5b3ae7c8b34e7b384b612c6e7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>根据此前消息，今年天猫双十一，将从10月20日20点启动第一波预售，11月4日20点开启第二波预售。两个售卖期时间分别是11月1-3日和11月11日。</p>\n<p>两家头部公司与2020年双十一10月21日零点开启预售相比，今年预售时间均有所提前。</p>\n<p>不仅在零售领域，在科技领域，阿里巴巴同样成果非凡。10月19日，2021云栖大会在杭州开幕，阿里巴巴旗下半导体公司平头哥发布自研云芯片倚天710。阿里云智能总裁、达摩院院长张建锋表示，该芯片是业界性能最强的ARM服务器芯片，性能超过业界标杆20%，能效比提升50%以上。</p>\n<p>受多重利好影响，阿里巴巴近期股价亦出现明显反弹，而此前近一年时间公司股价区间跌幅超过55%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecfee20a37b693298dcc58c02ba892b8\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>对于公司未来股价走势，机构普遍看高至210港元以上，相比当前的价格，仍有20%以上的空间。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c5ef80b76dc2473171e7c412d2cc8db\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>//恒生科技指数底部企稳&nbsp; //</b></p>\n<p>事实上，除两家电商龙头外，整个科技板块近期均出现企稳回升的态势。恒生科技指数在8月20日创出一年多新低后，本月初二次探底，但并未跌破前期低点，其自年初高点以来，区间最大跌幅超过40%，从技术形态上来看，也存在企稳需求。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9716b16d6ae1e80f7cbed0ccfa523ee9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>//&nbsp;机构一致看多龙头公司&nbsp; //</b></p>\n<p>从板块市值排名居前的公司看，腾讯控股近期亦出现明显反弹走势，此前从2月份高点连续下跌达半年之久，累计跌幅亦超过40%，股价一度逼近400港元。截至10月20日收盘，股价再度站上500港元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f386dd9d963f95f8cf69910edd3c0316\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>从近期机构给出的投资评级来看，普遍看多至600港元以上。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cd4dee75ae9d7c30fdb46dff0fe10dc\" tg-width=\"557\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>对于市值超万亿的美团而言，股价走势已经充分反映了主力资金的选择，自8月份低点以来，股价反弹幅度已经超过50%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2afecae503843ee87dade23dccec224c\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>惠誉发布报告称，尽管中国电子商务公司美团的反垄断处罚低于惠誉评级的预期，但我们认为该公司的运营仍面临监管压力。将美团的评级展望从负面修正为稳定，将取决于2022年盈利能力的复苏，尤其是EBITDA，以及新业务的投资步伐。</p>\n<p>不确定因素的落地也刺激了南下资金的回流，9月27日以来，南下资金已经连续8天净买入，累计净买入2200多万股。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14289df26c6737cd9236d6e704d2a537\" tg-width=\"669\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>双十一预售已开启！龙头公司股价提前预热</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n双十一预售已开启！龙头公司股价提前预热\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-21 09:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>一年一度的购物狂欢季即将开启，消费者的狂欢同时也是资本市场的盛宴。<b>受利好消息影响，京东集团港股价格创半年多新高，阿里巴巴股价自前期底部反弹超过30%。</b></p>\n<p>据媒体消息，京东11.11将于10月20日晚8点正式开启预售。10月20日晚8点至31日晚8点前为京东11.11预售期，消费者可以先付定金锁定好物，享定金膨胀不止10倍等优惠活动。10月31日晚8点起，消费者每天均可领取“每满200减30”的头号京贴，享受全品类跨店满减，同时头号京贴也可以在支付尾款时与定金膨胀优惠叠加使用。从10月31日开始，每晚8点，准时下起现金红包雨。</p>\n<p>受利好消息影响，近期京东港股价格持续拉升，截至10月20日收盘，上涨2.54%，报331.20港元/股，创半年多以来新高。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92b761d5b3ae7c8b34e7b384b612c6e7\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>根据此前消息，今年天猫双十一，将从10月20日20点启动第一波预售，11月4日20点开启第二波预售。两个售卖期时间分别是11月1-3日和11月11日。</p>\n<p>两家头部公司与2020年双十一10月21日零点开启预售相比，今年预售时间均有所提前。</p>\n<p>不仅在零售领域，在科技领域，阿里巴巴同样成果非凡。10月19日，2021云栖大会在杭州开幕，阿里巴巴旗下半导体公司平头哥发布自研云芯片倚天710。阿里云智能总裁、达摩院院长张建锋表示，该芯片是业界性能最强的ARM服务器芯片，性能超过业界标杆20%，能效比提升50%以上。</p>\n<p>受多重利好影响，阿里巴巴近期股价亦出现明显反弹，而此前近一年时间公司股价区间跌幅超过55%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecfee20a37b693298dcc58c02ba892b8\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>对于公司未来股价走势，机构普遍看高至210港元以上，相比当前的价格，仍有20%以上的空间。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c5ef80b76dc2473171e7c412d2cc8db\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"370\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>//恒生科技指数底部企稳&nbsp; //</b></p>\n<p>事实上，除两家电商龙头外，整个科技板块近期均出现企稳回升的态势。恒生科技指数在8月20日创出一年多新低后，本月初二次探底，但并未跌破前期低点，其自年初高点以来，区间最大跌幅超过40%，从技术形态上来看，也存在企稳需求。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9716b16d6ae1e80f7cbed0ccfa523ee9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>//&nbsp;机构一致看多龙头公司&nbsp; //</b></p>\n<p>从板块市值排名居前的公司看，腾讯控股近期亦出现明显反弹走势，此前从2月份高点连续下跌达半年之久，累计跌幅亦超过40%，股价一度逼近400港元。截至10月20日收盘，股价再度站上500港元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f386dd9d963f95f8cf69910edd3c0316\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>从近期机构给出的投资评级来看，普遍看多至600港元以上。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cd4dee75ae9d7c30fdb46dff0fe10dc\" tg-width=\"557\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>对于市值超万亿的美团而言，股价走势已经充分反映了主力资金的选择，自8月份低点以来，股价反弹幅度已经超过50%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2afecae503843ee87dade23dccec224c\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>惠誉发布报告称，尽管中国电子商务公司美团的反垄断处罚低于惠誉评级的预期，但我们认为该公司的运营仍面临监管压力。将美团的评级展望从负面修正为稳定，将取决于2022年盈利能力的复苏，尤其是EBITDA，以及新业务的投资步伐。</p>\n<p>不确定因素的落地也刺激了南下资金的回流，9月27日以来，南下资金已经连续8天净买入，累计净买入2200多万股。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14289df26c6737cd9236d6e704d2a537\" tg-width=\"669\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c48c9adb19cdb7bd227841d21dbd7cd2","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161508302","content_text":"一年一度的购物狂欢季即将开启，消费者的狂欢同时也是资本市场的盛宴。受利好消息影响，京东集团港股价格创半年多新高，阿里巴巴股价自前期底部反弹超过30%。\n据媒体消息，京东11.11将于10月20日晚8点正式开启预售。10月20日晚8点至31日晚8点前为京东11.11预售期，消费者可以先付定金锁定好物，享定金膨胀不止10倍等优惠活动。10月31日晚8点起，消费者每天均可领取“每满200减30”的头号京贴，享受全品类跨店满减，同时头号京贴也可以在支付尾款时与定金膨胀优惠叠加使用。从10月31日开始，每晚8点，准时下起现金红包雨。\n受利好消息影响，近期京东港股价格持续拉升，截至10月20日收盘，上涨2.54%，报331.20港元/股，创半年多以来新高。\n\n根据此前消息，今年天猫双十一，将从10月20日20点启动第一波预售，11月4日20点开启第二波预售。两个售卖期时间分别是11月1-3日和11月11日。\n两家头部公司与2020年双十一10月21日零点开启预售相比，今年预售时间均有所提前。\n不仅在零售领域，在科技领域，阿里巴巴同样成果非凡。10月19日，2021云栖大会在杭州开幕，阿里巴巴旗下半导体公司平头哥发布自研云芯片倚天710。阿里云智能总裁、达摩院院长张建锋表示，该芯片是业界性能最强的ARM服务器芯片，性能超过业界标杆20%，能效比提升50%以上。\n受多重利好影响，阿里巴巴近期股价亦出现明显反弹，而此前近一年时间公司股价区间跌幅超过55%。\n\n对于公司未来股价走势，机构普遍看高至210港元以上，相比当前的价格，仍有20%以上的空间。\n\n//恒生科技指数底部企稳  //\n事实上，除两家电商龙头外，整个科技板块近期均出现企稳回升的态势。恒生科技指数在8月20日创出一年多新低后，本月初二次探底，但并未跌破前期低点，其自年初高点以来，区间最大跌幅超过40%，从技术形态上来看，也存在企稳需求。\n\n// 机构一致看多龙头公司  //\n从板块市值排名居前的公司看，腾讯控股近期亦出现明显反弹走势，此前从2月份高点连续下跌达半年之久，累计跌幅亦超过40%，股价一度逼近400港元。截至10月20日收盘，股价再度站上500港元。\n\n从近期机构给出的投资评级来看，普遍看多至600港元以上。\n\n对于市值超万亿的美团而言，股价走势已经充分反映了主力资金的选择，自8月份低点以来，股价反弹幅度已经超过50%。\n\n惠誉发布报告称，尽管中国电子商务公司美团的反垄断处罚低于惠誉评级的预期，但我们认为该公司的运营仍面临监管压力。将美团的评级展望从负面修正为稳定，将取决于2022年盈利能力的复苏，尤其是EBITDA，以及新业务的投资步伐。\n不确定因素的落地也刺激了南下资金的回流，9月27日以来，南下资金已经连续8天净买入，累计净买入2200多万股。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"09618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3893,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853195150,"gmtCreate":1634778297608,"gmtModify":1634778298046,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心] [开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853195150","repostId":"2176487550","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4043,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824327366,"gmtCreate":1634282647426,"gmtModify":1634282647557,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察] [暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824327366","repostId":"1170620393","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170620393","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634275375,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1170620393?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 13:22","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"比特币时隔半年再度触及60000美元/枚大关，日内涨超4.5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170620393","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"10月15日讯，比特币时隔半年再度触及60000美元/枚大关，日内涨超4.5%。","content":"<p>10月15日讯，比特币时隔半年再度触及60000美元/枚大关，日内涨超4.5%。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>比特币时隔半年再度触及60000美元/枚大关，日内涨超4.5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-15 13:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>10月15日讯，比特币时隔半年再度触及60000美元/枚大关，日内涨超4.5%。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e20574f8fb568333181d61bb200086","relate_stocks":{"CAN":"嘉楠科技","EBON":"亿邦国际"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170620393","content_text":"10月15日讯，比特币时隔半年再度触及60000美元/枚大关，日内涨超4.5%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XBTmain":0.9,"CAN":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"EBON":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825564921,"gmtCreate":1634251637399,"gmtModify":1634274405198,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察] 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referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1850168bb6f2f0c43ae3b6733093cc3","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, 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referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1850168bb6f2f0c43ae3b6733093cc3","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, 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src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6de1d66dc2bd6d9ca4fdd1c1a36a96ad\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>人工智能借贷平台Upstart涨超6%，刷新历史高点</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n人工智能借贷平台Upstart涨超6%，刷新历史高点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-10-14 23:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>10月14日(周四)，人工智能借贷平台<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">Upstart</a>盘中涨超6%，股价刷新历史新高，总市值超286亿美元。</p>\n<p>此前该公司推出了使用人工智能融资的“Upstart汽车零售软件”。这个基于云的解决方案为消费者和经销商提供了增强的购车体验；同时，新软件还将提供由Upstart支持的汽车贷款。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6de1d66dc2bd6d9ca4fdd1c1a36a96ad\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1850168bb6f2f0c43ae3b6733093cc3","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc."},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107915155","content_text":"10月14日(周四)，人工智能借贷平台Upstart盘中涨超6%，股价刷新历史新高，总市值超286亿美元。\n此前该公司推出了使用人工智能融资的“Upstart汽车零售软件”。这个基于云的解决方案为消费者和经销商提供了增强的购车体验；同时，新软件还将提供由Upstart支持的汽车贷款。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UPST":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820394484,"gmtCreate":1633351059887,"gmtModify":1633351060233,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820394484","repostId":"1101126161","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101126161","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633340302,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1101126161?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 17:38","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"2021诺贝尔生理学或医学奖揭晓：有关疼痛与温度感知","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101126161","media":"新浪科技","summary":"David Julius和Ardem Patapoutian两人获奖。","content":"<p>北京时间10月4日消息，2021年诺贝尔生理学或医学奖揭晓：David Julius和Ardem Patapoutian两人获奖。</p>\n<p>获奖理由：David Julius和Ardem Patapoutian及其同事发现了人类感知疼痛和温度的机制，揭示了那些隐藏在疼痛过敏现象背后的机理。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/293ed227dfcfb1dfd6d65f267ed145b5\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"630\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>获奖理由：</b></p>\n<p>人体对热、冷和触觉的感知能力对我们的生存至关重要，并且支撑着我们与周围世界的互动。在日常生活中，我们常认为这些感觉是理所当然的，但与此相关的神经冲动是如何产生，从而使温度和压力可以被感知的呢？今年的两位诺贝尔奖得主解决了这个问题。</p>\n<p>David Julius利用辣椒素（一种从辣椒中提取的刺激性化合物，能产生灼烧感）来识别皮肤神经末梢上对热做出反应的感受器。Ardem Patapoutian利用压力敏感细胞发现了一种对皮肤和内部器官的机械刺激作出反应的新型感受器。这些突破性的发现促进了科学界展开大量的研究活动，使我们对神经系统如何感知热、冷和机械刺激的了解更加深入。两位获奖者指出，当我们尝试理解感官与环境之间复杂的相互作用时，有些关键的环节被忽视了。</p>\n<p><b>我们是如何感知世界的？</b></p>\n<p>我们是如何感知身边环境的？这是人类面临的最大的谜团之一。数千年来，我们的感觉机制一直令人们好奇不已。例如，眼睛是如何探测到光线的？声波是如何影响内耳的？不同的化学物质又是如何与我们口鼻中的感受器发生相互作用、从而产生嗅觉和味觉的？除此之外，我们还有其它感知身边世界的方式。想象一下在炎热的夏天光脚走过草坪时的感觉。你可以感受到太阳的热度、微风的吹拂、以及脚下的每一片草叶。这些对温度、触觉和动作的感知对我们不断适应周边环境的能力至关重要。</p>\n<p>17世纪，哲学家笛卡尔提出，我们的各部分皮肤可能是通过某种“细线”与大脑相连的。假如脚碰到了火苗，就会通过这种方式向大脑发送一个机械信号。科学家后来发现，具有特定功能的感觉神经元可以察觉到环境中的变化。1944年，Joseph Erlanger和Herbert Gasser因发现可以对不同刺激做出反应的感觉神经纤维（如会产生痛觉的触碰和不会产生痛觉的触碰）而获得了诺贝尔生理学奖或医学奖。自此之后，科学家发现，神经细胞在探测和传导不同类型的刺激时的分工高度分化，使我们可以精确感知周围环境。例如，我们可以通过指尖感受出不同表面质感的区别，还可以分辨出令人舒适的温暖和痛苦难忍的高温。</p>\n<p>在David Julius和 Ardem Patapoutian做出此次发现之前，神经系统感知和解读周边环境的方式对我们而言一直是个未解之谜：温度和力学刺激究竟是如何转化为神经系统的电脉冲的？</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d04590ee9d7d15cf2461a97f26cb30f3\" tg-width=\"496\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>热的科学研究！</b></p>\n<p>二十世纪年代后期，美国加州大学旧金山分校的David Julius通过分析化合物辣椒素如何引起我们接触辣椒时的灼烧感，看到了重大进步的可能性。人们已经知道，辣椒素可以激活引起疼痛感的神经细胞，但是这种化学物质如何真正发挥该功能仍是一个未解之谜。Julius和他的同事创建了一个包含数百万个DNA片段的库，对应于在感觉神经元中表达的基因，这些基因可以回应疼痛、热和触摸。Julius和他的同事假设，该DNA片段库或可包含可编码能够与辣椒素反应的蛋白质的DNA片段。在通常不与辣椒素反应的培养细胞中，他们表达了来自该合集的个别基因。经过艰苦的搜索之后，他们确定了一个能够使细胞对辣椒素敏感的基因。感应辣椒素的基因终于被发现！进一步的实验表明，鉴定出的基因编码了一个新的离子通道蛋白，这个新发现的辣椒素受体后来被命名为TRP1。当Julius研究蛋白质对热的反应能力时，他意识到，他发现了一个热敏受体，该受体会在高温导致疼痛的时候被激活。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da05ee3e1f8dff72cd61a98be1fa718d\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"311\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">David Julius使用辣椒中的辣椒素来鉴定TRPV1，这是一种因令人疼痛的温度而激活的离子通道。其他相关的离子通道也已经被确认，我们如今已经知道不同的温度在神经系统中诱导电信号的方式。</p>\n<p>TRPV1的发现是一项重大突破，为揭开其他温度感应受体开辟了道路。David Julius和Ardem Patapoutian两人各自独立地使用化学物薄荷醇找到了一种被证明会因寒冷而激活的受体TRPM8。与TRPV1和TRPM8相关的其他离子通道陆续被发现，并由一系列不同的温度激活。许多实验室开始开展研究项目，通过使用经基因操作后缺乏这些新发现基因的小鼠，来研究这些离子通道在热感觉中发挥的作用。David Julius对TRPV1的发现是一项突破，让我们能够了解温度差异如何在神经系统中诱导电信号。</p>\n<p><b>对压力感知的研究</b></p>\n<p>尽管对温度感觉机制的研究正逐步推进，但科学家机械刺激如何转化为我们的触觉和压力感仍不清楚。此前，研究人员在细菌中发现了机械刺激的感受器，但在脊椎动物中，触觉的潜在机制仍不清楚。Ardem Patapoutian在美国加州的斯克里普斯研究中心工作，他希望找出人体内由机械刺激激活的神秘受体。</p>\n<p>Patapoutian和他的同事首先发现了一种细胞系，当单个细胞被微管戳到时，它会发出可测量的电信号。他们假设这种感受机械刺激的受体是一个离子通道，并在下一步研究中鉴定了72个编码可能受体的候选基因。这些基因被逐个灭活，从而在被研究的细胞中发现了负责感受机械刺激的基因。经过艰苦的研究，Patapoutian和同事们成功地识别出了一个基因，该基因的沉默使细胞对微管的刺激不敏感。人们发现了一种全新的、完全未知的机械敏感离子通道，并将其命名为“Piezo1”（这个词来源于希腊语中的piesi，即“压力”）。通过研究与Piezo1相似的基因，人们发现了第二种基因，并将其命名为“Piezo2”。感觉神经元表达了高水平的Piezo2基因，而进一步的研究证实，Piezo1和Piezo2是通过对细胞膜施加压力直接激活的离子通道（图3）。</p>\n<p>Patapoutian的这项突破为他和其他团队带来了一系列重要论文，证明了&nbsp;Piezo2离子通道对触觉至关重要。此外，&nbsp;Piezo2也被证明在身体位置和运动感知，即本体感受中发挥着关键作用。在进一步的研究中，&nbsp;Piezo1和&nbsp;Piezo2离子通道被证明可以调节其他重要的生理过程，包括血压、呼吸和膀胱控制等。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6ce7e2067f14db46c392f3666b05851\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"562\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Patapoutian使用培养的机械敏感细胞鉴定了一个由机械力激活的离子通道。经过艰苦的研究工作，他们识别出了Piezo1。通过研究与Piezo1相似的基因，研究者发现了第二个离子通道（Piezo2）。</p>\n<p><b>全都说得“通”了！</b></p>\n<p>今年诺贝尔奖得主发现的TRPV1、TRPM8与Piezo通道让我们得以理解高温、寒冷和机械力是如何激活神经脉冲、从而帮助我们感知和适应身边世界的。TRP通道对我们的温度感知能力至关重要。Piezo2通道则使我们具备了感受触觉、以及感知各个身体部位位置及动作的能力。除此之外，TRP和Piezo通道还对多种依赖温度或力刺激的生理功能起到了重大作用。在本次诺奖获奖研究的基础上，还有大量研究工作正在开展，致力于弄清这些通道在各种生理过程中发挥的功能。科学家正在利用这些研究成果研发针对多种疾病的新疗法，包括慢性疼痛等等。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e7f189965001c615384fca5cd8947e9\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"605\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>过去6年诺贝尔生理学或医学奖得主名单：</b></p>\n<p>2020年——美英三位科学家Harvey J。 Alter、Michael Houghton、Charles M。 Rice获奖，获奖理由是“发现丙型肝炎病毒”。</p>\n<p>2019年——美英三位科学家William G。 Kaelin Jr、Peter J。 Ratcliffe和Gregg L。 Semenza获奖，获奖理由是“发现了细胞如何感知和适应氧气的可用性”。</p>\n<p>2018年——美国科学家James P。 Allision和日本科学家Tasuku Honjo获奖，获奖理由是“发现了抑制负面免疫调节的癌症疗法”。</p>\n<p>2017年——三位美国科学家Jeffrey C。 Hall、Michael Rosbash和Michael W。 Young获奖，获奖理由是“发现了调控昼夜节律的分子机制”。</p>\n<p>2016年——日本科学家Yoshinori Ohsumi获奖，获奖理由是“发现了细胞自噬机制。”</p>\n<p>2015年——中国科学家屠呦呦获奖，获奖理由是“有关疟疾新疗法的发现”；另外两位获奖科学家为爱尔兰的William C。 Campbell和日本的Satoshi Omura，获奖理由是“有关蛔虫寄生虫感染新疗法的发现”。</p>\n<p><b>诺贝尔生理学或医学奖小知识：</b></p>\n<p>——从1901年到2020年，诺贝尔生理学或医学奖共颁发了111次。未颁发的9年分别是1915、1916、1917、1918、1921、1925、1940、1941、1942年。</p>\n<p>——111次颁奖中，39次为单人获奖，33次为2人共享，39次为3人共享。</p>\n<p>——从1901年至2020年，共222人获奖。</p>\n<p>——最年轻的获奖者是加拿大科学家Frederick G。 Banting，1923年因“发现胰岛素”获奖，时年32岁。</p>\n<p>——最年长的获奖者是美国科学家Peyton Rous，1966年因“发现肿瘤诱导病毒”获奖，时年87岁。</p>\n<p>——222位诺贝尔生理学或医学奖得主中，有12位是女性。分别是1947年的Gerty Cori，1977年的Rosalyn Yalow，1983年的Barbara McClintock，1986年的Rita Levi-Montalcini，1988年的Gertrude B。 Elion，1995年的Christiane Nüsslein-Volhard，2004年的Linda B。 Buck，2008年的Françoise Barré-Sinoussi，2009年的Elizabeth H。 Blackburn和Carol W。 Greider，2014年的May-Britt Moser，以及2015年的屠呦呦。</p>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2021诺贝尔生理学或医学奖揭晓：有关疼痛与温度感知</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2021诺贝尔生理学或医学奖揭晓：有关疼痛与温度感知\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-04 17:38 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2021-10-04/doc-iktzscyx7904174.shtml><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>北京时间10月4日消息，2021年诺贝尔生理学或医学奖揭晓：David Julius和Ardem Patapoutian两人获奖。\n获奖理由：David Julius和Ardem Patapoutian及其同事发现了人类感知疼痛和温度的机制，揭示了那些隐藏在疼痛过敏现象背后的机理。\n\n获奖理由：\n人体对热、冷和触觉的感知能力对我们的生存至关重要，并且支撑着我们与周围世界的互动。在日常生活中，我们常...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2021-10-04/doc-iktzscyx7904174.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea6287454f6e90cfa5b279c27aa64119","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2021-10-04/doc-iktzscyx7904174.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101126161","content_text":"北京时间10月4日消息，2021年诺贝尔生理学或医学奖揭晓：David Julius和Ardem Patapoutian两人获奖。\n获奖理由：David Julius和Ardem Patapoutian及其同事发现了人类感知疼痛和温度的机制，揭示了那些隐藏在疼痛过敏现象背后的机理。\n\n获奖理由：\n人体对热、冷和触觉的感知能力对我们的生存至关重要，并且支撑着我们与周围世界的互动。在日常生活中，我们常认为这些感觉是理所当然的，但与此相关的神经冲动是如何产生，从而使温度和压力可以被感知的呢？今年的两位诺贝尔奖得主解决了这个问题。\nDavid Julius利用辣椒素（一种从辣椒中提取的刺激性化合物，能产生灼烧感）来识别皮肤神经末梢上对热做出反应的感受器。Ardem Patapoutian利用压力敏感细胞发现了一种对皮肤和内部器官的机械刺激作出反应的新型感受器。这些突破性的发现促进了科学界展开大量的研究活动，使我们对神经系统如何感知热、冷和机械刺激的了解更加深入。两位获奖者指出，当我们尝试理解感官与环境之间复杂的相互作用时，有些关键的环节被忽视了。\n我们是如何感知世界的？\n我们是如何感知身边环境的？这是人类面临的最大的谜团之一。数千年来，我们的感觉机制一直令人们好奇不已。例如，眼睛是如何探测到光线的？声波是如何影响内耳的？不同的化学物质又是如何与我们口鼻中的感受器发生相互作用、从而产生嗅觉和味觉的？除此之外，我们还有其它感知身边世界的方式。想象一下在炎热的夏天光脚走过草坪时的感觉。你可以感受到太阳的热度、微风的吹拂、以及脚下的每一片草叶。这些对温度、触觉和动作的感知对我们不断适应周边环境的能力至关重要。\n17世纪，哲学家笛卡尔提出，我们的各部分皮肤可能是通过某种“细线”与大脑相连的。假如脚碰到了火苗，就会通过这种方式向大脑发送一个机械信号。科学家后来发现，具有特定功能的感觉神经元可以察觉到环境中的变化。1944年，Joseph Erlanger和Herbert Gasser因发现可以对不同刺激做出反应的感觉神经纤维（如会产生痛觉的触碰和不会产生痛觉的触碰）而获得了诺贝尔生理学奖或医学奖。自此之后，科学家发现，神经细胞在探测和传导不同类型的刺激时的分工高度分化，使我们可以精确感知周围环境。例如，我们可以通过指尖感受出不同表面质感的区别，还可以分辨出令人舒适的温暖和痛苦难忍的高温。\n在David Julius和 Ardem Patapoutian做出此次发现之前，神经系统感知和解读周边环境的方式对我们而言一直是个未解之谜：温度和力学刺激究竟是如何转化为神经系统的电脉冲的？\n\n热的科学研究！\n二十世纪年代后期，美国加州大学旧金山分校的David Julius通过分析化合物辣椒素如何引起我们接触辣椒时的灼烧感，看到了重大进步的可能性。人们已经知道，辣椒素可以激活引起疼痛感的神经细胞，但是这种化学物质如何真正发挥该功能仍是一个未解之谜。Julius和他的同事创建了一个包含数百万个DNA片段的库，对应于在感觉神经元中表达的基因，这些基因可以回应疼痛、热和触摸。Julius和他的同事假设，该DNA片段库或可包含可编码能够与辣椒素反应的蛋白质的DNA片段。在通常不与辣椒素反应的培养细胞中，他们表达了来自该合集的个别基因。经过艰苦的搜索之后，他们确定了一个能够使细胞对辣椒素敏感的基因。感应辣椒素的基因终于被发现！进一步的实验表明，鉴定出的基因编码了一个新的离子通道蛋白，这个新发现的辣椒素受体后来被命名为TRP1。当Julius研究蛋白质对热的反应能力时，他意识到，他发现了一个热敏受体，该受体会在高温导致疼痛的时候被激活。\nDavid Julius使用辣椒中的辣椒素来鉴定TRPV1，这是一种因令人疼痛的温度而激活的离子通道。其他相关的离子通道也已经被确认，我们如今已经知道不同的温度在神经系统中诱导电信号的方式。\nTRPV1的发现是一项重大突破，为揭开其他温度感应受体开辟了道路。David Julius和Ardem Patapoutian两人各自独立地使用化学物薄荷醇找到了一种被证明会因寒冷而激活的受体TRPM8。与TRPV1和TRPM8相关的其他离子通道陆续被发现，并由一系列不同的温度激活。许多实验室开始开展研究项目，通过使用经基因操作后缺乏这些新发现基因的小鼠，来研究这些离子通道在热感觉中发挥的作用。David Julius对TRPV1的发现是一项突破，让我们能够了解温度差异如何在神经系统中诱导电信号。\n对压力感知的研究\n尽管对温度感觉机制的研究正逐步推进，但科学家机械刺激如何转化为我们的触觉和压力感仍不清楚。此前，研究人员在细菌中发现了机械刺激的感受器，但在脊椎动物中，触觉的潜在机制仍不清楚。Ardem Patapoutian在美国加州的斯克里普斯研究中心工作，他希望找出人体内由机械刺激激活的神秘受体。\nPatapoutian和他的同事首先发现了一种细胞系，当单个细胞被微管戳到时，它会发出可测量的电信号。他们假设这种感受机械刺激的受体是一个离子通道，并在下一步研究中鉴定了72个编码可能受体的候选基因。这些基因被逐个灭活，从而在被研究的细胞中发现了负责感受机械刺激的基因。经过艰苦的研究，Patapoutian和同事们成功地识别出了一个基因，该基因的沉默使细胞对微管的刺激不敏感。人们发现了一种全新的、完全未知的机械敏感离子通道，并将其命名为“Piezo1”（这个词来源于希腊语中的piesi，即“压力”）。通过研究与Piezo1相似的基因，人们发现了第二种基因，并将其命名为“Piezo2”。感觉神经元表达了高水平的Piezo2基因，而进一步的研究证实，Piezo1和Piezo2是通过对细胞膜施加压力直接激活的离子通道（图3）。\nPatapoutian的这项突破为他和其他团队带来了一系列重要论文，证明了 Piezo2离子通道对触觉至关重要。此外， Piezo2也被证明在身体位置和运动感知，即本体感受中发挥着关键作用。在进一步的研究中， Piezo1和 Piezo2离子通道被证明可以调节其他重要的生理过程，包括血压、呼吸和膀胱控制等。\nPatapoutian使用培养的机械敏感细胞鉴定了一个由机械力激活的离子通道。经过艰苦的研究工作，他们识别出了Piezo1。通过研究与Piezo1相似的基因，研究者发现了第二个离子通道（Piezo2）。\n全都说得“通”了！\n今年诺贝尔奖得主发现的TRPV1、TRPM8与Piezo通道让我们得以理解高温、寒冷和机械力是如何激活神经脉冲、从而帮助我们感知和适应身边世界的。TRP通道对我们的温度感知能力至关重要。Piezo2通道则使我们具备了感受触觉、以及感知各个身体部位位置及动作的能力。除此之外，TRP和Piezo通道还对多种依赖温度或力刺激的生理功能起到了重大作用。在本次诺奖获奖研究的基础上，还有大量研究工作正在开展，致力于弄清这些通道在各种生理过程中发挥的功能。科学家正在利用这些研究成果研发针对多种疾病的新疗法，包括慢性疼痛等等。\n\n过去6年诺贝尔生理学或医学奖得主名单：\n2020年——美英三位科学家Harvey J。 Alter、Michael Houghton、Charles M。 Rice获奖，获奖理由是“发现丙型肝炎病毒”。\n2019年——美英三位科学家William G。 Kaelin Jr、Peter J。 Ratcliffe和Gregg L。 Semenza获奖，获奖理由是“发现了细胞如何感知和适应氧气的可用性”。\n2018年——美国科学家James P。 Allision和日本科学家Tasuku Honjo获奖，获奖理由是“发现了抑制负面免疫调节的癌症疗法”。\n2017年——三位美国科学家Jeffrey C。 Hall、Michael Rosbash和Michael W。 Young获奖，获奖理由是“发现了调控昼夜节律的分子机制”。\n2016年——日本科学家Yoshinori Ohsumi获奖，获奖理由是“发现了细胞自噬机制。”\n2015年——中国科学家屠呦呦获奖，获奖理由是“有关疟疾新疗法的发现”；另外两位获奖科学家为爱尔兰的William C。 Campbell和日本的Satoshi Omura，获奖理由是“有关蛔虫寄生虫感染新疗法的发现”。\n诺贝尔生理学或医学奖小知识：\n——从1901年到2020年，诺贝尔生理学或医学奖共颁发了111次。未颁发的9年分别是1915、1916、1917、1918、1921、1925、1940、1941、1942年。\n——111次颁奖中，39次为单人获奖，33次为2人共享，39次为3人共享。\n——从1901年至2020年，共222人获奖。\n——最年轻的获奖者是加拿大科学家Frederick G。 Banting，1923年因“发现胰岛素”获奖，时年32岁。\n——最年长的获奖者是美国科学家Peyton Rous，1966年因“发现肿瘤诱导病毒”获奖，时年87岁。\n——222位诺贝尔生理学或医学奖得主中，有12位是女性。分别是1947年的Gerty Cori，1977年的Rosalyn Yalow，1983年的Barbara McClintock，1986年的Rita Levi-Montalcini，1988年的Gertrude B。 Elion，1995年的Christiane Nüsslein-Volhard，2004年的Linda B。 Buck，2008年的Françoise Barré-Sinoussi，2009年的Elizabeth H。 Blackburn和Carol W。 Greider，2014年的May-Britt Moser，以及2015年的屠呦呦。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867192236,"gmtCreate":1633223846479,"gmtModify":1633223846805,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强] [强] [强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867192236","repostId":"2172645879","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2172645879","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1633188887,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2172645879?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-02 23:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉第三季度交付量24.13万，超市场预期","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2172645879","media":"格隆汇","summary":"特斯拉第三季度交付量24.13万，市场预估22.3677万；特斯拉第三季度汽车产量23.7823万辆，同比增加64%。","content":"<p>特斯拉第三季度交付量24.13万，市场预估22.3677万；特斯拉第三季度汽车产量23.7823万辆，同比增加64%。</p>","source":"live_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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href=\"http://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8350896f4f33c86bc28f200b67ab82b4","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"http://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2172645879","content_text":"特斯拉第三季度交付量24.13万，市场预估22.3677万；特斯拉第三季度汽车产量23.7823万辆，同比增加64%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865404210,"gmtCreate":1633008902061,"gmtModify":1633008945691,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865404210","repostId":"1158699159","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866561455,"gmtCreate":1632791379477,"gmtModify":1632797580647,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866561455","repostId":"1163262138","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1055,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866180848,"gmtCreate":1632747163484,"gmtModify":1632798154428,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866180848","repostId":"1165694220","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1097,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861739832,"gmtCreate":1632536491226,"gmtModify":1632799285284,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861739832","repostId":"1195023492","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195023492","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632474299,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1195023492?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 17:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"知名基金经理：我为何清仓特斯拉，错失大部分涨幅","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195023492","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"丹尼斯·林奇（Dennis Lynch）解释了为什么他卖掉了特斯拉，却拥有比特币。\n\n成功的创新让客户的生活更美好，但这并不一定会使这些公司成为好的投资。\n摩根士丹利投资管理公司Counterpoin","content":"<p>丹尼斯·林奇（Dennis Lynch）解释了为什么他卖掉了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>，却拥有比特币。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ce8e1b0bf8a8b1ede55053b112d6259\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>成功的创新让客户的生活更美好，但这并不一定会使这些公司成为好的投资。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>投资管理公司Counterpoint Global负责人丹尼斯·林奇（Dennis Lynch）周四表示：“在某些情况下，创新只会帮助我们所有人拥有更高的生活质量，但这并不意味着直接有一项投资或一家公司从这股顺风中产生。”。他的团队为摩根士丹利管理多个增长股票策略，包括摩根士丹利机构初始投资组合，截至8月底，该投资组合的平均年回报率为49.71%，而罗素2000成长指数的年回报率为12.27%。</p>\n<p>林奇是华尔街知名基金经理，在去年《华尔街日报》进行的“赢家圈”（Winners' Circle）评选当中脱颖而出，成为了全美排名第一的投资经理人。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4198823b9c6e307e23d980543bfb87e2\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"859\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>丹尼斯·林奇</span></p>\n<p>电动汽车就是这样一个行业，这也是林奇几年前卖掉他在特斯拉所有股份的原因。</p>\n<p>林奇说，大约六年前，当第一份消费者报告对这款汽车的评论发表时，他持有这家电动汽车制造商的股票，处于“小而投机的状态”。他说，当时，该公司开始有了“真正的收入来源”。</p>\n<p>该团队在大约三年后出售了这些股票，错过了特斯拉股价的大部分上涨。</p>\n<p>林奇在解释他的决定时说，销售汽车是一项艰难的生意，而电动汽车对普通消费者来说意味着价格昂贵。</p>\n<p>这也归结为他用来评估颠覆性公司的一个指标：关注单位经济性。</p>\n<p>特斯拉资本密集度高，需要不断从资本市场获得资金。他说：“这不一定是坏事，但它确实让你在不确定的时候处于一种潜在的境地，即依靠陌生人的善意来延续这种商业模式。”</p>\n<p>林奇承认，创始人埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）做了“非常了不起的事情”，但他把关注点放在了公司能否盈利的问题上。</p>\n<p>他说：“当你依赖资本市场，梦想远大时，鼓舞人心和做出可能无法兑现的承诺之间只有一线之隔。”</p>\n<p>他说：“从我们清仓以来特斯拉的（股价）表现异常出色的意义上说，我们错了。但我认为这是一个很难选出最终赢家的领域，尤其是在当前的价格下。”</p>\n<p>林奇与价值基金管理公司Oakmark Funds的知名投资组合经理兼美国股票首席投资官比尔·尼格伦（Bill Nygren）在一个关于颠覆性公司的小组讨论会上发表了讲话。尼格伦对颠覆性公司也有自己的看法，他指出，投资者往往忽视了该领域中可能正在自我创新的大公司。</p>\n<p>他说，一个例子是Allison Transmission，该公司为重型越野卡车制造变速器，包括完全集成的电动轴。Oakmark Select基金拥有这家总部位于印第安纳波利斯的公司的股份。</p>\n<p>截至8月底，Oakmark Select指数在三年内的年化收益率为13.14%，落后于标准普尔500指数，但自1996年11月成立以来，该指数以12.46%的年化收益率超越该指数。</p>\n<p>尼格伦说，转向电动汽车将极大地改变这一业务，市场对Allison电动汽车业务的估值与对其他纯电动汽车公司的估值类似。</p>\n<p>另一方面，林奇表示，他并不反对在一家未经证实的公司上冒险。他的团队愿意在公司以小博大，而不是做持有或不持有的二元选择。</p>\n<p>至于加密货币，林奇在比特币和Square上的仓位较小。比特币作为一种趋势具有持续性，这是他看待创新时使用的指标之一。关于加密货币随价格涨跌的讨论，一些批评者表示，加密货币不会每次下跌都持续，只会反弹。“我想说比特币有点像南方公园的肯尼，你知道，这家伙每集都死了，然后他又回来了，”他说。</p>\n<p>他将比特币称为“抗脆弱”，这是一种从无序中获得的东西，他也喜欢把这种无序作为一种潜在的多样化工具。林奇说，一个主要风险是政府可能会禁止这些替代货币，但总体而言，一个小的投机头寸是值得的。</p>\n<p>他说：“比特币以一种较小的方式存在于投资组合中，当我们的投资组合中的其他部分出现问题时，它可能是一种可以走对的东西……十年后，考虑到比特币的持续性，值得进行一次小小的押注。”</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>知名基金经理：我为何清仓特斯拉，错失大部分涨幅</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n知名基金经理：我为何清仓特斯拉，错失大部分涨幅\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-24 17:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>丹尼斯·林奇（Dennis Lynch）解释了为什么他卖掉了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>，却拥有比特币。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ce8e1b0bf8a8b1ede55053b112d6259\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>成功的创新让客户的生活更美好，但这并不一定会使这些公司成为好的投资。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>投资管理公司Counterpoint Global负责人丹尼斯·林奇（Dennis Lynch）周四表示：“在某些情况下，创新只会帮助我们所有人拥有更高的生活质量，但这并不意味着直接有一项投资或一家公司从这股顺风中产生。”。他的团队为摩根士丹利管理多个增长股票策略，包括摩根士丹利机构初始投资组合，截至8月底，该投资组合的平均年回报率为49.71%，而罗素2000成长指数的年回报率为12.27%。</p>\n<p>林奇是华尔街知名基金经理，在去年《华尔街日报》进行的“赢家圈”（Winners' Circle）评选当中脱颖而出，成为了全美排名第一的投资经理人。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4198823b9c6e307e23d980543bfb87e2\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"859\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>丹尼斯·林奇</span></p>\n<p>电动汽车就是这样一个行业，这也是林奇几年前卖掉他在特斯拉所有股份的原因。</p>\n<p>林奇说，大约六年前，当第一份消费者报告对这款汽车的评论发表时，他持有这家电动汽车制造商的股票，处于“小而投机的状态”。他说，当时，该公司开始有了“真正的收入来源”。</p>\n<p>该团队在大约三年后出售了这些股票，错过了特斯拉股价的大部分上涨。</p>\n<p>林奇在解释他的决定时说，销售汽车是一项艰难的生意，而电动汽车对普通消费者来说意味着价格昂贵。</p>\n<p>这也归结为他用来评估颠覆性公司的一个指标：关注单位经济性。</p>\n<p>特斯拉资本密集度高，需要不断从资本市场获得资金。他说：“这不一定是坏事，但它确实让你在不确定的时候处于一种潜在的境地，即依靠陌生人的善意来延续这种商业模式。”</p>\n<p>林奇承认，创始人埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）做了“非常了不起的事情”，但他把关注点放在了公司能否盈利的问题上。</p>\n<p>他说：“当你依赖资本市场，梦想远大时，鼓舞人心和做出可能无法兑现的承诺之间只有一线之隔。”</p>\n<p>他说：“从我们清仓以来特斯拉的（股价）表现异常出色的意义上说，我们错了。但我认为这是一个很难选出最终赢家的领域，尤其是在当前的价格下。”</p>\n<p>林奇与价值基金管理公司Oakmark Funds的知名投资组合经理兼美国股票首席投资官比尔·尼格伦（Bill Nygren）在一个关于颠覆性公司的小组讨论会上发表了讲话。尼格伦对颠覆性公司也有自己的看法，他指出，投资者往往忽视了该领域中可能正在自我创新的大公司。</p>\n<p>他说，一个例子是Allison Transmission，该公司为重型越野卡车制造变速器，包括完全集成的电动轴。Oakmark Select基金拥有这家总部位于印第安纳波利斯的公司的股份。</p>\n<p>截至8月底，Oakmark Select指数在三年内的年化收益率为13.14%，落后于标准普尔500指数，但自1996年11月成立以来，该指数以12.46%的年化收益率超越该指数。</p>\n<p>尼格伦说，转向电动汽车将极大地改变这一业务，市场对Allison电动汽车业务的估值与对其他纯电动汽车公司的估值类似。</p>\n<p>另一方面，林奇表示，他并不反对在一家未经证实的公司上冒险。他的团队愿意在公司以小博大，而不是做持有或不持有的二元选择。</p>\n<p>至于加密货币，林奇在比特币和Square上的仓位较小。比特币作为一种趋势具有持续性，这是他看待创新时使用的指标之一。关于加密货币随价格涨跌的讨论，一些批评者表示，加密货币不会每次下跌都持续，只会反弹。“我想说比特币有点像南方公园的肯尼，你知道，这家伙每集都死了，然后他又回来了，”他说。</p>\n<p>他将比特币称为“抗脆弱”，这是一种从无序中获得的东西，他也喜欢把这种无序作为一种潜在的多样化工具。林奇说，一个主要风险是政府可能会禁止这些替代货币，但总体而言，一个小的投机头寸是值得的。</p>\n<p>他说：“比特币以一种较小的方式存在于投资组合中，当我们的投资组合中的其他部分出现问题时，它可能是一种可以走对的东西……十年后，考虑到比特币的持续性，值得进行一次小小的押注。”</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4198823b9c6e307e23d980543bfb87e2","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195023492","content_text":"丹尼斯·林奇（Dennis Lynch）解释了为什么他卖掉了特斯拉，却拥有比特币。\n\n成功的创新让客户的生活更美好，但这并不一定会使这些公司成为好的投资。\n摩根士丹利投资管理公司Counterpoint Global负责人丹尼斯·林奇（Dennis Lynch）周四表示：“在某些情况下，创新只会帮助我们所有人拥有更高的生活质量，但这并不意味着直接有一项投资或一家公司从这股顺风中产生。”。他的团队为摩根士丹利管理多个增长股票策略，包括摩根士丹利机构初始投资组合，截至8月底，该投资组合的平均年回报率为49.71%，而罗素2000成长指数的年回报率为12.27%。\n林奇是华尔街知名基金经理，在去年《华尔街日报》进行的“赢家圈”（Winners' Circle）评选当中脱颖而出，成为了全美排名第一的投资经理人。\n丹尼斯·林奇\n电动汽车就是这样一个行业，这也是林奇几年前卖掉他在特斯拉所有股份的原因。\n林奇说，大约六年前，当第一份消费者报告对这款汽车的评论发表时，他持有这家电动汽车制造商的股票，处于“小而投机的状态”。他说，当时，该公司开始有了“真正的收入来源”。\n该团队在大约三年后出售了这些股票，错过了特斯拉股价的大部分上涨。\n林奇在解释他的决定时说，销售汽车是一项艰难的生意，而电动汽车对普通消费者来说意味着价格昂贵。\n这也归结为他用来评估颠覆性公司的一个指标：关注单位经济性。\n特斯拉资本密集度高，需要不断从资本市场获得资金。他说：“这不一定是坏事，但它确实让你在不确定的时候处于一种潜在的境地，即依靠陌生人的善意来延续这种商业模式。”\n林奇承认，创始人埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）做了“非常了不起的事情”，但他把关注点放在了公司能否盈利的问题上。\n他说：“当你依赖资本市场，梦想远大时，鼓舞人心和做出可能无法兑现的承诺之间只有一线之隔。”\n他说：“从我们清仓以来特斯拉的（股价）表现异常出色的意义上说，我们错了。但我认为这是一个很难选出最终赢家的领域，尤其是在当前的价格下。”\n林奇与价值基金管理公司Oakmark Funds的知名投资组合经理兼美国股票首席投资官比尔·尼格伦（Bill Nygren）在一个关于颠覆性公司的小组讨论会上发表了讲话。尼格伦对颠覆性公司也有自己的看法，他指出，投资者往往忽视了该领域中可能正在自我创新的大公司。\n他说，一个例子是Allison Transmission，该公司为重型越野卡车制造变速器，包括完全集成的电动轴。Oakmark Select基金拥有这家总部位于印第安纳波利斯的公司的股份。\n截至8月底，Oakmark Select指数在三年内的年化收益率为13.14%，落后于标准普尔500指数，但自1996年11月成立以来，该指数以12.46%的年化收益率超越该指数。\n尼格伦说，转向电动汽车将极大地改变这一业务，市场对Allison电动汽车业务的估值与对其他纯电动汽车公司的估值类似。\n另一方面，林奇表示，他并不反对在一家未经证实的公司上冒险。他的团队愿意在公司以小博大，而不是做持有或不持有的二元选择。\n至于加密货币，林奇在比特币和Square上的仓位较小。比特币作为一种趋势具有持续性，这是他看待创新时使用的指标之一。关于加密货币随价格涨跌的讨论，一些批评者表示，加密货币不会每次下跌都持续，只会反弹。“我想说比特币有点像南方公园的肯尼，你知道，这家伙每集都死了，然后他又回来了，”他说。\n他将比特币称为“抗脆弱”，这是一种从无序中获得的东西，他也喜欢把这种无序作为一种潜在的多样化工具。林奇说，一个主要风险是政府可能会禁止这些替代货币，但总体而言，一个小的投机头寸是值得的。\n他说：“比特币以一种较小的方式存在于投资组合中，当我们的投资组合中的其他部分出现问题时，它可能是一种可以走对的东西……十年后，考虑到比特币的持续性，值得进行一次小小的押注。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":956,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861147702,"gmtCreate":1632475603806,"gmtModify":1632720256959,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861147702","repostId":"1174773084","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861196960,"gmtCreate":1632467643350,"gmtModify":1632721253457,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570689023160998","idStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","listText":"[暗中观察]&nbsp;","text":"[暗中观察]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861196960","repostId":"1126885531","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":356037615,"gmtCreate":1616740182137,"gmtModify":1634524267577,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570689023160998","authorIdStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YQ\">$17 Education &amp; Technology Group Inc.(YQ)$</a>今晚会再被教育吗？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YQ\">$17 Education &amp; Technology Group Inc.(YQ)$</a>今晚会再被教育吗？","text":"$17 Education & Technology Group Inc.(YQ)$今晚会再被教育吗？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/129ab085015ece522215d78a1be804c2","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356037615","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":942,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3507877532425449","authorId":"3507877532425449","name":"想不出来取啥名","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35c5b4c85dec5245b942dc184951d772","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3507877532425449","authorIdStr":"3507877532425449"},"content":"同学好[呆住]","text":"同学好[呆住]","html":"同学好[呆住]"},{"author":{"id":"3562159004774290","authorId":"3562159004774290","name":"邪恶镰刀","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba0142ecc799e2ad77abe8ab459a7a63","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3562159004774290","authorIdStr":"3562159004774290"},"content":"hh，你的成本跟我一样差不多","text":"hh，你的成本跟我一样差不多","html":"hh，你的成本跟我一样差不多"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":888953402,"gmtCreate":1631425496706,"gmtModify":1631886553689,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570689023160998","authorIdStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Observation]&nbsp;","listText":"[Observation]&nbsp;","text":"[Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888953402","repostId":"1189654544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189654544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631406130,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1189654544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-12 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：秋季 IPO 市场以第 10 周 IPO 拉开帷幕</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189654544","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion i","content":"<p>After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在短暂的假期周经历了一波上市浪潮后，未来一周将有 10 起 IPO 计划筹集超过 30 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tech consultancy&nbsp;<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>技术咨询<b>思想作品</b>(TWKS) 计划以 63 亿美元的市值筹集 7 亿美元。这家敏捷软件开发商为300多家企业客户提供优质的端到端数字战略、设计和工程服务。从2017年到2020年，该公司的收入以14%的CAGR增长，并在2020年和2021年上半年扩大了利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Swiss running shoe brand&nbsp;<b>On Holding</b>(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士跑鞋品牌<b>关于持有</b>(ONON) 计划以 59 亿美元的市值筹集 5.91 亿美元。On是一家使用可持续材料及其专有技术设计的优质运动鞋、服装和配件的全球供应商。该公司已表现出增长和盈利能力，尽管它面临来自其他知名运动服装品牌的激烈竞争。</blockquote></p><p> After ending talks to go public via SPAC,<b>Sportradar Group</b>(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.</p><p><blockquote>在结束通过特殊目的收购公司上市的谈判后，<b>体育雷达集团</b>(SRAD) 计划以 79 亿美元的市值筹集 5.04 亿美元。这家瑞士公司每年报道83个体育项目的750,000多场赛事，为体育联盟、博彩运营商和媒体公司提供软件、数据和内容。Sportradar 实现了盈利，随着体育直播的恢复，2021 年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> Drive-thru coffee chain&nbsp;<b>Dutch Bros</b>(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.</p><p><blockquote>得来速咖啡连锁店<b>荷兰兄弟</b>(BROS) 计划以 33 亿美元的市值筹集 4 亿美元。这家总部位于俄勒冈州的公司在美国西部拥有471家得来速咖啡店连锁店，随着向新州扩张，它能够保持同店销售增长的记录。内部人士收到了IPO前股息，并将把股票卖回给公司。</blockquote></p><p> Healthcare intelligence platform&nbsp;<b>Definitive Healthcare</b>(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>医疗智能平台<b>终极医疗保健</b>（卫生署）计划以33亿元的市值筹集3.5亿元。该公司提供医疗保健商业智能和分析平台，帮助其客户分析、导航和销售到复杂的医疗保健生态系统。由于增长强劲，Definitive Healthcare 未盈利，IPO 后将受到杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Identity management platform&nbsp;<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.</p><p><blockquote>身份管理平台<b>伪岩</b>(FORG) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 2.48 亿美元。该公司提供身份和访问管理软件，以及一个提供、认证和管理所有类型数字身份的平台。由于销售和营销费用高昂，ForgeRock 无利可图，是价值数十亿美元的身份和访问市场中领先的下一代提供商。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology biotech&nbsp;<b>DICE Therapeutics</b>(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.</p><p><blockquote>免疫生物技术<b>骰子治疗</b>(DICE) 计划以 5.5 亿美元的市值筹集 1.6 亿美元。这家生物技术公司正在开发口服小分子疗法，以治疗免疫学和其他治疗领域的慢性疾病。DICE计划启动其主要候选药物S011806的1期试验，这是一种具有多种免疫学适应症的口服拮抗剂。</blockquote></p><p> Surgical robotics developer&nbsp;<b>PROCEPT BioRobotics</b>(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>手术机器人开发商<b>生物机器人方案</b>(PRCT) 计划以 11 亿美元的市值筹集 1.27 亿美元。这家商业阶段的公司开发用于微创泌尿外科手术的手术机器人系统，最初重点是治疗良性前列腺增生。PROCEPT BioRobotics 严重无利可图，2021 年上半年收入增长了六倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Oncology biotech&nbsp;<b>Tyra Biosciences</b>(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.</p><p><blockquote>肿瘤生物技术<b>泰拉生物科学</b>(TYRA) 计划以 5.84 亿美元的市值筹集 1.01 亿美元。这家临床前生物技术公司正在开发用于癌症，特别是实体瘤的 FGFR 激酶抑制剂。Tyra 的主要候选药物最初专注于膀胱癌，该公司预计将在 2022 年年中提交该药物的 IND。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap gas delivery service&nbsp;<b>EzFill Holdings</b>(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.</p><p><blockquote>微型气体输送服务<b>埃兹菲尔控股</b>（EZFL）计划以1.04亿美元的市值筹集2500万美元。这家移动加油公司通过移动应用程序在佛罗里达州提供按需加油服务。EzFill 表示，它是南佛罗里达市场的主导者，但由于增长迅速，利润极高，因此它是南佛罗里达市场的主导者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718698ff98644c4026f32efe91d076c6\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe13300d9e4cf61effc59b9706776a\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至21年9月9日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今上涨7.7%，而标普500上涨19.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 11.0%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.0%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Smoore International 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：秋季 IPO 市场以第 10 周 IPO 拉开帷幕</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：秋季 IPO 市场以第 10 周 IPO 拉开帷幕</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-12 08:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在短暂的假期周经历了一波上市浪潮后，未来一周将有 10 起 IPO 计划筹集超过 30 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tech consultancy&nbsp;<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>技术咨询<b>思想作品</b>(TWKS) 计划以 63 亿美元的市值筹集 7 亿美元。这家敏捷软件开发商为300多家企业客户提供优质的端到端数字战略、设计和工程服务。从2017年到2020年，该公司的收入以14%的CAGR增长，并在2020年和2021年上半年扩大了利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Swiss running shoe brand&nbsp;<b>On Holding</b>(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士跑鞋品牌<b>关于持有</b>(ONON) 计划以 59 亿美元的市值筹集 5.91 亿美元。On是一家使用可持续材料及其专有技术设计的优质运动鞋、服装和配件的全球供应商。该公司已表现出增长和盈利能力，尽管它面临来自其他知名运动服装品牌的激烈竞争。</blockquote></p><p> After ending talks to go public via SPAC,<b>Sportradar Group</b>(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.</p><p><blockquote>在结束通过特殊目的收购公司上市的谈判后，<b>体育雷达集团</b>(SRAD) 计划以 79 亿美元的市值筹集 5.04 亿美元。这家瑞士公司每年报道83个体育项目的750,000多场赛事，为体育联盟、博彩运营商和媒体公司提供软件、数据和内容。Sportradar 实现了盈利，随着体育直播的恢复，2021 年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> Drive-thru coffee chain&nbsp;<b>Dutch Bros</b>(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.</p><p><blockquote>得来速咖啡连锁店<b>荷兰兄弟</b>(BROS) 计划以 33 亿美元的市值筹集 4 亿美元。这家总部位于俄勒冈州的公司在美国西部拥有471家得来速咖啡店连锁店，随着向新州扩张，它能够保持同店销售增长的记录。内部人士收到了IPO前股息，并将把股票卖回给公司。</blockquote></p><p> Healthcare intelligence platform&nbsp;<b>Definitive Healthcare</b>(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>医疗智能平台<b>终极医疗保健</b>（卫生署）计划以33亿元的市值筹集3.5亿元。该公司提供医疗保健商业智能和分析平台，帮助其客户分析、导航和销售到复杂的医疗保健生态系统。由于增长强劲，Definitive Healthcare 未盈利，IPO 后将受到杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Identity management platform&nbsp;<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.</p><p><blockquote>身份管理平台<b>伪岩</b>(FORG) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 2.48 亿美元。该公司提供身份和访问管理软件，以及一个提供、认证和管理所有类型数字身份的平台。由于销售和营销费用高昂，ForgeRock 无利可图，是价值数十亿美元的身份和访问市场中领先的下一代提供商。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology biotech&nbsp;<b>DICE Therapeutics</b>(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.</p><p><blockquote>免疫生物技术<b>骰子治疗</b>(DICE) 计划以 5.5 亿美元的市值筹集 1.6 亿美元。这家生物技术公司正在开发口服小分子疗法，以治疗免疫学和其他治疗领域的慢性疾病。DICE计划启动其主要候选药物S011806的1期试验，这是一种具有多种免疫学适应症的口服拮抗剂。</blockquote></p><p> Surgical robotics developer&nbsp;<b>PROCEPT BioRobotics</b>(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>手术机器人开发商<b>生物机器人方案</b>(PRCT) 计划以 11 亿美元的市值筹集 1.27 亿美元。这家商业阶段的公司开发用于微创泌尿外科手术的手术机器人系统，最初重点是治疗良性前列腺增生。PROCEPT BioRobotics 严重无利可图，2021 年上半年收入增长了六倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Oncology biotech&nbsp;<b>Tyra Biosciences</b>(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.</p><p><blockquote>肿瘤生物技术<b>泰拉生物科学</b>(TYRA) 计划以 5.84 亿美元的市值筹集 1.01 亿美元。这家临床前生物技术公司正在开发用于癌症，特别是实体瘤的 FGFR 激酶抑制剂。Tyra 的主要候选药物最初专注于膀胱癌，该公司预计将在 2022 年年中提交该药物的 IND。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap gas delivery service&nbsp;<b>EzFill Holdings</b>(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.</p><p><blockquote>微型气体输送服务<b>埃兹菲尔控股</b>（EZFL）计划以1.04亿美元的市值筹集2500万美元。这家移动加油公司通过移动应用程序在佛罗里达州提供按需加油服务。EzFill 表示，它是南佛罗里达市场的主导者，但由于增长迅速，利润极高，因此它是南佛罗里达市场的主导者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718698ff98644c4026f32efe91d076c6\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe13300d9e4cf61effc59b9706776a\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至21年9月9日，文艺复兴IPO指数年初至今上涨7.7%，而标普500上涨19.6%。Renaissance Capital 的 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）追踪该指数，持有量最大的 ETF 包括 Snowflake (SNOW) 和 Palantir Technologies (PLTR)。Renaissance International IPO 指数今年迄今下跌 11.0%，而 ACWX 指数上涨 10.0%。Renaissance Capital 的国际 IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）追踪该指数，持有的 ETF 包括 Smoore International 和 EQT Partners。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/85972/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-Fall-IPO-market-kicks-off-with-a-10-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SRAD":"Sportradar Group AG","BROS":"Dutch Bros Inc.","DH":"Definitive Healthcare Corp.","ONON":"On Holding AG",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TYRA":"Tyra Biosciences, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PRCT":"PROCEPT BioRobotics",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/85972/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-Fall-IPO-market-kicks-off-with-a-10-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189654544","content_text":"After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nTech consultancy Thoughtworks(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.\nSwiss running shoe brand On Holding(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.\nAfter ending talks to go public via SPAC,Sportradar Group(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.\nDrive-thru coffee chain Dutch Bros(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.\nHealthcare intelligence platform Definitive Healthcare(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.\nIdentity management platform ForgeRock(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.\nImmunology biotech DICE Therapeutics(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.\nSurgical robotics developer PROCEPT BioRobotics(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.\nOncology biotech Tyra Biosciences(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.\nMicro-cap gas delivery service EzFill Holdings(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ONON":0.9,"DH":0.9,"PRCT":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"BROS":0.9,"TWKS":0.9,"TYRA":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"FORG":0.9,"EZFL":0.9,"SRAD":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DICE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898396540,"gmtCreate":1628472404780,"gmtModify":1633746958461,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570689023160998","authorIdStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;","listText":"[Spurting]&nbsp;[Spurting]&nbsp;","text":"[Spurting] [Spurting]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898396540","repostId":"1136322726","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108121368,"gmtCreate":1620005969554,"gmtModify":1634208604541,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570689023160998","authorIdStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Observation]&nbsp;[Observation]&nbsp;","listText":"[Observation]&nbsp;[Observation]&nbsp;","text":"[Observation] [Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108121368","repostId":"1135819410","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135819410","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619999342,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1135819410?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-03 07:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司、通用汽车等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135819410","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their fi","content":"<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&amp;P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday:&nbsp;Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p><blockquote>又是财报密集的一周，标普500有 130 家公司即将发布第一季度业绩。雅诗兰黛是周一的亮点之一，周二的情况有所好转： 动视暴雪、CVS Health、杜邦、辉瑞和 T-Mobile US 均有报道。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.&nbsp;Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，巴里克黄金公司、Booking Holdings、通用汽车、PayPal控股公司和优步科技公司发布财报。百威英博、Moderna、再生元制药、Square和维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司将于周四上市。最后，信诺将于周五结束本周。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the&nbsp;main event will jobs Friday.&nbsp;The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p><blockquote>在本周的经济日历上，主要事件将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局（Bureau of Labor Statistics）预测，4月份非农就业人数将增加97.5万人，失业率为5.8%，低于一个月前的6%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its&nbsp;Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周一公布的美国供应管理协会 (Institute for Supply Management) 4 月份制造业采购经理人指数和周三公布的服务业指数。</blockquote></p><p>Enterprise Products Partners&nbsp;and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业产品合作伙伴和雅诗兰黛发布收益。</blockquote></p><p>Merck and&nbsp;Public Storage&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>默克和公共存储举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告三月份建筑支出数据。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1.53 万亿美元，建筑支出环比增长 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布4月份制造业采购经理人指数。经济学家预测读数为65，与3月份的数字大致持平。3月份的读数是该指数自1983年12月以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 5/4</b></blockquote></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪、康菲石油公司、康明斯、CVS Health、Dominion Energy、杜邦、伊顿、辉瑞、思科和 T-Mobile US 报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>Eli Lilly&nbsp;holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p><blockquote>礼来公司召开电话会议讨论其可持续发展举措。</blockquote></p><p>Union Pacific&nbsp;holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋举办 2021 年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 5/5</b></blockquote></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、博格华纳、艾默生电气、通用汽车、希尔顿全球控股公司、诺和诺德、PayPal Holdings 和 Uber Technologies 发布财报。</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>其4月份的全国就业报告。继 3 月份增加 517,000 个就业岗位后，预计私营部门就业岗位将增加 762,500 个。</blockquote></p><p><b>ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM版本</b>其4月份服务业采购经理人指数。普遍看涨期权为 64.6，比 3 月份的数据高出一个档次。三月份的读数是该指数的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 5/6</b></blockquote></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and&nbsp;Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>百威英博、Becton Dickinson、Expedia Group、富达国家信息服务、家乐氏、林德、大都会人寿、Moderna、再生元制药、Square、ViacomCBS 和 Zoetis 在评级举行会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至 5 月 1 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。4月份首次申请失业救济人数平均每周为611,750人，处于去年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了第一季度的劳动力成本和生产率。预计经季节性调整后的生产率年增长率为 2.2%，而 2020 年第四季度为下降 4.2%。单位劳动力成本在此前上涨 6% 后下降 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5/7星期五</b></blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布了4月份的就业报告。经济学家预测非农就业人数将增加97.5万人。失业率预计将从6%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Cigna and&nbsp;<b>Liberty Media</b>&nbsp;report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>信诺和<b>自由媒体</b>报告收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司、通用汽车等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司、通用汽车等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-03 07:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&amp;P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday:&nbsp;Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p><blockquote>又是财报密集的一周，标普500有 130 家公司即将发布第一季度业绩。雅诗兰黛是周一的亮点之一，周二的情况有所好转： 动视暴雪、CVS Health、杜邦、辉瑞和 T-Mobile US 均有报道。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.&nbsp;Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，巴里克黄金公司、Booking Holdings、通用汽车、PayPal控股公司和优步科技公司发布财报。百威英博、Moderna、再生元制药、Square和维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司将于周四上市。最后，信诺将于周五结束本周。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the&nbsp;main event will jobs Friday.&nbsp;The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p><blockquote>在本周的经济日历上，主要事件将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局（Bureau of Labor Statistics）预测，4月份非农就业人数将增加97.5万人，失业率为5.8%，低于一个月前的6%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its&nbsp;Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周一公布的美国供应管理协会 (Institute for Supply Management) 4 月份制造业采购经理人指数和周三公布的服务业指数。</blockquote></p><p>Enterprise Products Partners&nbsp;and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业产品合作伙伴和雅诗兰黛发布收益。</blockquote></p><p>Merck and&nbsp;Public Storage&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>默克和公共存储举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告三月份建筑支出数据。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1.53 万亿美元，建筑支出环比增长 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布4月份制造业采购经理人指数。经济学家预测读数为65，与3月份的数字大致持平。3月份的读数是该指数自1983年12月以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 5/4</b></blockquote></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪、康菲石油公司、康明斯、CVS Health、Dominion Energy、杜邦、伊顿、辉瑞、思科和 T-Mobile US 报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>Eli Lilly&nbsp;holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p><blockquote>礼来公司召开电话会议讨论其可持续发展举措。</blockquote></p><p>Union Pacific&nbsp;holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋举办 2021 年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 5/5</b></blockquote></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、博格华纳、艾默生电气、通用汽车、希尔顿全球控股公司、诺和诺德、PayPal Holdings 和 Uber Technologies 发布财报。</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>其4月份的全国就业报告。继 3 月份增加 517,000 个就业岗位后，预计私营部门就业岗位将增加 762,500 个。</blockquote></p><p><b>ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM版本</b>其4月份服务业采购经理人指数。普遍看涨期权为 64.6，比 3 月份的数据高出一个档次。三月份的读数是该指数的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 5/6</b></blockquote></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and&nbsp;Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>百威英博、Becton Dickinson、Expedia Group、富达国家信息服务、家乐氏、林德、大都会人寿、Moderna、再生元制药、Square、ViacomCBS 和 Zoetis 在评级举行会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至 5 月 1 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。4月份首次申请失业救济人数平均每周为611,750人，处于去年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了第一季度的劳动力成本和生产率。预计经季节性调整后的生产率年增长率为 2.2%，而 2020 年第四季度为下降 4.2%。单位劳动力成本在此前上涨 6% 后下降 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5/7星期五</b></blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布了4月份的就业报告。经济学家预测非农就业人数将增加97.5万人。失业率预计将从6%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Cigna and&nbsp;<b>Liberty Media</b>&nbsp;report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>信诺和<b>自由媒体</b>报告收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车","UBER":"优步","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","PYPL":"PayPal","PFE":"辉瑞",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135819410","content_text":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.On Wednesday, Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings. Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on Friday.On the economic calendar this week, the main event will jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its Services equivalent on Wednesday.Enterprise Products Partners and Estée Lauder release earnings.Merck and Public Storage hold virtual investor days.The Census Bureau reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.The Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.Tuesday 5/4Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.Eli Lilly holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.Union Pacific holds its 2021 virtual investor day.Wednesday 5/5Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.ADP releases its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.ISM releases its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.Thursday 5/6Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.Friday 5/7The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.Cigna and Liberty Media report earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBER":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"PYPL":0.9,"GM":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"TMUS":0.9,"VIACP":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839538086,"gmtCreate":1629165309345,"gmtModify":1631892366134,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570689023160998","authorIdStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Observation]&nbsp;[Observation]&nbsp;","listText":"[Observation]&nbsp;[Observation]&nbsp;","text":"[Observation] [Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839538086","repostId":"1140894285","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140894285","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629155562,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1140894285?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-17 07:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Roblox bookings miss Wall St target as easing curbs hurt online games<blockquote>由于放松限制措施损害了在线游戏，Roblox 的预订未能实现华尔街目标</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140894285","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Roblox Corp's quarterly bookings missed market expectations on Monday, as easing restrictions slowed","content":"<p>Roblox Corp's&nbsp;quarterly bookings missed market expectations on Monday, as easing restrictions slowed the pandemic-fueled surge in spending for its games including \"Jailbreak\" and \"MeepCity\", sending its shares down 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox Corp 周一的季度预订量低于市场预期，因为放松限制减缓了疫情引发的《越狱》和《MeepCity》等游戏支出激增，导致其股价下跌 4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01c434b068c08a4e8cb96171d78e7d8f\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"640\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company, one of the world's most popular gaming sites for children, is a pandemic winner that had benefited from stay-at-home orders.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是世界上最受欢迎的儿童游戏网站之一，是疫情的赢家，受益于居家订单。</blockquote></p><p> But with school reopening following the rollout of vaccines in the United States, online games lagged as kids are now encouraged to return to outdoor activities.</p><p><blockquote>但随着美国推出疫苗后学校重新开放，网络游戏落后了，因为现在鼓励孩子们重返户外活动。</blockquote></p><p> The company's bookings rose just 35% to $665.5 million for the second quarter ended June 30 compared to a 161% surge in bookings during the previous quarter. Analysts had expected $683.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至 6 月 30 日的第二季度，该公司的预订量仅增长 35%，达到 6.655 亿美元，而上一季度的预订量激增了 161%。分析师此前预计为 6.833 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Roblox generates most of its booking from the purchases of virtual currency \"Robux\" by kids, who then use it to upgrade player's avatars by buying in-game items like a hat, pet or accessories.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox 的大部分预订来自孩子们购买虚拟货币“Robux”，然后孩子们通过购买帽子、宠物或配件等游戏内物品来升级玩家的头像。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which offers a host of titles across mobile devices and games consoles, said average bookings per daily active user increased slightly from the year-ago period.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在移动设备和游戏机上提供大量游戏，表示每日活跃用户的平均预订量比去年同期略有增加。</blockquote></p><p> The metric is the average amount that users pay per day to play the games and it had in the last quarter surged 46% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>该指标是用户每天为玩游戏支付的平均金额，上一季度比去年同期飙升了 46%。</blockquote></p><p> In July, it fell 5% to 7% year-over-year, a clear sign of how people are spending less time on its platform.</p><p><blockquote>7 月份，该公司同比下降 5% 至 7%，这清楚地表明人们在其平台上花费的时间正在减少。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which listed on the NYSE in March, is reporting its second quarterly earnings and is yet to turn a profit.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于三月份在纽约证券交易所上市，目前正在公布第二季度收益，但尚未实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> \"Roblox is suffering from the demands of very aggressive market expectations, combined with the prospect of continued unprofitability going forward,\" said John Patrick Lee, ETF product manager at VanEck.</p><p><blockquote>VanEck ETF 产品经理 John Patrick Lee 表示：“Roblox 正受到非常激进的市场预期的影响，再加上未来持续无利可图的前景。”</blockquote></p><p> Its net loss attributable to common stockholders widened to $140.13 million, or 25 cents per share, compared to $71.5 million, or 40 cents per share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>其归属于普通股股东的净亏损扩大至 1.4013 亿美元，即每股 25 美分，而去年同期为 7150 万美元，即每股 40 美分。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Roblox bookings miss Wall St target as easing curbs hurt online games<blockquote>由于放松限制措施损害了在线游戏，Roblox 的预订未能实现华尔街目标</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRoblox bookings miss Wall St target as easing curbs hurt online games<blockquote>由于放松限制措施损害了在线游戏，Roblox 的预订未能实现华尔街目标</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-17 07:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Roblox Corp's&nbsp;quarterly bookings missed market expectations on Monday, as easing restrictions slowed the pandemic-fueled surge in spending for its games including \"Jailbreak\" and \"MeepCity\", sending its shares down 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox Corp 周一的季度预订量低于市场预期，因为放松限制减缓了疫情引发的《越狱》和《MeepCity》等游戏支出激增，导致其股价下跌 4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01c434b068c08a4e8cb96171d78e7d8f\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"640\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company, one of the world's most popular gaming sites for children, is a pandemic winner that had benefited from stay-at-home orders.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是世界上最受欢迎的儿童游戏网站之一，是疫情的赢家，受益于居家订单。</blockquote></p><p> But with school reopening following the rollout of vaccines in the United States, online games lagged as kids are now encouraged to return to outdoor activities.</p><p><blockquote>但随着美国推出疫苗后学校重新开放，网络游戏落后了，因为现在鼓励孩子们重返户外活动。</blockquote></p><p> The company's bookings rose just 35% to $665.5 million for the second quarter ended June 30 compared to a 161% surge in bookings during the previous quarter. Analysts had expected $683.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>截至 6 月 30 日的第二季度，该公司的预订量仅增长 35%，达到 6.655 亿美元，而上一季度的预订量激增了 161%。分析师此前预计为 6.833 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Roblox generates most of its booking from the purchases of virtual currency \"Robux\" by kids, who then use it to upgrade player's avatars by buying in-game items like a hat, pet or accessories.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox 的大部分预订来自孩子们购买虚拟货币“Robux”，然后孩子们通过购买帽子、宠物或配件等游戏内物品来升级玩家的头像。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which offers a host of titles across mobile devices and games consoles, said average bookings per daily active user increased slightly from the year-ago period.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在移动设备和游戏机上提供大量游戏，表示每日活跃用户的平均预订量比去年同期略有增加。</blockquote></p><p> The metric is the average amount that users pay per day to play the games and it had in the last quarter surged 46% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>该指标是用户每天为玩游戏支付的平均金额，上一季度比去年同期飙升了 46%。</blockquote></p><p> In July, it fell 5% to 7% year-over-year, a clear sign of how people are spending less time on its platform.</p><p><blockquote>7 月份，该公司同比下降 5% 至 7%，这清楚地表明人们在其平台上花费的时间正在减少。</blockquote></p><p> The company, which listed on the NYSE in March, is reporting its second quarterly earnings and is yet to turn a profit.</p><p><blockquote>该公司于三月份在纽约证券交易所上市，目前正在公布第二季度收益，但尚未实现盈利。</blockquote></p><p> \"Roblox is suffering from the demands of very aggressive market expectations, combined with the prospect of continued unprofitability going forward,\" said John Patrick Lee, ETF product manager at VanEck.</p><p><blockquote>VanEck ETF 产品经理 John Patrick Lee 表示：“Roblox 正受到非常激进的市场预期的影响，再加上未来持续无利可图的前景。”</blockquote></p><p> Its net loss attributable to common stockholders widened to $140.13 million, or 25 cents per share, compared to $71.5 million, or 40 cents per share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>其归属于普通股股东的净亏损扩大至 1.4013 亿美元，即每股 25 美分，而去年同期为 7150 万美元，即每股 40 美分。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140894285","content_text":"Roblox Corp's quarterly bookings missed market expectations on Monday, as easing restrictions slowed the pandemic-fueled surge in spending for its games including \"Jailbreak\" and \"MeepCity\", sending its shares down 4.7%.\n\nThe company, one of the world's most popular gaming sites for children, is a pandemic winner that had benefited from stay-at-home orders.\nBut with school reopening following the rollout of vaccines in the United States, online games lagged as kids are now encouraged to return to outdoor activities.\nThe company's bookings rose just 35% to $665.5 million for the second quarter ended June 30 compared to a 161% surge in bookings during the previous quarter. Analysts had expected $683.3 million.\nRoblox generates most of its booking from the purchases of virtual currency \"Robux\" by kids, who then use it to upgrade player's avatars by buying in-game items like a hat, pet or accessories.\nThe company, which offers a host of titles across mobile devices and games consoles, said average bookings per daily active user increased slightly from the year-ago period.\nThe metric is the average amount that users pay per day to play the games and it had in the last quarter surged 46% from a year earlier.\nIn July, it fell 5% to 7% year-over-year, a clear sign of how people are spending less time on its platform.\nThe company, which listed on the NYSE in March, is reporting its second quarterly earnings and is yet to turn a profit.\n\"Roblox is suffering from the demands of very aggressive market expectations, combined with the prospect of continued unprofitability going forward,\" said John Patrick Lee, ETF product manager at VanEck.\nIts net loss attributable to common stockholders widened to $140.13 million, or 25 cents per share, compared to $71.5 million, or 40 cents per share, a year earlier.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RBLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":852910865,"gmtCreate":1635233687883,"gmtModify":1635233712056,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570689023160998","authorIdStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"☺️☺️","listText":"☺️☺️","text":"☺️☺️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852910865","repostId":"2177412181","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2177412181","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1635219132,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2177412181?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-26 11:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD earnings look to again succeed where Intel disappointed<blockquote>AMD 盈利有望再次取得成功，英特尔令人失望</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2177412181","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analy","content":"<p>AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analysts now point to AMD's growing margins as Intel's are projected to shrink</p><p><blockquote>AMD 盈利预览：在英特尔连续两个季度下滑的情况下显示数据中心增长后，分析师现在指出 AMD 的利润率正在增长，因为英特尔的利润率预计将萎缩</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30ec3c9220844c561016f0de86f86f52\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s growing series of Epyc server chips has been the talk of Wall Street in recent quarters, but that may switch to gross margins in this quarter’s earnings report.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 最近几个季度，华尔街一直在谈论不断增长的 Epyc 服务器芯片系列，但这可能会转向本季度财报中的毛利率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices Inc. is set to follow yet another rough earnings report from Intel Corp., and once again could show gains in an area that caused pain for its larger rival.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 将继英特尔公司 (Intel Corp.) 发布另一份糟糕的收益报告之后，该公司可能会再次在一个给其更大的竞争对手带来痛苦的领域取得进展。</blockquote></p><p> AMD&nbsp;is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday after the close of markets, after Intel&nbsp;reported an earnings beat Thursday that hardly mattered as revenue came in light. More important to analysts was Intel's forecast for declining margins over the next few years as its chief executive doubles down on new manufacturing capacity to try to retake its former glory as the undisputed chip leader.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 定于周二收盘后公布第三季度收益，此前英特尔周四公布的收益超出预期，但随着收入的浮出水面，这几乎无关紧要。对分析师来说，更重要的是英特尔预测未来几年利润率将下降，因为其首席执行官加倍投资新的产能，试图重夺其作为无可争议的芯片领导者的昔日荣耀。</blockquote></p><p> That led to downgrades on Friday and Intel's worst one-day performance since the chip leader said it was going to delay its next generation of chips, an announcement that had fired up even more investor support for AMD back then.</p><p><blockquote>这导致了周五的评级下调，以及自这家芯片领导者表示将推迟下一代芯片以来英特尔最糟糕的单日表现，这一声明当时激发了投资者对 AMD 的更多支持。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, who has a market perform rating on AMD and a $110 price target, said AMD will continue to benefit from Intel's transition, and called attention to an AMD metric that was one of enormous concern during Intel's call: Gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>Bernstein 分析师 Stacy Rasgon 对 AMD 给予市场表现评级，目标价为 110 美元，他表示 AMD 将继续受益于英特尔的转型，并呼吁人们关注英特尔看涨期权期间备受关注的 AMD 指标之一：毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe Street gross margin estimates appear unaggressive going forward (which is not something we have typically said for AMD), and the company is now (for the first time ever) starting to return cash,\" Rasgon said.</p><p><blockquote>拉斯贡表示：“我们认为，未来华尔街毛利率估计似乎并不激进（这不是我们通常对 AMD 所说的话），而且该公司现在（有史以来第一次）开始返还现金。”</blockquote></p><p> That underscores another show of how Intel and AMD are transitioning with respect to one another: Analysts on the Intel call were very concerned that Intel's margins were falling despite company assurances they would stay just above 50% for the next few years. Meanwhile, AMD gross margins have been rising, and are likely to break above 50%, if not in this earnings report, then sometime soon. Three months ago, AMD reported gross margins of 48%, up from 44% in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>这再次表明英特尔和 AMD 正在相互转型：英特尔看涨期权上的分析师非常担心英特尔的利润率正在下降，尽管该公司保证未来几年利润率将保持在 50% 以上。与此同时，AMD 的毛利率一直在上升，并且可能会突破 50% 以上，如果不是在这份收益报告中，那么很快就会突破 50%。三个月前，AMD 公布的毛利率为 48%，高于上一年的 44%。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD is referred to as Intel's \"smaller rival,\" that gap has been steadily closing for a while now. At Friday's close, AMD had a market cap of $145.34 billion, or nearly 73% of Intel's $200.66 billion. Just this past summer, AMD's $111.5 billion valuation was a little more than half Intel's $219.5 billion cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AMD被称为英特尔的“较小的竞争对手”，但这一差距已经稳步缩小了一段时间。截至周五收盘，AMD 的市值为 1453.4 亿美元，接近英特尔 2006.6 亿美元市值的 73%。就在去年夏天，AMD 的估值为 1115 亿美元，略高于英特尔 2195 亿美元上限的一半。</blockquote></p><p> One other are to look at will be data-center sales, as finally swung to a gain in that important segment in the quarter. Over the past two quarters, Intel has posted significant year-over-year declines in the increasingly important category, while AMD has more than doubled its sales. That raises the question whether Intel clawed back some market share, or whether data-center sales were just generally better all around, which AMD's report could answer.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得关注的领域是数据中心销售，该领域终于在本季度实现了这一重要领域的增长。在过去的两个季度里，英特尔在这个日益重要的类别中的销售额同比大幅下降，而 AMD 的销售额则增长了一倍多。这就提出了一个问题：英特尔是否夺回了一些市场份额，或者数据中心的销售是否只是普遍更好，AMD 的报告可以回答这个问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings: </b>Of the 34 analysts surveyed by FactSet, AMD on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of 66 cents a share, up from 41 cents a share reported in the year-ago period. Estimize, a software platform that crowdsources estimates from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of 72 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>在 FactSet 调查的 34 名分析师中，AMD 预计调整后每股收益平均为 66 美分，高于去年同期的每股 41 美分。Estimize 是一个软件平台，它从对冲基金高管、经纪公司、买方分析师和其他人那里众包评级估算，每股收益为 72 美分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue:</b> Of the 32 analysts polled by FactSet, AMD, on average, is expected to post revenue of $4.11 billion, up from the $2.8 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. AMD had forecast $4 billion to $4.2 billion. Estimize expects revenue of $4.22 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>在 FactSet 调查的 32 名分析师中，AMD 预计平均营收为 41.1 亿美元，高于去年同期报告的 28 亿美元。AMD 曾预测 40 亿至 42 亿美元。Estimize 预计收入为 42.2 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement:</b> While AMD earnings and sales have both topped Wall Street estimates over the past five quarterly reports, but shares only gained the next day twice, about three months ago and when the stock popped nearly 13% five quarters ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>尽管 AMD 在过去五个季度报告中的盈利和销售额均超出了华尔街的预期，但其股价仅在第二天上涨了两次，一次是在大约三个月前，另一次是在五个季度前，当时该股飙升了近 13%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares rose 9.6% in the third quarter. In contrast, the PHLX Semiconductor Index declined 2.6%, the S&amp;P 500 index rose 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.4%. On Friday, the day after Intel's report, AMD shares closed at a record high of $119.82.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股价第三季度上涨 9.6%。相比之下，PHLX半导体指数下跌2.6%，标普500指数上涨0.2%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.4%。周五，即英特尔发布报告的第二天，AMD 股价收于 119.82 美元的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What analysts are saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Cowen analyst Matthew Ramsay, who has an outperform rating and a $120 price target on AMD, said he's \"lookin' for more of the same.\"</p><p><blockquote>Cowen 分析师马修·拉姆齐 (Matthew Ramsay) 对 AMD 给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为 120 美元，他表示“正在寻找更多类似的评级”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We continue to monitor the PC market for signs of demand slowing or supply improving,\" Ramsay said. \"Near-term, we see resilient demand outside Chromebooks, but prefer a prudent/agnostic view on 2022 like AMD took on its last call.\"</p><p><blockquote>拉姆齐表示：“我们将继续监测个人电脑市场是否有需求放缓或供应改善的迹象。”“短期内，我们看到 Chromebook 以外的需求有弹性，但更倾向于对 2022 年持谨慎/不可知论的态度，就像 AMD 进行最后一次看涨期权一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Earlier in the month, research firms released data showing that pandemic-fueled growth in PC shipments had slowed considerably as the world not only wrestles with a chip shortage but overall supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，研究公司发布的数据显示，由于全球不仅面临芯片短缺，而且面临整体供应链问题，疫情推动的个人电脑出货量增长已大幅放缓。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On data-center sales, Ramsay is even more optimistic estimating that segment will account for more than 25% of sales compared with less than 20% a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>在数据中心销售方面，Ramsay 更加乐观，估计该部门将占销售额的 25% 以上，而一年前这一比例还不到 20%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe datacenter passing a quarter of AMD's business could draw investor attention,\" Ramsay said. \"We remind investors that the most important business for AMD remains datacenter, which we estimate doubled in 2020, with CEO Lisa Su noting she sees the business momentum accelerating in 2021.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们相信数据中心超过 AMD 四分之一的业务可能会吸引投资者的注意力，”拉姆齐说。“我们提醒投资者，AMD 最重要的业务仍然是数据中心，我们预计该业务在 2020 年将翻一番，首席执行官 Lisa Su 指出，她预计 2021 年业务势头将加速。”</blockquote></p><p> Susquehanna Financial analyst Christopher Rolland, who has a positive rating and a $130 price target on AMD, said he expects another solid quarter driven by enterprise and server sales, but that \"given the slowing PC market, we do not expect mgmt to raise their FY top-line guidance as they have done in numerous updates over the last year.\"</p><p><blockquote>萨斯奎哈纳金融分析师克里斯托弗·罗兰 (Christopher Rolland) 对 AMD 给予正面评级，目标价为 130 美元，他表示，在企业和服务器销售的推动下，他预计本季度将再次表现强劲，但“鉴于 PC 市场放缓，我们预计管理层不会提高他们的财年营收指引，就像他们在去年的多次更新中所做的那样。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, Rolland expects AMD to report share gains from Intel in both desktop and laptop PCs as well as enterprise and gaming PCs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，罗兰预计 AMD 在台式机和笔记本电脑以及企业和游戏电脑方面的份额将超过英特尔。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 39 analysts who cover AMD, 23 have buy or overweight ratings, and 16 have hold ratings, with an average price target of $117.55.</p><p><blockquote>在研究 AMD 的 39 位分析师中，23 位给予买入或跑赢大盘评级，16 位给予持有评级，平均目标价为 117.55 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD earnings look to again succeed where Intel disappointed<blockquote>AMD 盈利有望再次取得成功，英特尔令人失望</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-26 11:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analysts now point to AMD's growing margins as Intel's are projected to shrink</p><p><blockquote>AMD 盈利预览：在英特尔连续两个季度下滑的情况下显示数据中心增长后，分析师现在指出 AMD 的利润率正在增长，因为英特尔的利润率预计将萎缩</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30ec3c9220844c561016f0de86f86f52\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc.’s growing series of Epyc server chips has been the talk of Wall Street in recent quarters, but that may switch to gross margins in this quarter’s earnings report.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 最近几个季度，华尔街一直在谈论不断增长的 Epyc 服务器芯片系列，但这可能会转向本季度财报中的毛利率。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices Inc. is set to follow yet another rough earnings report from Intel Corp., and once again could show gains in an area that caused pain for its larger rival.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 将继英特尔公司 (Intel Corp.) 发布另一份糟糕的收益报告之后，该公司可能会再次在一个给其更大的竞争对手带来痛苦的领域取得进展。</blockquote></p><p> AMD&nbsp;is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday after the close of markets, after Intel&nbsp;reported an earnings beat Thursday that hardly mattered as revenue came in light. More important to analysts was Intel's forecast for declining margins over the next few years as its chief executive doubles down on new manufacturing capacity to try to retake its former glory as the undisputed chip leader.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 定于周二收盘后公布第三季度收益，此前英特尔周四公布的收益超出预期，但随着收入的浮出水面，这几乎无关紧要。对分析师来说，更重要的是英特尔预测未来几年利润率将下降，因为其首席执行官加倍投资新的产能，试图重夺其作为无可争议的芯片领导者的昔日荣耀。</blockquote></p><p> That led to downgrades on Friday and Intel's worst one-day performance since the chip leader said it was going to delay its next generation of chips, an announcement that had fired up even more investor support for AMD back then.</p><p><blockquote>这导致了周五的评级下调，以及自这家芯片领导者表示将推迟下一代芯片以来英特尔最糟糕的单日表现，这一声明当时激发了投资者对 AMD 的更多支持。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, who has a market perform rating on AMD and a $110 price target, said AMD will continue to benefit from Intel's transition, and called attention to an AMD metric that was one of enormous concern during Intel's call: Gross margins.</p><p><blockquote>Bernstein 分析师 Stacy Rasgon 对 AMD 给予市场表现评级，目标价为 110 美元，他表示 AMD 将继续受益于英特尔的转型，并呼吁人们关注英特尔看涨期权期间备受关注的 AMD 指标之一：毛利率。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe Street gross margin estimates appear unaggressive going forward (which is not something we have typically said for AMD), and the company is now (for the first time ever) starting to return cash,\" Rasgon said.</p><p><blockquote>拉斯贡表示：“我们认为，未来华尔街毛利率估计似乎并不激进（这不是我们通常对 AMD 所说的话），而且该公司现在（有史以来第一次）开始返还现金。”</blockquote></p><p> That underscores another show of how Intel and AMD are transitioning with respect to one another: Analysts on the Intel call were very concerned that Intel's margins were falling despite company assurances they would stay just above 50% for the next few years. Meanwhile, AMD gross margins have been rising, and are likely to break above 50%, if not in this earnings report, then sometime soon. Three months ago, AMD reported gross margins of 48%, up from 44% in the previous year.</p><p><blockquote>这再次表明英特尔和 AMD 正在相互转型：英特尔看涨期权上的分析师非常担心英特尔的利润率正在下降，尽管该公司保证未来几年利润率将保持在 50% 以上。与此同时，AMD 的毛利率一直在上升，并且可能会突破 50% 以上，如果不是在这份收益报告中，那么很快就会突破 50%。三个月前，AMD 公布的毛利率为 48%，高于上一年的 44%。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD is referred to as Intel's \"smaller rival,\" that gap has been steadily closing for a while now. At Friday's close, AMD had a market cap of $145.34 billion, or nearly 73% of Intel's $200.66 billion. Just this past summer, AMD's $111.5 billion valuation was a little more than half Intel's $219.5 billion cap.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AMD被称为英特尔的“较小的竞争对手”，但这一差距已经稳步缩小了一段时间。截至周五收盘，AMD 的市值为 1453.4 亿美元，接近英特尔 2006.6 亿美元市值的 73%。就在去年夏天，AMD 的估值为 1115 亿美元，略高于英特尔 2195 亿美元上限的一半。</blockquote></p><p> One other are to look at will be data-center sales, as finally swung to a gain in that important segment in the quarter. Over the past two quarters, Intel has posted significant year-over-year declines in the increasingly important category, while AMD has more than doubled its sales. That raises the question whether Intel clawed back some market share, or whether data-center sales were just generally better all around, which AMD's report could answer.</p><p><blockquote>另一个值得关注的领域是数据中心销售，该领域终于在本季度实现了这一重要领域的增长。在过去的两个季度里，英特尔在这个日益重要的类别中的销售额同比大幅下降，而 AMD 的销售额则增长了一倍多。这就提出了一个问题：英特尔是否夺回了一些市场份额，或者数据中心的销售是否只是普遍更好，AMD 的报告可以回答这个问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings: </b>Of the 34 analysts surveyed by FactSet, AMD on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of 66 cents a share, up from 41 cents a share reported in the year-ago period. Estimize, a software platform that crowdsources estimates from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of 72 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>在 FactSet 调查的 34 名分析师中，AMD 预计调整后每股收益平均为 66 美分，高于去年同期的每股 41 美分。Estimize 是一个软件平台，它从对冲基金高管、经纪公司、买方分析师和其他人那里众包评级估算，每股收益为 72 美分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue:</b> Of the 32 analysts polled by FactSet, AMD, on average, is expected to post revenue of $4.11 billion, up from the $2.8 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. AMD had forecast $4 billion to $4.2 billion. Estimize expects revenue of $4.22 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>在 FactSet 调查的 32 名分析师中，AMD 预计平均营收为 41.1 亿美元，高于去年同期报告的 28 亿美元。AMD 曾预测 40 亿至 42 亿美元。Estimize 预计收入为 42.2 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement:</b> While AMD earnings and sales have both topped Wall Street estimates over the past five quarterly reports, but shares only gained the next day twice, about three months ago and when the stock popped nearly 13% five quarters ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>尽管 AMD 在过去五个季度报告中的盈利和销售额均超出了华尔街的预期，但其股价仅在第二天上涨了两次，一次是在大约三个月前，另一次是在五个季度前，当时该股飙升了近 13%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares rose 9.6% in the third quarter. In contrast, the PHLX Semiconductor Index declined 2.6%, the S&amp;P 500 index rose 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.4%. On Friday, the day after Intel's report, AMD shares closed at a record high of $119.82.</p><p><blockquote>AMD 股价第三季度上涨 9.6%。相比之下，PHLX半导体指数下跌2.6%，标普500指数上涨0.2%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.4%。周五，即英特尔发布报告的第二天，AMD 股价收于 119.82 美元的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What analysts are saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Cowen analyst Matthew Ramsay, who has an outperform rating and a $120 price target on AMD, said he's \"lookin' for more of the same.\"</p><p><blockquote>Cowen 分析师马修·拉姆齐 (Matthew Ramsay) 对 AMD 给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为 120 美元，他表示“正在寻找更多类似的评级”。</blockquote></p><p> \"We continue to monitor the PC market for signs of demand slowing or supply improving,\" Ramsay said. \"Near-term, we see resilient demand outside Chromebooks, but prefer a prudent/agnostic view on 2022 like AMD took on its last call.\"</p><p><blockquote>拉姆齐表示：“我们将继续监测个人电脑市场是否有需求放缓或供应改善的迹象。”“短期内，我们看到 Chromebook 以外的需求有弹性，但更倾向于对 2022 年持谨慎/不可知论的态度，就像 AMD 进行最后一次看涨期权一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Earlier in the month, research firms released data showing that pandemic-fueled growth in PC shipments had slowed considerably as the world not only wrestles with a chip shortage but overall supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，研究公司发布的数据显示，由于全球不仅面临芯片短缺，而且面临整体供应链问题，疫情推动的个人电脑出货量增长已大幅放缓。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On data-center sales, Ramsay is even more optimistic estimating that segment will account for more than 25% of sales compared with less than 20% a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>在数据中心销售方面，Ramsay 更加乐观，估计该部门将占销售额的 25% 以上，而一年前这一比例还不到 20%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe datacenter passing a quarter of AMD's business could draw investor attention,\" Ramsay said. \"We remind investors that the most important business for AMD remains datacenter, which we estimate doubled in 2020, with CEO Lisa Su noting she sees the business momentum accelerating in 2021.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们相信数据中心超过 AMD 四分之一的业务可能会吸引投资者的注意力，”拉姆齐说。“我们提醒投资者，AMD 最重要的业务仍然是数据中心，我们预计该业务在 2020 年将翻一番，首席执行官 Lisa Su 指出，她预计 2021 年业务势头将加速。”</blockquote></p><p> Susquehanna Financial analyst Christopher Rolland, who has a positive rating and a $130 price target on AMD, said he expects another solid quarter driven by enterprise and server sales, but that \"given the slowing PC market, we do not expect mgmt to raise their FY top-line guidance as they have done in numerous updates over the last year.\"</p><p><blockquote>萨斯奎哈纳金融分析师克里斯托弗·罗兰 (Christopher Rolland) 对 AMD 给予正面评级，目标价为 130 美元，他表示，在企业和服务器销售的推动下，他预计本季度将再次表现强劲，但“鉴于 PC 市场放缓，我们预计管理层不会提高他们的财年营收指引，就像他们在去年的多次更新中所做的那样。”</blockquote></p><p> Still, Rolland expects AMD to report share gains from Intel in both desktop and laptop PCs as well as enterprise and gaming PCs.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，罗兰预计 AMD 在台式机和笔记本电脑以及企业和游戏电脑方面的份额将超过英特尔。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 39 analysts who cover AMD, 23 have buy or overweight ratings, and 16 have hold ratings, with an average price target of $117.55.</p><p><blockquote>在研究 AMD 的 39 位分析师中，23 位给予买入或跑赢大盘评级，16 位给予持有评级，平均目标价为 117.55 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amd-earnings-look-to-again-succeed-where-intel-disappointed-11634942264?mod=mw_quote_news\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amd-earnings-look-to-again-succeed-where-intel-disappointed-11634942264?mod=mw_quote_news","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2177412181","content_text":"AMD earnings preview: After showing data-center gains as Intel declined two quarters in a row, analysts now point to AMD's growing margins as Intel's are projected to shrink\nAdvanced Micro Devices Inc.’s growing series of Epyc server chips has been the talk of Wall Street in recent quarters, but that may switch to gross margins in this quarter’s earnings report.\nAdvanced Micro Devices Inc. is set to follow yet another rough earnings report from Intel Corp., and once again could show gains in an area that caused pain for its larger rival.\nAMD is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Tuesday after the close of markets, after Intel reported an earnings beat Thursday that hardly mattered as revenue came in light. More important to analysts was Intel's forecast for declining margins over the next few years as its chief executive doubles down on new manufacturing capacity to try to retake its former glory as the undisputed chip leader.\nThat led to downgrades on Friday and Intel's worst one-day performance since the chip leader said it was going to delay its next generation of chips, an announcement that had fired up even more investor support for AMD back then.\nBernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, who has a market perform rating on AMD and a $110 price target, said AMD will continue to benefit from Intel's transition, and called attention to an AMD metric that was one of enormous concern during Intel's call: Gross margins.\n\"We believe Street gross margin estimates appear unaggressive going forward (which is not something we have typically said for AMD), and the company is now (for the first time ever) starting to return cash,\" Rasgon said.\nThat underscores another show of how Intel and AMD are transitioning with respect to one another: Analysts on the Intel call were very concerned that Intel's margins were falling despite company assurances they would stay just above 50% for the next few years. Meanwhile, AMD gross margins have been rising, and are likely to break above 50%, if not in this earnings report, then sometime soon. Three months ago, AMD reported gross margins of 48%, up from 44% in the previous year.\nWhile AMD is referred to as Intel's \"smaller rival,\" that gap has been steadily closing for a while now. At Friday's close, AMD had a market cap of $145.34 billion, or nearly 73% of Intel's $200.66 billion. Just this past summer, AMD's $111.5 billion valuation was a little more than half Intel's $219.5 billion cap.\nOne other are to look at will be data-center sales, as finally swung to a gain in that important segment in the quarter. Over the past two quarters, Intel has posted significant year-over-year declines in the increasingly important category, while AMD has more than doubled its sales. That raises the question whether Intel clawed back some market share, or whether data-center sales were just generally better all around, which AMD's report could answer.\nWhat to expect\nEarnings: Of the 34 analysts surveyed by FactSet, AMD on average is expected to post adjusted earnings of 66 cents a share, up from 41 cents a share reported in the year-ago period. Estimize, a software platform that crowdsources estimates from hedge-fund executives, brokerages, buy-side analysts and others, calls for earnings of 72 cents a share.\nRevenue: Of the 32 analysts polled by FactSet, AMD, on average, is expected to post revenue of $4.11 billion, up from the $2.8 billion reported in the year-ago quarter. AMD had forecast $4 billion to $4.2 billion. Estimize expects revenue of $4.22 billion.\nStock movement: While AMD earnings and sales have both topped Wall Street estimates over the past five quarterly reports, but shares only gained the next day twice, about three months ago and when the stock popped nearly 13% five quarters ago.\nAMD shares rose 9.6% in the third quarter. In contrast, the PHLX Semiconductor Index declined 2.6%, the S&P 500 index rose 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index declined 0.4%. On Friday, the day after Intel's report, AMD shares closed at a record high of $119.82.\nWhat analysts are saying\nCowen analyst Matthew Ramsay, who has an outperform rating and a $120 price target on AMD, said he's \"lookin' for more of the same.\"\n\"We continue to monitor the PC market for signs of demand slowing or supply improving,\" Ramsay said. \"Near-term, we see resilient demand outside Chromebooks, but prefer a prudent/agnostic view on 2022 like AMD took on its last call.\"\nEarlier in the month, research firms released data showing that pandemic-fueled growth in PC shipments had slowed considerably as the world not only wrestles with a chip shortage but overall supply-chain issues.\nOn data-center sales, Ramsay is even more optimistic estimating that segment will account for more than 25% of sales compared with less than 20% a year ago.\n\"We believe datacenter passing a quarter of AMD's business could draw investor attention,\" Ramsay said. \"We remind investors that the most important business for AMD remains datacenter, which we estimate doubled in 2020, with CEO Lisa Su noting she sees the business momentum accelerating in 2021.\"\nSusquehanna Financial analyst Christopher Rolland, who has a positive rating and a $130 price target on AMD, said he expects another solid quarter driven by enterprise and server sales, but that \"given the slowing PC market, we do not expect mgmt to raise their FY top-line guidance as they have done in numerous updates over the last year.\"\nStill, Rolland expects AMD to report share gains from Intel in both desktop and laptop PCs as well as enterprise and gaming PCs.\nOf the 39 analysts who cover AMD, 23 have buy or overweight ratings, and 16 have hold ratings, with an average price target of $117.55.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3738,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":802709163,"gmtCreate":1627801354052,"gmtModify":1633756239599,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570689023160998","authorIdStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Observation]&nbsp;","listText":"[Observation]&nbsp;","text":"[Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802709163","repostId":"1141267906","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164540636,"gmtCreate":1624231349625,"gmtModify":1634009339010,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570689023160998","authorIdStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Observation]&nbsp;","listText":"[Observation]&nbsp;","text":"[Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164540636","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814958269,"gmtCreate":1630749866951,"gmtModify":1631886553746,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570689023160998","authorIdStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Observation]&nbsp;[Observation]&nbsp;","listText":"[Observation]&nbsp;[Observation]&nbsp;","text":"[Observation] [Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814958269","repostId":"1169514310","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169514310","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630656896,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1169514310?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-03 16:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的 2 个充分理由</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169514310","media":"Barron's","summary":"tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So w","content":"<p>tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，tocks度过了令人印象深刻的一年，但距离2021年结束还有四个月。那么接下来会发生什么？更正？更多收获？现在，更容易让集会继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> First, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.</p><p><blockquote>不过，首先，投资者感到紧张是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p> TheS&amp;P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔 500 指数今年迄今已上涨约 21%，远高于约 10% 的历史平均年回报率。在前八个月里，该指数的回撤幅度从未超过 5%--调整的定义是回撤 10%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&amp;P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，良好的运行需要一些东西来阻止它——比如拜登政府支持的更高的公司税。他们可能会将标普500公司的盈利预期下调 5% 或更多。或持续通胀，这可能导致美联储迅速减少经济支持。还有许多其他催化剂，足以促使一些分析师预测会出现回调。</blockquote></p><p> But who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.</p><p><blockquote>但谁知道华盛顿可能需要多长时间来建立新的税收结构，或者立法者是否会这样做。或者通货膨胀是怎么回事。关于缩减规模的讨论已经持续了几个月，美联储坚持观望态度。</blockquote></p><p> So the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&amp;P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.</p><p><blockquote>因此，过去几周市场攀升的性质似乎是未来最确定、最强烈的信号。自 8 月 18 日以来，标普500已上涨 3%，这是短暂而浅层下跌的底部。</blockquote></p><p> “[Market] internals improved last week,” writes&nbsp;Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>“雷蒙德-詹姆斯（Raymond James）股票投资组合和技术策略总监迈克尔-吉布斯（Michael Gibbs）写道：”上周（市场）内部情况有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> First off, transaction volumes are improving.</p><p><blockquote>首先，交易量正在改善。</blockquote></p><p> In late August, the daily number of shares traded on the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.</p><p><blockquote>根据 FactSet 的数据，8 月下旬，SPDR 标普500交易所交易基金信托（SPDR标普500指数ETF）每日交易的股票数量约为 5400 万股。这高于本月中旬的 5000 万。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.</p><p><blockquote>结果：当更多的市场参与者进行交易并出价更高时，这就是对市场的信任投票。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>其次，反弹基础广泛——许多股票都参与其中。例如，根据雷蒙德·詹姆斯的说法，纽约证券交易所上市的几乎80%的股票都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>该指标上一次达到如此高的水平是在 2020 年 11 月。更多的股票参与反弹意味着主要指数较少依赖一组股票走高。此外，由于经济敏感股票也在上涨，这意味着投资者对未来经济的持续增长充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> So more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.</p><p><blockquote>那么更多的涨幅还是回调？我们已经提出了自己的理由，但时间会证明一切。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的 2 个充分理由</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的 2 个充分理由</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-03 16:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，tocks度过了令人印象深刻的一年，但距离2021年结束还有四个月。那么接下来会发生什么？更正？更多收获？现在，更容易让集会继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> First, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.</p><p><blockquote>不过，首先，投资者感到紧张是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p> TheS&amp;P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔 500 指数今年迄今已上涨约 21%，远高于约 10% 的历史平均年回报率。在前八个月里，该指数的回撤幅度从未超过 5%--调整的定义是回撤 10%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&amp;P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，良好的运行需要一些东西来阻止它——比如拜登政府支持的更高的公司税。他们可能会将标普500公司的盈利预期下调 5% 或更多。或持续通胀，这可能导致美联储迅速减少经济支持。还有许多其他催化剂，足以促使一些分析师预测会出现回调。</blockquote></p><p> But who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.</p><p><blockquote>但谁知道华盛顿可能需要多长时间来建立新的税收结构，或者立法者是否会这样做。或者通货膨胀是怎么回事。关于缩减规模的讨论已经持续了几个月，美联储坚持观望态度。</blockquote></p><p> So the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&amp;P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.</p><p><blockquote>因此，过去几周市场攀升的性质似乎是未来最确定、最强烈的信号。自 8 月 18 日以来，标普500已上涨 3%，这是短暂而浅层下跌的底部。</blockquote></p><p> “[Market] internals improved last week,” writes&nbsp;Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>“雷蒙德-詹姆斯（Raymond James）股票投资组合和技术策略总监迈克尔-吉布斯（Michael Gibbs）写道：”上周（市场）内部情况有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> First off, transaction volumes are improving.</p><p><blockquote>首先，交易量正在改善。</blockquote></p><p> In late August, the daily number of shares traded on the&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.</p><p><blockquote>根据 FactSet 的数据，8 月下旬，SPDR 标普500交易所交易基金信托（SPDR标普500指数ETF）每日交易的股票数量约为 5400 万股。这高于本月中旬的 5000 万。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.</p><p><blockquote>结果：当更多的市场参与者进行交易并出价更高时，这就是对市场的信任投票。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>其次，反弹基础广泛——许多股票都参与其中。例如，根据雷蒙德·詹姆斯的说法，纽约证券交易所上市的几乎80%的股票都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>该指标上一次达到如此高的水平是在 2020 年 11 月。更多的股票参与反弹意味着主要指数较少依赖一组股票走高。此外，由于经济敏感股票也在上涨，这意味着投资者对未来经济的持续增长充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> So more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.</p><p><blockquote>那么更多的涨幅还是回调？我们已经提出了自己的理由，但时间会证明一切。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169514310","content_text":"tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.\nFirst, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.\nTheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.\nStill, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.\nBut who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.\nSo the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.\n“[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.\nFirst off, transaction volumes are improving.\nIn late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.\nThe upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.\nSecondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.\nThe last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.\nSo more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897699811,"gmtCreate":1628909889233,"gmtModify":1631892366169,"author":{"id":"3570689023160998","authorId":"3570689023160998","name":"您解释看看","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b01f4d9f64217e12e115de2fef0e1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570689023160998","authorIdStr":"3570689023160998"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Observation]&nbsp;[Observation]&nbsp;","listText":"[Observation]&nbsp;[Observation]&nbsp;","text":"[Observation] [Observation]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897699811","repostId":"2159721520","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2159721520","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"T-Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1628887162,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2159721520?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 04:39","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Tesla Inc Says Technoking Of Tesla And CEO, Elon Musk's 2020 Total Compensation Was Nil Versus $23,760 In 2019 - SEC Filing<blockquote>特斯拉公司称特斯拉兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 2020 年的总薪酬为零，而 2019 年为 23,760 美元 - SEC 文件</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2159721520","media":"T-Reuters","summary":"Tesla Inc :Tesla Inc Says Technoking Of Tesla And Ceo, Elon Musk'S 2020 Total Compensation Was Nil V","content":"<p><html><body>Tesla Inc <tsla.o>:Tesla Inc Says Technoking Of Tesla And Ceo, Elon Musk'S 2020 Total Compensation Was Nil Versus $23,760 In 2019 - Sec Filing.Tesla Inc Says Master Of Coin And Cfo, Zachary Kirkhorn'S 2020 Total Compensation Was $46.6 Million Versus $21.2 Million In 2019.Further Company Coverage: Tsla.O. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</tsla.o></p><p><blockquote><html><body>特斯拉公司<tsla.o>：特斯拉公司表示，特斯拉兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 2020 年的总薪酬为零，而 2019 年为 23,760 美元 - Sec 文件。特斯拉公司表示，硬币大师兼首席财务官扎卡里·柯克霍恩 (Zachary Kirkhorn) 2020 年的总薪酬为 4660 万美元，而 2019 年为 2120 万美元。更多公司报道：Tsla.O。((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;))</tsla.o></body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Inc Says Technoking Of Tesla And CEO, Elon Musk's 2020 Total Compensation Was Nil Versus $23,760 In 2019 - SEC Filing<blockquote>特斯拉公司称特斯拉兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 2020 年的总薪酬为零，而 2019 年为 23,760 美元 - SEC 文件</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Inc Says Technoking Of Tesla And CEO, Elon Musk's 2020 Total Compensation Was Nil Versus $23,760 In 2019 - SEC Filing<blockquote>特斯拉公司称特斯拉兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 2020 年的总薪酬为零，而 2019 年为 23,760 美元 - SEC 文件</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">T-Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-14 04:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>Tesla Inc <tsla.o>:Tesla Inc Says Technoking Of Tesla And Ceo, Elon Musk'S 2020 Total Compensation Was Nil Versus $23,760 In 2019 - Sec Filing.Tesla Inc Says Master Of Coin And Cfo, Zachary Kirkhorn'S 2020 Total Compensation Was $46.6 Million Versus $21.2 Million In 2019.Further Company Coverage: Tsla.O. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</tsla.o></p><p><blockquote><html><body>特斯拉公司<tsla.o>：特斯拉公司表示，特斯拉兼首席执行官埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 2020 年的总薪酬为零，而 2019 年为 23,760 美元 - Sec 文件。特斯拉公司表示，硬币大师兼首席财务官扎卡里·柯克霍恩 (Zachary Kirkhorn) 2020 年的总薪酬为 4660 万美元，而 2019 年为 2120 万美元。更多公司报道：Tsla.O。((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;))</tsla.o></body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSS":"Total System Services","LHDX":"Lucira Health, Inc.","LABP":"Landos Biopharma, Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉","SANA":"Sana Biotechnology, Inc.","CGEM":"Cullinan Therapeutics"},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2159721520","content_text":"Tesla Inc :Tesla Inc Says Technoking Of Tesla And Ceo, Elon Musk'S 2020 Total Compensation Was Nil Versus $23,760 In 2019 - Sec Filing.Tesla Inc Says Master Of Coin And Cfo, Zachary Kirkhorn'S 2020 Total Compensation Was $46.6 Million Versus $21.2 Million In 2019.Further Company Coverage: Tsla.O. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1,"SANA":1,"CGEM":1,"APR":1,"LHDX":1,"LABP":1,"TSS":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}