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2021-11-22

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Best Buy, Zoom, Pinduoduo, Xpeng,Xiaomi,Meituan and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>本周投资者关注百思买、Zoom、拼多多、小鹏、小米、美团等股票</blockquote>

2021-11-20

Wow

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2021-11-19

Nice

S&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs<blockquote>纳斯达克标普500创下收盘新高</blockquote>

2022-01-05

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2021-09-18

Ok

US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote>

2021-09-03

Ok

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2021-08-31

Ok

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2021-08-20

Ok

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2021-07-07

Nice

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2021-10-08

Ok

September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>

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17:49</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>WTI crude fell nearly 2% to $88.33 a barrel, Brent fell 1.82%.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>WTI原油下跌近2%，至每桶88.33美元，布伦特原油下跌1.82%。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1478d4a031dd42cc500701c93efa59ea\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"135\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140479978","content_text":"WTI crude fell nearly 2% to $88.33 a barrel, Brent fell 1.82%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9,"BZmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638927662,"gmtCreate":1645057818026,"gmtModify":1645057818254,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638927662","repostId":"2212602386","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4969,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638006747,"gmtCreate":1644976213555,"gmtModify":1644976213823,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/638006747","repostId":"2211637053","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":631435388,"gmtCreate":1644886180798,"gmtModify":1644886181026,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/631435388","repostId":"2211507773","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":631259996,"gmtCreate":1644804372417,"gmtModify":1644804372689,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/631259996","repostId":"2211209385","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5097,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":631677128,"gmtCreate":1644724443671,"gmtModify":1644724443930,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/631677128","repostId":"2210752103","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":631619375,"gmtCreate":1644637318578,"gmtModify":1644637318807,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/631619375","repostId":"1167381325","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167381325","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1644625609,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1167381325?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-12 08:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: More micro-caps amid the IPO market’s February lull<blockquote>美国 IPO 未来一周： IPO 市场二月份低迷，更多微型股上市</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167381325","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"The IPO market has hit its February lull. Just two micro-cap holdovers are scheduled to price in the","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The IPO market has hit its February lull. Just two micro-cap holdovers are scheduled to price in the week ahead, though some small issuers and SPACs may join the calendar during the week.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>IPO市场进入了二月份的平静期。尽管一些小型发行人和 SPAC 可能会在本周加入日历，但只有两只微型股持有计划在未来一周进行定价。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Preclinical biotech <b>Ocean Biomedical</b>(OCEA) plans to raise $22 million at a $222 million market cap. The company’s preclinical pipeline includes various humanized mAbs for non-small cell lung cancer and glioblastoma multiforme, a small molecule for the treatment of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis, a malaria vaccine, and two malaria therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>临床前生物技术<b>海洋生物医学</b>（OCEA）计划以2.22亿美元的市值筹集2200万美元。该公司的临床前产品线包括用于非小细胞肺癌和多形性胶质母细胞瘤的各种人源化单克隆抗体、一种用于治疗特发性肺纤维化的小分子药物、一种疟疾疫苗和两种疟疾治疗药物。</blockquote></p><p>Bedding brand <b>Cariloha</b>(ALOHA) plans to raise $20 million at a $122 million market cap. The company positions itself as an eco-friendly alternative to traditional fabrics, and largely reaches customers through partnerships with cruise lines. Cariloha’s sales fell 30% in 2020 due to the pandemic, though it has since ramped up S&amp;M initiatives in the DTC channel. The company cut its deal size by 33% on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>寝具品牌<b>卡里洛哈</b>(ALOHA) 计划以 1.22 亿美元的市值筹集 2000 万美元。该公司将自己定位为传统面料的环保替代品，并主要通过与邮轮公司的合作来接触客户。受大流行病影响，Cariloha 的销售额在 2020 年下降了 30%，但此后该公司加强了 DTC 渠道的 S&amp;M 计划。该公司周五将交易规模削减了 33%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03fc45f9eafede36a0eb28d36cd5ab7b\" tg-width=\"1555\" tg-height=\"383\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: More micro-caps amid the IPO market’s February lull<blockquote>美国 IPO 未来一周： IPO 市场二月份低迷，更多微型股上市</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: More micro-caps amid the IPO market’s February lull<blockquote>美国 IPO 未来一周： IPO 市场二月份低迷，更多微型股上市</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-02-12 08:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The IPO market has hit its February lull. Just two micro-cap holdovers are scheduled to price in the week ahead, though some small issuers and SPACs may join the calendar during the week.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>IPO市场进入了二月份的平静期。尽管一些小型发行人和 SPAC 可能会在本周加入日历，但只有两只微型股持有计划在未来一周进行定价。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Preclinical biotech <b>Ocean Biomedical</b>(OCEA) plans to raise $22 million at a $222 million market cap. The company’s preclinical pipeline includes various humanized mAbs for non-small cell lung cancer and glioblastoma multiforme, a small molecule for the treatment of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis, a malaria vaccine, and two malaria therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>临床前生物技术<b>海洋生物医学</b>（OCEA）计划以2.22亿美元的市值筹集2200万美元。该公司的临床前产品线包括用于非小细胞肺癌和多形性胶质母细胞瘤的各种人源化单克隆抗体、一种用于治疗特发性肺纤维化的小分子药物、一种疟疾疫苗和两种疟疾治疗药物。</blockquote></p><p>Bedding brand <b>Cariloha</b>(ALOHA) plans to raise $20 million at a $122 million market cap. The company positions itself as an eco-friendly alternative to traditional fabrics, and largely reaches customers through partnerships with cruise lines. Cariloha’s sales fell 30% in 2020 due to the pandemic, though it has since ramped up S&amp;M initiatives in the DTC channel. The company cut its deal size by 33% on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>寝具品牌<b>卡里洛哈</b>(ALOHA) 计划以 1.22 亿美元的市值筹集 2000 万美元。该公司将自己定位为传统面料的环保替代品，并主要通过与邮轮公司的合作来接触客户。受大流行病影响，Cariloha 的销售额在 2020 年下降了 30%，但此后该公司加强了 DTC 渠道的 S&amp;M 计划。该公司周五将交易规模削减了 33%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03fc45f9eafede36a0eb28d36cd5ab7b\" tg-width=\"1555\" tg-height=\"383\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/90918/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-More-micro-caps-amid-the-IPO-market%E2%80%99s-February-lull\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IPO":"Renaissance IPO ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/90918/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-More-micro-caps-amid-the-IPO-market%E2%80%99s-February-lull","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167381325","content_text":"The IPO market has hit its February lull. Just two micro-cap holdovers are scheduled to price in the week ahead, though some small issuers and SPACs may join the calendar during the week.Preclinical biotech Ocean Biomedical(OCEA) plans to raise $22 million at a $222 million market cap. The company’s preclinical pipeline includes various humanized mAbs for non-small cell lung cancer and glioblastoma multiforme, a small molecule for the treatment of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis, a malaria vaccine, and two malaria therapeutics.Bedding brand Cariloha(ALOHA) plans to raise $20 million at a $122 million market cap. The company positions itself as an eco-friendly alternative to traditional fabrics, and largely reaches customers through partnerships with cruise lines. Cariloha’s sales fell 30% in 2020 due to the pandemic, though it has since ramped up S&M initiatives in the DTC channel. The company cut its deal size by 33% on Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IPO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":631118948,"gmtCreate":1644538725338,"gmtModify":1644538725602,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/631118948","repostId":"2210187875","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":631920672,"gmtCreate":1644453258759,"gmtModify":1644453259649,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/631920672","repostId":"2210563984","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633773330,"gmtCreate":1644367232257,"gmtModify":1644367232487,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633773330","repostId":"2210580326","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633410174,"gmtCreate":1644279899773,"gmtModify":1644279899996,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633410174","repostId":"2209370821","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633244584,"gmtCreate":1644195153254,"gmtModify":1644195153520,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633244584","repostId":"1139709004","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633642478,"gmtCreate":1644040480697,"gmtModify":1644040480965,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571015317722951","idStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633642478","repostId":"1130580421","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130580421","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1644040812,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1130580421?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-05 14:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2022 Could be a Success or a Lost Opportunity for Novavax<blockquote>2022 年对于 Novavax 来说可能是成功或失去的机会</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130580421","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Novavax can either generate a boost of sales or lose an opportunity in the industry of vaccines against coronavirus","content":"<p><div> Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) has had a tough year with losses of approximately 68%. It has already declined about 37% year-to-date, as well. However, as of Feb. 3, 2022, the stock has a 5-day return of...</p><p><blockquote><div>Novavax, Inc.（纳斯达克股票代码：NVAX）度过了艰难的一年，亏损约 68%。今年迄今为止，它也已经下降了约 37%。然而，截至2022年2月3日，该股的5天回报率为……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/02/2022-could-be-a-success-or-a-lost-opportunity-for-novavax/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/02/2022-could-be-a-success-or-a-lost-opportunity-for-novavax/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2022 Could be a Success or a Lost Opportunity for Novavax<blockquote>2022 年对于 Novavax 来说可能是成功或失去的机会</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2022 Could be a Success or a Lost Opportunity for Novavax<blockquote>2022 年对于 Novavax 来说可能是成功或失去的机会</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-02-05 14:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) has had a tough year with losses of approximately 68%. It has already declined about 37% year-to-date, as well. However, as of Feb. 3, 2022, the stock has a 5-day return of...</p><p><blockquote><div>Novavax, Inc.（纳斯达克股票代码：NVAX）度过了艰难的一年，亏损约 68%。今年迄今为止，它也已经下降了约 37%。然而，截至2022年2月3日，该股的5天回报率为……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/02/2022-could-be-a-success-or-a-lost-opportunity-for-novavax/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/02/2022-could-be-a-success-or-a-lost-opportunity-for-novavax/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/02/2022-could-be-a-success-or-a-lost-opportunity-for-novavax/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/02/2022-could-be-a-success-or-a-lost-opportunity-for-novavax/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130580421","content_text":"Novavax, Inc. (NASDAQ:NVAX) has had a tough year with losses of approximately 68%. It has already declined about 37% year-to-date, as well. However, as of Feb. 3, 2022, the stock has a 5-day return of nearly 25%. This increased volatility in the stock price is primarily news-driven.Novavax is trying to become active in the global industry of vaccines against the coronavirus to put an end to the pandemic so all of us can return to normal conditions at which social distancing will be a distant memory, along with wearing face masks.Novavax Business NewsThe latest business news is that Novavax got conditional authorization in the U.K for its protein-based Covid-19 vaccine called Nuvaxovid. It is reported that “the U.K. has already ordered up to 60 million doses of Novavax’s vaccine.”The company announced that it filed for authorization in the U.S. market in late Jan. 2022. Novavax has been granted provisional registration for its vaccine in Australia. Additionally, in South Korea, the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety has approved the firm’s vaccine. At the same time the “European Commission (EC) has granted Novavax conditional marketing authorization (CMA) for Nuvaxovid™ COVID-19 Vaccine (recombinant, adjuvanted) for active immunization to prevent COVID-19 caused by SARS-CoV-2 in individuals 18 years of age and older.”Novavax also submitted for emergency use authorization of its vaccine in South Africa.A lot of this news is a catalyst for NVAX stock. The greatest impact on the stock probably would be U.S. market approval for Nuvaxovid. Investors waiting for further positive news are already building a bull case for Novavax.Bullish Scenario for NVAX StockNovavax’s vaccine is the fifth vaccine approved by the E.U. Protein vaccines like Nuvaxovid can do a lot for the global vaccination campaign. This is because they work differently from the vaccines currently available in the E.U., which are based on either mRNA technology, such as Pfizer and Moderna, or viral vector technology, such as AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson.If unvaccinated people are not biased against vaccination to protect from Covid-19, they could soon be vaccinated with protein vaccines such as Nuvaxovid. Such protein vaccines have been used for decades to protect against polio, tetanus, hepatitis B, and the flu. They also offer very good protection against coronavirus and cause even fewer side effects than vaccines that are already approved.Also, these vaccines are important. Richer countries are so preoccupied with booster vaccinations and closing vaccination gaps that they may forget that in poor countries very few people have been vaccinated.Protein-based vaccines could also make a significant contribution to the market. They are relatively inexpensive to produce and can be transported and stored at 2° to 8° C much more easily than mRNA vaccines, which need to be frozen.Novavax will first supply its vaccine in poorer countries like Africa. The Novavax vaccine is a combination vaccine that is said to protect against the coronavirus and the flu at the same time. According to Novavax, initially,100 million doses of the vaccine could be produced per month. They later expect to be able to produce 150 million doses of the vaccine per month.Europe being supplied with Nuvaxovid is certainly big news for Novavax. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) may become biased and send the green light for the biotechnology company to boost its sales, especially if its price is cheaper than other vaccines.Bearish Case for NVAX StockThird quarter (Q3) 2021 financial results showed a year-over-year increase of 14% for revenue to $179 million and a 38% increase of total expenses to $486 million. Loss from operations widened to $307 million compared to a loss of $194 million in Q3 2020. Net loss also widened to $322 million compared to a net loss of $197 million in Q3 2020.The firm has poor financial strength as the debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio of 0.70 is considered high for a money-losing business that has been burning cash over the past five consecutive years.Another negative sign for NVAX stock is that shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 137.4%.Novavax: At an Inflection Point NowThe company has positive news that sparks enthusiasm. The broader fundamental analysis, however, is not supportive of the company. Widening losses and burning cash must be addressed fast and radically for a stock price rebound to occur and last.I remain bearish on NVAX stock, waiting for sales updates as the key 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06:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Best Buy, Zoom, Pinduoduo, Xpeng,Xiaomi,Meituan and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>本周投资者关注百思买、Zoom、拼多多、小鹏、小米、美团等股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153786917","media":"Barrons","summary":"The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week","content":"<p>The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week, just as shoppers prepare for Black Friday. On Tuesday, investors will get quarterly results from some of retail’s biggest names, including&nbsp;Best Buy,Burlington Stores,Dick’s Sporting Goods,Dollar Tree,and&nbsp;Gap.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季的尾声将在下周带来主要零售商的更多业绩，就在购物者为黑色星期五做准备之际。本周二，投资者将从一些零售业巨头那里获得季度业绩，包括百思买、伯灵顿商店、迪克体育用品、美元树和盖普。</blockquote></p><p> Friday will bring one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kick off for holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year.</p><p><blockquote>周五将是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一，也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计，今年11月和12月，美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元，比去年增长9.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Non-retail highlights on the earnings calendar next week include&nbsp;Zoom Video Communications on Monday,Xpeng,Xiaomi Corporation,Autodesk,Dell Technologies,and&nbsp;VMware&nbsp;on Tuesday, Deere&nbsp;on Wednesday&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Meituan and RLX Technology&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>下周财报日历上的非零售亮点包括周一的Zoom Video通信、周二的小鹏汽车、小米公司、欧特克、戴尔科技和 VMware、周三的Deere以及周五的拼多多、美团和RLX科技。</blockquote></p><p> The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October on Monday. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September.</p><p><blockquote>全国房地产经纪人协会周一报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套，比 9 月份减少 10 万套。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday,IHS Markit&nbsp;releases both the manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the manufacturing PMI and 59 for the services PMI.</p><p><blockquote>本周二，IHS Markit 将发布 11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5，服务业 PMI 预计为 59。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting. The U.S. Census Bureau also releases the durable-goods report for October, while the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and spending for October.</p><p><blockquote>周三，联邦公开市场委员会发布了 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。美国人口普查局还发布了10月份耐用品报告，而美国经济分析局则报告了10月份的个人收入和支出。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. bourses and fixed-income markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. On Friday, the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., while the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市和固定收益市场将于周四因感恩节休市。周五，纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易，而债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Agilent Technologies,Keysight Technologies,and Zoom Video Communications release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>安捷伦科技、是德科技和Zoom Video通信发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September. Existing-home sales hit their post-financial-crisis peak at 6.73 million last October and have fallen for much of this year, partly due to supply constraints, especially at the lower-price end of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套，比 9 月份减少 10 万套。去年 10 月，成屋销售量达到金融危机后的峰值 673 万套，今年大部分时间都在下降，部分原因是供应限制，尤其是房地产市场的低价端。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices,Autodesk, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dell Technologies, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Gap,HPInc.,J.M. Smucker, Jacobs Engineering Group,Medtronic,and VMware report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Analog Devices、Autodesk、Best Buy、Burlington Stores、Dell Technologies、Dick's Sporting Goods、Dollar Tree、Gap、HPInc、JMSmucker、Jacobs Engineering Group、Medtronic 和 VMware 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b> both the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and 59 for the Services PMI. Both figures are slightly more than the October data. Both indexes are off their peaks from earlier this year, but higher than their levels from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit 发布</b>11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5，服务业 PMI 预计为 59。这两个数字都略高于10月份的数据。这两个指数都偏离了今年早些时候的峰值，但高于一年前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> its second estimate of third-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 2.2% annualized rate of growth, higher than the BEA’s preliminary estimate of 2% from late October.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>其对第三季度国内生产总值的第二次估计。经济学家预测年增长率为 2.2%，高于东亚银行 10 月底 2% 的初步估计。</blockquote></p><p> Deere reports fiscal fourth-quarter 2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere公布 2021 年第四季度财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b> Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会发布 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable-goods report for October. Economists forecast a 0.2% month-over-month increase in new orders for manufactured durable goods, to $262 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen rising 0.5%, matching the September gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布10月份耐用品报告。经济学家预测，耐用品制成品新订单环比增长 0.2%，达到 2620 亿美元。不包括运输，新订单增长 0.5%，与 9 月份的涨幅持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and spending for October. The consensus call is for a 0.4% monthly increase in income after a 1% decline in September. Personal spending is expected to rise 1%, month over month, a faster clip than September’s 0.6% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>10月份个人收入和支出。普遍的看涨期权是，继 9 月份下降 1% 之后，收入每月增长 0.4%。个人支出预计将环比增长 1%，增幅快于 9 月份 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. bourses</b> and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股市</b>固定收益市场因感恩节休市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It’s Black Friday</b>, one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year. U.S. exchanges have a shortened trading session on the day after Thanksgiving. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., and the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天是黑色星期五</b>这是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一，也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计，今年11月和12月，美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元，比去年增长9.5%。美国交易所在感恩节后的第二天缩短了交易时段。纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易，债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Best Buy, Zoom, Pinduoduo, Xpeng,Xiaomi,Meituan and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>本周投资者关注百思买、Zoom、拼多多、小鹏、小米、美团等股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBest Buy, Zoom, Pinduoduo, Xpeng,Xiaomi,Meituan and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>本周投资者关注百思买、Zoom、拼多多、小鹏、小米、美团等股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-22 06:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week, just as shoppers prepare for Black Friday. On Tuesday, investors will get quarterly results from some of retail’s biggest names, including&nbsp;Best Buy,Burlington Stores,Dick’s Sporting Goods,Dollar Tree,and&nbsp;Gap.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季的尾声将在下周带来主要零售商的更多业绩，就在购物者为黑色星期五做准备之际。本周二，投资者将从一些零售业巨头那里获得季度业绩，包括百思买、伯灵顿商店、迪克体育用品、美元树和盖普。</blockquote></p><p> Friday will bring one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kick off for holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year.</p><p><blockquote>周五将是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一，也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计，今年11月和12月，美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元，比去年增长9.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Non-retail highlights on the earnings calendar next week include&nbsp;Zoom Video Communications on Monday,Xpeng,Xiaomi Corporation,Autodesk,Dell Technologies,and&nbsp;VMware&nbsp;on Tuesday, Deere&nbsp;on Wednesday&nbsp;and&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Meituan and RLX Technology&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>下周财报日历上的非零售亮点包括周一的Zoom Video通信、周二的小鹏汽车、小米公司、欧特克、戴尔科技和 VMware、周三的Deere以及周五的拼多多、美团和RLX科技。</blockquote></p><p> The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October on Monday. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September.</p><p><blockquote>全国房地产经纪人协会周一报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套，比 9 月份减少 10 万套。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday,IHS Markit&nbsp;releases both the manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the manufacturing PMI and 59 for the services PMI.</p><p><blockquote>本周二，IHS Markit 将发布 11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5，服务业 PMI 预计为 59。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting. The U.S. Census Bureau also releases the durable-goods report for October, while the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and spending for October.</p><p><blockquote>周三，联邦公开市场委员会发布了 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。美国人口普查局还发布了10月份耐用品报告，而美国经济分析局则报告了10月份的个人收入和支出。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. bourses and fixed-income markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. On Friday, the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., while the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市和固定收益市场将于周四因感恩节休市。周五，纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易，而债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Agilent Technologies,Keysight Technologies,and Zoom Video Communications release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>安捷伦科技、是德科技和Zoom Video通信发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September. Existing-home sales hit their post-financial-crisis peak at 6.73 million last October and have fallen for much of this year, partly due to supply constraints, especially at the lower-price end of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套，比 9 月份减少 10 万套。去年 10 月，成屋销售量达到金融危机后的峰值 673 万套，今年大部分时间都在下降，部分原因是供应限制，尤其是房地产市场的低价端。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices,Autodesk, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dell Technologies, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Gap,HPInc.,J.M. Smucker, Jacobs Engineering Group,Medtronic,and VMware report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Analog Devices、Autodesk、Best Buy、Burlington Stores、Dell Technologies、Dick's Sporting Goods、Dollar Tree、Gap、HPInc、JMSmucker、Jacobs Engineering Group、Medtronic 和 VMware 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b> both the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and 59 for the Services PMI. Both figures are slightly more than the October data. Both indexes are off their peaks from earlier this year, but higher than their levels from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit 发布</b>11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5，服务业 PMI 预计为 59。这两个数字都略高于10月份的数据。这两个指数都偏离了今年早些时候的峰值，但高于一年前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> its second estimate of third-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 2.2% annualized rate of growth, higher than the BEA’s preliminary estimate of 2% from late October.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>其对第三季度国内生产总值的第二次估计。经济学家预测年增长率为 2.2%，高于东亚银行 10 月底 2% 的初步估计。</blockquote></p><p> Deere reports fiscal fourth-quarter 2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere公布 2021 年第四季度财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b> Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会发布 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable-goods report for October. Economists forecast a 0.2% month-over-month increase in new orders for manufactured durable goods, to $262 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen rising 0.5%, matching the September gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布10月份耐用品报告。经济学家预测，耐用品制成品新订单环比增长 0.2%，达到 2620 亿美元。不包括运输，新订单增长 0.5%，与 9 月份的涨幅持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and spending for October. The consensus call is for a 0.4% monthly increase in income after a 1% decline in September. Personal spending is expected to rise 1%, month over month, a faster clip than September’s 0.6% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>10月份个人收入和支出。普遍的看涨期权是，继 9 月份下降 1% 之后，收入每月增长 0.4%。个人支出预计将环比增长 1%，增幅快于 9 月份 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. bourses</b> and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股市</b>固定收益市场因感恩节休市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It’s Black Friday</b>, one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year. U.S. exchanges have a shortened trading session on the day after Thanksgiving. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., and the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天是黑色星期五</b>这是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一，也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计，今年11月和12月，美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元，比去年增长9.5%。美国交易所在感恩节后的第二天缩短了交易时段。纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易，债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/best-buy-zoom-dell-deere-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51637524800?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ZM":"Zoom","DELL":"戴尔","BBY":"百思买",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DE":"迪尔股份有限公司"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/best-buy-zoom-dell-deere-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51637524800?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153786917","content_text":"The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week, just as shoppers prepare for Black Friday. On Tuesday, investors will get quarterly results from some of retail’s biggest names, including Best Buy,Burlington Stores,Dick’s Sporting Goods,Dollar Tree,and Gap.\nFriday will bring one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kick off for holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year.\nNon-retail highlights on the earnings calendar next week include Zoom Video Communications on Monday,Xpeng,Xiaomi Corporation,Autodesk,Dell Technologies,and VMware on Tuesday, Deere on Wednesday and Pinduoduo,Meituan and RLX Technology on Friday.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October on Monday. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September.\nOn Tuesday,IHS Markit releases both the manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the manufacturing PMI and 59 for the services PMI.\nOn Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting. The U.S. Census Bureau also releases the durable-goods report for October, while the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and spending for October.\nU.S. bourses and fixed-income markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. On Friday, the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., while the bond market closes at 2 p.m.\nAgilent Technologies,Keysight Technologies,and Zoom Video Communications release quarterly results.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September. Existing-home sales hit their post-financial-crisis peak at 6.73 million last October and have fallen for much of this year, partly due to supply constraints, especially at the lower-price end of the housing market.\nAnalog Devices,Autodesk, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dell Technologies, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Gap,HPInc.,J.M. Smucker, Jacobs Engineering Group,Medtronic,and VMware report earnings.\nIHS Markit releases both the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and 59 for the Services PMI. Both figures are slightly more than the October data. Both indexes are off their peaks from earlier this year, but higher than their levels from a year ago.\nThe BEA reports its second estimate of third-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 2.2% annualized rate of growth, higher than the BEA’s preliminary estimate of 2% from late October.\nDeere reports fiscal fourth-quarter 2021 results.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting.\nThe Census Bureau releases the durable-goods report for October. Economists forecast a 0.2% month-over-month increase in new orders for manufactured durable goods, to $262 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen rising 0.5%, matching the September gain.\nThe BEA reports personal income and spending for October. The consensus call is for a 0.4% monthly increase in income after a 1% decline in September. Personal spending is expected to rise 1%, month over month, a faster clip than September’s 0.6% gain.\nU.S. bourses and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.\nIt’s Black Friday, one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year. U.S. exchanges have a shortened trading session on the day after Thanksgiving. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., and the bond market closes at 2 p.m.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBY":0.9,"DE":0.9,"ZM":0.9,"DELL":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":895,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872970049,"gmtCreate":1637407992775,"gmtModify":1637407992859,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571015317722951","authorIdStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872970049","repostId":"2184842262","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":956,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876119412,"gmtCreate":1637281084706,"gmtModify":1637281084823,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571015317722951","authorIdStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876119412","repostId":"1185082595","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185082595","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637276340,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185082595?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-19 06:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs<blockquote>纳斯达克标普500创下收盘新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185082595","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs on Thursday, boosted by upbeat corpo","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs on Thursday, boosted by upbeat corporate earnings news from companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>, while Turkey's lira weakened further after its central bank cut rates.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 标普500和纳斯达克周四创下收盘新高，受以下公司乐观的企业盈利消息提振，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>而土耳其央行降息后里拉进一步走弱。</blockquote></p><p> MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was flat, and the Dow Jones industrial average ended lower.Nvidia's stock jumped and was among the biggest supports for the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq after it beat quarterly estimates and forecast strong fourth-quarter revenue. Macy's(M.N)shares shot up 21.2% after it raised its earnings outlook.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利资本国际 (MSCI) 对全球股市的衡量标准持平，道琼斯工业平均指数收低。英伟达 (Nvidia) 的股价上涨，成为标普500和纳斯达克的最大支撑之一，此前该公司超出了季度预期并预测第四季度收入强劲。梅西百货 (M.N.) 上调盈利预期后股价飙升 21.2%。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">Cisco Systems</a>&nbsp;shares fell 5.5%, a day after it forecast current-quarter revenue below expectations due to supply chain shortages and delays. It was the latest in a growing list of U.S. companies citing supply chain problems.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">思科系统</a>由于供应链短缺和延误，该公司预测本季度收入低于预期，一天后，该公司股价下跌 5.5%。这是越来越多引用供应链问题的美国公司中的最新一家。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have been concerned over further increases in price pressures. Retail giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a>&nbsp;warned of higher costs earlier this week.</p><p><blockquote>投资者一直担心价格压力进一步加大。零售巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">目标</a>本周早些时候警告称成本上升。</blockquote></p><p> New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said Thursday that inflation is becoming more broad-based and that expectations for future price increases are rising.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰·威廉姆斯周四表示，通胀正变得更加广泛，对未来物价上涨的预期正在上升。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)&nbsp;fell 60.1 points, or 0.17%, to 35,870.95, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 15.87 points, or 0.34%, to 4,704.54 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)&nbsp;added 72.14 points, or 0.45%, to 15,993.71.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数 (.DJI) 下跌 60.1 点，或 0.17%，至 35,870.95 点；标普500指数 (.SPX) 上涨 15.87 点，或 0.34%，至 4,704.54 点；纳斯达克综合指数 (.IXIC) 上涨 72.14 点，或 0.45%，至 15,993.71。</blockquote></p><p> The pan-European STOXX 600 index(.STOXX)lost 0.46% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe(.MIWD00000PUS)gained 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>泛欧斯托克 600 指数 (.STOXX) 下跌 0.46%，摩根士丹利资本国际 (.MIWD00000PUS) 上涨 0.03%。</blockquote></p><p> Turkey's lira shed another 2.83% after its central bank cut rates by 100 basis points to 15%, even in the face of inflation near 20%, sending the Turkish currency hurtling southward.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其央行将利率下调 100 个基点至 15%，尽管通胀率接近 20%，土耳其里拉仍下跌 2.83%，导致土耳其货币大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> \"The lira remains a punching bag, and further weakness has no end in sight,\" said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda 高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚 (Edward Moya) 表示：“里拉仍然是一个出气筒，进一步疲软看不到尽头。”</blockquote></p><p> The lira has lost around 11.5% of its value this month amid President Tayyip Erdogan's renewed criticism of interest rates and calls for stimulus despite the risks. It was last at 10.909, having earlier hit a record low of 11.30 per dollar.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在风险，塔伊普·埃尔多安总统再次批评利率和刺激评级，里拉本月已贬值约 11.5%。最新价格为 10.909，早些时候曾触及 1 美元兑换 11.30 美元的历史低点。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar edged back from a 16-month high as traders weighed whether the U.S. currency's recent surge had gone too far.</p><p><blockquote>由于交易员权衡美元最近的飙升是否走得太远，美元从 16 个月高点小幅回落。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar index , which measures the currency against a basket of six rivals, was last down 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>衡量美元兑一篮子六种竞争对手货币的美元指数最新下跌 0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> In the U.S. Treasury market, yields fell after the relative success of a 20-year bond auction on Wednesday reduced fears about further rapid yield increases.</p><p><blockquote>在美国国债市场，周三 20 年期债券拍卖相对成功，缓解了人们对收益率进一步快速上升的担忧，收益率下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark 10-year notes were last at 1.587%. They have jumped from a low of 1.415% last week and are holding below five-month highs of 1.705% reached on Oct. 21.</p><p><blockquote>基准 10 年期国债最新利率为 1.587%。它们已从上周 1.415% 的低点反弹，目前仍低于 10 月 21 日触及的 1.705% 的五个月高点。</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices rose slightly after dropping to six-week lows.</p><p><blockquote>油价在跌至六周低点后小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Brent crude settled up 96 cents, or 1.2%, at $81.24 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures closed 65 cents, or 0.8%, higher at $79.01.</p><p><blockquote>布伦特原油收盘上涨 96 美分，涨幅 1.2%，至每桶 81.24 美元；美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货收盘上涨 65 美分，涨幅 0.8%，至每桶 79.01 美元。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. gold futures settled down 0.5% at $1,861.4.</p><p><blockquote>美国黄金期货下跌 0.5%，至 1,861.4 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs<blockquote>纳斯达克标普500创下收盘新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq hit record closing highs<blockquote>纳斯达克标普500创下收盘新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-19 06:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs on Thursday, boosted by upbeat corporate earnings news from companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia</a>, while Turkey's lira weakened further after its central bank cut rates.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社） - 标普500和纳斯达克周四创下收盘新高，受以下公司乐观的企业盈利消息提振，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>而土耳其央行降息后里拉进一步走弱。</blockquote></p><p> MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was flat, and the Dow Jones industrial average ended lower.Nvidia's stock jumped and was among the biggest supports for the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq after it beat quarterly estimates and forecast strong fourth-quarter revenue. Macy's(M.N)shares shot up 21.2% after it raised its earnings outlook.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利资本国际 (MSCI) 对全球股市的衡量标准持平，道琼斯工业平均指数收低。英伟达 (Nvidia) 的股价上涨，成为标普500和纳斯达克的最大支撑之一，此前该公司超出了季度预期并预测第四季度收入强劲。梅西百货 (M.N.) 上调盈利预期后股价飙升 21.2%。</blockquote></p><p> On the flip side, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">Cisco Systems</a>&nbsp;shares fell 5.5%, a day after it forecast current-quarter revenue below expectations due to supply chain shortages and delays. It was the latest in a growing list of U.S. companies citing supply chain problems.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">思科系统</a>由于供应链短缺和延误，该公司预测本季度收入低于预期，一天后，该公司股价下跌 5.5%。这是越来越多引用供应链问题的美国公司中的最新一家。</blockquote></p><p> Investors have been concerned over further increases in price pressures. Retail giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a>&nbsp;warned of higher costs earlier this week.</p><p><blockquote>投资者一直担心价格压力进一步加大。零售巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">目标</a>本周早些时候警告称成本上升。</blockquote></p><p> New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said Thursday that inflation is becoming more broad-based and that expectations for future price increases are rising.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰·威廉姆斯周四表示，通胀正变得更加广泛，对未来物价上涨的预期正在上升。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)&nbsp;fell 60.1 points, or 0.17%, to 35,870.95, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 15.87 points, or 0.34%, to 4,704.54 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)&nbsp;added 72.14 points, or 0.45%, to 15,993.71.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数 (.DJI) 下跌 60.1 点，或 0.17%，至 35,870.95 点；标普500指数 (.SPX) 上涨 15.87 点，或 0.34%，至 4,704.54 点；纳斯达克综合指数 (.IXIC) 上涨 72.14 点，或 0.45%，至 15,993.71。</blockquote></p><p> The pan-European STOXX 600 index(.STOXX)lost 0.46% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe(.MIWD00000PUS)gained 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>泛欧斯托克 600 指数 (.STOXX) 下跌 0.46%，摩根士丹利资本国际 (.MIWD00000PUS) 上涨 0.03%。</blockquote></p><p> Turkey's lira shed another 2.83% after its central bank cut rates by 100 basis points to 15%, even in the face of inflation near 20%, sending the Turkish currency hurtling southward.</p><p><blockquote>土耳其央行将利率下调 100 个基点至 15%，尽管通胀率接近 20%，土耳其里拉仍下跌 2.83%，导致土耳其货币大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> \"The lira remains a punching bag, and further weakness has no end in sight,\" said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda 高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚 (Edward Moya) 表示：“里拉仍然是一个出气筒，进一步疲软看不到尽头。”</blockquote></p><p> The lira has lost around 11.5% of its value this month amid President Tayyip Erdogan's renewed criticism of interest rates and calls for stimulus despite the risks. It was last at 10.909, having earlier hit a record low of 11.30 per dollar.</p><p><blockquote>尽管存在风险，塔伊普·埃尔多安总统再次批评利率和刺激评级，里拉本月已贬值约 11.5%。最新价格为 10.909，早些时候曾触及 1 美元兑换 11.30 美元的历史低点。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar edged back from a 16-month high as traders weighed whether the U.S. currency's recent surge had gone too far.</p><p><blockquote>由于交易员权衡美元最近的飙升是否走得太远，美元从 16 个月高点小幅回落。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar index , which measures the currency against a basket of six rivals, was last down 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>衡量美元兑一篮子六种竞争对手货币的美元指数最新下跌 0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> In the U.S. Treasury market, yields fell after the relative success of a 20-year bond auction on Wednesday reduced fears about further rapid yield increases.</p><p><blockquote>在美国国债市场，周三 20 年期债券拍卖相对成功，缓解了人们对收益率进一步快速上升的担忧，收益率下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark 10-year notes were last at 1.587%. They have jumped from a low of 1.415% last week and are holding below five-month highs of 1.705% reached on Oct. 21.</p><p><blockquote>基准 10 年期国债最新利率为 1.587%。它们已从上周 1.415% 的低点反弹，目前仍低于 10 月 21 日触及的 1.705% 的五个月高点。</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices rose slightly after dropping to six-week lows.</p><p><blockquote>油价在跌至六周低点后小幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Brent crude settled up 96 cents, or 1.2%, at $81.24 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures closed 65 cents, or 0.8%, higher at $79.01.</p><p><blockquote>布伦特原油收盘上涨 96 美分，涨幅 1.2%，至每桶 81.24 美元；美国西德克萨斯中质原油期货收盘上涨 65 美分，涨幅 0.8%，至每桶 79.01 美元。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. gold futures settled down 0.5% at $1,861.4.</p><p><blockquote>美国黄金期货下跌 0.5%，至 1,861.4 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-wrapup-6-graphics-2021-11-18/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-wrapup-6-graphics-2021-11-18/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185082595","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs on Thursday, boosted by upbeat corporate earnings news from companies including Nvidia, while Turkey's lira weakened further after its central bank cut rates.\nMSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was flat, and the Dow Jones industrial average ended lower.Nvidia's stock jumped and was among the biggest supports for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq after it beat quarterly estimates and forecast strong fourth-quarter revenue. Macy's(M.N)shares shot up 21.2% after it raised its earnings outlook.\nOn the flip side, Cisco Systems shares fell 5.5%, a day after it forecast current-quarter revenue below expectations due to supply chain shortages and delays. It was the latest in a growing list of U.S. companies citing supply chain problems.\nInvestors have been concerned over further increases in price pressures. Retail giant Target warned of higher costs earlier this week.\nNew York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams said Thursday that inflation is becoming more broad-based and that expectations for future price increases are rising.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI) fell 60.1 points, or 0.17%, to 35,870.95, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 15.87 points, or 0.34%, to 4,704.54 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC) added 72.14 points, or 0.45%, to 15,993.71.\nThe pan-European STOXX 600 index(.STOXX)lost 0.46% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe(.MIWD00000PUS)gained 0.03%.\nTurkey's lira shed another 2.83% after its central bank cut rates by 100 basis points to 15%, even in the face of inflation near 20%, sending the Turkish currency hurtling southward.\n\"The lira remains a punching bag, and further weakness has no end in sight,\" said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda.\nThe lira has lost around 11.5% of its value this month amid President Tayyip Erdogan's renewed criticism of interest rates and calls for stimulus despite the risks. It was last at 10.909, having earlier hit a record low of 11.30 per dollar.\nThe dollar edged back from a 16-month high as traders weighed whether the U.S. currency's recent surge had gone too far.\nThe dollar index , which measures the currency against a basket of six rivals, was last down 0.3%.\nIn the U.S. Treasury market, yields fell after the relative success of a 20-year bond auction on Wednesday reduced fears about further rapid yield increases.\nBenchmark 10-year notes were last at 1.587%. They have jumped from a low of 1.415% last week and are holding below five-month highs of 1.705% reached on Oct. 21.\nOil prices rose slightly after dropping to six-week lows.\nBrent crude settled up 96 cents, or 1.2%, at $81.24 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures closed 65 cents, or 0.8%, higher at $79.01.\nU.S. gold futures settled down 0.5% at $1,861.4.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695383336,"gmtCreate":1641340642696,"gmtModify":1641340642954,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571015317722951","authorIdStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695383336","repostId":"2201418283","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":832,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":887927476,"gmtCreate":1631962379595,"gmtModify":1632805065357,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571015317722951","authorIdStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887927476","repostId":"1171558890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171558890","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631921912,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1171558890?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-18 07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171558890","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billio","content":"<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏天可能已经过去，但 IPO 市场正在升温，未来一周将有 14 家 IPO 筹集 53 亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费产品、支付技术等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>新鲜作品</b>(FRSH) 计划以 96 亿美元的市值筹集 8.55 亿美元。该公司的核心产品是客户支持软件，同时还提供 IT 服务管理软件和 CRM 解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出而增加，但截至2021年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长，并保留了100%以上的净美元收入。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿开发</b>（KDC）计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种不同类别的产品，其产品由其品牌合作伙伴在70多个国家销售。尽管使用发行收益来偿还债务，诺尔顿在首次公开募股后仍将受到杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST) 计划以 179 亿美元的市值筹集 6.85 亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在 2021 年上半年的 ARR 增长超过 100%，但历史上一直没有盈利，而且随着餐馆重新开业带来的利好减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>汇款全球</b>（RELY）计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly 为超过 135 个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球 1,700 多个走廊。该公司表现出增长和利润率的改善，尽管它仍然没有盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 4.5 亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多个客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在首次公开募股中购买价值 1.5 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>Sovos品牌</b>（SOVO）计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International成立，提供一系列精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s在意大利面和披萨酱类别中排名第一。Sovos 盈利且增长稳健，将在 IPO 后发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT) 计划以 41 亿美元的市值筹集 3.49 亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性的客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。该公司为超过 50% 的财富 100 强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同，尽管它在竞争激烈的市场中运营。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT) 计划以 14 亿美元筹集 2.5 亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过37万名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>在线时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA) 计划以 23 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。a.k.a.收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的专注于数字的时尚品牌，从2018年收购Princess Polly开始。该公司已成功扩张 Princess Polly，并在美国发展其品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>线索健康</b>(HLTH) 计划以 24 亿美元的市值筹集 2 亿美元。Cue 首个用于 Cue 健康监测系统的商业化诊断测试是其 COVID-19 检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个 EUA 的授权。Cue 还有五个额外的测试试剂盒处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将在 2022 年下半年开始寻求 FDA 的授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK) 计划以 8.55 亿美元的市值筹集 1.38 亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo 拥有超过 21,000 台专用计算机（采矿机），每秒可生成超过 1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN) 计划以 8.92 亿美元的市值筹集 1.26 亿美元。公司的垂直整合品牌 Thorne 和 Onegevity 提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。盈利且增长强劲，索恩拥有超过 300 万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>（VBNK）计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是一家加拿大附表I特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元的资产、16亿美元的贷款、15亿美元的存款和2.02亿美元的股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-18 07:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏天可能已经过去，但 IPO 市场正在升温，未来一周将有 14 家 IPO 筹集 53 亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费产品、支付技术等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>新鲜作品</b>(FRSH) 计划以 96 亿美元的市值筹集 8.55 亿美元。该公司的核心产品是客户支持软件，同时还提供 IT 服务管理软件和 CRM 解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出而增加，但截至2021年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长，并保留了100%以上的净美元收入。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿开发</b>（KDC）计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种不同类别的产品，其产品由其品牌合作伙伴在70多个国家销售。尽管使用发行收益来偿还债务，诺尔顿在首次公开募股后仍将受到杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST) 计划以 179 亿美元的市值筹集 6.85 亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在 2021 年上半年的 ARR 增长超过 100%，但历史上一直没有盈利，而且随着餐馆重新开业带来的利好减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>汇款全球</b>（RELY）计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly 为超过 135 个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球 1,700 多个走廊。该公司表现出增长和利润率的改善，尽管它仍然没有盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 4.5 亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多个客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在首次公开募股中购买价值 1.5 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>Sovos品牌</b>（SOVO）计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International成立，提供一系列精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s在意大利面和披萨酱类别中排名第一。Sovos 盈利且增长稳健，将在 IPO 后发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT) 计划以 41 亿美元的市值筹集 3.49 亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性的客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。该公司为超过 50% 的财富 100 强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同，尽管它在竞争激烈的市场中运营。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT) 计划以 14 亿美元筹集 2.5 亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过37万名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>在线时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA) 计划以 23 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。a.k.a.收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的专注于数字的时尚品牌，从2018年收购Princess Polly开始。该公司已成功扩张 Princess Polly，并在美国发展其品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>线索健康</b>(HLTH) 计划以 24 亿美元的市值筹集 2 亿美元。Cue 首个用于 Cue 健康监测系统的商业化诊断测试是其 COVID-19 检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个 EUA 的授权。Cue 还有五个额外的测试试剂盒处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将在 2022 年下半年开始寻求 FDA 的授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK) 计划以 8.55 亿美元的市值筹集 1.38 亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo 拥有超过 21,000 台专用计算机（采矿机），每秒可生成超过 1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN) 计划以 8.92 亿美元的市值筹集 1.26 亿美元。公司的垂直整合品牌 Thorne 和 Onegevity 提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。盈利且增长强劲，索恩拥有超过 300 万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>（VBNK）计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是一家加拿大附表I特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元的资产、16亿美元的贷款、15亿美元的存款和2.02亿美元的股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TOST":"Toast, Inc.","ARBK":"Argo Blockchain Plc","RELY":"Remitly Global, Inc.","HLTH":"TEMA HEALTHCARE AI ETF","CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.","BRLT":"Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.","AKA":"a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.","FRSH":"Freshworks","SOVO":"Sovos Brands, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171558890","content_text":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.\nThe largest deal of the week,Freshworks(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.\nCanadian consumer products company Knowlton Development(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.\nRestaurant payment processor Toast(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.\nGlobal money transfer firm Remitly Global(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.\nSoftware firm Clearwater Analytics(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.\nFood company Sovos Brands(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.\nCustomer engagement software provider EngageSmart(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.\nHiring solutions provider Sterling Check(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.\nJewelry retailer Brilliant Earth Group(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.\nOnline fashion platform a.k.a. Brands(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.\nCOVID-19 test maker Cue Health(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.\nLondon-listed crypto mining company Argo Blockchain(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.\nPersonalized supplements seller Thorne Healthtech(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.\nCanadian bank VersaBank(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STER":0.9,"ARBK":0.9,"THRN":0.9,"CWAN":0.9,"SOVO":0.9,"FRSH":0.9,"RELY":0.9,"BRLT":0.9,"AKA":0.9,"TOST":0.9,"HLTH":0.9,"ESMT":0.9,"KDC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815349512,"gmtCreate":1630649375736,"gmtModify":1631891953872,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571015317722951","authorIdStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815349512","repostId":"2164829818","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818950438,"gmtCreate":1630372047424,"gmtModify":1704959243032,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571015317722951","authorIdStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818950438","repostId":"2163833181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838432885,"gmtCreate":1629423270847,"gmtModify":1631893871390,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571015317722951","authorIdStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838432885","repostId":"2160915795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157750032,"gmtCreate":1625616632126,"gmtModify":1633939106349,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571015317722951","authorIdStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157750032","repostId":"1122166072","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":821073645,"gmtCreate":1633680584707,"gmtModify":1633680642104,"author":{"id":"3571015317722951","authorId":"3571015317722951","name":"jejesss","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/198a6a4d807d473d73a6f152624c1a23","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571015317722951","authorIdStr":"3571015317722951"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821073645","repostId":"1135993400","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135993400","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633675137,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1135993400?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 14:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135993400","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the mo","content":"<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的初始申请失业救济金报告和稳健的 ADP 私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午 8:30 发布的周五非农就业报告，普遍预计将有 50 万人就业，是上个月令人失望的 23.5 万人就业的两倍多，失业率将降至 5.1%，平均时薪将增至 4.6%。与上个月不同，当时我们正确预测了 8 月份就业人数的重大失误，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个打击，唯一的问题是有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最后24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动力参与率：61.8%，去年61.7%</li><li>平均每小时收益同比：4.6%，去年 4.3%</li><li>平均每周小时数：34.7，最近34.7</li></ul>正如 Newsquawk 在其 NFP 预览中所写的那样，9 月份的就业数据是美联储 11 月 3 日政策会议前的最后一份数据，它将以美联储预期宣布缩减规模为背景，而一份令人满意的报告可能就足以让联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 在 11 月份宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，估计 9 月份非农就业人数增加 60 万人，高于 +50 万人的共识，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9 月 5 日全国范围内增加的失业救济金到期促进了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像 7 月和 8 月提前结束联邦福利的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的数字将增加 20 万，10 月份的数字将增加更多。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业岗位的增长，增加了约15万个。尽管有这些有利因素，大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标具有建设性： 尽管分析师们继续指出，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱，但在过去三份报告中，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱。在 8 月至 9 月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近公布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升，这可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次进入增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张性；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日英国夏令时13:30/美国东部时间08:30发布9月份就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员已有效确认，除非就业数据暴跌，否则美联储将在 11 月 3 日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，因此 9 月份就业报告可能会降低其对交易条件的相关性。因此，交易风险可能会向下行倾斜，而不是向上行倾斜，因为就业数据的大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力是如何取得进展的；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，并正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许在 12 月之前提供资金；有分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>共识预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将是一个比三个月和六个月平均增长率更冷的增长率，尽管与12个月的平均水平一致（3个月平均水平为75万/月，6个月平均水平为65.3万/月，12个月平均水平为50.3万/月——从技术上讲，这至少表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所提高）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛的度量：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（之前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而大流行前为63.2%；U6 就业不足指标此前为 8.8%，而大流行前为 7.0%；就业人口比率此前为58.5%，而疫情前为61.1%。这些松弛的衡量标准可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，近几个月来，许多官员指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业与人口比率，以更好地处理经济中仍然存在的松弛程度。分析师们会受到鼓舞，因为这些数字越接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均每小时收益预计为 +0.4%（之前为 +0.6%）；平均小时收益预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（以前。34.7小时）.汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，增速好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管第二季度的74.8万个工作岗位增加速度明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏继续取得进展。它还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是复苏的最大受益者之一，尽管表示招聘仍然受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，特别是对小公司而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能会为未来几个月的稳健就业增长创造条件。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型纳入了许多以前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；万神殿宏观经济学表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8 月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制 ADP 数据。”“因此，与共识的超调表明，ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超调是模型驱动的，还是由于ADP客户的就业数据更强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与 BLS 就业报告调查窗口相吻合的一周首次申请失业救济人数约为 35.1 万人，与 8 月份就业数据调查窗口的 34.9 万人几乎没有变化，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而可能存在一些挥之不去的飓风艾达的影响；相应的持续索赔数据在9月份调查期间降至280.2万份，而8月份调查期间为290.8万份。总体而言，数据继续指向下降趋势，尽管最近几周申请失业救济人数的水平再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>: 9 月份服务业和制造业 ISM 报告显示了不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从 53.7 小幅放缓至 53.0，表明增长，但速度较慢，而制造业就业分项指数回升至扩张区域，从之前的 49.0 升至 50.2。在制造业方面，ISM 表示，企业仍在努力实现劳动力管理计划，但指出与前几个月相比有一些适度的进展迹象：“不到 5% 的评论指出就业有所改善，而 8 月份则没有，”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘，”其中约 85% 的回答是关于寻求额外的员工，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，这一比例较 8 月份有所增加。ISM 表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论越来越频繁，延续了 8 月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各级都出现了劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>争取一份好于预期的报告</b>:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦增强失业救济金的终止</b>.一些州的联邦福利到期提高了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7 月和 8 月显示，从 6 月到 8 月，失去 300 美元充值付款的工人的求职概率累计增加了 6 个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的求职概率累计增加了 12 个百分点。<b>9 月 5 日失去部分或全部福利的 600 万工人中，有一些人在 9 月 18 日找到了工作--及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将推动就业增长+20万人，随后的报告将有更大的增长（截至年底累计+130万人）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校复课</b>最大的100个学区都开放面对面学习，促使许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员重返校园。虽然就业水平的完全正常化将提供60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前的水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，在其他条件相同的情况下，劳工统计局的季节性因素已经包含了教育工作者通常在夏季裁员时重新招聘的情况，因此，如果重返工作岗位的清洁工少于典型的 9 月份，这将降低经季节性调整后的就业增长。综合来看，在明天的报告中，学校重新开放将带来大约 15 万人的增长。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会劳动力差异——认为工作机会充足的受访者和认为工作机会很难找到的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%降至42.5%，仍然是一个较高的水平。此外，JOLTS 7月份职位空缺增加了74.9万个，达到1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP。</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于市场普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资衡量标准中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8 月份新冠感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。虽然美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放餐桌的餐厅座位仅略有反弹。9 月份休闲和酒店业就业人数有所增长，但可能不会达到 6 月和 7 月每月约 40 万人的增长速度。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查中的就业组成部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数保持在 54.5 不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降 0.4 个百分点至 57.8。高盛分析师指数 (GSAI) 下降 0.8% 至 68.5，而就业成分上升 1.9% 至 71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>8 月至 9 月调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项显示增幅达到或高于共识（人口普查小企业脉冲+50万，ADP+60万，谷歌移动+200万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当疲软，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应逆风大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月份的季节性障碍相对较低：BLS调整因素通常假设私人就业人数（不包括公立学校）下降60-70万人，而7月和8月的平均就业人数约为-10万人。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏季结束时减少裁员。9 月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变，这在一定程度上抵消了这一推动力--特别是与去年 9 月份重新开放推动的就业激增相吻合（私人就业人数 +93.2 万 mom sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济金。</b>尽管个人过渡到或试图过渡到国家计划，但9月份的首次申请失业救济人数有所上升，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万）——但同样是因为非经济原因（联邦增强型计划到期）。从调查周到调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万人。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray &amp; Christmas 报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降 14% 后，9 月份环比反弹 11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，这一指标的裁员仍接近三十年来的最低点（1993 年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember Payrolls Preview: It Will Be A Beat, The Question Is How Big<blockquote>9 月份就业预览：这将是一个节拍，问题是有多大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 14:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.</p><p><blockquote>在强劲的初始申请失业救济金报告和稳健的 ADP 私人就业数据之后，所有人的目光都转向了本周和本月最重要的经济数据点，即美国东部时间周五上午 8:30 发布的周五非农就业报告，普遍预计将有 50 万人就业，是上个月令人失望的 23.5 万人就业的两倍多，失业率将降至 5.1%，平均时薪将增至 4.6%。与上个月不同，当时我们正确预测了 8 月份就业人数的重大失误，这次我们同意明天的报告将是一个打击，唯一的问题是有多大。</blockquote></p><p> Here is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:</p><p><blockquote>以下是明天的快照：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Total Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K</li>  <li>Private Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K</li>  <li>Unemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%</li>  <li>Labor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%</li>  <li>Average Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%</li>  <li>Average Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7</li> </ul> As&nbsp;Newsquawk&nbsp;writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>总就业人数：50万，最后23.5万</li><li>私人就业人数：45万，最后24.3万</li><li>失业率：5.1%，去年5.2%</li><li>劳动力参与率：61.8%，去年61.7%</li><li>平均每小时收益同比：4.6%，去年 4.3%</li><li>平均每周小时数：34.7，最近34.7</li></ul>正如 Newsquawk 在其 NFP 预览中所写的那样，9 月份的就业数据是美联储 11 月 3 日政策会议前的最后一份数据，它将以美联储预期宣布缩减规模为背景，而一份令人满意的报告可能就足以让联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 在 11 月份宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元的资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong,&nbsp;<b>and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"</b>As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家比正常情况更加乐观，估计 9 月份非农就业人数增加 60 万人，高于 +50 万人的共识，他们指出“劳动力需求仍然非常强劲，<b>我们相信，9 月 5 日全国范围内增加的失业救济金到期促进了有效劳动力供应和就业增长——就像 7 月和 8 月提前结束联邦福利的州所做的那样。”</b>因此，高盛预计明天的数字将增加 20 万，10 月份的数字将增加更多。该银行还认为，学校的重新开放促进了9月份就业岗位的增长，增加了约15万个。尽管有这些有利因素，大数据就业信号好坏参半，餐饮活动仅小幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Labor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.</p><p><blockquote>本月劳动力市场指标具有建设性： 尽管分析师们继续指出，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱，但在过去三份报告中，官方数据与 ADP 指标之间的直接关系很脆弱。在 8 月至 9 月就业数据调查期间，首次申请失业救济人数和持续申请失业救济人数有所回落，尽管分析师指出，最近公布的数据显示申请失业救济人数上升，这可能会给前景蒙上阴影。ISM商业调查显示本月就业增长，制造业就业再次进入增长区域，但服务业招聘本月略有降温，但仍保持扩张性；调查评论继续暗示劳动力市场紧张。美国劳工统计局将于10月8日英国夏令时13:30/美国东部时间08:30发布9月份就业形势报告。</blockquote></p><p> <b>POLICY</b>: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.</p><p><blockquote><b>政策</b>：鉴于美联储官员已有效确认，除非就业数据暴跌，否则美联储将在 11 月 3 日的会议上宣布缩减资产购买规模，因此 9 月份就业报告可能会降低其对交易条件的相关性。因此，交易风险可能会向下行倾斜，而不是向上行倾斜，因为就业数据的大幅下降可能会给美联储宣布缩减规模带来障碍。此外，值得认识到华盛顿提高债务上限的努力是如何取得进展的；到目前为止，官员们尚未达成协议，并正在制定权宜之计立法，以允许在 12 月之前提供资金；有分析师暗示，面对潜在的违约风险，美联储可能不愿收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PAYROLLS:</b>The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).<b>Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>工资单：</b>共识预计9月份美国经济将增加50万非农就业人数（上一篇。23.5万），这将是一个比三个月和六个月平均增长率更冷的增长率，尽管与12个月的平均水平一致（3个月平均水平为75万/月，6个月平均水平为65.3万/月，12个月平均水平为50.3万/月——从技术上讲，这至少表明最近几个月的就业增长率有所提高）。<b>汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>MEASURES OF SLACK:</b>The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>松弛的度量：</b>失业率预计为5.1%（之前为5.2%）；劳动力参与率此前为61.7%，而大流行前为63.2%；U6 就业不足指标此前为 8.8%，而大流行前为 7.0%；就业人口比率此前为58.5%，而疫情前为61.1%。这些松弛的衡量标准可能会让人们更深入地了解美联储官员如何判断劳动力市场的进展，近几个月来，许多官员指出，他们正在密切关注就业不足率、参与率和就业与人口比率，以更好地处理经济中仍然存在的松弛程度。分析师们会受到鼓舞，因为这些数字越接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>EARNINGS:</b>Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>平均每小时收益预计为 +0.4%（之前为 +0.6%）；平均小时收益预计同比+4.6%（前值+4.3%）；平均每周工作时间预计为34.7小时（以前。34.7小时）.汇总2020年3月以来的非农就业数据，相对于大流行前的水平，约有533万美国人仍然失业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP:</b>The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure &amp; Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP：</b>ADP全国就业报告显示，9月份美国经济新增就业岗位56.8万个，高于预期的42.8万个，增速好于之前的34万个（从最初报告的37.4万个下调）。ADP本身表示，尽管第二季度的74.8万个工作岗位增加速度明显放缓，但劳动力市场复苏继续取得进展。它还指出，休闲和酒店业仍然是复苏的最大受益者之一，尽管表示招聘仍然受到疫情轨迹的严重影响，特别是对小公司而言。ADP认为，随着疫情形势的持续改善，当前的招聘瓶颈可能会消失，这可能会为未来几个月的稳健就业增长创造条件。在数据方法方面，分析师继续指出，ADP的模型纳入了许多以前的官方就业数据、其他宏观经济变量以及来自其自己的就业平台的数据；万神殿宏观经济学表示：“由于德尔塔变异毒株对服务业的打击，8 月份就业人数疲软，这种疲软可能会限制 ADP 数据。”“因此，与共识的超调表明，ADP模型的其他输入比我们预期的要强，但没有公布任何细节，因此我们不知道超调是模型驱动的，还是由于ADP客户的就业数据更强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:</b>Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.</p><p><blockquote><b>首次申请失业救济人数：</b>与 BLS 就业报告调查窗口相吻合的一周首次申请失业救济人数约为 35.1 万人，与 8 月份就业数据调查窗口的 34.9 万人几乎没有变化，分析师表示，季节性因素在提振每周数据方面发挥了作用，而可能存在一些挥之不去的飓风艾达的影响；相应的持续索赔数据在9月份调查期间降至280.2万份，而8月份调查期间为290.8万份。总体而言，数据继续指向下降趋势，尽管最近几周申请失业救济人数的水平再次回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BUSINESS SURVEYS</b>: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>商业调查</b>: 9 月份服务业和制造业 ISM 报告显示了不同的趋势，服务业就业分项指数从 53.7 小幅放缓至 53.0，表明增长，但速度较慢，而制造业就业分项指数回升至扩张区域，从之前的 49.0 升至 50.2。在制造业方面，ISM 表示，企业仍在努力实现劳动力管理计划，但指出与前几个月相比有一些适度的进展迹象：“不到 5% 的评论指出就业有所改善，而 8 月份则没有，”它表示，“绝大多数小组成员表示他们的公司正在招聘或试图招聘，”其中约 85% 的回答是关于寻求额外的员工，而近一半的受访者表示难以填补职位，这一比例较 8 月份有所增加。ISM 表示：“有关离职率和退休的评论越来越频繁，延续了 8 月份开始的趋势。”与此同时，服务业就业活动连续第三个月上升；受访者指出，员工纷纷涌向薪酬更高的工作，缺乏替代这些员工的渠道，而其他受访者则谈到各级都出现了劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT</b>:</p><p><blockquote><b>争取一份好于预期的报告</b>:</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>End of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts</b>. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.<b>Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.</b>Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa8e5900cf66c76d4b64055f84e58048\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"428\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>联邦增强失业救济金的终止</b>.一些州的联邦福利到期提高了夏季的劳动力供应和就业率，所有剩余的此类计划都于9月5日到期。7 月和 8 月显示，从 6 月到 8 月，失去 300 美元充值付款的工人的求职概率累计增加了 6 个百分点，失去所有福利的工人的求职概率累计增加了 12 个百分点。<b>9 月 5 日失去部分或全部福利的 600 万工人中，有一些人在 9 月 18 日找到了工作--及时计入明天的数据。</b>高盛假设这一渠道将推动就业增长+20万人，随后的报告将有更大的增长（截至年底累计+130万人）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>School reopening</b>. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff3e69723b40e0d372ec2bebecb38b1f\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"376\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>学校复课</b>最大的100个学区都开放面对面学习，促使许多以前休假的教师和辅助人员重返校园。虽然就业水平的完全正常化将提供60万个工作岗位（mom sa，见下图左图），但由于混合教学模式，一些看门人和辅助人员没有返回，该部门的职位空缺仅比危机前的水平高出20万个（见右图）。与此相关的是，在其他条件相同的情况下，劳工统计局的季节性因素已经包含了教育工作者通常在夏季裁员时重新招聘的情况，因此，如果重返工作岗位的清洁工少于典型的 9 月份，这将降低经季节性调整后的就业增长。综合来看，在明天的报告中，学校重新开放将带来大约 15 万人的增长。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Job availability</b>. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.</li>  <li><b>ADP.</b>Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.</li> </ul> <b>ARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>工作可用性</b>世界大型企业联合会劳动力差异——认为工作机会充足的受访者和认为工作机会很难找到的受访者之间的差异——从44.4%降至42.5%，仍然是一个较高的水平。此外，JOLTS 7月份职位空缺增加了74.9万个，达到1090万个的新高。</li><li><b>ADP。</b>ADP报告中的私营部门就业人数在9月份增加了56.8万人，高于市场普遍预期的43万人，这意味着基础ADP样本的强劲增长。此外，学校通常不使用ADP工资软件，认为在官方工资衡量标准中，学校重新开放会带来更大的收益。</li></ul><b>主张报告弱于预期：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Delta variant.</b>Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.</li>  <li><b>Employer surveys</b>. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.</li> </ul> <b>NEUTRAL FACTORS:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>德尔塔变异毒株.</b>8 月份新冠感染率反弹给服务消费和劳动力市场带来压力。虽然美国病例数在9月初开始下降，但开放餐桌的餐厅座位仅略有反弹。9 月份休闲和酒店业就业人数有所增长，但可能不会达到 6 月和 7 月每月约 40 万人的增长速度。</li><li><b>雇主调查</b>我们的商业调查中的就业组成部分持平或下降，而我们和共识预测就业增长将回升。高盛服务业调查就业跟踪指数保持在 54.5 不变，制造业调查就业跟踪指数下降 0.4 个百分点至 57.8。高盛分析师指数 (GSAI) 下降 0.8% 至 68.5，而就业成分上升 1.9% 至 71.9。</li></ul><b>中性因素：</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Big Data.</b>High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.</li>  <li><b>Seasonality.</b>The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).</li>  <li><b>Jobless claims.</b>Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.</li>  <li><b>Job cuts.</b>Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>大数据。</b>8 月至 9 月调查周期间，劳动力市场的高频数据好坏参半，对就业增长的基本速度几乎没有提供指导。跟踪的五项指标中有三项显示增幅达到或高于共识（人口普查小企业脉冲+50万，ADP+60万，谷歌移动+200万），但Homebase数据是下行的异常值。从表面上看，这将表明就业人数大幅下降。人口普查家庭脉搏（-60万）也相当疲软，尽管令人鼓舞，但它也表明随着学校重新开放，与儿童保育相关的劳动力供应逆风大幅下降。</li><li><b>季节性。</b>9月份的季节性障碍相对较低：BLS调整因素通常假设私人就业人数（不包括公立学校）下降60-70万人，而7月和8月的平均就业人数约为-10万人。持续的劳动力短缺鼓励企业在夏季结束时减少裁员。9 月份的季节性因素可能因危机而发生了不利的演变，这在一定程度上抵消了这一推动力--特别是与去年 9 月份重新开放推动的就业激增相吻合（私人就业人数 +93.2 万 mom sa）。</li><li><b>申请失业救济金。</b>尽管个人过渡到或试图过渡到国家计划，但9月份的首次申请失业救济人数有所上升，平均每周为33.9万人，而8月份为37.8万人。在包括紧急福利在内的所有员工计划中，持续索赔大幅下降（-330万）——但同样是因为非经济原因（联邦增强型计划到期）。从调查周到调查周，常规州项目的持续申请减少了10.6万人。</li><li><b>裁员。</b>Challenger、Gray &amp; Christmas 报告的宣布裁员人数在前两个月下降 14% 后，9 月份环比反弹 11%（SA by GS）。尽管如此，这一指标的裁员仍接近三十年来的最低点（1993 年）。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/september-payrolls-preview-it-will-be-beat-question-how-big","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135993400","content_text":"After a strong initial claims report and a solid ADP private payrolls print, all eyes turn to the most important economic data point of the week, and the month, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report due at 830am ET on Friday, where consensus expects a 500K print- more than double last month's disappointing 235K print - as well as a drop in the unemployment rate to 5.1% and an increase in average hourly earnings to 4.6%. And unlike last month, when wecorrectly predicted the big miss in August payrolls, this time we agree that tomorrow's report will be a beat, the only question is how big.\nHere is a snapshot of what to expect tomorrow:\n\nTotal Payrolls: 500K, Last 235K\nPrivate Payrolls: 450K, Last 243K\nUnemployment Rate: 5.1%, Last 5.2%\nLabor force participation rate: 61.8%, Last 61.7%\nAverage Hourly Earnings Y/Y: 4.6%, Last 4.3%\nAverage Weekly Hours: 34.7, Last 34.7\n\nAs Newsquawk writes in its NFP preview, September’s jobs data, the last before the Fed’s November 3rd policy meeting, will be framed in the context of the central bank’s expected taper announcement, where a merely satisfactory report would likely to be enough for the FOMC to greenlight a November announcement to scale-back its USD 120BN/month asset purchases.\nGoldman economists are more bullish than normal, and estimate nonfarm payrolls rose 600k in September, above consensus of +500k, and they note that \"labor demand remains very strong, and we believe the nationwide expiration of enhanced unemployment beneﬁts on September 5 boosted effective labor supply and job growth—as it did in July and August in states that ended federal beneﬁts early.\"As a result, Goldman is assuming a 200k boost in tomorrow’s numbers and a larger boost in October. The bank also believes the reopening of schools contributed to September job growth, by around 150k. Despite these tailwinds, Big Data employment signals were mixed, and dining activity rebounded only marginally.\nLabor market proxies have been constructive for the month: ADP’s gauge of payrolls surprised to the upside, although analysts continue to note that the direct relationship between the official data and the ADP’s gauge is tenuous, despite the gap being under 100k over the last three reports. The number of initial jobless claims and continuing claims has eased back between the survey periods of the August and September jobs data, although analysts note that more recent releases have shown an uptick in claims potentially clouding the outlook. The ISM business surveys have signaled employment growth in the month, with manufacturing employment rising into growth territory again, but services sector hiring cooled a little in the month, but remains expansionary; survey commentary continues to allude to a tight labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September employment situation report at 13:30BST/08:30EDT on October 8th.\nPOLICY: The September jobs report might have reduced relevance on trading conditions given that Fed officials have effectively confirmed that, barring a collapse in the jobs data, it is on course to announce a tapering of its asset purchases at the November 3rd meeting. Accordingly, trading risks may be skewed to the downside, rather than to the upside, where a significant payrolls miss may present obstacles to the Fed announcing its taper. Additionally, it is worth being cognizant of how efforts in Washington to raise the debt ceiling are progressing; as yet, officials have not struck a deal, and are in the process of enacting stop gap legislation to allow funding into December; some analysts suggest that the Fed may be reticent to tighten policy in the face of potential default risks.\nPAYROLLS:The consensus looks for 500k nonfarm payrolls to be added to the US economy in September (prev. 235k), which would be a cooler rate of growth than the three- and six-month average rate, though in line with the 12-month average (3-month average is 750k/month, the six-month average is 653k/month, and the 12-month average is 503k/month – that technically at least suggests an improving rate of payrolls growth in recent months).Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nMEASURES OF SLACK:The Unemployment Rate is expected at 5.1% (prev. 5.2%); Labour Force Participation previously at 61.7% vs 63.2% pre-pandemic; U6 measure of underemployment was previously at 8.8% vs 7.0% prepandemic; Employment-population ratio was previously 58.5% vs 61.1% pre-pandemic. These measures of slack are likely to provide more insight into how Fed officials are judging labour market progress, with many in recent months noting that they are closely watching the Underemployment Rate, Participation Rate, and the Employment-Population Ratio for a better handle on the level of slack that remains in the economy. Analysts would be encouraged the closer these get to pre-pandemic levels.\nEARNINGS:Average Hourly Earnings expected at +0.4% M/M (prev. +0.6%); Average Hourly Earnings expected at +4. 6% Y/Y (prev. +4.3%); Average Workweek Hours expected at 34.7hrs (prev. 34.7hrs). Aggregating the nonfarm payrolls data since March 2020, around 5.33mln Americans still remain out of work relative to pre-pandemic levels.\nADP:The ADP National Employment Report showed 568k jobs added to the US economy in September, topping expectations for 428k, and a better pace than the prior 340k (revised down from 374k initially reported). ADP itself said that the labor market recovery continued to make progress despite the marked slowdown in the rate of job additions from the 748k pace seen in Q2. It also noted that Leisure & Hospitality remained one of the biggest beneficiaries to the recovery, though said that hiring was still heavily impacted by the trajectory of the pandemic, especially for small firms. ADP thinks that the current bottlenecks in hiring will likely fade as the pandemic situation continues to improve, and that could set the stage for solid job gains in the months ahead. On the data methodology, analysts continue to note that ADP's model incorporates much of the prior official payrolls data, other macroeconomic variables, as well as data from its own payrolls platform; \"Payrolls were soft in August, thanks to the hit to the services sector from the Delta variant, and that weakness likely constrained ADP data,\" Pantheon Macroeconomics said. \"The overshoot to consensus, therefore, suggests that the other inputs to ADP’s model were stronger than we expected, but none of the details are published, so we don’t know if the overshoot was model-driven or due to stronger employment data at ADP’s clients.\"\nINITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS:Initial jobless claims data for the week that coincides with the BLS jobs report survey window saw claims at around 351k – little changed from the 349k for the August jobs data survey window – where analysts said seasonal factors played a role in boosting the weekly data, while there may have been some lingering Hurricane Ida effects; the corresponding continuing claims data has fallen to 2.802mln in the September survey period vs 2.908mln in the August survey period. In aggregate, the data continues to point to declining trend, although in recent weeks the level of jobless claims has been picking up again.\nBUSINESS SURVEYS: The Services and Manufacturing ISM reports showed divergent trends in September, with the service sector employment sub-index easing a little to 53.0 from 53.7, signalling growth but at a slower rate, while the manufacturing employment sub-index rose back into expansionary territory, printing 50.2 from 49.0 prior. On the manufacturing sector, ISM said companies were still struggling to meet labour-management plans, but noted some modest signs of progress compared to previous months: \"Less than 5% of comments noted improvements regarding employment, compared to none in August,\" it said, \"an overwhelming majority of panelists indicate their companies are hiring or attempting to hire,\" where around 85% of responses were about seeking additional staffing, while nearly half of the respondents expressed difficulty in filling positions, an increase from August. \"The increasing frequency of comments on turnover rates and retirements continued a trend that began in August,\" ISM said. Meanwhile, in the services sector, employment activity rose for a third straight month; respondents noted that employees were flocking to better-paying jobs and there was a lack of pipeline to replace these staff, while other respondents talked of labor shortages being experienced at all levels.\nARGUING FOR A BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nEnd of federal enhanced unemployment beneﬁts. The expiration of federal beneﬁts in some states boosted labor supply and job-ﬁnding rates over the summer, and all remaining such programs expired on September 5. The July and August indicated a cumulative 6pp boost to job-ﬁnding probabilities from June to August for workers losing $300 top-up payments and a 12pp boost for workers losing all beneﬁts.Some of the 6mn workers who lost some or all beneﬁts on September 5 got a job by September 18—in time to be counted in tomorrow’s data.Goldman assumes a +200k boost to job growth from this channel, with a larger increase in subsequent reports (+1.3mn cumulatively by year end).\n\n\n\nSchool reopening. The largest 100 school districts are all open for in-person learning, catalyzing the return of many previously furloughed teachers and support staff. While full normalization of employment levels would contribute 600k jobs (mom sa, see left panel of the chart below), some janitors and support staff did not return due to hybrid teaching models, and job openings in the sector are only 200k above the pre-crisis level (see right panel). Relatedly, the BLS’s seasonal factors already embed the usual rehiring of education workers on summer layoff, so if fewer janitors returned to work than in a typical September, this would reduce seasonally adjusted job growth, other things equal. Taken together, assume a roughly 150k boost from the reopening of schools in tomorrow’s report.\n\n\n\nJob availability. The Conference Board labor differential—the difference between the percent of respondents saying jobs are plentiful and those saying jobs are hardto get - edged down to 42.5 from 44.4, still an elevated level. Additionally, JOLTS job openings increased by 749k in July to a new record high of 10.9mn.\nADP.Private sector employment in the ADP report increased by 568k in September, above consensus expectations for a 430k gain, implying strong growth in the underlying ADP sample. Additionally, schools generally do not use ADP payroll software, arguing for a larger gain from school reopening in the official payroll measure.\n\nARGUING FOR A WEAKER-THAN-EXPECTED REPORT:\n\nDelta variant.Rebounding covid infection rates weighed on services consumption and the labor market in August. And while US case counts began to decline in early September, restaurant seatings on Open Table rebounded only marginally. leisure and hospitality employment rose in September, but probably not at the ~400k monthly pace of June and July.\nEmployer surveys. The employment components of our business surveys were flat to down, whereas we and consensus forecast a pickup in job growth. Goldman's services survey employment tracker remained unchanged at 54.5 and the manufacturing survey employment tracker declined 0.4pt to 57.8. And while the Goldman Sachs Analyst Index (GSAI) decreased 0.8% to 68.5, the employment component rose1.9% to 71.9.\n\nNEUTRAL FACTORS:\n\nBig Data.High-frequency data on the labor market were mixed between the August and September survey weeks, on net providing little guidance about the underlying pace of job growth. Three of the five measures tracked indicate an at-or-above-consensus gain (Census Small Business Pulse +0.5mn, ADP +0.6mn,Google mobility +2mn), but the Homebase data was an outlier to the downside. At face value, it would indicate a large outright decline in payrolls. The Census Household Pulse (-0.6mn) was also quite weak, though encouragingly, it also indicated a large drop in childcare-related labor supply headwinds as schools reopened.\nSeasonality.The September seasonal hurdle is relatively low: the BLS adjustment factors generally assume a 600-700k decline in private payrolls (which exclude public schools), compared to around -100k on average in July and August. Continued labor shortages encouraged firms to lay off fewer workers at the end of summer. Partially offsetting this tailwind, the September seasonal factors may have evolved unfavorably due to the crisis—specifically by fitting to last September’s reopening-driven job surge (private payrolls +932k mom sa).\nJobless claims.Initial jobless claims fell during the September payroll month, averaging 339k per week vs. 378k in August despite a boost from individuals transitioning or attempting to transition to state programs. Across all employee programs including emergency benefits, continuing claims fell dramatically (-3.3mn)–but again for non-economic reasons (federal enhanced programs expired). Continuing claims in regular state programs decreased 106k from survey week to survey week.\nJob cuts.Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas rebounded 11% month-over-month in September after decreasing by 14% over the prior two months (SA by GS). Nonetheless, layoffs remain near the three-decade low on this measure (in 1993).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}