HDDDD的个人主页 - 老虎社区

HDDDD

HDDDD

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3粉丝

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0勋章

2021-07-08

Slpeeing?

2021-06-30

Dun slp on tis

2021-06-22

Dun miss

Clover Health rally Tuesday, rose over 17% in morning trading<blockquote>Clover Health周二上涨，早盘上涨超过17%</blockquote>

2021-06-22

Clovhealth!

Clover Health rally Tuesday, rose over 17% in morning trading<blockquote>Clover Health周二上涨，早盘上涨超过17%</blockquote>

2021-06-21

Amc…

AMC Higher as Meme Stocks Hold Gains; Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh'<blockquote>随着模因股票上涨，AMC走高；吉姆·克莱默警告“冰人来了”</blockquote>

2021-06-19

Dun miss’

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-17

Fordddd

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-16

Stonk??!

Is Virgin Galactic Stock a Buy?<blockquote>维珍银河股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>

2021-06-15

Dun slp on tis

2021-06-15

Dam lookin good

@亿航智能:亿航智能发布2020年度业绩报告

2021-04-04

Buy now bef too late

2021-04-01

Is this a buy

2021-04-01

Pls b good

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-29

Buy now dun regret

2021-03-27

Its gon fly

2021-03-26

Stonkkkk

2021-03-25

Risky stocks...

GameStop sinks 17% on profit disappointment, possible share sale<blockquote>游戏驿站因利润令人失望、可能出售股票而股价下跌17%</blockquote>

2021-03-25

Tis is bad //@Lorene:[Stay]

Gamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波动性期权</blockquote>

2021-03-25

Cmon lets go//@Lorene:oki

@HDDDD:Buy the dip!

2021-03-25

Dun miss tis opportunity

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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22:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 22)&nbsp;Clover Health rally Tuesday, rose over 17% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（6月22日）三叶草健康周二反弹，早盘上涨超过17%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8220041ca1b41ddcd04ef608958edf3\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"477\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163697674","content_text":"(June 22) Clover Health rally Tuesday, rose over 17% in morning 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Health周二上涨，早盘上涨超过17%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-22 22:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 22)&nbsp;Clover Health rally Tuesday, rose over 17% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（6月22日）三叶草健康周二反弹，早盘上涨超过17%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8220041ca1b41ddcd04ef608958edf3\" tg-width=\"658\" tg-height=\"477\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CLOV":"Clover Health Corp"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163697674","content_text":"(June 22) Clover Health rally Tuesday, rose over 17% in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLOV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167404484,"gmtCreate":1624280802348,"gmtModify":1634008496741,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amc…","listText":"Amc…","text":"Amc…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167404484","repostId":"1147633739","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147633739","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624279125,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147633739?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 20:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Higher as Meme Stocks Hold Gains; Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh'<blockquote>随着模因股票上涨，AMC走高；吉姆·克莱默警告“冰人来了”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147633739","media":"The Street","summary":"AMC extends gains Monday, but TheStreet's founder, Jim Cramer, warns that meme-stocks influence has ","content":"<p>  AMC extends gains Monday, but TheStreet's founder, Jim Cramer, warns that meme-stocks influence has been whittled down to just two significant names.  AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;shares moved higher Monday, following a 20% gain last week that lifted the cinema chain's value close to $30 billion, as the two most active meme stock names continue to add value to retail investor portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>AMC周一延续涨势，但TheStreet创始人吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)警告称，模因股票的影响力已被削弱至只有两个重要名称。AMC院线(<b>AMC</b>)-Get Report股价周一走高，上周上涨20%，使这家连锁影院的价值接近300亿美元，因为两个最活跃的meme股票继续为散户投资者的投资组合增加价值。</blockquote></p><p> <i>TheStreet's</i>founder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned Monday that the ability of meme-powered investors to boost stock prices could fade in the coming weeks, citing a series of failed recommendations from discussions on the r/wallstreetbets chatroom in Reddit.</p><p><blockquote><i>街道的</i>然而，创始人吉姆·克莱默（Jim Cramer）周一警告称，迷因驱动的投资者提振股价的能力可能会在未来几周内减弱，他引用了Reddit上r/wallstreetbets聊天室讨论中一系列失败的建议。</blockquote></p><p> Cramer noted that recent pullbacks in Wendy's&nbsp;(<b>WEN</b>) -Get Report, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&nbsp;(<b>BBBY</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;and Cleveland Cliffs&nbsp;(<b>CLF</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;-- all of which have benefited from either a meme-drive retail surge or an attempt to squeeze investors betting against the stock -- suggest a retrenchment of influence back to the two stocks that started this year's phenomena: AMC and GameStop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>) -Get Report.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默指出，温迪快餐店最近的回调（<b>温</b>)-获取报告，Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(<b>BBBY</b>)-获取报告和克利夫兰悬崖(<b>CLF</b>）-Get报告——所有这些都受益于模因驱动的散户激增或挤压做空该股的投资者的尝试——表明引发今年现象的两只股票的影响力正在缩小：AMC和游戏驿站（<b>GME</b>)-获取报告。</blockquote></p><p> With both stocks, however, Cramer says the only real bet is that CEO Adam Aron of AMC and Chairman Ryan Cohen of GameStop can raise enough money from the sale of shares to buy a sector rival and revive their failing businesses.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cramer表示，对于这两只股票，唯一真正的赌注是AMC首席执行官Adam Aron和游戏驿站董事长Ryan Cohen能够通过出售股票筹集足够的资金来收购行业竞争对手并重振他们失败的业务。</blockquote></p><p> AMC, which unveiled plans to sell 12 million new shares earlier this month after placing a further 8.5 million shares with hedge fund Mudrick Capital is looking for approval to sell 25 million shares at some point next year in order to fund potential 'value creating' investment opportunities.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在向对冲基金Mudrick Capital再配售850万股股票后，于本月早些时候公布了出售1200万股新股的计划，目前正在寻求批准在明年某个时候出售2500万股股票，以便为潜在的“价值创造”投资机会提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop, meanwhile, said it plans to sell up to 5 million shares in an \"at-the-market\" offering, noting it will use the capital for \"general corporate purposes\" and investing in \"growth initiatives\" following a first quarter loss.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，游戏驿站表示，计划在“市场”发行中出售最多500万股股票，并指出将把这笔资金用于“一般企业用途”，并在第一季度亏损后投资于“增长计划”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Right now AMC is a $30 billion company with very little hope that it can survive unless it monetizes the meme support, which his exactly what it should do,\" Cramer said in hisReal Money Column Monday. \"&nbsp;GameStop needs a brilliant plan and while Cohen has brought in brilliant people, the issue is what is the company going to be? It can’t be what it is. No industry insider thinks that is possible.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默周一在他的Real Money专栏中表示：“目前AMC是一家市值300亿美元的公司，除非它将meme支持货币化，否则它生存的希望渺茫，而这正是它应该做的。”“游戏驿站需要一个出色的计划，虽然科恩引进了出色的人才，但问题是公司将会是什么样子？它不可能是现在的样子。没有业内人士认为这是可能的。”</blockquote></p><p> AMC shares were marked 4.3% higher in pre-market trading Monday to indicate an opening bell price of $61.85 each, a move that would take the stock's one-month gain to around 410%.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价周一盘前交易中上涨4.3%，开盘价为每股61.85美元，此举将使该股一个月涨幅达到410%左右。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop shares edged 1.25% higher to $216.50 each, a gain of 22.5% from last month's levels.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站股价小幅上涨1.25%，至每股216.50美元，较上月水平上涨22.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Data from theYolosocks.livewebsite, which tracks real-time mentions on stocks within Reddit's r/wallstreetbets chatroom, indicates that AMC is still the most-discussed stock among users over the past 24 hours and more than 832 mentions.</p><p><blockquote>来自theyolosocks.live网站跟踪Reddit r/wallstreetbets聊天室中股票的实时提及情况，数据表明AMC仍然是过去24小时内用户讨论最多的股票，提及次数超过832次。</blockquote></p><p> Short interest in AMC shares remains elevated, however, with data from S3 Partners pegging it at 68.83 million. That represents around 13.8% of the outstanding float, or just under $4 billion in market value.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMC股票的空头兴趣仍然很高，S3 Partners的数据显示其空头兴趣为6883万股。这约占已发行流通股的13.8%，即市值略低于40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For GameStop. short interest is around 11.5 million shares, or 19.9% of the outstanding float, pegging bets against the money-losing retailer at $2.64 billion.</p><p><blockquote>为了游戏驿站。空头权益约为1150万股，占已发行流通股的19.9%，对这家亏损零售商的押注为26.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Higher as Meme Stocks Hold Gains; Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh'<blockquote>随着模因股票上涨，AMC走高；吉姆·克莱默警告“冰人来了”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Higher as Meme Stocks Hold Gains; Jim Cramer Warns 'The Iceman Cometh'<blockquote>随着模因股票上涨，AMC走高；吉姆·克莱默警告“冰人来了”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 20:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  AMC extends gains Monday, but TheStreet's founder, Jim Cramer, warns that meme-stocks influence has been whittled down to just two significant names.  AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;shares moved higher Monday, following a 20% gain last week that lifted the cinema chain's value close to $30 billion, as the two most active meme stock names continue to add value to retail investor portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>AMC周一延续涨势，但TheStreet创始人吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)警告称，模因股票的影响力已被削弱至只有两个重要名称。AMC院线(<b>AMC</b>)-Get Report股价周一走高，上周上涨20%，使这家连锁影院的价值接近300亿美元，因为两个最活跃的meme股票继续为散户投资者的投资组合增加价值。</blockquote></p><p> <i>TheStreet's</i>founder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned Monday that the ability of meme-powered investors to boost stock prices could fade in the coming weeks, citing a series of failed recommendations from discussions on the r/wallstreetbets chatroom in Reddit.</p><p><blockquote><i>街道的</i>然而，创始人吉姆·克莱默（Jim Cramer）周一警告称，迷因驱动的投资者提振股价的能力可能会在未来几周内减弱，他引用了Reddit上r/wallstreetbets聊天室讨论中一系列失败的建议。</blockquote></p><p> Cramer noted that recent pullbacks in Wendy's&nbsp;(<b>WEN</b>) -Get Report, Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&nbsp;(<b>BBBY</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;and Cleveland Cliffs&nbsp;(<b>CLF</b>) -Get Report&nbsp;-- all of which have benefited from either a meme-drive retail surge or an attempt to squeeze investors betting against the stock -- suggest a retrenchment of influence back to the two stocks that started this year's phenomena: AMC and GameStop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>) -Get Report.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默指出，温迪快餐店最近的回调（<b>温</b>)-获取报告，Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(<b>BBBY</b>)-获取报告和克利夫兰悬崖(<b>CLF</b>）-Get报告——所有这些都受益于模因驱动的散户激增或挤压做空该股的投资者的尝试——表明引发今年现象的两只股票的影响力正在缩小：AMC和游戏驿站（<b>GME</b>)-获取报告。</blockquote></p><p> With both stocks, however, Cramer says the only real bet is that CEO Adam Aron of AMC and Chairman Ryan Cohen of GameStop can raise enough money from the sale of shares to buy a sector rival and revive their failing businesses.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cramer表示，对于这两只股票，唯一真正的赌注是AMC首席执行官Adam Aron和游戏驿站董事长Ryan Cohen能够通过出售股票筹集足够的资金来收购行业竞争对手并重振他们失败的业务。</blockquote></p><p> AMC, which unveiled plans to sell 12 million new shares earlier this month after placing a further 8.5 million shares with hedge fund Mudrick Capital is looking for approval to sell 25 million shares at some point next year in order to fund potential 'value creating' investment opportunities.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在向对冲基金Mudrick Capital再配售850万股股票后，于本月早些时候公布了出售1200万股新股的计划，目前正在寻求批准在明年某个时候出售2500万股股票，以便为潜在的“价值创造”投资机会提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop, meanwhile, said it plans to sell up to 5 million shares in an \"at-the-market\" offering, noting it will use the capital for \"general corporate purposes\" and investing in \"growth initiatives\" following a first quarter loss.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，游戏驿站表示，计划在“市场”发行中出售最多500万股股票，并指出将把这笔资金用于“一般企业用途”，并在第一季度亏损后投资于“增长计划”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Right now AMC is a $30 billion company with very little hope that it can survive unless it monetizes the meme support, which his exactly what it should do,\" Cramer said in hisReal Money Column Monday. \"&nbsp;GameStop needs a brilliant plan and while Cohen has brought in brilliant people, the issue is what is the company going to be? It can’t be what it is. No industry insider thinks that is possible.\"</p><p><blockquote>克莱默周一在他的Real Money专栏中表示：“目前AMC是一家市值300亿美元的公司，除非它将meme支持货币化，否则它生存的希望渺茫，而这正是它应该做的。”“游戏驿站需要一个出色的计划，虽然科恩引进了出色的人才，但问题是公司将会是什么样子？它不可能是现在的样子。没有业内人士认为这是可能的。”</blockquote></p><p> AMC shares were marked 4.3% higher in pre-market trading Monday to indicate an opening bell price of $61.85 each, a move that would take the stock's one-month gain to around 410%.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价周一盘前交易中上涨4.3%，开盘价为每股61.85美元，此举将使该股一个月涨幅达到410%左右。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop shares edged 1.25% higher to $216.50 each, a gain of 22.5% from last month's levels.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站股价小幅上涨1.25%，至每股216.50美元，较上月水平上涨22.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Data from theYolosocks.livewebsite, which tracks real-time mentions on stocks within Reddit's r/wallstreetbets chatroom, indicates that AMC is still the most-discussed stock among users over the past 24 hours and more than 832 mentions.</p><p><blockquote>来自theyolosocks.live网站跟踪Reddit r/wallstreetbets聊天室中股票的实时提及情况，数据表明AMC仍然是过去24小时内用户讨论最多的股票，提及次数超过832次。</blockquote></p><p> Short interest in AMC shares remains elevated, however, with data from S3 Partners pegging it at 68.83 million. That represents around 13.8% of the outstanding float, or just under $4 billion in market value.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMC股票的空头兴趣仍然很高，S3 Partners的数据显示其空头兴趣为6883万股。这约占已发行流通股的13.8%，即市值略低于40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For GameStop. short interest is around 11.5 million shares, or 19.9% of the outstanding float, pegging bets against the money-losing retailer at $2.64 billion.</p><p><blockquote>为了游戏驿站。空头权益约为1150万股，占已发行流通股的19.9%，对这家亏损零售商的押注为26.4亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/amc-rises-meme-stocks-hold-gains-jim-cramer-warns-iceman-cometh?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/amc-rises-meme-stocks-hold-gains-jim-cramer-warns-iceman-cometh?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147633739","content_text":"AMC extends gains Monday, but TheStreet's founder, Jim Cramer, warns that meme-stocks influence has been whittled down to just two significant names.\n\nAMC Entertainment (AMC) -Get Report shares moved higher Monday, following a 20% gain last week that lifted the cinema chain's value close to $30 billion, as the two most active meme stock names continue to add value to retail investor portfolios.\nTheStreet'sfounder Jim Cramer, however, cautioned Monday that the ability of meme-powered investors to boost stock prices could fade in the coming weeks, citing a series of failed recommendations from discussions on the r/wallstreetbets chatroom in Reddit.\nCramer noted that recent pullbacks in Wendy's (WEN) -Get Report, Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) -Get Report and Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) -Get Report -- all of which have benefited from either a meme-drive retail surge or an attempt to squeeze investors betting against the stock -- suggest a retrenchment of influence back to the two stocks that started this year's phenomena: AMC and GameStop (GME) -Get Report.\nWith both stocks, however, Cramer says the only real bet is that CEO Adam Aron of AMC and Chairman Ryan Cohen of GameStop can raise enough money from the sale of shares to buy a sector rival and revive their failing businesses.\nAMC, which unveiled plans to sell 12 million new shares earlier this month after placing a further 8.5 million shares with hedge fund Mudrick Capital is looking for approval to sell 25 million shares at some point next year in order to fund potential 'value creating' investment opportunities.\nGameStop, meanwhile, said it plans to sell up to 5 million shares in an \"at-the-market\" offering, noting it will use the capital for \"general corporate purposes\" and investing in \"growth initiatives\" following a first quarter loss.\n\"Right now AMC is a $30 billion company with very little hope that it can survive unless it monetizes the meme support, which his exactly what it should do,\" Cramer said in hisReal Money Column Monday. \" GameStop needs a brilliant plan and while Cohen has brought in brilliant people, the issue is what is the company going to be? It can’t be what it is. No industry insider thinks that is possible.\"\nAMC shares were marked 4.3% higher in pre-market trading Monday to indicate an opening bell price of $61.85 each, a move that would take the stock's one-month gain to around 410%.\nGameStop shares edged 1.25% higher to $216.50 each, a gain of 22.5% from last month's levels.\nData from theYolosocks.livewebsite, which tracks real-time mentions on stocks within Reddit's r/wallstreetbets chatroom, indicates that AMC is still the most-discussed stock among users over the past 24 hours and more than 832 mentions.\nShort interest in AMC shares remains elevated, however, with data from S3 Partners pegging it at 68.83 million. That represents around 13.8% of the outstanding float, or just under $4 billion in market value.\nFor GameStop. short interest is around 11.5 million shares, or 19.9% of the outstanding float, pegging bets against the money-losing retailer at $2.64 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1222,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162307205,"gmtCreate":1624033370207,"gmtModify":1634023748691,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dun miss’","listText":"Dun miss’","text":"Dun miss’","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162307205","repostId":"1192473918","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1450,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161463854,"gmtCreate":1623938476778,"gmtModify":1634025607055,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fordddd","listText":"Fordddd","text":"Fordddd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161463854","repostId":"1182176652","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169657646,"gmtCreate":1623834613885,"gmtModify":1634027374151,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stonk??!","listText":"Stonk??!","text":"Stonk??!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169657646","repostId":"1179963706","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179963706","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623828183,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179963706?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 15:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Virgin Galactic Stock a Buy?<blockquote>维珍银河股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179963706","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These shares aren't for the faint of heart.","content":"<p>The space industry is a high-potential, high-risk investment opportunity for investors willing to take the leap into some volatility.&nbsp;In the last year alone, the stock of&nbsp;<b>Virgin Galactic Holdings</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:SPCE)&nbsp;has jumped 300%,then fallen 75%, and more than&nbsp;doubled from recent lows. Investors who have held on for the ride have done well, but it hasn't been easy.</p><p><blockquote>对于愿意冒险经历一些波动的投资者来说，航天行业是一个高潜力、高风险的投资机会。仅去年一年，<b>维珍银河控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SPCE）上涨300%，然后下跌75%，较近期低点上涨了一倍多。坚持下去的投资者表现不错，但这并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> More than even the highest flying&nbsp;growth stocks&nbsp;on the market, this is a boom-and-bust kind of investment right now. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, it could reshape the way we think about space. But if it fails, the company could end in disaster. Right now, I think it's worth the risk.</p><p><blockquote>与市场上增长最快的股票相比，这是一种目前繁荣与萧条的投资。如果维珍银河成功，它可能会重塑我们对太空的看法。但如果失败，该公司可能会以灾难告终。现在，我认为值得冒这个险。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2bd0b3467fea65d95ded6ecb659b938\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: VIRGIN GALACTIC.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：维珍银河。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What fundamentals?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么基本面？</b></blockquote></p><p> Before we get too far into Virgin Galactic's opportunities, it's important to point out that this is a pre-revenue company. It is burning cash in anticipation of generating revenue from research and from customer tickets for a quick trip into space, but it hasn't launched commercially yet.</p><p><blockquote>在我们深入探讨维珍银河的机遇之前，重要的是要指出这是一家尚未盈利的公司。它正在烧钱，希望从研究和快速太空之旅的客户门票中获得收入，但它尚未进行商业发射。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51fd6129b14f307e5702187274edae41\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"435\"><span>SPCE REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING 12 MONTHS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的SPCE收入(TTM)数据。TTM=过去12个月。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Being a pre-revenue company isn't bad, but it shows just how early it is in its development.</p><p><blockquote>成为一家预营收公司并不坏，但这表明它的发展还处于多么早期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Building a new market in space</b></p><p><blockquote><b>打造太空新市场</b></blockquote></p><p> The bullish case for Virgin Galactic is that it'll redefine how we think about space. For as little as $250,000, anyone can travel into space once commercial flights begin. That sounds like a lot of money, but think about how unattainable space seemed only a decade or two ago. Now, it just takes a big checkbook to get there. The flight is only a few minutes long, but it's a once-in-a-lifetime experience that has already attracted over 600 reservations.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河的乐观理由是，它将重新定义我们对太空的看法。只要25万美元，一旦商业飞行开始，任何人都可以进入太空。这听起来是一大笔钱，但想想就在一二十年前，太空似乎是多么遥不可及。现在，只需要一本大支票簿就能到达那里。这次飞行只有几分钟长，但这是一生一次的经历，已经吸引了600多人预订。</blockquote></p><p> Management thinks that when operations are fully ramped up, a spaceport like the company has built in New Mexico will be able to generate $1 billion per year in revenue. Build a few spaceports around the world, and suddenly valuing the company at $8.7 billion (its market capitalization today) doesn't seem so crazy.</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为，当运营全面加速时，像该公司在新墨西哥州建造的太空港每年将能够产生10亿美元的收入。在世界各地建造几个太空港，突然将公司估值为87亿美元（今天的市值）似乎并没有那么疯狂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High-speed travel is next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个是高速旅行</b></blockquote></p><p> In development is a Mach 3 aircraft that could take high-speed travel to a new level. While the current spacecraft being tested is meant for tourism, a Mach 3 aircraft could make global travel more efficient, reducing the flight&nbsp;from Los Angeles to Tokyo from 12 hours to three to four hours. And with a capacity of 9 to 19 seats, it would seem more like a flight on a private jet than the failed Concorde, which had a capacity of 92 to 128 passengers.</p><p><blockquote>正在开发的是一种马赫3的飞机，可以将高速旅行提升到一个新的水平。虽然目前正在测试的航天器是为了旅游，但3马赫的飞机可以提高全球旅行的效率，将从洛杉矶到东京的飞行时间从12小时减少到3到4小时。它有9到19个座位，看起来更像是一架私人飞机，而不是失败的协和式飞机，协和式飞机有92到128名乘客。</blockquote></p><p> We don't know if space tourism or mach-speed travel will succeed but imagine if they do. If thousands of people fly into space each year and it's commonplace to see videos of celebrities or wealthy people in a weightless atmosphere, it has the potential to shape how we view space tourism. At the same time, Virgin Galactic's design of reusable rockets could allow it to reduce costs to make space tourism possible to those willing to spend around $100,000 on a ticket. And that could truly change how we view space. That's the kind of disruption that would drive big gains for investors.</p><p><blockquote>我们不知道太空旅游或马赫速度旅行是否会成功，但想象一下它们是否会成功。如果每年有成千上万的人飞入太空，并且在失重的气氛中看到名人或富人的视频是司空见惯的，那么这就有可能塑造我们对太空旅游的看法。与此同时，维珍银河设计的可重复使用火箭可以降低成本，使那些愿意花10万美元左右买票的人能够进行太空旅游。这可能会真正改变我们看待空间的方式。这种颠覆将为投资者带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Virgin Galactic is a buy, with risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维珍银河值得买入，但存在风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The investment thesis for Virgin Galactic is pretty simple: Virgin Galactic could disrupt the way we think about visiting space and Mach-speed travel. Management thinks it can complete 400 space flights per year, generating $1 billion in revenue per spaceport, with the potential to build dozens of spaceports around the world. Long-term, the spaceports could also house mach-speed aircraft. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, the company could open up multibillion-dollar markets that don't exist today.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河的投资论点非常简单：维珍银河可能会颠覆我们对太空访问和马赫速度旅行的看法。管理层认为，它每年可以完成400次太空飞行，每个航天港可产生10亿美元的收入，并有可能在全球建造数十个航天港。从长远来看，太空港还可以容纳马赫速度的飞机。如果维珍银河成功，该公司可能会打开今天不存在的数十亿美元的市场。</blockquote></p><p> As big as the opportunity is, the risks are hefty as well. A failure in testing or product development could sink the company. Today, I think the reward outweighs the risk, and a decade or two from now we'll all know of someone who has visited space. That potential shift in how we think about the universe around us makes this a company I'm excited to own, and follow, into the future.</p><p><blockquote>机会很大，风险也很大。测试或产品开发的失败可能会让公司陷入困境。今天，我认为回报大于风险，从现在起一二十年后，我们都会知道有人访问过太空。我们对周围宇宙的看法的潜在转变使这家公司成为我很高兴拥有并追随未来的公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Virgin Galactic Stock a Buy?<blockquote>维珍银河股票值得买入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Virgin Galactic Stock a Buy?<blockquote>维珍银河股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 15:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The space industry is a high-potential, high-risk investment opportunity for investors willing to take the leap into some volatility.&nbsp;In the last year alone, the stock of&nbsp;<b>Virgin Galactic Holdings</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:SPCE)&nbsp;has jumped 300%,then fallen 75%, and more than&nbsp;doubled from recent lows. Investors who have held on for the ride have done well, but it hasn't been easy.</p><p><blockquote>对于愿意冒险经历一些波动的投资者来说，航天行业是一个高潜力、高风险的投资机会。仅去年一年，<b>维珍银河控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SPCE）上涨300%，然后下跌75%，较近期低点上涨了一倍多。坚持下去的投资者表现不错，但这并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> More than even the highest flying&nbsp;growth stocks&nbsp;on the market, this is a boom-and-bust kind of investment right now. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, it could reshape the way we think about space. But if it fails, the company could end in disaster. Right now, I think it's worth the risk.</p><p><blockquote>与市场上增长最快的股票相比，这是一种目前繁荣与萧条的投资。如果维珍银河成功，它可能会重塑我们对太空的看法。但如果失败，该公司可能会以灾难告终。现在，我认为值得冒这个险。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2bd0b3467fea65d95ded6ecb659b938\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1334\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: VIRGIN GALACTIC.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：维珍银河。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What fundamentals?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么基本面？</b></blockquote></p><p> Before we get too far into Virgin Galactic's opportunities, it's important to point out that this is a pre-revenue company. It is burning cash in anticipation of generating revenue from research and from customer tickets for a quick trip into space, but it hasn't launched commercially yet.</p><p><blockquote>在我们深入探讨维珍银河的机遇之前，重要的是要指出这是一家尚未盈利的公司。它正在烧钱，希望从研究和快速太空之旅的客户门票中获得收入，但它尚未进行商业发射。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51fd6129b14f307e5702187274edae41\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"435\"><span>SPCE REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING 12 MONTHS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的SPCE收入(TTM)数据。TTM=过去12个月。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Being a pre-revenue company isn't bad, but it shows just how early it is in its development.</p><p><blockquote>成为一家预营收公司并不坏，但这表明它的发展还处于多么早期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Building a new market in space</b></p><p><blockquote><b>打造太空新市场</b></blockquote></p><p> The bullish case for Virgin Galactic is that it'll redefine how we think about space. For as little as $250,000, anyone can travel into space once commercial flights begin. That sounds like a lot of money, but think about how unattainable space seemed only a decade or two ago. Now, it just takes a big checkbook to get there. The flight is only a few minutes long, but it's a once-in-a-lifetime experience that has already attracted over 600 reservations.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河的乐观理由是，它将重新定义我们对太空的看法。只要25万美元，一旦商业飞行开始，任何人都可以进入太空。这听起来是一大笔钱，但想想就在一二十年前，太空似乎是多么遥不可及。现在，只需要一本大支票簿就能到达那里。这次飞行只有几分钟长，但这是一生一次的经历，已经吸引了600多人预订。</blockquote></p><p> Management thinks that when operations are fully ramped up, a spaceport like the company has built in New Mexico will be able to generate $1 billion per year in revenue. Build a few spaceports around the world, and suddenly valuing the company at $8.7 billion (its market capitalization today) doesn't seem so crazy.</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为，当运营全面加速时，像该公司在新墨西哥州建造的太空港每年将能够产生10亿美元的收入。在世界各地建造几个太空港，突然将公司估值为87亿美元（今天的市值）似乎并没有那么疯狂。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High-speed travel is next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个是高速旅行</b></blockquote></p><p> In development is a Mach 3 aircraft that could take high-speed travel to a new level. While the current spacecraft being tested is meant for tourism, a Mach 3 aircraft could make global travel more efficient, reducing the flight&nbsp;from Los Angeles to Tokyo from 12 hours to three to four hours. And with a capacity of 9 to 19 seats, it would seem more like a flight on a private jet than the failed Concorde, which had a capacity of 92 to 128 passengers.</p><p><blockquote>正在开发的是一种马赫3的飞机，可以将高速旅行提升到一个新的水平。虽然目前正在测试的航天器是为了旅游，但3马赫的飞机可以提高全球旅行的效率，将从洛杉矶到东京的飞行时间从12小时减少到3到4小时。它有9到19个座位，看起来更像是一架私人飞机，而不是失败的协和式飞机，协和式飞机有92到128名乘客。</blockquote></p><p> We don't know if space tourism or mach-speed travel will succeed but imagine if they do. If thousands of people fly into space each year and it's commonplace to see videos of celebrities or wealthy people in a weightless atmosphere, it has the potential to shape how we view space tourism. At the same time, Virgin Galactic's design of reusable rockets could allow it to reduce costs to make space tourism possible to those willing to spend around $100,000 on a ticket. And that could truly change how we view space. That's the kind of disruption that would drive big gains for investors.</p><p><blockquote>我们不知道太空旅游或马赫速度旅行是否会成功，但想象一下它们是否会成功。如果每年有成千上万的人飞入太空，并且在失重的气氛中看到名人或富人的视频是司空见惯的，那么这就有可能塑造我们对太空旅游的看法。与此同时，维珍银河设计的可重复使用火箭可以降低成本，使那些愿意花10万美元左右买票的人能够进行太空旅游。这可能会真正改变我们看待空间的方式。这种颠覆将为投资者带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Virgin Galactic is a buy, with risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维珍银河值得买入，但存在风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The investment thesis for Virgin Galactic is pretty simple: Virgin Galactic could disrupt the way we think about visiting space and Mach-speed travel. Management thinks it can complete 400 space flights per year, generating $1 billion in revenue per spaceport, with the potential to build dozens of spaceports around the world. Long-term, the spaceports could also house mach-speed aircraft. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, the company could open up multibillion-dollar markets that don't exist today.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河的投资论点非常简单：维珍银河可能会颠覆我们对太空访问和马赫速度旅行的看法。管理层认为，它每年可以完成400次太空飞行，每个航天港可产生10亿美元的收入，并有可能在全球建造数十个航天港。从长远来看，太空港还可以容纳马赫速度的飞机。如果维珍银河成功，该公司可能会打开今天不存在的数十亿美元的市场。</blockquote></p><p> As big as the opportunity is, the risks are hefty as well. A failure in testing or product development could sink the company. Today, I think the reward outweighs the risk, and a decade or two from now we'll all know of someone who has visited space. That potential shift in how we think about the universe around us makes this a company I'm excited to own, and follow, into the future.</p><p><blockquote>机会很大，风险也很大。测试或产品开发的失败可能会让公司陷入困境。今天，我认为回报大于风险，从现在起一二十年后，我们都会知道有人访问过太空。我们对周围宇宙的看法的潜在转变使这家公司成为我很高兴拥有并追随未来的公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/15/is-virgin-galactic-stock-a-buy/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/15/is-virgin-galactic-stock-a-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179963706","content_text":"The space industry is a high-potential, high-risk investment opportunity for investors willing to take the leap into some volatility. In the last year alone, the stock of Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE) has jumped 300%,then fallen 75%, and more than doubled from recent lows. Investors who have held on for the ride have done well, but it hasn't been easy.\nMore than even the highest flying growth stocks on the market, this is a boom-and-bust kind of investment right now. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, it could reshape the way we think about space. But if it fails, the company could end in disaster. Right now, I think it's worth the risk.\nIMAGE SOURCE: VIRGIN GALACTIC.\nWhat fundamentals?\nBefore we get too far into Virgin Galactic's opportunities, it's important to point out that this is a pre-revenue company. It is burning cash in anticipation of generating revenue from research and from customer tickets for a quick trip into space, but it hasn't launched commercially yet.\nSPCE REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS. TTM = TRAILING 12 MONTHS.\nBeing a pre-revenue company isn't bad, but it shows just how early it is in its development.\nBuilding a new market in space\nThe bullish case for Virgin Galactic is that it'll redefine how we think about space. For as little as $250,000, anyone can travel into space once commercial flights begin. That sounds like a lot of money, but think about how unattainable space seemed only a decade or two ago. Now, it just takes a big checkbook to get there. The flight is only a few minutes long, but it's a once-in-a-lifetime experience that has already attracted over 600 reservations.\nManagement thinks that when operations are fully ramped up, a spaceport like the company has built in New Mexico will be able to generate $1 billion per year in revenue. Build a few spaceports around the world, and suddenly valuing the company at $8.7 billion (its market capitalization today) doesn't seem so crazy.\nHigh-speed travel is next\nIn development is a Mach 3 aircraft that could take high-speed travel to a new level. While the current spacecraft being tested is meant for tourism, a Mach 3 aircraft could make global travel more efficient, reducing the flight from Los Angeles to Tokyo from 12 hours to three to four hours. And with a capacity of 9 to 19 seats, it would seem more like a flight on a private jet than the failed Concorde, which had a capacity of 92 to 128 passengers.\nWe don't know if space tourism or mach-speed travel will succeed but imagine if they do. If thousands of people fly into space each year and it's commonplace to see videos of celebrities or wealthy people in a weightless atmosphere, it has the potential to shape how we view space tourism. At the same time, Virgin Galactic's design of reusable rockets could allow it to reduce costs to make space tourism possible to those willing to spend around $100,000 on a ticket. And that could truly change how we view space. That's the kind of disruption that would drive big gains for investors.\nVirgin Galactic is a buy, with risks\nThe investment thesis for Virgin Galactic is pretty simple: Virgin Galactic could disrupt the way we think about visiting space and Mach-speed travel. Management thinks it can complete 400 space flights per year, generating $1 billion in revenue per spaceport, with the potential to build dozens of spaceports around the world. Long-term, the spaceports could also house mach-speed aircraft. If Virgin Galactic succeeds, the company could open up multibillion-dollar markets that don't exist today.\nAs big as the opportunity is, the risks are hefty as well. A failure in testing or product development could sink the company. Today, I think the reward outweighs the risk, and a decade or two from now we'll all know of someone who has visited space. That potential shift in how we think about the universe around us makes this a company I'm excited to own, and follow, into the future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160034146,"gmtCreate":1623766159085,"gmtModify":1634028644397,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dun slp on tis","listText":"Dun slp on tis","text":"Dun slp on tis","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fe1fafb0f8fe145c8682d2e358b9eb6","width":"750","height":"2044"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160034146","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160095029,"gmtCreate":1623765923161,"gmtModify":1634028652036,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dam lookin good","listText":"Dam lookin good","text":"Dam lookin good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160095029","repostId":"187527495","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":187527495,"gmtCreate":1623759917817,"gmtModify":1744960693473,"author":{"id":"3545283030659470","authorId":"3545283030659470","name":"亿航智能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef016490dead4163e0a7206e661ce008","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545283030659470","authorIdStr":"3545283030659470"},"themes":[],"title":"亿航智能发布2020年度业绩报告","htmlText":"2021年6月15日，全球领先的智能自动驾驶飞行器科技企业<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EH\">$亿航智能(EH)$</a>向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交了截至2020年12月31日的年度业绩报告。访问公司投资者关系网站http://ir.ehang.com/和SEC网站https://www.sec.gov/可获取完整报告。关于亿航智能亿航智能（Nasdaq: EH）是一家全球领先的智能自动驾驶飞行器科技企业，致力于让每个人都享受到安全、自动、环保的空中交通。亿航智能为全球多个行业领域客户提供各种自动驾驶飞行器产品和解决方案，覆盖空中交通（包括载人交通和物流运输），智慧城市管理和空中媒体等应用领域。作为全球城市空中交通行业中，自动驾驶飞行器创新技术与应用模式的领军者，亿航智能不断探索天空的边界，让飞行科技普惠智慧城市的美好生活。如欲了解更多信息，请您访问www.ehang.com。安全港声明本新闻稿中的陈述可能构成1995年《美国私人证券诉讼改革法案》中“安全港”条款界定的前瞻性表述。前瞻性表述中常有“将要”、“预计”、“预期”、“将来”、“意向”、“计划”、“相信”、“估计”等表达或其他类似的表达。公司管理团队是基于当前的预期、设想、估计和预测作出此类前瞻性表述。尽管公司管理团队相信这些预期、设想、估计和预测是合理的，前瞻性表述仅为对未来的预测，并涉及公司管理团队难以控制的已知或未知的风险与不确定性。这些表述涉及的风险和不确定性可能导致亿航智能的实际运营结果、绩效或成就与这些前瞻性表述所表达或暗示的任何未来运营结果、绩效或成就发生重大差异。","listText":"2021年6月15日，全球领先的智能自动驾驶飞行器科技企业<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EH\">$亿航智能(EH)$</a>向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交了截至2020年12月31日的年度业绩报告。访问公司投资者关系网站http://ir.ehang.com/和SEC网站https://www.sec.gov/可获取完整报告。关于亿航智能亿航智能（Nasdaq: EH）是一家全球领先的智能自动驾驶飞行器科技企业，致力于让每个人都享受到安全、自动、环保的空中交通。亿航智能为全球多个行业领域客户提供各种自动驾驶飞行器产品和解决方案，覆盖空中交通（包括载人交通和物流运输），智慧城市管理和空中媒体等应用领域。作为全球城市空中交通行业中，自动驾驶飞行器创新技术与应用模式的领军者，亿航智能不断探索天空的边界，让飞行科技普惠智慧城市的美好生活。如欲了解更多信息，请您访问www.ehang.com。安全港声明本新闻稿中的陈述可能构成1995年《美国私人证券诉讼改革法案》中“安全港”条款界定的前瞻性表述。前瞻性表述中常有“将要”、“预计”、“预期”、“将来”、“意向”、“计划”、“相信”、“估计”等表达或其他类似的表达。公司管理团队是基于当前的预期、设想、估计和预测作出此类前瞻性表述。尽管公司管理团队相信这些预期、设想、估计和预测是合理的，前瞻性表述仅为对未来的预测，并涉及公司管理团队难以控制的已知或未知的风险与不确定性。这些表述涉及的风险和不确定性可能导致亿航智能的实际运营结果、绩效或成就与这些前瞻性表述所表达或暗示的任何未来运营结果、绩效或成就发生重大差异。","text":"2021年6月15日，全球领先的智能自动驾驶飞行器科技企业$亿航智能(EH)$向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交了截至2020年12月31日的年度业绩报告。访问公司投资者关系网站http://ir.ehang.com/和SEC网站https://www.sec.gov/可获取完整报告。关于亿航智能亿航智能（Nasdaq: EH）是一家全球领先的智能自动驾驶飞行器科技企业，致力于让每个人都享受到安全、自动、环保的空中交通。亿航智能为全球多个行业领域客户提供各种自动驾驶飞行器产品和解决方案，覆盖空中交通（包括载人交通和物流运输），智慧城市管理和空中媒体等应用领域。作为全球城市空中交通行业中，自动驾驶飞行器创新技术与应用模式的领军者，亿航智能不断探索天空的边界，让飞行科技普惠智慧城市的美好生活。如欲了解更多信息，请您访问www.ehang.com。安全港声明本新闻稿中的陈述可能构成1995年《美国私人证券诉讼改革法案》中“安全港”条款界定的前瞻性表述。前瞻性表述中常有“将要”、“预计”、“预期”、“将来”、“意向”、“计划”、“相信”、“估计”等表达或其他类似的表达。公司管理团队是基于当前的预期、设想、估计和预测作出此类前瞻性表述。尽管公司管理团队相信这些预期、设想、估计和预测是合理的，前瞻性表述仅为对未来的预测，并涉及公司管理团队难以控制的已知或未知的风险与不确定性。这些表述涉及的风险和不确定性可能导致亿航智能的实际运营结果、绩效或成就与这些前瞻性表述所表达或暗示的任何未来运营结果、绩效或成就发生重大差异。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d930324c2e81ba50c73f2bbdcf65590f","width":"688","height":"6814"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187527495","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":349360416,"gmtCreate":1617545641335,"gmtModify":1634520578057,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy 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regret","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77aea88844447df6a7cb31dd36f66c2f","width":"750","height":"2075"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355383067","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352995653,"gmtCreate":1616850195472,"gmtModify":1634523732122,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Its gon fly","listText":"Its gon fly","text":"Its gon fly","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58f4baedf034cca564aba4fac46ddf17","width":"750","height":"2084"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352995653","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358591887,"gmtCreate":1616714346249,"gmtModify":1634524460267,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stonkkkk","listText":"Stonkkkk","text":"Stonkkkk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358591887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351436833,"gmtCreate":1616623225022,"gmtModify":1634524915740,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Risky stocks...","listText":"Risky stocks...","text":"Risky stocks...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351436833","repostId":"1185473562","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185473562","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616593484,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185473562?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-24 21:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop sinks 17% on profit disappointment, possible share sale<blockquote>游戏驿站因利润令人失望、可能出售股票而股价下跌17%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185473562","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"GameStop Stock falls as much as 17% to lowest intraday since March 8 in Wednesday morning trading.Ga","content":"<p>GameStop&nbsp;Stock falls as much as 17% to lowest intraday since March 8&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>周三早盘交易中，游戏驿站股价下跌17%，至3月8日以来的最低盘中水平。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f1fe54d69f51ff40161a0152cf869e0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>GameStop reported quarterly earnings of $1.34 per share, missing forecasts by a penny a share. Revenue also came in below consensus. The videogame retailer did not address the Reddit-fueled trading frenzy in its stock during its earnings conference call, but in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing said it was considering the idea of&nbsp;raising money by selling shares&nbsp;to fund its ongoing transformation. The stock tumbled 14% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站公布的季度收益为每股1.34美元，比预期低1美分。收入也低于共识。这家视频游戏零售商在财报电话会议期间没有解决Reddit引发的股票交易狂潮，但在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，它正在考虑通过出售股票筹集资金的想法，为其正在进行的转型提供资金。该股在盘前交易中下跌14%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop sinks 17% on profit disappointment, possible share sale<blockquote>游戏驿站因利润令人失望、可能出售股票而股价下跌17%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop sinks 17% on profit disappointment, possible share sale<blockquote>游戏驿站因利润令人失望、可能出售股票而股价下跌17%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-24 21:44</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>GameStop&nbsp;Stock falls as much as 17% to lowest intraday since March 8&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>周三早盘交易中，游戏驿站股价下跌17%，至3月8日以来的最低盘中水平。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f1fe54d69f51ff40161a0152cf869e0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>GameStop reported quarterly earnings of $1.34 per share, missing forecasts by a penny a share. Revenue also came in below consensus. The videogame retailer did not address the Reddit-fueled trading frenzy in its stock during its earnings conference call, but in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing said it was considering the idea of&nbsp;raising money by selling shares&nbsp;to fund its ongoing transformation. The stock tumbled 14% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站公布的季度收益为每股1.34美元，比预期低1美分。收入也低于共识。这家视频游戏零售商在财报电话会议期间没有解决Reddit引发的股票交易狂潮，但在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，它正在考虑通过出售股票筹集资金的想法，为其正在进行的转型提供资金。该股在盘前交易中下跌14%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185473562","content_text":"GameStop Stock falls as much as 17% to lowest intraday since March 8 in Wednesday morning trading.GameStop reported quarterly earnings of $1.34 per share, missing forecasts by a penny a share. Revenue also came in below consensus. The videogame retailer did not address the Reddit-fueled trading frenzy in its stock during its earnings conference call, but in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing said it was considering the idea of raising money by selling shares to fund its ongoing transformation. The stock tumbled 14% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351436945,"gmtCreate":1616623160887,"gmtModify":1634524915979,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tis is bad&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3571725482264258\">@Lorene</a>:[Stay] &nbsp;","listText":"Tis is bad&nbsp;//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3571725482264258\">@Lorene</a>:[Stay] &nbsp;","text":"Tis is bad //@Lorene:[Stay]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351436945","repostId":"1146313632","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146313632","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614334339,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146313632?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-26 18:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波动性期权</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146313632","media":"Options AI: Learn","summary":"Gamestop Corp. shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from ","content":"<p><b>Gamestop Corp.</b>&nbsp;shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from last week (but still down significantly from recent short squeeze highs). We'll look at the unique situations that arise in the options of a highly volatile stock like Gamestop and a few things that might be considered before trading options.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站公司。</b>过去几天股价飙升，较上周一度上涨近200%（但仍较近期轧空高点大幅下跌）。我们将看看像游戏驿站这样波动性很大的股票的期权中出现的独特情况，以及在交易期权之前可能需要考虑的一些事情。</blockquote></p><p><hr><b>Gamestop: The Expected Move</b></p><p><blockquote><hr/><b>游戏驿站：预期的举动</b></blockquote></p><p>First, a look at how options are pricing upcoming moves. Here's theOptions AIexpected move chart for Gamestop, with a nearly 30% move being priced into this Friday's close. And a roughly 80% move being priced for the next month. A month that includes an earnings event (unconfirmed):</p><p><blockquote>首先，看看期权如何为即将到来的走势定价。这是游戏驿站的期权AI预期走势图，预计本周五收盘价将出现近30%的走势。下个月的价格将上涨大约80%。包含盈利事件的月份（未经确认）：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e35872724d8db887fa09d822d622ac8c\" tg-width=\"568\" tg-height=\"817\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Gamestop: Call Spreads vs Outright Calls</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站：看涨期权价差与彻底的评级</blockquote></p><p>Using March 19th as an expiry we first looks at bullish spreads, and compare directly to outright calls. With a stock as volatile as Gamestop, calls can be expensive. Because of that, many traders resort to buying far out of the money calls. That demand for upside calls increases volatility in those calls, making them expensive relative to at-the-money calls – a phenomenon known as skew. However, for those that are bullish, this may create an opportunity to utilize spreads rather than buying an outright call. Let's see how.</p><p><blockquote>以3月19日为到期日，我们首先查看看涨利差，并直接与直接评级进行比较。像游戏驿站这样不稳定的股票，评级的股价可能会很昂贵。正因为如此，许多交易者诉诸远超本钱的评级买入。对上行评级的需求增加了这些评级的波动性，使其相对于平价评级的价格昂贵——这种现象被称为倾斜。然而，对于那些看涨的人来说，这可能会创造一个利用价差而不是直接购买看涨期权的机会。让我们看看怎么做。</blockquote></p><p>Here we'll focus on one alternative – using debit spreads to lower the overall cost of a directional trade (while potentially improving the probability of profit of the trade itself by lowering the breakeven level). It does so by selling those relatively expensive out-the-money Calls to help finance the purchase of a nearer to at-the-money Call.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，我们将重点关注一种替代方案——使用借方利差来降低定向交易的总体成本（同时通过降低盈亏平衡水平来提高交易本身的盈利概率）。它通过出售那些相对昂贵的价外评级来帮助购买更接近价外的看涨期权来实现这一目标。</blockquote></p><p>With Gamestop near $105, the&nbsp;<b>March 19th 110/190 Debit Call Spread</b>&nbsp;is roughly $15 and targets the bullish expected move for March 19th. The debit call spread would need the stock to be above $125 on March 19th to be profitable.</p><p><blockquote>随着游戏驿站接近105美元，<b>3月19日110/190借方看涨期权利差</b>大约为15美元，目标是3月19日的看涨预期走势。借方看涨期权利差需要该股在3月19日高于125美元才能盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a comparison, the GME March 19th 200 calls are trading $29. That's nearly twice the cost for a 200 call that needs the stock above $229 by March 19th… versus a call spread, that needs the stock above $125. Here's a side by side comparison of those two trades on the Options AI chart. First, the 200 call:</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，GME 3月19日200评级的交易价格为29美元。这几乎是200美元看涨期权的成本的两倍，需要股票在3月19日之前高于229美元……而看涨期权的价差需要股票高于125美元。以下是期权人工智能图表上这两种交易的并排比较。一、200家看涨期权：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b044a22bfbe5a8326f9aa3ebf56ed4fd\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>And next, the 145/200 debit call spread:</p><p><blockquote>接下来，145/200借方看涨期权利差：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cdf8545f07da48f770ef81cb4e5ac53\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"792\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>As you can see, not only is the call spread less expensive, the point at which is becomes profitable to the upside is much closer to where the stock is currently trading. (As indicated by the grey price of the breakeven.)</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，看涨期权价差不仅更便宜，而且上涨盈利的点也更接近股票当前的交易价格。（如盈亏平衡的灰色价格所示。）</blockquote></p><p>A note on probability of profit. The probability of profit displayed on these trades is based on the delta being assigned to the breakeven of the trade. The fact that a 200 call in a $105 stock is trading near 50 deltas shows just how distorting an effect Gamestop volatility is having on its options (hard to borrow, skew, retail demand for out-of-the-money calls).</p><p><blockquote>关于盈利概率的一个注记。这些交易显示的利润概率基于分配给交易盈亏平衡的delta。105美元股票的200看涨期权交易价格接近50 deltas，这一事实表明游戏驿站波动对其期权产生了多么扭曲的影响（难以借贷、扭曲零售对价外评级的需求）。</blockquote></p><p>Directional Butterflies vs Outright Puts</p><p><blockquote>定向蝶形与直接看跌期权</blockquote></p><p>High volatility also affects bearish options trades. One of the counter-intuitive aspects of a high volatility stock like Gamestop is that its implied volatility can go up as the stock goes higher and down as the stock goes lower. This is the opposite of how we generally think about volatility. Therefore, buying outright puts carries a risk of collapsing volatility (and therefore collapsing premiums) as the stock goes lower. So, even though the stock is moving in the intended direction, as an option holder you may not be realizing the gains expected.</p><p><blockquote>高波动性也会影响看跌期权交易。像游戏驿站这样的高波动性股票的一个反直觉的方面是，其隐含波动率可能会随着股票走高而上升，随着股票走低而下降。这与我们通常对波动性的看法相反。因此，随着股票走低，直接买入看跌期权会带来波动性崩溃（从而导致溢价崩溃）的风险。因此，即使股票正朝着预期的方向移动，作为期权持有者，您可能无法实现预期的收益。</blockquote></p><p>One way to counter high implied volatility in a stock, especially when having a bearish view, is to be a net seller of option premium. To sell to bullish option traders rather than join bearish option traders. Traditionally that might take the form of selling a Credit Call Spread. But in GME's case that means buying the (expensive) upper strike Call at a higher volatility than the Call that is closer to the money (as described above).</p><p><blockquote>应对股票高隐含波动率的一种方法（尤其是在持有看跌观点时）是成为期权溢价的净卖家。向看涨期权交易者出售，而不是加入看跌期权交易者。传统上，这可能采取出售信贷看涨期权利差的形式。但在GME的情况下，这意味着以比更接近资金的看涨期权更高的波动性购买（昂贵的）上行看涨期权（如上所述）。</blockquote></p><p>So, one option strategy that can be considered by traders is using a Butterfly. An option trade that is more typically associated with a neutral trading view, but here adapted to actually create a targeted (bearish) directional view.</p><p><blockquote>因此，交易者可以考虑的一种期权策略是使用蝴蝶。期权交易通常与中性交易观点相关，但在这里适用于实际创建目标（看跌）方向观点。</blockquote></p><p>Here, as an example, is a Butterfly with its center strikes focused at $80 in the stock, with a March 19th expiry:</p><p><blockquote>举个例子，这里有一只蝴蝶，其中心罢工集中在80美元的股票上，到期日为3月19日：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cb8f9b0570e854f662f3031e50ca91\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p>This 130/80/30 butterfly has breakevens of 115 and 45, meaning the trade is profitable if the stock is between those two prices at March 19th expiry… with a max gain occurring if the stock is at or near $80. It has the additional dynamic of being short premium, and if the stock stays within its range would see mark to market gains if implied volatility compressed.</p><p><blockquote>这只130/80/30蝴蝶的盈亏平衡点为115和45，这意味着如果股票在3月19日到期时处于这两个价格之间，交易是有利可图的……如果股票处于或接近80美元，则会出现最大收益。它具有空头溢价的额外动力，如果股票保持在其范围内，如果隐含波动率被压缩，则按市值计算将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1614334070724","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波动性期权</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波动性期权</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Options AI: Learn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-26 18:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Gamestop Corp.</b>&nbsp;shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from last week (but still down significantly from recent short squeeze highs). We'll look at the unique situations that arise in the options of a highly volatile stock like Gamestop and a few things that might be considered before trading options.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站公司。</b>过去几天股价飙升，较上周一度上涨近200%（但仍较近期轧空高点大幅下跌）。我们将看看像游戏驿站这样波动性很大的股票的期权中出现的独特情况，以及在交易期权之前可能需要考虑的一些事情。</blockquote></p><p><hr><b>Gamestop: The Expected Move</b></p><p><blockquote><hr/><b>游戏驿站：预期的举动</b></blockquote></p><p>First, a look at how options are pricing upcoming moves. Here's theOptions AIexpected move chart for Gamestop, with a nearly 30% move being priced into this Friday's close. And a roughly 80% move being priced for the next month. A month that includes an earnings event (unconfirmed):</p><p><blockquote>首先，看看期权如何为即将到来的走势定价。这是游戏驿站的期权AI预期走势图，预计本周五收盘价将出现近30%的走势。下个月的价格将上涨大约80%。包含盈利事件的月份（未经确认）：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e35872724d8db887fa09d822d622ac8c\" tg-width=\"568\" tg-height=\"817\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Gamestop: Call Spreads vs Outright Calls</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站：看涨期权价差与彻底的评级</blockquote></p><p>Using March 19th as an expiry we first looks at bullish spreads, and compare directly to outright calls. With a stock as volatile as Gamestop, calls can be expensive. Because of that, many traders resort to buying far out of the money calls. That demand for upside calls increases volatility in those calls, making them expensive relative to at-the-money calls – a phenomenon known as skew. However, for those that are bullish, this may create an opportunity to utilize spreads rather than buying an outright call. Let's see how.</p><p><blockquote>以3月19日为到期日，我们首先查看看涨利差，并直接与直接评级进行比较。像游戏驿站这样不稳定的股票，评级的股价可能会很昂贵。正因为如此，许多交易者诉诸远超本钱的评级买入。对上行评级的需求增加了这些评级的波动性，使其相对于平价评级的价格昂贵——这种现象被称为倾斜。然而，对于那些看涨的人来说，这可能会创造一个利用价差而不是直接购买看涨期权的机会。让我们看看怎么做。</blockquote></p><p>Here we'll focus on one alternative – using debit spreads to lower the overall cost of a directional trade (while potentially improving the probability of profit of the trade itself by lowering the breakeven level). It does so by selling those relatively expensive out-the-money Calls to help finance the purchase of a nearer to at-the-money Call.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，我们将重点关注一种替代方案——使用借方利差来降低定向交易的总体成本（同时通过降低盈亏平衡水平来提高交易本身的盈利概率）。它通过出售那些相对昂贵的价外评级来帮助购买更接近价外的看涨期权来实现这一目标。</blockquote></p><p>With Gamestop near $105, the&nbsp;<b>March 19th 110/190 Debit Call Spread</b>&nbsp;is roughly $15 and targets the bullish expected move for March 19th. The debit call spread would need the stock to be above $125 on March 19th to be profitable.</p><p><blockquote>随着游戏驿站接近105美元，<b>3月19日110/190借方看涨期权利差</b>大约为15美元，目标是3月19日的看涨预期走势。借方看涨期权利差需要该股在3月19日高于125美元才能盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a comparison, the GME March 19th 200 calls are trading $29. That's nearly twice the cost for a 200 call that needs the stock above $229 by March 19th… versus a call spread, that needs the stock above $125. Here's a side by side comparison of those two trades on the Options AI chart. First, the 200 call:</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，GME 3月19日200评级的交易价格为29美元。这几乎是200美元看涨期权的成本的两倍，需要股票在3月19日之前高于229美元……而看涨期权的价差需要股票高于125美元。以下是期权人工智能图表上这两种交易的并排比较。一、200家看涨期权：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b044a22bfbe5a8326f9aa3ebf56ed4fd\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>And next, the 145/200 debit call spread:</p><p><blockquote>接下来，145/200借方看涨期权利差：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cdf8545f07da48f770ef81cb4e5ac53\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"792\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>As you can see, not only is the call spread less expensive, the point at which is becomes profitable to the upside is much closer to where the stock is currently trading. (As indicated by the grey price of the breakeven.)</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，看涨期权价差不仅更便宜，而且上涨盈利的点也更接近股票当前的交易价格。（如盈亏平衡的灰色价格所示。）</blockquote></p><p>A note on probability of profit. The probability of profit displayed on these trades is based on the delta being assigned to the breakeven of the trade. The fact that a 200 call in a $105 stock is trading near 50 deltas shows just how distorting an effect Gamestop volatility is having on its options (hard to borrow, skew, retail demand for out-of-the-money calls).</p><p><blockquote>关于盈利概率的一个注记。这些交易显示的利润概率基于分配给交易盈亏平衡的delta。105美元股票的200看涨期权交易价格接近50 deltas，这一事实表明游戏驿站波动对其期权产生了多么扭曲的影响（难以借贷、扭曲零售对价外评级的需求）。</blockquote></p><p>Directional Butterflies vs Outright Puts</p><p><blockquote>定向蝶形与直接看跌期权</blockquote></p><p>High volatility also affects bearish options trades. One of the counter-intuitive aspects of a high volatility stock like Gamestop is that its implied volatility can go up as the stock goes higher and down as the stock goes lower. This is the opposite of how we generally think about volatility. Therefore, buying outright puts carries a risk of collapsing volatility (and therefore collapsing premiums) as the stock goes lower. So, even though the stock is moving in the intended direction, as an option holder you may not be realizing the gains expected.</p><p><blockquote>高波动性也会影响看跌期权交易。像游戏驿站这样的高波动性股票的一个反直觉的方面是，其隐含波动率可能会随着股票走高而上升，随着股票走低而下降。这与我们通常对波动性的看法相反。因此，随着股票走低，直接买入看跌期权会带来波动性崩溃（从而导致溢价崩溃）的风险。因此，即使股票正朝着预期的方向移动，作为期权持有者，您可能无法实现预期的收益。</blockquote></p><p>One way to counter high implied volatility in a stock, especially when having a bearish view, is to be a net seller of option premium. To sell to bullish option traders rather than join bearish option traders. Traditionally that might take the form of selling a Credit Call Spread. But in GME's case that means buying the (expensive) upper strike Call at a higher volatility than the Call that is closer to the money (as described above).</p><p><blockquote>应对股票高隐含波动率的一种方法（尤其是在持有看跌观点时）是成为期权溢价的净卖家。向看涨期权交易者出售，而不是加入看跌期权交易者。传统上，这可能采取出售信贷看涨期权利差的形式。但在GME的情况下，这意味着以比更接近资金的看涨期权更高的波动性购买（昂贵的）上行看涨期权（如上所述）。</blockquote></p><p>So, one option strategy that can be considered by traders is using a Butterfly. An option trade that is more typically associated with a neutral trading view, but here adapted to actually create a targeted (bearish) directional view.</p><p><blockquote>因此，交易者可以考虑的一种期权策略是使用蝴蝶。期权交易通常与中性交易观点相关，但在这里适用于实际创建目标（看跌）方向观点。</blockquote></p><p>Here, as an example, is a Butterfly with its center strikes focused at $80 in the stock, with a March 19th expiry:</p><p><blockquote>举个例子，这里有一只蝴蝶，其中心罢工集中在80美元的股票上，到期日为3月19日：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cb8f9b0570e854f662f3031e50ca91\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p>This 130/80/30 butterfly has breakevens of 115 and 45, meaning the trade is profitable if the stock is between those two prices at March 19th expiry… with a max gain occurring if the stock is at or near $80. It has the additional dynamic of being short premium, and if the stock stays within its range would see mark to market gains if implied volatility compressed.</p><p><blockquote>这只130/80/30蝴蝶的盈亏平衡点为115和45，这意味着如果股票在3月19日到期时处于这两个价格之间，交易是有利可图的……如果股票处于或接近80美元，则会出现最大收益。它具有空头溢价的额外动力，如果股票保持在其范围内，如果隐含波动率被压缩，则按市值计算将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/gamestop-and-high-volatility-options/\">Options AI: Learn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://learn.optionsai.com/gamestop-and-high-volatility-options/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146313632","content_text":"Gamestop Corp. shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from last week (but still down significantly from recent short squeeze highs). We'll look at the unique situations that arise in the options of a highly volatile stock like Gamestop and a few things that might be considered before trading options.Gamestop: The Expected MoveFirst, a look at how options are pricing upcoming moves. Here's theOptions AIexpected move chart for Gamestop, with a nearly 30% move being priced into this Friday's close. And a roughly 80% move being priced for the next month. A month that includes an earnings event (unconfirmed):Gamestop: Call Spreads vs Outright CallsUsing March 19th as an expiry we first looks at bullish spreads, and compare directly to outright calls. With a stock as volatile as Gamestop, calls can be expensive. Because of that, many traders resort to buying far out of the money calls. That demand for upside calls increases volatility in those calls, making them expensive relative to at-the-money calls – a phenomenon known as skew. However, for those that are bullish, this may create an opportunity to utilize spreads rather than buying an outright call. Let's see how.Here we'll focus on one alternative – using debit spreads to lower the overall cost of a directional trade (while potentially improving the probability of profit of the trade itself by lowering the breakeven level). It does so by selling those relatively expensive out-the-money Calls to help finance the purchase of a nearer to at-the-money Call.With Gamestop near $105, the March 19th 110/190 Debit Call Spread is roughly $15 and targets the bullish expected move for March 19th. The debit call spread would need the stock to be above $125 on March 19th to be profitable.As a comparison, the GME March 19th 200 calls are trading $29. That's nearly twice the cost for a 200 call that needs the stock above $229 by March 19th… versus a call spread, that needs the stock above $125. Here's a side by side comparison of those two trades on the Options AI chart. First, the 200 call:And next, the 145/200 debit call spread:As you can see, not only is the call spread less expensive, the point at which is becomes profitable to the upside is much closer to where the stock is currently trading. (As indicated by the grey price of the breakeven.)A note on probability of profit. The probability of profit displayed on these trades is based on the delta being assigned to the breakeven of the trade. The fact that a 200 call in a $105 stock is trading near 50 deltas shows just how distorting an effect Gamestop volatility is having on its options (hard to borrow, skew, retail demand for out-of-the-money calls).Directional Butterflies vs Outright PutsHigh volatility also affects bearish options trades. One of the counter-intuitive aspects of a high volatility stock like Gamestop is that its implied volatility can go up as the stock goes higher and down as the stock goes lower. This is the opposite of how we generally think about volatility. Therefore, buying outright puts carries a risk of collapsing volatility (and therefore collapsing premiums) as the stock goes lower. So, even though the stock is moving in the intended direction, as an option holder you may not be realizing the gains expected.One way to counter high implied volatility in a stock, especially when having a bearish view, is to be a net seller of option premium. To sell to bullish option traders rather than join bearish option traders. Traditionally that might take the form of selling a Credit Call Spread. But in GME's case that means buying the (expensive) upper strike Call at a higher volatility than the Call that is closer to the money (as described above).So, one option strategy that can be considered by traders is using a Butterfly. An option trade that is more typically associated with a neutral trading view, but here adapted to actually create a targeted (bearish) directional view.Here, as an example, is a Butterfly with its center strikes focused at $80 in the stock, with a March 19th expiry:This 130/80/30 butterfly has breakevens of 115 and 45, meaning the trade is profitable if the stock is between those two prices at March 19th expiry… with a max gain occurring if the stock is at or near $80. It has the additional dynamic of being short premium, and if the stock stays within its range would see mark to market gains if implied volatility compressed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351431704,"gmtCreate":1616622891108,"gmtModify":1634524917158,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cmon lets go//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3571725482264258\">@Lorene</a>:oki","listText":"Cmon lets go//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3571725482264258\">@Lorene</a>:oki","text":"Cmon lets go//@Lorene:oki","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351431704","repostId":"323006034","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":323006034,"gmtCreate":1615285327128,"gmtModify":1703486757851,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip!","listText":"Buy the dip!","text":"Buy the dip!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7beee6352dc837c4f71b3932976c9c7","width":"750","height":"2301"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323006034","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351431250,"gmtCreate":1616622846670,"gmtModify":1634524917519,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dun miss tis opportunity","listText":"Dun miss tis opportunity","text":"Dun miss tis 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FCEL\">$FuelCell(FCEL)$</a>Buy now, dont miss!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FCEL\">$FuelCell(FCEL)$</a>Buy now, dont miss!","text":"$FuelCell(FCEL)$Buy now, dont miss!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d57b6bcf270f58e904fc8712d95043f1","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366036900","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360282172,"gmtCreate":1613926413196,"gmtModify":1634551840815,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Time to buy....","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Time to buy....","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Time to buy....","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/022fe762d4f525d06736a6a4b221fb79","width":"828","height":"1434"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360282172","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359368233,"gmtCreate":1616353354722,"gmtModify":1634526278911,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cmon fed","listText":"Cmon fed","text":"Cmon fed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359368233","repostId":"1199154789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199154789","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616164372,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199154789?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望，让SLR救助到期：接下来会发生什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199154789","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio  exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on ","content":"<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如本文所暗示和深入讨论的那样，在伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)和谢罗德·布朗(Sherrod Brown)等进步民主党人的政治压力下，美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率(SLR)豁免如期于3月31日（规则变更一周年）到期。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦银行监管机构今天宣布，2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于新冠肺炎事件，这一临时变化是为了为存款机构向家庭和企业提供信贷提供灵活性。这一结果是前纽约联储大师Zoltan Pozsar（再次）正确预测的结果，他跟随FOMC表示，“事实上，美联储实际上是先发制人地做出了这一调整——目前没有使用o/n RRP工具，因此没有能力限制，而回购和票据收益率尚未为负——<b>暗示美联储正在为SLR豁免的结束“铺路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这将是市场的一个非常热门的问题，因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪，并指出，虽然SLR特殊待遇将于3月31日到期，但美联储正在“邀请公众就几项潜在的SLR修改发表评论”。此外，”<b>随着时间的推移，董事会可能需要解决SLR当前的设计和校准问题，以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力</b>”——简而言之，如果收益率飙升，美联储将立即重新引入SLR：</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布，银行控股公司补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外，董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动，确保SLR的任何变化不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解COVID-19大流行造成的国债市场压力并促进对家庭和企业的贷款，董事会去年暂时修改了SLR，将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。从那时起，国债市场已经稳定下来。<b>然而，由于最近中央银行储备供应和国债发行的增长，理事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保SLR（2014年作为额外资本要求而设立）在准备金较高的环境下保持有效，董事会将很快就几项潜在的SLR修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和评论将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来工作进行持续讨论，以确保国债市场的弹性。尽管美联储的WOD令人宽慰，<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后，美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息，股市暴跌...</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是受SLR救济影响最大的银行（正如昨天在“面对摩根大通的杠杆救济威胁”中所指出的）...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....萎靡不振。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下，以下是您应该关心SLR决定的原因：首先，对于那些错过了我们关于这个问题的入门知识的人来说，摩根大通的一些背景（具有讽刺意味的是，这是一家从美联储损失最大的银行）的决定）底线是，如果没有SLR救济，<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金（不一定是所有这些，也不是按这个顺序），就像美联储向市场注入数千亿美元一样随着财政部耗尽其TGA账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着美联储银行持有的银行准备金也同样大幅增长。<b>监管救济到期将使8个GSIB的杠杆敞口增加约2.1万亿美元。此外，TGA的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在2021年为系统再增加约2.35万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然3月31日豁免到期不会对GSIB产生直接影响，但全年杠杆资产的持续增加将增加长期债务(LTD)和优先要求。在这里，摩根大通持乐观观点，并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的发行情况也是非常可控的，LTD需要350亿美元来满足TLAC要求，优先需求为150-200亿美元，以将全行业SLR维持在5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大，其杠杆敞口增加的能力约为7,650亿美元，SLR为6.2%。”高盛的观点更令人不安：该行估计，在持续的量化宽松制度下，储备能力将出现约2万亿美元的缺口，主要是银行无法接受的存款形式，作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分（高盛对SLR困境的全面理解更是如此）。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢？</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>针对这个话题，昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm写道“<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表，但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免....以下是几种情况及其对回购市场的影响</i>：</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经完全定价了。准备金的豁免继续，但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性会增加。储备和国库的豁免均终止。同上。</b>换句话说，Skyrm持相对悲观的观点，警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。”此外，随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性可能会增加...</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了？上周，摩根大通为SLR制定了5种情景，其中两种预测SLR救济将于3月31日结束，具体如下：</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital &amp; de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.纾困3月31日结束银行全面融资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.纾困3月31日结束，银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到Zoltan，让我们回想一下，这位回购大师还警告说，“结束准备金和国债在SLR计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金（而不是国债）的存款和准备金，为市场留出更多空间。做市活动，<b>这些资金流动将进一步增加来自TGA提款的货币基金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，Zoltan预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现广泛的混乱，相反，正如他在周二的一份报告中解释的那样，他对SLR已经产生的微不足道的影响（如果它被消除，将会产生）提供了更良性的看法。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定Zoltan的良性观点是否正确？他在报告的最后写道，“鉴于我们到6月底FRA-OIS利差为零至负的看涨期权是基于SLR延期的结束以及美联储将尝试解决数量问题的假设价格而不是数量，今天的调整意味着FRA-OIS不会一直跌至零或负值。”</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>这里的FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易紧张程度，但以远低于零利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险...虽然账单偶尔会跌入负值，但到目前为止，它们避免了全面陷入NIRP，这可能只是市场正在等待的积极信号，以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* *&nbsp; *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，对于那些好奇对市场的直接影响会是什么的人来说，国民西敏寺银行策略师布莱克·格温(Blake Gwinn)写道，美联储宣布银行监管豁免将于本月底到期，“确实是穿针引线”，缓解了人们对银行监管豁免的担忧。对市场的潜在长期影响<b>SLR承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题，以防止紧张局势的发展，从而“结束了它，但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>格温说：“我从来不担心银行第一天就会吐出国债或回购提款或类似的情况。”“我担心的是，从长远来看”，随着准备金继续上升，SLR是否会“成为一个麻烦并拖累国债和利差”格温总结道，通过这份声明，美联储<b>“真正解决这些恐惧，基本上是说，‘别担心，我们正在努力’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，随着收益率在早期四女巫交易中飙升至HOD，市场似乎确实对美联储的行动持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望，让SLR救助到期：接下来会发生什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-19 22:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如本文所暗示和深入讨论的那样，在伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)和谢罗德·布朗(Sherrod Brown)等进步民主党人的政治压力下，美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率(SLR)豁免如期于3月31日（规则变更一周年）到期。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦银行监管机构今天宣布，2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于新冠肺炎事件，这一临时变化是为了为存款机构向家庭和企业提供信贷提供灵活性。这一结果是前纽约联储大师Zoltan Pozsar（再次）正确预测的结果，他跟随FOMC表示，“事实上，美联储实际上是先发制人地做出了这一调整——目前没有使用o/n RRP工具，因此没有能力限制，而回购和票据收益率尚未为负——<b>暗示美联储正在为SLR豁免的结束“铺路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这将是市场的一个非常热门的问题，因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪，并指出，虽然SLR特殊待遇将于3月31日到期，但美联储正在“邀请公众就几项潜在的SLR修改发表评论”。此外，”<b>随着时间的推移，董事会可能需要解决SLR当前的设计和校准问题，以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力</b>”——简而言之，如果收益率飙升，美联储将立即重新引入SLR：</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布，银行控股公司补充杠杆率（SLR）的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外，董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动，确保SLR的任何变化不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解COVID-19大流行造成的国债市场压力并促进对家庭和企业的贷款，董事会去年暂时修改了SLR，将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。从那时起，国债市场已经稳定下来。<b>然而，由于最近中央银行储备供应和国债发行的增长，理事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题，以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保SLR（2014年作为额外资本要求而设立）在准备金较高的环境下保持有效，董事会将很快就几项潜在的SLR修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和评论将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来工作进行持续讨论，以确保国债市场的弹性。尽管美联储的WOD令人宽慰，<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后，美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息，股市暴跌...</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是受SLR救济影响最大的银行（正如昨天在“面对摩根大通的杠杆救济威胁”中所指出的）...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....萎靡不振。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下，以下是您应该关心SLR决定的原因：首先，对于那些错过了我们关于这个问题的入门知识的人来说，摩根大通的一些背景（具有讽刺意味的是，这是一家从美联储损失最大的银行）的决定）底线是，如果没有SLR救济，<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金（不一定是所有这些，也不是按这个顺序），就像美联储向市场注入数千亿美元一样随着财政部耗尽其TGA账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着美联储银行持有的银行准备金也同样大幅增长。<b>监管救济到期将使8个GSIB的杠杆敞口增加约2.1万亿美元。此外，TGA的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在2021年为系统再增加约2.35万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然3月31日豁免到期不会对GSIB产生直接影响，但全年杠杆资产的持续增加将增加长期债务(LTD)和优先要求。在这里，摩根大通持乐观观点，并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的发行情况也是非常可控的，LTD需要350亿美元来满足TLAC要求，优先需求为150-200亿美元，以将全行业SLR维持在5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大，其杠杆敞口增加的能力约为7,650亿美元，SLR为6.2%。”高盛的观点更令人不安：该行估计，在持续的量化宽松制度下，储备能力将出现约2万亿美元的缺口，主要是银行无法接受的存款形式，作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分（高盛对SLR困境的全面理解更是如此）。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢？</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>针对这个话题，昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm写道“<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表，但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免....以下是几种情况及其对回购市场的影响</i>：</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经完全定价了。准备金的豁免继续，但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性会增加。储备和国库的豁免均终止。同上。</b>换句话说，Skyrm持相对悲观的观点，警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者，因此进入市场的现金减少，回购利率上升。”此外，随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者，波动性可能会增加...</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了？上周，摩根大通为SLR制定了5种情景，其中两种预测SLR救济将于3月31日结束，具体如下：</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital &amp; de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.纾困3月31日结束银行全面融资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.纾困3月31日结束，银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到Zoltan，让我们回想一下，这位回购大师还警告说，“结束准备金和国债在SLR计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金（而不是国债）的存款和准备金，为市场留出更多空间。做市活动，<b>这些资金流动将进一步增加来自TGA提款的货币基金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，Zoltan预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现广泛的混乱，相反，正如他在周二的一份报告中解释的那样，他对SLR已经产生的微不足道的影响（如果它被消除，将会产生）提供了更良性的看法。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定Zoltan的良性观点是否正确？他在报告的最后写道，“鉴于我们到6月底FRA-OIS利差为零至负的看涨期权是基于SLR延期的结束以及美联储将尝试解决数量问题的假设价格而不是数量，今天的调整意味着FRA-OIS不会一直跌至零或负值。”</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>这里的FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易紧张程度，但以远低于零利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险...虽然账单偶尔会跌入负值，但到目前为止，它们避免了全面陷入NIRP，这可能只是市场正在等待的积极信号，以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* *&nbsp; *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后，对于那些好奇对市场的直接影响会是什么的人来说，国民西敏寺银行策略师布莱克·格温(Blake Gwinn)写道，美联储宣布银行监管豁免将于本月底到期，“确实是穿针引线”，缓解了人们对银行监管豁免的担忧。对市场的潜在长期影响<b>SLR承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题，以防止紧张局势的发展，从而“结束了它，但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>格温说：“我从来不担心银行第一天就会吐出国债或回购提款或类似的情况。”“我担心的是，从长远来看”，随着准备金继续上升，SLR是否会“成为一个麻烦并拖累国债和利差”格温总结道，通过这份声明，美联储<b>“真正解决这些恐惧，基本上是说，‘别担心，我们正在努力’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，随着收益率在早期四女巫交易中飙升至HOD，市场似乎确实对美联储的行动持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199154789","content_text":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption.\"Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...Bond yields spiked...... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")....... slumped.In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).So what happens next?Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market:The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates 4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever Impact on BanksRatesFront-End RatesGoing back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.\"More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.* *  *Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" asthe SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing.“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361090190,"gmtCreate":1614177664810,"gmtModify":1634550852828,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to buy it in!","listText":"Time to buy it in!","text":"Time to buy it in!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/043f04aa658f6e1df2d4493e31f0f34b","width":"750","height":"2020"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361090190","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365330412,"gmtCreate":1614695909236,"gmtModify":1703480003596,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy now!","listText":"Buy now!","text":"Buy 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good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357023937","repostId":"1170318794","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362055085,"gmtCreate":1614577923747,"gmtModify":1703478404711,"author":{"id":"3571471110820089","authorId":"3571471110820089","name":"HDDDD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/786a6a2849ceff0dde7562fc9bdb7434","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571471110820089","authorIdStr":"3571471110820089"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to buy ??","listText":"Time to buy ??","text":"Time to buy 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