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philodendron

philodendron

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2021-02-09

good lessons to learn

These 12 lessons from the GameStop and AMC frenzy can help you make money trading stocks (or at least lose less)<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC狂潮的这12个教训可以帮助您通过股票交易赚钱（或至少损失更少）</blockquote>

2021-08-12

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$like a finally

2021-04-24

noOoOoooo

ByteDance says it has no recent plans for public listing<blockquote>字节跳动称近期没有公开上市计划</blockquote>

2021-03-15

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$whoohoo!

2021-02-11

why though

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-19

ooh

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-31

this makes me wonder, is the opposite happening?

Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>

2021-07-15

hmm

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-22

$ARK Next Generation Internet ETF(ARKW)$finally something green

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23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Big Tech Stocks Likely to Outperform the Nasdaq in 2022<blockquote>7只大型科技股可能在2022年跑赢纳斯达克</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175743992","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Tech stocks, including most big tech names, have been performing very badly in the first few weeks o","content":"<p><div> Tech stocks, including most big tech names, have been performing very badly in the first few weeks of this year. The Nasdaq 100, which is made up primarily of large tech companies, has tumbled 13% in ...</p><p><blockquote><div>科技股，包括大多数大型科技股，在今年头几周表现非常糟糕。主要由大型科技公司组成的纳斯达克100指数今年下跌了13%...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/7-big-tech-stocks-likely-to-outperform-the-nasdaq-in-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/7-big-tech-stocks-likely-to-outperform-the-nasdaq-in-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Big Tech Stocks Likely to Outperform the Nasdaq in 2022<blockquote>7只大型科技股可能在2022年跑赢纳斯达克</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Big Tech Stocks Likely to Outperform the Nasdaq in 2022<blockquote>7只大型科技股可能在2022年跑赢纳斯达克</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-28 23:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Tech stocks, including most big tech names, have been performing very badly in the first few weeks of this year. The Nasdaq 100, which is made up primarily of large tech companies, has tumbled 13% in ...</p><p><blockquote><div>科技股，包括大多数大型科技股，在今年头几周表现非常糟糕。主要由大型科技公司组成的纳斯达克100指数今年下跌了13%...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/7-big-tech-stocks-likely-to-outperform-the-nasdaq-in-2022/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/7-big-tech-stocks-likely-to-outperform-the-nasdaq-in-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/7-big-tech-stocks-likely-to-outperform-the-nasdaq-in-2022/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM","PANW":"Palo Alto Networks","GOOG":"谷歌","PYPL":"PayPal","MSFT":"微软","TSM":"台积电","CIEN":"Ciena科技"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/01/7-big-tech-stocks-likely-to-outperform-the-nasdaq-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175743992","content_text":"Tech stocks, including most big tech names, have been performing very badly in the first few weeks of this year. The Nasdaq 100, which is made up primarily of large tech companies, has tumbled 13% in 2022 so far.But investors who follow a few principles when it comes to buying large tech stocks can easily outperform the Nasdaq and the Nasdaq 100, while making significant profits this year.First of all, with the Street very bearish on unprofitable and high-valuation firms in this elevated inflation, rising interest rate environment, medium-term investors should only buy the shares of large tech companies that are firmly in the black. Secondly, with very few exceptions, they should avoid the shares of companies seen as pandemic plays.Also importantly, tech stocks that are in the sectors viewed relatively optimistically by Wall Street should be emphasized. Among these are IT security, the cloud, semiconductors and fiber optics.With this in mind, here are seven big tech stock likely to outperform the Nasdaq this year:IBM(NYSE:IBM)Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)Palo Alto Networks(NASDAQ:PANW)Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL)Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)PayPal(NASDAQ:PYPL)Ciena(NYSE:CIEN)Tech Stocks to Beat the Nasdaq: IBM (IBM)This “old tech” stock has all of the characteristics that I outlined in this column’s introduction. It’s definitely profitable, as analysts on average expect its 2022 earnings per shareto come in at nearly $10. And, trading at about 13 times that $10 estimate, it’s certainly cheap. Finally, IBM is heavily involved in the cloud.More specifically,as I pointed out in a December 2021 column, IBM CEO Arvind Krishna has adopted a hybrid cloud strategy, which involves marketing the conglomerate’s “software tools that connect multiple public clouds to companies’ on-premise data centers and edge environments.” With many businesses very concerned about cloud outages, that should be a winning strategy this year.Additionally, IBM’s spinoff of its less profitable businesses, completed in November, should greatly boost the valuation of IBM stock.Finally, Krishna is widely viewed as doing a good job so far, and the company does not face significant regulatory headwinds.Microsoft (MSFT)The second-largest cloud infrastructure provider, Microsoft is very well-positioned to benefit from the technology’s growth his year. Specifically, well-respected research firm Gartner predicts that cloud spending will grow to $482 billion this year, versus $313 billion in 2020.Indeed, with the work-from-home trend staying stronger than many had expected, the cloud is going to stay critical for the foreseeable future.Microsoft has a reasonable valuation (after its recent pullback, MSFT stock is changing hands for less than 32 times analysts’ average 2022 earnings per share (EPS) estimate). Meanwhile, like IBM, it definitely is quite profitable, and it’s unlikely to face any difficult regulatory challenges in 2022.Also like IBM, the company is poised to continue getting a lift from the work-from-home trend. Not only will Microsoft’s cloud unit be boosted by that trend, but its Windows business should continue to be lifted as more work-from-home employees upgrade their home computer hardware and software.Tech Stocks to Beat the Nasdaq: Palo Alto Networks (PANW)One of the world’s premiere cybersecurity companies, Palo Alto is often on “the short lists” of major IT security deals. And given the multiple huge cyberattacks that major companies and governments have absorbed in recent years, cybersecurity is becoming more crucial than ever. Also likely to increase cybersecurity companies’ top and bottom lines is the ever-accelerating Internet of Things trend, including the rise of connected cars.Importantly, with the federal government continuing to rapidly increase its spending on cybersecurity initiatives, the company has a substantial federal IT security business. What’s more, as artificial intelligence is becoming much more important in the sector, Palo Alto is quickly increasing its utilization of the technology.Analysts expect the IT security giant to generate EPS of $7.23 this year, up from $6.14 in 2021. PANW stock is changing hands for 67 times the mean 2022 EPS estimate. That sounds high, but it’s actually fairly low for the hot cybersecurity sector.Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL)With its highly profitable search ad business that’s seemingly impervious to recession, the pandemic, the recovery from the pandemic, Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) new privacy rules and inflation, Alphabet has become a FAANG favorite on the Street.In Q3 2021, the company’s profit rose by a huge 66% year-over-year to an incredible $19 billion, while its ad revenue climbed 43% YoY.Alphabet has been cutting its costs, and 2022 could be the year when its Waymo self-driving unit starts really putting its tremendous commercial potential on display. The unit intends to launch multiple pilots in Texas with its partner, logistics firmJB Hunt(NASDAQ:JBHT), this year.JMP Securities analyst Andrew Boone told The New York Times that “it just appears that the company is immune to the impact” of government regulations. The company’s financial help for the Democratic Party will probably help it avoid any tough penalties from Washington.Tech Stocks to Beat the Nasdaq: Taiwan Semiconductors (TSM)Benefitting from the incredibly strong demand for chips, the company recently reported higher-than-expectedQ4 EPS, which represented an all-time high for Taiwan Semiconductor. In Q1, the chip giant expects its operating profit margin to come in at 42%-44%.With the chip shortage still going strong and Taiwan Semiconductorinvesting heavily in expanding its capacity, the company should continue to benefit from incredibly strong demand for its products for a long time. That’s especially true since it makes top-notch chips for which there is exceptionally strong demand.TSM stock is down 1.4% year to date and down 14.5% since Jan. 14, creating a very good entry point.According to Marketwatch, the shares are trading at an undemanding price-earnings ratio of 29.PayPal (PYPL)PayPal is not in one of the sectors currently favored by Wall Street, and some see its sector, fintech, as a pandemic play.Nonetheless, the company is the top name in the fintech space, which is still expected to grow at a very healthy compound annual growth rate of 24%from 2022 to 2027. As I pointed out in a previous column, PayPal has a tremendous first-mover advantage in the sector, with 400 million customers and “5 billion transactions plus a quarter.”PayPal’s 2021 EPSis expected by analysts, on average, to be a robust $3.48, and its 2022 EPS is expected to climb to $3.97.Considering all of these positive points, its forward price/earnings ratio of 33, based on analysts’ average 2022 revenue estimate, is a steal.Tech Stocks to Beat the Nasdaq: Ciena (CIEN)Benefiting from the rollout of 5G, CIEN stock is still up 21% over the past three months despite the tech pullback.In a Jan. 11 note to investors, Bank of America wrote that“networking is back.” In the same note, the firm raised its price target on CIEN stock to $91 from $83.In Ciena’s fiscal Q4 that ended in October, its revenue jumped 26% YoY to $1.04billion, and its EPS came in at 85 cents. And in very good news for the company’s shareholders, its board authorized $1 billion of stock repurchases. Impressively, its backlog reached $2.2 billion as of the end of October, up from $1 billion during the same period a year earlier.Ciena’s CEO, Gary Smith, toldBarron’sthat it was benefiting from prolific orders by both telecom carriers and companies in the cloud sector.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOG":0.9,"CIEN":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"PANW":0.9,"PYPL":0.9,"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693021271,"gmtCreate":1639936125852,"gmtModify":1639936126115,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🚀","listText":"🚀","text":"🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693021271","repostId":"1170599515","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170599515","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639872378,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170599515?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-19 08:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio unveils new model and talks power at Nio Day event<blockquote>蔚来在蔚来日活动中推出新车型并谈论动力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170599515","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"$Nio $ unveiled its the ET5 mid-size smart electric sedan at Nio Day 2021 today. The vehicle is the fifth mass-produced model from the Chinese electric vehicle maker.The automaker says the ET5 draws on the fluid silhouette of ET7 and \"seamlessly integrates high-performance autonomous driving sensors into its pure yet progressive body lines.\". The ET5 features the latest NIO Autonomous Driving and is said to be set to gradually achieve a safe and reassuring autonomous driving experience in scenar","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio </a> unveiled its the ET5 mid-size smart electric sedan at Nio Day 2021 today. The vehicle is the fifth mass-produced model from the Chinese electric vehicle maker.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>今天在2021年蔚来日推出了ET5中型智能电动轿车。该车是这家中国电动汽车制造商的第五款量产车型。</blockquote></p><p> The automaker says the ET5 draws on the fluid silhouette of ET7 and \"seamlessly integrates high-performance autonomous driving sensors into its pure yet progressive body lines.\"</p><p><blockquote>该汽车制造商表示，ET5借鉴了ET7流畅的轮廓，“将高性能自动驾驶传感器无缝集成到其纯粹而进步的车身线条中”。</blockquote></p><p> Customers can buy the ET5 with battery pack for 328,000 yuan ($51,450) for the version with 75kWh battery pack and 386,000 yuan ($60,550) for the 100kWh version. Those prices are before subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>客户可以以328,000元（51,450美元）的价格购买带电池组的ET5，75kWh电池组版本和386,000元（60,550美元）的价格购买100kWh版本。这些价格是补贴前的价格。</blockquote></p><p> The ET5 features the latest NIO Autonomous Driving and is said to be set to gradually achieve a safe and reassuring autonomous driving experience in scenarios such as highways, urban areas, parking and battery swapping.</p><p><blockquote>ET5以最新的蔚来自动驾驶为特色，据称将在高速公路、市区、停车和换电等场景逐步实现安全放心的自动驾驶体验。</blockquote></p><p> Other highlights from Nio's (NIO) event included updates on the ET7. The company also talked up its power and battery charging initiatives. Nio (NIO) said it has now deployed 3,348 destination chargers and 3,136 super chargers across China. Home chargers have been installed for 94K users.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）活动的其他亮点包括ET7的更新。该公司还谈到了其电力和电池充电计划。蔚来（蔚来）表示，目前已在全国部署3348个目的地充电桩和3136个超级充电桩。已经为94K用户安装了家用充电器。</blockquote></p><p> Watch Nio (NIO) for a bounce on Monday if the event creates buzz. Nio is already one of the most discussed stocks on StockTwits and Reddit's WallStreetBets. See all the stocks on watch next week for some share price volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果该事件引起轰动，请关注蔚来（蔚来）周一的反弹。蔚来已经是StockTwits和Reddit的WallStreetBets上讨论最多的股票之一。查看下周关注的所有股票，了解股价波动情况。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio unveils new model and talks power at Nio Day event<blockquote>蔚来在蔚来日活动中推出新车型并谈论动力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio unveils new model and talks power at Nio Day event<blockquote>蔚来在蔚来日活动中推出新车型并谈论动力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-19 08:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio </a> unveiled its the ET5 mid-size smart electric sedan at Nio Day 2021 today. The vehicle is the fifth mass-produced model from the Chinese electric vehicle maker.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>今天在2021年蔚来日推出了ET5中型智能电动轿车。该车是这家中国电动汽车制造商的第五款量产车型。</blockquote></p><p> The automaker says the ET5 draws on the fluid silhouette of ET7 and \"seamlessly integrates high-performance autonomous driving sensors into its pure yet progressive body lines.\"</p><p><blockquote>该汽车制造商表示，ET5借鉴了ET7流畅的轮廓，“将高性能自动驾驶传感器无缝集成到其纯粹而进步的车身线条中”。</blockquote></p><p> Customers can buy the ET5 with battery pack for 328,000 yuan ($51,450) for the version with 75kWh battery pack and 386,000 yuan ($60,550) for the 100kWh version. Those prices are before subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>客户可以以328,000元（51,450美元）的价格购买带电池组的ET5，75kWh电池组版本和386,000元（60,550美元）的价格购买100kWh版本。这些价格是补贴前的价格。</blockquote></p><p> The ET5 features the latest NIO Autonomous Driving and is said to be set to gradually achieve a safe and reassuring autonomous driving experience in scenarios such as highways, urban areas, parking and battery swapping.</p><p><blockquote>ET5以最新的蔚来自动驾驶为特色，据称将在高速公路、市区、停车和换电等场景逐步实现安全放心的自动驾驶体验。</blockquote></p><p> Other highlights from Nio's (NIO) event included updates on the ET7. The company also talked up its power and battery charging initiatives. Nio (NIO) said it has now deployed 3,348 destination chargers and 3,136 super chargers across China. Home chargers have been installed for 94K users.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）活动的其他亮点包括ET7的更新。该公司还谈到了其电力和电池充电计划。蔚来（蔚来）表示，目前已在全国部署3348个目的地充电桩和3136个超级充电桩。已经为94K用户安装了家用充电器。</blockquote></p><p> Watch Nio (NIO) for a bounce on Monday if the event creates buzz. Nio is already one of the most discussed stocks on StockTwits and Reddit's WallStreetBets. See all the stocks on watch next week for some share price volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果该事件引起轰动，请关注蔚来（蔚来）周一的反弹。蔚来已经是StockTwits和Reddit的WallStreetBets上讨论最多的股票之一。查看下周关注的所有股票，了解股价波动情况。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781485-nio-unveils-new-model-and-talks-power-at-nio-day-event\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781485-nio-unveils-new-model-and-talks-power-at-nio-day-event","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170599515","content_text":"Nio  unveiled its the ET5 mid-size smart electric sedan at Nio Day 2021 today. The vehicle is the fifth mass-produced model from the Chinese electric vehicle maker.\nThe automaker says the ET5 draws on the fluid silhouette of ET7 and \"seamlessly integrates high-performance autonomous driving sensors into its pure yet progressive body lines.\"\nCustomers can buy the ET5 with battery pack for 328,000 yuan ($51,450) for the version with 75kWh battery pack and 386,000 yuan ($60,550) for the 100kWh version. Those prices are before subsidies.\nThe ET5 features the latest NIO Autonomous Driving and is said to be set to gradually achieve a safe and reassuring autonomous driving experience in scenarios such as highways, urban areas, parking and battery swapping.\nOther highlights from Nio's (NIO) event included updates on the ET7. The company also talked up its power and battery charging initiatives. Nio (NIO) said it has now deployed 3,348 destination chargers and 3,136 super chargers across China. Home chargers have been installed for 94K users.\nWatch Nio (NIO) for a bounce on Monday if the event creates buzz. Nio is already one of the most discussed stocks on StockTwits and Reddit's WallStreetBets. See all the stocks on watch next week for some share price volatility.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699527941,"gmtCreate":1639845662787,"gmtModify":1639845663113,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ooh","listText":"ooh","text":"ooh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699527941","repostId":"2192754259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699083020,"gmtCreate":1639722261293,"gmtModify":1639722261582,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699083020","repostId":"1169026598","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1169026598","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639698567,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169026598?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 07:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel: Mobileye IPO Could Be A Masterstroke<blockquote>英特尔：Mobileye IPO可能是绝妙之举</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169026598","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIntel is spinning off Mobileye via an IPO in mid 2022 to raise capital for its ambitious gr","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Intel is spinning off Mobileye via an IPO in mid 2022 to raise capital for its ambitious growth plans. In this note, we will discuss the logic of this transaction.</li>  <li>Mobileye is one of the leading players in autonomous vehicle technology, which means it should command a much higher multiple than Intel.</li>  <li>At ~9x Price-to-FCF, Intel is massively undervalued, and as such Mobileye's valuation is suppressed. The IPO is likely to act as a significant value unlocking event for Intel.</li>  <li>According to my analysis, Mobileye could quite easily fetch a valuation of $50-100B in the current market environment. Hence, Intel could raise a significant sum by selling just a minor stake.</li>  <li>Even after the IPO, Intel will continue to control Mobileye with a majority stake, and Intel's CEO, Pat Gelsinger, will be shaping Mobileye's future as the Chairman of its Board. Hence, Intel is getting the best of both worlds with this deal. I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</li>  <li>Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Beating the Market get exclusive access to our model portfolio.</li> </ul> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>英特尔将于2022年中期通过IPO分拆Mobileye，为其雄心勃勃的增长计划筹集资金。在本笔记中，我们将讨论这个事务的逻辑。</li><li>Mobileye是自动驾驶汽车技术的领先企业之一，这意味着它的市盈率应该比英特尔高得多。</li><li>英特尔的市盈率约为9倍，被严重低估，因此Mobileye的估值受到抑制。此次IPO可能会成为英特尔的一次重大价值释放事件。</li><li>根据我的分析，在当前的市场环境下，Mobileye很容易获得50-100B美元的估值。因此，英特尔可以通过出售少量股份来筹集一大笔资金。</li><li>即使在IPO之后，英特尔仍将继续以多数股权控制Mobileye，英特尔首席执行官帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)将作为董事会主席塑造Mobileye的未来。因此，英特尔通过这笔交易两全其美。我对英特尔的强烈买入评级为50美元。</li><li>寻找像这样的创意组合？击败市场的成员可以独家访问我们的模型组合。</li></ul><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite the astounding rally in chip stocks over the last 18-24 months, Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) valuation (~12x P/FCF) continues to remain depressed. The semiconductor supply shortage is showing no signs of abating, with Intel selling all that it could make. In 2021, Intel is set to generate record revenues and operating cash flows. Although Intel is facing margin pressures due to heightened competition, its business fundamentals remain strong. Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are robust. An inflationary environment is supposed to be supportive of cash flow machines like Intel. Hence, the weak price action in Intel is puzzling (even after considering Intel's manufacturing woes over the last few years).</p><p><blockquote>尽管芯片股在过去18-24个月内出现了惊人的上涨，但英特尔（纳斯达克：INTC）的估值（约12倍市盈率/自由现金流）仍然低迷。半导体供应短缺没有减弱的迹象，英特尔正在出售其能生产的所有产品。2021年，英特尔将创造创纪录的收入和运营现金流。尽管英特尔因竞争加剧而面临利润率压力，但其业务基本面依然强劲。英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流生成强劲。通胀环境应该支持像英特尔这样的现金流机器。因此，英特尔疲软的价格走势令人费解（即使考虑到英特尔过去几年的制造困境）。</blockquote></p><p> In today's note, we will focus our discussion on Intel's upcoming spinoff Mobileye, which is likely to act as a value unlocking catalyst for this chip giant.</p><p><blockquote>在今天的报告中，我们将重点讨论英特尔即将分拆的Mobileye，这可能会成为这家芯片巨头的价值解锁催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Let's begin our analysis by deciphering the logic behind an IPO for Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从解读Mobileye IPO背后的逻辑开始我们的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding The Motivation Behind Intel's Mobileye Spinoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解英特尔分拆Mobileye背后的动机</b></blockquote></p><p> Soon after rejoining Intel as CEO, Pat Gelsinger outlined an aggressive hybrid-sourcing and foundry plan to take the semiconductor giant back to its past glory (after some woeful execution from previous management). On paper, Pat's strategy is very simple. Intel will outsource next-gen chip manufacturing to foundries like TSMC (NYSE:TSM), which would enable them to compete against rivals like AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). While Intel is working toward fixing its manufacturing woes and regaining the technological lead at the node level, the company also is opening up its manufacturing plants in the Western Hemisphere for other companies (i.e., entering the foundry business).</p><p><blockquote>在重新加入英特尔担任首席执行官后不久，帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)概述了一项积极的混合采购和代工计划，以让这家半导体巨头重回过去的辉煌（在前任管理层的一些糟糕执行之后）。理论上，帕特的策略非常简单。英特尔将把下一代芯片制造外包给台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）等代工厂，这将使他们能够与AMD（纳斯达克股票代码：AMD）和英伟达（纳斯达克股票代码：NVDA）等竞争对手竞争。虽然英特尔正在努力解决其制造困境并重新获得节点级别的技术领先地位，但该公司也在向其他公司开放其在西半球的制造工厂（即进入代工业务）。</blockquote></p><p> The semiconductor industry is undergoing a painful supply crisis that has had far-reaching impacts across multiple industries. With the EV revolution, the demand for automotive chips is set to explode higher. Hence, the chip shortage could last for years and years. Only a handful of companies can solve this crisis, and Intel is probably the only company that could help abate this semiconductor shortage in the Western Hemisphere.</p><p><blockquote>半导体行业正在经历一场痛苦的供应危机，这场危机对多个行业产生了深远的影响。随着电动汽车革命，对汽车芯片的需求将会激增。因此，芯片短缺可能会持续很多年。只有少数公司能够解决这场危机，而英特尔可能是唯一一家能够帮助缓解西半球半导体短缺的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Pat Gelsinger has put forward an aggressive growth plan for Intel, which could see the company growing at ~10-12% CAGR from 2023-2027. However, Pat's plan is highly capital intensive, and so Intel needs more capital.</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)为英特尔提出了一项积极的增长计划，预计该公司在2023年至2027年期间的复合年增长率将达到约10-12%。然而，帕特的计划是高度资本密集型的，因此英特尔需要更多的资本。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/469130405b455b41aba450a41af1ccd1\" tg-width=\"1122\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Intel is set to enter a heavy capex-spending cycle with plans to increase capex for 2022 to ~$25B-$28B. With Intel's stock trading close to record low valuation (by P/FCF) from the past 10 years, raising capital through fresh equity issuance would be highly dilutionary for Intel's shareholders. Intel is one of the most-hated stocks on Wall Street, and the management certainly is not interested in alienating more of its investor base. Hence, a capital raise through equity is ruled out.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔将进入一个沉重的资本支出周期，计划将2022年的资本支出增加至约250亿至280亿美元。由于英特尔的股票交易接近过去10年的历史最低估值（按P/FCF计算），通过发行新股票筹集资金对英特尔股东来说将是高度稀释的。英特尔是华尔街最讨厌的股票之一，管理层当然没有兴趣疏远更多的投资者群体。因此，排除了通过股权融资的可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Another way to raise capital would be through debt issuance, and Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are strong enough to allow for more debt. However, Intel's margins are set to come under pressure due to a potential price war with the likes of AMD, and with increased CAPEX-spending, Intel's free cash flows may suffer too in the near term. Hence, Intel's management could be unwilling to raise more capital via debt (which already stands at ~$40B).</p><p><blockquote>另一种筹集资金的方式是通过债务发行，英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流产生足够强大，可以承担更多债务。然而，由于与AMD等公司潜在的价格战，英特尔的利润率将面临压力，而且随着资本支出的增加，英特尔的自由现金流也可能在短期内受到影响。因此，英特尔管理层可能不愿意通过债务筹集更多资本（债务已经达到约40B美元）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Asset monetization was probably the only viable alternative for raising capital to fund Intel's growth plan. And if we look at Intel's business, Mobileye is probably the most under-appreciated asset buried under a steep conglomerate discount. Mobileye is a category-leading business in autonomous driving (one of the hottest spaces in the market), and it would undoubtedly command a much higher trading multiple in the current market environment than what Intel paid for it back in 2017. Hence, the Mobileye spinoff is a very sound and logical decision from Intel's management.</p><p><blockquote>资产货币化可能是筹集资金以资助英特尔增长计划的唯一可行替代方案。如果我们看看英特尔的业务，Mobileye可能是埋藏在企业集团大幅折扣下的最被低估的资产。Mobileye是自动驾驶（市场上最热门的领域之一）领域的领先企业，在当前的市场环境下，它的交易倍数无疑会比英特尔在2017年为其支付的价格高得多。因此，剥离Mobileye是英特尔管理层做出的一个非常合理且合乎逻辑的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pat Says Mobileye Is Comparable To Tesla! Is It Though?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>帕特说Mobileye堪比特斯拉！是吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2017, Intel acquired Mobileye for an eye-watering sum of ~$15.3B. Since this acquisition, Mobileye has delivered significant revenue growth, achieved numerous technical innovations, and invested capital toward solving the most critical problems in the scaled deployment of autonomous driving technology. Unlike most IPOs, Mobileye is already a highly-profitable company. Hence, Intel could get a big return on its investment by selling a minority stake in Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>2017年，英特尔以约153亿美元的惊人价格收购了Mobileye。自此次收购以来，Mobileye实现了显着的收入增长，实现了众多技术创新，并投入资金解决了自动驾驶技术规模化部署中最关键的问题。与大多数IPO不同，Mobileye已经是一家高利润公司。因此，英特尔可以通过出售Mobileye的少数股权来获得丰厚的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p> In the last 12 months, Mobileye has generated revenues of $1.36B, with operating profits coming in at $471M (operating margin of ~35%). Also, Mobileye achieved the milestone of delivering its 100 millionth EyeQ SOC, unveiled its production robotaxi (network coming live in 2022) and won 41 new ADAS and full self-driving programs with 30 legacy automakers. In a nutshell, Mobileye has taken tremendous strides both from a technical and financial standpoint.</p><p><blockquote>在过去12个月中，Mobileye的收入为$13.6亿，营业利润为$4.71亿（营业利润率约为35%）。此外，Mobileye还实现了交付第1亿颗EyeQ SOC的里程碑，推出了量产robotaxi（网络将于2022年上线），并与30家传统汽车制造商赢得了41个新的ADAS和全自动驾驶项目。简而言之，Mobileye从技术和财务角度都取得了巨大进步。</blockquote></p><p> Since Mobileye has always operated as an independent subsidiary within Intel, the separation won't be hard. The strategic partnership with Intel will remain in place, and higher visibility should enable Mobileye to win more partners across the globe. With its robotaxi network set to go live in 2022, Mobileye is probably going to be the first to market in L3/L4 AV technology.</p><p><blockquote>由于Mobileye一直作为英特尔内部的独立子公司运营，因此分离并不困难。与英特尔的战略合作伙伴关系将保持不变，更高的知名度将使Mobileye能够在全球赢得更多合作伙伴。随着其robotaxi网络将于2022年上线，Mobileye可能会成为第一个将L3/L4 AV技术推向市场的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Mobileye is truly at an inflection point, and its future looks as bright as ever. Some critics would say that Intel is selling its future to chase the past. However, we must acknowledge the realities around us. The hype around autonomous driving and EVs has never been higher, and Mobileye's spectacular growth story is buried under Intel's umbrella. By bringing Mobileye to the public markets as a standalone entity, Intel is likely to receive a cash boost (at a rich trading multiple), whilst it will also maintain its majority stake (control) in the company.</p><p><blockquote>Mobileye确实处于拐点，它的未来看起来一如既往地光明。一些批评者会说，英特尔正在出卖自己的未来来追逐过去。然而，我们必须承认我们周围的现实。围绕自动驾驶和电动汽车的炒作从未如此之高，Mobileye惊人的增长故事被埋在英特尔的保护伞下。通过将Mobileye作为一个独立实体推向公开市场，英特尔可能会获得现金增长（交易倍数很高），同时还将保持其在该公司的多数股权（控制权）。</blockquote></p><p> Although Pat compared Mobileye to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) due to its AV technology (and future Robotaxi business), I think it's more comparable to Nvidia. For the purpose of this note, we shall create a guesstimate for Mobileye's valuation using trading multiples for both Tesla and Nvidia. Due to its relatively small size, I would expect Mobileye to command a higher multiple than these companies.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Pat因其AV技术（以及未来的Robotaxi业务）而将Mobileye与特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）进行了比较，但我认为它更适合英伟达。出于本说明的目的，我们将使用特斯拉和英伟达的交易倍数来猜测Mobileye的估值。由于其规模相对较小，我预计Mobileye的市盈率将高于这些公司。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through the lens of relative valuation, Mobileye's IPO could be valued anywhere in the range of ~$50B to $70B. However, let us also determine Mobileye's absolute valuation using its financials.</p><p><blockquote>从相对估值的角度来看，Mobileye的IPO估值可能在$50B至$70B之间。然而，让我们也使用Mobileye的财务数据来确定其绝对估值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Estimating Mobileye's Fair Value</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估计Mobileye的公允价值</b></blockquote></p><p> To determine Mobileye's fair value, we will employ our proprietary valuation model. Here's what it entails:</p><p><blockquote>为了确定Mobileye的公允价值，我们将采用我们专有的估值模型。它的含义如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In step 1, we use a traditional DCF model with free cash flow discounted by our (shareholders) cost of capital.</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 2, the model accounts for the effects of the change in shares outstanding (buybacks/dilutions).</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 3, we normalize valuation for future growth prospects at the end of the ten years. Then, we arrive at a CAGR using today's share price and the projected share price at the end of 10 years. If this beats the market by enough of a margin, we invest. If not, we wait for a better entry point.</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 4, the model accounts for dividends.</li> </ul> <b>Assumptions:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在第一步中，我们使用传统的DCF模型，自由现金流按我们（股东）的资本成本贴现。</li><li></li><li>在步骤2中，模型考虑了已发行股票变化（回购/稀释）的影响。</li><li></li><li>在第三步中，我们将十年结束时未来增长前景的估值正常化。然后，我们使用今天的股价和10年末的预计股价得出CAGR。如果这比市场高出足够的幅度，我们就投资。如果没有，我们等待一个更好的切入点。</li><li></li><li>在步骤4中，模型考虑了股息。</li></ul><b>假设：</b></blockquote></p><p> Mobileye is a rapidly-growing, highly-profitable business. With a massive TAM and leading ADAS &amp; Autonomous Vehicle [AV] technology, Mobileye is set to ride an enormous secular growth trend as the shift to autonomous-driving EVs accelerates over the 2020s. Hence, a 10-year CAGR growth rate of 25% could be highly conservative. As the MoovitAV robotaxi network grows, Mobileye's margins are likely to head higher. Therefore, Mobileye's FCF margin could quite comfortably hover at more than 30% when the business matures, and growth slows down (not going to happen for another decade or two).</p><p><blockquote>Mobileye是一家快速增长、利润丰厚的企业。凭借庞大的TAM和领先的ADAS自动驾驶汽车[AV]技术，随着2020年代向自动驾驶电动汽车的转变加速，Mobileye将迎来巨大的长期增长趋势。因此，25%的10年复合年增长率可能非常保守。随着MoovitAV robotaxi网络的增长，Mobileye的利润率可能会上升。因此，当业务成熟且增长放缓（未来十年或二十年内不会发生）时，Mobileye的FCF利润率可能会轻松徘徊在30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> As you can see, Mobileye is worth ~$15 per share or ~$60B market cap. The assumptions utilized in this valuation exercise are conservative, which means Mobileye could be worth even more than $60B.</p><p><blockquote>如您所见，Mobileye每股价值约15美元，市值约为60B美元。本次估值工作中使用的假设是保守的，这意味着Mobileye的价值可能超过$60B。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> If Mobileye's 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate were to be in the 30%-50% range (instead of our estimate of 25%), Mobileye's fair value would come out to be ~$88B to ~$340B. At a $1T valuation, Tesla's implied 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate is ~50%. Since Mobileye is growing from a much smaller base, and considering the fact that it could become the industry standard for AV technology (by leveraging existing relationships with legacy automakers like Ford, BMW, and many others), I would imagine Mobileye has a better chance of delivering such hyper-growth than Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>如果Mobileye的10年复合年增长率在30%-50%范围内（而不是我们估计的25%），那么Mobileye的公允价值将约为88B美元至340B美元。按照1T美元的估值，特斯拉隐含的10年复合年增长率约为50%。由于Mobileye的基础要小得多，并且考虑到它可能成为AV技术的行业标准（通过利用与福特、宝马和许多其他汽车制造商的现有关系），我认为Mobileye拥有比特斯拉更好的机会实现如此高速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Even after the spinoff of Mobileye, Intel would generate revenues of ~$73B in 2022 with virtually zero impact on its cash flow generation. Although Intel will lose one of its key assets in this transaction (not really, as Intel will still control Mobileye through a majority stake), the proceeds will help Intel's management execute its ambitious growth plans. Using conservative estimates, Intel (minus Mobileye) is still worth ~$70 per share (~$280B market cap) (this valuation exercise is available in my previous articles on Intel). Therefore, the Mobileye spinoff is very likely to unlock hidden value for Intel's shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>即使在分拆Mobileye之后，英特尔在2022年的收入仍将约为$730亿，对其现金流产生的影响几乎为零。尽管英特尔将在这笔交易中失去其关键资产之一（事实并非如此，因为英特尔仍将通过多数股权控制Mobileye），但所得收益将帮助英特尔管理层执行其雄心勃勃的增长计划。根据保守估计，英特尔（减去Mobileye）的每股价值仍约为70美元（市值约为2800亿美元）（此估值练习可在我之前有关英特尔的文章中找到）。因此，分拆Mobileye极有可能为英特尔股东释放隐藏的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Concluding Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结束语</b></blockquote></p><p> With Intel's market cap hovering at just about $200B, raising capital through stock issuance is not viable. Although Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation remain robust, the company is entering a heavy capex-spending cycle, which makes an additional debt raise troublesome. Mobileye is one of the faster-growing business lines at Intel. However, selling a small piece of it could yield a massive sum for Intel, which could be utilized toward Pat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plan for the company. According to my analysis, Mobileye could fetch a valuation of $50B-$100B in the current market environment, and I think Intel will end up raising ~$10B-$15B from the Mobileye IPO while retaining control of the company. I like this move from Intel's management as I can see significant value unlocking from this spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>由于英特尔的市值徘徊在200B美元左右，通过股票发行筹集资金是不可行的。尽管英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流仍然强劲，但该公司正在进入一个沉重的资本支出周期，这使得额外的债务融资变得麻烦。Mobileye是英特尔增长较快的业务线之一。然而，出售其中的一小部分可能会为英特尔带来一大笔钱，这些钱可以用于帕特·基辛格雄心勃勃的公司增长计划。根据我的分析，在当前的市场环境下，Mobileye的估值可能达到500亿至1000亿美元，我认为英特尔最终将从Mobileye IPO中筹集约100亿至150亿美元，同时保留对公司的控制权。我喜欢英特尔管理层的这一举措，因为我可以看到这次分拆带来的巨大价值。</blockquote></p><p> Intel is a deeply undervalued cash cow that pays out a healthy, growing dividend. With the Mobileye IPO set to unlock some of Intel's hidden value, I expect to see big capital appreciation in Intel over the next 12-24 months. Therefore, I continue to rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔是一棵被严重低估的摇钱树，它支付着健康且不断增长的股息。随着Mobileye IPO将释放英特尔的一些隐藏价值，我预计英特尔将在未来12-24个月内实现大幅资本增值。因此，我继续给予英特尔50美元的强力买入评级。</blockquote></p><p> Key Takeaway: I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</p><p><blockquote>关键要点：我将英特尔评级为50美元的强力买入。</blockquote></p><p> Thanks for reading, and happy investing. Please share your thoughts, concerns, and/or questions in the comments section below.</p><p><blockquote>感谢您的阅读，祝投资愉快。请在下面的评论区分享你的想法、担忧和/或问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1638401102509","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel: Mobileye IPO Could Be A Masterstroke<blockquote>英特尔：Mobileye IPO可能是绝妙之举</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel: Mobileye IPO Could Be A Masterstroke<blockquote>英特尔：Mobileye IPO可能是绝妙之举</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 07:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Intel is spinning off Mobileye via an IPO in mid 2022 to raise capital for its ambitious growth plans. In this note, we will discuss the logic of this transaction.</li>  <li>Mobileye is one of the leading players in autonomous vehicle technology, which means it should command a much higher multiple than Intel.</li>  <li>At ~9x Price-to-FCF, Intel is massively undervalued, and as such Mobileye's valuation is suppressed. The IPO is likely to act as a significant value unlocking event for Intel.</li>  <li>According to my analysis, Mobileye could quite easily fetch a valuation of $50-100B in the current market environment. Hence, Intel could raise a significant sum by selling just a minor stake.</li>  <li>Even after the IPO, Intel will continue to control Mobileye with a majority stake, and Intel's CEO, Pat Gelsinger, will be shaping Mobileye's future as the Chairman of its Board. Hence, Intel is getting the best of both worlds with this deal. I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</li>  <li>Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Beating the Market get exclusive access to our model portfolio.</li> </ul> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>英特尔将于2022年中期通过IPO分拆Mobileye，为其雄心勃勃的增长计划筹集资金。在本笔记中，我们将讨论这个事务的逻辑。</li><li>Mobileye是自动驾驶汽车技术的领先企业之一，这意味着它的市盈率应该比英特尔高得多。</li><li>英特尔的市盈率约为9倍，被严重低估，因此Mobileye的估值受到抑制。此次IPO可能会成为英特尔的一次重大价值释放事件。</li><li>根据我的分析，在当前的市场环境下，Mobileye很容易获得50-100B美元的估值。因此，英特尔可以通过出售少量股份来筹集一大笔资金。</li><li>即使在IPO之后，英特尔仍将继续以多数股权控制Mobileye，英特尔首席执行官帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)将作为董事会主席塑造Mobileye的未来。因此，英特尔通过这笔交易两全其美。我对英特尔的强烈买入评级为50美元。</li><li>寻找像这样的创意组合？击败市场的成员可以独家访问我们的模型组合。</li></ul><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite the astounding rally in chip stocks over the last 18-24 months, Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) valuation (~12x P/FCF) continues to remain depressed. The semiconductor supply shortage is showing no signs of abating, with Intel selling all that it could make. In 2021, Intel is set to generate record revenues and operating cash flows. Although Intel is facing margin pressures due to heightened competition, its business fundamentals remain strong. Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are robust. An inflationary environment is supposed to be supportive of cash flow machines like Intel. Hence, the weak price action in Intel is puzzling (even after considering Intel's manufacturing woes over the last few years).</p><p><blockquote>尽管芯片股在过去18-24个月内出现了惊人的上涨，但英特尔（纳斯达克：INTC）的估值（约12倍市盈率/自由现金流）仍然低迷。半导体供应短缺没有减弱的迹象，英特尔正在出售其能生产的所有产品。2021年，英特尔将创造创纪录的收入和运营现金流。尽管英特尔因竞争加剧而面临利润率压力，但其业务基本面依然强劲。英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流生成强劲。通胀环境应该支持像英特尔这样的现金流机器。因此，英特尔疲软的价格走势令人费解（即使考虑到英特尔过去几年的制造困境）。</blockquote></p><p> In today's note, we will focus our discussion on Intel's upcoming spinoff Mobileye, which is likely to act as a value unlocking catalyst for this chip giant.</p><p><blockquote>在今天的报告中，我们将重点讨论英特尔即将分拆的Mobileye，这可能会成为这家芯片巨头的价值解锁催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Let's begin our analysis by deciphering the logic behind an IPO for Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>让我们从解读Mobileye IPO背后的逻辑开始我们的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Understanding The Motivation Behind Intel's Mobileye Spinoff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>了解英特尔分拆Mobileye背后的动机</b></blockquote></p><p> Soon after rejoining Intel as CEO, Pat Gelsinger outlined an aggressive hybrid-sourcing and foundry plan to take the semiconductor giant back to its past glory (after some woeful execution from previous management). On paper, Pat's strategy is very simple. Intel will outsource next-gen chip manufacturing to foundries like TSMC (NYSE:TSM), which would enable them to compete against rivals like AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). While Intel is working toward fixing its manufacturing woes and regaining the technological lead at the node level, the company also is opening up its manufacturing plants in the Western Hemisphere for other companies (i.e., entering the foundry business).</p><p><blockquote>在重新加入英特尔担任首席执行官后不久，帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)概述了一项积极的混合采购和代工计划，以让这家半导体巨头重回过去的辉煌（在前任管理层的一些糟糕执行之后）。理论上，帕特的策略非常简单。英特尔将把下一代芯片制造外包给台积电（纽约证券交易所股票代码：TSM）等代工厂，这将使他们能够与AMD（纳斯达克股票代码：AMD）和英伟达（纳斯达克股票代码：NVDA）等竞争对手竞争。虽然英特尔正在努力解决其制造困境并重新获得节点级别的技术领先地位，但该公司也在向其他公司开放其在西半球的制造工厂（即进入代工业务）。</blockquote></p><p> The semiconductor industry is undergoing a painful supply crisis that has had far-reaching impacts across multiple industries. With the EV revolution, the demand for automotive chips is set to explode higher. Hence, the chip shortage could last for years and years. Only a handful of companies can solve this crisis, and Intel is probably the only company that could help abate this semiconductor shortage in the Western Hemisphere.</p><p><blockquote>半导体行业正在经历一场痛苦的供应危机，这场危机对多个行业产生了深远的影响。随着电动汽车革命，对汽车芯片的需求将会激增。因此，芯片短缺可能会持续很多年。只有少数公司能够解决这场危机，而英特尔可能是唯一一家能够帮助缓解西半球半导体短缺的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Pat Gelsinger has put forward an aggressive growth plan for Intel, which could see the company growing at ~10-12% CAGR from 2023-2027. However, Pat's plan is highly capital intensive, and so Intel needs more capital.</p><p><blockquote>帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)为英特尔提出了一项积极的增长计划，预计该公司在2023年至2027年期间的复合年增长率将达到约10-12%。然而，帕特的计划是高度资本密集型的，因此英特尔需要更多的资本。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/469130405b455b41aba450a41af1ccd1\" tg-width=\"1122\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Intel is set to enter a heavy capex-spending cycle with plans to increase capex for 2022 to ~$25B-$28B. With Intel's stock trading close to record low valuation (by P/FCF) from the past 10 years, raising capital through fresh equity issuance would be highly dilutionary for Intel's shareholders. Intel is one of the most-hated stocks on Wall Street, and the management certainly is not interested in alienating more of its investor base. Hence, a capital raise through equity is ruled out.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔将进入一个沉重的资本支出周期，计划将2022年的资本支出增加至约250亿至280亿美元。由于英特尔的股票交易接近过去10年的历史最低估值（按P/FCF计算），通过发行新股票筹集资金对英特尔股东来说将是高度稀释的。英特尔是华尔街最讨厌的股票之一，管理层当然没有兴趣疏远更多的投资者群体。因此，排除了通过股权融资的可能性。</blockquote></p><p> Another way to raise capital would be through debt issuance, and Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are strong enough to allow for more debt. However, Intel's margins are set to come under pressure due to a potential price war with the likes of AMD, and with increased CAPEX-spending, Intel's free cash flows may suffer too in the near term. Hence, Intel's management could be unwilling to raise more capital via debt (which already stands at ~$40B).</p><p><blockquote>另一种筹集资金的方式是通过债务发行，英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流产生足够强大，可以承担更多债务。然而，由于与AMD等公司潜在的价格战，英特尔的利润率将面临压力，而且随着资本支出的增加，英特尔的自由现金流也可能在短期内受到影响。因此，英特尔管理层可能不愿意通过债务筹集更多资本（债务已经达到约40B美元）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Asset monetization was probably the only viable alternative for raising capital to fund Intel's growth plan. And if we look at Intel's business, Mobileye is probably the most under-appreciated asset buried under a steep conglomerate discount. Mobileye is a category-leading business in autonomous driving (one of the hottest spaces in the market), and it would undoubtedly command a much higher trading multiple in the current market environment than what Intel paid for it back in 2017. Hence, the Mobileye spinoff is a very sound and logical decision from Intel's management.</p><p><blockquote>资产货币化可能是筹集资金以资助英特尔增长计划的唯一可行替代方案。如果我们看看英特尔的业务，Mobileye可能是埋藏在企业集团大幅折扣下的最被低估的资产。Mobileye是自动驾驶（市场上最热门的领域之一）领域的领先企业，在当前的市场环境下，它的交易倍数无疑会比英特尔在2017年为其支付的价格高得多。因此，剥离Mobileye是英特尔管理层做出的一个非常合理且合乎逻辑的决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pat Says Mobileye Is Comparable To Tesla! Is It Though?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>帕特说Mobileye堪比特斯拉！是吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2017, Intel acquired Mobileye for an eye-watering sum of ~$15.3B. Since this acquisition, Mobileye has delivered significant revenue growth, achieved numerous technical innovations, and invested capital toward solving the most critical problems in the scaled deployment of autonomous driving technology. Unlike most IPOs, Mobileye is already a highly-profitable company. Hence, Intel could get a big return on its investment by selling a minority stake in Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>2017年，英特尔以约153亿美元的惊人价格收购了Mobileye。自此次收购以来，Mobileye实现了显着的收入增长，实现了众多技术创新，并投入资金解决了自动驾驶技术规模化部署中最关键的问题。与大多数IPO不同，Mobileye已经是一家高利润公司。因此，英特尔可以通过出售Mobileye的少数股权来获得丰厚的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p> In the last 12 months, Mobileye has generated revenues of $1.36B, with operating profits coming in at $471M (operating margin of ~35%). Also, Mobileye achieved the milestone of delivering its 100 millionth EyeQ SOC, unveiled its production robotaxi (network coming live in 2022) and won 41 new ADAS and full self-driving programs with 30 legacy automakers. In a nutshell, Mobileye has taken tremendous strides both from a technical and financial standpoint.</p><p><blockquote>在过去12个月中，Mobileye的收入为$13.6亿，营业利润为$4.71亿（营业利润率约为35%）。此外，Mobileye还实现了交付第1亿颗EyeQ SOC的里程碑，推出了量产robotaxi（网络将于2022年上线），并与30家传统汽车制造商赢得了41个新的ADAS和全自动驾驶项目。简而言之，Mobileye从技术和财务角度都取得了巨大进步。</blockquote></p><p> Since Mobileye has always operated as an independent subsidiary within Intel, the separation won't be hard. The strategic partnership with Intel will remain in place, and higher visibility should enable Mobileye to win more partners across the globe. With its robotaxi network set to go live in 2022, Mobileye is probably going to be the first to market in L3/L4 AV technology.</p><p><blockquote>由于Mobileye一直作为英特尔内部的独立子公司运营，因此分离并不困难。与英特尔的战略合作伙伴关系将保持不变，更高的知名度将使Mobileye能够在全球赢得更多合作伙伴。随着其robotaxi网络将于2022年上线，Mobileye可能会成为第一个将L3/L4 AV技术推向市场的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Mobileye is truly at an inflection point, and its future looks as bright as ever. Some critics would say that Intel is selling its future to chase the past. However, we must acknowledge the realities around us. The hype around autonomous driving and EVs has never been higher, and Mobileye's spectacular growth story is buried under Intel's umbrella. By bringing Mobileye to the public markets as a standalone entity, Intel is likely to receive a cash boost (at a rich trading multiple), whilst it will also maintain its majority stake (control) in the company.</p><p><blockquote>Mobileye确实处于拐点，它的未来看起来一如既往地光明。一些批评者会说，英特尔正在出卖自己的未来来追逐过去。然而，我们必须承认我们周围的现实。围绕自动驾驶和电动汽车的炒作从未如此之高，Mobileye惊人的增长故事被埋在英特尔的保护伞下。通过将Mobileye作为一个独立实体推向公开市场，英特尔可能会获得现金增长（交易倍数很高），同时还将保持其在该公司的多数股权（控制权）。</blockquote></p><p> Although Pat compared Mobileye to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) due to its AV technology (and future Robotaxi business), I think it's more comparable to Nvidia. For the purpose of this note, we shall create a guesstimate for Mobileye's valuation using trading multiples for both Tesla and Nvidia. Due to its relatively small size, I would expect Mobileye to command a higher multiple than these companies.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Pat因其AV技术（以及未来的Robotaxi业务）而将Mobileye与特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）进行了比较，但我认为它更适合英伟达。出于本说明的目的，我们将使用特斯拉和英伟达的交易倍数来猜测Mobileye的估值。由于其规模相对较小，我预计Mobileye的市盈率将高于这些公司。</blockquote></p><p> Looking through the lens of relative valuation, Mobileye's IPO could be valued anywhere in the range of ~$50B to $70B. However, let us also determine Mobileye's absolute valuation using its financials.</p><p><blockquote>从相对估值的角度来看，Mobileye的IPO估值可能在$50B至$70B之间。然而，让我们也使用Mobileye的财务数据来确定其绝对估值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Estimating Mobileye's Fair Value</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估计Mobileye的公允价值</b></blockquote></p><p> To determine Mobileye's fair value, we will employ our proprietary valuation model. Here's what it entails:</p><p><blockquote>为了确定Mobileye的公允价值，我们将采用我们专有的估值模型。它的含义如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In step 1, we use a traditional DCF model with free cash flow discounted by our (shareholders) cost of capital.</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 2, the model accounts for the effects of the change in shares outstanding (buybacks/dilutions).</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 3, we normalize valuation for future growth prospects at the end of the ten years. Then, we arrive at a CAGR using today's share price and the projected share price at the end of 10 years. If this beats the market by enough of a margin, we invest. If not, we wait for a better entry point.</li>  <li></li>  <li>In step 4, the model accounts for dividends.</li> </ul> <b>Assumptions:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>在第一步中，我们使用传统的DCF模型，自由现金流按我们（股东）的资本成本贴现。</li><li></li><li>在步骤2中，模型考虑了已发行股票变化（回购/稀释）的影响。</li><li></li><li>在第三步中，我们将十年结束时未来增长前景的估值正常化。然后，我们使用今天的股价和10年末的预计股价得出CAGR。如果这比市场高出足够的幅度，我们就投资。如果没有，我们等待一个更好的切入点。</li><li></li><li>在步骤4中，模型考虑了股息。</li></ul><b>假设：</b></blockquote></p><p> Mobileye is a rapidly-growing, highly-profitable business. With a massive TAM and leading ADAS &amp; Autonomous Vehicle [AV] technology, Mobileye is set to ride an enormous secular growth trend as the shift to autonomous-driving EVs accelerates over the 2020s. Hence, a 10-year CAGR growth rate of 25% could be highly conservative. As the MoovitAV robotaxi network grows, Mobileye's margins are likely to head higher. Therefore, Mobileye's FCF margin could quite comfortably hover at more than 30% when the business matures, and growth slows down (not going to happen for another decade or two).</p><p><blockquote>Mobileye是一家快速增长、利润丰厚的企业。凭借庞大的TAM和领先的ADAS自动驾驶汽车[AV]技术，随着2020年代向自动驾驶电动汽车的转变加速，Mobileye将迎来巨大的长期增长趋势。因此，25%的10年复合年增长率可能非常保守。随着MoovitAV robotaxi网络的增长，Mobileye的利润率可能会上升。因此，当业务成熟且增长放缓（未来十年或二十年内不会发生）时，Mobileye的FCF利润率可能会轻松徘徊在30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> As you can see, Mobileye is worth ~$15 per share or ~$60B market cap. The assumptions utilized in this valuation exercise are conservative, which means Mobileye could be worth even more than $60B.</p><p><blockquote>如您所见，Mobileye每股价值约15美元，市值约为60B美元。本次估值工作中使用的假设是保守的，这意味着Mobileye的价值可能超过$60B。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> If Mobileye's 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate were to be in the 30%-50% range (instead of our estimate of 25%), Mobileye's fair value would come out to be ~$88B to ~$340B. At a $1T valuation, Tesla's implied 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate is ~50%. Since Mobileye is growing from a much smaller base, and considering the fact that it could become the industry standard for AV technology (by leveraging existing relationships with legacy automakers like Ford, BMW, and many others), I would imagine Mobileye has a better chance of delivering such hyper-growth than Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>如果Mobileye的10年复合年增长率在30%-50%范围内（而不是我们估计的25%），那么Mobileye的公允价值将约为88B美元至340B美元。按照1T美元的估值，特斯拉隐含的10年复合年增长率约为50%。由于Mobileye的基础要小得多，并且考虑到它可能成为AV技术的行业标准（通过利用与福特、宝马和许多其他汽车制造商的现有关系），我认为Mobileye拥有比特斯拉更好的机会实现如此高速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Even after the spinoff of Mobileye, Intel would generate revenues of ~$73B in 2022 with virtually zero impact on its cash flow generation. Although Intel will lose one of its key assets in this transaction (not really, as Intel will still control Mobileye through a majority stake), the proceeds will help Intel's management execute its ambitious growth plans. Using conservative estimates, Intel (minus Mobileye) is still worth ~$70 per share (~$280B market cap) (this valuation exercise is available in my previous articles on Intel). Therefore, the Mobileye spinoff is very likely to unlock hidden value for Intel's shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>即使在分拆Mobileye之后，英特尔在2022年的收入仍将约为$730亿，对其现金流产生的影响几乎为零。尽管英特尔将在这笔交易中失去其关键资产之一（事实并非如此，因为英特尔仍将通过多数股权控制Mobileye），但所得收益将帮助英特尔管理层执行其雄心勃勃的增长计划。根据保守估计，英特尔（减去Mobileye）的每股价值仍约为70美元（市值约为2800亿美元）（此估值练习可在我之前有关英特尔的文章中找到）。因此，分拆Mobileye极有可能为英特尔股东释放隐藏的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Concluding Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结束语</b></blockquote></p><p> With Intel's market cap hovering at just about $200B, raising capital through stock issuance is not viable. Although Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation remain robust, the company is entering a heavy capex-spending cycle, which makes an additional debt raise troublesome. Mobileye is one of the faster-growing business lines at Intel. However, selling a small piece of it could yield a massive sum for Intel, which could be utilized toward Pat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plan for the company. According to my analysis, Mobileye could fetch a valuation of $50B-$100B in the current market environment, and I think Intel will end up raising ~$10B-$15B from the Mobileye IPO while retaining control of the company. I like this move from Intel's management as I can see significant value unlocking from this spinoff.</p><p><blockquote>由于英特尔的市值徘徊在200B美元左右，通过股票发行筹集资金是不可行的。尽管英特尔的资产负债表和自由现金流仍然强劲，但该公司正在进入一个沉重的资本支出周期，这使得额外的债务融资变得麻烦。Mobileye是英特尔增长较快的业务线之一。然而，出售其中的一小部分可能会为英特尔带来一大笔钱，这些钱可以用于帕特·基辛格雄心勃勃的公司增长计划。根据我的分析，在当前的市场环境下，Mobileye的估值可能达到500亿至1000亿美元，我认为英特尔最终将从Mobileye IPO中筹集约100亿至150亿美元，同时保留对公司的控制权。我喜欢英特尔管理层的这一举措，因为我可以看到这次分拆带来的巨大价值。</blockquote></p><p> Intel is a deeply undervalued cash cow that pays out a healthy, growing dividend. With the Mobileye IPO set to unlock some of Intel's hidden value, I expect to see big capital appreciation in Intel over the next 12-24 months. Therefore, I continue to rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔是一棵被严重低估的摇钱树，它支付着健康且不断增长的股息。随着Mobileye IPO将释放英特尔的一些隐藏价值，我预计英特尔将在未来12-24个月内实现大幅资本增值。因此，我继续给予英特尔50美元的强力买入评级。</blockquote></p><p> Key Takeaway: I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.</p><p><blockquote>关键要点：我将英特尔评级为50美元的强力买入。</blockquote></p><p> Thanks for reading, and happy investing. Please share your thoughts, concerns, and/or questions in the comments section below.</p><p><blockquote>感谢您的阅读，祝投资愉快。请在下面的评论区分享你的想法、担忧和/或问题。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474906-intel-mobileye-ipo-masterstroke\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474906-intel-mobileye-ipo-masterstroke","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169026598","content_text":"Summary\n\nIntel is spinning off Mobileye via an IPO in mid 2022 to raise capital for its ambitious growth plans. In this note, we will discuss the logic of this transaction.\nMobileye is one of the leading players in autonomous vehicle technology, which means it should command a much higher multiple than Intel.\nAt ~9x Price-to-FCF, Intel is massively undervalued, and as such Mobileye's valuation is suppressed. The IPO is likely to act as a significant value unlocking event for Intel.\nAccording to my analysis, Mobileye could quite easily fetch a valuation of $50-100B in the current market environment. Hence, Intel could raise a significant sum by selling just a minor stake.\nEven after the IPO, Intel will continue to control Mobileye with a majority stake, and Intel's CEO, Pat Gelsinger, will be shaping Mobileye's future as the Chairman of its Board. Hence, Intel is getting the best of both worlds with this deal. I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.\nLooking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Beating the Market get exclusive access to our model portfolio.\n\nIntroduction\nDespite the astounding rally in chip stocks over the last 18-24 months, Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) valuation (~12x P/FCF) continues to remain depressed. The semiconductor supply shortage is showing no signs of abating, with Intel selling all that it could make. In 2021, Intel is set to generate record revenues and operating cash flows. Although Intel is facing margin pressures due to heightened competition, its business fundamentals remain strong. Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are robust. An inflationary environment is supposed to be supportive of cash flow machines like Intel. Hence, the weak price action in Intel is puzzling (even after considering Intel's manufacturing woes over the last few years).\nIn today's note, we will focus our discussion on Intel's upcoming spinoff Mobileye, which is likely to act as a value unlocking catalyst for this chip giant.\nLet's begin our analysis by deciphering the logic behind an IPO for Mobileye.\nUnderstanding The Motivation Behind Intel's Mobileye Spinoff\nSoon after rejoining Intel as CEO, Pat Gelsinger outlined an aggressive hybrid-sourcing and foundry plan to take the semiconductor giant back to its past glory (after some woeful execution from previous management). On paper, Pat's strategy is very simple. Intel will outsource next-gen chip manufacturing to foundries like TSMC (NYSE:TSM), which would enable them to compete against rivals like AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA). While Intel is working toward fixing its manufacturing woes and regaining the technological lead at the node level, the company also is opening up its manufacturing plants in the Western Hemisphere for other companies (i.e., entering the foundry business).\n\nThe semiconductor industry is undergoing a painful supply crisis that has had far-reaching impacts across multiple industries. With the EV revolution, the demand for automotive chips is set to explode higher. Hence, the chip shortage could last for years and years. Only a handful of companies can solve this crisis, and Intel is probably the only company that could help abate this semiconductor shortage in the Western Hemisphere.\nPat Gelsinger has put forward an aggressive growth plan for Intel, which could see the company growing at ~10-12% CAGR from 2023-2027. However, Pat's plan is highly capital intensive, and so Intel needs more capital.\n\nIntel is set to enter a heavy capex-spending cycle with plans to increase capex for 2022 to ~$25B-$28B. With Intel's stock trading close to record low valuation (by P/FCF) from the past 10 years, raising capital through fresh equity issuance would be highly dilutionary for Intel's shareholders. Intel is one of the most-hated stocks on Wall Street, and the management certainly is not interested in alienating more of its investor base. Hence, a capital raise through equity is ruled out.\nAnother way to raise capital would be through debt issuance, and Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation are strong enough to allow for more debt. However, Intel's margins are set to come under pressure due to a potential price war with the likes of AMD, and with increased CAPEX-spending, Intel's free cash flows may suffer too in the near term. Hence, Intel's management could be unwilling to raise more capital via debt (which already stands at ~$40B).\nAsset monetization was probably the only viable alternative for raising capital to fund Intel's growth plan. And if we look at Intel's business, Mobileye is probably the most under-appreciated asset buried under a steep conglomerate discount. Mobileye is a category-leading business in autonomous driving (one of the hottest spaces in the market), and it would undoubtedly command a much higher trading multiple in the current market environment than what Intel paid for it back in 2017. Hence, the Mobileye spinoff is a very sound and logical decision from Intel's management.\nPat Says Mobileye Is Comparable To Tesla! Is It Though?\nIn 2017, Intel acquired Mobileye for an eye-watering sum of ~$15.3B. Since this acquisition, Mobileye has delivered significant revenue growth, achieved numerous technical innovations, and invested capital toward solving the most critical problems in the scaled deployment of autonomous driving technology. Unlike most IPOs, Mobileye is already a highly-profitable company. Hence, Intel could get a big return on its investment by selling a minority stake in Mobileye.\nIn the last 12 months, Mobileye has generated revenues of $1.36B, with operating profits coming in at $471M (operating margin of ~35%). Also, Mobileye achieved the milestone of delivering its 100 millionth EyeQ SOC, unveiled its production robotaxi (network coming live in 2022) and won 41 new ADAS and full self-driving programs with 30 legacy automakers. In a nutshell, Mobileye has taken tremendous strides both from a technical and financial standpoint.\nSince Mobileye has always operated as an independent subsidiary within Intel, the separation won't be hard. The strategic partnership with Intel will remain in place, and higher visibility should enable Mobileye to win more partners across the globe. With its robotaxi network set to go live in 2022, Mobileye is probably going to be the first to market in L3/L4 AV technology.\nMobileye is truly at an inflection point, and its future looks as bright as ever. Some critics would say that Intel is selling its future to chase the past. However, we must acknowledge the realities around us. The hype around autonomous driving and EVs has never been higher, and Mobileye's spectacular growth story is buried under Intel's umbrella. By bringing Mobileye to the public markets as a standalone entity, Intel is likely to receive a cash boost (at a rich trading multiple), whilst it will also maintain its majority stake (control) in the company.\nAlthough Pat compared Mobileye to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) due to its AV technology (and future Robotaxi business), I think it's more comparable to Nvidia. For the purpose of this note, we shall create a guesstimate for Mobileye's valuation using trading multiples for both Tesla and Nvidia. Due to its relatively small size, I would expect Mobileye to command a higher multiple than these companies.\nLooking through the lens of relative valuation, Mobileye's IPO could be valued anywhere in the range of ~$50B to $70B. However, let us also determine Mobileye's absolute valuation using its financials.\nEstimating Mobileye's Fair Value\nTo determine Mobileye's fair value, we will employ our proprietary valuation model. Here's what it entails:\n\nIn step 1, we use a traditional DCF model with free cash flow discounted by our (shareholders) cost of capital.\n\nIn step 2, the model accounts for the effects of the change in shares outstanding (buybacks/dilutions).\n\nIn step 3, we normalize valuation for future growth prospects at the end of the ten years. Then, we arrive at a CAGR using today's share price and the projected share price at the end of 10 years. If this beats the market by enough of a margin, we invest. If not, we wait for a better entry point.\n\nIn step 4, the model accounts for dividends.\n\nAssumptions:\nMobileye is a rapidly-growing, highly-profitable business. With a massive TAM and leading ADAS & Autonomous Vehicle [AV] technology, Mobileye is set to ride an enormous secular growth trend as the shift to autonomous-driving EVs accelerates over the 2020s. Hence, a 10-year CAGR growth rate of 25% could be highly conservative. As the MoovitAV robotaxi network grows, Mobileye's margins are likely to head higher. Therefore, Mobileye's FCF margin could quite comfortably hover at more than 30% when the business matures, and growth slows down (not going to happen for another decade or two).\nAs you can see, Mobileye is worth ~$15 per share or ~$60B market cap. The assumptions utilized in this valuation exercise are conservative, which means Mobileye could be worth even more than $60B.\nIf Mobileye's 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate were to be in the 30%-50% range (instead of our estimate of 25%), Mobileye's fair value would come out to be ~$88B to ~$340B. At a $1T valuation, Tesla's implied 10-year CAGR revenue growth rate is ~50%. Since Mobileye is growing from a much smaller base, and considering the fact that it could become the industry standard for AV technology (by leveraging existing relationships with legacy automakers like Ford, BMW, and many others), I would imagine Mobileye has a better chance of delivering such hyper-growth than Tesla.\nEven after the spinoff of Mobileye, Intel would generate revenues of ~$73B in 2022 with virtually zero impact on its cash flow generation. Although Intel will lose one of its key assets in this transaction (not really, as Intel will still control Mobileye through a majority stake), the proceeds will help Intel's management execute its ambitious growth plans. Using conservative estimates, Intel (minus Mobileye) is still worth ~$70 per share (~$280B market cap) (this valuation exercise is available in my previous articles on Intel). Therefore, the Mobileye spinoff is very likely to unlock hidden value for Intel's shareholders.\nConcluding Thoughts\nWith Intel's market cap hovering at just about $200B, raising capital through stock issuance is not viable. Although Intel's balance sheet and free cash flow generation remain robust, the company is entering a heavy capex-spending cycle, which makes an additional debt raise troublesome. Mobileye is one of the faster-growing business lines at Intel. However, selling a small piece of it could yield a massive sum for Intel, which could be utilized toward Pat Gelsinger's ambitious growth plan for the company. According to my analysis, Mobileye could fetch a valuation of $50B-$100B in the current market environment, and I think Intel will end up raising ~$10B-$15B from the Mobileye IPO while retaining control of the company. I like this move from Intel's management as I can see significant value unlocking from this spinoff.\nIntel is a deeply undervalued cash cow that pays out a healthy, growing dividend. With the Mobileye IPO set to unlock some of Intel's hidden value, I expect to see big capital appreciation in Intel over the next 12-24 months. Therefore, I continue to rate Intel a strong buy at $50.\nKey Takeaway: I rate Intel a strong buy at $50.\nThanks for reading, and happy investing. Please share your thoughts, concerns, and/or questions in the comments section below.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879518534,"gmtCreate":1636736437730,"gmtModify":1636736437897,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$</a>omggahh pls dont stop going up thanks&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$</a>omggahh pls dont stop going up thanks&nbsp;","text":"$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$omggahh pls dont stop going up thanks","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea2344823fa2ed9860683aa00850ec8f","width":"1080","height":"3048"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879518534","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857250443,"gmtCreate":1635533874730,"gmtModify":1635533874871,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857250443","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867978402,"gmtCreate":1633198960352,"gmtModify":1633198960769,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"saving for later","listText":"saving for later","text":"saving for later","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867978402","repostId":"817935222","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":817935222,"gmtCreate":1630896286966,"gmtModify":1631883614001,"author":{"id":"3574982782498607","authorId":"3574982782498607","name":"WYCKOFFPRO","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6df9a333ebef85a0ceac10611fda7c0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574982782498607","idStr":"3574982782498607"},"themes":[],"title":"The two proxies to confirm the super bull run","htmlText":"Last week I mentioned that we might witness the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/818340544\" target=\"_blank\">born of a super bull</a>.A few of you pointed out some of the \"red flags\" I covered in the past few weeks that seem in a conflict of the super bull view.There are indeed a number of the red flags brewing and the most obvious is market breadth - the percentage of stocks above 200 MA is deteriorating, which is certainly a divergence with the index.Despite almost the 3 major indices hit historical high (Dow Jones, S&amp;P 500 and NASDAQ) this year, not all stocks are as strong as these indices because only a handful of the stocks, in particular the big &amp; mega cap stocks led the market into historical high. Many stocks especially the small cap (Russell 2000) stocks are laggards.What's","listText":"Last week I mentioned that we might witness the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/818340544\" target=\"_blank\">born of a super bull</a>.A few of you pointed out some of the \"red flags\" I covered in the past few weeks that seem in a conflict of the super bull view.There are indeed a number of the red flags brewing and the most obvious is market breadth - the percentage of stocks above 200 MA is deteriorating, which is certainly a divergence with the index.Despite almost the 3 major indices hit historical high (Dow Jones, S&amp;P 500 and NASDAQ) this year, not all stocks are as strong as these indices because only a handful of the stocks, in particular the big &amp; mega cap stocks led the market into historical high. Many stocks especially the small cap (Russell 2000) stocks are laggards.What's","text":"Last week I mentioned that we might witness the born of a super bull.A few of you pointed out some of the \"red flags\" I covered in the past few weeks that seem in a conflict of the super bull view.There are indeed a number of the red flags brewing and the most obvious is market breadth - the percentage of stocks above 200 MA is deteriorating, which is certainly a divergence with the index.Despite almost the 3 major indices hit historical high (Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ) this year, not all stocks are as strong as these indices because only a handful of the stocks, in particular the big & mega cap stocks led the market into historical high. Many stocks especially the small cap (Russell 2000) stocks are laggards.What's","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14898b5f5d3a91a02e63050bb78b559a","width":"688","height":"353"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817935222","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3150,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864229522,"gmtCreate":1633109984916,"gmtModify":1633109985295,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mm hmm&nbsp;","listText":"mm hmm&nbsp;","text":"mm hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864229522","repostId":"2170131614","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864229863,"gmtCreate":1633109907559,"gmtModify":1633109907943,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"for myself to read later.","listText":"for myself to read later.","text":"for myself to read later.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864229863","repostId":"2172802950","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4000,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":881369224,"gmtCreate":1631294448968,"gmtModify":1631891610071,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"meme your head ah","listText":"meme your head ah","text":"meme your head ah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881369224","repostId":"2166378110","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837843559,"gmtCreate":1629878169571,"gmtModify":1631883918888,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>slowly crawling out of the grave. hahaha","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>slowly crawling out of the grave. hahaha","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$slowly crawling out of the grave. hahaha","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f7aa272d5b7e3ba00119e68b8abd6d7","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837843559","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837843380,"gmtCreate":1629878062040,"gmtModify":1631891610076,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hmmm","listText":"hmmm","text":"hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837843380","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837849760,"gmtCreate":1629878037450,"gmtModify":1631891610076,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ooh","listText":"ooh","text":"ooh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837849760","repostId":"1103523722","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1103523722","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629726550,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103523722?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 21:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks surged in Monday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股周一早盘飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103523722","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Tesla,Nio and Li Auto shares rose more than 2%.Tesla has officially started Model Y deliveries in Europe.It was a long wait for customers and interestingly, the first deliveries were achieved through a change in strategy for Tesla.Tesla first unveiled the Model Y in March of 2020 and delivered the first units of the electric SUV in the US almost exactly a year later.Like any new introduction from Tesla, European buyers generally have to wait until Fremo","content":"<p>EV stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Tesla,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周一早盘飙升。特斯拉、蔚来和理想汽车股价上涨超过2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b189db1a61970659fe3cfa28abccaea\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"722\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla&nbsp;has officially started Model Y deliveries in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉已正式开始在欧洲交付Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> It was a long wait for customers and interestingly, the first deliveries were achieved through a change in strategy for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>对于客户来说，这是一个漫长的等待，有趣的是，第一批交付是通过特斯拉战略的改变实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla first unveiled the Model Y in March of 2020 and delivered the first units of the electric SUV in the US almost exactly a year later.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉于2020年3月首次推出Model Y，并在几乎整整一年后在美国交付了第一批电动SUV。</blockquote></p><p> Like any new introduction from Tesla, European buyers generally have to wait until Fremont factory starts producing batches of European versions of the new cars and ships them to the old continent.</p><p><blockquote>与任何来自特斯拉的新产品一样，欧洲买家通常必须等到Fremont工厂开始批量生产欧洲版本的新车并将其运往旧大陆。</blockquote></p><p> However, the automaker announced a change in strategy to introduce Model Y in Europe and China.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该汽车制造商宣布改变战略，在欧洲和中国推出Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said that it would only start deliveries in those markets after achieving new local production at Gigafactory Shanghai and Gigafactory Berlin.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，只有在上海超级工厂和柏林超级工厂实现新的本地生产后，才会在这些市场开始交付。</blockquote></p><p> This was achieved in a record time in China, and&nbsp;Tesla started Model Y deliveries in the market earlier this year.</p><p><blockquote>这在国内以创纪录的时间实现，特斯拉今年早些时候开始在市场上交付Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> It has been a different story in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>在欧洲，情况有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has run into some challenges in starting production at Gigafactory Berlin, and the timeline has shifted from July 2021 to October 2021.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在柏林超级工厂投产时遇到了一些挑战，时间表从2021年7月转移到了2021年10月。</blockquote></p><p> But instead of waiting to start deliveries of the new Model Y, Tesla has decided to export Model Y vehicles produced at Gigafactory Shanghai to European markets.</p><p><blockquote>但特斯拉并没有等待开始交付新款Model Y，而是决定将上海超级工厂生产的Model Y汽车出口到欧洲市场。</blockquote></p><p> We recently reported that&nbsp;Tesla exported over 8,000 Model Ys from China last month, with most of them expected to come to Europe.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近报道称，特斯拉上个月从中国出口了超过8000辆Model Y，其中大部分预计将销往欧洲。</blockquote></p><p> They werespotted for the first timetwo weeks ago.</p><p><blockquote>他们两周前第一次被发现。</blockquote></p><p> Now we can confirm that Tesla has officially started Model Y deliveries in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>现在我们可以确认，特斯拉已经在欧洲正式开始Model Y交付。</blockquote></p><p> Can Dogan, a senior Tesla advisor at the store and service center inDortmund, Germany, posted a picture of the first European Model Y delivery on&nbsp;LinkedIn:</p><p><blockquote>德国多特蒙德商店和服务中心的高级特斯拉顾问Can Dogan在LinkedIn上发布了第一辆欧洲Model Y交付的图片：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba472849be1800fdf041761fe34f58ba\" tg-width=\"1478\" tg-height=\"1108\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The electric vehicle has also been spotted in several other European markets, like Norway and the Netherlands, where deliveries are also expected to start soon.</p><p><blockquote>这款电动汽车也出现在挪威和荷兰等其他几个欧洲市场，预计也将很快开始交付。</blockquote></p><p> It will be interesting to see how the Model Y contributes to electric vehicle sales in Europe in the coming months – though the real volume is expected to come with local production next year.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月，Model Y如何为欧洲电动汽车销售做出贡献将会很有趣——尽管实际销量预计将于明年在当地生产。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks surged in Monday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股周一早盘飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks surged in Monday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股周一早盘飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-23 21:49</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Tesla,Nio&nbsp;and Li Auto&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;2%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周一早盘飙升。特斯拉、蔚来和理想汽车股价上涨超过2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b189db1a61970659fe3cfa28abccaea\" tg-width=\"360\" tg-height=\"722\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tesla&nbsp;has officially started Model Y deliveries in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉已正式开始在欧洲交付Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> It was a long wait for customers and interestingly, the first deliveries were achieved through a change in strategy for Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>对于客户来说，这是一个漫长的等待，有趣的是，第一批交付是通过特斯拉战略的改变实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla first unveiled the Model Y in March of 2020 and delivered the first units of the electric SUV in the US almost exactly a year later.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉于2020年3月首次推出Model Y，并在几乎整整一年后在美国交付了第一批电动SUV。</blockquote></p><p> Like any new introduction from Tesla, European buyers generally have to wait until Fremont factory starts producing batches of European versions of the new cars and ships them to the old continent.</p><p><blockquote>与任何来自特斯拉的新产品一样，欧洲买家通常必须等到Fremont工厂开始批量生产欧洲版本的新车并将其运往旧大陆。</blockquote></p><p> However, the automaker announced a change in strategy to introduce Model Y in Europe and China.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该汽车制造商宣布改变战略，在欧洲和中国推出Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said that it would only start deliveries in those markets after achieving new local production at Gigafactory Shanghai and Gigafactory Berlin.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示，只有在上海超级工厂和柏林超级工厂实现新的本地生产后，才会在这些市场开始交付。</blockquote></p><p> This was achieved in a record time in China, and&nbsp;Tesla started Model Y deliveries in the market earlier this year.</p><p><blockquote>这在国内以创纪录的时间实现，特斯拉今年早些时候开始在市场上交付Model Y。</blockquote></p><p> It has been a different story in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>在欧洲，情况有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has run into some challenges in starting production at Gigafactory Berlin, and the timeline has shifted from July 2021 to October 2021.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在柏林超级工厂投产时遇到了一些挑战，时间表从2021年7月转移到了2021年10月。</blockquote></p><p> But instead of waiting to start deliveries of the new Model Y, Tesla has decided to export Model Y vehicles produced at Gigafactory Shanghai to European markets.</p><p><blockquote>但特斯拉并没有等待开始交付新款Model Y，而是决定将上海超级工厂生产的Model Y汽车出口到欧洲市场。</blockquote></p><p> We recently reported that&nbsp;Tesla exported over 8,000 Model Ys from China last month, with most of them expected to come to Europe.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近报道称，特斯拉上个月从中国出口了超过8000辆Model Y，其中大部分预计将销往欧洲。</blockquote></p><p> They werespotted for the first timetwo weeks ago.</p><p><blockquote>他们两周前第一次被发现。</blockquote></p><p> Now we can confirm that Tesla has officially started Model Y deliveries in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>现在我们可以确认，特斯拉已经在欧洲正式开始Model Y交付。</blockquote></p><p> Can Dogan, a senior Tesla advisor at the store and service center inDortmund, Germany, posted a picture of the first European Model Y delivery on&nbsp;LinkedIn:</p><p><blockquote>德国多特蒙德商店和服务中心的高级特斯拉顾问Can Dogan在LinkedIn上发布了第一辆欧洲Model Y交付的图片：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba472849be1800fdf041761fe34f58ba\" tg-width=\"1478\" tg-height=\"1108\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The electric vehicle has also been spotted in several other European markets, like Norway and the Netherlands, where deliveries are also expected to start soon.</p><p><blockquote>这款电动汽车也出现在挪威和荷兰等其他几个欧洲市场，预计也将很快开始交付。</blockquote></p><p> It will be interesting to see how the Model Y contributes to electric vehicle sales in Europe in the coming months – though the real volume is expected to come with local production next year.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月，Model Y如何为欧洲电动汽车销售做出贡献将会很有趣——尽管实际销量预计将于明年在当地生产。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","LI":"理想汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103523722","content_text":"EV stocks surged in Monday morning trading.Tesla,Nio and Li Auto shares rose more than 2%.\n\nTesla has officially started Model Y deliveries in Europe.\nIt was a long wait for customers and interestingly, the first deliveries were achieved through a change in strategy for Tesla.\nTesla first unveiled the Model Y in March of 2020 and delivered the first units of the electric SUV in the US almost exactly a year later.\nLike any new introduction from Tesla, European buyers generally have to wait until Fremont factory starts producing batches of European versions of the new cars and ships them to the old continent.\nHowever, the automaker announced a change in strategy to introduce Model Y in Europe and China.\nTesla said that it would only start deliveries in those markets after achieving new local production at Gigafactory Shanghai and Gigafactory Berlin.\nThis was achieved in a record time in China, and Tesla started Model Y deliveries in the market earlier this year.\nIt has been a different story in Europe.\nTesla has run into some challenges in starting production at Gigafactory Berlin, and the timeline has shifted from July 2021 to October 2021.\nBut instead of waiting to start deliveries of the new Model Y, Tesla has decided to export Model Y vehicles produced at Gigafactory Shanghai to European markets.\nWe recently reported that Tesla exported over 8,000 Model Ys from China last month, with most of them expected to come to Europe.\nThey werespotted for the first timetwo weeks ago.\nNow we can confirm that Tesla has officially started Model Y deliveries in Europe.\nCan Dogan, a senior Tesla advisor at the store and service center inDortmund, Germany, posted a picture of the first European Model Y delivery on LinkedIn:\n\nThe electric vehicle has also been spotted in several other European markets, like Norway and the Netherlands, where deliveries are also expected to start soon.\nIt will be interesting to see how the Model Y contributes to electric vehicle sales in Europe in the coming months – though the real volume is expected to come with local production next year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"LI":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837840734,"gmtCreate":1629877983128,"gmtModify":1631891610087,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"we are still alive!!","listText":"we are still alive!!","text":"we are still alive!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65d9ea1bf7518a33fda82e9e5b3dee4a","width":"1080","height":"2213"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837840734","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830137661,"gmtCreate":1629026138253,"gmtModify":1631891610086,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AMD or Nvidia?","listText":"AMD or Nvidia?","text":"AMD or Nvidia?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/830137661","repostId":"1138705612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138705612","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628995730,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138705612?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-15 10:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪个是最好的芯片股？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138705612","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.This left ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.</li>  <li>AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.</li>  <li>Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&amp;D, marketing, and pricing.</li>  <li>Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8f0aee0f3d10db76a1ee18fe604b40\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Andy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>AMD最近的CPU和GPU产品与英特尔和英伟达的产品相比更具竞争力。</li><li>事实证明，AMD的EPYC服务器芯片可以与某些英特尔芯片相媲美，甚至优于某些英特尔芯片，并使AMD获得了服务器CPU市场份额。</li><li>即便如此，英特尔仍是处理器市场的领导者，在研发、营销和定价方面相对于AMD拥有长期优势。</li><li>英伟达在GPU技术上领先于AMD，并正在利用其GPU进入人工智能等邻近的终端市场。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安迪/iStock来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔（INTC）曾经是微芯片行业的巨人罗德斯岛，是摩尔定律力量的纪念碑。然而，该公司在10纳米工艺上遇到了麻烦，最近宣布其7纳米工艺将推迟到2023年。</blockquote></p><p> This left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.</p><p><blockquote>这为Advanced Micro Devices Inc.(AMD)敞开了大门，该公司充分利用了这个机会。AMD已经占据了CPU市场的很大份额，并正在进军曾经几乎难以渗透的服务器市场。</blockquote></p><p> AMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD目前已连续七个季度实现两位数的收入增长，而且该公司似乎正在获得动力：管理层目前预计全年收入增长60%，高于上一季度提供的50%的预测。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD也与英伟达公司（NVDA）竞争，后者公司的GPU技术正在窃取市场份额。NVDA还凭借其GPU成功进入了邻近市场，尤其是人工智能和汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Ins And Outs of Intel</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔的来龙去脉</b></blockquote></p><p> An understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.</p><p><blockquote>对英特尔的了解也提供了对AMD的洞察。这是由于两家公司之间的重叠，特别是在x86芯片方面。英特尔在1978年开发了x86芯片。为了满足IBM要求英特尔不是芯片的唯一供应商，INTC向AMD提供了x86指令集架构许可。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>因此，英特尔和AMD在PC和服务器市场处于双头垄断地位，因为几乎所有的计算机软件都是为x86架构编写的。结果是两者都拥有与x86生态系统相关的宽阔护城河。</blockquote></p><p> Gaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.</p><p><blockquote>特别是游戏控制台基于x86架构，因为这些平台通常提供具有多个计算核心的更强大的CPU和GPU。像PC一样，游戏机运行使用基于x86的软件的游戏。这再次扼杀了来自基于ARM的设备的潜在竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Until fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.</p><p><blockquote>直到最近，AMD在x86芯片供应商方面还远远落后于INTC。然而，AMD与台积电（NYSE：TSM）合作，使用该制造商的7纳米工艺，在工艺技术上超越了INTC。再加上AMD正在开发新的创新芯片设计，这种组合拳导致INTC失去了大量的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> At the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop&nbsp;market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5%&nbsp;market&nbsp;share in Q4 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>截至第一季度末，AMD占据x86台式机市场19.30%的份额，同比增长70个基点。第二季度，AMD占据了服务器市场8%的份额，高于2019年第四季度5%的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>尽管遭遇了这些挫折，但将英特尔视为一个垂死的企业似乎还为时过早。INTC是世界上最大的半导体公司之一。该公司在服务器市场占据主导地位，并且仍然占据全球x86 CPU市场的60%。</blockquote></p><p> The company has an enormous R&amp;D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>该公司拥有庞大的研发预算，并正在通过收购Habana Labs、Altera、Movidius和Mobileye扩展到新市场，主要是人工智能、现场可编程门阵列芯片和汽车产品。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不应该仅仅因为7优于10而被英特尔新的10纳米芯片不如7纳米的说法所左右。虽然曾经用来表示芯片设计的技术水平，但它已经被误用到了无用的地步。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，有一些问题必须承认。英特尔在智能手机市场落后于竞争对手。随着消费者转向移动设备，随着智能手机取代个人电脑，这可能会导致持续的阻力。另一方面，应该承认，INTC的服务器处理器业务随着移动设备和云计算的激增而增长。</blockquote></p><p> Intel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔还面临着来自AMD在数据中心领域日益激烈的竞争，以及客户为CPU开发自己的基于ARM的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Overview of AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD概述</b></blockquote></p><p> In years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>过去几年，INTC占据了x86市场的最大份额。这部分归功于英特尔领先的制造以及AMD与不太出色的GlobalFoundries签订的晶圆供应协议。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> However, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于三个因素，发生了翻天覆地的转变：在创新设计的推动下，AMD将有竞争力的产品推向市场，AMD转向台积电生产，英特尔面临一再的制造延迟。下面两张图表记录了公司取得的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/903df41d5400c9807ff487a75a7e5450\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331cd14b666f520a62d0746d5fadfa5b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Like Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.</p><p><blockquote>与英特尔一样，AMD的主要产品是CPU和GPU。AMD的芯片专为PC、游戏机、服务器和区块链应用而设计。与INTC一样，由于为x86架构设计的PC和服务器软件占主导地位，AMD的产品在很大程度上免受竞争。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的强劲增长很大程度上是以牺牲英特尔为代价的，因为AMD稳步蚕食了英特尔的CPU市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8fbcab5da8a24d01d2b6408bd5686\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>AMD对CPU和GPU半定制处理器应用的关注导致了它们在微软Xbox和Sony PlayStation游戏机中的使用。</blockquote></p><p> In regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.</p><p><blockquote>在PC集成GPU方面，AMD与NVIDIA大致相当，而INTC以大约68%的市场份额占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67a0fe74d986cf882623a8f39587d0d8\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:tom'sHARDWARE</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：汤姆五金</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.</p><p><blockquote>然而，NVIDIA以80%以上的市场份额主导着独立GPU领域，AMD席卷了剩下的市场份额。NVIDIA的独立GPU可以说优于AMD的（稍后会详细介绍）；因此，投资者不应该在这里寻找增长。</blockquote></p><p> Although AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.</p><p><blockquote>尽管AMD的EPYC服务器CPU产品与竞争对手相比具有竞争力，但最初该公司依靠激进的定价来推广其第一代EPYC产品。然而，EPYC系列已经获得了更广泛的认可，随着米兰处理器的推出，该公司正在获得市场份额。由于服务器CPU比该公司的其他产品提供了更好的利润率，因此向该领域的扩张应该有助于增加收入。</blockquote></p><p> Late last year,AMD entered intoa deal&nbsp;to acquire&nbsp;Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>去年年底，AMD达成协议收购现场可编程门阵列(FPGA)芯片领域的领导者Xilinx(XLNX)。FPGA可用于多种应用。由于转向竞争对手的FPGA提供商需要对工程师进行软件和设计工具方面的再培训，因此客户不愿意转向竞争对手的供应商。因此，如果Xilinx交易成功，AMD将获得一条宽阔的护城河业务。交易完成后18个月内运营效率约3亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> The Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.</p><p><blockquote>收购Xilinx应该会增强AMD的数据中心和人工智能业务。</blockquote></p><p> AMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD同意以350亿美元的全股票交易收购赛灵思。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Survey of NVIDIA</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达调查</b></blockquote></p><p> NVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.</p><p><blockquote>NVDA对图形处理单元市场的关注使该公司在独立GPU领域占据了主导地位。该公司是计算平台（尤其是游戏机）独立GPU领域的领导者。英特尔从英伟达获得知识产权许可，将GPU集成到其PC芯片组中，这一事实证明了该公司保持的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司在过去五年中能够控制的蓬勃发展的ASP，从2016年的Pascal架构开始，通过Turing发展到Ampere。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fb1d71f9df02f6c63907fe784b2fd8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:AMD Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：AMD投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的芯片也存在于许多高端PC中，NVDA在新兴的人工智能和自动驾驶汽车市场尤其具有优势。</blockquote></p><p> GPUs are being teamed with CPUs to&nbsp;enhance&nbsp;computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to&nbsp;autonomous&nbsp;vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud</p><p><blockquote>GPU正与CPU结合使用，以增强计算工作负载。这一策略旨在增强人工智能系统执行计算密集型任务的能力。与自动驾驶汽车相关的人工智能是英伟达的发展优势。该公司崭露头角的另一个领域是云领域</blockquote></p><p> AI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.</p><p><blockquote>人工智能和数据中心是NVDA最有可能的增长途径。为了加强其在这两项业务中的地位，该公司去年以400亿美元从母公司软银手中收购了ARM Holdings(ARMHF)。</blockquote></p><p> ARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.</p><p><blockquote>ARM是全球最大的芯片设计许可方。它的芯片无处不在，手机、智能电视、平板电脑都能找到。使用ARM设计制造了1600亿个芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Perhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.</p><p><blockquote>也许同样重要的是，有1300万开发人员使用ARM设备。从背景来看，NVDA有200万开发人员在开发其设备系列。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.</p><p><blockquote>对投资者来说不幸的是，据报道，中国和英国都不愿批准这笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Head-To-Head Comparisons</b></p><p><blockquote><b>头对头比较</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了与每只股票估值相关的各种指标。所有标有前瞻性的数据都是分析师对下一财年的一致预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdeabcd2ea473601fbaaaa03235de77\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Next, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我用图表来提供这三家公司的PEG比率。由于分析师的输入可能会导致PEG比率存在相当大的差异，因此当我发现比率存在较大差异时，我希望读者能够访问多个来源。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884fc2142d97afcc9e2308e50058dd45\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Note that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，Seeking Alpha提供了三到五年的PEG，嘉信理财只是将其指标列为PEG比率，而雅虎！财务计算五年比率。这可以解释所提供数字中的一些差异。</blockquote></p><p> Perusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>仔细阅读第一张图表，很明显NVDA是最被高估的。还值得注意的是，当前市盈率和远期价格/现金流估计显示AMD的估值接近行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Count me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>我是一个非常重视股票PEG比率的投资者。查看第二张图表，AMD的PEG是三家公司中最好的。我还注意到，各来源的分析师计算出AMD的PEG比率均优于行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Do not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解我的发现。虽然INTC在很多方面的估值较低，但考虑到其他因素，我对AMD的整体评价较高。换句话说，这不是最便宜的估值，而是最好的估值，因为缺乏更好的方式来表达我的观点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Analysts’ Price Targets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师的价格目标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.</p><p><blockquote>NVIDIA股价目前交易价格为202.95美元。33位分析师的平均12个月目标价为186.49美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的17名分析师的平均目标价为210.53美元，比该股当前价格高出约3.7%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股价目前交易价格为107.58美元。28位分析师的平均12个月目标价为108.56美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的11位分析师的平均目标价为117.27美元，比当前股价高出约9%。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔股价目前交易价格为54.05美元。34位分析师的平均12个月目标价为59.86美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的16位分析师的平均目标价为58.97美元，较当前股价溢价9%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道，自NVDA公布季度收益而INTC和AMD最近公布季度收益以来，已经过去了近三个月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Growth Rates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>增长率</b></blockquote></p><p> The next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>下一张图表提供了增长率数据。除非另有说明，这些指标反映了分析师的平均两年预测。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8ae1b79b3731a985fc209e626ca4886\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>虽然熟悉这三家公司的投资者预计INTC在增长方面的表现不如NVDA和AMD，但在某些情况下，英特尔预计将出现负增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices的预计增长在每个类别中都领先于NVIDIA，有时甚至大幅领先。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> I considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.</p><p><blockquote>我考虑提供一张图表，概述每家公司的盈利能力；然而，只要说每一个都是高利润就足够了，三者并置会导致平局。</blockquote></p><p> I often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.</p><p><blockquote>我经常提供分解股息指标的比较，但AMD不支付股息，而NVDA的收益率也很低。INTC目前的收益率约为2.6%。股息资金充足。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务指标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达拥有126.7亿美元现金，上季度末为59.6亿美元。如果ARM收购获得批准，该交易的结构将使400亿美元收购价格中的210亿美元将是股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD重组了债务，从而降低了利息成本。截至最近一个季度末，AMD拥有约38亿美元现金和3.13亿美元长期债务。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔拥有可靠的投资级信用评级。截至上季度末，该公司持有近248.6亿美元现金，长期债务为317亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.</p><p><blockquote>这三家公司都拥有强劲的财务状况。考虑到NVDA和AMD可能因潜在收购而增加债务的可能性，我对这三家公司的评级相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>R&amp;D Budgets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>研发预算</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the first time I have&nbsp;compared&nbsp;the R&amp;D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.</p><p><blockquote>这是我第一次比较企业的研发预算进行正面对决。然而，在半导体行业，这可能至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> Last fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&amp;D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.</p><p><blockquote>上一财年，英特尔在研发上投入了超过135亿美元，NVDA花费了近28.3亿美元，AMD的研发预算略高于19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&amp;D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.</p><p><blockquote>AMD处于明显的劣势，而且这种劣势被放大了，因为它经常在不同的领域与INTC和NVDA竞争。应该指出的是，英特尔的部分研发资金流向了其代工业务。尽管如此，它是这里明显的赢家，AMD是明显的输家。</blockquote></p><p> I should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&amp;D budgets.</p><p><blockquote>我应该补充一点，NVDA正在蚕食AMD在独立GPU市场的份额，我相信这种趋势将继续下去，部分原因是研发预算的差异。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一句话：最好的芯片股是哪只？</b></blockquote></p><p> To arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.</p><p><blockquote>要得出答案，很大程度上取决于英伟达能否完成对ARM的收购。</blockquote></p><p> Because ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.</p><p><blockquote>由于ARM处理器比x86芯片更强大、更具成本效益，NVDA可以在数据中心领域获得市场份额。由于英特尔大约三分之一的收入来自数据中心，这可能对INTC来说是一个阻力，对NVDA来说是一个积极的因素。然而，这笔交易很有可能无法完成。</blockquote></p><p> The degree of success Intel finds as its&nbsp;planned&nbsp;foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔计划的代工厂上线后取得的成功程度是另一个应该权衡的因素。</blockquote></p><p> A development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.</p><p><blockquote>一个需要权衡的发展是，就其产品质量而言，AMD现在已经在PC市场上与INTC持平。此外，AMD正在服务器市场获得市场份额，我预计这一趋势将持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD正在将独立GPU市场的份额输给NVDA。NVDA在该领域拥有技术领先地位，这种领先地位可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AMD和NVDA被视为增长机器，但人们不应忽视英特尔的物联网业务在上个季度增长了47%。Mobileye也出现了大幅增长，收入增长了124%。尽管这些业务的总收入只有13亿美元，与英特尔185亿美元的总收入相比只是一小部分，但它们仍然代表着高增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> However, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.</p><p><blockquote>但是，请注意标题指的是“芯片库存”。因此，技术优势只是难题的一部分。任何投资决策都必须考虑当前估值和预期增长率。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，由于目前的估值和增长预期，我必须将英伟达评级为持有。请注意，我的评级基于该股票的当前估值。我承认该公司堪称典范的领导力，并相信该股票的长期前景非常好。</blockquote></p><p> I also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.</p><p><blockquote>我也将INTC评级为持有。我之前将该公司评级为买入。虽然我仍然相信该公司将很好地为长期投资者服务，但我现在相信它的复苏将在很长一段时间内展开，并且会有更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> I rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.</p><p><blockquote>我将AMD评级为买入。这是基于本文概述的当前估值和增长率。我要补充的是，这些指标得到了我的看法的支持，即随着英特尔努力复苏，AMD可能会蚕食市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA&nbsp;contributor&nbsp;Keyanoush Razavidinani.</p><p><blockquote>为了更多地了解投资AMD和INTC的技术方面，我推荐SA撰稿人Keyanoush Razavidinani的一篇优秀文章。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪个是最好的芯片股？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMD, Intel, And Nvidia: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?<blockquote>AMD、英特尔和英伟达：哪个是最好的芯片股？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-15 10:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>AMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.</li>  <li>AMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.</li>  <li>Even so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&amp;D, marketing, and pricing.</li>  <li>Nvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a8f0aee0f3d10db76a1ee18fe604b40\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"864\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Andy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>AMD最近的CPU和GPU产品与英特尔和英伟达的产品相比更具竞争力。</li><li>事实证明，AMD的EPYC服务器芯片可以与某些英特尔芯片相媲美，甚至优于某些英特尔芯片，并使AMD获得了服务器CPU市场份额。</li><li>即便如此，英特尔仍是处理器市场的领导者，在研发、营销和定价方面相对于AMD拥有长期优势。</li><li>英伟达在GPU技术上领先于AMD，并正在利用其GPU进入人工智能等邻近的终端市场。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安迪/iStock来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Intel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔（INTC）曾经是微芯片行业的巨人罗德斯岛，是摩尔定律力量的纪念碑。然而，该公司在10纳米工艺上遇到了麻烦，最近宣布其7纳米工艺将推迟到2023年。</blockquote></p><p> This left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.</p><p><blockquote>这为Advanced Micro Devices Inc.(AMD)敞开了大门，该公司充分利用了这个机会。AMD已经占据了CPU市场的很大份额，并正在进军曾经几乎难以渗透的服务器市场。</blockquote></p><p> AMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD目前已连续七个季度实现两位数的收入增长，而且该公司似乎正在获得动力：管理层目前预计全年收入增长60%，高于上一季度提供的50%的预测。</blockquote></p><p> However, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.</p><p><blockquote>然而，AMD也与英伟达公司（NVDA）竞争，后者公司的GPU技术正在窃取市场份额。NVDA还凭借其GPU成功进入了邻近市场，尤其是人工智能和汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Ins And Outs of Intel</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英特尔的来龙去脉</b></blockquote></p><p> An understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.</p><p><blockquote>对英特尔的了解也提供了对AMD的洞察。这是由于两家公司之间的重叠，特别是在x86芯片方面。英特尔在1978年开发了x86芯片。为了满足IBM要求英特尔不是芯片的唯一供应商，INTC向AMD提供了x86指令集架构许可。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>因此，英特尔和AMD在PC和服务器市场处于双头垄断地位，因为几乎所有的计算机软件都是为x86架构编写的。结果是两者都拥有与x86生态系统相关的宽阔护城河。</blockquote></p><p> Gaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.</p><p><blockquote>特别是游戏控制台基于x86架构，因为这些平台通常提供具有多个计算核心的更强大的CPU和GPU。像PC一样，游戏机运行使用基于x86的软件的游戏。这再次扼杀了来自基于ARM的设备的潜在竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Until fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.</p><p><blockquote>直到最近，AMD在x86芯片供应商方面还远远落后于INTC。然而，AMD与台积电（NYSE：TSM）合作，使用该制造商的7纳米工艺，在工艺技术上超越了INTC。再加上AMD正在开发新的创新芯片设计，这种组合拳导致INTC失去了大量的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> At the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop&nbsp;market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5%&nbsp;market&nbsp;share in Q4 of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>截至第一季度末，AMD占据x86台式机市场19.30%的份额，同比增长70个基点。第二季度，AMD占据了服务器市场8%的份额，高于2019年第四季度5%的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Despite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU&nbsp;market.</p><p><blockquote>尽管遭遇了这些挫折，但将英特尔视为一个垂死的企业似乎还为时过早。INTC是世界上最大的半导体公司之一。该公司在服务器市场占据主导地位，并且仍然占据全球x86 CPU市场的60%。</blockquote></p><p> The company has an enormous R&amp;D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.</p><p><blockquote>该公司拥有庞大的研发预算，并正在通过收购Habana Labs、Altera、Movidius和Mobileye扩展到新市场，主要是人工智能、现场可编程门阵列芯片和汽车产品。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.</p><p><blockquote>投资者不应该仅仅因为7优于10而被英特尔新的10纳米芯片不如7纳米的说法所左右。虽然曾经用来表示芯片设计的技术水平，但它已经被误用到了无用的地步。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>然而，有一些问题必须承认。英特尔在智能手机市场落后于竞争对手。随着消费者转向移动设备，随着智能手机取代个人电脑，这可能会导致持续的阻力。另一方面，应该承认，INTC的服务器处理器业务随着移动设备和云计算的激增而增长。</blockquote></p><p> Intel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔还面临着来自AMD在数据中心领域日益激烈的竞争，以及客户为CPU开发自己的基于ARM的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An Overview of AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMD概述</b></blockquote></p><p> In years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.</p><p><blockquote>过去几年，INTC占据了x86市场的最大份额。这部分归功于英特尔领先的制造以及AMD与不太出色的GlobalFoundries签订的晶圆供应协议。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> However, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于三个因素，发生了翻天覆地的转变：在创新设计的推动下，AMD将有竞争力的产品推向市场，AMD转向台积电生产，英特尔面临一再的制造延迟。下面两张图表记录了公司取得的进展。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/903df41d5400c9807ff487a75a7e5450\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331cd14b666f520a62d0746d5fadfa5b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"989\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Q2 Earnings Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：第二季度收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Like Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.</p><p><blockquote>与英特尔一样，AMD的主要产品是CPU和GPU。AMD的芯片专为PC、游戏机、服务器和区块链应用而设计。与INTC一样，由于为x86架构设计的PC和服务器软件占主导地位，AMD的产品在很大程度上免受竞争。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.</p><p><blockquote>AMD的强劲增长很大程度上是以牺牲英特尔为代价的，因为AMD稳步蚕食了英特尔的CPU市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f8fbcab5da8a24d01d2b6408bd5686\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.</p><p><blockquote>AMD对CPU和GPU半定制处理器应用的关注导致了它们在微软Xbox和Sony PlayStation游戏机中的使用。</blockquote></p><p> In regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.</p><p><blockquote>在PC集成GPU方面，AMD与NVIDIA大致相当，而INTC以大约68%的市场份额占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67a0fe74d986cf882623a8f39587d0d8\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"394\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:tom'sHARDWARE</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：汤姆五金</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.</p><p><blockquote>然而，NVIDIA以80%以上的市场份额主导着独立GPU领域，AMD席卷了剩下的市场份额。NVIDIA的独立GPU可以说优于AMD的（稍后会详细介绍）；因此，投资者不应该在这里寻找增长。</blockquote></p><p> Although AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.</p><p><blockquote>尽管AMD的EPYC服务器CPU产品与竞争对手相比具有竞争力，但最初该公司依靠激进的定价来推广其第一代EPYC产品。然而，EPYC系列已经获得了更广泛的认可，随着米兰处理器的推出，该公司正在获得市场份额。由于服务器CPU比该公司的其他产品提供了更好的利润率，因此向该领域的扩张应该有助于增加收入。</blockquote></p><p> Late last year,AMD entered intoa deal&nbsp;to acquire&nbsp;Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.</p><p><blockquote>去年年底，AMD达成协议收购现场可编程门阵列(FPGA)芯片领域的领导者Xilinx(XLNX)。FPGA可用于多种应用。由于转向竞争对手的FPGA提供商需要对工程师进行软件和设计工具方面的再培训，因此客户不愿意转向竞争对手的供应商。因此，如果Xilinx交易成功，AMD将获得一条宽阔的护城河业务。交易完成后18个月内运营效率约3亿美元的管理指南。</blockquote></p><p> The Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.</p><p><blockquote>收购Xilinx应该会增强AMD的数据中心和人工智能业务。</blockquote></p><p> AMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.</p><p><blockquote>AMD同意以350亿美元的全股票交易收购赛灵思。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Survey of NVIDIA</b></p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达调查</b></blockquote></p><p> NVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.</p><p><blockquote>NVDA对图形处理单元市场的关注使该公司在独立GPU领域占据了主导地位。该公司是计算平台（尤其是游戏机）独立GPU领域的领导者。英特尔从英伟达获得知识产权许可，将GPU集成到其PC芯片组中，这一事实证明了该公司保持的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.</p><p><blockquote>下图记录了该公司在过去五年中能够控制的蓬勃发展的ASP，从2016年的Pascal架构开始，通过Turing发展到Ampere。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fb1d71f9df02f6c63907fe784b2fd8\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:AMD Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：AMD投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的芯片也存在于许多高端PC中，NVDA在新兴的人工智能和自动驾驶汽车市场尤其具有优势。</blockquote></p><p> GPUs are being teamed with CPUs to&nbsp;enhance&nbsp;computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to&nbsp;autonomous&nbsp;vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud</p><p><blockquote>GPU正与CPU结合使用，以增强计算工作负载。这一策略旨在增强人工智能系统执行计算密集型任务的能力。与自动驾驶汽车相关的人工智能是英伟达的发展优势。该公司崭露头角的另一个领域是云领域</blockquote></p><p> AI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.</p><p><blockquote>人工智能和数据中心是NVDA最有可能的增长途径。为了加强其在这两项业务中的地位，该公司去年以400亿美元从母公司软银手中收购了ARM Holdings(ARMHF)。</blockquote></p><p> ARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.</p><p><blockquote>ARM是全球最大的芯片设计许可方。它的芯片无处不在，手机、智能电视、平板电脑都能找到。使用ARM设计制造了1600亿个芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Perhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.</p><p><blockquote>也许同样重要的是，有1300万开发人员使用ARM设备。从背景来看，NVDA有200万开发人员在开发其设备系列。</blockquote></p><p> Unfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.</p><p><blockquote>对投资者来说不幸的是，据报道，中国和英国都不愿批准这笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Head-To-Head Comparisons</b></p><p><blockquote><b>头对头比较</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值指标</b></blockquote></p><p> The following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了与每只股票估值相关的各种指标。所有标有前瞻性的数据都是分析师对下一财年的一致预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdeabcd2ea473601fbaaaa03235de77\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Next, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我用图表来提供这三家公司的PEG比率。由于分析师的输入可能会导致PEG比率存在相当大的差异，因此当我发现比率存在较大差异时，我希望读者能够访问多个来源。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/884fc2142d97afcc9e2308e50058dd45\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Note that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，Seeking Alpha提供了三到五年的PEG，嘉信理财只是将其指标列为PEG比率，而雅虎！财务计算五年比率。这可以解释所提供数字中的一些差异。</blockquote></p><p> Perusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>仔细阅读第一张图表，很明显NVDA是最被高估的。还值得注意的是，当前市盈率和远期价格/现金流估计显示AMD的估值接近行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Count me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.</p><p><blockquote>我是一个非常重视股票PEG比率的投资者。查看第二张图表，AMD的PEG是三家公司中最好的。我还注意到，各来源的分析师计算出AMD的PEG比率均优于行业中位数。</blockquote></p><p> Do not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.</p><p><blockquote>不要误解我的发现。虽然INTC在很多方面的估值较低，但考虑到其他因素，我对AMD的整体评价较高。换句话说，这不是最便宜的估值，而是最好的估值，因为缺乏更好的方式来表达我的观点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Analysts’ Price Targets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师的价格目标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.</p><p><blockquote>NVIDIA股价目前交易价格为202.95美元。33位分析师的平均12个月目标价为186.49美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的17名分析师的平均目标价为210.53美元，比该股当前价格高出约3.7%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.</p><p><blockquote>AMD股价目前交易价格为107.58美元。28位分析师的平均12个月目标价为108.56美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的11位分析师的平均目标价为117.27美元，比当前股价高出约9%。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔股价目前交易价格为54.05美元。34位分析师的平均12个月目标价为59.86美元。在最新财报发布后对该股进行评级的16位分析师的平均目标价为58.97美元，较当前股价溢价9%。</blockquote></p><p> Investors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该知道，自NVDA公布季度收益而INTC和AMD最近公布季度收益以来，已经过去了近三个月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=Tie AMD/INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Growth Rates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>增长率</b></blockquote></p><p> The next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>下一张图表提供了增长率数据。除非另有说明，这些指标反映了分析师的平均两年预测。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8ae1b79b3731a985fc209e626ca4886\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha Premium/作者图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>虽然熟悉这三家公司的投资者预计INTC在增长方面的表现不如NVDA和AMD，但在某些情况下，英特尔预计将出现负增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Advanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices的预计增长在每个类别中都领先于NVIDIA，有时甚至大幅领先。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage AMD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势AMD</b></blockquote></p><p> I considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.</p><p><blockquote>我考虑提供一张图表，概述每家公司的盈利能力；然而，只要说每一个都是高利润就足够了，三者并置会导致平局。</blockquote></p><p> I often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.</p><p><blockquote>我经常提供分解股息指标的比较，但AMD不支付股息，而NVDA的收益率也很低。INTC目前的收益率约为2.6%。股息资金充足。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Debt Metrics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债务指标</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达拥有126.7亿美元现金，上季度末为59.6亿美元。如果ARM收购获得批准，该交易的结构将使400亿美元收购价格中的210亿美元将是股票。</blockquote></p><p> AMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>AMD重组了债务，从而降低了利息成本。截至最近一个季度末，AMD拥有约38亿美元现金和3.13亿美元长期债务。</blockquote></p><p> Intel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔拥有可靠的投资级信用评级。截至上季度末，该公司持有近248.6亿美元现金，长期债务为317亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> All three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.</p><p><blockquote>这三家公司都拥有强劲的财务状况。考虑到NVDA和AMD可能因潜在收购而增加债务的可能性，我对这三家公司的评级相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>R&amp;D Budgets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>研发预算</b></blockquote></p><p> This is the first time I have&nbsp;compared&nbsp;the R&amp;D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.</p><p><blockquote>这是我第一次比较企业的研发预算进行正面对决。然而，在半导体行业，这可能至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> Last fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&amp;D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.</p><p><blockquote>上一财年，英特尔在研发上投入了超过135亿美元，NVDA花费了近28.3亿美元，AMD的研发预算略高于19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> AMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&amp;D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.</p><p><blockquote>AMD处于明显的劣势，而且这种劣势被放大了，因为它经常在不同的领域与INTC和NVDA竞争。应该指出的是，英特尔的部分研发资金流向了其代工业务。尽管如此，它是这里明显的赢家，AMD是明显的输家。</blockquote></p><p> I should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&amp;D budgets.</p><p><blockquote>我应该补充一点，NVDA正在蚕食AMD在独立GPU市场的份额，我相信这种趋势将继续下去，部分原因是研发预算的差异。</blockquote></p><p> <b>=Advantage INTC</b></p><p><blockquote><b>=优势INTC</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一句话：最好的芯片股是哪只？</b></blockquote></p><p> To arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.</p><p><blockquote>要得出答案，很大程度上取决于英伟达能否完成对ARM的收购。</blockquote></p><p> Because ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.</p><p><blockquote>由于ARM处理器比x86芯片更强大、更具成本效益，NVDA可以在数据中心领域获得市场份额。由于英特尔大约三分之一的收入来自数据中心，这可能对INTC来说是一个阻力，对NVDA来说是一个积极的因素。然而，这笔交易很有可能无法完成。</blockquote></p><p> The degree of success Intel finds as its&nbsp;planned&nbsp;foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔计划的代工厂上线后取得的成功程度是另一个应该权衡的因素。</blockquote></p><p> A development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.</p><p><blockquote>一个需要权衡的发展是，就其产品质量而言，AMD现在已经在PC市场上与INTC持平。此外，AMD正在服务器市场获得市场份额，我预计这一趋势将持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，AMD正在将独立GPU市场的份额输给NVDA。NVDA在该领域拥有技术领先地位，这种领先地位可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> While AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AMD和NVDA被视为增长机器，但人们不应忽视英特尔的物联网业务在上个季度增长了47%。Mobileye也出现了大幅增长，收入增长了124%。尽管这些业务的总收入只有13亿美元，与英特尔185亿美元的总收入相比只是一小部分，但它们仍然代表着高增长领域。</blockquote></p><p> However, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.</p><p><blockquote>但是，请注意标题指的是“芯片库存”。因此，技术优势只是难题的一部分。任何投资决策都必须考虑当前估值和预期增长率。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，由于目前的估值和增长预期，我必须将英伟达评级为持有。请注意，我的评级基于该股票的当前估值。我承认该公司堪称典范的领导力，并相信该股票的长期前景非常好。</blockquote></p><p> I also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.</p><p><blockquote>我也将INTC评级为持有。我之前将该公司评级为买入。虽然我仍然相信该公司将很好地为长期投资者服务，但我现在相信它的复苏将在很长一段时间内展开，并且会有更好的机会。</blockquote></p><p> I rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.</p><p><blockquote>我将AMD评级为买入。这是基于本文概述的当前估值和增长率。我要补充的是，这些指标得到了我的看法的支持，即随着英特尔努力复苏，AMD可能会蚕食市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> For additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA&nbsp;contributor&nbsp;Keyanoush Razavidinani.</p><p><blockquote>为了更多地了解投资AMD和INTC的技术方面，我推荐SA撰稿人Keyanoush Razavidinani的一篇优秀文章。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dad74e350b9b09d45929989f896aaa9d","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","INTC":"英特尔","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4448637-amd-intel-nvidia-best-chip-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138705612","content_text":"Summary\n\nAMD's recent CPU and GPU offerings have been more competitive with Intel and NVIDIA's products.\nAMD’s EPYC server chips have proved to be comparable or even superior to certain Intel chips and have led to AMD gaining server CPU market share.\nEven so, Intel is the leader in the processor market and holds long-term advantages over AMD in R&D, marketing, and pricing.\nNvidia is ahead of AMD in GPU technology and is leveraging its GPUs into adjacent end markets such as artificial intelligence.\n\nAndy/iStock via Getty Images\nIntel (INTC) was once the microchip industry equivalent of the Colossus of Rhodes, a monument to the power of Moore’s law. However, the firm stumbled with its 10-nanometer process, and recently announced its 7-nm process will be delayed until 2023.\nThis left the door open to Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), and that firm has taken full advantage of the opportunity. AMD has taken a large share of the CPU market and is making inroads into the once nearly impenetrable server market.\nAMD now has seven consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth under its belt, and it appears the firm is gaining momentum: management now guides for 60% revenue growth for the full year, up from the 50% forecast provided in the previous quarter.\nHowever, AMD also competes with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and the latter company’s GPU technology is stealing market share. NVDA has also been successful in gaining access to adjacent markets with its GPUs, especially AI and automotive markets.\nThe Ins And Outs of Intel\nAn understanding of Intel also provides insights into AMD. This is due to the overlap between the two companies, particularly in regards to x86 chips. Intel developed the x86 chip in 1978. To satisfy demands by IBM that Intel would not be the sole supplier of the chips, INTC provided x86 instruction set architecture licensing to AMD.\nConsequently, Intel and AMD have a duopoly position in the PC and server markets, as nearly all computer software is written for x86 architecture. The result is that both have a wide moat related to the x86 ecosystem.\nGaming consoles in particular are based on x86 architecture due to those platforms generally providing more powerful CPUs and GPUs with multiple compute cores. Like PCs, consoles operate with games that use x86 based software. Once again, this stifles potential competition from ARM-based devices.\nUntil fairly recently, AMD was a distant second to INTC as a supplier of x86 chips. However, AMD teamed with Taiwan Semiconductor(NYSE:TSM)to use that manufacturer’s 7nm process to surpass INTC in process technology. Combined with AMD’s developing new innovative chip designs, this one-two punch resulted in INTC losing significant market share.\nAt the end of Q1, AMD held 19.30% of the x86 desktop market, a 70 basis point gain year-over-year. In Q2 AMD corralled 8% of the server market, up from a 5% market share in Q4 of 2019.\nDespite these setbacks, it seems premature to view Intel as a moribund business. INTC is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world. The firm dominates the server market, and still holds 60% of the global x86 CPU market.\nThe company has an enormous R&D budget, and it is expanding into new markets, primarily Artificial Intelligence, Field-Programmable Gate Array chips, and automotive offerings, through its acquisitions of Habana Labs, Altera, Movidius, and Mobileye.\nInvestors should not be swayed by the claim that Intel’s new 10nm chips are inferior to 7nm solely on the basis that 7 is superior to 10. While once used to denote the technology level of a chip design, it has been misused to the point of being useless.\nHowever, there are a number of concerns that must be acknowledged. Intel lags competitors in the smartphone market. As consumers shift to mobile devices, this could result in a sustained headwind as smartphones take the place of PCs. On the other hand, it should be acknowledged that INTC’s server processor business has seen growth associated with the surge in mobile devices and cloud computing.\nIntel also faces increased competition from AMD in the data center space, as well as customers developing their own ARM-based chips for CPUs.\nAn Overview of AMD\nIn years past, INTC held the lion’s share of the x86 market. This was due in part to Intel’s leading-edge manufacturing combined with AMD’s wafer supply agreements with less than stellar GlobalFoundries.\nHowever, a seismic shift occurred due to three factors: driven by innovative designs, AMD brought competitive products to market, AMD shifted to TSMC for production, and Intel faced repeated manufacturing delays. The two charts below document the progress the company has made.\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nSource:Q2 Earnings Presentation\nLike Intel, AMD’s primary products are CPUs and GPUs. AMD’s chips are designed for PCs, game consoles, servers, and blockchain applications. And like INTC, AMD’s offerings are largely protected from competition due to the preponderance of software for PCs and servers being designed for x86 architecture.\nAMD’s strong growth has largely come at the expense of Intel as AMD has steadily chipped away at the former company’s CPU market share.\nSource:Seeking Alpha\nAMD’s focus on CPU and GPU semi-custom processor applications has resulted in their use in Microsoft Xbox and Sony PlayStation game consoles.\nIn regards to PC integrated GPUs, AMD is roughly in parity with NVIDIA while INTC dominates with roughly 68% of the market.\nSource:tom'sHARDWARE\nHowever, NVIDIA dominates the discrete GPU space with an 80% plus market share with AMD sweeping up what is left. NVIDIA’s discrete GPUs are arguably superior to AMD’s (more on that later); therefore, investors should not look for growth here.\nAlthough AMD’s EPYC server CPU products were competitive with that of rivals, initially the company relied on aggressive pricing to promote its first generation of EPYC offerings. However, the EPYC line has gained wider acceptance, and with the Milan processors, the company is gaining market share. As server CPUs provide a better profit margin than the company’s other products, expansion into that space should aid in driving revenue.\nLate last year,AMD entered intoa deal to acquire Xilinx (XLNX), a leader in field programmable gate array (FPGA) chips. FPGAs can be used for a wide variety of applications. Because shifting to a competing FPGA provider requires retraining of engineers in software and design tools, customers are loath to make a switch to a competing vendor. Consequently, if the Xilinx deal goes through, AMD will have acquired a wide moat business. Management guides for operational efficiencies of approximately $300 million within 18 months of closing the transaction.\nThe Xilinx acquisition should bolster AMD’s data center and artificial intelligence businesses.\nAMD agreed to acquire Xilinx for $35 billion in an all-stock transaction.\nA Survey of NVIDIA\nNVDA's focus on the graphics processing units market has led the company to a dominant position in the discrete GPU space. The firm is the leader in discrete GPUs for computing platforms, especially gaming consoles. The fact that Intel licensed intellectual property from NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into its PC chipset testifies to the lead the company maintains.\nThe chart below provides a record of the burgeoning ASP the company has been able to command over the last half decade, beginning with the Pascal architecture in 2016, and progressing through Turing to Ampere.\nSource:AMD Investor Presentation\nThe firm’s chips are also found in many high-end PCs, and NVDA has particular strength in the incipient AI and self-driving vehicle markets.\nGPUs are being teamed with CPUs to enhance computation workloads. This stratagem is designed to bolster the ability of AI systems to perform computationally intensive tasks. AI related to autonomous vehicles is a developing strength for NVIDIA. Another arena in which the firm is making its mark is in cloud\nAI and data centers pose the most likely avenue of growth for NVDA. To strengthen its position in both businesses, the company moved last year to acquire ARM Holdings (ARMHF) from parent company Softbank for $40 billion.\nARM is the globe’s largest licensor of chip designs. Its chips are ubiquitous and can be found in mobile phones, smart TVs, and tablet computers. 160 billion chips have been made using ARM designs.\nPerhaps of equal importance is that 13 million developers work with ARM devices. To place that in context, NVDA has 2 million developers working on its array of devices.\nUnfortunately for investors, bothChinaand theU.K.are reportedly balking at approving the deal.\nHead-To-Head Comparisons\nValuation Metrics\nThe following chart provides a variety of metrics related to each stock's valuation. All data labeled forward is analysts’ next fiscal year consensus estimate.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ chart by author\nNext, I’m using a graph to provide PEG ratios for the three companies. As there can be fairly wide variations in PEG ratios due to analysts’ inputs, I prefer that readers have access to multiple sources when I find wide variance in the ratio.\nChart by author\nNote that Seeking Alpha provides a three to five-year PEG, Schwab simply lists its metric as a PEG ratio, while Yahoo! Finance calculates a five-year ratio. This could explain some of the variance in the numbers provided.\nPerusing the first chart, it is obvious that NVDA is the most overvalued. It is also interesting to note that in the current P/E and the forward price/cash flow estimates show AMD as valued near the sector median.\nCount me as an investor that places great emphasis on a stocks PEG Ratio. Viewing the second chart, AMD has the best PEG of the three companies. I also note that analysts from each source calculated AMD’s PEG ratio as better than the sector median.\nDo not misinterpret my findings. While INTC has a lower valuation in many respects, when considering other factors, I rate AMD higher overall. In other words, it is not the cheapest valuation but the best valuation, for lack of a better means to articulate my view.\n=Advantage AMD\nAnalysts’ Price Targets\nNVIDIA shares currently trade for $202.95. The average 12-month price target of 33 analysts is $186.49. The average price target of the 17 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $210.53, about 3.7% above the current price of the stock.\nAMD shares currently trade for $107.58. The average 12-month price target of 28 analysts is $108.56. The average price target of the 11 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $117.27, roughly 9% above the prevailing share price.\nIntel shares currently trade for $54.05. The average 12-month price target of 34 analysts is $59.86. The average price target of the 16 analysts that rated the stock following the latest earnings report is $58.97, a 9% premium over the current share price.\nInvestors should be aware that it has been nearly three months since NVDA posted quarterly earnings while INTC and AMD reported recently.\n=Tie AMD/INTC\nGrowth Rates\nThe next chart provides data for growth rates. Unless otherwise noted, the metrics reflect analysts' average two-year forecasts.\nSource:Seeking Alpha Premium/ Chart by author\nWhile investors familiar with these three companies would expect INTC to perform poorly in relation to NVDA and AMD in regarding growth, in several cases Intel is projected to experience negative growth rates.\nAdvanced Micro Devices projected growth leads that of NVIDIA in every category, and at times by very wide margins.\n=Advantage AMD\nI considered providing a chart outlining the profitability of each company; however, suffice it to say that each is highly profitable, and that a juxtaposition of the three would result in a tie.\nI often provide a comparison that breaks down dividend metrics, but AMD does not pay a dividend, and NVDA has an anemic yield. INTC currently yields about 2.6%. The dividend is well funded.\nDebt Metrics\nNVIDIA had $12.67 billion in cash and $5.96 billion at the end of the last quarter. Should the ARM acquisition meet approval, the deal is structured so that $21 billion of the $40 billion purchase price will be in stock.\nAMD has restructured its debt resulting in reduced interest costs. AMD had about $3.8 billion in cash and $313 million in long-term debt at the end of the most recent quarter.\nIntel's has solid investment-grade credit ratings. The company held nearly $24.86 billion cash at the end of the last quarter and had $31.7 billion long-term debt.\nAll three firms have strong financial positions. Weighing the possibility that NVDA and AMD may add debt due to prospective acquisitions, I am rating the three firms as equals.\nR&D Budgets\nThis is the first time I have compared the R&D budgets of companies for a head-to-head showdown. However, in the semiconductor industry, that can be of pivotal importance.\nLast fiscal year, Intel devoted over $13.5 billion to R&D, NVDA spent nearly $2.83 billion, and AMD budgeted a bit over $1.9 billion on research and development.\nAMD is at a clear disadvantage, and that weakness is magnified because it often competes against INTC and NVDA in different arenas. It should be noted that a portion of Intel’s R&D is funneled to its foundry business. Nevertheless, it is the clear winner here, and AMD is the obvious loser.\nI should add that NVDA is chipping away at AMD’s share of the discrete GPU market, and I believe that trend will continue, in part due to the disparity in R&D budgets.\n=Advantage INTC\nBottom Line: Which Is The Best Chip Stock?\nTo arrive at an answer, much depends on whether NVIDIA can complete its acquisition of ARM.\nBecause ARM processors are more power and cost-efficient than x86 chips, NVDA could gain market share in the data center space. Since around a third of Intel’s revenue flows from data centers, that could represent a headwind for INTC and a positive for NVDA. However, there is a good chance the deal will fail to close.\nThe degree of success Intel finds as its planned foundries come online is another factor that should be weighed.\nA development to be weighed is that AMD has now reached parity with INTC in the PC market in terms of the quality of its products. Furthermore, AMD is gaining market share in the server market, and I expect that trend to continue.\nOn the other hand, AMD is losing share in the discrete GPU market to NVDA. NVDA has a technological lead in that space which will probably continue.\nWhile AMD and NVDA are seen as growth machines, one should not ignore that Intel’s Internet of Things business increased by 47% in the last quarter. Mobileye also saw a surge in growth with revenue increasing 124%. Although these businesses only totaled $1.3 billion in revenue, a fraction of Intel's total revenue of $18.5 billion, they still represent areas of high growth.\nHowever, note the header refers to “chip stock.” Consequently, technological advantages are but one part of the puzzle. Any investment decision must take current valuations and prospective growth rates into account.\nWith that in mind, I must rate NVIDIA as a HOLD due to current valuation and growth estimates. Note my rating is based on the current valuation of the stock. I acknowledge the exemplary leadership of the company and believe the long-term prospect for the stock is excellent.\nI also rate INTC as a HOLD. I previously rated the company as a buy. While I still believe the firm will serve long-term investors well, I now believe its recovery will unfold over a long time span, and better opportunities are available.\nI rate AMD as a BUY. This is based on the current valuations and growth rates outlined in this article. I’ll add that those metrics are buttressed by my perception that as Intel works on its recovery, AMD is likely to chip away at market share.\nFor additional insights into the technological aspects of an investment in AMD and INTC, I recommend an excellent article by SA contributor Keyanoush Razavidinani.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894969992,"gmtCreate":1628782872516,"gmtModify":1631891610086,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>like a finally","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>like a finally","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$like a finally","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/664ff298be6a59cec4e2ef04bbeb568f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894969992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894960150,"gmtCreate":1628782842670,"gmtModify":1631891610091,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wheeee","listText":"wheeee","text":"wheeee","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c736f265c45967ccafa9f6eb4256a906","width":"1080","height":"2286"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894960150","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802899669,"gmtCreate":1627745059651,"gmtModify":1631891610095,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"this makes me wonder, is the opposite happening?","listText":"this makes me wonder, is the opposite happening?","text":"this makes me wonder, is the opposite happening?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802899669","repostId":"1127411624","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127411624","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627715622,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127411624?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127411624","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, t","content":"<p>After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.</p><p><blockquote>经过几个月的冬眠，股市空头于7月19日走出了洞穴。当天，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA下跌725点，跌幅2.1%，-0.42%。熊队打出了一个本垒打——至少一天。</blockquote></p><p> As usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.</p><p><blockquote>像往常一样，每个人都想知道市场下跌的原因，分析师们已经准备好了答案，从COVID-19的德尔塔变异毒株到消费者价格指数，再到超买的技术指标。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>事实是没人知道。人们出售有多种原因，因此将责任归咎于一个事件是荒谬的。也就是说，下降的一个重要原因是计算机生成的自动销售。一旦大型市场参与者，尤其是算法，开始抛售，就会出现疯狂的抛售。没有人想成为最后一个出局的人，因此散户和机构在恐慌中抛售，随着时间的推移，恐慌情绪变得更加强烈。</blockquote></p><p> Technical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.&nbsp; After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.</p><p><blockquote>技术指标也做出了贡献：每周相对强弱指标（RSI）在警告市场逆转方面非常准确。一旦RSI超过70并保持在那里，买家就要小心了。7月26日收盘后，标准普尔500SPX的RSI，-0.54%在周线图上站在71.36——这是一个极度超买的读数。这是不是意味着指数明天要暴跌了？没人知道。但RSI给出了美国市场处于危险区域的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bad news bears can’t catch a break</b></p><p><blockquote><b>坏消息空头无法休息</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.</p><p><blockquote>在空头说“我告诉过你”之前，第二天，即7月20日，道琼斯指数700多点的抛售被道琼斯指数550点的反弹抹去了。多头忘记了抛售，重新开始庆祝，一杯又一杯地喝着他们最喜欢的饮料“bull-ade”。风暴又一次过去了，但这一次有点恐惧爬进了公牛的心灵。之前，唯一的恐惧是害怕错过下一次反弹。现在，许多投资者意识到市场实际上可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to do now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:</p><p><blockquote>下次市场暴跌并且您正在经历各种情绪时，以下指南可能会有所帮助：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. If you’re panicked</b>: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.如果你感到恐慌</b>：不做某事；坐在那里。不买，不卖，坐稳。事实上，关掉电脑或其他设备。不要担心那天你丢了多少纸币。锻炼，散步，跑步，游泳，骑自行车。你的目标是减少情绪，这样你就能睡个好觉。当市场稳定时，重新评估你所拥有的。在这样的日子里，不要做任何重大的财务决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. If you’re afraid</b>: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.如果你害怕</b>：放轻松。抛售最终会结束。没有理由恐慌。同样，当市场恢复理智时，重新评估你所拥有的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. If you’re unaffected:</b>Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.</p><p><blockquote><b>3.如果您没有受到影响：</b>不过，请检查您的投资组合以确保您的投资组合适当多元化。虽然人们发现不要关心市场是否下跌，但要确保你为最坏的情况做好了对冲。总有一天会出现持续数月或数年的熊市。做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What specific actions should you take?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该采取什么具体行动？</b></blockquote></p><p> Now that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:</p><p><blockquote>既然你已经照顾好了自己的情绪健康，你还可以做出其他的财务决定。让我们来看看一些可能有帮助的战略和战术：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>Sell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.</li>  <li>Create a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.</li>  <li>Dollar-cost average into index funds.</li>  <li>Diversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.</li>  <li>Buy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.</li>  <li>Sell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.</li> </ol> <b>Plan for the next correction or bear market</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果您持有的股票或指数跌破200日移动平均线，则卖出。注：标准普尔500SPX,-0.54%等主要指数十年来没有跌破（并保持在低于）200日平均水平。当他们最终这样做时，这是一个明确的卖出信号。</li><li>制定一个长期投资计划，无论短期内发生什么都要遵循它。</li><li>指数基金的平均成本。</li><li>多样化。这是股市和人生成功的关键。如果您只持有股票，请考虑债券，但在采取这一步骤之前请与金融专业人士（而不是您的邻居）交谈。</li><li>逢低买入。这个策略仍然有效。如果你在7月19日逢低买入，你就会在7月20日清理干净。总有一天这种策略行不通了，但那一天还没有到来。</li><li>出售备兑看涨期权期权。这仍然是产生额外收入的绝佳方式。这种策略也非常适合处理不需要的股票并获得报酬。</li></ol><b>为下一次调整或熊市做好计划</b></blockquote></p><p> After a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了13年的牛市之后，美国股市的时间已经不多了。虽然多头这次又取得了胜利，但有一天市场不会逆转方向，将开始急剧调整，或者更糟的是，进入熊市。那时你会很高兴你有一个计划和一个在最糟糕的日子里可以遵循的投资脚本。</blockquote></p><p> Know what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.</p><p><blockquote>了解您拥有什么，将其出售到“睡眠良好”点，并多元化投资于包括现金和债券在内的各种金融产品。这样，当市场再次暴跌时，你就不会做出下意识的情绪化决定或遭受焦虑发作。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 15:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.</p><p><blockquote>经过几个月的冬眠，股市空头于7月19日走出了洞穴。当天，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA下跌725点，跌幅2.1%，-0.42%。熊队打出了一个本垒打——至少一天。</blockquote></p><p> As usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.</p><p><blockquote>像往常一样，每个人都想知道市场下跌的原因，分析师们已经准备好了答案，从COVID-19的德尔塔变异毒株到消费者价格指数，再到超买的技术指标。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>事实是没人知道。人们出售有多种原因，因此将责任归咎于一个事件是荒谬的。也就是说，下降的一个重要原因是计算机生成的自动销售。一旦大型市场参与者，尤其是算法，开始抛售，就会出现疯狂的抛售。没有人想成为最后一个出局的人，因此散户和机构在恐慌中抛售，随着时间的推移，恐慌情绪变得更加强烈。</blockquote></p><p> Technical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.&nbsp; After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.</p><p><blockquote>技术指标也做出了贡献：每周相对强弱指标（RSI）在警告市场逆转方面非常准确。一旦RSI超过70并保持在那里，买家就要小心了。7月26日收盘后，标准普尔500SPX的RSI，-0.54%在周线图上站在71.36——这是一个极度超买的读数。这是不是意味着指数明天要暴跌了？没人知道。但RSI给出了美国市场处于危险区域的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bad news bears can’t catch a break</b></p><p><blockquote><b>坏消息空头无法休息</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.</p><p><blockquote>在空头说“我告诉过你”之前，第二天，即7月20日，道琼斯指数700多点的抛售被道琼斯指数550点的反弹抹去了。多头忘记了抛售，重新开始庆祝，一杯又一杯地喝着他们最喜欢的饮料“bull-ade”。风暴又一次过去了，但这一次有点恐惧爬进了公牛的心灵。之前，唯一的恐惧是害怕错过下一次反弹。现在，许多投资者意识到市场实际上可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to do now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:</p><p><blockquote>下次市场暴跌并且您正在经历各种情绪时，以下指南可能会有所帮助：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. If you’re panicked</b>: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.如果你感到恐慌</b>：不做某事；坐在那里。不买，不卖，坐稳。事实上，关掉电脑或其他设备。不要担心那天你丢了多少纸币。锻炼，散步，跑步，游泳，骑自行车。你的目标是减少情绪，这样你就能睡个好觉。当市场稳定时，重新评估你所拥有的。在这样的日子里，不要做任何重大的财务决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. If you’re afraid</b>: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.如果你害怕</b>：放轻松。抛售最终会结束。没有理由恐慌。同样，当市场恢复理智时，重新评估你所拥有的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. If you’re unaffected:</b>Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.</p><p><blockquote><b>3.如果您没有受到影响：</b>不过，请检查您的投资组合以确保您的投资组合适当多元化。虽然人们发现不要关心市场是否下跌，但要确保你为最坏的情况做好了对冲。总有一天会出现持续数月或数年的熊市。做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What specific actions should you take?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该采取什么具体行动？</b></blockquote></p><p> Now that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:</p><p><blockquote>既然你已经照顾好了自己的情绪健康，你还可以做出其他的财务决定。让我们来看看一些可能有帮助的战略和战术：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>Sell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.</li>  <li>Create a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.</li>  <li>Dollar-cost average into index funds.</li>  <li>Diversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.</li>  <li>Buy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.</li>  <li>Sell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.</li> </ol> <b>Plan for the next correction or bear market</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果您持有的股票或指数跌破200日移动平均线，则卖出。注：标准普尔500SPX,-0.54%等主要指数十年来没有跌破（并保持在低于）200日平均水平。当他们最终这样做时，这是一个明确的卖出信号。</li><li>制定一个长期投资计划，无论短期内发生什么都要遵循它。</li><li>指数基金的平均成本。</li><li>多样化。这是股市和人生成功的关键。如果您只持有股票，请考虑债券，但在采取这一步骤之前请与金融专业人士（而不是您的邻居）交谈。</li><li>逢低买入。这个策略仍然有效。如果你在7月19日逢低买入，你就会在7月20日清理干净。总有一天这种策略行不通了，但那一天还没有到来。</li><li>出售备兑看涨期权期权。这仍然是产生额外收入的绝佳方式。这种策略也非常适合处理不需要的股票并获得报酬。</li></ol><b>为下一次调整或熊市做好计划</b></blockquote></p><p> After a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了13年的牛市之后，美国股市的时间已经不多了。虽然多头这次又取得了胜利，但有一天市场不会逆转方向，将开始急剧调整，或者更糟的是，进入熊市。那时你会很高兴你有一个计划和一个在最糟糕的日子里可以遵循的投资脚本。</blockquote></p><p> Know what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.</p><p><blockquote>了解您拥有什么，将其出售到“睡眠良好”点，并多元化投资于包括现金和债券在内的各种金融产品。这样，当市场再次暴跌时，你就不会做出下意识的情绪化决定或遭受焦虑发作。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-your-to-do-list-before-the-stock-markets-next-dive-11627360870?mod=article_inline\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-your-to-do-list-before-the-stock-markets-next-dive-11627360870?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127411624","content_text":"After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.\nAs usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.\nThe truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.\nTechnical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.  After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.\nThe bad news bears can’t catch a break\nBefore the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.\nWhat to do now\nThe next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:\n1. If you’re panicked: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.\n2. If you’re afraid: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.\n3. If you’re unaffected:Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.\nWhat specific actions should you take?\nNow that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:\n\nSell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard & Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.\nCreate a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.\nDollar-cost average into index funds.\nDiversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.\nBuy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.\nSell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.\n\nPlan for the next correction or bear market\nAfter a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.\nKnow what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802168025,"gmtCreate":1627735283667,"gmtModify":1631891610097,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I need my stocks to breakeven so I can de-risk leh","listText":"I need my stocks to breakeven so I can de-risk leh","text":"I need my stocks to breakeven so I can de-risk leh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802168025","repostId":"2155015426","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802163423,"gmtCreate":1627735143162,"gmtModify":1631887074379,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"isn't this similar to what ARK is doing","listText":"isn't this similar to what ARK is doing","text":"isn't this similar to what ARK is doing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802163423","repostId":"1147779023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147779023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627716124,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147779023?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了，她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147779023","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fu","content":"<p>  <b>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.</b>  Investing is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国世纪聚焦动态增长基金的Prabha Ram关于优异表现的五个关键经验教训。</b>投资是一场艰苦的游戏。这就是为什么如此多的共同基金落后于其指数。</blockquote></p><p> So when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.</p><p><blockquote>因此，当你找到一只记录良好的基金时，调查基金经理在做什么是值得的——吸取一些教训。</blockquote></p><p> The American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth&nbsp;Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>专注于美国世纪的动态增长基金符合这一要求。据晨星公司称，这只价值28亿美元的基金在过去三年和五年的年化收益比罗素1000增长指数高出6个百分点以上。五年来，它的年化表现比高增长类别高出8.6个百分点。它有一个合理的0.65%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p> The fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.</p><p><blockquote>该基金由Prabha Ram共同管理，我最近采访了他。拉姆在印度长大，来到美国，在缅因大学担任助教，并在那里获得了计算机科学硕士学位。她后来在宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院获得了MBA学位。Ram和其他三名投资组合经理自2016年以来一直领导该基金。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是五个关键要点，并附有具体股票的示例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.拥有能在大市场“落地扩张”的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Even though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们已经进入数字时代多年，但许多小公司仍然在纸上做大部分业务。Bill.comBill想要改变这一点。该公司由首席执行官RenéLacerte创立，他在20世纪90年代末创办了在线薪资公司PayCycle，该公司被Intuit收购。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com帮助小公司实现应付账款和应收账款的数字化。但这仅仅是个开始。一旦进入公司内部，Bill.com就会将现金和费用账户管理等其他领域数字化。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com“登陆并扩展”客户，但它也利用他们的商业伙伴来创建潜在客户网络。</blockquote></p><p> “Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“每个供应商都是网络成员，即使它不是Bill.com客户，”Ram说。这个网络大约有250万成员。Bill.com还从其合作伙伴那里获得了潜在客户，包括美国银行BAC、摩根大通JP和美国运通XP。第一季度销售额增长45%。</blockquote></p><p> Founder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的创始人经营的公司值得考虑，因为它们往往表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seek out innovators</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.寻找创新者</b></blockquote></p><p> Ram’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.</p><p><blockquote>拉姆的投资组合中包含明显的创新者，包括特斯拉TSLA、亚马逊AMZN和AlphabetGOOGL，这是她的前三名。让我们超越技术，看看啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.</p><p><blockquote>早在20世纪80年代，波士顿啤酒创始人吉姆·科赫(Jim Koch)从塞缪尔·亚当斯(Samuel Adams)开始推出成功的“精酿”啤酒，开始从啤酒巨头安海斯-布希(Anheuser-Busch InbevBUD)和喜力海尼(Heinekenheiny)手中夺取份额。科赫帮助发明了精酿啤酒类别，基本上将美国带回了禁酒令前的时代，当时美国有数百家地区啤酒厂为当地口味生产更美味的啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒股票表现非常好，但随后在2015年至2017年期间因啤酒销量整体持平而陷入停滞。作为回应，波士顿啤酒帮助推出了一个新的类别——其真正的硬苏打水品牌于2106年推出。它仍然是领先的硬苏打水之一。</blockquote></p><p> “We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们被这家公司吸引是因为它的创新历史，”拉姆说，她指的是她的基金从2016年第二季度开始的早期头寸。“由于啤酒市场趋于平缓，该股表现不佳，但他们推出了真正的硬苏打水。真正的苏打水比我们预期的更成功。它创造了一个新的类别。”</blockquote></p><p> This penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒对创新的热情帮助拉姆的基金得以保留。其他成功的波士顿啤酒品牌包括扭曲茶、愤怒果园和狗鱼头。</blockquote></p><p> A key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.</p><p><blockquote>这里的一个关键要点是，要寻找创新公司，要寻找那些由过去表现出创新能力的人领导的公司。创新型管理者倾向于不断创新。波士顿啤酒不断测试新的苏打水、啤酒、烈性苹果酒、蒸馏酒和其他饮料。股东们押注他们会再次成功。</blockquote></p><p> They’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>他们需要帮助。由于众多竞争对手进入烈性苹果酒领域，波士顿啤酒股价7月23日下跌20%。由于该公司提高了广告成本以对抗竞争，销售额增长了33%，但净利润下降了1.6%。由于预计销售增长放缓，该公司大幅下调了今年的预期。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t count out this innovator yet.</p><p><blockquote>但还不要排除这位创新者。</blockquote></p><p> “We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with&nbsp;Beam Suntory&nbsp;that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory&nbsp;sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒的科赫表示：“我们最近宣布计划与Beam Suntory合作开发新的创新饮料，计划于2022年初推出。”Beam Suntory销售Jim Beam威士忌和其他品牌的烈酒。“我们相信，随着饮酒者偏好的变化，这些新饮料将进一步展示我们创新和发展业务的能力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.寻找能够创造并主导利基市场的公司</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，随着零工经济的出现，大型信用卡公司并不真正关心当地的瑜伽教练是否可以接受信用卡付款。SquareSQ认为这是一个机会。于是在2009年推出了卡支付设备业务。从那时起，它通过接纳更大的客户并扩展到现金管理、借记卡贷款和报税等金融服务的新业务领域而实现了增长。第一季度基于交易的收入增长了27%，订阅和服务收入飙升了88%。</blockquote></p><p> This is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家公司创造商业利基的一个很好的例子。但它也是一家“土地和扩张”的公司，因为它通过向客户提供新服务来发展。这两种品质都有助于公司保持拉姆喜欢在投资中看到的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.买入快速成长初期的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.</p><p><blockquote>找到这些的一种方法是识别开发将改变整个行业的产品的公司。Ram认为Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY的情况就是如此。它正在开发基于RNA干扰（RNAi）技术的新疗法。在体内，信使RNA（mRNA）根据来自RNA的信号编码我们需要的蛋白质。有时mRNA会交叉信号，编码有缺陷的蛋白质。这会导致疾病。</blockquote></p><p> Alnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.</p><p><blockquote>Alnylam开发了一种调整RNAi途径的方法，以沉默有缺陷的信号并阻止致病蛋白质的产生。到目前为止，Alnylam已经有四种获得批准的基于RNAi的药物，用于治疗罕见的遗传性疾病。该公司还有十几种其他疗法处于临床研究中，其中六种处于后期开发阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个全新的治疗领域，”拉姆说。“它是一个可以治疗多种疾病的产品平台。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Hold stocks for the long term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.长期持有股票</b></blockquote></p><p> All of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.</p><p><blockquote>上述所有名字都是拉姆基金中的大量头寸，这告诉我拉姆和她的团队认为他们有更大的上涨空间。不过，如果您购买其中任何一款，请记住您必须在多年的时间范围内购买。拉姆的基金就是这么做的。它的年投资组合周转率较低，为27%。有长远的眼光很重要，因为看涨期权股市或股票的短期走势非常困难，你需要给公司发展的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了，她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYou can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了，她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 15:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.</b>  Investing is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国世纪聚焦动态增长基金的Prabha Ram关于优异表现的五个关键经验教训。</b>投资是一场艰苦的游戏。这就是为什么如此多的共同基金落后于其指数。</blockquote></p><p> So when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.</p><p><blockquote>因此，当你找到一只记录良好的基金时，调查基金经理在做什么是值得的——吸取一些教训。</blockquote></p><p> The American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth&nbsp;Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>专注于美国世纪的动态增长基金符合这一要求。据晨星公司称，这只价值28亿美元的基金在过去三年和五年的年化收益比罗素1000增长指数高出6个百分点以上。五年来，它的年化表现比高增长类别高出8.6个百分点。它有一个合理的0.65%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p> The fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.</p><p><blockquote>该基金由Prabha Ram共同管理，我最近采访了他。拉姆在印度长大，来到美国，在缅因大学担任助教，并在那里获得了计算机科学硕士学位。她后来在宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院获得了MBA学位。Ram和其他三名投资组合经理自2016年以来一直领导该基金。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是五个关键要点，并附有具体股票的示例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.拥有能在大市场“落地扩张”的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Even though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们已经进入数字时代多年，但许多小公司仍然在纸上做大部分业务。Bill.comBill想要改变这一点。该公司由首席执行官RenéLacerte创立，他在20世纪90年代末创办了在线薪资公司PayCycle，该公司被Intuit收购。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com帮助小公司实现应付账款和应收账款的数字化。但这仅仅是个开始。一旦进入公司内部，Bill.com就会将现金和费用账户管理等其他领域数字化。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com“登陆并扩展”客户，但它也利用他们的商业伙伴来创建潜在客户网络。</blockquote></p><p> “Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“每个供应商都是网络成员，即使它不是Bill.com客户，”Ram说。这个网络大约有250万成员。Bill.com还从其合作伙伴那里获得了潜在客户，包括美国银行BAC、摩根大通JP和美国运通XP。第一季度销售额增长45%。</blockquote></p><p> Founder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的创始人经营的公司值得考虑，因为它们往往表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seek out innovators</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.寻找创新者</b></blockquote></p><p> Ram’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.</p><p><blockquote>拉姆的投资组合中包含明显的创新者，包括特斯拉TSLA、亚马逊AMZN和AlphabetGOOGL，这是她的前三名。让我们超越技术，看看啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.</p><p><blockquote>早在20世纪80年代，波士顿啤酒创始人吉姆·科赫(Jim Koch)从塞缪尔·亚当斯(Samuel Adams)开始推出成功的“精酿”啤酒，开始从啤酒巨头安海斯-布希(Anheuser-Busch InbevBUD)和喜力海尼(Heinekenheiny)手中夺取份额。科赫帮助发明了精酿啤酒类别，基本上将美国带回了禁酒令前的时代，当时美国有数百家地区啤酒厂为当地口味生产更美味的啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒股票表现非常好，但随后在2015年至2017年期间因啤酒销量整体持平而陷入停滞。作为回应，波士顿啤酒帮助推出了一个新的类别——其真正的硬苏打水品牌于2106年推出。它仍然是领先的硬苏打水之一。</blockquote></p><p> “We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们被这家公司吸引是因为它的创新历史，”拉姆说，她指的是她的基金从2016年第二季度开始的早期头寸。“由于啤酒市场趋于平缓，该股表现不佳，但他们推出了真正的硬苏打水。真正的苏打水比我们预期的更成功。它创造了一个新的类别。”</blockquote></p><p> This penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒对创新的热情帮助拉姆的基金得以保留。其他成功的波士顿啤酒品牌包括扭曲茶、愤怒果园和狗鱼头。</blockquote></p><p> A key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.</p><p><blockquote>这里的一个关键要点是，要寻找创新公司，要寻找那些由过去表现出创新能力的人领导的公司。创新型管理者倾向于不断创新。波士顿啤酒不断测试新的苏打水、啤酒、烈性苹果酒、蒸馏酒和其他饮料。股东们押注他们会再次成功。</blockquote></p><p> They’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>他们需要帮助。由于众多竞争对手进入烈性苹果酒领域，波士顿啤酒股价7月23日下跌20%。由于该公司提高了广告成本以对抗竞争，销售额增长了33%，但净利润下降了1.6%。由于预计销售增长放缓，该公司大幅下调了今年的预期。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t count out this innovator yet.</p><p><blockquote>但还不要排除这位创新者。</blockquote></p><p> “We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with&nbsp;Beam Suntory&nbsp;that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory&nbsp;sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒的科赫表示：“我们最近宣布计划与Beam Suntory合作开发新的创新饮料，计划于2022年初推出。”Beam Suntory销售Jim Beam威士忌和其他品牌的烈酒。“我们相信，随着饮酒者偏好的变化，这些新饮料将进一步展示我们创新和发展业务的能力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.寻找能够创造并主导利基市场的公司</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，随着零工经济的出现，大型信用卡公司并不真正关心当地的瑜伽教练是否可以接受信用卡付款。SquareSQ认为这是一个机会。于是在2009年推出了卡支付设备业务。从那时起，它通过接纳更大的客户并扩展到现金管理、借记卡贷款和报税等金融服务的新业务领域而实现了增长。第一季度基于交易的收入增长了27%，订阅和服务收入飙升了88%。</blockquote></p><p> This is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家公司创造商业利基的一个很好的例子。但它也是一家“土地和扩张”的公司，因为它通过向客户提供新服务来发展。这两种品质都有助于公司保持拉姆喜欢在投资中看到的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.买入快速成长初期的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.</p><p><blockquote>找到这些的一种方法是识别开发将改变整个行业的产品的公司。Ram认为Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY的情况就是如此。它正在开发基于RNA干扰（RNAi）技术的新疗法。在体内，信使RNA（mRNA）根据来自RNA的信号编码我们需要的蛋白质。有时mRNA会交叉信号，编码有缺陷的蛋白质。这会导致疾病。</blockquote></p><p> Alnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.</p><p><blockquote>Alnylam开发了一种调整RNAi途径的方法，以沉默有缺陷的信号并阻止致病蛋白质的产生。到目前为止，Alnylam已经有四种获得批准的基于RNAi的药物，用于治疗罕见的遗传性疾病。该公司还有十几种其他疗法处于临床研究中，其中六种处于后期开发阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个全新的治疗领域，”拉姆说。“它是一个可以治疗多种疾病的产品平台。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Hold stocks for the long term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.长期持有股票</b></blockquote></p><p> All of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.</p><p><blockquote>上述所有名字都是拉姆基金中的大量头寸，这告诉我拉姆和她的团队认为他们有更大的上涨空间。不过，如果您购买其中任何一款，请记住您必须在多年的时间范围内购买。拉姆的基金就是这么做的。它的年投资组合周转率较低，为27%。有长远的眼光很重要，因为看涨期权股市或股票的短期走势非常困难，你需要给公司发展的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147779023","content_text":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.\n\nInvesting is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.\nSo when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.\nThe American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.\nThe fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.\nHere are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.\n1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets\nEven though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.\nBill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.\nBill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.\n“Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.\nFounder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.\n2. Seek out innovators\nRam’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.\nBack in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.\nBoston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.\n“We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”\nThis penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.\nA key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.\nThey’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.\nBut don’t count out this innovator yet.\n“We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with Beam Suntory that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”\n3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche\nFor years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.\nThis is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.\n4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth\nOne way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.\nAlnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.\n“This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”\n5. Hold stocks for the long term\nAll of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":383515143,"gmtCreate":1612884117282,"gmtModify":1703766378485,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good lessons to learn","listText":"good lessons to learn","text":"good lessons to learn","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383515143","repostId":"1149038980","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149038980","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612864337,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149038980?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-09 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These 12 lessons from the GameStop and AMC frenzy can help you make money trading stocks (or at least lose less)<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC狂潮的这12个教训可以帮助您通过股票交易赚钱（或至少损失更少）</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149038980","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"I can hear the cries from investors who racked up huge profits in GameStop or AMC Entertainment Hold","content":"<p>I can hear the cries from investors who racked up huge profits in GameStop&nbsp;or AMC Entertainment Holdings&nbsp;for a few hours or days, only to watch their gains evaporate.</p><p><blockquote>我可以听到投资者的呼声，他们在游戏驿站或AMC院线控股公司中获得了几个小时或几天的巨额利润，却眼睁睁地看着他们的收益蒸发。</blockquote></p><p> This coordinated bull raid was initiated by thousands of retail investors on Reddit, a popular website forum. We heard stories of fortunes made and lost. The ones we didn’t hear were from the folks in-between — small retail traders and investors who suffered thousands of dollars (or more) in losses.</p><p><blockquote>这场协同的牛市突袭是由热门网站论坛Reddit上的数千名散户投资者发起的。我们听到了财富创造和失去的故事。我们没有听到的是介于两者之间的人——遭受数千美元（或更多）损失的小型散户交易者和投资者。</blockquote></p><p> For those still holding GME or AMC, or for those eager to pounce on the next volatile meme stock, I offer the following advice based on personal experience and observations. These are the lessons you must know before you ever get involved in the stock or options market (or if you are holding a winning stock or option):</p><p><blockquote>对于那些仍然持有GME或AMC的人，或者那些渴望抓住下一个波动的模因股票的人，我根据个人经验和观察提供以下建议。以下是您在参与股票或期权市场（或者如果您持有获胜的股票或期权）之前必须了解的经验教训：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Don’t sell stocks or options on products you don’t own:</b>The traders who lost the most money in GameStop and AMC were those who sold “naked” calls and puts (i.e. they sold options on stocks they didn’t own), or those who sold shares short (again, they sold shares on a stock they didn’t own). When using this extremely risky strategy, you can make a fortune if you’re right. If you’re wrong, the losses can be incalculable. In reality, some unwary traders lost tens of thousands of dollars last week on positions that cost a few thousand dollars. Once again, don’t sell anything naked unless you’re a professional, and in this case even the pros lost big on that risky bet.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要出售你不拥有的产品的股票或期权：</b>在游戏驿站和AMC损失最大的交易者是那些出售“裸”评级和看跌期权（即他们出售他们不拥有的股票的期权）的交易者，或者那些卖空股票的交易者（同样，他们出售他们不拥有的股票的股票）。当使用这种风险极高的策略时，如果你是对的，你可以发财。如果你错了，损失是无法估量的。事实上，一些粗心的交易者上周在几千美元的头寸上损失了数万美元。再说一次，除非你是专业人士，否则不要裸卖任何东西，在这种情况下，即使是专业人士也会在这个冒险的赌注上损失惨重。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Sell at the “zero point.”</b>&nbsp; Here’s a rule I created: If you have huge gains that disappear and you are at the zero point (i.e. break-even), sell before you have real losses. It’s better to walk away at zero than with losses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.在“零点”卖出。</b>我制定了一条规则：如果你的巨额收益消失了，而你处于零点（即盈亏平衡），在你真正亏损之前卖出。零分离开总比亏损好。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Don’t be a stubborn seller:</b>Why is it so hard for most traders to walk away at the zero point? Stubbornness. Many traders made huge gains last week only to watch those profits disappear. They refused to sell because they hoped to make their money back. If holding options, that’s not going to happen. (If you bought at or near the high, your money is gone. If you hold a stock, plan to wait months or even years to recover. Stubborn stockholders often end up as “stuckholders.”</p><p><blockquote><b>3.不要做固执的卖家：</b>为什么大多数交易者很难在零点离开？固执。许多交易者上周获得了巨大的收益，却眼睁睁地看着这些利润消失。他们拒绝出售，因为他们希望把钱赚回来。如果持有期权，这种情况就不会发生。（如果你在高点或附近买入，你的钱就没了。如果你持有一只股票，计划等待几个月甚至几年才能恢复。顽固的股东往往最终成为“持卡人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Take the money and run:</b>When you are holding a stock or option position that brings outsized profits, either sell half of your holding or all of it — but get out. I call this “selling at extremes.” Sell something when the profits are beyond your wildest expectations. We all know the story of the gambler who wins big at the casino, but doesn’t leave the table until all his money is gone. Know when to walk away from the computer. Profits are fleeting, especially when volatility skyrockets.</p><p><blockquote><b>4.拿了钱就跑：</b>当你持有一个能带来巨额利润的股票或期权头寸时，要么卖出一半，要么全部——但要退出。我看涨期权这个“极端销售”。当利润超出你最疯狂的预期时，卖掉一些东西。我们都知道一个赌徒的故事，他在赌场赢了大钱，但直到他所有的钱都花光了才离开牌桌。知道什么时候离开电脑。利润转瞬即逝，尤其是当波动性飙升时。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.Trade small when making longshot trades (i.e. gambling):</b>GameStop and AMC were both big gambles, and for a time the trade worked if you were long. But if you bet wrong? I spoke to a few of these traders. One lost $8,000 on a single option contract. If he had traded his normal size (30 contracts), he told me, his losses would have been more than $240,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>5.进行长期交易（即赌博）时进行小额交易：</b>游戏驿站和AMC都是豪赌，有一段时间，如果你做多，交易就会奏效。但如果你赌错了呢？我和其中一些交易员谈过。一个人在一份期权合约上损失了8,000美元。他告诉我，如果他交易的是正常规模（30份合约），他的损失将超过24万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Don’t expect this trading frenzy to keep happening:</b>It’s possible that a group of traders on the Reddit forum will band together for more bear- or bull raids. Except Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chair Jerome Powell are most likely creating new rules to prevent this from repeating. The Fed hates volatility and will do everything in its power to keep the markets calm. So once again, when you make big money on a trade, take the money as fast as you can — because you may not get the chance again.</p><p><blockquote><b>6.不要指望这种交易狂潮会一直发生：</b>Reddit论坛上的一群交易者可能会联合起来进行更多的熊市或牛市袭击。除了财政部长珍妮特·耶伦和美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔很可能会制定新规则来防止这种情况再次发生。美联储讨厌波动，并将尽一切努力保持市场平静。所以，再一次，当你在一笔交易中赚了大钱时，尽快拿钱——因为你可能不会再有机会了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7. Stop bragging about how much money you made</b>: Many traders who won big immediately bragged on social media (and to their jealous friends) about how much money they made on this trade. Yet the euphoric feeling they had was temporary. It usually goes away after all the money is gone. The smart (and polite) traders took their gains and kept the win to themselves</p><p><blockquote><b>7.不要吹嘘你赚了多少钱</b>：许多赢得大奖的交易者立即在社交媒体上（以及向嫉妒的朋友）吹嘘他们在这笔交易中赚了多少钱。然而，他们的兴奋感是暂时的。一般钱都没了就没了。聪明（和礼貌）的交易者拿走了他们的收益，并把胜利留给了自己</blockquote></p><p> <b>8. Use a time stop:</b>Time stops are not well-known or popular, but with fast-moving stocks (or when trading options), they are invaluable. In an extremely fast market, the traditional stop-limit order won’t get filled, as many of those meme-stock traders found out the hard way. Instead, after making a huge profit, set a day or time to sell. For example, you may sell the position by Friday no matter what (although selling at extremes is better — see Rule #4).</p><p><blockquote><b>8.使用时间停止：</b>时间止损并不广为人知或流行，但对于快速波动的股票（或交易期权时），它们是无价的。在速度极快的市场中，传统的限价止损单不会被执行，正如许多模因股票交易者艰难地发现的那样。而是在获得巨额利润后，设定一个卖出的日期或时间。例如，无论如何，你都可以在周五之前卖出头寸（尽管在极端情况下卖出更好——见规则4）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9. Sell half or all of the position:</b>It’s never an easy decision to know when to sell. If you sell too early, it’s annoying to watch the stock go higher. Sell too late and you lose money. Selling half of your holding is a reasonable alternative, but you must be prepared to sell the other half if the position goes against you.</p><p><blockquote><b>9.卖出一半或全部仓位：</b>知道何时出售从来都不是一个容易的决定。如果你卖得太早，看着股票走高会很烦人。卖得太晚，你就会赔钱。出售一半持股是一个合理的选择，但如果头寸对您不利，您必须准备好出售另一半。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>10. Don’t seek revenge when you lose money on a stock:</b>It’s common for traders to seek revenge on a stock they lost money on. Do not fall for this emotional trap. If you lost money on a stock, let it go and move on.</p><p><blockquote><b>10.当你在股票上亏损时不要寻求报复：</b>交易者对亏损的股票进行报复是很常见的。不要落入这个情感陷阱。如果你在一只股票上亏了钱，就让它过去，继续前进。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11. Trade small after you made or lost big:</b>If you’re feeling emotional about a stock, including feelings of anger or revenge, trade small. Many people who hit it big in the market can’t help but make bigger and bigger bets. Just like the gamblers at a casino, they keep trading until all their money is gone.</p><p><blockquote><b>11.在你赚了大钱或亏了大钱之后进行小额交易：</b>如果您对一只股票感到情绪化，包括愤怒或报复的感觉，请少量交易。很多在市场上大获全胜的人，都忍不住下了越来越大的赌注。就像赌场里的赌徒一样，他们不断交易，直到所有的钱都花光。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t think it can happen to you? One of the greatest speculators in the world, Jesse Livermore, made $100 million dollars in a single week in 1929. He then lost all of his money within five years. He should have moved most of his profits out of the market after his big win and traded small for the next year. Instead, he got reckless and lost it all.</p><p><blockquote>你觉得这不会发生在你身上吗？1929年，世界上最伟大的投机者之一杰西·利弗莫尔在一周内赚了1亿美元。然后他在五年内失去了所有的钱。他应该在大获全胜后将大部分利润撤出市场，并在第二年进行小额交易。相反，他变得鲁莽，失去了一切。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12. Don’t take on too much risk:</b>Never invest or trade with so much money that if you lost, you’d lose your house or 401(k). Brokers told me about clients who cleared out their retirement funds or took cash advances on their credit cards so they could buy GameStop and AMC. Some won, some lost, but many took on way too much risk.</p><p><blockquote><b>12.不要承担太多风险：</b>永远不要用太多的钱投资或交易，如果你输了，你就会失去你的房子或401(k)。经纪人告诉我，一些客户清空了退休基金或从信用卡上预支现金，以便购买游戏驿站和AMC。有些人赢了，有些人输了，但许多人冒了太多的风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The meme-stock pyramid scheme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>模因股票金字塔计划</b></blockquote></p><p> Those who traded GameStop, AMC and other meme stocks thought they were trading, but they were actually participating in a gigantic pyramid scheme. Those who got in early and got out early probably did well. Those who entered late or held too long lost money.</p><p><blockquote>那些交易游戏驿站、AMC和其他模因股票的人以为他们在交易，但他们实际上是在参与一个巨大的金字塔计划。那些早进早出的人可能做得很好。那些进入较晚或持有时间过长的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> My advice: Review these 12 rules periodically. They are based on the experiences and the bad luck of thousands of other traders, including myself, who thought we were smarter than the market. In truth the market was smarter than us — because it always is.</p><p><blockquote>我的建议是：定期回顾这12条规则。它们是基于成千上万其他交易者的经验和坏运气，包括我自己，他们认为我们比市场更聪明。事实上，市场比我们聪明——因为它总是如此。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These 12 lessons from the GameStop and AMC frenzy can help you make money trading stocks (or at least lose less)<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC狂潮的这12个教训可以帮助您通过股票交易赚钱（或至少损失更少）</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese 12 lessons from the GameStop and AMC frenzy can help you make money trading stocks (or at least lose less)<blockquote>游戏驿站和AMC狂潮的这12个教训可以帮助您通过股票交易赚钱（或至少损失更少）</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-09 17:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>I can hear the cries from investors who racked up huge profits in GameStop&nbsp;or AMC Entertainment Holdings&nbsp;for a few hours or days, only to watch their gains evaporate.</p><p><blockquote>我可以听到投资者的呼声，他们在游戏驿站或AMC院线控股公司中获得了几个小时或几天的巨额利润，却眼睁睁地看着他们的收益蒸发。</blockquote></p><p> This coordinated bull raid was initiated by thousands of retail investors on Reddit, a popular website forum. We heard stories of fortunes made and lost. The ones we didn’t hear were from the folks in-between — small retail traders and investors who suffered thousands of dollars (or more) in losses.</p><p><blockquote>这场协同的牛市突袭是由热门网站论坛Reddit上的数千名散户投资者发起的。我们听到了财富创造和失去的故事。我们没有听到的是介于两者之间的人——遭受数千美元（或更多）损失的小型散户交易者和投资者。</blockquote></p><p> For those still holding GME or AMC, or for those eager to pounce on the next volatile meme stock, I offer the following advice based on personal experience and observations. These are the lessons you must know before you ever get involved in the stock or options market (or if you are holding a winning stock or option):</p><p><blockquote>对于那些仍然持有GME或AMC的人，或者那些渴望抓住下一个波动的模因股票的人，我根据个人经验和观察提供以下建议。以下是您在参与股票或期权市场（或者如果您持有获胜的股票或期权）之前必须了解的经验教训：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Don’t sell stocks or options on products you don’t own:</b>The traders who lost the most money in GameStop and AMC were those who sold “naked” calls and puts (i.e. they sold options on stocks they didn’t own), or those who sold shares short (again, they sold shares on a stock they didn’t own). When using this extremely risky strategy, you can make a fortune if you’re right. If you’re wrong, the losses can be incalculable. In reality, some unwary traders lost tens of thousands of dollars last week on positions that cost a few thousand dollars. Once again, don’t sell anything naked unless you’re a professional, and in this case even the pros lost big on that risky bet.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要出售你不拥有的产品的股票或期权：</b>在游戏驿站和AMC损失最大的交易者是那些出售“裸”评级和看跌期权（即他们出售他们不拥有的股票的期权）的交易者，或者那些卖空股票的交易者（同样，他们出售他们不拥有的股票的股票）。当使用这种风险极高的策略时，如果你是对的，你可以发财。如果你错了，损失是无法估量的。事实上，一些粗心的交易者上周在几千美元的头寸上损失了数万美元。再说一次，除非你是专业人士，否则不要裸卖任何东西，在这种情况下，即使是专业人士也会在这个冒险的赌注上损失惨重。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Sell at the “zero point.”</b>&nbsp; Here’s a rule I created: If you have huge gains that disappear and you are at the zero point (i.e. break-even), sell before you have real losses. It’s better to walk away at zero than with losses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.在“零点”卖出。</b>我制定了一条规则：如果你的巨额收益消失了，而你处于零点（即盈亏平衡），在你真正亏损之前卖出。零分离开总比亏损好。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Don’t be a stubborn seller:</b>Why is it so hard for most traders to walk away at the zero point? Stubbornness. Many traders made huge gains last week only to watch those profits disappear. They refused to sell because they hoped to make their money back. If holding options, that’s not going to happen. (If you bought at or near the high, your money is gone. If you hold a stock, plan to wait months or even years to recover. Stubborn stockholders often end up as “stuckholders.”</p><p><blockquote><b>3.不要做固执的卖家：</b>为什么大多数交易者很难在零点离开？固执。许多交易者上周获得了巨大的收益，却眼睁睁地看着这些利润消失。他们拒绝出售，因为他们希望把钱赚回来。如果持有期权，这种情况就不会发生。（如果你在高点或附近买入，你的钱就没了。如果你持有一只股票，计划等待几个月甚至几年才能恢复。顽固的股东往往最终成为“持卡人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Take the money and run:</b>When you are holding a stock or option position that brings outsized profits, either sell half of your holding or all of it — but get out. I call this “selling at extremes.” Sell something when the profits are beyond your wildest expectations. We all know the story of the gambler who wins big at the casino, but doesn’t leave the table until all his money is gone. Know when to walk away from the computer. Profits are fleeting, especially when volatility skyrockets.</p><p><blockquote><b>4.拿了钱就跑：</b>当你持有一个能带来巨额利润的股票或期权头寸时，要么卖出一半，要么全部——但要退出。我看涨期权这个“极端销售”。当利润超出你最疯狂的预期时，卖掉一些东西。我们都知道一个赌徒的故事，他在赌场赢了大钱，但直到他所有的钱都花光了才离开牌桌。知道什么时候离开电脑。利润转瞬即逝，尤其是当波动性飙升时。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.Trade small when making longshot trades (i.e. gambling):</b>GameStop and AMC were both big gambles, and for a time the trade worked if you were long. But if you bet wrong? I spoke to a few of these traders. One lost $8,000 on a single option contract. If he had traded his normal size (30 contracts), he told me, his losses would have been more than $240,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>5.进行长期交易（即赌博）时进行小额交易：</b>游戏驿站和AMC都是豪赌，有一段时间，如果你做多，交易就会奏效。但如果你赌错了呢？我和其中一些交易员谈过。一个人在一份期权合约上损失了8,000美元。他告诉我，如果他交易的是正常规模（30份合约），他的损失将超过24万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Don’t expect this trading frenzy to keep happening:</b>It’s possible that a group of traders on the Reddit forum will band together for more bear- or bull raids. Except Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chair Jerome Powell are most likely creating new rules to prevent this from repeating. The Fed hates volatility and will do everything in its power to keep the markets calm. So once again, when you make big money on a trade, take the money as fast as you can — because you may not get the chance again.</p><p><blockquote><b>6.不要指望这种交易狂潮会一直发生：</b>Reddit论坛上的一群交易者可能会联合起来进行更多的熊市或牛市袭击。除了财政部长珍妮特·耶伦和美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔很可能会制定新规则来防止这种情况再次发生。美联储讨厌波动，并将尽一切努力保持市场平静。所以，再一次，当你在一笔交易中赚了大钱时，尽快拿钱——因为你可能不会再有机会了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7. Stop bragging about how much money you made</b>: Many traders who won big immediately bragged on social media (and to their jealous friends) about how much money they made on this trade. Yet the euphoric feeling they had was temporary. It usually goes away after all the money is gone. The smart (and polite) traders took their gains and kept the win to themselves</p><p><blockquote><b>7.不要吹嘘你赚了多少钱</b>：许多赢得大奖的交易者立即在社交媒体上（以及向嫉妒的朋友）吹嘘他们在这笔交易中赚了多少钱。然而，他们的兴奋感是暂时的。一般钱都没了就没了。聪明（和礼貌）的交易者拿走了他们的收益，并把胜利留给了自己</blockquote></p><p> <b>8. Use a time stop:</b>Time stops are not well-known or popular, but with fast-moving stocks (or when trading options), they are invaluable. In an extremely fast market, the traditional stop-limit order won’t get filled, as many of those meme-stock traders found out the hard way. Instead, after making a huge profit, set a day or time to sell. For example, you may sell the position by Friday no matter what (although selling at extremes is better — see Rule #4).</p><p><blockquote><b>8.使用时间停止：</b>时间止损并不广为人知或流行，但对于快速波动的股票（或交易期权时），它们是无价的。在速度极快的市场中，传统的限价止损单不会被执行，正如许多模因股票交易者艰难地发现的那样。而是在获得巨额利润后，设定一个卖出的日期或时间。例如，无论如何，你都可以在周五之前卖出头寸（尽管在极端情况下卖出更好——见规则4）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9. Sell half or all of the position:</b>It’s never an easy decision to know when to sell. If you sell too early, it’s annoying to watch the stock go higher. Sell too late and you lose money. Selling half of your holding is a reasonable alternative, but you must be prepared to sell the other half if the position goes against you.</p><p><blockquote><b>9.卖出一半或全部仓位：</b>知道何时出售从来都不是一个容易的决定。如果你卖得太早，看着股票走高会很烦人。卖得太晚，你就会赔钱。出售一半持股是一个合理的选择，但如果头寸对您不利，您必须准备好出售另一半。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>10. Don’t seek revenge when you lose money on a stock:</b>It’s common for traders to seek revenge on a stock they lost money on. Do not fall for this emotional trap. If you lost money on a stock, let it go and move on.</p><p><blockquote><b>10.当你在股票上亏损时不要寻求报复：</b>交易者对亏损的股票进行报复是很常见的。不要落入这个情感陷阱。如果你在一只股票上亏了钱，就让它过去，继续前进。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11. Trade small after you made or lost big:</b>If you’re feeling emotional about a stock, including feelings of anger or revenge, trade small. Many people who hit it big in the market can’t help but make bigger and bigger bets. Just like the gamblers at a casino, they keep trading until all their money is gone.</p><p><blockquote><b>11.在你赚了大钱或亏了大钱之后进行小额交易：</b>如果您对一只股票感到情绪化，包括愤怒或报复的感觉，请少量交易。很多在市场上大获全胜的人，都忍不住下了越来越大的赌注。就像赌场里的赌徒一样，他们不断交易，直到所有的钱都花光。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t think it can happen to you? One of the greatest speculators in the world, Jesse Livermore, made $100 million dollars in a single week in 1929. He then lost all of his money within five years. He should have moved most of his profits out of the market after his big win and traded small for the next year. Instead, he got reckless and lost it all.</p><p><blockquote>你觉得这不会发生在你身上吗？1929年，世界上最伟大的投机者之一杰西·利弗莫尔在一周内赚了1亿美元。然后他在五年内失去了所有的钱。他应该在大获全胜后将大部分利润撤出市场，并在第二年进行小额交易。相反，他变得鲁莽，失去了一切。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12. Don’t take on too much risk:</b>Never invest or trade with so much money that if you lost, you’d lose your house or 401(k). Brokers told me about clients who cleared out their retirement funds or took cash advances on their credit cards so they could buy GameStop and AMC. Some won, some lost, but many took on way too much risk.</p><p><blockquote><b>12.不要承担太多风险：</b>永远不要用太多的钱投资或交易，如果你输了，你就会失去你的房子或401(k)。经纪人告诉我，一些客户清空了退休基金或从信用卡上预支现金，以便购买游戏驿站和AMC。有些人赢了，有些人输了，但许多人冒了太多的风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The meme-stock pyramid scheme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>模因股票金字塔计划</b></blockquote></p><p> Those who traded GameStop, AMC and other meme stocks thought they were trading, but they were actually participating in a gigantic pyramid scheme. Those who got in early and got out early probably did well. Those who entered late or held too long lost money.</p><p><blockquote>那些交易游戏驿站、AMC和其他模因股票的人以为他们在交易，但他们实际上是在参与一个巨大的金字塔计划。那些早进早出的人可能做得很好。那些进入较晚或持有时间过长的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> My advice: Review these 12 rules periodically. They are based on the experiences and the bad luck of thousands of other traders, including myself, who thought we were smarter than the market. In truth the market was smarter than us — because it always is.</p><p><blockquote>我的建议是：定期回顾这12条规则。它们是基于成千上万其他交易者的经验和坏运气，包括我自己，他们认为我们比市场更聪明。事实上，市场比我们聪明——因为它总是如此。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-12-lessons-from-the-gamestop-and-amc-frenzy-can-help-you-make-money-trading-stocks-or-at-least-lose-less-11612771522?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","GME":"游戏驿站",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-12-lessons-from-the-gamestop-and-amc-frenzy-can-help-you-make-money-trading-stocks-or-at-least-lose-less-11612771522?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1149038980","content_text":"I can hear the cries from investors who racked up huge profits in GameStop or AMC Entertainment Holdings for a few hours or days, only to watch their gains evaporate.\nThis coordinated bull raid was initiated by thousands of retail investors on Reddit, a popular website forum. We heard stories of fortunes made and lost. The ones we didn’t hear were from the folks in-between — small retail traders and investors who suffered thousands of dollars (or more) in losses.\nFor those still holding GME or AMC, or for those eager to pounce on the next volatile meme stock, I offer the following advice based on personal experience and observations. These are the lessons you must know before you ever get involved in the stock or options market (or if you are holding a winning stock or option):\n1. Don’t sell stocks or options on products you don’t own:The traders who lost the most money in GameStop and AMC were those who sold “naked” calls and puts (i.e. they sold options on stocks they didn’t own), or those who sold shares short (again, they sold shares on a stock they didn’t own). When using this extremely risky strategy, you can make a fortune if you’re right. If you’re wrong, the losses can be incalculable. In reality, some unwary traders lost tens of thousands of dollars last week on positions that cost a few thousand dollars. Once again, don’t sell anything naked unless you’re a professional, and in this case even the pros lost big on that risky bet.\n2. Sell at the “zero point.”  Here’s a rule I created: If you have huge gains that disappear and you are at the zero point (i.e. break-even), sell before you have real losses. It’s better to walk away at zero than with losses.\n3. Don’t be a stubborn seller:Why is it so hard for most traders to walk away at the zero point? Stubbornness. Many traders made huge gains last week only to watch those profits disappear. They refused to sell because they hoped to make their money back. If holding options, that’s not going to happen. (If you bought at or near the high, your money is gone. If you hold a stock, plan to wait months or even years to recover. Stubborn stockholders often end up as “stuckholders.”\n4. Take the money and run:When you are holding a stock or option position that brings outsized profits, either sell half of your holding or all of it — but get out. I call this “selling at extremes.” Sell something when the profits are beyond your wildest expectations. We all know the story of the gambler who wins big at the casino, but doesn’t leave the table until all his money is gone. Know when to walk away from the computer. Profits are fleeting, especially when volatility skyrockets.\n5.Trade small when making longshot trades (i.e. gambling):GameStop and AMC were both big gambles, and for a time the trade worked if you were long. But if you bet wrong? I spoke to a few of these traders. One lost $8,000 on a single option contract. If he had traded his normal size (30 contracts), he told me, his losses would have been more than $240,000.\n6. Don’t expect this trading frenzy to keep happening:It’s possible that a group of traders on the Reddit forum will band together for more bear- or bull raids. Except Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chair Jerome Powell are most likely creating new rules to prevent this from repeating. The Fed hates volatility and will do everything in its power to keep the markets calm. So once again, when you make big money on a trade, take the money as fast as you can — because you may not get the chance again.\n7. Stop bragging about how much money you made: Many traders who won big immediately bragged on social media (and to their jealous friends) about how much money they made on this trade. Yet the euphoric feeling they had was temporary. It usually goes away after all the money is gone. The smart (and polite) traders took their gains and kept the win to themselves\n8. Use a time stop:Time stops are not well-known or popular, but with fast-moving stocks (or when trading options), they are invaluable. In an extremely fast market, the traditional stop-limit order won’t get filled, as many of those meme-stock traders found out the hard way. Instead, after making a huge profit, set a day or time to sell. For example, you may sell the position by Friday no matter what (although selling at extremes is better — see Rule #4).\n9. Sell half or all of the position:It’s never an easy decision to know when to sell. If you sell too early, it’s annoying to watch the stock go higher. Sell too late and you lose money. Selling half of your holding is a reasonable alternative, but you must be prepared to sell the other half if the position goes against you.\n10. Don’t seek revenge when you lose money on a stock:It’s common for traders to seek revenge on a stock they lost money on. Do not fall for this emotional trap. If you lost money on a stock, let it go and move on.\n11. Trade small after you made or lost big:If you’re feeling emotional about a stock, including feelings of anger or revenge, trade small. Many people who hit it big in the market can’t help but make bigger and bigger bets. Just like the gamblers at a casino, they keep trading until all their money is gone.\nYou don’t think it can happen to you? One of the greatest speculators in the world, Jesse Livermore, made $100 million dollars in a single week in 1929. He then lost all of his money within five years. He should have moved most of his profits out of the market after his big win and traded small for the next year. Instead, he got reckless and lost it all.\n12. Don’t take on too much risk:Never invest or trade with so much money that if you lost, you’d lose your house or 401(k). Brokers told me about clients who cleared out their retirement funds or took cash advances on their credit cards so they could buy GameStop and AMC. Some won, some lost, but many took on way too much risk.\nThe meme-stock pyramid scheme\nThose who traded GameStop, AMC and other meme stocks thought they were trading, but they were actually participating in a gigantic pyramid scheme. Those who got in early and got out early probably did well. Those who entered late or held too long lost money.\nMy advice: Review these 12 rules periodically. They are based on the experiences and the bad luck of thousands of other traders, including myself, who thought we were smarter than the market. In truth the market was smarter than us — because it always is.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894969992,"gmtCreate":1628782872516,"gmtModify":1631891610086,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>like a finally","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>like a finally","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$like a finally","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/664ff298be6a59cec4e2ef04bbeb568f","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894969992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372668013,"gmtCreate":1619203898332,"gmtModify":1634287786555,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"noOoOoooo","listText":"noOoOoooo","text":"noOoOoooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372668013","repostId":"1131579471","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131579471","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619187935,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131579471?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 22:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ByteDance says it has no recent plans for public listing<blockquote>字节跳动称近期没有公开上市计划</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131579471","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"ByteDance,the Chinese parent of hit video app TikTok, said on Friday it had no imminent plans for an","content":"<p>ByteDance,the Chinese parent of hit video app TikTok, said on Friday it had no imminent plans for an initial public offering after it conducted a thorough study.</p><p><blockquote>热门视频应用TikTok的中国母公司字节跳动周五表示，在进行彻底研究后，没有立即进行首次公开募股的计划。</blockquote></p><p>\"We believe the company doesn't meet the public listing requirements,\" TikTok owner ByteDance said in a statement published on its Toutiao account.</p><p><blockquote>TikTok所有者字节跳动在其今日头条账户上发布的一份声明中表示：“我们认为该公司不符合公开上市要求。”</blockquote></p><p>Recently, there are a lot of news about the company will be listed.</p><p><blockquote>近日，关于公司将上市的消息颇多。</blockquote></p><p>ByteDance last month hired former Xiaomi&nbsp;executive Shou Zi Chew for a newly-created role as chief finance officer, suggesting the tech company was moving a step closer to a much-anticipated IPO.</p><p><blockquote>字节跳动上个月聘请小米前高管周寿子担任新设立的首席财务官一职，这表明这家科技公司距离备受期待的IPO又近了一步。</blockquote></p><p>Reuters has reported ByteDance has been exploring possibilities to list Douyin, the Chinese version of TikTok, in New York or Hong Kong, or obtain a public listing for some of its Chinese businesses including Douyin and news aggregator Toutiao.</p><p><blockquote>路透社报道称，字节跳动一直在探索在纽约或香港上市的可能性，或者为其包括抖音和新闻聚合商今日头条在内的一些中国业务公开上市。</blockquote></p><p>ByteDance has also been looking at a potential IPO for its non-China business, which includes TikTok that is not available in China, in Europe or the United States.</p><p><blockquote>字节跳动还一直在考虑其非中国业务的潜在IPO，其中包括在中国、欧洲或美国没有的TikTok。</blockquote></p><p>ByteDance, famous for its short-video apps and news aggregator Toutiao,more than doubled&nbsp;revenue last year after expanding beyond its core advertising business into areas such as e-commerce and online gaming.</p><p><blockquote>字节跳动以其短视频应用和新闻聚合器今日头条而闻名，在将核心广告业务扩展到电子商务和在线游戏等领域后，去年的收入增长了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p>During its last fundraising round, ByteDance reached a $180 billion valuation, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. That’s up from $20 billion about three years ago, according to CB Insights. But in the private market, some investors recently were asking for the equivalent of a $350 billion valuation to part with their shares, the people have said. Its value for private equity investors is approaching $400 billion, according to a&nbsp;report&nbsp;in the South China Morning Post.</p><p><blockquote>据一位知情人士透露，在上一轮融资中，字节跳动的估值达到了1800亿美元。根据CB Insights的数据，这一数字高于大约三年前的200亿美元。但知情人士称，在私人市场，一些投资者最近要求以相当于3500亿美元的估值出售其股份。据《南华早报》报道，它对私募股权投资者的价值接近4000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ByteDance says it has no recent plans for public listing<blockquote>字节跳动称近期没有公开上市计划</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nByteDance says it has no recent plans for public listing<blockquote>字节跳动称近期没有公开上市计划</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-23 22:25</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>ByteDance,the Chinese parent of hit video app TikTok, said on Friday it had no imminent plans for an initial public offering after it conducted a thorough study.</p><p><blockquote>热门视频应用TikTok的中国母公司字节跳动周五表示，在进行彻底研究后，没有立即进行首次公开募股的计划。</blockquote></p><p>\"We believe the company doesn't meet the public listing requirements,\" TikTok owner ByteDance said in a statement published on its Toutiao account.</p><p><blockquote>TikTok所有者字节跳动在其今日头条账户上发布的一份声明中表示：“我们认为该公司不符合公开上市要求。”</blockquote></p><p>Recently, there are a lot of news about the company will be listed.</p><p><blockquote>近日，关于公司将上市的消息颇多。</blockquote></p><p>ByteDance last month hired former Xiaomi&nbsp;executive Shou Zi Chew for a newly-created role as chief finance officer, suggesting the tech company was moving a step closer to a much-anticipated IPO.</p><p><blockquote>字节跳动上个月聘请小米前高管周寿子担任新设立的首席财务官一职，这表明这家科技公司距离备受期待的IPO又近了一步。</blockquote></p><p>Reuters has reported ByteDance has been exploring possibilities to list Douyin, the Chinese version of TikTok, in New York or Hong Kong, or obtain a public listing for some of its Chinese businesses including Douyin and news aggregator Toutiao.</p><p><blockquote>路透社报道称，字节跳动一直在探索在纽约或香港上市的可能性，或者为其包括抖音和新闻聚合商今日头条在内的一些中国业务公开上市。</blockquote></p><p>ByteDance has also been looking at a potential IPO for its non-China business, which includes TikTok that is not available in China, in Europe or the United States.</p><p><blockquote>字节跳动还一直在考虑其非中国业务的潜在IPO，其中包括在中国、欧洲或美国没有的TikTok。</blockquote></p><p>ByteDance, famous for its short-video apps and news aggregator Toutiao,more than doubled&nbsp;revenue last year after expanding beyond its core advertising business into areas such as e-commerce and online gaming.</p><p><blockquote>字节跳动以其短视频应用和新闻聚合器今日头条而闻名，在将核心广告业务扩展到电子商务和在线游戏等领域后，去年的收入增长了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p>During its last fundraising round, ByteDance reached a $180 billion valuation, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. That’s up from $20 billion about three years ago, according to CB Insights. But in the private market, some investors recently were asking for the equivalent of a $350 billion valuation to part with their shares, the people have said. Its value for private equity investors is approaching $400 billion, according to a&nbsp;report&nbsp;in the South China Morning Post.</p><p><blockquote>据一位知情人士透露，在上一轮融资中，字节跳动的估值达到了1800亿美元。根据CB Insights的数据，这一数字高于大约三年前的200亿美元。但知情人士称，在私人市场，一些投资者最近要求以相当于3500亿美元的估值出售其股份。据《南华早报》报道，它对私募股权投资者的价值接近4000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"01024":"快手-W","00700":"腾讯控股"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131579471","content_text":"ByteDance,the Chinese parent of hit video app TikTok, said on Friday it had no imminent plans for an initial public offering after it conducted a thorough study.\"We believe the company doesn't meet the public listing requirements,\" TikTok owner ByteDance said in a statement published on its Toutiao account.Recently, there are a lot of news about the company will be listed.ByteDance last month hired former Xiaomi executive Shou Zi Chew for a newly-created role as chief finance officer, suggesting the tech company was moving a step closer to a much-anticipated IPO.Reuters has reported ByteDance has been exploring possibilities to list Douyin, the Chinese version of TikTok, in New York or Hong Kong, or obtain a public listing for some of its Chinese businesses including Douyin and news aggregator Toutiao.ByteDance has also been looking at a potential IPO for its non-China business, which includes TikTok that is not available in China, in Europe or the United States.ByteDance, famous for its short-video apps and news aggregator Toutiao,more than doubled revenue last year after expanding beyond its core advertising business into areas such as e-commerce and online gaming.During its last fundraising round, ByteDance reached a $180 billion valuation, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. That’s up from $20 billion about three years ago, according to CB Insights. But in the private market, some investors recently were asking for the equivalent of a $350 billion valuation to part with their shares, the people have said. Its value for private equity investors is approaching $400 billion, according to a report in the South China Morning Post.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01024":0.9,"00700":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":322674077,"gmtCreate":1615806683899,"gmtModify":1703493258523,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>whoohoo!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>whoohoo!","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$whoohoo!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1747dc0afe1df7437dc72b919b3b0aa9","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322674077","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":388835129,"gmtCreate":1613046259861,"gmtModify":1703768725615,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"why though","listText":"why though","text":"why though","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388835129","repostId":"2110471690","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":699527941,"gmtCreate":1639845662787,"gmtModify":1639845663113,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ooh","listText":"ooh","text":"ooh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699527941","repostId":"2192754259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":802899669,"gmtCreate":1627745059651,"gmtModify":1631891610095,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"this makes me wonder, is the opposite happening?","listText":"this makes me wonder, is the opposite happening?","text":"this makes me wonder, is the opposite happening?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802899669","repostId":"1127411624","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127411624","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627715622,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127411624?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127411624","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, t","content":"<p>After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.</p><p><blockquote>经过几个月的冬眠，股市空头于7月19日走出了洞穴。当天，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA下跌725点，跌幅2.1%，-0.42%。熊队打出了一个本垒打——至少一天。</blockquote></p><p> As usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.</p><p><blockquote>像往常一样，每个人都想知道市场下跌的原因，分析师们已经准备好了答案，从COVID-19的德尔塔变异毒株到消费者价格指数，再到超买的技术指标。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>事实是没人知道。人们出售有多种原因，因此将责任归咎于一个事件是荒谬的。也就是说，下降的一个重要原因是计算机生成的自动销售。一旦大型市场参与者，尤其是算法，开始抛售，就会出现疯狂的抛售。没有人想成为最后一个出局的人，因此散户和机构在恐慌中抛售，随着时间的推移，恐慌情绪变得更加强烈。</blockquote></p><p> Technical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.&nbsp; After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.</p><p><blockquote>技术指标也做出了贡献：每周相对强弱指标（RSI）在警告市场逆转方面非常准确。一旦RSI超过70并保持在那里，买家就要小心了。7月26日收盘后，标准普尔500SPX的RSI，-0.54%在周线图上站在71.36——这是一个极度超买的读数。这是不是意味着指数明天要暴跌了？没人知道。但RSI给出了美国市场处于危险区域的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bad news bears can’t catch a break</b></p><p><blockquote><b>坏消息空头无法休息</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.</p><p><blockquote>在空头说“我告诉过你”之前，第二天，即7月20日，道琼斯指数700多点的抛售被道琼斯指数550点的反弹抹去了。多头忘记了抛售，重新开始庆祝，一杯又一杯地喝着他们最喜欢的饮料“bull-ade”。风暴又一次过去了，但这一次有点恐惧爬进了公牛的心灵。之前，唯一的恐惧是害怕错过下一次反弹。现在，许多投资者意识到市场实际上可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to do now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:</p><p><blockquote>下次市场暴跌并且您正在经历各种情绪时，以下指南可能会有所帮助：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. If you’re panicked</b>: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.如果你感到恐慌</b>：不做某事；坐在那里。不买，不卖，坐稳。事实上，关掉电脑或其他设备。不要担心那天你丢了多少纸币。锻炼，散步，跑步，游泳，骑自行车。你的目标是减少情绪，这样你就能睡个好觉。当市场稳定时，重新评估你所拥有的。在这样的日子里，不要做任何重大的财务决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. If you’re afraid</b>: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.如果你害怕</b>：放轻松。抛售最终会结束。没有理由恐慌。同样，当市场恢复理智时，重新评估你所拥有的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. If you’re unaffected:</b>Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.</p><p><blockquote><b>3.如果您没有受到影响：</b>不过，请检查您的投资组合以确保您的投资组合适当多元化。虽然人们发现不要关心市场是否下跌，但要确保你为最坏的情况做好了对冲。总有一天会出现持续数月或数年的熊市。做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What specific actions should you take?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该采取什么具体行动？</b></blockquote></p><p> Now that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:</p><p><blockquote>既然你已经照顾好了自己的情绪健康，你还可以做出其他的财务决定。让我们来看看一些可能有帮助的战略和战术：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>Sell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.</li>  <li>Create a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.</li>  <li>Dollar-cost average into index funds.</li>  <li>Diversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.</li>  <li>Buy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.</li>  <li>Sell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.</li> </ol> <b>Plan for the next correction or bear market</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果您持有的股票或指数跌破200日移动平均线，则卖出。注：标准普尔500SPX,-0.54%等主要指数十年来没有跌破（并保持在低于）200日平均水平。当他们最终这样做时，这是一个明确的卖出信号。</li><li>制定一个长期投资计划，无论短期内发生什么都要遵循它。</li><li>指数基金的平均成本。</li><li>多样化。这是股市和人生成功的关键。如果您只持有股票，请考虑债券，但在采取这一步骤之前请与金融专业人士（而不是您的邻居）交谈。</li><li>逢低买入。这个策略仍然有效。如果你在7月19日逢低买入，你就会在7月20日清理干净。总有一天这种策略行不通了，但那一天还没有到来。</li><li>出售备兑看涨期权期权。这仍然是产生额外收入的绝佳方式。这种策略也非常适合处理不需要的股票并获得报酬。</li></ol><b>为下一次调整或熊市做好计划</b></blockquote></p><p> After a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了13年的牛市之后，美国股市的时间已经不多了。虽然多头这次又取得了胜利，但有一天市场不会逆转方向，将开始急剧调整，或者更糟的是，进入熊市。那时你会很高兴你有一个计划和一个在最糟糕的日子里可以遵循的投资脚本。</blockquote></p><p> Know what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.</p><p><blockquote>了解您拥有什么，将其出售到“睡眠良好”点，并多元化投资于包括现金和债券在内的各种金融产品。这样，当市场再次暴跌时，你就不会做出下意识的情绪化决定或遭受焦虑发作。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere’s your to-do list before the stock market’s next dive<blockquote>这是股市下一次暴跌之前您的待办事项清单</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 15:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.</p><p><blockquote>经过几个月的冬眠，股市空头于7月19日走出了洞穴。当天，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA下跌725点，跌幅2.1%，-0.42%。熊队打出了一个本垒打——至少一天。</blockquote></p><p> As usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.</p><p><blockquote>像往常一样，每个人都想知道市场下跌的原因，分析师们已经准备好了答案，从COVID-19的德尔塔变异毒株到消费者价格指数，再到超买的技术指标。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>事实是没人知道。人们出售有多种原因，因此将责任归咎于一个事件是荒谬的。也就是说，下降的一个重要原因是计算机生成的自动销售。一旦大型市场参与者，尤其是算法，开始抛售，就会出现疯狂的抛售。没有人想成为最后一个出局的人，因此散户和机构在恐慌中抛售，随着时间的推移，恐慌情绪变得更加强烈。</blockquote></p><p> Technical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.&nbsp; After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.</p><p><blockquote>技术指标也做出了贡献：每周相对强弱指标（RSI）在警告市场逆转方面非常准确。一旦RSI超过70并保持在那里，买家就要小心了。7月26日收盘后，标准普尔500SPX的RSI，-0.54%在周线图上站在71.36——这是一个极度超买的读数。这是不是意味着指数明天要暴跌了？没人知道。但RSI给出了美国市场处于危险区域的线索。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bad news bears can’t catch a break</b></p><p><blockquote><b>坏消息空头无法休息</b></blockquote></p><p> Before the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.</p><p><blockquote>在空头说“我告诉过你”之前，第二天，即7月20日，道琼斯指数700多点的抛售被道琼斯指数550点的反弹抹去了。多头忘记了抛售，重新开始庆祝，一杯又一杯地喝着他们最喜欢的饮料“bull-ade”。风暴又一次过去了，但这一次有点恐惧爬进了公牛的心灵。之前，唯一的恐惧是害怕错过下一次反弹。现在，许多投资者意识到市场实际上可能会下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to do now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> The next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:</p><p><blockquote>下次市场暴跌并且您正在经历各种情绪时，以下指南可能会有所帮助：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. If you’re panicked</b>: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.</p><p><blockquote><b>1.如果你感到恐慌</b>：不做某事；坐在那里。不买，不卖，坐稳。事实上，关掉电脑或其他设备。不要担心那天你丢了多少纸币。锻炼，散步，跑步，游泳，骑自行车。你的目标是减少情绪，这样你就能睡个好觉。当市场稳定时，重新评估你所拥有的。在这样的日子里，不要做任何重大的财务决定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. If you’re afraid</b>: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2.如果你害怕</b>：放轻松。抛售最终会结束。没有理由恐慌。同样，当市场恢复理智时，重新评估你所拥有的东西。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. If you’re unaffected:</b>Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.</p><p><blockquote><b>3.如果您没有受到影响：</b>不过，请检查您的投资组合以确保您的投资组合适当多元化。虽然人们发现不要关心市场是否下跌，但要确保你为最坏的情况做好了对冲。总有一天会出现持续数月或数年的熊市。做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What specific actions should you take?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该采取什么具体行动？</b></blockquote></p><p> Now that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:</p><p><blockquote>既然你已经照顾好了自己的情绪健康，你还可以做出其他的财务决定。让我们来看看一些可能有帮助的战略和战术：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>Sell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard &amp; Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.</li>  <li>Create a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.</li>  <li>Dollar-cost average into index funds.</li>  <li>Diversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.</li>  <li>Buy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.</li>  <li>Sell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.</li> </ol> <b>Plan for the next correction or bear market</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果您持有的股票或指数跌破200日移动平均线，则卖出。注：标准普尔500SPX,-0.54%等主要指数十年来没有跌破（并保持在低于）200日平均水平。当他们最终这样做时，这是一个明确的卖出信号。</li><li>制定一个长期投资计划，无论短期内发生什么都要遵循它。</li><li>指数基金的平均成本。</li><li>多样化。这是股市和人生成功的关键。如果您只持有股票，请考虑债券，但在采取这一步骤之前请与金融专业人士（而不是您的邻居）交谈。</li><li>逢低买入。这个策略仍然有效。如果你在7月19日逢低买入，你就会在7月20日清理干净。总有一天这种策略行不通了，但那一天还没有到来。</li><li>出售备兑看涨期权期权。这仍然是产生额外收入的绝佳方式。这种策略也非常适合处理不需要的股票并获得报酬。</li></ol><b>为下一次调整或熊市做好计划</b></blockquote></p><p> After a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了13年的牛市之后，美国股市的时间已经不多了。虽然多头这次又取得了胜利，但有一天市场不会逆转方向，将开始急剧调整，或者更糟的是，进入熊市。那时你会很高兴你有一个计划和一个在最糟糕的日子里可以遵循的投资脚本。</blockquote></p><p> Know what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.</p><p><blockquote>了解您拥有什么，将其出售到“睡眠良好”点，并多元化投资于包括现金和债券在内的各种金融产品。这样，当市场再次暴跌时，你就不会做出下意识的情绪化决定或遭受焦虑发作。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-your-to-do-list-before-the-stock-markets-next-dive-11627360870?mod=article_inline\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-your-to-do-list-before-the-stock-markets-next-dive-11627360870?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127411624","content_text":"After hibernating for months, the stock-market bears came out of their caves on July 19. That day, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.42%tumbled 725 points or 2.1%. The bears hit a home run — at least for a day.\nAs usual, everyone wanted to know why the market fell, and the analysts had prepared answers, from COVID-19’s Delta variant to the Consumer Price Index to overbought technical indicators.\nThe truth is that nobody knows. People have multiple reasons for selling, so it’s ridiculous to blame one event. That said, a big contributor to the decline was automatic, computer-generated selling. Once large market participants, especially algos, started selling, there was a mad rush out of the door. No one wanted to be the last one out, so retail traders and institutions sold in a panic, which got more intense as the day went on.\nTechnical indicators contributed as well: The weekly relative strength indicator (RSI) has been remarkably accurate in warning of a market reversal. Once RSI goes over 70 and stays there, buyers beware.  After the July 26 market close, the RSI of the S&P 500SPX,-0.54%stood at 71.36 on the weekly chart — an extremely overbought reading. Does this mean that the index is going to plunge tomorrow? No one knows. But RSI is giving a clue that the U.S. market is in the danger zone.\nThe bad news bears can’t catch a break\nBefore the bears could say, “I told you so,” the next day, July 20, the 700-plus point Dow selloff was erased by a 550-point Dow rally. The bulls forgot about the selloff and returned to celebrating, and gulping glass after glass of their favorite drink, “bull-ade.” Once again, the storm passed, but this time a little fear creeped into the bulls’ psyche. Before, the only fear was the fear of missing out on the next rally. Now, many investors realize the market can actually go down.\nWhat to do now\nThe next time the market plunges and you’re experiencing a variety of emotions, the following guide might help:\n1. If you’re panicked: Don’t do something; sit there. Do not buy, do not sell, just sit tight. In fact, turn off the computer or other devices. Don’t fret over how much paper money you lost that day. Exercise, walk, run, swim, ride a bike. Your goal is to reduce emotions so you can get a good night’s sleep. When the market stabilizes, reevaluate what you own. Do not make any big financial decisions on days like this.\n2. If you’re afraid: Take it easy. The selloff will end eventually. There is no reason to panic. Again, reevaluate what you own when the market comes to its senses.\n3. If you’re unaffected:Still, check your portfolio to make sure you are properly diversified. While it’s find to not care if the market falls, be sure you are hedged for a worst-case scenario. One day there will be a bear market that will last months or years. Be prepared.\nWhat specific actions should you take?\nNow that you’ve taken care of your emotional health, there are other financial decisions you can make. Let’s take a look atsome strategies and tacticsthat may help:\n\nSell if the stocks or indexes you own fall below their 200-day moving averages. Note: The major indexes such as the Standard & Poor’s 500SPX,-0.54%have not fallen below (and stayed below) their 200-day averages for a decade. When they do eventually, that is a clear sell signal.\nCreate a long-term investment plan and follow it no matter what happens in the short term.\nDollar-cost average into index funds.\nDiversify. This is the key to success in the stock market and in life. If you own only stocks, consider bonds, but talk to a financial professional (not your neighbor) before taking this step.\nBuy the big dips. This strategy still works. If you had bought the dip on July 19, you would have cleaned up on July 20. One day this strategy won’t work, but that day hasn’t come yet.\nSell covered-call options. This is still an excellent way to generate extra income. This strategy is also ideal for disposing of unwanted stocks, and getting paid for it.\n\nPlan for the next correction or bear market\nAfter a 13-year bull market, the clock is ticking for U.S. stocks. While the bulls scored another victory this time, one day the market won’t reverse direction and will begin a steep correction, or worse yet, a bear market. That’s when you will be glad that you have a plan and an investment script to follow on the worst days.\nKnow what you own, sell to the “sleep-well” point and diversify into a variety of financial products including cash and bonds. This way, when the market plunges again, you won’t make knee-jerk emotional decisions or suffer an anxiety attack.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147898338,"gmtCreate":1626347521224,"gmtModify":1633927667022,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hmm","listText":"hmm","text":"hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147898338","repostId":"1190703857","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376387458,"gmtCreate":1619090276774,"gmtModify":1631888985584,"author":{"id":"3571662392102313","authorId":"3571662392102313","name":"philodendron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33899256df0b02274ba23318212a967b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571662392102313","idStr":"3571662392102313"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKW\">$ARK Next Generation Internet ETF(ARKW)$</a>finally something green&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKW\">$ARK Next Generation Internet ETF(ARKW)$</a>finally something green&nbsp;","text":"$ARK Next Generation Internet ETF(ARKW)$finally something green","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdd72b3b0fd122897840dfcd412832e2","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376387458","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":694,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}