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kohaku84

kohaku84

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2021-04-07

Means covid over

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2021-03-22

Like my comments thankew

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2021-03-19

Ok

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2021-02-11

$Ascott Residence Trust(ASRT)$1.13 and 1.06 entry

2021-07-04

Ok lor

AMC Options Traders Aren't Discouraged, Repeatedly Hammer Calls<blockquote>AMC期权交易员并不气馁，多次抨击评级</blockquote>

2021-02-11

Slow rocket ship but is still a rocket[想吃]

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2021-02-05

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$So happy

2021-03-13

Not really

Tesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.<blockquote>特斯拉股价下跌。你可以责怪乔·拜登。</blockquote>

2021-02-13

Buy pltr

Best Stocks To Buy For 2021? 4 Fintech Stocks To Watch<blockquote>2021年最值得购买的股票？4只值得关注的金融科技股</blockquote>

2021-06-28

Steady

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lor","listText":"Ok lor","text":"Ok lor","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152753241","repostId":"1136694264","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136694264","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1625293431,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136694264?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 14:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Options Traders Aren't Discouraged, Repeatedly Hammer Calls<blockquote>AMC期权交易员并不气馁，多次抨击评级</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136694264","media":"Benzinga","summary":"On Friday morning, Iceberg Researchannouncedit had taken a short position inAMC Entertainment Holdin","content":"<p>On Friday morning, Iceberg Researchannouncedit had taken a short position in<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>AMC 4.08%. Iceberg said options traders have lost money due to the stock trading sideways for the month of June and that the pump around the stock looks shaky.</p><p><blockquote>周五上午，Iceberg Research宣布在<b>AMC院线控股</b>AMC 4.08%。Iceberg表示，由于该股6月份横盘整理，期权交易员已经亏损，而且该股周围的人气看起来不稳定。</blockquote></p><p> The news didn’t stop institutions from continuously hammering AMC call contracts and on Friday options traders had purchased over $2.59 million worth. The expiration dates for the contracts ranged from today up until Dec. 17 and a few traders chose a strike price of a whopping $145.</p><p><blockquote>这一消息并没有阻止机构不断抛售AMC看涨期权合约，周五期权交易员购买了价值超过259万美元的合约。这些合约的到期日从今天到12月17日不等，一些交易员选择了高达145美元的执行价。</blockquote></p><p> AMC’s stock broke bearishly from a symmetrical triangle it had formed through its sideways trading on Friday, but held a support level at $47.91 and bounced from it. Bulls would like to see the dip continue to be bought and for AMC to end the day by printing a hammer candlestick and closing above the 21-day exponential moving average.</p><p><blockquote>AMC的股价看跌突破了周五横盘交易形成的对称三角形，但守住了47.91美元的支撑位并从中反弹。多头希望看到继续逢低买入，并希望AMC通过打印锤子烛台并收于21日指数移动平均线上方来结束这一天。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It’s Important:</b>When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in stock price. A sweeper pays market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要：</b>当出现扫单时，表明交易者希望快速建仓，并预计股价即将大幅波动。清扫者为看涨期权或看跌期权支付市场价格，而不是出价，清扫多个交易所的订单簿以立即执行订单。</blockquote></p><p> These types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.</p><p><blockquote>这些类型的看涨期权期权订单通常由机构发出，散户投资者会发现观察清道夫很有用，因为这表明“聪明的资金”已经建仓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Option Trades:</b>Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC期权交易：</b>以下是由Benzinga Pro提供的值得注意的选项警报：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>At 9:42 a.m., Friday a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 265 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $59 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $52,205 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.97 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:51 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 247 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.95 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:52 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 248 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec. 17. The trade represented a $260,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 356 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $311,500 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.75 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:56 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:57 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 300 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $28 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $23.40 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 289 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec., 17. The trade represented a $303,450 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 580 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $55 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $278,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.80 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:07 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 258 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $80 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.52 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:24 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 352 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $50 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $54,560 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:26 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 234 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.31 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:31 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 224 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on Sept. 17. The trade represented a $105,280 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.70 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:38 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $47 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $146,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.92 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 12:02 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $45 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $305,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $6.10 per option contract.</li> </ul> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment were trading down 5.3% to $51.33 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>周五上午9点42分，一名交易员在265份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为59美元，将于7月9日到期。该交易代表了52,205美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.97美元。</li><li>上午9点51分，一名交易员在247份执行价为65美元、将于8月20日到期的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了221,065美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.95美元。</li><li>上午9点52分，一名交易员在248份执行价为120美元、将于12月17日到期的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了260,400美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了10.50美元。</li><li>上午9点53分，一名交易员在356份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了311,500美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.75美元。</li><li>上午9点53分，一名交易员在310份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了266,600美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.60美元。</li><li>上午9点56分，一名交易员在310份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了266,600美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.60美元。</li><li>上午9点57分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的300份执行价为28美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了221,065美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了23.40美元。</li><li>上午9点58分，一名交易员在289份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为120美元，将于12月17日到期。该交易代表了303,450美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了10.50美元。</li><li>上午9点58分，一名交易员在7月16日到期的580份执行价为55美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了278,400美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了4.80美元。</li><li>上午10点07分，一名交易员在7月16日到期的258份执行价为80美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表39,216美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付1.52美元。</li><li>上午10点24分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的执行价为50美元的352份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了54,560美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>上午10点26分，一名交易员在7月23日到期的234份执行价为145美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表39,216美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付1.31美元。</li><li>上午10点31分，一名交易员在224份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价为145美元，将于9月17日到期。该交易代表了105,280美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了4.70美元。</li><li>上午10点38分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的500份执行价为47美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了146,000美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了2.92美元。</li><li>中午12点02分，一名交易员在7月9日到期的500份执行价为45美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了305,000美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了6.10美元。</li></ul><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价下跌5.3%，至51.33美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Options Traders Aren't Discouraged, Repeatedly Hammer Calls<blockquote>AMC期权交易员并不气馁，多次抨击评级</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Options Traders Aren't Discouraged, Repeatedly Hammer Calls<blockquote>AMC期权交易员并不气馁，多次抨击评级</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-03 14:23</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On Friday morning, Iceberg Researchannouncedit had taken a short position in<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>AMC 4.08%. Iceberg said options traders have lost money due to the stock trading sideways for the month of June and that the pump around the stock looks shaky.</p><p><blockquote>周五上午，Iceberg Research宣布在<b>AMC院线控股</b>AMC 4.08%。Iceberg表示，由于该股6月份横盘整理，期权交易员已经亏损，而且该股周围的人气看起来不稳定。</blockquote></p><p> The news didn’t stop institutions from continuously hammering AMC call contracts and on Friday options traders had purchased over $2.59 million worth. The expiration dates for the contracts ranged from today up until Dec. 17 and a few traders chose a strike price of a whopping $145.</p><p><blockquote>这一消息并没有阻止机构不断抛售AMC看涨期权合约，周五期权交易员购买了价值超过259万美元的合约。这些合约的到期日从今天到12月17日不等，一些交易员选择了高达145美元的执行价。</blockquote></p><p> AMC’s stock broke bearishly from a symmetrical triangle it had formed through its sideways trading on Friday, but held a support level at $47.91 and bounced from it. Bulls would like to see the dip continue to be bought and for AMC to end the day by printing a hammer candlestick and closing above the 21-day exponential moving average.</p><p><blockquote>AMC的股价看跌突破了周五横盘交易形成的对称三角形，但守住了47.91美元的支撑位并从中反弹。多头希望看到继续逢低买入，并希望AMC通过打印锤子烛台并收于21日指数移动平均线上方来结束这一天。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It’s Important:</b>When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in stock price. A sweeper pays market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要：</b>当出现扫单时，表明交易者希望快速建仓，并预计股价即将大幅波动。清扫者为看涨期权或看跌期权支付市场价格，而不是出价，清扫多个交易所的订单簿以立即执行订单。</blockquote></p><p> These types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.</p><p><blockquote>这些类型的看涨期权期权订单通常由机构发出，散户投资者会发现观察清道夫很有用，因为这表明“聪明的资金”已经建仓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Option Trades:</b>Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC期权交易：</b>以下是由Benzinga Pro提供的值得注意的选项警报：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>At 9:42 a.m., Friday a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 265 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $59 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $52,205 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.97 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:51 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 247 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.95 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:52 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 248 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec. 17. The trade represented a $260,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 356 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $311,500 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.75 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:56 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:57 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 300 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $28 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $23.40 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 289 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec., 17. The trade represented a $303,450 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 580 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $55 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $278,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.80 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:07 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 258 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $80 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.52 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:24 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 352 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $50 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $54,560 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:26 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 234 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.31 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:31 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 224 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on Sept. 17. The trade represented a $105,280 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.70 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:38 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $47 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $146,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.92 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 12:02 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $45 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $305,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $6.10 per option contract.</li> </ul> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment were trading down 5.3% to $51.33 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>周五上午9点42分，一名交易员在265份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为59美元，将于7月9日到期。该交易代表了52,205美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.97美元。</li><li>上午9点51分，一名交易员在247份执行价为65美元、将于8月20日到期的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了221,065美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.95美元。</li><li>上午9点52分，一名交易员在248份执行价为120美元、将于12月17日到期的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了260,400美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了10.50美元。</li><li>上午9点53分，一名交易员在356份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了311,500美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.75美元。</li><li>上午9点53分，一名交易员在310份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了266,600美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.60美元。</li><li>上午9点56分，一名交易员在310份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了266,600美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.60美元。</li><li>上午9点57分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的300份执行价为28美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了221,065美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了23.40美元。</li><li>上午9点58分，一名交易员在289份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为120美元，将于12月17日到期。该交易代表了303,450美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了10.50美元。</li><li>上午9点58分，一名交易员在7月16日到期的580份执行价为55美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了278,400美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了4.80美元。</li><li>上午10点07分，一名交易员在7月16日到期的258份执行价为80美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表39,216美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付1.52美元。</li><li>上午10点24分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的执行价为50美元的352份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了54,560美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>上午10点26分，一名交易员在7月23日到期的234份执行价为145美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表39,216美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付1.31美元。</li><li>上午10点31分，一名交易员在224份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价为145美元，将于9月17日到期。该交易代表了105,280美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了4.70美元。</li><li>上午10点38分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的500份执行价为47美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了146,000美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了2.92美元。</li><li>中午12点02分，一名交易员在7月9日到期的500份执行价为45美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了305,000美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了6.10美元。</li></ul><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价下跌5.3%，至51.33美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136694264","content_text":"On Friday morning, Iceberg Researchannouncedit had taken a short position inAMC Entertainment HoldingsAMC 4.08%. Iceberg said options traders have lost money due to the stock trading sideways for the month of June and that the pump around the stock looks shaky.\nThe news didn’t stop institutions from continuously hammering AMC call contracts and on Friday options traders had purchased over $2.59 million worth. The expiration dates for the contracts ranged from today up until Dec. 17 and a few traders chose a strike price of a whopping $145.\nAMC’s stock broke bearishly from a symmetrical triangle it had formed through its sideways trading on Friday, but held a support level at $47.91 and bounced from it. Bulls would like to see the dip continue to be bought and for AMC to end the day by printing a hammer candlestick and closing above the 21-day exponential moving average.\nWhy It’s Important:When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in stock price. A sweeper pays market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.\nThese types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.\nThe AMC Option Trades:Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:\n\nAt 9:42 a.m., Friday a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 265 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $59 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $52,205 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.97 per option contract.\nAt 9:51 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 247 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.95 per option contract.\nAt 9:52 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 248 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec. 17. The trade represented a $260,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.\nAt 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 356 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $311,500 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.75 per option contract.\nAt 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.\nAt 9:56 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.\nAt 9:57 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 300 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $28 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $23.40 per option contract.\nAt 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 289 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec., 17. The trade represented a $303,450 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.\nAt 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 580 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $55 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $278,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.80 per option contract.\nAt 10:07 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 258 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $80 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.52 per option contract.\nAt 10:24 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 352 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $50 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $54,560 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.\nAt 10:26 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 234 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.31 per option contract.\nAt 10:31 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 224 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on Sept. 17. The trade represented a $105,280 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.70 per option contract.\nAt 10:38 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $47 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $146,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.92 per option contract.\nAt 12:02 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $45 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $305,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $6.10 per option contract.\n\nAMC Price Action:Shares of AMC Entertainment were trading down 5.3% to $51.33 at publication time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127462535,"gmtCreate":1624864480927,"gmtModify":1631893603540,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Steady","listText":"Steady","text":"Steady","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127462535","repostId":"2146007118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124201412,"gmtCreate":1624765157836,"gmtModify":1631893603542,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124201412","repostId":"1117734317","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117734317","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624759414,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117734317?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 10:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Square: The Bear Case<blockquote>广场：熊案</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117734317","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nOn the surface, Square appears to be a growing company and a good investment with strong re","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>On the surface, Square appears to be a growing company and a good investment with strong revenue growth and a large Cash App user base.</li>  <li>In reality, the company has struggled to translate its top line into bottom line earnings.</li>  <li>This has resulted in Square expanding its products to justify exaggerated revenue valuations which may never result in meaningful earnings growth.</li>  <li>And whilst at first glance its Cash App story appears to be a budding prospect, it may be nothing more than temporary growth based on necessity.</li>  <li>Given the current valuation and the increasing Bitcoin headwinds, Square could face significant revisions downwards in revenue and earnings.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f072284e4d267ddbfaf6f17db8b6aa46\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>AndreyPopov/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>从表面上看，Square似乎是一家成长中的公司，也是一项不错的投资，收入增长强劲，Cash App用户群庞大。</li><li>事实上，该公司一直在努力将其营收转化为净利润。</li><li>这导致Square扩大其产品，以证明夸大的收入估值是合理的，而这可能永远不会带来有意义的盈利增长。</li><li>虽然乍一看，它的现金应用程序故事似乎是一个崭露头角的前景，但它可能只不过是基于必要性的暂时增长。</li><li>鉴于目前的估值和不断增加的比特币阻力，Square可能面临收入和盈利的大幅下调。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AndreyPopov/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Square Inc.(NYSE:SQ)is one of the&nbsp;most popular stocks&nbsp;among retail traders and investors, ranking 57 in Robinhood's top 100 rankings. This has resulted in a 135% increase in price over the last year allowing SQ to reach a market capitalization of greater than $100bln, trading with the volatility of a mid-cap company.</p><p><blockquote>Square Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SQ）是最受散户交易者和投资者欢迎的股票之一，在Robinhood的100强排名中排名第57位。这导致SQ的价格比去年上涨了135%，市值超过1000亿美元，交易波动性相当于中型公司。</blockquote></p><p> On the surface the price and valuation may seem justified, with the company sequentially increasing revenues and expanding its portfolio of products through Cash App, Bitcoin (BTC-USD), PPP loans and most recently delving into the commercial loans business with a&nbsp;banking license&nbsp;via Square Financial Services.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看，价格和估值似乎是合理的，该公司通过Cash App、比特币（BTC-USD）、PPP贷款不断增加收入并扩大其产品组合，最近还通过Square Financial Services获得银行牌照。</blockquote></p><p> However, these valuations are becoming disaggregated from the fundamentals of the company and its core business on speculation of future revenue projections which are heavily reliant on Bitcoin revenues.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于对未来收入预测的猜测，这些估值正与公司及其核心业务的基本面脱钩，而未来收入预测严重依赖于比特币收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adc746c80eba08b76805234d32a7eff4\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"358\"><span>Source: Author, with data from SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 Historical Financial Information)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自SQ Investor Relations（2021年第一季度历史财务信息）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In addition to this, SQ potentially faces several other issues related to small business positioning; policy and regulation; and general macroeconomic factors which may create headwinds that will impact its valuation and pose an asymmetric downside risk for investors, which I will extrapolate on below.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外，SQ还可能面临与小企业定位相关的其他几个问题；政策和法规；以及一般宏观经济因素，这些因素可能会产生不利因素，影响其估值并给投资者带来不对称的下行风险，我将在下面进行推断。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>概述</b></blockquote></p><p> SQ is a payment processing and business tool provider that facilitates transactions between businesses / sellers and individuals and provides them with hardware, online infrastructure and analytics. Additionally, it services individuals through Cash App which appears to be growing exponentially and allows users to send, receive, hold and invest money, and recently Bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>SQ是一家支付处理和商业工具提供商，促进企业/卖家和个人之间的交易，并为他们提供硬件、在线基础设施和分析。此外，它还通过现金应用程序为个人提供服务，该应用程序似乎呈指数级增长，允许用户发送、接收、持有和投资资金，最近还有比特币。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cee1136e6c6e1b5294daf79d06e4a1e8\" tg-width=\"382\" tg-height=\"421\"><span>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 Shareholder Letter - Cash App Inflows vs Gross Profit)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2021年第一季度股东信-现金App流入与毛利润）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As of March 2020, the&nbsp;company has received a Banking License&nbsp;from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to originate commercial loans to retailers which use SQ for payment processing.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年3月，该公司已获得联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）的银行牌照，可以向使用SQ进行支付处理的零售商发放商业贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Given all of this positive news, it is not surprising that the stock has rallied over 330% in the last 3 years on the basis of future growth projections and, since 2020, has chased revenue estimates.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于所有这些积极消息，根据未来增长预测，该股在过去3年中上涨了330%以上，并且自2020年以来一直追逐收入预期也就不足为奇了。</blockquote></p><p> This was a common occurrence during COVID, as unchartered waters meant that top line growth was imperative for survival. Further, seemingly endless money printing by the Fed, combined with zero rates, meant money flowed into stocks which showed the highest potential for growth.</p><p><blockquote>这在新冠疫情期间很常见，因为未知的水域意味着营收增长对于生存至关重要。此外，美联储似乎无休止的印钞，加上零利率，意味着资金流入显示出最高增长潜力的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/214a8d95ef4deef4b9e6e7ec8ca86793\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Source: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ vs EPS Estimates and Revenue Estimates 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，使用YCHARTS的数据（2021年SQ与EPS预估和收入预估）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, in Q1 2021, as the printing slowed, yields began to rise and federal transfers to individuals dissipated, and consequently ever increasing revenue estimates began to mean less for the market, resulting in SQ price action ranging between $200 to $280.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在Q1 2021年，随着印刷放缓，收益率开始上升，联邦对个人的转移支付消失，因此不断增加的收入预期对市场的意义开始减弱，导致SQ价格走势在200美元至280美元之间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a03c8294f2805d4e82fbc3fed739f45\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Source: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ Price YTD)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，使用YCHARTS的数据（年初至今SQ价格）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Quantitative</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数量的</b></blockquote></p><p> Year to Date, SQ has been a good performer relative to the payment processing sector, returning ~12% price increases to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，SQ相对于支付处理行业表现良好，为股东带来了约12%的价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c32bf1243cd5e4252fc8af88b2ee4bfb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Source: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ vs Payment Processing Sector &gt;$50 bln Year to Date)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，使用YCHARTS的数据（SQ与支付处理行业今年迄今&gt;500亿美元）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> It is also not a surprise to see why when evaluated against these companies on a forward earnings and revenue basis. SQ has above average and median earnings growth for 2021 and 2022, as well as strong revenue growth for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>当根据远期收益和收入对这些公司进行评估时，也就不足为奇了。SQ 2021年和2022年的盈利增长高于平均水平和中位数，2021年的收入增长强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b67e41d041b35bf5e8ae3c7adb55c7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"444\"><span>Source: Author, Sector Comparison (Payment Processors)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，行业比较（支付处理商）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Whilst SQ's forward PE seems exaggerated in contrast to its counterparts, its forward PS is relatively small and below the sector averages and median, perhaps justifying its present value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然与同行相比，SQ的远期市盈率似乎被夸大了，但其远期市盈率相对较小，低于行业平均水平和中位数，这或许证明了其现值的合理性。</blockquote></p><p> However, once you remove Bitcoin revenue from the equation, you get much more exaggerated forward PS estimates on much lower revenue growth, which represents SQ's primary business.</p><p><blockquote>然而，一旦你将比特币收入从等式中剔除，你就会得到对收入增长低得多的预期PS估计，而收入增长代表了SQ的主要业务。</blockquote></p><p> For this equation, I have removed Bitcoin revenue from their Q1 2021 results, and judging by average analyst expectations which show little to no sequential revenue growth from Q2-Q4 2021, multiplied this figure by 4x for a year end revenue estimate of $6,140.70 mln. For prior years, I have removed Bitcoin from Revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在这个等式中，我从2021年第一季度的业绩中删除了比特币的收入，并根据分析师的平均预期判断，该预期显示2021年第二季度至第四季度的收入几乎没有环比增长，将该数字乘以4倍，得出年终收入估计为61.407亿美元。前几年，我已将比特币从收入中删除。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/624b2de0076a4f2d6062c52036b5d176\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"182\"><span>Source: Author, SQ Revenue Growth (2018 to 2021 Estimates with Bitcoin vs excl Bitcoin)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，SQ收入增长（2018年至2021年比特币与不包括比特币的预测）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5337259448695cf7fc6a796d86dba775\" tg-width=\"523\" tg-height=\"245\"><span>Source: Author, SQ vs Sector Comps (Revenue Estimates excl Bitcoin)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，SQ与行业比较（收入预测不包括比特币）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we can see this paints a very different picture of the company, and whilst revenue is still growing slightly above comps which also have high PS ratios, suddenly valuations on earnings look more meaningful and it becomes difficult to justify a forward PE 3x above the average and 4.5x above the median. Especially when companies such as American Express Co (AXP), Mastercard Inc (MA), PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) and Visa Inc (V) are producing on average 4x higher EPS. The majority of which pay a dividend and have similar growth estimates with less volatility risk.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们所看到的，这描绘了该公司截然不同的图景，虽然收入增长仍略高于市盈率也很高的公司，但盈利估值突然看起来更有意义，并且很难证明远期市盈率高于平均水平3倍是合理的，比中位数高4.5倍。尤其是当美国运通公司(AXP)、万事达卡公司(MA)、PayPal控股公司(PYPL)和Visa Inc(V)等公司的每股收益平均高出4倍时。其中大多数支付股息，并具有类似的增长预期，但波动风险较小。</blockquote></p><p> Many will suggest that \"this does not matter as BTC is now part of their revenue metrics and that is that, besides transaction volume is what is important\". However, I would cite the example of the 2018 Bitcoin sell off in which&nbsp;Bitcoin fell 70%, and transaction volumes fell from highs by approximately 75% as well:</p><p><blockquote>许多人会认为“这并不重要，因为BTC现在是他们收入指标的一部分，也就是说，除了交易量之外，才是重要的”。然而，我想举2018年比特币抛售的例子，比特币下跌了70%，交易量也从高点下跌了约75%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b01941a1ab02f1b6dc27d73a2705a242\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\"><span>Source: Bitcoinvisuals.com (Bitcoin Market Volume 2018)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Bitcoinvisuals.com（2018年比特币市场交易量）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> On a valuation basis, this presents a substantial downside risk to investors if Bitcoin continued to retrace as a result of being met by increased regulation globally, as the company is essentially trading on revenue metrics propped up by Bitcoin. Quite simply, price down in Bitcoin could mean downwards revisions to revenue estimates and consequently a highly volatile retracement in the price of SQ.</p><p><blockquote>从估值角度来看，如果比特币因全球监管力度加大而继续回调，这将给投资者带来巨大的下行风险，因为该公司本质上是根据比特币支持的收入指标进行交易的。很简单，比特币的价格下跌可能意味着收入预期的下调，从而导致SQ价格的高度波动回撤。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c89cf1b41c0d446571c7a471bb8d8e50\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Source: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ Price Correlation - Revenue, EPS and EBITDA)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，使用YCHARTS的数据（SQ价格相关性-收入、EPS和EBITDA）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This becomes increasingly likely given the historical volatility of the stock when compared to its peers and it is not surprising that it is also becoming a consensus short position.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到该股与同行相比的历史波动性，这种情况变得越来越有可能，而且它也成为共识空头头寸也就不足为奇了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d47874b5957751f0d485a9aa9ec5016\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"233\"><span>Source: Author (SQ vs Sector Comps Implied and Realized Volatility and Short Interest)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者（SQ与行业比较隐含波动率和已实现波动率以及空头利息）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Given the analysis by another Seeking Alpha contributor,The Value Trend&nbsp;in which the author suggests that&nbsp;SQ's 2025 growth is essentially priced in&nbsp;I would have to agree. SQ's reliance on revenue estimates which have been amplified substantially by Bitcoin present an asymmetric risk to the downside in the short to medium term for investors.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于另一位Seeking Alpha撰稿人的分析，我不得不同意作者认为SQ 2025年增长的价值趋势基本上已被定价。SQ对收入预测的依赖被比特币大幅放大，给投资者带来了中短期内不对称的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Macro</b></p><p><blockquote><b>宏观的</b></blockquote></p><p> Whilst we are in the process of reopening, many things remain uncertain, such as the level of demand sustainability, job growth and creation, and inflation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们正处于重新开放的过程中，但许多事情仍然不确定，如需求可持续性、就业增长和创造以及通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> Whilst the sentiment is overall positive in the media, there are several macroeconomic issues that are beneath the surface which need to be resolved before we can conclude that we are in the clear.</p><p><blockquote>虽然媒体的情绪总体上是积极的，但在我们得出结论认为我们是清白的之前，有几个宏观经济问题需要解决。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Small Business Environment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>小企业环境</b></blockquote></p><p> SQ's MRQ shows that nearly 49% of the Gross Profit comes from the Seller ecosystem (small businesses).</p><p><blockquote>SQ的MRQ显示，近49%的毛利润来自卖家生态系统（小企业）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0f50d03e91a1609a120fa139b61e292\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"319\"><span>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 10Q Page 39 - Segmented Gross Profit)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2021年第一季度10Q第39页-细分毛利）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The majority of this is originating from exposure to sellers with &lt;$500,000 Gross Payment Volume (69.5%). This makes square substantially exposed to fluctuations in the small business cycle.</p><p><blockquote>其中大部分来自支付总额低于500,000美元的卖家（69.5%）。这使得square很大程度上受到小企业周期波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75fbdbba973e9d39e9d07b50d6174b03\" tg-width=\"380\" tg-height=\"502\"><span>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 Shareholder Letter)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2021年第一季度股东信）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Delving into the Business Formation Statistics, there is a rosy picture, with over 500,000 business applications for the month of May, 2021 providing an endless surge of opportunity for SQ.</p><p><blockquote>深入研究业务形成统计数据，有一个乐观的画面，2021年5月超过500,000个业务应用程序为SQ提供了无尽的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/777bf7fbfba7b466a8c89baa9b21a72d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"475\"><span>Source: Census.gov (Business Applications, May 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Census.gov（商业应用，2021年5月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Again, when we dig deeper and look at the statistics below which rank the optimism of established small businesses, the picture begins to distort and starts to look like the descent into 2008.</p><p><blockquote>同样，当我们深入挖掘并查看排名成熟小企业乐观情绪的统计数据时，情况开始扭曲，开始看起来像是进入2008年的下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5be8fe67a4c257868eb79101d262e77\" tg-width=\"525\" tg-height=\"557\"><span>Source: NFIB (Small Business Economic Trends - Optimism, May 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：NFIB（小企业经济趋势-乐观，2021年5月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Further, when we examine Small Business future outlook on expansion, this has also descended to lows and similar to what was seen in 2008. This could suggest that the bread and butter of SQ's gross profit margin, may not expand at the rate previously seen during 2017 to 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，当我们考察小企业未来的扩张前景时，这也降至低点，与2008年类似。这可能表明SQ毛利率的主要组成部分可能不会以2017年至2020年期间的速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a555c19fb385f170bb6deb2b3abcca\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"319\"><span>Source: NFIB (Small Business Economic Trends - Outlook, May 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：NFIB（小企业经济趋势-展望，2021年5月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Additionally, it should be noted that the two primary reasons small businesses are giving for their negative outlook are \"Economic Conditions\" and \"Political Climate\", which could be related to the election in 2020, COVID, recent policy changes and be somewhat transitory. Alternatively it could resemble the slow march of 2008 to 2016, we simply do not know, except for the fact it is a low reading and consequently could weigh on SQ's high revenue and earnings growth estimates.</p><p><blockquote>此外，应该指出的是，小企业给出负面前景的两个主要原因是“经济状况”和“政治气候”，这可能与2020年的选举、COVID、最近的政策变化有关，并且在某种程度上是暂时的。或者，它可能类似于2008年至2016年的缓慢三月，我们只是不知道，除了它是一个较低的读数，因此可能会影响SQ的高收入和盈利增长预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fbef66ecf854fe482a86e001dec91e6\" tg-width=\"523\" tg-height=\"271\"><span>Source: NFIB (Small Business Economic Trends - Reasons for Outlook, May 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：NFIB（小企业经济趋势-展望原因，2021年5月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Small Business Lending</b></p><p><blockquote><b>小企业贷款</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking forward, SQ clearly aims to solidify its position in the commercial lending space through acquiring a banking license. This is very positive for the company due to their large and growing small business user base,their experience since 2014, and the&nbsp;PPP program, which stopped on May 31, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，SQ显然旨在通过获得银行牌照来巩固其在商业贷款领域的地位。这对该公司来说非常积极，因为他们庞大且不断增长的小型企业用户群、他们自2014年以来的经验以及于2021年5月31日停止的PPP计划。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, bank lending has receded as a result of recovery efforts from COVID.</p><p><blockquote>目前，由于COVID的复苏努力，银行贷款已经减少。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327e5b2f822c5f6e8b6298b58c0d4f94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\"><span>Source: YCHARTS (US Commercial Banks - Commercial and Industrial Loans)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCHARTS（美国商业银行-商业和工业贷款）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This can be verified through the credit conditions index in the&nbsp;monthly NFIB report. Although, an&nbsp;American Banker survey&nbsp;is reporting that 86% of small businesses are finding it difficult to access credit, and are having to resort to personal credit.</p><p><blockquote>这可以通过NFIB月度报告中的信用状况指数来验证。尽管如此，美国银行家的一项调查报告称，86%的小企业发现很难获得信贷，不得不求助于个人信贷。</blockquote></p><p> This is positive for SQ as it will allow them to fill the gap for credit to small business within the market. Though I believe it will be short lived as there is speculation that when the Fed tapers, they will also announce the lifting of&nbsp;capital restraints&nbsp;placed on Wells Fargo &amp; Company (WFC).</p><p><blockquote>这对SQ来说是积极的，因为这将使他们能够填补市场上小企业的信贷缺口。尽管我认为这将是短暂的，因为有人猜测，当美联储缩减规模时，他们还将宣布取消对富国银行（WFC）的资本限制。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/530b7de3c5d05e7e8f5de219d3582ea7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"689\"><span>Source: Credit Suisse (Global Money Dispatch - 25 May 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：瑞士信贷（Global Money Dispatch–2021年5月25日）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There is a fairly good probability that this will occur, given that early in 2020 the Fed had&nbsp;lifted these restraints&nbsp;to help small businesses via the PPP program and tapering has a history of upsetting the market. If this occurs, I suspect WFC will become a giant amongst the small business credit space once more and be a very tough competitor to SQ due to their extensive network and history in the space.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于美联储在2020年初取消了这些限制，以通过PPP计划帮助小企业，而且缩减购债规模有扰乱市场的历史，这种情况发生的可能性相当大。如果发生这种情况，我怀疑WFC将再次成为小企业信贷领域的巨头，并由于其在该领域广泛的网络和历史而成为SQ非常强劲的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin, Legislation &amp; Gensler</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币、立法和詹斯勒</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin has been making headlines as of 2H 2020 and much of 1H 2021 for good reason. It is gaining traction amongst retail traders and investors and has shown exceptional appreciation. Further, some minor&nbsp;banks&nbsp;have been interested in the medium although many banks and financial institutions have explicitly banned the&nbsp;purchase of Bitcoin using their services.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在2020年下半年和2021年上半年的大部分时间里一直是头条新闻，这是有充分理由的。它在散户交易者和投资者中越来越受欢迎，并表现出非凡的赞赏。此外，一些小型银行对这种媒介很感兴趣，尽管许多银行和金融机构已经明确禁止使用其服务购买比特币。</blockquote></p><p> The primary reasons for their objection is more than likely to do with illicit activities, such as&nbsp;money laundering,terrorism,fake transaction volumes, and similar activities which I do not want to get into and neither do banks.</p><p><blockquote>他们反对的主要原因很可能与非法活动有关，如洗钱、恐怖主义、虚假交易量以及我不想参与的类似活动，银行也不想参与。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Consequently, on the recent hype, many countries are now stepping in to regulate the use of Bitcoin, but others are going a step further and are enacting legislation to ban its use and mining, most notably,China&nbsp;and&nbsp;India.</p><p><blockquote>因此，在最近的炒作中，许多国家现在正在介入监管比特币的使用，但其他国家更进一步，正在颁布立法禁止其使用和开采，最明显的是中印两国。</blockquote></p><p> This has had a negative impact on the price of Bitcoin since the ATHs in May 2021 of ~$65,000, retracing -46% since then.</p><p><blockquote>自2021年5月ATHs约65,000美元以来，这对比特币的价格产生了负面影响，此后回撤了-46%。</blockquote></p><p> It is also extremely negative for Bitcoin going forward as the majority of Bitcoin mining is done in China (~70% YTD) with&nbsp;Hashrates of mining being correlated to the price. Therefore if these recede on decreasing Chinese mining activity, price could surely follow, affecting SQ's Bitcoin holdings and future transaction volumes.</p><p><blockquote>这对比特币的未来也是极其不利的，因为比特币的大部分挖矿都是在中国完成的（年初至今约70%），挖矿的算力与价格相关。因此，如果这些因素因中国采矿活动减少而消退，价格肯定会随之上涨，从而影响SQ的比特币持有量和未来交易量。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75ef78953396700241870a3f3ae8d8be\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\"><span>Source: Cambridge University (Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index YTD)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：剑桥大学（剑桥比特币电力消费指数年初至今）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Whilst the SEC has come out and said that&nbsp;Bitcoin regulation is not on their agenda for 2021, Gary Gensler has&nbsp;warned investors to be cautious. Gensler is also has a long history on regulations to protect investors, and despite not putting Bitcoin on the agenda for 2021, I advise readers to study his history with respect to&nbsp;2000 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>虽然SEC已经站出来表示，比特币监管不在他们2021年的议程上，但Gary Gensler警告投资者要谨慎。Gensler在保护投资者的监管方面也有着悠久的历史，尽管没有将比特币列入2021年的议程，但我建议读者研究他在2000年和2008年的历史。</blockquote></p><p> Looking out further, this does not bode well for Bitcoin and SQ, generally. It is likely that there could be further regulation rather than adoption, negatively impacting its price, leading to a repeat of 2018 lower volumes as well as mining activity.</p><p><blockquote>进一步看，总的来说，这对比特币和SQ来说并不是一个好兆头。很可能会有进一步的监管而不是采用，从而对其价格产生负面影响，导致2018年产量和采矿活动的下降重演。</blockquote></p><p> <b>General Economy - The Worry for Retail</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总体经济——零售业的担忧</b></blockquote></p><p> Separately, we could also be seeing a negative situation for retail going forward. Much of the recovery in retail as not been driven by \"pent up demand\" but mostly through subsidies issued throughout&nbsp;2020 and the start of 2021. When examining the graph below, we can see that once you subtract transfer receipts (government stimulus cheques and employment benefits - red line), income is not what it used to be.</p><p><blockquote>另外，我们也可能会看到零售业未来的负面形势。零售业的复苏在很大程度上不是由“被压抑的需求”推动的，而是主要通过2020年和2021年初发放的补贴。当检查下图时，我们可以看到，一旦你减去转移收入（政府刺激支票和就业福利——红线），收入就不再是以前的样子了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97a5a8cfaa11dd3c5ab5544778a40b90\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\"><span>Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Disposable Income vs Real Income minus Transfers vs Personal Savings vs Retail Trade Sales)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：圣路易斯联邦储备银行（可支配收入vs实际收入减去转账vs个人储蓄vs零售贸易销售）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Additionally, we can see that much of the spikes in retail sales (purple) have been driven mainly through the stimulus cheques which bolstered disposable income (blue) and consumer savings (green), though now stimulus has ended and people are having to start to dig into their savings, which is dropped 54% month on month between March and April.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我们可以看到，零售额（紫色）的飙升主要是由刺激支票推动的，刺激支票增加了可支配收入（蓝色）和消费者储蓄（绿色），尽管现在刺激已经结束，人们不得不开始挖掘他们的储蓄，3月至4月期间环比下降了54%。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer spending situation is made worse when examining U6 unemployment, which is&nbsp;considered to be the most revealing&nbsp;amongst economists as it includes unemployed, underemployed and discouraged job seekers. This, generally speaking, does not bode well for consumer discretionary spending patterns going forward.</p><p><blockquote>在检查U6失业率时，消费者支出情况变得更糟，U6失业率被认为是经济学家中最能揭示问题的，因为它包括失业、未充分就业和灰心丧气的求职者。一般来说，这对未来消费者可自由支配支出模式来说不是一个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c09f260d254df1a847962a6b6896764c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>Source: Macrotrends.net (U6 Unemployment Rate vs U5 vs Official)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Macrotrends.net（U6失业率vs U5 vs官方）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Finally, the rising cost of food and energy, which for food I expect to continue, should hamper consumer discretionary spend going forward. I have previously written articles on The Mosaic Company (MOS)hereand The Andersons (ANDE)here, which outline my justification for this trend.</p><p><blockquote>最后，食品和能源成本的上涨（我预计食品成本将持续上涨）应该会阻碍消费者未来的可自由支配支出。我以前写过关于马赛克公司（MOS）和安德森公司（ANDE）的文章，概述了我对这一趋势的理由。</blockquote></p><p> In relation to SQ, we can see their historical exposure to consumer discretionary spend based on end 2019 data. When taking into account figures from: retail; professional services, beauty and personal care, home and repair, leisure and entertainment, and casual use, the total exposure is approximately 59%.</p><p><blockquote>关于SQ，我们可以根据2019年底的数据看到他们对消费者可自由支配支出的历史敞口。当考虑到以下数据时：零售；专业服务、美容及个护、家居及维修、休闲娱乐及休闲使用，总曝光量约为59%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddddbe8ed21ed16aab29a7b5ebbc846\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\"><span>Source: Statista (Raynor de Best - GPV by Seller Industry Dec 2019)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista（Raynor de Best–卖家行业GPV，2019年12月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Whilst this may not impact its revenue figures substantially due to the weighting of bitcoin, I do expect this to undermine is gross profit figures going forward and negatively impact margins as stimulus further fades.</p><p><blockquote>虽然由于比特币的权重，这可能不会对其收入数据产生重大影响，但我确实预计这将削弱未来的毛利润数据，并随着刺激措施进一步消退对利润率产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币</b></blockquote></p><p> When examining the financials of SQ we can easily see that Bitcoin is the predominant factor driving its revenue growth (MRQ 69% of total revenue) of which its valuation is derived (see above Introduction section - SQ Price vs Revenue Segments; and Quantitative section - SQ Price correlation).</p><p><blockquote>在检查SQ的财务状况时，我们可以很容易地看到，比特币是推动其收入增长的主要因素（MRQ占总收入的69%），其估值也由此得出（参见上面的介绍部分-SQ价格与收入部分；和定量部分-SQ价格相关性）。</blockquote></p><p> From their Q1 2021 Shareholder Letter, page 12 they have stated that on March 31, 2021 the fair value of their holdings was $472 million. On this date the closing price was $58,918.83, or approximately 8,011 Bitcoins. They also state they initially invested $200 million into bitcoin during this period and Q4, so their average price is roughly $25,000 per Bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>在2021年第一季度股东信第12页中，他们表示，截至2021年3月31日，他们所持股份的公允价值为4.72亿美元。这一天的收盘价为58,918.83美元，约合8,011个比特币。他们还表示，在此期间和第四季度，他们最初向比特币投资了2亿美元，因此他们的平均价格约为每个比特币25,000美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Currently, the price of Bitcoin sits at approximately $34,600 and it also appears to be struggling to find traction, especially when you examine some other trends. For example, looking at search trends of \"Buy Bitcoin\" on Google Trends, this is clearly waning.</p><p><blockquote>目前，比特币的价格约为34,600美元，它似乎也很难找到吸引力，尤其是当你研究其他一些趋势时。例如，看看谷歌趋势上“购买比特币”的搜索趋势，这显然正在减弱。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6b3b70625f48232fa97f1aa14f5548e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"333\"><span>Source: Google Trends (Buy Bitcoin search terms - Worldwide 5 Yrs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Google Trends（购买比特币搜索词-全球5年）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Additionally, when you align this data with stimulus payments it is clear there is a relationship between the two in 2H 2020, and much of the recent speculation could be driven by government subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>此外，当你将这些数据与刺激支付联系起来时，很明显这两者在2020年下半年存在关系，最近的大部分猜测可能是由政府补贴驱动的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54329dbe61b7b1f9fc1347f632aff709\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"293\"><span>Source: USA.Gov (COVID Stimulus Cheque Dates)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：USA.Gov（新冠刺激支票日期）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The spike in searches occurs roughly around the time of the two latter government stimulus cheques with a lag of a few days to a few weeks.</p><p><blockquote>搜索量的激增大约发生在后两次政府刺激支票的时间，有几天到几周的滞后。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c7a198a905e4a89f11faa1b4db4003b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\"><span>Source: Google Trends (Buy Bitcoin search terms - USA 12 Months)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Google Trends（购买比特币搜索词-美国12个月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This also coincides with Bitcoin's price run up in December 2020 and January 2021, as well the failed rally in March and April 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这也与比特币在2020年12月和2021年1月的价格上涨以及2021年3月和4月的失败反弹相吻合。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0428576ae2c8312e747c3ae5fccab637\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\"><span>Source: YCHARTS (Bitcoin Price 1 Yr)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCHARTS（比特币价格1年）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, in this example, if we have a continued sell off of -70%, which is similar to what occurred in 2018. We would be back at November 2020 Bitcoin prices of $20,000 approximately.</p><p><blockquote>因此，在这个例子中，如果我们持续抛售-70%，这与2018年发生的情况类似。我们将回到2020年11月比特币价格约为20,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is still feasible on the basis of dwindling volume, further legislation and declining hashrates. It could also be theorized that SQ may carry an impairment charge of $40 million, which would greatly affect operating income, net income and shareholder earnings and future estimates. Though this is purely theoretical without accounting for transactions in the current quarter, such as purchases or sales at or near ATHs.</p><p><blockquote>在数量减少、进一步立法和哈希率下降的基础上，这仍然是可行的。从理论上讲，SQ可能会产生4000万美元的减值费用，这将极大地影响营业收入、净利润和股东收益以及未来预期。尽管这纯粹是理论上的，没有考虑本季度的交易，例如在ATH或附近的购买或销售。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, with the lack of stimulus payments going forward and tighter consumer discretionary spend, the revenue generated from Bitcoin may also decline as less money enters the space and volumes decline. Negatively impacting revenue estimates for SQ and subsequently their price and valuation.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于未来缺乏刺激付款以及消费者可自由支配支出收紧，随着进入该领域的资金减少和销量下降，比特币产生的收入也可能下降。对SQ的收入估计以及随后的价格和估值产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cash App</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现金应用程序</b></blockquote></p><p> On the surface, it looks like Cash App is growing exponentially into a viable platform for users to transact, with more than 36 million monthly transacting active customers, up 50% YoY.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看，Cash App正在呈指数级增长，成为用户交易的可行平台，每月交易活跃客户超过3600万，同比增长50%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b457a1d1f65d9d40fac153a9926aa167\" tg-width=\"262\" tg-height=\"230\"><span>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q4 2020 Shareholder Letter)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2020年第四季度股东信）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, this growth in Cash App may be unsustainable going forward, with SQ elaborating on this in their Quarterly filing notes:</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cash App的这种增长未来可能是不可持续的，SQ在其季度备案说明中详细阐述了这一点：</blockquote></p><p>   Cash App revenue benefited from growth in numbers of active Cash App customers and from&nbsp;  <b>government relief programs</b>&nbsp;most recently passed into law in late December 2020 and in March 2021, as well as cumulative benefit from earlier stimulus programs passed in 2020. These programs provided additional stimulus relief and unemployment benefits which resulted in an increase in consumer spending and inflows into our Cash App ecosystem. Cash App revenue growth may not be sustained at the same levels in future quarters and may be impacted by the enactment of further stimulus relief and benefit programs, as well as the demand and market prices for bitcoin, amongst other factors.    <i>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 10Q Filings - Page 49)</i>  Part of the issue with Cash App is theoretical continued use and future adoption. Much of the growth seen over the last year was predominantly fueled by stimulus payments through the Cash App ecosystem, and therefore by necessity given the circumstances.</p><p><blockquote>Cash App收入受益于Cash App活跃客户数量的增长以及<b>政府救济计划</b>最近于2020年12月下旬和2021年3月通过成为法律，以及2020年通过的早期刺激计划的累积收益。这些计划提供了额外的刺激救济和失业福利，导致消费者支出和流入我们的Cash App生态系统的资金增加。Cash App的收入增长在未来几个季度可能无法维持在相同水平，并且可能会受到进一步刺激救济和福利计划的颁布以及比特币的需求和市场价格等因素的影响。<i>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2021年第一季度10Q文件–第49页）</i>Cash App的部分问题是理论上的持续使用和未来的采用。去年的大部分增长主要是由通过Cash App生态系统进行的刺激支付推动的，因此在这种情况下是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> The two sharp spikes in searches for the app occurred on:</p><p><blockquote>该应用程序的搜索量出现了两次急剧上升：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>April 12-18 2020</li>  <li>January 24-30 2021</li> </ul> These coincide with stimulus payments as they initially sent them and they gradually deposited them into people's accounts.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2020年4月12日至18日</li><li>2021年1月24日至30日</li></ul>这些与刺激付款相吻合，因为他们最初发送这些款项，并逐渐将其存入人们的账户。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9485d2feac40030b5190195a471781e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Google Trends (Cash App search terms - USA 5 Years)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Google Trends（现金应用搜索词-美国5年）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, as government stimulus payments end, and Bitcoin again fades from relevancy, and more people return to work and day-trade less, this could negatively impact user growth metrics going forward, impacting SQ revenue estimates, gross profit figures, and its earnings.</p><p><blockquote>因此，随着政府刺激付款结束，比特币再次失去相关性，越来越多的人重返工作岗位，日间交易减少，这可能会对未来的用户增长指标产生负面影响，影响SQ的收入估计、毛利润数据及其收益。</blockquote></p><p> Further, there are a multitude of other more viable platforms, which another Seeking Alpha contributor,The Value Trend, has elaborated onhere.</p><p><blockquote>此外，还有许多其他更可行的平台，另一位Seeking Alpha撰稿人The Value Trend在这里详细介绍了这些平台。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> It is also important to keep in mind how they define these users, a \"Transacting active Cash App customer\" is the following:</p><p><blockquote>同样重要的是要记住他们如何定义这些用户，“交易活跃现金应用程序客户”如下：</blockquote></p><p>   ... has at least  <b>one financial transaction</b>using any product or service within Cash App during the specified period.    <i>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q4 2020 Shareholder Letter - Page 4)</i>  So, if a customer received their wages from an employer, or unemployment benefit, into Cash App once per month, and transferred all of it to their bank account once per month, they are a \"transacting active Cash App customer\"...</p><p><blockquote>...至少有<b>一笔金融交易</b>在指定期间内使用Cash App内的任何产品或服务。<i>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2020年第四季度股东信-第4页）</i>因此，如果客户每月一次从雇主那里收到工资或失业救济金，并每月一次将所有工资转入他们的银行账户，那么他们就是“交易活跃现金应用客户”...</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps a better quantifier of an \"active\" customer would be greater than 5 transactions.</p><p><blockquote>也许一个“活跃”客户的更好的量词是大于5笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Technicals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术</b></blockquote></p><p> Examining the technicals of SQ, it is clear that the stock is now ranging between $200 and $280, with several breakout attempts at $250 and 2 failed attempts near $300, showing several signs that momentum is dying out.</p><p><blockquote>检查SQ的技术面，很明显该股目前在200美元至280美元之间波动，在250美元处有几次突破尝试，在300美元附近有两次失败的尝试，显示出几个迹象表明势头正在消失。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c277d5239e06c67b7ff6fd7fff319bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"642\"><span>Source: Author, with data from FINVIZ (SQ Chart)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自FINVIZ（SQ图表）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When examining dark pool order flows, there is a possibility for the current rally to continue as dark pools are at lows, which may likely continue into earnings by August. Although I would not get my hopes up unless some seriously good news occurs and Bitcoin rallies back to ATHs.</p><p><blockquote>在检查暗池订单流时，由于暗池处于低点，当前的反弹有可能继续，这可能会持续到8月份的收益中。尽管我不会抱太大希望，除非出现一些严重的好消息，比特币反弹回ATHs。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3323bfcd903c74dce542b53b0b56e093\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\"><span>Source: Squeezemetrics.com (SQ Dark Pools vs Implied Vol 2 Years)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Squeezemetrics.com（SQ暗池与隐含Vol 2年）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> From the 13F filings, we can also see that many funds have reduced exposure and closed their positions, with fewer new positions being added. The Put to Call ratio is also becoming quite high, especially on a stock that has $100 bln market cap, signaling that we are not the only ones thinking the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>从13F备案中也可以看到，不少基金降低了敞口并平仓，新增仓位较少。看跌期权与看涨期权的比率也变得相当高，尤其是在市值为1000亿美元的股票上，这表明我们并不是唯一有同样想法的人。</blockquote></p><p> Caution is required though, as SQ's issues with Bitcoin are obviously becoming a consensus trade, and when those puts are lifted, gamma may turn positive and it could cause the stock to rally significantly.</p><p><blockquote>但需要谨慎，因为SQ与比特币的问题显然正在成为共识交易，当这些看跌期权被取消时，伽马可能会转为正值，并可能导致该股大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b221f08c025ba225e32114f0e76dd272\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"152\"><span>Source: Whalewisdom.com (SQ Funds Positioning)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Whalewisdom.com（SQ基金定位）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Further, with relation to ARK ETFs, it is no surprise that there have been&nbsp;significant liquidity issues&nbsp;the last 6 months, and I agree with another Seeking Alpha contributor's thesisherethat we will see a reversion to the mean with respect to prices of stocks held in these ETFs. What can be noted is that Cathie has significantly reduced her exposure to SQ and that she may be picking her battles.</p><p><blockquote>此外，就ARK ETF而言，过去6个月出现重大流动性问题也就不足为奇了，我同意另一位Seeking Alpha撰稿人的论点，即我们将看到这些ETF中持有的股票价格回归均值。值得注意的是，Cathie已经显著减少了她对SQ的接触，她可能正在选择她的战斗。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecce0e1f1cd9e7e47fe27105be3f6ad0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"559\"><span>Source: Cathiesark.com (SQ Shares Held - All ETFs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Cathiesark.com（持有SQ股票-所有ETF）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Given the above information, this is a difficult company to be short. It will either payoff enormously, or rip your face off due to its volatility. Additionally there are many funds wanting some small level of exposure to a company with Bitcoin on the financial statements. Therefore, if you were to trade this as a short at your own risk, discretion is advised and you should always pick your battles.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于上述信息，这是一家很难做空的公司。它要么会带来巨大的回报，要么会因为它的波动性而撕碎你的脸。此外，许多基金希望对财务报表上有比特币的公司进行少量投资。因此，如果您要自担风险将其作为空头进行交易，建议谨慎行事，并且您应该始终选择战斗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Targets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格目标</b></blockquote></p><p> On the basis of volatility through SQ's ATR it is possible that SQ could move to a low of approximately $100 by the end of the year, moving in favor 40% of the time. This aligns with my year end 2021 price if you remove Bitcoin entirely from the equation.</p><p><blockquote>根据SQ ATR的波动性，SQ有可能在今年年底前跌至约100美元的低点，40%的情况下走势有利。如果你把比特币完全从等式中剔除，这与我的2021年底价格一致。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ec1e2586568ef7e0aea0c54e3503acc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\"><span>Source: Author (SQ ATR Calculator)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者（SQ ATR计算器）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, it would not be sensible to do this as it is part of their revenue for the time being, no matter how high Bitcoin volumes were in the start of 2021 and how low they may be at the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这样做是不明智的，因为这是他们目前收入的一部分，无论2021年初比特币的销量有多高，年底可能有多低。</blockquote></p><p> I do expect the stock to fall again and retest $200, possibly breaking down to $160. Though it is very difficult to determine a valuation with SQ, mainly because the valuation is derived from Bitcoin revenues, and also the perceived value by funds and the market in the future adoption of the asset.</p><p><blockquote>我确实预计该股将再次下跌并重新测试200美元，可能跌破160美元。尽管很难确定SQ的估值，主要是因为估值来自比特币收入，以及基金和市场在未来采用该资产时的感知价值。</blockquote></p><p> If the market begins to perceive Bitcoin again as irrelevant, I would expect SQ to slowly sell off to between $150 and $160 (-37% downside) with a low probability that it will rally past $300 (25% upside).</p><p><blockquote>如果市场再次开始认为比特币无关紧要，我预计SQ将慢慢抛售至150美元至160美元之间（下跌-37%），反弹超过300美元（上涨25%）的可能性很低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> With respect to SQ the following risks should be noted.</p><p><blockquote>关于SQ，应注意以下风险。</blockquote></p><p> The company is growing, whether you like SQ or not. The main questions are: Will the market value Bitcoin on any realistic basis? How much is it growing with and without Bitcoin? What is the potential future growth with and without Bitcoin? And does the market believe it, or for that matter care?</p><p><blockquote>不管你喜不喜欢SQ，公司都在成长。主要问题是：市场会在任何现实基础上对比特币进行估值吗？不管有没有比特币，它增长了多少？无论有没有比特币，未来的潜在增长是多少？市场相信吗，或者就此而言在乎吗？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> If the Bitcoin fades from relevancy, and judging by Google Trends, it is more likely than it is not, it is not outlandish to assume that SQ will suffer as a result of this and over the 2H 2021 and take a substantial hit to revenue estimates. However, if Bitcoin adoption increases and negative news fades, since this is a growth company, it could simply continue rallying.</p><p><blockquote>如果比特币失去相关性，从谷歌趋势来看，这种可能性更大，那么假设SQ将因此在2021年下半年遭受损失并对收入预期造成重大打击并不奇怪。然而，如果比特币的采用率增加并且负面消息消退，由于这是一家成长型公司，它可能会继续上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Further, consumer spending patterns are producing mixed data, and above I have presented a bear case. This could easily turn the other way if people's behavior changes, such as applying for jobs which will increase spending in the economy and hopefully produce small business growth and increase small business optimism and expansion, which is very beneficial for SQ as a cyclical business in the payment processing space.</p><p><blockquote>此外，消费者支出模式正在产生混合数据，上面我提出了一个熊市案例。如果人们的行为发生变化，例如申请将增加经济支出的工作，并有望产生小企业增长，增加小企业的乐观情绪和扩张，这对于SQ作为支付处理领域的周期性企业非常有利。</blockquote></p><p> Again, caution is necessary, though I do think that future growth of the company is priced in and there is a higher risk to holders of SQ to the downside than to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>同样，谨慎是必要的，尽管我确实认为公司未来的增长已被定价，SQ持有者面临的下行风险高于上行风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> SQ is a high growth company with some potential positive points in the long run; however, its valuation is highly questionable due to its high revenue estimates predominantly derived from Bitcoin transactions and not bottom-line earnings growth.</p><p><blockquote>SQ是一家高增长公司，从长远来看具有一些潜在的积极点；然而，其估值非常值得怀疑，因为其高收入预期主要来自比特币交易，而不是盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p> From a quantitative perspective, it looks good amongst its peers but upon further examination it appears to be extremely overvalued as future growth, at least for 2021, may be derived from Bitcoin. Further, its Cash App adoption statistics may not continue to see the same run rate going forward without continued government stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>从定量角度来看，它在同行中看起来不错，但经过进一步检查，它似乎被严重高估，因为未来的增长（至少2021年）可能来自比特币。此外，如果没有政府的持续刺激，其Cash App采用统计数据可能不会继续看到相同的运行率。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, it faces several potential macroeconomic hurdles with respect to small business exposure, lending competitors, consumer transaction competitors, Bitcoin legislation and softening retail demand.</p><p><blockquote>此外，它还面临着一些潜在的宏观经济障碍，包括小企业风险、贷款竞争对手、消费者交易竞争对手、比特币立法和零售需求疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Square: The Bear Case<blockquote>广场：熊案</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSquare: The Bear Case<blockquote>广场：熊案</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 10:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>On the surface, Square appears to be a growing company and a good investment with strong revenue growth and a large Cash App user base.</li>  <li>In reality, the company has struggled to translate its top line into bottom line earnings.</li>  <li>This has resulted in Square expanding its products to justify exaggerated revenue valuations which may never result in meaningful earnings growth.</li>  <li>And whilst at first glance its Cash App story appears to be a budding prospect, it may be nothing more than temporary growth based on necessity.</li>  <li>Given the current valuation and the increasing Bitcoin headwinds, Square could face significant revisions downwards in revenue and earnings.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f072284e4d267ddbfaf6f17db8b6aa46\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>AndreyPopov/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>从表面上看，Square似乎是一家成长中的公司，也是一项不错的投资，收入增长强劲，Cash App用户群庞大。</li><li>事实上，该公司一直在努力将其营收转化为净利润。</li><li>这导致Square扩大其产品，以证明夸大的收入估值是合理的，而这可能永远不会带来有意义的盈利增长。</li><li>虽然乍一看，它的现金应用程序故事似乎是一个崭露头角的前景，但它可能只不过是基于必要性的暂时增长。</li><li>鉴于目前的估值和不断增加的比特币阻力，Square可能面临收入和盈利的大幅下调。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>AndreyPopov/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Square Inc.(NYSE:SQ)is one of the&nbsp;most popular stocks&nbsp;among retail traders and investors, ranking 57 in Robinhood's top 100 rankings. This has resulted in a 135% increase in price over the last year allowing SQ to reach a market capitalization of greater than $100bln, trading with the volatility of a mid-cap company.</p><p><blockquote>Square Inc.（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SQ）是最受散户交易者和投资者欢迎的股票之一，在Robinhood的100强排名中排名第57位。这导致SQ的价格比去年上涨了135%，市值超过1000亿美元，交易波动性相当于中型公司。</blockquote></p><p> On the surface the price and valuation may seem justified, with the company sequentially increasing revenues and expanding its portfolio of products through Cash App, Bitcoin (BTC-USD), PPP loans and most recently delving into the commercial loans business with a&nbsp;banking license&nbsp;via Square Financial Services.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看，价格和估值似乎是合理的，该公司通过Cash App、比特币（BTC-USD）、PPP贷款不断增加收入并扩大其产品组合，最近还通过Square Financial Services获得银行牌照。</blockquote></p><p> However, these valuations are becoming disaggregated from the fundamentals of the company and its core business on speculation of future revenue projections which are heavily reliant on Bitcoin revenues.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于对未来收入预测的猜测，这些估值正与公司及其核心业务的基本面脱钩，而未来收入预测严重依赖于比特币收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adc746c80eba08b76805234d32a7eff4\" tg-width=\"638\" tg-height=\"358\"><span>Source: Author, with data from SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 Historical Financial Information)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自SQ Investor Relations（2021年第一季度历史财务信息）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In addition to this, SQ potentially faces several other issues related to small business positioning; policy and regulation; and general macroeconomic factors which may create headwinds that will impact its valuation and pose an asymmetric downside risk for investors, which I will extrapolate on below.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外，SQ还可能面临与小企业定位相关的其他几个问题；政策和法规；以及一般宏观经济因素，这些因素可能会产生不利因素，影响其估值并给投资者带来不对称的下行风险，我将在下面进行推断。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>概述</b></blockquote></p><p> SQ is a payment processing and business tool provider that facilitates transactions between businesses / sellers and individuals and provides them with hardware, online infrastructure and analytics. Additionally, it services individuals through Cash App which appears to be growing exponentially and allows users to send, receive, hold and invest money, and recently Bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>SQ是一家支付处理和商业工具提供商，促进企业/卖家和个人之间的交易，并为他们提供硬件、在线基础设施和分析。此外，它还通过现金应用程序为个人提供服务，该应用程序似乎呈指数级增长，允许用户发送、接收、持有和投资资金，最近还有比特币。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cee1136e6c6e1b5294daf79d06e4a1e8\" tg-width=\"382\" tg-height=\"421\"><span>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 Shareholder Letter - Cash App Inflows vs Gross Profit)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2021年第一季度股东信-现金App流入与毛利润）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As of March 2020, the&nbsp;company has received a Banking License&nbsp;from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to originate commercial loans to retailers which use SQ for payment processing.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年3月，该公司已获得联邦存款保险公司（FDIC）的银行牌照，可以向使用SQ进行支付处理的零售商发放商业贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Given all of this positive news, it is not surprising that the stock has rallied over 330% in the last 3 years on the basis of future growth projections and, since 2020, has chased revenue estimates.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于所有这些积极消息，根据未来增长预测，该股在过去3年中上涨了330%以上，并且自2020年以来一直追逐收入预期也就不足为奇了。</blockquote></p><p> This was a common occurrence during COVID, as unchartered waters meant that top line growth was imperative for survival. Further, seemingly endless money printing by the Fed, combined with zero rates, meant money flowed into stocks which showed the highest potential for growth.</p><p><blockquote>这在新冠疫情期间很常见，因为未知的水域意味着营收增长对于生存至关重要。此外，美联储似乎无休止的印钞，加上零利率，意味着资金流入显示出最高增长潜力的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/214a8d95ef4deef4b9e6e7ec8ca86793\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Source: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ vs EPS Estimates and Revenue Estimates 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，使用YCHARTS的数据（2021年SQ与EPS预估和收入预估）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, in Q1 2021, as the printing slowed, yields began to rise and federal transfers to individuals dissipated, and consequently ever increasing revenue estimates began to mean less for the market, resulting in SQ price action ranging between $200 to $280.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在Q1 2021年，随着印刷放缓，收益率开始上升，联邦对个人的转移支付消失，因此不断增加的收入预期对市场的意义开始减弱，导致SQ价格走势在200美元至280美元之间。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a03c8294f2805d4e82fbc3fed739f45\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Source: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ Price YTD)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，使用YCHARTS的数据（年初至今SQ价格）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Quantitative</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数量的</b></blockquote></p><p> Year to Date, SQ has been a good performer relative to the payment processing sector, returning ~12% price increases to shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止，SQ相对于支付处理行业表现良好，为股东带来了约12%的价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c32bf1243cd5e4252fc8af88b2ee4bfb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Source: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ vs Payment Processing Sector &gt;$50 bln Year to Date)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，使用YCHARTS的数据（SQ与支付处理行业今年迄今&gt;500亿美元）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> It is also not a surprise to see why when evaluated against these companies on a forward earnings and revenue basis. SQ has above average and median earnings growth for 2021 and 2022, as well as strong revenue growth for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>当根据远期收益和收入对这些公司进行评估时，也就不足为奇了。SQ 2021年和2022年的盈利增长高于平均水平和中位数，2021年的收入增长强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b67e41d041b35bf5e8ae3c7adb55c7d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"444\"><span>Source: Author, Sector Comparison (Payment Processors)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，行业比较（支付处理商）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Whilst SQ's forward PE seems exaggerated in contrast to its counterparts, its forward PS is relatively small and below the sector averages and median, perhaps justifying its present value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然与同行相比，SQ的远期市盈率似乎被夸大了，但其远期市盈率相对较小，低于行业平均水平和中位数，这或许证明了其现值的合理性。</blockquote></p><p> However, once you remove Bitcoin revenue from the equation, you get much more exaggerated forward PS estimates on much lower revenue growth, which represents SQ's primary business.</p><p><blockquote>然而，一旦你将比特币收入从等式中剔除，你就会得到对收入增长低得多的预期PS估计，而收入增长代表了SQ的主要业务。</blockquote></p><p> For this equation, I have removed Bitcoin revenue from their Q1 2021 results, and judging by average analyst expectations which show little to no sequential revenue growth from Q2-Q4 2021, multiplied this figure by 4x for a year end revenue estimate of $6,140.70 mln. For prior years, I have removed Bitcoin from Revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在这个等式中，我从2021年第一季度的业绩中删除了比特币的收入，并根据分析师的平均预期判断，该预期显示2021年第二季度至第四季度的收入几乎没有环比增长，将该数字乘以4倍，得出年终收入估计为61.407亿美元。前几年，我已将比特币从收入中删除。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/624b2de0076a4f2d6062c52036b5d176\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"182\"><span>Source: Author, SQ Revenue Growth (2018 to 2021 Estimates with Bitcoin vs excl Bitcoin)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，SQ收入增长（2018年至2021年比特币与不包括比特币的预测）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5337259448695cf7fc6a796d86dba775\" tg-width=\"523\" tg-height=\"245\"><span>Source: Author, SQ vs Sector Comps (Revenue Estimates excl Bitcoin)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，SQ与行业比较（收入预测不包括比特币）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we can see this paints a very different picture of the company, and whilst revenue is still growing slightly above comps which also have high PS ratios, suddenly valuations on earnings look more meaningful and it becomes difficult to justify a forward PE 3x above the average and 4.5x above the median. Especially when companies such as American Express Co (AXP), Mastercard Inc (MA), PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) and Visa Inc (V) are producing on average 4x higher EPS. The majority of which pay a dividend and have similar growth estimates with less volatility risk.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们所看到的，这描绘了该公司截然不同的图景，虽然收入增长仍略高于市盈率也很高的公司，但盈利估值突然看起来更有意义，并且很难证明远期市盈率高于平均水平3倍是合理的，比中位数高4.5倍。尤其是当美国运通公司(AXP)、万事达卡公司(MA)、PayPal控股公司(PYPL)和Visa Inc(V)等公司的每股收益平均高出4倍时。其中大多数支付股息，并具有类似的增长预期，但波动风险较小。</blockquote></p><p> Many will suggest that \"this does not matter as BTC is now part of their revenue metrics and that is that, besides transaction volume is what is important\". However, I would cite the example of the 2018 Bitcoin sell off in which&nbsp;Bitcoin fell 70%, and transaction volumes fell from highs by approximately 75% as well:</p><p><blockquote>许多人会认为“这并不重要，因为BTC现在是他们收入指标的一部分，也就是说，除了交易量之外，才是重要的”。然而，我想举2018年比特币抛售的例子，比特币下跌了70%，交易量也从高点下跌了约75%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b01941a1ab02f1b6dc27d73a2705a242\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\"><span>Source: Bitcoinvisuals.com (Bitcoin Market Volume 2018)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Bitcoinvisuals.com（2018年比特币市场交易量）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> On a valuation basis, this presents a substantial downside risk to investors if Bitcoin continued to retrace as a result of being met by increased regulation globally, as the company is essentially trading on revenue metrics propped up by Bitcoin. Quite simply, price down in Bitcoin could mean downwards revisions to revenue estimates and consequently a highly volatile retracement in the price of SQ.</p><p><blockquote>从估值角度来看，如果比特币因全球监管力度加大而继续回调，这将给投资者带来巨大的下行风险，因为该公司本质上是根据比特币支持的收入指标进行交易的。很简单，比特币的价格下跌可能意味着收入预期的下调，从而导致SQ价格的高度波动回撤。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c89cf1b41c0d446571c7a471bb8d8e50\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"377\"><span>Source: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ Price Correlation - Revenue, EPS and EBITDA)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，使用YCHARTS的数据（SQ价格相关性-收入、EPS和EBITDA）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This becomes increasingly likely given the historical volatility of the stock when compared to its peers and it is not surprising that it is also becoming a consensus short position.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到该股与同行相比的历史波动性，这种情况变得越来越有可能，而且它也成为共识空头头寸也就不足为奇了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d47874b5957751f0d485a9aa9ec5016\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"233\"><span>Source: Author (SQ vs Sector Comps Implied and Realized Volatility and Short Interest)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者（SQ与行业比较隐含波动率和已实现波动率以及空头利息）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Given the analysis by another Seeking Alpha contributor,The Value Trend&nbsp;in which the author suggests that&nbsp;SQ's 2025 growth is essentially priced in&nbsp;I would have to agree. SQ's reliance on revenue estimates which have been amplified substantially by Bitcoin present an asymmetric risk to the downside in the short to medium term for investors.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于另一位Seeking Alpha撰稿人的分析，我不得不同意作者认为SQ 2025年增长的价值趋势基本上已被定价。SQ对收入预测的依赖被比特币大幅放大，给投资者带来了中短期内不对称的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Macro</b></p><p><blockquote><b>宏观的</b></blockquote></p><p> Whilst we are in the process of reopening, many things remain uncertain, such as the level of demand sustainability, job growth and creation, and inflation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们正处于重新开放的过程中，但许多事情仍然不确定，如需求可持续性、就业增长和创造以及通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> Whilst the sentiment is overall positive in the media, there are several macroeconomic issues that are beneath the surface which need to be resolved before we can conclude that we are in the clear.</p><p><blockquote>虽然媒体的情绪总体上是积极的，但在我们得出结论认为我们是清白的之前，有几个宏观经济问题需要解决。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Small Business Environment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>小企业环境</b></blockquote></p><p> SQ's MRQ shows that nearly 49% of the Gross Profit comes from the Seller ecosystem (small businesses).</p><p><blockquote>SQ的MRQ显示，近49%的毛利润来自卖家生态系统（小企业）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0f50d03e91a1609a120fa139b61e292\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"319\"><span>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 10Q Page 39 - Segmented Gross Profit)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2021年第一季度10Q第39页-细分毛利）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The majority of this is originating from exposure to sellers with &lt;$500,000 Gross Payment Volume (69.5%). This makes square substantially exposed to fluctuations in the small business cycle.</p><p><blockquote>其中大部分来自支付总额低于500,000美元的卖家（69.5%）。这使得square很大程度上受到小企业周期波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75fbdbba973e9d39e9d07b50d6174b03\" tg-width=\"380\" tg-height=\"502\"><span>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 Shareholder Letter)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2021年第一季度股东信）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Delving into the Business Formation Statistics, there is a rosy picture, with over 500,000 business applications for the month of May, 2021 providing an endless surge of opportunity for SQ.</p><p><blockquote>深入研究业务形成统计数据，有一个乐观的画面，2021年5月超过500,000个业务应用程序为SQ提供了无尽的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/777bf7fbfba7b466a8c89baa9b21a72d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"475\"><span>Source: Census.gov (Business Applications, May 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Census.gov（商业应用，2021年5月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Again, when we dig deeper and look at the statistics below which rank the optimism of established small businesses, the picture begins to distort and starts to look like the descent into 2008.</p><p><blockquote>同样，当我们深入挖掘并查看排名成熟小企业乐观情绪的统计数据时，情况开始扭曲，开始看起来像是进入2008年的下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5be8fe67a4c257868eb79101d262e77\" tg-width=\"525\" tg-height=\"557\"><span>Source: NFIB (Small Business Economic Trends - Optimism, May 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：NFIB（小企业经济趋势-乐观，2021年5月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Further, when we examine Small Business future outlook on expansion, this has also descended to lows and similar to what was seen in 2008. This could suggest that the bread and butter of SQ's gross profit margin, may not expand at the rate previously seen during 2017 to 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，当我们考察小企业未来的扩张前景时，这也降至低点，与2008年类似。这可能表明SQ毛利率的主要组成部分可能不会以2017年至2020年期间的速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a555c19fb385f170bb6deb2b3abcca\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"319\"><span>Source: NFIB (Small Business Economic Trends - Outlook, May 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：NFIB（小企业经济趋势-展望，2021年5月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Additionally, it should be noted that the two primary reasons small businesses are giving for their negative outlook are \"Economic Conditions\" and \"Political Climate\", which could be related to the election in 2020, COVID, recent policy changes and be somewhat transitory. Alternatively it could resemble the slow march of 2008 to 2016, we simply do not know, except for the fact it is a low reading and consequently could weigh on SQ's high revenue and earnings growth estimates.</p><p><blockquote>此外，应该指出的是，小企业给出负面前景的两个主要原因是“经济状况”和“政治气候”，这可能与2020年的选举、COVID、最近的政策变化有关，并且在某种程度上是暂时的。或者，它可能类似于2008年至2016年的缓慢三月，我们只是不知道，除了它是一个较低的读数，因此可能会影响SQ的高收入和盈利增长预期。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fbef66ecf854fe482a86e001dec91e6\" tg-width=\"523\" tg-height=\"271\"><span>Source: NFIB (Small Business Economic Trends - Reasons for Outlook, May 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：NFIB（小企业经济趋势-展望原因，2021年5月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Small Business Lending</b></p><p><blockquote><b>小企业贷款</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking forward, SQ clearly aims to solidify its position in the commercial lending space through acquiring a banking license. This is very positive for the company due to their large and growing small business user base,their experience since 2014, and the&nbsp;PPP program, which stopped on May 31, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，SQ显然旨在通过获得银行牌照来巩固其在商业贷款领域的地位。这对该公司来说非常积极，因为他们庞大且不断增长的小型企业用户群、他们自2014年以来的经验以及于2021年5月31日停止的PPP计划。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, bank lending has receded as a result of recovery efforts from COVID.</p><p><blockquote>目前，由于COVID的复苏努力，银行贷款已经减少。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327e5b2f822c5f6e8b6298b58c0d4f94\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\"><span>Source: YCHARTS (US Commercial Banks - Commercial and Industrial Loans)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCHARTS（美国商业银行-商业和工业贷款）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This can be verified through the credit conditions index in the&nbsp;monthly NFIB report. Although, an&nbsp;American Banker survey&nbsp;is reporting that 86% of small businesses are finding it difficult to access credit, and are having to resort to personal credit.</p><p><blockquote>这可以通过NFIB月度报告中的信用状况指数来验证。尽管如此，美国银行家的一项调查报告称，86%的小企业发现很难获得信贷，不得不求助于个人信贷。</blockquote></p><p> This is positive for SQ as it will allow them to fill the gap for credit to small business within the market. Though I believe it will be short lived as there is speculation that when the Fed tapers, they will also announce the lifting of&nbsp;capital restraints&nbsp;placed on Wells Fargo &amp; Company (WFC).</p><p><blockquote>这对SQ来说是积极的，因为这将使他们能够填补市场上小企业的信贷缺口。尽管我认为这将是短暂的，因为有人猜测，当美联储缩减规模时，他们还将宣布取消对富国银行（WFC）的资本限制。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/530b7de3c5d05e7e8f5de219d3582ea7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"689\"><span>Source: Credit Suisse (Global Money Dispatch - 25 May 2021)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：瑞士信贷（Global Money Dispatch–2021年5月25日）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There is a fairly good probability that this will occur, given that early in 2020 the Fed had&nbsp;lifted these restraints&nbsp;to help small businesses via the PPP program and tapering has a history of upsetting the market. If this occurs, I suspect WFC will become a giant amongst the small business credit space once more and be a very tough competitor to SQ due to their extensive network and history in the space.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于美联储在2020年初取消了这些限制，以通过PPP计划帮助小企业，而且缩减购债规模有扰乱市场的历史，这种情况发生的可能性相当大。如果发生这种情况，我怀疑WFC将再次成为小企业信贷领域的巨头，并由于其在该领域广泛的网络和历史而成为SQ非常强劲的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin, Legislation &amp; Gensler</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币、立法和詹斯勒</b></blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin has been making headlines as of 2H 2020 and much of 1H 2021 for good reason. It is gaining traction amongst retail traders and investors and has shown exceptional appreciation. Further, some minor&nbsp;banks&nbsp;have been interested in the medium although many banks and financial institutions have explicitly banned the&nbsp;purchase of Bitcoin using their services.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在2020年下半年和2021年上半年的大部分时间里一直是头条新闻，这是有充分理由的。它在散户交易者和投资者中越来越受欢迎，并表现出非凡的赞赏。此外，一些小型银行对这种媒介很感兴趣，尽管许多银行和金融机构已经明确禁止使用其服务购买比特币。</blockquote></p><p> The primary reasons for their objection is more than likely to do with illicit activities, such as&nbsp;money laundering,terrorism,fake transaction volumes, and similar activities which I do not want to get into and neither do banks.</p><p><blockquote>他们反对的主要原因很可能与非法活动有关，如洗钱、恐怖主义、虚假交易量以及我不想参与的类似活动，银行也不想参与。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Consequently, on the recent hype, many countries are now stepping in to regulate the use of Bitcoin, but others are going a step further and are enacting legislation to ban its use and mining, most notably,China&nbsp;and&nbsp;India.</p><p><blockquote>因此，在最近的炒作中，许多国家现在正在介入监管比特币的使用，但其他国家更进一步，正在颁布立法禁止其使用和开采，最明显的是中印两国。</blockquote></p><p> This has had a negative impact on the price of Bitcoin since the ATHs in May 2021 of ~$65,000, retracing -46% since then.</p><p><blockquote>自2021年5月ATHs约65,000美元以来，这对比特币的价格产生了负面影响，此后回撤了-46%。</blockquote></p><p> It is also extremely negative for Bitcoin going forward as the majority of Bitcoin mining is done in China (~70% YTD) with&nbsp;Hashrates of mining being correlated to the price. Therefore if these recede on decreasing Chinese mining activity, price could surely follow, affecting SQ's Bitcoin holdings and future transaction volumes.</p><p><blockquote>这对比特币的未来也是极其不利的，因为比特币的大部分挖矿都是在中国完成的（年初至今约70%），挖矿的算力与价格相关。因此，如果这些因素因中国采矿活动减少而消退，价格肯定会随之上涨，从而影响SQ的比特币持有量和未来交易量。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75ef78953396700241870a3f3ae8d8be\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"382\"><span>Source: Cambridge University (Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index YTD)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：剑桥大学（剑桥比特币电力消费指数年初至今）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Whilst the SEC has come out and said that&nbsp;Bitcoin regulation is not on their agenda for 2021, Gary Gensler has&nbsp;warned investors to be cautious. Gensler is also has a long history on regulations to protect investors, and despite not putting Bitcoin on the agenda for 2021, I advise readers to study his history with respect to&nbsp;2000 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>虽然SEC已经站出来表示，比特币监管不在他们2021年的议程上，但Gary Gensler警告投资者要谨慎。Gensler在保护投资者的监管方面也有着悠久的历史，尽管没有将比特币列入2021年的议程，但我建议读者研究他在2000年和2008年的历史。</blockquote></p><p> Looking out further, this does not bode well for Bitcoin and SQ, generally. It is likely that there could be further regulation rather than adoption, negatively impacting its price, leading to a repeat of 2018 lower volumes as well as mining activity.</p><p><blockquote>进一步看，总的来说，这对比特币和SQ来说并不是一个好兆头。很可能会有进一步的监管而不是采用，从而对其价格产生负面影响，导致2018年产量和采矿活动的下降重演。</blockquote></p><p> <b>General Economy - The Worry for Retail</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总体经济——零售业的担忧</b></blockquote></p><p> Separately, we could also be seeing a negative situation for retail going forward. Much of the recovery in retail as not been driven by \"pent up demand\" but mostly through subsidies issued throughout&nbsp;2020 and the start of 2021. When examining the graph below, we can see that once you subtract transfer receipts (government stimulus cheques and employment benefits - red line), income is not what it used to be.</p><p><blockquote>另外，我们也可能会看到零售业未来的负面形势。零售业的复苏在很大程度上不是由“被压抑的需求”推动的，而是主要通过2020年和2021年初发放的补贴。当检查下图时，我们可以看到，一旦你减去转移收入（政府刺激支票和就业福利——红线），收入就不再是以前的样子了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97a5a8cfaa11dd3c5ab5544778a40b90\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"247\"><span>Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Disposable Income vs Real Income minus Transfers vs Personal Savings vs Retail Trade Sales)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：圣路易斯联邦储备银行（可支配收入vs实际收入减去转账vs个人储蓄vs零售贸易销售）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Additionally, we can see that much of the spikes in retail sales (purple) have been driven mainly through the stimulus cheques which bolstered disposable income (blue) and consumer savings (green), though now stimulus has ended and people are having to start to dig into their savings, which is dropped 54% month on month between March and April.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我们可以看到，零售额（紫色）的飙升主要是由刺激支票推动的，刺激支票增加了可支配收入（蓝色）和消费者储蓄（绿色），尽管现在刺激已经结束，人们不得不开始挖掘他们的储蓄，3月至4月期间环比下降了54%。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer spending situation is made worse when examining U6 unemployment, which is&nbsp;considered to be the most revealing&nbsp;amongst economists as it includes unemployed, underemployed and discouraged job seekers. This, generally speaking, does not bode well for consumer discretionary spending patterns going forward.</p><p><blockquote>在检查U6失业率时，消费者支出情况变得更糟，U6失业率被认为是经济学家中最能揭示问题的，因为它包括失业、未充分就业和灰心丧气的求职者。一般来说，这对未来消费者可自由支配支出模式来说不是一个好兆头。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c09f260d254df1a847962a6b6896764c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>Source: Macrotrends.net (U6 Unemployment Rate vs U5 vs Official)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Macrotrends.net（U6失业率vs U5 vs官方）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Finally, the rising cost of food and energy, which for food I expect to continue, should hamper consumer discretionary spend going forward. I have previously written articles on The Mosaic Company (MOS)hereand The Andersons (ANDE)here, which outline my justification for this trend.</p><p><blockquote>最后，食品和能源成本的上涨（我预计食品成本将持续上涨）应该会阻碍消费者未来的可自由支配支出。我以前写过关于马赛克公司（MOS）和安德森公司（ANDE）的文章，概述了我对这一趋势的理由。</blockquote></p><p> In relation to SQ, we can see their historical exposure to consumer discretionary spend based on end 2019 data. When taking into account figures from: retail; professional services, beauty and personal care, home and repair, leisure and entertainment, and casual use, the total exposure is approximately 59%.</p><p><blockquote>关于SQ，我们可以根据2019年底的数据看到他们对消费者可自由支配支出的历史敞口。当考虑到以下数据时：零售；专业服务、美容及个护、家居及维修、休闲娱乐及休闲使用，总曝光量约为59%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddddbe8ed21ed16aab29a7b5ebbc846\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\"><span>Source: Statista (Raynor de Best - GPV by Seller Industry Dec 2019)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista（Raynor de Best–卖家行业GPV，2019年12月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Whilst this may not impact its revenue figures substantially due to the weighting of bitcoin, I do expect this to undermine is gross profit figures going forward and negatively impact margins as stimulus further fades.</p><p><blockquote>虽然由于比特币的权重，这可能不会对其收入数据产生重大影响，但我确实预计这将削弱未来的毛利润数据，并随着刺激措施进一步消退对利润率产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币</b></blockquote></p><p> When examining the financials of SQ we can easily see that Bitcoin is the predominant factor driving its revenue growth (MRQ 69% of total revenue) of which its valuation is derived (see above Introduction section - SQ Price vs Revenue Segments; and Quantitative section - SQ Price correlation).</p><p><blockquote>在检查SQ的财务状况时，我们可以很容易地看到，比特币是推动其收入增长的主要因素（MRQ占总收入的69%），其估值也由此得出（参见上面的介绍部分-SQ价格与收入部分；和定量部分-SQ价格相关性）。</blockquote></p><p> From their Q1 2021 Shareholder Letter, page 12 they have stated that on March 31, 2021 the fair value of their holdings was $472 million. On this date the closing price was $58,918.83, or approximately 8,011 Bitcoins. They also state they initially invested $200 million into bitcoin during this period and Q4, so their average price is roughly $25,000 per Bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>在2021年第一季度股东信第12页中，他们表示，截至2021年3月31日，他们所持股份的公允价值为4.72亿美元。这一天的收盘价为58,918.83美元，约合8,011个比特币。他们还表示，在此期间和第四季度，他们最初向比特币投资了2亿美元，因此他们的平均价格约为每个比特币25,000美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Currently, the price of Bitcoin sits at approximately $34,600 and it also appears to be struggling to find traction, especially when you examine some other trends. For example, looking at search trends of \"Buy Bitcoin\" on Google Trends, this is clearly waning.</p><p><blockquote>目前，比特币的价格约为34,600美元，它似乎也很难找到吸引力，尤其是当你研究其他一些趋势时。例如，看看谷歌趋势上“购买比特币”的搜索趋势，这显然正在减弱。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6b3b70625f48232fa97f1aa14f5548e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"333\"><span>Source: Google Trends (Buy Bitcoin search terms - Worldwide 5 Yrs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Google Trends（购买比特币搜索词-全球5年）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Additionally, when you align this data with stimulus payments it is clear there is a relationship between the two in 2H 2020, and much of the recent speculation could be driven by government subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>此外，当你将这些数据与刺激支付联系起来时，很明显这两者在2020年下半年存在关系，最近的大部分猜测可能是由政府补贴驱动的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54329dbe61b7b1f9fc1347f632aff709\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"293\"><span>Source: USA.Gov (COVID Stimulus Cheque Dates)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：USA.Gov（新冠刺激支票日期）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The spike in searches occurs roughly around the time of the two latter government stimulus cheques with a lag of a few days to a few weeks.</p><p><blockquote>搜索量的激增大约发生在后两次政府刺激支票的时间，有几天到几周的滞后。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c7a198a905e4a89f11faa1b4db4003b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\"><span>Source: Google Trends (Buy Bitcoin search terms - USA 12 Months)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Google Trends（购买比特币搜索词-美国12个月）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This also coincides with Bitcoin's price run up in December 2020 and January 2021, as well the failed rally in March and April 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这也与比特币在2020年12月和2021年1月的价格上涨以及2021年3月和4月的失败反弹相吻合。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0428576ae2c8312e747c3ae5fccab637\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"401\"><span>Source: YCHARTS (Bitcoin Price 1 Yr)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：YCHARTS（比特币价格1年）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, in this example, if we have a continued sell off of -70%, which is similar to what occurred in 2018. We would be back at November 2020 Bitcoin prices of $20,000 approximately.</p><p><blockquote>因此，在这个例子中，如果我们持续抛售-70%，这与2018年发生的情况类似。我们将回到2020年11月比特币价格约为20,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> This is still feasible on the basis of dwindling volume, further legislation and declining hashrates. It could also be theorized that SQ may carry an impairment charge of $40 million, which would greatly affect operating income, net income and shareholder earnings and future estimates. Though this is purely theoretical without accounting for transactions in the current quarter, such as purchases or sales at or near ATHs.</p><p><blockquote>在数量减少、进一步立法和哈希率下降的基础上，这仍然是可行的。从理论上讲，SQ可能会产生4000万美元的减值费用，这将极大地影响营业收入、净利润和股东收益以及未来预期。尽管这纯粹是理论上的，没有考虑本季度的交易，例如在ATH或附近的购买或销售。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, with the lack of stimulus payments going forward and tighter consumer discretionary spend, the revenue generated from Bitcoin may also decline as less money enters the space and volumes decline. Negatively impacting revenue estimates for SQ and subsequently their price and valuation.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于未来缺乏刺激付款以及消费者可自由支配支出收紧，随着进入该领域的资金减少和销量下降，比特币产生的收入也可能下降。对SQ的收入估计以及随后的价格和估值产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cash App</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现金应用程序</b></blockquote></p><p> On the surface, it looks like Cash App is growing exponentially into a viable platform for users to transact, with more than 36 million monthly transacting active customers, up 50% YoY.</p><p><blockquote>从表面上看，Cash App正在呈指数级增长，成为用户交易的可行平台，每月交易活跃客户超过3600万，同比增长50%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b457a1d1f65d9d40fac153a9926aa167\" tg-width=\"262\" tg-height=\"230\"><span>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q4 2020 Shareholder Letter)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2020年第四季度股东信）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, this growth in Cash App may be unsustainable going forward, with SQ elaborating on this in their Quarterly filing notes:</p><p><blockquote>然而，Cash App的这种增长未来可能是不可持续的，SQ在其季度备案说明中详细阐述了这一点：</blockquote></p><p>   Cash App revenue benefited from growth in numbers of active Cash App customers and from&nbsp;  <b>government relief programs</b>&nbsp;most recently passed into law in late December 2020 and in March 2021, as well as cumulative benefit from earlier stimulus programs passed in 2020. These programs provided additional stimulus relief and unemployment benefits which resulted in an increase in consumer spending and inflows into our Cash App ecosystem. Cash App revenue growth may not be sustained at the same levels in future quarters and may be impacted by the enactment of further stimulus relief and benefit programs, as well as the demand and market prices for bitcoin, amongst other factors.    <i>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 10Q Filings - Page 49)</i>  Part of the issue with Cash App is theoretical continued use and future adoption. Much of the growth seen over the last year was predominantly fueled by stimulus payments through the Cash App ecosystem, and therefore by necessity given the circumstances.</p><p><blockquote>Cash App收入受益于Cash App活跃客户数量的增长以及<b>政府救济计划</b>最近于2020年12月下旬和2021年3月通过成为法律，以及2020年通过的早期刺激计划的累积收益。这些计划提供了额外的刺激救济和失业福利，导致消费者支出和流入我们的Cash App生态系统的资金增加。Cash App的收入增长在未来几个季度可能无法维持在相同水平，并且可能会受到进一步刺激救济和福利计划的颁布以及比特币的需求和市场价格等因素的影响。<i>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2021年第一季度10Q文件–第49页）</i>Cash App的部分问题是理论上的持续使用和未来的采用。去年的大部分增长主要是由通过Cash App生态系统进行的刺激支付推动的，因此在这种情况下是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> The two sharp spikes in searches for the app occurred on:</p><p><blockquote>该应用程序的搜索量出现了两次急剧上升：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>April 12-18 2020</li>  <li>January 24-30 2021</li> </ul> These coincide with stimulus payments as they initially sent them and they gradually deposited them into people's accounts.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2020年4月12日至18日</li><li>2021年1月24日至30日</li></ul>这些与刺激付款相吻合，因为他们最初发送这些款项，并逐渐将其存入人们的账户。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9485d2feac40030b5190195a471781e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Google Trends (Cash App search terms - USA 5 Years)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Google Trends（现金应用搜索词-美国5年）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, as government stimulus payments end, and Bitcoin again fades from relevancy, and more people return to work and day-trade less, this could negatively impact user growth metrics going forward, impacting SQ revenue estimates, gross profit figures, and its earnings.</p><p><blockquote>因此，随着政府刺激付款结束，比特币再次失去相关性，越来越多的人重返工作岗位，日间交易减少，这可能会对未来的用户增长指标产生负面影响，影响SQ的收入估计、毛利润数据及其收益。</blockquote></p><p> Further, there are a multitude of other more viable platforms, which another Seeking Alpha contributor,The Value Trend, has elaborated onhere.</p><p><blockquote>此外，还有许多其他更可行的平台，另一位Seeking Alpha撰稿人The Value Trend在这里详细介绍了这些平台。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> It is also important to keep in mind how they define these users, a \"Transacting active Cash App customer\" is the following:</p><p><blockquote>同样重要的是要记住他们如何定义这些用户，“交易活跃现金应用程序客户”如下：</blockquote></p><p>   ... has at least  <b>one financial transaction</b>using any product or service within Cash App during the specified period.    <i>Source: SQ Investor Relations (Q4 2020 Shareholder Letter - Page 4)</i>  So, if a customer received their wages from an employer, or unemployment benefit, into Cash App once per month, and transferred all of it to their bank account once per month, they are a \"transacting active Cash App customer\"...</p><p><blockquote>...至少有<b>一笔金融交易</b>在指定期间内使用Cash App内的任何产品或服务。<i>资料来源：SQ投资者关系（2020年第四季度股东信-第4页）</i>因此，如果客户每月一次从雇主那里收到工资或失业救济金，并每月一次将所有工资转入他们的银行账户，那么他们就是“交易活跃现金应用客户”...</blockquote></p><p> Perhaps a better quantifier of an \"active\" customer would be greater than 5 transactions.</p><p><blockquote>也许一个“活跃”客户的更好的量词是大于5笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Technicals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术</b></blockquote></p><p> Examining the technicals of SQ, it is clear that the stock is now ranging between $200 and $280, with several breakout attempts at $250 and 2 failed attempts near $300, showing several signs that momentum is dying out.</p><p><blockquote>检查SQ的技术面，很明显该股目前在200美元至280美元之间波动，在250美元处有几次突破尝试，在300美元附近有两次失败的尝试，显示出几个迹象表明势头正在消失。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c277d5239e06c67b7ff6fd7fff319bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"642\"><span>Source: Author, with data from FINVIZ (SQ Chart)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自FINVIZ（SQ图表）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When examining dark pool order flows, there is a possibility for the current rally to continue as dark pools are at lows, which may likely continue into earnings by August. Although I would not get my hopes up unless some seriously good news occurs and Bitcoin rallies back to ATHs.</p><p><blockquote>在检查暗池订单流时，由于暗池处于低点，当前的反弹有可能继续，这可能会持续到8月份的收益中。尽管我不会抱太大希望，除非出现一些严重的好消息，比特币反弹回ATHs。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3323bfcd903c74dce542b53b0b56e093\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\"><span>Source: Squeezemetrics.com (SQ Dark Pools vs Implied Vol 2 Years)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Squeezemetrics.com（SQ暗池与隐含Vol 2年）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> From the 13F filings, we can also see that many funds have reduced exposure and closed their positions, with fewer new positions being added. The Put to Call ratio is also becoming quite high, especially on a stock that has $100 bln market cap, signaling that we are not the only ones thinking the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>从13F备案中也可以看到，不少基金降低了敞口并平仓，新增仓位较少。看跌期权与看涨期权的比率也变得相当高，尤其是在市值为1000亿美元的股票上，这表明我们并不是唯一有同样想法的人。</blockquote></p><p> Caution is required though, as SQ's issues with Bitcoin are obviously becoming a consensus trade, and when those puts are lifted, gamma may turn positive and it could cause the stock to rally significantly.</p><p><blockquote>但需要谨慎，因为SQ与比特币的问题显然正在成为共识交易，当这些看跌期权被取消时，伽马可能会转为正值，并可能导致该股大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b221f08c025ba225e32114f0e76dd272\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"152\"><span>Source: Whalewisdom.com (SQ Funds Positioning)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Whalewisdom.com（SQ基金定位）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Further, with relation to ARK ETFs, it is no surprise that there have been&nbsp;significant liquidity issues&nbsp;the last 6 months, and I agree with another Seeking Alpha contributor's thesisherethat we will see a reversion to the mean with respect to prices of stocks held in these ETFs. What can be noted is that Cathie has significantly reduced her exposure to SQ and that she may be picking her battles.</p><p><blockquote>此外，就ARK ETF而言，过去6个月出现重大流动性问题也就不足为奇了，我同意另一位Seeking Alpha撰稿人的论点，即我们将看到这些ETF中持有的股票价格回归均值。值得注意的是，Cathie已经显著减少了她对SQ的接触，她可能正在选择她的战斗。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecce0e1f1cd9e7e47fe27105be3f6ad0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"559\"><span>Source: Cathiesark.com (SQ Shares Held - All ETFs)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Cathiesark.com（持有SQ股票-所有ETF）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Given the above information, this is a difficult company to be short. It will either payoff enormously, or rip your face off due to its volatility. Additionally there are many funds wanting some small level of exposure to a company with Bitcoin on the financial statements. Therefore, if you were to trade this as a short at your own risk, discretion is advised and you should always pick your battles.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于上述信息，这是一家很难做空的公司。它要么会带来巨大的回报，要么会因为它的波动性而撕碎你的脸。此外，许多基金希望对财务报表上有比特币的公司进行少量投资。因此，如果您要自担风险将其作为空头进行交易，建议谨慎行事，并且您应该始终选择战斗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Targets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格目标</b></blockquote></p><p> On the basis of volatility through SQ's ATR it is possible that SQ could move to a low of approximately $100 by the end of the year, moving in favor 40% of the time. This aligns with my year end 2021 price if you remove Bitcoin entirely from the equation.</p><p><blockquote>根据SQ ATR的波动性，SQ有可能在今年年底前跌至约100美元的低点，40%的情况下走势有利。如果你把比特币完全从等式中剔除，这与我的2021年底价格一致。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ec1e2586568ef7e0aea0c54e3503acc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\"><span>Source: Author (SQ ATR Calculator)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者（SQ ATR计算器）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, it would not be sensible to do this as it is part of their revenue for the time being, no matter how high Bitcoin volumes were in the start of 2021 and how low they may be at the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这样做是不明智的，因为这是他们目前收入的一部分，无论2021年初比特币的销量有多高，年底可能有多低。</blockquote></p><p> I do expect the stock to fall again and retest $200, possibly breaking down to $160. Though it is very difficult to determine a valuation with SQ, mainly because the valuation is derived from Bitcoin revenues, and also the perceived value by funds and the market in the future adoption of the asset.</p><p><blockquote>我确实预计该股将再次下跌并重新测试200美元，可能跌破160美元。尽管很难确定SQ的估值，主要是因为估值来自比特币收入，以及基金和市场在未来采用该资产时的感知价值。</blockquote></p><p> If the market begins to perceive Bitcoin again as irrelevant, I would expect SQ to slowly sell off to between $150 and $160 (-37% downside) with a low probability that it will rally past $300 (25% upside).</p><p><blockquote>如果市场再次开始认为比特币无关紧要，我预计SQ将慢慢抛售至150美元至160美元之间（下跌-37%），反弹超过300美元（上涨25%）的可能性很低。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> With respect to SQ the following risks should be noted.</p><p><blockquote>关于SQ，应注意以下风险。</blockquote></p><p> The company is growing, whether you like SQ or not. The main questions are: Will the market value Bitcoin on any realistic basis? How much is it growing with and without Bitcoin? What is the potential future growth with and without Bitcoin? And does the market believe it, or for that matter care?</p><p><blockquote>不管你喜不喜欢SQ，公司都在成长。主要问题是：市场会在任何现实基础上对比特币进行估值吗？不管有没有比特币，它增长了多少？无论有没有比特币，未来的潜在增长是多少？市场相信吗，或者就此而言在乎吗？</blockquote></p><p></p><p> If the Bitcoin fades from relevancy, and judging by Google Trends, it is more likely than it is not, it is not outlandish to assume that SQ will suffer as a result of this and over the 2H 2021 and take a substantial hit to revenue estimates. However, if Bitcoin adoption increases and negative news fades, since this is a growth company, it could simply continue rallying.</p><p><blockquote>如果比特币失去相关性，从谷歌趋势来看，这种可能性更大，那么假设SQ将因此在2021年下半年遭受损失并对收入预期造成重大打击并不奇怪。然而，如果比特币的采用率增加并且负面消息消退，由于这是一家成长型公司，它可能会继续上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Further, consumer spending patterns are producing mixed data, and above I have presented a bear case. This could easily turn the other way if people's behavior changes, such as applying for jobs which will increase spending in the economy and hopefully produce small business growth and increase small business optimism and expansion, which is very beneficial for SQ as a cyclical business in the payment processing space.</p><p><blockquote>此外，消费者支出模式正在产生混合数据，上面我提出了一个熊市案例。如果人们的行为发生变化，例如申请将增加经济支出的工作，并有望产生小企业增长，增加小企业的乐观情绪和扩张，这对于SQ作为支付处理领域的周期性企业非常有利。</blockquote></p><p> Again, caution is necessary, though I do think that future growth of the company is priced in and there is a higher risk to holders of SQ to the downside than to the upside.</p><p><blockquote>同样，谨慎是必要的，尽管我确实认为公司未来的增长已被定价，SQ持有者面临的下行风险高于上行风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> SQ is a high growth company with some potential positive points in the long run; however, its valuation is highly questionable due to its high revenue estimates predominantly derived from Bitcoin transactions and not bottom-line earnings growth.</p><p><blockquote>SQ是一家高增长公司，从长远来看具有一些潜在的积极点；然而，其估值非常值得怀疑，因为其高收入预期主要来自比特币交易，而不是盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p> From a quantitative perspective, it looks good amongst its peers but upon further examination it appears to be extremely overvalued as future growth, at least for 2021, may be derived from Bitcoin. Further, its Cash App adoption statistics may not continue to see the same run rate going forward without continued government stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>从定量角度来看，它在同行中看起来不错，但经过进一步检查，它似乎被严重高估，因为未来的增长（至少2021年）可能来自比特币。此外，如果没有政府的持续刺激，其Cash App采用统计数据可能不会继续看到相同的运行率。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, it faces several potential macroeconomic hurdles with respect to small business exposure, lending competitors, consumer transaction competitors, Bitcoin legislation and softening retail demand.</p><p><blockquote>此外，它还面临着一些潜在的宏观经济障碍，包括小企业风险、贷款竞争对手、消费者交易竞争对手、比特币立法和零售需求疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436723-square-the-bear-case\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436723-square-the-bear-case","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117734317","content_text":"Summary\n\nOn the surface, Square appears to be a growing company and a good investment with strong revenue growth and a large Cash App user base.\nIn reality, the company has struggled to translate its top line into bottom line earnings.\nThis has resulted in Square expanding its products to justify exaggerated revenue valuations which may never result in meaningful earnings growth.\nAnd whilst at first glance its Cash App story appears to be a budding prospect, it may be nothing more than temporary growth based on necessity.\nGiven the current valuation and the increasing Bitcoin headwinds, Square could face significant revisions downwards in revenue and earnings.\n\nAndreyPopov/iStock via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nSquare Inc.(NYSE:SQ)is one of the most popular stocks among retail traders and investors, ranking 57 in Robinhood's top 100 rankings. This has resulted in a 135% increase in price over the last year allowing SQ to reach a market capitalization of greater than $100bln, trading with the volatility of a mid-cap company.\nOn the surface the price and valuation may seem justified, with the company sequentially increasing revenues and expanding its portfolio of products through Cash App, Bitcoin (BTC-USD), PPP loans and most recently delving into the commercial loans business with a banking license via Square Financial Services.\nHowever, these valuations are becoming disaggregated from the fundamentals of the company and its core business on speculation of future revenue projections which are heavily reliant on Bitcoin revenues.\nSource: Author, with data from SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 Historical Financial Information)\nIn addition to this, SQ potentially faces several other issues related to small business positioning; policy and regulation; and general macroeconomic factors which may create headwinds that will impact its valuation and pose an asymmetric downside risk for investors, which I will extrapolate on below.\nOverview\nSQ is a payment processing and business tool provider that facilitates transactions between businesses / sellers and individuals and provides them with hardware, online infrastructure and analytics. Additionally, it services individuals through Cash App which appears to be growing exponentially and allows users to send, receive, hold and invest money, and recently Bitcoin.\nSource: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 Shareholder Letter - Cash App Inflows vs Gross Profit)\nAs of March 2020, the company has received a Banking License from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to originate commercial loans to retailers which use SQ for payment processing.\nGiven all of this positive news, it is not surprising that the stock has rallied over 330% in the last 3 years on the basis of future growth projections and, since 2020, has chased revenue estimates.\nThis was a common occurrence during COVID, as unchartered waters meant that top line growth was imperative for survival. Further, seemingly endless money printing by the Fed, combined with zero rates, meant money flowed into stocks which showed the highest potential for growth.\nSource: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ vs EPS Estimates and Revenue Estimates 2021)\nHowever, in Q1 2021, as the printing slowed, yields began to rise and federal transfers to individuals dissipated, and consequently ever increasing revenue estimates began to mean less for the market, resulting in SQ price action ranging between $200 to $280.\nSource: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ Price YTD)\nQuantitative\nYear to Date, SQ has been a good performer relative to the payment processing sector, returning ~12% price increases to shareholders.\nSource: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ vs Payment Processing Sector >$50 bln Year to Date)\nIt is also not a surprise to see why when evaluated against these companies on a forward earnings and revenue basis. SQ has above average and median earnings growth for 2021 and 2022, as well as strong revenue growth for 2021.\nSource: Author, Sector Comparison (Payment Processors)\nWhilst SQ's forward PE seems exaggerated in contrast to its counterparts, its forward PS is relatively small and below the sector averages and median, perhaps justifying its present value.\nHowever, once you remove Bitcoin revenue from the equation, you get much more exaggerated forward PS estimates on much lower revenue growth, which represents SQ's primary business.\nFor this equation, I have removed Bitcoin revenue from their Q1 2021 results, and judging by average analyst expectations which show little to no sequential revenue growth from Q2-Q4 2021, multiplied this figure by 4x for a year end revenue estimate of $6,140.70 mln. For prior years, I have removed Bitcoin from Revenue.\nSource: Author, SQ Revenue Growth (2018 to 2021 Estimates with Bitcoin vs excl Bitcoin)\nSource: Author, SQ vs Sector Comps (Revenue Estimates excl Bitcoin)\nAs we can see this paints a very different picture of the company, and whilst revenue is still growing slightly above comps which also have high PS ratios, suddenly valuations on earnings look more meaningful and it becomes difficult to justify a forward PE 3x above the average and 4.5x above the median. Especially when companies such as American Express Co (AXP), Mastercard Inc (MA), PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL) and Visa Inc (V) are producing on average 4x higher EPS. The majority of which pay a dividend and have similar growth estimates with less volatility risk.\nMany will suggest that \"this does not matter as BTC is now part of their revenue metrics and that is that, besides transaction volume is what is important\". However, I would cite the example of the 2018 Bitcoin sell off in which Bitcoin fell 70%, and transaction volumes fell from highs by approximately 75% as well:\nSource: Bitcoinvisuals.com (Bitcoin Market Volume 2018)\nOn a valuation basis, this presents a substantial downside risk to investors if Bitcoin continued to retrace as a result of being met by increased regulation globally, as the company is essentially trading on revenue metrics propped up by Bitcoin. Quite simply, price down in Bitcoin could mean downwards revisions to revenue estimates and consequently a highly volatile retracement in the price of SQ.\nSource: Author, using data from YCHARTS (SQ Price Correlation - Revenue, EPS and EBITDA)\nThis becomes increasingly likely given the historical volatility of the stock when compared to its peers and it is not surprising that it is also becoming a consensus short position.\nSource: Author (SQ vs Sector Comps Implied and Realized Volatility and Short Interest)\nGiven the analysis by another Seeking Alpha contributor,The Value Trend in which the author suggests that SQ's 2025 growth is essentially priced in I would have to agree. SQ's reliance on revenue estimates which have been amplified substantially by Bitcoin present an asymmetric risk to the downside in the short to medium term for investors.\nMacro\nWhilst we are in the process of reopening, many things remain uncertain, such as the level of demand sustainability, job growth and creation, and inflation.\nWhilst the sentiment is overall positive in the media, there are several macroeconomic issues that are beneath the surface which need to be resolved before we can conclude that we are in the clear.\nSmall Business Environment\nSQ's MRQ shows that nearly 49% of the Gross Profit comes from the Seller ecosystem (small businesses).\nSource: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 10Q Page 39 - Segmented Gross Profit)\nThe majority of this is originating from exposure to sellers with <$500,000 Gross Payment Volume (69.5%). This makes square substantially exposed to fluctuations in the small business cycle.\nSource: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 Shareholder Letter)\nDelving into the Business Formation Statistics, there is a rosy picture, with over 500,000 business applications for the month of May, 2021 providing an endless surge of opportunity for SQ.\nSource: Census.gov (Business Applications, May 2021)\nAgain, when we dig deeper and look at the statistics below which rank the optimism of established small businesses, the picture begins to distort and starts to look like the descent into 2008.\nSource: NFIB (Small Business Economic Trends - Optimism, May 2021)\nFurther, when we examine Small Business future outlook on expansion, this has also descended to lows and similar to what was seen in 2008. This could suggest that the bread and butter of SQ's gross profit margin, may not expand at the rate previously seen during 2017 to 2020.\nSource: NFIB (Small Business Economic Trends - Outlook, May 2021)\nAdditionally, it should be noted that the two primary reasons small businesses are giving for their negative outlook are \"Economic Conditions\" and \"Political Climate\", which could be related to the election in 2020, COVID, recent policy changes and be somewhat transitory. Alternatively it could resemble the slow march of 2008 to 2016, we simply do not know, except for the fact it is a low reading and consequently could weigh on SQ's high revenue and earnings growth estimates.\nSource: NFIB (Small Business Economic Trends - Reasons for Outlook, May 2021)\nSmall Business Lending\nLooking forward, SQ clearly aims to solidify its position in the commercial lending space through acquiring a banking license. This is very positive for the company due to their large and growing small business user base,their experience since 2014, and the PPP program, which stopped on May 31, 2021.\nCurrently, bank lending has receded as a result of recovery efforts from COVID.\nSource: YCHARTS (US Commercial Banks - Commercial and Industrial Loans)\nThis can be verified through the credit conditions index in the monthly NFIB report. Although, an American Banker survey is reporting that 86% of small businesses are finding it difficult to access credit, and are having to resort to personal credit.\nThis is positive for SQ as it will allow them to fill the gap for credit to small business within the market. Though I believe it will be short lived as there is speculation that when the Fed tapers, they will also announce the lifting of capital restraints placed on Wells Fargo & Company (WFC).\nSource: Credit Suisse (Global Money Dispatch - 25 May 2021)\nThere is a fairly good probability that this will occur, given that early in 2020 the Fed had lifted these restraints to help small businesses via the PPP program and tapering has a history of upsetting the market. If this occurs, I suspect WFC will become a giant amongst the small business credit space once more and be a very tough competitor to SQ due to their extensive network and history in the space.\nBitcoin, Legislation & Gensler\nBitcoin has been making headlines as of 2H 2020 and much of 1H 2021 for good reason. It is gaining traction amongst retail traders and investors and has shown exceptional appreciation. Further, some minor banks have been interested in the medium although many banks and financial institutions have explicitly banned the purchase of Bitcoin using their services.\nThe primary reasons for their objection is more than likely to do with illicit activities, such as money laundering,terrorism,fake transaction volumes, and similar activities which I do not want to get into and neither do banks.\nConsequently, on the recent hype, many countries are now stepping in to regulate the use of Bitcoin, but others are going a step further and are enacting legislation to ban its use and mining, most notably,China and India.\nThis has had a negative impact on the price of Bitcoin since the ATHs in May 2021 of ~$65,000, retracing -46% since then.\nIt is also extremely negative for Bitcoin going forward as the majority of Bitcoin mining is done in China (~70% YTD) with Hashrates of mining being correlated to the price. Therefore if these recede on decreasing Chinese mining activity, price could surely follow, affecting SQ's Bitcoin holdings and future transaction volumes.\nSource: Cambridge University (Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index YTD)\nWhilst the SEC has come out and said that Bitcoin regulation is not on their agenda for 2021, Gary Gensler has warned investors to be cautious. Gensler is also has a long history on regulations to protect investors, and despite not putting Bitcoin on the agenda for 2021, I advise readers to study his history with respect to 2000 and 2008.\nLooking out further, this does not bode well for Bitcoin and SQ, generally. It is likely that there could be further regulation rather than adoption, negatively impacting its price, leading to a repeat of 2018 lower volumes as well as mining activity.\nGeneral Economy - The Worry for Retail\nSeparately, we could also be seeing a negative situation for retail going forward. Much of the recovery in retail as not been driven by \"pent up demand\" but mostly through subsidies issued throughout 2020 and the start of 2021. When examining the graph below, we can see that once you subtract transfer receipts (government stimulus cheques and employment benefits - red line), income is not what it used to be.\nSource: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (Disposable Income vs Real Income minus Transfers vs Personal Savings vs Retail Trade Sales)\nAdditionally, we can see that much of the spikes in retail sales (purple) have been driven mainly through the stimulus cheques which bolstered disposable income (blue) and consumer savings (green), though now stimulus has ended and people are having to start to dig into their savings, which is dropped 54% month on month between March and April.\nThe consumer spending situation is made worse when examining U6 unemployment, which is considered to be the most revealing amongst economists as it includes unemployed, underemployed and discouraged job seekers. This, generally speaking, does not bode well for consumer discretionary spending patterns going forward.\nSource: Macrotrends.net (U6 Unemployment Rate vs U5 vs Official)\nFinally, the rising cost of food and energy, which for food I expect to continue, should hamper consumer discretionary spend going forward. I have previously written articles on The Mosaic Company (MOS)hereand The Andersons (ANDE)here, which outline my justification for this trend.\nIn relation to SQ, we can see their historical exposure to consumer discretionary spend based on end 2019 data. When taking into account figures from: retail; professional services, beauty and personal care, home and repair, leisure and entertainment, and casual use, the total exposure is approximately 59%.\nSource: Statista (Raynor de Best - GPV by Seller Industry Dec 2019)\nWhilst this may not impact its revenue figures substantially due to the weighting of bitcoin, I do expect this to undermine is gross profit figures going forward and negatively impact margins as stimulus further fades.\nFinancials\nBitcoin\nWhen examining the financials of SQ we can easily see that Bitcoin is the predominant factor driving its revenue growth (MRQ 69% of total revenue) of which its valuation is derived (see above Introduction section - SQ Price vs Revenue Segments; and Quantitative section - SQ Price correlation).\nFrom their Q1 2021 Shareholder Letter, page 12 they have stated that on March 31, 2021 the fair value of their holdings was $472 million. On this date the closing price was $58,918.83, or approximately 8,011 Bitcoins. They also state they initially invested $200 million into bitcoin during this period and Q4, so their average price is roughly $25,000 per Bitcoin.\nCurrently, the price of Bitcoin sits at approximately $34,600 and it also appears to be struggling to find traction, especially when you examine some other trends. For example, looking at search trends of \"Buy Bitcoin\" on Google Trends, this is clearly waning.\nSource: Google Trends (Buy Bitcoin search terms - Worldwide 5 Yrs)\nAdditionally, when you align this data with stimulus payments it is clear there is a relationship between the two in 2H 2020, and much of the recent speculation could be driven by government subsidies.\nSource: USA.Gov (COVID Stimulus Cheque Dates)\nThe spike in searches occurs roughly around the time of the two latter government stimulus cheques with a lag of a few days to a few weeks.\nSource: Google Trends (Buy Bitcoin search terms - USA 12 Months)\nThis also coincides with Bitcoin's price run up in December 2020 and January 2021, as well the failed rally in March and April 2021.\nSource: YCHARTS (Bitcoin Price 1 Yr)\nThus, in this example, if we have a continued sell off of -70%, which is similar to what occurred in 2018. We would be back at November 2020 Bitcoin prices of $20,000 approximately.\nThis is still feasible on the basis of dwindling volume, further legislation and declining hashrates. It could also be theorized that SQ may carry an impairment charge of $40 million, which would greatly affect operating income, net income and shareholder earnings and future estimates. Though this is purely theoretical without accounting for transactions in the current quarter, such as purchases or sales at or near ATHs.\nAdditionally, with the lack of stimulus payments going forward and tighter consumer discretionary spend, the revenue generated from Bitcoin may also decline as less money enters the space and volumes decline. Negatively impacting revenue estimates for SQ and subsequently their price and valuation.\nCash App\nOn the surface, it looks like Cash App is growing exponentially into a viable platform for users to transact, with more than 36 million monthly transacting active customers, up 50% YoY.\nSource: SQ Investor Relations (Q4 2020 Shareholder Letter)\nHowever, this growth in Cash App may be unsustainable going forward, with SQ elaborating on this in their Quarterly filing notes:\n\n Cash App revenue benefited from growth in numbers of active Cash App customers and from \n government relief programs most recently passed into law in late December 2020 and in March 2021, as well as cumulative benefit from earlier stimulus programs passed in 2020. These programs provided additional stimulus relief and unemployment benefits which resulted in an increase in consumer spending and inflows into our Cash App ecosystem. Cash App revenue growth may not be sustained at the same levels in future quarters and may be impacted by the enactment of further stimulus relief and benefit programs, as well as the demand and market prices for bitcoin, amongst other factors.\n\n\nSource: SQ Investor Relations (Q1 2021 10Q Filings - Page 49)\n\nPart of the issue with Cash App is theoretical continued use and future adoption. Much of the growth seen over the last year was predominantly fueled by stimulus payments through the Cash App ecosystem, and therefore by necessity given the circumstances.\nThe two sharp spikes in searches for the app occurred on:\n\nApril 12-18 2020\nJanuary 24-30 2021\n\nThese coincide with stimulus payments as they initially sent them and they gradually deposited them into people's accounts.\nSource: Google Trends (Cash App search terms - USA 5 Years)\nTherefore, as government stimulus payments end, and Bitcoin again fades from relevancy, and more people return to work and day-trade less, this could negatively impact user growth metrics going forward, impacting SQ revenue estimates, gross profit figures, and its earnings.\nFurther, there are a multitude of other more viable platforms, which another Seeking Alpha contributor,The Value Trend, has elaborated onhere.\nIt is also important to keep in mind how they define these users, a \"Transacting active Cash App customer\" is the following:\n\n ... has at least\n one financial transactionusing any product or service within Cash App during the specified period.\n\n\nSource: SQ Investor Relations (Q4 2020 Shareholder Letter - Page 4)\n\nSo, if a customer received their wages from an employer, or unemployment benefit, into Cash App once per month, and transferred all of it to their bank account once per month, they are a \"transacting active Cash App customer\"...\nPerhaps a better quantifier of an \"active\" customer would be greater than 5 transactions.\nTechnicals\nExamining the technicals of SQ, it is clear that the stock is now ranging between $200 and $280, with several breakout attempts at $250 and 2 failed attempts near $300, showing several signs that momentum is dying out.\nSource: Author, with data from FINVIZ (SQ Chart)\nWhen examining dark pool order flows, there is a possibility for the current rally to continue as dark pools are at lows, which may likely continue into earnings by August. Although I would not get my hopes up unless some seriously good news occurs and Bitcoin rallies back to ATHs.\nSource: Squeezemetrics.com (SQ Dark Pools vs Implied Vol 2 Years)\nFrom the 13F filings, we can also see that many funds have reduced exposure and closed their positions, with fewer new positions being added. The Put to Call ratio is also becoming quite high, especially on a stock that has $100 bln market cap, signaling that we are not the only ones thinking the same thing.\nCaution is required though, as SQ's issues with Bitcoin are obviously becoming a consensus trade, and when those puts are lifted, gamma may turn positive and it could cause the stock to rally significantly.\nSource: Whalewisdom.com (SQ Funds Positioning)\nFurther, with relation to ARK ETFs, it is no surprise that there have been significant liquidity issues the last 6 months, and I agree with another Seeking Alpha contributor's thesisherethat we will see a reversion to the mean with respect to prices of stocks held in these ETFs. What can be noted is that Cathie has significantly reduced her exposure to SQ and that she may be picking her battles.\nSource: Cathiesark.com (SQ Shares Held - All ETFs)\nGiven the above information, this is a difficult company to be short. It will either payoff enormously, or rip your face off due to its volatility. Additionally there are many funds wanting some small level of exposure to a company with Bitcoin on the financial statements. Therefore, if you were to trade this as a short at your own risk, discretion is advised and you should always pick your battles.\nPrice Targets\nOn the basis of volatility through SQ's ATR it is possible that SQ could move to a low of approximately $100 by the end of the year, moving in favor 40% of the time. This aligns with my year end 2021 price if you remove Bitcoin entirely from the equation.\nSource: Author (SQ ATR Calculator)\nHowever, it would not be sensible to do this as it is part of their revenue for the time being, no matter how high Bitcoin volumes were in the start of 2021 and how low they may be at the end of the year.\nI do expect the stock to fall again and retest $200, possibly breaking down to $160. Though it is very difficult to determine a valuation with SQ, mainly because the valuation is derived from Bitcoin revenues, and also the perceived value by funds and the market in the future adoption of the asset.\nIf the market begins to perceive Bitcoin again as irrelevant, I would expect SQ to slowly sell off to between $150 and $160 (-37% downside) with a low probability that it will rally past $300 (25% upside).\nRisks\nWith respect to SQ the following risks should be noted.\nThe company is growing, whether you like SQ or not. The main questions are: Will the market value Bitcoin on any realistic basis? How much is it growing with and without Bitcoin? What is the potential future growth with and without Bitcoin? And does the market believe it, or for that matter care?\nIf the Bitcoin fades from relevancy, and judging by Google Trends, it is more likely than it is not, it is not outlandish to assume that SQ will suffer as a result of this and over the 2H 2021 and take a substantial hit to revenue estimates. However, if Bitcoin adoption increases and negative news fades, since this is a growth company, it could simply continue rallying.\nFurther, consumer spending patterns are producing mixed data, and above I have presented a bear case. This could easily turn the other way if people's behavior changes, such as applying for jobs which will increase spending in the economy and hopefully produce small business growth and increase small business optimism and expansion, which is very beneficial for SQ as a cyclical business in the payment processing space.\nAgain, caution is necessary, though I do think that future growth of the company is priced in and there is a higher risk to holders of SQ to the downside than to the upside.\nSummary\nSQ is a high growth company with some potential positive points in the long run; however, its valuation is highly questionable due to its high revenue estimates predominantly derived from Bitcoin transactions and not bottom-line earnings growth.\nFrom a quantitative perspective, it looks good amongst its peers but upon further examination it appears to be extremely overvalued as future growth, at least for 2021, may be derived from Bitcoin. Further, its Cash App adoption statistics may not continue to see the same run rate going forward without continued government stimulus.\nAdditionally, it faces several potential macroeconomic hurdles with respect to small business exposure, lending competitors, consumer transaction competitors, Bitcoin legislation and softening retail demand.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125758876,"gmtCreate":1624697651995,"gmtModify":1631893603543,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125758876","repostId":"2146008543","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125758047,"gmtCreate":1624697619189,"gmtModify":1631893603548,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125758047","repostId":"1132692662","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132692662","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624680481,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132692662?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-26 12:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China<blockquote>特斯拉在华召回部分进口及国产Model 3和Model Y</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132692662","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.In response to the recall, Tesla said ","content":"<p>Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.</p><p><blockquote>据国家市场监督管理总局消息，近日，特斯拉备案了召回计划，决定自即日起召回部分车辆。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉决定召回2019年1月12日至2019年11月27日期间生产的35665辆进口Model 3。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>同时，特斯拉将召回2019年12月19日至2021年6月7日生产的部分国产Model 3，共计211256辆；2021年1月1日至2021年6月7日期间生产的国产Model Y共计38599辆。</blockquote></p><p> Due to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>本次召回范围内车辆由于主动巡航控制系统存在问题，在以下情况下驾驶员容易误激活主动巡航功能：当车辆挂入D挡时，驾驶员试图通过再次推动右侧操纵杆来切换挡位；车辆急转弯时，驾驶员误触并移动右侧操纵杆等。误启动主动巡航控制后，如果车辆设定的巡航速度不是当前速度，而当前速度低于设定速度，车辆就会加速到设定速度，导致车速突然升高，影响驾驶员的预期，导致车辆操控误判。极端情况下可能导致车辆碰撞，存在安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将通过OTA技术为召回车辆免费升级主动巡航控制软件，用户无需到店即可完成软件升级；对于无法通过OTA技术召回的车辆，特斯拉（北京）有限公司和特斯拉（上海）有限公司将通过特斯拉服务中心联系相关用户，为车辆免费升级主动巡航控制软件，以消除安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> In response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.</p><p><blockquote>针对此次召回，特斯拉6月26日表示，本次召回范围内的车辆（Model 3/Model Y），由于主动巡航控制功能可能被驾驶员误激活，极端情况下存在安全隐患。特斯拉主动向国家市场监督管理总局备案了召回计划。用户无需前往门店即可完成OTA。特斯拉表示，对此次召回给您带来的不便表示歉意。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China<blockquote>特斯拉在华召回部分进口及国产Model 3和Model Y</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla recalls some imported and domestic Model 3 and Model Y in China<blockquote>特斯拉在华召回部分进口及国产Model 3和Model Y</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-26 12:08</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.</p><p><blockquote>据国家市场监督管理总局消息，近日，特斯拉备案了召回计划，决定自即日起召回部分车辆。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉决定召回2019年1月12日至2019年11月27日期间生产的35665辆进口Model 3。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>同时，特斯拉将召回2019年12月19日至2021年6月7日生产的部分国产Model 3，共计211256辆；2021年1月1日至2021年6月7日期间生产的国产Model Y共计38599辆。</blockquote></p><p> Due to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>本次召回范围内车辆由于主动巡航控制系统存在问题，在以下情况下驾驶员容易误激活主动巡航功能：当车辆挂入D挡时，驾驶员试图通过再次推动右侧操纵杆来切换挡位；车辆急转弯时，驾驶员误触并移动右侧操纵杆等。误启动主动巡航控制后，如果车辆设定的巡航速度不是当前速度，而当前速度低于设定速度，车辆就会加速到设定速度，导致车速突然升高，影响驾驶员的预期，导致车辆操控误判。极端情况下可能导致车辆碰撞，存在安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉将通过OTA技术为召回车辆免费升级主动巡航控制软件，用户无需到店即可完成软件升级；对于无法通过OTA技术召回的车辆，特斯拉（北京）有限公司和特斯拉（上海）有限公司将通过特斯拉服务中心联系相关用户，为车辆免费升级主动巡航控制软件，以消除安全隐患。</blockquote></p><p> In response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.</p><p><blockquote>针对此次召回，特斯拉6月26日表示，本次召回范围内的车辆（Model 3/Model Y），由于主动巡航控制功能可能被驾驶员误激活，极端情况下存在安全隐患。特斯拉主动向国家市场监督管理总局备案了召回计划。用户无需前往门店即可完成OTA。特斯拉表示，对此次召回给您带来的不便表示歉意。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132692662","content_text":"Recently, Tesla filed a recall plan and decided to recall some vehicles from now on,according to China's State Administration of market supervision.\nTesla decided to recall 35665 imported Model 3 produced between January 12, 2019 and November 27, 2019.\nMeanwhile, Tesla will recall some domestic Model 3 produced from December 19, 2019 to June 7, 2021, totaling 211256 vehicles; A total of 38599 domestic Model Y were produced from January 1, 2021 to June 7, 2021.\nDue to the problems of the active cruise control system of the vehicles within the scope of this recall, it is easy for the driver to activate the active cruise function by mistake in the following situations: when the vehicle is in D gear, the driver tries to switch the gear by pushing the right control lever again; When the vehicle turns sharply, the driver touches and moves the right control lever by mistake, etc. After the active cruise control is mistakenly activated, if the cruise speed set by the vehicle is not the current speed, and the current speed is lower than the set speed, the vehicle will accelerate to the set speed, resulting in a sudden increase in vehicle speed, which will affect the driver's expectation and lead to misjudgment of vehicle handling. In extreme cases, it may lead to vehicle collision, and there are potential safety hazards.\nTesla will upgrade the active cruise control software for the recalled vehicles free of charge through OTA technology, so users can complete the software upgrade without going to the store; For vehicles that cannot be recalled through OTA technology, Tesla Motors (Beijing) Co., Ltd. and Tesla (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. will contact relevant users through Tesla service center to upgrade active cruise control software for vehicles free, so as to eliminate potential safety hazards.\nIn response to the recall, Tesla said on June 26 that for the vehicles (Model 3 / Model Y) within the scope of this recall, due to the fact that the active cruise control function may be activated by the driver by mistake, there are potential safety hazards in extreme cases. Tesla took the initiative to file the recall plan with the State Administration of market supervision and administration. Users do not need to go to the store to complete the OTA. Tesla said it apologized for the inconvenience caused by the recall.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1389,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123791531,"gmtCreate":1624437699623,"gmtModify":1631893603549,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the","listText":"To the","text":"To the","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123791531","repostId":"1136966718","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2969,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370310441,"gmtCreate":1618551028383,"gmtModify":1631893603554,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amd is innovating","listText":"Amd is innovating","text":"Amd is innovating","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370310441","repostId":"2127865888","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2127865888","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1618543026,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2127865888?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 11:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel faces a costly and uncertain road back to glory, analyst warns of 'pain' ahead<blockquote>分析师警告称，英特尔重返荣耀面临代价高昂且不确定的道路，未来将面临“痛苦”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2127865888","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'\nRecent","content":"<p>Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James转而看跌英特尔股价，但评级竞争对手芯片制造商英伟达“强力买入”</blockquote></p><p> Recent enthusiasm for Intel Corp.'s new chief executive and his ambitious plans to transform the company overlooks the risks and costs associated with the chipmaker's strategy, an analyst argued Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>一位分析师周四表示，最近人们对英特尔公司新任首席执行官及其雄心勃勃的公司转型计划的热情忽视了与这家芯片制造商战略相关的风险和成本。</blockquote></p><p> Chris Caso of Raymond James downgraded Intel's stock to underperform from market perform, writing that Intel <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$(INTC)$</a> faces an expensive and uncertain journey as it tries to recover from a series of missteps and reassert its dominance in the chip landscape.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James的Chris Caso将英特尔股票评级从市场表现下调至表现不佳，他写道，英特尔<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$(INTC)$</a>在试图从一系列失误中恢复过来并重新确立其在芯片领域的主导地位时，它面临着一段昂贵且不确定的旅程。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares are up 21% since the company announced that Pat Gelsinger, who had been serving as chief executive of VMware Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMW\">$(VMW)$</a>, would be taking over the top spot at Intel. Gelsinger recently laid out plans for Intel to expand its manufacturing capacity and launch a foundry business that would make chips for other companies, but Caso has concerns about the prospects for and cost of success.</p><p><blockquote>自英特尔宣布一直担任VMware Inc.首席执行官的帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)上任以来，英特尔股价已上涨21%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMW\">$(VMW)$</a>，将取代英特尔的头把交椅。基辛格最近为英特尔制定了扩大制造能力并推出代工业务的计划，为其他公司生产芯片，但卡索对成功的前景和成本感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our underperform rating reflects not just the risk that Intel won't reach that goal, but also the pain they will likely endure in pursuit of that goal in terms of capex, lost market share, and a shifting landscape in datacenter that will make the industry less dependent on Intel,\" he wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>“我们的表现不佳评级不仅反映了英特尔无法实现这一目标的风险，还反映了他们在追求这一目标的过程中可能会在资本支出、市场份额损失以及数据中心格局的变化方面忍受的痛苦，这将使该行业减少对英特尔的依赖，”他在给客户的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Caso worries that demand for personal computers has been \"significantly pulled forward\" due to the pandemic, which could eventually lead to a reversion to the mean. The problem for Intel is that the mean reversion \"may unfortunately occur just as Intel needs to ramp investment.\"</p><p><blockquote>卡索担心，由于疫情，对个人电脑的需求已经“显着提前”，这最终可能导致回归均值。英特尔面临的问题是，均值回归“可能会在英特尔需要增加投资时不幸发生”。</blockquote></p><p> Even though Intel could receive some government assistance, Caso expects that the company's plans to open a foundry business will be expensive. \"We therefore believe the fall analyst day could be a negative catalyst, as investors get the bill for that investment,\" he wrote. In addition, he's skeptical that the company has the technology to effectively compete in this business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管英特尔可能会获得一些政府援助，但Caso预计该公司开设代工业务的计划将耗资巨大。他写道：“因此，我们认为秋季分析师日可能会成为负面催化剂，因为投资者会为该投资买单。”此外，他怀疑该公司是否拥有在这项业务中有效竞争的技术。</blockquote></p><p> \"For investors who have a higher confidence in a turnaround than we do, we simply don't see a reason to make that bet now since any turnaround would be several years away, with many cyclical and Intel-specific issues that could weigh on estimates in the meantime,\" Caso wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“对于比我们对扭亏为盈更有信心的投资者来说，我们根本看不出现在有理由下这样的赌注，因为任何扭亏为盈都需要几年的时间，许多周期性和英特尔特有的问题可能会影响估值与此同时，”卡索写道。</blockquote></p><p> He's partial to other chip names, including Nvidia Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a>, which he upgraded to strong buy from outperform Thursday in a sign of his \"conviction in both the short and long term.\" Caso also initiated coverage of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$(AMD)$</a> with an outperform rating and $100 price target, arguing that the company has \"a durable technical advantage versus Intel.\"</p><p><blockquote>他偏爱其他芯片公司，包括英伟达公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a>周四，他将其评级从跑赢大盘上调至强力买入，这表明他“对短期和长期的信念”。Caso还开始报道Advanced Micro Devices Inc.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$(AMD)$</a>给予跑赢大盘评级和100美元的目标价，认为该公司“相对于英特尔拥有持久的技术优势”。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares have lost 7% over the past three months, as Nvidia shares have risen 24% and as Intel shares have increased 14%. The S&amp;P 500 is up 10% in that span, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index has gained 9%.</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月，AMD股价下跌7%，英伟达股价上涨24%，英特尔股价上涨14%。标普500在此期间上涨了10%，而PHLX半导体指数则上涨了9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel faces a costly and uncertain road back to glory, analyst warns of 'pain' ahead<blockquote>分析师警告称，英特尔重返荣耀面临代价高昂且不确定的道路，未来将面临“痛苦”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel faces a costly and uncertain road back to glory, analyst warns of 'pain' ahead<blockquote>分析师警告称，英特尔重返荣耀面临代价高昂且不确定的道路，未来将面临“痛苦”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 11:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James转而看跌英特尔股价，但评级竞争对手芯片制造商英伟达“强力买入”</blockquote></p><p> Recent enthusiasm for Intel Corp.'s new chief executive and his ambitious plans to transform the company overlooks the risks and costs associated with the chipmaker's strategy, an analyst argued Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>一位分析师周四表示，最近人们对英特尔公司新任首席执行官及其雄心勃勃的公司转型计划的热情忽视了与这家芯片制造商战略相关的风险和成本。</blockquote></p><p> Chris Caso of Raymond James downgraded Intel's stock to underperform from market perform, writing that Intel <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$(INTC)$</a> faces an expensive and uncertain journey as it tries to recover from a series of missteps and reassert its dominance in the chip landscape.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James的Chris Caso将英特尔股票评级从市场表现下调至表现不佳，他写道，英特尔<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$(INTC)$</a>在试图从一系列失误中恢复过来并重新确立其在芯片领域的主导地位时，它面临着一段昂贵且不确定的旅程。</blockquote></p><p> Intel shares are up 21% since the company announced that Pat Gelsinger, who had been serving as chief executive of VMware Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMW\">$(VMW)$</a>, would be taking over the top spot at Intel. Gelsinger recently laid out plans for Intel to expand its manufacturing capacity and launch a foundry business that would make chips for other companies, but Caso has concerns about the prospects for and cost of success.</p><p><blockquote>自英特尔宣布一直担任VMware Inc.首席执行官的帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)上任以来，英特尔股价已上涨21%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMW\">$(VMW)$</a>，将取代英特尔的头把交椅。基辛格最近为英特尔制定了扩大制造能力并推出代工业务的计划，为其他公司生产芯片，但卡索对成功的前景和成本感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our underperform rating reflects not just the risk that Intel won't reach that goal, but also the pain they will likely endure in pursuit of that goal in terms of capex, lost market share, and a shifting landscape in datacenter that will make the industry less dependent on Intel,\" he wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>“我们的表现不佳评级不仅反映了英特尔无法实现这一目标的风险，还反映了他们在追求这一目标的过程中可能会在资本支出、市场份额损失以及数据中心格局的变化方面忍受的痛苦，这将使该行业减少对英特尔的依赖，”他在给客户的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Caso worries that demand for personal computers has been \"significantly pulled forward\" due to the pandemic, which could eventually lead to a reversion to the mean. The problem for Intel is that the mean reversion \"may unfortunately occur just as Intel needs to ramp investment.\"</p><p><blockquote>卡索担心，由于疫情，对个人电脑的需求已经“显着提前”，这最终可能导致回归均值。英特尔面临的问题是，均值回归“可能会在英特尔需要增加投资时不幸发生”。</blockquote></p><p> Even though Intel could receive some government assistance, Caso expects that the company's plans to open a foundry business will be expensive. \"We therefore believe the fall analyst day could be a negative catalyst, as investors get the bill for that investment,\" he wrote. In addition, he's skeptical that the company has the technology to effectively compete in this business.</p><p><blockquote>尽管英特尔可能会获得一些政府援助，但Caso预计该公司开设代工业务的计划将耗资巨大。他写道：“因此，我们认为秋季分析师日可能会成为负面催化剂，因为投资者会为该投资买单。”此外，他怀疑该公司是否拥有在这项业务中有效竞争的技术。</blockquote></p><p> \"For investors who have a higher confidence in a turnaround than we do, we simply don't see a reason to make that bet now since any turnaround would be several years away, with many cyclical and Intel-specific issues that could weigh on estimates in the meantime,\" Caso wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“对于比我们对扭亏为盈更有信心的投资者来说，我们根本看不出现在有理由下这样的赌注，因为任何扭亏为盈都需要几年的时间，许多周期性和英特尔特有的问题可能会影响估值与此同时，”卡索写道。</blockquote></p><p> He's partial to other chip names, including Nvidia Corp. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a>, which he upgraded to strong buy from outperform Thursday in a sign of his \"conviction in both the short and long term.\" Caso also initiated coverage of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$(AMD)$</a> with an outperform rating and $100 price target, arguing that the company has \"a durable technical advantage versus Intel.\"</p><p><blockquote>他偏爱其他芯片公司，包括英伟达公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$(NVDA)$</a>周四，他将其评级从跑赢大盘上调至强力买入，这表明他“对短期和长期的信念”。Caso还开始报道Advanced Micro Devices Inc.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$(AMD)$</a>给予跑赢大盘评级和100美元的目标价，认为该公司“相对于英特尔拥有持久的技术优势”。</blockquote></p><p> AMD shares have lost 7% over the past three months, as Nvidia shares have risen 24% and as Intel shares have increased 14%. The S&amp;P 500 is up 10% in that span, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index has gained 9%.</p><p><blockquote>过去三个月，AMD股价下跌7%，英伟达股价上涨24%，英特尔股价上涨14%。标普500在此期间上涨了10%，而PHLX半导体指数则上涨了9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/intel-faces-a-costly-and-uncertain-road-back-to-glory-analyst-warns-of-pain-ahead-11618502833?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司","INTC":"英特尔","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/intel-faces-a-costly-and-uncertain-road-back-to-glory-analyst-warns-of-pain-ahead-11618502833?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2127865888","content_text":"Raymond James turns bearish on Intel shares, but calls rival chip maker Nvidia a 'strong buy'\nRecent enthusiasm for Intel Corp.'s new chief executive and his ambitious plans to transform the company overlooks the risks and costs associated with the chipmaker's strategy, an analyst argued Thursday.\nChris Caso of Raymond James downgraded Intel's stock to underperform from market perform, writing that Intel $(INTC)$ faces an expensive and uncertain journey as it tries to recover from a series of missteps and reassert its dominance in the chip landscape.\nIntel shares are up 21% since the company announced that Pat Gelsinger, who had been serving as chief executive of VMware Inc. $(VMW)$, would be taking over the top spot at Intel. Gelsinger recently laid out plans for Intel to expand its manufacturing capacity and launch a foundry business that would make chips for other companies, but Caso has concerns about the prospects for and cost of success.\n\"Our underperform rating reflects not just the risk that Intel won't reach that goal, but also the pain they will likely endure in pursuit of that goal in terms of capex, lost market share, and a shifting landscape in datacenter that will make the industry less dependent on Intel,\" he wrote in a note to clients.\nCaso worries that demand for personal computers has been \"significantly pulled forward\" due to the pandemic, which could eventually lead to a reversion to the mean. The problem for Intel is that the mean reversion \"may unfortunately occur just as Intel needs to ramp investment.\"\nEven though Intel could receive some government assistance, Caso expects that the company's plans to open a foundry business will be expensive. \"We therefore believe the fall analyst day could be a negative catalyst, as investors get the bill for that investment,\" he wrote. In addition, he's skeptical that the company has the technology to effectively compete in this business.\n\"For investors who have a higher confidence in a turnaround than we do, we simply don't see a reason to make that bet now since any turnaround would be several years away, with many cyclical and Intel-specific issues that could weigh on estimates in the meantime,\" Caso wrote.\nHe's partial to other chip names, including Nvidia Corp. $(NVDA)$, which he upgraded to strong buy from outperform Thursday in a sign of his \"conviction in both the short and long term.\" Caso also initiated coverage of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. $(AMD)$ with an outperform rating and $100 price target, arguing that the company has \"a durable technical advantage versus Intel.\"\nAMD shares have lost 7% over the past three months, as Nvidia shares have risen 24% and as Intel shares have increased 14%. The S&P 500 is up 10% in that span, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index has gained 9%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370310138,"gmtCreate":1618551000324,"gmtModify":1631893603557,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Recovery","listText":"Recovery","text":"Recovery","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370310138","repostId":"1151397636","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344773286,"gmtCreate":1618446457445,"gmtModify":1631893603558,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Need trillon market cap to go up..not possible","listText":"Need trillon market cap to go up..not possible","text":"Need trillon market cap to go up..not possible","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344773286","repostId":"1150008080","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150008080","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618445627,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150008080?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-15 08:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Could Crush Earnings Estimates. One Analyst Explains How.<blockquote>苹果可能会超出盈利预期。一位分析师解释了原因。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150008080","media":"Barrons","summary":"While you weren’t looking, Apple shares have rallied about 12% over the past two weeks, as investors turn their attention to the company’s upcoming March-quarter financial results. There are reasons to think more gains could follow.Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani this morning repeated his Outperform rating and $175 target price on Apple shares , while adding the stock to the firm’s Tactical Outperform list.“While the supply chain issues are real, we expect Apple will be relatively protected ","content":"<p>While you weren’t looking, Apple shares have rallied about 12% over the past two weeks, as investors turn their attention to the company’s upcoming March-quarter financial results. There are reasons to think more gains could follow.</p><p><blockquote>尽管您没有注意到，随着投资者将注意力转向该公司即将发布的3月份季度财务业绩，苹果股价在过去两周上涨了约12%。有理由认为接下来可能会有更多收益。</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani this morning repeated his Outperform rating and $175 target price on Apple shares (ticker: AAPL), while adding the stock to the firm’s Tactical Outperform list.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI分析师Amit Daryanani今天上午重申了对苹果股票（股票代码：AAPL）的跑赢大盘评级和175美元的目标价，同时将该股添加到该公司的战术跑赢大盘名单中。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst thinks Apple is “well-positioned to report upside to March quarter estimates,” driven by strong performance by bothiPhoneandservices, and despite ongoing component shortages.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师认为，尽管零部件持续短缺，但在iPhone和服务强劲表现的推动下，苹果“处于有利地位，可以报告3月份季度预期的上行空间”。</blockquote></p><p> “While the supply chain issues are real, we expect Apple will be relatively protected by its status as one of the largest electronics purchasers in the world,” Daryanani writes in a research note. He points out that Foxconn, a key Apple manufacturing partner,has called out the tight supply of partsbut said it would affect less than 10% of customer orders.</p><p><blockquote>Daryanani在一份研究报告中写道：“虽然供应链问题是真实存在的，但我们预计苹果将因其作为全球最大电子产品买家之一的地位而受到相对保护。”他指出，苹果主要制造合作伙伴富士康已呼吁零部件供应紧张，但表示这将影响不到10%的客户订单。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, he notes thati&nbsp;Phone shipments in Chinawere up 185% in the first two months of the quarter, while the App Store saw 32% growth in the quarter. He notes that Apple had guided to some deceleration in services in the quarter after 30% growth in the December quarter, but he sees potential that the growth will be steady or better given strength in the App Store.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，他指出，本季度前两个月中国手机出货量增长了185%，而App Store本季度增长了32%。他指出，在12月份季度增长30%后，苹果预计本季度服务业将有所减速，但鉴于App Store的实力，他认为增长可能会稳定或更好。</blockquote></p><p> In short, Daryanani thinks Apple is positioned to report “sizable upside” versus expectations for the March quarter, with June guidance likely to be in line with expectations or better. Long term, he thinks the company can sustain mid-to-high single-digit sales growth and low-teens earnings-per-share growth.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，Daryanani认为，与3月份季度的预期相比，苹果有望报告“相当大的上涨空间”，6月份的指引可能符合预期或更好。从长远来看，他认为该公司可以维持中高个位数的销售额增长和低十几岁的每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is due to report earnings on April 28. Current Street consensus calls for revenue of $77 billion and profits of 98 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于4月28日公布财报。目前华尔街一致认为评级营收为770亿美元，每股利润为98美分。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock was down 1.8%, at $132.03, in recent trading. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;was down&nbsp;0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在最近的交易中下跌1.8%，至132.03美元。标准普尔500指数下跌0.</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Could Crush Earnings Estimates. One Analyst Explains How.<blockquote>苹果可能会超出盈利预期。一位分析师解释了原因。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Could Crush Earnings Estimates. One Analyst Explains How.<blockquote>苹果可能会超出盈利预期。一位分析师解释了原因。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-15 08:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While you weren’t looking, Apple shares have rallied about 12% over the past two weeks, as investors turn their attention to the company’s upcoming March-quarter financial results. There are reasons to think more gains could follow.</p><p><blockquote>尽管您没有注意到，随着投资者将注意力转向该公司即将发布的3月份季度财务业绩，苹果股价在过去两周上涨了约12%。有理由认为接下来可能会有更多收益。</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani this morning repeated his Outperform rating and $175 target price on Apple shares (ticker: AAPL), while adding the stock to the firm’s Tactical Outperform list.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI分析师Amit Daryanani今天上午重申了对苹果股票（股票代码：AAPL）的跑赢大盘评级和175美元的目标价，同时将该股添加到该公司的战术跑赢大盘名单中。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst thinks Apple is “well-positioned to report upside to March quarter estimates,” driven by strong performance by bothiPhoneandservices, and despite ongoing component shortages.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师认为，尽管零部件持续短缺，但在iPhone和服务强劲表现的推动下，苹果“处于有利地位，可以报告3月份季度预期的上行空间”。</blockquote></p><p> “While the supply chain issues are real, we expect Apple will be relatively protected by its status as one of the largest electronics purchasers in the world,” Daryanani writes in a research note. He points out that Foxconn, a key Apple manufacturing partner,has called out the tight supply of partsbut said it would affect less than 10% of customer orders.</p><p><blockquote>Daryanani在一份研究报告中写道：“虽然供应链问题是真实存在的，但我们预计苹果将因其作为全球最大电子产品买家之一的地位而受到相对保护。”他指出，苹果主要制造合作伙伴富士康已呼吁零部件供应紧张，但表示这将影响不到10%的客户订单。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, he notes thati&nbsp;Phone shipments in Chinawere up 185% in the first two months of the quarter, while the App Store saw 32% growth in the quarter. He notes that Apple had guided to some deceleration in services in the quarter after 30% growth in the December quarter, but he sees potential that the growth will be steady or better given strength in the App Store.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，他指出，本季度前两个月中国手机出货量增长了185%，而App Store本季度增长了32%。他指出，在12月份季度增长30%后，苹果预计本季度服务业将有所减速，但鉴于App Store的实力，他认为增长可能会稳定或更好。</blockquote></p><p> In short, Daryanani thinks Apple is positioned to report “sizable upside” versus expectations for the March quarter, with June guidance likely to be in line with expectations or better. Long term, he thinks the company can sustain mid-to-high single-digit sales growth and low-teens earnings-per-share growth.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，Daryanani认为，与3月份季度的预期相比，苹果有望报告“相当大的上涨空间”，6月份的指引可能符合预期或更好。从长远来看，他认为该公司可以维持中高个位数的销售额增长和低十几岁的每股收益增长。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is due to report earnings on April 28. Current Street consensus calls for revenue of $77 billion and profits of 98 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于4月28日公布财报。目前华尔街一致认为评级营收为770亿美元，每股利润为98美分。</blockquote></p><p> Apple stock was down 1.8%, at $132.03, in recent trading. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;was down&nbsp;0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在最近的交易中下跌1.8%，至132.03美元。标准普尔500指数下跌0.</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-should-crush-street-estimates-for-the-march-quarter-analyst-says-51618413850?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-should-crush-street-estimates-for-the-march-quarter-analyst-says-51618413850?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150008080","content_text":"While you weren’t looking, Apple shares have rallied about 12% over the past two weeks, as investors turn their attention to the company’s upcoming March-quarter financial results. There are reasons to think more gains could follow.\nEvercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani this morning repeated his Outperform rating and $175 target price on Apple shares (ticker: AAPL), while adding the stock to the firm’s Tactical Outperform list.\nThe analyst thinks Apple is “well-positioned to report upside to March quarter estimates,” driven by strong performance by bothiPhoneandservices, and despite ongoing component shortages.\n“While the supply chain issues are real, we expect Apple will be relatively protected by its status as one of the largest electronics purchasers in the world,” Daryanani writes in a research note. He points out that Foxconn, a key Apple manufacturing partner,has called out the tight supply of partsbut said it would affect less than 10% of customer orders.\nMeanwhile, he notes thati Phone shipments in Chinawere up 185% in the first two months of the quarter, while the App Store saw 32% growth in the quarter. He notes that Apple had guided to some deceleration in services in the quarter after 30% growth in the December quarter, but he sees potential that the growth will be steady or better given strength in the App Store.\nIn short, Daryanani thinks Apple is positioned to report “sizable upside” versus expectations for the March quarter, with June guidance likely to be in line with expectations or better. Long term, he thinks the company can sustain mid-to-high single-digit sales growth and low-teens earnings-per-share growth.\nApple is due to report earnings on April 28. Current Street consensus calls for revenue of $77 billion and profits of 98 cents a share.\nApple stock was down 1.8%, at $132.03, in recent trading. The S&P 500 was down 0.4%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344779751,"gmtCreate":1618446407273,"gmtModify":1631893603563,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344779751","repostId":"2127075311","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344779568,"gmtCreate":1618446387654,"gmtModify":1634292912596,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Correction","listText":"Correction","text":"Correction","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344779568","repostId":"1189551384","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346015994,"gmtCreate":1617974274518,"gmtModify":1634295443741,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"EV play next week..rmo hylnCoinbase will dilute&nbsp;","listText":"EV play next week..rmo hylnCoinbase will dilute&nbsp;","text":"EV play next week..rmo hylnCoinbase will dilute","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346015994","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":789,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348012818,"gmtCreate":1617868017334,"gmtModify":1634296061232,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571784946922966","authorIdStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fomc","listText":"Fomc","text":"Fomc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348012818","repostId":"1122722518","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122722518","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617867442,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122722518?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-08 15:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Things You Might Have Missed in the Fed’s Minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要中您可能错过的5件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122722518","media":"Barrons","summary":"Trading was quiet Wednesday, with stocks closing in mixed territory and the benchmark 10-year Treasu","content":"<p>Trading was quiet Wednesday, with stocks closing in mixed territory and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield flat after the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes didn’t provide much in the way of surprises.</p><p><blockquote>周三交易平静，股市收盘涨跌互现，基准10年期国债收益率持平，此前美联储最新会议纪要没有提供太多惊喜。</blockquote></p><p>The market’s response was muted because the most important takeaways were already addressed by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at hisregular postmeeting press conferencelast month. While the economy is showing signs of recovery and markets are pricing in a strong rebound in growth, members of the Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, said it “would likely be some time” before they will need to start winding down their $120 billion in bond purchases, which is seen as an initial step on the path toward raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>市场反应平淡，因为美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔已经在上个月的例行会后新闻发布会上谈到了最重要的要点。尽管经济显示出复苏迹象，市场正在消化增长强劲反弹，但联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)成员表示，他们“可能需要一段时间”才需要开始逐步减少1200亿美元的债券购买，这被视为加息道路上的第一步。</blockquote></p><p>“Despite these positive indicators and an improved public health situation, participants agreed that the economy remained far from the Committee’s longer-run goals and that the path ahead remained highly uncertain, with the pandemic continuing to pose considerable risks to the outlook,” the minutes said. That tracks with Powell’s comments.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要称：“尽管有这些积极指标和公共卫生状况的改善，但与会者一致认为，经济仍远未达到委员会的长期目标，未来的道路仍然高度不确定，疫情继续对前景构成相当大的风险。”说。这与鲍威尔的评论一致。</blockquote></p><p>That doesn’t mean there weren’t some notable details in Wednesday’s meeting minutes. The Fed’s staff and members of the Fed’s policy committee discussed some important market trends that could matter for markets. Here are five:</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着周三的会议记录中没有一些值得注意的细节。美联储工作人员和美联储政策委员会成员讨论了一些可能对市场至关重要的重要市场趋势。这里有五个：</blockquote></p><p><b>Why central bankers (and their staff) think Treasury yields are rising</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么央行行长（及其员工）认为国债收益率正在上升</b>.</blockquote></p><p>Fed officials and staffers discussedthe selloff in Treasuriesthat have pushed 10-year yields up by nearly 75 basis points, or hundredths of a percentage point, so far this year. The main driver of the increase since January hasn’t been inflation expectations, but rather an increase in “real” or inflation-adjusted yields.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员和工作人员讨论了今年迄今为止已将10年期国债收益率推高近75个基点，即百分之几个百分点的抛售。自1月份以来，这一增长的主要驱动力不是通胀预期，而是“实际”或通胀调整后收益率的增长。</blockquote></p><p>In theory, real yields should reflect expectations for Fed policy. But while staffers did discuss bets that the Fed would tighten—more on that later—they attributed “a significant portion” of the market’s selloff to rising term premiums, a catchall metric meant to capture factors that can affect yields other than inflation or Fed policy forecasts. The rise in term premiums could be reflecting fiscal policy or the increase in long-term Treasury issuance planned to finance Covid-19 relief efforts.</p><p><blockquote>理论上，实际收益率应该反映对美联储政策的预期。不过，尽管工作人员确实讨论了美联储将收紧政策的押注（稍后会详细介绍），但他们将市场抛售的“很大一部分”归因于期限溢价上升，这是一个包罗万象的指标，旨在捕捉除通胀或美联储政策预测之外可能影响收益率的因素。期限溢价的上升可能反映了财政政策或计划为Covid-19救援工作提供资金的长期国债发行的增加。</blockquote></p><p>“Higher term premiums could reflect the outlook for more expansive fiscal policy and an associated upward revision in the expected path for Treasury debt outstanding,” said staffers, according to the minutes’ summary of the discussion. “Increased uncertainty over the outlook for longer-term interest rates as well as technical factors may also have contributed to the rise.”</p><p><blockquote>根据会议纪要的讨论摘要，工作人员表示：“较高的期限溢价可能反映出更扩张性财政政策的前景以及未偿国债预期路径的相关上调。”“长期利率前景的不确定性增加以及技术因素也可能导致利率上升。”</blockquote></p><p>For their part, the FOMC members “generally viewed [the increase in yields] as reflecting the improved economic outlook, some firming in inflation expectations, and expectations for increased Treasury debt issuance.” Not too much to worry about, in other words.</p><p><blockquote>就FOMC成员而言，他们“普遍认为[收益率上升]反映了经济前景的改善、通胀预期的一些坚定以及对国债发行增加的预期。”换句话说，没什么好担心的。</blockquote></p><p>Officials were slightly less sanguine aboutthe ugly trading in late February, however: “Disorderly conditions in Treasury markets or a persistent rise in yields that could jeopardize progress toward the Committee’s goals were seen as cause for concern.”</p><p><blockquote>然而，官员们对2月底的丑陋交易略显不那么乐观：“国债市场的无序状况或收益率持续上升可能危及委员会目标的进展，被视为令人担忧的原因。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Bond traders are saying and doing different things.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券交易员正在说和做不同的事情。</b></blockquote></p><p>The Fed’s staff might be attributing the rise in yields to the kitchen-sink indicator known as the term premium, but markets are still betting on a quicker pace of Fed rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储工作人员可能将收益率上升归因于被称为期限溢价的厨房水槽指标，但市场仍押注美联储加息步伐加快。</blockquote></p><p>Staffers acknowledged this, according to the minutes, and said derivatives markets are pricing the Fed’s first rate increase in the first quarter of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要显示，工作人员承认了这一点，并表示衍生品市场正在为美联储2023年第一季度的首次加息定价。</blockquote></p><p>But staffers also played down the issue by highlighting surveys of bond traders and institutional investors. Those market participants tell the Fed they have only slightly increased their forecasts for interest rates since late January. Surveys now indicate that investors and traders expect rates to be five basis points higher at the end of 2023, or one-fifth of a rate increase. In contrast, market-based estimates have increased by 50 basis points, implying two rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>但工作人员也通过强调对债券交易员和机构投资者的调查来淡化这个问题。这些市场参与者告诉美联储，自1月底以来，他们仅小幅上调了利率预测。目前的调查显示，投资者和交易员预计2023年底利率将上涨5个基点，即加息幅度的五分之一。相比之下，市场预期增加了50个基点，意味着加息两次。</blockquote></p><p>So what’s responsible for the discrepancy? It could be that a large group of investors that aren’t surveyed are betting on quicker rate increases, or investors and traders could be hedging against a range of possibilities for Fed interest-rate hikes whether or not they believe they will come. Or traders could be saying one thing and doing another.</p><p><blockquote>那么是什么造成了这种差异呢？可能是一大群未接受调查的投资者押注加息速度加快，或者投资者和交易员可能正在对冲美联储加息的一系列可能性，无论他们是否相信加息会到来。或者交易者可能说一套做一套。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Fed knows it has options if money-market rates keep falling.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储知道，如果货币市场利率继续下降，它还有其他选择。</b></blockquote></p><p>Another issue that came up in the Fed’s discussions was&nbsp;declining money-market rates. Plenty of cash has already been sloshing around the U.S. financial system looking for a home, as the Treasury Department reduces its bill issuance and its cash balance ahead of the debt-ceiling reinstatement this summer. Plus, the reinstatement of some regulatory requirements may push more cash away from global banks and into money-market funds instead.</p><p><blockquote>美联储讨论中出现的另一个问题是货币市场利率下降。随着财政部在今年夏天恢复债务上限之前减少票据发行和现金余额，大量现金已经在美国金融体系中流动寻找归宿。此外，一些监管要求的恢复可能会将更多现金从全球银行转移到货币市场基金。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Officials have partly addressed this issue already, with a technical tweak of one of their policy tools called the overnight reverse-repurchase (or repo) facility.</p><p><blockquote>官员们已经部分解决了这个问题，对他们的政策工具之一隔夜逆回购（或回购）工具进行了技术调整。</blockquote></p><p>The facility provides a place for money-market funds to put their cash overnight at a 0% rate. That is meant to prevent those funds from sending too much cash into short-term Treasury bills or repo markets, which could boost demand so much in those markets that interest rates fall below zero.</p><p><blockquote>该工具为货币市场基金提供了一个以0%利率隔夜存放现金的场所。这是为了防止这些基金向短期国库券或回购市场注入过多现金，这可能会大幅提振这些市场的需求，导致利率降至零以下。</blockquote></p><p>The Fed said at its last meeting that each money-market counterparty can pledge $80 billion of cash with its facility overnight, up from $30 billion previously. According to the meeting minutes, a few FOMC members said they would support lifting the limit altogether.</p><p><blockquote>美联储在上次会议上表示，每个货币市场交易对手隔夜可以通过其工具质押800亿美元现金，高于此前的300亿美元。根据会议纪要，一些FOMC成员表示，他们将支持完全取消限额。</blockquote></p><p><b>Inflation forecasts carry much less weight than results.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀预测的分量远低于结果。</b></blockquote></p><p>Fed Chairman Powell addressed this in his&nbsp;press conference after the Fed’s latest meeting. But the minutes didn’t include much indication of worry about runaway inflation, or any hints of dissent in officials’ desire to wait for stronger inflation to appear before tightening policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在美联储最近一次会议后的新闻发布会上谈到了这一点。但会议纪要没有太多迹象表明对通胀失控的担忧，也没有迹象表明官员们希望等待通胀走强后再收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p>That matters because some Wall Street hawks have focused on&nbsp;this year’s steady rise in market inflation forecasts&nbsp;as a sign that the Fed may fall behind the curve, so to speak, and end up raising interest rates too late to prevent harmful inflation. But analysts at BCA Research have found that in times when the Fed’s favored inflation gauge averages around its target, market forecasts usually average around 2.3% to 2.5%.</p><p><blockquote>这一点很重要，因为一些华尔街鹰派人士将今年市场通胀预测的稳步上升视为美联储可能落后于曲线的迹象，可以说，最终加息太晚，无法防止有害的通胀。但BCA Research的分析师发现，当美联储青睐的通胀指标平均接近其目标时，市场预测通常平均在2.3%至2.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p>“Participants also noted the importance of communicating to the public that…the path of the federal-funds rate and the balance sheet depend on actual progress toward reaching the Committee’s maximum-employment and inflation goals,” Wednesday’s meeting minutes said. “In particular, various participants noted that changes in the path of policy should be based primarily on observed outcomes rather than forecasts.”</p><p><blockquote>周三的会议纪要称：“与会者还指出了向公众传达……联邦基金利率和资产负债表的路径取决于实现委员会最大就业和通胀目标的实际进展。”“特别是，多位与会者指出，政策路径的变化应主要基于观察到的结果而不是预测。”</blockquote></p><p>That should provide some assurance to investors who are concerned about the market’s&nbsp;five-year inflation forecasts&nbsp;rising to around 2.5%.</p><p><blockquote>这应该会给那些担心市场五年通胀预期升至2.5%左右的投资者提供一些保证。</blockquote></p><p><b>A few officials are starting to worry about “financial imbalances.”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些官员开始担心“财政失衡”。</b></blockquote></p><p>A noninflation concern that was given slightly more airtime in the meeting minutes was the possibility of excess in financial markets, given stock markets near record highs, Treasury yields low, and some&nbsp;riskier companies paying near-record-low costs to borrow.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于股市接近历史高位、国债收益率较低以及一些风险较高的公司支付接近历史低位的借贷成本，会议纪要中出现稍多的非通胀担忧是金融市场可能出现过剩。</blockquote></p><p>“A couple of participants expressed concern that highly accommodative financial conditions could lead to excessive risk-taking and the buildup of financial imbalances,” the minutes said.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要称：“一些与会者表示担心，高度宽松的金融状况可能导致过度冒险和金融失衡的加剧。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Things You Might Have Missed in the Fed’s Minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要中您可能错过的5件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Things You Might Have Missed in the Fed’s Minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要中您可能错过的5件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-08 15:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Trading was quiet Wednesday, with stocks closing in mixed territory and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield flat after the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes didn’t provide much in the way of surprises.</p><p><blockquote>周三交易平静，股市收盘涨跌互现，基准10年期国债收益率持平，此前美联储最新会议纪要没有提供太多惊喜。</blockquote></p><p>The market’s response was muted because the most important takeaways were already addressed by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at hisregular postmeeting press conferencelast month. While the economy is showing signs of recovery and markets are pricing in a strong rebound in growth, members of the Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, said it “would likely be some time” before they will need to start winding down their $120 billion in bond purchases, which is seen as an initial step on the path toward raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>市场反应平淡，因为美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔已经在上个月的例行会后新闻发布会上谈到了最重要的要点。尽管经济显示出复苏迹象，市场正在消化增长强劲反弹，但联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)成员表示，他们“可能需要一段时间”才需要开始逐步减少1200亿美元的债券购买，这被视为加息道路上的第一步。</blockquote></p><p>“Despite these positive indicators and an improved public health situation, participants agreed that the economy remained far from the Committee’s longer-run goals and that the path ahead remained highly uncertain, with the pandemic continuing to pose considerable risks to the outlook,” the minutes said. That tracks with Powell’s comments.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要称：“尽管有这些积极指标和公共卫生状况的改善，但与会者一致认为，经济仍远未达到委员会的长期目标，未来的道路仍然高度不确定，疫情继续对前景构成相当大的风险。”说。这与鲍威尔的评论一致。</blockquote></p><p>That doesn’t mean there weren’t some notable details in Wednesday’s meeting minutes. The Fed’s staff and members of the Fed’s policy committee discussed some important market trends that could matter for markets. Here are five:</p><p><blockquote>这并不意味着周三的会议记录中没有一些值得注意的细节。美联储工作人员和美联储政策委员会成员讨论了一些可能对市场至关重要的重要市场趋势。这里有五个：</blockquote></p><p><b>Why central bankers (and their staff) think Treasury yields are rising</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么央行行长（及其员工）认为国债收益率正在上升</b>.</blockquote></p><p>Fed officials and staffers discussedthe selloff in Treasuriesthat have pushed 10-year yields up by nearly 75 basis points, or hundredths of a percentage point, so far this year. The main driver of the increase since January hasn’t been inflation expectations, but rather an increase in “real” or inflation-adjusted yields.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员和工作人员讨论了今年迄今为止已将10年期国债收益率推高近75个基点，即百分之几个百分点的抛售。自1月份以来，这一增长的主要驱动力不是通胀预期，而是“实际”或通胀调整后收益率的增长。</blockquote></p><p>In theory, real yields should reflect expectations for Fed policy. But while staffers did discuss bets that the Fed would tighten—more on that later—they attributed “a significant portion” of the market’s selloff to rising term premiums, a catchall metric meant to capture factors that can affect yields other than inflation or Fed policy forecasts. The rise in term premiums could be reflecting fiscal policy or the increase in long-term Treasury issuance planned to finance Covid-19 relief efforts.</p><p><blockquote>理论上，实际收益率应该反映对美联储政策的预期。不过，尽管工作人员确实讨论了美联储将收紧政策的押注（稍后会详细介绍），但他们将市场抛售的“很大一部分”归因于期限溢价上升，这是一个包罗万象的指标，旨在捕捉除通胀或美联储政策预测之外可能影响收益率的因素。期限溢价的上升可能反映了财政政策或计划为Covid-19救援工作提供资金的长期国债发行的增加。</blockquote></p><p>“Higher term premiums could reflect the outlook for more expansive fiscal policy and an associated upward revision in the expected path for Treasury debt outstanding,” said staffers, according to the minutes’ summary of the discussion. “Increased uncertainty over the outlook for longer-term interest rates as well as technical factors may also have contributed to the rise.”</p><p><blockquote>根据会议纪要的讨论摘要，工作人员表示：“较高的期限溢价可能反映出更扩张性财政政策的前景以及未偿国债预期路径的相关上调。”“长期利率前景的不确定性增加以及技术因素也可能导致利率上升。”</blockquote></p><p>For their part, the FOMC members “generally viewed [the increase in yields] as reflecting the improved economic outlook, some firming in inflation expectations, and expectations for increased Treasury debt issuance.” Not too much to worry about, in other words.</p><p><blockquote>就FOMC成员而言，他们“普遍认为[收益率上升]反映了经济前景的改善、通胀预期的一些坚定以及对国债发行增加的预期。”换句话说，没什么好担心的。</blockquote></p><p>Officials were slightly less sanguine aboutthe ugly trading in late February, however: “Disorderly conditions in Treasury markets or a persistent rise in yields that could jeopardize progress toward the Committee’s goals were seen as cause for concern.”</p><p><blockquote>然而，官员们对2月底的丑陋交易略显不那么乐观：“国债市场的无序状况或收益率持续上升可能危及委员会目标的进展，被视为令人担忧的原因。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Bond traders are saying and doing different things.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券交易员正在说和做不同的事情。</b></blockquote></p><p>The Fed’s staff might be attributing the rise in yields to the kitchen-sink indicator known as the term premium, but markets are still betting on a quicker pace of Fed rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储工作人员可能将收益率上升归因于被称为期限溢价的厨房水槽指标，但市场仍押注美联储加息步伐加快。</blockquote></p><p>Staffers acknowledged this, according to the minutes, and said derivatives markets are pricing the Fed’s first rate increase in the first quarter of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要显示，工作人员承认了这一点，并表示衍生品市场正在为美联储2023年第一季度的首次加息定价。</blockquote></p><p>But staffers also played down the issue by highlighting surveys of bond traders and institutional investors. Those market participants tell the Fed they have only slightly increased their forecasts for interest rates since late January. Surveys now indicate that investors and traders expect rates to be five basis points higher at the end of 2023, or one-fifth of a rate increase. In contrast, market-based estimates have increased by 50 basis points, implying two rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>但工作人员也通过强调对债券交易员和机构投资者的调查来淡化这个问题。这些市场参与者告诉美联储，自1月底以来，他们仅小幅上调了利率预测。目前的调查显示，投资者和交易员预计2023年底利率将上涨5个基点，即加息幅度的五分之一。相比之下，市场预期增加了50个基点，意味着加息两次。</blockquote></p><p>So what’s responsible for the discrepancy? It could be that a large group of investors that aren’t surveyed are betting on quicker rate increases, or investors and traders could be hedging against a range of possibilities for Fed interest-rate hikes whether or not they believe they will come. Or traders could be saying one thing and doing another.</p><p><blockquote>那么是什么造成了这种差异呢？可能是一大群未接受调查的投资者押注加息速度加快，或者投资者和交易员可能正在对冲美联储加息的一系列可能性，无论他们是否相信加息会到来。或者交易者可能说一套做一套。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Fed knows it has options if money-market rates keep falling.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储知道，如果货币市场利率继续下降，它还有其他选择。</b></blockquote></p><p>Another issue that came up in the Fed’s discussions was&nbsp;declining money-market rates. Plenty of cash has already been sloshing around the U.S. financial system looking for a home, as the Treasury Department reduces its bill issuance and its cash balance ahead of the debt-ceiling reinstatement this summer. Plus, the reinstatement of some regulatory requirements may push more cash away from global banks and into money-market funds instead.</p><p><blockquote>美联储讨论中出现的另一个问题是货币市场利率下降。随着财政部在今年夏天恢复债务上限之前减少票据发行和现金余额，大量现金已经在美国金融体系中流动寻找归宿。此外，一些监管要求的恢复可能会将更多现金从全球银行转移到货币市场基金。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Officials have partly addressed this issue already, with a technical tweak of one of their policy tools called the overnight reverse-repurchase (or repo) facility.</p><p><blockquote>官员们已经部分解决了这个问题，对他们的政策工具之一隔夜逆回购（或回购）工具进行了技术调整。</blockquote></p><p>The facility provides a place for money-market funds to put their cash overnight at a 0% rate. That is meant to prevent those funds from sending too much cash into short-term Treasury bills or repo markets, which could boost demand so much in those markets that interest rates fall below zero.</p><p><blockquote>该工具为货币市场基金提供了一个以0%利率隔夜存放现金的场所。这是为了防止这些基金向短期国库券或回购市场注入过多现金，这可能会大幅提振这些市场的需求，导致利率降至零以下。</blockquote></p><p>The Fed said at its last meeting that each money-market counterparty can pledge $80 billion of cash with its facility overnight, up from $30 billion previously. According to the meeting minutes, a few FOMC members said they would support lifting the limit altogether.</p><p><blockquote>美联储在上次会议上表示，每个货币市场交易对手隔夜可以通过其工具质押800亿美元现金，高于此前的300亿美元。根据会议纪要，一些FOMC成员表示，他们将支持完全取消限额。</blockquote></p><p><b>Inflation forecasts carry much less weight than results.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀预测的分量远低于结果。</b></blockquote></p><p>Fed Chairman Powell addressed this in his&nbsp;press conference after the Fed’s latest meeting. But the minutes didn’t include much indication of worry about runaway inflation, or any hints of dissent in officials’ desire to wait for stronger inflation to appear before tightening policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔在美联储最近一次会议后的新闻发布会上谈到了这一点。但会议纪要没有太多迹象表明对通胀失控的担忧，也没有迹象表明官员们希望等待通胀走强后再收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p>That matters because some Wall Street hawks have focused on&nbsp;this year’s steady rise in market inflation forecasts&nbsp;as a sign that the Fed may fall behind the curve, so to speak, and end up raising interest rates too late to prevent harmful inflation. But analysts at BCA Research have found that in times when the Fed’s favored inflation gauge averages around its target, market forecasts usually average around 2.3% to 2.5%.</p><p><blockquote>这一点很重要，因为一些华尔街鹰派人士将今年市场通胀预测的稳步上升视为美联储可能落后于曲线的迹象，可以说，最终加息太晚，无法防止有害的通胀。但BCA Research的分析师发现，当美联储青睐的通胀指标平均接近其目标时，市场预测通常平均在2.3%至2.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p>“Participants also noted the importance of communicating to the public that…the path of the federal-funds rate and the balance sheet depend on actual progress toward reaching the Committee’s maximum-employment and inflation goals,” Wednesday’s meeting minutes said. “In particular, various participants noted that changes in the path of policy should be based primarily on observed outcomes rather than forecasts.”</p><p><blockquote>周三的会议纪要称：“与会者还指出了向公众传达……联邦基金利率和资产负债表的路径取决于实现委员会最大就业和通胀目标的实际进展。”“特别是，多位与会者指出，政策路径的变化应主要基于观察到的结果而不是预测。”</blockquote></p><p>That should provide some assurance to investors who are concerned about the market’s&nbsp;five-year inflation forecasts&nbsp;rising to around 2.5%.</p><p><blockquote>这应该会给那些担心市场五年通胀预期升至2.5%左右的投资者提供一些保证。</blockquote></p><p><b>A few officials are starting to worry about “financial imbalances.”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些官员开始担心“财政失衡”。</b></blockquote></p><p>A noninflation concern that was given slightly more airtime in the meeting minutes was the possibility of excess in financial markets, given stock markets near record highs, Treasury yields low, and some&nbsp;riskier companies paying near-record-low costs to borrow.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于股市接近历史高位、国债收益率较低以及一些风险较高的公司支付接近历史低位的借贷成本，会议纪要中出现稍多的非通胀担忧是金融市场可能出现过剩。</blockquote></p><p>“A couple of participants expressed concern that highly accommodative financial conditions could lead to excessive risk-taking and the buildup of financial imbalances,” the minutes said.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要称：“一些与会者表示担心，高度宽松的金融状况可能导致过度冒险和金融失衡的加剧。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/5-things-you-might-have-missed-in-the-feds-meeting-minutes-51617831613?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/5-things-you-might-have-missed-in-the-feds-meeting-minutes-51617831613?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122722518","content_text":"Trading was quiet Wednesday, with stocks closing in mixed territory and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield flat after the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes didn’t provide much in the way of surprises.The market’s response was muted because the most important takeaways were already addressed by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at hisregular postmeeting press conferencelast month. While the economy is showing signs of recovery and markets are pricing in a strong rebound in growth, members of the Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, said it “would likely be some time” before they will need to start winding down their $120 billion in bond purchases, which is seen as an initial step on the path toward raising interest rates.“Despite these positive indicators and an improved public health situation, participants agreed that the economy remained far from the Committee’s longer-run goals and that the path ahead remained highly uncertain, with the pandemic continuing to pose considerable risks to the outlook,” the minutes said. That tracks with Powell’s comments.That doesn’t mean there weren’t some notable details in Wednesday’s meeting minutes. The Fed’s staff and members of the Fed’s policy committee discussed some important market trends that could matter for markets. Here are five:Why central bankers (and their staff) think Treasury yields are rising.Fed officials and staffers discussedthe selloff in Treasuriesthat have pushed 10-year yields up by nearly 75 basis points, or hundredths of a percentage point, so far this year. The main driver of the increase since January hasn’t been inflation expectations, but rather an increase in “real” or inflation-adjusted yields.In theory, real yields should reflect expectations for Fed policy. But while staffers did discuss bets that the Fed would tighten—more on that later—they attributed “a significant portion” of the market’s selloff to rising term premiums, a catchall metric meant to capture factors that can affect yields other than inflation or Fed policy forecasts. The rise in term premiums could be reflecting fiscal policy or the increase in long-term Treasury issuance planned to finance Covid-19 relief efforts.“Higher term premiums could reflect the outlook for more expansive fiscal policy and an associated upward revision in the expected path for Treasury debt outstanding,” said staffers, according to the minutes’ summary of the discussion. “Increased uncertainty over the outlook for longer-term interest rates as well as technical factors may also have contributed to the rise.”For their part, the FOMC members “generally viewed [the increase in yields] as reflecting the improved economic outlook, some firming in inflation expectations, and expectations for increased Treasury debt issuance.” Not too much to worry about, in other words.Officials were slightly less sanguine aboutthe ugly trading in late February, however: “Disorderly conditions in Treasury markets or a persistent rise in yields that could jeopardize progress toward the Committee’s goals were seen as cause for concern.”Bond traders are saying and doing different things.The Fed’s staff might be attributing the rise in yields to the kitchen-sink indicator known as the term premium, but markets are still betting on a quicker pace of Fed rate increases.Staffers acknowledged this, according to the minutes, and said derivatives markets are pricing the Fed’s first rate increase in the first quarter of 2023.But staffers also played down the issue by highlighting surveys of bond traders and institutional investors. Those market participants tell the Fed they have only slightly increased their forecasts for interest rates since late January. Surveys now indicate that investors and traders expect rates to be five basis points higher at the end of 2023, or one-fifth of a rate increase. In contrast, market-based estimates have increased by 50 basis points, implying two rate increases.So what’s responsible for the discrepancy? It could be that a large group of investors that aren’t surveyed are betting on quicker rate increases, or investors and traders could be hedging against a range of possibilities for Fed interest-rate hikes whether or not they believe they will come. Or traders could be saying one thing and doing another.The Fed knows it has options if money-market rates keep falling.Another issue that came up in the Fed’s discussions was declining money-market rates. Plenty of cash has already been sloshing around the U.S. financial system looking for a home, as the Treasury Department reduces its bill issuance and its cash balance ahead of the debt-ceiling reinstatement this summer. Plus, the reinstatement of some regulatory requirements may push more cash away from global banks and into money-market funds instead.Officials have partly addressed this issue already, with a technical tweak of one of their policy tools called the overnight reverse-repurchase (or repo) facility.The facility provides a place for money-market funds to put their cash overnight at a 0% rate. That is meant to prevent those funds from sending too much cash into short-term Treasury bills or repo markets, which could boost demand so much in those markets that interest rates fall below zero.The Fed said at its last meeting that each money-market counterparty can pledge $80 billion of cash with its facility overnight, up from $30 billion previously. According to the meeting minutes, a few FOMC members said they would support lifting the limit altogether.Inflation forecasts carry much less weight than results.Fed Chairman Powell addressed this in his press conference after the Fed’s latest meeting. But the minutes didn’t include much indication of worry about runaway inflation, or any hints of dissent in officials’ desire to wait for stronger inflation to appear before tightening policy.That matters because some Wall Street hawks have focused on this year’s steady rise in market inflation forecasts as a sign that the Fed may fall behind the curve, so to speak, and end up raising interest rates too late to prevent harmful inflation. But analysts at BCA Research have found that in times when the Fed’s favored inflation gauge averages around its target, market forecasts usually average around 2.3% to 2.5%.“Participants also noted the importance of communicating to the public that…the path of the federal-funds rate and the balance sheet depend on actual progress toward reaching the Committee’s maximum-employment and inflation goals,” Wednesday’s meeting minutes said. “In particular, various participants noted that changes in the path of policy should be based primarily on observed outcomes rather than forecasts.”That should provide some assurance to investors who are concerned about the market’s five-year inflation forecasts rising to around 2.5%.A few officials are starting to worry about “financial imbalances.”A noninflation concern that was given slightly more airtime in the meeting minutes was the possibility of excess in financial markets, given stock markets near record highs, Treasury yields low, and some riskier companies paying near-record-low costs to borrow.“A couple of participants expressed concern that highly accommodative financial conditions could lead to excessive risk-taking and the buildup of financial imbalances,” the minutes 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lor","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152753241","repostId":"1136694264","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136694264","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1625293431,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136694264?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 14:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Options Traders Aren't Discouraged, Repeatedly Hammer Calls<blockquote>AMC期权交易员并不气馁，多次抨击评级</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136694264","media":"Benzinga","summary":"On Friday morning, Iceberg Researchannouncedit had taken a short position inAMC Entertainment Holdin","content":"<p>On Friday morning, Iceberg Researchannouncedit had taken a short position in<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>AMC 4.08%. Iceberg said options traders have lost money due to the stock trading sideways for the month of June and that the pump around the stock looks shaky.</p><p><blockquote>周五上午，Iceberg Research宣布在<b>AMC院线控股</b>AMC 4.08%。Iceberg表示，由于该股6月份横盘整理，期权交易员已经亏损，而且该股周围的人气看起来不稳定。</blockquote></p><p> The news didn’t stop institutions from continuously hammering AMC call contracts and on Friday options traders had purchased over $2.59 million worth. The expiration dates for the contracts ranged from today up until Dec. 17 and a few traders chose a strike price of a whopping $145.</p><p><blockquote>这一消息并没有阻止机构不断抛售AMC看涨期权合约，周五期权交易员购买了价值超过259万美元的合约。这些合约的到期日从今天到12月17日不等，一些交易员选择了高达145美元的执行价。</blockquote></p><p> AMC’s stock broke bearishly from a symmetrical triangle it had formed through its sideways trading on Friday, but held a support level at $47.91 and bounced from it. Bulls would like to see the dip continue to be bought and for AMC to end the day by printing a hammer candlestick and closing above the 21-day exponential moving average.</p><p><blockquote>AMC的股价看跌突破了周五横盘交易形成的对称三角形，但守住了47.91美元的支撑位并从中反弹。多头希望看到继续逢低买入，并希望AMC通过打印锤子烛台并收于21日指数移动平均线上方来结束这一天。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It’s Important:</b>When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in stock price. A sweeper pays market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要：</b>当出现扫单时，表明交易者希望快速建仓，并预计股价即将大幅波动。清扫者为看涨期权或看跌期权支付市场价格，而不是出价，清扫多个交易所的订单簿以立即执行订单。</blockquote></p><p> These types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.</p><p><blockquote>这些类型的看涨期权期权订单通常由机构发出，散户投资者会发现观察清道夫很有用，因为这表明“聪明的资金”已经建仓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Option Trades:</b>Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC期权交易：</b>以下是由Benzinga Pro提供的值得注意的选项警报：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>At 9:42 a.m., Friday a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 265 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $59 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $52,205 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.97 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:51 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 247 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.95 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:52 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 248 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec. 17. The trade represented a $260,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 356 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $311,500 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.75 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:56 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:57 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 300 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $28 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $23.40 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 289 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec., 17. The trade represented a $303,450 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 580 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $55 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $278,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.80 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:07 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 258 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $80 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.52 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:24 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 352 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $50 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $54,560 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:26 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 234 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.31 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:31 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 224 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on Sept. 17. The trade represented a $105,280 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.70 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:38 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $47 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $146,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.92 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 12:02 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $45 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $305,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $6.10 per option contract.</li> </ul> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment were trading down 5.3% to $51.33 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>周五上午9点42分，一名交易员在265份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为59美元，将于7月9日到期。该交易代表了52,205美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.97美元。</li><li>上午9点51分，一名交易员在247份执行价为65美元、将于8月20日到期的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了221,065美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.95美元。</li><li>上午9点52分，一名交易员在248份执行价为120美元、将于12月17日到期的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了260,400美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了10.50美元。</li><li>上午9点53分，一名交易员在356份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了311,500美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.75美元。</li><li>上午9点53分，一名交易员在310份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了266,600美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.60美元。</li><li>上午9点56分，一名交易员在310份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了266,600美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.60美元。</li><li>上午9点57分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的300份执行价为28美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了221,065美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了23.40美元。</li><li>上午9点58分，一名交易员在289份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为120美元，将于12月17日到期。该交易代表了303,450美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了10.50美元。</li><li>上午9点58分，一名交易员在7月16日到期的580份执行价为55美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了278,400美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了4.80美元。</li><li>上午10点07分，一名交易员在7月16日到期的258份执行价为80美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表39,216美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付1.52美元。</li><li>上午10点24分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的执行价为50美元的352份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了54,560美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>上午10点26分，一名交易员在7月23日到期的234份执行价为145美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表39,216美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付1.31美元。</li><li>上午10点31分，一名交易员在224份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价为145美元，将于9月17日到期。该交易代表了105,280美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了4.70美元。</li><li>上午10点38分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的500份执行价为47美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了146,000美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了2.92美元。</li><li>中午12点02分，一名交易员在7月9日到期的500份执行价为45美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了305,000美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了6.10美元。</li></ul><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价下跌5.3%，至51.33美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Options Traders Aren't Discouraged, Repeatedly Hammer Calls<blockquote>AMC期权交易员并不气馁，多次抨击评级</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Options Traders Aren't Discouraged, Repeatedly Hammer Calls<blockquote>AMC期权交易员并不气馁，多次抨击评级</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-03 14:23</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On Friday morning, Iceberg Researchannouncedit had taken a short position in<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>AMC 4.08%. Iceberg said options traders have lost money due to the stock trading sideways for the month of June and that the pump around the stock looks shaky.</p><p><blockquote>周五上午，Iceberg Research宣布在<b>AMC院线控股</b>AMC 4.08%。Iceberg表示，由于该股6月份横盘整理，期权交易员已经亏损，而且该股周围的人气看起来不稳定。</blockquote></p><p> The news didn’t stop institutions from continuously hammering AMC call contracts and on Friday options traders had purchased over $2.59 million worth. The expiration dates for the contracts ranged from today up until Dec. 17 and a few traders chose a strike price of a whopping $145.</p><p><blockquote>这一消息并没有阻止机构不断抛售AMC看涨期权合约，周五期权交易员购买了价值超过259万美元的合约。这些合约的到期日从今天到12月17日不等，一些交易员选择了高达145美元的执行价。</blockquote></p><p> AMC’s stock broke bearishly from a symmetrical triangle it had formed through its sideways trading on Friday, but held a support level at $47.91 and bounced from it. Bulls would like to see the dip continue to be bought and for AMC to end the day by printing a hammer candlestick and closing above the 21-day exponential moving average.</p><p><blockquote>AMC的股价看跌突破了周五横盘交易形成的对称三角形，但守住了47.91美元的支撑位并从中反弹。多头希望看到继续逢低买入，并希望AMC通过打印锤子烛台并收于21日指数移动平均线上方来结束这一天。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It’s Important:</b>When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in stock price. A sweeper pays market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么它很重要：</b>当出现扫单时，表明交易者希望快速建仓，并预计股价即将大幅波动。清扫者为看涨期权或看跌期权支付市场价格，而不是出价，清扫多个交易所的订单簿以立即执行订单。</blockquote></p><p> These types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.</p><p><blockquote>这些类型的看涨期权期权订单通常由机构发出，散户投资者会发现观察清道夫很有用，因为这表明“聪明的资金”已经建仓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The AMC Option Trades:</b>Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC期权交易：</b>以下是由Benzinga Pro提供的值得注意的选项警报：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>At 9:42 a.m., Friday a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 265 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $59 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $52,205 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.97 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:51 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 247 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.95 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:52 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 248 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec. 17. The trade represented a $260,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 356 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $311,500 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.75 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:56 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:57 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 300 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $28 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $23.40 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 289 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec., 17. The trade represented a $303,450 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 580 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $55 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $278,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.80 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:07 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 258 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $80 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.52 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:24 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 352 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $50 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $54,560 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:26 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 234 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.31 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:31 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 224 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on Sept. 17. The trade represented a $105,280 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.70 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 10:38 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $47 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $146,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.92 per option contract.</li>  <li>At 12:02 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $45 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $305,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $6.10 per option contract.</li> </ul> <b>AMC Price Action:</b>Shares of AMC Entertainment were trading down 5.3% to $51.33 at publication time.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>周五上午9点42分，一名交易员在265份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为59美元，将于7月9日到期。该交易代表了52,205美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.97美元。</li><li>上午9点51分，一名交易员在247份执行价为65美元、将于8月20日到期的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了221,065美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.95美元。</li><li>上午9点52分，一名交易员在248份执行价为120美元、将于12月17日到期的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了260,400美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了10.50美元。</li><li>上午9点53分，一名交易员在356份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了311,500美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.75美元。</li><li>上午9点53分，一名交易员在310份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了266,600美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.60美元。</li><li>上午9点56分，一名交易员在310份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为65美元，将于8月20日到期。该交易代表了266,600美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了8.60美元。</li><li>上午9点57分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的300份执行价为28美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了221,065美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了23.40美元。</li><li>上午9点58分，一名交易员在289份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价格为120美元，将于12月17日到期。该交易代表了303,450美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了10.50美元。</li><li>上午9点58分，一名交易员在7月16日到期的580份执行价为55美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了278,400美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了4.80美元。</li><li>上午10点07分，一名交易员在7月16日到期的258份执行价为80美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表39,216美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付1.52美元。</li><li>上午10点24分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的执行价为50美元的352份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了54,560美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了1.55美元。</li><li>上午10点26分，一名交易员在7月23日到期的234份执行价为145美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表39,216美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付1.31美元。</li><li>上午10点31分，一名交易员在224份AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓，执行价为145美元，将于9月17日到期。该交易代表了105,280美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了4.70美元。</li><li>上午10点38分，一名交易员在7月2日到期的500份执行价为47美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了146,000美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了2.92美元。</li><li>中午12点02分，一名交易员在7月9日到期的500份执行价为45美元的AMC院线期权的买入价附近执行了看涨期权清仓。该交易代表了305,000美元的看涨押注，交易者为每份期权合约支付了6.10美元。</li></ul><b>AMC价格走势：</b>截至发稿时，AMC院线股价下跌5.3%，至51.33美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136694264","content_text":"On Friday morning, Iceberg Researchannouncedit had taken a short position inAMC Entertainment HoldingsAMC 4.08%. Iceberg said options traders have lost money due to the stock trading sideways for the month of June and that the pump around the stock looks shaky.\nThe news didn’t stop institutions from continuously hammering AMC call contracts and on Friday options traders had purchased over $2.59 million worth. The expiration dates for the contracts ranged from today up until Dec. 17 and a few traders chose a strike price of a whopping $145.\nAMC’s stock broke bearishly from a symmetrical triangle it had formed through its sideways trading on Friday, but held a support level at $47.91 and bounced from it. Bulls would like to see the dip continue to be bought and for AMC to end the day by printing a hammer candlestick and closing above the 21-day exponential moving average.\nWhy It’s Important:When a sweep order occurs, it indicates the trader wanted to get into a position quickly and is anticipating an imminent large move in stock price. A sweeper pays market price for the call or put option instead of placing a bid, which sweeps the order book of multiple exchanges to fill the order immediately.\nThese types of call option orders are usually made by institutions, and retail investors can find watching for sweepers useful because it indicates “smart money” has entered into a position.\nThe AMC Option Trades:Below is a look at the notable options alerts, courtesy ofBenzinga Pro:\n\nAt 9:42 a.m., Friday a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 265 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $59 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $52,205 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.97 per option contract.\nAt 9:51 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 247 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.95 per option contract.\nAt 9:52 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 248 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec. 17. The trade represented a $260,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.\nAt 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 356 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $311,500 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.75 per option contract.\nAt 9:53 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.\nAt 9:56 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 310 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $65 expiring on Aug. 20. The trade represented a $266,600 bullish bet for which the trader paid $8.60 per option contract.\nAt 9:57 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 300 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $28 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $221,065 bullish bet for which the trader paid $23.40 per option contract.\nAt 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 289 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $120 expiring on Dec., 17. The trade represented a $303,450 bullish bet for which the trader paid $10.50 per option contract.\nAt 9:58 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 580 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $55 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $278,400 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.80 per option contract.\nAt 10:07 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 258 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $80 expiring on July 16. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.52 per option contract.\nAt 10:24 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 352 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $50 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $54,560 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.55 per option contract.\nAt 10:26 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 234 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on July 23. The trade represented a $39,216 bullish bet for which the trader paid $1.31 per option contract.\nAt 10:31 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 224 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $145 expiring on Sept. 17. The trade represented a $105,280 bullish bet for which the trader paid $4.70 per option contract.\nAt 10:38 a.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $47 expiring on July 2. The trade represented a $146,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $2.92 per option contract.\nAt 12:02 p.m., a trader executed a call sweep near the bid of 500 AMC Entertainment options with a strike price of $45 expiring on July 9. The trade represented a $305,000 bullish bet for which the trader paid $6.10 per option contract.\n\nAMC Price Action:Shares of AMC Entertainment were trading down 5.3% to $51.33 at publication time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":388019964,"gmtCreate":1613000996858,"gmtModify":1703768178901,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571784946922966","idStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Slow rocket ship but is still a rocket[想吃]&nbsp;","listText":"Slow rocket ship but is still a rocket[想吃]&nbsp;","text":"Slow rocket ship but is still a rocket[想吃]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388019964","repostId":"1186964240","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":380151623,"gmtCreate":1612526302162,"gmtModify":1703763114185,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571784946922966","idStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>So happy","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>So happy","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$So happy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/380151623","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326380834,"gmtCreate":1615594717128,"gmtModify":1703491351579,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571784946922966","idStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not really","listText":"Not really","text":"Not really","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326380834","repostId":"1100128328","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100128328","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615563404,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100128328?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-12 23:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.<blockquote>特斯拉股价下跌。你可以责怪乔·拜登。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100128328","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock inTesla is lower after CNBC reported that the electric-vehicle company had a firein its Fremon","content":"<p>Stock inTesla&nbsp;is lower after CNBC reported that the&nbsp;electric-vehicle&nbsp;company&nbsp;had a firein its Fremont, Calif. plant, but the blaze probably isn’t the reason for the dip.</p><p><blockquote>CNBC报道电动汽车公司特斯拉在加利福尼亚州弗里蒙特发生火灾后，该公司股价走低。植物，但大火可能不是下降的原因。</blockquote></p><p>Fires are just a normal, albeit unfortunate, operating problem for any manufacturer. Tesla (ticker: TSLA) didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment about the fire or the damage it may have caused.</p><p><blockquote>对于任何制造商来说，火灾只是一个正常但不幸的操作问题。特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）没有立即回应有关火灾或火灾可能造成的损失的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p>President Joe Biden is probably responsible for the share-price decline, which left the stock about 2.7% lower in premarket trading, at about $680. It has beena wild weekfor Tesla stockholders. Shares started off the week at about $675,traded above $700and fell to about $560 before bounding back, up 4.7% Thursday, to just under $700.</p><p><blockquote>总统乔·拜登可能对股价下跌负有责任，该股在盘前交易中下跌约2.7%，至约680美元。对于特斯拉股东来说，这是疯狂的一周。本周初股价约为675美元，交易价格高于700美元，跌至约560美元，然后反弹，周四上涨4.7%，至略低于700美元。</blockquote></p><p>Nothing Tesla has done appears to be the reason for the recent volatility. It’s all about interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉所做的一切似乎都不是最近波动的原因。一切都与利率有关。</blockquote></p><p>That is where the president comes into the picture. Thursday evening, he addressed the nation, focusing on putting Covid-19 in the rearview mirror a year after the World Health Organization declared that a pandemic had begun.</p><p><blockquote>这就是总统发挥作用的地方。周四晚上，他向全国发表讲话，重点是在世界卫生组织宣布疫情已经开始一年后，将新冠肺炎(Covid-19)抛在脑后。</blockquote></p><p>“All adult Americans will be eligible to get a vaccine no later than May 1,” said the president, adding the federal government is setting up hundreds of vaccination sites and procuring millions more vaccine doses.</p><p><blockquote>总统说：“所有成年美国人都有资格在5月1日之前接种疫苗。”他补充说，联邦政府正在建立数百个疫苗接种点，并采购数百万剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>It’s good news, but the market is selling off Friday morning. For stocks, the speech represents almost too much of a good thing. The economy is reopening and, as a result,bond yields are rising, putting pressure on high-growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>这是个好消息，但周五早上市场正在抛售。对于股票来说，这次讲话几乎代表了太多的好事。经济正在重新开放，因此债券收益率正在上升，给高增长股票带来压力。</blockquote></p><p>Futures on the&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;Index, home to many highflying tech stocks, are down 1.6%.Dow Jones Industrial Averagefutures, on the other hand, are flat.</p><p><blockquote>拥有许多飙升的科技股的纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌1.6%。另一方面，道琼斯工业平均指数期货持平。</blockquote></p><p>Higher yields hurt richly valued, fast-growing companies more than others for a couple of reasons. One, they makes funding growth more expensive. Two, high- growth companies are expected generate most of their cash far in the future. That cash is a little less valuable in present terms when rates are high, compared with when rates are low. In a higher-rate environment, investors have more options to earn interest today, which puts pressure on high-growth stocks’ valuations.</p><p><blockquote>较高的收益率对估值高、快速增长的公司的伤害比其他公司更大，原因有几个。第一，它们使融资增长更加昂贵。第二，高增长公司预计将在未来产生大部分现金。与利率低时相比，利率高时现金的价值较低。在利率较高的环境下，投资者如今有更多赚取利息的选择，这给高增长股票的估值带来压力。</blockquote></p><p>A Friday dip, however,doesn’t mean the end&nbsp;of the bull market in Tesla, EV stocks or the Nasdaq. Getting the economy back on its feet is a good thing. Investors just need a chance to adjust to the changing landscape.</p><p><blockquote>然而，周五的下跌并不意味着特斯拉、电动汽车股票或纳斯达克牛市的结束。让经济重新站稳脚跟是件好事。投资者只是需要一个机会来适应不断变化的形势。</blockquote></p><p>“There’s a good chance you, your families and friends will be able to get together in your backyard or in your neighborhood and have a cookout …and celebrate Independence Day,” Biden said. That is great news.</p><p><blockquote>拜登说：“你、你的家人和朋友很有可能能够在你的后院或附近聚会，野餐……庆祝独立日。”这是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.<blockquote>特斯拉股价下跌。你可以责怪乔·拜登。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is Down. You Could Blame Joe Biden.<blockquote>特斯拉股价下跌。你可以责怪乔·拜登。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-12 23:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock inTesla&nbsp;is lower after CNBC reported that the&nbsp;electric-vehicle&nbsp;company&nbsp;had a firein its Fremont, Calif. plant, but the blaze probably isn’t the reason for the dip.</p><p><blockquote>CNBC报道电动汽车公司特斯拉在加利福尼亚州弗里蒙特发生火灾后，该公司股价走低。植物，但大火可能不是下降的原因。</blockquote></p><p>Fires are just a normal, albeit unfortunate, operating problem for any manufacturer. Tesla (ticker: TSLA) didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment about the fire or the damage it may have caused.</p><p><blockquote>对于任何制造商来说，火灾只是一个正常但不幸的操作问题。特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）没有立即回应有关火灾或火灾可能造成的损失的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p>President Joe Biden is probably responsible for the share-price decline, which left the stock about 2.7% lower in premarket trading, at about $680. It has beena wild weekfor Tesla stockholders. Shares started off the week at about $675,traded above $700and fell to about $560 before bounding back, up 4.7% Thursday, to just under $700.</p><p><blockquote>总统乔·拜登可能对股价下跌负有责任，该股在盘前交易中下跌约2.7%，至约680美元。对于特斯拉股东来说，这是疯狂的一周。本周初股价约为675美元，交易价格高于700美元，跌至约560美元，然后反弹，周四上涨4.7%，至略低于700美元。</blockquote></p><p>Nothing Tesla has done appears to be the reason for the recent volatility. It’s all about interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉所做的一切似乎都不是最近波动的原因。一切都与利率有关。</blockquote></p><p>That is where the president comes into the picture. Thursday evening, he addressed the nation, focusing on putting Covid-19 in the rearview mirror a year after the World Health Organization declared that a pandemic had begun.</p><p><blockquote>这就是总统发挥作用的地方。周四晚上，他向全国发表讲话，重点是在世界卫生组织宣布疫情已经开始一年后，将新冠肺炎(Covid-19)抛在脑后。</blockquote></p><p>“All adult Americans will be eligible to get a vaccine no later than May 1,” said the president, adding the federal government is setting up hundreds of vaccination sites and procuring millions more vaccine doses.</p><p><blockquote>总统说：“所有成年美国人都有资格在5月1日之前接种疫苗。”他补充说，联邦政府正在建立数百个疫苗接种点，并采购数百万剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>It’s good news, but the market is selling off Friday morning. For stocks, the speech represents almost too much of a good thing. The economy is reopening and, as a result,bond yields are rising, putting pressure on high-growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>这是个好消息，但周五早上市场正在抛售。对于股票来说，这次讲话几乎代表了太多的好事。经济正在重新开放，因此债券收益率正在上升，给高增长股票带来压力。</blockquote></p><p>Futures on the&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;Index, home to many highflying tech stocks, are down 1.6%.Dow Jones Industrial Averagefutures, on the other hand, are flat.</p><p><blockquote>拥有许多飙升的科技股的纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌1.6%。另一方面，道琼斯工业平均指数期货持平。</blockquote></p><p>Higher yields hurt richly valued, fast-growing companies more than others for a couple of reasons. One, they makes funding growth more expensive. Two, high- growth companies are expected generate most of their cash far in the future. That cash is a little less valuable in present terms when rates are high, compared with when rates are low. In a higher-rate environment, investors have more options to earn interest today, which puts pressure on high-growth stocks’ valuations.</p><p><blockquote>较高的收益率对估值高、快速增长的公司的伤害比其他公司更大，原因有几个。第一，它们使融资增长更加昂贵。第二，高增长公司预计将在未来产生大部分现金。与利率低时相比，利率高时现金的价值较低。在利率较高的环境下，投资者如今有更多赚取利息的选择，这给高增长股票的估值带来压力。</blockquote></p><p>A Friday dip, however,doesn’t mean the end&nbsp;of the bull market in Tesla, EV stocks or the Nasdaq. Getting the economy back on its feet is a good thing. Investors just need a chance to adjust to the changing landscape.</p><p><blockquote>然而，周五的下跌并不意味着特斯拉、电动汽车股票或纳斯达克牛市的结束。让经济重新站稳脚跟是件好事。投资者只是需要一个机会来适应不断变化的形势。</blockquote></p><p>“There’s a good chance you, your families and friends will be able to get together in your backyard or in your neighborhood and have a cookout …and celebrate Independence Day,” Biden said. That is great news.</p><p><blockquote>拜登说：“你、你的家人和朋友很有可能能够在你的后院或附近聚会，野餐……庆祝独立日。”这是个好消息。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-is-down-you-could-blame-joe-biden-51615557806?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-is-down-you-could-blame-joe-biden-51615557806?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100128328","content_text":"Stock inTesla is lower after CNBC reported that the electric-vehicle company had a firein its Fremont, Calif. plant, but the blaze probably isn’t the reason for the dip.Fires are just a normal, albeit unfortunate, operating problem for any manufacturer. Tesla (ticker: TSLA) didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment about the fire or the damage it may have caused.President Joe Biden is probably responsible for the share-price decline, which left the stock about 2.7% lower in premarket trading, at about $680. It has beena wild weekfor Tesla stockholders. Shares started off the week at about $675,traded above $700and fell to about $560 before bounding back, up 4.7% Thursday, to just under $700.Nothing Tesla has done appears to be the reason for the recent volatility. It’s all about interest rates.That is where the president comes into the picture. Thursday evening, he addressed the nation, focusing on putting Covid-19 in the rearview mirror a year after the World Health Organization declared that a pandemic had begun.“All adult Americans will be eligible to get a vaccine no later than May 1,” said the president, adding the federal government is setting up hundreds of vaccination sites and procuring millions more vaccine doses.It’s good news, but the market is selling off Friday morning. For stocks, the speech represents almost too much of a good thing. The economy is reopening and, as a result,bond yields are rising, putting pressure on high-growth stocks.Futures on the Nasdaq Composite Index, home to many highflying tech stocks, are down 1.6%.Dow Jones Industrial Averagefutures, on the other hand, are flat.Higher yields hurt richly valued, fast-growing companies more than others for a couple of reasons. One, they makes funding growth more expensive. Two, high- growth companies are expected generate most of their cash far in the future. That cash is a little less valuable in present terms when rates are high, compared with when rates are low. In a higher-rate environment, investors have more options to earn interest today, which puts pressure on high-growth stocks’ valuations.A Friday dip, however,doesn’t mean the end of the bull market in Tesla, EV stocks or the Nasdaq. Getting the economy back on its feet is a good thing. Investors just need a chance to adjust to the changing landscape.“There’s a good chance you, your families and friends will be able to get together in your backyard or in your neighborhood and have a cookout …and celebrate Independence Day,” Biden said. That is great news.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386535119,"gmtCreate":1613199747731,"gmtModify":1634554166394,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571784946922966","idStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy pltr","listText":"Buy pltr","text":"Buy pltr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386535119","repostId":"1168862133","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168862133","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613024272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168862133?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-11 14:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Best Stocks To Buy For 2021? 4 Fintech Stocks To Watch<blockquote>2021年最值得购买的股票？4只值得关注的金融科技股</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168862133","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"If you’re caught up on the latestBitcoin news, you likely know thatfintech stocksare in the hot seat","content":"<p>If you’re caught up on the latestBitcoin news, you likely know thatfintech stocksare in the hot seat right now. This is thanks to a $1.5 billion investment into the cryptocurrency from electric vehicle titan Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA). It is one of the latest large tech companies to not only invest in but eventually start acceptingBitcoinas payment. In fact, there have even been speculations of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) being well-positioned to join the cryptocurrency craze as well. How does this connect to fintech stocks?</p><p><blockquote>如果您关注最新的比特币新闻，您可能知道金融科技股票目前处于热门位置。这要归功于电动汽车巨头特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）对加密货币的15亿美元投资。它是最新一家不仅投资而且最终开始接受比特币支付的大型科技公司之一。事实上，甚至有人猜测苹果（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）也有能力加入加密货币热潮。这与金融科技股票有何联系？</blockquote></p><p> Well, to begin with, fintech companies are the bridge that allows most of the general public access to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. Alternatively, they are also key players in this current age of digital finance. Whatever way you cut it, the fintech industry is becoming more essential and is here to stay for the long run. Meanwhile, more conventional top fintech stocks like Mastercard (NYSE: MA) and American Express (NYSE: AXP) have mostly seen their shares recover to pre-pandemic levels. Therefore, investors would be logical in looking for thebest fintech stocks now. Having read till this point, you might be interested in investing in this industry yourself. If you are, here are four fintech stocks to consider now.</p><p><blockquote>首先，金融科技公司是允许大多数公众访问比特币等加密货币的桥梁。或者，他们也是当前数字金融时代的关键参与者。无论你以何种方式削减它，金融科技行业正变得越来越重要，并且将长期存在。与此同时，万事达卡（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MA）和美国运通（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AXP）等更传统的顶级金融科技股的股价大多已恢复至大流行前的水平。因此，投资者现在寻找最好的金融科技股票是合乎逻辑的。读到这里，你可能会有兴趣自己投资这个行业。如果您是，现在可以考虑以下四只金融科技股票。</blockquote></p><p> Top Fintech Stocks To Watch</p><p><blockquote>最值得关注的金融科技股票</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Mogo Inc.</b>(NASDAQ: MOGO)</li>  <li><b>PayPal Holdings Inc.</b>(NASDAQ: PYPL)</li>  <li><b>Square Inc.</b>(NYSE: SQ)</li>  <li><b>Green Dot Corporation</b>(NYSE: GDOT)</li> </ul> Mogo Inc.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>莫戈公司。</b>（纳斯达克：MOGO）</li><li><b>PayPal控股公司。</b>（纳斯达克：PYPL）</li><li><b>广场公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SQ）</li><li><b>绿点公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GDOT）</li></ul>莫戈公司。</blockquote></p><p> Starting us off is Canadian fintech company Mogo. It offers a wide range of financial services ranging from personal loans, mortgages, a Visa Prepaid Card, and credit score viewing. More importantly, the company also facilitates Bitcoin transactions. This particular service has exploded together with the price of the cryptocurrency over the last month. Mogo saw massive month-over-month jumps of 141% in new Bitcoin accounts added and 323% in Bitcoin transaction volume in January. Likewise, MOGO stock is currently up by over 160% year-to-date. Aside from Bitcoin-related tailwinds, the company has also been hard at work expanding its financial portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>让我们起步的是加拿大金融科技公司Mogo。它提供广泛的金融服务，包括个人贷款、抵押贷款、Visa预付卡和信用评分查看。更重要的是，该公司还促进了比特币交易。在过去的一个月里，这项特殊的服务随着加密货币的价格一起爆炸式增长。Mogo 1月份新增比特币账户环比大幅增长141%，比特币交易量环比增长323%。同样，MOGO股价今年迄今已上涨超过160%。除了与比特币相关的有利因素外，该公司还一直在努力扩大其金融投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> For starters, Mogo acquired leading digital payments solutions provider Carta Worldwide, over two weeks ago. This move expanded Mogo’s addressable market by entering the global $2.5 trillion payments market. Following that, the company expanded into Japan last week via Carta. According to Mogo, this move was in support of the TransferWise multi-currency debit card launch in the country. With this move, Mogo continues to expand its market reach globally and seems eager to make the most of its newly acquired subsidiary. With the company firing on all cylinders now, will you be watching MOGO stock?</p><p><blockquote>首先，Mogo在两周前收购了领先的数字支付解决方案提供商Carta Worldwide。此举通过进入全球2.5万亿美元的支付市场扩大了Mogo的潜在市场。此后，该公司上周通过Carta扩展到日本。据Mogo称，此举是为了支持TransferWise多币种借记卡在该国的推出。通过这一举措，Mogo继续扩大其全球市场范围，并似乎渴望充分利用其新收购的子公司。随着该公司现在全力以赴，您会关注MOGO股票吗？</blockquote></p><p> PayPal Holdings Inc.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> Following that, we will be looking at fintech giant, PayPal. Just like our other entries on this list, the company does facilitate cryptocurrency transactions for its clients. Last week, PayPal reported record figures across the board. For its fourth quarter, the company saw a total payment volume (TPV) of $277 billion, a 39% increase year-over-year. Furthermore, the company’s earnings per share more than tripled over the same time as well. In detail, TPVs across its merchant services and Venmo app grew by 42% and 60% respectively. With PayPal riding both Bitcoin and pandemic tailwinds, PYPL stock continues to soar to greater heights. It has gained by over 230% since the March lows and closed yesterday at a record high. Investors may be wondering if it still has room to run moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我们将关注金融科技巨头PayPal。就像我们在这个列表中的其他条目一样，该公司确实为其客户促进了加密货币交易。上周，PayPal公布了全面创纪录的数据。第四季度，该公司支付总额(TPV)为2770亿美元，同比增长39%。此外，该公司的每股收益同期也增长了两倍多。具体而言，其商户服务和Venmo应用程序的TPV分别增长了42%和60%。随着PayPal乘着比特币和大流行的东风，PYPL股价继续飙升至更高的高度。自3月份低点以来，该股已上涨超过230%，昨天收于历史新高。投资者可能想知道它是否还有前进的空间。</blockquote></p><p> For one thing, the company does not seem to be slowing down anytime soon. Yesterday, it announced a new collaboration with global commerce solutions provider Digital River (DR). To summarize, PayPal now has a new ‘pay later’ option available to U.S. clients on DR’s e-commerce platform.<i>The “Pay in 4</i>” feature will allow customers to pay for items priced from $30 to $600 across four interest-free payments. Simultaneously, merchants get paid upfront at no additional cost to the customer. As PayPal continues to make waves in the fintech space, could PYPL stock continue to flourish this year? You tell me.</p><p><blockquote>一方面，该公司似乎不会很快放缓。昨天，它宣布了与全球商业解决方案提供商Digital River(DR)的新合作。总而言之，PayPal现在在DR的电子商务平台上为美国客户提供了一个新的“稍后付款”选项。<i>“按4支付”</i>“该功能将允许客户通过四次免息付款支付价格从30美元到600美元的商品。同时，商家无需向客户支付额外费用即可获得预付款。随着PayPal继续在金融科技领域掀起波澜，PYPL股票今年能否继续蓬勃发展？你告诉我。</blockquote></p><p> Square Inc.</p><p><blockquote>广场公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Another top fintech company on the radar now would be Square. Aside from its Bitcoin-related services, the leading fintech player does bring a lot to the table. Whether it is financial solutions, merchant services, or mobile payment, Square’s offerings compete with the best in the field. For the uninitiated, the company markets software and hardware payments products to businesses of all sizes. At the same time, its consumer-focused digital payment ecosystem, Cash App, has also seen mind-blowing growth in the past year. Square reported having 30 million monthly active users on the app which generated over $2 billion in revenue in its recent quarter. Seasoned investors would be familiar with the meteoric rise of the company. Indeed, SQ stock has and continues to impress with gains of over 200% in the past year. With the current focus on fintech, could investors continue to find more value in SQ stock?</p><p><blockquote>现在另一家备受关注的顶级金融科技公司是Square。除了与比特币相关的服务之外，这家领先的金融科技公司确实带来了很多东西。无论是金融解决方案、商家服务还是移动支付，Square的产品都能与该领域的佼佼者竞争。对于门外汉来说，该公司向各种规模的企业销售软件和硬件支付产品。与此同时，其以消费者为中心的数字支付生态系统Cash App在过去一年中也出现了令人兴奋的增长。Square报告称，该应用程序每月有3000万活跃用户，最近一个季度的收入超过20亿美元。经验丰富的投资者会熟悉该公司的迅速崛起。事实上，SQ股票在过去一年中已经并将继续令人印象深刻，涨幅超过200%。鉴于目前对金融科技的关注，投资者能否继续在SQ股票中发现更多价值？</blockquote></p><p> Well, it has been posting phenomenal figures on the business side of things. In its third-quarter fiscal reported in November, it saw a year-over-year surge of 139% in total revenue and 246% in cash on hand. Specifically, Cash App’s gross profit skyrocketed by 212% year-over-year. All things considered, will you be watching SQ stock ahead of Square’s upcomingearnings callon February 23?</p><p><blockquote>嗯，它在商业方面发布了惊人的数据。在11月份公布的第三季度财报中，该公司总收入同比增长139%，手头现金同比增长246%。具体来看，Cash App毛利同比暴涨212%。综合考虑，您会在Square即将于2月23日发布财报之前关注SQ股票吗？</blockquote></p><p> Green Dot Corporation</p><p><blockquote>绿点公司</blockquote></p><p> Undoubtedly, Green Dot is a fintech industry-veteran that should not be overlooked. As it stands, Green Dot is the world’s largest prepaid debit card company by market capitalization. The company also boasts an impressive list of clients, to say the least. Its fintech partners include but are not limited to, Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Uber (NYSE: UBER), and Walmart (NYSE: WMT). Equally impressive is GDOT stock’s growth of over 220% since the March selloffs. With Green Dot slated to release its fourth-quarter earnings on February 22, I can see investors watching GDOT stock closely.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，绿点是一位不容忽视的金融科技行业资深人士。目前，绿点是全球市值最大的预付借记卡公司。至少可以说，该公司还拥有令人印象深刻的客户名单。其金融科技合作伙伴包括但不限于谷歌（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOGL）、优步（纽约证券交易所股票代码：UBER）和沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）。同样令人印象深刻的是，自3月份抛售以来，GDOT股票增长了220%以上。随着Green Dot定于2月22日发布第四季度收益，我可以看到投资者正在密切关注GDOT股票。</blockquote></p><p> For the most part, the company has been hard at work maintaining its current momentum. Last month, the company launched a new mobile bank focused on addressing the two in three Americans “<i>living from paycheck to paycheck</i>”. Through this, Green Dot is leveraging its rich industry experience to provide affordable banking solutions for clients in need. In the long run, this could play out well for Green Dot as it engages consumers amidst these troubling times. Moreover, the company appointed a new CTO in Gyorgy Tomso last week. CEO Dan Henry said, “<i>Gyorgy is a fintech veteran whose deep experience leading technology strategy for financial services companies is going to be instrumental in Green Dot’s growth as a leading fintech.</i>” Has all this convinced you to add GDOT to your watchlist?</p><p><blockquote>在很大程度上，该公司一直在努力保持目前的势头。上个月，该公司推出了一家新的移动银行，专注于解决三分之二美国人的问题”<i>靠薪水生活</i>”.通过这一点，绿点正在利用其丰富的行业经验为有需要的客户提供负担得起的银行解决方案。从长远来看，这对绿点来说可能会很好，因为它在这个困难时期吸引了消费者。此外，该公司上周任命了一位新的CTO Gyorgy Tomso。首席执行官丹·亨利说：“<i>Gyorgy是一位金融科技资深人士，他在金融服务公司领先技术战略方面的丰富经验将有助于Green Dot作为领先金融科技公司的发展。</i>“这一切是否说服您将GDOT添加到您的观察列表中？</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Best Stocks To Buy For 2021? 4 Fintech Stocks To Watch<blockquote>2021年最值得购买的股票？4只值得关注的金融科技股</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBest Stocks To Buy For 2021? 4 Fintech Stocks To Watch<blockquote>2021年最值得购买的股票？4只值得关注的金融科技股</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Nasdaq</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-11 14:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>If you’re caught up on the latestBitcoin news, you likely know thatfintech stocksare in the hot seat right now. This is thanks to a $1.5 billion investment into the cryptocurrency from electric vehicle titan Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA). It is one of the latest large tech companies to not only invest in but eventually start acceptingBitcoinas payment. In fact, there have even been speculations of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) being well-positioned to join the cryptocurrency craze as well. How does this connect to fintech stocks?</p><p><blockquote>如果您关注最新的比特币新闻，您可能知道金融科技股票目前处于热门位置。这要归功于电动汽车巨头特斯拉（纳斯达克：TSLA）对加密货币的15亿美元投资。它是最新一家不仅投资而且最终开始接受比特币支付的大型科技公司之一。事实上，甚至有人猜测苹果（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）也有能力加入加密货币热潮。这与金融科技股票有何联系？</blockquote></p><p> Well, to begin with, fintech companies are the bridge that allows most of the general public access to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. Alternatively, they are also key players in this current age of digital finance. Whatever way you cut it, the fintech industry is becoming more essential and is here to stay for the long run. Meanwhile, more conventional top fintech stocks like Mastercard (NYSE: MA) and American Express (NYSE: AXP) have mostly seen their shares recover to pre-pandemic levels. Therefore, investors would be logical in looking for thebest fintech stocks now. Having read till this point, you might be interested in investing in this industry yourself. If you are, here are four fintech stocks to consider now.</p><p><blockquote>首先，金融科技公司是允许大多数公众访问比特币等加密货币的桥梁。或者，他们也是当前数字金融时代的关键参与者。无论你以何种方式削减它，金融科技行业正变得越来越重要，并且将长期存在。与此同时，万事达卡（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MA）和美国运通（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AXP）等更传统的顶级金融科技股的股价大多已恢复至大流行前的水平。因此，投资者现在寻找最好的金融科技股票是合乎逻辑的。读到这里，你可能会有兴趣自己投资这个行业。如果您是，现在可以考虑以下四只金融科技股票。</blockquote></p><p> Top Fintech Stocks To Watch</p><p><blockquote>最值得关注的金融科技股票</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Mogo Inc.</b>(NASDAQ: MOGO)</li>  <li><b>PayPal Holdings Inc.</b>(NASDAQ: PYPL)</li>  <li><b>Square Inc.</b>(NYSE: SQ)</li>  <li><b>Green Dot Corporation</b>(NYSE: GDOT)</li> </ul> Mogo Inc.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>莫戈公司。</b>（纳斯达克：MOGO）</li><li><b>PayPal控股公司。</b>（纳斯达克：PYPL）</li><li><b>广场公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SQ）</li><li><b>绿点公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：GDOT）</li></ul>莫戈公司。</blockquote></p><p> Starting us off is Canadian fintech company Mogo. It offers a wide range of financial services ranging from personal loans, mortgages, a Visa Prepaid Card, and credit score viewing. More importantly, the company also facilitates Bitcoin transactions. This particular service has exploded together with the price of the cryptocurrency over the last month. Mogo saw massive month-over-month jumps of 141% in new Bitcoin accounts added and 323% in Bitcoin transaction volume in January. Likewise, MOGO stock is currently up by over 160% year-to-date. Aside from Bitcoin-related tailwinds, the company has also been hard at work expanding its financial portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>让我们起步的是加拿大金融科技公司Mogo。它提供广泛的金融服务，包括个人贷款、抵押贷款、Visa预付卡和信用评分查看。更重要的是，该公司还促进了比特币交易。在过去的一个月里，这项特殊的服务随着加密货币的价格一起爆炸式增长。Mogo 1月份新增比特币账户环比大幅增长141%，比特币交易量环比增长323%。同样，MOGO股价今年迄今已上涨超过160%。除了与比特币相关的有利因素外，该公司还一直在努力扩大其金融投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> For starters, Mogo acquired leading digital payments solutions provider Carta Worldwide, over two weeks ago. This move expanded Mogo’s addressable market by entering the global $2.5 trillion payments market. Following that, the company expanded into Japan last week via Carta. According to Mogo, this move was in support of the TransferWise multi-currency debit card launch in the country. With this move, Mogo continues to expand its market reach globally and seems eager to make the most of its newly acquired subsidiary. With the company firing on all cylinders now, will you be watching MOGO stock?</p><p><blockquote>首先，Mogo在两周前收购了领先的数字支付解决方案提供商Carta Worldwide。此举通过进入全球2.5万亿美元的支付市场扩大了Mogo的潜在市场。此后，该公司上周通过Carta扩展到日本。据Mogo称，此举是为了支持TransferWise多币种借记卡在该国的推出。通过这一举措，Mogo继续扩大其全球市场范围，并似乎渴望充分利用其新收购的子公司。随着该公司现在全力以赴，您会关注MOGO股票吗？</blockquote></p><p> PayPal Holdings Inc.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> Following that, we will be looking at fintech giant, PayPal. Just like our other entries on this list, the company does facilitate cryptocurrency transactions for its clients. Last week, PayPal reported record figures across the board. For its fourth quarter, the company saw a total payment volume (TPV) of $277 billion, a 39% increase year-over-year. Furthermore, the company’s earnings per share more than tripled over the same time as well. In detail, TPVs across its merchant services and Venmo app grew by 42% and 60% respectively. With PayPal riding both Bitcoin and pandemic tailwinds, PYPL stock continues to soar to greater heights. It has gained by over 230% since the March lows and closed yesterday at a record high. Investors may be wondering if it still has room to run moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我们将关注金融科技巨头PayPal。就像我们在这个列表中的其他条目一样，该公司确实为其客户促进了加密货币交易。上周，PayPal公布了全面创纪录的数据。第四季度，该公司支付总额(TPV)为2770亿美元，同比增长39%。此外，该公司的每股收益同期也增长了两倍多。具体而言，其商户服务和Venmo应用程序的TPV分别增长了42%和60%。随着PayPal乘着比特币和大流行的东风，PYPL股价继续飙升至更高的高度。自3月份低点以来，该股已上涨超过230%，昨天收于历史新高。投资者可能想知道它是否还有前进的空间。</blockquote></p><p> For one thing, the company does not seem to be slowing down anytime soon. Yesterday, it announced a new collaboration with global commerce solutions provider Digital River (DR). To summarize, PayPal now has a new ‘pay later’ option available to U.S. clients on DR’s e-commerce platform.<i>The “Pay in 4</i>” feature will allow customers to pay for items priced from $30 to $600 across four interest-free payments. Simultaneously, merchants get paid upfront at no additional cost to the customer. As PayPal continues to make waves in the fintech space, could PYPL stock continue to flourish this year? You tell me.</p><p><blockquote>一方面，该公司似乎不会很快放缓。昨天，它宣布了与全球商业解决方案提供商Digital River(DR)的新合作。总而言之，PayPal现在在DR的电子商务平台上为美国客户提供了一个新的“稍后付款”选项。<i>“按4支付”</i>“该功能将允许客户通过四次免息付款支付价格从30美元到600美元的商品。同时，商家无需向客户支付额外费用即可获得预付款。随着PayPal继续在金融科技领域掀起波澜，PYPL股票今年能否继续蓬勃发展？你告诉我。</blockquote></p><p> Square Inc.</p><p><blockquote>广场公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Another top fintech company on the radar now would be Square. Aside from its Bitcoin-related services, the leading fintech player does bring a lot to the table. Whether it is financial solutions, merchant services, or mobile payment, Square’s offerings compete with the best in the field. For the uninitiated, the company markets software and hardware payments products to businesses of all sizes. At the same time, its consumer-focused digital payment ecosystem, Cash App, has also seen mind-blowing growth in the past year. Square reported having 30 million monthly active users on the app which generated over $2 billion in revenue in its recent quarter. Seasoned investors would be familiar with the meteoric rise of the company. Indeed, SQ stock has and continues to impress with gains of over 200% in the past year. With the current focus on fintech, could investors continue to find more value in SQ stock?</p><p><blockquote>现在另一家备受关注的顶级金融科技公司是Square。除了与比特币相关的服务之外，这家领先的金融科技公司确实带来了很多东西。无论是金融解决方案、商家服务还是移动支付，Square的产品都能与该领域的佼佼者竞争。对于门外汉来说，该公司向各种规模的企业销售软件和硬件支付产品。与此同时，其以消费者为中心的数字支付生态系统Cash App在过去一年中也出现了令人兴奋的增长。Square报告称，该应用程序每月有3000万活跃用户，最近一个季度的收入超过20亿美元。经验丰富的投资者会熟悉该公司的迅速崛起。事实上，SQ股票在过去一年中已经并将继续令人印象深刻，涨幅超过200%。鉴于目前对金融科技的关注，投资者能否继续在SQ股票中发现更多价值？</blockquote></p><p> Well, it has been posting phenomenal figures on the business side of things. In its third-quarter fiscal reported in November, it saw a year-over-year surge of 139% in total revenue and 246% in cash on hand. Specifically, Cash App’s gross profit skyrocketed by 212% year-over-year. All things considered, will you be watching SQ stock ahead of Square’s upcomingearnings callon February 23?</p><p><blockquote>嗯，它在商业方面发布了惊人的数据。在11月份公布的第三季度财报中，该公司总收入同比增长139%，手头现金同比增长246%。具体来看，Cash App毛利同比暴涨212%。综合考虑，您会在Square即将于2月23日发布财报之前关注SQ股票吗？</blockquote></p><p> Green Dot Corporation</p><p><blockquote>绿点公司</blockquote></p><p> Undoubtedly, Green Dot is a fintech industry-veteran that should not be overlooked. As it stands, Green Dot is the world’s largest prepaid debit card company by market capitalization. The company also boasts an impressive list of clients, to say the least. Its fintech partners include but are not limited to, Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Uber (NYSE: UBER), and Walmart (NYSE: WMT). Equally impressive is GDOT stock’s growth of over 220% since the March selloffs. With Green Dot slated to release its fourth-quarter earnings on February 22, I can see investors watching GDOT stock closely.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，绿点是一位不容忽视的金融科技行业资深人士。目前，绿点是全球市值最大的预付借记卡公司。至少可以说，该公司还拥有令人印象深刻的客户名单。其金融科技合作伙伴包括但不限于谷歌（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOGL）、优步（纽约证券交易所股票代码：UBER）和沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）。同样令人印象深刻的是，自3月份抛售以来，GDOT股票增长了220%以上。随着Green Dot定于2月22日发布第四季度收益，我可以看到投资者正在密切关注GDOT股票。</blockquote></p><p> For the most part, the company has been hard at work maintaining its current momentum. Last month, the company launched a new mobile bank focused on addressing the two in three Americans “<i>living from paycheck to paycheck</i>”. Through this, Green Dot is leveraging its rich industry experience to provide affordable banking solutions for clients in need. In the long run, this could play out well for Green Dot as it engages consumers amidst these troubling times. Moreover, the company appointed a new CTO in Gyorgy Tomso last week. CEO Dan Henry said, “<i>Gyorgy is a fintech veteran whose deep experience leading technology strategy for financial services companies is going to be instrumental in Green Dot’s growth as a leading fintech.</i>” Has all this convinced you to add GDOT to your watchlist?</p><p><blockquote>在很大程度上，该公司一直在努力保持目前的势头。上个月，该公司推出了一家新的移动银行，专注于解决三分之二美国人的问题”<i>靠薪水生活</i>”.通过这一点，绿点正在利用其丰富的行业经验为有需要的客户提供负担得起的银行解决方案。从长远来看，这对绿点来说可能会很好，因为它在这个困难时期吸引了消费者。此外，该公司上周任命了一位新的CTO Gyorgy Tomso。首席执行官丹·亨利说：“<i>Gyorgy是一位金融科技资深人士，他在金融服务公司领先技术战略方面的丰富经验将有助于Green Dot作为领先金融科技公司的发展。</i>“这一切是否说服您将GDOT添加到您的观察列表中？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/best-stocks-to-buy-for-2021-4-fintech-stocks-to-watch-2021-02-10\">Nasdaq</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/best-stocks-to-buy-for-2021-4-fintech-stocks-to-watch-2021-02-10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168862133","content_text":"If you’re caught up on the latestBitcoin news, you likely know thatfintech stocksare in the hot seat right now. This is thanks to a $1.5 billion investment into the cryptocurrency from electric vehicle titan Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA). It is one of the latest large tech companies to not only invest in but eventually start acceptingBitcoinas payment. In fact, there have even been speculations of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) being well-positioned to join the cryptocurrency craze as well. How does this connect to fintech stocks?\nWell, to begin with, fintech companies are the bridge that allows most of the general public access to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. Alternatively, they are also key players in this current age of digital finance. Whatever way you cut it, the fintech industry is becoming more essential and is here to stay for the long run. Meanwhile, more conventional top fintech stocks like Mastercard (NYSE: MA) and American Express (NYSE: AXP) have mostly seen their shares recover to pre-pandemic levels. Therefore, investors would be logical in looking for thebest fintech stocks now. Having read till this point, you might be interested in investing in this industry yourself. If you are, here are four fintech stocks to consider now.\nTop Fintech Stocks To Watch\n\nMogo Inc.(NASDAQ: MOGO)\nPayPal Holdings Inc.(NASDAQ: PYPL)\nSquare Inc.(NYSE: SQ)\nGreen Dot Corporation(NYSE: GDOT)\n\nMogo Inc.\nStarting us off is Canadian fintech company Mogo. It offers a wide range of financial services ranging from personal loans, mortgages, a Visa Prepaid Card, and credit score viewing. More importantly, the company also facilitates Bitcoin transactions. This particular service has exploded together with the price of the cryptocurrency over the last month. Mogo saw massive month-over-month jumps of 141% in new Bitcoin accounts added and 323% in Bitcoin transaction volume in January. Likewise, MOGO stock is currently up by over 160% year-to-date. Aside from Bitcoin-related tailwinds, the company has also been hard at work expanding its financial portfolio.\nFor starters, Mogo acquired leading digital payments solutions provider Carta Worldwide, over two weeks ago. This move expanded Mogo’s addressable market by entering the global $2.5 trillion payments market. Following that, the company expanded into Japan last week via Carta. According to Mogo, this move was in support of the TransferWise multi-currency debit card launch in the country. With this move, Mogo continues to expand its market reach globally and seems eager to make the most of its newly acquired subsidiary. With the company firing on all cylinders now, will you be watching MOGO stock?\nPayPal Holdings Inc.\nFollowing that, we will be looking at fintech giant, PayPal. Just like our other entries on this list, the company does facilitate cryptocurrency transactions for its clients. Last week, PayPal reported record figures across the board. For its fourth quarter, the company saw a total payment volume (TPV) of $277 billion, a 39% increase year-over-year. Furthermore, the company’s earnings per share more than tripled over the same time as well. In detail, TPVs across its merchant services and Venmo app grew by 42% and 60% respectively. With PayPal riding both Bitcoin and pandemic tailwinds, PYPL stock continues to soar to greater heights. It has gained by over 230% since the March lows and closed yesterday at a record high. Investors may be wondering if it still has room to run moving forward.\nFor one thing, the company does not seem to be slowing down anytime soon. Yesterday, it announced a new collaboration with global commerce solutions provider Digital River (DR). To summarize, PayPal now has a new ‘pay later’ option available to U.S. clients on DR’s e-commerce platform.The “Pay in 4” feature will allow customers to pay for items priced from $30 to $600 across four interest-free payments. Simultaneously, merchants get paid upfront at no additional cost to the customer. As PayPal continues to make waves in the fintech space, could PYPL stock continue to flourish this year? You tell me.\nSquare Inc.\nAnother top fintech company on the radar now would be Square. Aside from its Bitcoin-related services, the leading fintech player does bring a lot to the table. Whether it is financial solutions, merchant services, or mobile payment, Square’s offerings compete with the best in the field. For the uninitiated, the company markets software and hardware payments products to businesses of all sizes. At the same time, its consumer-focused digital payment ecosystem, Cash App, has also seen mind-blowing growth in the past year. Square reported having 30 million monthly active users on the app which generated over $2 billion in revenue in its recent quarter. Seasoned investors would be familiar with the meteoric rise of the company. Indeed, SQ stock has and continues to impress with gains of over 200% in the past year. With the current focus on fintech, could investors continue to find more value in SQ stock?\nWell, it has been posting phenomenal figures on the business side of things. In its third-quarter fiscal reported in November, it saw a year-over-year surge of 139% in total revenue and 246% in cash on hand. Specifically, Cash App’s gross profit skyrocketed by 212% year-over-year. All things considered, will you be watching SQ stock ahead of Square’s upcomingearnings callon February 23?\nGreen Dot Corporation\nUndoubtedly, Green Dot is a fintech industry-veteran that should not be overlooked. As it stands, Green Dot is the world’s largest prepaid debit card company by market capitalization. The company also boasts an impressive list of clients, to say the least. Its fintech partners include but are not limited to, Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Uber (NYSE: UBER), and Walmart (NYSE: WMT). Equally impressive is GDOT stock’s growth of over 220% since the March selloffs. With Green Dot slated to release its fourth-quarter earnings on February 22, I can see investors watching GDOT stock closely.\nFor the most part, the company has been hard at work maintaining its current momentum. Last month, the company launched a new mobile bank focused on addressing the two in three Americans “living from paycheck to paycheck”. Through this, Green Dot is leveraging its rich industry experience to provide affordable banking solutions for clients in need. In the long run, this could play out well for Green Dot as it engages consumers amidst these troubling times. Moreover, the company appointed a new CTO in Gyorgy Tomso last week. CEO Dan Henry said, “Gyorgy is a fintech veteran whose deep experience leading technology strategy for financial services companies is going to be instrumental in Green Dot’s growth as a leading fintech.” Has all this convinced you to add GDOT to your watchlist?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127462535,"gmtCreate":1624864480927,"gmtModify":1631893603540,"author":{"id":"3571784946922966","authorId":"3571784946922966","name":"kohaku84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ced1f1ad7dc4fefc13b10ec983b8fd7e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571784946922966","idStr":"3571784946922966"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Steady","listText":"Steady","text":"Steady","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127462535","repostId":"2146007118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}