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2021-12-11

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Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading<blockquote>Sea Ltd 股价早盘下跌超过 5%</blockquote>

2021-11-18

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2021-09-08

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2021-11-07

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U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时于 2021 年 11 月 7 日星期日结束</blockquote>

2021-10-11

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Banks' Q3 earnings to reflect reserve releases, weak loan activity, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，银行第三季度收益将反映准备金释放和贷款活动疲软</blockquote>

2021-08-31

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2021-08-19

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Stocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减规模谈判是认真的，股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote>

2021-10-26

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2021-08-29

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2021-11-16

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like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696125785","repostId":"1127544468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698740021,"gmtCreate":1640564467783,"gmtModify":1640564467999,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698740021","repostId":"2194177239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2194177239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640559609,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2194177239?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表：本周须知</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周归来，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表：本周须知</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表：本周须知</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周归来，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FCEL":"燃料电池能源","BK4096":"电气部件与设备","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","BK4541":"氢能源"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCEL":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698572129,"gmtCreate":1640482240889,"gmtModify":1640482241179,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls 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like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693218014","repostId":"1170276602","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170276602","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640014239,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1170276602?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rocket shares slide 4.6% in early trading<blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170276602","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.Rocket Cos Inc said on Monday it would buy personal finance","content":"<p>Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6616564f5ca493d336303b334198c8e7\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Rocket Cos Inc&nbsp;said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.</p><p><blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%。Rocket Cos Inc 周一表示，将以近 13 亿美元现金收购个人理财应用 Truebill，这家总部位于底特律的公司希望扩大其在消费金融市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rocket shares slide 4.6% in early trading<blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRocket shares slide 4.6% in early trading<blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-20 23:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6616564f5ca493d336303b334198c8e7\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Rocket Cos Inc&nbsp;said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.</p><p><blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%。Rocket Cos Inc 周一表示，将以近 13 亿美元现金收购个人理财应用 Truebill，这家总部位于底特律的公司希望扩大其在消费金融市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RKT":"Rocket Companies"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170276602","content_text":"Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.Rocket Cos Inc said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RKT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3023,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699454598,"gmtCreate":1639881672631,"gmtModify":1639881672864,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls 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like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699886503","repostId":"2192597562","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1066,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690422146,"gmtCreate":1639703347885,"gmtModify":1639703348124,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls 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like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607750289","repostId":"1144281028","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144281028","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639596982,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1144281028?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 03:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell expects inflation to fall closer to Fed's goal by end of next year<blockquote>鲍威尔预计明年年底通胀将更接近美联储目标</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144281028","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Economic growth and \"rapid gains\" in the employment picture are supporting the central bank's decision to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchase program, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-FOMC press conference.The recent increase in COVID and the emergence of the Omicron variant \"poses risk to the outlook,\" he said.","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Economic growth and \"rapid gains\" in the employment picture are supporting the central bank's decision to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchase program, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-FOMC press conference.</li>  <li>The recent increase in COVID and the emergence of the Omicron variant \"poses risk to the outlook,\" he said.</li>  <li>\"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:30 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;\"I'm not troubled where the long bond is. We're focused on broader economic issues,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:23 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;The central bank committee \"hasn't&nbsp;made any decision at all\" on when balance sheet runoff will start. \"We did have a balance sheet issue discussion, we'll have another at the next meeting... we didn't make any decisions today.\"</li>  <li><b>3:22 PM ET:</b>Asset purchase decisions and raising interest rates are two separate decisions. The policymakers haven't yet discussed whether the higher interest rates will immediately follow the winding down of the taper.</li>  <li><b>3:20 PM ET:</b>\"We are at a point after March that we can raise interest rates as and when appropriate,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:18 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;He thinks cryptocurrency risks are a longer-term risk doesn't think of them as a financial stability concern. Also, he commented that stablecoins are not currently property regulated.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:16 PM ET</b>: \"Asset valuations are somewhat elevated,\" he&nbsp; In terms of financial risks, \"businesses have debt, but their default rates are very low.\" Money market funds are a vulnerability. Cyber risk is harder to deal with, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:13 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;\"The risk of inflation becoming entrenched has increased. I don't think it's high, but it has increased,\" the Fed chair said. That's a major risk, along with the virus itself, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:12 PM ET:</b>Consumer incomes are strong, and spending has been strong, he notes. \"We expect personal consumption expenditures to be very strong in the fourth quarter,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li>As of 3:09 PM ET, the Nasdaq&nbsp;climbs 1.0%, the S&amp;P&nbsp;rises 0.9%, and the Dowgains 0.5%.</li>  <li><b>3:08 PM ET:</b>\"It will take time and to get the pandemic under control\" to produce gains in the labor force participation rate, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:03 PM ET</b>: \"The inflation that we got was not at all the inflation we were talking about or looking for in the framework,\" Powell said. The post-pandemic inflation was triggered by supply-side barriers, \"a very different kind of inflation\" that was considered in the Fed's policy framework.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:58 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;Turning to inflation: \"Wages are not a big part of the high inflation that we're seeing,\" he said. The Fed needs to watch for is if wages were persistently above productivity growth, he added, \"we don't see that yet.\" They're also carefully watching rent increases.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:56 PM ET:</b>Powell decided the Fed needed to speed up the taper after the November employment report came out in early December.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:53 PM:</b>Even with Omicron posing a risk to the economic outlook, Powell said accelerating the taper is warranted. At this point, \"it's very difficult to say what the economic effect will be...&nbsp;Moving forward the end of the taper is appropriate and Omicron doesn’t have much to do with it.\"</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:47 PM:</b>While the unemployment rate has improved quickly and stands at about 4.2%, the labor force participation rate has been disappointing, he said. \"I do think it feels likely now that the return to higher LFP is going to take longer.\"</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:44 PM</b>: He doesn't expect the Fed to start raising rates before the taper ends. It \"wouldn't be appropriate\" to raise rates while still increasing asset purchases, he said.</li>  <li><b>2:42 PM ET:</b>\"We're basically two meetings away from finishing the taper,\" he noted.</li>  <li><b>2:40 PM ET:</b>When asked what maximum employment looks like, Powell said it entails a \"broad range of indicators,\" such as the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and others. \"It is admittedly a judgment call because it's a range of factors. We are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"</li>  <li>Earlier, the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;doubled the pace of tapering&nbsp;to $30B per month as inflation remained elevated and the labor market stayed strong.</li>  <li>The faster pace of winding down the central bank's asset purchases puts it on track to boost rates earlier. Now all of the Fed officials expect at least one rate hike during 2022, with two-thirds of them predicting at least three 25-basis point&nbsp;increases during the year.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在联邦公开市场委员会会议后的新闻发布会上表示，经济增长和就业形势的“快速增长”支持央行加速缩减资产购买计划的决定。</li><li>他说，最近新冠病毒的增加和奥密克戎变种的出现“给前景带来了风险”。</li><li>鲍威尔表示：“经济不再需要越来越多的政策支持。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:30：</b>“我并不担心长期债券的去向。我们关注的是更广泛的经济问题，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:23：</b>央行委员会“根本没有就资产负债表决算何时开始做出任何决定”。“我们确实讨论了资产负债表问题，我们将在下次会议上再次讨论……我们今天没有做出任何决定。”</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:22：</b>资产购买决策和提高利率是两个独立的决策。政策制定者尚未讨论缩减规模结束后利率是否会立即上升。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:20：</b>“三月份之后，我们可以在适当的时候加息，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:18：</b>他认为加密货币风险是一种长期风险，并不认为它们是金融稳定问题。此外，他评论说，稳定币目前不受财产监管。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:16</b>：“资产估值有点高，”他在金融风险方面说，“企业有债务，但违约率很低。”货币市场基金是一个漏洞。他说，网络风险更难应对。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:13：</b>美联储主席表示：“通胀根深蒂固的风险增加了。我认为通胀水平不高，但确实增加了。”他说，这是一个重大风险，还有病毒本身。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:12：</b>他指出，消费者收入强劲，支出也强劲。“我们预计第四季度个人消费支出将非常强劲，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li>截至美国东部时间下午3:09，纳斯达克指数上涨1.0%，标准普尔指数上涨0.9%，道琼斯指数上涨0.5%。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:08：</b>他说，“控制疫情需要时间”才能提高劳动力参与率。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:03</b>鲍威尔说：“我们得到的通货膨胀根本不是我们在框架中谈论或寻找的通货膨胀。”大流行后的通胀是由供应方障碍引发的，这是美联储政策框架中考虑的“一种非常不同的通胀”。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:58：</b>转向通胀：“工资并不是我们看到的高通胀的重要组成部分，”他说。他补充说，美联储需要关注工资是否持续高于生产率增长，“我们还没有看到这一点。”他们也在密切关注租金上涨。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:56：</b>鲍威尔在 12 月初发布 11 月份就业报告后决定美联储需要加快缩减规模。</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2:53：</b>鲍威尔表示，尽管奥密克戎对经济前景构成风险，但加速缩减规模是有必要的。在这一点上，“很难说经济影响会是什么......提前结束缩减规模是合适的，奥密克戎与此无关”。</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2:47：</b>他说，虽然失业率迅速改善，约为4.2%，但劳动力参与率令人失望。“我确实认为现在感觉恢复到更高的 LFP 可能需要更长的时间。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2:44</b>：他预计美联储不会在缩减规模结束前开始加息。他表示，在增加资产购买的同时提高利率“是不合适的”。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:42：</b>“我们距离完成缩减规模基本上还有两次会议，”他指出。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:40：</b>当被问及最大就业率是多少时，鲍威尔表示，这需要“广泛的指标”，例如失业率、劳动力参与率等。“诚然，这是一个判断看涨期权，因为它涉及一系列因素。我们正在朝着最大限度就业迈进。”</li><li>早些时候，由于通胀居高不下且劳动力市场保持强劲，联邦公开市场委员会将缩减规模的步伐加倍，达到每月 300 亿美元。</li><li>央行缩减资产购买的步伐加快，使其有望提前加息。现在，所有美联储官员预计 2022 年至少加息一次，其中三分之二的人预计年内至少加息三次 25 个基点。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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We're focused on broader economic issues,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:23 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;The central bank committee \"hasn't&nbsp;made any decision at all\" on when balance sheet runoff will start. \"We did have a balance sheet issue discussion, we'll have another at the next meeting... we didn't make any decisions today.\"</li>  <li><b>3:22 PM ET:</b>Asset purchase decisions and raising interest rates are two separate decisions. The policymakers haven't yet discussed whether the higher interest rates will immediately follow the winding down of the taper.</li>  <li><b>3:20 PM ET:</b>\"We are at a point after March that we can raise interest rates as and when appropriate,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:18 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;He thinks cryptocurrency risks are a longer-term risk doesn't think of them as a financial stability concern. Also, he commented that stablecoins are not currently property regulated.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:16 PM ET</b>: \"Asset valuations are somewhat elevated,\" he&nbsp; In terms of financial risks, \"businesses have debt, but their default rates are very low.\" Money market funds are a vulnerability. Cyber risk is harder to deal with, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:13 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;\"The risk of inflation becoming entrenched has increased. I don't think it's high, but it has increased,\" the Fed chair said. That's a major risk, along with the virus itself, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:12 PM ET:</b>Consumer incomes are strong, and spending has been strong, he notes. \"We expect personal consumption expenditures to be very strong in the fourth quarter,\" he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li>As of 3:09 PM ET, the Nasdaq&nbsp;climbs 1.0%, the S&amp;P&nbsp;rises 0.9%, and the Dowgains 0.5%.</li>  <li><b>3:08 PM ET:</b>\"It will take time and to get the pandemic under control\" to produce gains in the labor force participation rate, he said.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>3:03 PM ET</b>: \"The inflation that we got was not at all the inflation we were talking about or looking for in the framework,\" Powell said. The post-pandemic inflation was triggered by supply-side barriers, \"a very different kind of inflation\" that was considered in the Fed's policy framework.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:58 PM ET:</b>&nbsp;Turning to inflation: \"Wages are not a big part of the high inflation that we're seeing,\" he said. The Fed needs to watch for is if wages were persistently above productivity growth, he added, \"we don't see that yet.\" They're also carefully watching rent increases.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:56 PM ET:</b>Powell decided the Fed needed to speed up the taper after the November employment report came out in early December.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:53 PM:</b>Even with Omicron posing a risk to the economic outlook, Powell said accelerating the taper is warranted. At this point, \"it's very difficult to say what the economic effect will be...&nbsp;Moving forward the end of the taper is appropriate and Omicron doesn’t have much to do with it.\"</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:47 PM:</b>While the unemployment rate has improved quickly and stands at about 4.2%, the labor force participation rate has been disappointing, he said. \"I do think it feels likely now that the return to higher LFP is going to take longer.\"</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>2:44 PM</b>: He doesn't expect the Fed to start raising rates before the taper ends. It \"wouldn't be appropriate\" to raise rates while still increasing asset purchases, he said.</li>  <li><b>2:42 PM ET:</b>\"We're basically two meetings away from finishing the taper,\" he noted.</li>  <li><b>2:40 PM ET:</b>When asked what maximum employment looks like, Powell said it entails a \"broad range of indicators,\" such as the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and others. \"It is admittedly a judgment call because it's a range of factors. We are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"</li>  <li>Earlier, the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;doubled the pace of tapering&nbsp;to $30B per month as inflation remained elevated and the labor market stayed strong.</li>  <li>The faster pace of winding down the central bank's asset purchases puts it on track to boost rates earlier. Now all of the Fed officials expect at least one rate hike during 2022, with two-thirds of them predicting at least three 25-basis point&nbsp;increases during the year.</li> </ul> </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在联邦公开市场委员会会议后的新闻发布会上表示，经济增长和就业形势的“快速增长”支持央行加速缩减资产购买计划的决定。</li><li>他说，最近新冠病毒的增加和奥密克戎变种的出现“给前景带来了风险”。</li><li>鲍威尔表示：“经济不再需要越来越多的政策支持。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:30：</b>“我并不担心长期债券的去向。我们关注的是更广泛的经济问题，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:23：</b>央行委员会“根本没有就资产负债表决算何时开始做出任何决定”。“我们确实讨论了资产负债表问题，我们将在下次会议上再次讨论……我们今天没有做出任何决定。”</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:22：</b>资产购买决策和提高利率是两个独立的决策。政策制定者尚未讨论缩减规模结束后利率是否会立即上升。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:20：</b>“三月份之后，我们可以在适当的时候加息，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:18：</b>他认为加密货币风险是一种长期风险，并不认为它们是金融稳定问题。此外，他评论说，稳定币目前不受财产监管。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:16</b>：“资产估值有点高，”他在金融风险方面说，“企业有债务，但违约率很低。”货币市场基金是一个漏洞。他说，网络风险更难应对。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:13：</b>美联储主席表示：“通胀根深蒂固的风险增加了。我认为通胀水平不高，但确实增加了。”他说，这是一个重大风险，还有病毒本身。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:12：</b>他指出，消费者收入强劲，支出也强劲。“我们预计第四季度个人消费支出将非常强劲，”他说。</li></ul><ul><li>截至美国东部时间下午3:09，纳斯达克指数上涨1.0%，标准普尔指数上涨0.9%，道琼斯指数上涨0.5%。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:08：</b>他说，“控制疫情需要时间”才能提高劳动力参与率。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午3:03</b>鲍威尔说：“我们得到的通货膨胀根本不是我们在框架中谈论或寻找的通货膨胀。”大流行后的通胀是由供应方障碍引发的，这是美联储政策框架中考虑的“一种非常不同的通胀”。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:58：</b>转向通胀：“工资并不是我们看到的高通胀的重要组成部分，”他说。他补充说，美联储需要关注工资是否持续高于生产率增长，“我们还没有看到这一点。”他们也在密切关注租金上涨。</li></ul><ul><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:56：</b>鲍威尔在 12 月初发布 11 月份就业报告后决定美联储需要加快缩减规模。</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2:53：</b>鲍威尔表示，尽管奥密克戎对经济前景构成风险，但加速缩减规模是有必要的。在这一点上，“很难说经济影响会是什么......提前结束缩减规模是合适的，奥密克戎与此无关”。</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2:47：</b>他说，虽然失业率迅速改善，约为4.2%，但劳动力参与率令人失望。“我确实认为现在感觉恢复到更高的 LFP 可能需要更长的时间。”</li></ul><ul><li><b>下午2:44</b>：他预计美联储不会在缩减规模结束前开始加息。他表示，在增加资产购买的同时提高利率“是不合适的”。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:42：</b>“我们距离完成缩减规模基本上还有两次会议，”他指出。</li><li><b>美国东部时间下午2:40：</b>当被问及最大就业率是多少时，鲍威尔表示，这需要“广泛的指标”，例如失业率、劳动力参与率等。“诚然，这是一个判断看涨期权，因为它涉及一系列因素。我们正在朝着最大限度就业迈进。”</li><li>早些时候，由于通胀居高不下且劳动力市场保持强劲，联邦公开市场委员会将缩减规模的步伐加倍，达到每月 300 亿美元。</li><li>央行缩减资产购买的步伐加快，使其有望提前加息。现在，所有美联储官员预计 2022 年至少加息一次，其中三分之二的人预计年内至少加息三次 25 个基点。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144281028","content_text":"Economic growth and \"rapid gains\" in the employment picture are supporting the central bank's decision to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchase program, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-FOMC press conference.\nThe recent increase in COVID and the emergence of the Omicron variant \"poses risk to the outlook,\" he said.\n\"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell said.\n\n\n3:30 PM ET: \"I'm not troubled where the long bond is. We're focused on broader economic issues,\" he said.\n\n\n3:23 PM ET: The central bank committee \"hasn't made any decision at all\" on when balance sheet runoff will start. \"We did have a balance sheet issue discussion, we'll have another at the next meeting... we didn't make any decisions today.\"\n3:22 PM ET:Asset purchase decisions and raising interest rates are two separate decisions. The policymakers haven't yet discussed whether the higher interest rates will immediately follow the winding down of the taper.\n3:20 PM ET:\"We are at a point after March that we can raise interest rates as and when appropriate,\" he said.\n\n\n3:18 PM ET: He thinks cryptocurrency risks are a longer-term risk doesn't think of them as a financial stability concern. Also, he commented that stablecoins are not currently property regulated.\n\n\n3:16 PM ET: \"Asset valuations are somewhat elevated,\" he  In terms of financial risks, \"businesses have debt, but their default rates are very low.\" Money market funds are a vulnerability. Cyber risk is harder to deal with, he said.\n\n\n3:13 PM ET: \"The risk of inflation becoming entrenched has increased. I don't think it's high, but it has increased,\" the Fed chair said. That's a major risk, along with the virus itself, he said.\n\n\n3:12 PM ET:Consumer incomes are strong, and spending has been strong, he notes. \"We expect personal consumption expenditures to be very strong in the fourth quarter,\" he said.\n\n\nAs of 3:09 PM ET, the Nasdaq climbs 1.0%, the S&P rises 0.9%, and the Dowgains 0.5%.\n3:08 PM ET:\"It will take time and to get the pandemic under control\" to produce gains in the labor force participation rate, he said.\n\n\n3:03 PM ET: \"The inflation that we got was not at all the inflation we were talking about or looking for in the framework,\" Powell said. The post-pandemic inflation was triggered by supply-side barriers, \"a very different kind of inflation\" that was considered in the Fed's policy framework.\n\n\n2:58 PM ET: Turning to inflation: \"Wages are not a big part of the high inflation that we're seeing,\" he said. The Fed needs to watch for is if wages were persistently above productivity growth, he added, \"we don't see that yet.\" They're also carefully watching rent increases.\n\n\n2:56 PM ET:Powell decided the Fed needed to speed up the taper after the November employment report came out in early December.\n\n\n2:53 PM:Even with Omicron posing a risk to the economic outlook, Powell said accelerating the taper is warranted. At this point, \"it's very difficult to say what the economic effect will be... Moving forward the end of the taper is appropriate and Omicron doesn’t have much to do with it.\"\n\n\n2:47 PM:While the unemployment rate has improved quickly and stands at about 4.2%, the labor force participation rate has been disappointing, he said. \"I do think it feels likely now that the return to higher LFP is going to take longer.\"\n\n\n2:44 PM: He doesn't expect the Fed to start raising rates before the taper ends. It \"wouldn't be appropriate\" to raise rates while still increasing asset purchases, he said.\n2:42 PM ET:\"We're basically two meetings away from finishing the taper,\" he noted.\n2:40 PM ET:When asked what maximum employment looks like, Powell said it entails a \"broad range of indicators,\" such as the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and others. \"It is admittedly a judgment call because it's a range of factors. We are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"\nEarlier, the Federal Open Market Committee doubled the pace of tapering to $30B per month as inflation remained elevated and the labor market stayed strong.\nThe faster pace of winding down the central bank's asset purchases puts it on track to boost rates earlier. Now all of the Fed officials expect at least one rate hike during 2022, with two-thirds of them predicting at least three 25-basis point increases during the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607801095,"gmtCreate":1639520881622,"gmtModify":1639520881851,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607801095","repostId":"1195286060","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195286060","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639495787,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1195286060?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 23:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber jumped nearly 7% in morning trading as it cooperated with Clear Secure<blockquote>Uber 与 Clear Secure 合作，早盘交易上涨近 7%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195286060","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Uber jumped nearly 7% in morning trading as it cooperated with Clear Secure.Clear Secure (YOU) and U","content":"<p>Uber jumped nearly 7% in morning trading as it cooperated with Clear Secure.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81fdbb81086badeece485e7e1485a156\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Clear Secure (YOU) and Uber (UBER) have announced a partnership that will integrate Uber's ride platform directly into the Clear app's \"Home to Gate\" feature. With this partnership, Clear app users will be able to use the Home To Gate feature and its data-driven insights to find out exactly when to leave for their flight and reserve an Uber ride ahead of time - creating a more seamless, predictable travel experience.</p><p><blockquote>Uber 与 Clear Secure 合作，早盘交易中股价上涨近 7%。Clear Secure (YOU) 和 Uber (UBER) 宣布建立合作伙伴关系，将把 Uber 的乘车平台直接集成到 Clear 应用程序的“家门口”功能中。通过这种合作伙伴关系，Clear app用户将能够使用Home to Gate功能及其数据驱动的洞察力来准确找出何时出发搭乘航班，并提前预订优步乘车服务，从而创造更加无缝、可预测的旅行体验。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber jumped nearly 7% in morning trading as it cooperated with Clear Secure<blockquote>Uber 与 Clear Secure 合作，早盘交易上涨近 7%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber jumped nearly 7% in morning trading as it cooperated with Clear Secure<blockquote>Uber 与 Clear Secure 合作，早盘交易上涨近 7%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-14 23:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Uber jumped nearly 7% in morning trading as it cooperated with Clear Secure.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81fdbb81086badeece485e7e1485a156\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Clear Secure (YOU) and Uber (UBER) have announced a partnership that will integrate Uber's ride platform directly into the Clear app's \"Home to Gate\" feature. With this partnership, Clear app users will be able to use the Home To Gate feature and its data-driven insights to find out exactly when to leave for their flight and reserve an Uber ride ahead of time - creating a more seamless, predictable travel experience.</p><p><blockquote>Uber 与 Clear Secure 合作，早盘交易中股价上涨近 7%。Clear Secure (YOU) 和 Uber (UBER) 宣布建立合作伙伴关系，将把 Uber 的乘车平台直接集成到 Clear 应用程序的“家门口”功能中。通过这种合作伙伴关系，Clear app用户将能够使用Home to Gate功能及其数据驱动的洞察力来准确找出何时出发搭乘航班，并提前预订优步乘车服务，从而创造更加无缝、可预测的旅行体验。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195286060","content_text":"Uber jumped nearly 7% in morning trading as it cooperated with Clear Secure.Clear Secure (YOU) and Uber (UBER) have announced a partnership that will integrate Uber's ride platform directly into the Clear app's \"Home to Gate\" feature. With this partnership, Clear app users will be able to use the Home To Gate feature and its data-driven insights to find out exactly when to leave for their flight and reserve an Uber ride ahead of time - creating a more seamless, predictable travel experience.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBER":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607015886,"gmtCreate":1639457045073,"gmtModify":1639457045259,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607015886","repostId":"1120286910","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120286910","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639453388,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1120286910?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal 最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120286910","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI wa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌了-35%以上，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在 2021 年 2 月就警告投资者，PayPal被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股票在未来 3 年内仍有超过 -50% 的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，所以我分析了这只股票，以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在 2021 年 2 月 6 日，我制作了一个视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal (PYPL) 股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的寻求阿尔法博客上分享了那个视频。从那时起，PayPal无论从绝对角度还是相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）来说都表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我警告投资者以来，股价已下跌约 -30%，较今年最高价下跌约 -38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有任何问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可以讲。价格已经被疯狂高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙述。当时的数字毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这对于中长期投资者来说，应该是一个重要的教训。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难在于投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑是这样硬连线的。自从我分享了我的2月份PayPal看跌视频以来，在Seeking Alpha报道PayPal的62篇文章中，还没有一篇“看跌”的文章被写出来。主要原因是 PayPal 的说法如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不切实际。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我当前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际下购买的价格。这与我在 2021 年 2 月确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和业务回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以 10 年 CAGR 预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来估值股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益 1) 没有足够长的历史 2) 本质上不稳定，或者 3) 周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一个明确的长期增长模式，这使得该股作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自 2015 年以来，还没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股可能非常适合我要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长时间、更持久的衰退期间，PayPal 的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察易贝（eBay）在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，我将继续进行我的全周期盈利分析，即使我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的确切历史数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回报预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估算未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，10年后我们可能预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一场衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并在2021年的预测中运行。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>从2015年到现在，PayPal的平均市盈率一直是健康的34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用 2021 年的预期盈利 4.60 美元（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为 40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年内恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的价格将会下降，10年CAGR将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪均值回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报。如果恢复时间短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪回归均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且经常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散的联系。在本节中，我们将考察企业的实际收入。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道，如果我们以今天的价格收购业务并将所有收入留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是预期收益增长率。让我们从市盈率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率/市盈率）开始。目前的市盈率约为+2.46%。我喜欢这样想，如果我现在以100美元收购该公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年将从投资中获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估算公司在此期间的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率，并将该增长率应用于未来 10 年来做到这一点。这包括计算2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时间段内发生的任何股票回购（因为减少股票会增加每股收益，因为股票减少）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的比例，回购看起来比实际大得多，这里没有太多需要调整的地方。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此两者都不需要盈利增长下降来调整。这使得估计 PayPal 的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计 PayPal 的盈利增长约为 +23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这就是我的保守主义在问自己“出于估值目的，未来 10 年的合理预期是多少？”对于企业来说，在整整十年内每年增长超过20%的收益是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年中已经这样做了）。因此，我在将所有长期远期盈利增长预测用于估值时，将其上限设定为 20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高的费用的方法。因此，对于这次估值练习，我将盈利增长假设限制在 20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将把这个增长率应用于当前的收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年CAGR估计。我的想法是，如果我花100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长率，此后10年，这笔金额将以+20.00%的速度每年增长。我想知道10年后我的100美元投资总共有多少钱，我计算大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我把增长率输入复合年增长率计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务收益回报的 10 年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10 年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要来源：市场情绪回报或企业盈利回报。如果我们假设市场情绪在未来 10 年内恢复到上一个周期的平均值，那么PayPal的复合年增长率将达到 -1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的 10 年复合年增长率应该在 +5.85% 左右。如果我们把两者放在一起，我们得到的预期10年全周期CAGR为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对这类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：高于12%的CAGR是买入，低于4%的预期CAGR是卖出，4%到12%之间是持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强进入“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意根据收益购买具有安全边际的股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看待 PayPal 的估值，以便我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用我在本文中使用的相同假设和输入，从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股 126.50 美元至 164.00 美元。我目前的购买价格（包括安全边际）是 112.10 美元。低于该价格购买的投资者很有可能在中期内获得股票的丰厚回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和 2022 年，我将开始提前预测 PayPal 2022 年的收益。目前，分析师预计 2022 年每股收益为 5.25 美元。如果 PayPal 的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高 PayPal 的估值，并将其公允价值范围提高到每股 145.00 美元至 187.50 美元，安全边际买入价为每股 128.00 美元。当然，这是假设分析师保持对 2022 年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这还意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内继续在当前价格附近交易价格，它就已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上端。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一类型的分析。对于某些具有快速利润增长势头的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析，以帮助识别快速增长的企业，这些企业可能永远不会变得便宜到仅仅根据收益来收购。这种分析方法是我的私人服务周期投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于 PayPal 的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享那种“买入价格”分析产生的，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析法检查PayPal时，它产生的买入价为 144.90 美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间位置。这是假设 PayPal 的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，并且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到 2022 年 2 月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约一年后我就其高估值向投资者发出警告。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的下滑是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的 PayPal 股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他高估值科技股也会经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能会在 2022 年下跌。对于跑赢大盘这类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化投资的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票简单地停滞几年而一事无成，也有少数股票设法保持上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal所经历的那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal 最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal 最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 11:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌了-35%以上，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在 2021 年 2 月就警告投资者，PayPal被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股票在未来 3 年内仍有超过 -50% 的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，所以我分析了这只股票，以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在 2021 年 2 月 6 日，我制作了一个视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal (PYPL) 股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的寻求阿尔法博客上分享了那个视频。从那时起，PayPal无论从绝对角度还是相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）来说都表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我警告投资者以来，股价已下跌约 -30%，较今年最高价下跌约 -38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有任何问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可以讲。价格已经被疯狂高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙述。当时的数字毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这对于中长期投资者来说，应该是一个重要的教训。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难在于投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑是这样硬连线的。自从我分享了我的2月份PayPal看跌视频以来，在Seeking Alpha报道PayPal的62篇文章中，还没有一篇“看跌”的文章被写出来。主要原因是 PayPal 的说法如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不切实际。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我当前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际下购买的价格。这与我在 2021 年 2 月确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和业务回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以 10 年 CAGR 预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来估值股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益 1) 没有足够长的历史 2) 本质上不稳定，或者 3) 周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一个明确的长期增长模式，这使得该股作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自 2015 年以来，还没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股可能非常适合我要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长时间、更持久的衰退期间，PayPal 的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察易贝（eBay）在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，我将继续进行我的全周期盈利分析，即使我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的确切历史数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回报预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估算未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，10年后我们可能预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一场衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并在2021年的预测中运行。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>从2015年到现在，PayPal的平均市盈率一直是健康的34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用 2021 年的预期盈利 4.60 美元（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为 40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年内恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的价格将会下降，10年CAGR将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪均值回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报。如果恢复时间短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪回归均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且经常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散的联系。在本节中，我们将考察企业的实际收入。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道，如果我们以今天的价格收购业务并将所有收入留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是预期收益增长率。让我们从市盈率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率/市盈率）开始。目前的市盈率约为+2.46%。我喜欢这样想，如果我现在以100美元收购该公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年将从投资中获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估算公司在此期间的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率，并将该增长率应用于未来 10 年来做到这一点。这包括计算2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时间段内发生的任何股票回购（因为减少股票会增加每股收益，因为股票减少）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的比例，回购看起来比实际大得多，这里没有太多需要调整的地方。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此两者都不需要盈利增长下降来调整。这使得估计 PayPal 的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计 PayPal 的盈利增长约为 +23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这就是我的保守主义在问自己“出于估值目的，未来 10 年的合理预期是多少？”对于企业来说，在整整十年内每年增长超过20%的收益是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年中已经这样做了）。因此，我在将所有长期远期盈利增长预测用于估值时，将其上限设定为 20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高的费用的方法。因此，对于这次估值练习，我将盈利增长假设限制在 20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将把这个增长率应用于当前的收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年CAGR估计。我的想法是，如果我花100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长率，此后10年，这笔金额将以+20.00%的速度每年增长。我想知道10年后我的100美元投资总共有多少钱，我计算大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我把增长率输入复合年增长率计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务收益回报的 10 年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10 年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要来源：市场情绪回报或企业盈利回报。如果我们假设市场情绪在未来 10 年内恢复到上一个周期的平均值，那么PayPal的复合年增长率将达到 -1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的 10 年复合年增长率应该在 +5.85% 左右。如果我们把两者放在一起，我们得到的预期10年全周期CAGR为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对这类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：高于12%的CAGR是买入，低于4%的预期CAGR是卖出，4%到12%之间是持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强进入“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意根据收益购买具有安全边际的股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看待 PayPal 的估值，以便我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用我在本文中使用的相同假设和输入，从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股 126.50 美元至 164.00 美元。我目前的购买价格（包括安全边际）是 112.10 美元。低于该价格购买的投资者很有可能在中期内获得股票的丰厚回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和 2022 年，我将开始提前预测 PayPal 2022 年的收益。目前，分析师预计 2022 年每股收益为 5.25 美元。如果 PayPal 的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高 PayPal 的估值，并将其公允价值范围提高到每股 145.00 美元至 187.50 美元，安全边际买入价为每股 128.00 美元。当然，这是假设分析师保持对 2022 年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这还意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内继续在当前价格附近交易价格，它就已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上端。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一类型的分析。对于某些具有快速利润增长势头的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析，以帮助识别快速增长的企业，这些企业可能永远不会变得便宜到仅仅根据收益来收购。这种分析方法是我的私人服务周期投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于 PayPal 的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享那种“买入价格”分析产生的，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析法检查PayPal时，它产生的买入价为 144.90 美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间位置。这是假设 PayPal 的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，并且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到 2022 年 2 月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约一年后我就其高估值向投资者发出警告。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的下滑是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的 PayPal 股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他高估值科技股也会经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能会在 2022 年下跌。对于跑赢大盘这类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化投资的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票简单地停滞几年而一事无成，也有少数股票设法保持上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal所经历的那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120286910","content_text":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.\nThat warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.\nPayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.\n\nBsWei/iStock via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nBack on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500 (SPY).\nData by YCharts\nThe stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.\nThe truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.\nThis should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.\nThe difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investorslovenarratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.\nIn this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.\nFull-Cycle Earnings Analysis\nAs part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.\nBefore I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.\n\nWe can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.\nMarket Sentiment Return Expectations\nIn order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.\n\nPayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of-1.75%. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.\nBusiness Earnings Expectations\nWe previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.\nThere are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.\nThe next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).\nData by YCharts\nDue to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.\nNow, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.\nNext, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a+5.85%10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.\n10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate\nPotential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of+4.10%at today's price.\nMy Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.\nAdditional Considerations\nI consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.\nFirst, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.\nOnce we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.\nThe Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.\nWhen I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.\nConclusion\nI think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604356235,"gmtCreate":1639354083598,"gmtModify":1639354083834,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604356235","repostId":"1171271872","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171271872","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639348466,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1171271872?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 06:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、FedEx、Lenner、Campbell Soup 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171271872","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and","content":"<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要活动将是美联储利率制定委员会 2021 年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减规模的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但将包括周二的金宝汤；Lenner、埃森哲、联邦快递、Rivian Automotive 和 Adobe 周四；周五的达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的 11 月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计总体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都将大致与 10 月份的生产者通胀率持平。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他数据还包括周二公布的全国独立企业联合会（National Federation of Independent Businesses）的情绪指数、周三公布的人口普查局（Census Bureau）的 11 月份零售销售支出以及周四公布的 11 月份房屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/13星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill 和 PHX Minerals 在评级举办盈利会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Campbell Soup、Barnes Group 和 Avaya Holdings 举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布了11月份的生产者价格指数。普遍预计环比上涨 0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心 PPI 将上涨 0.4%。相比之下，10 月份分别增长了 0.6% 和 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5000名小企业主。看涨期权的预期读数为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/15星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束为期两天的会议，政策制定者将讨论加快逐步减少每月证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告</b>11月份进出口价格数据。预计出口价格将环比上涨 0.5%，而进口价格将上涨 0.5%。相比之下，10 月份的涨幅分别为 1.5% 和 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>住宅建筑商发布了12月份的NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11 月份零售支出报告。经季节性调整后，预计零售额环比增长 0.7%，而 10 月份为 1.7%。不包括汽车，支出预计增长 0.8%，而上一时期为 1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、埃森哲、联邦快递、捷普、Adobe、Rivian汽车和诺信等公司在评级举办了财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。经季节性调整后的新屋开工率预计为156.3万套，而10月份为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开始计算。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继 10 月份上涨 1.6% 之后，经济学家预计上涨 0.6%。产能利用率预计为 76.8%，与 10 月份的 76.4% 大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/17星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants 和 Quanex Building Products 在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、FedEx、Lenner、Campbell Soup 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、FedEx、Lenner、Campbell Soup 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 06:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要活动将是美联储利率制定委员会 2021 年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减规模的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但将包括周二的金宝汤；Lenner、埃森哲、联邦快递、Rivian Automotive 和 Adobe 周四；周五的达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的 11 月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计总体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都将大致与 10 月份的生产者通胀率持平。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他数据还包括周二公布的全国独立企业联合会（National Federation of Independent Businesses）的情绪指数、周三公布的人口普查局（Census Bureau）的 11 月份零售销售支出以及周四公布的 11 月份房屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/13星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill 和 PHX Minerals 在评级举办盈利会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Campbell Soup、Barnes Group 和 Avaya Holdings 举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布了11月份的生产者价格指数。普遍预计环比上涨 0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心 PPI 将上涨 0.4%。相比之下，10 月份分别增长了 0.6% 和 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5000名小企业主。看涨期权的预期读数为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/15星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束为期两天的会议，政策制定者将讨论加快逐步减少每月证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告</b>11月份进出口价格数据。预计出口价格将环比上涨 0.5%，而进口价格将上涨 0.5%。相比之下，10 月份的涨幅分别为 1.5% 和 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>住宅建筑商发布了12月份的NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11 月份零售支出报告。经季节性调整后，预计零售额环比增长 0.7%，而 10 月份为 1.7%。不包括汽车，支出预计增长 0.8%，而上一时期为 1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、埃森哲、联邦快递、捷普、Adobe、Rivian汽车和诺信等公司在评级举办了财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。经季节性调整后的新屋开工率预计为156.3万套，而10月份为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开始计算。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继 10 月份上涨 1.6% 之后，经济学家预计上涨 0.6%。产能利用率预计为 76.8%，与 10 月份的 76.4% 大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/17星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants 和 Quanex Building Products 在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PHX":"潘汉德尔油气",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ADBE":"Adobe","ACN":"埃森哲","DRI":"达登饭店","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","HEI":"海科航空","CPB":"金宝汤","FDX":"联邦快递",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","JILL":"J.Jill Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171271872","content_text":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.\nEarnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.\nEconomic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.\nOther data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.\nMonday 12/13\nJ.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.\nTuesday 12/14\nCampbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Federation of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.\nWednesday 12/15\nThe Federal Open Market Committee concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.\nThe BLS reports export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.\nThe Census Bureau reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.\nThursday 12/16\nHeico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureaureleases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.\nThe Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.\nFriday 12/17\nSteelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DRI":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"ACN":0.9,"CPB":0.9,"PHX":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"LEN":0.9,"AVYA":0.9,"JILL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SCS":0.9,"HEI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1725,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605744864,"gmtCreate":1639272478269,"gmtModify":1639272478465,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605744864","repostId":"2190674545","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605238993,"gmtCreate":1639179077640,"gmtModify":1639179077831,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605238993","repostId":"1133027099","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133027099","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639152670,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1133027099?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-11 00:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading<blockquote>Sea Ltd 股价早盘下跌超过 5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133027099","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading.","content":"<p>Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Ltd 股价在早盘交易中下跌超过 5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6295277426435ac2c7135ba73dfbdef\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading<blockquote>Sea Ltd 股价早盘下跌超过 5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; 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charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading<blockquote>Sea Ltd 股价早盘下跌超过 5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading<blockquote>Sea Ltd 股价早盘下跌超过 5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-11 00:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Ltd 股价在早盘交易中下跌超过 5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6295277426435ac2c7135ba73dfbdef\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133027099","content_text":"Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":876,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878684563,"gmtCreate":1637190407143,"gmtModify":1637190407228,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878684563","repostId":"2184510828","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":880623944,"gmtCreate":1631056510688,"gmtModify":1631890171898,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like. Thanks","listText":"Pls like. Thanks","text":"Pls like. Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880623944","repostId":"2165350503","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":842716316,"gmtCreate":1636244002868,"gmtModify":1636244003139,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842716316","repostId":"1136116425","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136116425","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636104081,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1136116425?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 17:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时于 2021 年 11 月 7 日星期日结束</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136116425","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00 a.m.\nAt that time,the regu","content":"<p>Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00&nbsp;a.m.</p><p><blockquote>亲爱的老虎们，美国夏令时于2021年11月7日周日凌晨2:00结束。</blockquote></p><p> At that time,the regular trading period of the US stock market will move toward by one hour, which will become 22:30 p.m.to 5:00 a.m（Beijing Time/SGT）. </p><p><blockquote>届时，美国股市的常规交易时段将提前一小时，即北京时间晚上22:30至凌晨5:00。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e441a1a98d5230fc31d6f1652e577bde\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Hours</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易时间</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:9:30 ~ 16:00; Beijing time /SGT :22:30 ~&nbsp;5:00 the next day</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：9:30~16:00；北京时间/SGT：22:30~次日5:00</blockquote></p><p> <b>pre-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易前</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:4:00 ~ 9:30;Beijing time/SGT :17:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;22:30</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：4:00~9:30；北京时间/SGT：17:00~22:30</blockquote></p><p> <b>post-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易后</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:16：00~20：00;Beijing time/SGT:5:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;9:00</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：16:00~20:00；北京时间/SGT：5:00~9:00</blockquote></p><p> (Note: Daylight saving time always begins on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November)</p><p><blockquote>（注：夏令时总是从三月的第二个星期日开始，到十一月的第一个星期日结束）</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时于 2021 年 11 月 7 日星期日结束</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021<blockquote>美国夏令时于 2021 年 11 月 7 日星期日结束</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-05 17:21</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00&nbsp;a.m.</p><p><blockquote>亲爱的老虎们，美国夏令时于2021年11月7日周日凌晨2:00结束。</blockquote></p><p> At that time,the regular trading period of the US stock market will move toward by one hour, which will become 22:30 p.m.to 5:00 a.m（Beijing Time/SGT）. </p><p><blockquote>届时，美国股市的常规交易时段将提前一小时，即北京时间晚上22:30至凌晨5:00。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e441a1a98d5230fc31d6f1652e577bde\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading Hours</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易时间</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:9:30 ~ 16:00; Beijing time /SGT :22:30 ~&nbsp;5:00 the next day</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：9:30~16:00；北京时间/SGT：22:30~次日5:00</blockquote></p><p> <b>pre-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易前</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:4:00 ~ 9:30;Beijing time/SGT :17:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;22:30</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：4:00~9:30；北京时间/SGT：17:00~22:30</blockquote></p><p> <b>post-trade</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易后</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S.&nbsp;Eastern Time:16：00~20：00;Beijing time/SGT:5:00&nbsp;~&nbsp;9:00</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间：16:00~20:00；北京时间/SGT：5:00~9:00</blockquote></p><p> (Note: Daylight saving time always begins on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November)</p><p><blockquote>（注：夏令时总是从三月的第二个星期日开始，到十一月的第一个星期日结束）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136116425","content_text":"Dear Tigers, U.S. Daylight Saving Time Ends on Sunday, Nov.7 2021,at 2:00 a.m.\nAt that time,the regular trading period of the US stock market will move toward by one hour, which will become 22:30 p.m.to 5:00 a.m（Beijing Time/SGT）. \n\nTrading Hours\nU.S. Eastern Time:9:30 ~ 16:00; Beijing time /SGT :22:30 ~ 5:00 the next day\npre-trade\nU.S. Eastern Time:4:00 ~ 9:30;Beijing time/SGT :17:00 ~ 22:30\npost-trade\nU.S. Eastern Time:16：00~20：00;Beijing time/SGT:5:00 ~ 9:00\n(Note: Daylight saving time always begins on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828649356,"gmtCreate":1633912527984,"gmtModify":1633912528049,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828649356","repostId":"1161884052","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161884052","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633911643,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1161884052?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-11 08:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Banks' Q3 earnings to reflect reserve releases, weak loan activity, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，银行第三季度收益将反映准备金释放和贷款活动疲软</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161884052","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Banks start reporting their Q3 results on Wednesday, and they're likely to benefit from another quar","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Banks start reporting their Q3 results on Wednesday, and they're likely to benefit from another quarter of loan loss reserve releases and increased stock buybacks as loan growth remains tepid, analysts said.</li>  <li>Traditional banking operations remained under pressure in the quarter as they lose market share to competition, loan activity has been weak, and margin pressure persists, writes Odeon Capital Markets analyst Dick Bove in a note to clients.</li>  <li><b>Consumer loan activity</b>&nbsp;is expected to show improvement, though it's still below prepandemic levels. \"Loan growth isn't this quarter's story, but inflection likely comes by year end,\" said <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Betsy Graseck in a note.</li>  <li>She expects stronger guidance for net interest income as&nbsp; 10-year Treasury 12M-forwards moved up ~40 bps from the Aug. 3 trough.</li>  <li><b>On the capital markets</b>&nbsp;side of the business, merger and acquisition activity has been \"unusually strong\", underwriting results are \"mostly positive\", and trading activity has been \"disappointing,\" Bove said.</li>  <li>CFRA analyst Kenneth Leon expects standout Q3 results from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>(NYSE:GS), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>(NYSE:JPM), and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>(NYSE:MS)on capital market and asset/wealth performance.</li>  <li>Leon notes that Q3 is usually the weakest quarter of the year for banks. Q3 net interest income for large banks are expected to be in the flat to low-single-digit gains, he adds.</li>  <li>\"We are likely to see low to moderate credit risk for credit cards, commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate, and trading/counterparty losses,\" Leon said in a note.</li>  <li><b>Analysts' picks:</b>Going into earnings season, Morgan Stanley's Graseck likes JPMorgan <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">Chase</a> (JPM) as she expects improvement in card loan growth and sees potential for the bank to boost its net interest margin by reinvesting some excess liquidity in longer dated paper.</li>  <li>She also notes <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYF\">Synchrony</a> Financial(NYSE:SYF)on the expectation that loan growth turns positive in the quarter and consumer credit quality continues to stay strong.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street(NYSE:STT)stands to gain as it's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most rate-sensitive names in Graseck's coverage.</li>  <li>Jefferies analysts increase their Q3 EPS estimates for Goldman (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) to reflect strength in investment banking, particularly M&amp;A, and \"still-healthy, but moderating trading (below 1H21). Inflows and positive markets should contribute to durable streams.\"</li>  <li>Their Goldman (GS) estimate increases 10% to $9.72 Morgan Stanley (MS) estimate by 12% to $1.71.</li>  <li>Other analysts have been&nbsp;boosting quarterly EPS estimates&nbsp;for Goldman as seen in the chart below.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22fc6fb138a135b1777cfabba50a2cab\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"547\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师表示，银行将于周三开始公布第三季度业绩，由于贷款增长仍然不温不火，它们可能会受益于另一个季度的贷款损失准备金释放和股票回购增加。</li><li>Odeon Capital Markets 分析师迪克·博夫 (Dick Bove) 在给客户的一份报告中写道，传统银行业务在本季度仍然面临压力，因为它们因竞争而失去了市场份额，贷款活动疲软，利润率压力持续存在。</li><li><b>消费贷款活动</b>预计将有所改善，尽管仍低于大流行前的水平。“贷款增长不是本季度的故事，但拐点可能会在年底到来，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师 Betsy Graseck 在一份报告中。</li><li>她预计，随着 10 年期国债 1200 万远期国债较 8 月 3 日的低谷上涨约 40 个基点，净利息收入指引将更加强劲。</li><li><b>资本市场</b>博夫表示，在业务方面，并购活动“异常强劲”，承销结果“大多是积极的”，而交易活动“令人失望”。</li><li>CFRA 分析师 Kenneth Leon 预计第三季度业绩将出色<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：GS），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JPM），以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：MS）关于资本市场和资产/财富表现。</li><li>莱昂指出，第三季度通常是银行一年中最疲软的季度。他补充说，大型银行第三季度净利息收入预计将持平至低个位数增长。</li><li>莱昂在一份报告中表示：“我们可能会看到信用卡、商业和工业贷款、商业房地产以及贸易/交易对手损失的信用风险较低至中等。”</li><li><b>分析师精选：</b>进入财报季，摩根士丹利的格拉塞克喜欢摩根大通<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">追逐</a>（摩根大通），因为她预计信用卡贷款增长将有所改善，并看到该银行有潜力通过将一些过剩流动性再投资于期限较长的票据来提高其净息差。</li><li>她还指出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYF\">同步</a>金融公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SYF）预计本季度贷款增长将转正，消费信贷质量将继续保持强劲。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">状态</a>Street（纽约证券交易所股票代码：STT）目前有望上涨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>格拉塞克报道中对利率最敏感的名字之一。</li><li>杰富瑞 (Jefferies) 分析师上调了高盛 (GS) 和摩根士丹利 (MS) 第三季度每股收益预期，以反映投资银行业（尤其是并购）的实力，以及“仍然健康但温和的交易（低于 2021 年上半年）。资金流入和积极的市场应该有助于持久的流动。”</li><li>高盛 (GS) 的预期上调 10%，至 9.72 美元；摩根士丹利 (MS) 的预期上调 12%，至 1.71 美元。</li><li>如下图所示，其他分析师一直在提高高盛的季度每股收益预期。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Looking at regional banks and specialty finance, \"Outlooks will be key, and we expect positive management comments on peaking card payment rates and a potential bottoming in line utilization,\" writes Evercore ISI analyst John Pancari.</li>  <li>He's constructive on Synchrony (SYF) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KEY\">KeyCorp</a>(NYSE:KEY). SYF is well positioned to capture market share in consumer lending as Delta concerns fade ahead of holiday season.</li>  <li>Note that SA'sQuant rating&nbsp;on SYF is Very Bullish, assigning high grades for Growth and Profitability. In the past three months, analysts have&nbsp;increased its Q3 EPS estimates&nbsp;by 22%. See chart below.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d147cf2252d994ddd8dc97650be2499\" tg-width=\"924\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Evercore ISI 分析师约翰·潘卡里 (John Pancari) 写道，展望区域银行和专业金融，“前景将是关键，我们预计管理层会对信用卡支付率达到峰值和线路利用率可能触底发表积极评论。”</li><li>他对同步性（SYF）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KEY\">钥匙公司</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：KEY）。随着达美航空的担忧在假期前消退，SYF 处于有利地位，可以在消费贷款领域占据市场份额。</li><li>请注意，SA对SYF的定量评级非常乐观，对增长和盈利能力给予了很高的评级。过去三个月，分析师将第三季度每股收益预期上调了 22%。见下图。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>KeyCorp (KEY) management has commented that loans increased from June to August and momentum was continuing in August, Pancari said. In addition, the bank has observed record backlog in M&amp;A, he added.</li>  <li><b>Earnings schedule:</b>Here's when the bigger financial firms are due to report earnings:</li>  <li>Oct. 13: JPMorgan (JPM) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>(NYSE:BLK)</li>  <li>Oct. 14: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(NYSE:BAC), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>(NYSE:C), Morgan Stanley (MS), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>(NYSE:WFC), and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USB\">U.S. Bancorp</a>(NYSE:USB).</li>  <li>Oct. 15: Goldman Sachs (GS), PNC Financial(NYSE:PNC)</li>  <li>Oct. 18: State Street (STT)</li>  <li>Oct. 19: Synchrony Financial (SYF), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BK\">Bank of New York Mellon</a>(NYSE:BK)</li>  <li>Oct. 21: Blackstone(NYSE:BX), KeyCorp (KEY)</li>  <li>Oct. 22: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(NYSE:AXP)</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Pancari 表示，KeyCorp (KEY) 管理层评论说，贷款从 6 月到 8 月有所增加，8 月份的势头仍在继续。此外，他补充说，该银行还观察到并购积压创历史新高。</li><li><b>收益时间表：</b>以下是大型金融公司报告收益的时间：</li><li>10 月 13 日：摩根大通 (JPM) 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：BLK）</li><li>10月14日：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：C）、摩根士丹利（MS）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：WFC），以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USB\">合众银行</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：USB）。</li><li>10 月 15 日：高盛 (GS)、PNC Financial（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PNC）</li><li>10 月 18 日：道富银行 (STT)</li><li>10 月 19 日：同步金融 (SYF)，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BK\">纽约梅隆银行</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：BK）</li><li>10 月 21 日：Blackstone（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BX）、KeyCorp（KEY）</li><li>10月22日：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：AXP）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBanks' Q3 earnings to reflect reserve releases, weak loan activity, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，银行第三季度收益将反映准备金释放和贷款活动疲软</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-11 08:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Banks start reporting their Q3 results on Wednesday, and they're likely to benefit from another quarter of loan loss reserve releases and increased stock buybacks as loan growth remains tepid, analysts said.</li>  <li>Traditional banking operations remained under pressure in the quarter as they lose market share to competition, loan activity has been weak, and margin pressure persists, writes Odeon Capital Markets analyst Dick Bove in a note to clients.</li>  <li><b>Consumer loan activity</b>&nbsp;is expected to show improvement, though it's still below prepandemic levels. \"Loan growth isn't this quarter's story, but inflection likely comes by year end,\" said <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analyst Betsy Graseck in a note.</li>  <li>She expects stronger guidance for net interest income as&nbsp; 10-year Treasury 12M-forwards moved up ~40 bps from the Aug. 3 trough.</li>  <li><b>On the capital markets</b>&nbsp;side of the business, merger and acquisition activity has been \"unusually strong\", underwriting results are \"mostly positive\", and trading activity has been \"disappointing,\" Bove said.</li>  <li>CFRA analyst Kenneth Leon expects standout Q3 results from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>(NYSE:GS), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>(NYSE:JPM), and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>(NYSE:MS)on capital market and asset/wealth performance.</li>  <li>Leon notes that Q3 is usually the weakest quarter of the year for banks. Q3 net interest income for large banks are expected to be in the flat to low-single-digit gains, he adds.</li>  <li>\"We are likely to see low to moderate credit risk for credit cards, commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate, and trading/counterparty losses,\" Leon said in a note.</li>  <li><b>Analysts' picks:</b>Going into earnings season, Morgan Stanley's Graseck likes JPMorgan <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">Chase</a> (JPM) as she expects improvement in card loan growth and sees potential for the bank to boost its net interest margin by reinvesting some excess liquidity in longer dated paper.</li>  <li>She also notes <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYF\">Synchrony</a> Financial(NYSE:SYF)on the expectation that loan growth turns positive in the quarter and consumer credit quality continues to stay strong.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street(NYSE:STT)stands to gain as it's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most rate-sensitive names in Graseck's coverage.</li>  <li>Jefferies analysts increase their Q3 EPS estimates for Goldman (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) to reflect strength in investment banking, particularly M&amp;A, and \"still-healthy, but moderating trading (below 1H21). Inflows and positive markets should contribute to durable streams.\"</li>  <li>Their Goldman (GS) estimate increases 10% to $9.72 Morgan Stanley (MS) estimate by 12% to $1.71.</li>  <li>Other analysts have been&nbsp;boosting quarterly EPS estimates&nbsp;for Goldman as seen in the chart below.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22fc6fb138a135b1777cfabba50a2cab\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"547\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师表示，银行将于周三开始公布第三季度业绩，由于贷款增长仍然不温不火，它们可能会受益于另一个季度的贷款损失准备金释放和股票回购增加。</li><li>Odeon Capital Markets 分析师迪克·博夫 (Dick Bove) 在给客户的一份报告中写道，传统银行业务在本季度仍然面临压力，因为它们因竞争而失去了市场份额，贷款活动疲软，利润率压力持续存在。</li><li><b>消费贷款活动</b>预计将有所改善，尽管仍低于大流行前的水平。“贷款增长不是本季度的故事，但拐点可能会在年底到来，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师 Betsy Graseck 在一份报告中。</li><li>她预计，随着 10 年期国债 1200 万远期国债较 8 月 3 日的低谷上涨约 40 个基点，净利息收入指引将更加强劲。</li><li><b>资本市场</b>博夫表示，在业务方面，并购活动“异常强劲”，承销结果“大多是积极的”，而交易活动“令人失望”。</li><li>CFRA 分析师 Kenneth Leon 预计第三季度业绩将出色<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：GS），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JPM），以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：MS）关于资本市场和资产/财富表现。</li><li>莱昂指出，第三季度通常是银行一年中最疲软的季度。他补充说，大型银行第三季度净利息收入预计将持平至低个位数增长。</li><li>莱昂在一份报告中表示：“我们可能会看到信用卡、商业和工业贷款、商业房地产以及贸易/交易对手损失的信用风险较低至中等。”</li><li><b>分析师精选：</b>进入财报季，摩根士丹利的格拉塞克喜欢摩根大通<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCF\">追逐</a>（摩根大通），因为她预计信用卡贷款增长将有所改善，并看到该银行有潜力通过将一些过剩流动性再投资于期限较长的票据来提高其净息差。</li><li>她还指出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYF\">同步</a>金融公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SYF）预计本季度贷款增长将转正，消费信贷质量将继续保持强劲。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">状态</a>Street（纽约证券交易所股票代码：STT）目前有望上涨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>格拉塞克报道中对利率最敏感的名字之一。</li><li>杰富瑞 (Jefferies) 分析师上调了高盛 (GS) 和摩根士丹利 (MS) 第三季度每股收益预期，以反映投资银行业（尤其是并购）的实力，以及“仍然健康但温和的交易（低于 2021 年上半年）。资金流入和积极的市场应该有助于持久的流动。”</li><li>高盛 (GS) 的预期上调 10%，至 9.72 美元；摩根士丹利 (MS) 的预期上调 12%，至 1.71 美元。</li><li>如下图所示，其他分析师一直在提高高盛的季度每股收益预期。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Looking at regional banks and specialty finance, \"Outlooks will be key, and we expect positive management comments on peaking card payment rates and a potential bottoming in line utilization,\" writes Evercore ISI analyst John Pancari.</li>  <li>He's constructive on Synchrony (SYF) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KEY\">KeyCorp</a>(NYSE:KEY). SYF is well positioned to capture market share in consumer lending as Delta concerns fade ahead of holiday season.</li>  <li>Note that SA'sQuant rating&nbsp;on SYF is Very Bullish, assigning high grades for Growth and Profitability. In the past three months, analysts have&nbsp;increased its Q3 EPS estimates&nbsp;by 22%. See chart below.</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d147cf2252d994ddd8dc97650be2499\" tg-width=\"924\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Evercore ISI 分析师约翰·潘卡里 (John Pancari) 写道，展望区域银行和专业金融，“前景将是关键，我们预计管理层会对信用卡支付率达到峰值和线路利用率可能触底发表积极评论。”</li><li>他对同步性（SYF）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KEY\">钥匙公司</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：KEY）。随着达美航空的担忧在假期前消退，SYF 处于有利地位，可以在消费贷款领域占据市场份额。</li><li>请注意，SA对SYF的定量评级非常乐观，对增长和盈利能力给予了很高的评级。过去三个月，分析师将第三季度每股收益预期上调了 22%。见下图。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li>KeyCorp (KEY) management has commented that loans increased from June to August and momentum was continuing in August, Pancari said. In addition, the bank has observed record backlog in M&amp;A, he added.</li>  <li><b>Earnings schedule:</b>Here's when the bigger financial firms are due to report earnings:</li>  <li>Oct. 13: JPMorgan (JPM) and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>(NYSE:BLK)</li>  <li>Oct. 14: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(NYSE:BAC), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>(NYSE:C), Morgan Stanley (MS), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>(NYSE:WFC), and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USB\">U.S. Bancorp</a>(NYSE:USB).</li>  <li>Oct. 15: Goldman Sachs (GS), PNC Financial(NYSE:PNC)</li>  <li>Oct. 18: State Street (STT)</li>  <li>Oct. 19: Synchrony Financial (SYF), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BK\">Bank of New York Mellon</a>(NYSE:BK)</li>  <li>Oct. 21: Blackstone(NYSE:BX), KeyCorp (KEY)</li>  <li>Oct. 22: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(NYSE:AXP)</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Pancari 表示，KeyCorp (KEY) 管理层评论说，贷款从 6 月到 8 月有所增加，8 月份的势头仍在继续。此外，他补充说，该银行还观察到并购积压创历史新高。</li><li><b>收益时间表：</b>以下是大型金融公司报告收益的时间：</li><li>10 月 13 日：摩根大通 (JPM) 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：BLK）</li><li>10月14日：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：C）、摩根士丹利（MS）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：WFC），以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USB\">合众银行</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：USB）。</li><li>10 月 15 日：高盛 (GS)、PNC Financial（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PNC）</li><li>10 月 18 日：道富银行 (STT)</li><li>10 月 19 日：同步金融 (SYF)，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BK\">纽约梅隆银行</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：BK）</li><li>10 月 21 日：Blackstone（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BX）、KeyCorp（KEY）</li><li>10月22日：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>（纽约证券交易所代码：AXP）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3749109-banks-q3-earnings-preview\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛","JPM":"摩根大通","BLK":"贝莱德"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3749109-banks-q3-earnings-preview","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161884052","content_text":"Banks start reporting their Q3 results on Wednesday, and they're likely to benefit from another quarter of loan loss reserve releases and increased stock buybacks as loan growth remains tepid, analysts said.\nTraditional banking operations remained under pressure in the quarter as they lose market share to competition, loan activity has been weak, and margin pressure persists, writes Odeon Capital Markets analyst Dick Bove in a note to clients.\nConsumer loan activity is expected to show improvement, though it's still below prepandemic levels. \"Loan growth isn't this quarter's story, but inflection likely comes by year end,\" said Morgan Stanley analyst Betsy Graseck in a note.\nShe expects stronger guidance for net interest income as  10-year Treasury 12M-forwards moved up ~40 bps from the Aug. 3 trough.\nOn the capital markets side of the business, merger and acquisition activity has been \"unusually strong\", underwriting results are \"mostly positive\", and trading activity has been \"disappointing,\" Bove said.\nCFRA analyst Kenneth Leon expects standout Q3 results from Goldman Sachs(NYSE:GS), JPMorgan Chase(NYSE:JPM), and Morgan Stanley(NYSE:MS)on capital market and asset/wealth performance.\nLeon notes that Q3 is usually the weakest quarter of the year for banks. Q3 net interest income for large banks are expected to be in the flat to low-single-digit gains, he adds.\n\"We are likely to see low to moderate credit risk for credit cards, commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate, and trading/counterparty losses,\" Leon said in a note.\nAnalysts' picks:Going into earnings season, Morgan Stanley's Graseck likes JPMorgan Chase (JPM) as she expects improvement in card loan growth and sees potential for the bank to boost its net interest margin by reinvesting some excess liquidity in longer dated paper.\nShe also notes Synchrony Financial(NYSE:SYF)on the expectation that loan growth turns positive in the quarter and consumer credit quality continues to stay strong.\nState Street(NYSE:STT)stands to gain as it's one of the most rate-sensitive names in Graseck's coverage.\nJefferies analysts increase their Q3 EPS estimates for Goldman (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) to reflect strength in investment banking, particularly M&A, and \"still-healthy, but moderating trading (below 1H21). Inflows and positive markets should contribute to durable streams.\"\nTheir Goldman (GS) estimate increases 10% to $9.72 Morgan Stanley (MS) estimate by 12% to $1.71.\nOther analysts have been boosting quarterly EPS estimates for Goldman as seen in the chart below.\n\n\n\nLooking at regional banks and specialty finance, \"Outlooks will be key, and we expect positive management comments on peaking card payment rates and a potential bottoming in line utilization,\" writes Evercore ISI analyst John Pancari.\nHe's constructive on Synchrony (SYF) and KeyCorp(NYSE:KEY). SYF is well positioned to capture market share in consumer lending as Delta concerns fade ahead of holiday season.\nNote that SA'sQuant rating on SYF is Very Bullish, assigning high grades for Growth and Profitability. In the past three months, analysts have increased its Q3 EPS estimates by 22%. See chart below.\n\n\n\nKeyCorp (KEY) management has commented that loans increased from June to August and momentum was continuing in August, Pancari said. In addition, the bank has observed record backlog in M&A, he added.\nEarnings schedule:Here's when the bigger financial firms are due to report earnings:\nOct. 13: JPMorgan (JPM) and BlackRock(NYSE:BLK)\nOct. 14: Bank of America(NYSE:BAC), Citigroup(NYSE:C), Morgan Stanley (MS), Wells Fargo(NYSE:WFC), and U.S. Bancorp(NYSE:USB).\nOct. 15: Goldman Sachs (GS), PNC Financial(NYSE:PNC)\nOct. 18: State Street (STT)\nOct. 19: Synchrony Financial (SYF), Bank of New York Mellon(NYSE:BK)\nOct. 21: Blackstone(NYSE:BX), KeyCorp (KEY)\nOct. 22: American Express(NYSE:AXP)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9,"BLK":0.9,"JPM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":818900544,"gmtCreate":1630368771288,"gmtModify":1704959140022,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818900544","repostId":"2163833181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831463273,"gmtCreate":1629341357492,"gmtModify":1633685537085,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831463273","repostId":"1173912409","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173912409","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629328047,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173912409?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-19 07:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减规模谈判是认真的，股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173912409","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.\nTh","content":"<p>Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储7月会议纪要公布后，股市周三遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;dropped 383 points, or 1.1%, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;fell 1.1%. The Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;declined 0.9%. All three finished near their lows of the day.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌383点，跌幅1.1%，标普500下跌1.1%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.9%。三者都接近当天的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Fed governors have been dropping hints in recent weeks that the beginning of the end of the central bank’s bond buying was nearing, and the minutes confirmed that&nbsp;taperingis at hand. “Most participants noted that …it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year,” the minutes read.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，美联储理事们一直在暗示央行即将结束债券购买，会议纪要也证实了缩减债券规模即将到来。“会议纪要写道：”大多数与会者指出.今年开始放慢资产购买步伐可能是合适的。</blockquote></p><p> The assessment comes as&nbsp;the economy has recovered quickly, and reflects that the Fed is now focused on when—and how quickly—to remove support from the economy.</p><p><blockquote>该评估是在经济迅速复苏之际做出的，反映出美联储现在正关注何时以及以多快的速度取消对经济的支持。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff was broad. About 83% of S&amp;P 500 stocks fell on the day, according to FactSet. This dynamics often reflects concern about how the market will perform without the Fed there to support it.</p><p><blockquote>抛售范围很广。FactSet 的数据显示，当天约 83% 的标普500股票下跌。这种动态通常反映出人们对如果没有美联储的支持，市场将如何表现的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s just a question of when tapering will begin. It’ “is going to be September or December,” said Dave Wagner, portfolio manager and analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors. “Everyone is focusing on Jackson Hole in my opinion,” he continued, referring to the conclave of central bankers that occurs later this month in Jackson Hole, Wyo.</p><p><blockquote>现在，只是何时开始缩减规模的问题。Aptus Capital Advisors 的投资组合经理兼分析师戴夫-瓦格纳（Dave Wagner）说：“这将是 9 月或 12 月。”“在我看来，每个人都在关注杰克逊霍尔，”他继续说道，指的是本月晚些时候将在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的央行行长秘密会议。</blockquote></p><p> Strangely, the bond market didn’t react all that much, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing at 1.27%, where it hovered for most of the day. The 2-year yield, which often moves higher when market participants see the Fed hiking short-term interest rates sooner, ended at 0.21%, lower than the 0.22% it hit in the morning.</p><p><blockquote>奇怪的是，债券市场并没有太大反应，10 年期国债收益率收于 1.27%，在当天的大部分时间里都徘徊在这一水平。当市场参与者看到美联储提前加息时，2年期国债收益率通常会走高，收于0.21%，低于上午触及的0.22%。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we’ve learned anything new,” said Tom Graff, head of fixed income at Brown Advisory. Graff added that the consensus for a short-term interest rate hikes in 2022 or 2023 hasn’t changed.</p><p><blockquote>“布朗咨询公司固定收益主管汤姆-格拉夫（Tom Graff）说：”我认为我们没有学到任何新东西。格拉夫补充说，2022 年或 2023 年短期加息的共识没有改变。</blockquote></p><p> A weak market, however, couldn’t keep some stocks down. For some, it was about earnings.Lowe’s&nbsp;(ticker: LOW) stock rose 9.6% after&nbsp;reporting a profit&nbsp;of $4.25 a share, beating estimates of $4.01 a share, on sales of $27.6 billion, above expectations for $26.9 billion.TJX&nbsp;(TJX) stock rose 6% after reporting&nbsp;a profit&nbsp;of 64 cents a share, beating estimates of 59 cents a share, on sales of $12.1 billion, above expectations for $11 billion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，疲软的市场并没有让一些股票下跌。对一些人来说，这与盈利有关。劳氏（股票代码：LOW）公布每股利润 4.25 美元，高于预期的每股 4.01 美元，销售额为 276 亿美元，高于预期的 269 亿美元。TJX (TJX) 公布每股利润 64 美分，高于预期的每股 59 美分，销售额为 121 亿美元，高于预期的 110 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Others were buoyed by analyst upgrades, with ViacomCBS (VIAC) stock rose 3.7% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, and BlackBerry (BB) stock gained 4.2% after getting upgraded to Hold from Sell at Canaccord Genuity.</p><p><blockquote>其他股票则受到分析师评级上调的提振，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司 (VIAC) 股价在富国银行 (Wells Fargo) 从持有评级上调至跑赢大盘后上涨 3.7%，黑莓 (BB) 股价在 Canaccord Genuity 从卖出评级上调至持有后上涨 4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Tilray&nbsp;(TLRY) stock rose 1.1% after the company bought senior secured convertible notes in marijuana company&nbsp;MedMen Enterprises.&nbsp;The notes would convert into an equity stake if&nbsp;cannabis is legalized in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>Tilray（TLRY）股价上涨1.1%，此前该公司购买了大麻公司MedMen Enterprises的高级担保可转换票据。如果大麻在美国合法化，这些票据将转换成股权。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减规模谈判是认真的，股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks End the Day in an Ugly Way After Fed Minutes Show Taper Talk Is Serious<blockquote>美联储会议纪要显示缩减规模谈判是认真的，股市以丑陋的方式收盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-19 07:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储7月会议纪要公布后，股市周三遭到抛售。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;dropped 383 points, or 1.1%, while the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;fell 1.1%. The Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;declined 0.9%. All three finished near their lows of the day.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌383点，跌幅1.1%，标普500下跌1.1%。纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.9%。三者都接近当天的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Fed governors have been dropping hints in recent weeks that the beginning of the end of the central bank’s bond buying was nearing, and the minutes confirmed that&nbsp;taperingis at hand. “Most participants noted that …it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year,” the minutes read.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，美联储理事们一直在暗示央行即将结束债券购买，会议纪要也证实了缩减债券规模即将到来。“会议纪要写道：”大多数与会者指出.今年开始放慢资产购买步伐可能是合适的。</blockquote></p><p> The assessment comes as&nbsp;the economy has recovered quickly, and reflects that the Fed is now focused on when—and how quickly—to remove support from the economy.</p><p><blockquote>该评估是在经济迅速复苏之际做出的，反映出美联储现在正关注何时以及以多快的速度取消对经济的支持。</blockquote></p><p> The selloff was broad. About 83% of S&amp;P 500 stocks fell on the day, according to FactSet. This dynamics often reflects concern about how the market will perform without the Fed there to support it.</p><p><blockquote>抛售范围很广。FactSet 的数据显示，当天约 83% 的标普500股票下跌。这种动态通常反映出人们对如果没有美联储的支持，市场将如何表现的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s just a question of when tapering will begin. It’ “is going to be September or December,” said Dave Wagner, portfolio manager and analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors. “Everyone is focusing on Jackson Hole in my opinion,” he continued, referring to the conclave of central bankers that occurs later this month in Jackson Hole, Wyo.</p><p><blockquote>现在，只是何时开始缩减规模的问题。Aptus Capital Advisors 的投资组合经理兼分析师戴夫-瓦格纳（Dave Wagner）说：“这将是 9 月或 12 月。”“在我看来，每个人都在关注杰克逊霍尔，”他继续说道，指的是本月晚些时候将在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的央行行长秘密会议。</blockquote></p><p> Strangely, the bond market didn’t react all that much, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing at 1.27%, where it hovered for most of the day. The 2-year yield, which often moves higher when market participants see the Fed hiking short-term interest rates sooner, ended at 0.21%, lower than the 0.22% it hit in the morning.</p><p><blockquote>奇怪的是，债券市场并没有太大反应，10 年期国债收益率收于 1.27%，在当天的大部分时间里都徘徊在这一水平。当市场参与者看到美联储提前加息时，2年期国债收益率通常会走高，收于0.21%，低于上午触及的0.22%。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think we’ve learned anything new,” said Tom Graff, head of fixed income at Brown Advisory. Graff added that the consensus for a short-term interest rate hikes in 2022 or 2023 hasn’t changed.</p><p><blockquote>“布朗咨询公司固定收益主管汤姆-格拉夫（Tom Graff）说：”我认为我们没有学到任何新东西。格拉夫补充说，2022 年或 2023 年短期加息的共识没有改变。</blockquote></p><p> A weak market, however, couldn’t keep some stocks down. For some, it was about earnings.Lowe’s&nbsp;(ticker: LOW) stock rose 9.6% after&nbsp;reporting a profit&nbsp;of $4.25 a share, beating estimates of $4.01 a share, on sales of $27.6 billion, above expectations for $26.9 billion.TJX&nbsp;(TJX) stock rose 6% after reporting&nbsp;a profit&nbsp;of 64 cents a share, beating estimates of 59 cents a share, on sales of $12.1 billion, above expectations for $11 billion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，疲软的市场并没有让一些股票下跌。对一些人来说，这与盈利有关。劳氏（股票代码：LOW）公布每股利润 4.25 美元，高于预期的每股 4.01 美元，销售额为 276 亿美元，高于预期的 269 亿美元。TJX (TJX) 公布每股利润 64 美分，高于预期的每股 59 美分，销售额为 121 亿美元，高于预期的 110 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Others were buoyed by analyst upgrades, with ViacomCBS (VIAC) stock rose 3.7% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, and BlackBerry (BB) stock gained 4.2% after getting upgraded to Hold from Sell at Canaccord Genuity.</p><p><blockquote>其他股票则受到分析师评级上调的提振，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司 (VIAC) 股价在富国银行 (Wells Fargo) 从持有评级上调至跑赢大盘后上涨 3.7%，黑莓 (BB) 股价在 Canaccord Genuity 从卖出评级上调至持有后上涨 4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Tilray&nbsp;(TLRY) stock rose 1.1% after the company bought senior secured convertible notes in marijuana company&nbsp;MedMen Enterprises.&nbsp;The notes would convert into an equity stake if&nbsp;cannabis is legalized in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>Tilray（TLRY）股价上涨1.1%，此前该公司购买了大麻公司MedMen Enterprises的高级担保可转换票据。如果大麻在美国合法化，这些票据将转换成股权。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-today-51629283162?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BB":"黑莓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","TJX":"The TJX Companies Inc.","LOW":"劳氏"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-today-51629283162?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173912409","content_text":"Stocks sold off Wednesday after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 383 points, or 1.1%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.1%. The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.9%. All three finished near their lows of the day.\nFed governors have been dropping hints in recent weeks that the beginning of the end of the central bank’s bond buying was nearing, and the minutes confirmed that taperingis at hand. “Most participants noted that …it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year,” the minutes read.\nThe assessment comes as the economy has recovered quickly, and reflects that the Fed is now focused on when—and how quickly—to remove support from the economy.\nThe selloff was broad. About 83% of S&P 500 stocks fell on the day, according to FactSet. This dynamics often reflects concern about how the market will perform without the Fed there to support it.\nNow, it’s just a question of when tapering will begin. It’ “is going to be September or December,” said Dave Wagner, portfolio manager and analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors. “Everyone is focusing on Jackson Hole in my opinion,” he continued, referring to the conclave of central bankers that occurs later this month in Jackson Hole, Wyo.\nStrangely, the bond market didn’t react all that much, with the 10-year Treasury yield closing at 1.27%, where it hovered for most of the day. The 2-year yield, which often moves higher when market participants see the Fed hiking short-term interest rates sooner, ended at 0.21%, lower than the 0.22% it hit in the morning.\n“I don’t think we’ve learned anything new,” said Tom Graff, head of fixed income at Brown Advisory. Graff added that the consensus for a short-term interest rate hikes in 2022 or 2023 hasn’t changed.\nA weak market, however, couldn’t keep some stocks down. For some, it was about earnings.Lowe’s (ticker: LOW) stock rose 9.6% after reporting a profit of $4.25 a share, beating estimates of $4.01 a share, on sales of $27.6 billion, above expectations for $26.9 billion.TJX (TJX) stock rose 6% after reporting a profit of 64 cents a share, beating estimates of 59 cents a share, on sales of $12.1 billion, above expectations for $11 billion.\nOthers were buoyed by analyst upgrades, with ViacomCBS (VIAC) stock rose 3.7% after getting upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, and BlackBerry (BB) stock gained 4.2% after getting upgraded to Hold from Sell at Canaccord Genuity.\nTilray (TLRY) stock rose 1.1% after the company bought senior secured convertible notes in marijuana company MedMen Enterprises. The notes would convert into an equity stake if cannabis is legalized in the U.S.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TJX":0.9,"LOW":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"TLRY":0.9,"BB":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"VIAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":856528748,"gmtCreate":1635203931585,"gmtModify":1635203931858,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856528748","repostId":"1182426097","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":813640482,"gmtCreate":1630200921146,"gmtModify":1704956910408,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like thanks","listText":"Pls like thanks","text":"Pls like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813640482","repostId":"2162733980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":359,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":871313101,"gmtCreate":1637025701411,"gmtModify":1637025701494,"author":{"id":"3571789016065612","authorId":"3571789016065612","name":"lg8","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571789016065612","idStr":"3571789016065612"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like&nbsp;","listText":"Pls like&nbsp;","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871313101","repostId":"2183282074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}