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jkjk152
2021-10-06
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jkjk152
2021-08-28
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jkjk152
2021-10-11
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jkjk152
2021-10-08
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jkjk152
2021-10-06
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jkjk152
2021-12-20
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jkjk152
2021-09-16
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jkjk152
2021-09-02
Yay
@Buy_Sell:🔥【9月1日】续涨!回光返照还是触底反弹?今天买什么?
jkjk152
2021-08-01
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jkjk152
2021-10-28
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2021-10-28
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jkjk152
2021-07-23
[梭哈]
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jkjk152
2021-10-05
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@交易汇_股指大赢家:散户有机会打败机构吗?
jkjk152
2021-07-23
[梭哈]
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jkjk152
2021-06-19
[愤怒]
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jkjk152
2021-04-08
Wow!
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多年以前,我曾想过一个问题,散户有机会打败机构吗?或许现在来看,你可以举出近期轰动金融圈的Gamestop事件,可在当年那个时代,没人认为有机会,可又发现其实高手在民间,就算数量不多,还是能人辈出的。 深入观察那些在操作的路上有所成就的人之后,发现了一个有趣的现象。正所谓戏法人人会变,各有巧妙不同,每个在操作上有卓越绩效的人,多半有自己过人的能力,可能是基本面、也或许是技术面。也许对企业财报、宏观数据了如指掌,又或者是对产业变化、政策走向有敏锐的嗅觉。大家都有其独到的长处,所以才能胜出。掌握的资源不同,胜出的模式就不一样,但中间都会有一个共通点,那就是打破信息不对称。 股市有句谚语:「股价总是涨在题材、盘在营收、跌在盈馀」,也有另一个说法是「买谣言、卖事实」,讲的都是同一件事:操作领先的重要性。对一个自然投资人来说(也就是散户),资金少、专业缺、信息落后,前两项不容易克服,天生处于不利,但若能改变第三项,就有一举扭转劣势的机会、反败为胜。换句话说,不管你做哪个市场、哪种策略,如何打破信息不对称的劣势,是散户进入赢者圈最关键的条件,「知所先后,则近道矣」,古人早有明训。而技术分析,就是最好的利器。 从简单的逻辑来看,技术分析之所以具有判断多空的参考价值,就是在于市场信息优越者虽不会透露其所知,但他们却会在交易上留下轨迹。通过有效解读市场的交易信息,就能「侧写」出信息优越者的多空意图,进一步掌握多空变化。当年,我就是因为这个「侧写」说法,将本科所学的财务理论搁置,一头栽入技术分析的领域。时至今日,倍感收获良多。 学理上,根据诺贝尔奖得主Fama的有效市场假说,就算是弱式有效市场,任何交易信息都无法获取超额利润,更不用说是半强式有效市场及强式有效市场。因此,技术分析不具有操作参考意义。可实务上,我们却可见到有效的技术分析可以在操作上取得很好","listText":"临近周末,咱们来聊聊有关操作的两三事。 多年以前,我曾想过一个问题,散户有机会打败机构吗?或许现在来看,你可以举出近期轰动金融圈的Gamestop事件,可在当年那个时代,没人认为有机会,可又发现其实高手在民间,就算数量不多,还是能人辈出的。 深入观察那些在操作的路上有所成就的人之后,发现了一个有趣的现象。正所谓戏法人人会变,各有巧妙不同,每个在操作上有卓越绩效的人,多半有自己过人的能力,可能是基本面、也或许是技术面。也许对企业财报、宏观数据了如指掌,又或者是对产业变化、政策走向有敏锐的嗅觉。大家都有其独到的长处,所以才能胜出。掌握的资源不同,胜出的模式就不一样,但中间都会有一个共通点,那就是打破信息不对称。 股市有句谚语:「股价总是涨在题材、盘在营收、跌在盈馀」,也有另一个说法是「买谣言、卖事实」,讲的都是同一件事:操作领先的重要性。对一个自然投资人来说(也就是散户),资金少、专业缺、信息落后,前两项不容易克服,天生处于不利,但若能改变第三项,就有一举扭转劣势的机会、反败为胜。换句话说,不管你做哪个市场、哪种策略,如何打破信息不对称的劣势,是散户进入赢者圈最关键的条件,「知所先后,则近道矣」,古人早有明训。而技术分析,就是最好的利器。 从简单的逻辑来看,技术分析之所以具有判断多空的参考价值,就是在于市场信息优越者虽不会透露其所知,但他们却会在交易上留下轨迹。通过有效解读市场的交易信息,就能「侧写」出信息优越者的多空意图,进一步掌握多空变化。当年,我就是因为这个「侧写」说法,将本科所学的财务理论搁置,一头栽入技术分析的领域。时至今日,倍感收获良多。 学理上,根据诺贝尔奖得主Fama的有效市场假说,就算是弱式有效市场,任何交易信息都无法获取超额利润,更不用说是半强式有效市场及强式有效市场。因此,技术分析不具有操作参考意义。可实务上,我们却可见到有效的技术分析可以在操作上取得很好","text":"临近周末,咱们来聊聊有关操作的两三事。 多年以前,我曾想过一个问题,散户有机会打败机构吗?或许现在来看,你可以举出近期轰动金融圈的Gamestop事件,可在当年那个时代,没人认为有机会,可又发现其实高手在民间,就算数量不多,还是能人辈出的。 深入观察那些在操作的路上有所成就的人之后,发现了一个有趣的现象。正所谓戏法人人会变,各有巧妙不同,每个在操作上有卓越绩效的人,多半有自己过人的能力,可能是基本面、也或许是技术面。也许对企业财报、宏观数据了如指掌,又或者是对产业变化、政策走向有敏锐的嗅觉。大家都有其独到的长处,所以才能胜出。掌握的资源不同,胜出的模式就不一样,但中间都会有一个共通点,那就是打破信息不对称。 股市有句谚语:「股价总是涨在题材、盘在营收、跌在盈馀」,也有另一个说法是「买谣言、卖事实」,讲的都是同一件事:操作领先的重要性。对一个自然投资人来说(也就是散户),资金少、专业缺、信息落后,前两项不容易克服,天生处于不利,但若能改变第三项,就有一举扭转劣势的机会、反败为胜。换句话说,不管你做哪个市场、哪种策略,如何打破信息不对称的劣势,是散户进入赢者圈最关键的条件,「知所先后,则近道矣」,古人早有明训。而技术分析,就是最好的利器。 从简单的逻辑来看,技术分析之所以具有判断多空的参考价值,就是在于市场信息优越者虽不会透露其所知,但他们却会在交易上留下轨迹。通过有效解读市场的交易信息,就能「侧写」出信息优越者的多空意图,进一步掌握多空变化。当年,我就是因为这个「侧写」说法,将本科所学的财务理论搁置,一头栽入技术分析的领域。时至今日,倍感收获良多。 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