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2021-05-20

Fingers crossed

3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote>

2021-03-29

Should I buy this?

Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote>

2021-08-21

Mmm really?

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2021-04-26

Hahahaha great

Bitcoin: Boom, Bust and Big Opportunity?<blockquote>比特币：繁荣、萧条和大机遇？</blockquote>

2021-05-15

Mmmm doubt it

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2021-05-27

That's great

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2021-05-27

Perfect!

Jobless claims: Initial filings fell for fourth straight week to set new pandemic-era low<blockquote>初请失业金人数：首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下大流行时代新低</blockquote>

2021-05-18

Should we buy this??

JD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流启动香港IPO募资至多34亿美元</blockquote>

2021-04-21

Finally

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2021-04-01

Nice

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true&nbsp;","listText":"True true&nbsp;","text":"True true","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837403802","repostId":"1195506103","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195506103","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629901738,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195506103?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-25 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Shareholder Unfriendly Company With Limited Upside<blockquote>Palantir：股东不友好的公司，上涨空间有限</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195506103","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir continues to widen its net loss despite improving its top-line performance.\nThe ex","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir continues to widen its net loss despite improving its top-line performance.</li>  <li>The excessive stock-based compensation program continues to eat all the profits and overshadows any growth of revenues or FCF.</li>  <li>We stick to our opinion that Palantir is not going to be able to create a lot of shareholder value anytime soon.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5c6d796592faec81d9a29502efa9c0\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管营收业绩有所改善，Palantir的净亏损仍在继续扩大。</li><li>过度的股票薪酬计划继续吞噬所有利润，并掩盖了收入或自由现金流的任何增长。</li><li>我们坚持认为Palantir无法在短期内创造大量股东价值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent Q2 earnings report showed that Palantir (PLTR) continues to struggle to improve its bottom-line performance, as the company spends too much on its excessive stock-based compensation program, which eats all the profits and overshadows any growth of revenues or FCF. In addition, the massive dilution since the beginning of the year and the constant selling pressure from the company's insiders are preventing Palantir's shares from appreciating as well. Also, the fact that Palantir has underperformed against the S&amp;P 500 index in recent months and its stock hasn't moved much since March proves our point that the company is not an attractive investment at this stage, as there's every reason to believe that not a lot of shareholder value will be created anytime soon. For that reason, we continue to believe that it's better to invest in other, more attractive opportunities on the market and avoid Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>最近的第二季度收益报告显示，Palantir(PLTR)继续难以提高其底线业绩，因为该公司在过度的股票薪酬计划上花费过多，该计划吞噬了所有利润并掩盖了收入或自由现金流的任何增长。此外，今年以来的大规模稀释以及公司内部人士持续的抛售压力也阻碍了Palantir股价的升值。此外，Palantir近几个月表现不佳，且其股价自3月份以来没有太大变动，这一事实证明了我们的观点，即该公司现阶段不是一项有吸引力的投资，因为有充分的理由相信，很快就会创造出很多股东价值。因此，我们仍然认为最好投资于市场上其他更具吸引力的机会，并避免Palantir。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There's Nothing Attractive About This Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这只股票没有什么吸引力</b></blockquote></p><p> A lot has been said about Palantir's business and its advantages against other competitors in recent articles on the company, so we won't be discussing it in this article. However, while Palantir certainly has some major advantages since its software solutions are hard to replicate, we also believe that at this stage it doesn't matter how strong its business is, as certain factors are likely going to continue to prevent the company's stock from appreciating anytime soon. Let's not ignore the fact that Palantir's stock has depreciated by over 45% from its all-time high, it also hasn't moved much since we started&nbsp;covering&nbsp;the company on Seeking Alpha in March, and we continue to believe that not a lot of shareholder value will be created anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>最近有关Palantir的文章中已经对该公司的业务及其相对于其他竞争对手的优势进行了很多讨论，因此我们不会在本文中讨论它。然而，虽然Palantir肯定具有一些重大优势，因为其软件解决方案很难复制，但我们也认为，在现阶段，其业务有多强大并不重要，因为某些因素可能会继续阻止该公司的股票很快就会升值。我们不要忽视这样一个事实：Palantir的股票已从历史高点下跌了45%以上，自从我们3月份开始在Seeking Alpha上报道该公司以来，它也没有太大变化，我们仍然相信不会有太大变化。很快就会创造股东价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448991dec6028a9ec320f12e9d0f14f1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表：寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The latest earnings&nbsp;report&nbsp;for Q2, which was released earlier this month, showed that Palantir is still unable to improve its bottom-line performance despite growing its business. While its revenue has&nbsp;increased&nbsp;by 10.1% Q/Q to $375.64 million and its gross profit has increased by 6.6% Q/Q to $284.7 million, its operating loss has increased at a greater rate of 28.2% Q/Q to -$146.1 million, while its net loss has widened by 12.2% Q/Q to -$138.6 million. The reason for such a weak performance is the excessive stock-based compensation program, which will prevent the company from reporting a profit, as already over $400 million were spent on the SBC program in the first six months of the current fiscal year. In Q2 alone, Palantir increased its stock-based compensation expenses by 82% Y/Y to $232.7 million, and further expenses in Q3 and Q4 will overshadow any growth of revenues or FCF this year.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候发布的最新Q2财报显示，尽管业务不断增长，Palantir仍无法改善其底线业绩。虽然其收入环比增长10.1%至3.7564亿美元，毛利润环比增长6.6%至2.847亿美元，但其运营亏损环比增长28.2%至-1.461亿美元，净亏损环比扩大12.2%至-1.386亿美元。业绩如此疲软的原因是过度的股票薪酬计划，这将阻止该公司报告利润，因为本财年前六个月已在SBC计划上花费了超过4亿美元。仅在第二季度，Palantir的股票薪酬支出就同比增加了82%，达到2.327亿美元，第三季度和第四季度的进一步支出将掩盖今年收入或自由现金流的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7dd0114d8a61c1246ef79b64fbc68f2\" tg-width=\"748\" tg-height=\"129\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another problem with the excessive SBC program is that it constantly dilutes Palantir's shareholders. The company already has 1.89 billion shares outstanding, up&nbsp;from1.8 billion shares a month ago and up from 1.52 billion shares at the end of 2020. At the current dilution rate, investors should expect the company to have over 2 billion shares by the end of this year. This will not only diminish the stock value of current holders but will also make it harder for shares to appreciate higher due to the greater count. If in 2019 and 2020 Palantir's revenue per share stood at $1.29 per share and $1.12 per share, respectively, in the last trailing twelve months revenue per share has already declined to only $0.83 per share and is likely going to depreciate further in the following quarters. On top of that, considering that Palantir still has 417,674 options outstanding at the end of Q2 at the average exercise price of $6.90 per share, the risk of further dilution will remain high, especially since once all of those options are exercised, they will dilute all the investors by over 20%.</p><p><blockquote>过度SBC计划的另一个问题是它不断稀释Palantir的股东。该公司已发行股票18.9亿股，高于一个月前的18亿股和2020年底的15.2亿股。按照目前的稀释率，投资者预计到今年年底该公司将拥有超过20亿股股票。这不仅会降低当前持有者的股票价值，还会使股票因数量增加而更难升值。如果2019年和2020年Palantir的每股收入分别为每股1.29美元和每股1.12美元，那么在过去12个月中，每股收入已经下降至每股0.83美元，并且在接下来的几个季度中可能会进一步贬值。最重要的是，考虑到Palantir在第二季度末仍有417,674份未行使期权，平均行使价为每股6.90美元，进一步稀释的风险仍将很高，特别是因为一旦所有这些期权都被行使，它们将稀释所有投资者超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d64c44e10997f737309cf33d72b9c15\" tg-width=\"760\" tg-height=\"166\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On top of all of this, the company's insiders and its CEO Alex Karp in particular continue to add additional selling pressure, which prevents shares from rising higher as well. In Q2 alone the company's insiders&nbsp;sold&nbsp;a record $197 million worth of Palantir's shares, while in the first half of Q3 they already sold $93 million worth of the company's shares, nearly the same amount that they sold in Q1. As more shares are being dumped into the market, it becomes harder and harder for the stock to rise. Considering that it's unlikely that insiders stop selling their shares, as they still own over 10% of outstanding shares and are increasing their total number of shares by exercising options every quarter, average shareholders shouldn't expect a rapid appreciation of Palantir's stock in the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，该公司的内部人士，尤其是首席执行官亚历克斯·卡普继续增加额外的抛售压力，这也阻止了股价上涨。仅在第二季度，该公司内部人士就出售了价值创纪录的1.97亿美元的Palantir股票，而在第三季度上半年，他们已经出售了价值9300万美元的公司股票，几乎与第一季度出售的金额相同。随着越来越多的股票被抛售到市场上，股票上涨变得越来越难。考虑到内部人士不太可能停止出售其股票，因为他们仍然拥有超过10%的流通股，并且每个季度都通过行使期权来增加其股票总数，普通股东不应期望Palantir的股票在可预见的未来会迅速升值。</blockquote></p><p> Another downside of Palantir is that, even at the current price, it's not a cheap stock at all; with a market cap of $47 billion, it trades at 30 times its sales. As a result, an even greater top-line growth rate is required for the company to reach its current valuation, and that's unlikely to happen anytime soon. Currently, the street&nbsp;expects&nbsp;Palantir to generate only $1.5 billion in revenues in FY21, and by 2025 it's unlikely that the company will be able to generate annual revenue of over $3.5 billion. Considering that at this stage, Palantir has a backlog of contracts worth only $3.4 billion, which are extended over the next few years, it's safe to say that its stock is significantly overvalued at the current levels. We don't see how the company will grow into its current market value in the next few years, and since its shares currently trade close to the&nbsp;consensus&nbsp;price of $24.16 per share, it's safe to assume that Palantir has limited upside at the current levels.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的另一个缺点是，即使以目前的价格计算，它也根本不是一只便宜的股票；它的市值为470亿美元，交易价格是其销售额的30倍。因此，该公司需要更高的营收增长率才能达到目前的估值，而这不太可能很快发生。目前，华尔街预计Palantir在2021财年的收入仅为15亿美元，到2025年，该公司的年收入不太可能超过35亿美元。考虑到现阶段Palantir积压的合同价值仅为34亿美元，这些合同将在未来几年内延长，可以肯定地说，其股票在当前水平上被严重高估。我们不知道该公司在未来几年内将如何增长到目前的市值，而且由于其股价目前接近每股24.16美元的共识价格，因此可以有把握地假设Palantir在当前水平上的上涨空间有限。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> Bullish investors in the comment section of our articles on Palantir often keep repeating that Amazon (AMZN) was also unprofitable for more than two decades, so the fact that Palantir is being unprofitable as well is not that big a deal at this stage. However, Amazon was reinvesting most of the available resources back into its business to aggressively drive growth, which in the end was justifiable, as the company is now making money every quarter and is the biggest eCommerce company in the world. The same is not the case for Palantir, where insiders are constantly issuing new shares and then dumping them into the market, which constantly dilutes the existing shareholders, widens the overall net loss, and doesn't benefit the business. On top of that, Palantir is now investing in cryptocurrencies, SPACs, and gold bars, instead of its own business, which is something that Amazon wasn't doing and is not doing today. That's why comparing Palantir to Amazon doesn't make any sense.</p><p><blockquote>看涨投资者在我们关于Palantir的文章的评论部分经常重复说，亚马逊(AMZN)也在二十多年里没有盈利，因此Palantir也没有盈利的事实在现阶段并不是什么大不了的事情。然而，亚马逊将大部分可用资源重新投资到其业务中，以积极推动增长，这最终是合理的，因为该公司现在每个季度都在赚钱，并且是世界上最大的电子商务公司。Palantir的情况并非如此，内部人士不断发行新股，然后将其倾销到市场上，这不断稀释现有股东，扩大整体净亏损，对业务没有好处。最重要的是，Palantir现在正在投资加密货币、SPAC和金条，而不是自己的业务，这是亚马逊过去没有做的事情，今天也不会做的事情。这就是为什么将Palantir与亚马逊进行比较没有任何意义。</blockquote></p><p> Considering this, we believe that it's unlikely that Palantir's stock will be able to appreciate significantly higher anytime soon, as the increased selling pressure, constant dilution, and overvaluation are the main reasons why its upside will remain limited at the current price. Therefore, no position.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，我们认为Palantir的股票不太可能很快大幅升值，因为抛售压力增加、不断稀释和估值过高是其在当前价格下上涨空间仍然有限的主要原因。因此，没有立场。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Shareholder Unfriendly Company With Limited Upside<blockquote>Palantir：股东不友好的公司，上涨空间有限</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Shareholder Unfriendly Company With Limited Upside<blockquote>Palantir：股东不友好的公司，上涨空间有限</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-25 22:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir continues to widen its net loss despite improving its top-line performance.</li>  <li>The excessive stock-based compensation program continues to eat all the profits and overshadows any growth of revenues or FCF.</li>  <li>We stick to our opinion that Palantir is not going to be able to create a lot of shareholder value anytime soon.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5c6d796592faec81d9a29502efa9c0\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管营收业绩有所改善，Palantir的净亏损仍在继续扩大。</li><li>过度的股票薪酬计划继续吞噬所有利润，并掩盖了收入或自由现金流的任何增长。</li><li>我们坚持认为Palantir无法在短期内创造大量股东价值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent Q2 earnings report showed that Palantir (PLTR) continues to struggle to improve its bottom-line performance, as the company spends too much on its excessive stock-based compensation program, which eats all the profits and overshadows any growth of revenues or FCF. In addition, the massive dilution since the beginning of the year and the constant selling pressure from the company's insiders are preventing Palantir's shares from appreciating as well. Also, the fact that Palantir has underperformed against the S&amp;P 500 index in recent months and its stock hasn't moved much since March proves our point that the company is not an attractive investment at this stage, as there's every reason to believe that not a lot of shareholder value will be created anytime soon. For that reason, we continue to believe that it's better to invest in other, more attractive opportunities on the market and avoid Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>最近的第二季度收益报告显示，Palantir(PLTR)继续难以提高其底线业绩，因为该公司在过度的股票薪酬计划上花费过多，该计划吞噬了所有利润并掩盖了收入或自由现金流的任何增长。此外，今年以来的大规模稀释以及公司内部人士持续的抛售压力也阻碍了Palantir股价的升值。此外，Palantir近几个月表现不佳，且其股价自3月份以来没有太大变动，这一事实证明了我们的观点，即该公司现阶段不是一项有吸引力的投资，因为有充分的理由相信，很快就会创造出很多股东价值。因此，我们仍然认为最好投资于市场上其他更具吸引力的机会，并避免Palantir。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There's Nothing Attractive About This Stock</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这只股票没有什么吸引力</b></blockquote></p><p> A lot has been said about Palantir's business and its advantages against other competitors in recent articles on the company, so we won't be discussing it in this article. However, while Palantir certainly has some major advantages since its software solutions are hard to replicate, we also believe that at this stage it doesn't matter how strong its business is, as certain factors are likely going to continue to prevent the company's stock from appreciating anytime soon. Let's not ignore the fact that Palantir's stock has depreciated by over 45% from its all-time high, it also hasn't moved much since we started&nbsp;covering&nbsp;the company on Seeking Alpha in March, and we continue to believe that not a lot of shareholder value will be created anytime soon.</p><p><blockquote>最近有关Palantir的文章中已经对该公司的业务及其相对于其他竞争对手的优势进行了很多讨论，因此我们不会在本文中讨论它。然而，虽然Palantir肯定具有一些重大优势，因为其软件解决方案很难复制，但我们也认为，在现阶段，其业务有多强大并不重要，因为某些因素可能会继续阻止该公司的股票很快就会升值。我们不要忽视这样一个事实：Palantir的股票已从历史高点下跌了45%以上，自从我们3月份开始在Seeking Alpha上报道该公司以来，它也没有太大变化，我们仍然相信不会有太大变化。很快就会创造股东价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448991dec6028a9ec320f12e9d0f14f1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"443\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Chart: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表：寻求阿尔法</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The latest earnings&nbsp;report&nbsp;for Q2, which was released earlier this month, showed that Palantir is still unable to improve its bottom-line performance despite growing its business. While its revenue has&nbsp;increased&nbsp;by 10.1% Q/Q to $375.64 million and its gross profit has increased by 6.6% Q/Q to $284.7 million, its operating loss has increased at a greater rate of 28.2% Q/Q to -$146.1 million, while its net loss has widened by 12.2% Q/Q to -$138.6 million. The reason for such a weak performance is the excessive stock-based compensation program, which will prevent the company from reporting a profit, as already over $400 million were spent on the SBC program in the first six months of the current fiscal year. In Q2 alone, Palantir increased its stock-based compensation expenses by 82% Y/Y to $232.7 million, and further expenses in Q3 and Q4 will overshadow any growth of revenues or FCF this year.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候发布的最新Q2财报显示，尽管业务不断增长，Palantir仍无法改善其底线业绩。虽然其收入环比增长10.1%至3.7564亿美元，毛利润环比增长6.6%至2.847亿美元，但其运营亏损环比增长28.2%至-1.461亿美元，净亏损环比扩大12.2%至-1.386亿美元。业绩如此疲软的原因是过度的股票薪酬计划，这将阻止该公司报告利润，因为本财年前六个月已在SBC计划上花费了超过4亿美元。仅在第二季度，Palantir的股票薪酬支出就同比增加了82%，达到2.327亿美元，第三季度和第四季度的进一步支出将掩盖今年收入或自由现金流的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7dd0114d8a61c1246ef79b64fbc68f2\" tg-width=\"748\" tg-height=\"129\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Another problem with the excessive SBC program is that it constantly dilutes Palantir's shareholders. The company already has 1.89 billion shares outstanding, up&nbsp;from1.8 billion shares a month ago and up from 1.52 billion shares at the end of 2020. At the current dilution rate, investors should expect the company to have over 2 billion shares by the end of this year. This will not only diminish the stock value of current holders but will also make it harder for shares to appreciate higher due to the greater count. If in 2019 and 2020 Palantir's revenue per share stood at $1.29 per share and $1.12 per share, respectively, in the last trailing twelve months revenue per share has already declined to only $0.83 per share and is likely going to depreciate further in the following quarters. On top of that, considering that Palantir still has 417,674 options outstanding at the end of Q2 at the average exercise price of $6.90 per share, the risk of further dilution will remain high, especially since once all of those options are exercised, they will dilute all the investors by over 20%.</p><p><blockquote>过度SBC计划的另一个问题是它不断稀释Palantir的股东。该公司已发行股票18.9亿股，高于一个月前的18亿股和2020年底的15.2亿股。按照目前的稀释率，投资者预计到今年年底该公司将拥有超过20亿股股票。这不仅会降低当前持有者的股票价值，还会使股票因数量增加而更难升值。如果2019年和2020年Palantir的每股收入分别为每股1.29美元和每股1.12美元，那么在过去12个月中，每股收入已经下降至每股0.83美元，并且在接下来的几个季度中可能会进一步贬值。最重要的是，考虑到Palantir在第二季度末仍有417,674份未行使期权，平均行使价为每股6.90美元，进一步稀释的风险仍将很高，特别是因为一旦所有这些期权都被行使，它们将稀释所有投资者超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d64c44e10997f737309cf33d72b9c15\" tg-width=\"760\" tg-height=\"166\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On top of all of this, the company's insiders and its CEO Alex Karp in particular continue to add additional selling pressure, which prevents shares from rising higher as well. In Q2 alone the company's insiders&nbsp;sold&nbsp;a record $197 million worth of Palantir's shares, while in the first half of Q3 they already sold $93 million worth of the company's shares, nearly the same amount that they sold in Q1. As more shares are being dumped into the market, it becomes harder and harder for the stock to rise. Considering that it's unlikely that insiders stop selling their shares, as they still own over 10% of outstanding shares and are increasing their total number of shares by exercising options every quarter, average shareholders shouldn't expect a rapid appreciation of Palantir's stock in the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，该公司的内部人士，尤其是首席执行官亚历克斯·卡普继续增加额外的抛售压力，这也阻止了股价上涨。仅在第二季度，该公司内部人士就出售了价值创纪录的1.97亿美元的Palantir股票，而在第三季度上半年，他们已经出售了价值9300万美元的公司股票，几乎与第一季度出售的金额相同。随着越来越多的股票被抛售到市场上，股票上涨变得越来越难。考虑到内部人士不太可能停止出售其股票，因为他们仍然拥有超过10%的流通股，并且每个季度都通过行使期权来增加其股票总数，普通股东不应期望Palantir的股票在可预见的未来会迅速升值。</blockquote></p><p> Another downside of Palantir is that, even at the current price, it's not a cheap stock at all; with a market cap of $47 billion, it trades at 30 times its sales. As a result, an even greater top-line growth rate is required for the company to reach its current valuation, and that's unlikely to happen anytime soon. Currently, the street&nbsp;expects&nbsp;Palantir to generate only $1.5 billion in revenues in FY21, and by 2025 it's unlikely that the company will be able to generate annual revenue of over $3.5 billion. Considering that at this stage, Palantir has a backlog of contracts worth only $3.4 billion, which are extended over the next few years, it's safe to say that its stock is significantly overvalued at the current levels. We don't see how the company will grow into its current market value in the next few years, and since its shares currently trade close to the&nbsp;consensus&nbsp;price of $24.16 per share, it's safe to assume that Palantir has limited upside at the current levels.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的另一个缺点是，即使以目前的价格计算，它也根本不是一只便宜的股票；它的市值为470亿美元，交易价格是其销售额的30倍。因此，该公司需要更高的营收增长率才能达到目前的估值，而这不太可能很快发生。目前，华尔街预计Palantir在2021财年的收入仅为15亿美元，到2025年，该公司的年收入不太可能超过35亿美元。考虑到现阶段Palantir积压的合同价值仅为34亿美元，这些合同将在未来几年内延长，可以肯定地说，其股票在当前水平上被严重高估。我们不知道该公司在未来几年内将如何增长到目前的市值，而且由于其股价目前接近每股24.16美元的共识价格，因此可以有把握地假设Palantir在当前水平上的上涨空间有限。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Takeaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外卖</b></blockquote></p><p> Bullish investors in the comment section of our articles on Palantir often keep repeating that Amazon (AMZN) was also unprofitable for more than two decades, so the fact that Palantir is being unprofitable as well is not that big a deal at this stage. However, Amazon was reinvesting most of the available resources back into its business to aggressively drive growth, which in the end was justifiable, as the company is now making money every quarter and is the biggest eCommerce company in the world. The same is not the case for Palantir, where insiders are constantly issuing new shares and then dumping them into the market, which constantly dilutes the existing shareholders, widens the overall net loss, and doesn't benefit the business. On top of that, Palantir is now investing in cryptocurrencies, SPACs, and gold bars, instead of its own business, which is something that Amazon wasn't doing and is not doing today. That's why comparing Palantir to Amazon doesn't make any sense.</p><p><blockquote>看涨投资者在我们关于Palantir的文章的评论部分经常重复说，亚马逊(AMZN)也在二十多年里没有盈利，因此Palantir也没有盈利的事实在现阶段并不是什么大不了的事情。然而，亚马逊将大部分可用资源重新投资到其业务中，以积极推动增长，这最终是合理的，因为该公司现在每个季度都在赚钱，并且是世界上最大的电子商务公司。Palantir的情况并非如此，内部人士不断发行新股，然后将其倾销到市场上，这不断稀释现有股东，扩大整体净亏损，对业务没有好处。最重要的是，Palantir现在正在投资加密货币、SPAC和金条，而不是自己的业务，这是亚马逊过去没有做的事情，今天也不会做的事情。这就是为什么将Palantir与亚马逊进行比较没有任何意义。</blockquote></p><p> Considering this, we believe that it's unlikely that Palantir's stock will be able to appreciate significantly higher anytime soon, as the increased selling pressure, constant dilution, and overvaluation are the main reasons why its upside will remain limited at the current price. Therefore, no position.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，我们认为Palantir的股票不太可能很快大幅升值，因为抛售压力增加、不断稀释和估值过高是其在当前价格下上涨空间仍然有限的主要原因。因此，没有立场。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451225-palantir-shareholder-unfriendly-company-with-limited-upside-pltr\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451225-palantir-shareholder-unfriendly-company-with-limited-upside-pltr","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195506103","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir continues to widen its net loss despite improving its top-line performance.\nThe excessive stock-based compensation program continues to eat all the profits and overshadows any growth of revenues or FCF.\nWe stick to our opinion that Palantir is not going to be able to create a lot of shareholder value anytime soon.\n\nMichael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe recent Q2 earnings report showed that Palantir (PLTR) continues to struggle to improve its bottom-line performance, as the company spends too much on its excessive stock-based compensation program, which eats all the profits and overshadows any growth of revenues or FCF. In addition, the massive dilution since the beginning of the year and the constant selling pressure from the company's insiders are preventing Palantir's shares from appreciating as well. Also, the fact that Palantir has underperformed against the S&P 500 index in recent months and its stock hasn't moved much since March proves our point that the company is not an attractive investment at this stage, as there's every reason to believe that not a lot of shareholder value will be created anytime soon. For that reason, we continue to believe that it's better to invest in other, more attractive opportunities on the market and avoid Palantir.\nThere's Nothing Attractive About This Stock\nA lot has been said about Palantir's business and its advantages against other competitors in recent articles on the company, so we won't be discussing it in this article. However, while Palantir certainly has some major advantages since its software solutions are hard to replicate, we also believe that at this stage it doesn't matter how strong its business is, as certain factors are likely going to continue to prevent the company's stock from appreciating anytime soon. Let's not ignore the fact that Palantir's stock has depreciated by over 45% from its all-time high, it also hasn't moved much since we started covering the company on Seeking Alpha in March, and we continue to believe that not a lot of shareholder value will be created anytime soon.\nChart: Seeking Alpha\nThe latest earnings report for Q2, which was released earlier this month, showed that Palantir is still unable to improve its bottom-line performance despite growing its business. While its revenue has increased by 10.1% Q/Q to $375.64 million and its gross profit has increased by 6.6% Q/Q to $284.7 million, its operating loss has increased at a greater rate of 28.2% Q/Q to -$146.1 million, while its net loss has widened by 12.2% Q/Q to -$138.6 million. The reason for such a weak performance is the excessive stock-based compensation program, which will prevent the company from reporting a profit, as already over $400 million were spent on the SBC program in the first six months of the current fiscal year. In Q2 alone, Palantir increased its stock-based compensation expenses by 82% Y/Y to $232.7 million, and further expenses in Q3 and Q4 will overshadow any growth of revenues or FCF this year.\nSource: Palantir\nAnother problem with the excessive SBC program is that it constantly dilutes Palantir's shareholders. The company already has 1.89 billion shares outstanding, up from1.8 billion shares a month ago and up from 1.52 billion shares at the end of 2020. At the current dilution rate, investors should expect the company to have over 2 billion shares by the end of this year. This will not only diminish the stock value of current holders but will also make it harder for shares to appreciate higher due to the greater count. If in 2019 and 2020 Palantir's revenue per share stood at $1.29 per share and $1.12 per share, respectively, in the last trailing twelve months revenue per share has already declined to only $0.83 per share and is likely going to depreciate further in the following quarters. On top of that, considering that Palantir still has 417,674 options outstanding at the end of Q2 at the average exercise price of $6.90 per share, the risk of further dilution will remain high, especially since once all of those options are exercised, they will dilute all the investors by over 20%.\nSource: Palantir\nOn top of all of this, the company's insiders and its CEO Alex Karp in particular continue to add additional selling pressure, which prevents shares from rising higher as well. In Q2 alone the company's insiders sold a record $197 million worth of Palantir's shares, while in the first half of Q3 they already sold $93 million worth of the company's shares, nearly the same amount that they sold in Q1. As more shares are being dumped into the market, it becomes harder and harder for the stock to rise. Considering that it's unlikely that insiders stop selling their shares, as they still own over 10% of outstanding shares and are increasing their total number of shares by exercising options every quarter, average shareholders shouldn't expect a rapid appreciation of Palantir's stock in the foreseeable future.\nAnother downside of Palantir is that, even at the current price, it's not a cheap stock at all; with a market cap of $47 billion, it trades at 30 times its sales. As a result, an even greater top-line growth rate is required for the company to reach its current valuation, and that's unlikely to happen anytime soon. Currently, the street expects Palantir to generate only $1.5 billion in revenues in FY21, and by 2025 it's unlikely that the company will be able to generate annual revenue of over $3.5 billion. Considering that at this stage, Palantir has a backlog of contracts worth only $3.4 billion, which are extended over the next few years, it's safe to say that its stock is significantly overvalued at the current levels. We don't see how the company will grow into its current market value in the next few years, and since its shares currently trade close to the consensus price of $24.16 per share, it's safe to assume that Palantir has limited upside at the current levels.\nTakeaway\nBullish investors in the comment section of our articles on Palantir often keep repeating that Amazon (AMZN) was also unprofitable for more than two decades, so the fact that Palantir is being unprofitable as well is not that big a deal at this stage. However, Amazon was reinvesting most of the available resources back into its business to aggressively drive growth, which in the end was justifiable, as the company is now making money every quarter and is the biggest eCommerce company in the world. The same is not the case for Palantir, where insiders are constantly issuing new shares and then dumping them into the market, which constantly dilutes the existing shareholders, widens the overall net loss, and doesn't benefit the business. On top of that, Palantir is now investing in cryptocurrencies, SPACs, and gold bars, instead of its own business, which is something that Amazon wasn't doing and is not doing today. That's why comparing Palantir to Amazon doesn't make any sense.\nConsidering this, we believe that it's unlikely that Palantir's stock will be able to appreciate significantly higher anytime soon, as the increased selling pressure, constant dilution, and overvaluation are the main reasons why its upside will remain limited at the current price. Therefore, no position.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1914,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836628243,"gmtCreate":1629478732982,"gmtModify":1631891115485,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mmm really?&nbsp;","listText":"Mmm really?&nbsp;","text":"Mmm really?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836628243","repostId":"2160710721","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189515424,"gmtCreate":1623281697168,"gmtModify":1631891115486,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazing&nbsp;","listText":"Amazing&nbsp;","text":"Amazing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189515424","repostId":"1168166668","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114143583,"gmtCreate":1623060260442,"gmtModify":1631891115489,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I have not bought any. Is now a good time?&nbsp;","listText":"I have not bought any. Is now a good time?&nbsp;","text":"I have not bought any. Is now a good time?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114143583","repostId":"1130425727","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116956376,"gmtCreate":1622771100595,"gmtModify":1631891115493,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no again??&nbsp;","listText":"Oh no again??&nbsp;","text":"Oh no again??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116956376","repostId":"1110094207","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111462666,"gmtCreate":1622693361255,"gmtModify":1631891115493,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mmmm will tesla go up anytime soon?&nbsp;","listText":"Mmmm will tesla go up anytime soon?&nbsp;","text":"Mmmm will tesla go up anytime soon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111462666","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137599690,"gmtCreate":1622358162110,"gmtModify":1631891115501,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol again&nbsp;","listText":"Lol again&nbsp;","text":"Lol again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137599690","repostId":"2138488778","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137590425,"gmtCreate":1622358137067,"gmtModify":1631891115501,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Again 😭","listText":"Again 😭","text":"Again 😭","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137590425","repostId":"2138765488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135092657,"gmtCreate":1622121085279,"gmtModify":1631891115500,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That's great&nbsp;","listText":"That's great&nbsp;","text":"That's great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135092657","repostId":"1138135570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135096691,"gmtCreate":1622121023613,"gmtModify":1631891115505,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Perfect!&nbsp;","listText":"Perfect!&nbsp;","text":"Perfect!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135096691","repostId":"1137643720","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137643720","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622118929,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137643720?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-27 20:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jobless claims: Initial filings fell for fourth straight week to set new pandemic-era low<blockquote>初请失业金人数：首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下大流行时代新低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137643720","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"Initial unemployment claims fell for a fourth straight week to set a new 14-month low as the labor m","content":"<p>Initial unemployment claims fell for a fourth straight week to set a new 14-month low as the labor market recovery made further strides toward recovering jobs lost during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着劳动力市场复苏在恢复疫情期间失去的就业岗位方面取得进一步进展，首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下14个月新低。</blockquote></p><p>TheDepartment of Labor released its weekly reporton new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部于美国东部时间周四上午8:30发布了每周新申请失业救济人数报告。与彭博社编制的共识数据相比，以下是该报告的主要指标：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Initial jobless claims, week ended May 22:</b>406,000vs. 425,000 expected and 444,000 during the prior week</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>截至5月22日当周首次申请失业救济人数：</b>406,000对比。预期425,000人，前一周444,000人</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li><li><b>Continuing claims, week ended May 15:</b>3.642 million vs. 3.680 million expected and 3.738 million during the prior week</p><p><blockquote><li><b>截至5月15日当周的持续索赔：</b>364.2万，预期368.0万，前一周373.8万</li></blockquote></p><p></li></ul>As a greater percentage of the U.S. population becomes inoculated against COVID-19, more business have reopened and more social distancing standards have been eased.According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, half of all Americans have now received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的美国人口接种了新冠肺炎疫苗，更多的企业重新开业，更多的社交距离标准也得到了放宽。根据疾病控制和预防中心的数据，一半的美国人现在至少接种了一剂新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>This has in turn slowed the pace of layoffs and other separations, allowed more individuals to return to the workforce and pushed new weekly jobless claims closer toward their pre-pandemic pace of just over 200,000 per week.</p><p><blockquote>这反过来又减缓了裁员和其他离职的步伐，让更多的人重返劳动力市场，并推动每周新申请失业救济人数接近大流行前每周略高于20万的水平。</blockquote></p><p>\"More lifting of COVID-19 restrictions by governments and businesses, coupled with further progress on vaccinations, are helping to propel more mobility and spending on the part of consumers,\" Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate, said in an email Wednesday. \"In turn, businesses are doing what they can to position their labor and other resources to meet demand. As is widely understood now, some employers are struggling to hire all of the workers they want for a multitude of reasons.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bankrate高级经济分析师马克·哈姆里克(Mark Hamrick)在周三的一封电子邮件中表示：“政府和企业进一步取消对COVID-19的限制，加上疫苗接种方面的进一步进展，正在帮助推动消费者更多的流动性和支出。”“反过来，企业正在尽其所能调整劳动力和其他资源以满足需求。正如现在广泛理解的那样，一些雇主出于多种原因正在努力雇用他们想要的所有工人。”</blockquote></p><p>Still, however, an elevated number of Americans are still claiming unemployment benefits, even as the pace of new filings slows. Nearly 15 million individuals were claiming benefits of some form as of the beginning of May. This included more than 11.7 million individuals on federal crisis-era unemployment benefits including Pandemic Unemployment Assistance and Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation, which were started in the past year to alleviate some of the strain due to COVID-related job losses.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管新申请失业救济的速度放缓，但仍有大量美国人申请失业救济。截至5月初，近1500万人申请某种形式的福利。这包括超过1170万人领取联邦危机时期失业救济金，包括疫情失业援助和疫情紧急失业补偿，这些救济金于去年启动，旨在缓解与COVID相关的失业带来的一些压力。</blockquote></p><p>But with COVID-19 infection rates falling to a near one-year low and more businesses reopening and struggling to find workers, a number of states are now rolling back some of these crisis-era benefits.Nearly two dozen statesare slashing the federal $300 per week in unemployment benefits as soon as in mid-June, while the federal expiration date for these benefits is set for Sept. 6.</p><p><blockquote>但随着COVID-19感染率降至近一年来的低点，越来越多的企业重新开业并努力寻找工人，许多州现在正在取消一些危机时期的福利。近24个州最早将于6月中旬削减联邦每周300美元的失业救济金，而这些救济金的联邦到期日定于9月6日。</blockquote></p><p>Some have viewed these enhanced benefits as incentive for workers to stay on the sidelines, exacerbating labor shortages many in the service sector especially have been witnessing. Others, however, have said the benefits provide a necessary economic cushion for workers that have been disproportionately impacted by fallout from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为这些提高的福利是对工人保持观望的激励，加剧了劳动力短缺，尤其是许多服务部门的劳动力短缺。然而，其他人表示，这些福利为受疫情影响过大的工人提供了必要的经济缓冲。</blockquote></p><p>\"No one knows for sure why people have been reluctant to return to the labor market — we're assuming it is due to a combination of COVID fear, childcare difficulties, and the $300 per week federally-funded enhancement to unemployment benefits — but the numbers are huge,\" Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note earlier this week. \"The labor force in April was some 5M smaller than we would have expected if the pandemic hadn't happened.\"</p><p><blockquote>“没有人确切知道为什么人们不愿意重返劳动力市场——我们假设这是由于对新冠病毒的恐惧、育儿困难以及联邦政府资助的每周300美元失业救济金的增加——但这些数字是巨大的，”万神殿宏观经济公司首席经济学家伊恩·谢泼德森在本周早些时候的一份报告中写道。“如果疫情没有发生，4月份的劳动力比我们预期的少了约500万。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jobless claims: Initial filings fell for fourth straight week to set new pandemic-era low<blockquote>初请失业金人数：首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下大流行时代新低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJobless claims: Initial filings fell for fourth straight week to set new pandemic-era low<blockquote>初请失业金人数：首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下大流行时代新低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-27 20:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Initial unemployment claims fell for a fourth straight week to set a new 14-month low as the labor market recovery made further strides toward recovering jobs lost during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着劳动力市场复苏在恢复疫情期间失去的就业岗位方面取得进一步进展，首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下14个月新低。</blockquote></p><p>TheDepartment of Labor released its weekly reporton new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部于美国东部时间周四上午8:30发布了每周新申请失业救济人数报告。与彭博社编制的共识数据相比，以下是该报告的主要指标：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Initial jobless claims, week ended May 22:</b>406,000vs. 425,000 expected and 444,000 during the prior week</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>截至5月22日当周首次申请失业救济人数：</b>406,000对比。预期425,000人，前一周444,000人</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li><li><b>Continuing claims, week ended May 15:</b>3.642 million vs. 3.680 million expected and 3.738 million during the prior week</p><p><blockquote><li><b>截至5月15日当周的持续索赔：</b>364.2万，预期368.0万，前一周373.8万</li></blockquote></p><p></li></ul>As a greater percentage of the U.S. population becomes inoculated against COVID-19, more business have reopened and more social distancing standards have been eased.According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, half of all Americans have now received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的美国人口接种了新冠肺炎疫苗，更多的企业重新开业，更多的社交距离标准也得到了放宽。根据疾病控制和预防中心的数据，一半的美国人现在至少接种了一剂新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>This has in turn slowed the pace of layoffs and other separations, allowed more individuals to return to the workforce and pushed new weekly jobless claims closer toward their pre-pandemic pace of just over 200,000 per week.</p><p><blockquote>这反过来又减缓了裁员和其他离职的步伐，让更多的人重返劳动力市场，并推动每周新申请失业救济人数接近大流行前每周略高于20万的水平。</blockquote></p><p>\"More lifting of COVID-19 restrictions by governments and businesses, coupled with further progress on vaccinations, are helping to propel more mobility and spending on the part of consumers,\" Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate, said in an email Wednesday. \"In turn, businesses are doing what they can to position their labor and other resources to meet demand. As is widely understood now, some employers are struggling to hire all of the workers they want for a multitude of reasons.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bankrate高级经济分析师马克·哈姆里克(Mark Hamrick)在周三的一封电子邮件中表示：“政府和企业进一步取消对COVID-19的限制，加上疫苗接种方面的进一步进展，正在帮助推动消费者更多的流动性和支出。”“反过来，企业正在尽其所能调整劳动力和其他资源以满足需求。正如现在广泛理解的那样，一些雇主出于多种原因正在努力雇用他们想要的所有工人。”</blockquote></p><p>Still, however, an elevated number of Americans are still claiming unemployment benefits, even as the pace of new filings slows. Nearly 15 million individuals were claiming benefits of some form as of the beginning of May. This included more than 11.7 million individuals on federal crisis-era unemployment benefits including Pandemic Unemployment Assistance and Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation, which were started in the past year to alleviate some of the strain due to COVID-related job losses.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管新申请失业救济的速度放缓，但仍有大量美国人申请失业救济。截至5月初，近1500万人申请某种形式的福利。这包括超过1170万人领取联邦危机时期失业救济金，包括疫情失业援助和疫情紧急失业补偿，这些救济金于去年启动，旨在缓解与COVID相关的失业带来的一些压力。</blockquote></p><p>But with COVID-19 infection rates falling to a near one-year low and more businesses reopening and struggling to find workers, a number of states are now rolling back some of these crisis-era benefits.Nearly two dozen statesare slashing the federal $300 per week in unemployment benefits as soon as in mid-June, while the federal expiration date for these benefits is set for Sept. 6.</p><p><blockquote>但随着COVID-19感染率降至近一年来的低点，越来越多的企业重新开业并努力寻找工人，许多州现在正在取消一些危机时期的福利。近24个州最早将于6月中旬削减联邦每周300美元的失业救济金，而这些救济金的联邦到期日定于9月6日。</blockquote></p><p>Some have viewed these enhanced benefits as incentive for workers to stay on the sidelines, exacerbating labor shortages many in the service sector especially have been witnessing. Others, however, have said the benefits provide a necessary economic cushion for workers that have been disproportionately impacted by fallout from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为这些提高的福利是对工人保持观望的激励，加剧了劳动力短缺，尤其是许多服务部门的劳动力短缺。然而，其他人表示，这些福利为受疫情影响过大的工人提供了必要的经济缓冲。</blockquote></p><p>\"No one knows for sure why people have been reluctant to return to the labor market — we're assuming it is due to a combination of COVID fear, childcare difficulties, and the $300 per week federally-funded enhancement to unemployment benefits — but the numbers are huge,\" Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note earlier this week. \"The labor force in April was some 5M smaller than we would have expected if the pandemic hadn't happened.\"</p><p><blockquote>“没有人确切知道为什么人们不愿意重返劳动力市场——我们假设这是由于对新冠病毒的恐惧、育儿困难以及联邦政府资助的每周300美元失业救济金的增加——但这些数字是巨大的，”万神殿宏观经济公司首席经济学家伊恩·谢泼德森在本周早些时候的一份报告中写道。“如果疫情没有发生，4月份的劳动力比我们预期的少了约500万。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weekly-jobless-claims-week-ended-may-22-2021-183122973.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weekly-jobless-claims-week-ended-may-22-2021-183122973.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137643720","content_text":"Initial unemployment claims fell for a fourth straight week to set a new 14-month low as the labor market recovery made further strides toward recovering jobs lost during the pandemic.TheDepartment of Labor released its weekly reporton new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:Initial jobless claims, week ended May 22:406,000vs. 425,000 expected and 444,000 during the prior weekContinuing claims, week ended May 15:3.642 million vs. 3.680 million expected and 3.738 million during the prior weekAs a greater percentage of the U.S. population becomes inoculated against COVID-19, more business have reopened and more social distancing standards have been eased.According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, half of all Americans have now received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.This has in turn slowed the pace of layoffs and other separations, allowed more individuals to return to the workforce and pushed new weekly jobless claims closer toward their pre-pandemic pace of just over 200,000 per week.\"More lifting of COVID-19 restrictions by governments and businesses, coupled with further progress on vaccinations, are helping to propel more mobility and spending on the part of consumers,\" Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate, said in an email Wednesday. \"In turn, businesses are doing what they can to position their labor and other resources to meet demand. As is widely understood now, some employers are struggling to hire all of the workers they want for a multitude of reasons.\"Still, however, an elevated number of Americans are still claiming unemployment benefits, even as the pace of new filings slows. Nearly 15 million individuals were claiming benefits of some form as of the beginning of May. This included more than 11.7 million individuals on federal crisis-era unemployment benefits including Pandemic Unemployment Assistance and Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation, which were started in the past year to alleviate some of the strain due to COVID-related job losses.But with COVID-19 infection rates falling to a near one-year low and more businesses reopening and struggling to find workers, a number of states are now rolling back some of these crisis-era benefits.Nearly two dozen statesare slashing the federal $300 per week in unemployment benefits as soon as in mid-June, while the federal expiration date for these benefits is set for Sept. 6.Some have viewed these enhanced benefits as incentive for workers to stay on the sidelines, exacerbating labor shortages many in the service sector especially have been witnessing. Others, however, have said the benefits provide a necessary economic cushion for workers that have been disproportionately impacted by fallout from the pandemic.\"No one knows for sure why people have been reluctant to return to the labor market — we're assuming it is due to a combination of COVID fear, childcare difficulties, and the $300 per week federally-funded enhancement to unemployment benefits — but the numbers are huge,\" Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note earlier this week. \"The labor force in April was some 5M smaller than we would have expected if the pandemic hadn't happened.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131961086,"gmtCreate":1621821967945,"gmtModify":1634186347048,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow&nbsp;","listText":"Wow&nbsp;","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131961086","repostId":"1113416958","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113416958","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621821265,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113416958?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-24 09:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Google Aims for Commercial Quantum Computer by 2029, What Would That Do to Bitcoin?<blockquote>谷歌的目标是到2029年实现商用量子计算机，这对比特币会有什么影响？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113416958","media":"Mish Talk","summary":"Let's explore quantum computing, problems it might solve, and what it will do to current security pr","content":"<p>  <b>Let's explore quantum computing, problems it might solve, and what it will do to current security protocols and blockchain.</b>  <b>What is a Quantum Computer?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>让我们探索量子计算，它可能解决的问题，以及它将对当前的安全协议和区块链产生什么影响。</b><b>什么是量子计算机？</b></blockquote></p><p> The New Scientist answers the questionWhat is a Quantum Computer?</p><p><blockquote>《新科学家》回答了这个问题什么是量子计算机？</blockquote></p><p>   Classical computers, which include smartphones and laptops, encode information in binary “bits” that can either be 0s or 1s. In aquantum computer, the basic unit of memory is a quantum bit or qubit.For instance, eight bits is enough for a classical computer to represent any number between 0 and 255. But eight qubits is enough for a quantum computer to represent every number between 0 and 255 at the same time. A few hundred entangled qubits would be enough to represent more numbers than there are atoms in the universe.  <i>In situations where there are a large number of possible combinations, quantum computers can consider them simultaneously. Examples include trying to find the prime factors of a very large number or the best route between two places</i>.  That last paragraph above exposes the problem for not just Bitcoin security but virtually all public-private key password encryption.</p><p><blockquote>包括智能手机和笔记本电脑在内的经典计算机以二进制“位”对信息进行编码，二进制“位”可以是0或1。在量子计算机中，存储器的基本单位是一个量子位或量子位。例如，对于经典计算机来说，八位足以表示0到255之间的任何数字。但八个量子比特足以让量子计算机同时表示0到255之间的每个数字。几百个纠缠量子位就足以代表比宇宙中原子还多的数字。<i>在存在大量可能组合的情况下，量子计算机可以同时考虑它们。例子包括试图找到一个非常大的数字的质因数或两个地方之间的最佳路线</i>上面最后一段不仅暴露了比特币安全问题，而且暴露了几乎所有公钥-私钥密码加密问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Can 7 Bits Represent So Much?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7位怎么能代表这么多？</b></blockquote></p><p> Technology reviewdescribes superposition.</p><p><blockquote>技术评论描述叠加。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>Qubits can represent numerous possible combinations of 1 and 0 at the same time. This ability to simultaneously be in multiple states is called superposition.</i>To put qubits into superposition, researchers manipulate them using precision lasers or microwave beams.Researchers can generate pairs of qubits that are “entangled,” which means the two members of a pair exist in a single quantum state. Changing the state of one of the qubits will instantaneously change the state of the other one in a predictable way. This happens even if they are separated by very long distances.  <i>Nobody really knows quite how or why entanglement works. It even baffled Einstein, who famously described it as “spooky action at a distance.” But it’s key to the power of quantum computers</i>.  It takes supercooled computers and vacuum chambers to keep qubits stable long enough to perform a complex calculation.</p><p><blockquote><i>量子位可以同时表示1和0的多种可能组合。这种同时处于多种状态的能力被称为叠加。</i>为了将量子位叠加，研究人员使用精密激光或微波束来操纵它们。研究人员可以生成“纠缠”的量子比特对，这意味着一对中的两个成员存在于单个量子态中。改变其中一个量子位的状态会以可预测的方式瞬间改变另一个量子位的状态。即使它们相隔很远，也会发生这种情况。<i>没有人真正知道纠缠是如何或为什么起作用的。这甚至让爱因斯坦感到困惑，他将其描述为“远处的幽灵般的动作”。但这是量子计算机强大的关键</i>需要过冷的计算机和真空室来保持量子位稳定足够长的时间来执行复杂的计算。</blockquote></p><p> The potential is immense.</p><p><blockquote>潜力是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p>   Airbus, for instance, is using them to help calculate the most fuel-efficient ascent and descent paths for aircraft. And Volkswagen has unveiled a service that calculates the optimal routes for buses and taxis in cities in order to minimize congestion.  <b>Google's Aim</b></p><p><blockquote>例如，空中客车公司正在使用它们来帮助计算飞机最省油的上升和下降路径。大众汽车推出了一项服务，可以计算城市中公交车和出租车的最佳路线，以最大限度地减少拥堵。<b>谷歌的目标</b></blockquote></p><p> The Wall Street Journal reportsGoogle Aims for Commercial-Grade Quantum Computer by 2029</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》报道谷歌的目标是到2029年推出商业级量子计算机</blockquote></p><p>   Alphabet Inc.’s Google plans to spend several billion dollars to build a quantum computer by 2029 that can perform large-scale business and scientific calculations without errors, said Hartmut Neven, a distinguished scientist at Google who oversees the company’s Quantum AI program. The company recently opened an expanded California-based campus focused on the effort, he said.“We are at this inflection point,” said Dr. Neven, who has been researching quantum computing at Google since 2006. “We now have the important components in hand that make us confident. We know how to execute the road map.”Google is interested in many potential uses for the technology, such as building more energy-efficient batteries, creating a new process of making fertilizer that emits less carbon dioxide and speeding up training for machine-learning, a branch of artificial intelligence, Dr. Neven said.  <i>For those and other use cases, Google says it will need to build a 1-million-qubit machine capable of performing reliable calculations without errors. Its current systems have less than 100 qubits</i>.  <b>What About Bitcoin?</b></p><p><blockquote>Alphabet公司旗下的谷歌计划在2029年之前斥资数十亿美元建造一台量子计算机，该计算机可以毫无错误地执行大规模商业和科学计算，谷歌负责监督该公司量子人工智能项目的杰出科学家Hartmut Neven表示。他说，该公司最近在加州开设了一个扩建的园区，专注于这项工作。“我们正处于这个拐点，”自2006年以来一直在谷歌研究量子计算的内文博士说。“我们现在有了让我们充满信心的重要组件。我们知道如何执行路线图。”内文博士说，谷歌对这项技术的许多潜在用途很感兴趣，例如制造更节能的电池，创造一种二氧化碳排放量更少的肥料制造新工艺，以及加快人工智能的一个分支机器学习的训练。<i>对于这些和其他用例，谷歌表示，它需要构建一台100万量子位的机器，能够执行可靠的计算而不会出错。它目前的系统只有不到100个量子位</i>.<b>那比特币呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> Deloitte discussesQuantum Computers and the Bitcoin Blockchain.</p><p><blockquote>德勤讨论量子计算机和比特币区块链。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   Since Google announced that it achieved quantum supremacy there has been an increasing number of articles on the web predicting the demise of currently used cryptography in general, and Bitcoin in particular. The goal of this article is to present a balanced view regarding the risks that quantum computers pose to Bitcoin.All known (classical) algorithms to derive the private key from the public key require an astronomical amount of time to perform such a computation and are therefore not practical. However, in 1994, the mathematician Peter Shor published a quantum algorithm that can break the security assumption of the most common algorithms of asymmetric cryptography. This means that anyone with a sufficiently large quantum computer could use this algorithm to derive a private key from its corresponding public key, and thus, falsify any digital signature.The prerequisite of being “quantum safe” is that the public key associated with this address is not public. But as we explained above, the moment you want to transfer coins from such a “safe” address, you also reveal the public key, making the address vulnerable. From that moment until your transaction is “mined”, an attacker who possesses a quantum computer gets a window of opportunity to steal your coins.In such an attack, the adversary will first derive your private key from the public key and then initiate a competing transaction to their own address. They will try to get priority over the original transaction by offering a higher mining fee.In the Bitcoin blockchain it currently takes about 10 minutes for transactions to be mined (unless the network is congested which has happened frequently in the past). As long as it takes a quantum computer longer to derive the private key of a specific public key then the network should be safe against a quantum attack. Current scientific estimations predict that a quantum computer will take about 8 hours to break an RSA key, and some specific calculations predict that a Bitcoin signature could be hacked within 30 minutes.  There's much more to the article including some advice for Bitcoin holders about public keys that needs to be addressed now.</p><p><blockquote>自从谷歌宣布它实现了量子霸权以来，网络上越来越多的文章预测当前使用的密码学，特别是比特币的消亡。本文的目标是就量子计算机给比特币带来的风险提出一个平衡的观点。从公钥导出私钥的所有已知（经典）算法都需要天文数字的时间来执行这样的计算，因此是不实用的。然而，在1994年，数学家Peter Shor发表了一种量子算法，可以打破非对称密码学最常见算法的安全性假设。这意味着任何拥有足够大的量子计算机的人都可以使用这种算法从其相应的公钥中导出私钥，从而伪造任何数字签名。“量子安全”的前提是与这个地址关联的公钥不公开。但正如我们上面解释的，当你想从这样一个“安全”的地址转移硬币时，你也暴露了公钥，使地址容易受到攻击。从那一刻起，直到你的交易被“挖掘”，拥有量子计算机的攻击者就有机会窃取你的硬币。在这种攻击中，对手将首先从公钥中导出您的私钥，然后向他们自己的地址发起竞争事务。他们将试图通过提供更高的挖矿费来获得相对于原始交易的优先权。在比特币区块链，目前挖掘交易大约需要10分钟（除非网络拥塞，这在过去经常发生）。只要量子计算机需要更长的时间来导出特定公钥的私钥，那么网络就应该是安全的，不会受到量子攻击。目前的科学估计预测，一台量子计算机需要大约8个小时才能破解一个RSA密钥，一些具体的计算预测，一个比特币签名可以在30分钟内被黑。这篇文章还有更多内容，包括给比特币持有者一些关于公钥的建议，这些建议现在需要解决。</blockquote></p><p> But if quantum computers ever become fast enough, the security of the entire blockchain will melt down.</p><p><blockquote>但如果量子计算机变得足够快，整个区块链的安全性将会崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> Deloitte notes the only solution is ‘post-quantum cryptography’ to build robust and future-proof blockchain applications.</p><p><blockquote>德勤指出，唯一的解决方案是“后量子加密”，以构建健壮且经得起未来考验的区块链应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> That caution applies not only to Bitcoin but to any existing application that uses public-private keys.</p><p><blockquote>这种谨慎不仅适用于比特币，也适用于任何使用公私钥的现有应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Does This Work?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是如何工作的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8caf2b59c1d52a65584fc84154f89c93\" tg-width=\"572\" tg-height=\"525\"><b>Post Quantum Cryptography</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后量子密码</b></blockquote></p><p> Wikipedia has an excellent discussion ofPost-quantum cryptography</p><p><blockquote>维基百科有一个关于后量子密码学的精彩讨论</blockquote></p><p> One of the simple proposed solutions is to double the key size but there are practical considerations.</p><p><blockquote>提出的简单解决方案之一是将密钥大小加倍，但有实际的考虑。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>A practical consideration on a choice among post-quantum cryptographic algorithms is the effort required to send public keys over the internet</i>.The Open Quantum Safe project&nbsp;was started in late 2016 and has the goal of developing and prototyping quantum-resistant cryptography. It aims to integrate current post-quantum schemes in one library.  The Open Quantum Safe project currently supports 6 algorithms.</p><p><blockquote><i>在后量子密码算法中进行选择的一个实际考虑是通过互联网发送公钥所需的努力</i>开放量子安全项目于2016年底启动，目标是开发和原型化抗量子密码学。它旨在将当前的后量子方案集成到一个库中。开放量子保险箱项目目前支持6种算法。</blockquote></p><p> Beyond that,Forward Secrecy&nbsp;allows the use of one-time keys, generated at random.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外，前向保密允许使用随机生成的一次性密钥。</blockquote></p><p>   Forward secrecy protects data on the transport layer of a network that uses common SSL/TLS protocols, including OpenSSL, when its long-term secret keys are compromised, as with the Heartbleed security bug. If forward secrecy is used, encrypted communications and sessions recorded in the past cannot be retrieved and decrypted should long-term secret keys or passwords be compromised in the future, even if the adversary actively interfered, for example via a man-in-the-middle attack.The value of forward secrecy is that it protects past communication. This reduces the motivation for attackers to compromise keys. For instance, if an attacker learns a long-term key, but the compromise is detected and the long-term key is revoked and updated, relatively little information is leaked in a forward secure system.  Things may not be quite as simple as simply saying double the key size.</p><p><blockquote>前向保密保护使用常见SSL/TLS协议（包括OpenSSL）的网络传输层上的数据，当其长期密钥被泄露时，就像Heartbleed安全漏洞一样。如果使用前向保密，则如果将来长期密钥或密码被泄露，即使对手主动干扰，例如通过中间人攻击，也无法检索和解密过去记录的加密通信和会话。前向保密的价值在于它保护了过去的通信。这降低了攻击者危害密钥的动机。例如，如果攻击者获知长期密钥，但检测到危害并且长期密钥被撤销和更新，则在前向安全系统中相对较少的信息被泄露。事情可能不像简单地说加倍密钥大小那么简单。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1620736834627","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Google Aims for Commercial Quantum Computer by 2029, What Would That Do to Bitcoin?<blockquote>谷歌的目标是到2029年实现商用量子计算机，这对比特币会有什么影响？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoogle Aims for Commercial Quantum Computer by 2029, What Would That Do to Bitcoin?<blockquote>谷歌的目标是到2029年实现商用量子计算机，这对比特币会有什么影响？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Mish Talk</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-24 09:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Let's explore quantum computing, problems it might solve, and what it will do to current security protocols and blockchain.</b>  <b>What is a Quantum Computer?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>让我们探索量子计算，它可能解决的问题，以及它将对当前的安全协议和区块链产生什么影响。</b><b>什么是量子计算机？</b></blockquote></p><p> The New Scientist answers the questionWhat is a Quantum Computer?</p><p><blockquote>《新科学家》回答了这个问题什么是量子计算机？</blockquote></p><p>   Classical computers, which include smartphones and laptops, encode information in binary “bits” that can either be 0s or 1s. In aquantum computer, the basic unit of memory is a quantum bit or qubit.For instance, eight bits is enough for a classical computer to represent any number between 0 and 255. But eight qubits is enough for a quantum computer to represent every number between 0 and 255 at the same time. A few hundred entangled qubits would be enough to represent more numbers than there are atoms in the universe.  <i>In situations where there are a large number of possible combinations, quantum computers can consider them simultaneously. Examples include trying to find the prime factors of a very large number or the best route between two places</i>.  That last paragraph above exposes the problem for not just Bitcoin security but virtually all public-private key password encryption.</p><p><blockquote>包括智能手机和笔记本电脑在内的经典计算机以二进制“位”对信息进行编码，二进制“位”可以是0或1。在量子计算机中，存储器的基本单位是一个量子位或量子位。例如，对于经典计算机来说，八位足以表示0到255之间的任何数字。但八个量子比特足以让量子计算机同时表示0到255之间的每个数字。几百个纠缠量子位就足以代表比宇宙中原子还多的数字。<i>在存在大量可能组合的情况下，量子计算机可以同时考虑它们。例子包括试图找到一个非常大的数字的质因数或两个地方之间的最佳路线</i>上面最后一段不仅暴露了比特币安全问题，而且暴露了几乎所有公钥-私钥密码加密问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Can 7 Bits Represent So Much?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>7位怎么能代表这么多？</b></blockquote></p><p> Technology reviewdescribes superposition.</p><p><blockquote>技术评论描述叠加。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>Qubits can represent numerous possible combinations of 1 and 0 at the same time. This ability to simultaneously be in multiple states is called superposition.</i>To put qubits into superposition, researchers manipulate them using precision lasers or microwave beams.Researchers can generate pairs of qubits that are “entangled,” which means the two members of a pair exist in a single quantum state. Changing the state of one of the qubits will instantaneously change the state of the other one in a predictable way. This happens even if they are separated by very long distances.  <i>Nobody really knows quite how or why entanglement works. It even baffled Einstein, who famously described it as “spooky action at a distance.” But it’s key to the power of quantum computers</i>.  It takes supercooled computers and vacuum chambers to keep qubits stable long enough to perform a complex calculation.</p><p><blockquote><i>量子位可以同时表示1和0的多种可能组合。这种同时处于多种状态的能力被称为叠加。</i>为了将量子位叠加，研究人员使用精密激光或微波束来操纵它们。研究人员可以生成“纠缠”的量子比特对，这意味着一对中的两个成员存在于单个量子态中。改变其中一个量子位的状态会以可预测的方式瞬间改变另一个量子位的状态。即使它们相隔很远，也会发生这种情况。<i>没有人真正知道纠缠是如何或为什么起作用的。这甚至让爱因斯坦感到困惑，他将其描述为“远处的幽灵般的动作”。但这是量子计算机强大的关键</i>需要过冷的计算机和真空室来保持量子位稳定足够长的时间来执行复杂的计算。</blockquote></p><p> The potential is immense.</p><p><blockquote>潜力是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p>   Airbus, for instance, is using them to help calculate the most fuel-efficient ascent and descent paths for aircraft. And Volkswagen has unveiled a service that calculates the optimal routes for buses and taxis in cities in order to minimize congestion.  <b>Google's Aim</b></p><p><blockquote>例如，空中客车公司正在使用它们来帮助计算飞机最省油的上升和下降路径。大众汽车推出了一项服务，可以计算城市中公交车和出租车的最佳路线，以最大限度地减少拥堵。<b>谷歌的目标</b></blockquote></p><p> The Wall Street Journal reportsGoogle Aims for Commercial-Grade Quantum Computer by 2029</p><p><blockquote>《华尔街日报》报道谷歌的目标是到2029年推出商业级量子计算机</blockquote></p><p>   Alphabet Inc.’s Google plans to spend several billion dollars to build a quantum computer by 2029 that can perform large-scale business and scientific calculations without errors, said Hartmut Neven, a distinguished scientist at Google who oversees the company’s Quantum AI program. The company recently opened an expanded California-based campus focused on the effort, he said.“We are at this inflection point,” said Dr. Neven, who has been researching quantum computing at Google since 2006. “We now have the important components in hand that make us confident. We know how to execute the road map.”Google is interested in many potential uses for the technology, such as building more energy-efficient batteries, creating a new process of making fertilizer that emits less carbon dioxide and speeding up training for machine-learning, a branch of artificial intelligence, Dr. Neven said.  <i>For those and other use cases, Google says it will need to build a 1-million-qubit machine capable of performing reliable calculations without errors. Its current systems have less than 100 qubits</i>.  <b>What About Bitcoin?</b></p><p><blockquote>Alphabet公司旗下的谷歌计划在2029年之前斥资数十亿美元建造一台量子计算机，该计算机可以毫无错误地执行大规模商业和科学计算，谷歌负责监督该公司量子人工智能项目的杰出科学家Hartmut Neven表示。他说，该公司最近在加州开设了一个扩建的园区，专注于这项工作。“我们正处于这个拐点，”自2006年以来一直在谷歌研究量子计算的内文博士说。“我们现在有了让我们充满信心的重要组件。我们知道如何执行路线图。”内文博士说，谷歌对这项技术的许多潜在用途很感兴趣，例如制造更节能的电池，创造一种二氧化碳排放量更少的肥料制造新工艺，以及加快人工智能的一个分支机器学习的训练。<i>对于这些和其他用例，谷歌表示，它需要构建一台100万量子位的机器，能够执行可靠的计算而不会出错。它目前的系统只有不到100个量子位</i>.<b>那比特币呢？</b></blockquote></p><p> Deloitte discussesQuantum Computers and the Bitcoin Blockchain.</p><p><blockquote>德勤讨论量子计算机和比特币区块链。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>   Since Google announced that it achieved quantum supremacy there has been an increasing number of articles on the web predicting the demise of currently used cryptography in general, and Bitcoin in particular. The goal of this article is to present a balanced view regarding the risks that quantum computers pose to Bitcoin.All known (classical) algorithms to derive the private key from the public key require an astronomical amount of time to perform such a computation and are therefore not practical. However, in 1994, the mathematician Peter Shor published a quantum algorithm that can break the security assumption of the most common algorithms of asymmetric cryptography. This means that anyone with a sufficiently large quantum computer could use this algorithm to derive a private key from its corresponding public key, and thus, falsify any digital signature.The prerequisite of being “quantum safe” is that the public key associated with this address is not public. But as we explained above, the moment you want to transfer coins from such a “safe” address, you also reveal the public key, making the address vulnerable. From that moment until your transaction is “mined”, an attacker who possesses a quantum computer gets a window of opportunity to steal your coins.In such an attack, the adversary will first derive your private key from the public key and then initiate a competing transaction to their own address. They will try to get priority over the original transaction by offering a higher mining fee.In the Bitcoin blockchain it currently takes about 10 minutes for transactions to be mined (unless the network is congested which has happened frequently in the past). As long as it takes a quantum computer longer to derive the private key of a specific public key then the network should be safe against a quantum attack. Current scientific estimations predict that a quantum computer will take about 8 hours to break an RSA key, and some specific calculations predict that a Bitcoin signature could be hacked within 30 minutes.  There's much more to the article including some advice for Bitcoin holders about public keys that needs to be addressed now.</p><p><blockquote>自从谷歌宣布它实现了量子霸权以来，网络上越来越多的文章预测当前使用的密码学，特别是比特币的消亡。本文的目标是就量子计算机给比特币带来的风险提出一个平衡的观点。从公钥导出私钥的所有已知（经典）算法都需要天文数字的时间来执行这样的计算，因此是不实用的。然而，在1994年，数学家Peter Shor发表了一种量子算法，可以打破非对称密码学最常见算法的安全性假设。这意味着任何拥有足够大的量子计算机的人都可以使用这种算法从其相应的公钥中导出私钥，从而伪造任何数字签名。“量子安全”的前提是与这个地址关联的公钥不公开。但正如我们上面解释的，当你想从这样一个“安全”的地址转移硬币时，你也暴露了公钥，使地址容易受到攻击。从那一刻起，直到你的交易被“挖掘”，拥有量子计算机的攻击者就有机会窃取你的硬币。在这种攻击中，对手将首先从公钥中导出您的私钥，然后向他们自己的地址发起竞争事务。他们将试图通过提供更高的挖矿费来获得相对于原始交易的优先权。在比特币区块链，目前挖掘交易大约需要10分钟（除非网络拥塞，这在过去经常发生）。只要量子计算机需要更长的时间来导出特定公钥的私钥，那么网络就应该是安全的，不会受到量子攻击。目前的科学估计预测，一台量子计算机需要大约8个小时才能破解一个RSA密钥，一些具体的计算预测，一个比特币签名可以在30分钟内被黑。这篇文章还有更多内容，包括给比特币持有者一些关于公钥的建议，这些建议现在需要解决。</blockquote></p><p> But if quantum computers ever become fast enough, the security of the entire blockchain will melt down.</p><p><blockquote>但如果量子计算机变得足够快，整个区块链的安全性将会崩溃。</blockquote></p><p> Deloitte notes the only solution is ‘post-quantum cryptography’ to build robust and future-proof blockchain applications.</p><p><blockquote>德勤指出，唯一的解决方案是“后量子加密”，以构建健壮且经得起未来考验的区块链应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> That caution applies not only to Bitcoin but to any existing application that uses public-private keys.</p><p><blockquote>这种谨慎不仅适用于比特币，也适用于任何使用公私钥的现有应用程序。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Does This Work?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是如何工作的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8caf2b59c1d52a65584fc84154f89c93\" tg-width=\"572\" tg-height=\"525\"><b>Post Quantum Cryptography</b></p><p><blockquote><b>后量子密码</b></blockquote></p><p> Wikipedia has an excellent discussion ofPost-quantum cryptography</p><p><blockquote>维基百科有一个关于后量子密码学的精彩讨论</blockquote></p><p> One of the simple proposed solutions is to double the key size but there are practical considerations.</p><p><blockquote>提出的简单解决方案之一是将密钥大小加倍，但有实际的考虑。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>A practical consideration on a choice among post-quantum cryptographic algorithms is the effort required to send public keys over the internet</i>.The Open Quantum Safe project&nbsp;was started in late 2016 and has the goal of developing and prototyping quantum-resistant cryptography. It aims to integrate current post-quantum schemes in one library.  The Open Quantum Safe project currently supports 6 algorithms.</p><p><blockquote><i>在后量子密码算法中进行选择的一个实际考虑是通过互联网发送公钥所需的努力</i>开放量子安全项目于2016年底启动，目标是开发和原型化抗量子密码学。它旨在将当前的后量子方案集成到一个库中。开放量子保险箱项目目前支持6种算法。</blockquote></p><p> Beyond that,Forward Secrecy&nbsp;allows the use of one-time keys, generated at random.</p><p><blockquote>除此之外，前向保密允许使用随机生成的一次性密钥。</blockquote></p><p>   Forward secrecy protects data on the transport layer of a network that uses common SSL/TLS protocols, including OpenSSL, when its long-term secret keys are compromised, as with the Heartbleed security bug. If forward secrecy is used, encrypted communications and sessions recorded in the past cannot be retrieved and decrypted should long-term secret keys or passwords be compromised in the future, even if the adversary actively interfered, for example via a man-in-the-middle attack.The value of forward secrecy is that it protects past communication. This reduces the motivation for attackers to compromise keys. For instance, if an attacker learns a long-term key, but the compromise is detected and the long-term key is revoked and updated, relatively little information is leaked in a forward secure system.  Things may not be quite as simple as simply saying double the key size.</p><p><blockquote>前向保密保护使用常见SSL/TLS协议（包括OpenSSL）的网络传输层上的数据，当其长期密钥被泄露时，就像Heartbleed安全漏洞一样。如果使用前向保密，则如果将来长期密钥或密码被泄露，即使对手主动干扰，例如通过中间人攻击，也无法检索和解密过去记录的加密通信和会话。前向保密的价值在于它保护了过去的通信。这降低了攻击者危害密钥的动机。例如，如果攻击者获知长期密钥，但检测到危害并且长期密钥被撤销和更新，则在前向安全系统中相对较少的信息被泄露。事情可能不像简单地说加倍密钥大小那么简单。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://mishtalk.com/economics/google-aims-for-commercial-quantum-computer-by-2029-what-would-that-do-to-bitcoin\">Mish Talk</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://mishtalk.com/economics/google-aims-for-commercial-quantum-computer-by-2029-what-would-that-do-to-bitcoin","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113416958","content_text":"Let's explore quantum computing, problems it might solve, and what it will do to current security protocols and blockchain.\n\nWhat is a Quantum Computer?\nThe New Scientist answers the questionWhat is a Quantum Computer?\n\n Classical computers, which include smartphones and laptops, encode information in binary “bits” that can either be 0s or 1s. In aquantum computer, the basic unit of memory is a quantum bit or qubit.For instance, eight bits is enough for a classical computer to represent any number between 0 and 255. But eight qubits is enough for a quantum computer to represent every number between 0 and 255 at the same time. A few hundred entangled qubits would be enough to represent more numbers than there are atoms in the universe.\n In situations where there are a large number of possible combinations, quantum computers can consider them simultaneously. Examples include trying to find the prime factors of a very large number or the best route between two places.\n\nThat last paragraph above exposes the problem for not just Bitcoin security but virtually all public-private key password encryption.\nHow Can 7 Bits Represent So Much?\nTechnology reviewdescribes superposition.\n\nQubits can represent numerous possible combinations of 1 and 0 at the same time. This ability to simultaneously be in multiple states is called superposition.To put qubits into superposition, researchers manipulate them using precision lasers or microwave beams.Researchers can generate pairs of qubits that are “entangled,” which means the two members of a pair exist in a single quantum state. Changing the state of one of the qubits will instantaneously change the state of the other one in a predictable way. This happens even if they are separated by very long distances.\n Nobody really knows quite how or why entanglement works. It even baffled Einstein, who famously described it as “spooky action at a distance.” But it’s key to the power of quantum computers.\n\nIt takes supercooled computers and vacuum chambers to keep qubits stable long enough to perform a complex calculation.\nThe potential is immense.\n\n Airbus, for instance, is using them to help calculate the most fuel-efficient ascent and descent paths for aircraft. And Volkswagen has unveiled a service that calculates the optimal routes for buses and taxis in cities in order to minimize congestion.\n\nGoogle's Aim\nThe Wall Street Journal reportsGoogle Aims for Commercial-Grade Quantum Computer by 2029\n\n Alphabet Inc.’s Google plans to spend several billion dollars to build a quantum computer by 2029 that can perform large-scale business and scientific calculations without errors, said Hartmut Neven, a distinguished scientist at Google who oversees the company’s Quantum AI program. The company recently opened an expanded California-based campus focused on the effort, he said.“We are at this inflection point,” said Dr. Neven, who has been researching quantum computing at Google since 2006. “We now have the important components in hand that make us confident. We know how to execute the road map.”Google is interested in many potential uses for the technology, such as building more energy-efficient batteries, creating a new process of making fertilizer that emits less carbon dioxide and speeding up training for machine-learning, a branch of artificial intelligence, Dr. Neven said.\n For those and other use cases, Google says it will need to build a 1-million-qubit machine capable of performing reliable calculations without errors. Its current systems have less than 100 qubits.\n\nWhat About Bitcoin?\nDeloitte discussesQuantum Computers and the Bitcoin Blockchain.\n\n Since Google announced that it achieved quantum supremacy there has been an increasing number of articles on the web predicting the demise of currently used cryptography in general, and Bitcoin in particular. The goal of this article is to present a balanced view regarding the risks that quantum computers pose to Bitcoin.All known (classical) algorithms to derive the private key from the public key require an astronomical amount of time to perform such a computation and are therefore not practical. However, in 1994, the mathematician Peter Shor published a quantum algorithm that can break the security assumption of the most common algorithms of asymmetric cryptography. This means that anyone with a sufficiently large quantum computer could use this algorithm to derive a private key from its corresponding public key, and thus, falsify any digital signature.The prerequisite of being “quantum safe” is that the public key associated with this address is not public. But as we explained above, the moment you want to transfer coins from such a “safe” address, you also reveal the public key, making the address vulnerable. From that moment until your transaction is “mined”, an attacker who possesses a quantum computer gets a window of opportunity to steal your coins.In such an attack, the adversary will first derive your private key from the public key and then initiate a competing transaction to their own address. They will try to get priority over the original transaction by offering a higher mining fee.In the Bitcoin blockchain it currently takes about 10 minutes for transactions to be mined (unless the network is congested which has happened frequently in the past). As long as it takes a quantum computer longer to derive the private key of a specific public key then the network should be safe against a quantum attack. Current scientific estimations predict that a quantum computer will take about 8 hours to break an RSA key, and some specific calculations predict that a Bitcoin signature could be hacked within 30 minutes.\n\nThere's much more to the article including some advice for Bitcoin holders about public keys that needs to be addressed now.\nBut if quantum computers ever become fast enough, the security of the entire blockchain will melt down.\nDeloitte notes the only solution is ‘post-quantum cryptography’ to build robust and future-proof blockchain applications.\nThat caution applies not only to Bitcoin but to any existing application that uses public-private keys.\nHow Does This Work?\nPost Quantum Cryptography\nWikipedia has an excellent discussion ofPost-quantum cryptography\nOne of the simple proposed solutions is to double the key size but there are practical considerations.\n\nA practical consideration on a choice among post-quantum cryptographic algorithms is the effort required to send public keys over the internet.The Open Quantum Safe project was started in late 2016 and has the goal of developing and prototyping quantum-resistant cryptography. It aims to integrate current post-quantum schemes in one library.\n\nThe Open Quantum Safe project currently supports 6 algorithms.\nBeyond that,Forward Secrecy allows the use of one-time keys, generated at random.\n\n Forward secrecy protects data on the transport layer of a network that uses common SSL/TLS protocols, including OpenSSL, when its long-term secret keys are compromised, as with the Heartbleed security bug. If forward secrecy is used, encrypted communications and sessions recorded in the past cannot be retrieved and decrypted should long-term secret keys or passwords be compromised in the future, even if the adversary actively interfered, for example via a man-in-the-middle attack.The value of forward secrecy is that it protects past communication. This reduces the motivation for attackers to compromise keys. For instance, if an attacker learns a long-term key, but the compromise is detected and the long-term key is revoked and updated, relatively little information is leaked in a forward secure system.\n\nThings may not be quite as simple as simply saying double the key size.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOG":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197857431,"gmtCreate":1621444567523,"gmtModify":1634189095990,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fingers crossed&nbsp;","listText":"Fingers crossed&nbsp;","text":"Fingers crossed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197857431","repostId":"1103552481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103552481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621428667,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103552481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-19 20:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103552481","media":"Barrons","summary":"The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but inv","content":"<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最新的会议纪要预计今天不会引起太大轰动，但投资者仍应关注一些不同的主题。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance:&nbsp; A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a&nbsp;surprisingly weak jobs report&nbsp;and a&nbsp;stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要将于今天下午2点公布，美联储观察人士在解读其意义时可能会面临比平时更大的挑战：自4月28日至29日的会议以来，经济发生了很大变化。例如，接下来的几周带来了令人惊讶的疲软就业报告和强于预期的消费者通胀报告。</blockquote></p><p> And unlike&nbsp;last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April.&nbsp;The 10-year yield has&nbsp;dropped to 1.64%&nbsp;from 1.74% on March 31.</p><p><blockquote>与上个月的会议不同，美国国债并没有出现引人注目的抛售来引起官员的注意。尽管经济数据显示4月份价格压力更大，但收益率的急剧攀升在3月底有所减弱。10年期国债收益率已从3月31日的1.74%降至1.64%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这份文件仍可能为央行的观点提供一些线索。自上次会议以来，官员们也提供了更多关于政策的观点。值得注意的是，美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达在周一的一次会议上发表讲话，并讨论了最近的一些经济数据点。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:</p><p><blockquote>以下是策略师对今天会议的预期，以及克拉里达对这些主题的看法：</blockquote></p><p> <b>“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“适应并关注”“暂时性”通货膨胀？</b></blockquote></p><p> One popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.</p><p><blockquote>包括美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）在内的美联储官员的一个流行观点是，今年春天预计将带来通胀“暂时”上升，这主要与去年疫情导致经济活动急剧减速后美国经济重新开放有关。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗经济学家Steven Ricchiuto和Alex Pelle在5月18日的一份报告中写道，他们预计会议纪要中“多次提到‘暂时’价格压力”。他们还强调，4月份消费者价格涨幅最大的许多行业都是需求受疫情打击最严重的行业，例如酒店和机票。“到目前为止，这证实了美联储的想法，”他们补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Yet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation:&nbsp; That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在周一的会议上，克拉里达似乎在重复一种关于通胀的不同类型的保证：央行将“协调并关注”任何显示价格压力上升的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”</p><p><blockquote>“在CPI报告中，[重新开放]确实明显给价格带来了上行压力。现在我们的基线观点是，其中大部分可能是暂时的，但我们必须适应并关注即将到来的数据，”他说。“我们任务的关键要素是价格稳定，而价格稳定的一个重要组成部分是稳定的通胀预期。如果我们看到价格或通胀面临上行压力，有可能推高通胀预期，我毫不怀疑我们会使用我们的工具来解决这种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper Timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥形时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注央行是否就何时开始削减每月1200亿美元的债券购买量提供任何额外指导。鲍威尔曾表示，美联储希望在削减购买之前，在实现充分就业和长期平均通胀率2%的目标方面取得“实质性的进一步进展”，但官员们没有提供太多额外指导。</blockquote></p><p> Most on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases&nbsp;late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街大多数人预计，美联储将在今年夏末或秋季讨论减少或缩减购买规模的长期计划。NatWest Markets在周一的一份报告中表示，预计美联储将在9月份开始谈论缩减购债规模，并在明年实际上开始放缓购债步伐。</blockquote></p><p> So any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此，最新会议纪要中任何更详细的讨论都可能令投资者感到意外，并可能对市场产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor-Market Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳工市场展望</b></blockquote></p><p> One key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.</p><p><blockquote>决定美联储债券购买（和其他宽松政策）前景的一个关键因素是劳动力市场的复苏。在令人失望的四月份就业报告之后，这一问题仍然悬而未决。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes:&nbsp; How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，投资者仍有可能在会议纪要中找到有关他们的一个问题的更多背景：多少改善足以让美联储开始撤回宽松政策？换句话说，“实质性的进一步进展”是什么意思？</blockquote></p><p> Before the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>在4月份劳动力市场令人失望的消息传出之前，华尔街大多数人预计本月将创造就业机会强劲，这是鲍威尔曾表示，在美国实现“实质性的进一步进展”之前，需要实现“一系列”强劲复苏的又一步。美联储的目标。这可能促使官员们讨论复苏需要走多远，央行才能开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> Clarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.</p><p><blockquote>克拉里达周一还讨论了4月份的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”</p><p><blockquote>“四月份就业报告告诉我的是，我们使劳动力市场，特别是服务业供需平衡的方式可能需要一些时间，并且随着工人重返就业，可能会对价格产生一些上行压力，因此我们必须适应并关注数据流，”他说。“根据四月份就业报告，我们没有取得实质性的进一步进展，但随着数据的出现，我们作为一个委员会将不得不对其进行评估，并最终做出判断。”</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes:&nbsp; Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the&nbsp;economic data has been so volatile&nbsp;during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.</p><p><blockquote>最终，未来劳动力市场数据的重要性暗示了美联储会议纪要的更广泛结论：未来几个月的经济数据可能是美联储行动及其取消市场和经济宽松计划的最终仲裁者。在重新开放期间，经济数据波动如此之大，以至于到美联储6月份再次开会时，情况可能会发生重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> That means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者将不得不再持有一段时间才能了解央行计划何时开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO策略师Ian Lyngen写道：“我们不愿意将这种均衡视为任何形式的均衡，相反，随着宏观预期的进一步细化，它更有可能被证明是一种暂时的持有模式。”“显然，我们的问题多于答案。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-19 20:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最新的会议纪要预计今天不会引起太大轰动，但投资者仍应关注一些不同的主题。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance:&nbsp; A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a&nbsp;surprisingly weak jobs report&nbsp;and a&nbsp;stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要将于今天下午2点公布，美联储观察人士在解读其意义时可能会面临比平时更大的挑战：自4月28日至29日的会议以来，经济发生了很大变化。例如，接下来的几周带来了令人惊讶的疲软就业报告和强于预期的消费者通胀报告。</blockquote></p><p> And unlike&nbsp;last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April.&nbsp;The 10-year yield has&nbsp;dropped to 1.64%&nbsp;from 1.74% on March 31.</p><p><blockquote>与上个月的会议不同，美国国债并没有出现引人注目的抛售来引起官员的注意。尽管经济数据显示4月份价格压力更大，但收益率的急剧攀升在3月底有所减弱。10年期国债收益率已从3月31日的1.74%降至1.64%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这份文件仍可能为央行的观点提供一些线索。自上次会议以来，官员们也提供了更多关于政策的观点。值得注意的是，美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达在周一的一次会议上发表讲话，并讨论了最近的一些经济数据点。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:</p><p><blockquote>以下是策略师对今天会议的预期，以及克拉里达对这些主题的看法：</blockquote></p><p> <b>“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“适应并关注”“暂时性”通货膨胀？</b></blockquote></p><p> One popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.</p><p><blockquote>包括美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）在内的美联储官员的一个流行观点是，今年春天预计将带来通胀“暂时”上升，这主要与去年疫情导致经济活动急剧减速后美国经济重新开放有关。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗经济学家Steven Ricchiuto和Alex Pelle在5月18日的一份报告中写道，他们预计会议纪要中“多次提到‘暂时’价格压力”。他们还强调，4月份消费者价格涨幅最大的许多行业都是需求受疫情打击最严重的行业，例如酒店和机票。“到目前为止，这证实了美联储的想法，”他们补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Yet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation:&nbsp; That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在周一的会议上，克拉里达似乎在重复一种关于通胀的不同类型的保证：央行将“协调并关注”任何显示价格压力上升的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”</p><p><blockquote>“在CPI报告中，[重新开放]确实明显给价格带来了上行压力。现在我们的基线观点是，其中大部分可能是暂时的，但我们必须适应并关注即将到来的数据，”他说。“我们任务的关键要素是价格稳定，而价格稳定的一个重要组成部分是稳定的通胀预期。如果我们看到价格或通胀面临上行压力，有可能推高通胀预期，我毫不怀疑我们会使用我们的工具来解决这种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper Timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥形时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注央行是否就何时开始削减每月1200亿美元的债券购买量提供任何额外指导。鲍威尔曾表示，美联储希望在削减购买之前，在实现充分就业和长期平均通胀率2%的目标方面取得“实质性的进一步进展”，但官员们没有提供太多额外指导。</blockquote></p><p> Most on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases&nbsp;late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街大多数人预计，美联储将在今年夏末或秋季讨论减少或缩减购买规模的长期计划。NatWest Markets在周一的一份报告中表示，预计美联储将在9月份开始谈论缩减购债规模，并在明年实际上开始放缓购债步伐。</blockquote></p><p> So any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此，最新会议纪要中任何更详细的讨论都可能令投资者感到意外，并可能对市场产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor-Market Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳工市场展望</b></blockquote></p><p> One key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.</p><p><blockquote>决定美联储债券购买（和其他宽松政策）前景的一个关键因素是劳动力市场的复苏。在令人失望的四月份就业报告之后，这一问题仍然悬而未决。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes:&nbsp; How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，投资者仍有可能在会议纪要中找到有关他们的一个问题的更多背景：多少改善足以让美联储开始撤回宽松政策？换句话说，“实质性的进一步进展”是什么意思？</blockquote></p><p> Before the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>在4月份劳动力市场令人失望的消息传出之前，华尔街大多数人预计本月将创造就业机会强劲，这是鲍威尔曾表示，在美国实现“实质性的进一步进展”之前，需要实现“一系列”强劲复苏的又一步。美联储的目标。这可能促使官员们讨论复苏需要走多远，央行才能开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> Clarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.</p><p><blockquote>克拉里达周一还讨论了4月份的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”</p><p><blockquote>“四月份就业报告告诉我的是，我们使劳动力市场，特别是服务业供需平衡的方式可能需要一些时间，并且随着工人重返就业，可能会对价格产生一些上行压力，因此我们必须适应并关注数据流，”他说。“根据四月份就业报告，我们没有取得实质性的进一步进展，但随着数据的出现，我们作为一个委员会将不得不对其进行评估，并最终做出判断。”</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes:&nbsp; Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the&nbsp;economic data has been so volatile&nbsp;during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.</p><p><blockquote>最终，未来劳动力市场数据的重要性暗示了美联储会议纪要的更广泛结论：未来几个月的经济数据可能是美联储行动及其取消市场和经济宽松计划的最终仲裁者。在重新开放期间，经济数据波动如此之大，以至于到美联储6月份再次开会时，情况可能会发生重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> That means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者将不得不再持有一段时间才能了解央行计划何时开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO策略师Ian Lyngen写道：“我们不愿意将这种均衡视为任何形式的均衡，相反，随着宏观预期的进一步细化，它更有可能被证明是一种暂时的持有模式。”“显然，我们的问题多于答案。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-jobs-and-more-to-watch-for-in-todays-fed-minutes-release-51621421812?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-jobs-and-more-to-watch-for-in-todays-fed-minutes-release-51621421812?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103552481","content_text":"The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.\nThe minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance:  A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a surprisingly weak jobs report and a stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.\nAnd unlike last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April. The 10-year yield has dropped to 1.64% from 1.74% on March 31.\nYet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.\nHere’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:\n“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?\nOne popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.\nMizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.\nYet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation:  That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.\n“In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”\nTaper Timeline\nInvestors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.\nMost on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.\nSo any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.\nLabor-Market Outlook\nOne key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.\nStill, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes:  How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?\nBefore the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.\nClarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.\n“What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”\nUltimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes:  Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the economic data has been so volatile during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.\nThat means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.\n“We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194863863,"gmtCreate":1621354474452,"gmtModify":1634192175117,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mmmmm I wonder if I should get this?&nbsp;","listText":"Mmmmm I wonder if I should get this?&nbsp;","text":"Mmmmm I wonder if I should get this?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194863863","repostId":"2136995492","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194913208,"gmtCreate":1621333179504,"gmtModify":1634192380057,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should we buy this??&nbsp;","listText":"Should we buy this??&nbsp;","text":"Should we buy this??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194913208","repostId":"2136738931","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136738931","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621318800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2136738931?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 14:20","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"JD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流启动香港IPO募资至多34亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136738931","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering  to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion  if the deal is priced at the top end.JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibilli","content":"<p>The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务巨头京东的物流部门周一开始向散户投资者推销其在香港的首次公开募股（IPO），价格范围为每股39.36港元至43.36港元，如果交易定价在最高端，该公司可能会筹集高达264亿港元（34亿美元）。<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（点击此处申请京东物流股份）</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的公开发行将从周一持续到周五。其股票预计将于5月28日在香港交易所主板开始交易。</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流计划出售6.092亿股股票，占其扩大后股本的10%。如果需求强劲，则有超额配股权可再出售最多9140万股。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9320033ea7302952fa2cb6ece8339a\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"464\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.</p><p><blockquote>阁下的申请必须认购最少100股香港发售股份，并按下表所列其中一个数目认购。您需要支付您选择的号码旁边的金额。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f72efeb4b54a02dbfe728ebb1099dd\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"437\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的发行预计将是今年港交所第二笔数十亿美元的IPO，此前腾讯控股支持的短视频平台快手科技在1月份筹集了62亿美元。快手的发行是今年迄今为止全球最大的IPO。</blockquote></p><p>Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.</p><p><blockquote>八名基石投资者已承诺购买总价值15亿美元的京东物流股票，如果交易定价为最高端，这将占其全球发行的约39%。</blockquote></p><p>The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.</p><p><blockquote>投资者包括软银、新加坡主权财富基金淡马锡控股、中国结构性改革基金以及黑石、老虎环球管理等资产管理公司。</blockquote></p><p>BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.</p><p><blockquote>美银证券、高盛和海通国际担任此次交易的联席保荐人，瑞银则担任财务顾问。</blockquote></p><p>Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.</p><p><blockquote>假设该交易定价为最高端，京东物流的市值将为2641亿港元，估值高于中通快递。</blockquote></p><p>Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于上海的中通去年9月通过二次上市在港上市时，市值为1807亿港元，阿里巴巴-SW集团是其股东之一。阿里巴巴-SW拥有《南华早报》。</blockquote></p><p>Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将渴望了解更多有关京东物流盈利计划的信息。这家总部位于北京的公司在招股说明书中表示，预计今年的净亏损将更大，此前2018年亏损28亿元人民币（4.35亿美元），2019年亏损22亿元人民币，2020年亏损40亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p>\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在招股说明书草案中表示：“由于我们目前将业务增长和市场份额扩大置于盈利能力之上，因此我们的盈利状况在中短期内可能会出现重大波动。”</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流正在寻求与中通和韵达控股等其他参与者区分开来，将自己标榜为一家技术驱动的物流服务提供商，使用自主移动机器人、分拣机器人和自动驾驶汽车来提高配送速度和准确性。</blockquote></p><p>Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.</p><p><blockquote>从技术角度推销股票销售可以帮助京东物流描绘更积极的前景。这是因为快递行业的竞争尤其激烈，有报道称一些新参与者以低于成本的价格提供服务来抢占业务。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>华兴资本分析师查理·陈(Charlie Chen)表示，过去三年，由于市场竞争激烈，快递公司每个包裹的平均收入下降了50%至60%。</blockquote></p><p>SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.</p><p><blockquote>中国最大的快递服务提供商顺丰本月震惊市场，此前该公司预测第一季度亏损11亿元人民币，引发了对其股票的抛售。截至周五收盘，其在上海的股价较2月中旬的峰值几乎腰斩。</blockquote></p><p>Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.</p><p><blockquote>中通、圆通快递、申通快递、顺丰快递和韵达控股这五家公司占据了中国快递服务市场近80%的份额。</blockquote></p><p>China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>就支出而言，中国是全球最大的物流市场，2020年物流总支出达到14.9万亿元。京东物流招股说明书中引用的研究公司灼识咨询的数据显示，预计到2025年，这一数字将增至19.3万亿元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流启动香港IPO募资至多34亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流启动香港IPO募资至多34亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-18 14:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务巨头京东的物流部门周一开始向散户投资者推销其在香港的首次公开募股（IPO），价格范围为每股39.36港元至43.36港元，如果交易定价在最高端，该公司可能会筹集高达264亿港元（34亿美元）。<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（点击此处申请京东物流股份）</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的公开发行将从周一持续到周五。其股票预计将于5月28日在香港交易所主板开始交易。</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流计划出售6.092亿股股票，占其扩大后股本的10%。如果需求强劲，则有超额配股权可再出售最多9140万股。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9320033ea7302952fa2cb6ece8339a\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"464\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.</p><p><blockquote>阁下的申请必须认购最少100股香港发售股份，并按下表所列其中一个数目认购。您需要支付您选择的号码旁边的金额。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f72efeb4b54a02dbfe728ebb1099dd\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"437\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的发行预计将是今年港交所第二笔数十亿美元的IPO，此前腾讯控股支持的短视频平台快手科技在1月份筹集了62亿美元。快手的发行是今年迄今为止全球最大的IPO。</blockquote></p><p>Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.</p><p><blockquote>八名基石投资者已承诺购买总价值15亿美元的京东物流股票，如果交易定价为最高端，这将占其全球发行的约39%。</blockquote></p><p>The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.</p><p><blockquote>投资者包括软银、新加坡主权财富基金淡马锡控股、中国结构性改革基金以及黑石、老虎环球管理等资产管理公司。</blockquote></p><p>BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.</p><p><blockquote>美银证券、高盛和海通国际担任此次交易的联席保荐人，瑞银则担任财务顾问。</blockquote></p><p>Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.</p><p><blockquote>假设该交易定价为最高端，京东物流的市值将为2641亿港元，估值高于中通快递。</blockquote></p><p>Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于上海的中通去年9月通过二次上市在港上市时，市值为1807亿港元，阿里巴巴-SW集团是其股东之一。阿里巴巴-SW拥有《南华早报》。</blockquote></p><p>Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将渴望了解更多有关京东物流盈利计划的信息。这家总部位于北京的公司在招股说明书中表示，预计今年的净亏损将更大，此前2018年亏损28亿元人民币（4.35亿美元），2019年亏损22亿元人民币，2020年亏损40亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p>\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在招股说明书草案中表示：“由于我们目前将业务增长和市场份额扩大置于盈利能力之上，因此我们的盈利状况在中短期内可能会出现重大波动。”</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流正在寻求与中通和韵达控股等其他参与者区分开来，将自己标榜为一家技术驱动的物流服务提供商，使用自主移动机器人、分拣机器人和自动驾驶汽车来提高配送速度和准确性。</blockquote></p><p>Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.</p><p><blockquote>从技术角度推销股票销售可以帮助京东物流描绘更积极的前景。这是因为快递行业的竞争尤其激烈，有报道称一些新参与者以低于成本的价格提供服务来抢占业务。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>华兴资本分析师查理·陈(Charlie Chen)表示，过去三年，由于市场竞争激烈，快递公司每个包裹的平均收入下降了50%至60%。</blockquote></p><p>SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.</p><p><blockquote>中国最大的快递服务提供商顺丰本月震惊市场，此前该公司预测第一季度亏损11亿元人民币，引发了对其股票的抛售。截至周五收盘，其在上海的股价较2月中旬的峰值几乎腰斩。</blockquote></p><p>Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.</p><p><blockquote>中通、圆通快递、申通快递、顺丰快递和韵达控股这五家公司占据了中国快递服务市场近80%的份额。</blockquote></p><p>China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>就支出而言，中国是全球最大的物流市场，2020年物流总支出达到14.9万亿元。京东物流招股说明书中引用的研究公司灼识咨询的数据显示，预计到2025年，这一数字将增至19.3万亿元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"02618":"京东物流"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136738931","content_text":"The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194919722,"gmtCreate":1621333117166,"gmtModify":1634192380416,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mmmmm I see.&nbsp;","listText":"Mmmmm I see.&nbsp;","text":"Mmmmm I see.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194919722","repostId":"1197102420","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197102420","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621331867,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197102420?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 17:57","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Chinese Giant JD.com Seeks $3.4 Billion in Logistics IPO. Here’s What to Know.<blockquote>中国巨头京东寻求34亿美元的物流IPO。以下是需要了解的内容。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197102420","media":"Barrons","summary":"After a blockbuster year for e-commerce boosted by the Covid-19 pandemic, China’s JD.com is seeking ","content":"<p>After a blockbuster year for e-commerce boosted by the Covid-19 pandemic, China’s&nbsp;JD.com&nbsp;is seeking to raise up to $3.4 billion by listing its logistics arm.</p><p><blockquote>在Covid-19大流行推动电子商务经历了轰动一时的一年后，中国京东。com正寻求通过其物流部门上市筹集至多34亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> JD Logistics is an integrated supply-chain player in China, offering services from warehousing to distribution, from manufacturer to end customer. Its initial public offering is set to be one of the largest in Hong Kong this year.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流是中国的综合供应链参与者，提供从仓储到配送、从制造商到最终客户的服务。它的首次公开募股将是今年香港最大的一次。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in the e-commerce giant&nbsp;JD.com&nbsp;closed less than 1% lower in Hong Kong, while its Nasdaq-listed U.S. shares similarly fell less than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>电子商务巨头京东的股价在港收盘下跌不到1%，而其在纳斯达克上市的美股也同样下跌不到1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The back story.</b>JD.com—one of China’s internet giants —established its in-house logistics division in 2007. The group built out warehousing and delivery infrastructure and supply-chain technologies through this division for a decade, before formally spinning out the company in 2017. Since then, JD Logistics has continued to serve JD.com, alongside offering services to external clients.</p><p><blockquote><b>背景故事。</b>中国互联网巨头之一的京东在2007年成立了自己的物流部门。在2017年正式分拆公司之前，该集团通过该部门建立了仓储和交付基础设施以及供应链技术十年。此后，京东物流继续为京东提供服务，同时为外部客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> The company operated more than 900 warehouses across China by the end of 2020, with its logistics network using high-tech tools like self-driving vehicles and autonomous robots. Its 32 “smart mega warehouses” across China include a fully unmanned center in Shanghai.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，该公司在中国运营着900多个仓库，其物流网络使用自动驾驶汽车和自主机器人等高科技工具。其遍布中国的32个“智能巨型仓库”包括位于上海的一个完全无人化的中心。</blockquote></p><p> Since being spun off in 2017, JD Logistics has grown quickly, with revenue growth of 32% between 2018 and 2019 and 47% from 2019 to 2020. It recorded net losses of more than 2 billion yuan ($300 million) in both 2018 and 2019, and a net loss of 4 billion yuan in 2020. The group expects its net loss for 2021 to “increase significantly” compared with 2020, in part due to lower profit margins from a decrease in government support related to the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>自2017年分拆以来，京东物流增长迅速，2018年至2019年间营收增长32%，2019年至2020年营收增长47%。2018年和2019年净亏损均超过20亿元人民币（3亿美元），2020年净亏损40亿元人民币。该集团预计2021年的净亏损将较2020年“大幅增加”，部分原因是与Covid-19大流行相关的政府支持减少导致利润率下降。</blockquote></p><p> JD.com floated its pharmaceutical and health services division, JD Health, in Hong Kong in December 2020, raising $3.5 billion, and itself listed in Hong Kong in June 2020 after years of its shares being traded on the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>京东于2020年12月在香港上市其医药和健康服务部门京东健康，筹集了35亿美元，其股票在纳斯达克交易多年后于2020年6月在香港上市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What’s new.</b>JD.com said on Monday that it would seek to raise up to 264,132 million Hong Kong dollars ($3.4 billion) through the listing of JD Logistics. The IPO would be the second-largest in Hong Kong in 2021, since Tencent-backed video-sharing app&nbsp;Kuaishou&nbsp;floated in February to raise $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>什么是新的。</b>京东周一表示，将寻求通过京东物流上市融资至多2641.32亿港元（合34亿美元）。此次IPO将是2021年香港第二大IPO，此前腾讯控股支持的视频分享应用快手在2月份上市，筹集了54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> JD Logistics intends to issue 609.2 million shares—around 10% of its stock—within an expected price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36, according to filings. The company is slated to retain more than 64% of the total shares. An overallotment option, or green shoe, would allow for the sale of another 91 million shares to raise up to a further $510 million.</p><p><blockquote>文件显示，京东物流打算发行6.092亿股股票，约占其股票的10%，预期价格区间为39.36港元至43.36港元。该公司预计将保留超过64%的股份。超额配售选择权（即绿鞋）将允许再出售9100万股股票，以进一步筹集最多5.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Cornerstone investors including Softbank’s Vision Fund, Tiger Global, Blackstone, and Temasek Holdings—Singapore’s state-backed investment company—have committed to buying around $1.5 billion worth of shares. The final pricing for the IPO is expected on Friday, before the shares begin trading on May 28.Bank of America,Goldman Sachs,and Chinese investment bank Haitong are the joint sponsors of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>包括软银愿景基金、老虎环球、黑石集团和新加坡国家支持的投资公司淡马锡控股在内的基石投资者已承诺购买价值约15亿美元的股票。IPO的最终定价预计将于周五进行，然后股票将于5月28日开始交易。美国银行、高盛、中资投行海通为此次IPO的联席保荐人。</blockquote></p><p> In its prospectus, the group made the case that it was a tech-driven supply-chain and logistics expert, with proprietary tools allowing it to substantially improve the operational efficiencies of customers’ supply chains. The key risks to JD Logistics’ business, according to the filings, include intense competition in the e-commerce and services space, Chinese macroeconomic conditions, and the fact that a significant portion of its revenue has historically come from JD.com.</p><p><blockquote>本集团在招股章程中表示，其是一家技术驱动的供应链和物流专家，拥有专有工具，可大幅提高客户供应链的运营效率。文件显示，京东物流业务面临的主要风险包括电子商务和服务领域的激烈竞争、中国宏观经济状况以及其很大一部分收入历来来自京东。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking ahead.</b>Investors can view JD Logistics going public as a way to play a few familiar high-tech trends, including artificial intelligence and 5G-linked breakthroughs in autonomous vehicles and robots. These technologies have serious implications for supply chains. More broadly, JD Logistics would be another way to gain exposure to the e-commerce sector as consumer spending ramps up—in China and around the world—with the economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来。</b>投资者可以将京东物流上市视为利用一些熟悉的高科技趋势的一种方式，包括人工智能以及自动驾驶汽车和机器人方面与5G相关的突破。这些技术对供应链有着严重的影响。更广泛地说，随着经济从Covid-19大流行中复苏，中国和世界各地的消费者支出增加，京东物流将是进入电子商务领域的另一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> But investors must be aware that the group would go public into a tough regulatory environment, with Chinese regulators cracking down on tech companies. Last month, regulators warned 13 groups, including a JD.com subsidiary, over antitrust issues, and share prices in the sector have faced headwinds since February amid rising interest rates and regulatory concerns in both the U.S. and China.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者必须意识到，随着中国监管机构打击科技公司，该集团将在严格的监管环境中上市。上个月，监管机构就反垄断问题向包括京东子公司在内的13家集团发出警告，自2月份以来，由于中美利率上升和监管担忧，该行业的股价一直面临阻力。</blockquote></p><p> And the market has had recent cause for concern about the Chinese tech and logistics sector more broadly. One of JD Logistics’ competitors, SF Holding, saw its stock price crash more than 44% from highs in February after it posted a surprise quarterly loss. That prompted questions about lofty valuations beyond SF, which is China’s largest listed courier group. Expect JD Logistics to face similar scrutiny.</p><p><blockquote>市场最近对中国科技和物流行业产生了更广泛的担忧。京东物流的竞争对手之一顺丰控股在公布意外季度亏损后，其股价从2月份的高点暴跌超过44%。这引发了人们对顺丰以外的高估值的质疑，顺丰是中国最大的上市快递集团。预计京东物流也将面临类似的审查。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chinese Giant JD.com Seeks $3.4 Billion in Logistics IPO. Here’s What to Know.<blockquote>中国巨头京东寻求34亿美元的物流IPO。以下是需要了解的内容。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese Giant JD.com Seeks $3.4 Billion in Logistics IPO. Here’s What to Know.<blockquote>中国巨头京东寻求34亿美元的物流IPO。以下是需要了解的内容。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-18 17:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a blockbuster year for e-commerce boosted by the Covid-19 pandemic, China’s&nbsp;JD.com&nbsp;is seeking to raise up to $3.4 billion by listing its logistics arm.</p><p><blockquote>在Covid-19大流行推动电子商务经历了轰动一时的一年后，中国京东。com正寻求通过其物流部门上市筹集至多34亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> JD Logistics is an integrated supply-chain player in China, offering services from warehousing to distribution, from manufacturer to end customer. Its initial public offering is set to be one of the largest in Hong Kong this year.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流是中国的综合供应链参与者，提供从仓储到配送、从制造商到最终客户的服务。它的首次公开募股将是今年香港最大的一次。</blockquote></p><p> Shares in the e-commerce giant&nbsp;JD.com&nbsp;closed less than 1% lower in Hong Kong, while its Nasdaq-listed U.S. shares similarly fell less than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>电子商务巨头京东的股价在港收盘下跌不到1%，而其在纳斯达克上市的美股也同样下跌不到1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The back story.</b>JD.com—one of China’s internet giants —established its in-house logistics division in 2007. The group built out warehousing and delivery infrastructure and supply-chain technologies through this division for a decade, before formally spinning out the company in 2017. Since then, JD Logistics has continued to serve JD.com, alongside offering services to external clients.</p><p><blockquote><b>背景故事。</b>中国互联网巨头之一的京东在2007年成立了自己的物流部门。在2017年正式分拆公司之前，该集团通过该部门建立了仓储和交付基础设施以及供应链技术十年。此后，京东物流继续为京东提供服务，同时为外部客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> The company operated more than 900 warehouses across China by the end of 2020, with its logistics network using high-tech tools like self-driving vehicles and autonomous robots. Its 32 “smart mega warehouses” across China include a fully unmanned center in Shanghai.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，该公司在中国运营着900多个仓库，其物流网络使用自动驾驶汽车和自主机器人等高科技工具。其遍布中国的32个“智能巨型仓库”包括位于上海的一个完全无人化的中心。</blockquote></p><p> Since being spun off in 2017, JD Logistics has grown quickly, with revenue growth of 32% between 2018 and 2019 and 47% from 2019 to 2020. It recorded net losses of more than 2 billion yuan ($300 million) in both 2018 and 2019, and a net loss of 4 billion yuan in 2020. The group expects its net loss for 2021 to “increase significantly” compared with 2020, in part due to lower profit margins from a decrease in government support related to the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>自2017年分拆以来，京东物流增长迅速，2018年至2019年间营收增长32%，2019年至2020年营收增长47%。2018年和2019年净亏损均超过20亿元人民币（3亿美元），2020年净亏损40亿元人民币。该集团预计2021年的净亏损将较2020年“大幅增加”，部分原因是与Covid-19大流行相关的政府支持减少导致利润率下降。</blockquote></p><p> JD.com floated its pharmaceutical and health services division, JD Health, in Hong Kong in December 2020, raising $3.5 billion, and itself listed in Hong Kong in June 2020 after years of its shares being traded on the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>京东于2020年12月在香港上市其医药和健康服务部门京东健康，筹集了35亿美元，其股票在纳斯达克交易多年后于2020年6月在香港上市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What’s new.</b>JD.com said on Monday that it would seek to raise up to 264,132 million Hong Kong dollars ($3.4 billion) through the listing of JD Logistics. The IPO would be the second-largest in Hong Kong in 2021, since Tencent-backed video-sharing app&nbsp;Kuaishou&nbsp;floated in February to raise $5.4 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>什么是新的。</b>京东周一表示，将寻求通过京东物流上市融资至多2641.32亿港元（合34亿美元）。此次IPO将是2021年香港第二大IPO，此前腾讯控股支持的视频分享应用快手在2月份上市，筹集了54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> JD Logistics intends to issue 609.2 million shares—around 10% of its stock—within an expected price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36, according to filings. The company is slated to retain more than 64% of the total shares. An overallotment option, or green shoe, would allow for the sale of another 91 million shares to raise up to a further $510 million.</p><p><blockquote>文件显示，京东物流打算发行6.092亿股股票，约占其股票的10%，预期价格区间为39.36港元至43.36港元。该公司预计将保留超过64%的股份。超额配售选择权（即绿鞋）将允许再出售9100万股股票，以进一步筹集最多5.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Cornerstone investors including Softbank’s Vision Fund, Tiger Global, Blackstone, and Temasek Holdings—Singapore’s state-backed investment company—have committed to buying around $1.5 billion worth of shares. The final pricing for the IPO is expected on Friday, before the shares begin trading on May 28.Bank of America,Goldman Sachs,and Chinese investment bank Haitong are the joint sponsors of the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>包括软银愿景基金、老虎环球、黑石集团和新加坡国家支持的投资公司淡马锡控股在内的基石投资者已承诺购买价值约15亿美元的股票。IPO的最终定价预计将于周五进行，然后股票将于5月28日开始交易。美国银行、高盛、中资投行海通为此次IPO的联席保荐人。</blockquote></p><p> In its prospectus, the group made the case that it was a tech-driven supply-chain and logistics expert, with proprietary tools allowing it to substantially improve the operational efficiencies of customers’ supply chains. The key risks to JD Logistics’ business, according to the filings, include intense competition in the e-commerce and services space, Chinese macroeconomic conditions, and the fact that a significant portion of its revenue has historically come from JD.com.</p><p><blockquote>本集团在招股章程中表示，其是一家技术驱动的供应链和物流专家，拥有专有工具，可大幅提高客户供应链的运营效率。文件显示，京东物流业务面临的主要风险包括电子商务和服务领域的激烈竞争、中国宏观经济状况以及其很大一部分收入历来来自京东。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Looking ahead.</b>Investors can view JD Logistics going public as a way to play a few familiar high-tech trends, including artificial intelligence and 5G-linked breakthroughs in autonomous vehicles and robots. These technologies have serious implications for supply chains. More broadly, JD Logistics would be another way to gain exposure to the e-commerce sector as consumer spending ramps up—in China and around the world—with the economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来。</b>投资者可以将京东物流上市视为利用一些熟悉的高科技趋势的一种方式，包括人工智能以及自动驾驶汽车和机器人方面与5G相关的突破。这些技术对供应链有着严重的影响。更广泛地说，随着经济从Covid-19大流行中复苏，中国和世界各地的消费者支出增加，京东物流将是进入电子商务领域的另一种方式。</blockquote></p><p> But investors must be aware that the group would go public into a tough regulatory environment, with Chinese regulators cracking down on tech companies. Last month, regulators warned 13 groups, including a JD.com subsidiary, over antitrust issues, and share prices in the sector have faced headwinds since February amid rising interest rates and regulatory concerns in both the U.S. and China.</p><p><blockquote>但投资者必须意识到，随着中国监管机构打击科技公司，该集团将在严格的监管环境中上市。上个月，监管机构就反垄断问题向包括京东子公司在内的13家集团发出警告，自2月份以来，由于中美利率上升和监管担忧，该行业的股价一直面临阻力。</blockquote></p><p> And the market has had recent cause for concern about the Chinese tech and logistics sector more broadly. One of JD Logistics’ competitors, SF Holding, saw its stock price crash more than 44% from highs in February after it posted a surprise quarterly loss. That prompted questions about lofty valuations beyond SF, which is China’s largest listed courier group. Expect JD Logistics to face similar scrutiny.</p><p><blockquote>市场最近对中国科技和物流行业产生了更广泛的担忧。京东物流的竞争对手之一顺丰控股在公布意外季度亏损后，其股价从2月份的高点暴跌超过44%。这引发了人们对顺丰以外的高估值的质疑，顺丰是中国最大的上市快递集团。预计京东物流也将面临类似的审查。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chinese-giant-jd-com-seeks-3-4-billion-in-logistics-ipo-heres-what-to-know-51621265204?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JD":"京东","02618":"京东物流","09618":"京东集团-SW"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/chinese-giant-jd-com-seeks-3-4-billion-in-logistics-ipo-heres-what-to-know-51621265204?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197102420","content_text":"After a blockbuster year for e-commerce boosted by the Covid-19 pandemic, China’s JD.com is seeking to raise up to $3.4 billion by listing its logistics arm.\nJD Logistics is an integrated supply-chain player in China, offering services from warehousing to distribution, from manufacturer to end customer. Its initial public offering is set to be one of the largest in Hong Kong this year.\nShares in the e-commerce giant JD.com closed less than 1% lower in Hong Kong, while its Nasdaq-listed U.S. shares similarly fell less than 1%.\nThe back story.JD.com—one of China’s internet giants —established its in-house logistics division in 2007. The group built out warehousing and delivery infrastructure and supply-chain technologies through this division for a decade, before formally spinning out the company in 2017. Since then, JD Logistics has continued to serve JD.com, alongside offering services to external clients.\nThe company operated more than 900 warehouses across China by the end of 2020, with its logistics network using high-tech tools like self-driving vehicles and autonomous robots. Its 32 “smart mega warehouses” across China include a fully unmanned center in Shanghai.\nSince being spun off in 2017, JD Logistics has grown quickly, with revenue growth of 32% between 2018 and 2019 and 47% from 2019 to 2020. It recorded net losses of more than 2 billion yuan ($300 million) in both 2018 and 2019, and a net loss of 4 billion yuan in 2020. The group expects its net loss for 2021 to “increase significantly” compared with 2020, in part due to lower profit margins from a decrease in government support related to the Covid-19 pandemic.\nJD.com floated its pharmaceutical and health services division, JD Health, in Hong Kong in December 2020, raising $3.5 billion, and itself listed in Hong Kong in June 2020 after years of its shares being traded on the Nasdaq.\nWhat’s new.JD.com said on Monday that it would seek to raise up to 264,132 million Hong Kong dollars ($3.4 billion) through the listing of JD Logistics. The IPO would be the second-largest in Hong Kong in 2021, since Tencent-backed video-sharing app Kuaishou floated in February to raise $5.4 billion.\nJD Logistics intends to issue 609.2 million shares—around 10% of its stock—within an expected price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36, according to filings. The company is slated to retain more than 64% of the total shares. An overallotment option, or green shoe, would allow for the sale of another 91 million shares to raise up to a further $510 million.\nCornerstone investors including Softbank’s Vision Fund, Tiger Global, Blackstone, and Temasek Holdings—Singapore’s state-backed investment company—have committed to buying around $1.5 billion worth of shares. The final pricing for the IPO is expected on Friday, before the shares begin trading on May 28.Bank of America,Goldman Sachs,and Chinese investment bank Haitong are the joint sponsors of the IPO.\nIn its prospectus, the group made the case that it was a tech-driven supply-chain and logistics expert, with proprietary tools allowing it to substantially improve the operational efficiencies of customers’ supply chains. The key risks to JD Logistics’ business, according to the filings, include intense competition in the e-commerce and services space, Chinese macroeconomic conditions, and the fact that a significant portion of its revenue has historically come from JD.com.\nLooking ahead.Investors can view JD Logistics going public as a way to play a few familiar high-tech trends, including artificial intelligence and 5G-linked breakthroughs in autonomous vehicles and robots. These technologies have serious implications for supply chains. More broadly, JD Logistics would be another way to gain exposure to the e-commerce sector as consumer spending ramps up—in China and around the world—with the economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.\nBut investors must be aware that the group would go public into a tough regulatory environment, with Chinese regulators cracking down on tech companies. Last month, regulators warned 13 groups, including a JD.com subsidiary, over antitrust issues, and share prices in the sector have faced headwinds since February amid rising interest rates and regulatory concerns in both the U.S. and China.\nAnd the market has had recent cause for concern about the Chinese tech and logistics sector more broadly. One of JD Logistics’ competitors, SF Holding, saw its stock price crash more than 44% from highs in February after it posted a surprise quarterly loss. That prompted questions about lofty valuations beyond SF, which is China’s largest listed courier group. Expect JD Logistics to face similar scrutiny.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09618":0.9,"02618":0.9,"JD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195135314,"gmtCreate":1621261537538,"gmtModify":1634192943426,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol again!??&nbsp;","listText":"Lol again!??&nbsp;","text":"Lol again!??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195135314","repostId":"1140585740","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140585740","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621261145,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140585740?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-17 22:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some “meme” stocks are flying again<blockquote>一些“模因”股票再次飞涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140585740","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Some “meme” stocks are flying again in Monday morning trading.Zomedica surged 9%,AMC Popped 8%,Expre","content":"<p>Some “meme” stocks are flying again&nbsp;in Monday morning trading.Zomedica&nbsp;surged&nbsp;9%,AMC&nbsp;Popped&nbsp;8%,Express&nbsp;added&nbsp;6%,GameStop&nbsp;rose&nbsp;4%.</p><p><blockquote>周一早盘，一些“模因”股票再次飞涨。Zomedica飙升9%，AMC上涨8%，Express上涨6%，游戏驿站上涨4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50d6e2d2143398ffbee75cfa1519d360\" tg-width=\"380\" tg-height=\"717\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some “meme” stocks are flying again<blockquote>一些“模因”股票再次飞涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome “meme” stocks are flying again<blockquote>一些“模因”股票再次飞涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-17 22:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some “meme” stocks are flying again&nbsp;in Monday morning trading.Zomedica&nbsp;surged&nbsp;9%,AMC&nbsp;Popped&nbsp;8%,Express&nbsp;added&nbsp;6%,GameStop&nbsp;rose&nbsp;4%.</p><p><blockquote>周一早盘，一些“模因”股票再次飞涨。Zomedica飙升9%，AMC上涨8%，Express上涨6%，游戏驿站上涨4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50d6e2d2143398ffbee75cfa1519d360\" tg-width=\"380\" tg-height=\"717\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KOSS":"高斯电子","BNGO":"Bionano Genomics","EXPR":"Express, Inc.","SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140585740","content_text":"Some “meme” stocks are flying again in Monday morning trading.Zomedica surged 9%,AMC Popped 8%,Express added 6%,GameStop rose 4%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KOSS":0.9,"SNDL":0.9,"NKLA":0.9,"BNGO":0.9,"EXPR":0.9,"ZOM":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CCIV":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":446,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196338024,"gmtCreate":1621013836668,"gmtModify":1634194552451,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mmmm doubt it&nbsp;","listText":"Mmmm doubt it&nbsp;","text":"Mmmm doubt it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196338024","repostId":"2135607327","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104204595,"gmtCreate":1620391291617,"gmtModify":1634205584360,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol&nbsp;","listText":"Lol&nbsp;","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104204595","repostId":"2133076835","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374323677,"gmtCreate":1619421216499,"gmtModify":1634273616539,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol nice","listText":"Lol nice","text":"Lol nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374323677","repostId":"1140325492","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1140325492","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619397639,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140325492?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-26 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop’s CEO Is Getting Millions on His Way Out. He’s Not the Only One.<blockquote>游戏驿站首席执行官离职后将获得数百万美元。他不是唯一一个。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140325492","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"It is a lucrative time to be leaving GameStop Corp.’s C-suite as the run-up in the videogame retaile","content":"<p>It is a lucrative time to be leaving GameStop Corp.’s C-suite as the run-up in the videogame retailer’s share price has enabled four executives to depart with vested stock now valued at roughly $290 million.</p><p><blockquote>现在是离开游戏驿站公司高管的有利可图的时机，因为这家视频游戏零售商股价的上涨已使四名高管带着目前价值约2.9亿美元的既得股票离开。</blockquote></p><p> Separation agreements between GameStop and the four executives, including Chief Executive Officer George Sherman, have provisions that let stock awarded during their tenure to vest when they leave. While such a handling of leadership transitions isn’t atypical, it does potentially allow the executives to sell their shares near GameStop’s historically high levels.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站与包括首席执行官George Sherman在内的四名高管之间的离职协议中有条款，允许他们在任期内授予的股票在他们离职时归属。虽然这种领导层换届的处理方式并不罕见，但它确实可能允许高管们在游戏驿站历史高位附近出售其股票。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop’s shares closed Friday at $151.18. They hit an intraday peak of $483 in late January after ending 2020 at just below $19.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站股价周五收于151.18美元。在2020年底略低于19美元后，它们在1月下旬触及483美元的盘中峰值。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;fortunes the executives stand to gain, based on a Wall Street Journal analysis of recent GameStop securities filings, reflect the rapid and unusual rise in the company’s market value as it became a darling of individual investors and the focus of a turnaround steered by activist investor and Chewy Inc. co-founder Ryan Cohen. Three of the four executives joined the company in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>根据《华尔街日报》对最近游戏驿站证券备案文件的分析，高管们将获得的财富反映出该公司市值的快速而不寻常的上涨，因为该公司成为个人投资者的宠儿，也是激进投资者和Chewy Inc.联合创始人Ryan Cohen引导的扭亏为盈的焦点。四名高管中有三名于2019年加入该公司。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop has said&nbsp;that Mr. Sherman will step down by July 31&nbsp;and that it is searching for his replacement. His exit agreement calls for the accelerated vesting of more than 1.1 million GameStop shares, according to filings, valued at roughly $169 million as of Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站表示，舍曼先生将于7月31日卸任，并正在寻找他的继任者。根据文件，他的退出协议评级加速归属超过110万股游戏驿站股票，截至周五收盘，价值约为1.69亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop’s CEO Is Getting Millions on His Way Out. He’s Not the Only One.<blockquote>游戏驿站首席执行官离职后将获得数百万美元。他不是唯一一个。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop’s CEO Is Getting Millions on His Way Out. He’s Not the Only One.<blockquote>游戏驿站首席执行官离职后将获得数百万美元。他不是唯一一个。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-26 08:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It is a lucrative time to be leaving GameStop Corp.’s C-suite as the run-up in the videogame retailer’s share price has enabled four executives to depart with vested stock now valued at roughly $290 million.</p><p><blockquote>现在是离开游戏驿站公司高管的有利可图的时机，因为这家视频游戏零售商股价的上涨已使四名高管带着目前价值约2.9亿美元的既得股票离开。</blockquote></p><p> Separation agreements between GameStop and the four executives, including Chief Executive Officer George Sherman, have provisions that let stock awarded during their tenure to vest when they leave. While such a handling of leadership transitions isn’t atypical, it does potentially allow the executives to sell their shares near GameStop’s historically high levels.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站与包括首席执行官George Sherman在内的四名高管之间的离职协议中有条款，允许他们在任期内授予的股票在他们离职时归属。虽然这种领导层换届的处理方式并不罕见，但它确实可能允许高管们在游戏驿站历史高位附近出售其股票。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop’s shares closed Friday at $151.18. They hit an intraday peak of $483 in late January after ending 2020 at just below $19.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站股价周五收于151.18美元。在2020年底略低于19美元后，它们在1月下旬触及483美元的盘中峰值。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;fortunes the executives stand to gain, based on a Wall Street Journal analysis of recent GameStop securities filings, reflect the rapid and unusual rise in the company’s market value as it became a darling of individual investors and the focus of a turnaround steered by activist investor and Chewy Inc. co-founder Ryan Cohen. Three of the four executives joined the company in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>根据《华尔街日报》对最近游戏驿站证券备案文件的分析，高管们将获得的财富反映出该公司市值的快速而不寻常的上涨，因为该公司成为个人投资者的宠儿，也是激进投资者和Chewy Inc.联合创始人Ryan Cohen引导的扭亏为盈的焦点。四名高管中有三名于2019年加入该公司。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop has said&nbsp;that Mr. Sherman will step down by July 31&nbsp;and that it is searching for his replacement. His exit agreement calls for the accelerated vesting of more than 1.1 million GameStop shares, according to filings, valued at roughly $169 million as of Friday’s close.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站表示，舍曼先生将于7月31日卸任，并正在寻找他的继任者。根据文件，他的退出协议评级加速归属超过110万股游戏驿站股票，截至周五收盘，价值约为1.69亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/gamestops-ceo-is-getting-millions-on-his-way-out-hes-not-the-only-one-11619356823\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/gamestops-ceo-is-getting-millions-on-his-way-out-hes-not-the-only-one-11619356823","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140325492","content_text":"It is a lucrative time to be leaving GameStop Corp.’s C-suite as the run-up in the videogame retailer’s share price has enabled four executives to depart with vested stock now valued at roughly $290 million.\nSeparation agreements between GameStop and the four executives, including Chief Executive Officer George Sherman, have provisions that let stock awarded during their tenure to vest when they leave. While such a handling of leadership transitions isn’t atypical, it does potentially allow the executives to sell their shares near GameStop’s historically high levels.\nGameStop’s shares closed Friday at $151.18. They hit an intraday peak of $483 in late January after ending 2020 at just below $19.\nThe fortunes the executives stand to gain, based on a Wall Street Journal analysis of recent GameStop securities filings, reflect the rapid and unusual rise in the company’s market value as it became a darling of individual investors and the focus of a turnaround steered by activist investor and Chewy Inc. co-founder Ryan Cohen. Three of the four executives joined the company in 2019.\nGameStop has said that Mr. Sherman will step down by July 31 and that it is searching for his replacement. His exit agreement calls for the accelerated vesting of more than 1.1 million GameStop shares, according to filings, valued at roughly $169 million as of Friday’s close.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374323953,"gmtCreate":1619421168672,"gmtModify":1634273616659,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hahahaha great&nbsp;","listText":"Hahahaha great&nbsp;","text":"Hahahaha great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374323953","repostId":"1158968268","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1158968268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619396796,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158968268?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-26 08:26","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin: Boom, Bust and Big Opportunity?<blockquote>比特币：繁荣、萧条和大机遇？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158968268","media":"TheStreet","summary":"TheStreet taps two crypto experts, Bobby Ong of CoinGecko and Dave Balter of Flipside Crypto, to dis","content":"<p>TheStreet taps two crypto experts, Bobby Ong of CoinGecko and Dave Balter of Flipside Crypto, to discuss the April 'bloodbath' and what it means for investors.</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet邀请了CoinGecko的Bobby Ong和Flipside Crypto的Dave Balter两位加密货币专家来讨论4月份的“大屠杀”及其对投资者的意义。</blockquote></p><p> Did the world just witness the bitcoin bomb? Or, the chance for a bitcoin buy?</p><p><blockquote>世界刚刚目睹了比特币原子弹爆炸吗？或者，购买比特币的机会？</blockquote></p><p> The famed cryptocurrency&nbsp;fell sharply&nbsp;over the past week, sinking from its mid-month high of over $64,000 to Sunday evening, when it fell under $48,000.</p><p><blockquote>这种著名的加密货币在过去一周大幅下跌，从月中超过64,000美元的高点跌至周日晚上跌破48,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> But the move may prove an opportunity for longer term investors.</p><p><blockquote>但此举可能对长期投资者来说是一个机会。</blockquote></p><p> \"Bitcoin's volatility isn't a flaw, it's a gift -- especially for the up-and-coming investor class of millennials and Gen-Z,\" said Dave Balter, the chief executive of Flipside Crypto, which provides analytics and business intelligence to crypto organizations, in an email to<i>TheStreet.</i>\"The last month is a reflection of its natural cycles, but also of a maturing institutional speculation and futures market.\"</p><p><blockquote>为加密货币提供分析和商业智能的Flipside Crypto首席执行官Dave Balter表示：“比特币的波动性不是缺陷，而是一份礼物——尤其是对于千禧一代和Z世代等崭露头角的投资者群体来说。”组织，在一封电子邮件中<i>街道。</i>“上个月反映了其自然周期，也反映了机构投机和期货市场的成熟。”</blockquote></p><p> And, said Balter, any good investor \"knows there's always money to be made with volatile assets.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴尔特说，任何优秀的投资者“都知道波动性资产总能赚钱”。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the move startled some observers. Before the fall, bitcoin had been on a steady upswing, with&nbsp;many forecasting that it was not a question of if, but when, itwould hit $100,000.&nbsp;Just in the past quarter, the cryptocurrency scored several new highs and surpassed $64,000 on April 14. By that time it had also grown by over 1,000% from a year-ago, when on March 13, 2020, it crashed 40% intraday to $5,413, according to a new&nbsp;report by CoinGecko, &nbsp;one of the largest independent cryptocurrency data aggregators.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，此举还是让一些观察家感到震惊。在下跌之前，比特币一直在稳步上涨，许多人预测这不是是否会触及10万美元的问题，而是何时触及10万美元的问题。就在过去的一个季度，加密货币创下了几个新高，并于4月14日突破了64,000美元。根据最大的独立加密货币数据聚合商之一CoinGecko的一份新报告，到那时，它也比一年前增长了1,000%以上，2020年3月13日，它盘中暴跌40%，至5,413美元。</blockquote></p><p> The past week's drop also came after several months of bullish buildup on crypto that dominated financial news headlines.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周的下跌也是在几个月来主导金融新闻头条的加密货币看涨之后发生的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla&nbsp;had said in March that it was holding bitcoin as an investment asset and would take it as a form of payment. Visa&nbsp;gotfurther into cryptoand Grayscale Investmentsrevealed it planned a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. And then there was the hysteria of Coinbase&nbsp;going public.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉曾在三月份表示，它将比特币作为投资资产持有，并将其作为一种支付形式。Visa进一步涉足加密货币和灰度投资，透露计划成立比特币交易所交易基金。然后是比特币基地上市的歇斯底里。</blockquote></p><p> \"There was already a massive amount of leverage in the market in anticipation of the Coinbase IPO,\" said&nbsp;Bobby Ong, CoinGecko's chief operating officer, told<i>TheStreet</i>in an email. \"The excitement of having the first crypto company IPO also led bitcoin’s price to hit a new all-time high of $64,804.\"</p><p><blockquote>CoinGecko首席运营官Bobby Ong表示：“由于对Coinbase IPO的预期，市场上已经存在大量杠杆。”<i>街道</i>在一封电子邮件中。“第一家加密货币公司IPO的兴奋也导致比特币的价格创下64,804美元的历史新高。”</blockquote></p><p> Further exacerbating last week's selloff was its occurrence during the weekend when there were thinner order books, said Ong.&nbsp;\"With high leverage and thin order books, even a small decrease in price will trigger a sharp drawdown and cause a downward spiral in price.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，周末订单减少，进一步加剧了上周的抛售。“在高杠杆和订单减少的情况下，即使价格小幅下跌也会引发大幅回撤，并导致价格螺旋式下降。”</blockquote></p><p> Now, the market needs to correct itself, because there were many over-leveraged traders, said Ong, adding that bitcoin options expire toward the end of every month, which usually causes increased volatility around that time.</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，现在市场需要自我纠正，因为有许多过度杠杆化的交易者，并补充说比特币期权在每个月底到期，这通常会导致当时波动性增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Ban?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币·班？</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite bitcoin's rise through mid-April and excitement leading up to Cionbase's offering, it wasn't all glitter and gold for the digital coin in past few weeks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管比特币在4月中旬上涨，Cionbase发行前也令人兴奋，但过去几周数字硬币的表现并不全是闪光和黄金。</blockquote></p><p> Not only did coinbase's initial public offering somewhat disappoint in the days following, but star investors had been growing increasingly vocal about their skepticism of the cryptocurrency.</p><p><blockquote>不仅coinbase的首次公开募股在接下来的几天里有些令人失望，而且明星投资者也越来越多地表达了他们对加密货币的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p> Hedgefund investor Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates told&nbsp;Yahoo News&nbsp;last month that he felt there was a “good probability” bitcoin could become outlawed in the U.S. He also questioned the privacy of the cryptocurrency's transactions. Then, last week, Guggenheim Partners’ Scott Minerd&nbsp;told CNBC&nbsp;that while he's bullish on bitcoin over the long-term, bitcoin is too \"frothy\" and could fall 50%.</p><p><blockquote>Bridgewater Associates的对冲基金投资者Ray Dalio上个月告诉雅虎新闻，他认为比特币“很有可能”在美国被取缔。他还质疑加密货币交易的隐私性。然后，上周，Guggenheim Partners的Scott Minerd告诉CNBC，虽然他长期看好比特币，但比特币的“泡沫”太大，可能会下跌50%。</blockquote></p><p> The lukewarm reception from stock investors over Coinbase's direct listing and&nbsp;\"a lot of fear and uncertainty\" spreading on social media didn't help bitcoin, suggested Ong, noting the recent headlines of crypto bans in India and Turkey.</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，股票投资者对Coinbase直接上市反应冷淡，社交媒体上传播的“大量恐惧和不确定性”对比特币没有帮助，并指出最近印度和土耳其加密货币禁令的头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> But aside from the technical and fundamental moves in crypto in the waning weeks of April -- much of what happened in the media was little more than hype and speculation, suggested Balter.</p><p><blockquote>但巴尔特表示，除了4月份最后几周加密货币的技术和基本面走势之外，媒体上发生的大部分事情只不过是炒作和猜测。</blockquote></p><p> \"I'd hate to go on record for ever saying Ray Dalio doesn't know what he's talking about,\" said Balter,&nbsp;who is also a partner with venture capital firm True Ventures. \"That said ... like any asset, there's always a great deal of speculation -- bitcoin is esteemed in that it presents both technical and financial implications, and thus magnifies that speculation immensely.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我不想公开说雷·达里奥不知道自己在说什么，”巴尔特说，他也是风险投资公司True Ventures的合伙人。“也就是说……就像任何资产一样，总是有大量的猜测——比特币因其具有技术和财务影响而受到尊重，因此极大地放大了这种猜测。”</blockquote></p><p> And, that people like Dalio and Minerd are even talking about crypto so publicly on the record, shows how far the digital currency has come, noted Balter, also responding to a recent comment by value investor Bill Miller, who&nbsp;told CNBC&nbsp;this month that he sees bitcoin establishing itself in the \"mainstream.\"</p><p><blockquote>Balter指出，像Dalio和Minerd这样的人甚至公开谈论加密货币，这表明了数字货币已经走了多远。他还回应了价值投资者Bill Miller最近的评论，Bill Miller本月告诉CNBC，他看到比特币在“主流”中确立了自己的地位。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"The fact that all three are going on record would indicate that bitcoin is likely entering the mainstream, so hat-tip to Mr. Miller,\" said Balter. \"The volatility of bitcoin has always been part of its allure, so cutting in half isn't out of the question.... Although, I don't think we'll ever see $10,000 levels again. As for Mr. Dalio, unfortunately the concept of outlawing an asset that is conceptually decentralized is pretty much out of the question, and bitcoin transactions are hardly private, so sorry Mr. Dalio, you are pretty off the mark.\"</p><p><blockquote>Balter说：“事实上，这三家公司都被记录在案，这表明比特币很可能会进入主流，所以向Miller先生致敬。”“比特币的波动性一直是其吸引力的一部分，因此减半并非不可能……不过，我认为我们再也不会看到10,000美元的水平了。至于达里奥先生，不幸的是，宣布概念上分散的资产非法的概念几乎是不可能的，而且比特币交易几乎不是私人的，所以抱歉达里奥先生，你完全偏离了目标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin: Boom, Bust and Big Opportunity?<blockquote>比特币：繁荣、萧条和大机遇？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin: Boom, Bust and Big Opportunity?<blockquote>比特币：繁荣、萧条和大机遇？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-26 08:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>TheStreet taps two crypto experts, Bobby Ong of CoinGecko and Dave Balter of Flipside Crypto, to discuss the April 'bloodbath' and what it means for investors.</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet邀请了CoinGecko的Bobby Ong和Flipside Crypto的Dave Balter两位加密货币专家来讨论4月份的“大屠杀”及其对投资者的意义。</blockquote></p><p> Did the world just witness the bitcoin bomb? Or, the chance for a bitcoin buy?</p><p><blockquote>世界刚刚目睹了比特币原子弹爆炸吗？或者，购买比特币的机会？</blockquote></p><p> The famed cryptocurrency&nbsp;fell sharply&nbsp;over the past week, sinking from its mid-month high of over $64,000 to Sunday evening, when it fell under $48,000.</p><p><blockquote>这种著名的加密货币在过去一周大幅下跌，从月中超过64,000美元的高点跌至周日晚上跌破48,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> But the move may prove an opportunity for longer term investors.</p><p><blockquote>但此举可能对长期投资者来说是一个机会。</blockquote></p><p> \"Bitcoin's volatility isn't a flaw, it's a gift -- especially for the up-and-coming investor class of millennials and Gen-Z,\" said Dave Balter, the chief executive of Flipside Crypto, which provides analytics and business intelligence to crypto organizations, in an email to<i>TheStreet.</i>\"The last month is a reflection of its natural cycles, but also of a maturing institutional speculation and futures market.\"</p><p><blockquote>为加密货币提供分析和商业智能的Flipside Crypto首席执行官Dave Balter表示：“比特币的波动性不是缺陷，而是一份礼物——尤其是对于千禧一代和Z世代等崭露头角的投资者群体来说。”组织，在一封电子邮件中<i>街道。</i>“上个月反映了其自然周期，也反映了机构投机和期货市场的成熟。”</blockquote></p><p> And, said Balter, any good investor \"knows there's always money to be made with volatile assets.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴尔特说，任何优秀的投资者“都知道波动性资产总能赚钱”。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the move startled some observers. Before the fall, bitcoin had been on a steady upswing, with&nbsp;many forecasting that it was not a question of if, but when, itwould hit $100,000.&nbsp;Just in the past quarter, the cryptocurrency scored several new highs and surpassed $64,000 on April 14. By that time it had also grown by over 1,000% from a year-ago, when on March 13, 2020, it crashed 40% intraday to $5,413, according to a new&nbsp;report by CoinGecko, &nbsp;one of the largest independent cryptocurrency data aggregators.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，此举还是让一些观察家感到震惊。在下跌之前，比特币一直在稳步上涨，许多人预测这不是是否会触及10万美元的问题，而是何时触及10万美元的问题。就在过去的一个季度，加密货币创下了几个新高，并于4月14日突破了64,000美元。根据最大的独立加密货币数据聚合商之一CoinGecko的一份新报告，到那时，它也比一年前增长了1,000%以上，2020年3月13日，它盘中暴跌40%，至5,413美元。</blockquote></p><p> The past week's drop also came after several months of bullish buildup on crypto that dominated financial news headlines.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周的下跌也是在几个月来主导金融新闻头条的加密货币看涨之后发生的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla&nbsp;had said in March that it was holding bitcoin as an investment asset and would take it as a form of payment. Visa&nbsp;gotfurther into cryptoand Grayscale Investmentsrevealed it planned a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. And then there was the hysteria of Coinbase&nbsp;going public.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉曾在三月份表示，它将比特币作为投资资产持有，并将其作为一种支付形式。Visa进一步涉足加密货币和灰度投资，透露计划成立比特币交易所交易基金。然后是比特币基地上市的歇斯底里。</blockquote></p><p> \"There was already a massive amount of leverage in the market in anticipation of the Coinbase IPO,\" said&nbsp;Bobby Ong, CoinGecko's chief operating officer, told<i>TheStreet</i>in an email. \"The excitement of having the first crypto company IPO also led bitcoin’s price to hit a new all-time high of $64,804.\"</p><p><blockquote>CoinGecko首席运营官Bobby Ong表示：“由于对Coinbase IPO的预期，市场上已经存在大量杠杆。”<i>街道</i>在一封电子邮件中。“第一家加密货币公司IPO的兴奋也导致比特币的价格创下64,804美元的历史新高。”</blockquote></p><p> Further exacerbating last week's selloff was its occurrence during the weekend when there were thinner order books, said Ong.&nbsp;\"With high leverage and thin order books, even a small decrease in price will trigger a sharp drawdown and cause a downward spiral in price.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，周末订单减少，进一步加剧了上周的抛售。“在高杠杆和订单减少的情况下，即使价格小幅下跌也会引发大幅回撤，并导致价格螺旋式下降。”</blockquote></p><p> Now, the market needs to correct itself, because there were many over-leveraged traders, said Ong, adding that bitcoin options expire toward the end of every month, which usually causes increased volatility around that time.</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，现在市场需要自我纠正，因为有许多过度杠杆化的交易者，并补充说比特币期权在每个月底到期，这通常会导致当时波动性增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Ban?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币·班？</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite bitcoin's rise through mid-April and excitement leading up to Cionbase's offering, it wasn't all glitter and gold for the digital coin in past few weeks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管比特币在4月中旬上涨，Cionbase发行前也令人兴奋，但过去几周数字硬币的表现并不全是闪光和黄金。</blockquote></p><p> Not only did coinbase's initial public offering somewhat disappoint in the days following, but star investors had been growing increasingly vocal about their skepticism of the cryptocurrency.</p><p><blockquote>不仅coinbase的首次公开募股在接下来的几天里有些令人失望，而且明星投资者也越来越多地表达了他们对加密货币的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p> Hedgefund investor Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates told&nbsp;Yahoo News&nbsp;last month that he felt there was a “good probability” bitcoin could become outlawed in the U.S. He also questioned the privacy of the cryptocurrency's transactions. Then, last week, Guggenheim Partners’ Scott Minerd&nbsp;told CNBC&nbsp;that while he's bullish on bitcoin over the long-term, bitcoin is too \"frothy\" and could fall 50%.</p><p><blockquote>Bridgewater Associates的对冲基金投资者Ray Dalio上个月告诉雅虎新闻，他认为比特币“很有可能”在美国被取缔。他还质疑加密货币交易的隐私性。然后，上周，Guggenheim Partners的Scott Minerd告诉CNBC，虽然他长期看好比特币，但比特币的“泡沫”太大，可能会下跌50%。</blockquote></p><p> The lukewarm reception from stock investors over Coinbase's direct listing and&nbsp;\"a lot of fear and uncertainty\" spreading on social media didn't help bitcoin, suggested Ong, noting the recent headlines of crypto bans in India and Turkey.</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，股票投资者对Coinbase直接上市反应冷淡，社交媒体上传播的“大量恐惧和不确定性”对比特币没有帮助，并指出最近印度和土耳其加密货币禁令的头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> But aside from the technical and fundamental moves in crypto in the waning weeks of April -- much of what happened in the media was little more than hype and speculation, suggested Balter.</p><p><blockquote>但巴尔特表示，除了4月份最后几周加密货币的技术和基本面走势之外，媒体上发生的大部分事情只不过是炒作和猜测。</blockquote></p><p> \"I'd hate to go on record for ever saying Ray Dalio doesn't know what he's talking about,\" said Balter,&nbsp;who is also a partner with venture capital firm True Ventures. \"That said ... like any asset, there's always a great deal of speculation -- bitcoin is esteemed in that it presents both technical and financial implications, and thus magnifies that speculation immensely.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我不想公开说雷·达里奥不知道自己在说什么，”巴尔特说，他也是风险投资公司True Ventures的合伙人。“也就是说……就像任何资产一样，总是有大量的猜测——比特币因其具有技术和财务影响而受到尊重，因此极大地放大了这种猜测。”</blockquote></p><p> And, that people like Dalio and Minerd are even talking about crypto so publicly on the record, shows how far the digital currency has come, noted Balter, also responding to a recent comment by value investor Bill Miller, who&nbsp;told CNBC&nbsp;this month that he sees bitcoin establishing itself in the \"mainstream.\"</p><p><blockquote>Balter指出，像Dalio和Minerd这样的人甚至公开谈论加密货币，这表明了数字货币已经走了多远。他还回应了价值投资者Bill Miller最近的评论，Bill Miller本月告诉CNBC，他看到比特币在“主流”中确立了自己的地位。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"The fact that all three are going on record would indicate that bitcoin is likely entering the mainstream, so hat-tip to Mr. Miller,\" said Balter. \"The volatility of bitcoin has always been part of its allure, so cutting in half isn't out of the question.... Although, I don't think we'll ever see $10,000 levels again. As for Mr. Dalio, unfortunately the concept of outlawing an asset that is conceptually decentralized is pretty much out of the question, and bitcoin transactions are hardly private, so sorry Mr. Dalio, you are pretty off the mark.\"</p><p><blockquote>Balter说：“事实上，这三家公司都被记录在案，这表明比特币很可能会进入主流，所以向Miller先生致敬。”“比特币的波动性一直是其吸引力的一部分，因此减半并非不可能……不过，我认为我们再也不会看到10,000美元的水平了。至于达里奥先生，不幸的是，宣布概念上分散的资产非法的概念几乎是不可能的，而且比特币交易几乎不是私人的，所以抱歉达里奥先生，你完全偏离了目标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/bitcoin/thestreet-taps-two-crypto-experts-bobby-ong-of-coingecko-and-dave-balter-of-flipside-crypto-to-discuss-the-april-bloodbath-and-what-it-means-for-investors\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/bitcoin/thestreet-taps-two-crypto-experts-bobby-ong-of-coingecko-and-dave-balter-of-flipside-crypto-to-discuss-the-april-bloodbath-and-what-it-means-for-investors","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158968268","content_text":"TheStreet taps two crypto experts, Bobby Ong of CoinGecko and Dave Balter of Flipside Crypto, to discuss the April 'bloodbath' and what it means for investors.\nDid the world just witness the bitcoin bomb? Or, the chance for a bitcoin buy?\nThe famed cryptocurrency fell sharply over the past week, sinking from its mid-month high of over $64,000 to Sunday evening, when it fell under $48,000.\nBut the move may prove an opportunity for longer term investors.\n\"Bitcoin's volatility isn't a flaw, it's a gift -- especially for the up-and-coming investor class of millennials and Gen-Z,\" said Dave Balter, the chief executive of Flipside Crypto, which provides analytics and business intelligence to crypto organizations, in an email toTheStreet.\"The last month is a reflection of its natural cycles, but also of a maturing institutional speculation and futures market.\"\nAnd, said Balter, any good investor \"knows there's always money to be made with volatile assets.\"\nStill, the move startled some observers. Before the fall, bitcoin had been on a steady upswing, with many forecasting that it was not a question of if, but when, itwould hit $100,000. Just in the past quarter, the cryptocurrency scored several new highs and surpassed $64,000 on April 14. By that time it had also grown by over 1,000% from a year-ago, when on March 13, 2020, it crashed 40% intraday to $5,413, according to a new report by CoinGecko,  one of the largest independent cryptocurrency data aggregators.\nThe past week's drop also came after several months of bullish buildup on crypto that dominated financial news headlines.\nTesla had said in March that it was holding bitcoin as an investment asset and would take it as a form of payment. Visa gotfurther into cryptoand Grayscale Investmentsrevealed it planned a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. And then there was the hysteria of Coinbase going public.\n\"There was already a massive amount of leverage in the market in anticipation of the Coinbase IPO,\" said Bobby Ong, CoinGecko's chief operating officer, toldTheStreetin an email. \"The excitement of having the first crypto company IPO also led bitcoin’s price to hit a new all-time high of $64,804.\"\nFurther exacerbating last week's selloff was its occurrence during the weekend when there were thinner order books, said Ong. \"With high leverage and thin order books, even a small decrease in price will trigger a sharp drawdown and cause a downward spiral in price.\"\nNow, the market needs to correct itself, because there were many over-leveraged traders, said Ong, adding that bitcoin options expire toward the end of every month, which usually causes increased volatility around that time.\nBitcoin Ban?\nDespite bitcoin's rise through mid-April and excitement leading up to Cionbase's offering, it wasn't all glitter and gold for the digital coin in past few weeks.\nNot only did coinbase's initial public offering somewhat disappoint in the days following, but star investors had been growing increasingly vocal about their skepticism of the cryptocurrency.\nHedgefund investor Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates told Yahoo News last month that he felt there was a “good probability” bitcoin could become outlawed in the U.S. He also questioned the privacy of the cryptocurrency's transactions. Then, last week, Guggenheim Partners’ Scott Minerd told CNBC that while he's bullish on bitcoin over the long-term, bitcoin is too \"frothy\" and could fall 50%.\nThe lukewarm reception from stock investors over Coinbase's direct listing and \"a lot of fear and uncertainty\" spreading on social media didn't help bitcoin, suggested Ong, noting the recent headlines of crypto bans in India and Turkey.\nBut aside from the technical and fundamental moves in crypto in the waning weeks of April -- much of what happened in the media was little more than hype and speculation, suggested Balter.\n\"I'd hate to go on record for ever saying Ray Dalio doesn't know what he's talking about,\" said Balter, who is also a partner with venture capital firm True Ventures. \"That said ... like any asset, there's always a great deal of speculation -- bitcoin is esteemed in that it presents both technical and financial implications, and thus magnifies that speculation immensely.\"\nAnd, that people like Dalio and Minerd are even talking about crypto so publicly on the record, shows how far the digital currency has come, noted Balter, also responding to a recent comment by value investor Bill Miller, who told CNBC this month that he sees bitcoin establishing itself in the \"mainstream.\"\n\"The fact that all three are going on record would indicate that bitcoin is likely entering the mainstream, so hat-tip to Mr. Miller,\" said Balter. \"The volatility of bitcoin has always been part of its allure, so cutting in half isn't out of the question.... Although, I don't think we'll ever see $10,000 levels again. As for Mr. Dalio, unfortunately the concept of outlawing an asset that is conceptually decentralized is pretty much out of the question, and bitcoin transactions are hardly private, so sorry Mr. Dalio, you are pretty off the mark.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"SQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":197857431,"gmtCreate":1621444567523,"gmtModify":1634189095990,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fingers crossed&nbsp;","listText":"Fingers crossed&nbsp;","text":"Fingers crossed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197857431","repostId":"1103552481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103552481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621428667,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103552481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-19 20:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103552481","media":"Barrons","summary":"The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but inv","content":"<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最新的会议纪要预计今天不会引起太大轰动，但投资者仍应关注一些不同的主题。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance:&nbsp; A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a&nbsp;surprisingly weak jobs report&nbsp;and a&nbsp;stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要将于今天下午2点公布，美联储观察人士在解读其意义时可能会面临比平时更大的挑战：自4月28日至29日的会议以来，经济发生了很大变化。例如，接下来的几周带来了令人惊讶的疲软就业报告和强于预期的消费者通胀报告。</blockquote></p><p> And unlike&nbsp;last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April.&nbsp;The 10-year yield has&nbsp;dropped to 1.64%&nbsp;from 1.74% on March 31.</p><p><blockquote>与上个月的会议不同，美国国债并没有出现引人注目的抛售来引起官员的注意。尽管经济数据显示4月份价格压力更大，但收益率的急剧攀升在3月底有所减弱。10年期国债收益率已从3月31日的1.74%降至1.64%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这份文件仍可能为央行的观点提供一些线索。自上次会议以来，官员们也提供了更多关于政策的观点。值得注意的是，美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达在周一的一次会议上发表讲话，并讨论了最近的一些经济数据点。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:</p><p><blockquote>以下是策略师对今天会议的预期，以及克拉里达对这些主题的看法：</blockquote></p><p> <b>“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“适应并关注”“暂时性”通货膨胀？</b></blockquote></p><p> One popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.</p><p><blockquote>包括美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）在内的美联储官员的一个流行观点是，今年春天预计将带来通胀“暂时”上升，这主要与去年疫情导致经济活动急剧减速后美国经济重新开放有关。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗经济学家Steven Ricchiuto和Alex Pelle在5月18日的一份报告中写道，他们预计会议纪要中“多次提到‘暂时’价格压力”。他们还强调，4月份消费者价格涨幅最大的许多行业都是需求受疫情打击最严重的行业，例如酒店和机票。“到目前为止，这证实了美联储的想法，”他们补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Yet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation:&nbsp; That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在周一的会议上，克拉里达似乎在重复一种关于通胀的不同类型的保证：央行将“协调并关注”任何显示价格压力上升的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”</p><p><blockquote>“在CPI报告中，[重新开放]确实明显给价格带来了上行压力。现在我们的基线观点是，其中大部分可能是暂时的，但我们必须适应并关注即将到来的数据，”他说。“我们任务的关键要素是价格稳定，而价格稳定的一个重要组成部分是稳定的通胀预期。如果我们看到价格或通胀面临上行压力，有可能推高通胀预期，我毫不怀疑我们会使用我们的工具来解决这种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper Timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥形时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注央行是否就何时开始削减每月1200亿美元的债券购买量提供任何额外指导。鲍威尔曾表示，美联储希望在削减购买之前，在实现充分就业和长期平均通胀率2%的目标方面取得“实质性的进一步进展”，但官员们没有提供太多额外指导。</blockquote></p><p> Most on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases&nbsp;late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街大多数人预计，美联储将在今年夏末或秋季讨论减少或缩减购买规模的长期计划。NatWest Markets在周一的一份报告中表示，预计美联储将在9月份开始谈论缩减购债规模，并在明年实际上开始放缓购债步伐。</blockquote></p><p> So any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此，最新会议纪要中任何更详细的讨论都可能令投资者感到意外，并可能对市场产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor-Market Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳工市场展望</b></blockquote></p><p> One key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.</p><p><blockquote>决定美联储债券购买（和其他宽松政策）前景的一个关键因素是劳动力市场的复苏。在令人失望的四月份就业报告之后，这一问题仍然悬而未决。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes:&nbsp; How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，投资者仍有可能在会议纪要中找到有关他们的一个问题的更多背景：多少改善足以让美联储开始撤回宽松政策？换句话说，“实质性的进一步进展”是什么意思？</blockquote></p><p> Before the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>在4月份劳动力市场令人失望的消息传出之前，华尔街大多数人预计本月将创造就业机会强劲，这是鲍威尔曾表示，在美国实现“实质性的进一步进展”之前，需要实现“一系列”强劲复苏的又一步。美联储的目标。这可能促使官员们讨论复苏需要走多远，央行才能开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> Clarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.</p><p><blockquote>克拉里达周一还讨论了4月份的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”</p><p><blockquote>“四月份就业报告告诉我的是，我们使劳动力市场，特别是服务业供需平衡的方式可能需要一些时间，并且随着工人重返就业，可能会对价格产生一些上行压力，因此我们必须适应并关注数据流，”他说。“根据四月份就业报告，我们没有取得实质性的进一步进展，但随着数据的出现，我们作为一个委员会将不得不对其进行评估，并最终做出判断。”</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes:&nbsp; Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the&nbsp;economic data has been so volatile&nbsp;during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.</p><p><blockquote>最终，未来劳动力市场数据的重要性暗示了美联储会议纪要的更广泛结论：未来几个月的经济数据可能是美联储行动及其取消市场和经济宽松计划的最终仲裁者。在重新开放期间，经济数据波动如此之大，以至于到美联储6月份再次开会时，情况可能会发生重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> That means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者将不得不再持有一段时间才能了解央行计划何时开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO策略师Ian Lyngen写道：“我们不愿意将这种均衡视为任何形式的均衡，相反，随着宏观预期的进一步细化，它更有可能被证明是一种暂时的持有模式。”“显然，我们的问题多于答案。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-19 20:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最新的会议纪要预计今天不会引起太大轰动，但投资者仍应关注一些不同的主题。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance:&nbsp; A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a&nbsp;surprisingly weak jobs report&nbsp;and a&nbsp;stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要将于今天下午2点公布，美联储观察人士在解读其意义时可能会面临比平时更大的挑战：自4月28日至29日的会议以来，经济发生了很大变化。例如，接下来的几周带来了令人惊讶的疲软就业报告和强于预期的消费者通胀报告。</blockquote></p><p> And unlike&nbsp;last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April.&nbsp;The 10-year yield has&nbsp;dropped to 1.64%&nbsp;from 1.74% on March 31.</p><p><blockquote>与上个月的会议不同，美国国债并没有出现引人注目的抛售来引起官员的注意。尽管经济数据显示4月份价格压力更大，但收益率的急剧攀升在3月底有所减弱。10年期国债收益率已从3月31日的1.74%降至1.64%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这份文件仍可能为央行的观点提供一些线索。自上次会议以来，官员们也提供了更多关于政策的观点。值得注意的是，美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达在周一的一次会议上发表讲话，并讨论了最近的一些经济数据点。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:</p><p><blockquote>以下是策略师对今天会议的预期，以及克拉里达对这些主题的看法：</blockquote></p><p> <b>“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“适应并关注”“暂时性”通货膨胀？</b></blockquote></p><p> One popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.</p><p><blockquote>包括美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）在内的美联储官员的一个流行观点是，今年春天预计将带来通胀“暂时”上升，这主要与去年疫情导致经济活动急剧减速后美国经济重新开放有关。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗经济学家Steven Ricchiuto和Alex Pelle在5月18日的一份报告中写道，他们预计会议纪要中“多次提到‘暂时’价格压力”。他们还强调，4月份消费者价格涨幅最大的许多行业都是需求受疫情打击最严重的行业，例如酒店和机票。“到目前为止，这证实了美联储的想法，”他们补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Yet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation:&nbsp; That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在周一的会议上，克拉里达似乎在重复一种关于通胀的不同类型的保证：央行将“协调并关注”任何显示价格压力上升的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”</p><p><blockquote>“在CPI报告中，[重新开放]确实明显给价格带来了上行压力。现在我们的基线观点是，其中大部分可能是暂时的，但我们必须适应并关注即将到来的数据，”他说。“我们任务的关键要素是价格稳定，而价格稳定的一个重要组成部分是稳定的通胀预期。如果我们看到价格或通胀面临上行压力，有可能推高通胀预期，我毫不怀疑我们会使用我们的工具来解决这种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper Timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥形时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注央行是否就何时开始削减每月1200亿美元的债券购买量提供任何额外指导。鲍威尔曾表示，美联储希望在削减购买之前，在实现充分就业和长期平均通胀率2%的目标方面取得“实质性的进一步进展”，但官员们没有提供太多额外指导。</blockquote></p><p> Most on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases&nbsp;late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街大多数人预计，美联储将在今年夏末或秋季讨论减少或缩减购买规模的长期计划。NatWest Markets在周一的一份报告中表示，预计美联储将在9月份开始谈论缩减购债规模，并在明年实际上开始放缓购债步伐。</blockquote></p><p> So any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此，最新会议纪要中任何更详细的讨论都可能令投资者感到意外，并可能对市场产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor-Market Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳工市场展望</b></blockquote></p><p> One key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.</p><p><blockquote>决定美联储债券购买（和其他宽松政策）前景的一个关键因素是劳动力市场的复苏。在令人失望的四月份就业报告之后，这一问题仍然悬而未决。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes:&nbsp; How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，投资者仍有可能在会议纪要中找到有关他们的一个问题的更多背景：多少改善足以让美联储开始撤回宽松政策？换句话说，“实质性的进一步进展”是什么意思？</blockquote></p><p> Before the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>在4月份劳动力市场令人失望的消息传出之前，华尔街大多数人预计本月将创造就业机会强劲，这是鲍威尔曾表示，在美国实现“实质性的进一步进展”之前，需要实现“一系列”强劲复苏的又一步。美联储的目标。这可能促使官员们讨论复苏需要走多远，央行才能开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> Clarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.</p><p><blockquote>克拉里达周一还讨论了4月份的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”</p><p><blockquote>“四月份就业报告告诉我的是，我们使劳动力市场，特别是服务业供需平衡的方式可能需要一些时间，并且随着工人重返就业，可能会对价格产生一些上行压力，因此我们必须适应并关注数据流，”他说。“根据四月份就业报告，我们没有取得实质性的进一步进展，但随着数据的出现，我们作为一个委员会将不得不对其进行评估，并最终做出判断。”</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes:&nbsp; Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the&nbsp;economic data has been so volatile&nbsp;during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.</p><p><blockquote>最终，未来劳动力市场数据的重要性暗示了美联储会议纪要的更广泛结论：未来几个月的经济数据可能是美联储行动及其取消市场和经济宽松计划的最终仲裁者。在重新开放期间，经济数据波动如此之大，以至于到美联储6月份再次开会时，情况可能会发生重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> That means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者将不得不再持有一段时间才能了解央行计划何时开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO策略师Ian Lyngen写道：“我们不愿意将这种均衡视为任何形式的均衡，相反，随着宏观预期的进一步细化，它更有可能被证明是一种暂时的持有模式。”“显然，我们的问题多于答案。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-jobs-and-more-to-watch-for-in-todays-fed-minutes-release-51621421812?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-jobs-and-more-to-watch-for-in-todays-fed-minutes-release-51621421812?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103552481","content_text":"The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.\nThe minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance:  A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a surprisingly weak jobs report and a stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.\nAnd unlike last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April. The 10-year yield has dropped to 1.64% from 1.74% on March 31.\nYet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.\nHere’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:\n“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?\nOne popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.\nMizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.\nYet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation:  That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.\n“In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”\nTaper Timeline\nInvestors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.\nMost on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.\nSo any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.\nLabor-Market Outlook\nOne key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.\nStill, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes:  How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?\nBefore the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.\nClarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.\n“What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”\nUltimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes:  Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the economic data has been so volatile during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.\nThat means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.\n“We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352684324,"gmtCreate":1616951496868,"gmtModify":1634523434922,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should I buy this?&nbsp;","listText":"Should I buy this?&nbsp;","text":"Should I buy this?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352684324","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股8.02美元，比该公司9.5美元的IPO价格低约15.6%。知乎IPO价格处于区间低端，公司估值约为53亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五宣布其首次公开募股定价为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期区间的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中发行了5500万份ADS，筹集了5.225亿美元，而该公司的定价约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎的商业模式与Quora相似，数百万人提问并交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为国内最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年内逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们预计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年和2025年分别增至31.5%和37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足其所有销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率从2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率在2021年和2025年进一步提高至57.4%和62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用和营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总运营费用占收入的百分比由2019年的204.4%大幅下降至2020年的100.6%。我们预计这一比例将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年为69.2%，2025年为57.2%。运营费用的改善大部分来自未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>2020年底，知乎累计有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户为7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的关键优势之一是，它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被视为提供中国最优质的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎获得了包括百度和快手科技在内的领先投资者4.34亿美元的融资，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率估值倍数为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率倍数应用于该公司2020年2.07亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为75亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初是在2010年作为一个问答在线社区开发的。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿次问答，跨越1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。按2020年平均移动月活跃用户数及收入计，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周元拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性用户占总用户的56.9%。30岁以下人群占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市佔总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领专业人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。该公司的广告收入主要由其月活跃用户数和每个月活跃用户数的广告收入推动。2020年，公司月活跃用户数同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年引入付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，月均会员同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，公司推出Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了对约340万个付费内容的无限制访问，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它显示了高质量的数据和内容如何能够产生大量收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足其所有销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、为感兴趣的用户分配最相关的内容创作者以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将成为未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询的资料，中国内容商务解决方案市场预期于2019年至2025年将享有46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指专注于UGC（用户生成内容）（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容））的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创作者也是用户，他们积极参与社区。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以激发更高水平的用户参与度、更具互动性的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由2015年的386亿元人民币增至2019年的2758亿元人民币，预计将进一步增至2025年的1.3万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电商、内容电商解决方案、直播虚拟礼品、在线游戏及在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一个主要积极因素是，越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。预计2019年至2025年期间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量将以17.1%的复合年增长率增长，这意味着在线内容社区的额外付费用户将增加3.604亿至2025年的5.882亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场较2015年增长两倍，2019年达到1.2万亿人民币。预计该市场将于2025年增至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015年至2025年（估计）中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年（估计）中国在线内容社区的市场规模（以收益计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国付费会员市场规模（以收入计），2015年至2025年（估计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供综合内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到向感兴趣的用户分发。中国内容商务解决方案市场预期将由2019年的人民币114亿元增长至2025年的人民币1123亿元，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年（估计）中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（以收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股8.02美元，比该公司9.5美元的IPO价格低约15.6%。知乎IPO价格处于区间低端，公司估值约为53亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五宣布其首次公开募股定价为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期区间的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中发行了5500万份ADS，筹集了5.225亿美元，而该公司的定价约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎的商业模式与Quora相似，数百万人提问并交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为国内最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年内逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们预计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年和2025年分别增至31.5%和37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足其所有销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率从2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率在2021年和2025年进一步提高至57.4%和62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用和营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总运营费用占收入的百分比由2019年的204.4%大幅下降至2020年的100.6%。我们预计这一比例将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年为69.2%，2025年为57.2%。运营费用的改善大部分来自未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>2020年底，知乎累计有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户为7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的关键优势之一是，它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被视为提供中国最优质的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎获得了包括百度和快手科技在内的领先投资者4.34亿美元的融资，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率估值倍数为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率倍数应用于该公司2020年2.07亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为75亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初是在2010年作为一个问答在线社区开发的。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿次问答，跨越1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。按2020年平均移动月活跃用户数及收入计，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周元拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性用户占总用户的56.9%。30岁以下人群占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市佔总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领专业人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。该公司的广告收入主要由其月活跃用户数和每个月活跃用户数的广告收入推动。2020年，公司月活跃用户数同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年引入付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，月均会员同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，公司推出Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了对约340万个付费内容的无限制访问，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它显示了高质量的数据和内容如何能够产生大量收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足其所有销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、为感兴趣的用户分配最相关的内容创作者以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将成为未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询的资料，中国内容商务解决方案市场预期于2019年至2025年将享有46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指专注于UGC（用户生成内容）（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容））的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创作者也是用户，他们积极参与社区。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以激发更高水平的用户参与度、更具互动性的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由2015年的386亿元人民币增至2019年的2758亿元人民币，预计将进一步增至2025年的1.3万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电商、内容电商解决方案、直播虚拟礼品、在线游戏及在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一个主要积极因素是，越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。预计2019年至2025年期间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量将以17.1%的复合年增长率增长，这意味着在线内容社区的额外付费用户将增加3.604亿至2025年的5.882亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场较2015年增长两倍，2019年达到1.2万亿人民币。预计该市场将于2025年增至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015年至2025年（估计）中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年（估计）中国在线内容社区的市场规模（以收益计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国付费会员市场规模（以收入计），2015年至2025年（估计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供综合内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到向感兴趣的用户分发。中国内容商务解决方案市场预期将由2019年的人民币114亿元增长至2025年的人民币1123亿元，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年（估计）中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（以收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836628243,"gmtCreate":1629478732982,"gmtModify":1631891115485,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mmm really?&nbsp;","listText":"Mmm really?&nbsp;","text":"Mmm really?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836628243","repostId":"2160710721","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2185,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374323953,"gmtCreate":1619421168672,"gmtModify":1634273616659,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hahahaha great&nbsp;","listText":"Hahahaha great&nbsp;","text":"Hahahaha great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374323953","repostId":"1158968268","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1158968268","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619396796,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158968268?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-26 08:26","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin: Boom, Bust and Big Opportunity?<blockquote>比特币：繁荣、萧条和大机遇？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158968268","media":"TheStreet","summary":"TheStreet taps two crypto experts, Bobby Ong of CoinGecko and Dave Balter of Flipside Crypto, to dis","content":"<p>TheStreet taps two crypto experts, Bobby Ong of CoinGecko and Dave Balter of Flipside Crypto, to discuss the April 'bloodbath' and what it means for investors.</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet邀请了CoinGecko的Bobby Ong和Flipside Crypto的Dave Balter两位加密货币专家来讨论4月份的“大屠杀”及其对投资者的意义。</blockquote></p><p> Did the world just witness the bitcoin bomb? Or, the chance for a bitcoin buy?</p><p><blockquote>世界刚刚目睹了比特币原子弹爆炸吗？或者，购买比特币的机会？</blockquote></p><p> The famed cryptocurrency&nbsp;fell sharply&nbsp;over the past week, sinking from its mid-month high of over $64,000 to Sunday evening, when it fell under $48,000.</p><p><blockquote>这种著名的加密货币在过去一周大幅下跌，从月中超过64,000美元的高点跌至周日晚上跌破48,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> But the move may prove an opportunity for longer term investors.</p><p><blockquote>但此举可能对长期投资者来说是一个机会。</blockquote></p><p> \"Bitcoin's volatility isn't a flaw, it's a gift -- especially for the up-and-coming investor class of millennials and Gen-Z,\" said Dave Balter, the chief executive of Flipside Crypto, which provides analytics and business intelligence to crypto organizations, in an email to<i>TheStreet.</i>\"The last month is a reflection of its natural cycles, but also of a maturing institutional speculation and futures market.\"</p><p><blockquote>为加密货币提供分析和商业智能的Flipside Crypto首席执行官Dave Balter表示：“比特币的波动性不是缺陷，而是一份礼物——尤其是对于千禧一代和Z世代等崭露头角的投资者群体来说。”组织，在一封电子邮件中<i>街道。</i>“上个月反映了其自然周期，也反映了机构投机和期货市场的成熟。”</blockquote></p><p> And, said Balter, any good investor \"knows there's always money to be made with volatile assets.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴尔特说，任何优秀的投资者“都知道波动性资产总能赚钱”。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the move startled some observers. Before the fall, bitcoin had been on a steady upswing, with&nbsp;many forecasting that it was not a question of if, but when, itwould hit $100,000.&nbsp;Just in the past quarter, the cryptocurrency scored several new highs and surpassed $64,000 on April 14. By that time it had also grown by over 1,000% from a year-ago, when on March 13, 2020, it crashed 40% intraday to $5,413, according to a new&nbsp;report by CoinGecko, &nbsp;one of the largest independent cryptocurrency data aggregators.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，此举还是让一些观察家感到震惊。在下跌之前，比特币一直在稳步上涨，许多人预测这不是是否会触及10万美元的问题，而是何时触及10万美元的问题。就在过去的一个季度，加密货币创下了几个新高，并于4月14日突破了64,000美元。根据最大的独立加密货币数据聚合商之一CoinGecko的一份新报告，到那时，它也比一年前增长了1,000%以上，2020年3月13日，它盘中暴跌40%，至5,413美元。</blockquote></p><p> The past week's drop also came after several months of bullish buildup on crypto that dominated financial news headlines.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周的下跌也是在几个月来主导金融新闻头条的加密货币看涨之后发生的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla&nbsp;had said in March that it was holding bitcoin as an investment asset and would take it as a form of payment. Visa&nbsp;gotfurther into cryptoand Grayscale Investmentsrevealed it planned a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. And then there was the hysteria of Coinbase&nbsp;going public.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉曾在三月份表示，它将比特币作为投资资产持有，并将其作为一种支付形式。Visa进一步涉足加密货币和灰度投资，透露计划成立比特币交易所交易基金。然后是比特币基地上市的歇斯底里。</blockquote></p><p> \"There was already a massive amount of leverage in the market in anticipation of the Coinbase IPO,\" said&nbsp;Bobby Ong, CoinGecko's chief operating officer, told<i>TheStreet</i>in an email. \"The excitement of having the first crypto company IPO also led bitcoin’s price to hit a new all-time high of $64,804.\"</p><p><blockquote>CoinGecko首席运营官Bobby Ong表示：“由于对Coinbase IPO的预期，市场上已经存在大量杠杆。”<i>街道</i>在一封电子邮件中。“第一家加密货币公司IPO的兴奋也导致比特币的价格创下64,804美元的历史新高。”</blockquote></p><p> Further exacerbating last week's selloff was its occurrence during the weekend when there were thinner order books, said Ong.&nbsp;\"With high leverage and thin order books, even a small decrease in price will trigger a sharp drawdown and cause a downward spiral in price.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，周末订单减少，进一步加剧了上周的抛售。“在高杠杆和订单减少的情况下，即使价格小幅下跌也会引发大幅回撤，并导致价格螺旋式下降。”</blockquote></p><p> Now, the market needs to correct itself, because there were many over-leveraged traders, said Ong, adding that bitcoin options expire toward the end of every month, which usually causes increased volatility around that time.</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，现在市场需要自我纠正，因为有许多过度杠杆化的交易者，并补充说比特币期权在每个月底到期，这通常会导致当时波动性增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Ban?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币·班？</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite bitcoin's rise through mid-April and excitement leading up to Cionbase's offering, it wasn't all glitter and gold for the digital coin in past few weeks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管比特币在4月中旬上涨，Cionbase发行前也令人兴奋，但过去几周数字硬币的表现并不全是闪光和黄金。</blockquote></p><p> Not only did coinbase's initial public offering somewhat disappoint in the days following, but star investors had been growing increasingly vocal about their skepticism of the cryptocurrency.</p><p><blockquote>不仅coinbase的首次公开募股在接下来的几天里有些令人失望，而且明星投资者也越来越多地表达了他们对加密货币的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p> Hedgefund investor Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates told&nbsp;Yahoo News&nbsp;last month that he felt there was a “good probability” bitcoin could become outlawed in the U.S. He also questioned the privacy of the cryptocurrency's transactions. Then, last week, Guggenheim Partners’ Scott Minerd&nbsp;told CNBC&nbsp;that while he's bullish on bitcoin over the long-term, bitcoin is too \"frothy\" and could fall 50%.</p><p><blockquote>Bridgewater Associates的对冲基金投资者Ray Dalio上个月告诉雅虎新闻，他认为比特币“很有可能”在美国被取缔。他还质疑加密货币交易的隐私性。然后，上周，Guggenheim Partners的Scott Minerd告诉CNBC，虽然他长期看好比特币，但比特币的“泡沫”太大，可能会下跌50%。</blockquote></p><p> The lukewarm reception from stock investors over Coinbase's direct listing and&nbsp;\"a lot of fear and uncertainty\" spreading on social media didn't help bitcoin, suggested Ong, noting the recent headlines of crypto bans in India and Turkey.</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，股票投资者对Coinbase直接上市反应冷淡，社交媒体上传播的“大量恐惧和不确定性”对比特币没有帮助，并指出最近印度和土耳其加密货币禁令的头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> But aside from the technical and fundamental moves in crypto in the waning weeks of April -- much of what happened in the media was little more than hype and speculation, suggested Balter.</p><p><blockquote>但巴尔特表示，除了4月份最后几周加密货币的技术和基本面走势之外，媒体上发生的大部分事情只不过是炒作和猜测。</blockquote></p><p> \"I'd hate to go on record for ever saying Ray Dalio doesn't know what he's talking about,\" said Balter,&nbsp;who is also a partner with venture capital firm True Ventures. \"That said ... like any asset, there's always a great deal of speculation -- bitcoin is esteemed in that it presents both technical and financial implications, and thus magnifies that speculation immensely.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我不想公开说雷·达里奥不知道自己在说什么，”巴尔特说，他也是风险投资公司True Ventures的合伙人。“也就是说……就像任何资产一样，总是有大量的猜测——比特币因其具有技术和财务影响而受到尊重，因此极大地放大了这种猜测。”</blockquote></p><p> And, that people like Dalio and Minerd are even talking about crypto so publicly on the record, shows how far the digital currency has come, noted Balter, also responding to a recent comment by value investor Bill Miller, who&nbsp;told CNBC&nbsp;this month that he sees bitcoin establishing itself in the \"mainstream.\"</p><p><blockquote>Balter指出，像Dalio和Minerd这样的人甚至公开谈论加密货币，这表明了数字货币已经走了多远。他还回应了价值投资者Bill Miller最近的评论，Bill Miller本月告诉CNBC，他看到比特币在“主流”中确立了自己的地位。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"The fact that all three are going on record would indicate that bitcoin is likely entering the mainstream, so hat-tip to Mr. Miller,\" said Balter. \"The volatility of bitcoin has always been part of its allure, so cutting in half isn't out of the question.... Although, I don't think we'll ever see $10,000 levels again. As for Mr. Dalio, unfortunately the concept of outlawing an asset that is conceptually decentralized is pretty much out of the question, and bitcoin transactions are hardly private, so sorry Mr. Dalio, you are pretty off the mark.\"</p><p><blockquote>Balter说：“事实上，这三家公司都被记录在案，这表明比特币很可能会进入主流，所以向Miller先生致敬。”“比特币的波动性一直是其吸引力的一部分，因此减半并非不可能……不过，我认为我们再也不会看到10,000美元的水平了。至于达里奥先生，不幸的是，宣布概念上分散的资产非法的概念几乎是不可能的，而且比特币交易几乎不是私人的，所以抱歉达里奥先生，你完全偏离了目标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin: Boom, Bust and Big Opportunity?<blockquote>比特币：繁荣、萧条和大机遇？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin: Boom, Bust and Big Opportunity?<blockquote>比特币：繁荣、萧条和大机遇？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-26 08:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>TheStreet taps two crypto experts, Bobby Ong of CoinGecko and Dave Balter of Flipside Crypto, to discuss the April 'bloodbath' and what it means for investors.</p><p><blockquote>TheStreet邀请了CoinGecko的Bobby Ong和Flipside Crypto的Dave Balter两位加密货币专家来讨论4月份的“大屠杀”及其对投资者的意义。</blockquote></p><p> Did the world just witness the bitcoin bomb? Or, the chance for a bitcoin buy?</p><p><blockquote>世界刚刚目睹了比特币原子弹爆炸吗？或者，购买比特币的机会？</blockquote></p><p> The famed cryptocurrency&nbsp;fell sharply&nbsp;over the past week, sinking from its mid-month high of over $64,000 to Sunday evening, when it fell under $48,000.</p><p><blockquote>这种著名的加密货币在过去一周大幅下跌，从月中超过64,000美元的高点跌至周日晚上跌破48,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> But the move may prove an opportunity for longer term investors.</p><p><blockquote>但此举可能对长期投资者来说是一个机会。</blockquote></p><p> \"Bitcoin's volatility isn't a flaw, it's a gift -- especially for the up-and-coming investor class of millennials and Gen-Z,\" said Dave Balter, the chief executive of Flipside Crypto, which provides analytics and business intelligence to crypto organizations, in an email to<i>TheStreet.</i>\"The last month is a reflection of its natural cycles, but also of a maturing institutional speculation and futures market.\"</p><p><blockquote>为加密货币提供分析和商业智能的Flipside Crypto首席执行官Dave Balter表示：“比特币的波动性不是缺陷，而是一份礼物——尤其是对于千禧一代和Z世代等崭露头角的投资者群体来说。”组织，在一封电子邮件中<i>街道。</i>“上个月反映了其自然周期，也反映了机构投机和期货市场的成熟。”</blockquote></p><p> And, said Balter, any good investor \"knows there's always money to be made with volatile assets.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴尔特说，任何优秀的投资者“都知道波动性资产总能赚钱”。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the move startled some observers. Before the fall, bitcoin had been on a steady upswing, with&nbsp;many forecasting that it was not a question of if, but when, itwould hit $100,000.&nbsp;Just in the past quarter, the cryptocurrency scored several new highs and surpassed $64,000 on April 14. By that time it had also grown by over 1,000% from a year-ago, when on March 13, 2020, it crashed 40% intraday to $5,413, according to a new&nbsp;report by CoinGecko, &nbsp;one of the largest independent cryptocurrency data aggregators.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，此举还是让一些观察家感到震惊。在下跌之前，比特币一直在稳步上涨，许多人预测这不是是否会触及10万美元的问题，而是何时触及10万美元的问题。就在过去的一个季度，加密货币创下了几个新高，并于4月14日突破了64,000美元。根据最大的独立加密货币数据聚合商之一CoinGecko的一份新报告，到那时，它也比一年前增长了1,000%以上，2020年3月13日，它盘中暴跌40%，至5,413美元。</blockquote></p><p> The past week's drop also came after several months of bullish buildup on crypto that dominated financial news headlines.</p><p><blockquote>过去一周的下跌也是在几个月来主导金融新闻头条的加密货币看涨之后发生的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla&nbsp;had said in March that it was holding bitcoin as an investment asset and would take it as a form of payment. Visa&nbsp;gotfurther into cryptoand Grayscale Investmentsrevealed it planned a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. And then there was the hysteria of Coinbase&nbsp;going public.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉曾在三月份表示，它将比特币作为投资资产持有，并将其作为一种支付形式。Visa进一步涉足加密货币和灰度投资，透露计划成立比特币交易所交易基金。然后是比特币基地上市的歇斯底里。</blockquote></p><p> \"There was already a massive amount of leverage in the market in anticipation of the Coinbase IPO,\" said&nbsp;Bobby Ong, CoinGecko's chief operating officer, told<i>TheStreet</i>in an email. \"The excitement of having the first crypto company IPO also led bitcoin’s price to hit a new all-time high of $64,804.\"</p><p><blockquote>CoinGecko首席运营官Bobby Ong表示：“由于对Coinbase IPO的预期，市场上已经存在大量杠杆。”<i>街道</i>在一封电子邮件中。“第一家加密货币公司IPO的兴奋也导致比特币的价格创下64,804美元的历史新高。”</blockquote></p><p> Further exacerbating last week's selloff was its occurrence during the weekend when there were thinner order books, said Ong.&nbsp;\"With high leverage and thin order books, even a small decrease in price will trigger a sharp drawdown and cause a downward spiral in price.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，周末订单减少，进一步加剧了上周的抛售。“在高杠杆和订单减少的情况下，即使价格小幅下跌也会引发大幅回撤，并导致价格螺旋式下降。”</blockquote></p><p> Now, the market needs to correct itself, because there were many over-leveraged traders, said Ong, adding that bitcoin options expire toward the end of every month, which usually causes increased volatility around that time.</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，现在市场需要自我纠正，因为有许多过度杠杆化的交易者，并补充说比特币期权在每个月底到期，这通常会导致当时波动性增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Ban?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币·班？</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite bitcoin's rise through mid-April and excitement leading up to Cionbase's offering, it wasn't all glitter and gold for the digital coin in past few weeks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管比特币在4月中旬上涨，Cionbase发行前也令人兴奋，但过去几周数字硬币的表现并不全是闪光和黄金。</blockquote></p><p> Not only did coinbase's initial public offering somewhat disappoint in the days following, but star investors had been growing increasingly vocal about their skepticism of the cryptocurrency.</p><p><blockquote>不仅coinbase的首次公开募股在接下来的几天里有些令人失望，而且明星投资者也越来越多地表达了他们对加密货币的怀疑。</blockquote></p><p> Hedgefund investor Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates told&nbsp;Yahoo News&nbsp;last month that he felt there was a “good probability” bitcoin could become outlawed in the U.S. He also questioned the privacy of the cryptocurrency's transactions. Then, last week, Guggenheim Partners’ Scott Minerd&nbsp;told CNBC&nbsp;that while he's bullish on bitcoin over the long-term, bitcoin is too \"frothy\" and could fall 50%.</p><p><blockquote>Bridgewater Associates的对冲基金投资者Ray Dalio上个月告诉雅虎新闻，他认为比特币“很有可能”在美国被取缔。他还质疑加密货币交易的隐私性。然后，上周，Guggenheim Partners的Scott Minerd告诉CNBC，虽然他长期看好比特币，但比特币的“泡沫”太大，可能会下跌50%。</blockquote></p><p> The lukewarm reception from stock investors over Coinbase's direct listing and&nbsp;\"a lot of fear and uncertainty\" spreading on social media didn't help bitcoin, suggested Ong, noting the recent headlines of crypto bans in India and Turkey.</p><p><blockquote>Ong表示，股票投资者对Coinbase直接上市反应冷淡，社交媒体上传播的“大量恐惧和不确定性”对比特币没有帮助，并指出最近印度和土耳其加密货币禁令的头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> But aside from the technical and fundamental moves in crypto in the waning weeks of April -- much of what happened in the media was little more than hype and speculation, suggested Balter.</p><p><blockquote>但巴尔特表示，除了4月份最后几周加密货币的技术和基本面走势之外，媒体上发生的大部分事情只不过是炒作和猜测。</blockquote></p><p> \"I'd hate to go on record for ever saying Ray Dalio doesn't know what he's talking about,\" said Balter,&nbsp;who is also a partner with venture capital firm True Ventures. \"That said ... like any asset, there's always a great deal of speculation -- bitcoin is esteemed in that it presents both technical and financial implications, and thus magnifies that speculation immensely.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我不想公开说雷·达里奥不知道自己在说什么，”巴尔特说，他也是风险投资公司True Ventures的合伙人。“也就是说……就像任何资产一样，总是有大量的猜测——比特币因其具有技术和财务影响而受到尊重，因此极大地放大了这种猜测。”</blockquote></p><p> And, that people like Dalio and Minerd are even talking about crypto so publicly on the record, shows how far the digital currency has come, noted Balter, also responding to a recent comment by value investor Bill Miller, who&nbsp;told CNBC&nbsp;this month that he sees bitcoin establishing itself in the \"mainstream.\"</p><p><blockquote>Balter指出，像Dalio和Minerd这样的人甚至公开谈论加密货币，这表明了数字货币已经走了多远。他还回应了价值投资者Bill Miller最近的评论，Bill Miller本月告诉CNBC，他看到比特币在“主流”中确立了自己的地位。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"The fact that all three are going on record would indicate that bitcoin is likely entering the mainstream, so hat-tip to Mr. Miller,\" said Balter. \"The volatility of bitcoin has always been part of its allure, so cutting in half isn't out of the question.... Although, I don't think we'll ever see $10,000 levels again. As for Mr. Dalio, unfortunately the concept of outlawing an asset that is conceptually decentralized is pretty much out of the question, and bitcoin transactions are hardly private, so sorry Mr. Dalio, you are pretty off the mark.\"</p><p><blockquote>Balter说：“事实上，这三家公司都被记录在案，这表明比特币很可能会进入主流，所以向Miller先生致敬。”“比特币的波动性一直是其吸引力的一部分，因此减半并非不可能……不过，我认为我们再也不会看到10,000美元的水平了。至于达里奥先生，不幸的是，宣布概念上分散的资产非法的概念几乎是不可能的，而且比特币交易几乎不是私人的，所以抱歉达里奥先生，你完全偏离了目标。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/bitcoin/thestreet-taps-two-crypto-experts-bobby-ong-of-coingecko-and-dave-balter-of-flipside-crypto-to-discuss-the-april-bloodbath-and-what-it-means-for-investors\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/bitcoin/thestreet-taps-two-crypto-experts-bobby-ong-of-coingecko-and-dave-balter-of-flipside-crypto-to-discuss-the-april-bloodbath-and-what-it-means-for-investors","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158968268","content_text":"TheStreet taps two crypto experts, Bobby Ong of CoinGecko and Dave Balter of Flipside Crypto, to discuss the April 'bloodbath' and what it means for investors.\nDid the world just witness the bitcoin bomb? Or, the chance for a bitcoin buy?\nThe famed cryptocurrency fell sharply over the past week, sinking from its mid-month high of over $64,000 to Sunday evening, when it fell under $48,000.\nBut the move may prove an opportunity for longer term investors.\n\"Bitcoin's volatility isn't a flaw, it's a gift -- especially for the up-and-coming investor class of millennials and Gen-Z,\" said Dave Balter, the chief executive of Flipside Crypto, which provides analytics and business intelligence to crypto organizations, in an email toTheStreet.\"The last month is a reflection of its natural cycles, but also of a maturing institutional speculation and futures market.\"\nAnd, said Balter, any good investor \"knows there's always money to be made with volatile assets.\"\nStill, the move startled some observers. Before the fall, bitcoin had been on a steady upswing, with many forecasting that it was not a question of if, but when, itwould hit $100,000. Just in the past quarter, the cryptocurrency scored several new highs and surpassed $64,000 on April 14. By that time it had also grown by over 1,000% from a year-ago, when on March 13, 2020, it crashed 40% intraday to $5,413, according to a new report by CoinGecko,  one of the largest independent cryptocurrency data aggregators.\nThe past week's drop also came after several months of bullish buildup on crypto that dominated financial news headlines.\nTesla had said in March that it was holding bitcoin as an investment asset and would take it as a form of payment. Visa gotfurther into cryptoand Grayscale Investmentsrevealed it planned a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. And then there was the hysteria of Coinbase going public.\n\"There was already a massive amount of leverage in the market in anticipation of the Coinbase IPO,\" said Bobby Ong, CoinGecko's chief operating officer, toldTheStreetin an email. \"The excitement of having the first crypto company IPO also led bitcoin’s price to hit a new all-time high of $64,804.\"\nFurther exacerbating last week's selloff was its occurrence during the weekend when there were thinner order books, said Ong. \"With high leverage and thin order books, even a small decrease in price will trigger a sharp drawdown and cause a downward spiral in price.\"\nNow, the market needs to correct itself, because there were many over-leveraged traders, said Ong, adding that bitcoin options expire toward the end of every month, which usually causes increased volatility around that time.\nBitcoin Ban?\nDespite bitcoin's rise through mid-April and excitement leading up to Cionbase's offering, it wasn't all glitter and gold for the digital coin in past few weeks.\nNot only did coinbase's initial public offering somewhat disappoint in the days following, but star investors had been growing increasingly vocal about their skepticism of the cryptocurrency.\nHedgefund investor Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Associates told Yahoo News last month that he felt there was a “good probability” bitcoin could become outlawed in the U.S. He also questioned the privacy of the cryptocurrency's transactions. Then, last week, Guggenheim Partners’ Scott Minerd told CNBC that while he's bullish on bitcoin over the long-term, bitcoin is too \"frothy\" and could fall 50%.\nThe lukewarm reception from stock investors over Coinbase's direct listing and \"a lot of fear and uncertainty\" spreading on social media didn't help bitcoin, suggested Ong, noting the recent headlines of crypto bans in India and Turkey.\nBut aside from the technical and fundamental moves in crypto in the waning weeks of April -- much of what happened in the media was little more than hype and speculation, suggested Balter.\n\"I'd hate to go on record for ever saying Ray Dalio doesn't know what he's talking about,\" said Balter, who is also a partner with venture capital firm True Ventures. \"That said ... like any asset, there's always a great deal of speculation -- bitcoin is esteemed in that it presents both technical and financial implications, and thus magnifies that speculation immensely.\"\nAnd, that people like Dalio and Minerd are even talking about crypto so publicly on the record, shows how far the digital currency has come, noted Balter, also responding to a recent comment by value investor Bill Miller, who told CNBC this month that he sees bitcoin establishing itself in the \"mainstream.\"\n\"The fact that all three are going on record would indicate that bitcoin is likely entering the mainstream, so hat-tip to Mr. Miller,\" said Balter. \"The volatility of bitcoin has always been part of its allure, so cutting in half isn't out of the question.... Although, I don't think we'll ever see $10,000 levels again. As for Mr. Dalio, unfortunately the concept of outlawing an asset that is conceptually decentralized is pretty much out of the question, and bitcoin transactions are hardly private, so sorry Mr. Dalio, you are pretty off the mark.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,"GBTC":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"SQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196338024,"gmtCreate":1621013836668,"gmtModify":1634194552451,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mmmm doubt it&nbsp;","listText":"Mmmm doubt it&nbsp;","text":"Mmmm doubt it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196338024","repostId":"2135607327","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135092657,"gmtCreate":1622121085279,"gmtModify":1631891115500,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That's great&nbsp;","listText":"That's great&nbsp;","text":"That's great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135092657","repostId":"1138135570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135096691,"gmtCreate":1622121023613,"gmtModify":1631891115505,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Perfect!&nbsp;","listText":"Perfect!&nbsp;","text":"Perfect!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135096691","repostId":"1137643720","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137643720","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622118929,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137643720?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-27 20:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Jobless claims: Initial filings fell for fourth straight week to set new pandemic-era low<blockquote>初请失业金人数：首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下大流行时代新低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137643720","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"Initial unemployment claims fell for a fourth straight week to set a new 14-month low as the labor m","content":"<p>Initial unemployment claims fell for a fourth straight week to set a new 14-month low as the labor market recovery made further strides toward recovering jobs lost during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着劳动力市场复苏在恢复疫情期间失去的就业岗位方面取得进一步进展，首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下14个月新低。</blockquote></p><p>TheDepartment of Labor released its weekly reporton new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部于美国东部时间周四上午8:30发布了每周新申请失业救济人数报告。与彭博社编制的共识数据相比，以下是该报告的主要指标：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Initial jobless claims, week ended May 22:</b>406,000vs. 425,000 expected and 444,000 during the prior week</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>截至5月22日当周首次申请失业救济人数：</b>406,000对比。预期425,000人，前一周444,000人</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li><li><b>Continuing claims, week ended May 15:</b>3.642 million vs. 3.680 million expected and 3.738 million during the prior week</p><p><blockquote><li><b>截至5月15日当周的持续索赔：</b>364.2万，预期368.0万，前一周373.8万</li></blockquote></p><p></li></ul>As a greater percentage of the U.S. population becomes inoculated against COVID-19, more business have reopened and more social distancing standards have been eased.According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, half of all Americans have now received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的美国人口接种了新冠肺炎疫苗，更多的企业重新开业，更多的社交距离标准也得到了放宽。根据疾病控制和预防中心的数据，一半的美国人现在至少接种了一剂新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>This has in turn slowed the pace of layoffs and other separations, allowed more individuals to return to the workforce and pushed new weekly jobless claims closer toward their pre-pandemic pace of just over 200,000 per week.</p><p><blockquote>这反过来又减缓了裁员和其他离职的步伐，让更多的人重返劳动力市场，并推动每周新申请失业救济人数接近大流行前每周略高于20万的水平。</blockquote></p><p>\"More lifting of COVID-19 restrictions by governments and businesses, coupled with further progress on vaccinations, are helping to propel more mobility and spending on the part of consumers,\" Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate, said in an email Wednesday. \"In turn, businesses are doing what they can to position their labor and other resources to meet demand. As is widely understood now, some employers are struggling to hire all of the workers they want for a multitude of reasons.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bankrate高级经济分析师马克·哈姆里克(Mark Hamrick)在周三的一封电子邮件中表示：“政府和企业进一步取消对COVID-19的限制，加上疫苗接种方面的进一步进展，正在帮助推动消费者更多的流动性和支出。”“反过来，企业正在尽其所能调整劳动力和其他资源以满足需求。正如现在广泛理解的那样，一些雇主出于多种原因正在努力雇用他们想要的所有工人。”</blockquote></p><p>Still, however, an elevated number of Americans are still claiming unemployment benefits, even as the pace of new filings slows. Nearly 15 million individuals were claiming benefits of some form as of the beginning of May. This included more than 11.7 million individuals on federal crisis-era unemployment benefits including Pandemic Unemployment Assistance and Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation, which were started in the past year to alleviate some of the strain due to COVID-related job losses.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管新申请失业救济的速度放缓，但仍有大量美国人申请失业救济。截至5月初，近1500万人申请某种形式的福利。这包括超过1170万人领取联邦危机时期失业救济金，包括疫情失业援助和疫情紧急失业补偿，这些救济金于去年启动，旨在缓解与COVID相关的失业带来的一些压力。</blockquote></p><p>But with COVID-19 infection rates falling to a near one-year low and more businesses reopening and struggling to find workers, a number of states are now rolling back some of these crisis-era benefits.Nearly two dozen statesare slashing the federal $300 per week in unemployment benefits as soon as in mid-June, while the federal expiration date for these benefits is set for Sept. 6.</p><p><blockquote>但随着COVID-19感染率降至近一年来的低点，越来越多的企业重新开业并努力寻找工人，许多州现在正在取消一些危机时期的福利。近24个州最早将于6月中旬削减联邦每周300美元的失业救济金，而这些救济金的联邦到期日定于9月6日。</blockquote></p><p>Some have viewed these enhanced benefits as incentive for workers to stay on the sidelines, exacerbating labor shortages many in the service sector especially have been witnessing. Others, however, have said the benefits provide a necessary economic cushion for workers that have been disproportionately impacted by fallout from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为这些提高的福利是对工人保持观望的激励，加剧了劳动力短缺，尤其是许多服务部门的劳动力短缺。然而，其他人表示，这些福利为受疫情影响过大的工人提供了必要的经济缓冲。</blockquote></p><p>\"No one knows for sure why people have been reluctant to return to the labor market — we're assuming it is due to a combination of COVID fear, childcare difficulties, and the $300 per week federally-funded enhancement to unemployment benefits — but the numbers are huge,\" Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note earlier this week. \"The labor force in April was some 5M smaller than we would have expected if the pandemic hadn't happened.\"</p><p><blockquote>“没有人确切知道为什么人们不愿意重返劳动力市场——我们假设这是由于对新冠病毒的恐惧、育儿困难以及联邦政府资助的每周300美元失业救济金的增加——但这些数字是巨大的，”万神殿宏观经济公司首席经济学家伊恩·谢泼德森在本周早些时候的一份报告中写道。“如果疫情没有发生，4月份的劳动力比我们预期的少了约500万。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Jobless claims: Initial filings fell for fourth straight week to set new pandemic-era low<blockquote>初请失业金人数：首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下大流行时代新低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJobless claims: Initial filings fell for fourth straight week to set new pandemic-era low<blockquote>初请失业金人数：首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下大流行时代新低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-27 20:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Initial unemployment claims fell for a fourth straight week to set a new 14-month low as the labor market recovery made further strides toward recovering jobs lost during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着劳动力市场复苏在恢复疫情期间失去的就业岗位方面取得进一步进展，首次申请失业救济人数连续第四周下降，创下14个月新低。</blockquote></p><p>TheDepartment of Labor released its weekly reporton new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部于美国东部时间周四上午8:30发布了每周新申请失业救济人数报告。与彭博社编制的共识数据相比，以下是该报告的主要指标：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Initial jobless claims, week ended May 22:</b>406,000vs. 425,000 expected and 444,000 during the prior week</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>截至5月22日当周首次申请失业救济人数：</b>406,000对比。预期425,000人，前一周444,000人</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li><li><b>Continuing claims, week ended May 15:</b>3.642 million vs. 3.680 million expected and 3.738 million during the prior week</p><p><blockquote><li><b>截至5月15日当周的持续索赔：</b>364.2万，预期368.0万，前一周373.8万</li></blockquote></p><p></li></ul>As a greater percentage of the U.S. population becomes inoculated against COVID-19, more business have reopened and more social distancing standards have been eased.According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, half of all Americans have now received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的美国人口接种了新冠肺炎疫苗，更多的企业重新开业，更多的社交距离标准也得到了放宽。根据疾病控制和预防中心的数据，一半的美国人现在至少接种了一剂新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>This has in turn slowed the pace of layoffs and other separations, allowed more individuals to return to the workforce and pushed new weekly jobless claims closer toward their pre-pandemic pace of just over 200,000 per week.</p><p><blockquote>这反过来又减缓了裁员和其他离职的步伐，让更多的人重返劳动力市场，并推动每周新申请失业救济人数接近大流行前每周略高于20万的水平。</blockquote></p><p>\"More lifting of COVID-19 restrictions by governments and businesses, coupled with further progress on vaccinations, are helping to propel more mobility and spending on the part of consumers,\" Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate, said in an email Wednesday. \"In turn, businesses are doing what they can to position their labor and other resources to meet demand. As is widely understood now, some employers are struggling to hire all of the workers they want for a multitude of reasons.\"</p><p><blockquote>Bankrate高级经济分析师马克·哈姆里克(Mark Hamrick)在周三的一封电子邮件中表示：“政府和企业进一步取消对COVID-19的限制，加上疫苗接种方面的进一步进展，正在帮助推动消费者更多的流动性和支出。”“反过来，企业正在尽其所能调整劳动力和其他资源以满足需求。正如现在广泛理解的那样，一些雇主出于多种原因正在努力雇用他们想要的所有工人。”</blockquote></p><p>Still, however, an elevated number of Americans are still claiming unemployment benefits, even as the pace of new filings slows. Nearly 15 million individuals were claiming benefits of some form as of the beginning of May. This included more than 11.7 million individuals on federal crisis-era unemployment benefits including Pandemic Unemployment Assistance and Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation, which were started in the past year to alleviate some of the strain due to COVID-related job losses.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管新申请失业救济的速度放缓，但仍有大量美国人申请失业救济。截至5月初，近1500万人申请某种形式的福利。这包括超过1170万人领取联邦危机时期失业救济金，包括疫情失业援助和疫情紧急失业补偿，这些救济金于去年启动，旨在缓解与COVID相关的失业带来的一些压力。</blockquote></p><p>But with COVID-19 infection rates falling to a near one-year low and more businesses reopening and struggling to find workers, a number of states are now rolling back some of these crisis-era benefits.Nearly two dozen statesare slashing the federal $300 per week in unemployment benefits as soon as in mid-June, while the federal expiration date for these benefits is set for Sept. 6.</p><p><blockquote>但随着COVID-19感染率降至近一年来的低点，越来越多的企业重新开业并努力寻找工人，许多州现在正在取消一些危机时期的福利。近24个州最早将于6月中旬削减联邦每周300美元的失业救济金，而这些救济金的联邦到期日定于9月6日。</blockquote></p><p>Some have viewed these enhanced benefits as incentive for workers to stay on the sidelines, exacerbating labor shortages many in the service sector especially have been witnessing. Others, however, have said the benefits provide a necessary economic cushion for workers that have been disproportionately impacted by fallout from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为这些提高的福利是对工人保持观望的激励，加剧了劳动力短缺，尤其是许多服务部门的劳动力短缺。然而，其他人表示，这些福利为受疫情影响过大的工人提供了必要的经济缓冲。</blockquote></p><p>\"No one knows for sure why people have been reluctant to return to the labor market — we're assuming it is due to a combination of COVID fear, childcare difficulties, and the $300 per week federally-funded enhancement to unemployment benefits — but the numbers are huge,\" Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note earlier this week. \"The labor force in April was some 5M smaller than we would have expected if the pandemic hadn't happened.\"</p><p><blockquote>“没有人确切知道为什么人们不愿意重返劳动力市场——我们假设这是由于对新冠病毒的恐惧、育儿困难以及联邦政府资助的每周300美元失业救济金的增加——但这些数字是巨大的，”万神殿宏观经济公司首席经济学家伊恩·谢泼德森在本周早些时候的一份报告中写道。“如果疫情没有发生，4月份的劳动力比我们预期的少了约500万。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weekly-jobless-claims-week-ended-may-22-2021-183122973.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/weekly-jobless-claims-week-ended-may-22-2021-183122973.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137643720","content_text":"Initial unemployment claims fell for a fourth straight week to set a new 14-month low as the labor market recovery made further strides toward recovering jobs lost during the pandemic.TheDepartment of Labor released its weekly reporton new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:Initial jobless claims, week ended May 22:406,000vs. 425,000 expected and 444,000 during the prior weekContinuing claims, week ended May 15:3.642 million vs. 3.680 million expected and 3.738 million during the prior weekAs a greater percentage of the U.S. population becomes inoculated against COVID-19, more business have reopened and more social distancing standards have been eased.According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, half of all Americans have now received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.This has in turn slowed the pace of layoffs and other separations, allowed more individuals to return to the workforce and pushed new weekly jobless claims closer toward their pre-pandemic pace of just over 200,000 per week.\"More lifting of COVID-19 restrictions by governments and businesses, coupled with further progress on vaccinations, are helping to propel more mobility and spending on the part of consumers,\" Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate, said in an email Wednesday. \"In turn, businesses are doing what they can to position their labor and other resources to meet demand. As is widely understood now, some employers are struggling to hire all of the workers they want for a multitude of reasons.\"Still, however, an elevated number of Americans are still claiming unemployment benefits, even as the pace of new filings slows. Nearly 15 million individuals were claiming benefits of some form as of the beginning of May. This included more than 11.7 million individuals on federal crisis-era unemployment benefits including Pandemic Unemployment Assistance and Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation, which were started in the past year to alleviate some of the strain due to COVID-related job losses.But with COVID-19 infection rates falling to a near one-year low and more businesses reopening and struggling to find workers, a number of states are now rolling back some of these crisis-era benefits.Nearly two dozen statesare slashing the federal $300 per week in unemployment benefits as soon as in mid-June, while the federal expiration date for these benefits is set for Sept. 6.Some have viewed these enhanced benefits as incentive for workers to stay on the sidelines, exacerbating labor shortages many in the service sector especially have been witnessing. Others, however, have said the benefits provide a necessary economic cushion for workers that have been disproportionately impacted by fallout from the pandemic.\"No one knows for sure why people have been reluctant to return to the labor market — we're assuming it is due to a combination of COVID fear, childcare difficulties, and the $300 per week federally-funded enhancement to unemployment benefits — but the numbers are huge,\" Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note earlier this week. \"The labor force in April was some 5M smaller than we would have expected if the pandemic hadn't happened.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194913208,"gmtCreate":1621333179504,"gmtModify":1634192380057,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should we buy this??&nbsp;","listText":"Should we buy this??&nbsp;","text":"Should we buy this??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194913208","repostId":"2136738931","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136738931","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621318800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2136738931?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 14:20","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"JD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流启动香港IPO募资至多34亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136738931","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering  to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion  if the deal is priced at the top end.JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibilli","content":"<p>The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务巨头京东的物流部门周一开始向散户投资者推销其在香港的首次公开募股（IPO），价格范围为每股39.36港元至43.36港元，如果交易定价在最高端，该公司可能会筹集高达264亿港元（34亿美元）。<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（点击此处申请京东物流股份）</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的公开发行将从周一持续到周五。其股票预计将于5月28日在香港交易所主板开始交易。</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流计划出售6.092亿股股票，占其扩大后股本的10%。如果需求强劲，则有超额配股权可再出售最多9140万股。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9320033ea7302952fa2cb6ece8339a\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"464\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.</p><p><blockquote>阁下的申请必须认购最少100股香港发售股份，并按下表所列其中一个数目认购。您需要支付您选择的号码旁边的金额。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f72efeb4b54a02dbfe728ebb1099dd\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"437\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的发行预计将是今年港交所第二笔数十亿美元的IPO，此前腾讯控股支持的短视频平台快手科技在1月份筹集了62亿美元。快手的发行是今年迄今为止全球最大的IPO。</blockquote></p><p>Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.</p><p><blockquote>八名基石投资者已承诺购买总价值15亿美元的京东物流股票，如果交易定价为最高端，这将占其全球发行的约39%。</blockquote></p><p>The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.</p><p><blockquote>投资者包括软银、新加坡主权财富基金淡马锡控股、中国结构性改革基金以及黑石、老虎环球管理等资产管理公司。</blockquote></p><p>BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.</p><p><blockquote>美银证券、高盛和海通国际担任此次交易的联席保荐人，瑞银则担任财务顾问。</blockquote></p><p>Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.</p><p><blockquote>假设该交易定价为最高端，京东物流的市值将为2641亿港元，估值高于中通快递。</blockquote></p><p>Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于上海的中通去年9月通过二次上市在港上市时，市值为1807亿港元，阿里巴巴-SW集团是其股东之一。阿里巴巴-SW拥有《南华早报》。</blockquote></p><p>Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将渴望了解更多有关京东物流盈利计划的信息。这家总部位于北京的公司在招股说明书中表示，预计今年的净亏损将更大，此前2018年亏损28亿元人民币（4.35亿美元），2019年亏损22亿元人民币，2020年亏损40亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p>\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在招股说明书草案中表示：“由于我们目前将业务增长和市场份额扩大置于盈利能力之上，因此我们的盈利状况在中短期内可能会出现重大波动。”</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流正在寻求与中通和韵达控股等其他参与者区分开来，将自己标榜为一家技术驱动的物流服务提供商，使用自主移动机器人、分拣机器人和自动驾驶汽车来提高配送速度和准确性。</blockquote></p><p>Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.</p><p><blockquote>从技术角度推销股票销售可以帮助京东物流描绘更积极的前景。这是因为快递行业的竞争尤其激烈，有报道称一些新参与者以低于成本的价格提供服务来抢占业务。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>华兴资本分析师查理·陈(Charlie Chen)表示，过去三年，由于市场竞争激烈，快递公司每个包裹的平均收入下降了50%至60%。</blockquote></p><p>SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.</p><p><blockquote>中国最大的快递服务提供商顺丰本月震惊市场，此前该公司预测第一季度亏损11亿元人民币，引发了对其股票的抛售。截至周五收盘，其在上海的股价较2月中旬的峰值几乎腰斩。</blockquote></p><p>Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.</p><p><blockquote>中通、圆通快递、申通快递、顺丰快递和韵达控股这五家公司占据了中国快递服务市场近80%的份额。</blockquote></p><p>China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>就支出而言，中国是全球最大的物流市场，2020年物流总支出达到14.9万亿元。京东物流招股说明书中引用的研究公司灼识咨询的数据显示，预计到2025年，这一数字将增至19.3万亿元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流启动香港IPO募资至多34亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJD Logistics launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.4 billion<blockquote>京东物流启动香港IPO募资至多34亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-18 14:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）</b></a><b></b></p><p><blockquote>中国电子商务巨头京东的物流部门周一开始向散户投资者推销其在香港的首次公开募股（IPO），价格范围为每股39.36港元至43.36港元，如果交易定价在最高端，该公司可能会筹集高达264亿港元（34亿美元）。<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/mi/ipo?feature=Push\" target=\"_blank\"><b>（点击此处申请京东物流股份）</b></a><b></b></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的公开发行将从周一持续到周五。其股票预计将于5月28日在香港交易所主板开始交易。</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流计划出售6.092亿股股票，占其扩大后股本的10%。如果需求强劲，则有超额配股权可再出售最多9140万股。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd9320033ea7302952fa2cb6ece8339a\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"464\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.</p><p><blockquote>阁下的申请必须认购最少100股香港发售股份，并按下表所列其中一个数目认购。您需要支付您选择的号码旁边的金额。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f72efeb4b54a02dbfe728ebb1099dd\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"437\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流的发行预计将是今年港交所第二笔数十亿美元的IPO，此前腾讯控股支持的短视频平台快手科技在1月份筹集了62亿美元。快手的发行是今年迄今为止全球最大的IPO。</blockquote></p><p>Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.</p><p><blockquote>八名基石投资者已承诺购买总价值15亿美元的京东物流股票，如果交易定价为最高端，这将占其全球发行的约39%。</blockquote></p><p>The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.</p><p><blockquote>投资者包括软银、新加坡主权财富基金淡马锡控股、中国结构性改革基金以及黑石、老虎环球管理等资产管理公司。</blockquote></p><p>BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.</p><p><blockquote>美银证券、高盛和海通国际担任此次交易的联席保荐人，瑞银则担任财务顾问。</blockquote></p><p>Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.</p><p><blockquote>假设该交易定价为最高端，京东物流的市值将为2641亿港元，估值高于中通快递。</blockquote></p><p>Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于上海的中通去年9月通过二次上市在港上市时，市值为1807亿港元，阿里巴巴-SW集团是其股东之一。阿里巴巴-SW拥有《南华早报》。</blockquote></p><p>Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>投资者将渴望了解更多有关京东物流盈利计划的信息。这家总部位于北京的公司在招股说明书中表示，预计今年的净亏损将更大，此前2018年亏损28亿元人民币（4.35亿美元），2019年亏损22亿元人民币，2020年亏损40亿元人民币。</blockquote></p><p>\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在招股说明书草案中表示：“由于我们目前将业务增长和市场份额扩大置于盈利能力之上，因此我们的盈利状况在中短期内可能会出现重大波动。”</blockquote></p><p>JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.</p><p><blockquote>京东物流正在寻求与中通和韵达控股等其他参与者区分开来，将自己标榜为一家技术驱动的物流服务提供商，使用自主移动机器人、分拣机器人和自动驾驶汽车来提高配送速度和准确性。</blockquote></p><p>Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.</p><p><blockquote>从技术角度推销股票销售可以帮助京东物流描绘更积极的前景。这是因为快递行业的竞争尤其激烈，有报道称一些新参与者以低于成本的价格提供服务来抢占业务。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.</p><p><blockquote>华兴资本分析师查理·陈(Charlie Chen)表示，过去三年，由于市场竞争激烈，快递公司每个包裹的平均收入下降了50%至60%。</blockquote></p><p>SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.</p><p><blockquote>中国最大的快递服务提供商顺丰本月震惊市场，此前该公司预测第一季度亏损11亿元人民币，引发了对其股票的抛售。截至周五收盘，其在上海的股价较2月中旬的峰值几乎腰斩。</blockquote></p><p>Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.</p><p><blockquote>中通、圆通快递、申通快递、顺丰快递和韵达控股这五家公司占据了中国快递服务市场近80%的份额。</blockquote></p><p>China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.</p><p><blockquote>就支出而言，中国是全球最大的物流市场，2020年物流总支出达到14.9万亿元。京东物流招股说明书中引用的研究公司灼识咨询的数据显示，预计到2025年，这一数字将增至19.3万亿元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"02618":"京东物流"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136738931","content_text":"The logistics arm of Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com started marketing its Hong Kong initial public offering (IPO) to retail investors on Monday at a price range of HK$39.36 to HK$43.36 per share, which could see the firm raise as much as HK$26.4 billion (US$3.4 billion) if the deal is priced at the top end.（Click here To apply for the JD Logistics Shares）JD Logistics' public offering will run from Monday to Friday. Its shares are expected to begin trading on the Hong Kong bourse's main board on May 28.JD Logistics plans to sell 609.2 million shares, representing 10 per cent of its enlarged share capital. There is an over-allotment option to sell up to 91.4 million more shares if there is a strong demand.Your application must be for a minimum of 100 Hong Kong Offer Shares and in one of the numbers set out in the table. You are required to pay the amount next to the number you select.JD Logistics' offering is expected to be the second multibillion-dollar IPO on the Hong Kong bourse this year, after Tencent-backed short video platform Kuaishou Technology raised US$6.2 billion in January. The Kuaishou offering was the biggest IPO globally so far this year.Eight cornerstone investors have committed to buy a total of US$1.5 billion worth of JD Logistics shares, which would account for about 39 per cent of its global offering if the deal is priced at the top end.The investors include Softbank, Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek Holdings, China Structural Reform Fund and asset managers such as Blackstone, Tiger Global Management and others.BofA Securities, Goldman Sachs and Haitong International are acting as joint sponsors on the transaction, while UBS is serving as a financial adviser.Assuming the deal is priced at the top end, JD Logistics' market capitalisation would be HK$264.1 billion, valuing it higher than ZTO Express.Shanghai-based ZTO, which counts Alibaba Group Holding as one of its shareholders, had a market capitalisation of HK$180.7 billion when it listed in Hong Kong through a secondary listing last September. Alibaba owns the South China Morning Post.Investors will be keen to learn more about JD Logistics' plan to churn out a profit. The Beijing-based firm said in its prospectus that it expects a bigger net loss for this year, after racking up losses of 2.8 billion yuan (US$435 million) in 2018, 2.2 billion yuan in 2019 and 4 billion yuan in 2020.\"As we currently prioritise growth of our business and expansion of our market share over profitability, there can be significant fluctuations in our profitability profile in the near-to-medium term,\" the company said in its draft prospectus.JD Logistics is seeking to differentiate itself from other players, such as ZTO and Yunda Holding, by touting itself as a technology-driven logistic services provider using autonomous mobile robots, sorting robots and self-driving vehicles to enhance delivery speed and accuracy.Pitching the stock sale with a tech angle could help JD Logistics paint a more positive outlook. This is because competition is particularly keen in the express delivery sector, with reports of some newer players offering services at below cost to grab business.Over the past three years, the average revenue per parcel for express delivery companies declined by 50 per cent to 60 per cent owing to intensive market competition, according to Charlie Chen, an analyst at China Renaissance.SF Express, China's top delivery service provider, shocked the market this month after it forecast a first-quarter loss of 1.1 billion yuan, triggering a sell-off of its stock. As of Friday's close, its share price in Shanghai was almost halved from its mid-February peak.Five players - ZTO, YTO Express, STO Express, SF Express and Yunda Holding - account for nearly 80 per cent of China's express delivery service market.China is the biggest logistics market in the world in terms of spending, with total logistics spending reaching 14.9 trillion yuan in 2020. That is expected to increase to 19.3 trillion yuan by 2025, according to data from research firm China Insights Consultancy cited in JD Logistics' prospectus.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371215901,"gmtCreate":1618939595703,"gmtModify":1634289738323,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally&nbsp;","listText":"Finally&nbsp;","text":"Finally","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371215901","repostId":"2128847337","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357909162,"gmtCreate":1617225020856,"gmtModify":1634522001026,"author":{"id":"3571829669649843","authorId":"3571829669649843","name":"crisis","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571829669649843","idStr":"3571829669649843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357909162","repostId":"1127322570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}