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SinLip

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2021-07-22

Great

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2022-01-23

Ok

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2022-01-21

Great

Netflix Tumble Over 20% in the Extended Trading after Misses Subscriber Target, Offers Weak Forecast<blockquote>Netflix 未能达到用户目标，预测疲软，盘后交易中股价暴跌超过 20%</blockquote>

2022-01-19

Great

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2022-01-19

Great

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2021-07-08

Gteat

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2021-07-06

Great

Is the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote>

2021-06-05

Please like and comments

Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote>

2021-06-03

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2021-06-02

Comment please

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2021-05-31

Looking forward for it

Zoom, Lululemon, Canopy Growth and Other Stocks for Investors to See This Week<blockquote>Zoom、Lululemon、Canopy Growth 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-05-21

Great

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2021-05-20

Omg

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2021-05-20

Ok

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2021-05-20

Will see

Is Chevron Stock a Buy?<blockquote>雪佛龙股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>

2021-05-20

Great

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2021-05-20

Up

3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今天美联储会议纪要中值得关注的 3 件事</blockquote>

2021-05-19

Great

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2021-05-19

Great

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1642719534,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1126061742?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-21 06:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Tumble Over 20% in the Extended Trading after Misses Subscriber Target, Offers Weak Forecast<blockquote>Netflix 未能达到用户目标，预测疲软，盘后交易中股价暴跌超过 20%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126061742","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Netflix tumble over 20% in the extended trading after misses subscriber target, offers weak forecast","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Netflix tumble over 20% in the extended trading after misses subscriber target, offers weak forecast.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/774cb605f615635531c1e7c59735ddcf\" tg-width=\"1114\" tg-height=\"766\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Netflix Inc fell short of Wall Street forecasts for new subscribers at the end of last year and offered a weaker-than-expected forecast for early 2022 as rivals amped up the competition in the battle for streaming television viewers.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>Netflix 在未能达到用户目标后，在盘后交易中暴跌超过 20%，预测疲软。去年年底，Netflix Inc. 的新用户数量低于华尔街的预测，并且随着竞争对手加剧流媒体电视观众争夺战的竞争，对 2022 年初的预测也弱于预期。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>The world&#39;s largest streaming service added 8.3 million customers from October to December, when it released a heavy lineup of new programming including the star-studded movies &#34;Red Notice&#34; and &#34;Don&#39;t Look Up&#34; and a new season of &#34;The Witcher.&#34;</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最大的流媒体服务在 10 月至 12 月期间增加了 830 万客户，当时它发布了一系列新节目，包括众星云集的电影《红色通缉令》和《别抬头》以及新一季的《巫师》。</blockquote></p><p>Industry analysts had projected Netflix would add 8.4 million, according to Refinitiv IBES data.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Refinitiv IBES 的数据，行业分析师预计 Netflix 将增加 840 万。</blockquote></p><p>The company&#39;s global subscriber total reached 221.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的全球用户总数达到2.218亿。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix last week raised prices in its biggest market, the United States and Canada, where analysts say growth is stagnating, and is now looking for growth overseas.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 上周提高了其最大市场美国和加拿大的价格，分析师表示这两个市场的增长停滞不前，目前正在寻求海外增长。</blockquote></p><p>The company rode a roller coaster during the pandemic, with steep growth early in 2020 when people were staying home and movie theaters were closed, followed by a slowdown in 2021. Netflix picked up more than 36 million customers in 2020, and 18.2 million in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在疫情期间乘坐了过山车，在 2020 年初人们待在家里、电影院关闭时实现了急剧增长，随后在 2021 年放缓。Netflix 在 2020 年获得了超过 3600 万客户，在 2021 年获得了 1820 万客户。</blockquote></p><p>In 2022, Netflix&#39;s subscriber growth had been expected to stabilize and return to the pace logged before the pandemic, analysts say. The company&#39;s upcoming slate includes new installments of &#34;Ozark,&#34; &#34;Bridgerton&#34; and &#34;Stranger Things&#34; and a three-part Kanye West documentary.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，到 2022 年，Netflix 的用户增长预计将趋于稳定，并恢复到大流行之前的速度。该公司即将上映的作品包括《欧扎克》、《布里奇顿》和《奇异事物》的新剧集，以及一部由三集组成的坎耶·韦斯特纪录片。</blockquote></p><p>But competitors including Walt Disney Co and AT&amp;T Inc&#39;s HBO Max, are pouring billions into creating new programming to grab a share of the streaming market.</p><p><blockquote>但包括华特迪士尼公司和美国电话电报公司的HBO Max在内的竞争对手正在投入数十亿美元制作新节目，以抢占流媒体市场的份额。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix reported fourth-quarter revenue of $7.71 billion, in line with estimates of $7.71 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 公布第四季度营收为 77.1 亿美元，符合预期的 77.1 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Tumble Over 20% in the Extended Trading after Misses Subscriber Target, Offers Weak Forecast<blockquote>Netflix 未能达到用户目标，预测疲软，盘后交易中股价暴跌超过 20%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Tumble Over 20% in the Extended Trading after Misses Subscriber Target, Offers Weak Forecast<blockquote>Netflix 未能达到用户目标，预测疲软，盘后交易中股价暴跌超过 20%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-21 06:58</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Netflix tumble over 20% in the extended trading after misses subscriber target, offers weak forecast.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/774cb605f615635531c1e7c59735ddcf\" tg-width=\"1114\" tg-height=\"766\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Netflix Inc fell short of Wall Street forecasts for new subscribers at the end of last year and offered a weaker-than-expected forecast for early 2022 as rivals amped up the competition in the battle for streaming television viewers.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>Netflix 在未能达到用户目标后，在盘后交易中暴跌超过 20%，预测疲软。去年年底，Netflix Inc. 的新用户数量低于华尔街的预测，并且随着竞争对手加剧流媒体电视观众争夺战的竞争，对 2022 年初的预测也弱于预期。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>The world&#39;s largest streaming service added 8.3 million customers from October to December, when it released a heavy lineup of new programming including the star-studded movies &#34;Red Notice&#34; and &#34;Don&#39;t Look Up&#34; and a new season of &#34;The Witcher.&#34;</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最大的流媒体服务在 10 月至 12 月期间增加了 830 万客户，当时它发布了一系列新节目，包括众星云集的电影《红色通缉令》和《别抬头》以及新一季的《巫师》。</blockquote></p><p>Industry analysts had projected Netflix would add 8.4 million, according to Refinitiv IBES data.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Refinitiv IBES 的数据，行业分析师预计 Netflix 将增加 840 万。</blockquote></p><p>The company&#39;s global subscriber total reached 221.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的全球用户总数达到2.218亿。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix last week raised prices in its biggest market, the United States and Canada, where analysts say growth is stagnating, and is now looking for growth overseas.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 上周提高了其最大市场美国和加拿大的价格，分析师表示这两个市场的增长停滞不前，目前正在寻求海外增长。</blockquote></p><p>The company rode a roller coaster during the pandemic, with steep growth early in 2020 when people were staying home and movie theaters were closed, followed by a slowdown in 2021. Netflix picked up more than 36 million customers in 2020, and 18.2 million in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在疫情期间乘坐了过山车，在 2020 年初人们待在家里、电影院关闭时实现了急剧增长，随后在 2021 年放缓。Netflix 在 2020 年获得了超过 3600 万客户，在 2021 年获得了 1820 万客户。</blockquote></p><p>In 2022, Netflix&#39;s subscriber growth had been expected to stabilize and return to the pace logged before the pandemic, analysts say. The company&#39;s upcoming slate includes new installments of &#34;Ozark,&#34; &#34;Bridgerton&#34; and &#34;Stranger Things&#34; and a three-part Kanye West documentary.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，到 2022 年，Netflix 的用户增长预计将趋于稳定，并恢复到大流行之前的速度。该公司即将上映的作品包括《欧扎克》、《布里奇顿》和《奇异事物》的新剧集，以及一部由三集组成的坎耶·韦斯特纪录片。</blockquote></p><p>But competitors including Walt Disney Co and AT&amp;T Inc&#39;s HBO Max, are pouring billions into creating new programming to grab a share of the streaming market.</p><p><blockquote>但包括华特迪士尼公司和美国电话电报公司的HBO Max在内的竞争对手正在投入数十亿美元制作新节目，以抢占流媒体市场的份额。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix reported fourth-quarter revenue of $7.71 billion, in line with estimates of $7.71 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 公布第四季度营收为 77.1 亿美元，符合预期的 77.1 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126061742","content_text":"Netflix tumble over 20% in the extended trading after misses subscriber target, offers weak forecast.Netflix Inc fell short of Wall Street forecasts for new subscribers at the end of last year and offered a weaker-than-expected forecast for early 2022 as rivals amped up the competition in the battle for streaming television viewers.The world's largest streaming service added 8.3 million customers from October to December, when it released a heavy lineup of new programming including the star-studded movies \"Red Notice\" and \"Don't Look Up\" and a new season of \"The Witcher.\"Industry analysts had projected Netflix would add 8.4 million, according to Refinitiv IBES data.The company's global subscriber total reached 221.8 million.Netflix last week raised prices in its biggest market, the United States and Canada, where analysts say growth is stagnating, and is now looking for growth overseas.The company rode a roller coaster during the pandemic, with steep growth early in 2020 when people were staying home and movie theaters were closed, followed by a slowdown in 2021. Netflix picked up more than 36 million customers in 2020, and 18.2 million in 2021.In 2022, Netflix's subscriber growth had been expected to stabilize and return to the pace logged before the pandemic, analysts say. The company's upcoming slate includes new installments of \"Ozark,\" \"Bridgerton\" and \"Stranger Things\" and a three-part Kanye West documentary.But competitors including Walt Disney Co and AT&T Inc's HBO Max, are pouring billions into creating new programming to grab a share of the streaming market.Netflix reported fourth-quarter revenue of $7.71 billion, in line with estimates of $7.71 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697573531,"gmtCreate":1642546785225,"gmtModify":1642546785399,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697573531","repostId":"2204088464","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2994,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697573240,"gmtCreate":1642546770494,"gmtModify":1642546770669,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697573240","repostId":"2204088464","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3904,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":149026011,"gmtCreate":1625696616333,"gmtModify":1631889965074,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gteat","listText":"Gteat","text":"Gteat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149026011","repostId":"2149313903","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154689816,"gmtCreate":1625524769235,"gmtModify":1631889965076,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154689816","repostId":"1109703914","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109703914","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625464355,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109703914?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-05 13:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109703914","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.So will the major markets open or close for the holiday?The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.It's one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.For instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading i","content":"<p>Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.</p><p><blockquote>对许多人来说，美国的独立日是野餐和海滩日。但今年的7月4日是星期天，在美国不是交易日。</blockquote></p><p> So will the major markets open or close for the holiday?</p><p><blockquote>那么主要市场在假期会开放还是关闭呢？</blockquote></p><p> The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将于7月5日星期一休市，以庆祝独立日。</blockquote></p><p> It's&nbsp;one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.</p><p><blockquote>这是今年股市九个完整收盘日之一。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading is scheduled for a bit more than a half-day, 9:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>例如，股市将于11月25日星期四感恩节休市。11 月 26 日星期五，交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 1 点，为期半天多一点。</blockquote></p><p> Normal stock-trading hours run 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>正常股票交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 4 点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the Stock Market Open or Closed on Independence Day?<blockquote>独立日股市是开市还是休市？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-05 13:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.</p><p><blockquote>对许多人来说，美国的独立日是野餐和海滩日。但今年的7月4日是星期天，在美国不是交易日。</blockquote></p><p> So will the major markets open or close for the holiday?</p><p><blockquote>那么主要市场在假期会开放还是关闭呢？</blockquote></p><p> The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将于7月5日星期一休市，以庆祝独立日。</blockquote></p><p> It's&nbsp;one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.</p><p><blockquote>这是今年股市九个完整收盘日之一。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading is scheduled for a bit more than a half-day, 9:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>例如，股市将于11月25日星期四感恩节休市。11 月 26 日星期五，交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 1 点，为期半天多一点。</blockquote></p><p> Normal stock-trading hours run 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>正常股票交易时间为美国东部时间上午 9:30 至下午 4 点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/independence-day-stock-markets-trading-hours\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/independence-day-stock-markets-trading-hours","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109703914","content_text":"Independence Day in the U.S. is for many a picnic-and-beach day. But July 4 this year falls on a Sunday, which in the United States isn't a trading day.\nSo will the major markets open or close for the holiday?\nThe New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will, in fact, be closed on Monday, July 5, to celebrate Independence Day.\nIt's one of nine full-closing daysfor the stock market this year.\nFor instance, the stock market will close for Thanksgiving on Thursday, Nov. 25. On Friday, Nov. 26, trading is scheduled for a bit more than a half-day, 9:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. ET.\nNormal stock-trading hours run 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112963734,"gmtCreate":1622846329028,"gmtModify":1631889965080,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comments","listText":"Please like and comments","text":"Please like and comments","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112963734","repostId":"1154529120","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154529120","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622810459,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154529120?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 20:40","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154529120","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:. Alibaba Group'","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.</li>  <li>I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.</li>  <li>In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567d19950e6c8789ce2192b4503f0fa5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by efetova/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一只战场股票，有些人看到了很多机会，而另一些人则看到了很多风险。</li><li>我相信机遇和风险并存，但我认为前者大于后者。</li><li>从长远来看，阿里巴巴有机会为那些以当前相当低的估值购买的人带来强劲收益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>照片由 efetova/iStock 提供，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW集团（BABA）是全球领先的高科技公司，持续产生有吸引力的增长，并为投资者提供了高增长的中国消费市场的机会。同时，通过一系列的创业，阿里巴巴-SW还活跃在额外的行业，比如云计算。过去几个月股价大幅下跌，但我相信长期潜力巨大。看到股价上涨至 500 美元，我不会感到惊讶，尽管这在短期内不会发生。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:</p><p><blockquote>自首次公开募股以来，阿里巴巴-SW股价强劲上涨，但还应该提到的是，2020 年下半年股价确实下跌，此后大幅下跌：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8079eeb5384ea003fb3725d3cd1e877f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a&nbsp;revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.</p><p><blockquote>由于蚂蚁金服的 IPO 计划被叫停，2020 年夏季的涨幅已被抹去，股价现在基本与一年前持平。不过，去年持平的股价表现有些令人惊讶，因为阿里巴巴-SW在那段时间内继续取得强劲的业绩。例如，上一季度阿里巴巴-SW的收入增长率为64%，而上一季度的收入增长也非常强劲，约为50%。然而，这并不是阿里巴巴财报发布中唯一的积极因素。仅在最近一个季度，该公司的用户数量就增加了3200万，相当于年化用户增长率约为20%。这对未来几个季度来说是个好兆头，因为阿里巴巴平台上的更多用户应该会转化为更高的收入。最重要的是，强劲的用户增长表明，对阿里巴巴平台提供的购物服务的需求仍在增长——市场根本没有饱和。阿里巴巴-SW还设法将其 EBITDA 同比增长 25%，这也是一个有吸引力的增长速度，尽管对评级管理关键增长领域的投资不断增加，但仍实现了这一目标。与此同时，由于一些运营杠杆，营业收入增长速度更快，经阿里巴巴-SW第一季度必须支付的罚款调整后，营业收入同比增长 48%。我认为，放弃这一一次性项目是有意义的，以便更清楚地了解阿里巴巴平均一个季度的潜在“核心”盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and&nbsp;fears about regulation.</p><p><blockquote>因此，相对于大盘和其他科技公司而言，阿里巴巴-SW集团的股价表现疲软并不是经营业绩疲软的结果，而是由于投资者情绪疲软导致中国风险敞口和对监管的担忧导致的多重压缩的结果。</blockquote></p><p> At its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.</p><p><blockquote>以目前 220 美元的价格计算，与目前分析师一致的目标价 298 美元相比，阿里巴巴的股价有相当大的折扣。如果阿里巴巴-SW达到这一目标，股价将上涨 35%。分析师目标价通常以 1 年为期限发布，因此，如果分析师社区是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW可能是一项很好的投资。从估值的角度来看，这个价格目标似乎一点也不离谱，因为 298 美元相当于今年预期净利润的约 29 倍，或明年净利润的 23 倍。当我们谈论 2022 年夏季（即一年后）的价格目标时，后者可能更能说明问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，这个问题的答案取决于你的时间框架。如果你看的是12个月的窗口，那么阿里巴巴-SW很可能无法达到500美元。300美元左右的价格目标似乎是可以实现的，尽管这当然也不能保证。然而，如果我们从长远来看，那么 500 美元似乎是阿里巴巴最终可能达到的股价。让我们看几个例子。</blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW在某个时候每股收益为 20 美元，并且市盈率为 25，那么股票的交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 25 美元，市盈率为 20 倍，那么股票交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 17 美元，交易价格为净利润的 29 倍，那么股价将（略低于）500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:</p><p><blockquote>我们看到，有许多情况可能会让阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元，其中一些情况比其他情况更有可能。当然，你的目标倍数越高，所需的收入就越低。这反过来意味着价格目标可以更快实现，因为所需的累计盈利增长较少。当我们查看阿里巴巴-SW过去的估值时，我们会发现阿里巴巴的长期市盈率中位数如下：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd2d42b7094deb394266d6410287c2e4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为 30-40 倍，相对于目前的股票估值（约为今年收益的 20 倍），其交易价格显然大幅溢价。我认为目前的估值太低了，但另一方面，我预计阿里巴巴-SW未来几年的净利润不会达到 30 倍、35 倍甚至 40 倍。由于阿里巴巴-SW的规模不断扩大，这使得其在未来几年保持出色的增长变得更加困难，与过去的估值相比，未来几年的股票估值可能会更低。</blockquote></p><p> I still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为，从目前21倍左右的市盈率来看，股票确实有一些估值扩张潜力，因此让我们假设股票未来的交易价格是净利润的23倍。与历史估值相比，这仍然是一个巨大的折扣，与美国高科技大盘股的估值相比，也是一个巨大的折扣——例如，亚马逊 (AMZN) 的交易价格是今年市盈率的 59 倍。</blockquote></p><p> If we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们想使用 23 倍市盈率使阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元，那么阿里巴巴-SW必须产生的每股收益为 21.70 美元。什么时候会是这样？在下图中，我们看到了今年、明年（2022 财年）和 2023 财年的每股收益预测：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf78e0b071eff9753afbdcd96f751c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW到 2023 年将无法实现每股 22 美元的盈利，我认为这是现实的。我也不认为今年到 2023 年每股收益会增长 100% 以上。从2023年开始，阿里巴巴的每股收益需要再增长43%才能达到21.70美元，这是我们500美元股价的“目标每股收益”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4c351b4b5eb3328191ccaa9a3b776c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>分析师目前预测长期每股收益增长约 27%，这意味着阿里巴巴-SW需要大约 1.5 年的时间才能将每股收益从 15.20 美元（2023 年估计）增长到我们的目标 21.70 美元。即使我们假设这过于乐观，2024 年和 2025 年的增长率仅为 20%，到 2025 年底，每股收益也可能达到 21.70 美元。因此，换句话说，如果阿里巴巴-SW的增长略低于分析师目前的预测，那么到 2025 年底（即 4.5 年后），阿里巴巴-SW的交易价格可能达到 500 美元。请注意，这种情况根本不需要高市盈率——我相信，在净利润的 23 倍下，阿里巴巴-SW不会很贵。</blockquote></p><p> We can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以更加保守，假设 2023 年每股收益预测过高 10%，并且 2023 年之后的几年每股收益每年仅增长 17%（而分析师社区的长期预测为每年 27%）。在这种情况下，阿里巴巴-SW 2026 年的每股收益将达到 21.70 美元，未来 5.5 年内股价将升至 500 美元。即使在这种情况下，阿里巴巴也根本不是一项糟糕的投资——未来 5.5 年内股价从当前水平上涨 130%，年化回报率为 16%。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum this section up, I'd say<i>yes, BABA can hit $500</i>-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结这一部分，我会说<i>是的，爸爸可以达到 500 美元</i>——但实际上这需要几年时间。到 2020 年代中期，这对我来说似乎是一个非常容易实现的目标，尽管当然，没有任何保证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票现在是买入还是卖出？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，阿里巴巴-SW集团是一项强有力的投资。该公司从多个长期宏观趋势中实现了强劲的增长和利润，例如中国不断增长的消费者支出、不断增长的电子商务市场份额和云计算。然而，也有一些风险需要考虑：阿里巴巴-SW高度依赖中国，如果中国的经济增长故事结束，阿里巴巴-SW将受到很大伤害。最重要的是，阿里巴巴-SW可能会再次成为监管机构的目标，尽管我个人认为伤害中国增长最快的科技公司之一不符合中国的最佳利益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些担心这些风险的人来说，阿里巴巴-SW可能不是正确的选择，但对于那些认为阿里巴巴-SW对中国消费者来说可能是一个非常有益的游戏的人来说，阿里巴巴可能是多元化投资组合中的一个有力选择。我属于后一类，因此以当前估值将该股评级为买入，预计未来几年将有显着上涨空间。然而，根据你的风险承受能力以及你如何权衡投资中国公司的机会和威胁，你可能会做出不同的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 20:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.</li>  <li>I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.</li>  <li>In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567d19950e6c8789ce2192b4503f0fa5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by efetova/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一只战场股票，有些人看到了很多机会，而另一些人则看到了很多风险。</li><li>我相信机遇和风险并存，但我认为前者大于后者。</li><li>从长远来看，阿里巴巴有机会为那些以当前相当低的估值购买的人带来强劲收益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>照片由 efetova/iStock 提供，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW集团（BABA）是全球领先的高科技公司，持续产生有吸引力的增长，并为投资者提供了高增长的中国消费市场的机会。同时，通过一系列的创业，阿里巴巴-SW还活跃在额外的行业，比如云计算。过去几个月股价大幅下跌，但我相信长期潜力巨大。看到股价上涨至 500 美元，我不会感到惊讶，尽管这在短期内不会发生。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:</p><p><blockquote>自首次公开募股以来，阿里巴巴-SW股价强劲上涨，但还应该提到的是，2020 年下半年股价确实下跌，此后大幅下跌：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8079eeb5384ea003fb3725d3cd1e877f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a&nbsp;revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.</p><p><blockquote>由于蚂蚁金服的 IPO 计划被叫停，2020 年夏季的涨幅已被抹去，股价现在基本与一年前持平。不过，去年持平的股价表现有些令人惊讶，因为阿里巴巴-SW在那段时间内继续取得强劲的业绩。例如，上一季度阿里巴巴-SW的收入增长率为64%，而上一季度的收入增长也非常强劲，约为50%。然而，这并不是阿里巴巴财报发布中唯一的积极因素。仅在最近一个季度，该公司的用户数量就增加了3200万，相当于年化用户增长率约为20%。这对未来几个季度来说是个好兆头，因为阿里巴巴平台上的更多用户应该会转化为更高的收入。最重要的是，强劲的用户增长表明，对阿里巴巴平台提供的购物服务的需求仍在增长——市场根本没有饱和。阿里巴巴-SW还设法将其 EBITDA 同比增长 25%，这也是一个有吸引力的增长速度，尽管对评级管理关键增长领域的投资不断增加，但仍实现了这一目标。与此同时，由于一些运营杠杆，营业收入增长速度更快，经阿里巴巴-SW第一季度必须支付的罚款调整后，营业收入同比增长 48%。我认为，放弃这一一次性项目是有意义的，以便更清楚地了解阿里巴巴平均一个季度的潜在“核心”盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and&nbsp;fears about regulation.</p><p><blockquote>因此，相对于大盘和其他科技公司而言，阿里巴巴-SW集团的股价表现疲软并不是经营业绩疲软的结果，而是由于投资者情绪疲软导致中国风险敞口和对监管的担忧导致的多重压缩的结果。</blockquote></p><p> At its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.</p><p><blockquote>以目前 220 美元的价格计算，与目前分析师一致的目标价 298 美元相比，阿里巴巴的股价有相当大的折扣。如果阿里巴巴-SW达到这一目标，股价将上涨 35%。分析师目标价通常以 1 年为期限发布，因此，如果分析师社区是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW可能是一项很好的投资。从估值的角度来看，这个价格目标似乎一点也不离谱，因为 298 美元相当于今年预期净利润的约 29 倍，或明年净利润的 23 倍。当我们谈论 2022 年夏季（即一年后）的价格目标时，后者可能更能说明问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，这个问题的答案取决于你的时间框架。如果你看的是12个月的窗口，那么阿里巴巴-SW很可能无法达到500美元。300美元左右的价格目标似乎是可以实现的，尽管这当然也不能保证。然而，如果我们从长远来看，那么 500 美元似乎是阿里巴巴最终可能达到的股价。让我们看几个例子。</blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW在某个时候每股收益为 20 美元，并且市盈率为 25，那么股票的交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 25 美元，市盈率为 20 倍，那么股票交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 17 美元，交易价格为净利润的 29 倍，那么股价将（略低于）500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:</p><p><blockquote>我们看到，有许多情况可能会让阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元，其中一些情况比其他情况更有可能。当然，你的目标倍数越高，所需的收入就越低。这反过来意味着价格目标可以更快实现，因为所需的累计盈利增长较少。当我们查看阿里巴巴-SW过去的估值时，我们会发现阿里巴巴的长期市盈率中位数如下：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd2d42b7094deb394266d6410287c2e4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为 30-40 倍，相对于目前的股票估值（约为今年收益的 20 倍），其交易价格显然大幅溢价。我认为目前的估值太低了，但另一方面，我预计阿里巴巴-SW未来几年的净利润不会达到 30 倍、35 倍甚至 40 倍。由于阿里巴巴-SW的规模不断扩大，这使得其在未来几年保持出色的增长变得更加困难，与过去的估值相比，未来几年的股票估值可能会更低。</blockquote></p><p> I still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为，从目前21倍左右的市盈率来看，股票确实有一些估值扩张潜力，因此让我们假设股票未来的交易价格是净利润的23倍。与历史估值相比，这仍然是一个巨大的折扣，与美国高科技大盘股的估值相比，也是一个巨大的折扣——例如，亚马逊 (AMZN) 的交易价格是今年市盈率的 59 倍。</blockquote></p><p> If we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们想使用 23 倍市盈率使阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元，那么阿里巴巴-SW必须产生的每股收益为 21.70 美元。什么时候会是这样？在下图中，我们看到了今年、明年（2022 财年）和 2023 财年的每股收益预测：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf78e0b071eff9753afbdcd96f751c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW到 2023 年将无法实现每股 22 美元的盈利，我认为这是现实的。我也不认为今年到 2023 年每股收益会增长 100% 以上。从2023年开始，阿里巴巴的每股收益需要再增长43%才能达到21.70美元，这是我们500美元股价的“目标每股收益”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4c351b4b5eb3328191ccaa9a3b776c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>分析师目前预测长期每股收益增长约 27%，这意味着阿里巴巴-SW需要大约 1.5 年的时间才能将每股收益从 15.20 美元（2023 年估计）增长到我们的目标 21.70 美元。即使我们假设这过于乐观，2024 年和 2025 年的增长率仅为 20%，到 2025 年底，每股收益也可能达到 21.70 美元。因此，换句话说，如果阿里巴巴-SW的增长略低于分析师目前的预测，那么到 2025 年底（即 4.5 年后），阿里巴巴-SW的交易价格可能达到 500 美元。请注意，这种情况根本不需要高市盈率——我相信，在净利润的 23 倍下，阿里巴巴-SW不会很贵。</blockquote></p><p> We can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以更加保守，假设 2023 年每股收益预测过高 10%，并且 2023 年之后的几年每股收益每年仅增长 17%（而分析师社区的长期预测为每年 27%）。在这种情况下，阿里巴巴-SW 2026 年的每股收益将达到 21.70 美元，未来 5.5 年内股价将升至 500 美元。即使在这种情况下，阿里巴巴也根本不是一项糟糕的投资——未来 5.5 年内股价从当前水平上涨 130%，年化回报率为 16%。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum this section up, I'd say<i>yes, BABA can hit $500</i>-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结这一部分，我会说<i>是的，爸爸可以达到 500 美元</i>——但实际上这需要几年时间。到 2020 年代中期，这对我来说似乎是一个非常容易实现的目标，尽管当然，没有任何保证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票现在是买入还是卖出？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，阿里巴巴-SW集团是一项强有力的投资。该公司从多个长期宏观趋势中实现了强劲的增长和利润，例如中国不断增长的消费者支出、不断增长的电子商务市场份额和云计算。然而，也有一些风险需要考虑：阿里巴巴-SW高度依赖中国，如果中国的经济增长故事结束，阿里巴巴-SW将受到很大伤害。最重要的是，阿里巴巴-SW可能会再次成为监管机构的目标，尽管我个人认为伤害中国增长最快的科技公司之一不符合中国的最佳利益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些担心这些风险的人来说，阿里巴巴-SW可能不是正确的选择，但对于那些认为阿里巴巴-SW对中国消费者来说可能是一个非常有益的游戏的人来说，阿里巴巴可能是多元化投资组合中的一个有力选择。我属于后一类，因此以当前估值将该股评级为买入，预计未来几年将有显着上涨空间。然而，根据你的风险承受能力以及你如何权衡投资中国公司的机会和威胁，你可能会做出不同的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432992-alibaba-stock-hit-500\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432992-alibaba-stock-hit-500","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154529120","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.\nI believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.\nIn the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.\n\nPhoto by efetova/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nAlibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.\nBABA Stock Price\nSince its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:\nData byYCharts\nShares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.\nAlibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and fears about regulation.\nAt its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $500?\nThe answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.\nWe see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:\nData byYCharts\nAt 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.\nI still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.\nIf we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:\nData byYCharts\nIf analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.\nData byYCharts\nAnalysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.\nWe can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.\nSo, to sum this section up, I'd sayyes, BABA can hit $500-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.\nIs Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?\nAlibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.\nFor those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111896518,"gmtCreate":1622673872934,"gmtModify":1631889965082,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment","listText":"Please like and comment","text":"Please like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111896518","repostId":"2140448417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113054227,"gmtCreate":1622588276169,"gmtModify":1631889965083,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Comment please&nbsp;","text":"Comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113054227","repostId":"2140626460","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110996469,"gmtCreate":1622420398851,"gmtModify":1631889965085,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Looking forward for it","listText":"Looking forward for it","text":"Looking forward for it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110996469","repostId":"1127487048","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127487048","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622416539,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1127487048?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-31 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom, Lululemon, Canopy Growth and Other Stocks for Investors to See This Week<blockquote>Zoom、Lululemon、Canopy Growth 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127487048","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. Investors will return from the long ","content":"<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> will return from the long weekend to a handful of notable companies’ quarterly results.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">Communications</a>,Canopy Growth,and&nbsp;Hewlett Packard Enterprisereport on Tuesday, followed by&nbsp;Advance Auto Partson Wednesday. On Thursday,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,DocuSign,and&nbsp;Lululemon&nbsp;Athletica release results.</p><p><blockquote>美国股票和债券市场周一因阵亡将士纪念日休市。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们将从长周末回到少数几家知名公司的季度业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>录像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">通讯</a>Canopy Growth 和惠普企业报告将于周二发布，随后是周三发布的 Advance Auto Partson。周四，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>DocuSign 和 Lululemon Athletica 发布结果。</blockquote></p><p>The highlight on the economic-data calendar this week will be Friday’s May jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus forecast is for a gain of 700,000 nonfarm payrolls, after a disappointing 266,000 in April. The unemployment rate is expected to tick down&nbsp;to 5.9%, from 6.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据日历上的重头戏将是周五美国劳工统计局发布的 5 月份就业报告。普遍预测非农就业人数将增加 70 万人，而 4 月份非农就业人数为令人失望的 26.6 万人。失业率预计将从 6.1% 降至 5.9%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. Both are seen staying roughly even with April’s buoyant levels.&nbsp;The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also releases its latest economic outlook on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周二公布的美国供应管理协会（Institute for Supply Management）5 月份制造业采购经理人指数和周四公布的服务业同等指数。两者都与 4 月份的旺盛水平大致持平。经济合作与发展组织（Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development）也将于周一发布最新经济展望。</blockquote></p><p>Monday 5/31</p><p><blockquote>5月31日星期一</blockquote></p><p><b>Stock and fixed-income</b>&nbsp;markets are closed in observance of Memorial Day.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票和固定收益</b>为纪念阵亡将士纪念日，市场关闭。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Organization</b>for Economic Cooperation and Development releases its latest economic outlook. In its March interim report, the OECD projected a 5.6% growth rate for global gross domestic product in 2021, an upward revision of a full percentage point from the December 2020 forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>组织</b>为经济合作与发展发布其最新经济展望。在3月份的中期报告中，经合组织预计2021年全球国内生产总值增长率为5.6%，比2020年12月的预测上调了整整一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p>Tuesday 6/1</p><p><blockquote>星期二 6/1</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">Bank of Nova Scotia</a>,Canopy Growth, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">Hewlett Packard Enterprise</a>, and Zoom Video Communications announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">新斯科舍银行</a>树冠生长，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">慧与</a>和Zoom Video通信公司公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, roughly even with the April data.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布了 5 月份制造业采购经理人指数。一致估计读数为 60.8，与 4 月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>reports construction spending for April. Expectations are for a 0.6% month-over-month rise to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.52 trillion. Construction spending remains just below its all-time peak in January of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告四月份的建筑支出。预计环比增长 0.6%，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1.52 万亿美元。建筑支出仍略低于今年 1 月的历史峰值。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday 6/2</p><p><blockquote>星期三 6/2</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">Advance Auto Parts</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>,and PVH report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">先进汽车零部件</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>和 PVH 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> Internationalhosts a webcast led by CEO Jacek Olczak to discuss the company’s sustainability strategy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>InternationalHosting 由首席执行官 Jacek Olczak 主持网络直播，讨论公司的可持续发展战略。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>releases the beige book for the fourth of eight times this year. The report presents anecdotal data on the health of the economy collected by the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次中的第四次发布褐皮书。该报告介绍了12个美联储银行地区收集的关于经济健康状况的轶事数据。</blockquote></p><p>Thursday 6/3</p><p><blockquote>星期四 6/3</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">National</a> Employment</b>report for May. Consensus estimate is for a 610,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 742,000 in April.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP 发布其<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">国家的</a>就业</b>五月报告。普遍估计，继 4 月份增加 74.2 万人之后，非农私营部门就业人数将增加 61 万人。</blockquote></p><p>Broadcom,CooperCos., DocuSign,J.M. Smucker,and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon Athletica</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>博通、库珀公司、DocuSign、J.M。斯穆克，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">露露柠檬运动</a>在评级召开会议讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Economic Analysis</b>reports total light-vehicle sales for May. In April, they hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 18.5 million, the highest figure since July 2005.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济分析局</b>报告 5 月份轻型车总销量。 4 月份，经季节性调整后的年增长率达到 1850 万辆，为 2005 年 7 月以来的最高数字。</blockquote></p><p><b>The ISM releases</b>its Services PMI for May. Consensus estimate is for a 63.2 reading, compared with April’s 62.7 figure.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>5月份服务业采购经理人指数（PMI）。共识估计为63.2，而4月份为62.7。</blockquote></p><p>Friday 6/4</p><p><blockquote>星期五 6/4</blockquote></p><p>Amgenhosts a conference call to discuss drug trial data from its oncology pipeline. The information will be presented at the 2021 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting, which runs virtually from June 4 through June 8.</p><p><blockquote>安进召开电话会议讨论其肿瘤学产品线的药物试验数据。该信息将于 2021 年发布<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">美国的</a>临床肿瘤学会年会，从6月4日到6月8日举行。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>Statistics releases the jobs report for May. Economists forecast a 700,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after a relatively modest 266,000 gain in April. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.9% from 6.1%. The April increase was a massive shortfall from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> million jump expected by some economists.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布5月份就业报告。经济学家预测，继4月份相对温和地增加26.6万人之后，非农就业人数将增加70万人。失业率预计将从6.1%小幅降至5.9%。四月份的增长与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>一些经济学家预计将增长数百万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom, Lululemon, Canopy Growth and Other Stocks for Investors to See This Week<blockquote>Zoom、Lululemon、Canopy Growth 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom, Lululemon, Canopy Growth and Other Stocks for Investors to See This Week<blockquote>Zoom、Lululemon、Canopy Growth 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-31 07:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> will return from the long weekend to a handful of notable companies’ quarterly results.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">Communications</a>,Canopy Growth,and&nbsp;Hewlett Packard Enterprisereport on Tuesday, followed by&nbsp;Advance Auto Partson Wednesday. On Thursday,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,DocuSign,and&nbsp;Lululemon&nbsp;Athletica release results.</p><p><blockquote>美国股票和债券市场周一因阵亡将士纪念日休市。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们将从长周末回到少数几家知名公司的季度业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>录像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">通讯</a>Canopy Growth 和惠普企业报告将于周二发布，随后是周三发布的 Advance Auto Partson。周四，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>DocuSign 和 Lululemon Athletica 发布结果。</blockquote></p><p>The highlight on the economic-data calendar this week will be Friday’s May jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus forecast is for a gain of 700,000 nonfarm payrolls, after a disappointing 266,000 in April. The unemployment rate is expected to tick down&nbsp;to 5.9%, from 6.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据日历上的重头戏将是周五美国劳工统计局发布的 5 月份就业报告。普遍预测非农就业人数将增加 70 万人，而 4 月份非农就业人数为令人失望的 26.6 万人。失业率预计将从 6.1% 降至 5.9%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. Both are seen staying roughly even with April’s buoyant levels.&nbsp;The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also releases its latest economic outlook on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周二公布的美国供应管理协会（Institute for Supply Management）5 月份制造业采购经理人指数和周四公布的服务业同等指数。两者都与 4 月份的旺盛水平大致持平。经济合作与发展组织（Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development）也将于周一发布最新经济展望。</blockquote></p><p>Monday 5/31</p><p><blockquote>5月31日星期一</blockquote></p><p><b>Stock and fixed-income</b>&nbsp;markets are closed in observance of Memorial Day.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票和固定收益</b>为纪念阵亡将士纪念日，市场关闭。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Organization</b>for Economic Cooperation and Development releases its latest economic outlook. In its March interim report, the OECD projected a 5.6% growth rate for global gross domestic product in 2021, an upward revision of a full percentage point from the December 2020 forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>组织</b>为经济合作与发展发布其最新经济展望。在3月份的中期报告中，经合组织预计2021年全球国内生产总值增长率为5.6%，比2020年12月的预测上调了整整一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p>Tuesday 6/1</p><p><blockquote>星期二 6/1</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">Bank of Nova Scotia</a>,Canopy Growth, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">Hewlett Packard Enterprise</a>, and Zoom Video Communications announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">新斯科舍银行</a>树冠生长，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">慧与</a>和Zoom Video通信公司公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, roughly even with the April data.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布了 5 月份制造业采购经理人指数。一致估计读数为 60.8，与 4 月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>reports construction spending for April. Expectations are for a 0.6% month-over-month rise to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.52 trillion. Construction spending remains just below its all-time peak in January of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告四月份的建筑支出。预计环比增长 0.6%，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1.52 万亿美元。建筑支出仍略低于今年 1 月的历史峰值。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday 6/2</p><p><blockquote>星期三 6/2</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">Advance Auto Parts</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>,and PVH report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">先进汽车零部件</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>和 PVH 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> Internationalhosts a webcast led by CEO Jacek Olczak to discuss the company’s sustainability strategy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>InternationalHosting 由首席执行官 Jacek Olczak 主持网络直播，讨论公司的可持续发展战略。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>releases the beige book for the fourth of eight times this year. The report presents anecdotal data on the health of the economy collected by the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次中的第四次发布褐皮书。该报告介绍了12个美联储银行地区收集的关于经济健康状况的轶事数据。</blockquote></p><p>Thursday 6/3</p><p><blockquote>星期四 6/3</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">National</a> Employment</b>report for May. Consensus estimate is for a 610,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 742,000 in April.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP 发布其<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">国家的</a>就业</b>五月报告。普遍估计，继 4 月份增加 74.2 万人之后，非农私营部门就业人数将增加 61 万人。</blockquote></p><p>Broadcom,CooperCos., DocuSign,J.M. Smucker,and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon Athletica</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>博通、库珀公司、DocuSign、J.M。斯穆克，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">露露柠檬运动</a>在评级召开会议讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Economic Analysis</b>reports total light-vehicle sales for May. In April, they hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 18.5 million, the highest figure since July 2005.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济分析局</b>报告 5 月份轻型车总销量。 4 月份，经季节性调整后的年增长率达到 1850 万辆，为 2005 年 7 月以来的最高数字。</blockquote></p><p><b>The ISM releases</b>its Services PMI for May. Consensus estimate is for a 63.2 reading, compared with April’s 62.7 figure.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>5月份服务业采购经理人指数（PMI）。共识估计为63.2，而4月份为62.7。</blockquote></p><p>Friday 6/4</p><p><blockquote>星期五 6/4</blockquote></p><p>Amgenhosts a conference call to discuss drug trial data from its oncology pipeline. The information will be presented at the 2021 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting, which runs virtually from June 4 through June 8.</p><p><blockquote>安进召开电话会议讨论其肿瘤学产品线的药物试验数据。该信息将于 2021 年发布<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">美国的</a>临床肿瘤学会年会，从6月4日到6月8日举行。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>Statistics releases the jobs report for May. Economists forecast a 700,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after a relatively modest 266,000 gain in April. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.9% from 6.1%. The April increase was a massive shortfall from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> million jump expected by some economists.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布5月份就业报告。经济学家预测，继4月份相对温和地增加26.6万人之后，非农就业人数将增加70万人。失业率预计将从6.1%小幅降至5.9%。四月份的增长与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>一些经济学家预计将增长数百万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/zoom-lululemon-canopy-growth-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51622401200\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ISBC":"投资者银行","CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation",".DJI":"道琼斯","LULU":"lululemon athletica","ZM":"Zoom",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/zoom-lululemon-canopy-growth-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51622401200","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127487048","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. Investors will return from the long weekend to a handful of notable companies’ quarterly results. Zoom Video Communications,Canopy Growth,and Hewlett Packard Enterprisereport on Tuesday, followed by Advance Auto Partson Wednesday. On Thursday, Broadcom,DocuSign,and Lululemon Athletica release results.The highlight on the economic-data calendar this week will be Friday’s May jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus forecast is for a gain of 700,000 nonfarm payrolls, after a disappointing 266,000 in April. The unemployment rate is expected to tick down to 5.9%, from 6.1%.Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. Both are seen staying roughly even with April’s buoyant levels. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also releases its latest economic outlook on Monday.Monday 5/31Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Memorial Day.The Organizationfor Economic Cooperation and Development releases its latest economic outlook. In its March interim report, the OECD projected a 5.6% growth rate for global gross domestic product in 2021, an upward revision of a full percentage point from the December 2020 forecast.Tuesday 6/1Bank of Nova Scotia,Canopy Growth, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, and Zoom Video Communications announce quarterly results.The Institute for SupplyManagement releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, roughly even with the April data.The Census Bureaureports construction spending for April. Expectations are for a 0.6% month-over-month rise to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.52 trillion. Construction spending remains just below its all-time peak in January of this year.Wednesday 6/2Advance Auto Parts,NetApp,and PVH report earnings.Philip Morris Internationalhosts a webcast led by CEO Jacek Olczak to discuss the company’s sustainability strategy.The Federal Reservereleases the beige book for the fourth of eight times this year. The report presents anecdotal data on the health of the economy collected by the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts.Thursday 6/3ADP releases its National Employmentreport for May. Consensus estimate is for a 610,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 742,000 in April.Broadcom,CooperCos., DocuSign,J.M. Smucker,and Lululemon Athletica hold conference calls to discuss earnings.The Bureau of Economic Analysisreports total light-vehicle sales for May. In April, they hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 18.5 million, the highest figure since July 2005.The ISM releasesits Services PMI for May. Consensus estimate is for a 63.2 reading, compared with April’s 62.7 figure.Friday 6/4Amgenhosts a conference call to discuss drug trial data from its oncology pipeline. The information will be presented at the 2021 American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting, which runs virtually from June 4 through June 8.The Bureau of LaborStatistics releases the jobs report for May. Economists forecast a 700,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after a relatively modest 266,000 gain in April. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.9% from 6.1%. The April increase was a massive shortfall from the one million jump expected by some economists.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"ISBC":0.9,"LULU":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ZM":0.9,"CGC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130583116,"gmtCreate":1621556791835,"gmtModify":1631889965089,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130583116","repostId":"2137763179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130086108,"gmtCreate":1621495710004,"gmtModify":1631889965092,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Omg","listText":"Omg","text":"Omg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130086108","repostId":"1183669951","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130088932,"gmtCreate":1621495537326,"gmtModify":1631889965093,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130088932","repostId":"2136495179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":900,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130081268,"gmtCreate":1621495447254,"gmtModify":1631892329925,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Will see","listText":"Will see","text":"Will see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130081268","repostId":"1138700843","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138700843","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621495137,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138700843?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 15:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Chevron Stock a Buy?<blockquote>雪佛龙股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138700843","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Chevron's yield is at the low end of its energy major peer group. Here's why conservative income inv","content":"<p>Chevron's yield is at the low end of its energy major peer group. Here's why conservative income investors might still want to buy it anyway.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙的收益率处于其能源主要同行的低端。这就是为什么保守的收入投资者可能仍然想购买它。</blockquote></p><p> Despite improving commodity prices, the energy sector remains deeply out of favor. For income investors with a contrarian bent, however, that's a potential buying opportunity. The problem is that there are still very real issues for energy companies to deal with. That's why integrated giant&nbsp;<b>Chevron</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:CVX)&nbsp;is one of the best options in the space. Here's a few points to back that up.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大宗商品价格有所改善，但能源行业仍然严重失宠。然而，对于具有逆向倾向的收益投资者来说，这是一个潜在的买入机会。问题是，能源公司仍然有非常现实的问题需要处理。这就是为什么集成巨人<b>人字形</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CVX）是该领域的最佳选择之一。这里有几点可以支持这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Diversification</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 多样化</b></blockquote></p><p> There are a multitude of ways to invest in the&nbsp;energy sector, from the&nbsp;upstream&nbsp;(exploration and production) to the&nbsp;downstream&nbsp;(chemicals and refining), and there are different dynamics to each major area. Chevron, one of the world's largest integrated energy companies, has exposure across the value chain, from drilling to transportation (the midstream sector) to processing. That provides balance to its portfolio, since in normal markets some areas will usually be doing better than others and helping to smooth out financial results.</p><p><blockquote>从上游（勘探和生产）到下游（化工和炼油），投资能源领域有多种方式，每个主要领域都有不同的动态。雪佛龙是全球最大的综合能源公司之一，业务遍及整个价值链，从钻井到运输（中游行业）再到加工。这为其投资组合提供了平衡，因为在正常市场中，某些领域通常会比其他领域表现更好，并有助于平滑财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4110c4af0aef7c1bcdfebcee897c6d95\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1335\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Conservative investors know that&nbsp;diversification is good&nbsp;for their portfolios, but it can also be good for a company's business. It may seem like small solace, but in 2020 Chevron's international downstream business was in the black while all of its other reporting segments were in the red. It was a terrible year by any measure, but it would have been much worse if the company were only focused on drilling for oil or operating in a single market/region.</p><p><blockquote>保守的投资者知道多元化对他们的投资组合有好处，但它对公司的业务也有好处。这似乎是一个小小的安慰，但在2020年，雪佛龙的国际下游业务处于亏损状态，而其所有其他报告部门都处于亏损状态。无论从哪个角度来看，这都是可怕的一年，但如果该公司只专注于石油钻探或在单一市场/地区运营，情况会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Financial strength</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、资金实力</b></blockquote></p><p> Diversification is nice, but Chevron is hardly the only diversified oil company. It is one of many that fall into the integrated segment of the industry. But one area where Chevron stands alone is financial strength. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 0.33 times, lower than U.S. peer&nbsp;<b>ExxonMobil</b>'s&nbsp;(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;0.4 times and way below European peers that sit at 0.6 times or higher.</p><p><blockquote>多元化固然不错，但雪佛龙并不是唯一一家多元化的石油公司。它是众多属于该行业综合领域的公司之一。但雪佛龙独树一帜的一个领域是财务实力。该公司的债务股本比率约为0.33倍，低于美国同行<b>埃克森美孚</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XOM）的 0.4 倍，远低于欧洲同行的 0.6 倍或更高。</blockquote></p><p> To be fair, European oil majors tend to carry higher debt loads and higher cash balances than Chevron or Exxon. However, spending a cash horde during an industry downturn isn't necessarily viewed as a positive by investors, and adding debt to an already debt-heavy&nbsp;balance sheet&nbsp;is equally undesirable. So Chevron's low-leverage approach may actually give it more leeway. Indeed, it used its financial strength to add debt during 2020 so it could muddle through the hit without the need to cut its dividend. It also managed to make&nbsp;an opportunistic acquisition&nbsp;and still maintain its industry-leading leverage metrics.</p><p><blockquote>公平地说，欧洲石油巨头往往比雪佛龙或埃克森美孚承担更高的债务负担和更高的现金余额。然而，在行业低迷时期花费大量现金并不一定会被投资者视为积极因素，而且在已经负债累累的资产负债表上增加债务同样是不可取的。因此，雪佛龙的低杠杆方法实际上可能会给它更多的回旋余地。事实上，该公司利用其财务实力在 2020 年增加了债务，以便无需削减股息即可渡过难关。它还成功进行了机会主义收购，并仍然保持了行业领先的杠杆指标。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79228f9c35bf49addfcc515df385d042\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"503\"><span>CVX DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS 提供的 CVX 债务股本比率数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>3. The dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 股息</b></blockquote></p><p> For more conservative&nbsp;income investors, a company's dividend is sacrosanct.<b>BP</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Royal Dutch Shell</b>&nbsp;both cut their dividends last year, while Exxon, Chevron, and&nbsp;<b>Total</b>&nbsp;did not. That said, Chevron has an over-three-decade-long streak of annual dividend increases under its belt at this point. And it just announced a 4% increase in its dividend along with its first-quarter earnings. Total is focusing on debt repayment over dividend increases right now, and while Exxon's dividend history is every bit as strong as Chevron's -- if not stronger -- its balance sheet isn't in as good shape. And, notably, Exxon has big spending plans that it needs to fund, suggesting that dividends may have to play second fiddle to capital spending in the near term. Chevron's spending plans were relatively modest even before the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>对于更保守的收入投资者来说，公司的股息是神圣不可侵犯的。<b>BP</b>和<b>荷兰皇家壳牌</b>两家公司去年都削减了股息，而埃克森美孚、雪佛龙和<b>总的</b>没有。也就是说，雪佛龙目前已经连续三十多年增加年度股息。该公司刚刚宣布将股息和第一季度收益增加 4%。道达尔目前的重点是偿还债务而不是增加股息，虽然埃克森美孚的股息历史与雪佛龙一样强劲（如果不是更强劲的话），但其资产负债表状况并不那么好。而且，值得注意的是，埃克森美孚有需要为其提供资金的庞大支出计划，这表明股息在短期内可能不得不让位于资本支出。即使在疫情之前，雪佛龙的支出计划也相对温和。</blockquote></p><p> When you take into account all of the above, it helps to explain why Chevron's 4.9%&nbsp;dividend yield&nbsp;is near the bottom of its peer group. However, the stock's yield is still near the high end of the company's own historical range. So it looks like Chevron is historically cheap today, even though you can get a higher yield from other companies in the sector. The problem is that to get those higher yields you need to step up the risk scale. For conservative types, that's probably not worth it.</p><p><blockquote>当你考虑到以上所有因素时，就有助于解释为什么雪佛龙 4.9% 的股息收益率接近同行的底部。不过，该股收益率仍接近公司自身历史区间的高端。因此，看起来雪佛龙今天是历史上最便宜的，尽管你可以从该行业的其他公司获得更高的收益率。问题是，为了获得更高的收益率，你需要提高风险规模。对于保守类型来说，这可能不值得。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. The future</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.未来</b></blockquote></p><p> One clear knock against Chevron is that it is dragging its feet as the world looks to move beyond oil and natural gas. That's a legitimate complaint -- Chevron is simply tiptoeing into the clean energy waters, while others, like BP and Shell, look like they are&nbsp;jumping in with both feet.</p><p><blockquote>对雪佛龙的一个明显打击是，随着世界寻求超越石油和天然气，它正在拖延。这是一个合理的抱怨——雪佛龙只是蹑手蹑脚地进入清洁能源领域，而英国石油公司和壳牌等其他公司看起来像是在双脚跳进去。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The thing is, energy transitions take time, and the world is likely to need more of all energy sources as emerging economies continue to develop. So oil and natural gas aren't likely to go away overnight.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，能源转型需要时间，随着新兴经济体的不断发展，世界可能需要更多的能源。因此，石油和天然气不太可能在一夜之间消失。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the renewable power space&nbsp;looks a bit expensive&nbsp;right now, with intense competition resulting in inflated prices and potentially lower future returns. So taking a wait-and-see approach might actually work in Chevron's favor if it avoids overspending just to appease Wall Street. And with such a strong balance sheet, there's no reason why it can't buy its way into the sector via an acquisition should a good opportunity arise. That chance, hopefully, will come when investors have soured on renewables and bid down the stock prices of clean energy-focused names.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，可再生能源领域目前看起来有点昂贵，激烈的竞争导致价格上涨，未来回报可能较低。因此，如果雪佛龙为了安抚华尔街而避免超支，采取观望态度实际上可能对雪佛龙有利。凭借如此强劲的资产负债表，如果出现好机会，它没有理由不通过收购进入该行业。希望当投资者对可再生能源感到厌恶并压低专注于清洁能源的公司的股价时，这个机会就会到来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Not perfect, but pretty good</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不完美，但相当不错</b></blockquote></p><p> Every investment comes with a few warts, and Chevron is no different. However, for conservative income investors looking to put money to work in the out-of-favor energy sector, it has a lot of positives. Specifically, the company's historically high yield, industry-leading financial strength, and diversified business model all give it an edge over its peers. And the negative that Chevron is taking a slow approach on the global warming front may not be as bad as some fear.</p><p><blockquote>每项投资都有一些瑕疵，雪佛龙也不例外。然而，对于希望将资金投入不受欢迎的能源行业的保守收入投资者来说，它有很多积极因素。具体来说，该公司历史上的高收益率、行业领先的资金实力和多元化的商业模式都使其在同行中具有优势。雪佛龙在全球变暖问题上行动迟缓的负面影响可能并不像一些人担心的那么糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> For most income investors, Chevron stacks up really well compared to the competition.</p><p><blockquote>对于大多数收入投资者来说，与竞争对手相比，雪佛龙的表现确实很好。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Chevron Stock a Buy?<blockquote>雪佛龙股票值得买入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Chevron Stock a Buy?<blockquote>雪佛龙股票值得买入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-20 15:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Chevron's yield is at the low end of its energy major peer group. Here's why conservative income investors might still want to buy it anyway.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙的收益率处于其能源主要同行的低端。这就是为什么保守的收入投资者可能仍然想购买它。</blockquote></p><p> Despite improving commodity prices, the energy sector remains deeply out of favor. For income investors with a contrarian bent, however, that's a potential buying opportunity. The problem is that there are still very real issues for energy companies to deal with. That's why integrated giant&nbsp;<b>Chevron</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:CVX)&nbsp;is one of the best options in the space. Here's a few points to back that up.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大宗商品价格有所改善，但能源行业仍然严重失宠。然而，对于具有逆向倾向的收益投资者来说，这是一个潜在的买入机会。问题是，能源公司仍然有非常现实的问题需要处理。这就是为什么集成巨人<b>人字形</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CVX）是该领域的最佳选择之一。这里有几点可以支持这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Diversification</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 多样化</b></blockquote></p><p> There are a multitude of ways to invest in the&nbsp;energy sector, from the&nbsp;upstream&nbsp;(exploration and production) to the&nbsp;downstream&nbsp;(chemicals and refining), and there are different dynamics to each major area. Chevron, one of the world's largest integrated energy companies, has exposure across the value chain, from drilling to transportation (the midstream sector) to processing. That provides balance to its portfolio, since in normal markets some areas will usually be doing better than others and helping to smooth out financial results.</p><p><blockquote>从上游（勘探和生产）到下游（化工和炼油），投资能源领域有多种方式，每个主要领域都有不同的动态。雪佛龙是全球最大的综合能源公司之一，业务遍及整个价值链，从钻井到运输（中游行业）再到加工。这为其投资组合提供了平衡，因为在正常市场中，某些领域通常会比其他领域表现更好，并有助于平滑财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4110c4af0aef7c1bcdfebcee897c6d95\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1335\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Conservative investors know that&nbsp;diversification is good&nbsp;for their portfolios, but it can also be good for a company's business. It may seem like small solace, but in 2020 Chevron's international downstream business was in the black while all of its other reporting segments were in the red. It was a terrible year by any measure, but it would have been much worse if the company were only focused on drilling for oil or operating in a single market/region.</p><p><blockquote>保守的投资者知道多元化对他们的投资组合有好处，但它对公司的业务也有好处。这似乎是一个小小的安慰，但在2020年，雪佛龙的国际下游业务处于亏损状态，而其所有其他报告部门都处于亏损状态。无论从哪个角度来看，这都是可怕的一年，但如果该公司只专注于石油钻探或在单一市场/地区运营，情况会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Financial strength</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、资金实力</b></blockquote></p><p> Diversification is nice, but Chevron is hardly the only diversified oil company. It is one of many that fall into the integrated segment of the industry. But one area where Chevron stands alone is financial strength. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 0.33 times, lower than U.S. peer&nbsp;<b>ExxonMobil</b>'s&nbsp;(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;0.4 times and way below European peers that sit at 0.6 times or higher.</p><p><blockquote>多元化固然不错，但雪佛龙并不是唯一一家多元化的石油公司。它是众多属于该行业综合领域的公司之一。但雪佛龙独树一帜的一个领域是财务实力。该公司的债务股本比率约为0.33倍，低于美国同行<b>埃克森美孚</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XOM）的 0.4 倍，远低于欧洲同行的 0.6 倍或更高。</blockquote></p><p> To be fair, European oil majors tend to carry higher debt loads and higher cash balances than Chevron or Exxon. However, spending a cash horde during an industry downturn isn't necessarily viewed as a positive by investors, and adding debt to an already debt-heavy&nbsp;balance sheet&nbsp;is equally undesirable. So Chevron's low-leverage approach may actually give it more leeway. Indeed, it used its financial strength to add debt during 2020 so it could muddle through the hit without the need to cut its dividend. It also managed to make&nbsp;an opportunistic acquisition&nbsp;and still maintain its industry-leading leverage metrics.</p><p><blockquote>公平地说，欧洲石油巨头往往比雪佛龙或埃克森美孚承担更高的债务负担和更高的现金余额。然而，在行业低迷时期花费大量现金并不一定会被投资者视为积极因素，而且在已经负债累累的资产负债表上增加债务同样是不可取的。因此，雪佛龙的低杠杆方法实际上可能会给它更多的回旋余地。事实上，该公司利用其财务实力在 2020 年增加了债务，以便无需削减股息即可渡过难关。它还成功进行了机会主义收购，并仍然保持了行业领先的杠杆指标。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79228f9c35bf49addfcc515df385d042\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"503\"><span>CVX DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS 提供的 CVX 债务股本比率数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>3. The dividend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 股息</b></blockquote></p><p> For more conservative&nbsp;income investors, a company's dividend is sacrosanct.<b>BP</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Royal Dutch Shell</b>&nbsp;both cut their dividends last year, while Exxon, Chevron, and&nbsp;<b>Total</b>&nbsp;did not. That said, Chevron has an over-three-decade-long streak of annual dividend increases under its belt at this point. And it just announced a 4% increase in its dividend along with its first-quarter earnings. Total is focusing on debt repayment over dividend increases right now, and while Exxon's dividend history is every bit as strong as Chevron's -- if not stronger -- its balance sheet isn't in as good shape. And, notably, Exxon has big spending plans that it needs to fund, suggesting that dividends may have to play second fiddle to capital spending in the near term. Chevron's spending plans were relatively modest even before the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>对于更保守的收入投资者来说，公司的股息是神圣不可侵犯的。<b>BP</b>和<b>荷兰皇家壳牌</b>两家公司去年都削减了股息，而埃克森美孚、雪佛龙和<b>总的</b>没有。也就是说，雪佛龙目前已经连续三十多年增加年度股息。该公司刚刚宣布将股息和第一季度收益增加 4%。道达尔目前的重点是偿还债务而不是增加股息，虽然埃克森美孚的股息历史与雪佛龙一样强劲（如果不是更强劲的话），但其资产负债表状况并不那么好。而且，值得注意的是，埃克森美孚有需要为其提供资金的庞大支出计划，这表明股息在短期内可能不得不让位于资本支出。即使在疫情之前，雪佛龙的支出计划也相对温和。</blockquote></p><p> When you take into account all of the above, it helps to explain why Chevron's 4.9%&nbsp;dividend yield&nbsp;is near the bottom of its peer group. However, the stock's yield is still near the high end of the company's own historical range. So it looks like Chevron is historically cheap today, even though you can get a higher yield from other companies in the sector. The problem is that to get those higher yields you need to step up the risk scale. For conservative types, that's probably not worth it.</p><p><blockquote>当你考虑到以上所有因素时，就有助于解释为什么雪佛龙 4.9% 的股息收益率接近同行的底部。不过，该股收益率仍接近公司自身历史区间的高端。因此，看起来雪佛龙今天是历史上最便宜的，尽管你可以从该行业的其他公司获得更高的收益率。问题是，为了获得更高的收益率，你需要提高风险规模。对于保守类型来说，这可能不值得。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. The future</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.未来</b></blockquote></p><p> One clear knock against Chevron is that it is dragging its feet as the world looks to move beyond oil and natural gas. That's a legitimate complaint -- Chevron is simply tiptoeing into the clean energy waters, while others, like BP and Shell, look like they are&nbsp;jumping in with both feet.</p><p><blockquote>对雪佛龙的一个明显打击是，随着世界寻求超越石油和天然气，它正在拖延。这是一个合理的抱怨——雪佛龙只是蹑手蹑脚地进入清洁能源领域，而英国石油公司和壳牌等其他公司看起来像是在双脚跳进去。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The thing is, energy transitions take time, and the world is likely to need more of all energy sources as emerging economies continue to develop. So oil and natural gas aren't likely to go away overnight.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，能源转型需要时间，随着新兴经济体的不断发展，世界可能需要更多的能源。因此，石油和天然气不太可能在一夜之间消失。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the renewable power space&nbsp;looks a bit expensive&nbsp;right now, with intense competition resulting in inflated prices and potentially lower future returns. So taking a wait-and-see approach might actually work in Chevron's favor if it avoids overspending just to appease Wall Street. And with such a strong balance sheet, there's no reason why it can't buy its way into the sector via an acquisition should a good opportunity arise. That chance, hopefully, will come when investors have soured on renewables and bid down the stock prices of clean energy-focused names.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，可再生能源领域目前看起来有点昂贵，激烈的竞争导致价格上涨，未来回报可能较低。因此，如果雪佛龙为了安抚华尔街而避免超支，采取观望态度实际上可能对雪佛龙有利。凭借如此强劲的资产负债表，如果出现好机会，它没有理由不通过收购进入该行业。希望当投资者对可再生能源感到厌恶并压低专注于清洁能源的公司的股价时，这个机会就会到来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Not perfect, but pretty good</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不完美，但相当不错</b></blockquote></p><p> Every investment comes with a few warts, and Chevron is no different. However, for conservative income investors looking to put money to work in the out-of-favor energy sector, it has a lot of positives. Specifically, the company's historically high yield, industry-leading financial strength, and diversified business model all give it an edge over its peers. And the negative that Chevron is taking a slow approach on the global warming front may not be as bad as some fear.</p><p><blockquote>每项投资都有一些瑕疵，雪佛龙也不例外。然而，对于希望将资金投入不受欢迎的能源行业的保守收入投资者来说，它有很多积极因素。具体来说，该公司历史上的高收益率、行业领先的资金实力和多元化的商业模式都使其在同行中具有优势。雪佛龙在全球变暖问题上行动迟缓的负面影响可能并不像一些人担心的那么糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> For most income investors, Chevron stacks up really well compared to the competition.</p><p><blockquote>对于大多数收入投资者来说，与竞争对手相比，雪佛龙的表现确实很好。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/19/is-chevron-stock-a-buy/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CVX":"雪佛龙"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/19/is-chevron-stock-a-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138700843","content_text":"Chevron's yield is at the low end of its energy major peer group. Here's why conservative income investors might still want to buy it anyway.\nDespite improving commodity prices, the energy sector remains deeply out of favor. For income investors with a contrarian bent, however, that's a potential buying opportunity. The problem is that there are still very real issues for energy companies to deal with. That's why integrated giant Chevron (NYSE:CVX) is one of the best options in the space. Here's a few points to back that up.\n1. Diversification\nThere are a multitude of ways to invest in the energy sector, from the upstream (exploration and production) to the downstream (chemicals and refining), and there are different dynamics to each major area. Chevron, one of the world's largest integrated energy companies, has exposure across the value chain, from drilling to transportation (the midstream sector) to processing. That provides balance to its portfolio, since in normal markets some areas will usually be doing better than others and helping to smooth out financial results.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nConservative investors know that diversification is good for their portfolios, but it can also be good for a company's business. It may seem like small solace, but in 2020 Chevron's international downstream business was in the black while all of its other reporting segments were in the red. It was a terrible year by any measure, but it would have been much worse if the company were only focused on drilling for oil or operating in a single market/region.\n2. Financial strength\nDiversification is nice, but Chevron is hardly the only diversified oil company. It is one of many that fall into the integrated segment of the industry. But one area where Chevron stands alone is financial strength. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is roughly 0.33 times, lower than U.S. peer ExxonMobil's (NYSE:XOM) 0.4 times and way below European peers that sit at 0.6 times or higher.\nTo be fair, European oil majors tend to carry higher debt loads and higher cash balances than Chevron or Exxon. However, spending a cash horde during an industry downturn isn't necessarily viewed as a positive by investors, and adding debt to an already debt-heavy balance sheet is equally undesirable. So Chevron's low-leverage approach may actually give it more leeway. Indeed, it used its financial strength to add debt during 2020 so it could muddle through the hit without the need to cut its dividend. It also managed to make an opportunistic acquisition and still maintain its industry-leading leverage metrics.\nCVX DEBT TO EQUITY RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS\n3. The dividend\nFor more conservative income investors, a company's dividend is sacrosanct.BP and Royal Dutch Shell both cut their dividends last year, while Exxon, Chevron, and Total did not. That said, Chevron has an over-three-decade-long streak of annual dividend increases under its belt at this point. And it just announced a 4% increase in its dividend along with its first-quarter earnings. Total is focusing on debt repayment over dividend increases right now, and while Exxon's dividend history is every bit as strong as Chevron's -- if not stronger -- its balance sheet isn't in as good shape. And, notably, Exxon has big spending plans that it needs to fund, suggesting that dividends may have to play second fiddle to capital spending in the near term. Chevron's spending plans were relatively modest even before the pandemic.\nWhen you take into account all of the above, it helps to explain why Chevron's 4.9% dividend yield is near the bottom of its peer group. However, the stock's yield is still near the high end of the company's own historical range. So it looks like Chevron is historically cheap today, even though you can get a higher yield from other companies in the sector. The problem is that to get those higher yields you need to step up the risk scale. For conservative types, that's probably not worth it.\n4. The future\nOne clear knock against Chevron is that it is dragging its feet as the world looks to move beyond oil and natural gas. That's a legitimate complaint -- Chevron is simply tiptoeing into the clean energy waters, while others, like BP and Shell, look like they are jumping in with both feet.\nThe thing is, energy transitions take time, and the world is likely to need more of all energy sources as emerging economies continue to develop. So oil and natural gas aren't likely to go away overnight.\nMeanwhile, the renewable power space looks a bit expensive right now, with intense competition resulting in inflated prices and potentially lower future returns. So taking a wait-and-see approach might actually work in Chevron's favor if it avoids overspending just to appease Wall Street. And with such a strong balance sheet, there's no reason why it can't buy its way into the sector via an acquisition should a good opportunity arise. That chance, hopefully, will come when investors have soured on renewables and bid down the stock prices of clean energy-focused names.\nNot perfect, but pretty good\nEvery investment comes with a few warts, and Chevron is no different. However, for conservative income investors looking to put money to work in the out-of-favor energy sector, it has a lot of positives. Specifically, the company's historically high yield, industry-leading financial strength, and diversified business model all give it an edge over its peers. And the negative that Chevron is taking a slow approach on the global warming front may not be as bad as some fear.\nFor most income investors, Chevron stacks up really well compared to the competition.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CVX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197708996,"gmtCreate":1621483422815,"gmtModify":1631892329924,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197708996","repostId":"1126891253","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197848980,"gmtCreate":1621446016740,"gmtModify":1631892329924,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197848980","repostId":"1103552481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103552481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621428667,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1103552481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-19 20:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今天美联储会议纪要中值得关注的 3 件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103552481","media":"Barrons","summary":"The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but inv","content":"<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最新的会议纪要预计今天不会引起太大轰动，但投资者仍应关注一些不同的主题。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance:&nbsp; A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a&nbsp;surprisingly weak jobs report&nbsp;and a&nbsp;stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要将于今天下午 2 点公布，美联储观察人士在解读会议纪要的意义时可能会面临比平时更大的挑战：自 4 月 28 日至 29 日会议以来，经济发生了很大变化。例如，接下来的几周带来了令人惊讶的疲软就业报告和强于预期的消费者通胀报告。</blockquote></p><p> And unlike&nbsp;last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April.&nbsp;The 10-year yield has&nbsp;dropped to 1.64%&nbsp;from 1.74% on March 31.</p><p><blockquote>与上个月的会议不同的是，没有出现引人注目的国债抛售来引起官员们的注意。尽管经济数据显示4月份价格压力更大，但收益率的急剧攀升在3月底有所减弱。10年期国债收益率已从3月31日的1.74%降至1.64%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这份文件可能仍能提供一些关于央行观点的线索。自上次会议以来，官员们也提供了更多关于政策的观点。值得注意的是，美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达在周一的一次会议上发表讲话，并讨论了最近的一些经济数据点。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:</p><p><blockquote>以下是战略家们对今天会议的期待，以及克拉里达对这些议题的看法：</blockquote></p><p> <b>“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“调整并关注” “暂时性 ”通货膨胀？</b></blockquote></p><p> One popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.</p><p><blockquote>包括美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）在内的美联储官员中流行的一句话是，预计今年春季通胀将出现 “暂时性 ”上升，这主要与美国经济在去年大流行病导致经济活动急剧放缓后重新开放有关。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗经济学家史蒂文-里奇乌托（Steven Ricchiuto）和亚历克斯-佩勒（Alex Pelle）在 5 月 18 日的一份报告中写道，他们预计会议纪要中 “会多次提到'暂时'的价格压力”。他们还强调，4月份消费者价格涨幅最大的许多行业都是需求受疫情打击最大的行业，如酒店和机票。“他们补充说：”到目前为止，[这]证实了美联储的想法。</blockquote></p><p> Yet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation:&nbsp; That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在周一的会议上，克拉里达似乎在重复一种不同类型的通胀保证：央行将 “调整并关注 ”任何显示物价压力上升的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”</p><p><blockquote>“在 CPI 报告中，[重新开放]显然给物价带来了上行压力。现在我们的基线观点是，这大部分可能是暂时的，但我们必须调整并关注即将到来的数据，”他说。“我们任务的关键要素是价格稳定，而价格稳定的一个重要组成部分是稳固的通胀预期。如果我们看到价格或通胀面临上行压力，有可能推高通胀预期，我毫不怀疑我们会利用我们的工具来应对这种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper Timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥度时间轴</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注央行是否会就何时开始削减每月 1200 亿美元的债券购买规模提供任何额外指导。鲍威尔曾表示，美联储希望在缩减购债规模之前，在实现充分就业和长期平均通胀率2%的目标方面取得 “实质性进一步进展”，但官员们并未提供太多额外指导。</blockquote></p><p> Most on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases&nbsp;late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街大多数人预计美联储将在今年夏末或秋季讨论减少或缩减购买量的长期计划。NatWest Markets 在周一的一份报告中表示，预计美联储将在 9 月份开始讨论缩减购买规模，并实际上从明年开始放缓债券购买步伐。</blockquote></p><p> So any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此，最新会议纪要中任何更详细的讨论都可能让投资者感到意外，并可能对市场产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor-Market Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳动力市场前景</b></blockquote></p><p> One key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.</p><p><blockquote>决定美联储购买债券（和其他便利措施）前景的一个关键因素是劳动力市场的复苏。在令人失望的四月份就业报告之后，这仍然悬而未决。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes:&nbsp; How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，投资者还是有机会在会议纪要中找到他们的一个问题的更多背景：多少改善足以让美联储开始撤回宽松政策？换句话说，“实质性的进一步进展”是什么意思？</blockquote></p><p> Before the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>在 4 月份劳动力市场传来令人失望的消息之前，华尔街大多数人都预计本月就业岗位创造将强劲增长，这是鲍威尔所说的在美国实现美联储目标 “进一步实质性进展 ”之前，需要实现 “一连串 ”强劲复苏的又一步。这可能促使官员们讨论在央行开始退缩之前，复苏需要走多远。</blockquote></p><p> Clarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.</p><p><blockquote>克拉里达周一还讨论了4月份的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”四月份的就业报告告诉我，我们在劳动力市场，尤其是服务业实现供需平衡的方式可能需要一些时间，而且随着工人重返工作岗位，价格可能会受到一些上行压力，因此我们必须调整并关注这一数据流。“根据 4 月份的就业报告，我们还没有取得实质性的进一步进展，但随着数据的公布，我们作为一个委员会将不得不对此进行评估，并最终做出判断”。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes:&nbsp; Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the&nbsp;economic data has been so volatile&nbsp;during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.</p><p><blockquote>归根结底，未来劳动力市场数据的重要性暗示着美联储会议纪要的更广泛启示： 未来几个月的经济数据可能是美联储行动及其消除市场和经济宽松计划的最终仲裁者。重新开放期间的经济数据非常不稳定，到美联储 6 月份再次开会时，情况可能会发生重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> That means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者将不得不观望一段时间，以了解央行计划何时开始退缩。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”</p><p><blockquote>“蒙特利尔银行策略师伊恩-林根（Ian Lyngen）写道：”我们不愿将此看涨期权为任何形式的均衡--相反，随着宏观预期的进一步细化，这更有可能证明是一种暂时的持有模式。“显然，我们的问题多于答案”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今天美联储会议纪要中值得关注的 3 件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今天美联储会议纪要中值得关注的 3 件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-19 20:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最新的会议纪要预计今天不会引起太大轰动，但投资者仍应关注一些不同的主题。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance:&nbsp; A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a&nbsp;surprisingly weak jobs report&nbsp;and a&nbsp;stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要将于今天下午 2 点公布，美联储观察人士在解读会议纪要的意义时可能会面临比平时更大的挑战：自 4 月 28 日至 29 日会议以来，经济发生了很大变化。例如，接下来的几周带来了令人惊讶的疲软就业报告和强于预期的消费者通胀报告。</blockquote></p><p> And unlike&nbsp;last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April.&nbsp;The 10-year yield has&nbsp;dropped to 1.64%&nbsp;from 1.74% on March 31.</p><p><blockquote>与上个月的会议不同的是，没有出现引人注目的国债抛售来引起官员们的注意。尽管经济数据显示4月份价格压力更大，但收益率的急剧攀升在3月底有所减弱。10年期国债收益率已从3月31日的1.74%降至1.64%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这份文件可能仍能提供一些关于央行观点的线索。自上次会议以来，官员们也提供了更多关于政策的观点。值得注意的是，美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达在周一的一次会议上发表讲话，并讨论了最近的一些经济数据点。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:</p><p><blockquote>以下是战略家们对今天会议的期待，以及克拉里达对这些议题的看法：</blockquote></p><p> <b>“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“调整并关注” “暂时性 ”通货膨胀？</b></blockquote></p><p> One popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.</p><p><blockquote>包括美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）在内的美联储官员中流行的一句话是，预计今年春季通胀将出现 “暂时性 ”上升，这主要与美国经济在去年大流行病导致经济活动急剧放缓后重新开放有关。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗经济学家史蒂文-里奇乌托（Steven Ricchiuto）和亚历克斯-佩勒（Alex Pelle）在 5 月 18 日的一份报告中写道，他们预计会议纪要中 “会多次提到'暂时'的价格压力”。他们还强调，4月份消费者价格涨幅最大的许多行业都是需求受疫情打击最大的行业，如酒店和机票。“他们补充说：”到目前为止，[这]证实了美联储的想法。</blockquote></p><p> Yet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation:&nbsp; That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在周一的会议上，克拉里达似乎在重复一种不同类型的通胀保证：央行将 “调整并关注 ”任何显示物价压力上升的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”</p><p><blockquote>“在 CPI 报告中，[重新开放]显然给物价带来了上行压力。现在我们的基线观点是，这大部分可能是暂时的，但我们必须调整并关注即将到来的数据，”他说。“我们任务的关键要素是价格稳定，而价格稳定的一个重要组成部分是稳固的通胀预期。如果我们看到价格或通胀面临上行压力，有可能推高通胀预期，我毫不怀疑我们会利用我们的工具来应对这种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper Timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥度时间轴</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注央行是否会就何时开始削减每月 1200 亿美元的债券购买规模提供任何额外指导。鲍威尔曾表示，美联储希望在缩减购债规模之前，在实现充分就业和长期平均通胀率2%的目标方面取得 “实质性进一步进展”，但官员们并未提供太多额外指导。</blockquote></p><p> Most on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases&nbsp;late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街大多数人预计美联储将在今年夏末或秋季讨论减少或缩减购买量的长期计划。NatWest Markets 在周一的一份报告中表示，预计美联储将在 9 月份开始讨论缩减购买规模，并实际上从明年开始放缓债券购买步伐。</blockquote></p><p> So any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此，最新会议纪要中任何更详细的讨论都可能让投资者感到意外，并可能对市场产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor-Market Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳动力市场前景</b></blockquote></p><p> One key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.</p><p><blockquote>决定美联储购买债券（和其他便利措施）前景的一个关键因素是劳动力市场的复苏。在令人失望的四月份就业报告之后，这仍然悬而未决。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes:&nbsp; How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，投资者还是有机会在会议纪要中找到他们的一个问题的更多背景：多少改善足以让美联储开始撤回宽松政策？换句话说，“实质性的进一步进展”是什么意思？</blockquote></p><p> Before the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>在 4 月份劳动力市场传来令人失望的消息之前，华尔街大多数人都预计本月就业岗位创造将强劲增长，这是鲍威尔所说的在美国实现美联储目标 “进一步实质性进展 ”之前，需要实现 “一连串 ”强劲复苏的又一步。这可能促使官员们讨论在央行开始退缩之前，复苏需要走多远。</blockquote></p><p> Clarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.</p><p><blockquote>克拉里达周一还讨论了4月份的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”四月份的就业报告告诉我，我们在劳动力市场，尤其是服务业实现供需平衡的方式可能需要一些时间，而且随着工人重返工作岗位，价格可能会受到一些上行压力，因此我们必须调整并关注这一数据流。“根据 4 月份的就业报告，我们还没有取得实质性的进一步进展，但随着数据的公布，我们作为一个委员会将不得不对此进行评估，并最终做出判断”。</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes:&nbsp; Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the&nbsp;economic data has been so volatile&nbsp;during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.</p><p><blockquote>归根结底，未来劳动力市场数据的重要性暗示着美联储会议纪要的更广泛启示： 未来几个月的经济数据可能是美联储行动及其消除市场和经济宽松计划的最终仲裁者。重新开放期间的经济数据非常不稳定，到美联储 6 月份再次开会时，情况可能会发生重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> That means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者将不得不观望一段时间，以了解央行计划何时开始退缩。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”</p><p><blockquote>“蒙特利尔银行策略师伊恩-林根（Ian Lyngen）写道：”我们不愿将此看涨期权为任何形式的均衡--相反，随着宏观预期的进一步细化，这更有可能证明是一种暂时的持有模式。“显然，我们的问题多于答案”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-jobs-and-more-to-watch-for-in-todays-fed-minutes-release-51621421812?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-jobs-and-more-to-watch-for-in-todays-fed-minutes-release-51621421812?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103552481","content_text":"The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.\nThe minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance:  A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a surprisingly weak jobs report and a stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.\nAnd unlike last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April. The 10-year yield has dropped to 1.64% from 1.74% on March 31.\nYet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.\nHere’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:\n“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?\nOne popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.\nMizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.\nYet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation:  That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.\n“In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”\nTaper Timeline\nInvestors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.\nMost on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.\nSo any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.\nLabor-Market Outlook\nOne key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.\nStill, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes:  How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?\nBefore the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.\nClarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.\n“What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”\nUltimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes:  Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the economic data has been so volatile during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.\nThat means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.\n“We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":784,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194255861,"gmtCreate":1621384113553,"gmtModify":1631892329926,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194255861","repostId":"2136699992","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194258201,"gmtCreate":1621384002303,"gmtModify":1631892329930,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194258201","repostId":"2136959199","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":112963734,"gmtCreate":1622846329028,"gmtModify":1631889965080,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comments","listText":"Please like and comments","text":"Please like and comments","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112963734","repostId":"1154529120","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154529120","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622810459,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1154529120?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 20:40","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154529120","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:. Alibaba Group'","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.</li>  <li>I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.</li>  <li>In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567d19950e6c8789ce2192b4503f0fa5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by efetova/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一只战场股票，有些人看到了很多机会，而另一些人则看到了很多风险。</li><li>我相信机遇和风险并存，但我认为前者大于后者。</li><li>从长远来看，阿里巴巴有机会为那些以当前相当低的估值购买的人带来强劲收益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>照片由 efetova/iStock 提供，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW集团（BABA）是全球领先的高科技公司，持续产生有吸引力的增长，并为投资者提供了高增长的中国消费市场的机会。同时，通过一系列的创业，阿里巴巴-SW还活跃在额外的行业，比如云计算。过去几个月股价大幅下跌，但我相信长期潜力巨大。看到股价上涨至 500 美元，我不会感到惊讶，尽管这在短期内不会发生。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:</p><p><blockquote>自首次公开募股以来，阿里巴巴-SW股价强劲上涨，但还应该提到的是，2020 年下半年股价确实下跌，此后大幅下跌：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8079eeb5384ea003fb3725d3cd1e877f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a&nbsp;revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.</p><p><blockquote>由于蚂蚁金服的 IPO 计划被叫停，2020 年夏季的涨幅已被抹去，股价现在基本与一年前持平。不过，去年持平的股价表现有些令人惊讶，因为阿里巴巴-SW在那段时间内继续取得强劲的业绩。例如，上一季度阿里巴巴-SW的收入增长率为64%，而上一季度的收入增长也非常强劲，约为50%。然而，这并不是阿里巴巴财报发布中唯一的积极因素。仅在最近一个季度，该公司的用户数量就增加了3200万，相当于年化用户增长率约为20%。这对未来几个季度来说是个好兆头，因为阿里巴巴平台上的更多用户应该会转化为更高的收入。最重要的是，强劲的用户增长表明，对阿里巴巴平台提供的购物服务的需求仍在增长——市场根本没有饱和。阿里巴巴-SW还设法将其 EBITDA 同比增长 25%，这也是一个有吸引力的增长速度，尽管对评级管理关键增长领域的投资不断增加，但仍实现了这一目标。与此同时，由于一些运营杠杆，营业收入增长速度更快，经阿里巴巴-SW第一季度必须支付的罚款调整后，营业收入同比增长 48%。我认为，放弃这一一次性项目是有意义的，以便更清楚地了解阿里巴巴平均一个季度的潜在“核心”盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and&nbsp;fears about regulation.</p><p><blockquote>因此，相对于大盘和其他科技公司而言，阿里巴巴-SW集团的股价表现疲软并不是经营业绩疲软的结果，而是由于投资者情绪疲软导致中国风险敞口和对监管的担忧导致的多重压缩的结果。</blockquote></p><p> At its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.</p><p><blockquote>以目前 220 美元的价格计算，与目前分析师一致的目标价 298 美元相比，阿里巴巴的股价有相当大的折扣。如果阿里巴巴-SW达到这一目标，股价将上涨 35%。分析师目标价通常以 1 年为期限发布，因此，如果分析师社区是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW可能是一项很好的投资。从估值的角度来看，这个价格目标似乎一点也不离谱，因为 298 美元相当于今年预期净利润的约 29 倍，或明年净利润的 23 倍。当我们谈论 2022 年夏季（即一年后）的价格目标时，后者可能更能说明问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，这个问题的答案取决于你的时间框架。如果你看的是12个月的窗口，那么阿里巴巴-SW很可能无法达到500美元。300美元左右的价格目标似乎是可以实现的，尽管这当然也不能保证。然而，如果我们从长远来看，那么 500 美元似乎是阿里巴巴最终可能达到的股价。让我们看几个例子。</blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW在某个时候每股收益为 20 美元，并且市盈率为 25，那么股票的交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 25 美元，市盈率为 20 倍，那么股票交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 17 美元，交易价格为净利润的 29 倍，那么股价将（略低于）500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:</p><p><blockquote>我们看到，有许多情况可能会让阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元，其中一些情况比其他情况更有可能。当然，你的目标倍数越高，所需的收入就越低。这反过来意味着价格目标可以更快实现，因为所需的累计盈利增长较少。当我们查看阿里巴巴-SW过去的估值时，我们会发现阿里巴巴的长期市盈率中位数如下：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd2d42b7094deb394266d6410287c2e4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为 30-40 倍，相对于目前的股票估值（约为今年收益的 20 倍），其交易价格显然大幅溢价。我认为目前的估值太低了，但另一方面，我预计阿里巴巴-SW未来几年的净利润不会达到 30 倍、35 倍甚至 40 倍。由于阿里巴巴-SW的规模不断扩大，这使得其在未来几年保持出色的增长变得更加困难，与过去的估值相比，未来几年的股票估值可能会更低。</blockquote></p><p> I still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为，从目前21倍左右的市盈率来看，股票确实有一些估值扩张潜力，因此让我们假设股票未来的交易价格是净利润的23倍。与历史估值相比，这仍然是一个巨大的折扣，与美国高科技大盘股的估值相比，也是一个巨大的折扣——例如，亚马逊 (AMZN) 的交易价格是今年市盈率的 59 倍。</blockquote></p><p> If we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们想使用 23 倍市盈率使阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元，那么阿里巴巴-SW必须产生的每股收益为 21.70 美元。什么时候会是这样？在下图中，我们看到了今年、明年（2022 财年）和 2023 财年的每股收益预测：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf78e0b071eff9753afbdcd96f751c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW到 2023 年将无法实现每股 22 美元的盈利，我认为这是现实的。我也不认为今年到 2023 年每股收益会增长 100% 以上。从2023年开始，阿里巴巴的每股收益需要再增长43%才能达到21.70美元，这是我们500美元股价的“目标每股收益”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4c351b4b5eb3328191ccaa9a3b776c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>分析师目前预测长期每股收益增长约 27%，这意味着阿里巴巴-SW需要大约 1.5 年的时间才能将每股收益从 15.20 美元（2023 年估计）增长到我们的目标 21.70 美元。即使我们假设这过于乐观，2024 年和 2025 年的增长率仅为 20%，到 2025 年底，每股收益也可能达到 21.70 美元。因此，换句话说，如果阿里巴巴-SW的增长略低于分析师目前的预测，那么到 2025 年底（即 4.5 年后），阿里巴巴-SW的交易价格可能达到 500 美元。请注意，这种情况根本不需要高市盈率——我相信，在净利润的 23 倍下，阿里巴巴-SW不会很贵。</blockquote></p><p> We can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以更加保守，假设 2023 年每股收益预测过高 10%，并且 2023 年之后的几年每股收益每年仅增长 17%（而分析师社区的长期预测为每年 27%）。在这种情况下，阿里巴巴-SW 2026 年的每股收益将达到 21.70 美元，未来 5.5 年内股价将升至 500 美元。即使在这种情况下，阿里巴巴也根本不是一项糟糕的投资——未来 5.5 年内股价从当前水平上涨 130%，年化回报率为 16%。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum this section up, I'd say<i>yes, BABA can hit $500</i>-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结这一部分，我会说<i>是的，爸爸可以达到 500 美元</i>——但实际上这需要几年时间。到 2020 年代中期，这对我来说似乎是一个非常容易实现的目标，尽管当然，没有任何保证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票现在是买入还是卖出？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，阿里巴巴-SW集团是一项强有力的投资。该公司从多个长期宏观趋势中实现了强劲的增长和利润，例如中国不断增长的消费者支出、不断增长的电子商务市场份额和云计算。然而，也有一些风险需要考虑：阿里巴巴-SW高度依赖中国，如果中国的经济增长故事结束，阿里巴巴-SW将受到很大伤害。最重要的是，阿里巴巴-SW可能会再次成为监管机构的目标，尽管我个人认为伤害中国增长最快的科技公司之一不符合中国的最佳利益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些担心这些风险的人来说，阿里巴巴-SW可能不是正确的选择，但对于那些认为阿里巴巴-SW对中国消费者来说可能是一个非常有益的游戏的人来说，阿里巴巴可能是多元化投资组合中的一个有力选择。我属于后一类，因此以当前估值将该股评级为买入，预计未来几年将有显着上涨空间。然而，根据你的风险承受能力以及你如何权衡投资中国公司的机会和威胁，你可能会做出不同的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $500? If You Got Time, Yes<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？如果你有时间，是的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 20:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.</li>  <li>I believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.</li>  <li>In the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/567d19950e6c8789ce2192b4503f0fa5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"653\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by efetova/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW是一只战场股票，有些人看到了很多机会，而另一些人则看到了很多风险。</li><li>我相信机遇和风险并存，但我认为前者大于后者。</li><li>从长远来看，阿里巴巴有机会为那些以当前相当低的估值购买的人带来强劲收益。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>照片由 efetova/iStock 提供，来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW集团（BABA）是全球领先的高科技公司，持续产生有吸引力的增长，并为投资者提供了高增长的中国消费市场的机会。同时，通过一系列的创业，阿里巴巴-SW还活跃在额外的行业，比如云计算。过去几个月股价大幅下跌，但我相信长期潜力巨大。看到股价上涨至 500 美元，我不会感到惊讶，尽管这在短期内不会发生。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Since its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:</p><p><blockquote>自首次公开募股以来，阿里巴巴-SW股价强劲上涨，但还应该提到的是，2020 年下半年股价确实下跌，此后大幅下跌：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8079eeb5384ea003fb3725d3cd1e877f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a&nbsp;revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.</p><p><blockquote>由于蚂蚁金服的 IPO 计划被叫停，2020 年夏季的涨幅已被抹去，股价现在基本与一年前持平。不过，去年持平的股价表现有些令人惊讶，因为阿里巴巴-SW在那段时间内继续取得强劲的业绩。例如，上一季度阿里巴巴-SW的收入增长率为64%，而上一季度的收入增长也非常强劲，约为50%。然而，这并不是阿里巴巴财报发布中唯一的积极因素。仅在最近一个季度，该公司的用户数量就增加了3200万，相当于年化用户增长率约为20%。这对未来几个季度来说是个好兆头，因为阿里巴巴平台上的更多用户应该会转化为更高的收入。最重要的是，强劲的用户增长表明，对阿里巴巴平台提供的购物服务的需求仍在增长——市场根本没有饱和。阿里巴巴-SW还设法将其 EBITDA 同比增长 25%，这也是一个有吸引力的增长速度，尽管对评级管理关键增长领域的投资不断增加，但仍实现了这一目标。与此同时，由于一些运营杠杆，营业收入增长速度更快，经阿里巴巴-SW第一季度必须支付的罚款调整后，营业收入同比增长 48%。我认为，放弃这一一次性项目是有意义的，以便更清楚地了解阿里巴巴平均一个季度的潜在“核心”盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and&nbsp;fears about regulation.</p><p><blockquote>因此，相对于大盘和其他科技公司而言，阿里巴巴-SW集团的股价表现疲软并不是经营业绩疲软的结果，而是由于投资者情绪疲软导致中国风险敞口和对监管的担忧导致的多重压缩的结果。</blockquote></p><p> At its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.</p><p><blockquote>以目前 220 美元的价格计算，与目前分析师一致的目标价 298 美元相比，阿里巴巴的股价有相当大的折扣。如果阿里巴巴-SW达到这一目标，股价将上涨 35%。分析师目标价通常以 1 年为期限发布，因此，如果分析师社区是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW可能是一项很好的投资。从估值的角度来看，这个价格目标似乎一点也不离谱，因为 298 美元相当于今年预期净利润的约 29 倍，或明年净利润的 23 倍。当我们谈论 2022 年夏季（即一年后）的价格目标时，后者可能更能说明问题。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can Alibaba Stock Hit $500?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票能突破500美元吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，这个问题的答案取决于你的时间框架。如果你看的是12个月的窗口，那么阿里巴巴-SW很可能无法达到500美元。300美元左右的价格目标似乎是可以实现的，尽管这当然也不能保证。然而，如果我们从长远来看，那么 500 美元似乎是阿里巴巴最终可能达到的股价。让我们看几个例子。</blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW在某个时候每股收益为 20 美元，并且市盈率为 25，那么股票的交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 25 美元，市盈率为 20 倍，那么股票交易价格将为 500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>- 如果阿里巴巴-SW每股收益为 17 美元，交易价格为净利润的 29 倍，那么股价将（略低于）500 美元。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:</p><p><blockquote>我们看到，有许多情况可能会让阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元，其中一些情况比其他情况更有可能。当然，你的目标倍数越高，所需的收入就越低。这反过来意味着价格目标可以更快实现，因为所需的累计盈利增长较少。当我们查看阿里巴巴-SW过去的估值时，我们会发现阿里巴巴的长期市盈率中位数如下：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd2d42b7094deb394266d6410287c2e4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW的净利润为 30-40 倍，相对于目前的股票估值（约为今年收益的 20 倍），其交易价格显然大幅溢价。我认为目前的估值太低了，但另一方面，我预计阿里巴巴-SW未来几年的净利润不会达到 30 倍、35 倍甚至 40 倍。由于阿里巴巴-SW的规模不断扩大，这使得其在未来几年保持出色的增长变得更加困难，与过去的估值相比，未来几年的股票估值可能会更低。</blockquote></p><p> I still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.</p><p><blockquote>我仍然认为，从目前21倍左右的市盈率来看，股票确实有一些估值扩张潜力，因此让我们假设股票未来的交易价格是净利润的23倍。与历史估值相比，这仍然是一个巨大的折扣，与美国高科技大盘股的估值相比，也是一个巨大的折扣——例如，亚马逊 (AMZN) 的交易价格是今年市盈率的 59 倍。</blockquote></p><p> If we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:</p><p><blockquote>如果我们想使用 23 倍市盈率使阿里巴巴的股价达到 500 美元，那么阿里巴巴-SW必须产生的每股收益为 21.70 美元。什么时候会是这样？在下图中，我们看到了今年、明年（2022 财年）和 2023 财年的每股收益预测：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcf78e0b071eff9753afbdcd96f751c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"436\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.</p><p><blockquote>如果分析师是正确的，阿里巴巴-SW到 2023 年将无法实现每股 22 美元的盈利，我认为这是现实的。我也不认为今年到 2023 年每股收益会增长 100% 以上。从2023年开始，阿里巴巴的每股收益需要再增长43%才能达到21.70美元，这是我们500美元股价的“目标每股收益”。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b4c351b4b5eb3328191ccaa9a3b776c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来源：YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>分析师目前预测长期每股收益增长约 27%，这意味着阿里巴巴-SW需要大约 1.5 年的时间才能将每股收益从 15.20 美元（2023 年估计）增长到我们的目标 21.70 美元。即使我们假设这过于乐观，2024 年和 2025 年的增长率仅为 20%，到 2025 年底，每股收益也可能达到 21.70 美元。因此，换句话说，如果阿里巴巴-SW的增长略低于分析师目前的预测，那么到 2025 年底（即 4.5 年后），阿里巴巴-SW的交易价格可能达到 500 美元。请注意，这种情况根本不需要高市盈率——我相信，在净利润的 23 倍下，阿里巴巴-SW不会很贵。</blockquote></p><p> We can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以更加保守，假设 2023 年每股收益预测过高 10%，并且 2023 年之后的几年每股收益每年仅增长 17%（而分析师社区的长期预测为每年 27%）。在这种情况下，阿里巴巴-SW 2026 年的每股收益将达到 21.70 美元，未来 5.5 年内股价将升至 500 美元。即使在这种情况下，阿里巴巴也根本不是一项糟糕的投资——未来 5.5 年内股价从当前水平上涨 130%，年化回报率为 16%。</blockquote></p><p> So, to sum this section up, I'd say<i>yes, BABA can hit $500</i>-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.</p><p><blockquote>所以，总结这一部分，我会说<i>是的，爸爸可以达到 500 美元</i>——但实际上这需要几年时间。到 2020 年代中期，这对我来说似乎是一个非常容易实现的目标，尽管当然，没有任何保证。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW股票现在是买入还是卖出？</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.</p><p><blockquote>我认为，阿里巴巴-SW集团是一项强有力的投资。该公司从多个长期宏观趋势中实现了强劲的增长和利润，例如中国不断增长的消费者支出、不断增长的电子商务市场份额和云计算。然而，也有一些风险需要考虑：阿里巴巴-SW高度依赖中国，如果中国的经济增长故事结束，阿里巴巴-SW将受到很大伤害。最重要的是，阿里巴巴-SW可能会再次成为监管机构的目标，尽管我个人认为伤害中国增长最快的科技公司之一不符合中国的最佳利益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些担心这些风险的人来说，阿里巴巴-SW可能不是正确的选择，但对于那些认为阿里巴巴-SW对中国消费者来说可能是一个非常有益的游戏的人来说，阿里巴巴可能是多元化投资组合中的一个有力选择。我属于后一类，因此以当前估值将该股评级为买入，预计未来几年将有显着上涨空间。然而，根据你的风险承受能力以及你如何权衡投资中国公司的机会和威胁，你可能会做出不同的决定。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432992-alibaba-stock-hit-500\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432992-alibaba-stock-hit-500","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154529120","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is a battleground stock where some see a lot of opportunities, while others see many risks.\nI believe that there are both opportunities and risks, but would see the prior outweighing the latter.\nIn the long run, BABA has a chance of delivering strong gains for those that buy at the current, quite low, valuation.\n\nPhoto by efetova/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nAlibaba Group (BABA) is a leading global high-tech name that continues to generate attractive growth and that offers investors exposure to the high-growth Chinese consumer market. At the same time, through a range of ventures, Alibaba is also active in additional industries, such as cloud computing. Shares have declined considerably over the last couple of months, but I believe that the long-term potential is significant. I would not be surprised to see shares rise towards $500, although that will not happen in the near term.\nBABA Stock Price\nSince its IPO, Alibaba has seen strong share price gains, but it should also be mentioned that shares did peek in H2 2020, and have declined considerably since then:\nData byYCharts\nShares are now basically where they were one year ago, as the gains during summer 2020 have been erased when Ant Financial's IPO plans were stopped. The flat share price performance over the last year is somewhat surprising, though, as Alibaba continued to generate strong results in that time frame. During the last quarter, for example, Alibaba showcased a revenue growth rate of 64%, while revenue growth during the previous quarter was also very strong, at around 50%. This is not the only positive in Alibaba's earnings releases, however. The company also managed to grow its user count by 32 million during the most recent quarter alone, which equates to an annualized user growth rate of around 20%. This bodes well for future quarters, as more users on Alibaba's platform should translate into higher revenues. On top of that, the strong user growth shows that there is still growing demand for the shopping services that Alibaba's platforms offer -- the market is not saturated at all. Alibaba also managed to grow its EBITDA by 25% year over year, which is an attractive growth pace as well, and which was achieved despite growing investments in what management calls key growth areas. Income from operations, meanwhile, grew at an even faster pace, thanks to some operating leverage, rising by 48% year over year when adjusted for the fine that Alibaba had to pay during Q1. It makes, I believe, sense to back out this one-time item to get a clearer picture about Alibaba's underlying, \"core\" profitability during an average quarter.\nAlibaba Group's weak share price performance, relative to the broad market and other tech names, is thus not the result of weak operating performance, but rather a result of multiple compression, driven by weak investor sentiment due to China exposure and fears about regulation.\nAt its current price of $220, BABA trades at a quite large discount compared to the current consensus analyst price target of $298. If Alibaba were to hit that, shares would gain 35%. Analyst price targets are usually issued with a 1-year time frame, thus, if the analyst community is correct, Alibaba could be a great investment. From a valuation standpoint, this price target doesn't seem outrageous at all, as $298 would equate to around 29x this year's expected net profits, or 23x next year's net earnings. The latter is likely the more telling one when we talk about a price target for summer 2022, i.e. 1 year from now.\nCan Alibaba Stock Hit $500?\nThe answer to that question, I think, depends on your time frame. If you are looking at a 12-month window, then Alibaba will most likely not be able to hit $500. The ~$300 price target seems achievable, although that is, of course, also not guaranteed. If, however, we take a longer-term view, then $500 seems like a share price that BABA could hit eventually. Let's look at a couple of examples.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $20 at some point and traded at an earnings multiple of 25, then shares would trade at $500.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $25 and traded at a 20x earnings multiple, then shares would trade at $500.\n- If Alibaba were to generate earnings per share of $17 and traded at 29x its net profits, then shares would trade at (marginally below) $500.\nWe see that there are many scenarios that could get us to a $500 share price for BABA, some of them more likely than others. Of course, the higher your target multiple, the lower the earnings that would be required. This, in turn, means that the price target can be hit sooner, as less cumulative earnings growth would be required. When we take a look at how Alibaba was valued in the past, we see that the longer-term median earnings multiples for BABA look like this:\nData byYCharts\nAt 30-40x net earnings, Alibaba was clearly trading at a massive premium relative to how shares are valued today (around 20x this year's earnings). I think that the current valuation is too low, but on the other hand, I do not expect Alibaba to trade at 30, 35, or even 40x net profits in coming years. Due to the growing scale of Alibaba, which makes it a little harder to maintain its excellent growth in coming years, shares will likely trade at a lower valuation in coming years, compared to how they were valued in the past.\nI still think that shares do have some valuation expansion potential from the current earnings multiple of around 21, thus let's assume that shares trade at 23x net profits in the future. This would still represent a massive discount versus the historic valuation, and also a substantial discount compared to how US-based high-tech mega-caps are valued -- Amazon (AMZN), for example, trades at 59x this year's earnings.\nIf we want to get to a $500 share price for BABA using a 23x earnings multiple, then we get to earnings per share of $21.70 that Alibaba must generate. When could this be the case? In the following chart, we see EPS estimates for the current year, next year (CY 2022), and CY 2023:\nData byYCharts\nIf analysts are right, Alibaba will not get to earn $22 a share through 2023, and I think that is realistic. I do not see earnings per share rising by 100%+ between this year and 2023, either. From 2023, it would take another 43% increase in Alibaba's earnings per share to get to $21.70, which is our \"target EPS\" for a $500 share price.\nData byYCharts\nAnalysts are currently forecasting long-term EPS growth of around 27%, which would mean it would take Alibaba about 1.5 years to grow its EPS from $15.20 (2023 estimate) to our target of $21.70. Even if we assume that this is too optimistic and that growth will be just 20% in 2024 and 2025, EPS of $21.70 could be hit by the end of 2025. So, in other words, if Alibaba grows a little less than what analysts are forecasting right now, Alibaba could trade at $500 by the end of 2025 -- or 4.5 years from now. Note that this scenario does not require a high earnings multiple at all -- at 23x net profits, Alibaba wouldn't be expensive, I believe.\nWe can get even more conservative and assume that the 2023 EPS estimate is 10% too high and that EPS will grow by just 17% a year in the years beyond 2023 (versus a long-term forecast of 27% a year by the analyst community). In that case, Alibaba would hit $21.70 in earnings per share in 2026, and shares would rise to $500 over the next 5.5 years. Even in this scenario, BABA wouldn't be a bad investment at all -- a 130% share price increase from the current level over the next 5.5 years would equate to annualized returns of 16%.\nSo, to sum this section up, I'd sayyes, BABA can hit $500-- but it will realistically take a couple of years. By the mid-2020s, this seems like a very achievable goal to me, although there are, of course, no guarantees.\nIs Alibaba Stock A Buy Or Sell Now?\nAlibaba Group is, I believe, a strong investment. The company generates strong growth, profits from multiple long-term macro trends, such as growing consumer spending in China, growing e-commerce market share, and cloud computing. There are, however, risks to consider: Alibaba is highly China-dependent, and in case the economic growth story in China ends, Alibaba would be hurt a lot. On top of that, Alibaba could be targeted again by regulators, although I personally think that it is not in China's best interest to hurt one of its highest-growth tech companies.\nFor those that worry about these risks, Alibaba may not be the right choice, but for those that see Alibaba as a potentially very rewarding play on Chinese consumers, BABA could be a strong pick in a diversified portfolio. I belong to the latter group and thus rate the stock a buy at current valuations, expecting significant upside over the coming years. Depending on your risk tolerance and how you weigh the opportunities and threats of investing in Chinese companies, you may decide differently, however.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176573911,"gmtCreate":1626910145533,"gmtModify":1631889965069,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176573911","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111896518,"gmtCreate":1622673872934,"gmtModify":1631889965082,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment","listText":"Please like and comment","text":"Please like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111896518","repostId":"2140448417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110996469,"gmtCreate":1622420398851,"gmtModify":1631889965085,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Looking forward for it","listText":"Looking forward for it","text":"Looking forward for it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110996469","repostId":"1127487048","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127487048","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622416539,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1127487048?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-31 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom, Lululemon, Canopy Growth and Other Stocks for Investors to See This Week<blockquote>Zoom、Lululemon、Canopy Growth 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127487048","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. Investors will return from the long ","content":"<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> will return from the long weekend to a handful of notable companies’ quarterly results.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">Communications</a>,Canopy Growth,and&nbsp;Hewlett Packard Enterprisereport on Tuesday, followed by&nbsp;Advance Auto Partson Wednesday. On Thursday,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,DocuSign,and&nbsp;Lululemon&nbsp;Athletica release results.</p><p><blockquote>美国股票和债券市场周一因阵亡将士纪念日休市。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们将从长周末回到少数几家知名公司的季度业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>录像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">通讯</a>Canopy Growth 和惠普企业报告将于周二发布，随后是周三发布的 Advance Auto Partson。周四，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>DocuSign 和 Lululemon Athletica 发布结果。</blockquote></p><p>The highlight on the economic-data calendar this week will be Friday’s May jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus forecast is for a gain of 700,000 nonfarm payrolls, after a disappointing 266,000 in April. The unemployment rate is expected to tick down&nbsp;to 5.9%, from 6.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据日历上的重头戏将是周五美国劳工统计局发布的 5 月份就业报告。普遍预测非农就业人数将增加 70 万人，而 4 月份非农就业人数为令人失望的 26.6 万人。失业率预计将从 6.1% 降至 5.9%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. Both are seen staying roughly even with April’s buoyant levels.&nbsp;The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also releases its latest economic outlook on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周二公布的美国供应管理协会（Institute for Supply Management）5 月份制造业采购经理人指数和周四公布的服务业同等指数。两者都与 4 月份的旺盛水平大致持平。经济合作与发展组织（Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development）也将于周一发布最新经济展望。</blockquote></p><p>Monday 5/31</p><p><blockquote>5月31日星期一</blockquote></p><p><b>Stock and fixed-income</b>&nbsp;markets are closed in observance of Memorial Day.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票和固定收益</b>为纪念阵亡将士纪念日，市场关闭。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Organization</b>for Economic Cooperation and Development releases its latest economic outlook. In its March interim report, the OECD projected a 5.6% growth rate for global gross domestic product in 2021, an upward revision of a full percentage point from the December 2020 forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>组织</b>为经济合作与发展发布其最新经济展望。在3月份的中期报告中，经合组织预计2021年全球国内生产总值增长率为5.6%，比2020年12月的预测上调了整整一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p>Tuesday 6/1</p><p><blockquote>星期二 6/1</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">Bank of Nova Scotia</a>,Canopy Growth, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">Hewlett Packard Enterprise</a>, and Zoom Video Communications announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">新斯科舍银行</a>树冠生长，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">慧与</a>和Zoom Video通信公司公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, roughly even with the April data.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布了 5 月份制造业采购经理人指数。一致估计读数为 60.8，与 4 月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>reports construction spending for April. Expectations are for a 0.6% month-over-month rise to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.52 trillion. Construction spending remains just below its all-time peak in January of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告四月份的建筑支出。预计环比增长 0.6%，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1.52 万亿美元。建筑支出仍略低于今年 1 月的历史峰值。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday 6/2</p><p><blockquote>星期三 6/2</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">Advance Auto Parts</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>,and PVH report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">先进汽车零部件</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>和 PVH 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> Internationalhosts a webcast led by CEO Jacek Olczak to discuss the company’s sustainability strategy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>InternationalHosting 由首席执行官 Jacek Olczak 主持网络直播，讨论公司的可持续发展战略。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>releases the beige book for the fourth of eight times this year. The report presents anecdotal data on the health of the economy collected by the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次中的第四次发布褐皮书。该报告介绍了12个美联储银行地区收集的关于经济健康状况的轶事数据。</blockquote></p><p>Thursday 6/3</p><p><blockquote>星期四 6/3</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">National</a> Employment</b>report for May. Consensus estimate is for a 610,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 742,000 in April.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP 发布其<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">国家的</a>就业</b>五月报告。普遍估计，继 4 月份增加 74.2 万人之后，非农私营部门就业人数将增加 61 万人。</blockquote></p><p>Broadcom,CooperCos., DocuSign,J.M. Smucker,and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon Athletica</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>博通、库珀公司、DocuSign、J.M。斯穆克，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">露露柠檬运动</a>在评级召开会议讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Economic Analysis</b>reports total light-vehicle sales for May. In April, they hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 18.5 million, the highest figure since July 2005.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济分析局</b>报告 5 月份轻型车总销量。 4 月份，经季节性调整后的年增长率达到 1850 万辆，为 2005 年 7 月以来的最高数字。</blockquote></p><p><b>The ISM releases</b>its Services PMI for May. Consensus estimate is for a 63.2 reading, compared with April’s 62.7 figure.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>5月份服务业采购经理人指数（PMI）。共识估计为63.2，而4月份为62.7。</blockquote></p><p>Friday 6/4</p><p><blockquote>星期五 6/4</blockquote></p><p>Amgenhosts a conference call to discuss drug trial data from its oncology pipeline. The information will be presented at the 2021 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting, which runs virtually from June 4 through June 8.</p><p><blockquote>安进召开电话会议讨论其肿瘤学产品线的药物试验数据。该信息将于 2021 年发布<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">美国的</a>临床肿瘤学会年会，从6月4日到6月8日举行。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>Statistics releases the jobs report for May. Economists forecast a 700,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after a relatively modest 266,000 gain in April. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.9% from 6.1%. The April increase was a massive shortfall from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> million jump expected by some economists.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布5月份就业报告。经济学家预测，继4月份相对温和地增加26.6万人之后，非农就业人数将增加70万人。失业率预计将从6.1%小幅降至5.9%。四月份的增长与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>一些经济学家预计将增长数百万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom, Lululemon, Canopy Growth and Other Stocks for Investors to See This Week<blockquote>Zoom、Lululemon、Canopy Growth 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom, Lululemon, Canopy Growth and Other Stocks for Investors to See This Week<blockquote>Zoom、Lululemon、Canopy Growth 和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-31 07:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> will return from the long weekend to a handful of notable companies’ quarterly results.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">Communications</a>,Canopy Growth,and&nbsp;Hewlett Packard Enterprisereport on Tuesday, followed by&nbsp;Advance Auto Partson Wednesday. On Thursday,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,DocuSign,and&nbsp;Lululemon&nbsp;Athletica release results.</p><p><blockquote>美国股票和债券市场周一因阵亡将士纪念日休市。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们将从长周末回到少数几家知名公司的季度业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>录像<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JCS\">通讯</a>Canopy Growth 和惠普企业报告将于周二发布，随后是周三发布的 Advance Auto Partson。周四，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>DocuSign 和 Lululemon Athletica 发布结果。</blockquote></p><p>The highlight on the economic-data calendar this week will be Friday’s May jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus forecast is for a gain of 700,000 nonfarm payrolls, after a disappointing 266,000 in April. The unemployment rate is expected to tick down&nbsp;to 5.9%, from 6.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济数据日历上的重头戏将是周五美国劳工统计局发布的 5 月份就业报告。普遍预测非农就业人数将增加 70 万人，而 4 月份非农就业人数为令人失望的 26.6 万人。失业率预计将从 6.1% 降至 5.9%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. Both are seen staying roughly even with April’s buoyant levels.&nbsp;The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also releases its latest economic outlook on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周二公布的美国供应管理协会（Institute for Supply Management）5 月份制造业采购经理人指数和周四公布的服务业同等指数。两者都与 4 月份的旺盛水平大致持平。经济合作与发展组织（Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development）也将于周一发布最新经济展望。</blockquote></p><p>Monday 5/31</p><p><blockquote>5月31日星期一</blockquote></p><p><b>Stock and fixed-income</b>&nbsp;markets are closed in observance of Memorial Day.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票和固定收益</b>为纪念阵亡将士纪念日，市场关闭。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Organization</b>for Economic Cooperation and Development releases its latest economic outlook. In its March interim report, the OECD projected a 5.6% growth rate for global gross domestic product in 2021, an upward revision of a full percentage point from the December 2020 forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>组织</b>为经济合作与发展发布其最新经济展望。在3月份的中期报告中，经合组织预计2021年全球国内生产总值增长率为5.6%，比2020年12月的预测上调了整整一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p>Tuesday 6/1</p><p><blockquote>星期二 6/1</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">Bank of Nova Scotia</a>,Canopy Growth, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">Hewlett Packard Enterprise</a>, and Zoom Video Communications announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNS\">新斯科舍银行</a>树冠生长，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HPE\">慧与</a>和Zoom Video通信公司公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, roughly even with the April data.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布了 5 月份制造业采购经理人指数。一致估计读数为 60.8，与 4 月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>reports construction spending for April. Expectations are for a 0.6% month-over-month rise to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.52 trillion. Construction spending remains just below its all-time peak in January of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告四月份的建筑支出。预计环比增长 0.6%，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1.52 万亿美元。建筑支出仍略低于今年 1 月的历史峰值。</blockquote></p><p>Wednesday 6/2</p><p><blockquote>星期三 6/2</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">Advance Auto Parts</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>,and PVH report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAP\">先进汽车零部件</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTAP\">NetApp</a>和 PVH 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> Internationalhosts a webcast led by CEO Jacek Olczak to discuss the company’s sustainability strategy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>InternationalHosting 由首席执行官 Jacek Olczak 主持网络直播，讨论公司的可持续发展战略。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>releases the beige book for the fourth of eight times this year. The report presents anecdotal data on the health of the economy collected by the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次中的第四次发布褐皮书。该报告介绍了12个美联储银行地区收集的关于经济健康状况的轶事数据。</blockquote></p><p>Thursday 6/3</p><p><blockquote>星期四 6/3</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">National</a> Employment</b>report for May. Consensus estimate is for a 610,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 742,000 in April.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP 发布其<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLD\">国家的</a>就业</b>五月报告。普遍估计，继 4 月份增加 74.2 万人之后，非农私营部门就业人数将增加 61 万人。</blockquote></p><p>Broadcom,CooperCos., DocuSign,J.M. Smucker,and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon Athletica</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>博通、库珀公司、DocuSign、J.M。斯穆克，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">露露柠檬运动</a>在评级召开会议讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Economic Analysis</b>reports total light-vehicle sales for May. In April, they hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 18.5 million, the highest figure since July 2005.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济分析局</b>报告 5 月份轻型车总销量。 4 月份，经季节性调整后的年增长率达到 1850 万辆，为 2005 年 7 月以来的最高数字。</blockquote></p><p><b>The ISM releases</b>its Services PMI for May. Consensus estimate is for a 63.2 reading, compared with April’s 62.7 figure.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>5月份服务业采购经理人指数（PMI）。共识估计为63.2，而4月份为62.7。</blockquote></p><p>Friday 6/4</p><p><blockquote>星期五 6/4</blockquote></p><p>Amgenhosts a conference call to discuss drug trial data from its oncology pipeline. The information will be presented at the 2021 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting, which runs virtually from June 4 through June 8.</p><p><blockquote>安进召开电话会议讨论其肿瘤学产品线的药物试验数据。该信息将于 2021 年发布<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">美国的</a>临床肿瘤学会年会，从6月4日到6月8日举行。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>Statistics releases the jobs report for May. Economists forecast a 700,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after a relatively modest 266,000 gain in April. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.9% from 6.1%. The April increase was a massive shortfall from the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> million jump expected by some economists.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布5月份就业报告。经济学家预测，继4月份相对温和地增加26.6万人之后，非农就业人数将增加70万人。失业率预计将从6.1%小幅降至5.9%。四月份的增长与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>一些经济学家预计将增长数百万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/zoom-lululemon-canopy-growth-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51622401200\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ISBC":"投资者银行","CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation",".DJI":"道琼斯","LULU":"lululemon athletica","ZM":"Zoom",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/zoom-lululemon-canopy-growth-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51622401200","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127487048","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed Monday for Memorial Day. Investors will return from the long weekend to a handful of notable companies’ quarterly results. Zoom Video Communications,Canopy Growth,and Hewlett Packard Enterprisereport on Tuesday, followed by Advance Auto Partson Wednesday. On Thursday, Broadcom,DocuSign,and Lululemon Athletica release results.The highlight on the economic-data calendar this week will be Friday’s May jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consensus forecast is for a gain of 700,000 nonfarm payrolls, after a disappointing 266,000 in April. The unemployment rate is expected to tick down to 5.9%, from 6.1%.Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May on Tuesday and the Services equivalent on Thursday. Both are seen staying roughly even with April’s buoyant levels. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development also releases its latest economic outlook on Monday.Monday 5/31Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Memorial Day.The Organizationfor Economic Cooperation and Development releases its latest economic outlook. In its March interim report, the OECD projected a 5.6% growth rate for global gross domestic product in 2021, an upward revision of a full percentage point from the December 2020 forecast.Tuesday 6/1Bank of Nova Scotia,Canopy Growth, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, and Zoom Video Communications announce quarterly results.The Institute for SupplyManagement releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for May. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, roughly even with the April data.The Census Bureaureports construction spending for April. Expectations are for a 0.6% month-over-month rise to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.52 trillion. Construction spending remains just below its all-time peak in January of this year.Wednesday 6/2Advance Auto Parts,NetApp,and PVH report earnings.Philip Morris Internationalhosts a webcast led by CEO Jacek Olczak to discuss the company’s sustainability strategy.The Federal Reservereleases the beige book for the fourth of eight times this year. The report presents anecdotal data on the health of the economy collected by the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts.Thursday 6/3ADP releases its National Employmentreport for May. Consensus estimate is for a 610,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 742,000 in April.Broadcom,CooperCos., DocuSign,J.M. Smucker,and Lululemon Athletica hold conference calls to discuss earnings.The Bureau of Economic Analysisreports total light-vehicle sales for May. In April, they hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 18.5 million, the highest figure since July 2005.The ISM releasesits Services PMI for May. Consensus estimate is for a 63.2 reading, compared with April’s 62.7 figure.Friday 6/4Amgenhosts a conference call to discuss drug trial data from its oncology pipeline. The information will be presented at the 2021 American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting, which runs virtually from June 4 through June 8.The Bureau of LaborStatistics releases the jobs report for May. Economists forecast a 700,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after a relatively modest 266,000 gain in April. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.9% from 6.1%. The April increase was a massive shortfall from the one million jump expected by some economists.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"ISBC":0.9,"LULU":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ZM":0.9,"CGC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149026011,"gmtCreate":1625696616333,"gmtModify":1631889965074,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gteat","listText":"Gteat","text":"Gteat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149026011","repostId":"2149313903","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":630353551,"gmtCreate":1642721060573,"gmtModify":1642721060777,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630353551","repostId":"1126061742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126061742","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1642719534,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1126061742?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-21 06:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix Tumble Over 20% in the Extended Trading after Misses Subscriber Target, Offers Weak Forecast<blockquote>Netflix 未能达到用户目标，预测疲软，盘后交易中股价暴跌超过 20%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126061742","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Netflix tumble over 20% in the extended trading after misses subscriber target, offers weak forecast","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Netflix tumble over 20% in the extended trading after misses subscriber target, offers weak forecast.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/774cb605f615635531c1e7c59735ddcf\" tg-width=\"1114\" tg-height=\"766\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Netflix Inc fell short of Wall Street forecasts for new subscribers at the end of last year and offered a weaker-than-expected forecast for early 2022 as rivals amped up the competition in the battle for streaming television viewers.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>Netflix 在未能达到用户目标后，在盘后交易中暴跌超过 20%，预测疲软。去年年底，Netflix Inc. 的新用户数量低于华尔街的预测，并且随着竞争对手加剧流媒体电视观众争夺战的竞争，对 2022 年初的预测也弱于预期。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>The world&#39;s largest streaming service added 8.3 million customers from October to December, when it released a heavy lineup of new programming including the star-studded movies &#34;Red Notice&#34; and &#34;Don&#39;t Look Up&#34; and a new season of &#34;The Witcher.&#34;</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最大的流媒体服务在 10 月至 12 月期间增加了 830 万客户，当时它发布了一系列新节目，包括众星云集的电影《红色通缉令》和《别抬头》以及新一季的《巫师》。</blockquote></p><p>Industry analysts had projected Netflix would add 8.4 million, according to Refinitiv IBES data.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Refinitiv IBES 的数据，行业分析师预计 Netflix 将增加 840 万。</blockquote></p><p>The company&#39;s global subscriber total reached 221.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的全球用户总数达到2.218亿。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix last week raised prices in its biggest market, the United States and Canada, where analysts say growth is stagnating, and is now looking for growth overseas.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 上周提高了其最大市场美国和加拿大的价格，分析师表示这两个市场的增长停滞不前，目前正在寻求海外增长。</blockquote></p><p>The company rode a roller coaster during the pandemic, with steep growth early in 2020 when people were staying home and movie theaters were closed, followed by a slowdown in 2021. Netflix picked up more than 36 million customers in 2020, and 18.2 million in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在疫情期间乘坐了过山车，在 2020 年初人们待在家里、电影院关闭时实现了急剧增长，随后在 2021 年放缓。Netflix 在 2020 年获得了超过 3600 万客户，在 2021 年获得了 1820 万客户。</blockquote></p><p>In 2022, Netflix&#39;s subscriber growth had been expected to stabilize and return to the pace logged before the pandemic, analysts say. The company&#39;s upcoming slate includes new installments of &#34;Ozark,&#34; &#34;Bridgerton&#34; and &#34;Stranger Things&#34; and a three-part Kanye West documentary.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，到 2022 年，Netflix 的用户增长预计将趋于稳定，并恢复到大流行之前的速度。该公司即将上映的作品包括《欧扎克》、《布里奇顿》和《奇异事物》的新剧集，以及一部由三集组成的坎耶·韦斯特纪录片。</blockquote></p><p>But competitors including Walt Disney Co and AT&amp;T Inc&#39;s HBO Max, are pouring billions into creating new programming to grab a share of the streaming market.</p><p><blockquote>但包括华特迪士尼公司和美国电话电报公司的HBO Max在内的竞争对手正在投入数十亿美元制作新节目，以抢占流媒体市场的份额。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix reported fourth-quarter revenue of $7.71 billion, in line with estimates of $7.71 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 公布第四季度营收为 77.1 亿美元，符合预期的 77.1 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix Tumble Over 20% in the Extended Trading after Misses Subscriber Target, Offers Weak Forecast<blockquote>Netflix 未能达到用户目标，预测疲软，盘后交易中股价暴跌超过 20%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix Tumble Over 20% in the Extended Trading after Misses Subscriber Target, Offers Weak Forecast<blockquote>Netflix 未能达到用户目标，预测疲软，盘后交易中股价暴跌超过 20%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-21 06:58</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Netflix tumble over 20% in the extended trading after misses subscriber target, offers weak forecast.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/774cb605f615635531c1e7c59735ddcf\" tg-width=\"1114\" tg-height=\"766\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Netflix Inc fell short of Wall Street forecasts for new subscribers at the end of last year and offered a weaker-than-expected forecast for early 2022 as rivals amped up the competition in the battle for streaming television viewers.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>Netflix 在未能达到用户目标后，在盘后交易中暴跌超过 20%，预测疲软。去年年底，Netflix Inc. 的新用户数量低于华尔街的预测，并且随着竞争对手加剧流媒体电视观众争夺战的竞争，对 2022 年初的预测也弱于预期。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>The world&#39;s largest streaming service added 8.3 million customers from October to December, when it released a heavy lineup of new programming including the star-studded movies &#34;Red Notice&#34; and &#34;Don&#39;t Look Up&#34; and a new season of &#34;The Witcher.&#34;</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最大的流媒体服务在 10 月至 12 月期间增加了 830 万客户，当时它发布了一系列新节目，包括众星云集的电影《红色通缉令》和《别抬头》以及新一季的《巫师》。</blockquote></p><p>Industry analysts had projected Netflix would add 8.4 million, according to Refinitiv IBES data.</p><p><blockquote>根据 Refinitiv IBES 的数据，行业分析师预计 Netflix 将增加 840 万。</blockquote></p><p>The company&#39;s global subscriber total reached 221.8 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的全球用户总数达到2.218亿。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix last week raised prices in its biggest market, the United States and Canada, where analysts say growth is stagnating, and is now looking for growth overseas.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 上周提高了其最大市场美国和加拿大的价格，分析师表示这两个市场的增长停滞不前，目前正在寻求海外增长。</blockquote></p><p>The company rode a roller coaster during the pandemic, with steep growth early in 2020 when people were staying home and movie theaters were closed, followed by a slowdown in 2021. Netflix picked up more than 36 million customers in 2020, and 18.2 million in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在疫情期间乘坐了过山车，在 2020 年初人们待在家里、电影院关闭时实现了急剧增长，随后在 2021 年放缓。Netflix 在 2020 年获得了超过 3600 万客户，在 2021 年获得了 1820 万客户。</blockquote></p><p>In 2022, Netflix&#39;s subscriber growth had been expected to stabilize and return to the pace logged before the pandemic, analysts say. The company&#39;s upcoming slate includes new installments of &#34;Ozark,&#34; &#34;Bridgerton&#34; and &#34;Stranger Things&#34; and a three-part Kanye West documentary.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，到 2022 年，Netflix 的用户增长预计将趋于稳定，并恢复到大流行之前的速度。该公司即将上映的作品包括《欧扎克》、《布里奇顿》和《奇异事物》的新剧集，以及一部由三集组成的坎耶·韦斯特纪录片。</blockquote></p><p>But competitors including Walt Disney Co and AT&amp;T Inc&#39;s HBO Max, are pouring billions into creating new programming to grab a share of the streaming market.</p><p><blockquote>但包括华特迪士尼公司和美国电话电报公司的HBO Max在内的竞争对手正在投入数十亿美元制作新节目，以抢占流媒体市场的份额。</blockquote></p><p>Netflix reported fourth-quarter revenue of $7.71 billion, in line with estimates of $7.71 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix 公布第四季度营收为 77.1 亿美元，符合预期的 77.1 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126061742","content_text":"Netflix tumble over 20% in the extended trading after misses subscriber target, offers weak forecast.Netflix Inc fell short of Wall Street forecasts for new subscribers at the end of last year and offered a weaker-than-expected forecast for early 2022 as rivals amped up the competition in the battle for streaming television viewers.The world's largest streaming service added 8.3 million customers from October to December, when it released a heavy lineup of new programming including the star-studded movies \"Red Notice\" and \"Don't Look Up\" and a new season of \"The Witcher.\"Industry analysts had projected Netflix would add 8.4 million, according to Refinitiv IBES data.The company's global subscriber total reached 221.8 million.Netflix last week raised prices in its biggest market, the United States and Canada, where analysts say growth is stagnating, and is now looking for growth overseas.The company rode a roller coaster during the pandemic, with steep growth early in 2020 when people were staying home and movie theaters were closed, followed by a slowdown in 2021. Netflix picked up more than 36 million customers in 2020, and 18.2 million in 2021.In 2022, Netflix's subscriber growth had been expected to stabilize and return to the pace logged before the pandemic, analysts say. The company's upcoming slate includes new installments of \"Ozark,\" \"Bridgerton\" and \"Stranger Things\" and a three-part Kanye West documentary.But competitors including Walt Disney Co and AT&T Inc's HBO Max, are pouring billions into creating new programming to grab a share of the streaming market.Netflix reported fourth-quarter revenue of $7.71 billion, in line with estimates of $7.71 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":113054227,"gmtCreate":1622588276169,"gmtModify":1631889965083,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment please&nbsp;","listText":"Comment please&nbsp;","text":"Comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113054227","repostId":"2140626460","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130583116,"gmtCreate":1621556791835,"gmtModify":1631889965089,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130583116","repostId":"2137763179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197708996,"gmtCreate":1621483422815,"gmtModify":1631892329924,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197708996","repostId":"1126891253","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":720,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":697573531,"gmtCreate":1642546785225,"gmtModify":1642546785399,"author":{"id":"3572336943705158","authorId":"3572336943705158","name":"SinLip","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572336943705158","authorIdStr":"3572336943705158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697573531","repostId":"2204088464","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2994,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}