IreneCQ的个人主页 - 老虎社区

IreneCQ

IreneCQ

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16粉丝

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0勋章

2021-07-15

$Recon Technology(RCON)$Let’s HODL. Heavilyshorted share!

2021-07-14

Wow

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2021-07-06

Lol.

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2021-07-04

$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$HODL

2021-07-02

Screw Iceberg Research!

Iceberg Research: We're shorting AMC Entertainment<blockquote>冰山研究：我们正在做空AMC院线</blockquote>

2021-06-28

$Alibaba(BABA)$yay

2021-06-27

Why not!

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2021-06-27

$Alibaba(BABA)$Finally BABA is climbing up

2021-06-20

Cool

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2021-06-19

YES!!

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2021-06-19

$Proterra Inc.(PTRA)$No wayyy

2021-06-16

$Workhorse(WKHS)$Rallying now!

2021-06-15

Let’s see

Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>

2021-06-15

Never trust Hindenburg!!!

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2021-06-15

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote>

2021-06-13

$ATI Intermediate Holdings, LLC(ARRY)$sobs

2021-06-12

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-11

$Workhorse(WKHS)$Screw the shorties

2021-06-09

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-07

$Workhorse(WKHS)$Go go go! Most shorted share right now!

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Research!","text":"Screw Iceberg Research!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156452527","repostId":"1199383023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199383023","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625234763,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199383023?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 22:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Iceberg Research: We're shorting AMC Entertainment<blockquote>冰山研究：我们正在做空AMC院线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199383023","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Iceberg Research, a short seller,said they're shorting AMC Entertainment.\nAMC stock tumbled 10% in 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22:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Iceberg Research, a short seller,said&nbsp;they're shorting AMC Entertainment.</p><p><blockquote>卖空者Iceberg Research表示，他们正在做空AMC院线。</blockquote></p><p> AMC&nbsp;stock&nbsp;tumbled&nbsp;10%&nbsp;in Friday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价周五早盘下跌10%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fcd7b7275c61489d2f5ef4c91a74765\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199383023","content_text":"Iceberg Research, a short seller,said they're shorting AMC Entertainment.\nAMC stock tumbled 10% in Friday morning 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Rallying now!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Rallying now!","text":"$Workhorse(WKHS)$Rallying now!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7561522b9a81b65102ae8f321ca6913d","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163945688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160018070,"gmtCreate":1623766281390,"gmtModify":1634028641343,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let’s see","listText":"Let’s see","text":"Let’s see","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160018070","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境：周五2万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周，在讨论将VIX推至新冠大流行爆发以来的最低水平的市场夏季低迷时，我们表示，这段异常的市场平静期可能会持续到本周五的“四女巫”，届时大量的gamma和delta到期并去风险，在此过程中消除了股票的自然下行缓冲之一（请参阅“市场低迷随着下周五的Op-Ex而结束的4个原因”）。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此，高盛内部衍生品专家洛基·菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五“可能影响市场的运营支出”的话题时，预览了即将到来的6月份到期，他称之为“规模很大——与典型的季度相当”。具体而言，<b>周五有1.8万亿美元的SPX期权到期，此外还有2400亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及2000亿美元的SPX和SPX E-mini期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管这些总数很大，<b>根据指数规模进行调整后，当前现货10%以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中的任何一个季度都要少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，根据高盛的估计，combos账户<b>对于15-20%的SPX期权，</b>因此，调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到1.5万亿美元，仍远高于即将到期的单一股票未平仓合约总额（7750亿美元）。此外，由于股市处于历史高位，预计6月份大部分未平仓合约均低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示，双峰在3900和4150。这意味着周五之后，在伽马被重新填充之前，这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”重力。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>这位高盛策略师随后解释了他认为低于已实现市场波动率的异常低水平的情况，并指出——正如我们上周讨论的——这与多头伽马头寸一致。考虑一下SPX<b>过去13个交易日的已实现波动率仅为5.1%，为2019年以来最低的13天已实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比；AMC上周是个股中合约量最高的（但名义交易量为70亿美元/天，远低于AMZN领先的1200亿美元/天），同期已实现成交量接近400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后，正如野村证券的Charlie McElligott上周首次指出的那样，高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>极低的SPX已实现波动性与6月18日离开“华尔街”多头指数gamma的可能性是一致的，在这种情况下，Fishman呼应了我们上周所说的，即“一旦头寸变得更加干净，已实现波动性可能会回升。”</b>与此同时，VIX期货相对于SPX的贝塔值上升表明，投资者预计，如果市场抛售，空头伽马动态将会回升。翻译：<u><b>在抛售中，市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，与最新的备忘录股票挤压保持一致，高盛还指出，虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高，但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周，由散户驱动的所有单一股票期权活动的很大比例以及散户活动的预测价值都提高了对单一股票期权市场的关注。近期单一股票期权活动的增长主要集中在低股价股票上，导致过去两周合约交易量大幅上涨，但名义交易量并未与之匹配。在根据股市规模调整名义成交量时，高盛发现过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于2021年区间的低点，这意味着最新的上涨几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是高盛的观察，即短期SPX期权（每周）和远离季度的趋势仍在继续，这与散户参与交易的不断增加相一致。这也是周五SPX到期时间小于最近许多季度的原因之一，也是为什么随着到期时间的临近，其交易量一直在下降的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛所解释的那样，投资者越来越多地采用SPX到期的完整日历，包括每周一和周三的到期，因为他们围绕事件调整了自己的观点。事实上，<b>第三个周五到期的SPX期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点，</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单一股票交易量：高盛提出了一个兴趣——“在某种程度上，做市商无法弥补散户投资者看涨期权买入产生的单一股票空头伽马，他们可能会积极交易超短期SPX指数期权的多头头寸，以抵消这种伽马。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要？因为如果这种趋势足够大，它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是，通过增加单一名称“最受做空的名称”，散户投资者正在市场的其他部分迎来一段非正统的平静时期！</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187415755,"gmtCreate":1623761845377,"gmtModify":1634028799297,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Never trust Hindenburg!!!&nbsp;","listText":"Never trust Hindenburg!!!&nbsp;","text":"Never trust Hindenburg!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187415755","repostId":"1128180606","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187684835,"gmtCreate":1623752309327,"gmtModify":1634029044650,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187684835","repostId":"1167457915","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167457915","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623750756,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167457915?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167457915","media":"Benzinga","summary":"It was \"better late than never\" for Novavax, Inc.NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announ","content":"<p>It was \"better late than never\" for&nbsp;<b>Novavax, Inc.</b>NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.</p><p><blockquote>“迟到总比不到好”<b>诺瓦瓦克斯公司。</b>NVAX，这家生物制药公司终于抽出时间宣布了NVX-CoV2371（其针对新型冠状病毒病的候选疫苗）3期研究美国和墨西哥部分的中期结果。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namely<b>Pfizer Inc.</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>Moderna, Inc.</b>MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.</p><p><blockquote>以下是Novavax候选疫苗和领跑者的比较视角，即<b>辉瑞公司。</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>莫德纳公司。</b>MRNA，两者都有授权疫苗上市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Type:</b>&nbsp;Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗类型：</b>Novavax的NVX-CoV2371是一种基于重组纳米颗粒蛋白的COVID-19疫苗，与该公司专有的Matrix-M佐剂包装在一起。</blockquote></p><p> The Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern&nbsp;vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞-BioNTech和Moderna的产品是mRNA疫苗，或通过使用一种称为mRNA的遗传密码来发挥作用的现代疫苗，这种遗传密码指示我们的免疫细胞制造刺突蛋白，刺突蛋白存在于导致新冠肺炎的病毒表面。</blockquote></p><p> This spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.</p><p><blockquote>这种刺突蛋白虽然无害，但能够触发我们的免疫系统产生抗体，防止未来的感染。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle&nbsp;that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的疫苗是一种蛋白质佐剂，含有冠状病毒本身的刺突蛋白，但配方为纳米颗粒，不会导致疾病。然后，注射的疫苗刺激免疫系统产生抗体和T细胞免疫反应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Vaccine Doses:</b>&nbsp;The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗剂量：</b>这三家公司的疫苗都需要接种两剂。辉瑞的每剂由30 mcg和Moderna的100 mcg组成，而Novavax的每剂疫苗由5 mcg NVX-CoV2371和50 mcg Matrix-M1佐剂组成，它们是共同配制的。</blockquote></p><p> The interval between the two doses —&nbsp;the priming and booster dose —&nbsp;is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞和Novavax的两种剂量（初免剂量和加强剂量）之间的间隔为21天，Moderna为28天。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Target Population:</b>&nbsp;The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants&nbsp;ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.</p><p><blockquote><b>目标人群：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech最初的后期试验在16岁及以上的参与者中评估了疫苗。该试验招募了43,448名参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants&nbsp;ages 18 years and up.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的3期COVE研究招募了30,000名18岁及以上的参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.</p><p><blockquote>此后，这两家公司获得了各自疫苗用于青少年的授权。</blockquote></p><p> Bothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司还启动了针对儿科人群的研究。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants&nbsp;18 years of age and older&nbsp;across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究在美国和墨西哥的119个地点招募了29,960名18岁及以上的参与者。PREVENT-19的安慰剂对照部分继续在12岁至18岁以下的青少年中进行，最近完成了2,248名参与者的招募。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Logistics:</b>&nbsp;Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗物流：</b>辉瑞公司最近获得了FDA的授权，可以将未稀释、解冻的疫苗瓶在2°C至8°C的冰箱中储存长达一个月。</blockquote></p><p> Previously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five&nbsp;days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.</p><p><blockquote>以前，解冻、未稀释的疫苗瓶可以在冰箱中储存长达五天。Moderna的疫苗在首次使用前可以在2至8°C的冰箱中储存长达30天。</blockquote></p><p> NVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.</p><p><blockquote>NVX-CoV2373在2°-8°C下储存稳定，允许使用现有的疫苗供应链渠道进行分销。它被包装在10剂小瓶中的即用型液体制剂中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Efficacy:</b>&nbsp;Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven&nbsp;days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗效力：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech去年12月发布的3期试验中期数据显示，该疫苗耐受性良好，在第二剂疫苗接种后7天或更长时间内，在预防新冠肺炎方面表现出95%的疗效。第二次给药后长达六个月发布的更新顶线结果证实疗效为91.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.</p><p><blockquote>该疫苗被发现对美国疾病控制和预防中心定义的严重疾病100%有效，对FDA定义的严重新冠肺炎95.3%有效。在实验室研究中，它也被证明对英国菌株有效。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的疫苗对新冠肺炎的有效性为94.1%。该公司于5月宣布了其2期研究的初步数据，显示向先前接种疫苗的个体给予50微克剂量的mRNA-1273或mRNA-1273.351作为加强剂，增加了针对新型冠状病毒病毒和两种令人担忧的变异体的中和抗体滴度反应，B.1.351，首次在南非发现，P.1，首次在巴西发现。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究疫苗对中度和重度疾病表现出100%的保护作用，不涉及令人担忧的变异体或感兴趣的变异体。</blockquote></p><p> Against variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.</p><p><blockquote>针对关注变异体和感兴趣变异体，疗效为93.2%，在高危人群（定义为65岁以上或65岁以下，患有某些合并症或经常暴露于新冠肺炎的情况）中，疗效为91%。</blockquote></p><p> Overall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.</p><p><blockquote>总疗效为90.4%，达到主要终点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Cantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:</b>A differentiating factor for NVX-2373&nbsp;is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.</p><p><blockquote><b>坎托·菲茨杰拉德谈Novavax的疫苗：</b>Cantor Fitzgerald分析师Charles Duncan在周一早间报告中表示，NVX-2373的一个与众不同之处在于，它对VoC/VoI表现出93.2%的疫苗效力，这证明了对多种新型冠状病毒毒株的保护作用。</blockquote></p><p> \"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师表示：“总体而言，这些结果增强了我们对新型冠状病毒候选疫苗‘2373具有差异化临床和物流特征的信念。”</blockquote></p><p> Showing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，在两项3期临床试验中显示出对新毒株的功效，而不是从培养皿中进行的中和抗体测定中推断出潜在功效，这将NVX-CoV2373与其他获得紧急使用授权的疫苗区分开来。</blockquote></p><p> This profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>Cantor表示，这一概况降低了'2373新型冠状病毒预防性候选疫苗的监管/商业风险，并且随着2020年3月报告的NanoFlu 3期积极数据，应该会提高Novavax平台的整体形象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Safety Data:</b>Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from&nbsp;BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗安全性数据：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech的疫苗显示出良好的耐受性和安全性，BNT 162 B 2最常见的不良事件是注射部位的短暂、轻度至中度疼痛、疲劳和头痛，这些通常在两天内消退。</blockquote></p><p> For Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.</p><p><blockquote>对于Moderna，最常见的不良反应包括注射部位疼痛、疲劳、肌痛、关节痛、头痛和注射部位红斑/发红。在第二次给药后，mRNA-1273组中引起的不良反应的频率和严重程度增加。</blockquote></p><p> Preliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax试验的初步安全性数据显示，该疫苗总体耐受性良好。严重和严重不良事件的数量较少，并且在疫苗组和安慰剂组之间平衡。</blockquote></p><p> In assessing reactogenicity seven&nbsp;days after dose one&nbsp;and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.</p><p><blockquote>在第1剂和第2剂后7天评估反应原性时，注射部位疼痛和压痛（通常严重程度为轻度至中度）是最常见的局部症状，持续时间少于3天。疲劳、头痛和肌肉疼痛是最常见的全身症状，持续时间不到两天。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 17:52</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It was \"better late than never\" for&nbsp;<b>Novavax, Inc.</b>NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.</p><p><blockquote>“迟到总比不到好”<b>诺瓦瓦克斯公司。</b>NVAX，这家生物制药公司终于抽出时间宣布了NVX-CoV2371（其针对新型冠状病毒病的候选疫苗）3期研究美国和墨西哥部分的中期结果。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namely<b>Pfizer Inc.</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>Moderna, Inc.</b>MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.</p><p><blockquote>以下是Novavax候选疫苗和领跑者的比较视角，即<b>辉瑞公司。</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>莫德纳公司。</b>MRNA，两者都有授权疫苗上市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Type:</b>&nbsp;Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗类型：</b>Novavax的NVX-CoV2371是一种基于重组纳米颗粒蛋白的COVID-19疫苗，与该公司专有的Matrix-M佐剂包装在一起。</blockquote></p><p> The Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern&nbsp;vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞-BioNTech和Moderna的产品是mRNA疫苗，或通过使用一种称为mRNA的遗传密码来发挥作用的现代疫苗，这种遗传密码指示我们的免疫细胞制造刺突蛋白，刺突蛋白存在于导致新冠肺炎的病毒表面。</blockquote></p><p> This spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.</p><p><blockquote>这种刺突蛋白虽然无害，但能够触发我们的免疫系统产生抗体，防止未来的感染。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle&nbsp;that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的疫苗是一种蛋白质佐剂，含有冠状病毒本身的刺突蛋白，但配方为纳米颗粒，不会导致疾病。然后，注射的疫苗刺激免疫系统产生抗体和T细胞免疫反应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Vaccine Doses:</b>&nbsp;The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗剂量：</b>这三家公司的疫苗都需要接种两剂。辉瑞的每剂由30 mcg和Moderna的100 mcg组成，而Novavax的每剂疫苗由5 mcg NVX-CoV2371和50 mcg Matrix-M1佐剂组成，它们是共同配制的。</blockquote></p><p> The interval between the two doses —&nbsp;the priming and booster dose —&nbsp;is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞和Novavax的两种剂量（初免剂量和加强剂量）之间的间隔为21天，Moderna为28天。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Target Population:</b>&nbsp;The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants&nbsp;ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.</p><p><blockquote><b>目标人群：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech最初的后期试验在16岁及以上的参与者中评估了疫苗。该试验招募了43,448名参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants&nbsp;ages 18 years and up.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的3期COVE研究招募了30,000名18岁及以上的参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.</p><p><blockquote>此后，这两家公司获得了各自疫苗用于青少年的授权。</blockquote></p><p> Bothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司还启动了针对儿科人群的研究。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants&nbsp;18 years of age and older&nbsp;across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究在美国和墨西哥的119个地点招募了29,960名18岁及以上的参与者。PREVENT-19的安慰剂对照部分继续在12岁至18岁以下的青少年中进行，最近完成了2,248名参与者的招募。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Logistics:</b>&nbsp;Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗物流：</b>辉瑞公司最近获得了FDA的授权，可以将未稀释、解冻的疫苗瓶在2°C至8°C的冰箱中储存长达一个月。</blockquote></p><p> Previously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five&nbsp;days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.</p><p><blockquote>以前，解冻、未稀释的疫苗瓶可以在冰箱中储存长达五天。Moderna的疫苗在首次使用前可以在2至8°C的冰箱中储存长达30天。</blockquote></p><p> NVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.</p><p><blockquote>NVX-CoV2373在2°-8°C下储存稳定，允许使用现有的疫苗供应链渠道进行分销。它被包装在10剂小瓶中的即用型液体制剂中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Efficacy:</b>&nbsp;Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven&nbsp;days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗效力：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech去年12月发布的3期试验中期数据显示，该疫苗耐受性良好，在第二剂疫苗接种后7天或更长时间内，在预防新冠肺炎方面表现出95%的疗效。第二次给药后长达六个月发布的更新顶线结果证实疗效为91.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.</p><p><blockquote>该疫苗被发现对美国疾病控制和预防中心定义的严重疾病100%有效，对FDA定义的严重新冠肺炎95.3%有效。在实验室研究中，它也被证明对英国菌株有效。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的疫苗对新冠肺炎的有效性为94.1%。该公司于5月宣布了其2期研究的初步数据，显示向先前接种疫苗的个体给予50微克剂量的mRNA-1273或mRNA-1273.351作为加强剂，增加了针对新型冠状病毒病毒和两种令人担忧的变异体的中和抗体滴度反应，B.1.351，首次在南非发现，P.1，首次在巴西发现。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究疫苗对中度和重度疾病表现出100%的保护作用，不涉及令人担忧的变异体或感兴趣的变异体。</blockquote></p><p> Against variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.</p><p><blockquote>针对关注变异体和感兴趣变异体，疗效为93.2%，在高危人群（定义为65岁以上或65岁以下，患有某些合并症或经常暴露于新冠肺炎的情况）中，疗效为91%。</blockquote></p><p> Overall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.</p><p><blockquote>总疗效为90.4%，达到主要终点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Cantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:</b>A differentiating factor for NVX-2373&nbsp;is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.</p><p><blockquote><b>坎托·菲茨杰拉德谈Novavax的疫苗：</b>Cantor Fitzgerald分析师Charles Duncan在周一早间报告中表示，NVX-2373的一个与众不同之处在于，它对VoC/VoI表现出93.2%的疫苗效力，这证明了对多种新型冠状病毒毒株的保护作用。</blockquote></p><p> \"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师表示：“总体而言，这些结果增强了我们对新型冠状病毒候选疫苗‘2373具有差异化临床和物流特征的信念。”</blockquote></p><p> Showing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，在两项3期临床试验中显示出对新毒株的功效，而不是从培养皿中进行的中和抗体测定中推断出潜在功效，这将NVX-CoV2373与其他获得紧急使用授权的疫苗区分开来。</blockquote></p><p> This profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>Cantor表示，这一概况降低了'2373新型冠状病毒预防性候选疫苗的监管/商业风险，并且随着2020年3月报告的NanoFlu 3期积极数据，应该会提高Novavax平台的整体形象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Safety Data:</b>Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from&nbsp;BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗安全性数据：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech的疫苗显示出良好的耐受性和安全性，BNT 162 B 2最常见的不良事件是注射部位的短暂、轻度至中度疼痛、疲劳和头痛，这些通常在两天内消退。</blockquote></p><p> For Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.</p><p><blockquote>对于Moderna，最常见的不良反应包括注射部位疼痛、疲劳、肌痛、关节痛、头痛和注射部位红斑/发红。在第二次给药后，mRNA-1273组中引起的不良反应的频率和严重程度增加。</blockquote></p><p> Preliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax试验的初步安全性数据显示，该疫苗总体耐受性良好。严重和严重不良事件的数量较少，并且在疫苗组和安慰剂组之间平衡。</blockquote></p><p> In assessing reactogenicity seven&nbsp;days after dose one&nbsp;and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.</p><p><blockquote>在第1剂和第2剂后7天评估反应原性时，注射部位疼痛和压痛（通常严重程度为轻度至中度）是最常见的局部症状，持续时间少于3天。疲劳、头痛和肌肉疼痛是最常见的全身症状，持续时间不到两天。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","PFE":"辉瑞"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167457915","content_text":"It was \"better late than never\" for Novavax, Inc.NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.\nHere's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namelyPfizer Inc.PFE 0.05%-BioNTech SEBNTXandModerna, Inc.MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.\nVaccine Type: Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.\nThe Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.\nThis spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.\nNovavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.\nThe Vaccine Doses: The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.\nThe interval between the two doses — the priming and booster dose — is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.\nThe Target Population: The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.\nModerna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants ages 18 years and up.\nSince then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.\nBothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.\nNovavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants 18 years of age and older across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.\nVaccine Logistics: Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.\nPreviously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.\nNVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.\nVaccine Efficacy: Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.\nThe vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.\nModerna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.\nNovavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.\nAgainst variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.\nOverall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.\nCantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:A differentiating factor for NVX-2373 is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.\n\"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.\nShowing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.\nThis profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.\nVaccine Safety Data:Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.\nFor Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.\nPreliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.\nIn assessing reactogenicity seven days after dose one and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"NVAX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182416544,"gmtCreate":1623597404688,"gmtModify":1631890973840,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARRY\">$ATI Intermediate Holdings, LLC(ARRY)$</a>sobs&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARRY\">$ATI Intermediate Holdings, LLC(ARRY)$</a>sobs&nbsp;","text":"$ATI Intermediate Holdings, LLC(ARRY)$sobs","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506198b0b00035bad761d5df315ba60c","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182416544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186289358,"gmtCreate":1623501502774,"gmtModify":1634032320369,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186289358","repostId":"2142206100","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":604,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188354546,"gmtCreate":1623422428985,"gmtModify":1631885988674,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Screw the shorties","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Screw the shorties","text":"$Workhorse(WKHS)$Screw the shorties","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b28f7da80de05015f322e3399649d02","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188354546","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189337523,"gmtCreate":1623244940962,"gmtModify":1634035441028,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189337523","repostId":"1154263782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114896726,"gmtCreate":1623063659665,"gmtModify":1631885988934,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Go go go! Most shorted share right now!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Go go go! Most shorted share right now!","text":"$Workhorse(WKHS)$Go go go! Most shorted share right now!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c44f666cd783f63c8259ee78700c49c2","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114896726","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":192857082,"gmtCreate":1621182800446,"gmtModify":1631886774766,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACTC\">$ArcLight Clean Transition Corp(ACTC)$</a>Nooo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACTC\">$ArcLight Clean Transition Corp(ACTC)$</a>Nooo","text":"$ArcLight Clean Transition Corp(ACTC)$Nooo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51481231294c20425aa4e5bdadd4840c","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192857082","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":919,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368040162,"gmtCreate":1614267853956,"gmtModify":1634550364461,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368040162","repostId":"2114740317","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116692750,"gmtCreate":1622794606370,"gmtModify":1631889248811,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKEY\">$Wisekey International Holding AG(WKEY)$</a>Nooo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKEY\">$Wisekey International Holding AG(WKEY)$</a>Nooo","text":"$Wisekey International Holding AG(WKEY)$Nooo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04f1ebfd349fde1e4c47065730e18037","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116692750","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164200914,"gmtCreate":1624204644838,"gmtModify":1634009501343,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164200914","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1478,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352691625,"gmtCreate":1616942812067,"gmtModify":1634523458784,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go Tesla!","listText":"Go Tesla!","text":"Go Tesla!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352691625","repostId":"1111192234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111192234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616772179,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1111192234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉交付即将到来。它们比以往任何时候都重要。这是可以期待的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111192234","media":"Barrons","summary":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla. Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors and Ford Motor have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and","content":"<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度再过几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商的更多交付数据即将发布。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更重要。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等估值高、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车(GM)和福特汽车(F)最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是2021年10亿美元利润的阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到了这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商一个通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不仁慈。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）将第一季度交付量指引从约20,250辆下调至约19,500辆，该公司股价在周五交易中下跌超过6%。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从3月29日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉，华尔街正在寻找3月份交付的约16.2万辆汽车。这低于峰值估计的约183,000辆。分析师似乎正在减少数量，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约18.1万辆汽车。分析师预计2021年全年汽车交付量将接近80万辆，同比增长约60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>RBC分析师Joe Spak预测第一季度交付量为17万辆，同比增长90%以上。他还预测，本季度特斯拉将在加州生产96,000辆汽车，在中国生产74,000辆汽车。斯帕克在周四的一份报告中写道：“共识[估计]看起来基本合理。”“我们确实在寻找最新消息，以了解semi短缺如何影响特斯拉——就像它对行业其他部门一样。”他认为，由于芯片的原因，预期存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标价为725美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。利率上升主要通过两种方式影响成长型股票。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在遥远的未来产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以用现金赚取更高的利率时，现金流的价值就会低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在2020年上涨超过740%后，今年迄今已下跌约10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌0.9%，至634.40美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉交付即将到来。它们比以往任何时候都重要。这是可以期待的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉交付即将到来。它们比以往任何时候都重要。这是可以期待的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 23:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度再过几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商的更多交付数据即将发布。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更重要。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等估值高、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车(GM)和福特汽车(F)最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是2021年10亿美元利润的阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到了这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商一个通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不仁慈。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车制造商蔚来（蔚来）将第一季度交付量指引从约20,250辆下调至约19,500辆，该公司股价在周五交易中下跌超过6%。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从3月29日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉，华尔街正在寻找3月份交付的约16.2万辆汽车。这低于峰值估计的约183,000辆。分析师似乎正在减少数量，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约18.1万辆汽车。分析师预计2021年全年汽车交付量将接近80万辆，同比增长约60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>RBC分析师Joe Spak预测第一季度交付量为17万辆，同比增长90%以上。他还预测，本季度特斯拉将在加州生产96,000辆汽车，在中国生产74,000辆汽车。斯帕克在周四的一份报告中写道：“共识[估计]看起来基本合理。”“我们确实在寻找最新消息，以了解semi短缺如何影响特斯拉——就像它对行业其他部门一样。”他认为，由于芯片的原因，预期存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标价为725美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。利率上升主要通过两种方式影响成长型股票。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在遥远的未来产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以用现金赚取更高的利率时，现金流的价值就会低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在2020年上涨超过740%后，今年迄今已下跌约10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌0.9%，至634.40美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111192234","content_text":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.\nNumbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors(GM) and Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.\nEveryone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.\nSo far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.\nNIO shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker reduced guidance for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.\nFor Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.\nTesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.\nRBC analyst Joe Spak is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.\nSpak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.\nIn the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.\nTesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The S&P 500is up about 0.7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163945688,"gmtCreate":1623858340344,"gmtModify":1631885988513,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Rallying now!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Rallying now!","text":"$Workhorse(WKHS)$Rallying now!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7561522b9a81b65102ae8f321ca6913d","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163945688","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137700730,"gmtCreate":1622385201820,"gmtModify":1634101896794,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>To the moooon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>To the moooon","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$To the moooon","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/463c579ce9c428351d162bb03c02b676","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137700730","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134989905,"gmtCreate":1622200069007,"gmtModify":1631886395096,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>WSB please save SOS. Haha","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>WSB please save SOS. Haha","text":"$SOS Limited(SOS)$WSB please save SOS. Haha","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5ac815acabfadb5cf3113ee383d6b70","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134989905","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136540346,"gmtCreate":1622031740485,"gmtModify":1634184521159,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome","listText":"Awesome","text":"Awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136540346","repostId":"2138124311","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190956687,"gmtCreate":1620574553549,"gmtModify":1634197960792,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazing","listText":"Amazing","text":"Amazing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190956687","repostId":"1131099456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104640478,"gmtCreate":1620388652494,"gmtModify":1634205599858,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104640478","repostId":"1157328258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157328258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620360165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157328258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157328258","media":"Seeking alpha","summary":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entere","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于DCF的亚马逊股价目标显示30%的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上个季度的业绩对亚马逊（AMZN）进行了全面的分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们来评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊上个季度的增长是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”部分的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了接近线性的趋势。现在，它已经成为指数级增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场——这里的加速仍然存在，上个季度的结果好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）部门也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘Amazon Web Services’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的结果来看，有逐渐回归之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的营收也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键细分市场</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去10年中，亚马逊的资本化与其收入呈定性线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本化的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本的增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，首先，这个模型表明公司当前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一个模块中，我根据收入对亚马逊的均衡价格进行了建模。值得注意的是，如果我们用同样的方法使用倍数对公司进行比较估值，我们就会失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数来成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整后的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：寻求Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我也从分析师对公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，在终端年将营业利润率逐步提高到8%是一个非常现实的情况。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>以下是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚马逊股票基于DCF的目标价为4,280美元，上涨空间为29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段的事实并不意味着其市值不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本化和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的DCF模型分析师表示低估了30%。今年年初，类似的模型显示估值被低估了20%。</li><li>当你看亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题的公司更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊：最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 12:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言，AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于DCF的亚马逊股价目标显示30%的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景，而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上个季度的业绩对亚马逊（AMZN）进行了全面的分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我们来评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊上个季度的增长是加速还是放缓。为此，让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”部分的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下，这里观察到了接近线性的趋势。现在，它已经成为指数级增长：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”（Amazon Prime）细分市场——这里的加速仍然存在，上个季度的结果好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”（广告服务）部门也显示出显着的加速：</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘Amazon Web Services’的增长趋势有所放缓，但从上个季度的结果来看，有逐渐回归之前的趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看，亚马逊的营收也明显好于趋势：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此，从统计上，而不是主观上，我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键细分市场</b></i><i>.在我看来，这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去10年中，亚马逊的资本化与其收入呈定性线性关系：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系，并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响，有可能建立另一个模型，使我们能够确定公司资本化的平衡水平。此外，该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本的增长。这是这个模型：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，首先，这个模型表明公司当前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次，它假设</i><i><b>25%增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一个模块中，我根据收入对亚马逊的均衡价格进行了建模。值得注意的是，如果我们用同样的方法使用倍数对公司进行比较估值，我们就会失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数来成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整后的远期市盈率（下一财年）倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的，从这个倍数来看，亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时，我从分析师的平均预期出发：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：寻求Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时，我也从分析师对公司每股收益增长的预期出发，并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来，在终端年将营业利润率逐步提高到8%是一个非常现实的情况。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.6%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值（0.92）。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>以下是模型本身：</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>（高分辨率）</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源：作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚马逊股票基于DCF的目标价为4,280美元，上涨空间为29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限，甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说，这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段的事实并不意味着其市值不断被低估。但在这种情况下，根据公司的资本化和收入参数之间的模式，我们可以得出结论，公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较，必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的DCF模型分析师表示低估了30%。今年年初，类似的模型显示估值被低估了20%。</li><li>当你看亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时，你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来，<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题的公司更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company\">Seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157328258","content_text":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.#1 Price vs. GrowthFirst of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comGeographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comSo, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growthin all key segments. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThere is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comBased on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is alreadybelow the balanced level. And secondly, it assumes a25% growthin capitalization in the next four quarters.#2 Comparative ValuationIn the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.#3 Discounted Cash Flow ModelWhen predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:Source: Seeking Alpha ProWhen predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:Source: AuthorSome explanations:In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.Here is the model itself:(In high resolution)Source: AuthorThe DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.Final thoughtsAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company isundervalued.Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company ismuch cheaperthan the market.DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":311,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":103418573,"gmtCreate":1619799801092,"gmtModify":1634209814907,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazing&nbsp;","listText":"Amazing&nbsp;","text":"Amazing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/103418573","repostId":"1189807124","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189807124","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619791477,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189807124?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-30 22:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon once rose 2.4%, setting a record high in intraday trading<blockquote>亚马逊一度涨2.4%创盘中历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189807124","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Amazon once rose 2.4%, setting a record high in intraday trading.Here’s what analysts are saying abo","content":"<p>Amazon once rose 2.4%, setting a record high in intraday trading.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一度涨2.4%，盘中创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b9f7378d5970cada2dc37de1aa76935\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Here’s what analysts are saying about Amazon tripling profits</p><p><blockquote>以下是分析师对亚马逊利润增长两倍的评价</blockquote></p><p>Swiss Bank UBS raises its price target as the COVID-19 pandemic caused boom in demand for home deliveries, helping Amazon triple profits</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行导致送货上门需求激增，瑞士银行瑞银提高了目标价，帮助亚马逊利润增加了两倍</blockquote></p><p>The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a boom in demand for home deliveries, which has helped AmazonAMZN,+1.75%triple its first-quarter profits.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19大流行导致送货上门需求激增，这帮助亚马逊AMZN(+1.75%)第一季度利润增长了两倍。</blockquote></p><p>The online retailer’s stock has risen 46% the past year and some analysts think it could still have further to go.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线零售商的股价在过去一年上涨了46%，一些分析师认为它可能还有更长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p>Michael Lasser, an analyst at Swiss bank UBSUBS,-0.92%,has lifted his price target for Amazon to $4,350 from $4,150, writing: “With broad-based strength across e-commerce &amp; AWS, Amazon’s Q1 ’21 earnings report demonstrates why it remains the industry leader.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞士银行UBSUBS分析师Michael Lasser(-0.92%)将亚马逊的目标股价从4,150美元上调至4,350美元，他写道：“凭借电子商务和AWS的广泛实力，亚马逊21年第一季度的收益报告展示了为什么它仍然是行业领导者。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Amazon’s pandemic profits top previous 3 years of earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊疫情期间利润创前三年盈利新高</b></blockquote></p><p>Shyam Patil, an analyst from Susquehanna Financial Group, remains positive on Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>萨斯奎哈纳金融集团(Susquehanna Financial Group)分析师希亚姆·帕蒂尔(Shyam Patil)仍然看好亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p>“Business trends remain strong and should continue to do so throughout 2021,” he wrote. “Ultimately, we see AMZN as a long-term secular grower underpinned by its strong e-commerce, cloud, and advertising businesses.”</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“商业趋势依然强劲，并且应该会在2021年继续如此。”“最终，我们认为亚马逊是一家以其强大的电子商务、云和广告业务为基础的长期长期增长公司。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Should you buy Amazon stock? Analysts prefer it over other Big Tech companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该购买亚马逊股票吗？与其他大型科技公司相比，分析师更喜欢它</b></blockquote></p><p>Trip Chowdhry, an analyst at Global Equities Research, noted the “solid results” and reiterated his view that Andy Jassy, who will replace founder Jeff Bezos as chief executive, will be a good boss.</p><p><blockquote>Global Equities Research分析师Trip Chowdhry指出了“稳健的业绩”，并重申了他的观点，即将接替创始人杰夫·贝索斯担任首席执行官的Andy Jassy将是一位好老板。</blockquote></p><p>Jassy currently runs Amazon Web Services, which Chowdhry says is benefiting from secular growth trends. “So many of you were panicked about CEO Transition,” he wrote. “Andy Jassy is a much better CEO than Jeff Bezos.”</p><p><blockquote>贾西目前运营亚马逊网络服务，乔杜里表示，该服务受益于长期增长趋势。“你们中的许多人对首席执行官的过渡感到恐慌，”他写道。“安迪·贾西是一位比杰夫·贝索斯好得多的首席执行官。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon once rose 2.4%, setting a record high in intraday trading<blockquote>亚马逊一度涨2.4%创盘中历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon once rose 2.4%, setting a record high in intraday trading<blockquote>亚马逊一度涨2.4%创盘中历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-30 22:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon once rose 2.4%, setting a record high in intraday trading.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一度涨2.4%，盘中创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b9f7378d5970cada2dc37de1aa76935\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Here’s what analysts are saying about Amazon tripling profits</p><p><blockquote>以下是分析师对亚马逊利润增长两倍的评价</blockquote></p><p>Swiss Bank UBS raises its price target as the COVID-19 pandemic caused boom in demand for home deliveries, helping Amazon triple profits</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行导致送货上门需求激增，瑞士银行瑞银提高了目标价，帮助亚马逊利润增加了两倍</blockquote></p><p>The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a boom in demand for home deliveries, which has helped AmazonAMZN,+1.75%triple its first-quarter profits.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19大流行导致送货上门需求激增，这帮助亚马逊AMZN(+1.75%)第一季度利润增长了两倍。</blockquote></p><p>The online retailer’s stock has risen 46% the past year and some analysts think it could still have further to go.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线零售商的股价在过去一年上涨了46%，一些分析师认为它可能还有更长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p>Michael Lasser, an analyst at Swiss bank UBSUBS,-0.92%,has lifted his price target for Amazon to $4,350 from $4,150, writing: “With broad-based strength across e-commerce &amp; AWS, Amazon’s Q1 ’21 earnings report demonstrates why it remains the industry leader.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞士银行UBSUBS分析师Michael Lasser(-0.92%)将亚马逊的目标股价从4,150美元上调至4,350美元，他写道：“凭借电子商务和AWS的广泛实力，亚马逊21年第一季度的收益报告展示了为什么它仍然是行业领导者。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Amazon’s pandemic profits top previous 3 years of earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊疫情期间利润创前三年盈利新高</b></blockquote></p><p>Shyam Patil, an analyst from Susquehanna Financial Group, remains positive on Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>萨斯奎哈纳金融集团(Susquehanna Financial Group)分析师希亚姆·帕蒂尔(Shyam Patil)仍然看好亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p>“Business trends remain strong and should continue to do so throughout 2021,” he wrote. “Ultimately, we see AMZN as a long-term secular grower underpinned by its strong e-commerce, cloud, and advertising businesses.”</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“商业趋势依然强劲，并且应该会在2021年继续如此。”“最终，我们认为亚马逊是一家以其强大的电子商务、云和广告业务为基础的长期长期增长公司。”</blockquote></p><p><b>Should you buy Amazon stock? Analysts prefer it over other Big Tech companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你应该购买亚马逊股票吗？与其他大型科技公司相比，分析师更喜欢它</b></blockquote></p><p>Trip Chowdhry, an analyst at Global Equities Research, noted the “solid results” and reiterated his view that Andy Jassy, who will replace founder Jeff Bezos as chief executive, will be a good boss.</p><p><blockquote>Global Equities Research分析师Trip Chowdhry指出了“稳健的业绩”，并重申了他的观点，即将接替创始人杰夫·贝索斯担任首席执行官的Andy Jassy将是一位好老板。</blockquote></p><p>Jassy currently runs Amazon Web Services, which Chowdhry says is benefiting from secular growth trends. “So many of you were panicked about CEO Transition,” he wrote. “Andy Jassy is a much better CEO than Jeff Bezos.”</p><p><blockquote>贾西目前运营亚马逊网络服务，乔杜里表示，该服务受益于长期增长趋势。“你们中的许多人对首席执行官的过渡感到恐慌，”他写道。“安迪·贾西是一位比杰夫·贝索斯好得多的首席执行官。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189807124","content_text":"Amazon once rose 2.4%, setting a record high in intraday trading.Here’s what analysts are saying about Amazon tripling profitsSwiss Bank UBS raises its price target as the COVID-19 pandemic caused boom in demand for home deliveries, helping Amazon triple profitsThe COVID-19 pandemic has caused a boom in demand for home deliveries, which has helped AmazonAMZN,+1.75%triple its first-quarter profits.The online retailer’s stock has risen 46% the past year and some analysts think it could still have further to go.Michael Lasser, an analyst at Swiss bank UBSUBS,-0.92%,has lifted his price target for Amazon to $4,350 from $4,150, writing: “With broad-based strength across e-commerce & AWS, Amazon’s Q1 ’21 earnings report demonstrates why it remains the industry leader.”Amazon’s pandemic profits top previous 3 years of earningsShyam Patil, an analyst from Susquehanna Financial Group, remains positive on Amazon.“Business trends remain strong and should continue to do so throughout 2021,” he wrote. “Ultimately, we see AMZN as a long-term secular grower underpinned by its strong e-commerce, cloud, and advertising businesses.”Should you buy Amazon stock? Analysts prefer it over other Big Tech companiesTrip Chowdhry, an analyst at Global Equities Research, noted the “solid results” and reiterated his view that Andy Jassy, who will replace founder Jeff Bezos as chief executive, will be a good boss.Jassy currently runs Amazon Web Services, which Chowdhry says is benefiting from secular growth trends. “So many of you were panicked about CEO Transition,” he wrote. “Andy Jassy is a much better CEO than Jeff Bezos.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379590035,"gmtCreate":1618756875227,"gmtModify":1634291081576,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379590035","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175692875?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四（甚至三）巫术日，但今天的大量每周期权将到期，其中可能一文不值，其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%，高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言，单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期，其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期对于平值（ATM）期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要，因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克（Vishal Vivek）所写，在重大到期时，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行（执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权，则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者，如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩（即VIX处于新低），现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生，但随着VIX（即隐含波动率）的逆转，反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位，隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确！）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购空头对冲，从而推动反弹。SG的结论是：目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外，当IV较低时，伽马较高，因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四（甚至三）巫术日，但今天的大量每周期权将到期，其中可能一文不值，其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%，高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言，单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期，其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期对于平值（ATM）期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要，因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克（Vishal Vivek）所写，在重大到期时，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行（执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权，则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者，如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩（即VIX处于新低），现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生，但随着VIX（即隐含波动率）的逆转，反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位，隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确！）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购空头对冲，从而推动反弹。SG的结论是：目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外，当IV较低时，伽马较高，因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX  (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.  Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.  Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321363349,"gmtCreate":1615395005481,"gmtModify":1703488523278,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321363349","repostId":"1101472939","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150131661,"gmtCreate":1624889191153,"gmtModify":1633947442951,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>yay","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$Alibaba(BABA)$</a>yay","text":"$Alibaba(BABA)$yay","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57d73e05f0f753331265b79c0edb3f35","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150131661","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114896726,"gmtCreate":1623063659665,"gmtModify":1631885988934,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Go go go! Most shorted share right now!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">$Workhorse(WKHS)$</a>Go go go! Most shorted share right now!","text":"$Workhorse(WKHS)$Go go go! Most shorted share right now!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c44f666cd783f63c8259ee78700c49c2","width":"1242","height":"1767"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114896726","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194956546,"gmtCreate":1621336846385,"gmtModify":1634192352529,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow. Surprisingly&nbsp;","listText":"Wow. Surprisingly&nbsp;","text":"Wow. Surprisingly","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194956546","repostId":"1179444286","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179444286","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621336351,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179444286?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 19:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Macy's shares rise after retailer reports surprise profit, hikes full-year outlook<blockquote>梅西百货公布意外利润并上调全年预期后股价上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179444286","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Macy's on Tuesday reported a surprise profit, as stimulus checks and the ongoing Covid vaccine rollo","content":"<p>Macy's&nbsp;on Tuesday reported a surprise profit, as stimulus checks and the ongoing Covid vaccine rollout gave consumers more money and greater confidence to head back to the mall and refresh their wardrobes.</p><p><blockquote>梅西百货周二公布了令人惊讶的利润，因为刺激检查和正在进行的新冠疫苗推出让消费者有更多的钱和更大的信心回到商场并更新他们的衣柜。</blockquote></p><p> The department store chain hiked its financial outlook for the full year, building on the momentum it’s seeing online and as customers return to its shops to buy new outfits for weddings, travel and other special occasions.</p><p><blockquote>这家百货连锁店在网上看到的势头以及顾客重返商店为婚礼、旅行和其他特殊场合购买新服装的基础上，上调了全年的财务前景。</blockquote></p><p> Macy’s shares jumped nearly 6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>梅西百货股价在盘前交易中上涨近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a4b2451300bebd05d5cfd89e083638b\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “We are seeing promising signs that our core customers are shopping again, and we continue to attract new customers,” Chief Executive Jeff Gennette said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官杰夫·根内特(Jeff Gennette)在一份声明中表示：“我们看到有希望的迹象表明，我们的核心客户正在再次购物，并且我们继续吸引新客户。”</blockquote></p><p> During the quarter ended May 1, Macy’s swung to a profit of $103 million, or 32 cents per share, compared with a loss of $3.6 billion, or $11.53 per share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>在截至5月1日的季度中，梅西百货实现利润1.03亿美元，即每股32美分，而去年同期亏损36亿美元，即每股11.53美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding one-time charges for impairment and restructuring, the early retirement of debt and income tax impact, Macy’s earned 39 cents per share. Excluding further gains from real estate sales, it earned 38 cents a share. Analysts were looking for a 41-cent loss.</p><p><blockquote>不包括一次性减值和重组费用、提前偿还债务和所得税影响，梅西百货每股收益39美分。不包括房地产销售的进一步收益，该公司每股收益为38美分。分析师预计亏损41美分。</blockquote></p><p> Net sales grew to $4.71 billion from $3.02 billion a year earlier. That exceeded expectations for revenue of $4.37 billion.</p><p><blockquote>净销售额从去年同期的30.2亿美元增长至47.1亿美元。这超出了43.7亿美元收入的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Total comparable sales were up 62.5%, topping estimates for 44.9% growth, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示，可比销售额增长62.5%，超出预期的44.9%增长。</blockquote></p><p> Digital sales were up 34% year over year, and grew 32% from 2019 levels.</p><p><blockquote>数字销售额同比增长34%，较2019年增长32%。</blockquote></p><p> In the year-ago period,Macy’s sales tumbled 45%&nbsp;as the Covid pandemic forced its stores temporarily shut and shoppers shifted their spending toward groceries and cleaning supplies, and away from clothing and footwear.</p><p><blockquote>去年同期，梅西百货的销售额下降了45%，原因是新冠疫情迫使其商店暂时关闭，购物者将支出从服装和鞋类转向杂货和清洁用品。</blockquote></p><p> Macy’s is now calling for net sales in fiscal 2021 to fall within a range of $21.73 billion to $22.23 billion, up from a prior range of $19.75 billion to $20.75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>梅西百货目前预计2021财年净销售额将降至217.3亿美元至222.3亿美元，高于之前的197.5亿美元至207.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It estimates it will earn between $1.71 to $2.12 per share, after adjustments. Previously, it expected adjusted earnings of 40 cents to 90 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>预计调整后每股收益将在1.71美元至2.12美元之间。此前，该公司预计调整后每股收益为40美分至90美分。</blockquote></p><p> As of Monday’s market close, Macy’s shares are up more than 70% year to date. The retailer has a market cap of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至周一收盘，梅西百货股价今年迄今已上涨70%以上。该零售商的市值为60亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Macy's shares rise after retailer reports surprise profit, hikes full-year outlook<blockquote>梅西百货公布意外利润并上调全年预期后股价上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMacy's shares rise after retailer reports surprise profit, hikes full-year outlook<blockquote>梅西百货公布意外利润并上调全年预期后股价上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-18 19:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Macy's&nbsp;on Tuesday reported a surprise profit, as stimulus checks and the ongoing Covid vaccine rollout gave consumers more money and greater confidence to head back to the mall and refresh their wardrobes.</p><p><blockquote>梅西百货周二公布了令人惊讶的利润，因为刺激检查和正在进行的新冠疫苗推出让消费者有更多的钱和更大的信心回到商场并更新他们的衣柜。</blockquote></p><p> The department store chain hiked its financial outlook for the full year, building on the momentum it’s seeing online and as customers return to its shops to buy new outfits for weddings, travel and other special occasions.</p><p><blockquote>这家百货连锁店在网上看到的势头以及顾客重返商店为婚礼、旅行和其他特殊场合购买新服装的基础上，上调了全年的财务前景。</blockquote></p><p> Macy’s shares jumped nearly 6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>梅西百货股价在盘前交易中上涨近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a4b2451300bebd05d5cfd89e083638b\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"663\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “We are seeing promising signs that our core customers are shopping again, and we continue to attract new customers,” Chief Executive Jeff Gennette said in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官杰夫·根内特(Jeff Gennette)在一份声明中表示：“我们看到有希望的迹象表明，我们的核心客户正在再次购物，并且我们继续吸引新客户。”</blockquote></p><p> During the quarter ended May 1, Macy’s swung to a profit of $103 million, or 32 cents per share, compared with a loss of $3.6 billion, or $11.53 per share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>在截至5月1日的季度中，梅西百货实现利润1.03亿美元，即每股32美分，而去年同期亏损36亿美元，即每股11.53美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding one-time charges for impairment and restructuring, the early retirement of debt and income tax impact, Macy’s earned 39 cents per share. Excluding further gains from real estate sales, it earned 38 cents a share. Analysts were looking for a 41-cent loss.</p><p><blockquote>不包括一次性减值和重组费用、提前偿还债务和所得税影响，梅西百货每股收益39美分。不包括房地产销售的进一步收益，该公司每股收益为38美分。分析师预计亏损41美分。</blockquote></p><p> Net sales grew to $4.71 billion from $3.02 billion a year earlier. That exceeded expectations for revenue of $4.37 billion.</p><p><blockquote>净销售额从去年同期的30.2亿美元增长至47.1亿美元。这超出了43.7亿美元收入的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Total comparable sales were up 62.5%, topping estimates for 44.9% growth, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示，可比销售额增长62.5%，超出预期的44.9%增长。</blockquote></p><p> Digital sales were up 34% year over year, and grew 32% from 2019 levels.</p><p><blockquote>数字销售额同比增长34%，较2019年增长32%。</blockquote></p><p> In the year-ago period,Macy’s sales tumbled 45%&nbsp;as the Covid pandemic forced its stores temporarily shut and shoppers shifted their spending toward groceries and cleaning supplies, and away from clothing and footwear.</p><p><blockquote>去年同期，梅西百货的销售额下降了45%，原因是新冠疫情迫使其商店暂时关闭，购物者将支出从服装和鞋类转向杂货和清洁用品。</blockquote></p><p> Macy’s is now calling for net sales in fiscal 2021 to fall within a range of $21.73 billion to $22.23 billion, up from a prior range of $19.75 billion to $20.75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>梅西百货目前预计2021财年净销售额将降至217.3亿美元至222.3亿美元，高于之前的197.5亿美元至207.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It estimates it will earn between $1.71 to $2.12 per share, after adjustments. Previously, it expected adjusted earnings of 40 cents to 90 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>预计调整后每股收益将在1.71美元至2.12美元之间。此前，该公司预计调整后每股收益为40美分至90美分。</blockquote></p><p> As of Monday’s market close, Macy’s shares are up more than 70% year to date. The retailer has a market cap of $6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>截至周一收盘，梅西百货股价今年迄今已上涨70%以上。该零售商的市值为60亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"M":"梅西百货"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179444286","content_text":"Macy's on Tuesday reported a surprise profit, as stimulus checks and the ongoing Covid vaccine rollout gave consumers more money and greater confidence to head back to the mall and refresh their wardrobes.\nThe department store chain hiked its financial outlook for the full year, building on the momentum it’s seeing online and as customers return to its shops to buy new outfits for weddings, travel and other special occasions.\nMacy’s shares jumped nearly 6% in premarket trading.\n\n“We are seeing promising signs that our core customers are shopping again, and we continue to attract new customers,” Chief Executive Jeff Gennette said in a statement.\nDuring the quarter ended May 1, Macy’s swung to a profit of $103 million, or 32 cents per share, compared with a loss of $3.6 billion, or $11.53 per share, a year earlier.\nExcluding one-time charges for impairment and restructuring, the early retirement of debt and income tax impact, Macy’s earned 39 cents per share. Excluding further gains from real estate sales, it earned 38 cents a share. Analysts were looking for a 41-cent loss.\nNet sales grew to $4.71 billion from $3.02 billion a year earlier. That exceeded expectations for revenue of $4.37 billion.\nTotal comparable sales were up 62.5%, topping estimates for 44.9% growth, according to FactSet.\nDigital sales were up 34% year over year, and grew 32% from 2019 levels.\nIn the year-ago period,Macy’s sales tumbled 45% as the Covid pandemic forced its stores temporarily shut and shoppers shifted their spending toward groceries and cleaning supplies, and away from clothing and footwear.\nMacy’s is now calling for net sales in fiscal 2021 to fall within a range of $21.73 billion to $22.23 billion, up from a prior range of $19.75 billion to $20.75 billion.\nIt estimates it will earn between $1.71 to $2.12 per share, after adjustments. Previously, it expected adjusted earnings of 40 cents to 90 cents per share.\nAs of Monday’s market close, Macy’s shares are up more than 70% year to date. The retailer has a market cap of $6 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"M":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191901215,"gmtCreate":1620831182437,"gmtModify":1634195983069,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go EV!","listText":"Go EV!","text":"Go EV!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191901215","repostId":"1152301111","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375522002,"gmtCreate":1619365340106,"gmtModify":1634273996441,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375522002","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341893566,"gmtCreate":1617800588055,"gmtModify":1634296446833,"author":{"id":"3572963681970248","authorId":"3572963681970248","name":"IreneCQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65a578c30a27f4f327b723b681e43714","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572963681970248","idStr":"3572963681970248"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341893566","repostId":"1130533248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130533248","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617799885,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130533248?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-07 20:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The GameStop Frenzy Appears to be Over. What Retail Investors Are Buying Instead.<blockquote>游戏驿站的狂热似乎已经结束。散户投资者正在购买什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130533248","media":"Barrons","summary":"The much-vaunted stimulus-driven boom in stock trading is turning out to be something of a bust.\nWit","content":"<p>The much-vaunted stimulus-driven boom in stock trading is turning out to be something of a bust.</p><p><blockquote>被大肆吹嘘的刺激措施推动的股票交易繁荣被证明是一场萧条。</blockquote></p><p> With the major averages steadily setting records, individual investors still appear to be pouring money into equities. But it appears they’re now investing in traditional mutual funds and exchange-traded funds. At the same time, they have slowed their previous manic buying of single stocks that sent once-obscure names such as GameStop (ticker: GME) soaring earlier in the year.</p><p><blockquote>随着主要股指稳步创下纪录，个人投资者似乎仍在向股市投入资金。但他们现在似乎正在投资传统的共同基金和交易所交易基金。与此同时，他们放缓了之前对单一股票的疯狂购买，这些股票导致游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）等曾经默默无闻的股票在今年早些时候飙升。</blockquote></p><p> According to a new report from J.P. Morgan’s global market strategy team, some of the most recent federal stimulus checks might have been deployed into funds rather than into individual stocks or options, as had been the case for much of the past year. Individual investors appear to be reverting to their pre-pandemic practice of buying funds.</p><p><blockquote>根据摩根大通全球市场策略团队的一份新报告，最近的一些联邦刺激支票可能被部署到基金中，而不是像过去一年大部分时间的情况那样部署到个股或期权中。个人投资者似乎正在恢复大流行前购买基金的做法。</blockquote></p><p> A month ago, this column&nbsp;highlighted research&nbsp;from&nbsp;Deutsche Bankthat found younger recipients of the $1,400 payments from Uncle Sam planned to put as much as half of the checks into stocks. The&nbsp;New York Times&nbsp;noted the same datamore than two weeks later, which, as it turns out, was just after individual investors’ trading activity appeared to peak, according to the J.P. Morgan report lead-authored by Nikolaos Panigirtzgolou.</p><p><blockquote>一个月前，本专栏重点介绍了德意志银行的研究，该研究发现，收到山姆大叔1,400美元付款的年轻接受者计划将多达一半的支票投资于股票。根据尼古拉斯·帕尼吉尔茨戈卢(Nikolaos Panigirtzgolou)牵头撰写的摩根大通报告，两周多后，《纽约时报》也注意到了同样的数据，事实证明，就在个人投资者的交易活动似乎达到顶峰之后。</blockquote></p><p> While fund buying has been strong,small trades in call options(10 contracts or less) have fallen off sharply from their peak in January, according to Options Clearing data cited by the bank. At the same time, a basket of stocks favored on retail trading platforms such as Robinhood has been moving sideways overall while theS&amp;P 500has continued to rise to records.</p><p><blockquote>根据该行援引的期权清算数据，尽管基金买盘强劲，但看涨期权期权的小额交易（10份或更少）已从1月份的峰值大幅下降。与此同时，Robinhood等零售交易平台青睐的一篮子股票整体横盘整理，而标准普尔500指数则继续上涨至创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, retail flows into U.S. equities and exchange-traded funds have fallen to a five-day average of $380 million, based on estimates from J.P. Morgan’s global quantitative and derivatives strategy team. That’s down from the peak of $670 million a day in the five days ended March 16, but still above the 12-month daily average of $250 million.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，根据摩根大通全球量化和衍生品策略团队的估计，流入美国股票和交易所交易基金的散户资金已降至五天平均3.8亿美元。这低于截至3月16日的五天内每天6.7亿美元的峰值，但仍高于12个月的日均2.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This marks a switch back to individuals’ preference to their pre-pandemic buying of traditional equity funds from single stocks and options. Stock ETFs drew $199 billion in the first quarter, compared with $231.8 billion for all of 2020, according toMorningstar.</p><p><blockquote>这标志着个人对大流行前购买传统股票基金的偏好从单一股票和期权转向。根据晨星公司的数据，股票ETF在第一季度筹集了1,990亿美元，而2020年全年为2,318亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Why the switch back from stocks to funds? Here are a few guesses. Americans are getting back to work, as evidenced by the 916,000 jump in nonfarm payrolls in March reported last week. That would leave people with less time to play the market but still wanting to invest via ETFs. Or maybe some of them got caught up in their brackets for NCAA basketball March Madness. Or perhaps some saw their previous gains slip away as the favorite meme stocks rolled over.</p><p><blockquote>为什么要从股票转回基金？这里有一些猜测。美国人正在重返工作岗位，上周报告的3月份非农就业人数增加916,000人就证明了这一点。这将使人们参与市场的时间减少，但仍希望通过ETF进行投资。或者也许他们中的一些人陷入了NCAA篮球疯狂三月的行列。或者，随着最受欢迎的模因股票的滚动，一些人可能看到他们之前的涨幅消失了。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever avenue they took, U.S. investors are fully invested in the stock market based on several other indicators cited by the bank. Equity holdings of hybrid mutual funds have rebounded to over 60%, in line with highs at previous market peaks in 2018, 2007, and 2000. U.S. households’ equity allocations of their financial assets are also at a record, according to the latest Federal Reserve data, topping the 2000 dot-com era peak. Meanwhile, net margin debt also is elevated by historical standards.</p><p><blockquote>无论采取何种途径，根据该行引用的其他几项指标，美国投资者都会全力投资股市。混合型共同基金的股票持有量已反弹至60%以上，与2018年、2007年和2000年之前市场峰值的高点一致。根据美联储的最新数据，美国家庭对金融资产的股票配置也创历史新高，超过了2000年互联网时代的峰值。与此同时，按照历史标准，净利润率债务也有所上升。</blockquote></p><p> Taking into account those three factors, “there appears clear evidence of elevated equity positioning by retail investors and thus a vulnerability for the equity market going forward,” the report said. When the public is all-in, that’s a signal for contrarians to take some chips off the table.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，考虑到这三个因素，“有明确的证据表明散户投资者的股票仓位增加，因此股市未来存在脆弱性”。当公众全押时，这是逆向投资者拿走一些筹码的信号。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The GameStop Frenzy Appears to be Over. What Retail Investors Are Buying Instead.<blockquote>游戏驿站的狂热似乎已经结束。散户投资者正在购买什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe GameStop Frenzy Appears to be Over. What Retail Investors Are Buying Instead.<blockquote>游戏驿站的狂热似乎已经结束。散户投资者正在购买什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-07 20:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The much-vaunted stimulus-driven boom in stock trading is turning out to be something of a bust.</p><p><blockquote>被大肆吹嘘的刺激措施推动的股票交易繁荣被证明是一场萧条。</blockquote></p><p> With the major averages steadily setting records, individual investors still appear to be pouring money into equities. But it appears they’re now investing in traditional mutual funds and exchange-traded funds. At the same time, they have slowed their previous manic buying of single stocks that sent once-obscure names such as GameStop (ticker: GME) soaring earlier in the year.</p><p><blockquote>随着主要股指稳步创下纪录，个人投资者似乎仍在向股市投入资金。但他们现在似乎正在投资传统的共同基金和交易所交易基金。与此同时，他们放缓了之前对单一股票的疯狂购买，这些股票导致游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）等曾经默默无闻的股票在今年早些时候飙升。</blockquote></p><p> According to a new report from J.P. Morgan’s global market strategy team, some of the most recent federal stimulus checks might have been deployed into funds rather than into individual stocks or options, as had been the case for much of the past year. Individual investors appear to be reverting to their pre-pandemic practice of buying funds.</p><p><blockquote>根据摩根大通全球市场策略团队的一份新报告，最近的一些联邦刺激支票可能被部署到基金中，而不是像过去一年大部分时间的情况那样部署到个股或期权中。个人投资者似乎正在恢复大流行前购买基金的做法。</blockquote></p><p> A month ago, this column&nbsp;highlighted research&nbsp;from&nbsp;Deutsche Bankthat found younger recipients of the $1,400 payments from Uncle Sam planned to put as much as half of the checks into stocks. The&nbsp;New York Times&nbsp;noted the same datamore than two weeks later, which, as it turns out, was just after individual investors’ trading activity appeared to peak, according to the J.P. Morgan report lead-authored by Nikolaos Panigirtzgolou.</p><p><blockquote>一个月前，本专栏重点介绍了德意志银行的研究，该研究发现，收到山姆大叔1,400美元付款的年轻接受者计划将多达一半的支票投资于股票。根据尼古拉斯·帕尼吉尔茨戈卢(Nikolaos Panigirtzgolou)牵头撰写的摩根大通报告，两周多后，《纽约时报》也注意到了同样的数据，事实证明，就在个人投资者的交易活动似乎达到顶峰之后。</blockquote></p><p> While fund buying has been strong,small trades in call options(10 contracts or less) have fallen off sharply from their peak in January, according to Options Clearing data cited by the bank. At the same time, a basket of stocks favored on retail trading platforms such as Robinhood has been moving sideways overall while theS&amp;P 500has continued to rise to records.</p><p><blockquote>根据该行援引的期权清算数据，尽管基金买盘强劲，但看涨期权期权的小额交易（10份或更少）已从1月份的峰值大幅下降。与此同时，Robinhood等零售交易平台青睐的一篮子股票整体横盘整理，而标准普尔500指数则继续上涨至创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, retail flows into U.S. equities and exchange-traded funds have fallen to a five-day average of $380 million, based on estimates from J.P. Morgan’s global quantitative and derivatives strategy team. That’s down from the peak of $670 million a day in the five days ended March 16, but still above the 12-month daily average of $250 million.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，根据摩根大通全球量化和衍生品策略团队的估计，流入美国股票和交易所交易基金的散户资金已降至五天平均3.8亿美元。这低于截至3月16日的五天内每天6.7亿美元的峰值，但仍高于12个月的日均2.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This marks a switch back to individuals’ preference to their pre-pandemic buying of traditional equity funds from single stocks and options. Stock ETFs drew $199 billion in the first quarter, compared with $231.8 billion for all of 2020, according toMorningstar.</p><p><blockquote>这标志着个人对大流行前购买传统股票基金的偏好从单一股票和期权转向。根据晨星公司的数据，股票ETF在第一季度筹集了1,990亿美元，而2020年全年为2,318亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Why the switch back from stocks to funds? Here are a few guesses. Americans are getting back to work, as evidenced by the 916,000 jump in nonfarm payrolls in March reported last week. That would leave people with less time to play the market but still wanting to invest via ETFs. Or maybe some of them got caught up in their brackets for NCAA basketball March Madness. Or perhaps some saw their previous gains slip away as the favorite meme stocks rolled over.</p><p><blockquote>为什么要从股票转回基金？这里有一些猜测。美国人正在重返工作岗位，上周报告的3月份非农就业人数增加916,000人就证明了这一点。这将使人们参与市场的时间减少，但仍希望通过ETF进行投资。或者也许他们中的一些人陷入了NCAA篮球疯狂三月的行列。或者，随着最受欢迎的模因股票的滚动，一些人可能看到他们之前的涨幅消失了。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever avenue they took, U.S. investors are fully invested in the stock market based on several other indicators cited by the bank. Equity holdings of hybrid mutual funds have rebounded to over 60%, in line with highs at previous market peaks in 2018, 2007, and 2000. U.S. households’ equity allocations of their financial assets are also at a record, according to the latest Federal Reserve data, topping the 2000 dot-com era peak. Meanwhile, net margin debt also is elevated by historical standards.</p><p><blockquote>无论采取何种途径，根据该行引用的其他几项指标，美国投资者都会全力投资股市。混合型共同基金的股票持有量已反弹至60%以上，与2018年、2007年和2000年之前市场峰值的高点一致。根据美联储的最新数据，美国家庭对金融资产的股票配置也创历史新高，超过了2000年互联网时代的峰值。与此同时，按照历史标准，净利润率债务也有所上升。</blockquote></p><p> Taking into account those three factors, “there appears clear evidence of elevated equity positioning by retail investors and thus a vulnerability for the equity market going forward,” the report said. When the public is all-in, that’s a signal for contrarians to take some chips off the table.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，考虑到这三个因素，“有明确的证据表明散户投资者的股票仓位增加，因此股市未来存在脆弱性”。当公众全押时，这是逆向投资者拿走一些筹码的信号。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-gamestop-frenzy-appears-to-be-over-what-retail-investors-are-buying-instead-51617797462?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GME":"游戏驿站",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-gamestop-frenzy-appears-to-be-over-what-retail-investors-are-buying-instead-51617797462?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130533248","content_text":"The much-vaunted stimulus-driven boom in stock trading is turning out to be something of a bust.\nWith the major averages steadily setting records, individual investors still appear to be pouring money into equities. But it appears they’re now investing in traditional mutual funds and exchange-traded funds. At the same time, they have slowed their previous manic buying of single stocks that sent once-obscure names such as GameStop (ticker: GME) soaring earlier in the year.\nAccording to a new report from J.P. Morgan’s global market strategy team, some of the most recent federal stimulus checks might have been deployed into funds rather than into individual stocks or options, as had been the case for much of the past year. Individual investors appear to be reverting to their pre-pandemic practice of buying funds.\nA month ago, this column highlighted research from Deutsche Bankthat found younger recipients of the $1,400 payments from Uncle Sam planned to put as much as half of the checks into stocks. The New York Times noted the same datamore than two weeks later, which, as it turns out, was just after individual investors’ trading activity appeared to peak, according to the J.P. Morgan report lead-authored by Nikolaos Panigirtzgolou.\nWhile fund buying has been strong,small trades in call options(10 contracts or less) have fallen off sharply from their peak in January, according to Options Clearing data cited by the bank. At the same time, a basket of stocks favored on retail trading platforms such as Robinhood has been moving sideways overall while theS&P 500has continued to rise to records.\nMeanwhile, retail flows into U.S. equities and exchange-traded funds have fallen to a five-day average of $380 million, based on estimates from J.P. Morgan’s global quantitative and derivatives strategy team. That’s down from the peak of $670 million a day in the five days ended March 16, but still above the 12-month daily average of $250 million.\nThis marks a switch back to individuals’ preference to their pre-pandemic buying of traditional equity funds from single stocks and options. Stock ETFs drew $199 billion in the first quarter, compared with $231.8 billion for all of 2020, according toMorningstar.\nWhy the switch back from stocks to funds? Here are a few guesses. Americans are getting back to work, as evidenced by the 916,000 jump in nonfarm payrolls in March reported last week. That would leave people with less time to play the market but still wanting to invest via ETFs. Or maybe some of them got caught up in their brackets for NCAA basketball March Madness. Or perhaps some saw their previous gains slip away as the favorite meme stocks rolled over.\nWhatever avenue they took, U.S. investors are fully invested in the stock market based on several other indicators cited by the bank. Equity holdings of hybrid mutual funds have rebounded to over 60%, in line with highs at previous market peaks in 2018, 2007, and 2000. U.S. households’ equity allocations of their financial assets are also at a record, according to the latest Federal Reserve data, topping the 2000 dot-com era peak. Meanwhile, net margin debt also is elevated by historical standards.\nTaking into account those three factors, “there appears clear evidence of elevated equity positioning by retail investors and thus a vulnerability for the equity market going forward,” the report said. When the public is all-in, that’s a signal for contrarians to take some chips off the table.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"GME":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}