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Shans
2021-11-08
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@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
Shans
2021-11-07
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@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
Shans
2021-11-07
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
Shans
2021-11-06
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@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
Shans
2021-11-05
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@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
Shans
2021-11-04
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@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!
Shans
2021-10-07
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抱歉,原内容已删除
Shans
2021-07-08
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Oil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>随着美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性,油价下跌</blockquote>
Shans
2021-07-08
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Shans
2021-06-20
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Shans
2021-06-17
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Gold sector stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>黄金板块股票早盘下跌</blockquote>
Shans
2021-06-16
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Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>
Shans
2021-06-15
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ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote>
Shans
2021-06-15
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Shans
2021-06-14
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Shans
2021-05-19
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Shans
2021-04-23
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Shans
2021-04-16
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Shans
2021-04-12
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Shans
2021-04-11
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Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? 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Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? 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All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848448138,"gmtCreate":1636023718866,"gmtModify":1636023719022,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573188380003001","authorIdStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"y","listText":"y","text":"y","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848448138","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! 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Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823848201,"gmtCreate":1633614738030,"gmtModify":1633614738164,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573188380003001","authorIdStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823848201","repostId":"1178328655","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2952,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":149093244,"gmtCreate":1625682536288,"gmtModify":1631883656611,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573188380003001","authorIdStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment thanks !","listText":"Like and comment thanks !","text":"Like and comment thanks !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149093244","repostId":"1105521462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105521462","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625670735,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105521462?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-07 23:12","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Oil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>随着美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性,油价下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105521462","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from th","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from the OPEC+ alliance, which has been locked in a dispute over boosting output. West Texas Intermediate ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博社)——随着美元飙升,油价下跌,投资者等待欧佩克+联盟的进一步信号,该联盟一直陷入提高产量的争端。西德克萨斯中级……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>随着美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性,油价下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>随着美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性,油价下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-07 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from the OPEC+ alliance, which has been locked in a dispute over boosting output. West Texas Intermediate ...</p><p><blockquote><div>(彭博社)——随着美元飙升,油价下跌,投资者等待欧佩克+联盟的进一步信号,该联盟一直陷入提高产量的争端。西德克萨斯中级……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105521462","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from the OPEC+ alliance, which has been locked in a dispute over boosting output.\nWest Texas Intermediate futures fell as much as 3.1% in New York. The U.S. dollar rose to a three-month high and equities fell from all-time highs after a jobs report missed expectations. A strong dollar typically makes commodities priced in the currency less attractive to investors. Prices earlier swung between gains and losses as the ongoing dispute among OPEC+ members has threatened a global supply deficit.\n“People are just wildly uncertain” what the OPEC+ stalemate means for the future of output, said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda Corp. “August is in question and the demand warrants more production.”\nOil prices have soared more than 50% so far this year with consumption returning and the previous OPEC+ production deal keeping a lid on output. But investors remain uncertain about both the future of the OPEC+ supply agreement as well as the demand recovery with the delta variant of Covid-19 continuing to plague reopening efforts.\nJPMorgan Chase & Co. is among banks that anticipates a deal will be found. OPEC+ is expected to eventually agree in the coming weeks to increase production by 400,000 barrels a day each month for the rest of 2021, it said in a note.\nAt the same time, the disagreement between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates could invite producers to pump unilaterally, risking a free-for-all that could crash prices. There is potential for a price war, but all involved will try to avoid that, according to ING Group NV.\n“What’s really complicating everything is that we’re gonna probably have to wait a couple more weeks of talks and negotiations,” said Moya.\nMeanwhile, U.S. shale executives are locking in prices for the oil they plan to produce next year and protecting themselves against a potential market slump, people familiar with the trades said.\nSaudi Aramco increased the official selling price for Arab Light by 80 cents a barrel to $2.70 above the regional benchmark for Asia. That’s the biggest month-on-month gain since January, and suggests the oil giant won’t boost supply next month.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149093106,"gmtCreate":1625682494505,"gmtModify":1631883656622,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573188380003001","authorIdStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment thanks !","listText":"Like and comment thanks !","text":"Like and comment thanks !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149093106","repostId":"2149313903","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164209934,"gmtCreate":1624204728328,"gmtModify":1631883656637,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573188380003001","authorIdStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164209934","repostId":"1133385197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3448,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161438009,"gmtCreate":1623937724901,"gmtModify":1631883656647,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573188380003001","authorIdStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161438009","repostId":"1198660084","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198660084","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623937153,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1198660084?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 21:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gold sector stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>黄金板块股票早盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198660084","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Gold sector stocks fell in morning trading,GOLD and RGLD shares tumbled nearly 3%,KGC shares dropped","content":"<p>Gold sector stocks fell in morning trading,GOLD and RGLD shares tumbled nearly 3%,KGC shares dropped more than 4%.</p><p><blockquote>黄金板块股票早盘下跌,黄金和RGLD股价暴跌近3%,KGC股价下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d4ade715c0085abc49f388d1a668f1e\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"578\">Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.</p><p><blockquote>由于对劳动力市场的乐观情绪和对通胀的担忧加剧,美联储加快了预期的政策紧缩步伐,金价跌破每盎司 1,800 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>周四,随着美元继续走强,金价跌至六周以来的最低点,此前一天,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示,美联储将开始讨论缩减债券购买规模。这是央行首次采取强硬立场,自大流行病开始以来,央行的大量刺激措施对金银的强劲表现至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>央行还发布的预测显示,预计到 2023 年底将加息两次——比许多人想象的要早——这有助于推高美元和美国债券收益率,从而损害黄金。金价周三跌幅为五个月来最大,突破了多个关键技术支撑位,包括跌破 100 日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> “We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”</p><p><blockquote>“瑞银集团(UBS Group AG)分析师乔瓦尼-斯陶诺沃(Giovanni Staunovo)说:”我们的前景是负面的,预计黄金价格将在未来6到12个月内跌至每盎司1600美元。“在某个时候,美联储不会谈论缩减规模,而是会实施缩减规模。”</blockquote></p><p> Spot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>截至伦敦下午 2:07,现货黄金下跌 1.7%,至每盎司 1,780.97 美元,此前早些时候跌至 1,776.08 美元,为 5 月 5 日以来的最低盘中水平。白银、铂金和钯金也下跌。彭博美元现货指数继周三上涨0.9%后上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gold sector stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>黄金板块股票早盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGold sector stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>黄金板块股票早盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-17 21:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Gold sector stocks fell in morning trading,GOLD and RGLD shares tumbled nearly 3%,KGC shares dropped more than 4%.</p><p><blockquote>黄金板块股票早盘下跌,黄金和RGLD股价暴跌近3%,KGC股价下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d4ade715c0085abc49f388d1a668f1e\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"578\">Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.</p><p><blockquote>由于对劳动力市场的乐观情绪和对通胀的担忧加剧,美联储加快了预期的政策紧缩步伐,金价跌破每盎司 1,800 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>周四,随着美元继续走强,金价跌至六周以来的最低点,此前一天,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示,美联储将开始讨论缩减债券购买规模。这是央行首次采取强硬立场,自大流行病开始以来,央行的大量刺激措施对金银的强劲表现至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>央行还发布的预测显示,预计到 2023 年底将加息两次——比许多人想象的要早——这有助于推高美元和美国债券收益率,从而损害黄金。金价周三跌幅为五个月来最大,突破了多个关键技术支撑位,包括跌破 100 日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> “We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”</p><p><blockquote>“瑞银集团(UBS Group AG)分析师乔瓦尼-斯陶诺沃(Giovanni Staunovo)说:”我们的前景是负面的,预计黄金价格将在未来6到12个月内跌至每盎司1600美元。“在某个时候,美联储不会谈论缩减规模,而是会实施缩减规模。”</blockquote></p><p> Spot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>截至伦敦下午 2:07,现货黄金下跌 1.7%,至每盎司 1,780.97 美元,此前早些时候跌至 1,776.08 美元,为 5 月 5 日以来的最低盘中水平。白银、铂金和钯金也下跌。彭博美元现货指数继周三上涨0.9%后上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RGLD":"皇家黄金","KGC":"金罗斯黄金","GOLD":"Gold.com"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198660084","content_text":"Gold sector stocks fell in morning trading,GOLD and RGLD shares tumbled nearly 3%,KGC shares dropped more than 4%.\nGold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.\nThe metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.\nThe central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.\n“We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”\nSpot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KGC":0.9,"GOLD":0.9,"RGLD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160102564,"gmtCreate":1623773927658,"gmtModify":1631883656656,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573188380003001","authorIdStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment ","listText":"Like and comment ","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160102564","repostId":"1191245053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191245053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623762167,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1191245053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191245053","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers .So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fis","content":"<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周,在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时,我们表示,这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫,届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险,在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中(参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”)。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此,高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时,对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览,他称之为 “规模庞大,堪比典型的季度”。具体而言,<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期,此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,尽管这些总数很大,<b>根据指数规模进行调整后,在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,根据高盛的估计,组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权,</b>因此,调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元,仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额(7750 亿美元)。此外,由于股市处于历史高位,预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示,双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后,这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力,直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况,并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%,为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比;AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的(但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天,远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天),同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后,正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样,高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的,在这种情况下,Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的,即 “一旦头寸更加干净,实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时,SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明,如果市场抛售,投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译:<u><b>在抛售中,市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致,高盛还指出,虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高,但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周,由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大,以及零售活动的预测价值,都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票,导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时,高盛发现,过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点,这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是,高盛观察到,短期 SPX 期权(每周)和远离季度的趋势仍在继续,这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一,也是为什么随着到期日的临近,其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样,投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历,包括每周一和周三的到期日,因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实,<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点,</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量: 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围,他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸,以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要?因为如果这种趋势足够大,它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是,通过增加单一名称,“最卖空的名称”,散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Quad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQuad-Witch Quandary: How Will Friday's $2 Trillion Gamma Expiration Impact Markets<blockquote>四女巫困境:周五 2 万亿美元伽马到期将如何影响市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 21:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").</p><p><blockquote>上周,在讨论市场奇怪的夏季低迷将 VIX 推至新冠疫情爆发以来的最低水平时,我们表示,这段异常的市场平静时期可能会持续到本周五的四女巫,届时大量伽马和德尔塔到期并被消除风险,在消除天然下行股票缓冲的过程中(参见“市场低迷以下周五的 Op-Ex 结束的 4 个原因”)。</blockquote></p><p> So picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,<b>there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.</b></p><p><blockquote>因此,高盛内部衍生品专家洛基-菲什曼(Rocky Fishman)在谈到周五可能影响市场的运营支出时,对即将到期的 6 月份的运营支出进行了预览,他称之为 “规模庞大,堪比典型的季度”。具体而言,<b>周五有 1.8 万亿美元的 SPX 期权到期,此外还有 2400 亿美元的SPDR标普500指数ETF期权以及 2000 亿美元的 SPX 和 SPX E-mini 期货期权。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d1ece116794c7f6523250fd682450e3\" tg-width=\"959\" tg-height=\"765\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Yet while these totals are massive,<b>when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而,尽管这些总数很大,<b>根据指数规模进行调整后,在当前现货 10% 以内的到期期权数量比过去十年中任何一个季度都少。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/534b677774a92a59d4fe08f09359932b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos account<b>for 15-20% of SPX options,</b>so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,根据高盛的估计,组合账户<b>对于 15-20% 的 SPX 期权,</b>因此,调整后的未平仓合约总额将达到 1.5 万亿美元,仍远高于到期单只股票未平仓合约总额(7750 亿美元)。此外,由于股市处于历史高位,预计6月份的大部分未平仓合约将低于当前SPX现货价格。如下图所示,双峰位于3900和4150。这意味着周五之后,这些点周围可能会有一定的“反”引力,直到伽马射线被重新填充。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adfcada2b0ef3f2ebbd684649a613043\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"541\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPX<b>realized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.</b></p><p><blockquote>高盛策略师随后解释了他认为已实现市场交易量异常低水平的情况,并指出——正如我们上周讨论的那样——这与长期定位是一致的。考虑一下SPX<b>过去 13 个交易日的实现波动率仅为 5.1%,为 2019 年以来最低的 13 天实现波动率。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afffda1e07736784ad695d95a9936421\" tg-width=\"952\" tg-height=\"558\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> This contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>这与单一股票市场部分地区的极端波动形成鲜明对比;AMC 上周的合约量是单只股票中最高的(但名义成交量为 70 亿美元/天,远低于 AMZN 领先的 1200 亿美元/天),同期已实现成交量的近 400%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2b7aeaadb37160a7eaf0ac08ba31de\" tg-width=\"1236\" tg-height=\"561\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Then, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees that<b>the extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"</b>Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:<u><b>the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.</b></u></p><p><blockquote>然后,正如野村证券的查理·麦切利戈特上周首次指出的那样,高盛的衍生品团队同意<b>SPX 极低的实现波动率与 6 月 18 日多头指数 gamma 离开 “街头 ”的可能性是一致的,在这种情况下,Fishman 呼应了我们上周所说的,即 “一旦头寸更加干净,实现波动率可能会上升”。</b>与此同时,SPX 的 VIX 期货贝塔系数上升表明,如果市场抛售,投资者预计短期伽马动态将会回升。翻译:<u><b>在抛售中,市场将变得更加波动。</b></u></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76b01b8a05b70ec4f343626b1fad491b\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,与最新的备忘录库存挤压保持一致,高盛还指出,虽然单一股票期权交易量仍然很高,但远低于第一季度的峰值。最近几周,由零售驱动的所有单一股票期权活动中所占的比例很大,以及零售活动的预测价值,都提高了人们对单一股票期权市场的关注度。最近单一股票期权活动的增长集中在低股价股票,导致过去两周的合约交易量中的股价与名义交易量不符。在根据股票市场规模调整名义成交量时,高盛发现,过去两周单只股票成交量实际上一直处于 2021 年区间的低点,这意味着最新的涨幅几乎没有伽马挤压成分。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6c3df49e3e5d1e4a7a0d9c24696e6a\" tg-width=\"1212\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.</p><p><blockquote>我们最近讨论的最后一点是,高盛观察到,短期 SPX 期权(每周)和远离季度的趋势仍在继续,这与零售参与交易的不断增长是一致的。这也是为什么周五 SPX 到期日小于近期许多季度的原因之一,也是为什么随着到期日的临近,其交易量一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> As Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,<b>the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,</b>and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛解释的那样,投资者越来越多地采用 SPX 到期日的完整日历,包括每周一和周三的到期日,因为他们会根据事件调整自己的观点。其实,<b>第三个星期五到期的 SPX 期权交易量百分比处于历史最低点,</b>现在低于周一和周三到期的百分比。超短期交易量增加的一个解释是强劲的单只股票交易量: 高盛提出了一个观点--“如果做市商无法覆盖散户投资者购买看涨期权产生的单只股票空头范围,他们可能会积极交易一系列超短期 SPX 指数期权的多头头寸,以抵消这一范围”。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd0e886a62a61c70b0f299bd6c032a24\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"1128\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Why is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.<b>Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!</b></p><p><blockquote>为什么这很重要?因为如果这种趋势足够大,它会直接导致低隐含和实现的相关性。<b>具有讽刺意味的是,通过增加单一名称,“最卖空的名称”,散户投资者正在迎来整个市场的非正统平静期!</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/quad-witch-quandary-how-will-fridays-2-trillion-gamma-expiration-impact-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191245053","content_text":"Last week, when discussing thebizarre summer doldrumsin the market which pushed the VIX to the lowest level since the onset of the covid pandemic, we said that this period of abnormal market quiet is likely to last until this Friday' quad-witch, when a massive amount of gamma and delta expire and are de-risked, in the process eliminating one of the natural downside stock buffers (see \"4 Reasons Why The Market Doldrums End With Next Friday's Op-Ex\").\nSo picking up on the topic of Friday' potentially market-moving opex, Goldman' in-house derivatives expert, Rocky Fishman, previews June’s upcoming expiration which he dubs as \"large - comparable to a typical quarterly.\" Specifically,there are $1.8 trillion of SPX options expiring on Friday, in addition to $240 billion of SPY options and $200 billion of options on SPX and SPX E-mini futures.\n\nYet while these totals are massive,when adjusted for the index’s size the amount of expiring options within 10% of current spot is smaller than just about any quarterly over the past decade.\n\nIt's worth noting that according to Goldman estimates that combos accountfor 15-20% of SPX options,so an adjusted open interest total would add up to $1.5tln, still much larger than total expiring single stock open interest ($775bln). Furthermore, with stocks at all time highs, it is to be expected that most of the June open interest is below the current SPX spot price. As shown in the chart below, the dual peaks are at 3,900 and 4,150. This means that after Friday, there may be a certain \"anti\"-gravity around those spots until gamma is refilled.\n\nThe Goldman strategist then explains what he believes is below the abnormally low level of realized market vol, noting that - as we discussed last week - it is consistent with long gamma positioning. Consider that SPXrealized volatility over the past 13 trading days has been just 5.1% - the lowest 13-day realized vol since 2019.\n\nThis contrasts with extreme volatility in pockets of the single stock market; AMC, which had the highest contract volume among single stocks last week (but far less notional volume at$7bln/day than AMZN’s leading $120bln/day), has had close to 400% realized vol over the same period.\n\nThen, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott first noted last week, Goldman's derivatives team agrees thatthe extremely low SPX realized volatility is consistent with the possibility that 18-Jun has left “the street” long index gamma, in which case Fishman echoeswhat we said last week, namely that \"realized volatility could pick up once positions are cleaner. \"Meanwhile, the rising beta of VIX futures to the SPX indicates that investors expect short gamma dynamics to pick up should markets sell off. Translation:the market will become much more volatile in a selloff.\n\nMeanwhile, and in keeping with the latest memo stock squeeze, Goldman also notes that while single stock option volumes continue to be high, it is well short of Q1 peaks. The large percentage of all single stock option activity driven by retail, and the predictive value of retail activity, have both heightened the attention on the single stock option market in recent weeks. Recent growth in single stock option activity has been concentrated in low-share-price stocks, leaving a shar prise in contract-volume over the past two weeks that has not been matched by notional volume. When adjusting notional volume for the size of the equity market, Goldman finds that single stock volume has actually been on the low of its 2021 range over the past two weeks which means that the latest ramps had little to no gamma squeeze components to them.\n\nOne final point which we discussed recently and which is in keeping with the growing retail participation in trading, is Goldman's observation that the trend toward shorter-dated SPX options (weeklies) and away from quarterlies, continues. That also is one of the reasons why Friday’s SPX expiration is smaller than many recent quarterlies, and why as it as approached expiration, its trading volume has been falling.\nAs Goldman explains, investors have been increasingly adopting the full calendar of SPX expirations, including expirations every Monday and Wednesday, as they tailor their views around events. In fact,the percentage of SPX option volume happening in 3rd Friday expirations is at an all-time low,and is now smaller than the percentage happening in Monday and Wednesday expirations. One explanation for heightened ultra-short-dated volumes is the strong single stock volumes: and here an interest suggesting from Goldman - \"to the extent market makers are unable to cover the short single stock gamma generated by retail investors’ call buying, they may be actively trading long positions in strips of ultra-short-dated SPX index options to offset this gamma.\"\n\nWhy is this important? because if this trend is large enough, it directly contributes to low implied and realized correlation.Ironically, by ramping single name, \"most-shorted names\", retail investors are ushering a period of unorthodox calm across the rest of the market!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187741999,"gmtCreate":1623765284611,"gmtModify":1631883656669,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573188380003001","authorIdStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187741999","repostId":"1185254731","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185254731","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623764438,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185254731?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185254731","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for n","content":"<p>(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.</p><p><blockquote>(6月15日)ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%。ContextLogic目前涨幅近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f3eeb6c29b019970adceac690d15c3\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>ContextLogic昨天与电子商务平台PrestaShop签署了为期两年的合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p> More than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>PrestaShop平台上的30多万个商家和品牌将能够在Wish marketplace上轻松地向数百万消费者销售。</blockquote></p><p> Alan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”</p><p><blockquote>Wish 欧洲高级业务发展经理 Alan Small 表示: “Wish 以实惠的价格提供高品质的产品和个性化、有趣的购物体验,为全球数百万消费者提供服务。与 PrestaShop 的合作将使我们能够为消费者提供更优质的商家和品牌,并为 PrestaShop 商家提供一个全球交易平台。”</blockquote></p><p> Last week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.</p><p><blockquote>上周, 该公司股价在 WallStreetBets Reddit 论坛上引起关注后飙升。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 21:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.</p><p><blockquote>(6月15日)ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%。ContextLogic目前涨幅近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f3eeb6c29b019970adceac690d15c3\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>ContextLogic昨天与电子商务平台PrestaShop签署了为期两年的合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p> More than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>PrestaShop平台上的30多万个商家和品牌将能够在Wish marketplace上轻松地向数百万消费者销售。</blockquote></p><p> Alan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”</p><p><blockquote>Wish 欧洲高级业务发展经理 Alan Small 表示: “Wish 以实惠的价格提供高品质的产品和个性化、有趣的购物体验,为全球数百万消费者提供服务。与 PrestaShop 的合作将使我们能够为消费者提供更优质的商家和品牌,并为 PrestaShop 商家提供一个全球交易平台。”</blockquote></p><p> Last week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.</p><p><blockquote>上周, 该公司股价在 WallStreetBets Reddit 论坛上引起关注后飙升。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185254731","content_text":"(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.\n\nContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.\nMore than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.\nAlan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”\nLast week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WISH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187757259,"gmtCreate":1623765229571,"gmtModify":1631883656680,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573188380003001","authorIdStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like 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and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187741999","repostId":"1185254731","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185254731","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623764438,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185254731?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 21:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185254731","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for n","content":"<p>(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.</p><p><blockquote>(6月15日)ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%。ContextLogic目前涨幅近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f3eeb6c29b019970adceac690d15c3\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>ContextLogic昨天与电子商务平台PrestaShop签署了为期两年的合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p> More than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>PrestaShop平台上的30多万个商家和品牌将能够在Wish marketplace上轻松地向数百万消费者销售。</blockquote></p><p> Alan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”</p><p><blockquote>Wish 欧洲高级业务发展经理 Alan Small 表示: “Wish 以实惠的价格提供高品质的产品和个性化、有趣的购物体验,为全球数百万消费者提供服务。与 PrestaShop 的合作将使我们能够为消费者提供更优质的商家和品牌,并为 PrestaShop 商家提供一个全球交易平台。”</blockquote></p><p> Last week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.</p><p><blockquote>上周, 该公司股价在 WallStreetBets Reddit 论坛上引起关注后飙升。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago<blockquote>ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 21:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.</p><p><blockquote>(6月15日)ContextLogic几分钟前涨幅高达10%。ContextLogic目前涨幅近6%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83f3eeb6c29b019970adceac690d15c3\" tg-width=\"663\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> ContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>ContextLogic昨天与电子商务平台PrestaShop签署了为期两年的合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p> More than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.</p><p><blockquote>PrestaShop平台上的30多万个商家和品牌将能够在Wish marketplace上轻松地向数百万消费者销售。</blockquote></p><p> Alan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”</p><p><blockquote>Wish 欧洲高级业务发展经理 Alan Small 表示: “Wish 以实惠的价格提供高品质的产品和个性化、有趣的购物体验,为全球数百万消费者提供服务。与 PrestaShop 的合作将使我们能够为消费者提供更优质的商家和品牌,并为 PrestaShop 商家提供一个全球交易平台。”</blockquote></p><p> Last week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.</p><p><blockquote>上周, 该公司股价在 WallStreetBets Reddit 论坛上引起关注后飙升。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185254731","content_text":"(June 15) ContextLogic gained as much as 10% a few minutes ago. ContextLogic gained nearly 6% for now.\n\nContextLogic signed a two-year partnership with an ecommerce platform,PrestaShop yesterday.\nMore than 300,000 merchants and brands on the PrestaShop platform will be able to easily sell to millions of consumers on the Wish marketplace.\nAlan Small, Senior Business Development Manager for Wish in Europe said: “Wish serves millions of consumers around the world by providing high-quality products at affordable prices and a personalized, entertaining shopping experience. Partnering with PrestaShop will enable us to offer our consumers even more quality merchants and brands and to provide Prestashop merchants with a global platform to transact on.”\nLast week,the company's shares surged on attracting attention on the WallStreetBets Reddit forum.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WISH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352624572,"gmtCreate":1616970995896,"gmtModify":1631889103191,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573188380003001","idStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment thanks !","listText":"Like and comment thanks !","text":"Like and comment thanks !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352624572","repostId":"1114428323","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352346856,"gmtCreate":1616899285175,"gmtModify":1631889103220,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573188380003001","idStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment thanks ! ","listText":"Comment thanks ! ","text":"Comment thanks !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352346856","repostId":"1114428323","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350913747,"gmtCreate":1616148316989,"gmtModify":1631891943716,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573188380003001","idStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment pls","listText":"Comment pls","text":"Comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350913747","repostId":"1137663173","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137663173","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616148159,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137663173?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 18:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech Stocks Are Falling Fast, Here Are 4 Cyclical Stocks That Are Still Cheap<blockquote>科技股正在快速下跌,以下是4只仍然便宜的周期性股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137663173","media":"marketwatch","summary":"Investors have rushed into so-called cyclical stocks as the economic outlook has gotten a shot in th","content":"<p>Investors have rushed into so-called cyclical stocks as the economic outlook has gotten a shot in the arm and high-flying tech stocks take it on the chin. Even though many of those stocks, which perform better in times of economic expansion, now look a little expensive, a few still stand out as fairly cheap.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济前景受到鼓舞,投资者纷纷涌入所谓的周期性股票,而飞速发展的科技股则大受欢迎。尽管许多在经济扩张时期表现更好的股票现在看起来有点贵,但仍有一些相当便宜。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks in economically-sensitive sectors such as banks, oil and industrials have performed more than handsomely this year as states announced reopenings and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus more than shored up demand. The SPDR S&P Bank (ticker: KBE), Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) and Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) exchange-traded funds are all up double digits year to date, dwarfing the S&P 500’s roughly 6% gain and the Nasdaq Composite’s 3.3% advance.</p><p><blockquote>银行、石油和工业等经济敏感行业的股票今年表现非常出色,因为各州宣布重新开放,数万亿美元的财政刺激措施不仅仅支撑了需求。SPDR S&P Bank(股票代码:KBE)、工业精选行业 SPDR (XLI) 和能源精选行业 SPDR (XLE) 交易所交易基金今年迄今均实现了两位数的上涨,使标普500约 6% 的涨幅和纳斯达克综合指数 3.3% 的涨幅相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> Tons of cyclicals now look fairly overextended. Caterpillar (CAT), for example, is up 27% year to date. The average analyst price target is 6% below its current trading price. Fortunately, there are some out there trading at attractive valuations with earnings momentum on their side.</p><p><blockquote>大量的周期性产品现在看起来相当过度。例如,卡特彼勒 (CAT) 今年迄今已上涨 27%。分析师的平均目标价比当前交易价格低 6%。幸运的是,有一些公司以有吸引力的估值进行交易,并且盈利势头强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Strategists at Citigroup compiled a list on Monday of stocks with tolerable valuations, a few of which are cyclical in nature. Citi looked at the PEG ratio, or price/earnings to growth, which divides the forward earnings multiple by the expected earnings growth rate. It tells how justified a stock’s valuation is by showing the gap between the multiple and earnings growth. The slimmer the gap, the cheaper the stock. Citi looked at large capitalization stocks—those with market caps above $10 billion--and looked for those with the 25 lowest PEG ratios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的策略师周一编制了一份估值尚可接受的股票清单,其中一些股票具有周期性。花旗研究了 PEG 比率,即市盈率与增长,即将远期市盈率除以预期盈利增长率。它通过显示市盈率与盈利增长之间的差距来说明股票估值的合理性。差距越小,股票越便宜。花旗研究了大盘股(市值超过 100 亿美元的股票),并寻找了 25 只挂钩比率最低的股票。</blockquote></p><p> When economic demand rises robustly, so do manufacturing projects, increasing demand for industrial metals used to build machinery. That’s propelled shares of Freeport McMoRan (FCX), the $50 billion by market capitalization metal miner. The company is worth a quarter more now than it was at the beginning of 2021. But the stock still trades at a PEG ratio of about 0.3, based on an expected compound annual growth rate of earnings for the next 3 years. By comparison, the average stock on the S&P 500 trades at a PEG ratio of 1.3. Freeport McMoRan shares could have plenty of runway ahead.</p><p><blockquote>当经济需求强劲上升时,制造业项目也会强劲上升时,对用于制造机械的工业金属的需求也会增加。这推动了市值达 500 亿美元的金属矿商自由港麦克莫兰公司(FCX)的股价上涨。该公司现在的市值比 2021 年初上涨了四分之一。但根据未来 3 年的预期复合年增长率,该股的 PEG 比率仍约为 0.3。相比之下,标普500股票的平均挂钩比率为 1.3。自由港麦克莫兰股价可能还有很大的发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> Auto makers and other manufacturers need steel to build more products and machines when demand firms up. That’s good news for steelmaker Nucor (NUE), which has seen its currently $20 billion market cap rise by about a third this year. It trades at a 0.9 PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>当需求增强时,汽车制造商和其他制造商需要钢铁来制造更多的产品和机器。这对钢铁制造商纽柯公司(NUE)来说是个好消息,该公司目前 200 亿美元的市值今年增长了约三分之一。它的交易价格为 0.9 PEG 比率。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of General Motors (GM) are up 45% but still trade at a PEG ratio around 1.3, in line with that of the broader market. The stock looks a little less attractive than the others on the list and earnings are only expected to compound in the high single digits over the next 3 years. Still, earnings in 2022 are expected to grow 19% over 2021, according to analysts polled by FactSet. The stock could therefore enjoy plenty of momentum in the near-term. People purchase more cars when they have more discretionary spending capacity.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车 (GM) 股价上涨 45%,但 PEG 比率仍在 1.3 左右,与大盘一致。该股看起来不如榜单上的其他股票那么有吸引力,预计未来 3 年的收益只会达到高个位数。尽管如此,FactSet 调查的分析师表示,2022 年的盈利预计将比 2021 年增长 19%。因此,该股可能会在短期内享有充足的动力。当人们有更多的可自由支配消费能力时,他们会购买更多的汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Hotel chain Marriott International (MAR) is up more than 20% this year. It trades at a PEG ratio of 0.4. As the virus risk associated with hotels fades, people may be more comfortable visiting them. Plus, people’s increased discretionary spend is a major tailwind for hotels.</p><p><blockquote>连锁酒店万豪国际 (MAR) 今年股价上涨超过 20%。其交易价格为 0.4。随着与酒店相关的病毒风险的消退,人们可能会更愿意去酒店。此外,人们可自由支配支出的增加也是酒店的一大推动力。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks are pricey by some measures, but that doesn’t mean there are no bargains to ride the sharp economic rebound.</p><p><blockquote>从某些标准来看,股市价格昂贵,但这并不意味着没有便宜货可以利用经济的大幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech Stocks Are Falling Fast, Here Are 4 Cyclical Stocks That Are Still Cheap<blockquote>科技股正在快速下跌,以下是4只仍然便宜的周期性股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech Stocks Are Falling Fast, Here Are 4 Cyclical Stocks That Are Still Cheap<blockquote>科技股正在快速下跌,以下是4只仍然便宜的周期性股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-19 18:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors have rushed into so-called cyclical stocks as the economic outlook has gotten a shot in the arm and high-flying tech stocks take it on the chin. Even though many of those stocks, which perform better in times of economic expansion, now look a little expensive, a few still stand out as fairly cheap.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济前景受到鼓舞,投资者纷纷涌入所谓的周期性股票,而飞速发展的科技股则大受欢迎。尽管许多在经济扩张时期表现更好的股票现在看起来有点贵,但仍有一些相当便宜。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks in economically-sensitive sectors such as banks, oil and industrials have performed more than handsomely this year as states announced reopenings and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus more than shored up demand. The SPDR S&P Bank (ticker: KBE), Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) and Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) exchange-traded funds are all up double digits year to date, dwarfing the S&P 500’s roughly 6% gain and the Nasdaq Composite’s 3.3% advance.</p><p><blockquote>银行、石油和工业等经济敏感行业的股票今年表现非常出色,因为各州宣布重新开放,数万亿美元的财政刺激措施不仅仅支撑了需求。SPDR S&P Bank(股票代码:KBE)、工业精选行业 SPDR (XLI) 和能源精选行业 SPDR (XLE) 交易所交易基金今年迄今均实现了两位数的上涨,使标普500约 6% 的涨幅和纳斯达克综合指数 3.3% 的涨幅相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> Tons of cyclicals now look fairly overextended. Caterpillar (CAT), for example, is up 27% year to date. The average analyst price target is 6% below its current trading price. Fortunately, there are some out there trading at attractive valuations with earnings momentum on their side.</p><p><blockquote>大量的周期性产品现在看起来相当过度。例如,卡特彼勒 (CAT) 今年迄今已上涨 27%。分析师的平均目标价比当前交易价格低 6%。幸运的是,有一些公司以有吸引力的估值进行交易,并且盈利势头强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Strategists at Citigroup compiled a list on Monday of stocks with tolerable valuations, a few of which are cyclical in nature. Citi looked at the PEG ratio, or price/earnings to growth, which divides the forward earnings multiple by the expected earnings growth rate. It tells how justified a stock’s valuation is by showing the gap between the multiple and earnings growth. The slimmer the gap, the cheaper the stock. Citi looked at large capitalization stocks—those with market caps above $10 billion--and looked for those with the 25 lowest PEG ratios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团的策略师周一编制了一份估值尚可接受的股票清单,其中一些股票具有周期性。花旗研究了 PEG 比率,即市盈率与增长,即将远期市盈率除以预期盈利增长率。它通过显示市盈率与盈利增长之间的差距来说明股票估值的合理性。差距越小,股票越便宜。花旗研究了大盘股(市值超过 100 亿美元的股票),并寻找了 25 只挂钩比率最低的股票。</blockquote></p><p> When economic demand rises robustly, so do manufacturing projects, increasing demand for industrial metals used to build machinery. That’s propelled shares of Freeport McMoRan (FCX), the $50 billion by market capitalization metal miner. The company is worth a quarter more now than it was at the beginning of 2021. But the stock still trades at a PEG ratio of about 0.3, based on an expected compound annual growth rate of earnings for the next 3 years. By comparison, the average stock on the S&P 500 trades at a PEG ratio of 1.3. Freeport McMoRan shares could have plenty of runway ahead.</p><p><blockquote>当经济需求强劲上升时,制造业项目也会强劲上升时,对用于制造机械的工业金属的需求也会增加。这推动了市值达 500 亿美元的金属矿商自由港麦克莫兰公司(FCX)的股价上涨。该公司现在的市值比 2021 年初上涨了四分之一。但根据未来 3 年的预期复合年增长率,该股的 PEG 比率仍约为 0.3。相比之下,标普500股票的平均挂钩比率为 1.3。自由港麦克莫兰股价可能还有很大的发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> Auto makers and other manufacturers need steel to build more products and machines when demand firms up. That’s good news for steelmaker Nucor (NUE), which has seen its currently $20 billion market cap rise by about a third this year. It trades at a 0.9 PEG ratio.</p><p><blockquote>当需求增强时,汽车制造商和其他制造商需要钢铁来制造更多的产品和机器。这对钢铁制造商纽柯公司(NUE)来说是个好消息,该公司目前 200 亿美元的市值今年增长了约三分之一。它的交易价格为 0.9 PEG 比率。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of General Motors (GM) are up 45% but still trade at a PEG ratio around 1.3, in line with that of the broader market. The stock looks a little less attractive than the others on the list and earnings are only expected to compound in the high single digits over the next 3 years. Still, earnings in 2022 are expected to grow 19% over 2021, according to analysts polled by FactSet. The stock could therefore enjoy plenty of momentum in the near-term. People purchase more cars when they have more discretionary spending capacity.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车 (GM) 股价上涨 45%,但 PEG 比率仍在 1.3 左右,与大盘一致。该股看起来不如榜单上的其他股票那么有吸引力,预计未来 3 年的收益只会达到高个位数。尽管如此,FactSet 调查的分析师表示,2022 年的盈利预计将比 2021 年增长 19%。因此,该股可能会在短期内享有充足的动力。当人们有更多的可自由支配消费能力时,他们会购买更多的汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Hotel chain Marriott International (MAR) is up more than 20% this year. It trades at a PEG ratio of 0.4. As the virus risk associated with hotels fades, people may be more comfortable visiting them. Plus, people’s increased discretionary spend is a major tailwind for hotels.</p><p><blockquote>连锁酒店万豪国际 (MAR) 今年股价上涨超过 20%。其交易价格为 0.4。随着与酒店相关的病毒风险的消退,人们可能会更愿意去酒店。此外,人们可自由支配支出的增加也是酒店的一大推动力。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks are pricey by some measures, but that doesn’t mean there are no bargains to ride the sharp economic rebound.</p><p><blockquote>从某些标准来看,股市价格昂贵,但这并不意味着没有便宜货可以利用经济的大幅反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/cyclical-stocks-have-been-on-a-tear-here-are-4-names-that-are-still-cheap-51616059802?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_2\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/cyclical-stocks-have-been-on-a-tear-here-are-4-names-that-are-still-cheap-51616059802?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1137663173","content_text":"Investors have rushed into so-called cyclical stocks as the economic outlook has gotten a shot in the arm and high-flying tech stocks take it on the chin. Even though many of those stocks, which perform better in times of economic expansion, now look a little expensive, a few still stand out as fairly cheap.\nStocks in economically-sensitive sectors such as banks, oil and industrials have performed more than handsomely this year as states announced reopenings and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus more than shored up demand. The SPDR S&P Bank (ticker: KBE), Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) and Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) exchange-traded funds are all up double digits year to date, dwarfing the S&P 500’s roughly 6% gain and the Nasdaq Composite’s 3.3% advance.\nTons of cyclicals now look fairly overextended. Caterpillar (CAT), for example, is up 27% year to date. The average analyst price target is 6% below its current trading price. Fortunately, there are some out there trading at attractive valuations with earnings momentum on their side.\nStrategists at Citigroup compiled a list on Monday of stocks with tolerable valuations, a few of which are cyclical in nature. Citi looked at the PEG ratio, or price/earnings to growth, which divides the forward earnings multiple by the expected earnings growth rate. It tells how justified a stock’s valuation is by showing the gap between the multiple and earnings growth. The slimmer the gap, the cheaper the stock. Citi looked at large capitalization stocks—those with market caps above $10 billion--and looked for those with the 25 lowest PEG ratios.\nWhen economic demand rises robustly, so do manufacturing projects, increasing demand for industrial metals used to build machinery. That’s propelled shares of Freeport McMoRan (FCX), the $50 billion by market capitalization metal miner. The company is worth a quarter more now than it was at the beginning of 2021. But the stock still trades at a PEG ratio of about 0.3, based on an expected compound annual growth rate of earnings for the next 3 years. By comparison, the average stock on the S&P 500 trades at a PEG ratio of 1.3. Freeport McMoRan shares could have plenty of runway ahead.\nAuto makers and other manufacturers need steel to build more products and machines when demand firms up. That’s good news for steelmaker Nucor (NUE), which has seen its currently $20 billion market cap rise by about a third this year. It trades at a 0.9 PEG ratio.\nShares of General Motors (GM) are up 45% but still trade at a PEG ratio around 1.3, in line with that of the broader market. The stock looks a little less attractive than the others on the list and earnings are only expected to compound in the high single digits over the next 3 years. Still, earnings in 2022 are expected to grow 19% over 2021, according to analysts polled by FactSet. The stock could therefore enjoy plenty of momentum in the near-term. People purchase more cars when they have more discretionary spending capacity.\nHotel chain Marriott International (MAR) is up more than 20% this year. It trades at a PEG ratio of 0.4. As the virus risk associated with hotels fades, people may be more comfortable visiting them. Plus, people’s increased discretionary spend is a major tailwind for hotels.\nStocks are pricey by some measures, but that doesn’t mean there are no bargains to ride the sharp economic rebound.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352624222,"gmtCreate":1616970966366,"gmtModify":1631889103196,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573188380003001","idStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment thanks !","listText":"Like and comment thanks !","text":"Like and comment thanks !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352624222","repostId":"1111192234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111192234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616772179,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111192234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111192234","media":"Barrons","summary":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla. Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors and Ford Motor have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and","content":"<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度还有几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商将提供更多交付数据。对于投资者来说,这些数字将比平时更高。原因很简单:全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors(GM) and Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)等高估值、高增长的公司来说,数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长,而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车 (F) 最近都意外停工,并称芯片问题是 2021 年数十亿美元的利润阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到这个问题。尽管如此,当第一季度数据公布时,如果业绩弱于预期,投资者必须决定是否给予特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止,市场并不乐观。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker reduced guidance for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来(蔚来)股价在周五交易中下跌超过 6%,此前这家电动汽车制造商将第一季度交付量指引从约 20,250 辆下调至约 19,500 辆。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由,将从 3 月 29 日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉来说,华尔街正在寻找 3 月份交付的约 162,000 辆汽车。这低于最高估计的约 18.3 万辆汽车。分析师似乎正在减少数字,可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约 181,000 辆汽车。对于 2021 年全年,分析师预计将交付近 80 万辆汽车,同比增长约 60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst Joe Spak is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师乔·斯帕克 (Joe Spak) 预测第一季度交付量为 170,000 辆,同比增长 90% 以上。他还预测,特斯拉本季度将在加州生产 96,000 辆汽车,在华生产 74,000 辆汽车。“Spak在周四的一份报告中写道:”共识[估计]看起来大多是合理的。“我们确实在寻找最新消息,看看半短缺对特斯拉的影响--就像对整个行业的影响一样。”他认为,由于芯片的影响,预测存在一些额外的下行风险,尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak 将特斯拉股票评级为持有,目标股价为 725 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言,芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。增长率上升主要有两种方式。首先,这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在未来很长一段时间内产生的。相对而言,当投资者今天可以从现金中获得更高的利率时,这种现金流的价值就会降低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The S&P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在 2020 年上涨超过 740% 后,今年迄今已下跌约 10%。周五早盘交易中,股价下跌 0.9%,至 634.40 美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 23:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度还有几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商将提供更多交付数据。对于投资者来说,这些数字将比平时更高。原因很简单:全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors(GM) and Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)等高估值、高增长的公司来说,数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长,而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车 (F) 最近都意外停工,并称芯片问题是 2021 年数十亿美元的利润阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到这个问题。尽管如此,当第一季度数据公布时,如果业绩弱于预期,投资者必须决定是否给予特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止,市场并不乐观。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker reduced guidance for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来(蔚来)股价在周五交易中下跌超过 6%,此前这家电动汽车制造商将第一季度交付量指引从约 20,250 辆下调至约 19,500 辆。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由,将从 3 月 29 日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉来说,华尔街正在寻找 3 月份交付的约 162,000 辆汽车。这低于最高估计的约 18.3 万辆汽车。分析师似乎正在减少数字,可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约 181,000 辆汽车。对于 2021 年全年,分析师预计将交付近 80 万辆汽车,同比增长约 60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst Joe Spak is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师乔·斯帕克 (Joe Spak) 预测第一季度交付量为 170,000 辆,同比增长 90% 以上。他还预测,特斯拉本季度将在加州生产 96,000 辆汽车,在华生产 74,000 辆汽车。“Spak在周四的一份报告中写道:”共识[估计]看起来大多是合理的。“我们确实在寻找最新消息,看看半短缺对特斯拉的影响--就像对整个行业的影响一样。”他认为,由于芯片的影响,预测存在一些额外的下行风险,尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak 将特斯拉股票评级为持有,目标股价为 725 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言,芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。增长率上升主要有两种方式。首先,这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在未来很长一段时间内产生的。相对而言,当投资者今天可以从现金中获得更高的利率时,这种现金流的价值就会降低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The S&P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在 2020 年上涨超过 740% 后,今年迄今已下跌约 10%。周五早盘交易中,股价下跌 0.9%,至 634.40 美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111192234","content_text":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.\nNumbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors(GM) and Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.\nEveryone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.\nSo far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.\nNIO shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker reduced guidance for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.\nFor Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.\nTesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.\nRBC analyst Joe Spak is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.\nSpak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.\nIn the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.\nTesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The S&P 500is up about 0.7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":322970046,"gmtCreate":1615770132485,"gmtModify":1703492668733,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573188380003001","idStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322970046","repostId":"1177248020","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177248020","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615769942,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1177248020?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-15 08:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"‘There will be no peace’ until 10-year Treasury yield hits 2%, strategist says<blockquote>策略师表示,在 10 年期国债收益率达到 2% 之前,“不会有和平”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177248020","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Futile to fight rising U.S. dollar while yields remain on rise: Soc Gen’s Juckes\nA bond market sello","content":"<p>Futile to fight rising U.S. dollar while yields remain on rise: Soc Gen’s Juckes</p><p><blockquote>在收益率仍在上升的情况下对抗美元上涨是徒劳的: Soc Gen 的缺点</blockquote></p><p> A bond market selloff is calling the tune across financial markets, including for foreign exchange. Equilibrium is unlikely to return until the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note hits 2%, argued one well-known analyst on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>债券市场抛售正在影响包括外汇市场在内的整个金融市场。一位知名分析师周五表示,在基准 10 年期美国国债收益率达到 2% 之前,均衡不太可能恢复。</blockquote></p><p> “There will be no peace until U.S. 10s reach 2%,” said Kit Juckes, global macro strategist at Société Générale, in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“法国兴业银行(Société Générale)全球宏观策略师基特-朱克斯(Kit Juckes)在一份报告中说:”在美国 10 年代达到 2% 之前,不会有和平。</blockquote></p><p> A pair of U.S. government bond auctions, which had been a source of nervousness, went off without any major problems over the past week, with yields settling into a new and higher range, Juckes said. The 10-year Treasury yield rose 8.3 basis points to 1.634% last week. Yields and bond prices move in opposite directions.</p><p><blockquote>朱克斯表示,过去一周令人紧张的两次美国政府债券拍卖顺利进行,没有出现任何重大问题,收益率稳定在一个新的更高范围内。10年期国债收益率上周上涨8.3个基点至1.634%。收益率和债券价格走势相反。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields have triggered rotation away from growth-oriented stocks, including large-cap, tech-related shares, into more cyclically sensitive and often value-oriented stocks and sectors. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped into correction territory, defined as pullback of 10% from a recent peak, as yields continued to climb, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have traded at records. All three benchmarks finished positive on the week, with the Nasdaq bouncing on days when the climb in yields relented.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升引发了人们从成长型股票(包括大盘科技相关股票)转向对周期性更为敏感且通常以价值为导向的股票和行业。随着收益率继续攀升,以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数滑入调整区域,定义为从近期峰值回调 10%,而标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数的交易价格均创下历史新高。本周所有三个基准指数均以正值收盘,纳斯达克在收益率攀升放缓的日子里反弹。</blockquote></p><p> The rising yields have resulted in renewed strength for the dollar, which Juckes said he wasn’t eager to fight at the moment. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index,a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was up 0.3% Friday and has gained 0.9% so far in March.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升导致美元重新走强,朱克斯表示他目前并不急于与美元抗衡。ICE 美元指数是衡量美元兑一篮子六个主要竞争对手货币的指标,周五上涨 0.3%,3 月份迄今已上涨 0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> “The pattern seems clear enough: The equity market is seeing a sector rotation but not a correction; the bond market is seeking a new equilibrium in the light of a vastly improved economic outlook in both the U.S. and elsewhere; some policy makers are pushing back against the bond moves, with little success,” Juckes wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“朱克斯写道:”这种模式似乎很明显: 股票市场正在经历行业轮动,但并未出现回调;鉴于美国和其他地区的经济前景大为改善,债券市场正在寻求新的平衡;一些政策制定者正在抵制债券举措,但收效甚微。</blockquote></p><p> “As yields rise, the dollar rallies, but when yields settle at a new level, the dollar drops back. The pattern probably goes on until bonds find an equilibrium, unlikely before 10-year note yields have a 2-handle, judging by taper tantrums and past cycles,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“当收益率上升时,美元就会上涨,但当收益率稳定在一个新的水平时,美元就会回落。这种模式可能会持续下去,直到债券找到平衡,而从缩减债券规模和过去的周期来看,10 年期国债收益率不太可能出现双把手,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad831db163402d8e89e30e64ad84ff5\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>SOCIETE GENERALE</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>兴业银行</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the dollar/Japanese yen and euro/Swiss franc currency pairs are the most sensitive to higher Treasury yields (see chart above), Juckes said, noting that dollar/yen typically correlates more closely with real, or inflation-adjusted, US. yields than nominal rates, while euro/Swiss franc tends to track more closely with nominal yields.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,Juckes表示,美元/日元和欧元/瑞士法郎货币对对国债收益率上升最为敏感(见上图),并指出美元/日元通常与实际或通胀调整后的美国相关性更密切。收益率高于名义利率,而欧元/瑞士法郎往往与名义收益率更紧密地跟踪。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, this year has seen all four — real and nominal yields, dollar/yen and euro/Swissfranc — move higher largely in lockstep, he said.</p><p><blockquote>相反,他表示,今年所有四种指标——实际收益率和名义收益率、美元/日元和欧元/瑞士法郎——基本上同步走高。</blockquote></p><p> “ While U.S. yields rise, EUR/CHF and USD/JPY are likely to go on trending higher, too, at least while the momentum is this strong. If we get to 2% 10-year note yields in the coming weeks, dumb extrapolation could take USD/JPY to 111, and EUR/CHF to 0.96,” he said. “Maybe too simplistic, but these moves are too strong to fight in the short-term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在美国国债收益率上升的同时,欧元/瑞士法郎和美元/日元也可能继续走高,至少在势头如此强劲的情况下是这样。如果我们在未来几周内达到 2% 的 10 年期国债收益率,愚蠢的推断可能会使美元/日元达到 111,欧元/瑞士法郎达到 0.96,”他说。“也许过于简单化,但这些举措在短期内过于强硬”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>‘There will be no peace’ until 10-year Treasury yield hits 2%, strategist says<blockquote>策略师表示,在 10 年期国债收益率达到 2% 之前,“不会有和平”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n‘There will be no peace’ until 10-year Treasury yield hits 2%, strategist says<blockquote>策略师表示,在 10 年期国债收益率达到 2% 之前,“不会有和平”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-15 08:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Futile to fight rising U.S. dollar while yields remain on rise: Soc Gen’s Juckes</p><p><blockquote>在收益率仍在上升的情况下对抗美元上涨是徒劳的: Soc Gen 的缺点</blockquote></p><p> A bond market selloff is calling the tune across financial markets, including for foreign exchange. Equilibrium is unlikely to return until the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note hits 2%, argued one well-known analyst on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>债券市场抛售正在影响包括外汇市场在内的整个金融市场。一位知名分析师周五表示,在基准 10 年期美国国债收益率达到 2% 之前,均衡不太可能恢复。</blockquote></p><p> “There will be no peace until U.S. 10s reach 2%,” said Kit Juckes, global macro strategist at Société Générale, in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“法国兴业银行(Société Générale)全球宏观策略师基特-朱克斯(Kit Juckes)在一份报告中说:”在美国 10 年代达到 2% 之前,不会有和平。</blockquote></p><p> A pair of U.S. government bond auctions, which had been a source of nervousness, went off without any major problems over the past week, with yields settling into a new and higher range, Juckes said. The 10-year Treasury yield rose 8.3 basis points to 1.634% last week. Yields and bond prices move in opposite directions.</p><p><blockquote>朱克斯表示,过去一周令人紧张的两次美国政府债券拍卖顺利进行,没有出现任何重大问题,收益率稳定在一个新的更高范围内。10年期国债收益率上周上涨8.3个基点至1.634%。收益率和债券价格走势相反。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields have triggered rotation away from growth-oriented stocks, including large-cap, tech-related shares, into more cyclically sensitive and often value-oriented stocks and sectors. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped into correction territory, defined as pullback of 10% from a recent peak, as yields continued to climb, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have traded at records. All three benchmarks finished positive on the week, with the Nasdaq bouncing on days when the climb in yields relented.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升引发了人们从成长型股票(包括大盘科技相关股票)转向对周期性更为敏感且通常以价值为导向的股票和行业。随着收益率继续攀升,以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数滑入调整区域,定义为从近期峰值回调 10%,而标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数的交易价格均创下历史新高。本周所有三个基准指数均以正值收盘,纳斯达克在收益率攀升放缓的日子里反弹。</blockquote></p><p> The rising yields have resulted in renewed strength for the dollar, which Juckes said he wasn’t eager to fight at the moment. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index,a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was up 0.3% Friday and has gained 0.9% so far in March.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升导致美元重新走强,朱克斯表示他目前并不急于与美元抗衡。ICE 美元指数是衡量美元兑一篮子六个主要竞争对手货币的指标,周五上涨 0.3%,3 月份迄今已上涨 0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> “The pattern seems clear enough: The equity market is seeing a sector rotation but not a correction; the bond market is seeking a new equilibrium in the light of a vastly improved economic outlook in both the U.S. and elsewhere; some policy makers are pushing back against the bond moves, with little success,” Juckes wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“朱克斯写道:”这种模式似乎很明显: 股票市场正在经历行业轮动,但并未出现回调;鉴于美国和其他地区的经济前景大为改善,债券市场正在寻求新的平衡;一些政策制定者正在抵制债券举措,但收效甚微。</blockquote></p><p> “As yields rise, the dollar rallies, but when yields settle at a new level, the dollar drops back. The pattern probably goes on until bonds find an equilibrium, unlikely before 10-year note yields have a 2-handle, judging by taper tantrums and past cycles,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“当收益率上升时,美元就会上涨,但当收益率稳定在一个新的水平时,美元就会回落。这种模式可能会持续下去,直到债券找到平衡,而从缩减债券规模和过去的周期来看,10 年期国债收益率不太可能出现双把手,”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad831db163402d8e89e30e64ad84ff5\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>SOCIETE GENERALE</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>兴业银行</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the dollar/Japanese yen and euro/Swiss franc currency pairs are the most sensitive to higher Treasury yields (see chart above), Juckes said, noting that dollar/yen typically correlates more closely with real, or inflation-adjusted, US. yields than nominal rates, while euro/Swiss franc tends to track more closely with nominal yields.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,Juckes表示,美元/日元和欧元/瑞士法郎货币对对国债收益率上升最为敏感(见上图),并指出美元/日元通常与实际或通胀调整后的美国相关性更密切。收益率高于名义利率,而欧元/瑞士法郎往往与名义收益率更紧密地跟踪。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, this year has seen all four — real and nominal yields, dollar/yen and euro/Swissfranc — move higher largely in lockstep, he said.</p><p><blockquote>相反,他表示,今年所有四种指标——实际收益率和名义收益率、美元/日元和欧元/瑞士法郎——基本上同步走高。</blockquote></p><p> “ While U.S. yields rise, EUR/CHF and USD/JPY are likely to go on trending higher, too, at least while the momentum is this strong. If we get to 2% 10-year note yields in the coming weeks, dumb extrapolation could take USD/JPY to 111, and EUR/CHF to 0.96,” he said. “Maybe too simplistic, but these moves are too strong to fight in the short-term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在美国国债收益率上升的同时,欧元/瑞士法郎和美元/日元也可能继续走高,至少在势头如此强劲的情况下是这样。如果我们在未来几周内达到 2% 的 10 年期国债收益率,愚蠢的推断可能会使美元/日元达到 111,欧元/瑞士法郎达到 0.96,”他说。“也许过于简单化,但这些举措在短期内过于强硬”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/no-peace-for-markets-until-10-year-treasury-yield-hits-2-strategist-says-11615577089?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/no-peace-for-markets-until-10-year-treasury-yield-hits-2-strategist-says-11615577089?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1177248020","content_text":"Futile to fight rising U.S. dollar while yields remain on rise: Soc Gen’s Juckes\nA bond market selloff is calling the tune across financial markets, including for foreign exchange. Equilibrium is unlikely to return until the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note hits 2%, argued one well-known analyst on Friday.\n“There will be no peace until U.S. 10s reach 2%,” said Kit Juckes, global macro strategist at Société Générale, in a note.\nA pair of U.S. government bond auctions, which had been a source of nervousness, went off without any major problems over the past week, with yields settling into a new and higher range, Juckes said. The 10-year Treasury yield rose 8.3 basis points to 1.634% last week. Yields and bond prices move in opposite directions.\nRising yields have triggered rotation away from growth-oriented stocks, including large-cap, tech-related shares, into more cyclically sensitive and often value-oriented stocks and sectors. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped into correction territory, defined as pullback of 10% from a recent peak, as yields continued to climb, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have traded at records. All three benchmarks finished positive on the week, with the Nasdaq bouncing on days when the climb in yields relented.\nThe rising yields have resulted in renewed strength for the dollar, which Juckes said he wasn’t eager to fight at the moment. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index,a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was up 0.3% Friday and has gained 0.9% so far in March.\n“The pattern seems clear enough: The equity market is seeing a sector rotation but not a correction; the bond market is seeking a new equilibrium in the light of a vastly improved economic outlook in both the U.S. and elsewhere; some policy makers are pushing back against the bond moves, with little success,” Juckes wrote.\n“As yields rise, the dollar rallies, but when yields settle at a new level, the dollar drops back. The pattern probably goes on until bonds find an equilibrium, unlikely before 10-year note yields have a 2-handle, judging by taper tantrums and past cycles,” he said.\nSOCIETE GENERALE\nMeanwhile, the dollar/Japanese yen and euro/Swiss franc currency pairs are the most sensitive to higher Treasury yields (see chart above), Juckes said, noting that dollar/yen typically correlates more closely with real, or inflation-adjusted, US. yields than nominal rates, while euro/Swiss franc tends to track more closely with nominal yields.\nInstead, this year has seen all four — real and nominal yields, dollar/yen and euro/Swissfranc — move higher largely in lockstep, he said.\n“ While U.S. yields rise, EUR/CHF and USD/JPY are likely to go on trending higher, too, at least while the momentum is this strong. If we get to 2% 10-year note yields in the coming weeks, dumb extrapolation could take USD/JPY to 111, and EUR/CHF to 0.96,” he said. “Maybe too simplistic, but these moves are too strong to fight in the short-term.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZNmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352624883,"gmtCreate":1616970946842,"gmtModify":1631889103209,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573188380003001","idStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment thanks !","listText":"Like and comment thanks !","text":"Like and comment thanks !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352624883","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元,比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端,公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价,为每股美国存托股9.50美元,处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告,筹集了5.225亿美元,而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式,数百万人提出问题,交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降,因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%,在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%,在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足他们所有的销售和营销需求,包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下,公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%,2022年达到69.2%,2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&A和R&D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底,知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者,贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度,该公司平均月活跃用户7570万,同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一,并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能,包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月,知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金,公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元,这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额,这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年,是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底,共有3.15亿条问答,涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言,知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份(但拥有46.6%的投票权)。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份,腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年,该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务,并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年,平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万,这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月,该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划,使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会,包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一,因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入,并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足他们所有的销售和营销需求,包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询,预计2019年至2025年,中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率(1,123亿元人民币)。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC(用户生成内容)为中心的(包括PUGC(专业用户生成内容)为中心的在线内容市场参与者,其中内容创建者也是用户,他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC(专业生成内容)玩家相比,内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验,并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币,预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币,二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%,高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道,包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下,美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间,中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长,这意味着到 2025 年,在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿,达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍,到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币,2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模(按收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模(按收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模(按收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务,在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务,从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者,到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币,复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模(按收入计),2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元,比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端,公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价,为每股美国存托股9.50美元,处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告,筹集了5.225亿美元,而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式,数百万人提出问题,交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降,因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%,在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%,在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足他们所有的销售和营销需求,包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下,公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%,2022年达到69.2%,2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&A和R&D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底,知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者,贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度,该公司平均月活跃用户7570万,同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一,并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能,包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月,知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金,公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元,这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额,这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年,是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底,共有3.15亿条问答,涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言,知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份(但拥有46.6%的投票权)。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份,腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年,该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务,并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年,平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万,这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月,该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划,使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会,包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一,因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入,并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足他们所有的销售和营销需求,包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询,预计2019年至2025年,中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率(1,123亿元人民币)。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC(用户生成内容)为中心的(包括PUGC(专业用户生成内容)为中心的在线内容市场参与者,其中内容创建者也是用户,他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC(专业生成内容)玩家相比,内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验,并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币,预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币,二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%,高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道,包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下,美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间,中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长,这意味着到 2025 年,在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿,达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍,到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币,2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模(按收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模(按收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模(按收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务,在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务,从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者,到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币,复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模(按收入计),2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325417763,"gmtCreate":1615912639752,"gmtModify":1703495027539,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573188380003001","idStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment ","listText":"Like and comment ","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325417763","repostId":"1121564086","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364038611,"gmtCreate":1614784265533,"gmtModify":1703481136239,"author":{"id":"3573188380003001","authorId":"3573188380003001","name":"Shans","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02cb23ad0184feeff1044e729ed1632","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573188380003001","idStr":"3573188380003001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364038611","repostId":"1142291726","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142291726","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614782765,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142291726?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-03 22:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rocket Companies fell more than 17%<blockquote>火箭公司下跌超过17%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142291726","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"(March 3) RKT fell more than 16% in early trading.The stock had soared a one-day record 71.2% on Tue","content":"<p>(March 3) RKT fell more than 16% in early trading.</p><p><blockquote>(3月3日)RKT早盘下跌超过16%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3a2fe2d614eab9802b1184021232409\" tg-width=\"1068\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc579c4238f50b4f640f4c2527a40b9a\" tg-width=\"1069\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The stock had soared a one-day record 71.2% on Tuesday on record volume of 376.6 million shares, and ran up 109.0% amid a three-day win streak, after the real estate services company reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results and announced a special dividend of $1.11 a share. The company is presenting later Wednesday at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom Conference. S3 Partners said Tuesday that the stock's recent rally and short-selling activity, in which short interest increased during the rally, was \"reminiscent of another recent highflying 'meme' stock -- GameStop Inc.\" . Rocket's stock has advanced 104.8% over the past three months through Tuesday, while the S&P 500 has gained 5.6%.</p><p><blockquote>周二,这家房地产服务公司公布好于预期的第四季度业绩并宣布特别股息每股 1.11 美元后,该股单日飙升 71.2%,创下 3.766 亿股的纪录,并在连续三天上涨的情况下上涨 109.0%。该公司将于周三晚些时候在摩根士丹利技术、媒体和电信会议上发表演讲。S3 Partners 周二表示,该股最近的反弹和卖空活动(反弹期间空头兴趣增加)“让人想起最近另一只高歌猛进的‘模因’股票——游戏驿站公司”。截至周二,Rocket 的股价在过去三个月中上涨了 104.8%,而标普500则上涨了 5.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rocket Companies fell more than 17%<blockquote>火箭公司下跌超过17%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRocket Companies fell more than 17%<blockquote>火箭公司下跌超过17%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-03 22:46</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(March 3) RKT fell more than 16% in early trading.</p><p><blockquote>(3月3日)RKT早盘下跌超过16%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3a2fe2d614eab9802b1184021232409\" tg-width=\"1068\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc579c4238f50b4f640f4c2527a40b9a\" tg-width=\"1069\" tg-height=\"517\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>The stock had soared a one-day record 71.2% on Tuesday on record volume of 376.6 million shares, and ran up 109.0% amid a three-day win streak, after the real estate services company reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results and announced a special dividend of $1.11 a share. The company is presenting later Wednesday at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom Conference. S3 Partners said Tuesday that the stock's recent rally and short-selling activity, in which short interest increased during the rally, was \"reminiscent of another recent highflying 'meme' stock -- GameStop Inc.\" . Rocket's stock has advanced 104.8% over the past three months through Tuesday, while the S&P 500 has gained 5.6%.</p><p><blockquote>周二,这家房地产服务公司公布好于预期的第四季度业绩并宣布特别股息每股 1.11 美元后,该股单日飙升 71.2%,创下 3.766 亿股的纪录,并在连续三天上涨的情况下上涨 109.0%。该公司将于周三晚些时候在摩根士丹利技术、媒体和电信会议上发表演讲。S3 Partners 周二表示,该股最近的反弹和卖空活动(反弹期间空头兴趣增加)“让人想起最近另一只高歌猛进的‘模因’股票——游戏驿站公司”。截至周二,Rocket 的股价在过去三个月中上涨了 104.8%,而标普500则上涨了 5.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RKT":"Rocket Companies"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142291726","content_text":"(March 3) RKT fell more than 16% in early trading.The stock had soared a one-day record 71.2% on Tuesday on record volume of 376.6 million shares, and ran up 109.0% amid a three-day win streak, after the real estate services company reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results and announced a special dividend of $1.11 a share. The company is presenting later Wednesday at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom Conference. S3 Partners said Tuesday that the stock's recent rally and short-selling activity, in which short interest increased during the rally, was \"reminiscent of another recent highflying 'meme' stock -- GameStop Inc.\" . Rocket's stock has advanced 104.8% over the past three months through Tuesday, while the S&P 500 has gained 5.6%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RKT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}