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TESyourmumLa
2021-09-27
Good
Apple Stock: The “Trick” That Can Push Share Price Higher<blockquote>苹果股票:能推高股价的“绝招”</blockquote>
TESyourmumLa
2021-08-26
Nice
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TESyourmumLa
2021-08-25
Great article
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TESyourmumLa
2021-08-24
Good article
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TESyourmumLa
2021-08-21
Good article
Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>
TESyourmumLa
2021-08-20
Good article
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TESyourmumLa
2021-08-17
Good article
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TESyourmumLa
2021-08-11
Great article
What stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?<blockquote>哪些股票和板块将从基建法案中受益?</blockquote>
TESyourmumLa
2021-08-10
Should buy Tesla
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TESyourmumLa
2021-08-08
DeFi is good
SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>
TESyourmumLa
2021-08-06
Netflix good
Netflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Other SVOD Services Are Seeing Customers Spend More Now Than During Pandemic: Survey<blockquote>调查显示,Netflix、Disney+、Amazon Prime Video和其他SVOD服务的客户现在的支出比大流行期间还要多</blockquote>
TESyourmumLa
2021-08-03
It’s a roller coaster ride
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TESyourmumLa
2021-07-30
Good
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TESyourmumLa
2021-07-29
Ford worth to buy
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TESyourmumLa
2021-07-25
NIO has huge potential
Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>
TESyourmumLa
2021-07-24
Good
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TESyourmumLa
2021-07-23
Good article
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TESyourmumLa
2021-07-22
Nice
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TESyourmumLa
2021-07-21
Good article
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TESyourmumLa
2021-07-19
Nice article
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去老虎APP查看更多动态
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This is how Apple stock investors should benefit.</p><p><blockquote>继疫情期间活动回落后,美国企业界继续积极购买自己的股票。这就是苹果股票投资者应该受益的方式。</blockquote></p><p> S&P Dow Jones Indices has reported that US-based companies continue to invest heavily in… their own stock. Share buybacks in Q2 has risen nearly 12% sequentially and 124% YOY. This is a strong rebound from the post-COVID period of uncertainty that led to a temporary reduction in repurchase activity.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔道琼斯指数报告称,美国公司继续大力投资……他们自己的股票。第二季度股票回购量环比增长近12%,同比增长124%。这是从导致回购活动暂时减少的后新冠疫情不确定性时期的强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p> This is a reminder for Apple stock investors that the Cupertino company’s share price can continue to benefit from stock buybacks. The Apple Maven recaps why this might be the case.</p><p><blockquote>这提醒苹果股票投资者,库比蒂诺公司的股价可以继续受益于股票回购。苹果专家概述了为什么会出现这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3facec59ae76a6c28f4c5847600b4de\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"886\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple store in New York, NY.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1:纽约州纽约市的苹果商店。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple’s “secret sauce”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的“秘制酱料”</b></blockquote></p><p> A bit over a year ago,I talked about one of Apple’s tricks to driving share price higher in the past decade. “Tenfold in ten years” was possible not merely because of robust business fundamentals. Sure, the popularity of the iPhone and success of iPad contributed greatly to compelling stock performance. But share repurchase was also an important piece of the puzzle.</p><p><blockquote>一年多前,我谈到了苹果在过去十年中推动股价上涨的技巧之一。“十年十倍”之所以成为可能,不仅仅是因为稳健的业务基本面。当然,iPhone的流行和iPad的成功极大地促进了引人注目的股票表现。但股票回购也是这个难题的重要组成部分。</blockquote></p><p> Think about it: since 2011, Apple’s net income grew an impressive 190%. But at the same time, EPS (earnings per share) shot up by 325% over the same period. This “net income leverage” effect was only possible because share count was slashed by around 30% between 2013 and 2020. See chart below, which was published in June 2020 and not adjusted for the most recent stock split.</p><p><blockquote>想想看:自2011年以来,苹果的净利润增长了令人印象深刻的190%。但与此同时,EPS(每股收益)同期飙升325%。这种“净利润杠杆”效应之所以成为可能,是因为2013年至2020年间股票数量削减了约30%。请参阅下图,该图表于2020年6月发布,未根据最近的股票分割进行调整。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10126c1a8a7f21648f44ba54c038c518\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"352\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Apple's net cash & shares outstanding since 2011.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2:苹果自2011年以来的净现金和已发行股票。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the S&P’s most recent report, Apple was cited as the leader of the pack in stock buybacks by “not only spending the most of any [company], but its Q2 expenditure ranked second highest in S&P history”. The Cupertino company seems highly committed to supporting its stock, which should be a bullish sign.</p><p><blockquote>在标准普尔最近的报告中,苹果被认为是股票回购的领导者,因为“不仅是所有[公司]中支出最多的,而且其第二季度支出在标准普尔历史上排名第二”。这家库比蒂诺公司似乎高度致力于支持其股票,这应该是一个看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Maven’s take: quick math</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果·梅文的观点:快速数学</b></blockquote></p><p> Continuing to retire shares is, in my view, a crucial tenet of the investment thesis on AAPL stock – and Apple’s management team seems to agree. Year-to-date, the Cupertino company has spent $66.2 billion on repurchases, 20% more than in fiscal 2020. The figure is massive, as it has represented nearly 90% of the free cash flow that Apple has produced in fiscal 2021 so far.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来,继续回购股票是苹果公司股票投资理论的一个重要原则——苹果的管理团队似乎也同意这一点。今年迄今为止,这家库比蒂诺公司已花费662亿美元用于回购,比2020财年增加了20%。这个数字是巨大的,因为它代表了苹果2021财年迄今为止产生的自由现金流的近90%。</blockquote></p><p> At this pace, and assuming a share price of $150 apiece, Apple can retire around 600 million shares per year going forward, or just short of 4% of the total number of shares outstanding annually. Give it five years, and Apple’s share count could drop by almost 20%.</p><p><blockquote>按照这个速度,假设每股股价为150美元,苹果未来每年可以退役约6亿股,略低于每年已发行股票总数的4%。五年后,苹果的股票数量可能会下降近20%。</blockquote></p><p> Think of the EPS calculation, which is net income divided by shares outstanding. Repurchases alone can boost Apple’s bottom line quite substantially. Assuming the stock’s P/E valuation does not change, it is fair to say, roughly, that AAPL stock can rise some 20% by 2026 due to buybacks alone.</p><p><blockquote>想想每股收益的计算,即净利润除以已发行股票。仅回购就可以大幅提高苹果的利润。假设该股的市盈率估值不变,粗略地说,仅由于回购,AAPL股价到2026年就可以上涨约20%。</blockquote></p><p> For this reason and given the recent reports of a pickup in share repurchase activity across Corporate America, Apple investors have good reasons to be optimistic about share price performance.</p><p><blockquote>出于这个原因,并鉴于最近有报道称美国企业界股票回购活动有所增加,苹果投资者有充分的理由对股价表现持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The “Trick” That Can Push Share Price Higher<blockquote>苹果股票:能推高股价的“绝招”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The “Trick” That Can Push Share Price Higher<blockquote>苹果股票:能推高股价的“绝招”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-27 15:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Corporate America continues to aggressively buy their own shares, following a pullback in activity during the pandemic. This is how Apple stock investors should benefit.</p><p><blockquote>继疫情期间活动回落后,美国企业界继续积极购买自己的股票。这就是苹果股票投资者应该受益的方式。</blockquote></p><p> S&P Dow Jones Indices has reported that US-based companies continue to invest heavily in… their own stock. Share buybacks in Q2 has risen nearly 12% sequentially and 124% YOY. This is a strong rebound from the post-COVID period of uncertainty that led to a temporary reduction in repurchase activity.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔道琼斯指数报告称,美国公司继续大力投资……他们自己的股票。第二季度股票回购量环比增长近12%,同比增长124%。这是从导致回购活动暂时减少的后新冠疫情不确定性时期的强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p> This is a reminder for Apple stock investors that the Cupertino company’s share price can continue to benefit from stock buybacks. The Apple Maven recaps why this might be the case.</p><p><blockquote>这提醒苹果股票投资者,库比蒂诺公司的股价可以继续受益于股票回购。苹果专家概述了为什么会出现这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3facec59ae76a6c28f4c5847600b4de\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"886\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple store in New York, NY.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1:纽约州纽约市的苹果商店。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple’s “secret sauce”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的“秘制酱料”</b></blockquote></p><p> A bit over a year ago,I talked about one of Apple’s tricks to driving share price higher in the past decade. “Tenfold in ten years” was possible not merely because of robust business fundamentals. Sure, the popularity of the iPhone and success of iPad contributed greatly to compelling stock performance. But share repurchase was also an important piece of the puzzle.</p><p><blockquote>一年多前,我谈到了苹果在过去十年中推动股价上涨的技巧之一。“十年十倍”之所以成为可能,不仅仅是因为稳健的业务基本面。当然,iPhone的流行和iPad的成功极大地促进了引人注目的股票表现。但股票回购也是这个难题的重要组成部分。</blockquote></p><p> Think about it: since 2011, Apple’s net income grew an impressive 190%. But at the same time, EPS (earnings per share) shot up by 325% over the same period. This “net income leverage” effect was only possible because share count was slashed by around 30% between 2013 and 2020. See chart below, which was published in June 2020 and not adjusted for the most recent stock split.</p><p><blockquote>想想看:自2011年以来,苹果的净利润增长了令人印象深刻的190%。但与此同时,EPS(每股收益)同期飙升325%。这种“净利润杠杆”效应之所以成为可能,是因为2013年至2020年间股票数量削减了约30%。请参阅下图,该图表于2020年6月发布,未根据最近的股票分割进行调整。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10126c1a8a7f21648f44ba54c038c518\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"352\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Apple's net cash & shares outstanding since 2011.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2:苹果自2011年以来的净现金和已发行股票。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the S&P’s most recent report, Apple was cited as the leader of the pack in stock buybacks by “not only spending the most of any [company], but its Q2 expenditure ranked second highest in S&P history”. The Cupertino company seems highly committed to supporting its stock, which should be a bullish sign.</p><p><blockquote>在标准普尔最近的报告中,苹果被认为是股票回购的领导者,因为“不仅是所有[公司]中支出最多的,而且其第二季度支出在标准普尔历史上排名第二”。这家库比蒂诺公司似乎高度致力于支持其股票,这应该是一个看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Maven’s take: quick math</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果·梅文的观点:快速数学</b></blockquote></p><p> Continuing to retire shares is, in my view, a crucial tenet of the investment thesis on AAPL stock – and Apple’s management team seems to agree. Year-to-date, the Cupertino company has spent $66.2 billion on repurchases, 20% more than in fiscal 2020. The figure is massive, as it has represented nearly 90% of the free cash flow that Apple has produced in fiscal 2021 so far.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来,继续回购股票是苹果公司股票投资理论的一个重要原则——苹果的管理团队似乎也同意这一点。今年迄今为止,这家库比蒂诺公司已花费662亿美元用于回购,比2020财年增加了20%。这个数字是巨大的,因为它代表了苹果2021财年迄今为止产生的自由现金流的近90%。</blockquote></p><p> At this pace, and assuming a share price of $150 apiece, Apple can retire around 600 million shares per year going forward, or just short of 4% of the total number of shares outstanding annually. Give it five years, and Apple’s share count could drop by almost 20%.</p><p><blockquote>按照这个速度,假设每股股价为150美元,苹果未来每年可以退役约6亿股,略低于每年已发行股票总数的4%。五年后,苹果的股票数量可能会下降近20%。</blockquote></p><p> Think of the EPS calculation, which is net income divided by shares outstanding. Repurchases alone can boost Apple’s bottom line quite substantially. Assuming the stock’s P/E valuation does not change, it is fair to say, roughly, that AAPL stock can rise some 20% by 2026 due to buybacks alone.</p><p><blockquote>想想每股收益的计算,即净利润除以已发行股票。仅回购就可以大幅提高苹果的利润。假设该股的市盈率估值不变,粗略地说,仅由于回购,AAPL股价到2026年就可以上涨约20%。</blockquote></p><p> For this reason and given the recent reports of a pickup in share repurchase activity across Corporate America, Apple investors have good reasons to be optimistic about share price performance.</p><p><blockquote>出于这个原因,并鉴于最近有报道称美国企业界股票回购活动有所增加,苹果投资者有充分的理由对股价表现持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-trick-that-can-push-share-price-higher\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-trick-that-can-push-share-price-higher","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143344359","content_text":"Corporate America continues to aggressively buy their own shares, following a pullback in activity during the pandemic. This is how Apple stock investors should benefit.\nS&P Dow Jones Indices has reported that US-based companies continue to invest heavily in… their own stock. Share buybacks in Q2 has risen nearly 12% sequentially and 124% YOY. This is a strong rebound from the post-COVID period of uncertainty that led to a temporary reduction in repurchase activity.\nThis is a reminder for Apple stock investors that the Cupertino company’s share price can continue to benefit from stock buybacks. The Apple Maven recaps why this might be the case.\nFigure 1: Apple store in New York, NY.\nApple’s “secret sauce”\nA bit over a year ago,I talked about one of Apple’s tricks to driving share price higher in the past decade. “Tenfold in ten years” was possible not merely because of robust business fundamentals. Sure, the popularity of the iPhone and success of iPad contributed greatly to compelling stock performance. But share repurchase was also an important piece of the puzzle.\nThink about it: since 2011, Apple’s net income grew an impressive 190%. But at the same time, EPS (earnings per share) shot up by 325% over the same period. This “net income leverage” effect was only possible because share count was slashed by around 30% between 2013 and 2020. See chart below, which was published in June 2020 and not adjusted for the most recent stock split.\nFigure 2: Apple's net cash & shares outstanding since 2011.\nIn the S&P’s most recent report, Apple was cited as the leader of the pack in stock buybacks by “not only spending the most of any [company], but its Q2 expenditure ranked second highest in S&P history”. The Cupertino company seems highly committed to supporting its stock, which should be a bullish sign.\nApple Maven’s take: quick math\nContinuing to retire shares is, in my view, a crucial tenet of the investment thesis on AAPL stock – and Apple’s management team seems to agree. Year-to-date, the Cupertino company has spent $66.2 billion on repurchases, 20% more than in fiscal 2020. The figure is massive, as it has represented nearly 90% of the free cash flow that Apple has produced in fiscal 2021 so far.\nAt this pace, and assuming a share price of $150 apiece, Apple can retire around 600 million shares per year going forward, or just short of 4% of the total number of shares outstanding annually. Give it five years, and Apple’s share count could drop by almost 20%.\nThink of the EPS calculation, which is net income divided by shares outstanding. Repurchases alone can boost Apple’s bottom line quite substantially. Assuming the stock’s P/E valuation does not change, it is fair to say, roughly, that AAPL stock can rise some 20% by 2026 due to buybacks alone.\nFor this reason and given the recent reports of a pickup in share repurchase activity across Corporate America, Apple investors have good reasons to be optimistic about share price performance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":810466441,"gmtCreate":1629993397083,"gmtModify":1704954376981,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice ","listText":"Nice ","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810466441","repostId":"2162301893","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837867623,"gmtCreate":1629875741462,"gmtModify":1633681775712,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article","listText":"Great article","text":"Great article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837867623","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3067,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834461532,"gmtCreate":1629819489126,"gmtModify":1633682198181,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834461532","repostId":"2161818081","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2808,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836434171,"gmtCreate":1629513427793,"gmtModify":1633684329034,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836434171","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中,芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%,而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入?或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施,进入持续下跌趋势,让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表,但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天,那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因:“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然,这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化,现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险,那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先,以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因,以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示:“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑,然后是服务器,然后是电话。”但他表示,现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大,因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”,从各个角度来看,终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出,在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示:“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测,到2030年,芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番,达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”,他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下,从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造,行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中,有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面,公司在极紫外光刻(EUV)领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示,整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为,加上成本削减,意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年,芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善,”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%,而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出,尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数,但它们看起来很便宜,因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度(见下文),但他特别指出了两家公司,它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振:高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击,例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断,但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia,该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计,当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时,他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说,他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图,他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者,但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上,台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上,这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点,”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品,这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示,希望到2025年生产70%的芯片,高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是,有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买,导致未来的平静,这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计,这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出,使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流,但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数(PMI)在4月份达到顶峰,然后连续三个月减速。与此同时,芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出,通常情况下,两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设,而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此,他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器(DRAM)芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情,”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺,而不是表明短缺并不真实(只是库存增加)。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示:“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如,福特刚刚宣布,由于芯片短缺,而不是潜在需求短缺,它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测,由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素,良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的,持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中,芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%,而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入?或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施,进入持续下跌趋势,让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表,但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天,那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因:“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然,这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化,现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险,那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先,以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因,以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示:“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑,然后是服务器,然后是电话。”但他表示,现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大,因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”,从各个角度来看,终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出,在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示:“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测,到2030年,芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番,达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”,他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下,从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造,行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中,有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面,公司在极紫外光刻(EUV)领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示,整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为,加上成本削减,意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年,芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善,”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%,而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出,尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数,但它们看起来很便宜,因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度(见下文),但他特别指出了两家公司,它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振:高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击,例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断,但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia,该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计,当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时,他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说,他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图,他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者,但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上,台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上,这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点,”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品,这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示,希望到2025年生产70%的芯片,高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是,有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买,导致未来的平静,这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计,这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出,使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流,但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数(PMI)在4月份达到顶峰,然后连续三个月减速。与此同时,芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出,通常情况下,两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设,而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此,他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器(DRAM)芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情,”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺,而不是表明短缺并不真实(只是库存增加)。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示:“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如,福特刚刚宣布,由于芯片短缺,而不是潜在需求短缺,它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测,由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素,良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的,持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","NVDA":"英伟达","TSM":"台积电","GOOGL":"谷歌A","ON":"安森美半导体","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","AMZN":"亚马逊","SSNLF":"三星电子","GOOG":"谷歌","ASML":"阿斯麦","QCOM":"高通","CDNS":"铿腾电子","SNPS":"新思科技"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOG":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"ON":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838427215,"gmtCreate":1629425073837,"gmtModify":1633684924345,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838427215","repostId":"2160915795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839536779,"gmtCreate":1629165412891,"gmtModify":1633686888076,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839536779","repostId":"2160278866","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3065,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892249563,"gmtCreate":1628667843852,"gmtModify":1633745253445,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article","listText":"Great article","text":"Great article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892249563","repostId":"1147144306","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147144306","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628651652,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147144306?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 11:14","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"What stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?<blockquote>哪些股票和板块将从基建法案中受益?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147144306","media":"Market Wacth","summary":"What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion","content":"<p>What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?</p><p><blockquote>继美国之后,哪些资产将获得提振。参议院星期二在两党的广泛支持下通过了一项大约1万亿美元的基础设施计划,使该计划有望在众议院获得通过,并由总统乔·拜登签署成为法律?</blockquote></p><p> Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion for rail, $65 billion for broadband internet and $55 billion for water systems.</p><p><blockquote>该法案重新授权现有联邦公共工程项目的支出,并向水利项目、电网和安全工作注入新的5500亿美元。其中包括1100亿美元用于道路、桥梁和其他项目,以及660亿美元用于铁路、650亿美元用于宽带互联网和550亿美元用于供水系统。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts say that much of the bill’s positive impact on the economy have already been priced into financial markets but it is possible that a further fillip for stocks could be enjoyed, especially as worries linger about the potential for the delta variant of COVID-19 to stymie aspects of the economic recovery from the deadly pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师表示,该法案对经济的大部分积极影响已经反映在金融市场中,但股市可能会受到进一步刺激,特别是在人们对COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株潜力的担忧挥之不去的情况下。19阻碍了经济从致命大流行中复苏的各个方面。</blockquote></p><p> “The passage of the infrastructure bill is a nice headline but unlikely to be a big market mover at this point,” wrote Brian Price, head of investment management at Commonwealth Financial Network in emailed remarks.</p><p><blockquote>联邦金融网络投资管理主管布莱恩·普莱斯在电子邮件中写道:“基础设施法案的通过是一个不错的头条新闻,但目前不太可能对市场产生重大影响。”</blockquote></p><p> “I think a lot of the enthusiasm has been priced in over the past few weeks and investors are focused on other factors at this point,” he said, perhaps, referring to investors’ current fixation over the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will taper its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which had helped to stabilize the market during the height the pandemic back in March and April of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>他表示:“我认为过去几周的热情已经被消化了,投资者目前正在关注其他因素。”他可能指的是投资者目前对美联储缩减购债规模的可能性的关注。每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券,这有助于在2020年3月和4月疫情最严重期间稳定市场。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the stock market was headed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.46%and S&P 500SPX,+0.10%at or near all-time closing highs, after the bill’s passage in the Upper chamber, with a 69-to-30 vote, with 19 Republicans also joining the Democratic yeas, The Wall Street Journal reported.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,该法案在上议院以69票通过后,周二股市仍走高,道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA上涨0.46%,标准普尔500SPX上涨0.10%,达到或接近历史收盘高点。据《华尔街日报》报道,投票结果为-30,19名共和党人也加入了民主党。</blockquote></p><p> A popular exchange-traded fund that offers exposure to stocks that would benefit from an infrastructure bill, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">Global X</a> U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFPAVE,+2.19%,was up 2.2% on Tuesday and has climbed 4.7% within the past 30 days, FactSet data show.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d21f2ed025a84fdc2840732cbf4dff62\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Pave the way higher?The 'PAVE' ETF has been rising over the past 30 daysGlobal X US Infrastructure Development ETFSource: FactSetAs of Aug. 10, 4 p.m. ETJune 2021Aug.24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5</p><p><blockquote>这是一只受欢迎的交易所交易基金,提供受益于基础设施法案的股票投资,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">全球X</a>FactSet数据显示,美国基础设施开发ETFPAVE,+2.19%,周二上涨2.2%,过去30天内上涨4.7%。铺路更高?“PAVE”ETF在过去30天内一直在上涨Global X美国基础设施开发ETF资料来源:FactSetAs截至8月10日下午4点ET2021年6月24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5</blockquote></p><p> PAVE, referring to the infrastructure ETFs ticker symbol is up 28% so far in 2021, compared with year-to-date gains of around 15% for the S&P 500 and the Dow.</p><p><blockquote>PAVE(指基础设施ETF股票代码)2021年迄今已上涨28%,而标普500和道琼斯指数今年迄今的涨幅约为15%。</blockquote></p><p> PAVE holds 100 stocks, from small-cap to large-cap companies, that derive at least 50% of revenue from infrastructure construction, materials and equipment supply and related services in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>PAVE持有100只股票,从小盘股到大盘股公司,这些公司至少50%的收入来自美国的基础设施建设、材料和设备供应以及相关服务。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFRA\">iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF</a>IFRA,+1.45%,another way to play infrastructure, rose 1.3% on Tuesday and is up nearly 22% in the first eight months of the year. The iShares ETF also includes 20 electric utilities and four water utilities, and for that reason isn’t always viewed as a pure-play infrastructure fund.</p><p><blockquote>同样,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFRA\">iShares美国基础设施ETF</a>IFRA,+1.45%,基础设施的另一种玩法,周二上涨1.3%,今年前八个月上涨近22%。iShares ETF还包括20家电力公司和4家水务公司,因此并不总是被视为纯粹的基础设施基金。</blockquote></p><p> The Industrial <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">Select</a> Sector SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%,which tracks the S&P 500’s industrial sector, was up 1% on Tuesday and has gained nearly 18% in the year so far.</p><p><blockquote>工业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">选择</a>追踪标普500工业板块的SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%周二上涨1%,今年迄今已上涨近18%。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the spring MarketWatch’s Philip van Doorn wrote that there are about 20 companies that are included in PAVE that might have the most upsidepotential for investors. Those include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TISI\">Team</a> Inc., which was up 4.4% on Tuesday but has declined 56% in the year to date and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRIM\">Primoris</a>, which was up 2.9% on the day but down 3.6% so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>早在春季,MarketWatch的Philip van Doorn就写道,PAVE中约有20家公司可能对投资者来说最具上涨潜力。这些包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TISI\">团队</a>Inc.周二上涨4.4%,但今年迄今已下跌56%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRIM\">普里莫里斯</a>,当日上涨2.9%,但今年迄今下跌3.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company names</b></td> <td><b>YTD % return</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Team Inc.TISI,+4.37%</td> <td>-56.83</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Primoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%</td> <td>-3.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCO\">Columbus McKinnon</a> Corp.CMCO,+2.03%</td> <td>17.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLDR\">Builders FirstSource</a> Inc.BLDR,+2.72%</td> <td>19.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMS\">Advanced Drainage</a> Systems Inc.WMS,+1.89%</td> <td>40%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIMCV\">Altra Industrial Motion Corp.</a>AIMC,+3.15%</td> <td>10.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DY\">Dycom</a> IndustriesDY,-0.96%</td> <td>-5.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.CLF,+5.05%</td> <td>78.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RXN\">Rexnord</a> Corp.RXN,+1.91%</td> <td>51%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRI\">Herc</a> Holdings Inc.HRI,+2.28%</td> <td>90%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Overall, the investment in infrastructure is the biggest investment in roads, bridges and tunnels and other areas of America’s inner workings in a generation.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司名称</b></td><td><b>年初至今回报率百分比</b></td></tr><tr><td>Team Inc.TISI,+4.37%</td><td>-56.83</td></tr><tr><td>Primoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%</td><td>-3.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCO\">哥伦布·麦金农</a>CMCO公司,+2.03%</td><td>17.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLDR\">建筑商FirstSource</a>Inc.BLDR,+2.72%</td><td>19.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMS\">高级排水</a>系统公司WMS,+1.89%</td><td>40%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIMCV\">阿尔特拉工业运动公司。</a>AIMC,+3.15%</td><td>10.5%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DY\">Dycom</a>工业DY,-0.96%</td><td>-5.7%</td></tr><tr><td>克利夫兰克利夫斯公司CLF,+5.05%</td><td>78.7%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RXN\">雷克斯诺德</a>公司RXN,+1.91%</td><td>51%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRI\">Herc</a>控股公司HRI,+2.28%</td><td>90%</td></tr></tbody></table>总体而言,基础设施投资是一代人以来对道路、桥梁和隧道以及美国内部运作其他领域的最大投资。</blockquote></p><p> Edward Moya, analyst at Oanda, said that the infrastructure package, should it get quickly passed by the House, is very constructive in “driving the cyclical trade,” particularly as there have been concerns about the delta variant of COVID.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda分析师Edward Moya表示,如果众议院迅速通过基础设施一揽子计划,对于“推动周期性贸易”非常有建设性,特别是在人们担心新冠疫情的德尔塔变异毒株的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> “Spending will take a few years to ramp up and will in any case be spread over the rest of the decade,” said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a recent note.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)美国高级经济学家迈克尔·皮尔斯(Michael Pearce)在最近的一份报告中表示:“支出将需要几年时间才能增加,而且无论如何都将分散到这十年的剩余时间里。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1604288433698","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat stocks and sectors will benefit from the infrastructure bill?<blockquote>哪些股票和板块将从基建法案中受益?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Wacth</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-11 11:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?</p><p><blockquote>继美国之后,哪些资产将获得提振。参议院星期二在两党的广泛支持下通过了一项大约1万亿美元的基础设施计划,使该计划有望在众议院获得通过,并由总统乔·拜登签署成为法律?</blockquote></p><p> Thebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion for rail, $65 billion for broadband internet and $55 billion for water systems.</p><p><blockquote>该法案重新授权现有联邦公共工程项目的支出,并向水利项目、电网和安全工作注入新的5500亿美元。其中包括1100亿美元用于道路、桥梁和其他项目,以及660亿美元用于铁路、650亿美元用于宽带互联网和550亿美元用于供水系统。</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts say that much of the bill’s positive impact on the economy have already been priced into financial markets but it is possible that a further fillip for stocks could be enjoyed, especially as worries linger about the potential for the delta variant of COVID-19 to stymie aspects of the economic recovery from the deadly pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析师表示,该法案对经济的大部分积极影响已经反映在金融市场中,但股市可能会受到进一步刺激,特别是在人们对COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株潜力的担忧挥之不去的情况下。19阻碍了经济从致命大流行中复苏的各个方面。</blockquote></p><p> “The passage of the infrastructure bill is a nice headline but unlikely to be a big market mover at this point,” wrote Brian Price, head of investment management at Commonwealth Financial Network in emailed remarks.</p><p><blockquote>联邦金融网络投资管理主管布莱恩·普莱斯在电子邮件中写道:“基础设施法案的通过是一个不错的头条新闻,但目前不太可能对市场产生重大影响。”</blockquote></p><p> “I think a lot of the enthusiasm has been priced in over the past few weeks and investors are focused on other factors at this point,” he said, perhaps, referring to investors’ current fixation over the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will taper its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which had helped to stabilize the market during the height the pandemic back in March and April of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>他表示:“我认为过去几周的热情已经被消化了,投资者目前正在关注其他因素。”他可能指的是投资者目前对美联储缩减购债规模的可能性的关注。每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券,这有助于在2020年3月和4月疫情最严重期间稳定市场。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the stock market was headed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.46%and S&P 500SPX,+0.10%at or near all-time closing highs, after the bill’s passage in the Upper chamber, with a 69-to-30 vote, with 19 Republicans also joining the Democratic yeas, The Wall Street Journal reported.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,该法案在上议院以69票通过后,周二股市仍走高,道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA上涨0.46%,标准普尔500SPX上涨0.10%,达到或接近历史收盘高点。据《华尔街日报》报道,投票结果为-30,19名共和党人也加入了民主党。</blockquote></p><p> A popular exchange-traded fund that offers exposure to stocks that would benefit from an infrastructure bill, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">Global X</a> U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFPAVE,+2.19%,was up 2.2% on Tuesday and has climbed 4.7% within the past 30 days, FactSet data show.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d21f2ed025a84fdc2840732cbf4dff62\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Pave the way higher?The 'PAVE' ETF has been rising over the past 30 daysGlobal X US Infrastructure Development ETFSource: FactSetAs of Aug. 10, 4 p.m. ETJune 2021Aug.24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5</p><p><blockquote>这是一只受欢迎的交易所交易基金,提供受益于基础设施法案的股票投资,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EFFE\">全球X</a>FactSet数据显示,美国基础设施开发ETFPAVE,+2.19%,周二上涨2.2%,过去30天内上涨4.7%。铺路更高?“PAVE”ETF在过去30天内一直在上涨Global X美国基础设施开发ETF资料来源:FactSetAs截至8月10日下午4点ET2021年6月24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5</blockquote></p><p> PAVE, referring to the infrastructure ETFs ticker symbol is up 28% so far in 2021, compared with year-to-date gains of around 15% for the S&P 500 and the Dow.</p><p><blockquote>PAVE(指基础设施ETF股票代码)2021年迄今已上涨28%,而标普500和道琼斯指数今年迄今的涨幅约为15%。</blockquote></p><p> PAVE holds 100 stocks, from small-cap to large-cap companies, that derive at least 50% of revenue from infrastructure construction, materials and equipment supply and related services in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>PAVE持有100只股票,从小盘股到大盘股公司,这些公司至少50%的收入来自美国的基础设施建设、材料和设备供应以及相关服务。</blockquote></p><p> Similarly, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFRA\">iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF</a>IFRA,+1.45%,another way to play infrastructure, rose 1.3% on Tuesday and is up nearly 22% in the first eight months of the year. The iShares ETF also includes 20 electric utilities and four water utilities, and for that reason isn’t always viewed as a pure-play infrastructure fund.</p><p><blockquote>同样,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IFRA\">iShares美国基础设施ETF</a>IFRA,+1.45%,基础设施的另一种玩法,周二上涨1.3%,今年前八个月上涨近22%。iShares ETF还包括20家电力公司和4家水务公司,因此并不总是被视为纯粹的基础设施基金。</blockquote></p><p> The Industrial <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">Select</a> Sector SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%,which tracks the S&P 500’s industrial sector, was up 1% on Tuesday and has gained nearly 18% in the year so far.</p><p><blockquote>工业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLCT\">选择</a>追踪标普500工业板块的SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%周二上涨1%,今年迄今已上涨近18%。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the spring MarketWatch’s Philip van Doorn wrote that there are about 20 companies that are included in PAVE that might have the most upsidepotential for investors. Those include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TISI\">Team</a> Inc., which was up 4.4% on Tuesday but has declined 56% in the year to date and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRIM\">Primoris</a>, which was up 2.9% on the day but down 3.6% so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>早在春季,MarketWatch的Philip van Doorn就写道,PAVE中约有20家公司可能对投资者来说最具上涨潜力。这些包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TISI\">团队</a>Inc.周二上涨4.4%,但今年迄今已下跌56%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRIM\">普里莫里斯</a>,当日上涨2.9%,但今年迄今下跌3.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><b>Company names</b></td> <td><b>YTD % return</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>Team Inc.TISI,+4.37%</td> <td>-56.83</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Primoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%</td> <td>-3.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCO\">Columbus McKinnon</a> Corp.CMCO,+2.03%</td> <td>17.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLDR\">Builders FirstSource</a> Inc.BLDR,+2.72%</td> <td>19.6%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMS\">Advanced Drainage</a> Systems Inc.WMS,+1.89%</td> <td>40%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIMCV\">Altra Industrial Motion Corp.</a>AIMC,+3.15%</td> <td>10.5%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DY\">Dycom</a> IndustriesDY,-0.96%</td> <td>-5.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.CLF,+5.05%</td> <td>78.7%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RXN\">Rexnord</a> Corp.RXN,+1.91%</td> <td>51%</td> </tr> <tr> <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRI\">Herc</a> Holdings Inc.HRI,+2.28%</td> <td>90%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Overall, the investment in infrastructure is the biggest investment in roads, bridges and tunnels and other areas of America’s inner workings in a generation.</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司名称</b></td><td><b>年初至今回报率百分比</b></td></tr><tr><td>Team Inc.TISI,+4.37%</td><td>-56.83</td></tr><tr><td>Primoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%</td><td>-3.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMCO\">哥伦布·麦金农</a>CMCO公司,+2.03%</td><td>17.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLDR\">建筑商FirstSource</a>Inc.BLDR,+2.72%</td><td>19.6%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMS\">高级排水</a>系统公司WMS,+1.89%</td><td>40%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AIMCV\">阿尔特拉工业运动公司。</a>AIMC,+3.15%</td><td>10.5%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DY\">Dycom</a>工业DY,-0.96%</td><td>-5.7%</td></tr><tr><td>克利夫兰克利夫斯公司CLF,+5.05%</td><td>78.7%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RXN\">雷克斯诺德</a>公司RXN,+1.91%</td><td>51%</td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRI\">Herc</a>控股公司HRI,+2.28%</td><td>90%</td></tr></tbody></table>总体而言,基础设施投资是一代人以来对道路、桥梁和隧道以及美国内部运作其他领域的最大投资。</blockquote></p><p> Edward Moya, analyst at Oanda, said that the infrastructure package, should it get quickly passed by the House, is very constructive in “driving the cyclical trade,” particularly as there have been concerns about the delta variant of COVID.</p><p><blockquote>Oanda分析师Edward Moya表示,如果众议院迅速通过基础设施一揽子计划,对于“推动周期性贸易”非常有建设性,特别是在人们担心新冠疫情的德尔塔变异毒株的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> “Spending will take a few years to ramp up and will in any case be spread over the rest of the decade,” said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a recent note.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)美国高级经济学家迈克尔·皮尔斯(Michael Pearce)在最近的一份报告中表示:“支出将需要几年时间才能增加,而且无论如何都将分散到这十年的剩余时间里。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stocks-and-sectors-will-benefit-from-the-infrastructure-bill-11628628331?mod=home-page\">Market Wacth</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HRI":"Herc Holdings Inc.","CMCO":"哥伦布-麦金农","BLDR":"Builders FirstSource","WMS":"Advanced Drainage","XLI":"工业指数ETF-SPDR","DY":"戴康工业","CLF":"克利夫兰克里夫","TISI":"Team Inc","IFRA":"iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF","PRIM":"Primoris Services Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-stocks-and-sectors-will-benefit-from-the-infrastructure-bill-11628628331?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147144306","content_text":"What assets are set to score a boost after the U.S. Senate passed a roughly $1 trillion infrastructure package with broad bipartisan support Tuesday, putting it on track to possibly be passed by the House and be signed into law by President Joe Biden?\nThebill reauthorizes spendingon existing federal public-works programs and pours a fresh $550 billion into water projects, the electrical grid and safety efforts. It includes $110 billion for roads, bridges and other projects, as well as $66 billion for rail, $65 billion for broadband internet and $55 billion for water systems.\nSome analysts say that much of the bill’s positive impact on the economy have already been priced into financial markets but it is possible that a further fillip for stocks could be enjoyed, especially as worries linger about the potential for the delta variant of COVID-19 to stymie aspects of the economic recovery from the deadly pandemic.\n“The passage of the infrastructure bill is a nice headline but unlikely to be a big market mover at this point,” wrote Brian Price, head of investment management at Commonwealth Financial Network in emailed remarks.\n“I think a lot of the enthusiasm has been priced in over the past few weeks and investors are focused on other factors at this point,” he said, perhaps, referring to investors’ current fixation over the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will taper its monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities, which had helped to stabilize the market during the height the pandemic back in March and April of 2020.\nStill, the stock market was headed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.46%and S&P 500SPX,+0.10%at or near all-time closing highs, after the bill’s passage in the Upper chamber, with a 69-to-30 vote, with 19 Republicans also joining the Democratic yeas, The Wall Street Journal reported.\nA popular exchange-traded fund that offers exposure to stocks that would benefit from an infrastructure bill, the Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFPAVE,+2.19%,was up 2.2% on Tuesday and has climbed 4.7% within the past 30 days, FactSet data show.Pave the way higher?The 'PAVE' ETF has been rising over the past 30 daysGlobal X US Infrastructure Development ETFSource: FactSetAs of Aug. 10, 4 p.m. ETJune 2021Aug.24.525.025.526.026.527.0$27.5\nPAVE, referring to the infrastructure ETFs ticker symbol is up 28% so far in 2021, compared with year-to-date gains of around 15% for the S&P 500 and the Dow.\nPAVE holds 100 stocks, from small-cap to large-cap companies, that derive at least 50% of revenue from infrastructure construction, materials and equipment supply and related services in the U.S.\nSimilarly, the iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETFIFRA,+1.45%,another way to play infrastructure, rose 1.3% on Tuesday and is up nearly 22% in the first eight months of the year. The iShares ETF also includes 20 electric utilities and four water utilities, and for that reason isn’t always viewed as a pure-play infrastructure fund.\nThe Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETFXLI,+1.02%,which tracks the S&P 500’s industrial sector, was up 1% on Tuesday and has gained nearly 18% in the year so far.\nBack in the spring MarketWatch’s Philip van Doorn wrote that there are about 20 companies that are included in PAVE that might have the most upsidepotential for investors. Those include Team Inc., which was up 4.4% on Tuesday but has declined 56% in the year to date and Primoris, which was up 2.9% on the day but down 3.6% so far this year.\n\n\n\nCompany names\nYTD % return\n\n\nTeam Inc.TISI,+4.37%\n-56.83\n\n\nPrimoris Services Corp.PRIM,+2.90%\n-3.6%\n\n\nColumbus McKinnon Corp.CMCO,+2.03%\n17.6%\n\n\nBuilders FirstSource Inc.BLDR,+2.72%\n19.6%\n\n\nAdvanced Drainage Systems Inc.WMS,+1.89%\n40%\n\n\nAltra Industrial Motion Corp.AIMC,+3.15%\n10.5%\n\n\nDycom IndustriesDY,-0.96%\n-5.7%\n\n\nCleveland-Cliffs Inc.CLF,+5.05%\n78.7%\n\n\nRexnord Corp.RXN,+1.91%\n51%\n\n\nHerc Holdings Inc.HRI,+2.28%\n90%\n\n\n\nOverall, the investment in infrastructure is the biggest investment in roads, bridges and tunnels and other areas of America’s inner workings in a generation.\nEdward Moya, analyst at Oanda, said that the infrastructure package, should it get quickly passed by the House, is very constructive in “driving the cyclical trade,” particularly as there have been concerns about the delta variant of COVID.\n“Spending will take a few years to ramp up and will in any case be spread over the rest of the decade,” said Michael Pearce, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, in a recent note.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WMS":0.9,"CMCO":0.9,"RXN":0.9,"AIMC":0.9,"BLDR":0.9,"IFRA":0.9,"TISI":0.9,"CLF":0.9,"DY":0.9,"HRI":0.9,"PRIM":0.9,"XLI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896721603,"gmtCreate":1628606375202,"gmtModify":1633745770271,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should buy Tesla","listText":"Should buy Tesla","text":"Should buy Tesla","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896721603","repostId":"2158561472","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891215783,"gmtCreate":1628391414942,"gmtModify":1633747437119,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DeFi is good","listText":"DeFi is good","text":"DeFi is good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891215783","repostId":"1180529438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180529438","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628386129,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180529438?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-08 09:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180529438","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The United States Securities and Exchange Commission sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance protocol over activities involved with the project for the first time.What Happened: According to a Friday SEC announcement, the agency has sued Cayman Islands-based Blockchain Credit Partners and two of its top executives over allegedly selling unregistered securities through its DeFi Money Market platform from February 2020 to February 2021. The firm purported","content":"<p><div> The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国证券交易委员会(SEC)就该项目涉及的活动起诉了负责开发分散金融(DeFi)协议的组织...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-08 09:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国证券交易委员会(SEC)就该项目涉及的活动起诉了负责开发分散金融(DeFi)协议的组织...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180529438","content_text":"The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project for the first time.\nWhat Happened: According to a Friday SEC announcement, the agency has sued Cayman Islands-based Blockchain Credit Partners and two of its top executives over allegedly selling unregistered securities through its DeFi Money Market platform from February 2020 to February 2021. The firm purportedly sold over $30 million worth of two types of tokens that the SEC deemed to be securities that should have been registered as such.\nThe SEC notes that Blockchain Credit Partners founders Gregory Keough and Derek Acree will have to pay fines of $125,000 while the company itself also agreed to pay $12.8 million in disgorgement. The settlement does not indicate an admition or denial the accusations.\nNew Game, Old Rules?\nSEC Enforcement Director Gurbir Grewal explained that \"full and honest disclosure remains the cornerstone of our securities laws — no matter what technologies are used to offer and sell those securities.\" This comment makes it very clear that slapping the DeFi label on a project and hoping to avoid regulation this way works no better than calling it a \"utility token\" prevented falling under the SEC's scrutiny during 2017's initial coin offering craze.\nThe SEC is trying to send the clear rule that the new kind of financial organizations that operate on blockchains have to still play by the old rules that govern traditional finance. At the same time, market onlookers are not sure if the regulator is actually right.\nIn a way, it is a tour de force where the regulator wins every time it has a way to take enforcement action, but these new organizations potentially have a very real way to make enforcement impossible — or at the very least impractical. The only protection against enforcement by the SEC and other regulators is decentralization and the only reason why the SEC was able to act in this case is that a centralized organization such as Blockchain Credit Partners exists.\nWhat's Next:If no company exists and all that there is to a DeFi protocol is a set of smart contracts deployed on a blockchain by a group of anonymous developers scattered around the world there is very little that the SEC can do short of attacking the blockchain itself. This is where the decentralization of the underlying blockchain comes into play: will the regulators for instance be able to force Ethereum's (CRYPTO: ETH) core development team to write an update stopping such a project?\nIf the regulators would actually be able to force the blockchain's developers to write such an update, would node operators and miners or stakers adopt this software or would they refuse to? Such situations will be the real test of the decentralization and reliability of any blockchain that many are waiting to happen. Regulators are seeing power slipping away between their fingers like sand, and they are going to try to grab it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893165102,"gmtCreate":1628247861306,"gmtModify":1631885615163,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Netflix good","listText":"Netflix good","text":"Netflix good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893165102","repostId":"1178143364","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178143364","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628244202,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178143364?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 18:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Other SVOD Services Are Seeing Customers Spend More Now Than During Pandemic: Survey<blockquote>调查显示,Netflix、Disney+、Amazon Prime Video和其他SVOD服务的客户现在的支出比大流行期间还要多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178143364","media":"Benzinga","summary":"U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six mon","content":"<p>U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six months ago, shows the latest J.D. Power survey.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power的最新调查显示,与六个月前相比,美国客户在观看他们最喜欢的节目上花费了更多的时间和金钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened?</b>The survey found monthly customer spending on streaming platforms, such as <b>Netflix Inc</b>NFLX,<b>Amazon.com Inc’s</b>AMZNAmazon Prime, Hulu, and<b>Walt Disney Co’s</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+, has nearly doubled since the spring of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>怎么回事?</b>调查发现,客户每月在流媒体平台上的支出,例如<b>Netflix</b>NFLX,<b>亚马逊公司</b>AMZNA亚马逊Prime、Hulu和<b>华特迪士尼公司</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+,自2020年春季以来几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Streaming services are consuming an increasingly large share of the entertainment market despite more entertainment options such as live events, dining and travel nearly all pandemic related restrictions have been lifted with the widespread vaccination rollout.</p><p><blockquote>尽管现场活动、餐饮和旅行等娱乐选择越来越多,但流媒体服务正在消耗娱乐市场越来越大的份额。随着疫苗接种的广泛推广,几乎所有与大流行相关的限制都已取消。</blockquote></p><p> About 79% of the 1,209 U.S. adults said they were now subscribed to more streaming services than ever. The survey claims streaming subscriptions increased to an average of 4.5 streaming providers in June 2021 from 3.9 streaming providers in December 2020 even as monthly household spend on streaming services increased to $55 from $47.</p><p><blockquote>1209名美国成年人中约有79%表示,他们现在订阅的流媒体服务比以往任何时候都多。该调查称,流媒体订阅从2020年12月的3.9家流媒体提供商增加到2021年6月的平均4.5家流媒体提供商,尽管家庭在流媒体服务上的每月支出从47美元增加到55美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Are They Watching?</b>Viewers increasingly streamed the content via an app on a phone or a tablet leading to a 36% jump in viewership in June 2021 from 25% just more than a year ago. In contrast, respondents who said they used an app on their smart TV rose just 4% during the same time period.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们是怎么看的?</b>观众越来越多地通过手机或平板电脑上的应用程序播放内容,导致2021年6月的收视率从一年多前的25%跃升了36%。相比之下,同期表示在智能电视上使用应用程序的受访者仅增加了4%。</blockquote></p><p> Apps now represent the second-most used streaming connection path. Separate hardware platforms like<b>Roku Inc</b>ROKU,<b>Apple Inc’s</b>AAPLApple TV and Chromecast also got sizable boosts.</p><p><blockquote>应用程序现在代表了第二大最常用的流连接路径。独立的硬件平台,如<b>Roku公司</b>ROKU,<b>苹果公司</b>苹果电视和Chromecast也获得了相当大的提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Are Viewers Spending More?</b>Netflix increased the price of its premium service in October last year followed by a hike by Disney in March. Disney raised the price of Disney+ to $8 a month, or $80 per year. Disney has also given ESPN+ two price increases this year, the second which goes into effect on Aug. 13, which has forced the service’s annual plan increase by about $20 this year alone.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么观众花钱更多?</b>Netflix于去年10月提高了其高级服务的价格,随后迪士尼于3月份也提高了价格。迪士尼将Disney+的价格提高到每月8美元,即每年80美元。迪士尼今年还对ESPN+进行了两次提价,第二次将于8月13日生效,这迫使该服务的年度计划仅今年就上涨了约20美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Are They Watching and Where?</b>Lucifer was the most-watched show on streaming sites in June. On May 28, Netflix released the second-half of season 5 of Lucifer, which quickly made it to the top of the charts while Friends made it to the top three.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们在看什么,在哪里看?</b>《路西法》是6月份流媒体网站上收视率最高的节目。5月28日,网飞发布了《路西法》第五季的后半部分,迅速登上排行榜榜首,而《老友记》则进入了前三名。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is at the top of the mind of views as 89% of respondents said they subscribe to Netflix, followed by Amazon Prime at 76%, Hulu at 64%, and Disney+ at 52%. All three runner-ups experienced significant jumps, particularly Amazon Prime, which is the first non-Netflix platform to break the 70% mark.</p><p><blockquote>网飞是最受关注的,89%的受访者表示他们订阅了网飞,其次是亚马逊Prime,占76%,Hulu占64%,Disney+占52%。所有三个亚军都经历了显着的跃升,尤其是亚马逊Prime,它是第一个突破70%大关的非Netflix平台。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>Netflix shares closed 1.46% higher at $524.89 on Thursday and those of Disney closed 2.39% higher at $176.71.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>Netflix股价周四收盘上涨1.46%,至524.89美元,迪士尼股价收盘上涨2.39%,至176.71美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Other SVOD Services Are Seeing Customers Spend More Now Than During Pandemic: Survey<blockquote>调查显示,Netflix、Disney+、Amazon Prime Video和其他SVOD服务的客户现在的支出比大流行期间还要多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Other SVOD Services Are Seeing Customers Spend More Now Than During Pandemic: Survey<blockquote>调查显示,Netflix、Disney+、Amazon Prime Video和其他SVOD服务的客户现在的支出比大流行期间还要多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-06 18:03</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six months ago, shows the latest J.D. Power survey.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power的最新调查显示,与六个月前相比,美国客户在观看他们最喜欢的节目上花费了更多的时间和金钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened?</b>The survey found monthly customer spending on streaming platforms, such as <b>Netflix Inc</b>NFLX,<b>Amazon.com Inc’s</b>AMZNAmazon Prime, Hulu, and<b>Walt Disney Co’s</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+, has nearly doubled since the spring of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>怎么回事?</b>调查发现,客户每月在流媒体平台上的支出,例如<b>Netflix</b>NFLX,<b>亚马逊公司</b>AMZNA亚马逊Prime、Hulu和<b>华特迪士尼公司</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+,自2020年春季以来几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Streaming services are consuming an increasingly large share of the entertainment market despite more entertainment options such as live events, dining and travel nearly all pandemic related restrictions have been lifted with the widespread vaccination rollout.</p><p><blockquote>尽管现场活动、餐饮和旅行等娱乐选择越来越多,但流媒体服务正在消耗娱乐市场越来越大的份额。随着疫苗接种的广泛推广,几乎所有与大流行相关的限制都已取消。</blockquote></p><p> About 79% of the 1,209 U.S. adults said they were now subscribed to more streaming services than ever. The survey claims streaming subscriptions increased to an average of 4.5 streaming providers in June 2021 from 3.9 streaming providers in December 2020 even as monthly household spend on streaming services increased to $55 from $47.</p><p><blockquote>1209名美国成年人中约有79%表示,他们现在订阅的流媒体服务比以往任何时候都多。该调查称,流媒体订阅从2020年12月的3.9家流媒体提供商增加到2021年6月的平均4.5家流媒体提供商,尽管家庭在流媒体服务上的每月支出从47美元增加到55美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Are They Watching?</b>Viewers increasingly streamed the content via an app on a phone or a tablet leading to a 36% jump in viewership in June 2021 from 25% just more than a year ago. In contrast, respondents who said they used an app on their smart TV rose just 4% during the same time period.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们是怎么看的?</b>观众越来越多地通过手机或平板电脑上的应用程序播放内容,导致2021年6月的收视率从一年多前的25%跃升了36%。相比之下,同期表示在智能电视上使用应用程序的受访者仅增加了4%。</blockquote></p><p> Apps now represent the second-most used streaming connection path. Separate hardware platforms like<b>Roku Inc</b>ROKU,<b>Apple Inc’s</b>AAPLApple TV and Chromecast also got sizable boosts.</p><p><blockquote>应用程序现在代表了第二大最常用的流连接路径。独立的硬件平台,如<b>Roku公司</b>ROKU,<b>苹果公司</b>苹果电视和Chromecast也获得了相当大的提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Are Viewers Spending More?</b>Netflix increased the price of its premium service in October last year followed by a hike by Disney in March. Disney raised the price of Disney+ to $8 a month, or $80 per year. Disney has also given ESPN+ two price increases this year, the second which goes into effect on Aug. 13, which has forced the service’s annual plan increase by about $20 this year alone.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么观众花钱更多?</b>Netflix于去年10月提高了其高级服务的价格,随后迪士尼于3月份也提高了价格。迪士尼将Disney+的价格提高到每月8美元,即每年80美元。迪士尼今年还对ESPN+进行了两次提价,第二次将于8月13日生效,这迫使该服务的年度计划仅今年就上涨了约20美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Are They Watching and Where?</b>Lucifer was the most-watched show on streaming sites in June. On May 28, Netflix released the second-half of season 5 of Lucifer, which quickly made it to the top of the charts while Friends made it to the top three.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们在看什么,在哪里看?</b>《路西法》是6月份流媒体网站上收视率最高的节目。5月28日,网飞发布了《路西法》第五季的后半部分,迅速登上排行榜榜首,而《老友记》则进入了前三名。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is at the top of the mind of views as 89% of respondents said they subscribe to Netflix, followed by Amazon Prime at 76%, Hulu at 64%, and Disney+ at 52%. All three runner-ups experienced significant jumps, particularly Amazon Prime, which is the first non-Netflix platform to break the 70% mark.</p><p><blockquote>网飞是最受关注的,89%的受访者表示他们订阅了网飞,其次是亚马逊Prime,占76%,Hulu占64%,Disney+占52%。所有三个亚军都经历了显着的跃升,尤其是亚马逊Prime,它是第一个突破70%大关的非Netflix平台。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>Netflix shares closed 1.46% higher at $524.89 on Thursday and those of Disney closed 2.39% higher at $176.71.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>Netflix股价周四收盘上涨1.46%,至524.89美元,迪士尼股价收盘上涨2.39%,至176.71美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178143364","content_text":"U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six months ago, shows the latest J.D. Power survey.\nWhat Happened?The survey found monthly customer spending on streaming platforms, such as Netflix IncNFLX,Amazon.com Inc’sAMZNAmazon Prime, Hulu, andWalt Disney Co’sDIS 0.03%Disney+, has nearly doubled since the spring of 2020.\nStreaming services are consuming an increasingly large share of the entertainment market despite more entertainment options such as live events, dining and travel nearly all pandemic related restrictions have been lifted with the widespread vaccination rollout.\nAbout 79% of the 1,209 U.S. adults said they were now subscribed to more streaming services than ever. The survey claims streaming subscriptions increased to an average of 4.5 streaming providers in June 2021 from 3.9 streaming providers in December 2020 even as monthly household spend on streaming services increased to $55 from $47.\nHow Are They Watching?Viewers increasingly streamed the content via an app on a phone or a tablet leading to a 36% jump in viewership in June 2021 from 25% just more than a year ago. In contrast, respondents who said they used an app on their smart TV rose just 4% during the same time period.\nApps now represent the second-most used streaming connection path. Separate hardware platforms likeRoku IncROKU,Apple Inc’sAAPLApple TV and Chromecast also got sizable boosts.\nWhy Are Viewers Spending More?Netflix increased the price of its premium service in October last year followed by a hike by Disney in March. Disney raised the price of Disney+ to $8 a month, or $80 per year. Disney has also given ESPN+ two price increases this year, the second which goes into effect on Aug. 13, which has forced the service’s annual plan increase by about $20 this year alone.\nWhat Are They Watching and Where?Lucifer was the most-watched show on streaming sites in June. On May 28, Netflix released the second-half of season 5 of Lucifer, which quickly made it to the top of the charts while Friends made it to the top three.\nNetflix is at the top of the mind of views as 89% of respondents said they subscribe to Netflix, followed by Amazon Prime at 76%, Hulu at 64%, and Disney+ at 52%. All three runner-ups experienced significant jumps, particularly Amazon Prime, which is the first non-Netflix platform to break the 70% mark.\nPrice Action:Netflix shares closed 1.46% higher at $524.89 on Thursday and those of Disney closed 2.39% higher at $176.71.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804245403,"gmtCreate":1627960643702,"gmtModify":1633754845103,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s a roller coaster ride","listText":"It’s a roller coaster ride","text":"It’s a roller coaster ride","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804245403","repostId":"2156114224","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806232891,"gmtCreate":1627657000513,"gmtModify":1633757344181,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806232891","repostId":"2155137344","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808915123,"gmtCreate":1627550730062,"gmtModify":1631884993419,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ford worth to buy","listText":"Ford worth to buy","text":"Ford worth to buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808915123","repostId":"2155990524","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177923079,"gmtCreate":1627176904991,"gmtModify":1633767486274,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO has huge potential","listText":"NIO has huge potential","text":"NIO has huge potential","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177923079","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174417983,"gmtCreate":1627125631442,"gmtModify":1633767774120,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174417983","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175111739,"gmtCreate":1627013226321,"gmtModify":1633768773850,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good 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good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891215783","repostId":"1180529438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180529438","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628386129,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180529438?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-08 09:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180529438","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The United States Securities and Exchange Commission sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance protocol over activities involved with the project for the first time.What Happened: According to a Friday SEC announcement, the agency has sued Cayman Islands-based Blockchain Credit Partners and two of its top executives over allegedly selling unregistered securities through its DeFi Money Market platform from February 2020 to February 2021. The firm purported","content":"<p><div> The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国证券交易委员会(SEC)就该项目涉及的活动起诉了负责开发分散金融(DeFi)协议的组织...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSEC Moves First DeFi Unregistered Securities Lawsuit<blockquote>SEC提起首起DeFi未注册证券诉讼</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-08 09:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美国证券交易委员会(SEC)就该项目涉及的活动起诉了负责开发分散金融(DeFi)协议的组织...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/21/08/22378359/sec-moves-first-defi-unregistered-securities-lawsuit","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180529438","content_text":"The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued the organization responsible for the development of a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol over activities involved with the project for the first time.\nWhat Happened: According to a Friday SEC announcement, the agency has sued Cayman Islands-based Blockchain Credit Partners and two of its top executives over allegedly selling unregistered securities through its DeFi Money Market platform from February 2020 to February 2021. The firm purportedly sold over $30 million worth of two types of tokens that the SEC deemed to be securities that should have been registered as such.\nThe SEC notes that Blockchain Credit Partners founders Gregory Keough and Derek Acree will have to pay fines of $125,000 while the company itself also agreed to pay $12.8 million in disgorgement. The settlement does not indicate an admition or denial the accusations.\nNew Game, Old Rules?\nSEC Enforcement Director Gurbir Grewal explained that \"full and honest disclosure remains the cornerstone of our securities laws — no matter what technologies are used to offer and sell those securities.\" This comment makes it very clear that slapping the DeFi label on a project and hoping to avoid regulation this way works no better than calling it a \"utility token\" prevented falling under the SEC's scrutiny during 2017's initial coin offering craze.\nThe SEC is trying to send the clear rule that the new kind of financial organizations that operate on blockchains have to still play by the old rules that govern traditional finance. At the same time, market onlookers are not sure if the regulator is actually right.\nIn a way, it is a tour de force where the regulator wins every time it has a way to take enforcement action, but these new organizations potentially have a very real way to make enforcement impossible — or at the very least impractical. The only protection against enforcement by the SEC and other regulators is decentralization and the only reason why the SEC was able to act in this case is that a centralized organization such as Blockchain Credit Partners exists.\nWhat's Next:If no company exists and all that there is to a DeFi protocol is a set of smart contracts deployed on a blockchain by a group of anonymous developers scattered around the world there is very little that the SEC can do short of attacking the blockchain itself. This is where the decentralization of the underlying blockchain comes into play: will the regulators for instance be able to force Ethereum's (CRYPTO: ETH) core development team to write an update stopping such a project?\nIf the regulators would actually be able to force the blockchain's developers to write such an update, would node operators and miners or stakers adopt this software or would they refuse to? Such situations will be the real test of the decentralization and reliability of any blockchain that many are waiting to happen. Regulators are seeing power slipping away between their fingers like sand, and they are going to try to grab it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893165102,"gmtCreate":1628247861306,"gmtModify":1631885615163,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Netflix good","listText":"Netflix good","text":"Netflix good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893165102","repostId":"1178143364","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178143364","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628244202,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178143364?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 18:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Other SVOD Services Are Seeing Customers Spend More Now Than During Pandemic: Survey<blockquote>调查显示,Netflix、Disney+、Amazon Prime Video和其他SVOD服务的客户现在的支出比大流行期间还要多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178143364","media":"Benzinga","summary":"U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six mon","content":"<p>U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six months ago, shows the latest J.D. Power survey.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power的最新调查显示,与六个月前相比,美国客户在观看他们最喜欢的节目上花费了更多的时间和金钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened?</b>The survey found monthly customer spending on streaming platforms, such as <b>Netflix Inc</b>NFLX,<b>Amazon.com Inc’s</b>AMZNAmazon Prime, Hulu, and<b>Walt Disney Co’s</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+, has nearly doubled since the spring of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>怎么回事?</b>调查发现,客户每月在流媒体平台上的支出,例如<b>Netflix</b>NFLX,<b>亚马逊公司</b>AMZNA亚马逊Prime、Hulu和<b>华特迪士尼公司</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+,自2020年春季以来几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Streaming services are consuming an increasingly large share of the entertainment market despite more entertainment options such as live events, dining and travel nearly all pandemic related restrictions have been lifted with the widespread vaccination rollout.</p><p><blockquote>尽管现场活动、餐饮和旅行等娱乐选择越来越多,但流媒体服务正在消耗娱乐市场越来越大的份额。随着疫苗接种的广泛推广,几乎所有与大流行相关的限制都已取消。</blockquote></p><p> About 79% of the 1,209 U.S. adults said they were now subscribed to more streaming services than ever. The survey claims streaming subscriptions increased to an average of 4.5 streaming providers in June 2021 from 3.9 streaming providers in December 2020 even as monthly household spend on streaming services increased to $55 from $47.</p><p><blockquote>1209名美国成年人中约有79%表示,他们现在订阅的流媒体服务比以往任何时候都多。该调查称,流媒体订阅从2020年12月的3.9家流媒体提供商增加到2021年6月的平均4.5家流媒体提供商,尽管家庭在流媒体服务上的每月支出从47美元增加到55美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Are They Watching?</b>Viewers increasingly streamed the content via an app on a phone or a tablet leading to a 36% jump in viewership in June 2021 from 25% just more than a year ago. In contrast, respondents who said they used an app on their smart TV rose just 4% during the same time period.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们是怎么看的?</b>观众越来越多地通过手机或平板电脑上的应用程序播放内容,导致2021年6月的收视率从一年多前的25%跃升了36%。相比之下,同期表示在智能电视上使用应用程序的受访者仅增加了4%。</blockquote></p><p> Apps now represent the second-most used streaming connection path. Separate hardware platforms like<b>Roku Inc</b>ROKU,<b>Apple Inc’s</b>AAPLApple TV and Chromecast also got sizable boosts.</p><p><blockquote>应用程序现在代表了第二大最常用的流连接路径。独立的硬件平台,如<b>Roku公司</b>ROKU,<b>苹果公司</b>苹果电视和Chromecast也获得了相当大的提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Are Viewers Spending More?</b>Netflix increased the price of its premium service in October last year followed by a hike by Disney in March. Disney raised the price of Disney+ to $8 a month, or $80 per year. Disney has also given ESPN+ two price increases this year, the second which goes into effect on Aug. 13, which has forced the service’s annual plan increase by about $20 this year alone.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么观众花钱更多?</b>Netflix于去年10月提高了其高级服务的价格,随后迪士尼于3月份也提高了价格。迪士尼将Disney+的价格提高到每月8美元,即每年80美元。迪士尼今年还对ESPN+进行了两次提价,第二次将于8月13日生效,这迫使该服务的年度计划仅今年就上涨了约20美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Are They Watching and Where?</b>Lucifer was the most-watched show on streaming sites in June. On May 28, Netflix released the second-half of season 5 of Lucifer, which quickly made it to the top of the charts while Friends made it to the top three.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们在看什么,在哪里看?</b>《路西法》是6月份流媒体网站上收视率最高的节目。5月28日,网飞发布了《路西法》第五季的后半部分,迅速登上排行榜榜首,而《老友记》则进入了前三名。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is at the top of the mind of views as 89% of respondents said they subscribe to Netflix, followed by Amazon Prime at 76%, Hulu at 64%, and Disney+ at 52%. All three runner-ups experienced significant jumps, particularly Amazon Prime, which is the first non-Netflix platform to break the 70% mark.</p><p><blockquote>网飞是最受关注的,89%的受访者表示他们订阅了网飞,其次是亚马逊Prime,占76%,Hulu占64%,Disney+占52%。所有三个亚军都经历了显着的跃升,尤其是亚马逊Prime,它是第一个突破70%大关的非Netflix平台。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>Netflix shares closed 1.46% higher at $524.89 on Thursday and those of Disney closed 2.39% higher at $176.71.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>Netflix股价周四收盘上涨1.46%,至524.89美元,迪士尼股价收盘上涨2.39%,至176.71美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Other SVOD Services Are Seeing Customers Spend More Now Than During Pandemic: Survey<blockquote>调查显示,Netflix、Disney+、Amazon Prime Video和其他SVOD服务的客户现在的支出比大流行期间还要多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Other SVOD Services Are Seeing Customers Spend More Now Than During Pandemic: Survey<blockquote>调查显示,Netflix、Disney+、Amazon Prime Video和其他SVOD服务的客户现在的支出比大流行期间还要多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-06 18:03</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six months ago, shows the latest J.D. Power survey.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power的最新调查显示,与六个月前相比,美国客户在观看他们最喜欢的节目上花费了更多的时间和金钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened?</b>The survey found monthly customer spending on streaming platforms, such as <b>Netflix Inc</b>NFLX,<b>Amazon.com Inc’s</b>AMZNAmazon Prime, Hulu, and<b>Walt Disney Co’s</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+, has nearly doubled since the spring of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>怎么回事?</b>调查发现,客户每月在流媒体平台上的支出,例如<b>Netflix</b>NFLX,<b>亚马逊公司</b>AMZNA亚马逊Prime、Hulu和<b>华特迪士尼公司</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+,自2020年春季以来几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Streaming services are consuming an increasingly large share of the entertainment market despite more entertainment options such as live events, dining and travel nearly all pandemic related restrictions have been lifted with the widespread vaccination rollout.</p><p><blockquote>尽管现场活动、餐饮和旅行等娱乐选择越来越多,但流媒体服务正在消耗娱乐市场越来越大的份额。随着疫苗接种的广泛推广,几乎所有与大流行相关的限制都已取消。</blockquote></p><p> About 79% of the 1,209 U.S. adults said they were now subscribed to more streaming services than ever. The survey claims streaming subscriptions increased to an average of 4.5 streaming providers in June 2021 from 3.9 streaming providers in December 2020 even as monthly household spend on streaming services increased to $55 from $47.</p><p><blockquote>1209名美国成年人中约有79%表示,他们现在订阅的流媒体服务比以往任何时候都多。该调查称,流媒体订阅从2020年12月的3.9家流媒体提供商增加到2021年6月的平均4.5家流媒体提供商,尽管家庭在流媒体服务上的每月支出从47美元增加到55美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Are They Watching?</b>Viewers increasingly streamed the content via an app on a phone or a tablet leading to a 36% jump in viewership in June 2021 from 25% just more than a year ago. In contrast, respondents who said they used an app on their smart TV rose just 4% during the same time period.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们是怎么看的?</b>观众越来越多地通过手机或平板电脑上的应用程序播放内容,导致2021年6月的收视率从一年多前的25%跃升了36%。相比之下,同期表示在智能电视上使用应用程序的受访者仅增加了4%。</blockquote></p><p> Apps now represent the second-most used streaming connection path. Separate hardware platforms like<b>Roku Inc</b>ROKU,<b>Apple Inc’s</b>AAPLApple TV and Chromecast also got sizable boosts.</p><p><blockquote>应用程序现在代表了第二大最常用的流连接路径。独立的硬件平台,如<b>Roku公司</b>ROKU,<b>苹果公司</b>苹果电视和Chromecast也获得了相当大的提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Are Viewers Spending More?</b>Netflix increased the price of its premium service in October last year followed by a hike by Disney in March. Disney raised the price of Disney+ to $8 a month, or $80 per year. Disney has also given ESPN+ two price increases this year, the second which goes into effect on Aug. 13, which has forced the service’s annual plan increase by about $20 this year alone.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么观众花钱更多?</b>Netflix于去年10月提高了其高级服务的价格,随后迪士尼于3月份也提高了价格。迪士尼将Disney+的价格提高到每月8美元,即每年80美元。迪士尼今年还对ESPN+进行了两次提价,第二次将于8月13日生效,这迫使该服务的年度计划仅今年就上涨了约20美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Are They Watching and Where?</b>Lucifer was the most-watched show on streaming sites in June. On May 28, Netflix released the second-half of season 5 of Lucifer, which quickly made it to the top of the charts while Friends made it to the top three.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们在看什么,在哪里看?</b>《路西法》是6月份流媒体网站上收视率最高的节目。5月28日,网飞发布了《路西法》第五季的后半部分,迅速登上排行榜榜首,而《老友记》则进入了前三名。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is at the top of the mind of views as 89% of respondents said they subscribe to Netflix, followed by Amazon Prime at 76%, Hulu at 64%, and Disney+ at 52%. All three runner-ups experienced significant jumps, particularly Amazon Prime, which is the first non-Netflix platform to break the 70% mark.</p><p><blockquote>网飞是最受关注的,89%的受访者表示他们订阅了网飞,其次是亚马逊Prime,占76%,Hulu占64%,Disney+占52%。所有三个亚军都经历了显着的跃升,尤其是亚马逊Prime,它是第一个突破70%大关的非Netflix平台。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>Netflix shares closed 1.46% higher at $524.89 on Thursday and those of Disney closed 2.39% higher at $176.71.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势:</b>Netflix股价周四收盘上涨1.46%,至524.89美元,迪士尼股价收盘上涨2.39%,至176.71美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178143364","content_text":"U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six months ago, shows the latest J.D. Power survey.\nWhat Happened?The survey found monthly customer spending on streaming platforms, such as Netflix IncNFLX,Amazon.com Inc’sAMZNAmazon Prime, Hulu, andWalt Disney Co’sDIS 0.03%Disney+, has nearly doubled since the spring of 2020.\nStreaming services are consuming an increasingly large share of the entertainment market despite more entertainment options such as live events, dining and travel nearly all pandemic related restrictions have been lifted with the widespread vaccination rollout.\nAbout 79% of the 1,209 U.S. adults said they were now subscribed to more streaming services than ever. The survey claims streaming subscriptions increased to an average of 4.5 streaming providers in June 2021 from 3.9 streaming providers in December 2020 even as monthly household spend on streaming services increased to $55 from $47.\nHow Are They Watching?Viewers increasingly streamed the content via an app on a phone or a tablet leading to a 36% jump in viewership in June 2021 from 25% just more than a year ago. In contrast, respondents who said they used an app on their smart TV rose just 4% during the same time period.\nApps now represent the second-most used streaming connection path. Separate hardware platforms likeRoku IncROKU,Apple Inc’sAAPLApple TV and Chromecast also got sizable boosts.\nWhy Are Viewers Spending More?Netflix increased the price of its premium service in October last year followed by a hike by Disney in March. Disney raised the price of Disney+ to $8 a month, or $80 per year. Disney has also given ESPN+ two price increases this year, the second which goes into effect on Aug. 13, which has forced the service’s annual plan increase by about $20 this year alone.\nWhat Are They Watching and Where?Lucifer was the most-watched show on streaming sites in June. On May 28, Netflix released the second-half of season 5 of Lucifer, which quickly made it to the top of the charts while Friends made it to the top three.\nNetflix is at the top of the mind of views as 89% of respondents said they subscribe to Netflix, followed by Amazon Prime at 76%, Hulu at 64%, and Disney+ at 52%. All three runner-ups experienced significant jumps, particularly Amazon Prime, which is the first non-Netflix platform to break the 70% mark.\nPrice Action:Netflix shares closed 1.46% higher at $524.89 on Thursday and those of Disney closed 2.39% higher at $176.71.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804245403,"gmtCreate":1627960643702,"gmtModify":1633754845103,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s a roller coaster ride","listText":"It’s a roller coaster ride","text":"It’s a roller coaster ride","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804245403","repostId":"2156114224","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142011412,"gmtCreate":1626103474136,"gmtModify":1633930069587,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142011412","repostId":"1151593546","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178485210,"gmtCreate":1626832171430,"gmtModify":1633770581051,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178485210","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170612745,"gmtCreate":1626426188887,"gmtModify":1631883982520,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good one","listText":"Good one","text":"Good one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170612745","repostId":"1166310062","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166310062","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626425479,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166310062?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 16:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna shares jumps 6.85% in premarket trading,as to be joining S&P 500.<blockquote>Moderna股价在盘前交易中上涨6.85%,加入标普500。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166310062","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Moderna shares jumps 6.85% in premarket trading,as to be joining S&P 500.\nModerna Inc. will replace ","content":"<p>Moderna shares jumps 6.85% in premarket trading,as to be joining S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价在盘前交易中上涨6.85%,因加入标普500。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67fe1c018d8b5dfd6c9ed79f6402e3f0\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Moderna Inc. will replace Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. in the S&P 500 effective prior to the opening of trading on Wednesday, July 21. AstraZeneca Plc is acquiring Alexion Pharmaceuticals in a deal expected to be completed soon pending final closing conditions.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna Inc.将在7月21日星期三开盘前取代Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc.在标普500的地位。阿斯利康公司正在收购Alexion Pharmaceuticals,预计该交易将很快完成,等待最终成交条件。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna shares jumps 6.85% in premarket trading,as to be joining S&P 500.<blockquote>Moderna股价在盘前交易中上涨6.85%,加入标普500。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna shares jumps 6.85% in premarket trading,as to be joining S&P 500.<blockquote>Moderna股价在盘前交易中上涨6.85%,加入标普500。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-16 16:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Moderna shares jumps 6.85% in premarket trading,as to be joining S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价在盘前交易中上涨6.85%,因加入标普500。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67fe1c018d8b5dfd6c9ed79f6402e3f0\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"612\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Moderna Inc. will replace Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. in the S&P 500 effective prior to the opening of trading on Wednesday, July 21. AstraZeneca Plc is acquiring Alexion Pharmaceuticals in a deal expected to be completed soon pending final closing conditions.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna Inc.将在7月21日星期三开盘前取代Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc.在标普500的地位。阿斯利康公司正在收购Alexion Pharmaceuticals,预计该交易将很快完成,等待最终成交条件。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","ALXN":"亚力兄制药"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166310062","content_text":"Moderna shares jumps 6.85% in premarket trading,as to be joining S&P 500.\nModerna Inc. will replace Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. in the S&P 500 effective prior to the opening of trading on Wednesday, July 21. AstraZeneca Plc is acquiring Alexion Pharmaceuticals in a deal expected to be completed soon pending final closing conditions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ALXN":0.9,"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144607204,"gmtCreate":1626277877008,"gmtModify":1633928304370,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144607204","repostId":"1181513394","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145402678,"gmtCreate":1626234344794,"gmtModify":1633928755965,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article","listText":"Great article","text":"Great article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145402678","repostId":"2151560584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":866309067,"gmtCreate":1632730587159,"gmtModify":1632798253349,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866309067","repostId":"1143344359","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143344359","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632727246,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143344359?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 15:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The “Trick” That Can Push Share Price Higher<blockquote>苹果股票:能推高股价的“绝招”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143344359","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Corporate America continues to aggressively buy their own shares, following a pullback in activity d","content":"<p>Corporate America continues to aggressively buy their own shares, following a pullback in activity during the pandemic. This is how Apple stock investors should benefit.</p><p><blockquote>继疫情期间活动回落后,美国企业界继续积极购买自己的股票。这就是苹果股票投资者应该受益的方式。</blockquote></p><p> S&P Dow Jones Indices has reported that US-based companies continue to invest heavily in… their own stock. Share buybacks in Q2 has risen nearly 12% sequentially and 124% YOY. This is a strong rebound from the post-COVID period of uncertainty that led to a temporary reduction in repurchase activity.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔道琼斯指数报告称,美国公司继续大力投资……他们自己的股票。第二季度股票回购量环比增长近12%,同比增长124%。这是从导致回购活动暂时减少的后新冠疫情不确定性时期的强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p> This is a reminder for Apple stock investors that the Cupertino company’s share price can continue to benefit from stock buybacks. The Apple Maven recaps why this might be the case.</p><p><blockquote>这提醒苹果股票投资者,库比蒂诺公司的股价可以继续受益于股票回购。苹果专家概述了为什么会出现这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3facec59ae76a6c28f4c5847600b4de\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"886\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple store in New York, NY.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1:纽约州纽约市的苹果商店。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple’s “secret sauce”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的“秘制酱料”</b></blockquote></p><p> A bit over a year ago,I talked about one of Apple’s tricks to driving share price higher in the past decade. “Tenfold in ten years” was possible not merely because of robust business fundamentals. Sure, the popularity of the iPhone and success of iPad contributed greatly to compelling stock performance. But share repurchase was also an important piece of the puzzle.</p><p><blockquote>一年多前,我谈到了苹果在过去十年中推动股价上涨的技巧之一。“十年十倍”之所以成为可能,不仅仅是因为稳健的业务基本面。当然,iPhone的流行和iPad的成功极大地促进了引人注目的股票表现。但股票回购也是这个难题的重要组成部分。</blockquote></p><p> Think about it: since 2011, Apple’s net income grew an impressive 190%. But at the same time, EPS (earnings per share) shot up by 325% over the same period. This “net income leverage” effect was only possible because share count was slashed by around 30% between 2013 and 2020. See chart below, which was published in June 2020 and not adjusted for the most recent stock split.</p><p><blockquote>想想看:自2011年以来,苹果的净利润增长了令人印象深刻的190%。但与此同时,EPS(每股收益)同期飙升325%。这种“净利润杠杆”效应之所以成为可能,是因为2013年至2020年间股票数量削减了约30%。请参阅下图,该图表于2020年6月发布,未根据最近的股票分割进行调整。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10126c1a8a7f21648f44ba54c038c518\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"352\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Apple's net cash & shares outstanding since 2011.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2:苹果自2011年以来的净现金和已发行股票。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the S&P’s most recent report, Apple was cited as the leader of the pack in stock buybacks by “not only spending the most of any [company], but its Q2 expenditure ranked second highest in S&P history”. The Cupertino company seems highly committed to supporting its stock, which should be a bullish sign.</p><p><blockquote>在标准普尔最近的报告中,苹果被认为是股票回购的领导者,因为“不仅是所有[公司]中支出最多的,而且其第二季度支出在标准普尔历史上排名第二”。这家库比蒂诺公司似乎高度致力于支持其股票,这应该是一个看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Maven’s take: quick math</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果·梅文的观点:快速数学</b></blockquote></p><p> Continuing to retire shares is, in my view, a crucial tenet of the investment thesis on AAPL stock – and Apple’s management team seems to agree. Year-to-date, the Cupertino company has spent $66.2 billion on repurchases, 20% more than in fiscal 2020. The figure is massive, as it has represented nearly 90% of the free cash flow that Apple has produced in fiscal 2021 so far.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来,继续回购股票是苹果公司股票投资理论的一个重要原则——苹果的管理团队似乎也同意这一点。今年迄今为止,这家库比蒂诺公司已花费662亿美元用于回购,比2020财年增加了20%。这个数字是巨大的,因为它代表了苹果2021财年迄今为止产生的自由现金流的近90%。</blockquote></p><p> At this pace, and assuming a share price of $150 apiece, Apple can retire around 600 million shares per year going forward, or just short of 4% of the total number of shares outstanding annually. Give it five years, and Apple’s share count could drop by almost 20%.</p><p><blockquote>按照这个速度,假设每股股价为150美元,苹果未来每年可以退役约6亿股,略低于每年已发行股票总数的4%。五年后,苹果的股票数量可能会下降近20%。</blockquote></p><p> Think of the EPS calculation, which is net income divided by shares outstanding. Repurchases alone can boost Apple’s bottom line quite substantially. Assuming the stock’s P/E valuation does not change, it is fair to say, roughly, that AAPL stock can rise some 20% by 2026 due to buybacks alone.</p><p><blockquote>想想每股收益的计算,即净利润除以已发行股票。仅回购就可以大幅提高苹果的利润。假设该股的市盈率估值不变,粗略地说,仅由于回购,AAPL股价到2026年就可以上涨约20%。</blockquote></p><p> For this reason and given the recent reports of a pickup in share repurchase activity across Corporate America, Apple investors have good reasons to be optimistic about share price performance.</p><p><blockquote>出于这个原因,并鉴于最近有报道称美国企业界股票回购活动有所增加,苹果投资者有充分的理由对股价表现持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The “Trick” That Can Push Share Price Higher<blockquote>苹果股票:能推高股价的“绝招”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The “Trick” That Can Push Share Price Higher<blockquote>苹果股票:能推高股价的“绝招”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-27 15:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Corporate America continues to aggressively buy their own shares, following a pullback in activity during the pandemic. This is how Apple stock investors should benefit.</p><p><blockquote>继疫情期间活动回落后,美国企业界继续积极购买自己的股票。这就是苹果股票投资者应该受益的方式。</blockquote></p><p> S&P Dow Jones Indices has reported that US-based companies continue to invest heavily in… their own stock. Share buybacks in Q2 has risen nearly 12% sequentially and 124% YOY. This is a strong rebound from the post-COVID period of uncertainty that led to a temporary reduction in repurchase activity.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔道琼斯指数报告称,美国公司继续大力投资……他们自己的股票。第二季度股票回购量环比增长近12%,同比增长124%。这是从导致回购活动暂时减少的后新冠疫情不确定性时期的强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p> This is a reminder for Apple stock investors that the Cupertino company’s share price can continue to benefit from stock buybacks. The Apple Maven recaps why this might be the case.</p><p><blockquote>这提醒苹果股票投资者,库比蒂诺公司的股价可以继续受益于股票回购。苹果专家概述了为什么会出现这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3facec59ae76a6c28f4c5847600b4de\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"886\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple store in New York, NY.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1:纽约州纽约市的苹果商店。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple’s “secret sauce”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的“秘制酱料”</b></blockquote></p><p> A bit over a year ago,I talked about one of Apple’s tricks to driving share price higher in the past decade. “Tenfold in ten years” was possible not merely because of robust business fundamentals. Sure, the popularity of the iPhone and success of iPad contributed greatly to compelling stock performance. But share repurchase was also an important piece of the puzzle.</p><p><blockquote>一年多前,我谈到了苹果在过去十年中推动股价上涨的技巧之一。“十年十倍”之所以成为可能,不仅仅是因为稳健的业务基本面。当然,iPhone的流行和iPad的成功极大地促进了引人注目的股票表现。但股票回购也是这个难题的重要组成部分。</blockquote></p><p> Think about it: since 2011, Apple’s net income grew an impressive 190%. But at the same time, EPS (earnings per share) shot up by 325% over the same period. This “net income leverage” effect was only possible because share count was slashed by around 30% between 2013 and 2020. See chart below, which was published in June 2020 and not adjusted for the most recent stock split.</p><p><blockquote>想想看:自2011年以来,苹果的净利润增长了令人印象深刻的190%。但与此同时,EPS(每股收益)同期飙升325%。这种“净利润杠杆”效应之所以成为可能,是因为2013年至2020年间股票数量削减了约30%。请参阅下图,该图表于2020年6月发布,未根据最近的股票分割进行调整。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10126c1a8a7f21648f44ba54c038c518\" tg-width=\"656\" tg-height=\"352\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 2: Apple's net cash & shares outstanding since 2011.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2:苹果自2011年以来的净现金和已发行股票。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the S&P’s most recent report, Apple was cited as the leader of the pack in stock buybacks by “not only spending the most of any [company], but its Q2 expenditure ranked second highest in S&P history”. The Cupertino company seems highly committed to supporting its stock, which should be a bullish sign.</p><p><blockquote>在标准普尔最近的报告中,苹果被认为是股票回购的领导者,因为“不仅是所有[公司]中支出最多的,而且其第二季度支出在标准普尔历史上排名第二”。这家库比蒂诺公司似乎高度致力于支持其股票,这应该是一个看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Maven’s take: quick math</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果·梅文的观点:快速数学</b></blockquote></p><p> Continuing to retire shares is, in my view, a crucial tenet of the investment thesis on AAPL stock – and Apple’s management team seems to agree. Year-to-date, the Cupertino company has spent $66.2 billion on repurchases, 20% more than in fiscal 2020. The figure is massive, as it has represented nearly 90% of the free cash flow that Apple has produced in fiscal 2021 so far.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来,继续回购股票是苹果公司股票投资理论的一个重要原则——苹果的管理团队似乎也同意这一点。今年迄今为止,这家库比蒂诺公司已花费662亿美元用于回购,比2020财年增加了20%。这个数字是巨大的,因为它代表了苹果2021财年迄今为止产生的自由现金流的近90%。</blockquote></p><p> At this pace, and assuming a share price of $150 apiece, Apple can retire around 600 million shares per year going forward, or just short of 4% of the total number of shares outstanding annually. Give it five years, and Apple’s share count could drop by almost 20%.</p><p><blockquote>按照这个速度,假设每股股价为150美元,苹果未来每年可以退役约6亿股,略低于每年已发行股票总数的4%。五年后,苹果的股票数量可能会下降近20%。</blockquote></p><p> Think of the EPS calculation, which is net income divided by shares outstanding. Repurchases alone can boost Apple’s bottom line quite substantially. Assuming the stock’s P/E valuation does not change, it is fair to say, roughly, that AAPL stock can rise some 20% by 2026 due to buybacks alone.</p><p><blockquote>想想每股收益的计算,即净利润除以已发行股票。仅回购就可以大幅提高苹果的利润。假设该股的市盈率估值不变,粗略地说,仅由于回购,AAPL股价到2026年就可以上涨约20%。</blockquote></p><p> For this reason and given the recent reports of a pickup in share repurchase activity across Corporate America, Apple investors have good reasons to be optimistic about share price performance.</p><p><blockquote>出于这个原因,并鉴于最近有报道称美国企业界股票回购活动有所增加,苹果投资者有充分的理由对股价表现持乐观态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-trick-that-can-push-share-price-higher\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-the-trick-that-can-push-share-price-higher","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143344359","content_text":"Corporate America continues to aggressively buy their own shares, following a pullback in activity during the pandemic. This is how Apple stock investors should benefit.\nS&P Dow Jones Indices has reported that US-based companies continue to invest heavily in… their own stock. Share buybacks in Q2 has risen nearly 12% sequentially and 124% YOY. This is a strong rebound from the post-COVID period of uncertainty that led to a temporary reduction in repurchase activity.\nThis is a reminder for Apple stock investors that the Cupertino company’s share price can continue to benefit from stock buybacks. The Apple Maven recaps why this might be the case.\nFigure 1: Apple store in New York, NY.\nApple’s “secret sauce”\nA bit over a year ago,I talked about one of Apple’s tricks to driving share price higher in the past decade. “Tenfold in ten years” was possible not merely because of robust business fundamentals. Sure, the popularity of the iPhone and success of iPad contributed greatly to compelling stock performance. But share repurchase was also an important piece of the puzzle.\nThink about it: since 2011, Apple’s net income grew an impressive 190%. But at the same time, EPS (earnings per share) shot up by 325% over the same period. This “net income leverage” effect was only possible because share count was slashed by around 30% between 2013 and 2020. See chart below, which was published in June 2020 and not adjusted for the most recent stock split.\nFigure 2: Apple's net cash & shares outstanding since 2011.\nIn the S&P’s most recent report, Apple was cited as the leader of the pack in stock buybacks by “not only spending the most of any [company], but its Q2 expenditure ranked second highest in S&P history”. The Cupertino company seems highly committed to supporting its stock, which should be a bullish sign.\nApple Maven’s take: quick math\nContinuing to retire shares is, in my view, a crucial tenet of the investment thesis on AAPL stock – and Apple’s management team seems to agree. Year-to-date, the Cupertino company has spent $66.2 billion on repurchases, 20% more than in fiscal 2020. The figure is massive, as it has represented nearly 90% of the free cash flow that Apple has produced in fiscal 2021 so far.\nAt this pace, and assuming a share price of $150 apiece, Apple can retire around 600 million shares per year going forward, or just short of 4% of the total number of shares outstanding annually. Give it five years, and Apple’s share count could drop by almost 20%.\nThink of the EPS calculation, which is net income divided by shares outstanding. Repurchases alone can boost Apple’s bottom line quite substantially. Assuming the stock’s P/E valuation does not change, it is fair to say, roughly, that AAPL stock can rise some 20% by 2026 due to buybacks alone.\nFor this reason and given the recent reports of a pickup in share repurchase activity across Corporate America, Apple investors have good reasons to be optimistic about share price performance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":836434171,"gmtCreate":1629513427793,"gmtModify":1633684329034,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836434171","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1151608193?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中,芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%,而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入?或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施,进入持续下跌趋势,让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表,但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天,那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因:“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然,这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化,现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险,那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先,以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因,以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示:“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑,然后是服务器,然后是电话。”但他表示,现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大,因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”,从各个角度来看,终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出,在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示:“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测,到2030年,芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番,达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”,他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下,从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造,行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中,有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面,公司在极紫外光刻(EUV)领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示,整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为,加上成本削减,意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年,芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善,”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%,而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出,尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数,但它们看起来很便宜,因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度(见下文),但他特别指出了两家公司,它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振:高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击,例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断,但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia,该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计,当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时,他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说,他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图,他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者,但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上,台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上,这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点,”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品,这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示,希望到2025年生产70%的芯片,高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是,有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买,导致未来的平静,这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计,这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出,使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流,但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数(PMI)在4月份达到顶峰,然后连续三个月减速。与此同时,芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出,通常情况下,两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设,而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此,他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器(DRAM)芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情,”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺,而不是表明短缺并不真实(只是库存增加)。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示:“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如,福特刚刚宣布,由于芯片短缺,而不是潜在需求短缺,它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测,由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素,良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的,持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul<blockquote>买入芯片股回调——长期关注这6家公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-23 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%。</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p><p><blockquote>在股市的滚动调整中,芯片制造商受到的打击比大多数制造商都要严重。</blockquote></p><p> The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>iShares半导体ETF较近期高点下跌超过6%,而标普500、纳斯达克综合指数和道琼斯工业平均指数的跌幅为2%或更少。</blockquote></p><p> Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着芯片股值得买入?或者这个历史上周期性的行业是否会故技重施,进入持续下跌趋势,让你大吃一惊。</blockquote></p><p> A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p><p><blockquote>很大程度上取决于您的时间表,但如果您喜欢持有多年股票而不是租用几天,那么该集团是值得买入的。主要原因:“这次不一样。”</blockquote></p><p> Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p><p><blockquote>诚然,这些是投资中最可怕的词语之一。但芯片行业已经发生了如此大的变化,现在确实有所不同——这表明它不太可能压垮你。</blockquote></p><p> You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p><p><blockquote>如果你认为没有风险,那你就是个傻瓜。我去看看那些。但首先,以下是该组织现在“更安全”的三个主要原因,以及过去几天我与之交谈的六位行业专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.周期性的邪恶女巫死了</b></blockquote></p><p> “Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p><p><blockquote>Impax Asset Management的投资组合经理David Winborne表示:“芯片行业的需求总是由产品周期驱动而繁荣和萧条。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>个人电脑,然后是服务器,然后是电话。”但他表示,现在整个经济对芯片的需求已经扩大,因此长期增长情况更加可预测。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>看看你周围。由于我们的生活和工作日益“数字化”,从各个角度来看,终端市场需求更加多样化。将远程办公服务视为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>看好该集团的Gabelli Funds投资组合经理兼科技分析师Hendi Susanto指出,在线购物、云服务、电动汽车、5G手机、智能工厂、大数据计算甚至洗衣机。</blockquote></p><p> “There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool芯片行业分析师John Rotonti表示:“现代数字经济的任何方面都离不开半导体。”“这意味着更多的芯片进入所有领域。长期需求是存在的。”</blockquote></p><p> He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p><p><blockquote>他不是在开玩笑。William Blair分析师Greg Scolaro预测,到2030年,芯片行业的收入将从2020年的4650亿美元翻一番,达到1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都意味着你所听到的普遍供应短缺“可能要到明年年底才能得到解决”,他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>芯片行业分析师Vivek Arya。“这不仅仅是我们的观点,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>得到了大多数大客户的确认。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.玩家已经巩固</b></blockquote></p><p> All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p><p><blockquote>在生产链的上上下下,从设计到各种类型的设备生产商再到制造,行业参与者已经整合到罗通蒂·评级“赢得”的双头垄断或垄断中。</blockquote></p><p> In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p><p><blockquote>在芯片设计软件中,有Cadence Design Systems和Synopsys。在生产设备方面,公司在极紫外光刻(EUV)领域的ASML等专业领域占据主导地位。制造业由台积电和三星电子主导。</blockquote></p><p> These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司通过在他们所做的事情上做到最好来赢得他们的利基或双头垄断地位。这使得投资者对它们很感兴趣。罗通蒂表示,整合还意味着参与者在定价和产能方面表现得更加理性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、盈利能力有所提升</b></blockquote></p><p> This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p><p><blockquote>这种更加理性的行为,加上成本削减,意味着现在的盈利能力远高于历史水平。“过去几年,芯片制造的经济性有了很大改善,”温伯恩说。现金流或EBITDA利润率现在通常超过30%,而十年前还在20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p><p><blockquote>这对估值有影响。Villere&Co.的投资组合经理Lamar Villere指出,尽管芯片股的交易价格约为市场倍数,但它们看起来很便宜,因为它们是更好的公司。“他们的市盈率并不是泡沫。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>The stocks to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>值得购买的股票</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p><p><blockquote>以下是我最近调查的芯片专家青睐的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>New management plays</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新的管理策略</b></blockquote></p><p> Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Thrivent的高级股票研究分析师Peter Karazeris有理由对该集团持谨慎态度(见下文),但他特别指出了两家公司,它们的业绩可能会因为在新管理层的领导下而得到提振:高通和安森美半导体。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p><p><blockquote>两者都具有稳健的盈利能力。高通最近受到了一次性问题的打击,例如德克萨斯州的恶劣天气导致生产中断,但该公司对5G手机趋势有很好的了解。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">安森美半导体</a>正在从手机扩展到汽车、工业和物联网互联设备领域等新领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A data center and gaming play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>数据中心和游戏</b></blockquote></p><p> Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p><p><blockquote>Karazeris还特别提到了Nvidia,该公司因其卓越的设计能力而从数据中心和游戏设备芯片需求中获得持续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Design tool companies</b></p><p><blockquote><b>设计工具公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p><p><blockquote>说到设计,当像高通和英伟达这样的公司想要设计芯片时,他们会求助于Cadence Design Systems提供的设计工具和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">新思科技</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p><p><blockquote>Motley Fool的Rotonti解释说,他们基于软件的设计工具帮助芯片创新者为他们的芯片创建蓝图,他挑出了这些名字。“他们不是世界上最快的种植者,但他们有很好的利润率。”他们也主宰着这个空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>An EUV play</b></p><p><blockquote><b>EUV播放</b></blockquote></p><p> To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p><p><blockquote>为了在芯片生产的早期阶段将这些蓝图放在硅上,台积电和三星等公司转向ASML。它的机器使用微小的光脉冲将芯片设计模板到硅片上,这一过程被称为极紫外光刻。“没有人知道如何做到这一点,”罗通蒂说。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,它在供应做到这一点的机器方面拥有垄断地位——这对于任何想要制造领先芯片的公司来说都是必要的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p><p><blockquote>以下是芯片行业投资者需要关注的一些主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Oversupply</b></p><p><blockquote><b>供应过剩</b></blockquote></p><p> Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p><p><blockquote>芯片生产已经政治化。美国希望在国内生产更多产品,这样就不会受到中国供应链中断的影响。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>Winborne表示,希望到2025年生产70%的芯片,高于目前的5%。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p><p><blockquote>这里的结果是,有大量的政府支持来促进制造业——所以会有更多的支持。风险在于未来某个时候供应过剩。这也可能会推动芯片设备的购买,导致未来的平静,这可能会损害设备制造商的销售和利润趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,像Alphabet、苹果和亚马逊这样的大型科技公司都在做自己的芯片设计,这威胁到了做同样事情的专业芯片公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">量子的</a>计算机的</b></blockquote></p><p> Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p><p><blockquote>William Blair的Scolaro指出,使用基于量子物理学的芯片设计而不是传统半导体架构的计算机具有卓越的性能。“虽然量子计算可能至少在未来五年内不会成为主流,但它有潜力改变从技术到医疗保健的一切。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A disturbing signal</b></p><p><blockquote><b>令人不安的信号</b></blockquote></p><p> A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p><p><blockquote>全球采购经理人指数(PMI)在4月份达到顶峰,然后连续三个月减速。与此同时,芯片销售持续增长。在Thrivent跟踪这一指标的Karazeris指出,通常情况下,两者遵循相同的趋势。他将这种差异归因于库存建设,而库存建设的可持续性不如真实的终端市场需求。因此,他将这种背离视为芯片行业的看跌信号。</blockquote></p><p> Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p><p><blockquote>另一个警告信号来自动态随机存取存储器(DRAM)芯片定价的预测疲软。“这些通常是你在周期顶部而不是底部看到的事情,”卡拉泽里斯说。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>但全球PMI放缓也有可能更多地反映了芯片短缺,而不是表明短缺并不真实(只是库存增加)。Leuthold经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示:“这种分歧并不一定意味着芯片订单会滚动并死亡。这意味着芯片制造业必须迎头赶上。”</blockquote></p><p> Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p><p><blockquote>例如,福特刚刚宣布,由于芯片短缺,而不是潜在需求短缺,它不得不削减产量。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预测,由于高储蓄率、就业和收入反弹以及被压抑的大件商品需求等因素,良好的经济增长是可持续的。如果他是对的,持续的经济实力将支持对所有使用芯片的产品的需求——包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>汽车。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","NVDA":"英伟达","TSM":"台积电","GOOGL":"谷歌A","ON":"安森美半导体","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","AMZN":"亚马逊","SSNLF":"三星电子","GOOG":"谷歌","ASML":"阿斯麦","QCOM":"高通","CDNS":"铿腾电子","SNPS":"新思科技"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOG":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"ON":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806232891,"gmtCreate":1627657000513,"gmtModify":1633757344181,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806232891","repostId":"2155137344","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173357253,"gmtCreate":1626621487372,"gmtModify":1633925446115,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173357253","repostId":"1139907709","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139907709","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626568617,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139907709?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-18 08:36","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Crime And Punishment: Thomas F. Quinn's Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World<blockquote>华尔街罪与罚:托马斯·F·奎因的疯狂、疯狂、疯狂、疯狂的世界</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139907709","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Does crime pay?\nIn August 1988, French authorities arrested an American expatriate named Thomas F. Q","content":"<p><div> Does crime pay? In August 1988, French authorities arrested an American expatriate named Thomas F. Quinn for orchestrating a global securities scheme that defrauded investors out of $500 million. As ...</p><p><blockquote><div>犯罪有报酬吗?1988年8月,法国当局逮捕了一位名叫托马斯·F·奎因的美国侨民,罪名是他策划了一项全球证券计划,诈骗投资者5亿美元。作为...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21990476/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-thomas-f-quinns-mad-mad-mad-mad-world\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21990476/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-thomas-f-quinns-mad-mad-mad-mad-world\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Crime And Punishment: Thomas F. Quinn's Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World<blockquote>华尔街罪与罚:托马斯·F·奎因的疯狂、疯狂、疯狂、疯狂的世界</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Crime And Punishment: Thomas F. Quinn's Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World<blockquote>华尔街罪与罚:托马斯·F·奎因的疯狂、疯狂、疯狂、疯狂的世界</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-18 08:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Does crime pay? In August 1988, French authorities arrested an American expatriate named Thomas F. Quinn for orchestrating a global securities scheme that defrauded investors out of $500 million. As ...</p><p><blockquote><div>犯罪有报酬吗?1988年8月,法国当局逮捕了一位名叫托马斯·F·奎因的美国侨民,罪名是他策划了一项全球证券计划,诈骗投资者5亿美元。作为...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21990476/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-thomas-f-quinns-mad-mad-mad-mad-world\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21990476/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-thomas-f-quinns-mad-mad-mad-mad-world\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21990476/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-thomas-f-quinns-mad-mad-mad-mad-world\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/government/21/07/21990476/wall-street-crime-and-punishment-thomas-f-quinns-mad-mad-mad-mad-world","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139907709","content_text":"Does crime pay?\nIn August 1988, French authorities arrested an American expatriate named Thomas F. Quinn for orchestrating a global securities scheme that defrauded investors out of $500 million.\nAs an unapologetic financial miscreant with a lifelong penchant for fraud, the French escapade represented something of a career peak for Quinn, whose flair of swindling took on an astonishing level of organizing that left no corner of the world untouched.\nIllusory Assets For Sale:Thomas Francis Quinn was born in Brooklyn in 1932; his father drove a cement truck and his mother was a housewife who made extra money selling clothing and jewelry from the family’s garage.\nQuinn was an altar boy in his childhood and was the first member of his family to pursue higher education, graduating from St. John’s University Law School and passing the bar in 1962.\nQuinn opted to go into business for himself, starting a brokerage firm in New York called Thomas, Williams & Lee.The main focus of this firm became the promotion of Kent Industries,a company that claimed to own Florida property valued at $2 million.\nThere was a slight problem — Kent Industries didn’t own anything in the Sunshine State, and this inconvenient fact helped to introduce Quinn to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).\nLong story short: Quinn received a lifetime banishment from the SEC in 1966 from doing business with brokers and dealers thanks to what the agency defined as his “flagrant fraudulent practices” related to the Kent Industries assets, which the regulator considered to be “almost completely illusory.”\nThe U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) was a bit slower in dealing with Quinn, but by 1970 he was sent to jail for six months and was later permanently disbarred from practicing law.\nA Job With The Mob:Prior to losing his law license, Quinn gained a partnership in a New York-based securities law firm that set off several alarms among federal law enforcement agencies. Indeed, an FBI report from 1983 recalled this firm’s chief focus was being responsible for the “funds of hoodlum-controlled companies.”\nQuinn was on both the FBI’s and SEC’s respective radars in the early 1980s for his role with two companies,Sundance Gold Mining and Aquarius Gold Exploration, that claimed to have discovered gold in Suriname. The companies created a flurry of excitement among investors, but an investigation into their operations found a hitherto undeclared connection with the Genovese crime family.\nThe SEC filed a civil complaint against Quinn in 1983, charging him with fraudulently manipulating and promoting the companies’ stocks.\nThree years later, he reached a settlement with the regulator by agreeing to permanently stay away from anything related to securities.\nThe FBI, despite finding Mafia fingerprints in Quinn’s business affairs, declined to press charges against him.\nRealizing that he wore out his welcome in his home country, Quinn and his common-law wife Rochelle Rothfleisch decided to relocate to France and to up his game to an unprecedented operation.\nBoiler Room Follies:The circumstances and details of how Quinn built his swindling masterpiece are a bit fuzzy, but it is believed that the scheme was first hatched in 1984 and was coordinated out of his $6 million villa in the south of France.\nQuinn set up an archipelago of offices in several European countries and in Dubai, Jamaica and the tiny South Pacific island nation of Vanuatu, and he gave them phony names that sounded similar to respectable brokerages.\nEach office was staffed with salesmen who were tasked to sell stocks for 20 U.S. corporations to individual investors around the world. The stocks in question were mostly shell companies trading on the over-the-counter exchanges that Quinn picked up for pennies, but they were resold by Quinn’s salesmen at inflated amounts.\nThe investors were culled from mailing lists sold by publishing companies and professional organizations, as well as from respondents to advertisements placed in newsletters focused on the over-the-counter markets.\nQuinn’s henchmen would telephone the investors — nearly all of whom were novices to investing — and do a high-pressure sales spiel that, more often than not, resulted in the separation of the gullible targets from their money.\nQuinn’s team aimed at European, Australian, Middle Eastern and Hong Kong neophyte investors. The only country off-limits from this scheme was the U.S. Quinn was already on the FBI’s radar and the last thing he wanted was to give them cause to pursue him anew.\nA Temporary Setback: In 1988, Quinn’s arrest in France saw him charged with securities fraud, forgery of administrative documents and the possession of two fake Greek passports. His detention and the subsequent arrest of 20 of his salesmen created a fascinating dilemma for banking and law enforcement agencies in multiple countries.\nFor starters, no one could easily figure out where the majority of Quinn’s $500 million in ill-gotten gains wound up. Transfers were traced through banks in Switzerland, Luxembourg and Gibraltar, as well as the beleaguered Bank of Credit and Commerce International in Tampa, Florida, which gained national attention as a favored depository for those involved in drug money laundering. But where the money eventually landed was anyone’s guess, and Quinn’s talent for adopting aliases to cover his business tracks confounded investigators.\nAlso, it was unclear regarding how many people were swindled. A pair of class-action lawsuits brought out a total of 500 people trying to regain their money, but some observers of this case speculated the number could have been higher — some investors might have seen Quinn’s scam as a means of evading local taxes and foreign currency exchanges and would then have to answer to their authorities if this chicanery came to light.\nThe SEC got into the picture because the stocks being sold in the scheme were all U.S. companies. The agency hosted a meeting in Washington D.C. with law enforcement officers and prosecutors from eight European countries and Australia, with the hopes of sorting out the mess. But since no Americans were defrauded in this elaborate charade, Quinn did not face criminal charges in his own country, although the SEC temporarily froze his U.S. assets.\nIn France, Quinn was initially released after agreeing to reimburse his French victims but was arrested again when the Swiss government demanded his extradition.\nHe came to trial in 1991 and was only sentenced to four years in prison, but his sentence was reduced to include time served and he was extradited to Switzerland.\nHis Alpine detention was brief and by the mid-1990s he returned to the U.S. and rented a luxury home in Greenwich, Connecticut, a swanky suburb of New York City.\nAn Eventual Stumble:One of Quinn’s neighbors in Greenwich wasMartin Frankel,a financier with his own addiction to swindling.\nIn 1999, the Wall Street Journal used anonymous “people familiar with the matter” to claim Quinn assisted Frankel in his efforts to raise money for a controlled investment fund designed to buy insurance companies — but this turned out to be an embezzlement scam that resulted in Frankel fleeing the U.S. to Germany on a phony passport.\nFrankel was eventually extradited and spent nearly two decades in prison, but Quinn was never charged for being a partner in Frankel’s shenanigans.\nFor most of the 1990s and the 2000s, Quinn kept a very low public profile, although law enforcement tracked his travels to such far-flung places as the Maldives and the United Arab Emirates.\nIn 2004, he made a rare appearance at the Irish Derby as the co-owner of the winning thoroughbred Grey Swallow. Photographs of Quinn with the winning racehorse marked the only time that he was ever photographed in a public gathering. (Copyright restrictions prevent us from reprinting the photograph here, butthis linkon the RTE website shows Quinn, standing second from right, at the conclusion of the championship race.)\nIn November 2009, Quinn’s luck finally ran out. On a trip back from Ireland to New York’s JFK International Airport, he was arrested for his role within a ring of embezzlers that sought to defraud a pair of British telecommunications companies out of more than $60 million. The scheme had the global hallmarks of Quinn’s earlier criminal triumph, with funds being disbursed to seven countries across four continents.\nQuinn was immediately jailed upon his arrest and was denied bail because it was feared he would attempt to flee the country. He eventually pleaded guilty to a single count of wire fraud and, despite exhortations to avoid prison due to health problems, he was sentenced in March 2013 to 84 months in prison. He was released in May 2016.\nWhat became of Quinn since his release is unknown. No obituary for him has been published, and he would be 89 years old if he is still alive.\nOne information-tracking website listed him residing at a Brooklyn address, but the website also listed an accompanying telephone number that is not in service. Any readers who may have information on Quinn’s whereabouts should contact us and we will offer an update on his story.\nQuinn rarely spoke to anyone about his criminal activities. During an investigative session after his final arrest, he reportedly would only answer questions through a series of eyelid blinks. When a reporter sought to interview him in 1995, he demanded his privacy.\n\"Just forget me,\" Quinn said. \"I've got a lot of trouble and a lot of personal grief. I'm just trying to get on with my life. I'm not in the securities business and never will be again.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":235,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834461532,"gmtCreate":1629819489126,"gmtModify":1633682198181,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834461532","repostId":"2161818081","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2808,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838427215,"gmtCreate":1629425073837,"gmtModify":1633684924345,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good article","listText":"Good article","text":"Good article","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838427215","repostId":"2160915795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123896898,"gmtCreate":1624414662714,"gmtModify":1634006448150,"author":{"id":"3573470064978756","authorId":"3573470064978756","name":"TESyourmumLa","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5a3af32f80d3cb8ab28ed7b1b219dc","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573470064978756","idStr":"3573470064978756"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NIO FTW!","listText":"NIO FTW!","text":"NIO FTW!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123896898","repostId":"1123710128","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1123710128","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624406277,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123710128?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EVs Seen Reaching Sales Supremacy by 2033, Faster Than Expected<blockquote>电动汽车预计到2033年将达到销量霸主地位,速度快于预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123710128","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Global electric vehicle supremacy will arrive by 2033 -- five years earlier than prev","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Global electric vehicle supremacy will arrive by 2033 -- five years earlier than previously expected -- as tougher regulations and rising interest drive demand for zero-emission transportation, according to a new study.</p><p><blockquote>(彭博社)——根据一项新的研究,随着更严格的法规和不断上升的兴趣推动了对零排放交通的需求,全球电动汽车将在2033年到来,比之前的预期提前了五年。</blockquote></p><p> Consultant Ernst & Young LLP now sees EV sales outpacing fossil fuel-burners in 12 years in Europe, China and the U.S. -- the world’s largest auto markets. And by 2045, non-EV sales are seen plummeting to less than 1% of the global car market, EY forecast using an AI-powered prediction tool.</p><p><blockquote>咨询公司安永会计师事务所(Ernst&Young LLP)目前预计,在全球最大的汽车市场欧洲、中国和美国,电动汽车销量将在12年内超过化石燃料燃烧器。安永使用人工智能预测工具预测,到2045年,非电动汽车销量预计将骤降至全球汽车市场的1%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Strict government mandates to combat climate change are driving demand in Europe and China, where automakers and consumers face rising financial penalties for selling and buying traditional gasoline and diesel-fueled cars. EY sees Europe leading the charge to electric, with zero-emission models outselling all other propulsion systems by 2028. That tipping point will arrive in China in 2033 and in the U.S. in 2036, EY predicts.</p><p><blockquote>政府应对气候变化的严格要求正在推动欧洲和中国的需求,在这些国家,汽车制造商和消费者因销售和购买传统汽油和柴油汽车而面临越来越多的经济处罚。安永预计欧洲将引领电动化潮流,到2028年,零排放车型的销量将超过所有其他推进系统。安永预测,这一临界点将于2033年在中国到来,2036年在美国到来。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. lags the world’s other leading markets because fuel-economy regulations were eased during President Donald Trump’s administration. Since taking office in January, President Joe Biden has rejoined the Paris Climate Accord and proposed spending $174 billion to accelerate the shift to EVs, including installing a half-million charging stations across the country.</p><p><blockquote>美国落后于世界其他主要市场,因为唐纳德·特朗普总统执政期间放松了燃油经济性法规。自1月份上任以来,乔·拜登总统重新加入了巴黎气候协议,并提议斥资1740亿美元加速向电动汽车的转变,包括在全国安装50万个充电站。</blockquote></p><p> “The regulatory environment from the Biden administration we view as a big contributor, because he has ambitious targets,” Randy Miller, EY’s global advanced manufacturing and mobility leader, said in an interview. “That impact in the Americas will have a supercharging effect.”</p><p><blockquote>安永全球先进制造和移动出行负责人兰迪·米勒在接受采访时表示:“我们认为拜登政府的监管环境是一个很大的贡献者,因为他有雄心勃勃的目标。”“这种对美洲的影响将产生增压效应。”</blockquote></p><p> There also is a growing consumer appetite for EVs, from Tesla Inc.’s hot-selling Model 3 to new electric models coming from legacy automakers, such as General Motors Co.’s battery-powered Hummer truck and Ford Motor Co.’s F-150 Lightning pickup. Investments in battery powered models now top $230 billion from the world’s automakers, according to consultant AlixPartners.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对电动汽车的需求也在不断增长,从特斯拉公司热销的Model 3到传统汽车制造商的新型电动车型,例如通用汽车公司的电池驱动悍马卡车和福特汽车公司的F-150闪电皮卡。据咨询公司AlixPartners称,目前全球汽车制造商对电池驱动车型的投资超过2300亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> ‘More Appealing’</p><p><blockquote>“更有吸引力”</blockquote></p><p> “Many more models that are much more appealing are coming out,” Miller said. “You factor that with the incentives, and those are the raw ingredients that are driving this more optimistic view.”</p><p><blockquote>“更多更具吸引力的型号正在问世,”米勒说。“你把这一点与激励因素结合起来,这些就是推动这种更乐观观点的原材料。”</blockquote></p><p> The EY study also sees the millennial generation, now in their late 20s and 30s, as helping to propel EV adoption. Those consumers, driven by a coronavirus-influenced rejection of ride-sharing and public transportation, are embracing car ownership. And 30% of them want to drive an EV, Miller said.</p><p><blockquote>安永的研究还认为,现在20多岁和30多岁的千禧一代有助于推动电动汽车的采用。这些消费者在冠状病毒影响下拒绝拼车和公共交通的推动下,正在接受拥有汽车。米勒说,其中30%的人想驾驶电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> “The view from the millennials that we’re seeing is clearly more inclination to want to buy EVs,” Miller said.</p><p><blockquote>米勒说:“我们看到的千禧一代的观点显然更倾向于购买电动汽车。”</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, the combination of government purchase incentives for EVs and proposed bans on internal combustion engines in cities and states are accelerating the adoption of battery-powered vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>此外,政府对电动汽车的购买激励措施以及城市和州对内燃机的拟议禁令相结合,正在加速电池驱动汽车的采用。</blockquote></p><p> Europe is forecast to lead in EV sales volumes until 2031, when China will become the world’s top market for electric vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>预计到2031年,欧洲的电动汽车销量将处于领先地位,届时中国将成为全球最大的电动汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> Vehicles powered by gasoline and diesel are still predicted to make up around two-thirds of all light vehicle registrations in 2025, but that will mark a 12 percentage-point decrease from five years earlier. By 2030, EY predicts that non-EV cars will account for less than half of overall light vehicle registrations.</p><p><blockquote>预计到2025年,汽油和柴油动力汽车仍将占所有轻型汽车注册量的三分之二左右,但这将比五年前下降12个百分点。安永预测,到2030年,非电动汽车将占轻型汽车注册总量的一半以下。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EVs Seen Reaching Sales Supremacy by 2033, Faster Than Expected<blockquote>电动汽车预计到2033年将达到销量霸主地位,速度快于预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEVs Seen Reaching Sales Supremacy by 2033, Faster Than Expected<blockquote>电动汽车预计到2033年将达到销量霸主地位,速度快于预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-23 07:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Global electric vehicle supremacy will arrive by 2033 -- five years earlier than previously expected -- as tougher regulations and rising interest drive demand for zero-emission transportation, according to a new study.</p><p><blockquote>(彭博社)——根据一项新的研究,随着更严格的法规和不断上升的兴趣推动了对零排放交通的需求,全球电动汽车将在2033年到来,比之前的预期提前了五年。</blockquote></p><p> Consultant Ernst & Young LLP now sees EV sales outpacing fossil fuel-burners in 12 years in Europe, China and the U.S. -- the world’s largest auto markets. And by 2045, non-EV sales are seen plummeting to less than 1% of the global car market, EY forecast using an AI-powered prediction tool.</p><p><blockquote>咨询公司安永会计师事务所(Ernst&Young LLP)目前预计,在全球最大的汽车市场欧洲、中国和美国,电动汽车销量将在12年内超过化石燃料燃烧器。安永使用人工智能预测工具预测,到2045年,非电动汽车销量预计将骤降至全球汽车市场的1%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Strict government mandates to combat climate change are driving demand in Europe and China, where automakers and consumers face rising financial penalties for selling and buying traditional gasoline and diesel-fueled cars. EY sees Europe leading the charge to electric, with zero-emission models outselling all other propulsion systems by 2028. That tipping point will arrive in China in 2033 and in the U.S. in 2036, EY predicts.</p><p><blockquote>政府应对气候变化的严格要求正在推动欧洲和中国的需求,在这些国家,汽车制造商和消费者因销售和购买传统汽油和柴油汽车而面临越来越多的经济处罚。安永预计欧洲将引领电动化潮流,到2028年,零排放车型的销量将超过所有其他推进系统。安永预测,这一临界点将于2033年在中国到来,2036年在美国到来。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. lags the world’s other leading markets because fuel-economy regulations were eased during President Donald Trump’s administration. Since taking office in January, President Joe Biden has rejoined the Paris Climate Accord and proposed spending $174 billion to accelerate the shift to EVs, including installing a half-million charging stations across the country.</p><p><blockquote>美国落后于世界其他主要市场,因为唐纳德·特朗普总统执政期间放松了燃油经济性法规。自1月份上任以来,乔·拜登总统重新加入了巴黎气候协议,并提议斥资1740亿美元加速向电动汽车的转变,包括在全国安装50万个充电站。</blockquote></p><p> “The regulatory environment from the Biden administration we view as a big contributor, because he has ambitious targets,” Randy Miller, EY’s global advanced manufacturing and mobility leader, said in an interview. “That impact in the Americas will have a supercharging effect.”</p><p><blockquote>安永全球先进制造和移动出行负责人兰迪·米勒在接受采访时表示:“我们认为拜登政府的监管环境是一个很大的贡献者,因为他有雄心勃勃的目标。”“这种对美洲的影响将产生增压效应。”</blockquote></p><p> There also is a growing consumer appetite for EVs, from Tesla Inc.’s hot-selling Model 3 to new electric models coming from legacy automakers, such as General Motors Co.’s battery-powered Hummer truck and Ford Motor Co.’s F-150 Lightning pickup. Investments in battery powered models now top $230 billion from the world’s automakers, according to consultant AlixPartners.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对电动汽车的需求也在不断增长,从特斯拉公司热销的Model 3到传统汽车制造商的新型电动车型,例如通用汽车公司的电池驱动悍马卡车和福特汽车公司的F-150闪电皮卡。据咨询公司AlixPartners称,目前全球汽车制造商对电池驱动车型的投资超过2300亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> ‘More Appealing’</p><p><blockquote>“更有吸引力”</blockquote></p><p> “Many more models that are much more appealing are coming out,” Miller said. “You factor that with the incentives, and those are the raw ingredients that are driving this more optimistic view.”</p><p><blockquote>“更多更具吸引力的型号正在问世,”米勒说。“你把这一点与激励因素结合起来,这些就是推动这种更乐观观点的原材料。”</blockquote></p><p> The EY study also sees the millennial generation, now in their late 20s and 30s, as helping to propel EV adoption. Those consumers, driven by a coronavirus-influenced rejection of ride-sharing and public transportation, are embracing car ownership. And 30% of them want to drive an EV, Miller said.</p><p><blockquote>安永的研究还认为,现在20多岁和30多岁的千禧一代有助于推动电动汽车的采用。这些消费者在冠状病毒影响下拒绝拼车和公共交通的推动下,正在接受拥有汽车。米勒说,其中30%的人想驾驶电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> “The view from the millennials that we’re seeing is clearly more inclination to want to buy EVs,” Miller said.</p><p><blockquote>米勒说:“我们看到的千禧一代的观点显然更倾向于购买电动汽车。”</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, the combination of government purchase incentives for EVs and proposed bans on internal combustion engines in cities and states are accelerating the adoption of battery-powered vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>此外,政府对电动汽车的购买激励措施以及城市和州对内燃机的拟议禁令相结合,正在加速电池驱动汽车的采用。</blockquote></p><p> Europe is forecast to lead in EV sales volumes until 2031, when China will become the world’s top market for electric vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>预计到2031年,欧洲的电动汽车销量将处于领先地位,届时中国将成为全球最大的电动汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> Vehicles powered by gasoline and diesel are still predicted to make up around two-thirds of all light vehicle registrations in 2025, but that will mark a 12 percentage-point decrease from five years earlier. By 2030, EY predicts that non-EV cars will account for less than half of overall light vehicle registrations.</p><p><blockquote>预计到2025年,汽油和柴油动力汽车仍将占所有轻型汽车注册量的三分之二左右,但这将比五年前下降12个百分点。安永预测,到2030年,非电动汽车将占轻型汽车注册总量的一半以下。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/evs-seen-reaching-sales-supremacy-230100585.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/evs-seen-reaching-sales-supremacy-230100585.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123710128","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Global electric vehicle supremacy will arrive by 2033 -- five years earlier than previously expected -- as tougher regulations and rising interest drive demand for zero-emission transportation, according to a new study.\nConsultant Ernst & Young LLP now sees EV sales outpacing fossil fuel-burners in 12 years in Europe, China and the U.S. -- the world’s largest auto markets. And by 2045, non-EV sales are seen plummeting to less than 1% of the global car market, EY forecast using an AI-powered prediction tool.\nStrict government mandates to combat climate change are driving demand in Europe and China, where automakers and consumers face rising financial penalties for selling and buying traditional gasoline and diesel-fueled cars. EY sees Europe leading the charge to electric, with zero-emission models outselling all other propulsion systems by 2028. That tipping point will arrive in China in 2033 and in the U.S. in 2036, EY predicts.\nThe U.S. lags the world’s other leading markets because fuel-economy regulations were eased during President Donald Trump’s administration. Since taking office in January, President Joe Biden has rejoined the Paris Climate Accord and proposed spending $174 billion to accelerate the shift to EVs, including installing a half-million charging stations across the country.\n“The regulatory environment from the Biden administration we view as a big contributor, because he has ambitious targets,” Randy Miller, EY’s global advanced manufacturing and mobility leader, said in an interview. “That impact in the Americas will have a supercharging effect.”\nThere also is a growing consumer appetite for EVs, from Tesla Inc.’s hot-selling Model 3 to new electric models coming from legacy automakers, such as General Motors Co.’s battery-powered Hummer truck and Ford Motor Co.’s F-150 Lightning pickup. Investments in battery powered models now top $230 billion from the world’s automakers, according to consultant AlixPartners.\n‘More Appealing’\n“Many more models that are much more appealing are coming out,” Miller said. “You factor that with the incentives, and those are the raw ingredients that are driving this more optimistic view.”\nThe EY study also sees the millennial generation, now in their late 20s and 30s, as helping to propel EV adoption. Those consumers, driven by a coronavirus-influenced rejection of ride-sharing and public transportation, are embracing car ownership. And 30% of them want to drive an EV, Miller said.\n“The view from the millennials that we’re seeing is clearly more inclination to want to buy EVs,” Miller said.\nAdditionally, the combination of government purchase incentives for EVs and proposed bans on internal combustion engines in cities and states are accelerating the adoption of battery-powered vehicles.\nEurope is forecast to lead in EV sales volumes until 2031, when China will become the world’s top market for electric vehicles.\nVehicles powered by gasoline and diesel are still predicted to make up around two-thirds of all light vehicle registrations in 2025, but that will mark a 12 percentage-point decrease from five years earlier. By 2030, EY predicts that non-EV cars will account for less than half of overall light vehicle registrations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}