+关注
TLB___
暂无个人介绍
IP属地：0
5
关注
0
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
TLB___
2024-11-21
洗的一手好筹
异动解读 | 分析师做空MicroStrategy导致股价暴跌5%
TLB___
2024-11-21
[财迷]
TLB___
2024-01-03
比特币表示不慌，最好是衰退，脸着地
美联储会议纪要前瞻：鹰派将给市场泼冷水，“降息狂欢”恐迎来中场休息
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3573712940563206","uuid":"3573712940563206","gmtCreate":1610618916866,"gmtModify":1610622583581,"name":"TLB___","pinyin":"tlbtlb","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ffe82c201b7fa4da2e2dd8acce0bbff","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":5,"tweetSize":3,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":3,"level":{"id":0,"name":"","nameTw":"","represent":"","factor":"","iconColor":"","bgColor":""},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.02.22","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001}],"userBadgeCount":1,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"0","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":373421791330424,"gmtCreate":1732203415794,"gmtModify":1732203686636,"author":{"id":"3573712940563206","authorId":"3573712940563206","name":"TLB___","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ffe82c201b7fa4da2e2dd8acce0bbff","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573712940563206","authorIdStr":"3573712940563206"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"洗的一手好筹","listText":"洗的一手好筹","text":"洗的一手好筹","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373421791330424","repostId":"1160216739","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373066327134608,"gmtCreate":1732126219955,"gmtModify":1732126736364,"author":{"id":"3573712940563206","authorId":"3573712940563206","name":"TLB___","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ffe82c201b7fa4da2e2dd8acce0bbff","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573712940563206","authorIdStr":"3573712940563206"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0de1f6497693cef05c21e946d82abb2","width":"1080","height":"540"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373066327134608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":853,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258975679897752,"gmtCreate":1704256457394,"gmtModify":1704261029526,"author":{"id":"3573712940563206","authorId":"3573712940563206","name":"TLB___","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ffe82c201b7fa4da2e2dd8acce0bbff","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573712940563206","authorIdStr":"3573712940563206"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"比特币表示不慌，最好是衰退，脸着地","listText":"比特币表示不慌，最好是衰退，脸着地","text":"比特币表示不慌，最好是衰退，脸着地","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/258975679897752","repostId":"2400813563","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1989,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":373421791330424,"gmtCreate":1732203415794,"gmtModify":1732203686636,"author":{"id":"3573712940563206","authorId":"3573712940563206","name":"TLB___","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ffe82c201b7fa4da2e2dd8acce0bbff","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573712940563206","authorIdStr":"3573712940563206"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"洗的一手好筹","listText":"洗的一手好筹","text":"洗的一手好筹","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373421791330424","repostId":"1160216739","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1160216739","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"个股异动一手消息解读","home_visible":1,"media_name":"异动解读","id":"1092702339","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390"},"pubTimestamp":1732203154,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160216739?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-21 23:32","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"异动解读 | 分析师做空MicroStrategy导致股价暴跌5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160216739","media":"异动解读","summary":"美股$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$周四盘中大跌5%,引发市场关注。\n据悉,消息人士称,著名做空机构香橼研究(Citron Research)披露,已持有MSTR公司的空头头寸。香橼研究一直是行业内声名狼藉的做空机构,其主张一向冲击力很强。\n作为全球持有比特币最多的上市公司,MSTR股价连日狂飙,引发了一些炒作投机的嫌疑。外界普遍认为,MSTR的快速涨价主要是比特币价格创新高的反映,存在一定泡沫。现在香橼研究的做空言论当然会给投资者泼一盆冷水。","content":"<p>美股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">MicroStrategy</a>周四盘中大跌5%,引发市场关注。</p>\n<p>据悉,消息人士称,著名做空机构香橼研究(Citron Research)披露,已持有MSTR公司的空头头寸。香橼研究一直是行业内声名狼藉的做空机构,其主张一向冲击力很强。</p>\n<p>作为全球持有比特币最多的上市公司,MSTR股价连日狂飙,引发了一些炒作投机的嫌疑。外界普遍认为,MSTR的快速涨价主要是比特币价格创新高的反映,存在一定泡沫。现在香橼研究的做空言论当然会给投资者泼一盆冷水。</p>","source":"ai_movement_cn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>异动解读 | 分析师做空MicroStrategy导致股价暴跌5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n异动解读 | 分析师做空MicroStrategy导致股价暴跌5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1092702339\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">异动解读 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-21 23:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>美股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">MicroStrategy</a>周四盘中大跌5%,引发市场关注。</p>\n<p>据悉,消息人士称,著名做空机构香橼研究(Citron Research)披露,已持有MSTR公司的空头头寸。香橼研究一直是行业内声名狼藉的做空机构,其主张一向冲击力很强。</p>\n<p>作为全球持有比特币最多的上市公司,MSTR股价连日狂飙,引发了一些炒作投机的嫌疑。外界普遍认为,MSTR的快速涨价主要是比特币价格创新高的反映,存在一定泡沫。现在香橼研究的做空言论当然会给投资者泼一盆冷水。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSTR":"Strategy"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160216739","content_text":"美股MicroStrategy周四盘中大跌5%,引发市场关注。\n据悉,消息人士称,著名做空机构香橼研究(Citron Research)披露,已持有MSTR公司的空头头寸。香橼研究一直是行业内声名狼藉的做空机构,其主张一向冲击力很强。\n作为全球持有比特币最多的上市公司,MSTR股价连日狂飙,引发了一些炒作投机的嫌疑。外界普遍认为,MSTR的快速涨价主要是比特币价格创新高的反映,存在一定泡沫。现在香橼研究的做空言论当然会给投资者泼一盆冷水。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSTR":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373066327134608,"gmtCreate":1732126219955,"gmtModify":1732126736364,"author":{"id":"3573712940563206","authorId":"3573712940563206","name":"TLB___","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ffe82c201b7fa4da2e2dd8acce0bbff","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573712940563206","authorIdStr":"3573712940563206"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0de1f6497693cef05c21e946d82abb2","width":"1080","height":"540"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373066327134608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":853,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":258975679897752,"gmtCreate":1704256457394,"gmtModify":1704261029526,"author":{"id":"3573712940563206","authorId":"3573712940563206","name":"TLB___","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ffe82c201b7fa4da2e2dd8acce0bbff","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573712940563206","authorIdStr":"3573712940563206"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"比特币表示不慌，最好是衰退，脸着地","listText":"比特币表示不慌，最好是衰退，脸着地","text":"比特币表示不慌，最好是衰退，脸着地","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/258975679897752","repostId":"2400813563","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2400813563","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1704251400,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2400813563?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-01-03 11:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储会议纪要前瞻：鹰派将给市场泼冷水，“降息狂欢”恐迎来中场休息","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2400813563","media":"智通财经","summary":"外面仍然很冷，这可能是美联储即将发出的信息。美联储主席鲍威尔及其同事维持利率不变，并暗示借贷成本的下降幅度将超过此前的预期。美联储下调而非上调利率预期，标志着政策的转变，也标志着战胜通胀的胜利。美联储使用会议记录来传达信息这些协议将记录下为期两天的会议上的言论，美联储的官员们在会上发表了各自的预测。其次，市场对美联储的预测持怀疑态度。总结预计美联储将发布相对强硬的会议纪要，引发“避险”市场走势。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)即将公布的会议纪要可能会给市场泼一盘冷水。</p><p>外面仍然很冷，这可能是美联储即将发出的信息。然而，来自世界上最强大的央行的任何寒意都可能是短暂的。</p><p><strong>市场被鸽派论调冲昏了头脑</strong></p><p>2024年三次降息——这是美联储12月13日的“点阵图”传达的信息。美联储主席鲍威尔及其同事维持利率不变，并暗示借贷成本的下降幅度将超过此前的预期。美联储下调而非上调利率预期，标志着政策的转变，也标志着战胜通胀的胜利。</p><p>市场喜欢这个观点——但可能太过了——预计2024年将有四到五次降息，第一次将在3月份。债券收益率暴跌，股市飙升，美元处于亏损状态。投资者倾向于先开枪后思考，而且可能做得太过了。</p><p>根据债券市场的数据，利率将在3月份下调。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a167d61ed15d1b8eda63b1ee0bfed85\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"386\"/></p><p>美联储官员不希望长期借贷成本下降得如此强劲、如此迅速——这可能会鼓励放贷，而不是储蓄，有可能使抑制通胀的成果付之一炬。这时会议纪要就派上用场了。</p><p><strong>美联储使用会议记录来传达信息</strong></p><p>这些协议将记录下为期两天的会议上的言论，美联储的官员们在会上发表了各自的预测。当时，政策制定者受到消费者价格指数(CPI)数据(在他们审议的第一天公布)和生产者价格指数(PPI)的影响。但并非美联储董事会的所有成员都完全一致。</p><p>由于会议纪要直到最后一刻都在修改，该纪要可能会强调官员们想要传达的信息——别着急。预计该报告将强调鹰派成员在降息前保持谨慎的愿望，并承诺在确定降息是必要的之前不会降息。</p><p>这样一个鹰派的亮点将提振美元，并使股票投资者的沮丧。它也会冷却黄金。</p><p>然而，分析师认为这种影响不会持续太久。首先，趋势强劲——投资者对软着陆的前景相当乐观，即通胀完全消失而不出现衰退。</p><p>其次，市场对美联储的预测持怀疑态度。该机构很晚才承认通货膨胀不是暂时的，也很晚才承认自己已经做得够多了，或者做得太多了。</p><p>第三点——这与第一点有关——美联储强调它依赖于数据。除非最新数据显示出通胀倾向，否则没有理由害怕鹰派的论调。</p><p><strong>总结</strong></p><p>预计美联储将发布相对强硬的会议纪要，引发“避险”市场走势。然而，这个行情不会持续太久。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储会议纪要前瞻：鹰派将给市场泼冷水，“降息狂欢”恐迎来中场休息</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储会议纪要前瞻：鹰派将给市场泼冷水，“降息狂欢”恐迎来中场休息\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-01-03 11:10 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1049260.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)即将公布的会议纪要可能会给市场泼一盘冷水。外面仍然很冷，这可能是美联储即将发出的信息。然而，来自世界上最强大的央行的任何寒意都可能是短暂的。市场被鸽派论调冲昏了头脑2024年三次降息——这是美联储12月13日的“点阵图”传达的信息。美联储主席鲍威尔及其同事维持利率不变，并暗示借贷成本的下降幅度将超过此前的预期。美联储下调而非上调利率预期，标志着政策的转变，也标志着...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1049260.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1049260.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2400813563","content_text":"美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)即将公布的会议纪要可能会给市场泼一盘冷水。外面仍然很冷，这可能是美联储即将发出的信息。然而，来自世界上最强大的央行的任何寒意都可能是短暂的。市场被鸽派论调冲昏了头脑2024年三次降息——这是美联储12月13日的“点阵图”传达的信息。美联储主席鲍威尔及其同事维持利率不变，并暗示借贷成本的下降幅度将超过此前的预期。美联储下调而非上调利率预期，标志着政策的转变，也标志着战胜通胀的胜利。市场喜欢这个观点——但可能太过了——预计2024年将有四到五次降息，第一次将在3月份。债券收益率暴跌，股市飙升，美元处于亏损状态。投资者倾向于先开枪后思考，而且可能做得太过了。根据债券市场的数据，利率将在3月份下调。美联储官员不希望长期借贷成本下降得如此强劲、如此迅速——这可能会鼓励放贷，而不是储蓄，有可能使抑制通胀的成果付之一炬。这时会议纪要就派上用场了。美联储使用会议记录来传达信息这些协议将记录下为期两天的会议上的言论，美联储的官员们在会上发表了各自的预测。当时，政策制定者受到消费者价格指数(CPI)数据(在他们审议的第一天公布)和生产者价格指数(PPI)的影响。但并非美联储董事会的所有成员都完全一致。由于会议纪要直到最后一刻都在修改，该纪要可能会强调官员们想要传达的信息——别着急。预计该报告将强调鹰派成员在降息前保持谨慎的愿望，并承诺在确定降息是必要的之前不会降息。这样一个鹰派的亮点将提振美元，并使股票投资者的沮丧。它也会冷却黄金。然而，分析师认为这种影响不会持续太久。首先，趋势强劲——投资者对软着陆的前景相当乐观，即通胀完全消失而不出现衰退。其次，市场对美联储的预测持怀疑态度。该机构很晚才承认通货膨胀不是暂时的，也很晚才承认自己已经做得够多了，或者做得太多了。第三点——这与第一点有关——美联储强调它依赖于数据。除非最新数据显示出通胀倾向，否则没有理由害怕鹰派的论调。总结预计美联储将发布相对强硬的会议纪要，引发“避险”市场走势。然而，这个行情不会持续太久。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":1.1,".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1989,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
