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2021-12-23

Cool

Why Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote>

2021-12-23

Cool

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-23

Cool

Does This Wildly Accurate S&P 500 Ratio Signal Doom for Investors in 2022?<blockquote>这种极其准确的标普500比率是否预示着2022年投资者的厄运？</blockquote>

2021-12-23

Aapl

Amazon Stock: Why It Might Outperform Apple in 2022<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为什么亚马逊股票在2022年可能跑赢苹果</blockquote>

2021-12-23

Cool

Grab Stock May Be Down But It Isn’t Out<blockquote>Grab股票可能下跌，但尚未出局</blockquote>

2021-06-18

Moon

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-17

Wtonks

Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote>

2021-06-16

Solid

Nio ET7 Will Be Equipped With 'High-Performance' LiDAR, Says Supplier<blockquote>供应商称蔚来ET7将配备“高性能”激光雷达</blockquote>

2021-06-15

Stonks

Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote>

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10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140552564","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nHot electric vehicle (EV) stockLucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Hot electric vehicle (EV) stock<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its mojo in recent weeks. But it roared back on Wednesday, surging 1.79% today. Lucid shares just started trading on a popular stock index, and the luxury EV maker is now flush with cash to pump into growth. Oh, and Lucid Air received&nbsp;<i>yet another</i>&nbsp;glorious review that's called the car<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)\"living nightmare.\"</p><p><blockquote>热门电动汽车(EV)股票<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克：LCID）最近几周似乎失去了一些魔力。但周三反弹，今日飙升1.79%。Lucid股票刚刚开始在一个受欢迎的股票指数上交易，这家豪华电动汽车制造商现在拥有充足的现金来推动增长。哦，Lucid Air收到了<i>又一个</i>光荣的评论称为汽车<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）的“活生生的噩梦”。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> On Dec. 20, Lucid stock started trading on the&nbsp;Nasdaq-100 index, a market-cap weighted index comprising 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial stocks based on market capitalization.</p><p><blockquote>12月20日，Lucid股票开始在纳斯达克100指数上交易，该指数是一个市值加权指数，由100只按市值计算的国内和国际最大的非金融股票组成。</blockquote></p><p> Inclusion in an index, especially a popular one like the Nasdaq-100 that's chock-full of growth stocks, can typically lift investor sentiment. But it can also drive the stock price higher as institutional investors who track the index have to buy the stock to match it. That's what's happening with Lucid stock right now, but it isn't the&nbsp;<i>only</i>&nbsp;factor driving the EV stock higher today.</p><p><blockquote>纳入指数，尤其是像纳斯达克100这样充满成长型股票的热门指数，通常可以提振投资者情绪。但它也可能推高股价，因为跟踪该指数的机构投资者必须购买股票以匹配该指数。这就是Lucid股票目前正在发生的情况，但它不是<i>只有</i>今天推动电动汽车股票走高的因素。</blockquote></p><p> Lucid also announced it has completed the sale of senior convertible notes and raised roughly $2 billion in gross proceeds to use for general corporate purposes and business expansion.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid还宣布已完成高级可转换票据的出售，并筹集了约20亿美元的总收益，用于一般公司用途和业务扩张。</blockquote></p><p> As of Sept. 30, 2021, Lucid had $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which means Lucid now has almost $7 billion in cash to put to good use. Lucid had secured more than 17,000 reservations across all four trim variants of Lucid Air as of Nov. 15. Although the company is expected to deliver only a few hundred cars this year, Lucid has an ambitious target of producing 20,000 vehicles in 2022. The EV maker has evidently taken advantage of the market's enthusiasm by raising money while it can to scale up capacity.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年9月30日，Lucid拥有48亿美元的现金和现金等价物以及短期投资，这意味着Lucid现在有近70亿美元的现金可以充分利用。截至11月15日，Lucid已在Lucid Air的所有四种装饰变体中获得了超过17,000份预订。尽管该公司预计今年仅交付数百辆汽车，但Lucid有一个雄心勃勃的目标，即在2022年生产2万辆汽车。这家电动汽车制造商显然利用了市场的热情，尽可能地筹集资金来扩大产能。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes right when the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized its most ambitious-ever greenhouse gas-emission standards that&nbsp;hugely favor electric vehicles. On the basis of these new standards, the EPA projects sales of EVs and plug-in hybrids to grow 7% in model year 2023 to 17% by model year 2026.</p><p><blockquote>当美国环境保护署(EPA)最终确定其有史以来最雄心勃勃的温室气体排放标准时，所有这一切都恰逢其时，该标准非常有利于电动汽车。根据这些新标准，EPA预计电动汽车和插电式混合动力车的销量将在2023车型年增长7%，到2026车型年增长17%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Lucid Air Dream Edition -- the first and most expensive trim the company is selling -- continues to make heads turn. Popular YouTube channel&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;just released a detailed video review of Air Dream, comparing it to Tesla's Model S Plaid and concluding that Lucid could give Tesla a proper run for its money if it can successfully deploy Air Dream's powerful technology into lower-priced models.&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;calls Air Dream closest to the \"perfect EV\" we've seen so far.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Lucid Air Dream Edition——该公司销售的第一款也是最昂贵的内饰——继续引人注目。热门YouTube频道<i>节气门室</i>刚刚发布了对Air Dream的详细视频评论，将其与特斯拉的Model S Plaid进行了比较，并得出结论，如果Lucid能够成功地将Air Dream的强大技术部署到价格较低的车型中，它可以与特斯拉进行适当的竞争。<i>节气门室</i>评级Air Dream最接近我们迄今为止见过的“完美电动汽车”。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> Just yesterday, I picked Lucid as one of the&nbsp;hottest growth stocks primed to take off;the company is much-better placed than the likes of&nbsp;<b>Nikola</b>&nbsp;to navigate an ongoing probe by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) given that its cars are already on the road and have been officially certified as being the longest range EV yet.</p><p><blockquote>就在昨天，我选择Lucid作为准备起飞的最热门成长股之一；该公司的地位比<b>尼古拉</b>鉴于其汽车已经上路并已被官方认证为迄今为止续航里程最长的电动汽车，以应对美国证券交易委员会(SEC)正在进行的调查。</blockquote></p><p> I expect Lucid'sdelivery rate to be initially slow&nbsp;as it upgrades existing production lines. I also expect the company will continue to incur losses for a considerable period of time before it can convert revenues into profits. Yet, among all the EV stocks starting out, Lucid could&nbsp;potentially be one of the biggest EV stocks&nbsp;in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>我预计Lucid在升级现有生产线时的交付速度最初会很慢。我还预计，该公司将在相当长的一段时间内继续亏损，然后才能将收入转化为利润。然而，在所有起步的电动汽车股票中，从长远来看，Lucid可能成为最大的电动汽车股票之一。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 10:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Hot electric vehicle (EV) stock<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its mojo in recent weeks. But it roared back on Wednesday, surging 1.79% today. Lucid shares just started trading on a popular stock index, and the luxury EV maker is now flush with cash to pump into growth. Oh, and Lucid Air received&nbsp;<i>yet another</i>&nbsp;glorious review that's called the car<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)\"living nightmare.\"</p><p><blockquote>热门电动汽车(EV)股票<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克：LCID）最近几周似乎失去了一些魔力。但周三反弹，今日飙升1.79%。Lucid股票刚刚开始在一个受欢迎的股票指数上交易，这家豪华电动汽车制造商现在拥有充足的现金来推动增长。哦，Lucid Air收到了<i>又一个</i>光荣的评论称为汽车<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）的“活生生的噩梦”。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> On Dec. 20, Lucid stock started trading on the&nbsp;Nasdaq-100 index, a market-cap weighted index comprising 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial stocks based on market capitalization.</p><p><blockquote>12月20日，Lucid股票开始在纳斯达克100指数上交易，该指数是一个市值加权指数，由100只按市值计算的国内和国际最大的非金融股票组成。</blockquote></p><p> Inclusion in an index, especially a popular one like the Nasdaq-100 that's chock-full of growth stocks, can typically lift investor sentiment. But it can also drive the stock price higher as institutional investors who track the index have to buy the stock to match it. That's what's happening with Lucid stock right now, but it isn't the&nbsp;<i>only</i>&nbsp;factor driving the EV stock higher today.</p><p><blockquote>纳入指数，尤其是像纳斯达克100这样充满成长型股票的热门指数，通常可以提振投资者情绪。但它也可能推高股价，因为跟踪该指数的机构投资者必须购买股票以匹配该指数。这就是Lucid股票目前正在发生的情况，但它不是<i>只有</i>今天推动电动汽车股票走高的因素。</blockquote></p><p> Lucid also announced it has completed the sale of senior convertible notes and raised roughly $2 billion in gross proceeds to use for general corporate purposes and business expansion.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid还宣布已完成高级可转换票据的出售，并筹集了约20亿美元的总收益，用于一般公司用途和业务扩张。</blockquote></p><p> As of Sept. 30, 2021, Lucid had $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which means Lucid now has almost $7 billion in cash to put to good use. Lucid had secured more than 17,000 reservations across all four trim variants of Lucid Air as of Nov. 15. Although the company is expected to deliver only a few hundred cars this year, Lucid has an ambitious target of producing 20,000 vehicles in 2022. The EV maker has evidently taken advantage of the market's enthusiasm by raising money while it can to scale up capacity.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年9月30日，Lucid拥有48亿美元的现金和现金等价物以及短期投资，这意味着Lucid现在有近70亿美元的现金可以充分利用。截至11月15日，Lucid已在Lucid Air的所有四种装饰变体中获得了超过17,000份预订。尽管该公司预计今年仅交付数百辆汽车，但Lucid有一个雄心勃勃的目标，即在2022年生产2万辆汽车。这家电动汽车制造商显然利用了市场的热情，尽可能地筹集资金来扩大产能。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes right when the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized its most ambitious-ever greenhouse gas-emission standards that&nbsp;hugely favor electric vehicles. On the basis of these new standards, the EPA projects sales of EVs and plug-in hybrids to grow 7% in model year 2023 to 17% by model year 2026.</p><p><blockquote>当美国环境保护署(EPA)最终确定其有史以来最雄心勃勃的温室气体排放标准时，所有这一切都恰逢其时，该标准非常有利于电动汽车。根据这些新标准，EPA预计电动汽车和插电式混合动力车的销量将在2023车型年增长7%，到2026车型年增长17%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Lucid Air Dream Edition -- the first and most expensive trim the company is selling -- continues to make heads turn. Popular YouTube channel&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;just released a detailed video review of Air Dream, comparing it to Tesla's Model S Plaid and concluding that Lucid could give Tesla a proper run for its money if it can successfully deploy Air Dream's powerful technology into lower-priced models.&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;calls Air Dream closest to the \"perfect EV\" we've seen so far.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Lucid Air Dream Edition——该公司销售的第一款也是最昂贵的内饰——继续引人注目。热门YouTube频道<i>节气门室</i>刚刚发布了对Air Dream的详细视频评论，将其与特斯拉的Model S Plaid进行了比较，并得出结论，如果Lucid能够成功地将Air Dream的强大技术部署到价格较低的车型中，它可以与特斯拉进行适当的竞争。<i>节气门室</i>评级Air Dream最接近我们迄今为止见过的“完美电动汽车”。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> Just yesterday, I picked Lucid as one of the&nbsp;hottest growth stocks primed to take off;the company is much-better placed than the likes of&nbsp;<b>Nikola</b>&nbsp;to navigate an ongoing probe by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) given that its cars are already on the road and have been officially certified as being the longest range EV yet.</p><p><blockquote>就在昨天，我选择Lucid作为准备起飞的最热门成长股之一；该公司的地位比<b>尼古拉</b>鉴于其汽车已经上路并已被官方认证为迄今为止续航里程最长的电动汽车，以应对美国证券交易委员会(SEC)正在进行的调查。</blockquote></p><p> I expect Lucid'sdelivery rate to be initially slow&nbsp;as it upgrades existing production lines. I also expect the company will continue to incur losses for a considerable period of time before it can convert revenues into profits. Yet, among all the EV stocks starting out, Lucid could&nbsp;potentially be one of the biggest EV stocks&nbsp;in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>我预计Lucid在升级现有生产线时的交付速度最初会很慢。我还预计，该公司将在相当长的一段时间内继续亏损，然后才能将收入转化为利润。然而，在所有起步的电动汽车股票中，从长远来看，Lucid可能成为最大的电动汽车股票之一。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/why-lucid-stock-jumped-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/why-lucid-stock-jumped-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140552564","content_text":"What happened\nHot electric vehicle (EV) stockLucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its mojo in recent weeks. But it roared back on Wednesday, surging 1.79% today. Lucid shares just started trading on a popular stock index, and the luxury EV maker is now flush with cash to pump into growth. Oh, and Lucid Air received yet another glorious review that's called the carTesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA)\"living nightmare.\"\nSo what\nOn Dec. 20, Lucid stock started trading on the Nasdaq-100 index, a market-cap weighted index comprising 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial stocks based on market capitalization.\nInclusion in an index, especially a popular one like the Nasdaq-100 that's chock-full of growth stocks, can typically lift investor sentiment. But it can also drive the stock price higher as institutional investors who track the index have to buy the stock to match it. That's what's happening with Lucid stock right now, but it isn't the only factor driving the EV stock higher today.\nLucid also announced it has completed the sale of senior convertible notes and raised roughly $2 billion in gross proceeds to use for general corporate purposes and business expansion.\nAs of Sept. 30, 2021, Lucid had $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which means Lucid now has almost $7 billion in cash to put to good use. Lucid had secured more than 17,000 reservations across all four trim variants of Lucid Air as of Nov. 15. Although the company is expected to deliver only a few hundred cars this year, Lucid has an ambitious target of producing 20,000 vehicles in 2022. The EV maker has evidently taken advantage of the market's enthusiasm by raising money while it can to scale up capacity.\nAll of this comes right when the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized its most ambitious-ever greenhouse gas-emission standards that hugely favor electric vehicles. On the basis of these new standards, the EPA projects sales of EVs and plug-in hybrids to grow 7% in model year 2023 to 17% by model year 2026.\nMeanwhile, Lucid Air Dream Edition -- the first and most expensive trim the company is selling -- continues to make heads turn. Popular YouTube channel Throttle House just released a detailed video review of Air Dream, comparing it to Tesla's Model S Plaid and concluding that Lucid could give Tesla a proper run for its money if it can successfully deploy Air Dream's powerful technology into lower-priced models. Throttle House calls Air Dream closest to the \"perfect EV\" we've seen so far.\nNow what\nJust yesterday, I picked Lucid as one of the hottest growth stocks primed to take off;the company is much-better placed than the likes of Nikola to navigate an ongoing probe by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) given that its cars are already on the road and have been officially certified as being the longest range EV yet.\nI expect Lucid'sdelivery rate to be initially slow as it upgrades existing production lines. I also expect the company will continue to incur losses for a considerable period of time before it can convert revenues into profits. Yet, among all the EV stocks starting out, Lucid could potentially be one of the biggest EV stocks in the long run.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LCID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691440727,"gmtCreate":1640232570462,"gmtModify":1640232570462,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691440727","repostId":"2193150111","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691440459,"gmtCreate":1640232561983,"gmtModify":1640232561983,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691440459","repostId":"1164868978","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164868978","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640229309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164868978?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Does This Wildly Accurate S&P 500 Ratio Signal Doom for Investors in 2022?<blockquote>这种极其准确的标普500比率是否预示着2022年投资者的厄运？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164868978","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"While I'm generally skeptical of stock market indicators, investors might want to pay attention to this one.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Predicting stock market performance is a near-impossible task.</li>  <li>The Shiller P/E ratio may be as accurate an indicator as there is.</li>  <li>But investors would still do well to focus on the long term.</li> </ul> If someone ever asks me what I think the market is going to do next, I usually reply by saying I have no idea. I believe most investors would be wise to adopt this philosophy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预测股市表现几乎是一项不可能完成的任务。</li><li>席勒市盈率可能是最准确的指标。</li><li>但投资者最好还是着眼于长期。</li></ul>如果有人问我认为市场下一步会做什么，我通常会回答说我不知道。我相信大多数投资者采用这种理念是明智的。</blockquote></p><p> This still doesn't prevent people from trying to forecast where things will go next. As investors, we want to appear like we know what the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s performance will be in the future. Then we can position our portfolios accordingly.</p><p><blockquote>这仍然不妨碍人们试图预测接下来事情的走向。作为投资者，我们希望表现得好像我们知道<b>标普500</b>的表现将在未来。然后我们可以相应地定位我们的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But is there a data point out there that can signal with any level of accuracy what future returns will be? Read on to find out.</p><p><blockquote>但是，有没有一个数据点可以以任何精度表明未来的回报？请继续阅读，找出答案。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2869216c7d0cbc4c220f60d370cc7938\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not a bad&nbsp;indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不错的指标</b></blockquote></p><p> Every once in a while, I think the Shiller&nbsp;price-to-earnings(P/E) ratio, otherwise known as the cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio, can provide a high-level view as to what prospective returns might be over the next decade.This&nbsp;metric is the P/E ratio of the S&amp;P 500 using the average net income of the previous 10 years, adjusted for inflation.</p><p><blockquote>每隔一段时间，我认为席勒市盈率（P/E），也称为周期性调整市盈率（CAPE），可以提供一个关于未来十年预期回报的高层次视图。该指标是标普500的市盈率，使用前10年的平均净收入，经通货膨胀调整。</blockquote></p><p> If that sounds like a mouthful, don't worry. The objective of this data point is to smooth out any fluctuations in earnings. The highest it has ever been previously was in 1929 and 2000, and these times directly preceded bear markets. As you can see below, we are currently at the second highest level in history.</p><p><blockquote>如果这听起来很拗口，不要担心。该数据点的目标是消除收益的任何波动。此前的最高纪录是在1929年和2000年，而这两次都是在熊市之前。正如你在下面看到的，我们目前处于历史第二高的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7fb9cd4886d330700f25d58806f67a\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>S&amp;P 500 SHILLER CAPE RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的标普500·席勒CAPE比率数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> According to Advisor Perspectives, which provides news and commentary for financial advisors, the CAPE ratio explained an incredible 90% of the variation in returns from 1995 to 2020. In other words, for an asset class that's completely random, this is as accurate an indicator as we're going to get.</p><p><blockquote>根据为财务顾问提供新闻和评论的Advisor Perspectives的数据，CAPE比率解释了1995年至2020年90%的回报变化。换句话说，对于完全随机的资产类别，这是我们将得到的最准确的指标。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 has historically&nbsp;returned an average of 10% per year. But based on today's Shiller P/E ratio of 38, the market could be in for disappointing returns in 2022 and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>标普500历史上平均每年回报率为10%。但根据目前38的席勒市盈率，市场在2022年及以后的回报可能会令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> However, I don't think investors should panic just yet. The Great Recession of 2008 and 2009 and the coronavirus pandemic led to unprecedented amounts of government stimulus to support economic growth. Even with an elevated CAPE ratio over the past 10 years, the stock market just kept climbing higher. Credit the Federal Reserve for perhaps distorting the correlation between the Shiller P/E ratio and future returns.</p><p><blockquote>不过，我认为投资者现在还不应该恐慌。2008年和2009年的大衰退以及冠状病毒大流行导致政府采取了前所未有的刺激措施来支持经济增长。尽管过去10年CAPE比率有所上升，但股市仍在不断攀升。相信美联储可能扭曲了席勒市盈率和未来回报之间的相关性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What should&nbsp;investors do?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该怎么做？</b></blockquote></p><p> I firmly believe that you should only invest money in the stock market that you don't need for the next five years. This is because in the near term, the market is extremely unpredictable, but over longer time horizons, the probability of a positive return increases dramatically.</p><p><blockquote>我坚信，你应该只把未来五年不需要的钱投入股市。这是因为在短期内，市场是极其不可预测的，但在更长的时间范围内，正回报的概率会急剧增加。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, if you're looking to put capital to work right now when interest rates are near zero, you really don't have any other option than to invest in the stock market. Although the Shiller P/E ratio might signal a poor decade of returns ahead, where else would you park your money?</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，如果你想在利率接近于零的时候立即投入资金，除了投资股市，你真的没有任何其他选择。尽管席勒市盈率可能预示着未来十年的回报不佳，但你还会把钱放在哪里呢？</blockquote></p><p> I believe that owning a well-diversified portfolio (at least 25 stocks) of competitively advantaged businesses that have proven track records and solid growth prospects is the best&nbsp;strategy&nbsp;you can pursue. Names like&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:HD)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Starbucks</b>(NASDAQ:SBUX)immediately come to mind.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，拥有一个多元化的投资组合（至少25只股票），其中包括具有竞争优势的企业，这些企业具有良好的业绩记录和稳健的增长前景，是您可以追求的最佳策略。名字像<b>家得宝</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：HD）和<b>星巴克</b>（纳斯达克：SBUX）立即浮现在脑海中。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;home-improvement giant&nbsp;has grown profits 16% annually over the past 10 years, is able to outshine competitors thanks to its massive scale, and still has huge expansion opportunities thanks to a robust U.S. housing market.</p><p><blockquote>这家家装巨头在过去10年中利润每年增长16%，凭借其庞大的规模能够超越竞争对手，并且由于美国房地产市场强劲，仍然拥有巨大的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> The giant coffeehouse chain possesses a powerful brand, supported by a top-notch loyalty program and premium status that resonates strongly with consumers. Starbucks' management estimates that by 2030, there'll be a&nbsp;whopping 55,000&nbsp;locations worldwide, 63%&nbsp;higher&nbsp;than today's count.</p><p><blockquote>这家大型连锁咖啡馆拥有强大的品牌，由一流的忠诚度计划和与消费者产生强烈共鸣的优质地位提供支持。星巴克管理层估计，到2030年，全球门店数量将达到55,000家，比目前的数量增加63%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Focus on what really matters</b></p><p><blockquote><b>专注于真正重要的事情</b></blockquote></p><p> No matter what the Shiller P/E ratio says, I think Home Depot and Starbucks will continue to do well and be solid additions to anyone's portfolio. This is what investors must focus on. Concentrate intensely on the quality of the companies you own, and you'll surely do well over time.</p><p><blockquote>无论席勒市盈率如何，我认为家得宝和星巴克将继续表现良好，并成为任何人投资组合的坚实补充。这是投资者必须重点关注的。专注于你所拥有的公司的质量，随着时间的推移，你肯定会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Trying to time the market based on whether you think it's cheap or expensive is not a game you want to play. Adding savings at regular intervals -- known as&nbsp;dollar-cost averaging-- reduces any biases you may have andallows you to improve your cost basis on stocks you buy.</p><p><blockquote>试图根据您认为市场便宜还是昂贵来把握市场时机并不是您想玩的游戏。定期增加储蓄（称为平均成本法）可以减少您可能存在的任何偏见，并允许您改善购买股票的成本基础。</blockquote></p><p> We're living in interesting times. There's still lots of uncertainty in the market today with no shortage of so-called experts telling us what we should do with our money. While the Shiller P/E ratio is a tool you can add to your investing arsenal, ignore the noise and keep your eyes on the long term.</p><p><blockquote>我们生活在一个有趣的时代。今天的市场仍然存在很多不确定性，不乏所谓的专家告诉我们应该如何处理我们的钱。虽然席勒市盈率是您可以添加到投资武器库中的工具，但请忽略噪音并着眼于长期。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Does This Wildly Accurate S&P 500 Ratio Signal Doom for Investors in 2022?<blockquote>这种极其准确的标普500比率是否预示着2022年投资者的厄运？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDoes This Wildly Accurate S&P 500 Ratio Signal Doom for Investors in 2022?<blockquote>这种极其准确的标普500比率是否预示着2022年投资者的厄运？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Predicting stock market performance is a near-impossible task.</li>  <li>The Shiller P/E ratio may be as accurate an indicator as there is.</li>  <li>But investors would still do well to focus on the long term.</li> </ul> If someone ever asks me what I think the market is going to do next, I usually reply by saying I have no idea. I believe most investors would be wise to adopt this philosophy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预测股市表现几乎是一项不可能完成的任务。</li><li>席勒市盈率可能是最准确的指标。</li><li>但投资者最好还是着眼于长期。</li></ul>如果有人问我认为市场下一步会做什么，我通常会回答说我不知道。我相信大多数投资者采用这种理念是明智的。</blockquote></p><p> This still doesn't prevent people from trying to forecast where things will go next. As investors, we want to appear like we know what the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s performance will be in the future. Then we can position our portfolios accordingly.</p><p><blockquote>这仍然不妨碍人们试图预测接下来事情的走向。作为投资者，我们希望表现得好像我们知道<b>标普500</b>的表现将在未来。然后我们可以相应地定位我们的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But is there a data point out there that can signal with any level of accuracy what future returns will be? Read on to find out.</p><p><blockquote>但是，有没有一个数据点可以以任何精度表明未来的回报？请继续阅读，找出答案。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2869216c7d0cbc4c220f60d370cc7938\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not a bad&nbsp;indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不错的指标</b></blockquote></p><p> Every once in a while, I think the Shiller&nbsp;price-to-earnings(P/E) ratio, otherwise known as the cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio, can provide a high-level view as to what prospective returns might be over the next decade.This&nbsp;metric is the P/E ratio of the S&amp;P 500 using the average net income of the previous 10 years, adjusted for inflation.</p><p><blockquote>每隔一段时间，我认为席勒市盈率（P/E），也称为周期性调整市盈率（CAPE），可以提供一个关于未来十年预期回报的高层次视图。该指标是标普500的市盈率，使用前10年的平均净收入，经通货膨胀调整。</blockquote></p><p> If that sounds like a mouthful, don't worry. The objective of this data point is to smooth out any fluctuations in earnings. The highest it has ever been previously was in 1929 and 2000, and these times directly preceded bear markets. As you can see below, we are currently at the second highest level in history.</p><p><blockquote>如果这听起来很拗口，不要担心。该数据点的目标是消除收益的任何波动。此前的最高纪录是在1929年和2000年，而这两次都是在熊市之前。正如你在下面看到的，我们目前处于历史第二高的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7fb9cd4886d330700f25d58806f67a\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>S&amp;P 500 SHILLER CAPE RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的标普500·席勒CAPE比率数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> According to Advisor Perspectives, which provides news and commentary for financial advisors, the CAPE ratio explained an incredible 90% of the variation in returns from 1995 to 2020. In other words, for an asset class that's completely random, this is as accurate an indicator as we're going to get.</p><p><blockquote>根据为财务顾问提供新闻和评论的Advisor Perspectives的数据，CAPE比率解释了1995年至2020年90%的回报变化。换句话说，对于完全随机的资产类别，这是我们将得到的最准确的指标。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 has historically&nbsp;returned an average of 10% per year. But based on today's Shiller P/E ratio of 38, the market could be in for disappointing returns in 2022 and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>标普500历史上平均每年回报率为10%。但根据目前38的席勒市盈率，市场在2022年及以后的回报可能会令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> However, I don't think investors should panic just yet. The Great Recession of 2008 and 2009 and the coronavirus pandemic led to unprecedented amounts of government stimulus to support economic growth. Even with an elevated CAPE ratio over the past 10 years, the stock market just kept climbing higher. Credit the Federal Reserve for perhaps distorting the correlation between the Shiller P/E ratio and future returns.</p><p><blockquote>不过，我认为投资者现在还不应该恐慌。2008年和2009年的大衰退以及冠状病毒大流行导致政府采取了前所未有的刺激措施来支持经济增长。尽管过去10年CAPE比率有所上升，但股市仍在不断攀升。相信美联储可能扭曲了席勒市盈率和未来回报之间的相关性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What should&nbsp;investors do?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该怎么做？</b></blockquote></p><p> I firmly believe that you should only invest money in the stock market that you don't need for the next five years. This is because in the near term, the market is extremely unpredictable, but over longer time horizons, the probability of a positive return increases dramatically.</p><p><blockquote>我坚信，你应该只把未来五年不需要的钱投入股市。这是因为在短期内，市场是极其不可预测的，但在更长的时间范围内，正回报的概率会急剧增加。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, if you're looking to put capital to work right now when interest rates are near zero, you really don't have any other option than to invest in the stock market. Although the Shiller P/E ratio might signal a poor decade of returns ahead, where else would you park your money?</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，如果你想在利率接近于零的时候立即投入资金，除了投资股市，你真的没有任何其他选择。尽管席勒市盈率可能预示着未来十年的回报不佳，但你还会把钱放在哪里呢？</blockquote></p><p> I believe that owning a well-diversified portfolio (at least 25 stocks) of competitively advantaged businesses that have proven track records and solid growth prospects is the best&nbsp;strategy&nbsp;you can pursue. Names like&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:HD)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Starbucks</b>(NASDAQ:SBUX)immediately come to mind.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，拥有一个多元化的投资组合（至少25只股票），其中包括具有竞争优势的企业，这些企业具有良好的业绩记录和稳健的增长前景，是您可以追求的最佳策略。名字像<b>家得宝</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：HD）和<b>星巴克</b>（纳斯达克：SBUX）立即浮现在脑海中。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;home-improvement giant&nbsp;has grown profits 16% annually over the past 10 years, is able to outshine competitors thanks to its massive scale, and still has huge expansion opportunities thanks to a robust U.S. housing market.</p><p><blockquote>这家家装巨头在过去10年中利润每年增长16%，凭借其庞大的规模能够超越竞争对手，并且由于美国房地产市场强劲，仍然拥有巨大的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> The giant coffeehouse chain possesses a powerful brand, supported by a top-notch loyalty program and premium status that resonates strongly with consumers. Starbucks' management estimates that by 2030, there'll be a&nbsp;whopping 55,000&nbsp;locations worldwide, 63%&nbsp;higher&nbsp;than today's count.</p><p><blockquote>这家大型连锁咖啡馆拥有强大的品牌，由一流的忠诚度计划和与消费者产生强烈共鸣的优质地位提供支持。星巴克管理层估计，到2030年，全球门店数量将达到55,000家，比目前的数量增加63%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Focus on what really matters</b></p><p><blockquote><b>专注于真正重要的事情</b></blockquote></p><p> No matter what the Shiller P/E ratio says, I think Home Depot and Starbucks will continue to do well and be solid additions to anyone's portfolio. This is what investors must focus on. Concentrate intensely on the quality of the companies you own, and you'll surely do well over time.</p><p><blockquote>无论席勒市盈率如何，我认为家得宝和星巴克将继续表现良好，并成为任何人投资组合的坚实补充。这是投资者必须重点关注的。专注于你所拥有的公司的质量，随着时间的推移，你肯定会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Trying to time the market based on whether you think it's cheap or expensive is not a game you want to play. Adding savings at regular intervals -- known as&nbsp;dollar-cost averaging-- reduces any biases you may have andallows you to improve your cost basis on stocks you buy.</p><p><blockquote>试图根据您认为市场便宜还是昂贵来把握市场时机并不是您想玩的游戏。定期增加储蓄（称为平均成本法）可以减少您可能存在的任何偏见，并允许您改善购买股票的成本基础。</blockquote></p><p> We're living in interesting times. There's still lots of uncertainty in the market today with no shortage of so-called experts telling us what we should do with our money. While the Shiller P/E ratio is a tool you can add to your investing arsenal, ignore the noise and keep your eyes on the long term.</p><p><blockquote>我们生活在一个有趣的时代。今天的市场仍然存在很多不确定性，不乏所谓的专家告诉我们应该如何处理我们的钱。虽然席勒市盈率是您可以添加到投资武器库中的工具，但请忽略噪音并着眼于长期。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/wildly-accurate-sp-500-ratio-signal-doom-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","HD":"家得宝",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/wildly-accurate-sp-500-ratio-signal-doom-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164868978","content_text":"Key Points\n\nPredicting stock market performance is a near-impossible task.\nThe Shiller P/E ratio may be as accurate an indicator as there is.\nBut investors would still do well to focus on the long term.\n\nIf someone ever asks me what I think the market is going to do next, I usually reply by saying I have no idea. I believe most investors would be wise to adopt this philosophy.\nThis still doesn't prevent people from trying to forecast where things will go next. As investors, we want to appear like we know what the S&P 500's performance will be in the future. Then we can position our portfolios accordingly.\nBut is there a data point out there that can signal with any level of accuracy what future returns will be? Read on to find out.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nNot a bad indicator\nEvery once in a while, I think the Shiller price-to-earnings(P/E) ratio, otherwise known as the cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio, can provide a high-level view as to what prospective returns might be over the next decade.This metric is the P/E ratio of the S&P 500 using the average net income of the previous 10 years, adjusted for inflation.\nIf that sounds like a mouthful, don't worry. The objective of this data point is to smooth out any fluctuations in earnings. The highest it has ever been previously was in 1929 and 2000, and these times directly preceded bear markets. As you can see below, we are currently at the second highest level in history.\nS&P 500 SHILLER CAPE RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.\nAccording to Advisor Perspectives, which provides news and commentary for financial advisors, the CAPE ratio explained an incredible 90% of the variation in returns from 1995 to 2020. In other words, for an asset class that's completely random, this is as accurate an indicator as we're going to get.\nThe S&P 500 has historically returned an average of 10% per year. But based on today's Shiller P/E ratio of 38, the market could be in for disappointing returns in 2022 and beyond.\nHowever, I don't think investors should panic just yet. The Great Recession of 2008 and 2009 and the coronavirus pandemic led to unprecedented amounts of government stimulus to support economic growth. Even with an elevated CAPE ratio over the past 10 years, the stock market just kept climbing higher. Credit the Federal Reserve for perhaps distorting the correlation between the Shiller P/E ratio and future returns.\nWhat should investors do?\nI firmly believe that you should only invest money in the stock market that you don't need for the next five years. This is because in the near term, the market is extremely unpredictable, but over longer time horizons, the probability of a positive return increases dramatically.\nWith that in mind, if you're looking to put capital to work right now when interest rates are near zero, you really don't have any other option than to invest in the stock market. Although the Shiller P/E ratio might signal a poor decade of returns ahead, where else would you park your money?\nI believe that owning a well-diversified portfolio (at least 25 stocks) of competitively advantaged businesses that have proven track records and solid growth prospects is the best strategy you can pursue. Names like Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Starbucks(NASDAQ:SBUX)immediately come to mind.\nThe home-improvement giant has grown profits 16% annually over the past 10 years, is able to outshine competitors thanks to its massive scale, and still has huge expansion opportunities thanks to a robust U.S. housing market.\nThe giant coffeehouse chain possesses a powerful brand, supported by a top-notch loyalty program and premium status that resonates strongly with consumers. Starbucks' management estimates that by 2030, there'll be a whopping 55,000 locations worldwide, 63% higher than today's count.\nFocus on what really matters\nNo matter what the Shiller P/E ratio says, I think Home Depot and Starbucks will continue to do well and be solid additions to anyone's portfolio. This is what investors must focus on. Concentrate intensely on the quality of the companies you own, and you'll surely do well over time.\nTrying to time the market based on whether you think it's cheap or expensive is not a game you want to play. Adding savings at regular intervals -- known as dollar-cost averaging-- reduces any biases you may have andallows you to improve your cost basis on stocks you buy.\nWe're living in interesting times. There's still lots of uncertainty in the market today with no shortage of so-called experts telling us what we should do with our money. While the Shiller P/E ratio is a tool you can add to your investing arsenal, ignore the noise and keep your eyes on the long term.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SBUX":0.9,"HD":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691440576,"gmtCreate":1640232547862,"gmtModify":1640232547862,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Aapl","listText":"Aapl","text":"Aapl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691440576","repostId":"1102369438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102369438","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640230195,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102369438?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Stock: Why It Might Outperform Apple in 2022<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为什么亚马逊股票在2022年可能跑赢苹果</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102369438","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Amazon and Apple are great companies, but AMZN stock could outperform its peer in 2022. Here are the","content":"<p>Amazon and Apple are great companies, but AMZN stock could outperform its peer in 2022. Here are the main reasons why.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊和苹果都是伟大的公司，但亚马逊股票在2022年的表现可能会优于同行。以下是主要原因。</blockquote></p><p> The stocks of tech giants Amazon&nbsp;and Apple&nbsp;both experienced incredible gains in 2020: AMZN climbed 76% while APPL slightly outperformed its competitor with an incredible 81% return. With AMZN trailing so far this year, I wonder: which will be the better stock to own in 2022?</p><p><blockquote>科技巨头亚马逊和苹果的股票在2020年都经历了令人难以置信的上涨：亚马逊上涨了76%，而APPL以令人难以置信的81%的回报率略微优于竞争对手。由于AMZN今年迄今为止表现落后，我想知道：2022年哪只股票更值得持有？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce27248fd6669a891a6b37c1d78953c9\" tg-width=\"976\" tg-height=\"549\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple vs. Amazon.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果与亚马逊。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon: cross-industry reach</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊：跨行业影响力</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s not hard to see why Amazon could outperform Apple in 2022. The Seattle-based company has developed a dominant global presence, and not just in retail. Amazon operates very competitively in high-growth industries that range from e-commerce to cloud services and from tech devices to advertising and streaming services.</p><p><blockquote>不难看出为什么亚马逊能在2022年跑赢苹果。这家总部位于西雅图的公司已经在全球范围内占据主导地位，而不仅仅是在零售业。亚马逊在从电子商务到云服务、从科技设备到广告和流媒体服务的高增长行业中竞争非常激烈。</blockquote></p><p> Simply put, Amazon is a diversified tech giant that is growing revenues across all its business lines. The company continues to dominate online retail while also branching out into new emerging businesses, disrupting industries along the way.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，亚马逊是一家多元化的科技巨头，其所有业务线的收入都在增长。该公司继续主导在线零售，同时也拓展到新兴业务，一路颠覆行业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon's innovation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊的创新</b></blockquote></p><p> In addition to Amazon's dominance across multiple sectors, the tech company also continues to develop innovative products, such as its Echo and Alexa devices, which are quickly becoming a staple in many households. These products make it easier for Amazon to cross-sell their products and services, while increasing the total value of each transaction.</p><p><blockquote>除了亚马逊在多个领域的主导地位外，这家科技公司还继续开发创新产品，例如其Echo和Alexa设备，这些设备正迅速成为许多家庭的主食。这些产品使亚马逊更容易交叉销售他们的产品和服务，同时增加每笔交易的总价值。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Amazon has successfully diversified more deeply across its services portfolio — think cloud infrastructure and streaming, for example. I think this is another advantage that Amazon has over Apple, which is still working to monetize its existing customer base (although the Cupertino company has been increasingly successful at it).</p><p><blockquote>此外，亚马逊还成功地在其服务组合中实现了更深入的多元化——例如，想想云基础设施和流媒体。我认为这是亚马逊相对于苹果的另一个优势，后者仍在努力将其现有客户群货币化（尽管这家位于库比蒂诺的公司在这方面越来越成功）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How high can AAPL go?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL能涨到多高？</b></blockquote></p><p> In the end, the debate may boil down to price and valuation. AAPL has undergone a strong but unusual rally in late November and early December, even after an amazing two years of returns in 2020 and 2021 YTD. Against the tech-rich Nasdaq index, AAPL's performance in the month prior to December 13 had been the second-best in the past ten years:a staggering 19.5 percentage point&nbsp;advantage over the benchmark.</p><p><blockquote>最终，争论可能会归结为价格和估值。苹果公司在11月底和12月初经历了强劲但不寻常的反弹，尽管在2020年和2021年年初至今取得了惊人的两年回报。与科技股丰富的纳斯达克指数相比，AAPL在12月13日之前的一个月的表现是过去十年中第二好的：比基准指数高出惊人的19.5个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> True, the long-term bull thesis for Apple is compelling. Catalysts like the 5G-ready iPhone cycle and continued growth in the services segment could push the stock upwards in the foreseeable future. Apple should remain highly competitive in consumer tech devices and may soon become a key name in the metaverse. But how much of the upside potential to the stock may have already been priced in 2020 and 2021? Couldn’t 2022 be AMZN’s turn to shine?</p><p><blockquote>诚然，苹果的长期牛市论点令人信服。5G就绪的iPhone周期和服务领域的持续增长等催化剂可能会在可预见的未来推动该股上涨。苹果应该在消费科技设备领域保持高度竞争力，并可能很快成为虚拟宇宙中的一个关键名称。但该股的上涨潜力有多少可能已经在2020年和2021年定价？2022年就轮到AMZN大放异彩了吗？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> In my view, Apple and Amazon are great companies, and the former deserves to be a part of a growth portfolio. But because AMZN stock has not rallied as much as AAPL has in the past few months, I believe shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant have a better chance of edging Apple in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，苹果和亚马逊都是伟大的公司，前者值得成为增长投资组合的一部分。但由于亚马逊股价在过去几个月中没有像苹果公司那样上涨，我相信这家云和电子商务巨头的股价在2022年更有可能超越苹果。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock: Why It Might Outperform Apple in 2022<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为什么亚马逊股票在2022年可能跑赢苹果</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock: Why It Might Outperform Apple in 2022<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为什么亚马逊股票在2022年可能跑赢苹果</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon and Apple are great companies, but AMZN stock could outperform its peer in 2022. Here are the main reasons why.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊和苹果都是伟大的公司，但亚马逊股票在2022年的表现可能会优于同行。以下是主要原因。</blockquote></p><p> The stocks of tech giants Amazon&nbsp;and Apple&nbsp;both experienced incredible gains in 2020: AMZN climbed 76% while APPL slightly outperformed its competitor with an incredible 81% return. With AMZN trailing so far this year, I wonder: which will be the better stock to own in 2022?</p><p><blockquote>科技巨头亚马逊和苹果的股票在2020年都经历了令人难以置信的上涨：亚马逊上涨了76%，而APPL以令人难以置信的81%的回报率略微优于竞争对手。由于AMZN今年迄今为止表现落后，我想知道：2022年哪只股票更值得持有？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce27248fd6669a891a6b37c1d78953c9\" tg-width=\"976\" tg-height=\"549\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple vs. Amazon.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果与亚马逊。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon: cross-industry reach</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊：跨行业影响力</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s not hard to see why Amazon could outperform Apple in 2022. The Seattle-based company has developed a dominant global presence, and not just in retail. Amazon operates very competitively in high-growth industries that range from e-commerce to cloud services and from tech devices to advertising and streaming services.</p><p><blockquote>不难看出为什么亚马逊能在2022年跑赢苹果。这家总部位于西雅图的公司已经在全球范围内占据主导地位，而不仅仅是在零售业。亚马逊在从电子商务到云服务、从科技设备到广告和流媒体服务的高增长行业中竞争非常激烈。</blockquote></p><p> Simply put, Amazon is a diversified tech giant that is growing revenues across all its business lines. The company continues to dominate online retail while also branching out into new emerging businesses, disrupting industries along the way.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，亚马逊是一家多元化的科技巨头，其所有业务线的收入都在增长。该公司继续主导在线零售，同时也拓展到新兴业务，一路颠覆行业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon's innovation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊的创新</b></blockquote></p><p> In addition to Amazon's dominance across multiple sectors, the tech company also continues to develop innovative products, such as its Echo and Alexa devices, which are quickly becoming a staple in many households. These products make it easier for Amazon to cross-sell their products and services, while increasing the total value of each transaction.</p><p><blockquote>除了亚马逊在多个领域的主导地位外，这家科技公司还继续开发创新产品，例如其Echo和Alexa设备，这些设备正迅速成为许多家庭的主食。这些产品使亚马逊更容易交叉销售他们的产品和服务，同时增加每笔交易的总价值。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Amazon has successfully diversified more deeply across its services portfolio — think cloud infrastructure and streaming, for example. I think this is another advantage that Amazon has over Apple, which is still working to monetize its existing customer base (although the Cupertino company has been increasingly successful at it).</p><p><blockquote>此外，亚马逊还成功地在其服务组合中实现了更深入的多元化——例如，想想云基础设施和流媒体。我认为这是亚马逊相对于苹果的另一个优势，后者仍在努力将其现有客户群货币化（尽管这家位于库比蒂诺的公司在这方面越来越成功）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How high can AAPL go?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL能涨到多高？</b></blockquote></p><p> In the end, the debate may boil down to price and valuation. AAPL has undergone a strong but unusual rally in late November and early December, even after an amazing two years of returns in 2020 and 2021 YTD. Against the tech-rich Nasdaq index, AAPL's performance in the month prior to December 13 had been the second-best in the past ten years:a staggering 19.5 percentage point&nbsp;advantage over the benchmark.</p><p><blockquote>最终，争论可能会归结为价格和估值。苹果公司在11月底和12月初经历了强劲但不寻常的反弹，尽管在2020年和2021年年初至今取得了惊人的两年回报。与科技股丰富的纳斯达克指数相比，AAPL在12月13日之前的一个月的表现是过去十年中第二好的：比基准指数高出惊人的19.5个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> True, the long-term bull thesis for Apple is compelling. Catalysts like the 5G-ready iPhone cycle and continued growth in the services segment could push the stock upwards in the foreseeable future. Apple should remain highly competitive in consumer tech devices and may soon become a key name in the metaverse. But how much of the upside potential to the stock may have already been priced in 2020 and 2021? Couldn’t 2022 be AMZN’s turn to shine?</p><p><blockquote>诚然，苹果的长期牛市论点令人信服。5G就绪的iPhone周期和服务领域的持续增长等催化剂可能会在可预见的未来推动该股上涨。苹果应该在消费科技设备领域保持高度竞争力，并可能很快成为虚拟宇宙中的一个关键名称。但该股的上涨潜力有多少可能已经在2020年和2021年定价？2022年就轮到AMZN大放异彩了吗？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> In my view, Apple and Amazon are great companies, and the former deserves to be a part of a growth portfolio. But because AMZN stock has not rallied as much as AAPL has in the past few months, I believe shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant have a better chance of edging Apple in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，苹果和亚马逊都是伟大的公司，前者值得成为增长投资组合的一部分。但由于亚马逊股价在过去几个月中没有像苹果公司那样上涨，我相信这家云和电子商务巨头的股价在2022年更有可能超越苹果。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/why-amzn-could-outperform-aapl-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/why-amzn-could-outperform-aapl-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102369438","content_text":"Amazon and Apple are great companies, but AMZN stock could outperform its peer in 2022. Here are the main reasons why.\nThe stocks of tech giants Amazon and Apple both experienced incredible gains in 2020: AMZN climbed 76% while APPL slightly outperformed its competitor with an incredible 81% return. With AMZN trailing so far this year, I wonder: which will be the better stock to own in 2022?\nFigure 1: Apple vs. Amazon.\nAmazon: cross-industry reach\nIt’s not hard to see why Amazon could outperform Apple in 2022. The Seattle-based company has developed a dominant global presence, and not just in retail. Amazon operates very competitively in high-growth industries that range from e-commerce to cloud services and from tech devices to advertising and streaming services.\nSimply put, Amazon is a diversified tech giant that is growing revenues across all its business lines. The company continues to dominate online retail while also branching out into new emerging businesses, disrupting industries along the way.\nAmazon's innovation\nIn addition to Amazon's dominance across multiple sectors, the tech company also continues to develop innovative products, such as its Echo and Alexa devices, which are quickly becoming a staple in many households. These products make it easier for Amazon to cross-sell their products and services, while increasing the total value of each transaction.\nIn addition, Amazon has successfully diversified more deeply across its services portfolio — think cloud infrastructure and streaming, for example. I think this is another advantage that Amazon has over Apple, which is still working to monetize its existing customer base (although the Cupertino company has been increasingly successful at it).\nHow high can AAPL go?\nIn the end, the debate may boil down to price and valuation. AAPL has undergone a strong but unusual rally in late November and early December, even after an amazing two years of returns in 2020 and 2021 YTD. Against the tech-rich Nasdaq index, AAPL's performance in the month prior to December 13 had been the second-best in the past ten years:a staggering 19.5 percentage point advantage over the benchmark.\nTrue, the long-term bull thesis for Apple is compelling. Catalysts like the 5G-ready iPhone cycle and continued growth in the services segment could push the stock upwards in the foreseeable future. Apple should remain highly competitive in consumer tech devices and may soon become a key name in the metaverse. But how much of the upside potential to the stock may have already been priced in 2020 and 2021? Couldn’t 2022 be AMZN’s turn to shine?\nConclusion\nIn my view, Apple and Amazon are great companies, and the former deserves to be a part of a growth portfolio. But because AMZN stock has not rallied as much as AAPL has in the past few months, I believe shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant have a better chance of edging Apple in 2022.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691440312,"gmtCreate":1640232510734,"gmtModify":1640232510734,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691440312","repostId":"1184389618","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184389618","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640230223,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184389618?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Stock May Be Down But It Isn’t Out<blockquote>Grab股票可能下跌，但尚未出局</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184389618","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"When Southeast Asian ride-hailing and delivery company Grab Holdings(NASDAQ:GRAB) completed a revers","content":"<p><div> When Southeast Asian ride-hailing and delivery company Grab Holdings(NASDAQ:GRAB) completed a reverse merger with special purpose acquisition company Altimeter Growth Corp. in early December it made ...</p><p><blockquote><div>当东南亚叫车和送货公司Grab Holdings（纳斯达克：GRAB）在12月初完成与特殊目的收购公司Altimeter Growth Corp.的反向合并时，它...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Stock May Be Down But It Isn’t Out<blockquote>Grab股票可能下跌，但尚未出局</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Stock May Be Down But It Isn’t Out<blockquote>Grab股票可能下跌，但尚未出局</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 11:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> When Southeast Asian ride-hailing and delivery company Grab Holdings(NASDAQ:GRAB) completed a reverse merger with special purpose acquisition company Altimeter Growth Corp. in early December it made ...</p><p><blockquote><div>当东南亚叫车和送货公司Grab Holdings（纳斯达克：GRAB）在12月初完成与特殊目的收购公司Altimeter Growth Corp.的反向合并时，它...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184389618","content_text":"When Southeast Asian ride-hailing and delivery company Grab Holdings(NASDAQ:GRAB) completed a reverse merger with special purpose acquisition company Altimeter Growth Corp. in early December it made history as the largest company to go public via a SPAC merger. Yet, this didn’t stop GRAB stock from plummeting more than 20% on the day of the merger.\nSince then, investors have continued to give GRAB stock the cold shoulder, with shares falling another 16% to trade at $7.34 at the time of this writing.\nNow, before you write off an investment in Grab Holdings, consider that the company is still in the early innings and let’s consider where GRAB stock could go from here.\nWhat’s Behind Grab’s Cool Reception?\nGrab is the largest ride-hailing and delivery company in Southeast Asia, with operations in Singapore, Malaysia, Cambodia, Indonesia, Myanmar, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam and serving more than 187 million users.\nThere are a number of plausible explanations for why GRAB stock has not been well-received by investors.\nFor starters, growth estimates for the Southeast Asian region have been lowered recently primarily due to the coronavirus pandemic. In September, the Asian Development Bank dropped its 2021 growth forecast for the region to 3.1% from 4.4% previously.\nWidespread lockdowns in the region due to recurring waves of COVID-19 have hurt demand for Grab’s ride-hailing services and weighed on revenue despite an increase in food-delivery volumes.\nGrab reported its third-quarter results on Nov. 11. Revenue fell 9% year over year to $157 million, with the company citing “a decline in mobility due to the severe lockdowns in Vietnam.” Falling revenue is obviously not something investors want to see, especially from a company that has yet to turn a profit.\nYet, the company did report a 32% year-over-year increase in gross merchandise value, with the dollar value of transactions from Grab’s services rising to $4.04 billion thanks to strength in the company’s deliveries segment.\nThere’s Reason for Optimism\nThe deal to go public through the merger with Altimeter Growth Corp. valued Grab at close to $40 billion, which as I mentioned, was a record. The fact that three weeks later GRAB stock has a market cap of about $27.5 billion tells us that perhaps things got a bit too heated. However, there is reason for optimism.\nThe ride-hailing platform has secured the backing of significant players across related industries, including DiDi Global(NYSE:DIDI),Toyota(NYSE:TM) and SoftBank’s(OTCMKTS:SFTBY) Vision Fund.\nGrab Holdings also has some positive catalysts on the horizon. For example, the company recently announced that it will be purchasing Jaya Grocer, a premium supermarket chain in Malaysia.\nThis acquisition fits nicely with the ride-hailing and delivery business model the company seeks to expand. Management refers to the model as a “superapp” focus, whereby users can access multiple services in a single, convenient location.\nThe Bottom Line on GRAB Stock\nI can’t say Grab Holdings can immediately turn things around. But its potential in the burgeoning Southeast Asian market means it remains relevant and has a long runway.\nOf the six analysts following GRAB stock, two rate it a “buy” and there are no “sell” ratings,according to The Wall Street Journal. Meanwhile, the consensus price target stands at $12.25, which represents upside of 67% from current levels.\nGRAB stock is very cheap now, so it’s hardly a dangerous speculative play. There’s a good argument to be made for investing now and hoping that the company continues to expand its footprint. Profitability should follow.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":168450877,"gmtCreate":1623981599499,"gmtModify":1634024776952,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Moon","listText":"Moon","text":"Moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168450877","repostId":"1167804746","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161327369,"gmtCreate":1623906268151,"gmtModify":1634026020023,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wtonks","listText":"Wtonks","text":"Wtonks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161327369","repostId":"1133173445","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133173445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623899282,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133173445?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133173445","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of me","content":"<p>  Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.  Could insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.</p><p><blockquote>大量内幕抛售是股票价格虚高的警告信号。meme股票的内幕抛售是否预示着其股价即将暴跌？实证研究表明答案是肯定的。</blockquote></p><p> The substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站GME（+0.21%）和AMC院线控股AMC（-6.54%）董事的大量股票出售并没有让大多数理性投资者感到惊讶。很明显，这些和其他模因股票的当前价格被大大夸大了。事实上，投资者应该将AMC以过高的价格发行新股来筹集资金视为一个警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Critics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.</p><p><blockquote>批评者可能会痛斥这种内幕交易的机会主义，理由是公司治理大师鼓励董事所有权与公众股东的利益保持一致。但是谁能责怪他们呢？令人惊讶的是，更多的外部股东并没有接受抛售信号。对于精明的投资者来说，扫描内幕交易以寻找未来好消息或坏消息的迹象是很常见的。根据《内幕交易投资情报》一书的作者、密歇根大学金融学教授Nejat Seyhun的研究，总体内幕交易水平预示着长达两年的股票总回报。</blockquote></p><p> That said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，一些内幕交易根本不包含任何信号，因为董事在需要维持强制性所有权水平时买入，在需要现金或分散投资时卖出。此外，内部人士在交易时面临声誉和法律风险，因此要小心不要发出囤积好消息或坏消息的信号，以免他们转向不道德或非法的内幕交易。</blockquote></p><p> But these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.</p><p><blockquote>但这些模因股票案例似乎更清晰。例如，在AMC，许多董事几乎在同一时间大量出售股票，接近该公司最近的股票发行。杜伦大学会计学教授何冠明及其同事的研究表明，集中的内幕股票抛售与股价崩盘风险的增加有关。这是显而易见的：无论是投资者、策略师还是经济学家，内部人士比外部人士知道得更多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人能看出市场变化无常的特征会导致逆转。但他的研究支持这样一种观点，即内部人士对未来股价崩盘风险的预期——无论来自何种来源——确实会导致他们减持股票。特别是，有证据表明内幕销售与未来15个月的崩盘风险相关。</blockquote></p><p> Such research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.</p><p><blockquote>在模因股票的奇异背景下，这样的研究可能特别有意义。与传统股票交易相比，内部人士交易模因股票有望获得更大的利润，而且鉴于不知情交易者的噪音交易程度更大，他们的交易信息也更丰富。</blockquote></p><p> Research on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.</p><p><blockquote>对过去结果的研究并不能保证未来的结果，但加上常识和对所有泡沫最终都会破裂的认识，我愿意下自己的赌注。15个月的时间框架将使游戏驿站泡沫在2022年第一季度破裂，AMC在第三季度左右破裂。在购买任何一只股票之前，我肯定会同时下注。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 11:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.  Could insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.</p><p><blockquote>大量内幕抛售是股票价格虚高的警告信号。meme股票的内幕抛售是否预示着其股价即将暴跌？实证研究表明答案是肯定的。</blockquote></p><p> The substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站GME（+0.21%）和AMC院线控股AMC（-6.54%）董事的大量股票出售并没有让大多数理性投资者感到惊讶。很明显，这些和其他模因股票的当前价格被大大夸大了。事实上，投资者应该将AMC以过高的价格发行新股来筹集资金视为一个警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Critics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.</p><p><blockquote>批评者可能会痛斥这种内幕交易的机会主义，理由是公司治理大师鼓励董事所有权与公众股东的利益保持一致。但是谁能责怪他们呢？令人惊讶的是，更多的外部股东并没有接受抛售信号。对于精明的投资者来说，扫描内幕交易以寻找未来好消息或坏消息的迹象是很常见的。根据《内幕交易投资情报》一书的作者、密歇根大学金融学教授Nejat Seyhun的研究，总体内幕交易水平预示着长达两年的股票总回报。</blockquote></p><p> That said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，一些内幕交易根本不包含任何信号，因为董事在需要维持强制性所有权水平时买入，在需要现金或分散投资时卖出。此外，内部人士在交易时面临声誉和法律风险，因此要小心不要发出囤积好消息或坏消息的信号，以免他们转向不道德或非法的内幕交易。</blockquote></p><p> But these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.</p><p><blockquote>但这些模因股票案例似乎更清晰。例如，在AMC，许多董事几乎在同一时间大量出售股票，接近该公司最近的股票发行。杜伦大学会计学教授何冠明及其同事的研究表明，集中的内幕股票抛售与股价崩盘风险的增加有关。这是显而易见的：无论是投资者、策略师还是经济学家，内部人士比外部人士知道得更多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人能看出市场变化无常的特征会导致逆转。但他的研究支持这样一种观点，即内部人士对未来股价崩盘风险的预期——无论来自何种来源——确实会导致他们减持股票。特别是，有证据表明内幕销售与未来15个月的崩盘风险相关。</blockquote></p><p> Such research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.</p><p><blockquote>在模因股票的奇异背景下，这样的研究可能特别有意义。与传统股票交易相比，内部人士交易模因股票有望获得更大的利润，而且鉴于不知情交易者的噪音交易程度更大，他们的交易信息也更丰富。</blockquote></p><p> Research on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.</p><p><blockquote>对过去结果的研究并不能保证未来的结果，但加上常识和对所有泡沫最终都会破裂的认识，我愿意下自己的赌注。15个月的时间框架将使游戏驿站泡沫在2022年第一季度破裂，AMC在第三季度左右破裂。在购买任何一只股票之前，我肯定会同时下注。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1133173445","content_text":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.\nThe substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.\nCritics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.\nThat said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.\nBut these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.\nOf course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.\nSuch research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.\nResearch on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169277529,"gmtCreate":1623840919161,"gmtModify":1634027292493,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Solid","listText":"Solid","text":"Solid","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169277529","repostId":"1166103542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166103542","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623835778,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166103542?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 17:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio ET7 Will Be Equipped With 'High-Performance' LiDAR, Says Supplier<blockquote>供应商称蔚来ET7将配备“高性能”激光雷达</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166103542","media":"benzinga","summary":"Nio Inc’s LiDAR supplier Innovusion said on Wednesday it will equip the electric vehicle maker’s ET7","content":"<p><div> Nio Inc’s LiDAR supplier Innovusion said on Wednesday it will equip the electric vehicle maker’s ET7 sedan with a \"high-performance product\" that can detect up to 500 meters, cnEV postreported. What ...</p><p><blockquote><div>据《cnEV邮报》报道，蔚来公司的激光雷达供应商Innovusion周三表示，将为这家电动汽车制造商的ET7轿车配备一款“高性能产品”，探测距离可达500米。什么...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio ET7 Will Be Equipped With 'High-Performance' LiDAR, Says Supplier<blockquote>供应商称蔚来ET7将配备“高性能”激光雷达</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio ET7 Will Be Equipped With 'High-Performance' LiDAR, Says Supplier<blockquote>供应商称蔚来ET7将配备“高性能”激光雷达</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 17:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Nio Inc’s LiDAR supplier Innovusion said on Wednesday it will equip the electric vehicle maker’s ET7 sedan with a \"high-performance product\" that can detect up to 500 meters, cnEV postreported. What ...</p><p><blockquote><div>据《cnEV邮报》报道，蔚来公司的激光雷达供应商Innovusion周三表示，将为这家电动汽车制造商的ET7轿车配备一款“高性能产品”，探测距离可达500米。什么...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166103542","content_text":"Nio Inc’s LiDAR supplier Innovusion said on Wednesday it will equip the electric vehicle maker’s ET7 sedan with a \"high-performance product\" that can detect up to 500 meters, cnEV postreported.\nWhat Happened:Bao Junwei, co-founder and Chief Executive Officer at Innovusion said its LiDAR technology works on the L3 and L4 autonomous driving and complements the L2 autonomous driving.\nNio is expected to begin deliveries of its premium electric sedan ET7 in the first quarter of next year. The Chinese electric vehicle maker, which revealed ET7 earlier this year, is eyeing international expansion after establishing itself in China.\nLidar, short for light detection and ranging sensors, uses laser light pulses to help vehicles perceive their surroundings. The technology is increasingly being seen as a key for automakers having self-driving ambitions.\nPrice Action:Nio shares closed 3% lower at $45.15 on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187238484,"gmtCreate":1623754904248,"gmtModify":1634028978872,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stonks","listText":"Stonks","text":"Stonks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187238484","repostId":"1167457915","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167457915","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623750756,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167457915?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167457915","media":"Benzinga","summary":"It was \"better late than never\" for Novavax, Inc.NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announ","content":"<p>It was \"better late than never\" for&nbsp;<b>Novavax, Inc.</b>NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.</p><p><blockquote>“迟到总比不到好”<b>诺瓦瓦克斯公司。</b>NVAX，这家生物制药公司终于抽出时间宣布了NVX-CoV2371（其针对新型冠状病毒病的候选疫苗）3期研究美国和墨西哥部分的中期结果。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namely<b>Pfizer Inc.</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>Moderna, Inc.</b>MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.</p><p><blockquote>以下是Novavax候选疫苗和领跑者的比较视角，即<b>辉瑞公司。</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>莫德纳公司。</b>MRNA，两者都有授权疫苗上市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Type:</b>&nbsp;Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗类型：</b>Novavax的NVX-CoV2371是一种基于重组纳米颗粒蛋白的COVID-19疫苗，与该公司专有的Matrix-M佐剂包装在一起。</blockquote></p><p> The Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern&nbsp;vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞-BioNTech和Moderna的产品是mRNA疫苗，或通过使用一种称为mRNA的遗传密码来发挥作用的现代疫苗，这种遗传密码指示我们的免疫细胞制造刺突蛋白，刺突蛋白存在于导致新冠肺炎的病毒表面。</blockquote></p><p> This spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.</p><p><blockquote>这种刺突蛋白虽然无害，但能够触发我们的免疫系统产生抗体，防止未来的感染。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle&nbsp;that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的疫苗是一种蛋白质佐剂，含有冠状病毒本身的刺突蛋白，但配方为纳米颗粒，不会导致疾病。然后，注射的疫苗刺激免疫系统产生抗体和T细胞免疫反应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Vaccine Doses:</b>&nbsp;The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗剂量：</b>这三家公司的疫苗都需要接种两剂。辉瑞的每剂由30 mcg和Moderna的100 mcg组成，而Novavax的每剂疫苗由5 mcg NVX-CoV2371和50 mcg Matrix-M1佐剂组成，它们是共同配制的。</blockquote></p><p> The interval between the two doses —&nbsp;the priming and booster dose —&nbsp;is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞和Novavax的两种剂量（初免剂量和加强剂量）之间的间隔为21天，Moderna为28天。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Target Population:</b>&nbsp;The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants&nbsp;ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.</p><p><blockquote><b>目标人群：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech最初的后期试验在16岁及以上的参与者中评估了疫苗。该试验招募了43,448名参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants&nbsp;ages 18 years and up.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的3期COVE研究招募了30,000名18岁及以上的参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.</p><p><blockquote>此后，这两家公司获得了各自疫苗用于青少年的授权。</blockquote></p><p> Bothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司还启动了针对儿科人群的研究。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants&nbsp;18 years of age and older&nbsp;across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究在美国和墨西哥的119个地点招募了29,960名18岁及以上的参与者。PREVENT-19的安慰剂对照部分继续在12岁至18岁以下的青少年中进行，最近完成了2,248名参与者的招募。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Logistics:</b>&nbsp;Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗物流：</b>辉瑞公司最近获得了FDA的授权，可以将未稀释、解冻的疫苗瓶在2°C至8°C的冰箱中储存长达一个月。</blockquote></p><p> Previously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five&nbsp;days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.</p><p><blockquote>以前，解冻、未稀释的疫苗瓶可以在冰箱中储存长达五天。Moderna的疫苗在首次使用前可以在2至8°C的冰箱中储存长达30天。</blockquote></p><p> NVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.</p><p><blockquote>NVX-CoV2373在2°-8°C下储存稳定，允许使用现有的疫苗供应链渠道进行分销。它被包装在10剂小瓶中的即用型液体制剂中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Efficacy:</b>&nbsp;Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven&nbsp;days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗效力：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech去年12月发布的3期试验中期数据显示，该疫苗耐受性良好，在第二剂疫苗接种后7天或更长时间内，在预防新冠肺炎方面表现出95%的疗效。第二次给药后长达六个月发布的更新顶线结果证实疗效为91.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.</p><p><blockquote>该疫苗被发现对美国疾病控制和预防中心定义的严重疾病100%有效，对FDA定义的严重新冠肺炎95.3%有效。在实验室研究中，它也被证明对英国菌株有效。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的疫苗对新冠肺炎的有效性为94.1%。该公司于5月宣布了其2期研究的初步数据，显示向先前接种疫苗的个体给予50微克剂量的mRNA-1273或mRNA-1273.351作为加强剂，增加了针对新型冠状病毒病毒和两种令人担忧的变异体的中和抗体滴度反应，B.1.351，首次在南非发现，P.1，首次在巴西发现。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究疫苗对中度和重度疾病表现出100%的保护作用，不涉及令人担忧的变异体或感兴趣的变异体。</blockquote></p><p> Against variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.</p><p><blockquote>针对关注变异体和感兴趣变异体，疗效为93.2%，在高危人群（定义为65岁以上或65岁以下，患有某些合并症或经常暴露于新冠肺炎的情况）中，疗效为91%。</blockquote></p><p> Overall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.</p><p><blockquote>总疗效为90.4%，达到主要终点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Cantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:</b>A differentiating factor for NVX-2373&nbsp;is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.</p><p><blockquote><b>坎托·菲茨杰拉德谈Novavax的疫苗：</b>Cantor Fitzgerald分析师Charles Duncan在周一早间报告中表示，NVX-2373的一个与众不同之处在于，它对VoC/VoI表现出93.2%的疫苗效力，这证明了对多种新型冠状病毒毒株的保护作用。</blockquote></p><p> \"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师表示：“总体而言，这些结果增强了我们对新型冠状病毒候选疫苗‘2373具有差异化临床和物流特征的信念。”</blockquote></p><p> Showing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，在两项3期临床试验中显示出对新毒株的功效，而不是从培养皿中进行的中和抗体测定中推断出潜在功效，这将NVX-CoV2373与其他获得紧急使用授权的疫苗区分开来。</blockquote></p><p> This profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>Cantor表示，这一概况降低了'2373新型冠状病毒预防性候选疫苗的监管/商业风险，并且随着2020年3月报告的NanoFlu 3期积极数据，应该会提高Novavax平台的整体形象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Safety Data:</b>Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from&nbsp;BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗安全性数据：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech的疫苗显示出良好的耐受性和安全性，BNT 162 B 2最常见的不良事件是注射部位的短暂、轻度至中度疼痛、疲劳和头痛，这些通常在两天内消退。</blockquote></p><p> For Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.</p><p><blockquote>对于Moderna，最常见的不良反应包括注射部位疼痛、疲劳、肌痛、关节痛、头痛和注射部位红斑/发红。在第二次给药后，mRNA-1273组中引起的不良反应的频率和严重程度增加。</blockquote></p><p> Preliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax试验的初步安全性数据显示，该疫苗总体耐受性良好。严重和严重不良事件的数量较少，并且在疫苗组和安慰剂组之间平衡。</blockquote></p><p> In assessing reactogenicity seven&nbsp;days after dose one&nbsp;and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.</p><p><blockquote>在第1剂和第2剂后7天评估反应原性时，注射部位疼痛和压痛（通常严重程度为轻度至中度）是最常见的局部症状，持续时间少于3天。疲劳、头痛和肌肉疼痛是最常见的全身症状，持续时间不到两天。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 17:52</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It was \"better late than never\" for&nbsp;<b>Novavax, Inc.</b>NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.</p><p><blockquote>“迟到总比不到好”<b>诺瓦瓦克斯公司。</b>NVAX，这家生物制药公司终于抽出时间宣布了NVX-CoV2371（其针对新型冠状病毒病的候选疫苗）3期研究美国和墨西哥部分的中期结果。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namely<b>Pfizer Inc.</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>Moderna, Inc.</b>MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.</p><p><blockquote>以下是Novavax候选疫苗和领跑者的比较视角，即<b>辉瑞公司。</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>莫德纳公司。</b>MRNA，两者都有授权疫苗上市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Type:</b>&nbsp;Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗类型：</b>Novavax的NVX-CoV2371是一种基于重组纳米颗粒蛋白的COVID-19疫苗，与该公司专有的Matrix-M佐剂包装在一起。</blockquote></p><p> The Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern&nbsp;vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞-BioNTech和Moderna的产品是mRNA疫苗，或通过使用一种称为mRNA的遗传密码来发挥作用的现代疫苗，这种遗传密码指示我们的免疫细胞制造刺突蛋白，刺突蛋白存在于导致新冠肺炎的病毒表面。</blockquote></p><p> This spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.</p><p><blockquote>这种刺突蛋白虽然无害，但能够触发我们的免疫系统产生抗体，防止未来的感染。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle&nbsp;that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的疫苗是一种蛋白质佐剂，含有冠状病毒本身的刺突蛋白，但配方为纳米颗粒，不会导致疾病。然后，注射的疫苗刺激免疫系统产生抗体和T细胞免疫反应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Vaccine Doses:</b>&nbsp;The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗剂量：</b>这三家公司的疫苗都需要接种两剂。辉瑞的每剂由30 mcg和Moderna的100 mcg组成，而Novavax的每剂疫苗由5 mcg NVX-CoV2371和50 mcg Matrix-M1佐剂组成，它们是共同配制的。</blockquote></p><p> The interval between the two doses —&nbsp;the priming and booster dose —&nbsp;is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞和Novavax的两种剂量（初免剂量和加强剂量）之间的间隔为21天，Moderna为28天。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Target Population:</b>&nbsp;The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants&nbsp;ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.</p><p><blockquote><b>目标人群：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech最初的后期试验在16岁及以上的参与者中评估了疫苗。该试验招募了43,448名参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants&nbsp;ages 18 years and up.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的3期COVE研究招募了30,000名18岁及以上的参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.</p><p><blockquote>此后，这两家公司获得了各自疫苗用于青少年的授权。</blockquote></p><p> Bothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司还启动了针对儿科人群的研究。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants&nbsp;18 years of age and older&nbsp;across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究在美国和墨西哥的119个地点招募了29,960名18岁及以上的参与者。PREVENT-19的安慰剂对照部分继续在12岁至18岁以下的青少年中进行，最近完成了2,248名参与者的招募。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Logistics:</b>&nbsp;Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗物流：</b>辉瑞公司最近获得了FDA的授权，可以将未稀释、解冻的疫苗瓶在2°C至8°C的冰箱中储存长达一个月。</blockquote></p><p> Previously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five&nbsp;days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.</p><p><blockquote>以前，解冻、未稀释的疫苗瓶可以在冰箱中储存长达五天。Moderna的疫苗在首次使用前可以在2至8°C的冰箱中储存长达30天。</blockquote></p><p> NVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.</p><p><blockquote>NVX-CoV2373在2°-8°C下储存稳定，允许使用现有的疫苗供应链渠道进行分销。它被包装在10剂小瓶中的即用型液体制剂中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Efficacy:</b>&nbsp;Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven&nbsp;days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗效力：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech去年12月发布的3期试验中期数据显示，该疫苗耐受性良好，在第二剂疫苗接种后7天或更长时间内，在预防新冠肺炎方面表现出95%的疗效。第二次给药后长达六个月发布的更新顶线结果证实疗效为91.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.</p><p><blockquote>该疫苗被发现对美国疾病控制和预防中心定义的严重疾病100%有效，对FDA定义的严重新冠肺炎95.3%有效。在实验室研究中，它也被证明对英国菌株有效。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的疫苗对新冠肺炎的有效性为94.1%。该公司于5月宣布了其2期研究的初步数据，显示向先前接种疫苗的个体给予50微克剂量的mRNA-1273或mRNA-1273.351作为加强剂，增加了针对新型冠状病毒病毒和两种令人担忧的变异体的中和抗体滴度反应，B.1.351，首次在南非发现，P.1，首次在巴西发现。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究疫苗对中度和重度疾病表现出100%的保护作用，不涉及令人担忧的变异体或感兴趣的变异体。</blockquote></p><p> Against variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.</p><p><blockquote>针对关注变异体和感兴趣变异体，疗效为93.2%，在高危人群（定义为65岁以上或65岁以下，患有某些合并症或经常暴露于新冠肺炎的情况）中，疗效为91%。</blockquote></p><p> Overall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.</p><p><blockquote>总疗效为90.4%，达到主要终点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Cantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:</b>A differentiating factor for NVX-2373&nbsp;is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.</p><p><blockquote><b>坎托·菲茨杰拉德谈Novavax的疫苗：</b>Cantor Fitzgerald分析师Charles Duncan在周一早间报告中表示，NVX-2373的一个与众不同之处在于，它对VoC/VoI表现出93.2%的疫苗效力，这证明了对多种新型冠状病毒毒株的保护作用。</blockquote></p><p> \"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师表示：“总体而言，这些结果增强了我们对新型冠状病毒候选疫苗‘2373具有差异化临床和物流特征的信念。”</blockquote></p><p> Showing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，在两项3期临床试验中显示出对新毒株的功效，而不是从培养皿中进行的中和抗体测定中推断出潜在功效，这将NVX-CoV2373与其他获得紧急使用授权的疫苗区分开来。</blockquote></p><p> This profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>Cantor表示，这一概况降低了'2373新型冠状病毒预防性候选疫苗的监管/商业风险，并且随着2020年3月报告的NanoFlu 3期积极数据，应该会提高Novavax平台的整体形象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Safety Data:</b>Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from&nbsp;BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗安全性数据：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech的疫苗显示出良好的耐受性和安全性，BNT 162 B 2最常见的不良事件是注射部位的短暂、轻度至中度疼痛、疲劳和头痛，这些通常在两天内消退。</blockquote></p><p> For Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.</p><p><blockquote>对于Moderna，最常见的不良反应包括注射部位疼痛、疲劳、肌痛、关节痛、头痛和注射部位红斑/发红。在第二次给药后，mRNA-1273组中引起的不良反应的频率和严重程度增加。</blockquote></p><p> Preliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax试验的初步安全性数据显示，该疫苗总体耐受性良好。严重和严重不良事件的数量较少，并且在疫苗组和安慰剂组之间平衡。</blockquote></p><p> In assessing reactogenicity seven&nbsp;days after dose one&nbsp;and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.</p><p><blockquote>在第1剂和第2剂后7天评估反应原性时，注射部位疼痛和压痛（通常严重程度为轻度至中度）是最常见的局部症状，持续时间少于3天。疲劳、头痛和肌肉疼痛是最常见的全身症状，持续时间不到两天。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167457915","content_text":"It was \"better late than never\" for Novavax, Inc.NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.\nHere's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namelyPfizer Inc.PFE 0.05%-BioNTech SEBNTXandModerna, Inc.MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.\nVaccine Type: Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.\nThe Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.\nThis spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.\nNovavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.\nThe Vaccine Doses: The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.\nThe interval between the two doses — the priming and booster dose — is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.\nThe Target Population: The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.\nModerna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants ages 18 years and up.\nSince then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.\nBothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.\nNovavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants 18 years of age and older across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.\nVaccine Logistics: Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.\nPreviously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.\nNVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.\nVaccine Efficacy: Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.\nThe vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.\nModerna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.\nNovavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.\nAgainst variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.\nOverall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.\nCantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:A differentiating factor for NVX-2373 is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.\n\"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.\nShowing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.\nThis profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.\nVaccine Safety Data:Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.\nFor Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.\nPreliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.\nIn assessing reactogenicity seven days after dose one and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"NVAX":0.9,"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":691440312,"gmtCreate":1640232510734,"gmtModify":1640232510734,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691440312","repostId":"1184389618","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184389618","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640230223,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184389618?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 11:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Stock May Be Down But It Isn’t Out<blockquote>Grab股票可能下跌，但尚未出局</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184389618","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"When Southeast Asian ride-hailing and delivery company Grab Holdings(NASDAQ:GRAB) completed a revers","content":"<p><div> When Southeast Asian ride-hailing and delivery company Grab Holdings(NASDAQ:GRAB) completed a reverse merger with special purpose acquisition company Altimeter Growth Corp. in early December it made ...</p><p><blockquote><div>当东南亚叫车和送货公司Grab Holdings（纳斯达克：GRAB）在12月初完成与特殊目的收购公司Altimeter Growth Corp.的反向合并时，它...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Stock May Be Down But It Isn’t Out<blockquote>Grab股票可能下跌，但尚未出局</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Stock May Be Down But It Isn’t Out<blockquote>Grab股票可能下跌，但尚未出局</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 11:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> When Southeast Asian ride-hailing and delivery company Grab Holdings(NASDAQ:GRAB) completed a reverse merger with special purpose acquisition company Altimeter Growth Corp. in early December it made ...</p><p><blockquote><div>当东南亚叫车和送货公司Grab Holdings（纳斯达克：GRAB）在12月初完成与特殊目的收购公司Altimeter Growth Corp.的反向合并时，它...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/grab-stock-may-be-down-but-it-isnt-out/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184389618","content_text":"When Southeast Asian ride-hailing and delivery company Grab Holdings(NASDAQ:GRAB) completed a reverse merger with special purpose acquisition company Altimeter Growth Corp. in early December it made history as the largest company to go public via a SPAC merger. Yet, this didn’t stop GRAB stock from plummeting more than 20% on the day of the merger.\nSince then, investors have continued to give GRAB stock the cold shoulder, with shares falling another 16% to trade at $7.34 at the time of this writing.\nNow, before you write off an investment in Grab Holdings, consider that the company is still in the early innings and let’s consider where GRAB stock could go from here.\nWhat’s Behind Grab’s Cool Reception?\nGrab is the largest ride-hailing and delivery company in Southeast Asia, with operations in Singapore, Malaysia, Cambodia, Indonesia, Myanmar, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam and serving more than 187 million users.\nThere are a number of plausible explanations for why GRAB stock has not been well-received by investors.\nFor starters, growth estimates for the Southeast Asian region have been lowered recently primarily due to the coronavirus pandemic. In September, the Asian Development Bank dropped its 2021 growth forecast for the region to 3.1% from 4.4% previously.\nWidespread lockdowns in the region due to recurring waves of COVID-19 have hurt demand for Grab’s ride-hailing services and weighed on revenue despite an increase in food-delivery volumes.\nGrab reported its third-quarter results on Nov. 11. Revenue fell 9% year over year to $157 million, with the company citing “a decline in mobility due to the severe lockdowns in Vietnam.” Falling revenue is obviously not something investors want to see, especially from a company that has yet to turn a profit.\nYet, the company did report a 32% year-over-year increase in gross merchandise value, with the dollar value of transactions from Grab’s services rising to $4.04 billion thanks to strength in the company’s deliveries segment.\nThere’s Reason for Optimism\nThe deal to go public through the merger with Altimeter Growth Corp. valued Grab at close to $40 billion, which as I mentioned, was a record. The fact that three weeks later GRAB stock has a market cap of about $27.5 billion tells us that perhaps things got a bit too heated. However, there is reason for optimism.\nThe ride-hailing platform has secured the backing of significant players across related industries, including DiDi Global(NYSE:DIDI),Toyota(NYSE:TM) and SoftBank’s(OTCMKTS:SFTBY) Vision Fund.\nGrab Holdings also has some positive catalysts on the horizon. For example, the company recently announced that it will be purchasing Jaya Grocer, a premium supermarket chain in Malaysia.\nThis acquisition fits nicely with the ride-hailing and delivery business model the company seeks to expand. Management refers to the model as a “superapp” focus, whereby users can access multiple services in a single, convenient location.\nThe Bottom Line on GRAB Stock\nI can’t say Grab Holdings can immediately turn things around. But its potential in the burgeoning Southeast Asian market means it remains relevant and has a long runway.\nOf the six analysts following GRAB stock, two rate it a “buy” and there are no “sell” ratings,according to The Wall Street Journal. Meanwhile, the consensus price target stands at $12.25, which represents upside of 67% from current levels.\nGRAB stock is very cheap now, so it’s hardly a dangerous speculative play. There’s a good argument to be made for investing now and hoping that the company continues to expand its footprint. Profitability should follow.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691440576,"gmtCreate":1640232547862,"gmtModify":1640232547862,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Aapl","listText":"Aapl","text":"Aapl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691440576","repostId":"1102369438","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102369438","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640230195,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102369438?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Stock: Why It Might Outperform Apple in 2022<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为什么亚马逊股票在2022年可能跑赢苹果</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102369438","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Amazon and Apple are great companies, but AMZN stock could outperform its peer in 2022. Here are the","content":"<p>Amazon and Apple are great companies, but AMZN stock could outperform its peer in 2022. Here are the main reasons why.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊和苹果都是伟大的公司，但亚马逊股票在2022年的表现可能会优于同行。以下是主要原因。</blockquote></p><p> The stocks of tech giants Amazon&nbsp;and Apple&nbsp;both experienced incredible gains in 2020: AMZN climbed 76% while APPL slightly outperformed its competitor with an incredible 81% return. With AMZN trailing so far this year, I wonder: which will be the better stock to own in 2022?</p><p><blockquote>科技巨头亚马逊和苹果的股票在2020年都经历了令人难以置信的上涨：亚马逊上涨了76%，而APPL以令人难以置信的81%的回报率略微优于竞争对手。由于AMZN今年迄今为止表现落后，我想知道：2022年哪只股票更值得持有？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce27248fd6669a891a6b37c1d78953c9\" tg-width=\"976\" tg-height=\"549\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple vs. Amazon.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果与亚马逊。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon: cross-industry reach</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊：跨行业影响力</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s not hard to see why Amazon could outperform Apple in 2022. The Seattle-based company has developed a dominant global presence, and not just in retail. Amazon operates very competitively in high-growth industries that range from e-commerce to cloud services and from tech devices to advertising and streaming services.</p><p><blockquote>不难看出为什么亚马逊能在2022年跑赢苹果。这家总部位于西雅图的公司已经在全球范围内占据主导地位，而不仅仅是在零售业。亚马逊在从电子商务到云服务、从科技设备到广告和流媒体服务的高增长行业中竞争非常激烈。</blockquote></p><p> Simply put, Amazon is a diversified tech giant that is growing revenues across all its business lines. The company continues to dominate online retail while also branching out into new emerging businesses, disrupting industries along the way.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，亚马逊是一家多元化的科技巨头，其所有业务线的收入都在增长。该公司继续主导在线零售，同时也拓展到新兴业务，一路颠覆行业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon's innovation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊的创新</b></blockquote></p><p> In addition to Amazon's dominance across multiple sectors, the tech company also continues to develop innovative products, such as its Echo and Alexa devices, which are quickly becoming a staple in many households. These products make it easier for Amazon to cross-sell their products and services, while increasing the total value of each transaction.</p><p><blockquote>除了亚马逊在多个领域的主导地位外，这家科技公司还继续开发创新产品，例如其Echo和Alexa设备，这些设备正迅速成为许多家庭的主食。这些产品使亚马逊更容易交叉销售他们的产品和服务，同时增加每笔交易的总价值。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Amazon has successfully diversified more deeply across its services portfolio — think cloud infrastructure and streaming, for example. I think this is another advantage that Amazon has over Apple, which is still working to monetize its existing customer base (although the Cupertino company has been increasingly successful at it).</p><p><blockquote>此外，亚马逊还成功地在其服务组合中实现了更深入的多元化——例如，想想云基础设施和流媒体。我认为这是亚马逊相对于苹果的另一个优势，后者仍在努力将其现有客户群货币化（尽管这家位于库比蒂诺的公司在这方面越来越成功）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How high can AAPL go?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL能涨到多高？</b></blockquote></p><p> In the end, the debate may boil down to price and valuation. AAPL has undergone a strong but unusual rally in late November and early December, even after an amazing two years of returns in 2020 and 2021 YTD. Against the tech-rich Nasdaq index, AAPL's performance in the month prior to December 13 had been the second-best in the past ten years:a staggering 19.5 percentage point&nbsp;advantage over the benchmark.</p><p><blockquote>最终，争论可能会归结为价格和估值。苹果公司在11月底和12月初经历了强劲但不寻常的反弹，尽管在2020年和2021年年初至今取得了惊人的两年回报。与科技股丰富的纳斯达克指数相比，AAPL在12月13日之前的一个月的表现是过去十年中第二好的：比基准指数高出惊人的19.5个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> True, the long-term bull thesis for Apple is compelling. Catalysts like the 5G-ready iPhone cycle and continued growth in the services segment could push the stock upwards in the foreseeable future. Apple should remain highly competitive in consumer tech devices and may soon become a key name in the metaverse. But how much of the upside potential to the stock may have already been priced in 2020 and 2021? Couldn’t 2022 be AMZN’s turn to shine?</p><p><blockquote>诚然，苹果的长期牛市论点令人信服。5G就绪的iPhone周期和服务领域的持续增长等催化剂可能会在可预见的未来推动该股上涨。苹果应该在消费科技设备领域保持高度竞争力，并可能很快成为虚拟宇宙中的一个关键名称。但该股的上涨潜力有多少可能已经在2020年和2021年定价？2022年就轮到AMZN大放异彩了吗？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> In my view, Apple and Amazon are great companies, and the former deserves to be a part of a growth portfolio. But because AMZN stock has not rallied as much as AAPL has in the past few months, I believe shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant have a better chance of edging Apple in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，苹果和亚马逊都是伟大的公司，前者值得成为增长投资组合的一部分。但由于亚马逊股价在过去几个月中没有像苹果公司那样上涨，我相信这家云和电子商务巨头的股价在2022年更有可能超越苹果。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Stock: Why It Might Outperform Apple in 2022<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为什么亚马逊股票在2022年可能跑赢苹果</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Stock: Why It Might Outperform Apple in 2022<blockquote>亚马逊股票：为什么亚马逊股票在2022年可能跑赢苹果</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon and Apple are great companies, but AMZN stock could outperform its peer in 2022. Here are the main reasons why.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊和苹果都是伟大的公司，但亚马逊股票在2022年的表现可能会优于同行。以下是主要原因。</blockquote></p><p> The stocks of tech giants Amazon&nbsp;and Apple&nbsp;both experienced incredible gains in 2020: AMZN climbed 76% while APPL slightly outperformed its competitor with an incredible 81% return. With AMZN trailing so far this year, I wonder: which will be the better stock to own in 2022?</p><p><blockquote>科技巨头亚马逊和苹果的股票在2020年都经历了令人难以置信的上涨：亚马逊上涨了76%，而APPL以令人难以置信的81%的回报率略微优于竞争对手。由于AMZN今年迄今为止表现落后，我想知道：2022年哪只股票更值得持有？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce27248fd6669a891a6b37c1d78953c9\" tg-width=\"976\" tg-height=\"549\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Apple vs. Amazon.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：苹果与亚马逊。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon: cross-industry reach</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊：跨行业影响力</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s not hard to see why Amazon could outperform Apple in 2022. The Seattle-based company has developed a dominant global presence, and not just in retail. Amazon operates very competitively in high-growth industries that range from e-commerce to cloud services and from tech devices to advertising and streaming services.</p><p><blockquote>不难看出为什么亚马逊能在2022年跑赢苹果。这家总部位于西雅图的公司已经在全球范围内占据主导地位，而不仅仅是在零售业。亚马逊在从电子商务到云服务、从科技设备到广告和流媒体服务的高增长行业中竞争非常激烈。</blockquote></p><p> Simply put, Amazon is a diversified tech giant that is growing revenues across all its business lines. The company continues to dominate online retail while also branching out into new emerging businesses, disrupting industries along the way.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，亚马逊是一家多元化的科技巨头，其所有业务线的收入都在增长。该公司继续主导在线零售，同时也拓展到新兴业务，一路颠覆行业。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon's innovation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊的创新</b></blockquote></p><p> In addition to Amazon's dominance across multiple sectors, the tech company also continues to develop innovative products, such as its Echo and Alexa devices, which are quickly becoming a staple in many households. These products make it easier for Amazon to cross-sell their products and services, while increasing the total value of each transaction.</p><p><blockquote>除了亚马逊在多个领域的主导地位外，这家科技公司还继续开发创新产品，例如其Echo和Alexa设备，这些设备正迅速成为许多家庭的主食。这些产品使亚马逊更容易交叉销售他们的产品和服务，同时增加每笔交易的总价值。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, Amazon has successfully diversified more deeply across its services portfolio — think cloud infrastructure and streaming, for example. I think this is another advantage that Amazon has over Apple, which is still working to monetize its existing customer base (although the Cupertino company has been increasingly successful at it).</p><p><blockquote>此外，亚马逊还成功地在其服务组合中实现了更深入的多元化——例如，想想云基础设施和流媒体。我认为这是亚马逊相对于苹果的另一个优势，后者仍在努力将其现有客户群货币化（尽管这家位于库比蒂诺的公司在这方面越来越成功）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How high can AAPL go?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL能涨到多高？</b></blockquote></p><p> In the end, the debate may boil down to price and valuation. AAPL has undergone a strong but unusual rally in late November and early December, even after an amazing two years of returns in 2020 and 2021 YTD. Against the tech-rich Nasdaq index, AAPL's performance in the month prior to December 13 had been the second-best in the past ten years:a staggering 19.5 percentage point&nbsp;advantage over the benchmark.</p><p><blockquote>最终，争论可能会归结为价格和估值。苹果公司在11月底和12月初经历了强劲但不寻常的反弹，尽管在2020年和2021年年初至今取得了惊人的两年回报。与科技股丰富的纳斯达克指数相比，AAPL在12月13日之前的一个月的表现是过去十年中第二好的：比基准指数高出惊人的19.5个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> True, the long-term bull thesis for Apple is compelling. Catalysts like the 5G-ready iPhone cycle and continued growth in the services segment could push the stock upwards in the foreseeable future. Apple should remain highly competitive in consumer tech devices and may soon become a key name in the metaverse. But how much of the upside potential to the stock may have already been priced in 2020 and 2021? Couldn’t 2022 be AMZN’s turn to shine?</p><p><blockquote>诚然，苹果的长期牛市论点令人信服。5G就绪的iPhone周期和服务领域的持续增长等催化剂可能会在可预见的未来推动该股上涨。苹果应该在消费科技设备领域保持高度竞争力，并可能很快成为虚拟宇宙中的一个关键名称。但该股的上涨潜力有多少可能已经在2020年和2021年定价？2022年就轮到AMZN大放异彩了吗？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> In my view, Apple and Amazon are great companies, and the former deserves to be a part of a growth portfolio. But because AMZN stock has not rallied as much as AAPL has in the past few months, I believe shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant have a better chance of edging Apple in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，苹果和亚马逊都是伟大的公司，前者值得成为增长投资组合的一部分。但由于亚马逊股价在过去几个月中没有像苹果公司那样上涨，我相信这家云和电子商务巨头的股价在2022年更有可能超越苹果。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/why-amzn-could-outperform-aapl-in-2022\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/why-amzn-could-outperform-aapl-in-2022","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102369438","content_text":"Amazon and Apple are great companies, but AMZN stock could outperform its peer in 2022. Here are the main reasons why.\nThe stocks of tech giants Amazon and Apple both experienced incredible gains in 2020: AMZN climbed 76% while APPL slightly outperformed its competitor with an incredible 81% return. With AMZN trailing so far this year, I wonder: which will be the better stock to own in 2022?\nFigure 1: Apple vs. Amazon.\nAmazon: cross-industry reach\nIt’s not hard to see why Amazon could outperform Apple in 2022. The Seattle-based company has developed a dominant global presence, and not just in retail. Amazon operates very competitively in high-growth industries that range from e-commerce to cloud services and from tech devices to advertising and streaming services.\nSimply put, Amazon is a diversified tech giant that is growing revenues across all its business lines. The company continues to dominate online retail while also branching out into new emerging businesses, disrupting industries along the way.\nAmazon's innovation\nIn addition to Amazon's dominance across multiple sectors, the tech company also continues to develop innovative products, such as its Echo and Alexa devices, which are quickly becoming a staple in many households. These products make it easier for Amazon to cross-sell their products and services, while increasing the total value of each transaction.\nIn addition, Amazon has successfully diversified more deeply across its services portfolio — think cloud infrastructure and streaming, for example. I think this is another advantage that Amazon has over Apple, which is still working to monetize its existing customer base (although the Cupertino company has been increasingly successful at it).\nHow high can AAPL go?\nIn the end, the debate may boil down to price and valuation. AAPL has undergone a strong but unusual rally in late November and early December, even after an amazing two years of returns in 2020 and 2021 YTD. Against the tech-rich Nasdaq index, AAPL's performance in the month prior to December 13 had been the second-best in the past ten years:a staggering 19.5 percentage point advantage over the benchmark.\nTrue, the long-term bull thesis for Apple is compelling. Catalysts like the 5G-ready iPhone cycle and continued growth in the services segment could push the stock upwards in the foreseeable future. Apple should remain highly competitive in consumer tech devices and may soon become a key name in the metaverse. But how much of the upside potential to the stock may have already been priced in 2020 and 2021? Couldn’t 2022 be AMZN’s turn to shine?\nConclusion\nIn my view, Apple and Amazon are great companies, and the former deserves to be a part of a growth portfolio. But because AMZN stock has not rallied as much as AAPL has in the past few months, I believe shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant have a better chance of edging Apple in 2022.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691449079,"gmtCreate":1640232578472,"gmtModify":1640232578472,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691449079","repostId":"1140552564","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140552564","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640225899,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140552564?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140552564","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nHot electric vehicle (EV) stockLucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Hot electric vehicle (EV) stock<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its mojo in recent weeks. But it roared back on Wednesday, surging 1.79% today. Lucid shares just started trading on a popular stock index, and the luxury EV maker is now flush with cash to pump into growth. Oh, and Lucid Air received&nbsp;<i>yet another</i>&nbsp;glorious review that's called the car<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)\"living nightmare.\"</p><p><blockquote>热门电动汽车(EV)股票<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克：LCID）最近几周似乎失去了一些魔力。但周三反弹，今日飙升1.79%。Lucid股票刚刚开始在一个受欢迎的股票指数上交易，这家豪华电动汽车制造商现在拥有充足的现金来推动增长。哦，Lucid Air收到了<i>又一个</i>光荣的评论称为汽车<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）的“活生生的噩梦”。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> On Dec. 20, Lucid stock started trading on the&nbsp;Nasdaq-100 index, a market-cap weighted index comprising 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial stocks based on market capitalization.</p><p><blockquote>12月20日，Lucid股票开始在纳斯达克100指数上交易，该指数是一个市值加权指数，由100只按市值计算的国内和国际最大的非金融股票组成。</blockquote></p><p> Inclusion in an index, especially a popular one like the Nasdaq-100 that's chock-full of growth stocks, can typically lift investor sentiment. But it can also drive the stock price higher as institutional investors who track the index have to buy the stock to match it. That's what's happening with Lucid stock right now, but it isn't the&nbsp;<i>only</i>&nbsp;factor driving the EV stock higher today.</p><p><blockquote>纳入指数，尤其是像纳斯达克100这样充满成长型股票的热门指数，通常可以提振投资者情绪。但它也可能推高股价，因为跟踪该指数的机构投资者必须购买股票以匹配该指数。这就是Lucid股票目前正在发生的情况，但它不是<i>只有</i>今天推动电动汽车股票走高的因素。</blockquote></p><p> Lucid also announced it has completed the sale of senior convertible notes and raised roughly $2 billion in gross proceeds to use for general corporate purposes and business expansion.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid还宣布已完成高级可转换票据的出售，并筹集了约20亿美元的总收益，用于一般公司用途和业务扩张。</blockquote></p><p> As of Sept. 30, 2021, Lucid had $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which means Lucid now has almost $7 billion in cash to put to good use. Lucid had secured more than 17,000 reservations across all four trim variants of Lucid Air as of Nov. 15. Although the company is expected to deliver only a few hundred cars this year, Lucid has an ambitious target of producing 20,000 vehicles in 2022. The EV maker has evidently taken advantage of the market's enthusiasm by raising money while it can to scale up capacity.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年9月30日，Lucid拥有48亿美元的现金和现金等价物以及短期投资，这意味着Lucid现在有近70亿美元的现金可以充分利用。截至11月15日，Lucid已在Lucid Air的所有四种装饰变体中获得了超过17,000份预订。尽管该公司预计今年仅交付数百辆汽车，但Lucid有一个雄心勃勃的目标，即在2022年生产2万辆汽车。这家电动汽车制造商显然利用了市场的热情，尽可能地筹集资金来扩大产能。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes right when the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized its most ambitious-ever greenhouse gas-emission standards that&nbsp;hugely favor electric vehicles. On the basis of these new standards, the EPA projects sales of EVs and plug-in hybrids to grow 7% in model year 2023 to 17% by model year 2026.</p><p><blockquote>当美国环境保护署(EPA)最终确定其有史以来最雄心勃勃的温室气体排放标准时，所有这一切都恰逢其时，该标准非常有利于电动汽车。根据这些新标准，EPA预计电动汽车和插电式混合动力车的销量将在2023车型年增长7%，到2026车型年增长17%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Lucid Air Dream Edition -- the first and most expensive trim the company is selling -- continues to make heads turn. Popular YouTube channel&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;just released a detailed video review of Air Dream, comparing it to Tesla's Model S Plaid and concluding that Lucid could give Tesla a proper run for its money if it can successfully deploy Air Dream's powerful technology into lower-priced models.&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;calls Air Dream closest to the \"perfect EV\" we've seen so far.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Lucid Air Dream Edition——该公司销售的第一款也是最昂贵的内饰——继续引人注目。热门YouTube频道<i>节气门室</i>刚刚发布了对Air Dream的详细视频评论，将其与特斯拉的Model S Plaid进行了比较，并得出结论，如果Lucid能够成功地将Air Dream的强大技术部署到价格较低的车型中，它可以与特斯拉进行适当的竞争。<i>节气门室</i>评级Air Dream最接近我们迄今为止见过的“完美电动汽车”。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> Just yesterday, I picked Lucid as one of the&nbsp;hottest growth stocks primed to take off;the company is much-better placed than the likes of&nbsp;<b>Nikola</b>&nbsp;to navigate an ongoing probe by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) given that its cars are already on the road and have been officially certified as being the longest range EV yet.</p><p><blockquote>就在昨天，我选择Lucid作为准备起飞的最热门成长股之一；该公司的地位比<b>尼古拉</b>鉴于其汽车已经上路并已被官方认证为迄今为止续航里程最长的电动汽车，以应对美国证券交易委员会(SEC)正在进行的调查。</blockquote></p><p> I expect Lucid'sdelivery rate to be initially slow&nbsp;as it upgrades existing production lines. I also expect the company will continue to incur losses for a considerable period of time before it can convert revenues into profits. Yet, among all the EV stocks starting out, Lucid could&nbsp;potentially be one of the biggest EV stocks&nbsp;in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>我预计Lucid在升级现有生产线时的交付速度最初会很慢。我还预计，该公司将在相当长的一段时间内继续亏损，然后才能将收入转化为利润。然而，在所有起步的电动汽车股票中，从长远来看，Lucid可能成为最大的电动汽车股票之一。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Lucid Stock Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么Lucid股票今天上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 10:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Hot electric vehicle (EV) stock<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its mojo in recent weeks. But it roared back on Wednesday, surging 1.79% today. Lucid shares just started trading on a popular stock index, and the luxury EV maker is now flush with cash to pump into growth. Oh, and Lucid Air received&nbsp;<i>yet another</i>&nbsp;glorious review that's called the car<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)\"living nightmare.\"</p><p><blockquote>热门电动汽车(EV)股票<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克：LCID）最近几周似乎失去了一些魔力。但周三反弹，今日飙升1.79%。Lucid股票刚刚开始在一个受欢迎的股票指数上交易，这家豪华电动汽车制造商现在拥有充足的现金来推动增长。哦，Lucid Air收到了<i>又一个</i>光荣的评论称为汽车<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）的“活生生的噩梦”。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> On Dec. 20, Lucid stock started trading on the&nbsp;Nasdaq-100 index, a market-cap weighted index comprising 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial stocks based on market capitalization.</p><p><blockquote>12月20日，Lucid股票开始在纳斯达克100指数上交易，该指数是一个市值加权指数，由100只按市值计算的国内和国际最大的非金融股票组成。</blockquote></p><p> Inclusion in an index, especially a popular one like the Nasdaq-100 that's chock-full of growth stocks, can typically lift investor sentiment. But it can also drive the stock price higher as institutional investors who track the index have to buy the stock to match it. That's what's happening with Lucid stock right now, but it isn't the&nbsp;<i>only</i>&nbsp;factor driving the EV stock higher today.</p><p><blockquote>纳入指数，尤其是像纳斯达克100这样充满成长型股票的热门指数，通常可以提振投资者情绪。但它也可能推高股价，因为跟踪该指数的机构投资者必须购买股票以匹配该指数。这就是Lucid股票目前正在发生的情况，但它不是<i>只有</i>今天推动电动汽车股票走高的因素。</blockquote></p><p> Lucid also announced it has completed the sale of senior convertible notes and raised roughly $2 billion in gross proceeds to use for general corporate purposes and business expansion.</p><p><blockquote>Lucid还宣布已完成高级可转换票据的出售，并筹集了约20亿美元的总收益，用于一般公司用途和业务扩张。</blockquote></p><p> As of Sept. 30, 2021, Lucid had $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which means Lucid now has almost $7 billion in cash to put to good use. Lucid had secured more than 17,000 reservations across all four trim variants of Lucid Air as of Nov. 15. Although the company is expected to deliver only a few hundred cars this year, Lucid has an ambitious target of producing 20,000 vehicles in 2022. The EV maker has evidently taken advantage of the market's enthusiasm by raising money while it can to scale up capacity.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年9月30日，Lucid拥有48亿美元的现金和现金等价物以及短期投资，这意味着Lucid现在有近70亿美元的现金可以充分利用。截至11月15日，Lucid已在Lucid Air的所有四种装饰变体中获得了超过17,000份预订。尽管该公司预计今年仅交付数百辆汽车，但Lucid有一个雄心勃勃的目标，即在2022年生产2万辆汽车。这家电动汽车制造商显然利用了市场的热情，尽可能地筹集资金来扩大产能。</blockquote></p><p> All of this comes right when the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized its most ambitious-ever greenhouse gas-emission standards that&nbsp;hugely favor electric vehicles. On the basis of these new standards, the EPA projects sales of EVs and plug-in hybrids to grow 7% in model year 2023 to 17% by model year 2026.</p><p><blockquote>当美国环境保护署(EPA)最终确定其有史以来最雄心勃勃的温室气体排放标准时，所有这一切都恰逢其时，该标准非常有利于电动汽车。根据这些新标准，EPA预计电动汽车和插电式混合动力车的销量将在2023车型年增长7%，到2026车型年增长17%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Lucid Air Dream Edition -- the first and most expensive trim the company is selling -- continues to make heads turn. Popular YouTube channel&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;just released a detailed video review of Air Dream, comparing it to Tesla's Model S Plaid and concluding that Lucid could give Tesla a proper run for its money if it can successfully deploy Air Dream's powerful technology into lower-priced models.&nbsp;<i>Throttle House</i>&nbsp;calls Air Dream closest to the \"perfect EV\" we've seen so far.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Lucid Air Dream Edition——该公司销售的第一款也是最昂贵的内饰——继续引人注目。热门YouTube频道<i>节气门室</i>刚刚发布了对Air Dream的详细视频评论，将其与特斯拉的Model S Plaid进行了比较，并得出结论，如果Lucid能够成功地将Air Dream的强大技术部署到价格较低的车型中，它可以与特斯拉进行适当的竞争。<i>节气门室</i>评级Air Dream最接近我们迄今为止见过的“完美电动汽车”。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> Just yesterday, I picked Lucid as one of the&nbsp;hottest growth stocks primed to take off;the company is much-better placed than the likes of&nbsp;<b>Nikola</b>&nbsp;to navigate an ongoing probe by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) given that its cars are already on the road and have been officially certified as being the longest range EV yet.</p><p><blockquote>就在昨天，我选择Lucid作为准备起飞的最热门成长股之一；该公司的地位比<b>尼古拉</b>鉴于其汽车已经上路并已被官方认证为迄今为止续航里程最长的电动汽车，以应对美国证券交易委员会(SEC)正在进行的调查。</blockquote></p><p> I expect Lucid'sdelivery rate to be initially slow&nbsp;as it upgrades existing production lines. I also expect the company will continue to incur losses for a considerable period of time before it can convert revenues into profits. Yet, among all the EV stocks starting out, Lucid could&nbsp;potentially be one of the biggest EV stocks&nbsp;in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>我预计Lucid在升级现有生产线时的交付速度最初会很慢。我还预计，该公司将在相当长的一段时间内继续亏损，然后才能将收入转化为利润。然而，在所有起步的电动汽车股票中，从长远来看，Lucid可能成为最大的电动汽车股票之一。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/why-lucid-stock-jumped-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/why-lucid-stock-jumped-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140552564","content_text":"What happened\nHot electric vehicle (EV) stockLucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID)seemed to have lost some of its mojo in recent weeks. But it roared back on Wednesday, surging 1.79% today. Lucid shares just started trading on a popular stock index, and the luxury EV maker is now flush with cash to pump into growth. Oh, and Lucid Air received yet another glorious review that's called the carTesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA)\"living nightmare.\"\nSo what\nOn Dec. 20, Lucid stock started trading on the Nasdaq-100 index, a market-cap weighted index comprising 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial stocks based on market capitalization.\nInclusion in an index, especially a popular one like the Nasdaq-100 that's chock-full of growth stocks, can typically lift investor sentiment. But it can also drive the stock price higher as institutional investors who track the index have to buy the stock to match it. That's what's happening with Lucid stock right now, but it isn't the only factor driving the EV stock higher today.\nLucid also announced it has completed the sale of senior convertible notes and raised roughly $2 billion in gross proceeds to use for general corporate purposes and business expansion.\nAs of Sept. 30, 2021, Lucid had $4.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which means Lucid now has almost $7 billion in cash to put to good use. Lucid had secured more than 17,000 reservations across all four trim variants of Lucid Air as of Nov. 15. Although the company is expected to deliver only a few hundred cars this year, Lucid has an ambitious target of producing 20,000 vehicles in 2022. The EV maker has evidently taken advantage of the market's enthusiasm by raising money while it can to scale up capacity.\nAll of this comes right when the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized its most ambitious-ever greenhouse gas-emission standards that hugely favor electric vehicles. On the basis of these new standards, the EPA projects sales of EVs and plug-in hybrids to grow 7% in model year 2023 to 17% by model year 2026.\nMeanwhile, Lucid Air Dream Edition -- the first and most expensive trim the company is selling -- continues to make heads turn. Popular YouTube channel Throttle House just released a detailed video review of Air Dream, comparing it to Tesla's Model S Plaid and concluding that Lucid could give Tesla a proper run for its money if it can successfully deploy Air Dream's powerful technology into lower-priced models. Throttle House calls Air Dream closest to the \"perfect EV\" we've seen so far.\nNow what\nJust yesterday, I picked Lucid as one of the hottest growth stocks primed to take off;the company is much-better placed than the likes of Nikola to navigate an ongoing probe by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) given that its cars are already on the road and have been officially certified as being the longest range EV yet.\nI expect Lucid'sdelivery rate to be initially slow as it upgrades existing production lines. I also expect the company will continue to incur losses for a considerable period of time before it can convert revenues into profits. Yet, among all the EV stocks starting out, Lucid could potentially be one of the biggest EV stocks in the long run.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LCID":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691440459,"gmtCreate":1640232561983,"gmtModify":1640232561983,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691440459","repostId":"1164868978","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164868978","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640229309,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164868978?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Does This Wildly Accurate S&P 500 Ratio Signal Doom for Investors in 2022?<blockquote>这种极其准确的标普500比率是否预示着2022年投资者的厄运？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164868978","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"While I'm generally skeptical of stock market indicators, investors might want to pay attention to this one.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Predicting stock market performance is a near-impossible task.</li>  <li>The Shiller P/E ratio may be as accurate an indicator as there is.</li>  <li>But investors would still do well to focus on the long term.</li> </ul> If someone ever asks me what I think the market is going to do next, I usually reply by saying I have no idea. I believe most investors would be wise to adopt this philosophy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预测股市表现几乎是一项不可能完成的任务。</li><li>席勒市盈率可能是最准确的指标。</li><li>但投资者最好还是着眼于长期。</li></ul>如果有人问我认为市场下一步会做什么，我通常会回答说我不知道。我相信大多数投资者采用这种理念是明智的。</blockquote></p><p> This still doesn't prevent people from trying to forecast where things will go next. As investors, we want to appear like we know what the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s performance will be in the future. Then we can position our portfolios accordingly.</p><p><blockquote>这仍然不妨碍人们试图预测接下来事情的走向。作为投资者，我们希望表现得好像我们知道<b>标普500</b>的表现将在未来。然后我们可以相应地定位我们的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But is there a data point out there that can signal with any level of accuracy what future returns will be? Read on to find out.</p><p><blockquote>但是，有没有一个数据点可以以任何精度表明未来的回报？请继续阅读，找出答案。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2869216c7d0cbc4c220f60d370cc7938\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not a bad&nbsp;indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不错的指标</b></blockquote></p><p> Every once in a while, I think the Shiller&nbsp;price-to-earnings(P/E) ratio, otherwise known as the cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio, can provide a high-level view as to what prospective returns might be over the next decade.This&nbsp;metric is the P/E ratio of the S&amp;P 500 using the average net income of the previous 10 years, adjusted for inflation.</p><p><blockquote>每隔一段时间，我认为席勒市盈率（P/E），也称为周期性调整市盈率（CAPE），可以提供一个关于未来十年预期回报的高层次视图。该指标是标普500的市盈率，使用前10年的平均净收入，经通货膨胀调整。</blockquote></p><p> If that sounds like a mouthful, don't worry. The objective of this data point is to smooth out any fluctuations in earnings. The highest it has ever been previously was in 1929 and 2000, and these times directly preceded bear markets. As you can see below, we are currently at the second highest level in history.</p><p><blockquote>如果这听起来很拗口，不要担心。该数据点的目标是消除收益的任何波动。此前的最高纪录是在1929年和2000年，而这两次都是在熊市之前。正如你在下面看到的，我们目前处于历史第二高的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7fb9cd4886d330700f25d58806f67a\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>S&amp;P 500 SHILLER CAPE RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的标普500·席勒CAPE比率数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> According to Advisor Perspectives, which provides news and commentary for financial advisors, the CAPE ratio explained an incredible 90% of the variation in returns from 1995 to 2020. In other words, for an asset class that's completely random, this is as accurate an indicator as we're going to get.</p><p><blockquote>根据为财务顾问提供新闻和评论的Advisor Perspectives的数据，CAPE比率解释了1995年至2020年90%的回报变化。换句话说，对于完全随机的资产类别，这是我们将得到的最准确的指标。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 has historically&nbsp;returned an average of 10% per year. But based on today's Shiller P/E ratio of 38, the market could be in for disappointing returns in 2022 and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>标普500历史上平均每年回报率为10%。但根据目前38的席勒市盈率，市场在2022年及以后的回报可能会令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> However, I don't think investors should panic just yet. The Great Recession of 2008 and 2009 and the coronavirus pandemic led to unprecedented amounts of government stimulus to support economic growth. Even with an elevated CAPE ratio over the past 10 years, the stock market just kept climbing higher. Credit the Federal Reserve for perhaps distorting the correlation between the Shiller P/E ratio and future returns.</p><p><blockquote>不过，我认为投资者现在还不应该恐慌。2008年和2009年的大衰退以及冠状病毒大流行导致政府采取了前所未有的刺激措施来支持经济增长。尽管过去10年CAPE比率有所上升，但股市仍在不断攀升。相信美联储可能扭曲了席勒市盈率和未来回报之间的相关性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What should&nbsp;investors do?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该怎么做？</b></blockquote></p><p> I firmly believe that you should only invest money in the stock market that you don't need for the next five years. This is because in the near term, the market is extremely unpredictable, but over longer time horizons, the probability of a positive return increases dramatically.</p><p><blockquote>我坚信，你应该只把未来五年不需要的钱投入股市。这是因为在短期内，市场是极其不可预测的，但在更长的时间范围内，正回报的概率会急剧增加。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, if you're looking to put capital to work right now when interest rates are near zero, you really don't have any other option than to invest in the stock market. Although the Shiller P/E ratio might signal a poor decade of returns ahead, where else would you park your money?</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，如果你想在利率接近于零的时候立即投入资金，除了投资股市，你真的没有任何其他选择。尽管席勒市盈率可能预示着未来十年的回报不佳，但你还会把钱放在哪里呢？</blockquote></p><p> I believe that owning a well-diversified portfolio (at least 25 stocks) of competitively advantaged businesses that have proven track records and solid growth prospects is the best&nbsp;strategy&nbsp;you can pursue. Names like&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:HD)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Starbucks</b>(NASDAQ:SBUX)immediately come to mind.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，拥有一个多元化的投资组合（至少25只股票），其中包括具有竞争优势的企业，这些企业具有良好的业绩记录和稳健的增长前景，是您可以追求的最佳策略。名字像<b>家得宝</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：HD）和<b>星巴克</b>（纳斯达克：SBUX）立即浮现在脑海中。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;home-improvement giant&nbsp;has grown profits 16% annually over the past 10 years, is able to outshine competitors thanks to its massive scale, and still has huge expansion opportunities thanks to a robust U.S. housing market.</p><p><blockquote>这家家装巨头在过去10年中利润每年增长16%，凭借其庞大的规模能够超越竞争对手，并且由于美国房地产市场强劲，仍然拥有巨大的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> The giant coffeehouse chain possesses a powerful brand, supported by a top-notch loyalty program and premium status that resonates strongly with consumers. Starbucks' management estimates that by 2030, there'll be a&nbsp;whopping 55,000&nbsp;locations worldwide, 63%&nbsp;higher&nbsp;than today's count.</p><p><blockquote>这家大型连锁咖啡馆拥有强大的品牌，由一流的忠诚度计划和与消费者产生强烈共鸣的优质地位提供支持。星巴克管理层估计，到2030年，全球门店数量将达到55,000家，比目前的数量增加63%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Focus on what really matters</b></p><p><blockquote><b>专注于真正重要的事情</b></blockquote></p><p> No matter what the Shiller P/E ratio says, I think Home Depot and Starbucks will continue to do well and be solid additions to anyone's portfolio. This is what investors must focus on. Concentrate intensely on the quality of the companies you own, and you'll surely do well over time.</p><p><blockquote>无论席勒市盈率如何，我认为家得宝和星巴克将继续表现良好，并成为任何人投资组合的坚实补充。这是投资者必须重点关注的。专注于你所拥有的公司的质量，随着时间的推移，你肯定会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Trying to time the market based on whether you think it's cheap or expensive is not a game you want to play. Adding savings at regular intervals -- known as&nbsp;dollar-cost averaging-- reduces any biases you may have andallows you to improve your cost basis on stocks you buy.</p><p><blockquote>试图根据您认为市场便宜还是昂贵来把握市场时机并不是您想玩的游戏。定期增加储蓄（称为平均成本法）可以减少您可能存在的任何偏见，并允许您改善购买股票的成本基础。</blockquote></p><p> We're living in interesting times. There's still lots of uncertainty in the market today with no shortage of so-called experts telling us what we should do with our money. While the Shiller P/E ratio is a tool you can add to your investing arsenal, ignore the noise and keep your eyes on the long term.</p><p><blockquote>我们生活在一个有趣的时代。今天的市场仍然存在很多不确定性，不乏所谓的专家告诉我们应该如何处理我们的钱。虽然席勒市盈率是您可以添加到投资武器库中的工具，但请忽略噪音并着眼于长期。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Does This Wildly Accurate S&P 500 Ratio Signal Doom for Investors in 2022?<blockquote>这种极其准确的标普500比率是否预示着2022年投资者的厄运？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDoes This Wildly Accurate S&P 500 Ratio Signal Doom for Investors in 2022?<blockquote>这种极其准确的标普500比率是否预示着2022年投资者的厄运？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Predicting stock market performance is a near-impossible task.</li>  <li>The Shiller P/E ratio may be as accurate an indicator as there is.</li>  <li>But investors would still do well to focus on the long term.</li> </ul> If someone ever asks me what I think the market is going to do next, I usually reply by saying I have no idea. I believe most investors would be wise to adopt this philosophy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>预测股市表现几乎是一项不可能完成的任务。</li><li>席勒市盈率可能是最准确的指标。</li><li>但投资者最好还是着眼于长期。</li></ul>如果有人问我认为市场下一步会做什么，我通常会回答说我不知道。我相信大多数投资者采用这种理念是明智的。</blockquote></p><p> This still doesn't prevent people from trying to forecast where things will go next. As investors, we want to appear like we know what the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>'s performance will be in the future. Then we can position our portfolios accordingly.</p><p><blockquote>这仍然不妨碍人们试图预测接下来事情的走向。作为投资者，我们希望表现得好像我们知道<b>标普500</b>的表现将在未来。然后我们可以相应地定位我们的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But is there a data point out there that can signal with any level of accuracy what future returns will be? Read on to find out.</p><p><blockquote>但是，有没有一个数据点可以以任何精度表明未来的回报？请继续阅读，找出答案。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2869216c7d0cbc4c220f60d370cc7938\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Not a bad&nbsp;indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不错的指标</b></blockquote></p><p> Every once in a while, I think the Shiller&nbsp;price-to-earnings(P/E) ratio, otherwise known as the cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio, can provide a high-level view as to what prospective returns might be over the next decade.This&nbsp;metric is the P/E ratio of the S&amp;P 500 using the average net income of the previous 10 years, adjusted for inflation.</p><p><blockquote>每隔一段时间，我认为席勒市盈率（P/E），也称为周期性调整市盈率（CAPE），可以提供一个关于未来十年预期回报的高层次视图。该指标是标普500的市盈率，使用前10年的平均净收入，经通货膨胀调整。</blockquote></p><p> If that sounds like a mouthful, don't worry. The objective of this data point is to smooth out any fluctuations in earnings. The highest it has ever been previously was in 1929 and 2000, and these times directly preceded bear markets. As you can see below, we are currently at the second highest level in history.</p><p><blockquote>如果这听起来很拗口，不要担心。该数据点的目标是消除收益的任何波动。此前的最高纪录是在1929年和2000年，而这两次都是在熊市之前。正如你在下面看到的，我们目前处于历史第二高的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7fb9cd4886d330700f25d58806f67a\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>S&amp;P 500 SHILLER CAPE RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>YCHARTS提供的标普500·席勒CAPE比率数据。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> According to Advisor Perspectives, which provides news and commentary for financial advisors, the CAPE ratio explained an incredible 90% of the variation in returns from 1995 to 2020. In other words, for an asset class that's completely random, this is as accurate an indicator as we're going to get.</p><p><blockquote>根据为财务顾问提供新闻和评论的Advisor Perspectives的数据，CAPE比率解释了1995年至2020年90%的回报变化。换句话说，对于完全随机的资产类别，这是我们将得到的最准确的指标。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 has historically&nbsp;returned an average of 10% per year. But based on today's Shiller P/E ratio of 38, the market could be in for disappointing returns in 2022 and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>标普500历史上平均每年回报率为10%。但根据目前38的席勒市盈率，市场在2022年及以后的回报可能会令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> However, I don't think investors should panic just yet. The Great Recession of 2008 and 2009 and the coronavirus pandemic led to unprecedented amounts of government stimulus to support economic growth. Even with an elevated CAPE ratio over the past 10 years, the stock market just kept climbing higher. Credit the Federal Reserve for perhaps distorting the correlation between the Shiller P/E ratio and future returns.</p><p><blockquote>不过，我认为投资者现在还不应该恐慌。2008年和2009年的大衰退以及冠状病毒大流行导致政府采取了前所未有的刺激措施来支持经济增长。尽管过去10年CAPE比率有所上升，但股市仍在不断攀升。相信美联储可能扭曲了席勒市盈率和未来回报之间的相关性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What should&nbsp;investors do?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该怎么做？</b></blockquote></p><p> I firmly believe that you should only invest money in the stock market that you don't need for the next five years. This is because in the near term, the market is extremely unpredictable, but over longer time horizons, the probability of a positive return increases dramatically.</p><p><blockquote>我坚信，你应该只把未来五年不需要的钱投入股市。这是因为在短期内，市场是极其不可预测的，但在更长的时间范围内，正回报的概率会急剧增加。</blockquote></p><p> With that in mind, if you're looking to put capital to work right now when interest rates are near zero, you really don't have any other option than to invest in the stock market. Although the Shiller P/E ratio might signal a poor decade of returns ahead, where else would you park your money?</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，如果你想在利率接近于零的时候立即投入资金，除了投资股市，你真的没有任何其他选择。尽管席勒市盈率可能预示着未来十年的回报不佳，但你还会把钱放在哪里呢？</blockquote></p><p> I believe that owning a well-diversified portfolio (at least 25 stocks) of competitively advantaged businesses that have proven track records and solid growth prospects is the best&nbsp;strategy&nbsp;you can pursue. Names like&nbsp;<b>Home Depot</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:HD)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Starbucks</b>(NASDAQ:SBUX)immediately come to mind.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，拥有一个多元化的投资组合（至少25只股票），其中包括具有竞争优势的企业，这些企业具有良好的业绩记录和稳健的增长前景，是您可以追求的最佳策略。名字像<b>家得宝</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：HD）和<b>星巴克</b>（纳斯达克：SBUX）立即浮现在脑海中。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;home-improvement giant&nbsp;has grown profits 16% annually over the past 10 years, is able to outshine competitors thanks to its massive scale, and still has huge expansion opportunities thanks to a robust U.S. housing market.</p><p><blockquote>这家家装巨头在过去10年中利润每年增长16%，凭借其庞大的规模能够超越竞争对手，并且由于美国房地产市场强劲，仍然拥有巨大的扩张机会。</blockquote></p><p> The giant coffeehouse chain possesses a powerful brand, supported by a top-notch loyalty program and premium status that resonates strongly with consumers. Starbucks' management estimates that by 2030, there'll be a&nbsp;whopping 55,000&nbsp;locations worldwide, 63%&nbsp;higher&nbsp;than today's count.</p><p><blockquote>这家大型连锁咖啡馆拥有强大的品牌，由一流的忠诚度计划和与消费者产生强烈共鸣的优质地位提供支持。星巴克管理层估计，到2030年，全球门店数量将达到55,000家，比目前的数量增加63%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Focus on what really matters</b></p><p><blockquote><b>专注于真正重要的事情</b></blockquote></p><p> No matter what the Shiller P/E ratio says, I think Home Depot and Starbucks will continue to do well and be solid additions to anyone's portfolio. This is what investors must focus on. Concentrate intensely on the quality of the companies you own, and you'll surely do well over time.</p><p><blockquote>无论席勒市盈率如何，我认为家得宝和星巴克将继续表现良好，并成为任何人投资组合的坚实补充。这是投资者必须重点关注的。专注于你所拥有的公司的质量，随着时间的推移，你肯定会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Trying to time the market based on whether you think it's cheap or expensive is not a game you want to play. Adding savings at regular intervals -- known as&nbsp;dollar-cost averaging-- reduces any biases you may have andallows you to improve your cost basis on stocks you buy.</p><p><blockquote>试图根据您认为市场便宜还是昂贵来把握市场时机并不是您想玩的游戏。定期增加储蓄（称为平均成本法）可以减少您可能存在的任何偏见，并允许您改善购买股票的成本基础。</blockquote></p><p> We're living in interesting times. There's still lots of uncertainty in the market today with no shortage of so-called experts telling us what we should do with our money. While the Shiller P/E ratio is a tool you can add to your investing arsenal, ignore the noise and keep your eyes on the long term.</p><p><blockquote>我们生活在一个有趣的时代。今天的市场仍然存在很多不确定性，不乏所谓的专家告诉我们应该如何处理我们的钱。虽然席勒市盈率是您可以添加到投资武器库中的工具，但请忽略噪音并着眼于长期。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/wildly-accurate-sp-500-ratio-signal-doom-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SBUX":"星巴克",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","HD":"家得宝",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/22/wildly-accurate-sp-500-ratio-signal-doom-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164868978","content_text":"Key Points\n\nPredicting stock market performance is a near-impossible task.\nThe Shiller P/E ratio may be as accurate an indicator as there is.\nBut investors would still do well to focus on the long term.\n\nIf someone ever asks me what I think the market is going to do next, I usually reply by saying I have no idea. I believe most investors would be wise to adopt this philosophy.\nThis still doesn't prevent people from trying to forecast where things will go next. As investors, we want to appear like we know what the S&P 500's performance will be in the future. Then we can position our portfolios accordingly.\nBut is there a data point out there that can signal with any level of accuracy what future returns will be? Read on to find out.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nNot a bad indicator\nEvery once in a while, I think the Shiller price-to-earnings(P/E) ratio, otherwise known as the cyclically adjusted P/E (CAPE) ratio, can provide a high-level view as to what prospective returns might be over the next decade.This metric is the P/E ratio of the S&P 500 using the average net income of the previous 10 years, adjusted for inflation.\nIf that sounds like a mouthful, don't worry. The objective of this data point is to smooth out any fluctuations in earnings. The highest it has ever been previously was in 1929 and 2000, and these times directly preceded bear markets. As you can see below, we are currently at the second highest level in history.\nS&P 500 SHILLER CAPE RATIO DATA BY YCHARTS.\nAccording to Advisor Perspectives, which provides news and commentary for financial advisors, the CAPE ratio explained an incredible 90% of the variation in returns from 1995 to 2020. In other words, for an asset class that's completely random, this is as accurate an indicator as we're going to get.\nThe S&P 500 has historically returned an average of 10% per year. But based on today's Shiller P/E ratio of 38, the market could be in for disappointing returns in 2022 and beyond.\nHowever, I don't think investors should panic just yet. The Great Recession of 2008 and 2009 and the coronavirus pandemic led to unprecedented amounts of government stimulus to support economic growth. Even with an elevated CAPE ratio over the past 10 years, the stock market just kept climbing higher. Credit the Federal Reserve for perhaps distorting the correlation between the Shiller P/E ratio and future returns.\nWhat should investors do?\nI firmly believe that you should only invest money in the stock market that you don't need for the next five years. This is because in the near term, the market is extremely unpredictable, but over longer time horizons, the probability of a positive return increases dramatically.\nWith that in mind, if you're looking to put capital to work right now when interest rates are near zero, you really don't have any other option than to invest in the stock market. Although the Shiller P/E ratio might signal a poor decade of returns ahead, where else would you park your money?\nI believe that owning a well-diversified portfolio (at least 25 stocks) of competitively advantaged businesses that have proven track records and solid growth prospects is the best strategy you can pursue. Names like Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Starbucks(NASDAQ:SBUX)immediately come to mind.\nThe home-improvement giant has grown profits 16% annually over the past 10 years, is able to outshine competitors thanks to its massive scale, and still has huge expansion opportunities thanks to a robust U.S. housing market.\nThe giant coffeehouse chain possesses a powerful brand, supported by a top-notch loyalty program and premium status that resonates strongly with consumers. Starbucks' management estimates that by 2030, there'll be a whopping 55,000 locations worldwide, 63% higher than today's count.\nFocus on what really matters\nNo matter what the Shiller P/E ratio says, I think Home Depot and Starbucks will continue to do well and be solid additions to anyone's portfolio. This is what investors must focus on. Concentrate intensely on the quality of the companies you own, and you'll surely do well over time.\nTrying to time the market based on whether you think it's cheap or expensive is not a game you want to play. Adding savings at regular intervals -- known as dollar-cost averaging-- reduces any biases you may have andallows you to improve your cost basis on stocks you buy.\nWe're living in interesting times. There's still lots of uncertainty in the market today with no shortage of so-called experts telling us what we should do with our money. While the Shiller P/E ratio is a tool you can add to your investing arsenal, ignore the noise and keep your eyes on the long term.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SBUX":0.9,"HD":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":169277529,"gmtCreate":1623840919161,"gmtModify":1634027292493,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Solid","listText":"Solid","text":"Solid","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169277529","repostId":"1166103542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166103542","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623835778,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166103542?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 17:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio ET7 Will Be Equipped With 'High-Performance' LiDAR, Says Supplier<blockquote>供应商称蔚来ET7将配备“高性能”激光雷达</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166103542","media":"benzinga","summary":"Nio Inc’s LiDAR supplier Innovusion said on Wednesday it will equip the electric vehicle maker’s ET7","content":"<p><div> Nio Inc’s LiDAR supplier Innovusion said on Wednesday it will equip the electric vehicle maker’s ET7 sedan with a \"high-performance product\" that can detect up to 500 meters, cnEV postreported. What ...</p><p><blockquote><div>据《cnEV邮报》报道，蔚来公司的激光雷达供应商Innovusion周三表示，将为这家电动汽车制造商的ET7轿车配备一款“高性能产品”，探测距离可达500米。什么...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio ET7 Will Be Equipped With 'High-Performance' LiDAR, Says Supplier<blockquote>供应商称蔚来ET7将配备“高性能”激光雷达</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio ET7 Will Be Equipped With 'High-Performance' LiDAR, Says Supplier<blockquote>供应商称蔚来ET7将配备“高性能”激光雷达</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 17:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Nio Inc’s LiDAR supplier Innovusion said on Wednesday it will equip the electric vehicle maker’s ET7 sedan with a \"high-performance product\" that can detect up to 500 meters, cnEV postreported. What ...</p><p><blockquote><div>据《cnEV邮报》报道，蔚来公司的激光雷达供应商Innovusion周三表示，将为这家电动汽车制造商的ET7轿车配备一款“高性能产品”，探测距离可达500米。什么...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/06/21582411/nio-et7-will-be-equipped-with-high-performance-lidar-says-supplier","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166103542","content_text":"Nio Inc’s LiDAR supplier Innovusion said on Wednesday it will equip the electric vehicle maker’s ET7 sedan with a \"high-performance product\" that can detect up to 500 meters, cnEV postreported.\nWhat Happened:Bao Junwei, co-founder and Chief Executive Officer at Innovusion said its LiDAR technology works on the L3 and L4 autonomous driving and complements the L2 autonomous driving.\nNio is expected to begin deliveries of its premium electric sedan ET7 in the first quarter of next year. The Chinese electric vehicle maker, which revealed ET7 earlier this year, is eyeing international expansion after establishing itself in China.\nLidar, short for light detection and ranging sensors, uses laser light pulses to help vehicles perceive their surroundings. The technology is increasingly being seen as a key for automakers having self-driving ambitions.\nPrice Action:Nio shares closed 3% lower at $45.15 on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187238484,"gmtCreate":1623754904248,"gmtModify":1634028978872,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stonks","listText":"Stonks","text":"Stonks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187238484","repostId":"1167457915","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167457915","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623750756,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167457915?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167457915","media":"Benzinga","summary":"It was \"better late than never\" for Novavax, Inc.NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announ","content":"<p>It was \"better late than never\" for&nbsp;<b>Novavax, Inc.</b>NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.</p><p><blockquote>“迟到总比不到好”<b>诺瓦瓦克斯公司。</b>NVAX，这家生物制药公司终于抽出时间宣布了NVX-CoV2371（其针对新型冠状病毒病的候选疫苗）3期研究美国和墨西哥部分的中期结果。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namely<b>Pfizer Inc.</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>Moderna, Inc.</b>MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.</p><p><blockquote>以下是Novavax候选疫苗和领跑者的比较视角，即<b>辉瑞公司。</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>莫德纳公司。</b>MRNA，两者都有授权疫苗上市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Type:</b>&nbsp;Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗类型：</b>Novavax的NVX-CoV2371是一种基于重组纳米颗粒蛋白的COVID-19疫苗，与该公司专有的Matrix-M佐剂包装在一起。</blockquote></p><p> The Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern&nbsp;vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞-BioNTech和Moderna的产品是mRNA疫苗，或通过使用一种称为mRNA的遗传密码来发挥作用的现代疫苗，这种遗传密码指示我们的免疫细胞制造刺突蛋白，刺突蛋白存在于导致新冠肺炎的病毒表面。</blockquote></p><p> This spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.</p><p><blockquote>这种刺突蛋白虽然无害，但能够触发我们的免疫系统产生抗体，防止未来的感染。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle&nbsp;that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的疫苗是一种蛋白质佐剂，含有冠状病毒本身的刺突蛋白，但配方为纳米颗粒，不会导致疾病。然后，注射的疫苗刺激免疫系统产生抗体和T细胞免疫反应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Vaccine Doses:</b>&nbsp;The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗剂量：</b>这三家公司的疫苗都需要接种两剂。辉瑞的每剂由30 mcg和Moderna的100 mcg组成，而Novavax的每剂疫苗由5 mcg NVX-CoV2371和50 mcg Matrix-M1佐剂组成，它们是共同配制的。</blockquote></p><p> The interval between the two doses —&nbsp;the priming and booster dose —&nbsp;is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞和Novavax的两种剂量（初免剂量和加强剂量）之间的间隔为21天，Moderna为28天。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Target Population:</b>&nbsp;The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants&nbsp;ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.</p><p><blockquote><b>目标人群：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech最初的后期试验在16岁及以上的参与者中评估了疫苗。该试验招募了43,448名参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants&nbsp;ages 18 years and up.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的3期COVE研究招募了30,000名18岁及以上的参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.</p><p><blockquote>此后，这两家公司获得了各自疫苗用于青少年的授权。</blockquote></p><p> Bothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司还启动了针对儿科人群的研究。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants&nbsp;18 years of age and older&nbsp;across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究在美国和墨西哥的119个地点招募了29,960名18岁及以上的参与者。PREVENT-19的安慰剂对照部分继续在12岁至18岁以下的青少年中进行，最近完成了2,248名参与者的招募。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Logistics:</b>&nbsp;Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗物流：</b>辉瑞公司最近获得了FDA的授权，可以将未稀释、解冻的疫苗瓶在2°C至8°C的冰箱中储存长达一个月。</blockquote></p><p> Previously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five&nbsp;days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.</p><p><blockquote>以前，解冻、未稀释的疫苗瓶可以在冰箱中储存长达五天。Moderna的疫苗在首次使用前可以在2至8°C的冰箱中储存长达30天。</blockquote></p><p> NVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.</p><p><blockquote>NVX-CoV2373在2°-8°C下储存稳定，允许使用现有的疫苗供应链渠道进行分销。它被包装在10剂小瓶中的即用型液体制剂中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Efficacy:</b>&nbsp;Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven&nbsp;days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗效力：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech去年12月发布的3期试验中期数据显示，该疫苗耐受性良好，在第二剂疫苗接种后7天或更长时间内，在预防新冠肺炎方面表现出95%的疗效。第二次给药后长达六个月发布的更新顶线结果证实疗效为91.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.</p><p><blockquote>该疫苗被发现对美国疾病控制和预防中心定义的严重疾病100%有效，对FDA定义的严重新冠肺炎95.3%有效。在实验室研究中，它也被证明对英国菌株有效。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的疫苗对新冠肺炎的有效性为94.1%。该公司于5月宣布了其2期研究的初步数据，显示向先前接种疫苗的个体给予50微克剂量的mRNA-1273或mRNA-1273.351作为加强剂，增加了针对新型冠状病毒病毒和两种令人担忧的变异体的中和抗体滴度反应，B.1.351，首次在南非发现，P.1，首次在巴西发现。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究疫苗对中度和重度疾病表现出100%的保护作用，不涉及令人担忧的变异体或感兴趣的变异体。</blockquote></p><p> Against variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.</p><p><blockquote>针对关注变异体和感兴趣变异体，疗效为93.2%，在高危人群（定义为65岁以上或65岁以下，患有某些合并症或经常暴露于新冠肺炎的情况）中，疗效为91%。</blockquote></p><p> Overall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.</p><p><blockquote>总疗效为90.4%，达到主要终点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Cantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:</b>A differentiating factor for NVX-2373&nbsp;is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.</p><p><blockquote><b>坎托·菲茨杰拉德谈Novavax的疫苗：</b>Cantor Fitzgerald分析师Charles Duncan在周一早间报告中表示，NVX-2373的一个与众不同之处在于，它对VoC/VoI表现出93.2%的疫苗效力，这证明了对多种新型冠状病毒毒株的保护作用。</blockquote></p><p> \"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师表示：“总体而言，这些结果增强了我们对新型冠状病毒候选疫苗‘2373具有差异化临床和物流特征的信念。”</blockquote></p><p> Showing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，在两项3期临床试验中显示出对新毒株的功效，而不是从培养皿中进行的中和抗体测定中推断出潜在功效，这将NVX-CoV2373与其他获得紧急使用授权的疫苗区分开来。</blockquote></p><p> This profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>Cantor表示，这一概况降低了'2373新型冠状病毒预防性候选疫苗的监管/商业风险，并且随着2020年3月报告的NanoFlu 3期积极数据，应该会提高Novavax平台的整体形象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Safety Data:</b>Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from&nbsp;BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗安全性数据：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech的疫苗显示出良好的耐受性和安全性，BNT 162 B 2最常见的不良事件是注射部位的短暂、轻度至中度疼痛、疲劳和头痛，这些通常在两天内消退。</blockquote></p><p> For Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.</p><p><blockquote>对于Moderna，最常见的不良反应包括注射部位疼痛、疲劳、肌痛、关节痛、头痛和注射部位红斑/发红。在第二次给药后，mRNA-1273组中引起的不良反应的频率和严重程度增加。</blockquote></p><p> Preliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax试验的初步安全性数据显示，该疫苗总体耐受性良好。严重和严重不良事件的数量较少，并且在疫苗组和安慰剂组之间平衡。</blockquote></p><p> In assessing reactogenicity seven&nbsp;days after dose one&nbsp;and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.</p><p><blockquote>在第1剂和第2剂后7天评估反应原性时，注射部位疼痛和压痛（通常严重程度为轻度至中度）是最常见的局部症状，持续时间少于3天。疲劳、头痛和肌肉疼痛是最常见的全身症状，持续时间不到两天。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Novavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovavax Vs. Pfizer Vs. Moderna: How COVID-19 Vaccines Stack Up<blockquote>Novavax与辉瑞与Moderna：COVID-19疫苗如何叠加</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 17:52</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It was \"better late than never\" for&nbsp;<b>Novavax, Inc.</b>NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.</p><p><blockquote>“迟到总比不到好”<b>诺瓦瓦克斯公司。</b>NVAX，这家生物制药公司终于抽出时间宣布了NVX-CoV2371（其针对新型冠状病毒病的候选疫苗）3期研究美国和墨西哥部分的中期结果。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namely<b>Pfizer Inc.</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>Moderna, Inc.</b>MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.</p><p><blockquote>以下是Novavax候选疫苗和领跑者的比较视角，即<b>辉瑞公司。</b>PFE 0.05%-<b>BioNTech SE</b>BNTXand<b>莫德纳公司。</b>MRNA，两者都有授权疫苗上市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Type:</b>&nbsp;Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗类型：</b>Novavax的NVX-CoV2371是一种基于重组纳米颗粒蛋白的COVID-19疫苗，与该公司专有的Matrix-M佐剂包装在一起。</blockquote></p><p> The Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern&nbsp;vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞-BioNTech和Moderna的产品是mRNA疫苗，或通过使用一种称为mRNA的遗传密码来发挥作用的现代疫苗，这种遗传密码指示我们的免疫细胞制造刺突蛋白，刺突蛋白存在于导致新冠肺炎的病毒表面。</blockquote></p><p> This spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.</p><p><blockquote>这种刺突蛋白虽然无害，但能够触发我们的免疫系统产生抗体，防止未来的感染。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle&nbsp;that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的疫苗是一种蛋白质佐剂，含有冠状病毒本身的刺突蛋白，但配方为纳米颗粒，不会导致疾病。然后，注射的疫苗刺激免疫系统产生抗体和T细胞免疫反应。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Vaccine Doses:</b>&nbsp;The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗剂量：</b>这三家公司的疫苗都需要接种两剂。辉瑞的每剂由30 mcg和Moderna的100 mcg组成，而Novavax的每剂疫苗由5 mcg NVX-CoV2371和50 mcg Matrix-M1佐剂组成，它们是共同配制的。</blockquote></p><p> The interval between the two doses —&nbsp;the priming and booster dose —&nbsp;is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞和Novavax的两种剂量（初免剂量和加强剂量）之间的间隔为21天，Moderna为28天。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Target Population:</b>&nbsp;The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants&nbsp;ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.</p><p><blockquote><b>目标人群：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech最初的后期试验在16岁及以上的参与者中评估了疫苗。该试验招募了43,448名参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants&nbsp;ages 18 years and up.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的3期COVE研究招募了30,000名18岁及以上的参与者。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.</p><p><blockquote>此后，这两家公司获得了各自疫苗用于青少年的授权。</blockquote></p><p> Bothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司还启动了针对儿科人群的研究。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants&nbsp;18 years of age and older&nbsp;across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究在美国和墨西哥的119个地点招募了29,960名18岁及以上的参与者。PREVENT-19的安慰剂对照部分继续在12岁至18岁以下的青少年中进行，最近完成了2,248名参与者的招募。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Logistics:</b>&nbsp;Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗物流：</b>辉瑞公司最近获得了FDA的授权，可以将未稀释、解冻的疫苗瓶在2°C至8°C的冰箱中储存长达一个月。</blockquote></p><p> Previously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five&nbsp;days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.</p><p><blockquote>以前，解冻、未稀释的疫苗瓶可以在冰箱中储存长达五天。Moderna的疫苗在首次使用前可以在2至8°C的冰箱中储存长达30天。</blockquote></p><p> NVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.</p><p><blockquote>NVX-CoV2373在2°-8°C下储存稳定，允许使用现有的疫苗供应链渠道进行分销。它被包装在10剂小瓶中的即用型液体制剂中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Efficacy:</b>&nbsp;Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven&nbsp;days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗效力：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech去年12月发布的3期试验中期数据显示，该疫苗耐受性良好，在第二剂疫苗接种后7天或更长时间内，在预防新冠肺炎方面表现出95%的疗效。第二次给药后长达六个月发布的更新顶线结果证实疗效为91.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.</p><p><blockquote>该疫苗被发现对美国疾病控制和预防中心定义的严重疾病100%有效，对FDA定义的严重新冠肺炎95.3%有效。在实验室研究中，它也被证明对英国菌株有效。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna的疫苗对新冠肺炎的有效性为94.1%。该公司于5月宣布了其2期研究的初步数据，显示向先前接种疫苗的个体给予50微克剂量的mRNA-1273或mRNA-1273.351作为加强剂，增加了针对新型冠状病毒病毒和两种令人担忧的变异体的中和抗体滴度反应，B.1.351，首次在南非发现，P.1，首次在巴西发现。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax的研究疫苗对中度和重度疾病表现出100%的保护作用，不涉及令人担忧的变异体或感兴趣的变异体。</blockquote></p><p> Against variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.</p><p><blockquote>针对关注变异体和感兴趣变异体，疗效为93.2%，在高危人群（定义为65岁以上或65岁以下，患有某些合并症或经常暴露于新冠肺炎的情况）中，疗效为91%。</blockquote></p><p> Overall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.</p><p><blockquote>总疗效为90.4%，达到主要终点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Cantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:</b>A differentiating factor for NVX-2373&nbsp;is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.</p><p><blockquote><b>坎托·菲茨杰拉德谈Novavax的疫苗：</b>Cantor Fitzgerald分析师Charles Duncan在周一早间报告中表示，NVX-2373的一个与众不同之处在于，它对VoC/VoI表现出93.2%的疫苗效力，这证明了对多种新型冠状病毒毒株的保护作用。</blockquote></p><p> \"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师表示：“总体而言，这些结果增强了我们对新型冠状病毒候选疫苗‘2373具有差异化临床和物流特征的信念。”</blockquote></p><p> Showing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，在两项3期临床试验中显示出对新毒株的功效，而不是从培养皿中进行的中和抗体测定中推断出潜在功效，这将NVX-CoV2373与其他获得紧急使用授权的疫苗区分开来。</blockquote></p><p> This profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.</p><p><blockquote>Cantor表示，这一概况降低了'2373新型冠状病毒预防性候选疫苗的监管/商业风险，并且随着2020年3月报告的NanoFlu 3期积极数据，应该会提高Novavax平台的整体形象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vaccine Safety Data:</b>Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from&nbsp;BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.</p><p><blockquote><b>疫苗安全性数据：</b>辉瑞-BioNTech的疫苗显示出良好的耐受性和安全性，BNT 162 B 2最常见的不良事件是注射部位的短暂、轻度至中度疼痛、疲劳和头痛，这些通常在两天内消退。</blockquote></p><p> For Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.</p><p><blockquote>对于Moderna，最常见的不良反应包括注射部位疼痛、疲劳、肌痛、关节痛、头痛和注射部位红斑/发红。在第二次给药后，mRNA-1273组中引起的不良反应的频率和严重程度增加。</blockquote></p><p> Preliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax试验的初步安全性数据显示，该疫苗总体耐受性良好。严重和严重不良事件的数量较少，并且在疫苗组和安慰剂组之间平衡。</blockquote></p><p> In assessing reactogenicity seven&nbsp;days after dose one&nbsp;and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.</p><p><blockquote>在第1剂和第2剂后7天评估反应原性时，注射部位疼痛和压痛（通常严重程度为轻度至中度）是最常见的局部症状，持续时间少于3天。疲劳、头痛和肌肉疼痛是最常见的全身症状，持续时间不到两天。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167457915","content_text":"It was \"better late than never\" for Novavax, Inc.NVAX, as the biopharma finally got around to announcing interim results from the U.S. and Mexico leg of the Phase 3 study of NVX-CoV2371, its vaccine candidate against the novel coronavirus.\nHere's a comparative perspective of the vaccine candidates from Novavax, and the frontrunners, namelyPfizer Inc.PFE 0.05%-BioNTech SEBNTXandModerna, Inc.MRNA, both of which have authorized vaccines in the market.\nVaccine Type: Novavax's NVX-CoV2371 is a recombinant nano-particle protein-based COVID-19 vaccine that is packaged with the company's proprietary Matrix-M adjuvant.\nThe Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna products are mRNA vaccines, or modern vaccines that work by using a genetic code called mRNA that instructs our immune cells to make spike protein, which is found on the surface of the virus that causes COVID-19.\nThis spike protein, though harmless, is capable of triggering our immune system to produce antibodies that offer protection against future infection.\nNovavax's vaccine is a protein adjuvant that contains the spike protein of the coronavirus itself, but formulated as a nanoparticle that cannot cause disease. The injected vaccine then stimulates the immune system to produce antibodies and T-cell immune responses.\nThe Vaccine Doses: The vaccines from each of the three companies require two doses. Each dose consists of 30 mcg for Pfizer and 100 mcg for Moderna, while for Novavax, each vaccine dose consists of 5 mcg of NVX-CoV2371 and 50 mcg of Matrix-M1 adjuvant that are co-formulated.\nThe interval between the two doses — the priming and booster dose — is 21 days each for Pfizer and Novavax and 28 days for Moderna.\nThe Target Population: The original late-stage trial of Pfizer-BioNTech evaluated the vaccine in participants ages 16 years and older. The trial enrolled 43,448 participants.\nModerna'sPhase 3 COVE study enrolled 30,000 participants ages 18 years and up.\nSince then, these two companies have obtained authorizations for their respective vaccines to be used in adolescents.\nBothcompanieshave also initiated studies in the pediatric population.\nNovavax's study enrolled 29,960 participants 18 years of age and older across 119 sites in the U.S. and Mexico. The placebo-controlled portion of PREVENT-19 continues in adolescents from 12 to less than 18 years of age and recently completed enrollment with 2,248 participants.\nVaccine Logistics: Pfizer recently secured FDA authorization for storing undiluted, thawed vaccine vials in the refrigerator at 2°C to 8°C for up to one month.\nPreviously, thawed, undiluted vaccine vials could be stored in the refrigerator for up to five days. Moderna's vaccine can be stored refrigerated between 2° and 8°C for up to 30 days prior to first use.\nNVX-CoV2373 is stored and stable at 2°- 8°C, allowing the use of existing vaccine supply chain channels for its distribution. It is packaged in a ready-to-use liquid formulation in 10-dose vials.\nVaccine Efficacy: Interim data from Pfizer-BioNTech's Phase 3 trials released in December showed the vaccine was well-tolerated and demonstrated 95% efficacy in preventing COVID-19 in those without prior infection seven days or more after the second dose. Updated top-line results released for up to six months after the second dose confirmed efficacy at 91.3%.\nThe vaccine was found 100% effective against severe disease as defined by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and 95.3% effective against severe COVID-19 as defined by the FDA. It was also proved effective against the U.K. strain in lab studies.\nModerna's vaccine showed efficacy of 94.1% against COVID-19. The company announced in May initial data from its Phase 2 study showing that a single 50 mcg dose of mRNA-1273 or mRNA-1273.351 given as a booster to previously vaccinated individuals increased neutralizing antibody titer responses against SARS-CoV-2 and two variants of concern, B.1.351, first identified in South Africa, and P.1, first identified in Brazil.\nNovavax's investigational vaccine demonstrated 100% protection against moderate and severe disease not involving variants of concern or variants of interest.\nAgainst variants of concern and variants of interest, the efficacy was 93.2% and in high-risk populations, defined as over 65 or under 65 years with certain comorbidities or having circumstances with frequent COVID-19 exposure, the efficacy was 91%.\nOverall efficacy was 90.4%, meeting the primary endpoint.\nCantor Fitzgerald On Novavax's Vaccine:A differentiating factor for NVX-2373 is that it showed vaccine efficacy of 93.2% against VoC/VoI, which demonstrates protection across a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 strains, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Charles Duncan said in a Monday morning note.\n\"Overall, these results enhance our conviction for a differentiated clinical and logistics profile from the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate ‘2373,\" the analyst said.\nShowing efficacy against new strains in two Phase 3 clinical trials, rather than extrapolating potential efficacy from a neutralizing antibody assay conducted in a petri dish, differentiates NVX-CoV2373 from other vaccines that have emergency use authorization, he said.\nThis profile, according to Cantor reduces regulatory/ commercial risk for the ‘2373 SARS-CoV-2 prophylactic vaccine candidate and, with positive Phase 3 data for NanoFlu reported in March 2020, should raise the profile for Novavax's platform as a whole.\nVaccine Safety Data:Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine showed a favorable tolerability and safety profile, with the most common adverse events from BNT162b2 being transient, mild to moderate pain at the injection site, fatigue and headache, and these generally resolved within two days.\nFor Moderna, the most common adverse reactions included injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, arthralgia, headache, and erythema/redness at the injection site. Solicited adverse reactions increased in frequency and severity in the mRNA-1273 group after the second dose.\nPreliminary safety data from Novavax's trial showed the vaccine to be generally well-tolerated. Serious and severe adverse events were low in number and balanced between vaccine and placebo groups.\nIn assessing reactogenicity seven days after dose one and dose two, injection site pain and tenderness, generally mild to moderate in severity, were the most common local symptoms, lasting less than three days. Fatigue, headache and muscle pain were the most common systemic symptoms, lasting less than two days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"NVAX":0.9,"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":691440727,"gmtCreate":1640232570462,"gmtModify":1640232570462,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691440727","repostId":"2193150111","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":168450877,"gmtCreate":1623981599499,"gmtModify":1634024776952,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Moon","listText":"Moon","text":"Moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168450877","repostId":"1167804746","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161327369,"gmtCreate":1623906268151,"gmtModify":1634026020023,"author":{"id":"3574390258610228","authorId":"3574390258610228","name":"306f459c","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574390258610228","idStr":"3574390258610228"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wtonks","listText":"Wtonks","text":"Wtonks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161327369","repostId":"1133173445","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133173445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623899282,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133173445?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133173445","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of me","content":"<p>  Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.  Could insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.</p><p><blockquote>大量内幕抛售是股票价格虚高的警告信号。meme股票的内幕抛售是否预示着其股价即将暴跌？实证研究表明答案是肯定的。</blockquote></p><p> The substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站GME（+0.21%）和AMC院线控股AMC（-6.54%）董事的大量股票出售并没有让大多数理性投资者感到惊讶。很明显，这些和其他模因股票的当前价格被大大夸大了。事实上，投资者应该将AMC以过高的价格发行新股来筹集资金视为一个警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Critics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.</p><p><blockquote>批评者可能会痛斥这种内幕交易的机会主义，理由是公司治理大师鼓励董事所有权与公众股东的利益保持一致。但是谁能责怪他们呢？令人惊讶的是，更多的外部股东并没有接受抛售信号。对于精明的投资者来说，扫描内幕交易以寻找未来好消息或坏消息的迹象是很常见的。根据《内幕交易投资情报》一书的作者、密歇根大学金融学教授Nejat Seyhun的研究，总体内幕交易水平预示着长达两年的股票总回报。</blockquote></p><p> That said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，一些内幕交易根本不包含任何信号，因为董事在需要维持强制性所有权水平时买入，在需要现金或分散投资时卖出。此外，内部人士在交易时面临声誉和法律风险，因此要小心不要发出囤积好消息或坏消息的信号，以免他们转向不道德或非法的内幕交易。</blockquote></p><p> But these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.</p><p><blockquote>但这些模因股票案例似乎更清晰。例如，在AMC，许多董事几乎在同一时间大量出售股票，接近该公司最近的股票发行。杜伦大学会计学教授何冠明及其同事的研究表明，集中的内幕股票抛售与股价崩盘风险的增加有关。这是显而易见的：无论是投资者、策略师还是经济学家，内部人士比外部人士知道得更多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人能看出市场变化无常的特征会导致逆转。但他的研究支持这样一种观点，即内部人士对未来股价崩盘风险的预期——无论来自何种来源——确实会导致他们减持股票。特别是，有证据表明内幕销售与未来15个月的崩盘风险相关。</blockquote></p><p> Such research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.</p><p><blockquote>在模因股票的奇异背景下，这样的研究可能特别有意义。与传统股票交易相比，内部人士交易模因股票有望获得更大的利润，而且鉴于不知情交易者的噪音交易程度更大，他们的交易信息也更丰富。</blockquote></p><p> Research on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.</p><p><blockquote>对过去结果的研究并不能保证未来的结果，但加上常识和对所有泡沫最终都会破裂的认识，我愿意下自己的赌注。15个月的时间框架将使游戏驿站泡沫在2022年第一季度破裂，AMC在第三季度左右破裂。在购买任何一只股票之前，我肯定会同时下注。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy a crash in meme stocks AMC and GameStop looks more likely now<blockquote>为什么模因股票AMC和游戏驿站现在看起来更有可能崩盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 11:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.  Could insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.</p><p><blockquote>大量内幕抛售是股票价格虚高的警告信号。meme股票的内幕抛售是否预示着其股价即将暴跌？实证研究表明答案是肯定的。</blockquote></p><p> The substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站GME（+0.21%）和AMC院线控股AMC（-6.54%）董事的大量股票出售并没有让大多数理性投资者感到惊讶。很明显，这些和其他模因股票的当前价格被大大夸大了。事实上，投资者应该将AMC以过高的价格发行新股来筹集资金视为一个警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Critics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.</p><p><blockquote>批评者可能会痛斥这种内幕交易的机会主义，理由是公司治理大师鼓励董事所有权与公众股东的利益保持一致。但是谁能责怪他们呢？令人惊讶的是，更多的外部股东并没有接受抛售信号。对于精明的投资者来说，扫描内幕交易以寻找未来好消息或坏消息的迹象是很常见的。根据《内幕交易投资情报》一书的作者、密歇根大学金融学教授Nejat Seyhun的研究，总体内幕交易水平预示着长达两年的股票总回报。</blockquote></p><p> That said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，一些内幕交易根本不包含任何信号，因为董事在需要维持强制性所有权水平时买入，在需要现金或分散投资时卖出。此外，内部人士在交易时面临声誉和法律风险，因此要小心不要发出囤积好消息或坏消息的信号，以免他们转向不道德或非法的内幕交易。</blockquote></p><p> But these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.</p><p><blockquote>但这些模因股票案例似乎更清晰。例如，在AMC，许多董事几乎在同一时间大量出售股票，接近该公司最近的股票发行。杜伦大学会计学教授何冠明及其同事的研究表明，集中的内幕股票抛售与股价崩盘风险的增加有关。这是显而易见的：无论是投资者、策略师还是经济学家，内部人士比外部人士知道得更多。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.</p><p><blockquote>当然，没有人能看出市场变化无常的特征会导致逆转。但他的研究支持这样一种观点，即内部人士对未来股价崩盘风险的预期——无论来自何种来源——确实会导致他们减持股票。特别是，有证据表明内幕销售与未来15个月的崩盘风险相关。</blockquote></p><p> Such research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.</p><p><blockquote>在模因股票的奇异背景下，这样的研究可能特别有意义。与传统股票交易相比，内部人士交易模因股票有望获得更大的利润，而且鉴于不知情交易者的噪音交易程度更大，他们的交易信息也更丰富。</blockquote></p><p> Research on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.</p><p><blockquote>对过去结果的研究并不能保证未来的结果，但加上常识和对所有泡沫最终都会破裂的认识，我愿意下自己的赌注。15个月的时间框架将使游戏驿站泡沫在2022年第一季度破裂，AMC在第三季度左右破裂。在购买任何一只股票之前，我肯定会同时下注。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-a-crash-in-meme-stocks-amc-and-gamestop-looks-more-likely-now-11623810848?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1133173445","content_text":"Heavy insider selling is a warning sign that a stock’s price is inflated.\n\nCould insider sales of meme stocks signal a coming crash in their share price? The empirical research suggests the answer is yes.\nThe substantial stock sales by directors of GameStop GME, +0.21% and AMC Entertainment Holdings AMC, -6.54% didn’t surprise most rational investors. It’s clear that the current prices of these and other meme stocks are vastly inflated. In fact, investors should have seen AMC’s issuing new shares at its bloated price to raise capital as a warning sign.\nCritics might lambaste the opportunism of such insider selling, citing corporate governance gurus encouraging director ownership to align interests with public shareholders. But who can blame them? What is surprising is that more outside shareholders haven’t taken the signal to sell. It’s common for savvy investors to scan insider purchases and sales for signs of good or bad news ahead. Aggregate insider trading levels presage total stock returns for up to two years, according to the research of University of Michigan finance professor Nejat Seyhun, author of Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading.\nThat said, some insider trades contain no signal at all, as directors buy when required to maintain mandatory ownership levels and sell when they need cash or to diversify investments. Moreover, insiders face reputational and legal risks when trading, so are careful not to signal hoarding good or bad news, lest they veer into unethical or illegal insider trading.\nBut these meme-stock cases seem clearer. At AMC, for instance, many directors all sold around the same time in large numbers, near the company’s recent stock offering. Research by Durham University accounting professor Guanming He and colleagues indicates that the presence of concentrated insider stock-selling is associated with an increase in stock-price crash risk. That stands to reason: insiders know more than outsiders, whether investors, strategists or economists.\nOf course, no one can discern the fickle features of markets that precipitate reversals. But He’s research supports the view that insiders’ anticipation of future stock-price crash risk — from whatever source — does lead them to trim their holdings. In particular, the evidence is that insider sales are associated with 15-month-ahead crash risk.\nSuch research may be particularly meaningful in the bizarre context of meme stocks. Compared to conventional stock trading, insiders are poised to make greater profits trading meme stocks and their trades are more informative given the greater degree of noise trading by uninformed traders.\nResearch on past outcomes is no guarantee of future results, but together with common sense and an appreciation that all bubbles eventually burst, I’d be willing to place my own bets. The 15-month time frame would put the bursting of the GameStop bubble in the first quarter of 2022 and AMC around the third quarter. I’d certainly take both bets before I bought either stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}