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2021-11-20

👍

Why EV Stocks Lucid and Rivian Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么电动汽车股票 Lucid 和Rivian今天上涨</blockquote>

2021-11-19

Hmmm

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-16

Keep going!

Sea Q3 EPS $(0.84) Misses $(0.65) Estimate, Sales $2.70B Beat $2.45B Estimate<blockquote>Sea 第三季度每股收益 $(0.84) 未达到预期 $(0.65)，销售额 $2.70B 超出预期 $2.45B</blockquote>

2021-11-14

👍

Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度超出预期，自由现金流增加，提高指引，但抛售创造机会</blockquote>

2021-11-11

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$gogog

2021-11-07

$MERCURIUS CAP INVESTMENT LTD(5RF.SI)$potential

2021-11-06

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$keep rolling

2021-10-30

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-10-27

$GRAND VENTURE TECHNOLOGY LTD(JLB.SI)$sad

2021-10-27

$KING WAN CORPORATION LIMITED(554.SI)$gogogo

2021-10-20

$REX INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD(5WH.SI)$lai lai

2021-10-20

$REX INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD(5WH.SI)$keep going!

2021-10-17

💪💪💪

2021-10-17

Keep goingggg

2021-10-16

Like

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2021-10-16

Its coming

2021-08-19

Gogogo

2021-05-04

$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD(E5H.SI)$perfect

2021-04-26

Reply my comment pls

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2021-04-26

Like my comment pls

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10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why EV Stocks Lucid and Rivian Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么电动汽车股票 Lucid 和Rivian今天上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111731248","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nShares of $Lucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID)$ and Rivian Automotive climbed 17% and 4%, respect","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么事</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;$<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)$&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\"><b>Rivian Automotive</b></a>&nbsp;climbed 17% and 4%, respectively, on Friday after a leading analyst highlighted the staggering growth potential of the electric vehicle (EV) market.</p><p><blockquote>美元的股份<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：LCID）$ 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\"><b>Rivian汽车</b></a>在一位领先分析师强调电动汽车 (EV) 市场惊人的增长潜力后，周五分别上涨 17% 和 4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d41ef6d78d074682b351faf77ac7a95\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"640\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives reiterated his buy rating on&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA). He now sees the EV industry leader'sstockprice surging more than 20% to $1,400, up from a prior target of $1,100.</p><p><blockquote>韦德布什分析师丹尼尔·艾夫斯重申买入评级<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）他现在预计这家电动汽车行业领导者的股价将飙升 20% 以上，达到 1,400 美元，高于之前 1,100 美元的目标。</blockquote></p><p> Ives expects booming EV sales in China to fuel Tesla's growth and that of other EV makers. He also sees President Biden's efforts to accelerate the adoption of EVs in the U.S. as part of his climate change agenda as another powerful growth driver for the industry.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯预计，中国电动汽车销售的蓬勃发展将推动特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商的增长。他还认为拜登总统为加速美国电动汽车的采用所做的努力是其气候变化议程的一部分，也是该行业的另一个强大增长动力。</blockquote></p><p> As part of those efforts, the Biden Administration seeks to build a nationwide network of EV charging stations. Ives expects this charging system to spur the growth of EV sales in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>作为这些努力的一部分，拜登政府寻求建立一个全国性的电动汽车充电站网络。艾夫斯预计该充电系统将刺激美国电动汽车销售的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, he estimates that EVs will account for 10% of global auto sales by 2025, and as much as 30% by 2030. In turn, he pegs the total addressable market for the EV \"revolution\" at a stunning $5<i>trillion</i>over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>此外，他估计到2025年，电动汽车将占全球汽车销量的10%，到2030年将高达30%。反过来，他将电动汽车“革命”的总潜在市场定为惊人的 5 美元<i>万亿</i>接下来的十年。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在呢</blockquote></p><p> Ives thinks Tesla could claim up to half of this enormous opportunity. That leaves at least $2.5 trillion for Lucid, Rivian, and other automakers.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯认为特斯拉可以获得这个巨大机会的一半。这给 Lucid、Rivian和其他汽车制造商留下了至少 2.5 万亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, these are all just estimates, but they help to highlight the sheer magnitude of the shift to electric-powered transportation. Ives' comments also served as a reminder to investors about just how large Lucid and Rivian can become if they can achieve success in this massive global market.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些都只是估计，但它们有助于突出向电动交通转变的巨大规模。艾夫斯的评论也提醒投资者，如果 Lucid 和Rivian能够在这个巨大的全球市场取得成功，它们可以变得多么庞大。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why EV Stocks Lucid and Rivian Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么电动汽车股票 Lucid 和Rivian今天上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy EV Stocks Lucid and Rivian Jumped Today<blockquote>为什么电动汽车股票 Lucid 和Rivian今天上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-20 10:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么事</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;$<b>Lucid Group</b>(NASDAQ:LCID)$&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\"><b>Rivian Automotive</b></a>&nbsp;climbed 17% and 4%, respectively, on Friday after a leading analyst highlighted the staggering growth potential of the electric vehicle (EV) market.</p><p><blockquote>美元的股份<b>Lucid集团</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：LCID）$ 和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIVN\"><b>Rivian汽车</b></a>在一位领先分析师强调电动汽车 (EV) 市场惊人的增长潜力后，周五分别上涨 17% 和 4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d41ef6d78d074682b351faf77ac7a95\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"640\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives reiterated his buy rating on&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA). He now sees the EV industry leader'sstockprice surging more than 20% to $1,400, up from a prior target of $1,100.</p><p><blockquote>韦德布什分析师丹尼尔·艾夫斯重申买入评级<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）他现在预计这家电动汽车行业领导者的股价将飙升 20% 以上，达到 1,400 美元，高于之前 1,100 美元的目标。</blockquote></p><p> Ives expects booming EV sales in China to fuel Tesla's growth and that of other EV makers. He also sees President Biden's efforts to accelerate the adoption of EVs in the U.S. as part of his climate change agenda as another powerful growth driver for the industry.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯预计，中国电动汽车销售的蓬勃发展将推动特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商的增长。他还认为拜登总统为加速美国电动汽车的采用所做的努力是其气候变化议程的一部分，也是该行业的另一个强大增长动力。</blockquote></p><p> As part of those efforts, the Biden Administration seeks to build a nationwide network of EV charging stations. Ives expects this charging system to spur the growth of EV sales in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>作为这些努力的一部分，拜登政府寻求建立一个全国性的电动汽车充电站网络。艾夫斯预计该充电系统将刺激美国电动汽车销售的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, he estimates that EVs will account for 10% of global auto sales by 2025, and as much as 30% by 2030. In turn, he pegs the total addressable market for the EV \"revolution\" at a stunning $5<i>trillion</i>over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>此外，他估计到2025年，电动汽车将占全球汽车销量的10%，到2030年将高达30%。反过来，他将电动汽车“革命”的总潜在市场定为惊人的 5 美元<i>万亿</i>接下来的十年。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在呢</blockquote></p><p> Ives thinks Tesla could claim up to half of this enormous opportunity. That leaves at least $2.5 trillion for Lucid, Rivian, and other automakers.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯认为特斯拉可以获得这个巨大机会的一半。这给 Lucid、Rivian和其他汽车制造商留下了至少 2.5 万亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, these are all just estimates, but they help to highlight the sheer magnitude of the shift to electric-powered transportation. Ives' comments also served as a reminder to investors about just how large Lucid and Rivian can become if they can achieve success in this massive global market.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些都只是估计，但它们有助于突出向电动交通转变的巨大规模。艾夫斯的评论也提醒投资者，如果 Lucid 和Rivian能够在这个巨大的全球市场取得成功，它们可以变得多么庞大。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/19/why-ev-stocks-lucid-and-rivian-jumped-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LCID":"Lucid Group Inc","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/19/why-ev-stocks-lucid-and-rivian-jumped-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111731248","content_text":"What happened\nShares of $Lucid Group(NASDAQ:LCID)$ and Rivian Automotive climbed 17% and 4%, respectively, on Friday after a leading analyst highlighted the staggering growth potential of the electric vehicle (EV) market.\nSo what\nWedbush analyst Daniel Ives reiterated his buy rating on Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA). He now sees the EV industry leader'sstockprice surging more than 20% to $1,400, up from a prior target of $1,100.\nIves expects booming EV sales in China to fuel Tesla's growth and that of other EV makers. He also sees President Biden's efforts to accelerate the adoption of EVs in the U.S. as part of his climate change agenda as another powerful growth driver for the industry.\nAs part of those efforts, the Biden Administration seeks to build a nationwide network of EV charging stations. Ives expects this charging system to spur the growth of EV sales in the U.S.\nMoreover, he estimates that EVs will account for 10% of global auto sales by 2025, and as much as 30% by 2030. In turn, he pegs the total addressable market for the EV \"revolution\" at a stunning $5trillionover the next decade.\nNow what\nIves thinks Tesla could claim up to half of this enormous opportunity. That leaves at least $2.5 trillion for Lucid, Rivian, and other automakers.\nOf course, these are all just estimates, but they help to highlight the sheer magnitude of the shift to electric-powered transportation. Ives' comments also served as a reminder to investors about just how large Lucid and Rivian can become if they can achieve success in this massive global market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LCID":0.9,"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876521132,"gmtCreate":1637333313032,"gmtModify":1637333313167,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876521132","repostId":"1167395455","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871206722,"gmtCreate":1637071514678,"gmtModify":1637071514784,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Keep going!","listText":"Keep going!","text":"Keep going!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871206722","repostId":"2183983007","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2183983007","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1637066100,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2183983007?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 20:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Q3 EPS $(0.84) Misses $(0.65) Estimate, Sales $2.70B Beat $2.45B Estimate<blockquote>Sea 第三季度每股收益 $(0.84) 未达到预期 $(0.65)，销售额 $2.70B 超出预期 $2.45B</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2183983007","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Sea (NYSE:SE) reported quarterly losses of $(0.84) per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $(0.65) by 29.23 percent. This is a 21.74 percent decrease over losses of $(0.69) per share from the same period","content":"<p><html><body>Sea (NYSE:SE) reported quarterly losses of $(0.84) per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $(0.65) by 29.23 percent. This is a 21.74 percent decrease over losses of $(0.69) per share from the same period last year.  The company reported quarterly sales of $2.70 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $2.45 billion by 10.20 percent.  This is a 122.77 percent increase over sales of $1.21 billion the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>Sea (NYSE:SE) 报告季度亏损为每股 (0.84) 美元，比分析师普遍预期的 (0.65) 低 29.23%。与去年同期每股亏损 (0.69) 美元相比，减少了 21.74%。该公司公布季度销售额为 27 亿美元，比分析师普遍预期的 24.5 亿美元高出 10.20%。这比去年同期 12.1 亿美元的销售额增长了 122.77%。</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Q3 EPS $(0.84) Misses $(0.65) Estimate, Sales $2.70B Beat $2.45B Estimate<blockquote>Sea 第三季度每股收益 $(0.84) 未达到预期 $(0.65)，销售额 $2.70B 超出预期 $2.45B</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Q3 EPS $(0.84) Misses $(0.65) Estimate, Sales $2.70B Beat $2.45B Estimate<blockquote>Sea 第三季度每股收益 $(0.84) 未达到预期 $(0.65)，销售额 $2.70B 超出预期 $2.45B</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-16 20:35</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>Sea (NYSE:SE) reported quarterly losses of $(0.84) per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $(0.65) by 29.23 percent. This is a 21.74 percent decrease over losses of $(0.69) per share from the same period last year.  The company reported quarterly sales of $2.70 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $2.45 billion by 10.20 percent.  This is a 122.77 percent increase over sales of $1.21 billion the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>Sea (NYSE:SE) 报告季度亏损为每股 (0.84) 美元，比分析师普遍预期的 (0.65) 低 29.23%。与去年同期每股亏损 (0.69) 美元相比，减少了 21.74%。该公司公布季度销售额为 27 亿美元，比分析师普遍预期的 24.5 亿美元高出 10.20%。这比去年同期 12.1 亿美元的销售额增长了 122.77%。</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/11/24117042/sea-q3-eps-0-84-misses-0-65-estimate-sales-2-70b-beat-2-45b-estimate","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2183983007","content_text":"Sea (NYSE:SE) reported quarterly losses of $(0.84) per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $(0.65) by 29.23 percent. This is a 21.74 percent decrease over losses of $(0.69) per share from the same period last year.  The company reported quarterly sales of $2.70 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $2.45 billion by 10.20 percent.  This is a 122.77 percent increase over sales of $1.21 billion the same period last year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873124224,"gmtCreate":1636892435363,"gmtModify":1636892435454,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873124224","repostId":"1129543601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129543601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636770982,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1129543601?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-13 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度超出预期，自由现金流增加，提高指引，但抛售创造机会</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129543601","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.</li>  <li>Palantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.</li>  <li>Palantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.</li>  <li>Palantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd5d395baf412802ef5e554f0efa64b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir 的收入环比增长 36%，同时产生 1.19 亿美元的自由现金流，利润率为 30%。</li><li>Palantir 第三季度商业收入增长 37%，政府收入同比增长 34%，显示出强劲的前瞻性增长趋势。</li><li>Palantir在2021年第三季度完成了54笔交易，合同价值至少为100万美元，其中33笔价值超过500万美元，18笔价值超过1000万美元。</li><li>Palantir 再次上调指引，预计收入同比增长 40%，达到 15.27 亿美元，自由现金流较之前的 3 亿美元增长 4 亿美元。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安德烈亚斯·伦茨/盖蒂图片社娱乐</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Some investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者喜欢讨厌 Palantir (PLTR)，该公司过去被戏称为黑盒公司，而另一些投资者则绝对喜欢它，因为他们相信 PLTR 的软件是未来。在我之前关于 PLTR 的文章中，我表示，根据 PLTR 目前的收入趋势，他们计划在第三季度实现 3.9941 亿美元的收入，在第四季度实现 4.2322 亿美元的收入。第三季度的共识数字是3.8656亿美元的收入，PLTR在2021年第四季度实现了3.921亿美元的收入，预计为4.18亿美元。随着 PLTR 大幅下跌，盘前市场的反应只不过是一片红海，每次试图填补缺口时，螺旋式下降的下一阶段就开始了。这个消息甚至还没有被消化，但人们决定要么获利了结，要么平仓，要么对 PLTR 失去信心。</blockquote></p><p> What wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>财报发布有什么不妥之处导致抛售一直徘徊在-9.03%的范围内？PLTR 收入同比增长 36%，第三季度新增 34 名客户，并完成 54 笔价值 100 万美元或以上的交易。PLTR 的剩余交易价值同比增长 50%，达到 36 亿美元，并交付了 1.01 亿美元的运营现金（利润率为 26%）和 1.99 亿美元的自由现金流（利润率为 30%）。PLTR 还提高了 2021 年的指引，因为他们现在预计收入同比增长 40%，而之前预测为 30%，并将自由现金流的预测从 3 亿美元上调至 4 亿美元。除了这些数字之外，PLTR 还宣布了新的产品平台和用例，这些平台和用例在未来具有推动收入和自由现金流的巨大潜力。我相信这次抛售是短暂的，我将其视为买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cfe1dd0e9b2c6a24ce3cb94bcfda56c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir 的商业和政府收入持续增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Quarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.</p><p><blockquote>自PLTR上市以来，他们的商业业务一个又一个季度地扩大。上市五个季度后，PLTR的季度商业收入增加了6200万美元，增幅达55.36%。2021 年第三季度，PLTR 的商业运营收入为 1.74 亿美元，占其季度收入 3.921 亿美元的 44.38%。过去两年，PLTR的第三季度收入增长了85.11%，2020年第三季度同比增长35.11%，2021年第三季度又同比增长37.01%。PLTR 的商业剩余交易价值同比增长 101%，从 2020 年第三季度的 11 亿美元增至 2021 年第三季度的 22 亿美元。商业客户正在邀请PLTR展示他们的软件解决方案，PLTR正在赢得他们的业务。2021 年第三季度，PLTR 净增 34 家新客户，商业客户群环比增长 20%，达到 203 家。过去一年，PLTR 的商业客户群增长了 46.04%，客户数量从 139 家增加到 203 家，增加了 64 家。任何仍然将 PLTR 归类为黑匣子的人都是不准确的，因为商业市场正在了解 PLTR 的软件平台并实施其解决方案以改善运营。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4084630f4e4be30a41c925c5a3fd0a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年Q1以来，PLTR的季度收入增加了1.631亿美元（71.23%），平均季度增长率为9.43%。2021 年第三季度，这一趋势保持不变，收入环比增长 1610 万美元，增幅为 4.28%。虽然与 2021 年第二季度的 10.26% 相比，季度收入增长环比略有放缓，但 PLTR 预计其 2021 年第四季度收入将为 4.18 亿美元。PLTR 预计将创造另一项公司纪录，并在年底实现 2590 万美元 (6.61%) 的环比增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)</p><p><blockquote>同样的增长故事也适用于他们过去12个月的总收入（TTM）。过去六个季度，PLTR 的 TTM 收入增加了 6.206 亿美元（76.55%），从 8.106 亿美元增至 14.3 亿美元。平均而言，PLTR 的 TTM 收入增长环比增长 1.0342 亿美元（9.94%）。在2020年第一季度至2020年第三季度，他们的平均环比收入增长为9403万美元，这一数字大幅增长，因为过去三个季度的环比收入都至少增长了1.05亿美元。2021 年第三季度，PLTR 的 TTM 收入增至 14.3 亿美元，环比收入增长 1.068 亿美元（8.06%）。与季度指标一样，PLTR 的 TTM 预计将环比额外增长 9590 万美元，达到 15.27 亿美元，而市场普遍预期为 15.1 亿美元。这将使 PLTR 的年收入同比增长远远超过 30% 的预测，因为到 2021 年，他们的收入将增加 4.3430 亿美元 (39.75%)</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ec6211d7ecb04785f406c7661c9124\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>我很震惊PLTR仍然处于亏损状态。PLTR 是一家高增长公司，目前 FCF 为正，并正在扩大其指标。在 2020 年前 9 个月，PLTR 产生了 2.85 亿美元的自由现金流，在 2021 年前 9 个月末，PLTR 交付了 6.05 亿美元的波动，年初至今已产生 3.2 亿美元的自由现金流。PLTR 此前将 2021 年自由现金流指引提高到 300 美元，现在又将其再次提高到 4 亿多美元。在三个月的时间里，PLTR将其自由现金流预测额外增加了33.33%。第三季度，PLTR 的自由现金流利润率为 30%，他们预计 2021 年自由现金流利润率将超过 4 亿美元。至少，这意味着他们将在 2021 年额外增加 8000 万美元的自由现金流。如果 PLTR 实现 15.27 亿美元的收入和 4 亿美元的自由现金流，其 2021 年自由现金流利润率将为 26.2%。PLTR 仍预计到 2025 年年收入同比增长 30%，基于 2021 年 1527 美元的预测，他们 2025 年收入将达到 43.6 亿美元。按照 PLTR 目前的自由现金流利润率，他们将在 2025 年产生 11.4 亿美元的自由现金流。考虑到 PLTR 目前的趋势，如果他们超出预期并同比增长 35%，那么他们 2025 年收入将达到 50.7 亿美元。按照目前的自由现金流利润率，到 2025 年，他们将产生 13.3 亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87cff0d5c5ef70ea6926a1323c77bfe4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: PLTR)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：PLTR）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> PLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR正在全力以赴。同比，他们的第三季度收入增长了 36%，他们第二次将自由现金流的指导从 3 亿美元提高到 4 亿多美元，并将年收入增长指导从 30% 提高到约 40%。PLTR 仍维持其未来同比增长 30% 的收入前景，并创造了一些令人印象深刻的利润率。PLTR 第三季度商业收入同比增长 37%，政府收入同比增长 34%。PLTR 在第三季度完成了至少 54 笔价值至少 100 万美元的交易，其中 33 笔收入至少为 500 万美元，18 笔收入至少为 1000 万美元。PLTR 的增长指标令人印象深刻，我预计他们未来将低于承诺并超额完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir 正在进入两个巨大的新领域：碳排放和加密货币</b></blockquote></p><p> In the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.</p><p><blockquote>过去，我写过关于政府、亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）和国际商业机器公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IBM）未来机会的文章。在今天的财报看涨期权上，PLTR 介绍了有关他们将为碳排放和加密提供的两种新产品的重要信息。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> There has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to&nbsp;scrub emissions out of the air&nbsp;and carbonate fuel cells&nbsp;to capture industrial emissions&nbsp;from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.</p><p><blockquote>美国在气候问题上发生了根本性的转变，拜登总统重新加入了《巴黎协定》，重新参与应对气候变化。到2050年实现整个经济净零排放计划的一部分。最近，拜登总统在苏格兰格拉斯哥举行的联合国气候峰会上承诺，将与欧盟和其他数十个国家合作，到2030年将全球甲烷排放总量减少30%。无论你对气候的立场是什么，都有许多人认为我们需要降低排放，许多国家正在努力实现一个目标。为了遵守规定，埃克森美孚（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XOM）等公司正在与外部组织一起对几项有前途的创新进行长期研究，包括用于清除空气中排放物的直接空气捕获技术和用于捕获工业排放物的碳酸盐燃料电池来自发电厂或制造设施的烟气流。碳排放管理已经是一项蓬勃发展的业务，PLTR 正在 Foundry 上创建一个模块，以显示单个窗格来查看收入、利润率、产量和所有排放，以便公司可以更有效地管理结果。就我个人而言，我相信这对于推动 PLTR 未来的收入具有巨大的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2386d938e7f452a340dbb130de508f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)&nbsp;is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR讨论的第二个巨大前景是加密铸造。看起来PLTR正在利用他们的反洗钱和了解客户的专业知识。多年来，PLTR 与多个政府合作，发现全球最大银行的合规问题，并帮助这些银行做出回应并加强其合规计划。这是完全有道理的，当你回到合同时，PLTR已经被美国国税局和美国证券交易委员会授予了（在以前的文章中讨论过）。仅在第三季度，PLTR 就与美国国税局签署了 6 份合同。如果让我猜的话，PLTR的软件会被政府方面的国税局和美国证券交易委员会使用，并被银行和加密货币交易所采用。目前，在过去24小时内，比特币基地（纳斯达克股票代码：COIN）显示比特币（BTC-USD）的交易量为438亿美元。我认为 PLTR 最终将推动其加密货币代工厂的政府和商业合同的未来收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c762e27799c80dbaa9914bb98a6a10\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：联邦采购数据库）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005d57c6c5c926b35eac100fa35c7415\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> PLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR已经成为市场误解其盈利并在消息大好时抛售消息的又一统计数据。还有人希望PLTR做什么？这是一个出色的季度，第三季度收入同比增长 36%，FCF 达到 1.19 亿美元，利润率为 30%，PLTR 完成了 54 笔交易，每笔交易价值超过 100 万美元。PLTR 超出收入预期，第二次上调全年收入指引，上调自由现金流指引。这是一个关于所有积极因素的卖出消息，这创造了一个买入机会。我将长期持有 PLTR，并计划如果抛售继续的话加仓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Seeking Alpha Marketplace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>寻求阿尔法市场</b></blockquote></p><p> I will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&amp;A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.</p><p><blockquote>我将在Seeking Alpha市场上推出一项名为Barbell Capital的订阅服务。杠铃资本将为其成员提供独家研究、模型投资组合、投资工具、问答会议、观察列表和附加功能。我还将有一个实时投资组合，专门用于通过交易、出售看跌期权和出售备兑评级来产生资本。利润将被分配到未来的资本增值投资和股息投资中，以便在我们睡觉时产生收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度超出预期，自由现金流增加，提高指引，但抛售创造机会</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Q3 Beat, Increased FCF, Raises Guidance But Sells Off Creating An Opportunity<blockquote>Palantir：第三季度超出预期，自由现金流增加，提高指引，但抛售创造机会</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-13 10:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.</li>  <li>Palantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.</li>  <li>Palantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.</li>  <li>Palantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd5d395baf412802ef5e554f0efa64b\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir 的收入环比增长 36%，同时产生 1.19 亿美元的自由现金流，利润率为 30%。</li><li>Palantir 第三季度商业收入增长 37%，政府收入同比增长 34%，显示出强劲的前瞻性增长趋势。</li><li>Palantir在2021年第三季度完成了54笔交易，合同价值至少为100万美元，其中33笔价值超过500万美元，18笔价值超过1000万美元。</li><li>Palantir 再次上调指引，预计收入同比增长 40%，达到 15.27 亿美元，自由现金流较之前的 3 亿美元增长 4 亿美元。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>安德烈亚斯·伦茨/盖蒂图片社娱乐</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Some investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者喜欢讨厌 Palantir (PLTR)，该公司过去被戏称为黑盒公司，而另一些投资者则绝对喜欢它，因为他们相信 PLTR 的软件是未来。在我之前关于 PLTR 的文章中，我表示，根据 PLTR 目前的收入趋势，他们计划在第三季度实现 3.9941 亿美元的收入，在第四季度实现 4.2322 亿美元的收入。第三季度的共识数字是3.8656亿美元的收入，PLTR在2021年第四季度实现了3.921亿美元的收入，预计为4.18亿美元。随着 PLTR 大幅下跌，盘前市场的反应只不过是一片红海，每次试图填补缺口时，螺旋式下降的下一阶段就开始了。这个消息甚至还没有被消化，但人们决定要么获利了结，要么平仓，要么对 PLTR 失去信心。</blockquote></p><p> What wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>财报发布有什么不妥之处导致抛售一直徘徊在-9.03%的范围内？PLTR 收入同比增长 36%，第三季度新增 34 名客户，并完成 54 笔价值 100 万美元或以上的交易。PLTR 的剩余交易价值同比增长 50%，达到 36 亿美元，并交付了 1.01 亿美元的运营现金（利润率为 26%）和 1.99 亿美元的自由现金流（利润率为 30%）。PLTR 还提高了 2021 年的指引，因为他们现在预计收入同比增长 40%，而之前预测为 30%，并将自由现金流的预测从 3 亿美元上调至 4 亿美元。除了这些数字之外，PLTR 还宣布了新的产品平台和用例，这些平台和用例在未来具有推动收入和自由现金流的巨大潜力。我相信这次抛售是短暂的，我将其视为买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cfe1dd0e9b2c6a24ce3cb94bcfda56c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Seeking Alpha）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir 的商业和政府收入持续增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Quarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.</p><p><blockquote>自PLTR上市以来，他们的商业业务一个又一个季度地扩大。上市五个季度后，PLTR的季度商业收入增加了6200万美元，增幅达55.36%。2021 年第三季度，PLTR 的商业运营收入为 1.74 亿美元，占其季度收入 3.921 亿美元的 44.38%。过去两年，PLTR的第三季度收入增长了85.11%，2020年第三季度同比增长35.11%，2021年第三季度又同比增长37.01%。PLTR 的商业剩余交易价值同比增长 101%，从 2020 年第三季度的 11 亿美元增至 2021 年第三季度的 22 亿美元。商业客户正在邀请PLTR展示他们的软件解决方案，PLTR正在赢得他们的业务。2021 年第三季度，PLTR 净增 34 家新客户，商业客户群环比增长 20%，达到 203 家。过去一年，PLTR 的商业客户群增长了 46.04%，客户数量从 139 家增加到 203 家，增加了 64 家。任何仍然将 PLTR 归类为黑匣子的人都是不准确的，因为商业市场正在了解 PLTR 的软件平台并实施其解决方案以改善运营。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4084630f4e4be30a41c925c5a3fd0a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"374\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年Q1以来，PLTR的季度收入增加了1.631亿美元（71.23%），平均季度增长率为9.43%。2021 年第三季度，这一趋势保持不变，收入环比增长 1610 万美元，增幅为 4.28%。虽然与 2021 年第二季度的 10.26% 相比，季度收入增长环比略有放缓，但 PLTR 预计其 2021 年第四季度收入将为 4.18 亿美元。PLTR 预计将创造另一项公司纪录，并在年底实现 2590 万美元 (6.61%) 的环比增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)</p><p><blockquote>同样的增长故事也适用于他们过去12个月的总收入（TTM）。过去六个季度，PLTR 的 TTM 收入增加了 6.206 亿美元（76.55%），从 8.106 亿美元增至 14.3 亿美元。平均而言，PLTR 的 TTM 收入增长环比增长 1.0342 亿美元（9.94%）。在2020年第一季度至2020年第三季度，他们的平均环比收入增长为9403万美元，这一数字大幅增长，因为过去三个季度的环比收入都至少增长了1.05亿美元。2021 年第三季度，PLTR 的 TTM 收入增至 14.3 亿美元，环比收入增长 1.068 亿美元（8.06%）。与季度指标一样，PLTR 的 TTM 预计将环比额外增长 9590 万美元，达到 15.27 亿美元，而市场普遍预期为 15.1 亿美元。这将使 PLTR 的年收入同比增长远远超过 30% 的预测，因为到 2021 年，他们的收入将增加 4.3430 亿美元 (39.75%)</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ec6211d7ecb04785f406c7661c9124\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>我很震惊PLTR仍然处于亏损状态。PLTR 是一家高增长公司，目前 FCF 为正，并正在扩大其指标。在 2020 年前 9 个月，PLTR 产生了 2.85 亿美元的自由现金流，在 2021 年前 9 个月末，PLTR 交付了 6.05 亿美元的波动，年初至今已产生 3.2 亿美元的自由现金流。PLTR 此前将 2021 年自由现金流指引提高到 300 美元，现在又将其再次提高到 4 亿多美元。在三个月的时间里，PLTR将其自由现金流预测额外增加了33.33%。第三季度，PLTR 的自由现金流利润率为 30%，他们预计 2021 年自由现金流利润率将超过 4 亿美元。至少，这意味着他们将在 2021 年额外增加 8000 万美元的自由现金流。如果 PLTR 实现 15.27 亿美元的收入和 4 亿美元的自由现金流，其 2021 年自由现金流利润率将为 26.2%。PLTR 仍预计到 2025 年年收入同比增长 30%，基于 2021 年 1527 美元的预测，他们 2025 年收入将达到 43.6 亿美元。按照 PLTR 目前的自由现金流利润率，他们将在 2025 年产生 11.4 亿美元的自由现金流。考虑到 PLTR 目前的趋势，如果他们超出预期并同比增长 35%，那么他们 2025 年收入将达到 50.7 亿美元。按照目前的自由现金流利润率，到 2025 年，他们将产生 13.3 亿美元的自由现金流。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87cff0d5c5ef70ea6926a1323c77bfe4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: PLTR)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：PLTR）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> PLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR正在全力以赴。同比，他们的第三季度收入增长了 36%，他们第二次将自由现金流的指导从 3 亿美元提高到 4 亿多美元，并将年收入增长指导从 30% 提高到约 40%。PLTR 仍维持其未来同比增长 30% 的收入前景，并创造了一些令人印象深刻的利润率。PLTR 第三季度商业收入同比增长 37%，政府收入同比增长 34%。PLTR 在第三季度完成了至少 54 笔价值至少 100 万美元的交易，其中 33 笔收入至少为 500 万美元，18 笔收入至少为 1000 万美元。PLTR 的增长指标令人印象深刻，我预计他们未来将低于承诺并超额完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir 正在进入两个巨大的新领域：碳排放和加密货币</b></blockquote></p><p> In the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.</p><p><blockquote>过去，我写过关于政府、亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）和国际商业机器公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IBM）未来机会的文章。在今天的财报看涨期权上，PLTR 介绍了有关他们将为碳排放和加密提供的两种新产品的重要信息。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> There has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM)&nbsp;are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to&nbsp;scrub emissions out of the air&nbsp;and carbonate fuel cells&nbsp;to capture industrial emissions&nbsp;from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.</p><p><blockquote>美国在气候问题上发生了根本性的转变，拜登总统重新加入了《巴黎协定》，重新参与应对气候变化。到2050年实现整个经济净零排放计划的一部分。最近，拜登总统在苏格兰格拉斯哥举行的联合国气候峰会上承诺，将与欧盟和其他数十个国家合作，到2030年将全球甲烷排放总量减少30%。无论你对气候的立场是什么，都有许多人认为我们需要降低排放，许多国家正在努力实现一个目标。为了遵守规定，埃克森美孚（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XOM）等公司正在与外部组织一起对几项有前途的创新进行长期研究，包括用于清除空气中排放物的直接空气捕获技术和用于捕获工业排放物的碳酸盐燃料电池来自发电厂或制造设施的烟气流。碳排放管理已经是一项蓬勃发展的业务，PLTR 正在 Foundry 上创建一个模块，以显示单个窗格来查看收入、利润率、产量和所有排放，以便公司可以更有效地管理结果。就我个人而言，我相信这对于推动 PLTR 未来的收入具有巨大的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2386d938e7f452a340dbb130de508f6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)&nbsp;is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR讨论的第二个巨大前景是加密铸造。看起来PLTR正在利用他们的反洗钱和了解客户的专业知识。多年来，PLTR 与多个政府合作，发现全球最大银行的合规问题，并帮助这些银行做出回应并加强其合规计划。这是完全有道理的，当你回到合同时，PLTR已经被美国国税局和美国证券交易委员会授予了（在以前的文章中讨论过）。仅在第三季度，PLTR 就与美国国税局签署了 6 份合同。如果让我猜的话，PLTR的软件会被政府方面的国税局和美国证券交易委员会使用，并被银行和加密货币交易所采用。目前，在过去24小时内，比特币基地（纳斯达克股票代码：COIN）显示比特币（BTC-USD）的交易量为438亿美元。我认为 PLTR 最终将推动其加密货币代工厂的政府和商业合同的未来收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53c762e27799c80dbaa9914bb98a6a10\" tg-width=\"624\" tg-height=\"234\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（资料来源：Steven Fiorillo）（数据来源：联邦采购数据库）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005d57c6c5c926b35eac100fa35c7415\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>(Source: Palantir)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>（来源：Palantir）</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> PLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.</p><p><blockquote>PLTR已经成为市场误解其盈利并在消息大好时抛售消息的又一统计数据。还有人希望PLTR做什么？这是一个出色的季度，第三季度收入同比增长 36%，FCF 达到 1.19 亿美元，利润率为 30%，PLTR 完成了 54 笔交易，每笔交易价值超过 100 万美元。PLTR 超出收入预期，第二次上调全年收入指引，上调自由现金流指引。这是一个关于所有积极因素的卖出消息，这创造了一个买入机会。我将长期持有 PLTR，并计划如果抛售继续的话加仓。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Seeking Alpha Marketplace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>寻求阿尔法市场</b></blockquote></p><p> I will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&amp;A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.</p><p><blockquote>我将在Seeking Alpha市场上推出一项名为Barbell Capital的订阅服务。杠铃资本将为其成员提供独家研究、模型投资组合、投资工具、问答会议、观察列表和附加功能。我还将有一个实时投资组合，专门用于通过交易、出售看跌期权和出售备兑评级来产生资本。利润将被分配到未来的资本增值投资和股息投资中，以便在我们睡觉时产生收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4468059-palantir-q3-beat-creating-an-opportunity","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129543601","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir delivered revenue growth QoQ of 36% while generating $119 million in FCF creating a 30% margin.\nPalantir's commercial revenue increased 37%, and government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3 showing strong forward growth trends.\nPalantir closed 54 deals in Q3 2021 with at least $1 million in contract value with 33 valued at $5+ million and 18 at $10+ million.\nPalantir increases guidance again and expects 40% revenue growth YoY at $1.527 billion and $400 million in FCF up from the previous guidance increase of $300 million.\n\nAndreas Rentz/Getty Images Entertainment\nSome investors love to hate Palantir (PLTR), which was nicknamed a black box company in the past, while others absolutely love it because they believe PLTR's software is the future. In my previous article on PLTR, I stated that based on PLTR's current revenue trend, they were setting up to deliver $399.41 million in revenue for Q3 and $423.22 million of revenue in Q4. The consensus number was $386.56 million of revenue in Q3, and PLTR delivered $392.1 million and forecasted $418 million in Q4 2021. The reaction in premarket as the earnings call was being conducted was nothing but a sea of red as PLTR sharply declined, and each time a gap tried to fill, the next leg on the downward spiral started. The news wasn't even digested, yet people decided to either take profits, exit their position or lost faith in PLTR.\nWhat wasn't there to like in the earnings release to cause the sell-off that has been hovering in the -9.03% range? PLTR delivered 36% YoY revenue growth, added 34 new customers in Q3, and closed 54 deals worth $1 million or more. PLTR increased their remaining deal value by 50% YoY to $3.6 billion and delivered $101 million in cash from operations (26% margin), and $199 million in free cash flow (30% margin). PLTR also increased guidance for 2021 as they now expect revenue growth of 40% YoY compared to their previous projection of 30% and increased their projection in FCF to $400 million from $300 million. In addition to the numbers, PLTR announced new product platforms and use cases that have tremendous potential to drive revenue and FCF in the future. I believe this sell-off will be short-lived and I am looking at it as a buying opportunity.\n(Source: Seeking Alpha)\nPalantir's revenue continues to expand on both the commercial and government side\nQuarter after Quarter since PLTR went public, their commercial business has expanded. After five quarters of going public, PLTR's quarterly commercial revenue has increased by $62 million or 55.36%. In Q3 2021, PLTR delivered $174 million in revenue from its commercial operations, which accounted for 44.38% of its $392.1 million quarterly revenue. Over the previous two years, PLTR's Q3 revenue has increased by 85.11% as it grew by 35.11% in Q3 2020 YoY and by another 37.01% YoY in Q3 of 2021. PLTR's commercial remaining deal value increased by 101% YoY from $1.1 billion in Q3 2020 to $2.2 billion in Q3 2021. Commercial customers are inviting PLTR to present their software solutions, and PLTR is winning their business. In Q3 2021, PLTR added 34 net new customers increasing their commercial customer base by 20% QoQ to 203. Over the past year, PLTR has seen its commercial customer base expand by 46.04% as it has grown by 64 clients from 139 to 203. Anyone who still classifies PLTR as a black box is not being accurate as the commercial market is learning about PLTR's software platforms and implementing their solutions to improve their operations.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nSince Q1 of 2020, PLTR has increased its quarterly revenue by $163.1 million (71.23%) at an average quarterly growth rate of 9.43% QoQ. In Q3 of 2021, this trend stayed intact as revenue increased by $16.1 million QoQ or 4.28%. While the quarterly revenue growth slowed a bit QoQ compared to 10.26% in Q2 2021, PLTR is projecting its Q4 2021 revenue will be $418 million. PLTR is expecting to deliver another company record and generate $25.9 million (6.61%) in QoQ growth to close out the year.\nThe same growth story applies to their total revenue in the trailing twelve months (TTM) as well. Over the last six quarters, PLTR's TTM revenue has increased by $620.6 million (76.55%) from $810.6 million to $1.43 billion. On average, PLTR's TTM revenue growth has increased by $103.42 million (9.94%) QoQ. In Q1 2020 - Q3 2020, their average QoQ revenue growth was $94.03 million, and this has increased substantially as the past three quarters have all increased by at least $105 million QoQ. In Q3 2021, PLTR increased its TTM revenue to $1.43 billion as it added $106.8 million (8.06%) in QoQ revenue growth. Just like the quarterly metric, PLTR's TTM is expected to grow QoQ by an additional $95.9 million to $1.527 billion compared to $1.51 billion in the consensus estimate. This would place PLTR's annual revenue growth YoY well ahead of their 30% projection as they would finish 2021 having increased its revenue by $434.30 million (39.75%)\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Palantir)\nI am shocked PLTR is still in the red. PLTR is a high-growth company that is now FCF positive and expanding its metrics. In the first nine months of 2020, PLTR generated -$285 million in FCF, and at the end of the first nine months of 2021, PLTR has delivered a $605 million swing as it has produced $320 million in FCF YTD. PLTR previously increased their 2021 FCF guidance to $300, and they just increased it again to $400+ million. In the span of three months, PLTR increased its FCF projection by an additional 33.33%. In Q3, PLTR's FCF margin was 30%, and they are projecting $400+ million in FCF for 2021. At the very minimum, this would mean they will tack on an additional $80 million in FCF for 2021. If PLTR delivers $1.527 billion in revenue and $400 million in FCF, its 2021 FCF margin would be 26.2%. PLTR is still projecting 30% annual revenue growth YoY thru 2025, which would place their 2025 revenue at $4.36 billion based on their projection of $1.527 for 2021. At PLTR's current FCF margin, they would generate $1.14 billion in FCF in 2025. Considering PLTR's current trends, if they exceeded their projections and grew at 35% YoY, it would place their 2025 revenue at $5.07 billion. At their current FCF margin, they would then generate $1.33 billion in FCF in 2025.\n(Source: PLTR)\nPLTR is firing on all cylinders. YoY, their Q3 revenue grew by 36%, they raised guidance on their FCF for a 2nd time from $300 million to $400+ million and have increased their annual revenue growth guidance from 30% to roughly 40%. PLTR is still maintaining its future revenue outlook of 30% annually YoY and is creating some impressive margins. PLTR's commercial revenue grew YoY by 37%, and their government revenue grew by 34% YoY in Q3. PLTR closed at least 54 deals worth at least $1 million during Q3, and 33 of those were at least $5 million in revenue, and 18 were at least $10 million in revenue. PLTR's growth metrics are impressive, and I am expecting them to under promise and over deliver going forward.\nPalantir is entering two new sectors that are going to be huge, carbon emissions, and crypto\nIn the past, I have written about future opportunities with the government, Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), and International Business Machines(NYSE:IBM). On today's earnings call, PLTR introduced significant information surrounding two new products they will be offering for carbon emissions and crypto.\nThere has been a fundamental shift in the USA over climate, and President Biden rejoined the Paris Agreement to reengage in tackling climate change. Part ofthe planis to reach a net-zero emission economy-wide by 2050. Recently President Biden at the United Nations climate summit in Glasgow, Scotland, pledged to work with the European Union and dozens of other nations to reduce overall methane emissions worldwide by 30% by 2030. No matter what your stance on climate is, there are many who believe we need to lower emissions, and many nations are working on a goal. To comply, companies such as Exxon Mobil(NYSE:XOM) are conducting longer-term research on several promising innovations with outside organizations, including direct air capture technology to scrub emissions out of the air and carbonate fuel cells to capture industrial emissions from flue gas streams of power plants or manufacturing facilities. Carbon emissions management is already a booming business, and PLTR is creating a module on Foundry to present a single pane to view revenue, margin, production, and all emissions so companies can manage outcomes more efficiently. Personally, I believe this has enormous potential to drive revenue for PLTR in the future.\n(Source: Palantir)\nThe second huge prospect that PLTR discussed was Foundry for crypto. It looks like PLTR is leveraging their anti-money laundering and know-your-customer expertise. PLTR has worked with several governments over the years to find compliance issues with the world's largest banks and help those banks respond and strengthen their compliance programs. This makes complete sense, and when you go back to the contracts, PLTR has been awarded from the IRS and SEC (discussed in previous articles). In Q3 alone, PLTR inked 6 contracts with the IRS. If I had to guess, PLTR's software would be utilized by the IRS and the SEC on the government side and adopted on the commercial side by banks and crypto exchanges. Currently, in the past 24 hours,Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN) is showing that Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has incurred a trading volume of $43.8 billion. I think PLTR will end up driving future revenue from both government and commercial contracts from its Foundry for Crypto.\n(Source: Steven Fiorillo) (Data Source: Federal Procurement Database)\n(Source: Palantir)\nConclusion\nPLTR has become another statistic of the market misunderstanding its earnings and selling the news when the news was great. What more does anyone want PLTR to do? This was an excellent quarter with revenue increasing 36% YoY in Q3, FCF came in at $119 million with a 30% margin, and PLTR closed 54 deals worth more than $1 million each. PLTR beats revenue estimates, increases guidance for its full-year revenue than for the 2nd time, increases its FCF guidance. This was a sell the news on all positive factors, which is creating a buying opportunity. I am staying long on PLTR and plan to add to my position if the sell-off continues.\nSeeking Alpha Marketplace\nI will be launching a subscription service called Barbell Capital on the Seeking Alpha Marketplace. Barbell Capital will provide exclusive research, model portfolios, investment tools, Q&A sessions, watchlists, and additional features for its members. I will also have a live portfolio dedicated to generating capital from trading, selling puts and selling covered calls. The profits will be allocated to future capital appreciating investments and investing in dividend investments to generate income while we sleep.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870429072,"gmtCreate":1636642921801,"gmtModify":1636642921941,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>gogog","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>gogog","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$gogog","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ed70382b959ba59c827b98ff05a8ae","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870429072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842413816,"gmtCreate":1636214777675,"gmtModify":1636214777802,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RF.SI\">$MERCURIUS CAP INVESTMENT LTD(5RF.SI)$</a>potential&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RF.SI\">$MERCURIUS CAP INVESTMENT LTD(5RF.SI)$</a>potential&nbsp;","text":"$MERCURIUS CAP INVESTMENT LTD(5RF.SI)$potential","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5bf0e85a320de940d22bb7f8eacc29c","width":"1080","height":"2876"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842413816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842390685,"gmtCreate":1636130022883,"gmtModify":1636130023026,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>keep rolling","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>keep rolling","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$keep rolling","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c3b86e429d58108eb0b1a6b9831ac4c","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842390685","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4176,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840915955,"gmtCreate":1635574548513,"gmtModify":1635574548513,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840915955","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? 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goingggg","listText":"Keep goingggg","text":"Keep goingggg","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55f7f2c791db01a7d6a0abe9e66f129b","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827374737","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824285150,"gmtCreate":1634315853069,"gmtModify":1634315853200,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824285150","repostId":"2175485551","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1027,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824286708,"gmtCreate":1634315733199,"gmtModify":1634315737687,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Its coming&nbsp;","listText":"Its coming&nbsp;","text":"Its coming","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca8add9b9920f83021d887c740861b92","width":"1080","height":"2172"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824286708","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":831876847,"gmtCreate":1629304825289,"gmtModify":1633685811002,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gogogo","listText":"Gogogo","text":"Gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17c701b1da6032193d10429415f372fa","width":"1080","height":"2172"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831876847","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":708,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106477280,"gmtCreate":1620142379640,"gmtModify":1631888827199,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/E5H.SI\">$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD(E5H.SI)$</a>perfect&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/E5H.SI\">$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD(E5H.SI)$</a>perfect&nbsp;","text":"$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES 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pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375547323","repostId":"2129636842","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375547977,"gmtCreate":1619371292799,"gmtModify":1634273979547,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like my comment pls","listText":"Like my comment pls","text":"Like my comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375547977","repostId":"1188060568","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":943,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":370520201,"gmtCreate":1618612985503,"gmtModify":1634291823722,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Reply my comment pls","listText":"Reply my comment pls","text":"Reply my comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370520201","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175692875?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天不是四倍（甚至三倍）魔法日，但今天有很多每周期权将到期，其中五个将毫无价值，而其他期权将为基础价格提供支撑“大头针”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，但高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4 月份每日期权交易量较 3 月 30 日年初以来 24 亿美元的低点增长了 70%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总共有 5,440 亿美元的单只股票期权将于今天到期，其中包括 3,050 亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期日对于持有大量现值（ATM）期权未平仓合约的股票来说可能非常重要，因为做市商将积极对冲其异常庞大的期权投资组合。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动性，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的 Vishal Vivek 所写，在重大到期日，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约将到期。</b>在平价行权（行权价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中有大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，三角洲对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对冲其头寸的期权交易者是净多头 ATM 期权，则与到期相关的流动可能会产生抑制股价变动的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约结算在罢工点附近。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大投资者来说，这是一种理想的情况。或者，如果delta-hedgers是净空头ATM期权（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致拥有大量 ATM 未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助希望抓住日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，确定了今天到期的大量 ATM 未平仓合约的可能重点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约在股票成交量中占很大比例，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在 SpotGamma 的朋友们写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的、近乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙像这样 “突破 ”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，比如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，并将在一篇较长的文章中发布”。</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动性现在已经被压缩（即VIX在新低），现在有更大的潜力出现“长期”波动性。回想一下，最近市场的任何急剧、剧烈下跌是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些突破下跌与创纪录的 VIX 峰值同时发生，但反思性的snap回购将带来与 VIX（即隐含波动率）逆转同等强度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma 的另一个奇怪观察结果：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动性非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或触及支撑位，隐含的波动性就会迅速回落。<b>我们经常想到这个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确!）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含的波动性就会下降。</b>因此，正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购推动反弹的空头对冲。SG 的结论： 目前较低的隐含波动率水平为市场提供了更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始，“减缓”了这种反应灵敏的 “snap回调 ”买入机制。此外，当 IV 较低时，伽马值较高，因此伽马翻转可能会有更多的作用。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天不是四倍（甚至三倍）魔法日，但今天有很多每周期权将到期，其中五个将毫无价值，而其他期权将为基础价格提供支撑“大头针”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，但高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4 月份每日期权交易量较 3 月 30 日年初以来 24 亿美元的低点增长了 70%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总共有 5,440 亿美元的单只股票期权将于今天到期，其中包括 3,050 亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期日对于持有大量现值（ATM）期权未平仓合约的股票来说可能非常重要，因为做市商将积极对冲其异常庞大的期权投资组合。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动性，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的 Vishal Vivek 所写，在重大到期日，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约将到期。</b>在平价行权（行权价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中有大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，三角洲对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对冲其头寸的期权交易者是净多头 ATM 期权，则与到期相关的流动可能会产生抑制股价变动的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约结算在罢工点附近。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大投资者来说，这是一种理想的情况。或者，如果delta-hedgers是净空头ATM期权（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致拥有大量 ATM 未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助希望抓住日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，确定了今天到期的大量 ATM 未平仓合约的可能重点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约在股票成交量中占很大比例，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在 SpotGamma 的朋友们写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的、近乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙像这样 “突破 ”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，比如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，并将在一篇较长的文章中发布”。</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动性现在已经被压缩（即VIX在新低），现在有更大的潜力出现“长期”波动性。回想一下，最近市场的任何急剧、剧烈下跌是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些突破下跌与创纪录的 VIX 峰值同时发生，但反思性的snap回购将带来与 VIX（即隐含波动率）逆转同等强度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma 的另一个奇怪观察结果：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动性非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或触及支撑位，隐含的波动性就会迅速回落。<b>我们经常想到这个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确!）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含的波动性就会下降。</b>因此，正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购推动反弹的空头对冲。SG 的结论： 目前较低的隐含波动率水平为市场提供了更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始，“减缓”了这种反应灵敏的 “snap回调 ”买入机制。此外，当 IV 较低时，伽马值较高，因此伽马翻转可能会有更多的作用。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX  (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.  Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.  Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373696107,"gmtCreate":1618841565609,"gmtModify":1631890972128,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QES.SI\">$China Sunsine Chemical Holdings Ltd.(QES.SI)$</a>good start","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QES.SI\">$China Sunsine Chemical Holdings Ltd.(QES.SI)$</a>good start","text":"$China Sunsine Chemical Holdings Ltd.(QES.SI)$good start","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d9fdea172c4c4b28aaf682e67d6c2fc","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373696107","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1180,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343550419,"gmtCreate":1617728278531,"gmtModify":1634296859334,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Return my comment pls","listText":"Return my comment pls","text":"Return my comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343550419","repostId":"1101907559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101907559","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617672655,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1101907559?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-06 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每 10 年就会引发一次——Archegos 可能是对的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101907559","media":"marketwatch","summary":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能确定所谓家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机永远不会完全相同。20 世纪 80 年代末，全国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终纳税人获得了约 2650 亿美元的救助（按 2021 年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄罗斯的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运作方式如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦-格林斯潘（Alan Greenspan）说，当 LTCM 失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何能与他感受到的恐怖相提并论的东西”。LTCM 被认为 “大到不能倒”，他策划了 14 家美国主要金融机构的救助计划。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构过度使用杠杆，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行又一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人出手相救。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆炸，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于门外汉来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思： 咨询公司安永估计，全球约有 10,000 家家族理财室，但市场研究公司坎普登研究公司（Campden Research）的另一项估计显示，管理规模接近 6 万亿美元。鉴于 2019 年的数据，这 6 万亿美元现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的资金管理人</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这就是潜在的危险。家族理财室一般不受监管。1940 年的《投资顾问法》规定，拥有 15 家或以下客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元在起作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，投资了什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大力押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司（Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS），-1.19%，美国上市中国辅导公司跟谁学公司（GSX），-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司ViacomCBS Inc.VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。股价最近暴跌，引发了 Archegos 的大规模出售——约 300 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道 Archegos 与华尔街的一些大公司合作，包括瑞士信贷集团 AGCS（+1.59%）、瑞银集团 AGUBS（+1.01%）、高盛集团 GS（-1.25%）、摩根士丹利 MS（-0.28%）、德意志银行 AGDB，+0.74% 和野村控股公司 NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但是，由于家族理财室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说出这里到底涉及多少钱，市场风险有多大？我的同事马克-德坎布雷（Mark DeCambre）上周报道称，Archegos 的真实不良交易风险实际上可能接近 1000 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的来源。随着 Archegos 的赌注走向南方，上述银行--考虑到自己的损失--用保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行很快抛售了约 40 亿美元的持股，而据说高盛和摩根士丹利也已解除头寸，这或许限制了它们的下行空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎并非如此。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会已对 Archegos 及其创始人 Bill Hwang 展开初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>一位同行，Fundstrat Global Advisors 的研究主管 Tom Lee，将评级-黄（John Hwang）列为他所知道的 “十大最佳投资头脑 ”之一。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012 年，黄的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司（Tiger Asia Management）被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易，认罪并支付了 6000 多万美元的罚款。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄代表客户管理资金——实质上将他逐出了对冲基金行业。于是 Hwang 开了 Archegos，再说一遍，家族办公室一般都不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）的关注。她上周表示，需要对金融业的这些私人角落进行更严格的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新启动了一个特别工作组，以帮助各机构更好地 “共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯的话来说，家族理财室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在很大程度上被允许在比以往任何时候都更加错综复杂的全球金融体系的阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪拥有，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的崩溃可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但是，谁能说成千上万的其他家族理财室如何处理他们的数万亿美元，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每 10 年就会引发一次——Archegos 可能是对的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每 10 年就会引发一次——Archegos 可能是对的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-06 09:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能确定所谓家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机永远不会完全相同。20 世纪 80 年代末，全国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终纳税人获得了约 2650 亿美元的救助（按 2021 年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄罗斯的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运作方式如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦-格林斯潘（Alan Greenspan）说，当 LTCM 失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何能与他感受到的恐怖相提并论的东西”。LTCM 被认为 “大到不能倒”，他策划了 14 家美国主要金融机构的救助计划。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构过度使用杠杆，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行又一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人出手相救。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆炸，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于门外汉来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思： 咨询公司安永估计，全球约有 10,000 家家族理财室，但市场研究公司坎普登研究公司（Campden Research）的另一项估计显示，管理规模接近 6 万亿美元。鉴于 2019 年的数据，这 6 万亿美元现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的资金管理人</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这就是潜在的危险。家族理财室一般不受监管。1940 年的《投资顾问法》规定，拥有 15 家或以下客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元在起作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，投资了什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大力押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司（Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS），-1.19%，美国上市中国辅导公司跟谁学公司（GSX），-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司ViacomCBS Inc.VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。股价最近暴跌，引发了 Archegos 的大规模出售——约 300 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道 Archegos 与华尔街的一些大公司合作，包括瑞士信贷集团 AGCS（+1.59%）、瑞银集团 AGUBS（+1.01%）、高盛集团 GS（-1.25%）、摩根士丹利 MS（-0.28%）、德意志银行 AGDB，+0.74% 和野村控股公司 NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但是，由于家族理财室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说出这里到底涉及多少钱，市场风险有多大？我的同事马克-德坎布雷（Mark DeCambre）上周报道称，Archegos 的真实不良交易风险实际上可能接近 1000 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的来源。随着 Archegos 的赌注走向南方，上述银行--考虑到自己的损失--用保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行很快抛售了约 40 亿美元的持股，而据说高盛和摩根士丹利也已解除头寸，这或许限制了它们的下行空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎并非如此。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会已对 Archegos 及其创始人 Bill Hwang 展开初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>一位同行，Fundstrat Global Advisors 的研究主管 Tom Lee，将评级-黄（John Hwang）列为他所知道的 “十大最佳投资头脑 ”之一。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012 年，黄的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司（Tiger Asia Management）被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易，认罪并支付了 6000 多万美元的罚款。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄代表客户管理资金——实质上将他逐出了对冲基金行业。于是 Hwang 开了 Archegos，再说一遍，家族办公室一般都不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）的关注。她上周表示，需要对金融业的这些私人角落进行更严格的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新启动了一个特别工作组，以帮助各机构更好地 “共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯的话来说，家族理财室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在很大程度上被允许在比以往任何时候都更加错综复杂的全球金融体系的阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪拥有，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的崩溃可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但是，谁能说成千上万的其他家族理财室如何处理他们的数万亿美元，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376628789,"gmtCreate":1619112696141,"gmtModify":1634288455436,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like my comment pls","listText":"Like my comment pls","text":"Like my comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376628789","repostId":"1147263213","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147263213","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619075516,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1147263213?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-22 15:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel Reports Earnings Thursday. Here’s What to Know.<blockquote>英特尔周四公布财报。以下是需要了解的信息。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147263213","media":"Barrons","summary":"Weeks after Intel installed chief executive Pat Gelsinger and its rollout of a $20 billion plan to expand its manufacturing operations, the company is set to report its earnings.As part of the plan, Intel said it would once again license its x86 chip designs to other companies, and create a foundry services unit that would produce chips for third parties interested in paying Intel to fabricate semiconductors.Intel didn’t issue precise new financial guidance for the first quarter, but said it exp","content":"<p>Weeks after Intel installed chief executive Pat Gelsinger and its rollout of a $20 billion plan to expand its manufacturing operations, the company is set to report its earnings.</p><p><blockquote>在英特尔任命首席执行官帕特·基辛格 (Pat Gelsinger) 并推出 200 亿美元扩大制造业务的计划几周后，该公司将公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Investors already have a solid idea of what the report, due after the close of trading on Thursday, will bring. When Gelsinger unveiled the company’s plans for the future in late March,Intel (ticker: INTC) said it expected full-year earnings of $4 a share from revenue of $76.5 billion. Including various adjustments, such as those related to Intel’s sale of its flash-memory business in 2020, EPS is likely to be $4.55, while revenue is expected to be $72 billion, the company said.</p><p><blockquote>投资者已经对周四收盘后发布的报告将带来什么有了可靠的了解。当基辛格在 3 月底公布公司未来计划时，英特尔（股票代码：INTC）表示，预计全年每股收益为 4 美元，营收为 765 亿美元。该公司表示，包括各种调整，如与英特尔在 2020 年出售闪存业务相关的调整，每股收益可能为 4.55 美元，而收入预计为 720 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> As part of the plan, Intel said it would once again license its x86 chip designs to other companies, and create a foundry services unit that would produce chips for third parties interested in paying Intel to fabricate semiconductors.</p><p><blockquote>作为该计划的一部分，英特尔表示将再次将其x86芯片设计授权给其他公司，并创建一个代工服务部门，为有兴趣向英特尔支付半导体制造费用的第三方生产芯片。</blockquote></p><p> Intel didn’t issue precise new financial guidance for the first quarter, but said it expected results better than its prior forecast. Previously, Intel said it expected adjusted first-quarter earnings of $1.10 a share and revenue of $17.5 billion. The consensus forecast is for adjusted earnings of $1.15 a share from revenue of $17.74 billion.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔没有发布第一季度精确的新财务指引，但表示预计业绩将好于之前的预测。此前，英特尔表示，预计调整后第一季度每股收益为1.10美元，营收为175亿美元。普遍预测调整后每股收益为 1.15 美元，营收为 177.4 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Susquehanna Financial Group analyst Christopher Rolland,who called the company’s full-year guidance “underwhelming,” said he is expecting investors to focus on Gelsinger’s long-term plans for the company, and to look for more details about Intel’s next generation chip-making technology. According to the analyst’s data sources, notebook sales were strong in the first quarter, but it is less clear what’s coming through the rest of the year.</p><p><blockquote>萨斯奎哈纳金融集团（Susquehanna Financial Group）分析师克里斯托弗-罗兰（Christopher Rolland）称该公司的全年业绩指引 “平淡无奇”，他说，他希望投资者关注基辛格对公司的长期计划，并寻找有关英特尔下一代芯片制造技术的更多细节。根据分析师的数据来源，第一季度笔记本电脑销量强劲，但今年剩余时间的情况尚不清楚。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts predict that Intel’s client computing segment, which includes notebook sales, will report first-quarter revenue of $10.02 billion. That is the company’s largest segment, followed by the data center operation, which is expected to report revenue of $5.84 billion.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预测，包括笔记本电脑销售在内的英特尔客户端计算部门第一季度营收将达到 100.2 亿美元。这是该公司最大的部门，其次是数据中心业务，预计收入将达到 58.4 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Despite Intel’s decision to double down on its manufacturing capabilities, BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava wrote in a client note Monday that he isn’t expecting executives to offer details about its goals, and their effect on Intel’s financial performance.</p><p><blockquote>尽管英特尔决定加倍提高制造能力，但蒙特尔银行资本市场分析师安布里什-斯里瓦斯塔瓦（Ambrish Srivastava）周一在一份客户报告中写道，他预计高管们不会提供有关其目标及其对英特尔财务业绩影响的细节。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Srivastava said, investors should watch closely for commentary about the impact to the company’s capital spending, profit, and free cash flow, among other things.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，斯里瓦斯塔瓦表示，投资者仍应密切关注有关对公司资本支出、利润和自由现金流等影响的评论。</blockquote></p><p> Intel’s report arrives amid a global shortage of semiconductors that is hurting production of goods ranging from appliances to cars and videogame consoles. Gelsinger has previously told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i> that he expects the chip shortage to last two years.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔发布这份报告之际，全球半导体短缺正在损害从家电到汽车和视频游戏机等各种商品的生产。基辛格此前曾表示<i>巴伦</i>他预计芯片短缺将持续两年。</blockquote></p><p> Of the analysts that cover Intel, 43% rate shares at Buy, 34% have Hold ratings, and 23% rate the stock at Sell. The average target for the stock price is $68.71, which implies a return of 8.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在研究英特尔的分析师中，43% 的分析师给予该股买入评级，34% 的分析师给予持有评级，23% 的分析师给予该股卖出评级。股价平均目标为68.71美元，这意味着回报率为8.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Intel stock advanced 1.6% to $63.70 in Wednesday trading. Shares in the chip maker have gained 12% in the past year, while the PHLX Semiconductor index, or Sox, has doubled.</p><p><blockquote>周三交易中，英特尔股价上涨 1.6%，至 63.70 美元。这家芯片制造商的股价在过去一年上涨了 12%，而 PHLX 半导体指数 (Sox) 则翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Rolland pointed out that since Intel’s most recent quarterly report, its stock has gained 14%, while the Sox rose 5.8%. The analyst said that outperformance may indicate that expectations for the earnings are high, a potential negative for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>罗兰指出，自英特尔最新季度报告发布以来，其股价上涨了 14%，而 Sox 上涨了 5.8%。该分析师表示，跑赢大盘可能表明人们对盈利的预期很高，这对该股来说可能是不利的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel Reports Earnings Thursday. Here’s What to Know.<blockquote>英特尔周四公布财报。以下是需要了解的信息。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel Reports Earnings Thursday. Here’s What to Know.<blockquote>英特尔周四公布财报。以下是需要了解的信息。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-22 15:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Weeks after Intel installed chief executive Pat Gelsinger and its rollout of a $20 billion plan to expand its manufacturing operations, the company is set to report its earnings.</p><p><blockquote>在英特尔任命首席执行官帕特·基辛格 (Pat Gelsinger) 并推出 200 亿美元扩大制造业务的计划几周后，该公司将公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Investors already have a solid idea of what the report, due after the close of trading on Thursday, will bring. When Gelsinger unveiled the company’s plans for the future in late March,Intel (ticker: INTC) said it expected full-year earnings of $4 a share from revenue of $76.5 billion. Including various adjustments, such as those related to Intel’s sale of its flash-memory business in 2020, EPS is likely to be $4.55, while revenue is expected to be $72 billion, the company said.</p><p><blockquote>投资者已经对周四收盘后发布的报告将带来什么有了可靠的了解。当基辛格在 3 月底公布公司未来计划时，英特尔（股票代码：INTC）表示，预计全年每股收益为 4 美元，营收为 765 亿美元。该公司表示，包括各种调整，如与英特尔在 2020 年出售闪存业务相关的调整，每股收益可能为 4.55 美元，而收入预计为 720 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> As part of the plan, Intel said it would once again license its x86 chip designs to other companies, and create a foundry services unit that would produce chips for third parties interested in paying Intel to fabricate semiconductors.</p><p><blockquote>作为该计划的一部分，英特尔表示将再次将其x86芯片设计授权给其他公司，并创建一个代工服务部门，为有兴趣向英特尔支付半导体制造费用的第三方生产芯片。</blockquote></p><p> Intel didn’t issue precise new financial guidance for the first quarter, but said it expected results better than its prior forecast. Previously, Intel said it expected adjusted first-quarter earnings of $1.10 a share and revenue of $17.5 billion. The consensus forecast is for adjusted earnings of $1.15 a share from revenue of $17.74 billion.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔没有发布第一季度精确的新财务指引，但表示预计业绩将好于之前的预测。此前，英特尔表示，预计调整后第一季度每股收益为1.10美元，营收为175亿美元。普遍预测调整后每股收益为 1.15 美元，营收为 177.4 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Susquehanna Financial Group analyst Christopher Rolland,who called the company’s full-year guidance “underwhelming,” said he is expecting investors to focus on Gelsinger’s long-term plans for the company, and to look for more details about Intel’s next generation chip-making technology. According to the analyst’s data sources, notebook sales were strong in the first quarter, but it is less clear what’s coming through the rest of the year.</p><p><blockquote>萨斯奎哈纳金融集团（Susquehanna Financial Group）分析师克里斯托弗-罗兰（Christopher Rolland）称该公司的全年业绩指引 “平淡无奇”，他说，他希望投资者关注基辛格对公司的长期计划，并寻找有关英特尔下一代芯片制造技术的更多细节。根据分析师的数据来源，第一季度笔记本电脑销量强劲，但今年剩余时间的情况尚不清楚。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts predict that Intel’s client computing segment, which includes notebook sales, will report first-quarter revenue of $10.02 billion. That is the company’s largest segment, followed by the data center operation, which is expected to report revenue of $5.84 billion.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预测，包括笔记本电脑销售在内的英特尔客户端计算部门第一季度营收将达到 100.2 亿美元。这是该公司最大的部门，其次是数据中心业务，预计收入将达到 58.4 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Despite Intel’s decision to double down on its manufacturing capabilities, BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava wrote in a client note Monday that he isn’t expecting executives to offer details about its goals, and their effect on Intel’s financial performance.</p><p><blockquote>尽管英特尔决定加倍提高制造能力，但蒙特尔银行资本市场分析师安布里什-斯里瓦斯塔瓦（Ambrish Srivastava）周一在一份客户报告中写道，他预计高管们不会提供有关其目标及其对英特尔财务业绩影响的细节。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Srivastava said, investors should watch closely for commentary about the impact to the company’s capital spending, profit, and free cash flow, among other things.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，斯里瓦斯塔瓦表示，投资者仍应密切关注有关对公司资本支出、利润和自由现金流等影响的评论。</blockquote></p><p> Intel’s report arrives amid a global shortage of semiconductors that is hurting production of goods ranging from appliances to cars and videogame consoles. Gelsinger has previously told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i> that he expects the chip shortage to last two years.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔发布这份报告之际，全球半导体短缺正在损害从家电到汽车和视频游戏机等各种商品的生产。基辛格此前曾表示<i>巴伦</i>他预计芯片短缺将持续两年。</blockquote></p><p> Of the analysts that cover Intel, 43% rate shares at Buy, 34% have Hold ratings, and 23% rate the stock at Sell. The average target for the stock price is $68.71, which implies a return of 8.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在研究英特尔的分析师中，43% 的分析师给予该股买入评级，34% 的分析师给予持有评级，23% 的分析师给予该股卖出评级。股价平均目标为68.71美元，这意味着回报率为8.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Intel stock advanced 1.6% to $63.70 in Wednesday trading. Shares in the chip maker have gained 12% in the past year, while the PHLX Semiconductor index, or Sox, has doubled.</p><p><blockquote>周三交易中，英特尔股价上涨 1.6%，至 63.70 美元。这家芯片制造商的股价在过去一年上涨了 12%，而 PHLX 半导体指数 (Sox) 则翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Rolland pointed out that since Intel’s most recent quarterly report, its stock has gained 14%, while the Sox rose 5.8%. The analyst said that outperformance may indicate that expectations for the earnings are high, a potential negative for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>罗兰指出，自英特尔最新季度报告发布以来，其股价上涨了 14%，而 Sox 上涨了 5.8%。该分析师表示，跑赢大盘可能表明人们对盈利的预期很高，这对该股来说可能是不利的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/intel-reports-earnings-thursday-heres-what-to-know-51619037330?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/intel-reports-earnings-thursday-heres-what-to-know-51619037330?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147263213","content_text":"Weeks after Intel installed chief executive Pat Gelsinger and its rollout of a $20 billion plan to expand its manufacturing operations, the company is set to report its earnings.\nInvestors already have a solid idea of what the report, due after the close of trading on Thursday, will bring. When Gelsinger unveiled the company’s plans for the future in late March,Intel (ticker: INTC) said it expected full-year earnings of $4 a share from revenue of $76.5 billion. Including various adjustments, such as those related to Intel’s sale of its flash-memory business in 2020, EPS is likely to be $4.55, while revenue is expected to be $72 billion, the company said.\nAs part of the plan, Intel said it would once again license its x86 chip designs to other companies, and create a foundry services unit that would produce chips for third parties interested in paying Intel to fabricate semiconductors.\nIntel didn’t issue precise new financial guidance for the first quarter, but said it expected results better than its prior forecast. Previously, Intel said it expected adjusted first-quarter earnings of $1.10 a share and revenue of $17.5 billion. The consensus forecast is for adjusted earnings of $1.15 a share from revenue of $17.74 billion.\nSusquehanna Financial Group analyst Christopher Rolland,who called the company’s full-year guidance “underwhelming,” said he is expecting investors to focus on Gelsinger’s long-term plans for the company, and to look for more details about Intel’s next generation chip-making technology. According to the analyst’s data sources, notebook sales were strong in the first quarter, but it is less clear what’s coming through the rest of the year.\nAnalysts predict that Intel’s client computing segment, which includes notebook sales, will report first-quarter revenue of $10.02 billion. That is the company’s largest segment, followed by the data center operation, which is expected to report revenue of $5.84 billion.\nDespite Intel’s decision to double down on its manufacturing capabilities, BMO Capital Markets analyst Ambrish Srivastava wrote in a client note Monday that he isn’t expecting executives to offer details about its goals, and their effect on Intel’s financial performance.\nStill, Srivastava said, investors should watch closely for commentary about the impact to the company’s capital spending, profit, and free cash flow, among other things.\nIntel’s report arrives amid a global shortage of semiconductors that is hurting production of goods ranging from appliances to cars and videogame consoles. Gelsinger has previously told Barron’s that he expects the chip shortage to last two years.\nOf the analysts that cover Intel, 43% rate shares at Buy, 34% have Hold ratings, and 23% rate the stock at Sell. The average target for the stock price is $68.71, which implies a return of 8.6%.\nIntel stock advanced 1.6% to $63.70 in Wednesday trading. Shares in the chip maker have gained 12% in the past year, while the PHLX Semiconductor index, or Sox, has doubled.\nRolland pointed out that since Intel’s most recent quarterly report, its stock has gained 14%, while the Sox rose 5.8%. The analyst said that outperformance may indicate that expectations for the earnings are high, a potential negative for the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1036,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106477280,"gmtCreate":1620142379640,"gmtModify":1631888827199,"author":{"id":"3574502938424871","authorId":"3574502938424871","name":"Nkj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6543c1c82d5e3b4cf249b012d52e8aa","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574502938424871","idStr":"3574502938424871"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/E5H.SI\">$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD(E5H.SI)$</a>perfect&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/E5H.SI\">$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES LTD(E5H.SI)$</a>perfect&nbsp;","text":"$GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES 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