FanOfJPow的个人主页 - 老虎社区

FanOfJPow

FanOfJPow

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17粉丝

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0勋章

2021-11-05

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$Disgusting

2021-12-27

Santa rally

Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>

2021-12-19

$XIAOMI-W(01810)$cccc

2021-12-17

$Ford(F)$sshare

2021-11-17

$CRSR 20211119 22.5 PUT(CRSR)$Game won

2021-11-16

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$position started

2021-11-07

$SINGTEL(Z74.SI)$shar

2021-11-04

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ggis

2021-10-21

$TIGR 20211119 10.0 PUT(TIGR)$ risky for sure...

2021-10-12

$Atossa Genetics(ATOS)$share

2021-09-22

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$hhere to get coins. Don't mind me

2021-09-16

$CRSR 20211015 27.5 PUT(CRSR)$jumbo

2021-09-16

$TENCENT(00700)$check

2021-09-16

$Gaotu Techedu Inc.(GOTU)$share [开心]

2021-09-15

$Alibaba(BABA)$lets wait awhile more

2021-09-14

$Quantumscape Corp.(QS)$hate this nonsense

2021-09-14

Heyyyyyyyy $APPYEA, Inc.(APYP)$

2021-09-10

$Nokia Oyj(NOK)$ssharing is caring

2021-09-01

$Corsair Gaming, Inc.(CRSR)$I hope it's the start

2021-08-27

Hmmmm

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rally","text":"Santa rally","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696913522","repostId":"2194177239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2194177239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640559609,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2194177239?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4541":"氢能源","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","BK4096":"电气部件与设备","FCEL":"燃料电池能源"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. 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community&nbsp;","listText":"Just wanted to make a post on the community&nbsp;","text":"Just wanted to make a post on the community","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348756187","repostId":"1168300924","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168300924","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617955250,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1168300924?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-09 16:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Next Week’s IPO Lineup Is Growing. 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As many as four more companies are making their stock-market debuts, bringing the total to at least six.</p><p><blockquote>4月的第二周将成为IPO市场相对强劲的时期。又有多达四家公司在股市首次亮相，使总数至少达到六家。</blockquote></p><p>Coinbase, the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange,is slated to open for trading on Wednesday, April 14. Applovin and TuSimple are listing the next day, three people familiar with the situation said. Agilon Health ismaking its debut that Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase定于4月14日星期三开业交易。三位知情人士表示，Applovin和图森未来将于第二天上市。Agilon Health将于周四首次亮相。</blockquote></p><p>And Alkami Technology,a bank software company, and Karat Packaging, whichmakes environmentally-friendly disposable food service products, are also reportedly going public.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，银行软件公司Alkami Technology和生产环保一次性食品服务产品的Karat Packaging也将上市。</blockquote></p><p>This week, by way of contrast, two companies, Reneo Pharmaceuticals and VectivBio Holding, are listing. Both are small biotech companies that areslated to begin trading on the Nasdaq on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，本周有两家公司Reneo Pharmaceuticals和VectivBio Holding上市。这两家公司都是小型生物技术公司，预计将于周五在纳斯达克开始交易。</blockquote></p><p>Applovin on Wednesday set terms for its initial public offering. It is offering 25 million shares at $75 to $85 each, which means it could raise as much as $2.13 billion if the stock sells at the high end of that range. The company plans to trade on the Nasdaq under the symbol APP.</p><p><blockquote>Applovin周三设定了首次公开募股的条款。该公司将以每股75至85美元的价格发行2500万股股票，这意味着如果该股票以该区间的高端出售，它可以筹集高达21.3亿美元的资金。该公司计划在纳斯达克以APP为代码进行交易。</blockquote></p><p>Eighteen underwriters are listed in the Applovin prospectus, includingMorgan Stanley(ticker: MS),JPMorgan Chase(JPM),KKR,&nbsp;Bank of America‘s (BAC) BofA Securities, andCitigroup(C).</p><p><blockquote>Applovin招股说明书中列出了18家承销商，包括摩根士丹利（股票代码：MS）、摩根大通(JPM)、KKR、美国银行(BAC)美银证券和花旗集团(C)。</blockquote></p><p>Founded in 2012, Applovin&nbsp;provides software&nbsp;used by mobile-game developers to grow their businesses.&nbsp; Some 410 million people a day open apps that contain Applovin software, according to the company. Applovin also has a portfolio of more than 200 free-to-play mobile games with 32 million daily users.</p><p><blockquote>Applovin成立于2012年，提供手机游戏开发商用来发展业务的软件。据该公司称，每天约有4.1亿人打开包含Applovin软件的应用程序。Applovin还拥有200多款免费手机游戏，日用户达3200万。</blockquote></p><p>In 2018, KKRbought a minority stakein Applovin for $400 million, valuing Applovin at $2 billion at the time. Applovin in February acquired Adjust, a firm that helps mobile-app developers measure the performance of apps and prevent fraud, for $1 billion. KKR will own 67.4% of the company after the IPO, theprospectus said.</p><p><blockquote>2018年，KKR以4亿美元收购了Applovin的少数股权，当时Applovin的估值为20亿美元。Applovin今年2月以10亿美元收购了Adjust，这是一家帮助移动应用开发者衡量应用性能和防止欺诈的公司。招股说明书称，IPO后KKR将拥有该公司67.4%的股份。</blockquote></p><p>With 357,955,309 shares outstanding, Applovin’s market capitalization could hit $30 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Applovin的流通股为357,955,309股，市值可能达到300亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>TuSimple also set terms for its IPO. The self-driving technology company could raise as much as $1.3 billion; it is offering nearly 34 million shares at $35 to $39 each. It will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker TSP.</p><p><blockquote>图森未来还设定了IPO条款。这家自动驾驶技术公司可能筹集高达13亿美元的资金；该公司以每股35至39美元的价格发行近3400万股股票。它将在纳斯达克交易，股票代码为TSP。</blockquote></p><p>Morgan Stanley(MS),Citigroup,and J.P. Morgan (JPM) are lead bookrunners on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利（MS）、花旗集团和摩根大通（JPM）是该交易的牵头账簿管理人。</blockquote></p><p>Founded in 2015, TuSimple is looking to transform the $800 billion trucking industry. The San Diego company, which has plants in Tucson, Shanghai, and Beijing, in addition to operations in Japan, is developing an autonomous freight network for long-haul, semi-trucks that it says will increase efficiency and safety on the road, while cutting operating costs.</p><p><blockquote>图森未来成立于2015年，旨在改变价值8000亿美元的卡车运输业。这家圣地亚哥公司除了在日本开展业务外，还在图森、上海和北京设有工厂，正在为长途半挂卡车开发自动货运网络，据称这将提高道路效率和安全性，同时削减运营成本。</blockquote></p><p>TuSimple develops software for the Level 4 self-driving, long-haul trucks, which can see up to 1,000 meters away, equivalent to 30 seconds of driving time. High-definition maps provide accuracy within five centimeters.</p><p><blockquote>图森未来为4级自动驾驶长途卡车开发软件，可以看到1000米以外的地方，相当于30秒的驾驶时间。高清地图提供了五厘米以内的精度。</blockquote></p><p>The company is partnering withNavistar(NAV) to develop trucks for the North American market by 2024,its prospectus said. TuSimple has another partnership withVolkswagensubsidiary TRATON for trucks in Europe. Navistar, TRATON, and United Parcel Service (UPS) are all investors.</p><p><blockquote>招股说明书称，该公司正在与Navistar(NAV)合作，到2024年为北美市场开发卡车。图森未来与大众汽车子公司TRATON在欧洲建立了卡车合作伙伴关系。Navistar、TRATON和联合包裹服务公司(UPS)都是投资者。</blockquote></p><p>TuSimple has raised $800 million in funding, including a $350 million round in November led by VectoIQ.BlackRock(BR), Fidelity Management &amp; Research Co and Capital Group are in talks to buy up to 10.1 million TuSimple shares at the IPO price, the prospectus said.</p><p><blockquote>图森未来已筹集8亿美元资金，其中包括11月份由VectoIQ领投的3.5亿美元融资。招股说明书称，贝莱德(BR)、富达管理与研究公司和资本集团正在洽谈以IPO价格购买最多1010万股图森未来股票。</blockquote></p><p>The company will have 212,263,328 shares outstanding, meaning TuSimple’s market cap could climb to $8.3 billion. TuSimple, however, is not profitable. Losses widened to $177.9 million in 2020 from $84.9 million in 2019. Revenue jumped nearly 160% to $1.8 million in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将拥有212,263,328股已发行股票，这意味着图森未来的市值可能攀升至83亿美元。然而，图森未来并未盈利。亏损从2019年的8490万美元扩大至2020年的1.779亿美元。2020年收入增长近160%至180万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Next Week’s IPO Lineup Is Growing. It Could Be Busy.<blockquote>下周IPO阵容不断壮大。可能会很忙。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNext Week’s IPO Lineup Is Growing. It Could Be Busy.<blockquote>下周IPO阵容不断壮大。可能会很忙。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-09 16:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The second week of April is shaping up to be a relatively strong time for the IPO market. As many as four more companies are making their stock-market debuts, bringing the total to at least six.</p><p><blockquote>4月的第二周将成为IPO市场相对强劲的时期。又有多达四家公司在股市首次亮相，使总数至少达到六家。</blockquote></p><p>Coinbase, the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange,is slated to open for trading on Wednesday, April 14. Applovin and TuSimple are listing the next day, three people familiar with the situation said. Agilon Health ismaking its debut that Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase定于4月14日星期三开业交易。三位知情人士表示，Applovin和图森未来将于第二天上市。Agilon Health将于周四首次亮相。</blockquote></p><p>And Alkami Technology,a bank software company, and Karat Packaging, whichmakes environmentally-friendly disposable food service products, are also reportedly going public.</p><p><blockquote>据报道，银行软件公司Alkami Technology和生产环保一次性食品服务产品的Karat Packaging也将上市。</blockquote></p><p>This week, by way of contrast, two companies, Reneo Pharmaceuticals and VectivBio Holding, are listing. Both are small biotech companies that areslated to begin trading on the Nasdaq on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，本周有两家公司Reneo Pharmaceuticals和VectivBio Holding上市。这两家公司都是小型生物技术公司，预计将于周五在纳斯达克开始交易。</blockquote></p><p>Applovin on Wednesday set terms for its initial public offering. It is offering 25 million shares at $75 to $85 each, which means it could raise as much as $2.13 billion if the stock sells at the high end of that range. The company plans to trade on the Nasdaq under the symbol APP.</p><p><blockquote>Applovin周三设定了首次公开募股的条款。该公司将以每股75至85美元的价格发行2500万股股票，这意味着如果该股票以该区间的高端出售，它可以筹集高达21.3亿美元的资金。该公司计划在纳斯达克以APP为代码进行交易。</blockquote></p><p>Eighteen underwriters are listed in the Applovin prospectus, includingMorgan Stanley(ticker: MS),JPMorgan Chase(JPM),KKR,&nbsp;Bank of America‘s (BAC) BofA Securities, andCitigroup(C).</p><p><blockquote>Applovin招股说明书中列出了18家承销商，包括摩根士丹利（股票代码：MS）、摩根大通(JPM)、KKR、美国银行(BAC)美银证券和花旗集团(C)。</blockquote></p><p>Founded in 2012, Applovin&nbsp;provides software&nbsp;used by mobile-game developers to grow their businesses.&nbsp; Some 410 million people a day open apps that contain Applovin software, according to the company. Applovin also has a portfolio of more than 200 free-to-play mobile games with 32 million daily users.</p><p><blockquote>Applovin成立于2012年，提供手机游戏开发商用来发展业务的软件。据该公司称，每天约有4.1亿人打开包含Applovin软件的应用程序。Applovin还拥有200多款免费手机游戏，日用户达3200万。</blockquote></p><p>In 2018, KKRbought a minority stakein Applovin for $400 million, valuing Applovin at $2 billion at the time. Applovin in February acquired Adjust, a firm that helps mobile-app developers measure the performance of apps and prevent fraud, for $1 billion. KKR will own 67.4% of the company after the IPO, theprospectus said.</p><p><blockquote>2018年，KKR以4亿美元收购了Applovin的少数股权，当时Applovin的估值为20亿美元。Applovin今年2月以10亿美元收购了Adjust，这是一家帮助移动应用开发者衡量应用性能和防止欺诈的公司。招股说明书称，IPO后KKR将拥有该公司67.4%的股份。</blockquote></p><p>With 357,955,309 shares outstanding, Applovin’s market capitalization could hit $30 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Applovin的流通股为357,955,309股，市值可能达到300亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>TuSimple also set terms for its IPO. The self-driving technology company could raise as much as $1.3 billion; it is offering nearly 34 million shares at $35 to $39 each. It will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker TSP.</p><p><blockquote>图森未来还设定了IPO条款。这家自动驾驶技术公司可能筹集高达13亿美元的资金；该公司以每股35至39美元的价格发行近3400万股股票。它将在纳斯达克交易，股票代码为TSP。</blockquote></p><p>Morgan Stanley(MS),Citigroup,and J.P. Morgan (JPM) are lead bookrunners on the deal.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利（MS）、花旗集团和摩根大通（JPM）是该交易的牵头账簿管理人。</blockquote></p><p>Founded in 2015, TuSimple is looking to transform the $800 billion trucking industry. The San Diego company, which has plants in Tucson, Shanghai, and Beijing, in addition to operations in Japan, is developing an autonomous freight network for long-haul, semi-trucks that it says will increase efficiency and safety on the road, while cutting operating costs.</p><p><blockquote>图森未来成立于2015年，旨在改变价值8000亿美元的卡车运输业。这家圣地亚哥公司除了在日本开展业务外，还在图森、上海和北京设有工厂，正在为长途半挂卡车开发自动货运网络，据称这将提高道路效率和安全性，同时削减运营成本。</blockquote></p><p>TuSimple develops software for the Level 4 self-driving, long-haul trucks, which can see up to 1,000 meters away, equivalent to 30 seconds of driving time. High-definition maps provide accuracy within five centimeters.</p><p><blockquote>图森未来为4级自动驾驶长途卡车开发软件，可以看到1000米以外的地方，相当于30秒的驾驶时间。高清地图提供了五厘米以内的精度。</blockquote></p><p>The company is partnering withNavistar(NAV) to develop trucks for the North American market by 2024,its prospectus said. TuSimple has another partnership withVolkswagensubsidiary TRATON for trucks in Europe. Navistar, TRATON, and United Parcel Service (UPS) are all investors.</p><p><blockquote>招股说明书称，该公司正在与Navistar(NAV)合作，到2024年为北美市场开发卡车。图森未来与大众汽车子公司TRATON在欧洲建立了卡车合作伙伴关系。Navistar、TRATON和联合包裹服务公司(UPS)都是投资者。</blockquote></p><p>TuSimple has raised $800 million in funding, including a $350 million round in November led by VectoIQ.BlackRock(BR), Fidelity Management &amp; Research Co and Capital Group are in talks to buy up to 10.1 million TuSimple shares at the IPO price, the prospectus said.</p><p><blockquote>图森未来已筹集8亿美元资金，其中包括11月份由VectoIQ领投的3.5亿美元融资。招股说明书称，贝莱德(BR)、富达管理与研究公司和资本集团正在洽谈以IPO价格购买最多1010万股图森未来股票。</blockquote></p><p>The company will have 212,263,328 shares outstanding, meaning TuSimple’s market cap could climb to $8.3 billion. TuSimple, however, is not profitable. Losses widened to $177.9 million in 2020 from $84.9 million in 2019. Revenue jumped nearly 160% to $1.8 million in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将拥有212,263,328股已发行股票，这意味着图森未来的市值可能攀升至83亿美元。然而，图森未来并未盈利。亏损从2019年的8490万美元扩大至2020年的1.779亿美元。2020年收入增长近160%至180万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/next-weeks-ipo-lineup-is-growing-it-could-be-busy-51617907448?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2\">barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KRT":"Karat Packaging Inc.","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","APP":"AppLovin Corporation","ALKT":"Alkami Technology, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/next-weeks-ipo-lineup-is-growing-it-could-be-busy-51617907448?mod=hp_LEAD_1_B_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168300924","content_text":"The second week of April is shaping up to be a relatively strong time for the IPO market. As many as four more companies are making their stock-market debuts, bringing the total to at least six.Coinbase, the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange,is slated to open for trading on Wednesday, April 14. Applovin and TuSimple are listing the next day, three people familiar with the situation said. Agilon Health ismaking its debut that Thursday.And Alkami Technology,a bank software company, and Karat Packaging, whichmakes environmentally-friendly disposable food service products, are also reportedly going public.This week, by way of contrast, two companies, Reneo Pharmaceuticals and VectivBio Holding, are listing. Both are small biotech companies that areslated to begin trading on the Nasdaq on Friday.Applovin on Wednesday set terms for its initial public offering. It is offering 25 million shares at $75 to $85 each, which means it could raise as much as $2.13 billion if the stock sells at the high end of that range. The company plans to trade on the Nasdaq under the symbol APP.Eighteen underwriters are listed in the Applovin prospectus, includingMorgan Stanley(ticker: MS),JPMorgan Chase(JPM),KKR, Bank of America‘s (BAC) BofA Securities, andCitigroup(C).Founded in 2012, Applovin provides software used by mobile-game developers to grow their businesses.  Some 410 million people a day open apps that contain Applovin software, according to the company. Applovin also has a portfolio of more than 200 free-to-play mobile games with 32 million daily users.In 2018, KKRbought a minority stakein Applovin for $400 million, valuing Applovin at $2 billion at the time. Applovin in February acquired Adjust, a firm that helps mobile-app developers measure the performance of apps and prevent fraud, for $1 billion. KKR will own 67.4% of the company after the IPO, theprospectus said.With 357,955,309 shares outstanding, Applovin’s market capitalization could hit $30 billion.TuSimple also set terms for its IPO. The self-driving technology company could raise as much as $1.3 billion; it is offering nearly 34 million shares at $35 to $39 each. It will trade on the Nasdaq under the ticker TSP.Morgan Stanley(MS),Citigroup,and J.P. Morgan (JPM) are lead bookrunners on the deal.Founded in 2015, TuSimple is looking to transform the $800 billion trucking industry. The San Diego company, which has plants in Tucson, Shanghai, and Beijing, in addition to operations in Japan, is developing an autonomous freight network for long-haul, semi-trucks that it says will increase efficiency and safety on the road, while cutting operating costs.TuSimple develops software for the Level 4 self-driving, long-haul trucks, which can see up to 1,000 meters away, equivalent to 30 seconds of driving time. High-definition maps provide accuracy within five centimeters.The company is partnering withNavistar(NAV) to develop trucks for the North American market by 2024,its prospectus said. TuSimple has another partnership withVolkswagensubsidiary TRATON for trucks in Europe. Navistar, TRATON, and United Parcel Service (UPS) are all investors.TuSimple has raised $800 million in funding, including a $350 million round in November led by VectoIQ.BlackRock(BR), Fidelity Management & Research Co and Capital Group are in talks to buy up to 10.1 million TuSimple shares at the IPO price, the prospectus said.The company will have 212,263,328 shares outstanding, meaning TuSimple’s market cap could climb to $8.3 billion. TuSimple, however, is not profitable. Losses widened to $177.9 million in 2020 from $84.9 million in 2019. Revenue jumped nearly 160% to $1.8 million in 2020.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RPHM":0.9,"APP":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"ALKT":0.9,"KRT":0.9,"TSP":0.9,"VECT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151460791,"gmtCreate":1625102685013,"gmtModify":1633944785028,"author":{"id":"3574784818260396","authorId":"3574784818260396","name":"FanOfJPow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca91f9be17312fa7d5a41957afef8050","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574784818260396","authorIdStr":"3574784818260396"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>this is getting spicy","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>this is getting spicy","text":"$AMD(AMD)$this is getting spicy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be9538c51554c7ad0c99cb1f60533ddb","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/151460791","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123551875,"gmtCreate":1624430860597,"gmtModify":1634006216800,"author":{"id":"3574784818260396","authorId":"3574784818260396","name":"FanOfJPow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca91f9be17312fa7d5a41957afef8050","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574784818260396","authorIdStr":"3574784818260396"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Leave a comment","listText":"Leave a comment","text":"Leave a comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123551875","repostId":"1120218733","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375854717,"gmtCreate":1619326631139,"gmtModify":1634274208757,"author":{"id":"3574784818260396","authorId":"3574784818260396","name":"FanOfJPow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca91f9be17312fa7d5a41957afef8050","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574784818260396","authorIdStr":"3574784818260396"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please&nbsp;","listText":"Like please&nbsp;","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375854717","repostId":"2130941364","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2130941364","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1619323455,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2130941364?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-25 12:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why it’ll take more than easy money from the Fed to keep sparking this bull market in stocks<blockquote>为什么要继续引发股市牛市，需要的不仅仅是美联储的宽松资金</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2130941364","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Much depends on investors' appetite for taking risk. \nGETTY IMAGES\nEveryone “knows” that the U.S. go","content":"<p>Much depends on investors' appetite for taking risk. </p><p><blockquote>这在很大程度上取决于投资者的风险偏好。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64c17dcaadc093048638ac550527a91e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Everyone “knows” that the U.S. government’s massive stimulus is the reason the U.S. stock market took off from its March 2020 lows. But, as Humphrey Neill, the father of contrarian analysis, constantly reminded his clients: “When everyone thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong.”</p><p><blockquote>每个人都“知道”美国政府的大规模刺激是美国股市从2020年3月低点起飞的原因。但是，正如逆向分析之父汉弗莱·尼尔（Humphrey Neill）不断提醒他的客户的那样：“当每个人的想法都一样时，每个人都很可能是错的。”</blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom certainly appears to be based on the evidence. M2 money supply (consisting of cash, checking deposits, and so-called “near money” that can be converted into cash with little difficulty) has grown at a faster rate over the past 12 months than at any time over the last six decades. Sure enough, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has turned in one of its strongest 12-month returns ever.</p><p><blockquote>传统智慧似乎肯定是基于证据的。M2货币供应量（包括现金、支票存款和可以轻松转换为现金的所谓“近货币”）在过去12个月的增长速度比过去60年的任何时候都要快。果然，标普500交出了有史以来最强劲的12个月回报之一。</blockquote></p><p> This is just one data point. To investigate whether it is the exception or the rule, I analyzed several decades of historical record in search of a statistically significant correlation between the Federal Reserve’s stimulus and the stock market. I came up empty. The bulls therefore need to think twice before reassuring themselves that the bull market will continue just because the Federal Reserve is committed to priming the monetary pump.</p><p><blockquote>这只是一个数据点。为了调查这是例外还是规则，我分析了几十年的历史记录，以寻找美联储的刺激措施与股市之间具有统计学意义的相关性。我空手而归。因此，多头在确信牛市将继续仅仅因为美联储致力于启动货币泵之前需要三思。</blockquote></p><p> In searching for possible correlations, I relied on two different measures of the money supply. I focused on M2 Money Supply (cash, checking deposits, and so-called ‘near money’ that can be converted into cash with little difficulty) and the Federal Reserve’s total balance sheet assets (a broader measure which reflects the Fed’s direct intervention in the economy through the purchase of securities and Treasuries). Regardless of the definition, however, the correlations between the stock market and money supply are not stable over time.</p><p><blockquote>在寻找可能的相关性时，我依赖于两种不同的货币供应量衡量标准。我重点研究了M2货币供应量（现金、支票存款以及可以轻松转换为现金的所谓“近货币”）和美联储的资产负债表总资产（一个更广泛的指标，反映了美联储通过购买证券和国债对经济的直接干预）。然而，无论定义如何，股票市场和货币供应之间的相关性随着时间的推移并不稳定。</blockquote></p><p> On the one hand, over the last decade there has been a strong positive correlation, just as we’ve seen over the last 12 months and what the bulls are assuming is the general pattern. But, on the other hand, this correlation was negative before that, which meant that in those earlier years faster money supply growth was more often than not associated with slower stock market growth, and vice versa. That’s just the opposite of what the bulls are assuming.</p><p><blockquote>一方面，在过去十年中存在很强的正相关性，正如我们在过去12个月中看到的那样，多头假设的是总体模式。但是，另一方面，这种相关性在此之前是负的，这意味着在早些年，更快的货币供应增长往往与较慢的股市增长相关，反之亦然。这与多头的假设正好相反。</blockquote></p><p> After this first pass through the data, the most we can say is that sometimes faster money supply growth is good for stocks, and sometimes it isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>在第一次浏览数据之后，我们最多可以说的是，有时更快的货币供应增长对股市有利，有时则不然。</blockquote></p><p> That in turn suggests that the relationship between the money supply and the stock market is a lot more complex than most investors think. A full discussion of that relationship is beyond the scope of this column, but we know that it depends in large part on investors’ appetite for risk. In a “risk-on” environment, for example, it is more likely that aggressive Fed easing will be considered bullish. But when investors are preoccupied with the downside (“risk-off”) then an aggressive Fed might cause investors to become even more worried.</p><p><blockquote>这反过来表明，货币供应和股市之间的关系比大多数投资者想象的要复杂得多。对这种关系的全面讨论超出了本专栏的范围，但我们知道这在很大程度上取决于投资者的风险偏好。例如，在“冒险”环境中，美联储激进的宽松政策更有可能被视为看涨。但当投资者全神贯注于下行（“避险”）时，激进的美联储可能会让投资者变得更加担忧。</blockquote></p><p> As is often the case, John Maynard Keynes, the famous British economist of a century ago, shrewdly captured this dynamic. He pointed out that central banks will be powerless to stimulate the economy if there is no appetite for risk-taking, and in such an environment the Fed’s efforts will be like “pushing on a string.”</p><p><blockquote>正如通常的情况一样，一个世纪前著名的英国经济学家约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯敏锐地捕捉到了这种动态。他指出，如果没有冒险的胃口，各国央行将无力刺激经济，在这样的环境下，美联储的努力将像“推弦”。</blockquote></p><p> Another indication of the complexity of the relationship between money supply and the stock market is how much money velocity varies over time. I’m referring to the average number of times that money changes hands in a given year. When velocity declines, it takes a bigger money supply to have the same economic impact. Or, to put it another way, a bigger money supply won’t be stimulating if velocity declines too much in the process.</p><p><blockquote>货币供应和股票市场之间关系复杂性的另一个指标是货币流通速度随时间的变化。我指的是一年内资金易手的平均次数。当速度下降时，需要更大的货币供应量才能产生同样的经济影响。或者，换句话说，如果在此过程中速度下降太多，更大的货币供应量就不会起到刺激作用。</blockquote></p><p> This puts recent experience in perspective. As you can see from the accompanying chart, velocity plunged at the beginning of the pandemic and remains at one of its lowest levels in six decades.</p><p><blockquote>这让我们正确看待最近的经历。正如您从附图中看到的，velocity在大流行开始时大幅下降，目前仍处于六十年来的最低水平之一。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96bbd1cd5123ac2704ccf0953509870f\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"849\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: The money supply undoubtedly is related to the course of both the economy and the stock market. But its role is neither simple nor straightforward.</p><p><blockquote>一句话：货币供应量无疑关系到经济和股市的走势。但它的作用既不简单也不直接。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why it’ll take more than easy money from the Fed to keep sparking this bull market in stocks<blockquote>为什么要继续引发股市牛市，需要的不仅仅是美联储的宽松资金</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy it’ll take more than easy money from the Fed to keep sparking this bull market in stocks<blockquote>为什么要继续引发股市牛市，需要的不仅仅是美联储的宽松资金</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-25 12:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Much depends on investors' appetite for taking risk. </p><p><blockquote>这在很大程度上取决于投资者的风险偏好。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64c17dcaadc093048638ac550527a91e\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>盖蒂图片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Everyone “knows” that the U.S. government’s massive stimulus is the reason the U.S. stock market took off from its March 2020 lows. But, as Humphrey Neill, the father of contrarian analysis, constantly reminded his clients: “When everyone thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong.”</p><p><blockquote>每个人都“知道”美国政府的大规模刺激是美国股市从2020年3月低点起飞的原因。但是，正如逆向分析之父汉弗莱·尼尔（Humphrey Neill）不断提醒他的客户的那样：“当每个人的想法都一样时，每个人都很可能是错的。”</blockquote></p><p> Conventional wisdom certainly appears to be based on the evidence. M2 money supply (consisting of cash, checking deposits, and so-called “near money” that can be converted into cash with little difficulty) has grown at a faster rate over the past 12 months than at any time over the last six decades. Sure enough, the S&amp;P 500&nbsp;has turned in one of its strongest 12-month returns ever.</p><p><blockquote>传统智慧似乎肯定是基于证据的。M2货币供应量（包括现金、支票存款和可以轻松转换为现金的所谓“近货币”）在过去12个月的增长速度比过去60年的任何时候都要快。果然，标普500交出了有史以来最强劲的12个月回报之一。</blockquote></p><p> This is just one data point. To investigate whether it is the exception or the rule, I analyzed several decades of historical record in search of a statistically significant correlation between the Federal Reserve’s stimulus and the stock market. I came up empty. The bulls therefore need to think twice before reassuring themselves that the bull market will continue just because the Federal Reserve is committed to priming the monetary pump.</p><p><blockquote>这只是一个数据点。为了调查这是例外还是规则，我分析了几十年的历史记录，以寻找美联储的刺激措施与股市之间具有统计学意义的相关性。我空手而归。因此，多头在确信牛市将继续仅仅因为美联储致力于启动货币泵之前需要三思。</blockquote></p><p> In searching for possible correlations, I relied on two different measures of the money supply. I focused on M2 Money Supply (cash, checking deposits, and so-called ‘near money’ that can be converted into cash with little difficulty) and the Federal Reserve’s total balance sheet assets (a broader measure which reflects the Fed’s direct intervention in the economy through the purchase of securities and Treasuries). Regardless of the definition, however, the correlations between the stock market and money supply are not stable over time.</p><p><blockquote>在寻找可能的相关性时，我依赖于两种不同的货币供应量衡量标准。我重点研究了M2货币供应量（现金、支票存款以及可以轻松转换为现金的所谓“近货币”）和美联储的资产负债表总资产（一个更广泛的指标，反映了美联储通过购买证券和国债对经济的直接干预）。然而，无论定义如何，股票市场和货币供应之间的相关性随着时间的推移并不稳定。</blockquote></p><p> On the one hand, over the last decade there has been a strong positive correlation, just as we’ve seen over the last 12 months and what the bulls are assuming is the general pattern. But, on the other hand, this correlation was negative before that, which meant that in those earlier years faster money supply growth was more often than not associated with slower stock market growth, and vice versa. That’s just the opposite of what the bulls are assuming.</p><p><blockquote>一方面，在过去十年中存在很强的正相关性，正如我们在过去12个月中看到的那样，多头假设的是总体模式。但是，另一方面，这种相关性在此之前是负的，这意味着在早些年，更快的货币供应增长往往与较慢的股市增长相关，反之亦然。这与多头的假设正好相反。</blockquote></p><p> After this first pass through the data, the most we can say is that sometimes faster money supply growth is good for stocks, and sometimes it isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>在第一次浏览数据之后，我们最多可以说的是，有时更快的货币供应增长对股市有利，有时则不然。</blockquote></p><p> That in turn suggests that the relationship between the money supply and the stock market is a lot more complex than most investors think. A full discussion of that relationship is beyond the scope of this column, but we know that it depends in large part on investors’ appetite for risk. In a “risk-on” environment, for example, it is more likely that aggressive Fed easing will be considered bullish. But when investors are preoccupied with the downside (“risk-off”) then an aggressive Fed might cause investors to become even more worried.</p><p><blockquote>这反过来表明，货币供应和股市之间的关系比大多数投资者想象的要复杂得多。对这种关系的全面讨论超出了本专栏的范围，但我们知道这在很大程度上取决于投资者的风险偏好。例如，在“冒险”环境中，美联储激进的宽松政策更有可能被视为看涨。但当投资者全神贯注于下行（“避险”）时，激进的美联储可能会让投资者变得更加担忧。</blockquote></p><p> As is often the case, John Maynard Keynes, the famous British economist of a century ago, shrewdly captured this dynamic. He pointed out that central banks will be powerless to stimulate the economy if there is no appetite for risk-taking, and in such an environment the Fed’s efforts will be like “pushing on a string.”</p><p><blockquote>正如通常的情况一样，一个世纪前著名的英国经济学家约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯敏锐地捕捉到了这种动态。他指出，如果没有冒险的胃口，各国央行将无力刺激经济，在这样的环境下，美联储的努力将像“推弦”。</blockquote></p><p> Another indication of the complexity of the relationship between money supply and the stock market is how much money velocity varies over time. I’m referring to the average number of times that money changes hands in a given year. When velocity declines, it takes a bigger money supply to have the same economic impact. Or, to put it another way, a bigger money supply won’t be stimulating if velocity declines too much in the process.</p><p><blockquote>货币供应和股票市场之间关系复杂性的另一个指标是货币流通速度随时间的变化。我指的是一年内资金易手的平均次数。当速度下降时，需要更大的货币供应量才能产生同样的经济影响。或者，换句话说，如果在此过程中速度下降太多，更大的货币供应量就不会起到刺激作用。</blockquote></p><p> This puts recent experience in perspective. As you can see from the accompanying chart, velocity plunged at the beginning of the pandemic and remains at one of its lowest levels in six decades.</p><p><blockquote>这让我们正确看待最近的经历。正如您从附图中看到的，velocity在大流行开始时大幅下降，目前仍处于六十年来的最低水平之一。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96bbd1cd5123ac2704ccf0953509870f\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"849\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: The money supply undoubtedly is related to the course of both the economy and the stock market. But its role is neither simple nor straightforward.</p><p><blockquote>一句话：货币供应量无疑关系到经济和股市的走势。但它的作用既不简单也不直接。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-itll-take-more-than-easy-money-from-the-fed-to-spark-this-bull-market-11619159724?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-itll-take-more-than-easy-money-from-the-fed-to-spark-this-bull-market-11619159724?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2130941364","content_text":"Much depends on investors' appetite for taking risk. \nGETTY IMAGES\nEveryone “knows” that the U.S. government’s massive stimulus is the reason the U.S. stock market took off from its March 2020 lows. But, as Humphrey Neill, the father of contrarian analysis, constantly reminded his clients: “When everyone thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong.”\nConventional wisdom certainly appears to be based on the evidence. M2 money supply (consisting of cash, checking deposits, and so-called “near money” that can be converted into cash with little difficulty) has grown at a faster rate over the past 12 months than at any time over the last six decades. Sure enough, the S&P 500 has turned in one of its strongest 12-month returns ever.\nThis is just one data point. To investigate whether it is the exception or the rule, I analyzed several decades of historical record in search of a statistically significant correlation between the Federal Reserve’s stimulus and the stock market. I came up empty. The bulls therefore need to think twice before reassuring themselves that the bull market will continue just because the Federal Reserve is committed to priming the monetary pump.\nIn searching for possible correlations, I relied on two different measures of the money supply. I focused on M2 Money Supply (cash, checking deposits, and so-called ‘near money’ that can be converted into cash with little difficulty) and the Federal Reserve’s total balance sheet assets (a broader measure which reflects the Fed’s direct intervention in the economy through the purchase of securities and Treasuries). Regardless of the definition, however, the correlations between the stock market and money supply are not stable over time.\nOn the one hand, over the last decade there has been a strong positive correlation, just as we’ve seen over the last 12 months and what the bulls are assuming is the general pattern. But, on the other hand, this correlation was negative before that, which meant that in those earlier years faster money supply growth was more often than not associated with slower stock market growth, and vice versa. That’s just the opposite of what the bulls are assuming.\nAfter this first pass through the data, the most we can say is that sometimes faster money supply growth is good for stocks, and sometimes it isn’t.\nThat in turn suggests that the relationship between the money supply and the stock market is a lot more complex than most investors think. A full discussion of that relationship is beyond the scope of this column, but we know that it depends in large part on investors’ appetite for risk. In a “risk-on” environment, for example, it is more likely that aggressive Fed easing will be considered bullish. But when investors are preoccupied with the downside (“risk-off”) then an aggressive Fed might cause investors to become even more worried.\nAs is often the case, John Maynard Keynes, the famous British economist of a century ago, shrewdly captured this dynamic. He pointed out that central banks will be powerless to stimulate the economy if there is no appetite for risk-taking, and in such an environment the Fed’s efforts will be like “pushing on a string.”\nAnother indication of the complexity of the relationship between money supply and the stock market is how much money velocity varies over time. I’m referring to the average number of times that money changes hands in a given year. When velocity declines, it takes a bigger money supply to have the same economic impact. Or, to put it another way, a bigger money supply won’t be stimulating if velocity declines too much in the process.\nThis puts recent experience in perspective. As you can see from the accompanying chart, velocity plunged at the beginning of the pandemic and remains at one of its lowest levels in six decades.\n\nThe bottom line: The money supply undoubtedly is related to the course of both the economy and the stock market. But its role is neither simple nor 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