Kess的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Kess

Kess

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2021-10-30

Nice

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-09-21

V shape recovery?

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2021-06-05

I will bet it to go up

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2021-06-04

The only one that hasn't taken off..

Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-06-03

More like taking profits

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2021-06-01

Should be good

Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将公布第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>

2021-05-28

Never know when there will be another wave since mask is no longer a thing in US

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2021-05-27

Great

Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue<blockquote>Nvidia EPS 超过预期 0.38 美元，营收超过预期</blockquote>

2021-05-26

They can enter anywhere anytime. Nothing new about it

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2021-05-25

Explanations always come after things happened

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2021-05-20

Gamble

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2021-05-18

He should be regulated

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2021-05-16

You can never predict let alone explain

Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>

2021-05-13

Whenever anything goes down, more will say it will go down more. It's just baseless.

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2021-05-12

Too free and nothing better to do

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2021-05-09

Inflation could be a result of higher wages

U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>随着企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>

2021-05-06

NASDAQ drop attributed to big caps pull backs. I hope the small caps can recover soon.

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2021-05-05

Really a Joker

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2021-05-04

Will be an expensive one

Bill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote>

2021-05-03

Buffets favourites

Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司、通用汽车等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>

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All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2968,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":869969751,"gmtCreate":1632235881973,"gmtModify":1632801862593,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"V shape recovery?","listText":"V shape recovery?","text":"V shape recovery?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869969751","repostId":"1103252137","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2930,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112597745,"gmtCreate":1622883280787,"gmtModify":1634097078972,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I will bet it to go up","listText":"I will bet it to go up","text":"I will bet it to go up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112597745","repostId":"1158897173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116255332,"gmtCreate":1622806822126,"gmtModify":1631883988286,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"The only one that hasn't taken off..","listText":"The only one that hasn't taken off..","text":"The only one that hasn't taken off..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116255332","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3010,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118942120,"gmtCreate":1622715812860,"gmtModify":1634098854344,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"More like taking profits","listText":"More like taking profits","text":"More like taking profits","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118942120","repostId":"2140423843","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119251676,"gmtCreate":1622551561995,"gmtModify":1634100576805,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Should be good","listText":"Should be good","text":"Should be good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119251676","repostId":"2138889344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138889344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622546894,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2138889344?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将公布第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138889344","media":"Zacks","summary":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarte","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>视频通信</b>将于 6 月 1 日公布 2022 财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计本季度非公认会计准则每股收益在 95 美分至 97 美分之间。总收入预计在 9 亿至 9.05 亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>过去 30 天，Zacks 对每股收益的一致预期维持在 97 美分。该公司公布去年同期每股收益为 20 美分。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>收入共识为 9.052 亿美元，比去年同期增长 175.8%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Zoom Video通信公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Zoom Video通信公司价格-每股收益-惊喜 | Zoom Video通信公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p><blockquote>在过去四个季度中，Zoom 的盈利都超过了 Zacks 的一致预期，平均意外率为 73.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看这次公告的进展如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p><blockquote><h3>需要注意的因素</h3>尽管开展了疫苗接种活动，但 Zoom 第一财季的收入预计仍将受益于冠状病毒引发的在家工作和在线学习浪潮。</blockquote></p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司的免费增值商业模式有助于其快速赢得客户，然后将这些客户转化为付费客户。2021 财年第四季度过去 12 个月的美元净扩张率超过 156%。预计这一势头将在即将公布的季度继续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p><blockquote>此外，支持商务人士远程工作的Zoom for Home的可用性一直是一个关键的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>此外，这家 Zacks 排名第二（买入）的公司拥有强大的合作伙伴基础，其中包括<b>阿特拉斯</b>,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a></b>和 Dropbox，预计将有助于该公司在第一财季赢得企业客户。您可以在这里查看今日 Zacks 排名第一（强力买入）股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom Video继续面临来自以下公司的激烈竞争：<b>思科</b>微软和谷歌相遇。这可能会导致中小型企业客户流失，从而可能损害营收增长。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p><blockquote><h3>第一季度主要亮点</h3>在即将公布的季度，Zoom 宣布成立 1 亿美元的风险投资基金，名为 Zoom Apps Fund，旨在刺激 Zoom 的 Zoom Apps、集成、开发者平台和硬件生态系统的发展。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在本季度，Zoom 和一级方程式宣布，他们已在即将到来的 2021 年国际汽联一级方程式世界锦标赛赛季及以后建立了新的广泛多年合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Zoom 在 2 月份宣布推出 Zoom Rooms，这将帮助组织安全地重新进入办公室，并维持 “无处不在的员工队伍”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将公布第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将公布第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 19:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">缩放</a>视频通信</b>将于 6 月 1 日公布 2022 财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计本季度非公认会计准则每股收益在 95 美分至 97 美分之间。总收入预计在 9 亿至 9.05 亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>过去 30 天，Zacks 对每股收益的一致预期维持在 97 美分。该公司公布去年同期每股收益为 20 美分。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>收入共识为 9.052 亿美元，比去年同期增长 175.8%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Zoom Video通信公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Zoom Video通信公司价格-每股收益-惊喜 | Zoom Video通信公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p><blockquote>在过去四个季度中，Zoom 的盈利都超过了 Zacks 的一致预期，平均意外率为 73.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来看看这次公告的进展如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p><blockquote><h3>需要注意的因素</h3>尽管开展了疫苗接种活动，但 Zoom 第一财季的收入预计仍将受益于冠状病毒引发的在家工作和在线学习浪潮。</blockquote></p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司的免费增值商业模式有助于其快速赢得客户，然后将这些客户转化为付费客户。2021 财年第四季度过去 12 个月的美元净扩张率超过 156%。预计这一势头将在即将公布的季度继续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p><blockquote>此外，支持商务人士远程工作的Zoom for Home的可用性一直是一个关键的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>此外，这家 Zacks 排名第二（买入）的公司拥有强大的合作伙伴基础，其中包括<b>阿特拉斯</b>,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a></b>和 Dropbox，预计将有助于该公司在第一财季赢得企业客户。您可以在这里查看今日 Zacks 排名第一（强力买入）股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom Video继续面临来自以下公司的激烈竞争：<b>思科</b>微软和谷歌相遇。这可能会导致中小型企业客户流失，从而可能损害营收增长。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p><blockquote><h3>第一季度主要亮点</h3>在即将公布的季度，Zoom 宣布成立 1 亿美元的风险投资基金，名为 Zoom Apps Fund，旨在刺激 Zoom 的 Zoom Apps、集成、开发者平台和硬件生态系统的发展。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在本季度，Zoom 和一级方程式宣布，他们已在即将到来的 2021 年国际汽联一级方程式世界锦标赛赛季及以后建立了新的广泛多年合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Zoom 在 2 月份宣布推出 Zoom Rooms，这将帮助组织安全地重新进入办公室，并维持 “无处不在的员工队伍”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138889344","content_text":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS SurpriseZoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. QuoteZoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.Factors to WatchZoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of Atlassian, ServiceNow and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of Cisco, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.Key Q1 HighlightsDuring the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2642,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134096428,"gmtCreate":1622190449264,"gmtModify":1634182998742,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Never know when there will be another wave since mask is no longer a thing in US&nbsp;","listText":"Never know when there will be another wave since mask is no longer a thing in US&nbsp;","text":"Never know when there will be another wave since mask is no longer a thing in US","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134096428","repostId":"1148985369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3523,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132103289,"gmtCreate":1622074472141,"gmtModify":1634184157012,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132103289","repostId":"1198109956","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198109956","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622072280,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1198109956?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-27 07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue<blockquote>Nvidia EPS 超过预期 0.38 美元，营收超过预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198109956","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":" Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.Nvidia Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.Revenue of $5.66B beats by $250M.NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash di","content":"<p>(May&nbsp;27)&nbsp;Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.</p><p><blockquote>(5 月 27 日）英伟达今天公布了截至 2021 年 5 月 2 日的第一季度营收创纪录，达到 56.6 亿美元，同比增长 84%，比上一季度增长 13%，其中公司游戏、数据中心和专业可视化平台的营收创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Nvidia&nbsp;Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.</li><li>Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.</li></ul><b>Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Nvidia 第一季度非 GAAP 每股收益为 3.66 美元，超出 0.38 美元；GAAP 每股收益为 3.03 美元，超出 0.51 美元。</li><li>收入 $5.66B（同比增长 83.8%）超过预期 $2.5 亿美元。</li></ul><b>2022财年第二季度展望如下：</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent&nbsp;vs. $5.48B consensus.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.</li></ul>Shares&nbsp;of&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;afterhour&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入预计为 63.0 亿美元，比预期上涨或下跌 2%。$5.48B 共识。</li><li>GAAP 和非 GAAP 毛利率预计分别为 64.6% 和 66.5%，正负 50 个基点。</li><li>GAAP 和非 GAAP 运营费用预计分别约为 17.6 亿美元和 12.6 亿美元。</li><li>GAAP 和非 GAAP 其他收入和费用预计均约为 5000 万美元。</li><li>GAAP 和非 GAAP 税率预计均为 10%，正负 1%，不包括任何离散项目。GAAP 离散项目包括与股票薪酬相关的超额税收优惠或赤字，预计会产生季度差异。</li></ul>英伟达股价在盘后交易中下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5b2493152883344459d99c9fa7aa82\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.</p><p><blockquote>“英伟达创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋说：”我们度过了一个非常棒的季度，对我们产品的强劲需求推动了创纪录的收入。</blockquote></p><p>“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.</p><p><blockquote>“随着全球各行各业采用 NVIDIA AI 来处理计算机视觉、对话式人工智能、自然语言理解和推荐系统，我们的数据中心 (VPN) 业务不断扩展。NVIDIA RTX 重新发明了计算机图形，并推动了整个游戏和设计市场的升级。我们的合作伙伴正在推出有史以来最大规模的 NVIDIA 笔记本电脑浪潮。在各行各业，英伟达计算平台的采用正在加速。</blockquote></p><p>“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“一年来，Mellanox 超出了我们的预期，将 NVIDIA 转变为一家数据中心规模的计算公司。我们计划收购 Arm，这将加速 Arm 生态系统的创新和发展。从游戏、云计算、人工智能、机器人、自动驾驶汽车，到基因组学和计算生物学，NVIDIA 将继续开展有影响力的工作，创造更美好的未来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达第一季度支付了9900万美元的季度现金股息。该公司将于 2021 年 7 月 1 日向 2021 年 6 月 10 日登记在册的所有股东支付下一季度现金股息每股 0.16 美元。</blockquote></p><p>On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2021 年 5 月 21 日，公司董事会宣布将英伟达普通股进行四比一的分割，以股票股息的形式支付，预计新增股份将于 2021 年 7 月 19 日分配。股票分红的条件是在 2021 年 6 月 3 日举行的公司 2021 年年度股东大会上获得股东批准，将授权普通股数量从 20 亿股增加到 40 亿股。</blockquote></p><p><b>Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亮点</b></blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:</p><p><blockquote>自上次公布财报以来，英伟达在这些领域取得了进展：</blockquote></p><p><b>Gaming</b></p><p><blockquote><b>游戏</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.</li><li>AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, including<i>Call of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis Remastered</i>and<i>Outriders.</i></li><li>Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated into<i>Call of Duty Warzone</i>,<i>Overwatch</i>and<i>Rainbow Six</i><i>: Siege</i>.</li><li>Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.</li></ul><b>Data Center</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度收入达到创纪录的27.6亿美元，同比增长106%，比上一季度增长11%。</li><li>随着 GeForce RTX 的推出，搭载 NVIDIA 第二代 RTX 显卡的笔记本电脑浪潮更加广泛™3060 笔记本电脑 GPU 系统起价 999 美元，GeForce 的发布®3050 Ti 和 3050 笔记本电脑 GPU 系统起价 799 美元，面向游戏玩家和创作者。</li><li>AcceleratedRTX 势头现已推出超过 60 款游戏，包括<i>《使命召唤：现代战争》、《孤岛危机》重制版</i>和<i>拓荒者。</i></li><li>除了之前降低 RTX 3060 散列率的措施外，还采取措施降低新生产的 RTX 3080、3070 和 3060 Ti 显卡上的以太币散列率（这些显卡带有 “Lite Hash Rate ”或 “LHR ”标识符），以改善游戏玩家对 GeForce GPU 的访问。</li><li>宣布NVIDIA DLSS现在可以在虚幻引擎4中使用，很快可以在Unity游戏引擎中使用。</li><li>宣布可减少系统延迟的 NVIDIA Reflex 现已整合到<i>看涨期权执勤战区</i>,<i>守望先锋</i>和<i>彩虹六号</i><i>: 围攻</i>.</li><li>立即宣布™现已进入第二年，在70多个国家拥有超过1000万会员，其图书馆中的游戏数量接近1000款。</li></ul><b>数据中心</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.</li><li>Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.</li><li>Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.</li><li>Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.</li><li>Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.</li><li>Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.</li><li>Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.</li><li>Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.</li><li>Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.</li></ul><b>Professional Visualization</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度收入达到创纪录的20.5亿美元，同比增长79%，比上一季度增长8%。</li><li>虚拟举办了规模最大的everGPU技术大会，来自195个国家的超过200,000人注册，开幕主题演讲的浏览量超过1400万次。</li><li>Nvidia Grace 揭晓™这是其首款基于 Arm 的数据中心 CPU，专为大规模人工智能和高性能计算而设计，其性能将是当今最快服务器的 10 倍，并为瑞士国家超级计算中心世界上最强大的人工智能超级计算机提供动力。</li><li>与Amazon Web Services合作，通过基于GPU加速的AWS Graviton2的Amazon EC2实例部署Nvidia GPU推理，使GPU加速的游戏能够在AWS上本地运行，并允许基于Arm的工作负载具有更高的性能。</li><li>theNVIDIA 揭晓®蓝田-3®DPU是第一个为人工智能和加速计算构建的数据处理单元，得到了VMware、Splunk、NetApp、Cloudflare等公司的支持。</li><li>发布新款 NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™第一台云原生、多租户超级计算机，客户涉及对话式人工智能、药物发现、自动驾驶汽车等领域。</li><li>宣布其人工智能推理平台通过针对主流服务器的 Vidia A30 和 A10 GPU 进行了扩展，并在最新发布的 MLPerf 基准测试中创下了一系列工作负载人工智能性能的每个类别的记录。</li><li>发布了适用于 VMware vSphere 的 Vidia AI 企业软件套件，为一系列应用程序和数据科学实现横向扩展、多节点性能和兼容性。</li><li>然后推出了VIDIA Morpheus AIapplication框架，使网络安全提供商能够使用AI和NVIDIA BlueField DPU即时检测网络违规行为。</li><li>宣布推出交互式对话式人工智能框架 NVIDIA Jarvis 和 NVIDIA Maxine™，基于视频的实时体验框架。</li><li>推出NVIDIA TAO，一个加速创建企业人工智能应用程序的框架。</li><li>通过 NVIDIA Clara Discovery 扩大了其支持药物开发和发现的工作，宣布与 Schrödinger 建立合作伙伴关系，通过人工智能软件支持制药行业，以加快药物发现工作流程。</li></ul><b>专业可视化</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.</li><li>Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.</li></ul><b>Automotive</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度收入达到创纪录的 3.72 亿美元，比去年同期和上一季度增长 21%。</li><li>NVIDIA Omniverse 推出™用于实时3D设计和协作的企业软件，BMW集团、Foster+Partners和WPP是早期客户。</li><li>Nvidia RTX 揭晓™适用于下一代笔记本电脑和台式机工作站的GPUS，包括用于台式机的NVIDIA RTX A4000和A5000，以及用于笔记本电脑的A2000、A3000、A4000和A5000。</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D，一个用于从标准2D图像创建3D对象模型的人工智能模型。</li></ul><b>汽车的</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.</li><li>AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.</li><li>Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.</li><li>Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™&nbsp;to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.</li><li>Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.</li><li>Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度收入为 1.54 亿美元，同比下降 1%，比上一季度增长 6%。</li><li>NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan 发布™这是一款支持人工智能的自动驾驶汽车处理器，具有 1000 个顶部和数据中心级安全性，目标是汽车制造商的 2025 年汽车。</li><li>宣布 Nvidia DRIVE Hyperion™8、最新一代功能齐全的开放平台，减少了为车辆配备人工智能和环绕传感器的时间和成本。</li><li>宣布 Nvidia DRIVE™从2022年开始，将为上汽R Auto、IM Motors、Faraday Future和VinFast的智能新能源汽车提供动力。</li><li>继亚马逊 Zoox、滴滴 (DIDI)、Oxbotica、Pony.ai 和 AutoX 宣布之后，Cruise 是最新一家选择 NVIDIA DRIVE 的 Trobotaxi 公司。</li><li>宣布沃尔沃汽车将使用 NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™为下一代汽车中的自动驾驶计算机提供动力，首先是将于 2022 年发布的 XC90。</li><li>宣布 Vidia DRIVE Platforms 为梅赛德斯-奔驰新款 EQS 轿车的人工智能驾驶舱 MBUX Hyperscreen 提供动力。</li><li>宣布图森未来和纳威司达将制造由 NVIDIA DRIVE AGX 驱动的自动驾驶卡车™平台，自动驾驶卡车 companyPlus 将在其即将推出的自动驾驶汽车平台中使用 NVIDIA DRIVE ORIN。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue<blockquote>Nvidia EPS 超过预期 0.38 美元，营收超过预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue<blockquote>Nvidia EPS 超过预期 0.38 美元，营收超过预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-27 07:38</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May&nbsp;27)&nbsp;Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.</p><p><blockquote>(5 月 27 日）英伟达今天公布了截至 2021 年 5 月 2 日的第一季度营收创纪录，达到 56.6 亿美元，同比增长 84%，比上一季度增长 13%，其中公司游戏、数据中心和专业可视化平台的营收创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Nvidia&nbsp;Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.</li><li>Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.</li></ul><b>Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Nvidia 第一季度非 GAAP 每股收益为 3.66 美元，超出 0.38 美元；GAAP 每股收益为 3.03 美元，超出 0.51 美元。</li><li>收入 $5.66B（同比增长 83.8%）超过预期 $2.5 亿美元。</li></ul><b>2022财年第二季度展望如下：</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent&nbsp;vs. $5.48B consensus.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.</li></ul>Shares&nbsp;of&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;afterhour&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入预计为 63.0 亿美元，比预期上涨或下跌 2%。$5.48B 共识。</li><li>GAAP 和非 GAAP 毛利率预计分别为 64.6% 和 66.5%，正负 50 个基点。</li><li>GAAP 和非 GAAP 运营费用预计分别约为 17.6 亿美元和 12.6 亿美元。</li><li>GAAP 和非 GAAP 其他收入和费用预计均约为 5000 万美元。</li><li>GAAP 和非 GAAP 税率预计均为 10%，正负 1%，不包括任何离散项目。GAAP 离散项目包括与股票薪酬相关的超额税收优惠或赤字，预计会产生季度差异。</li></ul>英伟达股价在盘后交易中下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5b2493152883344459d99c9fa7aa82\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.</p><p><blockquote>“英伟达创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋说：”我们度过了一个非常棒的季度，对我们产品的强劲需求推动了创纪录的收入。</blockquote></p><p>“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.</p><p><blockquote>“随着全球各行各业采用 NVIDIA AI 来处理计算机视觉、对话式人工智能、自然语言理解和推荐系统，我们的数据中心 (VPN) 业务不断扩展。NVIDIA RTX 重新发明了计算机图形，并推动了整个游戏和设计市场的升级。我们的合作伙伴正在推出有史以来最大规模的 NVIDIA 笔记本电脑浪潮。在各行各业，英伟达计算平台的采用正在加速。</blockquote></p><p>“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“一年来，Mellanox 超出了我们的预期，将 NVIDIA 转变为一家数据中心规模的计算公司。我们计划收购 Arm，这将加速 Arm 生态系统的创新和发展。从游戏、云计算、人工智能、机器人、自动驾驶汽车，到基因组学和计算生物学，NVIDIA 将继续开展有影响力的工作，创造更美好的未来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达第一季度支付了9900万美元的季度现金股息。该公司将于 2021 年 7 月 1 日向 2021 年 6 月 10 日登记在册的所有股东支付下一季度现金股息每股 0.16 美元。</blockquote></p><p>On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2021 年 5 月 21 日，公司董事会宣布将英伟达普通股进行四比一的分割，以股票股息的形式支付，预计新增股份将于 2021 年 7 月 19 日分配。股票分红的条件是在 2021 年 6 月 3 日举行的公司 2021 年年度股东大会上获得股东批准，将授权普通股数量从 20 亿股增加到 40 亿股。</blockquote></p><p><b>Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亮点</b></blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:</p><p><blockquote>自上次公布财报以来，英伟达在这些领域取得了进展：</blockquote></p><p><b>Gaming</b></p><p><blockquote><b>游戏</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.</li><li>AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, including<i>Call of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis Remastered</i>and<i>Outriders.</i></li><li>Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated into<i>Call of Duty Warzone</i>,<i>Overwatch</i>and<i>Rainbow Six</i><i>: Siege</i>.</li><li>Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.</li></ul><b>Data Center</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度收入达到创纪录的27.6亿美元，同比增长106%，比上一季度增长11%。</li><li>随着 GeForce RTX 的推出，搭载 NVIDIA 第二代 RTX 显卡的笔记本电脑浪潮更加广泛™3060 笔记本电脑 GPU 系统起价 999 美元，GeForce 的发布®3050 Ti 和 3050 笔记本电脑 GPU 系统起价 799 美元，面向游戏玩家和创作者。</li><li>AcceleratedRTX 势头现已推出超过 60 款游戏，包括<i>《使命召唤：现代战争》、《孤岛危机》重制版</i>和<i>拓荒者。</i></li><li>除了之前降低 RTX 3060 散列率的措施外，还采取措施降低新生产的 RTX 3080、3070 和 3060 Ti 显卡上的以太币散列率（这些显卡带有 “Lite Hash Rate ”或 “LHR ”标识符），以改善游戏玩家对 GeForce GPU 的访问。</li><li>宣布NVIDIA DLSS现在可以在虚幻引擎4中使用，很快可以在Unity游戏引擎中使用。</li><li>宣布可减少系统延迟的 NVIDIA Reflex 现已整合到<i>看涨期权执勤战区</i>,<i>守望先锋</i>和<i>彩虹六号</i><i>: 围攻</i>.</li><li>立即宣布™现已进入第二年，在70多个国家拥有超过1000万会员，其图书馆中的游戏数量接近1000款。</li></ul><b>数据中心</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.</li><li>Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.</li><li>Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.</li><li>Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.</li><li>Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.</li><li>Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.</li><li>Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.</li><li>Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.</li><li>Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.</li></ul><b>Professional Visualization</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度收入达到创纪录的20.5亿美元，同比增长79%，比上一季度增长8%。</li><li>虚拟举办了规模最大的everGPU技术大会，来自195个国家的超过200,000人注册，开幕主题演讲的浏览量超过1400万次。</li><li>Nvidia Grace 揭晓™这是其首款基于 Arm 的数据中心 CPU，专为大规模人工智能和高性能计算而设计，其性能将是当今最快服务器的 10 倍，并为瑞士国家超级计算中心世界上最强大的人工智能超级计算机提供动力。</li><li>与Amazon Web Services合作，通过基于GPU加速的AWS Graviton2的Amazon EC2实例部署Nvidia GPU推理，使GPU加速的游戏能够在AWS上本地运行，并允许基于Arm的工作负载具有更高的性能。</li><li>theNVIDIA 揭晓®蓝田-3®DPU是第一个为人工智能和加速计算构建的数据处理单元，得到了VMware、Splunk、NetApp、Cloudflare等公司的支持。</li><li>发布新款 NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™第一台云原生、多租户超级计算机，客户涉及对话式人工智能、药物发现、自动驾驶汽车等领域。</li><li>宣布其人工智能推理平台通过针对主流服务器的 Vidia A30 和 A10 GPU 进行了扩展，并在最新发布的 MLPerf 基准测试中创下了一系列工作负载人工智能性能的每个类别的记录。</li><li>发布了适用于 VMware vSphere 的 Vidia AI 企业软件套件，为一系列应用程序和数据科学实现横向扩展、多节点性能和兼容性。</li><li>然后推出了VIDIA Morpheus AIapplication框架，使网络安全提供商能够使用AI和NVIDIA BlueField DPU即时检测网络违规行为。</li><li>宣布推出交互式对话式人工智能框架 NVIDIA Jarvis 和 NVIDIA Maxine™，基于视频的实时体验框架。</li><li>推出NVIDIA TAO，一个加速创建企业人工智能应用程序的框架。</li><li>通过 NVIDIA Clara Discovery 扩大了其支持药物开发和发现的工作，宣布与 Schrödinger 建立合作伙伴关系，通过人工智能软件支持制药行业，以加快药物发现工作流程。</li></ul><b>专业可视化</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.</li><li>Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.</li></ul><b>Automotive</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度收入达到创纪录的 3.72 亿美元，比去年同期和上一季度增长 21%。</li><li>NVIDIA Omniverse 推出™用于实时3D设计和协作的企业软件，BMW集团、Foster+Partners和WPP是早期客户。</li><li>Nvidia RTX 揭晓™适用于下一代笔记本电脑和台式机工作站的GPUS，包括用于台式机的NVIDIA RTX A4000和A5000，以及用于笔记本电脑的A2000、A3000、A4000和A5000。</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D，一个用于从标准2D图像创建3D对象模型的人工智能模型。</li></ul><b>汽车的</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.</li><li>AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.</li><li>Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.</li><li>Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™&nbsp;to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.</li><li>Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.</li><li>Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度收入为 1.54 亿美元，同比下降 1%，比上一季度增长 6%。</li><li>NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan 发布™这是一款支持人工智能的自动驾驶汽车处理器，具有 1000 个顶部和数据中心级安全性，目标是汽车制造商的 2025 年汽车。</li><li>宣布 Nvidia DRIVE Hyperion™8、最新一代功能齐全的开放平台，减少了为车辆配备人工智能和环绕传感器的时间和成本。</li><li>宣布 Nvidia DRIVE™从2022年开始，将为上汽R Auto、IM Motors、Faraday Future和VinFast的智能新能源汽车提供动力。</li><li>继亚马逊 Zoox、滴滴 (DIDI)、Oxbotica、Pony.ai 和 AutoX 宣布之后，Cruise 是最新一家选择 NVIDIA DRIVE 的 Trobotaxi 公司。</li><li>宣布沃尔沃汽车将使用 NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™为下一代汽车中的自动驾驶计算机提供动力，首先是将于 2022 年发布的 XC90。</li><li>宣布 Vidia DRIVE Platforms 为梅赛德斯-奔驰新款 EQS 轿车的人工智能驾驶舱 MBUX Hyperscreen 提供动力。</li><li>宣布图森未来和纳威司达将制造由 NVIDIA DRIVE AGX 驱动的自动驾驶卡车™平台，自动驾驶卡车 companyPlus 将在其即将推出的自动驾驶汽车平台中使用 NVIDIA DRIVE ORIN。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198109956","content_text":"(May 27) Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.Nvidia Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent vs. $5.48B consensus.GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.Shares of Nvidia fell nearly 1% in afterhour trading.“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.HighlightsNVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:GamingFirst-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, includingCall of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis RemasteredandOutriders.Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated intoCall of Duty Warzone,OverwatchandRainbow Six: Siege.Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.Data CenterFirst-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.Professional VisualizationFirst-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.AutomotiveFirst-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™ to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3818,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136714688,"gmtCreate":1622039528144,"gmtModify":1634184420855,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"They can enter anywhere anytime. Nothing new about it","listText":"They can enter anywhere anytime. Nothing new about it","text":"They can enter anywhere anytime. Nothing new about it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136714688","repostId":"2138458148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4081,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138118131,"gmtCreate":1621916922823,"gmtModify":1634185505648,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Explanations always come after things happened","listText":"Explanations always come after things happened","text":"Explanations always come after things happened","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138118131","repostId":"2137132568","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130306349,"gmtCreate":1621509441681,"gmtModify":1634188573404,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Gamble","listText":"Gamble","text":"Gamble","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130306349","repostId":"1157270283","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195441166,"gmtCreate":1621311345655,"gmtModify":1634192539851,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"He should be regulated","listText":"He should be regulated","text":"He should be regulated","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195441166","repostId":"1124011196","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192864719,"gmtCreate":1621179291631,"gmtModify":1634193565493,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"You can never predict let alone explain&nbsp;","listText":"You can never predict let alone explain&nbsp;","text":"You can never predict let alone explain","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192864719","repostId":"1163454382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163454382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621004581,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1163454382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163454382","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million. First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinat","content":"<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMC 投资者有理由在再次融资后更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的上涨是在该公司宣布筹集 4.28 亿美元之后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）就当前的健康和安全协议发表了一份新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持物理距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这应该可以让电影院满负荷重新开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影观众的理想目的地。也是昨天，<b>华特·迪士尼</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：DIS）公布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克 (Bob Chapek) 指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是个好消息，但迪士尼也报告了其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>较低的流媒体订阅可能是影院业务的一个积极迹象。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，随着疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在室内聚集人群，不戴口罩，剧院上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动中。经过一年多的在家观看，电影院可能会成为最受欢迎的目的地。在再次融资之后，AMC 投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的道路。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-14 23:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AMC 投资者有理由在再次融资后更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的上涨是在该公司宣布筹集 4.28 亿美元之后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）就当前的健康和安全协议发表了一份新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持物理距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这应该可以让电影院满负荷重新开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影观众的理想目的地。也是昨天，<b>华特·迪士尼</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：DIS）公布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克 (Bob Chapek) 指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是个好消息，但迪士尼也报告了其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>较低的流媒体订阅可能是影院业务的一个积极迹象。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，随着疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在室内聚集人群，不戴口罩，剧院上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动中。经过一年多的在家观看，电影院可能会成为最受欢迎的目的地。在再次融资之后，AMC 投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的道路。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163454382","content_text":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million\nFirst, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.\nThis should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.\nNow what\nLower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.\nVaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198061988,"gmtCreate":1620914357544,"gmtModify":1634195326260,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Whenever anything goes down, more will say it will go down more. It's just baseless.","listText":"Whenever anything goes down, more will say it will go down more. It's just baseless.","text":"Whenever anything goes down, more will say it will go down more. It's just baseless.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198061988","repostId":"1164484222","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193558083,"gmtCreate":1620802317142,"gmtModify":1634196178475,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Too free and nothing better to do","listText":"Too free and nothing better to do","text":"Too free and nothing better to do","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193558083","repostId":"2134699733","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":977,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107765964,"gmtCreate":1620540851858,"gmtModify":1634198133631,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Inflation could be a result of higher wages","listText":"Inflation could be a result of higher wages","text":"Inflation could be a result of higher wages","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107765964","repostId":"1193602237","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193602237","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620471120,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193602237?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 18:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>随着企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193602237","media":"reuters","summary":"U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in dema","content":"<p>U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.</p><p><blockquote>美国雇主可能在 4 月份雇佣了近 100 万名工人，因为他们急于满足需求激增，这是在公共卫生迅速改善和政府提供大量财政援助的情况下经济重新开放所释放的。</blockquote></p><p>The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五发布的备受关注的就业报告将首次显示白宫 3 月份批准的 1.9 万亿美元 COVID-19 大流行救助计划的影响。这可能表明经济以更大的势头进入第二季度，坚定地走上了今年近四十年来最好表现的轨道。</blockquote></p><p>\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷兰国际集团驻纽约首席国际经济学家詹姆斯·奈特利表示：“我们正在寻找一个相当不错的数字，反映我们所看到的正在进行的重新开放。”“随着人们口袋里有了现金，经济活动看起来不错，这应该会导致整个经济中越来越多的招聘。”</blockquote></p><p>According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社对经济学家的调查，继3月份增加91.6万个之后，上个月非农就业人数可能增加97.8万个。这将使就业人数比 2020 年 2 月的峰值低约 750 万个。</blockquote></p><p>Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.</p><p><blockquote>12 个月前，经济因强制关闭非必要企业以减缓第一波 COVID-19 感染而减少了创纪录的 2067.9 万个工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p>April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>4月份的就业人数估计从低至65.6万人到高达210万人不等。自疫情爆发以来，新申请失业救济人数首次降至 50 万人以下，美国雇主 4 月份宣布的裁员人数为近 21 年来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p>Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对劳动力市场的看法也是 13 个月来最强劲的，这也表明就业又出现了大幅增长。但被压抑的需求导致了劳动力和原材料短缺，第一季度经济年化增长率为 6.4%，这是自 2003 年第三季度以来的第二快增长率。</blockquote></p><p>From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>从制造业到餐馆，雇主们都在争抢工人。劳动力短缺被归咎于一系列因素，包括仍在家照顾孩子的父母、与冠状病毒相关的退休和慷慨的失业支票。</blockquote></p><p>\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团驻纽约经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克表示：“虽然我们预计工人短缺不会对 4 月份的就业造成明显影响，但在扩大的失业救济金于 9 月份到期之前，未来几个月重新招聘可能会变得更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p>Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.</p><p><blockquote>随着餐馆、酒吧和游乐园等更多高接触的企业重新开业，休闲和酒店业可能会推动工资增长。16岁以上的美国人现在有资格接种新冠肺炎疫苗，导致纽约州、新泽西州和康涅狄格州等州取消了对企业的大部分冠状病毒产能限制。</blockquote></p><p>BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛的就业增长</blockquote></p><p>Solid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全球半导体芯片短缺迫使汽车制造商减产，但预计制造业也将稳步增长。强劲的住房需求可能会推高建筑业就业人数。</blockquote></p><p>Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.</p><p><blockquote>随着许多州恢复面对面学习，学区雇佣了更多教师，政府就业预计也会增加。</blockquote></p><p>Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的招聘不太可能对乔·拜登总统在教育和儿童保育、中低收入家庭、基础设施和就业方面再支出 4 万亿美元的计划产生影响。预计它也不会影响货币政策，美联储已表示准备让经济运行比前几个周期更热。</blockquote></p><p>Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>数百万美国人仍然失业，许多人因为疫情而永久失业。</blockquote></p><p>\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"</p><p><blockquote>纽约 TS Lombard 首席美国经济学家史蒂文·布利茨 (Steven Blitz) 表示：“没有人知道新冠疫情过后的经济会是什么样子。”“永久流离失所的人数一直居高不下。（支出）计划的目的是让经济走上更高的增长轨迹，以便这些人能够尽早就业。”</blockquote></p><p>The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"</p><p><blockquote>失业率预计将从3月份的6.0%降至4月份的5.8%。人们错误地将自己归类为“有工作但不工作”，从而低估了失业率。</blockquote></p><p>To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.</p><p><blockquote>为了衡量经济复苏，经济学家将关注失业超过六个月的人数以及因永久性失业而失业的人数。</blockquote></p><p>The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力参与率，即拥有工作或正在寻找工作的工作年龄美国人的比例，上个月可能有所改善，尽管仍低于大流行前的水平。在疫情期间，超过400万人，其中许多是妇女，退出了劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.</p><p><blockquote>由于工资较低的休闲和酒店业预计将主导就业增长，平均时薪在3月份下降0.1%后，4月份可能保持不变。这将导致工资在3月份增长4.2%后同比下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司(J.P. Morgan Asset Management)驻纽约首席全球策略师大卫·凯利(David Kelly)表示：“我们将密切关注平均时薪，寻找招聘合格工人的困难开始推高薪酬的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p>\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果劳动力市场收紧推动工资增长，那么美联储预计温和且短暂的通胀反弹可能会变得更强劲、更持久，从而导致美联储提前收紧货币政策。”</blockquote></p><p>The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.</p><p><blockquote>预计工资下降不会对消费者支出产生影响，美国人有超过2万亿美元的超额储蓄。平均工作周预计稳定在34.9小时。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>随着企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>随着企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 18:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.</p><p><blockquote>美国雇主可能在 4 月份雇佣了近 100 万名工人，因为他们急于满足需求激增，这是在公共卫生迅速改善和政府提供大量财政援助的情况下经济重新开放所释放的。</blockquote></p><p>The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周五发布的备受关注的就业报告将首次显示白宫 3 月份批准的 1.9 万亿美元 COVID-19 大流行救助计划的影响。这可能表明经济以更大的势头进入第二季度，坚定地走上了今年近四十年来最好表现的轨道。</blockquote></p><p>\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷兰国际集团驻纽约首席国际经济学家詹姆斯·奈特利表示：“我们正在寻找一个相当不错的数字，反映我们所看到的正在进行的重新开放。”“随着人们口袋里有了现金，经济活动看起来不错，这应该会导致整个经济中越来越多的招聘。”</blockquote></p><p>According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社对经济学家的调查，继3月份增加91.6万个之后，上个月非农就业人数可能增加97.8万个。这将使就业人数比 2020 年 2 月的峰值低约 750 万个。</blockquote></p><p>Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.</p><p><blockquote>12 个月前，经济因强制关闭非必要企业以减缓第一波 COVID-19 感染而减少了创纪录的 2067.9 万个工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p>April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>4月份的就业人数估计从低至65.6万人到高达210万人不等。自疫情爆发以来，新申请失业救济人数首次降至 50 万人以下，美国雇主 4 月份宣布的裁员人数为近 21 年来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p>Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对劳动力市场的看法也是 13 个月来最强劲的，这也表明就业又出现了大幅增长。但被压抑的需求导致了劳动力和原材料短缺，第一季度经济年化增长率为 6.4%，这是自 2003 年第三季度以来的第二快增长率。</blockquote></p><p>From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>从制造业到餐馆，雇主们都在争抢工人。劳动力短缺被归咎于一系列因素，包括仍在家照顾孩子的父母、与冠状病毒相关的退休和慷慨的失业支票。</blockquote></p><p>\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团驻纽约经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克表示：“虽然我们预计工人短缺不会对 4 月份的就业造成明显影响，但在扩大的失业救济金于 9 月份到期之前，未来几个月重新招聘可能会变得更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p>Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.</p><p><blockquote>随着餐馆、酒吧和游乐园等更多高接触的企业重新开业，休闲和酒店业可能会推动工资增长。16岁以上的美国人现在有资格接种新冠肺炎疫苗，导致纽约州、新泽西州和康涅狄格州等州取消了对企业的大部分冠状病毒产能限制。</blockquote></p><p>BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛的就业增长</blockquote></p><p>Solid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全球半导体芯片短缺迫使汽车制造商减产，但预计制造业也将稳步增长。强劲的住房需求可能会推高建筑业就业人数。</blockquote></p><p>Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.</p><p><blockquote>随着许多州恢复面对面学习，学区雇佣了更多教师，政府就业预计也会增加。</blockquote></p><p>Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的招聘不太可能对乔·拜登总统在教育和儿童保育、中低收入家庭、基础设施和就业方面再支出 4 万亿美元的计划产生影响。预计它也不会影响货币政策，美联储已表示准备让经济运行比前几个周期更热。</blockquote></p><p>Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>数百万美国人仍然失业，许多人因为疫情而永久失业。</blockquote></p><p>\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"</p><p><blockquote>纽约 TS Lombard 首席美国经济学家史蒂文·布利茨 (Steven Blitz) 表示：“没有人知道新冠疫情过后的经济会是什么样子。”“永久流离失所的人数一直居高不下。（支出）计划的目的是让经济走上更高的增长轨迹，以便这些人能够尽早就业。”</blockquote></p><p>The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"</p><p><blockquote>失业率预计将从3月份的6.0%降至4月份的5.8%。人们错误地将自己归类为“有工作但不工作”，从而低估了失业率。</blockquote></p><p>To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.</p><p><blockquote>为了衡量经济复苏，经济学家将关注失业超过六个月的人数以及因永久性失业而失业的人数。</blockquote></p><p>The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力参与率，即拥有工作或正在寻找工作的工作年龄美国人的比例，上个月可能有所改善，尽管仍低于大流行前的水平。在疫情期间，超过400万人，其中许多是妇女，退出了劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.</p><p><blockquote>由于工资较低的休闲和酒店业预计将主导就业增长，平均时薪在3月份下降0.1%后，4月份可能保持不变。这将导致工资在3月份增长4.2%后同比下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司(J.P. Morgan Asset Management)驻纽约首席全球策略师大卫·凯利(David Kelly)表示：“我们将密切关注平均时薪，寻找招聘合格工人的困难开始推高薪酬的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p>\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果劳动力市场收紧推动工资增长，那么美联储预计温和且短暂的通胀反弹可能会变得更强劲、更持久，从而导致美联储提前收紧货币政策。”</blockquote></p><p>The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.</p><p><blockquote>预计工资下降不会对消费者支出产生影响，美国人有超过2万亿美元的超额储蓄。平均工作周预计稳定在34.9小时。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193602237","content_text":"U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINSSolid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105311453,"gmtCreate":1620269267572,"gmtModify":1631884484223,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"NASDAQ drop attributed to big caps pull backs. I&nbsp;hope the small caps can recover soon.","listText":"NASDAQ drop attributed to big caps pull backs. I&nbsp;hope the small caps can recover soon.","text":"NASDAQ drop attributed to big caps pull backs. I hope the small caps can recover soon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105311453","repostId":"2133652936","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102127002,"gmtCreate":1620186932006,"gmtModify":1634207123961,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Really a Joker","listText":"Really a Joker","text":"Really a Joker","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102127002","repostId":"1194963568","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106639253,"gmtCreate":1620108689272,"gmtModify":1631883991316,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Will be an expensive one","listText":"Will be an expensive one","text":"Will be an expensive one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106639253","repostId":"1141446343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141446343","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620108260,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141446343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 14:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141446343","media":"seeking alpha","summary":"Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoftfounder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway, Waste Management, Caterpillar, Canadian National, Walmart, EcoLab, Crown Castle, ","content":"<p><ul><li>Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.</li><li>In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).</li><li>Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.</li><li>The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">Atreca</a>(NASDAQ:BCEL).</li><li>Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago.&nbsp;This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管这对夫妇在一份声明中向公众保证，尽管他们已经结婚，但他们仍将继续在基金会合作，但有关这位微软（纳斯达克股票代码：MSFT）创始人和他 27 年的伴侣的消息可能会给他们的项目带来冲击波。</li><li>在 Bill 和 Melinda Gates Foundation Trust 提交的截至 2020 年 12 月 31 日期间的最新 13F 文件中，按价值降序排列的最大持股包括伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 (NYSE:BRK.B)、废物管理公司 (NYSE:WM)、卡特彼勒公司 (NYSE:CAT)、加拿大国家航空 (NYSE:CNI)、沃尔玛 (NYSE:WMT)、艺康 (NYSE:ECL)、皇冠城堡 (NYSE:CCI)、联邦快递 (NYSE:FDX) 和 UPS (NYSE:UPS)。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">二</a>该基金会持有大量股份（超过流通股的 10%）的股票包括薛定谔（纳斯达克股票代码：SDGR）和可口可乐 Femsa（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KOF）。</li><li>大多数其他持股的市值低于 10 亿美元，其所有权仅占相关股票流通股的不到 3%。</li><li>比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会在最新的季度文件中披露了 Amyris（纳斯达克股票代码：AMRS）、Vir Biotech（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）、BionTech（纳斯达克股票代码：BNTX）、Curevac（纳斯达克股票代码：CVAC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">阿特雷卡</a>（纳斯达克股票代码：BCEL）</li><li>我们的读者可能还记得两年前世界首富杰夫·贝索斯和他的合伙人麦肯齐·斯科特宣布退出。这就是他们的财富最终在他们之间瓜分的方式。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-04 14:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.</li><li>In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).</li><li>Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.</li><li>The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">Atreca</a>(NASDAQ:BCEL).</li><li>Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago.&nbsp;This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管这对夫妇在一份声明中向公众保证，尽管他们已经结婚，但他们仍将继续在基金会合作，但有关这位微软（纳斯达克股票代码：MSFT）创始人和他 27 年的伴侣的消息可能会给他们的项目带来冲击波。</li><li>在 Bill 和 Melinda Gates Foundation Trust 提交的截至 2020 年 12 月 31 日期间的最新 13F 文件中，按价值降序排列的最大持股包括伯克希尔哈撒韦公司 (NYSE:BRK.B)、废物管理公司 (NYSE:WM)、卡特彼勒公司 (NYSE:CAT)、加拿大国家航空 (NYSE:CNI)、沃尔玛 (NYSE:WMT)、艺康 (NYSE:ECL)、皇冠城堡 (NYSE:CCI)、联邦快递 (NYSE:FDX) 和 UPS (NYSE:UPS)。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">二</a>该基金会持有大量股份（超过流通股的 10%）的股票包括薛定谔（纳斯达克股票代码：SDGR）和可口可乐 Femsa（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KOF）。</li><li>大多数其他持股的市值低于 10 亿美元，其所有权仅占相关股票流通股的不到 3%。</li><li>比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会在最新的季度文件中披露了 Amyris（纳斯达克股票代码：AMRS）、Vir Biotech（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）、BionTech（纳斯达克股票代码：BNTX）、Curevac（纳斯达克股票代码：CVAC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">阿特雷卡</a>（纳斯达克股票代码：BCEL）</li><li>我们的读者可能还记得两年前世界首富杰夫·贝索斯和他的合伙人麦肯齐·斯科特宣布退出。这就是他们的财富最终在他们之间瓜分的方式。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3689813-bill-and-melinda-gates-are-getting-divorced-here-are-some-stocks-they-owned\">seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMRS":"阿米瑞斯","CVAC":"CureVac B.V.","WCLD":"WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund","CCI":"冠城","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","UPS":"联合包裹","SDGR":"Schrodinger Inc.","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","CAT":"卡特彼勒","WMT":"沃尔玛","KOF":"可口可乐凡萨瓶装","MSFT":"微软","FDX":"联邦快递","VIR":"Vir Biotechnology, Inc.","WM":"美国废物管理","CNI":"加拿大国家铁路"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3689813-bill-and-melinda-gates-are-getting-divorced-here-are-some-stocks-they-owned","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141446343","content_text":"Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).Two stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and Atreca(NASDAQ:BCEL).Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago. This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BCEL":0.9,"CNI":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"KOF":0.9,"WM":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"WCLD":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"CAT":0.9,"AMRS":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"VIR":0.9,"CCI":0.9,"UPS":0.9,"CVAC":0.9,"SDGR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108118465,"gmtCreate":1620004484557,"gmtModify":1634208625794,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buffets favourites","listText":"Buffets favourites","text":"Buffets favourites","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108118465","repostId":"1135819410","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135819410","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619999342,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1135819410?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-03 07:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司、通用汽车等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135819410","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their fi","content":"<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&amp;P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday:&nbsp;Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p><blockquote>又是财报密集的一周，标普500有 130 家公司即将发布第一季度业绩。雅诗兰黛是周一的亮点之一，周二的情况有所好转： 动视暴雪、CVS Health、杜邦、辉瑞和 T-Mobile US 均有报道。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.&nbsp;Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，巴里克黄金公司、Booking Holdings、通用汽车、PayPal控股公司和优步科技公司发布财报。百威英博、Moderna、再生元制药、Square和维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司将于周四上市。最后，信诺将于周五结束本周。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the&nbsp;main event will jobs Friday.&nbsp;The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p><blockquote>在本周的经济日历上，主要事件将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局（Bureau of Labor Statistics）预测，4月份非农就业人数将增加97.5万人，失业率为5.8%，低于一个月前的6%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its&nbsp;Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周一公布的美国供应管理协会 (Institute for Supply Management) 4 月份制造业采购经理人指数和周三公布的服务业指数。</blockquote></p><p>Enterprise Products Partners&nbsp;and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业产品合作伙伴和雅诗兰黛发布收益。</blockquote></p><p>Merck and&nbsp;Public Storage&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>默克和公共存储举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告三月份建筑支出数据。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1.53 万亿美元，建筑支出环比增长 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布4月份制造业采购经理人指数。经济学家预测读数为65，与3月份的数字大致持平。3月份的读数是该指数自1983年12月以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 5/4</b></blockquote></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪、康菲石油公司、康明斯、CVS Health、Dominion Energy、杜邦、伊顿、辉瑞、思科和 T-Mobile US 报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>Eli Lilly&nbsp;holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p><blockquote>礼来公司召开电话会议讨论其可持续发展举措。</blockquote></p><p>Union Pacific&nbsp;holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋举办 2021 年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 5/5</b></blockquote></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、博格华纳、艾默生电气、通用汽车、希尔顿全球控股公司、诺和诺德、PayPal Holdings 和 Uber Technologies 发布财报。</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>其4月份的全国就业报告。继 3 月份增加 517,000 个就业岗位后，预计私营部门就业岗位将增加 762,500 个。</blockquote></p><p><b>ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM版本</b>其4月份服务业采购经理人指数。普遍看涨期权为 64.6，比 3 月份的数据高出一个档次。三月份的读数是该指数的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 5/6</b></blockquote></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and&nbsp;Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>百威英博、Becton Dickinson、Expedia Group、富达国家信息服务、家乐氏、林德、大都会人寿、Moderna、再生元制药、Square、ViacomCBS 和 Zoetis 在评级举行会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至 5 月 1 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。4月份首次申请失业救济人数平均每周为611,750人，处于去年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了第一季度的劳动力成本和生产率。预计经季节性调整后的生产率年增长率为 2.2%，而 2020 年第四季度为下降 4.2%。单位劳动力成本在此前上涨 6% 后下降 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5/7星期五</b></blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布了4月份的就业报告。经济学家预测非农就业人数将增加97.5万人。失业率预计将从6%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Cigna and&nbsp;<b>Liberty Media</b>&nbsp;report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>信诺和<b>自由媒体</b>报告收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司、通用汽车等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司、通用汽车等投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-03 07:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&amp;P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday:&nbsp;Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p><blockquote>又是财报密集的一周，标普500有 130 家公司即将发布第一季度业绩。雅诗兰黛是周一的亮点之一，周二的情况有所好转： 动视暴雪、CVS Health、杜邦、辉瑞和 T-Mobile US 均有报道。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.&nbsp;Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，巴里克黄金公司、Booking Holdings、通用汽车、PayPal控股公司和优步科技公司发布财报。百威英博、Moderna、再生元制药、Square和维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司将于周四上市。最后，信诺将于周五结束本周。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the&nbsp;main event will jobs Friday.&nbsp;The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p><blockquote>在本周的经济日历上，主要事件将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局（Bureau of Labor Statistics）预测，4月份非农就业人数将增加97.5万人，失业率为5.8%，低于一个月前的6%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its&nbsp;Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周一公布的美国供应管理协会 (Institute for Supply Management) 4 月份制造业采购经理人指数和周三公布的服务业指数。</blockquote></p><p>Enterprise Products Partners&nbsp;and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业产品合作伙伴和雅诗兰黛发布收益。</blockquote></p><p>Merck and&nbsp;Public Storage&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>默克和公共存储举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告三月份建筑支出数据。普遍估计，经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1.53 万亿美元，建筑支出环比增长 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布4月份制造业采购经理人指数。经济学家预测读数为65，与3月份的数字大致持平。3月份的读数是该指数自1983年12月以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 5/4</b></blockquote></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪、康菲石油公司、康明斯、CVS Health、Dominion Energy、杜邦、伊顿、辉瑞、思科和 T-Mobile US 报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>Eli Lilly&nbsp;holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p><blockquote>礼来公司召开电话会议讨论其可持续发展举措。</blockquote></p><p>Union Pacific&nbsp;holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋举办 2021 年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 5/5</b></blockquote></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、博格华纳、艾默生电气、通用汽车、希尔顿全球控股公司、诺和诺德、PayPal Holdings 和 Uber Technologies 发布财报。</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>其4月份的全国就业报告。继 3 月份增加 517,000 个就业岗位后，预计私营部门就业岗位将增加 762,500 个。</blockquote></p><p><b>ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM版本</b>其4月份服务业采购经理人指数。普遍看涨期权为 64.6，比 3 月份的数据高出一个档次。三月份的读数是该指数的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 5/6</b></blockquote></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and&nbsp;Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>百威英博、Becton Dickinson、Expedia Group、富达国家信息服务、家乐氏、林德、大都会人寿、Moderna、再生元制药、Square、ViacomCBS 和 Zoetis 在评级举行会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至 5 月 1 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。4月份首次申请失业救济人数平均每周为611,750人，处于去年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了第一季度的劳动力成本和生产率。预计经季节性调整后的生产率年增长率为 2.2%，而 2020 年第四季度为下降 4.2%。单位劳动力成本在此前上涨 6% 后下降 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5/7星期五</b></blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布了4月份的就业报告。经济学家预测非农就业人数将增加97.5万人。失业率预计将从6%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Cigna and&nbsp;<b>Liberty Media</b>&nbsp;report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>信诺和<b>自由媒体</b>报告收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PFE":"辉瑞","PYPL":"PayPal","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc","UBER":"优步",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GM":"通用汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135819410","content_text":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.On Wednesday, Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings. Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on Friday.On the economic calendar this week, the main event will jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its Services equivalent on Wednesday.Enterprise Products Partners and Estée Lauder release earnings.Merck and Public Storage hold virtual investor days.The Census Bureau reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.The Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.Tuesday 5/4Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.Eli Lilly holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.Union Pacific holds its 2021 virtual investor day.Wednesday 5/5Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.ADP releases its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.ISM releases its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.Thursday 5/6Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.Friday 5/7The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.Cigna and Liberty Media report earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBER":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"GM":0.9,"VIACP":0.9,"TMUS":0.9,"PFE":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":101386499,"gmtCreate":1619845800611,"gmtModify":1634209499015,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nothing new. Always targeted for a fine.","listText":"Nothing new. Always targeted for a fine.","text":"Nothing new. Always targeted for a fine.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101386499","repostId":"1142063705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1050,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193558083,"gmtCreate":1620802317142,"gmtModify":1634196178475,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Too free and nothing better to do","listText":"Too free and nothing better to do","text":"Too free and nothing better to do","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193558083","repostId":"2134699733","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":977,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869969751,"gmtCreate":1632235881973,"gmtModify":1632801862593,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"V shape recovery?","listText":"V shape recovery?","text":"V shape recovery?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869969751","repostId":"1103252137","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2930,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352323705,"gmtCreate":1616896473807,"gmtModify":1634523631948,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"IPO craze is more or less over. This reflect the cooling down of speculation.","listText":"IPO craze is more or less over. This reflect the cooling down of speculation.","text":"IPO craze is more or less over. This reflect the cooling down of speculation.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352323705","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358087014,"gmtCreate":1616641028638,"gmtModify":1634524775317,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"This doesn't make sense. I read it's because it battery cost. Tesla increases its price in China hence affecting growth.","listText":"This doesn't make sense. I read it's because it battery cost. Tesla increases its price in China hence affecting growth.","text":"This doesn't make sense. I read it's because it battery cost. Tesla increases its price in China hence affecting growth.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358087014","repostId":"1123019252","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123019252","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616639768,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1123019252?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-25 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why NIO Stock Is Down<blockquote>蔚来股价为何下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123019252","media":"fool","summary":"Shares of Chinese electric-vehicle makerNIOwere trading lower on Wednesday, amid broad market turbulence affecting shares of manyelectric vehicle makersand other emerging technology companies.There was no major news driving NIO's shares lower -- or major news of any kind that was directly related to NIO or its stock. The company did share some minor news, but it seems positive: As of 3:16 a.m. local time, a NIO battery-swap station in Suzhou  completed the company's 2 millionth battery swap.NIO ","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么事</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Chinese electric-vehicle maker<b>NIO</b>were trading lower on Wednesday, amid broad market turbulence affecting shares of manyelectric vehicle makersand other emerging technology companies.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商的股票<b>蔚来</b>由于广泛的市场动荡影响了许多电动汽车制造商和其他新兴科技公司的股票，周三股价走低。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> There was no major news driving NIO's shares lower -- or major news of any kind that was directly related to NIO or its stock. The company did share some minor news, but it seems positive: As of 3:16 a.m. local time, a NIO battery-swap station in Suzhou (just west of Shanghai) completed the company's 2 millionth battery swap.</p><p><blockquote>没有任何重大新闻导致蔚来汽车股价下跌，也没有任何与蔚来或其股票直接相关的重大新闻。该公司确实分享了一些小消息，但似乎是积极的：截至当地时间凌晨 3 点 16 分，位于苏州（上海以西）的蔚来换电站完成了该公司的第 200 万次电池更换。</blockquote></p><p> NIO said that its network of over 200 battery-swap stations -- which automatically swap a NIO's battery pack for a fully charged one -- now complete a swap about once every 10 seconds, on average.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来表示，其由 200 多个电池更换站组成的网络（自动将蔚来的电池组更换为充满电的电池组）现在平均每 10 秒完成一次更换。</blockquote></p><p> It's not huge news, and it's certainly not what's moving the stock today. But now you know.</p><p><blockquote>这不是什么大新闻，当然也不是今天股价走势的原因。但现在你知道了。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在呢</blockquote></p><p> That seconds-between-battery-swaps number could well fall over the next several months, as NIO begins deploying its new \"second-generation\" battery-swap stations. The new stations can store more battery packs and complete swaps more quickly than the current units, and theycost less to build, NIO said earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>随着蔚来开始部署其新的“第二代”电池交换站，电池之间的秒数可能会在未来几个月内下降。蔚来本月早些时候表示，与当前装置相比，新充电站可以存储更多电池组并更快地完成更换，而且建造成本更低。</blockquote></p><p> NIO confirmed on Wednesday that it expects the first of those second-generation stations to be up and running in mid-April.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来周三证实，预计第一个第二代电台将于 4 月中旬投入使用。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why NIO Stock Is Down<blockquote>蔚来股价为何下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy NIO Stock Is Down<blockquote>蔚来股价为何下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-25 10:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么事</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Chinese electric-vehicle maker<b>NIO</b>were trading lower on Wednesday, amid broad market turbulence affecting shares of manyelectric vehicle makersand other emerging technology companies.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商的股票<b>蔚来</b>由于广泛的市场动荡影响了许多电动汽车制造商和其他新兴科技公司的股票，周三股价走低。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> There was no major news driving NIO's shares lower -- or major news of any kind that was directly related to NIO or its stock. The company did share some minor news, but it seems positive: As of 3:16 a.m. local time, a NIO battery-swap station in Suzhou (just west of Shanghai) completed the company's 2 millionth battery swap.</p><p><blockquote>没有任何重大新闻导致蔚来汽车股价下跌，也没有任何与蔚来或其股票直接相关的重大新闻。该公司确实分享了一些小消息，但似乎是积极的：截至当地时间凌晨 3 点 16 分，位于苏州（上海以西）的蔚来换电站完成了该公司的第 200 万次电池更换。</blockquote></p><p> NIO said that its network of over 200 battery-swap stations -- which automatically swap a NIO's battery pack for a fully charged one -- now complete a swap about once every 10 seconds, on average.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来表示，其由 200 多个电池更换站组成的网络（自动将蔚来的电池组更换为充满电的电池组）现在平均每 10 秒完成一次更换。</blockquote></p><p> It's not huge news, and it's certainly not what's moving the stock today. But now you know.</p><p><blockquote>这不是什么大新闻，当然也不是今天股价走势的原因。但现在你知道了。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在呢</blockquote></p><p> That seconds-between-battery-swaps number could well fall over the next several months, as NIO begins deploying its new \"second-generation\" battery-swap stations. The new stations can store more battery packs and complete swaps more quickly than the current units, and theycost less to build, NIO said earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>随着蔚来开始部署其新的“第二代”电池交换站，电池之间的秒数可能会在未来几个月内下降。蔚来本月早些时候表示，与当前装置相比，新充电站可以存储更多电池组并更快地完成更换，而且建造成本更低。</blockquote></p><p> NIO confirmed on Wednesday that it expects the first of those second-generation stations to be up and running in mid-April.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来周三证实，预计第一个第二代电台将于 4 月中旬投入使用。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/24/why-nio-stock-is-down-today/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3b92523152bd36c422721756606e549","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/24/why-nio-stock-is-down-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123019252","content_text":"What happened\nShares of Chinese electric-vehicle makerNIOwere trading lower on Wednesday, amid broad market turbulence affecting shares of manyelectric vehicle makersand other emerging technology companies.\nSo what\nThere was no major news driving NIO's shares lower -- or major news of any kind that was directly related to NIO or its stock. The company did share some minor news, but it seems positive: As of 3:16 a.m. local time, a NIO battery-swap station in Suzhou (just west of Shanghai) completed the company's 2 millionth battery swap.\nNIO said that its network of over 200 battery-swap stations -- which automatically swap a NIO's battery pack for a fully charged one -- now complete a swap about once every 10 seconds, on average.\nIt's not huge news, and it's certainly not what's moving the stock today. But now you know.\nNow what\nThat seconds-between-battery-swaps number could well fall over the next several months, as NIO begins deploying its new \"second-generation\" battery-swap stations. The new stations can store more battery packs and complete swaps more quickly than the current units, and theycost less to build, NIO said earlier this month.\nNIO confirmed on Wednesday that it expects the first of those second-generation stations to be up and running in mid-April.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":651,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353394794,"gmtCreate":1616459848518,"gmtModify":1634525728651,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Not going to be easy and straight forward. There will be resistance and interest to trade off for this to eventually go through politically. And then it may look completely different from now.","listText":"Not going to be easy and straight forward. There will be resistance and interest to trade off for this to eventually go through politically. And then it may look completely different from now.","text":"Not going to be easy and straight forward. There will be resistance and interest to trade off for this to eventually go through politically. And then it may look completely different from now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353394794","repostId":"1145446245","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145446245","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616459138,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1145446245?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-23 08:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Joe Biden Wants to Raise Taxes. What It Would Mean for the Stock Market.<blockquote>乔·拜登想提高税收。这对股市意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145446245","media":"barrons","summary":"Investors seem to have ignored the possibility of higher corporate taxes under the Joe Biden adminis","content":"<p>Investors seem to have ignored the possibility of higher corporate taxes under the Joe Biden administration, yet the impact would be far from minimal.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎忽略了乔·拜登政府提高企业税的可能性，但影响远非微乎其微。</blockquote></p><p> Since just before the presidential election, stocks have soared. TheS&amp;P 500is up 19% since Nov. 2, the Monday before Election Day. And it is up 6.4%% since Jan. 4, the day before the Georgia runoff elections handed control of both houses of Congress to the Democrats, making it more likely that President Biden would be able to follow through on policy proposals centered ontrillions of dollars in government spending.</p><p><blockquote>自总统大选前夕以来，股市飙升。自 11 月 2 日（选举日前的星期一）以来，标准普尔 500 指数已上涨 19%。自 1 月 4 日（佐治亚州决选将国会两院控制权移交给民主党的前一天）以来，这一数字已上涨 6.4%，这使得拜登总统更有可能贯彻以数万亿美元政府支出为中心的政策提案。</blockquote></p><p> And stocks are just as richly valued now as they were before the Georgia result, even though bond yields were much lower then. Higher bond yields tend to drag on stocks’ valuations, so shares’ resilience signifies a high degree of optimism among investors.</p><p><blockquote>尽管当时债券收益率要低得多，但股票现在的估值与佐治亚州选举结果之前一样高。债券收益率上升往往会拖累股票估值，因此股票的弹性意味着投资者的高度乐观。</blockquote></p><p> The10-year Treasury yield has risen fiercely since early January, reflecting a fast-rebounding economy, but the average valuation for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 remains at just under 22 times the per-share earnings expected for the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>自1月初以来，10年期国债收益率大幅上升，反映出经济快速反弹，但标普500股票的平均估值仍略低于来年预期每股收益的22倍。</blockquote></p><p> “Equities do not appear to be pricing much concern regarding tax hikes,” wrote David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“高盛（Goldman Sachs）首席美国股票策略师大卫-科斯汀（David Kostin）在一份报告中写道：”股市似乎并没有对增税产生太多担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Biden’s tax policy could bring the corporate tax rate as high as 28%, from the current 21%. On its face, that would shave about 9% off of the $200 in aggregate earnings per share that FactSet data indicates is expected for companies in the S&amp;P 500 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拜登的税收政策可能会将企业税率从目前的 21% 提高到 28%。从表面上看，这将使 FactSet 数据显示标普500公司 2022 年预计每股 200 美元的总收益减少约 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Aggregate earnings per share would be at $182, all else being equal. If the S&amp;P 500 traded at20 times forward earnings by the end of this year, which many strategists forecast,then the index would be at 3640, well below its closing level of 3,940.59 on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>在其他条件相同的情况下，每股总收益为 182 美元。如果像许多策略师预测的那样，标普500到今年年底的预期市盈率为 20 倍，那么该指数将处于 3640 点，远低于周一收盘价 3,940.59 点。</blockquote></p><p> But Goldman sees the tax rate coming up to just 25%. That wouldn’t be surprising, given that there are several centrist Democrats in the Senate, who may favor a smaller increase. Such a tax increase would only shave about 5% off of S&amp;P 500 EPS.</p><p><blockquote>但高盛预计税率将升至 25%。鉴于参议院中有几位中间派民主党人可能赞成小幅增幅，这并不奇怪。这样的增税只会使标普500每股收益减少约 5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Joe Biden Wants to Raise Taxes. What It Would Mean for the Stock Market.<blockquote>乔·拜登想提高税收。这对股市意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJoe Biden Wants to Raise Taxes. What It Would Mean for the Stock Market.<blockquote>乔·拜登想提高税收。这对股市意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-23 08:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors seem to have ignored the possibility of higher corporate taxes under the Joe Biden administration, yet the impact would be far from minimal.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎忽略了乔·拜登政府提高企业税的可能性，但影响远非微乎其微。</blockquote></p><p> Since just before the presidential election, stocks have soared. TheS&amp;P 500is up 19% since Nov. 2, the Monday before Election Day. And it is up 6.4%% since Jan. 4, the day before the Georgia runoff elections handed control of both houses of Congress to the Democrats, making it more likely that President Biden would be able to follow through on policy proposals centered ontrillions of dollars in government spending.</p><p><blockquote>自总统大选前夕以来，股市飙升。自 11 月 2 日（选举日前的星期一）以来，标准普尔 500 指数已上涨 19%。自 1 月 4 日（佐治亚州决选将国会两院控制权移交给民主党的前一天）以来，这一数字已上涨 6.4%，这使得拜登总统更有可能贯彻以数万亿美元政府支出为中心的政策提案。</blockquote></p><p> And stocks are just as richly valued now as they were before the Georgia result, even though bond yields were much lower then. Higher bond yields tend to drag on stocks’ valuations, so shares’ resilience signifies a high degree of optimism among investors.</p><p><blockquote>尽管当时债券收益率要低得多，但股票现在的估值与佐治亚州选举结果之前一样高。债券收益率上升往往会拖累股票估值，因此股票的弹性意味着投资者的高度乐观。</blockquote></p><p> The10-year Treasury yield has risen fiercely since early January, reflecting a fast-rebounding economy, but the average valuation for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 remains at just under 22 times the per-share earnings expected for the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>自1月初以来，10年期国债收益率大幅上升，反映出经济快速反弹，但标普500股票的平均估值仍略低于来年预期每股收益的22倍。</blockquote></p><p> “Equities do not appear to be pricing much concern regarding tax hikes,” wrote David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“高盛（Goldman Sachs）首席美国股票策略师大卫-科斯汀（David Kostin）在一份报告中写道：”股市似乎并没有对增税产生太多担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Biden’s tax policy could bring the corporate tax rate as high as 28%, from the current 21%. On its face, that would shave about 9% off of the $200 in aggregate earnings per share that FactSet data indicates is expected for companies in the S&amp;P 500 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拜登的税收政策可能会将企业税率从目前的 21% 提高到 28%。从表面上看，这将使 FactSet 数据显示标普500公司 2022 年预计每股 200 美元的总收益减少约 9%。</blockquote></p><p> Aggregate earnings per share would be at $182, all else being equal. If the S&amp;P 500 traded at20 times forward earnings by the end of this year, which many strategists forecast,then the index would be at 3640, well below its closing level of 3,940.59 on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>在其他条件相同的情况下，每股总收益为 182 美元。如果像许多策略师预测的那样，标普500到今年年底的预期市盈率为 20 倍，那么该指数将处于 3640 点，远低于周一收盘价 3,940.59 点。</blockquote></p><p> But Goldman sees the tax rate coming up to just 25%. That wouldn’t be surprising, given that there are several centrist Democrats in the Senate, who may favor a smaller increase. Such a tax increase would only shave about 5% off of S&amp;P 500 EPS.</p><p><blockquote>但高盛预计税率将升至 25%。鉴于参议院中有几位中间派民主党人可能赞成小幅增幅，这并不奇怪。这样的增税只会使标普500每股收益减少约 5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/barrons-100-most-influential-women-in-u-s-finance-anne-finucane-51616144400\">barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/barrons-100-most-influential-women-in-u-s-finance-anne-finucane-51616144400","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145446245","content_text":"Investors seem to have ignored the possibility of higher corporate taxes under the Joe Biden administration, yet the impact would be far from minimal.\nSince just before the presidential election, stocks have soared. TheS&P 500is up 19% since Nov. 2, the Monday before Election Day. And it is up 6.4%% since Jan. 4, the day before the Georgia runoff elections handed control of both houses of Congress to the Democrats, making it more likely that President Biden would be able to follow through on policy proposals centered ontrillions of dollars in government spending.\nAnd stocks are just as richly valued now as they were before the Georgia result, even though bond yields were much lower then. Higher bond yields tend to drag on stocks’ valuations, so shares’ resilience signifies a high degree of optimism among investors.\nThe10-year Treasury yield has risen fiercely since early January, reflecting a fast-rebounding economy, but the average valuation for stocks in the S&P 500 remains at just under 22 times the per-share earnings expected for the coming year.\n“Equities do not appear to be pricing much concern regarding tax hikes,” wrote David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, in a note.\nBiden’s tax policy could bring the corporate tax rate as high as 28%, from the current 21%. On its face, that would shave about 9% off of the $200 in aggregate earnings per share that FactSet data indicates is expected for companies in the S&P 500 in 2022.\nAggregate earnings per share would be at $182, all else being equal. If the S&P 500 traded at20 times forward earnings by the end of this year, which many strategists forecast,then the index would be at 3640, well below its closing level of 3,940.59 on Monday.\nBut Goldman sees the tax rate coming up to just 25%. That wouldn’t be surprising, given that there are several centrist Democrats in the Senate, who may favor a smaller increase. Such a tax increase would only shave about 5% off of S&P 500 EPS.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109187269,"gmtCreate":1619673673451,"gmtModify":1634210811201,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great QTR. However expectations are high as usual.","listText":"Great QTR. However expectations are high as usual.","text":"Great QTR. However expectations are high as usual.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109187269","repostId":"1137964402","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137964402","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619651546,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137964402?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 07:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告另一个井喷季度销售额增长 54%，授权回购 900 亿美元股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137964402","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65","content":"<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple&nbsp;reported&nbsp;a blowout quarter&nbsp;on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了一个井喷的季度，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长 54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至 6 月份的季度预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了一个井喷的季度，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长 54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过 4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its&nbsp;most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales&nbsp;did&nbsp;better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad&nbsp;sales&nbsp;growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称，其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长，其最重要的产品线 iPhone 比去年增长了 65.5%。其 Mac 和 iPad 销量表现更好，电脑销量同比增长 70.1%，iPad 销量同比增长近 79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7%&nbsp;to $0.22 per share&nbsp;and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay&nbsp;and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示，将把股息提高 7%，达到每股 0.22 美元，并授权回购 900 亿美元的股票，大大高于去年的 500 亿美元支出和 2019 年的 750 亿美元支出。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果的表现与路孚特的估计：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>:&nbsp;$1.40&nbsp;vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>:&nbsp;$89.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $77.36&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>:&nbsp;$47.94 billion&nbsp;vs. $41.43&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up&nbsp;65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>:&nbsp;$16.90 billion&nbsp;vs. $15.57&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 26.7% year over&nbsp;year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.83&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $7.79&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated,&nbsp;up 24%&nbsp;year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>:&nbsp;$9.10&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $6.86&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.80 billion&nbsp;vs. $5.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>:&nbsp;42.5% vs. 39.8%&nbsp;estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue&nbsp;guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty.&nbsp;This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories.&nbsp;Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>每股收益</b>：1.40美元对比。估计 0.99 美元</li><li><b>收入</b>：895.8 亿美元 vs.预计773.6亿美元，同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>：479.4亿美元 vs.预计414.3亿美元，同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>：169.0 亿美元 vs.预计155.7亿美元，同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收入</b>：78.3 亿美元 vs.预计77.9亿美元，同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>：91亿美元 vs.预计68.6亿美元，同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>：78 亿美元 vs.预计55.8亿美元，同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>：42.5% vs. 估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至 6 月份的季度预期发布官方指引。自大流行病开始以来，该公司一直没有提供收入指引，理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度所有产品类别都实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官卢卡-马埃斯特里（Luca Maestri）告诉分析师，该公司预计 6 月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数，尽管由于全球芯片短缺，该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers&nbsp;and businesses&nbsp;bought&nbsp;computers&nbsp;to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies&nbsp;open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果近几个月来表示，随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐，疫情提振了其业务。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明，随着更多经济体的开放，这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this&nbsp;moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days&nbsp;ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者，正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆-库克（Tim Cook）在一份声明中所说： “本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式，也反映了消费者似乎对我们所有人未来更美好的日子感到乐观”。</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac&nbsp;laptops&nbsp;that used its own M1 chips&nbsp;for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by&nbsp;Intel.&nbsp;iPad sales were up&nbsp;nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac 销量增长了 70%，库克说，这一结果 “得益于 ”该公司推出的 Mac 笔记本电脑使用自己的 M1 芯片，而不是英特尔销售的处理器，从而延长了电池寿命。iPad 销量同比增长近 79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those&nbsp;results&nbsp;include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这些结果都不包括该公司 3 月份宣布的 iPad Pro 或 iMac 型号，预计这将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac&nbsp;…&nbsp;it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that&nbsp;…&nbsp;it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>“库克告诉 CNBC 的乔希-利普顿（Josh Lipton）：”我们看到 Mac 的首次购买者强劲.它的购买率继续徘徊在 50% 以下。“在中国，这一比例甚至更高.三分之二左右。这说明人们更喜欢在 Mac 上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的 iPhone 本季度也公布了强劲的业绩，平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年，苹果发布了采用全新外观设计和 5G 支持的 iPhone，许多投资者认为这可能会引发一次重大升级周期，本季度的业绩也表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan,&nbsp;Apple’s revenue increased over&nbsp;87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic.&nbsp;Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括中国大陆、中国香港和台湾地区在内的大中华区，苹果的收入同比增长超过 87%，达到 177.3 亿美元，但与去年的一个季度相比，去年中国在大流行病初期基本上处于停摆状态。包括美洲和欧洲在内的所有其他地区的收入也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s&nbsp;high-margin&nbsp;services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务，包括 iCloud、App Store 和苹果音乐等订阅服务，也实现了 26.7% 的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量，其中不仅包括苹果一号等自己的订阅，还包括通过其应用商店的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“库克告诉 CNBC：”我们现在平台上所有服务的付费订阅量超过 6.6 亿，比上一季度增加了 4000 万，比上一季度的 3500 万有所加快。</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果的 App Store 一直受到立法者和公司的质疑，他们认为它成本太高，权力太大。备受关注的堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games关于应用商店政策的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store 是一个经济奇迹。据估计，去年有超过 5 万亿美元的经济活动因为 App Store 而产生。因此，这不仅改变了美国的经济游戏规则，也改变了世界上几个国家的经济游戏规则。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们拭目以待。但是，我们很有信心，”库克告诉 CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度，利润率往往在 38% 至 39% 之间，但在截至 3 月份的季度，苹果报告的利润率为 42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告另一个井喷季度销售额增长 54%，授权回购 900 亿美元股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告另一个井喷季度销售额增长 54%，授权回购 900 亿美元股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-29 07:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple&nbsp;reported&nbsp;a blowout quarter&nbsp;on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了一个井喷的季度，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长 54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至 6 月份的季度预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了一个井喷的季度，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长 54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过 4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its&nbsp;most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales&nbsp;did&nbsp;better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad&nbsp;sales&nbsp;growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称，其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长，其最重要的产品线 iPhone 比去年增长了 65.5%。其 Mac 和 iPad 销量表现更好，电脑销量同比增长 70.1%，iPad 销量同比增长近 79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7%&nbsp;to $0.22 per share&nbsp;and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay&nbsp;and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示，将把股息提高 7%，达到每股 0.22 美元，并授权回购 900 亿美元的股票，大大高于去年的 500 亿美元支出和 2019 年的 750 亿美元支出。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果的表现与路孚特的估计：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>:&nbsp;$1.40&nbsp;vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>:&nbsp;$89.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $77.36&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>:&nbsp;$47.94 billion&nbsp;vs. $41.43&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up&nbsp;65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>:&nbsp;$16.90 billion&nbsp;vs. $15.57&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 26.7% year over&nbsp;year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.83&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $7.79&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated,&nbsp;up 24%&nbsp;year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>:&nbsp;$9.10&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $6.86&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.80 billion&nbsp;vs. $5.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>:&nbsp;42.5% vs. 39.8%&nbsp;estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue&nbsp;guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty.&nbsp;This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories.&nbsp;Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>每股收益</b>：1.40美元对比。估计 0.99 美元</li><li><b>收入</b>：895.8 亿美元 vs.预计773.6亿美元，同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>：479.4亿美元 vs.预计414.3亿美元，同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>：169.0 亿美元 vs.预计155.7亿美元，同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收入</b>：78.3 亿美元 vs.预计77.9亿美元，同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>：91亿美元 vs.预计68.6亿美元，同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>：78 亿美元 vs.预计55.8亿美元，同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>：42.5% vs. 估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至 6 月份的季度预期发布官方指引。自大流行病开始以来，该公司一直没有提供收入指引，理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度所有产品类别都实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官卢卡-马埃斯特里（Luca Maestri）告诉分析师，该公司预计 6 月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数，尽管由于全球芯片短缺，该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers&nbsp;and businesses&nbsp;bought&nbsp;computers&nbsp;to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies&nbsp;open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果近几个月来表示，随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐，疫情提振了其业务。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明，随着更多经济体的开放，这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this&nbsp;moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days&nbsp;ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者，正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆-库克（Tim Cook）在一份声明中所说： “本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式，也反映了消费者似乎对我们所有人未来更美好的日子感到乐观”。</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac&nbsp;laptops&nbsp;that used its own M1 chips&nbsp;for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by&nbsp;Intel.&nbsp;iPad sales were up&nbsp;nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac 销量增长了 70%，库克说，这一结果 “得益于 ”该公司推出的 Mac 笔记本电脑使用自己的 M1 芯片，而不是英特尔销售的处理器，从而延长了电池寿命。iPad 销量同比增长近 79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those&nbsp;results&nbsp;include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这些结果都不包括该公司 3 月份宣布的 iPad Pro 或 iMac 型号，预计这将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac&nbsp;…&nbsp;it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that&nbsp;…&nbsp;it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>“库克告诉 CNBC 的乔希-利普顿（Josh Lipton）：”我们看到 Mac 的首次购买者强劲.它的购买率继续徘徊在 50% 以下。“在中国，这一比例甚至更高.三分之二左右。这说明人们更喜欢在 Mac 上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的 iPhone 本季度也公布了强劲的业绩，平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年，苹果发布了采用全新外观设计和 5G 支持的 iPhone，许多投资者认为这可能会引发一次重大升级周期，本季度的业绩也表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan,&nbsp;Apple’s revenue increased over&nbsp;87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic.&nbsp;Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括中国大陆、中国香港和台湾地区在内的大中华区，苹果的收入同比增长超过 87%，达到 177.3 亿美元，但与去年的一个季度相比，去年中国在大流行病初期基本上处于停摆状态。包括美洲和欧洲在内的所有其他地区的收入也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s&nbsp;high-margin&nbsp;services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务，包括 iCloud、App Store 和苹果音乐等订阅服务，也实现了 26.7% 的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量，其中不仅包括苹果一号等自己的订阅，还包括通过其应用商店的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“库克告诉 CNBC：”我们现在平台上所有服务的付费订阅量超过 6.6 亿，比上一季度增加了 4000 万，比上一季度的 3500 万有所加快。</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果的 App Store 一直受到立法者和公司的质疑，他们认为它成本太高，权力太大。备受关注的堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games关于应用商店政策的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store 是一个经济奇迹。据估计，去年有超过 5 万亿美元的经济活动因为 App Store 而产生。因此，这不仅改变了美国的经济游戏规则，也改变了世界上几个国家的经济游戏规则。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们拭目以待。但是，我们很有信心，”库克告诉 CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度，利润率往往在 38% 至 39% 之间，但在截至 3 月份的季度，苹果报告的利润率为 42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137964402","content_text":"KEY POINTSApple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales did better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad sales growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay and 2019′s $75 billion.Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:EPS: $1.40 vs. $0.99 estimatedRevenue: $89.58 billion vs. $77.36 billion estimated, up 53.7% year-over-yeariPhone revenue: $47.94 billion vs. $41.43 billion estimated, up 65.5% year-over-yearServices revenue: $16.90 billion vs. $15.57 billion estimated, up 26.7% year over yearOther Products revenue: $7.83 billion vs. $7.79 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-yearMac revenue: $9.10 billion vs. $6.86 billion estimated, up 70.1% year-over-yeariPad revenue: $7.80 billion vs. $5.58 billion estimated, up 78.9% year-over-yearGross margin: 42.5% vs. 39.8% estimatedApple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty. This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers and businesses bought computers to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies open up.Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days ahead for all of us.”Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac laptops that used its own M1 chips for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by Intel. iPad sales were up nearly 79% year-over-year.Neither of those results include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac … it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that … it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, Apple’s revenue increased over 87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic. Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.Apple’s high-margin services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346354830,"gmtCreate":1618007311520,"gmtModify":1631888407447,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTCF\">$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$</a>New advertisement campaign will no doubt adds pressure to earnings. However it will certainly boost revenue. To a certain extend, it may also boost the awareness of the company and thereby attracts more retail investors.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTCF\">$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$</a>New advertisement campaign will no doubt adds pressure to earnings. However it will certainly boost revenue. To a certain extend, it may also boost the awareness of the company and thereby attracts more retail investors.","text":"$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$New advertisement campaign will no doubt adds pressure to earnings. However it will certainly boost revenue. To a certain extend, it may also boost the awareness of the company and thereby attracts more retail investors.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346354830","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358750404,"gmtCreate":1616733416508,"gmtModify":1634524296821,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Testing everyone's emotion","listText":"Testing everyone's emotion","text":"Testing everyone's emotion","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358750404","repostId":"1100799979","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100799979","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616730844,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1100799979?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 11:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stay bullish on the stock market in the face of some fresh sell signals<blockquote>面对一些新的卖出信号，保持看好股市</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100799979","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The stock market continues to be led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average,with NASDAQ lagging noticea","content":"<p>The stock market continues to be led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average,with NASDAQ&nbsp;lagging noticeably behind, and the S&amp;P 500 indexcaught somewhere in the middle. This is not a good scenario for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>股市继续以道琼斯工业平均指数为主，纳斯达克明显落后，标普500指数介于中间。这对股票来说不是一个好的情况。</blockquote></p><p> There is an old adage that it is not good for the market if the Generals are out in front of the Army (the “Generals” being General Motors, General Electric, etc. – i.e., the mainstays of the Dow of days gone by; the “Army” being the main body of stocks). The point is that if the advance is narrow and limited to the largest institutional stocks, then trouble lies ahead.</p><p><blockquote>有一句古老的谚语说，如果将军走在军队前面，对市场不利（“将军”指的是通用汽车、通用电气等，即过去道琼斯指数的中流砥柱；“军队”指的是股票的主体）。关键是，如果涨幅很小，并且仅限于最大的机构股，那么麻烦就在前方。</blockquote></p><p> It is a good point, but too vague to implement as a trading system. We would normally see that reflected in breadth (which is now giving a sell signal) and new highs vs. new lows (which is also on a sell signal).</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很好的观点，但太模糊了，无法作为交易系统来实现。我们通常会看到这反映在宽度（现在给出了卖出信号）和新高与新低（也给出了卖出信号）上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46ab28413e089cb3da5f328292ad4e7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</blockquote></p><p> One positive thing is that the SPX chart is still in an uptrend, as the moving averages and “modified Bollinger Bands” are still trending higher. However, if the S&amp;P breaks through support at 3,870, that uptrend would be called into question. As one can see from the accompanying chart, there is further support near 3,725. If that is broken, the bears would clearly be in charge. Meanwhile, the recent all-time highs, at 3,985, represent resistance.</p><p><blockquote>一个积极的方面是，SPX 图表仍处于上升趋势，因为移动平均线和 “修正布林带 ”仍在走高。然而，如果标准普尔突破3870点的支撑位，这种上升趋势将受到质疑。从随附的图表可以看出，3,725附近还有进一步的支撑。如果这被打破，空头显然会占据主导地位。与此同时，最近的历史高点 3,985 点代表了阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> What is different today compared to previous minor pullbacks is that several of our internal indicators have weakened considerably and are on sell signals: breadth, new highs vs. new lows, and equity-only put-call ratios.</p><p><blockquote>与之前的小幅回调相比，今天的不同之处在于，我们的几个内部指标已经显着减弱，并且处于卖出信号：广度、新高与新低以及仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率。</blockquote></p><p> Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals that were first generated in mid-February and that have strengthened by beginning to rise rapidly.&nbsp;They are still relatively low on their charts, meaning that there is a lot of room to move higher before one might say they are “oversold.”</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌期权与看涨期权比率仍处于 2 月中旬首次产生的卖出信号之下，随着卖出信号的开始迅速上升，卖出信号得到加强。它们在图表上仍然相对较低，这意味着在人们说它们 “超卖 ”之前，还有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfd689fa18eceb515c752afa1cb024f7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9216bd23616405d8464aa44f5baea259\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米伦劳伦斯·麦克米伦</blockquote></p><p> Breadth has deteriorated badly over the past two weeks – especially this last week. Sell signals were generated by the breadth oscillators on March 18 and March 19, and those oscillators have plunged since then.&nbsp;The “stocks only” breadth oscillator has already descended into oversold territory, but “oversold doesn’t mean buy.”</p><p><blockquote>在过去的两周里，广度严重恶化——尤其是上周。3 月 18 日和 3 月 19 日，宽度振荡指标产生了卖出信号，此后这些振荡指标一直在暴跌。“仅限股票 ”宽度振荡指标已经跌入超卖区域，但 “超卖并不意味着买入”。</blockquote></p><p> The NYSE breadth oscillator is also moving lower, but at a much slower pace, since the more positive “Dow-type” stocks have a heavier weight in that oscillator.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所宽度振荡指标也在走低，但速度要慢得多，因为更积极的 “道琼斯型 ”股票在该振荡指标中的权重更重。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, cumulative breadth has fallen sharply as well. That is not a signal, but it is worth noting that the “stocks only” cumulative advance-decline line has fallen almost 10,000 issues since the cumulative A-D line reached an all-time high on March 15 (that is, over that time, summing the daily figures, declines have outnumbered advances by 10,000 issues).</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，累计宽度也大幅下降。这并不是一个信号，但值得注意的是，自 3 月 15 日累计 A-D 线创下历史新高以来，“仅股票 ”累计上涨-下跌线已经下跌了近 10,000 期（也就是说，在此期间，将每日数据相加，下跌数量超过上涨数量 10,000 期）。</blockquote></p><p> A significant development has also occurred in the case of the “new highs vs. new lows” indicator. On March 23, new 52-week lows outnumbered new 52-week highs andnew 52-week lows numbered more than 100 issues — the first time that has happened since last May.&nbsp;That was the case again on March 24.&nbsp;That places this indicator on a sell signal until new highs take control once again.</p><p><blockquote>“新高与新低 ”指标也有了重大进展。3月23日，52周新低的数量超过了52周新高，52周新低的数量超过了100个——这是自去年5月以来的第一次。3月24日又出现了这种情况。这使得该指标处于卖出信号，直到新高再次占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Countering the negativity of put-call ratios, breadth, and new highs vs. new lows, is the fact that the volatility indicators still remain generally bullish. VIX has not risen substantially (yet), so the “spike peak” buy signal of March 4 remains in place.</p><p><blockquote>与看跌看涨期权比率、宽度以及新高与新低的负面影响相反的是，波动性指标仍然普遍看涨。VIX 尚未大幅上涨，因此 3 月 4 日的 “尖峰 ”买入信号仍然有效。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the trend of VIXVIX,-6.56%continues to be lower, as both VIX and its 20-day moving average are below the declining 200-day moving average. In fact, on March 22, VIX closed at its lowest price (18.88) since February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，VIXVIX,-6.56%的走势继续走低，因为VIX及其20日移动平均线均低于下降的200日移动平均线。事实上，3月22日，VIX收盘价为2020年2月以来的最低价（18.88）。</blockquote></p><p> If VIX should continue to fall below there, it would be a bullish sign for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果 VIX 继续跌破该水平，这对股市来说将是一个看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d40b1aedd4e9457306d25814439c92\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve noted previously, the fact that VIX has remained so high all during the huge rally over the past year has been a worrisome sign for many traders. But the traders that were keeping VIX higher were actually correct, because realized volatility of SPX (i.e., its 20-day historical volatility) has been just below 20 since early March. Thus, realized volatility rose to meet implied volatility, rather than the other way around (which is more often the case).</p><p><blockquote>正如我们之前指出的，VIX 在过去一年的大幅反弹中一直保持在如此高的水平，这对许多交易者来说是一个令人担忧的信号。但维持 VIX 走高的交易员实际上是正确的，因为自 3 月初以来，SPX 的实现波动率（即其 20 天历史波动率）一直略低于 20。因此，已实现波动率的上升是为了满足隐含波动率，而不是相反（这种情况更常见）。</blockquote></p><p> Now, if one wants to make the case that it is worrisome to see both forms of volatility this high, then so be it. But there is no longer any significant difference between the S&amp;P’s realized and implied volatility.</p><p><blockquote>现在，如果有人想证明看到这两种形式的波动性如此之高令人担忧，那就这样吧。但标准普尔的实际波动率和隐含波动率之间已不再存在显著差异。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The construct of volatility derivatives has remained bullish throughout.&nbsp;VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through the coming summer. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward through the next six months as well.</p><p><blockquote>波动性衍生品的结构自始至终保持看涨态势。VIX 期货交易价格均高于 VIX，期限结构在即将到来的夏季呈上升趋势。同样，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数的期限结构在未来六个月也呈上升趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The first sign of a negative reversal here would be if the April VIX futures traded above the price of May VIX futures.</p><p><blockquote>负面反转的第一个迹象是 4 月份 VIX 期货价格高于 5 月份 VIX 期货价格。</blockquote></p><p> Near-term deterioration in some internal indicators is certainly a cause for worry, and small countertrend bearish positions can be taken because of that. However, the S&amp;P’s trend is still higher, and the trend of VIX is still lower – both bullish factors. So we still maintaining a “core” bullish position until those two trends are broken.</p><p><blockquote>一些内部指标的近期恶化当然是一个令人担忧的原因，因此可以采取小的逆势看跌头寸。然而，标准普尔指数的趋势仍然较高，而VIX指数的趋势仍然较低--这两个因素都是看涨因素。因此，在这两个趋势被打破之前，我们仍维持 “核心 ”看涨头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stay bullish on the stock market in the face of some fresh sell signals<blockquote>面对一些新的卖出信号，保持看好股市</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStay bullish on the stock market in the face of some fresh sell signals<blockquote>面对一些新的卖出信号，保持看好股市</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 11:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stock market continues to be led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average,with NASDAQ&nbsp;lagging noticeably behind, and the S&amp;P 500 indexcaught somewhere in the middle. This is not a good scenario for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>股市继续以道琼斯工业平均指数为主，纳斯达克明显落后，标普500指数介于中间。这对股票来说不是一个好的情况。</blockquote></p><p> There is an old adage that it is not good for the market if the Generals are out in front of the Army (the “Generals” being General Motors, General Electric, etc. – i.e., the mainstays of the Dow of days gone by; the “Army” being the main body of stocks). The point is that if the advance is narrow and limited to the largest institutional stocks, then trouble lies ahead.</p><p><blockquote>有一句古老的谚语说，如果将军走在军队前面，对市场不利（“将军”指的是通用汽车、通用电气等，即过去道琼斯指数的中流砥柱；“军队”指的是股票的主体）。关键是，如果涨幅很小，并且仅限于最大的机构股，那么麻烦就在前方。</blockquote></p><p> It is a good point, but too vague to implement as a trading system. We would normally see that reflected in breadth (which is now giving a sell signal) and new highs vs. new lows (which is also on a sell signal).</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很好的观点，但太模糊了，无法作为交易系统来实现。我们通常会看到这反映在宽度（现在给出了卖出信号）和新高与新低（也给出了卖出信号）上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46ab28413e089cb3da5f328292ad4e7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</blockquote></p><p> One positive thing is that the SPX chart is still in an uptrend, as the moving averages and “modified Bollinger Bands” are still trending higher. However, if the S&amp;P breaks through support at 3,870, that uptrend would be called into question. As one can see from the accompanying chart, there is further support near 3,725. If that is broken, the bears would clearly be in charge. Meanwhile, the recent all-time highs, at 3,985, represent resistance.</p><p><blockquote>一个积极的方面是，SPX 图表仍处于上升趋势，因为移动平均线和 “修正布林带 ”仍在走高。然而，如果标准普尔突破3870点的支撑位，这种上升趋势将受到质疑。从随附的图表可以看出，3,725附近还有进一步的支撑。如果这被打破，空头显然会占据主导地位。与此同时，最近的历史高点 3,985 点代表了阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> What is different today compared to previous minor pullbacks is that several of our internal indicators have weakened considerably and are on sell signals: breadth, new highs vs. new lows, and equity-only put-call ratios.</p><p><blockquote>与之前的小幅回调相比，今天的不同之处在于，我们的几个内部指标已经显着减弱，并且处于卖出信号：广度、新高与新低以及仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率。</blockquote></p><p> Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals that were first generated in mid-February and that have strengthened by beginning to rise rapidly.&nbsp;They are still relatively low on their charts, meaning that there is a lot of room to move higher before one might say they are “oversold.”</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌期权与看涨期权比率仍处于 2 月中旬首次产生的卖出信号之下，随着卖出信号的开始迅速上升，卖出信号得到加强。它们在图表上仍然相对较低，这意味着在人们说它们 “超卖 ”之前，还有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfd689fa18eceb515c752afa1cb024f7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9216bd23616405d8464aa44f5baea259\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米伦劳伦斯·麦克米伦</blockquote></p><p> Breadth has deteriorated badly over the past two weeks – especially this last week. Sell signals were generated by the breadth oscillators on March 18 and March 19, and those oscillators have plunged since then.&nbsp;The “stocks only” breadth oscillator has already descended into oversold territory, but “oversold doesn’t mean buy.”</p><p><blockquote>在过去的两周里，广度严重恶化——尤其是上周。3 月 18 日和 3 月 19 日，宽度振荡指标产生了卖出信号，此后这些振荡指标一直在暴跌。“仅限股票 ”宽度振荡指标已经跌入超卖区域，但 “超卖并不意味着买入”。</blockquote></p><p> The NYSE breadth oscillator is also moving lower, but at a much slower pace, since the more positive “Dow-type” stocks have a heavier weight in that oscillator.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所宽度振荡指标也在走低，但速度要慢得多，因为更积极的 “道琼斯型 ”股票在该振荡指标中的权重更重。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, cumulative breadth has fallen sharply as well. That is not a signal, but it is worth noting that the “stocks only” cumulative advance-decline line has fallen almost 10,000 issues since the cumulative A-D line reached an all-time high on March 15 (that is, over that time, summing the daily figures, declines have outnumbered advances by 10,000 issues).</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，累计宽度也大幅下降。这并不是一个信号，但值得注意的是，自 3 月 15 日累计 A-D 线创下历史新高以来，“仅股票 ”累计上涨-下跌线已经下跌了近 10,000 期（也就是说，在此期间，将每日数据相加，下跌数量超过上涨数量 10,000 期）。</blockquote></p><p> A significant development has also occurred in the case of the “new highs vs. new lows” indicator. On March 23, new 52-week lows outnumbered new 52-week highs andnew 52-week lows numbered more than 100 issues — the first time that has happened since last May.&nbsp;That was the case again on March 24.&nbsp;That places this indicator on a sell signal until new highs take control once again.</p><p><blockquote>“新高与新低 ”指标也有了重大进展。3月23日，52周新低的数量超过了52周新高，52周新低的数量超过了100个——这是自去年5月以来的第一次。3月24日又出现了这种情况。这使得该指标处于卖出信号，直到新高再次占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Countering the negativity of put-call ratios, breadth, and new highs vs. new lows, is the fact that the volatility indicators still remain generally bullish. VIX has not risen substantially (yet), so the “spike peak” buy signal of March 4 remains in place.</p><p><blockquote>与看跌看涨期权比率、宽度以及新高与新低的负面影响相反的是，波动性指标仍然普遍看涨。VIX 尚未大幅上涨，因此 3 月 4 日的 “尖峰 ”买入信号仍然有效。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the trend of VIXVIX,-6.56%continues to be lower, as both VIX and its 20-day moving average are below the declining 200-day moving average. In fact, on March 22, VIX closed at its lowest price (18.88) since February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，VIXVIX,-6.56%的走势继续走低，因为VIX及其20日移动平均线均低于下降的200日移动平均线。事实上，3月22日，VIX收盘价为2020年2月以来的最低价（18.88）。</blockquote></p><p> If VIX should continue to fall below there, it would be a bullish sign for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果 VIX 继续跌破该水平，这对股市来说将是一个看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d40b1aedd4e9457306d25814439c92\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米伦</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve noted previously, the fact that VIX has remained so high all during the huge rally over the past year has been a worrisome sign for many traders. But the traders that were keeping VIX higher were actually correct, because realized volatility of SPX (i.e., its 20-day historical volatility) has been just below 20 since early March. Thus, realized volatility rose to meet implied volatility, rather than the other way around (which is more often the case).</p><p><blockquote>正如我们之前指出的，VIX 在过去一年的大幅反弹中一直保持在如此高的水平，这对许多交易者来说是一个令人担忧的信号。但维持 VIX 走高的交易员实际上是正确的，因为自 3 月初以来，SPX 的实现波动率（即其 20 天历史波动率）一直略低于 20。因此，已实现波动率的上升是为了满足隐含波动率，而不是相反（这种情况更常见）。</blockquote></p><p> Now, if one wants to make the case that it is worrisome to see both forms of volatility this high, then so be it. But there is no longer any significant difference between the S&amp;P’s realized and implied volatility.</p><p><blockquote>现在，如果有人想证明看到这两种形式的波动性如此之高令人担忧，那就这样吧。但标准普尔的实际波动率和隐含波动率之间已不再存在显著差异。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The construct of volatility derivatives has remained bullish throughout.&nbsp;VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through the coming summer. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward through the next six months as well.</p><p><blockquote>波动性衍生品的结构自始至终保持看涨态势。VIX 期货交易价格均高于 VIX，期限结构在即将到来的夏季呈上升趋势。同样，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数的期限结构在未来六个月也呈上升趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The first sign of a negative reversal here would be if the April VIX futures traded above the price of May VIX futures.</p><p><blockquote>负面反转的第一个迹象是 4 月份 VIX 期货价格高于 5 月份 VIX 期货价格。</blockquote></p><p> Near-term deterioration in some internal indicators is certainly a cause for worry, and small countertrend bearish positions can be taken because of that. However, the S&amp;P’s trend is still higher, and the trend of VIX is still lower – both bullish factors. So we still maintaining a “core” bullish position until those two trends are broken.</p><p><blockquote>一些内部指标的近期恶化当然是一个令人担忧的原因，因此可以采取小的逆势看跌头寸。然而，标准普尔指数的趋势仍然较高，而VIX指数的趋势仍然较低--这两个因素都是看涨因素。因此，在这两个趋势被打破之前，我们仍维持 “核心 ”看涨头寸。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stay-bullish-on-the-stock-market-in-the-face-of-some-fresh-sell-signals-01616682019?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stay-bullish-on-the-stock-market-in-the-face-of-some-fresh-sell-signals-01616682019?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100799979","content_text":"The stock market continues to be led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average,with NASDAQ lagging noticeably behind, and the S&P 500 indexcaught somewhere in the middle. This is not a good scenario for stocks.\nThere is an old adage that it is not good for the market if the Generals are out in front of the Army (the “Generals” being General Motors, General Electric, etc. – i.e., the mainstays of the Dow of days gone by; the “Army” being the main body of stocks). The point is that if the advance is narrow and limited to the largest institutional stocks, then trouble lies ahead.\nIt is a good point, but too vague to implement as a trading system. We would normally see that reflected in breadth (which is now giving a sell signal) and new highs vs. new lows (which is also on a sell signal).\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nOne positive thing is that the SPX chart is still in an uptrend, as the moving averages and “modified Bollinger Bands” are still trending higher. However, if the S&P breaks through support at 3,870, that uptrend would be called into question. As one can see from the accompanying chart, there is further support near 3,725. If that is broken, the bears would clearly be in charge. Meanwhile, the recent all-time highs, at 3,985, represent resistance.\nWhat is different today compared to previous minor pullbacks is that several of our internal indicators have weakened considerably and are on sell signals: breadth, new highs vs. new lows, and equity-only put-call ratios.\nEquity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals that were first generated in mid-February and that have strengthened by beginning to rise rapidly. They are still relatively low on their charts, meaning that there is a lot of room to move higher before one might say they are “oversold.”\nLAWRENCE MCMILLANLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nBreadth has deteriorated badly over the past two weeks – especially this last week. Sell signals were generated by the breadth oscillators on March 18 and March 19, and those oscillators have plunged since then. The “stocks only” breadth oscillator has already descended into oversold territory, but “oversold doesn’t mean buy.”\nThe NYSE breadth oscillator is also moving lower, but at a much slower pace, since the more positive “Dow-type” stocks have a heavier weight in that oscillator.\nMeanwhile, cumulative breadth has fallen sharply as well. That is not a signal, but it is worth noting that the “stocks only” cumulative advance-decline line has fallen almost 10,000 issues since the cumulative A-D line reached an all-time high on March 15 (that is, over that time, summing the daily figures, declines have outnumbered advances by 10,000 issues).\nA significant development has also occurred in the case of the “new highs vs. new lows” indicator. On March 23, new 52-week lows outnumbered new 52-week highs andnew 52-week lows numbered more than 100 issues — the first time that has happened since last May. That was the case again on March 24. That places this indicator on a sell signal until new highs take control once again.\nCountering the negativity of put-call ratios, breadth, and new highs vs. new lows, is the fact that the volatility indicators still remain generally bullish. VIX has not risen substantially (yet), so the “spike peak” buy signal of March 4 remains in place.\nMoreover, the trend of VIXVIX,-6.56%continues to be lower, as both VIX and its 20-day moving average are below the declining 200-day moving average. In fact, on March 22, VIX closed at its lowest price (18.88) since February 2020.\nIf VIX should continue to fall below there, it would be a bullish sign for stocks.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nAs we’ve noted previously, the fact that VIX has remained so high all during the huge rally over the past year has been a worrisome sign for many traders. But the traders that were keeping VIX higher were actually correct, because realized volatility of SPX (i.e., its 20-day historical volatility) has been just below 20 since early March. Thus, realized volatility rose to meet implied volatility, rather than the other way around (which is more often the case).\nNow, if one wants to make the case that it is worrisome to see both forms of volatility this high, then so be it. But there is no longer any significant difference between the S&P’s realized and implied volatility.\nThe construct of volatility derivatives has remained bullish throughout. VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through the coming summer. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward through the next six months as well.\nThe first sign of a negative reversal here would be if the April VIX futures traded above the price of May VIX futures.\nNear-term deterioration in some internal indicators is certainly a cause for worry, and small countertrend bearish positions can be taken because of that. However, the S&P’s trend is still higher, and the trend of VIX is still lower – both bullish factors. So we still maintaining a “core” bullish position until those two trends are broken.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327923214,"gmtCreate":1616052489038,"gmtModify":1703496907184,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574940130653589","authorIdStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oracle","listText":"Oracle","text":"Oracle","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327923214","repostId":"1144305771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144305771","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616052165,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1144305771?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-18 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特9次准确预测股市</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144305771","media":"GoBankingRates","summary":"This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.\nWhen Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—an","content":"<p>This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么你应该接受沃伦·巴菲特的建议。</blockquote></p><p> When Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a&nbsp;bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.</p><p><blockquote>当沃伦·巴菲特讲话时，全世界都会倾听——他们应该倾听。毕竟，他是有史以来最成功的投资者之一，也是世界第四大富豪。巴菲特在 10 周内通过押注雪佛龙公司赚取了超过 10 亿美元的收入，他短暂地成为有史以来仅有的六位净资产增长到 12 位数的人之一，尽管他目前的净资产已回到 1000 亿美元以下。他是伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的首席执行官，该公司是巴菲特与他的投资伙伴查尔斯-芒格共同经营的控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> His prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.</p><p><blockquote>他对股票和整个市场的先见之明为他赢得了 “奥马哈先知 ”的绰号，以纪念他居住的内布拉斯加州。巴菲特在 2017 年 9 月提出了他最引人注目的市场预测之一，当时他预测到 2117 年道琼斯工业平均指数将达到 1,000,000 点。</blockquote></p><p> While Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然巴菲特不会亲眼看到他的预测是否会成真，但这反映了他一生对美国经济实力和美国股市长期韧性的信念。以下是他最成功、最重要的一些投资预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America Will Rise Again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行将再次崛起</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.</p><p><blockquote>2011年，美国银行正遭受次贷危机的余震。由于该股交易价格低于每股 7 美元，而前一年为 19 美元，巴菲特嗅到了便宜货，购买了美国银行 50 亿美元的优先股。</blockquote></p><p> The preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.</p><p><blockquote>优先股支付了6%的高额收益率，导致公司每年支付3.36亿美元的股息。更好的是，优先股附带认股权证，允许巴菲特以每股 7.14 美元的价格购买 7 亿股美国银行股票。</blockquote></p><p> At the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.</p><p><blockquote>当时，巴菲特在他的年度投资信中做出了这样的预测： “我们购买 7 亿股美国银行股票的认股权证在到期前可能会非常有价值。”当巴菲特在2017年行使认股权证时，他赚了120亿美元。如今，美国银行的交易价格约为每股 37.40 美元，巴菲特以每股 24.24 美元的平均价格购买了伯克希尔超过 10.3 亿股股票，这是他投资组合中的第二大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Time to Start Investing is Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在是开始投资的时候了</b></blockquote></p><p> Buffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is&nbsp;the time to start investing.”</p><p><blockquote>1974 年底，当道琼斯指数跌破 600 点时，巴菲特告诉《福布斯》杂志，他对市场的看法 “.就像后宫里一个性欲亢进的男人。现在是开始投资的时候了”。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”</p><p><blockquote>到那次采访发表时，道琼斯指数已经攀升了近15%，达到660点。巴菲特的预测是在 1973 年至 1974 年臭名昭著的熊市之后做出的。也许比任何其他预测都更能凸显巴菲特的哲学：“别人贪婪时恐惧，别人恐惧时贪婪”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市回报率将为6%</b></blockquote></p><p> In 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.</p><p><blockquote>1999 年，股市接近令人难以置信的上涨结束。从1982年开始，市场开始大幅上涨，1995年至1999年的收益率分别为37.58%、22.96%、33.36%、28.58%和21.04%。在所有这些热情中，奥马哈先知做出了一个戏剧性的、长期的、反趋势的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特自信地预测，未来17年的股市回报将与前17年截然不同。事实上，他认为未来 17 年 “最有可能的回报率 ”是 6%。</blockquote></p><p> By 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.</p><p><blockquote>到 2016 年，在 17 年期间结束时，股票的回报率为 5.9%——在如此长的时间内，这是一个惊人的准确预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Index Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>指数基金的表现将优于对冲基金</b></blockquote></p><p> What might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&amp;P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特最引人注目的预测可能出现在 2007 年，当时他提出下注 50 万美元，认为在接下来的 10 年里，如果算上费用，标普500指数的表现将超过对冲基金的投资组合。Protege Partners 的对冲基金经理 Ted Seides 接受了这个赌注。</blockquote></p><p> When 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&amp;P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that&nbsp;indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.</p><p><blockquote>2017年到来时，赛德斯是不得不付出代价的人。事实上，这个赌注是如此的不平衡，以至于塞德斯在整个10年到期之前就认输了。当时，Seides 的基金集合年收益率仅为 2.2%，而标普500指数的年收益率超过 7%，从而支持了巴菲特的观点，即指数化通常可以击败主动管理基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs is Down But Not Out</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛下跌但尚未出局</b></blockquote></p><p> In late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.</p><p><blockquote>2008年9月下旬，投资银行高盛是一个受伤的巨人，陷入了它帮助制造的金融内爆的漩涡中。巴菲特预测高盛不仅会生存下来，还会蓬勃发展，于是向该公司投资了 50 亿美元。作为交换，高盛给了巴菲特优先股，每年支付惊人的10%的收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.</p><p><blockquote>此外，巴菲特还获得了 50 亿美元的认股权证，允许他以每股 115 美元的价格购买该股票。到 2013 年，巴菲特的预测以惊人的准确性成真了--他在市场低迷时进行投资，获得了 32 亿美元的利润。当然，你和你的401k可能不会像巴菲特那样获得优先认股权证地位，但如果你在巴菲特那样扣动扳机，你仍然会大赚一笔。2008 年 11 月，高盛股价低于 80 美元，目前徘徊在 344 美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Coca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可口可乐是长期买入</b></blockquote></p><p> One of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在股市上最大的胜利之一可以追溯到 1988 年开始的一项投资，那一年他首次买入了可口可乐公司。如今，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司拥有 4 亿股股票，占公司股份的 9% 以上。1988年1月1日，可口可乐的交易价格为2.39美元。虽然该股经历了起伏，但今天的交易价格已超过每股 50 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes&nbsp;the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”</p><p><blockquote>在许多方面，可口可乐是沃伦·巴菲特整个投资方法的缩影——长期持有业绩良好、商业模式熟悉的老牌大公司。巴菲特对樱桃可乐的热爱堪称传奇——他在投资百事可乐近50年后转而投资。他平均每天喝五罐这种东西——相当于垃圾债券的营养成分——总共占他每日热量摄入量的25%。他曾在 2015 年对《财富》杂志说过一句名言：“我有四分之一的可口可乐”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks Are Cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> Another one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus</p><p><blockquote>尽管有病毒的阻碍，巴菲特的另一个更著名的预测还是实现了</blockquote></p><p> On Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年 2 月 27 日，巴菲特对 CNBC 的贝基-奎克（Becky Quick）说：“.我们并不处于泡沫领域，或任何类似的情况”，尽管许多市场观察人士表示，当前的牛市正在变得泡沫化。事实上，巴菲特继续说道：“以利率衡量，与历史估值相比，股票实际上是便宜的。”换句话说，巴菲特预测股票被低估，是时候再次买入了。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特做出这一预测的当天，道琼斯工业平均指数收盘价为 20,837.44 点。仅仅七个多月后，道琼斯指数达到 22,773.67 点，上涨 9.29%。快进到 2020 年 3 月 10 日，在新的新冠疫情救济措施通过后，道琼斯指数飙升至 32,297.02 点，再次创下收盘价纪录。这比巴菲特下注当天该指数收盘价上涨了 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Home Capital Group Is Undervalued</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Home Capital Group被低估</b></blockquote></p><p> In mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年年中，巴菲特将业务范围扩展到美国以外，投资了加拿大贷款机构 Home Capital Group。与巴菲特的许多其他交易一样，他从一开始就在这次收购中获得了一笔划算的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特以9%至9.5%的利率借给该公司15亿美元。巴菲特还有权以比市场价格折扣 20% 的价格购买该公司股票，并预测他购买后该公司股票将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.</p><p><blockquote>股票交易使他能够以每股 10 美元的价格收购 Home Capital。2020 年 3 月 15 日，其交易价格为 32.50 美元，这意味着巴菲特的投资加上零钱将增加两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买入并持有伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One of&nbsp;Buffett’s best investments of all time&nbsp;was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特有史以来最好的投资之一就是他现在经营的伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司。1964 年，该公司提出以每股 11.50 美元的价格购买巴菲特的股票，巴菲特同意了。后来，该公司减少了他们的报价金额，这迫使巴菲特不仅取消了出售，还购买了足够的股票来控制公司，并解雇了降低最初报价的经理。巴菲特用他的钱包再次预测伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的股价会随着时间的推移而上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Once again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的预言再次成真。现在，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的一股股票售价约为 281,000 美元。作为巴菲特持有时间最长的投资，伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司提醒投资者，“买入并持有 ”确实可以带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616052142951","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特9次准确预测股市</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特9次准确预测股市</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">GoBankingRates</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-18 15:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么你应该接受沃伦·巴菲特的建议。</blockquote></p><p> When Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a&nbsp;bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.</p><p><blockquote>当沃伦·巴菲特讲话时，全世界都会倾听——他们应该倾听。毕竟，他是有史以来最成功的投资者之一，也是世界第四大富豪。巴菲特在 10 周内通过押注雪佛龙公司赚取了超过 10 亿美元的收入，他短暂地成为有史以来仅有的六位净资产增长到 12 位数的人之一，尽管他目前的净资产已回到 1000 亿美元以下。他是伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的首席执行官，该公司是巴菲特与他的投资伙伴查尔斯-芒格共同经营的控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> His prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.</p><p><blockquote>他对股票和整个市场的先见之明为他赢得了 “奥马哈先知 ”的绰号，以纪念他居住的内布拉斯加州。巴菲特在 2017 年 9 月提出了他最引人注目的市场预测之一，当时他预测到 2117 年道琼斯工业平均指数将达到 1,000,000 点。</blockquote></p><p> While Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然巴菲特不会亲眼看到他的预测是否会成真，但这反映了他一生对美国经济实力和美国股市长期韧性的信念。以下是他最成功、最重要的一些投资预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America Will Rise Again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行将再次崛起</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.</p><p><blockquote>2011年，美国银行正遭受次贷危机的余震。由于该股交易价格低于每股 7 美元，而前一年为 19 美元，巴菲特嗅到了便宜货，购买了美国银行 50 亿美元的优先股。</blockquote></p><p> The preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.</p><p><blockquote>优先股支付了6%的高额收益率，导致公司每年支付3.36亿美元的股息。更好的是，优先股附带认股权证，允许巴菲特以每股 7.14 美元的价格购买 7 亿股美国银行股票。</blockquote></p><p> At the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.</p><p><blockquote>当时，巴菲特在他的年度投资信中做出了这样的预测： “我们购买 7 亿股美国银行股票的认股权证在到期前可能会非常有价值。”当巴菲特在2017年行使认股权证时，他赚了120亿美元。如今，美国银行的交易价格约为每股 37.40 美元，巴菲特以每股 24.24 美元的平均价格购买了伯克希尔超过 10.3 亿股股票，这是他投资组合中的第二大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Time to Start Investing is Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在是开始投资的时候了</b></blockquote></p><p> Buffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is&nbsp;the time to start investing.”</p><p><blockquote>1974 年底，当道琼斯指数跌破 600 点时，巴菲特告诉《福布斯》杂志，他对市场的看法 “.就像后宫里一个性欲亢进的男人。现在是开始投资的时候了”。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”</p><p><blockquote>到那次采访发表时，道琼斯指数已经攀升了近15%，达到660点。巴菲特的预测是在 1973 年至 1974 年臭名昭著的熊市之后做出的。也许比任何其他预测都更能凸显巴菲特的哲学：“别人贪婪时恐惧，别人恐惧时贪婪”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市回报率将为6%</b></blockquote></p><p> In 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.</p><p><blockquote>1999 年，股市接近令人难以置信的上涨结束。从1982年开始，市场开始大幅上涨，1995年至1999年的收益率分别为37.58%、22.96%、33.36%、28.58%和21.04%。在所有这些热情中，奥马哈先知做出了一个戏剧性的、长期的、反趋势的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特自信地预测，未来17年的股市回报将与前17年截然不同。事实上，他认为未来 17 年 “最有可能的回报率 ”是 6%。</blockquote></p><p> By 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.</p><p><blockquote>到 2016 年，在 17 年期间结束时，股票的回报率为 5.9%——在如此长的时间内，这是一个惊人的准确预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Index Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>指数基金的表现将优于对冲基金</b></blockquote></p><p> What might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&amp;P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特最引人注目的预测可能出现在 2007 年，当时他提出下注 50 万美元，认为在接下来的 10 年里，如果算上费用，标普500指数的表现将超过对冲基金的投资组合。Protege Partners 的对冲基金经理 Ted Seides 接受了这个赌注。</blockquote></p><p> When 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&amp;P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that&nbsp;indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.</p><p><blockquote>2017年到来时，赛德斯是不得不付出代价的人。事实上，这个赌注是如此的不平衡，以至于塞德斯在整个10年到期之前就认输了。当时，Seides 的基金集合年收益率仅为 2.2%，而标普500指数的年收益率超过 7%，从而支持了巴菲特的观点，即指数化通常可以击败主动管理基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs is Down But Not Out</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛下跌但尚未出局</b></blockquote></p><p> In late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.</p><p><blockquote>2008年9月下旬，投资银行高盛是一个受伤的巨人，陷入了它帮助制造的金融内爆的漩涡中。巴菲特预测高盛不仅会生存下来，还会蓬勃发展，于是向该公司投资了 50 亿美元。作为交换，高盛给了巴菲特优先股，每年支付惊人的10%的收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.</p><p><blockquote>此外，巴菲特还获得了 50 亿美元的认股权证，允许他以每股 115 美元的价格购买该股票。到 2013 年，巴菲特的预测以惊人的准确性成真了--他在市场低迷时进行投资，获得了 32 亿美元的利润。当然，你和你的401k可能不会像巴菲特那样获得优先认股权证地位，但如果你在巴菲特那样扣动扳机，你仍然会大赚一笔。2008 年 11 月，高盛股价低于 80 美元，目前徘徊在 344 美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Coca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可口可乐是长期买入</b></blockquote></p><p> One of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在股市上最大的胜利之一可以追溯到 1988 年开始的一项投资，那一年他首次买入了可口可乐公司。如今，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司拥有 4 亿股股票，占公司股份的 9% 以上。1988年1月1日，可口可乐的交易价格为2.39美元。虽然该股经历了起伏，但今天的交易价格已超过每股 50 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes&nbsp;the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”</p><p><blockquote>在许多方面，可口可乐是沃伦·巴菲特整个投资方法的缩影——长期持有业绩良好、商业模式熟悉的老牌大公司。巴菲特对樱桃可乐的热爱堪称传奇——他在投资百事可乐近50年后转而投资。他平均每天喝五罐这种东西——相当于垃圾债券的营养成分——总共占他每日热量摄入量的25%。他曾在 2015 年对《财富》杂志说过一句名言：“我有四分之一的可口可乐”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks Are Cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> Another one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus</p><p><blockquote>尽管有病毒的阻碍，巴菲特的另一个更著名的预测还是实现了</blockquote></p><p> On Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年 2 月 27 日，巴菲特对 CNBC 的贝基-奎克（Becky Quick）说：“.我们并不处于泡沫领域，或任何类似的情况”，尽管许多市场观察人士表示，当前的牛市正在变得泡沫化。事实上，巴菲特继续说道：“以利率衡量，与历史估值相比，股票实际上是便宜的。”换句话说，巴菲特预测股票被低估，是时候再次买入了。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特做出这一预测的当天，道琼斯工业平均指数收盘价为 20,837.44 点。仅仅七个多月后，道琼斯指数达到 22,773.67 点，上涨 9.29%。快进到 2020 年 3 月 10 日，在新的新冠疫情救济措施通过后，道琼斯指数飙升至 32,297.02 点，再次创下收盘价纪录。这比巴菲特下注当天该指数收盘价上涨了 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Home Capital Group Is Undervalued</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Home Capital Group被低估</b></blockquote></p><p> In mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年年中，巴菲特将业务范围扩展到美国以外，投资了加拿大贷款机构 Home Capital Group。与巴菲特的许多其他交易一样，他从一开始就在这次收购中获得了一笔划算的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特以9%至9.5%的利率借给该公司15亿美元。巴菲特还有权以比市场价格折扣 20% 的价格购买该公司股票，并预测他购买后该公司股票将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.</p><p><blockquote>股票交易使他能够以每股 10 美元的价格收购 Home Capital。2020 年 3 月 15 日，其交易价格为 32.50 美元，这意味着巴菲特的投资加上零钱将增加两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买入并持有伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One of&nbsp;Buffett’s best investments of all time&nbsp;was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特有史以来最好的投资之一就是他现在经营的伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司。1964 年，该公司提出以每股 11.50 美元的价格购买巴菲特的股票，巴菲特同意了。后来，该公司减少了他们的报价金额，这迫使巴菲特不仅取消了出售，还购买了足够的股票来控制公司，并解雇了降低最初报价的经理。巴菲特用他的钱包再次预测伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的股价会随着时间的推移而上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Once again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的预言再次成真。现在，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的一股股票售价约为 281,000 美元。作为巴菲特持有时间最长的投资，伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司提醒投资者，“买入并持有 ”确实可以带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/stocks/times-warren-buffett-predicted-stock-market-accurately/#10\">GoBankingRates</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","KO":"可口可乐","BAC":"美国银行","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","HMCBF":"Home Capital Group Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/stocks/times-warren-buffett-predicted-stock-market-accurately/#10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144305771","content_text":"This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.\nWhen Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.\nHis prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.\nWhile Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.\nBank of America Will Rise Again\nIn 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.\nThe preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.\nAt the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.\nThe Time to Start Investing is Now\nBuffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is the time to start investing.”\nBy the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”\nStock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent\nIn 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.\nBuffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.\nBy 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.\nIndex Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds\nWhat might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.\nWhen 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.\nGoldman Sachs is Down But Not Out\nIn late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.\nAdditionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.\nCoca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy\nOne of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.\nIn many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”\nStocks Are Cheap\nAnother one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus\nOn Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.\nThe Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.\nHome Capital Group Is Undervalued\nIn mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.\nBuffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.\nThe stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.\nBuy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway\nOne of Buffett’s best investments of all time was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.\nOnce again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.B":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"HMCBF":0.9,"GS":0.9,"KO":0.9,"BAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}