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MinLee

MinLee

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0勋章

2021-07-06

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2021-06-26

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2021-06-26

Stfu cramer

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2021-06-18

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Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>

2021-06-17

Great

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2021-06-14

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2021-06-09

$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls

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2021-06-09

$ASS

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2021-06-09

$ASS

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2021-06-07

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2021-06-07

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2021-06-04

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2021-06-04

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When Will Amazon Stock Finally Reach $2 Trillion<blockquote>亚马逊股价何时最终达到2万亿美元</blockquote>

2021-06-04

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2021-06-04

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Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-06-04

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3 Top Robinhood Stocks Wall Street Thinks Will Soar 25% or More<blockquote>华尔街认为Robinhood 3只顶级股票将飙升25%或更多</blockquote>

2021-06-03

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2021-06-03

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Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

2021-06-02

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2021-06-02

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cramer","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125307825","repostId":"1165822342","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162070023,"gmtCreate":1624029365962,"gmtModify":1634023839329,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162070023","repostId":"1119296361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119296361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624028454,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119296361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119296361","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier","content":"<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 23:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行","C":"花旗","JPM":"摩根大通","MS":"摩根士丹利","WFC":"富国银行","GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119296361","content_text":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.\nThere’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.\nAfter Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%\nThe market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.\nWhy the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.\nUntil that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WFC":0.9,"C":0.9,"GS":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"MS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161996937,"gmtCreate":1623899299929,"gmtModify":1634026145675,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161996937","repostId":"1166786117","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184050244,"gmtCreate":1623678800688,"gmtModify":1634030205282,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184050244","repostId":"2143787703","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189082054,"gmtCreate":1623233069878,"gmtModify":1634035552457,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","listText":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","text":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189082054","repostId":"1184778465","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575141057639271","authorId":"3575141057639271","name":"Daveb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61df162e1597f1b5a6a6bfb13d7d92f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575141057639271","idStr":"3575141057639271"},"content":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝","text":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝","html":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189086442,"gmtCreate":1623233040186,"gmtModify":1634035552701,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$ASS&nbsp;","listText":"$ASS&nbsp;","text":"$ASS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189086442","repostId":"1154263782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189086573,"gmtCreate":1623233033992,"gmtModify":1634035552822,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$ASS&nbsp;","listText":"$ASS&nbsp;","text":"$ASS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189086573","repostId":"1154263782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114826403,"gmtCreate":1623067283902,"gmtModify":1634037339597,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114826403","repostId":"2141286115","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114826560,"gmtCreate":1623067272050,"gmtModify":1634037339720,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114826560","repostId":"1122556332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116419662,"gmtCreate":1622815048656,"gmtModify":1634097729674,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116419662","repostId":"2137130279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116419931,"gmtCreate":1622815030223,"gmtModify":1634097729795,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116419931","repostId":"1178661753","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178661753","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622814480,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178661753?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 21:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When Will Amazon Stock Finally Reach $2 Trillion<blockquote>亚马逊股价何时最终达到2万亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178661753","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Amazon stock is the third most valuable in the US market. How long will it take shares to climb abou","content":"<p>Amazon stock is the third most valuable in the US market. How long will it take shares to climb about 25% and reach the $2 trillion market cap milestone, joining Apple in the select trillion-dollar club?</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票在美国市场上排名第三。股价需要多长时间才能上涨约25%并达到2万亿美元的市值里程碑，加入苹果精选万亿美元俱乐部？</blockquote></p><p> Amazon stock&nbsp;has not gone anywhere in over half a year. Since reaching an all-time high in September 2020, shares have declined about 9%, now trading much closer to correction territory than to the stock’s historical peak value of $1.8 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票已经半年多没有任何变化了。自2020年9月达到历史高点以来，该股已下跌约9%，目前交易价格更接近调整区域，而不是该股1.8万亿美元的历史峰值。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, Amazon stock’s lack of firepower has been inconsistent with the company’s outstanding performance throughout this pandemic period. If Marty McFly or Dr. Brown&nbsp;from Back To The Futurehad shown me Amazon’s fourth quarter 2020&nbsp;and first quarter 2021 financial results&nbsp;six months ago, I would have bet that the company’s equity would be worth north of $2 trillion by now.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，亚马逊股票缺乏火力与该公司在整个大流行期间的出色表现不一致。如果《回到未来》中的马蒂·小飞侠或布朗博士在六个月前向我展示了亚马逊2020年第四季度和2021年第一季度的财务业绩，我会打赌该公司的股权现在价值将超过2万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, I would have been wrong. I explain why below.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我可能错了。我在下面解释原因。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aa9a3c7d62d3545e4552311ce166300\" tg-width=\"1180\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Amazon fulfilment center.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：亚马逊运营中心。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What has gone wrong?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪里出了问题？</b></blockquote></p><p> Let me be clear: it would be unfair to say that Amazon stock has not been a winner lately. Sure, shares have been stuck in the mud for seven months. But the chart below shows how far and how fast the company’s equity value has climbed recently: from $350 billion five years ago to $1.6 trillion now.</p><p><blockquote>让我明确一点：说亚马逊股票最近没有上涨是不公平的。当然，股价已经陷入困境七个月了。但下图显示了该公司的股权价值最近攀升的程度和速度：从五年前的3500亿美元上升到现在的1.6万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The malaise of September 2020 to today can be probably blamed, first and foremost, on the stock’s impressive run of March through September of last year. The market seems to have anticipated Amazon’s strong performance during and even after the year of the stay-at-home economy.</p><p><blockquote>2020年9月至今的低迷可能首先要归咎于该股去年3月至9月令人印象深刻的表现。市场似乎已经预料到了亚马逊在居家经济年期间甚至之后的强劲表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb13c878a85e34b597c6bc19e279d348\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"448\"><span>Figure 2: AMZN market cap chart.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：AMZN市值图表。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, as the US economy slowly reopens, a few things have started to happen – none of which is particularly good news for Amazon and its stock:</p><p><blockquote>现在，随着美国经济慢慢重新开放，一些事情已经开始发生——这些对亚马逊及其股票来说都不是特别好的消息：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The market has fully embraced&nbsp;what is known as the “cyclical rotation”: preference for growth stocks that can perform better in different macroeconomic environments has shifted to sectors that tend to outperform primarily during periods of economic recovery (banks, energy, travel and leisure, small cap, etc.).</li>  <li>Some experts have started to doubt that Big Tech companies will perform as well in the next few years, now that consumers are expected to spend less money inside their homes (online shopping, video streaming, etc.) than they did in 2020.</li>  <li>Inflation fears have been mounting and culminated in&nbsp;expectations&nbsp;for a multi-decade high of 2.7% between now and 2026. While Amazon’s financial results might not be particularly at risk from higher consumer prices (revenues could even benefit from it), the perceived value of a growth stock in the face of higher inflation and yields tends to decrease.</li> </ul> <b>Amazon and the road to $2 trillion</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>市场已经完全接受了所谓的“周期性轮动”：对在不同宏观经济环境中表现更好的成长型股票的偏好已经转移到主要在经济复苏期间表现优于大盘的行业（银行、能源、旅游和休闲、小盘股等）。</li><li>一些专家开始怀疑大型科技公司在未来几年的表现是否会一样好，因为预计消费者在家中花费的钱（在线购物、视频流等）将会减少。）比他们在2020年。</li><li>对通胀的担忧一直在加剧，最终导致从现在到2026年，通胀将达到2.7%的数十年高点。虽然亚马逊的财务业绩可能不会受到消费者价格上涨的特别风险（收入甚至可能从中受益），但面对通胀和收益率上升，成长型股票的感知价值往往会下降。</li></ul><b>亚马逊和2万亿美元之路</b></blockquote></p><p> Back to the original question: when will Amazon stock finally reach $2 trillion? Clearly, this is not an easy question to answer, because the future is uncertain. But the Amazon Maven proposes the following model that investors can use to think about the timeline:</p><p><blockquote>回到最初的问题：亚马逊股票何时才能最终达到2万亿美元？显然，这不是一个容易回答的问题，因为未来是不确定的。但亚马逊专家提出了以下模型，投资者可以用它来思考时间表：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>business fundamentals</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock can reach the $2 trillion market cap if or once growth expectations materialize. For example, consider the math: AMZN currently trades at a 2021 forward price-earnings ratio of 58 times. Without any compression to valuation multiples, Amazon would be worth $2 trillion once annual EPS reached $70. Analysts currently expect the company to deliver earnings at these levels as early as 2022. Therefore, Amazon could very well reach the market cap milestone&nbsp;<b>this time next year</b>.</li>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>valuation</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock would be worth $2 trillion if its forward P/E merely expanded from 58 to 73 times. One or a combination of the following would probably need to happen: (1) an increase in long-term earnings and/or cash flow growth expectations; (2) a drop in interest (i.e. discount) rates; (3) a market-wide rally that is fueled by increased investor optimism. To be honest, I think that valuation expansion is the least likely path to $2 trillion.</li>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>chart analysis</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock could get to $2 trillion if share price breaks through this $1.7-to-$1.8 trillion market cap resistance. The stock has been range-bound for several months. Investors would probably feel more comfortable investing in AMZN once they saw momentum develop once again.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>从一个<b>业务基础</b>从长远来看，如果增长预期成为现实，亚马逊股票的市值可能会达到2万亿美元。例如，考虑一下数学：AMZN目前的2021年预期市盈率为58倍。在估值倍数没有任何压缩的情况下，一旦年每股收益达到70美元，亚马逊的价值将达到2万亿美元。分析师目前预计该公司最早将在2022年实现这些水平的盈利。因此，亚马逊很可能达到市值里程碑<b>明年这个时候</b>.</li><li>从一个<b>估值</b>从长远来看，如果亚马逊的预期市盈率仅从58倍扩大到73倍，其股票价值将达到2万亿美元。可能需要发生以下一种或多种情况：(1)长期收益和/或现金流增长预期的增加；（2）利率（即贴现）下降；（3）投资者乐观情绪增强推动的全市场反弹。说实话，我认为估值扩张是最不可能达到2万亿美元的路径。</li><li>从一个<b>图表分析</b>从长远来看，如果股价突破1.7至1.8万亿美元的市值阻力位，亚马逊股价可能会达到2万亿美元。该股几个月来一直在区间波动。一旦投资者看到势头再次发展，他们可能会更放心地投资亚马逊。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When Will Amazon Stock Finally Reach $2 Trillion<blockquote>亚马逊股价何时最终达到2万亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen Will Amazon Stock Finally Reach $2 Trillion<blockquote>亚马逊股价何时最终达到2万亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 21:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon stock is the third most valuable in the US market. How long will it take shares to climb about 25% and reach the $2 trillion market cap milestone, joining Apple in the select trillion-dollar club?</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票在美国市场上排名第三。股价需要多长时间才能上涨约25%并达到2万亿美元的市值里程碑，加入苹果精选万亿美元俱乐部？</blockquote></p><p> Amazon stock&nbsp;has not gone anywhere in over half a year. Since reaching an all-time high in September 2020, shares have declined about 9%, now trading much closer to correction territory than to the stock’s historical peak value of $1.8 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票已经半年多没有任何变化了。自2020年9月达到历史高点以来，该股已下跌约9%，目前交易价格更接近调整区域，而不是该股1.8万亿美元的历史峰值。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, Amazon stock’s lack of firepower has been inconsistent with the company’s outstanding performance throughout this pandemic period. If Marty McFly or Dr. Brown&nbsp;from Back To The Futurehad shown me Amazon’s fourth quarter 2020&nbsp;and first quarter 2021 financial results&nbsp;six months ago, I would have bet that the company’s equity would be worth north of $2 trillion by now.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，亚马逊股票缺乏火力与该公司在整个大流行期间的出色表现不一致。如果《回到未来》中的马蒂·小飞侠或布朗博士在六个月前向我展示了亚马逊2020年第四季度和2021年第一季度的财务业绩，我会打赌该公司的股权现在价值将超过2万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, I would have been wrong. I explain why below.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我可能错了。我在下面解释原因。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aa9a3c7d62d3545e4552311ce166300\" tg-width=\"1180\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Amazon fulfilment center.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：亚马逊运营中心。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What has gone wrong?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪里出了问题？</b></blockquote></p><p> Let me be clear: it would be unfair to say that Amazon stock has not been a winner lately. Sure, shares have been stuck in the mud for seven months. But the chart below shows how far and how fast the company’s equity value has climbed recently: from $350 billion five years ago to $1.6 trillion now.</p><p><blockquote>让我明确一点：说亚马逊股票最近没有上涨是不公平的。当然，股价已经陷入困境七个月了。但下图显示了该公司的股权价值最近攀升的程度和速度：从五年前的3500亿美元上升到现在的1.6万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The malaise of September 2020 to today can be probably blamed, first and foremost, on the stock’s impressive run of March through September of last year. The market seems to have anticipated Amazon’s strong performance during and even after the year of the stay-at-home economy.</p><p><blockquote>2020年9月至今的低迷可能首先要归咎于该股去年3月至9月令人印象深刻的表现。市场似乎已经预料到了亚马逊在居家经济年期间甚至之后的强劲表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb13c878a85e34b597c6bc19e279d348\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"448\"><span>Figure 2: AMZN market cap chart.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：AMZN市值图表。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, as the US economy slowly reopens, a few things have started to happen – none of which is particularly good news for Amazon and its stock:</p><p><blockquote>现在，随着美国经济慢慢重新开放，一些事情已经开始发生——这些对亚马逊及其股票来说都不是特别好的消息：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The market has fully embraced&nbsp;what is known as the “cyclical rotation”: preference for growth stocks that can perform better in different macroeconomic environments has shifted to sectors that tend to outperform primarily during periods of economic recovery (banks, energy, travel and leisure, small cap, etc.).</li>  <li>Some experts have started to doubt that Big Tech companies will perform as well in the next few years, now that consumers are expected to spend less money inside their homes (online shopping, video streaming, etc.) than they did in 2020.</li>  <li>Inflation fears have been mounting and culminated in&nbsp;expectations&nbsp;for a multi-decade high of 2.7% between now and 2026. While Amazon’s financial results might not be particularly at risk from higher consumer prices (revenues could even benefit from it), the perceived value of a growth stock in the face of higher inflation and yields tends to decrease.</li> </ul> <b>Amazon and the road to $2 trillion</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>市场已经完全接受了所谓的“周期性轮动”：对在不同宏观经济环境中表现更好的成长型股票的偏好已经转移到主要在经济复苏期间表现优于大盘的行业（银行、能源、旅游和休闲、小盘股等）。</li><li>一些专家开始怀疑大型科技公司在未来几年的表现是否会一样好，因为预计消费者在家中花费的钱（在线购物、视频流等）将会减少。）比他们在2020年。</li><li>对通胀的担忧一直在加剧，最终导致从现在到2026年，通胀将达到2.7%的数十年高点。虽然亚马逊的财务业绩可能不会受到消费者价格上涨的特别风险（收入甚至可能从中受益），但面对通胀和收益率上升，成长型股票的感知价值往往会下降。</li></ul><b>亚马逊和2万亿美元之路</b></blockquote></p><p> Back to the original question: when will Amazon stock finally reach $2 trillion? Clearly, this is not an easy question to answer, because the future is uncertain. But the Amazon Maven proposes the following model that investors can use to think about the timeline:</p><p><blockquote>回到最初的问题：亚马逊股票何时才能最终达到2万亿美元？显然，这不是一个容易回答的问题，因为未来是不确定的。但亚马逊专家提出了以下模型，投资者可以用它来思考时间表：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>business fundamentals</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock can reach the $2 trillion market cap if or once growth expectations materialize. For example, consider the math: AMZN currently trades at a 2021 forward price-earnings ratio of 58 times. Without any compression to valuation multiples, Amazon would be worth $2 trillion once annual EPS reached $70. Analysts currently expect the company to deliver earnings at these levels as early as 2022. Therefore, Amazon could very well reach the market cap milestone&nbsp;<b>this time next year</b>.</li>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>valuation</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock would be worth $2 trillion if its forward P/E merely expanded from 58 to 73 times. One or a combination of the following would probably need to happen: (1) an increase in long-term earnings and/or cash flow growth expectations; (2) a drop in interest (i.e. discount) rates; (3) a market-wide rally that is fueled by increased investor optimism. To be honest, I think that valuation expansion is the least likely path to $2 trillion.</li>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>chart analysis</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock could get to $2 trillion if share price breaks through this $1.7-to-$1.8 trillion market cap resistance. The stock has been range-bound for several months. Investors would probably feel more comfortable investing in AMZN once they saw momentum develop once again.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>从一个<b>业务基础</b>从长远来看，如果增长预期成为现实，亚马逊股票的市值可能会达到2万亿美元。例如，考虑一下数学：AMZN目前的2021年预期市盈率为58倍。在估值倍数没有任何压缩的情况下，一旦年每股收益达到70美元，亚马逊的价值将达到2万亿美元。分析师目前预计该公司最早将在2022年实现这些水平的盈利。因此，亚马逊很可能达到市值里程碑<b>明年这个时候</b>.</li><li>从一个<b>估值</b>从长远来看，如果亚马逊的预期市盈率仅从58倍扩大到73倍，其股票价值将达到2万亿美元。可能需要发生以下一种或多种情况：(1)长期收益和/或现金流增长预期的增加；（2）利率（即贴现）下降；（3）投资者乐观情绪增强推动的全市场反弹。说实话，我认为估值扩张是最不可能达到2万亿美元的路径。</li><li>从一个<b>图表分析</b>从长远来看，如果股价突破1.7至1.8万亿美元的市值阻力位，亚马逊股价可能会达到2万亿美元。该股几个月来一直在区间波动。一旦投资者看到势头再次发展，他们可能会更放心地投资亚马逊。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-finally-reach-2-trillion\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-finally-reach-2-trillion","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178661753","content_text":"Amazon stock is the third most valuable in the US market. How long will it take shares to climb about 25% and reach the $2 trillion market cap milestone, joining Apple in the select trillion-dollar club?\nAmazon stock has not gone anywhere in over half a year. Since reaching an all-time high in September 2020, shares have declined about 9%, now trading much closer to correction territory than to the stock’s historical peak value of $1.8 trillion.\nInterestingly, Amazon stock’s lack of firepower has been inconsistent with the company’s outstanding performance throughout this pandemic period. If Marty McFly or Dr. Brown from Back To The Futurehad shown me Amazon’s fourth quarter 2020 and first quarter 2021 financial results six months ago, I would have bet that the company’s equity would be worth north of $2 trillion by now.\nOf course, I would have been wrong. I explain why below.\nFigure 1: Amazon fulfilment center.\nWhat has gone wrong?\nLet me be clear: it would be unfair to say that Amazon stock has not been a winner lately. Sure, shares have been stuck in the mud for seven months. But the chart below shows how far and how fast the company’s equity value has climbed recently: from $350 billion five years ago to $1.6 trillion now.\nThe malaise of September 2020 to today can be probably blamed, first and foremost, on the stock’s impressive run of March through September of last year. The market seems to have anticipated Amazon’s strong performance during and even after the year of the stay-at-home economy.\nFigure 2: AMZN market cap chart.\nNow, as the US economy slowly reopens, a few things have started to happen – none of which is particularly good news for Amazon and its stock:\n\nThe market has fully embraced what is known as the “cyclical rotation”: preference for growth stocks that can perform better in different macroeconomic environments has shifted to sectors that tend to outperform primarily during periods of economic recovery (banks, energy, travel and leisure, small cap, etc.).\nSome experts have started to doubt that Big Tech companies will perform as well in the next few years, now that consumers are expected to spend less money inside their homes (online shopping, video streaming, etc.) than they did in 2020.\nInflation fears have been mounting and culminated in expectations for a multi-decade high of 2.7% between now and 2026. While Amazon’s financial results might not be particularly at risk from higher consumer prices (revenues could even benefit from it), the perceived value of a growth stock in the face of higher inflation and yields tends to decrease.\n\nAmazon and the road to $2 trillion\nBack to the original question: when will Amazon stock finally reach $2 trillion? Clearly, this is not an easy question to answer, because the future is uncertain. But the Amazon Maven proposes the following model that investors can use to think about the timeline:\n\nFrom a business fundamentals perspective, Amazon stock can reach the $2 trillion market cap if or once growth expectations materialize. For example, consider the math: AMZN currently trades at a 2021 forward price-earnings ratio of 58 times. Without any compression to valuation multiples, Amazon would be worth $2 trillion once annual EPS reached $70. Analysts currently expect the company to deliver earnings at these levels as early as 2022. Therefore, Amazon could very well reach the market cap milestone this time next year.\nFrom a valuation perspective, Amazon stock would be worth $2 trillion if its forward P/E merely expanded from 58 to 73 times. One or a combination of the following would probably need to happen: (1) an increase in long-term earnings and/or cash flow growth expectations; (2) a drop in interest (i.e. discount) rates; (3) a market-wide rally that is fueled by increased investor optimism. To be honest, I think that valuation expansion is the least likely path to $2 trillion.\nFrom a chart analysis perspective, Amazon stock could get to $2 trillion if share price breaks through this $1.7-to-$1.8 trillion market cap resistance. The stock has been range-bound for several months. Investors would probably feel more comfortable investing in AMZN once they saw momentum develop once again.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116410510,"gmtCreate":1622815008630,"gmtModify":1634097730037,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116410510","repostId":"1153673992","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116437215,"gmtCreate":1622814985437,"gmtModify":1634097730625,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116437215","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但下一个十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果的增长在过去十年中有所放缓，未来几年也可能不会成为增长怪物。</li><li>股价具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock社论，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能会有所不同。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，苹果的股价在十年后仍可能大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前，股票回报率为900%，复合年回报率约为26%，轻松击败了同期大盘的回报率。重要的是，该公司股价的涨幅远远超过了该公司的市值，而该公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅减少了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个商业上非常成功的时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的兴起，同时也在手表和平板电脑等新产品上取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新产品类别推出。目前，股价为125美元，过去12个月上涨57%，但2021年迄今下跌6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整格局，这并不令人意外，因为苹果的估值最近已经扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前的一致目标价为156美元，这意味着25%的上涨潜力。由于目前没有迹象表明股价会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年后苹果股票会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，苹果2031年的股价是无法准确预测的。正如历史一次又一次地表明的那样，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以设计情景来了解在某些条件下未来股价的走势，从而了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建这样的场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去曾经历过多年的强劲增长和多年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释，例如。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的强度，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。2010年代初，苹果凭借iPhone的“胜利之路”实现了巨大增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长速度放缓。甚至有一些年份的收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年的强劲增长推动了这一增长率时，假设苹果将增长10%可能不太合理。未来一年也是如此。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就变得越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在其产品价格上涨以及中国等高增长国家市场份额增长的潜力（越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格较高的产品）的背景下，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致更高的应用支出——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像iPhone那样庞大），苹果应该能够以稳健的速度发展其业务。我个人认为5%-7%的收入增长率可能是未来几年的现实估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的意见。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅减少其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了36%的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股票在公司价值中的份额将上涨56%，即年化4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年的股票数量仅减少了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股票数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至25%时，当我们考虑每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约3%的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我5%-7%的业务增长预测，我因此假设苹果的每股长期增长将达到8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去的估值范围很广，其股票在某些时候的市盈率非常低，而投资者在其他时候愿意支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的10倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，2020年底，该公司的股价高达该公司净利润的40倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL的往绩市盈率为28倍，远期利润约为24倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去3年、5年、7年和10年的市盈率中位数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期内中值较高。我不认为AAPL的市盈率会达到过去十年平均市盈率的15.5倍，因为对于像苹果这样拥有强大品牌、庞大规模的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。、巨大的利润和堡垒般的资产负债表。另一方面，我也不相信苹果的市盈率会永远保持在24-28倍——对于一家业务增长稳健但不引人注目的中个位数的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，尤其如此，在其他条件相同的情况下，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力。因此，我认为2031年净利润20倍左右的估值可能是合理的估计，这或多或少与3年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从2021年每股收益估计为5.15美元开始计算，并假设到2031年每年增长7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为10.10美元至13.40美元。将市盈率定为20倍，目标价约为每股200-270美元。因此，在235美元左右的中点，股价将较当前水平上涨约90%，年化涨幅约为6.5%。这肯定是一个不错的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，苹果公司在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报率不太兴奋。当我们考虑到，如果苹果的估值下降，例如由于利率上升，股价在未来1-3年内确实存在相当大的下行风险，目前保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现出色。目前，我对苹果的评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意并倾向于在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说，该股在未来十年确实有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但下一个十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果的增长在过去十年中有所放缓，未来几年也可能不会成为增长怪物。</li><li>股价具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock社论，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能会有所不同。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，苹果的股价在十年后仍可能大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前，股票回报率为900%，复合年回报率约为26%，轻松击败了同期大盘的回报率。重要的是，该公司股价的涨幅远远超过了该公司的市值，而该公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅减少了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个商业上非常成功的时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的兴起，同时也在手表和平板电脑等新产品上取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新产品类别推出。目前，股价为125美元，过去12个月上涨57%，但2021年迄今下跌6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整格局，这并不令人意外，因为苹果的估值最近已经扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前的一致目标价为156美元，这意味着25%的上涨潜力。由于目前没有迹象表明股价会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年后苹果股票会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，苹果2031年的股价是无法准确预测的。正如历史一次又一次地表明的那样，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以设计情景来了解在某些条件下未来股价的走势，从而了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建这样的场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去曾经历过多年的强劲增长和多年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释，例如。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的强度，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。2010年代初，苹果凭借iPhone的“胜利之路”实现了巨大增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长速度放缓。甚至有一些年份的收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年的强劲增长推动了这一增长率时，假设苹果将增长10%可能不太合理。未来一年也是如此。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就变得越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在其产品价格上涨以及中国等高增长国家市场份额增长的潜力（越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格较高的产品）的背景下，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致更高的应用支出——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像iPhone那样庞大），苹果应该能够以稳健的速度发展其业务。我个人认为5%-7%的收入增长率可能是未来几年的现实估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的意见。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅减少其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了36%的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股票在公司价值中的份额将上涨56%，即年化4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年的股票数量仅减少了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股票数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至25%时，当我们考虑每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约3%的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我5%-7%的业务增长预测，我因此假设苹果的每股长期增长将达到8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去的估值范围很广，其股票在某些时候的市盈率非常低，而投资者在其他时候愿意支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的10倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，2020年底，该公司的股价高达该公司净利润的40倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL的往绩市盈率为28倍，远期利润约为24倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去3年、5年、7年和10年的市盈率中位数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期内中值较高。我不认为AAPL的市盈率会达到过去十年平均市盈率的15.5倍，因为对于像苹果这样拥有强大品牌、庞大规模的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。、巨大的利润和堡垒般的资产负债表。另一方面，我也不相信苹果的市盈率会永远保持在24-28倍——对于一家业务增长稳健但不引人注目的中个位数的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，尤其如此，在其他条件相同的情况下，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力。因此，我认为2031年净利润20倍左右的估值可能是合理的估计，这或多或少与3年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从2021年每股收益估计为5.15美元开始计算，并假设到2031年每年增长7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为10.10美元至13.40美元。将市盈率定为20倍，目标价约为每股200-270美元。因此，在235美元左右的中点，股价将较当前水平上涨约90%，年化涨幅约为6.5%。这肯定是一个不错的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，苹果公司在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报率不太兴奋。当我们考虑到，如果苹果的估值下降，例如由于利率上升，股价在未来1-3年内确实存在相当大的下行风险，目前保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现出色。目前，我对苹果的评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意并倾向于在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说，该股在未来十年确实有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116437304,"gmtCreate":1622814965908,"gmtModify":1634097730986,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116437304","repostId":"1105681635","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105681635","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622800841,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105681635?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 18:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Top Robinhood Stocks Wall Street Thinks Will Soar 25% or More<blockquote>华尔街认为Robinhood 3只顶级股票将飙升25%或更多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105681635","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts expect one of them to skyrocket a lot more than 25%.","content":"<p>Robinhood investors like quite a few stocks that aren't exactly favorites for analysts. If memes are floating on the internet about a given stock, there's a pretty good chance that it's popular on Robinhood but not so much on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood投资者喜欢相当多不是分析师最喜欢的股票。如果互联网上流传着关于某只股票的模因，那么它很有可能在Robinhood上很受欢迎，但在华尔街就没那么受欢迎了。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are also several stocks that retail investors on the commission-free trading platform and analysts alike hold in high regard. Here are three top Robinhood stocks that Wall Street thinks will soar 25% or more.</p><p><blockquote>然而，也有几只股票受到免佣金交易平台上的散户投资者和分析师的高度重视。以下是华尔街认为将飙升25%或更多的三只顶级Robinhood股票。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0548d25733705cf21e71b0a7eaad8add\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> You might think that with a market cap topping $2 trillion, there's not much room for&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AAPL)&nbsp;to grow. Analysts would disagree. The average one-year price target for the technology leader reflects a premium of nearly 28% over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>您可能会认为，市值超过2万亿美元，没有太多空间<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）成长。分析师不会同意。这家科技领导者的平均一年目标价较当前股价溢价近28%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is the second-most widely held stock among Robinhood investors. Why? Probably because they realize the incredible moat and growth prospects that Apple enjoys with its iPhone-centric ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是Robinhood投资者持有第二多的股票。为什么？可能是因为他们意识到苹果以iPhone为中心的生态系统所享有的令人难以置信的护城河和增长前景。</blockquote></p><p> I think this ecosystem could expand enough for Apple to hit Wall Street's price target. The increased availability of high-speed 5G wireless networks continues to fuel demand for the newer iPhone models. Apple's services and wearables revenue also continues to grow significantly.</p><p><blockquote>我认为这个生态系统可以扩展到足以让苹果达到华尔街的价格目标。高速5G无线网络可用性的提高继续推动对新款iPhone的需求。苹果的服务和可穿戴设备收入也继续大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Over the long run, my view is that technological innovations will keep Apple among the favorite stocks for both Robinhood investors and Wall Street analysts. Look for more augmented reality functionality on the way. There's also speculation that Apple could&nbsp;launch a foldable iPhone in 2023. A future market cap of $3 trillion or more isn't out of the question at all.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，我的观点是，技术创新将使苹果继续成为Robinhood投资者和华尔街分析师最喜欢的股票之一。寻找更多的增强现实功能。还有人猜测苹果可能会在2023年推出可折叠iPhone。未来市值达到3万亿美元或更多并非不可能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon.com</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> Robinhood investors and analysts also agree on another so-called&nbsp;FAANG stock--<b>Amazon.com</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN). The internet giant ranks as the ninth most popular stock on Robinhood. Analysts think that Amazon's share price could rise 31% over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood投资者和分析师还就另一只所谓的FAANG股票达成了一致——<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）。这家互联网巨头在Robinhood上排名第九。分析师认为，未来12个月亚马逊股价可能上涨31%。</blockquote></p><p> There are two key growth drivers that could enable Amazon to deliver that kind of growth. The company's Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud platform continues to fire on all cylinders and is highly profitable. Amazon is also experiencing strong momentum with its digital advertising business.</p><p><blockquote>有两个关键的增长动力可以使亚马逊实现这种增长。该公司的亚马逊网络服务（AWS）云平台继续全力以赴，利润丰厚。亚马逊的数字广告业务也表现强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Value investor Bill Miller even thinks that these two units&nbsp;could account for most of Amazon's valuation&nbsp;within the next couple of years. He's also bullish about the company's business-to-business and logistics platforms. I suspect Miller's optimism is on point.</p><p><blockquote>价值投资者比尔·米勒甚至认为，这两个部门可能会在未来几年内占亚马逊估值的大部分。他还看好该公司的企业对企业和物流平台。我怀疑米勒的乐观是有道理的。</blockquote></p><p> Don't forget e-commerce, though. Amazon remains the biggest e-commerce company in the world. Online sales still account for less than 14% of total retail sales in the U.S. There's a lot of room for Amazon to run in its core business.</p><p><blockquote>不过，不要忘记电子商务。亚马逊仍然是世界上最大的电子商务公司。在线销售额仍占美国零售总额的比例不到14%。亚马逊的核心业务还有很大的发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bionano Genomics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>生物纳米基因组学</b></blockquote></p><p> You might be at least a little surprised by the third top Robinhood stock on our list that Wall Street really likes. The average price target for&nbsp;<b>Bionano Genomics</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:BNGO)&nbsp;is a whopping 80% higher than the stock's current price.</p><p><blockquote>您可能至少会对我们名单上华尔街真正喜欢的第三大罗宾汉股票感到有点惊讶。平均目标价<b>生物纳米基因组学</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：BNGO）比该股当前价格高出80%。</blockquote></p><p> Bionano&nbsp;reported better-than-expected Q1 results&nbsp;in May. Revenue jumped 179% year over year to a record-high $3.2 million. Although the company remained unprofitable, its bottom line moved in the right direction.</p><p><blockquote>Bionano 5月份公布的第一季度业绩好于预期。收入同比增长179%，达到创纪录的320万美元。尽管该公司仍未盈利，但其利润却朝着正确的方向发展。</blockquote></p><p> Customers appear to like Bionano's Saphyr genome mapping system. As the install base grows, the company's recurring revenue from consumables grows. That's the kind of business model that investors hope could really pay off over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>客户似乎喜欢Bionano的Saphyr基因组图谱系统。随着安装基础的增长，公司来自消耗品的经常性收入也在增长。这是投资者希望从长远来看能够真正获得回报的商业模式。</blockquote></p><p> Bionano projects that it will have 150 Saphyr systems in the field by the end of this year, up 50% from the end of 2020. The company also anticipates receiving accreditation for additional laboratory-developed tests for Saphyr soon. Bionano is riskier than Apple or Amazon, but analysts think it could be a huge winner over the near term.</p><p><blockquote>Bionano预计，到今年年底，该领域将拥有150个Saphyr系统，比2020年底增长50%。该公司还预计很快将获得Saphyr其他实验室开发测试的认证。Bionano的风险高于苹果或亚马逊，但分析师认为它可能是短期内的巨大赢家。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Top Robinhood Stocks Wall Street Thinks Will Soar 25% or More<blockquote>华尔街认为Robinhood 3只顶级股票将飙升25%或更多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Top Robinhood Stocks Wall Street Thinks Will Soar 25% or More<blockquote>华尔街认为Robinhood 3只顶级股票将飙升25%或更多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 18:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Robinhood investors like quite a few stocks that aren't exactly favorites for analysts. If memes are floating on the internet about a given stock, there's a pretty good chance that it's popular on Robinhood but not so much on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood投资者喜欢相当多不是分析师最喜欢的股票。如果互联网上流传着关于某只股票的模因，那么它很有可能在Robinhood上很受欢迎，但在华尔街就没那么受欢迎了。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are also several stocks that retail investors on the commission-free trading platform and analysts alike hold in high regard. Here are three top Robinhood stocks that Wall Street thinks will soar 25% or more.</p><p><blockquote>然而，也有几只股票受到免佣金交易平台上的散户投资者和分析师的高度重视。以下是华尔街认为将飙升25%或更多的三只顶级Robinhood股票。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0548d25733705cf21e71b0a7eaad8add\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> You might think that with a market cap topping $2 trillion, there's not much room for&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AAPL)&nbsp;to grow. Analysts would disagree. The average one-year price target for the technology leader reflects a premium of nearly 28% over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>您可能会认为，市值超过2万亿美元，没有太多空间<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克：AAPL）成长。分析师不会同意。这家科技领导者的平均一年目标价较当前股价溢价近28%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is the second-most widely held stock among Robinhood investors. Why? Probably because they realize the incredible moat and growth prospects that Apple enjoys with its iPhone-centric ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是Robinhood投资者持有第二多的股票。为什么？可能是因为他们意识到苹果以iPhone为中心的生态系统所享有的令人难以置信的护城河和增长前景。</blockquote></p><p> I think this ecosystem could expand enough for Apple to hit Wall Street's price target. The increased availability of high-speed 5G wireless networks continues to fuel demand for the newer iPhone models. Apple's services and wearables revenue also continues to grow significantly.</p><p><blockquote>我认为这个生态系统可以扩展到足以让苹果达到华尔街的价格目标。高速5G无线网络可用性的提高继续推动对新款iPhone的需求。苹果的服务和可穿戴设备收入也继续大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Over the long run, my view is that technological innovations will keep Apple among the favorite stocks for both Robinhood investors and Wall Street analysts. Look for more augmented reality functionality on the way. There's also speculation that Apple could&nbsp;launch a foldable iPhone in 2023. A future market cap of $3 trillion or more isn't out of the question at all.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，我的观点是，技术创新将使苹果继续成为Robinhood投资者和华尔街分析师最喜欢的股票之一。寻找更多的增强现实功能。还有人猜测苹果可能会在2023年推出可折叠iPhone。未来市值达到3万亿美元或更多并非不可能。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon.com</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> Robinhood investors and analysts also agree on another so-called&nbsp;FAANG stock--<b>Amazon.com</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN). The internet giant ranks as the ninth most popular stock on Robinhood. Analysts think that Amazon's share price could rise 31% over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood投资者和分析师还就另一只所谓的FAANG股票达成了一致——<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）。这家互联网巨头在Robinhood上排名第九。分析师认为，未来12个月亚马逊股价可能上涨31%。</blockquote></p><p> There are two key growth drivers that could enable Amazon to deliver that kind of growth. The company's Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud platform continues to fire on all cylinders and is highly profitable. Amazon is also experiencing strong momentum with its digital advertising business.</p><p><blockquote>有两个关键的增长动力可以使亚马逊实现这种增长。该公司的亚马逊网络服务（AWS）云平台继续全力以赴，利润丰厚。亚马逊的数字广告业务也表现强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Value investor Bill Miller even thinks that these two units&nbsp;could account for most of Amazon's valuation&nbsp;within the next couple of years. He's also bullish about the company's business-to-business and logistics platforms. I suspect Miller's optimism is on point.</p><p><blockquote>价值投资者比尔·米勒甚至认为，这两个部门可能会在未来几年内占亚马逊估值的大部分。他还看好该公司的企业对企业和物流平台。我怀疑米勒的乐观是有道理的。</blockquote></p><p> Don't forget e-commerce, though. Amazon remains the biggest e-commerce company in the world. Online sales still account for less than 14% of total retail sales in the U.S. There's a lot of room for Amazon to run in its core business.</p><p><blockquote>不过，不要忘记电子商务。亚马逊仍然是世界上最大的电子商务公司。在线销售额仍占美国零售总额的比例不到14%。亚马逊的核心业务还有很大的发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bionano Genomics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>生物纳米基因组学</b></blockquote></p><p> You might be at least a little surprised by the third top Robinhood stock on our list that Wall Street really likes. The average price target for&nbsp;<b>Bionano Genomics</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:BNGO)&nbsp;is a whopping 80% higher than the stock's current price.</p><p><blockquote>您可能至少会对我们名单上华尔街真正喜欢的第三大罗宾汉股票感到有点惊讶。平均目标价<b>生物纳米基因组学</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：BNGO）比该股当前价格高出80%。</blockquote></p><p> Bionano&nbsp;reported better-than-expected Q1 results&nbsp;in May. Revenue jumped 179% year over year to a record-high $3.2 million. Although the company remained unprofitable, its bottom line moved in the right direction.</p><p><blockquote>Bionano 5月份公布的第一季度业绩好于预期。收入同比增长179%，达到创纪录的320万美元。尽管该公司仍未盈利，但其利润却朝着正确的方向发展。</blockquote></p><p> Customers appear to like Bionano's Saphyr genome mapping system. As the install base grows, the company's recurring revenue from consumables grows. That's the kind of business model that investors hope could really pay off over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>客户似乎喜欢Bionano的Saphyr基因组图谱系统。随着安装基础的增长，公司来自消耗品的经常性收入也在增长。这是投资者希望从长远来看能够真正获得回报的商业模式。</blockquote></p><p> Bionano projects that it will have 150 Saphyr systems in the field by the end of this year, up 50% from the end of 2020. The company also anticipates receiving accreditation for additional laboratory-developed tests for Saphyr soon. Bionano is riskier than Apple or Amazon, but analysts think it could be a huge winner over the near term.</p><p><blockquote>Bionano预计，到今年年底，该领域将拥有150个Saphyr系统，比2020年底增长50%。该公司还预计很快将获得Saphyr其他实验室开发测试的认证。Bionano的风险高于苹果或亚马逊，但分析师认为它可能是短期内的巨大赢家。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/04/3-top-robinhood-stocks-wall-street-thinks-will-soa/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","AMZN":"亚马逊","BNGO":"Bionano Genomics"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/04/3-top-robinhood-stocks-wall-street-thinks-will-soa/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105681635","content_text":"Robinhood investors like quite a few stocks that aren't exactly favorites for analysts. If memes are floating on the internet about a given stock, there's a pretty good chance that it's popular on Robinhood but not so much on Wall Street.\nHowever, there are also several stocks that retail investors on the commission-free trading platform and analysts alike hold in high regard. Here are three top Robinhood stocks that Wall Street thinks will soar 25% or more.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nApple\nYou might think that with a market cap topping $2 trillion, there's not much room for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to grow. Analysts would disagree. The average one-year price target for the technology leader reflects a premium of nearly 28% over the current share price.\nApple is the second-most widely held stock among Robinhood investors. Why? Probably because they realize the incredible moat and growth prospects that Apple enjoys with its iPhone-centric ecosystem.\nI think this ecosystem could expand enough for Apple to hit Wall Street's price target. The increased availability of high-speed 5G wireless networks continues to fuel demand for the newer iPhone models. Apple's services and wearables revenue also continues to grow significantly.\nOver the long run, my view is that technological innovations will keep Apple among the favorite stocks for both Robinhood investors and Wall Street analysts. Look for more augmented reality functionality on the way. There's also speculation that Apple could launch a foldable iPhone in 2023. A future market cap of $3 trillion or more isn't out of the question at all.\nAmazon.com\nRobinhood investors and analysts also agree on another so-called FAANG stock--Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN). The internet giant ranks as the ninth most popular stock on Robinhood. Analysts think that Amazon's share price could rise 31% over the next 12 months.\nThere are two key growth drivers that could enable Amazon to deliver that kind of growth. The company's Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud platform continues to fire on all cylinders and is highly profitable. Amazon is also experiencing strong momentum with its digital advertising business.\nValue investor Bill Miller even thinks that these two units could account for most of Amazon's valuation within the next couple of years. He's also bullish about the company's business-to-business and logistics platforms. I suspect Miller's optimism is on point.\nDon't forget e-commerce, though. Amazon remains the biggest e-commerce company in the world. Online sales still account for less than 14% of total retail sales in the U.S. There's a lot of room for Amazon to run in its core business.\nBionano Genomics\nYou might be at least a little surprised by the third top Robinhood stock on our list that Wall Street really likes. The average price target for Bionano Genomics (NASDAQ:BNGO) is a whopping 80% higher than the stock's current price.\nBionano reported better-than-expected Q1 results in May. Revenue jumped 179% year over year to a record-high $3.2 million. Although the company remained unprofitable, its bottom line moved in the right direction.\nCustomers appear to like Bionano's Saphyr genome mapping system. As the install base grows, the company's recurring revenue from consumables grows. That's the kind of business model that investors hope could really pay off over the long run.\nBionano projects that it will have 150 Saphyr systems in the field by the end of this year, up 50% from the end of 2020. The company also anticipates receiving accreditation for additional laboratory-developed tests for Saphyr soon. Bionano is riskier than Apple or Amazon, but analysts think it could be a huge winner over the near term.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"BNGO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118157934,"gmtCreate":1622725334128,"gmtModify":1634098728636,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118157934","repostId":"2140425019","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118154578,"gmtCreate":1622725309794,"gmtModify":1634098729084,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118154578","repostId":"1140207862","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140207862","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622722823,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140207862?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 20:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140207862","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nasdaq futures lead stock dropMeme stocks fluctuated greatlyU.S. equity futures dropped with Europea","content":"<p><ul><li>Nasdaq futures lead stock drop</li></ul><ul><li>Meme&nbsp;stocks fluctuated greatly</li></ul>U.S. equity futures dropped with European stocks on Thursday as fresh geopolitical tensions added to investor concerns over inflation and a potential reduction in stimulus.World stocks stepped back from record highs on Thursday as investors weighed inflation concerns ahead of key U.S. economic data, while oil prices rose for a third straight session.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>纳斯达克期铅库存下跌</li></ul><ul><li>模因股大幅波动</li></ul>由于新的地缘政治紧张局势加剧了投资者对通胀和刺激措施可能减少的担忧，美国股指期货周四与欧洲股市一起下跌。全球股市周四从纪录高位回落，因投资者在美国关键经济数据公布前权衡通胀担忧，而油价连续第三个交易日上涨。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:12 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 233 points, or 0.67%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 33 points, or 0.78%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 149.25 points, or 1.09%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:12，道指e-mini下跌233点，跌幅0.67%，标普500 e-mini下跌33点，跌幅0.78%，纳斯达克100 e-mini下跌149.25点，跌幅1.09%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5551aa2c67b20860026ceb7c9155636\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:12</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:12</span></p></blockquote></p><p>A weekly U.S. unemployment report and May private payrolls data on Thursday will be followed by the monthly jobs numbers on Friday. Investors will be looking for signs of an economic rebound and rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周四美国每周失业报告和5月份私人就业数据将于周五公布月度就业数据。投资者将寻找经济反弹和通胀上升的迹象。</blockquote></p><p>Initial jobless claims fell below 400,000 for the first time since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic as the labor market continues to recover, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四报告称，随着劳动力市场持续复苏，首次申请失业救济人数自Covid-19大流行初期以来首次降至40万以下。</blockquote></p><p>Initial claims fell to 385,000 for the week ended May 29, a decline from the previous week's 405,000 and below the Dow Jones estimate of 393,000.</p><p><blockquote>截至5月29日当周，初请失业金人数降至38.5万人，低于前一周的40.5万人，也低于道琼斯预期的39.3万人。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC) </b>– AMC&nbsp;filed to sell up to 11.55 million common shares&nbsp;“from time to time,” according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, but cautioned against investing in the stock due to recent moves “unrelated to our underlying business.” AMC&nbsp;had initially surged in the premarket&nbsp;after nearly doubling Wednesday, but fell 9.7% after the filing.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线(AMC)</b>-根据美国证券交易委员会提交的文件，AMC“不时”申请出售最多1155万股普通股，但警告不要投资该股票，因为最近的举动“与我们的基础业务无关”。AMC在周三上涨近一倍后，最初在盘前飙升，但在提交文件后下跌9.7%。</blockquote></p><p><b>BlackBerry&nbsp;(BB),Koss&nbsp;(KOSS),GameStop&nbsp;(GME),Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&nbsp;(BBBY)</b> – These stocks remain on watch today, after surging yesterday on investor enthusiasm for the so-called “meme” stocks. BlackBerry jumped 11.2% in the premarket, but Koss fell 10.1%, GameStop lost 2.3% and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond dropped 12.9% after soaring 62% Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓(BB)、科斯(KOSS)、游戏驿站(GME)、Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)</b>-这些股票在昨天因投资者对所谓“模因”股票的热情而飙升后，今天仍受到关注。黑莓盘前上涨11.2%，但Koss下跌10.1%，游戏驿站下跌2.3%，Bed Bath&amp;Beyond在周三飙升62%后下跌12.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Express&nbsp;(EXPR) </b>– The apparel retailer reported a quarterly loss of 55 cents per share, smaller than the 58 cents a share that analysts were expecting. Revenue topped Street forecasts and Express said it expects sequential comparable sales improvement throughout this year. Its shares fell 7.1% in the premarket after an initial jump higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>快递（EXPR）</b>-该服装零售商报告季度每股亏损55美分，低于分析师预期的每股58美分。收入超出了华尔街的预测，Express表示预计今年全年可比销售额将环比改善。其股价在最初上涨后，盘前下跌7.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Meredith Corp.&nbsp;(MDP) </b>– Meredith accepted a revised bid from&nbsp;Gray Television(GTN) for its local media group. Meredith shareholders will now receive $16.99 per share in cash, up from the prior $14.51 a share, plus one share in the new post-close version of Meredith.</p><p><blockquote><b>梅雷迪思公司(MDP)</b>-Meredith接受了Gray Television(GTN)对其当地媒体集团的修订出价。Meredith股东现在将获得每股16.99美元的现金，高于之前的每股14.51美元，外加新的Meredith收盘后版本的一股。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ciena&nbsp;(CIEN) </b>– The networking equipment and services company reported quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share, 14 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ projections. Ciena said it was helped by an improving market environment and a rebound in customer spending. Ciena gained 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Ciena（CIEN）</b>-这家网络设备和服务公司报告季度收益为每股62美分，比预期高出每股14美分。收入也高于分析师的预测。Ciena表示，这得益于市场环境的改善和客户支出的反弹。Ciena在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>J.M. Smucker&nbsp;(SJM)</b> – The food producer beat estimates by 22 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $1.89 per share. Revenue came in slightly above forecasts. Sales fell compared with a year earlier, however, when homebound consumers stocked up as the pandemic took hold. Smucker did issue an upbeat full-year earnings forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>J.M.Smucker(SJM)</b>–该食品生产商每股超出预期22美分，季度利润为每股1.89美元。收入略高于预期。然而，由于疫情蔓延，居家消费者囤货，销售额与去年同期相比有所下降。Smucker确实发布了乐观的全年盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p><b>PVH&nbsp;(PVH)</b> – PVH earned $1.92 per share for its latest quarter, more than double the consensus estimate of 83 cents a share. The company behind apparel brands like Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein also saw revenue beat estimates, and it also raised its full-year forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>PVH(PVH)</b>-PVH最近一个季度的每股收益为1.92美元，是普遍预期的每股83美分的两倍多。Tommy Hilfiger和Calvin Klein等服装品牌背后的公司收入也超出了预期，并且还上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p><b>Exxon Mobil&nbsp;(XOM)</b> – Exxon said in an SEC filing that hedge fund Engine No. 1&nbsp;had won a third seat on the energy giant’s board. Engine No. 1 – a small investor in Exxon – won a surprise victory with a campaign centered on environmental concerns.</p><p><blockquote><b>埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>——埃克森美孚在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，对冲基金Engine No.1赢得了这家能源巨头董事会的第三个席位。Engine No.1——埃克森美孚的小投资者——凭借一场以环境问题为中心的运动赢得了意外的胜利。</blockquote></p><p><b>FireEye&nbsp;(FEYE) </b>– FireEye&nbsp;announced the sale&nbsp;of its security software products unit – along with the FireEye name – to private-equity firm Symphony Technology for $1.2 billion. The business that remains will be called Mandiant Solutions, the same name used by CEO Kevin Mandia’s business before its sale to FireEye in 2014. FireEye shares tumbled 7.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>火眼（FEYE）</b>–FireEye宣布以12亿美元的价格将其安全软件产品部门以及FireEye名称出售给私募股权公司Symphony Technology。剩下的业务将被称为Mandiant Solutions，与首席执行官凯文·曼迪亚(Kevin Mandia)的业务在2014年出售给FireEye之前使用的名称相同。FireEye股价盘前下跌7.5%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Emergent BioSolutions&nbsp;(EBS)</b> – The Food and Drug Administration is working with&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;(JNJ) and&nbsp;AstraZeneca&nbsp;(AZN) to ensure that Covid-19 vaccine doses produced at an Emergent plant in Baltimore are uncontaminated and safe to use. That comes after the plant accidentally contaminated doses of J&amp;J’s vaccine with the active ingredient in AstraZeneca’s treatment.</p><p><blockquote><b>新兴生物解决方案(EBS)</b>-美国食品和药物管理局正在与强生公司(JNJ)和阿斯利康(AZN)合作，以确保巴尔的摩紧急工厂生产的Covid-19疫苗剂量不受污染且可以安全使用。此前，该工厂意外地用阿斯利康治疗中的活性成分污染了强生疫苗的剂量。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Splunk&nbsp;(SPLK)</b> – Splunk reported a greater-than-expected loss for the first quarter, though the maker of network analytics software did see revenue beat Wall Street forecasts. Splunk has been transitioning customers to cloud-based versions of its software, and recurring cloud revenue did jump 83% during the quarter compared to a year ago. Splunk lost 5.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Splunk(SPLK)</b>–Splunk报告第一季度亏损超出预期，尽管这家网络分析软件制造商的收入确实超出了华尔街的预期。Splunk一直在将客户过渡到基于云的软件版本，与去年同期相比，本季度经常性云收入确实增长了83%。Splunk在盘前交易中下跌5.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tilray&nbsp;(TLRY)</b> – The cannabis producer’s shares rallied 3.6% in premarket trading after Cantor Fitzgerald rolled out new estimates after the completion of Tilray’s merger with Aphria and rated the stock “overweight.” Cantor cites the combined company’s scale as well as upbeat overseas prospects.</p><p><blockquote><b>蒂尔雷(TLRY)</b>–Cantor Fitzgerald在Tilray与Aphria合并完成后推出了新的预期，并将该股评级为“跑赢大盘”，该大麻生产商的股价在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。坎托列举了合并后公司的规模以及乐观的海外前景。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-03 20:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>Nasdaq futures lead stock drop</li></ul><ul><li>Meme&nbsp;stocks fluctuated greatly</li></ul>U.S. equity futures dropped with European stocks on Thursday as fresh geopolitical tensions added to investor concerns over inflation and a potential reduction in stimulus.World stocks stepped back from record highs on Thursday as investors weighed inflation concerns ahead of key U.S. economic data, while oil prices rose for a third straight session.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>纳斯达克期铅库存下跌</li></ul><ul><li>模因股大幅波动</li></ul>由于新的地缘政治紧张局势加剧了投资者对通胀和刺激措施可能减少的担忧，美国股指期货周四与欧洲股市一起下跌。全球股市周四从纪录高位回落，因投资者在美国关键经济数据公布前权衡通胀担忧，而油价连续第三个交易日上涨。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:12 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 233 points, or 0.67%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 33 points, or 0.78%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 149.25 points, or 1.09%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:12，道指e-mini下跌233点，跌幅0.67%，标普500 e-mini下跌33点，跌幅0.78%，纳斯达克100 e-mini下跌149.25点，跌幅1.09%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5551aa2c67b20860026ceb7c9155636\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:12</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:12</span></p></blockquote></p><p>A weekly U.S. unemployment report and May private payrolls data on Thursday will be followed by the monthly jobs numbers on Friday. Investors will be looking for signs of an economic rebound and rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周四美国每周失业报告和5月份私人就业数据将于周五公布月度就业数据。投资者将寻找经济反弹和通胀上升的迹象。</blockquote></p><p>Initial jobless claims fell below 400,000 for the first time since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic as the labor market continues to recover, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四报告称，随着劳动力市场持续复苏，首次申请失业救济人数自Covid-19大流行初期以来首次降至40万以下。</blockquote></p><p>Initial claims fell to 385,000 for the week ended May 29, a decline from the previous week's 405,000 and below the Dow Jones estimate of 393,000.</p><p><blockquote>截至5月29日当周，初请失业金人数降至38.5万人，低于前一周的40.5万人，也低于道琼斯预期的39.3万人。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC) </b>– AMC&nbsp;filed to sell up to 11.55 million common shares&nbsp;“from time to time,” according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, but cautioned against investing in the stock due to recent moves “unrelated to our underlying business.” AMC&nbsp;had initially surged in the premarket&nbsp;after nearly doubling Wednesday, but fell 9.7% after the filing.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线(AMC)</b>-根据美国证券交易委员会提交的文件，AMC“不时”申请出售最多1155万股普通股，但警告不要投资该股票，因为最近的举动“与我们的基础业务无关”。AMC在周三上涨近一倍后，最初在盘前飙升，但在提交文件后下跌9.7%。</blockquote></p><p><b>BlackBerry&nbsp;(BB),Koss&nbsp;(KOSS),GameStop&nbsp;(GME),Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&nbsp;(BBBY)</b> – These stocks remain on watch today, after surging yesterday on investor enthusiasm for the so-called “meme” stocks. BlackBerry jumped 11.2% in the premarket, but Koss fell 10.1%, GameStop lost 2.3% and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond dropped 12.9% after soaring 62% Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓(BB)、科斯(KOSS)、游戏驿站(GME)、Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)</b>-这些股票在昨天因投资者对所谓“模因”股票的热情而飙升后，今天仍受到关注。黑莓盘前上涨11.2%，但Koss下跌10.1%，游戏驿站下跌2.3%，Bed Bath&amp;Beyond在周三飙升62%后下跌12.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Express&nbsp;(EXPR) </b>– The apparel retailer reported a quarterly loss of 55 cents per share, smaller than the 58 cents a share that analysts were expecting. Revenue topped Street forecasts and Express said it expects sequential comparable sales improvement throughout this year. Its shares fell 7.1% in the premarket after an initial jump higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>快递（EXPR）</b>-该服装零售商报告季度每股亏损55美分，低于分析师预期的每股58美分。收入超出了华尔街的预测，Express表示预计今年全年可比销售额将环比改善。其股价在最初上涨后，盘前下跌7.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Meredith Corp.&nbsp;(MDP) </b>– Meredith accepted a revised bid from&nbsp;Gray Television(GTN) for its local media group. Meredith shareholders will now receive $16.99 per share in cash, up from the prior $14.51 a share, plus one share in the new post-close version of Meredith.</p><p><blockquote><b>梅雷迪思公司(MDP)</b>-Meredith接受了Gray Television(GTN)对其当地媒体集团的修订出价。Meredith股东现在将获得每股16.99美元的现金，高于之前的每股14.51美元，外加新的Meredith收盘后版本的一股。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ciena&nbsp;(CIEN) </b>– The networking equipment and services company reported quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share, 14 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ projections. Ciena said it was helped by an improving market environment and a rebound in customer spending. Ciena gained 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Ciena（CIEN）</b>-这家网络设备和服务公司报告季度收益为每股62美分，比预期高出每股14美分。收入也高于分析师的预测。Ciena表示，这得益于市场环境的改善和客户支出的反弹。Ciena在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>J.M. Smucker&nbsp;(SJM)</b> – The food producer beat estimates by 22 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $1.89 per share. Revenue came in slightly above forecasts. Sales fell compared with a year earlier, however, when homebound consumers stocked up as the pandemic took hold. Smucker did issue an upbeat full-year earnings forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>J.M.Smucker(SJM)</b>–该食品生产商每股超出预期22美分，季度利润为每股1.89美元。收入略高于预期。然而，由于疫情蔓延，居家消费者囤货，销售额与去年同期相比有所下降。Smucker确实发布了乐观的全年盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p><b>PVH&nbsp;(PVH)</b> – PVH earned $1.92 per share for its latest quarter, more than double the consensus estimate of 83 cents a share. The company behind apparel brands like Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein also saw revenue beat estimates, and it also raised its full-year forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>PVH(PVH)</b>-PVH最近一个季度的每股收益为1.92美元，是普遍预期的每股83美分的两倍多。Tommy Hilfiger和Calvin Klein等服装品牌背后的公司收入也超出了预期，并且还上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p><b>Exxon Mobil&nbsp;(XOM)</b> – Exxon said in an SEC filing that hedge fund Engine No. 1&nbsp;had won a third seat on the energy giant’s board. Engine No. 1 – a small investor in Exxon – won a surprise victory with a campaign centered on environmental concerns.</p><p><blockquote><b>埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>——埃克森美孚在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，对冲基金Engine No.1赢得了这家能源巨头董事会的第三个席位。Engine No.1——埃克森美孚的小投资者——凭借一场以环境问题为中心的运动赢得了意外的胜利。</blockquote></p><p><b>FireEye&nbsp;(FEYE) </b>– FireEye&nbsp;announced the sale&nbsp;of its security software products unit – along with the FireEye name – to private-equity firm Symphony Technology for $1.2 billion. The business that remains will be called Mandiant Solutions, the same name used by CEO Kevin Mandia’s business before its sale to FireEye in 2014. FireEye shares tumbled 7.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>火眼（FEYE）</b>–FireEye宣布以12亿美元的价格将其安全软件产品部门以及FireEye名称出售给私募股权公司Symphony Technology。剩下的业务将被称为Mandiant Solutions，与首席执行官凯文·曼迪亚(Kevin Mandia)的业务在2014年出售给FireEye之前使用的名称相同。FireEye股价盘前下跌7.5%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Emergent BioSolutions&nbsp;(EBS)</b> – The Food and Drug Administration is working with&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;(JNJ) and&nbsp;AstraZeneca&nbsp;(AZN) to ensure that Covid-19 vaccine doses produced at an Emergent plant in Baltimore are uncontaminated and safe to use. That comes after the plant accidentally contaminated doses of J&amp;J’s vaccine with the active ingredient in AstraZeneca’s treatment.</p><p><blockquote><b>新兴生物解决方案(EBS)</b>-美国食品和药物管理局正在与强生公司(JNJ)和阿斯利康(AZN)合作，以确保巴尔的摩紧急工厂生产的Covid-19疫苗剂量不受污染且可以安全使用。此前，该工厂意外地用阿斯利康治疗中的活性成分污染了强生疫苗的剂量。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Splunk&nbsp;(SPLK)</b> – Splunk reported a greater-than-expected loss for the first quarter, though the maker of network analytics software did see revenue beat Wall Street forecasts. Splunk has been transitioning customers to cloud-based versions of its software, and recurring cloud revenue did jump 83% during the quarter compared to a year ago. Splunk lost 5.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Splunk(SPLK)</b>–Splunk报告第一季度亏损超出预期，尽管这家网络分析软件制造商的收入确实超出了华尔街的预期。Splunk一直在将客户过渡到基于云的软件版本，与去年同期相比，本季度经常性云收入确实增长了83%。Splunk在盘前交易中下跌5.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tilray&nbsp;(TLRY)</b> – The cannabis producer’s shares rallied 3.6% in premarket trading after Cantor Fitzgerald rolled out new estimates after the completion of Tilray’s merger with Aphria and rated the stock “overweight.” Cantor cites the combined company’s scale as well as upbeat overseas prospects.</p><p><blockquote><b>蒂尔雷(TLRY)</b>–Cantor Fitzgerald在Tilray与Aphria合并完成后推出了新的预期，并将该股评级为“跑赢大盘”，该大麻生产商的股价在盘前交易中上涨3.6%。坎托列举了合并后公司的规模以及乐观的海外前景。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","KOSS":"高斯电子","AMC":"AMC院线","EXPR":"Express, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","BB":"黑莓","TLRY":"Tilray Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140207862","content_text":"Nasdaq futures lead stock dropMeme stocks fluctuated greatlyU.S. equity futures dropped with European stocks on Thursday as fresh geopolitical tensions added to investor concerns over inflation and a potential reduction in stimulus.World stocks stepped back from record highs on Thursday as investors weighed inflation concerns ahead of key U.S. economic data, while oil prices rose for a third straight session.At 8:12 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 233 points, or 0.67%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 33 points, or 0.78%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 149.25 points, or 1.09%.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:12A weekly U.S. unemployment report and May private payrolls data on Thursday will be followed by the monthly jobs numbers on Friday. Investors will be looking for signs of an economic rebound and rising inflation.Initial jobless claims fell below 400,000 for the first time since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic as the labor market continues to recover, the Labor Department reported Thursday.Initial claims fell to 385,000 for the week ended May 29, a decline from the previous week's 405,000 and below the Dow Jones estimate of 393,000.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:AMC Entertainment (AMC) – AMC filed to sell up to 11.55 million common shares “from time to time,” according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, but cautioned against investing in the stock due to recent moves “unrelated to our underlying business.” AMC had initially surged in the premarket after nearly doubling Wednesday, but fell 9.7% after the filing.BlackBerry (BB),Koss (KOSS),GameStop (GME),Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) – These stocks remain on watch today, after surging yesterday on investor enthusiasm for the so-called “meme” stocks. BlackBerry jumped 11.2% in the premarket, but Koss fell 10.1%, GameStop lost 2.3% and Bed Bath & Beyond dropped 12.9% after soaring 62% Wednesday.Express (EXPR) – The apparel retailer reported a quarterly loss of 55 cents per share, smaller than the 58 cents a share that analysts were expecting. Revenue topped Street forecasts and Express said it expects sequential comparable sales improvement throughout this year. Its shares fell 7.1% in the premarket after an initial jump higher.Meredith Corp. (MDP) – Meredith accepted a revised bid from Gray Television(GTN) for its local media group. Meredith shareholders will now receive $16.99 per share in cash, up from the prior $14.51 a share, plus one share in the new post-close version of Meredith.Ciena (CIEN) – The networking equipment and services company reported quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share, 14 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ projections. Ciena said it was helped by an improving market environment and a rebound in customer spending. Ciena gained 1.1% in premarket trading.J.M. Smucker (SJM) – The food producer beat estimates by 22 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $1.89 per share. Revenue came in slightly above forecasts. Sales fell compared with a year earlier, however, when homebound consumers stocked up as the pandemic took hold. Smucker did issue an upbeat full-year earnings forecast.PVH (PVH) – PVH earned $1.92 per share for its latest quarter, more than double the consensus estimate of 83 cents a share. The company behind apparel brands like Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein also saw revenue beat estimates, and it also raised its full-year forecast.Exxon Mobil (XOM) – Exxon said in an SEC filing that hedge fund Engine No. 1 had won a third seat on the energy giant’s board. Engine No. 1 – a small investor in Exxon – won a surprise victory with a campaign centered on environmental concerns.FireEye (FEYE) – FireEye announced the sale of its security software products unit – along with the FireEye name – to private-equity firm Symphony Technology for $1.2 billion. The business that remains will be called Mandiant Solutions, the same name used by CEO Kevin Mandia’s business before its sale to FireEye in 2014. FireEye shares tumbled 7.5% in the premarket.Emergent BioSolutions (EBS) – The Food and Drug Administration is working with Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and AstraZeneca (AZN) to ensure that Covid-19 vaccine doses produced at an Emergent plant in Baltimore are uncontaminated and safe to use. That comes after the plant accidentally contaminated doses of J&J’s vaccine with the active ingredient in AstraZeneca’s treatment.Splunk (SPLK) – Splunk reported a greater-than-expected loss for the first quarter, though the maker of network analytics software did see revenue beat Wall Street forecasts. Splunk has been transitioning customers to cloud-based versions of its software, and recurring cloud revenue did jump 83% during the quarter compared to a year ago. Splunk lost 5.1% in premarket trading.Tilray (TLRY) – The cannabis producer’s shares rallied 3.6% in premarket trading after Cantor Fitzgerald rolled out new estimates after the completion of Tilray’s merger with Aphria and rated the stock “overweight.” Cantor cites the combined company’s scale as well as upbeat overseas prospects.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"BB":0.9,"EXPR":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"GME":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"KOSS":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"TLRY":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"NQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111013369,"gmtCreate":1622643806551,"gmtModify":1634099631864,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like comment :)","listText":"Like comment :)","text":"Like comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111013369","repostId":"1141662964","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111019570,"gmtCreate":1622643788590,"gmtModify":1634099632232,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;Like comment :)","listText":"&nbsp;Like comment :)","text":"Like comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111019570","repostId":"2140617694","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":689,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":116410510,"gmtCreate":1622815008630,"gmtModify":1634097730037,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116410510","repostId":"1153673992","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136752337,"gmtCreate":1622041159629,"gmtModify":1634184399548,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136752337","repostId":"2138480401","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139857216,"gmtCreate":1621608393535,"gmtModify":1634187668823,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139857216","repostId":"2137773902","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162070023,"gmtCreate":1624029365962,"gmtModify":1634023839329,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162070023","repostId":"1119296361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119296361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624028454,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119296361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119296361","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier","content":"<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 23:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BAC":"美国银行","C":"花旗","JPM":"摩根大通","MS":"摩根士丹利","WFC":"富国银行","GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119296361","content_text":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.\nThere’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.\nAfter Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%\nThe market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.\nWhy the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.\nUntil that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WFC":0.9,"C":0.9,"GS":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"MS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197838733,"gmtCreate":1621438332522,"gmtModify":1634189129833,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :) bullish","listText":"Like and comment :) bullish","text":"Like and comment :) bullish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197838733","repostId":"2136910021","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195975334,"gmtCreate":1621254464728,"gmtModify":1634193028065,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like and comment","listText":"Pls like and comment","text":"Pls like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195975334","repostId":"2136993456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197838500,"gmtCreate":1621438313800,"gmtModify":1634189130079,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment :) i love oat milk","listText":"Like and comment :) i love oat milk","text":"Like and comment :) i love oat 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:)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124006822","repostId":"1175794606","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189082054,"gmtCreate":1623233069878,"gmtModify":1634035552457,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","listText":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","text":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189082054","repostId":"1184778465","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575141057639271","authorId":"3575141057639271","name":"Daveb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61df162e1597f1b5a6a6bfb13d7d92f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575141057639271","idStr":"3575141057639271"},"content":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝","text":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝","html":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}