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MinLee

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2021-07-06

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2021-06-26

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2021-06-26

Stfu cramer

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2021-06-18

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Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>

2021-06-17

Great

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2021-06-14

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2021-06-09

$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls

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2021-06-09

$ASS

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2021-06-09

$ASS

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2021-06-07

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2021-06-07

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2021-06-04

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2021-06-04

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When Will Amazon Stock Finally Reach $2 Trillion<blockquote>亚马逊股票何时最终达到 2 万亿美元</blockquote>

2021-06-04

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2021-06-04

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Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-06-04

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3 Top Robinhood Stocks Wall Street Thinks Will Soar 25% or More<blockquote>华尔街认为 Robinhood 的 3 只顶级股票将飙升 25% 或更多</blockquote>

2021-06-03

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2021-06-03

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Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>

2021-06-02

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2021-06-02

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cramer","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125307825","repostId":"1165822342","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162070023,"gmtCreate":1624029365962,"gmtModify":1634023839329,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162070023","repostId":"1119296361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119296361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624028454,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119296361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119296361","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier","content":"<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>美联储发布 6 月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场上最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借款和长期借出来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会改善，而当发生相反情况时，利润就会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三的会议结束后，10 年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨 0.071%，至 1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨 0.038 个百分点，至 0.203%，两者之间的利差为 1.366 个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，特别是银行股，成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。PDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (KBE) 上涨 0.9%，摩根大通 (JPM) 上涨 0.7%，尽管标准普尔 500 指数下跌 0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期收益率已降至1.498%，而两年期收益率已升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。所谓的收益率曲线变平对于银行等对利率敏感的行业来说是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF 周四下跌 4.5%，周五盘前交易中下跌 1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道琼斯指数期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>为什么要背离市场？要想让收益率持续上升，经济需要表现出正在快速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长会重演。Evercore ISI 策略师丹尼斯·德布舍尔 (Dennis DeBusschere) 表示，由于周四申请失业救济人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次出现上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。“他写道：”与之前所有人的想法相比，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那样强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 23:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>美联储发布 6 月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场上最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借款和长期借出来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会改善，而当发生相反情况时，利润就会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三的会议结束后，10 年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨 0.071%，至 1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨 0.038 个百分点，至 0.203%，两者之间的利差为 1.366 个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，特别是银行股，成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。PDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (KBE) 上涨 0.9%，摩根大通 (JPM) 上涨 0.7%，尽管标准普尔 500 指数下跌 0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期收益率已降至1.498%，而两年期收益率已升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。所谓的收益率曲线变平对于银行等对利率敏感的行业来说是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF 周四下跌 4.5%，周五盘前交易中下跌 1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道琼斯指数期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>为什么要背离市场？要想让收益率持续上升，经济需要表现出正在快速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长会重演。Evercore ISI 策略师丹尼斯·德布舍尔 (Dennis DeBusschere) 表示，由于周四申请失业救济人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次出现上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。“他写道：”与之前所有人的想法相比，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那样强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通","WFC":"富国银行","BAC":"美国银行","MS":"摩根士丹利","GS":"高盛","C":"花旗"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119296361","content_text":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.\nThere’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.\nAfter Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%\nThe market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.\nWhy the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.\nUntil that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"C":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"GS":0.9,"MS":0.9,"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161996937,"gmtCreate":1623899299929,"gmtModify":1634026145675,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161996937","repostId":"1166786117","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184050244,"gmtCreate":1623678800688,"gmtModify":1634030205282,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184050244","repostId":"2143787703","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189082054,"gmtCreate":1623233069878,"gmtModify":1634035552457,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","listText":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","text":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189082054","repostId":"1184778465","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575141057639271","authorId":"3575141057639271","name":"Daveb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61df162e1597f1b5a6a6bfb13d7d92f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575141057639271","idStr":"3575141057639271"},"content":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝","text":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝","html":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189086442,"gmtCreate":1623233040186,"gmtModify":1634035552701,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"$ASS&nbsp;","listText":"$ASS&nbsp;","text":"$ASS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189086442","repostId":"1154263782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189086573,"gmtCreate":1623233033992,"gmtModify":1634035552822,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"$ASS&nbsp;","listText":"$ASS&nbsp;","text":"$ASS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189086573","repostId":"1154263782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114826403,"gmtCreate":1623067283902,"gmtModify":1634037339597,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114826403","repostId":"2141286115","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114826560,"gmtCreate":1623067272050,"gmtModify":1634037339720,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114826560","repostId":"1122556332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116419662,"gmtCreate":1622815048656,"gmtModify":1634097729674,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116419662","repostId":"2137130279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116419931,"gmtCreate":1622815030223,"gmtModify":1634097729795,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116419931","repostId":"1178661753","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178661753","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622814480,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1178661753?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 21:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"When Will Amazon Stock Finally Reach $2 Trillion<blockquote>亚马逊股票何时最终达到 2 万亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178661753","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Amazon stock is the third most valuable in the US market. How long will it take shares to climb abou","content":"<p>Amazon stock is the third most valuable in the US market. How long will it take shares to climb about 25% and reach the $2 trillion market cap milestone, joining Apple in the select trillion-dollar club?</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票是美国市场第三有价值的股票。股价需要多长时间才能攀升约 25% 并达到 2 万亿美元市值里程碑，与苹果一起跻身精选万亿美元俱乐部？</blockquote></p><p> Amazon stock&nbsp;has not gone anywhere in over half a year. Since reaching an all-time high in September 2020, shares have declined about 9%, now trading much closer to correction territory than to the stock’s historical peak value of $1.8 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的股票已经半年多没有上涨了。自 2020 年 9 月创下历史新高以来，该股已下跌约 9%，目前的交易价格比该股 1.8 万亿美元的历史峰值更接近回调区。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, Amazon stock’s lack of firepower has been inconsistent with the company’s outstanding performance throughout this pandemic period. If Marty McFly or Dr. Brown&nbsp;from Back To The Futurehad shown me Amazon’s fourth quarter 2020&nbsp;and first quarter 2021 financial results&nbsp;six months ago, I would have bet that the company’s equity would be worth north of $2 trillion by now.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，亚马逊股票缺乏火力与该公司在整个大流行病期间的出色表现并不一致。如果《回到未来》中的马蒂-麦克弗莱（Marty McFly）或布朗博士（Dr. Brown）在六个月前给我看亚马逊 2020 年第四季度和 2021 年第一季度的财务业绩，我会打赌该公司的股票价值现在将超过 2 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, I would have been wrong. I explain why below.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我错了。我在下面解释原因。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aa9a3c7d62d3545e4552311ce166300\" tg-width=\"1180\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Amazon fulfilment center.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：亚马逊运营中心。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What has gone wrong?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>出了什么问题？</b></blockquote></p><p> Let me be clear: it would be unfair to say that Amazon stock has not been a winner lately. Sure, shares have been stuck in the mud for seven months. But the chart below shows how far and how fast the company’s equity value has climbed recently: from $350 billion five years ago to $1.6 trillion now.</p><p><blockquote>让我明确一点：说亚马逊股票最近没有成为赢家是不公平的。当然，股票已经陷入泥潭七个月了。但下图显示了该公司的股权价值最近攀升的程度和速度：从五年前的 3500 亿美元攀升到现在的 1.6 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The malaise of September 2020 to today can be probably blamed, first and foremost, on the stock’s impressive run of March through September of last year. The market seems to have anticipated Amazon’s strong performance during and even after the year of the stay-at-home economy.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年 9 月至今的低迷可能首先归咎于该股去年 3 月至 9 月的出色表现。市场似乎已经预料到亚马逊在宅经济年甚至之后的强劲表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb13c878a85e34b597c6bc19e279d348\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"448\"><span>Figure 2: AMZN market cap chart.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图 2：AMZN 市值图。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, as the US economy slowly reopens, a few things have started to happen – none of which is particularly good news for Amazon and its stock:</p><p><blockquote>现在，随着美国经济慢慢重新开放，一些事情开始发生——这些事情对亚马逊及其股票来说都不是特别好的消息：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The market has fully embraced&nbsp;what is known as the “cyclical rotation”: preference for growth stocks that can perform better in different macroeconomic environments has shifted to sectors that tend to outperform primarily during periods of economic recovery (banks, energy, travel and leisure, small cap, etc.).</li>  <li>Some experts have started to doubt that Big Tech companies will perform as well in the next few years, now that consumers are expected to spend less money inside their homes (online shopping, video streaming, etc.) than they did in 2020.</li>  <li>Inflation fears have been mounting and culminated in&nbsp;expectations&nbsp;for a multi-decade high of 2.7% between now and 2026. While Amazon’s financial results might not be particularly at risk from higher consumer prices (revenues could even benefit from it), the perceived value of a growth stock in the face of higher inflation and yields tends to decrease.</li> </ul> <b>Amazon and the road to $2 trillion</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>市场已经完全接受了所谓的“周期性轮动”：对在不同宏观经济环境中表现更好的成长型股票的偏好已经转向了主要在经济复苏时期表现优异的行业（银行、能源、旅游休闲、小盘股等）。</li><li>一些专家开始怀疑大型科技公司在未来几年的表现是否会如此出色，因为预计消费者在家中的支出（网上购物、视频流等）将会减少。）比他们在2020年所做的。</li><li>对通胀的担忧一直在加剧，并最终导致人们预期从现在到 2026 年将达到 2.7% 的数十年高点。虽然亚马逊的财务业绩可能不会受到消费者价格上涨的特别风险（收入甚至可能从中受益），但面对较高的通胀和收益率，成长型股票的感知价值往往会下降。</li></ul><b>亚马逊和通往 2 万亿美元的道路</b></blockquote></p><p> Back to the original question: when will Amazon stock finally reach $2 trillion? Clearly, this is not an easy question to answer, because the future is uncertain. But the Amazon Maven proposes the following model that investors can use to think about the timeline:</p><p><blockquote>回到最初的问题：亚马逊股票何时最终达到2万亿美元？显然，这不是一个容易回答的问题，因为未来是不确定的。但 Amazon Maven 提出了以下模型，投资者可以使用这些模型来思考时间表：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>business fundamentals</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock can reach the $2 trillion market cap if or once growth expectations materialize. For example, consider the math: AMZN currently trades at a 2021 forward price-earnings ratio of 58 times. Without any compression to valuation multiples, Amazon would be worth $2 trillion once annual EPS reached $70. Analysts currently expect the company to deliver earnings at these levels as early as 2022. Therefore, Amazon could very well reach the market cap milestone&nbsp;<b>this time next year</b>.</li>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>valuation</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock would be worth $2 trillion if its forward P/E merely expanded from 58 to 73 times. One or a combination of the following would probably need to happen: (1) an increase in long-term earnings and/or cash flow growth expectations; (2) a drop in interest (i.e. discount) rates; (3) a market-wide rally that is fueled by increased investor optimism. To be honest, I think that valuation expansion is the least likely path to $2 trillion.</li>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>chart analysis</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock could get to $2 trillion if share price breaks through this $1.7-to-$1.8 trillion market cap resistance. The stock has been range-bound for several months. Investors would probably feel more comfortable investing in AMZN once they saw momentum develop once again.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>从一个<b>业务基本面</b>从长远来看，如果增长预期成为现实，亚马逊股票的市值可能会达到 2 万亿美元。例如，考虑数学：AMZN 目前的 2021 年远期市盈率为 58 倍。如果不压缩估值倍数，一旦年每股收益达到 70 美元，亚马逊的价值将达到 2 万亿美元。分析师目前预计该公司最早将在 2022 年实现这些水平的盈利。因此，亚马逊很可能达到市值里程碑<b>明年这个时候</b>.</li><li>从一个<b>估值</b>从长远来看，如果亚马逊的远期市盈率仅从 58 倍扩大到 73 倍，其股票将价值 2 万亿美元。可能需要发生以下一种或多种情况：（1）长期收益和/或现金流增长预期增加；（2）利率（即贴现）下降；（3）投资者乐观情绪增强推动了全市场反弹。说实话，我认为估值扩张是最不可能达到2万亿美元的路径。</li><li>从一个<b>图表分析</b>从长远来看，如果股价突破 1.7 至 1.8 万亿美元的市值阻力，亚马逊股价可能会达到 2 万亿美元。该股几个月来一直在区间内波动。一旦投资者看到亚马逊的势头再次发展，他们可能会对投资亚马逊感到更放心。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When Will Amazon Stock Finally Reach $2 Trillion<blockquote>亚马逊股票何时最终达到 2 万亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen Will Amazon Stock Finally Reach $2 Trillion<blockquote>亚马逊股票何时最终达到 2 万亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 21:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon stock is the third most valuable in the US market. How long will it take shares to climb about 25% and reach the $2 trillion market cap milestone, joining Apple in the select trillion-dollar club?</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票是美国市场第三有价值的股票。股价需要多长时间才能攀升约 25% 并达到 2 万亿美元市值里程碑，与苹果一起跻身精选万亿美元俱乐部？</blockquote></p><p> Amazon stock&nbsp;has not gone anywhere in over half a year. Since reaching an all-time high in September 2020, shares have declined about 9%, now trading much closer to correction territory than to the stock’s historical peak value of $1.8 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的股票已经半年多没有上涨了。自 2020 年 9 月创下历史新高以来，该股已下跌约 9%，目前的交易价格比该股 1.8 万亿美元的历史峰值更接近回调区。</blockquote></p><p> Interestingly, Amazon stock’s lack of firepower has been inconsistent with the company’s outstanding performance throughout this pandemic period. If Marty McFly or Dr. Brown&nbsp;from Back To The Futurehad shown me Amazon’s fourth quarter 2020&nbsp;and first quarter 2021 financial results&nbsp;six months ago, I would have bet that the company’s equity would be worth north of $2 trillion by now.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是，亚马逊股票缺乏火力与该公司在整个大流行病期间的出色表现并不一致。如果《回到未来》中的马蒂-麦克弗莱（Marty McFly）或布朗博士（Dr. Brown）在六个月前给我看亚马逊 2020 年第四季度和 2021 年第一季度的财务业绩，我会打赌该公司的股票价值现在将超过 2 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, I would have been wrong. I explain why below.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我错了。我在下面解释原因。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aa9a3c7d62d3545e4552311ce166300\" tg-width=\"1180\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Figure 1: Amazon fulfilment center.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：亚马逊运营中心。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>What has gone wrong?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>出了什么问题？</b></blockquote></p><p> Let me be clear: it would be unfair to say that Amazon stock has not been a winner lately. Sure, shares have been stuck in the mud for seven months. But the chart below shows how far and how fast the company’s equity value has climbed recently: from $350 billion five years ago to $1.6 trillion now.</p><p><blockquote>让我明确一点：说亚马逊股票最近没有成为赢家是不公平的。当然，股票已经陷入泥潭七个月了。但下图显示了该公司的股权价值最近攀升的程度和速度：从五年前的 3500 亿美元攀升到现在的 1.6 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The malaise of September 2020 to today can be probably blamed, first and foremost, on the stock’s impressive run of March through September of last year. The market seems to have anticipated Amazon’s strong performance during and even after the year of the stay-at-home economy.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年 9 月至今的低迷可能首先归咎于该股去年 3 月至 9 月的出色表现。市场似乎已经预料到亚马逊在宅经济年甚至之后的强劲表现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb13c878a85e34b597c6bc19e279d348\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"448\"><span>Figure 2: AMZN market cap chart.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图 2：AMZN 市值图。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, as the US economy slowly reopens, a few things have started to happen – none of which is particularly good news for Amazon and its stock:</p><p><blockquote>现在，随着美国经济慢慢重新开放，一些事情开始发生——这些事情对亚马逊及其股票来说都不是特别好的消息：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The market has fully embraced&nbsp;what is known as the “cyclical rotation”: preference for growth stocks that can perform better in different macroeconomic environments has shifted to sectors that tend to outperform primarily during periods of economic recovery (banks, energy, travel and leisure, small cap, etc.).</li>  <li>Some experts have started to doubt that Big Tech companies will perform as well in the next few years, now that consumers are expected to spend less money inside their homes (online shopping, video streaming, etc.) than they did in 2020.</li>  <li>Inflation fears have been mounting and culminated in&nbsp;expectations&nbsp;for a multi-decade high of 2.7% between now and 2026. While Amazon’s financial results might not be particularly at risk from higher consumer prices (revenues could even benefit from it), the perceived value of a growth stock in the face of higher inflation and yields tends to decrease.</li> </ul> <b>Amazon and the road to $2 trillion</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>市场已经完全接受了所谓的“周期性轮动”：对在不同宏观经济环境中表现更好的成长型股票的偏好已经转向了主要在经济复苏时期表现优异的行业（银行、能源、旅游休闲、小盘股等）。</li><li>一些专家开始怀疑大型科技公司在未来几年的表现是否会如此出色，因为预计消费者在家中的支出（网上购物、视频流等）将会减少。）比他们在2020年所做的。</li><li>对通胀的担忧一直在加剧，并最终导致人们预期从现在到 2026 年将达到 2.7% 的数十年高点。虽然亚马逊的财务业绩可能不会受到消费者价格上涨的特别风险（收入甚至可能从中受益），但面对较高的通胀和收益率，成长型股票的感知价值往往会下降。</li></ul><b>亚马逊和通往 2 万亿美元的道路</b></blockquote></p><p> Back to the original question: when will Amazon stock finally reach $2 trillion? Clearly, this is not an easy question to answer, because the future is uncertain. But the Amazon Maven proposes the following model that investors can use to think about the timeline:</p><p><blockquote>回到最初的问题：亚马逊股票何时最终达到2万亿美元？显然，这不是一个容易回答的问题，因为未来是不确定的。但 Amazon Maven 提出了以下模型，投资者可以使用这些模型来思考时间表：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>business fundamentals</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock can reach the $2 trillion market cap if or once growth expectations materialize. For example, consider the math: AMZN currently trades at a 2021 forward price-earnings ratio of 58 times. Without any compression to valuation multiples, Amazon would be worth $2 trillion once annual EPS reached $70. Analysts currently expect the company to deliver earnings at these levels as early as 2022. Therefore, Amazon could very well reach the market cap milestone&nbsp;<b>this time next year</b>.</li>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>valuation</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock would be worth $2 trillion if its forward P/E merely expanded from 58 to 73 times. One or a combination of the following would probably need to happen: (1) an increase in long-term earnings and/or cash flow growth expectations; (2) a drop in interest (i.e. discount) rates; (3) a market-wide rally that is fueled by increased investor optimism. To be honest, I think that valuation expansion is the least likely path to $2 trillion.</li>  <li>From a&nbsp;<b>chart analysis</b>&nbsp;perspective, Amazon stock could get to $2 trillion if share price breaks through this $1.7-to-$1.8 trillion market cap resistance. The stock has been range-bound for several months. Investors would probably feel more comfortable investing in AMZN once they saw momentum develop once again.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>从一个<b>业务基本面</b>从长远来看，如果增长预期成为现实，亚马逊股票的市值可能会达到 2 万亿美元。例如，考虑数学：AMZN 目前的 2021 年远期市盈率为 58 倍。如果不压缩估值倍数，一旦年每股收益达到 70 美元，亚马逊的价值将达到 2 万亿美元。分析师目前预计该公司最早将在 2022 年实现这些水平的盈利。因此，亚马逊很可能达到市值里程碑<b>明年这个时候</b>.</li><li>从一个<b>估值</b>从长远来看，如果亚马逊的远期市盈率仅从 58 倍扩大到 73 倍，其股票将价值 2 万亿美元。可能需要发生以下一种或多种情况：（1）长期收益和/或现金流增长预期增加；（2）利率（即贴现）下降；（3）投资者乐观情绪增强推动了全市场反弹。说实话，我认为估值扩张是最不可能达到2万亿美元的路径。</li><li>从一个<b>图表分析</b>从长远来看，如果股价突破 1.7 至 1.8 万亿美元的市值阻力，亚马逊股价可能会达到 2 万亿美元。该股几个月来一直在区间内波动。一旦投资者看到亚马逊的势头再次发展，他们可能会对投资亚马逊感到更放心。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-finally-reach-2-trillion\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/stock/amazon-stock-finally-reach-2-trillion","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178661753","content_text":"Amazon stock is the third most valuable in the US market. How long will it take shares to climb about 25% and reach the $2 trillion market cap milestone, joining Apple in the select trillion-dollar club?\nAmazon stock has not gone anywhere in over half a year. Since reaching an all-time high in September 2020, shares have declined about 9%, now trading much closer to correction territory than to the stock’s historical peak value of $1.8 trillion.\nInterestingly, Amazon stock’s lack of firepower has been inconsistent with the company’s outstanding performance throughout this pandemic period. If Marty McFly or Dr. Brown from Back To The Futurehad shown me Amazon’s fourth quarter 2020 and first quarter 2021 financial results six months ago, I would have bet that the company’s equity would be worth north of $2 trillion by now.\nOf course, I would have been wrong. I explain why below.\nFigure 1: Amazon fulfilment center.\nWhat has gone wrong?\nLet me be clear: it would be unfair to say that Amazon stock has not been a winner lately. Sure, shares have been stuck in the mud for seven months. But the chart below shows how far and how fast the company’s equity value has climbed recently: from $350 billion five years ago to $1.6 trillion now.\nThe malaise of September 2020 to today can be probably blamed, first and foremost, on the stock’s impressive run of March through September of last year. The market seems to have anticipated Amazon’s strong performance during and even after the year of the stay-at-home economy.\nFigure 2: AMZN market cap chart.\nNow, as the US economy slowly reopens, a few things have started to happen – none of which is particularly good news for Amazon and its stock:\n\nThe market has fully embraced what is known as the “cyclical rotation”: preference for growth stocks that can perform better in different macroeconomic environments has shifted to sectors that tend to outperform primarily during periods of economic recovery (banks, energy, travel and leisure, small cap, etc.).\nSome experts have started to doubt that Big Tech companies will perform as well in the next few years, now that consumers are expected to spend less money inside their homes (online shopping, video streaming, etc.) than they did in 2020.\nInflation fears have been mounting and culminated in expectations for a multi-decade high of 2.7% between now and 2026. While Amazon’s financial results might not be particularly at risk from higher consumer prices (revenues could even benefit from it), the perceived value of a growth stock in the face of higher inflation and yields tends to decrease.\n\nAmazon and the road to $2 trillion\nBack to the original question: when will Amazon stock finally reach $2 trillion? Clearly, this is not an easy question to answer, because the future is uncertain. But the Amazon Maven proposes the following model that investors can use to think about the timeline:\n\nFrom a business fundamentals perspective, Amazon stock can reach the $2 trillion market cap if or once growth expectations materialize. For example, consider the math: AMZN currently trades at a 2021 forward price-earnings ratio of 58 times. Without any compression to valuation multiples, Amazon would be worth $2 trillion once annual EPS reached $70. Analysts currently expect the company to deliver earnings at these levels as early as 2022. Therefore, Amazon could very well reach the market cap milestone this time next year.\nFrom a valuation perspective, Amazon stock would be worth $2 trillion if its forward P/E merely expanded from 58 to 73 times. One or a combination of the following would probably need to happen: (1) an increase in long-term earnings and/or cash flow growth expectations; (2) a drop in interest (i.e. discount) rates; (3) a market-wide rally that is fueled by increased investor optimism. To be honest, I think that valuation expansion is the least likely path to $2 trillion.\nFrom a chart analysis perspective, Amazon stock could get to $2 trillion if share price breaks through this $1.7-to-$1.8 trillion market cap resistance. The stock has been range-bound for several months. Investors would probably feel more comfortable investing in AMZN once they saw momentum develop once again.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116410510,"gmtCreate":1622815008630,"gmtModify":1634097730037,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116410510","repostId":"1153673992","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":812,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116437215,"gmtCreate":1622814985437,"gmtModify":1634097730625,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116437215","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116437304,"gmtCreate":1622814965908,"gmtModify":1634097730986,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116437304","repostId":"1105681635","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105681635","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622800841,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105681635?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 18:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Top Robinhood Stocks Wall Street Thinks Will Soar 25% or More<blockquote>华尔街认为 Robinhood 的 3 只顶级股票将飙升 25% 或更多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105681635","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Analysts expect one of them to skyrocket a lot more than 25%.","content":"<p>Robinhood investors like quite a few stocks that aren't exactly favorites for analysts. If memes are floating on the internet about a given stock, there's a pretty good chance that it's popular on Robinhood but not so much on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood 投资者喜欢不少分析师不太喜欢的股票。如果互联网上流传着关于某只股票的迷因，那么它很有可能在 Robinhood 上很受欢迎，但在华尔街却不那么受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are also several stocks that retail investors on the commission-free trading platform and analysts alike hold in high regard. Here are three top Robinhood stocks that Wall Street thinks will soar 25% or more.</p><p><blockquote>然而，也有几只股票受到免佣金交易平台上的散户投资者和分析师的高度重视。以下是华尔街认为将飙升 25% 或更多的三只顶级 Robinhood 股票。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0548d25733705cf21e71b0a7eaad8add\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> You might think that with a market cap topping $2 trillion, there's not much room for&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AAPL)&nbsp;to grow. Analysts would disagree. The average one-year price target for the technology leader reflects a premium of nearly 28% over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>你可能认为市值超过 2 万亿美元，没有太多空间<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）增长。分析师不同意。这家技术领导者的一年平均目标价比当前股价溢价近 28%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is the second-most widely held stock among Robinhood investors. Why? Probably because they realize the incredible moat and growth prospects that Apple enjoys with its iPhone-centric ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是 Robinhood 投资者持有第二多的股票。为什么？可能是因为他们意识到苹果以iPhone为中心的生态系统所享有的令人难以置信的护城河和增长前景。</blockquote></p><p> I think this ecosystem could expand enough for Apple to hit Wall Street's price target. The increased availability of high-speed 5G wireless networks continues to fuel demand for the newer iPhone models. Apple's services and wearables revenue also continues to grow significantly.</p><p><blockquote>我认为这个生态系统可以扩大到足以让苹果达到华尔街的价格目标。高速5G无线网络可用性的增加继续推动对新型iPhone机型的需求。苹果的服务和可穿戴设备收入也继续大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Over the long run, my view is that technological innovations will keep Apple among the favorite stocks for both Robinhood investors and Wall Street analysts. Look for more augmented reality functionality on the way. There's also speculation that Apple could&nbsp;launch a foldable iPhone in 2023. A future market cap of $3 trillion or more isn't out of the question at all.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，我认为技术创新将使苹果继续成为 Robinhood 投资者和华尔街分析师最喜欢的股票之一。寻找更多增强现实功能。还有人猜测苹果可能会在2023年推出可折叠iPhone。未来3万亿美元或更多的市值根本不是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon.com</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> Robinhood investors and analysts also agree on another so-called&nbsp;FAANG stock--<b>Amazon.com</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN). The internet giant ranks as the ninth most popular stock on Robinhood. Analysts think that Amazon's share price could rise 31% over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood 的投资者和分析师还同意另一只所谓的 FAANG 股票——<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）这家互联网巨头在 Robinhood 上排名第九。分析师认为，亚马逊的股价在未来12个月内可能会上涨31%。</blockquote></p><p> There are two key growth drivers that could enable Amazon to deliver that kind of growth. The company's Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud platform continues to fire on all cylinders and is highly profitable. Amazon is also experiencing strong momentum with its digital advertising business.</p><p><blockquote>有两个关键的增长驱动力可以使亚马逊实现这种增长。该公司的亚马逊网络服务（AWS）云平台继续全速运转，并且利润丰厚。亚马逊的数字广告业务也正经历着强劲的发展势头。</blockquote></p><p> Value investor Bill Miller even thinks that these two units&nbsp;could account for most of Amazon's valuation&nbsp;within the next couple of years. He's also bullish about the company's business-to-business and logistics platforms. I suspect Miller's optimism is on point.</p><p><blockquote>价值投资者比尔·米勒甚至认为，这两个部门可能会在未来几年内占亚马逊估值的大部分。他还看好该公司的企业对企业和物流平台。我怀疑米勒的乐观是正确的。</blockquote></p><p> Don't forget e-commerce, though. Amazon remains the biggest e-commerce company in the world. Online sales still account for less than 14% of total retail sales in the U.S. There's a lot of room for Amazon to run in its core business.</p><p><blockquote>不过，别忘了电子商务。亚马逊仍然是世界上最大的电子商务公司。在线销售额仍占美国零售总额的不到14%。亚马逊在其核心业务上还有很大的发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bionano Genomics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>生物纳米基因组学</b></blockquote></p><p> You might be at least a little surprised by the third top Robinhood stock on our list that Wall Street really likes. The average price target for&nbsp;<b>Bionano Genomics</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:BNGO)&nbsp;is a whopping 80% higher than the stock's current price.</p><p><blockquote>您可能会对我们名单上华尔街真正喜欢的第三只 Robinhood 股票感到至少有点惊讶。平均目标价<b>生物纳米基因组学</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：BNGO）比该股当前价格高出 80%。</blockquote></p><p> Bionano&nbsp;reported better-than-expected Q1 results&nbsp;in May. Revenue jumped 179% year over year to a record-high $3.2 million. Although the company remained unprofitable, its bottom line moved in the right direction.</p><p><blockquote>Bionano 5 月份公布的第一季度业绩好于预期。收入同比增长 179%，达到 320 万美元的历史新高。尽管该公司仍然没有盈利，但其利润却朝着正确的方向发展。</blockquote></p><p> Customers appear to like Bionano's Saphyr genome mapping system. As the install base grows, the company's recurring revenue from consumables grows. That's the kind of business model that investors hope could really pay off over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>客户似乎喜欢Bionano的蓝宝石基因组作图系统。随着安装基数的增长，公司来自耗材的经常性收入也在增长。投资者希望这种商业模式能够从长远来看真正带来回报。</blockquote></p><p> Bionano projects that it will have 150 Saphyr systems in the field by the end of this year, up 50% from the end of 2020. The company also anticipates receiving accreditation for additional laboratory-developed tests for Saphyr soon. Bionano is riskier than Apple or Amazon, but analysts think it could be a huge winner over the near term.</p><p><blockquote>Bionano 预计到今年年底，该领域将拥有 150 个 Saphyr 系统，比 2020 年底增加 50%。该公司还预计很快将获得蓝宝石额外实验室开发测试的认证。Bionano 的风险比苹果或亚马逊更大，但分析师认为它在短期内可能是一个巨大的赢家。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Top Robinhood Stocks Wall Street Thinks Will Soar 25% or More<blockquote>华尔街认为 Robinhood 的 3 只顶级股票将飙升 25% 或更多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Top Robinhood Stocks Wall Street Thinks Will Soar 25% or More<blockquote>华尔街认为 Robinhood 的 3 只顶级股票将飙升 25% 或更多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 18:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Robinhood investors like quite a few stocks that aren't exactly favorites for analysts. If memes are floating on the internet about a given stock, there's a pretty good chance that it's popular on Robinhood but not so much on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood 投资者喜欢不少分析师不太喜欢的股票。如果互联网上流传着关于某只股票的迷因，那么它很有可能在 Robinhood 上很受欢迎，但在华尔街却不那么受欢迎。</blockquote></p><p> However, there are also several stocks that retail investors on the commission-free trading platform and analysts alike hold in high regard. Here are three top Robinhood stocks that Wall Street thinks will soar 25% or more.</p><p><blockquote>然而，也有几只股票受到免佣金交易平台上的散户投资者和分析师的高度重视。以下是华尔街认为将飙升 25% 或更多的三只顶级 Robinhood 股票。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0548d25733705cf21e71b0a7eaad8add\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果</b></blockquote></p><p> You might think that with a market cap topping $2 trillion, there's not much room for&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AAPL)&nbsp;to grow. Analysts would disagree. The average one-year price target for the technology leader reflects a premium of nearly 28% over the current share price.</p><p><blockquote>你可能认为市值超过 2 万亿美元，没有太多空间<b>苹果</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）增长。分析师不同意。这家技术领导者的一年平均目标价比当前股价溢价近 28%。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is the second-most widely held stock among Robinhood investors. Why? Probably because they realize the incredible moat and growth prospects that Apple enjoys with its iPhone-centric ecosystem.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是 Robinhood 投资者持有第二多的股票。为什么？可能是因为他们意识到苹果以iPhone为中心的生态系统所享有的令人难以置信的护城河和增长前景。</blockquote></p><p> I think this ecosystem could expand enough for Apple to hit Wall Street's price target. The increased availability of high-speed 5G wireless networks continues to fuel demand for the newer iPhone models. Apple's services and wearables revenue also continues to grow significantly.</p><p><blockquote>我认为这个生态系统可以扩大到足以让苹果达到华尔街的价格目标。高速5G无线网络可用性的增加继续推动对新型iPhone机型的需求。苹果的服务和可穿戴设备收入也继续大幅增长。</blockquote></p><p> Over the long run, my view is that technological innovations will keep Apple among the favorite stocks for both Robinhood investors and Wall Street analysts. Look for more augmented reality functionality on the way. There's also speculation that Apple could&nbsp;launch a foldable iPhone in 2023. A future market cap of $3 trillion or more isn't out of the question at all.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，我认为技术创新将使苹果继续成为 Robinhood 投资者和华尔街分析师最喜欢的股票之一。寻找更多增强现实功能。还有人猜测苹果可能会在2023年推出可折叠iPhone。未来3万亿美元或更多的市值根本不是不可能的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Amazon.com</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亚马逊</b></blockquote></p><p> Robinhood investors and analysts also agree on another so-called&nbsp;FAANG stock--<b>Amazon.com</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:AMZN). The internet giant ranks as the ninth most popular stock on Robinhood. Analysts think that Amazon's share price could rise 31% over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood 的投资者和分析师还同意另一只所谓的 FAANG 股票——<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN）这家互联网巨头在 Robinhood 上排名第九。分析师认为，亚马逊的股价在未来12个月内可能会上涨31%。</blockquote></p><p> There are two key growth drivers that could enable Amazon to deliver that kind of growth. The company's Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud platform continues to fire on all cylinders and is highly profitable. Amazon is also experiencing strong momentum with its digital advertising business.</p><p><blockquote>有两个关键的增长驱动力可以使亚马逊实现这种增长。该公司的亚马逊网络服务（AWS）云平台继续全速运转，并且利润丰厚。亚马逊的数字广告业务也正经历着强劲的发展势头。</blockquote></p><p> Value investor Bill Miller even thinks that these two units&nbsp;could account for most of Amazon's valuation&nbsp;within the next couple of years. He's also bullish about the company's business-to-business and logistics platforms. I suspect Miller's optimism is on point.</p><p><blockquote>价值投资者比尔·米勒甚至认为，这两个部门可能会在未来几年内占亚马逊估值的大部分。他还看好该公司的企业对企业和物流平台。我怀疑米勒的乐观是正确的。</blockquote></p><p> Don't forget e-commerce, though. Amazon remains the biggest e-commerce company in the world. Online sales still account for less than 14% of total retail sales in the U.S. There's a lot of room for Amazon to run in its core business.</p><p><blockquote>不过，别忘了电子商务。亚马逊仍然是世界上最大的电子商务公司。在线销售额仍占美国零售总额的不到14%。亚马逊在其核心业务上还有很大的发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bionano Genomics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>生物纳米基因组学</b></blockquote></p><p> You might be at least a little surprised by the third top Robinhood stock on our list that Wall Street really likes. The average price target for&nbsp;<b>Bionano Genomics</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:BNGO)&nbsp;is a whopping 80% higher than the stock's current price.</p><p><blockquote>您可能会对我们名单上华尔街真正喜欢的第三只 Robinhood 股票感到至少有点惊讶。平均目标价<b>生物纳米基因组学</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：BNGO）比该股当前价格高出 80%。</blockquote></p><p> Bionano&nbsp;reported better-than-expected Q1 results&nbsp;in May. Revenue jumped 179% year over year to a record-high $3.2 million. Although the company remained unprofitable, its bottom line moved in the right direction.</p><p><blockquote>Bionano 5 月份公布的第一季度业绩好于预期。收入同比增长 179%，达到 320 万美元的历史新高。尽管该公司仍然没有盈利，但其利润却朝着正确的方向发展。</blockquote></p><p> Customers appear to like Bionano's Saphyr genome mapping system. As the install base grows, the company's recurring revenue from consumables grows. That's the kind of business model that investors hope could really pay off over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>客户似乎喜欢Bionano的蓝宝石基因组作图系统。随着安装基数的增长，公司来自耗材的经常性收入也在增长。投资者希望这种商业模式能够从长远来看真正带来回报。</blockquote></p><p> Bionano projects that it will have 150 Saphyr systems in the field by the end of this year, up 50% from the end of 2020. The company also anticipates receiving accreditation for additional laboratory-developed tests for Saphyr soon. Bionano is riskier than Apple or Amazon, but analysts think it could be a huge winner over the near term.</p><p><blockquote>Bionano 预计到今年年底，该领域将拥有 150 个 Saphyr 系统，比 2020 年底增加 50%。该公司还预计很快将获得蓝宝石额外实验室开发测试的认证。Bionano 的风险比苹果或亚马逊更大，但分析师认为它在短期内可能是一个巨大的赢家。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/04/3-top-robinhood-stocks-wall-street-thinks-will-soa/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","AMZN":"亚马逊","BNGO":"Bionano Genomics"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/04/3-top-robinhood-stocks-wall-street-thinks-will-soa/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105681635","content_text":"Robinhood investors like quite a few stocks that aren't exactly favorites for analysts. If memes are floating on the internet about a given stock, there's a pretty good chance that it's popular on Robinhood but not so much on Wall Street.\nHowever, there are also several stocks that retail investors on the commission-free trading platform and analysts alike hold in high regard. Here are three top Robinhood stocks that Wall Street thinks will soar 25% or more.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nApple\nYou might think that with a market cap topping $2 trillion, there's not much room for Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to grow. Analysts would disagree. The average one-year price target for the technology leader reflects a premium of nearly 28% over the current share price.\nApple is the second-most widely held stock among Robinhood investors. Why? Probably because they realize the incredible moat and growth prospects that Apple enjoys with its iPhone-centric ecosystem.\nI think this ecosystem could expand enough for Apple to hit Wall Street's price target. The increased availability of high-speed 5G wireless networks continues to fuel demand for the newer iPhone models. Apple's services and wearables revenue also continues to grow significantly.\nOver the long run, my view is that technological innovations will keep Apple among the favorite stocks for both Robinhood investors and Wall Street analysts. Look for more augmented reality functionality on the way. There's also speculation that Apple could launch a foldable iPhone in 2023. A future market cap of $3 trillion or more isn't out of the question at all.\nAmazon.com\nRobinhood investors and analysts also agree on another so-called FAANG stock--Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN). The internet giant ranks as the ninth most popular stock on Robinhood. Analysts think that Amazon's share price could rise 31% over the next 12 months.\nThere are two key growth drivers that could enable Amazon to deliver that kind of growth. The company's Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud platform continues to fire on all cylinders and is highly profitable. Amazon is also experiencing strong momentum with its digital advertising business.\nValue investor Bill Miller even thinks that these two units could account for most of Amazon's valuation within the next couple of years. He's also bullish about the company's business-to-business and logistics platforms. I suspect Miller's optimism is on point.\nDon't forget e-commerce, though. Amazon remains the biggest e-commerce company in the world. Online sales still account for less than 14% of total retail sales in the U.S. There's a lot of room for Amazon to run in its core business.\nBionano Genomics\nYou might be at least a little surprised by the third top Robinhood stock on our list that Wall Street really likes. The average price target for Bionano Genomics (NASDAQ:BNGO) is a whopping 80% higher than the stock's current price.\nBionano reported better-than-expected Q1 results in May. Revenue jumped 179% year over year to a record-high $3.2 million. Although the company remained unprofitable, its bottom line moved in the right direction.\nCustomers appear to like Bionano's Saphyr genome mapping system. As the install base grows, the company's recurring revenue from consumables grows. That's the kind of business model that investors hope could really pay off over the long run.\nBionano projects that it will have 150 Saphyr systems in the field by the end of this year, up 50% from the end of 2020. The company also anticipates receiving accreditation for additional laboratory-developed tests for Saphyr soon. Bionano is riskier than Apple or Amazon, but analysts think it could be a huge winner over the near term.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BNGO":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":831,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118157934,"gmtCreate":1622725334128,"gmtModify":1634098728636,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118157934","repostId":"2140425019","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":802,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118154578,"gmtCreate":1622725309794,"gmtModify":1634098729084,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118154578","repostId":"1140207862","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140207862","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622722823,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1140207862?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 20:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140207862","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nasdaq futures lead stock dropMeme stocks fluctuated greatlyU.S. equity futures dropped with Europea","content":"<p><ul><li>Nasdaq futures lead stock drop</li></ul><ul><li>Meme&nbsp;stocks fluctuated greatly</li></ul>U.S. equity futures dropped with European stocks on Thursday as fresh geopolitical tensions added to investor concerns over inflation and a potential reduction in stimulus.World stocks stepped back from record highs on Thursday as investors weighed inflation concerns ahead of key U.S. economic data, while oil prices rose for a third straight session.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>纳斯达克期货领跌股价下跌</li></ul><ul><li>模因股票大幅波动</li></ul>由于新的地缘政治紧张局势加剧了投资者对通胀和刺激措施可能减少的担忧，美国股指期货和欧洲股市周四下跌。由于投资者在美国关键经济数据公布前权衡通胀担忧，全球股市周四从历史高位回落，而油价连续第三个交易日上涨。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:12 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 233 points, or 0.67%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 33 points, or 0.78%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 149.25 points, or 1.09%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:12，道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 233 点，跌幅 0.67%，标普500电子迷你指数下跌 33 点，跌幅 0.78%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 149.25 点，跌幅 1.09%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5551aa2c67b20860026ceb7c9155636\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:12</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源：Tiger Trade，美国东部时间 08:12</span></p></blockquote></p><p>A weekly U.S. unemployment report and May private payrolls data on Thursday will be followed by the monthly jobs numbers on Friday. Investors will be looking for signs of an economic rebound and rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周四将公布每周美国失业报告和 5 月份私人就业数据，周五将公布月度就业数据。投资者将寻找经济反弹和通胀上升的迹象。</blockquote></p><p>Initial jobless claims fell below 400,000 for the first time since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic as the labor market continues to recover, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四报告称，随着劳动力市场持续复苏，首次申请失业救济人数自 Covid-19 大流行初期以来首次跌破 40 万人。</blockquote></p><p>Initial claims fell to 385,000 for the week ended May 29, a decline from the previous week's 405,000 and below the Dow Jones estimate of 393,000.</p><p><blockquote>截至 5 月 29 日当周，首次申请失业救济人数降至 385,000 人，低于前一周的 405,000 人，也低于道琼斯预期的 393,000 人。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC) </b>– AMC&nbsp;filed to sell up to 11.55 million common shares&nbsp;“from time to time,” according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, but cautioned against investing in the stock due to recent moves “unrelated to our underlying business.” AMC&nbsp;had initially surged in the premarket&nbsp;after nearly doubling Wednesday, but fell 9.7% after the filing.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线（AMC）</b>- 根据美国证券交易委员会的一份文件，AMC 申请 “不时 ”出售多达 1155 万股普通股，但由于最近的举动 “与我们的基础业务无关 ”，AMC 警告不要投资该股票。AMC 在周三上涨近一倍后最初在盘前飙升，但在提交文件后下跌了 9.7%。</blockquote></p><p><b>BlackBerry&nbsp;(BB),Koss&nbsp;(KOSS),GameStop&nbsp;(GME),Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&nbsp;(BBBY)</b> – These stocks remain on watch today, after surging yesterday on investor enthusiasm for the so-called “meme” stocks. BlackBerry jumped 11.2% in the premarket, but Koss fell 10.1%, GameStop lost 2.3% and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond dropped 12.9% after soaring 62% Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓 (BB)、科斯 (KOSS)、游戏驿站 (GME)、贝德巴斯及其他 (BBBY)</b>- 继昨天投资者对所谓 “迷因 ”股票的热情飙升之后，这些股票今天仍受到关注。黑莓盘前上涨 11.2%，但 Koss 下跌 10.1%，游戏驿站下跌 2.3%，Bed Bath &amp; Beyond 在周三飙升 62% 后下跌 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Express&nbsp;(EXPR) </b>– The apparel retailer reported a quarterly loss of 55 cents per share, smaller than the 58 cents a share that analysts were expecting. Revenue topped Street forecasts and Express said it expects sequential comparable sales improvement throughout this year. Its shares fell 7.1% in the premarket after an initial jump higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>快递（EXPR）</b>– 这家服装零售商公布季度亏损为每股 55 美分，低于分析师预期的每股 58 美分。收入超出了华尔街的预期，Express 表示预计今年全年可比销售额将连续改善。其股价在最初上涨后在盘前下跌 7.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Meredith Corp.&nbsp;(MDP) </b>– Meredith accepted a revised bid from&nbsp;Gray Television(GTN) for its local media group. Meredith shareholders will now receive $16.99 per share in cash, up from the prior $14.51 a share, plus one share in the new post-close version of Meredith.</p><p><blockquote><b>梅雷迪思公司 (MDP)</b>– Meredith 接受了 Gray Television (GTN) 对其当地媒体集团的修改后出价。Meredith 股东现在将获得每股 16.99 美元的现金，高于之前的每股 14.51 美元，外加一股新的 Meredith 收盘后版本的股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ciena&nbsp;(CIEN) </b>– The networking equipment and services company reported quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share, 14 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ projections. Ciena said it was helped by an improving market environment and a rebound in customer spending. Ciena gained 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Ciena（一百）</b>– 这家网络设备和服务公司公布的季度收益为每股 62 美分，比预期高出 14 美分。收入也高于分析师的预期。Ciena 表示，市场环境的改善和客户支出的反弹对此有所帮助。Ciena 在盘前交易中上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>J.M. Smucker&nbsp;(SJM)</b> – The food producer beat estimates by 22 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $1.89 per share. Revenue came in slightly above forecasts. Sales fell compared with a year earlier, however, when homebound consumers stocked up as the pandemic took hold. Smucker did issue an upbeat full-year earnings forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>J.MSmucker（澳博）</b>– 这家食品生产商每股收益超出预期 22 美分，季度利润为每股 1.89 美元。收入略高于预期。然而，由于疫情蔓延，居家消费者囤货，销售额与去年同期相比有所下降。Smucker 确实发布了乐观的全年盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p><b>PVH&nbsp;(PVH)</b> – PVH earned $1.92 per share for its latest quarter, more than double the consensus estimate of 83 cents a share. The company behind apparel brands like Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein also saw revenue beat estimates, and it also raised its full-year forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>聚氯乙烯（PVH）</b>– PVH 最新季度每股收益为 1.92 美元，是市场普遍预期每股 83 美分的两倍多。Tommy Hilfiger 和 Calvin Klein 等服装品牌背后的公司收入也超出了预期，并上调了全年预测。</blockquote></p><p><b>Exxon Mobil&nbsp;(XOM)</b> – Exxon said in an SEC filing that hedge fund Engine No. 1&nbsp;had won a third seat on the energy giant’s board. Engine No. 1 – a small investor in Exxon – won a surprise victory with a campaign centered on environmental concerns.</p><p><blockquote><b>埃克森美孚（原始）</b>- 埃克森美孚在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中表示，对冲基金一号引擎赢得了这家能源巨头董事会的第三个席位。埃克森美孚的小投资者 Engine No. 1 凭借一场以环境问题为中心的活动赢得了意外的胜利。</blockquote></p><p><b>FireEye&nbsp;(FEYE) </b>– FireEye&nbsp;announced the sale&nbsp;of its security software products unit – along with the FireEye name – to private-equity firm Symphony Technology for $1.2 billion. The business that remains will be called Mandiant Solutions, the same name used by CEO Kevin Mandia’s business before its sale to FireEye in 2014. FireEye shares tumbled 7.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>火眼（FEYE）</b>– FireEye 宣布以 12 亿美元的价格将其安全软件产品部门以及 FireEye 名称出售给私募股权公司 Symphony Technology。保留下来的业务将被称为 Mandiant Solutions，这与首席执行官凯文-曼迪亚（Kevin Mandia）在 2014 年出售给 FireEye 之前的业务名称相同。FireEye 股价在盘前下跌 7.5%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Emergent BioSolutions&nbsp;(EBS)</b> – The Food and Drug Administration is working with&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;(JNJ) and&nbsp;AstraZeneca&nbsp;(AZN) to ensure that Covid-19 vaccine doses produced at an Emergent plant in Baltimore are uncontaminated and safe to use. That comes after the plant accidentally contaminated doses of J&amp;J’s vaccine with the active ingredient in AstraZeneca’s treatment.</p><p><blockquote><b>新兴生物解决方案 (EBS)</b>– 美国食品和药物管理局正在与强生公司 (JNJ) 和阿斯利康公司 (AZN) 合作，以确保巴尔的摩一家紧急工厂生产的 Covid-19 疫苗剂量未受污染且可以安全使用。此前，该工厂在阿斯利康的治疗过程中意外污染了强生疫苗中的活性成分。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Splunk&nbsp;(SPLK)</b> – Splunk reported a greater-than-expected loss for the first quarter, though the maker of network analytics software did see revenue beat Wall Street forecasts. Splunk has been transitioning customers to cloud-based versions of its software, and recurring cloud revenue did jump 83% during the quarter compared to a year ago. Splunk lost 5.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Splunk（SPLK）</b>– Splunk 公布第一季度亏损超出预期，尽管这家网络分析软件制造商的收入确实超出了华尔街的预测。Splunk 一直在将客户过渡到基于云的软件版本，与去年同期相比，本季度经常性云收入确实增长了 83%。Splunk 在盘前交易中下跌 5.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tilray&nbsp;(TLRY)</b> – The cannabis producer’s shares rallied 3.6% in premarket trading after Cantor Fitzgerald rolled out new estimates after the completion of Tilray’s merger with Aphria and rated the stock “overweight.” Cantor cites the combined company’s scale as well as upbeat overseas prospects.</p><p><blockquote><b>蒂尔雷（TLRY）</b>- 在 Tilray 与 Aphria 的合并完成后，Cantor Fitzgerald 推出了新的估算，并将该股评级为 “跑赢大盘 ”，之后这家大麻生产商的股价在盘前交易中上涨了 3.6%。坎托列举了合并后公司的规模以及乐观的海外前景。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-03 20:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>Nasdaq futures lead stock drop</li></ul><ul><li>Meme&nbsp;stocks fluctuated greatly</li></ul>U.S. equity futures dropped with European stocks on Thursday as fresh geopolitical tensions added to investor concerns over inflation and a potential reduction in stimulus.World stocks stepped back from record highs on Thursday as investors weighed inflation concerns ahead of key U.S. economic data, while oil prices rose for a third straight session.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>纳斯达克期货领跌股价下跌</li></ul><ul><li>模因股票大幅波动</li></ul>由于新的地缘政治紧张局势加剧了投资者对通胀和刺激措施可能减少的担忧，美国股指期货和欧洲股市周四下跌。由于投资者在美国关键经济数据公布前权衡通胀担忧，全球股市周四从历史高位回落，而油价连续第三个交易日上涨。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:12 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 233 points, or 0.67%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 33 points, or 0.78%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 149.25 points, or 1.09%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午 8:12，道琼斯电子迷你指数下跌 233 点，跌幅 0.67%，标普500电子迷你指数下跌 33 点，跌幅 0.78%，纳斯达克 100 电子迷你指数下跌 149.25 点，跌幅 1.09%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5551aa2c67b20860026ceb7c9155636\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"405\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:12</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源：Tiger Trade，美国东部时间 08:12</span></p></blockquote></p><p>A weekly U.S. unemployment report and May private payrolls data on Thursday will be followed by the monthly jobs numbers on Friday. Investors will be looking for signs of an economic rebound and rising inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周四将公布每周美国失业报告和 5 月份私人就业数据，周五将公布月度就业数据。投资者将寻找经济反弹和通胀上升的迹象。</blockquote></p><p>Initial jobless claims fell below 400,000 for the first time since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic as the labor market continues to recover, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四报告称，随着劳动力市场持续复苏，首次申请失业救济人数自 Covid-19 大流行初期以来首次跌破 40 万人。</blockquote></p><p>Initial claims fell to 385,000 for the week ended May 29, a decline from the previous week's 405,000 and below the Dow Jones estimate of 393,000.</p><p><blockquote>截至 5 月 29 日当周，首次申请失业救济人数降至 385,000 人，低于前一周的 405,000 人，也低于道琼斯预期的 393,000 人。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(AMC) </b>– AMC&nbsp;filed to sell up to 11.55 million common shares&nbsp;“from time to time,” according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, but cautioned against investing in the stock due to recent moves “unrelated to our underlying business.” AMC&nbsp;had initially surged in the premarket&nbsp;after nearly doubling Wednesday, but fell 9.7% after the filing.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线（AMC）</b>- 根据美国证券交易委员会的一份文件，AMC 申请 “不时 ”出售多达 1155 万股普通股，但由于最近的举动 “与我们的基础业务无关 ”，AMC 警告不要投资该股票。AMC 在周三上涨近一倍后最初在盘前飙升，但在提交文件后下跌了 9.7%。</blockquote></p><p><b>BlackBerry&nbsp;(BB),Koss&nbsp;(KOSS),GameStop&nbsp;(GME),Bed Bath &amp; Beyond&nbsp;(BBBY)</b> – These stocks remain on watch today, after surging yesterday on investor enthusiasm for the so-called “meme” stocks. BlackBerry jumped 11.2% in the premarket, but Koss fell 10.1%, GameStop lost 2.3% and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond dropped 12.9% after soaring 62% Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓 (BB)、科斯 (KOSS)、游戏驿站 (GME)、贝德巴斯及其他 (BBBY)</b>- 继昨天投资者对所谓 “迷因 ”股票的热情飙升之后，这些股票今天仍受到关注。黑莓盘前上涨 11.2%，但 Koss 下跌 10.1%，游戏驿站下跌 2.3%，Bed Bath &amp; Beyond 在周三飙升 62% 后下跌 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Express&nbsp;(EXPR) </b>– The apparel retailer reported a quarterly loss of 55 cents per share, smaller than the 58 cents a share that analysts were expecting. Revenue topped Street forecasts and Express said it expects sequential comparable sales improvement throughout this year. Its shares fell 7.1% in the premarket after an initial jump higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>快递（EXPR）</b>– 这家服装零售商公布季度亏损为每股 55 美分，低于分析师预期的每股 58 美分。收入超出了华尔街的预期，Express 表示预计今年全年可比销售额将连续改善。其股价在最初上涨后在盘前下跌 7.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Meredith Corp.&nbsp;(MDP) </b>– Meredith accepted a revised bid from&nbsp;Gray Television(GTN) for its local media group. Meredith shareholders will now receive $16.99 per share in cash, up from the prior $14.51 a share, plus one share in the new post-close version of Meredith.</p><p><blockquote><b>梅雷迪思公司 (MDP)</b>– Meredith 接受了 Gray Television (GTN) 对其当地媒体集团的修改后出价。Meredith 股东现在将获得每股 16.99 美元的现金，高于之前的每股 14.51 美元，外加一股新的 Meredith 收盘后版本的股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ciena&nbsp;(CIEN) </b>– The networking equipment and services company reported quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share, 14 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ projections. Ciena said it was helped by an improving market environment and a rebound in customer spending. Ciena gained 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Ciena（一百）</b>– 这家网络设备和服务公司公布的季度收益为每股 62 美分，比预期高出 14 美分。收入也高于分析师的预期。Ciena 表示，市场环境的改善和客户支出的反弹对此有所帮助。Ciena 在盘前交易中上涨 1.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>J.M. Smucker&nbsp;(SJM)</b> – The food producer beat estimates by 22 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $1.89 per share. Revenue came in slightly above forecasts. Sales fell compared with a year earlier, however, when homebound consumers stocked up as the pandemic took hold. Smucker did issue an upbeat full-year earnings forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>J.MSmucker（澳博）</b>– 这家食品生产商每股收益超出预期 22 美分，季度利润为每股 1.89 美元。收入略高于预期。然而，由于疫情蔓延，居家消费者囤货，销售额与去年同期相比有所下降。Smucker 确实发布了乐观的全年盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p><b>PVH&nbsp;(PVH)</b> – PVH earned $1.92 per share for its latest quarter, more than double the consensus estimate of 83 cents a share. The company behind apparel brands like Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein also saw revenue beat estimates, and it also raised its full-year forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>聚氯乙烯（PVH）</b>– PVH 最新季度每股收益为 1.92 美元，是市场普遍预期每股 83 美分的两倍多。Tommy Hilfiger 和 Calvin Klein 等服装品牌背后的公司收入也超出了预期，并上调了全年预测。</blockquote></p><p><b>Exxon Mobil&nbsp;(XOM)</b> – Exxon said in an SEC filing that hedge fund Engine No. 1&nbsp;had won a third seat on the energy giant’s board. Engine No. 1 – a small investor in Exxon – won a surprise victory with a campaign centered on environmental concerns.</p><p><blockquote><b>埃克森美孚（原始）</b>- 埃克森美孚在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中表示，对冲基金一号引擎赢得了这家能源巨头董事会的第三个席位。埃克森美孚的小投资者 Engine No. 1 凭借一场以环境问题为中心的活动赢得了意外的胜利。</blockquote></p><p><b>FireEye&nbsp;(FEYE) </b>– FireEye&nbsp;announced the sale&nbsp;of its security software products unit – along with the FireEye name – to private-equity firm Symphony Technology for $1.2 billion. The business that remains will be called Mandiant Solutions, the same name used by CEO Kevin Mandia’s business before its sale to FireEye in 2014. FireEye shares tumbled 7.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>火眼（FEYE）</b>– FireEye 宣布以 12 亿美元的价格将其安全软件产品部门以及 FireEye 名称出售给私募股权公司 Symphony Technology。保留下来的业务将被称为 Mandiant Solutions，这与首席执行官凯文-曼迪亚（Kevin Mandia）在 2014 年出售给 FireEye 之前的业务名称相同。FireEye 股价在盘前下跌 7.5%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Emergent BioSolutions&nbsp;(EBS)</b> – The Food and Drug Administration is working with&nbsp;Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;(JNJ) and&nbsp;AstraZeneca&nbsp;(AZN) to ensure that Covid-19 vaccine doses produced at an Emergent plant in Baltimore are uncontaminated and safe to use. That comes after the plant accidentally contaminated doses of J&amp;J’s vaccine with the active ingredient in AstraZeneca’s treatment.</p><p><blockquote><b>新兴生物解决方案 (EBS)</b>– 美国食品和药物管理局正在与强生公司 (JNJ) 和阿斯利康公司 (AZN) 合作，以确保巴尔的摩一家紧急工厂生产的 Covid-19 疫苗剂量未受污染且可以安全使用。此前，该工厂在阿斯利康的治疗过程中意外污染了强生疫苗中的活性成分。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Splunk&nbsp;(SPLK)</b> – Splunk reported a greater-than-expected loss for the first quarter, though the maker of network analytics software did see revenue beat Wall Street forecasts. Splunk has been transitioning customers to cloud-based versions of its software, and recurring cloud revenue did jump 83% during the quarter compared to a year ago. Splunk lost 5.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Splunk（SPLK）</b>– Splunk 公布第一季度亏损超出预期，尽管这家网络分析软件制造商的收入确实超出了华尔街的预测。Splunk 一直在将客户过渡到基于云的软件版本，与去年同期相比，本季度经常性云收入确实增长了 83%。Splunk 在盘前交易中下跌 5.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tilray&nbsp;(TLRY)</b> – The cannabis producer’s shares rallied 3.6% in premarket trading after Cantor Fitzgerald rolled out new estimates after the completion of Tilray’s merger with Aphria and rated the stock “overweight.” Cantor cites the combined company’s scale as well as upbeat overseas prospects.</p><p><blockquote><b>蒂尔雷（TLRY）</b>- 在 Tilray 与 Aphria 的合并完成后，Cantor Fitzgerald 推出了新的估算，并将该股评级为 “跑赢大盘 ”，之后这家大麻生产商的股价在盘前交易中上涨了 3.6%。坎托列举了合并后公司的规模以及乐观的海外前景。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","KOSS":"高斯电子","BB":"黑莓","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","EXPR":"Express, Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140207862","content_text":"Nasdaq futures lead stock dropMeme stocks fluctuated greatlyU.S. equity futures dropped with European stocks on Thursday as fresh geopolitical tensions added to investor concerns over inflation and a potential reduction in stimulus.World stocks stepped back from record highs on Thursday as investors weighed inflation concerns ahead of key U.S. economic data, while oil prices rose for a third straight session.At 8:12 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 233 points, or 0.67%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 33 points, or 0.78%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 149.25 points, or 1.09%.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:12A weekly U.S. unemployment report and May private payrolls data on Thursday will be followed by the monthly jobs numbers on Friday. Investors will be looking for signs of an economic rebound and rising inflation.Initial jobless claims fell below 400,000 for the first time since the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic as the labor market continues to recover, the Labor Department reported Thursday.Initial claims fell to 385,000 for the week ended May 29, a decline from the previous week's 405,000 and below the Dow Jones estimate of 393,000.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:AMC Entertainment (AMC) – AMC filed to sell up to 11.55 million common shares “from time to time,” according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing, but cautioned against investing in the stock due to recent moves “unrelated to our underlying business.” AMC had initially surged in the premarket after nearly doubling Wednesday, but fell 9.7% after the filing.BlackBerry (BB),Koss (KOSS),GameStop (GME),Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) – These stocks remain on watch today, after surging yesterday on investor enthusiasm for the so-called “meme” stocks. BlackBerry jumped 11.2% in the premarket, but Koss fell 10.1%, GameStop lost 2.3% and Bed Bath & Beyond dropped 12.9% after soaring 62% Wednesday.Express (EXPR) – The apparel retailer reported a quarterly loss of 55 cents per share, smaller than the 58 cents a share that analysts were expecting. Revenue topped Street forecasts and Express said it expects sequential comparable sales improvement throughout this year. Its shares fell 7.1% in the premarket after an initial jump higher.Meredith Corp. (MDP) – Meredith accepted a revised bid from Gray Television(GTN) for its local media group. Meredith shareholders will now receive $16.99 per share in cash, up from the prior $14.51 a share, plus one share in the new post-close version of Meredith.Ciena (CIEN) – The networking equipment and services company reported quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share, 14 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ projections. Ciena said it was helped by an improving market environment and a rebound in customer spending. Ciena gained 1.1% in premarket trading.J.M. Smucker (SJM) – The food producer beat estimates by 22 cents a share, with quarterly profit of $1.89 per share. Revenue came in slightly above forecasts. Sales fell compared with a year earlier, however, when homebound consumers stocked up as the pandemic took hold. Smucker did issue an upbeat full-year earnings forecast.PVH (PVH) – PVH earned $1.92 per share for its latest quarter, more than double the consensus estimate of 83 cents a share. The company behind apparel brands like Tommy Hilfiger and Calvin Klein also saw revenue beat estimates, and it also raised its full-year forecast.Exxon Mobil (XOM) – Exxon said in an SEC filing that hedge fund Engine No. 1 had won a third seat on the energy giant’s board. Engine No. 1 – a small investor in Exxon – won a surprise victory with a campaign centered on environmental concerns.FireEye (FEYE) – FireEye announced the sale of its security software products unit – along with the FireEye name – to private-equity firm Symphony Technology for $1.2 billion. The business that remains will be called Mandiant Solutions, the same name used by CEO Kevin Mandia’s business before its sale to FireEye in 2014. FireEye shares tumbled 7.5% in the premarket.Emergent BioSolutions (EBS) – The Food and Drug Administration is working with Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and AstraZeneca (AZN) to ensure that Covid-19 vaccine doses produced at an Emergent plant in Baltimore are uncontaminated and safe to use. That comes after the plant accidentally contaminated doses of J&J’s vaccine with the active ingredient in AstraZeneca’s treatment.Splunk (SPLK) – Splunk reported a greater-than-expected loss for the first quarter, though the maker of network analytics software did see revenue beat Wall Street forecasts. Splunk has been transitioning customers to cloud-based versions of its software, and recurring cloud revenue did jump 83% during the quarter compared to a year ago. Splunk lost 5.1% in premarket trading.Tilray (TLRY) – The cannabis producer’s shares rallied 3.6% in premarket trading after Cantor Fitzgerald rolled out new estimates after the completion of Tilray’s merger with Aphria and rated the stock “overweight.” Cantor cites the combined company’s scale as well as upbeat overseas 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:)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139857216","repostId":"2137773902","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162070023,"gmtCreate":1624029365962,"gmtModify":1634023839329,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162070023","repostId":"1119296361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119296361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624028454,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119296361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119296361","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier","content":"<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>美联储发布 6 月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场上最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借款和长期借出来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会改善，而当发生相反情况时，利润就会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三的会议结束后，10 年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨 0.071%，至 1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨 0.038 个百分点，至 0.203%，两者之间的利差为 1.366 个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，特别是银行股，成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。PDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (KBE) 上涨 0.9%，摩根大通 (JPM) 上涨 0.7%，尽管标准普尔 500 指数下跌 0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期收益率已降至1.498%，而两年期收益率已升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。所谓的收益率曲线变平对于银行等对利率敏感的行业来说是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF 周四下跌 4.5%，周五盘前交易中下跌 1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道琼斯指数期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>为什么要背离市场？要想让收益率持续上升，经济需要表现出正在快速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长会重演。Evercore ISI 策略师丹尼斯·德布舍尔 (Dennis DeBusschere) 表示，由于周四申请失业救济人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次出现上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。“他写道：”与之前所有人的想法相比，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那样强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 23:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>美联储发布 6 月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场上最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借款和长期借出来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会改善，而当发生相反情况时，利润就会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三的会议结束后，10 年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨 0.071%，至 1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨 0.038 个百分点，至 0.203%，两者之间的利差为 1.366 个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，特别是银行股，成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。PDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (KBE) 上涨 0.9%，摩根大通 (JPM) 上涨 0.7%，尽管标准普尔 500 指数下跌 0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期收益率已降至1.498%，而两年期收益率已升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。所谓的收益率曲线变平对于银行等对利率敏感的行业来说是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF 周四下跌 4.5%，周五盘前交易中下跌 1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道琼斯指数期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>为什么要背离市场？要想让收益率持续上升，经济需要表现出正在快速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长会重演。Evercore ISI 策略师丹尼斯·德布舍尔 (Dennis DeBusschere) 表示，由于周四申请失业救济人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次出现上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。“他写道：”与之前所有人的想法相比，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那样强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通","WFC":"富国银行","BAC":"美国银行","MS":"摩根士丹利","GS":"高盛","C":"花旗"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119296361","content_text":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.\nThere’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.\nAfter Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%\nThe market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.\nWhy the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.\nUntil that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"C":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"GS":0.9,"MS":0.9,"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197838733,"gmtCreate":1621438332522,"gmtModify":1634189129833,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :) bullish","listText":"Like and comment :) bullish","text":"Like and comment :) bullish","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197838733","repostId":"2136910021","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195975334,"gmtCreate":1621254464728,"gmtModify":1634193028065,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like and comment","listText":"Pls like and comment","text":"Pls like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195975334","repostId":"2136993456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197838500,"gmtCreate":1621438313800,"gmtModify":1634189130079,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :) i love oat milk","listText":"Like and comment :) i love oat milk","text":"Like and comment :) i love oat milk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197838500","repostId":"1126891253","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":157950667,"gmtCreate":1625560992359,"gmtModify":1633939633147,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment :)","listText":"Like and comment :)","text":"Like and comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157950667","repostId":"2149033827","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2745,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124006822,"gmtCreate":1624702255766,"gmtModify":1633949431249,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like comment :)","listText":"Like comment :)","text":"Like comment :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124006822","repostId":"1175794606","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189082054,"gmtCreate":1623233069878,"gmtModify":1634035552457,"author":{"id":"3574943172077831","authorId":"3574943172077831","name":"MinLee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8e65b4867fb510a33338f7ebccddab7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574943172077831","idStr":"3574943172077831"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","listText":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","text":"$FOMO $FOMO like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189082054","repostId":"1184778465","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575141057639271","authorId":"3575141057639271","name":"Daveb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61df162e1597f1b5a6a6bfb13d7d92f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575141057639271","idStr":"3575141057639271"},"content":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝","text":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝","html":"Still very good to buy... once we pass $350 it will become more difficult.💎💎💎✊🏿🤝"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}