+关注
Hb_
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:未知
175
关注
6
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
Hb_
2021-11-26
Die
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-10-02
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-09-25
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-09-20
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-09-15
W
U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>由于对经济复苏和企业增税的担忧,美国股市收盘走低</blockquote>
Hb_
2021-09-14
W
EV Stocks dipped in Monday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股票在周一早盘交易中下跌</blockquote>
Hb_
2021-09-13
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-09-09
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-09-07
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-09-05
W
Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场,该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>
Hb_
2021-09-04
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-09-03
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-09-02
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-09-01
🚀🚀🚀
Here's Why Skillz Stock Suddenly Spiked Today<blockquote>这就是 Skillz 股价今天突然飙升的原因</blockquote>
Hb_
2021-08-30
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-08-28
E
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-08-27
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-08-26
W
Palantir glitch gave unauthorized FBI employees access to data - NY Post<blockquote>Palantir 故障导致未经授权的 FBI 员工访问数据 - 纽约邮报</blockquote>
Hb_
2021-08-25
W
抱歉,原内容已删除
Hb_
2021-08-25
W
This Might Be the Most Important Metric If You Own Apple Stock<blockquote>如果您拥有苹果股票,这可能是最重要的指标</blockquote>
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3575084008680468","uuid":"3575084008680468","gmtCreate":1611991287875,"gmtModify":1614413317302,"name":"Hb_","pinyin":"hbhb","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":6,"headSize":175,"tweetSize":88,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.07.24","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.23","exceedPercentage":"60.63%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.30","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":877885899,"gmtCreate":1637913097813,"gmtModify":1637913097813,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Die","listText":"Die","text":"Die","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877885899","repostId":"2186316305","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867921523,"gmtCreate":1633189669775,"gmtModify":1633189669935,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867921523","repostId":"2172331961","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868948451,"gmtCreate":1632582577873,"gmtModify":1632655217630,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868948451","repostId":"1149730497","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860316361,"gmtCreate":1632134687553,"gmtModify":1632802631215,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860316361","repostId":"2168502037","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882591720,"gmtCreate":1631704014460,"gmtModify":1631890455843,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882591720","repostId":"1148341685","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148341685","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631660884,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1148341685?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>由于对经济复苏和企业增税的担忧,美国股市收盘走低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148341685","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(路透社) - 尽管有通胀放缓的迹象,但经济不确定性和企业税率上调的可能性不断增加抑制了投资者情绪,并引发了广泛的抛售,华尔街周二下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Optimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>乐观情绪在整个交易日逐渐消退,扭转了劳工部发布消费者价格指数报告后最初的反弹势头。美国三大股指均以负值收盘,这提醒人们,9 月份是股市历史上最艰难的一个月。</blockquote></p><p> So far this month the S&P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote>本月到目前为止,标普500下跌了近1.8%,尽管基准指数自年初以来已上涨超过18%。</blockquote></p><p> “There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约 CFRA Research 首席投资策略师 Sam Stovall 说:”市场有可能只是准备好经历一场迟来的调整。“从季节性来看,9月份往往是基金经理的窗口期。”</blockquote></p><p> The advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>高度传染性的Delta COVID变种的出现推动了对全球健康危机复苏的看跌情绪的增加,许多人现在预计股市将在今年年底前大幅调整。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”</p><p><blockquote>“芝加哥 Kingsview Asset Management 的投资组合经理保罗-诺尔特(Paul Nolte)说:”我们仍处于人们几个月来一直呼吁的纠正模式。“经济数据点一直低于预期,而这恰逢德尔塔变异毒株的上升”。</blockquote></p><p> The CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.</p><p><blockquote>CPI报告公布的8月份数据低于共识,这一放缓支持了美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的断言,即通胀飙升是暂时的,并平息了市场对央行将比预期更早开始收紧货币政策的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]</p><p><blockquote>数据显示,美国国债收益率下降,给金融股带来压力,投资者的青睐以牺牲价值为代价重新转向增长。[美国/]</blockquote></p><p> The long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.</p><p><blockquote>随着美国总统乔-拜登(Joe Biden)的 3.5 万亿美元预算方案逐渐接近通过,人们期待已久的企业税上调幅度将从 21% 提高到 26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌292.06点,跌幅0.84%,报34,577.57点;标普500下跌25.68点,跌幅0.57%,报4,443.05点;纳斯达克综合指数下跌 67.82 点,跌幅 0.45%,至 15,037.76 点。</blockquote></p><p> All 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块全部收红,其中能源和金融板块跌幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司在今年最大的产品发布会上推出了 iPhone 13,并为其 iPad 和苹果手表设备添加了新功能,因为该公司面临着法院对其商业行为日益严格的审查。其股价收盘下跌 1.0%,是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累。</blockquote></p><p> Intuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Intuit Inc 上涨了 1.9%,此前这家涡轮税制造商宣布将以 120 亿美元收购数字营销公司 Mailchimp。</blockquote></p><p> CureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>德国生物技术公司 CureVac 取消其实验性 COVID-19 疫苗的生产交易后,股价下跌 8.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 2.25 比 1;在纳斯达克,2.40 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下两个52周新高和两个新低;纳斯达克综合指数创下50个新高和107个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 100.7 亿股,而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 93.8 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>由于对经济复苏和企业增税的担忧,美国股市收盘走低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>由于对经济复苏和企业增税的担忧,美国股市收盘走低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-15 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(路透社) - 尽管有通胀放缓的迹象,但经济不确定性和企业税率上调的可能性不断增加抑制了投资者情绪,并引发了广泛的抛售,华尔街周二下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Optimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>乐观情绪在整个交易日逐渐消退,扭转了劳工部发布消费者价格指数报告后最初的反弹势头。美国三大股指均以负值收盘,这提醒人们,9 月份是股市历史上最艰难的一个月。</blockquote></p><p> So far this month the S&P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote>本月到目前为止,标普500下跌了近1.8%,尽管基准指数自年初以来已上涨超过18%。</blockquote></p><p> “There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”</p><p><blockquote>“纽约 CFRA Research 首席投资策略师 Sam Stovall 说:”市场有可能只是准备好经历一场迟来的调整。“从季节性来看,9月份往往是基金经理的窗口期。”</blockquote></p><p> The advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>高度传染性的Delta COVID变种的出现推动了对全球健康危机复苏的看跌情绪的增加,许多人现在预计股市将在今年年底前大幅调整。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”</p><p><blockquote>“芝加哥 Kingsview Asset Management 的投资组合经理保罗-诺尔特(Paul Nolte)说:”我们仍处于人们几个月来一直呼吁的纠正模式。“经济数据点一直低于预期,而这恰逢德尔塔变异毒株的上升”。</blockquote></p><p> The CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.</p><p><blockquote>CPI报告公布的8月份数据低于共识,这一放缓支持了美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的断言,即通胀飙升是暂时的,并平息了市场对央行将比预期更早开始收紧货币政策的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]</p><p><blockquote>数据显示,美国国债收益率下降,给金融股带来压力,投资者的青睐以牺牲价值为代价重新转向增长。[美国/]</blockquote></p><p> The long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.</p><p><blockquote>随着美国总统乔-拜登(Joe Biden)的 3.5 万亿美元预算方案逐渐接近通过,人们期待已久的企业税上调幅度将从 21% 提高到 26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌292.06点,跌幅0.84%,报34,577.57点;标普500下跌25.68点,跌幅0.57%,报4,443.05点;纳斯达克综合指数下跌 67.82 点,跌幅 0.45%,至 15,037.76 点。</blockquote></p><p> All 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块全部收红,其中能源和金融板块跌幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司在今年最大的产品发布会上推出了 iPhone 13,并为其 iPad 和苹果手表设备添加了新功能,因为该公司面临着法院对其商业行为日益严格的审查。其股价收盘下跌 1.0%,是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累。</blockquote></p><p> Intuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Intuit Inc 上涨了 1.9%,此前这家涡轮税制造商宣布将以 120 亿美元收购数字营销公司 Mailchimp。</blockquote></p><p> CureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>德国生物技术公司 CureVac 取消其实验性 COVID-19 疫苗的生产交易后,股价下跌 8.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 2.25 比 1;在纳斯达克,2.40 比 1 的比率有利于下跌者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下两个52周新高和两个新低;纳斯达克综合指数创下50个新高和107个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为 100.7 亿股,而过去 20 个交易日的平均成交量为 93.8 亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/u-s-stocks-close-lower-on-worries-over-recovery-corporate-tax-hikes-idUSKBN2GA0W9\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/u-s-stocks-close-lower-on-worries-over-recovery-corporate-tax-hikes-idUSKBN2GA0W9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148341685","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.\nOptimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.\nSo far this month the S&P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.\n“There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”\nThe advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.\n“We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”\nThe CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.\nU.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]\nThe long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.\nAll 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.\nApple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.\nIntuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.\nCureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886682342,"gmtCreate":1631585866486,"gmtModify":1631890455847,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886682342","repostId":"1108674949","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1108674949","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631540940,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1108674949?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-13 21:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks dipped in Monday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股票在周一早盘交易中下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108674949","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV Stocks dipped in Monday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 3%.China has vowed to consolidate the country’s electric vehicle industry after a decade-long nurturing of the sector led to the emergence of too many players, some of which are barely viable.“Looking forward, EV companies should grow bigger and stronger. We have too many EV firms on the market right now,” Xiao Yaqing, the minister for industry and information technology, said at a press conference ","content":"<p>EV Stocks dipped in Monday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 3%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股在周一早盘交易中下跌。特斯拉、蔚来汽车、小鹏汽车和理想汽车下跌2%至3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e3c5a4dc4224ac668393170a00547fb\" tg-width=\"367\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> China has vowed to consolidate the country’s electric vehicle industry after a decade-long nurturing of the sector led to the emergence of too many players, some of which are barely viable.</p><p><blockquote>中国誓言要巩固该国的电动汽车行业,因为经过十年的培育,该行业出现了太多的参与者,其中一些参与者几乎无法生存。</blockquote></p><p> “Looking forward, EV companies should grow bigger and stronger. We have too many EV firms on the market right now,” Xiao Yaqing, the minister for industry and information technology, said at a press conference in Beijing on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“展望未来,电动汽车企业应该做大做强。目前市场上有太多电动汽车企业,”工业和信息化部部长肖亚庆周一在北京举行的新闻发布会上说。</blockquote></p><p> “The firms are mostly small and scattered,” he said. “The role of the market should be fully utilized and we encourage merger and restructuring efforts in the EV sector to further increase market concentration.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这些公司大多规模小且分散。“要充分发挥市场作用,鼓励电动汽车行业兼并重组,进一步提高市场集中度。”</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Chinese electric-vehicle makers fell Monday.Xpeng Inc. declined 2.3% in Hong Kong trading, and Li Auto Inc. dropped 1.4%. On mainland exchanges,BYD Co. slid 1.8% and BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology Co. slumped 4.6%.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商股价周一下跌。小鹏汽车在香港交易中下跌 2.3%,理想汽车汽车下跌 1.4%。在内地交易所,比亚迪股价下跌1.8%,北汽蓝谷新能源科技股份有限公司下跌4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> China, which built its electric-car industry into the world’s biggest, is putting a new focus on consolidating the ranks of EV makers which has ballooned to about 300. The government is drafting measures to rein in overcapacity in the sector and channel resources to a number of key production hubs, Bloomberg News reported last week, citing people familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>中国的电动汽车产业已成为世界上最大的电动汽车产业,现在正将新的重点放在巩固电动汽车制造商的队伍上,目前电动汽车制造商的数量已膨胀至约 300 家。彭博新闻社上周援引知情人士的话报道称,政府正在起草措施,以控制该行业的产能过剩,并将资源输送到一些关键的生产中心。</blockquote></p><p> Regulators are considering setting a minimum production capacity utilization rate for the industry, and provinces that aren’t meeting it won’t be allowed to approve new projects until surplus capacity comes online, Bloomberg reported.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博社报道,监管机构正在考虑为该行业设定最低产能利用率,未达到最低产能利用率的省份将不得批准新项目,直到过剩产能投入使用。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is competitive in China, but a consolidated domestic sector could pose a new challenge for the high-profile electric vehicle company.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在中国具有竞争力,但国内行业的整合可能会给这家备受瞩目的电动汽车公司带来新的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla announced that it is going to increase the price of its Model Y Performance car in China by $1,552. According to the report announced on the Chinese microblogging website Weibo, the new price of Model Y will be RMB 387,900.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉宣布将Model Y高性能车在华售价上调1552美元。根据中国微博网站微博上公布的报道,Model Y的新售价将为人民币38.79万元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks dipped in Monday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股票在周一早盘交易中下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks dipped in Monday morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股票在周一早盘交易中下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-13 21:49</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV Stocks dipped in Monday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 3%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股在周一早盘交易中下跌。特斯拉、蔚来汽车、小鹏汽车和理想汽车下跌2%至3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e3c5a4dc4224ac668393170a00547fb\" tg-width=\"367\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> China has vowed to consolidate the country’s electric vehicle industry after a decade-long nurturing of the sector led to the emergence of too many players, some of which are barely viable.</p><p><blockquote>中国誓言要巩固该国的电动汽车行业,因为经过十年的培育,该行业出现了太多的参与者,其中一些参与者几乎无法生存。</blockquote></p><p> “Looking forward, EV companies should grow bigger and stronger. We have too many EV firms on the market right now,” Xiao Yaqing, the minister for industry and information technology, said at a press conference in Beijing on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“展望未来,电动汽车企业应该做大做强。目前市场上有太多电动汽车企业,”工业和信息化部部长肖亚庆周一在北京举行的新闻发布会上说。</blockquote></p><p> “The firms are mostly small and scattered,” he said. “The role of the market should be fully utilized and we encourage merger and restructuring efforts in the EV sector to further increase market concentration.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这些公司大多规模小且分散。“要充分发挥市场作用,鼓励电动汽车行业兼并重组,进一步提高市场集中度。”</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Chinese electric-vehicle makers fell Monday.Xpeng Inc. declined 2.3% in Hong Kong trading, and Li Auto Inc. dropped 1.4%. On mainland exchanges,BYD Co. slid 1.8% and BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology Co. slumped 4.6%.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商股价周一下跌。小鹏汽车在香港交易中下跌 2.3%,理想汽车汽车下跌 1.4%。在内地交易所,比亚迪股价下跌1.8%,北汽蓝谷新能源科技股份有限公司下跌4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> China, which built its electric-car industry into the world’s biggest, is putting a new focus on consolidating the ranks of EV makers which has ballooned to about 300. The government is drafting measures to rein in overcapacity in the sector and channel resources to a number of key production hubs, Bloomberg News reported last week, citing people familiar with the matter.</p><p><blockquote>中国的电动汽车产业已成为世界上最大的电动汽车产业,现在正将新的重点放在巩固电动汽车制造商的队伍上,目前电动汽车制造商的数量已膨胀至约 300 家。彭博新闻社上周援引知情人士的话报道称,政府正在起草措施,以控制该行业的产能过剩,并将资源输送到一些关键的生产中心。</blockquote></p><p> Regulators are considering setting a minimum production capacity utilization rate for the industry, and provinces that aren’t meeting it won’t be allowed to approve new projects until surplus capacity comes online, Bloomberg reported.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博社报道,监管机构正在考虑为该行业设定最低产能利用率,未达到最低产能利用率的省份将不得批准新项目,直到过剩产能投入使用。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is competitive in China, but a consolidated domestic sector could pose a new challenge for the high-profile electric vehicle company.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在中国具有竞争力,但国内行业的整合可能会给这家备受瞩目的电动汽车公司带来新的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla announced that it is going to increase the price of its Model Y Performance car in China by $1,552. According to the report announced on the Chinese microblogging website Weibo, the new price of Model Y will be RMB 387,900.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉宣布将Model Y高性能车在华售价上调1552美元。根据中国微博网站微博上公布的报道,Model Y的新售价将为人民币38.79万元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏集团","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108674949","content_text":"EV Stocks dipped in Monday morning trading.Tesla,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto fell between 2% and 3%.\n\nChina has vowed to consolidate the country’s electric vehicle industry after a decade-long nurturing of the sector led to the emergence of too many players, some of which are barely viable.\n“Looking forward, EV companies should grow bigger and stronger. We have too many EV firms on the market right now,” Xiao Yaqing, the minister for industry and information technology, said at a press conference in Beijing on Monday.\n“The firms are mostly small and scattered,” he said. “The role of the market should be fully utilized and we encourage merger and restructuring efforts in the EV sector to further increase market concentration.”\nShares of Chinese electric-vehicle makers fell Monday.Xpeng Inc. declined 2.3% in Hong Kong trading, and Li Auto Inc. dropped 1.4%. On mainland exchanges,BYD Co. slid 1.8% and BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology Co. slumped 4.6%.\nChina, which built its electric-car industry into the world’s biggest, is putting a new focus on consolidating the ranks of EV makers which has ballooned to about 300. The government is drafting measures to rein in overcapacity in the sector and channel resources to a number of key production hubs, Bloomberg News reported last week, citing people familiar with the matter.\nRegulators are considering setting a minimum production capacity utilization rate for the industry, and provinces that aren’t meeting it won’t be allowed to approve new projects until surplus capacity comes online, Bloomberg reported.\nTesla is competitive in China, but a consolidated domestic sector could pose a new challenge for the high-profile electric vehicle company.\nTesla announced that it is going to increase the price of its Model Y Performance car in China by $1,552. According to the report announced on the Chinese microblogging website Weibo, the new price of Model Y will be RMB 387,900.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886980251,"gmtCreate":1631543521573,"gmtModify":1631890455857,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886980251","repostId":"2166303094","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883310751,"gmtCreate":1631201135673,"gmtModify":1631890455851,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883310751","repostId":"2166349857","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880318167,"gmtCreate":1631019306559,"gmtModify":1631890455858,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880318167","repostId":"1169993498","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814500808,"gmtCreate":1630835483804,"gmtModify":1631890455858,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814500808","repostId":"1157895022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157895022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630810619,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157895022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-05 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场,该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<p> <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b> Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯-霍华德(Vance Howard)的 HCM 战术增长基金(Tactical Growwth Fund)会让你在谨慎的情况下进出股市。到目前为止,他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经取得了成效。</b>想象一下,当你坐下来享受生活时,你有一台赚钱机器在股市上收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>这是每个人的梦想,对吧?投资者万斯-霍华德认为他找到了答案。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>佐治亚州罗斯威尔的霍华德资本管理公司的霍华德和他的一小群计算机程序员。,有一个量化系统,发布巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据,他的 HCM 战术增长基金 HCMGX,+0.35% 在过去五年中以年化计算比其罗素 1000 基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出 8.5-10.4 个百分点。这不是一个小壮举,不仅仅是因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场根本不容易。他的 HCM 股息板块 PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) 和 HCM 收入 PlusHCMLX,+0.30% 基金表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点,我在下面详细介绍。(其中:潜在的长期表现不佳和定期税单。)但首先,我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么?</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化者从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节,但霍华德分享了很多细节,你会看到的。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于 “马感 ”的好建议--考虑到他对市场有着极具感染力的热情,以及他三十年的职业牧场主经验,这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12 只交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和 4 只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课:不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化注定了我们会失败。为了生存,我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪,以在可能很长一段时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场上,出于恐惧和贪婪的情绪行事总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出,顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样,我们也相信与人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马,那么如果你单独行动,就更有可能被捕食者叼走。这里的问题是成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——把我们愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人们会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入人群时,你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做好,你必须抵消这些趋势。“霍华德说:”个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是情绪化。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课:建立一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>要驱除情绪,要有一个系统。“霍华德说:”不要事后猜测。“这让你不会让大流行病或阿富汗把你吓出市场”。他评级了他的系统HCM-BuyLine。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——在市场上通常效果很好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先,霍华德没有使用标准普尔 500SPX(-0.03%)或道琼斯工业平均指数(-0.21%),而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时,他卖出35%。如果下跌 6.5%,他就再卖出 35%。他很少使用100%的现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果买盘是积极的,无论如何我们都会长期持有。“我们让数学来决定,就能把所有的情绪都排除在外”。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前,情况看涨。(更多内容见下文。)</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统也必须告诉你什么时候回来。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这就是大多数人搞砸的地方。“他们退出了市场,却不知道什么时候才能重新进来”。当他的自定义指数连续六个交易日交易高于其移动平均线时,HCM-BuyLine 会发出买入信号,然后继续交易高于这六天的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个能准确预测评级市场顶部或底部的系统。相反,买入线让霍华德在 85% 的时间里远离下跌市场,在 85% 的好时机里则保持下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果我们能坚持不懈地做到这一点,我们就能获得更高的回报,生活压力也会更小。“在糟糕的录音带中全神贯注并不好玩”。</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢,但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定会让他离开。他经常买入这些回调。快速回归是有意义的,因为底部的复苏往往会很快发生。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德说:”HCM-BuyLine 消除了整个过程中的所有情绪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课:不要与磁带对抗</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂-茨威格(Marty Zweig)经典著作《华尔街的胜利》(Winning on Wall Street)的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德同意道:”你必须站在市场的正确一边。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中进行多头交易,那将是痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”有时候,不赔钱才是你想要的。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样,不要因为市场创下新高--比如现在--就变得谨慎。你应该喜欢新高,因为这是市场力量可能会持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第4课:保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的,霍华德并不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥的工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说是令人耳目一新的,因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”你不必交易疯狂的东西。“你可以交易普通的 ETF,击败所有人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课:如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做多。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine 非常积极。我们百分之百同意,”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。这变得非常令人兴奋。我们认为市场不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有的现金都在观望。“如果科维德有任何缓解,我们可能会看到一场大反弹。我们最终可能会迎来一个伟大的秋季[赛季]。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德还使用动量指标来选择股票和 ETF。对于行业,他倾向于以下几种。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健,可通过 iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04% 和 ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12% ETF 进行交易。他越来越看好生物技术,他通过 iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB 投资生物技术,-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过 iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC 交易的非必需消费品, -0.30%, 以及通过 US Global JetsJETS 交易的航空公司, -1.17%.他还喜欢通过 Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%、iShares US TechnologyYYW,+0.50% 和 iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75% 进行科技投资。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他通过 Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07% 看好小盘股。以及通过 SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities CWB,+0.64% 和 iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37% 看好可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个股,他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果APL(+0.42%),以及亚马逊.comAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>还可以考虑霍华德的两只 ETF: HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%,HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌 1%-3% 时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的 HCM 战术增长基金自 2015 年推出以来,曾连续两年表现不佳,表现在 1.5% 至 8.8% 之间。随后,该基金强势回归,实现了上述非常积极的五年业绩。投资他的系统可能需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说,包括沃伦·巴菲特在内的每个经理都可能经历一段时间的表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”我们正处于胜算之中。“即使在赔率游戏中,你也可能有一两手烂牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率,战术增长每年为140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景里得到了很大的削减。因此,如果您购买霍华德的基金,您可能需要在税收保护账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场,该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场,该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-05 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b> Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯-霍华德(Vance Howard)的 HCM 战术增长基金(Tactical Growwth Fund)会让你在谨慎的情况下进出股市。到目前为止,他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经取得了成效。</b>想象一下,当你坐下来享受生活时,你有一台赚钱机器在股市上收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>这是每个人的梦想,对吧?投资者万斯-霍华德认为他找到了答案。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>佐治亚州罗斯威尔的霍华德资本管理公司的霍华德和他的一小群计算机程序员。,有一个量化系统,发布巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据,他的 HCM 战术增长基金 HCMGX,+0.35% 在过去五年中以年化计算比其罗素 1000 基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出 8.5-10.4 个百分点。这不是一个小壮举,不仅仅是因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场根本不容易。他的 HCM 股息板块 PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) 和 HCM 收入 PlusHCMLX,+0.30% 基金表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点,我在下面详细介绍。(其中:潜在的长期表现不佳和定期税单。)但首先,我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么?</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化者从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节,但霍华德分享了很多细节,你会看到的。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于 “马感 ”的好建议--考虑到他对市场有着极具感染力的热情,以及他三十年的职业牧场主经验,这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12 只交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和 4 只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课:不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化注定了我们会失败。为了生存,我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪,以在可能很长一段时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场上,出于恐惧和贪婪的情绪行事总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出,顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样,我们也相信与人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马,那么如果你单独行动,就更有可能被捕食者叼走。这里的问题是成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——把我们愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人们会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入人群时,你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做好,你必须抵消这些趋势。“霍华德说:”个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是情绪化。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课:建立一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>要驱除情绪,要有一个系统。“霍华德说:”不要事后猜测。“这让你不会让大流行病或阿富汗把你吓出市场”。他评级了他的系统HCM-BuyLine。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——在市场上通常效果很好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先,霍华德没有使用标准普尔 500SPX(-0.03%)或道琼斯工业平均指数(-0.21%),而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时,他卖出35%。如果下跌 6.5%,他就再卖出 35%。他很少使用100%的现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果买盘是积极的,无论如何我们都会长期持有。“我们让数学来决定,就能把所有的情绪都排除在外”。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前,情况看涨。(更多内容见下文。)</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统也必须告诉你什么时候回来。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这就是大多数人搞砸的地方。“他们退出了市场,却不知道什么时候才能重新进来”。当他的自定义指数连续六个交易日交易高于其移动平均线时,HCM-BuyLine 会发出买入信号,然后继续交易高于这六天的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个能准确预测评级市场顶部或底部的系统。相反,买入线让霍华德在 85% 的时间里远离下跌市场,在 85% 的好时机里则保持下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果我们能坚持不懈地做到这一点,我们就能获得更高的回报,生活压力也会更小。“在糟糕的录音带中全神贯注并不好玩”。</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢,但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定会让他离开。他经常买入这些回调。快速回归是有意义的,因为底部的复苏往往会很快发生。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德说:”HCM-BuyLine 消除了整个过程中的所有情绪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课:不要与磁带对抗</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂-茨威格(Marty Zweig)经典著作《华尔街的胜利》(Winning on Wall Street)的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德同意道:”你必须站在市场的正确一边。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中进行多头交易,那将是痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”有时候,不赔钱才是你想要的。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样,不要因为市场创下新高--比如现在--就变得谨慎。你应该喜欢新高,因为这是市场力量可能会持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第4课:保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的,霍华德并不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥的工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说是令人耳目一新的,因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”你不必交易疯狂的东西。“你可以交易普通的 ETF,击败所有人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课:如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做多。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine 非常积极。我们百分之百同意,”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。这变得非常令人兴奋。我们认为市场不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有的现金都在观望。“如果科维德有任何缓解,我们可能会看到一场大反弹。我们最终可能会迎来一个伟大的秋季[赛季]。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德还使用动量指标来选择股票和 ETF。对于行业,他倾向于以下几种。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健,可通过 iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04% 和 ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12% ETF 进行交易。他越来越看好生物技术,他通过 iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB 投资生物技术,-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过 iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC 交易的非必需消费品, -0.30%, 以及通过 US Global JetsJETS 交易的航空公司, -1.17%.他还喜欢通过 Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%、iShares US TechnologyYYW,+0.50% 和 iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75% 进行科技投资。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他通过 Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07% 看好小盘股。以及通过 SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities CWB,+0.64% 和 iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37% 看好可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个股,他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果APL(+0.42%),以及亚马逊.comAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>还可以考虑霍华德的两只 ETF: HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%,HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌 1%-3% 时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的 HCM 战术增长基金自 2015 年推出以来,曾连续两年表现不佳,表现在 1.5% 至 8.8% 之间。随后,该基金强势回归,实现了上述非常积极的五年业绩。投资他的系统可能需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说,包括沃伦·巴菲特在内的每个经理都可能经历一段时间的表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”我们正处于胜算之中。“即使在赔率游戏中,你也可能有一两手烂牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率,战术增长每年为140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景里得到了很大的削减。因此,如果您购买霍华德的基金,您可能需要在税收保护账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815550461,"gmtCreate":1630705234653,"gmtModify":1631890455864,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815550461","repostId":"1105876391","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1102,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815249398,"gmtCreate":1630682992014,"gmtModify":1631890455867,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815249398","repostId":"1105876391","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812191816,"gmtCreate":1630559870235,"gmtModify":1631890455868,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812191816","repostId":"2164481914","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":685,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816106460,"gmtCreate":1630473770250,"gmtModify":1631890455867,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"🚀🚀🚀","listText":"🚀🚀🚀","text":"🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816106460","repostId":"1139912608","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1139912608","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630454249,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1139912608?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-01 07:57","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Here's Why Skillz Stock Suddenly Spiked Today<blockquote>这就是 Skillz 股价今天突然飙升的原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139912608","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Someone just made a multimillion-dollar bet on this company.\n\nWhat happened\nShares of mobile-gaming ","content":"<p> <b>Someone just made a multimillion-dollar bet on this company.</b> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有人刚刚在这家公司下了数百万美元的赌注。</b><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of mobile-gaming platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">Skillz Inc</a></b> were trading modestly higher for most of Tuesday's session. But around 1:30 p.m. EDT, the stock suddenly spiked higher, seemingly out of nowhere. As of this writing, the stock is up 12%. After a little digging, it seems that some chatter on social news platform Reddit could be responsible for the jump.</p><p><blockquote>手机游戏平台份额<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">Skillz公司</a></b>在周二的大部分时间里,股价小幅走高。但在美国东部时间下午 1:30 左右,该股突然飙升,似乎不知从哪里冒出来的。截至撰写本文时,该股已上涨 12%。经过一番挖掘,似乎社交新闻平台Reddit上的一些聊天可能是导致这一跳跃的原因。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> A Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock. Normally, I'd be reluctant to mention something like this. But there's no other news from Skillz today. Moreover, the time of the Reddit post roughly corresponds to the jump in Skillz stock. Therefore, this possibility can't be dismissed.</p><p><blockquote>一名Reddit用户发帖称,他们购买了480万美元的Skillz股票。通常情况下,我不愿意提及这样的事情。但是今天Skillz没有其他消息。此外,Reddit 帖子发布的时间大致对应于 Skillz 股票的上涨。因此,不能排除这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> To be clear, one Reddit user likely can't move Skillz stock this much on their own. But as we've seen with other stocks in 2021, a strong vote of confidence on Reddit can inspire many other investors to also purchase shares. And this combined effort can cause a stock to make moves.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是,一名 Reddit 用户可能无法独自移动 Skillz 股票这么多。但正如我们在 2021 年对其他股票所看到的那样,Reddit 上的强烈信任投票可以激励许多其他投资者也购买股票。这种综合努力可以导致股票走势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> Wondering if you should join the new wave of Skillz investors? I'll leave you with two thoughts. First, I wouldn't recommend ever buying or selling a stock based solely on what someone else is doing. At a minimum, you should know what the company does, and you should have a basic understanding of how its business model can create shareholder value over time.</p><p><blockquote>想知道你是否应该加入新一波Skillz投资者?我留给你两个想法。首先,我不建议仅仅根据别人在做什么来买卖股票。至少,你应该知道公司是做什么的,并且你应该对其商业模式如何随着时间的推移创造股东价值有一个基本的了解。</blockquote></p><p> Second, remember that not everyone is playing the same game when it comes to the stock market. Someone might make a multimillion-dollar bet, but you don't know their personal financial situation or how long they plan to hold. When it comes to my approach, I'm interested in building adiversified portfolioof stocks that Ihold for many years. This strategy allows me to take advantage of the stock market's upward bias over time and also compensates for my own fallibility. This is the game I think other investors should be playing too.</p><p><blockquote>第二,请记住,在股票市场上,并不是每个人都在玩同样的游戏。有人可能会下数百万美元的赌注,但你不知道他们的个人财务状况,也不知道他们打算持有多久。就我的方法而言,我对建立我持有多年的多元化股票投资组合感兴趣。这种策略让我能够利用股市随着时间的推移而向上的偏差,也弥补了我自己的易错性。我认为其他投资者也应该玩这个游戏。</blockquote></p><p> For the record, I'm a satisfied Skillz shareholder, and I believe it'sa company you should get to know. That said, I'd suggest investors<i>not</i>make rash buying decisions based on social media hype. If Skillz is a great long-term opportunity, it will still be there afteryou've done some research.</p><p><blockquote>郑重声明,我是一个满意的Skillz股东,我相信这是一家你应该了解的公司。也就是说,我建议投资者<i>不</i>根据社交媒体炒作做出鲁莽的购买决定。如果Skillz是一个很好的长期机会,在你做了一些研究后,它仍然会存在。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's Why Skillz Stock Suddenly Spiked Today<blockquote>这就是 Skillz 股价今天突然飙升的原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's Why Skillz Stock Suddenly Spiked Today<blockquote>这就是 Skillz 股价今天突然飙升的原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-01 07:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>Someone just made a multimillion-dollar bet on this company.</b> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有人刚刚在这家公司下了数百万美元的赌注。</b><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of mobile-gaming platform <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">Skillz Inc</a></b> were trading modestly higher for most of Tuesday's session. But around 1:30 p.m. EDT, the stock suddenly spiked higher, seemingly out of nowhere. As of this writing, the stock is up 12%. After a little digging, it seems that some chatter on social news platform Reddit could be responsible for the jump.</p><p><blockquote>手机游戏平台份额<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SKLZ\">Skillz公司</a></b>在周二的大部分时间里,股价小幅走高。但在美国东部时间下午 1:30 左右,该股突然飙升,似乎不知从哪里冒出来的。截至撰写本文时,该股已上涨 12%。经过一番挖掘,似乎社交新闻平台Reddit上的一些聊天可能是导致这一跳跃的原因。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> A Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock. Normally, I'd be reluctant to mention something like this. But there's no other news from Skillz today. Moreover, the time of the Reddit post roughly corresponds to the jump in Skillz stock. Therefore, this possibility can't be dismissed.</p><p><blockquote>一名Reddit用户发帖称,他们购买了480万美元的Skillz股票。通常情况下,我不愿意提及这样的事情。但是今天Skillz没有其他消息。此外,Reddit 帖子发布的时间大致对应于 Skillz 股票的上涨。因此,不能排除这种可能性。</blockquote></p><p> To be clear, one Reddit user likely can't move Skillz stock this much on their own. But as we've seen with other stocks in 2021, a strong vote of confidence on Reddit can inspire many other investors to also purchase shares. And this combined effort can cause a stock to make moves.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是,一名 Reddit 用户可能无法独自移动 Skillz 股票这么多。但正如我们在 2021 年对其他股票所看到的那样,Reddit 上的强烈信任投票可以激励许多其他投资者也购买股票。这种综合努力可以导致股票走势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> Wondering if you should join the new wave of Skillz investors? I'll leave you with two thoughts. First, I wouldn't recommend ever buying or selling a stock based solely on what someone else is doing. At a minimum, you should know what the company does, and you should have a basic understanding of how its business model can create shareholder value over time.</p><p><blockquote>想知道你是否应该加入新一波Skillz投资者?我留给你两个想法。首先,我不建议仅仅根据别人在做什么来买卖股票。至少,你应该知道公司是做什么的,并且你应该对其商业模式如何随着时间的推移创造股东价值有一个基本的了解。</blockquote></p><p> Second, remember that not everyone is playing the same game when it comes to the stock market. Someone might make a multimillion-dollar bet, but you don't know their personal financial situation or how long they plan to hold. When it comes to my approach, I'm interested in building adiversified portfolioof stocks that Ihold for many years. This strategy allows me to take advantage of the stock market's upward bias over time and also compensates for my own fallibility. This is the game I think other investors should be playing too.</p><p><blockquote>第二,请记住,在股票市场上,并不是每个人都在玩同样的游戏。有人可能会下数百万美元的赌注,但你不知道他们的个人财务状况,也不知道他们打算持有多久。就我的方法而言,我对建立我持有多年的多元化股票投资组合感兴趣。这种策略让我能够利用股市随着时间的推移而向上的偏差,也弥补了我自己的易错性。我认为其他投资者也应该玩这个游戏。</blockquote></p><p> For the record, I'm a satisfied Skillz shareholder, and I believe it'sa company you should get to know. That said, I'd suggest investors<i>not</i>make rash buying decisions based on social media hype. If Skillz is a great long-term opportunity, it will still be there afteryou've done some research.</p><p><blockquote>郑重声明,我是一个满意的Skillz股东,我相信这是一家你应该了解的公司。也就是说,我建议投资者<i>不</i>根据社交媒体炒作做出鲁莽的购买决定。如果Skillz是一个很好的长期机会,在你做了一些研究后,它仍然会存在。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/31/heres-why-skillz-stock-suddenly-spiked-today/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/31/heres-why-skillz-stock-suddenly-spiked-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139912608","content_text":"Someone just made a multimillion-dollar bet on this company.\n\nWhat happened\nShares of mobile-gaming platform Skillz Inc were trading modestly higher for most of Tuesday's session. But around 1:30 p.m. EDT, the stock suddenly spiked higher, seemingly out of nowhere. As of this writing, the stock is up 12%. After a little digging, it seems that some chatter on social news platform Reddit could be responsible for the jump.\nSo what\nA Reddit user posted that they had purchased $4.8 million in Skillz stock. Normally, I'd be reluctant to mention something like this. But there's no other news from Skillz today. Moreover, the time of the Reddit post roughly corresponds to the jump in Skillz stock. Therefore, this possibility can't be dismissed.\nTo be clear, one Reddit user likely can't move Skillz stock this much on their own. But as we've seen with other stocks in 2021, a strong vote of confidence on Reddit can inspire many other investors to also purchase shares. And this combined effort can cause a stock to make moves.\nNow what\nWondering if you should join the new wave of Skillz investors? I'll leave you with two thoughts. First, I wouldn't recommend ever buying or selling a stock based solely on what someone else is doing. At a minimum, you should know what the company does, and you should have a basic understanding of how its business model can create shareholder value over time.\nSecond, remember that not everyone is playing the same game when it comes to the stock market. Someone might make a multimillion-dollar bet, but you don't know their personal financial situation or how long they plan to hold. When it comes to my approach, I'm interested in building adiversified portfolioof stocks that Ihold for many years. This strategy allows me to take advantage of the stock market's upward bias over time and also compensates for my own fallibility. This is the game I think other investors should be playing too.\nFor the record, I'm a satisfied Skillz shareholder, and I believe it'sa company you should get to know. That said, I'd suggest investorsnotmake rash buying decisions based on social media hype. If Skillz is a great long-term opportunity, it will still be there afteryou've done some research.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SKLZ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811268420,"gmtCreate":1630327600060,"gmtModify":1704958484460,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/811268420","repostId":"2163776380","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813199613,"gmtCreate":1630144164332,"gmtModify":1704956522170,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"E","listText":"E","text":"E","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813199613","repostId":"2162733980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819129557,"gmtCreate":1630046771579,"gmtModify":1704955122042,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819129557","repostId":"2162847016","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810855039,"gmtCreate":1629965898021,"gmtModify":1631892385078,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810855039","repostId":"1124735983","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124735983","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629963478,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1124735983?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-26 15:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir glitch gave unauthorized FBI employees access to data - NY Post<blockquote>Palantir 故障导致未经授权的 FBI 员工访问数据 - 纽约邮报</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124735983","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"A glitch in the default settings of Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR)used by the FBI resulted i","content":"<p>A glitch in the default settings of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> (NYSE:PLTR)used by the FBI resulted in unauthorized agents and analysts viewing case materials for a hacker investigation, according to court document comments from federal prosecutors in New York.</p><p><blockquote>默认设置中的故障<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">帕兰蒂尔技术公司。</a>根据纽约联邦检察官的法庭文件评论,联邦调查局使用的 (NYSE:PLTR) 导致未经授权的特工和分析师查看黑客调查的案件材料。</blockquote></p><p> <i>The New York Post</i> reports that social networking data collected during the investigation of accused hacker Virgil Griffith was entered into the Palantir software under the default settings that permitted access to FBI personal who weren't involved with the case but did have general access to the software.</p><p><blockquote><i>纽约邮报</i>有报道称,在调查被指控的黑客维吉尔·格里菲斯(Virgil Griffith)期间收集的社交网络数据是在默认设置下输入到Palantir软件中的,默认设置允许与此案无关但可以正常访问该软件的联邦调查局人员访问。</blockquote></p><p> The prosecutors say four unauthorized FBI employees accessed the data a few times over more than a year before the problem was discovered. The agents and analysts who accessed the documents don't recall using the materials in other investigations, and the compromised evidence won't be presented during Griffith's trial.</p><p><blockquote>检察官表示,在问题被发现之前的一年多时间里,四名未经授权的联邦调查局雇员多次访问这些数据。访问这些文件的特工和分析师不记得在其他调查中使用过这些材料,在格里菲斯的审判中也不会出示受损的证据。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir (PLTR) shares are currently down 3.6% to $24.19.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir (PLTR) 股价目前下跌 3.6%,至 24.19 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, the data software company reported second-quarter earnings results that topped Wall Street estimates andraised its full-year forecast.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候,这家数据软件公司公布的第二季度盈利结果超出了华尔街的预期,并上调了全年预测。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir glitch gave unauthorized FBI employees access to data - NY Post<blockquote>Palantir 故障导致未经授权的 FBI 员工访问数据 - 纽约邮报</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir glitch gave unauthorized FBI employees access to data - NY Post<blockquote>Palantir 故障导致未经授权的 FBI 员工访问数据 - 纽约邮报</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-26 15:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A glitch in the default settings of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> (NYSE:PLTR)used by the FBI resulted in unauthorized agents and analysts viewing case materials for a hacker investigation, according to court document comments from federal prosecutors in New York.</p><p><blockquote>默认设置中的故障<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">帕兰蒂尔技术公司。</a>根据纽约联邦检察官的法庭文件评论,联邦调查局使用的 (NYSE:PLTR) 导致未经授权的特工和分析师查看黑客调查的案件材料。</blockquote></p><p> <i>The New York Post</i> reports that social networking data collected during the investigation of accused hacker Virgil Griffith was entered into the Palantir software under the default settings that permitted access to FBI personal who weren't involved with the case but did have general access to the software.</p><p><blockquote><i>纽约邮报</i>有报道称,在调查被指控的黑客维吉尔·格里菲斯(Virgil Griffith)期间收集的社交网络数据是在默认设置下输入到Palantir软件中的,默认设置允许与此案无关但可以正常访问该软件的联邦调查局人员访问。</blockquote></p><p> The prosecutors say four unauthorized FBI employees accessed the data a few times over more than a year before the problem was discovered. The agents and analysts who accessed the documents don't recall using the materials in other investigations, and the compromised evidence won't be presented during Griffith's trial.</p><p><blockquote>检察官表示,在问题被发现之前的一年多时间里,四名未经授权的联邦调查局雇员多次访问这些数据。访问这些文件的特工和分析师不记得在其他调查中使用过这些材料,在格里菲斯的审判中也不会出示受损的证据。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir (PLTR) shares are currently down 3.6% to $24.19.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir (PLTR) 股价目前下跌 3.6%,至 24.19 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, the data software company reported second-quarter earnings results that topped Wall Street estimates andraised its full-year forecast.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候,这家数据软件公司公布的第二季度盈利结果超出了华尔街的预期,并上调了全年预测。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3734136-palantir-glitch-gave-unauthorized-fbi-employees-access-to-data-ny-post\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3734136-palantir-glitch-gave-unauthorized-fbi-employees-access-to-data-ny-post","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124735983","content_text":"A glitch in the default settings of Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR)used by the FBI resulted in unauthorized agents and analysts viewing case materials for a hacker investigation, according to court document comments from federal prosecutors in New York.\nThe New York Post reports that social networking data collected during the investigation of accused hacker Virgil Griffith was entered into the Palantir software under the default settings that permitted access to FBI personal who weren't involved with the case but did have general access to the software.\nThe prosecutors say four unauthorized FBI employees accessed the data a few times over more than a year before the problem was discovered. The agents and analysts who accessed the documents don't recall using the materials in other investigations, and the compromised evidence won't be presented during Griffith's trial.\nPalantir (PLTR) shares are currently down 3.6% to $24.19.\nEarlier this month, the data software company reported second-quarter earnings results that topped Wall Street estimates andraised its full-year forecast.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":844,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837847491,"gmtCreate":1629878723513,"gmtModify":1631892385092,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837847491","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":638,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837844117,"gmtCreate":1629878647939,"gmtModify":1631892385109,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575084008680468","authorIdStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837844117","repostId":"1125218103","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125218103","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629876200,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1125218103?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-25 15:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Might Be the Most Important Metric If You Own Apple Stock<blockquote>如果您拥有苹果股票,这可能是最重要的指标</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125218103","media":"Barrons","summary":"Back in April, Goldman Sachs analyst Rod Hall backed away from his long-term bearish stance on Apple","content":"<p>Back in April, Goldman Sachs analyst Rod Hall backed away from his long-term bearish stance on Apple shares, raising his rating to Hold from Sell, and conceding that his previous view that iPhone sales would disappoint during the pandemic was “clearly wrong.” He also conceded at the time that both Mac and iPad sales had materially outperformed his forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>早在今年 4 月,高盛分析师罗德-霍尔(Rod Hall)就放弃了对苹果股票的长期看跌立场,将评级从卖出上调至持有,并承认他之前认为 iPhone 在大流行病期间销量会令人失望的观点 “显然是错误的”。他当时还承认,Mac 和 iPad 的销量都大大超出了他的预测。</blockquote></p><p> But Hall still has some concerns about the outlook for Apple (ticker: AAPL), as reflected in his $140 target price, about $10 below the recent price. For one thing, he thinks Street estimates for next year are simply too high. Hall projects revenue for the September 2021 fiscal year of $371.7 billion, about $5 billion above the Street consensus, and up 35% from fiscal 2020. But he sees fiscal 2022 revenue falling 4% to $356.5 billion, a projection $23 billion below the Street consensus at $379.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但霍尔对苹果(股票代码:AAPL)的前景仍有一些担忧,这反映在他 140 美元的目标价上,比最近的价格低约 10 美元。首先,他认为华尔街对明年的预期实在太高了。霍尔预计 2021 年 9 月财年的收入为 3717 亿美元,比华尔街共识高出约 50 亿美元,比 2020 财年增长 35%。但他预计 2022 财年收入将下降 4%,至 3565 亿美元,比华尔街共识的 3795 亿美元低 230 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Hall provided some insights on this thinking in a new research note on Tuesday, with a particular focus on Apple’s ability to drive up average revenue per user. Hall writes that his broad view of Apple has been that stable revenue per user combined with “maximized” global user penetration is likely to result in slowing overall revenue growth, a view reflected in his fiscal 2022 forecast.</p><p><blockquote>霍尔在周二的一份新研究报告中对这种想法提出了一些见解,特别关注苹果提高每用户平均收入的能力。霍尔写道,他对苹果的大致看法是,稳定的每用户收入加上 “最大化 ”的全球用户渗透率可能会导致整体收入增长放缓,这一观点反映在他的 2022 财年预测中。</blockquote></p><p> But he noted that Covid provided multiple boosts to Apple’s ARPU, which he estimates will increase 21% over the two-year period through the end of 2021. (That reflects his estimate of 19% growth in ARPU in calendar 2021, after 2% growth in 2020.) The impressive growth stems from both surging iPhone, Mac, iPad and Wearables revenue, as well as strong services revenue, due in part to accelerated downloads from the App Store.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出,Covid 为苹果的 ARPU 带来了多重提升,他估计在截至 2021 年底的两年期间,ARPU 将增长 21%。(这反映了他对 2021 年 ARPU 增长 19% 的估计,而 2020 年增长了 2%。)令人印象深刻的增长源于 iPhone、Mac、iPad 和可穿戴设备收入的飙升,以及强劲的服务收入,部分原因是 App Store 的下载速度加快。</blockquote></p><p> But he sees that pattern reversing as spending patterns return to normal over time as the pandemic ebbs.</p><p><blockquote>但他认为,随着疫情的消退,支出模式随着时间的推移恢复正常,这种模式将会逆转。</blockquote></p><p> Hall concedes that it is hard to predict Apple user behavior in the short run. Covid has created some tough comps for Apple, driven by pull-forward in hardware demand, above-average App Store spending and a demonstrated preference for high-end versions of the iPhone and other hardware. He also says investors need to factor in high levels of consumer savings and the increasing value of Apple’s products, as well as more flexible work and study behavior. But he nonetheless thinks that in the long run, Apple will either need to drive up ARPU or accelerate subscriber growth trends to keep revenue growth above GDP growth.</p><p><blockquote>霍尔承认,短期内很难预测苹果用户的行为。在硬件需求的推动、高于平均水平的应用商店支出以及对高端版本 iPhone 和其他硬件的明显偏好的推动下,Covid 为苹果带来了一些艰难的竞争。他还表示,投资者需要考虑到消费者的高水平储蓄和苹果产品不断增长的价值,以及更灵活的工作和学习行为。但他仍然认为,从长远来看,苹果要么需要提高 ARPU,要么需要加速用户增长趋势,以保持收入增长高于 GDP 增长。</blockquote></p><p> For calendar 2022, Hall sees average revenue per user dropping about 12% on a year-over-year basis – due in large part to an expected moderation of hardware sales. He projects iPhone revenue will fall 12% in 2022, following 37% growth in 2021, with units down 3% and average selling prices down 9%. He sees 2022 revenue declines of 9% in Macs and 8% in iPads. And he sees services revenue growth moderating to 6%, from 24% growth in 2021, with a recovery in ad spending partially offsetting tough comparisons for the App Store.</p><p><blockquote>对于 2022 年日历,Hall 预计每用户平均收入将同比下降约 12%,这在很大程度上是由于硬件销售预期放缓。他预计,继 2021 年增长 37% 之后,2022 年 iPhone 收入将下降 12%,销量下降 3%,平均售价下降 9%。他预计 2022 年 Mac 收入将下降 9%,iPad 收入将下降 8%。他预计服务收入增长将从 2021 年的 24% 放缓至 6%,广告支出的复苏部分抵消了 App Store 的艰难比较。</blockquote></p><p> Hall also makes the case that investors would be better off looking at ARPU trends than trying to discern unit volumes, particularly given the company has not actually provided product unit data since the end of fiscal 2018. He thinks given the lack of hard data on units, “the data sources many investors rely on to forecast Apple’s revenue over time have become less accurate.”</p><p><blockquote>霍尔还认为,投资者最好关注 ARPU 趋势,而不是试图辨别单位数量,特别是考虑到该公司自 2018 财年末以来实际上没有提供产品单位数据。他认为,由于缺乏单位的硬数据,“随着时间的推移,许多投资者用来预测苹果收入的数据来源已经变得不那么准确了”。</blockquote></p><p> Apple shares are down a few pennies on Tuesday at $149.62, about $2 below their all-time intraday high at $151.68.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周二下跌几美分,至 149.62 美元,比盘中历史高点 151.68 美元低约 2 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Might Be the Most Important Metric If You Own Apple Stock<blockquote>如果您拥有苹果股票,这可能是最重要的指标</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Might Be the Most Important Metric If You Own Apple Stock<blockquote>如果您拥有苹果股票,这可能是最重要的指标</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-25 15:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Back in April, Goldman Sachs analyst Rod Hall backed away from his long-term bearish stance on Apple shares, raising his rating to Hold from Sell, and conceding that his previous view that iPhone sales would disappoint during the pandemic was “clearly wrong.” He also conceded at the time that both Mac and iPad sales had materially outperformed his forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>早在今年 4 月,高盛分析师罗德-霍尔(Rod Hall)就放弃了对苹果股票的长期看跌立场,将评级从卖出上调至持有,并承认他之前认为 iPhone 在大流行病期间销量会令人失望的观点 “显然是错误的”。他当时还承认,Mac 和 iPad 的销量都大大超出了他的预测。</blockquote></p><p> But Hall still has some concerns about the outlook for Apple (ticker: AAPL), as reflected in his $140 target price, about $10 below the recent price. For one thing, he thinks Street estimates for next year are simply too high. Hall projects revenue for the September 2021 fiscal year of $371.7 billion, about $5 billion above the Street consensus, and up 35% from fiscal 2020. But he sees fiscal 2022 revenue falling 4% to $356.5 billion, a projection $23 billion below the Street consensus at $379.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但霍尔对苹果(股票代码:AAPL)的前景仍有一些担忧,这反映在他 140 美元的目标价上,比最近的价格低约 10 美元。首先,他认为华尔街对明年的预期实在太高了。霍尔预计 2021 年 9 月财年的收入为 3717 亿美元,比华尔街共识高出约 50 亿美元,比 2020 财年增长 35%。但他预计 2022 财年收入将下降 4%,至 3565 亿美元,比华尔街共识的 3795 亿美元低 230 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Hall provided some insights on this thinking in a new research note on Tuesday, with a particular focus on Apple’s ability to drive up average revenue per user. Hall writes that his broad view of Apple has been that stable revenue per user combined with “maximized” global user penetration is likely to result in slowing overall revenue growth, a view reflected in his fiscal 2022 forecast.</p><p><blockquote>霍尔在周二的一份新研究报告中对这种想法提出了一些见解,特别关注苹果提高每用户平均收入的能力。霍尔写道,他对苹果的大致看法是,稳定的每用户收入加上 “最大化 ”的全球用户渗透率可能会导致整体收入增长放缓,这一观点反映在他的 2022 财年预测中。</blockquote></p><p> But he noted that Covid provided multiple boosts to Apple’s ARPU, which he estimates will increase 21% over the two-year period through the end of 2021. (That reflects his estimate of 19% growth in ARPU in calendar 2021, after 2% growth in 2020.) The impressive growth stems from both surging iPhone, Mac, iPad and Wearables revenue, as well as strong services revenue, due in part to accelerated downloads from the App Store.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出,Covid 为苹果的 ARPU 带来了多重提升,他估计在截至 2021 年底的两年期间,ARPU 将增长 21%。(这反映了他对 2021 年 ARPU 增长 19% 的估计,而 2020 年增长了 2%。)令人印象深刻的增长源于 iPhone、Mac、iPad 和可穿戴设备收入的飙升,以及强劲的服务收入,部分原因是 App Store 的下载速度加快。</blockquote></p><p> But he sees that pattern reversing as spending patterns return to normal over time as the pandemic ebbs.</p><p><blockquote>但他认为,随着疫情的消退,支出模式随着时间的推移恢复正常,这种模式将会逆转。</blockquote></p><p> Hall concedes that it is hard to predict Apple user behavior in the short run. Covid has created some tough comps for Apple, driven by pull-forward in hardware demand, above-average App Store spending and a demonstrated preference for high-end versions of the iPhone and other hardware. He also says investors need to factor in high levels of consumer savings and the increasing value of Apple’s products, as well as more flexible work and study behavior. But he nonetheless thinks that in the long run, Apple will either need to drive up ARPU or accelerate subscriber growth trends to keep revenue growth above GDP growth.</p><p><blockquote>霍尔承认,短期内很难预测苹果用户的行为。在硬件需求的推动、高于平均水平的应用商店支出以及对高端版本 iPhone 和其他硬件的明显偏好的推动下,Covid 为苹果带来了一些艰难的竞争。他还表示,投资者需要考虑到消费者的高水平储蓄和苹果产品不断增长的价值,以及更灵活的工作和学习行为。但他仍然认为,从长远来看,苹果要么需要提高 ARPU,要么需要加速用户增长趋势,以保持收入增长高于 GDP 增长。</blockquote></p><p> For calendar 2022, Hall sees average revenue per user dropping about 12% on a year-over-year basis – due in large part to an expected moderation of hardware sales. He projects iPhone revenue will fall 12% in 2022, following 37% growth in 2021, with units down 3% and average selling prices down 9%. He sees 2022 revenue declines of 9% in Macs and 8% in iPads. And he sees services revenue growth moderating to 6%, from 24% growth in 2021, with a recovery in ad spending partially offsetting tough comparisons for the App Store.</p><p><blockquote>对于 2022 年日历,Hall 预计每用户平均收入将同比下降约 12%,这在很大程度上是由于硬件销售预期放缓。他预计,继 2021 年增长 37% 之后,2022 年 iPhone 收入将下降 12%,销量下降 3%,平均售价下降 9%。他预计 2022 年 Mac 收入将下降 9%,iPad 收入将下降 8%。他预计服务收入增长将从 2021 年的 24% 放缓至 6%,广告支出的复苏部分抵消了 App Store 的艰难比较。</blockquote></p><p> Hall also makes the case that investors would be better off looking at ARPU trends than trying to discern unit volumes, particularly given the company has not actually provided product unit data since the end of fiscal 2018. He thinks given the lack of hard data on units, “the data sources many investors rely on to forecast Apple’s revenue over time have become less accurate.”</p><p><blockquote>霍尔还认为,投资者最好关注 ARPU 趋势,而不是试图辨别单位数量,特别是考虑到该公司自 2018 财年末以来实际上没有提供产品单位数据。他认为,由于缺乏单位的硬数据,“随着时间的推移,许多投资者用来预测苹果收入的数据来源已经变得不那么准确了”。</blockquote></p><p> Apple shares are down a few pennies on Tuesday at $149.62, about $2 below their all-time intraday high at $151.68.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周二下跌几美分,至 149.62 美元,比盘中历史高点 151.68 美元低约 2 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-arpu-51629835473?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-arpu-51629835473?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125218103","content_text":"Back in April, Goldman Sachs analyst Rod Hall backed away from his long-term bearish stance on Apple shares, raising his rating to Hold from Sell, and conceding that his previous view that iPhone sales would disappoint during the pandemic was “clearly wrong.” He also conceded at the time that both Mac and iPad sales had materially outperformed his forecasts.\nBut Hall still has some concerns about the outlook for Apple (ticker: AAPL), as reflected in his $140 target price, about $10 below the recent price. For one thing, he thinks Street estimates for next year are simply too high. Hall projects revenue for the September 2021 fiscal year of $371.7 billion, about $5 billion above the Street consensus, and up 35% from fiscal 2020. But he sees fiscal 2022 revenue falling 4% to $356.5 billion, a projection $23 billion below the Street consensus at $379.5 billion.\nHall provided some insights on this thinking in a new research note on Tuesday, with a particular focus on Apple’s ability to drive up average revenue per user. Hall writes that his broad view of Apple has been that stable revenue per user combined with “maximized” global user penetration is likely to result in slowing overall revenue growth, a view reflected in his fiscal 2022 forecast.\nBut he noted that Covid provided multiple boosts to Apple’s ARPU, which he estimates will increase 21% over the two-year period through the end of 2021. (That reflects his estimate of 19% growth in ARPU in calendar 2021, after 2% growth in 2020.) The impressive growth stems from both surging iPhone, Mac, iPad and Wearables revenue, as well as strong services revenue, due in part to accelerated downloads from the App Store.\nBut he sees that pattern reversing as spending patterns return to normal over time as the pandemic ebbs.\nHall concedes that it is hard to predict Apple user behavior in the short run. Covid has created some tough comps for Apple, driven by pull-forward in hardware demand, above-average App Store spending and a demonstrated preference for high-end versions of the iPhone and other hardware. He also says investors need to factor in high levels of consumer savings and the increasing value of Apple’s products, as well as more flexible work and study behavior. But he nonetheless thinks that in the long run, Apple will either need to drive up ARPU or accelerate subscriber growth trends to keep revenue growth above GDP growth.\nFor calendar 2022, Hall sees average revenue per user dropping about 12% on a year-over-year basis – due in large part to an expected moderation of hardware sales. He projects iPhone revenue will fall 12% in 2022, following 37% growth in 2021, with units down 3% and average selling prices down 9%. He sees 2022 revenue declines of 9% in Macs and 8% in iPads. And he sees services revenue growth moderating to 6%, from 24% growth in 2021, with a recovery in ad spending partially offsetting tough comparisons for the App Store.\nHall also makes the case that investors would be better off looking at ARPU trends than trying to discern unit volumes, particularly given the company has not actually provided product unit data since the end of fiscal 2018. He thinks given the lack of hard data on units, “the data sources many investors rely on to forecast Apple’s revenue over time have become less accurate.”\nApple shares are down a few pennies on Tuesday at $149.62, about $2 below their all-time intraday high at $151.68.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":867921523,"gmtCreate":1633189669775,"gmtModify":1633189669935,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575084008680468","idStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867921523","repostId":"2172331961","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":805204875,"gmtCreate":1627880862797,"gmtModify":1633755635890,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575084008680468","idStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"WA","listText":"WA","text":"WA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805204875","repostId":"1170689665","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170689665","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627857540,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1170689665?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170689665","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Dig","content":"<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩游行本周继续。除了数百家小盘股公司外,还有不少于 143 家标普500公司正在提交报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software 和 Simon Property Group 将于周一启动。随后,Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股公司、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙:通用汽车、优步科技、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银均有报道。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna 和 ViacomCBS 将于周四关闭,DraftKings、Canopy Growth 和 Tripadvisor 将于周五关闭本周。中国教育公司新东方教育科技集团公司和好未来教育集团取消了原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局(Bureau of Labor Statistics)预计,继 6 月份的 85 万人之后,7 月份非农就业人数将增加 62.5 万人。失业率略低于6%。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周一公布的美国供应管理协会(Institute for Supply Management)7 月份制造业采购经理人指数,随后是周三公布的服务业同等指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都将达到 61 左右,这将意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一 8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett & Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、Heineken、Trex、Ferrari、Ultra Clean Holdings 和 Simon Property Group 预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股 104 美元,周五收盘价为 12.95 美元。该公司于周五晚上完成了 1 比 8 的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b> Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布 7 月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍估计读数为 60.8,高于 6 月份的 60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份的建筑支出。继 5 月份下降 0.3% 后,预计环比增长 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>伊顿、英国石油公司、安德玛、Lyft、高乐氏、安进、Akamai Technologies、康明斯、礼来公司、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股公司、Nikola、EnPro Industries、华纳音乐集团、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、邓白氏控股公司、康菲石油公司和 Jacobs Engineering Group 在评级举办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告六月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测,本月订单增长1.0%,而5月份增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>索尼集团、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、通用汽车、Progressive、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Uber Technologies、Roku、米高梅国际酒店集团、福克斯和 Re/Max Holdings 预计将主办财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告 7 月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1530 万辆,而 6 月份为 1540 万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b> its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业采购经理人指数。一致估计读数为 60.8,而 6 月份的读数为 60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b> its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>其7月份的全国就业报告。普遍估计,继 6 月份增加 692,000 人之后,非农私营部门就业人数将增加 635,000 人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman & Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五 8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b> for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS 发布就业报告</b>七月。经济学家预测,继6月份增加85万人之后,非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、Tripadvisor、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.W。Scripps、Cinemark Holdings 和 Manitowoc 主办评级会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 06:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩游行本周继续。除了数百家小盘股公司外,还有不少于 143 家标普500公司正在提交报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software 和 Simon Property Group 将于周一启动。随后,Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股公司、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙:通用汽车、优步科技、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银均有报道。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna 和 ViacomCBS 将于周四关闭,DraftKings、Canopy Growth 和 Tripadvisor 将于周五关闭本周。中国教育公司新东方教育科技集团公司和好未来教育集团取消了原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局(Bureau of Labor Statistics)预计,继 6 月份的 85 万人之后,7 月份非农就业人数将增加 62.5 万人。失业率略低于6%。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括周一公布的美国供应管理协会(Institute for Supply Management)7 月份制造业采购经理人指数,随后是周三公布的服务业同等指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都将达到 61 左右,这将意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一 8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett & Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、Heineken、Trex、Ferrari、Ultra Clean Holdings 和 Simon Property Group 预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股 104 美元,周五收盘价为 12.95 美元。该公司于周五晚上完成了 1 比 8 的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b> Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布 7 月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍估计读数为 60.8,高于 6 月份的 60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份的建筑支出。继 5 月份下降 0.3% 后,预计环比增长 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>伊顿、英国石油公司、安德玛、Lyft、高乐氏、安进、Akamai Technologies、康明斯、礼来公司、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股公司、Nikola、EnPro Industries、华纳音乐集团、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、邓白氏控股公司、康菲石油公司和 Jacobs Engineering Group 在评级举办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告六月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测,本月订单增长1.0%,而5月份增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>索尼集团、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、通用汽车、Progressive、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Uber Technologies、Roku、米高梅国际酒店集团、福克斯和 Re/Max Holdings 预计将主办财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告 7 月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节性调整后的年增长率为 1530 万辆,而 6 月份为 1540 万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b> its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业采购经理人指数。一致估计读数为 60.8,而 6 月份的读数为 60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b> its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>其7月份的全国就业报告。普遍估计,继 6 月份增加 692,000 人之后,非农私营部门就业人数将增加 635,000 人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman & Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五 8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b> for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS 发布就业报告</b>七月。经济学家预测,继6月份增加85万人之后,非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、Tripadvisor、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.W。Scripps、Cinemark Holdings 和 Manitowoc 主办评级会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ROKU":"Roku Inc",".DJI":"道琼斯","GE":"GE航空航天","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","GM":"通用汽车","UBER":"优步","EA":"艺电",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170689665","content_text":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.\nWednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.\n\nThe highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.\nOther data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.\nMonday 8/2\nCNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.\nGE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.\nThe Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.\nThe Census Bureau reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.\nTuesday 8/3\nEaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.\nThe Census Bureau is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.\nWednesday 8/4\nSony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.\nThe ISM releases its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.\nADP releases its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.\nThursday 8/5\nZillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.\nFriday 8/6\nThe BLS releases the jobs report for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.\nDraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ROKU":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"BABA":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GE":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"VIAC":0.9,"EA":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880318167,"gmtCreate":1631019306559,"gmtModify":1631890455858,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575084008680468","idStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880318167","repostId":"1169993498","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891760905,"gmtCreate":1628430458407,"gmtModify":1633747182319,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575084008680468","idStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wa","listText":"Wa","text":"Wa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891760905","repostId":"1159872041","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159872041","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628385224,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1159872041?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-08 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票:走向 1,200 美元?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159872041","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.It's been a wild year for Teslastock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500's 18% gain this year.In February,Piper Sandler analys","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.</li> <li>Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.</li> <li>Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.</li> </ul> It's been a wild year for <b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the <b>S&P 500</b>'s 18% gain this year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉第二季度交付量同比增长一倍多。</li><li>对电动汽车不断增长的需求可能会使特斯拉受益。</li><li>投资者在谈到分析师的目标价时应谨慎。</li></ul>这是疯狂的一年<b>特斯拉</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:TSLA)股票。今年年初,股价最初飙升超过 20%。但该股现在已经回吐了所有这些涨幅,今年迄今为止的回报率为负 1%。这意味着该股的表现明显逊于<b>标普500</b>今年增长了 18%。</blockquote></p><p> But one analyst thinks the stock could take off.</p><p><blockquote>但一位分析师认为该股可能会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"We still really like this stock.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。”</b></blockquote></p><p> In February,<b>Piper Sandler</b> analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.</p><p><blockquote>二月份,<b>派珀·桑德勒</b>分析师 Alexander Potter 做出了大胆的看涨期权,将 The Growth 股票的 12 个月目标价从 515 美元上调至 1,200 美元。他表示,特斯拉的交付量可能会从 2020 年的 50 万辆增加到今年的近 90 万辆。当然,这一预测是在全球供应短缺恶化之前做出的。然而,特斯拉发展极其迅速。该公司第二季度的交付量比去年同期增加了一倍多,达到 201,304 辆。</blockquote></p><p> Following Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上月底发布第二季度财报后,该分析师重申了这一目标,并指出该公司似乎有望从市场份额增长、公司自动驾驶软件的货币化以及特斯拉能源业务中“被低估的机会”中受益。业务,其中包括电池储能和太阳能发电产品的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.</p><p><blockquote>此外,波特指出,特斯拉第二季度营业利润率强劲,高达 11%,他预计特斯拉最近推出的 Autopilot 订阅服务将逐步改善这一利润率。</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.</p><p><blockquote>8 月 3 日,波特再次重申了该股的跑赢大盘评级和 1,200 美元的目标价,并表示“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票”。他指出,总体而言,对电池电动汽车的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what gives?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么什么给出了呢?</b></blockquote></p><p> If shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.</p><p><blockquote>如果股价真的可以上涨到 1,200 美元,为什么这么多投资者似乎认为该股票的价值如此之低(基于撰写本文时该股票的价格略低于 700 美元)。毕竟,如果投资者普遍认为特斯拉股票在未来 12 个月内可能达到 1,200 美元,那么今天的股价将大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.</p><p><blockquote>问题归结为该股的前瞻性估值。截至撰写本文时,特斯拉股票的市盈率约为 370,预计未来几年将实现强劲增长。由于该公司的估值主要基于遥远未来的利润,因此对特斯拉未来增长轨迹的看法略有不同,就会对当今该股的内在价值产生截然不同的假设。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者不应仅仅因为一位分析师对股票设定了较高的目标价就迅速购买特斯拉股票。尽管如此,波特对特斯拉强劲的业务势头确实有一些优点。就连特斯拉本身也重申了今年汽车交付量增长 50% 以上的指导,而这一指导是在世界各地许多公司(包括特斯拉)受到供应链短缺负面影响之际提供的。此外,特斯拉管理层在第二季度更新中指出,第三季度对其汽车的需求创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> While a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然特斯拉股票 1,200 美元的目标价很难证明其合理性,但股价可能足够低,投资者可以开始少量持有该股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票:走向 1,200 美元?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock: Headed to $1,200?<blockquote>特斯拉股票:走向 1,200 美元?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-08 09:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Tesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.</li> <li>Rising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.</li> <li>Investors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.</li> </ul> It's been a wild year for <b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the <b>S&P 500</b>'s 18% gain this year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉第二季度交付量同比增长一倍多。</li><li>对电动汽车不断增长的需求可能会使特斯拉受益。</li><li>投资者在谈到分析师的目标价时应谨慎。</li></ul>这是疯狂的一年<b>特斯拉</b>(纳斯达克股票代码:TSLA)股票。今年年初,股价最初飙升超过 20%。但该股现在已经回吐了所有这些涨幅,今年迄今为止的回报率为负 1%。这意味着该股的表现明显逊于<b>标普500</b>今年增长了 18%。</blockquote></p><p> But one analyst thinks the stock could take off.</p><p><blockquote>但一位分析师认为该股可能会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"We still really like this stock.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票。”</b></blockquote></p><p> In February,<b>Piper Sandler</b> analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.</p><p><blockquote>二月份,<b>派珀·桑德勒</b>分析师 Alexander Potter 做出了大胆的看涨期权,将 The Growth 股票的 12 个月目标价从 515 美元上调至 1,200 美元。他表示,特斯拉的交付量可能会从 2020 年的 50 万辆增加到今年的近 90 万辆。当然,这一预测是在全球供应短缺恶化之前做出的。然而,特斯拉发展极其迅速。该公司第二季度的交付量比去年同期增加了一倍多,达到 201,304 辆。</blockquote></p><p> Following Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上月底发布第二季度财报后,该分析师重申了这一目标,并指出该公司似乎有望从市场份额增长、公司自动驾驶软件的货币化以及特斯拉能源业务中“被低估的机会”中受益。业务,其中包括电池储能和太阳能发电产品的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.</p><p><blockquote>此外,波特指出,特斯拉第二季度营业利润率强劲,高达 11%,他预计特斯拉最近推出的 Autopilot 订阅服务将逐步改善这一利润率。</blockquote></p><p> On Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.</p><p><blockquote>8 月 3 日,波特再次重申了该股的跑赢大盘评级和 1,200 美元的目标价,并表示“我们仍然非常喜欢这只股票”。他指出,总体而言,对电池电动汽车的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what gives?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么什么给出了呢?</b></blockquote></p><p> If shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.</p><p><blockquote>如果股价真的可以上涨到 1,200 美元,为什么这么多投资者似乎认为该股票的价值如此之低(基于撰写本文时该股票的价格略低于 700 美元)。毕竟,如果投资者普遍认为特斯拉股票在未来 12 个月内可能达到 1,200 美元,那么今天的股价将大幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.</p><p><blockquote>问题归结为该股的前瞻性估值。截至撰写本文时,特斯拉股票的市盈率约为 370,预计未来几年将实现强劲增长。由于该公司的估值主要基于遥远未来的利润,因此对特斯拉未来增长轨迹的看法略有不同,就会对当今该股的内在价值产生截然不同的假设。</blockquote></p><p> Investors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.</p><p><blockquote>因此,投资者不应仅仅因为一位分析师对股票设定了较高的目标价就迅速购买特斯拉股票。尽管如此,波特对特斯拉强劲的业务势头确实有一些优点。就连特斯拉本身也重申了今年汽车交付量增长 50% 以上的指导,而这一指导是在世界各地许多公司(包括特斯拉)受到供应链短缺负面影响之际提供的。此外,特斯拉管理层在第二季度更新中指出,第三季度对其汽车的需求创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> While a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然特斯拉股票 1,200 美元的目标价很难证明其合理性,但股价可能足够低,投资者可以开始少量持有该股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/07/tesla-stock-headed-to-1200/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/07/tesla-stock-headed-to-1200/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159872041","content_text":"Key Points\n\nTesla deliveries more than doubled year over year in Q2.\nRising demand for electric vehicles could benefit Tesla.\nInvestors should exercise caution when it comes to analysts' price targets.\n\nIt's been a wild year for Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)stock. When the year started, shares initially surged more than 20%. But the stock has now given up all of those gains, with a year-to-date return of negative 1%. This means the stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500's 18% gain this year.\nBut one analyst thinks the stock could take off.\n\"We still really like this stock.\"\nIn February,Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Pottermade a bold call, boosting his 12-month price target for thegrowth stockfrom $515 to $1,200. He said Tesla deliveries could increase from 500,000 vehicles in 2020 to nearly 900,000 this year. Of course, this projection was made before global supply shortages worsened. Nevertheless, Tesla is growing extremely rapidly. The company's second-quarter deliveries more than doubled compared to the year-ago quarter, rising to 201,304.\nFollowing Tesla's second-quarter earnings release late last month, the analyst reiterated this target, noting that the company looks poised to benefit from market share gains, the monetization of the company's Autopilot software, and \"underappreciated opportunities\" in Tesla's energy business, which includes revenue from battery energy storage and solar energy generation products.\nFurther, Potter pointed to Tesla's strong second-quarter operating margin of 11%, which he expects will see incremental improvement from Tesla's recently launched Autopilot subscription.\nOn Aug. 3, Potter once again reiterated an overweight rating on the stock and a $1,200 price target, saying \"We still really like this stock.\" He pointed to growing demand for battery electric vehicles overall.\nSo what gives?\nIf shares could truly rise to $1,200, why do so many investors seem to think the stock is worth so much less (based on the stock's price of just under $700 at the time of this writing). After all, if $1,200 was generally viewed by investors as a likely outcome for Tesla stock within the next 12 months, shares would be trading significantly higher today.\nThe issue boils down to the stock's forward-looking valuation. With a price-to-earnings ratio of about 370 at the time of this writing, Tesla shares are largely priced for strong growth for years to come. Since the company's valuation is based largely on profits far into the future, slight variances in views for Tesla's future growth trajectory yield dramatically different assumptions about the stock's intrinsic value today.\nInvestors, therefore, shouldn't be quick to buy Tesla stock just because one analyst has a high price target for shares. Still, Potter does notably have some good points about Tesla's strong business momentum. Even Tesla itself reiterated guidance for vehicle deliveries to grow more than 50% this year -- and that guidance was provided during a time that many companies around the world (including Tesla) are negatively impacted by supply chain shortages. Further, Tesla management noted in its second-quarter update that demand for its vehicles was at an all-time high going into Q3.\nWhile a $1,200 price target for Tesla stock would be difficult to justify, shares may be trading low enough for investors to start a small position in the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890743907,"gmtCreate":1628137274609,"gmtModify":1633753218574,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575084008680468","idStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890743907","repostId":"1177429885","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804739439,"gmtCreate":1627978877721,"gmtModify":1633754698354,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575084008680468","idStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804739439","repostId":"1121774126","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100131875,"gmtCreate":1619587416497,"gmtModify":1634211521539,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575084008680468","idStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100131875","repostId":"1124091974","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814500808,"gmtCreate":1630835483804,"gmtModify":1631890455858,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575084008680468","idStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814500808","repostId":"1157895022","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157895022","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630810619,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1157895022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-05 10:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场,该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157895022","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do ","content":"<p> <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b> Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯-霍华德(Vance Howard)的 HCM 战术增长基金(Tactical Growwth Fund)会让你在谨慎的情况下进出股市。到目前为止,他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经取得了成效。</b>想象一下,当你坐下来享受生活时,你有一台赚钱机器在股市上收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>这是每个人的梦想,对吧?投资者万斯-霍华德认为他找到了答案。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>佐治亚州罗斯威尔的霍华德资本管理公司的霍华德和他的一小群计算机程序员。,有一个量化系统,发布巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据,他的 HCM 战术增长基金 HCMGX,+0.35% 在过去五年中以年化计算比其罗素 1000 基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出 8.5-10.4 个百分点。这不是一个小壮举,不仅仅是因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场根本不容易。他的 HCM 股息板块 PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) 和 HCM 收入 PlusHCMLX,+0.30% 基金表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点,我在下面详细介绍。(其中:潜在的长期表现不佳和定期税单。)但首先,我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么?</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化者从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节,但霍华德分享了很多细节,你会看到的。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于 “马感 ”的好建议--考虑到他对市场有着极具感染力的热情,以及他三十年的职业牧场主经验,这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12 只交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和 4 只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课:不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化注定了我们会失败。为了生存,我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪,以在可能很长一段时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场上,出于恐惧和贪婪的情绪行事总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出,顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样,我们也相信与人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马,那么如果你单独行动,就更有可能被捕食者叼走。这里的问题是成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——把我们愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人们会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入人群时,你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做好,你必须抵消这些趋势。“霍华德说:”个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是情绪化。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课:建立一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>要驱除情绪,要有一个系统。“霍华德说:”不要事后猜测。“这让你不会让大流行病或阿富汗把你吓出市场”。他评级了他的系统HCM-BuyLine。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——在市场上通常效果很好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先,霍华德没有使用标准普尔 500SPX(-0.03%)或道琼斯工业平均指数(-0.21%),而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时,他卖出35%。如果下跌 6.5%,他就再卖出 35%。他很少使用100%的现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果买盘是积极的,无论如何我们都会长期持有。“我们让数学来决定,就能把所有的情绪都排除在外”。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前,情况看涨。(更多内容见下文。)</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统也必须告诉你什么时候回来。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这就是大多数人搞砸的地方。“他们退出了市场,却不知道什么时候才能重新进来”。当他的自定义指数连续六个交易日交易高于其移动平均线时,HCM-BuyLine 会发出买入信号,然后继续交易高于这六天的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个能准确预测评级市场顶部或底部的系统。相反,买入线让霍华德在 85% 的时间里远离下跌市场,在 85% 的好时机里则保持下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果我们能坚持不懈地做到这一点,我们就能获得更高的回报,生活压力也会更小。“在糟糕的录音带中全神贯注并不好玩”。</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢,但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定会让他离开。他经常买入这些回调。快速回归是有意义的,因为底部的复苏往往会很快发生。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德说:”HCM-BuyLine 消除了整个过程中的所有情绪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课:不要与磁带对抗</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂-茨威格(Marty Zweig)经典著作《华尔街的胜利》(Winning on Wall Street)的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德同意道:”你必须站在市场的正确一边。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中进行多头交易,那将是痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”有时候,不赔钱才是你想要的。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样,不要因为市场创下新高--比如现在--就变得谨慎。你应该喜欢新高,因为这是市场力量可能会持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第4课:保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的,霍华德并不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥的工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说是令人耳目一新的,因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”你不必交易疯狂的东西。“你可以交易普通的 ETF,击败所有人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课:如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做多。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine 非常积极。我们百分之百同意,”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。这变得非常令人兴奋。我们认为市场不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有的现金都在观望。“如果科维德有任何缓解,我们可能会看到一场大反弹。我们最终可能会迎来一个伟大的秋季[赛季]。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德还使用动量指标来选择股票和 ETF。对于行业,他倾向于以下几种。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健,可通过 iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04% 和 ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12% ETF 进行交易。他越来越看好生物技术,他通过 iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB 投资生物技术,-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过 iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC 交易的非必需消费品, -0.30%, 以及通过 US Global JetsJETS 交易的航空公司, -1.17%.他还喜欢通过 Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%、iShares US TechnologyYYW,+0.50% 和 iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75% 进行科技投资。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他通过 Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07% 看好小盘股。以及通过 SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities CWB,+0.64% 和 iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37% 看好可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个股,他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果APL(+0.42%),以及亚马逊.comAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>还可以考虑霍华德的两只 ETF: HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%,HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌 1%-3% 时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的 HCM 战术增长基金自 2015 年推出以来,曾连续两年表现不佳,表现在 1.5% 至 8.8% 之间。随后,该基金强势回归,实现了上述非常积极的五年业绩。投资他的系统可能需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说,包括沃伦·巴菲特在内的每个经理都可能经历一段时间的表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”我们正处于胜算之中。“即使在赔率游戏中,你也可能有一两手烂牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率,战术增长每年为140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景里得到了很大的削减。因此,如果您购买霍华德的基金,您可能需要在税收保护账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场,该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeat the market with this quant system that’s very bullish on stocks at record highs<blockquote>利用这个量化系统战胜市场,该系统非常看好创纪录高点的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-05 10:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.</b> Imagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.</p><p><blockquote><b>万斯-霍华德(Vance Howard)的 HCM 战术增长基金(Tactical Growwth Fund)会让你在谨慎的情况下进出股市。到目前为止,他的计算机科学家团队的策略已经取得了成效。</b>想象一下,当你坐下来享受生活时,你有一台赚钱机器在股市上收获收益。</blockquote></p><p> That’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.</p><p><blockquote>这是每个人的梦想,对吧?投资者万斯-霍华德认为他找到了答案。</blockquote></p><p> Howard and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.</p><p><blockquote>佐治亚州罗斯威尔的霍华德资本管理公司的霍华德和他的一小群计算机程序员。,有一个量化系统,发布巨大的回报。</blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.</p><p><blockquote>根据晨星公司的数据,他的 HCM 战术增长基金 HCMGX,+0.35% 在过去五年中以年化计算比其罗素 1000 基准指数和大型混合基金类别高出 8.5-10.4 个百分点。这不是一个小壮举,不仅仅是因为它必须克服2.22%的费用。战胜市场根本不容易。他的 HCM 股息板块 PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) 和 HCM 收入 PlusHCMLX,+0.30% 基金表现类似。</blockquote></p><p> There are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?</p><p><blockquote>有缺点,我在下面详细介绍。(其中:潜在的长期表现不佳和定期税单。)但首先,我们能从这位赢家身上学到什么?</blockquote></p><p> So-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.</p><p><blockquote>所谓的量化者从不分享他们专有系统的所有细节,但霍华德分享了很多细节,你会看到的。这位德克萨斯州牧场主有很多基于 “马感 ”的好建议--考虑到他对市场有着极具感染力的热情,以及他三十年的职业牧场主经验,这并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Here are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.</p><p><blockquote>以下是最近对他的采访中的五个教训、12 只交易所交易基金 (ETF) 和 4 只值得考虑的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #1: Don’t be emotional</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一课:不要情绪化</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.</p><p><blockquote>难怪这么多人在市场上表现不佳。进化注定了我们会失败。为了生存,我们学会了逃避让我们害怕的事情。渴望更多令人愉快的东西——比如甜食或脂肪,以在可能很长一段时间没有食物之前储存卡路里。但在市场上,出于恐惧和贪婪的情绪行事总是会让我们在错误的时间做错误的事情。底部卖出,顶部买入。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.</p><p><blockquote>同样,我们也相信与人群在一起会带来安全。如果你是稀树草原上的斑马,那么如果你单独行动,就更有可能被捕食者叼走。这里的问题是成为人群的一部分——以及人群心理——把我们愚蠢到纯粹的情感层面。这就是为什么人群中的人们会做他们自己永远不会做的可怕事情。你有多聪明并不重要。当你加入人群时,你会失去很多智商点。基本情绪占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> To do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”</p><p><blockquote>要想在市场上做好,你必须抵消这些趋势。“霍华德说:”个人投资者和基金经理犯的最大错误之一就是情绪化。“放下你的情绪。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #2: Have a system and stick to it</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第二课:建立一个系统并坚持下去</b></blockquote></p><p> To exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.</p><p><blockquote>要驱除情绪,要有一个系统。“霍华德说:”不要事后猜测。“这让你不会让大流行病或阿富汗把你吓出市场”。他评级了他的系统HCM-BuyLine。它基本上是一个动量和趋势跟踪系统——在市场上通常效果很好。</blockquote></p><p> The HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.</p><p><blockquote>HCM-BuyLine基本上是这样工作的。首先,霍华德没有使用标准普尔 500SPX(-0.03%)或道琼斯工业平均指数(-0.21%),而是混合了几个股票指数来创建自己的指数。然后他使用移动平均线来告诉他市场是处于上升趋势还是下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> When the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.</p><p><blockquote>当移动平均线下跌3.5%时,他卖出35%。如果下跌 6.5%,他就再卖出 35%。他很少使用100%的现金。</blockquote></p><p> “If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果买盘是积极的,无论如何我们都会长期持有。“我们让数学来决定,就能把所有的情绪都排除在外”。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)</p><p><blockquote>目前,情况看涨。(更多内容见下文。)</blockquote></p><p> Your system also has to tell you when to get back in.</p><p><blockquote>你的系统也必须告诉你什么时候回来。</blockquote></p><p> “That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这就是大多数人搞砸的地方。“他们退出了市场,却不知道什么时候才能重新进来”。当他的自定义指数连续六个交易日交易高于其移动平均线时,HCM-BuyLine 会发出买入信号,然后继续交易高于这六天的高点。</blockquote></p><p> You don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.</p><p><blockquote>你不需要一个能准确预测评级市场顶部或底部的系统。相反,买入线让霍华德在 85% 的时间里远离下跌市场,在 85% 的好时机里则保持下跌。</blockquote></p><p> “If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”如果我们能坚持不懈地做到这一点,我们就能获得更高的回报,生活压力也会更小。“在糟糕的录音带中全神贯注并不好玩”。</blockquote></p><p> His system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.</p><p><blockquote>他的系统让他退出市场很慢,但让他回来很快。即使是10%的修正也不一定会让他离开。他经常买入这些回调。快速回归是有意义的,因为底部的复苏往往会很快发生。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德说:”HCM-BuyLine 消除了整个过程中的所有情绪。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #3: Don’t fight the tape</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第三课:不要与磁带对抗</b></blockquote></p><p> This concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”</p><p><blockquote>这一概念是马蒂-茨威格(Marty Zweig)经典著作《华尔街的胜利》(Winning on Wall Street)的核心智慧之一。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”</p><p><blockquote>“霍华德同意道:”你必须站在市场的正确一边。“如果你试图在糟糕的市场中进行多头交易,那将是痛苦的。”</blockquote></p><p> In other words, don’t try to be a hero.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,不要试图成为英雄。</blockquote></p><p> “Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”有时候,不赔钱才是你想要的。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.</p><p><blockquote>同样,不要因为市场创下新高--比如现在--就变得谨慎。你应该喜欢新高,因为这是市场力量可能会持续的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #4: Keep it simple</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第4课:保持简单</b></blockquote></p><p> As you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.</p><p><blockquote>正如您将在下面看到的,霍华德并不使用衍生品、掉期或指数期权等深奥的工具。他甚至不交易外国股票或货币。这对个人投资者来说是令人耳目一新的,因为我们更难获得这些工具。</blockquote></p><p> “You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”你不必交易疯狂的东西。“你可以交易普通的 ETF,击败所有人”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lesson #5: How to trade the current market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第5课:如何交易当前市场</b></blockquote></p><p> First, be long.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做多。</blockquote></p><p> “The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”</p><p><blockquote>“HCM-BuyLine 非常积极。我们百分之百同意,”霍华德说。“市场正在扩大。这变得非常令人兴奋。我们认为市场不会很快好转。我们正在买入回调。”</blockquote></p><p> One bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”</p><p><blockquote>一个看涨信号是所有的现金都在观望。“如果科维德有任何缓解,我们可能会看到一场大反弹。我们最终可能会迎来一个伟大的秋季[赛季]。”</blockquote></p><p> Howard uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德还使用动量指标来选择股票和 ETF。对于行业,他倾向于以下几种。</blockquote></p><p> He likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢医疗保健,可通过 iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04% 和 ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12% ETF 进行交易。他越来越看好生物技术,他通过 iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB 投资生物技术,-0.11%。</blockquote></p><p> He likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.</p><p><blockquote>他喜欢通过 iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC 交易的非必需消费品, -0.30%, 以及通过 US Global JetsJETS 交易的航空公司, -1.17%.他还喜欢通过 Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%、iShares US TechnologyYYW,+0.50% 和 iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75% 进行科技投资。</blockquote></p><p> He likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.</p><p><blockquote>他通过 Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07% 看好小盘股。以及通过 SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities CWB,+0.64% 和 iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37% 看好可转换债券。</blockquote></p><p> As for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.</p><p><blockquote>至于个股,他特别提到了科技股中的微软MSFT(-0.00%)和苹果APL(+0.42%),以及亚马逊.comAMZN(+0.43%)和特斯拉TSLA(+0.16%)。</blockquote></p><p> Also consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.</p><p><blockquote>还可以考虑霍华德的两只 ETF: HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%,HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%。</blockquote></p><p> He prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.</p><p><blockquote>他更喜欢在下跌 1%-3% 时增持。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A few drawbacks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些缺点</b></blockquote></p><p> His HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.</p><p><blockquote>他的 HCM 战术增长基金自 2015 年推出以来,曾连续两年表现不佳,表现在 1.5% 至 8.8% 之间。随后,该基金强势回归,实现了上述非常积极的五年业绩。投资他的系统可能需要耐心。</blockquote></p><p> Every manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.</p><p><blockquote>霍华德说,包括沃伦·巴菲特在内的每个经理都可能经历一段时间的表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> “We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”我们正处于胜算之中。“即使在赔率游戏中,你也可能有一两手烂牌。”</blockquote></p><p> Another challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.</p><p><blockquote>另一个挑战是高流动率,战术增长每年为140%。这意味着山姆大叔在好年景里得到了很大的削减。因此,如果您购买霍华德的基金,您可能需要在税收保护账户中购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/beat-the-market-with-this-quant-system-thats-very-bullish-on-stocks-at-record-highs-11630761531?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157895022","content_text":"Vance Howard’s HCM Tactical Growth Fund moves you in and out of the stock market when prudent to do so. So far his team of computer scientists’ strategy has paid off.\n\nImagine you had a money-making machine to harvest gains in the stock market while you sat back to enjoy life.\nThat’s everyone’s dream, right? Investor Vance Howard thinks he’s found it.\nHoward and his small army of computer programmers atHoward Capital Managementin Roswell, Ga., have a quantitative system that posts great returns.\nHis HCM Tactical Growth Fund HCMGX,+0.35%beats its Russell 1000 benchmark index and large-blend fund category by 8.5-10.4 percentage points annualized over the past five years, according to Morningstar. That is no small feat, and not only because it has to overcome a 2.22% fee. Beating the market is simply not easy. His HCM Dividend Sector PlusHCMQX,-0.05%) and HCM Income PlusHCMLX,+0.30%funds post similar outperformance.\nThere are drawbacks, which I detail below. (Among them: Potentially long stretches of underperformance and regular tax bills.) But first, what can we learn from this winner?\nSo-called quants never share all the details of their proprietary systems, but Howard shares a lot, as you’ll see. And this Texas rancher has a lot of good advice based on “horse sense” — not surprising, given his infectious passion for the markets, and his three decades of experience as a pro.\nHere are five lessons, 12 exchange traded funds (ETFs) and four stocks to consider, from a recent interview with him.\nLesson #1: Don’t be emotional\nIt’s no surprise so many people do poorly in the market. Evolution has programmed us to fail. For survival, we’ve learned to run from things that frightens us. And crave more of things that are pleasurable — like sweets or fats to store calories ahead of what might be a long stretch without food. But in the market, acting on the emotions of fear and greed invariably make us do the wrong thing at the wrong time. Sell at the bottom, buy at the top.\nLikewise, we’re programmed to believe being with the crowd brings safety. If you’re a zebra on the Savanna, you are more likely to get picked off by a predator if you go it alone. The problem here is being part of a crowd — and crowd psychology — dumb us down to a purely emotional level. This is why people in crowds do terrible things they would never do on their own. It doesn’t matter how smart you are. When you join a crowd, you lose a lot of IQ points. Base emotions take over.\nTo do well in the market, you have to counteract these tendencies. “One of the biggest mistakes individual investors and money managers make is getting emotional,” says Howard. “Let your emotions go.”\nLesson #2: Have a system and stick to it\nTo exorcise emotion, have a system. “And don’t second guess it,” says Howard. “This keeps you from letting the pandemic or Afghanistan scare you out of the market.” He calls his system the HCM-BuyLine. It is basically a momentum and trend-following system — which often works well in the markets.\nThe HCM-BuyLine basically works like this. First, rather than use the S&P 500SPX,-0.03%or the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.21%,Howard blends several stock indices to create his own index. Then he uses a moving average that tells him whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.\nWhen the moving average drops 3.5%, he sells 35%. If it drops 6.5%, he sells another 35%. He rarely goes to 100% cash.\n“If the BuyLine is positive, we will stay long no matter what,” he says. “We take all the emotion out of the equation by letting the math decide.”\nRight now, it’s bullish. (More on this below.)\nYour system also has to tell you when to get back in.\n“That’s where most people screw up,” he says. “They get out of the market, and they don’t know when to get back in.” The HCM-BuyLine gives a buy signal when his custom index trades above its moving average for six consecutive sessions, and then goes on to trade above the high hit during those six days.\nYou don’t need a system that calls exact market tops or bottoms. Instead, the BuyLine keeps Howard out of down markets 85% of the time, and in for 85% of the good times.\n“If we can do that consistently, we have superior returns and a less stressful life,” he says. “Being all in during a bad tape is no fun.”\nHis system is slow to get him out of the market, but quick to get him back in. Not even a 10% correction will necessarily move him out. He’s often buying those pullbacks. Getting back in fast makes sense, because recoveries off bottoms tend to happen fast.\n“The HCM-BuyLine takes all the emotion out of the process,” says Howard.\nLesson #3: Don’t fight the tape\nThis concept is one of the core pieces of wisdom from Marty Zweig’s classic book, “Winning on Wall Street.”\n“You have to stay on the right side of market,” agrees Howard. “If you try to trade long in a bad market, it is painful.”\nIn other words, don’t try to be a hero.\n“Sometimes, not losing money is where you want to be,” he says.\nLikewise, don’t turn cautious just because the market hits new highs — like now. You should love new highs, because it is a sign of market strength that may likely endure.\nLesson #4: Keep it simple\nAs you’ll see below, Howard doesn’t use esoteric instruments such as derivatives, swaps or index options. He doesn’t even trade foreign stocks or currencies. This is refreshing for individual investors, because we have a harder time accessing those tools.\n“You don’t have to trade crazy stuff,” he says. “You can trade plain-vanilla ETFs and beat everybody out there.”\nLesson #5: How to trade the current market\nFirst, be long.\n“The HCM-BuyLine is very positive. We are 100% in,” says Howard. “The market is broadening out. It is getting pretty exciting. We do not see it turn around any time soon. We are buying pullbacks.”\nOne bullish signal is all the cash on the sidelines. “If there is any relief in Covid, we may see a big rally. We may end up with a great fall [season].”\nHoward uses momentum indicators to select stocks and ETFs, too. For sectors he favors the following.\nHe likes health care, tradable through the iShares US HealthcareIYH,-0.04%and ProShares Ultra Health CareRXL,+0.12%ETFs. He’s turning more bullish on biotech, which he plays via the iShares Biotechnology ETFIBB,-0.11%.\nHe likes consumer discretionary tradable through the iShares US Consumer ServicesIYC,-0.30%,and airlines via US Global JetsJETS,-1.17%.He also likes tech exposure via the Invesco QQQ TrustQQQ,+0.31%,iShares US TechnologyIYW,+0.50%and iShares SemiconductorSOXX,+0.75%.\nHe likes small-caps via the Vanguard Small-Cap Growth Index FundVBK,+0.07%.And convertible bonds via SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible SecuritiesCWB,+0.64%and iShares Convertible BondICVT,+0.37%.\nAs for individual names, he singles out MicrosoftMSFT,-0.00%and AppleAAPL,+0.42%in tech, as well as Amazon.comAMZN,+0.43%and TeslaTSLA,+0.16%.\nAlso consider Howard’s two ETFs: The HCM Defender 100 IndexQQH,+0.62%and HCM Defender 500 IndexLGH,+1.32%.\nHe prefers to add to holdings on 1%-3% dips.\nA few drawbacks\nHis HCM Tactical Growth fund has a history of posting two-year stretches of underperformance of 1.5% to 8.8%, since it was launched in 2015. The fund then came roaring back to net the very positive five-year outperformance cited above. Investing in his system can require patience.\nEvery manager, including Warren Buffett, can have a stretch of underperformance, says Howard.\n“We are in the odds game,” he says. “Even in the odds game, you can have a bad hand or two thrown at you.”\nAnother challenge is the high turnover, which is 140% a year for Tactical Growth. This means Uncle Sam takes a big cut in the good years. So if you buy Howard’s funds, you may want to do so in a tax-protected account.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895800677,"gmtCreate":1628731400999,"gmtModify":1633744756514,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575084008680468","idStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"W","listText":"W","text":"W","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895800677","repostId":"1146833505","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374385277,"gmtCreate":1619419482099,"gmtModify":1634273627043,"author":{"id":"3575084008680468","authorId":"3575084008680468","name":"Hb_","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e6b4bec98a0dbb1567834e4f467227b","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575084008680468","idStr":"3575084008680468"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374385277","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}