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2021-09-24

Wow

Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading<blockquote>部分中概股盘前回调</blockquote>

2021-07-09

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2021-05-27

Ps like Ave current

President Biden will propose a $6 trillion budget, documents obtained by The Times show.<blockquote>《泰晤士报》获得的文件显示，拜登总统将提出6万亿美元的预算。</blockquote>

2021-07-19

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2021-06-20

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2021-06-14

Like and comment pls

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2021-03-11

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2021-08-23

Comment

Dow rises more than 170 points to start the week while investors await key Fed summit<blockquote>投资者等待美联储重要峰会，道琼斯指数本周初上涨逾170点</blockquote>

2021-07-11

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The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>

2021-07-07

Pls loke

Oil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性导致油价下跌</blockquote>

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07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会观察：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周中回归，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4096":"电气部件与设备","BK4541":"氢能源","FCEL":"燃料电池能源","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCEL":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699768347,"gmtCreate":1639900372020,"gmtModify":1639900372240,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699768347","repostId":"2192035909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2919,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608404404,"gmtCreate":1638770351507,"gmtModify":1638770351637,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608404404","repostId":"1138852642","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138852642","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638769615,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138852642?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 13:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Scares the Stock Market More Than Covid? The Federal Reserve<blockquote>有什么比Covid更让股市害怕？美联储</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138852642","media":"Barrons","summary":"Now can we have a correction?\nWe’d hoped for something better, like a melt-up into the end of the ye","content":"<p>Now can we have a correction?</p><p><blockquote>现在我们能纠正一下吗？</blockquote></p><p> We’d hoped for something better, like a melt-up into the end of the year. But after watching the stock market get knocked down this past week after slumping on Black Friday—thanks to the discovery of the Omicron variant of Covid-19—it doesn’t seem to be in the cards. Not after the S&amp;P 500 index finished the week down 1.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 319.26 points, or 0.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite slumped 2.6%. The small-cap Russell 2000, down 3.9% for the week, closed in correction territory on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>我们曾希望有更好的结果，比如年底前的融化。但由于发现了Covid-19的奥密克戎变种，股市在过去一周黑色星期五暴跌后暴跌，这似乎不太可能。标普500指数本周下跌1.2%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌319.26点，跌幅0.9%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.6%。小盘股罗素2000指数本周下跌3.9%，周三收于回调区域。</blockquote></p><p> Those numbers fail to capture just how volatile the week was. After a small rally on Monday, the Dow tumbled 652.22 points on Tuesday. On Wednesday, it rallied in early trading before giving back those gains—and then some—to finish down 461.68 points, and only seven stocks in the S&amp;P 500, including Apple (ticker: AAPL), managed to finish higher. On Thursday, the Dow had its biggest gain since March, but Apple dropped 0.6% following reports it was preparing suppliers for lukewarm iPhone demand.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字未能反映出本周的波动程度。在周一小幅上涨后，道琼斯指数周二暴跌652.22点。周三，该股在早盘交易中上涨，随后回吐了部分涨幅，最终下跌461.68点，标普500只有包括苹果（股票代码：AAPL）在内的七只股票收盘走高。周四，道琼斯指数创3月份以来最大涨幅，但苹果下跌0.6%，此前有报道称该公司正在让供应商为iPhone需求冷淡做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, the Nasdaq got hammered as large, pricey growth stocks, including Adobe (ADBE), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA), finally got caught up in the selling. “Given the overvalued conditions of many ‘growth’ names, the latter bore the brunt of this week’s correction,” observes Canaccord Genuity analyst Martin Roberge.</p><p><blockquote>周五，纳斯达克遭受重创，包括Adobe(ADBE)、特斯拉(TSLA)和英伟达(NVDA)在内的大型、昂贵的成长型股票最终陷入抛售。Canaccord Genuity分析师马丁·罗伯格(Martin Roberge)表示：“鉴于许多‘成长型’公司的估值过高，后者在本周的调整中首当其冲。”</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 finished the week 3.5% off its 2021 high, which is a bit less than the index fell in September, when everyone was predicting a correction that never arrived. This selloff looks like it has more legs. Gone are the generalized fears about valuations and a looming earnings season—which turned out to be just fine—replaced by a new Covid variant and the start of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle.</p><p><blockquote>标普500本周收盘较2021年高点下跌3.5%，略低于该指数9月份的跌幅，当时所有人都预测回调从未到来。这次抛售看起来有更多的腿。对估值和即将到来的财报季的普遍担忧已经一去不复返了——事实证明财报季还不错——取而代之的是新的新冠病毒变种和美联储紧缩周期的开始。</blockquote></p><p> Omicron was bad enough on its own—no one knows how much it will hurt the economy—but then Fed Chairman Jerome Powell had to go and acknowledge that inflation isn’t transitory after all and the taper might have to go faster than expected.</p><p><blockquote>奥密克戎本身就已经够糟糕的了——没有人知道它会对经济造成多大伤害——但随后美联储主席Jerome Powell不得不承认通胀毕竟不是暂时的，缩减可能需要比预期更快。</blockquote></p><p> “He leaned on that message so strongly, it tells you some strategy change is coming,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.</p><p><blockquote>CIBC Private Wealth US首席投资官戴夫·多纳贝迪安(Dave Donabedian)表示：“他非常依赖这一信息，这告诉你一些策略即将发生变化。”</blockquote></p><p> The timing was a bit strange. Headlines about Omicron being found in the U.S. were already troubling the markets. Powell made it worse. Still, rather than asking why he chose that day to make his comments, maybe investors should be asking how much stronger his statement could have been. “Imagine what the speech would have sounded like without the variant,” says MKM Partners Chief Economist Michael Darda.</p><p><blockquote>时机有点奇怪。有关奥密克戎在美国被发现的头条新闻已经让市场感到不安。鲍威尔让情况变得更糟。尽管如此，也许投资者不应该问他为什么选择那天发表评论，而应该问他的声明还能有多强烈。MKM Partners首席经济学家迈克尔·达尔达(Michael Darda)表示：“想象一下，如果没有这种变体，演讲听起来会是什么样子。”</blockquote></p><p> The thing is, Powell is absolutely right to be tacking hawkish, given the strength of the U.S. economy. The jobs report, despite a big headline miss, was solid, with the unemployment rate falling to 4.2% and the participation rate rising to 61.8%. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing survey hit 69.1, a record, while the manufacturing index also remains above 60.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，鉴于美国经济的实力，鲍威尔采取鹰派立场是绝对正确的。就业报告尽管出现了大幅下滑，但表现稳健，失业率降至4.2%，参与率升至61.8%。美国供应管理协会的非制造业调查达到创纪录的69.1，而制造业指数也保持在60以上。</blockquote></p><p> The data has been so good that the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for fourth-quarter growth in the U.S. recently hit 9.7%. The consumer price index, which is set to be released this coming Friday, is expected to have risen 0.65% in November. All of that suggests that the economy is ready for tighter monetary policy, even if the stock market isn’t. “Powell is right, even if the market freaks out a little bit,” Darda says.</p><p><blockquote>数据如此之好，以至于亚特兰大联储对美国第四季度增长的GDPNow估计最近达到了9.7%。定于本周五发布的消费者价格指数预计11月份上涨0.65%。所有这些都表明，经济已为收紧货币政策做好了准备，即使股市尚未做好准备。“鲍威尔是对的，即使市场有点恐慌，”达尔达说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t be surprised if it freaks out a bit more.</p><p><blockquote>如果它变得更疯狂一点，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Morgan Stanley Sees Fed as Bigger Threat to Stocks Than Omicron</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大摩认为美联储对股市的威胁比奥密克戎更大</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock investors probably have more important things to worry about than the emergence of the new coronavirus strain, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利策略师表示，股票投资者可能有比新冠病毒株的出现更重要的事情需要担心。</blockquote></p><p> While they are “not that concerned about omicron as a major risk factor for equities,” the strategists see headwinds building elsewhere, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the possible accelerated tapering of asset purchases. “Tapering is tightening for the markets and it will lead to lower valuations like it always does at this stage of any recovery,” the strategists led by Michael Wilson wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>虽然他们“不太担心奥密克戎是股市的主要风险因素”，但在美联储主席Jerome Powell暗示可能加速缩减资产购买后，策略师们认为其他地方的阻力正在增加。迈克尔·威尔逊（Michael Wilson）领导的策略师在给客户的一份报告中写道：“缩减购债规模正在收紧市场，这将导致估值下降，就像在复苏的现阶段一样。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2480f1a0450a30811b2f0b6e1a23b008\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The comments echo the views of other strategists, including those at JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., who&nbsp;singled out a hawkish turn&nbsp;by central banks as the main risk to their outlook for stocks. But while JPMorgan&nbsp;reiterated on Monday&nbsp;that its base-case scenario is for the equities rally to continue into next year, Morgan Stanley sees the S&amp;P 500 trending lower, and valuations declining.</p><p><blockquote>这些评论呼应了其他策略师的观点，包括摩根大通的策略师，他们指出央行的鹰派转向是他们股市前景的主要风险。不过，尽管摩根大通周一重申，其基本情景是股市上涨将持续到明年，但摩根士丹利认为标普500呈走低趋势，估值也在下降。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Equity markets are resuming their de-rating process that began over nine months ago for numerous reasons,” the Morgan Stanley strategists wrote. They forecast that the S&amp;P 500 forward price-to-earnings ratio would fall by about 12%, with that decline potentially deeper “as equity investors start to demand much higher risk premiums in anticipation of considerably higher long-term interest rates.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利策略师写道：“出于多种原因，股市正在恢复九个多月前开始的降级过程。”他们预测，标普500的远期市盈率将下降约12%，而且“随着股票投资者预期长期利率大幅上升，开始要求更高的风险溢价”，降幅可能会更深。</blockquote></p><p> UBS Global Wealth Management strategists said Monday they “expect a period of heightened volatility ahead as investors attempt to assess the risks from omicron and the Fed, based on insufficient and patchy data.” While they advise investors to refrain from a hasty exit from risk assets, the strategists, led by Mark Haefele, said monetary tightening could present a bear case to their base scenario.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理策略师周一表示，他们“预计未来一段时间波动加剧，因为投资者试图根据不充分且不完整的数据来评估奥密克戎和美联储的风险。”虽然他们建议投资者不要仓促退出风险资产，但以马克·海菲尔为首的策略师表示，货币紧缩可能会给他们的基本情景带来看跌理由。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Scares the Stock Market More Than Covid? The Federal Reserve<blockquote>有什么比Covid更让股市害怕？美联储</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Scares the Stock Market More Than Covid? The Federal Reserve<blockquote>有什么比Covid更让股市害怕？美联储</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-06 13:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Now can we have a correction?</p><p><blockquote>现在我们能纠正一下吗？</blockquote></p><p> We’d hoped for something better, like a melt-up into the end of the year. But after watching the stock market get knocked down this past week after slumping on Black Friday—thanks to the discovery of the Omicron variant of Covid-19—it doesn’t seem to be in the cards. Not after the S&amp;P 500 index finished the week down 1.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 319.26 points, or 0.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite slumped 2.6%. The small-cap Russell 2000, down 3.9% for the week, closed in correction territory on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>我们曾希望有更好的结果，比如年底前的融化。但由于发现了Covid-19的奥密克戎变种，股市在过去一周黑色星期五暴跌后暴跌，这似乎不太可能。标普500指数本周下跌1.2%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌319.26点，跌幅0.9%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌2.6%。小盘股罗素2000指数本周下跌3.9%，周三收于回调区域。</blockquote></p><p> Those numbers fail to capture just how volatile the week was. After a small rally on Monday, the Dow tumbled 652.22 points on Tuesday. On Wednesday, it rallied in early trading before giving back those gains—and then some—to finish down 461.68 points, and only seven stocks in the S&amp;P 500, including Apple (ticker: AAPL), managed to finish higher. On Thursday, the Dow had its biggest gain since March, but Apple dropped 0.6% following reports it was preparing suppliers for lukewarm iPhone demand.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字未能反映出本周的波动程度。在周一小幅上涨后，道琼斯指数周二暴跌652.22点。周三，该股在早盘交易中上涨，随后回吐了部分涨幅，最终下跌461.68点，标普500只有包括苹果（股票代码：AAPL）在内的七只股票收盘走高。周四，道琼斯指数创3月份以来最大涨幅，但苹果下跌0.6%，此前有报道称该公司正在让供应商为iPhone需求冷淡做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, the Nasdaq got hammered as large, pricey growth stocks, including Adobe (ADBE), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA), finally got caught up in the selling. “Given the overvalued conditions of many ‘growth’ names, the latter bore the brunt of this week’s correction,” observes Canaccord Genuity analyst Martin Roberge.</p><p><blockquote>周五，纳斯达克遭受重创，包括Adobe(ADBE)、特斯拉(TSLA)和英伟达(NVDA)在内的大型、昂贵的成长型股票最终陷入抛售。Canaccord Genuity分析师马丁·罗伯格(Martin Roberge)表示：“鉴于许多‘成长型’公司的估值过高，后者在本周的调整中首当其冲。”</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 finished the week 3.5% off its 2021 high, which is a bit less than the index fell in September, when everyone was predicting a correction that never arrived. This selloff looks like it has more legs. Gone are the generalized fears about valuations and a looming earnings season—which turned out to be just fine—replaced by a new Covid variant and the start of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle.</p><p><blockquote>标普500本周收盘较2021年高点下跌3.5%，略低于该指数9月份的跌幅，当时所有人都预测回调从未到来。这次抛售看起来有更多的腿。对估值和即将到来的财报季的普遍担忧已经一去不复返了——事实证明财报季还不错——取而代之的是新的新冠病毒变种和美联储紧缩周期的开始。</blockquote></p><p> Omicron was bad enough on its own—no one knows how much it will hurt the economy—but then Fed Chairman Jerome Powell had to go and acknowledge that inflation isn’t transitory after all and the taper might have to go faster than expected.</p><p><blockquote>奥密克戎本身就已经够糟糕的了——没有人知道它会对经济造成多大伤害——但随后美联储主席Jerome Powell不得不承认通胀毕竟不是暂时的，缩减可能需要比预期更快。</blockquote></p><p> “He leaned on that message so strongly, it tells you some strategy change is coming,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.</p><p><blockquote>CIBC Private Wealth US首席投资官戴夫·多纳贝迪安(Dave Donabedian)表示：“他非常依赖这一信息，这告诉你一些策略即将发生变化。”</blockquote></p><p> The timing was a bit strange. Headlines about Omicron being found in the U.S. were already troubling the markets. Powell made it worse. Still, rather than asking why he chose that day to make his comments, maybe investors should be asking how much stronger his statement could have been. “Imagine what the speech would have sounded like without the variant,” says MKM Partners Chief Economist Michael Darda.</p><p><blockquote>时机有点奇怪。有关奥密克戎在美国被发现的头条新闻已经让市场感到不安。鲍威尔让情况变得更糟。尽管如此，也许投资者不应该问他为什么选择那天发表评论，而应该问他的声明还能有多强烈。MKM Partners首席经济学家迈克尔·达尔达(Michael Darda)表示：“想象一下，如果没有这种变体，演讲听起来会是什么样子。”</blockquote></p><p> The thing is, Powell is absolutely right to be tacking hawkish, given the strength of the U.S. economy. The jobs report, despite a big headline miss, was solid, with the unemployment rate falling to 4.2% and the participation rate rising to 61.8%. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing survey hit 69.1, a record, while the manufacturing index also remains above 60.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，鉴于美国经济的实力，鲍威尔采取鹰派立场是绝对正确的。就业报告尽管出现了大幅下滑，但表现稳健，失业率降至4.2%，参与率升至61.8%。美国供应管理协会的非制造业调查达到创纪录的69.1，而制造业指数也保持在60以上。</blockquote></p><p> The data has been so good that the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for fourth-quarter growth in the U.S. recently hit 9.7%. The consumer price index, which is set to be released this coming Friday, is expected to have risen 0.65% in November. All of that suggests that the economy is ready for tighter monetary policy, even if the stock market isn’t. “Powell is right, even if the market freaks out a little bit,” Darda says.</p><p><blockquote>数据如此之好，以至于亚特兰大联储对美国第四季度增长的GDPNow估计最近达到了9.7%。定于本周五发布的消费者价格指数预计11月份上涨0.65%。所有这些都表明，经济已为收紧货币政策做好了准备，即使股市尚未做好准备。“鲍威尔是对的，即使市场有点恐慌，”达尔达说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t be surprised if it freaks out a bit more.</p><p><blockquote>如果它变得更疯狂一点，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Morgan Stanley Sees Fed as Bigger Threat to Stocks Than Omicron</b></p><p><blockquote><b>大摩认为美联储对股市的威胁比奥密克戎更大</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock investors probably have more important things to worry about than the emergence of the new coronavirus strain, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利策略师表示，股票投资者可能有比新冠病毒株的出现更重要的事情需要担心。</blockquote></p><p> While they are “not that concerned about omicron as a major risk factor for equities,” the strategists see headwinds building elsewhere, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the possible accelerated tapering of asset purchases. “Tapering is tightening for the markets and it will lead to lower valuations like it always does at this stage of any recovery,” the strategists led by Michael Wilson wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>虽然他们“不太担心奥密克戎是股市的主要风险因素”，但在美联储主席Jerome Powell暗示可能加速缩减资产购买后，策略师们认为其他地方的阻力正在增加。迈克尔·威尔逊（Michael Wilson）领导的策略师在给客户的一份报告中写道：“缩减购债规模正在收紧市场，这将导致估值下降，就像在复苏的现阶段一样。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2480f1a0450a30811b2f0b6e1a23b008\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The comments echo the views of other strategists, including those at JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., who&nbsp;singled out a hawkish turn&nbsp;by central banks as the main risk to their outlook for stocks. But while JPMorgan&nbsp;reiterated on Monday&nbsp;that its base-case scenario is for the equities rally to continue into next year, Morgan Stanley sees the S&amp;P 500 trending lower, and valuations declining.</p><p><blockquote>这些评论呼应了其他策略师的观点，包括摩根大通的策略师，他们指出央行的鹰派转向是他们股市前景的主要风险。不过，尽管摩根大通周一重申，其基本情景是股市上涨将持续到明年，但摩根士丹利认为标普500呈走低趋势，估值也在下降。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Equity markets are resuming their de-rating process that began over nine months ago for numerous reasons,” the Morgan Stanley strategists wrote. They forecast that the S&amp;P 500 forward price-to-earnings ratio would fall by about 12%, with that decline potentially deeper “as equity investors start to demand much higher risk premiums in anticipation of considerably higher long-term interest rates.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利策略师写道：“出于多种原因，股市正在恢复九个多月前开始的降级过程。”他们预测，标普500的远期市盈率将下降约12%，而且“随着股票投资者预期长期利率大幅上升，开始要求更高的风险溢价”，降幅可能会更深。</blockquote></p><p> UBS Global Wealth Management strategists said Monday they “expect a period of heightened volatility ahead as investors attempt to assess the risks from omicron and the Fed, based on insufficient and patchy data.” While they advise investors to refrain from a hasty exit from risk assets, the strategists, led by Mark Haefele, said monetary tightening could present a bear case to their base scenario.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理策略师周一表示，他们“预计未来一段时间波动加剧，因为投资者试图根据不充分且不完整的数据来评估奥密克戎和美联储的风险。”虽然他们建议投资者不要仓促退出风险资产，但以马克·海菲尔为首的策略师表示，货币紧缩可能会给他们的基本情景带来看跌理由。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-covid-omicron-federal-reserve-51638575944\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-covid-omicron-federal-reserve-51638575944","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138852642","content_text":"Now can we have a correction?\nWe’d hoped for something better, like a melt-up into the end of the year. But after watching the stock market get knocked down this past week after slumping on Black Friday—thanks to the discovery of the Omicron variant of Covid-19—it doesn’t seem to be in the cards. Not after the S&P 500 index finished the week down 1.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 319.26 points, or 0.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite slumped 2.6%. The small-cap Russell 2000, down 3.9% for the week, closed in correction territory on Wednesday.\nThose numbers fail to capture just how volatile the week was. After a small rally on Monday, the Dow tumbled 652.22 points on Tuesday. On Wednesday, it rallied in early trading before giving back those gains—and then some—to finish down 461.68 points, and only seven stocks in the S&P 500, including Apple (ticker: AAPL), managed to finish higher. On Thursday, the Dow had its biggest gain since March, but Apple dropped 0.6% following reports it was preparing suppliers for lukewarm iPhone demand.\nOn Friday, the Nasdaq got hammered as large, pricey growth stocks, including Adobe (ADBE), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA), finally got caught up in the selling. “Given the overvalued conditions of many ‘growth’ names, the latter bore the brunt of this week’s correction,” observes Canaccord Genuity analyst Martin Roberge.\nThe S&P 500 finished the week 3.5% off its 2021 high, which is a bit less than the index fell in September, when everyone was predicting a correction that never arrived. This selloff looks like it has more legs. Gone are the generalized fears about valuations and a looming earnings season—which turned out to be just fine—replaced by a new Covid variant and the start of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle.\nOmicron was bad enough on its own—no one knows how much it will hurt the economy—but then Fed Chairman Jerome Powell had to go and acknowledge that inflation isn’t transitory after all and the taper might have to go faster than expected.\n“He leaned on that message so strongly, it tells you some strategy change is coming,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.\nThe timing was a bit strange. Headlines about Omicron being found in the U.S. were already troubling the markets. Powell made it worse. Still, rather than asking why he chose that day to make his comments, maybe investors should be asking how much stronger his statement could have been. “Imagine what the speech would have sounded like without the variant,” says MKM Partners Chief Economist Michael Darda.\nThe thing is, Powell is absolutely right to be tacking hawkish, given the strength of the U.S. economy. The jobs report, despite a big headline miss, was solid, with the unemployment rate falling to 4.2% and the participation rate rising to 61.8%. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing survey hit 69.1, a record, while the manufacturing index also remains above 60.\nThe data has been so good that the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for fourth-quarter growth in the U.S. recently hit 9.7%. The consumer price index, which is set to be released this coming Friday, is expected to have risen 0.65% in November. All of that suggests that the economy is ready for tighter monetary policy, even if the stock market isn’t. “Powell is right, even if the market freaks out a little bit,” Darda says.\nDon’t be surprised if it freaks out a bit more.\nMorgan Stanley Sees Fed as Bigger Threat to Stocks Than Omicron\nStock investors probably have more important things to worry about than the emergence of the new coronavirus strain, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.\nWhile they are “not that concerned about omicron as a major risk factor for equities,” the strategists see headwinds building elsewhere, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the possible accelerated tapering of asset purchases. “Tapering is tightening for the markets and it will lead to lower valuations like it always does at this stage of any recovery,” the strategists led by Michael Wilson wrote in a note to clients.\n\nThe comments echo the views of other strategists, including those at JPMorgan Chase & Co., who singled out a hawkish turn by central banks as the main risk to their outlook for stocks. But while JPMorgan reiterated on Monday that its base-case scenario is for the equities rally to continue into next year, Morgan Stanley sees the S&P 500 trending lower, and valuations declining.\n“Equity markets are resuming their de-rating process that began over nine months ago for numerous reasons,” the Morgan Stanley strategists wrote. They forecast that the S&P 500 forward price-to-earnings ratio would fall by about 12%, with that decline potentially deeper “as equity investors start to demand much higher risk premiums in anticipation of considerably higher long-term interest rates.”\nUBS Global Wealth Management strategists said Monday they “expect a period of heightened volatility ahead as investors attempt to assess the risks from omicron and the Fed, based on insufficient and patchy data.” While they advise investors to refrain from a hasty exit from risk assets, the strategists, led by Mark Haefele, said monetary tightening could present a bear case to their base scenario.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600069872,"gmtCreate":1638010248619,"gmtModify":1638010248773,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600069872","repostId":"1177270358","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177270358","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637972840,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177270358?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-27 08:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Shares of Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of America, and JPMorgan Chase Are Falling Today<blockquote>为什么富国银行、花旗集团、美国银行和摩根大通的股价今天下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177270358","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nShares of all the major U.S. bank stocks struggled today, along with the Dow Jones Ind","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of all the major U.S. bank stocks struggled today, along with the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>, which at one point fell 1,000 points on this shortened day of trading -- the worst drop for the index in all of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>今天，美国所有主要银行股的股价都陷入困境，<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>在这个缩短的交易日中，该指数一度下跌1,000点，这是该指数2021年全年最严重的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of America's largest bank by assets,<b>JPMorgan Chase</b>(NYSE:JPM), had fallen 3.4% as of 12:30 p.m. EST, while shares of the second-largest bank in the U.S.,<b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:BAC), dropped more than 4%. Meanwhile, the more beaten-down&nbsp;<b>Citigroup</b>(NYSE:C)had fallen more than 3%, and&nbsp;<b>Wells Fargo</b>(NYSE:WFC)declined more than 5%. These are big daily moves for more stable large-cap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>美国资产规模最大的银行的股票，<b>摩根大通</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JPM）截至中午12:30下跌3.4%。美国东部时间，而美国第二大银行的股价，<b>美国银行</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BAC），跌幅超过4%。与此同时，越受打击<b>花旗集团</b>(NYSE：C)下跌超过3%，并且<b>富国银行</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WFC）下跌超过5%。对于更稳定的大盘股来说，这些都是每日大幅波动。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> While Americans were enjoying their Thanksgiving meals, multiple media outlets reported that a new variant of the coronavirus had emerged in South Africa known as B.1.1.529 variant.</p><p><blockquote>当美国人正在享受感恩节大餐时，多家媒体报道称，南非出现了一种新的冠状病毒变种，称为B.1.1.529变种。</blockquote></p><p> Scientists reported that the strain had more than 30 mutations to the spike protein, which is the part of the virus that attaches to a person's cells. This is significantly more mutations than the delta variant. Adding to the storm, pharmaceutical company&nbsp;<b>Merck</b>, which has been developing an antiviral pill to treat more severe cases of COVID-19 after people contract the virus, disclosed that the pill was not as effective at treatment as had been initially hoped.</p><p><blockquote>科学家报告说，该菌株的刺突蛋白有30多个突变，刺突蛋白是病毒附着在人体细胞上的部分。这明显比德尔塔变异毒株的突变多。雪上加霜的是，药企<b>默克</b>该公司一直在开发一种抗病毒药物，用于在人们感染病毒后治疗更严重的COVID-19病例，该公司透露，该药物的治疗效果并不像最初希望的那样有效。</blockquote></p><p> The variant news resulted in a strong global reaction, as the World Health Organization called an emergency meeting to discuss it. Additionally, the European Union proposed a ban on flights from South Africa. Little is yet known over how severe cases from the B.1.1.529 variant are, but early knowledge has scientists and experts extremely concerned.</p><p><blockquote>这一变异消息引起了全球的强烈反应，世界卫生组织召开了紧急会议进行讨论。此外，欧盟提议禁止来自南非的航班。人们对B.1.1.529变种的病例有多严重知之甚少，但早期的知识让科学家和专家非常担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"If we have another COVID strain that can spread even more readily than delta, that would pose a challenge to all of us around the world, because when delta arrived this summer, it changed the game,\" William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt University, told CNBC today.</p><p><blockquote>预防医学教授威廉·沙夫纳(William Schaffner)表示：“如果我们有另一种比达美病毒更容易传播的新冠病毒株，那将对我们世界各地的所有人构成挑战，因为当达美病毒今年夏天到来时，它改变了游戏规则。”范德比尔特大学今天告诉CNBC。</blockquote></p><p> Banksare extremely linked to the economy due to the fact that they lend money and interact with most sectors in it. So any time a new variant pops up and threatens to increase cases, it is one sector that will take a hit because investors fear potential future lockdowns, stalling economic growth, and potential loan quality concerns.</p><p><blockquote>银行与经济密切相关，因为它们放贷并与经济中的大多数部门互动。因此，每当一个新的变种出现并威胁增加病例时，这个行业就会受到打击，因为投资者担心未来潜在的封锁、经济增长停滞以及潜在的贷款质量担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The news also comes at an already treacherous time for the market, which over the past few weeks has been dealing with a stronger inflationary environment, rising bond yields, and increasing sentiment that the Federal Reserve may raise its benchmark federal funds rate next year.</p><p><blockquote>这一消息也是在市场已经岌岌可危的时候发布的，过去几周，市场一直在应对更强劲的通胀环境、不断上升的债券收益率以及美联储明年可能上调基准联邦基金利率的情绪日益高涨。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the struggles with inflation may make it more difficult for the federal government to respond to a new severe wave of the coronavirus, says Edward Smith, co-chief investment officer at the Rathbone Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>此外，拉斯伯恩投资管理公司联席首席投资官爱德华·史密斯表示，与通胀的斗争可能会使联邦政府更难应对新一波严重的冠状病毒。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's the big cause for concern: Is policy able to respond and bail out markets and economies this time given inflation?\" he told<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>. Smith also said that more lockdowns or restrictions could continue to increase global supply chain issues and add to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>“这是令人担忧的一大原因：考虑到通胀，这次政策是否能够应对并救助市场和经济？”他告诉<i>华尔街日报</i>.史密斯还表示，更多的封锁或限制可能会继续增加全球供应链问题，并加剧通胀。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> While I think the strong global reaction to this new variant is warranted, I am not ready to panic just yet. We still don't know how severe it is or if it can evade vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我认为全球对这种新变种的强烈反应是有道理的，但我还没有准备好恐慌。我们仍然不知道它有多严重，也不知道它是否能逃避疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> I also feel quite confident in these large-cap U.S. bank stocks considering how well they held up during the pandemic in 2020. They all have strong levels of capital and lots of liquidity, giving me every bit of confidence they could survive another downturn. In particular, the pullback on Citigroup, which already traded at beaten-down levels, strikes me as a great&nbsp;buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这些大型美国银行股在2020年大流行期间的表现，我对它们也非常有信心。他们都拥有强大的资本水平和大量的流动性，这让我对他们能够度过另一场低迷充满信心。特别是，花旗集团的回调（其交易价格已经处于低迷水平）在我看来是一个绝佳的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Shares of Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of America, and JPMorgan Chase Are Falling Today<blockquote>为什么富国银行、花旗集团、美国银行和摩根大通的股价今天下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Shares of Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of America, and JPMorgan Chase Are Falling Today<blockquote>为什么富国银行、花旗集团、美国银行和摩根大通的股价今天下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-27 08:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of all the major U.S. bank stocks struggled today, along with the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>, which at one point fell 1,000 points on this shortened day of trading -- the worst drop for the index in all of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>今天，美国所有主要银行股的股价都陷入困境，<b>道琼斯工业平均指数</b>在这个缩短的交易日中，该指数一度下跌1,000点，这是该指数2021年全年最严重的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of America's largest bank by assets,<b>JPMorgan Chase</b>(NYSE:JPM), had fallen 3.4% as of 12:30 p.m. EST, while shares of the second-largest bank in the U.S.,<b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:BAC), dropped more than 4%. Meanwhile, the more beaten-down&nbsp;<b>Citigroup</b>(NYSE:C)had fallen more than 3%, and&nbsp;<b>Wells Fargo</b>(NYSE:WFC)declined more than 5%. These are big daily moves for more stable large-cap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>美国资产规模最大的银行的股票，<b>摩根大通</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JPM）截至中午12:30下跌3.4%。美国东部时间，而美国第二大银行的股价，<b>美国银行</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BAC），跌幅超过4%。与此同时，越受打击<b>花旗集团</b>(NYSE：C)下跌超过3%，并且<b>富国银行</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WFC）下跌超过5%。对于更稳定的大盘股来说，这些都是每日大幅波动。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> While Americans were enjoying their Thanksgiving meals, multiple media outlets reported that a new variant of the coronavirus had emerged in South Africa known as B.1.1.529 variant.</p><p><blockquote>当美国人正在享受感恩节大餐时，多家媒体报道称，南非出现了一种新的冠状病毒变种，称为B.1.1.529变种。</blockquote></p><p> Scientists reported that the strain had more than 30 mutations to the spike protein, which is the part of the virus that attaches to a person's cells. This is significantly more mutations than the delta variant. Adding to the storm, pharmaceutical company&nbsp;<b>Merck</b>, which has been developing an antiviral pill to treat more severe cases of COVID-19 after people contract the virus, disclosed that the pill was not as effective at treatment as had been initially hoped.</p><p><blockquote>科学家报告说，该菌株的刺突蛋白有30多个突变，刺突蛋白是病毒附着在人体细胞上的部分。这明显比德尔塔变异毒株的突变多。雪上加霜的是，药企<b>默克</b>该公司一直在开发一种抗病毒药物，用于在人们感染病毒后治疗更严重的COVID-19病例，该公司透露，该药物的治疗效果并不像最初希望的那样有效。</blockquote></p><p> The variant news resulted in a strong global reaction, as the World Health Organization called an emergency meeting to discuss it. Additionally, the European Union proposed a ban on flights from South Africa. Little is yet known over how severe cases from the B.1.1.529 variant are, but early knowledge has scientists and experts extremely concerned.</p><p><blockquote>这一变异消息引起了全球的强烈反应，世界卫生组织召开了紧急会议进行讨论。此外，欧盟提议禁止来自南非的航班。人们对B.1.1.529变种的病例有多严重知之甚少，但早期的知识让科学家和专家非常担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"If we have another COVID strain that can spread even more readily than delta, that would pose a challenge to all of us around the world, because when delta arrived this summer, it changed the game,\" William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt University, told CNBC today.</p><p><blockquote>预防医学教授威廉·沙夫纳(William Schaffner)表示：“如果我们有另一种比达美病毒更容易传播的新冠病毒株，那将对我们世界各地的所有人构成挑战，因为当达美病毒今年夏天到来时，它改变了游戏规则。”范德比尔特大学今天告诉CNBC。</blockquote></p><p> Banksare extremely linked to the economy due to the fact that they lend money and interact with most sectors in it. So any time a new variant pops up and threatens to increase cases, it is one sector that will take a hit because investors fear potential future lockdowns, stalling economic growth, and potential loan quality concerns.</p><p><blockquote>银行与经济密切相关，因为它们放贷并与经济中的大多数部门互动。因此，每当一个新的变种出现并威胁增加病例时，这个行业就会受到打击，因为投资者担心未来潜在的封锁、经济增长停滞以及潜在的贷款质量担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The news also comes at an already treacherous time for the market, which over the past few weeks has been dealing with a stronger inflationary environment, rising bond yields, and increasing sentiment that the Federal Reserve may raise its benchmark federal funds rate next year.</p><p><blockquote>这一消息也是在市场已经岌岌可危的时候发布的，过去几周，市场一直在应对更强劲的通胀环境、不断上升的债券收益率以及美联储明年可能上调基准联邦基金利率的情绪日益高涨。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the struggles with inflation may make it more difficult for the federal government to respond to a new severe wave of the coronavirus, says Edward Smith, co-chief investment officer at the Rathbone Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>此外，拉斯伯恩投资管理公司联席首席投资官爱德华·史密斯表示，与通胀的斗争可能会使联邦政府更难应对新一波严重的冠状病毒。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's the big cause for concern: Is policy able to respond and bail out markets and economies this time given inflation?\" he told<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>. Smith also said that more lockdowns or restrictions could continue to increase global supply chain issues and add to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>“这是令人担忧的一大原因：考虑到通胀，这次政策是否能够应对并救助市场和经济？”他告诉<i>华尔街日报</i>.史密斯还表示，更多的封锁或限制可能会继续增加全球供应链问题，并加剧通胀。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> While I think the strong global reaction to this new variant is warranted, I am not ready to panic just yet. We still don't know how severe it is or if it can evade vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我认为全球对这种新变种的强烈反应是有道理的，但我还没有准备好恐慌。我们仍然不知道它有多严重，也不知道它是否能逃避疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> I also feel quite confident in these large-cap U.S. bank stocks considering how well they held up during the pandemic in 2020. They all have strong levels of capital and lots of liquidity, giving me every bit of confidence they could survive another downturn. In particular, the pullback on Citigroup, which already traded at beaten-down levels, strikes me as a great&nbsp;buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这些大型美国银行股在2020年大流行期间的表现，我对它们也非常有信心。他们都拥有强大的资本水平和大量的流动性，这让我对他们能够度过另一场低迷充满信心。特别是，花旗集团的回调（其交易价格已经处于低迷水平）在我看来是一个绝佳的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/26/why-shares-of-wells-fargo-citigroup-bank-of-americ/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行","BAC":"美国银行","C":"花旗","JPM":"摩根大通"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/26/why-shares-of-wells-fargo-citigroup-bank-of-americ/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177270358","content_text":"What happened\nShares of all the major U.S. bank stocks struggled today, along with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which at one point fell 1,000 points on this shortened day of trading -- the worst drop for the index in all of 2021.\nShares of America's largest bank by assets,JPMorgan Chase(NYSE:JPM), had fallen 3.4% as of 12:30 p.m. EST, while shares of the second-largest bank in the U.S.,Bank of America(NYSE:BAC), dropped more than 4%. Meanwhile, the more beaten-down Citigroup(NYSE:C)had fallen more than 3%, and Wells Fargo(NYSE:WFC)declined more than 5%. These are big daily moves for more stable large-cap stocks.\nSo what\nWhile Americans were enjoying their Thanksgiving meals, multiple media outlets reported that a new variant of the coronavirus had emerged in South Africa known as B.1.1.529 variant.\nScientists reported that the strain had more than 30 mutations to the spike protein, which is the part of the virus that attaches to a person's cells. This is significantly more mutations than the delta variant. Adding to the storm, pharmaceutical company Merck, which has been developing an antiviral pill to treat more severe cases of COVID-19 after people contract the virus, disclosed that the pill was not as effective at treatment as had been initially hoped.\nThe variant news resulted in a strong global reaction, as the World Health Organization called an emergency meeting to discuss it. Additionally, the European Union proposed a ban on flights from South Africa. Little is yet known over how severe cases from the B.1.1.529 variant are, but early knowledge has scientists and experts extremely concerned.\n\"If we have another COVID strain that can spread even more readily than delta, that would pose a challenge to all of us around the world, because when delta arrived this summer, it changed the game,\" William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt University, told CNBC today.\nBanksare extremely linked to the economy due to the fact that they lend money and interact with most sectors in it. So any time a new variant pops up and threatens to increase cases, it is one sector that will take a hit because investors fear potential future lockdowns, stalling economic growth, and potential loan quality concerns.\nThe news also comes at an already treacherous time for the market, which over the past few weeks has been dealing with a stronger inflationary environment, rising bond yields, and increasing sentiment that the Federal Reserve may raise its benchmark federal funds rate next year.\nFurthermore, the struggles with inflation may make it more difficult for the federal government to respond to a new severe wave of the coronavirus, says Edward Smith, co-chief investment officer at the Rathbone Investment Management.\n\"That's the big cause for concern: Is policy able to respond and bail out markets and economies this time given inflation?\" he toldThe Wall Street Journal. Smith also said that more lockdowns or restrictions could continue to increase global supply chain issues and add to inflation.\nNow what\nWhile I think the strong global reaction to this new variant is warranted, I am not ready to panic just yet. We still don't know how severe it is or if it can evade vaccines.\nI also feel quite confident in these large-cap U.S. bank stocks considering how well they held up during the pandemic in 2020. They all have strong levels of capital and lots of liquidity, giving me every bit of confidence they could survive another downturn. In particular, the pullback on Citigroup, which already traded at beaten-down levels, strikes me as a great buying opportunity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JPM":0.9,"C":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875491314,"gmtCreate":1637677721887,"gmtModify":1637677722038,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"2ow","listText":"2ow","text":"2ow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875491314","repostId":"1111787545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111787545","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637677426,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1111787545?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 22:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Assigned Higher Capital Buffers<blockquote>摩根大通和高盛分配了更高的资本缓冲</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111787545","media":"WSJ","summary":"Global financial regulators boosted capital requirements for JPMorgan Chase & Co., Goldman Sachs Gro","content":"<p>Global financial regulators boosted capital requirements for JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Goldman Sachs&nbsp;Group Inc. and BNP Paribas SAunder rules intended to help avoid a repeat of the 2008 global financial crisis, in which the largest lenders were deemed too big to fail.</p><p><blockquote>全球金融监管机构提高了对摩根大通、高盛集团和法国巴黎银行的资本要求。桑德尔规则旨在帮助避免2008年全球金融危机重演，当时最大的银行被认为太大而不能倒。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Stability Board in Basel, Switzerland, said the three banks would be required to set aside a further 0.5% of common equity Tier 1 capital under rules for the world’s largest lenders—the so-called global systemically important banks, of which there are currently 30. The higher requirements become effective in January 2023, the FSB said in a statement Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士巴塞尔金融稳定委员会表示，根据针对全球最大银行（即所谓的全球系统重要性银行）的规则，这三家银行将被要求进一步留出0.5%的普通股一级资本，其中有30家。FSB周二在一份声明中表示，更高的要求将于2023年1月生效。</blockquote></p><p> The higher capital requirements won’t have an immediate impact on the U.S. banks, since the Federal Reserve already requires higher additional capital standards for the biggest banks. The FSB’s decisions on additional capital requirements come in the form of recommendations, which national regulators have vowed to follow.</p><p><blockquote>更高的资本要求不会对美国银行产生直接影响，因为美联储已经要求最大的银行更高的额外资本标准。金融稳定委员会关于额外资本要求的决定是以建议的形式做出的，各国监管机构发誓要遵循这些建议。</blockquote></p><p> The changes “largely reflect the effects of changes in underlying activity of banks,” the FSB said. Bank balance sheets swelled during the pandemic, a response to huge amounts of central bank stimulus and government spending. JPMorgan’s total assets grew by more than a quarter to $3.39 trillion in 2020, from $2.69 trillion the year before.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会表示，这些变化“在很大程度上反映了银行基础活动变化的影响”。疫情期间，银行资产负债表膨胀，这是对央行巨额刺激和政府支出的回应。摩根大通的总资产从上年的2.69万亿美元增长了四分之一以上，达到2020年的3.39万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The FSB updates its list of biggest banks annually. JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank, must have an additional capital buffer of 2.5%, becoming the only global lender with a requirement of this size. The aim of the buffer is to ensure that the biggest banks have enough loss-absorbing capacity for an orderly resolution if the bank fails.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会每年都会更新其最大银行名单。美国最大的银行摩根大通必须有2.5%的额外资本缓冲，成为唯一一家有这一规模要求的全球银行。缓冲的目的是确保最大的银行有足够的损失吸收能力，以便在银行倒闭时有序解决问题。</blockquote></p><p> A JPMorgan spokesperson said the bank already meets the requirement because the Federal Reserve has set it a higher surcharge of 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发言人表示，该银行已经满足了这一要求，因为美联储为其设定了3.5%的更高附加费。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve has set Goldman Sachs a surcharge of 2.5%, higher than the FSB’s new requirement of 1.5%. Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>美联储为高盛设定了2.5%的附加费，高于FSB 1.5%的新要求。高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> BNP Paribas must have an additional capital buffer of 2%, joining Citigroup Inc. and HSBC Holdings PLC, which already have to meet that level. BNP Paribas declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>法国巴黎银行必须拥有2%的额外资本缓冲，加入花旗集团和汇丰控股的行列，后者已经必须达到这一水平。法国巴黎银行拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> “Banks have headroom in their capital ratios to manage it,” said Richard Barnes, an analyst at S&amp;P Global Ratings.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔全球评级分析师理查德·巴恩斯表示：“银行的资本比率有足够的空间来管理它。”</blockquote></p><p> The FSB’s secretariat is hosted by the Bank for International Settlements, a group owned by central banks around the world. After the rush of bank failures and bailouts in 2008 and 2009, regulators came together under the FSB to set minimum uniform standards for bank capital.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会的秘书处由国际清算银行主办，该银行是一个由世界各地央行拥有的集团。在2008年和2009年银行倒闭和救助热潮之后，监管机构在金融稳定委员会的领导下联合起来，为银行资本设定了最低统一标准。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Assigned Higher Capital Buffers<blockquote>摩根大通和高盛分配了更高的资本缓冲</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Assigned Higher Capital Buffers<blockquote>摩根大通和高盛分配了更高的资本缓冲</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-23 22:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Global financial regulators boosted capital requirements for JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Goldman Sachs&nbsp;Group Inc. and BNP Paribas SAunder rules intended to help avoid a repeat of the 2008 global financial crisis, in which the largest lenders were deemed too big to fail.</p><p><blockquote>全球金融监管机构提高了对摩根大通、高盛集团和法国巴黎银行的资本要求。桑德尔规则旨在帮助避免2008年全球金融危机重演，当时最大的银行被认为太大而不能倒。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Stability Board in Basel, Switzerland, said the three banks would be required to set aside a further 0.5% of common equity Tier 1 capital under rules for the world’s largest lenders—the so-called global systemically important banks, of which there are currently 30. The higher requirements become effective in January 2023, the FSB said in a statement Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士巴塞尔金融稳定委员会表示，根据针对全球最大银行（即所谓的全球系统重要性银行）的规则，这三家银行将被要求进一步留出0.5%的普通股一级资本，其中有30家。FSB周二在一份声明中表示，更高的要求将于2023年1月生效。</blockquote></p><p> The higher capital requirements won’t have an immediate impact on the U.S. banks, since the Federal Reserve already requires higher additional capital standards for the biggest banks. The FSB’s decisions on additional capital requirements come in the form of recommendations, which national regulators have vowed to follow.</p><p><blockquote>更高的资本要求不会对美国银行产生直接影响，因为美联储已经要求最大的银行更高的额外资本标准。金融稳定委员会关于额外资本要求的决定是以建议的形式做出的，各国监管机构发誓要遵循这些建议。</blockquote></p><p> The changes “largely reflect the effects of changes in underlying activity of banks,” the FSB said. Bank balance sheets swelled during the pandemic, a response to huge amounts of central bank stimulus and government spending. JPMorgan’s total assets grew by more than a quarter to $3.39 trillion in 2020, from $2.69 trillion the year before.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会表示，这些变化“在很大程度上反映了银行基础活动变化的影响”。疫情期间，银行资产负债表膨胀，这是对央行巨额刺激和政府支出的回应。摩根大通的总资产从上年的2.69万亿美元增长了四分之一以上，达到2020年的3.39万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The FSB updates its list of biggest banks annually. JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank, must have an additional capital buffer of 2.5%, becoming the only global lender with a requirement of this size. The aim of the buffer is to ensure that the biggest banks have enough loss-absorbing capacity for an orderly resolution if the bank fails.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会每年都会更新其最大银行名单。美国最大的银行摩根大通必须有2.5%的额外资本缓冲，成为唯一一家有这一规模要求的全球银行。缓冲的目的是确保最大的银行有足够的损失吸收能力，以便在银行倒闭时有序解决问题。</blockquote></p><p> A JPMorgan spokesperson said the bank already meets the requirement because the Federal Reserve has set it a higher surcharge of 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发言人表示，该银行已经满足了这一要求，因为美联储为其设定了3.5%的更高附加费。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve has set Goldman Sachs a surcharge of 2.5%, higher than the FSB’s new requirement of 1.5%. Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>美联储为高盛设定了2.5%的附加费，高于FSB 1.5%的新要求。高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> BNP Paribas must have an additional capital buffer of 2%, joining Citigroup Inc. and HSBC Holdings PLC, which already have to meet that level. BNP Paribas declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>法国巴黎银行必须拥有2%的额外资本缓冲，加入花旗集团和汇丰控股的行列，后者已经必须达到这一水平。法国巴黎银行拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> “Banks have headroom in their capital ratios to manage it,” said Richard Barnes, an analyst at S&amp;P Global Ratings.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔全球评级分析师理查德·巴恩斯表示：“银行的资本比率有足够的空间来管理它。”</blockquote></p><p> The FSB’s secretariat is hosted by the Bank for International Settlements, a group owned by central banks around the world. After the rush of bank failures and bailouts in 2008 and 2009, regulators came together under the FSB to set minimum uniform standards for bank capital.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会的秘书处由国际清算银行主办，该银行是一个由世界各地央行拥有的集团。在2008年和2009年银行倒闭和救助热潮之后，监管机构在金融稳定委员会的领导下联合起来，为银行资本设定了最低统一标准。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/jpmorgan-goldman-sachs-told-to-boost-capital-buffers-11637669426?siteid=yhoof2\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通","BNPQY":"BNP Paribas","GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/jpmorgan-goldman-sachs-told-to-boost-capital-buffers-11637669426?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111787545","content_text":"Global financial regulators boosted capital requirements for JPMorgan Chase & Co., Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and BNP Paribas SAunder rules intended to help avoid a repeat of the 2008 global financial crisis, in which the largest lenders were deemed too big to fail.\nThe Financial Stability Board in Basel, Switzerland, said the three banks would be required to set aside a further 0.5% of common equity Tier 1 capital under rules for the world’s largest lenders—the so-called global systemically important banks, of which there are currently 30. The higher requirements become effective in January 2023, the FSB said in a statement Tuesday.\nThe higher capital requirements won’t have an immediate impact on the U.S. banks, since the Federal Reserve already requires higher additional capital standards for the biggest banks. The FSB’s decisions on additional capital requirements come in the form of recommendations, which national regulators have vowed to follow.\nThe changes “largely reflect the effects of changes in underlying activity of banks,” the FSB said. Bank balance sheets swelled during the pandemic, a response to huge amounts of central bank stimulus and government spending. JPMorgan’s total assets grew by more than a quarter to $3.39 trillion in 2020, from $2.69 trillion the year before.\nThe FSB updates its list of biggest banks annually. JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank, must have an additional capital buffer of 2.5%, becoming the only global lender with a requirement of this size. The aim of the buffer is to ensure that the biggest banks have enough loss-absorbing capacity for an orderly resolution if the bank fails.\nA JPMorgan spokesperson said the bank already meets the requirement because the Federal Reserve has set it a higher surcharge of 3.5%.\nThe Federal Reserve has set Goldman Sachs a surcharge of 2.5%, higher than the FSB’s new requirement of 1.5%. Goldman Sachs declined to comment.\nBNP Paribas must have an additional capital buffer of 2%, joining Citigroup Inc. and HSBC Holdings PLC, which already have to meet that level. BNP Paribas declined to comment.\n“Banks have headroom in their capital ratios to manage it,” said Richard Barnes, an analyst at S&P Global Ratings.\nThe FSB’s secretariat is hosted by the Bank for International Settlements, a group owned by central banks around the world. After the rush of bank failures and bailouts in 2008 and 2009, regulators came together under the FSB to set minimum uniform standards for bank capital.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9,"BNPQY":0.9,"JPM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879623910,"gmtCreate":1636719920653,"gmtModify":1636719920806,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nnnnbo","listText":"Nnnnbo","text":"Nnnnbo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879623910","repostId":"2182100092","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843908425,"gmtCreate":1635786719859,"gmtModify":1635786719966,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575256032463698\">@tearach</a>: Wojjjjjjw","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575256032463698\">@tearach</a>: Wojjjjjjw","text":"//@tearach: Wojjjjjjw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843908425","repostId":"2172647479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822616691,"gmtCreate":1634125493997,"gmtModify":1634125494105,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Woe","listText":"Woe","text":"Woe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822616691","repostId":"1136817202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136817202","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634123903,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136817202?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 19:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IBM Will Complete Its Spinoff of Kyndryl in November. What to Know.<blockquote>IBM将于11月完成对Kyndryl的分拆。知道什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136817202","media":"Barrons","summary":"IBM announced Tuesday that it will complete the spinoff of Kyndryl, its managed infrastructure servi","content":"<p>IBM&nbsp;announced Tuesday that it will complete the spinoff of Kyndryl, its managed infrastructure services business, at the end of trading on Nov. 3.</p><p><blockquote>IBM周二宣布，将在11月3日交易结束时完成对其托管基础设施服务业务Kyndryl的分拆。</blockquote></p><p> As previously announced, IBM (ticker: IBM) will distribute 80.1% of its Kyndryl shares to current IBM holders. Each IBM holder will receive one Kyndryl shares for each five IBM shares held as of the record date of Oct. 25. The distribution will be tax-free to IBM holders. Kyndryl will trade on the NYSE under the symbol KD.</p><p><blockquote>正如之前宣布的那样，IBM（股票代码：IBM）将把其80.1%的Kyndryl股份分配给当前的IBM持有者。截至10月25日登记日，每位IBM持有人每持有5股IBM股票，将获得1股Kyndryl股票。IBM持有者将免税。Kyndryl将在纽约证券交易所交易，代码为KD。</blockquote></p><p> IBM said it expects to exchange its remaining 19.9% stake in Kyndryl for outstanding IBM debt in the 12 months following completion of the distribution.</p><p><blockquote>IBM表示，预计在分配完成后的12个月内，将其持有的Kyndryl剩余19.9%的股份换成IBM未偿债务。</blockquote></p><p> According to a recent IBM filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission about the spinoff, Kyndryl on a pro forma basis had 2020 revenue of $19.4 billion, down from $20.3 billion in 2019 and $21.8 billion in 2018. For the 2021 first half, revenue on a pro forma basis was $9.4 billion. Kyndryl had losses on a GAAP basis in both 2020 and the first half of 2021, but that includes one-time charges related to both workforce reduction and the spinoff. On a non-GAAP basis, Kynrdryl had pretax profits of $378 million in 2020 and $156 million in the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>根据IBM最近向美国证券交易委员会提交的有关分拆的文件，Kyndryl 2020年的预计收入为194亿美元，低于2019年的203亿美元和2018年的218亿美元。2021年上半年，预计收入为94亿美元。按公认会计准则计算，Kyndryl在2020年和2021年上半年均出现亏损，但其中包括与裁员和分拆相关的一次性费用。按非GAAP计算，Kynrdryl 2020年税前利润为3.78亿美元，2021年上半年为1.56亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM said that following the separation, the initial combined dividend level of Kyndryl and IBM is expected to be no less than IBM’s pre-spinoff dividend per share. IBM shares have a current dividend yield of 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>IBM表示，分拆后，Kyndryl和IBM的初始合并股息水平预计将不低于IBM分拆前的每股股息。IBM股票目前的股息率为4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM noted in its announcement that its shareholders don’t need to take any action to receive the Kyndryl shares to which they are entitled.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在公告中指出，其股东无需采取任何行动即可获得他们有权获得的Kyndryl股票。</blockquote></p><p> IBM on Tuesday is off 1% to $140.95.</p><p><blockquote>IBM周二下跌1%，至140.95美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IBM Will Complete Its Spinoff of Kyndryl in November. What to Know.<blockquote>IBM将于11月完成对Kyndryl的分拆。知道什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIBM Will Complete Its Spinoff of Kyndryl in November. What to Know.<blockquote>IBM将于11月完成对Kyndryl的分拆。知道什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-13 19:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>IBM&nbsp;announced Tuesday that it will complete the spinoff of Kyndryl, its managed infrastructure services business, at the end of trading on Nov. 3.</p><p><blockquote>IBM周二宣布，将在11月3日交易结束时完成对其托管基础设施服务业务Kyndryl的分拆。</blockquote></p><p> As previously announced, IBM (ticker: IBM) will distribute 80.1% of its Kyndryl shares to current IBM holders. Each IBM holder will receive one Kyndryl shares for each five IBM shares held as of the record date of Oct. 25. The distribution will be tax-free to IBM holders. Kyndryl will trade on the NYSE under the symbol KD.</p><p><blockquote>正如之前宣布的那样，IBM（股票代码：IBM）将把其80.1%的Kyndryl股份分配给当前的IBM持有者。截至10月25日登记日，每位IBM持有人每持有5股IBM股票，将获得1股Kyndryl股票。IBM持有者将免税。Kyndryl将在纽约证券交易所交易，代码为KD。</blockquote></p><p> IBM said it expects to exchange its remaining 19.9% stake in Kyndryl for outstanding IBM debt in the 12 months following completion of the distribution.</p><p><blockquote>IBM表示，预计在分配完成后的12个月内，将其持有的Kyndryl剩余19.9%的股份换成IBM未偿债务。</blockquote></p><p> According to a recent IBM filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission about the spinoff, Kyndryl on a pro forma basis had 2020 revenue of $19.4 billion, down from $20.3 billion in 2019 and $21.8 billion in 2018. For the 2021 first half, revenue on a pro forma basis was $9.4 billion. Kyndryl had losses on a GAAP basis in both 2020 and the first half of 2021, but that includes one-time charges related to both workforce reduction and the spinoff. On a non-GAAP basis, Kynrdryl had pretax profits of $378 million in 2020 and $156 million in the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>根据IBM最近向美国证券交易委员会提交的有关分拆的文件，Kyndryl 2020年的预计收入为194亿美元，低于2019年的203亿美元和2018年的218亿美元。2021年上半年，预计收入为94亿美元。按公认会计准则计算，Kyndryl在2020年和2021年上半年均出现亏损，但其中包括与裁员和分拆相关的一次性费用。按非GAAP计算，Kynrdryl 2020年税前利润为3.78亿美元，2021年上半年为1.56亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM said that following the separation, the initial combined dividend level of Kyndryl and IBM is expected to be no less than IBM’s pre-spinoff dividend per share. IBM shares have a current dividend yield of 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>IBM表示，分拆后，Kyndryl和IBM的初始合并股息水平预计将不低于IBM分拆前的每股股息。IBM股票目前的股息率为4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM noted in its announcement that its shareholders don’t need to take any action to receive the Kyndryl shares to which they are entitled.</p><p><blockquote>IBM在公告中指出，其股东无需采取任何行动即可获得他们有权获得的Kyndryl股票。</blockquote></p><p> IBM on Tuesday is off 1% to $140.95.</p><p><blockquote>IBM周二下跌1%，至140.95美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/ibm-kyndryl-spinoff-51634069861?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/ibm-kyndryl-spinoff-51634069861?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136817202","content_text":"IBM announced Tuesday that it will complete the spinoff of Kyndryl, its managed infrastructure services business, at the end of trading on Nov. 3.\nAs previously announced, IBM (ticker: IBM) will distribute 80.1% of its Kyndryl shares to current IBM holders. Each IBM holder will receive one Kyndryl shares for each five IBM shares held as of the record date of Oct. 25. The distribution will be tax-free to IBM holders. Kyndryl will trade on the NYSE under the symbol KD.\nIBM said it expects to exchange its remaining 19.9% stake in Kyndryl for outstanding IBM debt in the 12 months following completion of the distribution.\nAccording to a recent IBM filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission about the spinoff, Kyndryl on a pro forma basis had 2020 revenue of $19.4 billion, down from $20.3 billion in 2019 and $21.8 billion in 2018. For the 2021 first half, revenue on a pro forma basis was $9.4 billion. Kyndryl had losses on a GAAP basis in both 2020 and the first half of 2021, but that includes one-time charges related to both workforce reduction and the spinoff. On a non-GAAP basis, Kynrdryl had pretax profits of $378 million in 2020 and $156 million in the first half of 2021.\nIBM said that following the separation, the initial combined dividend level of Kyndryl and IBM is expected to be no less than IBM’s pre-spinoff dividend per share. IBM shares have a current dividend yield of 4.7%.\nIBM noted in its announcement that its shareholders don’t need to take any action to receive the Kyndryl shares to which they are entitled.\nIBM on Tuesday is off 1% to $140.95.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828712434,"gmtCreate":1633945577182,"gmtModify":1633945577344,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828712434","repostId":"2174971913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829266772,"gmtCreate":1633516053123,"gmtModify":1633516053477,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829266772","repostId":"1140605265","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140605265","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633514236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140605265?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-06 17:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The next financial crisis is fast approaching<blockquote>下一次金融危机即将来临</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140605265","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while lev","content":"<p>  <b>Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while leverage is near record levels for households, corporations, banks and governments.</b>  NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)— Since early 2020, central banks across the advanced economies have had to choose between pursuing financial stability, low (typically 2%) inflation, or real economic activity. Without exception, they have opted in favor of financial stability, followed by real economic activity, with inflation last.</p><p><blockquote><b>各国央行需要做好准备，因为全球股市和房地产被高估，而家庭、企业、银行和政府的杠杆率接近创纪录水平。</b>纽约（Project Syndicate）——自2020年初以来，发达经济体的央行不得不在追求金融稳定、低通胀（通常为2%）或实体经济活动之间做出选择。无一例外，他们都选择了金融稳定，其次是实体经济活动，最后是通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, the only advanced-economy central bank to raise interest rates since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been Norway’s Norges Bank, which&nbsp;lifted&nbsp;its policy rate from zero to 0.25% on Sept. 24. While it has&nbsp;hinted&nbsp;that an additional rate increase is likely in December, and that its policy rate could reach 1.7% toward the end of 2024, that is merely more evidence of monetary policy makers’ extreme reluctance to implement the kind of rate increases that are required to achieve a 2% inflation target consistently.</p><p><blockquote>因此，自COVID-19大流行开始以来唯一加息的发达经济体央行是挪威央行，该央行于9月24日将政策利率从零上调至0.25%。尽管它暗示可能会在12月进一步加息，并且其政策利率可能在2024年底达到1.7%，但这只是更多证据表明货币政策制定者极其不愿意实施所需的加息持续实现2%的通胀目标。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</b>  Central banks’ overwhelming reluctance to pursue interest-rate and balance-sheet policies compatible with their inflation targets should come as no surprise. In the years between the start of the Great Moderation in the mid-1980s and the 2007-08 financial crisis, advanced-economy central banks failed to give sufficient weight to financial stability. A prime example was the Bank of England’s loss of all supervisory and regulatory powers when it was granted operational independence in 1997.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天的风险资产估值完全脱离现实。</b>各国央行极不愿意推行与其通胀目标相适应的利率和资产负债表政策，这并不奇怪。在20世纪80年代中期大缓和开始到2007-08年金融危机之间的几年里，发达经济体的央行未能对金融稳定给予足够的重视。一个典型的例子是英格兰银行在1997年获得运营独立性时失去了所有监督和监管权力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Prioritize financial stability over inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将金融稳定置于通胀之上</b></blockquote></p><p> The result was a financial disaster and a severe cyclical downturn. Confirming the logic of “once bitten, twice shy,” central banks then responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by pursuing unprecedentedly aggressive policies to ensure financial stability. But they also went far beyond what was required, pulling out all the policy stops to support real economic activity.</p><p><blockquote>结果是一场金融灾难和严重的周期性衰退。各国央行随后通过采取前所未有的激进政策来确保金融稳定，从而证实了“一劳永逸”的逻辑。但他们也远远超出了要求，用尽了所有政策来支持实体经济活动。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks were right to prioritize financial stability over price stability, considering that financial stability itself is a prerequisite for sustainable price stability (and for some central banks’ other target, full employment). The economic and social cost of a financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target. Obviously, very high inflation rates must be avoided, because they, too, can become a source of financial instability; but if preventing a financial calamity requires a few years of high single-digit inflation, the price is well worth it.</p><p><blockquote>各国央行将金融稳定置于价格稳定之上是正确的，因为金融稳定本身是可持续价格稳定的先决条件（对于一些央行的另一个目标，即充分就业）。金融危机的经济和社会成本，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。显然，必须避免非常高的通货膨胀率，因为它们也可能成为金融不稳定的根源；但如果防止金融灾难需要几年的高个位数通胀，那么这个代价是非常值得的。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets.</b>  I hope (and expect) that central banks—not least the Federal Reserve—are ready to respond appropriately if the U.S. federal government breaches its “debt ceiling” on or around Oct. 18. A recent&nbsp;study&nbsp;by Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics concludes that a U.S. sovereign debt default could destroy up to 6 million U.S. jobs and wipe out as much as $15 trillion in private wealth. This estimate strikes me as optimistic. If the sovereign default were to be protracted, the costs would probably be much higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动负债和非流动资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。</b>我希望（并期待）如果美国联邦政府在10月18日或前后突破“债务上限”，各国央行——尤其是美联储——准备好做出适当反应。穆迪分析公司（Moody’s Analytics）的马克·赞迪（Mark Zandi）最近的一项研究得出结论，美国主权债务违约可能会摧毁多达600万个美国工作岗位，并抹去多达15万亿美元的私人财富。这个估计让我觉得很乐观。如果主权违约长期化，成本可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> In any case, a U.S. sovereign default would also have a dramatic and devastating global impact, afflicting both advanced economies and emerging and developing markets. U.S. sovereign debtTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%is widely held globally, and the U.S. dollarBUXX,0.43%remains the world’s senior reserve currency.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，美国主权违约也将产生巨大和毁灭性的全球影响，困扰发达经济体以及新兴和发展中市场。美国主权债务TTMUBMUSD10Y, 1.551%在全球范围内被广泛持有，美元BUXX, 0.43%仍然是世界的高级储备货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vulnerable to financial shocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>易受金融冲击</b></blockquote></p><p> Even without a self-inflicted wound like a congressional failure to raise or suspend the debt ceiling, financial fragility is rife nowadays. Household, corporate, financial, and government balance sheets have grown to record highs this century, rendering all four sectors more vulnerable to financial shocks.</p><p><blockquote>即使没有国会未能提高或暂停债务上限等自我造成的创伤，金融脆弱性如今也很普遍。家庭、企业、金融和政府的资产负债表已增长至本世纪的历史新高，使所有四个部门更容易受到金融冲击的影响。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The economic and social cost of a</b>   <b>financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target.</b>  Central banks are the only economic actors capable of addressing the funding and market-liquidity crises that are now part of the new normal. There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets. This is as true in China as it is in the U.S., the eurozone, Japan, and the United Kingdom.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济和社会成本</b><b>金融危机，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。</b>央行是唯一有能力解决融资和市场流动性危机的经济参与者，这些危机现在已成为新常态的一部分。非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动负债和非流动资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。这在中国是真实的，在美国、欧元区、日本和英国也是如此。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> China’s real-estate bubble—and the household debt secured against it—is likely to implode sooner or later. The dangerously indebted property developer Evergrande could well be the catalyst. But even if Chinese authorities manage to prevent a full-fledged financial meltdown, a deep and persistent economic slump would be unavoidable. Add to that a marked decline in China’s potential growth rate (owing to demographics and enterprise-hostile policies), and the world economy will have lost one of its engines.</p><p><blockquote>中国的房地产泡沫——以及以此为抵押的家庭债务——可能迟早会破裂。负债累累的房地产开发商恒大很可能成为催化剂。但即使中国当局设法阻止了全面的金融崩溃，深度和持续的经济衰退也是不可避免的。再加上中国潜在增长率的显著下降（由于人口结构和反企业政策），世界经济将失去一个引擎。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫</b></blockquote></p><p> Across the advanced economies (and in many emerging markets), risk assets, notably equitySPX,+1.05%GDOW,0.04%DJIA,+0.92%and real estate, appear to be materially overvalued, despite recent minor corrections. The only way to avoid this conclusion is to believe that long-run real interest rates today (which are negative in many cases) are at or close to their fundamental values. I suspect that both the long-run real safe interest rate and assorted risk premiums are being artificially depressed by distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles, respectively. If so, today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</p><p><blockquote>在整个发达经济体（以及许多新兴市场），风险资产，特别是股票SPX、+1.05%GDOW、0.04%道琼斯、+0.92%和房地产，似乎被严重高估，尽管最近略有调整。避免这一结论的唯一方法是相信今天的长期实际利率（在许多情况下为负）处于或接近其基本值。我怀疑长期实际安全利率和各种风险溢价分别被扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫人为压低。如果是这样的话，今天的风险资产估值就完全脱离了现实。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot.</b>  Whenever the inevitable price corrections materialize, central banks, supervisors, and regulators will need to work closely with finance ministries to limit the damage to the real economy. Significant deleveraging by all four sectors (households, nonfinancial corporates, financial institutions, and governments) will be necessary to reduce financial vulnerability and boost resilience. Orderly debt restructuring, including sovereign debt restructuring in several highly vulnerable developing countries, will need to be part of the overdue restoration of financial sustainability.</p><p><blockquote><b>2%通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。</b>每当不可避免的价格调整成为现实时，央行、监管者和监管者都需要与财政部密切合作，以限制对实体经济的损害。所有四个部门（家庭、非金融企业、金融机构和政府）都有必要大幅去杠杆化，以降低金融脆弱性和增强弹性。有序的债务重组，包括几个高度脆弱的发展中国家的主权债务重组，将需要成为迟来的恢复财政可持续性的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks, acting as lenders of last resort (LLR) and market makers of last resort (MMLR), will once again be the linchpins in what is sure to be a chaotic sequence of events. Their contributions to global financial stability have never been more important. The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot. Since LLR and MMLR operations are conducted in the twilight zone between illiquidity and insolvency, these central-bank activities have marked quasi-fiscal characteristics. Thus, the crisis now waiting in the wings will inevitably diminish central bank independence.</p><p><blockquote>作为最后贷款人（LLR）和最后做市商（MMLR）的央行将再次成为一系列混乱事件的关键。它们对全球金融稳定的贡献从未像现在这样重要。2%通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。由于LLR和MMLR操作是在流动性不足和破产之间的边缘地带进行的，这些央行活动具有明显的准财政特征。因此，即将到来的危机将不可避免地削弱央行的独立性。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Willem H. Buiter is an adjunct professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University.He was global chief economist at Citigroup from 2010 to 2018</i></b>.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>威廉·H·比特是哥伦比亚大学国际和公共事务兼职教授。2010年至2018年任花旗集团全球首席经济学家</i></b>.</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The next financial crisis is fast approaching<blockquote>下一次金融危机即将来临</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe next financial crisis is fast approaching<blockquote>下一次金融危机即将来临</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-06 17:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while leverage is near record levels for households, corporations, banks and governments.</b>  NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)— Since early 2020, central banks across the advanced economies have had to choose between pursuing financial stability, low (typically 2%) inflation, or real economic activity. Without exception, they have opted in favor of financial stability, followed by real economic activity, with inflation last.</p><p><blockquote><b>各国央行需要做好准备，因为全球股市和房地产被高估，而家庭、企业、银行和政府的杠杆率接近创纪录水平。</b>纽约（Project Syndicate）——自2020年初以来，发达经济体的央行不得不在追求金融稳定、低通胀（通常为2%）或实体经济活动之间做出选择。无一例外，他们都选择了金融稳定，其次是实体经济活动，最后是通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, the only advanced-economy central bank to raise interest rates since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been Norway’s Norges Bank, which&nbsp;lifted&nbsp;its policy rate from zero to 0.25% on Sept. 24. While it has&nbsp;hinted&nbsp;that an additional rate increase is likely in December, and that its policy rate could reach 1.7% toward the end of 2024, that is merely more evidence of monetary policy makers’ extreme reluctance to implement the kind of rate increases that are required to achieve a 2% inflation target consistently.</p><p><blockquote>因此，自COVID-19大流行开始以来唯一加息的发达经济体央行是挪威央行，该央行于9月24日将政策利率从零上调至0.25%。尽管它暗示可能会在12月进一步加息，并且其政策利率可能在2024年底达到1.7%，但这只是更多证据表明货币政策制定者极其不愿意实施所需的加息持续实现2%的通胀目标。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</b>  Central banks’ overwhelming reluctance to pursue interest-rate and balance-sheet policies compatible with their inflation targets should come as no surprise. In the years between the start of the Great Moderation in the mid-1980s and the 2007-08 financial crisis, advanced-economy central banks failed to give sufficient weight to financial stability. A prime example was the Bank of England’s loss of all supervisory and regulatory powers when it was granted operational independence in 1997.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天的风险资产估值完全脱离现实。</b>各国央行极不愿意推行与其通胀目标相适应的利率和资产负债表政策，这并不奇怪。在20世纪80年代中期大缓和开始到2007-08年金融危机之间的几年里，发达经济体的央行未能对金融稳定给予足够的重视。一个典型的例子是英格兰银行在1997年获得运营独立性时失去了所有监督和监管权力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Prioritize financial stability over inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将金融稳定置于通胀之上</b></blockquote></p><p> The result was a financial disaster and a severe cyclical downturn. Confirming the logic of “once bitten, twice shy,” central banks then responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by pursuing unprecedentedly aggressive policies to ensure financial stability. But they also went far beyond what was required, pulling out all the policy stops to support real economic activity.</p><p><blockquote>结果是一场金融灾难和严重的周期性衰退。各国央行随后通过采取前所未有的激进政策来确保金融稳定，从而证实了“一劳永逸”的逻辑。但他们也远远超出了要求，用尽了所有政策来支持实体经济活动。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks were right to prioritize financial stability over price stability, considering that financial stability itself is a prerequisite for sustainable price stability (and for some central banks’ other target, full employment). The economic and social cost of a financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target. Obviously, very high inflation rates must be avoided, because they, too, can become a source of financial instability; but if preventing a financial calamity requires a few years of high single-digit inflation, the price is well worth it.</p><p><blockquote>各国央行将金融稳定置于价格稳定之上是正确的，因为金融稳定本身是可持续价格稳定的先决条件（对于一些央行的另一个目标，即充分就业）。金融危机的经济和社会成本，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。显然，必须避免非常高的通货膨胀率，因为它们也可能成为金融不稳定的根源；但如果防止金融灾难需要几年的高个位数通胀，那么这个代价是非常值得的。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets.</b>  I hope (and expect) that central banks—not least the Federal Reserve—are ready to respond appropriately if the U.S. federal government breaches its “debt ceiling” on or around Oct. 18. A recent&nbsp;study&nbsp;by Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics concludes that a U.S. sovereign debt default could destroy up to 6 million U.S. jobs and wipe out as much as $15 trillion in private wealth. This estimate strikes me as optimistic. If the sovereign default were to be protracted, the costs would probably be much higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动负债和非流动资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。</b>我希望（并期待）如果美国联邦政府在10月18日或前后突破“债务上限”，各国央行——尤其是美联储——准备好做出适当反应。穆迪分析公司（Moody’s Analytics）的马克·赞迪（Mark Zandi）最近的一项研究得出结论，美国主权债务违约可能会摧毁多达600万个美国工作岗位，并抹去多达15万亿美元的私人财富。这个估计让我觉得很乐观。如果主权违约长期化，成本可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> In any case, a U.S. sovereign default would also have a dramatic and devastating global impact, afflicting both advanced economies and emerging and developing markets. U.S. sovereign debtTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%is widely held globally, and the U.S. dollarBUXX,0.43%remains the world’s senior reserve currency.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，美国主权违约也将产生巨大和毁灭性的全球影响，困扰发达经济体以及新兴和发展中市场。美国主权债务TTMUBMUSD10Y, 1.551%在全球范围内被广泛持有，美元BUXX, 0.43%仍然是世界的高级储备货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vulnerable to financial shocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>易受金融冲击</b></blockquote></p><p> Even without a self-inflicted wound like a congressional failure to raise or suspend the debt ceiling, financial fragility is rife nowadays. Household, corporate, financial, and government balance sheets have grown to record highs this century, rendering all four sectors more vulnerable to financial shocks.</p><p><blockquote>即使没有国会未能提高或暂停债务上限等自我造成的创伤，金融脆弱性如今也很普遍。家庭、企业、金融和政府的资产负债表已增长至本世纪的历史新高，使所有四个部门更容易受到金融冲击的影响。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The economic and social cost of a</b>   <b>financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target.</b>  Central banks are the only economic actors capable of addressing the funding and market-liquidity crises that are now part of the new normal. There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets. This is as true in China as it is in the U.S., the eurozone, Japan, and the United Kingdom.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济和社会成本</b><b>金融危机，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。</b>央行是唯一有能力解决融资和市场流动性危机的经济参与者，这些危机现在已成为新常态的一部分。非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动负债和非流动资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。这在中国是真实的，在美国、欧元区、日本和英国也是如此。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> China’s real-estate bubble—and the household debt secured against it—is likely to implode sooner or later. The dangerously indebted property developer Evergrande could well be the catalyst. But even if Chinese authorities manage to prevent a full-fledged financial meltdown, a deep and persistent economic slump would be unavoidable. Add to that a marked decline in China’s potential growth rate (owing to demographics and enterprise-hostile policies), and the world economy will have lost one of its engines.</p><p><blockquote>中国的房地产泡沫——以及以此为抵押的家庭债务——可能迟早会破裂。负债累累的房地产开发商恒大很可能成为催化剂。但即使中国当局设法阻止了全面的金融崩溃，深度和持续的经济衰退也是不可避免的。再加上中国潜在增长率的显著下降（由于人口结构和反企业政策），世界经济将失去一个引擎。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫</b></blockquote></p><p> Across the advanced economies (and in many emerging markets), risk assets, notably equitySPX,+1.05%GDOW,0.04%DJIA,+0.92%and real estate, appear to be materially overvalued, despite recent minor corrections. The only way to avoid this conclusion is to believe that long-run real interest rates today (which are negative in many cases) are at or close to their fundamental values. I suspect that both the long-run real safe interest rate and assorted risk premiums are being artificially depressed by distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles, respectively. If so, today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</p><p><blockquote>在整个发达经济体（以及许多新兴市场），风险资产，特别是股票SPX、+1.05%GDOW、0.04%道琼斯、+0.92%和房地产，似乎被严重高估，尽管最近略有调整。避免这一结论的唯一方法是相信今天的长期实际利率（在许多情况下为负）处于或接近其基本值。我怀疑长期实际安全利率和各种风险溢价分别被扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫人为压低。如果是这样的话，今天的风险资产估值就完全脱离了现实。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot.</b>  Whenever the inevitable price corrections materialize, central banks, supervisors, and regulators will need to work closely with finance ministries to limit the damage to the real economy. Significant deleveraging by all four sectors (households, nonfinancial corporates, financial institutions, and governments) will be necessary to reduce financial vulnerability and boost resilience. Orderly debt restructuring, including sovereign debt restructuring in several highly vulnerable developing countries, will need to be part of the overdue restoration of financial sustainability.</p><p><blockquote><b>2%通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。</b>每当不可避免的价格调整成为现实时，央行、监管者和监管者都需要与财政部密切合作，以限制对实体经济的损害。所有四个部门（家庭、非金融企业、金融机构和政府）都有必要大幅去杠杆化，以降低金融脆弱性和增强弹性。有序的债务重组，包括几个高度脆弱的发展中国家的主权债务重组，将需要成为迟来的恢复财政可持续性的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks, acting as lenders of last resort (LLR) and market makers of last resort (MMLR), will once again be the linchpins in what is sure to be a chaotic sequence of events. Their contributions to global financial stability have never been more important. The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot. Since LLR and MMLR operations are conducted in the twilight zone between illiquidity and insolvency, these central-bank activities have marked quasi-fiscal characteristics. Thus, the crisis now waiting in the wings will inevitably diminish central bank independence.</p><p><blockquote>作为最后贷款人（LLR）和最后做市商（MMLR）的央行将再次成为一系列混乱事件的关键。它们对全球金融稳定的贡献从未像现在这样重要。2%通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。由于LLR和MMLR操作是在流动性不足和破产之间的边缘地带进行的，这些央行活动具有明显的准财政特征。因此，即将到来的危机将不可避免地削弱央行的独立性。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Willem H. Buiter is an adjunct professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University.He was global chief economist at Citigroup from 2010 to 2018</i></b>.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>威廉·H·比特是哥伦比亚大学国际和公共事务兼职教授。2010年至2018年任花旗集团全球首席经济学家</i></b>.</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-next-financial-crisis-is-fast-approaching-11633447555?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-next-financial-crisis-is-fast-approaching-11633447555?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140605265","content_text":"Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while leverage is near record levels for households, corporations, banks and governments.\n\nNEW YORK (Project Syndicate)— Since early 2020, central banks across the advanced economies have had to choose between pursuing financial stability, low (typically 2%) inflation, or real economic activity. Without exception, they have opted in favor of financial stability, followed by real economic activity, with inflation last.\nAs a result, the only advanced-economy central bank to raise interest rates since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been Norway’s Norges Bank, which lifted its policy rate from zero to 0.25% on Sept. 24. While it has hinted that an additional rate increase is likely in December, and that its policy rate could reach 1.7% toward the end of 2024, that is merely more evidence of monetary policy makers’ extreme reluctance to implement the kind of rate increases that are required to achieve a 2% inflation target consistently.\n\nToday’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.\n\nCentral banks’ overwhelming reluctance to pursue interest-rate and balance-sheet policies compatible with their inflation targets should come as no surprise. In the years between the start of the Great Moderation in the mid-1980s and the 2007-08 financial crisis, advanced-economy central banks failed to give sufficient weight to financial stability. A prime example was the Bank of England’s loss of all supervisory and regulatory powers when it was granted operational independence in 1997.\nPrioritize financial stability over inflation\nThe result was a financial disaster and a severe cyclical downturn. Confirming the logic of “once bitten, twice shy,” central banks then responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by pursuing unprecedentedly aggressive policies to ensure financial stability. But they also went far beyond what was required, pulling out all the policy stops to support real economic activity.\nCentral banks were right to prioritize financial stability over price stability, considering that financial stability itself is a prerequisite for sustainable price stability (and for some central banks’ other target, full employment). The economic and social cost of a financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target. Obviously, very high inflation rates must be avoided, because they, too, can become a source of financial instability; but if preventing a financial calamity requires a few years of high single-digit inflation, the price is well worth it.\n\nThere is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets.\n\nI hope (and expect) that central banks—not least the Federal Reserve—are ready to respond appropriately if the U.S. federal government breaches its “debt ceiling” on or around Oct. 18. A recent study by Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics concludes that a U.S. sovereign debt default could destroy up to 6 million U.S. jobs and wipe out as much as $15 trillion in private wealth. This estimate strikes me as optimistic. If the sovereign default were to be protracted, the costs would probably be much higher.\nIn any case, a U.S. sovereign default would also have a dramatic and devastating global impact, afflicting both advanced economies and emerging and developing markets. U.S. sovereign debtTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%is widely held globally, and the U.S. dollarBUXX,0.43%remains the world’s senior reserve currency.\nVulnerable to financial shocks\nEven without a self-inflicted wound like a congressional failure to raise or suspend the debt ceiling, financial fragility is rife nowadays. Household, corporate, financial, and government balance sheets have grown to record highs this century, rendering all four sectors more vulnerable to financial shocks.\n\nThe economic and social cost of a\nfinancial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target.\n\nCentral banks are the only economic actors capable of addressing the funding and market-liquidity crises that are now part of the new normal. There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets. This is as true in China as it is in the U.S., the eurozone, Japan, and the United Kingdom.\nChina’s real-estate bubble—and the household debt secured against it—is likely to implode sooner or later. The dangerously indebted property developer Evergrande could well be the catalyst. But even if Chinese authorities manage to prevent a full-fledged financial meltdown, a deep and persistent economic slump would be unavoidable. Add to that a marked decline in China’s potential growth rate (owing to demographics and enterprise-hostile policies), and the world economy will have lost one of its engines.\nDistorted beliefs and enduring bubbles\nAcross the advanced economies (and in many emerging markets), risk assets, notably equitySPX,+1.05%GDOW,0.04%DJIA,+0.92%and real estate, appear to be materially overvalued, despite recent minor corrections. The only way to avoid this conclusion is to believe that long-run real interest rates today (which are negative in many cases) are at or close to their fundamental values. I suspect that both the long-run real safe interest rate and assorted risk premiums are being artificially depressed by distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles, respectively. If so, today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.\n\nThe goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot.\n\nWhenever the inevitable price corrections materialize, central banks, supervisors, and regulators will need to work closely with finance ministries to limit the damage to the real economy. Significant deleveraging by all four sectors (households, nonfinancial corporates, financial institutions, and governments) will be necessary to reduce financial vulnerability and boost resilience. Orderly debt restructuring, including sovereign debt restructuring in several highly vulnerable developing countries, will need to be part of the overdue restoration of financial sustainability.\nCentral banks, acting as lenders of last resort (LLR) and market makers of last resort (MMLR), will once again be the linchpins in what is sure to be a chaotic sequence of events. Their contributions to global financial stability have never been more important. The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot. Since LLR and MMLR operations are conducted in the twilight zone between illiquidity and insolvency, these central-bank activities have marked quasi-fiscal characteristics. Thus, the crisis now waiting in the wings will inevitably diminish central bank independence.\nWillem H. Buiter is an adjunct professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University.He was global chief economist at Citigroup from 2010 to 2018.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867692094,"gmtCreate":1633247240112,"gmtModify":1633247240522,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867692094","repostId":"2172647479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1200,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864184760,"gmtCreate":1633074479271,"gmtModify":1633074479581,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864184760","repostId":"1169857742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1092,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862216177,"gmtCreate":1632880953740,"gmtModify":1632880953865,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862216177","repostId":"1145683571","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145683571","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632880052,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145683571?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 09:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Continuing Losses at Tattooed Chef Will Be a Drag on Its Stock<blockquote>纹身厨师的持续亏损将拖累其股价</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145683571","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"TTCF stock is not likely to move much higher until the plant-based food company is profitable.\n\nTatt","content":"<p><div> TTCF stock is not likely to move much higher until the plant-based food company is profitable.  Tattooed Chef(NASDAQ:TTCF), a plant-based food company, presented further losses in its latestQ2 ...</p><p><blockquote><div>在这家植物性食品公司实现盈利之前，TTCF股价不太可能大幅上涨。植物性食品公司Tattooed Chef（纳斯达克：TTCF）在最近的第二季度进一步亏损...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Continuing Losses at Tattooed Chef Will Be a Drag on Its Stock<blockquote>纹身厨师的持续亏损将拖累其股价</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nContinuing Losses at Tattooed Chef Will Be a Drag on Its Stock<blockquote>纹身厨师的持续亏损将拖累其股价</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 09:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> TTCF stock is not likely to move much higher until the plant-based food company is profitable.  Tattooed Chef(NASDAQ:TTCF), a plant-based food company, presented further losses in its latestQ2 ...</p><p><blockquote><div>在这家植物性食品公司实现盈利之前，TTCF股价不太可能大幅上涨。植物性食品公司Tattooed Chef（纳斯达克：TTCF）在最近的第二季度进一步亏损...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145683571","content_text":"TTCF stock is not likely to move much higher until the plant-based food company is profitable.\n\nTattooed Chef(NASDAQ:TTCF), a plant-based food company, presented further losses in its latestQ2 earnings report. If that keeps up for the next several quarters, TTCF stock is not going to rise anytime soon. I wrote about the company’s losses and itsprospects last month and since then it has dropped.\nInvestors will not likely continue to tolerate a food company without profitability, even though it is plant-based food. As a result, don’t expect to see TTCF stock rise anytime soon.\nTTCF stock has essentially gone nowhere this year, although it has been a bumpy road. The stock ended last year at $22.89, but as of Sept. 27, it was down 15.8% to $19.28 per share. And this is after it spiked to well over $23 three different times this year.\nBut with the company’s continuing losses, especially its negative free cash flow (FCF), it’s not likely that TTCF stock will rebound any time soon.\nTattooed Chef’s Tattered Finances\nOne reason is that the company is burning through cash each quarter. The Tattooed Chef cash flow statement in its 10-Q filing showed negative free cash flow (FCF) last quarter.\nOnpage 5 of its June 30 10-Q, investors can see that in the past six months, the cash flow from operations was a loss of $24.372 million. After subtracting an additional $10.14 million, the FCF loss was $34.512 million during that period.\nLast quarter, the company’s 1o-Q filing (page 4) showed an FCF outflow of$20.426 million. This implies that its Q2 FCF losses were $14.086 million. So on a run-rate basis, this means that Tattooed Chef is operating on an annual rate of $56.344 million in cash burn.\nThat also implies that the company is going to quickly use up a good portion of the $140.182 million in cash it has on its balance sheet. This can be seen on page 1 of its latest 10-Q filing.\nFor example, if it uses up $60 to $65 million in cash over the next year, the balance will be just $80 million or less. At that point, if its cash burn is still this high, the market will assume that the company will have to raise more cash. That will push TTCF stock even lower.\nThe company has not tried to hide its situation. They have made it clear that they are investing in their operating capacity. They believe that with scale their plant-based food company will become profitable over the long run. For example, they recently purchased Foods of New Mexico and integrated it within the Q2 results. The company says that it could produce over $500 million in revenue or twice the rate that Tattooed Chef will make this year.\nWhat to Do With TTCF Stock\nLast month I showed that the company has lower gross margins but a significantly higher valuation on a price-to-sales (P/S) metric than its peers. For example, its Q2 margin was just 15.7%, whereas some of its peers have a much higher gross margin, well into the 20% range.\nBut those stocks trade for between 0.5 and 1.5 times P/S multiples. TTCF stock is at 6.6 2021 sales and4.9 times 2022 P/S.\nThis implies that it will be a while before Tattooed Chef grows into its present $1.587 billion market value. The2023 projection for sales is $450 million. Even if we add in a $250 million contribution from Foods of New Mexico, the total sales will be just $700 million at best.\nBut at $1.587 billion in market value, the P/S multiple is still over 2.2 times sales. That is still well over what some of its peers trade for. This implies that TTCF could tread water for at least 2 years or so.\nTherefore, most cautious investors will wait for the company to start to show some form of profitability before investing. This is the best way to wait for a bargain entry point for the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TTCF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868220997,"gmtCreate":1632658076019,"gmtModify":1632798737950,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868220997","repostId":"2170614896","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861140656,"gmtCreate":1632474437275,"gmtModify":1632720398085,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861140656","repostId":"1180624046","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180624046","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632473501,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180624046?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 16:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading<blockquote>部分中概股盘前回调</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180624046","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading.","content":"<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;Some&nbsp;China concepts stocks&nbsp;retreated&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>（9月24日）部分中概股盘前回调。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caac4543cc4d30bd94cf27bcd9899cb9\" tg-width=\"341\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏季可能已经结束，但IPO市场刚刚升温，未来一周将有14起IPO筹集53亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费品、支付技术等等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH)计划以96亿美元的市值筹集8.55亿美元。该公司的核心产品是其客户支持软件，它还提供IT服务管理软件和CRM解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出的增加而增加，但截至2011年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长和100%以上的净美元收入保留率。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿发展</b>(KDC)计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种产品，其产品由70多个国家的品牌合作伙伴销售。尽管诺尔顿将使用发行收益来偿还债务，但IPO后仍将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST)计划以179亿美元的市值筹集6.85亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在2021年上半年的ARR增长率超过100%，尽管它历来没有盈利，而且随着餐厅重新开业的推动力减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>全球汇款</b>(RELY)计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly为超过135个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球1,700多个走廊。该公司已实现增长和利润率提高，但仍未盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN)计划以37亿美元的市值筹集4.5亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多家客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在IPO中购买价值1.5亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>索沃斯品牌</b>(SOVO)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International组建，提供一组精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s是意大利面和披萨酱类别中销量第一的SKU。Sovos盈利稳健增长，IPO后将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT)计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.49亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集3亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。尽管该公司在竞争激烈的市场中运营，但该公司为超过50%的财富100强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT)计划以14亿澳元筹集2.5亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过370,000名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>线上时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA)计划以23亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。a.k.a.收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的数字化时尚品牌，从2018年收购Princess Polly开始。该公司已经成功扩张了波利公主，并且在美国发展品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>提示健康</b>(HLTH)计划以24亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Cue首个用于其Cue健康监测系统的商用诊断测试是其COVID-19检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个EUA的授权。Cue还有另外五个测试套件处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将在2022年下半年开始寻求FDA授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市的加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK)计划以8.55亿美元的市值筹集1.38亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo拥有超过21,000台专用计算机（矿机），每秒可生成超过1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN)计划以8.92亿美元的市值筹集1.26亿美元。该公司的垂直整合品牌Thorne和Onegevity提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。Thorne盈利强劲增长，拥有超过300万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK)计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是加拿大附表一特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元资产、16亿美元贷款、15亿美元存款和2.02亿美元股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化14周IPO周</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化14周IPO周</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-18 07:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏季可能已经结束，但IPO市场刚刚升温，未来一周将有14起IPO筹集53亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费品、支付技术等等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH)计划以96亿美元的市值筹集8.55亿美元。该公司的核心产品是其客户支持软件，它还提供IT服务管理软件和CRM解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出的增加而增加，但截至2011年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长和100%以上的净美元收入保留率。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿发展</b>(KDC)计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种产品，其产品由70多个国家的品牌合作伙伴销售。尽管诺尔顿将使用发行收益来偿还债务，但IPO后仍将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST)计划以179亿美元的市值筹集6.85亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在2021年上半年的ARR增长率超过100%，尽管它历来没有盈利，而且随着餐厅重新开业的推动力减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>全球汇款</b>(RELY)计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly为超过135个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球1,700多个走廊。该公司已实现增长和利润率提高，但仍未盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN)计划以37亿美元的市值筹集4.5亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多家客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在IPO中购买价值1.5亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>索沃斯品牌</b>(SOVO)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International组建，提供一组精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s是意大利面和披萨酱类别中销量第一的SKU。Sovos盈利稳健增长，IPO后将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT)计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.49亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集3亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。尽管该公司在竞争激烈的市场中运营，但该公司为超过50%的财富100强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT)计划以14亿澳元筹集2.5亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过370,000名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>线上时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA)计划以23亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。a.k.a.收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的数字化时尚品牌，从2018年收购Princess Polly开始。该公司已经成功扩张了波利公主，并且在美国发展品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>提示健康</b>(HLTH)计划以24亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Cue首个用于其Cue健康监测系统的商用诊断测试是其COVID-19检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个EUA的授权。Cue还有另外五个测试套件处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将在2022年下半年开始寻求FDA授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市的加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK)计划以8.55亿美元的市值筹集1.38亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo拥有超过21,000台专用计算机（矿机），每秒可生成超过1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN)计划以8.92亿美元的市值筹集1.26亿美元。该公司的垂直整合品牌Thorne和Onegevity提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。Thorne盈利强劲增长，拥有超过300万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK)计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是加拿大附表一特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元资产、16亿美元贷款、15亿美元存款和2.02亿美元股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOVO":"Sovos Brands, Inc.","THRN":"Thorne Healthtech","HLTH":"Cue Health Inc.","AKA":"a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.","CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.","BRLT":"Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.","RELY":"Remitly Global, Inc.","FRSH":"Freshworks","ESMT":"EngageSmart Inc.","STER":"Sterling Check Corp.","ARBK":"Argo Blockchain Plc","TOST":"Toast, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171558890","content_text":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.\nThe largest deal of the week,Freshworks(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.\nCanadian consumer products company Knowlton Development(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.\nRestaurant payment processor Toast(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.\nGlobal money transfer firm Remitly Global(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.\nSoftware firm Clearwater Analytics(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.\nFood company Sovos Brands(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.\nCustomer engagement software provider EngageSmart(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.\nHiring solutions provider Sterling Check(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.\nJewelry retailer Brilliant Earth Group(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.\nOnline fashion platform a.k.a. Brands(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.\nCOVID-19 test maker Cue Health(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.\nLondon-listed crypto mining company Argo Blockchain(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.\nPersonalized supplements seller Thorne Healthtech(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.\nCanadian bank VersaBank(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SOVO":0.9,"BRLT":0.9,"CWAN":0.9,"THRN":0.9,"TOST":0.9,"KDC":0.9,"HLTH":0.9,"RELY":0.9,"FRSH":0.9,"STER":0.9,"AKA":0.9,"ESMT":0.9,"ARBK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884660069,"gmtCreate":1631887348251,"gmtModify":1632805564169,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"4ir","listText":"4ir","text":"4ir","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884660069","repostId":"2168783315","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":861140656,"gmtCreate":1632474437275,"gmtModify":1632720398085,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861140656","repostId":"1180624046","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180624046","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632473501,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180624046?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 16:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading<blockquote>部分中概股盘前回调</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180624046","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading.","content":"<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;Some&nbsp;China concepts stocks&nbsp;retreated&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>（9月24日）部分中概股盘前回调。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caac4543cc4d30bd94cf27bcd9899cb9\" tg-width=\"341\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading<blockquote>部分中概股盘前回调</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading<blockquote>部分中概股盘前回调</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-24 16:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;Some&nbsp;China concepts stocks&nbsp;retreated&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>（9月24日）部分中概股盘前回调。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caac4543cc4d30bd94cf27bcd9899cb9\" tg-width=\"341\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180624046","content_text":"(Sept 24) Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":141906136,"gmtCreate":1625829814525,"gmtModify":1633936925992,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141906136","repostId":"2150980376","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132728695,"gmtCreate":1622117441117,"gmtModify":1634183720630,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ps like Ave current","listText":"Ps like Ave current","text":"Ps like Ave current","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132728695","repostId":"1188205901","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188205901","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622117079,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188205901?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-27 20:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"President Biden will propose a $6 trillion budget, documents obtained by The Times show.<blockquote>《泰晤士报》获得的文件显示，拜登总统将提出6万亿美元的预算。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188205901","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"President Joe Biden will seek $6 trillion in U.S. federal spending for the 2022 fiscal year, rising ","content":"<p>President Joe Biden will seek $6 trillion in U.S. federal spending for the 2022 fiscal year, rising to $8.2 trillion by 2031, the New York Times reported on Thursday, a day before the White House is expected to unveil its budget proposal.</p><p><blockquote>据《纽约时报》周四报道，美国总统乔·拜登将在2022财年寻求6万亿美元的美国联邦支出，到2031年将增至8.2万亿美元，这是白宫预计将公布预算提案的前一天。</blockquote></p><p>Citing documents it had obtained, the Times said the Democratic president planned to pay for his agenda through increased taxes on corporations and high earners, and that the budget deficits would start to decrease in the 2030s.</p><p><blockquote>《纽约时报》援引其获得的文件称，这位民主党总统计划通过增加对企业和高收入者的税收来支付他的议程，预算赤字将在2030年代开始减少。</blockquote></p><p>On Friday, Biden is set to release his first full budget since taking office in January as he seeks to push his priorities of investing in infrastructure, childcare and other public works in a national rebuilding effort.</p><p><blockquote>周五，拜登将发布自1月份上任以来的第一份完整预算，他寻求在国家重建工作中推进投资基础设施、儿童保育和其他公共工程的优先事项。</blockquote></p><p>Republicans have criticized the president for seeking trillions in new spending, setting the stage for pitched battles over his priorities.</p><p><blockquote>共和党人批评总统寻求数万亿美元的新支出，为围绕他的优先事项的激战埋下了伏笔。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>President Biden will propose a $6 trillion budget, documents obtained by The Times show.<blockquote>《泰晤士报》获得的文件显示，拜登总统将提出6万亿美元的预算。</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPresident Biden will propose a $6 trillion budget, documents obtained by The Times show.<blockquote>《泰晤士报》获得的文件显示，拜登总统将提出6万亿美元的预算。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-27 20:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>President Joe Biden will seek $6 trillion in U.S. federal spending for the 2022 fiscal year, rising to $8.2 trillion by 2031, the New York Times reported on Thursday, a day before the White House is expected to unveil its budget proposal.</p><p><blockquote>据《纽约时报》周四报道，美国总统乔·拜登将在2022财年寻求6万亿美元的美国联邦支出，到2031年将增至8.2万亿美元，这是白宫预计将公布预算提案的前一天。</blockquote></p><p>Citing documents it had obtained, the Times said the Democratic president planned to pay for his agenda through increased taxes on corporations and high earners, and that the budget deficits would start to decrease in the 2030s.</p><p><blockquote>《纽约时报》援引其获得的文件称，这位民主党总统计划通过增加对企业和高收入者的税收来支付他的议程，预算赤字将在2030年代开始减少。</blockquote></p><p>On Friday, Biden is set to release his first full budget since taking office in January as he seeks to push his priorities of investing in infrastructure, childcare and other public works in a national rebuilding effort.</p><p><blockquote>周五，拜登将发布自1月份上任以来的第一份完整预算，他寻求在国家重建工作中推进投资基础设施、儿童保育和其他公共工程的优先事项。</blockquote></p><p>Republicans have criticized the president for seeking trillions in new spending, setting the stage for pitched battles over his priorities.</p><p><blockquote>共和党人批评总统寻求数万亿美元的新支出，为围绕他的优先事项的激战埋下了伏笔。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188205901","content_text":"President Joe Biden will seek $6 trillion in U.S. federal spending for the 2022 fiscal year, rising to $8.2 trillion by 2031, the New York Times reported on Thursday, a day before the White House is expected to unveil its budget proposal.Citing documents it had obtained, the Times said the Democratic president planned to pay for his agenda through increased taxes on corporations and high earners, and that the budget deficits would start to decrease in the 2030s.On Friday, Biden is set to release his first full budget since taking office in January as he seeks to push his priorities of investing in infrastructure, childcare and other public works in a national rebuilding effort.Republicans have criticized the president for seeking trillions in new spending, setting the stage for pitched battles over his priorities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173750989,"gmtCreate":1626689323341,"gmtModify":1633924920233,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls 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pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184387756","repostId":"2143738859","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321277591,"gmtCreate":1615446521013,"gmtModify":1703489151768,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321277591","repostId":"1113166201","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835599668,"gmtCreate":1629725906854,"gmtModify":1631892622300,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835599668","repostId":"1150831098","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150831098","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629725636,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150831098?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 21:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow rises more than 170 points to start the week while investors await key Fed summit<blockquote>投资者等待美联储重要峰会，道琼斯指数本周初上涨逾170点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150831098","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks were higher in early trading Monday following a volatile week on Wall Street as investors eye","content":"<p>Stocks were higher in early trading Monday following a volatile week on Wall Street as investors eye a key event where the Federal Reserve could hint at prospects for tapering stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>在华尔街经历了动荡的一周后，周一早盘股市走高，投资者关注美联储可能暗示缩减刺激计划前景的关键事件。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 171 points, or nearly 0.5%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose about 0.4% as well.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨171点，涨幅近0.5%。标普500和纳斯达克综合指数也上涨约0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aef7f594594be1593b1e7cb0194abc9\" tg-width=\"1011\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers are higher in premarket trading with investors' eyes on the FDA, which is expected to give the two-dose Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine full approval Monday.Pfizer&nbsp;is up about 3% and&nbsp;BioNTech&nbsp;jumped 7%.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者关注FDA，疫苗制造商的股价在盘前交易中走高，预计FDA将于周一全面批准两剂辉瑞-BioNTech Covid-19疫苗。辉瑞上涨约3%，BioNTech上涨7%。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin hit a three-month high on Sunday, punching above $50,000 and pulling crypto-adjacent stocks up with it.Coinbase&nbsp;rose 3% higher in early trading, while&nbsp;Microstrategy&nbsp;climbed 4%.</p><p><blockquote>比特币周日触及三个月高点，突破5万美元，并带动加密货币相关股票上涨。比特币基地早盘上涨3%，Microstrategy上涨4%。</blockquote></p><p> Major averages are coming off a losing week as investors grew worried that the Fed's potential move to pull back monetary stimulus could slow down the economic recovery that is already challenged by the spread of the delta Covid-19 variant.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者越来越担心美联储可能撤回货币刺激措施可能会减缓已经受到delta Covid-19变种传播挑战的经济复苏，主要股指本周下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Traders are eagerly awaiting the Jackson Hole&nbsp;symposium for clues on the Fed’s timeline for dialing back its $120 billion a month bond-buying program. The event takes place virtually on Thursday and Friday. The Fed previously was going to conduct the event in a mixed virtual and live presentation, but decided Friday to go all virtual in light of the rising virus risk.</p><p><blockquote>交易员们急切地等待杰克逊霍尔研讨会，寻找美联储缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买计划时间表的线索。这项活动实际上在周四和周五举行。美联储此前打算以虚拟和现场混合的方式举办此次活动，但鉴于病毒风险不断上升，周五决定全部采用虚拟方式。</blockquote></p><p> Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech will be titled “The Economic Outlook,” which “may suggest the speech could have a more near-term focus,” Nomura economist Aichi Amemiya said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>野村证券经济学家Aichi Amemiya在一份报告中表示，董事长杰罗姆·鲍威尔的演讲将题为“经济展望”，这“可能表明演讲可能有更近期的重点”。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the recent deterioration in incoming data and the pandemic situation, we see some risk Powell focuses on increased uncertainty due to the latest COVID-19 surge,” Amemiya added. “At a minimum, we view recent comments from Fed officials as supporting our view of a December tapering announcement despite a preference on the FOMC for November as of the July meeting.”</p><p><blockquote>Amemiya补充说：“鉴于最近收到的数据和大流行情况的恶化，我们看到鲍威尔关注的一些风险是由于最新的COVID-19激增而增加的不确定性。”“至少，我们认为美联储官员最近的言论支持了我们对12月宣布缩减购债规模的观点，尽管FOMC在7月会议上倾向于11月。”</blockquote></p><p> The blue-chip Dow fell 1.1% last week, while the S&amp;P 500 declined nearly 0.6%, breaking a two-week winning streak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq dipped 0.7% during the week.</p><p><blockquote>蓝筹股道指上周下跌1.1%，标普500下跌近0.6%，打破两周连涨。以科技股为主的纳斯达克本周下跌0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect investor conviction is being challenged by the potential for upcoming monetary policy changes, shifting growth vs. value rotations, and a rising trajectory of new coronavirus cases,” Craig Johnson, technical market strategist at Piper Sandler, said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>Piper Sandler技术市场策略师克雷格·约翰逊(Craig Johnson)在一份报告中表示：“我们怀疑投资者的信心正受到即将到来的货币政策变化、增长与价值轮换的转变以及新型冠状病毒病例上升轨迹的挑战。”</blockquote></p><p> For the month of August, major benchmarks are poised to post modest gains. The S&amp;P 500 is up 1.1% month to date, while the blue-chip Dow has gained 0.5% and the Nasdaq has climbed 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>8月份，主要基准指数有望小幅上涨。标普500本月迄今上涨1.1%，蓝筹股道琼斯指数上涨0.5%，纳斯达克上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> “August is a historically volatile month for markets and this year is no different, with investors currently climbing multiple walls of worries,” said Rod von Lipsey, managing director at UBS Private Wealth Management. “Upticks in Covid-19 cases and a downward spiral in Afghanistan are creating a crisis of confidence, at a time when many investors are on holiday.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银私人财富管理董事总经理罗德·冯·利普西(Rod von Lipsey)表示：“对于市场来说，八月是历史上动荡的一个月，今年也不例外，投资者目前正在攀登多堵担忧之墙。”“在许多投资者正在度假之际，阿富汗Covid-19病例的增加和螺旋式下降正在造成信心危机。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow rises more than 170 points to start the week while investors await key Fed summit<blockquote>投资者等待美联储重要峰会，道琼斯指数本周初上涨逾170点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow rises more than 170 points to start the week while investors await key Fed summit<blockquote>投资者等待美联储重要峰会，道琼斯指数本周初上涨逾170点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-23 21:33</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks were higher in early trading Monday following a volatile week on Wall Street as investors eye a key event where the Federal Reserve could hint at prospects for tapering stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>在华尔街经历了动荡的一周后，周一早盘股市走高，投资者关注美联储可能暗示缩减刺激计划前景的关键事件。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 171 points, or nearly 0.5%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose about 0.4% as well.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨171点，涨幅近0.5%。标普500和纳斯达克综合指数也上涨约0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aef7f594594be1593b1e7cb0194abc9\" tg-width=\"1011\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers are higher in premarket trading with investors' eyes on the FDA, which is expected to give the two-dose Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine full approval Monday.Pfizer&nbsp;is up about 3% and&nbsp;BioNTech&nbsp;jumped 7%.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者关注FDA，疫苗制造商的股价在盘前交易中走高，预计FDA将于周一全面批准两剂辉瑞-BioNTech Covid-19疫苗。辉瑞上涨约3%，BioNTech上涨7%。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin hit a three-month high on Sunday, punching above $50,000 and pulling crypto-adjacent stocks up with it.Coinbase&nbsp;rose 3% higher in early trading, while&nbsp;Microstrategy&nbsp;climbed 4%.</p><p><blockquote>比特币周日触及三个月高点，突破5万美元，并带动加密货币相关股票上涨。比特币基地早盘上涨3%，Microstrategy上涨4%。</blockquote></p><p> Major averages are coming off a losing week as investors grew worried that the Fed's potential move to pull back monetary stimulus could slow down the economic recovery that is already challenged by the spread of the delta Covid-19 variant.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者越来越担心美联储可能撤回货币刺激措施可能会减缓已经受到delta Covid-19变种传播挑战的经济复苏，主要股指本周下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Traders are eagerly awaiting the Jackson Hole&nbsp;symposium for clues on the Fed’s timeline for dialing back its $120 billion a month bond-buying program. The event takes place virtually on Thursday and Friday. The Fed previously was going to conduct the event in a mixed virtual and live presentation, but decided Friday to go all virtual in light of the rising virus risk.</p><p><blockquote>交易员们急切地等待杰克逊霍尔研讨会，寻找美联储缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买计划时间表的线索。这项活动实际上在周四和周五举行。美联储此前打算以虚拟和现场混合的方式举办此次活动，但鉴于病毒风险不断上升，周五决定全部采用虚拟方式。</blockquote></p><p> Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech will be titled “The Economic Outlook,” which “may suggest the speech could have a more near-term focus,” Nomura economist Aichi Amemiya said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>野村证券经济学家Aichi Amemiya在一份报告中表示，董事长杰罗姆·鲍威尔的演讲将题为“经济展望”，这“可能表明演讲可能有更近期的重点”。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the recent deterioration in incoming data and the pandemic situation, we see some risk Powell focuses on increased uncertainty due to the latest COVID-19 surge,” Amemiya added. “At a minimum, we view recent comments from Fed officials as supporting our view of a December tapering announcement despite a preference on the FOMC for November as of the July meeting.”</p><p><blockquote>Amemiya补充说：“鉴于最近收到的数据和大流行情况的恶化，我们看到鲍威尔关注的一些风险是由于最新的COVID-19激增而增加的不确定性。”“至少，我们认为美联储官员最近的言论支持了我们对12月宣布缩减购债规模的观点，尽管FOMC在7月会议上倾向于11月。”</blockquote></p><p> The blue-chip Dow fell 1.1% last week, while the S&amp;P 500 declined nearly 0.6%, breaking a two-week winning streak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq dipped 0.7% during the week.</p><p><blockquote>蓝筹股道指上周下跌1.1%，标普500下跌近0.6%，打破两周连涨。以科技股为主的纳斯达克本周下跌0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect investor conviction is being challenged by the potential for upcoming monetary policy changes, shifting growth vs. value rotations, and a rising trajectory of new coronavirus cases,” Craig Johnson, technical market strategist at Piper Sandler, said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>Piper Sandler技术市场策略师克雷格·约翰逊(Craig Johnson)在一份报告中表示：“我们怀疑投资者的信心正受到即将到来的货币政策变化、增长与价值轮换的转变以及新型冠状病毒病例上升轨迹的挑战。”</blockquote></p><p> For the month of August, major benchmarks are poised to post modest gains. The S&amp;P 500 is up 1.1% month to date, while the blue-chip Dow has gained 0.5% and the Nasdaq has climbed 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>8月份，主要基准指数有望小幅上涨。标普500本月迄今上涨1.1%，蓝筹股道琼斯指数上涨0.5%，纳斯达克上涨0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> “August is a historically volatile month for markets and this year is no different, with investors currently climbing multiple walls of worries,” said Rod von Lipsey, managing director at UBS Private Wealth Management. “Upticks in Covid-19 cases and a downward spiral in Afghanistan are creating a crisis of confidence, at a time when many investors are on holiday.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银私人财富管理董事总经理罗德·冯·利普西(Rod von Lipsey)表示：“对于市场来说，八月是历史上动荡的一个月，今年也不例外，投资者目前正在攀登多堵担忧之墙。”“在许多投资者正在度假之际，阿富汗Covid-19病例的增加和螺旋式下降正在造成信心危机。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150831098","content_text":"Stocks were higher in early trading Monday following a volatile week on Wall Street as investors eye a key event where the Federal Reserve could hint at prospects for tapering stimulus.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 171 points, or nearly 0.5%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose about 0.4% as well.\n\nShares of vaccine makers are higher in premarket trading with investors' eyes on the FDA, which is expected to give the two-dose Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine full approval Monday.Pfizer is up about 3% and BioNTech jumped 7%.\nBitcoin hit a three-month high on Sunday, punching above $50,000 and pulling crypto-adjacent stocks up with it.Coinbase rose 3% higher in early trading, while Microstrategy climbed 4%.\nMajor averages are coming off a losing week as investors grew worried that the Fed's potential move to pull back monetary stimulus could slow down the economic recovery that is already challenged by the spread of the delta Covid-19 variant.\nTraders are eagerly awaiting the Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the Fed’s timeline for dialing back its $120 billion a month bond-buying program. The event takes place virtually on Thursday and Friday. The Fed previously was going to conduct the event in a mixed virtual and live presentation, but decided Friday to go all virtual in light of the rising virus risk.\nChairman Jerome Powell’s speech will be titled “The Economic Outlook,” which “may suggest the speech could have a more near-term focus,” Nomura economist Aichi Amemiya said in a note.\n“Given the recent deterioration in incoming data and the pandemic situation, we see some risk Powell focuses on increased uncertainty due to the latest COVID-19 surge,” Amemiya added. “At a minimum, we view recent comments from Fed officials as supporting our view of a December tapering announcement despite a preference on the FOMC for November as of the July meeting.”\nThe blue-chip Dow fell 1.1% last week, while the S&P 500 declined nearly 0.6%, breaking a two-week winning streak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq dipped 0.7% during the week.\n“We suspect investor conviction is being challenged by the potential for upcoming monetary policy changes, shifting growth vs. value rotations, and a rising trajectory of new coronavirus cases,” Craig Johnson, technical market strategist at Piper Sandler, said in a note.\nFor the month of August, major benchmarks are poised to post modest gains. The S&P 500 is up 1.1% month to date, while the blue-chip Dow has gained 0.5% and the Nasdaq has climbed 0.3%.\n“August is a historically volatile month for markets and this year is no different, with investors currently climbing multiple walls of worries,” said Rod von Lipsey, managing director at UBS Private Wealth Management. “Upticks in Covid-19 cases and a downward spiral in Afghanistan are creating a crisis of confidence, at a time when many investors are on holiday.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148735897,"gmtCreate":1626015558919,"gmtModify":1633930904166,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148735897","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","SCHW":"嘉信理财","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","BB":"黑莓"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBBY":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"BB":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"GME":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140714073,"gmtCreate":1625673125492,"gmtModify":1633938459002,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls loke","listText":"Pls loke","text":"Pls loke","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140714073","repostId":"1105521462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105521462","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625670735,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105521462?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-07 23:12","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Oil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性导致油价下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105521462","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from th","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from the OPEC+ alliance, which has been locked in a dispute over boosting output.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——油价下跌，因美元飙升，投资者等待欧佩克+联盟的进一步信号，该联盟在增产问题上陷入争议。</blockquote></p><p> West Texas Intermediate futures fell as much as 3.1% in New York. The U.S. dollar rose to a three-month high and equities fell from all-time highs after a jobs report missed expectations. A strong dollar typically makes commodities priced in the currency less attractive to investors. Prices earlier swung between gains and losses as the ongoing dispute among OPEC+ members has threatened a global supply deficit.</p><p><blockquote>纽约西德克萨斯中质原油期货跌幅高达3.1%。在就业报告低于预期后，美元升至三个月高点，股市从历史高点下跌。强势美元通常会降低以美元计价的大宗商品对投资者的吸引力。由于欧佩克+成员国之间持续的争端威胁到全球供应赤字，价格早些时候在涨跌之间波动。</blockquote></p><p> “People are just wildly uncertain” what the OPEC+ stalemate means for the future of output, said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda Corp. “August is in question and the demand warrants more production.”</p><p><blockquote>Oanda Corp.高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)表示，“人们非常不确定”OPEC+僵局对未来产量意味着什么。“8月份存在疑问，需求需要增加产量。”</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices have soared more than 50% so far this year with consumption returning and the previous OPEC+ production deal keeping a lid on output. But investors remain uncertain about both the future of the OPEC+ supply agreement as well as the demand recovery with the delta variant of Covid-19 continuing to plague reopening efforts.</p><p><blockquote>随着消费的恢复以及之前的OPEC+产量协议限制了产量，今年迄今为止，油价已飙升超过50%。但投资者对OPEC+供应协议的未来以及需求复苏仍然不确定，因为Covid-19的德尔塔变异毒株继续困扰着重新开放的努力。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. is among banks that anticipates a deal will be found. OPEC+ is expected to eventually agree in the coming weeks to increase production by 400,000 barrels a day each month for the rest of 2021, it said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通是预计将达成交易的银行之一。OPEC+在一份报告中表示，预计最终将在未来几周内同意在2021年剩余时间内每月增产40万桶/日。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the disagreement between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates could invite producers to pump unilaterally, risking a free-for-all that could crash prices. There is potential for a price war, but all involved will try to avoid that, according to ING Group NV.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国之间的分歧可能会导致生产商单方面增产，从而冒着可能导致价格暴跌的混战风险。ING Group NV表示，存在价格战的可能性，但所有相关方都会尽力避免这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> “What’s really complicating everything is that we’re gonna probably have to wait a couple more weeks of talks and negotiations,” said Moya.</p><p><blockquote>莫亚说：“真正让一切变得复杂的是，我们可能还要再等待几周的会谈和谈判。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, U.S. shale executives are locking in prices for the oil they plan to produce next year and protecting themselves against a potential market slump, people familiar with the trades said.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，知情人士称，美国页岩油高管正在锁定他们计划明年生产的石油价格，并保护自己免受潜在的市场低迷的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Saudi Aramco increased the official selling price for Arab Light by 80 cents a barrel to $2.70 above the regional benchmark for Asia. That’s the biggest month-on-month gain since January, and suggests the oil giant won’t boost supply next month.</p><p><blockquote>沙特阿美将阿拉伯轻质原油的官方售价每桶提高80美分，至比亚洲地区基准高出2.70美元。这是自1月份以来最大的环比涨幅，表明这家石油巨头下个月不会增加供应。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性导致油价下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性导致油价下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-07 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from the OPEC+ alliance, which has been locked in a dispute over boosting output.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——油价下跌，因美元飙升，投资者等待欧佩克+联盟的进一步信号，该联盟在增产问题上陷入争议。</blockquote></p><p> West Texas Intermediate futures fell as much as 3.1% in New York. The U.S. dollar rose to a three-month high and equities fell from all-time highs after a jobs report missed expectations. A strong dollar typically makes commodities priced in the currency less attractive to investors. Prices earlier swung between gains and losses as the ongoing dispute among OPEC+ members has threatened a global supply deficit.</p><p><blockquote>纽约西德克萨斯中质原油期货跌幅高达3.1%。在就业报告低于预期后，美元升至三个月高点，股市从历史高点下跌。强势美元通常会降低以美元计价的大宗商品对投资者的吸引力。由于欧佩克+成员国之间持续的争端威胁到全球供应赤字，价格早些时候在涨跌之间波动。</blockquote></p><p> “People are just wildly uncertain” what the OPEC+ stalemate means for the future of output, said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda Corp. “August is in question and the demand warrants more production.”</p><p><blockquote>Oanda Corp.高级市场分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)表示，“人们非常不确定”OPEC+僵局对未来产量意味着什么。“8月份存在疑问，需求需要增加产量。”</blockquote></p><p> Oil prices have soared more than 50% so far this year with consumption returning and the previous OPEC+ production deal keeping a lid on output. But investors remain uncertain about both the future of the OPEC+ supply agreement as well as the demand recovery with the delta variant of Covid-19 continuing to plague reopening efforts.</p><p><blockquote>随着消费的恢复以及之前的OPEC+产量协议限制了产量，今年迄今为止，油价已飙升超过50%。但投资者对OPEC+供应协议的未来以及需求复苏仍然不确定，因为Covid-19的德尔塔变异毒株继续困扰着重新开放的努力。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. is among banks that anticipates a deal will be found. OPEC+ is expected to eventually agree in the coming weeks to increase production by 400,000 barrels a day each month for the rest of 2021, it said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通是预计将达成交易的银行之一。OPEC+在一份报告中表示，预计最终将在未来几周内同意在2021年剩余时间内每月增产40万桶/日。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the disagreement between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates could invite producers to pump unilaterally, risking a free-for-all that could crash prices. There is potential for a price war, but all involved will try to avoid that, according to ING Group NV.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯联合酋长国之间的分歧可能会导致生产商单方面增产，从而冒着可能导致价格暴跌的混战风险。ING Group NV表示，存在价格战的可能性，但所有相关方都会尽力避免这种情况。</blockquote></p><p> “What’s really complicating everything is that we’re gonna probably have to wait a couple more weeks of talks and negotiations,” said Moya.</p><p><blockquote>莫亚说：“真正让一切变得复杂的是，我们可能还要再等待几周的会谈和谈判。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, U.S. shale executives are locking in prices for the oil they plan to produce next year and protecting themselves against a potential market slump, people familiar with the trades said.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，知情人士称，美国页岩油高管正在锁定他们计划明年生产的石油价格，并保护自己免受潜在的市场低迷的影响。</blockquote></p><p> Saudi Aramco increased the official selling price for Arab Light by 80 cents a barrel to $2.70 above the regional benchmark for Asia. That’s the biggest month-on-month gain since January, and suggests the oil giant won’t boost supply next month.</p><p><blockquote>沙特阿美将阿拉伯轻质原油的官方售价每桶提高80美分，至比亚洲地区基准高出2.70美元。这是自1月份以来最大的环比涨幅，表明这家石油巨头下个月不会增加供应。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105521462","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from the OPEC+ alliance, which has been locked in a dispute over boosting output.\nWest Texas Intermediate futures fell as much as 3.1% in New York. The U.S. dollar rose to a three-month high and equities fell from all-time highs after a jobs report missed expectations. A strong dollar typically makes commodities priced in the currency less attractive to investors. Prices earlier swung between gains and losses as the ongoing dispute among OPEC+ members has threatened a global supply deficit.\n“People are just wildly uncertain” what the OPEC+ stalemate means for the future of output, said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda Corp. “August is in question and the demand warrants more production.”\nOil prices have soared more than 50% so far this year with consumption returning and the previous OPEC+ production deal keeping a lid on output. But investors remain uncertain about both the future of the OPEC+ supply agreement as well as the demand recovery with the delta variant of Covid-19 continuing to plague reopening efforts.\nJPMorgan Chase & Co. is among banks that anticipates a deal will be found. OPEC+ is expected to eventually agree in the coming weeks to increase production by 400,000 barrels a day each month for the rest of 2021, it said in a note.\nAt the same time, the disagreement between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates could invite producers to pump unilaterally, risking a free-for-all that could crash prices. There is potential for a price war, but all involved will try to avoid that, according to ING Group NV.\n“What’s really complicating everything is that we’re gonna probably have to wait a couple more weeks of talks and negotiations,” said Moya.\nMeanwhile, U.S. shale executives are locking in prices for the oil they plan to produce next year and protecting themselves against a potential market slump, people familiar with the trades said.\nSaudi Aramco increased the official selling price for Arab Light by 80 cents a barrel to $2.70 above the regional benchmark for Asia. That’s the biggest month-on-month gain since January, and suggests the oil giant won’t boost supply next month.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}