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2021-09-24

Wow

Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading<blockquote>一些中国概念股在盘前交易中回落</blockquote>

2021-07-09

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2021-05-27

Ps like Ave current

President Biden will propose a $6 trillion budget, documents obtained by The Times show.<blockquote>《泰晤士报》获得的文件显示，拜登总统将提出6万亿美元的预算。</blockquote>

2021-07-19

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2021-06-20

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2021-06-14

Like and comment pls

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2021-03-11

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2021-08-23

Comment

Dow rises more than 170 points to start the week while investors await key Fed summit<blockquote>当投资者等待重要的美联储峰会时，道琼斯指数本周开始上涨超过 170 点</blockquote>

2021-07-11

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The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>

2021-07-07

Pls loke

Oil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>随着美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性，油价下跌</blockquote>

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07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表：本周须知</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周归来，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表：本周须知</blockquote></title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表：本周须知</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周归来，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4096":"电气部件与设备","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","FCEL":"燃料电池能源","BK4541":"氢能源"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY.AU":0.9,"FCEL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699768347,"gmtCreate":1639900372020,"gmtModify":1639900372240,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699768347","repostId":"2192035909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608404404,"gmtCreate":1638770351507,"gmtModify":1638770351637,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608404404","repostId":"1138852642","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138852642","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638769615,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1138852642?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 13:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Scares the Stock Market More Than Covid? The Federal Reserve<blockquote>还有什么比新冠疫情更让股市害怕？美联储</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138852642","media":"Barrons","summary":"Now can we have a correction?\nWe’d hoped for something better, like a melt-up into the end of the ye","content":"<p>Now can we have a correction?</p><p><blockquote>现在我们可以更正一下了吗？</blockquote></p><p> We’d hoped for something better, like a melt-up into the end of the year. But after watching the stock market get knocked down this past week after slumping on Black Friday—thanks to the discovery of the Omicron variant of Covid-19—it doesn’t seem to be in the cards. Not after the S&amp;P 500 index finished the week down 1.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 319.26 points, or 0.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite slumped 2.6%. The small-cap Russell 2000, down 3.9% for the week, closed in correction territory on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>我们本希望能有更好的结果，比如在年底融化。但是，由于发现了 Covid-19 的奥密克戎变种，股市在黑色星期五暴跌后，上周股市被重创，但这似乎不太可能。标普500指数本周收盘下跌 1.2%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 319.26 点，跌幅 0.9%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌 2.6%。小盘股罗素 2000 指数本周下跌 3.9%，周三收于回调区域。</blockquote></p><p> Those numbers fail to capture just how volatile the week was. After a small rally on Monday, the Dow tumbled 652.22 points on Tuesday. On Wednesday, it rallied in early trading before giving back those gains—and then some—to finish down 461.68 points, and only seven stocks in the S&amp;P 500, including Apple (ticker: AAPL), managed to finish higher. On Thursday, the Dow had its biggest gain since March, but Apple dropped 0.6% following reports it was preparing suppliers for lukewarm iPhone demand.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字未能反映本周的波动有多大。在周一小幅反弹后，道琼斯指数周二暴跌652.22点。周三，它在早盘交易中反弹，然后回吐了这些涨幅，然后是一些涨幅，收盘下跌 461.68 点，标普500只有包括苹果（股票代码：AAPL）在内的七只股票成功收高。周四，道琼斯指数创下 3 月份以来的最大涨幅，但苹果下跌 0.6%，此前有报道称，该公司正在为不温不火的 iPhone 需求让供应商做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, the Nasdaq got hammered as large, pricey growth stocks, including Adobe (ADBE), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA), finally got caught up in the selling. “Given the overvalued conditions of many ‘growth’ names, the latter bore the brunt of this week’s correction,” observes Canaccord Genuity analyst Martin Roberge.</p><p><blockquote>周五，纳斯达克遭受重创，包括 Adobe (ADBE)、特斯拉 (TSLA) 和英伟达 (NVDA) 在内的大型昂贵成长型股票终于陷入抛售。“Canaccord Genuity 分析师马丁-罗伯格（Martin Roberge）指出：”鉴于许多'成长型'股票的估值过高，后者在本周的调整中首当其冲。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 finished the week 3.5% off its 2021 high, which is a bit less than the index fell in September, when everyone was predicting a correction that never arrived. This selloff looks like it has more legs. Gone are the generalized fears about valuations and a looming earnings season—which turned out to be just fine—replaced by a new Covid variant and the start of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle.</p><p><blockquote>标普500本周收盘时较 2021 年高点下跌 3.5%，略低于该指数 9 月份的跌幅，当时每个人都预测调整从未到来。这次抛售看起来有更多的腿。对估值和即将到来的财报季的普遍担忧已经一去不复返了，取而代之的是新的 Covid 变种和美联储紧缩周期的开始。</blockquote></p><p> Omicron was bad enough on its own—no one knows how much it will hurt the economy—but then Fed Chairman Jerome Powell had to go and acknowledge that inflation isn’t transitory after all and the taper might have to go faster than expected.</p><p><blockquote>奥密克戎本身已经够糟糕的了--没有人知道它会对经济造成多大伤害--但随后美联储主席鲍威尔不得不承认，通胀毕竟不是暂时的，缩减通胀的速度可能要快于预期。</blockquote></p><p> “He leaned on that message so strongly, it tells you some strategy change is coming,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.</p><p><blockquote>“CIBC Private Wealth US 首席投资官戴夫-多纳贝迪安（Dave Donabedian）说：”他如此强烈地依赖这一信息，这告诉你一些战略变化即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> The timing was a bit strange. Headlines about Omicron being found in the U.S. were already troubling the markets. Powell made it worse. Still, rather than asking why he chose that day to make his comments, maybe investors should be asking how much stronger his statement could have been. “Imagine what the speech would have sounded like without the variant,” says MKM Partners Chief Economist Michael Darda.</p><p><blockquote>时间有点奇怪。有关在美国发现奥密克戎的头条新闻已经困扰着市场。鲍威尔让事情变得更糟。尽管如此，也许投资者应该问他为什么选择在那一天发表评论，而不是问他的声明本可以更有力。“MKM Partners 首席经济学家迈克尔-达尔达（Michael Darda）说：”想象一下，如果没有变体，演讲会是什么样子。</blockquote></p><p> The thing is, Powell is absolutely right to be tacking hawkish, given the strength of the U.S. economy. The jobs report, despite a big headline miss, was solid, with the unemployment rate falling to 4.2% and the participation rate rising to 61.8%. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing survey hit 69.1, a record, while the manufacturing index also remains above 60.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，鉴于美国经济的实力，鲍威尔采取鹰派立场完全正确。尽管头条新闻大错特错，就业报告依然稳健，失业率降至4.2%，参与率升至61.8%。供应管理协会（Institute for Supply Management）的非制造业调查达到创纪录的 69.1，而制造业指数也保持在 60 以上。</blockquote></p><p> The data has been so good that the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for fourth-quarter growth in the U.S. recently hit 9.7%. The consumer price index, which is set to be released this coming Friday, is expected to have risen 0.65% in November. All of that suggests that the economy is ready for tighter monetary policy, even if the stock market isn’t. “Powell is right, even if the market freaks out a little bit,” Darda says.</p><p><blockquote>这些数据非常好，以至于亚特兰大联储对美国第四季度经济增长的 GDPNow 估计最近达到了 9.7%。定于本周五公布的消费者价格指数预计11月份将上涨0.65%。所有这些都表明，经济已经为收紧货币政策做好了准备，即使股市还没有。“达尔达说：”鲍威尔是对的，即使市场有点恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t be surprised if it freaks out a bit more.</p><p><blockquote>如果情况再糟糕一点，也不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Morgan Stanley Sees Fed as Bigger Threat to Stocks Than Omicron</b></p><p><blockquote><b>摩根士丹利认为美联储对股市的威胁比奥密克戎更大</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock investors probably have more important things to worry about than the emergence of the new coronavirus strain, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利策略师表示，股票投资者可能有比新型冠状病毒株的出现更重要的事情需要担心。</blockquote></p><p> While they are “not that concerned about omicron as a major risk factor for equities,” the strategists see headwinds building elsewhere, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the possible accelerated tapering of asset purchases. “Tapering is tightening for the markets and it will lead to lower valuations like it always does at this stage of any recovery,” the strategists led by Michael Wilson wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>虽然他们 “并不那么担心奥密克戎是股市的主要风险因素”，但在美联储主席鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）暗示可能加速缩减资产购买规模后，策略师们认为其他地方也出现了不利因素。“以迈克尔-威尔逊（Michael Wilson）为首的策略师在给客户的一份报告中写道：”缩减规模正在收紧市场，这将导致估值下降，就像在任何复苏的这个阶段一样。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2480f1a0450a30811b2f0b6e1a23b008\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The comments echo the views of other strategists, including those at JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., who&nbsp;singled out a hawkish turn&nbsp;by central banks as the main risk to their outlook for stocks. But while JPMorgan&nbsp;reiterated on Monday&nbsp;that its base-case scenario is for the equities rally to continue into next year, Morgan Stanley sees the S&amp;P 500 trending lower, and valuations declining.</p><p><blockquote>这些言论呼应了其他策略师的观点，其中包括摩根大通的策略师，他们指出央行的鹰派转向是其股市前景的主要风险。不过，尽管摩根大通周一重申，其基本情景是股市上涨将持续到明年，但摩根士丹利认为标普500呈走低趋势，估值下降。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Equity markets are resuming their de-rating process that began over nine months ago for numerous reasons,” the Morgan Stanley strategists wrote. They forecast that the S&amp;P 500 forward price-to-earnings ratio would fall by about 12%, with that decline potentially deeper “as equity investors start to demand much higher risk premiums in anticipation of considerably higher long-term interest rates.”</p><p><blockquote>“摩根士丹利策略师写道：”由于多种原因，股市正在恢复九个多月前开始的降级进程。他们预测，标普500远期市盈率将下降约 12%，而且 “随着股票投资者在预期长期利率大幅上升的情况下开始要求更高的风险溢价”，跌幅可能会更深。</blockquote></p><p> UBS Global Wealth Management strategists said Monday they “expect a period of heightened volatility ahead as investors attempt to assess the risks from omicron and the Fed, based on insufficient and patchy data.” While they advise investors to refrain from a hasty exit from risk assets, the strategists, led by Mark Haefele, said monetary tightening could present a bear case to their base scenario.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理策略师周一表示，他们 “预计未来一段时间的波动性将加剧，因为投资者试图根据不充分和参差不齐的数据评估奥密克戎和美联储的风险”。虽然他们建议投资者不要仓促退出风险资产，但以马克·海菲尔为首的策略师表示，货币紧缩可能会给他们的基本情景带来悲观的情况。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Scares the Stock Market More Than Covid? The Federal Reserve<blockquote>还有什么比新冠疫情更让股市害怕？美联储</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Scares the Stock Market More Than Covid? The Federal Reserve<blockquote>还有什么比新冠疫情更让股市害怕？美联储</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-06 13:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Now can we have a correction?</p><p><blockquote>现在我们可以更正一下了吗？</blockquote></p><p> We’d hoped for something better, like a melt-up into the end of the year. But after watching the stock market get knocked down this past week after slumping on Black Friday—thanks to the discovery of the Omicron variant of Covid-19—it doesn’t seem to be in the cards. Not after the S&amp;P 500 index finished the week down 1.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 319.26 points, or 0.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite slumped 2.6%. The small-cap Russell 2000, down 3.9% for the week, closed in correction territory on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>我们本希望能有更好的结果，比如在年底融化。但是，由于发现了 Covid-19 的奥密克戎变种，股市在黑色星期五暴跌后，上周股市被重创，但这似乎不太可能。标普500指数本周收盘下跌 1.2%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 319.26 点，跌幅 0.9%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌 2.6%。小盘股罗素 2000 指数本周下跌 3.9%，周三收于回调区域。</blockquote></p><p> Those numbers fail to capture just how volatile the week was. After a small rally on Monday, the Dow tumbled 652.22 points on Tuesday. On Wednesday, it rallied in early trading before giving back those gains—and then some—to finish down 461.68 points, and only seven stocks in the S&amp;P 500, including Apple (ticker: AAPL), managed to finish higher. On Thursday, the Dow had its biggest gain since March, but Apple dropped 0.6% following reports it was preparing suppliers for lukewarm iPhone demand.</p><p><blockquote>这些数字未能反映本周的波动有多大。在周一小幅反弹后，道琼斯指数周二暴跌652.22点。周三，它在早盘交易中反弹，然后回吐了这些涨幅，然后是一些涨幅，收盘下跌 461.68 点，标普500只有包括苹果（股票代码：AAPL）在内的七只股票成功收高。周四，道琼斯指数创下 3 月份以来的最大涨幅，但苹果下跌 0.6%，此前有报道称，该公司正在为不温不火的 iPhone 需求让供应商做好准备。</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, the Nasdaq got hammered as large, pricey growth stocks, including Adobe (ADBE), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA), finally got caught up in the selling. “Given the overvalued conditions of many ‘growth’ names, the latter bore the brunt of this week’s correction,” observes Canaccord Genuity analyst Martin Roberge.</p><p><blockquote>周五，纳斯达克遭受重创，包括 Adobe (ADBE)、特斯拉 (TSLA) 和英伟达 (NVDA) 在内的大型昂贵成长型股票终于陷入抛售。“Canaccord Genuity 分析师马丁-罗伯格（Martin Roberge）指出：”鉴于许多'成长型'股票的估值过高，后者在本周的调整中首当其冲。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 finished the week 3.5% off its 2021 high, which is a bit less than the index fell in September, when everyone was predicting a correction that never arrived. This selloff looks like it has more legs. Gone are the generalized fears about valuations and a looming earnings season—which turned out to be just fine—replaced by a new Covid variant and the start of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle.</p><p><blockquote>标普500本周收盘时较 2021 年高点下跌 3.5%，略低于该指数 9 月份的跌幅，当时每个人都预测调整从未到来。这次抛售看起来有更多的腿。对估值和即将到来的财报季的普遍担忧已经一去不复返了，取而代之的是新的 Covid 变种和美联储紧缩周期的开始。</blockquote></p><p> Omicron was bad enough on its own—no one knows how much it will hurt the economy—but then Fed Chairman Jerome Powell had to go and acknowledge that inflation isn’t transitory after all and the taper might have to go faster than expected.</p><p><blockquote>奥密克戎本身已经够糟糕的了--没有人知道它会对经济造成多大伤害--但随后美联储主席鲍威尔不得不承认，通胀毕竟不是暂时的，缩减通胀的速度可能要快于预期。</blockquote></p><p> “He leaned on that message so strongly, it tells you some strategy change is coming,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.</p><p><blockquote>“CIBC Private Wealth US 首席投资官戴夫-多纳贝迪安（Dave Donabedian）说：”他如此强烈地依赖这一信息，这告诉你一些战略变化即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> The timing was a bit strange. Headlines about Omicron being found in the U.S. were already troubling the markets. Powell made it worse. Still, rather than asking why he chose that day to make his comments, maybe investors should be asking how much stronger his statement could have been. “Imagine what the speech would have sounded like without the variant,” says MKM Partners Chief Economist Michael Darda.</p><p><blockquote>时间有点奇怪。有关在美国发现奥密克戎的头条新闻已经困扰着市场。鲍威尔让事情变得更糟。尽管如此，也许投资者应该问他为什么选择在那一天发表评论，而不是问他的声明本可以更有力。“MKM Partners 首席经济学家迈克尔-达尔达（Michael Darda）说：”想象一下，如果没有变体，演讲会是什么样子。</blockquote></p><p> The thing is, Powell is absolutely right to be tacking hawkish, given the strength of the U.S. economy. The jobs report, despite a big headline miss, was solid, with the unemployment rate falling to 4.2% and the participation rate rising to 61.8%. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing survey hit 69.1, a record, while the manufacturing index also remains above 60.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，鉴于美国经济的实力，鲍威尔采取鹰派立场完全正确。尽管头条新闻大错特错，就业报告依然稳健，失业率降至4.2%，参与率升至61.8%。供应管理协会（Institute for Supply Management）的非制造业调查达到创纪录的 69.1，而制造业指数也保持在 60 以上。</blockquote></p><p> The data has been so good that the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for fourth-quarter growth in the U.S. recently hit 9.7%. The consumer price index, which is set to be released this coming Friday, is expected to have risen 0.65% in November. All of that suggests that the economy is ready for tighter monetary policy, even if the stock market isn’t. “Powell is right, even if the market freaks out a little bit,” Darda says.</p><p><blockquote>这些数据非常好，以至于亚特兰大联储对美国第四季度经济增长的 GDPNow 估计最近达到了 9.7%。定于本周五公布的消费者价格指数预计11月份将上涨0.65%。所有这些都表明，经济已经为收紧货币政策做好了准备，即使股市还没有。“达尔达说：”鲍威尔是对的，即使市场有点恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t be surprised if it freaks out a bit more.</p><p><blockquote>如果情况再糟糕一点，也不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Morgan Stanley Sees Fed as Bigger Threat to Stocks Than Omicron</b></p><p><blockquote><b>摩根士丹利认为美联储对股市的威胁比奥密克戎更大</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock investors probably have more important things to worry about than the emergence of the new coronavirus strain, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利策略师表示，股票投资者可能有比新型冠状病毒株的出现更重要的事情需要担心。</blockquote></p><p> While they are “not that concerned about omicron as a major risk factor for equities,” the strategists see headwinds building elsewhere, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the possible accelerated tapering of asset purchases. “Tapering is tightening for the markets and it will lead to lower valuations like it always does at this stage of any recovery,” the strategists led by Michael Wilson wrote in a note to clients.</p><p><blockquote>虽然他们 “并不那么担心奥密克戎是股市的主要风险因素”，但在美联储主席鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）暗示可能加速缩减资产购买规模后，策略师们认为其他地方也出现了不利因素。“以迈克尔-威尔逊（Michael Wilson）为首的策略师在给客户的一份报告中写道：”缩减规模正在收紧市场，这将导致估值下降，就像在任何复苏的这个阶段一样。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2480f1a0450a30811b2f0b6e1a23b008\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The comments echo the views of other strategists, including those at JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., who&nbsp;singled out a hawkish turn&nbsp;by central banks as the main risk to their outlook for stocks. But while JPMorgan&nbsp;reiterated on Monday&nbsp;that its base-case scenario is for the equities rally to continue into next year, Morgan Stanley sees the S&amp;P 500 trending lower, and valuations declining.</p><p><blockquote>这些言论呼应了其他策略师的观点，其中包括摩根大通的策略师，他们指出央行的鹰派转向是其股市前景的主要风险。不过，尽管摩根大通周一重申，其基本情景是股市上涨将持续到明年，但摩根士丹利认为标普500呈走低趋势，估值下降。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Equity markets are resuming their de-rating process that began over nine months ago for numerous reasons,” the Morgan Stanley strategists wrote. They forecast that the S&amp;P 500 forward price-to-earnings ratio would fall by about 12%, with that decline potentially deeper “as equity investors start to demand much higher risk premiums in anticipation of considerably higher long-term interest rates.”</p><p><blockquote>“摩根士丹利策略师写道：”由于多种原因，股市正在恢复九个多月前开始的降级进程。他们预测，标普500远期市盈率将下降约 12%，而且 “随着股票投资者在预期长期利率大幅上升的情况下开始要求更高的风险溢价”，跌幅可能会更深。</blockquote></p><p> UBS Global Wealth Management strategists said Monday they “expect a period of heightened volatility ahead as investors attempt to assess the risks from omicron and the Fed, based on insufficient and patchy data.” While they advise investors to refrain from a hasty exit from risk assets, the strategists, led by Mark Haefele, said monetary tightening could present a bear case to their base scenario.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理策略师周一表示，他们 “预计未来一段时间的波动性将加剧，因为投资者试图根据不充分和参差不齐的数据评估奥密克戎和美联储的风险”。虽然他们建议投资者不要仓促退出风险资产，但以马克·海菲尔为首的策略师表示，货币紧缩可能会给他们的基本情景带来悲观的情况。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-covid-omicron-federal-reserve-51638575944\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-covid-omicron-federal-reserve-51638575944","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138852642","content_text":"Now can we have a correction?\nWe’d hoped for something better, like a melt-up into the end of the year. But after watching the stock market get knocked down this past week after slumping on Black Friday—thanks to the discovery of the Omicron variant of Covid-19—it doesn’t seem to be in the cards. Not after the S&P 500 index finished the week down 1.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 319.26 points, or 0.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite slumped 2.6%. The small-cap Russell 2000, down 3.9% for the week, closed in correction territory on Wednesday.\nThose numbers fail to capture just how volatile the week was. After a small rally on Monday, the Dow tumbled 652.22 points on Tuesday. On Wednesday, it rallied in early trading before giving back those gains—and then some—to finish down 461.68 points, and only seven stocks in the S&P 500, including Apple (ticker: AAPL), managed to finish higher. On Thursday, the Dow had its biggest gain since March, but Apple dropped 0.6% following reports it was preparing suppliers for lukewarm iPhone demand.\nOn Friday, the Nasdaq got hammered as large, pricey growth stocks, including Adobe (ADBE), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA), finally got caught up in the selling. “Given the overvalued conditions of many ‘growth’ names, the latter bore the brunt of this week’s correction,” observes Canaccord Genuity analyst Martin Roberge.\nThe S&P 500 finished the week 3.5% off its 2021 high, which is a bit less than the index fell in September, when everyone was predicting a correction that never arrived. This selloff looks like it has more legs. Gone are the generalized fears about valuations and a looming earnings season—which turned out to be just fine—replaced by a new Covid variant and the start of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle.\nOmicron was bad enough on its own—no one knows how much it will hurt the economy—but then Fed Chairman Jerome Powell had to go and acknowledge that inflation isn’t transitory after all and the taper might have to go faster than expected.\n“He leaned on that message so strongly, it tells you some strategy change is coming,” says Dave Donabedian, chief investment officer at CIBC Private Wealth US.\nThe timing was a bit strange. Headlines about Omicron being found in the U.S. were already troubling the markets. Powell made it worse. Still, rather than asking why he chose that day to make his comments, maybe investors should be asking how much stronger his statement could have been. “Imagine what the speech would have sounded like without the variant,” says MKM Partners Chief Economist Michael Darda.\nThe thing is, Powell is absolutely right to be tacking hawkish, given the strength of the U.S. economy. The jobs report, despite a big headline miss, was solid, with the unemployment rate falling to 4.2% and the participation rate rising to 61.8%. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing survey hit 69.1, a record, while the manufacturing index also remains above 60.\nThe data has been so good that the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for fourth-quarter growth in the U.S. recently hit 9.7%. The consumer price index, which is set to be released this coming Friday, is expected to have risen 0.65% in November. All of that suggests that the economy is ready for tighter monetary policy, even if the stock market isn’t. “Powell is right, even if the market freaks out a little bit,” Darda says.\nDon’t be surprised if it freaks out a bit more.\nMorgan Stanley Sees Fed as Bigger Threat to Stocks Than Omicron\nStock investors probably have more important things to worry about than the emergence of the new coronavirus strain, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.\nWhile they are “not that concerned about omicron as a major risk factor for equities,” the strategists see headwinds building elsewhere, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the possible accelerated tapering of asset purchases. “Tapering is tightening for the markets and it will lead to lower valuations like it always does at this stage of any recovery,” the strategists led by Michael Wilson wrote in a note to clients.\n\nThe comments echo the views of other strategists, including those at JPMorgan Chase & Co., who singled out a hawkish turn by central banks as the main risk to their outlook for stocks. But while JPMorgan reiterated on Monday that its base-case scenario is for the equities rally to continue into next year, Morgan Stanley sees the S&P 500 trending lower, and valuations declining.\n“Equity markets are resuming their de-rating process that began over nine months ago for numerous reasons,” the Morgan Stanley strategists wrote. They forecast that the S&P 500 forward price-to-earnings ratio would fall by about 12%, with that decline potentially deeper “as equity investors start to demand much higher risk premiums in anticipation of considerably higher long-term interest rates.”\nUBS Global Wealth Management strategists said Monday they “expect a period of heightened volatility ahead as investors attempt to assess the risks from omicron and the Fed, based on insufficient and patchy data.” While they advise investors to refrain from a hasty exit from risk assets, the strategists, led by Mark Haefele, said monetary tightening could present a bear case to their base scenario.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600069872,"gmtCreate":1638010248619,"gmtModify":1638010248773,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600069872","repostId":"1177270358","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177270358","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637972840,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1177270358?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-27 08:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Shares of Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of America, and JPMorgan Chase Are Falling Today<blockquote>为什么富国银行、花旗集团、美国银行和摩根大通的股价今天下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177270358","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nShares of all the major U.S. bank stocks struggled today, along with the Dow Jones Ind","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么事</blockquote></p><p> Shares of all the major U.S. bank stocks struggled today, along with the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>, which at one point fell 1,000 points on this shortened day of trading -- the worst drop for the index in all of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>美国所有主要银行股的股价今天都陷入困境，<b>道琼斯工业指数</b>在这个缩短的交易日里，该指数一度下跌了 1,000 点，这是该指数 2021 年全年最严重的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of America's largest bank by assets,<b>JPMorgan Chase</b>(NYSE:JPM), had fallen 3.4% as of 12:30 p.m. EST, while shares of the second-largest bank in the U.S.,<b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:BAC), dropped more than 4%. Meanwhile, the more beaten-down&nbsp;<b>Citigroup</b>(NYSE:C)had fallen more than 3%, and&nbsp;<b>Wells Fargo</b>(NYSE:WFC)declined more than 5%. These are big daily moves for more stable large-cap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>美国资产最大银行的股票，<b>摩根大通</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JPM），截至中午 12:30 下跌 3.4%美国东部时间，而美国第二大银行的股票，<b>美国银行</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BAC），跌幅超过4%。与此同时，越是被打败<b>花旗集团</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：C）下跌超过 3%，并且<b>富国银行</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WFC）下跌超过5%。对于更稳定的大盘股来说，这些都是每日的大波动。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> While Americans were enjoying their Thanksgiving meals, multiple media outlets reported that a new variant of the coronavirus had emerged in South Africa known as B.1.1.529 variant.</p><p><blockquote>当美国人正在享受感恩节大餐时，多家媒体报道称，南非出现了一种新的冠状病毒变种，称为B.1.1.529变种。</blockquote></p><p> Scientists reported that the strain had more than 30 mutations to the spike protein, which is the part of the virus that attaches to a person's cells. This is significantly more mutations than the delta variant. Adding to the storm, pharmaceutical company&nbsp;<b>Merck</b>, which has been developing an antiviral pill to treat more severe cases of COVID-19 after people contract the virus, disclosed that the pill was not as effective at treatment as had been initially hoped.</p><p><blockquote>科学家报告说，这种毒株的刺突蛋白有30多个突变，刺突蛋白是病毒附着在人的细胞上的部分。这比德尔塔变异毒株明显更多的突变。制药公司雪上加霜<b>默克</b>该公司一直在开发一种抗病毒药丸，以治疗人们感染病毒后更严重的 COVID-19 病例，并透露该药丸的治疗效果不如最初希望的那么好。</blockquote></p><p> The variant news resulted in a strong global reaction, as the World Health Organization called an emergency meeting to discuss it. Additionally, the European Union proposed a ban on flights from South Africa. Little is yet known over how severe cases from the B.1.1.529 variant are, but early knowledge has scientists and experts extremely concerned.</p><p><blockquote>这一变异消息引起了强烈的全球反应，世界卫生组织召开了紧急会议进行讨论。此外，欧盟提议禁止来自南非的航班。目前尚不清楚 B.1.1.529 变体的病例有多严重，但早期知识让科学家和专家极为担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"If we have another COVID strain that can spread even more readily than delta, that would pose a challenge to all of us around the world, because when delta arrived this summer, it changed the game,\" William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt University, told CNBC today.</p><p><blockquote>范德比尔特大学预防医学教授威廉·沙夫纳 (William Schaffner) 表示：“如果我们有另一种比德尔塔病毒更容易传播的新冠病毒毒株，这将对我们世界各地的所有人构成挑战，因为当德尔塔病毒今年夏天到来时，它改变了游戏规则。”今天告诉 CNBC。</blockquote></p><p> Banksare extremely linked to the economy due to the fact that they lend money and interact with most sectors in it. So any time a new variant pops up and threatens to increase cases, it is one sector that will take a hit because investors fear potential future lockdowns, stalling economic growth, and potential loan quality concerns.</p><p><blockquote>银行与经济密切相关，因为它们放贷并与经济中的大多数部门互动。因此，每当出现新的变种并有可能增加病例时，这是一个将受到打击的行业，因为投资者担心未来潜在的封锁、经济增长停滞以及潜在的贷款质量担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The news also comes at an already treacherous time for the market, which over the past few weeks has been dealing with a stronger inflationary environment, rising bond yields, and increasing sentiment that the Federal Reserve may raise its benchmark federal funds rate next year.</p><p><blockquote>这一消息发布之际，市场本已岌岌可危，过去几周，市场一直在应对通胀环境走强、债券收益率上升以及美联储明年可能上调联邦基金基准利率的情绪日益高涨。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the struggles with inflation may make it more difficult for the federal government to respond to a new severe wave of the coronavirus, says Edward Smith, co-chief investment officer at the Rathbone Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>此外，拉斯伯恩投资管理公司（Rathbone Investment Management）联席首席投资官爱德华·史密斯（Edward Smith）表示，与通货膨胀的斗争可能会使联邦政府更难应对新一波严重的冠状病毒。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's the big cause for concern: Is policy able to respond and bail out markets and economies this time given inflation?\" he told<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>. Smith also said that more lockdowns or restrictions could continue to increase global supply chain issues and add to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>“这是令人担忧的主要原因：考虑到通货膨胀，这次政策能否做出反应并救助市场和经济？”他说<i>华尔街日报</i>史密斯还表示，更多的封锁或限制可能会继续增加全球供应链问题，并加剧通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在呢</blockquote></p><p> While I think the strong global reaction to this new variant is warranted, I am not ready to panic just yet. We still don't know how severe it is or if it can evade vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我认为全球对这种新变种的强烈反应是有道理的，但我还没有准备好恐慌。我们仍然不知道它有多严重，也不知道它是否可以逃避疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> I also feel quite confident in these large-cap U.S. bank stocks considering how well they held up during the pandemic in 2020. They all have strong levels of capital and lots of liquidity, giving me every bit of confidence they could survive another downturn. In particular, the pullback on Citigroup, which already traded at beaten-down levels, strikes me as a great&nbsp;buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这些大型美国银行股在 2020 年大流行期间的表现，我对它们也相当有信心。他们都拥有雄厚的资本水平和充足的流动性，这让我对他们能够度过另一次低迷充满信心。特别是，花旗集团的回调在我看来是一个绝佳的买入机会，该集团的交易价格已经处于被击败的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Shares of Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of America, and JPMorgan Chase Are Falling Today<blockquote>为什么富国银行、花旗集团、美国银行和摩根大通的股价今天下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Shares of Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Bank of America, and JPMorgan Chase Are Falling Today<blockquote>为什么富国银行、花旗集团、美国银行和摩根大通的股价今天下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-27 08:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么事</blockquote></p><p> Shares of all the major U.S. bank stocks struggled today, along with the&nbsp;<b>Dow Jones Industrial Average</b>, which at one point fell 1,000 points on this shortened day of trading -- the worst drop for the index in all of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>美国所有主要银行股的股价今天都陷入困境，<b>道琼斯工业指数</b>在这个缩短的交易日里，该指数一度下跌了 1,000 点，这是该指数 2021 年全年最严重的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of America's largest bank by assets,<b>JPMorgan Chase</b>(NYSE:JPM), had fallen 3.4% as of 12:30 p.m. EST, while shares of the second-largest bank in the U.S.,<b>Bank of America</b>(NYSE:BAC), dropped more than 4%. Meanwhile, the more beaten-down&nbsp;<b>Citigroup</b>(NYSE:C)had fallen more than 3%, and&nbsp;<b>Wells Fargo</b>(NYSE:WFC)declined more than 5%. These are big daily moves for more stable large-cap stocks.</p><p><blockquote>美国资产最大银行的股票，<b>摩根大通</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JPM），截至中午 12:30 下跌 3.4%美国东部时间，而美国第二大银行的股票，<b>美国银行</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：BAC），跌幅超过4%。与此同时，越是被打败<b>花旗集团</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：C）下跌超过 3%，并且<b>富国银行</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WFC）下跌超过5%。对于更稳定的大盘股来说，这些都是每日的大波动。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> While Americans were enjoying their Thanksgiving meals, multiple media outlets reported that a new variant of the coronavirus had emerged in South Africa known as B.1.1.529 variant.</p><p><blockquote>当美国人正在享受感恩节大餐时，多家媒体报道称，南非出现了一种新的冠状病毒变种，称为B.1.1.529变种。</blockquote></p><p> Scientists reported that the strain had more than 30 mutations to the spike protein, which is the part of the virus that attaches to a person's cells. This is significantly more mutations than the delta variant. Adding to the storm, pharmaceutical company&nbsp;<b>Merck</b>, which has been developing an antiviral pill to treat more severe cases of COVID-19 after people contract the virus, disclosed that the pill was not as effective at treatment as had been initially hoped.</p><p><blockquote>科学家报告说，这种毒株的刺突蛋白有30多个突变，刺突蛋白是病毒附着在人的细胞上的部分。这比德尔塔变异毒株明显更多的突变。制药公司雪上加霜<b>默克</b>该公司一直在开发一种抗病毒药丸，以治疗人们感染病毒后更严重的 COVID-19 病例，并透露该药丸的治疗效果不如最初希望的那么好。</blockquote></p><p> The variant news resulted in a strong global reaction, as the World Health Organization called an emergency meeting to discuss it. Additionally, the European Union proposed a ban on flights from South Africa. Little is yet known over how severe cases from the B.1.1.529 variant are, but early knowledge has scientists and experts extremely concerned.</p><p><blockquote>这一变异消息引起了强烈的全球反应，世界卫生组织召开了紧急会议进行讨论。此外，欧盟提议禁止来自南非的航班。目前尚不清楚 B.1.1.529 变体的病例有多严重，但早期知识让科学家和专家极为担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"If we have another COVID strain that can spread even more readily than delta, that would pose a challenge to all of us around the world, because when delta arrived this summer, it changed the game,\" William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt University, told CNBC today.</p><p><blockquote>范德比尔特大学预防医学教授威廉·沙夫纳 (William Schaffner) 表示：“如果我们有另一种比德尔塔病毒更容易传播的新冠病毒毒株，这将对我们世界各地的所有人构成挑战，因为当德尔塔病毒今年夏天到来时，它改变了游戏规则。”今天告诉 CNBC。</blockquote></p><p> Banksare extremely linked to the economy due to the fact that they lend money and interact with most sectors in it. So any time a new variant pops up and threatens to increase cases, it is one sector that will take a hit because investors fear potential future lockdowns, stalling economic growth, and potential loan quality concerns.</p><p><blockquote>银行与经济密切相关，因为它们放贷并与经济中的大多数部门互动。因此，每当出现新的变种并有可能增加病例时，这是一个将受到打击的行业，因为投资者担心未来潜在的封锁、经济增长停滞以及潜在的贷款质量担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The news also comes at an already treacherous time for the market, which over the past few weeks has been dealing with a stronger inflationary environment, rising bond yields, and increasing sentiment that the Federal Reserve may raise its benchmark federal funds rate next year.</p><p><blockquote>这一消息发布之际，市场本已岌岌可危，过去几周，市场一直在应对通胀环境走强、债券收益率上升以及美联储明年可能上调联邦基金基准利率的情绪日益高涨。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, the struggles with inflation may make it more difficult for the federal government to respond to a new severe wave of the coronavirus, says Edward Smith, co-chief investment officer at the Rathbone Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>此外，拉斯伯恩投资管理公司（Rathbone Investment Management）联席首席投资官爱德华·史密斯（Edward Smith）表示，与通货膨胀的斗争可能会使联邦政府更难应对新一波严重的冠状病毒。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's the big cause for concern: Is policy able to respond and bail out markets and economies this time given inflation?\" he told<i>The Wall Street Journal</i>. Smith also said that more lockdowns or restrictions could continue to increase global supply chain issues and add to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>“这是令人担忧的主要原因：考虑到通货膨胀，这次政策能否做出反应并救助市场和经济？”他说<i>华尔街日报</i>史密斯还表示，更多的封锁或限制可能会继续增加全球供应链问题，并加剧通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在呢</blockquote></p><p> While I think the strong global reaction to this new variant is warranted, I am not ready to panic just yet. We still don't know how severe it is or if it can evade vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我认为全球对这种新变种的强烈反应是有道理的，但我还没有准备好恐慌。我们仍然不知道它有多严重，也不知道它是否可以逃避疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> I also feel quite confident in these large-cap U.S. bank stocks considering how well they held up during the pandemic in 2020. They all have strong levels of capital and lots of liquidity, giving me every bit of confidence they could survive another downturn. In particular, the pullback on Citigroup, which already traded at beaten-down levels, strikes me as a great&nbsp;buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这些大型美国银行股在 2020 年大流行期间的表现，我对它们也相当有信心。他们都拥有雄厚的资本水平和充足的流动性，这让我对他们能够度过另一次低迷充满信心。特别是，花旗集团的回调在我看来是一个绝佳的买入机会，该集团的交易价格已经处于被击败的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/26/why-shares-of-wells-fargo-citigroup-bank-of-americ/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"JPM":"摩根大通","WFC":"富国银行","C":"花旗","BAC":"美国银行"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/26/why-shares-of-wells-fargo-citigroup-bank-of-americ/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177270358","content_text":"What happened\nShares of all the major U.S. bank stocks struggled today, along with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which at one point fell 1,000 points on this shortened day of trading -- the worst drop for the index in all of 2021.\nShares of America's largest bank by assets,JPMorgan Chase(NYSE:JPM), had fallen 3.4% as of 12:30 p.m. EST, while shares of the second-largest bank in the U.S.,Bank of America(NYSE:BAC), dropped more than 4%. Meanwhile, the more beaten-down Citigroup(NYSE:C)had fallen more than 3%, and Wells Fargo(NYSE:WFC)declined more than 5%. These are big daily moves for more stable large-cap stocks.\nSo what\nWhile Americans were enjoying their Thanksgiving meals, multiple media outlets reported that a new variant of the coronavirus had emerged in South Africa known as B.1.1.529 variant.\nScientists reported that the strain had more than 30 mutations to the spike protein, which is the part of the virus that attaches to a person's cells. This is significantly more mutations than the delta variant. Adding to the storm, pharmaceutical company Merck, which has been developing an antiviral pill to treat more severe cases of COVID-19 after people contract the virus, disclosed that the pill was not as effective at treatment as had been initially hoped.\nThe variant news resulted in a strong global reaction, as the World Health Organization called an emergency meeting to discuss it. Additionally, the European Union proposed a ban on flights from South Africa. Little is yet known over how severe cases from the B.1.1.529 variant are, but early knowledge has scientists and experts extremely concerned.\n\"If we have another COVID strain that can spread even more readily than delta, that would pose a challenge to all of us around the world, because when delta arrived this summer, it changed the game,\" William Schaffner, a professor of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt University, told CNBC today.\nBanksare extremely linked to the economy due to the fact that they lend money and interact with most sectors in it. So any time a new variant pops up and threatens to increase cases, it is one sector that will take a hit because investors fear potential future lockdowns, stalling economic growth, and potential loan quality concerns.\nThe news also comes at an already treacherous time for the market, which over the past few weeks has been dealing with a stronger inflationary environment, rising bond yields, and increasing sentiment that the Federal Reserve may raise its benchmark federal funds rate next year.\nFurthermore, the struggles with inflation may make it more difficult for the federal government to respond to a new severe wave of the coronavirus, says Edward Smith, co-chief investment officer at the Rathbone Investment Management.\n\"That's the big cause for concern: Is policy able to respond and bail out markets and economies this time given inflation?\" he toldThe Wall Street Journal. Smith also said that more lockdowns or restrictions could continue to increase global supply chain issues and add to inflation.\nNow what\nWhile I think the strong global reaction to this new variant is warranted, I am not ready to panic just yet. We still don't know how severe it is or if it can evade vaccines.\nI also feel quite confident in these large-cap U.S. bank stocks considering how well they held up during the pandemic in 2020. They all have strong levels of capital and lots of liquidity, giving me every bit of confidence they could survive another downturn. In particular, the pullback on Citigroup, which already traded at beaten-down levels, strikes me as a great buying opportunity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"C":0.9,"JPM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875491314,"gmtCreate":1637677721887,"gmtModify":1637677722038,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"2ow","listText":"2ow","text":"2ow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875491314","repostId":"1111787545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111787545","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637677426,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111787545?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 22:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Assigned Higher Capital Buffers<blockquote>摩根大通、高盛分配了更高的资本缓冲</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111787545","media":"WSJ","summary":"Global financial regulators boosted capital requirements for JPMorgan Chase & Co., Goldman Sachs Gro","content":"<p>Global financial regulators boosted capital requirements for JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Goldman Sachs&nbsp;Group Inc. and BNP Paribas SAunder rules intended to help avoid a repeat of the 2008 global financial crisis, in which the largest lenders were deemed too big to fail.</p><p><blockquote>全球金融监管机构提高了摩根大通、高盛集团和法国巴黎银行桑德尔规则的资本要求，旨在帮助避免2008年全球金融危机重演，当时最大的银行被认为太大而不能倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Stability Board in Basel, Switzerland, said the three banks would be required to set aside a further 0.5% of common equity Tier 1 capital under rules for the world’s largest lenders—the so-called global systemically important banks, of which there are currently 30. The higher requirements become effective in January 2023, the FSB said in a statement Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>位于瑞士巴塞尔的金融稳定委员会表示，根据全球最大贷款机构--所谓的全球系统重要性银行--的规定，这三家银行将被要求再预留 0.5% 的普通股一级资本，目前全球有 30 家银行。俄罗斯联邦安全局周二在一份声明中表示，更高的要求将于 2023 年 1 月生效。</blockquote></p><p> The higher capital requirements won’t have an immediate impact on the U.S. banks, since the Federal Reserve already requires higher additional capital standards for the biggest banks. The FSB’s decisions on additional capital requirements come in the form of recommendations, which national regulators have vowed to follow.</p><p><blockquote>更高的资本要求不会对美国银行产生直接影响，因为美联储已经要求最大的银行提高额外资本标准。金融稳定委员会关于额外资本要求的决定以建议的形式做出，国家监管机构已发誓要遵循这些建议。</blockquote></p><p> The changes “largely reflect the effects of changes in underlying activity of banks,” the FSB said. Bank balance sheets swelled during the pandemic, a response to huge amounts of central bank stimulus and government spending. JPMorgan’s total assets grew by more than a quarter to $3.39 trillion in 2020, from $2.69 trillion the year before.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会表示，这些变化 “在很大程度上反映了银行基础活动变化的影响”。疫情期间，银行资产负债表膨胀，这是对央行巨额刺激和政府支出的回应。2020 年，摩根大通的总资产增长了四分之一以上，达到 3.39 万亿美元，而上一年为 2.69 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The FSB updates its list of biggest banks annually. JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank, must have an additional capital buffer of 2.5%, becoming the only global lender with a requirement of this size. The aim of the buffer is to ensure that the biggest banks have enough loss-absorbing capacity for an orderly resolution if the bank fails.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会每年都会更新其最大银行名单。美国最大的银行摩根大通必须有2.5%的额外资本缓冲，成为唯一一家有这一规模要求的全球银行。缓冲的目的是确保最大的银行有足够的损失吸收能力，以便在银行倒闭时有序解决。</blockquote></p><p> A JPMorgan spokesperson said the bank already meets the requirement because the Federal Reserve has set it a higher surcharge of 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发言人表示，该银行已经符合要求，因为美联储已对其设定了 3.5% 的更高附加费。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve has set Goldman Sachs a surcharge of 2.5%, higher than the FSB’s new requirement of 1.5%. Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>美联储对高盛征收2.5%的附加费，高于金融稳定委员会1.5%的新要求。高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> BNP Paribas must have an additional capital buffer of 2%, joining Citigroup Inc. and HSBC Holdings PLC, which already have to meet that level. BNP Paribas declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>法国巴黎银行必须拥有 2% 的额外资本缓冲，加入花旗集团和汇丰控股公司的行列，后者已经必须达到这一水平。法国巴黎银行拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> “Banks have headroom in their capital ratios to manage it,” said Richard Barnes, an analyst at S&amp;P Global Ratings.</p><p><blockquote>“标准普尔全球评级公司（S&amp;P Global Ratings）分析师理查德-巴恩斯（Richard Barnes）说：”银行在资本比率方面有余地来管理资本比率。</blockquote></p><p> The FSB’s secretariat is hosted by the Bank for International Settlements, a group owned by central banks around the world. After the rush of bank failures and bailouts in 2008 and 2009, regulators came together under the FSB to set minimum uniform standards for bank capital.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会秘书处由国际清算银行（Bank for International Settlements）主办，国际清算银行是一个由世界各地中央银行所有的集团。在 2008 年和 2009 年银行倒闭和救助热潮之后，监管机构在金融稳定委员会 (FSB) 的领导下聚集在一起，制定了银行资本的最低统一标准。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Assigned Higher Capital Buffers<blockquote>摩根大通、高盛分配了更高的资本缓冲</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Assigned Higher Capital Buffers<blockquote>摩根大通、高盛分配了更高的资本缓冲</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">WSJ</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-23 22:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Global financial regulators boosted capital requirements for JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Goldman Sachs&nbsp;Group Inc. and BNP Paribas SAunder rules intended to help avoid a repeat of the 2008 global financial crisis, in which the largest lenders were deemed too big to fail.</p><p><blockquote>全球金融监管机构提高了摩根大通、高盛集团和法国巴黎银行桑德尔规则的资本要求，旨在帮助避免2008年全球金融危机重演，当时最大的银行被认为太大而不能倒闭。</blockquote></p><p> The Financial Stability Board in Basel, Switzerland, said the three banks would be required to set aside a further 0.5% of common equity Tier 1 capital under rules for the world’s largest lenders—the so-called global systemically important banks, of which there are currently 30. The higher requirements become effective in January 2023, the FSB said in a statement Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>位于瑞士巴塞尔的金融稳定委员会表示，根据全球最大贷款机构--所谓的全球系统重要性银行--的规定，这三家银行将被要求再预留 0.5% 的普通股一级资本，目前全球有 30 家银行。俄罗斯联邦安全局周二在一份声明中表示，更高的要求将于 2023 年 1 月生效。</blockquote></p><p> The higher capital requirements won’t have an immediate impact on the U.S. banks, since the Federal Reserve already requires higher additional capital standards for the biggest banks. The FSB’s decisions on additional capital requirements come in the form of recommendations, which national regulators have vowed to follow.</p><p><blockquote>更高的资本要求不会对美国银行产生直接影响，因为美联储已经要求最大的银行提高额外资本标准。金融稳定委员会关于额外资本要求的决定以建议的形式做出，国家监管机构已发誓要遵循这些建议。</blockquote></p><p> The changes “largely reflect the effects of changes in underlying activity of banks,” the FSB said. Bank balance sheets swelled during the pandemic, a response to huge amounts of central bank stimulus and government spending. JPMorgan’s total assets grew by more than a quarter to $3.39 trillion in 2020, from $2.69 trillion the year before.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会表示，这些变化 “在很大程度上反映了银行基础活动变化的影响”。疫情期间，银行资产负债表膨胀，这是对央行巨额刺激和政府支出的回应。2020 年，摩根大通的总资产增长了四分之一以上，达到 3.39 万亿美元，而上一年为 2.69 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The FSB updates its list of biggest banks annually. JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank, must have an additional capital buffer of 2.5%, becoming the only global lender with a requirement of this size. The aim of the buffer is to ensure that the biggest banks have enough loss-absorbing capacity for an orderly resolution if the bank fails.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会每年都会更新其最大银行名单。美国最大的银行摩根大通必须有2.5%的额外资本缓冲，成为唯一一家有这一规模要求的全球银行。缓冲的目的是确保最大的银行有足够的损失吸收能力，以便在银行倒闭时有序解决。</blockquote></p><p> A JPMorgan spokesperson said the bank already meets the requirement because the Federal Reserve has set it a higher surcharge of 3.5%.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通发言人表示，该银行已经符合要求，因为美联储已对其设定了 3.5% 的更高附加费。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve has set Goldman Sachs a surcharge of 2.5%, higher than the FSB’s new requirement of 1.5%. Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>美联储对高盛征收2.5%的附加费，高于金融稳定委员会1.5%的新要求。高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> BNP Paribas must have an additional capital buffer of 2%, joining Citigroup Inc. and HSBC Holdings PLC, which already have to meet that level. BNP Paribas declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>法国巴黎银行必须拥有 2% 的额外资本缓冲，加入花旗集团和汇丰控股公司的行列，后者已经必须达到这一水平。法国巴黎银行拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> “Banks have headroom in their capital ratios to manage it,” said Richard Barnes, an analyst at S&amp;P Global Ratings.</p><p><blockquote>“标准普尔全球评级公司（S&amp;P Global Ratings）分析师理查德-巴恩斯（Richard Barnes）说：”银行在资本比率方面有余地来管理资本比率。</blockquote></p><p> The FSB’s secretariat is hosted by the Bank for International Settlements, a group owned by central banks around the world. After the rush of bank failures and bailouts in 2008 and 2009, regulators came together under the FSB to set minimum uniform standards for bank capital.</p><p><blockquote>金融稳定委员会秘书处由国际清算银行（Bank for International Settlements）主办，国际清算银行是一个由世界各地中央银行所有的集团。在 2008 年和 2009 年银行倒闭和救助热潮之后，监管机构在金融稳定委员会 (FSB) 的领导下聚集在一起，制定了银行资本的最低统一标准。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/jpmorgan-goldman-sachs-told-to-boost-capital-buffers-11637669426?siteid=yhoof2\">WSJ</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNPQY":"BNP Paribas","JPM":"摩根大通","GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/jpmorgan-goldman-sachs-told-to-boost-capital-buffers-11637669426?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111787545","content_text":"Global financial regulators boosted capital requirements for JPMorgan Chase & Co., Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and BNP Paribas SAunder rules intended to help avoid a repeat of the 2008 global financial crisis, in which the largest lenders were deemed too big to fail.\nThe Financial Stability Board in Basel, Switzerland, said the three banks would be required to set aside a further 0.5% of common equity Tier 1 capital under rules for the world’s largest lenders—the so-called global systemically important banks, of which there are currently 30. The higher requirements become effective in January 2023, the FSB said in a statement Tuesday.\nThe higher capital requirements won’t have an immediate impact on the U.S. banks, since the Federal Reserve already requires higher additional capital standards for the biggest banks. The FSB’s decisions on additional capital requirements come in the form of recommendations, which national regulators have vowed to follow.\nThe changes “largely reflect the effects of changes in underlying activity of banks,” the FSB said. Bank balance sheets swelled during the pandemic, a response to huge amounts of central bank stimulus and government spending. JPMorgan’s total assets grew by more than a quarter to $3.39 trillion in 2020, from $2.69 trillion the year before.\nThe FSB updates its list of biggest banks annually. JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank, must have an additional capital buffer of 2.5%, becoming the only global lender with a requirement of this size. The aim of the buffer is to ensure that the biggest banks have enough loss-absorbing capacity for an orderly resolution if the bank fails.\nA JPMorgan spokesperson said the bank already meets the requirement because the Federal Reserve has set it a higher surcharge of 3.5%.\nThe Federal Reserve has set Goldman Sachs a surcharge of 2.5%, higher than the FSB’s new requirement of 1.5%. Goldman Sachs declined to comment.\nBNP Paribas must have an additional capital buffer of 2%, joining Citigroup Inc. and HSBC Holdings PLC, which already have to meet that level. BNP Paribas declined to comment.\n“Banks have headroom in their capital ratios to manage it,” said Richard Barnes, an analyst at S&P Global Ratings.\nThe FSB’s secretariat is hosted by the Bank for International Settlements, a group owned by central banks around the world. After the rush of bank failures and bailouts in 2008 and 2009, regulators came together under the FSB to set minimum uniform standards for bank capital.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JPM":0.9,"BNPQY":0.9,"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4882,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879623910,"gmtCreate":1636719920653,"gmtModify":1636719920806,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nnnnbo","listText":"Nnnnbo","text":"Nnnnbo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879623910","repostId":"2182100092","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843908425,"gmtCreate":1635786719859,"gmtModify":1635786719966,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575256032463698\">@tearach</a>: Wojjjjjjw","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3575256032463698\">@tearach</a>: Wojjjjjjw","text":"//@tearach: Wojjjjjjw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843908425","repostId":"2172647479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822616691,"gmtCreate":1634125493997,"gmtModify":1634125494105,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Woe","listText":"Woe","text":"Woe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822616691","repostId":"1136817202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136817202","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634123903,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1136817202?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 19:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IBM Will Complete Its Spinoff of Kyndryl in November. What to Know.<blockquote>IBM将于11月完成对Kyndryl的分拆。要知道什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136817202","media":"Barrons","summary":"IBM announced Tuesday that it will complete the spinoff of Kyndryl, its managed infrastructure servi","content":"<p>IBM&nbsp;announced Tuesday that it will complete the spinoff of Kyndryl, its managed infrastructure services business, at the end of trading on Nov. 3.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 周二宣布，将在 11 月 3 日交易结束时完成托管基础设施服务业务 Kyndryl 的分拆。</blockquote></p><p> As previously announced, IBM (ticker: IBM) will distribute 80.1% of its Kyndryl shares to current IBM holders. Each IBM holder will receive one Kyndryl shares for each five IBM shares held as of the record date of Oct. 25. The distribution will be tax-free to IBM holders. Kyndryl will trade on the NYSE under the symbol KD.</p><p><blockquote>正如之前宣布的那样，IBM（股票代码：IBM）将向当前的IBM股东分配其80.1%的Kyndryl股份。截至10月25日的记录日期，每位IBM股东每持有五股IBM股票，将获得一股Kyndryl股票。IBM持有者将免税分发。Kyndryl 将在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为 KD。</blockquote></p><p> IBM said it expects to exchange its remaining 19.9% stake in Kyndryl for outstanding IBM debt in the 12 months following completion of the distribution.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 表示，预计在分配完成后的 12 个月内，将其在 Kyndryl 剩余的 19.9% 股份交换为未偿 IBM 债务。</blockquote></p><p> According to a recent IBM filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission about the spinoff, Kyndryl on a pro forma basis had 2020 revenue of $19.4 billion, down from $20.3 billion in 2019 and $21.8 billion in 2018. For the 2021 first half, revenue on a pro forma basis was $9.4 billion. Kyndryl had losses on a GAAP basis in both 2020 and the first half of 2021, but that includes one-time charges related to both workforce reduction and the spinoff. On a non-GAAP basis, Kynrdryl had pretax profits of $378 million in 2020 and $156 million in the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBM 最近向美国证券交易委员会提交的关于分拆的文件，Kyndryl 预计 2020 年收入为 194 亿美元，低于 2019 年的 203 亿美元和 2018 年的 218 亿美元。2021 年上半年，预计收入为 94 亿美元。Kyndryl 在 2020 年和 2021 年上半年均出现 GAAP 亏损，但其中包括与裁员和分拆相关的一次性费用。按非 GAAP 计算，Kynrdryl 2020 年税前利润为 3.78 亿美元，2021 年上半年税前利润为 1.56 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM said that following the separation, the initial combined dividend level of Kyndryl and IBM is expected to be no less than IBM’s pre-spinoff dividend per share. IBM shares have a current dividend yield of 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>IBM表示，分拆后，Kyndryl和IBM的初始合并股息水平预计将不低于IBM分拆前的每股股息。IBM 股票目前的股息率为 4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM noted in its announcement that its shareholders don’t need to take any action to receive the Kyndryl shares to which they are entitled.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 在公告中指出，其股东无需采取任何行动即可获得他们有权获得的 Kyndryl 股份。</blockquote></p><p> IBM on Tuesday is off 1% to $140.95.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 周二股价下跌 1%，至 140.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IBM Will Complete Its Spinoff of Kyndryl in November. What to Know.<blockquote>IBM将于11月完成对Kyndryl的分拆。要知道什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIBM Will Complete Its Spinoff of Kyndryl in November. What to Know.<blockquote>IBM将于11月完成对Kyndryl的分拆。要知道什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-13 19:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>IBM&nbsp;announced Tuesday that it will complete the spinoff of Kyndryl, its managed infrastructure services business, at the end of trading on Nov. 3.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 周二宣布，将在 11 月 3 日交易结束时完成托管基础设施服务业务 Kyndryl 的分拆。</blockquote></p><p> As previously announced, IBM (ticker: IBM) will distribute 80.1% of its Kyndryl shares to current IBM holders. Each IBM holder will receive one Kyndryl shares for each five IBM shares held as of the record date of Oct. 25. The distribution will be tax-free to IBM holders. Kyndryl will trade on the NYSE under the symbol KD.</p><p><blockquote>正如之前宣布的那样，IBM（股票代码：IBM）将向当前的IBM股东分配其80.1%的Kyndryl股份。截至10月25日的记录日期，每位IBM股东每持有五股IBM股票，将获得一股Kyndryl股票。IBM持有者将免税分发。Kyndryl 将在纽约证券交易所上市，股票代码为 KD。</blockquote></p><p> IBM said it expects to exchange its remaining 19.9% stake in Kyndryl for outstanding IBM debt in the 12 months following completion of the distribution.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 表示，预计在分配完成后的 12 个月内，将其在 Kyndryl 剩余的 19.9% 股份交换为未偿 IBM 债务。</blockquote></p><p> According to a recent IBM filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission about the spinoff, Kyndryl on a pro forma basis had 2020 revenue of $19.4 billion, down from $20.3 billion in 2019 and $21.8 billion in 2018. For the 2021 first half, revenue on a pro forma basis was $9.4 billion. Kyndryl had losses on a GAAP basis in both 2020 and the first half of 2021, but that includes one-time charges related to both workforce reduction and the spinoff. On a non-GAAP basis, Kynrdryl had pretax profits of $378 million in 2020 and $156 million in the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>根据 IBM 最近向美国证券交易委员会提交的关于分拆的文件，Kyndryl 预计 2020 年收入为 194 亿美元，低于 2019 年的 203 亿美元和 2018 年的 218 亿美元。2021 年上半年，预计收入为 94 亿美元。Kyndryl 在 2020 年和 2021 年上半年均出现 GAAP 亏损，但其中包括与裁员和分拆相关的一次性费用。按非 GAAP 计算，Kynrdryl 2020 年税前利润为 3.78 亿美元，2021 年上半年税前利润为 1.56 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> IBM said that following the separation, the initial combined dividend level of Kyndryl and IBM is expected to be no less than IBM’s pre-spinoff dividend per share. IBM shares have a current dividend yield of 4.7%.</p><p><blockquote>IBM表示，分拆后，Kyndryl和IBM的初始合并股息水平预计将不低于IBM分拆前的每股股息。IBM 股票目前的股息率为 4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> IBM noted in its announcement that its shareholders don’t need to take any action to receive the Kyndryl shares to which they are entitled.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 在公告中指出，其股东无需采取任何行动即可获得他们有权获得的 Kyndryl 股份。</blockquote></p><p> IBM on Tuesday is off 1% to $140.95.</p><p><blockquote>IBM 周二股价下跌 1%，至 140.95 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/ibm-kyndryl-spinoff-51634069861?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/ibm-kyndryl-spinoff-51634069861?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_2_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136817202","content_text":"IBM announced Tuesday that it will complete the spinoff of Kyndryl, its managed infrastructure services business, at the end of trading on Nov. 3.\nAs previously announced, IBM (ticker: IBM) will distribute 80.1% of its Kyndryl shares to current IBM holders. Each IBM holder will receive one Kyndryl shares for each five IBM shares held as of the record date of Oct. 25. The distribution will be tax-free to IBM holders. Kyndryl will trade on the NYSE under the symbol KD.\nIBM said it expects to exchange its remaining 19.9% stake in Kyndryl for outstanding IBM debt in the 12 months following completion of the distribution.\nAccording to a recent IBM filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission about the spinoff, Kyndryl on a pro forma basis had 2020 revenue of $19.4 billion, down from $20.3 billion in 2019 and $21.8 billion in 2018. For the 2021 first half, revenue on a pro forma basis was $9.4 billion. Kyndryl had losses on a GAAP basis in both 2020 and the first half of 2021, but that includes one-time charges related to both workforce reduction and the spinoff. On a non-GAAP basis, Kynrdryl had pretax profits of $378 million in 2020 and $156 million in the first half of 2021.\nIBM said that following the separation, the initial combined dividend level of Kyndryl and IBM is expected to be no less than IBM’s pre-spinoff dividend per share. IBM shares have a current dividend yield of 4.7%.\nIBM noted in its announcement that its shareholders don’t need to take any action to receive the Kyndryl shares to which they are entitled.\nIBM on Tuesday is off 1% to $140.95.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":828712434,"gmtCreate":1633945577182,"gmtModify":1633945577344,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/828712434","repostId":"2174971913","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3993,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829266772,"gmtCreate":1633516053123,"gmtModify":1633516053477,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829266772","repostId":"1140605265","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140605265","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633514236,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1140605265?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-06 17:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The next financial crisis is fast approaching<blockquote>下一次金融危机正在迅速逼近</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140605265","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while lev","content":"<p>  <b>Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while leverage is near record levels for households, corporations, banks and governments.</b>  NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)— Since early 2020, central banks across the advanced economies have had to choose between pursuing financial stability, low (typically 2%) inflation, or real economic activity. Without exception, they have opted in favor of financial stability, followed by real economic activity, with inflation last.</p><p><blockquote><b>央行需要做好准备，因为全球股市和房地产被高估，而家庭、企业、银行和政府的杠杆率接近创纪录水平。</b>纽约（项目辛迪加）——自2020年初以来，发达经济体的央行不得不在追求金融稳定、低通胀（通常为2%）或实体经济活动之间做出选择。他们无一例外地选择了金融稳定，其次是实体经济活动，最后是通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, the only advanced-economy central bank to raise interest rates since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been Norway’s Norges Bank, which&nbsp;lifted&nbsp;its policy rate from zero to 0.25% on Sept. 24. While it has&nbsp;hinted&nbsp;that an additional rate increase is likely in December, and that its policy rate could reach 1.7% toward the end of 2024, that is merely more evidence of monetary policy makers’ extreme reluctance to implement the kind of rate increases that are required to achieve a 2% inflation target consistently.</p><p><blockquote>因此，自 COVID-19 大流行开始以来，唯一加息的发达经济体中央银行是挪威的挪威银行，该银行于 9 月 24 日将政策利率从零上调至 0.25%。虽然它暗示可能在 12 月份再次加息，其政策利率可能在 2024 年底达到 1.7%，但这只不过是货币政策制定者极其不愿意实施持续实现 2% 通胀目标所需的加息措施的进一步证据。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</b>  Central banks’ overwhelming reluctance to pursue interest-rate and balance-sheet policies compatible with their inflation targets should come as no surprise. In the years between the start of the Great Moderation in the mid-1980s and the 2007-08 financial crisis, advanced-economy central banks failed to give sufficient weight to financial stability. A prime example was the Bank of England’s loss of all supervisory and regulatory powers when it was granted operational independence in 1997.</p><p><blockquote><b>如今的风险资产估值完全脱离现实。</b>各国央行极不愿意推行与其通胀目标相符的利率和资产负债表政策，这并不奇怪。在20世纪80年代中期大缓和开始到2007-08年金融危机之间的几年里，发达经济体的央行没有给予金融稳定足够的重视。一个典型的例子是英格兰银行在 1997 年获得运营独立性时失去了所有监督和监管权力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Prioritize financial stability over inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将金融稳定置于通货膨胀之上</b></blockquote></p><p> The result was a financial disaster and a severe cyclical downturn. Confirming the logic of “once bitten, twice shy,” central banks then responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by pursuing unprecedentedly aggressive policies to ensure financial stability. But they also went far beyond what was required, pulling out all the policy stops to support real economic activity.</p><p><blockquote>结果是金融灾难和严重的周期性衰退。为了应对 COVID-19 大流行病，各国央行采取了前所未有的积极政策来确保金融稳定，这证实了 “一次被咬，两次害羞 ”的逻辑。但他们也远远超出了要求，取消了所有支持实体经济活动的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks were right to prioritize financial stability over price stability, considering that financial stability itself is a prerequisite for sustainable price stability (and for some central banks’ other target, full employment). The economic and social cost of a financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target. Obviously, very high inflation rates must be avoided, because they, too, can become a source of financial instability; but if preventing a financial calamity requires a few years of high single-digit inflation, the price is well worth it.</p><p><blockquote>中央银行将金融稳定置于价格稳定之上是正确的，因为金融稳定本身就是可持续价格稳定（以及一些中央银行的另一个目标，即充分就业）的先决条件。金融危机的经济和社会成本，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。显然，必须避免非常高的通货膨胀率，因为它们也可能成为金融不稳定的根源；但如果防止金融灾难需要几年的高个位数通胀，那么代价是非常值得的。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets.</b>  I hope (and expect) that central banks—not least the Federal Reserve—are ready to respond appropriately if the U.S. federal government breaches its “debt ceiling” on or around Oct. 18. A recent&nbsp;study&nbsp;by Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics concludes that a U.S. sovereign debt default could destroy up to 6 million U.S. jobs and wipe out as much as $15 trillion in private wealth. This estimate strikes me as optimistic. If the sovereign default were to be protracted, the costs would probably be much higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动性负债和非流动性资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。</b>我希望（并预计），如果美国联邦政府在 10 月 18 日或前后违反 “债务上限 ”，各国央行--尤其是美联储--已准备好做出适当反应。穆迪分析公司（Moody's Analytics）的马克-赞迪（Mark Zandi）最近的一项研究得出结论，美国主权债务违约可能会摧毁多达 600 万个美国工作岗位，并抹去多达 15 万亿美元的私人财富。这个估计让我感到乐观。如果主权违约持续下去，成本可能会更高。</blockquote></p><p> In any case, a U.S. sovereign default would also have a dramatic and devastating global impact, afflicting both advanced economies and emerging and developing markets. U.S. sovereign debtTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%is widely held globally, and the U.S. dollarBUXX,0.43%remains the world’s senior reserve currency.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，美国主权违约也将产生戏剧性和毁灭性的全球影响，困扰发达经济体以及新兴和发展中市场。美国主权债务TTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%在全球范围内被广泛持有，美元BUXX,0.43%仍然是世界高级储备货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vulnerable to financial shocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>易受金融冲击</b></blockquote></p><p> Even without a self-inflicted wound like a congressional failure to raise or suspend the debt ceiling, financial fragility is rife nowadays. Household, corporate, financial, and government balance sheets have grown to record highs this century, rendering all four sectors more vulnerable to financial shocks.</p><p><blockquote>即使没有国会未能提高或暂停债务上限这样的自残，如今金融脆弱性仍然普遍存在。家庭、企业、金融和政府的资产负债表在本世纪创下历史新高，使得所有四个部门都更容易受到金融冲击的影响。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The economic and social cost of a</b>   <b>financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target.</b>  Central banks are the only economic actors capable of addressing the funding and market-liquidity crises that are now part of the new normal. There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets. This is as true in China as it is in the U.S., the eurozone, Japan, and the United Kingdom.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济和社会成本</b><b>金融危机，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。</b>中央银行是唯一有能力解决资金和市场流动性危机的经济行为者，这些危机现在已成为新常态的一部分。非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动性负债和非流动性资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。中国和美国、欧元区、日本和英国都是如此。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> China’s real-estate bubble—and the household debt secured against it—is likely to implode sooner or later. The dangerously indebted property developer Evergrande could well be the catalyst. But even if Chinese authorities manage to prevent a full-fledged financial meltdown, a deep and persistent economic slump would be unavoidable. Add to that a marked decline in China’s potential growth rate (owing to demographics and enterprise-hostile policies), and the world economy will have lost one of its engines.</p><p><blockquote>中国的房地产泡沫--以及抵御泡沫的家庭债务--迟早会破裂。负债累累的房地产开发商恒大很可能成为催化剂。但是，即使中国当局设法阻止了全面的金融崩溃，深度而持久的经济衰退也将不可避免。再加上中国的潜在增长率大幅下降（由于人口结构和不利于企业的政策），世界经济将失去一个引擎。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫</b></blockquote></p><p> Across the advanced economies (and in many emerging markets), risk assets, notably equitySPX,+1.05%GDOW,0.04%DJIA,+0.92%and real estate, appear to be materially overvalued, despite recent minor corrections. The only way to avoid this conclusion is to believe that long-run real interest rates today (which are negative in many cases) are at or close to their fundamental values. I suspect that both the long-run real safe interest rate and assorted risk premiums are being artificially depressed by distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles, respectively. If so, today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</p><p><blockquote>在整个发达经济体（以及许多新兴市场），风险资产，特别是 equitySPX、+1.05% GDOW、0.04% DJIA、+0.92% 和房地产，似乎被严重高估，尽管最近进行了小幅调整。避免这一结论的唯一方法是相信今天的长期实际利率（在许多情况下是负值）处于或接近其基本值。我怀疑长期真实安全利率和各种风险溢价分别被扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫人为压低。如果是这样，那么今天的风险资产估值就完全脱离现实了。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot.</b>  Whenever the inevitable price corrections materialize, central banks, supervisors, and regulators will need to work closely with finance ministries to limit the damage to the real economy. Significant deleveraging by all four sectors (households, nonfinancial corporates, financial institutions, and governments) will be necessary to reduce financial vulnerability and boost resilience. Orderly debt restructuring, including sovereign debt restructuring in several highly vulnerable developing countries, will need to be part of the overdue restoration of financial sustainability.</p><p><blockquote><b>2%的通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。</b>每当不可避免的价格调整成为现实时，央行、监管机构和监管机构都需要与财政部密切合作，以限制对实体经济的损害。所有四个部门（家庭、非金融企业、金融机构和政府）都需要大幅去杠杆化，以减少金融脆弱性并增强弹性。有序的债务重组，包括几个高度脆弱的发展中国家的主权债务重组，将需要成为早该恢复金融可持续性的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks, acting as lenders of last resort (LLR) and market makers of last resort (MMLR), will once again be the linchpins in what is sure to be a chaotic sequence of events. Their contributions to global financial stability have never been more important. The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot. Since LLR and MMLR operations are conducted in the twilight zone between illiquidity and insolvency, these central-bank activities have marked quasi-fiscal characteristics. Thus, the crisis now waiting in the wings will inevitably diminish central bank independence.</p><p><blockquote>中央银行作为最后贷款人（LLR）和最后做市商（MMLR），将再次成为一系列混乱事件的关键。它们对全球金融稳定的贡献从未如此重要。2%的通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。由于LLR和MMLR操作是在流动性不足和破产之间的阴暗地带进行的，这些央行活动具有明显的准财政特征。因此，现在潜伏的危机将不可避免地削弱央行的独立性。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Willem H. Buiter is an adjunct professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University.He was global chief economist at Citigroup from 2010 to 2018</i></b>.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>Willem H. Buiter 是哥伦比亚大学国际和公共事务兼职教授。彼于2010年至2018年担任花旗集团全球首席经济学家</i></b>.</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The next financial crisis is fast approaching<blockquote>下一次金融危机正在迅速逼近</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe next financial crisis is fast approaching<blockquote>下一次金融危机正在迅速逼近</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-06 17:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while leverage is near record levels for households, corporations, banks and governments.</b>  NEW YORK (Project Syndicate)— Since early 2020, central banks across the advanced economies have had to choose between pursuing financial stability, low (typically 2%) inflation, or real economic activity. Without exception, they have opted in favor of financial stability, followed by real economic activity, with inflation last.</p><p><blockquote><b>央行需要做好准备，因为全球股市和房地产被高估，而家庭、企业、银行和政府的杠杆率接近创纪录水平。</b>纽约（项目辛迪加）——自2020年初以来，发达经济体的央行不得不在追求金融稳定、低通胀（通常为2%）或实体经济活动之间做出选择。他们无一例外地选择了金融稳定，其次是实体经济活动，最后是通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, the only advanced-economy central bank to raise interest rates since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been Norway’s Norges Bank, which&nbsp;lifted&nbsp;its policy rate from zero to 0.25% on Sept. 24. While it has&nbsp;hinted&nbsp;that an additional rate increase is likely in December, and that its policy rate could reach 1.7% toward the end of 2024, that is merely more evidence of monetary policy makers’ extreme reluctance to implement the kind of rate increases that are required to achieve a 2% inflation target consistently.</p><p><blockquote>因此，自 COVID-19 大流行开始以来，唯一加息的发达经济体中央银行是挪威的挪威银行，该银行于 9 月 24 日将政策利率从零上调至 0.25%。虽然它暗示可能在 12 月份再次加息，其政策利率可能在 2024 年底达到 1.7%，但这只不过是货币政策制定者极其不愿意实施持续实现 2% 通胀目标所需的加息措施的进一步证据。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</b>  Central banks’ overwhelming reluctance to pursue interest-rate and balance-sheet policies compatible with their inflation targets should come as no surprise. In the years between the start of the Great Moderation in the mid-1980s and the 2007-08 financial crisis, advanced-economy central banks failed to give sufficient weight to financial stability. A prime example was the Bank of England’s loss of all supervisory and regulatory powers when it was granted operational independence in 1997.</p><p><blockquote><b>如今的风险资产估值完全脱离现实。</b>各国央行极不愿意推行与其通胀目标相符的利率和资产负债表政策，这并不奇怪。在20世纪80年代中期大缓和开始到2007-08年金融危机之间的几年里，发达经济体的央行没有给予金融稳定足够的重视。一个典型的例子是英格兰银行在 1997 年获得运营独立性时失去了所有监督和监管权力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Prioritize financial stability over inflation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>将金融稳定置于通货膨胀之上</b></blockquote></p><p> The result was a financial disaster and a severe cyclical downturn. Confirming the logic of “once bitten, twice shy,” central banks then responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by pursuing unprecedentedly aggressive policies to ensure financial stability. But they also went far beyond what was required, pulling out all the policy stops to support real economic activity.</p><p><blockquote>结果是金融灾难和严重的周期性衰退。为了应对 COVID-19 大流行病，各国央行采取了前所未有的积极政策来确保金融稳定，这证实了 “一次被咬，两次害羞 ”的逻辑。但他们也远远超出了要求，取消了所有支持实体经济活动的政策。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks were right to prioritize financial stability over price stability, considering that financial stability itself is a prerequisite for sustainable price stability (and for some central banks’ other target, full employment). The economic and social cost of a financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target. Obviously, very high inflation rates must be avoided, because they, too, can become a source of financial instability; but if preventing a financial calamity requires a few years of high single-digit inflation, the price is well worth it.</p><p><blockquote>中央银行将金融稳定置于价格稳定之上是正确的，因为金融稳定本身就是可持续价格稳定（以及一些中央银行的另一个目标，即充分就业）的先决条件。金融危机的经济和社会成本，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。显然，必须避免非常高的通货膨胀率，因为它们也可能成为金融不稳定的根源；但如果防止金融灾难需要几年的高个位数通胀，那么代价是非常值得的。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets.</b>  I hope (and expect) that central banks—not least the Federal Reserve—are ready to respond appropriately if the U.S. federal government breaches its “debt ceiling” on or around Oct. 18. A recent&nbsp;study&nbsp;by Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics concludes that a U.S. sovereign debt default could destroy up to 6 million U.S. jobs and wipe out as much as $15 trillion in private wealth. This estimate strikes me as optimistic. If the sovereign default were to be protracted, the costs would probably be much higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动性负债和非流动性资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。</b>我希望（并预计），如果美国联邦政府在 10 月 18 日或前后违反 “债务上限 ”，各国央行--尤其是美联储--已准备好做出适当反应。穆迪分析公司（Moody's Analytics）的马克-赞迪（Mark Zandi）最近的一项研究得出结论，美国主权债务违约可能会摧毁多达 600 万个美国工作岗位，并抹去多达 15 万亿美元的私人财富。这个估计让我感到乐观。如果主权违约持续下去，成本可能会更高。</blockquote></p><p> In any case, a U.S. sovereign default would also have a dramatic and devastating global impact, afflicting both advanced economies and emerging and developing markets. U.S. sovereign debtTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%is widely held globally, and the U.S. dollarBUXX,0.43%remains the world’s senior reserve currency.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，美国主权违约也将产生戏剧性和毁灭性的全球影响，困扰发达经济体以及新兴和发展中市场。美国主权债务TTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%在全球范围内被广泛持有，美元BUXX,0.43%仍然是世界高级储备货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Vulnerable to financial shocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>易受金融冲击</b></blockquote></p><p> Even without a self-inflicted wound like a congressional failure to raise or suspend the debt ceiling, financial fragility is rife nowadays. Household, corporate, financial, and government balance sheets have grown to record highs this century, rendering all four sectors more vulnerable to financial shocks.</p><p><blockquote>即使没有国会未能提高或暂停债务上限这样的自残，如今金融脆弱性仍然普遍存在。家庭、企业、金融和政府的资产负债表在本世纪创下历史新高，使得所有四个部门都更容易受到金融冲击的影响。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The economic and social cost of a</b>   <b>financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target.</b>  Central banks are the only economic actors capable of addressing the funding and market-liquidity crises that are now part of the new normal. There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets. This is as true in China as it is in the U.S., the eurozone, Japan, and the United Kingdom.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济和社会成本</b><b>金融危机，尤其是在私人和公共杠杆率如此之高的情况下，将使持续超过通胀目标的成本相形见绌。</b>中央银行是唯一有能力解决资金和市场流动性危机的经济行为者，这些危机现在已成为新常态的一部分。非央行资产负债表没有足够的弹性来应对不良资产的抛售或持有流动性负债和非流动性资产的商业银行或其他具有系统重要性的金融机构的挤兑。中国和美国、欧元区、日本和英国都是如此。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> China’s real-estate bubble—and the household debt secured against it—is likely to implode sooner or later. The dangerously indebted property developer Evergrande could well be the catalyst. But even if Chinese authorities manage to prevent a full-fledged financial meltdown, a deep and persistent economic slump would be unavoidable. Add to that a marked decline in China’s potential growth rate (owing to demographics and enterprise-hostile policies), and the world economy will have lost one of its engines.</p><p><blockquote>中国的房地产泡沫--以及抵御泡沫的家庭债务--迟早会破裂。负债累累的房地产开发商恒大很可能成为催化剂。但是，即使中国当局设法阻止了全面的金融崩溃，深度而持久的经济衰退也将不可避免。再加上中国的潜在增长率大幅下降（由于人口结构和不利于企业的政策），世界经济将失去一个引擎。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫</b></blockquote></p><p> Across the advanced economies (and in many emerging markets), risk assets, notably equitySPX,+1.05%GDOW,0.04%DJIA,+0.92%and real estate, appear to be materially overvalued, despite recent minor corrections. The only way to avoid this conclusion is to believe that long-run real interest rates today (which are negative in many cases) are at or close to their fundamental values. I suspect that both the long-run real safe interest rate and assorted risk premiums are being artificially depressed by distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles, respectively. If so, today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.</p><p><blockquote>在整个发达经济体（以及许多新兴市场），风险资产，特别是 equitySPX、+1.05% GDOW、0.04% DJIA、+0.92% 和房地产，似乎被严重高估，尽管最近进行了小幅调整。避免这一结论的唯一方法是相信今天的长期实际利率（在许多情况下是负值）处于或接近其基本值。我怀疑长期真实安全利率和各种风险溢价分别被扭曲的信念和持久的泡沫人为压低。如果是这样，那么今天的风险资产估值就完全脱离现实了。</blockquote></p><p>   <b>The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot.</b>  Whenever the inevitable price corrections materialize, central banks, supervisors, and regulators will need to work closely with finance ministries to limit the damage to the real economy. Significant deleveraging by all four sectors (households, nonfinancial corporates, financial institutions, and governments) will be necessary to reduce financial vulnerability and boost resilience. Orderly debt restructuring, including sovereign debt restructuring in several highly vulnerable developing countries, will need to be part of the overdue restoration of financial sustainability.</p><p><blockquote><b>2%的通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。</b>每当不可避免的价格调整成为现实时，央行、监管机构和监管机构都需要与财政部密切合作，以限制对实体经济的损害。所有四个部门（家庭、非金融企业、金融机构和政府）都需要大幅去杠杆化，以减少金融脆弱性并增强弹性。有序的债务重组，包括几个高度脆弱的发展中国家的主权债务重组，将需要成为早该恢复金融可持续性的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Central banks, acting as lenders of last resort (LLR) and market makers of last resort (MMLR), will once again be the linchpins in what is sure to be a chaotic sequence of events. Their contributions to global financial stability have never been more important. The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot. Since LLR and MMLR operations are conducted in the twilight zone between illiquidity and insolvency, these central-bank activities have marked quasi-fiscal characteristics. Thus, the crisis now waiting in the wings will inevitably diminish central bank independence.</p><p><blockquote>中央银行作为最后贷款人（LLR）和最后做市商（MMLR），将再次成为一系列混乱事件的关键。它们对全球金融稳定的贡献从未如此重要。2%的通胀和最大就业的目标可以等待，但金融稳定不能。由于LLR和MMLR操作是在流动性不足和破产之间的阴暗地带进行的，这些央行活动具有明显的准财政特征。因此，现在潜伏的危机将不可避免地削弱央行的独立性。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>Willem H. Buiter is an adjunct professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University.He was global chief economist at Citigroup from 2010 to 2018</i></b>.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>Willem H. Buiter 是哥伦比亚大学国际和公共事务兼职教授。彼于2010年至2018年担任花旗集团全球首席经济学家</i></b>.</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-next-financial-crisis-is-fast-approaching-11633447555?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-next-financial-crisis-is-fast-approaching-11633447555?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140605265","content_text":"Central banks need to prepare because global stock markets and real estate are overvalued, while leverage is near record levels for households, corporations, banks and governments.\n\nNEW YORK (Project Syndicate)— Since early 2020, central banks across the advanced economies have had to choose between pursuing financial stability, low (typically 2%) inflation, or real economic activity. Without exception, they have opted in favor of financial stability, followed by real economic activity, with inflation last.\nAs a result, the only advanced-economy central bank to raise interest rates since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been Norway’s Norges Bank, which lifted its policy rate from zero to 0.25% on Sept. 24. While it has hinted that an additional rate increase is likely in December, and that its policy rate could reach 1.7% toward the end of 2024, that is merely more evidence of monetary policy makers’ extreme reluctance to implement the kind of rate increases that are required to achieve a 2% inflation target consistently.\n\nToday’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.\n\nCentral banks’ overwhelming reluctance to pursue interest-rate and balance-sheet policies compatible with their inflation targets should come as no surprise. In the years between the start of the Great Moderation in the mid-1980s and the 2007-08 financial crisis, advanced-economy central banks failed to give sufficient weight to financial stability. A prime example was the Bank of England’s loss of all supervisory and regulatory powers when it was granted operational independence in 1997.\nPrioritize financial stability over inflation\nThe result was a financial disaster and a severe cyclical downturn. Confirming the logic of “once bitten, twice shy,” central banks then responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by pursuing unprecedentedly aggressive policies to ensure financial stability. But they also went far beyond what was required, pulling out all the policy stops to support real economic activity.\nCentral banks were right to prioritize financial stability over price stability, considering that financial stability itself is a prerequisite for sustainable price stability (and for some central banks’ other target, full employment). The economic and social cost of a financial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target. Obviously, very high inflation rates must be avoided, because they, too, can become a source of financial instability; but if preventing a financial calamity requires a few years of high single-digit inflation, the price is well worth it.\n\nThere is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets.\n\nI hope (and expect) that central banks—not least the Federal Reserve—are ready to respond appropriately if the U.S. federal government breaches its “debt ceiling” on or around Oct. 18. A recent study by Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics concludes that a U.S. sovereign debt default could destroy up to 6 million U.S. jobs and wipe out as much as $15 trillion in private wealth. This estimate strikes me as optimistic. If the sovereign default were to be protracted, the costs would probably be much higher.\nIn any case, a U.S. sovereign default would also have a dramatic and devastating global impact, afflicting both advanced economies and emerging and developing markets. U.S. sovereign debtTMUBMUSD10Y,1.551%is widely held globally, and the U.S. dollarBUXX,0.43%remains the world’s senior reserve currency.\nVulnerable to financial shocks\nEven without a self-inflicted wound like a congressional failure to raise or suspend the debt ceiling, financial fragility is rife nowadays. Household, corporate, financial, and government balance sheets have grown to record highs this century, rendering all four sectors more vulnerable to financial shocks.\n\nThe economic and social cost of a\nfinancial crisis, especially with private and public leverage as high as it is today, would dwarf the cost of persistently overshooting the inflation target.\n\nCentral banks are the only economic actors capable of addressing the funding and market-liquidity crises that are now part of the new normal. There is not enough resilience in non-central bank balance sheets to address a fire sale of distressed assets or a run on commercial banks or other systemically important financial institutions that hold liquid liabilities and illiquid assets. This is as true in China as it is in the U.S., the eurozone, Japan, and the United Kingdom.\nChina’s real-estate bubble—and the household debt secured against it—is likely to implode sooner or later. The dangerously indebted property developer Evergrande could well be the catalyst. But even if Chinese authorities manage to prevent a full-fledged financial meltdown, a deep and persistent economic slump would be unavoidable. Add to that a marked decline in China’s potential growth rate (owing to demographics and enterprise-hostile policies), and the world economy will have lost one of its engines.\nDistorted beliefs and enduring bubbles\nAcross the advanced economies (and in many emerging markets), risk assets, notably equitySPX,+1.05%GDOW,0.04%DJIA,+0.92%and real estate, appear to be materially overvalued, despite recent minor corrections. The only way to avoid this conclusion is to believe that long-run real interest rates today (which are negative in many cases) are at or close to their fundamental values. I suspect that both the long-run real safe interest rate and assorted risk premiums are being artificially depressed by distorted beliefs and enduring bubbles, respectively. If so, today’s risk-asset valuations are utterly detached from reality.\n\nThe goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot.\n\nWhenever the inevitable price corrections materialize, central banks, supervisors, and regulators will need to work closely with finance ministries to limit the damage to the real economy. Significant deleveraging by all four sectors (households, nonfinancial corporates, financial institutions, and governments) will be necessary to reduce financial vulnerability and boost resilience. Orderly debt restructuring, including sovereign debt restructuring in several highly vulnerable developing countries, will need to be part of the overdue restoration of financial sustainability.\nCentral banks, acting as lenders of last resort (LLR) and market makers of last resort (MMLR), will once again be the linchpins in what is sure to be a chaotic sequence of events. Their contributions to global financial stability have never been more important. The goals of 2% inflation and maximum employment can wait, but financial stability cannot. Since LLR and MMLR operations are conducted in the twilight zone between illiquidity and insolvency, these central-bank activities have marked quasi-fiscal characteristics. Thus, the crisis now waiting in the wings will inevitably diminish central bank independence.\nWillem H. Buiter is an adjunct professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University.He was global chief economist at Citigroup from 2010 to 2018.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867692094,"gmtCreate":1633247240112,"gmtModify":1633247240522,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867692094","repostId":"2172647479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864184760,"gmtCreate":1633074479271,"gmtModify":1633074479581,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864184760","repostId":"1169857742","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862216177,"gmtCreate":1632880953740,"gmtModify":1632880953865,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862216177","repostId":"1145683571","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145683571","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632880052,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1145683571?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 09:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Continuing Losses at Tattooed Chef Will Be a Drag on Its Stock<blockquote>纹身厨师的持续亏损将拖累其股价</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145683571","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"TTCF stock is not likely to move much higher until the plant-based food company is profitable.\n\nTatt","content":"<p><div> TTCF stock is not likely to move much higher until the plant-based food company is profitable.  Tattooed Chef(NASDAQ:TTCF), a plant-based food company, presented further losses in its latestQ2 ...</p><p><blockquote><div>在这家植物性食品公司盈利之前，TTCF 股价不太可能大幅上涨。植物性食品公司纹身厨师（纳斯达克股票代码：TTCF）在最新的第二季度进一步亏损……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Continuing Losses at Tattooed Chef Will Be a Drag on Its Stock<blockquote>纹身厨师的持续亏损将拖累其股价</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nContinuing Losses at Tattooed Chef Will Be a Drag on Its Stock<blockquote>纹身厨师的持续亏损将拖累其股价</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 09:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> TTCF stock is not likely to move much higher until the plant-based food company is profitable.  Tattooed Chef(NASDAQ:TTCF), a plant-based food company, presented further losses in its latestQ2 ...</p><p><blockquote><div>在这家植物性食品公司盈利之前，TTCF 股价不太可能大幅上涨。植物性食品公司纹身厨师（纳斯达克股票代码：TTCF）在最新的第二季度进一步亏损……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/09/ttcf-stock-is-stuck-until-the-plant-based-food-company-can-move-into-profitability/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145683571","content_text":"TTCF stock is not likely to move much higher until the plant-based food company is profitable.\n\nTattooed Chef(NASDAQ:TTCF), a plant-based food company, presented further losses in its latestQ2 earnings report. If that keeps up for the next several quarters, TTCF stock is not going to rise anytime soon. I wrote about the company’s losses and itsprospects last month and since then it has dropped.\nInvestors will not likely continue to tolerate a food company without profitability, even though it is plant-based food. As a result, don’t expect to see TTCF stock rise anytime soon.\nTTCF stock has essentially gone nowhere this year, although it has been a bumpy road. The stock ended last year at $22.89, but as of Sept. 27, it was down 15.8% to $19.28 per share. And this is after it spiked to well over $23 three different times this year.\nBut with the company’s continuing losses, especially its negative free cash flow (FCF), it’s not likely that TTCF stock will rebound any time soon.\nTattooed Chef’s Tattered Finances\nOne reason is that the company is burning through cash each quarter. The Tattooed Chef cash flow statement in its 10-Q filing showed negative free cash flow (FCF) last quarter.\nOnpage 5 of its June 30 10-Q, investors can see that in the past six months, the cash flow from operations was a loss of $24.372 million. After subtracting an additional $10.14 million, the FCF loss was $34.512 million during that period.\nLast quarter, the company’s 1o-Q filing (page 4) showed an FCF outflow of$20.426 million. This implies that its Q2 FCF losses were $14.086 million. So on a run-rate basis, this means that Tattooed Chef is operating on an annual rate of $56.344 million in cash burn.\nThat also implies that the company is going to quickly use up a good portion of the $140.182 million in cash it has on its balance sheet. This can be seen on page 1 of its latest 10-Q filing.\nFor example, if it uses up $60 to $65 million in cash over the next year, the balance will be just $80 million or less. At that point, if its cash burn is still this high, the market will assume that the company will have to raise more cash. That will push TTCF stock even lower.\nThe company has not tried to hide its situation. They have made it clear that they are investing in their operating capacity. They believe that with scale their plant-based food company will become profitable over the long run. For example, they recently purchased Foods of New Mexico and integrated it within the Q2 results. The company says that it could produce over $500 million in revenue or twice the rate that Tattooed Chef will make this year.\nWhat to Do With TTCF Stock\nLast month I showed that the company has lower gross margins but a significantly higher valuation on a price-to-sales (P/S) metric than its peers. For example, its Q2 margin was just 15.7%, whereas some of its peers have a much higher gross margin, well into the 20% range.\nBut those stocks trade for between 0.5 and 1.5 times P/S multiples. TTCF stock is at 6.6 2021 sales and4.9 times 2022 P/S.\nThis implies that it will be a while before Tattooed Chef grows into its present $1.587 billion market value. The2023 projection for sales is $450 million. Even if we add in a $250 million contribution from Foods of New Mexico, the total sales will be just $700 million at best.\nBut at $1.587 billion in market value, the P/S multiple is still over 2.2 times sales. That is still well over what some of its peers trade for. This implies that TTCF could tread water for at least 2 years or so.\nTherefore, most cautious investors will wait for the company to start to show some form of profitability before investing. This is the best way to wait for a bargain entry point for the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TTCF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868220997,"gmtCreate":1632658076019,"gmtModify":1632798737950,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868220997","repostId":"2170614896","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861140656,"gmtCreate":1632474437275,"gmtModify":1632720398085,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861140656","repostId":"1180624046","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180624046","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632473501,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1180624046?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 16:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading<blockquote>一些中国概念股在盘前交易中回落</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180624046","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading.","content":"<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;Some&nbsp;China concepts stocks&nbsp;retreated&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>（9月24日）部分中国概念股盘前交易回落。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caac4543cc4d30bd94cf27bcd9899cb9\" tg-width=\"341\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏天可能已经过去，但 IPO 市场正在升温，未来一周将有 14 家 IPO 筹集 53 亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费产品、支付技术等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>新鲜作品</b>(FRSH) 计划以 96 亿美元的市值筹集 8.55 亿美元。该公司的核心产品是客户支持软件，同时还提供 IT 服务管理软件和 CRM 解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出而增加，但截至2021年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长，并保留了100%以上的净美元收入。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿开发</b>（KDC）计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种不同类别的产品，其产品由其品牌合作伙伴在70多个国家销售。尽管使用发行收益来偿还债务，诺尔顿在首次公开募股后仍将受到杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST) 计划以 179 亿美元的市值筹集 6.85 亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在 2021 年上半年的 ARR 增长超过 100%，但历史上一直没有盈利，而且随着餐馆重新开业带来的利好减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>汇款全球</b>（RELY）计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly 为超过 135 个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球 1,700 多个走廊。该公司表现出增长和利润率的改善，尽管它仍然没有盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 4.5 亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多个客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在首次公开募股中购买价值 1.5 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>Sovos品牌</b>（SOVO）计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International成立，提供一系列精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s在意大利面和披萨酱类别中排名第一。Sovos 盈利且增长稳健，将在 IPO 后发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT) 计划以 41 亿美元的市值筹集 3.49 亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性的客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。该公司为超过 50% 的财富 100 强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同，尽管它在竞争激烈的市场中运营。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT) 计划以 14 亿美元筹集 2.5 亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过37万名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>在线时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA) 计划以 23 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。a.k.a.收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的专注于数字的时尚品牌，从2018年收购Princess Polly开始。该公司已成功扩张 Princess Polly，并在美国发展其品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>线索健康</b>(HLTH) 计划以 24 亿美元的市值筹集 2 亿美元。Cue 首个用于 Cue 健康监测系统的商业化诊断测试是其 COVID-19 检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个 EUA 的授权。Cue 还有五个额外的测试试剂盒处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将在 2022 年下半年开始寻求 FDA 的授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK) 计划以 8.55 亿美元的市值筹集 1.38 亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo 拥有超过 21,000 台专用计算机（采矿机），每秒可生成超过 1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN) 计划以 8.92 亿美元的市值筹集 1.26 亿美元。公司的垂直整合品牌 Thorne 和 Onegevity 提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。盈利且增长强劲，索恩拥有超过 300 万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>（VBNK）计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是一家加拿大附表I特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元的资产、16亿美元的贷款、15亿美元的存款和2.02亿美元的股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化的 IPO 周 14</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-18 07:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏天可能已经过去，但 IPO 市场正在升温，未来一周将有 14 家 IPO 筹集 53 亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费产品、支付技术等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>新鲜作品</b>(FRSH) 计划以 96 亿美元的市值筹集 8.55 亿美元。该公司的核心产品是客户支持软件，同时还提供 IT 服务管理软件和 CRM 解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出而增加，但截至2021年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长，并保留了100%以上的净美元收入。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿开发</b>（KDC）计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种不同类别的产品，其产品由其品牌合作伙伴在70多个国家销售。尽管使用发行收益来偿还债务，诺尔顿在首次公开募股后仍将受到杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST) 计划以 179 亿美元的市值筹集 6.85 亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在 2021 年上半年的 ARR 增长超过 100%，但历史上一直没有盈利，而且随着餐馆重新开业带来的利好减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>汇款全球</b>（RELY）计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly 为超过 135 个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球 1,700 多个走廊。该公司表现出增长和利润率的改善，尽管它仍然没有盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN) 计划以 37 亿美元的市值筹集 4.5 亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多个客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在首次公开募股中购买价值 1.5 亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>Sovos品牌</b>（SOVO）计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International成立，提供一系列精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s在意大利面和披萨酱类别中排名第一。Sovos 盈利且增长稳健，将在 IPO 后发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT) 计划以 41 亿美元的市值筹集 3.49 亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性的客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER) 计划以 21 亿美元的市值筹集 3 亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。该公司为超过 50% 的财富 100 强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同，尽管它在竞争激烈的市场中运营。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT) 计划以 14 亿美元筹集 2.5 亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过37万名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>在线时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA) 计划以 23 亿美元的市值筹集 2.5 亿美元。a.k.a.收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的专注于数字的时尚品牌，从2018年收购Princess Polly开始。该公司已成功扩张 Princess Polly，并在美国发展其品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>线索健康</b>(HLTH) 计划以 24 亿美元的市值筹集 2 亿美元。Cue 首个用于 Cue 健康监测系统的商业化诊断测试是其 COVID-19 检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个 EUA 的授权。Cue 还有五个额外的测试试剂盒处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将在 2022 年下半年开始寻求 FDA 的授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK) 计划以 8.55 亿美元的市值筹集 1.38 亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo 拥有超过 21,000 台专用计算机（采矿机），每秒可生成超过 1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN) 计划以 8.92 亿美元的市值筹集 1.26 亿美元。公司的垂直整合品牌 Thorne 和 Onegevity 提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。盈利且增长强劲，索恩拥有超过 300 万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>（VBNK）计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是一家加拿大附表I特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元的资产、16亿美元的贷款、15亿美元的存款和2.02亿美元的股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOVO":"Sovos Brands, Inc.","AKA":"a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.","TOST":"Toast, Inc.","HLTH":"TEMA HEALTHCARE AI ETF","ARBK":"Argo Blockchain Plc","BRLT":"Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.","FRSH":"Freshworks","RELY":"Remitly Global, Inc.","CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171558890","content_text":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.\nThe largest deal of the week,Freshworks(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.\nCanadian consumer products company Knowlton Development(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.\nRestaurant payment processor Toast(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.\nGlobal money transfer firm Remitly Global(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.\nSoftware firm Clearwater Analytics(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.\nFood company Sovos Brands(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.\nCustomer engagement software provider EngageSmart(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.\nHiring solutions provider Sterling Check(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.\nJewelry retailer Brilliant Earth Group(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.\nOnline fashion platform a.k.a. Brands(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.\nCOVID-19 test maker Cue Health(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.\nLondon-listed crypto mining company Argo Blockchain(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.\nPersonalized supplements seller Thorne Healthtech(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.\nCanadian bank VersaBank(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"THRN":0.9,"BRLT":0.9,"KDC":0.9,"CWAN":0.9,"ESMT":0.9,"SOVO":0.9,"STER":0.9,"AKA":0.9,"HLTH":0.9,"RELY":0.9,"TOST":0.9,"FRSH":0.9,"ARBK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884660069,"gmtCreate":1631887348251,"gmtModify":1632805564169,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575256032463698","authorIdStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"4ir","listText":"4ir","text":"4ir","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884660069","repostId":"2168783315","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":861140656,"gmtCreate":1632474437275,"gmtModify":1632720398085,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575256032463698","idStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861140656","repostId":"1180624046","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180624046","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632473501,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1180624046?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 16:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading<blockquote>一些中国概念股在盘前交易中回落</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180624046","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading.","content":"<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;Some&nbsp;China concepts stocks&nbsp;retreated&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>（9月24日）部分中国概念股盘前交易回落。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caac4543cc4d30bd94cf27bcd9899cb9\" tg-width=\"341\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading<blockquote>一些中国概念股在盘前交易中回落</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading<blockquote>一些中国概念股在盘前交易中回落</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-24 16:51</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;Some&nbsp;China concepts stocks&nbsp;retreated&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>（9月24日）部分中国概念股盘前交易回落。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caac4543cc4d30bd94cf27bcd9899cb9\" tg-width=\"341\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180624046","content_text":"(Sept 24) Some China concepts stocks retreated in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1744,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":141906136,"gmtCreate":1625829814525,"gmtModify":1633936925992,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575256032463698","idStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141906136","repostId":"2150980376","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132728695,"gmtCreate":1622117441117,"gmtModify":1634183720630,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575256032463698","idStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ps like Ave current","listText":"Ps like Ave current","text":"Ps like Ave current","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132728695","repostId":"1188205901","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188205901","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622117079,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1188205901?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-27 20:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"President Biden will propose a $6 trillion budget, documents obtained by The Times show.<blockquote>《泰晤士报》获得的文件显示，拜登总统将提出6万亿美元的预算。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188205901","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"President Joe Biden will seek $6 trillion in U.S. federal spending for the 2022 fiscal year, rising ","content":"<p>President Joe Biden will seek $6 trillion in U.S. federal spending for the 2022 fiscal year, rising to $8.2 trillion by 2031, the New York Times reported on Thursday, a day before the White House is expected to unveil its budget proposal.</p><p><blockquote>据《纽约时报》周四报道，乔·拜登总统将在2022财年寻求6万亿美元的美国联邦支出，到2031年增至8.2万亿美元，预计白宫将公布其预算提案的前一天。</blockquote></p><p>Citing documents it had obtained, the Times said the Democratic president planned to pay for his agenda through increased taxes on corporations and high earners, and that the budget deficits would start to decrease in the 2030s.</p><p><blockquote>《纽约时报》援引获得的文件称，民主党总统计划通过增加对企业和高收入者的税收来支付他的议程，预算赤字将在 2030 年代开始减少。</blockquote></p><p>On Friday, Biden is set to release his first full budget since taking office in January as he seeks to push his priorities of investing in infrastructure, childcare and other public works in a national rebuilding effort.</p><p><blockquote>周五，拜登将发布自1月份上任以来的第一份完整预算，他寻求在国家重建工作中推进投资基础设施、儿童保育和其他公共工程的优先事项。</blockquote></p><p>Republicans have criticized the president for seeking trillions in new spending, setting the stage for pitched battles over his priorities.</p><p><blockquote>共和党人批评总统寻求数万亿美元的新支出，为围绕他的优先事项展开激烈的斗争创造了条件。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>President Biden will propose a $6 trillion budget, documents obtained by The Times show.<blockquote>《泰晤士报》获得的文件显示，拜登总统将提出6万亿美元的预算。</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPresident Biden will propose a $6 trillion budget, documents obtained by The Times show.<blockquote>《泰晤士报》获得的文件显示，拜登总统将提出6万亿美元的预算。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-27 20:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>President Joe Biden will seek $6 trillion in U.S. federal spending for the 2022 fiscal year, rising to $8.2 trillion by 2031, the New York Times reported on Thursday, a day before the White House is expected to unveil its budget proposal.</p><p><blockquote>据《纽约时报》周四报道，乔·拜登总统将在2022财年寻求6万亿美元的美国联邦支出，到2031年增至8.2万亿美元，预计白宫将公布其预算提案的前一天。</blockquote></p><p>Citing documents it had obtained, the Times said the Democratic president planned to pay for his agenda through increased taxes on corporations and high earners, and that the budget deficits would start to decrease in the 2030s.</p><p><blockquote>《纽约时报》援引获得的文件称，民主党总统计划通过增加对企业和高收入者的税收来支付他的议程，预算赤字将在 2030 年代开始减少。</blockquote></p><p>On Friday, Biden is set to release his first full budget since taking office in January as he seeks to push his priorities of investing in infrastructure, childcare and other public works in a national rebuilding effort.</p><p><blockquote>周五，拜登将发布自1月份上任以来的第一份完整预算，他寻求在国家重建工作中推进投资基础设施、儿童保育和其他公共工程的优先事项。</blockquote></p><p>Republicans have criticized the president for seeking trillions in new spending, setting the stage for pitched battles over his priorities.</p><p><blockquote>共和党人批评总统寻求数万亿美元的新支出，为围绕他的优先事项展开激烈的斗争创造了条件。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188205901","content_text":"President Joe Biden will seek $6 trillion in U.S. federal spending for the 2022 fiscal year, rising to $8.2 trillion by 2031, the New York Times reported on Thursday, a day before the White House is expected to unveil its budget proposal.Citing documents it had obtained, the Times said the Democratic president planned to pay for his agenda through increased taxes on corporations and high earners, and that the budget deficits would start to decrease in the 2030s.On Friday, Biden is set to release his first full budget since taking office in January as he seeks to push his priorities of investing in infrastructure, childcare and other public works in a national rebuilding effort.Republicans have criticized the president for seeking trillions in new spending, setting the stage for pitched battles over his priorities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173750989,"gmtCreate":1626689323341,"gmtModify":1633924920233,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575256032463698","idStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls 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comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165842939","repostId":"1113942445","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184387756,"gmtCreate":1623684680775,"gmtModify":1634030077278,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575256032463698","idStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184387756","repostId":"2143738859","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321277591,"gmtCreate":1615446521013,"gmtModify":1703489151768,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575256032463698","idStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321277591","repostId":"1113166201","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835599668,"gmtCreate":1629725906854,"gmtModify":1631892622300,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575256032463698","idStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/835599668","repostId":"1150831098","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150831098","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629725636,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1150831098?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-23 21:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow rises more than 170 points to start the week while investors await key Fed summit<blockquote>当投资者等待重要的美联储峰会时，道琼斯指数本周开始上涨超过 170 点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150831098","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stocks were higher in early trading Monday following a volatile week on Wall Street as investors eye","content":"<p>Stocks were higher in early trading Monday following a volatile week on Wall Street as investors eye a key event where the Federal Reserve could hint at prospects for tapering stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街经历了动荡的一周后，周一早盘股市走高，投资者关注美联储可能暗示缩减刺激措施前景的关键事件。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 171 points, or nearly 0.5%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose about 0.4% as well.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨171点，涨幅近0.5%。标普500和纳斯达克综合指数也上涨约 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aef7f594594be1593b1e7cb0194abc9\" tg-width=\"1011\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers are higher in premarket trading with investors' eyes on the FDA, which is expected to give the two-dose Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine full approval Monday.Pfizer&nbsp;is up about 3% and&nbsp;BioNTech&nbsp;jumped 7%.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者将目光投向 FDA，疫苗制造商的股价在盘前交易中走高，预计 FDA 将于周一全面批准两剂辉瑞-BioNTech Covid-19 疫苗。辉瑞上涨约 3%，BioNTech 上涨 7%。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin hit a three-month high on Sunday, punching above $50,000 and pulling crypto-adjacent stocks up with it.Coinbase&nbsp;rose 3% higher in early trading, while&nbsp;Microstrategy&nbsp;climbed 4%.</p><p><blockquote>比特币周日触及三个月高点，突破 50,000 美元，并带动加密货币相关股票上涨。 Coinbase 在早盘交易中上涨 3%，而 Microstrategy 则上涨 4%。</blockquote></p><p> Major averages are coming off a losing week as investors grew worried that the Fed's potential move to pull back monetary stimulus could slow down the economic recovery that is already challenged by the spread of the delta Covid-19 variant.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者越来越担心美联储撤回货币刺激的潜在举措可能会减缓经济复苏，经济复苏已经受到三角洲 Covid-19 变种传播的挑战，主要股指本周下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Traders are eagerly awaiting the Jackson Hole&nbsp;symposium for clues on the Fed’s timeline for dialing back its $120 billion a month bond-buying program. The event takes place virtually on Thursday and Friday. The Fed previously was going to conduct the event in a mixed virtual and live presentation, but decided Friday to go all virtual in light of the rising virus risk.</p><p><blockquote>交易员们正热切地等待着杰克逊霍尔研讨会，以获取美联储缩减每月 1200 亿美元债券购买计划时间表的线索。该活动实际上在周四和周五举行。美联储此前打算以虚拟和现场混合演示的方式举办此次活动，但鉴于病毒风险上升，周五决定完全以虚拟方式进行。</blockquote></p><p> Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech will be titled “The Economic Outlook,” which “may suggest the speech could have a more near-term focus,” Nomura economist Aichi Amemiya said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>野村证券（Nomura）经济学家雨宫爱知（Aichi Amemiya）在一份报告中说，主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）的演讲题目将是 “经济展望”，这 “可能表明演讲可能会有更多的近期重点”。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the recent deterioration in incoming data and the pandemic situation, we see some risk Powell focuses on increased uncertainty due to the latest COVID-19 surge,” Amemiya added. “At a minimum, we view recent comments from Fed officials as supporting our view of a December tapering announcement despite a preference on the FOMC for November as of the July meeting.”</p><p><blockquote>“Amemiya 补充说：”鉴于最近传入数据的恶化和大流行病的情况，我们认为鲍威尔关注的是最近 COVID-19 激增导致的不确定性增加。“至少，我们认为美联储官员最近的言论支持了我们关于12月宣布缩减规模的观点，尽管在7月的会议上，美联储更倾向于11月的联邦公开市场委员会会议。”</blockquote></p><p> The blue-chip Dow fell 1.1% last week, while the S&amp;P 500 declined nearly 0.6%, breaking a two-week winning streak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq dipped 0.7% during the week.</p><p><blockquote>蓝筹股道琼斯指数上周下跌1.1%，而标普500指数下跌近0.6%，打破了连续两周的上涨势头。以科技股为主的纳斯达克本周下跌 0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect investor conviction is being challenged by the potential for upcoming monetary policy changes, shifting growth vs. value rotations, and a rising trajectory of new coronavirus cases,” Craig Johnson, technical market strategist at Piper Sandler, said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“派珀桑德勒（Piper Sandler）技术市场策略师克雷格-约翰逊（Craig Johnson）在一份报告中说：”我们怀疑，投资者的信念正受到即将到来的货币政策变化、增长与价值轮动的转变以及新冠状病毒病例上升轨迹的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> For the month of August, major benchmarks are poised to post modest gains. The S&amp;P 500 is up 1.1% month to date, while the blue-chip Dow has gained 0.5% and the Nasdaq has climbed 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>8月份，主要基准有望小幅上涨。本月迄今，标普500指数上涨 1.1%，蓝筹股道琼斯指数上涨 0.5%，纳斯达克指数上涨 0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> “August is a historically volatile month for markets and this year is no different, with investors currently climbing multiple walls of worries,” said Rod von Lipsey, managing director at UBS Private Wealth Management. “Upticks in Covid-19 cases and a downward spiral in Afghanistan are creating a crisis of confidence, at a time when many investors are on holiday.”</p><p><blockquote>“瑞银私人财富管理公司（UBS Private Wealth Management）董事总经理罗德-冯-利普西（Rod von Lipsey）说：”8 月份是市场历史上波动较大的月份，今年也不例外，投资者目前正在攀登多道担忧之墙。“在许多投资者都在度假之际，Covid-19 病例的上升和阿富汗的螺旋式下降正在造成信心危机”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow rises more than 170 points to start the week while investors await key Fed summit<blockquote>当投资者等待重要的美联储峰会时，道琼斯指数本周开始上涨超过 170 点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow rises more than 170 points to start the week while investors await key Fed summit<blockquote>当投资者等待重要的美联储峰会时，道琼斯指数本周开始上涨超过 170 点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-23 21:33</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks were higher in early trading Monday following a volatile week on Wall Street as investors eye a key event where the Federal Reserve could hint at prospects for tapering stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街经历了动荡的一周后，周一早盘股市走高，投资者关注美联储可能暗示缩减刺激措施前景的关键事件。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 171 points, or nearly 0.5%. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose about 0.4% as well.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨171点，涨幅近0.5%。标普500和纳斯达克综合指数也上涨约 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aef7f594594be1593b1e7cb0194abc9\" tg-width=\"1011\" tg-height=\"447\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers are higher in premarket trading with investors' eyes on the FDA, which is expected to give the two-dose Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine full approval Monday.Pfizer&nbsp;is up about 3% and&nbsp;BioNTech&nbsp;jumped 7%.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者将目光投向 FDA，疫苗制造商的股价在盘前交易中走高，预计 FDA 将于周一全面批准两剂辉瑞-BioNTech Covid-19 疫苗。辉瑞上涨约 3%，BioNTech 上涨 7%。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin hit a three-month high on Sunday, punching above $50,000 and pulling crypto-adjacent stocks up with it.Coinbase&nbsp;rose 3% higher in early trading, while&nbsp;Microstrategy&nbsp;climbed 4%.</p><p><blockquote>比特币周日触及三个月高点，突破 50,000 美元，并带动加密货币相关股票上涨。 Coinbase 在早盘交易中上涨 3%，而 Microstrategy 则上涨 4%。</blockquote></p><p> Major averages are coming off a losing week as investors grew worried that the Fed's potential move to pull back monetary stimulus could slow down the economic recovery that is already challenged by the spread of the delta Covid-19 variant.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者越来越担心美联储撤回货币刺激的潜在举措可能会减缓经济复苏，经济复苏已经受到三角洲 Covid-19 变种传播的挑战，主要股指本周下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Traders are eagerly awaiting the Jackson Hole&nbsp;symposium for clues on the Fed’s timeline for dialing back its $120 billion a month bond-buying program. The event takes place virtually on Thursday and Friday. The Fed previously was going to conduct the event in a mixed virtual and live presentation, but decided Friday to go all virtual in light of the rising virus risk.</p><p><blockquote>交易员们正热切地等待着杰克逊霍尔研讨会，以获取美联储缩减每月 1200 亿美元债券购买计划时间表的线索。该活动实际上在周四和周五举行。美联储此前打算以虚拟和现场混合演示的方式举办此次活动，但鉴于病毒风险上升，周五决定完全以虚拟方式进行。</blockquote></p><p> Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech will be titled “The Economic Outlook,” which “may suggest the speech could have a more near-term focus,” Nomura economist Aichi Amemiya said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>野村证券（Nomura）经济学家雨宫爱知（Aichi Amemiya）在一份报告中说，主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）的演讲题目将是 “经济展望”，这 “可能表明演讲可能会有更多的近期重点”。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the recent deterioration in incoming data and the pandemic situation, we see some risk Powell focuses on increased uncertainty due to the latest COVID-19 surge,” Amemiya added. “At a minimum, we view recent comments from Fed officials as supporting our view of a December tapering announcement despite a preference on the FOMC for November as of the July meeting.”</p><p><blockquote>“Amemiya 补充说：”鉴于最近传入数据的恶化和大流行病的情况，我们认为鲍威尔关注的是最近 COVID-19 激增导致的不确定性增加。“至少，我们认为美联储官员最近的言论支持了我们关于12月宣布缩减规模的观点，尽管在7月的会议上，美联储更倾向于11月的联邦公开市场委员会会议。”</blockquote></p><p> The blue-chip Dow fell 1.1% last week, while the S&amp;P 500 declined nearly 0.6%, breaking a two-week winning streak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq dipped 0.7% during the week.</p><p><blockquote>蓝筹股道琼斯指数上周下跌1.1%，而标普500指数下跌近0.6%，打破了连续两周的上涨势头。以科技股为主的纳斯达克本周下跌 0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect investor conviction is being challenged by the potential for upcoming monetary policy changes, shifting growth vs. value rotations, and a rising trajectory of new coronavirus cases,” Craig Johnson, technical market strategist at Piper Sandler, said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>“派珀桑德勒（Piper Sandler）技术市场策略师克雷格-约翰逊（Craig Johnson）在一份报告中说：”我们怀疑，投资者的信念正受到即将到来的货币政策变化、增长与价值轮动的转变以及新冠状病毒病例上升轨迹的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> For the month of August, major benchmarks are poised to post modest gains. The S&amp;P 500 is up 1.1% month to date, while the blue-chip Dow has gained 0.5% and the Nasdaq has climbed 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>8月份，主要基准有望小幅上涨。本月迄今，标普500指数上涨 1.1%，蓝筹股道琼斯指数上涨 0.5%，纳斯达克指数上涨 0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> “August is a historically volatile month for markets and this year is no different, with investors currently climbing multiple walls of worries,” said Rod von Lipsey, managing director at UBS Private Wealth Management. “Upticks in Covid-19 cases and a downward spiral in Afghanistan are creating a crisis of confidence, at a time when many investors are on holiday.”</p><p><blockquote>“瑞银私人财富管理公司（UBS Private Wealth Management）董事总经理罗德-冯-利普西（Rod von Lipsey）说：”8 月份是市场历史上波动较大的月份，今年也不例外，投资者目前正在攀登多道担忧之墙。“在许多投资者都在度假之际，Covid-19 病例的上升和阿富汗的螺旋式下降正在造成信心危机”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150831098","content_text":"Stocks were higher in early trading Monday following a volatile week on Wall Street as investors eye a key event where the Federal Reserve could hint at prospects for tapering stimulus.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 171 points, or nearly 0.5%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose about 0.4% as well.\n\nShares of vaccine makers are higher in premarket trading with investors' eyes on the FDA, which is expected to give the two-dose Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine full approval Monday.Pfizer is up about 3% and BioNTech jumped 7%.\nBitcoin hit a three-month high on Sunday, punching above $50,000 and pulling crypto-adjacent stocks up with it.Coinbase rose 3% higher in early trading, while Microstrategy climbed 4%.\nMajor averages are coming off a losing week as investors grew worried that the Fed's potential move to pull back monetary stimulus could slow down the economic recovery that is already challenged by the spread of the delta Covid-19 variant.\nTraders are eagerly awaiting the Jackson Hole symposium for clues on the Fed’s timeline for dialing back its $120 billion a month bond-buying program. The event takes place virtually on Thursday and Friday. The Fed previously was going to conduct the event in a mixed virtual and live presentation, but decided Friday to go all virtual in light of the rising virus risk.\nChairman Jerome Powell’s speech will be titled “The Economic Outlook,” which “may suggest the speech could have a more near-term focus,” Nomura economist Aichi Amemiya said in a note.\n“Given the recent deterioration in incoming data and the pandemic situation, we see some risk Powell focuses on increased uncertainty due to the latest COVID-19 surge,” Amemiya added. “At a minimum, we view recent comments from Fed officials as supporting our view of a December tapering announcement despite a preference on the FOMC for November as of the July meeting.”\nThe blue-chip Dow fell 1.1% last week, while the S&P 500 declined nearly 0.6%, breaking a two-week winning streak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq dipped 0.7% during the week.\n“We suspect investor conviction is being challenged by the potential for upcoming monetary policy changes, shifting growth vs. value rotations, and a rising trajectory of new coronavirus cases,” Craig Johnson, technical market strategist at Piper Sandler, said in a note.\nFor the month of August, major benchmarks are poised to post modest gains. The S&P 500 is up 1.1% month to date, while the blue-chip Dow has gained 0.5% and the Nasdaq has climbed 0.3%.\n“August is a historically volatile month for markets and this year is no different, with investors currently climbing multiple walls of worries,” said Rod von Lipsey, managing director at UBS Private Wealth Management. “Upticks in Covid-19 cases and a downward spiral in Afghanistan are creating a crisis of confidence, at a time when many investors are on holiday.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":813,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148735897,"gmtCreate":1626015558919,"gmtModify":1633930904166,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575256032463698","idStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148735897","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了，核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象，也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降，但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如，AMC院线控股公司（AMC）6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元，超过了苹果（AAPL）的 95 亿美元和亚马逊（AMZN）的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多的交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包；交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克（Brandon Luczek）在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道：”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，在今年不到一半的时间里，经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车，也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财（SCHW）最近的一项调查发现，15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布，第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金（Chris Larkin）说，多年来，“ETF 一直备受青睐”，E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利（MS）所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌，华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券（Interactive Brokers）首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克（Steve Sosnick）写道：”就像蝉一样，备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我不认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后，备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年，零售活动占股本量的 24%，高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院（Columbia Law School）专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨（Joshua Mitts）说：”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转，即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs，26 岁，每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活，并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了纽约程序员的工作，搬到了费城，并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝，它正在支付账单。科尔斯说，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年，AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦（Adam Aron）在推特上表示，他看到了 “许多人赞成，许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”，但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然，并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨，如果没有大量的数据分析，零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他说：”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险，以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的，也是道德上的，也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是希望证明自己，并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场，有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说：”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境，但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以，我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者，她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说：”他很生气我买了游戏驿站，还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，在你成为合伙人之前，你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你从不离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力，迫使做空，或买入看涨期权，从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面，成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬，AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%，低于 1 月份的 28%，但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨，空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特（Michael Pachter）说，他们开始 “流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说：”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义，就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔（Keith Gill）和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们，而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit 人群需要团结起来，但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快，以至于它已经失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板，如 r/superstonk，希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在，他看到了一种不断增长的趋势，即股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的聊天，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论，什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场，Rehl 表示，他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说：”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%，甚至 50%，那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高，也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为，这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说：”孩子们开始重返校园；家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注，这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德（Hendrik Bessembinder）在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票，亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之，挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说：”我欢迎零售交易的增加，欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易远未结束。投资者需要了解的内容。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，它们何时会再次坠毁的时间已经在流逝。会是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经过去半年了，核心 “备忘录股票 ”的交易价格仍然处于研究这些股票多年的人认为离谱的水平。Clover Health Investments (CLOV) 和 Newegg Commerce (NEGG) 等新名称最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易员--长期以来被嘲笑为 “哑巴钱 ”--的集体努力成功地让股市飙升，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型的迹象，也没有表现出足以证明其估值的利润，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告称其关键的网络安全部门将达到收入指导的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然大型经纪商的交易量较 2 月份的峰值略有下降，但仍高于疫情爆发前的两到三倍。数量惊人的这种活动发生在散户交易者青睐的股票中。例如，AMC院线控股公司（AMC）6 月份的日均交易额达到 131 亿美元，超过了苹果（AAPL）的 95 亿美元和亚马逊（AMZN）的 103 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍然致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多的交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉捏酸面团面包；交易者只会变得越来越饥饿。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种食欲，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。目前，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“美国海军电子技术员布兰登-卢切克（Brandon Luczek）在给《巴伦周刊》的一封电子邮件中写道：”我看到'逢低买入'的情绪一刻也没有减弱。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>迷因股票飙升是由散户投资者交易的增加推动的。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，超过1000万人开设了新账户。这一记录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，在今年不到一半的时间里，经纪商已经增加了超过 1000 万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这种现象的推车，也是马。他们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这一行动推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在 1 月底和 2 月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财（SCHW）最近的一项调查发现，15%的现有交易者在2020年后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>激增中最突出的参与者是 Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了 550 万个资金账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布，第一季度吸引了 160 万 35 岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了 223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在 Robinhood 零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在 2019 年将佣金降至零。这为新客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲置现金进行交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在套现。富达希望在投资者获得驾照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅 13 岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood 正在乘势而上进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与他们的老同行不同。E*Trade 交易主管克里斯-拉金（Chris Larkin）说，多年来，“ETF 一直备受青睐”，E*Trade 现归摩根士丹利（MS）所有。但挑选个股显然是 “2021 年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，随着世界各地的投资者押注疫情复苏并避免疲软的债券收益率，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但 ETF 不像股票那样点亮留言板。这并不是说顶级公司的单行道。游戏驿站二月份确实下跌，华尔街享受了幸灾乐祸的时刻。它并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>“盈透证券（Interactive Brokers）首席策略师史蒂夫-索斯尼克（Steve Sosnick）写道：”就像蝉一样，备忘录交易者在表面上隐匿了几个月后又重新活跃起来。索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种货币转向另一种货币。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道：”我不认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅回调后，备忘录股票卷土重来完全是巧合。</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为备忘录股票是一个 “独立的板块”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对备忘录股票革命的反应一直是孤立专业人士认为不理性的市场部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也在放弃报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样把零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来 17 年内消失。股票交易已经发生了永久性的变化。今年，零售活动占股本量的 24%，高于 2019 年的 15%。新信条的追随者不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>“哥伦比亚法学院（Columbia Law School）专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚-米茨（Joshua Mitts）说：”这实际上反映了我们所看到的趋势的逆转，即与个别公司的接触越来越少。“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她所投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>— Matt Kohrs，26 岁，每天在 YouTube 上直播股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早早加入的人的生活，并且仍然在更高的名字上。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了纽约程序员的工作，搬到了费城，并开始在YouTube上每天7个小时直播股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>YouTube 拥有 35 万粉丝，它正在支付账单。科尔斯说，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以拿到与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给迷因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以阻止他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC 甚至在上周取消了一项拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢 Reddit 人群的反响。过去一年，AMC 的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官亚当-阿伦（Adam Aron）在推特上表示，他看到了 “许多人赞成，许多人反对 ”对他增发 2500 万股股票的提议的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的 AMC 年会上进行表决。该公司没有回答有关如何调查股东的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室里决定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者正在花费更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕零售行动进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在 “阿尔法”，但要实现这一目标可能需要一些紧张的数字运算。当然，并不是所有的留言板聊天都会导致价格持续上涨，如果没有大量的数据分析，零售订单流很难与机构流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在购买哪些股票和正在出售哪些股票的投资者来说，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的 20% 的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的 20% 的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他说：”他们认为这几乎就像一份保险，以限制他们的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于零售商来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动是由社区精神支撑的。其背后的力量既是情感上的，也是道德上的，也是经济上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是希望证明自己，并像利润一样惩罚保守派。他们互相学习市场，有时会放大或揭穿关于华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票运动与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“26 岁的科尔斯说：”华尔街让我们的经济陷入困境，但没有人因此惹上麻烦。“所以，我认为他们认为我们不仅可以赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格 (Claire Hirschberg) 是一名 28 岁的工会组织者，她在 1 月份从朋友那里听说 Robinhood 上购买了价值约 50 美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他是一名长期的资金经理。“她笑着说：”他很生气我买了游戏驿站，还不肯卖。“这让我想永远拿着它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像老华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，在你成为合伙人之前，你不会打菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你从不离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而且不是按顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万散户交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认财务损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对本集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不规范语言。你是 “猿类 ”或 “弱智 ”大军的一员。你坚持住，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>集体行动不仅仅是为了精神支持。交易策略取决于人们保持买入压力，迫使做空，或买入看涨期权，从而引发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔 (Keith Gill) 在二月份众议院金融服务委员会听证会上虚拟露面，成为 Reddit 散户交易员大军推高游戏驿站股价的代言人。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来给备忘录运动注入氧气。6 月中旬，AMC 的空头权益占该股流通量的 17%，低于 1 月份的 28%，但降幅不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格上涨，空头们也控制不住自己。多年来一直关注游戏驿站的韦德布什证券分析师迈克尔-帕切特（Michael Pachter）说，他们开始 “流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”。“他说：”让我感到震惊的是精神错乱的定义，就是一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头却不断出现。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思-吉尔（Keith Gill）和他的 Reddit raiders 一直在挤压他们，而且一直在起作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit 人群需要团结起来，但该社区有时会出现裂缝。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和 AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经崩溃。 Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) 在 1 月底和 6 月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于 1 月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心 wallstreetbets——激发游戏驿站狂热的最初 Reddit 留言板——发展如此之快，以至于它已经失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。有些人搬到了其他留言板，如 r/superstonk，希望能重现老社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司 Hype Equity 的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔 (Travis Rehl) 表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣。现在，他看到了一种不断增长的趋势，即股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的聊天，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“他说：”这让人怀疑什么是真正的讨论，什么是某人只想炒作的东西。wallstreetbets 的版主禁止在该平台上操纵市场，Rehl 表示，他们似乎正在努力遏制错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>“索斯尼克说：”如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让一只股票在短时间内上涨 10%、20%，甚至 50%，那么你就有巨大的动力去做这件事。</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>美国证券交易委员会正在关注留言板上的有趣交易。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒（Gary Gensler）和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，目的是增加保护散户交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减缓交易速度或使交易成本更高，也可能激怒零售人群。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一能遏制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment 行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根 (Dan Egan) 认为，这种势头可能会在 9 月份耗尽。即使是 “猿猴 ”也有责任。“他说：”孩子们开始重返校园；家长们也可以自由地再次上班了。“那是下一次从房间里抽出氧气的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金引发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪和游戏驿站乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，那么只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注，这几乎肯定是一件好事。许多新零售商表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，这是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授亨德里克-贝森宾德（Hendrik Bessembinder）在2018年发表了一项开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票，亏损的可能性大于赚钱的可能性”。简而言之，挑选单只股票并持有集中投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是对新一波交易感到鼓舞。“贝森宾德说：”我欢迎零售交易的增加，欢迎股票市场成为一个广泛参与的地方。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","SCHW":"嘉信理财","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","BB":"黑莓","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WKHS":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,"BB":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"NEGG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140714073,"gmtCreate":1625673125492,"gmtModify":1633938459002,"author":{"id":"3575256032463698","authorId":"3575256032463698","name":"tearach","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/861adeae93387d8335f9550889bafb00","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575256032463698","idStr":"3575256032463698"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls loke","listText":"Pls loke","text":"Pls loke","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140714073","repostId":"1105521462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105521462","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625670735,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105521462?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-07 23:12","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Oil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>随着美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性，油价下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105521462","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from th","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from the OPEC+ alliance, which has been locked in a dispute over boosting output. West Texas Intermediate ...</p><p><blockquote><div>（彭博社）——随着美元飙升，油价下跌，投资者等待欧佩克+联盟的进一步信号，该联盟一直陷入提高产量的争端。西德克萨斯中级……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>随着美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性，油价下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOil Drops With Stronger Dollar and OPEC-Fueled Uncertainty<blockquote>随着美元走强和欧佩克引发的不确定性，油价下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-07 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from the OPEC+ alliance, which has been locked in a dispute over boosting output. West Texas Intermediate ...</p><p><blockquote><div>（彭博社）——随着美元飙升，油价下跌，投资者等待欧佩克+联盟的进一步信号，该联盟一直陷入提高产量的争端。西德克萨斯中级……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-resumes-advance-saudi-uae-002506412.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105521462","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged and investors awaited further signals from the OPEC+ alliance, which has been locked in a dispute over boosting output.\nWest Texas Intermediate futures fell as much as 3.1% in New York. The U.S. dollar rose to a three-month high and equities fell from all-time highs after a jobs report missed expectations. A strong dollar typically makes commodities priced in the currency less attractive to investors. Prices earlier swung between gains and losses as the ongoing dispute among OPEC+ members has threatened a global supply deficit.\n“People are just wildly uncertain” what the OPEC+ stalemate means for the future of output, said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda Corp. “August is in question and the demand warrants more production.”\nOil prices have soared more than 50% so far this year with consumption returning and the previous OPEC+ production deal keeping a lid on output. But investors remain uncertain about both the future of the OPEC+ supply agreement as well as the demand recovery with the delta variant of Covid-19 continuing to plague reopening efforts.\nJPMorgan Chase & Co. is among banks that anticipates a deal will be found. OPEC+ is expected to eventually agree in the coming weeks to increase production by 400,000 barrels a day each month for the rest of 2021, it said in a note.\nAt the same time, the disagreement between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates could invite producers to pump unilaterally, risking a free-for-all that could crash prices. There is potential for a price war, but all involved will try to avoid that, according to ING Group NV.\n“What’s really complicating everything is that we’re gonna probably have to wait a couple more weeks of talks and negotiations,” said Moya.\nMeanwhile, U.S. shale executives are locking in prices for the oil they plan to produce next year and protecting themselves against a potential market slump, people familiar with the trades said.\nSaudi Aramco increased the official selling price for Arab Light by 80 cents a barrel to $2.70 above the regional benchmark for Asia. That’s the biggest month-on-month gain since January, and suggests the oil giant won’t boost supply next month.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}