Jan9413的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Jan9413

Jan9413

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2021-12-31

加油

@Helene鸿运当头:$Denison Mines Corp(DNN)$全球向核能发电扩展，地球铀矿有限，物以稀为贵，各国对铀矿资源争夺战，昨天分享的DNN，是一只很有前景的优质的铀矿产股。

2021-12-15

[Speechless]

@英为财情:AMC暴跌，散户抛弃了网红股？

2021-11-11

Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

Rivian shares rose more than 8% in premarket as the stock jumped nearly 30% in its debut<blockquote>Rivian股价盘前上涨超过 8%，该股首日上涨近 30%</blockquote>

2021-11-08

$GenTech Holdings Inc.(GTEH)$[流泪]

2021-10-22

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$woooh...no pistol to buy[捂脸]

2021-10-20

$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$[捂脸]

2021-10-20

$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$[正经] [叹气]

2021-10-15

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$kee it up

2021-10-11

$Ebang International Holdings Inc.(EBON)$[喷血]

2021-10-07

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$[冷漠]

2021-10-01

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$[微笑]

2021-09-30

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$还没来得及上车呢[捂脸]

2021-09-29

$GenTech Holdings Inc.(GTEH)$[呆住] this stocks still got hope[看涨] [美金]

2021-09-23

$Apple(AAPL)$[财迷] [冷漠] waiting you go to the moon[看涨] [美金]

2021-09-21

$Apple(AAPL)$this stocks drop again[捂脸] [暗中观察]

2021-09-16

$Denison Mines(DNN)$rest too long is a good time to start engine[可爱] [美金] [看涨]

2021-09-07

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$coming baby[呆住]

2021-09-02

$BlackBerry(BB)$[财迷] [正经]

2021-08-31

keep it up ... wisekey

2021-08-31

[流泪]

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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大跌15.31%，至23.24美元，为5月以来的最低收盘水平，月度跌幅超过了32%；游戏驿站 大跌13.92%，至136.88美元，为3月份以来最低收盘价；3B家居下跌超6%。 一时间，似乎所有散户都在逃离“散户抱团股”，散户的最爱MEME股AMC到底怎么了？ 获利回吐 虽然近期AMC惨遭抛售，跌势很猛，但不得不提的是该公司今年的表现异常强劲。今年6月AMC曾一度上涨至72.62美元的历史新高，涨幅高达2850%！此后股价开始震荡回落，但是今年迄今，AMC的涨幅也高达996.23%！ AMC走势图，来源：Investing.com AMC和游戏驿站的成功被认为是散户对抗机构的胜利，在获得了散户投资者青睐的同时也被其他投资者广泛关注。 巨大的涨幅带来的是高额的回报，在今年6月达到历史新高之后，大量的获利盘开始回吐，很多投资者都纷纷选择入袋为安。 高管套现 巨大的涨幅令AMC的高管也难以把持套现的诱惑。据上周四披露的消息，AMC的首席执行官Adam Aron再次出售价值965万美元的公司股票。此前他曾表示，出售股票是为了谨慎地进行遗产规划。据悉，Aron此前就出售了超过2500万美元的股票。 此外，AMC首席财务官Sean Goodman以约56.5万美元的价格出售了其所有的18,316股公司股票。 趁此前股票飙升的时候，AMC高管和董事会成员今年累计抛售了超过7000万美元的股票。 财报尚可，无奈市场并不认可 11月初，AMC发布了三季度财报，该公司三季度营收7.63亿美元，同比增长536%;净亏损2.24亿美元，去年同期净亏损9.06亿美元。摊薄后每股亏损为0.44美元，去年同期每股亏损为8.41美元。 AMC营收大增，同时净亏损大幅缩窄，财报表现并不算差。但是市场却并不认可，当日股价下跌超过11%。","listText":"12月13日周一，一直被散户追捧的MEME股票出现暴跌，AMC院线公司 大跌15.31%，至23.24美元，为5月以来的最低收盘水平，月度跌幅超过了32%；游戏驿站 大跌13.92%，至136.88美元，为3月份以来最低收盘价；3B家居下跌超6%。 一时间，似乎所有散户都在逃离“散户抱团股”，散户的最爱MEME股AMC到底怎么了？ 获利回吐 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巨大的涨幅带来的是高额的回报，在今年6月达到历史新高之后，大量的获利盘开始回吐，很多投资者都纷纷选择入袋为安。 高管套现 巨大的涨幅令AMC的高管也难以把持套现的诱惑。据上周四披露的消息，AMC的首席执行官Adam Aron再次出售价值965万美元的公司股票。此前他曾表示，出售股票是为了谨慎地进行遗产规划。据悉，Aron此前就出售了超过2500万美元的股票。 此外，AMC首席财务官Sean Goodman以约56.5万美元的价格出售了其所有的18,316股公司股票。 趁此前股票飙升的时候，AMC高管和董事会成员今年累计抛售了超过7000万美元的股票。 财报尚可，无奈市场并不认可 11月初，AMC发布了三季度财报，该公司三季度营收7.63亿美元，同比增长536%;净亏损2.24亿美元，去年同期净亏损9.06亿美元。摊薄后每股亏损为0.44美元，去年同期每股亏损为8.41美元。 AMC营收大增，同时净亏损大幅缩窄，财报表现并不算差。但是市场却并不认可，当日股价下跌超过11%。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/904e5876155a42a9a44034771d7becbe","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/904e5876155a42a9a44034771d7becbe","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/904e5876155a42a9a44034771d7becbe","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607955133","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870252876,"gmtCreate":1636625530027,"gmtModify":1636625530144,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870252876","repostId":"1173011615","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173011615","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636621941,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1173011615?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-11 17:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian shares rose more than 8% in premarket as the stock jumped nearly 30% in its debut<blockquote>Rivian股价盘前上涨超过 8%，该股首日上涨近 30%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173011615","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Rivian shares rose more than 8% in premarket as the stock jumped nearly 30% in its debut.Rivian shares closed at $100.73 on last day, marking a nearly 30% jump from its offering price.That made Rivian the second most valuable U.S. automaker after Tesla Inc, which is worth $1.06 trillion. Despite just having started selling vehicles and having little revenue to report, Rivian ranked ahead of General Motors Co at $86.05 billion, Ford Motor Co at $77.37 billion, and Lucid Group at $65.96 billion.","content":"<p>Rivian&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;8%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;as&nbsp;the&nbsp;stock&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;30%&nbsp;in&nbsp;its&nbsp;debut.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0042964d25e0f3757ddd14f57aed6db6\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"625\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Rivian shares closed at $100.73&nbsp;on&nbsp;last&nbsp;day, marking a nearly 30% jump from its offering price.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian股价盘前上涨超过 8%，该股首日上涨近 30%。Rivian股价昨日收于 100.73 美元，较发行价上涨近 30%。</blockquote></p><p> That made Rivian the second most valuable U.S. automaker after Tesla Inc, which is worth $1.06 trillion. Despite just having started selling vehicles and having little revenue to report, Rivian ranked ahead of General Motors Co&nbsp;at $86.05 billion, Ford Motor Co&nbsp;at $77.37 billion, and Lucid Group&nbsp;at $65.96 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这使得Rivian成为仅次于特斯拉公司（市值 1.06 万亿美元）的美国第二大最有价值汽车制造商。尽管刚刚开始销售汽车，几乎没有收入报告，但Rivian以 860.5 亿美元的价格领先于通用汽车公司、福特汽车公司（773.7 亿美元）和 Lucid Group（659.6 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian shares rose more than 8% in premarket as the stock jumped nearly 30% in its debut<blockquote>Rivian股价盘前上涨超过 8%，该股首日上涨近 30%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian shares rose more than 8% in premarket as the stock jumped nearly 30% in its debut<blockquote>Rivian股价盘前上涨超过 8%，该股首日上涨近 30%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-11 17:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rivian&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;8%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;as&nbsp;the&nbsp;stock&nbsp;jumped&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;30%&nbsp;in&nbsp;its&nbsp;debut.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0042964d25e0f3757ddd14f57aed6db6\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"625\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Rivian shares closed at $100.73&nbsp;on&nbsp;last&nbsp;day, marking a nearly 30% jump from its offering price.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian股价盘前上涨超过 8%，该股首日上涨近 30%。Rivian股价昨日收于 100.73 美元，较发行价上涨近 30%。</blockquote></p><p> That made Rivian the second most valuable U.S. automaker after Tesla Inc, which is worth $1.06 trillion. Despite just having started selling vehicles and having little revenue to report, Rivian ranked ahead of General Motors Co&nbsp;at $86.05 billion, Ford Motor Co&nbsp;at $77.37 billion, and Lucid Group&nbsp;at $65.96 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这使得Rivian成为仅次于特斯拉公司（市值 1.06 万亿美元）的美国第二大最有价值汽车制造商。尽管刚刚开始销售汽车，几乎没有收入报告，但Rivian以 860.5 亿美元的价格领先于通用汽车公司、福特汽车公司（773.7 亿美元）和 Lucid Group（659.6 亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173011615","content_text":"Rivian shares rose more than 8% in premarket as the stock jumped nearly 30% in its debut.Rivian shares closed at $100.73 on last day, marking a nearly 30% jump from its offering price.\nThat made Rivian the second most valuable U.S. automaker after Tesla Inc, which is worth $1.06 trillion. Despite just having started selling vehicles and having little revenue to report, Rivian ranked ahead of General Motors Co at $86.05 billion, Ford Motor Co at $77.37 billion, and Lucid Group at $65.96 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845590478,"gmtCreate":1636347711553,"gmtModify":1636347917700,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTEH\">$GenTech Holdings Inc.(GTEH)$</a>[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTEH\">$GenTech Holdings Inc.(GTEH)$</a>[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"$GenTech Holdings 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>coming baby[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>coming baby[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$coming 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[正经]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6653717e50e678b45931cb40345a0c8f","width":"1080","height":"2060"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812642871","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":818198033,"gmtCreate":1630381558222,"gmtModify":1704959452295,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"keep it up ...&nbsp;wisekey","listText":"keep it up ...&nbsp;wisekey","text":"keep it up ... wisekey","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07311df204625e36d45ae57009397676","width":"1080","height":"2060"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818198033","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818107776,"gmtCreate":1630381255095,"gmtModify":1704959446457,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/969efd9a115daa40dda24fe08f34c4e7","width":"1080","height":"2060"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818107776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":147282853,"gmtCreate":1626359617272,"gmtModify":1633927506622,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>pls SHOW your POWER[看涨]&nbsp;[美金]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>pls SHOW your POWER[看涨]&nbsp;[美金]&nbsp;","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$pls SHOW your POWER[看涨] [美金]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147282853","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":733,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":890638799,"gmtCreate":1628105977611,"gmtModify":1631887509258,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOFV\">$Hall of Fame Resort &amp; Entertainment(HOFV)$</a>player football[财迷]&nbsp;[胜利]&nbsp;[看涨]&nbsp;[美金]&nbsp;[保佑]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOFV\">$Hall of Fame Resort &amp; Entertainment(HOFV)$</a>player football[财迷]&nbsp;[胜利]&nbsp;[看涨]&nbsp;[美金]&nbsp;[保佑]&nbsp;","text":"$Hall of Fame Resort & Entertainment(HOFV)$player football[财迷] [胜利] [看涨] [美金] [保佑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890638799","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":734,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167142737,"gmtCreate":1624254949329,"gmtModify":1634008805019,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"cool man[爱心]&nbsp;.......pls lime me","listText":"cool man[爱心]&nbsp;.......pls lime me","text":"cool man[爱心] .......pls lime me","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167142737","repostId":"1175906479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175906479","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624242000,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175906479?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 10:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175906479","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share .In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period.</li>  <li>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).</li>  <li>From the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dc5052119e6bbc5b693cf7385d8738\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果股价在过去五年中上涨了 449%，超过了标普500同期 102% 的涨幅。</li><li>我以中性评级和公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）启动苹果。</li><li>从技术分析的角度来看，股价正在遵循上升的三角形模式，并正朝着137美元/股的目标价迈进。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images News 公司概述</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司 (AAPL) 的股价在过去五年中上涨了 449%，超过了标普500同期 102% 的涨幅。由基本面支撑的出色回报。特别是，我想从后者开始分析。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的二十年里，苹果成功的主要驱动力一直是iPhone。2016年，iPhone手机占总销量的63%。这对苹果来说是个问题，他们知道这一点。问题的存在主要有两个因素：第一，智能手机业务成熟（增长率低）；其次，它过去是（现在仍然是）一个竞争激烈的行业。然而，苹果拥有其他竞争对手所没有的东西，庞大的iPhone用户基础（例如，这允许销售更多服务）。多年来，苹果已经能够有效地实现其收入来源的多元化，目前呈现以下结构。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4602be0c6fa92191baf04a7496c4e024\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Let's now take a look at each of these segments:</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看这些部分中的每一个：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. iPhone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>于二零一六年至二零二零年，iPhone分部以0.20%的复合年增长率增长，并由占总销售额的63.4%（二零一六年）变为51%（「TTM」）。以下是过去5年（2016-TTM）iPhone细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916b48499e3e3ed2c0c167af3ba62bdb\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，iPhone细分市场的TTM增长率为18.5%，这得益于具有5G功能的新iPhone12系列，以及来自中国的有趣数据。我相信向5G的过渡将是这一细分市场增长的主要驱动力。通过这种方式，我想报告第二季度盈利看涨期权的部分成绩单。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.</i>  <b>2. iPad</b></p><p><blockquote><i>在企业市场，许多行业的客户正在加速采用iPhone 12和5G作为其业务未来的关键平台。例如，达美航空公司正在将 iPhone 12 和 5G 连接交到空乘人员手中，以便他们能够在航空旅行反弹时提供尽可能最好的乘客服务。英国的 Openreach 已开始为数万名现场工程师配备 iPhone 12，以加快他们向全国各地家庭部署宽带服务。科罗拉多州的一家大型医疗保健提供商UCHealth能够将每位患者的疫苗接种时间从3分钟减少到仅30秒，这主要是通过从PC站转移到iPhone。这使得他们的工作人员能够快速扫描和登记新患者，并大大提高了他们的日常疫苗接种能力。</i><b>2、iPad</b></blockquote></p><p> As it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>与过去一样，iPad 细分市场占总销售额的比例或多或少是一个恒定的数字，2016 年为 9.6%，而 TTM 为 9.1%。从2016年到2020年，iPad细分市场的CAGR增长率为3.56%（整体趋势有所改善）。以下是iPad细分市场过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6faf9ddb8d29d662fcaa46bbda862f48\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).</p><p><blockquote>TTM数据向我们展示了一幅有趣的画面，iPad细分市场的TTM增长率为24.9%，这是由三个因素推动的：M1芯片、新的5G功能以及我们都在家的事实。我看到了新一代iPad的很多实现方式。不过，我也不得不承认，在同一片海里游泳的还有一个大玩家，新款2-1笔记本电脑。对于那些希望两全其美的人来说，新的2-1笔记本电脑是一个非常有趣的解决方案。在最后一个观点中，iPad细分市场占总销售额的比例可能较低，约为7.8%（而目前为9.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Mac</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. Mac</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>从2016年到2020年，Mac细分市场的CAGR增长率为5.81%，与iPad细分市场一样，Mac细分市场占总销售额的比例或多或少保持不变，2016年为10.6%，而TTM为10.4%。以下是过去5年（2016-TTM）Mac细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2494d89c1d5cd70a4cf0c5fb31fb20a\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.</p><p><blockquote>由M1芯片驱动的新一代Mac似乎受到了客户的赞赏，事实上，今年迄今为止，Mac细分市场的TTM增长率为18.4%。我个人尝试了新一代Mac电脑，我不得不承认，苹果非常清楚如何取悦顾客。个人电脑是一个竞争激烈的市场，即使我喜欢并使用苹果产品，我也更喜欢与联想合作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&amp;A)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 可穿戴设备、家居和配件（WH&amp;A）</b></blockquote></p><p> The Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&amp;A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&amp;A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件部门包括AirPods、苹果电视、苹果手表、Beats产品、HomePod等的销售。这就是有趣的地方。从2016年到2020年，WH&amp;A分部以28.78%的复合年增长率增长，并从2016年仅占总销售额的5.2%变为占总销售额的10.8%。以下是过去5年（2016-TTM）WH&amp;A细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16432a1ae66aa9dda7a4f969a9cfcdf\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The WH&amp;A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).</p><p><blockquote>在苹果手表系列6和苹果手表SE的强劲表现推动下，WH&amp;A细分市场的TTM增长率为14.7%。在苹果进入医疗保健市场的推动下，苹果手表在未来几年可能会有一个非常光明的未来。事实上，它可以用来监测人的健康状况。想象一下，你即将心脏病发作，你的苹果手表可能会看涨期权一辆救护车，救了你的命，不错吧？最后，我们不要忘记苹果电视4K和最新配件AirTag的推出（我看不到后者的市场，但我可能错了）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 服务</b></blockquote></p><p> Services include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>服务包括公司广告、AppleCare、数字内容和其他服务的销售。于二零一六年至二零二零年，服务分部以21.9%的复合年增长率增长，并由二零一六年占总销售额的11.3%变为占总销售额的18.6%。以下是过去5年（2016-TTM）服务部门的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af34eb1ba8fffd690a75318f8cf805f7\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，服务部门的TTM增长率为12.3%。增长是由应用商店、云服务、音乐、广告和支付服务推动的。新服务苹果电视+、苹果街机、苹果新闻+和苹果卡也开始为整体服务增长做出贡献，并继续增加用户、内容和功能。我相信未来服务板块将是公司的主导板块。下面我展示了我从第四季度盈利看涨期权中推断出的一个有趣的部分。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>First, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.</i>  <b>Company Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><i>首先，我们的安装基数持续增长，并且在每个主要产品类别中都处于历史最高水平。其次，我们数字内容商店的交易账户和付费账户数量在 9 月份季度创下历史新高，我们每个地区的付费账户都增长了两位数。第三，付费订阅量连续增长超过3500万，我们现在平台上的所有服务的付费订阅量超过5.85亿，比一年前增加了1.35亿。凭借这一势头，我们非常有信心在2020年底前达到并超过6亿付费订阅的目标。</i><b>公司分析</b></blockquote></p><p> I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&amp;D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p><p><blockquote>我以中性评级和公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）启动苹果。公允价值是一个经过算法调整的价值，考虑了基本面和技术面的不同因素（如DCF公允价值、动量等）。），因此它考虑了市场情绪。同时，我通过DCF模型获得的公允价值等于105.68美元/股。现在，在显示结果之前，用作基数的数字是过去12个月的数字。此外，我还重述了财务状况，因为我将R&amp;D费用资本化，摊销年限为3年。我不认为在苹果的情况下，R&amp;D是一项运营费用，因此，我将其视为资本支出。考虑到研发，以下指标已重述（所有数字均以百万美元为单位）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a2222a8e8b9088e619b0b971193a1f\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is very important to capitalize on R&amp;D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>利用研发费用非常重要，如果我们不这样做，我们只是将公司最大的资产保留在资产负债表之外。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>贴现现金流量模型</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向贴现现金流估值部分。下面，你可以看到我所做的相对假设的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2da633d931f51b493d897d9c87ecee5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:</p><p><blockquote>现在，这次我还提出了三种可能的情况以及我的估计：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Base Case Scenario</i>: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.</li>  <li><i>Best Case Scenario</i>: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.</li>  <li><i>Worst Case Scenario</i>: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.</li> </ul> Finally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>基本案例场景</i>：上面的DCF模型代表了我的基本案例场景。在基本情况下，我假设增长的驱动力是：iPhone细分市场（由5G转型驱动）、服务细分市场（由更广泛的客户群驱动）和新的M1 Mac细分市场。在这种情况下，我假设第一年的增长率为 12%，第二年至第五年的复合年增长率为 7.1%，第十年的目标营业利润率为 27%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为105.68美元/股。</li><li><i>最佳情况场景</i>: 生意火爆!在最佳情况下，我再次将我为基本情况描述的主要驱动因素视为主要驱动因素，然而，除此之外，我还看到了中国更大的市场渗透率。在过去5年中，我们可以观察到中国的销售额呈下降趋势，然而，今年的销售额跃升了39.7%（iPhone细分市场大幅增长）。在这种情况下，我假设第一年的增长率为 14%，第二年至第五年的复合年增长率为 9.1%，第十年的目标营业利润率为 30%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为130.32美元/股。</li><li><i>最坏情况</i>:嗯，这是一个我想看涨期权喜欢“成熟公司场景”的场景。在这种情况下，我认为苹果的增长率略高于经济增长率，因此，我假设第一年的增长率为10%，第二年至第五年的CAGR为3.1%，第十年的目标营业利润率为25%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为81.03美元/股。</li></ul>最后，对于每种情况，我都看到苹果带着苹果手表进入医疗保健市场。正如你可以想象的那样，我在每种情况下都分配了不同的市场渗透可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>灵敏度分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我还想提供基本案例场景的敏感性分析。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95f00eba768526d07d68fd846ecf998d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> From the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).</p><p><blockquote>从技术分析的角度来看，我还没有看到任何问题。股价处于看涨模式，目前处于上升三角形模式。截至目前，股价正在遵循其模式，正朝着137美元/股或D点的目标价前进，在那里它可能会反弹并回到E点。如果出现这种情况，E点通常是股价再次反弹的点，从该点开始，股票走高（这只是一个技术分析假设，按原样理解）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecf3e5f45dcb5e30b092c02bbf94d6f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:TradingView.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&amp;P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家成熟的公司，能够提前几年发现问题并解决问题。通过观察在基本情况下计算的公允价值，我们可以说该股票目前被高估了，但没有那么高。对于关注风险，最好情况和最坏情况之间的差异可以用作风险的代表。考虑到这一点，我认为没有理由恐慌，然而，我也确实看到了市场即将出现的调整。许多技术指标和基本面指标都告诉我，目前市场过于沉重（即使标准普尔500可能会走高，也许在4400点区域）。总之，我不打算平掉我的全部苹果头寸，但是，一旦达到我的价格目标，我会平掉其中的 60%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 10:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period.</li>  <li>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).</li>  <li>From the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dc5052119e6bbc5b693cf7385d8738\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果股价在过去五年中上涨了 449%，超过了标普500同期 102% 的涨幅。</li><li>我以中性评级和公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）启动苹果。</li><li>从技术分析的角度来看，股价正在遵循上升的三角形模式，并正朝着137美元/股的目标价迈进。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images News 公司概述</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司 (AAPL) 的股价在过去五年中上涨了 449%，超过了标普500同期 102% 的涨幅。由基本面支撑的出色回报。特别是，我想从后者开始分析。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的二十年里，苹果成功的主要驱动力一直是iPhone。2016年，iPhone手机占总销量的63%。这对苹果来说是个问题，他们知道这一点。问题的存在主要有两个因素：第一，智能手机业务成熟（增长率低）；其次，它过去是（现在仍然是）一个竞争激烈的行业。然而，苹果拥有其他竞争对手所没有的东西，庞大的iPhone用户基础（例如，这允许销售更多服务）。多年来，苹果已经能够有效地实现其收入来源的多元化，目前呈现以下结构。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4602be0c6fa92191baf04a7496c4e024\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Let's now take a look at each of these segments:</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看这些部分中的每一个：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. iPhone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>于二零一六年至二零二零年，iPhone分部以0.20%的复合年增长率增长，并由占总销售额的63.4%（二零一六年）变为51%（「TTM」）。以下是过去5年（2016-TTM）iPhone细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916b48499e3e3ed2c0c167af3ba62bdb\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，iPhone细分市场的TTM增长率为18.5%，这得益于具有5G功能的新iPhone12系列，以及来自中国的有趣数据。我相信向5G的过渡将是这一细分市场增长的主要驱动力。通过这种方式，我想报告第二季度盈利看涨期权的部分成绩单。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.</i>  <b>2. iPad</b></p><p><blockquote><i>在企业市场，许多行业的客户正在加速采用iPhone 12和5G作为其业务未来的关键平台。例如，达美航空公司正在将 iPhone 12 和 5G 连接交到空乘人员手中，以便他们能够在航空旅行反弹时提供尽可能最好的乘客服务。英国的 Openreach 已开始为数万名现场工程师配备 iPhone 12，以加快他们向全国各地家庭部署宽带服务。科罗拉多州的一家大型医疗保健提供商UCHealth能够将每位患者的疫苗接种时间从3分钟减少到仅30秒，这主要是通过从PC站转移到iPhone。这使得他们的工作人员能够快速扫描和登记新患者，并大大提高了他们的日常疫苗接种能力。</i><b>2、iPad</b></blockquote></p><p> As it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>与过去一样，iPad 细分市场占总销售额的比例或多或少是一个恒定的数字，2016 年为 9.6%，而 TTM 为 9.1%。从2016年到2020年，iPad细分市场的CAGR增长率为3.56%（整体趋势有所改善）。以下是iPad细分市场过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6faf9ddb8d29d662fcaa46bbda862f48\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).</p><p><blockquote>TTM数据向我们展示了一幅有趣的画面，iPad细分市场的TTM增长率为24.9%，这是由三个因素推动的：M1芯片、新的5G功能以及我们都在家的事实。我看到了新一代iPad的很多实现方式。不过，我也不得不承认，在同一片海里游泳的还有一个大玩家，新款2-1笔记本电脑。对于那些希望两全其美的人来说，新的2-1笔记本电脑是一个非常有趣的解决方案。在最后一个观点中，iPad细分市场占总销售额的比例可能较低，约为7.8%（而目前为9.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Mac</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. Mac</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>从2016年到2020年，Mac细分市场的CAGR增长率为5.81%，与iPad细分市场一样，Mac细分市场占总销售额的比例或多或少保持不变，2016年为10.6%，而TTM为10.4%。以下是过去5年（2016-TTM）Mac细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2494d89c1d5cd70a4cf0c5fb31fb20a\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.</p><p><blockquote>由M1芯片驱动的新一代Mac似乎受到了客户的赞赏，事实上，今年迄今为止，Mac细分市场的TTM增长率为18.4%。我个人尝试了新一代Mac电脑，我不得不承认，苹果非常清楚如何取悦顾客。个人电脑是一个竞争激烈的市场，即使我喜欢并使用苹果产品，我也更喜欢与联想合作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&amp;A)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4. 可穿戴设备、家居和配件（WH&amp;A）</b></blockquote></p><p> The Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&amp;A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&amp;A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件部门包括AirPods、苹果电视、苹果手表、Beats产品、HomePod等的销售。这就是有趣的地方。从2016年到2020年，WH&amp;A分部以28.78%的复合年增长率增长，并从2016年仅占总销售额的5.2%变为占总销售额的10.8%。以下是过去5年（2016-TTM）WH&amp;A细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16432a1ae66aa9dda7a4f969a9cfcdf\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The WH&amp;A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).</p><p><blockquote>在苹果手表系列6和苹果手表SE的强劲表现推动下，WH&amp;A细分市场的TTM增长率为14.7%。在苹果进入医疗保健市场的推动下，苹果手表在未来几年可能会有一个非常光明的未来。事实上，它可以用来监测人的健康状况。想象一下，你即将心脏病发作，你的苹果手表可能会看涨期权一辆救护车，救了你的命，不错吧？最后，我们不要忘记苹果电视4K和最新配件AirTag的推出（我看不到后者的市场，但我可能错了）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 服务</b></blockquote></p><p> Services include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>服务包括公司广告、AppleCare、数字内容和其他服务的销售。于二零一六年至二零二零年，服务分部以21.9%的复合年增长率增长，并由二零一六年占总销售额的11.3%变为占总销售额的18.6%。以下是过去5年（2016-TTM）服务部门的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af34eb1ba8fffd690a75318f8cf805f7\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，服务部门的TTM增长率为12.3%。增长是由应用商店、云服务、音乐、广告和支付服务推动的。新服务苹果电视+、苹果街机、苹果新闻+和苹果卡也开始为整体服务增长做出贡献，并继续增加用户、内容和功能。我相信未来服务板块将是公司的主导板块。下面我展示了我从第四季度盈利看涨期权中推断出的一个有趣的部分。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>First, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.</i>  <b>Company Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><i>首先，我们的安装基数持续增长，并且在每个主要产品类别中都处于历史最高水平。其次，我们数字内容商店的交易账户和付费账户数量在 9 月份季度创下历史新高，我们每个地区的付费账户都增长了两位数。第三，付费订阅量连续增长超过3500万，我们现在平台上的所有服务的付费订阅量超过5.85亿，比一年前增加了1.35亿。凭借这一势头，我们非常有信心在2020年底前达到并超过6亿付费订阅的目标。</i><b>公司分析</b></blockquote></p><p> I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&amp;D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p><p><blockquote>我以中性评级和公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）启动苹果。公允价值是一个经过算法调整的价值，考虑了基本面和技术面的不同因素（如DCF公允价值、动量等）。），因此它考虑了市场情绪。同时，我通过DCF模型获得的公允价值等于105.68美元/股。现在，在显示结果之前，用作基数的数字是过去12个月的数字。此外，我还重述了财务状况，因为我将R&amp;D费用资本化，摊销年限为3年。我不认为在苹果的情况下，R&amp;D是一项运营费用，因此，我将其视为资本支出。考虑到研发，以下指标已重述（所有数字均以百万美元为单位）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a2222a8e8b9088e619b0b971193a1f\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is very important to capitalize on R&amp;D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>利用研发费用非常重要，如果我们不这样做，我们只是将公司最大的资产保留在资产负债表之外。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>贴现现金流量模型</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向贴现现金流估值部分。下面，你可以看到我所做的相对假设的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2da633d931f51b493d897d9c87ecee5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:</p><p><blockquote>现在，这次我还提出了三种可能的情况以及我的估计：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Base Case Scenario</i>: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.</li>  <li><i>Best Case Scenario</i>: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.</li>  <li><i>Worst Case Scenario</i>: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.</li> </ul> Finally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>基本案例场景</i>：上面的DCF模型代表了我的基本案例场景。在基本情况下，我假设增长的驱动力是：iPhone细分市场（由5G转型驱动）、服务细分市场（由更广泛的客户群驱动）和新的M1 Mac细分市场。在这种情况下，我假设第一年的增长率为 12%，第二年至第五年的复合年增长率为 7.1%，第十年的目标营业利润率为 27%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为105.68美元/股。</li><li><i>最佳情况场景</i>: 生意火爆!在最佳情况下，我再次将我为基本情况描述的主要驱动因素视为主要驱动因素，然而，除此之外，我还看到了中国更大的市场渗透率。在过去5年中，我们可以观察到中国的销售额呈下降趋势，然而，今年的销售额跃升了39.7%（iPhone细分市场大幅增长）。在这种情况下，我假设第一年的增长率为 14%，第二年至第五年的复合年增长率为 9.1%，第十年的目标营业利润率为 30%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为130.32美元/股。</li><li><i>最坏情况</i>:嗯，这是一个我想看涨期权喜欢“成熟公司场景”的场景。在这种情况下，我认为苹果的增长率略高于经济增长率，因此，我假设第一年的增长率为10%，第二年至第五年的CAGR为3.1%，第十年的目标营业利润率为25%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为81.03美元/股。</li></ul>最后，对于每种情况，我都看到苹果带着苹果手表进入医疗保健市场。正如你可以想象的那样，我在每种情况下都分配了不同的市场渗透可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>灵敏度分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我还想提供基本案例场景的敏感性分析。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95f00eba768526d07d68fd846ecf998d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新 10-K 报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> From the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).</p><p><blockquote>从技术分析的角度来看，我还没有看到任何问题。股价处于看涨模式，目前处于上升三角形模式。截至目前，股价正在遵循其模式，正朝着137美元/股或D点的目标价前进，在那里它可能会反弹并回到E点。如果出现这种情况，E点通常是股价再次反弹的点，从该点开始，股票走高（这只是一个技术分析假设，按原样理解）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecf3e5f45dcb5e30b092c02bbf94d6f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:TradingView.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&amp;P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家成熟的公司，能够提前几年发现问题并解决问题。通过观察在基本情况下计算的公允价值，我们可以说该股票目前被高估了，但没有那么高。对于关注风险，最好情况和最坏情况之间的差异可以用作风险的代表。考虑到这一点，我认为没有理由恐慌，然而，我也确实看到了市场即将出现的调整。许多技术指标和基本面指标都告诉我，目前市场过于沉重（即使标准普尔500可能会走高，也许在4400点区域）。总之，我不打算平掉我的全部苹果头寸，但是，一旦达到我的价格目标，我会平掉其中的 60%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175906479","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.\n\nMichael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview\nApple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.\nOver the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nLet's now take a look at each of these segments:\n1. iPhone\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report\nSo far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.\n\nIn the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.\n\n2. iPad\nAs it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).\n3. Mac\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.\n4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&A)\nThe Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe WH&A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).\n5. Services\nServices include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTo date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.\n\nFirst, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.\n\nCompany Analysis\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nIt is very important to capitalize on R&D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.\nDiscounted Cash Flow Model\nNow, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nNow, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:\n\nBase Case Scenario: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.\nBest Case Scenario: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.\nWorst Case Scenario: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.\n\nFinally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.\nSensitivity Analysis\nMoreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTechnical Analysis\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).\nSource:TradingView.com\nFinal Thoughts\nApple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":135124451,"gmtCreate":1622152180273,"gmtModify":1634183476309,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"break record[美金]&nbsp;","listText":"break record[美金]&nbsp;","text":"break record[美金]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135124451","repostId":"1145940037","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145940037","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622128786,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1145940037?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-27 23:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC shares once rose 20%，making the growth rate expanded to 1000% so far in 2021<blockquote>AMC股价一度上涨20%，2021年至今涨幅扩大至1000%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145940037","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Today AMC shares once rose 20%，making the growth rate expanded to 1000% so far in 2021.Meme stocks s","content":"<p>Today&nbsp;AMC&nbsp;shares&nbsp;once&nbsp;rose&nbsp;20%，making the growth rate expanded to 1000%&nbsp;so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC股价一度上涨20%，2021年至今涨幅扩大至1000%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b8e58d91fa49e69cdf6288d5b6c520a\" tg-width=\"813\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Meme&nbsp;stocks such as GameStop and AMC Entertainmentthat were the focus of retail investors on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum earlier this year are riding another wave higher as the Reddit traders attempt to squeeze the stocks higher.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，在 Reddit 的 r/WallStreetBets 论坛上，游戏驿站和 AMC Entertainment 等备受瞩目的股票曾是散户投资者关注的焦点，但随着 Reddit 交易员试图推高这些股票，它们又迎来了一波上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC shares once rose 20%，making the growth rate expanded to 1000% so far in 2021<blockquote>AMC股价一度上涨20%，2021年至今涨幅扩大至1000%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC shares once rose 20%，making the growth rate expanded to 1000% so far in 2021<blockquote>AMC股价一度上涨20%，2021年至今涨幅扩大至1000%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-27 23:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Today&nbsp;AMC&nbsp;shares&nbsp;once&nbsp;rose&nbsp;20%，making the growth rate expanded to 1000%&nbsp;so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>如今，AMC股价一度上涨20%，2021年至今涨幅扩大至1000%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b8e58d91fa49e69cdf6288d5b6c520a\" tg-width=\"813\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Meme&nbsp;stocks such as GameStop and AMC Entertainmentthat were the focus of retail investors on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum earlier this year are riding another wave higher as the Reddit traders attempt to squeeze the stocks higher.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，在 Reddit 的 r/WallStreetBets 论坛上，游戏驿站和 AMC Entertainment 等备受瞩目的股票曾是散户投资者关注的焦点，但随着 Reddit 交易员试图推高这些股票，它们又迎来了一波上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145940037","content_text":"Today AMC shares once rose 20%，making the growth rate expanded to 1000% so far in 2021.Meme stocks such as GameStop and AMC Entertainmentthat were the focus of retail investors on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum earlier this year are riding another wave higher as the Reddit traders attempt to squeeze the stocks higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":812642871,"gmtCreate":1630587069693,"gmtModify":1631885069784,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">$BlackBerry(BB)$</a>[财迷]&nbsp;[正经]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BB\">$BlackBerry(BB)$</a>[财迷]&nbsp;[正经]&nbsp;","text":"$BlackBerry(BB)$[财迷] [正经]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6653717e50e678b45931cb40345a0c8f","width":"1080","height":"2060"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812642871","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":147225686,"gmtCreate":1626360405345,"gmtModify":1633927492547,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"well done[比心]&nbsp;","listText":"well done[比心]&nbsp;","text":"well done[比心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147225686","repostId":"1105855063","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":378142168,"gmtCreate":1619013111054,"gmtModify":1634289227718,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"still hv chance to invest this stocks[可爱]&nbsp;","listText":"still hv chance to invest this stocks[可爱]&nbsp;","text":"still hv chance to invest this stocks[可爱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378142168","repostId":"1114709501","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114709501","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619012348,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1114709501?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-21 21:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla stock dropped more than 2% in morning trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价早盘下跌超过 2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114709501","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla stock dropped more than 2% in Wednesday morning trading.The launch of Tesla's super plant in B","content":"<p>Tesla stock&nbsp;dropped&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;2%&nbsp;in&nbsp;Wednesday morning trading.The launch of Tesla's super plant in Berlin is likely to be significantly delayed,according to&nbsp;German business daily.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在周三早盘交易中下跌超过 2%。据德国《商业日报》报道， 特斯拉柏林超级工厂的启动可能会大幅推迟。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b525edb3c12a6ee6740baf665aa59a9e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Previously, Zhengzhou Zhengdong New District Municipal Supervision Bureau ordered Tesla to provide the complete driving data half an hour before the accident unconditionally; in addition, in the first quarter, the registration volume of model 3 in California dropped 54% to 8060 vehicles year on year.</p><p><blockquote>此前，郑州市郑东新区市监局责令特斯拉无条件提供事故发生前半小时完整行车数据；此外，第一季度，model 3在加州的注册量同比下降54%至8060辆。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla stock dropped more than 2% in morning trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价早盘下跌超过 2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla stock dropped more than 2% in morning trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价早盘下跌超过 2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-21 21:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla stock&nbsp;dropped&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;2%&nbsp;in&nbsp;Wednesday morning trading.The launch of Tesla's super plant in Berlin is likely to be significantly delayed,according to&nbsp;German business daily.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在周三早盘交易中下跌超过 2%。据德国《商业日报》报道， 特斯拉柏林超级工厂的启动可能会大幅推迟。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b525edb3c12a6ee6740baf665aa59a9e\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Previously, Zhengzhou Zhengdong New District Municipal Supervision Bureau ordered Tesla to provide the complete driving data half an hour before the accident unconditionally; in addition, in the first quarter, the registration volume of model 3 in California dropped 54% to 8060 vehicles year on year.</p><p><blockquote>此前，郑州市郑东新区市监局责令特斯拉无条件提供事故发生前半小时完整行车数据；此外，第一季度，model 3在加州的注册量同比下降54%至8060辆。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114709501","content_text":"Tesla stock dropped more than 2% in Wednesday morning trading.The launch of Tesla's super plant in Berlin is likely to be significantly delayed,according to German business daily.Previously, Zhengzhou Zhengdong New District Municipal Supervision Bureau ordered Tesla to provide the complete driving data half an hour before the accident unconditionally; in addition, in the first quarter, the registration volume of model 3 in California dropped 54% to 8060 vehicles year on year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":384739873,"gmtCreate":1613686541192,"gmtModify":1631889369489,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ETCG\">$Ethereum Classic Investment Trust(ETCG)$</a>[想吃]&nbsp;好的股票推荐太多了[正经]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ETCG\">$Ethereum Classic Investment Trust(ETCG)$</a>[想吃]&nbsp;好的股票推荐太多了[正经]&nbsp;","text":"$Ethereum Classic Investment Trust(ETCG)$[想吃] 好的股票推荐太多了[正经]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/384739873","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":384167770,"gmtCreate":1613627908390,"gmtModify":1634552875841,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>[美金]&nbsp;1st share... buy[强]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>[美金]&nbsp;1st share... buy[强]&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$[美金] 1st share... buy[强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/384167770","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824616746,"gmtCreate":1634307738742,"gmtModify":1634307751630,"author":{"id":"3575408266545497","authorId":"3575408266545497","name":"Jan9413","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fa4fd3ee6d51365df365f2bc310944e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575408266545497","authorIdStr":"3575408266545497"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>kee it up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>kee it up","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$kee it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824616746","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}