+关注
剑诀
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:北京
23
关注
0
粉丝
3
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
剑诀
04-09
学习了
@AaronHy:关税误判做多 操作做到正收益
剑诀
2022-10-29
//
@点击我就能取名哦
: 一切按计划加仓指数,昨天纳指盘后加的仓位已成交,持仓盈利中,目标13200
$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
//
@点击我就能取名哦
:
$苹果(AAPL)$
大概率也要爆雷,明天低位适当开仓,fomc宣布当天下跌再加 ,10750附近止损
$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$
//
@点击我就能取名哦
:从时间周期看,如果这周没有大幅下跌 稳在10500附近,那今年不会走完5浪了,五浪时间延到明年2-3月。接下来策略调整,本周逢低出做空头寸,逐步买入直到10月底。反弹时间,11月cpi应该利好,12月加50基点再利好,能坚持到12月底。明年1月财报是偏空的
$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
@点击我就能取名哦:9月FOMC 会议总结
剑诀
2024-12-20
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@话题虎:鲍威尔放鹰给上车机会?现在是该抄底,还是逃顶?
剑诀
2024-03-12
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
抱歉,原内容已删除
剑诀
2024-02-22
mark
剑诀
2024-02-16
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
抱歉,原内容已删除
剑诀
2023-05-06
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@小镇做T家:今晚(或下周一)的纳指,将是未来一个月纳指的最高点,短期内追高的风险很大,不要被部分个股的急拉而冲昏头脑,盲目冲进去成为接盘侠,一定要冷静!因为美股在整个二季度的流动性层面都是非常不利的。
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$
剑诀
2023-03-14
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@思辨财经:硅谷银行事件:美联储转鸽 流动性拐点提前
剑诀
2023-03-14
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
剑诀
2023-01-30
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@多头队长:一切和我判断的一样,纳斯达克开始了上涨。 上一篇我就发帖说经过我的判断,美股上半年上涨概率极大,而下半年回调概率极大。过去了这么多天回头一看已经反弹了不少。目前账户今年基本持平纳斯达克指数。 这次还是
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
的反弹,带动我的账户强力反弹。 去年账户我也说了,跌平纳斯达克。
$NQ100指数主连 2303(NQmain)$
这波账户持仓的
$微软(MSFT)$
反弹较少,这货还没跑赢纳斯达克这周。 持仓的
$苹果(AAPL)$
涨的也还可以。 以上基本构成我4大仓位,还有几小仓位,可乐,亚马逊,卡夫亨氏。 不过我不急相信反弹才刚刚开始,后面还有戏,慢慢再加仓。只要熬到牛市来临,大盘起飞,那母猪都能上树。去年大熊恭喜熬过来的朋友们,黎明曙光出现了,彩虹还会远吗
$老虎证券(TIGR)$
剑诀
2023-01-29
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
剑诀
2023-01-29
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@躺平躺到地狱了:1月27日(周五)NQ100复盘和下周预判
剑诀
2022-12-06
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
剑诀
2022-11-30
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
剑诀
2022-11-22
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@美股解毒师:美联储官员为何频繁“鹰”派发声?
剑诀
2022-11-11
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@别打扰我的发财梦:
$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$
我发现美股一切都是炒作 炒信息,好消息要跌 坏消息要涨 反正不按套路出牌 ,你怕什么来什么 下次反着买
剑诀
2022-11-11
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@孟德迟到了:
$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$
市场的本质特性: 就是你杠杆做多,它就会砸爆你。 你没钱加杠杆,它就疯狂拉升的一个机器。 像一头牛一样,要把任何骑它的人给甩掉。
剑诀
2022-11-08
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
抱歉,原内容已删除
剑诀
2022-10-31
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@专注的投资者: 随着11月美联储加息的逼近,11月份美股和A股注定是冰与火的月份,而且是先冰后火。 11月份加息75个基点,造成市场资金紧张,美股会有今年最后一跌,纳指可能会跌破10000点整数大关后,然后会有技术性反弹。特别是纳指的龙头科技股,除了苹果外,其他几家科技股(微软,亚马逊等)业绩都不理想,苹果也独木难支。而且美国以川普等右翼主义势力重新抬头,注定世界经济动荡 随着全国疫情严重,特别是经济发达的广东广州核心区疫情的爆发,对广东的经济会很大。疫情加上美联储加息,中国经济会更加雪上加霜,那么反应到A股上也会很大,A股也会有今年最后一跌,大概会跌到2700多点。现在市场下跌,必然造成散户心理恐慌和基金回赎潮,酒类的茅台,医药股等基金重仓高估值股,由于市场资金紧缺,估值支撑不住,会继续下跌,重新估值。 至于港股和中概股都会随美股和A股上半个月进行调整,11月下半月会迎来技术性反弹。 剧本已经写好,市场会不会按这个趋势,需要继续观察。
剑诀
2022-10-28
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@点击我就能取名哦:9月FOMC 会议总结
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3575504423431681","uuid":"3575504423431681","gmtCreate":1612410832995,"gmtModify":1612410832995,"name":"剑诀","pinyin":"jjjianjue","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":23,"tweetSize":103,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖(非转发)","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":3,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":3,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.03.16","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"80.32%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"80.44%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"北京","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":422558388699304,"gmtCreate":1744192942605,"gmtModify":1744192944752,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"学习了","listText":"学习了","text":"学习了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/422558388699304","repostId":"421988201296112","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":421988201296112,"gmtCreate":1744044863784,"gmtModify":1744891756987,"author":{"id":"3586347563730096","authorId":"3586347563730096","name":"AaronHy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45108470b279fe06f75566e2a9699141","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586347563730096","authorIdStr":"3586347563730096"},"themes":[],"title":"关税误判做多 操作做到正收益","htmlText":"一路关注我的粉丝应该清楚 我在公布关税的当晚是看多的 在叠加小米一路加仓的持仓位 到现在应该亏麻了 分享下我是如何做正的首先关税公布后中概股没怎么跌 当晚开仓阿里巴巴 put pdd put和yinn put 另外苹果 英伟达 特斯拉 纳指期权4.4号到期的call已经深度虚值 就不平了花手续费不如留个机会可以结合时间价格看当天开中概put 第二天4月4号周五yinn 阿里巴巴 pdd 分别涨了3-6倍期权 完成抢救第一步 平掉百分之70中概put(拿到现在赚飞了)获利了结 低位抄底英伟达 三倍半导体 amd 的call单 苹果200的call也没平 位置抄的比较低4.7号周一 8点美股上来血崩 果断继续加仓英伟达正股 和三倍做多半导体 英伟达86抄底566股 半导体7.16抄了3000 总共拿了8666股周一8点操作港股开盘 崩了 小米直接亏了20多万 还好之前做了卖call 和开了点期权put防守 早上看盘后判断还没跌到位 立马开腾讯 阿里 小米 put 收盘成功抢救割了一半小米仓位最后扭亏 晚上美股pdd put 还留了1w+期权 别的call因为拿的价格很低 也有盈利 一番操作 挽救百万+损失的同时 账户新高错误不可怕 怕的是不及时调整平小米不是因为他不好 是因为不想浪费时间 目前看回调到50+股价 周期至少一年以上 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$ </a> ","listText":"一路关注我的粉丝应该清楚 我在公布关税的当晚是看多的 在叠加小米一路加仓的持仓位 到现在应该亏麻了 分享下我是如何做正的首先关税公布后中概股没怎么跌 当晚开仓阿里巴巴 put pdd put和yinn put 另外苹果 英伟达 特斯拉 纳指期权4.4号到期的call已经深度虚值 就不平了花手续费不如留个机会可以结合时间价格看当天开中概put 第二天4月4号周五yinn 阿里巴巴 pdd 分别涨了3-6倍期权 完成抢救第一步 平掉百分之70中概put(拿到现在赚飞了)获利了结 低位抄底英伟达 三倍半导体 amd 的call单 苹果200的call也没平 位置抄的比较低4.7号周一 8点美股上来血崩 果断继续加仓英伟达正股 和三倍做多半导体 英伟达86抄底566股 半导体7.16抄了3000 总共拿了8666股周一8点操作港股开盘 崩了 小米直接亏了20多万 还好之前做了卖call 和开了点期权put防守 早上看盘后判断还没跌到位 立马开腾讯 阿里 小米 put 收盘成功抢救割了一半小米仓位最后扭亏 晚上美股pdd put 还留了1w+期权 别的call因为拿的价格很低 也有盈利 一番操作 挽救百万+损失的同时 账户新高错误不可怕 怕的是不及时调整平小米不是因为他不好 是因为不想浪费时间 目前看回调到50+股价 周期至少一年以上 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$ </a> ","text":"一路关注我的粉丝应该清楚 我在公布关税的当晚是看多的 在叠加小米一路加仓的持仓位 到现在应该亏麻了 分享下我是如何做正的首先关税公布后中概股没怎么跌 当晚开仓阿里巴巴 put pdd put和yinn put 另外苹果 英伟达 特斯拉 纳指期权4.4号到期的call已经深度虚值 就不平了花手续费不如留个机会可以结合时间价格看当天开中概put 第二天4月4号周五yinn 阿里巴巴 pdd 分别涨了3-6倍期权 完成抢救第一步 平掉百分之70中概put(拿到现在赚飞了)获利了结 低位抄底英伟达 三倍半导体 amd 的call单 苹果200的call也没平 位置抄的比较低4.7号周一 8点美股上来血崩 果断继续加仓英伟达正股 和三倍做多半导体 英伟达86抄底566股 半导体7.16抄了3000 总共拿了8666股周一8点操作港股开盘 崩了 小米直接亏了20多万 还好之前做了卖call 和开了点期权put防守 早上看盘后判断还没跌到位 立马开腾讯 阿里 小米 put 收盘成功抢救割了一半小米仓位最后扭亏 晚上美股pdd put 还留了1w+期权 别的call因为拿的价格很低 也有盈利 一番操作 挽救百万+损失的同时 账户新高错误不可怕 怕的是不及时调整平小米不是因为他不好 是因为不想浪费时间 目前看回调到50+股价 周期至少一年以上 $英伟达(NVDA)$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $小米集团-W(01810)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4f9b471abef1b81269da30ffa1d72e6"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ae668434713db163d59ffb214ce1f2"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b2f37604ef54e3d59c3a2116c754092"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/421988201296112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":383614865224232,"gmtCreate":1734697262410,"gmtModify":1734697264200,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383614865224232","repostId":"383566903599304","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":383566903599304,"gmtCreate":1734667385166,"gmtModify":1734743402529,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502767768442965","authorIdStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"鲍威尔放鹰给上车机会?现在是该抄底,还是逃顶?","htmlText":"鲍威尔突然放鹰,市场直接进入了“极度恐慌”的状态,有段子分析称既然特朗普要股市、经济增长,现在就先给点空间,美联储明年再“超预期”安排降息,就双赢了~[吃瓜]周四盘后Tom Lee再次喊话 Buy the dip,今年前面几次喊的都没错~ 网上有对今年美股投资机会的盘点,看下来,大方向跟的没错,肯定是能赚到钱的,其次好像不管是哪类个股,都有很好的低买高卖的机会,这个比较困难,很考验投资者们的认知。[安慰]周三VIX恐慌指数再次飙升,今年仅次于8月初大跌的那次。难道又是给低点的剧本?大家觉得这次还会是逢低加仓的时机吗?现在是该抄底,还是逃顶?[思考]评论区分享你的观点或接下来的操作策略,一起赢取1000虎币奖励!🎁🎁 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a>","listText":"鲍威尔突然放鹰,市场直接进入了“极度恐慌”的状态,有段子分析称既然特朗普要股市、经济增长,现在就先给点空间,美联储明年再“超预期”安排降息,就双赢了~[吃瓜]周四盘后Tom Lee再次喊话 Buy the dip,今年前面几次喊的都没错~ 网上有对今年美股投资机会的盘点,看下来,大方向跟的没错,肯定是能赚到钱的,其次好像不管是哪类个股,都有很好的低买高卖的机会,这个比较困难,很考验投资者们的认知。[安慰]周三VIX恐慌指数再次飙升,今年仅次于8月初大跌的那次。难道又是给低点的剧本?大家觉得这次还会是逢低加仓的时机吗?现在是该抄底,还是逃顶?[思考]评论区分享你的观点或接下来的操作策略,一起赢取1000虎币奖励!🎁🎁 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a>","text":"鲍威尔突然放鹰,市场直接进入了“极度恐慌”的状态,有段子分析称既然特朗普要股市、经济增长,现在就先给点空间,美联储明年再“超预期”安排降息,就双赢了~[吃瓜]周四盘后Tom Lee再次喊话 Buy the dip,今年前面几次喊的都没错~ 网上有对今年美股投资机会的盘点,看下来,大方向跟的没错,肯定是能赚到钱的,其次好像不管是哪类个股,都有很好的低买高卖的机会,这个比较困难,很考验投资者们的认知。[安慰]周三VIX恐慌指数再次飙升,今年仅次于8月初大跌的那次。难道又是给低点的剧本?大家觉得这次还会是逢低加仓的时机吗?现在是该抄底,还是逃顶?[思考]评论区分享你的观点或接下来的操作策略,一起赢取1000虎币奖励!🎁🎁 $英伟达(NVDA)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ $标普500(.SPX)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a569f38bbcbe04d6177cd49a0ddb919","width":"1179","height":"1094"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8b791fe9caa4eccc1b7f82cbf480535","width":"1290","height":"2254"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0cba21d63b51389b3c33e50b6db294d","width":"1384","height":"589"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383566903599304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":283485102493960,"gmtCreate":1710249173889,"gmtModify":1710249175499,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/283485102493960","repostId":"2418010351","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":276596646396008,"gmtCreate":1708556862053,"gmtModify":1708556864397,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71d95bcc9c4567a165b24ede81435c3","width":"1080","height":"2633"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/276596646396008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":274652773687504,"gmtCreate":1708091663216,"gmtModify":1708091664687,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/274652773687504","repostId":"1178012146","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":656975707,"gmtCreate":1683328432809,"gmtModify":1683328434184,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/656975707","repostId":"656951590","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":656951590,"gmtCreate":1683294573610,"gmtModify":1683294576001,"author":{"id":"3538087091501291","authorId":"3538087091501291","name":"小镇做T家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef0ee32208f951b13f627ec6aa4ea3c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3538087091501291","authorIdStr":"3538087091501291"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"今晚(或下周一)的纳指,将是未来一个月纳指的最高点,短期内追高的风险很大,不要被部分个股的急拉而冲昏头脑,盲目冲进去成为接盘侠,一定要冷静!因为美股在整个二季度的流动性层面都是非常不利的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQQQ\">$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ </a>","listText":"今晚(或下周一)的纳指,将是未来一个月纳指的最高点,短期内追高的风险很大,不要被部分个股的急拉而冲昏头脑,盲目冲进去成为接盘侠,一定要冷静!因为美股在整个二季度的流动性层面都是非常不利的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQQQ\">$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ </a>","text":"今晚(或下周一)的纳指,将是未来一个月纳指的最高点,短期内追高的风险很大,不要被部分个股的急拉而冲昏头脑,盲目冲进去成为接盘侠,一定要冷静!因为美股在整个二季度的流动性层面都是非常不利的。$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f1f464535665e90c3b1668e845d2a7e","width":"1152","height":"1512"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/656951590","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650931481,"gmtCreate":1678806118443,"gmtModify":1678806120129,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650931481","repostId":"650999869","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":650999869,"gmtCreate":1678801190452,"gmtModify":1678803038111,"author":{"id":"3571026833038682","authorId":"3571026833038682","name":"思辨财经","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d4903b31d0aa5c76f99c3e1519f081","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571026833038682","authorIdStr":"3571026833038682"},"themes":[],"title":"硅谷银行事件:美联储转鸽 流动性拐点提前","htmlText":"图片 硅谷银行成为近期美国乃至全球金融资本市场的焦点,自事件爆发之后,围绕是否会发生系统风险,美国是否会衰退的讨论充斥着舆论场。撰稿之时美联储和美国财政部已经开展了针对性的救市政策,如: 如FDIC(联邦存款保险公司)迅速接手硅谷银行,承诺对储户兑付(超过25万美元上限),又如将美国财政部外汇稳定基金中提供规模最高达250亿美元的资金作为支持,其后亦有声音传出美联储讨论放宽贴现窗口规定为银行注入流动性(银行可以已经大幅贬值的资产抵押)。 在刚性兑付和流动性等方面下手,提高全美银行系统的稳定性,避免挤兑行为,这些也是非常及时和到位的。 关于整个危机的起源,发展已经走向已有无数媒体跟踪,我们本文不再赘述,而是将讨论集中在: 其一,此次事件会大幅改变美联储的加息轨迹,3月最多加息25个基点,甚至停止加息; 其二,金融市场流动性拐点因此事件大幅提前。 给美联储转鸽台阶 根据相关信息披露,我们可以大概知道硅谷银行此次危机的主要脉络: 1.疫情后美联储大放水,市场流动性极为充裕,科技类创业公司融资便利程度提高,行业主要存款机构硅谷银行存款暴涨; 2.企业存款在银行资产负债为负债,资产方企业大量配置了债券(以如美国国债为主); 3.在美联储强势加息下,债券票面价值迅速缩水,其后硅谷银行欲出售债券融资又引发了市场恐慌,挤兑发生,危机爆发; 4.此次乃非2008年信用危机下的大地震,且其手中的国债只是账面价值缩水,与次贷危机下垃圾债清零是完全不同的。 回顾之后,就很容易得到此次危机的主要矛盾:加息政策下对债券账面价格的影响。该观点许多文章对此都有涉及,但很多缺乏量化手段。 假设硅谷银行持有的都是10年期美国国债,票息率为1.5%,当贴现率上升(主要参照十年美债收益率),其账面价值会发生如下变化: 图片 在上图中我们可以比较清晰看到美联储加息对债券价格的影响,美十年国债收益率从1.5%涨到4%","listText":"图片 硅谷银行成为近期美国乃至全球金融资本市场的焦点,自事件爆发之后,围绕是否会发生系统风险,美国是否会衰退的讨论充斥着舆论场。撰稿之时美联储和美国财政部已经开展了针对性的救市政策,如: 如FDIC(联邦存款保险公司)迅速接手硅谷银行,承诺对储户兑付(超过25万美元上限),又如将美国财政部外汇稳定基金中提供规模最高达250亿美元的资金作为支持,其后亦有声音传出美联储讨论放宽贴现窗口规定为银行注入流动性(银行可以已经大幅贬值的资产抵押)。 在刚性兑付和流动性等方面下手,提高全美银行系统的稳定性,避免挤兑行为,这些也是非常及时和到位的。 关于整个危机的起源,发展已经走向已有无数媒体跟踪,我们本文不再赘述,而是将讨论集中在: 其一,此次事件会大幅改变美联储的加息轨迹,3月最多加息25个基点,甚至停止加息; 其二,金融市场流动性拐点因此事件大幅提前。 给美联储转鸽台阶 根据相关信息披露,我们可以大概知道硅谷银行此次危机的主要脉络: 1.疫情后美联储大放水,市场流动性极为充裕,科技类创业公司融资便利程度提高,行业主要存款机构硅谷银行存款暴涨; 2.企业存款在银行资产负债为负债,资产方企业大量配置了债券(以如美国国债为主); 3.在美联储强势加息下,债券票面价值迅速缩水,其后硅谷银行欲出售债券融资又引发了市场恐慌,挤兑发生,危机爆发; 4.此次乃非2008年信用危机下的大地震,且其手中的国债只是账面价值缩水,与次贷危机下垃圾债清零是完全不同的。 回顾之后,就很容易得到此次危机的主要矛盾:加息政策下对债券账面价格的影响。该观点许多文章对此都有涉及,但很多缺乏量化手段。 假设硅谷银行持有的都是10年期美国国债,票息率为1.5%,当贴现率上升(主要参照十年美债收益率),其账面价值会发生如下变化: 图片 在上图中我们可以比较清晰看到美联储加息对债券价格的影响,美十年国债收益率从1.5%涨到4%","text":"图片 硅谷银行成为近期美国乃至全球金融资本市场的焦点,自事件爆发之后,围绕是否会发生系统风险,美国是否会衰退的讨论充斥着舆论场。撰稿之时美联储和美国财政部已经开展了针对性的救市政策,如: 如FDIC(联邦存款保险公司)迅速接手硅谷银行,承诺对储户兑付(超过25万美元上限),又如将美国财政部外汇稳定基金中提供规模最高达250亿美元的资金作为支持,其后亦有声音传出美联储讨论放宽贴现窗口规定为银行注入流动性(银行可以已经大幅贬值的资产抵押)。 在刚性兑付和流动性等方面下手,提高全美银行系统的稳定性,避免挤兑行为,这些也是非常及时和到位的。 关于整个危机的起源,发展已经走向已有无数媒体跟踪,我们本文不再赘述,而是将讨论集中在: 其一,此次事件会大幅改变美联储的加息轨迹,3月最多加息25个基点,甚至停止加息; 其二,金融市场流动性拐点因此事件大幅提前。 给美联储转鸽台阶 根据相关信息披露,我们可以大概知道硅谷银行此次危机的主要脉络: 1.疫情后美联储大放水,市场流动性极为充裕,科技类创业公司融资便利程度提高,行业主要存款机构硅谷银行存款暴涨; 2.企业存款在银行资产负债为负债,资产方企业大量配置了债券(以如美国国债为主); 3.在美联储强势加息下,债券票面价值迅速缩水,其后硅谷银行欲出售债券融资又引发了市场恐慌,挤兑发生,危机爆发; 4.此次乃非2008年信用危机下的大地震,且其手中的国债只是账面价值缩水,与次贷危机下垃圾债清零是完全不同的。 回顾之后,就很容易得到此次危机的主要矛盾:加息政策下对债券账面价格的影响。该观点许多文章对此都有涉及,但很多缺乏量化手段。 假设硅谷银行持有的都是10年期美国国债,票息率为1.5%,当贴现率上升(主要参照十年美债收益率),其账面价值会发生如下变化: 图片 在上图中我们可以比较清晰看到美联储加息对债券价格的影响,美十年国债收益率从1.5%涨到4%","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee3479996d400a41aec079f31712541c","width":"1080","height":"607"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3672a4b3f0384e2b3a1ee81dfb583d03","width":"830","height":"656"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2df82b6162cdf3da41cbae6f3c9f48a4","width":"830","height":"664"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650999869","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650994710,"gmtCreate":1678804384630,"gmtModify":1678804386147,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650994710","repostId":"650054563","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":622016897,"gmtCreate":1675040363219,"gmtModify":1675040365248,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622016897","repostId":"622003557","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":622003557,"gmtCreate":1674968889579,"gmtModify":1674968912069,"author":{"id":"3546661330578669","authorId":"3546661330578669","name":"多头队长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b3bdd7aead1b29b666c9a48d0d070c4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546661330578669","authorIdStr":"3546661330578669"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一切和我判断的一样,纳斯达克开始了上涨。 上一篇我就发帖说经过我的判断,美股上半年上涨概率极大,而下半年回调概率极大。过去了这么多天回头一看已经反弹了不少。目前账户今年基本持平纳斯达克指数。 这次还是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>的反弹,带动我的账户强力反弹。 去年账户我也说了,跌平纳斯达克。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2303(NQmain)$ </a> 这波账户持仓的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$ </a>反弹较少,这货还没跑赢纳斯达克这周。 持仓的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a>涨的也还可以。 以上基本构成我4大仓位,还有几小仓位,可乐,亚马逊,卡夫亨氏。 不过我不急相信反弹才刚刚开始,后面还有戏,慢慢再加仓。只要熬到牛市来临,大盘起飞,那母猪都能上树。去年大熊恭喜熬过来的朋友们,黎明曙光出现了,彩虹还会远吗<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ </a>","listText":"一切和我判断的一样,纳斯达克开始了上涨。 上一篇我就发帖说经过我的判断,美股上半年上涨概率极大,而下半年回调概率极大。过去了这么多天回头一看已经反弹了不少。目前账户今年基本持平纳斯达克指数。 这次还是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>的反弹,带动我的账户强力反弹。 去年账户我也说了,跌平纳斯达克。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2303(NQmain)$ </a> 这波账户持仓的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$ </a>反弹较少,这货还没跑赢纳斯达克这周。 持仓的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a>涨的也还可以。 以上基本构成我4大仓位,还有几小仓位,可乐,亚马逊,卡夫亨氏。 不过我不急相信反弹才刚刚开始,后面还有戏,慢慢再加仓。只要熬到牛市来临,大盘起飞,那母猪都能上树。去年大熊恭喜熬过来的朋友们,黎明曙光出现了,彩虹还会远吗<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ </a>","text":"一切和我判断的一样,纳斯达克开始了上涨。 上一篇我就发帖说经过我的判断,美股上半年上涨概率极大,而下半年回调概率极大。过去了这么多天回头一看已经反弹了不少。目前账户今年基本持平纳斯达克指数。 这次还是$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 的反弹,带动我的账户强力反弹。 去年账户我也说了,跌平纳斯达克。 $NQ100指数主连 2303(NQmain)$ 这波账户持仓的$微软(MSFT)$ 反弹较少,这货还没跑赢纳斯达克这周。 持仓的$苹果(AAPL)$ 涨的也还可以。 以上基本构成我4大仓位,还有几小仓位,可乐,亚马逊,卡夫亨氏。 不过我不急相信反弹才刚刚开始,后面还有戏,慢慢再加仓。只要熬到牛市来临,大盘起飞,那母猪都能上树。去年大熊恭喜熬过来的朋友们,黎明曙光出现了,彩虹还会远吗$老虎证券(TIGR)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21710b38349544950c2e3abe903abca4","width":"1440","height":"3040"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622003557","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1493,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626746832,"gmtCreate":1674938504027,"gmtModify":1674938506001,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626746832","repostId":"2306280135","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626748777,"gmtCreate":1674938063399,"gmtModify":1674938065297,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626748777","repostId":"626724417","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":626724417,"gmtCreate":1674899573340,"gmtModify":1674900669135,"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"themes":[],"title":"1月27日(周五)NQ100复盘和下周预判","htmlText":"下周走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),预计沿5日均线振荡攀升,日内调整都是入场好机会:压力位55周均线12583(2.96%);支撑位10日均11784点。 下周一走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),压力位前高12339点(0.96%);支撑位60分钟20时均12104点,强支撑位5日均12014点。 一、昨日预判及评价(附图) 预判评价:符合预期(20均发散向上,日线20均上,多头趋势;股指调整到5时、10时、20时均粘合,20时均附近低吸是买入点,首时大阳5时10时20时向上发散,是确认加仓点。下午14点或15点是卖出点。本波出再两次。日线上看是靠5日均进。)。预判压力位前高12339(1.86%)----实盘最高12308.5点,基本准确。预判支撑位5日均11975点,强支撑位10均线11766点---实盘最低12016点,符合预期,指数在5日均处调整到位上攻。 二、对本周预判及评价(附图)下周走势预判: 预判评价:符合预期,基本正确。预判压力位120均线11805点,强压力位2022年12月13日高点12339点(6.17%)----实盘最高12308.5点,相当准确。预判支撑位55日均线11430点,强支撑位20日均线11300点附近-----实盘最低11604.5点,符合预期。总之:上周实盘总体上在预期范围之内,比预期强一个身位。 对上周总的感觉是:大盘一改弱势阴霾,不再犹豫进二退一甚至退二。走势稳健强势,45度角上攻,阳多阴少,阳大阴小,成交活跃有所放大,逼空态势,下周继续看涨。 三、NQ100期指复盘(附60分钟走势图)(60分20均线是指数强弱的重要分水岭,是个人短期常用的进场出场点) 昨日分时走势:美东时间1月26日18:00NQ100期货开盘后略弱于上一个交易日开盘走势。强势小幅下","listText":"下周走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),预计沿5日均线振荡攀升,日内调整都是入场好机会:压力位55周均线12583(2.96%);支撑位10日均11784点。 下周一走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),压力位前高12339点(0.96%);支撑位60分钟20时均12104点,强支撑位5日均12014点。 一、昨日预判及评价(附图) 预判评价:符合预期(20均发散向上,日线20均上,多头趋势;股指调整到5时、10时、20时均粘合,20时均附近低吸是买入点,首时大阳5时10时20时向上发散,是确认加仓点。下午14点或15点是卖出点。本波出再两次。日线上看是靠5日均进。)。预判压力位前高12339(1.86%)----实盘最高12308.5点,基本准确。预判支撑位5日均11975点,强支撑位10均线11766点---实盘最低12016点,符合预期,指数在5日均处调整到位上攻。 二、对本周预判及评价(附图)下周走势预判: 预判评价:符合预期,基本正确。预判压力位120均线11805点,强压力位2022年12月13日高点12339点(6.17%)----实盘最高12308.5点,相当准确。预判支撑位55日均线11430点,强支撑位20日均线11300点附近-----实盘最低11604.5点,符合预期。总之:上周实盘总体上在预期范围之内,比预期强一个身位。 对上周总的感觉是:大盘一改弱势阴霾,不再犹豫进二退一甚至退二。走势稳健强势,45度角上攻,阳多阴少,阳大阴小,成交活跃有所放大,逼空态势,下周继续看涨。 三、NQ100期指复盘(附60分钟走势图)(60分20均线是指数强弱的重要分水岭,是个人短期常用的进场出场点) 昨日分时走势:美东时间1月26日18:00NQ100期货开盘后略弱于上一个交易日开盘走势。强势小幅下","text":"下周走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),预计沿5日均线振荡攀升,日内调整都是入场好机会:压力位55周均线12583(2.96%);支撑位10日均11784点。 下周一走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),压力位前高12339点(0.96%);支撑位60分钟20时均12104点,强支撑位5日均12014点。 一、昨日预判及评价(附图) 预判评价:符合预期(20均发散向上,日线20均上,多头趋势;股指调整到5时、10时、20时均粘合,20时均附近低吸是买入点,首时大阳5时10时20时向上发散,是确认加仓点。下午14点或15点是卖出点。本波出再两次。日线上看是靠5日均进。)。预判压力位前高12339(1.86%)----实盘最高12308.5点,基本准确。预判支撑位5日均11975点,强支撑位10均线11766点---实盘最低12016点,符合预期,指数在5日均处调整到位上攻。 二、对本周预判及评价(附图)下周走势预判: 预判评价:符合预期,基本正确。预判压力位120均线11805点,强压力位2022年12月13日高点12339点(6.17%)----实盘最高12308.5点,相当准确。预判支撑位55日均线11430点,强支撑位20日均线11300点附近-----实盘最低11604.5点,符合预期。总之:上周实盘总体上在预期范围之内,比预期强一个身位。 对上周总的感觉是:大盘一改弱势阴霾,不再犹豫进二退一甚至退二。走势稳健强势,45度角上攻,阳多阴少,阳大阴小,成交活跃有所放大,逼空态势,下周继续看涨。 三、NQ100期指复盘(附60分钟走势图)(60分20均线是指数强弱的重要分水岭,是个人短期常用的进场出场点) 昨日分时走势:美东时间1月26日18:00NQ100期货开盘后略弱于上一个交易日开盘走势。强势小幅下","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/563be5610e2a2937d7dd8fa42c65959a","width":"632","height":"292"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a7f09b9bd5f1e0fce478d9e27a4f22e","width":"632","height":"292"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b68c64ec12d89941ccbe3a80371c29b8","width":"632","height":"881"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626724417","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":629368983,"gmtCreate":1670286161342,"gmtModify":1670286162860,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/629368983","repostId":"1144881783","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":620506433,"gmtCreate":1669816740122,"gmtModify":1669816741807,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/620506433","repostId":"1169759449","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":667422507,"gmtCreate":1669098480809,"gmtModify":1669098482426,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/667422507","repostId":"667566461","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":667566461,"gmtCreate":1669018601054,"gmtModify":1744960863398,"author":{"id":"3440721572920950","authorId":"3440721572920950","name":"美股解毒师","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbf0f514b8e5abb92266789b89f6e1e6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3440721572920950","authorIdStr":"3440721572920950"},"themes":[],"title":"美联储官员为何频繁“鹰”派发声?","htmlText":"中期选举截止至11月20日,美国中期选举的虽然没有完全计票结束,但是结果已经确定:共和党以219:212时隔四年重新掌控众议院(高于218票),而民主党则继续锁定参议院(50个席位、加上副总统1票)。分裂国会的局面正式形成。虽然赢下众议院,但共和党没有出现“红色浪潮”(Red Wave),比市场预期更弱一些,原因可能有很多种:包括此前民调的误差、邮寄选票的影响。但结果已经如此,即在国会难以形成绝对主导。而民主党方面,很明显由于此前的疫情影响,加上选举前的高通胀压力,不仅丢掉众议院,而且拜登总统持续支持率较低。这样的结局,在经济上会有什么直接后果呢?显然,共和党在财政政策更有话语权(美国宪法规定,所有税收相关法案、拨款法案或授权开支联邦资金均应由众议院提议,而参议院无权提案)。因此美国国债的债务上限的风险也在加大,政府停摆的可能性再次增大。至当前,美国公共债务规模达到了31.3万亿美元,逼近31.4万亿美元法定债务上限。可能受影响的政府开支案包括: 2021年3月的1.9万亿美元财政刺激法案 2021年11月的5500 亿美元基建法案 还未通过的1.75万亿美元“重建美好未来法案”(Build Back Better) 2022 年8月通过的芯片与科学法案(Chips and Science Act) 通胀削减法案(Inflation Reduction Act of 2022) 暂时被阻止的生贷款削减计划(Student Debt Relief Plan)。 受影响的行业从制造业、金融科技,到非必须消费品行业。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIA\">$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">$卡特彼勒(CAT)$</a>","listText":"中期选举截止至11月20日,美国中期选举的虽然没有完全计票结束,但是结果已经确定:共和党以219:212时隔四年重新掌控众议院(高于218票),而民主党则继续锁定参议院(50个席位、加上副总统1票)。分裂国会的局面正式形成。虽然赢下众议院,但共和党没有出现“红色浪潮”(Red Wave),比市场预期更弱一些,原因可能有很多种:包括此前民调的误差、邮寄选票的影响。但结果已经如此,即在国会难以形成绝对主导。而民主党方面,很明显由于此前的疫情影响,加上选举前的高通胀压力,不仅丢掉众议院,而且拜登总统持续支持率较低。这样的结局,在经济上会有什么直接后果呢?显然,共和党在财政政策更有话语权(美国宪法规定,所有税收相关法案、拨款法案或授权开支联邦资金均应由众议院提议,而参议院无权提案)。因此美国国债的债务上限的风险也在加大,政府停摆的可能性再次增大。至当前,美国公共债务规模达到了31.3万亿美元,逼近31.4万亿美元法定债务上限。可能受影响的政府开支案包括: 2021年3月的1.9万亿美元财政刺激法案 2021年11月的5500 亿美元基建法案 还未通过的1.75万亿美元“重建美好未来法案”(Build Back Better) 2022 年8月通过的芯片与科学法案(Chips and Science Act) 通胀削减法案(Inflation Reduction Act of 2022) 暂时被阻止的生贷款削减计划(Student Debt Relief Plan)。 受影响的行业从制造业、金融科技,到非必须消费品行业。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIA\">$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">$卡特彼勒(CAT)$</a>","text":"中期选举截止至11月20日,美国中期选举的虽然没有完全计票结束,但是结果已经确定:共和党以219:212时隔四年重新掌控众议院(高于218票),而民主党则继续锁定参议院(50个席位、加上副总统1票)。分裂国会的局面正式形成。虽然赢下众议院,但共和党没有出现“红色浪潮”(Red Wave),比市场预期更弱一些,原因可能有很多种:包括此前民调的误差、邮寄选票的影响。但结果已经如此,即在国会难以形成绝对主导。而民主党方面,很明显由于此前的疫情影响,加上选举前的高通胀压力,不仅丢掉众议院,而且拜登总统持续支持率较低。这样的结局,在经济上会有什么直接后果呢?显然,共和党在财政政策更有话语权(美国宪法规定,所有税收相关法案、拨款法案或授权开支联邦资金均应由众议院提议,而参议院无权提案)。因此美国国债的债务上限的风险也在加大,政府停摆的可能性再次增大。至当前,美国公共债务规模达到了31.3万亿美元,逼近31.4万亿美元法定债务上限。可能受影响的政府开支案包括: 2021年3月的1.9万亿美元财政刺激法案 2021年11月的5500 亿美元基建法案 还未通过的1.75万亿美元“重建美好未来法案”(Build Back Better) 2022 年8月通过的芯片与科学法案(Chips and Science Act) 通胀削减法案(Inflation Reduction Act of 2022) 暂时被阻止的生贷款削减计划(Student Debt Relief Plan)。 受影响的行业从制造业、金融科技,到非必须消费品行业。$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$ $卡特彼勒(CAT)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21f087ae85c3fd555fc2fc3131923e9e","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53a001a7b79d68206f1e7166e2831955","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80dd824b5cc6acce59aa5a99c7240fd3","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/667566461","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":664411994,"gmtCreate":1668170868518,"gmtModify":1668170870999,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664411994","repostId":"664040140","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":664040140,"gmtCreate":1667577355381,"gmtModify":1667577356649,"author":{"id":"3485835206376479","authorId":"3485835206376479","name":"别打扰我的发财梦","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/535b3fff1e8e2a0a29332e27783b30bb","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3485835206376479","authorIdStr":"3485835206376479"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>我发现美股一切都是炒作 炒信息,好消息要跌 坏消息要涨 反正不按套路出牌 ,你怕什么来什么 下次反着买","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>我发现美股一切都是炒作 炒信息,好消息要跌 坏消息要涨 反正不按套路出牌 ,你怕什么来什么 下次反着买","text":"$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$我发现美股一切都是炒作 炒信息,好消息要跌 坏消息要涨 反正不按套路出牌 ,你怕什么来什么 下次反着买","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664040140","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":664419033,"gmtCreate":1668169820723,"gmtModify":1668169823385,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664419033","repostId":"664521967","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":664521967,"gmtCreate":1668137979059,"gmtModify":1668137980185,"author":{"id":"148326979664115","authorId":"148326979664115","name":"孟德迟到了","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e8ab403d5b62cc9c5c6701cee1273d05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"148326979664115","authorIdStr":"148326979664115"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ </a> 市场的本质特性: 就是你杠杆做多,它就会砸爆你。 你没钱加杠杆,它就疯狂拉升的一个机器。 像一头牛一样,要把任何骑它的人给甩掉。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ </a> 市场的本质特性: 就是你杠杆做多,它就会砸爆你。 你没钱加杠杆,它就疯狂拉升的一个机器。 像一头牛一样,要把任何骑它的人给甩掉。","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ 市场的本质特性: 就是你杠杆做多,它就会砸爆你。 你没钱加杠杆,它就疯狂拉升的一个机器。 像一头牛一样,要把任何骑它的人给甩掉。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664521967","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":664807063,"gmtCreate":1667902837452,"gmtModify":1667902839943,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664807063","repostId":"1162565679","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665812681,"gmtCreate":1667190713944,"gmtModify":1667190716530,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665812681","repostId":"665160655","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":665160655,"gmtCreate":1667055082677,"gmtModify":1667095479266,"author":{"id":"3522994245105188","authorId":"3522994245105188","name":"专注的投资者","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87dfad76100f77d00b16fd822ca41ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3522994245105188","authorIdStr":"3522994245105188"},"themes":[],"htmlText":" 随着11月美联储加息的逼近,11月份美股和A股注定是冰与火的月份,而且是先冰后火。 11月份加息75个基点,造成市场资金紧张,美股会有今年最后一跌,纳指可能会跌破10000点整数大关后,然后会有技术性反弹。特别是纳指的龙头科技股,除了苹果外,其他几家科技股(微软,亚马逊等)业绩都不理想,苹果也独木难支。而且美国以川普等右翼主义势力重新抬头,注定世界经济动荡 随着全国疫情严重,特别是经济发达的广东广州核心区疫情的爆发,对广东的经济会很大。疫情加上美联储加息,中国经济会更加雪上加霜,那么反应到A股上也会很大,A股也会有今年最后一跌,大概会跌到2700多点。现在市场下跌,必然造成散户心理恐慌和基金回赎潮,酒类的茅台,医药股等基金重仓高估值股,由于市场资金紧缺,估值支撑不住,会继续下跌,重新估值。 至于港股和中概股都会随美股和A股上半个月进行调整,11月下半月会迎来技术性反弹。 剧本已经写好,市场会不会按这个趋势,需要继续观察。 ","listText":" 随着11月美联储加息的逼近,11月份美股和A股注定是冰与火的月份,而且是先冰后火。 11月份加息75个基点,造成市场资金紧张,美股会有今年最后一跌,纳指可能会跌破10000点整数大关后,然后会有技术性反弹。特别是纳指的龙头科技股,除了苹果外,其他几家科技股(微软,亚马逊等)业绩都不理想,苹果也独木难支。而且美国以川普等右翼主义势力重新抬头,注定世界经济动荡 随着全国疫情严重,特别是经济发达的广东广州核心区疫情的爆发,对广东的经济会很大。疫情加上美联储加息,中国经济会更加雪上加霜,那么反应到A股上也会很大,A股也会有今年最后一跌,大概会跌到2700多点。现在市场下跌,必然造成散户心理恐慌和基金回赎潮,酒类的茅台,医药股等基金重仓高估值股,由于市场资金紧缺,估值支撑不住,会继续下跌,重新估值。 至于港股和中概股都会随美股和A股上半个月进行调整,11月下半月会迎来技术性反弹。 剧本已经写好,市场会不会按这个趋势,需要继续观察。 ","text":"随着11月美联储加息的逼近,11月份美股和A股注定是冰与火的月份,而且是先冰后火。 11月份加息75个基点,造成市场资金紧张,美股会有今年最后一跌,纳指可能会跌破10000点整数大关后,然后会有技术性反弹。特别是纳指的龙头科技股,除了苹果外,其他几家科技股(微软,亚马逊等)业绩都不理想,苹果也独木难支。而且美国以川普等右翼主义势力重新抬头,注定世界经济动荡 随着全国疫情严重,特别是经济发达的广东广州核心区疫情的爆发,对广东的经济会很大。疫情加上美联储加息,中国经济会更加雪上加霜,那么反应到A股上也会很大,A股也会有今年最后一跌,大概会跌到2700多点。现在市场下跌,必然造成散户心理恐慌和基金回赎潮,酒类的茅台,医药股等基金重仓高估值股,由于市场资金紧缺,估值支撑不住,会继续下跌,重新估值。 至于港股和中概股都会随美股和A股上半个月进行调整,11月下半月会迎来技术性反弹。 剧本已经写好,市场会不会按这个趋势,需要继续观察。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74f4e5b3b12d39af571305701f8e522e","width":"1005","height":"1337"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665160655","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665102938,"gmtCreate":1666974190525,"gmtModify":1666974392129,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>: 一切按计划加仓指数,昨天纳指盘后加的仓位已成交,持仓盈利中,目标13200 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>// <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>大概率也要爆雷,明天低位适当开仓,fomc宣布当天下跌再加 ,10750附近止损 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a>// <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>:从时间周期看,如果这周没有大幅下跌 稳在10500附近,那今年不会走完5浪了,五浪时间延到明年2-3月。接下来策略调整,本周逢低出做空头寸,逐步买入直到10月底。反弹时间,11月cpi应该利好,12月加50基点再利好,能坚持到12月底。明年1月财报是偏空的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>: 一切按计划加仓指数,昨天纳指盘后加的仓位已成交,持仓盈利中,目标13200 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>// <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>大概率也要爆雷,明天低位适当开仓,fomc宣布当天下跌再加 ,10750附近止损 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a>// <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>:从时间周期看,如果这周没有大幅下跌 稳在10500附近,那今年不会走完5浪了,五浪时间延到明年2-3月。接下来策略调整,本周逢低出做空头寸,逐步买入直到10月底。反弹时间,11月cpi应该利好,12月加50基点再利好,能坚持到12月底。明年1月财报是偏空的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","text":"//@点击我就能取名哦: 一切按计划加仓指数,昨天纳指盘后加的仓位已成交,持仓盈利中,目标13200 $NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$// @点击我就能取名哦: $苹果(AAPL)$大概率也要爆雷,明天低位适当开仓,fomc宣布当天下跌再加 ,10750附近止损 $NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$// @点击我就能取名哦:从时间周期看,如果这周没有大幅下跌 稳在10500附近,那今年不会走完5浪了,五浪时间延到明年2-3月。接下来策略调整,本周逢低出做空头寸,逐步买入直到10月底。反弹时间,11月cpi应该利好,12月加50基点再利好,能坚持到12月底。明年1月财报是偏空的 $NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665102938","repostId":"661155522","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":661155522,"gmtCreate":1663790701467,"gmtModify":1663794395212,"author":{"id":"3485826448607678","authorId":"3485826448607678","name":"点击我就能取名哦","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43d5820da07400e52d46b96412233177","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3485826448607678","authorIdStr":"3485826448607678"},"themes":[],"title":"9月FOMC 会议总结","htmlText":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ","listText":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ","text":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 $NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/661155522","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665379227,"gmtCreate":1666966754669,"gmtModify":1666966757520,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665379227","repostId":"661155522","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":661155522,"gmtCreate":1663790701467,"gmtModify":1663794395212,"author":{"id":"3485826448607678","authorId":"3485826448607678","name":"点击我就能取名哦","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43d5820da07400e52d46b96412233177","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3485826448607678","authorIdStr":"3485826448607678"},"themes":[],"title":"9月FOMC 会议总结","htmlText":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ","listText":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ","text":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 $NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/661155522","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":422558388699304,"gmtCreate":1744192942605,"gmtModify":1744192944752,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"学习了","listText":"学习了","text":"学习了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/422558388699304","repostId":"421988201296112","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":421988201296112,"gmtCreate":1744044863784,"gmtModify":1744891756987,"author":{"id":"3586347563730096","authorId":"3586347563730096","name":"AaronHy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45108470b279fe06f75566e2a9699141","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586347563730096","authorIdStr":"3586347563730096"},"themes":[],"title":"关税误判做多 操作做到正收益","htmlText":"一路关注我的粉丝应该清楚 我在公布关税的当晚是看多的 在叠加小米一路加仓的持仓位 到现在应该亏麻了 分享下我是如何做正的首先关税公布后中概股没怎么跌 当晚开仓阿里巴巴 put pdd put和yinn put 另外苹果 英伟达 特斯拉 纳指期权4.4号到期的call已经深度虚值 就不平了花手续费不如留个机会可以结合时间价格看当天开中概put 第二天4月4号周五yinn 阿里巴巴 pdd 分别涨了3-6倍期权 完成抢救第一步 平掉百分之70中概put(拿到现在赚飞了)获利了结 低位抄底英伟达 三倍半导体 amd 的call单 苹果200的call也没平 位置抄的比较低4.7号周一 8点美股上来血崩 果断继续加仓英伟达正股 和三倍做多半导体 英伟达86抄底566股 半导体7.16抄了3000 总共拿了8666股周一8点操作港股开盘 崩了 小米直接亏了20多万 还好之前做了卖call 和开了点期权put防守 早上看盘后判断还没跌到位 立马开腾讯 阿里 小米 put 收盘成功抢救割了一半小米仓位最后扭亏 晚上美股pdd put 还留了1w+期权 别的call因为拿的价格很低 也有盈利 一番操作 挽救百万+损失的同时 账户新高错误不可怕 怕的是不及时调整平小米不是因为他不好 是因为不想浪费时间 目前看回调到50+股价 周期至少一年以上 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$ </a> ","listText":"一路关注我的粉丝应该清楚 我在公布关税的当晚是看多的 在叠加小米一路加仓的持仓位 到现在应该亏麻了 分享下我是如何做正的首先关税公布后中概股没怎么跌 当晚开仓阿里巴巴 put pdd put和yinn put 另外苹果 英伟达 特斯拉 纳指期权4.4号到期的call已经深度虚值 就不平了花手续费不如留个机会可以结合时间价格看当天开中概put 第二天4月4号周五yinn 阿里巴巴 pdd 分别涨了3-6倍期权 完成抢救第一步 平掉百分之70中概put(拿到现在赚飞了)获利了结 低位抄底英伟达 三倍半导体 amd 的call单 苹果200的call也没平 位置抄的比较低4.7号周一 8点美股上来血崩 果断继续加仓英伟达正股 和三倍做多半导体 英伟达86抄底566股 半导体7.16抄了3000 总共拿了8666股周一8点操作港股开盘 崩了 小米直接亏了20多万 还好之前做了卖call 和开了点期权put防守 早上看盘后判断还没跌到位 立马开腾讯 阿里 小米 put 收盘成功抢救割了一半小米仓位最后扭亏 晚上美股pdd put 还留了1w+期权 别的call因为拿的价格很低 也有盈利 一番操作 挽救百万+损失的同时 账户新高错误不可怕 怕的是不及时调整平小米不是因为他不好 是因为不想浪费时间 目前看回调到50+股价 周期至少一年以上 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$ </a> ","text":"一路关注我的粉丝应该清楚 我在公布关税的当晚是看多的 在叠加小米一路加仓的持仓位 到现在应该亏麻了 分享下我是如何做正的首先关税公布后中概股没怎么跌 当晚开仓阿里巴巴 put pdd put和yinn put 另外苹果 英伟达 特斯拉 纳指期权4.4号到期的call已经深度虚值 就不平了花手续费不如留个机会可以结合时间价格看当天开中概put 第二天4月4号周五yinn 阿里巴巴 pdd 分别涨了3-6倍期权 完成抢救第一步 平掉百分之70中概put(拿到现在赚飞了)获利了结 低位抄底英伟达 三倍半导体 amd 的call单 苹果200的call也没平 位置抄的比较低4.7号周一 8点美股上来血崩 果断继续加仓英伟达正股 和三倍做多半导体 英伟达86抄底566股 半导体7.16抄了3000 总共拿了8666股周一8点操作港股开盘 崩了 小米直接亏了20多万 还好之前做了卖call 和开了点期权put防守 早上看盘后判断还没跌到位 立马开腾讯 阿里 小米 put 收盘成功抢救割了一半小米仓位最后扭亏 晚上美股pdd put 还留了1w+期权 别的call因为拿的价格很低 也有盈利 一番操作 挽救百万+损失的同时 账户新高错误不可怕 怕的是不及时调整平小米不是因为他不好 是因为不想浪费时间 目前看回调到50+股价 周期至少一年以上 $英伟达(NVDA)$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ $小米集团-W(01810)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4f9b471abef1b81269da30ffa1d72e6"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58ae668434713db163d59ffb214ce1f2"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b2f37604ef54e3d59c3a2116c754092"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/421988201296112","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665102938,"gmtCreate":1666974190525,"gmtModify":1666974392129,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>: 一切按计划加仓指数,昨天纳指盘后加的仓位已成交,持仓盈利中,目标13200 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>// <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>大概率也要爆雷,明天低位适当开仓,fomc宣布当天下跌再加 ,10750附近止损 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a>// <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>:从时间周期看,如果这周没有大幅下跌 稳在10500附近,那今年不会走完5浪了,五浪时间延到明年2-3月。接下来策略调整,本周逢低出做空头寸,逐步买入直到10月底。反弹时间,11月cpi应该利好,12月加50基点再利好,能坚持到12月底。明年1月财报是偏空的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>: 一切按计划加仓指数,昨天纳指盘后加的仓位已成交,持仓盈利中,目标13200 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>// <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>大概率也要爆雷,明天低位适当开仓,fomc宣布当天下跌再加 ,10750附近止损 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a>// <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3485826448607678\">@点击我就能取名哦</a>:从时间周期看,如果这周没有大幅下跌 稳在10500附近,那今年不会走完5浪了,五浪时间延到明年2-3月。接下来策略调整,本周逢低出做空头寸,逐步买入直到10月底。反弹时间,11月cpi应该利好,12月加50基点再利好,能坚持到12月底。明年1月财报是偏空的 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>","text":"//@点击我就能取名哦: 一切按计划加仓指数,昨天纳指盘后加的仓位已成交,持仓盈利中,目标13200 $NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$// @点击我就能取名哦: $苹果(AAPL)$大概率也要爆雷,明天低位适当开仓,fomc宣布当天下跌再加 ,10750附近止损 $NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$// @点击我就能取名哦:从时间周期看,如果这周没有大幅下跌 稳在10500附近,那今年不会走完5浪了,五浪时间延到明年2-3月。接下来策略调整,本周逢低出做空头寸,逐步买入直到10月底。反弹时间,11月cpi应该利好,12月加50基点再利好,能坚持到12月底。明年1月财报是偏空的 $NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665102938","repostId":"661155522","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":661155522,"gmtCreate":1663790701467,"gmtModify":1663794395212,"author":{"id":"3485826448607678","authorId":"3485826448607678","name":"点击我就能取名哦","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43d5820da07400e52d46b96412233177","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3485826448607678","authorIdStr":"3485826448607678"},"themes":[],"title":"9月FOMC 会议总结","htmlText":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ","listText":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ","text":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 $NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/661155522","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":383614865224232,"gmtCreate":1734697262410,"gmtModify":1734697264200,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383614865224232","repostId":"383566903599304","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":383566903599304,"gmtCreate":1734667385166,"gmtModify":1734743402529,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502767768442965","authorIdStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"鲍威尔放鹰给上车机会?现在是该抄底,还是逃顶?","htmlText":"鲍威尔突然放鹰,市场直接进入了“极度恐慌”的状态,有段子分析称既然特朗普要股市、经济增长,现在就先给点空间,美联储明年再“超预期”安排降息,就双赢了~[吃瓜]周四盘后Tom Lee再次喊话 Buy the dip,今年前面几次喊的都没错~ 网上有对今年美股投资机会的盘点,看下来,大方向跟的没错,肯定是能赚到钱的,其次好像不管是哪类个股,都有很好的低买高卖的机会,这个比较困难,很考验投资者们的认知。[安慰]周三VIX恐慌指数再次飙升,今年仅次于8月初大跌的那次。难道又是给低点的剧本?大家觉得这次还会是逢低加仓的时机吗?现在是该抄底,还是逃顶?[思考]评论区分享你的观点或接下来的操作策略,一起赢取1000虎币奖励!🎁🎁 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a>","listText":"鲍威尔突然放鹰,市场直接进入了“极度恐慌”的状态,有段子分析称既然特朗普要股市、经济增长,现在就先给点空间,美联储明年再“超预期”安排降息,就双赢了~[吃瓜]周四盘后Tom Lee再次喊话 Buy the dip,今年前面几次喊的都没错~ 网上有对今年美股投资机会的盘点,看下来,大方向跟的没错,肯定是能赚到钱的,其次好像不管是哪类个股,都有很好的低买高卖的机会,这个比较困难,很考验投资者们的认知。[安慰]周三VIX恐慌指数再次飙升,今年仅次于8月初大跌的那次。难道又是给低点的剧本?大家觉得这次还会是逢低加仓的时机吗?现在是该抄底,还是逃顶?[思考]评论区分享你的观点或接下来的操作策略,一起赢取1000虎币奖励!🎁🎁 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a>","text":"鲍威尔突然放鹰,市场直接进入了“极度恐慌”的状态,有段子分析称既然特朗普要股市、经济增长,现在就先给点空间,美联储明年再“超预期”安排降息,就双赢了~[吃瓜]周四盘后Tom Lee再次喊话 Buy the dip,今年前面几次喊的都没错~ 网上有对今年美股投资机会的盘点,看下来,大方向跟的没错,肯定是能赚到钱的,其次好像不管是哪类个股,都有很好的低买高卖的机会,这个比较困难,很考验投资者们的认知。[安慰]周三VIX恐慌指数再次飙升,今年仅次于8月初大跌的那次。难道又是给低点的剧本?大家觉得这次还会是逢低加仓的时机吗?现在是该抄底,还是逃顶?[思考]评论区分享你的观点或接下来的操作策略,一起赢取1000虎币奖励!🎁🎁 $英伟达(NVDA)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ $标普500(.SPX)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a569f38bbcbe04d6177cd49a0ddb919","width":"1179","height":"1094"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8b791fe9caa4eccc1b7f82cbf480535","width":"1290","height":"2254"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0cba21d63b51389b3c33e50b6db294d","width":"1384","height":"589"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/383566903599304","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":283485102493960,"gmtCreate":1710249173889,"gmtModify":1710249175499,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/283485102493960","repostId":"2418010351","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":276596646396008,"gmtCreate":1708556862053,"gmtModify":1708556864397,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71d95bcc9c4567a165b24ede81435c3","width":"1080","height":"2633"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/276596646396008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":274652773687504,"gmtCreate":1708091663216,"gmtModify":1708091664687,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/274652773687504","repostId":"1178012146","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":656975707,"gmtCreate":1683328432809,"gmtModify":1683328434184,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/656975707","repostId":"656951590","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":656951590,"gmtCreate":1683294573610,"gmtModify":1683294576001,"author":{"id":"3538087091501291","authorId":"3538087091501291","name":"小镇做T家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef0ee32208f951b13f627ec6aa4ea3c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3538087091501291","authorIdStr":"3538087091501291"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"今晚(或下周一)的纳指,将是未来一个月纳指的最高点,短期内追高的风险很大,不要被部分个股的急拉而冲昏头脑,盲目冲进去成为接盘侠,一定要冷静!因为美股在整个二季度的流动性层面都是非常不利的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQQQ\">$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ </a>","listText":"今晚(或下周一)的纳指,将是未来一个月纳指的最高点,短期内追高的风险很大,不要被部分个股的急拉而冲昏头脑,盲目冲进去成为接盘侠,一定要冷静!因为美股在整个二季度的流动性层面都是非常不利的。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQQQ\">$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ </a>","text":"今晚(或下周一)的纳指,将是未来一个月纳指的最高点,短期内追高的风险很大,不要被部分个股的急拉而冲昏头脑,盲目冲进去成为接盘侠,一定要冷静!因为美股在整个二季度的流动性层面都是非常不利的。$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f1f464535665e90c3b1668e845d2a7e","width":"1152","height":"1512"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/656951590","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650931481,"gmtCreate":1678806118443,"gmtModify":1678806120129,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650931481","repostId":"650999869","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":650999869,"gmtCreate":1678801190452,"gmtModify":1678803038111,"author":{"id":"3571026833038682","authorId":"3571026833038682","name":"思辨财经","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d4903b31d0aa5c76f99c3e1519f081","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571026833038682","authorIdStr":"3571026833038682"},"themes":[],"title":"硅谷银行事件:美联储转鸽 流动性拐点提前","htmlText":"图片 硅谷银行成为近期美国乃至全球金融资本市场的焦点,自事件爆发之后,围绕是否会发生系统风险,美国是否会衰退的讨论充斥着舆论场。撰稿之时美联储和美国财政部已经开展了针对性的救市政策,如: 如FDIC(联邦存款保险公司)迅速接手硅谷银行,承诺对储户兑付(超过25万美元上限),又如将美国财政部外汇稳定基金中提供规模最高达250亿美元的资金作为支持,其后亦有声音传出美联储讨论放宽贴现窗口规定为银行注入流动性(银行可以已经大幅贬值的资产抵押)。 在刚性兑付和流动性等方面下手,提高全美银行系统的稳定性,避免挤兑行为,这些也是非常及时和到位的。 关于整个危机的起源,发展已经走向已有无数媒体跟踪,我们本文不再赘述,而是将讨论集中在: 其一,此次事件会大幅改变美联储的加息轨迹,3月最多加息25个基点,甚至停止加息; 其二,金融市场流动性拐点因此事件大幅提前。 给美联储转鸽台阶 根据相关信息披露,我们可以大概知道硅谷银行此次危机的主要脉络: 1.疫情后美联储大放水,市场流动性极为充裕,科技类创业公司融资便利程度提高,行业主要存款机构硅谷银行存款暴涨; 2.企业存款在银行资产负债为负债,资产方企业大量配置了债券(以如美国国债为主); 3.在美联储强势加息下,债券票面价值迅速缩水,其后硅谷银行欲出售债券融资又引发了市场恐慌,挤兑发生,危机爆发; 4.此次乃非2008年信用危机下的大地震,且其手中的国债只是账面价值缩水,与次贷危机下垃圾债清零是完全不同的。 回顾之后,就很容易得到此次危机的主要矛盾:加息政策下对债券账面价格的影响。该观点许多文章对此都有涉及,但很多缺乏量化手段。 假设硅谷银行持有的都是10年期美国国债,票息率为1.5%,当贴现率上升(主要参照十年美债收益率),其账面价值会发生如下变化: 图片 在上图中我们可以比较清晰看到美联储加息对债券价格的影响,美十年国债收益率从1.5%涨到4%","listText":"图片 硅谷银行成为近期美国乃至全球金融资本市场的焦点,自事件爆发之后,围绕是否会发生系统风险,美国是否会衰退的讨论充斥着舆论场。撰稿之时美联储和美国财政部已经开展了针对性的救市政策,如: 如FDIC(联邦存款保险公司)迅速接手硅谷银行,承诺对储户兑付(超过25万美元上限),又如将美国财政部外汇稳定基金中提供规模最高达250亿美元的资金作为支持,其后亦有声音传出美联储讨论放宽贴现窗口规定为银行注入流动性(银行可以已经大幅贬值的资产抵押)。 在刚性兑付和流动性等方面下手,提高全美银行系统的稳定性,避免挤兑行为,这些也是非常及时和到位的。 关于整个危机的起源,发展已经走向已有无数媒体跟踪,我们本文不再赘述,而是将讨论集中在: 其一,此次事件会大幅改变美联储的加息轨迹,3月最多加息25个基点,甚至停止加息; 其二,金融市场流动性拐点因此事件大幅提前。 给美联储转鸽台阶 根据相关信息披露,我们可以大概知道硅谷银行此次危机的主要脉络: 1.疫情后美联储大放水,市场流动性极为充裕,科技类创业公司融资便利程度提高,行业主要存款机构硅谷银行存款暴涨; 2.企业存款在银行资产负债为负债,资产方企业大量配置了债券(以如美国国债为主); 3.在美联储强势加息下,债券票面价值迅速缩水,其后硅谷银行欲出售债券融资又引发了市场恐慌,挤兑发生,危机爆发; 4.此次乃非2008年信用危机下的大地震,且其手中的国债只是账面价值缩水,与次贷危机下垃圾债清零是完全不同的。 回顾之后,就很容易得到此次危机的主要矛盾:加息政策下对债券账面价格的影响。该观点许多文章对此都有涉及,但很多缺乏量化手段。 假设硅谷银行持有的都是10年期美国国债,票息率为1.5%,当贴现率上升(主要参照十年美债收益率),其账面价值会发生如下变化: 图片 在上图中我们可以比较清晰看到美联储加息对债券价格的影响,美十年国债收益率从1.5%涨到4%","text":"图片 硅谷银行成为近期美国乃至全球金融资本市场的焦点,自事件爆发之后,围绕是否会发生系统风险,美国是否会衰退的讨论充斥着舆论场。撰稿之时美联储和美国财政部已经开展了针对性的救市政策,如: 如FDIC(联邦存款保险公司)迅速接手硅谷银行,承诺对储户兑付(超过25万美元上限),又如将美国财政部外汇稳定基金中提供规模最高达250亿美元的资金作为支持,其后亦有声音传出美联储讨论放宽贴现窗口规定为银行注入流动性(银行可以已经大幅贬值的资产抵押)。 在刚性兑付和流动性等方面下手,提高全美银行系统的稳定性,避免挤兑行为,这些也是非常及时和到位的。 关于整个危机的起源,发展已经走向已有无数媒体跟踪,我们本文不再赘述,而是将讨论集中在: 其一,此次事件会大幅改变美联储的加息轨迹,3月最多加息25个基点,甚至停止加息; 其二,金融市场流动性拐点因此事件大幅提前。 给美联储转鸽台阶 根据相关信息披露,我们可以大概知道硅谷银行此次危机的主要脉络: 1.疫情后美联储大放水,市场流动性极为充裕,科技类创业公司融资便利程度提高,行业主要存款机构硅谷银行存款暴涨; 2.企业存款在银行资产负债为负债,资产方企业大量配置了债券(以如美国国债为主); 3.在美联储强势加息下,债券票面价值迅速缩水,其后硅谷银行欲出售债券融资又引发了市场恐慌,挤兑发生,危机爆发; 4.此次乃非2008年信用危机下的大地震,且其手中的国债只是账面价值缩水,与次贷危机下垃圾债清零是完全不同的。 回顾之后,就很容易得到此次危机的主要矛盾:加息政策下对债券账面价格的影响。该观点许多文章对此都有涉及,但很多缺乏量化手段。 假设硅谷银行持有的都是10年期美国国债,票息率为1.5%,当贴现率上升(主要参照十年美债收益率),其账面价值会发生如下变化: 图片 在上图中我们可以比较清晰看到美联储加息对债券价格的影响,美十年国债收益率从1.5%涨到4%","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee3479996d400a41aec079f31712541c","width":"1080","height":"607"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3672a4b3f0384e2b3a1ee81dfb583d03","width":"830","height":"656"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2df82b6162cdf3da41cbae6f3c9f48a4","width":"830","height":"664"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650999869","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2401,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650994710,"gmtCreate":1678804384630,"gmtModify":1678804386147,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650994710","repostId":"650054563","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":622016897,"gmtCreate":1675040363219,"gmtModify":1675040365248,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622016897","repostId":"622003557","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":622003557,"gmtCreate":1674968889579,"gmtModify":1674968912069,"author":{"id":"3546661330578669","authorId":"3546661330578669","name":"多头队长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b3bdd7aead1b29b666c9a48d0d070c4","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3546661330578669","authorIdStr":"3546661330578669"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一切和我判断的一样,纳斯达克开始了上涨。 上一篇我就发帖说经过我的判断,美股上半年上涨概率极大,而下半年回调概率极大。过去了这么多天回头一看已经反弹了不少。目前账户今年基本持平纳斯达克指数。 这次还是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>的反弹,带动我的账户强力反弹。 去年账户我也说了,跌平纳斯达克。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2303(NQmain)$ </a> 这波账户持仓的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$ </a>反弹较少,这货还没跑赢纳斯达克这周。 持仓的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a>涨的也还可以。 以上基本构成我4大仓位,还有几小仓位,可乐,亚马逊,卡夫亨氏。 不过我不急相信反弹才刚刚开始,后面还有戏,慢慢再加仓。只要熬到牛市来临,大盘起飞,那母猪都能上树。去年大熊恭喜熬过来的朋友们,黎明曙光出现了,彩虹还会远吗<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ </a>","listText":"一切和我判断的一样,纳斯达克开始了上涨。 上一篇我就发帖说经过我的判断,美股上半年上涨概率极大,而下半年回调概率极大。过去了这么多天回头一看已经反弹了不少。目前账户今年基本持平纳斯达克指数。 这次还是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>的反弹,带动我的账户强力反弹。 去年账户我也说了,跌平纳斯达克。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2303(NQmain)$ </a> 这波账户持仓的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$ </a>反弹较少,这货还没跑赢纳斯达克这周。 持仓的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$ </a>涨的也还可以。 以上基本构成我4大仓位,还有几小仓位,可乐,亚马逊,卡夫亨氏。 不过我不急相信反弹才刚刚开始,后面还有戏,慢慢再加仓。只要熬到牛市来临,大盘起飞,那母猪都能上树。去年大熊恭喜熬过来的朋友们,黎明曙光出现了,彩虹还会远吗<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$ </a>","text":"一切和我判断的一样,纳斯达克开始了上涨。 上一篇我就发帖说经过我的判断,美股上半年上涨概率极大,而下半年回调概率极大。过去了这么多天回头一看已经反弹了不少。目前账户今年基本持平纳斯达克指数。 这次还是$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 的反弹,带动我的账户强力反弹。 去年账户我也说了,跌平纳斯达克。 $NQ100指数主连 2303(NQmain)$ 这波账户持仓的$微软(MSFT)$ 反弹较少,这货还没跑赢纳斯达克这周。 持仓的$苹果(AAPL)$ 涨的也还可以。 以上基本构成我4大仓位,还有几小仓位,可乐,亚马逊,卡夫亨氏。 不过我不急相信反弹才刚刚开始,后面还有戏,慢慢再加仓。只要熬到牛市来临,大盘起飞,那母猪都能上树。去年大熊恭喜熬过来的朋友们,黎明曙光出现了,彩虹还会远吗$老虎证券(TIGR)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21710b38349544950c2e3abe903abca4","width":"1440","height":"3040"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622003557","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1493,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626746832,"gmtCreate":1674938504027,"gmtModify":1674938506001,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626746832","repostId":"2306280135","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626748777,"gmtCreate":1674938063399,"gmtModify":1674938065297,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626748777","repostId":"626724417","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":626724417,"gmtCreate":1674899573340,"gmtModify":1674900669135,"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"themes":[],"title":"1月27日(周五)NQ100复盘和下周预判","htmlText":"下周走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),预计沿5日均线振荡攀升,日内调整都是入场好机会:压力位55周均线12583(2.96%);支撑位10日均11784点。 下周一走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),压力位前高12339点(0.96%);支撑位60分钟20时均12104点,强支撑位5日均12014点。 一、昨日预判及评价(附图) 预判评价:符合预期(20均发散向上,日线20均上,多头趋势;股指调整到5时、10时、20时均粘合,20时均附近低吸是买入点,首时大阳5时10时20时向上发散,是确认加仓点。下午14点或15点是卖出点。本波出再两次。日线上看是靠5日均进。)。预判压力位前高12339(1.86%)----实盘最高12308.5点,基本准确。预判支撑位5日均11975点,强支撑位10均线11766点---实盘最低12016点,符合预期,指数在5日均处调整到位上攻。 二、对本周预判及评价(附图)下周走势预判: 预判评价:符合预期,基本正确。预判压力位120均线11805点,强压力位2022年12月13日高点12339点(6.17%)----实盘最高12308.5点,相当准确。预判支撑位55日均线11430点,强支撑位20日均线11300点附近-----实盘最低11604.5点,符合预期。总之:上周实盘总体上在预期范围之内,比预期强一个身位。 对上周总的感觉是:大盘一改弱势阴霾,不再犹豫进二退一甚至退二。走势稳健强势,45度角上攻,阳多阴少,阳大阴小,成交活跃有所放大,逼空态势,下周继续看涨。 三、NQ100期指复盘(附60分钟走势图)(60分20均线是指数强弱的重要分水岭,是个人短期常用的进场出场点) 昨日分时走势:美东时间1月26日18:00NQ100期货开盘后略弱于上一个交易日开盘走势。强势小幅下","listText":"下周走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),预计沿5日均线振荡攀升,日内调整都是入场好机会:压力位55周均线12583(2.96%);支撑位10日均11784点。 下周一走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),压力位前高12339点(0.96%);支撑位60分钟20时均12104点,强支撑位5日均12014点。 一、昨日预判及评价(附图) 预判评价:符合预期(20均发散向上,日线20均上,多头趋势;股指调整到5时、10时、20时均粘合,20时均附近低吸是买入点,首时大阳5时10时20时向上发散,是确认加仓点。下午14点或15点是卖出点。本波出再两次。日线上看是靠5日均进。)。预判压力位前高12339(1.86%)----实盘最高12308.5点,基本准确。预判支撑位5日均11975点,强支撑位10均线11766点---实盘最低12016点,符合预期,指数在5日均处调整到位上攻。 二、对本周预判及评价(附图)下周走势预判: 预判评价:符合预期,基本正确。预判压力位120均线11805点,强压力位2022年12月13日高点12339点(6.17%)----实盘最高12308.5点,相当准确。预判支撑位55日均线11430点,强支撑位20日均线11300点附近-----实盘最低11604.5点,符合预期。总之:上周实盘总体上在预期范围之内,比预期强一个身位。 对上周总的感觉是:大盘一改弱势阴霾,不再犹豫进二退一甚至退二。走势稳健强势,45度角上攻,阳多阴少,阳大阴小,成交活跃有所放大,逼空态势,下周继续看涨。 三、NQ100期指复盘(附60分钟走势图)(60分20均线是指数强弱的重要分水岭,是个人短期常用的进场出场点) 昨日分时走势:美东时间1月26日18:00NQ100期货开盘后略弱于上一个交易日开盘走势。强势小幅下","text":"下周走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),预计沿5日均线振荡攀升,日内调整都是入场好机会:压力位55周均线12583(2.96%);支撑位10日均11784点。 下周一走势预判:日线20均上,多头趋势;周线20周之上,多头趋势(重要),压力位前高12339点(0.96%);支撑位60分钟20时均12104点,强支撑位5日均12014点。 一、昨日预判及评价(附图) 预判评价:符合预期(20均发散向上,日线20均上,多头趋势;股指调整到5时、10时、20时均粘合,20时均附近低吸是买入点,首时大阳5时10时20时向上发散,是确认加仓点。下午14点或15点是卖出点。本波出再两次。日线上看是靠5日均进。)。预判压力位前高12339(1.86%)----实盘最高12308.5点,基本准确。预判支撑位5日均11975点,强支撑位10均线11766点---实盘最低12016点,符合预期,指数在5日均处调整到位上攻。 二、对本周预判及评价(附图)下周走势预判: 预判评价:符合预期,基本正确。预判压力位120均线11805点,强压力位2022年12月13日高点12339点(6.17%)----实盘最高12308.5点,相当准确。预判支撑位55日均线11430点,强支撑位20日均线11300点附近-----实盘最低11604.5点,符合预期。总之:上周实盘总体上在预期范围之内,比预期强一个身位。 对上周总的感觉是:大盘一改弱势阴霾,不再犹豫进二退一甚至退二。走势稳健强势,45度角上攻,阳多阴少,阳大阴小,成交活跃有所放大,逼空态势,下周继续看涨。 三、NQ100期指复盘(附60分钟走势图)(60分20均线是指数强弱的重要分水岭,是个人短期常用的进场出场点) 昨日分时走势:美东时间1月26日18:00NQ100期货开盘后略弱于上一个交易日开盘走势。强势小幅下","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/563be5610e2a2937d7dd8fa42c65959a","width":"632","height":"292"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a7f09b9bd5f1e0fce478d9e27a4f22e","width":"632","height":"292"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b68c64ec12d89941ccbe3a80371c29b8","width":"632","height":"881"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626724417","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":629368983,"gmtCreate":1670286161342,"gmtModify":1670286162860,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/629368983","repostId":"1144881783","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":620506433,"gmtCreate":1669816740122,"gmtModify":1669816741807,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/620506433","repostId":"1169759449","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":667422507,"gmtCreate":1669098480809,"gmtModify":1669098482426,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/667422507","repostId":"667566461","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":667566461,"gmtCreate":1669018601054,"gmtModify":1744960863398,"author":{"id":"3440721572920950","authorId":"3440721572920950","name":"美股解毒师","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbf0f514b8e5abb92266789b89f6e1e6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3440721572920950","authorIdStr":"3440721572920950"},"themes":[],"title":"美联储官员为何频繁“鹰”派发声?","htmlText":"中期选举截止至11月20日,美国中期选举的虽然没有完全计票结束,但是结果已经确定:共和党以219:212时隔四年重新掌控众议院(高于218票),而民主党则继续锁定参议院(50个席位、加上副总统1票)。分裂国会的局面正式形成。虽然赢下众议院,但共和党没有出现“红色浪潮”(Red Wave),比市场预期更弱一些,原因可能有很多种:包括此前民调的误差、邮寄选票的影响。但结果已经如此,即在国会难以形成绝对主导。而民主党方面,很明显由于此前的疫情影响,加上选举前的高通胀压力,不仅丢掉众议院,而且拜登总统持续支持率较低。这样的结局,在经济上会有什么直接后果呢?显然,共和党在财政政策更有话语权(美国宪法规定,所有税收相关法案、拨款法案或授权开支联邦资金均应由众议院提议,而参议院无权提案)。因此美国国债的债务上限的风险也在加大,政府停摆的可能性再次增大。至当前,美国公共债务规模达到了31.3万亿美元,逼近31.4万亿美元法定债务上限。可能受影响的政府开支案包括: 2021年3月的1.9万亿美元财政刺激法案 2021年11月的5500 亿美元基建法案 还未通过的1.75万亿美元“重建美好未来法案”(Build Back Better) 2022 年8月通过的芯片与科学法案(Chips and Science Act) 通胀削减法案(Inflation Reduction Act of 2022) 暂时被阻止的生贷款削减计划(Student Debt Relief Plan)。 受影响的行业从制造业、金融科技,到非必须消费品行业。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIA\">$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">$卡特彼勒(CAT)$</a>","listText":"中期选举截止至11月20日,美国中期选举的虽然没有完全计票结束,但是结果已经确定:共和党以219:212时隔四年重新掌控众议院(高于218票),而民主党则继续锁定参议院(50个席位、加上副总统1票)。分裂国会的局面正式形成。虽然赢下众议院,但共和党没有出现“红色浪潮”(Red Wave),比市场预期更弱一些,原因可能有很多种:包括此前民调的误差、邮寄选票的影响。但结果已经如此,即在国会难以形成绝对主导。而民主党方面,很明显由于此前的疫情影响,加上选举前的高通胀压力,不仅丢掉众议院,而且拜登总统持续支持率较低。这样的结局,在经济上会有什么直接后果呢?显然,共和党在财政政策更有话语权(美国宪法规定,所有税收相关法案、拨款法案或授权开支联邦资金均应由众议院提议,而参议院无权提案)。因此美国国债的债务上限的风险也在加大,政府停摆的可能性再次增大。至当前,美国公共债务规模达到了31.3万亿美元,逼近31.4万亿美元法定债务上限。可能受影响的政府开支案包括: 2021年3月的1.9万亿美元财政刺激法案 2021年11月的5500 亿美元基建法案 还未通过的1.75万亿美元“重建美好未来法案”(Build Back Better) 2022 年8月通过的芯片与科学法案(Chips and Science Act) 通胀削减法案(Inflation Reduction Act of 2022) 暂时被阻止的生贷款削减计划(Student Debt Relief Plan)。 受影响的行业从制造业、金融科技,到非必须消费品行业。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIA\">$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">$卡特彼勒(CAT)$</a>","text":"中期选举截止至11月20日,美国中期选举的虽然没有完全计票结束,但是结果已经确定:共和党以219:212时隔四年重新掌控众议院(高于218票),而民主党则继续锁定参议院(50个席位、加上副总统1票)。分裂国会的局面正式形成。虽然赢下众议院,但共和党没有出现“红色浪潮”(Red Wave),比市场预期更弱一些,原因可能有很多种:包括此前民调的误差、邮寄选票的影响。但结果已经如此,即在国会难以形成绝对主导。而民主党方面,很明显由于此前的疫情影响,加上选举前的高通胀压力,不仅丢掉众议院,而且拜登总统持续支持率较低。这样的结局,在经济上会有什么直接后果呢?显然,共和党在财政政策更有话语权(美国宪法规定,所有税收相关法案、拨款法案或授权开支联邦资金均应由众议院提议,而参议院无权提案)。因此美国国债的债务上限的风险也在加大,政府停摆的可能性再次增大。至当前,美国公共债务规模达到了31.3万亿美元,逼近31.4万亿美元法定债务上限。可能受影响的政府开支案包括: 2021年3月的1.9万亿美元财政刺激法案 2021年11月的5500 亿美元基建法案 还未通过的1.75万亿美元“重建美好未来法案”(Build Back Better) 2022 年8月通过的芯片与科学法案(Chips and Science Act) 通胀削减法案(Inflation Reduction Act of 2022) 暂时被阻止的生贷款削减计划(Student Debt Relief Plan)。 受影响的行业从制造业、金融科技,到非必须消费品行业。$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$ $卡特彼勒(CAT)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21f087ae85c3fd555fc2fc3131923e9e","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53a001a7b79d68206f1e7166e2831955","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80dd824b5cc6acce59aa5a99c7240fd3","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/667566461","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":664411994,"gmtCreate":1668170868518,"gmtModify":1668170870999,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664411994","repostId":"664040140","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":664040140,"gmtCreate":1667577355381,"gmtModify":1667577356649,"author":{"id":"3485835206376479","authorId":"3485835206376479","name":"别打扰我的发财梦","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/535b3fff1e8e2a0a29332e27783b30bb","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3485835206376479","authorIdStr":"3485835206376479"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>我发现美股一切都是炒作 炒信息,好消息要跌 坏消息要涨 反正不按套路出牌 ,你怕什么来什么 下次反着买","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>我发现美股一切都是炒作 炒信息,好消息要跌 坏消息要涨 反正不按套路出牌 ,你怕什么来什么 下次反着买","text":"$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$我发现美股一切都是炒作 炒信息,好消息要跌 坏消息要涨 反正不按套路出牌 ,你怕什么来什么 下次反着买","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664040140","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":664419033,"gmtCreate":1668169820723,"gmtModify":1668169823385,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664419033","repostId":"664521967","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":664521967,"gmtCreate":1668137979059,"gmtModify":1668137980185,"author":{"id":"148326979664115","authorId":"148326979664115","name":"孟德迟到了","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e8ab403d5b62cc9c5c6701cee1273d05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"148326979664115","authorIdStr":"148326979664115"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ </a> 市场的本质特性: 就是你杠杆做多,它就会砸爆你。 你没钱加杠杆,它就疯狂拉升的一个机器。 像一头牛一样,要把任何骑它的人给甩掉。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ </a> 市场的本质特性: 就是你杠杆做多,它就会砸爆你。 你没钱加杠杆,它就疯狂拉升的一个机器。 像一头牛一样,要把任何骑它的人给甩掉。","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ 市场的本质特性: 就是你杠杆做多,它就会砸爆你。 你没钱加杠杆,它就疯狂拉升的一个机器。 像一头牛一样,要把任何骑它的人给甩掉。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664521967","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1442,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":664807063,"gmtCreate":1667902837452,"gmtModify":1667902839943,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664807063","repostId":"1162565679","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665812681,"gmtCreate":1667190713944,"gmtModify":1667190716530,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665812681","repostId":"665160655","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":665160655,"gmtCreate":1667055082677,"gmtModify":1667095479266,"author":{"id":"3522994245105188","authorId":"3522994245105188","name":"专注的投资者","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b87dfad76100f77d00b16fd822ca41ae","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3522994245105188","authorIdStr":"3522994245105188"},"themes":[],"htmlText":" 随着11月美联储加息的逼近,11月份美股和A股注定是冰与火的月份,而且是先冰后火。 11月份加息75个基点,造成市场资金紧张,美股会有今年最后一跌,纳指可能会跌破10000点整数大关后,然后会有技术性反弹。特别是纳指的龙头科技股,除了苹果外,其他几家科技股(微软,亚马逊等)业绩都不理想,苹果也独木难支。而且美国以川普等右翼主义势力重新抬头,注定世界经济动荡 随着全国疫情严重,特别是经济发达的广东广州核心区疫情的爆发,对广东的经济会很大。疫情加上美联储加息,中国经济会更加雪上加霜,那么反应到A股上也会很大,A股也会有今年最后一跌,大概会跌到2700多点。现在市场下跌,必然造成散户心理恐慌和基金回赎潮,酒类的茅台,医药股等基金重仓高估值股,由于市场资金紧缺,估值支撑不住,会继续下跌,重新估值。 至于港股和中概股都会随美股和A股上半个月进行调整,11月下半月会迎来技术性反弹。 剧本已经写好,市场会不会按这个趋势,需要继续观察。 ","listText":" 随着11月美联储加息的逼近,11月份美股和A股注定是冰与火的月份,而且是先冰后火。 11月份加息75个基点,造成市场资金紧张,美股会有今年最后一跌,纳指可能会跌破10000点整数大关后,然后会有技术性反弹。特别是纳指的龙头科技股,除了苹果外,其他几家科技股(微软,亚马逊等)业绩都不理想,苹果也独木难支。而且美国以川普等右翼主义势力重新抬头,注定世界经济动荡 随着全国疫情严重,特别是经济发达的广东广州核心区疫情的爆发,对广东的经济会很大。疫情加上美联储加息,中国经济会更加雪上加霜,那么反应到A股上也会很大,A股也会有今年最后一跌,大概会跌到2700多点。现在市场下跌,必然造成散户心理恐慌和基金回赎潮,酒类的茅台,医药股等基金重仓高估值股,由于市场资金紧缺,估值支撑不住,会继续下跌,重新估值。 至于港股和中概股都会随美股和A股上半个月进行调整,11月下半月会迎来技术性反弹。 剧本已经写好,市场会不会按这个趋势,需要继续观察。 ","text":"随着11月美联储加息的逼近,11月份美股和A股注定是冰与火的月份,而且是先冰后火。 11月份加息75个基点,造成市场资金紧张,美股会有今年最后一跌,纳指可能会跌破10000点整数大关后,然后会有技术性反弹。特别是纳指的龙头科技股,除了苹果外,其他几家科技股(微软,亚马逊等)业绩都不理想,苹果也独木难支。而且美国以川普等右翼主义势力重新抬头,注定世界经济动荡 随着全国疫情严重,特别是经济发达的广东广州核心区疫情的爆发,对广东的经济会很大。疫情加上美联储加息,中国经济会更加雪上加霜,那么反应到A股上也会很大,A股也会有今年最后一跌,大概会跌到2700多点。现在市场下跌,必然造成散户心理恐慌和基金回赎潮,酒类的茅台,医药股等基金重仓高估值股,由于市场资金紧缺,估值支撑不住,会继续下跌,重新估值。 至于港股和中概股都会随美股和A股上半个月进行调整,11月下半月会迎来技术性反弹。 剧本已经写好,市场会不会按这个趋势,需要继续观察。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74f4e5b3b12d39af571305701f8e522e","width":"1005","height":"1337"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665160655","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665379227,"gmtCreate":1666966754669,"gmtModify":1666966757520,"author":{"id":"3575504423431681","authorId":"3575504423431681","name":"剑诀","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575504423431681","authorIdStr":"3575504423431681"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665379227","repostId":"661155522","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":661155522,"gmtCreate":1663790701467,"gmtModify":1663794395212,"author":{"id":"3485826448607678","authorId":"3485826448607678","name":"点击我就能取名哦","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43d5820da07400e52d46b96412233177","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3485826448607678","authorIdStr":"3485826448607678"},"themes":[],"title":"9月FOMC 会议总结","htmlText":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ","listText":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ","text":"总结: 这次FOMC和上次的演讲稿没啥区别 年底至少50+50 或者 75+50 加息概率 明年不可能降息,最快也要2024年 大幅下调美国GDP预期,衰退在2023年可能发生 鲍威尔鸽派讲话,鹰派行动,态度和8月完全反转 分析: 可能随着资金成本上升,市场有一定概率进入第五浪深度调整。调整幅度过大,鲍威尔会通过讲话来引导市场反弹,但是很难释放行动上的利好。其目标通胀 22 23 年仍然很高,远高于2% 美联储预期的水平。从这次到下次FOMC可能继续探底,抄底美股的时间,应该在首次加息50个基点之后,不管是11月 还是12月。 $NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $苹果(AAPL)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/661155522","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1471,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}