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2021-03-12

I hope the good trend continues

The Nasdaq's Back, and These 3 Stocks Are Flying High Again<blockquote>纳斯达克回来了，这3只股票再次高歌猛进</blockquote>

2021-05-24

Comment

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2021-04-09

Where some people are sleeping

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2021-04-06

Hopefully it don’t happen so soon

Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每 10 年就会引发一次——Archegos 可能是对的</blockquote>

2021-03-27

Let’s go

Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>

2021-03-04

When will US stock market rebound, let’s wait

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2021-04-23

Cool. Comment

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2021-03-01

What is happening

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2021-04-23

Cool, comment

Dow rebounds 200 points led by banks and tech as market shrugs off higher tax fears<blockquote>由于市场对更高的税收担忧不屑一顾，道琼斯指数在银行和科技股的带领下反弹 200 点</blockquote>

2021-04-10

Reawakening

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comment","listText":"Cool, comment","text":"Cool, comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372865392","repostId":"1101099559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101099559","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619191663,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1101099559?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow rebounds 200 points led by banks and tech as market shrugs off higher tax fears<blockquote>由于市场对更高的税收担忧不屑一顾，道琼斯指数在银行和科技股的带领下反弹 200 点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101099559","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday as Wall Street reassessed concerns arising from news that the White ","content":"<p>U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday as Wall Street reassessed concerns arising from news that the White House could seek a hike to the capital gains tax.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周五反弹，华尔街重新评估了白宫可能寻求提高资本利得税的消息引发的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 200 points amid a jump in Goldman Sachs and Apple shares. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1% led by financials and technology shares, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.2%.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和苹果股价上涨，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 200 点。在金融和科技股的带领下，标普500上涨 1%，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Wall Street came off a turbulent session for equities after multiple news outlets reported Thursday afternoon that President Joe Biden is slated to propose much higher capital gains taxes for the rich.</p><p><blockquote>周四下午，多家新闻媒体报道称，乔·拜登总统将提议对富人征收更高的资本利得税，此后华尔街股市经历了一个动荡的时段。</blockquote></p><p>Bloomberg News reported that Biden is planning a&nbsp;capital gains tax hike to as high as 43.4%&nbsp;for wealthy Americans.</p><p><blockquote>彭博新闻社报道称，拜登正计划将美国富人的资本利得税提高到43.4%。</blockquote></p><p>The proposal would hike the capital gains rate to 39.6% for&nbsp;those earning $1 million or more, up from 20% currently, according to Bloomberg News, citing people familiar with the matter. Reuters and the New York Times later also reported similar stories.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博新闻社援引知情人士的话称，该提案将把收入100万美元或以上的人的资本利得率从目前的20%提高到39.6%。路透社和《纽约时报》后来也报道了类似的故事。</blockquote></p><p>“We expect Congress will pass a scaled back version of this tax increase,” wrote Goldman Sachs economists in a note. “We expect Congress will settle on a more modest increase, potentially around 28%.”</p><p><blockquote>“高盛经济学家在一份报告中写道：”我们预计国会将通过此次增税的缩减版。“我们预计国会将决定更温和的增幅，可能在28%左右。”</blockquote></p><p>Week to date, the three major averages are all down about 1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周迄今为止，三大平均值均下跌约1%。</blockquote></p><p>Intel shares dropped more than 5% after it issued second-quarter earnings guidance&nbsp;below analysts’ hopes. American Express fell over 4% after the credit card company reported quarterly revenue that was slightly short of forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔发布的第二季度盈利指引低于分析师预期，股价下跌超过 5%。美国运通 (American Express) 公布季度收入略低于预期，股价下跌超过 4%。</blockquote></p><p>Snap shares, meanwhile, jumped 9% after it said&nbsp;it saw accelerating revenue growth and strong user numbers during the first quarter. Snap broke even on the bottom line while posting revenue of $770 million.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Snap股价上涨 9%，此前该公司表示第一季度收入增长加速，用户数量强劲。Snap实现了盈亏平衡，同时公布了 7.7 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p>Corporations have for the most part managed to beat Wall Street’s forecasts thus far into earnings season. Still, strong first-quarter results have been met with a more tepid response from investors, who have not, to date, snapped up shares of companies with some of the best results.</p><p><blockquote>财报季到目前为止，各公司的业绩在很大程度上超出了华尔街的预测。尽管如此，强劲的第一季度业绩还是遭到了投资者的冷淡反应，迄今为止，投资者还没有抢购业绩最好的公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Strategists say already-high valuations and near-record-high levels on the S&amp;P 500 and Dow have kept traders’ enthusiasm in check. But indexes are within 1.5% of their all-time highs even after Thursday’s losses.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，标普500和道琼斯指数已经很高的估值以及接近历史新高的水平抑制了交易员的热情。但即使在周四下跌之后，股指仍距离历史高点不到 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin&nbsp;plunged overnight, perhaps in part because of concerns about higher capital gains taxes, with the cryptocurrency last down about 8%, according to CoinMetrics. Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum were also getting hit. So far, the sell-off there was not spilling over into other risk assets like equities.</p><p><blockquote>根据 CoinMetrics 的数据，比特币隔夜暴跌，部分原因可能是对更高资本利得税的担忧，加密货币最终下跌约 8%。以太币等其他加密货币也受到了打击。到目前为止，那里的抛售还没有蔓延到股票等其他风险资产。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow rebounds 200 points led by banks and tech as market shrugs off higher tax fears<blockquote>由于市场对更高的税收担忧不屑一顾，道琼斯指数在银行和科技股的带领下反弹 200 点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow rebounds 200 points led by banks and tech as market shrugs off higher tax fears<blockquote>由于市场对更高的税收担忧不屑一顾，道琼斯指数在银行和科技股的带领下反弹 200 点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-23 23:27</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday as Wall Street reassessed concerns arising from news that the White House could seek a hike to the capital gains tax.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周五反弹，华尔街重新评估了白宫可能寻求提高资本利得税的消息引发的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 200 points amid a jump in Goldman Sachs and Apple shares. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1% led by financials and technology shares, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.2%.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和苹果股价上涨，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 200 点。在金融和科技股的带领下，标普500上涨 1%，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Wall Street came off a turbulent session for equities after multiple news outlets reported Thursday afternoon that President Joe Biden is slated to propose much higher capital gains taxes for the rich.</p><p><blockquote>周四下午，多家新闻媒体报道称，乔·拜登总统将提议对富人征收更高的资本利得税，此后华尔街股市经历了一个动荡的时段。</blockquote></p><p>Bloomberg News reported that Biden is planning a&nbsp;capital gains tax hike to as high as 43.4%&nbsp;for wealthy Americans.</p><p><blockquote>彭博新闻社报道称，拜登正计划将美国富人的资本利得税提高到43.4%。</blockquote></p><p>The proposal would hike the capital gains rate to 39.6% for&nbsp;those earning $1 million or more, up from 20% currently, according to Bloomberg News, citing people familiar with the matter. Reuters and the New York Times later also reported similar stories.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博新闻社援引知情人士的话称，该提案将把收入100万美元或以上的人的资本利得率从目前的20%提高到39.6%。路透社和《纽约时报》后来也报道了类似的故事。</blockquote></p><p>“We expect Congress will pass a scaled back version of this tax increase,” wrote Goldman Sachs economists in a note. “We expect Congress will settle on a more modest increase, potentially around 28%.”</p><p><blockquote>“高盛经济学家在一份报告中写道：”我们预计国会将通过此次增税的缩减版。“我们预计国会将决定更温和的增幅，可能在28%左右。”</blockquote></p><p>Week to date, the three major averages are all down about 1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周迄今为止，三大平均值均下跌约1%。</blockquote></p><p>Intel shares dropped more than 5% after it issued second-quarter earnings guidance&nbsp;below analysts’ hopes. American Express fell over 4% after the credit card company reported quarterly revenue that was slightly short of forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔发布的第二季度盈利指引低于分析师预期，股价下跌超过 5%。美国运通 (American Express) 公布季度收入略低于预期，股价下跌超过 4%。</blockquote></p><p>Snap shares, meanwhile, jumped 9% after it said&nbsp;it saw accelerating revenue growth and strong user numbers during the first quarter. Snap broke even on the bottom line while posting revenue of $770 million.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Snap股价上涨 9%，此前该公司表示第一季度收入增长加速，用户数量强劲。Snap实现了盈亏平衡，同时公布了 7.7 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p>Corporations have for the most part managed to beat Wall Street’s forecasts thus far into earnings season. Still, strong first-quarter results have been met with a more tepid response from investors, who have not, to date, snapped up shares of companies with some of the best results.</p><p><blockquote>财报季到目前为止，各公司的业绩在很大程度上超出了华尔街的预测。尽管如此，强劲的第一季度业绩还是遭到了投资者的冷淡反应，迄今为止，投资者还没有抢购业绩最好的公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Strategists say already-high valuations and near-record-high levels on the S&amp;P 500 and Dow have kept traders’ enthusiasm in check. But indexes are within 1.5% of their all-time highs even after Thursday’s losses.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，标普500和道琼斯指数已经很高的估值以及接近历史新高的水平抑制了交易员的热情。但即使在周四下跌之后，股指仍距离历史高点不到 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin&nbsp;plunged overnight, perhaps in part because of concerns about higher capital gains taxes, with the cryptocurrency last down about 8%, according to CoinMetrics. Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum were also getting hit. So far, the sell-off there was not spilling over into other risk assets like equities.</p><p><blockquote>根据 CoinMetrics 的数据，比特币隔夜暴跌，部分原因可能是对更高资本利得税的担忧，加密货币最终下跌约 8%。以太币等其他加密货币也受到了打击。到目前为止，那里的抛售还没有蔓延到股票等其他风险资产。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNAP":"Snap Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","INTC":"英特尔",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101099559","content_text":"U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday as Wall Street reassessed concerns arising from news that the White House could seek a hike to the capital gains tax.The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 200 points amid a jump in Goldman Sachs and Apple shares. The S&P 500 rose 1% led by financials and technology shares, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.2%.Wall Street came off a turbulent session for equities after multiple news outlets reported Thursday afternoon that President Joe Biden is slated to propose much higher capital gains taxes for the rich.Bloomberg News reported that Biden is planning a capital gains tax hike to as high as 43.4% for wealthy Americans.The proposal would hike the capital gains rate to 39.6% for those earning $1 million or more, up from 20% currently, according to Bloomberg News, citing people familiar with the matter. Reuters and the New York Times later also reported similar stories.“We expect Congress will pass a scaled back version of this tax increase,” wrote Goldman Sachs economists in a note. “We expect Congress will settle on a more modest increase, potentially around 28%.”Week to date, the three major averages are all down about 1%.Intel shares dropped more than 5% after it issued second-quarter earnings guidance below analysts’ hopes. American Express fell over 4% after the credit card company reported quarterly revenue that was slightly short of forecasts.Snap shares, meanwhile, jumped 9% after it said it saw accelerating revenue growth and strong user numbers during the first quarter. Snap broke even on the bottom line while posting revenue of $770 million.Corporations have for the most part managed to beat Wall Street’s forecasts thus far into earnings season. Still, strong first-quarter results have been met with a more tepid response from investors, who have not, to date, snapped up shares of companies with some of the best results.Strategists say already-high valuations and near-record-high levels on the S&P 500 and Dow have kept traders’ enthusiasm in check. But indexes are within 1.5% of their all-time highs even after Thursday’s losses.Bitcoin plunged overnight, perhaps in part because of concerns about higher capital gains taxes, with the cryptocurrency last down about 8%, according to CoinMetrics. Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum were also getting hit. So far, the sell-off there was not spilling over into other risk assets like equities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"INTC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SNAP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372865012,"gmtCreate":1619192004536,"gmtModify":1634287851425,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool. Comment","listText":"Cool. Comment","text":"Cool. Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372865012","repostId":"1128911279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":345633571,"gmtCreate":1618307662993,"gmtModify":1634293829094,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Sure can&nbsp;","listText":"Sure can&nbsp;","text":"Sure can","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/345633571","repostId":"1194635432","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342654295,"gmtCreate":1618214548317,"gmtModify":1634294390217,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Liked","listText":"Liked","text":"Liked","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342654295","repostId":"1137529737","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137529737","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618184239,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137529737?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-12 07:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、比特币基地和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137529737","media":"Barrons","summary":"First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of ","content":"<p>First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed&nbsp;by Bank of&nbsp;America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度财报季将于本周拉开帷幕，一如既往地从美国几家最大银行的业绩开始。高盛集团、摩根大通和富国银行周三发布报告，随后美国银行和花旗集团周四发布报告，摩根士丹利周五发布报告。</blockquote></p><p>Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial&nbsp;supplier&nbsp;Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and&nbsp;UnitedHealth Group&nbsp;publish results on Thursday. And&nbsp;Kansas City Southern&nbsp;reports on Friday.&nbsp; A total of 22&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布报告的其他知名公司包括工业供应商 Fastenalon 周二。达美航空公司、百事公司和联合健康集团将于周四公布业绩。堪萨斯城南方报周五报道。本周共有 22 家标普500公司发布报告，下周将有 64 家。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac3c413681d3a9e134223c4d1a02d883\" tg-width=\"1410\" tg-height=\"586\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.</p><p><blockquote>对于经济数据来说，这也是繁忙的一周。周二，劳工统计局报告了3月份的消费者价格指数，全国独立企业联合会发布了3月份的小企业乐观指数。然后在周四，人口普查局报告了3月份的零售销售数据。周五，密歇根大学发布了 4 月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p>Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的住房市场数据包括全美住宅建筑商协会（National Association of Home Builders）周四公布的 NAHB/富国银行（Wells Fargo）4 月份住房市场指数和人口普查局（Census Bureau）周五公布的 3 月份新住宅建筑数据。</blockquote></p><p><b>Monday 4/12</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12月4日星期一</b></blockquote></p><p>Nvidia&nbsp;hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.</p><p><blockquote>Nvidia 将举办 2021 年投资者日及其 GPU 技术大会。英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋将发表主题演讲。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 4/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 4/13</b></blockquote></p><p>Fastenal reports quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Fastenal 报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了三月份的消费者价格指数。经济学家预测月度增长 0.4%，与 2 月份的数据一致。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨0.2%，此前2月份小幅上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业发布3月份小企业乐观指数。一致估计读数为 98，高于 2 月份的 95.8。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 4/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 4/14</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings season begins</b>&nbsp;in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.</p><p><blockquote><b>财报季开始</b>认真与一些最大的货币中心和投资银行进行报告。摩根大通、富国银行和高盛集团在开盘前发布第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>First Republic Bankreleases earnings.</p><p><blockquote>第一共和银行发布收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>Coinbase Global</b>&nbsp;is set to&nbsp;make its Wall Street debut&nbsp;on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地全球</b>将于周三通过在纳斯达克直接上市的方式在华尔街首次亮相。</blockquote></p><p><b>The BLS reports</b>&nbsp;export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告</b>3月份进出口价格数据。预计出口价格将环比上涨 1%，而进口价格将上涨 0.8%。相比之下，2 月份的涨幅分别为 1.6% 和 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次中的第二次发布褐皮书。这本褐皮书收集了12个联储辖区当前经济状况的轶事信息。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 4/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 4/15</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行、贝莱德、嘉信理财、花旗集团、达美航空、百事可乐、PPG Industries、Truist Financial、美国。Bancorp 和联合健康集团报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>住宅建筑商协会发布了4月份的NAHB/富国银行房地产市场指数。经济学家预测读数为84.5，高于3月份的数据。任何高于 50 的读数都表明房屋建筑商看好未来六个月的房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份零售销售数据。普遍的看涨期权是，消费者支出继 2 月份下降 3% 后，环比增长 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 4/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4/16星期五</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行、公民金融集团、堪萨斯城南方银行、摩根士丹利、PNC 金融服务集团和道富银行在评级举行会议讨论盈利。</blockquote></p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b>&nbsp;releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>密歇根大学</b>发布4月份消费者信心指数。预期读数是88。3 月份的数字为 84.9，是一年前以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的新屋开工年率为161万套，环比增长13%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、比特币基地和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、比特币基地和其他投资者本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-12 07:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed&nbsp;by Bank of&nbsp;America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度财报季将于本周拉开帷幕，一如既往地从美国几家最大银行的业绩开始。高盛集团、摩根大通和富国银行周三发布报告，随后美国银行和花旗集团周四发布报告，摩根士丹利周五发布报告。</blockquote></p><p>Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial&nbsp;supplier&nbsp;Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and&nbsp;UnitedHealth Group&nbsp;publish results on Thursday. And&nbsp;Kansas City Southern&nbsp;reports on Friday.&nbsp; A total of 22&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布报告的其他知名公司包括工业供应商 Fastenalon 周二。达美航空公司、百事公司和联合健康集团将于周四公布业绩。堪萨斯城南方报周五报道。本周共有 22 家标普500公司发布报告，下周将有 64 家。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac3c413681d3a9e134223c4d1a02d883\" tg-width=\"1410\" tg-height=\"586\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.</p><p><blockquote>对于经济数据来说，这也是繁忙的一周。周二，劳工统计局报告了3月份的消费者价格指数，全国独立企业联合会发布了3月份的小企业乐观指数。然后在周四，人口普查局报告了3月份的零售销售数据。周五，密歇根大学发布了 4 月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p>Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的住房市场数据包括全美住宅建筑商协会（National Association of Home Builders）周四公布的 NAHB/富国银行（Wells Fargo）4 月份住房市场指数和人口普查局（Census Bureau）周五公布的 3 月份新住宅建筑数据。</blockquote></p><p><b>Monday 4/12</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12月4日星期一</b></blockquote></p><p>Nvidia&nbsp;hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.</p><p><blockquote>Nvidia 将举办 2021 年投资者日及其 GPU 技术大会。英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋将发表主题演讲。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 4/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 4/13</b></blockquote></p><p>Fastenal reports quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Fastenal 报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了三月份的消费者价格指数。经济学家预测月度增长 0.4%，与 2 月份的数据一致。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨0.2%，此前2月份小幅上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业发布3月份小企业乐观指数。一致估计读数为 98，高于 2 月份的 95.8。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 4/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三 4/14</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings season begins</b>&nbsp;in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.</p><p><blockquote><b>财报季开始</b>认真与一些最大的货币中心和投资银行进行报告。摩根大通、富国银行和高盛集团在开盘前发布第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>First Republic Bankreleases earnings.</p><p><blockquote>第一共和银行发布收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>Coinbase Global</b>&nbsp;is set to&nbsp;make its Wall Street debut&nbsp;on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地全球</b>将于周三通过在纳斯达克直接上市的方式在华尔街首次亮相。</blockquote></p><p><b>The BLS reports</b>&nbsp;export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告</b>3月份进出口价格数据。预计出口价格将环比上涨 1%，而进口价格将上涨 0.8%。相比之下，2 月份的涨幅分别为 1.6% 和 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b>&nbsp;releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次中的第二次发布褐皮书。这本褐皮书收集了12个联储辖区当前经济状况的轶事信息。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 4/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 4/15</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行、贝莱德、嘉信理财、花旗集团、达美航空、百事可乐、PPG Industries、Truist Financial、美国。Bancorp 和联合健康集团报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>住宅建筑商协会发布了4月份的NAHB/富国银行房地产市场指数。经济学家预测读数为84.5，高于3月份的数据。任何高于 50 的读数都表明房屋建筑商看好未来六个月的房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份零售销售数据。普遍的看涨期权是，消费者支出继 2 月份下降 3% 后，环比增长 1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 4/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4/16星期五</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and&nbsp;State Street&nbsp;hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行、公民金融集团、堪萨斯城南方银行、摩根士丹利、PNC 金融服务集团和道富银行在评级举行会议讨论盈利。</blockquote></p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b>&nbsp;releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>密歇根大学</b>发布4月份消费者信心指数。预期读数是88。3 月份的数字为 84.9，是一年前以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测，经季节性调整后的新屋开工年率为161万套，环比增长13%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛","NVDA":"英伟达",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","MS":"摩根士丹利","WFC":"富国银行",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","JPM":"摩根大通"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137529737","content_text":"First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed by Bank of America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial supplier Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and UnitedHealth Group publish results on Thursday. And Kansas City Southern reports on Friday.  A total of 22 S&P 500 companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.Monday 4/12Nvidia hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.Tuesday 4/13Fastenal reports quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.Wednesday 4/14Earnings season begins in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.First Republic Bankreleases earnings.Coinbase Global is set to make its Wall Street debut on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.The BLS reports export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.Thursday 4/15Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.The National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.The Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.Friday 4/16Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and State Street hold conference calls to discuss earnings.The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WFC":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"MS":0.9,"GS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2873,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346875583,"gmtCreate":1618025620842,"gmtModify":1634295160814,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Reawakening","listText":"Reawakening","text":"Reawakening","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346875583","repostId":"1142324412","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348536393,"gmtCreate":1617939068112,"gmtModify":1634295628246,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Where some people are sleeping","listText":"Where some people are sleeping","text":"Where some people are sleeping","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348536393","repostId":"2126012847","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3008,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341771128,"gmtCreate":1617861767364,"gmtModify":1634296082907,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"More stimulus program to boost it further&nbsp;","listText":"More stimulus program to boost it further&nbsp;","text":"More stimulus program to boost it further","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341771128","repostId":"1141543306","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141543306","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617859073,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141543306?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-08 13:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Dilemma – How to Stimulate An Economy That Is Already Recovering?<blockquote>美国的困境——如何刺激已经在复苏的经济？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141543306","media":"VantagePoint","summary":"he United States economy is recovering fast from the economic recession generated by the COVID-19 vi","content":"<p><b>he United States economy is recovering fast from the economic recession generated by the COVID-19 virus. Thanks to the successful vaccination campaign currently ongoing, the U.S. is on track to reach herd immunity in three months’ time.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国经济正在从新冠肺炎病毒造成的经济衰退中快速复苏。由于目前正在进行的成功疫苗接种活动，美国有望在三个月内实现群体免疫。</b></blockquote></p><p>Naturally, this leads to the economy at risk of overheating. If the $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus delivered in the first quarter of the year was not enough, Congress is about to approve another $2.4 trillion this year.</p><p><blockquote>自然，这导致经济面临过热的风险。如果今年第一季度提供的1.9万亿美元财政刺激还不够，国会今年即将批准另外2.4万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Dubbed the “American Jobs Plan”, public investment will increase inflation expectations and boost productivity. It is focusing on a combination of long-term projects in areas such as green energy initiatives, education, healthcare, and infrastructure.</p><p><blockquote>被称为 “美国就业计划 ”的公共投资将提高通胀预期并提高生产率。它专注于绿色能源计划、教育、医疗保健和基础设施等领域的长期项目。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55cacbbb5c2b9b703b03697cca867895\" tg-width=\"2048\" tg-height=\"1108\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Judging by the strong NFP report for the month of March, the new stimulus will push the labor market faster to its pre-pandemic trend. Hence, the Fed will be forced to adjust its monetary policy sooner than expected initially, despite maintaining a dovish stance.</p><p><blockquote>从3月份强劲的NFP报告来看，新的刺激措施将推动劳动力市场更快地恢复到大流行前的趋势。因此，尽管美联储维持鸽派立场，但仍将被迫比最初预期更早调整货币政策。</blockquote></p><p><b>Bond Market Puts Pressure on the Fed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券市场给美联储带来压力</b></blockquote></p><p>Three forces dominate financial markets at this point in time. One is the U.S. Congress and the speed of releasing fiscal stimulus. Another is the vaccination campaign that will lead to herd immunity faster than rival economies. Finally, there is the Fed willing to remain accommodative while the economy recovers.</p><p><blockquote>目前，有三种力量主导着金融市场。一个是美国。国会和释放财政刺激的速度。另一个是疫苗接种运动，它将比竞争对手经济体更快地实现群体免疫。最后，美联储愿意在经济复苏期间保持宽松。</blockquote></p><p>In the middle, there is the bond market. The Bloomberg/Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index represents intermediate-term investment grade bonds traded in the United States.</p><p><blockquote>中间是债券市场。彭博/巴克莱美国综合债券指数代表在美国交易的中期投资级债券。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93a4f3138085496772df41dfc9c8ea17\" tg-width=\"1667\" tg-height=\"1238\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The first quarter of the year was very bad for bonds, as they delivered a loss of 3.37% to investors. This is the worst quarterly return since 1976, and the explanation comes from low coupons and very long durations.</p><p><blockquote>今年第一季度债券表现非常糟糕，投资者损失了 3.37%。这是自 1976 年以来最差的季度回报，原因在于息票低且持续时间过长。</blockquote></p><p>Declining bond prices mean higher yields, and if the trend continues in the second half of the year, the Fed will break. Make no mistake that the market will put pressure on the Fed as long as the bond market remains in pain.</p><p><blockquote>债券价格下跌意味着收益率上升，如果这一趋势在下半年持续，美联储将破产。毫无疑问，只要债券市场仍然处于痛苦之中，市场就会对美联储施加压力。</blockquote></p><p>The dilemma facing the United States policymakers is how to find a balance between fiscal and monetary stimulus, so that the bond market is not depressed and the economy to avoid overheating. One way to do it is to simply let the yields rise and thus, the financial tightening that comes along will compensate for the Fed’s lack of action. However, that will play out only if the stock market remains at current levels.</p><p><blockquote>美国决策者面临的困境是，如何在财政和货币刺激之间找到平衡，使债券市场不低迷，经济避免过热。一种方法是让收益率上升，这样随之而来的金融紧缩政策就能弥补美联储的不作为。然而，只有当股市保持在当前水平时，这种情况才会发生。</blockquote></p><p>To sum up, the next few months are extremely important for the market participants – we may be at the start of new trends that will influence financial assets for the rest of the year.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，未来几个月对市场参与者来说极其重要——我们可能正处于新趋势的开始，这些趋势将影响今年剩余时间的金融资产。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1615437168461","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Dilemma – How to Stimulate An Economy That Is Already Recovering?<blockquote>美国的困境——如何刺激已经在复苏的经济？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Dilemma – How to Stimulate An Economy That Is Already Recovering?<blockquote>美国的困境——如何刺激已经在复苏的经济？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">VantagePoint</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-08 13:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>he United States economy is recovering fast from the economic recession generated by the COVID-19 virus. Thanks to the successful vaccination campaign currently ongoing, the U.S. is on track to reach herd immunity in three months’ time.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国经济正在从新冠肺炎病毒造成的经济衰退中快速复苏。由于目前正在进行的成功疫苗接种活动，美国有望在三个月内实现群体免疫。</b></blockquote></p><p>Naturally, this leads to the economy at risk of overheating. If the $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus delivered in the first quarter of the year was not enough, Congress is about to approve another $2.4 trillion this year.</p><p><blockquote>自然，这导致经济面临过热的风险。如果今年第一季度提供的1.9万亿美元财政刺激还不够，国会今年即将批准另外2.4万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Dubbed the “American Jobs Plan”, public investment will increase inflation expectations and boost productivity. It is focusing on a combination of long-term projects in areas such as green energy initiatives, education, healthcare, and infrastructure.</p><p><blockquote>被称为 “美国就业计划 ”的公共投资将提高通胀预期并提高生产率。它专注于绿色能源计划、教育、医疗保健和基础设施等领域的长期项目。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55cacbbb5c2b9b703b03697cca867895\" tg-width=\"2048\" tg-height=\"1108\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Judging by the strong NFP report for the month of March, the new stimulus will push the labor market faster to its pre-pandemic trend. Hence, the Fed will be forced to adjust its monetary policy sooner than expected initially, despite maintaining a dovish stance.</p><p><blockquote>从3月份强劲的NFP报告来看，新的刺激措施将推动劳动力市场更快地恢复到大流行前的趋势。因此，尽管美联储维持鸽派立场，但仍将被迫比最初预期更早调整货币政策。</blockquote></p><p><b>Bond Market Puts Pressure on the Fed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>债券市场给美联储带来压力</b></blockquote></p><p>Three forces dominate financial markets at this point in time. One is the U.S. Congress and the speed of releasing fiscal stimulus. Another is the vaccination campaign that will lead to herd immunity faster than rival economies. Finally, there is the Fed willing to remain accommodative while the economy recovers.</p><p><blockquote>目前，有三种力量主导着金融市场。一个是美国。国会和释放财政刺激的速度。另一个是疫苗接种运动，它将比竞争对手经济体更快地实现群体免疫。最后，美联储愿意在经济复苏期间保持宽松。</blockquote></p><p>In the middle, there is the bond market. The Bloomberg/Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index represents intermediate-term investment grade bonds traded in the United States.</p><p><blockquote>中间是债券市场。彭博/巴克莱美国综合债券指数代表在美国交易的中期投资级债券。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93a4f3138085496772df41dfc9c8ea17\" tg-width=\"1667\" tg-height=\"1238\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The first quarter of the year was very bad for bonds, as they delivered a loss of 3.37% to investors. This is the worst quarterly return since 1976, and the explanation comes from low coupons and very long durations.</p><p><blockquote>今年第一季度债券表现非常糟糕，投资者损失了 3.37%。这是自 1976 年以来最差的季度回报，原因在于息票低且持续时间过长。</blockquote></p><p>Declining bond prices mean higher yields, and if the trend continues in the second half of the year, the Fed will break. Make no mistake that the market will put pressure on the Fed as long as the bond market remains in pain.</p><p><blockquote>债券价格下跌意味着收益率上升，如果这一趋势在下半年持续，美联储将破产。毫无疑问，只要债券市场仍然处于痛苦之中，市场就会对美联储施加压力。</blockquote></p><p>The dilemma facing the United States policymakers is how to find a balance between fiscal and monetary stimulus, so that the bond market is not depressed and the economy to avoid overheating. One way to do it is to simply let the yields rise and thus, the financial tightening that comes along will compensate for the Fed’s lack of action. However, that will play out only if the stock market remains at current levels.</p><p><blockquote>美国决策者面临的困境是，如何在财政和货币刺激之间找到平衡，使债券市场不低迷，经济避免过热。一种方法是让收益率上升，这样随之而来的金融紧缩政策就能弥补美联储的不作为。然而，只有当股市保持在当前水平时，这种情况才会发生。</blockquote></p><p>To sum up, the next few months are extremely important for the market participants – we may be at the start of new trends that will influence financial assets for the rest of the year.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，未来几个月对市场参与者来说极其重要——我们可能正处于新趋势的开始，这些趋势将影响今年剩余时间的金融资产。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://vantagepointtrading.com/news/u-s-dilemma-how-to-stimulate-an-economy-that-is-already-recovering/\">VantagePoint</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://vantagepointtrading.com/news/u-s-dilemma-how-to-stimulate-an-economy-that-is-already-recovering/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141543306","content_text":"he United States economy is recovering fast from the economic recession generated by the COVID-19 virus. Thanks to the successful vaccination campaign currently ongoing, the U.S. is on track to reach herd immunity in three months’ time.Naturally, this leads to the economy at risk of overheating. If the $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus delivered in the first quarter of the year was not enough, Congress is about to approve another $2.4 trillion this year.Dubbed the “American Jobs Plan”, public investment will increase inflation expectations and boost productivity. It is focusing on a combination of long-term projects in areas such as green energy initiatives, education, healthcare, and infrastructure.Judging by the strong NFP report for the month of March, the new stimulus will push the labor market faster to its pre-pandemic trend. Hence, the Fed will be forced to adjust its monetary policy sooner than expected initially, despite maintaining a dovish stance.Bond Market Puts Pressure on the FedThree forces dominate financial markets at this point in time. One is the U.S. Congress and the speed of releasing fiscal stimulus. Another is the vaccination campaign that will lead to herd immunity faster than rival economies. Finally, there is the Fed willing to remain accommodative while the economy recovers.In the middle, there is the bond market. The Bloomberg/Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index represents intermediate-term investment grade bonds traded in the United States.The first quarter of the year was very bad for bonds, as they delivered a loss of 3.37% to investors. This is the worst quarterly return since 1976, and the explanation comes from low coupons and very long durations.Declining bond prices mean higher yields, and if the trend continues in the second half of the year, the Fed will break. Make no mistake that the market will put pressure on the Fed as long as the bond market remains in pain.The dilemma facing the United States policymakers is how to find a balance between fiscal and monetary stimulus, so that the bond market is not depressed and the economy to avoid overheating. One way to do it is to simply let the yields rise and thus, the financial tightening that comes along will compensate for the Fed’s lack of action. However, that will play out only if the stock market remains at current levels.To sum up, the next few months are extremely important for the market participants – we may be at the start of new trends that will influence financial assets for the rest of the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341631850,"gmtCreate":1617807047470,"gmtModify":1634296386653,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Down","listText":"Down","text":"Down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341631850","repostId":"2125609728","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341633756,"gmtCreate":1617807030575,"gmtModify":1634296386896,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Omg","listText":"Omg","text":"Omg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341633756","repostId":"2125172860","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343151992,"gmtCreate":1617694223616,"gmtModify":1634297073180,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hopefully it don’t happen so soon","listText":"Hopefully it don’t happen so soon","text":"Hopefully it don’t happen so soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343151992","repostId":"1101907559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101907559","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617672655,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1101907559?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-06 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每 10 年就会引发一次——Archegos 可能是对的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101907559","media":"marketwatch","summary":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能确定所谓家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机永远不会完全相同。20 世纪 80 年代末，全国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终纳税人获得了约 2650 亿美元的救助（按 2021 年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄罗斯的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运作方式如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦-格林斯潘（Alan Greenspan）说，当 LTCM 失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何能与他感受到的恐怖相提并论的东西”。LTCM 被认为 “大到不能倒”，他策划了 14 家美国主要金融机构的救助计划。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构过度使用杠杆，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行又一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人出手相救。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆炸，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于门外汉来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思： 咨询公司安永估计，全球约有 10,000 家家族理财室，但市场研究公司坎普登研究公司（Campden Research）的另一项估计显示，管理规模接近 6 万亿美元。鉴于 2019 年的数据，这 6 万亿美元现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的资金管理人</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这就是潜在的危险。家族理财室一般不受监管。1940 年的《投资顾问法》规定，拥有 15 家或以下客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元在起作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，投资了什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大力押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司（Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS），-1.19%，美国上市中国辅导公司跟谁学公司（GSX），-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司ViacomCBS Inc.VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。股价最近暴跌，引发了 Archegos 的大规模出售——约 300 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道 Archegos 与华尔街的一些大公司合作，包括瑞士信贷集团 AGCS（+1.59%）、瑞银集团 AGUBS（+1.01%）、高盛集团 GS（-1.25%）、摩根士丹利 MS（-0.28%）、德意志银行 AGDB，+0.74% 和野村控股公司 NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但是，由于家族理财室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说出这里到底涉及多少钱，市场风险有多大？我的同事马克-德坎布雷（Mark DeCambre）上周报道称，Archegos 的真实不良交易风险实际上可能接近 1000 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的来源。随着 Archegos 的赌注走向南方，上述银行--考虑到自己的损失--用保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行很快抛售了约 40 亿美元的持股，而据说高盛和摩根士丹利也已解除头寸，这或许限制了它们的下行空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎并非如此。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会已对 Archegos 及其创始人 Bill Hwang 展开初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>一位同行，Fundstrat Global Advisors 的研究主管 Tom Lee，将评级-黄（John Hwang）列为他所知道的 “十大最佳投资头脑 ”之一。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012 年，黄的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司（Tiger Asia Management）被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易，认罪并支付了 6000 多万美元的罚款。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄代表客户管理资金——实质上将他逐出了对冲基金行业。于是 Hwang 开了 Archegos，再说一遍，家族办公室一般都不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）的关注。她上周表示，需要对金融业的这些私人角落进行更严格的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新启动了一个特别工作组，以帮助各机构更好地 “共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯的话来说，家族理财室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在很大程度上被允许在比以往任何时候都更加错综复杂的全球金融体系的阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪拥有，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的崩溃可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但是，谁能说成千上万的其他家族理财室如何处理他们的数万亿美元，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每 10 年就会引发一次——Archegos 可能是对的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每 10 年就会引发一次——Archegos 可能是对的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-06 09:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能确定所谓家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机永远不会完全相同。20 世纪 80 年代末，全国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终纳税人获得了约 2650 亿美元的救助（按 2021 年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄罗斯的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运作方式如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦-格林斯潘（Alan Greenspan）说，当 LTCM 失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何能与他感受到的恐怖相提并论的东西”。LTCM 被认为 “大到不能倒”，他策划了 14 家美国主要金融机构的救助计划。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构过度使用杠杆，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行又一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人出手相救。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆炸，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于门外汉来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思： 咨询公司安永估计，全球约有 10,000 家家族理财室，但市场研究公司坎普登研究公司（Campden Research）的另一项估计显示，管理规模接近 6 万亿美元。鉴于 2019 年的数据，这 6 万亿美元现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的资金管理人</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这就是潜在的危险。家族理财室一般不受监管。1940 年的《投资顾问法》规定，拥有 15 家或以下客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元在起作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，投资了什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大力押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司（Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS），-1.19%，美国上市中国辅导公司跟谁学公司（GSX），-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司ViacomCBS Inc.VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。股价最近暴跌，引发了 Archegos 的大规模出售——约 300 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道 Archegos 与华尔街的一些大公司合作，包括瑞士信贷集团 AGCS（+1.59%）、瑞银集团 AGUBS（+1.01%）、高盛集团 GS（-1.25%）、摩根士丹利 MS（-0.28%）、德意志银行 AGDB，+0.74% 和野村控股公司 NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但是，由于家族理财室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说出这里到底涉及多少钱，市场风险有多大？我的同事马克-德坎布雷（Mark DeCambre）上周报道称，Archegos 的真实不良交易风险实际上可能接近 1000 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的来源。随着 Archegos 的赌注走向南方，上述银行--考虑到自己的损失--用保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行很快抛售了约 40 亿美元的持股，而据说高盛和摩根士丹利也已解除头寸，这或许限制了它们的下行空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎并非如此。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会已对 Archegos 及其创始人 Bill Hwang 展开初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>一位同行，Fundstrat Global Advisors 的研究主管 Tom Lee，将评级-黄（John Hwang）列为他所知道的 “十大最佳投资头脑 ”之一。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012 年，黄的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司（Tiger Asia Management）被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易，认罪并支付了 6000 多万美元的罚款。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄代表客户管理资金——实质上将他逐出了对冲基金行业。于是 Hwang 开了 Archegos，再说一遍，家族办公室一般都不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）的关注。她上周表示，需要对金融业的这些私人角落进行更严格的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新启动了一个特别工作组，以帮助各机构更好地 “共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯的话来说，家族理财室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在很大程度上被允许在比以往任何时候都更加错综复杂的全球金融体系的阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪拥有，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的崩溃可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但是，谁能说成千上万的其他家族理财室如何处理他们的数万亿美元，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352793481,"gmtCreate":1617001677443,"gmtModify":1634523206611,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Amazon go go go&nbsp;","listText":"Amazon go go go&nbsp;","text":"Amazon go go go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352793481","repostId":"1161133814","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":708,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352074187,"gmtCreate":1616845208949,"gmtModify":1634523744677,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Let’s go&nbsp;","listText":"Let’s go&nbsp;","text":"Let’s go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352074187","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358478275,"gmtCreate":1616726113097,"gmtModify":1634524336559,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"May be a good buy","listText":"May be a good buy","text":"May be a good buy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d38aaf89cdeb756ab1b953ab246b9ac","width":"1125","height":"3617"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358478275","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":735,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327385834,"gmtCreate":1616059855328,"gmtModify":1703497025262,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Do u think GME can sustain at this price or go all the way up","listText":"Do u think GME can sustain at this price or go all the way up","text":"Do u think GME can sustain at this price or go all the way up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327385834","repostId":"1148678839","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148678839","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616058050,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1148678839?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-18 17:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beyond WallStreetBets, Analyst Sees GameStop Benefiting From These 3 Factors<blockquote>除了华尔街投注之外，分析师认为游戏驿站受益于这三个因素</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148678839","media":"Benzinga","summary":"GameStop Corp.GME 0.05%has yet to show financial success in an industry that is rapidly shifting to ","content":"<p><div> GameStop Corp.GME 0.05%has yet to show financial success in an industry that is rapidly shifting to digital and its current valuation “far exceeds our high fundamental expectations” but there are ...</p><p><blockquote><div>游戏驿站公司 GME 0.05% 在一个正在快速向数字化转型的行业中，其目前的估值“远远超出了我们较高的基本面预期”，但仍有……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20228117/beyond-wallstreetbets-analyst-sees-gamestop-benefiting-from-these-3-factors\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20228117/beyond-wallstreetbets-analyst-sees-gamestop-benefiting-from-these-3-factors\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beyond WallStreetBets, Analyst Sees GameStop Benefiting From These 3 Factors<blockquote>除了华尔街投注之外，分析师认为游戏驿站受益于这三个因素</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeyond WallStreetBets, Analyst Sees GameStop Benefiting From These 3 Factors<blockquote>除了华尔街投注之外，分析师认为游戏驿站受益于这三个因素</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-18 17:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> GameStop Corp.GME 0.05%has yet to show financial success in an industry that is rapidly shifting to digital and its current valuation “far exceeds our high fundamental expectations” but there are ...</p><p><blockquote><div>游戏驿站公司 GME 0.05% 在一个正在快速向数字化转型的行业中，其目前的估值“远远超出了我们较高的基本面预期”，但仍有……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20228117/beyond-wallstreetbets-analyst-sees-gamestop-benefiting-from-these-3-factors\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20228117/beyond-wallstreetbets-analyst-sees-gamestop-benefiting-from-these-3-factors\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20228117/beyond-wallstreetbets-analyst-sees-gamestop-benefiting-from-these-3-factors\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/03/20228117/beyond-wallstreetbets-analyst-sees-gamestop-benefiting-from-these-3-factors","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148678839","content_text":"GameStop Corp.GME 0.05%has yet to show financial success in an industry that is rapidly shifting to digital and its current valuation “far exceeds our high fundamental expectations” but there are factors favoring the videogame retailer, according to analysts at Telsey Advisory Group.\nThe GameStop Analyst: Telsey reiterated its Underperform rating on the stock and maintained a price target of $33. GameStop is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter results after the markets close on Tuesday.\nThe GameStop Thesis:The analysts expect GameStop to benefit from the new gaming cycle, with current demand outpacing supply for new generationMicrosoft CorporationMSFTandSony CorporationSNEconsoles.\nGameStop is also expected to benefit from its agreement with RC Ventures and the board refresh as well as its healthy balance sheet with a net cash position of $101 million at the end of the fiscal 2020 third quarter.\nFourth-Quarter Expectations: The analysts expect GameStop’s fourth-quarter sales to decline 3% year-over-year to $2.13 billion, on comparable sales growth of 4.5%.\nGameStop E-Commerce Transformation:GameStopsaidin early March that its board has constituted a strategic planning and capital allocation committee to zero in on initiatives to aid its business transformation.\nThe committee, chaired by major shareholder andChewy, Inc.CHWYfounder Ryan Cohen will focus on transforming the company into a technology business. Cohen, through his RC Ventures, owns about a 13% stake in GameStop.\nSince its institution, the committee hasappointedGameStop’s first-ever chief technology officer to oversee the company’s digital business and technology functions. Led by Cohen, GameStop is expected to adopt a digital business and transform from a brick-and-mortar business model.\nPrice Action:GameStop shares closed almost 0.8% higher on Wednesday at $209.81.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":324333855,"gmtCreate":1615961086877,"gmtModify":1703495566169,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hope EV can grow faster","listText":"Hope EV can grow faster","text":"Hope EV can grow faster","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324333855","repostId":"1139290293","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139290293","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615960809,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1139290293?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-17 14:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla, Nikola, and the Weirdness in EV Stocks<blockquote>特斯拉、尼古拉和电动汽车股票的怪异之处</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139290293","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s getting strange in EV-land and this time it isn’t just Tesla.Should investors be worried?Electr","content":"<p>It’s getting strange in EV-land and this time it isn’t just&nbsp;Tesla.Should investors be worried?</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领域的情况越来越奇怪，这一次不仅仅是特斯拉。投资者应该担心吗？</blockquote></p><p>Electric vehicle investors are used to a little weirdness. There are, after all, Elon Musk tweets featuring a dog in haute couture. And the Tesla Cybertruck, due to be delivered later this year, looks like something out of a Mad Max/Blade Runner crossover movie.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车投资者已经习惯了一点怪异。毕竟，埃隆·马斯克在推特上发布了一只穿着高级时装的狗。特斯拉Cybertruck将于今年晚些时候交付，看起来像是《疯狂的麦克斯》/《银翼杀手》交叉电影中的东西。</blockquote></p><p>Still, Tesla took weirdness to another level Monday when, in a regulatory filing, the company announced&nbsp;Musk’s title now included “technoking”and that CFO Zach Kirkhorh would also be known as the title “Master of Coin.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，特斯拉在周一提交的一份监管文件中宣布，马斯克的头衔现在包括 “technoking ”，首席财务官扎克-柯克霍尔（Zach Kirkhorh）也将被称为 “硬币大师 ”，这将怪异提升到了另一个层次。</blockquote></p><p>And then there is EV truck maker&nbsp;Nikola,whose stock has dropped 66% since September. Monday afternoon, it filed a prospectus with the SEC indicating the company&nbsp;planned to sell stock. Companies don’t usually issue cash at low stock prices if they don’t need the money now. Nikola now has more than $800 million in cash on its balance sheet. Its stock is down more than 2% Tuesday morning.</p><p><blockquote>还有电动卡车制造商 Nikola，其股价自 9 月份以来已下跌 66%。周一下午，该公司向美国证券交易委员会提交了招股说明书，表明该公司计划出售股票。如果公司现在不需要这笔钱，通常不会以低股价发行现金。尼古拉现在的资产负债表上有超过8亿美元的现金。周二上午，其股价下跌超过 2%。</blockquote></p><p>And remember, last week EV start-up&nbsp;Canoo&nbsp;took a page out of Tesla’s book by launching a pickup truck that looks a little like a space pod. And the proposed vehicle has more hidden compartments and pullouts than a puzzle box.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，上周电动汽车初创公司 Canoo 借鉴了特斯拉的经验，推出了一款看起来有点像太空舱的皮卡车。拟议的车辆比拼图盒有更多的隐藏隔间和抽屉。</blockquote></p><p>Investors expect such oddities from Elon Musk and Tesla. Whether they will from other EV makers remain to be seen.</p><p><blockquote>投资者期待埃隆·马斯克和特斯拉做出这样的怪事。他们是否会来自其他电动汽车制造商还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla, Nikola, and the Weirdness in EV Stocks<blockquote>特斯拉、尼古拉和电动汽车股票的怪异之处</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla, Nikola, and the Weirdness in EV Stocks<blockquote>特斯拉、尼古拉和电动汽车股票的怪异之处</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-17 14:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s getting strange in EV-land and this time it isn’t just&nbsp;Tesla.Should investors be worried?</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车领域的情况越来越奇怪，这一次不仅仅是特斯拉。投资者应该担心吗？</blockquote></p><p>Electric vehicle investors are used to a little weirdness. There are, after all, Elon Musk tweets featuring a dog in haute couture. And the Tesla Cybertruck, due to be delivered later this year, looks like something out of a Mad Max/Blade Runner crossover movie.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车投资者已经习惯了一点怪异。毕竟，埃隆·马斯克在推特上发布了一只穿着高级时装的狗。特斯拉Cybertruck将于今年晚些时候交付，看起来像是《疯狂的麦克斯》/《银翼杀手》交叉电影中的东西。</blockquote></p><p>Still, Tesla took weirdness to another level Monday when, in a regulatory filing, the company announced&nbsp;Musk’s title now included “technoking”and that CFO Zach Kirkhorh would also be known as the title “Master of Coin.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，特斯拉在周一提交的一份监管文件中宣布，马斯克的头衔现在包括 “technoking ”，首席财务官扎克-柯克霍尔（Zach Kirkhorh）也将被称为 “硬币大师 ”，这将怪异提升到了另一个层次。</blockquote></p><p>And then there is EV truck maker&nbsp;Nikola,whose stock has dropped 66% since September. Monday afternoon, it filed a prospectus with the SEC indicating the company&nbsp;planned to sell stock. Companies don’t usually issue cash at low stock prices if they don’t need the money now. Nikola now has more than $800 million in cash on its balance sheet. Its stock is down more than 2% Tuesday morning.</p><p><blockquote>还有电动卡车制造商 Nikola，其股价自 9 月份以来已下跌 66%。周一下午，该公司向美国证券交易委员会提交了招股说明书，表明该公司计划出售股票。如果公司现在不需要这笔钱，通常不会以低股价发行现金。尼古拉现在的资产负债表上有超过8亿美元的现金。周二上午，其股价下跌超过 2%。</blockquote></p><p>And remember, last week EV start-up&nbsp;Canoo&nbsp;took a page out of Tesla’s book by launching a pickup truck that looks a little like a space pod. And the proposed vehicle has more hidden compartments and pullouts than a puzzle box.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，上周电动汽车初创公司 Canoo 借鉴了特斯拉的经验，推出了一款看起来有点像太空舱的皮卡车。拟议的车辆比拼图盒有更多的隐藏隔间和抽屉。</blockquote></p><p>Investors expect such oddities from Elon Musk and Tesla. Whether they will from other EV makers remain to be seen.</p><p><blockquote>投资者期待埃隆·马斯克和特斯拉做出这样的怪事。他们是否会来自其他电动汽车制造商还有待观察。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-nikola-and-the-weirdness-in-ev-stocks-51615897216?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-nikola-and-the-weirdness-in-ev-stocks-51615897216?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139290293","content_text":"It’s getting strange in EV-land and this time it isn’t just Tesla.Should investors be worried?Electric vehicle investors are used to a little weirdness. There are, after all, Elon Musk tweets featuring a dog in haute couture. And the Tesla Cybertruck, due to be delivered later this year, looks like something out of a Mad Max/Blade Runner crossover movie.Still, Tesla took weirdness to another level Monday when, in a regulatory filing, the company announced Musk’s title now included “technoking”and that CFO Zach Kirkhorh would also be known as the title “Master of Coin.”And then there is EV truck maker Nikola,whose stock has dropped 66% since September. Monday afternoon, it filed a prospectus with the SEC indicating the company planned to sell stock. Companies don’t usually issue cash at low stock prices if they don’t need the money now. Nikola now has more than $800 million in cash on its balance sheet. Its stock is down more than 2% Tuesday morning.And remember, last week EV start-up Canoo took a page out of Tesla’s book by launching a pickup truck that looks a little like a space pod. And the proposed vehicle has more hidden compartments and pullouts than a puzzle box.Investors expect such oddities from Elon Musk and Tesla. Whether they will from other EV makers remain to be seen.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NKLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":736,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":324333386,"gmtCreate":1615961057145,"gmtModify":1703495565824,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Go go go Tesla","listText":"Go go go Tesla","text":"Go go go Tesla","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65960070b3c2e52f10ad301627765e50","width":"1125","height":"3617"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324333386","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325130316,"gmtCreate":1615872646835,"gmtModify":1703494285517,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Sell more","listText":"Sell more","text":"Sell more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325130316","repostId":"1159089513","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":322385449,"gmtCreate":1615774147681,"gmtModify":1703492748741,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Woah","listText":"Woah","text":"Woah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322385449","repostId":"1145609569","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":829,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":322385890,"gmtCreate":1615774117810,"gmtModify":1703492748221,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Will they really do it?&nbsp;","listText":"Will they really do it?&nbsp;","text":"Will they really do it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322385890","repostId":"2119999060","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":328299528,"gmtCreate":1615526751164,"gmtModify":1703490454045,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I hope the good trend continues&nbsp;","listText":"I hope the good trend continues&nbsp;","text":"I hope the good trend continues","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328299528","repostId":"1144029837","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144029837","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615513990,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1144029837?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-12 09:53","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"The Nasdaq's Back, and These 3 Stocks Are Flying High Again<blockquote>纳斯达克回来了，这3只股票再次高歌猛进</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144029837","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"The stock market has been going through a lot of volatility lately, and theNasdaq Composite(NASDAQIN","content":"<p>The stock market has been going through a lot of volatility lately, and the<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC)has found itself on the short end of the stick. Yet on Thursday, the Nasdaq is holding its own again. In fact, as of 1:45 p.m. EST today, the growth-stock benchmark had managed to gain more than 2.5%, leading the rest of the market higher.</p><p><blockquote>近期股市波动较大，<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>（纳斯达克指数：^IXIC）发现自己处于短端。然而在周四，纳斯达克再次举行了自己的会议。事实上，截至下午 1:45美国东部时间今天，成长型股票基准股价上涨超过 2.5%，领先市场其他股票走高。</blockquote></p><p>A lot of well-knowngrowth stockshave taken a lot of punishment in recent weeks, as investors suffered a crisis of confidence in the prospects for many promising companies. On Thursday, though, things seemed to be turning around. In particular, shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a></b>(NASDAQ: MELI),<b>Okta</b>(NASDAQ: OKTA), and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings</b>(NASDAQ: PYPL)are outpacing the Nasdaq's gains and aiming to bounce back fully from their setbacks in late February and earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，许多知名的成长型股票受到了很多惩罚，因为投资者对许多有前途的公司的前景遭遇了信心危机。然而，周四，情况似乎有所好转。特别是，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">自由市场</a></b>（纳斯达克语：MELI），<b>奥克塔</b>（纳斯达克：OKTA），以及<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>控股</b>（纳斯达克：PYPL）的涨幅超过了纳斯达克指数，并旨在从 2 月底和本月初的挫折中完全反弹。</blockquote></p><p><b>MercadoLibre's back in business</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MercadoLibre 重新开业</b></blockquote></p><p>Less than a week ago, shares of MercadoLibre were down as much as 30% from their highs from earlier this year. Yet they've bounced back considerably, with today's nearly 10% gain helping to claw back lost ground.</p><p><blockquote>不到一周前，MercadoLibre 的股价较今年早些时候的高点下跌了 30%。然而，他们已经大幅反弹，今天近 10% 的涨幅有助于收复失地。</blockquote></p><p>The Latin American e-commerce specialist got a vote of confidence from analysts at BTIG on Thursday. They upgraded the stock from neutral to buy and set a price target of $1,720 per share. That provides MercadoLibre with additional upside of another 10% even from this afternoon's elevated price levels.</p><p><blockquote>这家拉丁美洲电子商务专家周四获得了 BTIG 分析师的信任票。他们将该股评级从中性上调至买入，并将目标价定为每股 1,720 美元。即使今天下午价格水平上涨，这也为 MercadoLibre 提供了另外 10% 的额外上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p>BTIG likes the strategy that MercadoLibre has been following, especially given the way that it has been able to add in ancillary services to its core e-commerce marketplace. The Mercado Pago payment network has been a hit all on its own, and it's generating considerable traffic from outside the MercadoLibre ecosystem. It also appears that the company is gaining market share overall from other players in the key Brazilian market.</p><p><blockquote>BTIG 喜欢 MercadoLibre 一直遵循的战略，特别是考虑到它能够向其核心电子商务市场添加辅助服务的方式。Mercado Pago支付网络本身就很受欢迎，它从MercadoLibre生态系统之外产生了大量流量。该公司似乎也从巴西主要市场的其他参与者那里获得了整体市场份额。</blockquote></p><p><b>Investors might like Okta's big buy after all</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毕竟，投资者可能会喜欢 Okta 的大买入</b></blockquote></p><p>Shares of Okta were up 8%, continuing an advance that has taken the cyber-identity specialist's stock up about 20% from its recent lows. The stock was down as much as 30%, but fundamentally, Okta looks like it's doing things right.</p><p><blockquote>Okta 股价上涨 8%，延续了这家网络身份专家的股价从近期低点上涨约 20% 的涨势。该股下跌了 30%，但从根本上来说，Okta 看起来做得很好。</blockquote></p><p>The company originally lost ground when it reported fourth-quarter financial results last week. Despite year-over-year revenue gains of 40% and a modest profit for the period, investors weren't sure how to take guidance that suggested somewhat slower revenue growth and a possible loss.</p><p><blockquote>该公司上周公布第四季度财务业绩时最初失利。尽管同期收入同比增长 40%，利润适中，但投资者不确定如何接受收入增长放缓和可能亏损的指导。</blockquote></p><p>Also raising a few questions wasOkta's $6.5 billion acquisition bidfor privately held Auth0, which focuses on customer identity management. That's a growth area, and some have said that the Auth0 product actually has some advantages over Okta's competing offering that made a buyout a win-win for Okta. Yet when the market was losing faith in growth stocks, it seemed like an ill-timed foray.</p><p><blockquote>wasOkta 斥资 65 亿美元收购专注于客户身份管理的私人控股公司 Auth0，这也引发了一些问题。这是一个增长领域，一些人表示，Auth0 产品实际上比 Okta 的竞争产品具有一些优势，这使得收购对 Okta 来说是双赢的。然而，当市场对成长型股票失去信心时，这似乎是一次不合时宜的尝试。</blockquote></p><p>It's clear, though, that Okta isn't going to have any shortage of clients looking for identity verification services. That awareness is lifting the stock once again, and it could help build more momentum for Okta in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>不过，很明显，Okta不会缺少寻求身份验证服务的客户。这种认识再次提振了该股，从长远来看，它可能有助于为 Okta 建立更多动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>Paying the piper</b></p><p><blockquote><b>付钱给吹笛人</b></blockquote></p><p>Lastly, shares of PayPal Holdings gained about 5%. The payment network specialist has taken a 25% hit, but it's rising on a number of strategic moves.</p><p><blockquote>最后，PayPal控股的股价上涨了约5%。这家支付网络专家遭受了 25% 的打击，但由于一系列战略举措，其股价正在上升。</blockquote></p><p>First,PayPal recently finalized its agreement to buy Curv, a cryptocurrency security company. Crypto has been a big business for PayPal since late last year, when it started offering select tokens through its app. With crypto prices back near record levels, investors are excited about the potential for PayPal to keep competing effectively in the space.</p><p><blockquote>首先，PayPal 最近敲定了收购加密货币安全公司 Curv 的协议。自去年年底开始通过其应用程序提供精选代币以来，加密货币一直是PayPal的一项大生意。随着加密货币价格回到创纪录水平附近，投资者对PayPal继续在该领域有效竞争的潜力感到兴奋。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, PayPal has also embraced efforts to allow customers to make purchases using short-term installment plans, breaking up purchase prices into four payments. PayPal'sPay in 4service isn't the only <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> in the business, but it represents the company's competitive entry into the space. Together, all these factors are making people feel good about PayPal once again.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，PayPal还努力允许客户使用短期分期付款计划进行购买，将购买价格分为四次付款。PayPal 的 Pay in 4service 并不是唯一的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>在业务中，但它代表了公司进入该领域的竞争。所有这些因素加在一起，让人们再次对PayPal感觉良好。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ride the wave</b></p><p><blockquote><b>乘风破浪</b></blockquote></p><p>Volatility is hard to endure, but selling at lows rarely works out. The recent gains in PayPal, Okta, and MercadoLibre show that strong businesses can bounce back from adversity and reward shareholders who stay the course.</p><p><blockquote>波动性很难忍受，但低价卖出很少奏效。PayPal、Okta 和 MercadoLibre 最近的上涨表明，强大的企业可以从逆境中反弹，并奖励坚持到底的股东。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Nasdaq's Back, and These 3 Stocks Are Flying High Again<blockquote>纳斯达克回来了，这3只股票再次高歌猛进</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Nasdaq's Back, and These 3 Stocks Are Flying High Again<blockquote>纳斯达克回来了，这3只股票再次高歌猛进</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Nasdaq</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-12 09:53</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stock market has been going through a lot of volatility lately, and the<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>(NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC)has found itself on the short end of the stick. Yet on Thursday, the Nasdaq is holding its own again. In fact, as of 1:45 p.m. EST today, the growth-stock benchmark had managed to gain more than 2.5%, leading the rest of the market higher.</p><p><blockquote>近期股市波动较大，<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>（纳斯达克指数：^IXIC）发现自己处于短端。然而在周四，纳斯达克再次举行了自己的会议。事实上，截至下午 1:45美国东部时间今天，成长型股票基准股价上涨超过 2.5%，领先市场其他股票走高。</blockquote></p><p>A lot of well-knowngrowth stockshave taken a lot of punishment in recent weeks, as investors suffered a crisis of confidence in the prospects for many promising companies. On Thursday, though, things seemed to be turning around. In particular, shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">MercadoLibre</a></b>(NASDAQ: MELI),<b>Okta</b>(NASDAQ: OKTA), and<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings</b>(NASDAQ: PYPL)are outpacing the Nasdaq's gains and aiming to bounce back fully from their setbacks in late February and earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>最近几周，许多知名的成长型股票受到了很多惩罚，因为投资者对许多有前途的公司的前景遭遇了信心危机。然而，周四，情况似乎有所好转。特别是，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MELI\">自由市场</a></b>（纳斯达克语：MELI），<b>奥克塔</b>（纳斯达克：OKTA），以及<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>控股</b>（纳斯达克：PYPL）的涨幅超过了纳斯达克指数，并旨在从 2 月底和本月初的挫折中完全反弹。</blockquote></p><p><b>MercadoLibre's back in business</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MercadoLibre 重新开业</b></blockquote></p><p>Less than a week ago, shares of MercadoLibre were down as much as 30% from their highs from earlier this year. Yet they've bounced back considerably, with today's nearly 10% gain helping to claw back lost ground.</p><p><blockquote>不到一周前，MercadoLibre 的股价较今年早些时候的高点下跌了 30%。然而，他们已经大幅反弹，今天近 10% 的涨幅有助于收复失地。</blockquote></p><p>The Latin American e-commerce specialist got a vote of confidence from analysts at BTIG on Thursday. They upgraded the stock from neutral to buy and set a price target of $1,720 per share. That provides MercadoLibre with additional upside of another 10% even from this afternoon's elevated price levels.</p><p><blockquote>这家拉丁美洲电子商务专家周四获得了 BTIG 分析师的信任票。他们将该股评级从中性上调至买入，并将目标价定为每股 1,720 美元。即使今天下午价格水平上涨，这也为 MercadoLibre 提供了另外 10% 的额外上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p>BTIG likes the strategy that MercadoLibre has been following, especially given the way that it has been able to add in ancillary services to its core e-commerce marketplace. The Mercado Pago payment network has been a hit all on its own, and it's generating considerable traffic from outside the MercadoLibre ecosystem. It also appears that the company is gaining market share overall from other players in the key Brazilian market.</p><p><blockquote>BTIG 喜欢 MercadoLibre 一直遵循的战略，特别是考虑到它能够向其核心电子商务市场添加辅助服务的方式。Mercado Pago支付网络本身就很受欢迎，它从MercadoLibre生态系统之外产生了大量流量。该公司似乎也从巴西主要市场的其他参与者那里获得了整体市场份额。</blockquote></p><p><b>Investors might like Okta's big buy after all</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毕竟，投资者可能会喜欢 Okta 的大买入</b></blockquote></p><p>Shares of Okta were up 8%, continuing an advance that has taken the cyber-identity specialist's stock up about 20% from its recent lows. The stock was down as much as 30%, but fundamentally, Okta looks like it's doing things right.</p><p><blockquote>Okta 股价上涨 8%，延续了这家网络身份专家的股价从近期低点上涨约 20% 的涨势。该股下跌了 30%，但从根本上来说，Okta 看起来做得很好。</blockquote></p><p>The company originally lost ground when it reported fourth-quarter financial results last week. Despite year-over-year revenue gains of 40% and a modest profit for the period, investors weren't sure how to take guidance that suggested somewhat slower revenue growth and a possible loss.</p><p><blockquote>该公司上周公布第四季度财务业绩时最初失利。尽管同期收入同比增长 40%，利润适中，但投资者不确定如何接受收入增长放缓和可能亏损的指导。</blockquote></p><p>Also raising a few questions wasOkta's $6.5 billion acquisition bidfor privately held Auth0, which focuses on customer identity management. That's a growth area, and some have said that the Auth0 product actually has some advantages over Okta's competing offering that made a buyout a win-win for Okta. Yet when the market was losing faith in growth stocks, it seemed like an ill-timed foray.</p><p><blockquote>wasOkta 斥资 65 亿美元收购专注于客户身份管理的私人控股公司 Auth0，这也引发了一些问题。这是一个增长领域，一些人表示，Auth0 产品实际上比 Okta 的竞争产品具有一些优势，这使得收购对 Okta 来说是双赢的。然而，当市场对成长型股票失去信心时，这似乎是一次不合时宜的尝试。</blockquote></p><p>It's clear, though, that Okta isn't going to have any shortage of clients looking for identity verification services. That awareness is lifting the stock once again, and it could help build more momentum for Okta in the long run.</p><p><blockquote>不过，很明显，Okta不会缺少寻求身份验证服务的客户。这种认识再次提振了该股，从长远来看，它可能有助于为 Okta 建立更多动力。</blockquote></p><p><b>Paying the piper</b></p><p><blockquote><b>付钱给吹笛人</b></blockquote></p><p>Lastly, shares of PayPal Holdings gained about 5%. The payment network specialist has taken a 25% hit, but it's rising on a number of strategic moves.</p><p><blockquote>最后，PayPal控股的股价上涨了约5%。这家支付网络专家遭受了 25% 的打击，但由于一系列战略举措，其股价正在上升。</blockquote></p><p>First,PayPal recently finalized its agreement to buy Curv, a cryptocurrency security company. Crypto has been a big business for PayPal since late last year, when it started offering select tokens through its app. With crypto prices back near record levels, investors are excited about the potential for PayPal to keep competing effectively in the space.</p><p><blockquote>首先，PayPal 最近敲定了收购加密货币安全公司 Curv 的协议。自去年年底开始通过其应用程序提供精选代币以来，加密货币一直是PayPal的一项大生意。随着加密货币价格回到创纪录水平附近，投资者对PayPal继续在该领域有效竞争的潜力感到兴奋。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, PayPal has also embraced efforts to allow customers to make purchases using short-term installment plans, breaking up purchase prices into four payments. PayPal'sPay in 4service isn't the only <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> in the business, but it represents the company's competitive entry into the space. Together, all these factors are making people feel good about PayPal once again.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，PayPal还努力允许客户使用短期分期付款计划进行购买，将购买价格分为四次付款。PayPal 的 Pay in 4service 并不是唯一的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>在业务中，但它代表了公司进入该领域的竞争。所有这些因素加在一起，让人们再次对PayPal感觉良好。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ride the wave</b></p><p><blockquote><b>乘风破浪</b></blockquote></p><p>Volatility is hard to endure, but selling at lows rarely works out. The recent gains in PayPal, Okta, and MercadoLibre show that strong businesses can bounce back from adversity and reward shareholders who stay the course.</p><p><blockquote>波动性很难忍受，但低价卖出很少奏效。PayPal、Okta 和 MercadoLibre 最近的上涨表明，强大的企业可以从逆境中反弹，并奖励坚持到底的股东。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/the-nasdaqs-back-and-these-3-stocks-are-flying-high-again-2021-03-11\">Nasdaq</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal","MELI":"MercadoLibre","OKTA":"Okta Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/the-nasdaqs-back-and-these-3-stocks-are-flying-high-again-2021-03-11","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144029837","content_text":"The stock market has been going through a lot of volatility lately, and theNasdaq Composite(NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC)has found itself on the short end of the stick. Yet on Thursday, the Nasdaq is holding its own again. In fact, as of 1:45 p.m. EST today, the growth-stock benchmark had managed to gain more than 2.5%, leading the rest of the market higher.A lot of well-knowngrowth stockshave taken a lot of punishment in recent weeks, as investors suffered a crisis of confidence in the prospects for many promising companies. On Thursday, though, things seemed to be turning around. In particular, shares ofMercadoLibre(NASDAQ: MELI),Okta(NASDAQ: OKTA), andPayPal Holdings(NASDAQ: PYPL)are outpacing the Nasdaq's gains and aiming to bounce back fully from their setbacks in late February and earlier this month.MercadoLibre's back in businessLess than a week ago, shares of MercadoLibre were down as much as 30% from their highs from earlier this year. Yet they've bounced back considerably, with today's nearly 10% gain helping to claw back lost ground.The Latin American e-commerce specialist got a vote of confidence from analysts at BTIG on Thursday. They upgraded the stock from neutral to buy and set a price target of $1,720 per share. That provides MercadoLibre with additional upside of another 10% even from this afternoon's elevated price levels.BTIG likes the strategy that MercadoLibre has been following, especially given the way that it has been able to add in ancillary services to its core e-commerce marketplace. The Mercado Pago payment network has been a hit all on its own, and it's generating considerable traffic from outside the MercadoLibre ecosystem. It also appears that the company is gaining market share overall from other players in the key Brazilian market.Investors might like Okta's big buy after allShares of Okta were up 8%, continuing an advance that has taken the cyber-identity specialist's stock up about 20% from its recent lows. The stock was down as much as 30%, but fundamentally, Okta looks like it's doing things right.The company originally lost ground when it reported fourth-quarter financial results last week. Despite year-over-year revenue gains of 40% and a modest profit for the period, investors weren't sure how to take guidance that suggested somewhat slower revenue growth and a possible loss.Also raising a few questions wasOkta's $6.5 billion acquisition bidfor privately held Auth0, which focuses on customer identity management. That's a growth area, and some have said that the Auth0 product actually has some advantages over Okta's competing offering that made a buyout a win-win for Okta. Yet when the market was losing faith in growth stocks, it seemed like an ill-timed foray.It's clear, though, that Okta isn't going to have any shortage of clients looking for identity verification services. That awareness is lifting the stock once again, and it could help build more momentum for Okta in the long run.Paying the piperLastly, shares of PayPal Holdings gained about 5%. The payment network specialist has taken a 25% hit, but it's rising on a number of strategic moves.First,PayPal recently finalized its agreement to buy Curv, a cryptocurrency security company. Crypto has been a big business for PayPal since late last year, when it started offering select tokens through its app. With crypto prices back near record levels, investors are excited about the potential for PayPal to keep competing effectively in the space.Meanwhile, PayPal has also embraced efforts to allow customers to make purchases using short-term installment plans, breaking up purchase prices into four payments. PayPal'sPay in 4service isn't the only one in the business, but it represents the company's competitive entry into the space. Together, all these factors are making people feel good about PayPal once again.Ride the waveVolatility is hard to endure, but selling at lows rarely works out. The recent gains in PayPal, Okta, and MercadoLibre show that strong businesses can bounce back from adversity and reward shareholders who stay the course.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9,"MELI":0.9,"OKTA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133422839,"gmtCreate":1621785991121,"gmtModify":1634186585507,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment&nbsp;","listText":"Comment&nbsp;","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133422839","repostId":"2137907575","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348536393,"gmtCreate":1617939068112,"gmtModify":1634295628246,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Where some people are sleeping","listText":"Where some people are sleeping","text":"Where some people are sleeping","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348536393","repostId":"2126012847","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3008,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343151992,"gmtCreate":1617694223616,"gmtModify":1634297073180,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hopefully it don’t happen so soon","listText":"Hopefully it don’t happen so soon","text":"Hopefully it don’t happen so soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343151992","repostId":"1101907559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101907559","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617672655,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1101907559?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-06 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每 10 年就会引发一次——Archegos 可能是对的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101907559","media":"marketwatch","summary":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能确定所谓家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机永远不会完全相同。20 世纪 80 年代末，全国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终纳税人获得了约 2650 亿美元的救助（按 2021 年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄罗斯的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运作方式如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦-格林斯潘（Alan Greenspan）说，当 LTCM 失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何能与他感受到的恐怖相提并论的东西”。LTCM 被认为 “大到不能倒”，他策划了 14 家美国主要金融机构的救助计划。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构过度使用杠杆，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行又一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人出手相救。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆炸，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于门外汉来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思： 咨询公司安永估计，全球约有 10,000 家家族理财室，但市场研究公司坎普登研究公司（Campden Research）的另一项估计显示，管理规模接近 6 万亿美元。鉴于 2019 年的数据，这 6 万亿美元现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的资金管理人</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这就是潜在的危险。家族理财室一般不受监管。1940 年的《投资顾问法》规定，拥有 15 家或以下客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元在起作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，投资了什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大力押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司（Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS），-1.19%，美国上市中国辅导公司跟谁学公司（GSX），-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司ViacomCBS Inc.VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。股价最近暴跌，引发了 Archegos 的大规模出售——约 300 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道 Archegos 与华尔街的一些大公司合作，包括瑞士信贷集团 AGCS（+1.59%）、瑞银集团 AGUBS（+1.01%）、高盛集团 GS（-1.25%）、摩根士丹利 MS（-0.28%）、德意志银行 AGDB，+0.74% 和野村控股公司 NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但是，由于家族理财室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说出这里到底涉及多少钱，市场风险有多大？我的同事马克-德坎布雷（Mark DeCambre）上周报道称，Archegos 的真实不良交易风险实际上可能接近 1000 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的来源。随着 Archegos 的赌注走向南方，上述银行--考虑到自己的损失--用保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行很快抛售了约 40 亿美元的持股，而据说高盛和摩根士丹利也已解除头寸，这或许限制了它们的下行空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎并非如此。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会已对 Archegos 及其创始人 Bill Hwang 展开初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>一位同行，Fundstrat Global Advisors 的研究主管 Tom Lee，将评级-黄（John Hwang）列为他所知道的 “十大最佳投资头脑 ”之一。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012 年，黄的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司（Tiger Asia Management）被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易，认罪并支付了 6000 多万美元的罚款。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄代表客户管理资金——实质上将他逐出了对冲基金行业。于是 Hwang 开了 Archegos，再说一遍，家族办公室一般都不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）的关注。她上周表示，需要对金融业的这些私人角落进行更严格的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新启动了一个特别工作组，以帮助各机构更好地 “共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯的话来说，家族理财室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在很大程度上被允许在比以往任何时候都更加错综复杂的全球金融体系的阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪拥有，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的崩溃可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但是，谁能说成千上万的其他家族理财室如何处理他们的数万亿美元，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每 10 年就会引发一次——Archegos 可能是对的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每 10 年就会引发一次——Archegos 可能是对的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-06 09:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能确定所谓家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机永远不会完全相同。20 世纪 80 年代末，全国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终纳税人获得了约 2650 亿美元的救助（按 2021 年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄罗斯的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运作方式如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦-格林斯潘（Alan Greenspan）说，当 LTCM 失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何能与他感受到的恐怖相提并论的东西”。LTCM 被认为 “大到不能倒”，他策划了 14 家美国主要金融机构的救助计划。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构过度使用杠杆，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行又一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人出手相救。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆炸，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于门外汉来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思： 咨询公司安永估计，全球约有 10,000 家家族理财室，但市场研究公司坎普登研究公司（Campden Research）的另一项估计显示，管理规模接近 6 万亿美元。鉴于 2019 年的数据，这 6 万亿美元现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的资金管理人</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这就是潜在的危险。家族理财室一般不受监管。1940 年的《投资顾问法》规定，拥有 15 家或以下客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元在起作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，投资了什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大力押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司（Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS），-1.19%，美国上市中国辅导公司跟谁学公司（GSX），-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司ViacomCBS Inc.VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。股价最近暴跌，引发了 Archegos 的大规模出售——约 300 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道 Archegos 与华尔街的一些大公司合作，包括瑞士信贷集团 AGCS（+1.59%）、瑞银集团 AGUBS（+1.01%）、高盛集团 GS（-1.25%）、摩根士丹利 MS（-0.28%）、德意志银行 AGDB，+0.74% 和野村控股公司 NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但是，由于家族理财室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说出这里到底涉及多少钱，市场风险有多大？我的同事马克-德坎布雷（Mark DeCambre）上周报道称，Archegos 的真实不良交易风险实际上可能接近 1000 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的来源。随着 Archegos 的赌注走向南方，上述银行--考虑到自己的损失--用保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行很快抛售了约 40 亿美元的持股，而据说高盛和摩根士丹利也已解除头寸，这或许限制了它们的下行空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎并非如此。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会已对 Archegos 及其创始人 Bill Hwang 展开初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>一位同行，Fundstrat Global Advisors 的研究主管 Tom Lee，将评级-黄（John Hwang）列为他所知道的 “十大最佳投资头脑 ”之一。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012 年，黄的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司（Tiger Asia Management）被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易，认罪并支付了 6000 多万美元的罚款。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄代表客户管理资金——实质上将他逐出了对冲基金行业。于是 Hwang 开了 Archegos，再说一遍，家族办公室一般都不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特-耶伦（Janet Yellen）的关注。她上周表示，需要对金融业的这些私人角落进行更严格的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新启动了一个特别工作组，以帮助各机构更好地 “共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯的话来说，家族理财室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在很大程度上被允许在比以往任何时候都更加错综复杂的全球金融体系的阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪拥有，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的崩溃可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但是，谁能说成千上万的其他家族理财室如何处理他们的数万亿美元，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352074187,"gmtCreate":1616845208949,"gmtModify":1634523744677,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Let’s go&nbsp;","listText":"Let’s go&nbsp;","text":"Let’s go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352074187","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364482174,"gmtCreate":1614869911998,"gmtModify":1703482305902,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"When will US stock market rebound, let’s wait","listText":"When will US stock market rebound, let’s wait","text":"When will US stock market rebound, let’s wait","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364482174","repostId":"1109661138","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372865012,"gmtCreate":1619192004536,"gmtModify":1634287851425,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool. Comment","listText":"Cool. Comment","text":"Cool. Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372865012","repostId":"1128911279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362390579,"gmtCreate":1614593556291,"gmtModify":1703478588440,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"What is happening","listText":"What is happening","text":"What is happening","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362390579","repostId":"1181303892","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372865392,"gmtCreate":1619192019516,"gmtModify":1634287851306,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool, comment","listText":"Cool, comment","text":"Cool, comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372865392","repostId":"1101099559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101099559","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619191663,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1101099559?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-23 23:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow rebounds 200 points led by banks and tech as market shrugs off higher tax fears<blockquote>由于市场对更高的税收担忧不屑一顾，道琼斯指数在银行和科技股的带领下反弹 200 点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101099559","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday as Wall Street reassessed concerns arising from news that the White ","content":"<p>U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday as Wall Street reassessed concerns arising from news that the White House could seek a hike to the capital gains tax.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周五反弹，华尔街重新评估了白宫可能寻求提高资本利得税的消息引发的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 200 points amid a jump in Goldman Sachs and Apple shares. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1% led by financials and technology shares, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.2%.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和苹果股价上涨，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 200 点。在金融和科技股的带领下，标普500上涨 1%，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Wall Street came off a turbulent session for equities after multiple news outlets reported Thursday afternoon that President Joe Biden is slated to propose much higher capital gains taxes for the rich.</p><p><blockquote>周四下午，多家新闻媒体报道称，乔·拜登总统将提议对富人征收更高的资本利得税，此后华尔街股市经历了一个动荡的时段。</blockquote></p><p>Bloomberg News reported that Biden is planning a&nbsp;capital gains tax hike to as high as 43.4%&nbsp;for wealthy Americans.</p><p><blockquote>彭博新闻社报道称，拜登正计划将美国富人的资本利得税提高到43.4%。</blockquote></p><p>The proposal would hike the capital gains rate to 39.6% for&nbsp;those earning $1 million or more, up from 20% currently, according to Bloomberg News, citing people familiar with the matter. Reuters and the New York Times later also reported similar stories.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博新闻社援引知情人士的话称，该提案将把收入100万美元或以上的人的资本利得率从目前的20%提高到39.6%。路透社和《纽约时报》后来也报道了类似的故事。</blockquote></p><p>“We expect Congress will pass a scaled back version of this tax increase,” wrote Goldman Sachs economists in a note. “We expect Congress will settle on a more modest increase, potentially around 28%.”</p><p><blockquote>“高盛经济学家在一份报告中写道：”我们预计国会将通过此次增税的缩减版。“我们预计国会将决定更温和的增幅，可能在28%左右。”</blockquote></p><p>Week to date, the three major averages are all down about 1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周迄今为止，三大平均值均下跌约1%。</blockquote></p><p>Intel shares dropped more than 5% after it issued second-quarter earnings guidance&nbsp;below analysts’ hopes. American Express fell over 4% after the credit card company reported quarterly revenue that was slightly short of forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔发布的第二季度盈利指引低于分析师预期，股价下跌超过 5%。美国运通 (American Express) 公布季度收入略低于预期，股价下跌超过 4%。</blockquote></p><p>Snap shares, meanwhile, jumped 9% after it said&nbsp;it saw accelerating revenue growth and strong user numbers during the first quarter. Snap broke even on the bottom line while posting revenue of $770 million.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Snap股价上涨 9%，此前该公司表示第一季度收入增长加速，用户数量强劲。Snap实现了盈亏平衡，同时公布了 7.7 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p>Corporations have for the most part managed to beat Wall Street’s forecasts thus far into earnings season. Still, strong first-quarter results have been met with a more tepid response from investors, who have not, to date, snapped up shares of companies with some of the best results.</p><p><blockquote>财报季到目前为止，各公司的业绩在很大程度上超出了华尔街的预测。尽管如此，强劲的第一季度业绩还是遭到了投资者的冷淡反应，迄今为止，投资者还没有抢购业绩最好的公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Strategists say already-high valuations and near-record-high levels on the S&amp;P 500 and Dow have kept traders’ enthusiasm in check. But indexes are within 1.5% of their all-time highs even after Thursday’s losses.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，标普500和道琼斯指数已经很高的估值以及接近历史新高的水平抑制了交易员的热情。但即使在周四下跌之后，股指仍距离历史高点不到 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin&nbsp;plunged overnight, perhaps in part because of concerns about higher capital gains taxes, with the cryptocurrency last down about 8%, according to CoinMetrics. Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum were also getting hit. So far, the sell-off there was not spilling over into other risk assets like equities.</p><p><blockquote>根据 CoinMetrics 的数据，比特币隔夜暴跌，部分原因可能是对更高资本利得税的担忧，加密货币最终下跌约 8%。以太币等其他加密货币也受到了打击。到目前为止，那里的抛售还没有蔓延到股票等其他风险资产。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow rebounds 200 points led by banks and tech as market shrugs off higher tax fears<blockquote>由于市场对更高的税收担忧不屑一顾，道琼斯指数在银行和科技股的带领下反弹 200 点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow rebounds 200 points led by banks and tech as market shrugs off higher tax fears<blockquote>由于市场对更高的税收担忧不屑一顾，道琼斯指数在银行和科技股的带领下反弹 200 点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-23 23:27</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday as Wall Street reassessed concerns arising from news that the White House could seek a hike to the capital gains tax.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周五反弹，华尔街重新评估了白宫可能寻求提高资本利得税的消息引发的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 200 points amid a jump in Goldman Sachs and Apple shares. The S&amp;P 500 rose 1% led by financials and technology shares, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.2%.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和苹果股价上涨，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨 200 点。在金融和科技股的带领下，标普500上涨 1%，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Wall Street came off a turbulent session for equities after multiple news outlets reported Thursday afternoon that President Joe Biden is slated to propose much higher capital gains taxes for the rich.</p><p><blockquote>周四下午，多家新闻媒体报道称，乔·拜登总统将提议对富人征收更高的资本利得税，此后华尔街股市经历了一个动荡的时段。</blockquote></p><p>Bloomberg News reported that Biden is planning a&nbsp;capital gains tax hike to as high as 43.4%&nbsp;for wealthy Americans.</p><p><blockquote>彭博新闻社报道称，拜登正计划将美国富人的资本利得税提高到43.4%。</blockquote></p><p>The proposal would hike the capital gains rate to 39.6% for&nbsp;those earning $1 million or more, up from 20% currently, according to Bloomberg News, citing people familiar with the matter. Reuters and the New York Times later also reported similar stories.</p><p><blockquote>据彭博新闻社援引知情人士的话称，该提案将把收入100万美元或以上的人的资本利得率从目前的20%提高到39.6%。路透社和《纽约时报》后来也报道了类似的故事。</blockquote></p><p>“We expect Congress will pass a scaled back version of this tax increase,” wrote Goldman Sachs economists in a note. “We expect Congress will settle on a more modest increase, potentially around 28%.”</p><p><blockquote>“高盛经济学家在一份报告中写道：”我们预计国会将通过此次增税的缩减版。“我们预计国会将决定更温和的增幅，可能在28%左右。”</blockquote></p><p>Week to date, the three major averages are all down about 1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周迄今为止，三大平均值均下跌约1%。</blockquote></p><p>Intel shares dropped more than 5% after it issued second-quarter earnings guidance&nbsp;below analysts’ hopes. American Express fell over 4% after the credit card company reported quarterly revenue that was slightly short of forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>英特尔发布的第二季度盈利指引低于分析师预期，股价下跌超过 5%。美国运通 (American Express) 公布季度收入略低于预期，股价下跌超过 4%。</blockquote></p><p>Snap shares, meanwhile, jumped 9% after it said&nbsp;it saw accelerating revenue growth and strong user numbers during the first quarter. Snap broke even on the bottom line while posting revenue of $770 million.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，Snap股价上涨 9%，此前该公司表示第一季度收入增长加速，用户数量强劲。Snap实现了盈亏平衡，同时公布了 7.7 亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p>Corporations have for the most part managed to beat Wall Street’s forecasts thus far into earnings season. Still, strong first-quarter results have been met with a more tepid response from investors, who have not, to date, snapped up shares of companies with some of the best results.</p><p><blockquote>财报季到目前为止，各公司的业绩在很大程度上超出了华尔街的预测。尽管如此，强劲的第一季度业绩还是遭到了投资者的冷淡反应，迄今为止，投资者还没有抢购业绩最好的公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p>Strategists say already-high valuations and near-record-high levels on the S&amp;P 500 and Dow have kept traders’ enthusiasm in check. But indexes are within 1.5% of their all-time highs even after Thursday’s losses.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，标普500和道琼斯指数已经很高的估值以及接近历史新高的水平抑制了交易员的热情。但即使在周四下跌之后，股指仍距离历史高点不到 1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Bitcoin&nbsp;plunged overnight, perhaps in part because of concerns about higher capital gains taxes, with the cryptocurrency last down about 8%, according to CoinMetrics. Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum were also getting hit. So far, the sell-off there was not spilling over into other risk assets like equities.</p><p><blockquote>根据 CoinMetrics 的数据，比特币隔夜暴跌，部分原因可能是对更高资本利得税的担忧，加密货币最终下跌约 8%。以太币等其他加密货币也受到了打击。到目前为止，那里的抛售还没有蔓延到股票等其他风险资产。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNAP":"Snap Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","INTC":"英特尔",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101099559","content_text":"U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday as Wall Street reassessed concerns arising from news that the White House could seek a hike to the capital gains tax.The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 200 points amid a jump in Goldman Sachs and Apple shares. The S&P 500 rose 1% led by financials and technology shares, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.2%.Wall Street came off a turbulent session for equities after multiple news outlets reported Thursday afternoon that President Joe Biden is slated to propose much higher capital gains taxes for the rich.Bloomberg News reported that Biden is planning a capital gains tax hike to as high as 43.4% for wealthy Americans.The proposal would hike the capital gains rate to 39.6% for those earning $1 million or more, up from 20% currently, according to Bloomberg News, citing people familiar with the matter. Reuters and the New York Times later also reported similar stories.“We expect Congress will pass a scaled back version of this tax increase,” wrote Goldman Sachs economists in a note. “We expect Congress will settle on a more modest increase, potentially around 28%.”Week to date, the three major averages are all down about 1%.Intel shares dropped more than 5% after it issued second-quarter earnings guidance below analysts’ hopes. American Express fell over 4% after the credit card company reported quarterly revenue that was slightly short of forecasts.Snap shares, meanwhile, jumped 9% after it said it saw accelerating revenue growth and strong user numbers during the first quarter. Snap broke even on the bottom line while posting revenue of $770 million.Corporations have for the most part managed to beat Wall Street’s forecasts thus far into earnings season. Still, strong first-quarter results have been met with a more tepid response from investors, who have not, to date, snapped up shares of companies with some of the best results.Strategists say already-high valuations and near-record-high levels on the S&P 500 and Dow have kept traders’ enthusiasm in check. But indexes are within 1.5% of their all-time highs even after Thursday’s losses.Bitcoin plunged overnight, perhaps in part because of concerns about higher capital gains taxes, with the cryptocurrency last down about 8%, according to CoinMetrics. Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum were also getting hit. So far, the sell-off there was not spilling over into other risk assets like equities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"INTC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SNAP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346875583,"gmtCreate":1618025620842,"gmtModify":1634295160814,"author":{"id":"3575770278147946","authorId":"3575770278147946","name":"pUi23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fd341d0a959a8c864017a4da6ad3f80","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575770278147946","idStr":"3575770278147946"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Reawakening","listText":"Reawakening","text":"Reawakening","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346875583","repostId":"1142324412","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}