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AmitS
Please like and comment. Peace
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AmitS
2021-12-29
$Microsoft(MSFT)$
target price in Jan 2022?
AmitS
2021-12-29
Okay
抱歉,原内容已删除
AmitS
2021-12-28
$Apple(AAPL)$
predict price for Dec 2022.
AmitS
2021-12-27
$Microsoft(MSFT)$
predict?
AmitS
2021-12-27
Cool
抱歉,原内容已删除
AmitS
2021-12-22
$StoneCo(STNE)$
any comments?
AmitS
2021-12-22
Cool
抱歉,原内容已删除
AmitS
2021-12-22
Wow
抱歉,原内容已删除
AmitS
2021-12-21
$Microsoft(MSFT)$
what do you predict in 2022?
AmitS
2021-12-21
Oh
Rocket shares slide 4.6% in early trading<blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%</blockquote>
AmitS
2021-12-20
Yes
Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>
AmitS
2021-12-19
$Apple(AAPL)$
perdict
AmitS
2021-12-19
K
Broadcom, Skyworks defended at BofA as Apple speculation heats up<blockquote>随着苹果猜测升温,博通和Skyworks在美国银行为自己辩护</blockquote>
AmitS
2021-12-18
Ha
Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>
AmitS
2021-12-16
$Apple(AAPL)$
predict the price in 6 months?
AmitS
2021-12-15
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
please comment what would be the price on Jan 1st?
AmitS
2021-12-15
$Qualcomm(QCOM)$
where ?
AmitS
2021-12-14
Ha
Singapore Stock Market May Take Further Damage On Tuesday<blockquote>新加坡股市周二可能进一步受损</blockquote>
AmitS
2021-12-14
$Nokia Oyj(NOK)$
predict the moment
AmitS
2021-12-13
$Nokia Oyj(NOK)$
where
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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","listText":"Okay ","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696718352","repostId":"1179388781","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696836952,"gmtCreate":1640659602857,"gmtModify":1640695763050,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>predict price for Dec 2022.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>predict price for Dec 2022.","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$predict price for Dec 2022.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696836952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000644","authorId":"9000000000000644","name":"CrystalRose","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000644","authorIdStr":"9000000000000644"},"content":"With AAA credit rating, huge installed client base, record profits, positive cashflows, dividends, annual buy-backs, promising new products, reasonable P/E, should we expect $200 a share in 2022?","text":"With AAA credit rating, huge installed client base, record profits, positive cashflows, dividends, annual buy-backs, promising new products, reasonable P/E, should we expect $200 a share in 2022?","html":"With AAA credit rating, huge installed client base, record profits, positive cashflows, dividends, annual buy-backs, promising new products, reasonable P/E, should we expect $200 a share in 2022?"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000462","authorId":"9000000000000462","name":"MyrnaNorth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58e77982f280b570830d1b8273d6de7e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000462","authorIdStr":"9000000000000462"},"content":"After investing in Apple stock, Stay long money will come automatically, There is no need for any financial advisor's help once you buy Apple. 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Always made money."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696041494,"gmtCreate":1640583995428,"gmtModify":1640583995428,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$Microsoft(MSFT)$</a>predict?","listText":"<a 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRocket shares slide 4.6% in early trading<blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-20 23:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6616564f5ca493d336303b334198c8e7\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"591\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Rocket Cos Inc said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.</p><p><blockquote>火箭股价早盘下跌 4.6%。Rocket Cos Inc 周一表示,将以近 13 亿美元现金收购个人理财应用 Truebill,这家总部位于底特律的公司希望扩大其在消费金融市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RKT":"Rocket Companies"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170276602","content_text":"Rocket shares slid 4.6% in early trading.Rocket Cos Inc said on Monday it would buy personal finance app Truebill for nearly $1.3 billion in cash, as the Detroit-based company looks to expand its reach in the consumer finance market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RKT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6072,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693380960,"gmtCreate":1639970726558,"gmtModify":1639970726558,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693380960","repostId":"1183475424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183475424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639967829,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1183475424?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183475424","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li> <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li> <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li> <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li> <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段,美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表,并准备最早在3月份加息。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景恶化,加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票,但苹果股票在很大程度上仍然具有弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及 AR/VR 和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下,苹果预计将在未来实现额外的上涨空间。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金,而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此,尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险,但苹果的看涨论点在其估值接近 3 万亿美元时仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一,苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)今年上涨了近 40%。该股不久前曾触及 182.13 美元的最高点,目前距离成为第一家市值达到 3 万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到 7%,单枪匹马就占据了以科技股为主的纳斯达克 100 指数业绩的约 15%。自 20 世纪 90 年代末以来,苹果的市值增长了 220 多倍,这得益于该公司持续能够抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面有望帮助该股抵御明年开始即将加息带来的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来的最高点,美联储周三决定加快每月 1200 亿美元债券回购计划的步伐,从 11 月开始的每月 150 亿美元降至每月 300 亿美元。这将有效地结束疫情爆发时实施的刺激计划,即明年3月,而不是最初计划的7月。加息预计将很快开始,以应对不断上升的价格压力,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认,这一过程只有在缩减规模结束后才会开始,并且步伐渐进。最新的点阵图表明,联邦基金利率有可能从 2022 年初的接近于零的水平上升,并上调三个四分之一点,2023 年再上调三个四分之一点,2024 年再上调两个。如果实现,到 2024 年,这一过程将把基金利率提高到 2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者规避风险,因为他们担心未来收益的价值会更快地受到侵蚀,而且由于资本成本上升(尤其是高增长股票)导致业务增长停滞,但在美联储发布紧缩政策的最新消息后,苹果股市上涨了近3%。该股12月15日收于179.30美元,接近周一182美元的峰值。在美联储发布最新消息后,苹果的反弹以及其他大型科技股的类似上升趋势相应地推动了纳斯达克 100 指数盘中上涨 2.4%,这表明投资者更倾向于将资金投入增长前景强劲的公司,以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假日季对苹果 12 月季度的销售额有利,该股估值预计将比预期更早进入 3 万亿美元大关。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购,以及预计在可预见的未来,新的尖端产品将带来额外的收入贡献,也将成为支撑公司持续强劲基本面的关键催化剂,并在即将加息的情况下将使股票估值保持在 3 万亿美元以上。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景,我们将该股的 12 个月目标价上调至 209.43 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年概述及基本前景回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致门店断断续续关闭,导致销售额损失超过 90 亿美元,但该公司全年的收入比 2020 财年增长了 33%,达到 3660 亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入,比上一年的业绩增长了20%以上。今年的成功很大程度上归功于一系列新产品的发布和功能的升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列,以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone 今年的销量增长了 39%,是其他细分市场中增长最快的,并贡献了苹果 2021 财年一半以上的收入。这一结果与去年移动设备需求的下滑形成了鲜明对比,当时消费者正在为大流行病带来的经济不确定性做好准备。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快,iPhone销售预计将在未来几年保持强劲。2022 年可能会推出更实惠的支持 5G 的 iPhone SE,这也将吸引 “超过 10 亿非高端安卓用户 ”的转换用户,从而进一步扩大苹果的市场份额,并将活跃安装基数推向历史新高。在支持 5G 的 iPhone 12s 和 iPhone 13s 推出后,最近几个季度观察到的 iPhone 销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头,升级和切换用户的数量强劲增长了两位数。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动 iPhone 的销售贡献。威瑞森和美国电话电报公司等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售,以鼓励向他们花费数十亿美元在全国范围内建设的5G网络迁移。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内花费超过7000亿美元建设5G网络,这凸显了随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回投资,iPhone领域未来的巨大增长机会。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac 和 iPad 销量在 2021 财年也大幅增长,收入分别达到创纪录的 352 亿美元和 319 亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新M1驱动的iMac后,苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的 M1 处理器使最新的 MacBook “在游戏以外的几乎所有生产力用例上都优于任何基于英特尔的设备”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的巨大需求,从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计,该公司在 9 月份季度的 Mac 产品出货量超过 320 万台,推动了该部门创纪录的收入,同时将其在全球 PC 销量中的排名提升至其他供应商的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入 M1 处理器也巩固了其在利用全球对 PC 和多功能平板电脑需求激增的优势方面的地位,使该公司能够制造具有创新功能的设备,这些设备可以在其外围配件和服务生态系统中无缝集成,从而吸引相关收入。随着后大流行病时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用,预计未来几年全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求将保持高位--到 2025 年,这两个行业的市场预计将分别增长到 2,243 亿美元和 6,000 亿美元,这将为苹果的 Mac 和 iPad 细分市场带来有利趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近有猜测称,苹果有意加强其内部芯片开发能力,这可能会在未来几年进一步推动其技术的进步,并吸引对其产品的更多需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师,以增强其在 “无线收音机、射频集成电路和无线片上系统(“SoC”)”以及 “用于连接蓝牙和 Wi-Fi 的半导体”方面的开发能力。这些发展有望进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成,并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性,使其芯片部门成为公司 “最宝贵的资产 ”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面,强大的用户群使该部门在 2021 财年的收入创下了超过 684 亿美元的纪录,比上一年增长了 27%。迄今为止,苹果通过其高利润服务产品获得了超过 7.45 亿付费用户,比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其从苹果音乐到 iCloud 存储解决方案等各种服务平台上不断推行基于订阅的商业模式,再加上近年来针对主要消费趋势的有吸引力的新产品,一直是该公司利润率快速增长的关键驱动力。为现有服务平台引入的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品有望进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品全球使用量不断增加所带来的邻近机遇的影响力--例如,全球音乐流媒体市场预计将在未来五年内以 16% 的复合年增长率扩大,预计价值将达到 610 亿美元,这凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果 One 捆绑包预计将在未来几年吸引新用户为订阅服务付费,而如果不是捆绑包折扣,他们是不会购买这些服务的。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将有利于苹果快速增长的服务部门。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长,未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于 AAPL 拥有世界上最大、使用最广泛的应用商店之一,因此可以合理地假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果的 App Store 涉嫌违反反垄断规定的审查越来越多--其中最引人注目的是与 Epic Games 正在进行的法律诉讼--但该公司继续专注于确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性可能已经挽救了局面。根据摩根士丹利在美国和中国大陆对 4000 名苹果产品用户进行的调查,大多数人对苹果的应用商店表示忠诚,因为该商店提供了 “安全、隐私和易于交易的价值”,尽管开发者正在推动在苹果生态系统之外进行交易。苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官伊冯娜-冈萨雷斯-罗杰斯(Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers)9 月份下令对 App Store 进行的更改,这是 Epic Games 对其提起长达一年的诉讼的一部分,这也是 App Store 持续强大的又一迹象。该公司辩称,法院下令允许 App Store 用户 “直接从网络上的开发者那里购买 ”,这将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前,开发者正在争取让应用程序用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,该生态系统向开发者收取高达 30% 的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉,法院关于是否需要实施 App Store 变更的最终裁决可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决,苹果将不得不允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率,App Store的收入预计每年最多也只会减少40亿美元,这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到 App Store 用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视,实际量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基数和相关服务平台用户,苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此,未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子产品和设备的先驱预计将于 2023 年初推出 VR 耳机和 AR 眼镜,这项新兴技术近几个月来随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多,势头强劲。与市场上已有的大多数 VR 头显类似,苹果的 VR 头显将采用 3D 显示屏,为从游戏到交流等各种活动提供身临其境的环境。该公司计划在设备中采用一流的图形芯片,以实现超高分辨率显示屏。即将推出的 VR 头显最终将为其 AR 眼镜奠定基础,苹果预计这将是 “更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年,与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为一个价值 8000 亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的 70% 以上,而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力,该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的 AR/VR 耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会,还可以利用与使用相关应用程序、软件和服务平台相关的相关收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来,关于苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测也有望为该股带来有意义的上涨空间。该公司目前计划在2025年前推出新产品类别,届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场价值预计将超过2000亿美元。最终推出的汽车很可能会向其现有的产品组合致敬,比如 “类似 iPad 的触摸屏 ”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面,据信苹果已经完成了为汽车自动驾驶功能提供动力的定制硅的开发。据加州车管所称,最新芯片将很快应用于其现有的改装 SUV 车队,以便在加州进行测试,这表明即将推出的芯片即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了 “随着时间的推移,新产品和服务对收入的持续贡献”,但上述新产品类别的推出仍未带来额外的好处。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出,这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期 AR/VR 设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高 1500 亿美元。随着时间的推移,随着元宇宙趋势继续获得主流牵引力,苹果预计将从 AR/VR 领域产生超过 2000 亿美元的年收入,这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加 15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>即将加息的估值前景和潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果 2021 财年年终业绩和 12 月份季度指引的最新预测后,我们的基本案例预测预计到 2022 财年末,净销售总额将达到 4393 亿美元,到 2026 财年将进一步增长至 6685 亿美元。在我们的预测中,各部门收入的增长假设与我们最近对该股的分析基本保持不变,但还额外考虑了管理层对供应紧张影响和即将加息的近期展望。具体来说,2021 财年下半年全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延误造成的 90 亿美元收入损失(即 6 月份季度约 30 亿美元,9 月份季度约 60 亿美元)预计将恶化到 2022 财年上半年。虽然供应链挑战有所改善,但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将推动未来几个季度销售额的增加。尽管如此,苹果未来的基本面依然强劲,这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i. 基本情况财务预测:</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部财务预测(Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf)。有关应用的重大增长假设的进一步详情,请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑,我们对苹果股票的 12 个月目标价已修正至 209.43 美元。根据 12 月 17 日最后交易价格 171.14 美元计算,这意味着超过 22% 的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期间的贴现现金流(“DCF”)分析,结合前面章节分析的苹果近期发展的最新财务预测得出的。与我们最初的估值分析类似,我们采用了 8% 的 WACC 来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司目前的资本结构和稳健的资产负债表,贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务中有很大一部分是固定利率票据,预计其增长的资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况,管理层打算在利率上升之前部署额外增长,而不必承担额外的资本成本。预计这将进一步增强水泥投资者对苹果股票的信心,因为他们在担心利率上升会带来更广泛的市场压力的情况下,继续 “向优质方向飞奔”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为 19.8 倍,这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品细分市场即将推出,所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善,并抵消即将到来的加息带来的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>ii.敏感性分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>根据上述分析,从基本面和估值角度来看,预计未来两年在目前接近于零的联邦基金利率基础上增加 175 至 200 个基点,预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求,加上新的创新,预计将进一步提振公司的基本增长前景。因此,这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表,并进一步加强其抵御更广泛宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上,为应对即将加息带来的风险,对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加,甚至可能推动苹果的估值增长势头。出于这些考虑,尽管即将加息,但苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一,因为其近期仍呈现强劲上升趋势,达到 3 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 10:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li> <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li> <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li> <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li> <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段,美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表,并准备最早在3月份加息。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景恶化,加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票,但苹果股票在很大程度上仍然具有弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及 AR/VR 和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下,苹果预计将在未来实现额外的上涨空间。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金,而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此,尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险,但苹果的看涨论点在其估值接近 3 万亿美元时仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一,苹果(纳斯达克股票代码:AAPL)今年上涨了近 40%。该股不久前曾触及 182.13 美元的最高点,目前距离成为第一家市值达到 3 万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到 7%,单枪匹马就占据了以科技股为主的纳斯达克 100 指数业绩的约 15%。自 20 世纪 90 年代末以来,苹果的市值增长了 220 多倍,这得益于该公司持续能够抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面有望帮助该股抵御明年开始即将加息带来的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来的最高点,美联储周三决定加快每月 1200 亿美元债券回购计划的步伐,从 11 月开始的每月 150 亿美元降至每月 300 亿美元。这将有效地结束疫情爆发时实施的刺激计划,即明年3月,而不是最初计划的7月。加息预计将很快开始,以应对不断上升的价格压力,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认,这一过程只有在缩减规模结束后才会开始,并且步伐渐进。最新的点阵图表明,联邦基金利率有可能从 2022 年初的接近于零的水平上升,并上调三个四分之一点,2023 年再上调三个四分之一点,2024 年再上调两个。如果实现,到 2024 年,这一过程将把基金利率提高到 2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者规避风险,因为他们担心未来收益的价值会更快地受到侵蚀,而且由于资本成本上升(尤其是高增长股票)导致业务增长停滞,但在美联储发布紧缩政策的最新消息后,苹果股市上涨了近3%。该股12月15日收于179.30美元,接近周一182美元的峰值。在美联储发布最新消息后,苹果的反弹以及其他大型科技股的类似上升趋势相应地推动了纳斯达克 100 指数盘中上涨 2.4%,这表明投资者更倾向于将资金投入增长前景强劲的公司,以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假日季对苹果 12 月季度的销售额有利,该股估值预计将比预期更早进入 3 万亿美元大关。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购,以及预计在可预见的未来,新的尖端产品将带来额外的收入贡献,也将成为支撑公司持续强劲基本面的关键催化剂,并在即将加息的情况下将使股票估值保持在 3 万亿美元以上。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景,我们将该股的 12 个月目标价上调至 209.43 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年概述及基本前景回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致门店断断续续关闭,导致销售额损失超过 90 亿美元,但该公司全年的收入比 2020 财年增长了 33%,达到 3660 亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入,比上一年的业绩增长了20%以上。今年的成功很大程度上归功于一系列新产品的发布和功能的升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列,以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone 今年的销量增长了 39%,是其他细分市场中增长最快的,并贡献了苹果 2021 财年一半以上的收入。这一结果与去年移动设备需求的下滑形成了鲜明对比,当时消费者正在为大流行病带来的经济不确定性做好准备。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快,iPhone销售预计将在未来几年保持强劲。2022 年可能会推出更实惠的支持 5G 的 iPhone SE,这也将吸引 “超过 10 亿非高端安卓用户 ”的转换用户,从而进一步扩大苹果的市场份额,并将活跃安装基数推向历史新高。在支持 5G 的 iPhone 12s 和 iPhone 13s 推出后,最近几个季度观察到的 iPhone 销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头,升级和切换用户的数量强劲增长了两位数。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动 iPhone 的销售贡献。威瑞森和美国电话电报公司等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售,以鼓励向他们花费数十亿美元在全国范围内建设的5G网络迁移。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内花费超过7000亿美元建设5G网络,这凸显了随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回投资,iPhone领域未来的巨大增长机会。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac 和 iPad 销量在 2021 财年也大幅增长,收入分别达到创纪录的 352 亿美元和 319 亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新M1驱动的iMac后,苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的 M1 处理器使最新的 MacBook “在游戏以外的几乎所有生产力用例上都优于任何基于英特尔的设备”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的巨大需求,从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计,该公司在 9 月份季度的 Mac 产品出货量超过 320 万台,推动了该部门创纪录的收入,同时将其在全球 PC 销量中的排名提升至其他供应商的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入 M1 处理器也巩固了其在利用全球对 PC 和多功能平板电脑需求激增的优势方面的地位,使该公司能够制造具有创新功能的设备,这些设备可以在其外围配件和服务生态系统中无缝集成,从而吸引相关收入。随着后大流行病时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用,预计未来几年全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求将保持高位--到 2025 年,这两个行业的市场预计将分别增长到 2,243 亿美元和 6,000 亿美元,这将为苹果的 Mac 和 iPad 细分市场带来有利趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近有猜测称,苹果有意加强其内部芯片开发能力,这可能会在未来几年进一步推动其技术的进步,并吸引对其产品的更多需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师,以增强其在 “无线收音机、射频集成电路和无线片上系统(“SoC”)”以及 “用于连接蓝牙和 Wi-Fi 的半导体”方面的开发能力。这些发展有望进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成,并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性,使其芯片部门成为公司 “最宝贵的资产 ”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面,强大的用户群使该部门在 2021 财年的收入创下了超过 684 亿美元的纪录,比上一年增长了 27%。迄今为止,苹果通过其高利润服务产品获得了超过 7.45 亿付费用户,比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其从苹果音乐到 iCloud 存储解决方案等各种服务平台上不断推行基于订阅的商业模式,再加上近年来针对主要消费趋势的有吸引力的新产品,一直是该公司利润率快速增长的关键驱动力。为现有服务平台引入的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品有望进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品全球使用量不断增加所带来的邻近机遇的影响力--例如,全球音乐流媒体市场预计将在未来五年内以 16% 的复合年增长率扩大,预计价值将达到 610 亿美元,这凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果 One 捆绑包预计将在未来几年吸引新用户为订阅服务付费,而如果不是捆绑包折扣,他们是不会购买这些服务的。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将有利于苹果快速增长的服务部门。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长,未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于 AAPL 拥有世界上最大、使用最广泛的应用商店之一,因此可以合理地假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果的 App Store 涉嫌违反反垄断规定的审查越来越多--其中最引人注目的是与 Epic Games 正在进行的法律诉讼--但该公司继续专注于确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性可能已经挽救了局面。根据摩根士丹利在美国和中国大陆对 4000 名苹果产品用户进行的调查,大多数人对苹果的应用商店表示忠诚,因为该商店提供了 “安全、隐私和易于交易的价值”,尽管开发者正在推动在苹果生态系统之外进行交易。苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官伊冯娜-冈萨雷斯-罗杰斯(Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers)9 月份下令对 App Store 进行的更改,这是 Epic Games 对其提起长达一年的诉讼的一部分,这也是 App Store 持续强大的又一迹象。该公司辩称,法院下令允许 App Store 用户 “直接从网络上的开发者那里购买 ”,这将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前,开发者正在争取让应用程序用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,该生态系统向开发者收取高达 30% 的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉,法院关于是否需要实施 App Store 变更的最终裁决可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决,苹果将不得不允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率,App Store的收入预计每年最多也只会减少40亿美元,这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到 App Store 用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视,实际量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基数和相关服务平台用户,苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此,未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子产品和设备的先驱预计将于 2023 年初推出 VR 耳机和 AR 眼镜,这项新兴技术近几个月来随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多,势头强劲。与市场上已有的大多数 VR 头显类似,苹果的 VR 头显将采用 3D 显示屏,为从游戏到交流等各种活动提供身临其境的环境。该公司计划在设备中采用一流的图形芯片,以实现超高分辨率显示屏。即将推出的 VR 头显最终将为其 AR 眼镜奠定基础,苹果预计这将是 “更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年,与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为一个价值 8000 亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的 70% 以上,而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力,该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的 AR/VR 耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会,还可以利用与使用相关应用程序、软件和服务平台相关的相关收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>在可预见的未来,关于苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测也有望为该股带来有意义的上涨空间。该公司目前计划在2025年前推出新产品类别,届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场价值预计将超过2000亿美元。最终推出的汽车很可能会向其现有的产品组合致敬,比如 “类似 iPad 的触摸屏 ”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面,据信苹果已经完成了为汽车自动驾驶功能提供动力的定制硅的开发。据加州车管所称,最新芯片将很快应用于其现有的改装 SUV 车队,以便在加州进行测试,这表明即将推出的芯片即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了 “随着时间的推移,新产品和服务对收入的持续贡献”,但上述新产品类别的推出仍未带来额外的好处。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出,这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期 AR/VR 设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高 1500 亿美元。随着时间的推移,随着元宇宙趋势继续获得主流牵引力,苹果预计将从 AR/VR 领域产生超过 2000 亿美元的年收入,这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加 15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>即将加息的估值前景和潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果 2021 财年年终业绩和 12 月份季度指引的最新预测后,我们的基本案例预测预计到 2022 财年末,净销售总额将达到 4393 亿美元,到 2026 财年将进一步增长至 6685 亿美元。在我们的预测中,各部门收入的增长假设与我们最近对该股的分析基本保持不变,但还额外考虑了管理层对供应紧张影响和即将加息的近期展望。具体来说,2021 财年下半年全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延误造成的 90 亿美元收入损失(即 6 月份季度约 30 亿美元,9 月份季度约 60 亿美元)预计将恶化到 2022 财年上半年。虽然供应链挑战有所改善,但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将推动未来几个季度销售额的增加。尽管如此,苹果未来的基本面依然强劲,这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i. 基本情况财务预测:</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部财务预测(Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf)。有关应用的重大增长假设的进一步详情,请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑,我们对苹果股票的 12 个月目标价已修正至 209.43 美元。根据 12 月 17 日最后交易价格 171.14 美元计算,这意味着超过 22% 的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期间的贴现现金流(“DCF”)分析,结合前面章节分析的苹果近期发展的最新财务预测得出的。与我们最初的估值分析类似,我们采用了 8% 的 WACC 来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司目前的资本结构和稳健的资产负债表,贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务中有很大一部分是固定利率票据,预计其增长的资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况,管理层打算在利率上升之前部署额外增长,而不必承担额外的资本成本。预计这将进一步增强水泥投资者对苹果股票的信心,因为他们在担心利率上升会带来更广泛的市场压力的情况下,继续 “向优质方向飞奔”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为 19.8 倍,这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品细分市场即将推出,所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善,并抵消即将到来的加息带来的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>ii.敏感性分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>根据上述分析,从基本面和估值角度来看,预计未来两年在目前接近于零的联邦基金利率基础上增加 175 至 200 个基点,预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求,加上新的创新,预计将进一步提振公司的基本增长前景。因此,这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表,并进一步加强其抵御更广泛宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上,为应对即将加息带来的风险,对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加,甚至可能推动苹果的估值增长势头。出于这些考虑,尽管即将加息,但苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一,因为其近期仍呈现强劲上升趋势,达到 3 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183475424","content_text":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\nWhile rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.\nApple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.\nIts strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.\nAs such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.\n\nguvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAs one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.\nAnd Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.\nSource: Bloomberg\nWhile rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.\nWith the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.\nFY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects\nFiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.\nKey Developments in Products\niPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.\nMac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.\nRecent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.\nKey Developments in Services\nOn the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.\nContinued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.\nCurrently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.\nKey Catalysts Ahead\nApple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.\nOver the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.\nSpeculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.\nWhile Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.\nValuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases\nAdjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.\n\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.\nDrawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nThe revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.\nThe valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\n\nii. Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion\nBased on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699577333,"gmtCreate":1639870310023,"gmtModify":1639870310023,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>perdict","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>perdict","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$perdict","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4464ee4c9edebb898919d1c6e75fc4f1","width":"1080","height":"3288"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699577333","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699577987,"gmtCreate":1639870263548,"gmtModify":1639870263548,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699577987","repostId":"1156618758","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156618758","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639807675,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1156618758?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 14:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Broadcom, Skyworks defended at BofA as Apple speculation heats up<blockquote>随着苹果猜测升温,博通和Skyworks在美国银行为自己辩护</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156618758","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Skyworks Solutions and Broadcom are being defended at Bank of America after it was reported that A","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWKS\">Skyworks Solutions </a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom </a> are being defended at Bank of America after it was reported that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a> is looking to build wireless chips in-house, news that sent shares of both semiconductor companies sharply lower.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWKS\">Skyworks解决方案</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>据报道,美国银行正在为他们辩护<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>寻求在内部制造无线芯片,这一消息导致两家半导体公司的股价大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst Vivek Arya, who rates Broadcom (AVGO) buy with a $750 price target and Skyworks (SWKS) neutral with a $190 price target, notes that both companies have significant exposure to Apple (AAPL), with 20% for Broadcom and 59% for Skyworks, but industry checks suggest the impact is \"overblown in the near to medium term.\" Apple's hiring could be for its plans to develop its own 5G modem, which would hurt Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) and not Broadcom or Skyworks.</p><p><blockquote>分析师 Vivek Arya 将 Broadcom (AVGO) 评级为买入,目标价为 750 美元,将 Skyworks (SWKS) 评级为中性,目标价为 190 美元。他指出,两家公司都对苹果 (AAPL) 有很大的敞口,其中 Broadcom 为 20%,Skyworks 为 59%,但行业检查表明,这种影响“在中短期内被夸大了”。苹果的招聘可能是为了其开发自己的 5G 调制解调器的计划,这将伤害高通(纳斯达克股票代码:QCOM),而不是博通或 Skyworks。</blockquote></p><p> Skyworks (SWKS) fell more than 8% to close at $146.39 on Thursday and are down another 1% on Friday. Broadcom declined 3% to close at $620.68 and are slightly lower on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>Skyworks (SWKS) 周四下跌超过 8%,收于 146.39 美元,周五又下跌 1%。博通下跌 3%,收于 620.68 美元,周五小幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> Arya notes that Broadcom (AVGO) has a $15 billion contract with Apple (AAPL) that runs through 2023 and all RF design is not \"created equal.\" He adds that RF design is a \"very broad capability,\" which requires experience for a wide variety of use cases in smartphones, including the transceiver, which Arya believes the report was talking about.</p><p><blockquote>Arya 指出,博通 (AVGO) 与苹果 (AAPL) 签订了一份价值 150 亿美元的合同,该合同将持续到 2023 年,而且并非所有射频设计都“生而平等”。他补充说,射频设计是一项“非常广泛的功能”,需要智能手机各种用例的经验,包括收发器,Arya认为报告正在谈论这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) purchases RF-front parts from Broadcom (AVGO), Skyworks (SWKS), Qorvo (NASDAQ:QRVO) and Qualcomm (QCOM), including amplifiers, filters and switches and \"we have heard of no plans for Apple to insource these parts that require very specific recipes, intellectual property and specialty materials/fabs,\" the analyst added.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 从博通 (AVGO)、Skyworks (SWKS)、Qorvo(纳斯达克股票代码:QRVO)和高通 (QCOM) 购买射频前端零件,包括放大器、滤波器和开关,“我们没有听说苹果计划采购这些零件需要非常具体的配方、知识产权和特种材料/晶圆厂,”分析师补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) also gets the Wi-Fi and Bluetooth chips from Broadcom (AVGO) and the RF front-end from Skyworks and the analyst said to his knowledge, \"there are no plans for Apple to insource these currently,\" though he admitted that the low-end Apple Watch uses some of Apple's own silicon for this.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 还从博通 (AVGO) 获得 Wi-Fi 和蓝牙芯片,从 Skyworks 获得射频前端,这位分析师表示,据他所知,“苹果目前没有计划采购这些芯片”,尽管他承认低端苹果手表为此使用了一些苹果自己的硅。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, Goldman Sachs said Apple (AAPL) iPhone supply was getting better, becoming more in-line with demand.</p><p><blockquote>周四,高盛表示,苹果 (AAPL) iPhone 供应正在好转,越来越符合需求。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBroadcom, Skyworks defended at BofA as Apple speculation heats up<blockquote>随着苹果猜测升温,博通和Skyworks在美国银行为自己辩护</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 14:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWKS\">Skyworks Solutions </a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom </a> are being defended at Bank of America after it was reported that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple </a> is looking to build wireless chips in-house, news that sent shares of both semiconductor companies sharply lower.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWKS\">Skyworks解决方案</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>据报道,美国银行正在为他们辩护<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>寻求在内部制造无线芯片,这一消息导致两家半导体公司的股价大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst Vivek Arya, who rates Broadcom (AVGO) buy with a $750 price target and Skyworks (SWKS) neutral with a $190 price target, notes that both companies have significant exposure to Apple (AAPL), with 20% for Broadcom and 59% for Skyworks, but industry checks suggest the impact is \"overblown in the near to medium term.\" Apple's hiring could be for its plans to develop its own 5G modem, which would hurt Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) and not Broadcom or Skyworks.</p><p><blockquote>分析师 Vivek Arya 将 Broadcom (AVGO) 评级为买入,目标价为 750 美元,将 Skyworks (SWKS) 评级为中性,目标价为 190 美元。他指出,两家公司都对苹果 (AAPL) 有很大的敞口,其中 Broadcom 为 20%,Skyworks 为 59%,但行业检查表明,这种影响“在中短期内被夸大了”。苹果的招聘可能是为了其开发自己的 5G 调制解调器的计划,这将伤害高通(纳斯达克股票代码:QCOM),而不是博通或 Skyworks。</blockquote></p><p> Skyworks (SWKS) fell more than 8% to close at $146.39 on Thursday and are down another 1% on Friday. Broadcom declined 3% to close at $620.68 and are slightly lower on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>Skyworks (SWKS) 周四下跌超过 8%,收于 146.39 美元,周五又下跌 1%。博通下跌 3%,收于 620.68 美元,周五小幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> Arya notes that Broadcom (AVGO) has a $15 billion contract with Apple (AAPL) that runs through 2023 and all RF design is not \"created equal.\" He adds that RF design is a \"very broad capability,\" which requires experience for a wide variety of use cases in smartphones, including the transceiver, which Arya believes the report was talking about.</p><p><blockquote>Arya 指出,博通 (AVGO) 与苹果 (AAPL) 签订了一份价值 150 亿美元的合同,该合同将持续到 2023 年,而且并非所有射频设计都“生而平等”。他补充说,射频设计是一项“非常广泛的功能”,需要智能手机各种用例的经验,包括收发器,Arya认为报告正在谈论这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) purchases RF-front parts from Broadcom (AVGO), Skyworks (SWKS), Qorvo (NASDAQ:QRVO) and Qualcomm (QCOM), including amplifiers, filters and switches and \"we have heard of no plans for Apple to insource these parts that require very specific recipes, intellectual property and specialty materials/fabs,\" the analyst added.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 从博通 (AVGO)、Skyworks (SWKS)、Qorvo(纳斯达克股票代码:QRVO)和高通 (QCOM) 购买射频前端零件,包括放大器、滤波器和开关,“我们没有听说苹果计划采购这些零件需要非常具体的配方、知识产权和特种材料/晶圆厂,”分析师补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) also gets the Wi-Fi and Bluetooth chips from Broadcom (AVGO) and the RF front-end from Skyworks and the analyst said to his knowledge, \"there are no plans for Apple to insource these currently,\" though he admitted that the low-end Apple Watch uses some of Apple's own silicon for this.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 还从博通 (AVGO) 获得 Wi-Fi 和蓝牙芯片,从 Skyworks 获得射频前端,这位分析师表示,据他所知,“苹果目前没有计划采购这些芯片”,尽管他承认低端苹果手表为此使用了一些苹果自己的硅。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, Goldman Sachs said Apple (AAPL) iPhone supply was getting better, becoming more in-line with demand.</p><p><blockquote>周四,高盛表示,苹果 (AAPL) iPhone 供应正在好转,越来越符合需求。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781253-broadcom-skyworks-defended-at-bofa-as-apple-speculation-heats-up\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","SWKS":"思佳讯","AVGO":"博通"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781253-broadcom-skyworks-defended-at-bofa-as-apple-speculation-heats-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156618758","content_text":"Skyworks Solutions and Broadcom are being defended at Bank of America after it was reported that Apple is looking to build wireless chips in-house, news that sent shares of both semiconductor companies sharply lower.\nAnalyst Vivek Arya, who rates Broadcom (AVGO) buy with a $750 price target and Skyworks (SWKS) neutral with a $190 price target, notes that both companies have significant exposure to Apple (AAPL), with 20% for Broadcom and 59% for Skyworks, but industry checks suggest the impact is \"overblown in the near to medium term.\" Apple's hiring could be for its plans to develop its own 5G modem, which would hurt Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) and not Broadcom or Skyworks.\nSkyworks (SWKS) fell more than 8% to close at $146.39 on Thursday and are down another 1% on Friday. Broadcom declined 3% to close at $620.68 and are slightly lower on Friday.\nArya notes that Broadcom (AVGO) has a $15 billion contract with Apple (AAPL) that runs through 2023 and all RF design is not \"created equal.\" He adds that RF design is a \"very broad capability,\" which requires experience for a wide variety of use cases in smartphones, including the transceiver, which Arya believes the report was talking about.\nApple (AAPL) purchases RF-front parts from Broadcom (AVGO), Skyworks (SWKS), Qorvo (NASDAQ:QRVO) and Qualcomm (QCOM), including amplifiers, filters and switches and \"we have heard of no plans for Apple to insource these parts that require very specific recipes, intellectual property and specialty materials/fabs,\" the analyst added.\nApple (AAPL) also gets the Wi-Fi and Bluetooth chips from Broadcom (AVGO) and the RF front-end from Skyworks and the analyst said to his knowledge, \"there are no plans for Apple to insource these currently,\" though he admitted that the low-end Apple Watch uses some of Apple's own silicon for this.\nOn Thursday, Goldman Sachs said Apple (AAPL) iPhone supply was getting better, becoming more in-line with demand.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"SWKS":0.9,"AVGO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1084,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699627518,"gmtCreate":1639794850661,"gmtModify":1639794850661,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ha","listText":"Ha","text":"Ha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699627518","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社) - 华尔街周五收低,受到大型科技公司的拖累,投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种,并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后,美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%,Alphabet下跌 1.9%,均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%,价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌,其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示,疫情可能会持续到明年,这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备,一项研究警告说,快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出,年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期(被称为三重巫术)是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日,”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎,你就会出现波动,我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里?”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年,英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘,而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期,基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%,收于35,365.44点,而标普500指数下跌1.03%,至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%,至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看,小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期,美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股,远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周,标普500指数下跌1.9%,道琼斯指数下跌1.7%,纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中,甲骨文暴跌 6.4%,此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner,交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测,尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润,但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1;在纳斯达克,1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低;纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社) - 华尔街周五收低,受到大型科技公司的拖累,投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种,并消化了美联储更快结束大流行时代刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示到 2022 年底加息三个四分之一个百分点以应对通胀飙升后,美国三大股指本周全部下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌 2.1%,Alphabet下跌 1.9%,均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%,价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11个主要板块指数全部下跌,其中金融股领跌2.3%。能源损失2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司周五表示,疫情可能会持续到明年,这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备,一项研究警告说,快速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种再次感染人们的可能性是其前身德尔塔的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出,年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期(被称为三重巫术)是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个重要的期权到期日,”新泽西州查塔姆 Themis Trading 的交易联席经理 Joe Saluzzi 表示。“现在你再加上一些奥密克戎,你就会出现波动,我认为这会给投资者带来很多不确定性。你打算在年底前把仓位放在哪里?”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>2021年,英伟达和微软等权重成长股的表现优于大盘,而费城东南半导体指数则飙升约35%。同期,基准标普500指数上涨约 23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%,收于35,365.44点,而标普500指数下跌1.03%,至4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.07%,至 15,169.68 点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>从积极的方面来看,小盘股罗素 2000 指数在从 11 月初的历史高点下跌超过 10% 后反弹 1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期,美国交易所的成交量跃升至 166 亿股,远高于过去 20 个交易日 119 亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周,标普500指数下跌1.9%,道琼斯指数下跌1.7%,纳斯达克指数下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>在周五的交易中,甲骨文暴跌 6.4%,此前《华尔街日报》报道了这家企业软件制造商正在洽谈收购电子病历公司 Cerner,交易价值可能为 300 亿美元。Cerner 股价飙升 12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递公司 (FedEx Corp) 周四恢复了最初的 2022 财年预测,尽管持续的劳动力困境削弱了利润,但该公司股价上涨近 5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌发行量与上涨发行量的比例为 1.50 比 1;在纳斯达克,1.16比1的比率有利于进步人士。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下 22 个 52 周新高和 7 个新低;纳斯达克综合指数创下28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690101183,"gmtCreate":1639645368942,"gmtModify":1639645368942,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>predict the price in 6 months?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>predict the price in 6 months?","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$predict the price in 6 months?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daceaf0b8d91052ed794ecdb52c1724e","width":"1080","height":"3288"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690101183","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":956,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607560165,"gmtCreate":1639563581898,"gmtModify":1639563581898,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>please comment what would be the price on Jan 1st?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>please comment what would be the price on Jan 1st?","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$please comment what would be the price on Jan 1st?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aede584a7d41f42d582e3eadf6182d28","width":"1080","height":"3288"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607560165","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607516599,"gmtCreate":1639560933369,"gmtModify":1639560933369,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">$Qualcomm(QCOM)$</a>where ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">$Qualcomm(QCOM)$</a>where ?","text":"$Qualcomm(QCOM)$where ?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdc51421efe8172c331b01e9ade286b6","width":"1080","height":"3288"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607516599","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604452695,"gmtCreate":1639441143311,"gmtModify":1639441143311,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ha","listText":"Ha","text":"Ha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604452695","repostId":"1153452688","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153452688","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639440450,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1153452688?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 08:07","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Stock Market May Take Further Damage On Tuesday<blockquote>新加坡股市周二可能进一步受损</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153452688","media":"RTTNews","summary":"The Singapore stock market has finished lower in two straight sessions, sinking more than 20 points ","content":"<p>The Singapore stock market has finished lower in two straight sessions, sinking more than 20 points or 0.7 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just beneath the 3,120-point plateau and it may extend its losses on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市连续两个交易日收低,一路下跌超过20点或0.7%。海峡时报指数目前略低于 3,120 点的平台位,周二可能会扩大跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The global forecast for the Asian markets is negative, likely led lower by weakness from the oil and technology stocks. The European and U.S. markets were down and the Asian bourses are tipped to follow that lead.</p><p><blockquote>亚洲市场的全球预测是负面的,可能是石油和科技股的疲软导致下跌。欧洲和美国市场下跌,亚洲股市预计也将跟随这一趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The STI finished modestly lower on Monday as losses from the financial shares and industrials were mitigated by support from the property sector.</p><p><blockquote>由于房地产行业的支撑缓解了金融股和工业股的跌幅,STI 周一小幅收低。</blockquote></p><p> For the day, the index lost 15.66 points or 0.50 percent to finish at the daily low of 3,119.95 after peaking at 3,161.95. Volume was 1.7 billion shares worth 848.3 million Singapore dollars. There were 253 decliners and 202 gainers.</p><p><blockquote>当天,该指数下跌 15.66 点或 0.50%,在触及 3,161.95 点的峰值后,收于 3,119.95 点的日低点。成交量为17亿股,价值8.483亿新加坡元。下跌者253人,上涨者202人。</blockquote></p><p> Among the actives, Ascendas REIT skidded 0.68 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust added 0.49 percent, City Developments advanced 0.72 percent, Dairy Farm International plunged 1.34 percent, DBS Group eased 0.19 percent, Genting Singapore sank 0.63 percent, Keppel Corp tanked 1.15 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust surrendered 0.98 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust tumbled 1.05 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation fell 0.44 percent, SATS shed 0.51 percent, SembCorp Industries plummeted 2.49 percent, Singapore Airlines rose 0.20 percent, Singapore Exchange dropped 0.53 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering slid 0.26 percent, SingTel retreated 0.82 percent, Thai Beverage jumped 1.50 percent, United Overseas Bank declined 0.86 percent, Wilmar International lost 0.48 percent and Comfort DelGro, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Singapore Press Holdings and Hongkong Land were unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>资产中,Ascendas REIT下跌0.68%,凯德综合商业信托上涨0.49%,City Developments上涨0.72%,Dairy Farm International暴跌1.34%,星展集团下跌0.19%,云顶新加坡下跌0.63%,吉宝公司下跌1.15%,丰树商业信托放弃0.98%,丰树物流信托暴跌1.05%,华侨银行下跌0.44%,SATS下跌0.51%,胜科实业暴跌2.49%,新加坡航空公司上涨0.20%,新加坡交易所下跌0.53%,新加坡科技工程下跌0.26%,新加坡电信下跌0.82%,泰国饮料上涨1.50%,大华银行下跌0.86%,丰益国际下跌0.48%,康富德高</blockquote></p><p> The lead from Wall Street is soft as the major averages opened in the red on Monday and stayed under water throughout the trading day.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的领先优势疲软,主要股指周一开盘下跌,整个交易日都处于水下。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow tumbled 320.04 points or 0.89 percent to finish at 35,650.95, while the NASDAQ sank 217.32 points or 1.39 percent to close at 15,413.28 and the S&P 500 lost 43.05 points or 0.91 percent to end at 4,668.97.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数下跌320.04点,跌幅0.89%,收于35650.95点;纳斯达克指数下跌217.32点,跌幅1.39%,收于15413.28点;标普500指数下跌43.05点,跌幅0.91%,收于4668.97点。</blockquote></p><p> The pullback on Wall Street reflected profit taking, as traders cashed in on some of the strength in the markets last week. The major averages all moved sharply higher last week, with the S&P 500 ending last Friday's trading at a new record closing high.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的回调反映了获利了结,因为交易员利用了上周市场的一些强势。主要平均指数上周均大幅走高,标普500指数上周五收盘创下收盘新高。</blockquote></p><p> Traders may also have been moving money out of stocks and into safer havens ahead of the Federal Reserve's money policy announcement on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三宣布货币政策之前,交易员也可能将资金从股票中转移到更安全的避风港。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed is expected to discuss accelerating the pace of tapering its asset purchase program, with reports suggesting the central bank could double the rate to $30 billion per month.</p><p><blockquote>预计美联储将讨论加快缩减资产购买计划的步伐,有报道称美联储可能会将利率增加一倍,达到每月 300 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Crude oil futures settled lower on Monday on concerns about the outlook for energy demand amid worries about the impact of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January ended down by $0.38 or 0.5 percent at $71.29 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心冠状病毒奥密克戎变种的影响,对能源需求前景的担忧,原油期货周一收低。1月份西德克萨斯中质原油期货收盘下跌0.38美元,跌幅0.5%,至每桶71.29美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Stock Market May Take Further Damage On Tuesday<blockquote>新加坡股市周二可能进一步受损</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Stock Market May Take Further Damage On Tuesday<blockquote>新加坡股市周二可能进一步受损</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">RTTNews</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 08:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has finished lower in two straight sessions, sinking more than 20 points or 0.7 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just beneath the 3,120-point plateau and it may extend its losses on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市连续两个交易日收低,一路下跌超过20点或0.7%。海峡时报指数目前略低于 3,120 点的平台位,周二可能会扩大跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The global forecast for the Asian markets is negative, likely led lower by weakness from the oil and technology stocks. The European and U.S. markets were down and the Asian bourses are tipped to follow that lead.</p><p><blockquote>亚洲市场的全球预测是负面的,可能是石油和科技股的疲软导致下跌。欧洲和美国市场下跌,亚洲股市预计也将跟随这一趋势。</blockquote></p><p> The STI finished modestly lower on Monday as losses from the financial shares and industrials were mitigated by support from the property sector.</p><p><blockquote>由于房地产行业的支撑缓解了金融股和工业股的跌幅,STI 周一小幅收低。</blockquote></p><p> For the day, the index lost 15.66 points or 0.50 percent to finish at the daily low of 3,119.95 after peaking at 3,161.95. Volume was 1.7 billion shares worth 848.3 million Singapore dollars. There were 253 decliners and 202 gainers.</p><p><blockquote>当天,该指数下跌 15.66 点或 0.50%,在触及 3,161.95 点的峰值后,收于 3,119.95 点的日低点。成交量为17亿股,价值8.483亿新加坡元。下跌者253人,上涨者202人。</blockquote></p><p> Among the actives, Ascendas REIT skidded 0.68 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust added 0.49 percent, City Developments advanced 0.72 percent, Dairy Farm International plunged 1.34 percent, DBS Group eased 0.19 percent, Genting Singapore sank 0.63 percent, Keppel Corp tanked 1.15 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust surrendered 0.98 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust tumbled 1.05 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation fell 0.44 percent, SATS shed 0.51 percent, SembCorp Industries plummeted 2.49 percent, Singapore Airlines rose 0.20 percent, Singapore Exchange dropped 0.53 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering slid 0.26 percent, SingTel retreated 0.82 percent, Thai Beverage jumped 1.50 percent, United Overseas Bank declined 0.86 percent, Wilmar International lost 0.48 percent and Comfort DelGro, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Singapore Press Holdings and Hongkong Land were unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>资产中,Ascendas REIT下跌0.68%,凯德综合商业信托上涨0.49%,City Developments上涨0.72%,Dairy Farm International暴跌1.34%,星展集团下跌0.19%,云顶新加坡下跌0.63%,吉宝公司下跌1.15%,丰树商业信托放弃0.98%,丰树物流信托暴跌1.05%,华侨银行下跌0.44%,SATS下跌0.51%,胜科实业暴跌2.49%,新加坡航空公司上涨0.20%,新加坡交易所下跌0.53%,新加坡科技工程下跌0.26%,新加坡电信下跌0.82%,泰国饮料上涨1.50%,大华银行下跌0.86%,丰益国际下跌0.48%,康富德高</blockquote></p><p> The lead from Wall Street is soft as the major averages opened in the red on Monday and stayed under water throughout the trading day.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的领先优势疲软,主要股指周一开盘下跌,整个交易日都处于水下。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow tumbled 320.04 points or 0.89 percent to finish at 35,650.95, while the NASDAQ sank 217.32 points or 1.39 percent to close at 15,413.28 and the S&P 500 lost 43.05 points or 0.91 percent to end at 4,668.97.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数下跌320.04点,跌幅0.89%,收于35650.95点;纳斯达克指数下跌217.32点,跌幅1.39%,收于15413.28点;标普500指数下跌43.05点,跌幅0.91%,收于4668.97点。</blockquote></p><p> The pullback on Wall Street reflected profit taking, as traders cashed in on some of the strength in the markets last week. The major averages all moved sharply higher last week, with the S&P 500 ending last Friday's trading at a new record closing high.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的回调反映了获利了结,因为交易员利用了上周市场的一些强势。主要平均指数上周均大幅走高,标普500指数上周五收盘创下收盘新高。</blockquote></p><p> Traders may also have been moving money out of stocks and into safer havens ahead of the Federal Reserve's money policy announcement on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三宣布货币政策之前,交易员也可能将资金从股票中转移到更安全的避风港。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed is expected to discuss accelerating the pace of tapering its asset purchase program, with reports suggesting the central bank could double the rate to $30 billion per month.</p><p><blockquote>预计美联储将讨论加快缩减资产购买计划的步伐,有报道称美联储可能会将利率增加一倍,达到每月 300 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Crude oil futures settled lower on Monday on concerns about the outlook for energy demand amid worries about the impact of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January ended down by $0.38 or 0.5 percent at $71.29 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>由于担心冠状病毒奥密克戎变种的影响,对能源需求前景的担忧,原油期货周一收低。1月份西德克萨斯中质原油期货收盘下跌0.38美元,跌幅0.5%,至每桶71.29美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3248927/singapore-stock-market-may-take-further-damage-on-tuesday.aspx?type=glcom\">RTTNews</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3248927/singapore-stock-market-may-take-further-damage-on-tuesday.aspx?type=glcom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153452688","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has finished lower in two straight sessions, sinking more than 20 points or 0.7 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just beneath the 3,120-point plateau and it may extend its losses on Tuesday.\nThe global forecast for the Asian markets is negative, likely led lower by weakness from the oil and technology stocks. The European and U.S. markets were down and the Asian bourses are tipped to follow that lead.\nThe STI finished modestly lower on Monday as losses from the financial shares and industrials were mitigated by support from the property sector.\nFor the day, the index lost 15.66 points or 0.50 percent to finish at the daily low of 3,119.95 after peaking at 3,161.95. Volume was 1.7 billion shares worth 848.3 million Singapore dollars. There were 253 decliners and 202 gainers.\nAmong the actives, Ascendas REIT skidded 0.68 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust added 0.49 percent, City Developments advanced 0.72 percent, Dairy Farm International plunged 1.34 percent, DBS Group eased 0.19 percent, Genting Singapore sank 0.63 percent, Keppel Corp tanked 1.15 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust surrendered 0.98 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust tumbled 1.05 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation fell 0.44 percent, SATS shed 0.51 percent, SembCorp Industries plummeted 2.49 percent, Singapore Airlines rose 0.20 percent, Singapore Exchange dropped 0.53 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering slid 0.26 percent, SingTel retreated 0.82 percent, Thai Beverage jumped 1.50 percent, United Overseas Bank declined 0.86 percent, Wilmar International lost 0.48 percent and Comfort DelGro, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Singapore Press Holdings and Hongkong Land were unchanged.\nThe lead from Wall Street is soft as the major averages opened in the red on Monday and stayed under water throughout the trading day.\nThe Dow tumbled 320.04 points or 0.89 percent to finish at 35,650.95, while the NASDAQ sank 217.32 points or 1.39 percent to close at 15,413.28 and the S&P 500 lost 43.05 points or 0.91 percent to end at 4,668.97.\nThe pullback on Wall Street reflected profit taking, as traders cashed in on some of the strength in the markets last week. The major averages all moved sharply higher last week, with the S&P 500 ending last Friday's trading at a new record closing high.\nTraders may also have been moving money out of stocks and into safer havens ahead of the Federal Reserve's money policy announcement on Wednesday.\nThe Fed is expected to discuss accelerating the pace of tapering its asset purchase program, with reports suggesting the central bank could double the rate to $30 billion per month.\nCrude oil futures settled lower on Monday on concerns about the outlook for energy demand amid worries about the impact of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January ended down by $0.38 or 0.5 percent at $71.29 a barrel.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604456710,"gmtCreate":1639441110547,"gmtModify":1639441110547,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOK\">$Nokia Oyj(NOK)$</a>predict the moment ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOK\">$Nokia Oyj(NOK)$</a>predict the moment ","text":"$Nokia Oyj(NOK)$predict the moment","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2335bd4d49c8dff9f9c5149fab8e9d26","width":"1080","height":"3404"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604456710","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604834520,"gmtCreate":1639367811873,"gmtModify":1639367811873,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOK\">$Nokia Oyj(NOK)$</a>where","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOK\">$Nokia Oyj(NOK)$</a>where","text":"$Nokia Oyj(NOK)$where","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15db6aa2ac1c6380588c1f2080a6a403","width":"1080","height":"3404"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604834520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":604395293,"gmtCreate":1639336179514,"gmtModify":1639479485308,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>what is happening to this?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>what is happening to this?","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$what is happening to this?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/326c1b801136791bb7992e3b6a8ce114","width":"1080","height":"3288"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":415,"commentSize":106,"repostSize":8,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604395293","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":12553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3561201080119265","authorId":"3561201080119265","name":"撻噺贏贏贏","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9413003b0fa77a253c1cfe405fbdc45a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561201080119265","authorIdStr":"3561201080119265"},"content":"长期熊市!","text":"长期熊市!","html":"长期熊市!"},{"author":{"id":"3557624812453643","authorId":"3557624812453643","name":"天酱上人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e97885711b388266758d7ddecea4c6ce","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3557624812453643","authorIdStr":"3557624812453643"},"content":"好","text":"好","html":"好"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696836952,"gmtCreate":1640659602857,"gmtModify":1640695763050,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>predict price for Dec 2022.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>predict price for Dec 2022.","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$predict price for Dec 2022.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696836952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000644","authorId":"9000000000000644","name":"CrystalRose","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000644","authorIdStr":"9000000000000644"},"content":"With AAA credit rating, huge installed client base, record profits, positive cashflows, dividends, annual buy-backs, promising new products, reasonable P/E, should we expect $200 a share in 2022?","text":"With AAA credit rating, huge installed client base, record profits, positive cashflows, dividends, annual buy-backs, promising new products, reasonable P/E, should we expect $200 a share in 2022?","html":"With AAA credit rating, huge installed client base, record profits, positive cashflows, dividends, annual buy-backs, promising new products, reasonable P/E, should we expect $200 a share in 2022?"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000462","authorId":"9000000000000462","name":"MyrnaNorth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58e77982f280b570830d1b8273d6de7e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000462","authorIdStr":"9000000000000462"},"content":"After investing in Apple stock, Stay long money will come automatically, There is no need for any financial advisor's help once you buy Apple. I being in since 2014, never regretted it. Always made money.","text":"After investing in Apple stock, Stay long money will come automatically, There is no need for any financial advisor's help once you buy Apple. I being in since 2014, never regretted it. Always made money.","html":"After investing in Apple stock, Stay long money will come automatically, There is no need for any financial advisor's help once you buy Apple. I being in since 2014, never regretted it. Always made money."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872764633,"gmtCreate":1637576676515,"gmtModify":1637576676515,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872764633","repostId":"1153786917","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153786917","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637534687,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1153786917?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-22 06:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Best Buy, Zoom, Pinduoduo, Xpeng,Xiaomi,Meituan and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>本周投资者关注百思买、Zoom、拼多多、小鹏、小米、美团等股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153786917","media":"Barrons","summary":"The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week","content":"<p>The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week, just as shoppers prepare for Black Friday. On Tuesday, investors will get quarterly results from some of retail’s biggest names, including Best Buy,Burlington Stores,Dick’s Sporting Goods,Dollar Tree,and Gap.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季的尾声将在下周带来主要零售商的更多业绩,就在购物者为黑色星期五做准备之际。本周二,投资者将从一些零售业巨头那里获得季度业绩,包括百思买、伯灵顿商店、迪克体育用品、美元树和盖普。</blockquote></p><p> Friday will bring one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kick off for holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year.</p><p><blockquote>周五将是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一,也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计,今年11月和12月,美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元,比去年增长9.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Non-retail highlights on the earnings calendar next week include Zoom Video Communications on Monday,Xpeng,Xiaomi Corporation,Autodesk,Dell Technologies,and VMware on Tuesday, Deere on Wednesday and Pinduoduo,Meituan and RLX Technology on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>下周财报日历上的非零售亮点包括周一的Zoom Video通信、周二的小鹏汽车、小米公司、欧特克、戴尔科技和 VMware、周三的Deere以及周五的拼多多、美团和RLX科技。</blockquote></p><p> The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October on Monday. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September.</p><p><blockquote>全国房地产经纪人协会周一报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计,经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套,比 9 月份减少 10 万套。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday,IHS Markit releases both the manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the manufacturing PMI and 59 for the services PMI.</p><p><blockquote>本周二,IHS Markit 将发布 11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5,服务业 PMI 预计为 59。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting. The U.S. Census Bureau also releases the durable-goods report for October, while the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and spending for October.</p><p><blockquote>周三,联邦公开市场委员会发布了 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。美国人口普查局还发布了10月份耐用品报告,而美国经济分析局则报告了10月份的个人收入和支出。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. bourses and fixed-income markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. On Friday, the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., while the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市和固定收益市场将于周四因感恩节休市。周五,纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易,而债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Agilent Technologies,Keysight Technologies,and Zoom Video Communications release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>安捷伦科技、是德科技和Zoom Video通信发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September. Existing-home sales hit their post-financial-crisis peak at 6.73 million last October and have fallen for much of this year, partly due to supply constraints, especially at the lower-price end of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计,经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套,比 9 月份减少 10 万套。去年 10 月,成屋销售量达到金融危机后的峰值 673 万套,今年大部分时间都在下降,部分原因是供应限制,尤其是房地产市场的低价端。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices,Autodesk, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dell Technologies, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Gap,HPInc.,J.M. Smucker, Jacobs Engineering Group,Medtronic,and VMware report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Analog Devices、Autodesk、Best Buy、Burlington Stores、Dell Technologies、Dick's Sporting Goods、Dollar Tree、Gap、HPInc、JMSmucker、Jacobs Engineering Group、Medtronic 和 VMware 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b> both the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and 59 for the Services PMI. Both figures are slightly more than the October data. Both indexes are off their peaks from earlier this year, but higher than their levels from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit 发布</b>11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5,服务业 PMI 预计为 59。这两个数字都略高于10月份的数据。这两个指数都偏离了今年早些时候的峰值,但高于一年前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> its second estimate of third-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 2.2% annualized rate of growth, higher than the BEA’s preliminary estimate of 2% from late October.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>其对第三季度国内生产总值的第二次估计。经济学家预测年增长率为 2.2%,高于东亚银行 10 月底 2% 的初步估计。</blockquote></p><p> Deere reports fiscal fourth-quarter 2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere公布 2021 年第四季度财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b> Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会发布 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable-goods report for October. Economists forecast a 0.2% month-over-month increase in new orders for manufactured durable goods, to $262 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen rising 0.5%, matching the September gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布10月份耐用品报告。经济学家预测,耐用品制成品新订单环比增长 0.2%,达到 2620 亿美元。不包括运输,新订单增长 0.5%,与 9 月份的涨幅持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and spending for October. The consensus call is for a 0.4% monthly increase in income after a 1% decline in September. Personal spending is expected to rise 1%, month over month, a faster clip than September’s 0.6% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>10月份个人收入和支出。普遍的看涨期权是,继 9 月份下降 1% 之后,收入每月增长 0.4%。个人支出预计将环比增长 1%,增幅快于 9 月份 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. bourses</b> and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股市</b>固定收益市场因感恩节休市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It’s Black Friday</b>, one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year. U.S. exchanges have a shortened trading session on the day after Thanksgiving. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., and the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天是黑色星期五</b>这是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一,也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计,今年11月和12月,美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元,比去年增长9.5%。美国交易所在感恩节后的第二天缩短了交易时段。纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易,债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Best Buy, Zoom, Pinduoduo, Xpeng,Xiaomi,Meituan and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>本周投资者关注百思买、Zoom、拼多多、小鹏、小米、美团等股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBest Buy, Zoom, Pinduoduo, Xpeng,Xiaomi,Meituan and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>本周投资者关注百思买、Zoom、拼多多、小鹏、小米、美团等股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-22 06:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week, just as shoppers prepare for Black Friday. On Tuesday, investors will get quarterly results from some of retail’s biggest names, including Best Buy,Burlington Stores,Dick’s Sporting Goods,Dollar Tree,and Gap.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季的尾声将在下周带来主要零售商的更多业绩,就在购物者为黑色星期五做准备之际。本周二,投资者将从一些零售业巨头那里获得季度业绩,包括百思买、伯灵顿商店、迪克体育用品、美元树和盖普。</blockquote></p><p> Friday will bring one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kick off for holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year.</p><p><blockquote>周五将是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一,也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计,今年11月和12月,美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元,比去年增长9.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Non-retail highlights on the earnings calendar next week include Zoom Video Communications on Monday,Xpeng,Xiaomi Corporation,Autodesk,Dell Technologies,and VMware on Tuesday, Deere on Wednesday and Pinduoduo,Meituan and RLX Technology on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>下周财报日历上的非零售亮点包括周一的Zoom Video通信、周二的小鹏汽车、小米公司、欧特克、戴尔科技和 VMware、周三的Deere以及周五的拼多多、美团和RLX科技。</blockquote></p><p> The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October on Monday. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September.</p><p><blockquote>全国房地产经纪人协会周一报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计,经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套,比 9 月份减少 10 万套。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday,IHS Markit releases both the manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the manufacturing PMI and 59 for the services PMI.</p><p><blockquote>本周二,IHS Markit 将发布 11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5,服务业 PMI 预计为 59。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting. The U.S. Census Bureau also releases the durable-goods report for October, while the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and spending for October.</p><p><blockquote>周三,联邦公开市场委员会发布了 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。美国人口普查局还发布了10月份耐用品报告,而美国经济分析局则报告了10月份的个人收入和支出。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. bourses and fixed-income markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. On Friday, the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., while the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市和固定收益市场将于周四因感恩节休市。周五,纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易,而债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p> Agilent Technologies,Keysight Technologies,and Zoom Video Communications release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>安捷伦科技、是德科技和Zoom Video通信发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September. Existing-home sales hit their post-financial-crisis peak at 6.73 million last October and have fallen for much of this year, partly due to supply constraints, especially at the lower-price end of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告了10月份的现房销售情况。普遍估计,经季节性调整后的年销量为 619 万套,比 9 月份减少 10 万套。去年 10 月,成屋销售量达到金融危机后的峰值 673 万套,今年大部分时间都在下降,部分原因是供应限制,尤其是房地产市场的低价端。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices,Autodesk, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dell Technologies, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Gap,HPInc.,J.M. Smucker, Jacobs Engineering Group,Medtronic,and VMware report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Analog Devices、Autodesk、Best Buy、Burlington Stores、Dell Technologies、Dick's Sporting Goods、Dollar Tree、Gap、HPInc、JMSmucker、Jacobs Engineering Group、Medtronic 和 VMware 报告收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>IHS Markit releases</b> both the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and 59 for the Services PMI. Both figures are slightly more than the October data. Both indexes are off their peaks from earlier this year, but higher than their levels from a year ago.</p><p><blockquote><b>IHS Markit 发布</b>11 月份制造业和服务业采购经理人指数。制造业 PMI 预计为 59.5,服务业 PMI 预计为 59。这两个数字都略高于10月份的数据。这两个指数都偏离了今年早些时候的峰值,但高于一年前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> its second estimate of third-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 2.2% annualized rate of growth, higher than the BEA’s preliminary estimate of 2% from late October.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>其对第三季度国内生产总值的第二次估计。经济学家预测年增长率为 2.2%,高于东亚银行 10 月底 2% 的初步估计。</blockquote></p><p> Deere reports fiscal fourth-quarter 2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Deere公布 2021 年第四季度财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market</b> Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场</b>委员会发布 11 月初货币政策会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable-goods report for October. Economists forecast a 0.2% month-over-month increase in new orders for manufactured durable goods, to $262 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen rising 0.5%, matching the September gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布10月份耐用品报告。经济学家预测,耐用品制成品新订单环比增长 0.2%,达到 2620 亿美元。不包括运输,新订单增长 0.5%,与 9 月份的涨幅持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and spending for October. The consensus call is for a 0.4% monthly increase in income after a 1% decline in September. Personal spending is expected to rise 1%, month over month, a faster clip than September’s 0.6% gain.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>10月份个人收入和支出。普遍的看涨期权是,继 9 月份下降 1% 之后,收入每月增长 0.4%。个人支出预计将环比增长 1%,增幅快于 9 月份 0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. bourses</b> and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股市</b>固定收益市场因感恩节休市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>It’s Black Friday</b>, one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year. U.S. exchanges have a shortened trading session on the day after Thanksgiving. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., and the bond market closes at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天是黑色星期五</b>这是一年中最繁忙的购物日之一,也是假日购物季的传统开始。全国零售联合会估计,今年11月和12月,美国消费者将花费创纪录的8510亿美元,比去年增长9.5%。美国交易所在感恩节后的第二天缩短了交易时段。纳斯达克和纽约证券交易所下午1点结束交易,债券市场下午2点收盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/best-buy-zoom-dell-deere-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51637524800?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DE":"迪尔股份有限公司","DELL":"戴尔",".DJI":"道琼斯","BBY":"百思买","ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/best-buy-zoom-dell-deere-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51637524800?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153786917","content_text":"The tail end of third-quarter earnings season will bring more results from major retailers next week, just as shoppers prepare for Black Friday. On Tuesday, investors will get quarterly results from some of retail’s biggest names, including Best Buy,Burlington Stores,Dick’s Sporting Goods,Dollar Tree,and Gap.\nFriday will bring one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kick off for holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year.\nNon-retail highlights on the earnings calendar next week include Zoom Video Communications on Monday,Xpeng,Xiaomi Corporation,Autodesk,Dell Technologies,and VMware on Tuesday, Deere on Wednesday and Pinduoduo,Meituan and RLX Technology on Friday.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October on Monday. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September.\nOn Tuesday,IHS Markit releases both the manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the manufacturing PMI and 59 for the services PMI.\nOn Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting. The U.S. Census Bureau also releases the durable-goods report for October, while the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and spending for October.\nU.S. bourses and fixed-income markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. On Friday, the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., while the bond market closes at 2 p.m.\nAgilent Technologies,Keysight Technologies,and Zoom Video Communications release quarterly results.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for October. The consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.19 million homes sold, 100,000 fewer than in September. Existing-home sales hit their post-financial-crisis peak at 6.73 million last October and have fallen for much of this year, partly due to supply constraints, especially at the lower-price end of the housing market.\nAnalog Devices,Autodesk, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dell Technologies, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, Gap,HPInc.,J.M. Smucker, Jacobs Engineering Group,Medtronic,and VMware report earnings.\nIHS Markit releases both the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for November. Expectations are for a 59.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI and 59 for the Services PMI. Both figures are slightly more than the October data. Both indexes are off their peaks from earlier this year, but higher than their levels from a year ago.\nThe BEA reports its second estimate of third-quarter gross domestic product. Economists forecast a 2.2% annualized rate of growth, higher than the BEA’s preliminary estimate of 2% from late October.\nDeere reports fiscal fourth-quarter 2021 results.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes from its early-November monetary-policy meeting.\nThe Census Bureau releases the durable-goods report for October. Economists forecast a 0.2% month-over-month increase in new orders for manufactured durable goods, to $262 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen rising 0.5%, matching the September gain.\nThe BEA reports personal income and spending for October. The consensus call is for a 0.4% monthly increase in income after a 1% decline in September. Personal spending is expected to rise 1%, month over month, a faster clip than September’s 0.6% gain.\nU.S. bourses and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Thanksgiving.\nIt’s Black Friday, one of the busiest shopping days of the year and the traditional kickoff to the holiday shopping season. The National Retail Federation estimates that a record $851 billion will be spent by U.S. consumers this November and December, a 9.5% increase from last year. U.S. exchanges have a shortened trading session on the day after Thanksgiving. The Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange end trading at 1 p.m., and the bond market closes at 2 p.m.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DELL":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"DE":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"BBY":0.9,"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876701509,"gmtCreate":1637358097639,"gmtModify":1637358097639,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oh","listText":"Oh","text":"Oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876701509","repostId":"1114542201","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114542201","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637335740,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1114542201?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-19 23:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Boeing Dreamliner Defects Bog Down Production<blockquote>波音梦想飞机缺陷拖累生产</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114542201","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Boeing stock dropped 4% in morning trading as Boeing Dreamliner defected bog down production.\n\nBoein","content":"<p>Boeing stock dropped 4% in morning trading as Boeing Dreamliner defected bog down production.</p><p><blockquote>波音股价在早盘交易中下跌 4%,原因是波音梦想飞机脱离了 bog 产量下降。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c6c1e62a6a6a253da601f54af830508\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Boeing Co. has further slowed production of 787 Dreamliners as it addresses defects that are delaying deliveries of new jets and complicating airlines’ plans, people familiar with the matter said.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士称,波音公司(Boeing Co.</blockquote></p><p> The plane maker is holding off completing the new wide-body jets at its North Charleston, S.C., factory as workers and engineers address problems related to areas surrounding passenger and cargo doors on aircraft already under construction, these people said.</p><p><blockquote>这些知情人士说,这家飞机制造商正在推迟在其位于南卡罗来纳州北查尔斯顿的工厂完成新型宽体喷气式飞机,因为工人和工程师正在解决与已经在建的飞机上乘客门和货舱门周围区域相关的问题。</blockquote></p><p> The latest production slowdown began in recent days and could last a few weeks as Boeing seeks expertise from other aerospace manufacturers in addressing the door issue, some of these people said. In late October, Boeing disclosed it was producing about two Dreamliners a month, down from a planned monthly rate of five,to resolve production issues.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些人表示,最新的生产放缓始于最近几天,可能会持续几周,因为波音公司正在寻求其他航空航天制造商的专业知识来解决舱门问题。10 月下旬,波音公司透露,为了解决生产问题,该公司每月生产约两架梦想飞机,低于计划的每月五架。</blockquote></p><p> A string of production snafus has hampered Boeing’s ability to deliver new Dreamliners for much of the last year, fueling the manufacturer’s financial losses and making it difficult for airlines to build schedules for jets often used in international travel. The plane maker has faced increased scrutiny internally, by air-safety regulators and lawmakers after two of its 737 MAX jets crashed in 2018 and 2019, claiming 346 lives.</p><p><blockquote>在去年的大部分时间里,一连串的生产混乱阻碍了波音公司交付新梦想客机的能力,加剧了制造商的财务损失,也使航空公司难以为经常用于国际旅行的喷气式飞机制定时刻表。在 2018 年和 2019 年两架 737 MAX 喷气式飞机坠毁,造成 346 人死亡后,这家飞机制造商面临着来自航空安全监管机构和立法者的更多内部审查。</blockquote></p><p> A Boeing spokeswoman said work continues at its Dreamliner factory and production “rates will continue to be dynamic” as the manufacturer focuses on resuming normal assembly, performs inspections and repairs finished aircraft awaiting delivery.</p><p><blockquote>波音公司发言人表示,其梦想客机工厂的工作仍在继续,随着制造商集中精力恢复正常组装、对等待交付的成品飞机进行检查和维修,生产率 “将继续保持动态”。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing is increasingly likely to restart handing over new Dreamliners to its customers in February or March at the earliest, longer than previously anticipated, people familiar with the matter said.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士称,波音公司越来越有可能最早在 2 月或 3 月重新开始向客户交付新的梦想客机,时间比之前预期的要长。</blockquote></p><p> The company has been seeking Federal Aviation Administration approval for its proposed pre-delivery inspections to ensure new aircraft meet federal rules and match Boeing’s regulator-approved designs. An FAA spokesman said the agency won’t sign off on inspections until its safety experts are satisfied.</p><p><blockquote>该公司一直在寻求联邦航空管理局批准其拟议的交付前检查,以确保新飞机符合联邦规定,并与波音公司经监管机构批准的设计相匹配。美国联邦航空局发言人表示,在安全专家满意之前,该机构不会批准检查。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a case of us looking at every single aspect of design and manufacturing with the airplane, making sure that we’re complying, we’re conforming to the design and we will bring that airplane back as soon as that makes sense,” Ihssane Mounir, Boeing’s commercial sales chief, said Nov. 13 at an air show in Dubai.</p><p><blockquote>“波音公司商业销售主管伊赫萨内-穆尼尔(Ihssane Mounir)11 月 13 日在迪拜的一个航展上说:”这是一个我们研究飞机设计和制造的每一个方面的案例,确保我们符合要求,我们符合设计,我们将尽快把飞机带回来。</blockquote></p><p> In an Oct. 27 call with analysts, Chief Executive David Calhoun said defective titanium parts were the “long pole in the tent” among remaining production problems to address.</p><p><blockquote>在 10 月 27 日与分析师举行的看涨期权上,首席执行官大卫-卡尔霍恩(David Calhoun)表示,在剩余的生产问题中,有缺陷的钛零件是 “帐篷里的长杆”。</blockquote></p><p> The door issue has since emerged as the most vexing among Boeing’s 787 problems, people familiar with the matter said. Other defects being addressed are related to items such as certain aluminum parts and windows, some of these people said. Boeing has largely been dealing with tiny gaps where sections of the aircraft join together. Such gaps could lead to premature fatigue that may require repairs sooner than anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>熟悉内情的人士说,舱门问题已成为波音 787 飞机中最棘手的问题。其中一些人说,正在解决的其他缺陷与某些铝制零件和窗户等物品有关。波音公司在很大程度上一直在处理飞机各部分连接在一起的微小间隙。这种间隙可能会导致过早疲劳,可能需要比预期更早进行维修。</blockquote></p><p> The Boeing spokeswoman said the company is confident its approach would lead to stability in its 787 production. “We are taking the time needed to ensure the highest levels of quality,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>波音公司发言人表示,该公司有信心其方法将导致787生产的稳定。“她说:”我们正在花必要的时间来确保最高水平的质量。</blockquote></p><p> None of the defects being addressed pose immediate safety concerns with Dreamliners currently flying, the Boeing spokeswoman said.</p><p><blockquote>波音公司发言人表示,正在解决的缺陷都不会对目前飞行的梦想飞机造成直接的安全问题。</blockquote></p><p> With deliveries largely halted since October 2020, the Chicago-based aerospace giant said it had built up an inventory of 105 Dreamliners as of the end of the third quarter this year, according to securities filings. The undelivered jets are worth more than $25 billion.</p><p><blockquote>根据证券文件,由于自 2020 年 10 月以来交付基本停止,这家总部位于芝加哥的航空航天巨头表示,截至今年第三季度末,该公司已积累了 105 架梦想客机的库存。未交付的喷气式飞机价值超过 250 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The delivery halt has choked off an important source of cash flow for Boeing as it emerges from the coronavirus pandemic’s blow to aircraft demand. It is also complicating airlines’ plans as international travel rebounds. Dreamliners are Boeing’s flagship wide-body jets and are often used on long-haul flights.</p><p><blockquote>在波音公司摆脱冠状病毒大流行对飞机需求的打击之际,交付中断扼杀了波音公司的一个重要现金流来源。随着国际旅行的反弹,航空公司的计划也变得更加复杂。梦想客机是波音公司的旗舰宽体喷气式飞机,经常用于长途航班。</blockquote></p><p> American Airlines Group Inc. said it had trimmed its flying plans due to the delayed arrival of its new 787s.</p><p><blockquote>美国航空集团公司表示,由于新 787 飞机延迟抵达,该公司已削减了飞行计划。</blockquote></p><p> “Due to the continued uncertainty in the delivery schedule, we have proactively removed these aircraft from our winter schedule to minimize potential passenger disruption,” Derek Kerr, the airline’s finance chief, said on an Oct. 21 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>“该航空公司财务主管 Derek Kerr 在 10 月 21 日的财报看涨期权上说:”由于交付时间表的持续不确定性,我们已主动将这些飞机从冬季时间表中删除,以尽量减少潜在的乘客干扰。</blockquote></p><p> The FAA launched a broad review of Boeing’s Dreamliner production in late 2020.</p><p><blockquote>美国联邦航空局于 2020 年底对波音公司的梦想客机生产进行了广泛审查。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, Democratic and Republican leaders of the U.S. House Transportation Committee and its aviation subcommittee requested that the Department of Transportation’s inspector general review the FAA’s manufacturing oversight and “the effectiveness of the FAA’s actions to resolve 787 production issues,” according to a letter reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》查阅的一封信显示,周四,美国众议院交通委员会及其航空小组委员会的民主党和共和党领导人要求运输部监察长审查联邦航空局的制造监督和 “联邦航空局解决 787 生产问题的行动的有效性”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Representatives of the DOT’s inspector general’s office didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>交通部监察长办公室的代表没有立即回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Boeing Dreamliner Defects Bog Down Production<blockquote>波音梦想飞机缺陷拖累生产</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBoeing Dreamliner Defects Bog Down Production<blockquote>波音梦想飞机缺陷拖累生产</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-19 23:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Boeing stock dropped 4% in morning trading as Boeing Dreamliner defected bog down production.</p><p><blockquote>波音股价在早盘交易中下跌 4%,原因是波音梦想飞机脱离了 bog 产量下降。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c6c1e62a6a6a253da601f54af830508\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Boeing Co. has further slowed production of 787 Dreamliners as it addresses defects that are delaying deliveries of new jets and complicating airlines’ plans, people familiar with the matter said.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士称,波音公司(Boeing Co.</blockquote></p><p> The plane maker is holding off completing the new wide-body jets at its North Charleston, S.C., factory as workers and engineers address problems related to areas surrounding passenger and cargo doors on aircraft already under construction, these people said.</p><p><blockquote>这些知情人士说,这家飞机制造商正在推迟在其位于南卡罗来纳州北查尔斯顿的工厂完成新型宽体喷气式飞机,因为工人和工程师正在解决与已经在建的飞机上乘客门和货舱门周围区域相关的问题。</blockquote></p><p> The latest production slowdown began in recent days and could last a few weeks as Boeing seeks expertise from other aerospace manufacturers in addressing the door issue, some of these people said. In late October, Boeing disclosed it was producing about two Dreamliners a month, down from a planned monthly rate of five,to resolve production issues.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些人表示,最新的生产放缓始于最近几天,可能会持续几周,因为波音公司正在寻求其他航空航天制造商的专业知识来解决舱门问题。10 月下旬,波音公司透露,为了解决生产问题,该公司每月生产约两架梦想飞机,低于计划的每月五架。</blockquote></p><p> A string of production snafus has hampered Boeing’s ability to deliver new Dreamliners for much of the last year, fueling the manufacturer’s financial losses and making it difficult for airlines to build schedules for jets often used in international travel. The plane maker has faced increased scrutiny internally, by air-safety regulators and lawmakers after two of its 737 MAX jets crashed in 2018 and 2019, claiming 346 lives.</p><p><blockquote>在去年的大部分时间里,一连串的生产混乱阻碍了波音公司交付新梦想客机的能力,加剧了制造商的财务损失,也使航空公司难以为经常用于国际旅行的喷气式飞机制定时刻表。在 2018 年和 2019 年两架 737 MAX 喷气式飞机坠毁,造成 346 人死亡后,这家飞机制造商面临着来自航空安全监管机构和立法者的更多内部审查。</blockquote></p><p> A Boeing spokeswoman said work continues at its Dreamliner factory and production “rates will continue to be dynamic” as the manufacturer focuses on resuming normal assembly, performs inspections and repairs finished aircraft awaiting delivery.</p><p><blockquote>波音公司发言人表示,其梦想客机工厂的工作仍在继续,随着制造商集中精力恢复正常组装、对等待交付的成品飞机进行检查和维修,生产率 “将继续保持动态”。</blockquote></p><p> Boeing is increasingly likely to restart handing over new Dreamliners to its customers in February or March at the earliest, longer than previously anticipated, people familiar with the matter said.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士称,波音公司越来越有可能最早在 2 月或 3 月重新开始向客户交付新的梦想客机,时间比之前预期的要长。</blockquote></p><p> The company has been seeking Federal Aviation Administration approval for its proposed pre-delivery inspections to ensure new aircraft meet federal rules and match Boeing’s regulator-approved designs. An FAA spokesman said the agency won’t sign off on inspections until its safety experts are satisfied.</p><p><blockquote>该公司一直在寻求联邦航空管理局批准其拟议的交付前检查,以确保新飞机符合联邦规定,并与波音公司经监管机构批准的设计相匹配。美国联邦航空局发言人表示,在安全专家满意之前,该机构不会批准检查。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a case of us looking at every single aspect of design and manufacturing with the airplane, making sure that we’re complying, we’re conforming to the design and we will bring that airplane back as soon as that makes sense,” Ihssane Mounir, Boeing’s commercial sales chief, said Nov. 13 at an air show in Dubai.</p><p><blockquote>“波音公司商业销售主管伊赫萨内-穆尼尔(Ihssane Mounir)11 月 13 日在迪拜的一个航展上说:”这是一个我们研究飞机设计和制造的每一个方面的案例,确保我们符合要求,我们符合设计,我们将尽快把飞机带回来。</blockquote></p><p> In an Oct. 27 call with analysts, Chief Executive David Calhoun said defective titanium parts were the “long pole in the tent” among remaining production problems to address.</p><p><blockquote>在 10 月 27 日与分析师举行的看涨期权上,首席执行官大卫-卡尔霍恩(David Calhoun)表示,在剩余的生产问题中,有缺陷的钛零件是 “帐篷里的长杆”。</blockquote></p><p> The door issue has since emerged as the most vexing among Boeing’s 787 problems, people familiar with the matter said. Other defects being addressed are related to items such as certain aluminum parts and windows, some of these people said. Boeing has largely been dealing with tiny gaps where sections of the aircraft join together. Such gaps could lead to premature fatigue that may require repairs sooner than anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>熟悉内情的人士说,舱门问题已成为波音 787 飞机中最棘手的问题。其中一些人说,正在解决的其他缺陷与某些铝制零件和窗户等物品有关。波音公司在很大程度上一直在处理飞机各部分连接在一起的微小间隙。这种间隙可能会导致过早疲劳,可能需要比预期更早进行维修。</blockquote></p><p> The Boeing spokeswoman said the company is confident its approach would lead to stability in its 787 production. “We are taking the time needed to ensure the highest levels of quality,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>波音公司发言人表示,该公司有信心其方法将导致787生产的稳定。“她说:”我们正在花必要的时间来确保最高水平的质量。</blockquote></p><p> None of the defects being addressed pose immediate safety concerns with Dreamliners currently flying, the Boeing spokeswoman said.</p><p><blockquote>波音公司发言人表示,正在解决的缺陷都不会对目前飞行的梦想飞机造成直接的安全问题。</blockquote></p><p> With deliveries largely halted since October 2020, the Chicago-based aerospace giant said it had built up an inventory of 105 Dreamliners as of the end of the third quarter this year, according to securities filings. The undelivered jets are worth more than $25 billion.</p><p><blockquote>根据证券文件,由于自 2020 年 10 月以来交付基本停止,这家总部位于芝加哥的航空航天巨头表示,截至今年第三季度末,该公司已积累了 105 架梦想客机的库存。未交付的喷气式飞机价值超过 250 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The delivery halt has choked off an important source of cash flow for Boeing as it emerges from the coronavirus pandemic’s blow to aircraft demand. It is also complicating airlines’ plans as international travel rebounds. Dreamliners are Boeing’s flagship wide-body jets and are often used on long-haul flights.</p><p><blockquote>在波音公司摆脱冠状病毒大流行对飞机需求的打击之际,交付中断扼杀了波音公司的一个重要现金流来源。随着国际旅行的反弹,航空公司的计划也变得更加复杂。梦想客机是波音公司的旗舰宽体喷气式飞机,经常用于长途航班。</blockquote></p><p> American Airlines Group Inc. said it had trimmed its flying plans due to the delayed arrival of its new 787s.</p><p><blockquote>美国航空集团公司表示,由于新 787 飞机延迟抵达,该公司已削减了飞行计划。</blockquote></p><p> “Due to the continued uncertainty in the delivery schedule, we have proactively removed these aircraft from our winter schedule to minimize potential passenger disruption,” Derek Kerr, the airline’s finance chief, said on an Oct. 21 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>“该航空公司财务主管 Derek Kerr 在 10 月 21 日的财报看涨期权上说:”由于交付时间表的持续不确定性,我们已主动将这些飞机从冬季时间表中删除,以尽量减少潜在的乘客干扰。</blockquote></p><p> The FAA launched a broad review of Boeing’s Dreamliner production in late 2020.</p><p><blockquote>美国联邦航空局于 2020 年底对波音公司的梦想客机生产进行了广泛审查。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, Democratic and Republican leaders of the U.S. House Transportation Committee and its aviation subcommittee requested that the Department of Transportation’s inspector general review the FAA’s manufacturing oversight and “the effectiveness of the FAA’s actions to resolve 787 production issues,” according to a letter reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》查阅的一封信显示,周四,美国众议院交通委员会及其航空小组委员会的民主党和共和党领导人要求运输部监察长审查联邦航空局的制造监督和 “联邦航空局解决 787 生产问题的行动的有效性”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Representatives of the DOT’s inspector general’s office didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.</p><p><blockquote>交通部监察长办公室的代表没有立即回应置评请求。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114542201","content_text":"Boeing stock dropped 4% in morning trading as Boeing Dreamliner defected bog down production.\n\nBoeing Co. has further slowed production of 787 Dreamliners as it addresses defects that are delaying deliveries of new jets and complicating airlines’ plans, people familiar with the matter said.\nThe plane maker is holding off completing the new wide-body jets at its North Charleston, S.C., factory as workers and engineers address problems related to areas surrounding passenger and cargo doors on aircraft already under construction, these people said.\nThe latest production slowdown began in recent days and could last a few weeks as Boeing seeks expertise from other aerospace manufacturers in addressing the door issue, some of these people said. In late October, Boeing disclosed it was producing about two Dreamliners a month, down from a planned monthly rate of five,to resolve production issues.\nA string of production snafus has hampered Boeing’s ability to deliver new Dreamliners for much of the last year, fueling the manufacturer’s financial losses and making it difficult for airlines to build schedules for jets often used in international travel. The plane maker has faced increased scrutiny internally, by air-safety regulators and lawmakers after two of its 737 MAX jets crashed in 2018 and 2019, claiming 346 lives.\nA Boeing spokeswoman said work continues at its Dreamliner factory and production “rates will continue to be dynamic” as the manufacturer focuses on resuming normal assembly, performs inspections and repairs finished aircraft awaiting delivery.\nBoeing is increasingly likely to restart handing over new Dreamliners to its customers in February or March at the earliest, longer than previously anticipated, people familiar with the matter said.\nThe company has been seeking Federal Aviation Administration approval for its proposed pre-delivery inspections to ensure new aircraft meet federal rules and match Boeing’s regulator-approved designs. An FAA spokesman said the agency won’t sign off on inspections until its safety experts are satisfied.\n“This is a case of us looking at every single aspect of design and manufacturing with the airplane, making sure that we’re complying, we’re conforming to the design and we will bring that airplane back as soon as that makes sense,” Ihssane Mounir, Boeing’s commercial sales chief, said Nov. 13 at an air show in Dubai.\nIn an Oct. 27 call with analysts, Chief Executive David Calhoun said defective titanium parts were the “long pole in the tent” among remaining production problems to address.\nThe door issue has since emerged as the most vexing among Boeing’s 787 problems, people familiar with the matter said. Other defects being addressed are related to items such as certain aluminum parts and windows, some of these people said. Boeing has largely been dealing with tiny gaps where sections of the aircraft join together. Such gaps could lead to premature fatigue that may require repairs sooner than anticipated.\nThe Boeing spokeswoman said the company is confident its approach would lead to stability in its 787 production. “We are taking the time needed to ensure the highest levels of quality,” she said.\nNone of the defects being addressed pose immediate safety concerns with Dreamliners currently flying, the Boeing spokeswoman said.\nWith deliveries largely halted since October 2020, the Chicago-based aerospace giant said it had built up an inventory of 105 Dreamliners as of the end of the third quarter this year, according to securities filings. The undelivered jets are worth more than $25 billion.\nThe delivery halt has choked off an important source of cash flow for Boeing as it emerges from the coronavirus pandemic’s blow to aircraft demand. It is also complicating airlines’ plans as international travel rebounds. Dreamliners are Boeing’s flagship wide-body jets and are often used on long-haul flights.\nAmerican Airlines Group Inc. said it had trimmed its flying plans due to the delayed arrival of its new 787s.\n“Due to the continued uncertainty in the delivery schedule, we have proactively removed these aircraft from our winter schedule to minimize potential passenger disruption,” Derek Kerr, the airline’s finance chief, said on an Oct. 21 earnings call.\nThe FAA launched a broad review of Boeing’s Dreamliner production in late 2020.\nOn Thursday, Democratic and Republican leaders of the U.S. House Transportation Committee and its aviation subcommittee requested that the Department of Transportation’s inspector general review the FAA’s manufacturing oversight and “the effectiveness of the FAA’s actions to resolve 787 production issues,” according to a letter reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.\nRepresentatives of the DOT’s inspector general’s office didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602200775,"gmtCreate":1639021575798,"gmtModify":1639021575798,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602200775","repostId":"2190169579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":818785896,"gmtCreate":1630450477615,"gmtModify":1630450477615,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818785896","repostId":"1169387208","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834032507,"gmtCreate":1629761633109,"gmtModify":1629761633109,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Sweet","listText":"Sweet","text":"Sweet","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834032507","repostId":"2161777891","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1014,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131095519,"gmtCreate":1621815610931,"gmtModify":1621815610931,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok. Interesting ","listText":"Ok. Interesting ","text":"Ok. Interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131095519","repostId":"1196215338","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196215338","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621815461,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1196215338?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-24 08:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: Here Are The 4 \"Worries\" That Will Dominate The Next 6-12 Months<blockquote>摩根士丹利:以下是未来 6-12 个月将主导的 4 个“担忧”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196215338","media":"zerohedge","summary":"By Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley\nAll Gas, No Brakes\nThe weather in ","content":"<p><i>By Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley</i></p><p><blockquote><i>作者:Andrew Sheets,摩根士丹利首席跨资产策略师</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>All Gas, No Brakes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全油门,无刹车</b></blockquote></p><p> The weather in London this week has been rainy <i>while</i> sunny, which feels like a fair description of current sentiment, as we’ve been discussing our mid-year outlook with investors this week. There’s a <i>wide</i> range of views out there at the moment, with the noisiness of the data giving everyone something to hang their hat on. In short, it’s the perfect time to step back and debate the longer-term outlook.</p><p><blockquote>这个星期伦敦的天气一直下雨<i>当</i>本周我们一直在与投资者讨论年中展望,阳光明媚,这似乎是对当前情绪的公平描述。有一个<i>广泛的</i>目前外面的视野范围很广,数据的噪音给了每个人一些悬挂帽子的东西。简而言之,现在是退后一步,讨论长期前景的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> The most notable aspect of our forecasts, and one of the most contentious areas of debate, is just how much our expectations differ from the prior decade. The post-GFC period was defined by fiscal austerity, <i>low</i> investment, a deleveraging consumer and central banks acting <i>pre-emptively</i> to choke off inflationary risk. Indeed,<b>for all that we associate ‘easy policy’ with the last cycle, the PBOC tightening in 2010, the ECB hiking in 2011 and the Fed hiking in 2015 were all aggressive </b><b><i>early</i></b><b> moves to nip inflation in the bud.</b></p><p><blockquote>我们的预测中最引人注目的方面,也是最有争议的辩论领域之一,就是我们的预期与前十年有多大不同。后GFC时期的定义是财政紧缩,<i>低的</i>投资、去杠杆化的消费者和央行的行动<i>抢先一步</i>抑制通货膨胀风险。的确,<b>尽管我们将“宽松政策”与上一个周期联系在一起,但2010年中国人民银行的紧缩政策、2011年欧洲央行的加息政策和2015年美联储的加息政策都是激进的。</b><b><i>早期的</i></b><b>将通货膨胀扼杀在萌芽状态。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Our expectations this time around couldn’t be more different.</b>Fiscal policy is historically expansionary. The consumer in the US, Europe and China is in outstanding shape, with record levels of savings. We see a ‘red-hot capex cycle’ and public and private sector investment increasing. Global real rates are still near all-time lows. As my colleague Chetan Ahya noted in last week’s <i>Sunday Start</i>,<b>fiscal easing, cheap money, a strong consumer and more investment are four powerful cylinders in the proverbial economic engine.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这一次,我们的期望大不相同。</b>财政政策历来是扩张性的。美国、欧洲和中国的消费者状况良好,储蓄水平创历史新高。我们看到了一个 “火热的资本支出周期”,公共和私营部门的投资都在增加。全球实际利率仍接近历史低点。正如我的同事 Chetan Ahya 在上周的<i>周日开始</i>,<b>财政宽松、廉价货币、强劲的消费者和更多的投资是众所周知的经济引擎中的四个强大气缸。</b></blockquote></p><p> But just as notable is the expected policy response. In the face of strong growth, we think that central banks remain unusually standoffish. For the Fed, it’s a focus on still-elevated unemployment, coupled with a recent commitment to average inflation targeting. For the ECB, it’s awareness of a long-running inflation undershoot and memories of the 2011 hikes. For China, it’s taking a more gradual approach to tightening than after the last downturn.</p><p><blockquote>但同样值得注意的是预期的政策反应。面对强劲的增长,我们认为各国央行仍然异常冷漠。对美联储来说,这是对仍然居高不下的失业率的关注,再加上最近对平均通胀目标的承诺。对欧洲央行来说,这是对长期通胀低迷的认识,也是对 2011 年加息的记忆。对中国来说,与上次经济衰退后相比,中国正在采取更加渐进的紧缩政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In short, it’s a global economy with a lot of gas and few brakes:</b>And if that is so, it means the risk case is different. After a decade where risk often skewed to the downside and the question was what new form of easing would central banks conjure up to fight weakness, the issue now is that growth is <i>good</i>. Hence<b>:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>简而言之,这是一个汽油多、刹车少的全球经济:</b>如果是这样的话,这意味着风险情况是不同的。在过去的十年里,风险经常向下行倾斜,问题是各国央行将采取何种新形式的宽松政策来对抗疲软,但现在的问题是,经济增长<i>好的</i>.因此<b>:</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><b>Will the recovery create inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>复苏会造成通货膨胀吗?</b></li></ol></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><b>Will it alter central bank policy?</b></p><p><blockquote><li><b>会改变央行政策吗?</b></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><b>Will that lead to margin and tax pressures?</b></p><p><blockquote><li><b>这会导致利润和税收压力吗?</b></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><b>And is good growth already in the price?</b></p><p><blockquote><li><b>良好的增长已经在价格中了吗?</b></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ol> <i>If</i> these are the ‘worries’ that will dominate the next 6-12 months, they won’t apply evenly. For US equities and credit, as well as segments of EM, these concerns will be front and center. But for Europe (and Japan), the questions of excessive valuations, high inflation, a hawkish policy shift or new corporate taxes seem much more distant. Maybe this distinction is obvious, but we think that it still works to Europe’s advantage.</p><p><blockquote><i>如果</i>这些 “担忧 ”将在未来 6-12 个月内占据主导地位,但它们不会均匀适用。对于美国股票和信贷以及新兴市场的细分市场来说,这些担忧将是前沿和中心。但对于欧洲(和日本)来说,估值过高、高通胀、鹰派政策转变或新企业税等问题似乎更加遥远。也许这种区别是显而易见的,但我们认为它仍然对欧洲有利。</blockquote></p><p> A hotter cycle could also mean a <i>shorter</i> cycle, and an unusually fast normalization of conditions. Such a scenario disadvantages credit. The asset class sees outstanding early-cycle, post-recession performance as growth recovers and companies focus on survival. But as things heat up, extra growth doesn’t mean any extra income from a corporate bond. On a cross-asset basis, credit underperforms on our new 12-month forecasts, and credit risk premiums look rich relative to other assets.<b>With a change in view from Srikanth Sankaran and our credit strategy team, we’ve downgraded credit to equal-weight.</b></p><p><blockquote>更热的周期也可能意味着<i>更短</i>周期,以及异常快速的条件正常化。这种情况不利于信用。随着增长复苏和公司专注于生存,该资产类别在经济衰退后的早期周期表现出色。但随着事态升温,额外的增长并不意味着公司债券的额外收入。在跨资产基础上,信贷表现不如我们新的 12 个月预测,而且相对于其他资产,信用风险溢价看起来很高。<b>鉴于斯里坎特-桑卡兰(Srikanth Sankaran)和我们的信用战略团队做出了改变,我们已将信用评级下调至同等权重。</b></blockquote></p><p> Finally, these forecasts invite an even more important <i>structural</i> question. Again, our expectations for strong fiscal, monetary and capital spending and consumer trends are <i>very</i> different from what prevailed over the last decade.<b>Will this mean an exit from the secular stagnation of the post-GFC mindset? If we are right, this should be an increasingly important debate.</b></p><p><blockquote>最后,这些预测引发了一个更重要的<i>结构上的</i>问题。同样,我们对强劲的财政、货币和资本支出以及消费趋势的预期是<i>非常</i>不同于过去十年的情况。<b>这是否意味着摆脱后GFC思维模式的长期停滞?如果我们是对的,这应该是一场越来越重要的辩论。</b></blockquote></p><p> As we’ve told this story over the last week, opinions, like the weather, have been mixed. We’ve talked to plenty of investors who think it’s finally Europe’s time to shine, and plenty of others who worry it will remain a serial disappointment.<b>One investor described our expectation that the Fed doesn’t hike until 3Q23 as ‘what the Fed wants to do, not what it will do’, while another thought the Fed wouldn’t be able to complete tapering, given market sensitivity to real rates.</b></p><p><blockquote>在过去一周的报道中,人们的看法和天气一样,褒贬不一。我们与许多投资者进行了交谈,他们认为欧洲终于到了大放异彩的时候了,也有很多投资者担心欧洲仍将令人失望。<b>一位投资者将我们对美联储在2023年第三季度之前不会加息的预期描述为 “美联储想做什么,而不是它将要做什么”,而另一位投资者则认为,鉴于市场对实际利率的敏感性,美联储将无法完成缩减加息规模。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Opinion on the big picture is similarly divided.<b>Indeed, the current debate reminds me quite a bit of 2010, when there was a sharp division between those who expected a rapid return of pre-crisis conditions (higher rates, EM leadership), and those who thought otherwise.</b>As growth and inflation pick up, we expect a trickier summer, but also an ongoing debate around these larger issues. Rain during sunshine could be something we need to get used to.</p><p><blockquote>对大局的看法也有类似的分歧。<b>事实上,当前的辩论让我想起了2010年,当时预计危机前状况(更高的利率、新兴市场领导地位)会迅速恢复的人和不这么认为的人之间存在着尖锐的分歧。</b>随着增长和通胀的回升,我们预计夏季将更加棘手,但围绕这些更大问题的辩论也将持续进行。阳光下的雨可能是我们需要习惯的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: Here Are The 4 \"Worries\" That Will Dominate The Next 6-12 Months<blockquote>摩根士丹利:以下是未来 6-12 个月将主导的 4 个“担忧”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: Here Are The 4 \"Worries\" That Will Dominate The Next 6-12 Months<blockquote>摩根士丹利:以下是未来 6-12 个月将主导的 4 个“担忧”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-24 08:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>By Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley</i></p><p><blockquote><i>作者:Andrew Sheets,摩根士丹利首席跨资产策略师</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>All Gas, No Brakes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全油门,无刹车</b></blockquote></p><p> The weather in London this week has been rainy <i>while</i> sunny, which feels like a fair description of current sentiment, as we’ve been discussing our mid-year outlook with investors this week. There’s a <i>wide</i> range of views out there at the moment, with the noisiness of the data giving everyone something to hang their hat on. In short, it’s the perfect time to step back and debate the longer-term outlook.</p><p><blockquote>这个星期伦敦的天气一直下雨<i>当</i>本周我们一直在与投资者讨论年中展望,阳光明媚,这似乎是对当前情绪的公平描述。有一个<i>广泛的</i>目前外面的视野范围很广,数据的噪音给了每个人一些悬挂帽子的东西。简而言之,现在是退后一步,讨论长期前景的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> The most notable aspect of our forecasts, and one of the most contentious areas of debate, is just how much our expectations differ from the prior decade. The post-GFC period was defined by fiscal austerity, <i>low</i> investment, a deleveraging consumer and central banks acting <i>pre-emptively</i> to choke off inflationary risk. Indeed,<b>for all that we associate ‘easy policy’ with the last cycle, the PBOC tightening in 2010, the ECB hiking in 2011 and the Fed hiking in 2015 were all aggressive </b><b><i>early</i></b><b> moves to nip inflation in the bud.</b></p><p><blockquote>我们的预测中最引人注目的方面,也是最有争议的辩论领域之一,就是我们的预期与前十年有多大不同。后GFC时期的定义是财政紧缩,<i>低的</i>投资、去杠杆化的消费者和央行的行动<i>抢先一步</i>抑制通货膨胀风险。的确,<b>尽管我们将“宽松政策”与上一个周期联系在一起,但2010年中国人民银行的紧缩政策、2011年欧洲央行的加息政策和2015年美联储的加息政策都是激进的。</b><b><i>早期的</i></b><b>将通货膨胀扼杀在萌芽状态。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Our expectations this time around couldn’t be more different.</b>Fiscal policy is historically expansionary. The consumer in the US, Europe and China is in outstanding shape, with record levels of savings. We see a ‘red-hot capex cycle’ and public and private sector investment increasing. Global real rates are still near all-time lows. As my colleague Chetan Ahya noted in last week’s <i>Sunday Start</i>,<b>fiscal easing, cheap money, a strong consumer and more investment are four powerful cylinders in the proverbial economic engine.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这一次,我们的期望大不相同。</b>财政政策历来是扩张性的。美国、欧洲和中国的消费者状况良好,储蓄水平创历史新高。我们看到了一个 “火热的资本支出周期”,公共和私营部门的投资都在增加。全球实际利率仍接近历史低点。正如我的同事 Chetan Ahya 在上周的<i>周日开始</i>,<b>财政宽松、廉价货币、强劲的消费者和更多的投资是众所周知的经济引擎中的四个强大气缸。</b></blockquote></p><p> But just as notable is the expected policy response. In the face of strong growth, we think that central banks remain unusually standoffish. For the Fed, it’s a focus on still-elevated unemployment, coupled with a recent commitment to average inflation targeting. For the ECB, it’s awareness of a long-running inflation undershoot and memories of the 2011 hikes. For China, it’s taking a more gradual approach to tightening than after the last downturn.</p><p><blockquote>但同样值得注意的是预期的政策反应。面对强劲的增长,我们认为各国央行仍然异常冷漠。对美联储来说,这是对仍然居高不下的失业率的关注,再加上最近对平均通胀目标的承诺。对欧洲央行来说,这是对长期通胀低迷的认识,也是对 2011 年加息的记忆。对中国来说,与上次经济衰退后相比,中国正在采取更加渐进的紧缩政策。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In short, it’s a global economy with a lot of gas and few brakes:</b>And if that is so, it means the risk case is different. After a decade where risk often skewed to the downside and the question was what new form of easing would central banks conjure up to fight weakness, the issue now is that growth is <i>good</i>. Hence<b>:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>简而言之,这是一个汽油多、刹车少的全球经济:</b>如果是这样的话,这意味着风险情况是不同的。在过去的十年里,风险经常向下行倾斜,问题是各国央行将采取何种新形式的宽松政策来对抗疲软,但现在的问题是,经济增长<i>好的</i>.因此<b>:</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><b>Will the recovery create inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b>复苏会造成通货膨胀吗?</b></li></ol></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><b>Will it alter central bank policy?</b></p><p><blockquote><li><b>会改变央行政策吗?</b></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><b>Will that lead to margin and tax pressures?</b></p><p><blockquote><li><b>这会导致利润和税收压力吗?</b></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><b>And is good growth already in the price?</b></p><p><blockquote><li><b>良好的增长已经在价格中了吗?</b></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ol> <i>If</i> these are the ‘worries’ that will dominate the next 6-12 months, they won’t apply evenly. For US equities and credit, as well as segments of EM, these concerns will be front and center. But for Europe (and Japan), the questions of excessive valuations, high inflation, a hawkish policy shift or new corporate taxes seem much more distant. Maybe this distinction is obvious, but we think that it still works to Europe’s advantage.</p><p><blockquote><i>如果</i>这些 “担忧 ”将在未来 6-12 个月内占据主导地位,但它们不会均匀适用。对于美国股票和信贷以及新兴市场的细分市场来说,这些担忧将是前沿和中心。但对于欧洲(和日本)来说,估值过高、高通胀、鹰派政策转变或新企业税等问题似乎更加遥远。也许这种区别是显而易见的,但我们认为它仍然对欧洲有利。</blockquote></p><p> A hotter cycle could also mean a <i>shorter</i> cycle, and an unusually fast normalization of conditions. Such a scenario disadvantages credit. The asset class sees outstanding early-cycle, post-recession performance as growth recovers and companies focus on survival. But as things heat up, extra growth doesn’t mean any extra income from a corporate bond. On a cross-asset basis, credit underperforms on our new 12-month forecasts, and credit risk premiums look rich relative to other assets.<b>With a change in view from Srikanth Sankaran and our credit strategy team, we’ve downgraded credit to equal-weight.</b></p><p><blockquote>更热的周期也可能意味着<i>更短</i>周期,以及异常快速的条件正常化。这种情况不利于信用。随着增长复苏和公司专注于生存,该资产类别在经济衰退后的早期周期表现出色。但随着事态升温,额外的增长并不意味着公司债券的额外收入。在跨资产基础上,信贷表现不如我们新的 12 个月预测,而且相对于其他资产,信用风险溢价看起来很高。<b>鉴于斯里坎特-桑卡兰(Srikanth Sankaran)和我们的信用战略团队做出了改变,我们已将信用评级下调至同等权重。</b></blockquote></p><p> Finally, these forecasts invite an even more important <i>structural</i> question. Again, our expectations for strong fiscal, monetary and capital spending and consumer trends are <i>very</i> different from what prevailed over the last decade.<b>Will this mean an exit from the secular stagnation of the post-GFC mindset? If we are right, this should be an increasingly important debate.</b></p><p><blockquote>最后,这些预测引发了一个更重要的<i>结构上的</i>问题。同样,我们对强劲的财政、货币和资本支出以及消费趋势的预期是<i>非常</i>不同于过去十年的情况。<b>这是否意味着摆脱后GFC思维模式的长期停滞?如果我们是对的,这应该是一场越来越重要的辩论。</b></blockquote></p><p> As we’ve told this story over the last week, opinions, like the weather, have been mixed. We’ve talked to plenty of investors who think it’s finally Europe’s time to shine, and plenty of others who worry it will remain a serial disappointment.<b>One investor described our expectation that the Fed doesn’t hike until 3Q23 as ‘what the Fed wants to do, not what it will do’, while another thought the Fed wouldn’t be able to complete tapering, given market sensitivity to real rates.</b></p><p><blockquote>在过去一周的报道中,人们的看法和天气一样,褒贬不一。我们与许多投资者进行了交谈,他们认为欧洲终于到了大放异彩的时候了,也有很多投资者担心欧洲仍将令人失望。<b>一位投资者将我们对美联储在2023年第三季度之前不会加息的预期描述为 “美联储想做什么,而不是它将要做什么”,而另一位投资者则认为,鉴于市场对实际利率的敏感性,美联储将无法完成缩减加息规模。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Opinion on the big picture is similarly divided.<b>Indeed, the current debate reminds me quite a bit of 2010, when there was a sharp division between those who expected a rapid return of pre-crisis conditions (higher rates, EM leadership), and those who thought otherwise.</b>As growth and inflation pick up, we expect a trickier summer, but also an ongoing debate around these larger issues. Rain during sunshine could be something we need to get used to.</p><p><blockquote>对大局的看法也有类似的分歧。<b>事实上,当前的辩论让我想起了2010年,当时预计危机前状况(更高的利率、新兴市场领导地位)会迅速恢复的人和不这么认为的人之间存在着尖锐的分歧。</b>随着增长和通胀的回升,我们预计夏季将更加棘手,但围绕这些更大问题的辩论也将持续进行。阳光下的雨可能是我们需要习惯的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-here-are-4-worries-will-dominate-next-6-12-months\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-here-are-4-worries-will-dominate-next-6-12-months","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196215338","content_text":"By Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley\nAll Gas, No Brakes\nThe weather in London this week has been rainy while sunny, which feels like a fair description of current sentiment, as we’ve been discussing our mid-year outlook with investors this week. There’s a wide range of views out there at the moment, with the noisiness of the data giving everyone something to hang their hat on. In short, it’s the perfect time to step back and debate the longer-term outlook.\nThe most notable aspect of our forecasts, and one of the most contentious areas of debate, is just how much our expectations differ from the prior decade. The post-GFC period was defined by fiscal austerity, low investment, a deleveraging consumer and central banks acting pre-emptively to choke off inflationary risk. Indeed,for all that we associate ‘easy policy’ with the last cycle, the PBOC tightening in 2010, the ECB hiking in 2011 and the Fed hiking in 2015 were all aggressive early moves to nip inflation in the bud.\nOur expectations this time around couldn’t be more different.Fiscal policy is historically expansionary. The consumer in the US, Europe and China is in outstanding shape, with record levels of savings. We see a ‘red-hot capex cycle’ and public and private sector investment increasing. Global real rates are still near all-time lows. As my colleague Chetan Ahya noted in last week’s Sunday Start,fiscal easing, cheap money, a strong consumer and more investment are four powerful cylinders in the proverbial economic engine.\nBut just as notable is the expected policy response. In the face of strong growth, we think that central banks remain unusually standoffish. For the Fed, it’s a focus on still-elevated unemployment, coupled with a recent commitment to average inflation targeting. For the ECB, it’s awareness of a long-running inflation undershoot and memories of the 2011 hikes. For China, it’s taking a more gradual approach to tightening than after the last downturn.\nIn short, it’s a global economy with a lot of gas and few brakes:And if that is so, it means the risk case is different. After a decade where risk often skewed to the downside and the question was what new form of easing would central banks conjure up to fight weakness, the issue now is that growth is good. Hence:\n\nWill the recovery create inflation?\nWill it alter central bank policy?\nWill that lead to margin and tax pressures?\nAnd is good growth already in the price?\n\nIf these are the ‘worries’ that will dominate the next 6-12 months, they won’t apply evenly. For US equities and credit, as well as segments of EM, these concerns will be front and center. But for Europe (and Japan), the questions of excessive valuations, high inflation, a hawkish policy shift or new corporate taxes seem much more distant. Maybe this distinction is obvious, but we think that it still works to Europe’s advantage.\nA hotter cycle could also mean a shorter cycle, and an unusually fast normalization of conditions. Such a scenario disadvantages credit. The asset class sees outstanding early-cycle, post-recession performance as growth recovers and companies focus on survival. But as things heat up, extra growth doesn’t mean any extra income from a corporate bond. On a cross-asset basis, credit underperforms on our new 12-month forecasts, and credit risk premiums look rich relative to other assets.With a change in view from Srikanth Sankaran and our credit strategy team, we’ve downgraded credit to equal-weight.\nFinally, these forecasts invite an even more important structural question. Again, our expectations for strong fiscal, monetary and capital spending and consumer trends are very different from what prevailed over the last decade.Will this mean an exit from the secular stagnation of the post-GFC mindset? If we are right, this should be an increasingly important debate.\nAs we’ve told this story over the last week, opinions, like the weather, have been mixed. We’ve talked to plenty of investors who think it’s finally Europe’s time to shine, and plenty of others who worry it will remain a serial disappointment.One investor described our expectation that the Fed doesn’t hike until 3Q23 as ‘what the Fed wants to do, not what it will do’, while another thought the Fed wouldn’t be able to complete tapering, given market sensitivity to real rates.\nOpinion on the big picture is similarly divided.Indeed, the current debate reminds me quite a bit of 2010, when there was a sharp division between those who expected a rapid return of pre-crisis conditions (higher rates, EM leadership), and those who thought otherwise.As growth and inflation pick up, we expect a trickier summer, but also an ongoing debate around these larger issues. Rain during sunshine could be something we need to get used to.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":792,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":879550325,"gmtCreate":1636752230101,"gmtModify":1636752230101,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wo","listText":"Wo","text":"Wo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879550325","repostId":"1139324750","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139324750","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636729318,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1139324750?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 23:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading<blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近 2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139324750","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading.Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson downgraded NVIDIA Corp t","content":"<p>Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11eee16e740f662501f2bc3de305f18c\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Wedbush</b> analyst Matt Bryson downgraded <b>NVIDIA Corp</b> to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $300, up from $220.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价在早盘交易中下跌近2%。<b>韦德布什</b>分析师马特·布赖森下调评级<b>英伟达公司</b>从跑赢大盘调至中性,目标价从 220 美元上调至 300 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst cites valuation for the downgrade, with the shares trading at 55 times his 2024 numbers.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师引用了下调评级的估值,股价是他 2024 年数据的 55 倍。</blockquote></p><p> He would have to lift the multiple to 67x to justify Outperform, suggesting Nvidia valued at ~7X its stated 2024 TAM and ~25X sales. Conversely, he would have to double his sales growth assumptions (from ~20% to ~40%) over the next couple of years to continue to use a 40X multiple to value Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>他必须将市盈率提高到 67 倍才能证明跑赢大盘的合理性,这表明 Nvidia 的估值约为其 2024 年 TAM 的 7 倍,销售额约为 25 倍。相反,他必须在未来几年将销售增长假设翻一番(从约 20% 增加到约 40%),才能继续使用 40 倍的倍数来估值 Nvidia。</blockquote></p><p> However, Bryson believes the combination of \"unprecedented demand\" for both data center and client offerings will allow Nvidia to exceed expectations again next week when its reports.</p><p><blockquote>然而,布赖森认为,数据中心和客户端产品的“前所未有的需求”将使英伟达在下周发布报告时再次超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia's continued work in building out its AI software will further solidify its AI leadership.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在构建人工智能软件方面的持续工作将进一步巩固其人工智能领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> Client GPUs have again become difficult to source, helped by a combination of solid gaming demand and crypto mining requirements.</p><p><blockquote>在稳定的游戏需求和加密挖掘要求的结合下,客户端GPU再次变得难以获得。</blockquote></p><p> New opportunities, particularly the Metaverse and its graphics-intensive requirements, have started to realize the increased investment.</p><p><blockquote>新的机遇,特别是元宇宙及其图形密集型需求,已经开始实现投资的增加。</blockquote></p><p> He sees no \"negative catalyst\" for the stock and improving fundamentals for Nvidia but downgrades the shares on valuation.</p><p><blockquote>他认为该股没有“负面催化剂”,英伟达的基本面也在改善,但下调了该股的估值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading<blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近 2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading<blockquote>英伟达股价早盘下跌近 2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-12 23:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11eee16e740f662501f2bc3de305f18c\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"618\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Wedbush</b> analyst Matt Bryson downgraded <b>NVIDIA Corp</b> to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $300, up from $220.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价在早盘交易中下跌近2%。<b>韦德布什</b>分析师马特·布赖森下调评级<b>英伟达公司</b>从跑赢大盘调至中性,目标价从 220 美元上调至 300 美元。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst cites valuation for the downgrade, with the shares trading at 55 times his 2024 numbers.</p><p><blockquote>这位分析师引用了下调评级的估值,股价是他 2024 年数据的 55 倍。</blockquote></p><p> He would have to lift the multiple to 67x to justify Outperform, suggesting Nvidia valued at ~7X its stated 2024 TAM and ~25X sales. Conversely, he would have to double his sales growth assumptions (from ~20% to ~40%) over the next couple of years to continue to use a 40X multiple to value Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>他必须将市盈率提高到 67 倍才能证明跑赢大盘的合理性,这表明 Nvidia 的估值约为其 2024 年 TAM 的 7 倍,销售额约为 25 倍。相反,他必须在未来几年将销售增长假设翻一番(从约 20% 增加到约 40%),才能继续使用 40 倍的倍数来估值 Nvidia。</blockquote></p><p> However, Bryson believes the combination of \"unprecedented demand\" for both data center and client offerings will allow Nvidia to exceed expectations again next week when its reports.</p><p><blockquote>然而,布赖森认为,数据中心和客户端产品的“前所未有的需求”将使英伟达在下周发布报告时再次超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia's continued work in building out its AI software will further solidify its AI leadership.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在构建人工智能软件方面的持续工作将进一步巩固其人工智能领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> Client GPUs have again become difficult to source, helped by a combination of solid gaming demand and crypto mining requirements.</p><p><blockquote>在稳定的游戏需求和加密挖掘要求的结合下,客户端GPU再次变得难以获得。</blockquote></p><p> New opportunities, particularly the Metaverse and its graphics-intensive requirements, have started to realize the increased investment.</p><p><blockquote>新的机遇,特别是元宇宙及其图形密集型需求,已经开始实现投资的增加。</blockquote></p><p> He sees no \"negative catalyst\" for the stock and improving fundamentals for Nvidia but downgrades the shares on valuation.</p><p><blockquote>他认为该股没有“负面催化剂”,英伟达的基本面也在改善,但下调了该股的估值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139324750","content_text":"Nvidia shares fell nearly 2% in morning trading.Wedbush analyst Matt Bryson downgraded NVIDIA Corp to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $300, up from $220.\nThe analyst cites valuation for the downgrade, with the shares trading at 55 times his 2024 numbers.\nHe would have to lift the multiple to 67x to justify Outperform, suggesting Nvidia valued at ~7X its stated 2024 TAM and ~25X sales. Conversely, he would have to double his sales growth assumptions (from ~20% to ~40%) over the next couple of years to continue to use a 40X multiple to value Nvidia.\nHowever, Bryson believes the combination of \"unprecedented demand\" for both data center and client offerings will allow Nvidia to exceed expectations again next week when its reports.\nNvidia's continued work in building out its AI software will further solidify its AI leadership.\nClient GPUs have again become difficult to source, helped by a combination of solid gaming demand and crypto mining requirements.\nNew opportunities, particularly the Metaverse and its graphics-intensive requirements, have started to realize the increased investment.\nHe sees no \"negative catalyst\" for the stock and improving fundamentals for Nvidia but downgrades the shares on valuation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":697,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841254269,"gmtCreate":1635918444806,"gmtModify":1635918444806,"author":{"id":"3576139359058481","authorId":"3576139359058481","name":"AmitS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30b36e4e0298251a0c7c51af5f6291d0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576139359058481","authorIdStr":"3576139359058481"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841254269","repostId":"1181183330","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181183330","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635916365,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1181183330?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-03 13:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ant-backed Kakao Pay doubles on debut, allaying fears of S.Korea scrutiny<blockquote>蚂蚁支持的 Kakao Pay 首次亮相即翻倍,缓解了对韩国审查的担忧</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181183330","media":"Reuters","summary":"South Korean financial services app Kakao Pay Corp(377300.KS)more than doubled in its trading debut ","content":"<p>South Korean financial services app Kakao Pay Corp(377300.KS)more than doubled in its trading debut on Wednesday, zooming ahead of the country's established finance companies in value, as investors were enticed by its growth prospects.</p><p><blockquote>韩国金融服务应用 Kakao Pay Corp (377300.KS) 周三首次交易时股价上涨了一倍多,其价值超过了该国老牌金融公司,投资者被其增长前景所吸引。</blockquote></p><p> The stellar showing of Kakao Pay comes as a relief for investors who were worried about South Korea's heightened regulatory scrutiny of internet-based financial \"platform\" companies, and could indicate that an IPO boom in the country has room to run.</p><p><blockquote>Kakao Pay的出色表现让那些担心韩国对基于互联网的金融“平台”公司加强监管审查的投资者松了一口气,并可能表明该国的IPO热潮还有发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Kakao Pay, which is backed by China's Ant Group, climbed to 193,000 won by early afternoon on Wednesday after opening at double the IPO price of 90,000 won.</p><p><blockquote>由中国蚂蚁集团支持的 Kakao Pay 股价周三下午早些时候攀升至 19.3 万韩元,开盘价是 IPO 价格 9 万韩元的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> That gave it a market capitalisation of 25.1 trillion won ($21.24 billion), more than KB Financial's 23.1 trillion won and behind only the 28.1 trillion won of affiliate Kakao Bank - which listed in August - among financial companies.</p><p><blockquote>这使得其市值达到 25.1 万亿韩元(212.4 亿美元),超过了 KB Financial 的 23.1 万亿韩元,在金融公司中仅次于 8 月份上市的附属银行 Kakao Bank 的 28.1 万亿韩元。</blockquote></p><p> \"The red-hot IPO demand may have peaked sometime earlier but the market is still very friendly to platform business IPOs. Kakao Pay's solid debut is proof and dispelled concerns about regulatory issues,\" said Sung Jong-hwa, analyst at eBest Investment & Securities.</p><p><blockquote>eBest Investment & Securities 分析师 Sung Jong-hwa 表示:“炙手可热的 IPO 需求可能在早些时候达到顶峰,但市场对平台业务 IPO 仍然非常友好。Kakao Pay 的稳健首次亮相就是证明,并消除了人们对监管问题的担忧。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Among platform businesses, content and mobility listings will likely follow fintech next year.\"</p><p><blockquote>“在平台业务中,明年内容和移动上市可能会紧随金融科技之后。”</blockquote></p><p> Kakao Pay raised 1.5 trillion won from its IPO, but only after a regulator's warning led it to delay the offering by about a month and trim an indicative price range.</p><p><blockquote>Kakao Pay 从 IPO 中筹集了 1.5 万亿韩元,但这是在监管机构发出警告后导致其将发行推迟约一个月并下调指示性价格范围后才进行的。</blockquote></p><p> Valuation concerns had pummelled Krafton Inc(259960.KS), the South Korean company behind blockbuster video game \"Player Unknown's Battlegrounds\" (PUBG), in its trading debut in August.</p><p><blockquote>热门视频游戏《绝地求生》(PUBG)背后的韩国公司 Krafton Inc. (259960.KS) 在 8 月份的首次交易中受到估值担忧的打击。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ant-backed Kakao Pay doubles on debut, allaying fears of S.Korea scrutiny<blockquote>蚂蚁支持的 Kakao Pay 首次亮相即翻倍,缓解了对韩国审查的担忧</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnt-backed Kakao Pay doubles on debut, allaying fears of S.Korea scrutiny<blockquote>蚂蚁支持的 Kakao Pay 首次亮相即翻倍,缓解了对韩国审查的担忧</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-03 13:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>South Korean financial services app Kakao Pay Corp(377300.KS)more than doubled in its trading debut on Wednesday, zooming ahead of the country's established finance companies in value, as investors were enticed by its growth prospects.</p><p><blockquote>韩国金融服务应用 Kakao Pay Corp (377300.KS) 周三首次交易时股价上涨了一倍多,其价值超过了该国老牌金融公司,投资者被其增长前景所吸引。</blockquote></p><p> The stellar showing of Kakao Pay comes as a relief for investors who were worried about South Korea's heightened regulatory scrutiny of internet-based financial \"platform\" companies, and could indicate that an IPO boom in the country has room to run.</p><p><blockquote>Kakao Pay的出色表现让那些担心韩国对基于互联网的金融“平台”公司加强监管审查的投资者松了一口气,并可能表明该国的IPO热潮还有发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Kakao Pay, which is backed by China's Ant Group, climbed to 193,000 won by early afternoon on Wednesday after opening at double the IPO price of 90,000 won.</p><p><blockquote>由中国蚂蚁集团支持的 Kakao Pay 股价周三下午早些时候攀升至 19.3 万韩元,开盘价是 IPO 价格 9 万韩元的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> That gave it a market capitalisation of 25.1 trillion won ($21.24 billion), more than KB Financial's 23.1 trillion won and behind only the 28.1 trillion won of affiliate Kakao Bank - which listed in August - among financial companies.</p><p><blockquote>这使得其市值达到 25.1 万亿韩元(212.4 亿美元),超过了 KB Financial 的 23.1 万亿韩元,在金融公司中仅次于 8 月份上市的附属银行 Kakao Bank 的 28.1 万亿韩元。</blockquote></p><p> \"The red-hot IPO demand may have peaked sometime earlier but the market is still very friendly to platform business IPOs. Kakao Pay's solid debut is proof and dispelled concerns about regulatory issues,\" said Sung Jong-hwa, analyst at eBest Investment & Securities.</p><p><blockquote>eBest Investment & Securities 分析师 Sung Jong-hwa 表示:“炙手可热的 IPO 需求可能在早些时候达到顶峰,但市场对平台业务 IPO 仍然非常友好。Kakao Pay 的稳健首次亮相就是证明,并消除了人们对监管问题的担忧。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Among platform businesses, content and mobility listings will likely follow fintech next year.\"</p><p><blockquote>“在平台业务中,明年内容和移动上市可能会紧随金融科技之后。”</blockquote></p><p> Kakao Pay raised 1.5 trillion won from its IPO, but only after a regulator's warning led it to delay the offering by about a month and trim an indicative price range.</p><p><blockquote>Kakao Pay 从 IPO 中筹集了 1.5 万亿韩元,但这是在监管机构发出警告后导致其将发行推迟约一个月并下调指示性价格范围后才进行的。</blockquote></p><p> Valuation concerns had pummelled Krafton Inc(259960.KS), the South Korean company behind blockbuster video game \"Player Unknown's Battlegrounds\" (PUBG), in its trading debut in August.</p><p><blockquote>热门视频游戏《绝地求生》(PUBG)背后的韩国公司 Krafton Inc. (259960.KS) 在 8 月份的首次交易中受到估值担忧的打击。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/cop/shares-skorea-fintech-firm-kakao-pay-jump-debut-2021-11-03/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/cop/shares-skorea-fintech-firm-kakao-pay-jump-debut-2021-11-03/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181183330","content_text":"South Korean financial services app Kakao Pay Corp(377300.KS)more than doubled in its trading debut on Wednesday, zooming ahead of the country's established finance companies in value, as investors were enticed by its growth prospects.\nThe stellar showing of Kakao Pay comes as a relief for investors who were worried about South Korea's heightened regulatory scrutiny of internet-based financial \"platform\" companies, and could indicate that an IPO boom in the country has room to run.\nShares of Kakao Pay, which is backed by China's Ant Group, climbed to 193,000 won by early afternoon on Wednesday after opening at double the IPO price of 90,000 won.\nThat gave it a market capitalisation of 25.1 trillion won ($21.24 billion), more than KB Financial's 23.1 trillion won and behind only the 28.1 trillion won of affiliate Kakao Bank - which listed in August - among financial companies.\n\"The red-hot IPO demand may have peaked sometime earlier but the market is still very friendly to platform business IPOs. Kakao Pay's solid debut is proof and dispelled concerns about regulatory issues,\" said Sung Jong-hwa, analyst at eBest Investment & Securities.\n\"Among platform businesses, content and mobility listings will likely follow fintech next year.\"\nKakao Pay raised 1.5 trillion won from its IPO, but only after a regulator's warning led it to delay the offering by about a month and trim an indicative price range.\nValuation concerns had pummelled Krafton Inc(259960.KS), the South Korean company behind blockbuster video game \"Player Unknown's Battlegrounds\" (PUBG), in its trading debut in August.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}