Gon的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Gon

Gon

无人问津

IP属地：未知

227关注

4粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-07-16

The WS want these 2 stocks to go up, so they can dump...as always...In the end we are the bag holders

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2021-08-08

Sure beat

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2021-07-25

Don't think so

Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks

2021-07-23

Schooling will not help u get rich... stop schooling [得意]

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2021-07-16

War soon [得意]

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2021-07-31

Hedge fund [冷漠] [冷漠] [冷漠]

You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it

2021-07-28

Tesla owned

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2021-07-20

Yes.. buy the dip else buy the peak?

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2021-07-19

Watch and do nothing

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2021-07-17

Whatever stock trade by retailers will become meme stocks.. so such it HF

'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says

2021-08-09

Best

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2021-08-07

Me like u 2

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2021-08-02

Nice...

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2021-07-29

O yea.. as usual... every month the same thing since 2000 years ago [得意] [得意] [得意] [得意]

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2021-07-09

Stop reporting on how bad is AMC or GME, we all know what we are doing. It's our money. [抠鼻] Who can determine the market reality? The HF? [惊讶]

Meme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality

2021-09-24

[得意]

EngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price

2021-08-21

[得意]

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2021-08-01

Screw the earth mine to last source

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2021-07-29

🦧🦧🦧

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2021-07-21

of cause buy the dip... trying to fool us ? Mr HF

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Inc.(WISH)$</a>😞😞😞","text":"$ContextLogic 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632411695,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159478468?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-23 23:41","market":"other","language":"en","title":"EngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159478468","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 23) EngageSmart Inc. opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.\n\nCompany\nBraintr","content":"<p>(Sept 23)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESMT\">EngageSmart Inc.</a> opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/835bc9b4ff09e761852f27f75743b887\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Company</b></p>\n<p>Braintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.</p>\n<p>Management is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.</p>\n<p>The company's primary offerings include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>SimplePractice - Wellness</li>\n <li>InvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services</li>\n <li>HealthPay24 - Healthcare</li>\n <li>DonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising</li>\n</ul>\n<p>EngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.</p>\n<p><b>Customer Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>The firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.</p>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.</p>\n<p>Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Percentage</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>32.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>33.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>43.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Multiple</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.1</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.3</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p>\n<p>ESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Rule of 40</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Calculation</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Recent Rev. Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>59%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EBITDA %</p></td>\n   <td><p>5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total</p></td>\n   <td><p>64%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p>\n<p>The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p>\n<p><b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p>\n<p>According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.</p>\n<p>This represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.</p>\n<p>The main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.</p>\n<p>Also, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.</p>\n<p>Below is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1066adb602d05e4e99630aacf61e1c5\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>IBM(NYSE:IBM)</p></li>\n <li><p>Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)</p></li>\n <li><p>Nuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)</p></li>\n <li><p>Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)</p></li>\n <li><p>Salesforce(NYSE:CRM)</p></li>\n <li><p>Avaya(NYSE:AVYA)</p></li>\n <li><p>Calabrio</p></li>\n <li><p>Aspect Software</p></li>\n <li><p>Genesys</p></li>\n <li><p>Verint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)</p></li>\n <li><p>NICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)</p></li>\n <li><p>OpenText</p></li>\n <li><p>Pegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)</p></li>\n <li><p>Others</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>EngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Growing topline revenue</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing gross profit and high gross margin</p></li>\n <li><p>Growing operating profit and net income</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing cash flow from operations</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Total Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 99,171,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.6%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 146,557,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>77.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 82,432,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 73,673,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>61.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 108,964,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>89.2%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 57,591,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Margin</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.29%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.35%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>69.86%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 5,001,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 648,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>0.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (50,398,000)</p></td>\n   <td><p>-61.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Net Income (Loss)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 274,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (6,678,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (53,598,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Cash Flow From Operations</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 12,044,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 19,645,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (1,427,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>(Glossary Of Terms)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.</p>\n<p><b>IPO Details</b></p>\n<p>ESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.</p>\n<p>New potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.</p>\n<p>Assuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.</p>\n<p>Excluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.</p>\n<p>Per the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Source: SEC\n</blockquote>\n<p>Management's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.</p>\n<p>Regarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.</p>\n<p>Listed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation Metrics</b></p>\n<p>Below is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Amount</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Market Capitalization at IPO</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,862,956,720</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Enterprise Value</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,656,695,720</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.09</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.96</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>377.37</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$0.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p></td>\n   <td><p>9.04%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$24.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Net Free Cash Flow</p></td>\n   <td><p>$25,236,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>0.65%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.59%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>As a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Metric</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Nice Ltd.</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>EngageSmart</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Variance</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.01</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.09</p></td>\n   <td><p>91.5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.67</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.96</p></td>\n   <td><p>87.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>41.73</p></td>\n   <td><p>377.37</p></td>\n   <td><p>804.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3.05</p></td>\n   <td><p>$0.00</p></td>\n   <td><p>-100.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.59%</p></td>\n   <td><p>1003.34%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>(S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)</p>\n<p><b>Commentary</b></p>\n<p>ESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.</p>\n<p>The firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.</p>\n<p>Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.</p>\n<p>The company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p>\n<p>The market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.</p>\n<p>JPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p>\n<p>The primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.</p>\n<p>As for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.</p>\n<p>Also, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.</p>\n<p>Given the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-23 23:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 23)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESMT\">EngageSmart Inc.</a> opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/835bc9b4ff09e761852f27f75743b887\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Company</b></p>\n<p>Braintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.</p>\n<p>Management is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.</p>\n<p>The company's primary offerings include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>SimplePractice - Wellness</li>\n <li>InvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services</li>\n <li>HealthPay24 - Healthcare</li>\n <li>DonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising</li>\n</ul>\n<p>EngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.</p>\n<p><b>Customer Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>The firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.</p>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.</p>\n<p>Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Percentage</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>32.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>33.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>43.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Multiple</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.1</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.3</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p>\n<p>ESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Rule of 40</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Calculation</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Recent Rev. Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>59%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EBITDA %</p></td>\n   <td><p>5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total</p></td>\n   <td><p>64%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p>\n<p>The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p>\n<p><b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p>\n<p>According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.</p>\n<p>This represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.</p>\n<p>The main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.</p>\n<p>Also, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.</p>\n<p>Below is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1066adb602d05e4e99630aacf61e1c5\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>IBM(NYSE:IBM)</p></li>\n <li><p>Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)</p></li>\n <li><p>Nuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)</p></li>\n <li><p>Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)</p></li>\n <li><p>Salesforce(NYSE:CRM)</p></li>\n <li><p>Avaya(NYSE:AVYA)</p></li>\n <li><p>Calabrio</p></li>\n <li><p>Aspect Software</p></li>\n <li><p>Genesys</p></li>\n <li><p>Verint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)</p></li>\n <li><p>NICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)</p></li>\n <li><p>OpenText</p></li>\n <li><p>Pegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)</p></li>\n <li><p>Others</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>EngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Growing topline revenue</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing gross profit and high gross margin</p></li>\n <li><p>Growing operating profit and net income</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing cash flow from operations</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Total Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 99,171,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.6%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 146,557,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>77.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 82,432,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 73,673,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>61.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 108,964,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>89.2%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 57,591,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Margin</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.29%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.35%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>69.86%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 5,001,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 648,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>0.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (50,398,000)</p></td>\n   <td><p>-61.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Net Income (Loss)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 274,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (6,678,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (53,598,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Cash Flow From Operations</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 12,044,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 19,645,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (1,427,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>(Glossary Of Terms)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.</p>\n<p><b>IPO Details</b></p>\n<p>ESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.</p>\n<p>New potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.</p>\n<p>Assuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.</p>\n<p>Excluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.</p>\n<p>Per the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Source: SEC\n</blockquote>\n<p>Management's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.</p>\n<p>Regarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.</p>\n<p>Listed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation Metrics</b></p>\n<p>Below is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Amount</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Market Capitalization at IPO</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,862,956,720</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Enterprise Value</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,656,695,720</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.09</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.96</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>377.37</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$0.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p></td>\n   <td><p>9.04%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$24.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Net Free Cash Flow</p></td>\n   <td><p>$25,236,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>0.65%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.59%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>As a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Metric</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Nice Ltd.</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>EngageSmart</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Variance</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.01</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.09</p></td>\n   <td><p>91.5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.67</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.96</p></td>\n   <td><p>87.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>41.73</p></td>\n   <td><p>377.37</p></td>\n   <td><p>804.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3.05</p></td>\n   <td><p>$0.00</p></td>\n   <td><p>-100.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.59%</p></td>\n   <td><p>1003.34%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>(S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)</p>\n<p><b>Commentary</b></p>\n<p>ESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.</p>\n<p>The firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.</p>\n<p>Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.</p>\n<p>The company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p>\n<p>The market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.</p>\n<p>JPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p>\n<p>The primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.</p>\n<p>As for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.</p>\n<p>Also, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.</p>\n<p>Given the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ESMT":"EngageSmart Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159478468","content_text":"(Sept 23) EngageSmart Inc. opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.\n\nCompany\nBraintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.\nManagement is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.\nThe company's primary offerings include:\n\nSimplePractice - Wellness\nInvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services\nHealthPay24 - Healthcare\nDonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising\n\nEngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.\nCustomer Acquisition\nThe firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.\nAs of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.\nSelling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\n\nSelling and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n32.4%\n\n\n2020\n33.1%\n\n\n2019\n43.1%\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\n\nSelling and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.1\n\n\n2020\n1.3\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.\nESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:\n\n\n\n\nRule of 40\nCalculation\n\n\nRecent Rev. Growth %\n59%\n\n\nEBITDA %\n5%\n\n\nTotal\n64%\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.\nThe dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.\nAlso, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.\nBelow is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nIBM(NYSE:IBM)\nMicrosoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)\nNuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)\nOracle(NYSE:ORCL)\nSalesforce(NYSE:CRM)\nAvaya(NYSE:AVYA)\nCalabrio\nAspect Software\nGenesys\nVerint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)\nNICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)\nOpenText\nPegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nEngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nGrowing topline revenue\nIncreasing gross profit and high gross margin\nGrowing operating profit and net income\nIncreasing cash flow from operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 99,171,000\n58.6%\n\n\n2020\n$ 146,557,000\n77.8%\n\n\n2019\n$ 82,432,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 73,673,000\n61.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ 108,964,000\n89.2%\n\n\n2019\n$ 57,591,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n74.29%\n\n\n2020\n74.35%\n\n\n2019\n69.86%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 5,001,000\n5.0%\n\n\n2020\n$ 648,000\n0.4%\n\n\n2019\n$ (50,398,000)\n-61.1%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 274,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (6,678,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (53,598,000)\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 12,044,000\n\n\n2020\n$ 19,645,000\n\n\n2019\n$ (1,427,000)\n\n\n\n(Glossary Of Terms)\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nAs of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.\nIPO Details\nESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.\nNew potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.\nAssuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.\nExcluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.\nPer the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:\n\n We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.\n\n\n Source: SEC\n\nManagement's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.\nRegarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.\nListed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$3,862,956,720\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$3,656,695,720\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n21.09\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n19.96\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n377.37\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$0.00\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n9.04%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$24.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n$25,236,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n0.65%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n58.59%\n\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nAs a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nNice Ltd.\nEngageSmart\nVariance\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n11.01\n21.09\n91.5%\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n10.67\n19.96\n87.1%\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n41.73\n377.37\n804.3%\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$3.05\n$0.00\n-100.0%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n5.3%\n58.59%\n1003.34%\n\n\n\n\n(S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)\nCommentary\nESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.\nThe firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.\nSelling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.\nThe company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.\nThe market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.\nJPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.\nAs for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.\nAlso, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.\nGiven the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth 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the earth mine to last source&nbsp;","listText":"Screw the earth mine to last source&nbsp;","text":"Screw the earth mine to last source","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802250983","repostId":"1167073573","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802808777,"gmtCreate":1627743863099,"gmtModify":1631891269962,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hedge fund&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;","listText":"Hedge fund&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;","text":"Hedge fund [冷漠] [冷漠] [冷漠]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802808777","repostId":"1147779023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147779023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627716124,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147779023?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147779023","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fu","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Investing is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.</p>\n<p>So when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.</p>\n<p>The American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth&nbsp;Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.</p>\n<p>The fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.</p>\n<p>Here are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.</p>\n<p><b>1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets</b></p>\n<p>Even though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.</p>\n<p>Bill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.</p>\n<p>Bill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.</p>\n<p>“Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.</p>\n<p>Founder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.</p>\n<p><b>2. Seek out innovators</b></p>\n<p>Ram’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.</p>\n<p>Back in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.</p>\n<p>Boston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.</p>\n<p>“We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”</p>\n<p>This penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.</p>\n<p>A key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.</p>\n<p>They’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.</p>\n<p>But don’t count out this innovator yet.</p>\n<p>“We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with&nbsp;Beam Suntory&nbsp;that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory&nbsp;sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”</p>\n<p><b>3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche</b></p>\n<p>For years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.</p>\n<p>This is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.</p>\n<p><b>4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth</b></p>\n<p>One way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.</p>\n<p>Alnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.</p>\n<p>“This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”</p>\n<p><b>5. Hold stocks for the long term</b></p>\n<p>All of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYou can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-31 15:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.\n\nInvesting is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.\nSo when ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147779023","content_text":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.\n\nInvesting is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.\nSo when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.\nThe American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.\nThe fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.\nHere are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.\n1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets\nEven though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.\nBill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.\nBill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.\n“Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.\nFounder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.\n2. Seek out innovators\nRam’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.\nBack in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.\nBoston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.\n“We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”\nThis penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.\nA key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.\nThey’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.\nBut don’t count out this innovator yet.\n“We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with Beam Suntory that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”\n3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche\nFor years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.\nThis is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.\n4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth\nOne way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.\nAlnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.\n“This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”\n5. 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ftw","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800307356","repostId":"1160452943","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177132153,"gmtCreate":1627185715572,"gmtModify":1633767336190,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don't think so","listText":"Don't think so","text":"Don't think so","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177132153","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>\n <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>\n <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Article Thesis</b></p>\n<p>NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p>\n<p><b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p>\n<p>Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p>\n<p><b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p>\n<p>The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p>\n<p><b>Business Model</b></p>\n<p>Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p>\n<p>Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p>\n<p><b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p>\n<p>The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p>\n<p>Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p>\n<p>The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p>\n<p>Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p>\n<p><b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p>\n<p>The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p>\n<p>When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p>\n<p>It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p>\n<p><b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p>\n<p>When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p>\n<p>One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-24 09:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":170577408,"gmtCreate":1626444353804,"gmtModify":1633926683936,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The WS want these 2 stocks to go up, so they can dump...as always...In the end we are the bag holders","listText":"The WS want these 2 stocks to go up, so they can dump...as always...In the end we are the bag holders","text":"The WS want these 2 stocks to go up, so they can dump...as always...In the end we are the bag holders","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170577408","repostId":"2151450981","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891764379,"gmtCreate":1628431823091,"gmtModify":1631891269915,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure beat","listText":"Sure beat","text":"Sure beat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891764379","repostId":"1190347839","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177132153,"gmtCreate":1627185715572,"gmtModify":1633767336190,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don't think so","listText":"Don't think so","text":"Don't think so","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177132153","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>\n <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>\n <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Article Thesis</b></p>\n<p>NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p>\n<p><b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p>\n<p>Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p>\n<p><b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p>\n<p>The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p>\n<p><b>Business Model</b></p>\n<p>Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p>\n<p>Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p>\n<p><b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p>\n<p>The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p>\n<p>Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p>\n<p>The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p>\n<p>Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p>\n<p><b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p>\n<p>The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p>\n<p>When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p>\n<p>It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p>\n<p><b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p>\n<p>When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p>\n<p>One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-24 09:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175689466,"gmtCreate":1627028584555,"gmtModify":1633768644903,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Schooling will not help u get rich... stop schooling&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"Schooling will not help u get rich... stop schooling&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","text":"Schooling will not help u get rich... stop schooling [得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175689466","repostId":"1112567098","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":170827389,"gmtCreate":1626421977241,"gmtModify":1633926889735,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"War soon&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"War soon&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","text":"War soon [得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170827389","repostId":"1113725746","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":802808777,"gmtCreate":1627743863099,"gmtModify":1631891269962,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hedge fund&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;","listText":"Hedge fund&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;[冷漠]&nbsp;","text":"Hedge fund [冷漠] [冷漠] [冷漠]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802808777","repostId":"1147779023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147779023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627716124,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147779023?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147779023","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fu","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Investing is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.</p>\n<p>So when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.</p>\n<p>The American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth&nbsp;Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.</p>\n<p>The fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.</p>\n<p>Here are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.</p>\n<p><b>1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets</b></p>\n<p>Even though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.</p>\n<p>Bill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.</p>\n<p>Bill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.</p>\n<p>“Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.</p>\n<p>Founder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.</p>\n<p><b>2. Seek out innovators</b></p>\n<p>Ram’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.</p>\n<p>Back in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.</p>\n<p>Boston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.</p>\n<p>“We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”</p>\n<p>This penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.</p>\n<p>A key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.</p>\n<p>They’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.</p>\n<p>But don’t count out this innovator yet.</p>\n<p>“We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with&nbsp;Beam Suntory&nbsp;that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory&nbsp;sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”</p>\n<p><b>3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche</b></p>\n<p>For years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.</p>\n<p>This is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.</p>\n<p><b>4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth</b></p>\n<p>One way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.</p>\n<p>Alnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.</p>\n<p>“This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”</p>\n<p><b>5. Hold stocks for the long term</b></p>\n<p>All of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYou can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-31 15:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.\n\nInvesting is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.\nSo when ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147779023","content_text":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.\n\nInvesting is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.\nSo when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.\nThe American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.\nThe fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.\nHere are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.\n1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets\nEven though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.\nBill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.\nBill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.\n“Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.\nFounder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.\n2. Seek out innovators\nRam’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.\nBack in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.\nBoston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.\n“We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”\nThis penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.\nA key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.\nThey’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.\nBut don’t count out this innovator yet.\n“We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with Beam Suntory that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”\n3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche\nFor years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.\nThis is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.\n4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth\nOne way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.\nAlnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.\n“This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”\n5. Hold stocks for the long term\nAll of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":727,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":803589760,"gmtCreate":1627448117250,"gmtModify":1633764879292,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tesla owned","listText":"Tesla owned","text":"Tesla owned","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803589760","repostId":"2154003945","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171684098,"gmtCreate":1626742215814,"gmtModify":1633771535957,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes.. buy the dip else buy the peak?","listText":"Yes.. buy the dip else buy the peak?","text":"Yes.. buy the dip else buy the peak?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171684098","repostId":"1113782694","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173867544,"gmtCreate":1626653631988,"gmtModify":1633925284973,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Watch and do nothing","listText":"Watch and do nothing","text":"Watch and do nothing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173867544","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179812311,"gmtCreate":1626501976933,"gmtModify":1633926176368,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Whatever stock trade by retailers will become meme stocks.. so such it HF","listText":"Whatever stock trade by retailers will become meme stocks.. so such it HF","text":"Whatever stock trade by retailers will become meme stocks.. so such it HF","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179812311","repostId":"1159574501","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159574501","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626484131,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159574501?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-17 09:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159574501","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Social media meme stocks GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(NYSE:AMC) took ","content":"<p>Social media meme stocks&nbsp;<b>GameStop Corp.</b>(NYSE:GME) and&nbsp;<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC) took a beating this week, with GameStop on track to finish the week down 9% and AMC set to lose 20.9% in Friday afternoon trading.</p>\n<p>DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas said this week&nbsp;there is an ominous sign the&nbsp;meme stock phenomenon may be dying a slow death.</p>\n<p><b>Retail Trading Boom:</b>DataTrek has been periodically tracking the boom in retail traders triggered during the pandemic in 2020 and 2021 by monitoring U.S. Google search volume for the keywords “invest” and “buy stock.” Colas said these basic search terms are a broad way to gauge marginal retail investor interest in the stock market.</p>\n<p>The image below shows how search volume for those key phrases has changed since the beginning of 2020.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9930646712b9790171cccf12a873f757\" tg-width=\"1199\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Colas said the search volume data clearly indicates the retail stock trading fad is completely over at this point, a “very bad omen” for AMC and GameStop. In fact, Google search volume is now back down to where it was before the pandemic started in early 2020.</p>\n<p>In addition, search volumes are now down 75% from their peak levels during the initial short squeezes in AMC and GameStop back in January 2021.</p>\n<p>Colas said meme stocks like AMC need new retail stock traders to join in the buying to support their stock prices else they could be headed for more volatility like they have experienced this week.</p>\n<p>“Bubbles need fresh money, or they deflate. Quickly,” Colas wrote. “Every craze needs new adherents (i.e., not just the same crowd) to keep it relevant, and the Google chart shows those are in increasingly short supply.”</p>\n<p><b>PMP Weighs In:</b>Benzinga&nbsp;PreMarket Prep co-host Dennis Dick said&nbsp;a good story can carry a stock a long way, and some stocks can even become so hot that they become temporarily disconnected from the company’s underlying fundamentals.</p>\n<p>“We have seen that in a number of meme stocks this year. Story can drive price in the short run but stocks almost always return back to their fundamental value in the long run,” Dick said.</p>\n<p>The type of disconnect between share price and underlying value that AMC and GameStop have experienced in 2021 is certainly nothing new. Canadian cannabis stock&nbsp;<b>Tilray Inc</b>(NASDAQ:TLRY) experienced a similar disconnect back in 2018 when a retail stock mania sent the stock skyrocketing up to $300. Today, Tilray is trading back down at around $13.90.</p>\n<p>“As the stock price begins to fall, momentum traders who have been chasing the hot story will begin to exit. But if the stock trades at an extreme valuation, there may be very few traders willing to buy. This is what we are starting to see in many meme stocks today,” Dick said.</p>\n<p><b>Benzinga's Take:</b>If the story begins to get hot again, the stock prices of overvalued story stocks can always recover once again. But without any underlying fundamentals to support the valuation, these types of stocks need a constant stream of new buyers and an increasingly bullish story to generate fresh enthusiasm.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Bad Omen' For Meme Stocks And The Retail Trading Boom? Here's What The Data Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-17 09:08 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/22023662/bad-omen-for-meme-stocks-and-the-retail-trading-boom-heres-what-the-data-says><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Social media meme stocks GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(NYSE:AMC) took a beating this week, with GameStop on track to finish the week down 9% and AMC set to lose 20.9% in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/22023662/bad-omen-for-meme-stocks-and-the-retail-trading-boom-heres-what-the-data-says\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站","TLRY":"Tilray Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/07/22023662/bad-omen-for-meme-stocks-and-the-retail-trading-boom-heres-what-the-data-says","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159574501","content_text":"Social media meme stocks GameStop Corp.(NYSE:GME) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(NYSE:AMC) took a beating this week, with GameStop on track to finish the week down 9% and AMC set to lose 20.9% in Friday afternoon trading.\nDataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas said this week there is an ominous sign the meme stock phenomenon may be dying a slow death.\nRetail Trading Boom:DataTrek has been periodically tracking the boom in retail traders triggered during the pandemic in 2020 and 2021 by monitoring U.S. Google search volume for the keywords “invest” and “buy stock.” Colas said these basic search terms are a broad way to gauge marginal retail investor interest in the stock market.\nThe image below shows how search volume for those key phrases has changed since the beginning of 2020.\n\nColas said the search volume data clearly indicates the retail stock trading fad is completely over at this point, a “very bad omen” for AMC and GameStop. In fact, Google search volume is now back down to where it was before the pandemic started in early 2020.\nIn addition, search volumes are now down 75% from their peak levels during the initial short squeezes in AMC and GameStop back in January 2021.\nColas said meme stocks like AMC need new retail stock traders to join in the buying to support their stock prices else they could be headed for more volatility like they have experienced this week.\n“Bubbles need fresh money, or they deflate. Quickly,” Colas wrote. “Every craze needs new adherents (i.e., not just the same crowd) to keep it relevant, and the Google chart shows those are in increasingly short supply.”\nPMP Weighs In:Benzinga PreMarket Prep co-host Dennis Dick said a good story can carry a stock a long way, and some stocks can even become so hot that they become temporarily disconnected from the company’s underlying fundamentals.\n“We have seen that in a number of meme stocks this year. Story can drive price in the short run but stocks almost always return back to their fundamental value in the long run,” Dick said.\nThe type of disconnect between share price and underlying value that AMC and GameStop have experienced in 2021 is certainly nothing new. Canadian cannabis stock Tilray Inc(NASDAQ:TLRY) experienced a similar disconnect back in 2018 when a retail stock mania sent the stock skyrocketing up to $300. Today, Tilray is trading back down at around $13.90.\n“As the stock price begins to fall, momentum traders who have been chasing the hot story will begin to exit. But if the stock trades at an extreme valuation, there may be very few traders willing to buy. This is what we are starting to see in many meme stocks today,” Dick said.\nBenzinga's Take:If the story begins to get hot again, the stock prices of overvalued story stocks can always recover once again. But without any underlying fundamentals to support the valuation, these types of stocks need a constant stream of new buyers and an increasingly bullish story to generate fresh enthusiasm.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898578148,"gmtCreate":1628514848284,"gmtModify":1631883953578,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Best","listText":"Best","text":"Best","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898578148","repostId":"2158453784","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":705,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893501336,"gmtCreate":1628272015025,"gmtModify":1631891269931,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Me like u 2","listText":"Me like u 2","text":"Me like u 2","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893501336","repostId":"1174322042","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805545278,"gmtCreate":1627894299694,"gmtModify":1631891269937,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice...","listText":"Nice...","text":"Nice...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805545278","repostId":"2156519907","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":808861085,"gmtCreate":1627569146447,"gmtModify":1631891269987,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"O yea.. as usual... every month the same thing since 2000 years ago&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"O yea.. as usual... every month the same thing since 2000 years ago&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","text":"O yea.. as usual... every month the same thing since 2000 years ago [得意] [得意] [得意] [得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/808861085","repostId":"2155909002","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":141158459,"gmtCreate":1625843136271,"gmtModify":1633936758612,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stop reporting on how bad is AMC or GME, we all know what we are doing. It's our money.&nbsp;[抠鼻]&nbsp;Who can determine the market reality? The HF?&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;","listText":"Stop reporting on how bad is AMC or GME, we all know what we are doing. It's our money.&nbsp;[抠鼻]&nbsp;Who can determine the market reality? The HF?&nbsp;[惊讶]&nbsp;","text":"Stop reporting on how bad is AMC or GME, we all know what we are doing. It's our money. [抠鼻] Who can determine the market reality? The HF? [惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141158459","repostId":"1173374462","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173374462","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625840008,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173374462?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-09 22:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Meme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173374462","media":"Thestreet","summary":"Gamestop (GME) made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment","content":"<p>Gamestop&nbsp;(<b>GME</b>)&nbsp;made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment&nbsp;(<b>AMC</b>)&nbsp;did the exact same thing. These two stocks represent, if not failing businesses, at least ailing ones; companies that struggled to keep up with the new economy even before the pandemic shut down large swaths of it. Yet over the past few months they have posted some of the most volatile gains and losses on the market.</p>\n<p>How?</p>\n<p>It’s down to what Real Money's Timothy Collins calls the market of “meme stock hyperbole.” But, he writes, is it really all that different from how trading has always worked?</p>\n<p>Have you ever really thought about the phrases 'to the moon' or 'conviction buy,' and how they mess with out perception of fair value?</p>\n<p>\"Initially, I rolled my eyes at the continued use of the phrase 'To The Moon,'\" Collins says. \"It's not like 'Strong Buy with a price target of $65', for instance. 'To the moon' is completely arbitrary and open to interpretation, but then again so are most things about valuation, when you think about it,\" Collins wrote.</p>\n<p>\"For instance, when an analyst pounds the table on a stock, how is that different from 'to the moon?' Or when someone says, 'all in.' Are they really all in? Did they cash in all their assets, pool the liquidity, and buy every share they possibly could? Probably not. Actually, I'd say definitely not 99.9999% of the time. Of course, there's always that one person,\" Collins said.</p>\n<p>\"But the point isWall Street has been arbitraryfor years. We can't even have a standard rating system. Is it 'Neutral' or 'Hold?' And really, do I want to hold something that is only in the middle of your range? No.\"</p>\n<p>Collins writes, \"The system should be 'buy' or 'sell.' That's it. Black or white. Own or don't own.\"</p>\n<p>Assets like GameStop and even cryptocurrency seem to be selling on nothing more than pure emotion. Investors are taking these products for a joy ride, and that tends to send prices flying up and down the ladder.</p>\n<p>That’s confusing, to be sure. Just, before you go throwing your hands in the air, it’s important to remember that the stock market has always been at least a little bit arbitrary.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Meme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMeme Stocks Like GameStop and AMC Reflect Market Reality\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-09 22:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.thestreet.com/investing/meme-stocks-like-gamestop-amc-reflect-market-reality><strong>Thestreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Gamestop (GME) made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment (AMC) did the exact same thing. These two stocks represent, if not failing businesses, at least ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/meme-stocks-like-gamestop-amc-reflect-market-reality\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/meme-stocks-like-gamestop-amc-reflect-market-reality","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173374462","content_text":"Gamestop (GME) made some investors rich… and then it broke many more. Investing in AMC Entertainment (AMC) did the exact same thing. These two stocks represent, if not failing businesses, at least ailing ones; companies that struggled to keep up with the new economy even before the pandemic shut down large swaths of it. Yet over the past few months they have posted some of the most volatile gains and losses on the market.\nHow?\nIt’s down to what Real Money's Timothy Collins calls the market of “meme stock hyperbole.” But, he writes, is it really all that different from how trading has always worked?\nHave you ever really thought about the phrases 'to the moon' or 'conviction buy,' and how they mess with out perception of fair value?\n\"Initially, I rolled my eyes at the continued use of the phrase 'To The Moon,'\" Collins says. \"It's not like 'Strong Buy with a price target of $65', for instance. 'To the moon' is completely arbitrary and open to interpretation, but then again so are most things about valuation, when you think about it,\" Collins wrote.\n\"For instance, when an analyst pounds the table on a stock, how is that different from 'to the moon?' Or when someone says, 'all in.' Are they really all in? Did they cash in all their assets, pool the liquidity, and buy every share they possibly could? Probably not. Actually, I'd say definitely not 99.9999% of the time. Of course, there's always that one person,\" Collins said.\n\"But the point isWall Street has been arbitraryfor years. We can't even have a standard rating system. Is it 'Neutral' or 'Hold?' And really, do I want to hold something that is only in the middle of your range? No.\"\nCollins writes, \"The system should be 'buy' or 'sell.' That's it. Black or white. Own or don't own.\"\nAssets like GameStop and even cryptocurrency seem to be selling on nothing more than pure emotion. Investors are taking these products for a joy ride, and that tends to send prices flying up and down the ladder.\nThat’s confusing, to be sure. Just, before you go throwing your hands in the air, it’s important to remember that the stock market has always been at least a little bit arbitrary.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863427705,"gmtCreate":1632415458607,"gmtModify":1632729345907,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"[得意]&nbsp;","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863427705","repostId":"1159478468","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159478468","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632411695,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159478468?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-23 23:41","market":"other","language":"en","title":"EngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159478468","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 23) EngageSmart Inc. opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.\n\nCompany\nBraintr","content":"<p>(Sept 23)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESMT\">EngageSmart Inc.</a> opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/835bc9b4ff09e761852f27f75743b887\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Company</b></p>\n<p>Braintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.</p>\n<p>Management is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.</p>\n<p>The company's primary offerings include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>SimplePractice - Wellness</li>\n <li>InvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services</li>\n <li>HealthPay24 - Healthcare</li>\n <li>DonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising</li>\n</ul>\n<p>EngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.</p>\n<p><b>Customer Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>The firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.</p>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.</p>\n<p>Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Percentage</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>32.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>33.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>43.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Multiple</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.1</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.3</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p>\n<p>ESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Rule of 40</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Calculation</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Recent Rev. Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>59%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EBITDA %</p></td>\n   <td><p>5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total</p></td>\n   <td><p>64%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p>\n<p>The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p>\n<p><b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p>\n<p>According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.</p>\n<p>This represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.</p>\n<p>The main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.</p>\n<p>Also, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.</p>\n<p>Below is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1066adb602d05e4e99630aacf61e1c5\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>IBM(NYSE:IBM)</p></li>\n <li><p>Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)</p></li>\n <li><p>Nuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)</p></li>\n <li><p>Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)</p></li>\n <li><p>Salesforce(NYSE:CRM)</p></li>\n <li><p>Avaya(NYSE:AVYA)</p></li>\n <li><p>Calabrio</p></li>\n <li><p>Aspect Software</p></li>\n <li><p>Genesys</p></li>\n <li><p>Verint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)</p></li>\n <li><p>NICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)</p></li>\n <li><p>OpenText</p></li>\n <li><p>Pegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)</p></li>\n <li><p>Others</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>EngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Growing topline revenue</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing gross profit and high gross margin</p></li>\n <li><p>Growing operating profit and net income</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing cash flow from operations</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Total Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 99,171,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.6%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 146,557,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>77.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 82,432,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 73,673,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>61.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 108,964,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>89.2%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 57,591,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Margin</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.29%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.35%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>69.86%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 5,001,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 648,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>0.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (50,398,000)</p></td>\n   <td><p>-61.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Net Income (Loss)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 274,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (6,678,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (53,598,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Cash Flow From Operations</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 12,044,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 19,645,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (1,427,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>(Glossary Of Terms)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.</p>\n<p><b>IPO Details</b></p>\n<p>ESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.</p>\n<p>New potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.</p>\n<p>Assuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.</p>\n<p>Excluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.</p>\n<p>Per the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Source: SEC\n</blockquote>\n<p>Management's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.</p>\n<p>Regarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.</p>\n<p>Listed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation Metrics</b></p>\n<p>Below is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Amount</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Market Capitalization at IPO</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,862,956,720</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Enterprise Value</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,656,695,720</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.09</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.96</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>377.37</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$0.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p></td>\n   <td><p>9.04%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$24.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Net Free Cash Flow</p></td>\n   <td><p>$25,236,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>0.65%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.59%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>As a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Metric</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Nice Ltd.</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>EngageSmart</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Variance</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.01</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.09</p></td>\n   <td><p>91.5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.67</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.96</p></td>\n   <td><p>87.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>41.73</p></td>\n   <td><p>377.37</p></td>\n   <td><p>804.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3.05</p></td>\n   <td><p>$0.00</p></td>\n   <td><p>-100.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.59%</p></td>\n   <td><p>1003.34%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>(S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)</p>\n<p><b>Commentary</b></p>\n<p>ESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.</p>\n<p>The firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.</p>\n<p>Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.</p>\n<p>The company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p>\n<p>The market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.</p>\n<p>JPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p>\n<p>The primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.</p>\n<p>As for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.</p>\n<p>Also, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.</p>\n<p>Given the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEngageSmart opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-23 23:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 23)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ESMT\">EngageSmart Inc.</a> opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/835bc9b4ff09e761852f27f75743b887\" tg-width=\"898\" tg-height=\"550\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>Company</b></p>\n<p>Braintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.</p>\n<p>Management is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.</p>\n<p>The company's primary offerings include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>SimplePractice - Wellness</li>\n <li>InvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services</li>\n <li>HealthPay24 - Healthcare</li>\n <li>DonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising</li>\n</ul>\n<p>EngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.</p>\n<p><b>Customer Acquisition</b></p>\n<p>The firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.</p>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.</p>\n<p>Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Percentage</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>32.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>33.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>43.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Selling and Marketing</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Multiple</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.1</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>1.3</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p>\n<p>ESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Rule of 40</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Calculation</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Recent Rev. Growth %</p></td>\n   <td><p>59%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EBITDA %</p></td>\n   <td><p>5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Total</p></td>\n   <td><p>64%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>The firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p>\n<p>The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p>\n<p><b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p>\n<p>According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.</p>\n<p>This represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.</p>\n<p>The main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.</p>\n<p>Also, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.</p>\n<p>Below is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1066adb602d05e4e99630aacf61e1c5\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"922\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>IBM(NYSE:IBM)</p></li>\n <li><p>Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)</p></li>\n <li><p>Nuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)</p></li>\n <li><p>Oracle(NYSE:ORCL)</p></li>\n <li><p>Salesforce(NYSE:CRM)</p></li>\n <li><p>Avaya(NYSE:AVYA)</p></li>\n <li><p>Calabrio</p></li>\n <li><p>Aspect Software</p></li>\n <li><p>Genesys</p></li>\n <li><p>Verint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)</p></li>\n <li><p>NICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)</p></li>\n <li><p>OpenText</p></li>\n <li><p>Pegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)</p></li>\n <li><p>Others</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Financial Performance</b></p>\n<p>EngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>Growing topline revenue</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing gross profit and high gross margin</p></li>\n <li><p>Growing operating profit and net income</p></li>\n <li><p>Increasing cash flow from operations</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Total Revenue</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Total Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 99,171,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.6%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 146,557,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>77.8%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 82,432,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>% Variance vs. Prior</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 73,673,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>61.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 108,964,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>89.2%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 57,591,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Gross Margin</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Gross Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.29%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>74.35%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>69.86%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Profit (Loss)</p></td>\n   <td><p>Operating Margin</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 5,001,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 648,000</p></td>\n   <td><p>0.4%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (50,398,000)</p></td>\n   <td><p>-61.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Net Income (Loss)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 274,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (6,678,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (53,598,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Period</p></td>\n   <td><p>Cash Flow From Operations</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 12,044,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2020</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ 19,645,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>2019</p></td>\n   <td><p>$ (1,427,000)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>(Glossary Of Terms)</p></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>As of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.</p>\n<p><b>IPO Details</b></p>\n<p>ESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.</p>\n<p>New potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.</p>\n<p>Assuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.</p>\n<p>Excluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.</p>\n<p>Per the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:</p>\n<blockquote>\n We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Source: SEC\n</blockquote>\n<p>Management's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.</p>\n<p>Regarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.</p>\n<p>Listed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.</p>\n<p><b>Valuation Metrics</b></p>\n<p>Below is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Amount</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Market Capitalization at IPO</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,862,956,720</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Enterprise Value</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3,656,695,720</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.09</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.96</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>377.37</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$0.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p></td>\n   <td><p>9.04%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$24.00</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Net Free Cash Flow</p></td>\n   <td><p>$25,236,000</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>0.65%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.59%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: SEC</p>\n<p>As a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:</p>\n<table>\n <colgroup></colgroup>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p><b>Metric</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Nice Ltd.</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>EngageSmart</b></p></td>\n   <td><p><b>Variance</b></p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Price / Sales</p></td>\n   <td><p>11.01</p></td>\n   <td><p>21.09</p></td>\n   <td><p>91.5%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / Revenue</p></td>\n   <td><p>10.67</p></td>\n   <td><p>19.96</p></td>\n   <td><p>87.1%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>EV / EBITDA</p></td>\n   <td><p>41.73</p></td>\n   <td><p>377.37</p></td>\n   <td><p>804.3%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Earnings Per Share</p></td>\n   <td><p>$3.05</p></td>\n   <td><p>$0.00</p></td>\n   <td><p>-100.0%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><p>Revenue Growth Rate</p></td>\n   <td><p>5.3%</p></td>\n   <td><p>58.59%</p></td>\n   <td><p>1003.34%</p></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr></tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>(S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)</p>\n<p><b>Commentary</b></p>\n<p>ESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.</p>\n<p>The firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.</p>\n<p>Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.</p>\n<p>Selling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.</p>\n<p>The company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.</p>\n<p>The market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.</p>\n<p>JPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p>\n<p>The primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.</p>\n<p>As for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.</p>\n<p>Also, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.</p>\n<p>Given the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ESMT":"EngageSmart Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159478468","content_text":"(Sept 23) EngageSmart Inc. opens for trading at $37, up about 43.6% from IPO price.\n\nCompany\nBraintree, Massachusetts-based EngageSmart was founded to develop a platform that improves customer engagement tailored for certain industry verticals.\nManagement is headed by founder and CEO Robert P. Bennett, who has been with the firm since inception and was previously president of Sage Payment Solutions.\nThe company's primary offerings include:\n\nSimplePractice - Wellness\nInvoiceCloud - Government, Utilities and Financial Services\nHealthPay24 - Healthcare\nDonorDrive - Non-profit and Corporate Fundraising\n\nEngageSmart has received at least $451 million in equity investment from investors including General Atlantic and Summit Partners.\nCustomer Acquisition\nThe firm pursues both large enterprise customers and SMB customers via its direct sales force and online service.\nAs of June 30, 2021, the firm had served over 68,000 clients in the SMB market and more than 3,000 customers in its Enterprise Solutions segment.\nSelling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\n\nSelling and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n32.4%\n\n\n2020\n33.1%\n\n\n2019\n43.1%\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe Selling and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Selling and Marketing spend, dropped slightly to 1.1x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\n\nSelling and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.1\n\n\n2020\n1.3\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.\nESMT's most recent calculation was 64% as of June 30, 2021, so the firm is performing well in this regard, per the table below:\n\n\n\n\nRule of 40\nCalculation\n\n\nRecent Rev. Growth %\n59%\n\n\nEBITDA %\n5%\n\n\nTotal\n64%\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nThe firm's dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.\nThe dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Mordor Intelligence, the global market for customer engagement solutions was an estimated $15.5 billion in 2020 and is forecast to reach $30.9 billion by 2026.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 12.65% from 2021 to 2026.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a growth in technology solutions to improve the customer journey via any device they use to connect with businesses.\nAlso, a desire to reduce customer churn rate results in improved business financials and growing valuation.\nBelow is a chart showing the variation in customer churn rates in different industries in the U.S. in 2018:\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nIBM(NYSE:IBM)\nMicrosoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)\nNuance(NASDAQ:NUAN)\nOracle(NYSE:ORCL)\nSalesforce(NYSE:CRM)\nAvaya(NYSE:AVYA)\nCalabrio\nAspect Software\nGenesys\nVerint Systems(NASDAQ:VRNT)\nNICE Ltd.(NASDAQ:NICE)\nOpenText\nPegasystems(NASDAQ:PEGA)\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nEngageSmart's recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nGrowing topline revenue\nIncreasing gross profit and high gross margin\nGrowing operating profit and net income\nIncreasing cash flow from operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm's registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 99,171,000\n58.6%\n\n\n2020\n$ 146,557,000\n77.8%\n\n\n2019\n$ 82,432,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 73,673,000\n61.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ 108,964,000\n89.2%\n\n\n2019\n$ 57,591,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n74.29%\n\n\n2020\n74.35%\n\n\n2019\n69.86%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 5,001,000\n5.0%\n\n\n2020\n$ 648,000\n0.4%\n\n\n2019\n$ (50,398,000)\n-61.1%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 274,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (6,678,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (53,598,000)\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 12,044,000\n\n\n2020\n$ 19,645,000\n\n\n2019\n$ (1,427,000)\n\n\n\n(Glossary Of Terms)\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nAs of June 30, 2021, EngageSmart had $31.8 million in cash and $151.8 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was $25.2 million.\nIPO Details\nESMT intends to sell 13 million shares and selling shareholders will offer 1.55 million shares of common stock at a proposed midpoint price of $24.00 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $349 million, not including the sale of customary underwriter options.\nNew potential investor Dragoneer Investment Group has indicated an interest to purchase 2.1 million shares of the offering or about $50.4 million at the proposed midpoint price.\nAssuming a successful IPO at the midpoint of the proposed price range, the company's enterprise value at IPO (ex- underwriter options) would approximate $3.7 billion.\nExcluding effects of underwriter options and private placement shares or restricted stock, if any, the float to outstanding shares ratio will be approximately 9.04%. A figure under 10% is generally considered a 'low float' stock which can be subject to significant price volatility.\nPer the firm's most recent regulatory filing, it plans to use the net proceeds as follows:\n\n We expect to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay in full the outstanding borrowings of approximately $114.2 million under our Credit Facilities. We currently intend to use the remaining net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including to fund our growth, acquire complementary businesses, products, services, or technologies, working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.\n\n\n Source: SEC\n\nManagement's presentation of the company roadshow isavailable here.\nRegarding outstanding legal proceedings, management did not disclose any legal claims against the firm as of the regulatory filing date.\nListed underwriters of the IPO are JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA Securities, and other investment banks.\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of the firm's relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$3,862,956,720\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$3,656,695,720\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n21.09\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n19.96\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n377.37\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$0.00\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n9.04%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$24.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n$25,236,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n0.65%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n58.59%\n\n\n\n\nSource: SEC\nAs a reference, a potential public comparable would be NICE Ltd.; shown below is a comparison of their primary valuation metrics:\n\n\n\n\nMetric\nNice Ltd.\nEngageSmart\nVariance\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n11.01\n21.09\n91.5%\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n10.67\n19.96\n87.1%\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n41.73\n377.37\n804.3%\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n$3.05\n$0.00\n-100.0%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n5.3%\n58.59%\n1003.34%\n\n\n\n\n(S-1/A andSeeking Alpha)\nCommentary\nESMT is seeking public investment to pay down debt and for its general unspecified corporate growth plans.\nThe firm's financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth, operating profit and a swing to slight net profit along with growing cash flow from operations.\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a solid $25.2 million.\nSelling and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have dropped as revenue has increased and its Selling and Marketing efficiency rate dropped to 1.1x in the most recent six-month reporting period.\nThe company's Rule of 40 performance was excellent and its dollar-based net revenue retention rate for the year ended December 31, 2020, was 124%, a strong result.\nThe market opportunity for providing customer engagement software to businesses is large and expected to double in size by the end of 2026, so the company will be helped by strong industry growth dynamics.\nJPMorgan is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 20.4% since their IPO. This is a mid-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the company's outlook is the ability for larger firms to bundle some of their services into their existing offerings, resulting in downward pricing pressure and greater competition.\nAs for valuation, compared to partial competitor NICE, ESMT is growing revenue much faster and so its much higher revenue multiples would appear to be justified.\nAlso, the company is growing much faster than competitor Pegasystems, so seems to be taking market share from these and other companies in the customer engagement market.\nGiven the firm's strong growth and operating metrics versus its competitors, while the IPO isn't cheap, it is worth consideration.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":836769079,"gmtCreate":1629525306591,"gmtModify":1631891269907,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"[得意]&nbsp;","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836769079","repostId":"2161149745","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":802250983,"gmtCreate":1627783831742,"gmtModify":1631891269949,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Screw the earth mine to last source&nbsp;","listText":"Screw the earth mine to last source&nbsp;","text":"Screw the earth mine to last source","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802250983","repostId":"1167073573","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801539484,"gmtCreate":1627522088748,"gmtModify":1631891270001,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🦧🦧🦧","listText":"🦧🦧🦧","text":"🦧🦧🦧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801539484","repostId":"1166151449","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178510392,"gmtCreate":1626827009716,"gmtModify":1633770681747,"author":{"id":"3576147286473401","authorId":"3576147286473401","name":"Gon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/49a3133913dfae43a73c179e9baab24d","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576147286473401","authorIdStr":"3576147286473401"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"of cause buy the dip... trying to fool us ? Mr HF","listText":"of cause buy the dip... trying to fool us ? Mr HF","text":"of cause buy the dip... trying to fool us ? Mr HF","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178510392","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":384,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}