melts的个人主页 - 老虎社区

melts

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2021-02-17

should we be fearful when others are greedy?

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2021-05-14

Incredible

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2021-03-08

Rebalanced..

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2021-03-27

I like amd

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2021-02-21

Im a fan!

Palantir: Buy The Dip<blockquote>Palantir：逢低买入</blockquote>

2021-02-14

Stonks go up...?

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2021-08-03

Wow

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2021-06-02

Really

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2021-05-10

[难过] [难过]

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2021-02-28

It's still near to ATH......

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去老虎APP查看更多动态

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MOON”三个大字把很多虎友瞬间带回年初散户大战华尔街时期。无疑，散户力量正在崛起，而我们作为散户主战场，绝不掉链","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/464e70063cff5b7b7b5b9d7d3d550e73","width":"0","height":"0"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169585538","isVote":1,"tweetType":2,"object":{"id":"39e3640e0a094faf8ab3568799950829","tweetId":"169585538","videoUrl":"https://1254107296.vod2.myqcloud.com/73ba5544vodgzp1254107296/3005369a3701925919455986729/oPsNfUpbGHIA.mp4","poster":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/464e70063cff5b7b7b5b9d7d3d550e73"},"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":14,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4017,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":163913581,"gmtCreate":1623856288243,"gmtModify":1634026968596,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163913581","repostId":"169545696","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":169545696,"gmtCreate":1623845231012,"gmtModify":1631903888124,"author":{"id":"36989258284800","authorId":"36989258284800","name":"小虎老师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/6e9d88ae16a2b401169a727cf1457404","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36989258284800","authorIdStr":"36989258284800"},"themes":[],"title":"想抄底别直接买，教你一个巴菲特最爱的抄底方式","htmlText":"普通人抄底和大佬抄底有什么不同？ 面对一只跌到50美元的股票， 普通人抄底：挂个50美元的买单，成本50美元。 大佬抄底：卖个50美元的看跌期权，一股空手白赚4美元，被行权后以50美元买入，成本46美元（50-4=46）老有人问能不能抄巴菲特作业，老实说，绝大部分是抄不了的，因为他买入卖出前都不会跟你说，等你知道的时候只有接盘和割肉的份儿。但是，巴菲特这个抄底动作，却是为数不多普通散户可以学的操作之一。 秘诀就是卖看跌期权（short put），说起来也并不复杂，看完这篇你就会了！ 我们先看看巴菲特的示范，再解释一下原理。 1993年4月，巴菲特希望增持可口可乐，但此时可口可乐的股价是40美元左右，而他对可口可乐股票的心理价位是35美元。 于是，他以1.5美元的权利金卖出500万份到期日（行权日）为1993年12月17日、行权价为35美元的可口可乐看跌期权（put）。 到了1993年12月17日(到期日)，会有两种情况： 如果可口可乐的股价高于35美元，那么期权就是废纸一张，巴菲特可以获得1.5美元×500万份=750万美元的权利金; 如果可口可乐的股价低于35美元，巴菲特就必须按照35美元买入500万股可口可乐股票，扣除之前收取的1.5美元权利金，最后巴菲特持有可口可乐股票的实际买入成本为33.5美元/股，低于心理价位。 这么操作还有一个额外的优势：卖完期权现金就到手，比起把钱放账户里一直挂35的买单干等，还提升了现金流。 那么对于我们个人来说，如何操作？ 如果你是纯纯的期权小白，可以看我之前的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/117146180\" target=\"_blank\">《想止盈的股票不要直接卖，这个操作能让你多赚亿点点，邻居股民馋哭了 》</a>，介绍的是巧用期权止盈的思路，这里面有对基本期权概念的解释。 在那篇的基础上，再划几个新","listText":"普通人抄底和大佬抄底有什么不同？ 面对一只跌到50美元的股票， 普通人抄底：挂个50美元的买单，成本50美元。 大佬抄底：卖个50美元的看跌期权，一股空手白赚4美元，被行权后以50美元买入，成本46美元（50-4=46）老有人问能不能抄巴菲特作业，老实说，绝大部分是抄不了的，因为他买入卖出前都不会跟你说，等你知道的时候只有接盘和割肉的份儿。但是，巴菲特这个抄底动作，却是为数不多普通散户可以学的操作之一。 秘诀就是卖看跌期权（short put），说起来也并不复杂，看完这篇你就会了！ 我们先看看巴菲特的示范，再解释一下原理。 1993年4月，巴菲特希望增持可口可乐，但此时可口可乐的股价是40美元左右，而他对可口可乐股票的心理价位是35美元。 于是，他以1.5美元的权利金卖出500万份到期日（行权日）为1993年12月17日、行权价为35美元的可口可乐看跌期权（put）。 到了1993年12月17日(到期日)，会有两种情况： 如果可口可乐的股价高于35美元，那么期权就是废纸一张，巴菲特可以获得1.5美元×500万份=750万美元的权利金; 如果可口可乐的股价低于35美元，巴菲特就必须按照35美元买入500万股可口可乐股票，扣除之前收取的1.5美元权利金，最后巴菲特持有可口可乐股票的实际买入成本为33.5美元/股，低于心理价位。 这么操作还有一个额外的优势：卖完期权现金就到手，比起把钱放账户里一直挂35的买单干等，还提升了现金流。 那么对于我们个人来说，如何操作？ 如果你是纯纯的期权小白，可以看我之前的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/117146180\" target=\"_blank\">《想止盈的股票不要直接卖，这个操作能让你多赚亿点点，邻居股民馋哭了 》</a>，介绍的是巧用期权止盈的思路，这里面有对基本期权概念的解释。 在那篇的基础上，再划几个新","text":"普通人抄底和大佬抄底有什么不同？ 面对一只跌到50美元的股票， 普通人抄底：挂个50美元的买单，成本50美元。 大佬抄底：卖个50美元的看跌期权，一股空手白赚4美元，被行权后以50美元买入，成本46美元（50-4=46）老有人问能不能抄巴菲特作业，老实说，绝大部分是抄不了的，因为他买入卖出前都不会跟你说，等你知道的时候只有接盘和割肉的份儿。但是，巴菲特这个抄底动作，却是为数不多普通散户可以学的操作之一。 秘诀就是卖看跌期权（short put），说起来也并不复杂，看完这篇你就会了！ 我们先看看巴菲特的示范，再解释一下原理。 1993年4月，巴菲特希望增持可口可乐，但此时可口可乐的股价是40美元左右，而他对可口可乐股票的心理价位是35美元。 于是，他以1.5美元的权利金卖出500万份到期日（行权日）为1993年12月17日、行权价为35美元的可口可乐看跌期权（put）。 到了1993年12月17日(到期日)，会有两种情况： 如果可口可乐的股价高于35美元，那么期权就是废纸一张，巴菲特可以获得1.5美元×500万份=750万美元的权利金; 如果可口可乐的股价低于35美元，巴菲特就必须按照35美元买入500万股可口可乐股票，扣除之前收取的1.5美元权利金，最后巴菲特持有可口可乐股票的实际买入成本为33.5美元/股，低于心理价位。 这么操作还有一个额外的优势：卖完期权现金就到手，比起把钱放账户里一直挂35的买单干等，还提升了现金流。 那么对于我们个人来说，如何操作？ 如果你是纯纯的期权小白，可以看我之前的《想止盈的股票不要直接卖，这个操作能让你多赚亿点点，邻居股民馋哭了 》，介绍的是巧用期权止盈的思路，这里面有对基本期权概念的解释。 在那篇的基础上，再划几个新","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b1fda9ac4fdcd0ab6fb89fe1a648f55","width":"1458","height":"1102"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0656c31d6c595c9ca54937c3321ae054","width":"1424","height":"1434"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5127a2cc6f263c1d13bde6daf917d0f","width":"994","height":"922"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169545696","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160123003,"gmtCreate":1623775517402,"gmtModify":1634028384242,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160123003","repostId":"187564988","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":187564988,"gmtCreate":1623759478340,"gmtModify":1708441859393,"author":{"id":"3527667586584720","authorId":"3527667586584720","name":"小虎综合资讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667586584720","authorIdStr":"3527667586584720"},"themes":[],"title":"盘前：“恐怖数据”今日来袭！大行情一触即发？","htmlText":"6月15日，美国三大股指小幅震荡，截至发稿，道指期货微涨0.02%；标普500指数期货涨0.11%；纳斯达克100指数期货涨0.15%。 本交易日，投资者将迎来素有“恐怖数据”之称的美国零售销售数据，这也是本周最为重磅的经济指标，预计将引发市场的剧烈波动。 盘前行情 新进WSB概念股盘前走高，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLNE\">$Clean Energy Fuels(CLNE)$</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic(WISH)$</a>涨超5%。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>盘前涨超30%，此前申请至多2.5亿美元的混合储架发行。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RAPT\">$RAPT Therapeutics(RAPT)$</a>盘前涨超8%，公司宣布拟公开发行1.25亿美元普通股。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VRM\">$Vroom(VRM)$</a>盘前跌超5%，此前宣布拟发行5亿美元2026年到期的可转换高级票据。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QD\">$趣店(QD)$</a>盘前跌近8%，第一季度营收5.157亿元，同比下滑。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">$优信(UXIN)$</a>二手车盘前涨超15%，此前宣布规模高达3.15亿美元的融资交易。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Ocugen(OCGN)$</a>盘前涨超12%，公司就其在美国生产新冠疫苗COVAXI","listText":"6月15日，美国三大股指小幅震荡，截至发稿，道指期货微涨0.02%；标普500指数期货涨0.11%；纳斯达克100指数期货涨0.15%。 本交易日，投资者将迎来素有“恐怖数据”之称的美国零售销售数据，这也是本周最为重磅的经济指标，预计将引发市场的剧烈波动。 盘前行情 新进WSB概念股盘前走高，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLNE\">$Clean Energy Fuels(CLNE)$</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WISH\">$ContextLogic(WISH)$</a>涨超5%。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRCH\">$Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$</a>盘前涨超30%，此前申请至多2.5亿美元的混合储架发行。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RAPT\">$RAPT Therapeutics(RAPT)$</a>盘前涨超8%，公司宣布拟公开发行1.25亿美元普通股。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VRM\">$Vroom(VRM)$</a>盘前跌超5%，此前宣布拟发行5亿美元2026年到期的可转换高级票据。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QD\">$趣店(QD)$</a>盘前跌近8%，第一季度营收5.157亿元，同比下滑。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UXIN\">$优信(UXIN)$</a>二手车盘前涨超15%，此前宣布规模高达3.15亿美元的融资交易。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OCGN\">$Ocugen(OCGN)$</a>盘前涨超12%，公司就其在美国生产新冠疫苗COVAXI","text":"6月15日，美国三大股指小幅震荡，截至发稿，道指期货微涨0.02%；标普500指数期货涨0.11%；纳斯达克100指数期货涨0.15%。 本交易日，投资者将迎来素有“恐怖数据”之称的美国零售销售数据，这也是本周最为重磅的经济指标，预计将引发市场的剧烈波动。 盘前行情 新进WSB概念股盘前走高，$Clean Energy Fuels(CLNE)$、$ContextLogic(WISH)$涨超5%。 $Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)$盘前涨超30%，此前申请至多2.5亿美元的混合储架发行。 $RAPT Therapeutics(RAPT)$盘前涨超8%，公司宣布拟公开发行1.25亿美元普通股。 $Vroom(VRM)$盘前跌超5%，此前宣布拟发行5亿美元2026年到期的可转换高级票据。 $趣店(QD)$盘前跌近8%，第一季度营收5.157亿元，同比下滑。 $优信(UXIN)$二手车盘前涨超15%，此前宣布规模高达3.15亿美元的融资交易。 $Ocugen(OCGN)$盘前涨超12%，公司就其在美国生产新冠疫苗COVAXI","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99abfff40ef2a2119a15f393cee3bd85","width":"820","height":"360"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b6305bcbec3d3d4f4b058e2982a0ec8","width":"822","height":"833"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a9fac6a7dc54eefc8904b441004df1c","width":"822","height":"833"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187564988","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181449026,"gmtCreate":1623408838565,"gmtModify":1634033642205,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181449026","repostId":"181410074","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":181410074,"gmtCreate":1623406231998,"gmtModify":1623460848321,"author":{"id":"3497328009582754","authorId":"3497328009582754","name":"桃李春风益点财","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc8827e0d2ccb8087a4e15cbe447ad5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3497328009582754","authorIdStr":"3497328009582754"},"themes":[],"title":"中概股跌跌不休，二次上市可以解忧吗？","htmlText":"本文聚焦：1、中概股看似风光无限，实则度日艰难2、中概股回归路径选择：A股港股双双迎接中概股回归3、二次回港上市的公司表现贝瑞研究声明：贝瑞研究声明：文中观点基于公开市场信息和历史数据形成，不作为直接投资建议，仅供交流，欢迎留言探讨投资见解。图注：图片源自网络，版权属原作者中概股在美国敲钟上市看似风光无限，然而有些公司很可能正在面临着内忧外患，尤其今年3月以来中概股的日子更是举步维艰，股价跌跌不休。以百度、阿里巴巴和京东等公司为例，由图一可以看出，所选中概股公司当前的股价较年初均有不同程度的下滑，其中3月份的跌幅尤为明显。那么问题来了，中概股公司的股价缘何阴跌不止？到底谁是罪魁祸首？图1 年初至今的股价表现，资料来源：FactSet,作者作图1、深受《外国公司问责法案》影响，中概股在美度日艰难 美国对中概股加强监管大事件一览 导火索-瑞幸财务造假事件 2020年1月底， “瑞幸咖啡造假”，“浑水做空瑞幸”标题一出，便迅速占领了各大热搜的头条。尽管瑞幸最初对指控矢口否认，长达89页的大锤还是锤得小蓝杯抬不起头。而后至2020年4月，瑞幸在美遭受多轮集体诉讼。同时，打脸来得猝不及防，就在4月2日，瑞幸咖啡宣布了董事会对于前期被发现问题的2019年年报的特别调查的结果:2019 Q2～Q4期间，瑞幸伪造了高达22亿人民币的交易额，以及相应的成本和费用的虚增。这一巨大的自爆引得舆论一片哗然，瑞幸股价迅速暴跌80％，而这也昭示着这个发展速度一度可谓跻身神坛的公司的陨落。而瑞幸的财务造假事件不仅让社畜如我短期喝不到了常年3.8折的咖啡，更直接催生了美国颁布《外国公司问责法案》。 大事件时间轴一览 瑞幸事件之后，美国证券交易委员会( SEC）及美国公众公司会计监督委员会(PCAOB)警示投资者关于购买中概股的风险，并且SEC主席特别指出，不要将资金投入在美国上市的中国股票。同时，共和党参","listText":"本文聚焦：1、中概股看似风光无限，实则度日艰难2、中概股回归路径选择：A股港股双双迎接中概股回归3、二次回港上市的公司表现贝瑞研究声明：贝瑞研究声明：文中观点基于公开市场信息和历史数据形成，不作为直接投资建议，仅供交流，欢迎留言探讨投资见解。图注：图片源自网络，版权属原作者中概股在美国敲钟上市看似风光无限，然而有些公司很可能正在面临着内忧外患，尤其今年3月以来中概股的日子更是举步维艰，股价跌跌不休。以百度、阿里巴巴和京东等公司为例，由图一可以看出，所选中概股公司当前的股价较年初均有不同程度的下滑，其中3月份的跌幅尤为明显。那么问题来了，中概股公司的股价缘何阴跌不止？到底谁是罪魁祸首？图1 年初至今的股价表现，资料来源：FactSet,作者作图1、深受《外国公司问责法案》影响，中概股在美度日艰难 美国对中概股加强监管大事件一览 导火索-瑞幸财务造假事件 2020年1月底， “瑞幸咖啡造假”，“浑水做空瑞幸”标题一出，便迅速占领了各大热搜的头条。尽管瑞幸最初对指控矢口否认，长达89页的大锤还是锤得小蓝杯抬不起头。而后至2020年4月，瑞幸在美遭受多轮集体诉讼。同时，打脸来得猝不及防，就在4月2日，瑞幸咖啡宣布了董事会对于前期被发现问题的2019年年报的特别调查的结果:2019 Q2～Q4期间，瑞幸伪造了高达22亿人民币的交易额，以及相应的成本和费用的虚增。这一巨大的自爆引得舆论一片哗然，瑞幸股价迅速暴跌80％，而这也昭示着这个发展速度一度可谓跻身神坛的公司的陨落。而瑞幸的财务造假事件不仅让社畜如我短期喝不到了常年3.8折的咖啡，更直接催生了美国颁布《外国公司问责法案》。 大事件时间轴一览 瑞幸事件之后，美国证券交易委员会( SEC）及美国公众公司会计监督委员会(PCAOB)警示投资者关于购买中概股的风险，并且SEC主席特别指出，不要将资金投入在美国上市的中国股票。同时，共和党参","text":"本文聚焦：1、中概股看似风光无限，实则度日艰难2、中概股回归路径选择：A股港股双双迎接中概股回归3、二次回港上市的公司表现贝瑞研究声明：贝瑞研究声明：文中观点基于公开市场信息和历史数据形成，不作为直接投资建议，仅供交流，欢迎留言探讨投资见解。图注：图片源自网络，版权属原作者中概股在美国敲钟上市看似风光无限，然而有些公司很可能正在面临着内忧外患，尤其今年3月以来中概股的日子更是举步维艰，股价跌跌不休。以百度、阿里巴巴和京东等公司为例，由图一可以看出，所选中概股公司当前的股价较年初均有不同程度的下滑，其中3月份的跌幅尤为明显。那么问题来了，中概股公司的股价缘何阴跌不止？到底谁是罪魁祸首？图1 年初至今的股价表现，资料来源：FactSet,作者作图1、深受《外国公司问责法案》影响，中概股在美度日艰难 美国对中概股加强监管大事件一览 导火索-瑞幸财务造假事件 2020年1月底， “瑞幸咖啡造假”，“浑水做空瑞幸”标题一出，便迅速占领了各大热搜的头条。尽管瑞幸最初对指控矢口否认，长达89页的大锤还是锤得小蓝杯抬不起头。而后至2020年4月，瑞幸在美遭受多轮集体诉讼。同时，打脸来得猝不及防，就在4月2日，瑞幸咖啡宣布了董事会对于前期被发现问题的2019年年报的特别调查的结果:2019 Q2～Q4期间，瑞幸伪造了高达22亿人民币的交易额，以及相应的成本和费用的虚增。这一巨大的自爆引得舆论一片哗然，瑞幸股价迅速暴跌80％，而这也昭示着这个发展速度一度可谓跻身神坛的公司的陨落。而瑞幸的财务造假事件不仅让社畜如我短期喝不到了常年3.8折的咖啡，更直接催生了美国颁布《外国公司问责法案》。 大事件时间轴一览 瑞幸事件之后，美国证券交易委员会( SEC）及美国公众公司会计监督委员会(PCAOB)警示投资者关于购买中概股的风险，并且SEC主席特别指出，不要将资金投入在美国上市的中国股票。同时，共和党参","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2b2b07cbac97ae8b06d7cdcab18b3a9","width":"554","height":"366"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd56bbfcd38f97bef9f688e144cfbfaf","width":"553","height":"173"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a6652af46f151459b15f70959441798","width":"1020","height":"1350"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181410074","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183682614,"gmtCreate":1623328613238,"gmtModify":1634034547118,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183682614","repostId":"183845311","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":183845311,"gmtCreate":1623322980000,"gmtModify":1741599156722,"author":{"id":"3524030243818067","authorId":"3524030243818067","name":"4207f134","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ebc2483f5c94ab5917a7ec0eb2e1f05","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3524030243818067","authorIdStr":"3524030243818067"},"themes":[],"title":"FBI：频发的网络攻击不亚于9·11，正调查约100种勒索软件","htmlText":"FBI局长雷表示，该机构正在调查约100种不同类型的勒索软件，近期对美国肉类和石油天然气业的攻击只是其中的一小部分。图片来源：NATE PALMER FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL 美国联邦调查局(Federal Bureau of Investigation, 简称FBI)局长雷(Christopher Wray)表示，该机构正在调查约100种不同类型的勒索软件，其中许多可追溯至在俄罗斯的实施者。他还表示当前这一系列网络攻击构成的挑战不亚于2001年9月11日的恐怖袭击。 雷在接受采访时说：“有很多相似性，有很多重要之处，我们关注的重中之重是所造成的破坏和如何预防。不仅是政府机构，还包括私营部门，甚至是普通美国人，都要共同承担责任。” 雷的上述评论是最近两起勒索软件攻击事件席卷美国肉类和石油天然气行业以来他首次公开发表的评论之一，而拜登政府的高级官员称勒索软件是对国家安全的一个紧迫威胁，并表示他们正在研究各种方法，以破坏支持这一蓬勃发展的行业的犯罪生态系统。雷表示，这100种不同恶意软件都被用于了美国的多次勒索软件攻击。 雷在采访中特别指出，俄罗斯窝藏了许多已知的勒索软件用户，安全专家和美国官员称，俄罗斯为勒索软件犯罪团伙提供了一个避风港，使他们得以在东欧各地猖狂发展。 拜登(Joe Biden)政府还将研究加密货币在勒索事件中所起的作用，探索追踪受害者付给海外勒索软件团伙的赎金的路径。 白宫官员表示，他们将推动更好地追踪勒索软件攻击事件中的赎金。黑客锁住受害公司的数据后，会要求公司支付为数据解锁的费用。 这以上举措浮出水面前，又一场网络攻击发生了，肉品加工商JBS SA旗下美国和澳大利亚工厂暂停生产。此事发生在Colonial Pipeline Co.以及圣迭戈的Scripps Health遭遇网络入侵之后，从中不难看出此类勒索计划可能如何损害美","listText":"FBI局长雷表示，该机构正在调查约100种不同类型的勒索软件，近期对美国肉类和石油天然气业的攻击只是其中的一小部分。图片来源：NATE PALMER FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL 美国联邦调查局(Federal Bureau of Investigation, 简称FBI)局长雷(Christopher Wray)表示，该机构正在调查约100种不同类型的勒索软件，其中许多可追溯至在俄罗斯的实施者。他还表示当前这一系列网络攻击构成的挑战不亚于2001年9月11日的恐怖袭击。 雷在接受采访时说：“有很多相似性，有很多重要之处，我们关注的重中之重是所造成的破坏和如何预防。不仅是政府机构，还包括私营部门，甚至是普通美国人，都要共同承担责任。” 雷的上述评论是最近两起勒索软件攻击事件席卷美国肉类和石油天然气行业以来他首次公开发表的评论之一，而拜登政府的高级官员称勒索软件是对国家安全的一个紧迫威胁，并表示他们正在研究各种方法，以破坏支持这一蓬勃发展的行业的犯罪生态系统。雷表示，这100种不同恶意软件都被用于了美国的多次勒索软件攻击。 雷在采访中特别指出，俄罗斯窝藏了许多已知的勒索软件用户，安全专家和美国官员称，俄罗斯为勒索软件犯罪团伙提供了一个避风港，使他们得以在东欧各地猖狂发展。 拜登(Joe Biden)政府还将研究加密货币在勒索事件中所起的作用，探索追踪受害者付给海外勒索软件团伙的赎金的路径。 白宫官员表示，他们将推动更好地追踪勒索软件攻击事件中的赎金。黑客锁住受害公司的数据后，会要求公司支付为数据解锁的费用。 这以上举措浮出水面前，又一场网络攻击发生了，肉品加工商JBS SA旗下美国和澳大利亚工厂暂停生产。此事发生在Colonial Pipeline Co.以及圣迭戈的Scripps Health遭遇网络入侵之后，从中不难看出此类勒索计划可能如何损害美","text":"FBI局长雷表示，该机构正在调查约100种不同类型的勒索软件，近期对美国肉类和石油天然气业的攻击只是其中的一小部分。图片来源：NATE PALMER FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL 美国联邦调查局(Federal Bureau of Investigation, 简称FBI)局长雷(Christopher Wray)表示，该机构正在调查约100种不同类型的勒索软件，其中许多可追溯至在俄罗斯的实施者。他还表示当前这一系列网络攻击构成的挑战不亚于2001年9月11日的恐怖袭击。 雷在接受采访时说：“有很多相似性，有很多重要之处，我们关注的重中之重是所造成的破坏和如何预防。不仅是政府机构，还包括私营部门，甚至是普通美国人，都要共同承担责任。” 雷的上述评论是最近两起勒索软件攻击事件席卷美国肉类和石油天然气行业以来他首次公开发表的评论之一，而拜登政府的高级官员称勒索软件是对国家安全的一个紧迫威胁，并表示他们正在研究各种方法，以破坏支持这一蓬勃发展的行业的犯罪生态系统。雷表示，这100种不同恶意软件都被用于了美国的多次勒索软件攻击。 雷在采访中特别指出，俄罗斯窝藏了许多已知的勒索软件用户，安全专家和美国官员称，俄罗斯为勒索软件犯罪团伙提供了一个避风港，使他们得以在东欧各地猖狂发展。 拜登(Joe Biden)政府还将研究加密货币在勒索事件中所起的作用，探索追踪受害者付给海外勒索软件团伙的赎金的路径。 白宫官员表示，他们将推动更好地追踪勒索软件攻击事件中的赎金。黑客锁住受害公司的数据后，会要求公司支付为数据解锁的费用。 这以上举措浮出水面前，又一场网络攻击发生了，肉品加工商JBS SA旗下美国和澳大利亚工厂暂停生产。此事发生在Colonial Pipeline Co.以及圣迭戈的Scripps Health遭遇网络入侵之后，从中不难看出此类勒索计划可能如何损害美","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af903dd67d1042e894737ebff063e9d2"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6e40c8c0a044c8b2878ace42e14ce7"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e858f52d22447daa137aaf3312c0291"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183845311","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2787,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189811359,"gmtCreate":1623250705771,"gmtModify":1634035319789,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189811359","repostId":"1188697627","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2745,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117776942,"gmtCreate":1623162661886,"gmtModify":1634036270410,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117776942","repostId":"1108456666","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108456666","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623161829,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108456666?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-08 22:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warning Signs A Correction Is Ahead<blockquote>警告信号调整即将到来</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108456666","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After a decent rally from the recent lows, there are multiple warning signs a correction approaches.","content":"<p>After a decent rally from the recent lows, there are multiple warning signs a correction approaches.</p><p><blockquote>在从近期低点大幅反弹后，有多个警告信号表明调整即将来临。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last few weeks, we&nbsp;<b><i>discussed the rising risk</i></b>&nbsp;of a correction between 5-10%, most likely this summer. Such drawdowns are historically very common within any given year of an ongoing bull market. As&nbsp;<i>Sentiment Trader</i>&nbsp;recently noted, we are now in one of the more extended periods without such an occurrence.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几周里，我们<b><i>讨论了风险上升</i></b>调整幅度在5-10%之间，最有可能是在今年夏天。从历史上看，在持续牛市的任何一年中，这种回撤都是非常常见的。作为<i>情绪交易者</i>正如最近指出的，我们现在正处于没有这种情况发生的较长时期之一。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eced82eef65e87252e40ed177a747be9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Of course, as is always the case, amid a bullish advance, it is easy to become complacent as prices rise.</p><p><blockquote>当然，和往常一样，在看涨的过程中，随着价格上涨，人们很容易变得自满。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Before we go any further, it is essential to clarify we are discussing only the potential for a short-term correction.</b>&nbsp;As is often the case, some tend to extrapolate such to mean I am saying a&nbsp;<i>“crash”</i>&nbsp;is coming, and you should be all in cash. Such an extreme move is ill-advised without a significant weight of evidence.</p><p><blockquote><b>在我们进一步讨论之前，有必要澄清我们只是在讨论短期调整的可能性。</b>通常情况下，有些人倾向于推断出我在说一个<i>“撞车”</i>来了，你应该全是现金。在没有大量证据的情况下，这种极端的举动是不明智的。</blockquote></p><p> However, there is reason to be cautious in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>然而，短期内有理由保持谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Suppressed Volatility</b></p><p><blockquote><b>波动性被抑制</b></blockquote></p><p> As I stated, during a&nbsp;<i>“bullish advance,”</i>investors become incredibly complacent.&nbsp;<b>That</b><b><i>“complacency”</i></b><b>&nbsp;leads to excessive speculative risk-taking.We see clear evidence of that activity in various</b><b><i>“risk-on”</i></b><b>&nbsp;asset classes from Cryptocurrencies, to SPAC’s, to</b><b><i>“Meme Stocks.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote>正如我所说，在<i>“看涨推进，”</i>投资者变得异常自满。<b>那个</b><b><i>“自满”</i></b><b>导致过度投机冒险。我们在各种活动中看到了明显证据</b><b><i>“冒险”</i></b><b>资产类别从加密货币到SPAC，再到</b><b><i>“模因股票。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> A measure of speculative excess is the Volatility Index (VIX). The chart below is from my colleague Jim Colquitt of&nbsp;<i>Armor ETF’s.</i></p><p><blockquote>衡量投机过度的指标是波动率指数（VIX）。下面的图表来自我的同事Jim Colquitt<i>装甲ETF的。</i></blockquote></p><p> The top pane is the&nbsp;15-day moving average of VIX, which is on an inverted scale. The bottom pane is the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p><blockquote>顶部窗格是VIX的15天移动平均线，呈倒置刻度。底部窗格是标普500指数。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245e68edb15dbfa4f8f146a789b89809\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"712\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“The market may have one last push higher over the next several weeks. Such will take the VIX even lower and complete the VIX wedge pattern.</i>  <i><b>That pattern has been evident in the last three 10% or greater corrections.</b></i>  <i>&nbsp;By this measure, the correction should begin somewhere around July 21st&nbsp;– August 10th.” – Jim Colquitt</i>  As they say,&nbsp;<i>“timing is everything.”</i>While a July-August time frame is entirely possible, a June-July correction is just as likely. What is essential, as we will discuss momentarily, is understanding that risk is prevalent.</p><p><blockquote><i>“未来几周，市场可能会最后一次走高。这将使VIX进一步走低，并完成VIX楔形形态。</i><i><b>这种模式在过去三次10%或更大的修正中很明显。</b></i><i>按照这个标准，调整应该在7月21日至8月10日左右开始。”-吉姆·科尔奎特</i>正如他们所说，<i>“时机就是一切。”</i>虽然7月至8月的时间框架是完全可能的，但6月至7月的调整也是可能的。正如我们稍后将讨论的，最重要的是理解风险是普遍的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Exuberance Stretched Again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场景气度再度舒展</b></blockquote></p><p> It isn’t just complacency that is suggestive of a short-term market correction. There are numerous others as well.</p><p><blockquote>暗示短期市场调整的不仅仅是自满情绪。还有许多其他的。</blockquote></p><p> As my friend Daniel Lacalle recently posted,&nbsp;Morgan Stanley‘s market timing indicator is at levels that have typically coincided with market downturns. Just for reference, the current reading is the most&nbsp;<i>“bearish”</i>&nbsp;on record.</p><p><blockquote>正如我的朋友丹尼尔·拉卡勒(Daniel Lacalle)最近发布的那样，摩根士丹利的市场时机指标处于通常与市场低迷同时发生的水平。仅供参考，当前读数最<i>“看跌”</i>记录在案。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c918064930caffdab80b05f255085f9\" tg-width=\"1085\" tg-height=\"459\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, a host of other indicators posted by&nbsp;<b><i>@Not_Jim_Cramer</i></b>also suggests there are reasons for concern about a correction.</p><p><blockquote>此外，发布的许多其他指标<b><i>@Not_Jim_Cramer</i></b>也表明有理由担心调整。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12bad2caf91007cd9b37c0ef04e90e29\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"547\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflationary Warning</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通货膨胀警告</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, this note from Tom Bowley caught my eye on Saturday.</p><p><blockquote>最后，汤姆·鲍利的这封信在周六引起了我的注意。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“The S&amp;P 500 reached a high on Friday of 4233.45, narrowly eclipsing the all-time high close of 4232.60 from May 7th.</i>  <i><b>Unfortunately for the bulls, selling in the final few minutes ruined the breakout attempt. This false breakout, ever so slight, could be quite ominous for next week and there’s one MAJOR reason why. Inflation data.</b></i>  <i>That May 7th all-time high came just days before the shocking April CPI data was released on May 12th. Now here we are back at the high again.</i>  <i><b>As the late Yogi Berra might say, “it’s deja vu all over again!” I don’t believe inflation to be a problem, but just the possibility of it could trigger scary headlines and encourage selling in the week ahead.”</b></i>  <i>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Tom Bowley, Stockcharts</i>  The chart below shows the differential between the annual rates of change of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI.)&nbsp;<b>It should not be surprising that when PPI surges well ahead of CPI, equity markets tend to run into problems.Such is because this shows producers are unable to pass the inflation along to their customers.</b>&nbsp;Consequently, this leads to reduced earnings and a repricing of risk assets.</p><p><blockquote><i>“标普500周五触及4233.45点的高点，勉强超过5月7日以来的历史收盘高点4232.60点。</i><i><b>不幸的是，对于多头来说，最后几分钟的抛售破坏了突破尝试。这种虚假的突破，无论多么轻微，都可能是下周的不祥之兆，这有一个主要原因。通胀数据。</b></i><i>5月7日的历史新高是在5月12日令人震惊的4月份CPI数据公布的前几天出现的。现在我们又回到了高潮。</i><i><b>正如已故的约吉·贝拉可能会说的那样，“这是似曾相识的感觉！”我不认为通货膨胀是一个问题，但仅仅是通货膨胀的可能性就可能引发可怕的头条新闻并鼓励未来一周的抛售。”</b></i><i>——汤姆·鲍利，股票图表</i>下图显示了生产者价格指数(PPI)和消费者价格指数(CPI)的年变化率之间的差异。<b>当PPI飙升远远超过CPI时，股市往往会遇到问题，这并不奇怪。这是因为这表明生产商无法将通货膨胀转嫁给他们的客户。</b>因此，这导致收益减少和风险资产的重新定价。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bf24f2c1d3200f6fdb7a14a83d419b5\" tg-width=\"967\" tg-height=\"519\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tom goes on to state inflation will not be a problem longer-term correctly. However, in the near term, the surge in inflation will weigh on outlooks, creating corrective actions.</p><p><blockquote>汤姆继续指出，从长远来看，通货膨胀不会是一个问题。然而，在短期内，通胀飙升将给前景带来压力，从而引发纠正行动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Problem With Technicals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术问题</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> I want to reiterate a point from the most recent&nbsp;<b><i>newsletter:</i></b></p><p><blockquote>我想重申最近的一点<b><i>时事通讯：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>The biggest problem is that technical indicators do not distinguish between a consolidation, a correction, or an outright bear market.</b></i>  <i>&nbsp;As such, if you ignore the signals as they occur, by the time you realize it’s a deep correction, it is too late to do much about it.</i>  <i><b>Therefore, we must treat each signal with the same respect and adjust risk accordingly. The opportunity costs of doing so are minimal.</b></i>  If we reduce risk and the market continues to rise, we can increase risk exposures. Yes, we sacrifice some short-term performance. However, if we reduce risk and the market declines sharply, we not only protect capital during the decline but have the liquidity to deploy at lower price levels.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>最大的问题是技术指标无法区分盘整、调整或彻底的熊市。</b></i><i>因此，如果你在信号出现时忽视它们，当你意识到这是一次深度修正时，就太晚了。</i><i><b>因此，我们必须以同样的尊重对待每个信号，并相应地调整风险。这样做的机会成本很小。</b></i>如果我们降低风险，市场继续上涨，我们可以增加风险敞口。是的，我们牺牲了一些短期业绩。然而，如果我们降低风险并且市场大幅下跌，我们不仅可以在下跌期间保护资本，还可以在较低的价格水平上部署流动性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Such is the problem with</b><b><i>“buy and hold”</i></b><b>&nbsp;strategies.</b>&nbsp;Yes, you will perform in line with the market, but given that you didn’t&nbsp;<i>“sell high,”</i>&nbsp;there is no cash available with which to&nbsp;<i>“buy low”</i>&nbsp;in the future.</p><p><blockquote><b>这就是问题所在</b><b><i>“买入并持有”</i></b><b>策略。</b>是的，你的表现会与市场一致，但鉴于你没有<i>“高抛。”</i>并无现金可用于支付<i>“低吸”</i>在未来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>With that stated, here is the most significant problem of technical analysis.</b>All of the warnings noted above suggest there is a risk of a correction in the near term.&nbsp;<b>However, technical analysis does not differentiate between a 5% pullback, a 10% correction, or a</b><b><i>“bear market.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b>综上所述，这是技术分析最重要的问题。</b>上述所有警告都表明近期存在回调风险。<b>然而，技术分析并不区分5%的回调、10%的修正或</b><b><i>“熊市。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <b>You will only find that out once it begins, and such is why risk management is essential.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>只有当它开始时，你才会发现，这就是为什么风险管理是必不可少的。</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Risk management is much like driving a car. If there is a blind spot ahead, and you don’t tap on the brakes to control your speed, you are unlikely to avoid the hazard ahead.</i>  <b><i>Yes, tapping on the brakes to provide more control over the car will slow your arrival time to your destination. However, being late is a much better option than not getting there at all.”</i></b>  <b>Just A Warning</b></p><p><blockquote><i>“风险管理很像开车，如果前方有盲区，而你不踩刹车控制车速，你就不太可能避开前方的危险。</i><b><i>是的，踩刹车以更好地控制汽车会减慢您到达目的地的时间。然而，迟到比根本不去那里要好得多。”</i></b><b>只是个警告</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Again, I am not implying, suggesting, or stating that such signals mean going 100% to cash.</b>&nbsp;What I am suggesting is that when&nbsp;<i>“sell signals”</i>&nbsp;are given, that is the time when individuals should perform some essential portfolio risk management such as:</p><p><blockquote><b>再说一次，我并不是暗示、建议或陈述这样的信号意味着100%兑现。</b>我的建议是当<i>“卖出信号”</i>给出，这是个人应该执行一些基本的投资组合风险管理的时间，例如：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Trim back winning positions to original portfolio weights:</i><i><b>Investment Rule: Let Winners Run</b></i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>将获胜头寸削减至原始投资组合权重：</i><i><b>投资法则：让赢家奔跑</b></i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Sell positions that simply are not working (if the position was not working in a rising market, it likely won’t in a declining market.)</i><i><b>Investment Rule: Cut Losers Short</b></i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>卖出根本不起作用的头寸（如果该头寸在上涨的市场中不起作用，那么在下跌的市场中也可能不起作用。）</i><i><b>投资法则：做空输家</b></i></li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Hold the cash raised from these activities until the next buying opportunity occurs.</i><i><b>Investment Rule: Buy Low</b></i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>持有从这些活动中筹集的现金，直到下一次购买机会出现。</i><i><b>投资法则：低吸</b></i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> As stated, there is minimal risk in&nbsp;<i>“risk management.”</i>&nbsp;In the long term, the results of avoiding periods of severe capital loss will outweigh missed short-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，风险最小<i>“风险管理。”</i>从长远来看，避免严重资本损失时期的结果将超过错过的短期收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>While I agree you can not</b><b><i>“time the markets,”you can “manage risk” to improve your long-term outcomes.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b>虽然我同意你不能</b><b><i>“把握市场时机”，你可以“管理风险”来改善你的长期结果。</i></b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarning Signs A Correction Is Ahead<blockquote>警告信号调整即将到来</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-08 22:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a decent rally from the recent lows, there are multiple warning signs a correction approaches.</p><p><blockquote>在从近期低点大幅反弹后，有多个警告信号表明调整即将来临。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last few weeks, we&nbsp;<b><i>discussed the rising risk</i></b>&nbsp;of a correction between 5-10%, most likely this summer. Such drawdowns are historically very common within any given year of an ongoing bull market. As&nbsp;<i>Sentiment Trader</i>&nbsp;recently noted, we are now in one of the more extended periods without such an occurrence.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几周里，我们<b><i>讨论了风险上升</i></b>调整幅度在5-10%之间，最有可能是在今年夏天。从历史上看，在持续牛市的任何一年中，这种回撤都是非常常见的。作为<i>情绪交易者</i>正如最近指出的，我们现在正处于没有这种情况发生的较长时期之一。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eced82eef65e87252e40ed177a747be9\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Of course, as is always the case, amid a bullish advance, it is easy to become complacent as prices rise.</p><p><blockquote>当然，和往常一样，在看涨的过程中，随着价格上涨，人们很容易变得自满。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Before we go any further, it is essential to clarify we are discussing only the potential for a short-term correction.</b>&nbsp;As is often the case, some tend to extrapolate such to mean I am saying a&nbsp;<i>“crash”</i>&nbsp;is coming, and you should be all in cash. Such an extreme move is ill-advised without a significant weight of evidence.</p><p><blockquote><b>在我们进一步讨论之前，有必要澄清我们只是在讨论短期调整的可能性。</b>通常情况下，有些人倾向于推断出我在说一个<i>“撞车”</i>来了，你应该全是现金。在没有大量证据的情况下，这种极端的举动是不明智的。</blockquote></p><p> However, there is reason to be cautious in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>然而，短期内有理由保持谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Suppressed Volatility</b></p><p><blockquote><b>波动性被抑制</b></blockquote></p><p> As I stated, during a&nbsp;<i>“bullish advance,”</i>investors become incredibly complacent.&nbsp;<b>That</b><b><i>“complacency”</i></b><b>&nbsp;leads to excessive speculative risk-taking.We see clear evidence of that activity in various</b><b><i>“risk-on”</i></b><b>&nbsp;asset classes from Cryptocurrencies, to SPAC’s, to</b><b><i>“Meme Stocks.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote>正如我所说，在<i>“看涨推进，”</i>投资者变得异常自满。<b>那个</b><b><i>“自满”</i></b><b>导致过度投机冒险。我们在各种活动中看到了明显证据</b><b><i>“冒险”</i></b><b>资产类别从加密货币到SPAC，再到</b><b><i>“模因股票。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> A measure of speculative excess is the Volatility Index (VIX). The chart below is from my colleague Jim Colquitt of&nbsp;<i>Armor ETF’s.</i></p><p><blockquote>衡量投机过度的指标是波动率指数（VIX）。下面的图表来自我的同事Jim Colquitt<i>装甲ETF的。</i></blockquote></p><p> The top pane is the&nbsp;15-day moving average of VIX, which is on an inverted scale. The bottom pane is the S&amp;P 500 index.</p><p><blockquote>顶部窗格是VIX的15天移动平均线，呈倒置刻度。底部窗格是标普500指数。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/245e68edb15dbfa4f8f146a789b89809\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"712\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“The market may have one last push higher over the next several weeks. Such will take the VIX even lower and complete the VIX wedge pattern.</i>  <i><b>That pattern has been evident in the last three 10% or greater corrections.</b></i>  <i>&nbsp;By this measure, the correction should begin somewhere around July 21st&nbsp;– August 10th.” – Jim Colquitt</i>  As they say,&nbsp;<i>“timing is everything.”</i>While a July-August time frame is entirely possible, a June-July correction is just as likely. What is essential, as we will discuss momentarily, is understanding that risk is prevalent.</p><p><blockquote><i>“未来几周，市场可能会最后一次走高。这将使VIX进一步走低，并完成VIX楔形形态。</i><i><b>这种模式在过去三次10%或更大的修正中很明显。</b></i><i>按照这个标准，调整应该在7月21日至8月10日左右开始。”-吉姆·科尔奎特</i>正如他们所说，<i>“时机就是一切。”</i>虽然7月至8月的时间框架是完全可能的，但6月至7月的调整也是可能的。正如我们稍后将讨论的，最重要的是理解风险是普遍的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Exuberance Stretched Again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场景气度再度舒展</b></blockquote></p><p> It isn’t just complacency that is suggestive of a short-term market correction. There are numerous others as well.</p><p><blockquote>暗示短期市场调整的不仅仅是自满情绪。还有许多其他的。</blockquote></p><p> As my friend Daniel Lacalle recently posted,&nbsp;Morgan Stanley‘s market timing indicator is at levels that have typically coincided with market downturns. Just for reference, the current reading is the most&nbsp;<i>“bearish”</i>&nbsp;on record.</p><p><blockquote>正如我的朋友丹尼尔·拉卡勒(Daniel Lacalle)最近发布的那样，摩根士丹利的市场时机指标处于通常与市场低迷同时发生的水平。仅供参考，当前读数最<i>“看跌”</i>记录在案。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c918064930caffdab80b05f255085f9\" tg-width=\"1085\" tg-height=\"459\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, a host of other indicators posted by&nbsp;<b><i>@Not_Jim_Cramer</i></b>also suggests there are reasons for concern about a correction.</p><p><blockquote>此外，发布的许多其他指标<b><i>@Not_Jim_Cramer</i></b>也表明有理由担心调整。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12bad2caf91007cd9b37c0ef04e90e29\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"547\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflationary Warning</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通货膨胀警告</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, this note from Tom Bowley caught my eye on Saturday.</p><p><blockquote>最后，汤姆·鲍利的这封信在周六引起了我的注意。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“The S&amp;P 500 reached a high on Friday of 4233.45, narrowly eclipsing the all-time high close of 4232.60 from May 7th.</i>  <i><b>Unfortunately for the bulls, selling in the final few minutes ruined the breakout attempt. This false breakout, ever so slight, could be quite ominous for next week and there’s one MAJOR reason why. Inflation data.</b></i>  <i>That May 7th all-time high came just days before the shocking April CPI data was released on May 12th. Now here we are back at the high again.</i>  <i><b>As the late Yogi Berra might say, “it’s deja vu all over again!” I don’t believe inflation to be a problem, but just the possibility of it could trigger scary headlines and encourage selling in the week ahead.”</b></i>  <i>&nbsp;–&nbsp;Tom Bowley, Stockcharts</i>  The chart below shows the differential between the annual rates of change of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI.)&nbsp;<b>It should not be surprising that when PPI surges well ahead of CPI, equity markets tend to run into problems.Such is because this shows producers are unable to pass the inflation along to their customers.</b>&nbsp;Consequently, this leads to reduced earnings and a repricing of risk assets.</p><p><blockquote><i>“标普500周五触及4233.45点的高点，勉强超过5月7日以来的历史收盘高点4232.60点。</i><i><b>不幸的是，对于多头来说，最后几分钟的抛售破坏了突破尝试。这种虚假的突破，无论多么轻微，都可能是下周的不祥之兆，这有一个主要原因。通胀数据。</b></i><i>5月7日的历史新高是在5月12日令人震惊的4月份CPI数据公布的前几天出现的。现在我们又回到了高潮。</i><i><b>正如已故的约吉·贝拉可能会说的那样，“这是似曾相识的感觉！”我不认为通货膨胀是一个问题，但仅仅是通货膨胀的可能性就可能引发可怕的头条新闻并鼓励未来一周的抛售。”</b></i><i>——汤姆·鲍利，股票图表</i>下图显示了生产者价格指数(PPI)和消费者价格指数(CPI)的年变化率之间的差异。<b>当PPI飙升远远超过CPI时，股市往往会遇到问题，这并不奇怪。这是因为这表明生产商无法将通货膨胀转嫁给他们的客户。</b>因此，这导致收益减少和风险资产的重新定价。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bf24f2c1d3200f6fdb7a14a83d419b5\" tg-width=\"967\" tg-height=\"519\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Tom goes on to state inflation will not be a problem longer-term correctly. However, in the near term, the surge in inflation will weigh on outlooks, creating corrective actions.</p><p><blockquote>汤姆继续指出，从长远来看，通货膨胀不会是一个问题。然而，在短期内，通胀飙升将给前景带来压力，从而引发纠正行动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Problem With Technicals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术问题</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> I want to reiterate a point from the most recent&nbsp;<b><i>newsletter:</i></b></p><p><blockquote>我想重申最近的一点<b><i>时事通讯：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>The biggest problem is that technical indicators do not distinguish between a consolidation, a correction, or an outright bear market.</b></i>  <i>&nbsp;As such, if you ignore the signals as they occur, by the time you realize it’s a deep correction, it is too late to do much about it.</i>  <i><b>Therefore, we must treat each signal with the same respect and adjust risk accordingly. The opportunity costs of doing so are minimal.</b></i>  If we reduce risk and the market continues to rise, we can increase risk exposures. Yes, we sacrifice some short-term performance. However, if we reduce risk and the market declines sharply, we not only protect capital during the decline but have the liquidity to deploy at lower price levels.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>最大的问题是技术指标无法区分盘整、调整或彻底的熊市。</b></i><i>因此，如果你在信号出现时忽视它们，当你意识到这是一次深度修正时，就太晚了。</i><i><b>因此，我们必须以同样的尊重对待每个信号，并相应地调整风险。这样做的机会成本很小。</b></i>如果我们降低风险，市场继续上涨，我们可以增加风险敞口。是的，我们牺牲了一些短期业绩。然而，如果我们降低风险并且市场大幅下跌，我们不仅可以在下跌期间保护资本，还可以在较低的价格水平上部署流动性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Such is the problem with</b><b><i>“buy and hold”</i></b><b>&nbsp;strategies.</b>&nbsp;Yes, you will perform in line with the market, but given that you didn’t&nbsp;<i>“sell high,”</i>&nbsp;there is no cash available with which to&nbsp;<i>“buy low”</i>&nbsp;in the future.</p><p><blockquote><b>这就是问题所在</b><b><i>“买入并持有”</i></b><b>策略。</b>是的，你的表现会与市场一致，但鉴于你没有<i>“高抛。”</i>并无现金可用于支付<i>“低吸”</i>在未来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>With that stated, here is the most significant problem of technical analysis.</b>All of the warnings noted above suggest there is a risk of a correction in the near term.&nbsp;<b>However, technical analysis does not differentiate between a 5% pullback, a 10% correction, or a</b><b><i>“bear market.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b>综上所述，这是技术分析最重要的问题。</b>上述所有警告都表明近期存在回调风险。<b>然而，技术分析并不区分5%的回调、10%的修正或</b><b><i>“熊市。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <b>You will only find that out once it begins, and such is why risk management is essential.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>只有当它开始时，你才会发现，这就是为什么风险管理是必不可少的。</b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Risk management is much like driving a car. If there is a blind spot ahead, and you don’t tap on the brakes to control your speed, you are unlikely to avoid the hazard ahead.</i>  <b><i>Yes, tapping on the brakes to provide more control over the car will slow your arrival time to your destination. However, being late is a much better option than not getting there at all.”</i></b>  <b>Just A Warning</b></p><p><blockquote><i>“风险管理很像开车，如果前方有盲区，而你不踩刹车控制车速，你就不太可能避开前方的危险。</i><b><i>是的，踩刹车以更好地控制汽车会减慢您到达目的地的时间。然而，迟到比根本不去那里要好得多。”</i></b><b>只是个警告</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Again, I am not implying, suggesting, or stating that such signals mean going 100% to cash.</b>&nbsp;What I am suggesting is that when&nbsp;<i>“sell signals”</i>&nbsp;are given, that is the time when individuals should perform some essential portfolio risk management such as:</p><p><blockquote><b>再说一次，我并不是暗示、建议或陈述这样的信号意味着100%兑现。</b>我的建议是当<i>“卖出信号”</i>给出，这是个人应该执行一些基本的投资组合风险管理的时间，例如：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Trim back winning positions to original portfolio weights:</i><i><b>Investment Rule: Let Winners Run</b></i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>将获胜头寸削减至原始投资组合权重：</i><i><b>投资法则：让赢家奔跑</b></i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Sell positions that simply are not working (if the position was not working in a rising market, it likely won’t in a declining market.)</i><i><b>Investment Rule: Cut Losers Short</b></i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>卖出根本不起作用的头寸（如果该头寸在上涨的市场中不起作用，那么在下跌的市场中也可能不起作用。）</i><i><b>投资法则：做空输家</b></i></li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Hold the cash raised from these activities until the next buying opportunity occurs.</i><i><b>Investment Rule: Buy Low</b></i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>持有从这些活动中筹集的现金，直到下一次购买机会出现。</i><i><b>投资法则：低吸</b></i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> As stated, there is minimal risk in&nbsp;<i>“risk management.”</i>&nbsp;In the long term, the results of avoiding periods of severe capital loss will outweigh missed short-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，风险最小<i>“风险管理。”</i>从长远来看，避免严重资本损失时期的结果将超过错过的短期收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>While I agree you can not</b><b><i>“time the markets,”you can “manage risk” to improve your long-term outcomes.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b>虽然我同意你不能</b><b><i>“把握市场时机”，你可以“管理风险”来改善你的长期结果。</i></b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/warning-signs-correction-ahead?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/warning-signs-correction-ahead?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108456666","content_text":"After a decent rally from the recent lows, there are multiple warning signs a correction approaches.\nOver the last few weeks, we discussed the rising risk of a correction between 5-10%, most likely this summer. Such drawdowns are historically very common within any given year of an ongoing bull market. As Sentiment Trader recently noted, we are now in one of the more extended periods without such an occurrence.\nOf course, as is always the case, amid a bullish advance, it is easy to become complacent as prices rise.\nBefore we go any further, it is essential to clarify we are discussing only the potential for a short-term correction. As is often the case, some tend to extrapolate such to mean I am saying a “crash” is coming, and you should be all in cash. Such an extreme move is ill-advised without a significant weight of evidence.\nHowever, there is reason to be cautious in the near term.\nSuppressed Volatility\nAs I stated, during a “bullish advance,”investors become incredibly complacent. That“complacency” leads to excessive speculative risk-taking.We see clear evidence of that activity in various“risk-on” asset classes from Cryptocurrencies, to SPAC’s, to“Meme Stocks.”\nA measure of speculative excess is the Volatility Index (VIX). The chart below is from my colleague Jim Colquitt of Armor ETF’s.\nThe top pane is the 15-day moving average of VIX, which is on an inverted scale. The bottom pane is the S&P 500 index.\n\n\n“The market may have one last push higher over the next several weeks. Such will take the VIX even lower and complete the VIX wedge pattern.\nThat pattern has been evident in the last three 10% or greater corrections.\n By this measure, the correction should begin somewhere around July 21st – August 10th.” – Jim Colquitt\n\nAs they say, “timing is everything.”While a July-August time frame is entirely possible, a June-July correction is just as likely. What is essential, as we will discuss momentarily, is understanding that risk is prevalent.\nMarket Exuberance Stretched Again\nIt isn’t just complacency that is suggestive of a short-term market correction. There are numerous others as well.\nAs my friend Daniel Lacalle recently posted, Morgan Stanley‘s market timing indicator is at levels that have typically coincided with market downturns. Just for reference, the current reading is the most “bearish” on record.\n\nFurthermore, a host of other indicators posted by @Not_Jim_Crameralso suggests there are reasons for concern about a correction.\n\nInflationary Warning\nLastly, this note from Tom Bowley caught my eye on Saturday.\n\n“The S&P 500 reached a high on Friday of 4233.45, narrowly eclipsing the all-time high close of 4232.60 from May 7th.\nUnfortunately for the bulls, selling in the final few minutes ruined the breakout attempt. This false breakout, ever so slight, could be quite ominous for next week and there’s one MAJOR reason why. Inflation data.\nThat May 7th all-time high came just days before the shocking April CPI data was released on May 12th. Now here we are back at the high again.\nAs the late Yogi Berra might say, “it’s deja vu all over again!” I don’t believe inflation to be a problem, but just the possibility of it could trigger scary headlines and encourage selling in the week ahead.”\n – Tom Bowley, Stockcharts\n\nThe chart below shows the differential between the annual rates of change of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI.) It should not be surprising that when PPI surges well ahead of CPI, equity markets tend to run into problems.Such is because this shows producers are unable to pass the inflation along to their customers. Consequently, this leads to reduced earnings and a repricing of risk assets.\n\nTom goes on to state inflation will not be a problem longer-term correctly. However, in the near term, the surge in inflation will weigh on outlooks, creating corrective actions.\nThe Problem With Technicals\nI want to reiterate a point from the most recent newsletter:\n\nThe biggest problem is that technical indicators do not distinguish between a consolidation, a correction, or an outright bear market.\n As such, if you ignore the signals as they occur, by the time you realize it’s a deep correction, it is too late to do much about it.\nTherefore, we must treat each signal with the same respect and adjust risk accordingly. The opportunity costs of doing so are minimal.\n\nIf we reduce risk and the market continues to rise, we can increase risk exposures. Yes, we sacrifice some short-term performance. However, if we reduce risk and the market declines sharply, we not only protect capital during the decline but have the liquidity to deploy at lower price levels.\nSuch is the problem with“buy and hold” strategies. Yes, you will perform in line with the market, but given that you didn’t “sell high,” there is no cash available with which to “buy low” in the future.\nWith that stated, here is the most significant problem of technical analysis.All of the warnings noted above suggest there is a risk of a correction in the near term. However, technical analysis does not differentiate between a 5% pullback, a 10% correction, or a“bear market.”\nYou will only find that out once it begins, and such is why risk management is essential.\n\n“Risk management is much like driving a car. If there is a blind spot ahead, and you don’t tap on the brakes to control your speed, you are unlikely to avoid the hazard ahead.\nYes, tapping on the brakes to provide more control over the car will slow your arrival time to your destination. However, being late is a much better option than not getting there at all.”\n\nJust A Warning\nAgain, I am not implying, suggesting, or stating that such signals mean going 100% to cash. What I am suggesting is that when “sell signals” are given, that is the time when individuals should perform some essential portfolio risk management such as:\n\nTrim back winning positions to original portfolio weights:Investment Rule: Let Winners Run\nSell positions that simply are not working (if the position was not working in a rising market, it likely won’t in a declining market.)Investment Rule: Cut Losers Short\nHold the cash raised from these activities until the next buying opportunity occurs.Investment Rule: Buy Low\n\nAs stated, there is minimal risk in “risk management.” In the long term, the results of avoiding periods of severe capital loss will outweigh missed short-term gains.\nWhile I agree you can not“time the markets,”you can “manage risk” to improve your long-term outcomes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117745143,"gmtCreate":1623162379582,"gmtModify":1634036275060,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great stock","listText":"Great stock","text":"Great stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117745143","repostId":"1154765176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114587506,"gmtCreate":1623080256905,"gmtModify":1634037153562,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114587506","repostId":"114692409","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":114692409,"gmtCreate":1623071011801,"gmtModify":1623107560672,"author":{"id":"3503452965237041","authorId":"3503452965237041","name":"美股研究社","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a239c7906133df1f3817d0746a8a0ba1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3503452965237041","authorIdStr":"3503452965237041"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"热门中概股美股盘前普跌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>，拼多多跌0.54%，京东跌0.98%，百度跌0.56%，B站跌0.85%，阿里巴巴跌0.08%，蔚来跌0.52%，理想汽车跌0.2%，小鹏汽车跌0.78%。美股大型科技股盘前多数下跌，其中<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>苹果涨0.24%，微软跌0.27%，亚马逊跌0.1%，谷歌跌0.14%，Netflix跌0.18%，Facebook跌0.24%，特斯拉跌0.51%。","listText":"热门中概股美股盘前普跌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a>，拼多多跌0.54%，京东跌0.98%，百度跌0.56%，B站跌0.85%，阿里巴巴跌0.08%，蔚来跌0.52%，理想汽车跌0.2%，小鹏汽车跌0.78%。美股大型科技股盘前多数下跌，其中<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>苹果涨0.24%，微软跌0.27%，亚马逊跌0.1%，谷歌跌0.14%，Netflix跌0.18%，Facebook跌0.24%，特斯拉跌0.51%。","text":"热门中概股美股盘前普跌$拼多多(PDD)$，拼多多跌0.54%，京东跌0.98%，百度跌0.56%，B站跌0.85%，阿里巴巴跌0.08%，蔚来跌0.52%，理想汽车跌0.2%，小鹏汽车跌0.78%。美股大型科技股盘前多数下跌，其中$苹果(AAPL)$苹果涨0.24%，微软跌0.27%，亚马逊跌0.1%，谷歌跌0.14%，Netflix跌0.18%，Facebook跌0.24%，特斯拉跌0.51%。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07f17704b29a2b416cf4dbba5ab20883","width":"500","height":"375"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114692409","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112482938,"gmtCreate":1622902822824,"gmtModify":1634096983133,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112482938","repostId":"1160563289","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160563289","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622864224,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160563289?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 11:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index<blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小型股指数中剔除</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160563289","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in ","content":"<p>FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in the Russell U.S. index.</p><p><blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小盘股指数中剔除，特斯拉和摩根大通跻身罗素美国指数前10名。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index<blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小型股指数中剔除</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index<blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小型股指数中剔除</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-05 11:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in the Russell U.S. index.</p><p><blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小盘股指数中剔除，特斯拉和摩根大通跻身罗素美国指数前10名。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","TSLA":"特斯拉","JPM":"摩根大通","IWM":"罗素2000指数ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160563289","content_text":"FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in the Russell U.S. index.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"GME":0.9,"IWM":0.9,"JPM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113709515,"gmtCreate":1622637913537,"gmtModify":1634099714092,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really","listText":"Really","text":"Really","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113709515","repostId":"1137630619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":345,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113709970,"gmtCreate":1622637863190,"gmtModify":1634099714213,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113709970","repostId":"2140948434","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119092224,"gmtCreate":1622507720568,"gmtModify":1634101034287,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119092224","repostId":"2139453630","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135588657,"gmtCreate":1622169828179,"gmtModify":1634183173961,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why","listText":"Why","text":"Why","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135588657","repostId":"135399242","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":135399242,"gmtCreate":1622129355183,"gmtModify":1622129355183,"author":{"id":"3527667586584720","authorId":"3527667586584720","name":"小虎综合资讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667586584720","authorIdStr":"3527667586584720"},"themes":[],"title":"【异动】部分中概教育股走高，朴新教育涨超29%","htmlText":"5月27日，部分中概教育股走高朴新教育涨超29%，高途涨超5%，好未来微涨0.04%，此前该板块因一则网传消息遭遇重挫。 5月24日，有媒体报道，北京市海淀区教委即将出台「双减」政策，最晚于7月底，将针对校外培训机构进行明确规定。网传「双减」政策落地后，校外机构将面临「三不」——不得在假期上课、学科类及素质类培训机构不得上市、教育培训机构不得大肆进行宣传。此后海淀区教委发布澄清声明表示，网传「北京市海淀区教委开会，教育机构暑期不许开课」的消息不属实，其聊天内容系个人分析和推测，并非海淀区教委官方发布。","listText":"5月27日，部分中概教育股走高朴新教育涨超29%，高途涨超5%，好未来微涨0.04%，此前该板块因一则网传消息遭遇重挫。 5月24日，有媒体报道，北京市海淀区教委即将出台「双减」政策，最晚于7月底，将针对校外培训机构进行明确规定。网传「双减」政策落地后，校外机构将面临「三不」——不得在假期上课、学科类及素质类培训机构不得上市、教育培训机构不得大肆进行宣传。此后海淀区教委发布澄清声明表示，网传「北京市海淀区教委开会，教育机构暑期不许开课」的消息不属实，其聊天内容系个人分析和推测，并非海淀区教委官方发布。","text":"5月27日，部分中概教育股走高朴新教育涨超29%，高途涨超5%，好未来微涨0.04%，此前该板块因一则网传消息遭遇重挫。 5月24日，有媒体报道，北京市海淀区教委即将出台「双减」政策，最晚于7月底，将针对校外培训机构进行明确规定。网传「双减」政策落地后，校外机构将面临「三不」——不得在假期上课、学科类及素质类培训机构不得上市、教育培训机构不得大肆进行宣传。此后海淀区教委发布澄清声明表示，网传「北京市海淀区教委开会，教育机构暑期不许开课」的消息不属实，其聊天内容系个人分析和推测，并非海淀区教委官方发布。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bf121415578a4f9551da71776f06390","width":"840","height":"470"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135399242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136757579,"gmtCreate":1622041367991,"gmtModify":1634184397163,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136757579","repostId":"136703895","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":136703895,"gmtCreate":1622038014814,"gmtModify":1622103530565,"author":{"id":"3527667586584720","authorId":"3527667586584720","name":"小虎综合资讯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667586584720","authorIdStr":"3527667586584720"},"themes":[],"title":"WSB概念股涨幅扩大，AMC院线涨超16%","htmlText":"5月26日，WSB概念股盘初涨幅扩大，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>涨超13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a>涨超12%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">$Express(EXPR)$</a>涨超10%。 有消息指出，在周二美股交易时段，游戏驿站带动一批受个人投资者青睐的股票走高，投资者在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>、Stocktwits和交易员聊天室WallStreetBets等社交媒体平台上纷纷追捧这些股票。 另外，根据金融数据分析公司Ortex的数据，游戏驿站和AMC院线的卖空者昨日估计损失了7.54亿美元。","listText":"5月26日，WSB概念股盘初涨幅扩大，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC院线(AMC)$</a>涨超13%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$游戏驿站(GME)$</a>涨超12%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXPR\">$Express(EXPR)$</a>涨超10%。 有消息指出，在周二美股交易时段，游戏驿站带动一批受个人投资者青睐的股票走高，投资者在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>、Stocktwits和交易员聊天室WallStreetBets等社交媒体平台上纷纷追捧这些股票。 另外，根据金融数据分析公司Ortex的数据，游戏驿站和AMC院线的卖空者昨日估计损失了7.54亿美元。","text":"5月26日，WSB概念股盘初涨幅扩大，$AMC院线(AMC)$涨超13%，$游戏驿站(GME)$涨超12%，$Express(EXPR)$涨超10%。 有消息指出，在周二美股交易时段，游戏驿站带动一批受个人投资者青睐的股票走高，投资者在$Twitter(TWTR)$、Stocktwits和交易员聊天室WallStreetBets等社交媒体平台上纷纷追捧这些股票。 另外，根据金融数据分析公司Ortex的数据，游戏驿站和AMC院线的卖空者昨日估计损失了7.54亿美元。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a49d86b2aac763858b68dcb67318ac60","width":"840","height":"470"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136703895","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133308867,"gmtCreate":1621692633859,"gmtModify":1634187116806,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576283930584661","authorIdStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, 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like amd","listText":"I like amd","text":"I like amd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352918197","repostId":"2122472374","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360801395,"gmtCreate":1613878868417,"gmtModify":1634551987932,"author":{"id":"3576283930584661","authorId":"3576283930584661","name":"melts","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576283930584661","idStr":"3576283930584661"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Im a fan!","listText":"Im a fan!","text":"Im a fan!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360801395","repostId":"1100960455","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100960455","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613717993,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100960455?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-19 14:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Buy The Dip<blockquote>Palantir：逢低买入</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100960455","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir posted solid revenue, but missed on earnings. The future forecast was a bit disapp","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir posted solid revenue, but missed on earnings. The future forecast was a bit disappointing.</li>  <li>Palantir is expecting 30% year-over-year revenue growth after posting 47% growth for 2020.</li>  <li>Palantir continues to grow its client base across multiple industries.</li>  <li>Palantir's lock-up period ends on February 19th. Place your bets!</li> </ul> One of the hotter stocks as of late is recent Direct Listing, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR). Some investors were expecting the company was expected to release blowout earnings today and fell short of that. The company did post incredible revenue growth, and the path forward looks bright as well. However, investors were disappointed with just how bright that picture is according to the company. The stock is falling leading up to the end of the lock-up period as expected. Next week will tell a better story as to where this stock is headed. If you are feeling risky, jump aboard.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir公布了稳健的收入，但未能实现盈利。未来的预测有点令人失望。</li><li>Palantir预计2020年收入将同比增长30%，此前预计2020年收入将增长47%。</li><li>Palantir继续扩大其在多个行业的客户群。</li><li>Palantir的锁定期于2月19日结束。下注吧！</li></ul>最近最热门的股票之一是最近直接上市的Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)。一些投资者预计该公司今天将发布井喷式收益，但未能如愿。该公司确实实现了令人难以置信的收入增长，而且前进的道路看起来也很光明。然而，投资者对该公司表示的光明前景感到失望。正如预期的那样，在禁售期结束之前，该股正在下跌。下周将讲述一个更好的故事，说明这只股票的走向。如果你觉得有风险，就跳上船。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Who Are They?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>他们是谁？</b></blockquote></p><p> If you are like me, you likely had no idea who this company was or what they did. Well, Palantir Technologies Inc. has been around since 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. In short,they build and deploy software platforms for the intelligence community in the USA to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations.</p><p><blockquote>如果你和我一样，你可能不知道这家公司是谁，也不知道他们做什么。Palantir Technologies Inc.成立于2003年，总部位于科罗拉多州丹佛市。简而言之，他们为美国情报界构建和部署软件平台，以协助反恐调查和行动。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir Gothamis a software program that identifies patterns hidden deep within datasets. This helps execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. This was used in the efforts to help those in need in hurricane Florence in 2018. Palantir Gothamcombined publicly available flood data with weather information and social vulnerability census data to find the communities in greatest needand resources were deployed appropriately. More recently, they are providing the U.S. government with coronavirus tracking software.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Gothamis是一个软件程序，可以识别隐藏在数据集中深处的模式。这有助于对平台内已识别的威胁执行真实世界的响应。这被用于帮助2018年佛罗伦萨飓风中有需要的人。Palantir Gotham将公开可用的洪水数据与天气信息和社会脆弱性普查数据相结合，以找到最需要的社区并适当部署资源。最近，他们向美国政府提供冠状病毒跟踪软件。</blockquote></p><p> The company also provides Palantir Foundry,a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还提供Palantir Foundry，这是一个通过为组织的数据创建中央操作系统来改变组织运营方式的平台；并允许个人用户在一个地方集成和分析他们需要的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Pretty cool hey?</p><p><blockquote>很酷嘿？</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Is Driving The Company?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司的驱动力是什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Revenue. This is a growth play, plain and simple. Looking below we can see what is forecasted down the pipe. The missing block is 2020, which we found out todaywas $1.1 billion. That is a ~47% increase year-over-year. Going forward, analysts are projecting the pace stays heavy at 35%+ per year revenue growth. Often we consider 20% being strong, so that makes this look really good. For the fourth quarter, the company posted $322.1 million in revenue for the quarter, which was a beat by 20%.</p><p><blockquote>收入。这是一部成长剧，简单明了。往下看，我们可以看到未来的预测。缺失的区块是2020年，我们今天发现是11亿美元。同比增长约47%。展望未来，分析师预计年收入增长率将保持在35%以上。通常我们认为20%是强的，所以这看起来真的很好。第四季度，该公司营收为3.221亿美元，增长20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2926257ca97794e55159ce8c6021a745\" tg-width=\"2978\" tg-height=\"992\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TIKR.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TIKR.com）</blockquote></p><p> The shock came from theloss per share which totaled $0.08 versus the positive $0.02 consensus. The stock fell over 12% today on the earnings news. Upon diving deeper, it would appear most investors were disappointed with the forward forecasts. I personally think they are sandbagging a bit to blow away consensus down the line, but time will tell how true that is. Based on everything the company had put out in terms of news, which is nicely outlined inJohn Rhodes article : Palantir: Potential Q4 Revenue Blowoutmost people expected the revenue beat, but the action in the stock over the last week showed otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>令人震惊的是每股亏损总计0.08美元，而市场普遍预期为0.02美元。受财报消息影响，该股今天下跌超过12%。深入研究后，大多数投资者似乎对前瞻性预测感到失望。我个人认为他们有点沙袋，以消除共识，但时间会证明这有多真实。根据该公司发布的所有新闻，约翰·罗兹(John Rhodes)的文章对此进行了很好的概述：Palantir：潜在的第四季度收入井喷大多数人预计收入会超出预期，但该股上周的表现却并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Data has become more relevant to the average person than ever before. The local news has all kinds of data on it when it comes to COVID-19.In 2020, Palantir helped 100 commercial organizations and 10 national governments respond to COVID-19. This has been a large opportunity for Palantir, and they have not squandered it. This response has helped earn thema 2-year contract for U.K. health services work worth $31.5 million. In the fourth quarter alone, the company signed21 deals worth more than $5 million. 12 of which were worth $10 million or more. Revenue growth will continue to be the future of Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>数据变得比以往任何时候都更加与普通人相关。当地新闻有各种各样关于新冠肺炎的数据。2020年，Palantir帮助100家商业组织和10个国家政府应对COVID-19。这对Palantir来说是一个巨大的机会，他们并没有浪费它。这一回应帮助thema赢得了价值3150万美元的为期两年的英国卫生服务工作合同。仅在第四季度，该公司就签署了21笔价值超过500万美元的交易。其中12个价值1000万美元或以上。收入增长将继续是Palantir的未来。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the best business going is government business. For the year, Palantir saw56% of their revenue or $610 million come from government contracts. While the commercial side saw higher year-over-year growth at 107%, a 77% increase in government-based revenue isn't anything to laugh at. One of the more impressive pieces was that we saw happen with the average customer.Revenue increased by 41% year-over-year. Up to $7.9 million per customer from $5.6 million. This is an important metric to keep an eye on as customers hand more and more business over to Palantir as they continue to develop and improve their systems. The other factor playing into this is Palantir pulling larger customers into the fold. The new customers acquired in 2020, generated $42 million in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>一些最好的业务是政府业务。今年，Palantir 56%的收入（即6.1亿美元）来自政府合同。虽然商业方面的同比增长高达107%，但政府收入增长77%并不是什么可笑的事情。更令人印象深刻的一件事是我们在普通客户身上看到的情况。收入同比增长41%。每位客户从560万美元增至790万美元。随着客户继续开发和改进其系统，将越来越多的业务移交给Palantir，这是一个需要关注的重要指标。另一个因素是Palantir吸引了更大的客户。2020年获得的新客户创造了4200万美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9284f5fd3e26d0c55fcd9b2f6355371e\" tg-width=\"1752\" tg-height=\"983\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> (Company Presentation)</p><p><blockquote>（公司介绍）</blockquote></p><p> So all of this and we still sit down 12% today? As I mentioned above, it was the forward forecasts that people were a bit shocked at. Palantir said toexpect revenue growth in excess of 30% for 2021. This would be fantastic news for most companies, but after you just posted a 47% growth year, it is a bit saddening. But as I said, I think they are sandbagging a bit. Analysts are still projecting about a 35% increase for 2021. Something tells me they will outdo that as the year goes on. The company did state that they are targeting $4 billion in revenue by 2025, which carrying 30% per year growth from here will get you. I fully expect that number to creep closer to $5 billion based on current projections. Palantir is going after the \"big fish\" across multiple industries.8 of their customers fall into the Fortune 100, and 12 of the Global 100. As their products continue to develop and improve, their bottom line is only going to get better. I think there is a lot of room to run here in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>所以所有这些，我们今天仍然坐在12%？正如我上面提到的，人们对前瞻性预测感到有点震惊。Palantir表示，预计2021年收入增长将超过30%。对于大多数公司来说，这将是一个好消息，但在您刚刚公布了47%的增长年度之后，这有点令人难过。但正如我所说，我认为他们有点沙袋。分析师仍预计2021年将增长约35%。直觉告诉我，随着时间的推移，他们会超越这一目标。该公司确实表示，他们的目标是到2025年实现40亿美元的收入，从现在开始每年增长30%。根据目前的预测，我完全预计这个数字将接近50亿美元。Palantir正在追逐多个行业的“大鱼”。他们的客户中有8家属于财富100强，12家属于全球100强。随着他们产品的不断开发和改进，他们的底线只会越来越好。我认为从长远来看，这里有很大的发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Are The Risks?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有哪些风险？</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the up-and-coming risks is the lock-up period ending, which I will touch on below. Besides that, I will look at the government contracts. Yes, they are some of the most important, but that's not to say they come without risk. In the past, Palantir has said they need to focus more so on commercial customers to help the bottom line and to turn a profit (part of the reason for the earnings sell-off). As we can see, they have landed some big-time commercial clients, but that government aspect still exists.</p><p><blockquote>即将到来的风险之一是禁售期结束，我将在下面谈到这一点。除此之外，我会看看政府的合同。是的，它们是最重要的，但这并不是说它们没有风险。Palantir过去曾表示，他们需要更多地关注商业客户，以帮助盈利并扭亏为盈（这是盈利抛售的部分原因）。正如我们所看到的，他们已经获得了一些大型商业客户，但政府方面仍然存在。</blockquote></p><p> Something to keep in mind as well is that dealing with the government can lead to crossing some lines that some are not okay with. As reported by the Washington Post,in 2018, more than 200 employees signed a letter to CEO Alex Karp, citing concerns over a partnership with Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Multiple other big tech companies have been forced to cut ties with government agencies in the past over potential human rights violations.</p><p><blockquote>还要记住的是，与政府打交道可能会导致跨越一些人不同意的界限。据《华盛顿邮报》报道，2018年，200多名员工签署了一封致首席执行官亚历克斯·卡普的信，理由是对与移民和海关执法局合作的担忧。过去，其他多家大型科技公司因潜在侵犯人权而被迫切断与政府机构的联系。</blockquote></p><p> That said, I do really think the company will continue to do very well in the commercial sector and well reduce the overall government exposure overtime.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，我确实认为该公司将继续在商业领域表现出色，并随着时间的推移减少整体政府风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's The \"Lock-Up Period\"?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是“禁售期”？</b></blockquote></p><p> The one concern many have had with Palantir is the lock-up period, which ends on February 19th (Friday). Typically, this is where we will see the lows kick in on IPO's that go this route, but it is not always the case.</p><p><blockquote>许多人对Palantir的一个担忧是锁定期，锁定期将于2月19日（星期五）结束。通常情况下，这是我们会看到走这条路线的IPO出现低点的地方，但情况并非总是如此。</blockquote></p><p>   Looking at 15 stocks that sawtheir lock-up periods expire in the first two weeks of October, the majority of shares started to fall in the days before the expiration date, prior to bouncing back three to five days afterwards. However, some saw virtually no selling pressure on the day and the share price immediately climbed once the lock-up had ended.  What is it? Well in short, instead of an IPO where new shares of the company are created and are underwritten by an intermediary, we have a Direct Listing. This is wherethe business sells shares directly to the public without the help of any intermediaries. It does not involve any underwriters or other intermediaries, there are no new shares issued. This means the largest shareholders in the business can only freely sell their shares after the IPO lock-up expiration. Spotify (SPOT) and Slack (WORK) are two examples of companies that went the Direct Listing route. That said, neither of these companies had lock-up periods for employees.</p><p><blockquote>从10月前两周锁定期到期的15只股票来看，大多数股票在到期日前几天开始下跌，三到五天后反弹。然而，一些人当天几乎没有抛售压力，锁定结束后股价立即攀升。这是什么？简而言之，我们不是通过首次公开募股（IPO）来创建公司的新股并由中介机构承销，而是直接上市。这是企业直接向公众出售股票的方式，无需任何中介机构的帮助。不涉及任何承销商或其他中介机构，不存在发行新股。这意味着该业务的最大股东只能在IPO禁售期到期后自由出售其股份。Spotify(SPOT)和Slack(WORK)是直接上市公司的两个例子。也就是说，这两家公司都没有员工锁定期。</blockquote></p><p> So what does this mean? Well, given thatMarketWatch said:</p><p><blockquote>那么这意味着什么呢？好吧，鉴于MarketWatch表示：</blockquote></p><p>   For Palantir, though, years of venture-capital investments have created more than enough shares to launch public trading: roughly 1.64 billion, though that grows to 2.17 billion in a fully diluted formula that includes vesting options.  It means that with roughly 497 million current outstanding shares, that we could see about 1.7 billion shares hit the market. Now that is not really likely, but what it does mean is that there should be less than average selling pressure on the stock considering the usually IPO accounts for 10% of shares released, while Palantir released over 20% based on the numbers provided above.</p><p><blockquote>不过，对于Palantir来说，多年的风险资本投资已经创造了足够的股票来启动公开交易：大约16.4亿股，尽管在包括归属期权在内的完全稀释公式中，这一数字将增长至21.7亿股。这意味着，目前流通股约为4.97亿股，我们可能会看到约17亿股上市。现在这种可能性不大，但这确实意味着，考虑到IPO通常占已发行股票的10%，而根据上面提供的数字，Palantir发行的股票超过20%，该股的抛售压力应该低于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Where are we now? Well as per the study quoted earlier, we are right on track. The stock is selling off in an orderly fashion right before the lock-up period ends. Now we have to wait and see what the rebound looks like. Or does everyone sell high and try and buy even lower? It is a bit of a wait-and-see. Let's take a look at what the technicals show us.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在在哪里？根据前面引用的研究，我们正走在正轨上。就在禁售期结束之前，该股正在有序抛售。现在我们必须拭目以待，看看反弹的情况如何。还是每个人都卖得很高，然后试图买得更低？这有点观望。让我们来看看技术向我们展示了什么。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Does The Price Say?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格怎么说？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Taking a quick peek at the technicals, we can see a couple of really strong support levels. Firstly, we broke through a pretty big one at $30 today and did so in a big way, which is a bit concerning in the short term, but there is potential for a quick bounce to re-test that $30 mark quickly. If these markets have taught us anything, it's that they can move quickly! In a normal case, this is probably where my stop would be. But have not had a position until today, the game changes a bit as I take on more risk.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下技术面，我们可以看到几个非常强大的支撑位。首先，我们今天突破了30美元的一个相当大的水平，而且是以一种很大的方式突破的，这在短期内有点令人担忧，但有可能快速反弹以迅速重新测试30美元大关。如果说这些市场教会了我们什么，那就是它们可以快速行动！在正常情况下，这可能是我的停留点。但是直到今天我才有了头寸，随着我承担更多的风险，游戏发生了一些变化。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b568bf73db2c1b38aaa1546a10427dc\" tg-width=\"3837\" tg-height=\"1813\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TC2000.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TC2000.com）</blockquote></p><p> When a stock as popular as Palantir tanks like we saw today, one of two things happens. Either the dip gets bought up and this stock will fly back up to $40, or we see Palantir drop down to ~$23. Because the stock is so new, we really do not have a good gauge for support. Looking below we can see roughly where I am pulling $23 out of. This is a pretty substantial move from here yet. Would be about 20% to the downside. If $23 breaks, it could go even further south.</p><p><blockquote>当像Palantir这样受欢迎的股票像我们今天看到的那样下跌时，会发生两件事之一。要么逢低买入，这只股票将飞回40美元，要么我们看到Palantir跌至23美元左右。因为股票太新了，我们确实没有一个好的支撑指标。看下面，我们可以大致看到我从哪里提取了23美元。这是一个相当大的举措。大约会下降20%。如果突破23美元，它可能会进一步下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e3505c465c407b7387cbedf16a1b233\" tg-width=\"3840\" tg-height=\"1808\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TC2000.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TC2000.com）</blockquote></p><p> When trying to catch the bounce, you have to be prepared to average down. It is a totally different approach. Scale in, and scale-out.... all while knowing when to cut it loose. If you want to play this safe, watch for the bounce and try and get in then. I do think there will be a decent bounce that takes the stock back to $36-$40, but the question is when. This is not a long-term hold for me personally.</p><p><blockquote>当试图抓住反弹时，你必须做好平均下跌的准备。这是一种完全不同的方法。横向扩展和横向扩展....同时知道什么时候该放松。如果你想安全起见，留意反弹，然后试着进去。我确实认为该股会出现不错的反弹，回到36-40美元，但问题是什么时候。这对我个人来说不是长期持有的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrap-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, there is a lot to like about the direction in which the company is headed. The valuation can always be debated, but at the end of the day, the value is whatever someone is willing to pay for it. Palantir is a revenue machine and it is not going to slow down. They are playing with the \"big fish\" and the revenue will follow as long as they can continue to deliver on their goals. I am currently long, but watching closely as the lock-up period ends this week. If you are going long, make sure to scale in over the next couple of days and place your bets for which way this goes next week. Stay safe out there!</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，公司的发展方向有很多值得喜欢的地方。估值总是可以争论的，但归根结底，价值就是有人愿意为此付出的任何代价。Palantir是一台收入机器，而且不会放缓。他们在玩“大鱼”，只要他们能继续实现目标，收入就会随之而来。我目前做多，但密切关注本周禁售期结束。如果你打算做多，确保在接下来的几天里扩大规模，并为下周的走势下注。在外面注意安全！</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Buy The Dip<blockquote>Palantir：逢低买入</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Buy The Dip<blockquote>Palantir：逢低买入</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-19 14:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir posted solid revenue, but missed on earnings. The future forecast was a bit disappointing.</li>  <li>Palantir is expecting 30% year-over-year revenue growth after posting 47% growth for 2020.</li>  <li>Palantir continues to grow its client base across multiple industries.</li>  <li>Palantir's lock-up period ends on February 19th. Place your bets!</li> </ul> One of the hotter stocks as of late is recent Direct Listing, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR). Some investors were expecting the company was expected to release blowout earnings today and fell short of that. The company did post incredible revenue growth, and the path forward looks bright as well. However, investors were disappointed with just how bright that picture is according to the company. The stock is falling leading up to the end of the lock-up period as expected. Next week will tell a better story as to where this stock is headed. If you are feeling risky, jump aboard.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir公布了稳健的收入，但未能实现盈利。未来的预测有点令人失望。</li><li>Palantir预计2020年收入将同比增长30%，此前预计2020年收入将增长47%。</li><li>Palantir继续扩大其在多个行业的客户群。</li><li>Palantir的锁定期于2月19日结束。下注吧！</li></ul>最近最热门的股票之一是最近直接上市的Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)。一些投资者预计该公司今天将发布井喷式收益，但未能如愿。该公司确实实现了令人难以置信的收入增长，而且前进的道路看起来也很光明。然而，投资者对该公司表示的光明前景感到失望。正如预期的那样，在禁售期结束之前，该股正在下跌。下周将讲述一个更好的故事，说明这只股票的走向。如果你觉得有风险，就跳上船。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Who Are They?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>他们是谁？</b></blockquote></p><p> If you are like me, you likely had no idea who this company was or what they did. Well, Palantir Technologies Inc. has been around since 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. In short,they build and deploy software platforms for the intelligence community in the USA to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations.</p><p><blockquote>如果你和我一样，你可能不知道这家公司是谁，也不知道他们做什么。Palantir Technologies Inc.成立于2003年，总部位于科罗拉多州丹佛市。简而言之，他们为美国情报界构建和部署软件平台，以协助反恐调查和行动。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir Gothamis a software program that identifies patterns hidden deep within datasets. This helps execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. This was used in the efforts to help those in need in hurricane Florence in 2018. Palantir Gothamcombined publicly available flood data with weather information and social vulnerability census data to find the communities in greatest needand resources were deployed appropriately. More recently, they are providing the U.S. government with coronavirus tracking software.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Gothamis是一个软件程序，可以识别隐藏在数据集中深处的模式。这有助于对平台内已识别的威胁执行真实世界的响应。这被用于帮助2018年佛罗伦萨飓风中有需要的人。Palantir Gotham将公开可用的洪水数据与天气信息和社会脆弱性普查数据相结合，以找到最需要的社区并适当部署资源。最近，他们向美国政府提供冠状病毒跟踪软件。</blockquote></p><p> The company also provides Palantir Foundry,a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还提供Palantir Foundry，这是一个通过为组织的数据创建中央操作系统来改变组织运营方式的平台；并允许个人用户在一个地方集成和分析他们需要的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Pretty cool hey?</p><p><blockquote>很酷嘿？</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Is Driving The Company?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司的驱动力是什么？</b></blockquote></p><p> Revenue. This is a growth play, plain and simple. Looking below we can see what is forecasted down the pipe. The missing block is 2020, which we found out todaywas $1.1 billion. That is a ~47% increase year-over-year. Going forward, analysts are projecting the pace stays heavy at 35%+ per year revenue growth. Often we consider 20% being strong, so that makes this look really good. For the fourth quarter, the company posted $322.1 million in revenue for the quarter, which was a beat by 20%.</p><p><blockquote>收入。这是一部成长剧，简单明了。往下看，我们可以看到未来的预测。缺失的区块是2020年，我们今天发现是11亿美元。同比增长约47%。展望未来，分析师预计年收入增长率将保持在35%以上。通常我们认为20%是强的，所以这看起来真的很好。第四季度，该公司营收为3.221亿美元，增长20%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2926257ca97794e55159ce8c6021a745\" tg-width=\"2978\" tg-height=\"992\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TIKR.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TIKR.com）</blockquote></p><p> The shock came from theloss per share which totaled $0.08 versus the positive $0.02 consensus. The stock fell over 12% today on the earnings news. Upon diving deeper, it would appear most investors were disappointed with the forward forecasts. I personally think they are sandbagging a bit to blow away consensus down the line, but time will tell how true that is. Based on everything the company had put out in terms of news, which is nicely outlined inJohn Rhodes article : Palantir: Potential Q4 Revenue Blowoutmost people expected the revenue beat, but the action in the stock over the last week showed otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>令人震惊的是每股亏损总计0.08美元，而市场普遍预期为0.02美元。受财报消息影响，该股今天下跌超过12%。深入研究后，大多数投资者似乎对前瞻性预测感到失望。我个人认为他们有点沙袋，以消除共识，但时间会证明这有多真实。根据该公司发布的所有新闻，约翰·罗兹(John Rhodes)的文章对此进行了很好的概述：Palantir：潜在的第四季度收入井喷大多数人预计收入会超出预期，但该股上周的表现却并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Data has become more relevant to the average person than ever before. The local news has all kinds of data on it when it comes to COVID-19.In 2020, Palantir helped 100 commercial organizations and 10 national governments respond to COVID-19. This has been a large opportunity for Palantir, and they have not squandered it. This response has helped earn thema 2-year contract for U.K. health services work worth $31.5 million. In the fourth quarter alone, the company signed21 deals worth more than $5 million. 12 of which were worth $10 million or more. Revenue growth will continue to be the future of Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>数据变得比以往任何时候都更加与普通人相关。当地新闻有各种各样关于新冠肺炎的数据。2020年，Palantir帮助100家商业组织和10个国家政府应对COVID-19。这对Palantir来说是一个巨大的机会，他们并没有浪费它。这一回应帮助thema赢得了价值3150万美元的为期两年的英国卫生服务工作合同。仅在第四季度，该公司就签署了21笔价值超过500万美元的交易。其中12个价值1000万美元或以上。收入增长将继续是Palantir的未来。</blockquote></p><p> Some of the best business going is government business. For the year, Palantir saw56% of their revenue or $610 million come from government contracts. While the commercial side saw higher year-over-year growth at 107%, a 77% increase in government-based revenue isn't anything to laugh at. One of the more impressive pieces was that we saw happen with the average customer.Revenue increased by 41% year-over-year. Up to $7.9 million per customer from $5.6 million. This is an important metric to keep an eye on as customers hand more and more business over to Palantir as they continue to develop and improve their systems. The other factor playing into this is Palantir pulling larger customers into the fold. The new customers acquired in 2020, generated $42 million in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>一些最好的业务是政府业务。今年，Palantir 56%的收入（即6.1亿美元）来自政府合同。虽然商业方面的同比增长高达107%，但政府收入增长77%并不是什么可笑的事情。更令人印象深刻的一件事是我们在普通客户身上看到的情况。收入同比增长41%。每位客户从560万美元增至790万美元。随着客户继续开发和改进其系统，将越来越多的业务移交给Palantir，这是一个需要关注的重要指标。另一个因素是Palantir吸引了更大的客户。2020年获得的新客户创造了4200万美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9284f5fd3e26d0c55fcd9b2f6355371e\" tg-width=\"1752\" tg-height=\"983\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> (Company Presentation)</p><p><blockquote>（公司介绍）</blockquote></p><p> So all of this and we still sit down 12% today? As I mentioned above, it was the forward forecasts that people were a bit shocked at. Palantir said toexpect revenue growth in excess of 30% for 2021. This would be fantastic news for most companies, but after you just posted a 47% growth year, it is a bit saddening. But as I said, I think they are sandbagging a bit. Analysts are still projecting about a 35% increase for 2021. Something tells me they will outdo that as the year goes on. The company did state that they are targeting $4 billion in revenue by 2025, which carrying 30% per year growth from here will get you. I fully expect that number to creep closer to $5 billion based on current projections. Palantir is going after the \"big fish\" across multiple industries.8 of their customers fall into the Fortune 100, and 12 of the Global 100. As their products continue to develop and improve, their bottom line is only going to get better. I think there is a lot of room to run here in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>所以所有这些，我们今天仍然坐在12%？正如我上面提到的，人们对前瞻性预测感到有点震惊。Palantir表示，预计2021年收入增长将超过30%。对于大多数公司来说，这将是一个好消息，但在您刚刚公布了47%的增长年度之后，这有点令人难过。但正如我所说，我认为他们有点沙袋。分析师仍预计2021年将增长约35%。直觉告诉我，随着时间的推移，他们会超越这一目标。该公司确实表示，他们的目标是到2025年实现40亿美元的收入，从现在开始每年增长30%。根据目前的预测，我完全预计这个数字将接近50亿美元。Palantir正在追逐多个行业的“大鱼”。他们的客户中有8家属于财富100强，12家属于全球100强。随着他们产品的不断开发和改进，他们的底线只会越来越好。我认为从长远来看，这里有很大的发展空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Are The Risks?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有哪些风险？</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the up-and-coming risks is the lock-up period ending, which I will touch on below. Besides that, I will look at the government contracts. Yes, they are some of the most important, but that's not to say they come without risk. In the past, Palantir has said they need to focus more so on commercial customers to help the bottom line and to turn a profit (part of the reason for the earnings sell-off). As we can see, they have landed some big-time commercial clients, but that government aspect still exists.</p><p><blockquote>即将到来的风险之一是禁售期结束，我将在下面谈到这一点。除此之外，我会看看政府的合同。是的，它们是最重要的，但这并不是说它们没有风险。Palantir过去曾表示，他们需要更多地关注商业客户，以帮助盈利并扭亏为盈（这是盈利抛售的部分原因）。正如我们所看到的，他们已经获得了一些大型商业客户，但政府方面仍然存在。</blockquote></p><p> Something to keep in mind as well is that dealing with the government can lead to crossing some lines that some are not okay with. As reported by the Washington Post,in 2018, more than 200 employees signed a letter to CEO Alex Karp, citing concerns over a partnership with Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Multiple other big tech companies have been forced to cut ties with government agencies in the past over potential human rights violations.</p><p><blockquote>还要记住的是，与政府打交道可能会导致跨越一些人不同意的界限。据《华盛顿邮报》报道，2018年，200多名员工签署了一封致首席执行官亚历克斯·卡普的信，理由是对与移民和海关执法局合作的担忧。过去，其他多家大型科技公司因潜在侵犯人权而被迫切断与政府机构的联系。</blockquote></p><p> That said, I do really think the company will continue to do very well in the commercial sector and well reduce the overall government exposure overtime.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，我确实认为该公司将继续在商业领域表现出色，并随着时间的推移减少整体政府风险。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's The \"Lock-Up Period\"?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是“禁售期”？</b></blockquote></p><p> The one concern many have had with Palantir is the lock-up period, which ends on February 19th (Friday). Typically, this is where we will see the lows kick in on IPO's that go this route, but it is not always the case.</p><p><blockquote>许多人对Palantir的一个担忧是锁定期，锁定期将于2月19日（星期五）结束。通常情况下，这是我们会看到走这条路线的IPO出现低点的地方，但情况并非总是如此。</blockquote></p><p>   Looking at 15 stocks that sawtheir lock-up periods expire in the first two weeks of October, the majority of shares started to fall in the days before the expiration date, prior to bouncing back three to five days afterwards. However, some saw virtually no selling pressure on the day and the share price immediately climbed once the lock-up had ended.  What is it? Well in short, instead of an IPO where new shares of the company are created and are underwritten by an intermediary, we have a Direct Listing. This is wherethe business sells shares directly to the public without the help of any intermediaries. It does not involve any underwriters or other intermediaries, there are no new shares issued. This means the largest shareholders in the business can only freely sell their shares after the IPO lock-up expiration. Spotify (SPOT) and Slack (WORK) are two examples of companies that went the Direct Listing route. That said, neither of these companies had lock-up periods for employees.</p><p><blockquote>从10月前两周锁定期到期的15只股票来看，大多数股票在到期日前几天开始下跌，三到五天后反弹。然而，一些人当天几乎没有抛售压力，锁定结束后股价立即攀升。这是什么？简而言之，我们不是通过首次公开募股（IPO）来创建公司的新股并由中介机构承销，而是直接上市。这是企业直接向公众出售股票的方式，无需任何中介机构的帮助。不涉及任何承销商或其他中介机构，不存在发行新股。这意味着该业务的最大股东只能在IPO禁售期到期后自由出售其股份。Spotify(SPOT)和Slack(WORK)是直接上市公司的两个例子。也就是说，这两家公司都没有员工锁定期。</blockquote></p><p> So what does this mean? Well, given thatMarketWatch said:</p><p><blockquote>那么这意味着什么呢？好吧，鉴于MarketWatch表示：</blockquote></p><p>   For Palantir, though, years of venture-capital investments have created more than enough shares to launch public trading: roughly 1.64 billion, though that grows to 2.17 billion in a fully diluted formula that includes vesting options.  It means that with roughly 497 million current outstanding shares, that we could see about 1.7 billion shares hit the market. Now that is not really likely, but what it does mean is that there should be less than average selling pressure on the stock considering the usually IPO accounts for 10% of shares released, while Palantir released over 20% based on the numbers provided above.</p><p><blockquote>不过，对于Palantir来说，多年的风险资本投资已经创造了足够的股票来启动公开交易：大约16.4亿股，尽管在包括归属期权在内的完全稀释公式中，这一数字将增长至21.7亿股。这意味着，目前流通股约为4.97亿股，我们可能会看到约17亿股上市。现在这种可能性不大，但这确实意味着，考虑到IPO通常占已发行股票的10%，而根据上面提供的数字，Palantir发行的股票超过20%，该股的抛售压力应该低于平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> Where are we now? Well as per the study quoted earlier, we are right on track. The stock is selling off in an orderly fashion right before the lock-up period ends. Now we have to wait and see what the rebound looks like. Or does everyone sell high and try and buy even lower? It is a bit of a wait-and-see. Let's take a look at what the technicals show us.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在在哪里？根据前面引用的研究，我们正走在正轨上。就在禁售期结束之前，该股正在有序抛售。现在我们必须拭目以待，看看反弹的情况如何。还是每个人都卖得很高，然后试图买得更低？这有点观望。让我们来看看技术向我们展示了什么。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Does The Price Say?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>价格怎么说？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Taking a quick peek at the technicals, we can see a couple of really strong support levels. Firstly, we broke through a pretty big one at $30 today and did so in a big way, which is a bit concerning in the short term, but there is potential for a quick bounce to re-test that $30 mark quickly. If these markets have taught us anything, it's that they can move quickly! In a normal case, this is probably where my stop would be. But have not had a position until today, the game changes a bit as I take on more risk.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下技术面，我们可以看到几个非常强大的支撑位。首先，我们今天突破了30美元的一个相当大的水平，而且是以一种很大的方式突破的，这在短期内有点令人担忧，但有可能快速反弹以迅速重新测试30美元大关。如果说这些市场教会了我们什么，那就是它们可以快速行动！在正常情况下，这可能是我的停留点。但是直到今天我才有了头寸，随着我承担更多的风险，游戏发生了一些变化。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b568bf73db2c1b38aaa1546a10427dc\" tg-width=\"3837\" tg-height=\"1813\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TC2000.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TC2000.com）</blockquote></p><p> When a stock as popular as Palantir tanks like we saw today, one of two things happens. Either the dip gets bought up and this stock will fly back up to $40, or we see Palantir drop down to ~$23. Because the stock is so new, we really do not have a good gauge for support. Looking below we can see roughly where I am pulling $23 out of. This is a pretty substantial move from here yet. Would be about 20% to the downside. If $23 breaks, it could go even further south.</p><p><blockquote>当像Palantir这样受欢迎的股票像我们今天看到的那样下跌时，会发生两件事之一。要么逢低买入，这只股票将飞回40美元，要么我们看到Palantir跌至23美元左右。因为股票太新了，我们确实没有一个好的支撑指标。看下面，我们可以大致看到我从哪里提取了23美元。这是一个相当大的举措。大约会下降20%。如果突破23美元，它可能会进一步下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e3505c465c407b7387cbedf16a1b233\" tg-width=\"3840\" tg-height=\"1808\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> (Source: TC2000.com)</p><p><blockquote>（来源：TC2000.com）</blockquote></p><p> When trying to catch the bounce, you have to be prepared to average down. It is a totally different approach. Scale in, and scale-out.... all while knowing when to cut it loose. If you want to play this safe, watch for the bounce and try and get in then. I do think there will be a decent bounce that takes the stock back to $36-$40, but the question is when. This is not a long-term hold for me personally.</p><p><blockquote>当试图抓住反弹时，你必须做好平均下跌的准备。这是一种完全不同的方法。横向扩展和横向扩展....同时知道什么时候该放松。如果你想安全起见，留意反弹，然后试着进去。我确实认为该股会出现不错的反弹，回到36-40美元，但问题是什么时候。这对我个人来说不是长期持有的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrap-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> As you can see, there is a lot to like about the direction in which the company is headed. The valuation can always be debated, but at the end of the day, the value is whatever someone is willing to pay for it. Palantir is a revenue machine and it is not going to slow down. They are playing with the \"big fish\" and the revenue will follow as long as they can continue to deliver on their goals. I am currently long, but watching closely as the lock-up period ends this week. If you are going long, make sure to scale in over the next couple of days and place your bets for which way this goes next week. Stay safe out there!</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的，公司的发展方向有很多值得喜欢的地方。估值总是可以争论的，但归根结底，价值就是有人愿意为此付出的任何代价。Palantir是一台收入机器，而且不会放缓。他们在玩“大鱼”，只要他们能继续实现目标，收入就会随之而来。我目前做多，但密切关注本周禁售期结束。如果你打算做多，确保在接下来的几天里扩大规模，并为下周的走势下注。在外面注意安全！</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4406809-palantir-buy-the-dip\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4406809-palantir-buy-the-dip","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100960455","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir posted solid revenue, but missed on earnings. The future forecast was a bit disappointing.\nPalantir is expecting 30% year-over-year revenue growth after posting 47% growth for 2020.\nPalantir continues to grow its client base across multiple industries.\nPalantir's lock-up period ends on February 19th. Place your bets!\n\nOne of the hotter stocks as of late is recent Direct Listing, Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR). Some investors were expecting the company was expected to release blowout earnings today and fell short of that. The company did post incredible revenue growth, and the path forward looks bright as well. However, investors were disappointed with just how bright that picture is according to the company. The stock is falling leading up to the end of the lock-up period as expected. Next week will tell a better story as to where this stock is headed. If you are feeling risky, jump aboard.\nWho Are They?\nIf you are like me, you likely had no idea who this company was or what they did. Well, Palantir Technologies Inc. has been around since 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. In short,they build and deploy software platforms for the intelligence community in the USA to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations.\nPalantir Gothamis a software program that identifies patterns hidden deep within datasets. This helps execute real-world responses to threats that have been identified within the platform. This was used in the efforts to help those in need in hurricane Florence in 2018. Palantir Gothamcombined publicly available flood data with weather information and social vulnerability census data to find the communities in greatest needand resources were deployed appropriately. More recently, they are providing the U.S. government with coronavirus tracking software.\nThe company also provides Palantir Foundry,a platform that transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data; and allows individual users to integrate and analyze the data they need in one place.\nPretty cool hey?\nWhat Is Driving The Company?\nRevenue. This is a growth play, plain and simple. Looking below we can see what is forecasted down the pipe. The missing block is 2020, which we found out todaywas $1.1 billion. That is a ~47% increase year-over-year. Going forward, analysts are projecting the pace stays heavy at 35%+ per year revenue growth. Often we consider 20% being strong, so that makes this look really good. For the fourth quarter, the company posted $322.1 million in revenue for the quarter, which was a beat by 20%.\n\n(Source: TIKR.com)\nThe shock came from theloss per share which totaled $0.08 versus the positive $0.02 consensus. The stock fell over 12% today on the earnings news. Upon diving deeper, it would appear most investors were disappointed with the forward forecasts. I personally think they are sandbagging a bit to blow away consensus down the line, but time will tell how true that is. Based on everything the company had put out in terms of news, which is nicely outlined inJohn Rhodes article : Palantir: Potential Q4 Revenue Blowoutmost people expected the revenue beat, but the action in the stock over the last week showed otherwise.\nData has become more relevant to the average person than ever before. The local news has all kinds of data on it when it comes to COVID-19.In 2020, Palantir helped 100 commercial organizations and 10 national governments respond to COVID-19. This has been a large opportunity for Palantir, and they have not squandered it. This response has helped earn thema 2-year contract for U.K. health services work worth $31.5 million. In the fourth quarter alone, the company signed21 deals worth more than $5 million. 12 of which were worth $10 million or more. Revenue growth will continue to be the future of Palantir.\nSome of the best business going is government business. For the year, Palantir saw56% of their revenue or $610 million come from government contracts. While the commercial side saw higher year-over-year growth at 107%, a 77% increase in government-based revenue isn't anything to laugh at. One of the more impressive pieces was that we saw happen with the average customer.Revenue increased by 41% year-over-year. Up to $7.9 million per customer from $5.6 million. This is an important metric to keep an eye on as customers hand more and more business over to Palantir as they continue to develop and improve their systems. The other factor playing into this is Palantir pulling larger customers into the fold. The new customers acquired in 2020, generated $42 million in revenue.\n\n(Company Presentation)\nSo all of this and we still sit down 12% today? As I mentioned above, it was the forward forecasts that people were a bit shocked at. Palantir said toexpect revenue growth in excess of 30% for 2021. This would be fantastic news for most companies, but after you just posted a 47% growth year, it is a bit saddening. But as I said, I think they are sandbagging a bit. Analysts are still projecting about a 35% increase for 2021. Something tells me they will outdo that as the year goes on. The company did state that they are targeting $4 billion in revenue by 2025, which carrying 30% per year growth from here will get you. I fully expect that number to creep closer to $5 billion based on current projections. Palantir is going after the \"big fish\" across multiple industries.8 of their customers fall into the Fortune 100, and 12 of the Global 100. As their products continue to develop and improve, their bottom line is only going to get better. I think there is a lot of room to run here in the long term.\nWhat Are The Risks?\nOne of the up-and-coming risks is the lock-up period ending, which I will touch on below. Besides that, I will look at the government contracts. Yes, they are some of the most important, but that's not to say they come without risk. In the past, Palantir has said they need to focus more so on commercial customers to help the bottom line and to turn a profit (part of the reason for the earnings sell-off). As we can see, they have landed some big-time commercial clients, but that government aspect still exists.\nSomething to keep in mind as well is that dealing with the government can lead to crossing some lines that some are not okay with. As reported by the Washington Post,in 2018, more than 200 employees signed a letter to CEO Alex Karp, citing concerns over a partnership with Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Multiple other big tech companies have been forced to cut ties with government agencies in the past over potential human rights violations.\nThat said, I do really think the company will continue to do very well in the commercial sector and well reduce the overall government exposure overtime.\nWhat's The \"Lock-Up Period\"?\nThe one concern many have had with Palantir is the lock-up period, which ends on February 19th (Friday). Typically, this is where we will see the lows kick in on IPO's that go this route, but it is not always the case.\n\n Looking at 15 stocks that sawtheir lock-up periods expire in the first two weeks of October, the majority of shares started to fall in the days before the expiration date, prior to bouncing back three to five days afterwards. However, some saw virtually no selling pressure on the day and the share price immediately climbed once the lock-up had ended.\n\nWhat is it? Well in short, instead of an IPO where new shares of the company are created and are underwritten by an intermediary, we have a Direct Listing. This is wherethe business sells shares directly to the public without the help of any intermediaries. It does not involve any underwriters or other intermediaries, there are no new shares issued. This means the largest shareholders in the business can only freely sell their shares after the IPO lock-up expiration. Spotify (SPOT) and Slack (WORK) are two examples of companies that went the Direct Listing route. That said, neither of these companies had lock-up periods for employees.\nSo what does this mean? Well, given thatMarketWatch said:\n\n For Palantir, though, years of venture-capital investments have created more than enough shares to launch public trading: roughly 1.64 billion, though that grows to 2.17 billion in a fully diluted formula that includes vesting options.\n\nIt means that with roughly 497 million current outstanding shares, that we could see about 1.7 billion shares hit the market. Now that is not really likely, but what it does mean is that there should be less than average selling pressure on the stock considering the usually IPO accounts for 10% of shares released, while Palantir released over 20% based on the numbers provided above.\nWhere are we now? Well as per the study quoted earlier, we are right on track. The stock is selling off in an orderly fashion right before the lock-up period ends. Now we have to wait and see what the rebound looks like. Or does everyone sell high and try and buy even lower? It is a bit of a wait-and-see. Let's take a look at what the technicals show us.\nWhat Does The Price Say?\nTaking a quick peek at the technicals, we can see a couple of really strong support levels. Firstly, we broke through a pretty big one at $30 today and did so in a big way, which is a bit concerning in the short term, but there is potential for a quick bounce to re-test that $30 mark quickly. If these markets have taught us anything, it's that they can move quickly! In a normal case, this is probably where my stop would be. But have not had a position until today, the game changes a bit as I take on more risk.\n\n(Source: TC2000.com)\nWhen a stock as popular as Palantir tanks like we saw today, one of two things happens. Either the dip gets bought up and this stock will fly back up to $40, or we see Palantir drop down to ~$23. Because the stock is so new, we really do not have a good gauge for support. Looking below we can see roughly where I am pulling $23 out of. This is a pretty substantial move from here yet. Would be about 20% to the downside. If $23 breaks, it could go even further south.\n\n(Source: TC2000.com)\nWhen trying to catch the bounce, you have to be prepared to average down. It is a totally different approach. Scale in, and scale-out.... all while knowing when to cut it loose. If you want to play this safe, watch for the bounce and try and get in then. I do think there will be a decent bounce that takes the stock back to $36-$40, but the question is when. This is not a long-term hold for me personally.\nWrap-Up\nAs you can see, there is a lot to like about the direction in which the company is headed. The valuation can always be debated, but at the end of the day, the value is whatever someone is willing to pay for it. Palantir is a revenue machine and it is not going to slow down. They are playing with the \"big fish\" and the revenue will follow as long as they can continue to deliver on their goals. I am currently long, but watching closely as the lock-up period ends this week. If you are going long, make sure to scale in over the next couple of days and place your bets for which way this goes next week. 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