Hooray的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Hooray

Hooray

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2主题

0勋章

2021-12-09

$TherapeuticsMD Inc.(TXMD)$涨了10%也就5分，还差一块回本

2021-11-04

$动视暴雪(ATVI)$基本面还在的吧，建仓开搞吗？

2021-11-04

$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$盘前怎么了

2021-06-25

[财迷]

2021-06-25

$TherapeuticsMD Inc.(TXMD)$还有没有机会了

2021-06-25

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@小虎活动:【老虎7周年】集卡瓜分百万奖金

2021-06-23

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@小虎活动:【老虎7周年】集卡瓜分百万奖金

2021-06-23

继续趴着…..

2021-06-22

[开心] [开心]

美债利率为何跳水？

2021-06-18

[财迷]

WSB概念股盘中走强，AMC院线涨超10%

2021-06-18

要横盘多久

2021-06-17

$TherapeuticsMD Inc.(TXMD)$啥时能解套

2021-06-17

ZOM 到底还行不行

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-17

这股完了吗

2021-04-27

起飞了吗？大家说说这波能飞多高

2021-04-17

$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$尝到腰斩的滋味了

2021-04-14

$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$一天10%真受不了

2021-04-05

$Zomedica Pharmaceuticals Corp.(ZOM)$什么情况啊，抄了两次都不是底

2021-03-31

$云集(YJ)$起飞吧，云上见

2021-03-31

$爱奇艺(IQ)$还没见底吗[流泪]

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","text":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ 戳我即可参与活动 \u0001如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 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<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","listText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","text":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ 戳我即可参与活动 \u0001如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。\u0001如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 \u0001 \u0001如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。\u0001 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 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[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129082343","repostId":"2145032141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145032141","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624342041,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145032141?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:07","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"美债利率为何跳水？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145032141","media":"智通财经网","summary":"昨日美债利率跳水，盘中低点触及1.36%，我们认为三个方面的原因导致了最近几日的美债利率快速下行：第一是再通胀交易“退潮”扰动市场，第二是议息会议引发通胀预期下行，第三是议息会议未改流动性过剩的格局。","content":"<p>昨日美债利率跳水，盘中低点触及1.36%，我们认为三个方面的原因导致了最近几日的美债利率快速下行：第一是再通胀交易“退潮”扰动市场，第二是议息会议引发通胀预期下行，第三是议息会议未改流动性过剩的格局。后续来看，短期内美债利率将大概率双向波动，且波动性将有所扩大，预计将在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡，中长期主要逻辑或重回基本面和流动性因素，利率或将重新回归上行。商品和权益方面，利率敏感型商品开始承压，权益资产中周期让位于成长。</p>\n<p><b>原因一：再通胀交易“退潮”是扰动市场的核心诱因。</b></p>\n<p>近几个交易日的市场波动源于美联储议息会议，市场意识到他们可能高估了美联储对通胀的容忍度。在美元指数继续上升的同时，美债利率下行，这是美国本土通胀预期回落导致的典型的资产价格表现。从10Y美债和10Y TIPS的变化、美债收益率曲线变平，前期押注“再通胀”做陡曲线的交易平仓、基本金属和贵金属下跌，价值股显著走弱等证据可以看出通胀是串联近几个交易日大类资产价格波动的主线，市场在交易通胀“退潮”。</p>\n<p><b>原因二：议息会议引发通胀预期下行。</b></p>\n<p>美联储6月议息会议前，美国通胀持续超预期上涨，通胀预期也呈上行趋势。6月议息会议鹰派超出市场预期，在点阵图显示加息或将提前、经济预测大幅调高通胀前景以及鲍威尔关于通胀讲话暗示美联储可能会采取行动压制通胀的三重作用下，通胀预期转而向下。另外，议息会议之后，一向鸽派的圣路易斯联储行长布拉德转鹰，市场进一步预期美联储收紧政策应对通胀，通胀预期再下行。</p>\n<p><b>原因三：议息会议未改流动性过剩格局。</b></p>\n<p>实际上早在本次议息会议之前，美债利率就已经开启了一轮下行，一方面美联储继续维持每月持续购债的量化宽松政策，另一方面，美国财政部持续削减其TGA账户余额，流动性过剩是此前利率下行的核心逻辑。尽管本次议息会议超预期鹰派，但是对于流动性过剩的格局未产生明显影响，过剩的流动性依然是压低长端美债利率的直接因素。</p>\n<p><b>美债利率短期内将在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡，中长期或将重新回归上行。</b></p>\n<p>本轮美债利率的下行分为两个阶段，美联储6月议息会议之前是流动性过剩和拜登基建计划受阻推动的下行，议息会议之后是流动性过剩下通胀预期下行引发的利率下行。短期而言，我们认为通胀预期可能难以出现单边趋势性下行，市场当前稳定性不足，美债利率将大概率双向波动，且波动性将有所扩大，10年期美债收益率或在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡。昨日美债利率下探1.36%附近更多是交易因素所致，预计10年期美债收益率不会趋势性达到1.3%及以下水平。中长期来看，美债利率主要逻辑或重回基本面和流动性因素，在实际利率回升叠加流动性边际收紧情况下，美债利率或将重新回归上行。</p>\n<p><b>商品和权益方面，利率敏感型商品开始承压，权益资产中周期让位于成长。</b></p>\n<p>随着全球疫后复苏临近高点，经济增长向常态化水平回归，本轮商品牛市的顶部可能已不远，结构进入大分化阶段。美联储Taper或其预期都会使得利率敏感型商品率先承压，如贵金属和基本金属，有产业链供求支撑的品种韧性更强，而国内外需求复苏的节奏差异使得外需驱动型商品涨价持续性优于内需驱动型，这其中原油表现最值得期待。对权益资产而言，2020年以来美债利率充分充当了全球成长板块定价的锚，相关系数为-0.66，随着再通胀交易暂告段落，美债利率的下行为长久期成长板块的超额收益提供支撑，预计前期强势的周期将逐步让位于成长。</p>\n<p><b>风险因素：</b></p>\n<p>疫情超预期反复，美联储Taper超预期推迟或提前。</p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美债利率为何跳水？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美债利率为何跳水？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 14:07 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/498365.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>昨日美债利率跳水，盘中低点触及1.36%，我们认为三个方面的原因导致了最近几日的美债利率快速下行：第一是再通胀交易“退潮”扰动市场，第二是议息会议引发通胀预期下行，第三是议息会议未改流动性过剩的格局。后续来看，短期内美债利率将大概率双向波动，且波动性将有所扩大，预计将在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡，中长期主要逻辑或重回基本面和流动性因素，利率或将重新回归上行。商品和权益方面，利率敏感型商品开始承压，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/498365.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c52f8b4b569b1d95460e78fe32c888","relate_stocks":{"SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/498365.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2145032141","content_text":"昨日美债利率跳水，盘中低点触及1.36%，我们认为三个方面的原因导致了最近几日的美债利率快速下行：第一是再通胀交易“退潮”扰动市场，第二是议息会议引发通胀预期下行，第三是议息会议未改流动性过剩的格局。后续来看，短期内美债利率将大概率双向波动，且波动性将有所扩大，预计将在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡，中长期主要逻辑或重回基本面和流动性因素，利率或将重新回归上行。商品和权益方面，利率敏感型商品开始承压，权益资产中周期让位于成长。\n原因一：再通胀交易“退潮”是扰动市场的核心诱因。\n近几个交易日的市场波动源于美联储议息会议，市场意识到他们可能高估了美联储对通胀的容忍度。在美元指数继续上升的同时，美债利率下行，这是美国本土通胀预期回落导致的典型的资产价格表现。从10Y美债和10Y TIPS的变化、美债收益率曲线变平，前期押注“再通胀”做陡曲线的交易平仓、基本金属和贵金属下跌，价值股显著走弱等证据可以看出通胀是串联近几个交易日大类资产价格波动的主线，市场在交易通胀“退潮”。\n原因二：议息会议引发通胀预期下行。\n美联储6月议息会议前，美国通胀持续超预期上涨，通胀预期也呈上行趋势。6月议息会议鹰派超出市场预期，在点阵图显示加息或将提前、经济预测大幅调高通胀前景以及鲍威尔关于通胀讲话暗示美联储可能会采取行动压制通胀的三重作用下，通胀预期转而向下。另外，议息会议之后，一向鸽派的圣路易斯联储行长布拉德转鹰，市场进一步预期美联储收紧政策应对通胀，通胀预期再下行。\n原因三：议息会议未改流动性过剩格局。\n实际上早在本次议息会议之前，美债利率就已经开启了一轮下行，一方面美联储继续维持每月持续购债的量化宽松政策，另一方面，美国财政部持续削减其TGA账户余额，流动性过剩是此前利率下行的核心逻辑。尽管本次议息会议超预期鹰派，但是对于流动性过剩的格局未产生明显影响，过剩的流动性依然是压低长端美债利率的直接因素。\n美债利率短期内将在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡，中长期或将重新回归上行。\n本轮美债利率的下行分为两个阶段，美联储6月议息会议之前是流动性过剩和拜登基建计划受阻推动的下行，议息会议之后是流动性过剩下通胀预期下行引发的利率下行。短期而言，我们认为通胀预期可能难以出现单边趋势性下行，市场当前稳定性不足，美债利率将大概率双向波动，且波动性将有所扩大，10年期美债收益率或在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡。昨日美债利率下探1.36%附近更多是交易因素所致，预计10年期美债收益率不会趋势性达到1.3%及以下水平。中长期来看，美债利率主要逻辑或重回基本面和流动性因素，在实际利率回升叠加流动性边际收紧情况下，美债利率或将重新回归上行。\n商品和权益方面，利率敏感型商品开始承压，权益资产中周期让位于成长。\n随着全球疫后复苏临近高点，经济增长向常态化水平回归，本轮商品牛市的顶部可能已不远，结构进入大分化阶段。美联储Taper或其预期都会使得利率敏感型商品率先承压，如贵金属和基本金属，有产业链供求支撑的品种韧性更强，而国内外需求复苏的节奏差异使得外需驱动型商品涨价持续性优于内需驱动型，这其中原油表现最值得期待。对权益资产而言，2020年以来美债利率充分充当了全球成长板块定价的锚，相关系数为-0.66，随着再通胀交易暂告段落，美债利率的下行为长久期成长板块的超额收益提供支撑，预计前期强势的周期将逐步让位于成长。\n风险因素：\n疫情超预期反复，美联储Taper超预期推迟或提前。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BND":0.9,"TNmain":0.9,"UBmain":0.9,"ZBmain":0.9,"ZFmain":0.9,"ZNmain":0.9,"ZTmain":0.9,"GOVT":0.9,"IEF":0.9,"IEI":0.9,"SHY":0.9,"TLT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":166598667,"gmtCreate":1624015991059,"gmtModify":1634024095207,"author":{"id":"3576561753512796","authorId":"3576561753512796","name":"Hooray","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ffbb4c89c3a140a2d101ba94878f100","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561753512796","authorIdStr":"3576561753512796"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166598667","repostId":"1118107542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118107542","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623943021,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118107542?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 23:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"WSB概念股盘中走强，AMC院线涨超10%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118107542","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月17日，WSB概念股盘中走强，AMC院线涨超10%，黑莓、高斯电子、游戏驿站涨超4%。","content":"<p>6月17日，WSB概念股盘中走强，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>涨超10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBRY\">黑莓</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KOSS\">高斯电子</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>涨超4%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09113f1c85c700361ff9bd6645e89551\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WSB概念股盘中走强，AMC院线涨超10%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>涨超10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBRY\">黑莓</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KOSS\">高斯电子</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>涨超4%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09113f1c85c700361ff9bd6645e89551\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" 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<a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","listText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 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本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab28db31a19b458d604a8bf02becddd3","width":"415","height":"125"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5227ebb594fe55b532c840acef147d7b","width":"415","height":"495"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e88357b534f504b3088bc22f577a83","width":"415","height":"326"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114899451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":121011976,"gmtCreate":1624443717895,"gmtModify":1634006087942,"author":{"id":"3576561753512796","authorId":"3576561753512796","name":"Hooray","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ffbb4c89c3a140a2d101ba94878f100","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561753512796","authorIdStr":"3576561753512796"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121011976","repostId":"114899451","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":114899451,"gmtCreate":1623063308869,"gmtModify":1631884627596,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【老虎7周年】集卡瓜分百万奖金","htmlText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","listText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> &#x1;如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。&#x1;如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 &#x1; &#x1;如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。&#x1; 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP &gt; 我的 &gt; 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","text":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了，集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金，你准备好了吗？ 戳我即可参与活动 \u0001如何参与？ 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡，每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母，用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券，每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡（不包括好友赠予和魔法卡）。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户（注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间），即可获得一张魔法卡（每人仅可获得一张魔法卡）。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。\u0001如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0，则字母卡为灰色，用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片；如果用户的字母卡数量大于0，则字母卡为彩色，用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 \u0001 \u0001如何获得奖励？ 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖，所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮，即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。\u0001 奖励发放： 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心，用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活动奖励】领取，过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示： 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区，由于各地区的监管要求不同，不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情，请点击下方活动链接，登陆您的账号，并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab28db31a19b458d604a8bf02becddd3","width":"415","height":"125"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5227ebb594fe55b532c840acef147d7b","width":"415","height":"495"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e88357b534f504b3088bc22f577a83","width":"415","height":"326"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114899451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":123121703,"gmtCreate":1624412822402,"gmtModify":1634006490491,"author":{"id":"3576561753512796","authorId":"3576561753512796","name":"Hooray","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ffbb4c89c3a140a2d101ba94878f100","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561753512796","authorIdStr":"3576561753512796"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"继续趴着…..","listText":"继续趴着…..","text":"继续趴着…..","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/210d59a3bcdc2c02043d438520276fd6","width":"1125","height":"3313"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123121703","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1664,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":129082343,"gmtCreate":1624344401082,"gmtModify":1634007476577,"author":{"id":"3576561753512796","authorId":"3576561753512796","name":"Hooray","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ffbb4c89c3a140a2d101ba94878f100","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561753512796","authorIdStr":"3576561753512796"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"[开心]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"[开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129082343","repostId":"2145032141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145032141","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624342041,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145032141?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 14:07","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"美债利率为何跳水？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145032141","media":"智通财经网","summary":"昨日美债利率跳水，盘中低点触及1.36%，我们认为三个方面的原因导致了最近几日的美债利率快速下行：第一是再通胀交易“退潮”扰动市场，第二是议息会议引发通胀预期下行，第三是议息会议未改流动性过剩的格局。","content":"<p>昨日美债利率跳水，盘中低点触及1.36%，我们认为三个方面的原因导致了最近几日的美债利率快速下行：第一是再通胀交易“退潮”扰动市场，第二是议息会议引发通胀预期下行，第三是议息会议未改流动性过剩的格局。后续来看，短期内美债利率将大概率双向波动，且波动性将有所扩大，预计将在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡，中长期主要逻辑或重回基本面和流动性因素，利率或将重新回归上行。商品和权益方面，利率敏感型商品开始承压，权益资产中周期让位于成长。</p>\n<p><b>原因一：再通胀交易“退潮”是扰动市场的核心诱因。</b></p>\n<p>近几个交易日的市场波动源于美联储议息会议，市场意识到他们可能高估了美联储对通胀的容忍度。在美元指数继续上升的同时，美债利率下行，这是美国本土通胀预期回落导致的典型的资产价格表现。从10Y美债和10Y TIPS的变化、美债收益率曲线变平，前期押注“再通胀”做陡曲线的交易平仓、基本金属和贵金属下跌，价值股显著走弱等证据可以看出通胀是串联近几个交易日大类资产价格波动的主线，市场在交易通胀“退潮”。</p>\n<p><b>原因二：议息会议引发通胀预期下行。</b></p>\n<p>美联储6月议息会议前，美国通胀持续超预期上涨，通胀预期也呈上行趋势。6月议息会议鹰派超出市场预期，在点阵图显示加息或将提前、经济预测大幅调高通胀前景以及鲍威尔关于通胀讲话暗示美联储可能会采取行动压制通胀的三重作用下，通胀预期转而向下。另外，议息会议之后，一向鸽派的圣路易斯联储行长布拉德转鹰，市场进一步预期美联储收紧政策应对通胀，通胀预期再下行。</p>\n<p><b>原因三：议息会议未改流动性过剩格局。</b></p>\n<p>实际上早在本次议息会议之前，美债利率就已经开启了一轮下行，一方面美联储继续维持每月持续购债的量化宽松政策，另一方面，美国财政部持续削减其TGA账户余额，流动性过剩是此前利率下行的核心逻辑。尽管本次议息会议超预期鹰派，但是对于流动性过剩的格局未产生明显影响，过剩的流动性依然是压低长端美债利率的直接因素。</p>\n<p><b>美债利率短期内将在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡，中长期或将重新回归上行。</b></p>\n<p>本轮美债利率的下行分为两个阶段，美联储6月议息会议之前是流动性过剩和拜登基建计划受阻推动的下行，议息会议之后是流动性过剩下通胀预期下行引发的利率下行。短期而言，我们认为通胀预期可能难以出现单边趋势性下行，市场当前稳定性不足，美债利率将大概率双向波动，且波动性将有所扩大，10年期美债收益率或在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡。昨日美债利率下探1.36%附近更多是交易因素所致，预计10年期美债收益率不会趋势性达到1.3%及以下水平。中长期来看，美债利率主要逻辑或重回基本面和流动性因素，在实际利率回升叠加流动性边际收紧情况下，美债利率或将重新回归上行。</p>\n<p><b>商品和权益方面，利率敏感型商品开始承压，权益资产中周期让位于成长。</b></p>\n<p>随着全球疫后复苏临近高点，经济增长向常态化水平回归，本轮商品牛市的顶部可能已不远，结构进入大分化阶段。美联储Taper或其预期都会使得利率敏感型商品率先承压，如贵金属和基本金属，有产业链供求支撑的品种韧性更强，而国内外需求复苏的节奏差异使得外需驱动型商品涨价持续性优于内需驱动型，这其中原油表现最值得期待。对权益资产而言，2020年以来美债利率充分充当了全球成长板块定价的锚，相关系数为-0.66，随着再通胀交易暂告段落，美债利率的下行为长久期成长板块的超额收益提供支撑，预计前期强势的周期将逐步让位于成长。</p>\n<p><b>风险因素：</b></p>\n<p>疫情超预期反复，美联储Taper超预期推迟或提前。</p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美债利率为何跳水？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 14:07 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/498365.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>昨日美债利率跳水，盘中低点触及1.36%，我们认为三个方面的原因导致了最近几日的美债利率快速下行：第一是再通胀交易“退潮”扰动市场，第二是议息会议引发通胀预期下行，第三是议息会议未改流动性过剩的格局。后续来看，短期内美债利率将大概率双向波动，且波动性将有所扩大，预计将在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡，中长期主要逻辑或重回基本面和流动性因素，利率或将重新回归上行。商品和权益方面，利率敏感型商品开始承压，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/498365.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c52f8b4b569b1d95460e78fe32c888","relate_stocks":{"SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/498365.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2145032141","content_text":"昨日美债利率跳水，盘中低点触及1.36%，我们认为三个方面的原因导致了最近几日的美债利率快速下行：第一是再通胀交易“退潮”扰动市场，第二是议息会议引发通胀预期下行，第三是议息会议未改流动性过剩的格局。后续来看，短期内美债利率将大概率双向波动，且波动性将有所扩大，预计将在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡，中长期主要逻辑或重回基本面和流动性因素，利率或将重新回归上行。商品和权益方面，利率敏感型商品开始承压，权益资产中周期让位于成长。\n原因一：再通胀交易“退潮”是扰动市场的核心诱因。\n近几个交易日的市场波动源于美联储议息会议，市场意识到他们可能高估了美联储对通胀的容忍度。在美元指数继续上升的同时，美债利率下行，这是美国本土通胀预期回落导致的典型的资产价格表现。从10Y美债和10Y TIPS的变化、美债收益率曲线变平，前期押注“再通胀”做陡曲线的交易平仓、基本金属和贵金属下跌，价值股显著走弱等证据可以看出通胀是串联近几个交易日大类资产价格波动的主线，市场在交易通胀“退潮”。\n原因二：议息会议引发通胀预期下行。\n美联储6月议息会议前，美国通胀持续超预期上涨，通胀预期也呈上行趋势。6月议息会议鹰派超出市场预期，在点阵图显示加息或将提前、经济预测大幅调高通胀前景以及鲍威尔关于通胀讲话暗示美联储可能会采取行动压制通胀的三重作用下，通胀预期转而向下。另外，议息会议之后，一向鸽派的圣路易斯联储行长布拉德转鹰，市场进一步预期美联储收紧政策应对通胀，通胀预期再下行。\n原因三：议息会议未改流动性过剩格局。\n实际上早在本次议息会议之前，美债利率就已经开启了一轮下行，一方面美联储继续维持每月持续购债的量化宽松政策，另一方面，美国财政部持续削减其TGA账户余额，流动性过剩是此前利率下行的核心逻辑。尽管本次议息会议超预期鹰派，但是对于流动性过剩的格局未产生明显影响，过剩的流动性依然是压低长端美债利率的直接因素。\n美债利率短期内将在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡，中长期或将重新回归上行。\n本轮美债利率的下行分为两个阶段，美联储6月议息会议之前是流动性过剩和拜登基建计划受阻推动的下行，议息会议之后是流动性过剩下通胀预期下行引发的利率下行。短期而言，我们认为通胀预期可能难以出现单边趋势性下行，市场当前稳定性不足，美债利率将大概率双向波动，且波动性将有所扩大，10年期美债收益率或在1.4%-1.6%之间震荡。昨日美债利率下探1.36%附近更多是交易因素所致，预计10年期美债收益率不会趋势性达到1.3%及以下水平。中长期来看，美债利率主要逻辑或重回基本面和流动性因素，在实际利率回升叠加流动性边际收紧情况下，美债利率或将重新回归上行。\n商品和权益方面，利率敏感型商品开始承压，权益资产中周期让位于成长。\n随着全球疫后复苏临近高点，经济增长向常态化水平回归，本轮商品牛市的顶部可能已不远，结构进入大分化阶段。美联储Taper或其预期都会使得利率敏感型商品率先承压，如贵金属和基本金属，有产业链供求支撑的品种韧性更强，而国内外需求复苏的节奏差异使得外需驱动型商品涨价持续性优于内需驱动型，这其中原油表现最值得期待。对权益资产而言，2020年以来美债利率充分充当了全球成长板块定价的锚，相关系数为-0.66，随着再通胀交易暂告段落，美债利率的下行为长久期成长板块的超额收益提供支撑，预计前期强势的周期将逐步让位于成长。\n风险因素：\n疫情超预期反复，美联储Taper超预期推迟或提前。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BND":0.9,"TNmain":0.9,"UBmain":0.9,"ZBmain":0.9,"ZFmain":0.9,"ZNmain":0.9,"ZTmain":0.9,"GOVT":0.9,"IEF":0.9,"IEI":0.9,"SHY":0.9,"TLT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1498,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":166598667,"gmtCreate":1624015991059,"gmtModify":1634024095207,"author":{"id":"3576561753512796","authorId":"3576561753512796","name":"Hooray","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ffbb4c89c3a140a2d101ba94878f100","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561753512796","authorIdStr":"3576561753512796"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166598667","repostId":"1118107542","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118107542","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623943021,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118107542?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 23:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"WSB概念股盘中走强，AMC院线涨超10%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118107542","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月17日，WSB概念股盘中走强，AMC院线涨超10%，黑莓、高斯电子、游戏驿站涨超4%。","content":"<p>6月17日，WSB概念股盘中走强，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>涨超10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBRY\">黑莓</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KOSS\">高斯电子</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>涨超4%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09113f1c85c700361ff9bd6645e89551\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WSB概念股盘中走强，AMC院线涨超10%</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>涨超10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBRY\">黑莓</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KOSS\">高斯电子</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>涨超4%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09113f1c85c700361ff9bd6645e89551\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"BB":"黑莓","AMC":"AMC院线","KOSS":"高斯电子","GME":"游戏驿站"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118107542","content_text":"6月17日，WSB概念股盘中走强，AMC院线涨超10%，黑莓、高斯电子、游戏驿站涨超4%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"BB":0.9,"GME":0.9,"KOSS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":166501220,"gmtCreate":1624015296160,"gmtModify":1634024102716,"author":{"id":"3576561753512796","authorId":"3576561753512796","name":"Hooray","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ffbb4c89c3a140a2d101ba94878f100","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561753512796","authorIdStr":"3576561753512796"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"要横盘多久","listText":"要横盘多久","text":"要横盘多久","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3450c69d2322cada80ac7502a1b0d889","width":"1125","height":"3313"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166501220","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":161268987,"gmtCreate":1623929317449,"gmtModify":1634025759298,"author":{"id":"3576561753512796","authorId":"3576561753512796","name":"Hooray","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ffbb4c89c3a140a2d101ba94878f100","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561753512796","authorIdStr":"3576561753512796"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ZOM 到底还行不行","listText":"ZOM 到底还行不行","text":"ZOM 到底还行不行","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161268987","repostId":"1149061517","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":161263521,"gmtCreate":1623929223063,"gmtModify":1634025760346,"author":{"id":"3576561753512796","authorId":"3576561753512796","name":"Hooray","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ffbb4c89c3a140a2d101ba94878f100","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561753512796","authorIdStr":"3576561753512796"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这股完了吗","listText":"这股完了吗","text":"这股完了吗","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5aa5d11f24a933aa9d6ad4260501ef35","width":"1125","height":"3313"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161263521","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":377951473,"gmtCreate":1619491425492,"gmtModify":1634212318742,"author":{"id":"3576561753512796","authorId":"3576561753512796","name":"Hooray","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ffbb4c89c3a140a2d101ba94878f100","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576561753512796","authorIdStr":"3576561753512796"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"起飞了吗？大家说说这波能飞多高","listText":"起飞了吗？大家说说这波能飞多高","text":"起飞了吗？大家说说这波能飞多高","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e008165aac79f769768154f8983d0660","width":"1125","height":"3395"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377951473","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}