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LateWizard

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2021-11-16

Expert want a discounted share 😂

Sell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%<blockquote>卖苹果？为什么这位专家认为苹果股价下跌 12%</blockquote>

2021-07-26

😂

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2021-03-21

But the dips

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2021-05-17

Might as well rename to ElonCoins

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2021-07-29

Nio! 😁

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2021-06-24

Good luck with that 😀👍🏻

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2021-02-25

Stonk! 🦍

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2021-05-13

$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ penny stock next year ☺️

2021-11-06

Waiting for fire sale 😅

Why Palantir Stock Offers a Bit of Something for Everyone<blockquote>为什么 Palantir 股票为每个人提供了一些东西</blockquote>

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😅","listText":"Firesale 😅","text":"Firesale 😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603277747","repostId":"603171721","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":603171721,"gmtCreate":1638382734964,"gmtModify":1638405198419,"author":{"id":"3574309605005459","authorId":"3574309605005459","name":"Palantard SG","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0711dc2e779bb4c2a3d2c425f9720032","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574309605005459","idStr":"3574309605005459"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>Bought another 150 shares. 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Sad","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da62cde9d6cb5e5bfd36fe791a5cb9e1","width":"1170","height":"2532"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603171721","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2221,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871133300,"gmtCreate":1637034209695,"gmtModify":1637034209816,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Expert want a discounted share 😂","listText":"Expert want a discounted share 😂","text":"Expert want a discounted share 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871133300","repostId":"1116429379","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116429379","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637033648,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116429379?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 11:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%<blockquote>卖苹果？为什么这位专家认为苹果股价下跌 12%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116429379","media":"Thestreet","summary":"As Apple stock(AAPL) continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street h","content":"<p>As Apple stock(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.</p><p><blockquote>作为苹果股票（<b>苹果</b>）继续徘徊在每股 150 美元左右，华尔街为数不多的怀疑论者之一刚刚发布了他的最新报告。在其中，他强化了 AAPL 的价值应仅 132 美元的观点，表明该股从现在起有 12% 的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.</p><p><blockquote>今天，这位苹果专家重温了伯恩斯坦的托尼-萨科纳吉（Toni Sacconaghi）的温和看跌案例。</blockquote></p><p> The not-so-bullish case</p><p><blockquote>不那么乐观的情况</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he&nbsp;downgraded&nbsp;the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&amp;P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.</p><p><blockquote>自 2018 年 2 月将 AAPL 股票评级下调至中性以来，萨科纳吉先生一直对该股持谨慎态度。事实证明，他此举的时机并不是最佳时机，因为苹果的股价在不到四年的时间里上涨了 285%，而标普500的涨幅为 85%。不过，这位分析师也帮助苹果公司的投资者思考了魔鬼代言人的论点。</blockquote></p><p> In August, I&nbsp;reviewed Bernstein’s thesis&nbsp;in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.</p><p><blockquote>八月份，我更详细地回顾了伯恩斯坦的论文。从短期来看，该银行的研究团队担心苹果股价在今年上半年攀升过快，而苹果将面临一系列艰难的财报季。</blockquote></p><p> Also, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&amp;P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.</p><p><blockquote>此外，托尼还提到估值是一个关键风险。虽然他认为苹果公司的估值应该高于标普500，但这位分析师质疑多少才算太多。伯恩斯坦的目标市盈率为 25 倍，比目前的市盈率低一到两倍。</blockquote></p><p> Add App Store to the list</p><p><blockquote>将App Store添加到列表</blockquote></p><p> Now, the analyst has&nbsp;added&nbsp;one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这位分析师在担忧清单上又增加了一个项目：App Store。萨科纳吉指出，最近的法庭败诉可能意味着最早从下个月开始，将允许在美国 App Store 平台之外进行付款。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.</p><p><blockquote>伯恩斯坦的专家已经算了一笔账。他估计，App Store近三分之一的收入来自美国。如果 App Store 分别占公司总销售额和 op 利润的 6% 和 15%，那么支付问题每年可能会影响苹果 2% 的收入和 5% 的 op 利润。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Maven’s take</p><p><blockquote>苹果·马文的观点</blockquote></p><p> Regarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.</p><p><blockquote>关于托尼之前的担忧，我认为自 9 月初 AAPL 达到顶峰以来，风险已经大大降低。从那时起，投资者有时间充分接受2021年底至2022年初更具挑战性的艰难竞争和供应链限制时期。正如我不久前提到的，估值已经降低到更合理的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding the App Store, I have slowly&nbsp;shifted from more to less concerned&nbsp;about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.</p><p><blockquote>关于 App Store，我已经慢慢从更多关注财务影响转变为不太关注。摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）的凯蒂-休伯蒂（Katy Huberty）认为，App Store 政策的变化最多可能使苹果的每股收益减少 1% 或 2%，这根本不算什么。</blockquote></p><p> Even Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.</p><p><blockquote>即使是萨科纳吉对金融风险的估计也只代表了最坏的情况。实际上，由于 App Store 的支付方式发生变化，苹果收入的 2% 和运营商利润的 5% 最终可能会被削减，因为许多用户将继续选择苹果作为他们的首选支付平台。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sell AAPL? 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Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%<blockquote>卖苹果？为什么这位专家认为苹果股价下跌 12%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-16 11:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As Apple stock(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.</p><p><blockquote>作为苹果股票（<b>苹果</b>）继续徘徊在每股 150 美元左右，华尔街为数不多的怀疑论者之一刚刚发布了他的最新报告。在其中，他强化了 AAPL 的价值应仅 132 美元的观点，表明该股从现在起有 12% 的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.</p><p><blockquote>今天，这位苹果专家重温了伯恩斯坦的托尼-萨科纳吉（Toni Sacconaghi）的温和看跌案例。</blockquote></p><p> The not-so-bullish case</p><p><blockquote>不那么乐观的情况</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he&nbsp;downgraded&nbsp;the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&amp;P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.</p><p><blockquote>自 2018 年 2 月将 AAPL 股票评级下调至中性以来，萨科纳吉先生一直对该股持谨慎态度。事实证明，他此举的时机并不是最佳时机，因为苹果的股价在不到四年的时间里上涨了 285%，而标普500的涨幅为 85%。不过，这位分析师也帮助苹果公司的投资者思考了魔鬼代言人的论点。</blockquote></p><p> In August, I&nbsp;reviewed Bernstein’s thesis&nbsp;in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.</p><p><blockquote>八月份，我更详细地回顾了伯恩斯坦的论文。从短期来看，该银行的研究团队担心苹果股价在今年上半年攀升过快，而苹果将面临一系列艰难的财报季。</blockquote></p><p> Also, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&amp;P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.</p><p><blockquote>此外，托尼还提到估值是一个关键风险。虽然他认为苹果公司的估值应该高于标普500，但这位分析师质疑多少才算太多。伯恩斯坦的目标市盈率为 25 倍，比目前的市盈率低一到两倍。</blockquote></p><p> Add App Store to the list</p><p><blockquote>将App Store添加到列表</blockquote></p><p> Now, the analyst has&nbsp;added&nbsp;one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这位分析师在担忧清单上又增加了一个项目：App Store。萨科纳吉指出，最近的法庭败诉可能意味着最早从下个月开始，将允许在美国 App Store 平台之外进行付款。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.</p><p><blockquote>伯恩斯坦的专家已经算了一笔账。他估计，App Store近三分之一的收入来自美国。如果 App Store 分别占公司总销售额和 op 利润的 6% 和 15%，那么支付问题每年可能会影响苹果 2% 的收入和 5% 的 op 利润。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Maven’s take</p><p><blockquote>苹果·马文的观点</blockquote></p><p> Regarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.</p><p><blockquote>关于托尼之前的担忧，我认为自 9 月初 AAPL 达到顶峰以来，风险已经大大降低。从那时起，投资者有时间充分接受2021年底至2022年初更具挑战性的艰难竞争和供应链限制时期。正如我不久前提到的，估值已经降低到更合理的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding the App Store, I have slowly&nbsp;shifted from more to less concerned&nbsp;about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.</p><p><blockquote>关于 App Store，我已经慢慢从更多关注财务影响转变为不太关注。摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）的凯蒂-休伯蒂（Katy Huberty）认为，App Store 政策的变化最多可能使苹果的每股收益减少 1% 或 2%，这根本不算什么。</blockquote></p><p> Even Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.</p><p><blockquote>即使是萨科纳吉对金融风险的估计也只代表了最坏的情况。实际上，由于 App Store 的支付方式发生变化，苹果收入的 2% 和运营商利润的 5% 最终可能会被削减，因为许多用户将继续选择苹果作为他们的首选支付平台。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/sell-aapl-why-this-expert-sees-apple-stock-dipping-12\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/sell-aapl-why-this-expert-sees-apple-stock-dipping-12","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116429379","content_text":"As Apple stock(AAPL) continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.\nToday, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.\nThe not-so-bullish case\nMr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he downgraded the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.\nIn August, I reviewed Bernstein’s thesis in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.\nAlso, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.\nAdd App Store to the list\nNow, the analyst has added one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.\nBernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.\nApple Maven’s take\nRegarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.\nRegarding the App Store, I have slowly shifted from more to less concerned about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.\nEven Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2624,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842366697,"gmtCreate":1636137732303,"gmtModify":1636137732778,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Waiting for fire sale 😅&nbsp;","listText":"Waiting for fire sale 😅&nbsp;","text":"Waiting for fire sale 😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842366697","repostId":"1127340608","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127340608","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636124077,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1127340608?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 22:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Palantir Stock Offers a Bit of Something for Everyone<blockquote>为什么 Palantir 股票为每个人提供了一些东西</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127340608","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"PLTR has short-term and long-term opportunities","content":"<p><div> I first came in contact with Palantir(NYSE:PLTR) stock earlier this year and immediately knew it was something special. The underlying bullish thesis was clear, so I traded it successfully in the past...</p><p><blockquote><div>今年早些时候，我第一次接触到 Palantir（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PLTR）股票，并立即知道它很特别。潜在的看涨论点很明确，所以我过去成功地交易了它……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Palantir Stock Offers a Bit of Something for Everyone<blockquote>为什么 Palantir 股票为每个人提供了一些东西</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Palantir Stock Offers a Bit of Something for Everyone<blockquote>为什么 Palantir 股票为每个人提供了一些东西</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 22:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> I first came in contact with Palantir(NYSE:PLTR) stock earlier this year and immediately knew it was something special. The underlying bullish thesis was clear, so I traded it successfully in the past...</p><p><blockquote><div>今年早些时候，我第一次接触到 Palantir（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PLTR）股票，并立即知道它很特别。潜在的看涨论点很明确，所以我过去成功地交易了它……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127340608","content_text":"I first came in contact with Palantir(NYSE:PLTR) stock earlier this year and immediately knew it was something special. The underlying bullish thesis was clear, so I traded it successfully in the past few months. The easiest opportunities came when it fell in sympathy to other small-cap stocks.\nThe problem with it is that it is temporarily part of the Reddit cohort of stocks. That’s a “problem” because Palantir has fundamentals that are near bulletproof.\nThe company doesn’t need to be moving with others stocks — meme stocks — that have far more questionable scenarios. PLTR stock does not deserve to rally this fast in both directions.\nI was lucky enough to be long it when it spiked with the GameStop(NYSE:GME) storm in February. It almost hit $46 per share, then came crashing down too fast. Those who didn’t book profits at the top had a nasty reversal on their hands.\nSince then it has continued to whipsaw violently, but in a tighter range. This opened the door for actively trading it for profit. The plan was simple: Buy the dips and sell the rips.\nSome of the easiest wins have come from selling puts on bad days under $20 per share. These are bullish positions that leave room for error.\nPLTR Stock Will Be Up If Markets Are Up\nSource: Charts by TradingView\nIn the long run, I am confident that if the stock markets are higher, than so is Palantir. It it important to note that shorter term, I am not a perma-bull.\nI have been realistic about the levels where it has resistance. For example I stopped my friends from chasing it in September near $30 per share. Sure enough, it failed and corrected 20% during the September market-wide spat.\nSince then PLTR stock found footing and rallied back 17%. Are you dizzy yet? It gets better because I expect the bulls to eventually go above $30. And when they do that, they go for another 20% from there.\nMeanwhile, the short-term strategy remains to trade the range until one of the sides fails.\nI anticipate that for the foreseeable future, PLTR stock has support near $22 per share. If that fails, then much stronger buyers would step in below $20 … including me. Looking up, there are at least three levels of resistance (see chart). But once past them, the bulls will likely reach $36 per share.\nBuy and Hold Will Work for Patient Investors\nThe fundamentals suggest that it’s probably easiest to just buy the stock and hold it for the long term. The company already has a revenue rate of $1.4 billion. Management recently secured a contract guaranteeing them a 25% increase.\nIn short, there’s absolutely nothing wrong with the fundamentals, and the team seems capable. They are in the right business and at the right time. Artificial intelligence (AI) has become an absolute necessity for all businesses. Up until last year, AI was more of a novelty.\nSince the pandemic, the rate of data collection has expanded tremendously. The people can no longer make use of it efficiently to be effective. We will need the help of machines to act on all the bits of information we collect.\nPalantir delivers a setup that empowers users to make decisions on the fly. Moreover, they have two lines of business, one commercial and the other with the government. We all know how much those folks love to overpay for stuff.\nThe future is bright for this company and it will be in the lead pack of the stock market.IBM(NYSE:IBM) would learn a thing or two on how to implement a strategy. They’ve been trying to do this AI thing for decades.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840671367,"gmtCreate":1635646174850,"gmtModify":1635646174982,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"It's time to short 😅","listText":"It's time to short 😅","text":"It's time to short 😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840671367","repostId":"840646011","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":840646011,"gmtCreate":1635645770352,"gmtModify":1635645776361,"author":{"id":"4087735305621010","authorId":"4087735305621010","name":"blackblack1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77a3f9b815b90862b1826692953a69dd","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087735305621010","idStr":"4087735305621010"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>is time now","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a>is time now","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$is time now","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9371a926eed854e57490f98721abaacf","width":"1080","height":"3013"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840646011","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3988,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":815189815,"gmtCreate":1630655958837,"gmtModify":1631890353576,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815189815","repostId":"815358257","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":815358257,"gmtCreate":1630648545879,"gmtModify":1631883689363,"author":{"id":"3563672045211925","authorId":"3563672045211925","name":"balm","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b3156e053d7ec11324d42163b84c2d1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563672045211925","idStr":"3563672045211925"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPNG\">$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$</a>buy on dip?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPNG\">$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$</a>buy on dip?","text":"$Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$buy on 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😁&nbsp;","text":"Nio! 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next? Viagra to treat cancer? 😂","listText":"What's next? Viagra to treat cancer? 😂","text":"What's next? Viagra to treat cancer? 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142198533","repostId":"2145097055","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149405710,"gmtCreate":1625740418730,"gmtModify":1631890353645,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😂&nbsp;","listText":"😂&nbsp;","text":"😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149405710","repostId":"1141778926","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141778926","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625737388,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141778926?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 17:43","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Global Food Costs Finally Drop After Surge to Decade High<blockquote>全球食品成本在飙升至十年高点后终于下降</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141778926","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Global food prices fell for the first time in a year, potentially offering some relie","content":"<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Global food prices fell for the first time in a year, potentially offering some relief for consumers and easing inflationary pressures. A United Nations gauge of food costs dropped 2.5%...</p><p><blockquote><div>（彭博社）——全球食品价格一年来首次下跌，可能会给消费者带来一些缓解并缓解通胀压力。联合国的食品成本指标下降了2.5%...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-food-costs-end-long-080000786.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-food-costs-end-long-080000786.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Global Food Costs Finally Drop After Surge to Decade High<blockquote>全球食品成本在飙升至十年高点后终于下降</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGlobal Food Costs Finally Drop After Surge to Decade High<blockquote>全球食品成本在飙升至十年高点后终于下降</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 17:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> (Bloomberg) -- Global food prices fell for the first time in a year, potentially offering some relief for consumers and easing inflationary pressures. A United Nations gauge of food costs dropped 2.5%...</p><p><blockquote><div>（彭博社）——全球食品价格一年来首次下跌，可能会给消费者带来一些缓解并缓解通胀压力。联合国的食品成本指标下降了2.5%...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-food-costs-end-long-080000786.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-food-costs-end-long-080000786.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-food-costs-end-long-080000786.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-food-costs-end-long-080000786.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141778926","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Global food prices fell for the first time in a year, potentially offering some relief for consumers and easing inflationary pressures.\nA United Nations gauge of food costs dropped 2.5% in June, easing from a nine-year high and marking the first decline since May 2020. Prices of vegetable oils and cereals declined during the month, offsetting gains in meat and sugar.\nCosts of grains to meat to vegetable oils -- ingredients that feed through to countless grocery items -- rallied this year on big Chinese imports, the reopening of economies and weather risks to crops. Last month’s decline could reduce inflation risks, both for central banks facing pressure to tighten stimulus measures as well as poorer nations that are highly dependent on imports to feed their populations.\nStill, the index tracks costs on a raw-material level and it takes time for price changes to feed through to store shelves. Shipping costs have also soared, complicating trade of products like sugar, and the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization last month predicted the global food import bill to hit an all-time high in 2021.\n“I don’t think that we’ll see the impact of this mild decline being felt by consumers given all the other factors that we know are still there,” Abdolreza Abbassian, a senior economist at the FAO, said by phone.\nThere may be more relief in store for consumers in the medium to long term. A recent outlook from the UN and Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development forecast slowing demand and rising output to temper food prices in the coming years. And on Thursday, the UN said it expects global grain stockpiles to rise 2.4% in 2021-22, the first increase in four seasons.\nStill Expensive\nWorld food prices still remain historically high, up about 34% from the same time last year. Crop prices are hinging on the weather in the months ahead to determine whether harvests in Europe and North America will be large enough to replenish strained stockpiles. Much will also depend on China’s imports in the months ahead, Abbassian said, citing a rising outlook for the country’s corn stockpiles.\nIncome losses during the pandemic are also exacerbating food insecurity, adding to the challenges from high prices, the World Food Programme said in a separate statement Thursday.\n“We already have conflict, climate and Covid-19 working together to push more people into hunger and misery,” WFP Chief Economist Arif Husain said. “Now, food prices have joined the deadly trio.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127479257,"gmtCreate":1624867005379,"gmtModify":1631890353663,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"3.50 buy in safer.&nbsp;","listText":"3.50 buy in safer.&nbsp;","text":"3.50 buy in safer.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127479257","repostId":"127453190","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":127453190,"gmtCreate":1624865631110,"gmtModify":1631885594971,"author":{"id":"3580619852870131","authorId":"3580619852870131","name":"boon2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/492254a6ed5d65b6497390aed7f42355","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3580619852870131","idStr":"3580619852870131"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a> drop.. Drop drop more to $4.00 pls.. So that I can buy in...&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C6L.SI\">$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$</a> drop.. Drop drop more to $4.00 pls.. So that I can buy in...&nbsp;","text":"$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ drop.. Drop drop more to $4.00 pls.. So that I can buy in...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127453190","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126893334,"gmtCreate":1624550055228,"gmtModify":1631890353669,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Now we know why there CEO is buying so much stock before this news 😏😏😏","listText":"Now we know why there CEO is buying so much stock before this news 😏😏😏","text":"Now we know why there CEO is buying so much stock before this news 😏😏😏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126893334","repostId":"2145877550","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126070586,"gmtCreate":1624540079945,"gmtModify":1631890353680,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","listText":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","text":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126070586","repostId":"1176854050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166366905,"gmtCreate":1623992257007,"gmtModify":1631884666337,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Personally avoid China tech stock for now..&nbsp;","listText":"Personally avoid China tech stock for now..&nbsp;","text":"Personally avoid China tech stock for now..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166366905","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中拥有多种增长动力，这使得其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会随着潜在的双底价格行动信号而转向看涨。</li><li>我们将讨论公司的多重增长动力，让投资者自己判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永元/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自 11 月 20 日初蚂蚁金服 IPO 被撤销以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价经历了可怕的 8 个月，该股在低迷中萎靡不振，较高点下跌了 34%。在考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显，阿里巴巴具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且在其关键的 50W 均线上总体上得到了良好的支撑。在过去 4 年中，它唯一一次失去关键的 50W MA 支撑位是在 2018 年熊市期间，当时阿里巴巴下跌了约 40%，但仍在重要的 200W MA 上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是 “最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA以上得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像 2018 年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平可能是一个可能的技术性买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩张的增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度电子商务收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV从1.68吨人民币增长到7.49吨人民币，仅用了7年时间，复合年增长率达到了23.8%，增长率着实惊人。我们还看到其 GMV 增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从 76.7 亿元人民币增长到 473.68 亿元人民币，过去 10 年的复合年增长率为 51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然小得多，但在过去10年中，其CAGR仍以30.42%的速度增长，这绝不是缓慢的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度预计将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为 12.4%，从 2021 年的 13.8 万亿元人民币（相当于 2.16 万亿元人民币）下降到 2024 年的 19.6 万亿元人民币（相当于 3.06 万亿元人民币），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将中国市场的增长率和规模与美国电子商务市场进行比较时，我们可以看到它们在规模和增长率上的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场从 2021 年到 2025 年的复合年增长率预计仅为 4.67%，大大低于中国的 12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约 5630 亿美元，相当于届时中国市场预期价值的 18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自其快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克股票代码：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克股票代码：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经经营着一项利润更高的业务（息税前税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计将继续实现强劲的盈利能力展望未来，这将为该公司提供巨大的灵活性，以与京东和PDD正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到了其 SG&amp;A 中反映的 27.82 亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率向下倾斜。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个重要举措是公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是 PDD 的主要电子商务战略，PDD 在最近一个季度共获得了 8.23 亿 AAC，而阿里巴巴的 8.91 亿 AAC。考虑到 2017 年第二季度 PDD 的 AAC 数量仅为 1 亿，而同期阿里巴巴的 AAC 数量为 4.66 亿，PDD 的 AAC 增长确实惊人。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转移到社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出它的大枪（它已经拥有）来与PDD和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到 2022 年 1020 亿元人民币的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴 21 财年中国商业收入的 21.5% 左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过 2019 年至 2022 年 3 年间 44.22% 的快速复合年增长率。虽然这个市场还比较小，但阿里巴巴不能让这个市场目前的领头羊：PDD在众人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地占据主导地位，吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取其在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止PDD扩大其领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中我们可以观察到，PDD 预计将在未来几年继续快速增长其收入，尽管预计随后将恢复正常。更重要的是，PDD 预计未来还将不断提高其息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力。这表明，社区市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势加以利用，才能在游戏初期否认 PDD 无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公共云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；通道</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：CAICT；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公共云市场占有 40% 的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管阿里巴巴处于领先地位，但阿里巴巴仍处于大量投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从 2017 年的 264.8 亿元人民币增长到 2023 年的 2307.4 亿元人民币，复合年增长率将达到 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的惊人增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤为明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从 2017 年的 1450 亿美元增长到 2022 年的 3970 亿美元，复合年增长率将达到 22.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。资料来源：CnTechPost；高德纳</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在 2020 年以 9.5% 的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOGL）（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOG）GCP 的领先优势，我并不感到惊讶。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场的明显领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。虽然阿里巴巴的云业务尚未实现息税前利润（21 财年息税前利润率：-15%，20 财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的 GCP 也没有实现盈利（20 财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19 财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务，预计阿里巴巴将在这些地区拥有更强大的领导地位，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常有说服力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/息税前利润3年范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/前轮驱动息税前利润和电动汽车/前轮驱动转速趋势。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑到阿里巴巴的 TEV / EBIT 历史范围（3 年平均值为 33.54 倍）时，阿里巴巴的 EV / Fwd EBIT 趋势无疑意味着该股被严重低估，因为阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍有望快速增长。不过，由于我们希望更清楚地了解阿里巴巴的息税前利润是如何估值的，因此我们认为，如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，这将是有用的，如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史息税前利润和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司的一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的电动汽车/息税前利润看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴在区间中点的公允价值区间为 294.98 美元，基于当前 210 美元的股价，这代表着 40.5% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着 Mr.市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场计划和不断增长的阿里云部门等仍有很大的潜在上涨空间。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因仅仅是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该认识到这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。关键在于，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有巨大的影响力，而这些行为和行动有时在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能因此大幅打折阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长征程中的一个昙花一现，那么你一定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续交付稳健的业绩，证明了该公司良好执行的强大能力。由于公司将继续在一个拥有众多增长动力的市场中运营，这些增长动力有望推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现目前的估值极具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票：触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li>  <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li>  <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li>  <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中拥有多种增长动力，这使得其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会随着潜在的双底价格行动信号而转向看涨。</li><li>我们将讨论公司的多重增长动力，让投资者自己判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永元/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s&nbsp;stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自 11 月 20 日初蚂蚁金服 IPO 被撤销以来，阿里巴巴-SW的股价经历了可怕的 8 个月，该股在低迷中萎靡不振，较高点下跌了 34%。在考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时，很明显，阿里巴巴具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差，并且在其关键的 50W 均线上总体上得到了良好的支撑。在过去 4 年中，它唯一一次失去关键的 50W MA 支撑位是在 2018 年熊市期间，当时阿里巴巴下跌了约 40%，但仍在重要的 200W MA 上方得到良好支撑，我们通常认为这是 “最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况：下跌34%，失去了50W MA，但看起来在200W MA以上得到了很好的支撑。除此之外，价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨：潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底，就像 2018 年熊市期间一样，随后强劲反弹。因此，阿里巴巴目前的水平可能是一个可能的技术性买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点：快速扩张的增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度电子商务收入。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV从1.68吨人民币增长到7.49吨人民币，仅用了7年时间，复合年增长率达到了23.8%，增长率着实惊人。我们还看到其 GMV 增长转化为收入增长，其中国商业收入从 76.7 亿元人民币增长到 473.68 亿元人民币，过去 10 年的复合年增长率为 51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然小得多，但在过去10年中，其CAGR仍以30.42%的速度增长，这绝不是缓慢的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度预计将大幅放缓，复合年增长率为 12.4%，从 2021 年的 13.8 万亿元人民币（相当于 2.16 万亿元人民币）下降到 2024 年的 19.6 万亿元人民币（相当于 3.06 万亿元人民币），但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源：Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将中国市场的增长率和规模与美国电子商务市场进行比较时，我们可以看到它们在规模和增长率上的巨大差异，因为美国电子商务市场从 2021 年到 2025 年的复合年增长率预计仅为 4.67%，大大低于中国的 12.4%。此外，美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约 5630 亿美元，相当于届时中国市场预期价值的 18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&amp;A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自其快速增长的主要竞争对手京东（纳斯达克股票代码：JD）和拼多多（纳斯达克股票代码：PDD）的越来越大的竞争压力，但阿里巴巴已经经营着一项利润更高的业务（息税前税前利润和自由现金流），并且预计将继续实现强劲的盈利能力展望未来，这将为该公司提供巨大的灵活性，以与京东和PDD正面竞争，以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到，阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到了其 SG&amp;A 中反映的 27.82 亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响，因此其息税前利润率向下倾斜。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of&nbsp;823M AAC&nbsp;in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only&nbsp;100M AAC in Q2’C17&nbsp;as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个重要举措是公司决定进一步投资社区市场，这是 PDD 的主要电子商务战略，PDD 在最近一个季度共获得了 8.23 亿 AAC，而阿里巴巴的 8.91 亿 AAC。考虑到 2017 年第二季度 PDD 的 AAC 数量仅为 1 亿，而同期阿里巴巴的 AAC 数量为 4.66 亿，PDD 的 AAC 增长确实惊人。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此，增长势头肯定已经转移到社区市场领域，阿里巴巴需要拿出它的大枪（它已经拥有）来与PDD和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源：艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到 2022 年 1020 亿元人民币的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴 21 财年中国商业收入的 21.5% 左右，但阿里巴巴不能错过 2019 年至 2022 年 3 年间 44.22% 的快速复合年增长率。虽然这个市场还比较小，但阿里巴巴不能让这个市场目前的领头羊：PDD在众人不知情的情况下，如此轻易地占据主导地位，吞噬早期的高增长率。当然，阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取其在这一领域的地位，并争取早期领导地位，以防止PDD扩大其领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics &amp; revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中我们可以观察到，PDD 预计将在未来几年继续快速增长其收入，尽管预计随后将恢复正常。更重要的是，PDD 预计未来还将不断提高其息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力。这表明，社区市场是一个非常重要的增长动力，阿里巴巴必须利用其优势加以利用，才能在游戏初期否认 PDD 无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公共云支出。来源：中国互联网观察；通道</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源：CAICT；新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公共云市场占有 40% 的份额，远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而，值得注意的是，尽管阿里巴巴处于领先地位，但阿里巴巴仍处于大量投资模式，以继续扩大其市场份额，因为中国公共云市场预计将从 2017 年的 264.8 亿元人民币增长到 2023 年的 2307.4 亿元人民币，复合年增长率将达到 43.4%，这是一个令人难以置信的惊人增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率（见下文）进行比较时，这一点尤为明显，因为全球公共云支出预计将从 2017 年的 1450 亿美元增长到 2022 年的 3970 亿美元，复合年增长率将达到 22.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源：Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。资料来源：CnTechPost；高德纳</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此，阿里云在 2020 年以 9.5% 的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOGL）（纳斯达克股票代码：GOOG）GCP 的领先优势，我并不感到惊讶。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场的明显领导者，但随着公共云支出的持续扩大，其市场份额大幅下降，这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位，我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。虽然阿里巴巴的云业务尚未实现息税前利润（21 财年息税前利润率：-15%，20 财年息税前利润率：-17.5%），但值得注意的是，Alphabet的 GCP 也没有实现盈利（20 财年息税前利润率：-42.9%，19 财年息税前利润率：-52%）。因此，我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务，预计阿里巴巴将在这些地区拥有更强大的领导地位，使其能够更快地增长，投资者应该预计随着时间的推移，这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常有说服力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/息税前利润3年范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/前轮驱动息税前利润和电动汽车/前轮驱动转速趋势。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑到阿里巴巴的 TEV / EBIT 历史范围（3 年平均值为 33.54 倍）时，阿里巴巴的 EV / Fwd EBIT 趋势无疑意味着该股被严重低估，因为阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍有望快速增长。不过，由于我们希望更清楚地了解阿里巴巴的息税前利润是如何估值的，因此我们认为，如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值，这将是有用的，如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史息税前利润和远期息税前利润，我们可以看到，与基准公司的一组观察值的中值相比，阿里巴巴的电动汽车/息税前利润看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴在区间中点的公允价值区间为 294.98 美元，基于当前 210 美元的股价，这代表着 40.5% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在，看着 Mr.市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣，就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源，而事实上，其商业部门、新的市场计划和不断增长的阿里云部门等仍有很大的潜在上涨空间。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因仅仅是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该认识到这种风险是非常真实的，有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查（事实上这并不是什么新鲜事）。关键在于，中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有巨大的影响力，而这些行为和行动有时在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性，因此他们可能因此大幅打折阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性，那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而，如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长征程中的一个昙花一现，那么你一定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力，再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续交付稳健的业绩，证明了该公司良好执行的强大能力。由于公司将继续在一个拥有众多增长动力的市场中运营，这些增长动力有望推动公司未来的增长，投资者应该会发现目前的估值极具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187870781,"gmtCreate":1623750435243,"gmtModify":1631893430346,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"&nbsp;🦍&nbsp;","listText":"&nbsp;🦍&nbsp;","text":"🦍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187870781","repostId":"1181891821","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":849,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192640562,"gmtCreate":1621208513656,"gmtModify":1631893430374,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","listText":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","text":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192640562","repostId":"1134346216","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191251034,"gmtCreate":1620883018328,"gmtModify":1631884854661,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;penny stock next year ☺️&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;penny stock next year ☺️&nbsp;","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ penny stock next year ☺️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191251034","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102601715,"gmtCreate":1620202077637,"gmtModify":1631885488374,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Time to short it 😂😂","listText":"Time to short it 😂😂","text":"Time to short it 😂😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102601715","repostId":"2133545119","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2133545119","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620159180,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2133545119?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-05 04:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Activision Blizzard Tops Q1 EPS by 28c; Raises Outlook<blockquote>动视暴雪第一季度每股收益高达 28c；提高前景</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2133545119","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI) reported Q1 EPS of $0.98, $0.28 better than the analyst estimate ","content":"<p>Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI) reported Q1 EPS of $0.98, $0.28 better than the analyst estimate of $0.70. Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.28 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.78 billion.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab84ce5aadf676ca6f19ae08db5de0d2\" tg-width=\"1110\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Our employees continue to demonstrate exceptional performance under challenging circumstances,” said Bobby Kotick, CEO of Activision Blizzard. “That relentless drive across our franchises produced strong first quarter results that were well ahead of expectations. Our continued overperformance enables us to raise our outlook for the full year.”<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fdd25895091867c5267f6a16a068911\" tg-width=\"702\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪（纳斯达克股票代码：ATVI）公布第一季度每股收益为 0.98 美元，比分析师预期的 0.70 美元高出 0.28 美元。本季度收入为 22.8 亿美元，而市场普遍预期为 17.8 亿美元。“动视暴雪首席执行官鲍比-科蒂克（Bobby Kotick）说：”我们的员工在充满挑战的环境下继续表现出色。“我们对特许经营店的不懈努力带来了强劲的第一季度业绩，远远超出了预期。我们持续的优异表现使我们能够上调全年的展望”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GUIDANCE:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>指导意见：</b></blockquote></p><p> Activision Blizzard sees Q2 2021 EPS of $0.91, versus the consensus of $0.75. Activision Blizzard sees Q2 2021 revenue of $2.135 billion, versus the consensus of $1.81 billion.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪预计 2021 年第二季度每股收益为 0.91 美元，而市场普遍预期为 0.75 美元。动视暴雪预计 2021 年第二季度营收为 21.35 亿美元，而市场普遍预期为 18.1 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Activision Blizzard sees FY2021 EPS of $3.42, versus the consensus of $3.65. Activision Blizzard sees FY2021 revenue of $8.37 billion, versus the consensus of $8.55 billion.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪预计 2021 财年每股收益为 3.42 美元，而市场普遍预期为 3.65 美元。动视暴雪预计 2021 财年营收为 83.7 亿美元，而市场普遍预期为 85.5 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Activision Blizzard Tops Q1 EPS by 28c; Raises Outlook<blockquote>动视暴雪第一季度每股收益高达 28c；提高前景</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nActivision Blizzard Tops Q1 EPS by 28c; Raises Outlook<blockquote>动视暴雪第一季度每股收益高达 28c；提高前景</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-05 04:13</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI) reported Q1 EPS of $0.98, $0.28 better than the analyst estimate of $0.70. Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.28 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.78 billion.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab84ce5aadf676ca6f19ae08db5de0d2\" tg-width=\"1110\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Our employees continue to demonstrate exceptional performance under challenging circumstances,” said Bobby Kotick, CEO of Activision Blizzard. “That relentless drive across our franchises produced strong first quarter results that were well ahead of expectations. Our continued overperformance enables us to raise our outlook for the full year.”<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fdd25895091867c5267f6a16a068911\" tg-width=\"702\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪（纳斯达克股票代码：ATVI）公布第一季度每股收益为 0.98 美元，比分析师预期的 0.70 美元高出 0.28 美元。本季度收入为 22.8 亿美元，而市场普遍预期为 17.8 亿美元。“动视暴雪首席执行官鲍比-科蒂克（Bobby Kotick）说：”我们的员工在充满挑战的环境下继续表现出色。“我们对特许经营店的不懈努力带来了强劲的第一季度业绩，远远超出了预期。我们持续的优异表现使我们能够上调全年的展望”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GUIDANCE:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>指导意见：</b></blockquote></p><p> Activision Blizzard sees Q2 2021 EPS of $0.91, versus the consensus of $0.75. Activision Blizzard sees Q2 2021 revenue of $2.135 billion, versus the consensus of $1.81 billion.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪预计 2021 年第二季度每股收益为 0.91 美元，而市场普遍预期为 0.75 美元。动视暴雪预计 2021 年第二季度营收为 21.35 亿美元，而市场普遍预期为 18.1 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Activision Blizzard sees FY2021 EPS of $3.42, versus the consensus of $3.65. Activision Blizzard sees FY2021 revenue of $8.37 billion, versus the consensus of $8.55 billion.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪预计 2021 财年每股收益为 3.42 美元，而市场普遍预期为 3.65 美元。动视暴雪预计 2021 财年营收为 83.7 亿美元，而市场普遍预期为 85.5 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2133545119","content_text":"Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI) reported Q1 EPS of $0.98, $0.28 better than the analyst estimate of $0.70. Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.28 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.78 billion.“Our employees continue to demonstrate exceptional performance under challenging circumstances,” said Bobby Kotick, CEO of Activision Blizzard. “That relentless drive across our franchises produced strong first quarter results that were well ahead of expectations. Our continued overperformance enables us to raise our outlook for the full year.”\nGUIDANCE:\nActivision Blizzard sees Q2 2021 EPS of $0.91, versus the consensus of $0.75. Activision Blizzard sees Q2 2021 revenue of $2.135 billion, versus the consensus of $1.81 billion.\nActivision Blizzard sees FY2021 EPS of $3.42, versus the consensus of $3.65. Activision Blizzard sees FY2021 revenue of $8.37 billion, versus the consensus of $8.55 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ATVI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":862,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108927239,"gmtCreate":1619995758021,"gmtModify":1631893430388,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576797853255359","idStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😂&nbsp;","listText":"😂&nbsp;","text":"😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108927239","repostId":"101557641","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":101557641,"gmtCreate":1619925372883,"gmtModify":1634209069935,"author":{"id":"3570742778586711","authorId":"3570742778586711","name":"firefirefire","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c04f323294e537812b906a523831e3c8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570742778586711","idStr":"3570742778586711"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tiger is still sleeping","listText":"Tiger is still sleeping","text":"Tiger is still sleeping","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5acd19f89c50a04eab47a6cfa9860a69","width":"1080","height":"2007"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101557641","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":871133300,"gmtCreate":1637034209695,"gmtModify":1637034209816,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Expert want a discounted share 😂","listText":"Expert want a discounted share 😂","text":"Expert want a discounted share 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871133300","repostId":"1116429379","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116429379","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637033648,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116429379?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 11:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%<blockquote>卖苹果？为什么这位专家认为苹果股价下跌 12%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116429379","media":"Thestreet","summary":"As Apple stock(AAPL) continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street h","content":"<p>As Apple stock(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.</p><p><blockquote>作为苹果股票（<b>苹果</b>）继续徘徊在每股 150 美元左右，华尔街为数不多的怀疑论者之一刚刚发布了他的最新报告。在其中，他强化了 AAPL 的价值应仅 132 美元的观点，表明该股从现在起有 12% 的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.</p><p><blockquote>今天，这位苹果专家重温了伯恩斯坦的托尼-萨科纳吉（Toni Sacconaghi）的温和看跌案例。</blockquote></p><p> The not-so-bullish case</p><p><blockquote>不那么乐观的情况</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he&nbsp;downgraded&nbsp;the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&amp;P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.</p><p><blockquote>自 2018 年 2 月将 AAPL 股票评级下调至中性以来，萨科纳吉先生一直对该股持谨慎态度。事实证明，他此举的时机并不是最佳时机，因为苹果的股价在不到四年的时间里上涨了 285%，而标普500的涨幅为 85%。不过，这位分析师也帮助苹果公司的投资者思考了魔鬼代言人的论点。</blockquote></p><p> In August, I&nbsp;reviewed Bernstein’s thesis&nbsp;in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.</p><p><blockquote>八月份，我更详细地回顾了伯恩斯坦的论文。从短期来看，该银行的研究团队担心苹果股价在今年上半年攀升过快，而苹果将面临一系列艰难的财报季。</blockquote></p><p> Also, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&amp;P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.</p><p><blockquote>此外，托尼还提到估值是一个关键风险。虽然他认为苹果公司的估值应该高于标普500，但这位分析师质疑多少才算太多。伯恩斯坦的目标市盈率为 25 倍，比目前的市盈率低一到两倍。</blockquote></p><p> Add App Store to the list</p><p><blockquote>将App Store添加到列表</blockquote></p><p> Now, the analyst has&nbsp;added&nbsp;one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这位分析师在担忧清单上又增加了一个项目：App Store。萨科纳吉指出，最近的法庭败诉可能意味着最早从下个月开始，将允许在美国 App Store 平台之外进行付款。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.</p><p><blockquote>伯恩斯坦的专家已经算了一笔账。他估计，App Store近三分之一的收入来自美国。如果 App Store 分别占公司总销售额和 op 利润的 6% 和 15%，那么支付问题每年可能会影响苹果 2% 的收入和 5% 的 op 利润。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Maven’s take</p><p><blockquote>苹果·马文的观点</blockquote></p><p> Regarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.</p><p><blockquote>关于托尼之前的担忧，我认为自 9 月初 AAPL 达到顶峰以来，风险已经大大降低。从那时起，投资者有时间充分接受2021年底至2022年初更具挑战性的艰难竞争和供应链限制时期。正如我不久前提到的，估值已经降低到更合理的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding the App Store, I have slowly&nbsp;shifted from more to less concerned&nbsp;about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.</p><p><blockquote>关于 App Store，我已经慢慢从更多关注财务影响转变为不太关注。摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）的凯蒂-休伯蒂（Katy Huberty）认为，App Store 政策的变化最多可能使苹果的每股收益减少 1% 或 2%，这根本不算什么。</blockquote></p><p> Even Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.</p><p><blockquote>即使是萨科纳吉对金融风险的估计也只代表了最坏的情况。实际上，由于 App Store 的支付方式发生变化，苹果收入的 2% 和运营商利润的 5% 最终可能会被削减，因为许多用户将继续选择苹果作为他们的首选支付平台。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%<blockquote>卖苹果？为什么这位专家认为苹果股价下跌 12%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSell AAPL? Why This Expert Sees Apple Stock Dipping 12%<blockquote>卖苹果？为什么这位专家认为苹果股价下跌 12%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Thestreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-16 11:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As Apple stock(<b>AAPL</b>)&nbsp;continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.</p><p><blockquote>作为苹果股票（<b>苹果</b>）继续徘徊在每股 150 美元左右，华尔街为数不多的怀疑论者之一刚刚发布了他的最新报告。在其中，他强化了 AAPL 的价值应仅 132 美元的观点，表明该股从现在起有 12% 的下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> Today, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.</p><p><blockquote>今天，这位苹果专家重温了伯恩斯坦的托尼-萨科纳吉（Toni Sacconaghi）的温和看跌案例。</blockquote></p><p> The not-so-bullish case</p><p><blockquote>不那么乐观的情况</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he&nbsp;downgraded&nbsp;the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&amp;P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.</p><p><blockquote>自 2018 年 2 月将 AAPL 股票评级下调至中性以来，萨科纳吉先生一直对该股持谨慎态度。事实证明，他此举的时机并不是最佳时机，因为苹果的股价在不到四年的时间里上涨了 285%，而标普500的涨幅为 85%。不过，这位分析师也帮助苹果公司的投资者思考了魔鬼代言人的论点。</blockquote></p><p> In August, I&nbsp;reviewed Bernstein’s thesis&nbsp;in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.</p><p><blockquote>八月份，我更详细地回顾了伯恩斯坦的论文。从短期来看，该银行的研究团队担心苹果股价在今年上半年攀升过快，而苹果将面临一系列艰难的财报季。</blockquote></p><p> Also, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&amp;P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.</p><p><blockquote>此外，托尼还提到估值是一个关键风险。虽然他认为苹果公司的估值应该高于标普500，但这位分析师质疑多少才算太多。伯恩斯坦的目标市盈率为 25 倍，比目前的市盈率低一到两倍。</blockquote></p><p> Add App Store to the list</p><p><blockquote>将App Store添加到列表</blockquote></p><p> Now, the analyst has&nbsp;added&nbsp;one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这位分析师在担忧清单上又增加了一个项目：App Store。萨科纳吉指出，最近的法庭败诉可能意味着最早从下个月开始，将允许在美国 App Store 平台之外进行付款。</blockquote></p><p> Bernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.</p><p><blockquote>伯恩斯坦的专家已经算了一笔账。他估计，App Store近三分之一的收入来自美国。如果 App Store 分别占公司总销售额和 op 利润的 6% 和 15%，那么支付问题每年可能会影响苹果 2% 的收入和 5% 的 op 利润。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Maven’s take</p><p><blockquote>苹果·马文的观点</blockquote></p><p> Regarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.</p><p><blockquote>关于托尼之前的担忧，我认为自 9 月初 AAPL 达到顶峰以来，风险已经大大降低。从那时起，投资者有时间充分接受2021年底至2022年初更具挑战性的艰难竞争和供应链限制时期。正如我不久前提到的，估值已经降低到更合理的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding the App Store, I have slowly&nbsp;shifted from more to less concerned&nbsp;about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.</p><p><blockquote>关于 App Store，我已经慢慢从更多关注财务影响转变为不太关注。摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）的凯蒂-休伯蒂（Katy Huberty）认为，App Store 政策的变化最多可能使苹果的每股收益减少 1% 或 2%，这根本不算什么。</blockquote></p><p> Even Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.</p><p><blockquote>即使是萨科纳吉对金融风险的估计也只代表了最坏的情况。实际上，由于 App Store 的支付方式发生变化，苹果收入的 2% 和运营商利润的 5% 最终可能会被削减，因为许多用户将继续选择苹果作为他们的首选支付平台。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/sell-aapl-why-this-expert-sees-apple-stock-dipping-12\">Thestreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/sell-aapl-why-this-expert-sees-apple-stock-dipping-12","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116429379","content_text":"As Apple stock(AAPL) continues to hover around $150 apiece, one of the few skeptics on Wall Street has just published his most updated report. In it, he reinforced the idea that AAPL should be worth only $132, suggesting that shares have 12% of downside risk from here.\nToday, the Apple Maven revisits Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi’s mildly bearish case.\nThe not-so-bullish case\nMr. Sacconaghi has been cautious of AAPL since he downgraded the stock to neutral, in February 2018. The timing of his move did not prove to be the best, as Apple shares have climbed a whopping 285% in less than four years against the S&P 500’s 85% gains. However, the analyst has also helped AAPL investors think of the devil’s advocate argument.\nIn August, I reviewed Bernstein’s thesis in more detail. For the short term, the bank’s research team was concerned that Apple stock had climbed too fast in the first half of the year, ahead of a set of earnings seasons in which Apple would face tough comps.\nAlso, Toni has mentioned valuations as a key risk. While he believes that AAPL should be valued at a higher multiple than the S&P 500, the analyst questions how much is too much. Bernstein’s target P/E of 25 times is one to two turns lower than where the multiple is today.\nAdd App Store to the list\nNow, the analyst has added one item to the list of worries: the App Store. Sacconaghi pointed out that a recent court loss will likely mean that payments will be allowed to be made outside the App Store platform in the US, starting as early as next month.\nBernstein’s expert has done the math. He estimates that nearly one-third of App Store revenues come from the United States. If the App Store accounts for 6% and 15% of total company sales and op profits, respectively, the payment issue could impact 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits per year.\nApple Maven’s take\nRegarding Toni’s earlier concerns, I believe that the risks have decreased substantially since AAPL peaked, in early September. Since then, investors have had time to fully embrace the more challenging late 2021-to-early 2022 period of tough comps and supply chain constraints.As I mentioned not long ago, valuations have de-risked to more reasonable levels.\nRegarding the App Store, I have slowly shifted from more to less concerned about the financial impact. Morgan Stanley’s Katy Huberty has argued that App Store policy changes could shave a maximum of 1% or 2% of Apple’s EPS, which is not much at all.\nEven Sacconaghi’s estimates of the financial risk only represents the worst-case scenario. In reality, much less than 2% of Apple’s revenues and 5% of op profits will likely end up being cut as a result of the App Store’s payment changes, as many users will continue to choose Apple as their payment platform of choice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2624,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":800296008,"gmtCreate":1627303429604,"gmtModify":1631890353623,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"😂&nbsp;","listText":"😂&nbsp;","text":"😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800296008","repostId":"1187364175","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2986,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350723222,"gmtCreate":1616291826366,"gmtModify":1634526488580,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"But the dips","listText":"But the dips","text":"But the dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350723222","repostId":"1103756496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192640562,"gmtCreate":1621208513656,"gmtModify":1631893430374,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","listText":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","text":"Might as well rename to ElonCoins","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192640562","repostId":"1134346216","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801422160,"gmtCreate":1627529436850,"gmtModify":1631890353611,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nio! 😁&nbsp;","listText":"Nio! 😁&nbsp;","text":"Nio! 😁","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801422160","repostId":"2155027927","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2218,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126070586,"gmtCreate":1624540079945,"gmtModify":1631890353680,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","listText":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","text":"Good luck with that 😀👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126070586","repostId":"1176854050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361887283,"gmtCreate":1614220937642,"gmtModify":1634550640856,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Stonk! 🦍","listText":"Stonk! 🦍","text":"Stonk! 🦍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361887283","repostId":"1116750750","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191251034,"gmtCreate":1620883018328,"gmtModify":1631884854661,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;penny stock next year ☺️&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/S51.SI\">$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$</a>&nbsp;penny stock next year ☺️&nbsp;","text":"$SEMBCORP MARINE LTD(S51.SI)$ penny stock next year ☺️","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191251034","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":559,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":842366697,"gmtCreate":1636137732303,"gmtModify":1636137732778,"author":{"id":"3576797853255359","authorId":"3576797853255359","name":"LateWizard","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2623f0ebfedf9dedaf6b68dc8fe2f4b8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3576797853255359","authorIdStr":"3576797853255359"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Waiting for fire sale 😅&nbsp;","listText":"Waiting for fire sale 😅&nbsp;","text":"Waiting for fire sale 😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842366697","repostId":"1127340608","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127340608","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636124077,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1127340608?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 22:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Palantir Stock Offers a Bit of Something for Everyone<blockquote>为什么 Palantir 股票为每个人提供了一些东西</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127340608","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"PLTR has short-term and long-term opportunities","content":"<p><div> I first came in contact with Palantir(NYSE:PLTR) stock earlier this year and immediately knew it was something special. The underlying bullish thesis was clear, so I traded it successfully in the past...</p><p><blockquote><div>今年早些时候，我第一次接触到 Palantir（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PLTR）股票，并立即知道它很特别。潜在的看涨论点很明确，所以我过去成功地交易了它……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Palantir Stock Offers a Bit of Something for Everyone<blockquote>为什么 Palantir 股票为每个人提供了一些东西</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Palantir Stock Offers a Bit of Something for Everyone<blockquote>为什么 Palantir 股票为每个人提供了一些东西</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 22:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> I first came in contact with Palantir(NYSE:PLTR) stock earlier this year and immediately knew it was something special. The underlying bullish thesis was clear, so I traded it successfully in the past...</p><p><blockquote><div>今年早些时候，我第一次接触到 Palantir（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PLTR）股票，并立即知道它很特别。潜在的看涨论点很明确，所以我过去成功地交易了它……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/palantir-pltr-stock-offers-a-bit-of-something-for-everyone/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127340608","content_text":"I first came in contact with Palantir(NYSE:PLTR) stock earlier this year and immediately knew it was something special. The underlying bullish thesis was clear, so I traded it successfully in the past few months. The easiest opportunities came when it fell in sympathy to other small-cap stocks.\nThe problem with it is that it is temporarily part of the Reddit cohort of stocks. That’s a “problem” because Palantir has fundamentals that are near bulletproof.\nThe company doesn’t need to be moving with others stocks — meme stocks — that have far more questionable scenarios. PLTR stock does not deserve to rally this fast in both directions.\nI was lucky enough to be long it when it spiked with the GameStop(NYSE:GME) storm in February. It almost hit $46 per share, then came crashing down too fast. Those who didn’t book profits at the top had a nasty reversal on their hands.\nSince then it has continued to whipsaw violently, but in a tighter range. This opened the door for actively trading it for profit. The plan was simple: Buy the dips and sell the rips.\nSome of the easiest wins have come from selling puts on bad days under $20 per share. These are bullish positions that leave room for error.\nPLTR Stock Will Be Up If Markets Are Up\nSource: Charts by TradingView\nIn the long run, I am confident that if the stock markets are higher, than so is Palantir. It it important to note that shorter term, I am not a perma-bull.\nI have been realistic about the levels where it has resistance. For example I stopped my friends from chasing it in September near $30 per share. Sure enough, it failed and corrected 20% during the September market-wide spat.\nSince then PLTR stock found footing and rallied back 17%. Are you dizzy yet? It gets better because I expect the bulls to eventually go above $30. And when they do that, they go for another 20% from there.\nMeanwhile, the short-term strategy remains to trade the range until one of the sides fails.\nI anticipate that for the foreseeable future, PLTR stock has support near $22 per share. If that fails, then much stronger buyers would step in below $20 … including me. Looking up, there are at least three levels of resistance (see chart). But once past them, the bulls will likely reach $36 per share.\nBuy and Hold Will Work for Patient Investors\nThe fundamentals suggest that it’s probably easiest to just buy the stock and hold it for the long term. The company already has a revenue rate of $1.4 billion. Management recently secured a contract guaranteeing them a 25% increase.\nIn short, there’s absolutely nothing wrong with the fundamentals, and the team seems capable. They are in the right business and at the right time. Artificial intelligence (AI) has become an absolute necessity for all businesses. Up until last year, AI was more of a novelty.\nSince the pandemic, the rate of data collection has expanded tremendously. The people can no longer make use of it efficiently to be effective. We will need the help of machines to act on all the bits of information we collect.\nPalantir delivers a setup that empowers users to make decisions on the fly. Moreover, they have two lines of business, one commercial and the other with the government. We all know how much those folks love to overpay for stuff.\nThe future is bright for this company and it will be in the lead pack of the stock market.IBM(NYSE:IBM) would learn a thing or two on how to implement a strategy. They’ve been trying to do this AI thing for decades.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}