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2021-12-26

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2021-12-01

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Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading<blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%</blockquote>

2021-10-12

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2021-12-25

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2021-07-03

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Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>

2021-05-29

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2021-11-21

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2021-06-05

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2021-05-31

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2021-05-23

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,"authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696377167","repostId":"2194177239","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2194177239","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640559609,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2194177239?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-27 07:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表：本周须知</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2194177239","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.The S&P 500  is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.According to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any ","content":"<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周归来，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Santa Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表：本周须知</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSanta Claus Rally watch: What to know this week<blockquote>圣诞老人集会手表：本周须知</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-27 07:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着交易员从假期缩短的一周归来，进入新的一年的价格走势将受到密切关注——特别是考虑到相对清淡的经济数据和收益日历……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4096":"电气部件与设备","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust","FCEL":"燃料电池能源","BK4541":"氢能源"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/santa-claus-rally-watch-what-to-know-this-week-142909627.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2194177239","content_text":"As traders return from the holiday-shortened week, the price action heading into the new year will be closely monitored — especially given the relatively light economic data and earnings calendar for the coming days.\nThe S&P 500 (^GSPC) is entering the period known for ushering in the so-called Santa Claus Rally, or seasonally strong timeframe for stocks at the end of each year.\nThe term, coined by Stock Trader's Almanac in the 1970s, encompasses the final five trading days of the year and first two sessions of the new year. This year, that Santa Claus Rally window is set to start on Monday, Dec. 27 — or the latest a Santa Claus rally has started in 11 years, due to the timing of the holidays this year.\nAccording to data from LPL Financial, the Santa Claus Rally period encapsulates the seven days most likely to be higher in any given year. Since 1950, the Santa Claus Rally period has produced a positive return for the S&P 500 78.9% of the time, with an average return of 1.33%.\n“Why are these seven days so strong?” wrote Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial chief market strategist, in a note. “Whether optimism over a coming new year, holiday spending, traders on vacation, institutions squaring up their books — or the holiday spirit — the bottom line is that bulls tend to believe in Santa.”\nAnd if history is any indication, the absence of a Santa Claus Rally has also typically served as a harbinger of lower near-term returns.\n\"Going back to the mid-1990s, there have been only six times Santa failed to show in December. January was lower five of those six times, and the full year had a solid gain only once (in 2016, but a mini-bear market early in the year),\" Detrick added.\n“Considering the bear markets of 2000 and 2008 both took place after one of the rare instances that Santa failed to show makes believers out of us,\" he said. A bear market typically refers to when stocks drop at least 20% from recent record highs. \"Should this seasonally strong period miss the mark, it could be a warning sign.\"\nAnd this year, investors do have considerable additional concerns to mull heading into the new year. Though stocks closed out Thursday's session at fresh record highs before the long holiday weekend, December still marked a volatile month to start, with renewed concerns over the Omicron variant and the potential for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve weighing on risk assets. Plus, prospects for more near-term fiscal support via the Biden administration's Build Back Better bill have dwindled, and inflation concerns spiked further. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — rose at a 4.7% year-over-year clip, or the fastest since 1983.\n\"If the U.S. was not battling the Omicron variant, U.S. stocks would be dancing higher as the Santa Claus Rally would have kept the climb going into uncharted territory,\" Edward Moya, chief market strategist at OANDA, wrote in a note last week. \"It is too early to say for sure if we will get a Santa Claus Rally, but given all the short-term risks of Fed tightening, Chinese weakness, fiscal support uncertainty and COVID, Wall Street is not complaining.\"\nA man in a Santa Claus costume gestures on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on December 5, 2019 in New York. (Photo by Bryan R. Smith / AFP) (Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)BRYAN R. SMITH via Getty Images\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, Dec. (13.0 expected, 11.8 in November)\nTuesday: FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, month-over-month, October (0.9% expected, 0.96% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Index, year-over-year, October (18.6%. expected, 19.05% in September); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, year-over-year, November (19.51% in October); Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, December (11 expected,11 in November)\nWednesday: Wholesale Inventories, month-over-month, November preliminary (1.7% expected, 2.3% in October); Advance Goods Trade Balance, November (-$89.0 billion expected, -$82.9 billion in October); Retail Inventories, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 0.1% in October); Pending Home Sales, month-over-month, November (0.5% expected, 7.5% in October)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended Dec. 25. (205,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Dec. 18 (1.859 million during prior week); MNI Chicago PMI, December (62.2 expected, 61.8 in November)\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) before market open\nThursday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FCEL":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698788318,"gmtCreate":1640557660478,"gmtModify":1640557660716,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698788318","repostId":"2193178197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698799628,"gmtCreate":1640527297767,"gmtModify":1640527297996,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698799628","repostId":"2193178197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698255814,"gmtCreate":1640418149768,"gmtModify":1640418149993,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698255814","repostId":"1156159690","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698959659,"gmtCreate":1640282698844,"gmtModify":1640282699056,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698959659","repostId":"1192623075","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192623075","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640269891,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1192623075?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 22:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. adds Merck pill as 2nd easy-to-use drug against COVID-19<blockquote>美国将默克药丸列为第二种易于使用的抗 COVID-19 药物</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192623075","media":"SeattleTimes","summary":"U.S. health regulators on Thursday authorized the second pill against COVID-19, providing another ea","content":"<p>U.S. health regulators on Thursday authorized the second pill against COVID-19, providing another easy-to-use medication to battle the rising tide of omicron infections.</p><p><blockquote>美国卫生监管机构周四批准了第二种针对 COVID-19 的药丸，为对抗奥密克戎感染的上升浪潮提供了另一种易于使用的药物。</blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration authorization of Merck’s molnupiravir comes one day after the agency cleared a competing drug from Pfizer. That pill, Paxlovid, is likely to become the first-choice treatment against the virus, thanks to its superior benefits and milder side effects.</p><p><blockquote>在美国食品和药物管理局批准默克公司的莫努匹拉韦的前一天，该机构批准了辉瑞公司的一种竞争药物。这种名为 Paxlovid 的药丸很可能成为对抗病毒的首选治疗方法，这要归功于其卓越的益处和较轻的副作用。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, Merck’s pill is expected to have a smaller role against the pandemic than predicted just a few weeks ago. Its ability to head off severe COVID-19 is much smaller than initially announced and the drug label will warn of serious safety issues, including the potential for birth defects.</p><p><blockquote>因此，默克公司的药丸预计在对抗大流行病方面的作用将小于几周前的预测。它阻止严重 COVID-19 的能力比最初宣布的要小得多，而且药物标签将警告严重的安全问题，包括潜在的出生缺陷。</blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration authorized Merck’s drug for adults with early symptoms of COVID-19 who face the highest risks of hospitalization, including older people and those with conditions like obesity and heart disease. The U.K. first authorized the pill in early November.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局批准默克公司的药物用于出现 COVID-19 早期症状、住院风险最高的成年人，包括老年人和患有肥胖症和心脏病等疾病的人。英国于 11 月初首次批准了这种药丸。</blockquote></p><p> Known as molnupiravir, the Merck drug will carry a warning against use during pregnancy. Women of childbearing age should use birth control during treatment and for a few days after while men should use birth control for at least three months after their final dose, the FDA said.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司的这种药物被称为molnupiravir，将带有怀孕期间禁止使用的警告。FDA表示，育龄妇女应在治疗期间和治疗后的几天内使用避孕措施，而男性应在最后一剂后至少三个月内使用避孕措施。</blockquote></p><p> The restrictions were expected after an FDA advisory panel only narrowly endorsed the drug last month, warning that its use would have to be strictly tailored to patients who can benefit the most.</p><p><blockquote>FDA 顾问小组上个月仅以微弱优势批准了该药物，并警告说，该药物的使用必须严格针对最能受益的患者，因此这些限制是意料之中的。</blockquote></p><p> The Pfizer pill works differently and doesn’t carry the same risks. Additionally, Pfizer’s drug was roughly three times more effective in testing, reducing hospitalization and death by nearly 90% among high-risk patients, compared with 30% for Merck’s.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司的药丸作用不同，风险也不同。此外，辉瑞公司的药物在检测中的有效性约为三倍，将高危患者的住院和死亡率降低了近 90%，而默克公司的住院和死亡率降低了 30%。</blockquote></p><p> Some experts question whether there will be much of a role for the Merck drug in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>一些专家质疑默克药物在美国是否会发挥很大作用。</blockquote></p><p> “To the extent that there’s an ample supply of Pfizer’s pill, I think it won’t be used,” said Dr. Gregory Poland of the Mayo Clinic, referring to the Merck drug. “There would be no reason, given it has less efficacy and a higher risk of side effects.”</p><p><blockquote>“梅奥诊所的格雷戈里-波兰（Gregory Poland）博士在谈到默克公司的药物时说：”只要辉瑞公司的药片供应充足，我认为它就不会被使用。“没有理由这样做，因为它的疗效较差，副作用风险较高。”</blockquote></p><p> For now, the FDA decision provides another potential option against the virus that has killed more than 800,000 Americans, even as health officials brace for record-setting cases, hospitalizations and deaths driven by the omicron variant. Antiviral pills, including Merck’s, are expected to be effective against omicron because they don’t target the spike protein where most of the variant’s worrisome mutations reside.</p><p><blockquote>目前，FDA 的决定为对抗这种已导致超过 80 万美国人死亡的病毒提供了另一个潜在选择，尽管卫生官员正在为奥密克戎变种导致的创纪录的病例、住院和死亡做好准备。包括默克公司在内的抗病毒药丸有望对奥密克戎病毒有效，因为它们不针对刺突蛋白，而刺突蛋白是该变种病毒大部分令人担忧的突变所在。</blockquote></p><p> The FDA based its decision on results showing nearly 7% of patients taking the drug ended up in the hospital and one died at the end of 30 days. That compared with 10% of patients hospitalized who were taking the placebo and nine deaths.</p><p><blockquote>FDA 的决定是基于结果显示，近 7% 服用该药物的患者最终住院，一名患者在 30 天后死亡。相比之下，10%的住院患者服用安慰剂，9人死亡。</blockquote></p><p> Federal officials have agreed to purchase enough of the drug to treat 3.1 million people.</p><p><blockquote>联邦官员已经同意购买足够的药物来治疗310万人。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. will pay about $700 for each course of Merck’s drug, which requires patients to take four pills twice a day for five days. A review by Harvard University and King’s College London estimated it costs about $18 to make each 40-pill course of treatment.</p><p><blockquote>美国将为默克公司的每个疗程支付约 700 美元，该疗程要求患者每天服用两次，每次四片，连续服用五天。哈佛大学和伦敦国王学院的一项审查估计，每个 40 粒疗程的治疗费用约为 18 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Merck’s drug inserts tiny errors into the coronavirus’ genetic code to slow its reproduction. That genetic effect has raised concerns that the drug could cause mutations in human fetuses and even spur more virulent strains of the virus. But FDA scientists said the variant risk is largely theoretical because people take the drug for such a short period of time.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司的药物在冠状病毒的遗传密码中插入微小错误，以减缓其繁殖速度。这种遗传效应引发了人们的担忧，即这种药物可能会导致人类胎儿发生突变，甚至刺激更具毒性的病毒株。但FDA科学家表示，变异风险在很大程度上是理论上的，因为人们服用这种药物的时间很短。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1640271591192","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. adds Merck pill as 2nd easy-to-use drug against COVID-19<blockquote>美国将默克药丸列为第二种易于使用的抗 COVID-19 药物</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. adds Merck pill as 2nd easy-to-use drug against COVID-19<blockquote>美国将默克药丸列为第二种易于使用的抗 COVID-19 药物</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">SeattleTimes</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 22:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. health regulators on Thursday authorized the second pill against COVID-19, providing another easy-to-use medication to battle the rising tide of omicron infections.</p><p><blockquote>美国卫生监管机构周四批准了第二种针对 COVID-19 的药丸，为对抗奥密克戎感染的上升浪潮提供了另一种易于使用的药物。</blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration authorization of Merck’s molnupiravir comes one day after the agency cleared a competing drug from Pfizer. That pill, Paxlovid, is likely to become the first-choice treatment against the virus, thanks to its superior benefits and milder side effects.</p><p><blockquote>在美国食品和药物管理局批准默克公司的莫努匹拉韦的前一天，该机构批准了辉瑞公司的一种竞争药物。这种名为 Paxlovid 的药丸很可能成为对抗病毒的首选治疗方法，这要归功于其卓越的益处和较轻的副作用。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, Merck’s pill is expected to have a smaller role against the pandemic than predicted just a few weeks ago. Its ability to head off severe COVID-19 is much smaller than initially announced and the drug label will warn of serious safety issues, including the potential for birth defects.</p><p><blockquote>因此，默克公司的药丸预计在对抗大流行病方面的作用将小于几周前的预测。它阻止严重 COVID-19 的能力比最初宣布的要小得多，而且药物标签将警告严重的安全问题，包括潜在的出生缺陷。</blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration authorized Merck’s drug for adults with early symptoms of COVID-19 who face the highest risks of hospitalization, including older people and those with conditions like obesity and heart disease. The U.K. first authorized the pill in early November.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局批准默克公司的药物用于出现 COVID-19 早期症状、住院风险最高的成年人，包括老年人和患有肥胖症和心脏病等疾病的人。英国于 11 月初首次批准了这种药丸。</blockquote></p><p> Known as molnupiravir, the Merck drug will carry a warning against use during pregnancy. Women of childbearing age should use birth control during treatment and for a few days after while men should use birth control for at least three months after their final dose, the FDA said.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司的这种药物被称为molnupiravir，将带有怀孕期间禁止使用的警告。FDA表示，育龄妇女应在治疗期间和治疗后的几天内使用避孕措施，而男性应在最后一剂后至少三个月内使用避孕措施。</blockquote></p><p> The restrictions were expected after an FDA advisory panel only narrowly endorsed the drug last month, warning that its use would have to be strictly tailored to patients who can benefit the most.</p><p><blockquote>FDA 顾问小组上个月仅以微弱优势批准了该药物，并警告说，该药物的使用必须严格针对最能受益的患者，因此这些限制是意料之中的。</blockquote></p><p> The Pfizer pill works differently and doesn’t carry the same risks. Additionally, Pfizer’s drug was roughly three times more effective in testing, reducing hospitalization and death by nearly 90% among high-risk patients, compared with 30% for Merck’s.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞公司的药丸作用不同，风险也不同。此外，辉瑞公司的药物在检测中的有效性约为三倍，将高危患者的住院和死亡率降低了近 90%，而默克公司的住院和死亡率降低了 30%。</blockquote></p><p> Some experts question whether there will be much of a role for the Merck drug in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>一些专家质疑默克药物在美国是否会发挥很大作用。</blockquote></p><p> “To the extent that there’s an ample supply of Pfizer’s pill, I think it won’t be used,” said Dr. Gregory Poland of the Mayo Clinic, referring to the Merck drug. “There would be no reason, given it has less efficacy and a higher risk of side effects.”</p><p><blockquote>“梅奥诊所的格雷戈里-波兰（Gregory Poland）博士在谈到默克公司的药物时说：”只要辉瑞公司的药片供应充足，我认为它就不会被使用。“没有理由这样做，因为它的疗效较差，副作用风险较高。”</blockquote></p><p> For now, the FDA decision provides another potential option against the virus that has killed more than 800,000 Americans, even as health officials brace for record-setting cases, hospitalizations and deaths driven by the omicron variant. Antiviral pills, including Merck’s, are expected to be effective against omicron because they don’t target the spike protein where most of the variant’s worrisome mutations reside.</p><p><blockquote>目前，FDA 的决定为对抗这种已导致超过 80 万美国人死亡的病毒提供了另一个潜在选择，尽管卫生官员正在为奥密克戎变种导致的创纪录的病例、住院和死亡做好准备。包括默克公司在内的抗病毒药丸有望对奥密克戎病毒有效，因为它们不针对刺突蛋白，而刺突蛋白是该变种病毒大部分令人担忧的突变所在。</blockquote></p><p> The FDA based its decision on results showing nearly 7% of patients taking the drug ended up in the hospital and one died at the end of 30 days. That compared with 10% of patients hospitalized who were taking the placebo and nine deaths.</p><p><blockquote>FDA 的决定是基于结果显示，近 7% 服用该药物的患者最终住院，一名患者在 30 天后死亡。相比之下，10%的住院患者服用安慰剂，9人死亡。</blockquote></p><p> Federal officials have agreed to purchase enough of the drug to treat 3.1 million people.</p><p><blockquote>联邦官员已经同意购买足够的药物来治疗310万人。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. will pay about $700 for each course of Merck’s drug, which requires patients to take four pills twice a day for five days. A review by Harvard University and King’s College London estimated it costs about $18 to make each 40-pill course of treatment.</p><p><blockquote>美国将为默克公司的每个疗程支付约 700 美元，该疗程要求患者每天服用两次，每次四片，连续服用五天。哈佛大学和伦敦国王学院的一项审查估计，每个 40 粒疗程的治疗费用约为 18 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Merck’s drug inserts tiny errors into the coronavirus’ genetic code to slow its reproduction. That genetic effect has raised concerns that the drug could cause mutations in human fetuses and even spur more virulent strains of the virus. But FDA scientists said the variant risk is largely theoretical because people take the drug for such a short period of time.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司的药物在冠状病毒的遗传密码中插入微小错误，以减缓其繁殖速度。这种遗传效应引发了人们的担忧，即这种药物可能会导致人类胎儿发生突变，甚至刺激更具毒性的病毒株。但FDA科学家表示，变异风险在很大程度上是理论上的，因为人们服用这种药物的时间很短。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.seattletimes.com/business/us-adds-merck-pill-as-2nd-easy-to-use-drug-against-covid-19/\">SeattleTimes</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRK":"默沙东","PFE":"辉瑞"},"source_url":"https://www.seattletimes.com/business/us-adds-merck-pill-as-2nd-easy-to-use-drug-against-covid-19/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192623075","content_text":"U.S. health regulators on Thursday authorized the second pill against COVID-19, providing another easy-to-use medication to battle the rising tide of omicron infections.\nThe Food and Drug Administration authorization of Merck’s molnupiravir comes one day after the agency cleared a competing drug from Pfizer. That pill, Paxlovid, is likely to become the first-choice treatment against the virus, thanks to its superior benefits and milder side effects.\nAs a result, Merck’s pill is expected to have a smaller role against the pandemic than predicted just a few weeks ago. Its ability to head off severe COVID-19 is much smaller than initially announced and the drug label will warn of serious safety issues, including the potential for birth defects.\nThe Food and Drug Administration authorized Merck’s drug for adults with early symptoms of COVID-19 who face the highest risks of hospitalization, including older people and those with conditions like obesity and heart disease. The U.K. first authorized the pill in early November.\nKnown as molnupiravir, the Merck drug will carry a warning against use during pregnancy. Women of childbearing age should use birth control during treatment and for a few days after while men should use birth control for at least three months after their final dose, the FDA said.\nThe restrictions were expected after an FDA advisory panel only narrowly endorsed the drug last month, warning that its use would have to be strictly tailored to patients who can benefit the most.\nThe Pfizer pill works differently and doesn’t carry the same risks. Additionally, Pfizer’s drug was roughly three times more effective in testing, reducing hospitalization and death by nearly 90% among high-risk patients, compared with 30% for Merck’s.\nSome experts question whether there will be much of a role for the Merck drug in the U.S.\n“To the extent that there’s an ample supply of Pfizer’s pill, I think it won’t be used,” said Dr. Gregory Poland of the Mayo Clinic, referring to the Merck drug. “There would be no reason, given it has less efficacy and a higher risk of side effects.”\nFor now, the FDA decision provides another potential option against the virus that has killed more than 800,000 Americans, even as health officials brace for record-setting cases, hospitalizations and deaths driven by the omicron variant. Antiviral pills, including Merck’s, are expected to be effective against omicron because they don’t target the spike protein where most of the variant’s worrisome mutations reside.\nThe FDA based its decision on results showing nearly 7% of patients taking the drug ended up in the hospital and one died at the end of 30 days. That compared with 10% of patients hospitalized who were taking the placebo and nine deaths.\nFederal officials have agreed to purchase enough of the drug to treat 3.1 million people.\nThe U.S. will pay about $700 for each course of Merck’s drug, which requires patients to take four pills twice a day for five days. A review by Harvard University and King’s College London estimated it costs about $18 to make each 40-pill course of treatment.\nMerck’s drug inserts tiny errors into the coronavirus’ genetic code to slow its reproduction. That genetic effect has raised concerns that the drug could cause mutations in human fetuses and even spur more virulent strains of the virus. But FDA scientists said the variant risk is largely theoretical because people take the drug for such a short period of time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRK":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693113557,"gmtCreate":1639984218976,"gmtModify":1639984219225,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693113557","repostId":"1109541249","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109541249","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639972523,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109541249?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Stock: Down 43% From Its High, is a Buy Now?<blockquote>Sea股票：较高点下跌43%，现在买入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109541249","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited stock has been battered recently as growth stocks sold off massively in the mar","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Sea Limited stock has been battered recently as growth stocks sold off massively in the market.</li>  <li>However, we believe that the fundamental thesis on its rapid growth remains robust.</li>  <li>We discuss why investors should capitalize on its recent significant correction to add exposure.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5cbe0a30acc723a2c6f62300024002\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于市场成长型股票大幅抛售，Sea Limited 的股票最近遭受重创。</li><li>然而，我们认为其快速增长的基本论点仍然稳固。</li><li>我们讨论为什么投资者应该利用最近的重大调整来增加风险敞口。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>kokkai/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited(NYSE:SE)&nbsp;stock is one of our highest conviction growth stocks that has been severely battered over the last month. Since its recent all-time high (ATH) in October, its price has dropped by a dramatic 43%. Many reasons have been presented on why the stock has fallen. We exhort investors not to read too much into them. We believe nothing material has changed from its fundamental thesis. The stock has had a remarkable run in 2021 relative to its gaming peers or e-tailer peers. Therefore, profit-taking of this extent should not be surprising as fear struck growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SE）股票是我们最相信的成长型股票之一，在上个月遭受了严重打击。自 10 月份创下历史新高 (ATH) 以来，其价格已大幅下跌 43%。关于该股下跌的原因有很多。我们建议投资者不要过多地解读它们。我们认为它的基本论点没有任何实质性的改变。相对于游戏同行或电子零售商同行，该股在 2021 年表现出色。因此，当恐惧袭击成长型股票时，这种程度的获利了结并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the recent significant correction in growth stocks across the market has also hit SE stock hard. But, we are not concerned. Significant volatility will always be a factor influencing the performance of growth stocks like SE in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>此外，近期全市场成长股的大幅回调也对SE股造成了沉重打击。但是，我们并不担心。短期内，显著的波动性始终是影响SE等成长股表现的一个因素。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, we observed that the consensus target price on SE stock had been revised upwards since its FQ3 report card. Moreover, the gap between its price target and its current stock price has been greater than its last significant correction in April/May.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，我们观察到，自第三季度报告以来，SE 股票的一致目标价已被上调。此外，其目标价与其当前股价之间的差距已经大于其上一次在4月/5月的大幅调整。</blockquote></p><p> Our internal DCF valuation model also points to a stock that is now significantly undervalued. Thanks to the market's myopia, we have been presented with another fantastic opportunity since April/May to add SE stock with great fervor again.</p><p><blockquote>我们的内部 DCF 估值模型还指出了一只目前被严重低估的股票。由于市场的短视，自4月/5月以来，我们又迎来了一个绝佳的机会，再次以极大的热情增持SE股票。</blockquote></p><p> We discuss why we think investors should not miss this incredible opportunity to add exposure to an outstanding growth stock.</p><p><blockquote>我们讨论为什么我们认为投资者不应该错过这个难以置信的机会来增加对优秀成长型股票的投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SE Stock YTD Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SE 股票年初至今表现</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c191d1f0f6a10e392845cdbda1264aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SE stock YTD performance (as of 17 December'21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>SE股票年初至今表现（截至21年12月17日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As a result of the significant correction recently, SE stock's YTD return has dropped to 6.9%, thus underperforming the market. Notably, its YTD gain was as high as 80% in October/early November. Despite that, the stock is still outperforming its e-tailer and gaming peers, as shown above.</p><p><blockquote>由于最近的大幅调整，SE股票的年初至今回报率已降至6.9%，因此跑输大盘。值得注意的是，其年初至今的涨幅在10月/11月初高达80%。尽管如此，如上图所示，该股的表现仍然优于电子零售商和游戏同行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sea Stock Estimates Have Consistently Been Revised Upwards</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Sea 股票预测一直被上调</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8555128e2a30e924dd6c2dd162a27eea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Sea Limited revised revenue mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ, Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Sea Limited 修订后的收入平均共识估计。数据来源：标普资本智商、Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Readers can quickly observe that the company's revenue consensus estimates for FY21-23 have consistently been revised upwards over the last five months. These revisions lend credence to the robust growth prospects of the company over the next two years. Notably, Sea Limited's revenue is estimated to increase at a phenomenal CAGR of 42.8% through FY23.</p><p><blockquote>读者可以很快观察到，该公司对 21-23 财年的收入共识预期在过去五个月中一直被上调。这些修订为公司未来两年强劲的增长前景提供了可信度。值得注意的是，Sea Limited 的收入预计将通过2023财年以 42.8% 的惊人复合年增长率增长。</blockquote></p><p> There were concerns over the growth rates of its Garena gaming arm in its FQ3 report card.We also explained in our previous article&nbsp;that Sea Limited has clearly explained that investors should expect normalization in Garena's growth after two spectacular years. However, its monetization capability continues to dazzle. Therefore, we are confident that Garena can continue its robust monetization strategies moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度成绩单中对 Garena 游戏部门的增长率表示担忧。我们还在之前的文章中解释说，Sea Limited 已明确解释说，投资者应该期待 Garena 在经历了辉煌的两年后增长恢复正常。然而，其变现能力继续令人眼花缭乱。因此，我们相信 Garena 能够继续其稳健的货币化战略。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, data from Sensor Tower's recent gaming statistics continue to point to sturdy performance from its Free Fire game. It continues to be ranked among the&nbsp;top ten mobile games in terms of overall gaming revenue&nbsp;in November. Moreover, it's also ranked#2 in overall downloadsacross both the App Store and Google Play. Notably, it's also among&nbsp;eight games globally whose annual revenue crossed $1B&nbsp;as of 14 December. Therefore, we think the sentiments and chatter about Free Fire's \"one-shot wonder\" have been overblown.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Sensor Tower最近的游戏统计数据继续表明其Free Fire游戏的强劲表现。就11月游戏整体收入而言，它继续位居移动游戏前十。此外，它在App Store和Google Play的总下载量中也排名第二。值得注意的是，截至12月14日，它也是全球八款年收入超过10亿美元的游戏之一。因此，我们认为关于Free Fire“一次性奇迹”的情绪和喋喋不休被夸大了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51247ba1efd7fa6d333b482446e94c9a\" tg-width=\"515\" tg-height=\"380\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Global games market forecast. Source: Google, Newzoo</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球游戏市场预测。资料来源：谷歌、Newzoo</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In addition, the global gaming market is estimated to experience a slight decline to $175.8B after last year's massive 23% growth to $177.8B. However, given Garena's impressive growth in FY21 despite the decline in the global market, we believe it validates its business model and prospects. Notably, the gaming market is expected to reverse its decline moving forward. Therefore, Garena's leadership in mobile gaming could continue to propel its growth underpinned by the recovery in the global gaming market.</p><p><blockquote>此外，全球博彩市场在去年大幅增长 23% 至 177.8B 美元后，预计将略有下降至 175.8B 美元。然而，鉴于尽管全球市场下滑，Garena 在 2021 财年仍实现了令人印象深刻的增长，我们相信这验证了其商业模式和前景。值得注意的是，博彩市场有望在未来扭转颓势。因此，在全球游戏市场复苏的推动下，Garena 在移动游戏领域的领导地位可能会继续推动其增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a0612da9a19f7b7198d43213b4f4470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Shopee adjusted EBITDA per order. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Shopee 调整了每个订单的 EBITDA。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But, some investors may have been spooked by Shopee's (Sea Limited's e-commerce arm) continued expansion into new geographical markets. Notably, Shopee continues to report adjusted EBITDA loss per order, as shown above. Therefore, some investors might have been concerned about whether the company's plate is getting too much to handle. Over the last three months, the company has entered into new markets such as India, France, Spain, and Poland. They are in addition to its battle with MercadoLibre (MELI) in Latin America, particularly Brazil. As a result, there are concerns on whether Sea Limited could continue its adroit execution in these markets while still making losses. We believe such concerns are valid. However, Sea Limited has shown its tremendous capability in penetrating the most important markets where the incumbents have strong leadership. It includes Lazada (BABA) in Southeast Asia, MercadoLibre in Brazil, and Tokopedia in Indonesia. Shopee was never the first-mover. But, it took advantage as the \"late-comer\" as it sought to compete with the incumbents. It's important to note that Sea Limited is not averse to competition. It has thrived against the incumbents and has made the e-commerce space in these geographical regions much more competitive.</p><p><blockquote>但是，一些投资者可能对 Shopee（Sea Limited 的电子商务部门）向新地理市场的持续扩张感到害怕。值得注意的是，Shopee 继续报告每个订单的调整后 EBITDA 损失，如上所示。因此，一些投资者可能担心该公司的盘子是否有太多难以处理。在过去的三个月里，该公司进入了印度、法国、西班牙和波兰等新市场。此外，它还在拉丁美洲，特别是巴西与自由市场（MELI）的斗争。因此，人们担心 Sea Limited 能否在这些市场继续其娴熟的执行，同时仍在亏损。我们认为这种担忧是合理的。然而，Sea Limited 在渗透现有企业拥有强大领导地位的最重要市场方面表现出了巨大的能力。它包括东南亚的Lazada（BABA）、巴西的MercadoLibre和印度尼西亚的Tokopedia。Shopee从来都不是先行者。但是，它利用了“后来者”的优势，试图与现任者竞争。值得注意的是，Sea Limited并不反对竞争。它与现有企业相比蓬勃发展，并使这些地理区域的电子商务领域更具竞争力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80938433e2d55307ca40000eeea2a26f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Sea Limited revised adjusted EPS mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ, Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Sea Limited 修订调整后每股收益平均共识估计。数据来源：标普资本智商、Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the road towards profitability might be stretched further due to its e-commerce expansion. Readers can quickly glance over the chart above, where its adjusted EPS estimates have been revised downwards through FY23 over the last five months. However, we believe that if you are a long-term investor with a five-year horizon at least, it's not a cause for concern. Earlier investors in Sea Limited can keenly recall the company's massive adjusted EBITDA per order losses, as seen in the previous chart. Shopee has scaled tremendously over the last five years and has improved its operating leverage further. But, it's important to note that it takes time to scale up. Therefore, earlier losses in new geographical markets are expected. But, management has demonstrated its execution capability over the last three years. Considering its much reduced adjusted EBITDA losses over the previous few years, we believe that Shopee is even better positioned than before to navigate its expansion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于其电子商务的扩张，盈利之路可能会进一步延长。读者可以快速浏览上图，其中2023财年在过去五个月中对其调整后的每股收益预期进行了下调。然而，我们认为，如果您是至少有五年期限的长期投资者，则无需担心。Sea Limited 的早期投资者可以清楚地回忆起该公司每笔订单的巨额调整后 EBITDA 损失，如上图表所示。Shopee 在过去五年中规模巨大，并进一步提高了运营杠杆。但是，重要的是要注意，扩大规模需要时间。因此，预计新地理市场的早期亏损。但是，管理层在过去三年中已经展示了其执行能力。考虑到过去几年调整后 EBITDA 亏损大幅减少，我们相信 Shopee 比以前更有能力进行扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So, is SE Stock a Buy Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么，SE 股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dbc835e49ded8a7a0e5f4fcc9e10649\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SE stock EV/NTM Revenue 4Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>SE股票EV/NTM收入4年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> SE stock is trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 8.3x. Therefore, it has brought it back to its 4Y NTM revenue multiple mean of 8.6x. We believe there's a fantastic opportunity right now as the market has undoubtedly overreacted. As demonstrated clearly, SE is still expected to generate massive revenue growth moving ahead, even though it means the road to profitability gets further extended.</p><p><blockquote>SE 股票的 EV/NTM 收入为 8.3 倍。因此，它已将其恢复到 4 年 NTM 收入倍数平均值 8.6 倍。我们相信现在有一个绝佳的机会，因为市场无疑已经反应过度。正如清楚地表明的那样，SE 仍有望在未来实现巨大的收入增长，尽管这意味着盈利之路将进一步延长。</blockquote></p><p> Considering its FY23 revenue estimate, SE stock is trading at just 5.8x FY23 revenue. No one can accurately predict where the stock will be headed over the next few months. But, we think it represents a tremendous opportunity right now.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到其2023财年收入预期，SE 股票的交易价格仅为2023财年收入的 5.8 倍。没有人能够准确预测该股未来几个月的走势。但是，我们认为现在这是一个巨大的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bea18a0bdfd970ea640308dc35e099c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SE stock price target Vs. actual price trend. Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>SE 股价目标与实际价格趋势。来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moreover, readers can observe that the valuation gap between SE stock's consensus price target (PT) of $405.87 and its current price has never been more significant in a while. It's even more pronounced than its last significant correction in April/May. Notably, the consensus price target has been revised upwards despite the so-called \"gaming headwinds.\" And, if you look at the price chart, SE stock price has followed the revised PT trend very consistently over time. Therefore, the current price could be one of the most significant discounts you could observe in a long time.</p><p><blockquote>此外，读者可以观察到，SE 股票的共识目标价 (PT) 405.87 美元与其当前价格之间的估值差距一段时间以来从未如此显着。这比4月/5月的上一次大幅调整更加明显。值得注意的是，尽管存在所谓的“博彩逆风”，但共识目标价格已被上调。而且，如果你看一下价格图表，随着时间的推移，SE 股价一直非常一致地遵循修订后的 PT 趋势。因此，当前价格可能是您在很长一段时间内观察到的最大折扣之一。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/939a544ab94c9e2a2b8a6db943703b39\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SE stock DCF valuation model. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ, company filings, author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>SE股票DCF估值模型。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ、公司文件、作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Our DCF model also shows that SE stock is now significantly undervalued with an implied fair value of $371.46. We have also used reasonable estimates in our model. Moreover, we believe that SE will continue to gain significant operating leverage as it scales in the new markets. We estimate that its adjusted EBITDA margins could reach 15% by FY25.</p><p><blockquote>我们的 DCF 模型还显示，SE 股票目前被严重低估，隐含公允价值为 371.46 美元。我们在模型中也使用了合理的估计。此外，我们相信，随着SE在新市场的扩大规模，SE将继续获得显著的运营杠杆。我们预计，到 2025 财年，其调整后 EBITDA 利润率可能达到 15%。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, the stock is also testing a critical support level that has strongly underpinned the stock's advance since early 2021. Therefore, there are sufficient reasons to believe that the current entry point to add exposure to SE stock seems very attractive now.</p><p><blockquote>最后，该股还在测试一个关键支撑位，该支撑位自 2021 年初以来一直有力地支撑着该股的上涨。因此，有足够的理由相信，目前增加SE股票敞口的切入点现在看来非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently,<i>we revise our rating on SE stock to Strong Buy</i>.</p><p><blockquote>因此，<i>我们将 SE 股票评级修改为强力买入</i>.</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Stock: Down 43% From Its High, is a Buy Now?<blockquote>Sea股票：较高点下跌43%，现在买入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Stock: Down 43% From Its High, is a Buy Now?<blockquote>Sea股票：较高点下跌43%，现在买入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 11:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Sea Limited stock has been battered recently as growth stocks sold off massively in the market.</li>  <li>However, we believe that the fundamental thesis on its rapid growth remains robust.</li>  <li>We discuss why investors should capitalize on its recent significant correction to add exposure.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5cbe0a30acc723a2c6f62300024002\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于市场成长型股票大幅抛售，Sea Limited 的股票最近遭受重创。</li><li>然而，我们认为其快速增长的基本论点仍然稳固。</li><li>我们讨论为什么投资者应该利用最近的重大调整来增加风险敞口。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>kokkai/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited(NYSE:SE)&nbsp;stock is one of our highest conviction growth stocks that has been severely battered over the last month. Since its recent all-time high (ATH) in October, its price has dropped by a dramatic 43%. Many reasons have been presented on why the stock has fallen. We exhort investors not to read too much into them. We believe nothing material has changed from its fundamental thesis. The stock has had a remarkable run in 2021 relative to its gaming peers or e-tailer peers. Therefore, profit-taking of this extent should not be surprising as fear struck growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SE）股票是我们最相信的成长型股票之一，在上个月遭受了严重打击。自 10 月份创下历史新高 (ATH) 以来，其价格已大幅下跌 43%。关于该股下跌的原因有很多。我们建议投资者不要过多地解读它们。我们认为它的基本论点没有任何实质性的改变。相对于游戏同行或电子零售商同行，该股在 2021 年表现出色。因此，当恐惧袭击成长型股票时，这种程度的获利了结并不奇怪。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the recent significant correction in growth stocks across the market has also hit SE stock hard. But, we are not concerned. Significant volatility will always be a factor influencing the performance of growth stocks like SE in the short term.</p><p><blockquote>此外，近期全市场成长股的大幅回调也对SE股造成了沉重打击。但是，我们并不担心。短期内，显著的波动性始终是影响SE等成长股表现的一个因素。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, we observed that the consensus target price on SE stock had been revised upwards since its FQ3 report card. Moreover, the gap between its price target and its current stock price has been greater than its last significant correction in April/May.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，我们观察到，自第三季度报告以来，SE 股票的一致目标价已被上调。此外，其目标价与其当前股价之间的差距已经大于其上一次在4月/5月的大幅调整。</blockquote></p><p> Our internal DCF valuation model also points to a stock that is now significantly undervalued. Thanks to the market's myopia, we have been presented with another fantastic opportunity since April/May to add SE stock with great fervor again.</p><p><blockquote>我们的内部 DCF 估值模型还指出了一只目前被严重低估的股票。由于市场的短视，自4月/5月以来，我们又迎来了一个绝佳的机会，再次以极大的热情增持SE股票。</blockquote></p><p> We discuss why we think investors should not miss this incredible opportunity to add exposure to an outstanding growth stock.</p><p><blockquote>我们讨论为什么我们认为投资者不应该错过这个难以置信的机会来增加对优秀成长型股票的投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SE Stock YTD Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SE 股票年初至今表现</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c191d1f0f6a10e392845cdbda1264aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SE stock YTD performance (as of 17 December'21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>SE股票年初至今表现（截至21年12月17日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As a result of the significant correction recently, SE stock's YTD return has dropped to 6.9%, thus underperforming the market. Notably, its YTD gain was as high as 80% in October/early November. Despite that, the stock is still outperforming its e-tailer and gaming peers, as shown above.</p><p><blockquote>由于最近的大幅调整，SE股票的年初至今回报率已降至6.9%，因此跑输大盘。值得注意的是，其年初至今的涨幅在10月/11月初高达80%。尽管如此，如上图所示，该股的表现仍然优于电子零售商和游戏同行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sea Stock Estimates Have Consistently Been Revised Upwards</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Sea 股票预测一直被上调</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8555128e2a30e924dd6c2dd162a27eea\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Sea Limited revised revenue mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ, Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Sea Limited 修订后的收入平均共识估计。数据来源：标普资本智商、Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Readers can quickly observe that the company's revenue consensus estimates for FY21-23 have consistently been revised upwards over the last five months. These revisions lend credence to the robust growth prospects of the company over the next two years. Notably, Sea Limited's revenue is estimated to increase at a phenomenal CAGR of 42.8% through FY23.</p><p><blockquote>读者可以很快观察到，该公司对 21-23 财年的收入共识预期在过去五个月中一直被上调。这些修订为公司未来两年强劲的增长前景提供了可信度。值得注意的是，Sea Limited 的收入预计将通过2023财年以 42.8% 的惊人复合年增长率增长。</blockquote></p><p> There were concerns over the growth rates of its Garena gaming arm in its FQ3 report card.We also explained in our previous article&nbsp;that Sea Limited has clearly explained that investors should expect normalization in Garena's growth after two spectacular years. However, its monetization capability continues to dazzle. Therefore, we are confident that Garena can continue its robust monetization strategies moving forward.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度成绩单中对 Garena 游戏部门的增长率表示担忧。我们还在之前的文章中解释说，Sea Limited 已明确解释说，投资者应该期待 Garena 在经历了辉煌的两年后增长恢复正常。然而，其变现能力继续令人眼花缭乱。因此，我们相信 Garena 能够继续其稳健的货币化战略。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, data from Sensor Tower's recent gaming statistics continue to point to sturdy performance from its Free Fire game. It continues to be ranked among the&nbsp;top ten mobile games in terms of overall gaming revenue&nbsp;in November. Moreover, it's also ranked#2 in overall downloadsacross both the App Store and Google Play. Notably, it's also among&nbsp;eight games globally whose annual revenue crossed $1B&nbsp;as of 14 December. Therefore, we think the sentiments and chatter about Free Fire's \"one-shot wonder\" have been overblown.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Sensor Tower最近的游戏统计数据继续表明其Free Fire游戏的强劲表现。就11月游戏整体收入而言，它继续位居移动游戏前十。此外，它在App Store和Google Play的总下载量中也排名第二。值得注意的是，截至12月14日，它也是全球八款年收入超过10亿美元的游戏之一。因此，我们认为关于Free Fire“一次性奇迹”的情绪和喋喋不休被夸大了。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51247ba1efd7fa6d333b482446e94c9a\" tg-width=\"515\" tg-height=\"380\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Global games market forecast. Source: Google, Newzoo</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球游戏市场预测。资料来源：谷歌、Newzoo</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In addition, the global gaming market is estimated to experience a slight decline to $175.8B after last year's massive 23% growth to $177.8B. However, given Garena's impressive growth in FY21 despite the decline in the global market, we believe it validates its business model and prospects. Notably, the gaming market is expected to reverse its decline moving forward. Therefore, Garena's leadership in mobile gaming could continue to propel its growth underpinned by the recovery in the global gaming market.</p><p><blockquote>此外，全球博彩市场在去年大幅增长 23% 至 177.8B 美元后，预计将略有下降至 175.8B 美元。然而，鉴于尽管全球市场下滑，Garena 在 2021 财年仍实现了令人印象深刻的增长，我们相信这验证了其商业模式和前景。值得注意的是，博彩市场有望在未来扭转颓势。因此，在全球游戏市场复苏的推动下，Garena 在移动游戏领域的领导地位可能会继续推动其增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a0612da9a19f7b7198d43213b4f4470\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Shopee adjusted EBITDA per order. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Shopee 调整了每个订单的 EBITDA。数据来源：公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But, some investors may have been spooked by Shopee's (Sea Limited's e-commerce arm) continued expansion into new geographical markets. Notably, Shopee continues to report adjusted EBITDA loss per order, as shown above. Therefore, some investors might have been concerned about whether the company's plate is getting too much to handle. Over the last three months, the company has entered into new markets such as India, France, Spain, and Poland. They are in addition to its battle with MercadoLibre (MELI) in Latin America, particularly Brazil. As a result, there are concerns on whether Sea Limited could continue its adroit execution in these markets while still making losses. We believe such concerns are valid. However, Sea Limited has shown its tremendous capability in penetrating the most important markets where the incumbents have strong leadership. It includes Lazada (BABA) in Southeast Asia, MercadoLibre in Brazil, and Tokopedia in Indonesia. Shopee was never the first-mover. But, it took advantage as the \"late-comer\" as it sought to compete with the incumbents. It's important to note that Sea Limited is not averse to competition. It has thrived against the incumbents and has made the e-commerce space in these geographical regions much more competitive.</p><p><blockquote>但是，一些投资者可能对 Shopee（Sea Limited 的电子商务部门）向新地理市场的持续扩张感到害怕。值得注意的是，Shopee 继续报告每个订单的调整后 EBITDA 损失，如上所示。因此，一些投资者可能担心该公司的盘子是否有太多难以处理。在过去的三个月里，该公司进入了印度、法国、西班牙和波兰等新市场。此外，它还在拉丁美洲，特别是巴西与自由市场（MELI）的斗争。因此，人们担心 Sea Limited 能否在这些市场继续其娴熟的执行，同时仍在亏损。我们认为这种担忧是合理的。然而，Sea Limited 在渗透现有企业拥有强大领导地位的最重要市场方面表现出了巨大的能力。它包括东南亚的Lazada（BABA）、巴西的MercadoLibre和印度尼西亚的Tokopedia。Shopee从来都不是先行者。但是，它利用了“后来者”的优势，试图与现任者竞争。值得注意的是，Sea Limited并不反对竞争。它与现有企业相比蓬勃发展，并使这些地理区域的电子商务领域更具竞争力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80938433e2d55307ca40000eeea2a26f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Sea Limited revised adjusted EPS mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ, Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Sea Limited 修订调整后每股收益平均共识估计。数据来源：标普资本智商、Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the road towards profitability might be stretched further due to its e-commerce expansion. Readers can quickly glance over the chart above, where its adjusted EPS estimates have been revised downwards through FY23 over the last five months. However, we believe that if you are a long-term investor with a five-year horizon at least, it's not a cause for concern. Earlier investors in Sea Limited can keenly recall the company's massive adjusted EBITDA per order losses, as seen in the previous chart. Shopee has scaled tremendously over the last five years and has improved its operating leverage further. But, it's important to note that it takes time to scale up. Therefore, earlier losses in new geographical markets are expected. But, management has demonstrated its execution capability over the last three years. Considering its much reduced adjusted EBITDA losses over the previous few years, we believe that Shopee is even better positioned than before to navigate its expansion.</p><p><blockquote>然而，由于其电子商务的扩张，盈利之路可能会进一步延长。读者可以快速浏览上图，其中2023财年在过去五个月中对其调整后的每股收益预期进行了下调。然而，我们认为，如果您是至少有五年期限的长期投资者，则无需担心。Sea Limited 的早期投资者可以清楚地回忆起该公司每笔订单的巨额调整后 EBITDA 损失，如上图表所示。Shopee 在过去五年中规模巨大，并进一步提高了运营杠杆。但是，重要的是要注意，扩大规模需要时间。因此，预计新地理市场的早期亏损。但是，管理层在过去三年中已经展示了其执行能力。考虑到过去几年调整后 EBITDA 亏损大幅减少，我们相信 Shopee 比以前更有能力进行扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So, is SE Stock a Buy Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么，SE 股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3dbc835e49ded8a7a0e5f4fcc9e10649\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SE stock EV/NTM Revenue 4Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>SE股票EV/NTM收入4年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> SE stock is trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 8.3x. Therefore, it has brought it back to its 4Y NTM revenue multiple mean of 8.6x. We believe there's a fantastic opportunity right now as the market has undoubtedly overreacted. As demonstrated clearly, SE is still expected to generate massive revenue growth moving ahead, even though it means the road to profitability gets further extended.</p><p><blockquote>SE 股票的 EV/NTM 收入为 8.3 倍。因此，它已将其恢复到 4 年 NTM 收入倍数平均值 8.6 倍。我们相信现在有一个绝佳的机会，因为市场无疑已经反应过度。正如清楚地表明的那样，SE 仍有望在未来实现巨大的收入增长，尽管这意味着盈利之路将进一步延长。</blockquote></p><p> Considering its FY23 revenue estimate, SE stock is trading at just 5.8x FY23 revenue. No one can accurately predict where the stock will be headed over the next few months. But, we think it represents a tremendous opportunity right now.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到其2023财年收入预期，SE 股票的交易价格仅为2023财年收入的 5.8 倍。没有人能够准确预测该股未来几个月的走势。但是，我们认为现在这是一个巨大的机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bea18a0bdfd970ea640308dc35e099c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SE stock price target Vs. actual price trend. Source: Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>SE 股价目标与实际价格趋势。来源：Seeking Alpha</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Moreover, readers can observe that the valuation gap between SE stock's consensus price target (PT) of $405.87 and its current price has never been more significant in a while. It's even more pronounced than its last significant correction in April/May. Notably, the consensus price target has been revised upwards despite the so-called \"gaming headwinds.\" And, if you look at the price chart, SE stock price has followed the revised PT trend very consistently over time. Therefore, the current price could be one of the most significant discounts you could observe in a long time.</p><p><blockquote>此外，读者可以观察到，SE 股票的共识目标价 (PT) 405.87 美元与其当前价格之间的估值差距一段时间以来从未如此显着。这比4月/5月的上一次大幅调整更加明显。值得注意的是，尽管存在所谓的“博彩逆风”，但共识目标价格已被上调。而且，如果你看一下价格图表，随着时间的推移，SE 股价一直非常一致地遵循修订后的 PT 趋势。因此，当前价格可能是您在很长一段时间内观察到的最大折扣之一。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/939a544ab94c9e2a2b8a6db943703b39\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SE stock DCF valuation model. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ, company filings, author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>SE股票DCF估值模型。数据来源：S&amp;P Capital IQ、公司文件、作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Our DCF model also shows that SE stock is now significantly undervalued with an implied fair value of $371.46. We have also used reasonable estimates in our model. Moreover, we believe that SE will continue to gain significant operating leverage as it scales in the new markets. We estimate that its adjusted EBITDA margins could reach 15% by FY25.</p><p><blockquote>我们的 DCF 模型还显示，SE 股票目前被严重低估，隐含公允价值为 371.46 美元。我们在模型中也使用了合理的估计。此外，我们相信，随着SE在新市场的扩大规模，SE将继续获得显著的运营杠杆。我们预计，到 2025 财年，其调整后 EBITDA 利润率可能达到 15%。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, the stock is also testing a critical support level that has strongly underpinned the stock's advance since early 2021. Therefore, there are sufficient reasons to believe that the current entry point to add exposure to SE stock seems very attractive now.</p><p><blockquote>最后，该股还在测试一个关键支撑位，该支撑位自 2021 年初以来一直有力地支撑着该股的上涨。因此，有足够的理由相信，目前增加SE股票敞口的切入点现在看来非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently,<i>we revise our rating on SE stock to Strong Buy</i>.</p><p><blockquote>因此，<i>我们将 SE 股票评级修改为强力买入</i>.</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475931-sea-se-down-significantly-stock-strong-buy\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475931-sea-se-down-significantly-stock-strong-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109541249","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited stock has been battered recently as growth stocks sold off massively in the market.\nHowever, we believe that the fundamental thesis on its rapid growth remains robust.\nWe discuss why investors should capitalize on its recent significant correction to add exposure.\n\nkokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nSea Limited(NYSE:SE) stock is one of our highest conviction growth stocks that has been severely battered over the last month. Since its recent all-time high (ATH) in October, its price has dropped by a dramatic 43%. Many reasons have been presented on why the stock has fallen. We exhort investors not to read too much into them. We believe nothing material has changed from its fundamental thesis. The stock has had a remarkable run in 2021 relative to its gaming peers or e-tailer peers. Therefore, profit-taking of this extent should not be surprising as fear struck growth stocks.\nMoreover, the recent significant correction in growth stocks across the market has also hit SE stock hard. But, we are not concerned. Significant volatility will always be a factor influencing the performance of growth stocks like SE in the short term.\nNotably, we observed that the consensus target price on SE stock had been revised upwards since its FQ3 report card. Moreover, the gap between its price target and its current stock price has been greater than its last significant correction in April/May.\nOur internal DCF valuation model also points to a stock that is now significantly undervalued. Thanks to the market's myopia, we have been presented with another fantastic opportunity since April/May to add SE stock with great fervor again.\nWe discuss why we think investors should not miss this incredible opportunity to add exposure to an outstanding growth stock.\nSE Stock YTD Performance\nSE stock YTD performance (as of 17 December'21).\nAs a result of the significant correction recently, SE stock's YTD return has dropped to 6.9%, thus underperforming the market. Notably, its YTD gain was as high as 80% in October/early November. Despite that, the stock is still outperforming its e-tailer and gaming peers, as shown above.\nSea Stock Estimates Have Consistently Been Revised Upwards\nSea Limited revised revenue mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ, Seeking Alpha\nReaders can quickly observe that the company's revenue consensus estimates for FY21-23 have consistently been revised upwards over the last five months. These revisions lend credence to the robust growth prospects of the company over the next two years. Notably, Sea Limited's revenue is estimated to increase at a phenomenal CAGR of 42.8% through FY23.\nThere were concerns over the growth rates of its Garena gaming arm in its FQ3 report card.We also explained in our previous article that Sea Limited has clearly explained that investors should expect normalization in Garena's growth after two spectacular years. However, its monetization capability continues to dazzle. Therefore, we are confident that Garena can continue its robust monetization strategies moving forward.\nMoreover, data from Sensor Tower's recent gaming statistics continue to point to sturdy performance from its Free Fire game. It continues to be ranked among the top ten mobile games in terms of overall gaming revenue in November. Moreover, it's also ranked#2 in overall downloadsacross both the App Store and Google Play. Notably, it's also among eight games globally whose annual revenue crossed $1B as of 14 December. Therefore, we think the sentiments and chatter about Free Fire's \"one-shot wonder\" have been overblown.\nGlobal games market forecast. Source: Google, Newzoo\nIn addition, the global gaming market is estimated to experience a slight decline to $175.8B after last year's massive 23% growth to $177.8B. However, given Garena's impressive growth in FY21 despite the decline in the global market, we believe it validates its business model and prospects. Notably, the gaming market is expected to reverse its decline moving forward. Therefore, Garena's leadership in mobile gaming could continue to propel its growth underpinned by the recovery in the global gaming market.\nShopee adjusted EBITDA per order. Data source: Company filings\nBut, some investors may have been spooked by Shopee's (Sea Limited's e-commerce arm) continued expansion into new geographical markets. Notably, Shopee continues to report adjusted EBITDA loss per order, as shown above. Therefore, some investors might have been concerned about whether the company's plate is getting too much to handle. Over the last three months, the company has entered into new markets such as India, France, Spain, and Poland. They are in addition to its battle with MercadoLibre (MELI) in Latin America, particularly Brazil. As a result, there are concerns on whether Sea Limited could continue its adroit execution in these markets while still making losses. We believe such concerns are valid. However, Sea Limited has shown its tremendous capability in penetrating the most important markets where the incumbents have strong leadership. It includes Lazada (BABA) in Southeast Asia, MercadoLibre in Brazil, and Tokopedia in Indonesia. Shopee was never the first-mover. But, it took advantage as the \"late-comer\" as it sought to compete with the incumbents. It's important to note that Sea Limited is not averse to competition. It has thrived against the incumbents and has made the e-commerce space in these geographical regions much more competitive.\nSea Limited revised adjusted EPS mean consensus estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ, Seeking Alpha\nNevertheless, the road towards profitability might be stretched further due to its e-commerce expansion. Readers can quickly glance over the chart above, where its adjusted EPS estimates have been revised downwards through FY23 over the last five months. However, we believe that if you are a long-term investor with a five-year horizon at least, it's not a cause for concern. Earlier investors in Sea Limited can keenly recall the company's massive adjusted EBITDA per order losses, as seen in the previous chart. Shopee has scaled tremendously over the last five years and has improved its operating leverage further. But, it's important to note that it takes time to scale up. Therefore, earlier losses in new geographical markets are expected. But, management has demonstrated its execution capability over the last three years. Considering its much reduced adjusted EBITDA losses over the previous few years, we believe that Shopee is even better positioned than before to navigate its expansion.\nSo, is SE Stock a Buy Now?\nSE stock EV/NTM Revenue 4Y mean.\nSE stock is trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 8.3x. Therefore, it has brought it back to its 4Y NTM revenue multiple mean of 8.6x. We believe there's a fantastic opportunity right now as the market has undoubtedly overreacted. As demonstrated clearly, SE is still expected to generate massive revenue growth moving ahead, even though it means the road to profitability gets further extended.\nConsidering its FY23 revenue estimate, SE stock is trading at just 5.8x FY23 revenue. No one can accurately predict where the stock will be headed over the next few months. But, we think it represents a tremendous opportunity right now.\nSE stock price target Vs. actual price trend. Source: Seeking Alpha\nMoreover, readers can observe that the valuation gap between SE stock's consensus price target (PT) of $405.87 and its current price has never been more significant in a while. It's even more pronounced than its last significant correction in April/May. Notably, the consensus price target has been revised upwards despite the so-called \"gaming headwinds.\" And, if you look at the price chart, SE stock price has followed the revised PT trend very consistently over time. Therefore, the current price could be one of the most significant discounts you could observe in a long time.\nSE stock DCF valuation model. Data source: S&P Capital IQ, company filings, author\nOur DCF model also shows that SE stock is now significantly undervalued with an implied fair value of $371.46. We have also used reasonable estimates in our model. Moreover, we believe that SE will continue to gain significant operating leverage as it scales in the new markets. We estimate that its adjusted EBITDA margins could reach 15% by FY25.\nLastly, the stock is also testing a critical support level that has strongly underpinned the stock's advance since early 2021. Therefore, there are sufficient reasons to believe that the current entry point to add exposure to SE stock seems very attractive now.\nConsequently,we revise our rating on SE stock to Strong Buy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690866781,"gmtCreate":1639655915553,"gmtModify":1639655915767,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690866781","repostId":"1158795725","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158795725","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639655489,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1158795725?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 19:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Accenture EPS beats by $0.15, beats on revenue; raises full year outlook<blockquote>埃森哲每股收益超过预期 0.15 美元，营收超过预期；上调全年展望</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158795725","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Accenture(NYSE:ACN): FQ1 GAAP EPS of $2.78beats by $0.15.\nRevenue of $14.97B (+27.3% Y/Y)beats by $7","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Accenture(NYSE:ACN): FQ1 GAAP EPS of $2.78beats by $0.15.</li>  <li>Revenue of $14.97B (+27.3% Y/Y)beats by $750M.</li>  <li>Operating income increases 29% to $2.43B, with operating margin of 16.3%, an expansion of 20 basis points.</li>  <li>New bookings are a record $16.8B, a 30% increase in both&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;dollars and local currency from the first quarter last year, with record consulting bookings of $9.4B and outsourcing bookings of $7.4B.</li>  <li><b>Q2 Outlook:</b>Revenue of&nbsp;$14.30 billion to $14.75 billion&nbsp;vs. the consensus of $14.08B, an increase of 22% to 26% in local currency, reflecting the company’s assumption of a negative 4% foreign-exchange impact compared with the second quarter of fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>埃森哲（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ACN）：第一季度 GAAP 每股收益为 2.78 美元，超出 0.15 美元。</li><li>收入 14.97B 美元（同比增长 27.3%）超过预期 7.5 亿美元。</li><li>经营利润增长 29%，至 $2.43B，营业利润率为 16.3%，扩大 20 个基点。</li><li>新预订量达到创纪录的 $16.8B，以美元和当地货币计算，比去年第一季度增长了 30%，其中咨询预订量达到创纪录的 $9.4B，外包预订量达到创纪录的 $7.4B。</li><li><b>第二季度展望：</b>收入为 143.0 亿美元至 147.5 亿美元。共识为 140.8 亿美元，按当地货币计算增长了 22% 至 26%，这反映了该公司的假设，即与 2021 财年第二季度相比，外汇影响为负 4%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Accenture raises its business outlook for fiscal 2022; now expects full-year revenue growth of 19% to 22% in local currency (prior&nbsp;12-15% Y/Y revenue growth)&nbsp;vs. consensus growth of&nbsp;13.67%; EPS of $10.32 to $10.60 vs. consensus of $10.13; and free cash flow of $7.7&nbsp;billion to $8.2&nbsp;billion.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><li>埃森哲上调2022财年业务展望；now 预计全年收入按当地货币计算增长 19% 至 22%（之前收入同比增长 12-15%）。共识增长13.67%；每股收益为 10.32 美元至 10.60 美元，而市场普遍预期为 10.13 美元；自由现金流为 77 亿至 82 亿美元。</li></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Accenture EPS beats by $0.15, beats on revenue; raises full year outlook<blockquote>埃森哲每股收益超过预期 0.15 美元，营收超过预期；上调全年展望</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAccenture EPS beats by $0.15, beats on revenue; raises full year outlook<blockquote>埃森哲每股收益超过预期 0.15 美元，营收超过预期；上调全年展望</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 19:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Accenture(NYSE:ACN): FQ1 GAAP EPS of $2.78beats by $0.15.</li>  <li>Revenue of $14.97B (+27.3% Y/Y)beats by $750M.</li>  <li>Operating income increases 29% to $2.43B, with operating margin of 16.3%, an expansion of 20 basis points.</li>  <li>New bookings are a record $16.8B, a 30% increase in both&nbsp;U.S.&nbsp;dollars and local currency from the first quarter last year, with record consulting bookings of $9.4B and outsourcing bookings of $7.4B.</li>  <li><b>Q2 Outlook:</b>Revenue of&nbsp;$14.30 billion to $14.75 billion&nbsp;vs. the consensus of $14.08B, an increase of 22% to 26% in local currency, reflecting the company’s assumption of a negative 4% foreign-exchange impact compared with the second quarter of fiscal 2021.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>埃森哲（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ACN）：第一季度 GAAP 每股收益为 2.78 美元，超出 0.15 美元。</li><li>收入 14.97B 美元（同比增长 27.3%）超过预期 7.5 亿美元。</li><li>经营利润增长 29%，至 $2.43B，营业利润率为 16.3%，扩大 20 个基点。</li><li>新预订量达到创纪录的 $16.8B，以美元和当地货币计算，比去年第一季度增长了 30%，其中咨询预订量达到创纪录的 $9.4B，外包预订量达到创纪录的 $7.4B。</li><li><b>第二季度展望：</b>收入为 143.0 亿美元至 147.5 亿美元。共识为 140.8 亿美元，按当地货币计算增长了 22% 至 26%，这反映了该公司的假设，即与 2021 财年第二季度相比，外汇影响为负 4%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Accenture raises its business outlook for fiscal 2022; now expects full-year revenue growth of 19% to 22% in local currency (prior&nbsp;12-15% Y/Y revenue growth)&nbsp;vs. consensus growth of&nbsp;13.67%; EPS of $10.32 to $10.60 vs. consensus of $10.13; and free cash flow of $7.7&nbsp;billion to $8.2&nbsp;billion.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><li>埃森哲上调2022财年业务展望；now 预计全年收入按当地货币计算增长 19% 至 22%（之前收入同比增长 12-15%）。共识增长13.67%；每股收益为 10.32 美元至 10.60 美元，而市场普遍预期为 10.13 美元；自由现金流为 77 亿至 82 亿美元。</li></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3780676-accenture-eps-beats-by-015-beats-on-revenue-raises-full-year-outlook\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ACN":"埃森哲"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3780676-accenture-eps-beats-by-015-beats-on-revenue-raises-full-year-outlook","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158795725","content_text":"Accenture(NYSE:ACN): FQ1 GAAP EPS of $2.78beats by $0.15.\nRevenue of $14.97B (+27.3% Y/Y)beats by $750M.\nOperating income increases 29% to $2.43B, with operating margin of 16.3%, an expansion of 20 basis points.\nNew bookings are a record $16.8B, a 30% increase in both U.S. dollars and local currency from the first quarter last year, with record consulting bookings of $9.4B and outsourcing bookings of $7.4B.\nQ2 Outlook:Revenue of $14.30 billion to $14.75 billion vs. the consensus of $14.08B, an increase of 22% to 26% in local currency, reflecting the company’s assumption of a negative 4% foreign-exchange impact compared with the second quarter of fiscal 2021.\nAccenture raises its business outlook for fiscal 2022; now expects full-year revenue growth of 19% to 22% in local currency (prior 12-15% Y/Y revenue growth) vs. consensus growth of 13.67%; EPS of $10.32 to $10.60 vs. consensus of $10.13; and free cash flow of $7.7 billion to $8.2 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ACN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607012970,"gmtCreate":1639456800807,"gmtModify":1639456801058,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607012970","repostId":"1120286910","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120286910","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639453388,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1120286910?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal 最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120286910","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI wa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌了-35%以上，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在 2021 年 2 月就警告投资者，PayPal被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股票在未来 3 年内仍有超过 -50% 的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，所以我分析了这只股票，以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在 2021 年 2 月 6 日，我制作了一个视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal (PYPL) 股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的寻求阿尔法博客上分享了那个视频。从那时起，PayPal无论从绝对角度还是相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）来说都表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我警告投资者以来，股价已下跌约 -30%，较今年最高价下跌约 -38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有任何问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可以讲。价格已经被疯狂高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙述。当时的数字毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这对于中长期投资者来说，应该是一个重要的教训。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难在于投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑是这样硬连线的。自从我分享了我的2月份PayPal看跌视频以来，在Seeking Alpha报道PayPal的62篇文章中，还没有一篇“看跌”的文章被写出来。主要原因是 PayPal 的说法如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不切实际。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我当前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际下购买的价格。这与我在 2021 年 2 月确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和业务回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以 10 年 CAGR 预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来估值股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益 1) 没有足够长的历史 2) 本质上不稳定，或者 3) 周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一个明确的长期增长模式，这使得该股作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自 2015 年以来，还没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股可能非常适合我要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长时间、更持久的衰退期间，PayPal 的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察易贝（eBay）在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，我将继续进行我的全周期盈利分析，即使我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的确切历史数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回报预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估算未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，10年后我们可能预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一场衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并在2021年的预测中运行。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>从2015年到现在，PayPal的平均市盈率一直是健康的34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用 2021 年的预期盈利 4.60 美元（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为 40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年内恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的价格将会下降，10年CAGR将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪均值回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报。如果恢复时间短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪回归均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且经常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散的联系。在本节中，我们将考察企业的实际收入。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道，如果我们以今天的价格收购业务并将所有收入留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是预期收益增长率。让我们从市盈率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率/市盈率）开始。目前的市盈率约为+2.46%。我喜欢这样想，如果我现在以100美元收购该公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年将从投资中获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估算公司在此期间的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率，并将该增长率应用于未来 10 年来做到这一点。这包括计算2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时间段内发生的任何股票回购（因为减少股票会增加每股收益，因为股票减少）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的比例，回购看起来比实际大得多，这里没有太多需要调整的地方。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此两者都不需要盈利增长下降来调整。这使得估计 PayPal 的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计 PayPal 的盈利增长约为 +23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这就是我的保守主义在问自己“出于估值目的，未来 10 年的合理预期是多少？”对于企业来说，在整整十年内每年增长超过20%的收益是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年中已经这样做了）。因此，我在将所有长期远期盈利增长预测用于估值时，将其上限设定为 20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高的费用的方法。因此，对于这次估值练习，我将盈利增长假设限制在 20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将把这个增长率应用于当前的收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年CAGR估计。我的想法是，如果我花100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长率，此后10年，这笔金额将以+20.00%的速度每年增长。我想知道10年后我的100美元投资总共有多少钱，我计算大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我把增长率输入复合年增长率计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务收益回报的 10 年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10 年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要来源：市场情绪回报或企业盈利回报。如果我们假设市场情绪在未来 10 年内恢复到上一个周期的平均值，那么PayPal的复合年增长率将达到 -1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的 10 年复合年增长率应该在 +5.85% 左右。如果我们把两者放在一起，我们得到的预期10年全周期CAGR为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对这类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：高于12%的CAGR是买入，低于4%的预期CAGR是卖出，4%到12%之间是持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强进入“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意根据收益购买具有安全边际的股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看待 PayPal 的估值，以便我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用我在本文中使用的相同假设和输入，从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股 126.50 美元至 164.00 美元。我目前的购买价格（包括安全边际）是 112.10 美元。低于该价格购买的投资者很有可能在中期内获得股票的丰厚回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和 2022 年，我将开始提前预测 PayPal 2022 年的收益。目前，分析师预计 2022 年每股收益为 5.25 美元。如果 PayPal 的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高 PayPal 的估值，并将其公允价值范围提高到每股 145.00 美元至 187.50 美元，安全边际买入价为每股 128.00 美元。当然，这是假设分析师保持对 2022 年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这还意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内继续在当前价格附近交易价格，它就已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上端。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一类型的分析。对于某些具有快速利润增长势头的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析，以帮助识别快速增长的企业，这些企业可能永远不会变得便宜到仅仅根据收益来收购。这种分析方法是我的私人服务周期投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于 PayPal 的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享那种“买入价格”分析产生的，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析法检查PayPal时，它产生的买入价为 144.90 美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间位置。这是假设 PayPal 的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，并且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到 2022 年 2 月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约一年后我就其高估值向投资者发出警告。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的下滑是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的 PayPal 股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他高估值科技股也会经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能会在 2022 年下跌。对于跑赢大盘这类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化投资的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票简单地停滞几年而一事无成，也有少数股票设法保持上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal所经历的那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal 最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal 最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 11:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌了-35%以上，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在 2021 年 2 月就警告投资者，PayPal被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股票在未来 3 年内仍有超过 -50% 的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，所以我分析了这只股票，以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在 2021 年 2 月 6 日，我制作了一个视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal (PYPL) 股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的寻求阿尔法博客上分享了那个视频。从那时起，PayPal无论从绝对角度还是相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）来说都表现不佳。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我警告投资者以来，股价已下跌约 -30%，较今年最高价下跌约 -38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有任何问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可以讲。价格已经被疯狂高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙述。当时的数字毫无意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这对于中长期投资者来说，应该是一个重要的教训。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难在于投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑是这样硬连线的。自从我分享了我的2月份PayPal看跌视频以来，在Seeking Alpha报道PayPal的62篇文章中，还没有一篇“看跌”的文章被写出来。主要原因是 PayPal 的说法如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不切实际。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我当前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际下购买的价格。这与我在 2021 年 2 月确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和业务回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以 10 年 CAGR 预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来估值股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益 1) 没有足够长的历史 2) 本质上不稳定，或者 3) 周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一个明确的长期增长模式，这使得该股作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自 2015 年以来，还没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股可能非常适合我要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长时间、更持久的衰退期间，PayPal 的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察易贝（eBay）在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，我将继续进行我的全周期盈利分析，即使我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的确切历史数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回报预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估算未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，10年后我们可能预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一场衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并在2021年的预测中运行。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>从2015年到现在，PayPal的平均市盈率一直是健康的34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用 2021 年的预期盈利 4.60 美元（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为 40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年内恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的价格将会下降，10年CAGR将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪均值回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报。如果恢复时间短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪回归均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且经常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散的联系。在本节中，我们将考察企业的实际收入。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道，如果我们以今天的价格收购业务并将所有收入留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是预期收益增长率。让我们从市盈率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率/市盈率）开始。目前的市盈率约为+2.46%。我喜欢这样想，如果我现在以100美元收购该公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年将从投资中获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估算公司在此期间的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率，并将该增长率应用于未来 10 年来做到这一点。这包括计算2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时间段内发生的任何股票回购（因为减少股票会增加每股收益，因为股票减少）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的比例，回购看起来比实际大得多，这里没有太多需要调整的地方。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此两者都不需要盈利增长下降来调整。这使得估计 PayPal 的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计 PayPal 的盈利增长约为 +23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，这就是我的保守主义在问自己“出于估值目的，未来 10 年的合理预期是多少？”对于企业来说，在整整十年内每年增长超过20%的收益是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年中已经这样做了）。因此，我在将所有长期远期盈利增长预测用于估值时，将其上限设定为 20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高的费用的方法。因此，对于这次估值练习，我将盈利增长假设限制在 20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将把这个增长率应用于当前的收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年CAGR估计。我的想法是，如果我花100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长率，此后10年，这笔金额将以+20.00%的速度每年增长。我想知道10年后我的100美元投资总共有多少钱，我计算大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我把增长率输入复合年增长率计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务收益回报的 10 年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10 年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要来源：市场情绪回报或企业盈利回报。如果我们假设市场情绪在未来 10 年内恢复到上一个周期的平均值，那么PayPal的复合年增长率将达到 -1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的 10 年复合年增长率应该在 +5.85% 左右。如果我们把两者放在一起，我们得到的预期10年全周期CAGR为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对这类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：高于12%的CAGR是买入，低于4%的预期CAGR是卖出，4%到12%之间是持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强进入“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意根据收益购买具有安全边际的股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看待 PayPal 的估值，以便我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用我在本文中使用的相同假设和输入，从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股 126.50 美元至 164.00 美元。我目前的购买价格（包括安全边际）是 112.10 美元。低于该价格购买的投资者很有可能在中期内获得股票的丰厚回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和 2022 年，我将开始提前预测 PayPal 2022 年的收益。目前，分析师预计 2022 年每股收益为 5.25 美元。如果 PayPal 的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高 PayPal 的估值，并将其公允价值范围提高到每股 145.00 美元至 187.50 美元，安全边际买入价为每股 128.00 美元。当然，这是假设分析师保持对 2022 年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这还意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内继续在当前价格附近交易价格，它就已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上端。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一类型的分析。对于某些具有快速利润增长势头的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析，以帮助识别快速增长的企业，这些企业可能永远不会变得便宜到仅仅根据收益来收购。这种分析方法是我的私人服务周期投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于 PayPal 的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享那种“买入价格”分析产生的，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析法检查PayPal时，它产生的买入价为 144.90 美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间位置。这是假设 PayPal 的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，并且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到 2022 年 2 月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约一年后我就其高估值向投资者发出警告。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的下滑是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的 PayPal 股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他高估值科技股也会经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能会在 2022 年下跌。对于跑赢大盘这类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化投资的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票简单地停滞几年而一事无成，也有少数股票设法保持上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal所经历的那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120286910","content_text":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.\nThat warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.\nPayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.\n\nBsWei/iStock via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nBack on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500 (SPY).\nData by YCharts\nThe stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.\nThe truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.\nThis should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.\nThe difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investorslovenarratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.\nIn this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.\nFull-Cycle Earnings Analysis\nAs part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.\nBefore I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.\n\nWe can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.\nMarket Sentiment Return Expectations\nIn order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.\n\nPayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of-1.75%. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.\nBusiness Earnings Expectations\nWe previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.\nThere are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.\nThe next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).\nData by YCharts\nDue to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.\nNow, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.\nNext, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a+5.85%10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.\n10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate\nPotential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of+4.10%at today's price.\nMy Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.\nAdditional Considerations\nI consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.\nFirst, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.\nOnce we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.\nThe Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.\nWhen I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.\nConclusion\nI think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604259508,"gmtCreate":1639406117829,"gmtModify":1639406198568,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604259508","repostId":"1171271872","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171271872","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639348466,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1171271872?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 06:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、FedEx、Lenner、Campbell Soup 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171271872","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and","content":"<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要活动将是美联储利率制定委员会 2021 年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减规模的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但将包括周二的金宝汤；Lenner、埃森哲、联邦快递、Rivian Automotive 和 Adobe 周四；周五的达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的 11 月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计总体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都将大致与 10 月份的生产者通胀率持平。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他数据还包括周二公布的全国独立企业联合会（National Federation of Independent Businesses）的情绪指数、周三公布的人口普查局（Census Bureau）的 11 月份零售销售支出以及周四公布的 11 月份房屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/13星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill 和 PHX Minerals 在评级举办盈利会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Campbell Soup、Barnes Group 和 Avaya Holdings 举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布了11月份的生产者价格指数。普遍预计环比上涨 0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心 PPI 将上涨 0.4%。相比之下，10 月份分别增长了 0.6% 和 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5000名小企业主。看涨期权的预期读数为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/15星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束为期两天的会议，政策制定者将讨论加快逐步减少每月证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告</b>11月份进出口价格数据。预计出口价格将环比上涨 0.5%，而进口价格将上涨 0.5%。相比之下，10 月份的涨幅分别为 1.5% 和 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>住宅建筑商发布了12月份的NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11 月份零售支出报告。经季节性调整后，预计零售额环比增长 0.7%，而 10 月份为 1.7%。不包括汽车，支出预计增长 0.8%，而上一时期为 1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、埃森哲、联邦快递、捷普、Adobe、Rivian汽车和诺信等公司在评级举办了财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。经季节性调整后的新屋开工率预计为156.3万套，而10月份为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开始计算。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继 10 月份上涨 1.6% 之后，经济学家预计上涨 0.6%。产能利用率预计为 76.8%，与 10 月份的 76.4% 大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/17星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants 和 Quanex Building Products 在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、FedEx、Lenner、Campbell Soup 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、FedEx、Lenner、Campbell Soup 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 06:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要活动将是美联储利率制定委员会 2021 年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减规模的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但将包括周二的金宝汤；Lenner、埃森哲、联邦快递、Rivian Automotive 和 Adobe 周四；周五的达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的 11 月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计总体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都将大致与 10 月份的生产者通胀率持平。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他数据还包括周二公布的全国独立企业联合会（National Federation of Independent Businesses）的情绪指数、周三公布的人口普查局（Census Bureau）的 11 月份零售销售支出以及周四公布的 11 月份房屋开工数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/13星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill 和 PHX Minerals 在评级举办盈利会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Campbell Soup、Barnes Group 和 Avaya Holdings 举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布了11月份的生产者价格指数。普遍预计环比上涨 0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心 PPI 将上涨 0.4%。相比之下，10 月份分别增长了 0.6% 和 0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5000名小企业主。看涨期权的预期读数为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/15星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束为期两天的会议，政策制定者将讨论加快逐步减少每月证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告</b>11月份进出口价格数据。预计出口价格将环比上涨 0.5%，而进口价格将上涨 0.5%。相比之下，10 月份的涨幅分别为 1.5% 和 1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>住宅建筑商发布了12月份的NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11 月份零售支出报告。经季节性调整后，预计零售额环比增长 0.7%，而 10 月份为 1.7%。不包括汽车，支出预计增长 0.8%，而上一时期为 1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、埃森哲、联邦快递、捷普、Adobe、Rivian汽车和诺信等公司在评级举办了财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。经季节性调整后的新屋开工率预计为156.3万套，而10月份为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开始计算。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议纪要。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继 10 月份上涨 1.6% 之后，经济学家预计上涨 0.6%。产能利用率预计为 76.8%，与 10 月份的 76.4% 大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/17星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants 和 Quanex Building Products 在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","CPB":"金宝汤","DRI":"达登饭店","HEI":"海科航空","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","ADBE":"Adobe",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PHX":"潘汉德尔油气","FDX":"联邦快递",".DJI":"道琼斯","ACN":"埃森哲","JILL":"J.Jill Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171271872","content_text":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.\nEarnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.\nEconomic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.\nOther data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.\nMonday 12/13\nJ.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.\nTuesday 12/14\nCampbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Federation of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.\nWednesday 12/15\nThe Federal Open Market Committee concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.\nThe BLS reports export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.\nThe Census Bureau reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.\nThursday 12/16\nHeico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureaureleases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.\nThe Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.\nFriday 12/17\nSteelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SCS":0.9,"JILL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"HEI":0.9,"ACN":0.9,"CPB":0.9,"AVYA":0.9,"PHX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"DRI":0.9,"LEN":0.9,"ADBE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604944853,"gmtCreate":1639321758657,"gmtModify":1639321758852,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like","listText":"pls like","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604944853","repostId":"1103250344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103250344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639280672,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1103250344?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-12 11:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: IoT solutions, wine, and satellites in a 3 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：物联网解决方案、葡萄酒和卫星在 IPO 第三周</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103250344","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to r","content":"<p>The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to raise $789 million.</p><p><blockquote>预计未来一周IPO市场将保持相对平静，三次IPO计划筹集7.89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> IoT solutions developer<b>Samsara</b>(IOT) plans to raise $753 million at an $11.6 billion market cap. This \"internet-of-things\" company provides a cloud-based platform that connects the assets of businesses with physical operations, enhancing operational efficiency and asset and employee productivity. Fast growing but highly unprofitable, Samsara saw double-digit growth for customers with $100k+ ARR in the 9mo FY22.</p><p><blockquote>物联网解决方案开发商<b>轮回</b>（物联网）计划以116亿美元的市值筹集7.53亿美元。这家“物联网”公司提供了一个基于云的平台，将企业的资产与物理运营连接起来，提高了运营效率以及资产和员工的生产力。快速增长但高度无利可图，Samsara 在 2022 财年的 9 个月中，ARR 超过 10 万美元的客户实现了两位数的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Wine brand<b>Fresh Vine Wine</b>(VINE) plans to raise $21 million at a $116 million market cap. This celebrity-founded company produces low carb, low calorie premium wines. Growing but highly unprofitable, Fresh Vine sells its wines through wholesale, retail, and DTC channels, and is able to conduct wholesale distribution in all 50 states and Puerto Rico.</p><p><blockquote>葡萄酒品牌<b>新鲜葡萄酒</b>(VINE) 计划以 1.16 亿美元的市值筹集 2100 万美元。这家名人创办的公司生产低碳水化合物、低热量的优质葡萄酒。Fresh Vine正在增长，但非常无利可图，它通过批发、零售和DTC渠道销售葡萄酒，并能够在所有50个州和波多黎各进行批发分销。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap satellite developer<b>Sidus Space</b>(SIDU) plans to raise $15 million at an $81 million market cap. This company provides commercial satellite services such as design, manufacture, launch, and data collection. &nbsp;Sidus Space has generated space-related manufacturing revenues to date, but is highly unprofitable with negative gross margin in the 9mo21.</p><p><blockquote>微帽卫星显影剂<b>Sidus空间</b>（SIDU）计划以8100万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。该公司提供商业卫星服务，如设计、制造、发射和数据收集。Sidus Space 迄今为止已产生与航天相关的制造收入，但在 2021 年 9 月毛利率为负，高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ead80e54642569e2b7b368c8d50dc265\" tg-width=\"1409\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: IoT solutions, wine, and satellites in a 3 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：物联网解决方案、葡萄酒和卫星在 IPO 第三周</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: IoT solutions, wine, and satellites in a 3 IPO week<blockquote>美国 IPO 周即将到来：物联网解决方案、葡萄酒和卫星在 IPO 第三周</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-12 11:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to raise $789 million.</p><p><blockquote>预计未来一周IPO市场将保持相对平静，三次IPO计划筹集7.89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> IoT solutions developer<b>Samsara</b>(IOT) plans to raise $753 million at an $11.6 billion market cap. This \"internet-of-things\" company provides a cloud-based platform that connects the assets of businesses with physical operations, enhancing operational efficiency and asset and employee productivity. Fast growing but highly unprofitable, Samsara saw double-digit growth for customers with $100k+ ARR in the 9mo FY22.</p><p><blockquote>物联网解决方案开发商<b>轮回</b>（物联网）计划以116亿美元的市值筹集7.53亿美元。这家“物联网”公司提供了一个基于云的平台，将企业的资产与物理运营连接起来，提高了运营效率以及资产和员工的生产力。快速增长但高度无利可图，Samsara 在 2022 财年的 9 个月中，ARR 超过 10 万美元的客户实现了两位数的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Wine brand<b>Fresh Vine Wine</b>(VINE) plans to raise $21 million at a $116 million market cap. This celebrity-founded company produces low carb, low calorie premium wines. Growing but highly unprofitable, Fresh Vine sells its wines through wholesale, retail, and DTC channels, and is able to conduct wholesale distribution in all 50 states and Puerto Rico.</p><p><blockquote>葡萄酒品牌<b>新鲜葡萄酒</b>(VINE) 计划以 1.16 亿美元的市值筹集 2100 万美元。这家名人创办的公司生产低碳水化合物、低热量的优质葡萄酒。Fresh Vine正在增长，但非常无利可图，它通过批发、零售和DTC渠道销售葡萄酒，并能够在所有50个州和波多黎各进行批发分销。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap satellite developer<b>Sidus Space</b>(SIDU) plans to raise $15 million at an $81 million market cap. This company provides commercial satellite services such as design, manufacture, launch, and data collection. &nbsp;Sidus Space has generated space-related manufacturing revenues to date, but is highly unprofitable with negative gross margin in the 9mo21.</p><p><blockquote>微帽卫星显影剂<b>Sidus空间</b>（SIDU）计划以8100万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。该公司提供商业卫星服务，如设计、制造、发射和数据收集。Sidus Space 迄今为止已产生与航天相关的制造收入，但在 2021 年 9 月毛利率为负，高度无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ead80e54642569e2b7b368c8d50dc265\" tg-width=\"1409\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89474/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-IoT-solutions-wine-and-satellites-in-a-3-IPO-week\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SIDU":"Sidus Space Inc.","IOT":"Samsara, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89474/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-IoT-solutions-wine-and-satellites-in-a-3-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103250344","content_text":"The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to raise $789 million.\nIoT solutions developerSamsara(IOT) plans to raise $753 million at an $11.6 billion market cap. This \"internet-of-things\" company provides a cloud-based platform that connects the assets of businesses with physical operations, enhancing operational efficiency and asset and employee productivity. Fast growing but highly unprofitable, Samsara saw double-digit growth for customers with $100k+ ARR in the 9mo FY22.\nWine brandFresh Vine Wine(VINE) plans to raise $21 million at a $116 million market cap. This celebrity-founded company produces low carb, low calorie premium wines. Growing but highly unprofitable, Fresh Vine sells its wines through wholesale, retail, and DTC channels, and is able to conduct wholesale distribution in all 50 states and Puerto Rico.\nMicro-cap satellite developerSidus Space(SIDU) plans to raise $15 million at an $81 million market cap. This company provides commercial satellite services such as design, manufacture, launch, and data collection.  Sidus Space has generated space-related manufacturing revenues to date, but is highly unprofitable with negative gross margin in the 9mo21.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0,".SPX":0,"IOT":0,".DJI":0,"SIDU":0,"VINE":0}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4066,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605567018,"gmtCreate":1639193346356,"gmtModify":1639193346592,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605567018","repostId":"2190767366","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1099,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605176411,"gmtCreate":1639137511051,"gmtModify":1639137511282,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605176411","repostId":"1169522079","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169522079","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639136423,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1169522079?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-10 19:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Nears $3 Trillion. Why It Could Still Be a Top Stock Pick for 2022.<blockquote>苹果接近3万亿美元。为什么它仍然可能是 2022 年的首选股票。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169522079","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple is a top stock pick for Morgan Stanley in 2022 as the tech giant nears a $3 trillion market ca","content":"<p>Apple&nbsp;is a top stock pick for Morgan Stanley in 2022 as the tech giant nears a $3 trillion market capitalization and prepares to launch an augmented reality product.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是摩根士丹利 2022 年的首选股票，因为这家科技巨头的市值接近 3 万亿美元，并准备推出增强现实产品。</blockquote></p><p> “The combination of a strong, loyal customer base and the upcoming launch of AR/VR products positions AAPL for a re-rating in 2022,” analyst Katy Huberty wrote in a note Thursday. Huberty wrote that Apple was Morgan Stanley’s “favorite large cap (and overall Top Pick)” heading into 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“分析师凯蒂-休伯蒂（Katy Huberty）在周四的一份报告中写道：”强大、忠诚的客户群和即将推出的 AR/VR 产品相结合，使苹果公司有望在 2022 年获得重新评级。休伯蒂写道，苹果是摩根士丹利在 2022 年 “最受欢迎的大盘股（也是总体首选）”。</blockquote></p><p> Huberty’s call comes two days after she reiterated an Overweight rating on shares of Apple (ticker: AAPL) and raised her price target 21% to $200 from $164.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂发表看涨期权两天前，她重申了跑赢大盘对苹果（股票代码：AAPL）股票的评级，并将目标价从164美元上调21%至200美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple shares were rising 0.2% to $175.47 on Thursday. The stock has risen about 32% this year, reaching a market capitalization of $2.87 trillion. Over the last month, it has jumped 19%, outperforming the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average’s&nbsp;0.5% rise, the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500’s&nbsp;0.9% gain, and the&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite’s&nbsp;0.04% advance.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周四上涨 0.2%，至 175.47 美元。该股今年已上涨约32%，市值达到2.87万亿美元。在过去的一个月里，该指数上涨了 19%，超过了道琼斯工业平均指数 0.5% 的涨幅、标普500指数 0.9% 的涨幅和纳斯达克综合指数 0.04% 的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley believes investors should value Apple as a consumer and technology platform rather than a cyclical hardware company, given that around a third of gross profits come from the company’s services segment. iPhone 13 demand will continue to drive growth in the short term, with new product launches in early 2022 continuing the trend, Huberty wrote.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为，投资者应将苹果视为消费和技术平台，而不是周期性硬件公司，因为该公司约三分之一的毛利润来自服务部门。休伯蒂写道，iPhone 13 的需求将在短期内继续推动增长，2022 年初推出的新产品将延续这一趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush’s Dan Ives echoed Huberty’s bullish call, citing strong iPhone 13 demand and the upcoming launch of augmented reality headsets.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush 的 Dan Ives 赞同 Huberty 的看涨看涨期权，理由是 iPhone 13 需求强劲，增强现实耳机即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> “This week our Apple store checks, supply chain data, and iPhone order delays all confirm our bullish view that currently demand is outstripping supply for iPhones 13 by roughly 10 million units globally,” Ives wrote in a research note Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>“艾夫斯在周四的一份研究报告中写道：”本周，我们对苹果商店的检查、供应链数据和 iPhone 订单延迟都证实了我们的看涨观点，即目前全球 iPhone 13 的需求量超过了约 1000 万部。</blockquote></p><p> Ives estimated that Apple was on pace to sell more than 40 million iPhones during the holiday season, despite chip shortage and supply-chain headwinds. These headwinds are likely to be “nothing more than a speed bump” on the iPhone 12 and 13 cycle as consumers continue to upgrade their phones.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯估计，尽管芯片短缺和供应链逆风，苹果在假日期间仍将销售超过 4000 万部 iPhone。随着消费者不断升级手机，这些不利因素很可能 “只不过是 iPhone 12 和 13 周期中的一个减速带”。</blockquote></p><p> Ives also foresees Apple launching AR headset “Apple Glasses” around the summer of 2022, which could add $20 per share to the company’s valuation.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯还预计，苹果将在 2022 年夏天左右推出 AR 头显 “苹果眼镜”，这可能会使公司每股估值增加 20 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other tailwinds include gaining a share of the PC market, strong cash returns, and future advances in augmented reality, payments, and talk of an upcoming expansion into vehicle manufacturing, Huberty added.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂补充说，其他有利因素包括获得个人电脑市场份额、强劲的现金回报、增强现实、支付领域的未来进步，以及即将扩展到汽车制造领域的讨论。</blockquote></p><p> “We also believe investors need to properly embed value from the optionality of upcoming new product launches,” she wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“她写道：”我们还认为，投资者需要从即将推出的新产品的选择性中适当地嵌入价值。</blockquote></p><p> There are still some risks to the bullish case for Apple stock. Chief among them is that iPhone sales fail to materialize in 2022, as work-from-home demand peters off, Huberty outlined.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票的看涨情况仍然存在一些风险。休伯蒂概述说，其中最主要的是，随着在家工作的需求逐渐消退，iPhone 的销量将无法在 2022 年实现。</blockquote></p><p> Another risk could come with low growth in the services sector, potentially driven by court-imposed changes to the App Store payment model. Even that risk looked less likely as Apple notched another victory in its legal battle with Fortnite publisher Epic Games on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>另一个风险可能来自服务行业的低增长，这可能是由法院对 App Store 支付模式的改变所推动的。即使是这种风险看起来也不太可能，因为苹果在周三与堡垒之夜发行商Epic Games的法律诉讼中再次获胜。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Nears $3 Trillion. Why It Could Still Be a Top Stock Pick for 2022.<blockquote>苹果接近3万亿美元。为什么它仍然可能是 2022 年的首选股票。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Nears $3 Trillion. Why It Could Still Be a Top Stock Pick for 2022.<blockquote>苹果接近3万亿美元。为什么它仍然可能是 2022 年的首选股票。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-10 19:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple&nbsp;is a top stock pick for Morgan Stanley in 2022 as the tech giant nears a $3 trillion market capitalization and prepares to launch an augmented reality product.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是摩根士丹利 2022 年的首选股票，因为这家科技巨头的市值接近 3 万亿美元，并准备推出增强现实产品。</blockquote></p><p> “The combination of a strong, loyal customer base and the upcoming launch of AR/VR products positions AAPL for a re-rating in 2022,” analyst Katy Huberty wrote in a note Thursday. Huberty wrote that Apple was Morgan Stanley’s “favorite large cap (and overall Top Pick)” heading into 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“分析师凯蒂-休伯蒂（Katy Huberty）在周四的一份报告中写道：”强大、忠诚的客户群和即将推出的 AR/VR 产品相结合，使苹果公司有望在 2022 年获得重新评级。休伯蒂写道，苹果是摩根士丹利在 2022 年 “最受欢迎的大盘股（也是总体首选）”。</blockquote></p><p> Huberty’s call comes two days after she reiterated an Overweight rating on shares of Apple (ticker: AAPL) and raised her price target 21% to $200 from $164.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂发表看涨期权两天前，她重申了跑赢大盘对苹果（股票代码：AAPL）股票的评级，并将目标价从164美元上调21%至200美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple shares were rising 0.2% to $175.47 on Thursday. The stock has risen about 32% this year, reaching a market capitalization of $2.87 trillion. Over the last month, it has jumped 19%, outperforming the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average’s&nbsp;0.5% rise, the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500’s&nbsp;0.9% gain, and the&nbsp;Nasdaq Composite’s&nbsp;0.04% advance.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价周四上涨 0.2%，至 175.47 美元。该股今年已上涨约32%，市值达到2.87万亿美元。在过去的一个月里，该指数上涨了 19%，超过了道琼斯工业平均指数 0.5% 的涨幅、标普500指数 0.9% 的涨幅和纳斯达克综合指数 0.04% 的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley believes investors should value Apple as a consumer and technology platform rather than a cyclical hardware company, given that around a third of gross profits come from the company’s services segment. iPhone 13 demand will continue to drive growth in the short term, with new product launches in early 2022 continuing the trend, Huberty wrote.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为，投资者应将苹果视为消费和技术平台，而不是周期性硬件公司，因为该公司约三分之一的毛利润来自服务部门。休伯蒂写道，iPhone 13 的需求将在短期内继续推动增长，2022 年初推出的新产品将延续这一趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush’s Dan Ives echoed Huberty’s bullish call, citing strong iPhone 13 demand and the upcoming launch of augmented reality headsets.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush 的 Dan Ives 赞同 Huberty 的看涨看涨期权，理由是 iPhone 13 需求强劲，增强现实耳机即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> “This week our Apple store checks, supply chain data, and iPhone order delays all confirm our bullish view that currently demand is outstripping supply for iPhones 13 by roughly 10 million units globally,” Ives wrote in a research note Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>“艾夫斯在周四的一份研究报告中写道：”本周，我们对苹果商店的检查、供应链数据和 iPhone 订单延迟都证实了我们的看涨观点，即目前全球 iPhone 13 的需求量超过了约 1000 万部。</blockquote></p><p> Ives estimated that Apple was on pace to sell more than 40 million iPhones during the holiday season, despite chip shortage and supply-chain headwinds. These headwinds are likely to be “nothing more than a speed bump” on the iPhone 12 and 13 cycle as consumers continue to upgrade their phones.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯估计，尽管芯片短缺和供应链逆风，苹果在假日期间仍将销售超过 4000 万部 iPhone。随着消费者不断升级手机，这些不利因素很可能 “只不过是 iPhone 12 和 13 周期中的一个减速带”。</blockquote></p><p> Ives also foresees Apple launching AR headset “Apple Glasses” around the summer of 2022, which could add $20 per share to the company’s valuation.</p><p><blockquote>艾夫斯还预计，苹果将在 2022 年夏天左右推出 AR 头显 “苹果眼镜”，这可能会使公司每股估值增加 20 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Other tailwinds include gaining a share of the PC market, strong cash returns, and future advances in augmented reality, payments, and talk of an upcoming expansion into vehicle manufacturing, Huberty added.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂补充说，其他有利因素包括获得个人电脑市场份额、强劲的现金回报、增强现实、支付领域的未来进步，以及即将扩展到汽车制造领域的讨论。</blockquote></p><p> “We also believe investors need to properly embed value from the optionality of upcoming new product launches,” she wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“她写道：”我们还认为，投资者需要从即将推出的新产品的选择性中适当地嵌入价值。</blockquote></p><p> There are still some risks to the bullish case for Apple stock. Chief among them is that iPhone sales fail to materialize in 2022, as work-from-home demand peters off, Huberty outlined.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股票的看涨情况仍然存在一些风险。休伯蒂概述说，其中最主要的是，随着在家工作的需求逐渐消退，iPhone 的销量将无法在 2022 年实现。</blockquote></p><p> Another risk could come with low growth in the services sector, potentially driven by court-imposed changes to the App Store payment model. Even that risk looked less likely as Apple notched another victory in its legal battle with Fortnite publisher Epic Games on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>另一个风险可能来自服务行业的低增长，这可能是由法院对 App Store 支付模式的改变所推动的。即使是这种风险看起来也不太可能，因为苹果在周三与堡垒之夜发行商Epic Games的法律诉讼中再次获胜。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-market-cap-3-trillion-top-stock-pick-51639073242?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-market-cap-3-trillion-top-stock-pick-51639073242?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169522079","content_text":"Apple is a top stock pick for Morgan Stanley in 2022 as the tech giant nears a $3 trillion market capitalization and prepares to launch an augmented reality product.\n“The combination of a strong, loyal customer base and the upcoming launch of AR/VR products positions AAPL for a re-rating in 2022,” analyst Katy Huberty wrote in a note Thursday. Huberty wrote that Apple was Morgan Stanley’s “favorite large cap (and overall Top Pick)” heading into 2022.\nHuberty’s call comes two days after she reiterated an Overweight rating on shares of Apple (ticker: AAPL) and raised her price target 21% to $200 from $164.\nApple shares were rising 0.2% to $175.47 on Thursday. The stock has risen about 32% this year, reaching a market capitalization of $2.87 trillion. Over the last month, it has jumped 19%, outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.5% rise, the S&P 500’s 0.9% gain, and the Nasdaq Composite’s 0.04% advance.\nMorgan Stanley believes investors should value Apple as a consumer and technology platform rather than a cyclical hardware company, given that around a third of gross profits come from the company’s services segment. iPhone 13 demand will continue to drive growth in the short term, with new product launches in early 2022 continuing the trend, Huberty wrote.\nWedbush’s Dan Ives echoed Huberty’s bullish call, citing strong iPhone 13 demand and the upcoming launch of augmented reality headsets.\n“This week our Apple store checks, supply chain data, and iPhone order delays all confirm our bullish view that currently demand is outstripping supply for iPhones 13 by roughly 10 million units globally,” Ives wrote in a research note Thursday.\nIves estimated that Apple was on pace to sell more than 40 million iPhones during the holiday season, despite chip shortage and supply-chain headwinds. These headwinds are likely to be “nothing more than a speed bump” on the iPhone 12 and 13 cycle as consumers continue to upgrade their phones.\nIves also foresees Apple launching AR headset “Apple Glasses” around the summer of 2022, which could add $20 per share to the company’s valuation.\nOther tailwinds include gaining a share of the PC market, strong cash returns, and future advances in augmented reality, payments, and talk of an upcoming expansion into vehicle manufacturing, Huberty added.\n“We also believe investors need to properly embed value from the optionality of upcoming new product launches,” she wrote.\nThere are still some risks to the bullish case for Apple stock. Chief among them is that iPhone sales fail to materialize in 2022, as work-from-home demand peters off, Huberty outlined.\nAnother risk could come with low growth in the services sector, potentially driven by court-imposed changes to the App Store payment model. Even that risk looked less likely as Apple notched another victory in its legal battle with Fortnite publisher Epic Games on Wednesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602243732,"gmtCreate":1639033198303,"gmtModify":1639033198481,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602243732","repostId":"2190169579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1201,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606687118,"gmtCreate":1638872343777,"gmtModify":1638872343988,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606687118","repostId":"1187427850","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187427850","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638871605,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1187427850?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-07 18:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For December 7, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 12 月 7 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187427850","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Wall Street expects AutoZone, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $20.87 per share on revenue of $3","content":"<p><div> Wall Street expects AutoZone, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $20.87 per share on revenue of $3.37 billion before the opening bell. AutoZone shares rose 0.3% to $1,885.00 in after-hours trading. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>华尔街预计 AutoZone, Inc. 将公布每股 20.87 美元的季度收益，开盘前营收为 33.7 亿美元。AutoZone 股价在盘后交易中上涨 0.3%，至 1,885.00 美元。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24473988/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-7-2021\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24473988/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-7-2021\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For December 7, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 12 月 7 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For December 7, 2021<blockquote>2021 年 12 月 7 日值得关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-07 18:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Wall Street expects AutoZone, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $20.87 per share on revenue of $3.37 billion before the opening bell. AutoZone shares rose 0.3% to $1,885.00 in after-hours trading. ...</p><p><blockquote><div>华尔街预计 AutoZone, Inc. 将公布每股 20.87 美元的季度收益，开盘前营收为 33.7 亿美元。AutoZone 股价在盘后交易中上涨 0.3%，至 1,885.00 美元。...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24473988/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-7-2021\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24473988/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-7-2021\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24473988/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-7-2021\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DBI":"Designer Brands Inc","GLPI":"Gaming and Leisure Properties I","COUP":"Coupa Software Inc","AZO":"汽车地带","TOL":"托尔兄弟"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/21/12/24473988/5-stocks-to-watch-for-december-7-2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187427850","content_text":"Wall Street expects AutoZone, Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $20.87 per share on revenue of $3.37 billion before the opening bell. AutoZone shares rose 0.3% to $1,885.00 in after-hours trading.\nCoupa Software Incorporated reported adjusted earnings of $0.31 per share for its third fiscal quarter ended October 31, 2021, up from $0.18 per share in the year-ago period. Total revenues climbed 40% to $185.8 million. The company also said it sees FY22 adjusted earnings of $0.66 to $0.69 per share on revenue of $717.0 to $718.0 million. Coupa Software shares dipped 10.4% to $156.00 in the after-hours trading session.\nAnalysts are expecting Toll Brothers, Inc. to have earned $2.49 per share on revenue of $2.88 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings after the markets close. Toll Brothers shares slipped 0.5% to $70.50 in after-hours trading.\nGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. priced its underwritten public offering of 7,700,000 shares of common stock for total gross proceeds of around $344.6 million. Gaming and Leisure Properties shares dropped 2.4% to $45.32 in the after-hours trading session.\nAnalysts expect Designer Brands Inc. to report quarterly earnings at $0.56 per share on revenue of $897.50 million before the opening bell. Designer Brands shares gained 1.5% to $13.70 in after-hours trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GLPI":0.9,"TOL":0.9,"AZO":0.9,"COUP":0.9,"DBI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608578773,"gmtCreate":1638767491658,"gmtModify":1638767491836,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608578773","repostId":"1179313612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179313612","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638745398,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1179313612?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Game Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179313612","media":"Barrons","summary":"Meme stock darling GameStop headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer rep","content":"<p>Meme stock darling <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>, Casey’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">General</a> Stores, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">Toll Brothers</a> report earnings on Tuesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">Brown-Forman</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">Campbell Soup</a> on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">Hormel</a> Foods round things out on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票宠儿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>本周财报的头条新闻。这家视频游戏零售商在周三收盘后公布业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">自动区</a>凯西的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">一般的</a>商店和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">收费兄弟</a>周二公布收益，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">布朗-福尔曼</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">金宝汤</a>星期三。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">好市多</a>批发，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">荷美尔</a>周四食物圆满结束。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">Union Pacific</a> will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">McKesson</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a> host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS Health</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> Foods on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>周一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">联合太平洋</a>将召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">麦克森</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空公司</a>周三举办 2021 年投资者日，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS健康</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>周四的食物。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于周二发布10月份消费信贷数据报告。周四，美国劳工部公布了截至 12 月 4 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局周五发布11月份消费者价格指数。普遍估计同比增长 6.7%，比 10 月份高出半个百分点。不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而之前为4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/6星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> Union Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 12/7</b></blockquote></p><p> AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>AutoZone、Casey's General Stores 和 Toll Brothers 公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告10月份消费信贷数据。继去年小幅下降后，截至 9 月份，未偿消费者债务总额平均每月增加 200 亿美元，达到创纪录的 4.37 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/8星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测10月最后一个工作日将有1050万个职位空缺，仅比7月份1110万个的历史新高少60万个。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">Brown-Forman</a>, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">布朗-福尔曼</a>、金宝汤和游戏驿站报告收益。</blockquote></p><p> McKesson and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">Southwest</a> Airlines host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>麦克森和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">西南</a>航空公司举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">Edwards Lifesciences</a> holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">爱德华兹生命科学</a>在加利福尼亚州尔湾举行投资者会议。该公司将讨论其产品线以及 2022 年的财务前景。</blockquote></p><p> The Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大央行宣布货币政策决定。预计央行将维持关键短期利率在0.25%不变。在 10 月底的会议上，央行结束了量化宽松计划，并表示首次加息将于 2022 年早于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 12/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Broadcom、Costco Wholesale 和 Hormel Foods 举行评级会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> CVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>CVS Health 和泰森食品公司举办年度投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至 12 月 4 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。11 月份申请失业救济人数平均为 238,750 人，为疫情开始以来的最低水平，仅比 2020 年 2 月多 24,750 人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/10星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> Archer-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.</p><p><blockquote>Archer-Daniels-Midland 举办全球投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a> holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">一百个</a>召开投资者会议，并将提供2022年的财务指导。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.</p><p><blockquote>劳工统计局发布11月份消费者价格指数。普遍估计同比增长 6.7%，比 10 月份高出半个百分点。不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而之前为4.6%。10 月份 6.2% 的涨幅是 CPI 30 多年来最热的一次，上周美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>在参议院银行委员会讨论通货膨胀问题时，最终放弃了 “过渡性 ”。</blockquote></p><p> The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.</p><p><blockquote>密歇根大学发布12月份消费者信心指数。经济学家预测读数为66，略低于11月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Game Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGame Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS 和本周值得关注的其他股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-06 07:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Meme stock darling <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>, Casey’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">General</a> Stores, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">Toll Brothers</a> report earnings on Tuesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">Brown-Forman</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">Campbell Soup</a> on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">Hormel</a> Foods round things out on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票宠儿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>本周财报的头条新闻。这家视频游戏零售商在周三收盘后公布业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">自动区</a>凯西的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">一般的</a>商店和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">收费兄弟</a>周二公布收益，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">布朗-福尔曼</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">金宝汤</a>星期三。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">好市多</a>批发，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">荷美尔</a>周四食物圆满结束。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">Union Pacific</a> will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">McKesson</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a> host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS Health</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> Foods on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>周一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">联合太平洋</a>将召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">麦克森</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空公司</a>周三举办 2021 年投资者日，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS健康</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>周四的食物。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于周二发布10月份消费信贷数据报告。周四，美国劳工部公布了截至 12 月 4 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局周五发布11月份消费者价格指数。普遍估计同比增长 6.7%，比 10 月份高出半个百分点。不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而之前为4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/6星期一</b></blockquote></p><p> Union Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二 12/7</b></blockquote></p><p> AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>AutoZone、Casey's General Stores 和 Toll Brothers 公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告10月份消费信贷数据。继去年小幅下降后，截至 9 月份，未偿消费者债务总额平均每月增加 200 亿美元，达到创纪录的 4.37 万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/8星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测10月最后一个工作日将有1050万个职位空缺，仅比7月份1110万个的历史新高少60万个。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">Brown-Forman</a>, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">布朗-福尔曼</a>、金宝汤和游戏驿站报告收益。</blockquote></p><p> McKesson and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">Southwest</a> Airlines host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>麦克森和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">西南</a>航空公司举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">Edwards Lifesciences</a> holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">爱德华兹生命科学</a>在加利福尼亚州尔湾举行投资者会议。该公司将讨论其产品线以及 2022 年的财务前景。</blockquote></p><p> The Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大央行宣布货币政策决定。预计央行将维持关键短期利率在0.25%不变。在 10 月底的会议上，央行结束了量化宽松计划，并表示首次加息将于 2022 年早于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四 12/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Broadcom、Costco Wholesale 和 Hormel Foods 举行评级会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> CVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>CVS Health 和泰森食品公司举办年度投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至 12 月 4 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。11 月份申请失业救济人数平均为 238,750 人，为疫情开始以来的最低水平，仅比 2020 年 2 月多 24,750 人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>12/10星期五</b></blockquote></p><p> Archer-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.</p><p><blockquote>Archer-Daniels-Midland 举办全球投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a> holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">一百个</a>召开投资者会议，并将提供2022年的财务指导。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.</p><p><blockquote>劳工统计局发布11月份消费者价格指数。普遍估计同比增长 6.7%，比 10 月份高出半个百分点。不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而之前为4.6%。10 月份 6.2% 的涨幅是 CPI 30 多年来最热的一次，上周美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>在参议院银行委员会讨论通货膨胀问题时，最终放弃了 “过渡性 ”。</blockquote></p><p> The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.</p><p><blockquote>密歇根大学发布12月份消费者信心指数。经济学家预测读数为66，略低于11月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/game-stop-toll-brothers-costco-cvs-and-other-stocks-to-watch-this-week-51638734413?mod=barrons-on-marketwatch\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COST":"好市多","BK4088":"住宅建筑","CVS":"西维斯健康","GME":"游戏驿站","TOL":"托尔兄弟"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/game-stop-toll-brothers-costco-cvs-and-other-stocks-to-watch-this-week-51638734413?mod=barrons-on-marketwatch","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1179313612","content_text":"Meme stock darling GameStop headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers report earnings on Tuesday, followed by Brown-Forman and Campbell Soup on Wednesday. Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods round things out on Thursday.\nOn Monday, Union Pacific will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. McKesson and Southwest Airlines host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by CVS Health and Tyson Foods on Thursday.\nThe Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.\nMonday 12/6\nUnion Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.\nTuesday 12/7\nAutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.\nThe Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.\nWednesday 12/8\nThe BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.\nBrown-Forman, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.\nMcKesson and Southwest Airlines host their 2021 investor days.\nEdwards Lifesciences holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.\nThe Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.\nThursday 12/9\nBroadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nCVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.\nFriday 12/10\nArcher-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.\nCentene holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.\nThe University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TOL":0.9,"CVS":0.9,"GME":0.9,"COST":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608155395,"gmtCreate":1638670215149,"gmtModify":1638670318127,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608155395","repostId":"1140678193","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601719657,"gmtCreate":1638566784577,"gmtModify":1638566784720,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601719657","repostId":"1158981658","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601910935,"gmtCreate":1638479909417,"gmtModify":1638479909513,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601910935","repostId":"1144502876","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":908,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603913385,"gmtCreate":1638350777673,"gmtModify":1638350777967,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603913385","repostId":"1116877933","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116877933","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638350081,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116877933?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 17:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading<blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116877933","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading as FDA advisers recommended its COVID-19 pill in close","content":"<p>Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;FDA advisers recommended its COVID-19 pill in close vote.</p><p><blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%，因为 FDA 顾问在接近投票中推荐了其 COVID-19 药丸。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52b0f147fff1ac74d32cd5d5643fe2b3\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration advisory committee said Tuesday the benefits of Merck &amp; Co.'s experimental antiviral COVID-19 pill outweigh its risks in a 13-10 vote, with several advisors saying they had concerns about use of the drug in pregnant women.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局咨询委员会周二表示，默克公司实验性抗病毒 COVID-19 药丸的益处大于其风险，几位顾问表示，他们对孕妇使用该药物感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The company is developing the pill, which is called molnupiravir, with privately held Ridgeback Biotherapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在与私营 Ridgeback Biotherapeutics 合作开发这种名为 molnupiravir 的药丸。</blockquote></p><p> The FDA is now expected to deliver its final decision, likely before the end of the year. The regulator often takes into account the recommendation of its advisory committees but is not required to do so.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局预计将在今年年底前做出最终决定。监管机构通常会考虑其咨询委员会的建议，但并非必须这样做。</blockquote></p><p> If molnupiravir is authorized by the FDA in the coming weeks, as expected, the treatment will be the first oral COVID-19 pill that patients can take at home.</p><p><blockquote>如果molnupiravir在未来几周内获得FDA的授权，正如预期的那样，该疗法将是患者可以在家服用的第一种口服新冠肺炎药丸。</blockquote></p><p> Members of the Antimicrobial Drugs Advisory Committee also suggested a safety-monitoring program, expressed concerns about prescribing the drug to those who are immunocompromised, and shared their concerns about the overall efficacy of the pill.</p><p><blockquote>抗菌药物咨询委员会的成员还建议实施安全监测计划，对向免疫功能低下的人开具该药物表示担忧，并分享了他们对药丸整体疗效的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"With the continued spread of the virus and the emergence of variants, additional treatments for COVID-19 are urgently needed. That is why we are moving with speed and rigor to pursue authorizations and to accelerate broad global access to this investigational medicine,\" Dean Li, executive vice president and president of Merck Research Laboratories, said in a statement. \"We are grateful to the members of the advisory committee who reviewed our application, as well as to the patients and investigators who participated in our clinical trials, and we will continue to work with the FDA as the agency completes its review.\"</p><p><blockquote>“随着病毒的持续传播和变种的出现，迫切需要针对 COVID-19 的额外治疗方法。这就是为什么我们正在快速而严格地采取行动，以寻求授权并加速这种研究药物的全球广泛使用，”执行副总裁兼默克研究实验室总裁李院长在一份声明中表示。“我们感谢审查我们申请的咨询委员会成员，以及参与我们临床试验的患者和研究人员，随着 FDA 完成审查，我们将继续与该机构合作。”</blockquote></p><p> Some Wall Street analysts had predicted that the advisers would vote in support of authorization, but with a cautious approach.</p><p><blockquote>一些华尔街分析师曾预测，顾问们将投票支持授权，但态度谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> \"Despite these reservations, molnupiravir is also likely to be approved, and demand is likely to exceed their 20 [million] course supply in 2022,\" SVB Leerink analysts wrote on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>SVB Leerink 分析师周五写道：“尽管存在这些保留意见，莫努匹拉韦也可能获得批准，2022 年的需求可能会超过 2000 万疗程的供应量。”</blockquote></p><p> Of the COVID-19 treatments that are currently available, most are used to care for very sick, hospitalized people. This includes the steroid dexamethasone and Gilead Sciences Inc.'s&nbsp;Veklury.</p><p><blockquote>在目前可用的新冠肺炎治疗方法中，大多数用于护理重病住院患者。这包括类固醇地塞米松和吉利德科学公司的Veklury。</blockquote></p><p> The monoclonal antibodies developed by Eli Lilly &amp; Co., Regeneron Pharmaceuticals&nbsp;Inc. (REGN), and Vir Biotechnology Inc.&nbsp;and GlaxoSmithKline&nbsp;can be used to treat people with mild or moderate cases of COVID-19, but these treatments have to be administered by an infusion in a clinical setting.</p><p><blockquote>再生元制药礼来公司开发的单克隆抗体。（REGN）、Vir Biotechnology Inc. 和葛兰素史克可用于治疗轻度或中度 COVID-19 病例的患者，但这些治疗必须在临床环境中通过输注进行。</blockquote></p><p> Molnupiravir was once held as a game changer in the course of the pandemic, but its importance has shifted as new data from the clinical trial came out and a competitor stepped up.</p><p><blockquote>莫努匹拉韦曾经被认为是疫情过程中的游戏规则改变者，但随着临床试验的新数据出现和竞争对手的崛起，它的重要性已经发生了变化。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street's interest in Merck's pill began to wane in November when Pfizer Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a> produced even more compelling results for its COVID-19 drug candidate, demonstrating that Paxlovid reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by a stunning 89% in a clinical trial. The company filed for emergency authorization later in the month.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对默克药丸的兴趣在11月开始减弱，当时辉瑞公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a>为其新冠肺炎候选药物产生了更令人信服的结果，证明Paxlovid在一项临床试验中将住院和死亡风险降低了惊人的89%。该公司在本月晚些时候申请了紧急授权。</blockquote></p><p> Then, last week, Merck shared that its pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by 30% in a clinical trial--and not 50% as reported in the interim results. Wall Street is now factoring in growing worries about the omicron variant and the continuing need for new and better treatments for COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>然后，上周，默克公司分享说，其药丸在一项临床试验中将住院和死亡的风险降低了30%，而不是中期结果中报告的50%。华尔街现在正在考虑对奥密克戎变种的日益增长的担忧，以及对新冠肺炎新的更好治疗方法的持续需求。</blockquote></p><p> \"Concerns over the new omicron variant are increasing expectations on the potential of Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine Comirnaty and updated data from Merck's oral anti-viral molnupiravir are increasing expectations for Pfizer's anti-viral Paxlovid,\" Mizuho Securities analysts told investors on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗证券分析师周一对投资者表示：“对新奥密克戎变种的担忧增加了人们对辉瑞 COVID-19 疫苗 Comirnaty 潜力的预期，而默克口服抗病毒药物莫努匹拉韦的最新数据增加了人们对辉瑞抗病毒药物 Paxlovid 的预期。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts were once over the moon about the sales potential of the first oral COVID-19 pill that works, predicting between $5 billion and $7 billion in sales next year alone. But the arrival of new efficacy data dragged down interest in both the drug and Merck's stock.</p><p><blockquote>分析师一度对第一种有效的口服 COVID-19 药丸的销售潜力欣喜若狂，预测仅明年的销售额就将在 50 亿至 70 亿美元之间。但新疗效数据的出现拖累了人们对该药物和默克股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Citi on Monday downgraded Merck's stock to neutral, from buy, citing concerns about the company's experimental HIV drug islatravir and about molnupiravir.</p><p><blockquote>花旗周一将默克公司的股票评级从买入下调至中性，理由是对该公司的实验性艾滋病毒药物islatravir和molnupiravir感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Merck is seeking authorization for molnupiravir in adults who have tested positive for the virus, are experiencing mild or moderate symptoms, and are at high risk for severe disease. Patients are expected to start treatment within five days of symptoms.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司正在寻求授权莫努匹拉韦用于病毒检测呈阳性、出现轻度或中度症状且有严重疾病高风险的成年人。患者有望在出现症状五天内开始治疗。</blockquote></p><p> The Phase 2/3, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind study only enrolled people who were unvaccinated; however, it's unclear whether the pill could be used to treat vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections if it is authorized.</p><p><blockquote>2/3期、随机、安慰剂对照、双盲研究仅招募未接种疫苗的人；然而，目前尚不清楚如果获得授权，这种药丸是否可以用于治疗接种疫苗的突破性感染个体。</blockquote></p><p> Molnupiravir has already been authorized for use in the U.K.</p><p><blockquote>莫努匹拉韦已经被授权在英国使用。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading<blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMerck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading<blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-01 17:14</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;FDA advisers recommended its COVID-19 pill in close vote.</p><p><blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%，因为 FDA 顾问在接近投票中推荐了其 COVID-19 药丸。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52b0f147fff1ac74d32cd5d5643fe2b3\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration advisory committee said Tuesday the benefits of Merck &amp; Co.'s experimental antiviral COVID-19 pill outweigh its risks in a 13-10 vote, with several advisors saying they had concerns about use of the drug in pregnant women.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局咨询委员会周二表示，默克公司实验性抗病毒 COVID-19 药丸的益处大于其风险，几位顾问表示，他们对孕妇使用该药物感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The company is developing the pill, which is called molnupiravir, with privately held Ridgeback Biotherapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在与私营 Ridgeback Biotherapeutics 合作开发这种名为 molnupiravir 的药丸。</blockquote></p><p> The FDA is now expected to deliver its final decision, likely before the end of the year. The regulator often takes into account the recommendation of its advisory committees but is not required to do so.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局预计将在今年年底前做出最终决定。监管机构通常会考虑其咨询委员会的建议，但并非必须这样做。</blockquote></p><p> If molnupiravir is authorized by the FDA in the coming weeks, as expected, the treatment will be the first oral COVID-19 pill that patients can take at home.</p><p><blockquote>如果molnupiravir在未来几周内获得FDA的授权，正如预期的那样，该疗法将是患者可以在家服用的第一种口服新冠肺炎药丸。</blockquote></p><p> Members of the Antimicrobial Drugs Advisory Committee also suggested a safety-monitoring program, expressed concerns about prescribing the drug to those who are immunocompromised, and shared their concerns about the overall efficacy of the pill.</p><p><blockquote>抗菌药物咨询委员会的成员还建议实施安全监测计划，对向免疫功能低下的人开具该药物表示担忧，并分享了他们对药丸整体疗效的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"With the continued spread of the virus and the emergence of variants, additional treatments for COVID-19 are urgently needed. That is why we are moving with speed and rigor to pursue authorizations and to accelerate broad global access to this investigational medicine,\" Dean Li, executive vice president and president of Merck Research Laboratories, said in a statement. \"We are grateful to the members of the advisory committee who reviewed our application, as well as to the patients and investigators who participated in our clinical trials, and we will continue to work with the FDA as the agency completes its review.\"</p><p><blockquote>“随着病毒的持续传播和变种的出现，迫切需要针对 COVID-19 的额外治疗方法。这就是为什么我们正在快速而严格地采取行动，以寻求授权并加速这种研究药物的全球广泛使用，”执行副总裁兼默克研究实验室总裁李院长在一份声明中表示。“我们感谢审查我们申请的咨询委员会成员，以及参与我们临床试验的患者和研究人员，随着 FDA 完成审查，我们将继续与该机构合作。”</blockquote></p><p> Some Wall Street analysts had predicted that the advisers would vote in support of authorization, but with a cautious approach.</p><p><blockquote>一些华尔街分析师曾预测，顾问们将投票支持授权，但态度谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> \"Despite these reservations, molnupiravir is also likely to be approved, and demand is likely to exceed their 20 [million] course supply in 2022,\" SVB Leerink analysts wrote on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>SVB Leerink 分析师周五写道：“尽管存在这些保留意见，莫努匹拉韦也可能获得批准，2022 年的需求可能会超过 2000 万疗程的供应量。”</blockquote></p><p> Of the COVID-19 treatments that are currently available, most are used to care for very sick, hospitalized people. This includes the steroid dexamethasone and Gilead Sciences Inc.'s&nbsp;Veklury.</p><p><blockquote>在目前可用的新冠肺炎治疗方法中，大多数用于护理重病住院患者。这包括类固醇地塞米松和吉利德科学公司的Veklury。</blockquote></p><p> The monoclonal antibodies developed by Eli Lilly &amp; Co., Regeneron Pharmaceuticals&nbsp;Inc. (REGN), and Vir Biotechnology Inc.&nbsp;and GlaxoSmithKline&nbsp;can be used to treat people with mild or moderate cases of COVID-19, but these treatments have to be administered by an infusion in a clinical setting.</p><p><blockquote>再生元制药礼来公司开发的单克隆抗体。（REGN）、Vir Biotechnology Inc. 和葛兰素史克可用于治疗轻度或中度 COVID-19 病例的患者，但这些治疗必须在临床环境中通过输注进行。</blockquote></p><p> Molnupiravir was once held as a game changer in the course of the pandemic, but its importance has shifted as new data from the clinical trial came out and a competitor stepped up.</p><p><blockquote>莫努匹拉韦曾经被认为是疫情过程中的游戏规则改变者，但随着临床试验的新数据出现和竞争对手的崛起，它的重要性已经发生了变化。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street's interest in Merck's pill began to wane in November when Pfizer Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a> produced even more compelling results for its COVID-19 drug candidate, demonstrating that Paxlovid reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by a stunning 89% in a clinical trial. The company filed for emergency authorization later in the month.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对默克药丸的兴趣在11月开始减弱，当时辉瑞公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a>为其新冠肺炎候选药物产生了更令人信服的结果，证明Paxlovid在一项临床试验中将住院和死亡风险降低了惊人的89%。该公司在本月晚些时候申请了紧急授权。</blockquote></p><p> Then, last week, Merck shared that its pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by 30% in a clinical trial--and not 50% as reported in the interim results. Wall Street is now factoring in growing worries about the omicron variant and the continuing need for new and better treatments for COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>然后，上周，默克公司分享说，其药丸在一项临床试验中将住院和死亡的风险降低了30%，而不是中期结果中报告的50%。华尔街现在正在考虑对奥密克戎变种的日益增长的担忧，以及对新冠肺炎新的更好治疗方法的持续需求。</blockquote></p><p> \"Concerns over the new omicron variant are increasing expectations on the potential of Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine Comirnaty and updated data from Merck's oral anti-viral molnupiravir are increasing expectations for Pfizer's anti-viral Paxlovid,\" Mizuho Securities analysts told investors on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗证券分析师周一对投资者表示：“对新奥密克戎变种的担忧增加了人们对辉瑞 COVID-19 疫苗 Comirnaty 潜力的预期，而默克口服抗病毒药物莫努匹拉韦的最新数据增加了人们对辉瑞抗病毒药物 Paxlovid 的预期。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts were once over the moon about the sales potential of the first oral COVID-19 pill that works, predicting between $5 billion and $7 billion in sales next year alone. But the arrival of new efficacy data dragged down interest in both the drug and Merck's stock.</p><p><blockquote>分析师一度对第一种有效的口服 COVID-19 药丸的销售潜力欣喜若狂，预测仅明年的销售额就将在 50 亿至 70 亿美元之间。但新疗效数据的出现拖累了人们对该药物和默克股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Citi on Monday downgraded Merck's stock to neutral, from buy, citing concerns about the company's experimental HIV drug islatravir and about molnupiravir.</p><p><blockquote>花旗周一将默克公司的股票评级从买入下调至中性，理由是对该公司的实验性艾滋病毒药物islatravir和molnupiravir感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Merck is seeking authorization for molnupiravir in adults who have tested positive for the virus, are experiencing mild or moderate symptoms, and are at high risk for severe disease. Patients are expected to start treatment within five days of symptoms.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司正在寻求授权莫努匹拉韦用于病毒检测呈阳性、出现轻度或中度症状且有严重疾病高风险的成年人。患者有望在出现症状五天内开始治疗。</blockquote></p><p> The Phase 2/3, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind study only enrolled people who were unvaccinated; however, it's unclear whether the pill could be used to treat vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections if it is authorized.</p><p><blockquote>2/3期、随机、安慰剂对照、双盲研究仅招募未接种疫苗的人；然而，目前尚不清楚如果获得授权，这种药丸是否可以用于治疗接种疫苗的突破性感染个体。</blockquote></p><p> Molnupiravir has already been authorized for use in the U.K.</p><p><blockquote>莫努匹拉韦已经被授权在英国使用。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRK":"默沙东"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116877933","content_text":"Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading as FDA advisers recommended its COVID-19 pill in close vote.\n\nThe Food and Drug Administration advisory committee said Tuesday the benefits of Merck & Co.'s experimental antiviral COVID-19 pill outweigh its risks in a 13-10 vote, with several advisors saying they had concerns about use of the drug in pregnant women.\nThe company is developing the pill, which is called molnupiravir, with privately held Ridgeback Biotherapeutics.\nThe FDA is now expected to deliver its final decision, likely before the end of the year. The regulator often takes into account the recommendation of its advisory committees but is not required to do so.\nIf molnupiravir is authorized by the FDA in the coming weeks, as expected, the treatment will be the first oral COVID-19 pill that patients can take at home.\nMembers of the Antimicrobial Drugs Advisory Committee also suggested a safety-monitoring program, expressed concerns about prescribing the drug to those who are immunocompromised, and shared their concerns about the overall efficacy of the pill.\n\"With the continued spread of the virus and the emergence of variants, additional treatments for COVID-19 are urgently needed. That is why we are moving with speed and rigor to pursue authorizations and to accelerate broad global access to this investigational medicine,\" Dean Li, executive vice president and president of Merck Research Laboratories, said in a statement. \"We are grateful to the members of the advisory committee who reviewed our application, as well as to the patients and investigators who participated in our clinical trials, and we will continue to work with the FDA as the agency completes its review.\"\nSome Wall Street analysts had predicted that the advisers would vote in support of authorization, but with a cautious approach.\n\"Despite these reservations, molnupiravir is also likely to be approved, and demand is likely to exceed their 20 [million] course supply in 2022,\" SVB Leerink analysts wrote on Friday.\nOf the COVID-19 treatments that are currently available, most are used to care for very sick, hospitalized people. This includes the steroid dexamethasone and Gilead Sciences Inc.'s Veklury.\nThe monoclonal antibodies developed by Eli Lilly & Co., Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN), and Vir Biotechnology Inc. and GlaxoSmithKline can be used to treat people with mild or moderate cases of COVID-19, but these treatments have to be administered by an infusion in a clinical setting.\nMolnupiravir was once held as a game changer in the course of the pandemic, but its importance has shifted as new data from the clinical trial came out and a competitor stepped up.\nWall Street's interest in Merck's pill began to wane in November when Pfizer Inc. $(PFE)$ produced even more compelling results for its COVID-19 drug candidate, demonstrating that Paxlovid reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by a stunning 89% in a clinical trial. The company filed for emergency authorization later in the month.\nThen, last week, Merck shared that its pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by 30% in a clinical trial--and not 50% as reported in the interim results. Wall Street is now factoring in growing worries about the omicron variant and the continuing need for new and better treatments for COVID-19.\n\"Concerns over the new omicron variant are increasing expectations on the potential of Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine Comirnaty and updated data from Merck's oral anti-viral molnupiravir are increasing expectations for Pfizer's anti-viral Paxlovid,\" Mizuho Securities analysts told investors on Monday.\nAnalysts were once over the moon about the sales potential of the first oral COVID-19 pill that works, predicting between $5 billion and $7 billion in sales next year alone. But the arrival of new efficacy data dragged down interest in both the drug and Merck's stock.\nCiti on Monday downgraded Merck's stock to neutral, from buy, citing concerns about the company's experimental HIV drug islatravir and about molnupiravir.\nMerck is seeking authorization for molnupiravir in adults who have tested positive for the virus, are experiencing mild or moderate symptoms, and are at high risk for severe disease. Patients are expected to start treatment within five days of symptoms.\nThe Phase 2/3, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind study only enrolled people who were unvaccinated; however, it's unclear whether the pill could be used to treat vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections if it is authorized.\nMolnupiravir has already been authorized for use in the U.K.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609376030,"gmtCreate":1638245378971,"gmtModify":1638245379114,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609376030","repostId":"1164197088","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":698799628,"gmtCreate":1640527297767,"gmtModify":1640527297996,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698799628","repostId":"2193178197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603913385,"gmtCreate":1638350777673,"gmtModify":1638350777967,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603913385","repostId":"1116877933","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116877933","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638350081,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116877933?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 17:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading<blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116877933","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading as FDA advisers recommended its COVID-19 pill in close","content":"<p>Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;FDA advisers recommended its COVID-19 pill in close vote.</p><p><blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%，因为 FDA 顾问在接近投票中推荐了其 COVID-19 药丸。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52b0f147fff1ac74d32cd5d5643fe2b3\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration advisory committee said Tuesday the benefits of Merck &amp; Co.'s experimental antiviral COVID-19 pill outweigh its risks in a 13-10 vote, with several advisors saying they had concerns about use of the drug in pregnant women.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局咨询委员会周二表示，默克公司实验性抗病毒 COVID-19 药丸的益处大于其风险，几位顾问表示，他们对孕妇使用该药物感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The company is developing the pill, which is called molnupiravir, with privately held Ridgeback Biotherapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在与私营 Ridgeback Biotherapeutics 合作开发这种名为 molnupiravir 的药丸。</blockquote></p><p> The FDA is now expected to deliver its final decision, likely before the end of the year. The regulator often takes into account the recommendation of its advisory committees but is not required to do so.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局预计将在今年年底前做出最终决定。监管机构通常会考虑其咨询委员会的建议，但并非必须这样做。</blockquote></p><p> If molnupiravir is authorized by the FDA in the coming weeks, as expected, the treatment will be the first oral COVID-19 pill that patients can take at home.</p><p><blockquote>如果molnupiravir在未来几周内获得FDA的授权，正如预期的那样，该疗法将是患者可以在家服用的第一种口服新冠肺炎药丸。</blockquote></p><p> Members of the Antimicrobial Drugs Advisory Committee also suggested a safety-monitoring program, expressed concerns about prescribing the drug to those who are immunocompromised, and shared their concerns about the overall efficacy of the pill.</p><p><blockquote>抗菌药物咨询委员会的成员还建议实施安全监测计划，对向免疫功能低下的人开具该药物表示担忧，并分享了他们对药丸整体疗效的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"With the continued spread of the virus and the emergence of variants, additional treatments for COVID-19 are urgently needed. That is why we are moving with speed and rigor to pursue authorizations and to accelerate broad global access to this investigational medicine,\" Dean Li, executive vice president and president of Merck Research Laboratories, said in a statement. \"We are grateful to the members of the advisory committee who reviewed our application, as well as to the patients and investigators who participated in our clinical trials, and we will continue to work with the FDA as the agency completes its review.\"</p><p><blockquote>“随着病毒的持续传播和变种的出现，迫切需要针对 COVID-19 的额外治疗方法。这就是为什么我们正在快速而严格地采取行动，以寻求授权并加速这种研究药物的全球广泛使用，”执行副总裁兼默克研究实验室总裁李院长在一份声明中表示。“我们感谢审查我们申请的咨询委员会成员，以及参与我们临床试验的患者和研究人员，随着 FDA 完成审查，我们将继续与该机构合作。”</blockquote></p><p> Some Wall Street analysts had predicted that the advisers would vote in support of authorization, but with a cautious approach.</p><p><blockquote>一些华尔街分析师曾预测，顾问们将投票支持授权，但态度谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> \"Despite these reservations, molnupiravir is also likely to be approved, and demand is likely to exceed their 20 [million] course supply in 2022,\" SVB Leerink analysts wrote on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>SVB Leerink 分析师周五写道：“尽管存在这些保留意见，莫努匹拉韦也可能获得批准，2022 年的需求可能会超过 2000 万疗程的供应量。”</blockquote></p><p> Of the COVID-19 treatments that are currently available, most are used to care for very sick, hospitalized people. This includes the steroid dexamethasone and Gilead Sciences Inc.'s&nbsp;Veklury.</p><p><blockquote>在目前可用的新冠肺炎治疗方法中，大多数用于护理重病住院患者。这包括类固醇地塞米松和吉利德科学公司的Veklury。</blockquote></p><p> The monoclonal antibodies developed by Eli Lilly &amp; Co., Regeneron Pharmaceuticals&nbsp;Inc. (REGN), and Vir Biotechnology Inc.&nbsp;and GlaxoSmithKline&nbsp;can be used to treat people with mild or moderate cases of COVID-19, but these treatments have to be administered by an infusion in a clinical setting.</p><p><blockquote>再生元制药礼来公司开发的单克隆抗体。（REGN）、Vir Biotechnology Inc. 和葛兰素史克可用于治疗轻度或中度 COVID-19 病例的患者，但这些治疗必须在临床环境中通过输注进行。</blockquote></p><p> Molnupiravir was once held as a game changer in the course of the pandemic, but its importance has shifted as new data from the clinical trial came out and a competitor stepped up.</p><p><blockquote>莫努匹拉韦曾经被认为是疫情过程中的游戏规则改变者，但随着临床试验的新数据出现和竞争对手的崛起，它的重要性已经发生了变化。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street's interest in Merck's pill began to wane in November when Pfizer Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a> produced even more compelling results for its COVID-19 drug candidate, demonstrating that Paxlovid reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by a stunning 89% in a clinical trial. The company filed for emergency authorization later in the month.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对默克药丸的兴趣在11月开始减弱，当时辉瑞公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a>为其新冠肺炎候选药物产生了更令人信服的结果，证明Paxlovid在一项临床试验中将住院和死亡风险降低了惊人的89%。该公司在本月晚些时候申请了紧急授权。</blockquote></p><p> Then, last week, Merck shared that its pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by 30% in a clinical trial--and not 50% as reported in the interim results. Wall Street is now factoring in growing worries about the omicron variant and the continuing need for new and better treatments for COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>然后，上周，默克公司分享说，其药丸在一项临床试验中将住院和死亡的风险降低了30%，而不是中期结果中报告的50%。华尔街现在正在考虑对奥密克戎变种的日益增长的担忧，以及对新冠肺炎新的更好治疗方法的持续需求。</blockquote></p><p> \"Concerns over the new omicron variant are increasing expectations on the potential of Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine Comirnaty and updated data from Merck's oral anti-viral molnupiravir are increasing expectations for Pfizer's anti-viral Paxlovid,\" Mizuho Securities analysts told investors on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗证券分析师周一对投资者表示：“对新奥密克戎变种的担忧增加了人们对辉瑞 COVID-19 疫苗 Comirnaty 潜力的预期，而默克口服抗病毒药物莫努匹拉韦的最新数据增加了人们对辉瑞抗病毒药物 Paxlovid 的预期。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts were once over the moon about the sales potential of the first oral COVID-19 pill that works, predicting between $5 billion and $7 billion in sales next year alone. But the arrival of new efficacy data dragged down interest in both the drug and Merck's stock.</p><p><blockquote>分析师一度对第一种有效的口服 COVID-19 药丸的销售潜力欣喜若狂，预测仅明年的销售额就将在 50 亿至 70 亿美元之间。但新疗效数据的出现拖累了人们对该药物和默克股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Citi on Monday downgraded Merck's stock to neutral, from buy, citing concerns about the company's experimental HIV drug islatravir and about molnupiravir.</p><p><blockquote>花旗周一将默克公司的股票评级从买入下调至中性，理由是对该公司的实验性艾滋病毒药物islatravir和molnupiravir感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Merck is seeking authorization for molnupiravir in adults who have tested positive for the virus, are experiencing mild or moderate symptoms, and are at high risk for severe disease. Patients are expected to start treatment within five days of symptoms.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司正在寻求授权莫努匹拉韦用于病毒检测呈阳性、出现轻度或中度症状且有严重疾病高风险的成年人。患者有望在出现症状五天内开始治疗。</blockquote></p><p> The Phase 2/3, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind study only enrolled people who were unvaccinated; however, it's unclear whether the pill could be used to treat vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections if it is authorized.</p><p><blockquote>2/3期、随机、安慰剂对照、双盲研究仅招募未接种疫苗的人；然而，目前尚不清楚如果获得授权，这种药丸是否可以用于治疗接种疫苗的突破性感染个体。</blockquote></p><p> Molnupiravir has already been authorized for use in the U.K.</p><p><blockquote>莫努匹拉韦已经被授权在英国使用。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading<blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMerck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading<blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-01 17:14</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading&nbsp;as&nbsp;FDA advisers recommended its COVID-19 pill in close vote.</p><p><blockquote>默克股价在盘前交易中上涨 5.3%，因为 FDA 顾问在接近投票中推荐了其 COVID-19 药丸。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52b0f147fff1ac74d32cd5d5643fe2b3\" tg-width=\"850\" tg-height=\"620\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Food and Drug Administration advisory committee said Tuesday the benefits of Merck &amp; Co.'s experimental antiviral COVID-19 pill outweigh its risks in a 13-10 vote, with several advisors saying they had concerns about use of the drug in pregnant women.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局咨询委员会周二表示，默克公司实验性抗病毒 COVID-19 药丸的益处大于其风险，几位顾问表示，他们对孕妇使用该药物感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The company is developing the pill, which is called molnupiravir, with privately held Ridgeback Biotherapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在与私营 Ridgeback Biotherapeutics 合作开发这种名为 molnupiravir 的药丸。</blockquote></p><p> The FDA is now expected to deliver its final decision, likely before the end of the year. The regulator often takes into account the recommendation of its advisory committees but is not required to do so.</p><p><blockquote>美国食品和药物管理局预计将在今年年底前做出最终决定。监管机构通常会考虑其咨询委员会的建议，但并非必须这样做。</blockquote></p><p> If molnupiravir is authorized by the FDA in the coming weeks, as expected, the treatment will be the first oral COVID-19 pill that patients can take at home.</p><p><blockquote>如果molnupiravir在未来几周内获得FDA的授权，正如预期的那样，该疗法将是患者可以在家服用的第一种口服新冠肺炎药丸。</blockquote></p><p> Members of the Antimicrobial Drugs Advisory Committee also suggested a safety-monitoring program, expressed concerns about prescribing the drug to those who are immunocompromised, and shared their concerns about the overall efficacy of the pill.</p><p><blockquote>抗菌药物咨询委员会的成员还建议实施安全监测计划，对向免疫功能低下的人开具该药物表示担忧，并分享了他们对药丸整体疗效的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> \"With the continued spread of the virus and the emergence of variants, additional treatments for COVID-19 are urgently needed. That is why we are moving with speed and rigor to pursue authorizations and to accelerate broad global access to this investigational medicine,\" Dean Li, executive vice president and president of Merck Research Laboratories, said in a statement. \"We are grateful to the members of the advisory committee who reviewed our application, as well as to the patients and investigators who participated in our clinical trials, and we will continue to work with the FDA as the agency completes its review.\"</p><p><blockquote>“随着病毒的持续传播和变种的出现，迫切需要针对 COVID-19 的额外治疗方法。这就是为什么我们正在快速而严格地采取行动，以寻求授权并加速这种研究药物的全球广泛使用，”执行副总裁兼默克研究实验室总裁李院长在一份声明中表示。“我们感谢审查我们申请的咨询委员会成员，以及参与我们临床试验的患者和研究人员，随着 FDA 完成审查，我们将继续与该机构合作。”</blockquote></p><p> Some Wall Street analysts had predicted that the advisers would vote in support of authorization, but with a cautious approach.</p><p><blockquote>一些华尔街分析师曾预测，顾问们将投票支持授权，但态度谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> \"Despite these reservations, molnupiravir is also likely to be approved, and demand is likely to exceed their 20 [million] course supply in 2022,\" SVB Leerink analysts wrote on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>SVB Leerink 分析师周五写道：“尽管存在这些保留意见，莫努匹拉韦也可能获得批准，2022 年的需求可能会超过 2000 万疗程的供应量。”</blockquote></p><p> Of the COVID-19 treatments that are currently available, most are used to care for very sick, hospitalized people. This includes the steroid dexamethasone and Gilead Sciences Inc.'s&nbsp;Veklury.</p><p><blockquote>在目前可用的新冠肺炎治疗方法中，大多数用于护理重病住院患者。这包括类固醇地塞米松和吉利德科学公司的Veklury。</blockquote></p><p> The monoclonal antibodies developed by Eli Lilly &amp; Co., Regeneron Pharmaceuticals&nbsp;Inc. (REGN), and Vir Biotechnology Inc.&nbsp;and GlaxoSmithKline&nbsp;can be used to treat people with mild or moderate cases of COVID-19, but these treatments have to be administered by an infusion in a clinical setting.</p><p><blockquote>再生元制药礼来公司开发的单克隆抗体。（REGN）、Vir Biotechnology Inc. 和葛兰素史克可用于治疗轻度或中度 COVID-19 病例的患者，但这些治疗必须在临床环境中通过输注进行。</blockquote></p><p> Molnupiravir was once held as a game changer in the course of the pandemic, but its importance has shifted as new data from the clinical trial came out and a competitor stepped up.</p><p><blockquote>莫努匹拉韦曾经被认为是疫情过程中的游戏规则改变者，但随着临床试验的新数据出现和竞争对手的崛起，它的重要性已经发生了变化。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street's interest in Merck's pill began to wane in November when Pfizer Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a> produced even more compelling results for its COVID-19 drug candidate, demonstrating that Paxlovid reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by a stunning 89% in a clinical trial. The company filed for emergency authorization later in the month.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街对默克药丸的兴趣在11月开始减弱，当时辉瑞公司。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$(PFE)$</a>为其新冠肺炎候选药物产生了更令人信服的结果，证明Paxlovid在一项临床试验中将住院和死亡风险降低了惊人的89%。该公司在本月晚些时候申请了紧急授权。</blockquote></p><p> Then, last week, Merck shared that its pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by 30% in a clinical trial--and not 50% as reported in the interim results. Wall Street is now factoring in growing worries about the omicron variant and the continuing need for new and better treatments for COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>然后，上周，默克公司分享说，其药丸在一项临床试验中将住院和死亡的风险降低了30%，而不是中期结果中报告的50%。华尔街现在正在考虑对奥密克戎变种的日益增长的担忧，以及对新冠肺炎新的更好治疗方法的持续需求。</blockquote></p><p> \"Concerns over the new omicron variant are increasing expectations on the potential of Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine Comirnaty and updated data from Merck's oral anti-viral molnupiravir are increasing expectations for Pfizer's anti-viral Paxlovid,\" Mizuho Securities analysts told investors on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗证券分析师周一对投资者表示：“对新奥密克戎变种的担忧增加了人们对辉瑞 COVID-19 疫苗 Comirnaty 潜力的预期，而默克口服抗病毒药物莫努匹拉韦的最新数据增加了人们对辉瑞抗病毒药物 Paxlovid 的预期。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts were once over the moon about the sales potential of the first oral COVID-19 pill that works, predicting between $5 billion and $7 billion in sales next year alone. But the arrival of new efficacy data dragged down interest in both the drug and Merck's stock.</p><p><blockquote>分析师一度对第一种有效的口服 COVID-19 药丸的销售潜力欣喜若狂，预测仅明年的销售额就将在 50 亿至 70 亿美元之间。但新疗效数据的出现拖累了人们对该药物和默克股票的兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Citi on Monday downgraded Merck's stock to neutral, from buy, citing concerns about the company's experimental HIV drug islatravir and about molnupiravir.</p><p><blockquote>花旗周一将默克公司的股票评级从买入下调至中性，理由是对该公司的实验性艾滋病毒药物islatravir和molnupiravir感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> Merck is seeking authorization for molnupiravir in adults who have tested positive for the virus, are experiencing mild or moderate symptoms, and are at high risk for severe disease. Patients are expected to start treatment within five days of symptoms.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司正在寻求授权莫努匹拉韦用于病毒检测呈阳性、出现轻度或中度症状且有严重疾病高风险的成年人。患者有望在出现症状五天内开始治疗。</blockquote></p><p> The Phase 2/3, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind study only enrolled people who were unvaccinated; however, it's unclear whether the pill could be used to treat vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections if it is authorized.</p><p><blockquote>2/3期、随机、安慰剂对照、双盲研究仅招募未接种疫苗的人；然而，目前尚不清楚如果获得授权，这种药丸是否可以用于治疗接种疫苗的突破性感染个体。</blockquote></p><p> Molnupiravir has already been authorized for use in the U.K.</p><p><blockquote>莫努匹拉韦已经被授权在英国使用。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRK":"默沙东"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116877933","content_text":"Merck shares jumped 5.3% in premarket trading as FDA advisers recommended its COVID-19 pill in close vote.\n\nThe Food and Drug Administration advisory committee said Tuesday the benefits of Merck & Co.'s experimental antiviral COVID-19 pill outweigh its risks in a 13-10 vote, with several advisors saying they had concerns about use of the drug in pregnant women.\nThe company is developing the pill, which is called molnupiravir, with privately held Ridgeback Biotherapeutics.\nThe FDA is now expected to deliver its final decision, likely before the end of the year. The regulator often takes into account the recommendation of its advisory committees but is not required to do so.\nIf molnupiravir is authorized by the FDA in the coming weeks, as expected, the treatment will be the first oral COVID-19 pill that patients can take at home.\nMembers of the Antimicrobial Drugs Advisory Committee also suggested a safety-monitoring program, expressed concerns about prescribing the drug to those who are immunocompromised, and shared their concerns about the overall efficacy of the pill.\n\"With the continued spread of the virus and the emergence of variants, additional treatments for COVID-19 are urgently needed. That is why we are moving with speed and rigor to pursue authorizations and to accelerate broad global access to this investigational medicine,\" Dean Li, executive vice president and president of Merck Research Laboratories, said in a statement. \"We are grateful to the members of the advisory committee who reviewed our application, as well as to the patients and investigators who participated in our clinical trials, and we will continue to work with the FDA as the agency completes its review.\"\nSome Wall Street analysts had predicted that the advisers would vote in support of authorization, but with a cautious approach.\n\"Despite these reservations, molnupiravir is also likely to be approved, and demand is likely to exceed their 20 [million] course supply in 2022,\" SVB Leerink analysts wrote on Friday.\nOf the COVID-19 treatments that are currently available, most are used to care for very sick, hospitalized people. This includes the steroid dexamethasone and Gilead Sciences Inc.'s Veklury.\nThe monoclonal antibodies developed by Eli Lilly & Co., Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. (REGN), and Vir Biotechnology Inc. and GlaxoSmithKline can be used to treat people with mild or moderate cases of COVID-19, but these treatments have to be administered by an infusion in a clinical setting.\nMolnupiravir was once held as a game changer in the course of the pandemic, but its importance has shifted as new data from the clinical trial came out and a competitor stepped up.\nWall Street's interest in Merck's pill began to wane in November when Pfizer Inc. $(PFE)$ produced even more compelling results for its COVID-19 drug candidate, demonstrating that Paxlovid reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by a stunning 89% in a clinical trial. The company filed for emergency authorization later in the month.\nThen, last week, Merck shared that its pill reduced the risk of hospitalization and death by 30% in a clinical trial--and not 50% as reported in the interim results. Wall Street is now factoring in growing worries about the omicron variant and the continuing need for new and better treatments for COVID-19.\n\"Concerns over the new omicron variant are increasing expectations on the potential of Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine Comirnaty and updated data from Merck's oral anti-viral molnupiravir are increasing expectations for Pfizer's anti-viral Paxlovid,\" Mizuho Securities analysts told investors on Monday.\nAnalysts were once over the moon about the sales potential of the first oral COVID-19 pill that works, predicting between $5 billion and $7 billion in sales next year alone. But the arrival of new efficacy data dragged down interest in both the drug and Merck's stock.\nCiti on Monday downgraded Merck's stock to neutral, from buy, citing concerns about the company's experimental HIV drug islatravir and about molnupiravir.\nMerck is seeking authorization for molnupiravir in adults who have tested positive for the virus, are experiencing mild or moderate symptoms, and are at high risk for severe disease. Patients are expected to start treatment within five days of symptoms.\nThe Phase 2/3, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind study only enrolled people who were unvaccinated; however, it's unclear whether the pill could be used to treat vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections if it is authorized.\nMolnupiravir has already been authorized for use in the U.K.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":826308887,"gmtCreate":1633971714979,"gmtModify":1633971715068,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/826308887","repostId":"2174120900","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698255814,"gmtCreate":1640418149768,"gmtModify":1640418149993,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698255814","repostId":"1156159690","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":152643863,"gmtCreate":1625290726152,"gmtModify":1631891561961,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"pls like and comment&nbsp;","text":"pls like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152643863","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1188153141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让包括苏兹-奥曼（Suze Orman）在内的投资专家感到担忧，她甚至表示自己现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一个著名指标——被称为巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对这种担忧从何而来的解释，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏兹·奥曼怎么想？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>媒体打孔/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>苏兹·奥曼几十年来一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼在 CNBC 的一段视频中说：”我不喜欢我现在在市场上看到的情况。“经济形势很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样简单，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激检查仍在进行中，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍然担心冠状病毒会带来什么——尤其是在新变种不断涌现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得自从上次撞车以来，已经太久了，不能再在这个高度停留太久了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说：”这让我再次想起了 2000 年。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特（Warren Buffett）经常用来评估市场的一个指标，以他的名字命名，这个指标已经出现了足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑它是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但巴菲特指标（衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出之比的指标）继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士不禁要问，这是否是我们即将迎来一场硬着陆的征兆。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为撞车做好准备Freedomz / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 低买入</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等备受关注的股票感到非常不安，部分原因是它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面。“你只想让这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金是在 401(k) 或 IRA 计划中用于退休投资。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年都不打算动用这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低价买入。这样，您的美元现在将走得更远，为未来 20、30 或 40 年的增长留下充足的空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡特延 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然奥曼更喜欢低价买入，但她并不建议您在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的起伏之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济衰退欢呼可能是你获得更多利润丰厚投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在 2007 年和 2008 年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说：”当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费买到东西。“现在看看 15 年后的他们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议您制定美元成本平均策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，您都要定期等额投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易在目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中实现。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至还有一些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的备用零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助抵御市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过对许多不同类型资产和经济部门的投资来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法可以让你购买一家大牌公司的股份，否则你将买不起这部分股份。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在不受欢迎的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的任何人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼说：”越早开始，你的钱就越多。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该非常高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的股票”。</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股份越多，20 年、40 年、50 年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在 CNBC 视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否迫在眉睫，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择罗斯账户，无论是 401(k) 还是 IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>当您从退休账户中提取资金时，这将帮助您避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的缴款是在税后进行的。另一方面，传统的 IRA 在您供款时无需缴税，因此您最终会在以后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果你发现你需要更多的指导，与专业的财务顾问合作，可以帮助你指出正确的方向，这样你就可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离航向或过度纠正时，你将牢牢掌握在驾驶座上，计划着你的夕阳西下。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录，新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让包括苏兹-奥曼（Suze Orman）在内的投资专家感到担忧，她甚至表示自己现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一个著名指标——被称为巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对这种担忧从何而来的解释，以及即使市场下跌，您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏兹·奥曼怎么想？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>媒体打孔/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>苏兹·奥曼几十年来一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的，但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼在 CNBC 的一段视频中说：”我不喜欢我现在在市场上看到的情况。“经济形势很糟糕，但股市一直在上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样简单，但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激检查仍在进行中，房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录，奥曼仍然担心冠状病毒会带来什么——尤其是在新变种不断涌现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，她觉得自从上次撞车以来，已经太久了，不能再在这个高度停留太久了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说：”这让我再次想起了 2000 年。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特（Warren Buffett）经常用来评估市场的一个指标，以他的名字命名，这个指标已经出现了足够长的时间，以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑它是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但巴菲特指标（衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出之比的指标）继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士不禁要问，这是否是我们即将迎来一场硬着陆的征兆。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为撞车做好准备Freedomz / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议，以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 低买入</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等备受关注的股票感到非常不安，部分原因是它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“她说：”你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面。“你只想让这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处？”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出，大多数人唯一的额外资金是在 401(k) 或 IRA 计划中用于退休投资。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年都不打算动用这笔钱，所以最好的长期策略是低价买入。这样，您的美元现在将走得更远，为未来 20、30 或 40 年的增长留下充足的空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡特延 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然奥曼更喜欢低价买入，但她并不建议您在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的起伏之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，现在为经济衰退欢呼可能是你获得更多利润丰厚投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在 2007 年和 2008 年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说：”当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时，你可以免费买到东西。“现在看看 15 年后的他们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议您制定美元成本平均策略，这意味着无论市场波动如何，您都要定期等额投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易在目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中实现。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至还有一些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的备用零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助抵御市场特定角落的下跌，奥曼建议您分散投资——通过对许多不同类型资产和经济部门的投资来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法可以让你购买一家大牌公司的股份，否则你将买不起这部分股份。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在不受欢迎的股票交易工具的帮助下，任何预算的任何人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼说：”越早开始，你的钱就越多。“只是不要停下来，当这些市场下跌时，你应该非常高兴，因为你的美元找到了更多的股票”。</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股份越多，20 年、40 年、50 年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在 CNBC 视频中表示，无论大崩盘是否迫在眉睫，距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>首先，做最坏的打算，抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来，奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金，可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后，为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活，她建议您选择罗斯账户，无论是 401(k) 还是 IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>当您从退休账户中提取资金时，这将帮助您避免纳税，因为您对罗斯账户的缴款是在税后进行的。另一方面，传统的 IRA 在您供款时无需缴税，因此您最终会在以后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果你发现你需要更多的指导，与专业的财务顾问合作，可以帮助你指出正确的方向，这样你就可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离航向或过度纠正时，你将牢牢掌握在驾驶座上，计划着你的夕阳西下。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137921986,"gmtCreate":1622287604245,"gmtModify":1634102505997,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"pls like and comment&nbsp;","text":"pls like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137921986","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":872362284,"gmtCreate":1637428246641,"gmtModify":1637428246772,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like&nbsp;","listText":"pls like&nbsp;","text":"pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872362284","repostId":"2184384295","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":112169626,"gmtCreate":1622856145265,"gmtModify":1634097362220,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"pls like and comment&nbsp;","text":"pls like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112169626","repostId":"1198786025","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110165775,"gmtCreate":1622431804297,"gmtModify":1634101517476,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"pls like and comment&nbsp;","text":"pls like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110165775","repostId":"2139438981","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133851775,"gmtCreate":1621736972797,"gmtModify":1634186896390,"author":{"id":"3576803907634733","authorId":"3576803907634733","name":"UnknownTD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b4de5039e388fd6c03e422c40499ee8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576803907634733","idStr":"3576803907634733"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pls like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"pls like and comment&nbsp;","text":"pls like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133851775","repostId":"2137906121","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}